Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702093
Question: Will Amazon dip to $215 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1360.076
Price History:
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0300
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9700
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0300
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9700
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0300
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1360.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9962, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702093
Question: Will Amazon dip to $215 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1360.076
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0210
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9790
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0160
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1360.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9962, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702093
Question: Will Amazon dip to $215 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1360.076
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0160
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9840
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0160
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9840
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0160
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9840
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0155
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9845
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0155
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9845
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0155
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1360.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9962, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702093
Question: Will Amazon dip to $215 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1360.076
Price History:
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0155
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9845
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0155
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9845
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0155
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9845
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0155
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9845
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0350
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9650
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0355
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1360.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9962, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702093
Question: Will Amazon dip to $215 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1360.076
Price History:
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0350
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9650
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0305
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9695
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0350
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9650
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0305
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9695
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 38.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702093
Question: Will Amazon dip to $215 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 1360.076
Price History:
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1360.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9962, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702093
Question: Will Amazon dip to $215 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 1360.076
Price History:
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1360.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9962, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702093
Question: Will Amazon dip to $215 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 1360.076
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1360.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9962, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702093
Question: Will Amazon dip to $215 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 1360.076
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.4600
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.4700
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.5300
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.4700
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.5300
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.4700
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.5300
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.4700
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.5300
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.4700
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1360.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9962, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702093
Question: Will Amazon dip to $215 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 1360.076
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.4600
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.5400
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.4600
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.5400
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4600
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5400
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.4600
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5400
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.4600
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5400
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.4650
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1360.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9962, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702093
Question: Will Amazon dip to $215 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 1360.076
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.4650
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.4650
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.5350
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.4650
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.5350
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.4450
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.5550
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.4100
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1360.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9962, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702093
Question: Will Amazon dip to $215 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 1360.076
Price History:
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0400
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9600
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0400
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9600
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0350
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9650
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0350
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9650
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0300
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9700
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0300
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1360.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9962, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702093
Question: Will Amazon dip to $215 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 1360.076
Price History:
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0300
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9700
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0300
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9700
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0300
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9700
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0300
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9700
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0300
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9700
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1360.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9962, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702093
Question: Will Amazon dip to $215 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 1360.076
Price History:
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0300
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9700
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0300
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9700
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0300
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1360.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9962, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702093
Question: Will Amazon dip to $215 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 1360.076
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0210
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9790
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0160
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1360.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9962, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702093
Question: Will Amazon dip to $215 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 1360.076
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0160
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9840
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0160
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9840
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0160
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9840
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0155
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9845
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0155
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9845
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0155
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1360.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9962, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702093
Question: Will Amazon dip to $215 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 1360.076
Price History:
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0155
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9845
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0155
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9845
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0155
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9845
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0155
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9845
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0350
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9650
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0355
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1360.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9962, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702093
Question: Will Amazon dip to $215 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 1360.076
Price History:
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0350
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9650
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0305
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9695
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0350
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9650
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0305
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9695
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 38.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.5100
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.4950
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.4950
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9600
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9740
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9790
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9810
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0195
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9805
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9780
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0230
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9805
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9810
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9710
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9710
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0295
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0160
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0170
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0190
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9745
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0265
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0260
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0265
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0235
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9785
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9860
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9860
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0140
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9820
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0170
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0165
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0165
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9825
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0170
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0170
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0160
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0160
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9880
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0120
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9870
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9880
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9870
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9890
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0110
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9875
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9860
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9860
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 179820, Buy volume: 12708019.82, Sell volume: 575823.60, Average price: 0.8494, Price range: 0.0029 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0050
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9955
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0045
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9955
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9955
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0050
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9950
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0045
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9955
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9955
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9955
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0050
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 171828, Buy volume: 15229844.91, Sell volume: 2819237.94, Average price: 0.7084, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9945
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0055
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9940
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0070
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9935
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9935
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9930
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9935
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9930
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0065
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0070
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9930
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.9870
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0165
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9835
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0160
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0235
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0225
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0495
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.0435
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9720
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9720
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0290
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9715
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.0225
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0225
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9840
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9815
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0185
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9810
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0185
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.9820
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0175
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.0175
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9825
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9820
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.9825
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0175
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9825
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.0175
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9825
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0175
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9825
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0180
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.9835
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0175
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9920
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0080
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9930
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 289710, Buy volume: 34495353.86, Sell volume: 1017701.28, Average price: 0.8159, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9930
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0075
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9915
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0065
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0045
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0080
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0055
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0055
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9945
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9940
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0055
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9945
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0055
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9945
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9945
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0045
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0045
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9955
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0055
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9945
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0055
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.0100
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0085
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9935
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9925
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9935
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.0075
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9915
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0085
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0085
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9825
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9830
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9840
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0190
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 273726, Buy volume: 48688726.31, Sell volume: 1506172.32, Average price: 0.8514, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9895
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0105
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9895
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.0105
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.0095
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0100
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0095
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9905
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0100
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.9900
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0115
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.9885
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0095
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.0100
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0100
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9900
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0100
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9900
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0100
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0100
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0100
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9900
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9900
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9900
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9910
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9915
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.0080
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0105
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9875
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9900
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0100
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0100
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0080
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.0080
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.0080
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9920
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0080
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9920
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9885
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0115
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9960
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0090
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9955
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0040
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84048, Buy volume: 7286848.82, Sell volume: 3656686.81, Average price: 0.9449, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9900
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0110
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9900
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9890
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9890
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9905
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0090
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0085
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0090
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0065
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.9935
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0070
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9935
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9930
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0060
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0060
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 146, Buy volume: 15291.44, Sell volume: 800.89, Average price: 0.7523, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0050
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9955
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0045
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9955
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 15536.87, Sell volume: 9321.00, Average price: 0.7895, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 190, Buy volume: 21283.12, Sell volume: 2375.21, Average price: 0.8308, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 8646.51, Sell volume: 27.25, Average price: 0.2860, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 165, Buy volume: 26238.60, Sell volume: 7232.42, Average price: 0.8658, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9990
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 134, Buy volume: 27082.50, Sell volume: 9149.95, Average price: 0.9096, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 19352.29, Sell volume: 8970.70, Average price: 0.8291, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 7000.00, Sell volume: 10.38, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2049.78, Sell volume: 64.72, Average price: 0.7625, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2049.78, Sell volume: 64.72, Average price: 0.7625, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2049.78, Sell volume: 64.72, Average price: 0.7625, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2049.78, Sell volume: 64.72, Average price: 0.7625, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2049.78, Sell volume: 64.72, Average price: 0.7625, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2049.78, Sell volume: 64.72, Average price: 0.7625, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.1800
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2049.78, Sell volume: 64.72, Average price: 0.7625, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2049.78, Sell volume: 64.72, Average price: 0.7625, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 22.73, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2200, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.2200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2049.78, Sell volume: 64.72, Average price: 0.7625, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.8200
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.1800
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.8200
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.1800
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.8200
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.1800
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.8200
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.1800
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.8200
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 22.72, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.4300
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.5700
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.1000
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 22.00, Average price: 0.0482, Price range: 0.0482 - 0.0482

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9100
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0600
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9400
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 43.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9881, Price range: 0.9862 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.5100
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.4950
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.7500
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9740
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0190
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9805
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9780
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0240
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9710
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9710
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9840
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9830
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9745
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9740
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9750
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9785
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0140
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9860
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0170
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0165
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0175
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0170
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9840
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0120
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9870
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0120
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9885
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0110
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0140
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 179820, Buy volume: 12708019.82, Sell volume: 575823.60, Average price: 0.8494, Price range: 0.0029 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0050
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9955
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9950
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0050
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9955
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0045
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9955
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 171828, Buy volume: 15229844.91, Sell volume: 2819237.94, Average price: 0.7084, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9945
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9940
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0070
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9935
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0065
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0070
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0070
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9930
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0165
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0160
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9775
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9505
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9720
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.0285
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9715
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0225
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0185
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9815
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0185
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.9815
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.9825
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9820
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.9825
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0175
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9825
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0190
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9835
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0175
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9920
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 289710, Buy volume: 34495353.86, Sell volume: 1017701.28, Average price: 0.8159, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9930
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0085
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9935
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0080
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0055
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9945
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0055
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9945
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0045
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9945
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0055
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0090
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0065
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9935
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0085
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9915
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9825
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0165
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 273726, Buy volume: 48688726.31, Sell volume: 1506172.32, Average price: 0.8514, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9895
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.9895
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.9900
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0100
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0095
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.9900
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0115
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9900
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0100
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9900
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0100
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9900
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0100
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9900
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9900
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9915
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9895
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0125
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0100
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9920
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9920
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9920
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.0080
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0115
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0090
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0045
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84048, Buy volume: 7286848.82, Sell volume: 3656686.81, Average price: 0.9449, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9900
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0100
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0110
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9905
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9910
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0065
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.9935
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0065
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9955
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0060
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 146, Buy volume: 15291.44, Sell volume: 800.89, Average price: 0.7523, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0045
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9955
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0030
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 15536.87, Sell volume: 9321.00, Average price: 0.7895, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 190, Buy volume: 21283.12, Sell volume: 2375.21, Average price: 0.8308, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 8646.51, Sell volume: 27.25, Average price: 0.2860, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 165, Buy volume: 26238.60, Sell volume: 7232.42, Average price: 0.8658, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 134, Buy volume: 27082.50, Sell volume: 9149.95, Average price: 0.9096, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 19352.29, Sell volume: 8970.70, Average price: 0.8291, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590828
Question: Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 260213.23963
Price History:
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 7000.00, Sell volume: 10.38, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2049.78, Sell volume: 64.72, Average price: 0.7625, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2049.78, Sell volume: 64.72, Average price: 0.7625, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2049.78, Sell volume: 64.72, Average price: 0.7625, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2049.78, Sell volume: 64.72, Average price: 0.7625, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2049.78, Sell volume: 64.72, Average price: 0.7625, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2049.78, Sell volume: 64.72, Average price: 0.7625, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.1800
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2049.78, Sell volume: 64.72, Average price: 0.7625, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2049.78, Sell volume: 64.72, Average price: 0.7625, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 22.73, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2200, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.2200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2049.78, Sell volume: 64.72, Average price: 0.7625, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.8200
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.1800
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.8200
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.1800
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.8200
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.1800
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.8200
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.1800
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.8200
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 22.72, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.4300
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.5700
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.1000
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 22.00, Average price: 0.0482, Price range: 0.0482 - 0.0482
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702094
Question: Will Amazon reach $235 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2114.500906
Price History:
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9100
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0600
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9400
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 43.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9881, Price range: 0.9862 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2898.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9428, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2898.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9428, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2898.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9428, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0600
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9400
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0600
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9400
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0600
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9400
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0600
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2898.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9428, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9400
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0600
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2898.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9428, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2898.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9428, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9050
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9700
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0300
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9700
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0300
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 113.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9668, Price range: 0.9205 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 63.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9898, Price range: 0.9898 - 0.9898

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9925
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9925
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2898.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9428, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9925
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9920
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0080
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9915
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0085
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9915
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9915
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2898.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9428, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9920
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0080
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9920
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9920
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0080
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 6.76, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 444.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9959, Price range: 0.9959 - 0.9959

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 946.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8000, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2898.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9428, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2898.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9428, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2898.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9428, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0600
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9400
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0600
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9400
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0600
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9400
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0600
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2898.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9428, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9400
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0600
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2898.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9428, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2898.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9428, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9050
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9700
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0300
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9700
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0300
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 113.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9668, Price range: 0.9205 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 63.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9898, Price range: 0.9898 - 0.9898
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9925
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9925
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2898.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9428, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9925
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9920
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0080
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9915
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0085
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9915
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9915
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2898.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9428, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9920
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0080
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9920
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9920
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0080
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 6.76, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 444.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9959, Price range: 0.9959 - 0.9959
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702096
Question: Will Amazon reach $250 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2898.13095
Price History:
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 946.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8000, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657132
Question: Will Amazon reach $312 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60109.702803
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.3750
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.3750
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.3750
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.3750
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.3750
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.3750
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.3750
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.3750
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.3750
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.3750
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.3750
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.3750
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.3750
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.3750
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.3750
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.3750
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.3750
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.3750
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.3750
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0300
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0325
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0325
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0325
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0325
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0325
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0325
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0325
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0325
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0325
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0325
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0325
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0325
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0325
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0325
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0345
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0345
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0530, Price range: 0.0530 - 0.0530

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657132
Question: Will Amazon reach $312 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60109.702803
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0335
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0345
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0345
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0345
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0345
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0340
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0340
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0340
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0340
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0340
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0340
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0205
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0205
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0205
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0205
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0155
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0160
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0160
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0165
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0160
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0160
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0160
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0160
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0160
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0160
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0180
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0290
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0305
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0305
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0305
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0305
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0305
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0305
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0305
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0305
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 383.28, Sell volume: 33.03, Average price: 0.5989, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657132
Question: Will Amazon reach $312 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60109.702803
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0300
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0295
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0295
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0295
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0285
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0285
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0285
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0275
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0270
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0265
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0240
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0265
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0245
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0220
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0225
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0210
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0225
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0225
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0225
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0225
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0220
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0220
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0205
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0205
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0205
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0180
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0180
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 502.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9231, Price range: 0.0360 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657132
Question: Will Amazon reach $312 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60109.702803
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0175
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0150
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0085
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0175
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0180
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0180
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0180
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0145
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0175
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0190
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0185
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0185
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0185
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0185
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0180
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0180
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0180
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0180
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0180
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0180
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0180
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 197.77, Sell volume: 197.34, Average price: 0.8835, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657132
Question: Will Amazon reach $312 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60109.702803
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0185
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0185
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0185
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0185
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0185
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0185
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0185
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0185
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0185
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0185
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0185
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0185
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0185
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0185
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0185
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0185
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0185
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0185
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0185
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0185
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0185
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0185
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0185
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0185
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0185
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0185
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0185
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0185
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0185
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0190
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0190
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0190
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0190
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0190
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0190
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0190
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0190
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0190
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0190
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0190
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0190
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0190
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0190
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0190
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0190
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0190
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0190
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0190
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0185
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 122.82, Sell volume: 40.20, Average price: 0.7968, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657132
Question: Will Amazon reach $312 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60109.702803
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0180
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0180
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0180
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0180
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0190
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0190
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0190
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0185
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0185
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0185
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0185
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0185
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0395
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0395
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0395
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0400
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0345
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0315
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0310
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0295
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0300
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0310
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0345
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0345
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0345
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0345
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0345
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0340
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0340
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0125
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0090
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0085
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0065
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0080
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 4902.69, Sell volume: 4917.98, Average price: 0.8032, Price range: 0.0029 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657132
Question: Will Amazon reach $312 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60109.702803
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0085
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0080
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0090
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0090
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0090
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0090
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0090
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0090
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0090
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0090
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0090
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0080
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0080
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0080
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0080
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 82.11, Sell volume: 20.10, Average price: 0.9936, Price range: 0.9885 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657132
Question: Will Amazon reach $312 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60109.702803
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0090
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0085
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0085
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0085
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0085
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0085
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0085
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0085
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0090
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0085
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0085
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0085
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0085
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0085
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0085
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0085
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0090
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0090
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0095
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0095
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0095
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0095
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0090
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0090
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0090
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0090
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0090
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0090
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0090
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0090
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0080
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 98.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9938, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657132
Question: Will Amazon reach $312 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60109.702803
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0080
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0080
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0075
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0080
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0135
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0135
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0135
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0130
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0135
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0140
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0115
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0115
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0115
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0115
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 460.37, Sell volume: 400.00, Average price: 0.8948, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657132
Question: Will Amazon reach $312 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60109.702803
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0090
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0090
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0090
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0090
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0085
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0085
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0085
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0080
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0080
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0080
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0080
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0080
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0080
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 220.08, Sell volume: 1402.89, Average price: 0.6784, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes