Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573306
Question: Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62198.460159
Price History:
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.8950
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.1050
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.8900
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.1100
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.8900
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.1100
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.8950
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.8950
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.1050
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.1050
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.8950
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.1050
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.8950
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.1050
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2419.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5481, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573306
Question: Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62198.460159
Price History:
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.1000
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.9000
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.9000
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.1000
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.1000
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.9000
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.9000
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.1000
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.9000
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.1000
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.1000
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.0950
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.9050
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9050
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1393.81, Sell volume: 1079.68, Average price: 0.7885, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573306
Question: Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62198.460159
Price History:
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.9450
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.0550
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.9350
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0650
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.9350
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.0650
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.9450
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0550
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.9450
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0550
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0600
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9400
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.9350
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.0650
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.9450
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.0550
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.9450
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.0550
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.9450
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.0550
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.9450
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.0550
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9300
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0700
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9250
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9200
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0800
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.9250
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.0750
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9250
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0750
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.9250
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.0750
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.9200
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.0800
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.9200
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.0800
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.9200
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0800
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9200
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.0800
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9200
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0800
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.9150
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9150
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 723.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573306
Question: Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62198.460159
Price History:
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9150
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9150
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.9150
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.9400
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0600
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.9400
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.0600
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.9400
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.0600
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9400
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0600
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.9450
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.0550
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.9500
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.0500
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.9450
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0550
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.9450
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.0550
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9450
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.0550
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9550
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0450
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.9550
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.0450
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.9500
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0500
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.0500
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.9500
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9500
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.0500
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9500
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0500
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.9500
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.0500
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.9500
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.0500
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0500
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9500
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.9500
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0500
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9500
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.0500
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.0450
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 3978.60, Sell volume: 200.10, Average price: 0.7586, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573306
Question: Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62198.460159
Price History:
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.9550
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0450
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.9600
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0400
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0400
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.9600
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.0400
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.9600
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.0455
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.9545
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0450
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9550
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.0495
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.9505
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.0455
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.9545
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0490
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9510
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.9520
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.0480
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.0440
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.9560
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.0510
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.9490
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.0385
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.9615
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0345
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.9655
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.0430
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.9570
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.0385
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.9615
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0345
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9655
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0425
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.9575
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.0390
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.9610
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.0435
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9565
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.0440
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.9560
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.9575
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.0425
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.0440
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.9560
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.9570
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0430
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0405
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.9595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1378.04, Sell volume: 160.83, Average price: 0.8411, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573306
Question: Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62198.460159
Price History:
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.9630
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.0370
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9765
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.0235
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.9885
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.0115
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.0225
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.9775
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.9730
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0270
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.9690
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.0310
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9335
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0665
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.9590
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.0410
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.0355
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.9645
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9630
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.0370
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.9660
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.0340
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.9965
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.9975
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.0025
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.0030
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0030
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.0030
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9975
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.0025
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0030
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.9975
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.0025
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.0025
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.9975
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.9975
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.0030
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 17120.40, Sell volume: 10859.86, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573306
Question: Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62198.460159
Price History:
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0020
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.9980
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.0020
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.9980
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.9980
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.0020
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.9965
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9965
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.9965
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.9965
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.9965
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.9965
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9965
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9965
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.9965
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9965
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.9965
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.9965
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 4838.95, Sell volume: 2839.57, Average price: 0.8555, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573306
Question: Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62198.460159
Price History:
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.0020
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.9980
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.0020
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.9980
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.0020
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.9980
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.0020
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.9980
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.0020
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.9980
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.0020
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.9980
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.0020
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.0020
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.9980
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.0020
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.9980
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9980
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0020
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.9985
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.9985
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.9985
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.0020
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 3158.25, Sell volume: 1180.95, Average price: 0.8877, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573306
Question: Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 62198.460159
Price History:
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.5450
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.4550
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.8100
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.1900
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.8100
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.1900
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.8100
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.1900
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.1700
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.8300
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.1700
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.8300
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.8350
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.1650
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.8400
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.1600
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.1600
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.8400
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.1700
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.8300
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.1700
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.8300
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 26.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5850, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573306
Question: Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 62198.460159
Price History:
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.1650
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.1650
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.1650
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.1650
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.1650
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.1650
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.1650
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 409.52, Sell volume: 5.48, Average price: 0.5025, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573306
Question: Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 62198.460159
Price History:
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.1650
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.1650
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.1650
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.1650
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.1650
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.1650
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.8350
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.1650
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.1650
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.8350
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.1650
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.8350
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.1650
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.8350
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.1650
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.8350
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.1650
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.8350
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.1650
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.8350
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.1650
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.8350
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.1650
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 199, Buy volume: 45571.72, Sell volume: 16626.74, Average price: 0.6793, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573306
Question: Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 62198.460159
Price History:
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.1700
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.8300
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.1700
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.8300
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.1700
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.8300
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.1700
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.8300
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.1600
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.8400
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.1400
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.8600
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.1400
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.8600
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.1400
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.8600
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.1450
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.1400
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.8600
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.8600
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.1400
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.8600
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.1400
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.8650
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.8650
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 5469.65, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573306
Question: Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 62198.460159
Price History:
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.1100
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.8900
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.1100
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.8900
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.1100
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.8900
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.8900
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.1100
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.8950
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.1050
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.1050
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.8950
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.1050
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.8950
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.8950
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.1050
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.8950
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.1050
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.1050
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.8950
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.1050
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.8950
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.1050
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.1050
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.8950
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.8950
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.1050
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.8950
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 51.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9075, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573306
Question: Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 62198.460159
Price History:
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.8950
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2419.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5481, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573306
Question: Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 62198.460159
Price History:
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1393.81, Sell volume: 1079.68, Average price: 0.7885, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573306
Question: Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 62198.460159
Price History:
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.9450
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.0550
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.9350
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0650
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.9350
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.0650
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.9450
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0550
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.9450
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0550
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0600
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9400
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.9350
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.0650
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.9450
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.0550
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.9450
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.0550
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.9450
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.0550
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.9450
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.0550
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9300
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0700
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9250
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9200
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0800
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.9250
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 723.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573306
Question: Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 62198.460159
Price History:
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9150
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9150
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.9150
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.9400
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0600
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.9400
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.0600
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.9400
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.0600
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9400
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0600
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.9450
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.0550
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.9500
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.0500
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.9450
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0550
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.9450
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.0550
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9450
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.0550
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9550
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0450
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.9550
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 3978.60, Sell volume: 200.10, Average price: 0.7586, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573306
Question: Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 62198.460159
Price History:
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.9550
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0450
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.9600
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0400
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0400
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.9600
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.0400
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.9600
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.0455
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.9545
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0450
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9550
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.0495
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.9505
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.0455
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.9545
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0490
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9510
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.9520
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.0480
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.0440
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.9560
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.0510
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.9490
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.0385
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.9615
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0345
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.9655
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.0430
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.9570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1378.04, Sell volume: 160.83, Average price: 0.8411, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573306
Question: Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 62198.460159
Price History:
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.9630
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.0370
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9765
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.0235
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.9885
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.0115
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.0225
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.9775
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.9730
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0270
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.9690
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.0310
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9335
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0665
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.9590
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.0410
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.0355
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.9645
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9630
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.0370
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.9660
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.0340
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.9965
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.9975
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.0025
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 17120.40, Sell volume: 10859.86, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573306
Question: Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 62198.460159
Price History:
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0020
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.9980
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.0020
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.9980
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.9980
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.0020
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.9965
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9965
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 4838.95, Sell volume: 2839.57, Average price: 0.8555, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573306
Question: Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 62198.460159
Price History:
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.0020
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.9980
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.0020
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.9980
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.0020
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.9980
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.0020
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.9980
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.0020
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.9980
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 3158.25, Sell volume: 1180.95, Average price: 0.8877, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.5000
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.5000
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.2100
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.7900
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.2150
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.7850
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.1950
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.8050
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.8200
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.1800
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.8200
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.1800
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.1800
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.8200
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.1750
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.8250
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.1750
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.8250
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.1750
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.8250
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.1750
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.8250
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.1750
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.8300
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.1700
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.8300
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.1700
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.8250
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.1750
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.1750
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.8250
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.1750
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.8250
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.8300
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.1700
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.1700
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.8300
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 407.30, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.8333, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.1600
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.8400
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.1750
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.8250
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.8200
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.1800
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.1800
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.8200
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.1800
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.8200
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.1800
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.8200
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.8200
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.1800
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.8200
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.1800
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.2200
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.7800
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.7800
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.2200
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.7800
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.2200
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.2050
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.7950
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.2050
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.7950
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1208.76, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.6509, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8477

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.1950
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.8200
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.1800
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.8200
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.1800
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 2213.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7314, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.8100
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.1900
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.7950
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.2050
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.2050
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.7950
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.2050
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.7950
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.7950
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.2050
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.8100
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 195.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8178, Price range: 0.8000 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.8150
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.1850
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.0750
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.9000
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.1000
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.1000
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.9000
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.9000
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.1000
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9000
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.1000
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0950
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9050
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.0950
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9050
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.0900
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9000
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.1000
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.1050
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.8950
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.1250
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.8750
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.1050
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.8950
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.1050
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.8950
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.1000
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.9000
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.0850
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.9150
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.0850
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 17279.68, Sell volume: 473.01, Average price: 0.4801, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0850
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9150
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.0950
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.9050
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.8850
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.1150
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.1200
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.8800
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.1350
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.8650
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.1350
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.8650
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.1350
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.8650
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.1350
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.8650
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.1250
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.8750
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.1250
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.8750
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.1250
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.8750
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.1150
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.8850
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.1200
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.8800
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.1200
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.8800
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.1150
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.8850
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.1150
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.8850
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.1050
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.8950
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.1050
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 13253.80, Sell volume: 216.00, Average price: 0.4470, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1594.00, Sell volume: 232.66, Average price: 0.4200, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.8850
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.1150
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.8850
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.1150
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.8900
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.1100
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.8950
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.1050
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.8950
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.1050
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.1050
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.8950
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.1050
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.1050
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.8950
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.8950
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.1050
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.8950
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.1050
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.1050
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.8950
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.1050
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 126000.59, Sell volume: 8069.01, Average price: 0.5904, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.1150
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.8850
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.8850
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1150
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.8750
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.1250
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.8650
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.1350
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.8900
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.1100
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.8900
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.1100
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.8900
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.1100
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.8900
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.1100
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.8950
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.1050
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.8900
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.1100
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.8900
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.1100
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.8900
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.1100
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.8900
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.1100
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.8900
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.1100
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.1100
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.8900
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.8900
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.1100
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.8900
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.1100
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.8900
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.1100
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.8900
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.1100
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.8900
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.1100
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.8950
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.1050
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.9250
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.0750
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.9200
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.0800
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9000
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 43596.57, Sell volume: 1073.95, Average price: 0.5724, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9349

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.8750
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.1250
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.8750
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.1250
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.8700
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.1300
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.8550
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.1450
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.1200
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.8800
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9100
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0900
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.0800
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.9200
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.9200
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0800
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.9100
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.0900
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9100
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.0900
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0900
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9100
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.1000
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.9000
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.1000
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9000
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.9050
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.9000
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.1000
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.8850
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.1150
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.8850
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.1150
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.1150
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.8850
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.8850
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 272241.36, Sell volume: 2293.85, Average price: 0.5737, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9389

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.8850
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.1150
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.1150
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.8850
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.1150
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.8850
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.1150
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.8850
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.8850
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.1150
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.1150
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.8850
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.1150
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.8850
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.8850
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.1150
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.1150
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.8850
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.8950
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.1050
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.1050
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.8950
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.1050
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.1050
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.8950
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.8600
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.1400
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.8550
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.1450
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.1400
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.8600
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.8700
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 123, Buy volume: 178705.41, Sell volume: 58563.35, Average price: 0.4566, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.8550
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.1450
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.8850
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.1150
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.1050
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.0950
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.9050
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.9645
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.0355
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.0230
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9770
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.0180
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.9820
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9955
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0045
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.0010
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.9990
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.9990
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.0010
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.0030
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0030
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.0070
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 175, Buy volume: 143286.45, Sell volume: 189672.25, Average price: 0.5215, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.0040
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.9960
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0020
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.9980
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.0025
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9975
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.0030
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.9955
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.0045
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.0045
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.9955
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0045
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.9955
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0040
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0030
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.9970
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0025
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.0025
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.9975
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9975
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.9970
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.0030
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.0030
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.9970
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.9970
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1390.75, Sell volume: 5902.23, Average price: 0.4441, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.5000
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.5000
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.2100
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.7900
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.2150
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.7850
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.1950
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.8050
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.8200
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.1800
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.8200
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.1800
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.1800
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.8200
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.1750
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.8250
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.1750
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.8250
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.1750
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.8250
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.1750
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.8250
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.1750
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.8300
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.1700
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.8300
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.1700
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.8250
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 407.30, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.8333, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.1600
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.8400
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.1750
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.8250
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.8200
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.1800
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.1800
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.8200
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.1800
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.8200
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.1800
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.8200
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.8200
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.1800
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.8200
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1208.76, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.6509, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8477
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.1950
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 2213.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7314, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.8100
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.1900
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.7950
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.2050
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.2050
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.7950
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.2050
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.7950
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.7950
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.2050
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.8100
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 195.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8178, Price range: 0.8000 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.8150
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.1850
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.0750
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.9000
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.1000
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.1000
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.9000
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.9000
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.1000
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9000
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.1000
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0950
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9050
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.0950
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9050
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.0900
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9000
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.1000
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.1050
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.8950
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.1250
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 17279.68, Sell volume: 473.01, Average price: 0.4801, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0850
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9150
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.0950
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.9050
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.8850
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.1150
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.1200
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.8800
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.1350
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.8650
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.1350
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.8650
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.1350
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.8650
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.1350
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.8650
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.1250
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 13253.80, Sell volume: 216.00, Average price: 0.4470, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1594.00, Sell volume: 232.66, Average price: 0.4200, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.8850
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.1150
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.8850
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.1150
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.8950
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.1050
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.8900
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.1100
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 126000.59, Sell volume: 8069.01, Average price: 0.5904, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.1150
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.8850
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.8850
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1150
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.8750
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.1250
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.8650
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.1350
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.8900
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.1100
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.8900
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.1100
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.8900
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.1100
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.8900
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.1100
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.8950
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.1050
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.8900
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.1100
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.8900
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.1100
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.8900
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.1100
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.8900
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.1100
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.8900
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.1100
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.1100
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 43596.57, Sell volume: 1073.95, Average price: 0.5724, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9349
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.8750
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.1250
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.8750
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.1250
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.8700
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.1300
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.8550
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.1450
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.1200
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.8800
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9100
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0900
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.0800
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.9200
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.9200
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0800
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.9100
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.0900
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9100
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.0900
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0900
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9100
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.1000
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.9000
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 272241.36, Sell volume: 2293.85, Average price: 0.5737, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9389
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.8850
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.1150
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.1150
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.8850
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.1150
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.8850
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.1150
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.8850
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.8850
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.1150
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.1150
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.8850
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.1150
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.8850
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.8850
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 123, Buy volume: 178705.41, Sell volume: 58563.35, Average price: 0.4566, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.8550
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.1450
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.8850
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.1150
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.1050
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.0950
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.9050
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.9645
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.0355
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.0230
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9770
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.0180
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.9820
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9955
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0045
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 175, Buy volume: 143286.45, Sell volume: 189672.25, Average price: 0.5215, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573307
Question: Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Volume: 1235797.896658
Price History:
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.0040
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.9960
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0020
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.9980
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.0025
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9975
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.0030
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.9955
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.0045
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.0045
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.9955
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0045
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.9955
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0040
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0030
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.9970
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.9980
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1390.75, Sell volume: 5902.23, Average price: 0.4441, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.6350
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.3650
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.7550
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.2450
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.6900
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.3100
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.7900
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.2100
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.8200
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.1800
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.7850
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.2150
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.7650
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.2350
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.7650
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.2350
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.7650
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.2350
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.7650
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 459.25, Sell volume: 22.37, Average price: 0.4602, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.7700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.7650
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.2350
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.7650
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.2350
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.7300
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.2700
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.7300
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.2700
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.7300
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.2700
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.7300
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.2700
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.7300
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.2700
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.7300
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.2700
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.7300
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 681.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5458, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.7850
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.2150
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.9150
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.0850
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.9200
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.0800
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.8950
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.1050
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.8950
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.1050
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.9000
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.1000
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.8700
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.1300
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.8650
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.1350
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.8650
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.1350
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.8500
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1551.23, Sell volume: 120.98, Average price: 0.5827, Price range: 0.0972 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.8500
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.1500
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.8500
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.1500
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.8500
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.1500
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.8500
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.8500
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.8500
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.8500
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.8500
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.8500
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.8550
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 141.86, Sell volume: 3.94, Average price: 0.8575, Price range: 0.8400 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.8500
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.8500
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.8500
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.8500
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.8450
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.1550
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.8450
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.1550
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.7700
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.2300
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.7750
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.2250
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.7750
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.2250
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.7750
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 998.33, Sell volume: 921.92, Average price: 0.5167, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.7750
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.2250
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.7750
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.2250
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.7750
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.2250
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.7750
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.2250
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.7750
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.2250
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.7750
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.2250
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.7750
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.2250
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.7750
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.2250
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.7750
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.2250
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.7750
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 139, Buy volume: 23045.09, Sell volume: 5099.69, Average price: 0.6805, Price range: 0.0206 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.7750
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.2250
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.7750
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.2250
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.7750
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.2250
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.7750
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.2250
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.7750
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.2250
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.7800
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.2200
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.7800
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.2200
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.7800
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.2200
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.8150
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.1850
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.8150
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1579.46, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.7989, Price range: 0.7900 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 207.32, Average price: 0.4950, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.2300
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.7750
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.2250
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.2150
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.2150
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.7900
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.2100
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.7900
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.2100
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.2150
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.7950
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.2050
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.7950
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 13.16, Sell volume: 106.97, Average price: 0.5933, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.7950
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.2050
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.2150
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.7900
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.2100
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.2150
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.7900
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.2100
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.7900
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.2100
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.7900
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.2100
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.7900
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.2100
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.7900
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.2100
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 73.57, Sell volume: 69.75, Average price: 0.7880, Price range: 0.7700 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.2150
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.2150
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.2150
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.2150
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.2150
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.2150
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.7850
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.2150
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.7850
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.2150
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.7850
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.2150
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.7850
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 139, Buy volume: 23045.09, Sell volume: 5099.69, Average price: 0.6805, Price range: 0.0206 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.7800
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.2200
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.7800
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.2200
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.7800
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.2200
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.7800
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.2200
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.7800
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.2200
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.7800
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.2200
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.7800
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.2200
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.7800
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.2200
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.7650
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.2350
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.7650
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 993.96, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2365, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.2400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.7450
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.2550
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.9300
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.0700
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.9645
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0355
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.9500
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0500
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9680
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0320
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.9645
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0355
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.9640
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.0360
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.9575
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0425
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.9535
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0465
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.9775
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 9835.56, Sell volume: 2561.67, Average price: 0.7565, Price range: 0.0206 - 0.9790

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.6350
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.3650
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.7550
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.2450
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.6900
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.3100
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.7900
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.2100
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.8200
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.1800
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.7850
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.2150
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.7650
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.2350
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.7650
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.2350
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.7650
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.2350
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.7650
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 459.25, Sell volume: 22.37, Average price: 0.4602, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.7650
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.2350
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.7650
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.2350
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.7300
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.2700
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.7300
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.2700
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.7300
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.2700
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.7300
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.2700
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.7300
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.2700
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.7300
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.2700
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.7300
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 681.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5458, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.7850
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.2150
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.9150
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.0850
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.9200
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.0800
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.8950
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.1050
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.8950
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.1050
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.9000
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.1000
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.8700
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.1300
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.8650
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.1350
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.8650
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.1350
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.8500
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1551.23, Sell volume: 120.98, Average price: 0.5827, Price range: 0.0972 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.8500
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.1500
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.8500
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.1500
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.8500
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.1500
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.8500
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.8500
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.8500
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.8500
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.8500
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.8500
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.8550
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 141.86, Sell volume: 3.94, Average price: 0.8575, Price range: 0.8400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.8500
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.8500
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.8500
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.8500
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.8450
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.1550
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.8450
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.1550
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.7700
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.2300
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.7750
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.2250
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.7750
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.2250
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.7750
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 998.33, Sell volume: 921.92, Average price: 0.5167, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.7750
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.2250
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.7750
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.2250
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.7750
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.2250
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.7750
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.2250
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.7750
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.2250
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.7750
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.2250
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.7750
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.2250
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.7750
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.2250
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.7750
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.2250
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.7750
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 139, Buy volume: 23045.09, Sell volume: 5099.69, Average price: 0.6805, Price range: 0.0206 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.7750
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.2250
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.7750
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.2250
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.7750
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.2250
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.7750
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.2250
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.7750
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.2250
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.7800
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.2200
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.7800
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.2200
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.7800
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.2200
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.8150
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.1850
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.8150
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1579.46, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.7989, Price range: 0.7900 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 207.32, Average price: 0.4950, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.2300
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.7750
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.2250
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.2150
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.2150
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.7900
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.2100
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.7900
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.2100
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.2150
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.7950
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.2050
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.7950
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 13.16, Sell volume: 106.97, Average price: 0.5933, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.7950
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.2050
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.2150
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.7900
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.2100
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.2150
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.7900
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.2100
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.7900
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.2100
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.7900
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.2100
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.7900
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.2100
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.7900
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.2100
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 73.57, Sell volume: 69.75, Average price: 0.7880, Price range: 0.7700 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.2150
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.2150
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.2150
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.2150
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.2150
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.2150
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.7850
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.2150
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.7850
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.2150
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.7850
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.2150
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.7850
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 139, Buy volume: 23045.09, Sell volume: 5099.69, Average price: 0.6805, Price range: 0.0206 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.7800
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.2200
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.7800
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.2200
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.7800
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.2200
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.7800
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.2200
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.7800
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.2200
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.7800
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.2200
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.7800
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.2200
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.7800
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.2200
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.7650
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.2350
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.7650
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 993.96, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2365, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.2400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543365
Question: US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?
Volume: 28144.778862
Price History:
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.7450
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.2550
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.9300
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.0700
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.9645
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0355
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.9500
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0500
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9680
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0320
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.9645
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0355
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.9640
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.0360
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.9575
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0425
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.9535
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0465
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.9775
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 9835.56, Sell volume: 2561.67, Average price: 0.7565, Price range: 0.0206 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.1000
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9000
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9000
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9000
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9000
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9000
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.1000
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.1000
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.1000
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9000
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.1000
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.1000
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9000
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.1000
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9000
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.1000
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9000
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.1000
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9000
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.1000
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.1000
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.1000
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.1000
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.1000
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.1000
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.1000
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9000
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9000
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9000
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9000
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.1000
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.1000
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9000
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.1000
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9000
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.1000
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9000
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9000
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9000
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9000
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1000
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.86, Sell volume: 1.85, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9000
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9000
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9000
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9000
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9000
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9000
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.1000
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1000
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9000
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9000
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9000
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9000
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9000
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9000
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9000
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9000
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9000
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9000
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.86, Sell volume: 1.85, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9000
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9000
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9000
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9000
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.1000
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9000
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.1000
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.1000
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9000
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.1000
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.1000
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.1000
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.1000
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9000
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9000
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9000
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9000
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9000
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9000
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9000
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9000
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9000
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.85, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.1000
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.1000
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.1000
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.1000
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.1000
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.1000
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.86, Sell volume: 1.85, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.86, Sell volume: 1.85, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.86, Sell volume: 1.85, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.86, Sell volume: 1.85, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9100

Output: No