Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552050
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 49773.584043
Price History:
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 455, Buy volume: 41132.65, Sell volume: 8640.93, Average price: 0.4410, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552050
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 49773.584043
Price History:
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 455, Buy volume: 41132.65, Sell volume: 8640.93, Average price: 0.4410, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552050
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 49773.584043
Price History:
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552050
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 49773.584043
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 455, Buy volume: 41132.65, Sell volume: 8640.93, Average price: 0.4410, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552050
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 49773.584043
Price History:
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 455, Buy volume: 41132.65, Sell volume: 8640.93, Average price: 0.4410, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552050
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 49773.584043
Price History:
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 455, Buy volume: 41132.65, Sell volume: 8640.93, Average price: 0.4410, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552050
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 49773.584043
Price History:
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 455, Buy volume: 41132.65, Sell volume: 8640.93, Average price: 0.4410, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.3050
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.2550
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.2550
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.2550
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.2550
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.2550
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.2550
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.2550
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.2550
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.2550
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.2550
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.2550
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.2500
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.2500
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.2450
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.2450
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.2600
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.2600
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.2550
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.2500
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.2450
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.2250
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.1800
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.1800
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.1800
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.1800
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.1800
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.1800
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.1800
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.1800
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.1800
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.1800
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.1700
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.1650
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 689.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.2522, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.1650
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.1650
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.1650
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.1650
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.1650
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.1650
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.1650
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.1650
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.1650
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.1650
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.1650
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.1700
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.1700
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.1700
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.1700
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.1700
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.1800
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.1800
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.1800
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.1800
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.1750
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.1750
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.1750
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.1750
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.1750
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.1750
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.1750
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.1750
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.1750
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.1750
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.1750
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.1750
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.1750
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.1900
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.1900
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.1900
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.1800
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.1800
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 3191.35, Sell volume: 1319.37, Average price: 0.2913, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.1650
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.1650
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.1650
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.1700
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.1650
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.1650
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.1700
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.1700
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.1700
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.1700
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.1700
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.1700
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.1750
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.1750
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.1700
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.1700
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.1700
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.1700
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.1800
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.1700
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.1700
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.1750
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.1650
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.1650
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.1600
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.1600
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.1600
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.1600
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.1600
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.1600
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.1550
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.1550
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.1550
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.1600
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.1600
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.1600
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.1600
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.1600
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.1600
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.1600
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.1550
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.1550
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.1600
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.1550
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.1500
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.1500
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.1500
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.1600
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.1600
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 976.08, Sell volume: 1649.60, Average price: 0.2298, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.1550
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.1500
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.1500
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0750
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0750
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.1350
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.1400
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.1400
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.1350
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.1400
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.1400
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.1400
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.1400
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.1400
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.1400
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.1400
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.1400
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.1550
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.1350
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.1400
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.1350
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.1300
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.1100
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0950
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.1150
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.1100
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.1100
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.1300
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.1000
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.1500
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0950
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.1400
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.1550
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.2050
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.2050
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.1850
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.1700
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.1700
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.1350
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.1100
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.1150
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.1650
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.1550
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.2350
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.1850
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 365, Buy volume: 17621.58, Sell volume: 7114.16, Average price: 0.5669, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 9613.31, Sell volume: 4.10, Average price: 0.2788, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0150
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.0135
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2000.00, Sell volume: 21.99, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 21.66, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 504, Buy volume: 41491.32, Sell volume: 10368.16, Average price: 0.4857, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0110
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0105
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0025
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0065
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0110
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0075
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0125
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0090
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0030
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0085
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0025
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0030
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0105
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0025
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0115
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0070
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0100
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0050
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 109.34, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0030
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0095
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0060
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0045
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0100
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0055
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0075
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0050
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.28, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.3050
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.2550
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.2550
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.2550
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.2550
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.2550
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.2500
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.2450
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.2600
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.2550
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.2450
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.1800
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.1800
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.1800
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.1800
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.1800
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.1650
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.1650
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.1650
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.1650
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.1650
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 689.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.2522, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.1650
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.1650
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.1650
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.1650
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.1650
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.1650
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.1700
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.1700
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.1800
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.1800
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.1750
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.1750
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.1750
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.1750
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.1750
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.1750
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.1750
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.1900
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.1900
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.1800
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.1750
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.1750
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.1800
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.1850
