Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.7600
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.2400
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.7600
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.2400
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.7600
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.2400
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.7600
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.2400
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.7600
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.2400
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.7600
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.2400
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.7600
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.2500
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.7500
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.2550
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.7450
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.2250
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.7750
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.2250
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.7750
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.2300
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.7700
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.2550
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.7450
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.6100
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.3900
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.6350
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.3650
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.6400
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.3600
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.6500
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.3500
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.6550
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.3450
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.6600
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.3400
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.6600
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.3400
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.7450
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.2550
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.7850
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.7900
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.2100
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.7900
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.2100
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.7900
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.2100
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.7900
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.2100
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.7900
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.2100
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.7900
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.2100
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.7900
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.2100
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.7900
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.2100
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.9350
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.0650
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.9350
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.0650
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.9350
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.0650
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.8900
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.1100
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.8900
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.1100
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.8900
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.1100
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.8900
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.7600
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.2400
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.7550
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.2450
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.7550
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.2450
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.6800
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.3200
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.6800
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.3200
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.6800
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.3200
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.6800
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.3200
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.6800
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.3200
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.7500
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.7500
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.2500
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.6900
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.3100
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.6950
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.6950
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.3050
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.6950
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.3050
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.6950
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.3050
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.7200
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.2800
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.7000
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.3000
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.7000
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.3000
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.7000
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.3000
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.7000
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.3000
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.7000
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.3000
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.4100
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.5900
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.4100
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.5900
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.4100
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.5900
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.4100
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.5900
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.4100
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.5900
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.4100
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.5900
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.4100
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.6900
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.3100
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.6900
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.3100
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.6900
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.6900
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.3100
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.6950
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.3050
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.8100
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.1900
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.8100
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.1900
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.7850
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.2150
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.8100
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.1900
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.8100
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.1900
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.8100
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.1900
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.8100
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.6100
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.3900
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.6350
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.3650
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.6400
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.3600
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.6500
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.3500
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.6550
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.3450
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.6600
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.3400
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.6600
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.3400
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.7450
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.2550
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.7850
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.7900
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.2100
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.7900
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.2100
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.7900
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.2100
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.7900
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.2100
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.7900
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.2100
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.7900
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.2100
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.7900
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.2100
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.7900
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.2100
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.9350
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.0650
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.9350
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.0650
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.9350
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.0650
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.8900
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.1100
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.8900
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.1100
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.8900
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.1100
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.8900
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.7600
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.2400
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.7550
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.2450
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.7550
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.2450
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.6800
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.3200
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.6800
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.3200
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.6800
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.3200
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.6800
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.3200
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.6800
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.3200
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.7500
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.7500
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.2500
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.8700
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.1300
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.6900
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.3100
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.6950
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.6950
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.3050
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.6950
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.3050
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.6950
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.3050
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.7200
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.2800
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.7000
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.3000
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.7000
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.3000
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.7000
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.3000
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.7000
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.3000
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.7000
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.3000
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.4100
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.5900
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.4100
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.5900
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.4100
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.5900
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.4100
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.5900
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.4100
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.5900
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.4100
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.5900
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.4100
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.7200
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.2800
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.6900
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.3100
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.6900
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.3100
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.6900
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 729.140533
Price History:
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.6900
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.3100
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.6950
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.3050
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.8100
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.1900
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.8100
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.1900
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.7850
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.2150
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.8100
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.1900
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.8100
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.1900
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.8100
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.1900
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.8100
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.5050
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.2850
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.7150
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.5300
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.4700
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.5050
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.5050
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.5150
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.4850
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.5200
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.4800
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.5200
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.4800
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.4350
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.5750
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.4250
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.5600
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.7250
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.2750
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.7300
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.2700
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.7200
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.2800
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.7200
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.2800
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.7200
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.7150
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.2850
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.7150
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.2850
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.7050
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.2950
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.7050
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.2950
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.7050
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.2950
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.7150
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.2850
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.7200
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.2800
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.7200
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.2800
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.7200
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.2800
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.2800
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.7250
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.2750
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.7250
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.2750
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.7250
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.2750
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.7250
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.2750
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.7250
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.2750
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.7250
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.2750
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.7250
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.7400
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.2600
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.6800
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.3200
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.6800
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.3200
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.6800
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.3200
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.6800
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.6800
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.3200
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.7500
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.7500
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.7500
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.7500
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.7500
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.7500
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.7500
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.7500
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.7450
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.2550
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.7450
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.2550
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.7450
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.2550
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.7450
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.2550
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.3100
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.3100
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.3100
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.3100
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.3100
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.3100
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.3100
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.3100
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.3100
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.3100
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.3100
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.3100
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.3150
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.3150
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.3150
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.3150
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.3150
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.3150
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.3150
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.3150
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.3150
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.3150
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.7450
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.2550
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.7450
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.2550
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.7450
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.2550
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.7450
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.2550
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.7450
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.2550
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.7450
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.2550
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.7450
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.2550
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.7450
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.2550
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.7450
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.2550
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.2550
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.7450
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.2550
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.3150
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.3150
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.6600
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.3400
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.6600
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.3400
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.6000
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.4000
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.5950
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.4050
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.5900
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.4100
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.5900
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.5900
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.4100
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.5850
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.4150
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.5850
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.4150
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.5850
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.4150
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.5700
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.4300
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.5500
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.4500
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.5900
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.4100
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.5950
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.4050
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.5050
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.2850
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.7150
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.5300
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.4700
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.5050
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.5050
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.5150
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.4850
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.5200
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.4800
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.5200
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.4800
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.4350
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.5750
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.4250
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.5600
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.7250
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.2750
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.7300
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.2700
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.7200
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.2800
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.7200
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.2800
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.7200
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.7150
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.2850
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.7150
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.2850
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.7050
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.2950
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.7050
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.2950
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.7050
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.2950
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.7150
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.2850
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.7200
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.2800
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.7200
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.2800
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.7200
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.2800
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.2800
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.7250
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.2750
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.7250
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.2750
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.7250
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.2750
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.7250
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.2750
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.7250
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.2750
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.7250
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.2750
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.7250
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.7400
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.2600
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.6800
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.3200
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.6800
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.3200
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.6800
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.3200
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.6800
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.6800
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.3200
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.7500
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.7500
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.7500
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.7500
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.7500
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.7500
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.7500
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.7500
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.7450
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.2550
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.7450
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.2550
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.7450
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.2550
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.7450
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.2550
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.3100
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.3100
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.3100
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.3100
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.3100
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.3100
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.3100
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.3100
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.3100
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.3100
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.3100
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.3100
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.3150
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.3150
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.3150
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.3150
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.3150
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.3150
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.3150
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.3150
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.3150
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.3150
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.7450
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.2550
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.7450
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.2550
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.7450
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.2550
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.7450
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.2550
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.7450
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.2550
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.7450
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.2550
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.7450
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.2550
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.7450
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.2550
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.7450
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.2550
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.2550
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.7450
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.2550
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.3150
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.3150
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.6600
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.3400
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.6600
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.3400
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.6000
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.4000
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.5950
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.4050
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.5900
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.4100
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.5900
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1107.970324
Price History:
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.5900
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.4100
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.5850
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.4150
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.5850
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.4150
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.5850
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.4150
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.5700
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.4300
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.5500
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.4500
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.5900
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.4100
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.5950
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.4050
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.8250
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.1750
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.7750
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.2250
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.8000
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.2000
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.8000
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.2000
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.7950
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.2050
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.8050
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.1950
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.8050
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.1950
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.7850
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.2150
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.7900
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.2100
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.2050
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.7950
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.2050
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.8350
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.1650
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.8400
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.1600
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.8400
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.1600
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.8400
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.1600
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.8450
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.1550
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.8450
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.1550
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.8450
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.1550
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.8450
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.8400
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.1600
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.8400
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.1600
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.8600
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.1400
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.8600
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.1400
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.8600
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.1400
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.8650
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.1350
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.8650
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.1350
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.8650
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.1350
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.8650
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.1350
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.1350
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.8650
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.1350
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.8650
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.1350
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.8650
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.1350
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.8650
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.1350
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.8650
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.1350
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.8650
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.1350
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.8650
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.8500
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.1500
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.8950
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.1050
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.8950
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.1050
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.8850
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.1150
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.8900
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.8900
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.1100
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.8800
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.1200
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.8800
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.1200
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.8800
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.1200
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.8800
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.1200
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.8800
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.1200
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.8600
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.1400
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.8600
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.1400
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.8600
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.1400
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.1200
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.8550
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.1450
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.8550
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.1450
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.8600
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.1400
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.8600
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.1400
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.8700
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.1300
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.8700
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.1300
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9150
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.0850
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.9050
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.0950
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.8950
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.8950
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.1050
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.8850
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.1150
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.8850
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.1150
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.8850
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.1150
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.8850
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.1150
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.8850
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.1150
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.8850
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.1150
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.8850
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.1150
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.9100
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.0900
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.0950
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.9050
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.0950
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.9050
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.0950
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.9050
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.0950
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.8750
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.1250
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.8750
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.1250
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.8750
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.1250
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.9050
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.0950
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.9050
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.0950
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.8800
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.8800
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.1200
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.8800
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.1200
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.8800
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.1200
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.8800
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.1200
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.8800
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.1200
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.8800
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.1200
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.8800
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.1200
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.9150
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.0850
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.9150
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.0850
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.0850
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.9150
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.0850
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.9150
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.0850
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.9300
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.0700
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.9600
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.0400
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.9600
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.0400
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.9600
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.0400
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.9600
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.0400
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.9350
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.0650
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.9400
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.9400
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.0600
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.9400
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0600
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.9350
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.0650
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.9350
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.0650
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.9350
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.0650
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.9350
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.0650
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.9050
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.0950
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.9150
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.0850
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.8250
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.1750
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.7750
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.2250
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.8000
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.2000
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.8000
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.2000
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.7950
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.2050
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.8050
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.1950
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.8050
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.1950
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.7850
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.2150
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.7900
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.2100
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.2050
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.7950
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.2050
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.8350
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.1650
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.8400
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.1600
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.8400
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.1600
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.8400
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.1600
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.8450
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.1550
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.8450
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.1550
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.8450
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.1550
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.8450
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.8400
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.1600
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.8400
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.1600
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.8600
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.1400
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.8600
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.1400
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.8600
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.1400
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.8650
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.1350
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.8650
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.1350
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.8650
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.1350
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.8650
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.1350
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.1350
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.8650
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.1350
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.8650
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.1350
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.8650
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.1350
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.8650
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.1350
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.8650
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.1350
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.8650
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.1350
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.8650
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.8650
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.1350
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.8500
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.1500
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.8950
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.1050
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.8950
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.1050
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.8850
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.1150
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.8900
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.8900
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.1100
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.8800
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.1200
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.8800
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.1200
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.8800
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.1200
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.8800
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.1200
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.8800
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.1200
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.8600
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.1400
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.8600
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.1400
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.8600
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.1400
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.1200
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.8550
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.1450
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.8550
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.1450
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.8600
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.1400
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.8600
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.1400
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.8700
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.1300
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.8700
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.1300
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9150
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.0850
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.9050
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.0950
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.8950
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.8950
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.1050
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.8850
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.1150
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.8850
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.1150
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.8850
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.1150
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.8850
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.1150
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.8850
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.1150
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.8850
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.1150
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.8850
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.1150
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.9100
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.0900
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.0950
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.9050
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.0950
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.9050
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.0950
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.9050
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.0950
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.8750
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.1250
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.8750
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.1250
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.8750
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.1250
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.9050
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.0950
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.9050
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.0950
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.8800
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.8800
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.1200
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.8800
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.1200
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.8800
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.1200
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.8800
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.1200
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.8800
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.1200
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.8800
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.1200
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.8800
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.1200
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.9150
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.0850
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.9150
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.0850
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.0850
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.9150
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.0850
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.9150
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.0850
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.9300
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.0700
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.9600
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.0400
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.9600
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.0400
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.9600
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.0400
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.9600
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.0400
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.9350
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.0650
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.9400
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5072.089275
Price History:
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.9400
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.0600
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.9400
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0600
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.9350
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.0650
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.9350
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.0650
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.9350
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.0650
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.9350
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.0650
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.9050
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.0950
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.9150
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.0850
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.5250
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.4750
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.4750
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.5250
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.4800
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.5200
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.4800
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.5200
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.4750
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.5250
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.4650
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.5350
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.4650
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.5350
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.4650
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.5350
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.4650
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5350
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.5400
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.4450
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.4350
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.5650
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.4350
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.5650
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.4350
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.5650
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.4500
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.5500
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.4500
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.5500
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.4500
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.4650
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.5350
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.5400
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.4600
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.5400
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.4600
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.5400
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.4600
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.5400
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.4650
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.5350
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.4650
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.5350
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.4650
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.5350
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.4650
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.5350
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.4650
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.5350
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.4650
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.4650
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.5350
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.4650
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.5350
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.4650
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.5350
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.4650
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.5350
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.4650
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.5350
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.4650
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.5350
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.5300
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.4250
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.5750
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.4200
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.5800
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.4200
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.5800
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.4200
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.4200
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.5800
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.4200
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.5800
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.4200
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.5800
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.4200
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.5800
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.4200
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.5800
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.4200
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.5800
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.4200
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.5800
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.4200
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.5800
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.4200
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.5800
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.4200
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.5800
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.3050
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.6950
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.3050
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.6950
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.3050
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.6950
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.3050
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.3050
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.6950
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.3050
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.6950
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.3050
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.6950
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.3050
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.6950
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.3050
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.6950
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.3150
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.6850
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.2550
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.7450
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0045
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.9955
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.5250
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.4750
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.4750
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.5250
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.4800
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.5200
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.4800
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.5200
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.4750
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.5250
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.4650
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.5350
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.4650
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.5350
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.4650
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.5350
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.4650
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5350
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.5400
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.4450
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.4350
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.5650
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.4350
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.5650
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.4350
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.5650
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.4500
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.5500
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.4500
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.5500
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.4500
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.4650
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.5350
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.5400
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.4600
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.5400
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.4600
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.5400
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.4600
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.5400
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.4650
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.5350
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.4650
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.5350
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.4650
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.5350
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.4650
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.5350
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.4650
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.5350
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.4650
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.4650
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.5350
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.4650
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.5350
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.4650
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.5350
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.4650
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.5350
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.4650
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.5350
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.4650
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.5350
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.5300
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.4250
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.5750
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.4200
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.5800
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.4200
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.5800
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.4200
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.4200
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.5800
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.4200
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.5800
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.4200
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.5800
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.4200
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.5800
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.4200
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.5800
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.4200
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.5800
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.4200
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.5800
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.4200
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.5800
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.4200
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.5800
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.4200
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.5800
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.3050
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.6950
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.3050
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.6950
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.3050
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.6950
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.3050
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Mineral" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 137.7563
Price History:
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.3050
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.6950
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.3050
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.6950
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.3050
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.6950
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.3050
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.6950
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.3050
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.6950
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.3150
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.6850
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.2550
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.7450
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0045
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.9955
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.5450
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.4550
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.4350
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.5650
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.4350
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.5650
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.4350
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.5650
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.4250
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.5750
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.4150
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.5850
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.4150
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.5850
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.4250
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.5750
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5400
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.4550
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.5450
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.4450
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.4700
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.4850
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5150
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.4850
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.5150
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.4850
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.5150
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.4950
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.4900
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.5100
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.5400
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.5400
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.5400
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.5400
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.5400
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.7150
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.2850
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.7350
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.2650
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.7450
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.2550
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.7450
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.2550
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.7450
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.2550
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.7450
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.7450
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.7450
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.7450
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.7450
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.7450
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.7750
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.2250
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.7750
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.2250
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.7750
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.2250
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.7750
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.2250
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.7750
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.2250
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.7750
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.2250
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.3100
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.6950
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.3050
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.6950
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.3050
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.6800
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.3200
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.6900
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.3100
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.7450
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.7450
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.7500
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.2500
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.7500
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.2500
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.7500
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.7500
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.7500
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.7500
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.7500
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.7500
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.7500
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.7500
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.7500
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.7450
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.2550
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.2600
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.7400
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.2600
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.7450
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.2550
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.7500
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.7450
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.2550
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.7450
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.2550
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.7450
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.2550
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.7450
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.2550
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.6800
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.3200
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.6800
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.6800
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.3200
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.6800
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.3200
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.6800
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.3200
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.6800
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.3200
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.5550
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.4450
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.6750
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.3250
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.6750
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.3250
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.6750
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.6650
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.3350
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.6650
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.3350
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.7400
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.2600
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.7400
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.2600
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.7400
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.2600
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.7400
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.2600
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.7250
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.2750
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.7250
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.2750
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.7150
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.2850
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.7150
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.2850
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.7150
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.2850
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.7900
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.2100
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.7900
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.2100
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.7900
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.7900
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.2100
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.7900
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.2100
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.7700
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.2300
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.7700
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.2300
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.6900
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.3100
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.6450
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.3550
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.6300
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.3700
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.7050
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.2950
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.5450
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.4550
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.4350
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.5650
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.4350
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.5650
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.4350
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.5650
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.4250
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.5750
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.4150
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.5850
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.4150
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.5850
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.4250
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.5750
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5400
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.4550
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.5450
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.4450
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.4700
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.4850
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5150
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.4850
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.5150
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.4850
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.5150
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.4950
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.4900
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.5100
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.5400
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.5400
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.5400
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.5400
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.5400
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.7150
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.2850
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.7350
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.2650
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.7450
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.2550
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.7450
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.2550
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.7450
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.2550
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.7450
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.7450
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.7450
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.7450
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.7450
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.7450
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.7750
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.2250
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.7750
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.2250
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.7750
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.2250
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.7750
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.2250
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.7750
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.2250
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.7750
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.2250
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.3100
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.6950
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.3050
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.6950
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.3050
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.6800
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.3200
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.6900
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.3100
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.7450
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.7450
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.7500
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.2500
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.7500
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.2500
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.7500
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.7500
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.7500
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.7500
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.7500
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.7500
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.7500
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.7500
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.7500
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.7450
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.2550
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.2600
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.7400
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.2600
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.7450
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.2550
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.7500
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.7450
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.2550
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.7450
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.2550
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.7450
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.2550
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.7450
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.2550
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.6800
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.3200
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.6800
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.6800
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.3200
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.6800
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.3200
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.6800
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.3200
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.6800
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.3200
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.5550
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.4450
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.6750
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.3250
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.6750
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.3250
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.6750
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No