Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.8600
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.8600
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.8600
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.8600
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 15969.87, Sell volume: 1517.62, Average price: 0.6846, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.8600
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.8600
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.8600
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.8600
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 182.50, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.1350
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.8650
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.1400
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.8600
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.1400
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.8600
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.1400
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.8600
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.1450
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1700, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.1700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.1450
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.8550
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 725.75, Sell volume: 299.00, Average price: 0.6398, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9400
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0600
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9400
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0600
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 28.21, Sell volume: 1.11, Average price: 0.3600, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0600
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9400
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0600
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9400
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0600
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9400
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0400
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9600
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 988.36, Sell volume: 495.50, Average price: 0.8948, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 183.17, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0095, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.0100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 12995.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8875, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7075, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7075, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7075, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7075, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7075, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7075, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7075, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7075, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7075, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.5000
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.6850
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.7250
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.7450
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.7550
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.7550
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.7500
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.7500
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.7500
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.7500
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.7500
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.7500
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.7450
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.7500
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.7500
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.7500
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.7500
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.7500
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.7500
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.7550
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.7550
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.7550
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.7550
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.7550
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.8450
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.8500
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.8650
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.8500
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.9050
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.8950
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.8550
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.8550
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.8650
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.8600
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.8650
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.8650
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.8600
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.8700
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.8750
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.8850
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.8850
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.8850
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.8750
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.8750
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.8750
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.8750
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.8750
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1618.55, Sell volume: 857.03, Average price: 0.6317, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.1250
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.1250
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.1250
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.1250
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.1250
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.1250
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.1250
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.1250
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.1250
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.1250
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.1250
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.1550
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.1450
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.1450
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.1450
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.1500
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.1600
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.1600
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.1600
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.1600
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.1600
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.1600
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.1600
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.1600
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.1600
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.1600
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.1600
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.1600
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.1550
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.1550
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.1650
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.1650
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.1600
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.1600
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.1600
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.1600
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.1600
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.1600
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.2000
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.2000
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 33.82, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.7900
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.7900
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.7900
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.7900
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.7950
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.8000
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.8050
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.8050
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.8100
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.8150
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.8000
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.7950
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.7900
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.8000
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.8000
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.8000
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.7950
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.8000
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.7950
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.7950
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.7900
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.7950
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.7900
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.7850
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.7850
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.7850
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.7850
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.7850
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.7850
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.7850
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.7850
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.7850
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.7850
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.7850
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.7850
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.7850
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.7850
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.8000
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.8000
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.7950
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.7950
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.7950
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.8000
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.8150
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.8150
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.8150
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.7250
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.7250
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.7350
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 114.48, Sell volume: 85.12, Average price: 0.3243, Price range: 0.1766 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.2650
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.2600
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.2600
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.2600
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.2600
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.2600
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2600
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.2600
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.2400
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.2700
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.2600
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.2650
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.2700
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.2650
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.2650
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.2600
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.2650
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.2600
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.2600
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.2800
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.2800
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.2700
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.2750
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.2750
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.2750
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2750
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.2750
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.2750
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.2650
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.2650
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.2650
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.2650
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.2550
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.2650
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.2650
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.2650
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 91.59, Sell volume: 42.07, Average price: 0.4593, Price range: 0.1753 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.7400
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.7450
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.7450
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.7450
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.7450
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.7450
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.7450
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.7350
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.7400
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.7300
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.7250
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.7250
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.7150
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.7350
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.7350
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.7650
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.7700
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.7350
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.7450
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.7400
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.7450
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.7350
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.7400
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.7350
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.7350
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.7250
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.7250
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.7250
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.7200
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.7300
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.7350
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.7200
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.7300
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.7300
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.7350
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.7350
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.7350
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.7350
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.7350
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.7350
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.6950
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.6950
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.6950
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 114.16, Sell volume: 153.18, Average price: 0.3982, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.4050
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.4050
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.3950
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.3950
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.3950
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.3950
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.3700
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.3950
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.3650
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.3950
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.3950
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.3450
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.3500
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.4000
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.3300
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.4000
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.4000
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.3900
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.3900
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.4000
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.4100
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.4050
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.3950
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.4150
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.4050
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.3950
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.3700
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.3750
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.3750
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.3700
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.3750
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.3700
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.3700
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.3650
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.3750
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.3700
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.3750
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.3750
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.3650
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.3650
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.3650
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.3650
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.3650
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.3700
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.3750
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.3700
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.3750
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.3700
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.3700
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.6400
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.6500
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.6500
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.6500
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.6500
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.6500
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.6400
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.6400
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.6400
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.6400
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.6500
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.6250
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.6250
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.6250
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.6300
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.6300
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.6250
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.6300
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.6250
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.6300
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.6300
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.6000
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.5950
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.6000
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.6000
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.6000
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.6200
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.6150
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.5900
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.5800
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.5900
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.5700
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.5900
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.5850
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.5900
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.5700
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.5800
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.5850
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.5900
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.5900
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.6500
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.6500
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.6600
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.6500
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.6400
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.6500
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.6350
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.6400
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.6500
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 254.49, Sell volume: 284.63, Average price: 0.4952, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.7300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.3600
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.3550
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.3600
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.3650
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.3500
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.3600
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.3500
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.3600
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.3550
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.3600
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.3500
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.3400
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.3450
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.3550
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.3550
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.3550
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.3550
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.3650
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.3500
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.3550
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.3500
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.3650
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.3500
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.3600
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.3650
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.3600
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.3600
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.3500
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.3450
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.3500
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.3550
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.3450
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.3550
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.3600
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.3600
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.3450
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.3550
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.3600
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.3500
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.3600
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.3400
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.3450
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.3450
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.3400
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.3450
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.4450
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.4450
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.4450
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.4450
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 139.51, Sell volume: 16.64, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.7300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.5550
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.5550
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.5550
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.5550
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.5550
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.6400
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.6550
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.6600
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.6450
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.6450
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.6500
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.6550
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.6500
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.6550
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.6500
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.6550
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.6150
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.5900
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.5900
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.5900
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.5900
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.5900
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.5900
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.5900
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.5900
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.5900
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.5900
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.5900
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.5900
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.5900
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.6000
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.6000
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.6100
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.6100
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.6100
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.6450
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.6500
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.6650
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.6650
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.6650
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.6650
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.6400
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.6350
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.6600
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.6600
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.6800
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.6750
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.6800
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.6900
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 653.36, Sell volume: 96.90, Average price: 0.5779, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.3100
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.3150
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.3150
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.3150
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.3150
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.3150
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.3200
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.3200
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.3200
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.3200
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.3200
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.3150
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.3200
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.3500
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.3750
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.3650
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.3550
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.3450
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.3700
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.3650
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.3550
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.3500
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.3450
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.3450
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.3450
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.3450
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.3450
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.3450
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.3450
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.3450
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.3450
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.3450
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.3350
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.3350
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.3350
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.3350
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.3350
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.3350
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.3350
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.3350
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.3350
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.3350
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.3350
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.3350
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.3350
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.3350
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 10.89, Sell volume: 3.84, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.6400
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.6350
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.6350
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.6350
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.6350
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.6350
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.6350
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.6200
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.6200
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.6250
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.6250
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.6250
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.6350
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.6350
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.6350
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.6350
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.6350
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.6350
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.6350
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.6550
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.6600
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.6600
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.6600
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.6900
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.6900
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.6900
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.6900
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.6900
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.6900
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.6900
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.6250
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.6350
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.6500
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.6500
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.6500
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.6200
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.6100
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.6100
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.6100
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.6100
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.6100
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.6100
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.6100
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.6100
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.6100
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.6100
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.6100
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.6100
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.6400
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 171.67, Sell volume: 22.22, Average price: 0.3787, Price range: 0.3047 - 0.4500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.3450
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.3450
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.3450
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.3450
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.3450
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.3450
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.3450
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.3450
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.3450
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.3450
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.3450
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.3450
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.3450
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.3450
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.3450
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.3450
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.3450
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.3150
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.3150
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.3150
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.3150
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.3100
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.3100
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.3100
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.3100
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.3100
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.3100
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.3100
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.3100
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.3100
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.3100
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.3100
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.3100
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.3100
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.3100
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.3100
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.3100
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.3100
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.3050
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.3050
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.3100
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.6750
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.6900
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.6650
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.6900
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.3200
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.6850
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.3100
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.3100
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 16.48, Average price: 0.6100, Price range: 0.6100 - 0.6100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.6850
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.3050
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.6900
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.6850
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.3300
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.6750
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.3150
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.6900
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.6900
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.6950
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.6850
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.6850
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.3150
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.6850
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.3150
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.3150
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.6850
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.3150
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.3150
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.6850
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.6900
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.6900
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.3100
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.6900
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.3100
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.6900
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.6900
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.6650
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.6700
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.6650
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.7200
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.7150
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.2900
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.7100
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.7100
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.7100
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.2900
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.7100
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.2900
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.2950
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.2850
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.7100
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.2900
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.3000
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.2950
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.2900
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.2950
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.3100
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.7250
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 78, Buy volume: 58059.64, Sell volume: 19541.27, Average price: 0.7795, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7075, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7075, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7075, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7075, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7075, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7075, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7075, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7075, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7075, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630950
Question: Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.5000
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.6950
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.7500
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.7500
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.7500
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.7500
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.7450
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.7500
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.7500
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.7500
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.7550
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.7550
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.7550
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.8500
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.8550
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.8950
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.8600
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.8550
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.8650
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.8650
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.8750
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.8850
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.8850
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.8750
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.8750
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.8750
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.8750
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1618.55, Sell volume: 857.03, Average price: 0.6317, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.1250
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.1250
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.1250
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.1250
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.1250
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.1250
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.1550
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.1450
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.1500
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.1600
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.1600
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.1600
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.1600
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.1600
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.1600
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.1550
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.1650
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.1600
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.1600
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.1600
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.1600
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.2100
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.2100
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 33.82, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.7900
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.7900
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.8050
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.8100
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.8050
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.8150
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.7950
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.8050
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.8000
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.7950
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.7950
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.7900
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.7950
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.7850
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.7850
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.7850
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.7850
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.7850
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.7850
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.7850
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.7850
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.7950
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.7950
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.7950
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.8150
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.8150
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.7250
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.7350
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.7300
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 114.48, Sell volume: 85.12, Average price: 0.3243, Price range: 0.1766 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.2600
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.2700
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.2600
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.2650
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.2400
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.2650
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.2700
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.2650
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.2650
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.2650
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.2800
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.2700
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.2750
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.2750
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.2750
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.2750
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.2650
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.2550
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.2550
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.2650
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.2650
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.2650
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 91.59, Sell volume: 42.07, Average price: 0.4593, Price range: 0.1753 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.7400
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.7450
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.7450
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.7450
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.7550
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.7300
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.7200
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.7300
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.7750
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.7400
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.7400
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.7450
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.7400
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.7350
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.7300
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.7200
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.7350
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.7300
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.7350
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.7350
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.7350
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.7350
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.6950
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.6950
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.6950
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 114.16, Sell volume: 153.18, Average price: 0.3982, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.4050
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.3950
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.3950
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.3950
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.3950
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.3950
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.3950
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.3750
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.3700
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.4050
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.3900
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.4050
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.3900
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.4150
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.3650
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.3750
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.3700
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.3700
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.3700
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.3750
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.3500
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.3650
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.3650
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.3700
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.3700
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.3750
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.3700
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.3750
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.6400
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.6400
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.6450
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.6500
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.6500
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.6400
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.6500
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.6300
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.6250
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.6300
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.6250
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.6350
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.5950
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.6000
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.5850
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.6150
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.5950
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.5700
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.5900
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.5850
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.5800
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.5950
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.6500
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.6500
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.6400
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.6500
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.6350
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.6450
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.6550
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 254.49, Sell volume: 284.63, Average price: 0.4952, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.3600
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.3500
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.3600
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.3450
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.3550
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.3600
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.3450
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.3450
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.3550
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.3500
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.3500
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.3550
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.3650
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.3650
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.3550
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.3500
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.3500
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.3600
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.3650
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.3500
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.3550
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.3600
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.3550
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.3450
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.3450
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.4450
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.4450
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.4450
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.4450
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 139.51, Sell volume: 16.64, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.5550
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.5550
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.5550
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.6400
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.6450
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.6450
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.6600
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.6550
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.6550
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.6150
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.5900
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.5900
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.5900
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.5900
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.5900
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.5900
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.5950
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.6000
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.6100
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.6100
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.6500
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.6650
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.6650
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.6300
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.6500
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.6800
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.6900
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.7150
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.7050
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 653.36, Sell volume: 96.90, Average price: 0.5779, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.3100
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.3150
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.3150
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.3200
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.3200
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.3150
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.3600
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.3700
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.3450
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.3550
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.3750
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.3450
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.3450
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.3450
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.3450
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.3450
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.3350
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.3350
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.3350
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.3350
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.3350
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.3350
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.3350
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.3350
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.3350
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.3350
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 10.89, Sell volume: 3.84, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.6400
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.6350
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.6350
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.6350
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.6200
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.6250
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.6250
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.6350
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.6350
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.6350
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.6350
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.6600
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.6600
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.6900
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.6900
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.6900
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.6900
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.6150
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.6500
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.6500
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.6100
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.6100
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.6100
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.6100
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.6100
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.6100
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.6100
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.6600
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.6600
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 171.67, Sell volume: 22.22, Average price: 0.3787, Price range: 0.3047 - 0.4500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.3450
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.3450
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.3450
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.3450
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.3450
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.3450
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.3450
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.3450
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.3450
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.3450
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.3150
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.3150
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.3100
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.3100
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.3100
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.3100
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.3100
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.3100
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.3100
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.3100
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.3100
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.3100
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.3050
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.3250
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.3100
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.3200
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.3100
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.6950
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.6900
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 16.48, Average price: 0.6100, Price range: 0.6100 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531365
Question: Wyoming launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Volume: 89636.956969
Price History:
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.6850
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.3100
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.3200
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.6900
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.6950
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.6950
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.6850
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.3100
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.6850
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.6850
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.3150
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.6900
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.3100
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.3100
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.3100
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.6650
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.6700
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.7150
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.2900
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.7150
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.2900
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.7050
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.7100
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.2900
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.2900
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.2900
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.6900
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.1900
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.8250
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 78, Buy volume: 58059.64, Sell volume: 19541.27, Average price: 0.7795, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630951
Question: Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3179.604762
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.3500
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.6500
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.3500
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.3500
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 872.61, Sell volume: 220.00, Average price: 0.7940, Price range: 0.0779 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630951
Question: Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3179.604762
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 42.17, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630951
Question: Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3179.604762
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1906.43, Sell volume: 1273.17, Average price: 0.8556, Price range: 0.0779 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630951
Question: Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3179.604762
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1906.43, Sell volume: 1273.17, Average price: 0.8556, Price range: 0.0779 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630951
Question: Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3179.604762
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630951
Question: Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3179.604762
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1906.43, Sell volume: 1273.17, Average price: 0.8556, Price range: 0.0779 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630951
Question: Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3179.604762
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.74, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630951
Question: Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3179.604762
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1906.43, Sell volume: 1273.17, Average price: 0.8556, Price range: 0.0779 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630951
Question: Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3179.604762
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1011.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630951
Question: Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3179.604762
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1906.43, Sell volume: 1273.17, Average price: 0.8556, Price range: 0.0779 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630951
Question: Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3179.604762
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1906.43, Sell volume: 1273.17, Average price: 0.8556, Price range: 0.0779 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630951
Question: Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3179.604762
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1011.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630951
Question: Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3179.604762
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1906.43, Sell volume: 1273.17, Average price: 0.8556, Price range: 0.0779 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630951
Question: Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3179.604762
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.6500
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.3500
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 872.61, Sell volume: 220.00, Average price: 0.7940, Price range: 0.0779 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630951
Question: Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3179.604762
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 42.17, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes