Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0340
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.9660
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0340
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.9655
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.0340
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.9655
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.0345
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.9655
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.0345
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.9655
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.0345
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.9655
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.0345
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9655
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.0340
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.9660
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.0340
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.9660
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0340
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.9660
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.0340
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9660
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.0340
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.9660
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.0340
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.9660
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.0340
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.9660
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.0340
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.0340
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.9660
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0340
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.9645
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.0355
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.9625
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.0375
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9625
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.0375
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.9625
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0375
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.9630
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.0245
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.9775
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0225
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.9770
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.0225
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.9775
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.0175
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.9855
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.0145
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.9860
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0130
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.9895
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0120
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0110
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9890
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0110
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.0110
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9885
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0110
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0125
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.9890
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0175
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9840
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0160
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9805
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9875
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0175
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9810
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0185
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9825
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0190
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9870
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0130
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9865
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9865
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0130
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9875
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0125
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9875
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0155
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9840
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0170
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.9760
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0140
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.9855
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.0115
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.9815
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.0200
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.9855
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.0115
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.9760
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.0155
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.9855
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0115
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.9885
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.0105
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.9895
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0115
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.9885
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0115
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.9885
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.0115
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9885
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.0115
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9885
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0110
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9890
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0095
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0095
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9910
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0155
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9845
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0155
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9845
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0140
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9840
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0225
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9795
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9765
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0235
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.9770
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0230
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9770
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0230
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9770
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0225
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.9785
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0215
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.9780
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0215
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.9775
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0225
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.9770
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0230
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.9775
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0185
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0205
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9755
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0330
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.9670
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0345
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9655
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0345
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.9655
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0345
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9640
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0350
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9650
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0350
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9670
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0345
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.9650
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.0350
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.9640
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.0365
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.9640
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.0360
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.9635
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0360
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.9630
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.0370
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9775
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0240
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.9775
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0230
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0230
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.9770
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0225
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.9735
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0250
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.9765
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0190
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.9815
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.0195
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.9785
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0215
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9790
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0225
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.9770
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0235
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.9755
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0215
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9805
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0235
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.9805
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0215
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9805
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0190
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9795
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0200
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.9795
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0210
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.9795
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.0205
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0200
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.9775
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.0235
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.9765
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.0245
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.9745
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.0195
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.9835
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0165
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.9845
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.0135
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.9840
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.0155
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.9815
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0110
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.9875
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.0155
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.9845
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.0145
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.9855
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.0135
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.9865
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.0145
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.9850
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0140
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.9840
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.0185
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.0185
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0185
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0185
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.9835
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9820
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9820
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0180
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0165
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9835
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0175
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.9825
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.0175
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.0185
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.9815
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.9815
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.9815
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.0180
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.0180
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.0180
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.9815
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.9815
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.9815
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.9815
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9815
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.9810
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.9815
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0175
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0175
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0175
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9840
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9835
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9835
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0170
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0170
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0160
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9835
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0160
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0160
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0165
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9870
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0125
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9880
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9890
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0120
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9890
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0120
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9885
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0115
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0125
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0105
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0105
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0110
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9895
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9895
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0060
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9920
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9925
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0065
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9920
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0055
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9940
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0060
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9935
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0055
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.0065
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0065
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9930
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9930
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0075
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9915
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9920
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9925
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9930
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0040
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9965
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9955
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0090
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.0040
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9945
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9960
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0090
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0035
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9550
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9550
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0350
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9650
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0315
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9685
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 609518326.83, Sell volume: 651428924.67, Average price: 0.6280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9585
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0435
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9565
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0350
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9650
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0280
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9720
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0335
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9665
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0365
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9635
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0375
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 609518326.83, Sell volume: 651428924.67, Average price: 0.6280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0405
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9595
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0395
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9605
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0395
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9605
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0400
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9600
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0395
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9605
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0430
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9570
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 609518326.83, Sell volume: 651428924.67, Average price: 0.6280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9575
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0405
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9595
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0400
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9600
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9610
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0425
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9575
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0415
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9585
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0420
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 609518326.83, Sell volume: 651428924.67, Average price: 0.6280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0405
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9595
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0810
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9190
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0605
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9395
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.1330
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.8670
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.1490
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.8510
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.1795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 609518326.83, Sell volume: 651428924.67, Average price: 0.6280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.8205
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.2090
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.7910
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.1650
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.8350
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.1905
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.8095
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.1925
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.8075
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.2475
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.7525
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.1920
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.8080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 609518326.83, Sell volume: 651428924.67, Average price: 0.6280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.1280
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.8720
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.1545
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.8455
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.1500
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.8500
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.1560
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.8440
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.1800
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.8200
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.1465
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.8535
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.1680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 609518326.83, Sell volume: 651428924.67, Average price: 0.6280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.8320
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.1495
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.8505
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.1655
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.8345
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.1455
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.8545
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.1300
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.1155
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.8845
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.1085
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.8915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 609518326.83, Sell volume: 651428924.67, Average price: 0.6280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0755
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9245
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0795
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9205
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0615
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9385
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0915
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9085
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0920
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9080
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0965
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9035
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 609518326.83, Sell volume: 651428924.67, Average price: 0.6280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9070
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.1260
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.8740
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.1440
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.8560
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.1340
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.8660
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.1300
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.1410
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.8590
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.1170
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.8830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 609518326.83, Sell volume: 651428924.67, Average price: 0.6280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.1150
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.8850
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.1230
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.8770
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.1020
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.8980
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.1255
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.8745
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.1225
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.8775
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0960
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9040
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 609518326.83, Sell volume: 651428924.67, Average price: 0.6280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9580
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0275
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9725
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0205
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9795
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0185
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9815
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0440
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9560
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0405
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9595
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 771228, Buy volume: 399698743.45, Sell volume: 535617226.62, Average price: 0.6233, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0140
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9860
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0045
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 835, Buy volume: 756515.99, Sell volume: 1895014.56, Average price: 0.6444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9550
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9550
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0350
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9650
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0315
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9685
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 609518326.83, Sell volume: 651428924.67, Average price: 0.6280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9585
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0435
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9565
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0350
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9650
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0280
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9720
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0335
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9665
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0365
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9635
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0375
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 609518326.83, Sell volume: 651428924.67, Average price: 0.6280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0405
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9595
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0395
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9605
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0395
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9605
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0400
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9600
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0395
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9605
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0430
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9570
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 609518326.83, Sell volume: 651428924.67, Average price: 0.6280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9575
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0405
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9595
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0400
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9600
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9610
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0425
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9575
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0415
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9585
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0420
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 609518326.83, Sell volume: 651428924.67, Average price: 0.6280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0405
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9595
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0810
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9190
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0605
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9395
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.1330
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.8670
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.1490
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.8510
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.1795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 609518326.83, Sell volume: 651428924.67, Average price: 0.6280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.8205
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.2090
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.7910
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.1650
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.8350
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.1905
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.8095
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.1925
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.8075
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.2475
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.7525
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.1920
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.8080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 609518326.83, Sell volume: 651428924.67, Average price: 0.6280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.1280
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.8720
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.1545
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.8455
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.1500
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.8500
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.1560
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.8440
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.1800
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.8200
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.1465
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.8535
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.1680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 609518326.83, Sell volume: 651428924.67, Average price: 0.6280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.8320
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.1495
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.8505
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.1655
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.8345
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.1455
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.8545
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.1300
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.1155
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.8845
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.1085
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.8915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 609518326.83, Sell volume: 651428924.67, Average price: 0.6280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0755
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9245
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0795
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9205
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0615
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9385
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0915
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9085
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0920
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9080
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0965
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9035
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 609518326.83, Sell volume: 651428924.67, Average price: 0.6280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9070
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.1260
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.8740
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.1440
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.8560
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.1340
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.8660
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.1300
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.1410
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.8590
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.1170
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.8830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 609518326.83, Sell volume: 651428924.67, Average price: 0.6280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.1150
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.8850
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.1230
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.8770
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.1020
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.8980
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.1255
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.8745
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.1225
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.8775
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0960
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9040
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 609518326.83, Sell volume: 651428924.67, Average price: 0.6280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9580
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0275
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9725
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0205
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9795
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0185
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9815
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0440
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9560
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0405
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9595
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 771228, Buy volume: 399698743.45, Sell volume: 535617226.62, Average price: 0.6233, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 650380
Question: Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 13431462.485535
Price History:
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0140
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9860
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0045
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 835, Buy volume: 756515.99, Sell volume: 1895014.56, Average price: 0.6444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0600
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 416.37, Sell volume: 458.40, Average price: 0.5043, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1201.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 181.74, Sell volume: 125.00, Average price: 0.6200, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 6.72, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 22.81, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 2046.92, Sell volume: 822.93, Average price: 0.5281, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 2046.92, Sell volume: 822.93, Average price: 0.5281, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 22.81, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0600
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9400
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 416.37, Sell volume: 458.40, Average price: 0.5043, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1201.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 181.74, Sell volume: 125.00, Average price: 0.6200, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 6.72, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 22.81, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 2046.92, Sell volume: 822.93, Average price: 0.5281, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 2046.92, Sell volume: 822.93, Average price: 0.5281, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 22.81, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 634891
Question: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2869.846009
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634892
Question: Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7299.82507
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.3500
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.6500
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.3500
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.3500
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.3650
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.3700
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.1250
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.1350
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.1350
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.8650
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.1450
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.8550
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.8600
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.8700
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.1250
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.8700
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.1300
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.1300
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.8700
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.1300
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.1300
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.1300
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.1300
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.1300
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.8700
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.8700
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1238.01, Sell volume: 41.16, Average price: 0.5740, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634892
Question: Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7299.82507
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.1300
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.1350
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.8650
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.8650
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.8650
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.1350
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.1350
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1350
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.8650
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.1350
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.8650
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.8650
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.1350
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.1450
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.8550
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.8550
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.8550
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.8550
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.8550
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.8550
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.8550
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.8550
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.8550
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.8550
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1357.93, Sell volume: 338.16, Average price: 0.6794, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8655

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634892
Question: Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7299.82507
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.8650
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.8750
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.8750
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.8700
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.8700
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.8700
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.8700
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.8700
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.8700
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.8700
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.8700
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.8700
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.1300
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.1300
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.1300
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.1300
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.1300
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.1300
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.1300
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.1300
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.1300
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.8700
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.8700
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.8700
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.8700
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.8700
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.1300
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.8700
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 185.56, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.6900, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634892
Question: Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7299.82507
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.8700
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.8700
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.8700
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.8700
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.8700
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.8700
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.8700
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.8700
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.8700
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.8700
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.8700
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.8700
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.1300
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.8700
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.8700
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.8700
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.8700
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.8700
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.8700
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.8700
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.8700
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.8700
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 42.86, Sell volume: 4.34, Average price: 0.5720, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634892
Question: Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7299.82507
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.8700
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.1300
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.1300
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.1300
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.8700
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.1300
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.1300
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8800, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634892
Question: Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7299.82507
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.5650
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.6750
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.6650
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.7550
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.4650
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.6950
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.5850
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.7600
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.6900
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.5600
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.5450
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.5800
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.6100
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.6150
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.6700
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.7200
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.7600
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.7700
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.7500
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.7200
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.7350
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.5050
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.5600
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.5600
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5700
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.5700
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.5700
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.3950
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.5800
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.6300
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.7200
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.5400
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.5350
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.6200
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2111.23, Sell volume: 696.93, Average price: 0.3793, Price range: 0.1451 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634892
Question: Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7299.82507
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.1950
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.2150
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.2300
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.2050
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.2300
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.2400
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.2700
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.3200
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.2400
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.2150
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.2150
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.2050
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.2150
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.1900
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.1750
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.1750
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.1750
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.1750
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.1750
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.2100
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.1700
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.1750
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.1750
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.1750
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1750
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.4250
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.2400
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.2100
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.2600
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.2500
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.2700
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.2200
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.2000
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.2000
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.2050
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.2000
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.1950
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.2000
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.2000
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1.79, Sell volume: 243.99, Average price: 0.7250, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634892
Question: Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7299.82507
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8150
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.8150
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.8150
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.8150
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.8150
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.8150
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.8100
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8100
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.8100
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.8100
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.8100
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8100
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 294.90, Average price: 0.8050, Price range: 0.8000 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634892
Question: Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7299.82507
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.1850
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.1850
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.1850
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 115.00, Sell volume: 156.06, Average price: 0.5075, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634892
Question: Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7299.82507
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.8150
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8150
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.8150
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.8150
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8150
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8150
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.8150
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8150
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.8150
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.1850
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 5369.78, Sell volume: 1930.05, Average price: 0.5808, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634892
Question: Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7299.82507
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.1850
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.1850
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.1850
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.1850
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.1850
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.1850
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.1850
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.1850
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.1850
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.8150
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.1850
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.8150
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 112.41, Sell volume: 23.15, Average price: 0.8200, Price range: 0.8000 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634892
Question: Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7299.82507
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.8200
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.8200
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.8200
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.8200
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.8200
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.8200
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 5369.78, Sell volume: 1930.05, Average price: 0.5808, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 634892
Question: Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7299.82507
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.1850
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.1850
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.1850
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.1850
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 120.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 634892
Question: Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 7299.82507
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.6500
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.3500
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.3700
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.1350
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.1450
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.8600
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.1250
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.1300
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.1300
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.1300
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.8700
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.1300
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.1300
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.1300
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1238.01, Sell volume: 41.16, Average price: 0.5740, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 634892
Question: Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 7299.82507
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.1350
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.8650
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.1350
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.1350
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.1350
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.8650
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.1450
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.8550
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.8550
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.8550
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.8550
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.8550
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.1200
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.1350
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.8650
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.8650
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1357.93, Sell volume: 338.16, Average price: 0.6794, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8655
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 634892
Question: Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 7299.82507
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.8650
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.8750
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.8700
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.8700
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.8700
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.8700
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.1300
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.1300
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.1300
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.1300
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.1300
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.8700
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.8700
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.8700
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.1300
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.8700
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.1300
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.1300
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 185.56, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.6900, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 634892
Question: Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 7299.82507
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.8700
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.8700
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.8700
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.8700
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.8700
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.8700
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.1300
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.8700
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.8700
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.8700
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.8700
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.8700
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.8700
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.8700
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.8700
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 42.86, Sell volume: 4.34, Average price: 0.5720, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 634892
Question: Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 7299.82507
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.1300
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.1300
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.8700
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.1300
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.1300
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.1300
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.1300
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.1300
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8800, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 634892
Question: Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 7299.82507
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.6750
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.4650
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.5850
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.6900
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.5450
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.6100
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.6700
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.7600
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.7500
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.7350
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.5600
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.5700
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.3950
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.6300
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.5400
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.6200
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.6500
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.7450
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.7200
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2111.23, Sell volume: 696.93, Average price: 0.3793, Price range: 0.1451 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 634892
Question: Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 7299.82507
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.1950
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.2300
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.2400
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.2700
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.2400
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.2150
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.2150
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.1750
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.1750
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.1750
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.1700
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.1750
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1750
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.2400
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.2600
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.2700
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.2000
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.2000
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.2000
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1850
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.2050
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1.79, Sell volume: 243.99, Average price: 0.7250, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 634892
Question: Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 7299.82507
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8150
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.8150
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.8150
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.8150
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.8150
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8100
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.8100
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8100
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8100
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.8100
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.8100
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.8100
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 294.90, Average price: 0.8050, Price range: 0.8000 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 634892
Question: Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 7299.82507
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.1850
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.8150
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.1850
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.1850
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 115.00, Sell volume: 156.06, Average price: 0.5075, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 634892
Question: Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 7299.82507
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8150
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.8150
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8150
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8150
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 5369.78, Sell volume: 1930.05, Average price: 0.5808, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes