Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.6650
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.3350
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.6650
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.3350
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.7400
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.2600
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.7400
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.2600
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.7400
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.2600
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.7400
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.2600
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.7250
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.2750
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.7250
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.2750
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.7150
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.2850
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.7150
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.2850
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.7150
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.2850
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.7900
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.2100
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.7900
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.2100
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.7900
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rubio" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 365.758747
Price History:
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.7900
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.2100
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.7900
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.2100
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.7700
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.2300
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.7700
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.2300
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.6900
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.3100
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.6450
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.3550
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.6300
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.3700
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.7050
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.2950
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5050
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.2050
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.7950
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.1950
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.8050
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.1950
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.8050
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.1750
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.8250
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.1750
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.8250
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.1750
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.8250
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.1750
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.8250
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.1700
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.8300
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.8150
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.1800
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.8200
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.2050
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.2050
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.2050
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.2050
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.2050
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.2050
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.2050
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.2050
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.2050
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.2050
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.2050
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.2050
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.2050
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.2050
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.7950
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.2050
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.7950
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.1500
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.8500
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.0850
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.9150
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.0850
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.9150
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.0900
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.9100
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.0950
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.0950
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.9050
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.1650
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.8350
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.1650
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.1200
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.8800
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.1200
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.8800
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.1200
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.8800
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.1350
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.8650
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.1350
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.1350
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.8650
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.1800
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.8200
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.1800
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.8200
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.1800
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.8200
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.1800
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.8200
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.1350
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.8650
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.1350
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.8650
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.1350
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.8650
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.1350
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.8650
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.8650
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.1850
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.8150
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.1150
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.8850
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.1250
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.8750
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.1250
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.8750
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.1300
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.8700
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.1200
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.8800
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.1250
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.8750
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.1350
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.1350
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.8650
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.1350
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.8650
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.1350
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.8650
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.1350
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.8650
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.1350
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.8650
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.1450
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.8550
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.1450
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.8550
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.1450
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.8550
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5050
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.2050
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.7950
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.1950
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.8050
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.1950
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.8050
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.1750
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.8250
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.1750
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.8250
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.1750
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.8250
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.1750
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.8250
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.1700
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.8300
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.8150
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.1800
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.8200
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.2050
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.2050
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.2050
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.2050
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.2050
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.2050
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.2050
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.2050
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.2050
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.2050
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.2050
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.2050
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.2050
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.7950
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.2050
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.7950
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.2050
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.7950
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.2000
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.8000
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.1500
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.8500
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.0850
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.9150
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.0850
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.9150
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.0900
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.9100
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.0950
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.0950
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.9050
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.1650
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.8350
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.1650
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.1200
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.8800
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.1200
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.8800
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.1200
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.8800
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.1350
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.8650
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.1350
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.1350
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.8650
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.1800
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.8200
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.1800
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.8200
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.1800
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.8200
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.1800
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.8200
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.1350
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.8650
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.1350
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.8650
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.1350
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.8650
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.1350
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.8650
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.8650
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.1850
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.8150
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.1800
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.1150
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.8850
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.1250
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.8750
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.1250
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.8750
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.1300
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.8700
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.1200
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.8800
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.1250
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.8750
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.1350
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3157.154544
Price History:
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.1350
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.8650
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.1350
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.8650
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.1350
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.8650
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.1350
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.8650
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.1350
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.8650
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.1450
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.8550
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.1450
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.8550
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.1450
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.8550
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.5550
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.4450
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.4850
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.5150
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.4900
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.5100
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.4900
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.5100
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.4900
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.5100
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.4800
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.5200
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.4800
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.5200
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.4800
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.5200
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5150
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.4900
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.5100
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.4800
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.5200
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.4800
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.5200
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.4800
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.5200
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.4800
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.5200
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.4350
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.5650
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.4350
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.5650
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.4350
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.4300
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5700
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.4250
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.5750
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.4100
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.5900
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.4250
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.5750
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.4200
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.5800
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.4200
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.5800
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.4200
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.5800
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.4200
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.5800
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.4200
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.5800
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.5800
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.4200
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.5800
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.4200
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.5800
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.4200
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.5800
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.4300
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.5700
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.4300
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.5700
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.4300
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.5700
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.4300
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.5700
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.4300
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.5700
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.4300
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.4300
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.5700
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.4300
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.5700
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.4300
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.5700
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.4250
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.5750
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.4250
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.5750
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.4250
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.5750
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.4250
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.5750
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.4150
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.4150
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.4150
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.4150
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.4150
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.4150
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.4150
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.4100
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.5900
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.4100
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.5900
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.4100
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.5900
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.4100
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.4100
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.5900
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.4100
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.5900
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.4100
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.3050
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.6950
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.3050
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.6950
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.3100
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.6900
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.3100
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.6900
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.3100
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.6900
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.6900
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.3100
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.6900
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.3100
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.6900
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.3100
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.6900
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.2000
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.8000
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.2000
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.8000
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.2000
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.8000
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.2000
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.8000
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.1950
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.8050
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.1950
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.1950
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.8050
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.2550
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.7450
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.2550
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.7450
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.2550
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.7450
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.2550
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.7450
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.2550
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.7450
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.1950
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.8050
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.2000
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.8000
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.5550
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.4450
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.4850
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.5150
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.4900
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.5100
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.4900
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.5100
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.4900
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.5100
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.4800
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.5200
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.4800
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.5200
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.4800
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.5200
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5150
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.4900
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.5100
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.4800
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.5200
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.4800
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.5200
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.4800
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.5200
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.4800
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.5200
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.4350
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.5650
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.4350
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.5650
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.4350
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.4300
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5700
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.4250
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.5750
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.4100
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.5900
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.4250
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.5750
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.4200
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.5800
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.4200
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.5800
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.4200
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.5800
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.4200
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.5800
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.4200
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.5800
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.5800
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.4200
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.5800
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.4200
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.5800
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.4200
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.5800
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.4300
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.5700
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.4300
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.5700
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.4300
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.5700
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.4300
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.5700
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.4300
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.5700
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.4300
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.4300
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.5700
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.4300
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.5700
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.4300
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.5700
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.4250
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.5750
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.4250
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.5750
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.4250
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.5750
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.4250
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.5750
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.4150
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.4150
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.4150
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.4150
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.4150
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.4150
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.4150
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.4100
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.5900
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.4100
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.5900
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.4100
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.5900
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.4100
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.4100
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.5900
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.4100
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.5900
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.4100
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.5900
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.3050
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.6950
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.3050
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.6950
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.3100
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.6900
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.3100
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.6900
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.3100
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.6900
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.6900
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.3100
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.6900
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.3100
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.6900
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.3100
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.6900
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.2000
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.8000
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.2000
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.8000
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.2000
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.8000
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.2000
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.8000
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.1950
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.8050
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.1950
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Saudi" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 522.777775
Price History:
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.1950
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.8050
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.2550
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.7450
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.2550
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.7450
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.2550
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.7450
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.2550
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.7450
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.2550
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.7450
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.1950
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.8050
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.2000
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.8000
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.5800
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.4200
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.5550
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.4450
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.5500
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.4500
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.5450
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.4550
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.5450
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.4550
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.5300
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.4700
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.5300
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.4700
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.5550
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.4450
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5600
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.4400
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.4450
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.5400
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.5400
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.5400
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.5400
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.5400
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.5300
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.4700
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.5300
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.4700
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.5300
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.4700
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5350
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.5400
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.5400
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.5500
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.4500
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.5500
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.4500
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.5450
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.4550
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.4500
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.4550
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.4550
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.4550
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.4550
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.4550
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.4550
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.5100
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.4900
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.5150
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.4850
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.5150
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.4850
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.4950
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.5050
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.4950
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.5050
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.4950
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.5050
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.4950
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.5050
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.4950
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.5050
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.4950
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.4950
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.5050
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.4950
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.5050
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.4950
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.5050
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.4450
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.5550
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.4450
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.5550
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.4450
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.5550
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.4450
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.5400
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.4600
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.5400
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.4600
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.5400
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.4600
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.5400
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.4600
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.5400
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.4600
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.3950
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.6050
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.4150
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.5850
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.4200
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.5800
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.4200
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.4200
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.5800
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.4200
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.5800
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.4200
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.5800
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.5650
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.4350
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.5650
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.4350
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.5650
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.4350
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.6250
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.3750
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0050
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.9950
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.5800
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.4200
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.5550
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.4450
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.5500
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.4500
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.5450
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.4550
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.5450
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.4550
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.5300
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.4700
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.5300
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.4700
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.5550
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.4450
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5600
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.4400
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.4450
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.5400
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.5400
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.5400
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.5400
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.5400
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.5300
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.4700
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.5300
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.4700
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.5300
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.4700
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5350
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.5400
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.5400
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.5500
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.4500
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.5500
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.4500
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.5450
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.4550
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.4500
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.4550
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.4550
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.4550
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.4550
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.4550
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.4550
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.5100
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.4900
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.5150
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.4850
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.5150
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.4850
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.4950
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.5050
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.4950
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.5050
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.4950
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.5050
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.4950
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.5050
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.4950
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.5050
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.4950
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.4950
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.5050
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.4950
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.5050
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.4950
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.5050
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.4450
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.5550
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.4450
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.5550
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.4450
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.5550
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.4450
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.5400
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.4600
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.5400
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.4600
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.5400
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.4600
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.5400
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.4600
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.5400
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.4600
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.3950
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.6050
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.4150
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.5850
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.4200
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.5800
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.4200
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 264.0
Price History:
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.4200
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.5800
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.4200
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.5800
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.4200
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.5800
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.5650
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.4350
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.5650
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.4350
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.5650
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.4350
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.6250
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.3750
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0050
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.9950
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.6600
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.3400
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.6450
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.3550
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.6400
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.3600
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.6400
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.3600
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.6250
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.3750
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.6200
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.3800
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.6200
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.3800
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.6250
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.3750
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.3750
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.6200
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.3800
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.6050
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.3950
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.6050
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.3950
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.6050
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.3950
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.6000
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.4000
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.5200
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.4800
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.5100
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.4900
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.5100
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.4900
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.5100
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.4950
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.4950
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.4350
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.5650
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.4350
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.5650
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.4500
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.5500
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.4550
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.5450
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.4550
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.5450
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.4550
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.4550
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.4300
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.5700
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.4550
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.4550
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.4550
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.4600
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.5400
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.4600
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.4600
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.5400
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.4600
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.5400
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.4600
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.5400
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.4600
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.5400
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.4350
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.5650
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.4350
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.5650
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.4350
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.5650
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.4350
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.3850
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.6150
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.3850
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.6150
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.3850
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.6150
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.3850
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.6150
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.3850
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.6150
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.3850
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.6150
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.3850
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.6150
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.6150
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.3850
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.6150
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.3850
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.6150
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.3850
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.3800
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.6200
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.3800
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.6200
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.3900
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.6100
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.6600
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.3400
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.6450
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.3550
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.6400
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.3600
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.6400
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.3600
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.6250
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.3750
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.6200
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.3800
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.6200
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.3800
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.6250
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.3750
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.3750
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.6200
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.3800
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.6050
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.3950
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.6050
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.3950
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.6050
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.3950
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.6000
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.4000
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.5200
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.4800
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.5100
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.4900
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.5100
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.4900
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.5100
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.4950
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.4950
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.4350
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.5650
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.4350
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.5650
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.4500
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.5500
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.4400
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.4450
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.5550
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.4550
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.5450
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.4550
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.5450
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.4750
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.4550
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.4550
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.4300
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.5700
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.4550
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.4550
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.4550
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.4600
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.5400
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.4600
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.4600
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.5400
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.4600
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.5400
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.4600
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.5400
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.4600
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.5400
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.4350
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.5650
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.4350
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.5650
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.4350
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.5650
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.4350
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.3850
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.6150
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.3850
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.6150
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.3850
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.6150
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.3850
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.6150
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.3850
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.6150
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.3850
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.6150
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.3850
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.6150
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.6150
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.3850
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.6150
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.3850
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.6150
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.3850
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 2+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1114.938704
Price History:
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.3800
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.6200
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.3800
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.6200
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.3900
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.6100
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 108.818766
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.5450
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.4550
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.5050
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.8250
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.1750
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 108.818766
Price History:
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.4900
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.5100
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.4900
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.5100
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.4900
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.5100
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.4850
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.5150
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.4100
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.5900
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.3800
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.6200
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.3800
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.6200
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.3800
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 108.818766
Price History:
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.3800
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.6200
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.3850
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.6150
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.3950
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.6050
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.3600
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.6400
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.3600
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.6400
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.3600
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.6400
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.3600
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.6400
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.3450
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.6550
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.3550
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.6450
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 108.818766
Price History:
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.6450
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.3550
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.6450
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.3550
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.6450
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.3000
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.7000
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.3000
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.7000
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.3000
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.7000
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.3000
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.7000
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.3000
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.7000
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.3550
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.6450
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.3550
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 108.818766
Price History:
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.3550
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.6450
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.3550
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.6450
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.3550
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.6450
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.3550
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.6450
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.3550
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.6450
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.3550
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.6450
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.3550
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.6450
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.3550
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.6450
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.3550
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.6450
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 108.818766
Price History:
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.6450
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.3600
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.6400
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.3600
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.6400
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.3600
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.6400
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.3600
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.6400
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.3650
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.6350
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.3650
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.6350
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.3650
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.6350
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.3650
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.6350
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.3650
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 108.818766
Price History:
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.3650
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.6350
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.3650
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.6350
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.3650
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.6350
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.3650
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.6350
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.3650
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.6350
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.3650
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.6350
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.3650
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.6350
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.3550
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.6450
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.3550
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.6450
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 108.818766
Price History:
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.6450
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.3550
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.6450
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.3550
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.6450
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.3550
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.6450
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.3550
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.6450
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.3550
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.6450
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.3550
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.6450
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.3550
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.6450
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.3550
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.6450
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.3550
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 108.818766
Price History:
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.3550
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.6450
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.3550
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.6450
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.3550
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.6450
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.3550
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.6450
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.3550
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.6450
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.3550
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.6450
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.3600
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.6400
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.3600
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.6400
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.3650
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.6350
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 108.818766
Price History:
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.6350
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.3650
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.6350
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.3650
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.6350
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.3650
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.6350
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.3650
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.6350
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.3650
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.6350
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.3650
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.6350
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.3650
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.6350
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.3650
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.6350
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.3650
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 108.818766
Price History:
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.3650
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.6350
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.3650
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.6350
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.3650
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.6350
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.3650
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.6350
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.3550
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.6450
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.3550
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.6450
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.3550
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.6450
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.3550
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.6450
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.3550
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.6450
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 108.818766
Price History:
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.6450
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.3550
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.6450
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.3550
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.6450
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.3550
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.6450
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.3550
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.6450
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.3550
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.6450
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.3100
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.6900
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.3500
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.6500
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.3500
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.6500
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.3400
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 108.818766
Price History:
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.3400
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.6600
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.3400
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.6600
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.3450
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.6550
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.3450
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.6550
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.3450
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.6550
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.3450
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.6550
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.3550
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.6450
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.3450
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.6550
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 108.818766
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.5450
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.4550
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.5050
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.8250
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.1750
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 108.818766
Price History:
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.4900
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.5100
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.4900
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.5100
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.4900
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.5100
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.4850
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.5150
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.4100
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.5900
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.3800
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.6200
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.3800
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.6200
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.3800
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 108.818766
Price History:
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.3800
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.6200
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.3850
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.6150
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.3950
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.6050
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.3600
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.6400
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.3600
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.6400
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.3600
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.6400
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.3600
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.6400
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.3450
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.6550
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.3550
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.6450
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 108.818766
Price History:
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.6450
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.3550
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.6450
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.3550
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.6450
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.3000
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.7000
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.3000
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.7000
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.3000
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.7000
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.3000
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.7000
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.3000
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.7000
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.3550
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.6450
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.3550
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 108.818766
Price History:
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.3550
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.6450
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.3550
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.6450
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.3550
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.6450
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.3550
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.6450
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.3550
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.6450
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.3550
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.6450
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.3550
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.6450
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.3550
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.6450
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.3550
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.6450
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 108.818766
Price History:
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.6450
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.3600
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.6400
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.3600
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.6400
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.3600
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.6400
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.3600
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.6400
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.3650
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.6350
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.3650
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.6350
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.3650
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.6350
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.3650
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.6350
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.3650
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No