Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.7450
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.8550
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.1450
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.8400
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.8350
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.1650
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.8350
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 224.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2499, Price range: 0.2495 - 0.2500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.8400
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.8300
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.1700
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.7950
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.2050
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.7950
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.2050
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.7900
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 127.05, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6638, Price range: 0.2353 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.8050
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.1950
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 4076.39, Sell volume: 634.64, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 4071.58, Sell volume: 755.58, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 4071.58, Sell volume: 755.58, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 4071.58, Sell volume: 755.58, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 4071.58, Sell volume: 755.58, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 4071.58, Sell volume: 755.58, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 4071.58, Sell volume: 755.58, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 4071.58, Sell volume: 755.58, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 4071.58, Sell volume: 755.58, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 4071.58, Sell volume: 755.58, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.4000
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.6000
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.6750
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.3250
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.6750
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.3250
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.6750
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.3250
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.6550
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.6050
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.3950
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.6050
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.3950
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.4900
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.5100
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.4900
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.5100
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.4900
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6900, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.4850
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.5150
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.4800
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.5200
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.4600
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.5400
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.4750
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.5250
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.4750
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 36.76, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6800, Price range: 0.6800 - 0.6800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3000
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7000
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 17.95, Sell volume: 5.97, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3000
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7000
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 17.95, Sell volume: 5.97, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3000
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7000
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 17.95, Sell volume: 5.97, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3000
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7000
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 17.95, Sell volume: 5.97, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3000
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7000
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 17.95, Sell volume: 5.97, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3000
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7000
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 17.95, Sell volume: 5.97, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3000
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7000
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 17.95, Sell volume: 5.97, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3000
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7000
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 17.95, Sell volume: 5.97, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3000
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7000
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 17.95, Sell volume: 5.97, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3000
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7000
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 17.95, Sell volume: 5.97, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.4000
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.6000
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.6750
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.3250
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.6750
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.3250
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.6750
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.3250
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.6550
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.6050
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.3950
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.6050
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.3950
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.4900
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.5100
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.4900
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.5100
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.4900
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6900, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.4850
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.5150
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.4800
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.5200
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.4600
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.5400
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.4750
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.5250
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.4750
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 36.76, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6800, Price range: 0.6800 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3000
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7000
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 17.95, Sell volume: 5.97, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3000
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7000
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 17.95, Sell volume: 5.97, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3000
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7000
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 17.95, Sell volume: 5.97, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3000
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7000
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 17.95, Sell volume: 5.97, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3000
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7000
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 17.95, Sell volume: 5.97, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3000
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7000
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 17.95, Sell volume: 5.97, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3000
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7000
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 17.95, Sell volume: 5.97, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3000
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7000
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 17.95, Sell volume: 5.97, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3000
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7000
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 17.95, Sell volume: 5.97, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535976
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 86.663607
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3000
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7000
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 17.95, Sell volume: 5.97, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.5250
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.4750
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.3750
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.6250
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.3500
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.6500
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.5200
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.4800
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.3650
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 31.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5350, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.4400
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.5600
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.3650
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.6350
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 31.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5350, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.2700
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.7300
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0950
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.9050
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.1100
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.8900
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.2900
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.7100
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.2900
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1200, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.1200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.5250
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.4750
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.3750
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.6250
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.3500
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.6500
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.5200
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.4800
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.3650
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 31.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5350, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.4400
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.5600
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.3650
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.6350
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 31.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5350, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.2700
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.7300
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0950
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.9050
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.1100
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.8900
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.2900
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.7100
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.2900
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1200, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.1200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535977
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 31.05262
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0265
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9735
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0170
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9830
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9955
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0030
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9970
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0030
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9970
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0030
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9970
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0095
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9905
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0160
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9840
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0090
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9910
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 28109819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0090
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9910
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9925
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9925
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9915
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0085
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9915
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0120
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9880
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0140
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9860
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0140
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9860
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0140
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9860
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9910
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9885
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0100
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9900
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0085
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9915
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0085
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9915
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0085
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9915
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0085
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9915
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9920
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0075
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9925
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 28109819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9925
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9930
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9930
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9935
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9935
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0075
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9925
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 28109819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9940
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9940
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0095
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9905
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9900
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0100
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9900
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0100
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9900
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 28109819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9920
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0115
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9885
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 28109819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0090
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9910
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0090
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9910
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0090
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9910
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9915
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9895
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0110
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9890
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9915
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 28109819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 28109819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0105
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9895
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0145
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9855
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0150
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9850
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0120
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9880
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9920
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0075
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9925
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0085
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9915
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0205
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9795
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0300
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9700
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0220
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9780
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0205
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9795
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0205
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9795
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0220
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9780
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0265
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9735
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0280
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0295
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9705
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0415
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9585
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0290
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9710
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0280
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 28109819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9780
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9785
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9785
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0235
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9765
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0235
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9765
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0235
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9765
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0235
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9765
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0235
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9765
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9780
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9785
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9780
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0235
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9765
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0240
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9760
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0235
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9765
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9790
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9790
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9790
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9790
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0170
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9830
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0170
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9830
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0165
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9835
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0165
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9835
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0150
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0140
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9860
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0140
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 28109819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9825
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0160
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9840
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0160
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9840
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0155
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9845
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0155
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9845
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0155
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9845
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0155
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9845
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0155
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9845
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0155
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9845
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0150
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0155
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9845
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0150
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0150
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0145
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9855
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0150
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0165
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0135
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9865
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 28109819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0155
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9845
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0150
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0155
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9845
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0150
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0150
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9850
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0145
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9855
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0170
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9830
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0185
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9815
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0185
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9815
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0185
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9815
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0185
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9815
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0185
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9815
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9790
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0215
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9785
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0225
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9775
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0200
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9800
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0200
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9800
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0200
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9800
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0195
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9805
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0235
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9765
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0265
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9735
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0340
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 28109819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9810
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0185
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9815
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0220
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9780
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0235
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9765
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0160
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9840
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0180
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9820
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0185
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9815
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0275
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9725
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0300
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9700
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0150
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9850
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0145
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9855
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0145
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9855
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0170
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9830
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0170
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9830
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0210
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9790
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0175
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9825
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0175
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9825
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0205
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9795
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0195
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9805
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0185
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9815
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0170
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9830
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0155
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9845
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0160
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9840
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 28109819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0170
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9830
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0205
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9795
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0165
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9835
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0185
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9815
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0205
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9795
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0165
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9835
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0140
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9860
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9840
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0135
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9865
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0170
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9830
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0150
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9850
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0165
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9835
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0170
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9830
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0140
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9860
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0135
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9865
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0145
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9855
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0150
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9850
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9870
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0125
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9875
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9870
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9870
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0135
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9865
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0140
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9860
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0120
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9880
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999999, Buy volume: 28108819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.6250
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.3750
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.6750
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.3250
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.6750
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.3250
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.6650
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.3350
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.6650
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.6750
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.3250
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.6700
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.3300
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.5700
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.4300
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.5700
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.4300
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.5700
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.2100, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.2100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.5700
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.4300
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.5900
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.4100
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.5900
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.4100
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.4500
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.5550
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.4000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.5550
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.4450
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 9.21, Sell volume: 5.79, Average price: 0.5300, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.21, Sell volume: 11.58, Average price: 0.6472, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.21, Sell volume: 11.58, Average price: 0.6472, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.21, Sell volume: 11.58, Average price: 0.6472, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.21, Sell volume: 11.58, Average price: 0.6472, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.21, Sell volume: 11.58, Average price: 0.6472, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.21, Sell volume: 11.58, Average price: 0.6472, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.21, Sell volume: 11.58, Average price: 0.6472, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.21, Sell volume: 11.58, Average price: 0.6472, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.21, Sell volume: 11.58, Average price: 0.6472, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.6250
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.3750
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.6750
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.3250
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.6750
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.3250
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.6650
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.3350
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.6650
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.6750
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.3250
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.6700
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.3300
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.5700
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.4300
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.5700
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.4300
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.5700
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.2100, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.2100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.5700
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.4300
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.5900
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.4100
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.5900
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.4100
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.4500
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.5550
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.4000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.5550
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.4450
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 9.21, Sell volume: 5.79, Average price: 0.5300, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.21, Sell volume: 11.58, Average price: 0.6472, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.21, Sell volume: 11.58, Average price: 0.6472, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.21, Sell volume: 11.58, Average price: 0.6472, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.21, Sell volume: 11.58, Average price: 0.6472, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.21, Sell volume: 11.58, Average price: 0.6472, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.21, Sell volume: 11.58, Average price: 0.6472, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.21, Sell volume: 11.58, Average price: 0.6472, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.21, Sell volume: 11.58, Average price: 0.6472, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535978
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 41.5871
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.21, Sell volume: 11.58, Average price: 0.6472, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0265
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0170
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0030
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0030
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0030
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0095
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0160
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0090
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 28109819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9910
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9925
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9925
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9915
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9915
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9880
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9860
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9860
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9860
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9910
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9885
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9900
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9915
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9915
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9915
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9915
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9920
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9925
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9925
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9925
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9925
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 28109819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0075
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 28109819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9940
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9940
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9905
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9900
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9900
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9900
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9895
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9900
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9895
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9915
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 28109819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0115
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0090
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 28109819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9910
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9910
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9910
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9915
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9895
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9890
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9915
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9915
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9915
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9925
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9925
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 28109819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 28109819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9895
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9855
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9850
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9880
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9920
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9925
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9915
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9795
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9700
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9780
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9795
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9795
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9780
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9735
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9705
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9585
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9710
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9735
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9735
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9740
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9765
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 28109819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0235
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0235
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0235
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0235
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0235
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0235
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0240
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0235
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0170
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0170
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0165
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0165
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0140
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0140
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0140
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0135
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0135
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 28109819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9825
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9840
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9840
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9845
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9845
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9845
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9845
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9845
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9845
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9845
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9855
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9865
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9870
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9870
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9870
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9860
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 28109819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0155
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0150
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0155
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0150
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0150
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0145
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0170
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0185
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0185
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0185
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0185
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0185
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0215
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0225
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0200
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0200
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0200
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0195
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0235
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0265
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0340
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0250
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0215
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0270
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0320
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 28109819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9810
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9815
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9780
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9765
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9840
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9820
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9815
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9725
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9700
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9850
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9855
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9855
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9830
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9830
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9790
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9825
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9825
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9795
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9805
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9815
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9830
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9845
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9840
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9840
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9840
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9840
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9850
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 28109819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525011
Question: Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Volume: 907942.885269
Price History:
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0170
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0205
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0165
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0185
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0205
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0165
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0140
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0135
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0170
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0150
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0165
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0170
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0140
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0135
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0145
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0125
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0135
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0140
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0120
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0140
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0140
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999999, Buy volume: 28108819.76, Sell volume: 21109606.41, Average price: 0.7927, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535979
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23.592302
Price History:
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.5500
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.4500
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.5650
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.4350
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.6000
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.4000
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.5950
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.4050
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.6650
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535979
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23.592302
Price History:
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.6800
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.3200
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.6750
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.3250
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.6550
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.3450
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.6550
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.3450
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.6600
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 4.48, Sell volume: 3.06, Average price: 0.6333, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535979
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23.592302
Price History:
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.6550
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.3450
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.6500
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.3500
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.5850
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.4150
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.6650
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.3350
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.7550
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 7.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7500, Price range: 0.7500 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535979
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23.592302
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.7600
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.2400
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.8400
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535979
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23.592302
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.7600
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.2400
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.8400
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000

Output: No