Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.0040
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.9960
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9960
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0040
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.9960
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.9960
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.9960
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.0040
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.0040
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.0040
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.0040
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9960
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9950
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.9950
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.9950
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.0050
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.9950
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.9950
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.9950
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0050
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.9950
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0050
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9950
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.9950
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0050
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9950
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0050
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9950
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0050
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 13.33, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9955
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9955
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9950
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0045
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0065
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9935
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0065
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0065
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9935
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0065
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9935
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0065
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9935
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9935
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9935
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9935
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.9935, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.5000
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.5600
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.4650
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.4650
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.5500
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.4500
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.4000
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.4300
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.3300
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.4250
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.4300
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.5800
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.6400
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.6400
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.6500
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.6450
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.3500
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.6450
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.6550
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.3500
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.6500
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.6550
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.3550
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.3550
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.3550
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.6450
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.6450
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.6450
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.3550
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.3550
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.3550
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.3550
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.3550
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.6450
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.3550
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.6450
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.3550
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.3550
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.3600
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.3950
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.6050
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.6050
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.6050
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.3950
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.6050
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.3950
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.6150
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.3850
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.3950
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 450.64, Sell volume: 3.45, Average price: 0.5993, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.3950
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.6050
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.3950
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.6050
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.3950
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.6050
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.6300
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.6300
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.6300
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.6350
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.6350
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.3650
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.3650
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.3650
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.3650
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.3650
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.3650
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.3800
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.6250
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.3750
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.3550
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.3550
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.3550
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.6450
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.3550
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.6450
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.3550
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.3750
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.3750
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.3750
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.3700
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.6300
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.3700
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.6300
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.3600
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.6300
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.3650
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.6400
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.3600
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.3600
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.3600
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.3600
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.6500
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.6550
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.3450
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.6650
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.3350
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.3350
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.3350
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 270.41, Sell volume: 1.63, Average price: 0.6644, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.3350
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.3250
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.3250
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.3250
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.3100
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.3100
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.6900
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.3300
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.6900
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.3100
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.6900
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.6850
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.3150
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.6900
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.3100
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.3150
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.6800
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.3100
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.3100
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.7050
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.2850
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.6950
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.7050
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.7050
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.2950
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.3150
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.7100
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.2850
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.7100
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.7100
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.2900
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.2900
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.2900
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.7100
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.2900
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.7100
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.2900
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.2900
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.2900
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.7100
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.7100
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.2900
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.7100
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.7100
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.2900
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.7100
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.2900
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 650.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6432, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.7050
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.3000
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.7000
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.7000
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.3000
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.7000
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.3000
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.7000
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.3000
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.3000
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.7000
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.6950
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.3050
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.3000
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.7000
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.3000
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.3050
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.3050
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.6950
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.5500
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.4850
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.5850
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.4350
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.5850
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.5350
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.5900
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.4100
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.5900
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.4100
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.5900
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.4100
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.5900
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.4000
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.5900
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.4150
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.5750
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.5700
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.5200
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.4350
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.6950
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.6950
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.3000
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.7000
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.2950
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.6850
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.3150
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 385.66, Sell volume: 313.80, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.2192 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.7650
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.2400
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.2400
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.2500
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.2500
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.2600
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.2600
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.2600
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.2600
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.2600
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.2600
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.7400
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.7300
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.2700
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.7300
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.2700
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.2650
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.2600
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.7400
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.2600
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.7600
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.2400
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.7600
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.7600
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.7600
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.2400
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.7600
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.2400
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.2400
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.7600
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.2400
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.7600
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.2400
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.2450
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.2450
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.7550
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.2400
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.7650
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.2350
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.2350
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.7650
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.7650
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.7650
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.7650
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.7650
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.7600
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.2400
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.7600
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.7600
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1.37, Sell volume: 106.75, Average price: 0.4787, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.7300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.4600
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.4650
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.4650
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.5350
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.4600
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.4550
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.5500
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.4050
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.4150
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.5750
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.4250
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.5750
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.4250
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.5050
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.4950
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.4950
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.4150
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.5850
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.4150
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.6050
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.5900
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.5900
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.4050
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.5850
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.4200
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.5850
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.4200
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.5800
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.5050
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.5100
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.4950
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.4900
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.5050
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.5050
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.5100
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.4950
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.5050
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.5100
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.4550
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.4500
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.4400
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.5650
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.4350
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.4350
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.5950
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.4000
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.5850
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 61.65, Sell volume: 246.00, Average price: 0.5354, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7460

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.4200
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.5850
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.4150
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.4150
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.4150
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.4150
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.4150
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.4100
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.5900
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.5850
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.5900
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.4000
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.6400
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.3550
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.6200
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.3700
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.3700
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.6400
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.3700
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.3700
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.3750
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.6100
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.3800
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.6250
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.3800
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.3800
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.3650
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.6200
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.6400
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.3600
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.6400
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.5850
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.6000
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.5500
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.5650
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.5850
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.5900
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.6000
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.5950
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.5900
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.5900
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.5900
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.6050
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.4100
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.5950
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.3950
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.6300
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.3700
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.6250
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 132, Buy volume: 24858.20, Sell volume: 1553.34, Average price: 0.5943, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.3750
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.6200
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.3750
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.6250
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.3750
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.3700
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.6300
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.3500
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.6500
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.3950
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.6050
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.3950
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.5950
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.5050
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.4750
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.4500
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.5350
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.5300
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.4550
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.4650
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.5300
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.4650
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.5450
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.4550
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.5450
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.4550
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.5450
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.5400
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.5400
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.4550
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.5450
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.4750
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.5250
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.4850
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.5150
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.4900
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.5100
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.4850
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.5150
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.4850
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.5150
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.4850
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.5150
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.4850
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.5150
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.4850
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.4850
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3.81, Average price: 0.5600, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.5600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.5300
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.5300
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5400
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.4550
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.4700
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.4700
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.5300
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.4700
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.5300
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.4700
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.4700
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.4700
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.4400
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.5600
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.5600
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.5600
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.4400
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.5600
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.4400
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.5600
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.4450
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.5600
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.5600
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.4400
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.4400
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.4400
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.4400
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.4400
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.5600
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.5600
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.4700
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.4750
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.5250
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.5250
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.5550
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.4450
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.5550
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.4450
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.4450
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.5550
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.4450
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.5550
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.4450
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.4150
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.5850
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.5550
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.4450
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.4600
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.38, Sell volume: 160.60, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.4700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.6150
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.5600
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.4450
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.4450
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.5600
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.5600
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.4500
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.5600
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.3300
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.4500
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.4500
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.5500
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.4450
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.5550
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.4500
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.4500
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.5500
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.5500
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.4500
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.5400
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.4550
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.4600
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.5600
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.4450
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.5600
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.4150
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.5900
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.4150
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.5900
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.4100
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.5900
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.5850
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.5900
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.5900
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.5850
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.5650
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.4350
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.5650
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.4300
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.5550
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.4450
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.5650
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.4350
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.5700
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.4300
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.5650
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.4400
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 50.23, Sell volume: 510.59, Average price: 0.5068, Price range: 0.4574 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.6250
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.6250
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.6250
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.3750
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.6250
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.3750
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.6300
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.3700
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.5900
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.4100
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.4100
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.4600
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.4600
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.5200
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.5200
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.4800
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.5350
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.4650
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.5350
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.4650
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.5300
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.4650
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.5350
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.4650
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.5350
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.4650
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.5350
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.4600
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.5600
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.4150
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.4050
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.6700
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.5600
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.5850
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.3400
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.6500
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.3500
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.6500
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.3500
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.6600
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.3150
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.3400
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.6700
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 157.59, Sell volume: 7.69, Average price: 0.6671, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.7741

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.7200
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.2650
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.2650
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.7350
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.2650
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.7450
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.2650
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.7400
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.7350
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.2650
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.2650
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.2500
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.2450
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.2450
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.2450
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.2450
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.2450
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.2450
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.7550
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.2400
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.7550
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.2450
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.1550
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.1200
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.8800
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.1100
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.1000
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.2550
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.7250
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.6450
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 957.58, Sell volume: 105.00, Average price: 0.4303, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8968

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.3600
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.6200
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.3700
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3700
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.6350
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.3600
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6650
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3350
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.6600
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.3400
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3100
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.3000
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.6750
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.2800
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.2800
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.7200
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.2750
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.7200
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.7250
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.7250
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.2700
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.1900
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.3100
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.6900
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.3600
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.6000
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.4650
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.5350
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.5000
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.5100
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.4900
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.5200
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.4800
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.5350
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.4850
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.5100
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.4850
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.4850
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.4850
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1036.77, Sell volume: 23.97, Average price: 0.5258, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.5000
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.4800
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.5500
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.4500
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.5700
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.6700
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.4300
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.5600
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.6400
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.6450
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.3550
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.3450
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.6500
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.6450
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.3550
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.6450
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.3550
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.6450
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.3550
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.3550
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.3550
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.6450
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.6450
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.6400
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.6050
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.6050
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.6050
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.3950
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.6150
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 450.64, Sell volume: 3.45, Average price: 0.5993, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.3950
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.6050
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.3950
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.6050
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.3700
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.6350
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.6350
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.6350
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.6350
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.3650
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.3650
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.6250
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.3550
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.6450
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.3550
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.6450
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.3750
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.6250
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.3700
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.6300
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.3700
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.6300
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.3700
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.6400
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.3600
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.3500
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.3450
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.6650
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.3350
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 270.41, Sell volume: 1.63, Average price: 0.6644, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.3350
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.3250
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.6750
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.3100
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.6700
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.3100
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.6900
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.6850
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.6900
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.3200
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.6900
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.3100
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.7150
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.2950
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.7050
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.6850
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.2900
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.7100
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.7100
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.7100
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.7100
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.2900
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.7100
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.2900
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.7100
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.7100
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.7100
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.2900
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 650.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6432, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.7050
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.3000
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.3000
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.7000
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.7000
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.7000
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.7000
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.6950
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.7000
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.3000
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.7000
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.7000
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.4850
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.5650
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.4150
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.5900
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.4100
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.5900
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.4100
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.6000
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.4100
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.5750
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.5250
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.6250
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.6950
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.6900
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.3050
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.7000
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.2950
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 385.66, Sell volume: 313.80, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.2192 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.7650
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.2400
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.7500
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.2600
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.7400
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.7400
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.2600
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.2700
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.2700
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.2700
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.7400
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.2600
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.7600
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.2400
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.7600
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.2400
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.7600
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.7600
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.2400
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.7600
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.7550
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.7550
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.2350
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.7650
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.7650
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.7650
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.2350
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.7600
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.2400
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1.37, Sell volume: 106.75, Average price: 0.4787, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.4600
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.5350
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.4650
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.4550
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.5500
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.5750
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.4250
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.5750
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.4950
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.4950
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.4950
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.4150
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.6050
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.4100
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.5950
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.4200
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.4200
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.4950
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.5050
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.5100
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.5050
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.4950
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.5000
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.4550
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.5600
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.4350
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.4350
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.4050
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 61.65, Sell volume: 246.00, Average price: 0.5354, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7460
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.4200
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.4150
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.4150
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.4150
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.5900
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.4100
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.5900
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.6050
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.3850
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.3700
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.3600
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.6300
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.3750
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.6200
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.3900
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.3800
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.3800
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.3600
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.6400
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.4050
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.5600
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.5850
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.4000
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.4050
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.5900
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.5900
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.3950
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.6300
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 132, Buy volume: 24858.20, Sell volume: 1553.34, Average price: 0.5943, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.3750
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.6250
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.3750
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.3700
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.6500
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.3550
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.6050
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.4050
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.4050
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.5050
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.5100
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.5250
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.4550
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.4700
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.5350
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.4550
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.5350
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.4650
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.5400
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.4550
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.5250
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.4850
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.5100
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.4850
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.5150
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.4850
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.5150
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.4850
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.5150
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3.81, Average price: 0.5600, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.5300
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.4550
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.4700
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.4700
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.5300
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.4700
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.4700
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.4450
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.4400
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.5600
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.4400
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.5600
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.4450
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.4400
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.4400
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.4400
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.5600
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.4400
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.4700
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.5250
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.4450
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.4450
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.5550
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.5550
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.4450
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.5550
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.5850
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.5550
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.38, Sell volume: 160.60, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.4700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.6150
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.3400
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.5550
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.5600
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.4400
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.5600
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.3300
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.5500
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.4500
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.5550
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.4500
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.5500
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.4500
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.5450
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.5400
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.4450
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.5900
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.4150
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.5900
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.4100
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.4150
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.5900
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.4350
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.5650
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.4300
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.5550
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.4350
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.5700
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.4300
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 50.23, Sell volume: 510.59, Average price: 0.5068, Price range: 0.4574 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.6250
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.3750
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.3750
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.3750
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.6300
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.4100
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.4100
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.4600
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.5200
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.4800
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.5350
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.4650
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.5300
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.4650
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.5350
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.4650
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.5400
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.4400
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.4150
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.4100
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.3400
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.6500
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.6500
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.3500
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.3300
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 157.59, Sell volume: 7.69, Average price: 0.6671, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.7741
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.7200
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.2650
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.7350
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.2650
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.7350
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.2600
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.2650
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.2450
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.2450
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.7550
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.7700
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.1400
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.8800
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.9000
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.7450
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 957.58, Sell volume: 105.00, Average price: 0.4303, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8968
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578523
Question: GPT transaction fees by December 31?
Volume: 26411.53724
Price History:
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6400
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3700
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6650
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.3500
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.3200
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.7000
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.2800
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.7200
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.2800
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.7200
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.2750
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.7300
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.3100
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.6400
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.4000
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.5350
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.4900
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.5200
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.5250
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.5050
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.4850
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1036.77, Sell volume: 23.97, Average price: 0.5258, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.0210
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.0540
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.0580
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0695
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0705
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.0590
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0575
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.0605
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.0655
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0695
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.0710
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0760
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0880
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.0860
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0870
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0945
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.0985
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.1020
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.1015
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.1020
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.1020
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.0985
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.1030
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.0970
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.0965
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0950
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.1015
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.1005
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.1010
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.1030
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.1065
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.1055
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.1570
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.1175
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.1170
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.1195
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.1275
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.1245
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.1245
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.1395
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.1400
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.1400
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.1430
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.1470
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.1480
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.1465
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.1470
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 4139.85, Sell volume: 2072.19, Average price: 0.4563, Price range: 0.0570 - 0.9420

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.8490
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.8475
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.8470
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.8475
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.8475
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.8495
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.8495
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.8475
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.8475
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.8470
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.8475
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.8470
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.8470
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.8470
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.8475
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.8475
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.8470
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.8465
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.8465
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.8465
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.8465
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.8465
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.8465
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.8465
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.8470
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.8470
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.8465
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.8465
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.8465
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.8470
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.8470
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.8470
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.8465
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.8465
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.8465
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.8465
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.8465
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.8465
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.7760
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.7765
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.7765
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.7765
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.7760
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.7915
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.7915
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.7915
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.8315
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.8315
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.8315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 342.38, Sell volume: 354.92, Average price: 0.5814, Price range: 0.1447 - 0.8560

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.1685
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.1685
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.1680
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.1685
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.1675
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.1670
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.1670
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.1675
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.1670
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.1670
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.1665
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.1665
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.1665
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.1660
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.1665
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.1660
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.1660
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.1660
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.1660
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.1650
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.1655
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.1650
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.1655
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.1650
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.1655
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.1655
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.1650
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.1655
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.1655
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.1650
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.1655
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.1650
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.1650
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.1650
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.1650
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.1615
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.1610
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.1610
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.1610
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.1605
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.1600
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.1605
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.1600
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.1610
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.1610
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.1610
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.1370
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.1375
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 363.13, Sell volume: 222.11, Average price: 0.7299, Price range: 0.1453 - 0.8560

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.8650
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.8600
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.8465
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.8400
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.8405
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.8435
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.8405
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.8420
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.8410
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.8400
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.8410
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.8425
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.8430
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.8430
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.8430
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.8440
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.8440
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.8440
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.8435
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.8440
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.8440
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.8440
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.8440
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.8440
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.8440
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.8440
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.8440
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.8440
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.8440
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.8435
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.8440
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.8440
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.8440
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.8440
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.8440
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.8440
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.8440
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.8440
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.8440
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.8435
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.8440
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.8440
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.8440
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.8440
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.8440
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.8440
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.8440
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.8440
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.8440
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.8380
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 825.43, Sell volume: 102.15, Average price: 0.6678, Price range: 0.1560 - 0.8530

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.1545
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.1540
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.1235
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.1215
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.1165
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.1215
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.1210
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.1280
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.1205
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.1205
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.0870
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.0875
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0895
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.0885
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0955
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0900
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.0850
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.0850
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0850
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0850
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0850
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.0955
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0310
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0310
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0310
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.0310
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0310
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.2060
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0820
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.0710
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0810
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0070
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0055
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0070
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0050
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0055
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0070
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0090
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0050
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.0055
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 575, Buy volume: 21322.94, Sell volume: 2125.71, Average price: 0.8964, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.9980
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.9975
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.9945
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.9955
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.9970
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.9970
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.9980
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9980
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.9965
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.9975
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.9975
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.9975
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.9980
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.9980
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.9980
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.9965
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.9965
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.9965
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.9965
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.9965
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.9965
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.9965
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9965
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.9965
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.9965
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.9965
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.9965
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.9965
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.9965
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.9965
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.9965
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.9965
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.9965
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.9965
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.9965
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9965
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.9965
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9965
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.9965
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.9965
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.9965
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.9965
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.9965
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.9965
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.9965
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9965
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 195, Buy volume: 34725.75, Sell volume: 2717.17, Average price: 0.8957, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0040
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0050
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.0050
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0050
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.0050
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0050
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0050
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.0050
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.0050
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.0050
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.0050
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0045
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.0045
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.0045
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 609.68, Sell volume: 167.77, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0025 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.9955
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.9960
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.9960
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.9960
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.9960
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.9960
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.9960
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.9960
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.9960
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.9960
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.9965
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.9965
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.9965
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.9955
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.9950
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9960
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.9945
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.9950
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.9950
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.9945
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9955
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.9930
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.9935
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.9955
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.9930
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.9930
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.9930
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.9930
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.9930
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.9940
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.9955
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.9915
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.9940
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9940
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.9940
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.9935
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9930
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.9925
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.9940
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.9945
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.0055
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.9940
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.0090
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.0090
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.0090
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.9920
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9930
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0065
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 3147.59, Sell volume: 620.49, Average price: 0.9109, Price range: 0.0053 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0075
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0065
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.0075
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.0065
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.0065
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.0065
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.0075
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0075
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9925
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.9920
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0075
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.0075
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.9925
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.9925
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9935
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9935
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0065
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9935
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0065
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.9935
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9925
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0060
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9940
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0065
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.9935
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.9920
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0065
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.0075
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0075
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.0075
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9915
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0085
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.0085
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0090
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.0080
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.0080
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0075
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.9925
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9925
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9920
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0075
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.9920
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.9920
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.9925
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9925
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.9925
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.9920
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0075
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1017, Buy volume: 71431.93, Sell volume: 10288.13, Average price: 0.8390, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.9920
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.0080
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.9925
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.0075
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.9925
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.9915
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.9925
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.0075
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.9925
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.0080
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.9920
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0080
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.0075
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0085
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9905
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.0095
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0095
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.0095
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.0095
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0095
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.9900
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.9900
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.9900
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.9900
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.9900
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.9900
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.0100
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0100
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.9900
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.9900
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.0100
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.0100
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.0100
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0100
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0100
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0100
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0100
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0100
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9900
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9900
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9900
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0100
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0100
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9910
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0090
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9910
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0090
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9910
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0090
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 220.00, Sell volume: 159.14, Average price: 0.9895, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9910
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0090
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0090
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0090
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0090
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9910
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9910
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0090
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0090
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9910
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9920
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0080
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0080
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0080
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0080
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0080
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0080
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0080
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0080
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0070
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9930
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9930
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9950
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9950
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9950
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9935
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9935
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9940
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9940
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0060
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.9940
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0060
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1085.54, Sell volume: 960.90, Average price: 0.7107, Price range: 0.0028 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9955
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0045
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9955
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9955
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0045
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9955
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9955
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9955
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9955
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9955
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0045
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9950
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0050
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0050
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9955
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0045
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0045
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9960
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9955
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9955
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9955
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9955
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9955
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 2187.63, Sell volume: 542.53, Average price: 0.8988, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0040
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0040
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 243.05, Average price: 0.4990, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.0210
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.9440
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.0720
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.9410
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0575
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.9340
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0710
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.9235
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0875
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.9060
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.1020
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.8990
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0995
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.8970
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.0985
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.9055
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.1010
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.8985
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.1100
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.7865
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.1175
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.8820
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.8755
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.1385
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.8595
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.1450
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.8535
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.1465
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 4139.85, Sell volume: 2072.19, Average price: 0.4563, Price range: 0.0570 - 0.9420
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.8490
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.1525
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.8470
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.1505
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.8475
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.1530
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.8475
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.1530
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.8470
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.1525
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.8465
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.1535
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.8460
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.1530
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.8470
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.1535
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.8465
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.1530
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.8470
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.1535
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.8465
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.1535
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.8465
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.2235
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.7760
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.2235
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.7915
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.2085
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.8315
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.1685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 342.38, Sell volume: 354.92, Average price: 0.5814, Price range: 0.1447 - 0.8560
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.1685
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.8315
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.1695
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.8330
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.1675
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.8330
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.1660
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.8335
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.1660
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.8340
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.1660
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.8350
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.1655
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.8345
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.1655
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.8340
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.1655
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.8350
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.1650
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.8345
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.1650
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.8390
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.1605
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.8395
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.1600
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.8400
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.1605
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.8630
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.1355
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 363.13, Sell volume: 222.11, Average price: 0.7299, Price range: 0.1453 - 0.8560
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.8650
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.1520
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.8390
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.1585
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.8395
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.1605
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.8390
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.1570
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.8430
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.1560
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.8440
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.1560
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.8440
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.1565
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.8435
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.1565
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.8440
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.1565
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.8440
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.1560
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.8440
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.1560
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.8440
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.1560
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.8440
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.1560
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.8435
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.1560
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.8440
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.1620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 825.43, Sell volume: 102.15, Average price: 0.6678, Price range: 0.1560 - 0.8530
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.1545
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.8775
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.1160
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.8785
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.1220
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.8790
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.0875
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.9125
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0890
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.9100
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.0850
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.9150
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0955
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.9690
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0310
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.9690
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.1005
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.9220
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0205
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0070
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.9850
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0045
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.9935
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0050
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.9950
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 575, Buy volume: 21322.94, Sell volume: 2125.71, Average price: 0.8964, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.9980
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.0055
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.9970
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.9980
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.9975
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.9980
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.0020
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.9965
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.9965
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9965
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0035
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.9965
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.9965
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.9965
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.9965
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.9965
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.9965
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0035
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 195, Buy volume: 34725.75, Sell volume: 2717.17, Average price: 0.8957, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9960
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9965
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.9965
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.9965
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.9965
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.9960
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.9960
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.9960
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.9960
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.9950
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0050
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.9950
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.0050
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.9950
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0050
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.9955
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0050
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 609.68, Sell volume: 167.77, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0025 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.9955
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.9960
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.9960
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.9965
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.0035
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.9935
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0050
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.9945
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.0055
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.9950
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.0050
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.9930
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.0060
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.9930
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0070
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.9940
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0070
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9940
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.0060
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.9925
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.0070
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.0050
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0080
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.0090
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.0080
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0070
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 3147.59, Sell volume: 620.49, Average price: 0.9109, Price range: 0.0053 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0075
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.9935
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.0075
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.9935
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.0065
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0075
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0080
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9925
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0075
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.9925
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0065
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0065
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9935
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.9940
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.9935
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9930
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9925
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9925
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.0085
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.9910
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0090
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.9920
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.0075
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.0075
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.9920
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0080
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.9925
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.0080
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.9920
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1017, Buy volume: 71431.93, Sell volume: 10288.13, Average price: 0.8390, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.9920
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.0075
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9920
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0080
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0080
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.0080
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.0075
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.9925
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.0095
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.9905
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.0095
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0095
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9900
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.0100
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.9900
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.0100
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.9900
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.0100
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.0100
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0100
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0100
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9900
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9900
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0100
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9900
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0090
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0090
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9910
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0090
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 220.00, Sell volume: 159.14, Average price: 0.9895, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9910
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9910
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9910
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0090
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0090
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9910
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0080
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9920
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0080
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9920
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0080
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0080
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9930
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0070
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9950
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0065
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0060
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9940
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0060
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9940
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1085.54, Sell volume: 960.90, Average price: 0.7107, Price range: 0.0028 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9955
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9955
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9955
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0045
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9955
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0045
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9950
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9950
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0045
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0045
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9960
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9955
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0045
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9955
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 2187.63, Sell volume: 542.53, Average price: 0.8988, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544091
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Volume: 81720.07199
Price History:
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 243.05, Average price: 0.4990, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 690, Buy volume: 20398.69, Sell volume: 2955.80, Average price: 0.5468, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 690, Buy volume: 20398.69, Sell volume: 2955.80, Average price: 0.5468, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 690, Buy volume: 20398.69, Sell volume: 2955.80, Average price: 0.5468, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 690, Buy volume: 20398.69, Sell volume: 2955.80, Average price: 0.5468, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 493.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 493.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 493.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 493.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 493.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 493.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 493.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 493.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 493.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 690, Buy volume: 20398.69, Sell volume: 2955.80, Average price: 0.5468, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 690, Buy volume: 20398.69, Sell volume: 2955.80, Average price: 0.5468, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 690, Buy volume: 20398.69, Sell volume: 2955.80, Average price: 0.5468, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 690, Buy volume: 20398.69, Sell volume: 2955.80, Average price: 0.5468, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 493.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 493.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 493.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 493.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 493.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 493.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 493.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 493.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757004
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 8226.621789
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 493.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.1700
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.8300
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.1350
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.8650
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.1250
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.8750
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.1250
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.8750
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.1300
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.8700
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.1250
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.8750
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.1300
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.8700
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.1150
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.8850
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.1050
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.8950
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.8600
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.8600
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.8600
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.8600
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.1450
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.8550
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.1450
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.8550
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.1500
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.8500
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.2200
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.7800
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.2200
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.7800
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.2050
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.7950
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.2000
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.8000
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.1850
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.8150
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.1900
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.8100
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.1900
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.8100
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.1900
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 544.63, Sell volume: 23.85, Average price: 0.8347, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.8100
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.1800
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.8200
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.1650
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.8350
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.1550
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.8450
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.1550
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.8450
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.1550
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.8450
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.1550
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.8450
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.1550
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.8450
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.1550
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.8450
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.1550
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.8450
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.1550
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.8450
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.1550
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.8450
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.1550
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.8450
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.1550
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.8450
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.1500
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.8500
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.1500
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.8500
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.1500
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.8500
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.1500
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.8500
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.1500
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.8500
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.1500
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.8500
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.1500
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.8500
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.1500
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.8500
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.1500
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.8500
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.1500
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.8500
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.1600
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.8400
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 174.45, Sell volume: 1.89, Average price: 0.7217, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.1750
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.8250
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.1750
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.8250
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.1750
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.8250
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.1750
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.8250
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.1750
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 177.72, Sell volume: 28.39, Average price: 0.7567, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.0850
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.9150
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.1300
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.8700
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.1450
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.1500
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.8500
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.1400
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.8600
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.1250
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.8750
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 2535.45, Sell volume: 252.96, Average price: 0.7426, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400

Output: Yes