Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.5300
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.4700
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.6350
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.3650
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.6450
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.3550
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.6450
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.3550
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.6550
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.3450
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.6050
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.3950
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.6050
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.3950
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.5850
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.4150
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.5850
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.4150
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.3800
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.6200
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.3800
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.6200
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.3800
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.6200
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.5600
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 700.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5460, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.5600
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.4400
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.5550
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.4450
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.5450
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.4550
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.5550
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.4450
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.5450
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.4550
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.5500
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.4500
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.5450
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.4550
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.5500
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.4500
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.4900
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.5100
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.3100
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.6900
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.2800
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.3850
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.6150
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.3850
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 292.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6393, Price range: 0.6373 - 0.6412
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.3800
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.6200
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.3800
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.6200
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.4400
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.5600
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.4550
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.5450
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.5400
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.4600
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.4900
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.5100
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.4950
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.5050
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.4550
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.5450
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.4450
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.5550
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.4450
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.5550
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.4550
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.5450
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.4550
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.5450
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.4550
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 288.34, Sell volume: 276.63, Average price: 0.4883, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.4950
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.5050
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.6200
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.3800
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.6350
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.3650
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.6150
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.3850
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.5950
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.4050
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.6350
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.3650
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.5800
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.4200
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.5350
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.4650
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.4950
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.5050
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.4800
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.5200
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.4800
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.5200
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.4600
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.5400
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.4750
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2080.79, Sell volume: 59.86, Average price: 0.4917, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6862
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.4750
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.5250
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.4550
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.5450
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.4600
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.5400
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.5400
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.4600
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.5050
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.4950
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.5000
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.5000
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.5350
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.4650
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.5250
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.4750
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.4850
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.5150
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.4750
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.5250
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.5200
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.4800
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.4900
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.5100
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.5200
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 4131.50, Sell volume: 171.99, Average price: 0.5116, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.5150
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.4850
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.5200
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.4800
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.4750
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.5250
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.4550
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.5450
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.4550
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.5450
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.3600
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.6400
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.3850
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.6150
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.3800
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.6200
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.4750
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.5250
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.4600
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.5400
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.4900
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.5100
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9000
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.1000
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.8500
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 5931.05, Sell volume: 851.18, Average price: 0.4501, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9635
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.8900
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.1100
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.5300
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.4700
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.1000
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9000
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.1000
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9000
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0150
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9850
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 78, Buy volume: 2534.90, Sell volume: 3030.13, Average price: 0.4295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.7600
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.2400
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.8550
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.1450
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.8650
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.1350
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.8700
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.1300
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.8550
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 396.70, Sell volume: 8.61, Average price: 0.3682, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.8550
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 727.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4829, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.7850
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.2150
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.6550
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.3450
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.3750
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.3200
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.6800
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.3650
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 5816.17, Sell volume: 2555.07, Average price: 0.4919, Price range: 0.0201 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 25323.57, Sell volume: 2844.61, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 25323.57, Sell volume: 2844.61, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 25323.57, Sell volume: 2844.61, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 25323.57, Sell volume: 2844.61, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 25323.57, Sell volume: 2844.61, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 25323.57, Sell volume: 2844.61, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 25323.57, Sell volume: 2844.61, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 25323.57, Sell volume: 2844.61, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 25323.57, Sell volume: 2844.61, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 25323.57, Sell volume: 2844.61, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9490
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0510
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9400
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9395
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0605
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9395
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0605
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9390
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0610
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9395
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0605
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 1603.62, Sell volume: 718.38, Average price: 0.6887, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9405
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0595
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9405
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0595
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0490
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9515
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0485
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9515
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0485
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9515
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0485
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9515
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0485
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0490
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0490
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0490
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0490
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0490
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0490
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9515
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0485
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9515
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0485
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9515
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0485
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0490
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0490
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0490
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9505
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0495
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9500
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0500
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9500
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0500
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9540
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0460
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9550
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0455
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0455
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0455
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0455
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0455
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0455
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9550
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9590
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0410
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9590
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0410
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9590
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0410
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9620
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0380
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9610
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0390
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9605
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 100.12, Sell volume: 44.79, Average price: 0.9589, Price range: 0.9490 - 0.9688

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9635
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0365
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9645
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0355
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9635
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0365
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9630
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0370
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9645
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0355
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9655
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0345
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9650
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0350
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9655
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0345
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9660
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9660
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9660
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9640
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 28.97, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.0420 - 0.9680

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9640
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0360
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9620
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0380
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9595
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0405
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9640
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0360
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9645
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0355
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9655
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0345
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9760
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0240
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9750
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9750
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0290
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9760
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0240
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9765
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0235
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9770
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.0310, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.0310

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9775
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0225
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9770
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0230
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9785
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0215
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9755
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0245
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9740
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0260
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9750
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9750
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0250
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9745
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0255
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9745
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0255
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9750
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0250
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9750
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0250
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9750
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0250
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9750
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0260, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.0260

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9735
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0265
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9740
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0260
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9740
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0260
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9735
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0265
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9735
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0265
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9735
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0265
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9735
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0265
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9705
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0295
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9705
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0295
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9710
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0290
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9710
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0290
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9705
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0295
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9705
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 221.00, Sell volume: 15.83, Average price: 0.6180, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9705
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0295
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9710
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0290
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9705
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0295
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9705
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0295
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9710
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0290
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9705
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0295
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9710
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0290
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9715
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0285
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9795
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0205
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9800
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0200
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9800
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0200
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9870
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0130
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9875
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 389.12, Sell volume: 47.60, Average price: 0.6265, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9760

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9875
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0125
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9875
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0125
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9870
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0130
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9875
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0125
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9875
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0125
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9870
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0130
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9820
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0180
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9780
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0220
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9830
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0170
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9830
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0170
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.8745
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.1255
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.8810
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.1190
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.8770
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.1230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 240.78, Sell volume: 505.00, Average price: 0.7359, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.8770
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.1230
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.8840
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.1160
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9000
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.1000
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9000
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.1000
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.8990
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.1010
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9485
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0515
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9570
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0430
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9580
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0420
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9600
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0400
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9605
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0395
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9745
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0255
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9755
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0245
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9755
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 181.51, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9979, Price range: 0.9979 - 0.9979

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.6635
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.3365
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.6645
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.3355
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.6555
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.3445
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.6645
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.3355
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.6645
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.3355
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.6650
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.3350
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.6650
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.3350
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.6650
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.3350
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.6650
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.3350
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 192.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9847, Price range: 0.9698 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9490
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0510
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9400
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9395
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0605
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9395
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0605
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9390
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0610
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9395
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0605
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0595
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9405
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 1603.62, Sell volume: 718.38, Average price: 0.6887, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9405
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0595
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9405
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0595
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0490
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9515
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0485
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9515
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0485
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9515
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0485
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9515
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0485
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0490
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0490
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0490
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0490
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0490
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0490
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9515
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0485
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9515
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0485
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9515
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0485
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0490
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0490
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0490
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9505
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0495
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9500
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0500
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9500
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0500
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9540
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0460
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9550
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0455
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0455
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0455
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0455
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0455
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0455
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9550
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9590
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0410
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9590
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0410
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9590
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0410
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9620
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0380
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9610
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0390
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9605
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 100.12, Sell volume: 44.79, Average price: 0.9589, Price range: 0.9490 - 0.9688
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9635
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0365
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9645
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0355
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9635
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0365
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9630
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0370
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9645
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0355
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9655
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0345
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9650
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0350
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9655
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0345
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9660
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9660
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9660
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9640
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 28.97, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.0420 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9640
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0360
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9620
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0380
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9595
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0405
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9640
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0360
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9645
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0355
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9655
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0345
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9760
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0240
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9750
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9750
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0290
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9760
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0240
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9765
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0235
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9770
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.0310, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.0310
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9775
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0225
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9770
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0230
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9785
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0215
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9755
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0245
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9740
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0260
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9750
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9750
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0250
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9745
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0255
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9745
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0255
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9750
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0250
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9750
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0250
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9750
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0250
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9750
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0260, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.0260
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9735
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0265
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9740
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0260
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9740
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0260
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9735
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0265
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9735
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0265
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9735
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0265
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9735
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0265
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9705
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0295
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9705
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0295
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9710
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0290
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9710
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0290
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9705
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0295
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9705
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 221.00, Sell volume: 15.83, Average price: 0.6180, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9705
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0295
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9710
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0290
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9705
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0295
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9705
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0295
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9710
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0290
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9705
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0295
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9710
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0290
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9715
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0285
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9795
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0205
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9800
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0200
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9800
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0200
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9870
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0130
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9875
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 389.12, Sell volume: 47.60, Average price: 0.6265, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9760
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9875
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0125
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9875
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0125
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9870
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0130
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9875
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0125
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9875
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0125
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9870
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0130
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9820
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0180
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9780
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0220
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9830
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0170
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9830
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0170
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.8745
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.1255
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.8810
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.1190
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.8770
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.1230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 240.78, Sell volume: 505.00, Average price: 0.7359, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.8770
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.1230
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.8840
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.1160
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9000
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.1000
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9000
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.1000
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.8990
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.1010
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9485
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0515
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9570
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0430
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9580
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0420
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9600
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0400
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9605
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0395
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9745
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0255
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9755
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0245
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9755
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 181.51, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9979, Price range: 0.9979 - 0.9979
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547794
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 2321.999861
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.6635
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.3365
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.6645
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.3355
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.6555
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.3445
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.6645
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.3355
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.6645
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.3355
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.6650
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.3350
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.6650
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.3350
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.6650
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.3350
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.6650
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.3350
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 192.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9847, Price range: 0.9698 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.7550
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.2450
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.7550
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.7000
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.3000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.1000
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.7000
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.3000
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.8000
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.2000
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.8000
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.2000
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9650
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0350
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9650
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0350
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9650
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0350
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9650
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0350
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9650
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0350
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9650
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 6472.82, Sell volume: 84.04, Average price: 0.6578, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9650
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0350
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.8050
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.1950
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.8000
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.2000
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.8005
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.1995
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.8005
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.1995
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.8005
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.1995
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.8005
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.1995
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.8005
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.1995
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.8205
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.1795
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.8205
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.1795
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.8205
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.1795
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.8205
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.1795
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.8205
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.1795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 6472.82, Sell volume: 84.04, Average price: 0.6578, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.8205
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.1795
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.8205
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.1795
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.8205
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.1795
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.8155
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.1845
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.8900
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.1100
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.8895
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.1105
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.8895
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.1105
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.8895
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.1105
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9345
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0655
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9345
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0655
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9345
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0655
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0475
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 6472.82, Sell volume: 84.04, Average price: 0.6578, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0475
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9520
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0480
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0475
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0475
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0475
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0475
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0475
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0475
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0475
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9520
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0480
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9625
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0375
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0375
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 6472.82, Sell volume: 84.04, Average price: 0.6578, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0375
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0375
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0375
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9670
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9670
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9670
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9665
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0335
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9680
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0320
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9680
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0320
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9680
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.9790 - 0.9790

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9655
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0345
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9660
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0340
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9660
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9660
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9665
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0335
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9660
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9660
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 27.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5120, Price range: 0.0450 - 0.9790

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9660
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9640
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0360
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9660
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9660
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9660
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9670
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0330
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9670
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0330
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9670
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0330
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9670
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0330
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9670
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0330
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9645
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0355
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9670
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0330
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9655
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 6472.82, Sell volume: 84.04, Average price: 0.6578, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9665
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0335
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9665
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0335
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9670
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0330
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9645
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0355
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9650
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0350
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9645
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0355
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9645
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0355
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0355
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9660
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0340
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9655
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0345
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9660
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 6472.82, Sell volume: 84.04, Average price: 0.6578, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9660
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0340
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9640
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0360
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9640
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0360
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9640
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0360
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9635
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0365
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9655
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0345
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9295
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0705
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9175
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2163.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0647, Price range: 0.0647 - 0.0647

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9245
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0755
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9215
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0785
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9440
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0560
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9220
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0780
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9215
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0785
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9215
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0785
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9200
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0800
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9605
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0395
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9610
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0390
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9670
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0330
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9640
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0360
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9595
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0405
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9625
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 249.22, Sell volume: 22.22, Average price: 0.6461, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9794

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9620
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0380
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9620
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0380
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9655
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0345
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9685
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0315
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9685
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0315
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9675
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0325
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9685
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0315
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9690
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0310
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9685
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0315
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9675
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0325
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9630
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0370
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9545
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0455
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9590
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 431.30, Sell volume: 40.99, Average price: 0.5723, Price range: 0.0480 - 0.9810

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9525
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0475
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9600
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0400
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9610
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0390
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9610
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0390
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9610
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0390
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9595
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0405
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9600
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0400
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9600
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0400
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9640
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0360
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9630
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0370
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9730
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0270
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9795
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0205
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9780
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3190.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7479, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9775
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9775
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9775
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9775
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9780
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0220
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9775
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9775
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9780
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0220
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9770
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0230
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9910
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0090
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9910
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0090
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9910
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0090
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 190.17, Sell volume: 20.83, Average price: 0.7492, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.7550
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.2450
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.7550
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.7000
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.3000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.1000
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.7000
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.3000
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.8000
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.2000
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.8000
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.2000
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9650
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0350
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9650
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0350
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9650
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0350
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9650
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0350
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9650
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0350
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9650
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 6472.82, Sell volume: 84.04, Average price: 0.6578, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9650
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0350
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.8050
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.1950
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.8000
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.2000
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.8005
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.1995
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.8005
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.1995
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.8005
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.1995
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.8005
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.1995
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.8005
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.1995
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.8205
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.1795
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.8205
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.1795
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.8205
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.1795
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.8205
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.1795
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.8205
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.1795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 6472.82, Sell volume: 84.04, Average price: 0.6578, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.8205
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.1795
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.8205
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.1795
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.8205
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.1795
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.8155
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.1845
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.8900
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.1100
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.8895
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.1105
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.8895
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.1105
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.8895
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.1105
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9345
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0655
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9345
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0655
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9345
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0655
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0475
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 6472.82, Sell volume: 84.04, Average price: 0.6578, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0475
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9520
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0480
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0475
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0475
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0475
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0475
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0475
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0475
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0475
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9520
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0480
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9625
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0375
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0375
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 6472.82, Sell volume: 84.04, Average price: 0.6578, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0375
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0375
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0375
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9670
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9670
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9670
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9665
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0335
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9680
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0320
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9680
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0320
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9680
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.9790 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9655
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0345
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9660
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0340
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9660
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9660
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9665
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0335
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9660
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9660
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 27.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5120, Price range: 0.0450 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9660
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9640
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0360
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9660
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9660
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9660
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9670
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0330
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9670
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0330
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9670
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0330
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9670
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0330
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9670
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0330
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9645
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0355
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9670
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0330
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9655
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 6472.82, Sell volume: 84.04, Average price: 0.6578, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9665
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0335
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9665
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0335
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9670
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0330
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9645
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0355
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9650
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0350
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9645
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0355
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9645
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0355
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0355
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9660
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0340
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9655
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0345
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9660
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 6472.82, Sell volume: 84.04, Average price: 0.6578, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9660
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0340
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9640
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0360
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9640
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0360
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9640
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0360
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9635
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0365
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9655
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0345
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9295
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0705
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9175
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2163.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0647, Price range: 0.0647 - 0.0647
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9245
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0755
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9215
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0785
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9440
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0560
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9220
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0780
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9215
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0785
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9215
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0785
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9200
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0800
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9605
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0395
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9610
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0390
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9670
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0330
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9640
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0360
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9595
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0405
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9625
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 249.22, Sell volume: 22.22, Average price: 0.6461, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9794
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9620
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0380
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9620
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0380
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9655
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0345
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9685
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0315
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9685
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0315
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9675
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0325
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9685
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0315
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9690
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0310
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9685
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0315
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9675
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0325
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9630
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0370
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9545
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0455
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9590
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 431.30, Sell volume: 40.99, Average price: 0.5723, Price range: 0.0480 - 0.9810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9525
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0475
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9600
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0400
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9610
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0390
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9610
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0390
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9610
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0390
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9595
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0405
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9600
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0400
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9600
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0400
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9640
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0360
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9630
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0370
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9730
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0270
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9795
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0205
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9780
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3190.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7479, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547795
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeonggi Province (경기도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6556.861073
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9775
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9775
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9775
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9775
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9780
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0220
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9775
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9775
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9780
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0220
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9770
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0230
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9910
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0090
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9910
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0090
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9910
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0090
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 190.17, Sell volume: 20.83, Average price: 0.7492, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4050
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.5950
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.4050
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.3750
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.3840, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.4200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.6200
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.6200
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.6200
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.6200
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.3750
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 10828.64, Sell volume: 946.25, Average price: 0.5582, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.6200
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.6900
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.3100
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1532.20, Sell volume: 800.92, Average price: 0.5173, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7353.54, Sell volume: 105.33, Average price: 0.6055, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7353.54, Sell volume: 105.33, Average price: 0.6055, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7353.54, Sell volume: 105.33, Average price: 0.6055, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7353.54, Sell volume: 105.33, Average price: 0.6055, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7353.54, Sell volume: 105.33, Average price: 0.6055, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7353.54, Sell volume: 105.33, Average price: 0.6055, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7353.54, Sell volume: 105.33, Average price: 0.6055, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7353.54, Sell volume: 105.33, Average price: 0.6055, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7353.54, Sell volume: 105.33, Average price: 0.6055, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7353.54, Sell volume: 105.33, Average price: 0.6055, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4050
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.5950
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.4050
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.3750
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.3840, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.4200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.6200
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.6200
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.6200
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.6200
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.3750
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 10828.64, Sell volume: 946.25, Average price: 0.5582, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.6200
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.6900
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.3100
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1532.20, Sell volume: 800.92, Average price: 0.5173, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7353.54, Sell volume: 105.33, Average price: 0.6055, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7353.54, Sell volume: 105.33, Average price: 0.6055, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7353.54, Sell volume: 105.33, Average price: 0.6055, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7353.54, Sell volume: 105.33, Average price: 0.6055, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7353.54, Sell volume: 105.33, Average price: 0.6055, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7353.54, Sell volume: 105.33, Average price: 0.6055, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7353.54, Sell volume: 105.33, Average price: 0.6055, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7353.54, Sell volume: 105.33, Average price: 0.6055, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7353.54, Sell volume: 105.33, Average price: 0.6055, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677424
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 11774.885318
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7353.54, Sell volume: 105.33, Average price: 0.6055, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547796
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gangwon State (강원특별자치도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30302.903737
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.2650
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.7350
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.5050
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.4950
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.4750
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5250
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.8750
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.1250
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.4750
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.5250
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 140.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2929, Price range: 0.2929 - 0.2929

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547796
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gangwon State (강원특별자치도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30302.903737
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.5400
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.4600
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.5400
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.4600
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.5400
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.4600
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.5350
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.4650
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.5400
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.4600
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.5400
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.4600
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.5400
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.4600
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.5400
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.4600
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.4750
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.5250
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.4750
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.5250
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.4750
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.5250
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.4750
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.5250
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.4750
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 55.45, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.5500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547796
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gangwon State (강원특별자치도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30302.903737
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.6750
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.3250
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.6750
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.3250
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.5050
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.4950
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.5050
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.4950
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.5050
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.4950
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.4550
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.5450
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.4950
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.5050
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.4050
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.5950
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.4100
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.5900
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.4450
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.5550
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.4300
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.5700
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.4700
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.5300
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.4850
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 629.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6980, Price range: 0.5500 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547796
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gangwon State (강원특별자치도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30302.903737
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.5150
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.4850
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.5300
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.4700
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.5450
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.4550
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.5600
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.4400
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.5800
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.4200
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.5400
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.4600
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.5250
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.4750
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.5300
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.4700
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.5200
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.4800
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.5300
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.4700
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.4500
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1121.00, Sell volume: 821.00, Average price: 0.5160, Price range: 0.1655 - 0.8860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547796
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gangwon State (강원특별자치도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30302.903737
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.4450
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.5550
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.4450
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.5550
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.4700
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.5300
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.4700
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.5300
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.4800
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.5200
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.4950
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.5050
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.4600
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.5400
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.6000
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.4000
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.3750
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.6250
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.3950
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.6050
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.4200
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 506.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5731, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.6705

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547796
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gangwon State (강원특별자치도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30302.903737
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.4100
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.5900
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.4100
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.5900
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.4150
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.5850
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.3650
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.6350
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.3800
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.4000
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.6000
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.3750
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.6250
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.3800
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.3750
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.6250
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.3500
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.6500
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.3550
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.6450
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.4400
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.5600
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.4400
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 201.00, Sell volume: 140.99, Average price: 0.5467, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547796
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gangwon State (강원특별자치도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30302.903737
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.4400
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.5600
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.4400
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.5600
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.3900
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.6100
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.4350
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.5650
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.4550
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.5450
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.4350
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.5650
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.4250
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.5750
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.4250
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.5750
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.4600
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.5400
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.4600
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.5400
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.4650
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.5350
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.4600
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.5400
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.4600
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547796
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gangwon State (강원특별자치도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30302.903737
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.3250
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.6750
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.3650
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.6350
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.3850
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.6150
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.4200
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.5800
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.4200
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.5800
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.4400
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.5600
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.4100
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.5900
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.4100
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.5900
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.4200
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.5800
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.6200
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.3800
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.6350
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.3650
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.5850
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.4150
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.5850
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 130.74, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4946, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5180

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547796
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gangwon State (강원특별자치도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30302.903737
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.5950
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.4050
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.5850
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.4150
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.5950
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.4050
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.5900
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.4100
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.5900
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.4100
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.5950
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.4050
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.6050
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.3950
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.5900
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.4100
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.6050
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.3950
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.5850
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.4150
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.5950
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.4050
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.5800
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.4200
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.5950
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 90.00, Sell volume: 180.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547796
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gangwon State (강원특별자치도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30302.903737
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.5800
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.4200
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.5850
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.4150
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.5850
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.4150
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.5800
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.4200
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.5700
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.4300
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.5850
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.4150
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.5750
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.4250
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.5150
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.4850
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.5200
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.4800
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.4500
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.5500
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.4400
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.5600
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.4400
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.5600
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.4000
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 757.61, Sell volume: 210.26, Average price: 0.5059, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5294

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547796
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gangwon State (강원특별자치도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30302.903737
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.3800
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.6200
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.4950
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.5050
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.4850
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.5150
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.5100
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.4900
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.4200
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.5800
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.3950
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.6050
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.3800
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.6200
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.4050
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.5950
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.3450
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.6550
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.3450
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.6550
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.3150
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.6850
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.5050
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.4950
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.5850
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 492.98, Sell volume: 61.06, Average price: 0.5330, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.7088

Output: Yes