Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523154
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say ICE 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4052.848249
Price History:
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.6100
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.3900
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.6100
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.3900
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.6050
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.3950
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.6000
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.4000
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.6000
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.4000
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.3350
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.6650
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.3250
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.6750
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.4400
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.5600
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.4400
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.5600
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.4700
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.5300
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.4650
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.5350
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.4700
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523154
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say ICE 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4052.848249
Price History:
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.4750
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.5250
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.4750
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.5250
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.6350
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.3650
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.4000
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.6000
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.2800
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.7200
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.4150
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.5850
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.4200
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.5800
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.4150
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.5850
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.3550
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.6450
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.3600
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.6400
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.4300
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.5700
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.4500
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.5500
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.4750
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523154
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say ICE 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4052.848249
Price History:
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.4850
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.5150
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.4900
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.5100
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.4900
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.5100
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.4900
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.5100
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.4900
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.5100
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.4900
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.5100
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.5200
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.4800
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.4900
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.5100
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.5150
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.4850
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.5100
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.4900
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.4600
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.5400
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.4650
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.5350
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.4500
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.2350
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.7650
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.2350
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.7650
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.2350
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.7650
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.2350
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.7650
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.1150
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.8850
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.2800
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.7200
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.2500
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.7500
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.2600
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.7400
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.1650
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.8350
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.1650
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.8350
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.1700
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.8300
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.1700
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.8300
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.1700
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.1700
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.8300
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.1700
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.8300
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.1700
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.8300
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.1700
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.8300
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.1700
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.8300
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.1700
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.8300
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.1700
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.8300
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1700
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8300
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.1700
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.8300
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.1700
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.8300
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.8250
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.8250
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.8250
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.8250
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.8250
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.8250
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.8250
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.8250
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.8250
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.8250
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.1750
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.8250
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.1750
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.8250
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.1750
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.8250
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.1750
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.8250
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.2900
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.7750
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.3050
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.6950
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.2500
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.7500
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.2500
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.7500
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.2400
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.7600
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.2700
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.7300
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.2300
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.7700
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.2400
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.7600
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.2400
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.7600
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.2500
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.7500
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.2500
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.7500
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.2600
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.7400
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.2600
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.7400
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.2800
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.7200
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.2800
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.2800
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.7200
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.2800
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.7200
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.2400
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.7600
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.7550
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.2450
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.7550
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.2450
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.7550
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.2450
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.7550
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.2450
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.7550
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.2450
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.7550
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.2450
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.7550
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.2450
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.7550
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.2450
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.7550
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.2450
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.2450
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.7550
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.2450
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.7550
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.3000
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.7000
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.3000
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.7000
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.2850
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.7150
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.3050
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.6950
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.2850
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.7150
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.3000
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.7000
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.3000
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.7000
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.3150
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.6850
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.3200
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.6800
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.3100
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.6900
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.3100
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.3100
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.6900
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.3250
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.6750
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.3800
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.6200
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.3400
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.6600
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.2850
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.7150
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.2900
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.7100
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.2950
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.7050
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.3000
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.7000
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.2850
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.7150
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.3150
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.6850
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.2950
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.7050
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.2950
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.2950
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.7050
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.2900
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.7100
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.2900
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.7100
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.2900
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.7100
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.2800
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.7200
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.2550
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.7450
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.2550
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.7450
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.3400
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.6600
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.3250
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.6750
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.2900
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.7100
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.2900
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.7100
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.2900
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.7100
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.2800
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.2800
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.7200
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.2800
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.7200
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.2850
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.7150
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.2850
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.7150
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.2850
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.7150
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.2850
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.7150
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.2850
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.7150
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.2850
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.7150
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.2850
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.7150
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.2600
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.7400
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.2600
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.7400
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.2700
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.7300
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.2850
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.2350
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.7650
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.2350
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.7650
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.2350
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.7650
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.2350
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.7650
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.1150
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.8850
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.2800
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.7200
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.2500
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.7500
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.2600
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.7400
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.1650
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.8350
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.1650
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.8350
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.1700
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.8300
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.1700
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.8300
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.1700
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.1700
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.8300
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.1700
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.8300
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.1700
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.8300
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.1700
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.8300
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.1700
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.8300
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.1700
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.8300
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.1700
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.8300
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1700
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8300
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.1700
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.8300
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.1700
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.8300
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.8250
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.8250
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.8250
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.8250
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.8250
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.8250
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.8250
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.8250
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.8250
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.8250
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.1750
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.8250
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.1750
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.8250
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.1750
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.8250
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.1750
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.8250
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.2900
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.7750
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.3050
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.6950
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.2500
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.7500
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.2500
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.7500
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.2400
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.7600
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.2700
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.7300
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.2300
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.7700
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.2400
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.7600
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.2400
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.7600
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.2500
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.7500
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.2500
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.7500
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.2600
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.7400
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.2600
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.7400
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.2800
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.7200
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.2800
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.2800
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.7200
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.2800
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.7200
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.2400
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.7600
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.7550
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.2450
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.7550
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.2450
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.7550
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.2450
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.7550
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.2450
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.7550
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.2450
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.7550
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.2450
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.7550
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.2450
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.7550
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.2450
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.7550
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.2450
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.2450
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.7550
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.2450
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.7550
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.3000
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.7000
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.3000
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.7000
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.2850
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.7150
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.3050
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.6950
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.2850
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.7150
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.3000
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.7000
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.3000
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.7000
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.3150
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.6850
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.3200
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.6800
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.3100
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.6900
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.3100
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.3100
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.6900
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.3250
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.6750
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.3800
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.6200
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.3400
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.6600
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.2850
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.7150
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.2900
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.7100
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.2950
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.7050
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.3000
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.7000
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.2850
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.7150
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.3150
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.6850
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.2950
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.7050
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.2950
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.2950
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.7050
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.2900
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.7100
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.2900
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.7100
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.2900
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.7100
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.2800
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.7200
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.2550
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.7450
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.2550
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.7450
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.3400
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.6600
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.3250
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.6750
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.2900
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.7100
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.2900
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.7100
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.2900
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.7100
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.2800
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523155
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2746.142202
Price History:
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.2800
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.7200
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.2800
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.7200
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.2850
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.7150
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.2850
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.7150
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.2850
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.7150
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.2850
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.7150
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.2850
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.7150
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.2850
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.7150
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.2850
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.7150
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.2600
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.7400
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.2600
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.7400
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.2700
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.7300
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.2850
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.6750
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.3250
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.5900
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.4100
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.5900
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.4100
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.5900
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.4100
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.6500
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.3500
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.6000
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.4000
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.6000
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.4000
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.6000
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.4000
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.6000
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.4000
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.6000
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.4000
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.5950
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.4050
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.5950
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.4050
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.5850
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.5600
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.4400
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.5650
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.4350
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.5650
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.4350
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.5550
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.4450
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.5550
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.4450
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.5550
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.4450
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.5550
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.4450
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.6550
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.3450
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.6550
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.3450
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.6550
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.3450
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.6050
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.3950
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.6450
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.3550
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.3000
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.3000
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.3000
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.3000
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.3000
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.3000
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.3000
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.3000
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.3000
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.3000
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.7000
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.3000
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.7000
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.3000
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.7000
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.6950
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.3050
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.6950
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.3050
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.6950
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.3050
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.6950
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.3050
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.6950
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.3050
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.7000
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.3000
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.7000
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.3000
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.7000
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.3000
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.7000
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.3000
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.7000
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.3000
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.6650
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.3350
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.6850
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.3150
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.6300
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.6600
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.3400
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.6600
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.3400
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.6500
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.3500
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.6450
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.3550
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.6600
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.3400
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.6650
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.3350
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.6400
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.3600
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.6550
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.3450
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.6300
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.3700
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.6300
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.3700
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.6300
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.3700
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.6000
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.4000
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.6050
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.6050
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.3950
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.6050
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.3950
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.5950
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.4050
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.5950
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.4050
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.6050
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.3950
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.6050
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.3950
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.6200
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.3800
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.6300
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.3700
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.6250
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.3750
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.6350
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.3650
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.6300
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.3700
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.6350
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.3650
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.6350
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.6300
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.3700
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.6350
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.3650
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.6400
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.3600
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.6400
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.3600
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.6400
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.3600
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.6400
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.3600
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.6400
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.3600
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.6400
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.3600
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.6400
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.3600
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.6450
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.3550
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.6350
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.3650
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.6450
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.3550
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.6400
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.6450
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.3550
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.6550
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.6550
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.6800
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.3200
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.6850
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.3150
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.6850
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.3150
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.6750
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.3250
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.6750
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.3250
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.6550
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.6350
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.3650
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.6350
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.3650
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.6300
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.3700
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.6300
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.6250
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.3750
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.6250
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.3750
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.6250
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.3750
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.6200
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.3800
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.6200
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.3800
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.6200
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.3800
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.6200
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.3800
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.6200
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.3800
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.6150
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.3850
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.6150
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.3850
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.6150
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.3850
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.8100
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.1900
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.7400
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.6900
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.3100
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.6750
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.3250
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.6750
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.3250
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.6750
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.3250
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.6750
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.3250
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.6750
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.3250
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.6750
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.3250
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.6800
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.3200
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.6800
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.3200
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.6800
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.3200
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.6800
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.3200
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.6800
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.3200
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.6750
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.6750
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.3250
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.6650
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.3350
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.6500
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.3500
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.8400
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.1600
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.6750
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.3250
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.6750
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.6750
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.3250
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.5750
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.4250
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.7050
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.2950
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.5950
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.4050
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.5950
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.4050
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.6050
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.3950
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.5900
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.4100
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.6050
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.3950
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.6100
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.3900
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.6100
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.3900
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.6100
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.3900
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.6100
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.3900
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.6100
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.6100
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.3900
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.6100
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.3900
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.6150
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.3850
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.6100
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.3900
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.6100
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.3900
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.5650
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.4350
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.5900
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.4100
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.5650
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.4350
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.5650
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.4350
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.6100
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.3900
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.4800
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.5200
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.6150
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.3850
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.6200
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.6750
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.3250
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.5900
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.4100
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.5900
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.4100
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.5900
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.4100
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.6500
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.3500
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.6000
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.4000
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.6000
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.4000
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.6000
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.4000
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.6000
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.4000
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.6000
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.4000
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.5950
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.4050
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.5950
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.4050
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.5850
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.5600
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.4400
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.5650
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.4350
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.5650
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.4350
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.5550
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.4450
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.5550
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.4450
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.5550
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.4450
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.5550
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.4450
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.6550
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.3450
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.6550
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.3450
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.6550
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.3450
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.6050
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.3950
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.6450
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.3550
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.3000
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.3000
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.3000
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.3000
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.3000
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.3000
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.3000
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.3000
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.3000
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.3000
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.7000
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.3000
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.7000
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.3000
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.7000
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.6950
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.3050
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.6950
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.3050
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.6950
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.3050
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.6950
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.3050
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.6950
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.3050
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.7000
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.3000
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.7000
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.3000
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.7000
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.3000
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.7000
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.3000
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.7000
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.3000
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.6650
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.3350
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.6850
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.3150
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.6300
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.6600
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.3400
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.6600
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.3400
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.6500
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.3500
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.6450
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.3550
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.6600
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.3400
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.6650
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.3350
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.6400
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.3600
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.6550
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.3450
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.6300
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.3700
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.6300
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.3700
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.6300
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.3700
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.6000
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.4000
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.6050
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.6050
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.3950
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.6050
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.3950
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.5950
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.4050
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.5950
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.4050
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.6050
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.3950
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.6050
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.3950
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.6200
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.3800
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.6300
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.3700
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.6250
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.3750
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.6350
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.3650
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.6300
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.3700
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.6350
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.3650
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.6350
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.6300
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.3700
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.6350
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.3650
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.6400
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.3600
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.6400
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.3600
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.6400
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.3600
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.6400
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.3600
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.6400
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.3600
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.6400
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.3600
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.6400
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.3600
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.6450
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.3550
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.6350
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.3650
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.6450
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.3550
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.6400
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.6450
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.3550
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.6550
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.6550
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.6800
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.3200
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.6850
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.3150
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.6850
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.3150
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.6750
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.3250
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.6750
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.3250
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.6550
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.6350
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.3650
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.6350
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.3650
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.6300
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.3700
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.6300
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.6250
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.3750
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.6250
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.3750
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.6250
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.3750
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.6200
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.3800
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.6200
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.3800
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.6200
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.3800
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.6200
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.3800
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.6200
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.3800
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.6150
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.3850
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.6150
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.3850
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.6150
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.3850
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.8100
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.1900
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.7400
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.6900
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.3100
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.6750
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.3250
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.6750
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.3250
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.6750
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.3250
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.6750
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.3250
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.6750
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.3250
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.6750
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.3250
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.6800
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.3200
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.6800
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.3200
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.6800
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.3200
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.6800
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.3200
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.6800
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.3200
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.6750
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.6750
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.3250
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.6650
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.3350
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.6500
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.3500
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.8400
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.1600
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.6750
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.3250
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.6750
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.6750
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.3250
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.5750
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.4250
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.7050
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.2950
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.5950
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.4050
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.5950
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.4050
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.6050
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.3950
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.5900
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.4100
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.6050
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.3950
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.6100
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.3900
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.6100
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.3900
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.6100
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.3900
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.6100
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.3900
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.6100
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523158
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 212684.976443
Price History:
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.6100
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.3900
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.6100
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.3900
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.6150
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.3850
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.6100
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.3900
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.6100
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.3900
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.5650
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.4350
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.5900
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.4100
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.5650
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.4350
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.5650
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.4350
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.6100
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.3900
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.4800
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.5200
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.6150
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.3850
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.6200
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.9300
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.0700
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.9200
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.9200
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.0800
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.9200
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0800
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.9300
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.0700
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.9300
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.0700
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.9250
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.0750
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.9450
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.0550
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.9450
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0550
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.9450
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.0550
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.9450
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9500
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0500
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.9500
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.9500
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0500
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.9500
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0500
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.9550
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0450
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.9550
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0450
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.9600
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0400
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.9600
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0400
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.9600
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0400
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9600
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0400
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.9600
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0400
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.9600
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0400
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9600
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.0400
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.9650
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0350
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.9605
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0395
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.9605
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0395
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.9600
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0400
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.9605
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0395
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9650
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.0350
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9650
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0350
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.9650
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0350
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9650
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0350
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.9645
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.0355
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.9655
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0345
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.9645
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0355
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.9645
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0355
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.9650
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0350
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.9650
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.9645
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.0355
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.9595
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0405
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9650
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.0350
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.9650
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0350
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.9655
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0345
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9645
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0355
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.9645
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.0355
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.9640
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0360
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.9645
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.0355
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.9640
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0360
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.9640
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.0360
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.9640
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0360
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.9645
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.9635
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0365
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.9645
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0355
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.9635
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.0365
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.9625
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0375
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.9625
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0375
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.9630
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0370
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.9630
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0370
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.9620
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0380
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.9630
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0370
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.9635
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0365
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.9630
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0370
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.9630
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0370
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.9630
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9625
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0375
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.9625
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0375
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.9630
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0370
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.9625
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0375
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.9625
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0375
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.9625
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0375
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.9630
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9625
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0375
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.9630
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.9625
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0375
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.9625
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0375
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.9625
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0375
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.9635
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.9630
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9630
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.9635
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0365
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.9630
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.9630
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.9630
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.9635
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0365
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.9630
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.9635
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0365
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.9630
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.9635
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.0365
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.9635
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.0365
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.9635
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.9630
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.9635
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0365
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.9635
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0365
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.9645
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0355
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.9640
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.0360
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.9640
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0360
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.9635
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0365
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.9630
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.0370
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.9630
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0370
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9635
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.0365
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.9625
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.0375
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.9640
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.0360
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.9635
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.9635
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.0365
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.9640
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0360
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.9635
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.0365
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.9635
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0365
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.9635
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0365
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.9640
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0360
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.9635
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0365
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.9640
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0360
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.9635
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.0365
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.9630
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0370
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9635
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.0365
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.9630
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0370
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.9630
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9640
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0360
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.9635
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.9635
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.9635
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.9635
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.9635
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.9635
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.9635
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.9640
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0360
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9630
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0370
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.9630
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0370
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9630
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0370
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9630
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.9630
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0370
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.9635
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9635
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.9630
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0370
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.9630
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0370
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9630
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0370
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.9635
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.9640
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0360
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.9635
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.9630
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0370
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.9645
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0355
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.9645
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0355
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.9635
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.9635
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0365
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.9640
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0360
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.9645
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0355
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.9635
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0365
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.9635
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0365
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.9635
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0365
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.9640
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0360
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9635
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0365
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.9635
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0365
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.9635
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0365
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.9640
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0360
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.9635
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.0365
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.9630
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.9300
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.0700
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.9200
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.9200
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.0800
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.9200
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0800
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.9300
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.0700
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.9300
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.0700
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.9250
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.0750
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.9450
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.0550
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.9450
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0550
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.9450
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.0550
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.9450
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9500
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0500
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.9500
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.9500
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0500
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.9500
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0500
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.9550
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0450
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.9550
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0450
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.9600
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0400
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.9600
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0400
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.9600
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0400
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9600
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0400
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.9600
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0400
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.9600
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0400
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9600
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.0400
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.9650
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0350
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.9605
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0395
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.9605
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0395
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.9600
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0400
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.9605
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0395
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9650
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.0350
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9650
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0350
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.9650
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0350
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9650
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0350
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.9645
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.0355
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.9655
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0345
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.9645
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0355
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.9645
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0355
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.9650
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0350
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.9650
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.9645
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.0355
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.9595
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0405
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9650
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.0350
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.9650
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0350
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.9655
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0345
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9645
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0355
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.9645
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.0355
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.9640
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0360
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.9645
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.0355
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.9640
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0360
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.9640
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.0360
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.9640
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0360
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.9645
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.9635
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0365
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.9645
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0355
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.9635
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.0365
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.9625
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0375
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.9625
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0375
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.9630
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0370
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.9630
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0370
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.9620
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0380
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.9630
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0370
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.9635
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0365
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.9630
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0370
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.9630
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0370
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.9630
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9625
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0375
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.9625
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0375
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.9630
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0370
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.9625
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0375
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.9625
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0375
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.9625
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0375
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.9630
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9625
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0375
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.9630
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.9625
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0375
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.9625
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0375
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.9625
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0375
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.9635
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.9630
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9630
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.9635
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0365
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.9630
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.9630
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.9630
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.9635
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0365
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.9630
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.9635
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0365
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.9630
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.9635
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.0365
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.9635
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.0365
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.9635
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.9630
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.9635
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0365
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.9635
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0365
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.9645
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0355
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.9640
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.0360
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.9640
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0360
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.9635
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0365
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.9630
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.0370
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.9630
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0370
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9635
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.0365
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.9625
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.0375
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.9640
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.0360
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.9635
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.9635
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.0365
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.9640
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0360
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.9635
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.0365
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.9635
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0365
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.9635
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0365
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.9640
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0360
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.9635
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0365
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.9640
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0360
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.9635
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.0365
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.9630
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0370
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9635
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.0365
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.9630
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0370
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.9630
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9640
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0360
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.9635
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.9635
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.9635
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.9635
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.9635
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.9635
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.9635
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.9640
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0360
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9630
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0370
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.9630
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0370
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9630
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0370
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9630
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.9630
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0370
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.9635
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9635
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.9630
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0370
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.9630
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0370
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9630
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0370
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.9635
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.9640
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0360
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.9635
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.9630
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0370
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.9645
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0355
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.9645
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0355
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.9635
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523159
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Good Afternoon during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2879.151102
Price History:
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.9635
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0365
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.9640
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0360
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.9645
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0355
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.9635
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0365
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.9635
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0365
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.9635
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0365
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.9640
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0360
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9635
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0365
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.9635
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0365
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.9635
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0365
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.9640
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0360
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.9635
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.0365
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.9630
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.2550
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.7450
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.2550
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.7450
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.2550
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.7450
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.2550
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.7450
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.1300
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.8700
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.8650
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.1350
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.1350
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.8650
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.1350
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.8650
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1450
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8550
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.1450
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.8550
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.1450
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.8550
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.1450
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.8550
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.1450
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.8550
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.1450
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.1800
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.8200
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.2250
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.7750
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.2250
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.7750
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.2250
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.7750
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.2250
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.7750
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.2250
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.7750
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.2250
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.7750
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.2250
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.7750
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.2250
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.7750
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.2250
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.7750
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.7750
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.7750
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.1900
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.8100
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.1900
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.8100
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.1900
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.8100
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.1850
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.8150
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.5650
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.4350
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.5650
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.4350
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.5700
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.4300
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.5700
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.4300
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.5700
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.4300
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.5750
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.4250
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.3000
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.7000
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.7050
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.7050
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.7050
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.7050
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.7050
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.7050
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.7050
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.7050
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.2900
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.7100
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.2900
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.7100
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.2900
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.2850
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.7150
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.7700
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.2250
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.7750
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.2250
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.7750
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.2250
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.7750
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.2250
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.7750
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.2250
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.2250
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.7750
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.2250
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.7750
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.2200
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.7800
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.2200
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.2250
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.7750
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.2250
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.7750
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.2250
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.7750
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.2250
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.7750
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.2250
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.7750
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.2350
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.7650
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.2250
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.7750
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.7800
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.2200
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.7800
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.2200
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.7800
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.2200
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.7800
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.2250
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.7750
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.2200
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.7800
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.2250
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.7750
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.2250
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.7750
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.2250
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.7750
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.2250
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.7750
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.2400
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.7600
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.2250
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.2500
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.7500
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.2500
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.7500
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.2500
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.7500
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.2450
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.7550
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.2600
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.7400
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.2700
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.7300
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.2500
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.7500
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.2600
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.7400
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.2500
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.7500
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.2600
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.7400
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.2500
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.7500
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.2600
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.7400
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.2500
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.2500
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.7500
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.2500
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.7500
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.2650
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.7350
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.2500
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.7500
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.2600
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.7400
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.2800
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.7200
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.2800
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.7200
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.2800
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.7200
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.2200
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.7800
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.2250
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.7750
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.2250
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.7750
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.2250
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.7750
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.2350
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.2550
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.7450
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.2550
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.7450
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.2550
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.7450
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.2550
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.7450
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.1300
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.8700
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.8650
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.1350
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.1350
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.8650
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.1350
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.8650
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1450
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8550
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.1450
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.8550
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.1450
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.8550
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.1450
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.8550
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.1450
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.8550
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.1450
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.1800
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.8200
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.2250
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.7750
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.2250
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.7750
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.2250
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.7750
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.2250
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.7750
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.2250
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.7750
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.2250
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.7750
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.2250
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.7750
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.2250
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.7750
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.2250
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.7750
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.7750
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.7750
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.1900
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.8100
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.1900
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.8100
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.1900
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.8100
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.1850
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.8150
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.5650
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.4350
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.5650
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.4350
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.5700
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.4300
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.5700
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.4300
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.5700
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.4300
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.5750
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.4250
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.3000
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.7000
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.7050
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.7050
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.7050
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.7050
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.7050
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.7050
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.7050
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.7050
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.2950
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.7050
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.2900
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.7100
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.2900
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.7100
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.2900
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.7100
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.2850
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.7150
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.7700
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.2250
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.7750
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.2250
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.7750
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.2250
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.7750
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.2250
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.7750
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.2250
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes