Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654251
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1
Volume: 739866.422029
Price History:
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.4750
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.5250
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.4700
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.5300
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.4650
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.5350
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.6700
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.3300
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.3300
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.6700
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.3300
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.6700
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.6500
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.3500
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.3500
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.6500
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.2300
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.7700
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.2150
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.7850
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.2150
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.7850
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.2400
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.7600
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.2600
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.7400
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.7400
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188464855.92, Sell volume: 31668014.44, Average price: 0.5695, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654251
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1
Volume: 739866.422029
Price History:
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.7550
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.7300
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.2700
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.2700
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.7300
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.2600
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.7400
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.7450
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.2550
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.2550
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.7450
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.2550
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.7450
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.2550
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.7450
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.7450
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.2550
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.2550
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.7450
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.7450
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.2550
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.7500
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.2500
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.2550
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.7450
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.7450
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.2500
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.7500
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188464855.92, Sell volume: 31668014.44, Average price: 0.5695, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654251
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1
Volume: 739866.422029
Price History:
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.7450
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.2550
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.7450
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.2550
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.2550
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.7450
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.2550
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.7450
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.2550
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.7450
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.2600
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.7400
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.2550
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.7450
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.7400
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.2600
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.2600
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.7400
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.7600
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.2400
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.2600
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.7400
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.7250
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188464855.92, Sell volume: 31668014.44, Average price: 0.5695, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654251
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1
Volume: 739866.422029
Price History:
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.7350
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.2650
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.7350
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.2650
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.7350
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.2750
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.7250
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.7350
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.2650
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.2650
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.7350
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.2650
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.7350
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.2650
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.2700
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.7300
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.2750
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.7250
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.2750
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.7250
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.7250
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.2750
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.2800
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.7200
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.2800
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.7200
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188464855.92, Sell volume: 31668014.44, Average price: 0.5695, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654251
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1
Volume: 739866.422029
Price History:
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.7050
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.2950
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.2950
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.7050
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.7050
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.2950
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.2950
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.7050
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.2950
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.7050
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.2950
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.7050
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.2950
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.7050
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.2900
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.7100
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.7050
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.2950
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.2900
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.7100
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.2900
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.7100
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.2900
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.7100
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.2900
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.7100
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.7100
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.2900
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.2900
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188464855.92, Sell volume: 31668014.44, Average price: 0.5695, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654251
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1
Volume: 739866.422029
Price History:
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.7050
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.7050
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.2950
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.7050
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.7050
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.2950
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.2950
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.7050
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.2950
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.7050
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.2900
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.7100
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.2900
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.7100
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.2900
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.7100
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.2800
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.7200
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.7200
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.2700
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.7300
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.7200
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188464855.92, Sell volume: 31668014.44, Average price: 0.5695, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654251
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1
Volume: 739866.422029
Price History:
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.7200
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.7200
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.7200
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.7200
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.7200
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.7200
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.2750
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.7200
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.7200
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.7200
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.7200
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.7200
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.7200
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.2750
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.2750
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188464855.92, Sell volume: 31668014.44, Average price: 0.5695, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654251
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1
Volume: 739866.422029
Price History:
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.7100
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.7200
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.2800
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.2900
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.7100
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.2750
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.7250
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.2700
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.7300
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.2750
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.7250
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.2700
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.7300
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.2700
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.7300
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.2750
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.7250
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.2750
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.2750
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.7250
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.7350
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.2650
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.2750
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.7250
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.2750
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.7250
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.2800
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.7200
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188464855.92, Sell volume: 31668014.44, Average price: 0.5695, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654251
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1
Volume: 739866.422029
Price History:
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.2600
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.7400
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.2600
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.7400
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.2600
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.7400
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.2600
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.7400
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.7400
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.2600
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.2750
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.2750
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.7250
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.2750
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.7250
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.2750
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188464855.92, Sell volume: 31668014.44, Average price: 0.5695, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654251
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1
Volume: 739866.422029
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.2800
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.7200
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.2800
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.7200
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188464855.92, Sell volume: 31668014.44, Average price: 0.5695, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654251
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1
Volume: 739866.422029
Price History:
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.2600
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188464855.92, Sell volume: 31668014.44, Average price: 0.5695, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654251
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1
Volume: 739866.422029
Price History:
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.7350
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.2650
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.7350
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.7350
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.2000
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.8000
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.2250
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.7750
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.7650
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.1700
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.8300
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.8250
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.1750
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.1900
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.8100
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.2750
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.7250
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 281718, Buy volume: 40295954.52, Sell volume: 6641232.12, Average price: 0.6710, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654251
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1
Volume: 739866.422029
Price History:
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0755
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9245
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1155
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8845
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.7780
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.2220
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.7910
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.2090
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.7160
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.2840
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.6250
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.3750
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.3310
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.6690
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.7495
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.2505
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.1700
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.8300
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.8990
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.1010
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9135
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0865
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.8460
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.1540
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.1985
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8015
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9325
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 464536, Buy volume: 105470142.62, Sell volume: 19640314.18, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.1000
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9000
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0600
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9400
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0500
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9500
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0500
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9500
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0200
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9800
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0210
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9790
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0210
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9790
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0310
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9690
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0210
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9790
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0205
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9795
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0205
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9795
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0110
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9890
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0165
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9835
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0195
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 6855.91, Sell volume: 487.84, Average price: 0.5576, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9790
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0170
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9830
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0190
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9810
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0240
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9760
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9750
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9750
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9750
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9750
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9750
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9750
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9750
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0250
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9750
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0250
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9750
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0250
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9750
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0250
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9750
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0250
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9750
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9745
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9745
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9745
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9740
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0245
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9755
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0240
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9760
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0240
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9760
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0235
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9765
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0240
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9760
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 242.17, Sell volume: 242.27, Average price: 0.6900, Price range: 0.0119 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0245
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9755
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0250
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9750
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0250
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9750
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0250
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9750
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0250
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9750
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9800
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9800
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9800
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0205
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9795
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0200
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9800
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0205
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9795
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0200
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9800
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0200
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9800
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0200
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9800
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0200
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9800
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0205
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9795
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0230
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9770
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0230
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9770
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0230
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9770
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0230
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9770
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0210
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9790
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0250
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9750
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0270
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9730
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0245
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9755
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0275
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 480.31, Sell volume: 25.01, Average price: 0.5102, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9685
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0330
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9670
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0305
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9695
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0305
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9695
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0270
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9730
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0305
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9695
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0305
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9695
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0300
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9700
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0275
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9725
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0295
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9705
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0310
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9690
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0265
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9735
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0260
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9740
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0285
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9715
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0260
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9740
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0260
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9740
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0260
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9740
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0250
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9750
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0270
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9730
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0260
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9740
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0265
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9735
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0260
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9740
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0265
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9735
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0265
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9735
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0265
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9735
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 319.43, Sell volume: 152.05, Average price: 0.5289, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9810

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0265
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9735
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0265
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9735
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0260
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9740
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0265
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9735
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0265
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9735
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0265
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9735
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0260
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9740
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0260
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9740
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0260
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9740
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0260
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9740
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0265
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9735
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0195
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9805
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0175
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9825
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0150
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0135
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9865
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0135
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9865
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0125
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9875
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9900
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0160
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9840
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0225
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9775
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0230
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9770
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0220
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9780
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0210
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9790
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9795
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 253.51, Sell volume: 873.02, Average price: 0.4966, Price range: 0.0059 - 0.9810

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9795
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9795
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9795
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9795
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9795
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0205
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9795
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0205
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9795
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0205
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9795
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0205
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9795
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0205
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9795
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0205
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9795
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0175
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9825
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0175
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9825
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0175
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9825
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0175
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9825
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0150
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9850
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0150
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9850
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0150
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9850
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0150
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9850
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0150
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9850
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0150
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9850
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0150
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9850
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0150
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9850
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0150
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9850
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0150
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9850
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 987.04, Sell volume: 210.92, Average price: 0.8338, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9862

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0155
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9845
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9890
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 132, Buy volume: 13517.43, Sell volume: 42606.46, Average price: 0.1239, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0105
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9895
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0105
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9895
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0105
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9895
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0090
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9910
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0080
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0080
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0090
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9910
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0095
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9905
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0110
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9890
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0110
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9890
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0110
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9890
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0110
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9890
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0110
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9890
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0110
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9890
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 106, Buy volume: 7174.27, Sell volume: 14881.65, Average price: 0.0832, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0090
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9910
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0085
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0085
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0080
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9920
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0085
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9925
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0115
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9885
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0090
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9910
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 8958.66, Sell volume: 24557.48, Average price: 0.1638, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0080
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9920
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0110
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9890
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0110
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9890
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0120
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9880
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9910
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0175
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9825
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0215
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9785
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9910
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 196, Buy volume: 25156.00, Sell volume: 46507.20, Average price: 0.1564, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0090
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9910
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0120
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9880
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 207, Buy volume: 24890.04, Sell volume: 70302.67, Average price: 0.1390, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9910
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0080
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9920
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0080
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9920
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0125
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0155
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9845
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0165
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9835
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0215
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9785
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0205
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9795
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0200
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9800
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9795
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0205
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9795
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0205
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9795
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0205
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9795
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0205
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9795
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0205
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9795
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0205
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9795
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0185
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9815
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0155
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9845
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0145
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9855
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0140
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9860
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 5982.09, Sell volume: 11442.44, Average price: 0.1554, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0140
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9860
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0140
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9860
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0130
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9870
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0115
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9885
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0130
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9870
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0130
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9870
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0130
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9870
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0140
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9860
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0140
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9860
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0145
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9855
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0160
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9840
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0145
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9855
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0150
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9850
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0145
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9855
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0145
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9855
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0180
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 896.38, Sell volume: 1126.56, Average price: 0.9116, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.1000
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9000
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0600
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9400
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0500
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9500
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0500
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 6855.91, Sell volume: 487.84, Average price: 0.5576, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9790
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0170
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9830
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0190
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9810
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0240
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9760
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9750
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9750
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9750
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9750
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9750
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9750
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9750
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0250
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9750
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0250
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9750
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0250
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9750
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0250
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9750
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 242.17, Sell volume: 242.27, Average price: 0.6900, Price range: 0.0119 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0245
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9755
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0250
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9750
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0250
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9750
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0250
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9750
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0250
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9750
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9800
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9800
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9800
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0205
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9795
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0200
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9800
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0205
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9795
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0200
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9800
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0200
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9800
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0200
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9800
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0200
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 480.31, Sell volume: 25.01, Average price: 0.5102, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9685
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0330
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9670
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0305
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9695
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0305
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9695
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0270
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9730
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0305
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9695
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0305
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9695
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0300
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9700
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0275
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9725
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0295
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9705
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0310
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9690
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0265
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9735
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0260
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9740
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0285
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9715
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0260
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9740
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 319.43, Sell volume: 152.05, Average price: 0.5289, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0265
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9735
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0265
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9735
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0260
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9740
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0265
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9735
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0265
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9735
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0265
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9735
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0260
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9740
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0260
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9740
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0260
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9740
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0260
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9740
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0265
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9735
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0195
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9805
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0175
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9825
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0150
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0135
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 253.51, Sell volume: 873.02, Average price: 0.4966, Price range: 0.0059 - 0.9810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9795
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9795
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9795
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9795
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9795
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0205
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9795
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0205
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9795
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0205
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9795
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0205
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9795
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0205
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9795
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0205
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9795
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0175
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9825
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0175
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9825
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0175
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9825
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0175
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9825
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 987.04, Sell volume: 210.92, Average price: 0.8338, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9862
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0155
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9845
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9890
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 132, Buy volume: 13517.43, Sell volume: 42606.46, Average price: 0.1239, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0105
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9895
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0105
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9895
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0105
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9895
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0090
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9910
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0080
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0080
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 106, Buy volume: 7174.27, Sell volume: 14881.65, Average price: 0.0832, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0090
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9910
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0085
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0085
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0080
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9920
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0085
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9925
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0115
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9885
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0090
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9910
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 8958.66, Sell volume: 24557.48, Average price: 0.1638, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0080
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9920
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0110
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9890
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0110
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9890
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0120
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9880
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9910
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0175
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9825
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0215
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9785
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9910
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 196, Buy volume: 25156.00, Sell volume: 46507.20, Average price: 0.1564, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 207, Buy volume: 24890.04, Sell volume: 70302.67, Average price: 0.1390, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9910
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0080
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9920
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0080
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9920
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0125
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0155
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9845
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0165
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9835
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0215
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9785
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0205
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9795
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0200
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9800
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9795
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0205
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9795
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0205
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9795
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0205
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9795
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0205
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9795
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 5982.09, Sell volume: 11442.44, Average price: 0.1554, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 668527
Question: Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Volume: 339999.093536
Price History:
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0140
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9860
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0140
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9860
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0130
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9870
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0115
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9885
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0130
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9870
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0130
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9870
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 896.38, Sell volume: 1126.56, Average price: 0.9116, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.4750
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.5250
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.4650
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.5350
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.4750
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.5250
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.3350
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.6650
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.3350
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.6650
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.3350
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.6650
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.3500
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.6500
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.3500
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.6500
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.3150
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.6850
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.2950
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.7050
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.2950
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.7050
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.3200
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.6800
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.3200
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.6800
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.3200
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.6800
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.3250
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.6750
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.3150
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.6850
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.3150
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.6850
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.3150
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.6850
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.3150
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.6850
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.3150
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.6850
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 133.45, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.6410, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.6950
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.3050
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.6950
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.3050
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.6950
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.3200
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.6800
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.3200
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.6800
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.3100
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.6900
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.3100
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.6900
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.3100
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.6900
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.3200
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.6800
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.3200
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.6800
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.3200
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.6800
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.3200
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.6800
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.3200
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.6800
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.2850
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.7150
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.2650
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.7350
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.2550
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.7450
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.2550
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.7450
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.2450
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.7550
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.2200
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.7800
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.2200
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.7800
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.2200
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 116.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7047, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.2200
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.7800
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.2200
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.7800
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.2200
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.7800
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.2200
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.7800
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.2200
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.7800
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.2200
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.7800
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.2400
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.7600
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.7500
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.7500
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.2400
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.7600
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.2400
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.7600
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.2400
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.7600
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 56.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5571, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.2550
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.7450
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.2300
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.7700
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.2150
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.7850
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.2150
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.7850
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.2150
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.7850
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.2150
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.7850
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.2150
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.7850
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.2150
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.7850
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.2150
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 32.70, Sell volume: 166.30, Average price: 0.3737, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.2150
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.7850
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.2150
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.7850
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.2150
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.7850
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.2150
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.7850
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.2150
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.7850
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.2150
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.7850
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.2150
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.7850
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.2150
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.7850
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.2400
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.7600
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 110.20, Sell volume: 10.91, Average price: 0.4225, Price range: 0.2128 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.2400
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.7600
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.2400
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.7600
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.2350
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.7650
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.2350
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.7650
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.7650
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.7650
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.2550
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.7450
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.2550
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.7450
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.2550
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.7450
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.2550
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.7450
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.2550
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.7450
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.2550
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.7450
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.2550
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 11.11, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.2408, Price range: 0.2116 - 0.2700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.2550
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.7450
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.2550
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.7450
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.2550
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.7450
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.2600
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.7400
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.2600
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.7400
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.2550
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.7450
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.2600
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.7400
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.7550
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.7550
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.7550
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.7550
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.7550
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.7550
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.2600
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.7400
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.2600
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.7400
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.2500
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.7500
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.2600
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.7400
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.2600
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.7400
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.2500
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.7500
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 14.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2734, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.2800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.7500
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.2600
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.7400
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.2550
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.7450
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.7350
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.7350
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.2650
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.7350
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.2650
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.7350
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.2650
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.7350
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.2600
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.7400
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.2600
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.7400
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.2600
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.7400
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.2350
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.7650
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.2500
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.7500
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.2450
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.7550
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.2450
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.7550
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.2550
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.7450
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.2550
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.2600
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.7400
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.2600
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.7400
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.2600
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 51.38, Sell volume: 60.87, Average price: 0.2574, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.2900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.2600
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.7400
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.2600
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.7400
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 30.81, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3925, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.2500
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.7500
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.2500
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.7500
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.2500
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.7500
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.2700
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.7300
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.2800
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.7200
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.2850
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 665.68, Sell volume: 175.36, Average price: 0.5247, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.2950
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.2850
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.2850
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.2850
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.2950
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.2850
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.2850
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.2850
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 39.67, Sell volume: 119.16, Average price: 0.2805, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.2900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.7200
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.2800
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.7200
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.2800
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.7200
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.2800
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.7200
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.2750
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.7250
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.3200
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.6800
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.3750
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.6250
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0400
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9600
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0135
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 362, Buy volume: 82937.69, Sell volume: 16056.66, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0225
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9775
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0325
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9675
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0260
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9740
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0200
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9800
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0170
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9830
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0220
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9780
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0150
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9850
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0180
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9820
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 922, Buy volume: 284048.06, Sell volume: 82334.72, Average price: 0.6551, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.4750
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.5250
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.4650
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.5350
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.4750
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.5250
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.3350
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.6650
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.3350
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.6650
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.3350
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.6650
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.3500
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.6500
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.3500
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.6500
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.3150
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.6850
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.2950
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.7050
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.2950
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.7050
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.3200
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.6800
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.3200
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.6800
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.3200
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 133.45, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.6410, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.6950
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.3050
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.6950
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.3050
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.6950
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.3200
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.6800
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.3200
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.6800
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.3100
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.6900
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.3100
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.6900
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.3100
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.6900
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.3200
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.6800
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.3200
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.6800
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.3200
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.6800
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.3200
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.6800
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.3200
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.6800
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.2850
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.7150
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 116.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7047, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.2200
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.7800
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.2200
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.7800
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.2200
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.7800
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.2200
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.7800
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.2200
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.7800
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.2200
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.7800
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.2400
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 56.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5571, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.2550
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.7450
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.2300
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.7700
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 32.70, Sell volume: 166.30, Average price: 0.3737, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.2150
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.7850
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.2150
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.7850
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.2150
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.7850
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.2150
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.7850
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.2150
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.7850
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.2150
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.7850
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.2150
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.7850
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.2150
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.7850
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.2400
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.7600
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 110.20, Sell volume: 10.91, Average price: 0.4225, Price range: 0.2128 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.2400
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.7600
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.2400
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.7600
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.2350
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.7650
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.2350
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.7650
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.7650
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.7650
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 11.11, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.2408, Price range: 0.2116 - 0.2700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.2550
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.7450
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.2550
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.7450
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.2550
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.7450
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.2600
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.7400
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.2600
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.7400
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.2550
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.7450
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.2600
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.7400
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.7550
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.7550
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.7550
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.7550
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.7550
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 14.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2734, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.2800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.7500
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.2600
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.7400
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.2550
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.7450
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.7350
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.7350
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.2650
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.7350
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.2650
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.7350
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.2650
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.7350
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.2600
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.7400
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.2600
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.7400
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.2600
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.7400
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.2350
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.7650
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.2500
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.7500
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.2450
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.7550
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 51.38, Sell volume: 60.87, Average price: 0.2574, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.2900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.2600
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.7400
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.2600
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.7400
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 30.81, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3925, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.2500
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.7500
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.2500
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.7500
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.2500
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.7500
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 665.68, Sell volume: 175.36, Average price: 0.5247, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.2950
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.2850
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.2850
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.2850
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.2950
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.2850
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.2850
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.2850
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 39.67, Sell volume: 119.16, Average price: 0.2805, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.2900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.7200
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.2800
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.7200
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.2800
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.7200
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.2800
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.7200
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.2750
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.7250
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 362, Buy volume: 82937.69, Sell volume: 16056.66, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654252
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
Volume: 489281.881432
Price History:
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0225
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9775
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0325
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9675
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0260
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9740
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0200
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9800
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0170
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9830
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0220
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9780
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0150
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9850
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0180
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9820
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 922, Buy volume: 284048.06, Sell volume: 82334.72, Average price: 0.6551, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638516
Question: Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60447.966991
Price History:
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0400
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9600
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0185
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9815
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0140
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9860
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0070
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0070
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2182.45, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.6279, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638516
Question: Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60447.966991
Price History:
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0050
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9950
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0075
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9925
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9925
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0075
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0150, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.0150

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638516
Question: Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60447.966991
Price History:
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 103.46, Sell volume: 20.02, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638516
Question: Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60447.966991
Price History:
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2651.96, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.2789, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638516
Question: Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60447.966991
Price History:
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9580
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 23082.38, Sell volume: 8396.91, Average price: 0.4377, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638516
Question: Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60447.966991
Price History:
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9580
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 23082.38, Sell volume: 8396.91, Average price: 0.4377, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638516
Question: Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60447.966991
Price History:
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9580
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 23082.38, Sell volume: 8396.91, Average price: 0.4377, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638516
Question: Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60447.966991
Price History:
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9580
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 23082.38, Sell volume: 8396.91, Average price: 0.4377, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638516
Question: Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60447.966991
Price History:
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9580
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 23082.38, Sell volume: 8396.91, Average price: 0.4377, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638516
Question: Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60447.966991
Price History:
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9580
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 23082.38, Sell volume: 8396.91, Average price: 0.4377, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638516
Question: Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60447.966991
Price History:
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9580
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 23082.38, Sell volume: 8396.91, Average price: 0.4377, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638516
Question: Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60447.966991
Price History:
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9580
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 23082.38, Sell volume: 8396.91, Average price: 0.4377, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638516
Question: Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60447.966991
Price History:
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9580
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 23082.38, Sell volume: 8396.91, Average price: 0.4377, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638516
Question: Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?
Volume: 60447.966991
Price History:
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0400
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9600
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0185
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9815
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0140
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9860
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0070
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0070
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2182.45, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.6279, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638516
Question: Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?
Volume: 60447.966991
Price History:
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0050
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9950
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0075
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9925
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9925
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0075
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0150, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.0150
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638516
Question: Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?
Volume: 60447.966991
Price History:
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 103.46, Sell volume: 20.02, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638516
Question: Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?
Volume: 60447.966991
Price History:
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2651.96, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.2789, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638516
Question: Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?
Volume: 60447.966991
Price History:
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9580
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 23082.38, Sell volume: 8396.91, Average price: 0.4377, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638516
Question: Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?
Volume: 60447.966991
Price History:
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9580
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 23082.38, Sell volume: 8396.91, Average price: 0.4377, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638516
Question: Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?
Volume: 60447.966991
Price History:
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9580
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 23082.38, Sell volume: 8396.91, Average price: 0.4377, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638516
Question: Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?
Volume: 60447.966991
Price History:
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9580
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 23082.38, Sell volume: 8396.91, Average price: 0.4377, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638516
Question: Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?
Volume: 60447.966991
Price History:
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9580
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 23082.38, Sell volume: 8396.91, Average price: 0.4377, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes