Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.0085
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0085
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 266.00, Sell volume: 728.25, Average price: 0.8293, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0125
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0125
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0095
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0125
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0030
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0030
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0030
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0030
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0030
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0055
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2549.49, Sell volume: 350.00, Average price: 0.6883, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0030
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0030
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0030
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0035
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0030
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.0030
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.0030
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0030
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0055
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 11.35, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.2850
2024-12-05 02:00: 0.1350
2024-12-05 08:00: 0.1750
2024-12-05 14:00: 0.1700
2024-12-05 20:00: 0.1650
2024-12-06 02:00: 0.1650
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.1650
2024-12-06 14:00: 0.1450
2024-12-06 20:00: 0.0700
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.0500
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.0950
2024-12-07 14:00: 0.1550
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.0600
2024-12-08 02:00: 0.1250
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.1250
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.1100
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.0950
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.1000
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.1000
2024-12-09 14:00: 0.1000
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.0650
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.0650
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.0550
2024-12-10 14:00: 0.0600
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.0405
2024-12-11 02:00: 0.0365
2024-12-11 08:00: 0.0350
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.0230
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.0130
2024-12-12 02:00: 0.0145
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.0150
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.0150
2024-12-12 20:00: 0.0145
2024-12-13 02:00: 0.0150
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.0180
2024-12-13 14:00: 0.0170
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.0170
2024-12-14 02:00: 0.0170
2024-12-14 08:00: 0.0170
2024-12-14 14:00: 0.0175
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.0175
2024-12-15 02:00: 0.0175
2024-12-15 08:00: 0.0175
2024-12-15 14:00: 0.0185
2024-12-15 20:00: 0.0180
2024-12-16 02:00: 0.0180
2024-12-16 08:00: 0.0180
2024-12-16 14:00: 0.0170
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.0185
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999029, Buy volume: 26638805.03, Sell volume: 14446471.51, Average price: 0.2191, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.0160
2024-12-17 19:00: 0.0170
2024-12-18 01:00: 0.0155
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.0170
2024-12-18 13:00: 0.0165
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.0185
2024-12-19 01:00: 0.0185
2024-12-19 07:00: 0.0175
2024-12-19 13:00: 0.0185
2024-12-19 19:00: 0.0180
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.0180
2024-12-20 07:00: 0.0185
2024-12-20 13:00: 0.0185
2024-12-20 19:00: 0.0185
2024-12-21 01:00: 0.0185
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.0185
2024-12-21 13:00: 0.0185
2024-12-21 19:00: 0.0185
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.0190
2024-12-22 07:00: 0.0180
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.0180
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.0180
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.0180
2024-12-23 07:00: 0.0180
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.0180
2024-12-23 19:00: 0.0180
2024-12-24 01:00: 0.0180
2024-12-24 07:00: 0.0180
2024-12-24 13:00: 0.0180
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.0180
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.0180
2024-12-25 07:00: 0.0180
2024-12-25 13:00: 0.0180
2024-12-25 19:00: 0.0180
2024-12-26 01:00: 0.0180
2024-12-26 07:00: 0.0185
2024-12-26 13:00: 0.0190
2024-12-26 19:00: 0.0190
2024-12-27 01:00: 0.0190
2024-12-27 07:00: 0.0190
2024-12-27 13:00: 0.0190
2024-12-27 19:00: 0.0200
2024-12-28 01:00: 0.0210
2024-12-28 07:00: 0.0210
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.0210
2024-12-28 19:00: 0.0210
2024-12-29 01:00: 0.0210
2024-12-29 07:00: 0.0185
2024-12-29 13:00: 0.0200
2024-12-29 19:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 3136.89, Sell volume: 1399.99, Average price: 0.7780, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.0210
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0210
2024-12-30 18:00: 0.0200
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0200
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.0180
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.0195
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.0190
2025-01-01 00:00: 0.0190
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.0220
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0210
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.0210
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.0200
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.0205
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.0200
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.0195
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0205
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.0205
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.0190
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.0200
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.0185
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.0205
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.0185
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.0185
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.0180
2025-01-05 06:00: 0.0175
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.0185
2025-01-05 18:00: 0.0165
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.0165
2025-01-06 06:00: 0.0185
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0190
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.0190
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.0160
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.0190
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.0170
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.0180
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0170
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.0180
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.0180
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.0180
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.0165
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.0165
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.0165
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.0165
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.0155
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.0185
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.0185
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.0185
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.0185
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.0185
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 3234.79, Sell volume: 846.53, Average price: 0.6887, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.0135
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.0130
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.0135
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.0150
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.0145
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.0260
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.0210
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.0235
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.0285
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.0265
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.0530
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.0510
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.0465
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.0925
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.0595
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0560
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.0890
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.0825
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.0570
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.0565
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.0565
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.0240
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.0115
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.0110
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.0515
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.0465
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.0465
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.0465
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.0455
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.0455
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.0465
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.0460
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.0460
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.0465
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.0460
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.0460
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.0460
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.0460
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.0460
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.0460
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.0675
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.0460
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.0460
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.0465
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.0465
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.0465
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.0465
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.0465
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0465
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 218, Buy volume: 5044.78, Sell volume: 3862.41, Average price: 0.6070, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0465
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.0465
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.0465
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.0460
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.0460
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.0460
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.0260
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.0260
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.0260
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.0260
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0260
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.0260
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.0260
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.0255
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.0260
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.0260
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.0260
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0260
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0295
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0295
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0295
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0295
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0295
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0295
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0295
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0295
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0295
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0295
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0295
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0295
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0295
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0295
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0290
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0290
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0290
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0290
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0290
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0290
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.0290
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.0290
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.0290
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0290
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0290
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0290
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0295
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0295
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0295
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0295
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0295
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 99.46, Sell volume: 190.28, Average price: 0.4210, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0295
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0295
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0295
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0295
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0295
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0300
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0300
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0300
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0300
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0300
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0300
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.0300
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0300
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0300
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.0265
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0270
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0270
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0275
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0270
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0270
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0270
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0270
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0270
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0270
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0270
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0255
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0130
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0120
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.0120
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0125
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0105
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0110
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0130
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0120
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0105
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0110
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0095
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0105
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0110
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0105
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0110
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0105
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0110
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0125
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0110
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0120
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0130
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.0115
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.0120
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 99.05, Sell volume: 125.09, Average price: 0.5070, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0120
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0130
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0130
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0120
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0150
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0145
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0150
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.0150
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.0150
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.0145
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0150
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.0150
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.0145
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.0145
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.0145
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.0145
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.0145
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0145
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.0145
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.0140
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.0140
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.0140
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0145
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.0140
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.0135
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0135
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0140
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.0140
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0140
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.0235
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0255
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0260
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.0240
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.0245
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0250
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.0255
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.0250
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0255
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0255
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0250
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 3172.29, Sell volume: 1043.07, Average price: 0.7629, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0220
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0225
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0245
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0220
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0230
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0175
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0245
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0220
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0180
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0155
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0165
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0190
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0185
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0200
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0195
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0200
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0170
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0180
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0195
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0175
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0195
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.0105
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0115
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0105
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0115
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0120
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.0115
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0105
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.0140
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.0125
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.0095
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0145
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.0105
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.0095
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.0200
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.0150
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.0165
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.0175
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.0125
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.0170
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.0160
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.0160
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.0140
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.0175
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.0185
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.0185
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.0170
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 2529.62, Sell volume: 1372.99, Average price: 0.6453, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0160
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.0135
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.0165
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0190
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.0185
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.0115
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.0115
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.0100
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.0100
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0155
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.0145
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.0145
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.0150
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0120
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.0150
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.0150
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.0140
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0140
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0135
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.0135
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.0125
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0125
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.0130
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.0125
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.0130
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0130
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.0125
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.0125
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.0125
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0120
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.0115
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.0125
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.0120
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0115
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.0115
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.0120
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0125
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0130
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.0130
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.0125
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.0130
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.0125
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0125
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.0130
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0130
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0125
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.0130
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.0125
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.0130
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 573.08, Sell volume: 5199.07, Average price: 0.6040, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0130
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.0125
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.0125
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0130
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.0130
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0125
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0125
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0125
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0125
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0125
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0125
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0140
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0135
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.0135
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.0140
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0135
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.0115
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0120
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0125
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0130
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.0130
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.0125
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0130
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0130
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0125
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.0125
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0130
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0140
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.0140
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.0140
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0135
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0135
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0135
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0135
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.0140
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0135
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0135
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.0135
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.0130
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0130
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.0125
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.0130
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0130
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0130
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0130
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0130
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0095
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 132, Buy volume: 2316.72, Sell volume: 1533.00, Average price: 0.7515, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0100
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.0075
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0090
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0095
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0095
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0095
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0100
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0095
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0090
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0095
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0095
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.0095
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.0080
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0095
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0090
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0075
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0090
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0085
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0090
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0095
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0095
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0090
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0085
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0085
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0090
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0100
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0095
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 186.09, Average price: 0.8274, Price range: 0.0033 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0090
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0090
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0090
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0045
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0055
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0055
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0010
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0010
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0010
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0010
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 3591.47, Sell volume: 1410.00, Average price: 0.6674, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0030
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0030
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0030
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 12.28, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.2850
2024-12-05 06:00: 0.2000
2024-12-05 16:00: 0.1700
2024-12-06 02:00: 0.1650
2024-12-06 12:00: 0.1500
2024-12-06 22:00: 0.0650
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.0950
2024-12-07 18:00: 0.1400
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.1300
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.1100
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.1000
2024-12-09 10:00: 0.1000
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.0650
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.0700
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.0550
2024-12-11 02:00: 0.0365
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.0250
2024-12-11 22:00: 0.0120
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.0150
2024-12-12 18:00: 0.0150
2024-12-13 04:00: 0.0180
2024-12-13 14:00: 0.0170
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.0175
2024-12-14 10:00: 0.0155
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.0175
2024-12-15 06:00: 0.0180
2024-12-15 16:00: 0.0180
2024-12-16 02:00: 0.0180
2024-12-16 12:00: 0.0185
2024-12-16 22:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999029, Buy volume: 26638805.03, Sell volume: 14446471.51, Average price: 0.2191, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.0160
2024-12-17 23:00: 0.0170
2024-12-18 09:00: 0.0165
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.0185
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.0160
2024-12-19 15:00: 0.0180
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.0180
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.0185
2024-12-20 21:00: 0.0185
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.0185
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.0185
2024-12-22 03:00: 0.0190
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.0180
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.0180
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.0180
2024-12-23 19:00: 0.0180
2024-12-24 05:00: 0.0180
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.0180
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.0180
2024-12-25 11:00: 0.0180
2024-12-25 21:00: 0.0185
2024-12-26 07:00: 0.0185
2024-12-26 17:00: 0.0185
2024-12-27 03:00: 0.0190
2024-12-27 13:00: 0.0190
2024-12-27 23:00: 0.0210
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.0210
2024-12-28 19:00: 0.0210
2024-12-29 05:00: 0.0185
2024-12-29 15:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 3136.89, Sell volume: 1399.99, Average price: 0.7780, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.0210
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.0210
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.0190
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.0195
2024-12-31 22:00: 0.0185
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.0270
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.0210
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0205
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.0195
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0205
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.0180
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.0200
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.0205
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0175
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.0165
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.0185
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.0190
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.0195
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.0190
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.0175
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.0190
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0170
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.0175
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0170
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.0165
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.0165
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.0165
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.0185
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.0185
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 3234.79, Sell volume: 846.53, Average price: 0.6887, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.0135
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.0135
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.0150
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.0260
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.0210
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.0245
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.0530
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.0420
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.0575
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0560
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.0815
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.0570
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.0565
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0120
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.0120
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.0465
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.0465
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.0455
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.0465
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.0460
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.0460
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.0460
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.0460
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.0460
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.0675
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.0460
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.0465
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.0465
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.0465
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.0465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 218, Buy volume: 5044.78, Sell volume: 3862.41, Average price: 0.6070, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0465
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.0465
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.0460
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.0460
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.0260
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.0260
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0260
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.0260
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.0255
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.0260
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0260
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0295
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0295
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.0295
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0295
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0295
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.0295
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0295
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0295
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0295
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0290
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0290
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0290
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.0290
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.0290
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.0290
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.0290
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0295
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.0295
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 99.46, Sell volume: 190.28, Average price: 0.4210, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0295
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.0295
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0295
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0300
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0300
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0300
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0300
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0300
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0300
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0270
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0270
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0270
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0270
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0270
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0265
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0255
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.0130
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.0120
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0105
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0105
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0110
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0110
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0105
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0110
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0110
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0125
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0095
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0120
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0105
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 99.05, Sell volume: 125.09, Average price: 0.5070, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0120
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0130
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0150
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0145
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0150
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.0150
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0150
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.0145
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.0145
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.0145
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.0150
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0145
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.0140
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.0140
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.0140
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0135
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.0140
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.0135
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0255
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.0205
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.0240
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.0255
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0255
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0255
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 3172.29, Sell volume: 1043.07, Average price: 0.7629, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0220
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.0185
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0235
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0175
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0240
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0185
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0165
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0195
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0190
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0195
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0135
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0180
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0200
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0165
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0105
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0110
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.0125
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.0140
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.0135
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.0140
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.0095
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.0170
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.0170
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.0125
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.0165
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.0160
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.0175
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.0190
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 2529.62, Sell volume: 1372.99, Average price: 0.6453, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0160
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.0180
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.0150
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.0115
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.0100
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.0100
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.0145
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.0145
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.0125
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.0150
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.0150
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.0135
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.0125
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.0125
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.0125
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0130
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.0125
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0130
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.0115
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.0125
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.0125
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.0120
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.0130
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0130
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.0130
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.0125
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0130
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0125
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.0125
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 573.08, Sell volume: 5199.07, Average price: 0.6040, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0130
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.0130
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.0130
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0125
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.0125
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.0130
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0125
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.0140
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.0135
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0135
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.0115
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.0125
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.0130
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0125
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.0130
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.0125
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.0135
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.0140
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0135
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.0140
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.0135
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0135
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.0135
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0135
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.0125
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0130
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0130
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0130
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.0090
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 132, Buy volume: 2316.72, Sell volume: 1533.00, Average price: 0.7515, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0100
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.0090
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0100
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0095
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0095
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.0080
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0090
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.0080
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0095
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0090
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0090
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0095
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.0090
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0085
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0085
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0100
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 186.09, Average price: 0.8274, Price range: 0.0033 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0090
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0045
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0055
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0065
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0010
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0010
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 3591.47, Sell volume: 1410.00, Average price: 0.6674, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514818
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Volume: 72693.624596
Price History:
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0030
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0030
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 12.28, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.1850
2024-12-05 02:00: 0.1250
2024-12-05 08:00: 0.2550
2024-12-05 14:00: 0.1900
2024-12-05 20:00: 0.1950
2024-12-06 02:00: 0.2200
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.1550
2024-12-06 14:00: 0.0510
2024-12-06 20:00: 0.0515
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.0325
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.0510
2024-12-07 14:00: 0.0645
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.1245
2024-12-08 02:00: 0.1250
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.0600
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.0470
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.0220
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.0590
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.0590
2024-12-09 14:00: 0.0575
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.0305
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.0245
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.0250
2024-12-10 14:00: 0.0160
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.0355
2024-12-11 02:00: 0.0340
2024-12-11 08:00: 0.0340
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.0340
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.0290
2024-12-12 02:00: 0.0255
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.0250
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.0355
2024-12-12 20:00: 0.0290
2024-12-13 02:00: 0.0275
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.0270
2024-12-13 14:00: 0.0270
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.0190
2024-12-14 02:00: 0.0270
2024-12-14 08:00: 0.0240
2024-12-14 14:00: 0.0285
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.0275
2024-12-15 02:00: 0.0280
2024-12-15 08:00: 0.0290
2024-12-15 14:00: 0.0295
2024-12-15 20:00: 0.0275
2024-12-16 02:00: 0.0230
2024-12-16 08:00: 0.0295
2024-12-16 14:00: 0.0210
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.0220
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 635, Buy volume: 24803.35, Sell volume: 24647.26, Average price: 0.2407, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.0165
2024-12-17 19:00: 0.0170
2024-12-18 01:00: 0.0170
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.0430
2024-12-18 13:00: 0.0395
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.0390
2024-12-19 01:00: 0.0385
2024-12-19 07:00: 0.0290
2024-12-19 13:00: 0.0270
2024-12-19 19:00: 0.0275
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.0265
2024-12-20 07:00: 0.0270
2024-12-20 13:00: 0.0275
2024-12-20 19:00: 0.0270
2024-12-21 01:00: 0.0285
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.0285
2024-12-21 13:00: 0.0275
2024-12-21 19:00: 0.0275
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.0275
2024-12-22 07:00: 0.0260
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.0270
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.0280
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.0280
2024-12-23 07:00: 0.0275
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.0275
2024-12-23 19:00: 0.0275
2024-12-24 01:00: 0.0270
2024-12-24 07:00: 0.0245
2024-12-24 13:00: 0.0240
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.0245
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.0210
2024-12-25 07:00: 0.0225
2024-12-25 13:00: 0.0215
2024-12-25 19:00: 0.0245
2024-12-26 01:00: 0.0245
2024-12-26 07:00: 0.0230
2024-12-26 13:00: 0.0215
2024-12-26 19:00: 0.0255
2024-12-27 01:00: 0.0245
2024-12-27 07:00: 0.0235
2024-12-27 13:00: 0.0200
2024-12-27 19:00: 0.0205
2024-12-28 01:00: 0.0215
2024-12-28 07:00: 0.0245
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.0225
2024-12-28 19:00: 0.0235
2024-12-29 01:00: 0.0225
2024-12-29 07:00: 0.0220
2024-12-29 13:00: 0.0220
2024-12-29 19:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 2371.59, Sell volume: 1514.82, Average price: 0.7492, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.0225
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0215
2024-12-30 18:00: 0.0225
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0200
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.0240
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.0200
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.0220
2025-01-01 00:00: 0.0215
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.0205
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0225
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.0225
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.0225
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.0195
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.0205
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.0225
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0180
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.0170
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.0190
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.0190
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.0200
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.0195
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.0170
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.0165
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.0165
2025-01-05 06:00: 0.0155
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.0155
2025-01-05 18:00: 0.0155
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.0165
2025-01-06 06:00: 0.0155
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0200
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.0170
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.0150
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.0160
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.0155
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.0160
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0160
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.0155
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.0160
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.0160
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.0060
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.0045
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.0050
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.0050
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.0050
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.0045
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.0055
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 7449.42, Sell volume: 1501.52, Average price: 0.7710, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.0110
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.0105
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.0100
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.0095
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.0070
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.0120
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.0150
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.0305
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.0315
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.0280
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.0295
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.0285
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.0310
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.0145
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.0170
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0130
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.0130
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.0160
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.0170
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.0170
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.0175
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.0130
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.0115
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.0150
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.0155
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.0135
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.0135
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.0135
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.0125
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.0125
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.0125
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.0130
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.0130
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.0125
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.0130
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.0080
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.0080
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.0080
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.0065
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.0085
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.0085
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.0095
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.0155
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.0155
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.0155
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.0155
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.0155
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.0155
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0155
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 136, Buy volume: 4389.51, Sell volume: 3236.66, Average price: 0.6430, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0155
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.0155
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.0155
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.0155
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.0155
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.0075
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.0075
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.0075
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.0085
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.0075
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0075
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.0075
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.0075
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.0075
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.0075
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.0085
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.0075
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0070
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0115
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0125
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0125
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0125
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0125
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0125
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0125
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0125
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0125
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0125
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0125
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0125
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0125
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0125
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0125
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0125
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0125
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0125
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0125
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0125
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.0125
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.0125
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.0125
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0110
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0105
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0105
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0110
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0110
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0110
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0105
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0110
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 2118.75, Sell volume: 262.27, Average price: 0.6396, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0105
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0105
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0105
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0105
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0105
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0115
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0115
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0110
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0125
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0130
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0135
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.0135
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0125
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0135
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.0090
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0100
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0090
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0110
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0120
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0110
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0110
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0110
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0105
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0095
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0090
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0075
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0075
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.0075
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0090
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0085
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0095
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0095
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0095
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0065
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0055
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0055
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0045
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0050
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0045
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0050
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0045
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0045
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0050
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0050
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0050
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0035
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.0035
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 1649.23, Sell volume: 3049.42, Average price: 0.5738, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0050
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0050
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0050
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.0050
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.0050
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.0055
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0060
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.0060
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.0055
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.0055
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.0060
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.0055
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.0060
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0060
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.0060
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.0055
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.0060
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.0055
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0055
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.0055
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.0050
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0050
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0050
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.0050
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0050
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.0045
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0030
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.0035
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0035
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.0035
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.0035
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0035
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0035
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0035
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0035
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0035
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0035
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0035
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0035
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0035
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0035
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 2734.68, Sell volume: 196.61, Average price: 0.8830, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0040
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0040
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0040
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0040
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0040
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0040
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0090
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0105
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0070
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0070
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0070
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0065
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0070
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0070
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0070
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0060
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0060
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.0040
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0050
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0055
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0050
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0075
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.0065
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0045
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.0055
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.0055
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.0050
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0055
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.0040
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.0040
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.0080
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.0080
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.0080
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.0085
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.0080
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.0080
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.0080
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.0080
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.0080
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.0085
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.0085
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.0085
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.0090
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 109280.43, Sell volume: 104802.51, Average price: 0.6655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0085
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.0085
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.0085
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0085
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.0085
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.0080
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.0080
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.0080
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.0080
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0140
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.0125
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.0130
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.0135
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0150
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.0150
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.0135
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.0130
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0130
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0135
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.0165
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.0155
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0180
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.0150
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.0170
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.0170
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0185
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.0160
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.0150
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.0145
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0115
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.0150
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.0125
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.0150
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0160
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.0150
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.0155
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0160
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0155
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.0145
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.0160
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.0080
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.0150
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0110
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.0120
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0105
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0125
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.0105
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.0105
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.0100
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 629.49, Sell volume: 6263.92, Average price: 0.5590, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0105
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.0115
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.0125
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0160
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.0120
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0145
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0135
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0145
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0160
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0130
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0125
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0125
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0165
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.0160
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.0160
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0155
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0135
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0110
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.0155
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0115
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0100
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0105
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.0105
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0075
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.0105
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.0095
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0095
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0105
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0100
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0130
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0150
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0110
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.0105
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.0125
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0160
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.0150
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.0100
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0125
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0160
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0145
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0110
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.0130
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0115
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0100
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 1017.75, Sell volume: 818.22, Average price: 0.8417, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0125
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.0080
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0100
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0185
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0195
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0165
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0105
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0180
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.0115
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0105
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0100
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0085
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.0110
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.0100
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0180
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0085
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0090
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0115
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0075
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0080
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0135
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0180
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0185
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0115
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0100
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0125
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0095
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0090
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0165
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0135
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0135
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0130
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0125
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0185
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0140
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0180
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0195
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0190
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0145
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0185
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0190
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0190
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 41.14, Sell volume: 187.02, Average price: 0.6932, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0305
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0275
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0270
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0310
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0270
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0265
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0265
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0255
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0195
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0195
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0270
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0200
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0180
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0155
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0170
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0130
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0145
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0105
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0120
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0040
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0035
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0030
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0030
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0045
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0030
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 4875.68, Sell volume: 313.71, Average price: 0.3986, Price range: 0.0014 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0010
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0010
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0010
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0010
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0010
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0010
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0010
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0010
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.0010
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.0010
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0010
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0010
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0010
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.0010
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.0010
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.0010
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0035
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.0040
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 12.70, Average price: 0.9977, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.1850
2024-12-05 06:00: 0.1800
2024-12-05 16:00: 0.2050
2024-12-06 02:00: 0.2200
2024-12-06 12:00: 0.0810
2024-12-06 22:00: 0.0370
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.0510
2024-12-07 18:00: 0.1245
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.0600
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.0470
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.0245
2024-12-09 10:00: 0.0590
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.0305
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.0290
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.0130
2024-12-11 02:00: 0.0340
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.0355
2024-12-11 22:00: 0.0285
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.0250
2024-12-12 18:00: 0.0290
2024-12-13 04:00: 0.0255
2024-12-13 14:00: 0.0270
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.0265
2024-12-14 10:00: 0.0255
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.0275
2024-12-15 06:00: 0.0285
2024-12-15 16:00: 0.0295
2024-12-16 02:00: 0.0230
2024-12-16 12:00: 0.0225
2024-12-16 22:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 635, Buy volume: 24803.35, Sell volume: 24647.26, Average price: 0.2407, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.0165
2024-12-17 23:00: 0.0170
2024-12-18 09:00: 0.0405
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.0390
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.0290
2024-12-19 15:00: 0.0270
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.0265
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.0270
2024-12-20 21:00: 0.0285
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.0285
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.0265
2024-12-22 03:00: 0.0280
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.0270
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.0275
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.0275
2024-12-23 19:00: 0.0275
2024-12-24 05:00: 0.0250
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.0225
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.0210
2024-12-25 11:00: 0.0235
2024-12-25 21:00: 0.0235
2024-12-26 07:00: 0.0230
2024-12-26 17:00: 0.0215
2024-12-27 03:00: 0.0215
2024-12-27 13:00: 0.0200
2024-12-27 23:00: 0.0220
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.0220
2024-12-28 19:00: 0.0235
2024-12-29 05:00: 0.0205
2024-12-29 15:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 2371.59, Sell volume: 1514.82, Average price: 0.7492, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.0225
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.0230
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.0210
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.0200
2024-12-31 22:00: 0.0215
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.0230
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.0225
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0195
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.0225
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0180
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.0170
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.0195
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.0195
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0165
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.0155
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.0155
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.0170
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.0175
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.0170
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.0160
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.0145
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0160
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.0160
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0150
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.0055
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.0050
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.0050
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.0045
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 7449.42, Sell volume: 1501.52, Average price: 0.7710, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.0110
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.0105
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.0080
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.0120
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.0135
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.0305
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.0295
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.0305
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.0140
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0130
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.0130
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.0175
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.0175
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0125
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.0160
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.0135
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.0130
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.0130
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.0125
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.0130
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.0125
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.0080
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.0080
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.0085
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.0085
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.0155
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.0155
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.0155
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.0155
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 136, Buy volume: 4389.51, Sell volume: 3236.66, Average price: 0.6430, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0155
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.0155
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.0155
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.0075
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.0075
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.0075
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0075
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.0075
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.0085
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.0085
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0075
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0125
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0125
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.0125
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0125
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0125
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.0125
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0125
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0125
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0125
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0125
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0125
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0125
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.0125
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.0125
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.0105
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.0105
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0110
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.0105
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 2118.75, Sell volume: 262.27, Average price: 0.6396, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0105
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.0105
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0105
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0115
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0120
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0130
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0135
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0135
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0130
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0100
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0110
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0110
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0110
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0095
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0100
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0090
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.0065
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.0060
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0085
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0085
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0060
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0055
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0060
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0050
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0050
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0050
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0045
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0050
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0035
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 1649.23, Sell volume: 3049.42, Average price: 0.5738, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0050
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0050
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0050
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.0055
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0060
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.0055
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.0060
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.0055
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.0060
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0055
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.0060
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.0055
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.0055
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0050
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.0050
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.0050
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.0035
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.0035
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0035
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0035
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0035
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 2734.68, Sell volume: 196.61, Average price: 0.8830, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0040
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0040
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0040
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0090
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0070
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0070
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0070
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0070
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0065
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0050
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0055
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0055
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.0055
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.0055
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.0050
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.0050
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.0040
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.0080
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.0080
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.0080
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.0080
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.0080
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.0085
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.0085
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 109280.43, Sell volume: 104802.51, Average price: 0.6655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0085
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.0085
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.0085
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.0080
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.0080
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.0080
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.0125
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.0130
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.0145
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.0135
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.0130
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.0135
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.0155
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.0185
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.0170
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0185
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.0170
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0135
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.0150
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.0130
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.0165
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.0155
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.0160
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0160
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.0080
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.0105
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0080
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0125
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.0140
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 629.49, Sell volume: 6263.92, Average price: 0.5590, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0105
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.0115
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.0115
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0145
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.0165
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.0170
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0125
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.0125
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.0160
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0155
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.0070
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.0135
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.0155
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0100
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.0090
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.0105
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.0110
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0095
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.0100
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0150
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.0150
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0160
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.0150
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0150
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0110
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 1017.75, Sell volume: 818.22, Average price: 0.8417, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0125
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.0090
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0190
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0165
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0185
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.0100
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0105
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0155
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.0100
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0180
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0095
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0115
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0090
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0085
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0180
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0180
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.0185
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0095
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0095
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0190
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0135
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0140
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0130
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0185
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0145
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0145
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0185
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 41.14, Sell volume: 187.02, Average price: 0.6932, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0275
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0305
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0265
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0265
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0260
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0200
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0180
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0185
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0180
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0160
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0145
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0145
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0040
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0035
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 4875.68, Sell volume: 313.71, Average price: 0.3986, Price range: 0.0014 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514819
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 308167.659364
Price History:
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0010
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0030
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0010
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0010
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0010
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0010
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0010
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0010
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.0030
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.0010
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0010
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.0010
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.0010
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0020
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.0010
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0030
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 12.70, Average price: 0.9977, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.0850
2024-12-05 02:00: 0.1450
2024-12-05 08:00: 0.1100
2024-12-05 14:00: 0.1150
2024-12-05 20:00: 0.1450
2024-12-06 02:00: 0.1100
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.1200
2024-12-06 14:00: 0.0950
2024-12-06 20:00: 0.0450
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.0450
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.0450
2024-12-07 14:00: 0.0450
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.0600
2024-12-08 02:00: 0.0600
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.0700
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.0650
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.0650
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.0700
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.0700
2024-12-09 14:00: 0.0700
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.0700
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.0650
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.0650
2024-12-10 14:00: 0.0700
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.0350
2024-12-11 02:00: 0.0330
2024-12-11 08:00: 0.0445
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.0445
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.0455
2024-12-12 02:00: 0.0460
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.0465
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.0475
2024-12-12 20:00: 0.0470
2024-12-13 02:00: 0.0470
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.0470
2024-12-13 14:00: 0.0510
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.0575
2024-12-14 02:00: 0.0570
2024-12-14 08:00: 0.0560
2024-12-14 14:00: 0.0570
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.0585
2024-12-15 02:00: 0.0580
2024-12-15 08:00: 0.0560
2024-12-15 14:00: 0.0590
2024-12-15 20:00: 0.0575
2024-12-16 02:00: 0.0575
2024-12-16 08:00: 0.0630
2024-12-16 14:00: 0.1090
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.1085
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13843153.41, Sell volume: 11455933.07, Average price: 0.5617, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.0900
2024-12-17 19:00: 0.1245
2024-12-18 01:00: 0.0955
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.0990
2024-12-18 13:00: 0.0965
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.0935
2024-12-19 01:00: 0.0935
2024-12-19 07:00: 0.1560
2024-12-19 13:00: 0.1560
2024-12-19 19:00: 0.1645
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.1570
2024-12-20 07:00: 0.1655
2024-12-20 13:00: 0.1655
2024-12-20 19:00: 0.1600
2024-12-21 01:00: 0.1620
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.1590
2024-12-21 13:00: 0.1575
2024-12-21 19:00: 0.1580
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.1590
2024-12-22 07:00: 0.1580
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.1580
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.1590
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.1610
2024-12-23 07:00: 0.1615
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.1575
2024-12-23 19:00: 0.1525
2024-12-24 01:00: 0.1585
2024-12-24 07:00: 0.1390
2024-12-24 13:00: 0.1495
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.1520
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.1050
2024-12-25 07:00: 0.1045
2024-12-25 13:00: 0.1035
2024-12-25 19:00: 0.1055
2024-12-26 01:00: 0.0975
2024-12-26 07:00: 0.0980
2024-12-26 13:00: 0.1060
2024-12-26 19:00: 0.1065
2024-12-27 01:00: 0.1065
2024-12-27 07:00: 0.1065
2024-12-27 13:00: 0.1055
2024-12-27 19:00: 0.1055
2024-12-28 01:00: 0.1090
2024-12-28 07:00: 0.1090
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.1120
2024-12-28 19:00: 0.1065
2024-12-29 01:00: 0.1060
2024-12-29 07:00: 0.1440
2024-12-29 13:00: 0.1055
2024-12-29 19:00: 0.1065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13843153.41, Sell volume: 11455933.07, Average price: 0.5617, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.1485
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.1480
2024-12-30 18:00: 0.1265
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.1110
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.1125
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.1140
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.1125
2025-01-01 00:00: 0.1155
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.1405
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.1330
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.1320
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.1275
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.1250
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.1135
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.1135
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.1255
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.1220
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.1290
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.1230
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.1195
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.1195
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.1195
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.1205
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.1205
2025-01-05 06:00: 0.1165
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.1135
2025-01-05 18:00: 0.1135
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.1105
2025-01-06 06:00: 0.1115
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.1120
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.1140
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.1170
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.1185
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.1195
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.1195
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.1585
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.1450
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.1245
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.1345
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.1500
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.1520
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.1365
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.1525
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.1575
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.1355
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.1140
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.1315
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.1455
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.1440
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.1325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13843153.41, Sell volume: 11455933.07, Average price: 0.5617, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.1570
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.1560
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.1640
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.1550
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.1435
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.1440
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.1340
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.1400
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.1415
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.1190
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.1060
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.1080
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.1240
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.1340
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.1270
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.1330
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.1365
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.1355
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.1215
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.1390
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.1430
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.1375
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.1330
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.1365
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.1955
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.1995
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.2000
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.2195
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.2060
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.2055
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.2055
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.2055
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.1955
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.2040
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.2035
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.2040
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.2040
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.2060
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.2065
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.2100
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.2325
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.2015
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.1965
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.1840
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.2170
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.2030
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.2030
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.2025
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.2015
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.2020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13843153.41, Sell volume: 11455933.07, Average price: 0.5617, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.1995
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.1995
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.1995
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.1995
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.1995
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.2645
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.2480
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.2345
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.2345
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.2340
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.2380
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.2530
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.2460
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.2420
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.2440
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.2395
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.2090
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.2090
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.1965
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.1935
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.1935
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.1925
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.1955
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.1950
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.1950
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.1945
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.1915
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.1455
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.1435
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.1425
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.1430
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.1870
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.2430
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.2930
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.2930
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.2315
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.2350
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.2265
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.2185
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.2155
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.2170
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.2025
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.2030
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.2030
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.1860
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.1820
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.2030
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.1565
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.2365
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.2370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13843153.41, Sell volume: 11455933.07, Average price: 0.5617, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.2240
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.2085
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.1940
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.1900
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.1680
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.1895
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.1980
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.2715
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.2620
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.2590
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.2790
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.2325
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.2295
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.2505
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.2065
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.1915
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.1760
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.1855
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.1935
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.1790
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.1925
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.1840
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.1925
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.1995
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.2385
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.2375
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.2365
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.2380
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.2460
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.2470
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.2455
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.2020
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.2560
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.2540
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.2505
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.2480
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.2490
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.2500
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.2485
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.2480
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.2475
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.2475
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.2375
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.2035
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.1765
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.1870
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.1975
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.1925
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.2045
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.1890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999087, Buy volume: 13336222.99, Sell volume: 11403183.62, Average price: 0.5616, Price range: 0.1160 - 0.8830

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.1950
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.1950
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.1960
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.1955
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.1965
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.1940
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.1940
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.1570
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.1570
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.1550
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.1600
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.1570
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.1600
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.1555
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.1560
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.1580
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.1590
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.1590
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.1585
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.1555
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.1590
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.1610
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.1650
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.1635
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.1850
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.2420
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.2470
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.2480
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.2010
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.1915
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.1950
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.2020
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.2005
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.1975
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.1985
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.1995
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.2020
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.2025
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.2025
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.1945
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.1870
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.2035
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.1865
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.1715
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.1705
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.1705
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.1675
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.1675
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.1675
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.1675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 390, Buy volume: 9984.56, Sell volume: 4934.94, Average price: 0.6052, Price range: 0.1450 - 0.8550

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.1675
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.1680
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.1680
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.1685
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.1675
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.1675
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.1675
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.1675
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.1675
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.1680
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.1680
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.2030
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.2030
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.2030
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.2030
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.2030
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.2030
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.2030
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.2030
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.1965
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.2030
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.2030
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.2030
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.0410
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0470
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0705
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0550
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0560
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.0515
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0500
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.0510
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.0210
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.0205
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0235
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.0230
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.0225
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.0220
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.0265
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.0265
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.0265
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.0265
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.0265
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.0270
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.0225
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.0160
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.0210
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.0200
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.0235
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.0205
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 170, Buy volume: 18046.47, Sell volume: 1837.99, Average price: 0.6887, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0185
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.0145
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0175
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.0155
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.0125
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.0125
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.0160
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.0160
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0165
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.0145
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.0145
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.0155
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0165
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.0140
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.0185
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.0185
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0185
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0170
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.0165
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.0165
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0165
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.0165
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.0155
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.0165
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0170
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.0175
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.0165
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.0175
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0190
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.0215
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.0205
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.0200
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0155
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.0115
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.0100
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0120
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0110
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.0090
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.0105
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.0085
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.0090
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0095
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.0065
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0095
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0095
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.0095
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.0105
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.0160
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 198, Buy volume: 419.29, Sell volume: 12130.59, Average price: 0.7289, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0115
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.0095
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.0110
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0110
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.0100
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0115
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0110
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0145
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0095
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0100
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0100
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0105
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0115
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.0120
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.0090
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0080
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0075
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.0085
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0095
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.0075
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.0075
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0090
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0100
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0075
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0090
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0135
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0140
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.0135
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0115
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0135
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 951.85, Sell volume: 382.38, Average price: 0.8579, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0125
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.0115
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0130
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0110
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0105
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0130
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0125
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0105
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0095
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0105
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0115
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.0100
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.0120
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0130
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0125
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0120
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0120
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0095
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0095
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0100
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0090
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0110
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0125
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0095
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0115
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0100
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0110
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0125
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0105
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0100
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0115
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 32.00, Sell volume: 1300.36, Average price: 0.7785, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0255
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0230
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0250
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0235
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0240
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0235
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0235
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0240
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0205
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0230
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0195
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0180
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0175
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0190
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0185
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0165
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0145
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0140
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0195
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0205
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0160
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0070
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0040
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0030
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0030
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0030
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0030
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0030
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 10791.03, Sell volume: 27938.56, Average price: 0.7399, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0030
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0030
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0030
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0030
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0030
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0030
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0030
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0030
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0030
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0030
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0030
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0030
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0030
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.0055
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0055
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0055
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.0055
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.0055
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.0055
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0060
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0055
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0095
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.0065
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.0055
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.0055
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.0060
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.0055
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0055
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0055
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0080
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.0070
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0060
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.0070
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0080
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.0080
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.0065
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.0065
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0060
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 465705.23, Sell volume: 4206.70, Average price: 0.8343, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.0850
2024-12-05 06:00: 0.1350
2024-12-05 16:00: 0.1150
2024-12-06 02:00: 0.1100
2024-12-06 12:00: 0.0450
2024-12-06 22:00: 0.0450
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.0450
2024-12-07 18:00: 0.0600
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.0550
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.0650
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.0700
2024-12-09 10:00: 0.0650
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.0700
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.0700
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.0450
2024-12-11 02:00: 0.0330
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.0445
2024-12-11 22:00: 0.0450
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.0465
2024-12-12 18:00: 0.0470
2024-12-13 04:00: 0.0475
2024-12-13 14:00: 0.0510
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.0560
2024-12-14 10:00: 0.0580
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.0585
2024-12-15 06:00: 0.0580
2024-12-15 16:00: 0.0630
2024-12-16 02:00: 0.0575
2024-12-16 12:00: 0.1100
2024-12-16 22:00: 0.1105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13843153.41, Sell volume: 11455933.07, Average price: 0.5617, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes