Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607778
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 12-15 million views on day 1?
Volume: 3653.198699
Price History:
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0600
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0600
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0600
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9400
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9400
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.9400
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9400
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9400
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9400
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0600
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9400
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9400
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0600
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9400
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0600
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9400
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9400
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0600
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9400
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9400
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9400
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9400
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0600
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9400
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9400
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9400
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9400
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.9400
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9400
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607778
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 12-15 million views on day 1?
Volume: 3653.198699
Price History:
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0600
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0600
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0600
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9400
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0600
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0600
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0600
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0600
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0600
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0600
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0600
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0600
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0600
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 3392.71, Sell volume: 260.49, Average price: 0.9080, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607778
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 12-15 million views on day 1?
Volume: 3653.198699
Price History:
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9400
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0600
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9400
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0600
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 137.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0727, Price range: 0.0727 - 0.0727
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607778
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 12-15 million views on day 1?
Volume: 3653.198699
Price History:
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9300
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9300
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607778
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 12-15 million views on day 1?
Volume: 3653.198699
Price History:
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.0600
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9400
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0600
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9400
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.9400
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9400
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9400
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 77.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9450, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607778
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 12-15 million views on day 1?
Volume: 3653.198699
Price History:
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9400
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0600
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 3392.71, Sell volume: 260.49, Average price: 0.9080, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607778
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 12-15 million views on day 1?
Volume: 3653.198699
Price History:
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9400
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9400
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0600
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9400
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9400
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9400
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9400
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 3392.71, Sell volume: 260.49, Average price: 0.9080, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607778
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 12-15 million views on day 1?
Volume: 3653.198699
Price History:
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0600
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9400
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0550
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0300
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0310
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0310
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0255
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0190
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0170
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0050
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0040
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3060.11, Sell volume: 260.49, Average price: 0.9882, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.2500
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.7500
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0400
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9600
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9600
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0400
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0400
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9600
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0350
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9650
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9700
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0300
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9700
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0300
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0300
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9700
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0295
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9705
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9705
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0295
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.0295
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9705
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0295
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9705
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0295
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9705
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0250
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9750
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9745
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.0255
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0250
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9750
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.0255
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9745
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0255
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9745
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0255
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9745
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0250
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9750
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0255
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0400, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.0400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.0250
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0250
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.0250
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0250
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.0250
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0250
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0250
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0250
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0250
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0250
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.0250
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0250
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0250
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0250
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0250
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0250
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0250
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9745
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0255
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9745
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0255
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9745
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0255
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0255
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.9745
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0255
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0255
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0255
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2784.84, Sell volume: 72.43, Average price: 0.7104, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0255
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0255
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0255
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0255
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0255
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0255
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0255
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0255
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0255
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0255
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0255
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.9750
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.0250
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9740
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0260
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0255
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9750
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0250
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0260
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9740
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9740
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2784.84, Sell volume: 72.43, Average price: 0.7104, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0260
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9740
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0260
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.9740
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0260
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0260
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9740
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9740
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0260
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9745
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9745
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9745
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9745
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9745
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9745
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9745
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9745
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9745
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9745
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9745
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9745
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9785
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.0215
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9785
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0215
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9785
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.0215
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9785
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0215
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9790
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0210
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2784.84, Sell volume: 72.43, Average price: 0.7104, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2784.84, Sell volume: 72.43, Average price: 0.7104, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0210
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0210
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0210
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0210
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0210
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0210
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0210
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0210
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2784.84, Sell volume: 72.43, Average price: 0.7104, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0210
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0210
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0210
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0210
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0210
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0210
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0210
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0210
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0210
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9790
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9790
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9790
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9790
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9790
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9790
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.9790
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.9790
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9790
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9790
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.9790
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9790
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9790
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9790
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9790
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9790
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2784.84, Sell volume: 72.43, Average price: 0.7104, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.9790
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9790
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0210
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9790
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0210
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9790
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0210
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9790
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0210
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9790
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0210
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9790
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0210
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9790
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0210
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0210
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9790
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9790
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0210
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0210
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9790
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9790
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0210
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9745
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0255
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9745
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0255
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9745
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0255
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9745
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0255
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9745
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0255
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9745
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0255
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.9745
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0255
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0255
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9745
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0255
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9745
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9745
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0255
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9745
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0255
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9745
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0255
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9750
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0250
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 257.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0466, Price range: 0.0466 - 0.0466

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.0250
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.9750
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0250
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9750
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9750
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0250
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9750
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0250
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9730
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0270
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0250
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9750
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9735
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0265
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9730
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0270
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9735
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0265
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9735
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0265
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9750
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0250
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9735
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0265
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0250
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9750
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0265
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9735
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0265
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9735
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9750
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.9735
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0265
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0265
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9735
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0265
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9735
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9735
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0265
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9735
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0265
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9735
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0265
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9735
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0265
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0265
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9735
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0250
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 71.43, Average price: 0.7352, Price range: 0.5280 - 0.9425

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0275
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9720
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0280
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0280
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9720
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9720
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0280
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9720
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0280
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9720
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.0280
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9720
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0280
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9720
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0280
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9720
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0280
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9720
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.0280
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9720
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0280
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.0280
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0280
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0280
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0280
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0280
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0280
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0280
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0275
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9725
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0280
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0280
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0280
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0280
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.0280
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0280
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2784.84, Sell volume: 72.43, Average price: 0.7104, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0280
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0275
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9725
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0280
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9720
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0275
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9725
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.9720
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9720
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9720
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0285
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9715
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9720
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9725
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0275
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9720
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9720
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9720
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9725
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0275
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9720
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9720
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9720
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9720
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9720
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9720
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9720
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9720
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9720
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9720
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2784.84, Sell volume: 72.43, Average price: 0.7104, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9725
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0275
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9725
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0275
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0295
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9705
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0285
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9715
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9705
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0295
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0275
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9725
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0280
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9720
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0275
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9725
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9720
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0280
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0280
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9720
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0280
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9720
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2784.84, Sell volume: 72.43, Average price: 0.7104, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9695
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0305
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9695
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0305
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9695
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0305
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0310
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9690
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9705
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0295
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9700
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0300
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0295
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9705
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9700
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0300
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0300
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9700
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9720
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0280
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9735
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0265
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9740
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0260
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2502.41, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.8710, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.2500
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0400
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9600
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0400
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0350
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9700
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9700
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0300
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0295
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9705
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.0295
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0295
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0295
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0250
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9745
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0250
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.0255
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0255
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0255
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0250
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0255
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0255
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0250
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0255
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0250
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0400, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.0400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0250
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0250
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0250
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.0250
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0250
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0250
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0250
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0255
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0255
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0255
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.9745
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0255
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0255
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0255
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0255
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2784.84, Sell volume: 72.43, Average price: 0.7104, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0255
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0255
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.9750
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9740
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9750
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0260
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9740
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9740
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9740
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2784.84, Sell volume: 72.43, Average price: 0.7104, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0260
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0260
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0260
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9740
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0260
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9745
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.0215
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0215
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.0215
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0215
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0210
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0210
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9790
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0210
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0210
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2784.84, Sell volume: 72.43, Average price: 0.7104, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2784.84, Sell volume: 72.43, Average price: 0.7104, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0210
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0210
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0210
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2784.84, Sell volume: 72.43, Average price: 0.7104, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0210
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0210
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0210
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9790
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0210
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9790
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9790
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2784.84, Sell volume: 72.43, Average price: 0.7104, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.9790
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0210
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0210
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0210
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0210
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0210
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0210
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0210
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9790
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0210
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9790
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0210
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0255
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0255
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0255
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0255
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0255
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0255
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0255
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9745
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9745
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0255
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0255
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0255
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0250
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0250
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0250
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0250
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9750
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 257.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0466, Price range: 0.0466 - 0.0466
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.0250
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0250
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9750
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9750
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9730
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0250
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9735
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9730
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9735
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9735
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9750
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9735
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0250
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0265
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0265
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9750
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.9735
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0265
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0265
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9735
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9735
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9735
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9735
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0265
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0250
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9750
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9750
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0265
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9725
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 71.43, Average price: 0.7352, Price range: 0.5280 - 0.9425
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0275
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0280
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9720
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0280
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0280
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.0280
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0280
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0280
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0280
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.0280
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0280
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0280
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0280
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0280
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9725
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0280
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.0280
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0280
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9720
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2784.84, Sell volume: 72.43, Average price: 0.7104, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0280
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0275
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0275
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9720
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0285
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9725
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9720
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9725
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9720
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9720
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0280
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9720
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9725
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2784.84, Sell volume: 72.43, Average price: 0.7104, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0275
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0275
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9705
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9715
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0295
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9725
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9720
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9725
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0280
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9720
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9720
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9720
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0295
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0280
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0280
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2784.84, Sell volume: 72.43, Average price: 0.7104, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607780
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 15 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 2857.27357
Price History:
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9695
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9695
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9695
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0310
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9705
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9700
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0295
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9700
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0300
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9720
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9735
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9740
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2502.41, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.8710, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5050
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.5050
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.7450
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.9795
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.9800
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9795
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.9880
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0120
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9880
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0115
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9885
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0095
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.9905
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0100
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.9900
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 157.72, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9935, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.0075
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9925
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0075
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9925
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 203.12, Sell volume: 160.13, Average price: 0.8291, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0085
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9915
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0075
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9925
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0075
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9925
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0075
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.9925
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.32, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0070
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9930
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 43.08, Sell volume: 4.68, Average price: 0.7968, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 203.12, Sell volume: 160.13, Average price: 0.8291, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 203.12, Sell volume: 160.13, Average price: 0.8291, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 203.12, Sell volume: 160.13, Average price: 0.8291, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 203.12, Sell volume: 160.13, Average price: 0.8291, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 203.12, Sell volume: 160.13, Average price: 0.8291, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 203.12, Sell volume: 160.13, Average price: 0.8291, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 145.45, Average price: 0.9908, Price range: 0.9908 - 0.9908

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 203.12, Sell volume: 160.13, Average price: 0.8291, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9955
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9955
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 203.12, Sell volume: 160.13, Average price: 0.8291, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0120
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0115
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0095
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0100
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 157.72, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9935, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9925
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9925
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 203.12, Sell volume: 160.13, Average price: 0.8291, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0085
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0075
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0075
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0075
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0075
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.32, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9930
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 43.08, Sell volume: 4.68, Average price: 0.7968, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 203.12, Sell volume: 160.13, Average price: 0.8291, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 203.12, Sell volume: 160.13, Average price: 0.8291, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 203.12, Sell volume: 160.13, Average price: 0.8291, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 203.12, Sell volume: 160.13, Average price: 0.8291, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 203.12, Sell volume: 160.13, Average price: 0.8291, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 203.12, Sell volume: 160.13, Average price: 0.8291, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 145.45, Average price: 0.9908, Price range: 0.9908 - 0.9908
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 203.12, Sell volume: 160.13, Average price: 0.8291, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537439
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 363.2521
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 203.12, Sell volume: 160.13, Average price: 0.8291, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5050
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.5050
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.7450
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.9795
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.9800
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.9810
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9810
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.9810
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0185
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9815
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0150
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.9850
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0150
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.9850
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9895
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9895
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9895
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9895
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9895
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9895
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 39.60, Sell volume: 4.63, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 39.60, Sell volume: 4.63, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2.32, Sell volume: 4.63, Average price: 0.3323, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0075
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0075
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0075
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0075
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 37.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9925
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9925
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 39.60, Sell volume: 4.63, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 39.60, Sell volume: 4.63, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 39.60, Sell volume: 4.63, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 39.60, Sell volume: 4.63, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 39.60, Sell volume: 4.63, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9925
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 39.60, Sell volume: 4.63, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950

Output: Yes