Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547464
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Cătălin Drulă?
Volume: 41113.942508
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0030
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.9970
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.9970
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0030
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.9970
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0030
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.9970
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.9970
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0030
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9970
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0030
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.9970
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.9970
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.9975
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9975
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.9975
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.9975
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.9970
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0030
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.9970
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0030
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4768.71, Sell volume: 3732.45, Average price: 0.6360, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547464
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Cătălin Drulă?
Volume: 41113.942508
Price History:
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9955
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0045
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.9955
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0045
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9955
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9955
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0045
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9955
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0045
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.9965
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0020
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0020
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9980
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9970
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0030
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9970
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0030
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9970
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.9980
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0020
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9980
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.9980
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0020
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 669.19, Sell volume: 8047.79, Average price: 0.2736, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547464
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Cătălin Drulă?
Volume: 41113.942508
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 202.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547464
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Cătălin Drulă?
Volume: 41113.942508
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 318, Buy volume: 24126.08, Sell volume: 16987.86, Average price: 0.6120, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547464
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Cătălin Drulă?
Volume: 41113.942508
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 5000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547464
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Cătălin Drulă?
Volume: 41113.942508
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5050
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.2200
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.1100
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0060
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0060
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0095
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0095
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0080
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0080
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0080
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0085
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0090
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0090
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0090
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0170
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0170
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 5622.72, Sell volume: 1215.21, Average price: 0.3077, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 222.73, Sell volume: 304.59, Average price: 0.4006, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 1749.21, Sell volume: 605.18, Average price: 0.7286, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1687.96, Sell volume: 190.38, Average price: 0.8114, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 3804.08, Sell volume: 1160.79, Average price: 0.8062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 281, Buy volume: 38474.15, Sell volume: 29425.19, Average price: 0.5942, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0020
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0020
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0020
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 9046.31, Sell volume: 5146.00, Average price: 0.9036, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0245
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0145
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0085
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0075
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0065
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0070
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0035
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2338.08, Sell volume: 12795.25, Average price: 0.2534, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0035
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0035
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0035
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0035
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0035
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0035
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0035
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0035
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0035
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0035
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 3.07, Sell volume: 8007.79, Average price: 0.3328, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5050
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.7800
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9940
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0060
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0095
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9920
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0080
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9915
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0090
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9910
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0170
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9830
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9950
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9950
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9955
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9960
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9960
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 5622.72, Sell volume: 1215.21, Average price: 0.3077, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9960
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9960
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9960
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9960
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9960
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9960
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9960
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9960
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9960
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9965
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9965
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9965
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9965
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9965
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 222.73, Sell volume: 304.59, Average price: 0.4006, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9965
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9965
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9965
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9965
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9965
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9965
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9960
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9960
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9960
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9965
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9970
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9970
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9975
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9975
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 1749.21, Sell volume: 605.18, Average price: 0.7286, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9975
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9975
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.9975
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9970
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.9970
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9970
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9970
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9970
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9970
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1687.96, Sell volume: 190.38, Average price: 0.8114, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9975
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.9975
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9975
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9975
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9975
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.9975
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.9975
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.9975
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 3804.08, Sell volume: 1160.79, Average price: 0.8062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 281, Buy volume: 38474.15, Sell volume: 29425.19, Average price: 0.5942, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9980
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9980
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.9980
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9980
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.9980
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9980
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.9980
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9980
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9980
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 9046.31, Sell volume: 5146.00, Average price: 0.9036, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2338.08, Sell volume: 12795.25, Average price: 0.2534, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0035
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9965
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0035
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.9965
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0035
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9965
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9965
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0035
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9965
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.9965
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 3.07, Sell volume: 8007.79, Average price: 0.3328, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547457
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
Volume: 67899.336798
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.4000
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.1750
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0105
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0060
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0055
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0050
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 325.02, Sell volume: 1504.08, Average price: 0.2042, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0050
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0050
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0050
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0055
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0055
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0055
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0055
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0055
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0055
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0055
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0055
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0055
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0050
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0050
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0050
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0050
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0050
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0050
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0050
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0050
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0050
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0050
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0050
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0050
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0050
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 255.99, Sell volume: 337.69, Average price: 0.4503, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0050
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0050
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0050
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0050
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0050
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0055
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0050
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0050
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0050
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 1548.00, Sell volume: 605.18, Average price: 0.7315, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 712.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9215, Price range: 0.0039 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 2875.97, Sell volume: 1160.80, Average price: 0.8139, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 272, Buy volume: 15348.85, Sell volume: 18961.25, Average price: 0.6177, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 534.71, Sell volume: 458.98, Average price: 0.8414, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 499.53, Sell volume: 3986.56, Average price: 0.7267, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 4593.64, Sell volume: 10593.97, Average price: 0.3752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3.00, Sell volume: 202.99, Average price: 0.6660, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 272, Buy volume: 15348.85, Sell volume: 18961.25, Average price: 0.6177, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 272, Buy volume: 15348.85, Sell volume: 18961.25, Average price: 0.6177, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.6000
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0105
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9930
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9945
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9950
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9955
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9945
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9945
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9950
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9950
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9950
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9950
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9950
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9950
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9950
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 325.02, Sell volume: 1504.08, Average price: 0.2042, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9950
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0050
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9950
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9945
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9945
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9945
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9945
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9945
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0055
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9945
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0055
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9945
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0055
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9945
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0050
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9950
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0050
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9950
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9950
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9950
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0050
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 255.99, Sell volume: 337.69, Average price: 0.4503, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0050
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9950
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0050
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9950
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0055
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9950
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0050
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9955
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9955
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9955
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9955
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9955
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9965
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9975
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9975
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9975
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9975
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9975
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 1548.00, Sell volume: 605.18, Average price: 0.7315, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9975
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9975
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.9975
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9975
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.9970
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9970
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9970
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9970
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9970
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 712.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9215, Price range: 0.0039 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9975
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.9975
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9975
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9975
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9975
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.9975
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.9975
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.9975
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9975
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 2875.97, Sell volume: 1160.80, Average price: 0.8139, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 272, Buy volume: 15348.85, Sell volume: 18961.25, Average price: 0.6177, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 534.71, Sell volume: 458.98, Average price: 0.8414, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 499.53, Sell volume: 3986.56, Average price: 0.7267, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9975
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 4593.64, Sell volume: 10593.97, Average price: 0.3752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3.00, Sell volume: 202.99, Average price: 0.6660, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 272, Buy volume: 15348.85, Sell volume: 18961.25, Average price: 0.6177, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 272, Buy volume: 15348.85, Sell volume: 18961.25, Average price: 0.6177, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547458
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?
Volume: 34310.114583
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.4000
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.4000
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.5450
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.4650
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.4650
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.4500
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.4500
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.4500
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.4400
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.4400
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.4400
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.4300
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.3850
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.3900
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.3950
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.3950
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.3400
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.1950
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.2550
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.2850
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.2850
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.2850
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.2950
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.2950
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.2950
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.2950
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.2950
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.3500
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.3600
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3500
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.3500
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.3500
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.3850
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.3900
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.4950
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.5100
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.4700
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.4600
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.4700
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.4650
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.4600
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.4700
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 216080476.68, Sell volume: 162265339.44, Average price: 0.5365, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.4550
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.4800
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.4600
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.4550
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.4450
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.4350
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.4350
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.4350
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.4350
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.4350
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.4350
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.4350
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.4350
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.4350
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.4350
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.4350
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.4350
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.4350
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.4450
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.4450
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.4400
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.4450
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.4450
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.4450
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.4450
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.4200
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.4050
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.3450
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.3550
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.3550
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.3550
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.3550
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.3600
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.4200
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.3850
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.3750
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.3750
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.3750
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.3900
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 216080476.68, Sell volume: 162265339.44, Average price: 0.5365, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.3900
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.3750
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.3850
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.3850
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.3800
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.3850
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.3950
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.3950
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.4100
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.4100
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.4550
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.4350
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.4350
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.4150
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.4250
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.4250
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.4250
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.4450
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.4550
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.4550
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.5200
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.5050
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.4950
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.4950
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.4950
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.4900
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.4850
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.4850
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.4850
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.4850
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.4850
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.4850
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.4750
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.4750
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.4750
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.4750
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.4750
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.4750
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.4750
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.4800
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.4800
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.4850
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.4800
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.4850
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.4850
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.4850
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 216080476.68, Sell volume: 162265339.44, Average price: 0.5365, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.5050
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.5400
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.4950
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.4800
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.4850
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.4850
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.4850
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.4800
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.4750
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.4750
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.4750
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.4750
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.4700
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.4700
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.4600
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.4600
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.4600
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.4550
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.4550
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.4550
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.4550
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.4700
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.4700
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.4700
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.4700
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.4500
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.3250
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.3800
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.3850
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.3700
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.3950
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.3900
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.4150
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.4150
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.4100
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.4100
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.4150
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.4050
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.4100
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.4100
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.4100
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.4050
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.3950
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.4000
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.4000
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.4000
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.4000
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.4000
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.3950
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 216080476.68, Sell volume: 162265339.44, Average price: 0.5365, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.3950
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.3950
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.3950
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.3950
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.3850
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.3800
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.3750
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.3750
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.3500
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.3450
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.3450
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.3500
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.3550
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.4000
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.4350
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.4450
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.4250
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.4250
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.4550
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.4850
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.4150
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.3950
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.3900
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.3850
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.3950
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.3950
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.4050
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.4200
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.4000
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.4650
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.4500
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.4700
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.4700
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.4550
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.4500
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.4350
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.4250
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.4300
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.4350
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.4550
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.4450
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.4450
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.4700
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.4600
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.4650
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.4550
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.4550
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.4600
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.4650
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 216080476.68, Sell volume: 162265339.44, Average price: 0.5365, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.4600
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.4450
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.4450
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.4450
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.4650
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.4650
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.4600
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.4500
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.4500
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.4450
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.4650
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.4700
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.4650
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.4700
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.4750
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.4850
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.4900
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.5200
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.5150
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.5100
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.5050
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.5200
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.4700
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.4650
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.4750
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.4700
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.4650
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.4650
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.4650
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.4550
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.4600
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.4500
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.4500
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.4500
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.4500
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.4550
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.4500
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.4500
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.4150
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.4050
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.3950
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.3800
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.3850
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.3850
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.3650
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.3650
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.3650
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.3650
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.3700
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 216080476.68, Sell volume: 162265339.44, Average price: 0.5365, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.4000
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.4100
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.4200
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.4200
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.4600
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.4550
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.4550
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.4500
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.4500
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.4500
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.4450
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.4450
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.4550
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.4600
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.4650
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.4650
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.4650
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.4700
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.4700
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.4750
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.4750
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.4750
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.4900
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.4850
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.4700
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.4700
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.4700
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.4900
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.5350
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.5350
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.5300
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.6150
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.6100
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.6000
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.6050
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.6550
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.6650
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.7400
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.6550
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.6500
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.6500
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.6300
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.6350
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.6250
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.6250
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.6350
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.6250
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.6250
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.6250
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 216080476.68, Sell volume: 162265339.44, Average price: 0.5365, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.6150
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.6300
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.6150
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.5900
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.5950
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.6800
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.6950
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.6850
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.6400
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.6450
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.6400
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.6400
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.6400
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.6400
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.7300
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.7700
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.7750
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.6750
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.6850
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.6350
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.6400
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.7900
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.2650
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.7300
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.3250
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.3200
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.6550
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.6450
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.3450
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.3150
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.2600
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.7050
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.2200
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.2950
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.6650
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.3500
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.6850
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.6650
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.6700
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.3200
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.7350
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.2850
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.2900
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.2900
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.7100
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.7100
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.7100
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.7050
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 216080476.68, Sell volume: 162265339.44, Average price: 0.5365, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.6950
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.6750
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.6700
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.3300
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.6900
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.6900
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.3150
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.6750
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.6600
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.3250
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.6550
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.6600
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.3450
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.6450
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.3550
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.6600
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.6900
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.6900
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.3100
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.7100
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.3000
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.3100
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.6850
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.3200
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.3400
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.6650
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.3350
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.6500
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.3400
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.6600
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.3450
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.3450
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.6450
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.6450
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.2950
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.7200
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.3150
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.6850
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.6750
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.6850
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.6850
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.7050
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.6650
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.3000
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.3050
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.3350
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 216080476.68, Sell volume: 162265339.44, Average price: 0.5365, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.5950
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.4450
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.4450
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.5550
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.4450
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.4550
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.5350
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.5250
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.4750
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.5250
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.5250
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.5350
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.5350
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.4550
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.3850
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.6450
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.6350
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.6200
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.6200
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.6150
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.6150
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.5650
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.4450
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.3750
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.3050
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.2750
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.3050
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.2750
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.6700
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.6350
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.6800
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.7050
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.7000
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.7100
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.7150
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.7450
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.2650
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.7250
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.3400
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.6650
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.6750
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.3450
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.3450
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.3450
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.2700
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.3050
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 216080476.68, Sell volume: 162265339.44, Average price: 0.5365, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.6700
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.2400
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.7450
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.2550
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.2200
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.2400
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.2450
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.7000
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.2650
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.7300
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.8100
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.7800
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.7500
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.2350
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.2300
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.2350
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.2500
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.2550
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.2400
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.2450
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.2550
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.7500
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.7450
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.7150
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.2750
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.7200
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.7100
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.2550
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.2600
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.2600
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.2600
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.7400
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.7300
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.2650
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.2400
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.2200
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.2200
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.2200
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.2000
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.8100
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.1800
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.8100
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.2150
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1998, Buy volume: 231768.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7600, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.7600
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.7550
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.2700
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.2450
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.7450
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.2750
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.2500
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.2550
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.7550
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.7600
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.7400
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.7200
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.2900
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.7600
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.2700
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.7600
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.7450
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.7450
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.7350
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.7300
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.2900
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.2900
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.2700
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.2400
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.7600
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.7550
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.7700
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.7800
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.7700
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.2000
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.7950
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.8700
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.1150
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0900
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9100
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.8900
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.8750
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.8750
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.8800
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.8850
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.1200
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 987294, Buy volume: 215068326.74, Sell volume: 161544841.05, Average price: 0.5339, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9300

Output: Yes