Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578982
Question: Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43456.371692
Price History:
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.4100
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.4100
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.5900
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.3950
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.6050
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.5700
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.4300
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.4200
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.5800
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.3750
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.6250
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.3750
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.6250
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.3750
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.6250
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.3550
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.6450
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.6600
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.3400
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.5750
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.4250
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.4000
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.6000
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.6000
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.4000
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.3900
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.6100
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.6250
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.3750
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.3800
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.6200
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.6200
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.3800
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.3950
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.6050
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.6050
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.3950
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.5800
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.4200
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.4000
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.6000
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.6250
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.3750
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 253.75, Sell volume: 272.39, Average price: 0.4659, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578982
Question: Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43456.371692
Price History:
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.4700
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.5300
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.5300
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.4700
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.4700
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.5300
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.5100
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.4900
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.4900
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.5100
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.4850
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.5150
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.5200
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.4800
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.5200
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.4800
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.4900
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.5100
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.5200
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.4800
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.4800
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.5200
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.4900
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.5100
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.4900
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.5100
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.4850
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.5150
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.4800
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.5200
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.4050
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.5950
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.3950
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.6050
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.6050
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.3950
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.3950
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.6050
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.3800
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.6200
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.3750
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.6250
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.3750
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.6250
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.3700
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.6300
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.3700
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.6300
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.3700
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 342.68, Sell volume: 21.35, Average price: 0.4768, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.5836

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578982
Question: Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43456.371692
Price History:
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.6300
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.3700
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.6300
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.3650
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.6350
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.3650
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.6350
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.6350
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.3650
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.6350
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.3650
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.6350
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.3650
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.3650
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.6350
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.3700
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.6300
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.6300
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.3700
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.6300
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.3700
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.6300
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.3700
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.3700
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.6300
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.6350
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.3650
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.3500
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.6500
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.3500
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.6500
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.6500
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.3500
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.3500
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.6500
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.3550
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.6450
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.6500
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.3500
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.6500
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.3500
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.3500
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.6500
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.3500
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.6500
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.3500
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.6500
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.3500
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.6500
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 628.87, Sell volume: 525.77, Average price: 0.5658, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6701

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578982
Question: Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43456.371692
Price History:
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.2950
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.7050
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.6850
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.3150
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.2950
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.7050
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.3000
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.7000
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.7000
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.3000
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.7000
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.3000
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.7000
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.3000
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.7000
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.3000
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.3000
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.7000
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.3000
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.7000
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.3000
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.7000
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.3000
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.7000
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.3000
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.7000
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.3000
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.7000
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.3000
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.7000
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.3000
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.3000
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.7000
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.3000
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.7000
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.3000
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.7000
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.3000
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.7000
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.3350
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.6650
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.3350
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.6650
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.3350
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.6650
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.3550
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 196.58, Sell volume: 12.42, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578982
Question: Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43456.371692
Price History:
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.3350
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.6650
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.3350
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.6650
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.3350
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.6650
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.3350
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.6650
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.3350
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.6650
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.3350
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.6650
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.3350
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.3350
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.6650
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.6650
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.3350
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.6650
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.3350
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.6650
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.3350
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.3500
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.6550
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.3450
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.3450
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.6550
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.6400
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.3600
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.3650
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.6350
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.3650
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.6350
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.6350
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.3650
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.6450
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.3550
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.6300
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.3700
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.3700
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.6300
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.3650
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.6350
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.6400
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.3600
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.3550
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.3500
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 236.37, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3800, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.3800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578982
Question: Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43456.371692
Price History:
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.5950
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.4050
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.5350
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.4650
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.7700
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.2300
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.6600
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.3400
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.6600
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.3400
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.6700
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.3300
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.6350
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.3650
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.6850
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.3150
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.6600
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.3400
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.6450
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.3550
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.6750
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.3250
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.2750
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.7250
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.7150
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.2850
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.7000
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.3000
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.7100
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.2900
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.5150
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.4850
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.5250
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.4750
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.4850
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.5150
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.4750
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.5250
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.5300
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.4700
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.5500
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.4500
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.4950
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.5050
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.5550
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.4450
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.6050
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 3814.54, Sell volume: 963.22, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578982
Question: Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43456.371692
Price History:
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.6000
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.6000
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.4000
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.3750
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.6250
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.6050
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.3950
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.5650
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.4350
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.5800
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.4200
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.4100
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.5900
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.6300
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.3700
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.3700
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.6300
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.6250
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.3750
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.5900
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.4100
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.3950
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.6050
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.3700
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.6300
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.3200
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.6800
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.3200
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.6800
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.8850
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.1150
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.1250
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.8750
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.2150
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.7850
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.7750
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.2250
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.2300
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.7700
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9800
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0200
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9650
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0350
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9645
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0355
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 5571.74, Sell volume: 2990.51, Average price: 0.6668, Price range: 0.0095 - 0.9909

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578982
Question: Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43456.371692
Price History:
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0430
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9570
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9735
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0265
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0415
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9585
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9585
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0415
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0585
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9415
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9545
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0455
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0545
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9455
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0435
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9565
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0195
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9805
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9800
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0200
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0200
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9800
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9800
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0200
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9795
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0205
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9800
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0200
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9800
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0200
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0185
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9815
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9815
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0185
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9820
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0180
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0185
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9815
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9820
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 15711.00, Sell volume: 341.64, Average price: 0.9737, Price range: 0.9130 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.5650
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.4350
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5650
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.4350
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.5750
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.4250
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.5650
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.4350
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.5700
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.4300
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.5700
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.4300
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.5700
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.4300
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.5800
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.4200
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 10313.49, Sell volume: 115.00, Average price: 0.5464, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.4550
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5450
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.4500
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.5500
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.2500
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.7500
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.4100
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5900
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.4100
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.5900
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.3100
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.6900
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.3100
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.6900
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.3400
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.6600
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.3450
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.6550
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.3950
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.4680, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.3650
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.6350
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.3650
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.6350
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.3650
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.6350
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.3650
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.6350
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.3650
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.6350
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.3500
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.3100
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.6900
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.3100
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.6900
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.3000
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4300, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.4300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.3100
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.6900
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.3100
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.6900
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.3100
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.6900
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.4600
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.5400
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.4500
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.5500
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.4250
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.5750
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.3800
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.6200
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.4550
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.4000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.4600
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.5400
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.4150
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.5850
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.4050
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.5950
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.2900
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.7100
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.2650
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.7350
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.5650
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.4350
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.5750
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.4250
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.5900
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.4100
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.6500
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.3500
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.5750
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.4250
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.5950
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.4050
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.6050
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 10313.49, Sell volume: 115.00, Average price: 0.5464, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.6250
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.3750
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.6400
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.3600
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.6500
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.3500
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.6600
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.3400
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.3300
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.6750
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.3250
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.6850
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.3150
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.6550
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.3450
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.6750
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.3250
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.6850
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.3150
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.6950
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.3050
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.7050
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 10313.49, Sell volume: 115.00, Average price: 0.5464, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.7100
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.2900
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.7450
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.2550
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.7550
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.2450
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.7750
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.2250
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.2150
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.7950
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.2050
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.8000
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.2000
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.7450
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.2550
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.7550
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.2450
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.7550
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.2450
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.7650
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.2350
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.7750
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.2250
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 10313.49, Sell volume: 115.00, Average price: 0.5464, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.7200
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.2800
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.7200
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.2800
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 10313.49, Sell volume: 115.00, Average price: 0.5464, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.2750
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.7250
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.2750
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.7250
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.2750
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.7250
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.2750
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.7250
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.2750
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.7250
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.2750
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.7250
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.2750
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.7250
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.2750
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.7250
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.2750
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.6600
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.3400
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.6700
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.3300
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.6600
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.3400
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 10313.49, Sell volume: 115.00, Average price: 0.5464, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.3450
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.3450
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.3450
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.3450
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.3450
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.3450
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.3450
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.3450
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.3450
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.3450
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.3450
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 10313.49, Sell volume: 115.00, Average price: 0.5464, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.6500
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.3500
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.6500
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.3500
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.6500
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.3500
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.6500
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.3500
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.6500
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.3500
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.6500
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.3500
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.6500
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.3500
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.6500
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.3500
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.6450
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.6450
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.3550
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.6450
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.3550
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.6450
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.3550
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.6450
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.3550
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.6450
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.3550
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.6450
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.3550
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.6450
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.3550
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.6450
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.3550
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.6450
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.3550
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.6450
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.3550
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.6450
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.3550
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.6300
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.3700
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.5050
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 23.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.2550
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.7450
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.2900
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.7100
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.2950
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.7050
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.3000
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.7000
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.3000
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.7000
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.3050
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.6950
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.3100
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.6900
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2650
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.7350
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.2650
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.7350
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.2700
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.7300
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.2950
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.7050
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10167.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8329, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.5650
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.4350
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5650
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.4350
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.5750
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.4250
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.5650
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.4350
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.5700
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.4300
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.5700
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.4300
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.5700
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.4300
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.5800
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.4200
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 10313.49, Sell volume: 115.00, Average price: 0.5464, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.4550
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5450
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.4500
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.5500
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.2500
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.7500
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.4100
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5900
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.4100
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.5900
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.3100
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.6900
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.3100
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.6900
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.3400
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.6600
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.3450
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.6550
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.3950
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.4680, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.3650
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.6350
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.3650
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.6350
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.3650
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.6350
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.3650
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.6350
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.3650
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.6350
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.3500
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.3100
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.6900
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.3100
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.6900
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.3000
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4300, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.4300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.3100
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.6900
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.3100
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.6900
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.3100
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.6900
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.4600
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.5400
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.4500
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.5500
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.4250
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.5750
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.3800
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.6200
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.4550
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.4000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.4600
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.5400
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.4150
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.5850
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.4050
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.5950
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.2900
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.7100
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.2650
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.7350
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.5650
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.4350
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.5750
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.4250
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.5900
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.4100
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.6500
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.3500
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.5750
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.4250
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.5950
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.4050
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.6050
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 10313.49, Sell volume: 115.00, Average price: 0.5464, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.6250
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.3750
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.6400
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.3600
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.6500
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.3500
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.6600
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.3400
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.3300
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.6750
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.3250
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.6850
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.3150
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.6550
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.3450
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.6750
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.3250
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.6850
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.3150
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.6950
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.3050
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.7050
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 10313.49, Sell volume: 115.00, Average price: 0.5464, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.7100
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.2900
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.7450
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.2550
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.7550
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.2450
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.7750
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.2250
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.2150
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.7950
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.2050
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.8000
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.2000
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.7450
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.2550
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.7550
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.2450
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.7550
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.2450
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.7650
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.2350
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.7750
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.2250
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 10313.49, Sell volume: 115.00, Average price: 0.5464, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.7200
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.2800
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.7200
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.2800
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 10313.49, Sell volume: 115.00, Average price: 0.5464, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.2750
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.7250
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.2750
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.7250
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.2750
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.7250
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.2750
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.7250
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.2750
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.7250
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.2750
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.7250
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.2750
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.7250
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.2750
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.7250
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.2750
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.6600
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.3400
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.6700
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.3300
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.6600
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.3400
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 10313.49, Sell volume: 115.00, Average price: 0.5464, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.3450
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.3450
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.3450
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.3450
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.3450
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.3450
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.3450
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.3450
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.3450
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.3450
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.3450
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 10313.49, Sell volume: 115.00, Average price: 0.5464, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.6500
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.3500
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.6500
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.3500
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.6500
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.3500
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.6500
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.3500
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.6500
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.3500
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.6500
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.3500
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.6500
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.3500
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.6500
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.3500
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.6450
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.6450
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.3550
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.6450
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.3550
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.6450
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.3550
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.6450
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.3550
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.6450
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.3550
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.6450
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.3550
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.6450
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.3550
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.6450
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.3550
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.6450
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.3550
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.6450
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.3550
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.6450
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.3550
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.6300
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.3700
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.5050
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 23.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525436
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say War 5+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 10428.485111
Price History:
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.2550
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.7450
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.2900
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.7100
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.2950
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.7050
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.3000
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.7000
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.3000
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.7000
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.3050
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.6950
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.3100
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.6900
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2650
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.7350
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.2650
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.7350
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.2700
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.7300
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.2950
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.7050
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10167.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8329, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578982
Question: Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?
Volume: 43456.371692
Price History:
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.4650
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.5550
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.5450
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.4550
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.5550
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.5550
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.4450
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.4450
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.5550
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.6300
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.3250
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.6750
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.6600
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.3400
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.5750
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.4100
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.6350
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.6200
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.3750
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.3750
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.6250
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.3600
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.4000
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.6400
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.3600
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.6400
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.6000
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.5100
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.8200
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1043.05, Sell volume: 279.70, Average price: 0.4181, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578982
Question: Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?
Volume: 43456.371692
Price History:
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.8000
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.7800
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.7850
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.7850
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.2150
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.2150
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.2150
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.2150
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.2150
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.2150
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.2150
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.2150
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.2150
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.7850
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.7850
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.2150
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.2250
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.2200
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.7800
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.2300
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.2300
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.7700
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.7700
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.2300
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.7700
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.2300
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.7700
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.7700
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.7700
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 213.43, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.5680, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578982
Question: Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?
Volume: 43456.371692
Price History:
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.2300
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.2300
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.7700
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.2300
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.2300
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.7700
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.2300
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.2700
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.7250
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.7250
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.2750
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.7250
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.7250
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.7250
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.7250
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.7250
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.6700
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.6900
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.6450
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.3550
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.3750
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.6050
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.3850
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.3750
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.3750
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.5600
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.6400
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.6450
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.1950
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 447.22, Sell volume: 155.00, Average price: 0.6546, Price range: 0.4295 - 0.8085
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578982
Question: Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?
Volume: 43456.371692
Price History:
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.1700
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1850
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.8250
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.6600
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.3300
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.3300
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.3650
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.4000
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.5950
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.4150
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.5950
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.5800
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.4150
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.6000
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.5850
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.6000
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.4250
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.5800
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.6050
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.6050
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.6000
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 454.86, Sell volume: 306.89, Average price: 0.5091, Price range: 0.3896 - 0.6380
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578982
Question: Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?
Volume: 43456.371692
Price History:
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.4250
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.4500
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.4850
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.5050
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.5000
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.4900
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.5050
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.5050
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.5000
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.5750
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.4550
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.5650
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.4550
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.4500
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.4650
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.4500
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.4950
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.4650
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.4850
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.4900
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.4700
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.4900
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.4850
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.4800
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.4400
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.4050
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 735.83, Sell volume: 35.93, Average price: 0.4842, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.5836
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578982
Question: Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?
Volume: 43456.371692
Price History:
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.4100
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.5900
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.6050
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.4300
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.5800
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.6250
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.6250
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.6250
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.6450
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.3400
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.4250
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.6000
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.4000
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.6100
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.3750
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.6200
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.3800
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.6050
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.3950
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.4200
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.6000
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.3750
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.6000
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.6250
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.4300
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.5700
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 253.75, Sell volume: 272.39, Average price: 0.4659, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578982
Question: Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?
Volume: 43456.371692
Price History:
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.4700
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.5300
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.4700
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.5100
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.4900
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.4850
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.5200
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.5200
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.4900
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.5200
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.4800
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.4900
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.4900
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.4850
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.4800
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.4050
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.3950
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.6050
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.3950
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.3800
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.3750
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.3750
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.3700
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.3700
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.3700
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.3700
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.3700
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.3700
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.6300
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 342.68, Sell volume: 21.35, Average price: 0.4768, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.5836
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578982
Question: Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?
Volume: 43456.371692
Price History:
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.6300
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.6300
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.6350
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.6350
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.3650
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.3650
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.3650
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.6350
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.6300
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.3700
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.3700
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.3700
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.6300
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.3650
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.6500
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.6500
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.3500
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.6500
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.6450
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.3500
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.3500
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.6500
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.6500
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.6500
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.6500
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.6500
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.6500
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.6500
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.3550
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 628.87, Sell volume: 525.77, Average price: 0.5658, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6701
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578982
Question: Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?
Volume: 43456.371692
Price History:
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.2950
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.6850
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.2950
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.3000
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.7000
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.7000
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.7000
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.7000
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.3000
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.3000
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.3000
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.7000
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.7000
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.7000
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.7000
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.3000
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.3000
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.3000
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.3000
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.3350
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.3350
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.3350
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.3550
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.3600
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.6550
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.6550
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.3450
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 196.58, Sell volume: 12.42, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578982
Question: Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?
Volume: 43456.371692
Price History:
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.3350
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.3350
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.3350
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.3350
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.3350
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.3350
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.3350
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.6650
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.3350
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.3350
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.3350
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.3450
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.6550
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.3600
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.6350
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.6350
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.3650
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.3550
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.3700
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.6300
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.6350
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.3600
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.3500
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.6550
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.6550
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.6550
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 236.37, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3800, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.3800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578982
Question: Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?
Volume: 43456.371692
Price History:
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.5950
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.5350
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.7700
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.6600
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.6600
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.6700
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.6350
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.6850
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.6600
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.6450
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.6750
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.2750
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.7150
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.7000
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.7100
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.5150
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.5250
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.4850
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.4750
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.5300
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.5500
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.4950
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.5550
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.6050
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.6050
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 3814.54, Sell volume: 963.22, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578982
Question: Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?
Volume: 43456.371692
Price History:
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.6000
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.4000
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.6250
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.3950
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.4350
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.4200
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.5900
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.3700
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.6300
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.3750
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.4100
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.6050
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.6300
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.6800
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.6800
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.1150
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.8750
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.7850
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.2250
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.7700
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0200
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0350
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0355
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0340
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0275
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9700
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9465
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.8765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 5571.74, Sell volume: 2990.51, Average price: 0.6668, Price range: 0.0095 - 0.9909
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578982
Question: Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?
Volume: 43456.371692
Price History:
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0430
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9735
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0415
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9585
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0585
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9545
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0545
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0435
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0195
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9800
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0200
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9800
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9795
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9800
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9800
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0185
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9815
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9820
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0185
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9820
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0180
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9820
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.9820
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0180
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 15711.00, Sell volume: 341.64, Average price: 0.9737, Price range: 0.9130 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.5650
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.4350
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5700
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.4300
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.4750
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.5250
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.4750
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.5250
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.4900
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.5100
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.4900
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.5100
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.4900
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1504.69, Sell volume: 141.49, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.4950
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5050
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.3000
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.7000
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.5650
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.4350
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.4550
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5450
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.4500
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.5500
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.4650
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.5350
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.4450
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.5550
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.4100
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.5900
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 52.58, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.5400, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.4100
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.5900
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.4100
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.5900
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5750
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.4250
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5750
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.4250
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5750
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.4250
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.5750
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.4250
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.5750
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.4250
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.5750
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.5600
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 46.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4750, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.4900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.5600
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.4400
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.5600
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.4400
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 13.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5250, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.7150
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.7400
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.2600
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.7400
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.2600
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.7400
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.2600
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.7400
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.2600
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.7400
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.2600
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.7400
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.2600
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.7400
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.2600
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.7800
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 110.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7467, Price range: 0.7200 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.7800
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.2200
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.7800
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.2200
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.7800
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.2200
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.7800
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.2200
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.7800
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.2200
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.7800
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.2200
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.7800
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.2200
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.7850
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.2150
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.7850
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.2150
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.7850
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.2150
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.7850
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.2150
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.7850
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.2150
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.7850
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1504.69, Sell volume: 141.49, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.7850
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.2150
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.7850
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.2150
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.7850
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.2150
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.2150
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.2150
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.2150
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.2150
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.2150
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.2150
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 402.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5160, Price range: 0.2320 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 89.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.7800
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.2200
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1504.69, Sell volume: 141.49, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 61.00, Average price: 0.7700, Price range: 0.7700 - 0.7700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.74, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2300, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.2300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.2150
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.7850
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.2150
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.7850
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.2150
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.7850
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1504.69, Sell volume: 141.49, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.7500
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.2500
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.7650
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.7700
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.2300
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.7650
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.7650
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.7750
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.2250
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.7650
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.7500
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2500
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.7600
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.2400
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.7500
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.2500
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.7500
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.2500
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 591.89, Sell volume: 30.49, Average price: 0.5357, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.7883

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.5650
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.4350
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5700
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.4300
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.4750
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.5250
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.4750
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.5250
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.4900
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.5100
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.4900
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.5100
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.4900
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1504.69, Sell volume: 141.49, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.4950
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5050
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.3000
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.7000
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.5650
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.4350
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.4550
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5450
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.4500
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.5500
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.4650
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.5350
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.4450
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.5550
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.4100
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.5900
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 52.58, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.5400, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.4100
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.5900
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.4100
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.5900
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5750
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.4250
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5750
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.4250
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5750
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.4250
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.5750
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.4250
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.5750
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.4250
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.5750
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.5600
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 46.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4750, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.4900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.5600
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.4400
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.5600
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.4400
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 13.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5250, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.7150
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.7400
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.2600
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.7400
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.2600
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.7400
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.2600
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.7400
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.2600
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.7400
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.2600
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.7400
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.2600
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.7400
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.2600
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.7800
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 110.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7467, Price range: 0.7200 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.7800
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.2200
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.7800
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.2200
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.7800
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.2200
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.7800
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.2200
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.7800
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.2200
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.7800
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.2200
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.7800
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.2200
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.7850
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.2150
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.7850
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.2150
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.7850
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.2150
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.7850
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.2150
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.7850
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.2150
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.7850
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1504.69, Sell volume: 141.49, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.7850
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.2150
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.7850
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.2150
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.7850
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.2150
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.2150
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.2150
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.2150
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.2150
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.2150
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.2150
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 402.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5160, Price range: 0.2320 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 89.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.7800
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.2200
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1504.69, Sell volume: 141.49, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 61.00, Average price: 0.7700, Price range: 0.7700 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.74, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2300, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.2300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.2150
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.7850
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.2150
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.7850
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.2150
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.7850
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1504.69, Sell volume: 141.49, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525437
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Zelensky 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 1646.182951
Price History:
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.7500
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.2500
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.7650
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.7700
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.2300
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.7650
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.7650
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.7750
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.2250
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.7650
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.7500
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2500
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.7600
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.2400
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.7500
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.2500
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.7500
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.2500
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 591.89, Sell volume: 30.49, Average price: 0.5357, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.7883
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.3750
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.6250
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.3550
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.6450
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.3950
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.6050
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.3950
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.6050
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.4250
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.5750
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.4250
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.5750
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.4250
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.5750
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.5750
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.5750
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.5750
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 832.15, Sell volume: 107.80, Average price: 0.7082, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5750
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.5750
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.5750
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.5750
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.4100
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5900
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.4200
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.5800
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.4200
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.5800
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.5150
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.4850
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.5150
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.4850
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.5150
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 832.15, Sell volume: 107.80, Average price: 0.7082, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.5750
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.5750
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5700
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.4300
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5700
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.4300
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5700
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.4300
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5650
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.4350
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5700
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.4300
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5700
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.4300
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5700
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.4300
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.5650
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.4350
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.5700
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.4300
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.5700
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.4300
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.5450
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 104.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4771, Price range: 0.4771 - 0.4771

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.5300
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.4700
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.5300
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.4700
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.5300
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.4700
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.7550
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.2450
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.7550
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.2450
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.7550
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.2450
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.6550
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.3450
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.6550
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.3450
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.6450
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.3550
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.6400
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.3600
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.4050
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.5950
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.4150
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 175.20, Sell volume: 44.80, Average price: 0.4943, Price range: 0.4786 - 0.5100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.3150
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.6850
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.3150
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.6850
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.3150
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.6850
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.3150
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.6850
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.2850
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.2750
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.7250
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.2750
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.7250
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.4050
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.5950
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.5050
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.4950
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.5100
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.3450
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.6550
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.3450
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.6550
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.3450
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 832.15, Sell volume: 107.80, Average price: 0.7082, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.5450
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.4550
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.5650
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.4350
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.5650
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.4350
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.5650
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.4350
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.5650
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.4350
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.3300
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.3300
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.3300
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.3300
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.3300
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.3300
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.3300
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 832.15, Sell volume: 107.80, Average price: 0.7082, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.3300
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.6600
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.3400
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.6600
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.3400
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.6600
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.3400
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.6600
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.3400
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.6600
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.3400
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.6500
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.3500
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.6550
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.3450
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.6550
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.3450
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.6450
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.3550
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.6450
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.3550
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.6450
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.3550
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.6300
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 832.15, Sell volume: 107.80, Average price: 0.7082, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.6300
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.3700
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.6450
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.3550
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.6200
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.3800
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.6450
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.3550
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.6250
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.3750
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.6450
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.3550
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.6300
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.3700
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.6450
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.3550
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.6350
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.3650
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.6300
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.3700
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.6250
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.3750
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.6250
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.3750
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.6250
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 832.15, Sell volume: 107.80, Average price: 0.7082, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.6250
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.6150
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.3850
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.6000
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.4000
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.6150
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.3850
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.6300
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.3700
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.6450
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.3550
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.6450
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 832.15, Sell volume: 107.80, Average price: 0.7082, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.6400
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.3600
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.5650
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.4350
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.6100
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.3900
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.6000
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.4000
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.6000
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.4000
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.6000
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.4000
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.6050
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.3950
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.6000
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.4000
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.6000
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.4000
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.6000
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.4000
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.6000
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.4000
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.6000
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.4000
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.6000
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 832.15, Sell volume: 107.80, Average price: 0.7082, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.6000
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.4000
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.4550
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.5450
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.4250
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.5750
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.3900
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.6100
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.3400
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.6600
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.3400
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.6600
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.3600
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.6400
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.3300
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.6700
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.3400
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.6600
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.3400
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.6600
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.3750
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 832.15, Sell volume: 107.80, Average price: 0.7082, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.3750
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.6250
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.3750
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.6250
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.3800
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.6200
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.3800
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.6200
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.3800
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.6200
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.3800
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.6200
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.3800
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.6200
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.3800
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.6200
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.3800
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.6200
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.3800
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.6200
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.3800
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.6200
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.3800
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.6200
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.3800
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 832.15, Sell volume: 107.80, Average price: 0.7082, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.3800
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.6200
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.3500
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.6500
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.3150
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.6850
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.2500
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.7500
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.4350
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.5650
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.4150
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.5850
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.4050
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.5950
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.5100
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.4900
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.4300
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.5700
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.4000
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.6000
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.3850
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.6150
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0450
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9550
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 552.15, Sell volume: 63.00, Average price: 0.7681, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.3750
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.6250
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.3550
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.6450
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.3950
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.6050
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.3950
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.6050
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.4250
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.5750
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.4250
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.5750
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.4250
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.5750
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.5750
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.5750
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.5750
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 832.15, Sell volume: 107.80, Average price: 0.7082, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5750
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.5750
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.5750
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.5750
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.4100
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5900
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.4200
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.5800
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.4200
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.5800
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.5150
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.4850
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.5150
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.4850
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.5150
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 832.15, Sell volume: 107.80, Average price: 0.7082, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.5750
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.5750
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5700
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.4300
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5700
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.4300
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5700
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.4300
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5650
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.4350
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5700
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.4300
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5700
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.4300
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5700
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.4300
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.5650
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.4350
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.5700
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.4300
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.5700
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.4300
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.5450
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 104.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4771, Price range: 0.4771 - 0.4771
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No