Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.1600
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.1600
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.1650
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.1600
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.1600
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.1600
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.1350
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.1400
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.1400
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.1400
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.1400
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.1300
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.1300
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.1300
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.1300
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.1300
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.1950
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.1950
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.1800
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.1800
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.1850
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.1650
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.1800
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.1550
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.1500
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.1500
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.1350
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.1300
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.1500
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.1450
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.1550
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.1550
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.1650
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.1600
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.1600
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.1550
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.1550
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.1600
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.1600
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.1500
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.1350
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.1350
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.1200
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.1150
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.1200
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.1200
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.1250
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.1250
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.1150
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0950
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0750
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0850
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0800
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.0900
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.0850
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0900
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.0850
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0750
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0750
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0750
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0750
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.0600
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0600
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.0700
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.0750
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.0700
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0950
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.1100
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.1250
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.1050
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0950
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.1000
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.1250
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.1200
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.1100
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.1150
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0950
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0950
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.0950
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.0950
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0900
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0900
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0900
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.0850
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0800
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0800
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0950
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0950
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.0950
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.0900
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0900
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0900
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0800
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0750
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0750
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0800
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0750
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0750
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0800
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0800
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0800
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0800
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0750
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0750
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0800
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0750
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0550
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0650
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0650
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0650
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0335
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0445
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0465
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0470
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.0460
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0540
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.0445
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.0445
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0430
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.0430
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0430
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0435
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.1100
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.0870
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.1340
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.1500
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.1050
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.1215
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.1505
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.1575
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.1650
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.1640
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.1155
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.1280
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.0750
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.0770
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.0760
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.0830
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.0910
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0770
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0925
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.1245
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.1105
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.1010
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.1090
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.1295
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.1160
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.1070
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.1150
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.1150
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.1080
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.1070
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.1135
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.1345
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.1805
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.1690
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.1845
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.1730
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.1540
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.1330
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.1355
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.1140
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.1480
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.1335
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.8940
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.8870
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.9170
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.9075
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.9085
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.8835
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.8725
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.1175
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.1220
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.1135
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.8715
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.8740
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.8705
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.8455
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.8550
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.8895
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.8900
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.8850
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.1420
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.8640
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.1355
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.8640
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.8755
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.8750
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.1165
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.8925
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.0815
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.9195
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.0825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9330
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.9225
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.9320
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.9250
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.0710
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9260
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.9290
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.0735
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.9530
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0235
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.0320
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.0755
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.0625
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.0535
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.0495
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.9575
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.0410
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.0340
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0150
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.0165
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.9845
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.9840
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9725
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.9825
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.9785
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.9790
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.9800
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.9805
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0155
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.9850
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.0360
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.0195
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0265
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9670
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.0220
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.9780
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.9865
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.9850
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.9860
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9875
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0130
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0130
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0095
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0085
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0020
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0020
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.3500
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.2200
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.2450
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.2650
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.2650
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.2650
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.2150
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.2250
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.2250
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.2300
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.2300
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.2600
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.2700
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.3850
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.3900
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.4550
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.4600
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.4500
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.4500
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.4450
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.4450
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.3950
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.4150
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.3900
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.3900
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.3900
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.3900
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.3850
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.3850
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.3850
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.3850
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.3850
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.3850
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.3700
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.3550
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.3550
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.2900
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.2900
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.2950
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.2950
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.2950
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.2950
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.2950
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.2950
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.2950
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.3000
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.3050
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.4600
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.4600
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.3250
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.3250
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.3250
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.4250
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.3400
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.3450
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.3500
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.4550
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.2800
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.3100
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.3200
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.3150
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.3300
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.3300
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.3250
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.3400
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.3450
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.3650
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.3650
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.3500
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.3450
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.3350
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.3100
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.3050
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.3000
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.3100
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.3050
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.3050
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.3050
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.3050
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.3050
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.3050
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.3050
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.3050
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.3100
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.3100
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.3150
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.3150
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.3150
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.3050
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.3150
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.3150
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.3150
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.3850
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.3350
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.3550
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.3450
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.3450
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.3500
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.3450
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.3350
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.3350
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.3350
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.3350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.3250
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.3100
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.2950
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.3000
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.3100
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.3500
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.3700
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.3250
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.3300
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.3300
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.3350
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.3400
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.3400
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.3400
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.3400
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.3450
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.3250
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.3250
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2950
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.3150
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.2900
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.2450
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.2750
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.2550
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.2550
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.3000
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.3150
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.2600
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.2600
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.2700
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.3000
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.2700
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.2450
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.2350
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.2450
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.2450
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.2400
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.2300
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.2350
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.2300
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.2300
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.2250
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.2250
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.2300
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.2200
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.2150
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.2350
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.2250
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.2250
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.2200
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.2200
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.2200
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.2150
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.2150
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.1850
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.1850
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.1850
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.1950
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.2350
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.2300
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.2450
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.2400
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.2350
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.2350
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.2350
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.2550
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.2650
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.2650
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.2550
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.2550
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.2550
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.2550
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.2550
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.3000
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.3150
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.2950
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.3100
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.2850
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.2850
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.2850
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.2750
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.2800
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.2850
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.2800
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.2800
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.2750
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.2750
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.2700
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.2800
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.2500
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.2500
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.2550
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.2350
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.2200
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.2050
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.1850
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.1800
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.1950
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.1900
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.1750
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.1850
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.1750
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.1950
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.1850
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.1800
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.1500
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.1450
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.1550
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.1750
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.1750
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.1850
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.1650
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.1700
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.1550
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.1550
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.1600
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.1650
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.1600
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.1600
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.1400
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.1450
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.1400
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.1300
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.1350
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.1250
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.1950
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.1900
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.1650
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.1550
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.1500
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.1500
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.1300
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.1400
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.1550
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.1750
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.1650
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.1550
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.1600
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.1500
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.1300
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.1200
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.1150
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.1250
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.1250
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.1150
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0750
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0800
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0900
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0900
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0800
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.0750
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0750
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0600
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0750
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0700
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.1250
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.1300
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0950
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.1250
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.1150
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.1050
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0950
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.0950
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0950
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0900
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0900
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0800
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0950
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0950
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0900
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0900
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0700
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0750
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0800
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0750
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0800
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0800
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0750
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0800
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0550
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0650
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0650
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0500
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0470
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0480
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.0445
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0430
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.0430
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.0645
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.1120
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.1450
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.1230
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.1460
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.1650
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.1530
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.1045
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0770
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0815
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0895
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.1190
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.1105
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.1140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.1010
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.1240
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.1150
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.1150
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.1080
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.1100
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.1485
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.1690
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.1740
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.1320
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.1370
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.8460
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.8640
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0930
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.9075
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.8880
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.1280
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.1270
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.1290
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.8745
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.8490
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.8895
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.8865
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.8605
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.8645
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.8985
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.8750
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.1010
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.9195
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.9195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9330
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.9305
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0795
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0715
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.9225
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.9820
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.0330
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.0625
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0320
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.0435
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0335
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.0170
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9840
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.9790
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.9785
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9815
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.9815
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0195
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.0325
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0235
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.9865
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9855
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0120
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0125
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0085
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0050
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9980
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0020
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5700
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4300
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6250
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3750
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6250
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3750
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.5700
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4300
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5950
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4050
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.6300
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.3700
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.6100
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.3900
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.3800
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.3800
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 19261.27, Sell volume: 34.86, Average price: 0.5912, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5100
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5950
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.6150
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.3850
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.6150
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 19261.27, Sell volume: 34.86, Average price: 0.5912, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.6150
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6400
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.3600
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6300
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.3700
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.6500
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.3500
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.6500
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.3500
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.6450
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.3550
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 19261.27, Sell volume: 34.86, Average price: 0.5912, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4850
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4800
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.4800
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 21.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.5800 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.5300
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.4700
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.5350
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.4650
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.5400
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.4600
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.5400
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.4600
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.5400
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.4600
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.4650
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.5350
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.4650
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.5350
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.4650
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.5350
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.4650
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.5350
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5350
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 19261.27, Sell volume: 34.86, Average price: 0.5912, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.6200
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.3800
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.6200
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.3800
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.6200
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.6250
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.3750
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.6150
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.3850
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.6200
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.6150
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.6150
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.3850
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.6150
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.3850
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.6150
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.3850
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.6200
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.3800
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.6300
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.3700
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.6300
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 19261.27, Sell volume: 34.86, Average price: 0.5912, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.3950
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.5600
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.4400
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 19261.27, Sell volume: 34.86, Average price: 0.5912, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.5500
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.5500
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.5500
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.5600
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.4400
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.5600
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 19261.27, Sell volume: 34.86, Average price: 0.5912, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.5650
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.4350
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.5550
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.4450
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.5550
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.4450
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.5550
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.4450
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.5750
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.4250
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.5750
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.4250
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.5750
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.4250
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.5750
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.4250
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.5650
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.4350
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.5650
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.4350
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.4350
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.5650
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.4350
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.4450
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.5550
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.5650
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.4350
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.5650
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.4350
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.4350
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.5650
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.5650
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.4350
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.5650
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.4350
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.4250
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.5750
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 19261.27, Sell volume: 34.86, Average price: 0.5912, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.5450
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.4550
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.5750
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.4250
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.3900
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.6100
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.5400
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.4600
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.5550
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.4450
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.5500
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.4500
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.5600
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.4400
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.5550
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.4450
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.5450
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.4550
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.5450
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.4550
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.5450
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.4550
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.5450
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5450
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.4550
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5550
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.4450
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.5550
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.4450
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5450
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.4550
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.5450
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.4550
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.5450
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.4550
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.5450
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.4550
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.5400
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.4600
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.5400
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.4600
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5400
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.4600
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5400
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 19261.27, Sell volume: 34.86, Average price: 0.5912, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5400
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.4600
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5450
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.4550
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.5550
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.4450
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.5550
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.4450
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.5550
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.4450
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.7000
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.3000
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.6550
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.3450
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.6550
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.3450
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.6450
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.3550
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.3550
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.6500
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.3500
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.6550
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.3450
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.6550
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.3450
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.6400
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.3600
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.5450
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.4550
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.5450
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.6500
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.3500
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.6500
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.3500
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.6350
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.3650
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.6450
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 19261.27, Sell volume: 34.86, Average price: 0.5912, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.6500
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.3500
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.3500
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.6600
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.3400
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.6550
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.3450
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.6800
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.3200
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.6600
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.3400
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.6650
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.3350
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.6500
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.3500
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.6500
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.3500
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.6500
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.3500
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.6500
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.3500
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.6500
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.3500
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.6300
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.3700
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.6300
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.3700
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.6300
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.3700
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.6500
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.3500
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.6500
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.3500
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.6500
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.3500
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.6500
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.3500
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.6500
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.3500
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.6550
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.3450
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.6550
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.3450
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.6500
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.3500
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.6700
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.3300
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.7100
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 19261.27, Sell volume: 34.86, Average price: 0.5912, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.7150
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.7300
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.2700
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0350
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9650
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.1605
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.8395
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0280
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9720
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0270
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9730
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0260
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9740
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0260
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9740
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0255
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9745
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0255
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9745
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0255
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9745
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9745
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9745
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9745
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0255
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9745
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0230
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9770
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0230
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9770
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0190
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9810
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0190
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9810
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0140
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9860
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0140
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9860
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0140
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9860
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0140
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9860
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0140
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9860
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 19075.87, Sell volume: 34.86, Average price: 0.5755, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5700
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4300
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6250
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3750
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6250
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3750
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.5700
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 19261.27, Sell volume: 34.86, Average price: 0.5912, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5100
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 19261.27, Sell volume: 34.86, Average price: 0.5912, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.6150
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6400
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.3600
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6300
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.3700
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.6500
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.3500
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.6500
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.3500
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.6450
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.3550
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 19261.27, Sell volume: 34.86, Average price: 0.5912, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4850
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 21.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.5800 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.5300
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.4700
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.5350
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.4650
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.5400
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.4600
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.5400
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.4600
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.5400
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.4600
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 19261.27, Sell volume: 34.86, Average price: 0.5912, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.6200
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.3800
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.6200
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.3800
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.6200
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.6250
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 19261.27, Sell volume: 34.86, Average price: 0.5912, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.3950
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.5600
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.4400
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 19261.27, Sell volume: 34.86, Average price: 0.5912, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 19261.27, Sell volume: 34.86, Average price: 0.5912, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.5650
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.4350
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.5550
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.4450
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.5550
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.4450
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.5550
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.4450
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.5750
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.4250
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.5750
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.4250
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.5750
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.4250
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.5750
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.4250
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.5650
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.4350
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.5650
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.4350
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 19261.27, Sell volume: 34.86, Average price: 0.5912, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.5450
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.4550
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.5750
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.4250
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.3900
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.6100
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.5400
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.4600
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.5550
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.4450
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.5500
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.4500
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.5600
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.4400
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.5550
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.4450
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.5450
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.4550
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.5450
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.4550
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.5450
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.4550
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.5450
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5450
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 19261.27, Sell volume: 34.86, Average price: 0.5912, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5400
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.4600
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5450
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.4550
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.5550
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.4450
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.5550
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.4450
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.5550
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.4450
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.7000
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.3000
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.6550
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.3450
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.6550
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.3450
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.6450
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.3550
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 19261.27, Sell volume: 34.86, Average price: 0.5912, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.6500
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.3500
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.3500
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.6600
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.3400
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.6550
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.3450
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.6800
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.3200
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.6600
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.3400
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.6650
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.3350
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.6500
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.3500
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.6500
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.3500
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.6500
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.3500
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.6500
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.3500
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.6500
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.3500
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.6300
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.3700
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.6300
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.3700
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.6300
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 19261.27, Sell volume: 34.86, Average price: 0.5912, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681420
Question: Will Godwin Friday be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 19296.125383
Price History:
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.7150
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.7300
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.2700
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0350
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9650
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.1605
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.8395
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0280
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9720
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0270
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9730
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0260
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9740
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0260
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9740
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0255
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9745
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0255
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9745
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0255
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9745
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9745
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9745
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9745
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0255
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 19075.87, Sell volume: 34.86, Average price: 0.5755, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5400
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4600
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4500
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5550
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4450
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5700
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4300
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6100
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3900
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6100
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3900
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.1750
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.1750
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.1750
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8350
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.1650
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8350
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.1650
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8600
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1400
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8600
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.1400
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8600
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 11559.36, Sell volume: 823.21, Average price: 0.8583, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8600
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.1400
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8600
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1400
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8600
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.1400
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8600
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.1400
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8600
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.1400
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8450
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.1550
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.8500
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.1500
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8500
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.1500
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.1800
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.8500
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.1500
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.8350
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.1650
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.1800
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.1850
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.8350
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.1650
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.1250
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.1250
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.1300
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 11559.36, Sell volume: 823.21, Average price: 0.8583, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.8600
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.1400
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.8600
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.1400
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.8600
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.1400
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.8600
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.1400
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.8650
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.1350
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.8750
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.1250
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.8750
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.1250
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.7900
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.2100
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.2000
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.2000
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.8500
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.1500
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.8550
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.1450
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9000
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1000
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9000
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1000
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9000
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 11559.36, Sell volume: 823.21, Average price: 0.8583, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9000
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9000
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9000
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9000
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9000
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 11559.36, Sell volume: 823.21, Average price: 0.8583, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 2.00, Sell volume: 1.51, Average price: 0.9932, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 11559.36, Sell volume: 823.21, Average price: 0.8583, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 11559.36, Sell volume: 823.21, Average price: 0.8583, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 11559.36, Sell volume: 823.21, Average price: 0.8583, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 11559.36, Sell volume: 823.21, Average price: 0.8583, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9630
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0370
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9635
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0365
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9635
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 98.49, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0030

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9630
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0370
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9905
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9925
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 11511.13, Sell volume: 711.99, Average price: 0.8696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5400
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4600
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4500
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5550
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4450
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5700
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4300
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6100
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3900
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6100
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3900
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 11559.36, Sell volume: 823.21, Average price: 0.8583, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8600
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.1400
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8600
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1400
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8600
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.1400
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8600
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.1400
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8600
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.1400
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8450
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.1550
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.8500
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.1500
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8500
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.1500
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.1800
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.8500
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.1500
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.8350
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 11559.36, Sell volume: 823.21, Average price: 0.8583, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.8600
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.1400
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.8600
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.1400
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.8600
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.1400
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.8600
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.1400
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.8650
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.1350
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.8750
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.1250
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.8750
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.1250
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.7900
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.2100
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.2000
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.2000
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.8500
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.1500
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.8550
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 11559.36, Sell volume: 823.21, Average price: 0.8583, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9000
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9000
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9000
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9000
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9000
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 11559.36, Sell volume: 823.21, Average price: 0.8583, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 2.00, Sell volume: 1.51, Average price: 0.9932, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 11559.36, Sell volume: 823.21, Average price: 0.8583, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 11559.36, Sell volume: 823.21, Average price: 0.8583, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 11559.36, Sell volume: 823.21, Average price: 0.8583, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 11559.36, Sell volume: 823.21, Average price: 0.8583, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9630
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0370
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9635
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0365
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9635
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 98.49, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0030
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681422
Question: Will Montgomery Daniel be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 12382.57245
Price History:
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9635
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0365
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9630
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0370
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9905
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9925
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 11511.13, Sell volume: 711.99, Average price: 0.8696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658171
Question: Speed Chess QF: Nakamura vs So
Outcomes: ["Nakamura", "So"]
Volume: 25491.103972
Price History:
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.4650
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5350
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.4650
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5350
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4350
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5650
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4250
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5750
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.3950
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.6050
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.3600
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.6400
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.3350
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.6650
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.3200
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.6800
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.3000
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.7000
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.3000
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.7000
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.3000
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.7000
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.3000
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.2700
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.7300
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.2700
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.7300
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.2800
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.7200
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.2800
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.7200
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.2800
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.7200
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.2800
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.7200
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.2800
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.7200
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.2800
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.7200
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.2800
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.7200
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.2500
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 299.76, Sell volume: 141.22, Average price: 0.4551, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes