Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515796
Question: Will  Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7815463.900607
Price History:
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.0315
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0350
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0345
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.0405
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.0395
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0395
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0415
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0420
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0425
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.0410
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0445
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0425
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0420
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0535
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0415
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.0420
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0485
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0455
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0565
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.0565
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0500
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0425
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0415
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0505
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.0555
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.0530
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.0525
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.0470
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0495
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0465
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.0460
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.0445
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0445
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0475
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0465
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0460
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.0450
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0445
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0435
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0430
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0435
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0415
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0270
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0290
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0265
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0290
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0285
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 23968684.33, Sell volume: 78744185.06, Average price: 0.7763, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515796
Question: Will  Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7815463.900607
Price History:
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0325
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.0315
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0300
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0310
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0385
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.0385
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0375
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0375
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0375
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0305
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0295
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0290
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0290
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0295
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0315
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0315
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0330
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0320
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0340
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0340
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0325
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.0305
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.0315
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0315
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.0315
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0305
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0305
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0305
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0295
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0285
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0285
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0280
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0275
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0285
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.0270
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0275
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0285
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0275
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0275
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0280
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0280
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0275
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0275
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0270
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.0260
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.0250
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0225
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0215
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0215
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 23968684.33, Sell volume: 78744185.06, Average price: 0.7763, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515796
Question: Will  Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7815463.900607
Price History:
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0235
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0195
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0190
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0190
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0190
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0185
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.0135
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.0125
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.0125
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.0135
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.0190
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.0165
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.0155
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.0180
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.0180
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.0195
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.0205
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.0200
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.0130
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.0040
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.0065
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.0070
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.0060
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.0045
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.0040
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.0045
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.0045
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.0045
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0045
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.0045
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.0050
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.0050
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.0055
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.0060
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.0060
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.0065
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.0065
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.0060
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0065
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.0060
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.0085
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0090
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.0090
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0110
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0115
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0110
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0105
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.0100
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0095
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 23968684.33, Sell volume: 78744185.06, Average price: 0.7763, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515796
Question: Will  Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7815463.900607
Price History:
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0105
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0095
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0105
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0105
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0090
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0110
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0105
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0105
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0095
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0095
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0105
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0105
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0100
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0110
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0090
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0095
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.0095
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0095
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0095
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0105
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0095
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0095
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0105
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0110
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0115
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0115
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0135
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0085
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0105
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0090
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0090
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0090
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0090
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0105
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0100
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.0105
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.0105
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0105
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.0105
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0105
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.0105
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.0105
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.0105
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0105
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.0105
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.0105
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.0100
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 23968684.33, Sell volume: 78744185.06, Average price: 0.7763, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515796
Question: Will  Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7815463.900607
Price History:
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.0100
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.0095
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.0100
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.0095
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.0105
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.0095
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.0085
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.0085
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.0085
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.0085
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.0085
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.0080
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.0080
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.0080
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.0080
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.0080
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.0085
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.0080
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.0080
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.0090
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.0090
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.0090
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.0090
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.0090
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.0085
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.0085
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0090
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.0095
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.0090
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.0090
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0090
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.0090
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.0050
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.0050
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.0050
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0060
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.0060
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.0060
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.0060
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.0070
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.0070
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.0070
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0070
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.0075
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.0070
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.0050
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.0065
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.0065
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.0065
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 677322, Buy volume: 16088462.21, Sell volume: 60368890.68, Average price: 0.7664, Price range: 0.0049 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515796
Question: Will  Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7815463.900607
Price History:
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.0065
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.0065
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.0070
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.0070
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.0070
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0070
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.0070
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.0070
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.0065
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.0065
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.0065
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.0065
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.0045
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.0035
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0035
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0040
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.0040
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.0040
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.0040
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.0040
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.0035
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.0035
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0045
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.0045
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 319946, Buy volume: 7469341.79, Sell volume: 18090549.31, Average price: 0.7961, Price range: 0.0014 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515796
Question: Will  Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7815463.900607
Price History:
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 222, Buy volume: 61855.22, Sell volume: 23794.74, Average price: 0.9015, Price range: 0.0033 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515796
Question: Will  Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7815463.900607
Price History:
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0090
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0075
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0080
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0075
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 296, Buy volume: 36343.97, Sell volume: 29533.30, Average price: 0.8632, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515796
Question: Will  Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7815463.900607
Price History:
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0085
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0085
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0065
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0030
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0030
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0010
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0010
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0010
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0010
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0010
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 213, Buy volume: 312681.15, Sell volume: 229087.59, Average price: 0.6700, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515796
Question: Will  Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 7815463.900607
Price History:
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.0600
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.9640
2024-12-17 09:00: 0.0380
2024-12-17 17:00: 0.9685
2024-12-18 02:00: 0.0285
2024-12-18 10:00: 0.9760
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.0275
2024-12-19 03:00: 0.9725
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.0250
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.9720
2024-12-20 05:00: 0.0230
2024-12-20 13:00: 0.9700
2024-12-20 22:00: 0.0620
2024-12-21 06:00: 0.9435
2024-12-21 15:00: 0.0510
2024-12-21 23:00: 0.9495
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.0500
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.9445
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.0730
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.9265
2024-12-23 18:00: 0.0765
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.9275
2024-12-24 11:00: 0.0585
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.9410
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.0535
2024-12-25 12:00: 0.9465
2024-12-25 21:00: 0.0515
2024-12-26 05:00: 0.9490
2024-12-26 14:00: 0.0480
2024-12-26 22:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 23968684.33, Sell volume: 78744185.06, Average price: 0.7763, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515796
Question: Will  Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 7815463.900607
Price History:
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0490
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.9460
2024-12-28 05:00: 0.0520
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.9530
2024-12-28 22:00: 0.0465
2024-12-29 06:00: 0.9545
2024-12-29 15:00: 0.0430
2024-12-29 23:00: 0.9560
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.0410
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.9570
2024-12-31 01:00: 0.0425
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.9570
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.0420
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.9575
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.0475
2025-01-01 19:00: 0.9525
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0440
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.9555
2025-01-02 21:00: 0.0485
2025-01-03 05:00: 0.9430
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.0585
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.9460
2025-01-04 07:00: 0.0550
2025-01-04 15:00: 0.9295
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.0635
2025-01-05 08:00: 0.9355
2025-01-05 17:00: 0.0685
2025-01-06 01:00: 0.9355
2025-01-06 10:00: 0.0710
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.9355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 23968684.33, Sell volume: 78744185.06, Average price: 0.7763, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515796
Question: Will  Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 7815463.900607
Price History:
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.0665
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.9170
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.0765
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.9190
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.0835
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.9240
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.0775
2025-01-09 19:00: 0.9230
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.0775
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.9240
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.0635
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.9420
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.0665
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.9355
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.0610
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.9380
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.0605
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.9355
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.0650
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.9355
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.0615
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.9380
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.0625
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.9370
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0660
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.9345
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.0645
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.9375
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.0635
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.9345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 23968684.33, Sell volume: 78744185.06, Average price: 0.7763, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515796
Question: Will  Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 7815463.900607
Price History:
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0655
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.9380
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.0625
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.9365
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.0670
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.9310
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.0660
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.9360
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.0555
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.9495
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.0525
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.9570
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.0385
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.9550
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.0435
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.9555
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0385
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.9645
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.0360
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.9660
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.0095
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.9665
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.0320
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.9745
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.0295
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.9695
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.0335
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.9695
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.0300
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 23968684.33, Sell volume: 78744185.06, Average price: 0.7763, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515796
Question: Will  Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 7815463.900607
Price History:
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.0315
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.9620
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.0395
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.9605
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0415
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.9535
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0415
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.9575
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0430
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.9555
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0455
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.9460
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.0460
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.9585
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.0565
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.9485
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.0475
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.9530
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0450
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9550
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0465
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.9555
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0440
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.9570
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.9580
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0305
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9730
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.0285
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 23968684.33, Sell volume: 78744185.06, Average price: 0.7763, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515796
Question: Will  Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 7815463.900607
Price History:
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0325
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9680
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0335
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9615
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0375
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9640
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0300
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.9710
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0300
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9685
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0320
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.9665
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0310
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.9685
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0310
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.9695
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0305
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.9710
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0280
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.9735
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.0270
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.9715
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0270
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.9720
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0275
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.9725
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0260
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.9750
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0215
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 23968684.33, Sell volume: 78744185.06, Average price: 0.7763, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515796
Question: Will  Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 7815463.900607
Price History:
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0235
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.9815
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0195
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.9815
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.0125
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.9875
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.0180
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.9845
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.0195
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.9780
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.0200
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.9940
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.0065
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.9940
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.0050
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.9955
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0045
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.9955
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0055
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.9940
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.0060
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.9935
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.0060
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.9940
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0080
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.9905
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0115
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0100
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 23968684.33, Sell volume: 78744185.06, Average price: 0.7763, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515796
Question: Will  Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 7815463.900607
Price History:
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0105
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.9895
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.0100
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9890
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0105
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9900
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0110
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.9900
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0090
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0095
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.9905
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0095
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9895
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0110
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.9885
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0135
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9895
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0090
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.9910
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.9900
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0105
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9895
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.0105
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.9895
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.0105
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.9895
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0105
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 23968684.33, Sell volume: 78744185.06, Average price: 0.7763, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515796
Question: Will  Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 7815463.900607
Price History:
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.0100
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.9900
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.0095
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9905
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.0085
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.9915
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.0085
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.9920
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.0080
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.9915
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.0080
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.9915
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0090
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.9910
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.0090
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.9915
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.0095
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.9910
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.0085
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.9950
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.0050
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.9940
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.0060
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.9930
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.0070
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.9935
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.0070
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.9935
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.0065
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 677322, Buy volume: 16088462.21, Sell volume: 60368890.68, Average price: 0.7664, Price range: 0.0049 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515796
Question: Will  Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 7815463.900607
Price History:
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.0065
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.9925
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.0070
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.9930
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.0070
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.9935
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.0065
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.9930
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.9965
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0040
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.9960
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.0040
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9965
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.0035
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 319946, Buy volume: 7469341.79, Sell volume: 18090549.31, Average price: 0.7961, Price range: 0.0014 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515796
Question: Will  Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 7815463.900607
Price History:
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.9955
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.9955
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.9955
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 222, Buy volume: 61855.22, Sell volume: 23794.74, Average price: 0.9015, Price range: 0.0033 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515796
Question: Will  Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 7815463.900607
Price History:
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9930
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0075
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9925
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0075
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9925
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9925
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 296, Buy volume: 36343.97, Sell volume: 29533.30, Average price: 0.8632, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515796
Question: Will  Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 7815463.900607
Price History:
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0085
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9915
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0065
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0010
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9990
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 213, Buy volume: 312681.15, Sell volume: 229087.59, Average price: 0.6700, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555481
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 411521.719628
Price History:
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.1600
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.8900
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.1750
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.8300
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.1550
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.8400
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.1750
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.8350
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.1600
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.8400
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.1150
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.8850
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.1300
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.8100
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.2050
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.7600
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.2200
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.7800
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.2400
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.7600
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.2400
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.7550
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.2450
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.7300
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.2800
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.7150
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.2650
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.7350
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.2550
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555481
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 411521.719628
Price History:
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.2750
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.7300
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.2550
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.7450
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.2550
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.7450
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.2550
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.7450
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.2700
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.7300
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.2700
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.7450
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.2650
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.7350
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.2650
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.7350
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.2650
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.7350
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.2700
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.7300
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.2650
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.7350
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.2650
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.7350
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.2750
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.7400
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.2650
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.7350
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.2650
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555481
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 411521.719628
Price History:
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.2750
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.7250
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.2750
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.7300
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.2650
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.7400
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.2600
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.7200
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.2850
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.7150
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.2750
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.7150
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.2850
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.7150
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.2700
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.7300
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.2700
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.7550
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.2500
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.7500
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.2350
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.7450
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.2550
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.7700
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.2250
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.7750
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.2250
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.7700
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.2250
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555481
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 411521.719628
Price History:
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.1800
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.8400
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.5250
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.4700
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.5750
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.4150
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.6000
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.3850
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.6550
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.3650
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.6700
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.3050
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.6900
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.3250
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.6600
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.3400
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.6150
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.3600
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.6450
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.3550
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.6350
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.3700
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.6400
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.3550
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.6500
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.3500
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.6500
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.3500
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.6500
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555481
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 411521.719628
Price History:
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.6550
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.3450
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.6500
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.3450
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.6550
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.3450
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.6550
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.3450
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.6500
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.3500
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.6500
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.3450
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.6500
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.3450
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.6450
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.3500
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.6500
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.3500
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.6500
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.3500
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.6450
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.3500
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.6450
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.3550
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.6450
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.3550
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.6500
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.3550
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.6500
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555481
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 411521.719628
Price History:
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.6000
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.4000
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.5650
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.4400
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.5850
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.4150
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.5850
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.4150
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.5850
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.4100
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.6000
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.4000
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.6150
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.3900
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.6100
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.3900
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.6150
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.3850
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.6150
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.3850
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.6150
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.3850
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.5750
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.4200
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.5750
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.4250
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.5850
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.4100
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.5900
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555481
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 411521.719628
Price History:
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.6750
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.3400
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.6600
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.3250
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.6800
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.3250
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.6750
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.3350
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.6750
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.3650
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.8200
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.1650
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.8400
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.1600
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.8400
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.1600
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.8550
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.1450
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.8650
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.1350
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.8650
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.1350
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.8550
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.1450
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.8600
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.1450
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.8500
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.1500
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.8550
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555481
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 411521.719628
Price History:
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.9000
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.9000
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.1000
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.9000
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.9050
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.8950
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.8950
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.8950
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.1000
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.8950
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.1050
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.8950
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.1050
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.9050
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0850
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9150
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0850
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.9150
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0850
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.9050
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0950
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.9050
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0950
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.9050
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555481
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 411521.719628
Price History:
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.9050
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.9050
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.9050
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.1150
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.8950
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.1050
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.8950
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.1050
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.8950
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.1050
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.8950
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.1050
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.8950
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0950
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.9050
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.8750
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.8850
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.8850
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.8850
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.8800
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.1200
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.8750
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555481
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 411521.719628
Price History:
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.8650
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.1400
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.8600
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.1400
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.8550
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.3250
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.8350
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.1650
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.8400
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.1650
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.8350
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.1650
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.8400
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.1600
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.8350
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.1550
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.8250
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.1550
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.9500
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.1050
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.9100
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.0950
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.9250
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0750
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.9200
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0800
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.9200
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0650
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.9350
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555481
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 411521.719628
Price History:
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9550
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.9550
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.9550
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9550
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.9645
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0330
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.9645
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0355
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9660
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0335
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.9665
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0345
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9650
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0335
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9665
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0335
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.9670
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0335
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.9665
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9665
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0335
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.9665
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9665
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555481
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 411521.719628
Price History:
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9670
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9670
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9675
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0325
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9675
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0320
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9675
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0325
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9675
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0325
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9675
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0320
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9675
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0325
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9675
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0325
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9675
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0325
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.9725
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0275
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9725
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555481
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 411521.719628
Price History:
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.9825
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0175
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.9825
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0175
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.9780
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0215
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.9815
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0185
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.9815
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0185
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.9815
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0185
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.9815
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0185
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.9815
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0185
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.9845
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0155
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9845
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0155
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.9855
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0140
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.9860
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0140
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.9235
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0475
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.9605
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0390
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.9475
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.0700
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.0550
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.0750
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0800
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0750
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.0700
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0750
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0750
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0750
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.0950
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0750
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0950
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.0750
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.1300
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.1700
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.1450
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.1250
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.1250
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.1700
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.2100
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.2750
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.3300
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.3350
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.3900
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.4700
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.4600
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.3950
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.3750
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.3700
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.3550
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.3100
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.2950
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.3250
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.3300
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.2950
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.2800
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.2750
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.2650
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.2950
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.2950
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.3350
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.3350
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.3550
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.3400
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.3350
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.3450
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.3350
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.3600
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.3600
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.3500
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.3500
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.3300
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.3350
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.3350
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.3150
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.3150
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.3350
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.3350
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.3050
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.2950
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.2950
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.3250
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.2850
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.3000
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.3250
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.3500
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.3500
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.3500
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.3550
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.3550
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.3550
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.3550
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.3550
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.3550
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.3550
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.3450
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.3450
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.3500
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.3500
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.3500
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.3550
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.3550
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.3600
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.3600
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.3600
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.3600
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.3600
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.3600
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.3500
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.3500
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.3500
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.3500
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.3500
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.3500
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.3500
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.3500
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.3500
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.3500
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.3500
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.3700
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.3800
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.3850
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.3900
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.4100
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.4050
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.4750
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.4950
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.4850
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.4650
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.4650
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.4500
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.4550
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.4550
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.4600
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.4550
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.4550
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.4600
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.4550
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.4600
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.4600
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.4700
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.4650
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.4750
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.4700
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.4550
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.4550
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.4550
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.4550
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.4650
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.4550
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.4700
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.5100
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.5500
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.5450
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.4850
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.4900
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.4900
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.4700
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.4600
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.4450
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.4450
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.4450
2025-07-01 04:00: 0.4450
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.4450
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.4850
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.5200
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.4950
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.5650
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.4200
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.4400
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.4200
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.4200
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.3750
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.3650
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.3200
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.3100
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.3050
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.3000
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.2950
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.3100
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.3000
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.2550
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.2450
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.2450
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.2450
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.2750
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.2750
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.2900
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.2900
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.3300
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.3450
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.3150
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.3100
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.3100
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.3100
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.3150
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.3150
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.3350
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.3250
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.3250
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.3250
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.3150
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.3150
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.3150
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.3150
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.3150
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.3150
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.3250
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.3200
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.3200
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.3200
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.3200
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.3250
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.3150
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.3150
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.3200
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.3200
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.3200
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.3200
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.3200
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.3200
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.3200
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.3200
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.3200
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.3200
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.3200
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.3250
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.3200
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.3200
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.3200
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.3200
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.3200
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.3200
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.3200
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.3200
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.3350
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.3350
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.3300
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.3300
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.3300
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.3300
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.3300
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.3300
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.3300
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.3300
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.3250
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.3300
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.3200
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.3250
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.3250
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.3250
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.3250
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.3250
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.3250
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.3250
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.3450
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.3450
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.3450
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.3500
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.3550
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.3550
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.3550
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.3500
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.3450
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.3500
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.3550
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.3550
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.3550
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.3550
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.3550
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.3550
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.3550
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.3550
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.3550
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.3550
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.3550
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.3550
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.3550
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.3550
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.3550
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.3800
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.3700
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.3750
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.3800
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.3750
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.3750
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.3750
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.3800
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.3750
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.3750
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.3750
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.3750
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.3750
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.3750
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.3750
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.3750
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.3850
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.3800
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.3700
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.3750
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.3750
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.3750
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.3750
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.3650
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.3600
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.3400
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.3050
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.3050
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.3050
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.2850
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.2900
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.3000
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.3000
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.3050
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.3050
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.3250
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.3050
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.1700
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.1750
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.1650
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.1550
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.1550
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.1550
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.1550
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.1550
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.1450
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.1450
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.1450
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.1450
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.1350
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.1350
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.1350
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.1350
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.1350
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.1350
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.1450
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.1450
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.1400
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.1350
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.1450
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.1450
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.1500
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.1500
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.1450
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.1450
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.1500
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.1500
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.1450
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.1500
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.1500
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.1500
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.1000
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.1000
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0950
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0950
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0950
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.1000
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.1000
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.0950
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.0950
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.1000
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.1050
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.1050
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.1050
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.1050
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.1050
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.1050
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.1050
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0950
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0850
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0750
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0800
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0550
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0850
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0850
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0850
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0850
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0950
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0950
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0950
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0950
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0950
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0950
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0950
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0950
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.1150
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.1150
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.1050
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.1050
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.1050
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.1050
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.1050
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.1050
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.1050
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.1050
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.1050
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.1050
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.1050
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.1050
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.1050
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0950
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0950
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0950
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.1200
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.1200
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.1200
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.1200
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.1200
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.1200
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.1200
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.1350
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.1350
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.1250
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.1300
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.1300
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.1300
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.1300
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.1300
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.1300
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.1350
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.1350
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.1350
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.1450
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.2900
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.1600
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.1600
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.1600
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.1600
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.1550
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.1650
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.1650
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.1600
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.1650
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.1600
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.1600
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.1600
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.1600
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.1650
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.1500
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.1500
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.1650
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.1450
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.0550
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0550
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.1150
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.0850
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.1000
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.0850
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0600
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0700
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0700
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0750
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0750
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0750
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0750
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0750
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0650
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0650
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0650
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0550
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0550
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0550
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0350
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0330
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0335
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0355
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0350
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0335
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0345
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0335
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0335
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0340
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0345
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0345
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0345
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0330
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0330
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0330
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0330
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0330
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0330
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0330
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0320
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0325
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0325
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0325
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0320
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0320
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0320
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0320
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0325
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0325
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0325
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0325
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0325
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0325
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0325
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0325
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0325
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0320
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0320
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0330
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0235
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0225
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0235
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0240
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0245
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0250
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0250
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0245
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0250
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0175
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0165
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0165
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0170
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0165
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0175
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.0175
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0190
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0180
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0165
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0165
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0165
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0170
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0170
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0170
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0170
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0170
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0170
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0170
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0175
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0175
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0170
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0150
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0150
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0165
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0150
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0140
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0155
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0145
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0145
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0145
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0155
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0150
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0150
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0140
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0140
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.0145
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0765
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0370
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.0275
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0285
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0355
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.0290
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0280
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0020
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.0020
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.0700
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.9450
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0800
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.9250
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0750
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.9250
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.0950
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.9250
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.0750
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.8700
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.1450
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.8750
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.1700
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.7900
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.3300
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.6650
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.4700
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.5400
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.3750
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.6300
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.3100
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.7050
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.3300
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.7050
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.2750
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.7350
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.2950
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.6650
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.3550
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.3500
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.6500
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.3350
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.6650
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.3150
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.6650
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.3050
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.7050
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.3250
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.7150
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.3250
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.6500
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.3500
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.6450
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.3550
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.6450
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.3550
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.6450
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.3450
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.6500
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.3500
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.6450
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.3600
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.6400
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.3600
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.6400
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.3500
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.6500
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.3500
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.3500
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.6300
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.3850
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.6100
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.4050
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.5250
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.5150
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.4650
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.5500
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.4550
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.5400
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.4550
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.5400
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.4600
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.5400
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.4650
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.5250
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.4550
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.5450
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.4550
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.5350
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.4700
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.4900
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.5450
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.5150
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.4900
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.5300
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.4450
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.4950
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.4350
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.4400
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.5800
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.3750
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.6350
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.3100
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.6950
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.2950
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.6900
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.2550
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.7550
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.2450
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.7250
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.2900
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.7100
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.3450
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.6850
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.3100
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.6900
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.3150
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.6650
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.3250
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.6750
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.3150
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.6850
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.3150
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.6850
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.3200
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.3200
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.6800
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.3200
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.6800
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.3200
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.6800
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.3200
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.6800
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.3200
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.6800
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.3200
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.6800
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.3200
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.6800
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.3350
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.6700
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.3300
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.6700
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.3300
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.6700
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.3250
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.6700
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.3250
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.6750
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.3250
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.6750
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.3250
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.6550
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.3450
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.3500
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.6450
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.3550
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.6450
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.3550
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.6450
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.3550
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.6450
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.3550
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.6450
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.3550
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.6200
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.3750
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.6200
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.3750
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.6250
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.3750
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.6250
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.3750
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.6250
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.3750
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.6250
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.6100
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.6100
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.3700
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.6250
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.3750
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.3050
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.6850
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.7150
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.3000
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.7000
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.3050
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.6850
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.3050
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.6850
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.1750
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.8350
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.8450
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.1550
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.8450
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.1450
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.8550
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.1350
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.8650
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.1350
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.8650
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.1450
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.8550
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.1350
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.8550
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.1500
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.8500
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.1450
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.1000
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.9000
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0950
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.9050
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.1000
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.9000
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.0950
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.8950
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.8950
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.8950
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.9000
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.1050
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.8950
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.1050
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.8950
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0950
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.9150
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0800
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.9450
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0850
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.9150
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0950
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9050
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0950
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.9050
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0950
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.9050
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.9050
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.8850
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.1050
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.8950
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.1050
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.8950
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.1050
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.8950
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.1050
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.8950
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.1050
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.9050
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0950
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.8850
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.8850
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.8850
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.8850
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.1200
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.8800
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.1200
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.8800
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.1200
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.1300
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.8700
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.1350
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.8650
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.1450
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.7100
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.1600
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.8400
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.1550
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.8350
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.1600
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.8350
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.1600
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.8400
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.1650
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.8500
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.1650
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.8550
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0550
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.8850
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.1000
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.9150
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0700
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9300
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0750
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.9250
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0750
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.9350
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0650
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.9550
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.9550
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.9550
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9550
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0350
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9670
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0355
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.9650
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0345
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9665
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0340
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9655
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0345
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.9670
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0330
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.9670
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0330
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.9670
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9670
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.9670
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9670
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.9670
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9675
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9675
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0320
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9680
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0325
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9675
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0325
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.9675
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0325
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.9675
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0320
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.9680
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0235
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.9775
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0240
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555482
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 757996.440571
Price History:
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0165
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9835
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0165
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9825
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0190
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.9820
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0165
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.9835
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0170
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.9830
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0170
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.9830
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0175
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.9825
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0150
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.9850
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0150
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.9860
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0145
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.9855
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0155
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.9850
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0140
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.9860
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0765
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.9630
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0285
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.9645
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0280
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 257, Buy volume: 4620.31, Sell volume: 956.35, Average price: 0.5840, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 257, Buy volume: 4620.31, Sell volume: 956.35, Average price: 0.5840, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 257, Buy volume: 4620.31, Sell volume: 956.35, Average price: 0.5840, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 257, Buy volume: 4620.31, Sell volume: 956.35, Average price: 0.5840, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 595.58, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.4820, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 595.58, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.4820, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 595.58, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.4820, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 595.58, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.4820, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 595.58, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.4820, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 595.58, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.4820, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 595.58, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.4820, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 595.58, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.4820, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 595.58, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.4820, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 257, Buy volume: 4620.31, Sell volume: 956.35, Average price: 0.5840, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 257, Buy volume: 4620.31, Sell volume: 956.35, Average price: 0.5840, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 257, Buy volume: 4620.31, Sell volume: 956.35, Average price: 0.5840, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 257, Buy volume: 4620.31, Sell volume: 956.35, Average price: 0.5840, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 595.58, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.4820, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 595.58, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.4820, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 595.58, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.4820, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 595.58, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.4820, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 595.58, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.4820, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 595.58, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.4820, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 595.58, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.4820, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 595.58, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.4820, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757713
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 3083.184247
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 595.58, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.4820, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.5500
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.4500
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.6400
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.3600
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.7200
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.2800
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.2800
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.7200
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.2800
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.7200
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.2800
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.7200
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.3700
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.6300
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.3600
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.6400
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.3600
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.6400
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.3600
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.6400
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.6400
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.3600
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.3500
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.6500
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.3400
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.6600
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.7050
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.2950
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.7050
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.2950
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.7050
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.2950
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 765.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6574, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.7820

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.3450
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.6550
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.3450
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.6600
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.3400
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.6650
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.3350
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.6650
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.3350
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.3450
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.6550
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.3900
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.6100
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.3950
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.6050
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.6150
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.3850
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.3900
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.6100
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.3850
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.6150
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.3850
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.6150
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.6150
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.3850
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.3850
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.6150
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.3850
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.6150
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.3800
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 211.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6334, Price range: 0.4528 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.3500
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.3500
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.3500
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.3500
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.3500
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.3550
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.6450
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.6450
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.3550
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.6250
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.3750
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.3750
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.6250
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.3750
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.6250
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.6450
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.3550
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.3550
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.6450
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.6450
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.3550
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 242.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6378, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.7000

Output: Yes