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 3191.35, Sell volume: 1319.37, Average price: 0.2913, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.1650
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.1650
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.1650
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.1700
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.1700
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.1700
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.1750
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.1700
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.1700
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.1800
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.1700
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.1650
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.1600
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.1600
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.1600
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.1550
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.1550
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.1600
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.1600
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.1600
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.1550
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.1600
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.1500
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.1500
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.1600
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.1500
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.1500
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.1550
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.1500
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 976.08, Sell volume: 1649.60, Average price: 0.2298, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.1550
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.1500
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0750
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.1400
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.1350
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.1400
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.1400
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.1400
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.1550
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.1400
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.1300
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0950
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.1100
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.1300
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.1500
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.2050
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.1850
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.1350
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.1150
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.1550
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.1850
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.2150
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.1500
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.1550
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.1550
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 365, Buy volume: 17621.58, Sell volume: 7114.16, Average price: 0.5669, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 9613.31, Sell volume: 4.10, Average price: 0.2788, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0150
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2000.00, Sell volume: 21.99, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 21.66, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 504, Buy volume: 41491.32, Sell volume: 10368.16, Average price: 0.4857, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0110
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0110
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0090
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0030
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0030
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0105
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0115
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0070
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0050
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0080
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 109.34, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552051
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 51859.478906
Price History:
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0030
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0095
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0045
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0100
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0050
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0065
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0075
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0070
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.28, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.3100
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.2750
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.2750
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.2750
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.2750
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.2750
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.2750
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.1450
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.1450
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.1550
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.1550
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.1550
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.1550
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.1600
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.1600
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.1600
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.1600
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.1600
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.1600
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.1600
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.1600
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.1550
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.1500
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.1500
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.1500
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.1500
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.1500
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.1450
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.1450
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.1600
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.1550
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.1550
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.1600
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.1400
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.1300
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.1300
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.1300
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.1300
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2675.04, Sell volume: 92.82, Average price: 0.5784, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.1300
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.1300
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.1300
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.1400
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.1300
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.1300
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.1300
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.1300
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.1300
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.1250
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.1200
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.1100
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.1100
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.1100
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.1100
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.1100
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.1050
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.1050
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0850
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0800
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0800
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0800
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0800
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0800
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0900
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.1000
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.1000
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.1000
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0700
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0900
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0900
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0900
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0700
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0800
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 7160.75, Sell volume: 1536.87, Average price: 0.6715, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0700
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0650
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0700
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0700
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0700
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0700
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0800
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0800
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0800
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0800
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0900
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0900
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.1100
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.1050
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0950
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0900
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.1000
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.1000
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.1100
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.1100
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 4052.44, Sell volume: 875.60, Average price: 0.5046, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.1250
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.1250
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.1200
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.1300
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.1250
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.1300
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.1250
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.1250
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.1250
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.1200
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.1050
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.1500
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.1300
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.1300
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.1300
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.1300
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.1600
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.1550
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.1650
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.1500
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.1500
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.2750
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.2200
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.1950
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.2150
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.2250
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.2000
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.1600
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.1500
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.1600
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.2050
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.1850
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.1600
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.2250
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.1850
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.2200
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.2150
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.2300
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.2200
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.2050
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.2200
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 365, Buy volume: 26847.24, Sell volume: 10477.90, Average price: 0.5236, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0035
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0035
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0030
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0020
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.0020
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0020
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0020
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.0010
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.0010
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0010
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0010
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0010
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0010
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0010
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.0010
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 4412.59, Sell volume: 3397.76, Average price: 0.4566, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0010
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.0010
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0010
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.0010
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0010
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.0010
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.0010
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0010
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0010
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.0010
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0010
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0010
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0010
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.0010
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.0010
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0010
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0010
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0010
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0010
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.0010
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1949.12, Sell volume: 158.73, Average price: 0.7139, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 92.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 1312.48, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.57, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 575, Buy volume: 49194.34, Sell volume: 17862.73, Average price: 0.5466, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 575, Buy volume: 49194.34, Sell volume: 17862.73, Average price: 0.5466, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 575, Buy volume: 49194.34, Sell volume: 17862.73, Average price: 0.5466, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.3100
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.2750
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.2750
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.2750
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.1450
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.1550
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.1550
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.1600
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.1600
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.1600
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.1600
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.1500
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.1500
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.1500
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.1450
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.1550
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.1600
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.1300
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.1300
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.1300
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.1300
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.1250
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.1250
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.1250
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2675.04, Sell volume: 92.82, Average price: 0.5784, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.1300
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.1300
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.1300
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.1300
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.1300
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.1200
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.1100
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.1100
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.1050
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0850
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0800
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0800
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0900
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.1000
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0900
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0900
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0800
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0800
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0800
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0750
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0750
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 7160.75, Sell volume: 1536.87, Average price: 0.6715, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0650
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0700
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0700
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0800
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0800
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0900
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.1100
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0900
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.1000
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.1100
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.1300
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.1350
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.1400
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.1400
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 4052.44, Sell volume: 875.60, Average price: 0.5046, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.1250
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.1300
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.1250
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.1250
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.1250
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.1050
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.1300
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.1300
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.1600
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.1650
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.1500
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.2750
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.1950
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.2250
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.2000
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.1500
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.2050
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.1600
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.1850
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.2150
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.2200
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.2200
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.2000
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.1950
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.1950
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.2350
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 365, Buy volume: 26847.24, Sell volume: 10477.90, Average price: 0.5236, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0035
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0030
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0020
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0020
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.0010
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0010
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0010
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.0010
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.0010
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0010
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0010
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0010
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 4412.59, Sell volume: 3397.76, Average price: 0.4566, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0010
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0010
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0010
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.0010
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0010
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0010
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0010
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.0010
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0010
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0010
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1949.12, Sell volume: 158.73, Average price: 0.7139, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 92.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 1312.48, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.57, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 575, Buy volume: 49194.34, Sell volume: 17862.73, Average price: 0.5466, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 575, Buy volume: 49194.34, Sell volume: 17862.73, Average price: 0.5466, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552052
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 67057.068189
Price History:
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 575, Buy volume: 49194.34, Sell volume: 17862.73, Average price: 0.5466, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.2450
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.1950
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.1950
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.1950
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.1950
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.1950
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.1950
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.1950
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.1700
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.1650
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.1750
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.1750
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.1750
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.1750
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.1750
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.1750
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.1750
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.1750
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.1650
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.1550
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.1600
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.1350
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.1350
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.1250
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.1250
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0850
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0850
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0850
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0800
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0800
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0650
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0650
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0650
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0650
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.0650
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0650
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0700
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0700
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1572.13, Sell volume: 544.93, Average price: 0.6773, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0800
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0700
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0700
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0600
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0600
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0600
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0600
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0550
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0550
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0550
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0550
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0550
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0500
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0500
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0500
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0550
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0550
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0550
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0550
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0400
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0400
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0400
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0400
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0400
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0400
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 6448.17, Sell volume: 768.37, Average price: 0.8552, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0500
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0500
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0550
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0700
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0700
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0800
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0700
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0700
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0900
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0750
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0750
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3215.24, Sell volume: 1200.17, Average price: 0.5600, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0900
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.1000
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.1000
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.1000
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.1000
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0950
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.1000
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0950
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0950
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0900
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0750
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0750
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0900
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.1000
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.1000
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.1000
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.1000
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.1300
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.1250
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.1250
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.1200
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.1250
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.1550
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.1550
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.1050
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.1000
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0950
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.1100
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.2800
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.2200
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.1700
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.2700
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.2400
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.1650
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.1650
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.1600
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.1600
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.1650
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.1600
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.1600
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.1750
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.1950
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.2000
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.2000
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.2000
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 438, Buy volume: 36336.68, Sell volume: 19471.53, Average price: 0.5560, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0085
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0075
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0120
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.0080
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0080
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0115
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.0095
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0090
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.0075
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0070
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0070
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.0145
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0120
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0135
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0130
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.0070
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0065
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.0060
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.0055
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.0060
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0065
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0070
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.0065
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 123, Buy volume: 10345.52, Sell volume: 16953.26, Average price: 0.5449, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.0035
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0035
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0035
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0030
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0030
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0030
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.0030
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0030
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0030
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 2603.52, Sell volume: 3449.77, Average price: 0.8598, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 721, Buy volume: 74172.51, Sell volume: 42485.61, Average price: 0.5925, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4218.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes