Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0185
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9815
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0170
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9830
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9860
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0140
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9920
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0050
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9950
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9950
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0050
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 887.68, Sell volume: 525.27, Average price: 0.6859, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.4250
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.4750
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.4950
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.6350
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.3800
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.6350
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.3300
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.6750
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.3250
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.7050
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.2950
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.8950
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.1450
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.8500
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.1550
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.8450
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.1500
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.9150
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.0850
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.9150
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0800
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.9200
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.8950
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.2050
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.8000
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.1900
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.7900
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.2150
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.7850
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.2150
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.7950
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.1900
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.8050
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.1750
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.8400
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.1450
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.8750
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.1400
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.8700
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.1350
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 109928674.21, Sell volume: 50661263.37, Average price: 0.3264, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.8600
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.1400
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.8650
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.1350
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.8600
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.1400
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.8600
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.1400
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.8600
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.1400
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.8600
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.1350
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.8650
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.1350
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.8650
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.1350
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.8700
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.1300
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.8700
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.1300
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.8700
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.1300
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.8700
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.8850
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.1150
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.8850
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.1150
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.8850
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.1150
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.8750
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.1250
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.8750
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.1250
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.8800
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.1250
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.8750
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.1200
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.8800
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.1200
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.8800
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.1250
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.8750
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.1350
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.7850
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.7050
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.1900
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 109928674.21, Sell volume: 50661263.37, Average price: 0.3264, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.1850
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.8150
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.2650
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.7550
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.1950
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.7950
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.2450
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.7450
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.2100
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.7900
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.2100
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.7900
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.2100
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.7900
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.1500
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.8500
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.1550
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.8450
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.1550
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.8400
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.1600
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.8400
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.1600
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.8400
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.1550
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.8500
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.1550
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.8400
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.1650
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.8350
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.1650
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.8350
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.1650
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.8350
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.1650
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.8350
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.1650
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.8350
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.1650
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.8500
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.7950
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.1650
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.7950
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.1650
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.8350
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.1700
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.8300
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.1600
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 221778, Buy volume: 21090360.24, Sell volume: 11251916.82, Average price: 0.3476, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.1400
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.8600
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.1400
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.8600
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.1400
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.8600
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.1350
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.8650
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.1350
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.8700
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.1300
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.8700
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.1300
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.8650
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.1350
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.8650
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.1300
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.8700
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.1250
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.8750
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.1250
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.8650
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.1350
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.8650
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.1350
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.8750
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.1250
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.8800
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.1200
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.8750
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.9000
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0950
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0950
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.9000
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.0950
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9000
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.1000
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.8950
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0900
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9100
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.9050
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.1100
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 301698, Buy volume: 44074564.96, Sell volume: 10945683.36, Average price: 0.2930, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.1550
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.8350
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.2200
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.8000
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.2100
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.7900
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.1650
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.8950
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.1050
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.8800
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.8700
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.1350
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.8650
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.1400
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.8600
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.1550
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.8650
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.1300
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.8700
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.1300
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.8850
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.1150
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.8850
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.1150
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.8600
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.1400
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.8350
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.1800
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.8250
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.1500
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.8350
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.1600
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.8550
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.1650
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.8500
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.1500
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.8650
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.1300
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.8650
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.1350
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.8650
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.1300
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.8650
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.1200
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.8800
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.1250
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 357642, Buy volume: 35803488.51, Sell volume: 21104893.98, Average price: 0.3181, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.1200
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.8800
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.1200
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.8800
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.1200
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.8850
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.1000
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.9000
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.1000
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.9000
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.1000
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.9000
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.1000
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9000
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0950
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.9050
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.1000
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.9000
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0950
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.9150
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.0850
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.9150
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0850
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.9150
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0850
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.9350
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0700
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9300
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0700
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.9300
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0750
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.9200
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0800
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9200
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0800
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9100
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.9250
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0750
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.9150
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.9200
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0850
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.9150
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0900
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.9100
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0900
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.9100
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0900
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115902, Buy volume: 7893380.01, Sell volume: 7104537.41, Average price: 0.4012, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0800
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.9200
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0800
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9100
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0900
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9100
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0900
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9100
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0900
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.9100
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0900
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9100
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0850
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9150
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0750
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9150
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0900
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.9100
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.0900
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.9100
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.0850
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.9200
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0800
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.9100
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0900
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.9200
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0800
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.9200
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0900
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.9100
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.0800
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.9200
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.0800
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.9250
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.0750
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9250
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0750
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.9200
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0800
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.9200
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0800
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.9250
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0750
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.9250
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.0750
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.9250
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0750
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.9250
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0700
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 1774.43, Sell volume: 3234.80, Average price: 0.2783, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0750
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.9300
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0650
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.9350
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0650
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9350
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0650
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.9350
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0650
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.9350
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0650
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.9350
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0650
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.9350
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0650
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.9350
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0650
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.9400
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0600
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9350
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0650
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.9350
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0650
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.9350
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0650
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.9350
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0650
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9400
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.0515
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.9775
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0240
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.9755
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.0245
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.9655
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.0350
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.9660
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.0380
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.9595
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0410
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.9585
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0410
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9610
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0450
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.9620
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0430
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.9500
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.0415
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.9610
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 9779.74, Sell volume: 6851.95, Average price: 0.2618, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0530
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9475
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0520
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.9475
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0540
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.9460
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0540
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.9665
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0470
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.9590
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0405
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.9585
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.9525
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0485
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9540
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0505
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9485
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0525
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9600
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0455
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.9590
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0345
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9665
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0345
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.9650
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0455
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.9575
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0465
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.9465
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0520
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.9500
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0495
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.9525
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0495
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.9505
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.0425
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.9590
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.0470
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.9505
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.0495
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.9505
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0495
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.9505
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0495
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.9505
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.0565
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.9460
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.0510
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101, Buy volume: 9506.53, Sell volume: 3856.93, Average price: 0.3785, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9643

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.0465
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.9540
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.0460
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.9440
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.0520
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.9400
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.0590
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.9410
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.0655
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.9405
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.0595
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.9440
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.0525
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.9515
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0455
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.9550
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0445
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.9535
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.0435
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.9505
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.0455
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.9470
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.0535
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.9455
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0535
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.9555
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.0450
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.9550
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0450
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.9585
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.0420
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.9570
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.0430
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.9575
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.0430
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.9585
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.0415
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.9585
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.0415
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.9595
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.0405
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.9595
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0415
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.9575
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0425
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.9575
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.0425
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.9575
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.9575
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.9575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 8212.72, Sell volume: 5364.02, Average price: 0.5065, Price range: 0.0324 - 0.9610

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.0415
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.0425
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.9605
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.9605
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.0400
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.9600
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.9610
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.9670
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.0345
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.0345
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.9645
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.9645
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0365
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0350
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.0360
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.0360
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9640
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0360
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.9640
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.9660
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.0360
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0355
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0350
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.9640
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.0370
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.0375
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.0365
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0350
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.9635
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.9640
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9640
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.0360
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.0350
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.9650
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.9650
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.9650
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0350
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0335
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.0335
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.0340
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.0340
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.9645
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.9670
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.0350
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.0355
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.9635
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.9635
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0365
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.9640
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 9838.16, Sell volume: 2684.11, Average price: 0.2112, Price range: 0.0312 - 0.9676

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.9650
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.0350
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.9670
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.0350
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.9670
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.9675
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.9680
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.9685
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.0315
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.9685
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.9705
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.0310
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.9710
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.0290
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.9720
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.9720
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0270
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.9730
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.0270
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.9735
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9730
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0270
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.0275
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.9725
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.0270
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.9730
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9730
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.9730
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.9730
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0270
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9735
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0270
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9730
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.9730
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9730
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0270
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0260
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9730
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0280
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9735
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0255
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9755
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0180
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0200
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0160
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9860
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 19227.02, Sell volume: 5935.94, Average price: 0.4251, Price range: 0.0116 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0170
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0115
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0125
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0090
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0090
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9885
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0140
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9880
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0115
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0105
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9905
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9920
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9900
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0110
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9885
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0105
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0105
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0115
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9920
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9930
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0070
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9895
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9940
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0060
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9940
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9945
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0060
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0045
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9905
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9955
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0120
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0045
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 416, Buy volume: 770302.47, Sell volume: 226303.94, Average price: 0.4744, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.4250
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.4950
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.3750
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.6250
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.3250
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.6950
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0550
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.8550
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.1550
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.8500
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0850
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.9150
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9200
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0800
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.1050
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.7950
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.2100
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.7850
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.2150
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.8000
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.1750
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.8400
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.1250
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.8550
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.1300
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 109928674.21, Sell volume: 50661263.37, Average price: 0.3264, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.8600
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.1350
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.8600
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.1400
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.8600
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.1400
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.8650
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.1350
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.8650
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.1300
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.8700
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.1300
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.8700
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.1150
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.8850
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.1150
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.8850
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.1250
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.8750
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.1200
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.8750
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.1200
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.8800
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.1150
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2150
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.8050
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.1850
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 109928674.21, Sell volume: 50661263.37, Average price: 0.3264, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.1850
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.8150
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2150
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.7950
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.2550
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.7900
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.2100
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.7900
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.1500
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.8450
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.1550
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.8400
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.1600
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.8400
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.1550
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.8450
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.1650
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.8350
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.1650
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.8350
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.1650
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.8350
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.1650
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.8500
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.1650
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.8150
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.1650
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.8300
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.1600
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 221778, Buy volume: 21090360.24, Sell volume: 11251916.82, Average price: 0.3476, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.1400
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.8600
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.1400
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.8600
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.1350
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.8650
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.1300
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.8700
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.1350
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.8700
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.1250
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.8750
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.1350
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.8650
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.1350
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.8750
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.1200
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.9000
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0850
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.8850
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.0950
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.9000
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0900
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0900
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9050
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.1100
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 301698, Buy volume: 44074564.96, Sell volume: 10945683.36, Average price: 0.2930, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.1550
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.7750
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.2100
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.8350
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.1050
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.8750
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.1350
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.8600
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.1400
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.8650
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.1300
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.8700
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.1150
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.8850
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.1400
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.8100
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.1800
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.8350
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.1450
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.8350
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.1500
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.8700
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.1350
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.8700
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.1350
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.8800
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.1250
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 357642, Buy volume: 35803488.51, Sell volume: 21104893.98, Average price: 0.3181, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.1200
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.8800
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.1200
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.9000
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.1000
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.9000
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.1000
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9000
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0950
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.9000
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.0950
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.9150
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0850
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.9150
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0850
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9300
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.0700
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9350
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0800
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9200
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0800
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.9250
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0750
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.9200
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0900
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.9150
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0900
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.9100
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0900
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115902, Buy volume: 7893380.01, Sell volume: 7104537.41, Average price: 0.4012, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0800
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.9200
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0900
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9100
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0900
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9100
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0900
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9150
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0750
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9150
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0900
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.9100
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0800
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.9200
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0900
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.9200
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0900
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.9150
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.0800
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.9200
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0750
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.9250
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0800
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.9200
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0750
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.9250
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0750
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.9250
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0700
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 1774.43, Sell volume: 3234.80, Average price: 0.2783, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0750
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.9300
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0650
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9350
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0650
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.9350
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0650
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.9350
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.0650
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.9350
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0600
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9350
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.0650
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.9350
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0650
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.9350
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0370
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.9775
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0240
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.9655
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.0290
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.9630
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0410
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9585
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0435
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.9630
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0500
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.9650
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0345
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.9535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 9779.74, Sell volume: 6851.95, Average price: 0.2618, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0530
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.9480
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.0540
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9460
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0335
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.9620
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0410
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.9550
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0485
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.9495
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0525
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9600
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0415
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9665
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0335
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9550
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0460
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.9480
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0500
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.9575
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0495
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9555
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.0470
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.9505
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.0495
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.9505
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.0495
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.9450
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.0485
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.9465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101, Buy volume: 9506.53, Sell volume: 3856.93, Average price: 0.3785, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9643
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.0465
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.9560
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.0530
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.9395
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.0590
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.9230
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0595
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.9475
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.0450
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.9560
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.0440
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.9505
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.0515
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.9435
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0535
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.9550
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.0450
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.9575
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.0430
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.9570
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.0430
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.9585
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.0415
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.9600
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.0415
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.9575
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0425
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.9575
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.9575
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.0430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 8212.72, Sell volume: 5364.02, Average price: 0.5065, Price range: 0.0324 - 0.9610
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.0415
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.9570
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.0400
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0395
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.0330
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.9655
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9645
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9635
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9645
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0360
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.9650
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.9660
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9645
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.9650
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.0375
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.9625
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.9635
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0360
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9640
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0350
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.9650
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9650
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.0335
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9660
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.0350
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9645
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.0365
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.0360
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0355
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 9838.16, Sell volume: 2684.11, Average price: 0.2112, Price range: 0.0312 - 0.9676
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.9650
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.9670
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.9650
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.9680
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.0315
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.9685
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.9700
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.0290
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.0285
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.9720
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0270
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.9735
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.0270
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.9725
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.0270
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9730
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.0270
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.9730
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.0275
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.0270
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9730
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0260
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0280
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0255
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0245
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0195
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9875
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 19227.02, Sell volume: 5935.94, Average price: 0.4251, Price range: 0.0116 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0170
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0120
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0090
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0125
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0105
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0065
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0100
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9900
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9915
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9920
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9925
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0070
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9940
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0060
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9945
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9955
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9910
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9945
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 416, Buy volume: 770302.47, Sell volume: 226303.94, Average price: 0.4744, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9695
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0305
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0305
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9695
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0125
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9887, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0125
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0125
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0125
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.90, Sell volume: 65.00, Average price: 0.8265, Price range: 0.0088 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 520.41, Sell volume: 104.76, Average price: 0.6664, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0260
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9740
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0260
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9740
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0265
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9735
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0265
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9735
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0265
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9735
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0175
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9825
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0180
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1454.79, Sell volume: 88.91, Average price: 0.6295, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0175
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9825
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0195
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9805
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0190
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9810
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0150
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9850
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0165
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9835
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0180
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9820
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9805
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0195
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 567, Buy volume: 29386.64, Sell volume: 19955.75, Average price: 0.5499, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9840
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0145
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9855
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0180
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9820
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9850
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0150
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9850
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0150
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9825
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0175
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9830
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 293.29, Sell volume: 17.79, Average price: 0.5003, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9830
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9830
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0160
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9840
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0165
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9835
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0230
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9770
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0260
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9740
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.2000
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.8000
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.2245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1910.10, Sell volume: 328.72, Average price: 0.5286, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.7755
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.2235
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.7765
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.2255
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.7745
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.2240
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.7760
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.2240
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.7760
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.2115
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.7885
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.1045
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.8955
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 324.55, Sell volume: 321.82, Average price: 0.5323, Price range: 0.0590 - 0.9410

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.2350
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.7650
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.1275
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.8725
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.8725
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.1275
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.8940
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.1060
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.8605
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.1395
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.8605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1087.15, Sell volume: 382.22, Average price: 0.5263, Price range: 0.1120 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.1395
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.3755
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.6245
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.7285
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.2715
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.6805
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.3195
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.3340
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.6660
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.6225
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.3775
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.2840
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.7160
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.3280
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.6720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 7110.17, Sell volume: 3682.21, Average price: 0.5016, Price range: 0.1370 - 0.8570

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.6780
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.3220
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.8390
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.1610
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.2530
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.7470
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.1775
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.8225
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.8395
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.1605
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.1550
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.8450
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.1545
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.8455
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.8455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1993.84, Sell volume: 1508.19, Average price: 0.3674, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.1545
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.1360
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.8640
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9145
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0855
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.8595
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.1405
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.2660
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.7340
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.7910
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.2090
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.8280
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.1720
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.1370
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.8630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 761.03, Sell volume: 526.53, Average price: 0.5666, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9630

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.1375
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.8625
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9080
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0920
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.1495
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.8505
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0820
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9180
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.3895
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.6105
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.2480
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.7520
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.7820
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.2180
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.2260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 4162.68, Sell volume: 1631.39, Average price: 0.5331, Price range: 0.0625 - 0.9380

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9695
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0305
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0305
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9695
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0125
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9887, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0125
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0125
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0125
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.90, Sell volume: 65.00, Average price: 0.8265, Price range: 0.0088 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 520.41, Sell volume: 104.76, Average price: 0.6664, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0260
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9740
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0260
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9740
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0265
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9735
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0265
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9735
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0265
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9735
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0175
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9825
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0180
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1454.79, Sell volume: 88.91, Average price: 0.6295, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0175
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9825
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0195
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9805
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0190
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9810
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0150
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9850
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0165
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9835
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0180
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9820
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9805
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0195
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 567, Buy volume: 29386.64, Sell volume: 19955.75, Average price: 0.5499, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9840
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0145
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9855
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0180
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9820
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9850
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0150
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9850
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0150
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9825
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0175
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9830
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 293.29, Sell volume: 17.79, Average price: 0.5003, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9830
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9830
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0160
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9840
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0165
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9835
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0230
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9770
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0260
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9740
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.2000
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.8000
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.2245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1910.10, Sell volume: 328.72, Average price: 0.5286, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.7755
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.2235
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.7765
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.2255
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.7745
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.2240
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.7760
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.2240
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.7760
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.2115
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.7885
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.1045
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.8955
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 324.55, Sell volume: 321.82, Average price: 0.5323, Price range: 0.0590 - 0.9410
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.2350
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.7650
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.1275
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.8725
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.8725
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.1275
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.8940
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.1060
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.8605
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.1395
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.8605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1087.15, Sell volume: 382.22, Average price: 0.5263, Price range: 0.1120 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.1395
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.3755
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.6245
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.7285
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.2715
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.6805
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.3195
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.3340
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.6660
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.6225
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.3775
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.2840
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.7160
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.3280
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.6720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 7110.17, Sell volume: 3682.21, Average price: 0.5016, Price range: 0.1370 - 0.8570
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.6780
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.3220
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.8390
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.1610
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.2530
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.7470
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.1775
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.8225
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.8395
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.1605
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.1550
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.8450
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.1545
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.8455
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.8455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1993.84, Sell volume: 1508.19, Average price: 0.3674, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.1545
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.1360
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.8640
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9145
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0855
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.8595
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.1405
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.2660
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.7340
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.7910
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.2090
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.8280
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.1720
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.1370
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.8630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 761.03, Sell volume: 526.53, Average price: 0.5666, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9630
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.1375
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.8625
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9080
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0920
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.1495
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.8505
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0820
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9180
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.3895
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.6105
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.2480
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.7520
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.7820
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.2180
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.2260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 4162.68, Sell volume: 1631.39, Average price: 0.5331, Price range: 0.0625 - 0.9380
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.3800
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.6200
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 251.27, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.7334, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 43.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 512.37, Sell volume: 52.04, Average price: 0.6329, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9660
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0340
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9690
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0310
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9440
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0560
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9365
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0635
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9335
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0665
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9415
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0585
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9310
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1407.63, Sell volume: 272.71, Average price: 0.5114, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9315
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0685
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9235
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0765
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9205
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0795
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9190
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0810
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9285
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0715
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9295
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0705
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9280
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0720
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1.06, Sell volume: 378.24, Average price: 0.3602, Price range: 0.0680 - 0.9440

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0685
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.8905
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.1095
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.8605
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.1395
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.1810
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.8190
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.1235
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.8765
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.1995
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.8005
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.1410
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.8590
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.2200
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 2077.81, Sell volume: 867.68, Average price: 0.3094, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9390

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.2190
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.7810
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.7990
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.2010
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.1990
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.8010
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.7960
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.2040
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.1075
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.8925
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.8945
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.1055
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.1045
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.8955
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.1125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1150.74, Sell volume: 86.47, Average price: 0.4771, Price range: 0.0620 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.8875
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.8865
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.1135
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.1155
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.8845
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.1150
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.8850
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.8870
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.1130
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.8850
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.1150
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.8895
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.1105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 321.99, Sell volume: 107.30, Average price: 0.5574, Price range: 0.0810 - 0.9107

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.1015
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.8985
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0715
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9285
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9280
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0720
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9370
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0630
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9380
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0620
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.8740
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.1260
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.8930
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.1070
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.8865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1231.16, Sell volume: 112.54, Average price: 0.5957, Price range: 0.0510 - 0.9490

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.1135
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9165
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0835
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9145
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0855
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0905
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9095
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0835
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9165
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9280
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0720
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9510
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0490
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9455
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 999.82, Sell volume: 363.35, Average price: 0.6375, Price range: 0.0683 - 0.9620

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9445
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0555
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9105
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0895
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9125
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0875
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9085
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0915
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9110
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0890
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0870
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9130
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9165
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0835
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 176.95, Sell volume: 295.65, Average price: 0.3500, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9750

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9190
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0810
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9190
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0810
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9190
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9100
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0900
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9130
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0870
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0835
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9165
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0695
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9305
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0475
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9525
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 823.16, Sell volume: 167.72, Average price: 0.6835, Price range: 0.0470 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0615
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9385
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0425
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9575
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.3690
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.6310
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.2155
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.7845
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9755
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0245
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9735
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0265
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0340
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9660
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 15274.09, Sell volume: 2674.52, Average price: 0.5616, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.3800
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.6200
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 251.27, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.7334, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 43.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 512.37, Sell volume: 52.04, Average price: 0.6329, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9660
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0340
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9690
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0310
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9440
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0560
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9365
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0635
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9335
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0665
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9415
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0585
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9310
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1407.63, Sell volume: 272.71, Average price: 0.5114, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9315
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0685
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9235
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0765
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9205
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0795
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9190
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0810
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9285
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0715
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9295
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0705
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9280
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0720
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1.06, Sell volume: 378.24, Average price: 0.3602, Price range: 0.0680 - 0.9440
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0685
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.8905
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.1095
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.8605
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.1395
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.1810
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.8190
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.1235
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.8765
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.1995
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.8005
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.1410
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.8590
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.2200
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 2077.81, Sell volume: 867.68, Average price: 0.3094, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9390
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.2190
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.7810
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.7990
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.2010
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.1990
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.8010
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.7960
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.2040
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.1075
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.8925
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.8945
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.1055
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.1045
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.8955
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.1125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1150.74, Sell volume: 86.47, Average price: 0.4771, Price range: 0.0620 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.8875
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.8865
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.1135
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.1155
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.8845
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.1150
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.8850
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.8870
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.1130
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.8850
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.1150
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.8895
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.1105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 321.99, Sell volume: 107.30, Average price: 0.5574, Price range: 0.0810 - 0.9107
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.1015
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.8985
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0715
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9285
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9280
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0720
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9370
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0630
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9380
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0620
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.8740
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.1260
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.8930
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.1070
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.8865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1231.16, Sell volume: 112.54, Average price: 0.5957, Price range: 0.0510 - 0.9490
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.1135
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9165
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0835
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9145
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0855
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0905
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9095
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0835
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9165
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9280
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0720
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9510
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0490
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9455
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 999.82, Sell volume: 363.35, Average price: 0.6375, Price range: 0.0683 - 0.9620
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9445
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0555
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9105
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0895
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9125
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0875
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9085
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0915
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9110
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0890
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0870
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9130
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9165
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0835
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 176.95, Sell volume: 295.65, Average price: 0.3500, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9190
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0810
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9190
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0810
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9190
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9100
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0900
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9130
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0870
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0835
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9165
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0695
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9305
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0475
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9525
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 823.16, Sell volume: 167.72, Average price: 0.6835, Price range: 0.0470 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623560
Question: Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 52840.837104
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0615
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9385
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0425
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9575
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.3690
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.6310
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.2155
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.7845
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9755
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0245
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9735
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0265
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0340
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9660
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 15274.09, Sell volume: 2674.52, Average price: 0.5616, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.1050
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 44.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9780, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.8900
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.1100
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.8850
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.1150
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.8850
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.1150
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9100
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0900
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9100
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 356.18, Sell volume: 37.60, Average price: 0.7542, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0900
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9100
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0900
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9100
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0900
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9100
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0900
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9100
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 1124.30, Sell volume: 176.08, Average price: 0.6071, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9845
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0155
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9855
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0145
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0175
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9825
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0175
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9830
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0180
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9820
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0190
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9810
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0185
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9815
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0175
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9825
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9865
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0135
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 155.71, Sell volume: 17.79, Average price: 0.4307, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9890
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 90.06, Sell volume: 384.17, Average price: 0.7727, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0200
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9800
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0200
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9800
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0200
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9800
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0235
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9765
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0235
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9765
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0230
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9770
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1794.78, Sell volume: 245.99, Average price: 0.2420, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9765
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0235
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9765
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9830
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0150
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9850
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0150
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9850
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0150
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9850
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0155
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9845
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0150
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 149.05, Sell volume: 82.65, Average price: 0.7415, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0235
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9765
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9760
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0240
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9785
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0215
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9770
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0230
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9795
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0205
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9810
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0190
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9415
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0585
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 878.15, Sell volume: 43.49, Average price: 0.7604, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0425
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0405
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9595
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9710
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0290
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9185
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0815
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9285
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0715
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9330
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0670
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9580
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0420
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9785
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 127.24, Sell volume: 56.07, Average price: 0.6559, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9775
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0225
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9385
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0615
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0610
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9390
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9595
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0405
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9765
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0235
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0225
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9775
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9745
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0255
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 385.41, Sell volume: 35.96, Average price: 0.5969, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9875

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0315
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9680
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0320
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0260
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9740
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0145
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9855
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9865
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0135
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0135
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9865
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9870
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0130
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9910
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 619.32, Sell volume: 443.62, Average price: 0.7234, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9925
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0075
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9825
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0175
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0180
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9820
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0145
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9855
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0610
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9390
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0675
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.9325
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9005
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0995
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 8558.74, Sell volume: 11751.67, Average price: 0.6885, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.1050
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 44.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9780, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.8900
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.1100
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.8850
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.1150
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.8850
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.1150
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9100
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0900
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9100
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 356.18, Sell volume: 37.60, Average price: 0.7542, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0900
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9100
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0900
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9100
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0900
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9100
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0900
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9100
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 1124.30, Sell volume: 176.08, Average price: 0.6071, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9845
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0155
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9855
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0145
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0175
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9825
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0175
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9830
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0180
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9820
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0190
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9810
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0185
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9815
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0175
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9825
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9865
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0135
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 155.71, Sell volume: 17.79, Average price: 0.4307, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9890
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 90.06, Sell volume: 384.17, Average price: 0.7727, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0200
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9800
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0200
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9800
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0200
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9800
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0235
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9765
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0235
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9765
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0230
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9770
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1794.78, Sell volume: 245.99, Average price: 0.2420, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9765
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0235
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9765
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9830
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0150
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9850
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0150
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9850
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0150
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9850
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0155
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9845
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0150
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 149.05, Sell volume: 82.65, Average price: 0.7415, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0235
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9765
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9760
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0240
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9785
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0215
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9770
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0230
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9795
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0205
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9810
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0190
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9415
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0585
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 878.15, Sell volume: 43.49, Average price: 0.7604, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0425
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0405
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9595
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9710
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0290
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9185
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0815
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9285
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0715
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9330
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0670
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9580
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0420
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9785
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 127.24, Sell volume: 56.07, Average price: 0.6559, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9775
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0225
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9385
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0615
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0610
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9390
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9595
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0405
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9765
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0235
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0225
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9775
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9745
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0255
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 385.41, Sell volume: 35.96, Average price: 0.5969, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9875
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0315
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9680
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0320
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0260
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9740
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0145
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9855
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9865
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0135
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0135
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9865
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9870
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0130
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9910
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 619.32, Sell volume: 443.62, Average price: 0.7234, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623562
Question: Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27928.631178
Price History:
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9925
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0075
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9825
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0175
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0180
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9820
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0145
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9855
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0610
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9390
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0675
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.9325
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9005
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0995
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 8558.74, Sell volume: 11751.67, Average price: 0.6885, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623588
Question: Will another person be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10417.0098
Price History:
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9960
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0040
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0040
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9960
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 10313.89, Sell volume: 103.12, Average price: 0.4272, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623588
Question: Will another person be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 10417.0098
Price History:
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9960
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0040
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0040
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9960
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 10313.89, Sell volume: 103.12, Average price: 0.4272, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4450
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5550
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.7950
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.2050
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 437.57, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.9428, Price range: 0.1355 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0600
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 64.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7958, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0450
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9550
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0400
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9600
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0350
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9650
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0350
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9650
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9545
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0455
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0380
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9620
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0375
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9625
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1254.31, Sell volume: 566.64, Average price: 0.6315, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: No