Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.7350
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.7350
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.2800
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.1700
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.1300
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.8500
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.8200
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.8200
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.8200
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.8250
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.8250
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.1700
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.2100
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.1800
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.1300
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.8400
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.2050
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.8400
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.2150
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.2550
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.2700
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.2400
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.2000
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.8050
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.1750
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.1850
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.1650
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.1550
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.1400
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.1600
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.1500
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.8400
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.8750
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.8450
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.8850
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.1400
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.8650
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.8400
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.8850
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.8550
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8400
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.8600
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.8400
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.1600
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.8450
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.1600
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17982, Buy volume: 338989.14, Sell volume: 4115.88, Average price: 0.4911, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.1550
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.1600
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.1550
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.8450
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.1550
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.1550
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.1450
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.1450
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.1450
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.1450
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.1450
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.1450
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.1450
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.1450
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.1450
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.8550
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.1450
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.1450
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.8550
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.1450
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.8450
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.1550
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.8450
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.1550
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.1550
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.1550
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.8450
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.1500
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.1250
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.1250
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.7100
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.7100
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.2850
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.7300
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.7300
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.7300
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.2700
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.7350
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.7350
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.7350
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.6500
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.6500
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.6600
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.6500
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.6600
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 131868, Buy volume: 3815643.38, Sell volume: 502896.60, Average price: 0.5999, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.7250
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.2650
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.2700
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.2550
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.2600
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.7250
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.7200
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.7750
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.2800
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.8050
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.7800
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.2050
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.7350
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.2550
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.2650
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.2600
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.2500
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.2600
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.2550
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.2600
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.8150
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.1850
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.2000
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.2200
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.2050
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.8000
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.2250
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.7650
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.7700
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.7850
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.2250
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.8000
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.2000
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.1950
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.1950
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.2450
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.7900
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.8050
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.8000
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.8000
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.8000
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.2000
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.1750
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.1350
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.8700
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.1450
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.8450
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.1450
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137862, Buy volume: 6173481.98, Sell volume: 149730.12, Average price: 0.6521, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.1950
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.1950
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.1900
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.1950
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.8050
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.7950
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.2050
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.7950
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.2100
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.2250
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.2250
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.7900
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.2050
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.7900
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.2150
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.7800
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.7800
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.3600
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.3400
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.3400
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.6650
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.3300
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.3250
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.3200
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.6800
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.6950
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.7150
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.2850
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.3350
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.3350
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.3550
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.3850
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.3800
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.4650
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.6700
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.6300
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.8000
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.2350
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.3700
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.2800
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6750
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3600
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.6300
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 573984, Buy volume: 41321766.10, Sell volume: 4256054.88, Average price: 0.5049, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9385

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.7400
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.7250
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.2600
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.2400
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.2300
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.7700
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.7650
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.2450
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.2550
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.2650
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.2550
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.7300
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.6650
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.3400
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.3250
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.3150
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.3100
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.3200
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.3250
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.6900
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.3100
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.3350
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.3350
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.6650
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.3250
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.3300
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.6550
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.3450
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.6750
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.6850
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.6850
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.7050
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.7050
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.2950
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.7050
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.2950
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.2950
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.2950
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.2900
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.2700
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.7150
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.2650
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.2700
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.7450
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.7450
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.7450
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 441, Buy volume: 21843.30, Sell volume: 20469.24, Average price: 0.5027, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9833

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.5750
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.6400
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.4500
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.5900
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.3850
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.6300
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.3600
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.6300
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.3650
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.6350
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.3550
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.6400
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.3550
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.6450
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.3450
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.6550
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.3400
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.6600
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.3350
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.6600
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.3450
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.6550
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.3400
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.6550
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.3250
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.6750
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.3250
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.6850
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.3150
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55061908.60, Sell volume: 6747222.32, Average price: 0.5431, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9833
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.3250
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.6750
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.3250
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.6750
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.3250
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.6800
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.3200
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.6800
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.3250
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.6750
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.3250
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.6750
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.3250
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.6750
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.3250
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.6750
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.3250
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.6650
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.3350
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.6650
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.3350
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.6650
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.3350
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.6650
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.3350
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.6650
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.3350
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.6650
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.3350
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55061908.60, Sell volume: 6747222.32, Average price: 0.5431, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9833
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.3450
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.6550
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.3550
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.6450
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.3550
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.6450
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.3550
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.6450
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.3550
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.6450
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.3550
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.6450
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.3550
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.6450
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.3550
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.6450
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.3550
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.6450
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.3550
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.6450
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.3550
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.6450
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.3550
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.6450
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.3550
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.6450
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.3550
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.6450
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.3550
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55061908.60, Sell volume: 6747222.32, Average price: 0.5431, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9833
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.6350
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.3650
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.6650
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.3350
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.6650
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.3450
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.6550
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.3450
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.6550
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.3450
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.6550
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.2350
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.7700
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.2350
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.6500
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.3700
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.6350
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.2400
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.6350
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.3900
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.6050
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.4050
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.5950
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.4100
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.5900
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.4350
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.5400
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.4650
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55061908.60, Sell volume: 6747222.32, Average price: 0.5431, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9833
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.4650
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.5200
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.4750
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.5250
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.4700
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.5200
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.4800
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.5350
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.4650
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.5350
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.4650
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.5300
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.4750
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.5200
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.5200
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.4950
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.5900
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.4100
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.5850
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.4200
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.5900
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.4000
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.6000
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.3950
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.3850
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.6150
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.3750
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.6200
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21978, Buy volume: 776078.94, Sell volume: 3156.84, Average price: 0.6181, Price range: 0.3996 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.6300
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.3650
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.6900
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.3050
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.6950
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.3100
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.6900
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.3350
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.6950
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.3350
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.6600
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.3250
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.6850
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.3100
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.6900
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.3650
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.6350
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.4400
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.5050
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.4950
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.5450
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.4900
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.5100
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.4900
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.5100
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.4900
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.5100
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.4950
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.5050
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49950, Buy volume: 922118.35, Sell volume: 42017.94, Average price: 0.6552, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.4700
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.5300
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.3150
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.6850
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.3050
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.7100
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.4900
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.5150
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.4850
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.5150
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.4850
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.5200
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.4850
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.5150
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.4800
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.5200
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.4800
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.5200
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.4800
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.5200
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.4750
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.5250
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.4850
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.7400
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.2700
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.7300
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.3100
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.6950
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.2550
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17982, Buy volume: 3567.85, Sell volume: 1195343.46, Average price: 0.3179, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.7750
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.7750
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.2250
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.2250
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.2250
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.2250
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.2300
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.2300
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.2300
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.7700
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.2250
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.7750
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.7700
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.7700
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.7700
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.7650
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.1300
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.7700
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.7600
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.7600
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.1350
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.8650
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.8650
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9000
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.0900
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.7250
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.1200
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41958, Buy volume: 1568529.90, Sell volume: 573426.00, Average price: 0.4648, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.7350
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.1750
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.8450
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.1500
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.8300
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.1900
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.8250
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.2100
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.8650
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.8250
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.8400
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.7950
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.2700
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.8000
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.1750
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.8300
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.1550
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.8750
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.8700
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.1200
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.8850
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.8800
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.8800
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.1150
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.1150
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.8550
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.1350
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.1600
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.1550
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17982, Buy volume: 338989.14, Sell volume: 4115.88, Average price: 0.4911, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.1550
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.1550
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.1550
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.8450
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.1500
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.8550
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.8550
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.1450
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.8550
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.1450
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.8550
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.1550
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.8450
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.1550
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.8450
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.1550
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.1250
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.2800
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.7100
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.7300
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.7300
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.2700
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.2650
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.3200
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.6500
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.3500
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.6550
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 131868, Buy volume: 3815643.38, Sell volume: 502896.60, Average price: 0.5999, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.7250
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.7300
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.2500
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.2750
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.7350
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.2250
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.8100
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.7900
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.2600
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.7350
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.2500
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.7450
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.8100
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.8150
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.2150
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.7950
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.7750
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.2350
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.7750
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.2000
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.1950
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.8050
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.8050
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.2000
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.2000
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.1950
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.1350
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.8500
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.1500
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137862, Buy volume: 6173481.98, Sell volume: 149730.12, Average price: 0.6521, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.1950
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.8200
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.1950
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.2050
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.7950
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.7900
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.2350
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.7950
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.2150
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.2200
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.3600
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.6600
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.3650
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.6750
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.6800
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.2850
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.6700
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.6550
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.3850
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.3750
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.4650
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.7200
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.6650
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.7650
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.4000
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4550
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6350
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.6750
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 573984, Buy volume: 41321766.10, Sell volume: 4256054.88, Average price: 0.5049, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9385
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.7400
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.2750
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.2650
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.7700
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.7700
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.7500
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.2650
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.7250
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.6550
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.6800
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.3100
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.6550
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.3100
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.6650
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.3350
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.6750
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.3450
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.6550
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.3150
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.7050
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.2950
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.2950
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.2950
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.7100
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.2900
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.7350
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.7450
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.2550
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 441, Buy volume: 21843.30, Sell volume: 20469.24, Average price: 0.5027, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9833
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.1500
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.1750
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0700
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.1205
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.1215
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.1105
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.1240
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.1140
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0985
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0890
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0310
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0405
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0385
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0340
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0365
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0375
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0315
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0345
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0530
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0525
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0520
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0530
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0540
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0515
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0515
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0515
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0515
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0515
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0525
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0525
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0525
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0540
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0535
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0520
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0510
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0370
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0380
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0380
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0355
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0395
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0375
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0360
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0370
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0370
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0370
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0370
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0370
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0370
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 488107946.36, Sell volume: 100593143.98, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0380
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0470
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0470
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0460
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0460
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0450
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0310
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0255
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0250
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0250
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0275
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0280
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0295
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.0290
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.0290
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0315
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0325
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0360
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0355
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.0315
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0345
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0320
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0325
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0360
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.0345
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0355
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.0450
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.0670
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.0580
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0590
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.0560
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0670
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.0675
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.0520
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0390
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.0355
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.0355
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 488107946.36, Sell volume: 100593143.98, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.0355
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.0320
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0360
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.0340
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0320
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.0320
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.0325
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.0375
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.0550
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.0525
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.0435
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.0375
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.0405
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0360
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.0410
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.0410
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.0405
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.0410
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.0410
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.0410
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.0410
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.0405
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0375
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.0375
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.0375
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.0375
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.0380
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.0410
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0425
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0425
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.0400
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.0400
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.0410
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.0410
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0410
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.0410
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.0410
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.0410
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.0410
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.0460
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.0470
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.0470
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.0545
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.0545
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.0500
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0500
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.0535
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.0535
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0510
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.0535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 488107946.36, Sell volume: 100593143.98, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.0525
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.0525
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.0530
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0550
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.0550
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.0555
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.0555
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.0555
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.0555
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.0555
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0550
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.0515
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.0515
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.0515
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.0515
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0515
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0515
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.0480
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.0505
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.0510
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.0445
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.0430
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0430
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.0430
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0430
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.0435
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.0415
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0415
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.0395
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0395
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0395
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.0395
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.0395
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.0395
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.0395
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.0395
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.0395
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.0480
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0465
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.0490
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.0490
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0505
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0515
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.0580
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.0585
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.0590
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.0565
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.0570
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.0575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 488107946.36, Sell volume: 100593143.98, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0540
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0540
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0540
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0535
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.0535
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.0490
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0485
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.0475
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.0475
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0470
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0490
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.0495
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0480
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.0480
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.0480
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0480
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0480
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0395
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.0370
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.0350
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.0355
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0360
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.0365
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0375
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0375
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0375
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0375
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.0380
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0380
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0380
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0380
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0380
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.0380
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0380
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.0380
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.0375
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0375
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.0380
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0380
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0375
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0365
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0370
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.0370
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.0370
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.0380
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0380
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.0380
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.0380
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0440
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 488107946.36, Sell volume: 100593143.98, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0460
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.0400
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0400
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0400
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.0405
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0420
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.0415
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.0415
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.0415
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.0425
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0370
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0355
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.0295
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.0295
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.0310
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.0345
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.0335
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0345
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0385
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.0390
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.0385
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0405
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.0350
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0345
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.0355
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0380
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0465
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.0415
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0500
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0485
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.0430
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0430
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0420
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.0425
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0440
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0425
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.0425
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0425
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0420
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0420
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.0425
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0420
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0420
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.0420
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0340
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0345
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0325
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0345
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 488107946.36, Sell volume: 100593143.98, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0280
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.0260
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.0230
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0255
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.0245
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.0245
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0245
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0205
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.0205
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0245
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0240
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.0290
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0400
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.0370
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0295
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0300
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0210
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.0210
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0190
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0185
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.0190
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0210
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0200
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.0200
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0305
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0220
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0225
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0285
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0290
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.0325
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0360
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.0360
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0365
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0365
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0375
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0375
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0375
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0380
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0380
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0410
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0410
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0410
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0410
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0440
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0410
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0455
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0445
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0305
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0360
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 505494, Buy volume: 177236850.70, Sell volume: 22106990.88, Average price: 0.5925, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9830

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0400
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.0405
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0495
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0480
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0475
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0485
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0485
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0485
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0385
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0430
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0445
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0420
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0415
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0430
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0425
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0425
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0380
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.0425
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0385
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0405
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0395
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0380
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0380
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0390
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0385
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.0450
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.0460
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0415
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0425
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.0465
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0450
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.0455
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.0470
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0480
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0510
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0480
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0475
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0490
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0485
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0510
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0480
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.0470
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0440
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0515
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0515
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0500
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.0495
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0580
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0580
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.0580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 451548, Buy volume: 303643361.36, Sell volume: 61692345.90, Average price: 0.5049, Price range: 0.0370 - 0.9654

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0560
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.0425
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.0425
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.0480
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0475
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0500
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0485
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0465
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.0550
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0580
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0580
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0580
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0575
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0575
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0605
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0595
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0645
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.0665
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0610
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.0605
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0600
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0640
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.0640
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0655
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0655
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0655
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.0655
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.0630
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.0630
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0630
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0640
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0660
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.0605
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0630
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0630
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0615
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0605
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0615
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0615
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0510
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0485
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0525
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0575
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0560
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0605
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0585
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0585
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0635
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0655
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.0655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42109, Buy volume: 6810353.64, Sell volume: 16474958.84, Average price: 0.2218, Price range: 0.0440 - 0.9550

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0710
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0695
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0640
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0670
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0600
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0600
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0625
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0570
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0575
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0600
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0615
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0625
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0645
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0650
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0585
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0645
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0650
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0655
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0665
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.0685
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0680
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0690
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.0680
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0595
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0595
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0620
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0635
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0635
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0635
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0640
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0625
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0630
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0625
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0625
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0640
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0660
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0665
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0620
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.0620
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0620
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0615
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0605
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0610
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0615
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0615
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0620
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0615
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0615
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0655
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 232, Buy volume: 60763.68, Sell volume: 40255.11, Average price: 0.4785, Price range: 0.0542 - 0.9450

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0680
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0710
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0680
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0670
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0675
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0655
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0615
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0675
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0670
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0670
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0680
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0685
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0635
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0640
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0620
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0540
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0510
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0490
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0340
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0345
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0325
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0345
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0290
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0290
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0360
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0350
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0350
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0350
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0200
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0295
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0295
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0335
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0335
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0335
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0300
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0300
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0300
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0295
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0290
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0310
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0310
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0310
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0305
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0305
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0290
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0290
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0270
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 234, Buy volume: 114954.68, Sell volume: 65027.96, Average price: 0.4981, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9820

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0290
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0300
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0325
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0420
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0385
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0385
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0385
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0395
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0395
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0400
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0385
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0375
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0355
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0350
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0395
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0395
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0380
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0395
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0395
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0395
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0395
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0395
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0430
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0390
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0410
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0405
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0400
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0400
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0400
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0420
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0415
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0440
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0435
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0430
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0430
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0440
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0435
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0420
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0425
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0430
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0425
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0445
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0445
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0430
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0420
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 106, Buy volume: 76896.89, Sell volume: 3120.65, Average price: 0.4916, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9680

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0445
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0445
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0440
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0435
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0460
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0405
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0415
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0430
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0410
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0415
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0415
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0410
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0400
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0355
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0395
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0400
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0385
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0335
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0355
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0345
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0400
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0525
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0495
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0355
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0370
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0385
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0375
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0370
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0370
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0375
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0375
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0370
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0365
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0360
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0340
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0335
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0300
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0265
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0270
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0095
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 268, Buy volume: 155691.49, Sell volume: 210164.01, Average price: 0.5474, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.1500
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.8250
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0700
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.8795
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.1105
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.8760
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0985
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9110
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0405
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0365
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9625
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0345
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9470
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0520
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9470
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0515
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9485
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0515
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9485
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0525
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9475
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0535
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9480
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0370
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9620
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0355
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9605
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0360
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 488107946.36, Sell volume: 100593143.98, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0380
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9530
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0460
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9540
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0310
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9745
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0250
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9725
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.9705
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9710
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.9710
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.9710
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.0290
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.9710
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0325
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.9640
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.0315
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.9655
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0325
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.9640
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0355
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.9550
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.0580
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.9410
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0670
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.9325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 488107946.36, Sell volume: 100593143.98, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.0355
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.9680
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.0340
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.9680
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.0325
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.9625
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.0525
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.9565
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.0405
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.9640
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.0410
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.9595
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.0410
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.9590
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.0405
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.9625
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.0375
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.9625
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.0410
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.9575
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.0400
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.9600
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.0410
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.9590
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.0410
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.9590
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.0460
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.9530
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.0545
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.9455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 488107946.36, Sell volume: 100593143.98, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.0525
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.9475
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0550
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.0555
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.9445
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.0555
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.0515
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.9485
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0515
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.9485
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.0505
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.9490
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.0430
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.9570
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0430
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.9565
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0415
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.9605
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0395
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.9605
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.0395
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.9605
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.9605
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0465
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.9510
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0505
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.9485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 488107946.36, Sell volume: 100593143.98, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0540
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.9460
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0535
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.9465
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0485
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.9525
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0470
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.9510
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0480
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.9520
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0480
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.9520
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.0370
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.9650
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0360
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.9635
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0375
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9625
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.0380
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.9620
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0380
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.9620
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0380
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.9620
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0375
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.9620
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0375
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.9635
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.0370
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 488107946.36, Sell volume: 100593143.98, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0460
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.9600
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0400
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.9595
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.0415
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9585
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.9575
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0355
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9705
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.0310
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.9655
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0345
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.9615
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.0385
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.9595
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0345
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9645
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0465
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.9585
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0485
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.9570
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0420
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9575
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0425
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9575
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0420
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.9580
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0420
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 488107946.36, Sell volume: 100593143.98, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0280
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9740
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0255
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.9755
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0245
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.9795
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0245
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.9760
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0400
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.9630
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0300
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.9790
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0190
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.9815
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0210
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9800
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0305
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9780
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0285
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.9710
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0360
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.9640
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0365
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.9625
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0375
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9620
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0410
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.9590
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0410
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9560
Trade Summary: Total trades: 505494, Buy volume: 177236850.70, Sell volume: 22106990.88, Average price: 0.5925, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9830
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0400
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.9595
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0480
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.9525
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0485
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9515
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0430
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9555
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0415
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.9570
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0425
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9620
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0385
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.9595
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0380
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9620
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0385
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.9550
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0415
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.9575
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0450
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.9545
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0480
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9490
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0475
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.9510
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0510
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9520
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0440
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 451548, Buy volume: 303643361.36, Sell volume: 61692345.90, Average price: 0.5049, Price range: 0.0370 - 0.9654
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0560
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.9575
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.0480
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.9525
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0485
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.9535
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0580
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.9420
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0575
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.9425
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0595
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.9355
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0610
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.9395
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0640
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.9360
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0655
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.9345
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.0630
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.9370
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0640
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9340
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0630
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.9370
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0605
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.9385
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0510
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9515
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0575
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.9440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42109, Buy volume: 6810353.64, Sell volume: 16474958.84, Average price: 0.2218, Price range: 0.0440 - 0.9550
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0710
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.9305
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0670
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.9400
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0625
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9430
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0600
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.9385
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0645
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.9350
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0645
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.9350
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0665
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.9315
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0690
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.9320
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0595
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.9380
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0635
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9365
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0625
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.9370
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0625
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.9360
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0665
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9380
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0620
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.9385
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0610
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.9385
Trade Summary: Total trades: 232, Buy volume: 60763.68, Sell volume: 40255.11, Average price: 0.4785, Price range: 0.0542 - 0.9450
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0680
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9290
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0670
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9325
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0615
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9325
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0670
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9320
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9365
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0620
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9460
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0490
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0345
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9675
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0290
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9710
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0350
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9650
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0200
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9705
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0335
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9665
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0300
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9700
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0295
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9710
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0310
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 234, Buy volume: 114954.68, Sell volume: 65027.96, Average price: 0.4981, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9820
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0290
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9700
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9580
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0385
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9615
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0395
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9600
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0375
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9645
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0395
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9605
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0395
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9605
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0395
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9605
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0390
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9590
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0400
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9600
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0420
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9585
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9565
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0430
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9605
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0435
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9580
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0430
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 106, Buy volume: 76896.89, Sell volume: 3120.65, Average price: 0.4916, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541390
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 2392656.791775
Price History:
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0445
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9555
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0435
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9540
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0415
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9570
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0415
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9585
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0400
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9645
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0400
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9615
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0355
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9655
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0525
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9505
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0370
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9615
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0370
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9630
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0375
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9630
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0360
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9660
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0300
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9735
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9905
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 268, Buy volume: 155691.49, Sell volume: 210164.01, Average price: 0.5474, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.2550
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.1700
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.4650
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.4950
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.4800
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.4950
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.4950
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.5050
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.5150
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.6800
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.6850
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.6750
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.6750
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.6900
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.5850
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.6250
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.5800
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.5550
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.6000
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.5950
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.6100
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.5850
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.5750
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.5650
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.6500
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.5900
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.6050
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.6050
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.3350
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.2550
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.2050
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0800
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.1550
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.1900
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.2400
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.2300
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2050
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.2300
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.2350
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.2400
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.2400
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 478345211.74, Sell volume: 565385739.42, Average price: 0.4536, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.7550
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.7450
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.7450
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.7550
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.7450
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.8050
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.8350
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.8200
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.8500
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.8400
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.8300
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.8050
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.8250
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.8250
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.8250
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.8550
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.8350
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.8350
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.8350
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.8350
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.8300
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.8500
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.8450
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.8350
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.8450
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.8650
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.8600
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.9150
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.9250
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.7050
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.6150
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.4050
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.4200
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.5400
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.3750
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.3800
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.3250
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.2400
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.2700
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.2450
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.2400
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.2450
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.2300
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.2450
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.2650
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.2100
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 553446, Buy volume: 413826321.36, Sell volume: 515789314.38, Average price: 0.4514, Price range: 0.1656 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.6950
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.6800
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.6250
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.6650
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.5850
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.5650
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.5500
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.0045
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.0070
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.0080
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.0035
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.0030
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0020
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.0020
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.0020
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.0020
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.0020
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.0020
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0020
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 370248, Buy volume: 52027906.37, Sell volume: 39174061.10, Average price: 0.4362, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 274, Buy volume: 191607.26, Sell volume: 69433.25, Average price: 0.7657, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 93156.54, Sell volume: 50575.70, Average price: 0.7368, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 620.24, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 520.49, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1230.00, Sell volume: 137.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1800.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3590.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1460.00, Sell volume: 288.36, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1160.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 7200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.7450
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.4650
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.5050
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.4800
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.5050
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.5050
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.4850
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.6850
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.3250
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.6900
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.4150
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.5800
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.4450
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.5950
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.5850
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.4250
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.5650
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.3500
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.6050
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.3950
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.2550
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.7950
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.8450
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.2400
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 478345211.74, Sell volume: 565385739.42, Average price: 0.4536, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.7550
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.2550
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.7450
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.2450
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.7450
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.1650
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.8200
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.1600
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.8300
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.1750
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.8250
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.1450
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.8350
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.1650
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.8350
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.1500
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.8450
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.1550
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.8650
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0850
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.9250
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.4050
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.4600
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.3750
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.6750
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.2400
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.7300
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.2450
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 553446, Buy volume: 413826321.36, Sell volume: 515789314.38, Average price: 0.4514, Price range: 0.1656 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.6950
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.3200
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.6650
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.4150
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.5500
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.9955
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.0080
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.9955
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.0030
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.0020
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.9980
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.0020
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.9980
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 370248, Buy volume: 52027906.37, Sell volume: 39174061.10, Average price: 0.4362, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 274, Buy volume: 191607.26, Sell volume: 69433.25, Average price: 0.7657, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 93156.54, Sell volume: 50575.70, Average price: 0.7368, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 620.24, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 520.49, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1230.00, Sell volume: 137.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1800.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3590.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1460.00, Sell volume: 288.36, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1160.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541391
Question: Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4288767.039625
Price History:
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 7200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.4450
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.3100
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.3100
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.2450
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.1750
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.1750
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.1600
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.1600
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.1600
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.1600
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.1600
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.1600
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.1650
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.1600
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.1600
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.1600
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.2600
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.2600
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.2300
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.2350
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.2350
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.2300
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.2350
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.2400
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.2350
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.2350
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.2350
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.2350
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.2350
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.2350
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.2350
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.2350
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.2350
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.2350
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.2350
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.2350
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.2350
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.2350
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.2350
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.2350
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54944099.88, Sell volume: 29619836.28, Average price: 0.4811, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: No