Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537140
Question: Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 235032.895004
Price History:
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9980
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.9995
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 11608.36, Sell volume: 14.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0016

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537140
Question: Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 235032.895004
Price History:
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9990
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 81134.25, Sell volume: 350.00, Average price: 0.0724, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537140
Question: Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 235032.895004
Price History:
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0150
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0095
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0100
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0100
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0080
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0105
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0105
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0105
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0105
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0105
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0105
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0105
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0105
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0105
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0105
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0105
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0090
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0100
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0100
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 511.97, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.8577, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537140
Question: Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 235032.895004
Price History:
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0095
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0105
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0105
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0110
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0110
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0095
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0095
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0095
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0095
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0095
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0095
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 1629.61, Sell volume: 3476.45, Average price: 0.3451, Price range: 0.0076 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537140
Question: Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 235032.895004
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0095
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0095
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0095
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0095
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0085
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0085
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0085
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.0085
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0085
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0085
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0085
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.0075
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.0075
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.0075
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.0075
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.0075
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0075
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.0105
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.0100
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.0095
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.0095
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.0095
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.0095
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0095
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0095
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0090
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.0090
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.0090
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0090
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 3615.32, Sell volume: 333.33, Average price: 0.8524, Price range: 0.0084 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537140
Question: Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 235032.895004
Price History:
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0105
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0105
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0105
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0090
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0090
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0100
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0095
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0095
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0095
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0095
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.0095
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0095
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0095
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0095
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0075
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0075
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.0075
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0075
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0075
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0075
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0075
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0075
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0075
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0075
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0075
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0075
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 2374.60, Sell volume: 139.21, Average price: 0.8778, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537140
Question: Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 235032.895004
Price History:
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0065
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0070
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0065
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0065
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0060
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0065
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0060
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0065
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0065
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0065
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0055
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0055
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0050
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0050
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0050
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0050
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0050
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0050
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0050
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0050
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0050
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0050
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0050
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0050
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 8079.56, Sell volume: 1155.61, Average price: 0.8963, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537140
Question: Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 235032.895004
Price History:
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0050
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0050
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0050
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0050
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.0040
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0040
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0040
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.0040
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.0040
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0040
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0040
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0040
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0040
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0040
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0040
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101, Buy volume: 2166.30, Sell volume: 2812.59, Average price: 0.8782, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537140
Question: Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 235032.895004
Price History:
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0035
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0030
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0030
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1781.96, Sell volume: 1240.17, Average price: 0.9101, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537140
Question: Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 235032.895004
Price History:
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0020
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 609, Buy volume: 34986.71, Sell volume: 10684.84, Average price: 0.9768, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537140
Question: Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 235032.895004
Price History:
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 249, Buy volume: 15044.63, Sell volume: 30924.79, Average price: 0.9464, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537140
Question: Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 235032.895004
Price History:
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 11340.00, Sell volume: 0.14, Average price: 0.1258, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537140
Question: Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 235032.895004
Price History:
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 9427.81, Sell volume: 22.54, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537140
Question: Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 235032.895004
Price History:
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.9995
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.9970
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9995
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 11608.36, Sell volume: 14.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0016
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537140
Question: Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 235032.895004
Price History:
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 81134.25, Sell volume: 350.00, Average price: 0.0724, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0240
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0100
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0100
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0095
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0100
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0100
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0100
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0095
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0090
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0090
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0090
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0135
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0135
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0135
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0135
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0135
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0135
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0135
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0135
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0135
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0135
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0135
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0135
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0135
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0135
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0135
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0135
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0135
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0135
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0135
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0135
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0135
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0130
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0130
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0105
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0105
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0105
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0105
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0105
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0105
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0100
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 506.40, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.9084, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0105
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0105
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0105
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0105
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0105
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0105
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0105
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0115
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0115
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0115
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0115
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0115
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0115
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0115
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0115
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0115
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0115
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0115
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0115
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0115
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0115
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 500.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9249, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9910

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0115
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0110
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0105
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0105
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0105
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0105
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0105
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.0050
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0050
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0075
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0075
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.0075
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0070
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0055
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0070
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.0070
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.0070
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.0070
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0070
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.0070
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.0070
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.0070
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.0070
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.0070
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.0070
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0070
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.0070
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.0070
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.0070
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.0070
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.0055
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.0055
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0060
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.0050
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.0075
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0065
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.0050
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0075
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.0075
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0060
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.0060
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0065
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0065
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0070
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.0075
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 3166.25, Sell volume: 190.51, Average price: 0.8340, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0055
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0055
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.0055
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.0060
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0060
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0055
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0060
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0055
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.0060
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0060
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0045
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0050
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0055
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.0055
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0055
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0055
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0055
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0055
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.0055
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.0055
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0055
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0055
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0055
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0040
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.0040
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0040
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0040
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0040
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0040
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0040
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0040
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0040
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0040
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 5205.19, Sell volume: 1447.58, Average price: 0.7187, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0040
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0040
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 6597.25, Sell volume: 318.41, Average price: 0.9473, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 3549.54, Sell volume: 3874.65, Average price: 0.9160, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 6539.32, Sell volume: 5999.16, Average price: 0.8831, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.0030
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0030
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0030
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0030
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.0025
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0025
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0025
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0020
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0020
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0020
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0020
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.0020
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 645, Buy volume: 41481.86, Sell volume: 17178.95, Average price: 0.9765, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 280, Buy volume: 16544.40, Sell volume: 34229.31, Average price: 0.9557, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 13068.19, Sell volume: 47.62, Average price: 0.4287, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.0010
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.0010
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.0020
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9980
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 5340.58, Sell volume: 21.31, Average price: 0.1438, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0020
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.0020
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.0005
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 5702.24, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2506, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0020
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.9980
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0020
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9980
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0020
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0020
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0010
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 70407.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1261, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0240
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0100
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0100
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0100
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0090
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0090
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0135
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0135
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0135
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0135
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0135
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0135
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0135
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0135
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0135
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0135
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0135
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0130
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0105
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0105
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0105
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 506.40, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.9084, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0105
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0105
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0105
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0115
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0115
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0115
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0115
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0115
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0115
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0115
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0115
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0115
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0115
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 500.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9249, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0115
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0105
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0105
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0105
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0075
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0075
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.0070
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0070
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0070
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0070
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.0070
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.0070
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.0070
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.0070
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.0070
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0070
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.0055
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.0065
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.0050
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0075
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0060
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0065
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.0065
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.0070
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0055
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 3166.25, Sell volume: 190.51, Average price: 0.8340, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0055
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0055
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0060
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0060
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0060
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0060
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0050
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.0055
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0055
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0055
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0055
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0055
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0040
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0040
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0040
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.0040
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0040
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0040
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 5205.19, Sell volume: 1447.58, Average price: 0.7187, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0040
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0040
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0035
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 6597.25, Sell volume: 318.41, Average price: 0.9473, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 3549.54, Sell volume: 3874.65, Average price: 0.9160, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 6539.32, Sell volume: 5999.16, Average price: 0.8831, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0030
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0030
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0020
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 645, Buy volume: 41481.86, Sell volume: 17178.95, Average price: 0.9765, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 280, Buy volume: 16544.40, Sell volume: 34229.31, Average price: 0.9557, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 13068.19, Sell volume: 47.62, Average price: 0.4287, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.0010
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.0020
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 5340.58, Sell volume: 21.31, Average price: 0.1438, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.9995
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.0020
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 5702.24, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2506, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537141
Question: Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 242240.127241
Price History:
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0020
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9980
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0020
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0010
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 70407.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1261, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0150
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0135
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0125
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0105
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0105
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0095
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0095
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0095
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0085
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0085
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0115
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0090
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0100
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0110
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0100
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0095
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0110
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0105
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0100
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0095
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0105
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0105
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0105
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0100
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0085
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0080
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0095
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0095
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 465.14, Sell volume: 79.73, Average price: 0.7963, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0075
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0075
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0075
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0075
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0075
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0075
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0075
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0075
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0080
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0080
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0080
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0080
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0080
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0080
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0080
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0080
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0080
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0080
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0080
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0085
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0070
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1737.67, Sell volume: 3497.03, Average price: 0.4585, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0065
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0065
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0065
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0065
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0065
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0065
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0065
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.0065
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0065
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0065
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0090
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.0090
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0090
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0070
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0085
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.0080
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.0075
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.0080
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0075
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.0075
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.0070
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.0070
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.0070
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.0070
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.0070
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0070
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.0070
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.0070
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.0070
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.0070
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.0085
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.0070
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.0060
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0060
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.0060
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.0060
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.0060
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0060
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.0060
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.0060
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0060
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0060
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0060
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.0060
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0060
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0060
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.0060
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 2835.67, Sell volume: 422.31, Average price: 0.8743, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0060
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.0060
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.0060
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0065
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0065
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0060
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0060
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.0060
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0060
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0055
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0055
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0050
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0060
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0060
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0075
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.0060
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0060
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0060
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0060
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.0060
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0060
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0060
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0060
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0070
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0085
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0065
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0060
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0060
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0060
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0060
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0070
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0070
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0070
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.0060
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0060
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0070
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0060
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0060
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0060
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0060
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0060
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 2755.03, Sell volume: 634.50, Average price: 0.8926, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0040
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0040
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0035
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0035
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0045
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0045
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 8169.66, Sell volume: 2123.36, Average price: 0.9486, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0035
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0030
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0030
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0030
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0035
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0035
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0035
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0030
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 8163.46, Sell volume: 5908.62, Average price: 0.8887, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1602.22, Sell volume: 993.53, Average price: 0.9703, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.0025
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0025
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0025
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.0025
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0020
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0020
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0020
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0025
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0030
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0035
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 595, Buy volume: 43734.43, Sell volume: 24287.75, Average price: 0.9728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 292, Buy volume: 13552.62, Sell volume: 35715.81, Average price: 0.9643, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 14900.00, Sell volume: 0.14, Average price: 0.2006, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 8176.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0020
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.9995
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 3704.61, Sell volume: 14.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0014

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0020
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 95553.77, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0798, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0150
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0110
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0095
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0090
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0085
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0095
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0095
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0110
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0100
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0105
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0105
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0105
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0080
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0075
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 465.14, Sell volume: 79.73, Average price: 0.7963, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0075
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0075
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0075
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0075
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0080
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0080
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0080
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0080
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0080
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0080
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0080
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0070
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0065
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1737.67, Sell volume: 3497.03, Average price: 0.4585, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0065
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0065
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0065
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0065
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0065
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0065
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0090
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.0090
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0075
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0075
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0075
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.0070
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.0065
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.0070
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.0070
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.0070
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0070
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.0070
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.0060
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.0060
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.0060
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.0060
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0060
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0060
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.0060
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0060
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 2835.67, Sell volume: 422.31, Average price: 0.8743, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0060
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0065
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0060
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0060
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.0060
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0060
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0060
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0060
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0060
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0060
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0065
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.0060
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0070
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0070
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0060
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0060
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0060
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0070
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 2755.03, Sell volume: 634.50, Average price: 0.8926, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0040
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0040
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0035
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0045
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 8169.66, Sell volume: 2123.36, Average price: 0.9486, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0035
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0030
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0030
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0035
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0035
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0030
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 8163.46, Sell volume: 5908.62, Average price: 0.8887, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1602.22, Sell volume: 993.53, Average price: 0.9703, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0020
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0030
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 595, Buy volume: 43734.43, Sell volume: 24287.75, Average price: 0.9728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 292, Buy volume: 13552.62, Sell volume: 35715.81, Average price: 0.9643, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 14900.00, Sell volume: 0.14, Average price: 0.2006, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 8176.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.9980
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9995
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 3704.61, Sell volume: 14.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0014
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537142
Question: Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 279172.403032
Price History:
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0010
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 95553.77, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0798, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537143
Question: Will KrF win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1056867.022798
Price History:
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0180
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0085
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0085
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0085
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0085
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0085
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0090
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0085
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0090
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0125
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0125
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0155
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0165
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0175
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0185
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0195
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0195
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0195
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0195
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0200
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0200
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0200
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0200
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0200
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0200
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0200
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0200
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0200
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0165
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0170
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0165
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0160
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0160
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0160
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0160
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0160
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0150
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0150
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0150
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0150
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0140
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0140
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0085
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 33519634.79, Sell volume: 13373507.00, Average price: 0.9873, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537143
Question: Will KrF win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1056867.022798
Price History:
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0085
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0085
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0085
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0085
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0085
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0085
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0085
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0085
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0085
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0085
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0085
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0085
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0085
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0085
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0085
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0085
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0085
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0070
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0070
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0075
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0075
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0075
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 33519634.79, Sell volume: 13373507.00, Average price: 0.9873, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537143
Question: Will KrF win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1056867.022798
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0070
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0070
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0070
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0070
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0065
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0065
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0065
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.0065
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0065
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0075
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0075
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.0085
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0085
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0055
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0060
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.0075
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.0075
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.0075
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0075
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.0070
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.0060
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.0060
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.0060
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.0060
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0060
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.0060
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.0060
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.0070
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.0070
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.0080
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.0080
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.0085
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0080
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.0080
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.0090
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.0085
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0085
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.0085
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.0085
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0085
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0085
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.0085
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0085
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.0070
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0070
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0070
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0075
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.0070
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 33519634.79, Sell volume: 13373507.00, Average price: 0.9873, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537143
Question: Will KrF win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1056867.022798
Price History:
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0075
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0075
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.0075
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.0075
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0070
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0080
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0065
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0070
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.0080
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0075
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0065
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0065
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0060
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0060
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0065
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0065
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0065
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0070
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.0060
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0060
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0060
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0065
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0060
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.0060
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0060
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0060
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0060
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.0050
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0050
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0055
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0050
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0050
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0050
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0050
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 33519634.79, Sell volume: 13373507.00, Average price: 0.9873, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No