Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515806
Question: Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 9431118.222613
Price History:
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9990
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.9995
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9995
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0010
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9995
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9995
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 107459.13, Sell volume: 104.27, Average price: 0.3574, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515806
Question: Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 9431118.222613
Price History:
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9990
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9985
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9985
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0015
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9990
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0010
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9990
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0010
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9990
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0010
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9990
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0010
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9990
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0010
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9990
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0010
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9990
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0010
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9990
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0010
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9990
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0010
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 220, Buy volume: 610562.99, Sell volume: 15695.56, Average price: 0.8353, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.4250
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.6550
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.3250
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.6450
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.3200
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.6750
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.3200
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.6500
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.3550
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.6250
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.3700
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.6600
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.3400
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.6650
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.3500
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.6450
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.3600
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.6550
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.3550
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.6450
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.3550
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.6450
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.3600
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.6450
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.3600
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.6400
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.3550
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.6600
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.3350
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.6600
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.3400
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.6750
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.3150
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.6850
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.2950
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.7050
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.3350
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.6750
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.3250
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.6750
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.3250
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.6750
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.3300
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.6750
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.3300
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 73868599.82, Sell volume: 8125882.35, Average price: 0.5090, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.3100
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.6800
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.2900
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.7100
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.2700
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.6900
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.7500
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.2500
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.7450
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.2500
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.7150
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.3100
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.6800
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.3200
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.6750
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.3150
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.6850
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.3450
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.6550
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.3400
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.6550
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.3400
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.6650
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.3450
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.6600
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.3400
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.6600
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.3400
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.6600
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.3400
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.6650
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.3400
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.6600
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.3300
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.6700
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.3300
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.6700
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.3300
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 73868599.82, Sell volume: 8125882.35, Average price: 0.5090, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.3450
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.6550
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.3350
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.6650
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.3350
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.6700
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.3350
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.6650
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.3300
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.6700
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.3350
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.6700
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.3300
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.6700
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.3350
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.6700
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.3250
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.6750
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.3300
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.6700
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.3250
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.6750
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.3250
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.6750
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.3250
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.6750
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.2900
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.7150
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.2750
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.7300
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.2700
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.7350
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.2600
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.7500
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.2500
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.2500
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.7500
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.7500
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.7500
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.2450
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.7500
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.2500
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.7500
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.2450
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.7550
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.2450
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 73868599.82, Sell volume: 8125882.35, Average price: 0.5090, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.2450
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.7550
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.2450
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.7550
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.2450
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.7550
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.2400
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.7600
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.2400
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.7650
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.2400
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.7650
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.2400
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.7700
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.2300
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.7700
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.2350
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.7650
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.2350
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.7650
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.2300
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.7650
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.2350
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.7700
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.2300
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.7650
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.2350
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.7650
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.2350
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.7550
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.2400
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.7550
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.2350
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.7600
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.2400
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.7600
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.2400
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.7600
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.2400
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.7600
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.2400
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.7600
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.2400
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.7600
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.2400
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.7600
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.2400
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.7550
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.2400
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 73868599.82, Sell volume: 8125882.35, Average price: 0.5090, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.2450
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.7600
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.2400
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.7650
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.2400
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.7600
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.2400
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.7600
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.2400
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.7600
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.2400
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.7600
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.2400
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.7600
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.2400
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.7600
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.2400
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.7600
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.2400
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.7600
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.2400
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.7600
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.2050
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.7950
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.2250
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.7850
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.2350
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.7700
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.2350
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.7650
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.2350
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.7650
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.2350
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.7650
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.7700
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.2300
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.7550
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.2450
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 73868599.82, Sell volume: 8125882.35, Average price: 0.5090, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.2450
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.7550
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.2450
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.7550
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.2450
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.7550
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.7550
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.2450
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.7550
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.2450
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.7550
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.2450
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.7550
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.2450
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.7550
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.2050
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.7950
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.2100
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.7800
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.2200
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.7850
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.2250
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.7750
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.2250
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.7750
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.2150
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.7850
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.2200
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.7850
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.2150
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.7850
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.2250
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.7750
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.2250
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.7850
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.2150
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.7800
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.2250
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.7750
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.2200
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.7850
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.2150
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.7850
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.2250
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.7750
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.2250
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.7850
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.2150
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 73868599.82, Sell volume: 8125882.35, Average price: 0.5090, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.2250
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.7750
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.2250
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.7750
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.2300
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.7700
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.2300
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.7750
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.2250
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.7700
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.2250
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.7750
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.2200
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.7800
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.2050
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.7950
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.2050
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.7950
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.2050
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.7950
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.2050
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.7950
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.2150
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.7900
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.2100
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.7900
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.2050
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.7950
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.2100
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.7900
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.2100
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.8000
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.2000
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.7950
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.2000
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.7950
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.2000
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.7950
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.1950
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.8050
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.1950
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.8050
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.1950
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.8050
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.1950
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.8050
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.1950
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.8050
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.1950
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 73868599.82, Sell volume: 8125882.35, Average price: 0.5090, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.1950
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.8100
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.1950
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.8100
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.1900
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.8100
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.1900
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.8100
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.1900
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.8100
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.1950
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.8050
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.1900
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.8200
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.1800
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.8200
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.1850
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.8200
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.1800
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.8200
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.1800
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.8150
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.1900
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.8200
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.1800
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.8200
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.1800
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.8200
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.1800
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.8100
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.1900
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.8100
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.1800
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.8200
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.1800
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.8200
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.1900
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.8200
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.1800
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.8200
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.1800
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.8200
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.1800
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.8200
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.1800
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.8200
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.1800
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.8200
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.1800
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 73868599.82, Sell volume: 8125882.35, Average price: 0.5090, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.1050
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.8950
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.1100
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.8900
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.1100
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.8900
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.1100
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.8950
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.1000
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9000
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.1000
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.9000
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.1000
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9000
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.1000
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9000
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.1000
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9000
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.1000
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.9000
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.1000
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.9000
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.1000
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.9000
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.1000
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.9000
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.1000
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9000
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.1000
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.9000
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.1000
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.9000
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.9000
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.9000
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.9000
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.8950
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.1100
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.8900
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 73868599.82, Sell volume: 8125882.35, Average price: 0.5090, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.1100
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.8900
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.1100
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.8900
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.1100
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.8900
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.1100
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.8900
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.1100
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.8900
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.1100
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.8900
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.1100
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.8900
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.1150
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.8850
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.1150
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.8850
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.1150
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.8850
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.1150
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.8850
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.1150
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.8850
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.1150
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.8850
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.1150
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.8850
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.1000
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9000
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.1000
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.8950
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.1050
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.8950
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.1050
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.8950
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.1050
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.8950
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.1050
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9000
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.1000
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9000
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.1050
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9000
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.1050
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9000
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.1000
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.8500
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 73868599.82, Sell volume: 8125882.35, Average price: 0.5090, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.6400
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.3650
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.6450
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.3500
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.6450
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.3850
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.6050
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.3900
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.5950
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.4000
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.5850
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.4150
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.6000
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.4150
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.5850
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.4100
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.5900
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.4150
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.4000
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.5950
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.4200
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.6000
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.4050
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.5850
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.4100
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.5800
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.4200
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.5800
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.4250
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.5650
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.4450
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.5450
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.4650
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.5400
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.4550
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.4600
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5400
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4600
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5400
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5500
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4500
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.4550
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.5300
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.4700
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.5300
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 73868599.82, Sell volume: 8125882.35, Average price: 0.5090, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.4500
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.5500
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.4350
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.5550
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.4450
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.5600
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.4400
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.5700
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.4300
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5650
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.4300
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.5700
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.4250
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.4250
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.5750
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.4250
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.5800
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.4050
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.5950
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.4150
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.5800
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.4200
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.5800
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.3900
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.6050
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.3950
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.5900
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.4200
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.5800
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.4350
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.5700
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.4300
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.6050
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.3750
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.6150
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3850
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.6100
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.6250
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.3750
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.3450
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.6250
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.6450
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.3500
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.6250
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 633366, Buy volume: 47518510.53, Sell volume: 4757297.94, Average price: 0.4976, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.6150
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.3850
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.6150
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.3750
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.6450
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.6500
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.3550
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.6500
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.3550
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.6500
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.3400
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.3500
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.3450
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.3400
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.6650
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.3350
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.6600
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.3300
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.6650
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.3250
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.6550
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.3450
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.6450
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.3550
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.6400
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.3600
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.3800
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.6050
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.3950
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.6350
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.3650
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.6150
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.3600
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.6400
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.3450
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.6600
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.3400
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.6350
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.3600
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.6400
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 350649, Buy volume: 26027886.01, Sell volume: 3236566.49, Average price: 0.5275, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.4250
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.7200
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.3200
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.6750
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.3400
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.6250
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.3400
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.6650
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.3500
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.6400
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.3550
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.6500
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.3500
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.6450
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.3600
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.6600
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.3400
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.6600
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.3150
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.2950
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.7050
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.3300
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.6750
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.3250
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.6750
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.3250
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.6750
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.3050
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 73868599.82, Sell volume: 8125882.35, Average price: 0.5090, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.3100
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.6950
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.2700
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.7250
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.2800
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.7500
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.2550
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.7500
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.3150
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.6800
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.3150
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.6850
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.3450
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.6450
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.3350
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.6550
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.3400
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.6600
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.3400
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.6600
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.3350
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.6700
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.3300
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.6700
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.3300
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 73868599.82, Sell volume: 8125882.35, Average price: 0.5090, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.3450
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.6550
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.3350
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.6650
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.3300
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.6700
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.3300
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.6700
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.3300
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.6750
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.3300
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.6700
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.3250
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.6700
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.3250
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.7150
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.2700
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.7300
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.2550
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.7500
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.2500
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.7500
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.2500
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.7500
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.2500
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.7500
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.2450
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.7550
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.2450
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 73868599.82, Sell volume: 8125882.35, Average price: 0.5090, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.2450
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.7550
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.2450
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.7600
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.2400
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.7650
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.2350
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.7700
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.2300
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.7650
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.2350
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.7650
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.2350
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.7700
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.7650
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.2450
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.7650
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.2400
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.7600
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.2400
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.7550
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.2300
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.7600
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.2400
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.7600
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.7600
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.2400
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 73868599.82, Sell volume: 8125882.35, Average price: 0.5090, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.2450
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.7600
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.2400
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.7600
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.2400
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.7600
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.2400
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.7600
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.2400
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.7600
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.2400
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.7600
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.2400
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.7850
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.7700
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.7650
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.2350
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.7700
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.7700
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.2450
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.7550
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 73868599.82, Sell volume: 8125882.35, Average price: 0.5090, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.2450
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.7550
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.2450
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.7550
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.2450
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.7550
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.2450
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.7550
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.2450
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.7950
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.2100
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.7850
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.2200
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.7750
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.2200
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.7850
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.2150
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.7850
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.2250
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.7750
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.2150
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.7750
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.2250
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.7850
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.2250
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.7750
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.2150
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.7800
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.2250
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 73868599.82, Sell volume: 8125882.35, Average price: 0.5090, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.2250
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.7750
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.2250
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.7750
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.2250
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.7700
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.2250
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.7800
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.2050
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.7950
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.2050
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.7950
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.2050
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.7850
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.2100
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.7950
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.2100
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.7900
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.2000
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.8000
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.2000
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.8050
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.1950
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.8050
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.1950
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.8050
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.1950
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.8050
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.1950
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 73868599.82, Sell volume: 8125882.35, Average price: 0.5090, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.1950
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.8100
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.1900
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.8100
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.1950
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.8100
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.1950
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.8150
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.1800
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.8150
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.1800
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.8150
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.1900
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.8200
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.1850
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.8200
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.1900
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.8100
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.1850
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.8200
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.1900
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.8200
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.1800
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.8200
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.1800
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.8200
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.1800
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.8200
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.1800
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 73868599.82, Sell volume: 8125882.35, Average price: 0.5090, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.1050
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.8900
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.1100
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.8900
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.1000
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9000
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.1000
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9000
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.1000
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9000
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.1000
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.9000
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.1000
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.9000
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.1000
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9000
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.1000
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9000
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.9000
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.9000
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.1100
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.8900
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.1100
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 73868599.82, Sell volume: 8125882.35, Average price: 0.5090, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.1100
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.8900
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.1100
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.8900
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.1100
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.8900
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.1100
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.8900
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.1150
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.8850
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.1150
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.8850
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.1150
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.8850
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.1150
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.8850
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.1000
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.8950
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.1050
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.8950
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.1050
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.8950
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.1000
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9000
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.1000
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9000
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.1500
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.4850
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.6100
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 73868599.82, Sell volume: 8125882.35, Average price: 0.5090, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.6400
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.3450
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.6650
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.3900
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.6300
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.4000
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.5850
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.3950
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.5900
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.4100
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.4050
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.5950
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.4150
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.5850
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.4200
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.5750
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.4350
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.5350
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.4600
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4650
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4600
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.5500
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.4550
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.5300
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.4700
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.5250
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 73868599.82, Sell volume: 8125882.35, Average price: 0.5090, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.4500
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.5550
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.4450
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.5700
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.4300
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5700
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.4300
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.4250
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.5800
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.4200
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.5850
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.4250
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.6150
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.3950
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.5800
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.4200
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.5700
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.3950
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.6150
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.3750
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.6450
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.6500
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.3750
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.6300
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 633366, Buy volume: 47518510.53, Sell volume: 4757297.94, Average price: 0.4976, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525054
Question: Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Volume: 296087.987489
Price History:
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.6150
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.3850
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.6250
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.3550
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.3550
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.3400
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.3450
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.3400
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.6600
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.3350
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.6650
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.3450
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.6450
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.3600
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.6050
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.3450
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.6200
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.3450
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.6450
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.3400
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.6400
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.3600
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.6300
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 350649, Buy volume: 26027886.01, Sell volume: 3236566.49, Average price: 0.5275, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.8500
2024-12-16 21:00: 0.8850
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.8850
2024-12-17 07:00: 0.8700
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.8600
2024-12-17 17:00: 0.8650
2024-12-17 22:00: 0.8650
2024-12-18 03:00: 0.8650
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.8700
2024-12-18 13:00: 0.8650
2024-12-18 18:00: 0.8750
2024-12-18 23:00: 0.8750
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.8750
2024-12-19 09:00: 0.8750
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.8650
2024-12-19 19:00: 0.8800
2024-12-20 00:00: 0.8700
2024-12-20 05:00: 0.8950
2024-12-20 10:00: 0.9150
2024-12-20 15:00: 0.9050
2024-12-20 20:00: 0.8850
2024-12-21 01:00: 0.8950
2024-12-21 06:00: 0.8950
2024-12-21 11:00: 0.8950
2024-12-21 16:00: 0.8950
2024-12-21 21:00: 0.8950
2024-12-22 02:00: 0.8950
2024-12-22 07:00: 0.8900
2024-12-22 12:00: 0.8850
2024-12-22 17:00: 0.8850
2024-12-22 22:00: 0.8850
2024-12-23 03:00: 0.8900
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.8950
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.8850
2024-12-23 18:00: 0.8850
2024-12-23 23:00: 0.8900
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.8900
2024-12-24 09:00: 0.9000
2024-12-24 14:00: 0.9000
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.9000
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.9050
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.9050
2024-12-25 10:00: 0.9050
2024-12-25 15:00: 0.9050
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.9100
2024-12-26 01:00: 0.9050
2024-12-26 06:00: 0.9150
2024-12-26 11:00: 0.9100
2024-12-26 16:00: 0.9000
2024-12-26 21:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1144824050.39, Sell volume: 340003285.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.9050
2024-12-27 17:00: 0.9050
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.9050
2024-12-28 03:00: 0.9050
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.9050
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.9150
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.9150
2024-12-28 23:00: 0.9150
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.9150
2024-12-29 09:00: 0.9150
2024-12-29 14:00: 0.9150
2024-12-29 19:00: 0.9150
2024-12-30 00:00: 0.9150
2024-12-30 05:00: 0.9250
2024-12-30 10:00: 0.9150
2024-12-30 15:00: 0.9050
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.9150
2024-12-31 01:00: 0.9150
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.9150
2024-12-31 11:00: 0.9250
2024-12-31 16:00: 0.9200
2024-12-31 21:00: 0.9250
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.9250
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.9250
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.9250
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.9250
2025-01-01 22:00: 0.9250
2025-01-02 03:00: 0.9250
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.9250
2025-01-02 13:00: 0.9250
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.9250
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.9150
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.9150
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.9100
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.9050
2025-01-03 19:00: 0.9150
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.9150
2025-01-04 05:00: 0.9150
2025-01-04 10:00: 0.9050
2025-01-04 15:00: 0.8900
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.8900
2025-01-05 01:00: 0.8900
2025-01-05 06:00: 0.8900
2025-01-05 11:00: 0.8950
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.8950
2025-01-05 21:00: 0.9000
2025-01-06 02:00: 0.9000
2025-01-06 07:00: 0.9000
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.9050
2025-01-06 17:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1144824050.39, Sell volume: 340003285.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.9050
2025-01-07 13:00: 0.9050
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.8950
2025-01-07 23:00: 0.8950
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.8950
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.8950
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.8950
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.8950
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.8950
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.8950
2025-01-09 10:00: 0.8950
2025-01-09 15:00: 0.8950
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.8950
2025-01-10 01:00: 0.8950
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.8950
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.8950
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.8950
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.8950
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.8950
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.8950
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.8950
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.8950
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.8950
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.8850
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.8850
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.8850
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.8850
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.8850
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.8850
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.8800
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.8750
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.8850
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.8800
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.8750
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.8850
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.8800
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.8800
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.8800
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.8850
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.8850
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.8750
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.8850
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.8800
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.8950
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.8950
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.8950
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.8950
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1144824050.39, Sell volume: 340003285.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.8700
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.8800
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.8800
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.8850
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.8850
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.8800
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.8800
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.8850
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.8850
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.8900
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.8950
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.8950
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.9050
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.9050
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.9050
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.9050
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.9050
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.9050
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.9150
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.9150
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.9050
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.9050
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.9050
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.9150
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9350
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.9450
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9450
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.9450
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.9450
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.9500
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.9450
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.9450
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.9450
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.9450
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.9450
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.9450
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.9450
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.9500
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.9450
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.9450
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.9450
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.9450
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.9450
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1144824050.39, Sell volume: 340003285.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.9400
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.9350
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.9450
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.9250
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.9150
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.9150
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.9200
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.9150
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.9050
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.9050
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.9050
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.8950
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.9050
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.8950
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.8950
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.9150
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.9000
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.9050
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.9050
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.9050
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.9050
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.8950
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.8950
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.9050
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.8950
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.9050
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.9050
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.9050
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.9050
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.9050
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9050
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9050
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9050
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.9050
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.9050
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.9050
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.9050
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.9050
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.9050
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9050
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.9050
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9050
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9150
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.9300
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.9250
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1144824050.39, Sell volume: 340003285.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.9350
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9350
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9350
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9350
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9350
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9350
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.9350
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9350
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9350
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9350
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9350
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.9350
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.9350
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9350
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.9350
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9350
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.9350
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.9350
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.9350
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.9350
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.9350
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.9350
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.9350
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9350
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.9250
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9300
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.9350
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.9350
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.9350
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.9350
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.9350
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.9350
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9350
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.9450
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1144824050.39, Sell volume: 340003285.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9450
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.9450
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.9450
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9450
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.9450
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.9450
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.9450
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.9550
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.9550
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.9550
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.9550
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.9550
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.9550
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.9550
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.9550
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.9550
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.9550
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.9550
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.9450
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.9535
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.9835
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.9860
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.9875
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.9885
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.9895
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.9875
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.9860
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.9835
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9840
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.9800
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.9820
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.9860
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.9820
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.9795
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.9770
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.9775
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.9750
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9760
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.9735
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.9725
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.9725
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9695
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.9690
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9640
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.9660
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9660
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9620
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.9675
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9680
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1144824050.39, Sell volume: 340003285.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9685
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9725
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9710
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9710
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.9725
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9755
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9770
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9765
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.9765
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9770
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.9770
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9770
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9770
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.9765
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9780
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9765
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.9765
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9765
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9760
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9755
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9775
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9775
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9755
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9710
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9685
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.9690
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9715
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9650
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9675
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.9690
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9700
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9625
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9610
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9640
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.9680
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.9680
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9695
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9705
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.9670
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9640
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.9580
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.9585
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.9620
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.9620
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.9580
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.9575
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.9615
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9640
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.9585
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1144824050.39, Sell volume: 340003285.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.9615
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.9565
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.9580
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.9575
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.9605
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9660
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.9690
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.9720
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.9715
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.9690
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.9695
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.9690
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.9670
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.9675
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.9690
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.9670
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.9665
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.9700
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.9700
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.9665
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.9645
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.9655
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.9660
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9665
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.9695
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.9755
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.9755
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.9750
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.9755
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.9705
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9750
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.9800
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9805
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.9795
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.9745
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.9775
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.9765
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9850
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.9825
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.9805
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.9725
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9720
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.9720
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.9675
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.9695
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9680
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.9690
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.9700
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.9680
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1144824050.39, Sell volume: 340003285.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.9595
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.9535
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.9475
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.9555
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.9510
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.9555
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.9505
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9530
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.9500
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.9495
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.9540
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.9570
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.9465
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.9560
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.9535
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.9510
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9510
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.9440
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.9540
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.9465
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.9455
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.9475
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.9425
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.9420
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.9435
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9475
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.9445
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.9470
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.9465
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.9470
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.9445
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9415
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.9405
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.9395
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9415
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.9445
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.9450
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.9485
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.9495
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.9450
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9495
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.9470
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.9545
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9560
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9540
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9535
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9535
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.9580
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.9575
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.9580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1144824050.39, Sell volume: 340003285.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9635
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9595
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.9590
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.9590
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.9585
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.9580
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.9560
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.9550
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.9620
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9600
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.9605
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.9600
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.9580
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9575
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.9575
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.9550
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.9560
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.9580
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9580
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.9585
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.9575
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.9595
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9825
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.9800
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.9805
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.9815
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.9855
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9860
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.9850
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9845
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.9865
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.9845
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.9845
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.9845
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.9835
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.9835
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9845
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9855
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9845
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9845
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.9845
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.9835
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.9830
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9825
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9825
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9825
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9825
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9815
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1144824050.39, Sell volume: 340003285.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9830
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9830
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9820
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9820
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9825
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.9825
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.9825
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.9820
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9815
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9810
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9810
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9815
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9820
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9820
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9805
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9810
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9810
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9765
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9805
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9795
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9790
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9800
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9800
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.9810
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.9795
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9800
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9790
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9795
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9790
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9780
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9780
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.9755
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9750
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9750
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9730
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9695
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9740
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9730
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9690
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9700
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9680
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9700
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9695
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9715
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9700
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1144824050.39, Sell volume: 340003285.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9720
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9720
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9720
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9705
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9705
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9740
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9740
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9750
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9675
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9695
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9730
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9735
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9740
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9775
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9775
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9730
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9750
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9820
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9860
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9905
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9885
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9955
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9955
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9895
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9915
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9920
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9945
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9935
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9965
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9965
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999970, Buy volume: 1144800500.39, Sell volume: 339980349.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.8500
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.1150
2024-12-17 09:00: 0.8600
2024-12-17 17:00: 0.1350
2024-12-18 02:00: 0.8650
2024-12-18 10:00: 0.1350
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.8750
2024-12-19 03:00: 0.1250
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.8700
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.1300
2024-12-20 05:00: 0.8950
2024-12-20 13:00: 0.0850
2024-12-20 22:00: 0.8850
2024-12-21 06:00: 0.1050
2024-12-21 15:00: 0.8950
2024-12-21 23:00: 0.1050
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.8900
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.1050
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.8900
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.1050
2024-12-23 18:00: 0.8850
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.1150
2024-12-24 11:00: 0.9000
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.1000
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.9050
2024-12-25 12:00: 0.0950
2024-12-25 21:00: 0.9050
2024-12-26 05:00: 0.0950
2024-12-26 14:00: 0.9050
2024-12-26 22:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1144824050.39, Sell volume: 340003285.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.9050
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0950
2024-12-28 05:00: 0.9050
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.0850
2024-12-28 22:00: 0.9150
2024-12-29 06:00: 0.0850
2024-12-29 15:00: 0.9150
2024-12-29 23:00: 0.0850
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.9150
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.0950
2024-12-31 01:00: 0.9150
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.0850
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.9250
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.0750
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.9250
2025-01-01 19:00: 0.0750
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.9250
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.0750
2025-01-02 21:00: 0.9150
2025-01-03 05:00: 0.0950
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.9050
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.0850
2025-01-04 07:00: 0.9150
2025-01-04 15:00: 0.1100
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.8900
2025-01-05 08:00: 0.1100
2025-01-05 17:00: 0.9050
2025-01-06 01:00: 0.1000
2025-01-06 10:00: 0.9050
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1144824050.39, Sell volume: 340003285.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.9050
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.1100
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.8950
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.1050
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.8950
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.1050
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.8950
2025-01-09 19:00: 0.1050
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.8950
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.1050
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.8950
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.1050
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.8950
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.1050
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.8850
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.1150
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.8850
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.1150
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.8800
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.1200
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.8850
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.1200
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.8800
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.1150
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.8850
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.1200
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.1050
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.8950
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1144824050.39, Sell volume: 340003285.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.8700
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.1350
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.8800
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.1150
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.8800
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.1200
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.8850
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.1050
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.0950
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.9000
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.1000
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.9050
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.0950
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.9150
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.0950
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9050
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.0850
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.9350
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.0550
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.9450
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.0550
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.9450
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.9450
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.0550
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.9450
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.0550
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.9450
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1144824050.39, Sell volume: 340003285.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.9400
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.0650
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.9250
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0850
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.9150
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0950
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.9050
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.1050
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0900
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.9150
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.1000
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.9050
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.8950
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.1050
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.9050
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.0950
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.9050
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0950
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9050
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0950
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9050
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0950
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.9050
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.9150
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0750
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1144824050.39, Sell volume: 340003285.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.9350
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9350
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.0650
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.9350
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.9350
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0650
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9350
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0650
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.9350
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0650
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.9350
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.0650
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0650
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.9250
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.9350
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0650
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.9350
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0550
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.0550
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.9450
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1144824050.39, Sell volume: 340003285.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9450
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0550
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.9450
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0550
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.9550
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.0450
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.9550
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.0450
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.9550
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.0450
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.9550
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.0430
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.9865
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.0125
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.9880
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0140
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.9825
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.0205
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.9840
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.0185
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.9770
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.0245
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.9745
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.0275
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.9710
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.0330
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9670
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.0350
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.9685
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1144824050.39, Sell volume: 340003285.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9685
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0290
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.9710
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0245
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9765
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0235
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9770
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0225
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9765
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0230
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9765
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0245
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9775
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0245
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9685
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0305
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9660
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0340
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.9665
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0380
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.9680
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.0305
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9690
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0360
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.9580
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.0450
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.9540
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0375
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.9650
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1144824050.39, Sell volume: 340003285.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.9615
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.0435
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.9590
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.0340
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.9700
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.0285
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.9695
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.0330
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.9700
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0305
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.9700
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.0315
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.9655
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.0340
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.9665
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.0245
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.9755
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.0245
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.9790
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.0195
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.9745
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0225
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.9825
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.0195
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.9705
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.0300
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.9665
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.0310
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.9690
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1144824050.39, Sell volume: 340003285.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.9595
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.0570
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.9515
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0445
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.9520
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.0495
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.9505
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.0510
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.9545
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0475
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.9440
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.0460
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.9475
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.0575
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.9420
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.0545
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.9470
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.0530
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.9400
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.0580
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9415
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0530
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.9520
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0550
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.9470
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.0445
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.9545
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0465
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.9565
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.0425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1144824050.39, Sell volume: 340003285.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9635
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.0405
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.9585
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.0420
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.9565
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.0360
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.9605
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0420
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.9575
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.0460
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.9580
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.0415
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.9575
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.0175
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.9780
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0205
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.9865
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.0155
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9855
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.9835
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0160
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.9855
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0155
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.9845
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.0165
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.9825
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0175
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.9815
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1144824050.39, Sell volume: 340003285.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9830
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0175
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.9825
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0175
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9820
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0190
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.9810
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0180
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9825
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.0200
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9765
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0210
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9800
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0200
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.9795
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0200
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9795
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0220
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.9765
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0250
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9730
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0235
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0305
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9685
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0300
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9680
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0305
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9700
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1144824050.39, Sell volume: 340003285.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515766
Question: Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 8653917.429013
Price History:
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9720
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0280
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9705
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0260
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9750
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0315
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9730
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0250
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9785
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0270
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9820
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9885
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9955
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9895
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0080
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0055
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9945
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0055
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999970, Buy volume: 1144800500.39, Sell volume: 339980349.36, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2024-12-29 18:00: 0.4050
2024-12-29 23:00: 0.3250
2024-12-30 05:00: 0.6750
2024-12-30 10:00: 0.2800
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.7250
2024-12-30 21:00: 0.2750
2024-12-31 03:00: 0.7250
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.2750
2024-12-31 14:00: 0.7250
2024-12-31 19:00: 0.2950
2025-01-01 01:00: 0.6850
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.3150
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.6850
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.3050
2025-01-01 23:00: 0.6950
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.3050
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.6950
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.3050
2025-01-02 21:00: 0.6850
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.3800
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.6150
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.3750
2025-01-03 19:00: 0.6700
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.3250
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.5550
2025-01-04 11:00: 0.4300
2025-01-04 17:00: 0.5850
2025-01-04 22:00: 0.4250
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.5750
2025-01-05 09:00: 0.4250
2025-01-05 15:00: 0.5850
2025-01-05 20:00: 0.3750
2025-01-06 02:00: 0.6150
2025-01-06 07:00: 0.3850
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.6250
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.3350
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.6550
2025-01-07 05:00: 0.3450
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.6650
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.3350
2025-01-07 22:00: 0.6650
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.3350
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.6750
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.3250
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.6750
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.3250
2025-01-09 07:00: 0.6750
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.3350
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.6600
2025-01-09 23:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 41337735.26, Sell volume: 11279484.52, Average price: 0.5211, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.6550
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.3450
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.6550
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.3450
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.6450
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.3550
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.6450
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.3550
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.6450
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.3550
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.6450
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.3550
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.6450
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.3550
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.6450
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.3550
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.6450
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.6450
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.6450
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.3350
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.6650
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.3550
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.6250
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.3750
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.6250
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.3750
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.6600
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.6600
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.3400
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.6700
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.3300
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.7150
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.2750
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.7250
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.3200
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.6800
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.3250
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.6750
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.3400
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.6650
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.6650
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.3400
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.7900
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.3150
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.6850
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 41337735.26, Sell volume: 11279484.52, Average price: 0.5211, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.7400
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.2600
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.7450
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.2700
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.7250
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.2750
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.7100
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.2900
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.7100
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.2900
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.7000
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.3000
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.6950
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.3050
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.6950
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.3050
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.6950
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.3050
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.6950
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.3050
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.6950
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.3050
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.6950
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.3050
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.6950
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.3050
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.7050
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.2950
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.7050
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.2950
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.7050
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.2950
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.7050
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.2950
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.7050
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.2950
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.7050
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.2950
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.7050
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.2950
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.7050
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.2950
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.7050
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.2950
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.7050
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.2950
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.7050
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.2950
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.7050
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 41337735.26, Sell volume: 11279484.52, Average price: 0.5211, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.7050
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.2950
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.7050
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.2950
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.7050
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.2950
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.7050
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.2950
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.7050
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.2950
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.7050
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.2950
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.7050
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.2950
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.7050
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.2950
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.7050
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.2950
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.7050
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.2950
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.7050
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.2950
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.7050
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.2950
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.7050
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.2950
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.7050
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.2950
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.7050
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.2950
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.7050
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.2950
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.7200
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.2600
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.6950
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.3450
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.6650
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.3300
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.6750
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.3100
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.6950
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.6950
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.3100
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.6900
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.3000
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.6900
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.3100
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.6900
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 41337735.26, Sell volume: 11279484.52, Average price: 0.5211, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.6900
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.3100
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.6900
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.3100
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.6900
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.3100
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.6900
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.3200
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.6750
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.3250
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.6750
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.3250
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.6850
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.3150
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.6950
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.3050
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.6950
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.3050
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.6900
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.3100
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.6900
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.3100
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.6900
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.3100
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.6850
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.3150
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.6850
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.3100
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.6900
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.3100
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.6900
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.3100
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.6900
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.3100
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.6900
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.3100
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.6900
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.3100
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.6900
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.3100
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.6900
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.3100
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.6900
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.3100
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.6900
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.3100
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.6900
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.3100
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.6900
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 41337735.26, Sell volume: 11279484.52, Average price: 0.5211, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.6850
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.3150
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.6850
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.3150
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.6850
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.3150
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.6850
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.3150
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.6850
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.3150
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.6850
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.3150
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.6850
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.3150
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.6850
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.6750
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.3250
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.6650
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.3350
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.6650
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.3350
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.6650
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.3350
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.6650
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.3650
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.6250
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.3700
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.6400
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.4000
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.6000
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.4000
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.6000
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.4000
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.6000
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.4000
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.6000
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.4000
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.6000
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.4000
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.6050
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.3950
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.5950
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.4050
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.5950
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.4050
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.5950
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 41337735.26, Sell volume: 11279484.52, Average price: 0.5211, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.5850
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.4150
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.5850
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.4150
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.5850
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.4150
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.4150
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.5950
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.4150
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.5500
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.4450
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.5550
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.4400
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.5600
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.4400
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.5600
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.4400
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.5600
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.4400
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.5600
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.4400
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.5600
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.4350
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.5650
2025-03-18 06:00: 0.4350
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.5650
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.4350
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.5650
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.4350
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.5650
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.4350
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.5650
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.4350
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.5700
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.4300
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.5700
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.4300
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.5750
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.4300
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.5700
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.4350
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.5650
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.4350
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.5500
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.4500
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.5550
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.4400
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.5600
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 41337735.26, Sell volume: 11279484.52, Average price: 0.5211, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.5550
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.5550
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.4600
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.5400
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.4600
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.5350
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.4650
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.5350
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.4650
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.5350
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.4650
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.5350
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.4450
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.5550
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.4450
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.5550
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.4450
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.5700
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.4300
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.5750
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.4200
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.5800
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.4200
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.5700
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.4300
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.5700
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.4300
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.5700
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.4300
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.8550
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.1400
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.8550
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.1500
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.9050
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.1400
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.9535
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.0570
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9280
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.7575
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.2300
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.8255
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.1090
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.9075
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0930
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.9065
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.0945
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.8045
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.2605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 41337735.26, Sell volume: 11279484.52, Average price: 0.5211, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.8215
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.1825
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.8175
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.1795
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.7895
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.2130
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.7780
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.2210
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.7765
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.2240
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.7800
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.2140
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.8240
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.1555
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.8335
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.1735
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.8225
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.1785
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.8450
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.1535
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.8470
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.1470
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.8535
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.1465
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.8505
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.1920
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.8095
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.1930
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.8020
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.1915
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.8175
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.1820
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.8535
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.1785
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.8280
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.1755
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.8205
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.1825
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.8110
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.1770
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.8210
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.1810
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.8195
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.1810
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.8140
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.1950
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.7990
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.2015
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.7975
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.2020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 41337735.26, Sell volume: 11279484.52, Average price: 0.5211, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.7995
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.2020
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.7970
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.2040
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.7960
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.2045
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.7950
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.2045
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.7950
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.2045
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.7905
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.2090
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.7925
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.2065
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.7980
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.2025
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.7955
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2075
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.7945
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.2070
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.7975
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.2735
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.7235
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.2730
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.7225
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.2545
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.7560
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.2445
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.7545
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.2430
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.7570
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.2420
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.7635
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.2050
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.7970
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.2020
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.7980
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.2020
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.7980
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.2020
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.7980
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.2020
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.7900
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.2085
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.7935
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.2115
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.7890
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.2135
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.7865
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.2145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 317682, Buy volume: 8084234.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5167, Price range: 0.2140 - 0.7870

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.7865
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.2135
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.7865
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.2365
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.7640
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.2310
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.7815
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.2205
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.7905
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.2100
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.7900
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.2200
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.7880
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.7900
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.7895
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.2105
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.7895
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.2105
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.7865
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.2145
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.7835
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.2175
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.7820
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.2200
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.7800
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.2260
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7585
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.2455
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.7550
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.2450
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.7550
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.2505
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.7490
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.2385
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.7635
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.2335
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.7700
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.2300
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.7675
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.2325
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.7675
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.2325
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.7675
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.2325
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.7675
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.2325
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.7655
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.2345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 679476, Buy volume: 32924879.80, Sell volume: 11095988.50, Average price: 0.5222, Price range: 0.2070 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.7650
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.2350
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.7650
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.2350
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.7655
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.2345
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.7655
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.2565
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.2490
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.7620
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.2425
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.7590
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.2475
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.7580
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.2455
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.7550
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.2460
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.7540
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.2460
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.7540
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.2460
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.7540
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.2405
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.7370
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.2655
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.7355
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.2645
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.7395
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.2425
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.7635
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.2335
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.8045
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.4175
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.6185
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.3890
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.6075
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.3930
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.6135
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.4870
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.5075
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.4640
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.5135
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.5260
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.4785
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.5270
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.7215
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.2800
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.6590
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 234, Buy volume: 89972.74, Sell volume: 75058.11, Average price: 0.5072, Price range: 0.2014 - 0.8050

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.6765
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.3260
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.6540
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.3505
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.7070
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.2860
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.6980
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.3075
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.6925
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.2935
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.7110
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.2930
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.6950
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.2965
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9060
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0790
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9210
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0780
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9190
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0780
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9345
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0615
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9380
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0610
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9390
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0530
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9770
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0225
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0390
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9620
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0330
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9675
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0325
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9675
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0440
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9625
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0475
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9575
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0420
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9640
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0355
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9780
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0250
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9820
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0280
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9910
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0075
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9940
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 601, Buy volume: 213260.89, Sell volume: 26347.39, Average price: 0.6882, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2024-12-29 18:00: 0.4050
2024-12-30 03:00: 0.2950
2024-12-30 13:00: 0.7200
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.2750
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.7250
2024-12-31 17:00: 0.2750
2025-01-01 03:00: 0.6850
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.3150
2025-01-01 22:00: 0.6950
2025-01-02 07:00: 0.3050
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.6950
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.3800
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.6250
2025-01-03 21:00: 0.3250
2025-01-04 07:00: 0.5550
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.4150
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.5750
2025-01-05 11:00: 0.4250
2025-01-05 21:00: 0.6250
2025-01-06 06:00: 0.3850
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.6250
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.3450
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.6650
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.3350
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.6750
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.3250
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.6750
2025-01-09 10:00: 0.3250
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.6600
2025-01-10 05:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 41337735.26, Sell volume: 11279484.52, Average price: 0.5211, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.6550
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.3450
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.6450
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.3550
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.6450
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.3550
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.6450
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.3550
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.6450
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.3550
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.6450
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.6650
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.3500
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.6250
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.3750
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.3450
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.6600
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.3300
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.7200
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.2850
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.6800
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.3250
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.6600
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.3350
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.6600
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.2850
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.6850
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 41337735.26, Sell volume: 11279484.52, Average price: 0.5211, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.7400
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.2600
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.7250
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.2750
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.7100
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.2600
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.7000
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.3050
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.6950
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.3050
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.6950
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.3050
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.6950
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.3050
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.6950
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.2950
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.7050
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.2950
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.7050
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.2950
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.7050
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.2950
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.7050
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.2950
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.7050
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.2950
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.7050
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.2950
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.7050
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 41337735.26, Sell volume: 11279484.52, Average price: 0.5211, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes