Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.4700
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.4500
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.4350
2024-11-26 14:00: 0.4750
2024-11-26 20:00: 0.4750
2024-11-27 02:00: 0.4750
2024-11-27 08:00: 0.4750
2024-11-27 14:00: 0.4750
2024-11-27 20:00: 0.4750
2024-11-28 02:00: 0.4600
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.4600
2024-11-28 14:00: 0.4600
2024-11-28 20:00: 0.4250
2024-11-29 02:00: 0.4500
2024-11-29 08:00: 0.4150
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.4250
2024-11-29 20:00: 0.4000
2024-11-30 02:00: 0.4000
2024-11-30 08:00: 0.4000
2024-11-30 14:00: 0.4000
2024-11-30 20:00: 0.4000
2024-12-01 02:00: 0.4000
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.4000
2024-12-01 14:00: 0.4000
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.4000
2024-12-02 02:00: 0.4000
2024-12-02 08:00: 0.3950
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.3950
2024-12-02 20:00: 0.3950
2024-12-03 02:00: 0.3950
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.3950
2024-12-03 14:00: 0.3950
2024-12-03 20:00: 0.3950
2024-12-04 02:00: 0.3950
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.3950
2024-12-04 14:00: 0.3950
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.3950
2024-12-05 02:00: 0.3950
2024-12-05 08:00: 0.3950
2024-12-05 14:00: 0.3900
2024-12-05 20:00: 0.3900
2024-12-06 02:00: 0.3900
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.3900
2024-12-06 14:00: 0.3850
2024-12-06 20:00: 0.3850
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.3650
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.3700
2024-12-07 14:00: 0.3700
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.3700
2024-12-08 02:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.3750
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.3750
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.3800
2024-12-09 14:00: 0.3750
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.3800
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.3800
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.3800
2024-12-10 14:00: 0.3800
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.3750
2024-12-11 02:00: 0.3750
2024-12-11 08:00: 0.3700
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.3750
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.3750
2024-12-12 02:00: 0.3750
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.3750
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.3750
2024-12-12 20:00: 0.3800
2024-12-13 02:00: 0.3950
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.3950
2024-12-13 14:00: 0.3900
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.3900
2024-12-14 02:00: 0.3950
2024-12-14 08:00: 0.3950
2024-12-14 14:00: 0.3950
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.3950
2024-12-15 02:00: 0.3950
2024-12-15 08:00: 0.3950
2024-12-15 14:00: 0.4350
2024-12-15 20:00: 0.4150
2024-12-16 02:00: 0.4100
2024-12-16 08:00: 0.4150
2024-12-16 14:00: 0.4250
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.4300
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.3850
2024-12-17 08:00: 0.3850
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.3850
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.3850
2024-12-18 02:00: 0.3850
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.3850
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.3950
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.4250
2024-12-19 02:00: 0.3900
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.3900
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.3900
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.3900
2024-12-20 02:00: 0.4000
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.3950
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.3950
2024-12-20 20:00: 0.3850
2024-12-21 02:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.4000
2024-12-22 02:00: 0.4000
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.4000
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.4000
2024-12-22 20:00: 0.4000
2024-12-23 02:00: 0.4000
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.4000
2024-12-23 14:00: 0.3800
2024-12-23 20:00: 0.3800
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.3800
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.3800
2024-12-24 14:00: 0.4150
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.4150
2024-12-25 02:00: 0.4150
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.4150
2024-12-25 14:00: 0.4150
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.4150
2024-12-26 02:00: 0.4150
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.4150
2024-12-26 14:00: 0.4250
2024-12-26 20:00: 0.4200
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.4200
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.4200
2024-12-27 14:00: 0.4200
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.4250
2024-12-28 02:00: 0.4250
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.4250
2024-12-28 14:00: 0.4250
2024-12-28 20:00: 0.4250
2024-12-29 02:00: 0.4250
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.4250
2024-12-29 14:00: 0.4200
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.4200
2024-12-30 02:00: 0.3850
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.3950
2024-12-30 14:00: 0.3900
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.3850
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.3850
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.3850
2024-12-31 14:00: 0.3250
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.3050
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.3100
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.3100
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.3500
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.3600
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.3700
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.3650
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.3300
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.3400
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.3400
2025-01-04 02:00: 0.3400
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.3300
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.3300
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.3300
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.3350
2025-01-05 08:00: 0.3450
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.3900
2025-01-05 20:00: 0.4150
2025-01-06 02:00: 0.4050
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.4050
2025-01-06 14:00: 0.4050
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.3900
2025-01-07 02:00: 0.4000
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.4150
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.4250
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.4200
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.4200
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.4200
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.4200
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.3900
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.3900
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.3750
2025-01-09 14:00: 0.3800
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.3800
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.3800
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.3750
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.3750
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.3700
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.3700
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.3650
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.3550
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.3500
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.3450
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.3450
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.3450
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.3450
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.3450
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.3450
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.3450
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.3450
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.3450
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.3450
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.3450
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.3450
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.3550
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.4100
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.4100
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.4050
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.3350
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.3750
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.3400
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.3400
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.3800
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.3850
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.3900
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.3900
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.3900
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.4300
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.6050
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.6300
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.5300
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.5300
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.4650
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.4550
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.4500
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.4050
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.4350
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.4000
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.4100
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.3650
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.3650
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.3700
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.4050
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.4050
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.4050
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.4000
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.4000
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.4150
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.4650
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.4600
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.4450
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.4300
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.4100
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.4100
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.4200
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.4250
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.4150
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.4050
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.3600
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.3450
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.3000
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.3000
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.3050
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.3000
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.2600
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.2700
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.2700
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.2750
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.2900
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.3150
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.2700
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.2750
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.2750
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.2850
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.2850
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.2850
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.2700
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.2700
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.3300
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.3050
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.4500
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.4950
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.4450
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.4350
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.4050
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.3850
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.3950
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.3900
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.3900
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.3850
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.3800
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.3950
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.4050
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.3850
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.3850
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.3800
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.3700
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.3200
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.3350
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.3650
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.3500
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.3250
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.2950
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.3000
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.3650
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.4050
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.4100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.4200
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.3850
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.3800
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.3800
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.3800
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.3900
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.3900
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.3850
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.3750
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.3600
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.3350
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.3350
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.3700
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.3800
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.3800
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.3800
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.3650
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.3900
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.2850
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.2950
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.2750
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.2600
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.2350
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.2350
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.2400
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.2450
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.3100
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.3100
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.3150
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.3000
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.3000
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.3000
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.3000
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.3000
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.3050
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.3050
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.3050
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.3200
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.3150
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.3150
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.3150
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.3150
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.3100
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.3100
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.3050
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.3050
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.3100
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.3050
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.3150
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.2950
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.2900
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.2650
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.2750
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.2750
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.2750
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.2650
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.2650
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.2700
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.2800
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.2600
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.2600
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.2550
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.2500
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.2500
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.2450
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.2450
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.2450
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.2450
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.2550
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.2550
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.2550
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.2550
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.2550
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.2550
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.3050
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.3100
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.3050
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.2700
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.2550
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.2600
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.2550
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.2550
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.2650
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.2400
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.2400
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.2450
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.2450
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.2550
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.2550
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.2550
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.2550
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.2550
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.2550
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.2550
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.2650
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.2650
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.2650
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.2550
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.2550
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.2500
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.2500
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.2350
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.2200
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.2200
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.1850
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.1850
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.1950
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.1750
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.1900
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.2100
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.2000
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.1950
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.1950
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.1950
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.1750
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.1550
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.1500
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.1500
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.1350
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.1250
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.1300
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.1300
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.1200
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.1300
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.1300
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.1300
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.1300
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.1350
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.1350
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.1350
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.1350
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.1350
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.1350
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.1350
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.1350
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.1350
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.1350
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.1350
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.1300
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.1150
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.1100
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.1200
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.1200
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.1200
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.1200
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.1250
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.1200
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.1200
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.1150
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.1200
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.1200
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.1150
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.1150
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.1150
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.1150
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.1150
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.1150
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.1050
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.1100
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.0850
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.0850
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.0850
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.0850
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.1150
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.1100
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.1100
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.1100
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.1150
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.2350
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.2850
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.2900
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.2700
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.3150
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.3150
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.3250
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.2600
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.2600
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.2600
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.3200
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.2650
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.1750
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.1700
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.1850
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.1900
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.1850
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.1700
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.1600
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.1200
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.1300
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.1400
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.1350
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.1150
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.1200
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.1200
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0900
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0550
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0295
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0225
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0370
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0370
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0385
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0235
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0240
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0340
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0275
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0375
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0325
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0340
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0355
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0335
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0325
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0330
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0325
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0255
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0275
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0245
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0290
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0300
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0250
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0170
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0120
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0335
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0335
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0235
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.5400
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.3400
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.2750
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.2250
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.2450
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.4400
2024-11-15 08:00: 0.4450
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.4300
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.3850
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.3750
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.3850
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.3750
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.3750
2024-11-18 06:00: 0.3650
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.4050
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.4150
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.4150
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.3850
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.3900
2024-11-20 18:00: 0.3850
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.4250
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.4300
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.4150
2024-11-22 10:00: 0.4150
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.4150
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.4050
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.4100
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.3900
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.3900
2024-11-24 22:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.4700
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.4550
2024-11-26 16:00: 0.4750
2024-11-27 02:00: 0.4750
2024-11-27 12:00: 0.4750
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.4600
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.4600
2024-11-28 18:00: 0.4600
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.4300
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.4250
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.4000
2024-11-30 10:00: 0.4000
2024-11-30 20:00: 0.4000
2024-12-01 06:00: 0.4000
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.4000
2024-12-02 02:00: 0.4000
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.3950
2024-12-02 22:00: 0.3950
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.3950
2024-12-03 18:00: 0.3950
2024-12-04 04:00: 0.3950
2024-12-04 14:00: 0.3950
2024-12-05 00:00: 0.3950
2024-12-05 10:00: 0.3900
2024-12-05 20:00: 0.3900
2024-12-06 06:00: 0.3900
2024-12-06 16:00: 0.3850
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.3650
2024-12-07 12:00: 0.3700
2024-12-07 22:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.3750
2024-12-09 06:00: 0.3800
2024-12-09 16:00: 0.3750
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.3800
2024-12-10 12:00: 0.3750
2024-12-10 22:00: 0.3700
2024-12-11 08:00: 0.3700
2024-12-11 18:00: 0.3800
2024-12-12 04:00: 0.3800
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.3750
2024-12-13 00:00: 0.3900
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.3950
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.3900
2024-12-14 06:00: 0.3950
2024-12-14 16:00: 0.3950
2024-12-15 02:00: 0.3950
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.3950
2024-12-15 22:00: 0.4250
2024-12-16 08:00: 0.4150
2024-12-16 18:00: 0.4250
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.3850
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.3850
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.3850
2024-12-18 10:00: 0.3850
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.4250
2024-12-19 06:00: 0.3900
2024-12-19 16:00: 0.3900
2024-12-20 02:00: 0.4000
2024-12-20 12:00: 0.3950
2024-12-20 22:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.4000
2024-12-22 06:00: 0.4000
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.4000
2024-12-23 02:00: 0.4000
2024-12-23 12:00: 0.3800
2024-12-23 22:00: 0.3800
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.3800
2024-12-24 18:00: 0.4150
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.4150
2024-12-25 14:00: 0.4150
2024-12-26 00:00: 0.4150
2024-12-26 10:00: 0.4500
2024-12-26 20:00: 0.4200
2024-12-27 06:00: 0.4200
2024-12-27 16:00: 0.4250
2024-12-28 02:00: 0.4250
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.4250
2024-12-28 22:00: 0.4250
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.4250
2024-12-29 18:00: 0.4150
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.3950
2024-12-30 14:00: 0.3900
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.3850
2024-12-31 10:00: 0.2650
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.3050
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.3000
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.3100
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.3700
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.3350
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.3400
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.3300
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.3300
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.3350
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.3450
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.4050
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.4050
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.4150
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.4050
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.4250
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.4200
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.4250
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.3900
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.3750
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.3800
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.3800
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.3750
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.3700
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.3650
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.3550
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.3450
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.3450
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.3450
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.3500
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.3450
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.3450
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.3450
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.4100
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.4100
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.3650
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.3450
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.3750
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.3400
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.3750
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.3900
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.3900
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.4350
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.6200
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.5300
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.4550
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.4350
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.4350
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.3950
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.3650
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.3700
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.4050
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.4000
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.4050
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.4400
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.4450
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.4100
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.4200
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.4250
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.4100
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.3450
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.3000
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.3000
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.2600
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.3050
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.2750
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.2800
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.2750
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.2850
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.3200
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.2700
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.2950
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.5500
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.4450
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.3950
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.3850
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.3900
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.4150
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.3950
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.3950
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.4050
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.3850
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.3650
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.3350
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.3500
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.3250
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.2950
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.3250
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.4400
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.4200
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.3650
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.3800
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.3900
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.3950
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.3650
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.3350
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.3650
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.3800
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.3800
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.3750
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.2850
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.2750
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.2500
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.2300
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.2450
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.3100
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.3150
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.3000
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.3000
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.3000
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.3050
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.3200
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.3150
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.3150
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.3100
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.3050
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.3150
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.2900
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.2650
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.2750
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.2600
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.2650
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.2650
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.2500
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.2450
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.2450
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.2550
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.2550
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.2550
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.3050
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.3100
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.2600
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.2600
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.2550
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.2400
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.2450
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.2450
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.2550
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.2550
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.2550
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.2550
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.2650
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.2650
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.2500
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.2400
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.2250
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.2250
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.1850
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.1700
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.2100
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.2000
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.1950
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.1550
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.1550
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.1300
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.1300
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.1200
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.1300
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.1300
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.1350
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.1350
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.1350
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.1350
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.1350
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.1350
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.1350
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.1300
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.1100
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.1200
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.1200
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.1250
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.1200
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.1200
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.1200
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.1150
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.1150
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.1150
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.1150
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.1100
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.0850
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.0850
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.0850
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.1100
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.1100
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.1100
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.3050
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.2500
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.2900
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.3150
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.3150
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.2600
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.2600
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.3200
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.1750
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.1850
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.1850
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.1700
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.1300
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.1400
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.1100
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.1200
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512828
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
Volume: 448725.121098
Price History:
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0900
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0315
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0225
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0390
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0380
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0240
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0345
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0340
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0335
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0330
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0325
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0250
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0265
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0300
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0175
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0120
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0335
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0250
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0195
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.5400
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.3250
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.2750
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.2450
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.2300
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.2250
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.2350
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.2450
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.3950
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.4650
2024-11-15 08:00: 0.4450
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.4250
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.4300
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.3900
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.3700
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.3750
2024-11-16 20:00: 0.3750
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.3750
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.3750
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.3650
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.3750
2024-11-18 02:00: 0.3700
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.3650
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.4000
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.4250
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.4150
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.4150
2024-11-19 14:00: 0.4150
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.3900
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.3900
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.3900
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.3950
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.3850
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.4250
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.4350
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.4300
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.4300
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.4150
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.4150
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.4150
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.4150
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.4050
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.4050
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.4100
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.4100
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.3900
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.3900
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.3950
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.4100
2024-11-25 02:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.4700
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.4500
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.4350
2024-11-26 14:00: 0.4750
2024-11-26 20:00: 0.4750
2024-11-27 02:00: 0.4750
2024-11-27 08:00: 0.4750
2024-11-27 14:00: 0.4750
2024-11-27 20:00: 0.4750
2024-11-28 02:00: 0.4600
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.4600
2024-11-28 14:00: 0.4600
2024-11-28 20:00: 0.4250
2024-11-29 02:00: 0.4500
2024-11-29 08:00: 0.4150
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.4250
2024-11-29 20:00: 0.4000
2024-11-30 02:00: 0.4000
2024-11-30 08:00: 0.4000
2024-11-30 14:00: 0.4000
2024-11-30 20:00: 0.4000
2024-12-01 02:00: 0.4000
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.4000
2024-12-01 14:00: 0.4000
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.4000
2024-12-02 02:00: 0.4000
2024-12-02 08:00: 0.3950
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.3950
2024-12-02 20:00: 0.3950
2024-12-03 02:00: 0.3950
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.3950
2024-12-03 14:00: 0.3950
2024-12-03 20:00: 0.3950
2024-12-04 02:00: 0.3950
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.3950
2024-12-04 14:00: 0.3950
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.3950
2024-12-05 02:00: 0.3950
2024-12-05 08:00: 0.3950
2024-12-05 14:00: 0.3900
2024-12-05 20:00: 0.3900
2024-12-06 02:00: 0.3900
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.3900
2024-12-06 14:00: 0.3850
2024-12-06 20:00: 0.3850
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.3650
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.3700
2024-12-07 14:00: 0.3700
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.3700
2024-12-08 02:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.3750
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.3750
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.3800
2024-12-09 14:00: 0.3750
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.3800
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.3800
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.3800
2024-12-10 14:00: 0.3800
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.3750
2024-12-11 02:00: 0.3750
2024-12-11 08:00: 0.3700
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.3750
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.3750
2024-12-12 02:00: 0.3750
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.3750
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.3750
2024-12-12 20:00: 0.3800
2024-12-13 02:00: 0.3950
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.3950
2024-12-13 14:00: 0.3900
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.3900
2024-12-14 02:00: 0.3950
2024-12-14 08:00: 0.3950
2024-12-14 14:00: 0.3950
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.3950
2024-12-15 02:00: 0.3950
2024-12-15 08:00: 0.3950
2024-12-15 14:00: 0.4350
2024-12-15 20:00: 0.4150
2024-12-16 02:00: 0.4100
2024-12-16 08:00: 0.4150
2024-12-16 14:00: 0.4250
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.4300
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.3850
2024-12-17 08:00: 0.3850
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.3850
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.3850
2024-12-18 02:00: 0.3850
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.3850
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.3950
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.4250
2024-12-19 02:00: 0.3900
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.3900
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.3900
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.3900
2024-12-20 02:00: 0.4000
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.3950
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.3950
2024-12-20 20:00: 0.3850
2024-12-21 02:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.4000
2024-12-22 02:00: 0.4000
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.4000
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.4000
2024-12-22 20:00: 0.4000
2024-12-23 02:00: 0.4000
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.4000
2024-12-23 14:00: 0.3800
2024-12-23 20:00: 0.3800
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.3800
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.3800
2024-12-24 14:00: 0.4150
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.4150
2024-12-25 02:00: 0.4150
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.4150
2024-12-25 14:00: 0.4150
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.4150
2024-12-26 02:00: 0.4150
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.4150
2024-12-26 14:00: 0.4250
2024-12-26 20:00: 0.4200
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.4200
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.4200
2024-12-27 14:00: 0.4200
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.4250
2024-12-28 02:00: 0.4250
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.4250
2024-12-28 14:00: 0.4250
2024-12-28 20:00: 0.4250
2024-12-29 02:00: 0.4250
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.4250
2024-12-29 14:00: 0.4200
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.4200
2024-12-30 02:00: 0.3850
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.3950
2024-12-30 14:00: 0.3900
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.3850
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.3850
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.3850
2024-12-31 14:00: 0.3250
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.3050
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.3100
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.3100
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.3500
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.3600
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.3700
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.3650
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.3300
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.3400
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.3400
2025-01-04 02:00: 0.3400
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.3300
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.3300
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.3300
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.3350
2025-01-05 08:00: 0.3450
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.3900
2025-01-05 20:00: 0.4150
2025-01-06 02:00: 0.4050
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.4050
2025-01-06 14:00: 0.4050
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.3900
2025-01-07 02:00: 0.4000
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.4150
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.4250
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.4200
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.4200
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.4200
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.4200
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.3900
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.3900
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.3750
2025-01-09 14:00: 0.3800
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.3800
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.3800
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.3750
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.3750
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.3700
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.3700
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.3650
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.3550
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.3500
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.3450
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.3450
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.3450
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.3450
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.3450
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.3450
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.3450
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.3450
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.3450
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.3450
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.3450
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.3450
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.3550
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.4100
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.4100
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.4050
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.3350
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.3750
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.3400
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.3400
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.3800
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.3850
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.3900
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.3900
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.3900
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.4300
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.6050
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.6300
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.5300
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.5300
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.4650
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.4550
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.4500
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.4050
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.4350
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.4000
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.4100
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.3650
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.3650
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.3700
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.4050
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.4050
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.4050
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.4000
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.4000
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.4150
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.4650
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.4600
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.4450
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.4300
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.4100
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.4100
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.4200
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.4250
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.4150
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.4050
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.3600
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.3450
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.3000
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.3000
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.3050
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.3000
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.2600
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.2700
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.2700
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.2750
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.2900
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.3150
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.2700
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.2750
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.2750
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.2850
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.2850
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.2850
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.2700
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.2700
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.3300
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.3050
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.4500
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.4950
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.4450
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.4350
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.4050
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.3850
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.3950
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.3900
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.3900
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.3850
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.3800
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.3950
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.4050
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.3850
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.3850
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.3800
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.3700
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.3200
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.3350
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.3650
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.3500
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.3250
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.2950
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.3000
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.3650
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.4050
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.4100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.4200
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.3850
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.3800
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.3800
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.3800
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.3900
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.3900
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.3850
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.3750
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.3600
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.3350
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.3350
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.3700
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.3800
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.3800
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.3800
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.3650
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.3900
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.2850
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.2950
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.2750
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.2600
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.2350
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.2350
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.2400
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.2450
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.3100
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.3100
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.3150
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.3000
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.3000
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.3000
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.3000
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.3000
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.3050
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.3050
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.3050
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.3200
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.3150
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.3150
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.3150
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.3150
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.3100
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.3100
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.3050
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.3050
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.3100
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.3050
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.3150
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.2950
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.2900
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.2650
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.2750
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.2750
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.2750
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.2650
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.2650
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.2700
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.2800
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.2600
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.2600
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.2550
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.2500
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.2500
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.2450
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.2450
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.2450
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.2450
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.2550
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.2550
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.2550
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.2550
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.2550
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.2550
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.3050
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.3100
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.3050
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.2700
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.2550
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.2600
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.2550
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.2550
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.2650
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.2400
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.2400
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.2450
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.2450
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.2550
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.2550
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.2550
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.2550
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.2550
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.2550
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.2550
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.2650
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.2650
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.2650
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.2550
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.2550
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.2500
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.2500
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.2350
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.2200
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.2200
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.1850
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.1850
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.1950
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.1750
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.1900
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.2100
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.2000
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.1950
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.1950
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.1950
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.1750
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.1550
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.1500
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.1500
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.1350
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.1250
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.1300
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.1300
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.1200
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.1300
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.1300
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.1300
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.1300
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.1350
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.1350
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.1350
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.1350
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.1350
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.1350
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.1350
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.1350
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.1350
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.1350
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.1350
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.1300
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.1150
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.1100
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.1200
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.1200
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.1200
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.1200
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.1250
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.1200
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.1200
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.1150
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.1200
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.1200
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.1150
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.1150
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.1150
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.1150
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.1150
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.1150
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.1050
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.1100
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.0850
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.0850
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.0850
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.0850
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.1150
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.1100
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.1100
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.1100
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.1150
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.2350
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.2850
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.2900
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.2700
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.3150
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.3150
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.3250
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.2600
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.2600
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.2600
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.3200
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.2650
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.1750
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.1700
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.1850
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.1900
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.1850
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.1700
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.1600
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.1200
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.1300
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.1400
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.1350
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.1150
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.1200
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.1200
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0900
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0550
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0295
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0225
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0370
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0370
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0385
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0235
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0240
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0340
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0275
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0375
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0325
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0340
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0355
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0335
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0325
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0330
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0325
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0255
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0275
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0245
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0290
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0300
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0250
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0170
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0120
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0335
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0335
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0235
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.5400
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.3400
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.2750
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.2250
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.2450
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.4400
2024-11-15 08:00: 0.4450
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.4300
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.3850
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.3750
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.3850
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.3750
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.3750
2024-11-18 06:00: 0.3650
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.4050
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.4150
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.4150
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.3850
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.3900
2024-11-20 18:00: 0.3850
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.4250
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.4300
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.4150
2024-11-22 10:00: 0.4150
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.4150
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.4050
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.4100
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.3900
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.3900
2024-11-24 22:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.4700
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.4550
2024-11-26 16:00: 0.4750
2024-11-27 02:00: 0.4750
2024-11-27 12:00: 0.4750
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.4600
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.4600
2024-11-28 18:00: 0.4600
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.4300
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.4250
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.4000
2024-11-30 10:00: 0.4000
2024-11-30 20:00: 0.4000
2024-12-01 06:00: 0.4000
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.4000
2024-12-02 02:00: 0.4000
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.3950
2024-12-02 22:00: 0.3950
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.3950
2024-12-03 18:00: 0.3950
2024-12-04 04:00: 0.3950
2024-12-04 14:00: 0.3950
2024-12-05 00:00: 0.3950
2024-12-05 10:00: 0.3900
2024-12-05 20:00: 0.3900
2024-12-06 06:00: 0.3900
2024-12-06 16:00: 0.3850
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.3650
2024-12-07 12:00: 0.3700
2024-12-07 22:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.3750
2024-12-09 06:00: 0.3800
2024-12-09 16:00: 0.3750
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.3800
2024-12-10 12:00: 0.3750
2024-12-10 22:00: 0.3700
2024-12-11 08:00: 0.3700
2024-12-11 18:00: 0.3800
2024-12-12 04:00: 0.3800
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.3750
2024-12-13 00:00: 0.3900
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.3950
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.3900
2024-12-14 06:00: 0.3950
2024-12-14 16:00: 0.3950
2024-12-15 02:00: 0.3950
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.3950
2024-12-15 22:00: 0.4250
2024-12-16 08:00: 0.4150
2024-12-16 18:00: 0.4250
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.3850
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.3850
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.3850
2024-12-18 10:00: 0.3850
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.4250
2024-12-19 06:00: 0.3900
2024-12-19 16:00: 0.3900
2024-12-20 02:00: 0.4000
2024-12-20 12:00: 0.3950
2024-12-20 22:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.4000
2024-12-22 06:00: 0.4000
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.4000
2024-12-23 02:00: 0.4000
2024-12-23 12:00: 0.3800
2024-12-23 22:00: 0.3800
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.3800
2024-12-24 18:00: 0.4150
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.4150
2024-12-25 14:00: 0.4150
2024-12-26 00:00: 0.4150
2024-12-26 10:00: 0.4500
2024-12-26 20:00: 0.4200
2024-12-27 06:00: 0.4200
2024-12-27 16:00: 0.4250
2024-12-28 02:00: 0.4250
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.4250
2024-12-28 22:00: 0.4250
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.4250
2024-12-29 18:00: 0.4150
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.3950
2024-12-30 14:00: 0.3900
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.3850
2024-12-31 10:00: 0.2650
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.3050
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.3000
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.3100
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.3700
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.3350
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.3400
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.3300
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.3300
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.3350
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.3450
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.4050
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.4050
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.4150
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.4050
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.4250
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.4200
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.4250
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.3900
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.3750
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.3800
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.3800
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.3750
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.3700
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.3650
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.3550
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.3450
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.3450
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.3450
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.3500
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.3450
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.3450
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.3450
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.4100
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.4100
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.3650
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.3450
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.3750
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.3400
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.3750
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.3900
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.3900
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.4350
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.6200
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.5300
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.4550
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.4350
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.4350
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.3950
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.3650
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.3700
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.4050
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.4000
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.4050
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.4400
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.4450
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.4100
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.4200
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.4250
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.4100
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.3450
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.3000
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.3000
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.2600
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.3050
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.2750
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.2800
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.2750
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.2850
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.3200
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.2700
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.2950
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.5500
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.4450
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.3950
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.3850
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.3900
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.4150
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.3950
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.3950
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.4050
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.3850
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.3650
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.3350
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.3500
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.3250
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.2950
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.3250
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.4400
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.4200
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.3650
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.3800
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.3900
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.3950
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.3650
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.3350
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.3650
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.3800
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.3800
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.3750
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.2850
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.2750
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.2500
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.2300
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.2450
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.3100
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.3150
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.3000
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.3000
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.3000
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.3050
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.3200
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.3150
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.3150
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.3100
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.3050
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.3150
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.2900
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.2650
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.2750
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.2600
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.2650
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.2650
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.2500
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.2450
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.2450
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.2550
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.2550
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.2550
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.3050
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.3100
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.2600
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.2600
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.2550
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.2400
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.2450
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.2450
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.2550
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.2550
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.2550
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.2550
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.2650
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.2650
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.2500
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.2400
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.2250
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.2250
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.1850
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.1700
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.2100
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.2000
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.1950
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.1550
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.1550
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.1300
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.1300
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.1200
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.1300
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.1300
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.1350
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.1350
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.1350
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.1350
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.1350
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.1350
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.1350
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.1300
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.1100
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.1200
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.1200
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.1250
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.1200
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.1200
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.1200
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.1150
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.1150
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.1150
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.1150
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.1100
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.0850
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.0850
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.0850
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.1100
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.1100
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.1100
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.3050
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.2500
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.2900
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.3150
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.3150
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.2600
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.2600
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.3200
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.1750
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.1850
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.1850
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.1700
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.1300
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.1400
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.1100
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.1200
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 609624
Question: Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0900
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0315
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0225
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0390
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0380
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0240
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0345
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0340
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0335
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0330
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0325
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0250
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0265
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0300
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0175
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0120
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0335
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0250
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0195
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.2950
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.7050
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.1800
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8200
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1650
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.8350
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.1650
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.1600
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.8400
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.1700
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.8300
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.8100
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.1800
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.8200
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.1950
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.8050
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77050639.92, Sell volume: 38599010.05, Average price: 0.5196, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.2150
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.7850
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.2200
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.7800
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.2250
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.7750
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.2300
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.7700
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.2250
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.7750
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.2250
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.7750
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.2300
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.7700
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.2600
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.7400
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.3200
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.6800
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.3150
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.6850
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.3000
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.7000
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.2750
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.7250
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.2900
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.7100
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.2900
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.7100
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.2850
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77050639.92, Sell volume: 38599010.05, Average price: 0.5196, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.2900
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.7100
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.3450
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.6550
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.3500
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.6500
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.3600
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6400
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.2950
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.7050
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.2900
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.7100
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.3200
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.5400
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.4600
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.4200
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77050639.92, Sell volume: 38599010.05, Average price: 0.5196, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.4050
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.4350
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.4450
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.5550
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.7650
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.2350
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.6500
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.3500
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.5550
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.4450
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.3200
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.6800
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.3450
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.6550
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.2700
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7300
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.4550
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77050639.92, Sell volume: 38599010.05, Average price: 0.5196, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.3350
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.6650
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.3650
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.6350
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.3350
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.6650
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.3350
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.6650
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.2750
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.2850
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.2550
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.7450
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.2750
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.7250
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.2950
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 439560, Buy volume: 19427767.17, Sell volume: 17690371.92, Average price: 0.5108, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.2800
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.7200
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.2600
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.7400
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.7650
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.2150
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.7850
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.1900
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.8100
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.1800
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.8200
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.1950
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.8050
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.2150
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.7850
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.1900
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.8100
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.2400
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.7600
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.2550
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 401598, Buy volume: 36945754.02, Sell volume: 13018468.50, Average price: 0.5565, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.2350
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.7650
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.2150
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.7850
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.2000
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.8000
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1950
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8050
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1850
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8150
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1850
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.8150
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1850
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8150
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.1850
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.8150
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.3600
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.6400
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.3350
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.6650
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.3200
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.6800
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.2900
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.7100
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.7050
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 125957, Buy volume: 18307417.18, Sell volume: 4724785.23, Average price: 0.4778, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.7550
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.2450
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.7550
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.7600
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.2200
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.7800
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.2600
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.7400
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.3400
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.6650
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.2900
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.7100
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.2150
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.7850
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9500
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.1200
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.8800
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.1200
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.8800
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0445
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 223, Buy volume: 13083.62, Sell volume: 20938.71, Average price: 0.5587, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9757

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0605
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9395
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0545
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9455
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0500
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9500
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0490
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9510
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0465
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9535
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0405
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9595
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0300
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9700
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0495
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9505
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0260
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9740
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0260
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9740
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0250
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9750
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0245
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9755
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0390
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9610
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0470
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9530
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 222, Buy volume: 28776.01, Sell volume: 8019.26, Average price: 0.6214, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9780

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9665
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0360
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9640
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0340
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9660
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0400
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9600
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0370
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9630
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0355
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9645
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0405
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9595
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0325
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9675
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0400
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9600
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0410
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9590
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0410
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9590
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0405
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9595
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0320
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9680
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0260
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9740
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0285
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9715
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0275
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 18666.37, Sell volume: 4015.01, Average price: 0.5358, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9770

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0275
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9725
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0265
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9735
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0265
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9735
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0270
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9730
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0245
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9755
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0245
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9755
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0270
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9730
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0260
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9740
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0415
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9585
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0355
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9645
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0260
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9740
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0255
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9745
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0285
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9715
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0290
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9710
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0275
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9725
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 19232.87, Sell volume: 5142.43, Average price: 0.5087, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9760

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9725
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0255
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9745
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0250
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9750
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0245
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9755
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0245
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9755
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0245
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9755
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0250
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9750
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0250
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9750
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0310
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9690
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0270
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9730
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0280
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9720
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0280
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9720
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0285
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9715
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0290
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9710
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0260
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9740
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0255
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 4374.50, Sell volume: 3967.74, Average price: 0.5694, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9770

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0210
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9790
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0185
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9815
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0165
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9835
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0145
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9855
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0150
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0170
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9830
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0165
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9835
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0155
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9845
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0155
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9845
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0085
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9915
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0280
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9720
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0135
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9865
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0105
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9895
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0105
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9895
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 13592.61, Sell volume: 15611.48, Average price: 0.6503, Price range: 0.0054 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.2950
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.7050
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.1800
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8200
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1650
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.8350
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.1650
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.1600
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.8400
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.1700
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.8300
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.8100
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.1800
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.8200
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.1950
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77050639.92, Sell volume: 38599010.05, Average price: 0.5196, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.2150
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.7850
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.2200
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.7800
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.2250
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.7750
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.2300
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.7700
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.2250
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.7750
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.2250
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.7750
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.2300
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.7700
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.2600
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.7400
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.3200
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.6800
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.3150
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.6850
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.3000
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.7000
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.2750
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.7250
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.2900
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.7100
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.2900
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.7100
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77050639.92, Sell volume: 38599010.05, Average price: 0.5196, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.2900
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.7100
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.3450
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.6550
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.3500
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.6500
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.3600
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6400
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.2950
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.7050
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.2900
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.7100
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.3200
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.5400
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.4600
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77050639.92, Sell volume: 38599010.05, Average price: 0.5196, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.4050
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.4350
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.4450
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.5550
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.7650
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.2350
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.6500
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.3500
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.5550
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.4450
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.3200
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.6800
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.3450
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.6550
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.2700
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7300
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.4550
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77050639.92, Sell volume: 38599010.05, Average price: 0.5196, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.3350
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.6650
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.3650
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.6350
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.3350
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.6650
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.3350
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.6650
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.2750
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.2850
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.2550
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.7450
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.2750
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.7250
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.2950
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 439560, Buy volume: 19427767.17, Sell volume: 17690371.92, Average price: 0.5108, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.2800
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.7200
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.2600
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.7400
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.7650
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.2150
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.7850
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.1900
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.8100
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.1800
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.8200
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.1950
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.8050
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.2150
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.7850
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.1900
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.8100
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.2400
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.7600
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 401598, Buy volume: 36945754.02, Sell volume: 13018468.50, Average price: 0.5565, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.2350
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.7650
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.2150
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.7850
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.2000
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.8000
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1950
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8050
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1850
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8150
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1850
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.8150
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1850
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8150
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.1850
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.8150
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.3600
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.6400
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.3350
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.6650
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.3200
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.6800
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.2900
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.7100
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.7050
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 125957, Buy volume: 18307417.18, Sell volume: 4724785.23, Average price: 0.4778, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.7550
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.2450
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.7550
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.7600
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.2200
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.7800
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.2600
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.7400
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.3400
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.6650
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.2900
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.7100
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.2150
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.7850
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9500
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.1200
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.8800
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.1200
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.8800
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 223, Buy volume: 13083.62, Sell volume: 20938.71, Average price: 0.5587, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9757
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0605
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9395
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0545
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9455
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0500
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9500
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0490
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9510
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0465
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9535
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0405
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9595
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0300
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9700
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0495
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9505
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0260
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9740
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0260
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9740
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0250
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9750
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0245
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9755
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0390
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9610
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0470
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 222, Buy volume: 28776.01, Sell volume: 8019.26, Average price: 0.6214, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9665
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0360
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9640
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0340
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9660
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0400
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9600
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0370
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9630
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0355
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9645
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0405
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9595
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0325
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9675
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0400
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9600
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0410
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9590
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0410
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9590
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0405
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9595
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0320
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9680
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0260
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9740
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0285
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9715
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 18666.37, Sell volume: 4015.01, Average price: 0.5358, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0275
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9725
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0265
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9735
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0265
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9735
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0270
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9730
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0245
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9755
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0245
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9755
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0270
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9730
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0260
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9740
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0415
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9585
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0355
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9645
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0260
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9740
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0255
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9745
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0285
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9715
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0290
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9710
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0275
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 19232.87, Sell volume: 5142.43, Average price: 0.5087, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9760
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9725
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0255
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9745
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0250
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9750
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0245
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9755
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0245
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9755
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0245
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9755
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0250
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9750
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0250
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9750
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0310
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9690
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0270
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9730
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0280
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9720
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0280
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9720
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0285
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9715
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0290
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9710
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0260
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9740
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 4374.50, Sell volume: 3967.74, Average price: 0.5694, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665301
Question: U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Volume: 340905.749994
Price History:
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0210
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9790
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0185
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9815
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0165
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9835
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0145
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9855
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0150
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0170
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9830
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0165
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9835
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0155
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9845
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0155
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9845
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0085
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9915
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0280
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9720
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0135
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9865
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0105
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9895
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0105
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 13592.61, Sell volume: 15611.48, Average price: 0.6503, Price range: 0.0054 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Outcomes: ["Weil", "Fine"]
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0750
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.9250
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.0550
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.9450
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.0200
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.9800
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0200
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.9800
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.0195
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.9805
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.0245
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.9755
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.0255
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.9745
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.0260
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.9740
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0255
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.9745
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0240
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.9760
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.0240
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9760
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.0250
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.9750
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.0245
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.9755
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0250
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.9750
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.0280
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.9720
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.0305
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.9695
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.0265
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.9735
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.0300
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.9700
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0300
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.9700
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0300
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.9700
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.0270
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.9730
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.0295
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.9705
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.0275
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Outcomes: ["Weil", "Fine"]
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.0295
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.9705
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.0290
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.9710
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.0300
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.9700
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.0305
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.9695
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0270
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.9730
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.0295
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.9705
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.0275
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.9725
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.0300
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9700
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.0300
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.9700
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0280
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.9720
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.0225
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.9775
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.0225
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.9775
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.0225
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.9775
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.0225
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.9775
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.0225
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.9775
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes