Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525640
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 17386.087006
Price History:
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.3530
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.5860
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.4250
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.5000
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.4790
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.5430
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.3400
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.6910
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.1495
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.8205
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.1910
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.9760
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.0235
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.9950
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.0050
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.9950
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.0050
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.9770
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0135
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.9760
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.0100
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.9955
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.0045
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.9895
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.0120
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.9855
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.0060
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.9940
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0060
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 4863.21, Sell volume: 12522.88, Average price: 0.3098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525640
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 17386.087006
Price History:
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.9940
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0060
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.9940
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.0060
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.9940
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.0060
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.9940
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.0060
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9940
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.0060
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.9940
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.0060
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.9940
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.0060
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.9940
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0060
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.9940
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.0060
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.9940
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.0060
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.9940
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.0060
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.9940
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.0060
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.9940
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.0060
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.9940
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.0060
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.9940
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 16.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525640
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 17386.087006
Price History:
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.0060
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.7705
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.0200
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.8645
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.0245
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.9855
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.2385
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.9725
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.0240
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.9715
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.2445
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.7620
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.0255
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.9670
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.2395
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.7570
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.2440
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.7590
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0225
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9720
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.0300
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.9735
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0265
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.9725
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0280
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.9720
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0270
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.9720
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.0275
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 4863.21, Sell volume: 12522.88, Average price: 0.3098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525640
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 17386.087006
Price History:
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.9745
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.0255
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.9745
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.0255
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.9770
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.0130
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.9825
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.0175
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.9825
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0175
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9825
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.0150
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.9840
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.0175
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.9840
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.0230
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.9830
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.0170
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.9835
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.0175
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.9910
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.0160
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.9815
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.0170
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.9830
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0170
2025-04-06 20:00: 0.9905
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.0165
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.9845
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 4863.21, Sell volume: 12522.88, Average price: 0.3098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525640
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 17386.087006
Price History:
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0200
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.9795
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.0145
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.9815
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.0180
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.9825
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0210
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.9850
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0155
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.9815
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.0175
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.9760
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0190
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9815
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0180
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.9815
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0185
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.9865
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.0170
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.9825
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0170
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9830
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0195
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9840
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0175
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.9825
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0240
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.9760
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.0240
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.9760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 4863.21, Sell volume: 12522.88, Average price: 0.3098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525640
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 17386.087006
Price History:
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.9760
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0240
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9765
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0235
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.9765
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0175
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.9775
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0235
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.9765
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0230
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9765
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0140
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.9860
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0130
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9910
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0145
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9830
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0230
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9805
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.4135
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9795
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0290
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9690
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0320
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.5845
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0320
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9600
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0195
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.5575
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 4863.21, Sell volume: 12522.88, Average price: 0.3098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525640
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 17386.087006
Price History:
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0190
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9825
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9825
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0145
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0165
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.9825
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9825
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9900
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0110
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9875
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0100
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9870
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0185
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9865
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0135
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9870
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0135
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9870
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0130
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9870
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 4863.21, Sell volume: 12522.88, Average price: 0.3098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525640
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 17386.087006
Price History:
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9920
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9920
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0085
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9915
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9920
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0135
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9920
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0080
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9920
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0080
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9905
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9905
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9855
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9855
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9910
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0140
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 4863.21, Sell volume: 12522.88, Average price: 0.3098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525640
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 17386.087006
Price History:
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9875
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0120
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9875
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9855
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9830
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0140
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9860
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0140
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9860
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0140
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9860
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0140
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9860
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0140
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9855
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0140
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9860
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0140
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9860
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0140
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9860
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0140
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0140, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.0140
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525640
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 17386.087006
Price History:
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9860
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0140
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9860
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0140
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9860
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0140
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9860
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9855
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0140
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.9865
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0135
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.9870
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.0130
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.9865
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.0135
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.9860
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0135
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.9850
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.0145
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.9850
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.0145
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.9850
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0145
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.9870
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.0070
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.9855
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.0070
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.9850
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 941.62, Sell volume: 516.86, Average price: 0.1279, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525640
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 17386.087006
Price History:
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.0220
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.9800
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.0200
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.9800
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0205
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.9795
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0205
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.9780
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.0215
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.9790
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0200
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.9790
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0220
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.9750
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.2725
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9710
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0275
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.9705
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0305
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.9760
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0230
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.9845
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0170
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9835
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0165
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.9875
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 3715.59, Sell volume: 12006.02, Average price: 0.2710, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.5050
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.4950
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.5050
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.4950
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.5050
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.4800
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.5300
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.4700
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.5650
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.3850
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.5750
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.2800
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.7250
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.1450
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.6600
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.2000
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.6500
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.4550
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.5800
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.4250
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.6150
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.3350
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.5950
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.3550
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.5650
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.3900
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.6450
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.4450
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.5950
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.2150
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.6850
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.7850
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.1750
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7900, Price range: 0.7900 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.6250
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.3900
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.6500
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.3600
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.6350
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.5050
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.5300
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.4350
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.5800
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.3700
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.6050
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.3250
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.5050
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.4850
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.5800
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.4900
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.5300
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.4250
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.5400
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.4100
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.6200
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.5050
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.4850
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.5550
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.4500
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.6100
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.4550
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.6100
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.4700
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.6050
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.1150
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.8950
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.1050
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.8850
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.4500
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.6050
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.4400
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.6200
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.4830
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.5600
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.0580
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.5525
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.2310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.3930
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.5975
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.3395
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.5635
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.3450
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.5555
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.4090
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.5220
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.4325
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.5480
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.3270
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.7405
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.2695
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.5415
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.2535
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.8805
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.0710
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.9285
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0500
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.9725
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.4620
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.5830
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.3610
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.6835
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.4850
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.5580
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.4275
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.5860
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.4660
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.5535
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.4870
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.6030
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.2920
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.8935
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.4570
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.6150
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.3870
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.5210
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.3975
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.6350
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.4700
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.6080
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0720
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.8730
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.0570
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.8395
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.4670
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.5545
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.4805
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.6295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 61.60, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0520, Price range: 0.0520 - 0.0520

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.5430
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.3905
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.5545
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.3755
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.5795
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.4655
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.6145
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.3905
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.5695
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.4630
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.5590
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.4005
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.5895
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.4005
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.5895
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.3305
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.5390
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.3755
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.5700
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.4310
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.5860
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.3405
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.5895
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.4140
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.6245
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.0800
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.5795
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.4565
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.5605
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.4125
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.6295
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.4600
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.6245
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.3105
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.7545
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.3755
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.5595
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.4325
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.5845
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.4680
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.6500
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.3700
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.5795
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.3755
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.6200
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.2550
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.6945
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.4445
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.5775
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.3505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1.00, Sell volume: 14.40, Average price: 0.6333, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.4605
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.5205
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.2455
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.7950
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.1855
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.8545
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.1455
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.7595
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.1605
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.8395
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.2405
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.7595
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.2155
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.7850
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.2295
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.2395
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.7700
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.2450
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.8200
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.2395
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.7550
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.2350
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.8300
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.2450
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.7550
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.2450
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.7550
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.2450
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.7550
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.2450
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.7500
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.2100
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.8050
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.2000
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.7900
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.2450
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.7700
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.2150
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.7600
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.2400
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.7650
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.2350
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.7700
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.2350
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.7650
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.2350
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.7600
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.2400
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 480, Buy volume: 193055.77, Sell volume: 12484.88, Average price: 0.4977, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.7640
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.2360
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.7640
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.2360
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.7640
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.2360
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.7640
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.2350
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.7650
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.2350
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.7650
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.2350
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.7650
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.2350
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.7650
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.0885
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.9145
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0795
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9165
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0880
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9120
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.0880
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9120
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.0880
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.9120
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0880
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.9120
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.2345
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.7595
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.2420
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.7580
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.2415
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.7635
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.2325
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.7670
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.2325
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.7760
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.2175
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.7875
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.2050
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.7995
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.1875
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.8195
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.1825
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.8135
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.1140
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.8970
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0775
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.9245
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.0655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 480, Buy volume: 193055.77, Sell volume: 12484.88, Average price: 0.4977, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.1075
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.9015
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.0940
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.9060
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.0695
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.7575
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.0980
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.9100
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0900
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.9105
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.0795
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.9205
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0795
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.9205
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.0795
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.9205
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0795
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.9205
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.0795
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.9205
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.2400
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.7560
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.2440
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.7560
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.2440
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.7560
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.2390
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.8395
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.1240
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.8760
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.1240
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.8760
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.1250
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.8750
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.1250
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.9005
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0990
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9010
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0990
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9010
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0990
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9020
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0970
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9030
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.2065
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.8955
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.1035
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.8000
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.2195
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.7855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 480, Buy volume: 193055.77, Sell volume: 12484.88, Average price: 0.4977, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.7700
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.2250
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.7650
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.2350
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.7650
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.2350
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.7650
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.2350
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.8100
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.1850
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.7650
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.2350
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.7650
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.2350
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.7650
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.2350
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.7650
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.2050
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.7550
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.1750
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.8250
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.1750
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.7690
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.3265
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.5270
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.4690
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.7485
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.3415
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.6485
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.3615
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.6035
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.3415
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.6240
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.4560
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.4370
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.5315
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.5685
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.5340
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.5935
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.5220
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.8385
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.1665
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.8335
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.1665
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.8335
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.1665
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.8335
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.1655
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.8335
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.1655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1492.17, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5690, Price range: 0.1899 - 0.8580

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.1660
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.8340
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.1660
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.8340
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.3820
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.5735
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.4800
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.5120
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.4780
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.5880
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.5610
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.5125
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.4175
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.6310
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.3560
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.5295
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.4745
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.5310
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.3910
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.6340
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.3760
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.5740
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.4560
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.6650
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.4500
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.6700
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.4380
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.5795
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.4000
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.5950
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.4300
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.8475
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.1525
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.8425
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.1525
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.8475
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.1575
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.8475
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.4595
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.8430
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.1570
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.8430
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.1570
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.8430
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.1570
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.8430
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.1570
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.5400
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.4550
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 226.34, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.7684, Price range: 0.1840 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.8405
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.1645
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.8360
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.1645
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.8355
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.1650
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.8355
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.1650
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.8350
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.1650
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.8350
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.1645
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.8355
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.1540
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.8510
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.1490
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.8420
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.1405
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.8545
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.1405
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.8595
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.1405
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.8545
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.1405
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.8545
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.1505
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.8350
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.1650
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.8350
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.8450
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.8495
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.1455
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.8545
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.1490
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.8485
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.1515
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.8485
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.1515
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.8540
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.1460
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.8540
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.1460
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.8535
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.1460
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.8540
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.1460
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.8550
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 301.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8297, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1505
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.8495
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.1550
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.8450
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.1505
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.8405
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.1590
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.8410
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.1595
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.8445
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.1555
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.8430
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.8430
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.1540
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.8500
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.1440
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.8610
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.1490
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.8560
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.1440
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.8510
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.1490
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.8560
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.1440
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.8560
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.1190
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.8455
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.1500
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.8500
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.1500
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.8455
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.1455
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.8525
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.1590
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.8400
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1570
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.8370
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.1630
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.8380
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.1615
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.8365
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.1625
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.8410
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.1565
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.8455
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.1555
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.8445
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.1590
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.8415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 319.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1942, Price range: 0.1856 - 0.2000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.8380
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.1615
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.8435
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.1550
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.8430
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.1650
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.8320
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.1680
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.8345
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.1670
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.8300
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.1615
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.8370
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.1650
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.8345
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.1615
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.8385
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.1865
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.8135
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.1865
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.8135
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.1670
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.8330
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.1675
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.8325
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.1675
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.8325
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.1675
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.8325
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.1675
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.8295
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.1700
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.8300
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.1785
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.8215
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.1785
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.8215
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.1785
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.8215
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.1735
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.8285
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.1765
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.8280
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.1720
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.8255
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.1745
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.8310
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.1670
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.8325
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.1660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1910.20, Sell volume: 41.99, Average price: 0.3225, Price range: 0.1640 - 0.8420

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.1605
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.8395
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.1600
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.8405
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.1575
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.8435
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.1565
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.8335
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.1660
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.8340
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.1670
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.8320
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.1675
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.8300
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.1670
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.8330
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.1665
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.8335
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.1730
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.8250
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.1905
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.8250
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.1785
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.8275
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.0940
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.9150
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0415
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9560
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0375
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.9620
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0405
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.9550
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0440
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.9570
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.0430
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.9550
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0850
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.9655
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.0300
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.9660
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.0265
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9705
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.0230
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9670
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.0185
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.9795
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 394, Buy volume: 188580.18, Sell volume: 12418.49, Average price: 0.4589, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.4950
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.5100
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.3600
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.5800
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.2800
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.7250
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.3400
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.6650
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.4400
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.5750
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.3350
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.6250
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.4000
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.5150
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.3900
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.6850
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.2150
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.9150
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.3250
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7900, Price range: 0.7900 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.6250
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.3500
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.6400
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.5050
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.5450
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.3900
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.6350
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.5000
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.5800
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.4700
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.5200
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.3900
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.4850
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.6000
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.4850
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.6250
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.3650
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.1050
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.9100
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.4200
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.5600
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.4830
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9300
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.2585
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.6200
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.3370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.3930
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.5940
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.3950
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.5595
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.4590
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.5480
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.2595
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.7840
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.1645
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.9290
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0500
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.5085
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.3715
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.7085
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.3615
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.5860
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.4465
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.5685
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.3545
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.5430
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.3870
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.5430
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.3700
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.6430
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.0715
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.8395
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.4455
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.5495
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.3405
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 61.60, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0520, Price range: 0.0520 - 0.0520
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.5430
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.4455
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.5695
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.3955
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.6095
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.4630
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.6595
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.4255
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.5345
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.4205
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.5700
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.4140
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.6945
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.4030
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.9200
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.4565
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.5770
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.4355
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.6145
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.3355
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.5595
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.4155
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.7695
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.4555
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.6245
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.2550
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.5850
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.4060
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.7995
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.3505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1.00, Sell volume: 14.40, Average price: 0.6333, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.4605
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.7595
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.2005
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.8645
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.1850
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.8395
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.2405
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.7845
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.1850
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.7605
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.2450
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.7600
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.2000
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.7550
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.2445
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.7550
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.2450
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.7550
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.1900
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.8000
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.2450
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.7700
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.2400
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.7850
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.2350
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.7650
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.2400
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.7600
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.1850
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 480, Buy volume: 193055.77, Sell volume: 12484.88, Average price: 0.4977, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.7640
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.2360
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.7640
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.2360
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.7650
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.2350
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.7650
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.2350
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.7900
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0855
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9165
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.0880
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.9120
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.0880
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.9120
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.2345
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.7580
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.2420
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.7665
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.2320
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.7760
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.2125
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.7990
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.1855
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.8175
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.1140
2025-04-06 20:00: 0.9210
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.0655
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.9350
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.2330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 480, Buy volume: 193055.77, Sell volume: 12484.88, Average price: 0.4977, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.1075
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.9050
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.0790
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.8935
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.0900
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.9105
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0795
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.9205
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0795
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.9205
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.0795
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.7630
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.2440
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.7560
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.2440
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.8395
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.1240
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.8760
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.1250
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.8750
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0990
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9010
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0990
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9035
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0970
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.8955
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.2000
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.7700
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.2095
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 480, Buy volume: 193055.77, Sell volume: 12484.88, Average price: 0.4977, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.7700
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.2350
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.7650
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.2350
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.7650
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.1850
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.7650
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.2350
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.7650
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.2050
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.7550
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.1750
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.8500
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.2810
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.5310
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.3415
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.5935
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.4665
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.4820
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.5530
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.5685
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.4065
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.5235
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.1665
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.8335
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.1665
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.8335
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.1655
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.8335
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.1655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1492.17, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5690, Price range: 0.1899 - 0.8580
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.1660
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.8340
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.4365
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.5640
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.4880
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.5880
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.4875
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.6120
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.4210
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.5255
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.3910
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.5990
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.4505
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.6700
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.4545
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.5795
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.4050
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.8475
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.1525
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.8475
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.1575
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.5300
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.1570
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.8430
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.1570
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.8430
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.4600
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.5300
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.3000
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.8410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 226.34, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.7684, Price range: 0.1840 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.8405
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.1640
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.8355
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.1640
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.8350
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.1650
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.8350
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.1490
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.8510
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.1455
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.8545
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.1405
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.8545
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.1405
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.8495
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.1650
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.8400
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.8495
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.1505
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.8485
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.1515
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.8485
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.1460
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.8540
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.1460
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.8535
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.1400
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.8500
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 301.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8297, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1505
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.8450
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.1550
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.8410
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.1555
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.8445
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.1570
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.8420
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.1570
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.8560
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.1490
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.8560
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.1440
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.8560
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.1440
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.8455
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.1500
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.8450
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.1525
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.8410
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1570
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.8365
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.1620
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.8365
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.1555
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.8455
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.1555
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.8460
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.1600
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 319.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1942, Price range: 0.1856 - 0.2000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.8380
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.1565
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.8430
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.1650
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.8320
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.1670
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.8360
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.1660
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.8385
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.1865
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.8135
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.1865
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.8330
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.1675
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.8325
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.1675
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.8325
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.1705
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.8220
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.1785
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.8215
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.1785
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.8290
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.1765
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.8280
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.1745
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.8315
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.1670
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.8385
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.1615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1910.20, Sell volume: 41.99, Average price: 0.3225, Price range: 0.1640 - 0.8420
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525624
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 205540.651044
Price History:
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.1605
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.8395
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.1575
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.8435
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.1665
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.8340
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.1680
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.8300
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.1670
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.8335
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.1730
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.8120
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.1790
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.8150
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0565
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9560
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0380
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.9555
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0430
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.9570
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0850
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.9710
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0270
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9705
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0320
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.9795
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 394, Buy volume: 188580.18, Sell volume: 12418.49, Average price: 0.4589, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.5050
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.4950
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.5150
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.4650
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.5900
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.3300
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.5600
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.4850
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.5350
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.4450
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.5800
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.1900
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.8100
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.1900
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.6550
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.2400
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.5350
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.4700
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.5300
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.4200
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.5750
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.4650
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.5550
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.4700
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.5700
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.3800
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.6500
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.4700
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.5700
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.2400
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.8100
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.2650
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.7350
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.3450
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 12091.62, Sell volume: 15306.60, Average price: 0.3940, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.5600
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.4600
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.5350
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.4550
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.5450
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.4600
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.5800
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.4250
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.6000
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.4300
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.5700
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.4250
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.5750
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.4250
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.5750
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.4200
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.5800
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.5050
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.4500
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.5800
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.4750
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5150
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.4550
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.5750
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.1950
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.8050
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.1950
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.8050
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.1950
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.5300
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.4350
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.5650
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.4840
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.5365
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.0315
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.5370
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.2070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 170.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.4150
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.6230
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.4015
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.6710
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.4320
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.5540
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.4615
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.5195
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.4705
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.5420
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.3495
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.6800
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.3300
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.7550
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.3640
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.7420
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.0365
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.9630
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0365
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.9665
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.0380
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9620
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.0380
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.9640
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.0370
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.9680
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.0405
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.9600
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.0405
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.9095
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.0390
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.9600
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.0320
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.9600
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.0400
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.9600
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.0405
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.9595
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.0335
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.9690
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0380
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9650
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0355
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.9655
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.0300
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.9600
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.0315
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.9685
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.0400
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.9615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 12091.62, Sell volume: 15306.60, Average price: 0.3940, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.9545
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.0445
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.9595
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.0400
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.9600
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0340
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.9645
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0400
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.9610
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.0400
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.9600
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.0350
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.9600
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.0395
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.9605
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.0380
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.9630
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.0390
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.9615
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.0320
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9675
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.0380
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.9550
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.0620
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.9640
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.0390
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.9600
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0320
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.9680
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.0320
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.9660
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.0360
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.9605
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.0330
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.9600
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.0400
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.9600
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.0345
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.9655
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.0345
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.9660
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0380
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.9620
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.0280
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.9735
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.0300
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9550
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.0330
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.9670
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 16.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.0420
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.9605
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.0420
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.9610
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0435
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.8300
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.7560
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.0380
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.9620
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.2425
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.7570
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.1155
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.9605
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.0380
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.7580
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.0390
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.9605
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0365
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.9660
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.2440
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.7510
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.0445
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.9585
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.2460
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.7530
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.2420
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.7515
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.2430
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.7550
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.2490
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.7505
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.2495
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.9550
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0450
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.9580
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.0405
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.9570
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.0395
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.9600
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.2460
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.9550
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0425
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.9610
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.0425
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.9555
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.0445
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.7505
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.0395
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 12091.62, Sell volume: 15306.60, Average price: 0.3940, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.8195
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0755
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9700
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0335
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9625
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0355
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9645
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.2445
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.7555
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.2195
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.7630
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.2100
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.7945
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.2055
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.7945
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.0270
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.9705
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0315
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9630
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0335
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9660
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.0345
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9655
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.0265
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.9680
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0325
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.9675
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.2445
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.7545
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.2150
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.7850
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.2150
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.7850
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.2105
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.8010
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.1340
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.9410
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0345
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9645
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.0335
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.9665
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0325
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.9680
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.0330
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.9665
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0325
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9650
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0290
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.9700
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 12091.62, Sell volume: 15306.60, Average price: 0.3940, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0530
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.9620
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.0275
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.9685
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.0285
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.9700
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.0315
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.9685
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0325
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.9720
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.0330
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.9695
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0335
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.9665
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.0330
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.9670
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0345
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.9660
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.0325
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.9705
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.4125
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.6075
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.3910
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.6090
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.3910
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.6090
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.1835
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.8830
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.0760
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.9615
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0340
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.9685
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.0260
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.9800
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.0315
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.9690
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0305
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9700
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0300
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9705
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0335
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9650
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0335
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9645
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0730
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.9415
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0345
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.7605
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.2295
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.7655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 12091.62, Sell volume: 15306.60, Average price: 0.3940, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.7305
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.2295
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.5010
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0440
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.9605
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.4920
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.6230
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.2805
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.9635
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0355
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.9625
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0420
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9615
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0340
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9595
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.1395
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.8650
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0405
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9495
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0420
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9580
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0420
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.9690
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0395
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9565
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0425
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9630
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9595
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0470
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9540
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0350
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.8605
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.1395
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.8605
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.1395
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9525
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9490
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9525
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0545
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9455
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.1045
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.8955
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0535
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.9455
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0395
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9550
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 21.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5335, Price range: 0.0680 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0265
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.9750
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.0225
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.9770
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0250
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9730
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0275
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.8950
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0410
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9295
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0535
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9605
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0395
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9535
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0325
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.9650
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0355
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.9680
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0380
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.9615
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0385
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9715
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0380
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9605
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0415
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9605
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0370
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9630
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9565
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0370
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9610
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0360
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9670
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0370
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.8985
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0935
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9650
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0320
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9655
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0345
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0340
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9635
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0375
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9625
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0335
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9675
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0325
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 12091.62, Sell volume: 15306.60, Average price: 0.3940, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9685
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0280
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9670
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0330
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9670
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0340
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9680
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0305
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9650
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0330
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9675
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0375
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9655
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0325
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9670
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0335
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0365
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9655
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9665
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0325
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0355
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9670
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9640
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0340
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0365
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9670
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0325
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9675
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0345
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9650
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0355
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9670
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0330
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9645
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0360
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9655
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0350
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9680
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0360
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9655
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0340
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9680
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 12091.62, Sell volume: 15306.60, Average price: 0.3940, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0330
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9675
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0320
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9655
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0340
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9675
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0290
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9710
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0320
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9685
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0320
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9740
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0310
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9690
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0315
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9690
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0315
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9690
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0260
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9715
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0265
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9685
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0285
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9715
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0265
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9700
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0265
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9735
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0265
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9710
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0310
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9705
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0300
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9720
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0265
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9715
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0310
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9685
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0265
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9710
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0260
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9760
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0220
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9780
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0290
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9740
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0290
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9765
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0235
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 51.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9736, Price range: 0.9736 - 0.9736

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9720
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0260
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9740
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0290
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9600
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0400
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9595
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0405
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9595
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0405
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9595
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0405
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9595
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0405
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9595
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0405
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.9595
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0405
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.9595
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0405
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.9595
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0405
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.9595
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.0405
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.9595
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0405
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.9595
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.0405
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.9595
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0405
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.9595
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.0405
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.9680
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.0320
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.9675
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0300
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.9745
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.0345
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.9650
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.0340
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.9660
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0330
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.9650
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.0350
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.9650
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.0300
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.9660
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.0320
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.9685
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 71.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0386, Price range: 0.0360 - 0.0400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.0350
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.9650
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.0345
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.9660
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0335
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.9665
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0335
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.9665
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.0335
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.9665
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.0355
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.9645
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0355
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.9640
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.0360
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.9635
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.0385
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.9615
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0385
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.9615
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.0355
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.9645
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.0300
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.9670
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.0335
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.9570
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0320
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9575
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0345
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.9715
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0300
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.9695
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0305
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.9370
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.0150
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.9905
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.9955
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.9955
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9955
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.0060
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9880
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.0110
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.9915
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0010
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9990
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0010
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 11761.41, Sell volume: 15306.60, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.4650
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.5100
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.3300
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.5450
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.3800
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.8100
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.3450
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.5250
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.4700
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.5800
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.4650
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.5400
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.4000
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.5300
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.4100
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.8100
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.2650
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.8600
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.3850
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 12091.62, Sell volume: 15306.60, Average price: 0.3940, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.5600
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.4650
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.5450
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.5300
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.4350
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.5550
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.4300
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.5750
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.4250
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.5800
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.5300
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.4750
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.4150
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.1950
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.8050
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.1950
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.5650
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.4840
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9600
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.2600
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.5365
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.4445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 170.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.4150
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.5670
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.4355
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.5175
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.5005
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.5420
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.3200
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.7095
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.3150
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.9635
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0365
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.9600
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.0380
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.9610
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.0370
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.9600
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.0905
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.9620
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0350
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.9600
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.0405
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.9595
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.0365
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.9655
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.0300
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.9600
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.0315
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.5345
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0385
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 12091.62, Sell volume: 15306.60, Average price: 0.3940, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.9545
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0405
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.9600
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.0360
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.9600
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.0400
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.9640
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.0410
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9620
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.0400
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.9615
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.0325
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.9635
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.0620
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.9610
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0320
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.9680
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.0345
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.9605
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.0325
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.9600
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.0345
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.9715
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.0380
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.9720
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.0300
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.9585
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.0330
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.9690
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 16.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.0420
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.9605
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.0395
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.8495
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.0335
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.9620
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.2430
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.9620
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.0395
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.9610
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0365
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.7585
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.0415
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.9555
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.2495
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.7515
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.2450
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.7535
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.2055
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9550
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.0405
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.9550
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0400
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.9575
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0435
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.9555
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.2495
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.7505
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.0380
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 12091.62, Sell volume: 15306.60, Average price: 0.3940, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.8195
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.0300
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.9650
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.0370
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.7555
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.2195
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.7930
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.2055
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.8650
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0300
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9630
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.0340
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.9620
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.0310
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.9675
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.2445
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.7850
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.2150
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.7850
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.2000
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.9410
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.0355
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.9680
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.0315
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.9670
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0325
2025-04-06 20:00: 0.9740
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.0285
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.9625
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 12091.62, Sell volume: 15306.60, Average price: 0.3940, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0530
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.9665
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.0280
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.9685
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.0325
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.9720
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0305
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.9710
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0340
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.9655
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.0325
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.5685
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.3910
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.6090
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.3910
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.8830
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0385
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.9665
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.0330
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.9685
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0305
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9700
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0325
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9690
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0395
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.9415
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.2395
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.7705
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.2245
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.5435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 12091.62, Sell volume: 15306.60, Average price: 0.3940, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.7305
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.4990
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9645
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.3885
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.7195
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0355
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.9615
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.4330
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.6085
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.1105
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9495
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0420
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.9635
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0415
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9575
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9245
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0490
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9555
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.1395
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9525
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0510
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9515
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.1050
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.8955
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0535
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9405
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0445
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.8950
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 21.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5335, Price range: 0.0680 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0265
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.9755
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.0270
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9735
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.1050
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9295
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0395
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9595
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0335
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.9645
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0380
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9625
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0350
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9575
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0425
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9630
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0435
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.9645
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0400
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9630
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0935
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9650
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0345
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9625
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0375
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9625
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0325
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9675
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0335
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 12091.62, Sell volume: 15306.60, Average price: 0.3940, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9685
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0330
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9670
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9695
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0330
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9650
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0325
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9675
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0355
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9655
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0335
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0340
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9645
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0325
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9650
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0330
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0320
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9650
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0360
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9670
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0360
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9680
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 12091.62, Sell volume: 15306.60, Average price: 0.3940, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0330
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9650
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0335
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9660
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0285
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9685
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0260
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9735
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0265
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9685
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0260
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9695
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0310
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9700
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0300
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9735
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0290
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9715
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0260
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9735
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0310
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9735
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0260
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9755
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0250
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9740
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0235
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9745
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0235
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 51.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9736, Price range: 0.9736 - 0.9736
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9720
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0260
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9600
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0405
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9595
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0405
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9595
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0405
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9595
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0405
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.9595
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0405
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.9595
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.0405
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.9595
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.0405
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.9595
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0405
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.9670
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.0270
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.9745
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.0350
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.9655
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0330
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.9650
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.0300
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.9690
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.0315
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.9685
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 71.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0386, Price range: 0.0360 - 0.0400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525625
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 27398.22478
Price History:
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.0350
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.9655
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.0340
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.9665
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0335
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.9665
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0355
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.9650
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.0365
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.9615
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0385
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.9645
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0355
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.9630
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0375
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9575
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0285
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.9695
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0345
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.9850
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.9950
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9945
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0065
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.9915
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.0010
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0010
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 11761.41, Sell volume: 15306.60, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525642
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42503.24052
Price History:
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0850
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.9150
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0355
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.9645
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0335
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.9665
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.0345
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.9655
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.0345
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.9655
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0360
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.9640
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.0350
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.9650
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5262.10, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.0367, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.0494

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525642
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42503.24052
Price History:
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.9630
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0355
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.9645
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0355
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.9645
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.0360
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.9640
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0395
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.9605
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.0385
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.9615
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.0410
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.9590
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0570
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.9430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1718.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0455, Price range: 0.0443 - 0.0460

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525642
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42503.24052
Price History:
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.1755
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.8245
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0540
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.9460
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.0790
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.9210
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.0655
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.9345
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.0525
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.9475
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0550
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.9450
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.0575
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.9425
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1547.21, Sell volume: 28.86, Average price: 0.5756, Price range: 0.0420 - 0.9570

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525642
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42503.24052
Price History:
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.9455
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0550
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.9450
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0540
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9460
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0520
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.9480
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.0535
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.9465
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0475
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.9525
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0485
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.9515
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0485
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.9515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2068.00, Sell volume: 865.56, Average price: 0.1666, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.9510

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525642
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42503.24052
Price History:
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0495
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.9505
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.0490
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.9510
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0495
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.9505
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.0520
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.9480
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.0510
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.9490
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0495
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.9505
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.0505
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.9495
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 17.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0570, Price range: 0.0570 - 0.0570

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525642
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42503.24052
Price History:
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.9480
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0530
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.9470
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0510
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.9490
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0515
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.9485
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.0485
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.9515
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.0495
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.9505
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.0480
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.9520
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0425
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.9575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 98.96, Sell volume: 1768.54, Average price: 0.2749, Price range: 0.0441 - 0.9520

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525642
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42503.24052
Price History:
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.0340
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.9660
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.0375
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.9625
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0395
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.9605
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0405
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.9595
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.0365
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.9635
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.0355
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.9645
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0345
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.9655
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 542.14, Sell volume: 131.00, Average price: 0.1216, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9650

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525642
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42503.24052
Price History:
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.9640
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0365
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.9635
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.0365
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.9635
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0370
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.9630
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0365
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.9635
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.0365
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.9635
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0370
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.9630
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.0370
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 830.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3481, Price range: 0.0402 - 0.9670

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525642
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42503.24052
Price History:
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.0370
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9630
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.0360
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.9640
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.0345
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.9655
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.0345
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.9655
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0345
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9655
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0335
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.9665
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.0345
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9655
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.0590
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 569.42, Sell volume: 15.19, Average price: 0.2336, Price range: 0.0436 - 0.9660

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525642
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42503.24052
Price History:
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.9410
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.0530
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.9470
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.0630
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.9370
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.0675
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.9325
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.2045
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.7955
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.1195
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.8805
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.0905
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.9095
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.0400
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 2387.95, Sell volume: 311.96, Average price: 0.4449, Price range: 0.0408 - 0.9546

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525642
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42503.24052
Price History:
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0420
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.9580
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.0410
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.9590
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0410
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.9590
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.0410
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9590
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0410
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.9590
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0410
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.9590
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.0410
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.9590
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 632.00, Sell volume: 177.57, Average price: 0.6538, Price range: 0.0390 - 0.9613

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525642
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42503.24052
Price History:
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9600
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0420
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.9580
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.0440
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.9560
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0445
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.9555
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.0415
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9585
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0440
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.9560
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0415
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.9585
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 4847.36, Sell volume: 1376.78, Average price: 0.3911, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.9577

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525642
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42503.24052
Price History:
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.0350
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9650
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0395
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.9605
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0415
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9585
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0980
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.9020
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.0875
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9125
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.3560
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.6440
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0165
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9835
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 10970.57, Sell volume: 3485.37, Average price: 0.5114, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525642
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 42503.24052
Price History:
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0850
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.9150
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0355
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.9645
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0335
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.9665
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.0345
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.9655
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.0345
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.9655
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0360
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.9640
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.0350
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.9650
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5262.10, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.0367, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.0494
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525642
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 42503.24052
Price History:
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.9630
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0355
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.9645
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0355
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.9645
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.0360
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.9640
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0395
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.9605
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.0385
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.9615
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.0410
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.9590
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0570
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.9430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1718.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0455, Price range: 0.0443 - 0.0460
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525642
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 42503.24052
Price History:
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.1755
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.8245
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0540
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.9460
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.0790
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.9210
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.0655
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.9345
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.0525
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.9475
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0550
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.9450
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.0575
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.9425
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1547.21, Sell volume: 28.86, Average price: 0.5756, Price range: 0.0420 - 0.9570
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525642
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 42503.24052
Price History:
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.9455
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0550
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.9450
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0540
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9460
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0520
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.9480
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.0535
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.9465
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0475
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.9525
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0485
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.9515
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0485
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.9515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2068.00, Sell volume: 865.56, Average price: 0.1666, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.9510
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525642
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 42503.24052
Price History:
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0495
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.9505
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.0490
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.9510
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0495
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.9505
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.0520
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.9480
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.0510
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.9490
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0495
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.9505
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.0505
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.9495
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 17.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0570, Price range: 0.0570 - 0.0570
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525642
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 42503.24052
Price History:
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.9480
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0530
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.9470
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0510
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.9490
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0515
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.9485
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.0485
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.9515
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.0495
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.9505
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.0480
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.9520
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0425
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.9575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 98.96, Sell volume: 1768.54, Average price: 0.2749, Price range: 0.0441 - 0.9520
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525642
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 42503.24052
Price History:
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.0340
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.9660
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.0375
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.9625
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0395
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.9605
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0405
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.9595
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.0365
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.9635
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.0355
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.9645
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0345
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.9655
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 542.14, Sell volume: 131.00, Average price: 0.1216, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9650
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes