Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657139
Question: Will Amazon dip to $224 in November?
Volume: 12131.165987
Price History:
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 68.07, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7100, Price range: 0.7100 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657139
Question: Will Amazon dip to $224 in November?
Volume: 12131.165987
Price History:
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.3000
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.3000
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.3000
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.3000
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.2750
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.2700
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.2700
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.2650
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 78.81, Sell volume: 63.55, Average price: 0.5420, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657139
Question: Will Amazon dip to $224 in November?
Volume: 12131.165987
Price History:
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.2750
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.2750
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.2800
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.2750
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.1500
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.1600
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1700
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.8150
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.1500
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.1550
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.1650
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1700
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.1650
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.2400
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.2350
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.2350
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.2350
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.2000
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.2200
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.2200
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.2200
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.2200
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.2200
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.2200
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.67, Sell volume: 217.34, Average price: 0.5975, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657139
Question: Will Amazon dip to $224 in November?
Volume: 12131.165987
Price History:
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.2600
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.2600
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.2450
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.7550
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.2450
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.2450
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.2450
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.2500
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.2500
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.2500
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.2500
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.2600
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.2600
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.5900
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.5850
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.5650
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.6000
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.3450
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.3100
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.3100
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 44.11, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657139
Question: Will Amazon dip to $224 in November?
Volume: 12131.165987
Price History:
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.3100
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.6800
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.3250
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.3250
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.3300
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.3100
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.3100
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.3100
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.3100
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.3200
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.3200
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.3350
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.3350
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.3350
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.3100
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.5150
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.5150
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.4550
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 6.58, Sell volume: 5.14, Average price: 0.6100, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657139
Question: Will Amazon dip to $224 in November?
Volume: 12131.165987
Price History:
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.4400
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.4300
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.3750
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.4100
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.3900
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.3900
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.3350
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.3350
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.3150
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.3150
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.3150
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.3150
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.3100
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.3100
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.3100
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.7050
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.2900
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.2800
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 11.57, Average price: 0.4750, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657139
Question: Will Amazon dip to $224 in November?
Volume: 12131.165987
Price History:
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.7050
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.2900
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.2750
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.2700
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.5300
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.5300
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.5300
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 24.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8305, Price range: 0.8305 - 0.8305
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657139
Question: Will Amazon dip to $224 in November?
Volume: 12131.165987
Price History:
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.8300
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.1650
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.1700
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.1750
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.1650
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.1600
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.1650
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.1750
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.1750
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.1650
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.1600
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.1550
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.1550
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.1550
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.1550
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.1550
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.1550
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.1550
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.1550
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.1550
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.1550
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.1550
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.1550
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.1550
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.1550
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1600
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1600
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 166.25, Sell volume: 162.50, Average price: 0.3275, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657139
Question: Will Amazon dip to $224 in November?
Volume: 12131.165987
Price History:
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.1700
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.1700
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.1700
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.1700
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.1700
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.1700
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.8300
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.1700
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.1700
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.1700
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.1700
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.1700
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.1000
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.1250
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.1250
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.1250
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.1250
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.1000
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.1000
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.1000
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.1200
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.1200
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 434.40, Sell volume: 238.97, Average price: 0.5893, Price range: 0.1157 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657139
Question: Will Amazon dip to $224 in November?
Volume: 12131.165987
Price History:
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.3100
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.3100
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.5500
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.5500
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5450
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5400
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4000
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 96.40, Sell volume: 96.97, Average price: 0.4380, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657139
Question: Will Amazon dip to $224 in November?
Volume: 12131.165987
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4050
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4050
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4050
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4050
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.3900
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.3900
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.3900
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.3600
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 273.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5811, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657139
Question: Will Amazon dip to $224 in November?
Volume: 12131.165987
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.3600
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.3550
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.3700
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.2700
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.2850
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.2700
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.2300
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.7700
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.3450
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.3700
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.3700
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.3700
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.5150
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.4850
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5150
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6600
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 10043.34, Sell volume: 17.50, Average price: 0.8088, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591890
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by October 31?
Volume: 50877.232441
Price History:
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.6000
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.6250
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.5950
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.4050
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.4050
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.7100
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.1550
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.2050
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.8050
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.1900
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.3550
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.3450
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.7000
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.2750
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.8300
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.1600
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.1450
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.1450
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.8550
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.8550
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.8550
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.1550
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.8600
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.1300
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.1150
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.8850
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.1150
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1914.35, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6789, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591890
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by October 31?
Volume: 50877.232441
Price History:
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.8750
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.1250
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.8750
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.8750
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.8750
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.1250
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.1250
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.1250
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.1300
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.1300
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.1300
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.1300
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.8700
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.8750
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.8750
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.8750
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.8750
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.8750
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.8750
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.8750
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.1250
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.8750
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.8750
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.8750
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.8750
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.1000
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9000
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.1100
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 545.96, Sell volume: 42.07, Average price: 0.3781, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591890
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by October 31?
Volume: 50877.232441
Price History:
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.8950
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.8950
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.8950
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.1050
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.8950
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.1050
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.8950
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.8950
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0850
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9150
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0800
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.8950
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.1050
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.8950
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.1100
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9000
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.1000
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9000
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.1000
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9000
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.1000
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9000
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.1000
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.8900
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.1100
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.8900
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.1100
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.8900
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.1200
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2164.77, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6285, Price range: 0.1250 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591890
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by October 31?
Volume: 50877.232441
Price History:
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.8850
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.1150
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.8850
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.1150
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.1150
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.8950
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.1050
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.1050
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.8950
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.1050
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.8950
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9000
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.8950
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.1000
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9050
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0950
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0900
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.9050
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9150
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0850
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9050
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9100
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9100
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9100
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.1250
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.8800
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.8800
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.1250
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.1250
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 590.96, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3892, Price range: 0.1023 - 0.9268
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591890
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by October 31?
Volume: 50877.232441
Price History:
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.8750
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.1250
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.8750
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.1250
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.8750
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.1250
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.8700
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.1250
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.8700
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.1300
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.1300
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.8700
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.8750
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.8750
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.1250
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.8750
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.1250
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.8750
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.1250
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.8750
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.1250
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.8800
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.8800
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.1200
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.8800
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.1200
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.8800
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.8800
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.8800
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1917.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5851, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591890
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by October 31?
Volume: 50877.232441
Price History:
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9000
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.8950
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.1100
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.8950
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.1200
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.8800
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.1200
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.8800
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.1200
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.8800
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.1200
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.8800
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.8800
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.8800
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.1200
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.8800
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.8800
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.8800
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.8800
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.8700
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.1300
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9100
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.1500
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.8500
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.1500
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.1500
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.8500
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.1300
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.8700
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 459.17, Sell volume: 1.04, Average price: 0.4214, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591890
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by October 31?
Volume: 50877.232441
Price History:
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.1400
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.1300
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.9000
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9000
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.9000
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.1000
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.8900
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.8900
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.8850
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.1150
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.8650
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.1150
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.1150
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.1150
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.1150
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.8900
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.1100
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.1100
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.8900
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.8900
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.8900
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.8900
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.1000
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.1000
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9050
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0900
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9100
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9100
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9150
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 604.28, Sell volume: 66.14, Average price: 0.5732, Price range: 0.0796 - 0.9328
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591890
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by October 31?
Volume: 50877.232441
Price History:
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0950
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.0950
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.8900
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.8850
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.1100
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.8900
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.1100
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9050
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0950
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.0950
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.1100
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.8900
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9050
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0900
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0900
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9150
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0850
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0900
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0900
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9100
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.9150
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9150
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0850
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0850
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.9150
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9150
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9200
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0850
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 128.36, Sell volume: 190.20, Average price: 0.3706, Price range: 0.0633 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591890
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by October 31?
Volume: 50877.232441
Price History:
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0750
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9250
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9250
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0850
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9100
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0900
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9100
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0900
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9100
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.1100
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.8900
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.2250
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.7700
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.2250
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.7400
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.7400
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.2750
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.7700
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.2400
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.7700
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.2300
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.7700
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.2300
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.7700
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1481.02, Sell volume: 472.84, Average price: 0.5102, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.8625
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591890
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by October 31?
Volume: 50877.232441
Price History:
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.2300
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.2300
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.7700
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.1950
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.1350
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.8650
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.1450
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.8350
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.1500
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.1500
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.1500
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.1500
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.1500
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.8500
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.8500
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.1500
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.1450
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.8550
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.8550
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.1800
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 2836.61, Sell volume: 280.65, Average price: 0.4839, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.9027
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591890
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by October 31?
Volume: 50877.232441
Price History:
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.8250
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.8250
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.1400
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.1400
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.8650
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.8750
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.8800
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.1250
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.1200
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.1200
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.8800
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.1200
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.8800
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.1200
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.8850
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.1150
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.1150
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.1150
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.8850
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.1250
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.8850
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1150
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2705.15, Sell volume: 6.23, Average price: 0.5865, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591890
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by October 31?
Volume: 50877.232441
Price History:
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9100
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0900
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9100
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9100
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0900
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0700
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9400
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5082.57, Sell volume: 697.86, Average price: 0.2915, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591890
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by October 31?
Volume: 50877.232441
Price History:
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.1150
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9100
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.8850
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.1150
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.1500
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.5600
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.5950
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.5250
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 10322.32, Sell volume: 1036.29, Average price: 0.4138, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 26116.58, Sell volume: 2212.40, Average price: 0.5731, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.8550
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.1450
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.8450
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8450
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8450
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.8450
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.8450
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.8450
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.8450
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.8450
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.8450
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 26116.58, Sell volume: 2212.40, Average price: 0.5731, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.8550
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.1450
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.8550
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.1450
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8450
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.1550
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.8450
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.1550
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 58.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1700, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.1700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.1500
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.8500
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.1500
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.8500
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.1500
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.8500
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.1500
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8500
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.1500
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.8500
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1500
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8500
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.1500
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.8500
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.1500
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.8500
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.1500
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9100
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0900
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 58.82, Average price: 0.1300, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.1300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9300
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.8700
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.1300
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.8700
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.1300
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1250
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.1250
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1300
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.8700
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1300
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.8700
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.1300
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1250
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.1250
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.1250
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.1250
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.1250
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.1250
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.1200
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.1200
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1200
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.1200
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1200
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.1200
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 136.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1374, Price range: 0.1148 - 0.1600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.8650
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.8600
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.1400
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.8650
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.8650
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.8650
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8650
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.8600
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.1400
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.8650
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8650
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8650
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.8650
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.1350
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.8650
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.1350
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.1400
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 26116.58, Sell volume: 2212.40, Average price: 0.5731, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.1400
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.1400
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.1400
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.1400
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.1400
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.1250
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.8700
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.1300
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.1250
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.1250
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.8700
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.1300
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.8700
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.1300
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.1300
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.1250
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.1250
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.1250
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.1250
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.1250
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.1250
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.1250
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.1250
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.1250
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 212.24, Sell volume: 155.10, Average price: 0.4430, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9300
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9300
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9300
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9300
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9300
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9450
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9450
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9450
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9450
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9450
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9450
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 122.22, Sell volume: 122.22, Average price: 0.5029, Price range: 0.0526 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9400
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9400
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.8650
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.1350
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.8650
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.1350
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.8700
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.1300
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.8700
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.1300
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.8700
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 609.00, Sell volume: 209.05, Average price: 0.6047, Price range: 0.0741 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.6050
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.3950
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.8100
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.1900
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.8100
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.8100
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.8100
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.8050
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.1950
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.8100
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.8100
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.8100
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.8100
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.8100
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.8100
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.8100
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8100
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.8100
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8100
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8100
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8100
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8100
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8100
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8100
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8100
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8100
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 116.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4775, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.1850
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.1850
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.1850
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.1850
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.1800
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.1800
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.1800
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.1800
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.1800
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.1750
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.8250
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.1750
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.1750
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.1750
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.8500
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.1500
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.8550
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.1450
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.8550
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.1450
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.8550
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.1450
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.8550
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.1450
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.1750
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.1750
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.1700
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.8500
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.1500
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.8400
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.1600
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.8400
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1041.22, Sell volume: 792.77, Average price: 0.6205, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.7850
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.2150
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.7600
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.2400
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.7450
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.2550
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.7550
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.2450
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.7300
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.2700
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.6500
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3500
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6350
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.5950
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.4050
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.3700
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6150
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.3850
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.5650
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.6250
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.3750
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.6050
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.3950
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.5650
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 345.24, Sell volume: 140.48, Average price: 0.4919, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.6450
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.3550
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.6400
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.3600
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.6550
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.3450
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.6650
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.3350
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.5700
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.4300
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.6600
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.3400
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.3150
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.6450
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.3550
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.5850
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.4150
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.6800
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.3200
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.6500
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.3500
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.7300
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.2700
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.7700
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.2300
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.7150
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.2850
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.4900
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.5100
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.4900
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.5100
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.5100
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.4900
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.4250
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.5750
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.1600
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.8400
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.3230
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.6770
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.1695
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.8305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 13634.93, Sell volume: 483.87, Average price: 0.6662, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.8400
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 26116.58, Sell volume: 2212.40, Average price: 0.5731, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.1450
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 26116.58, Sell volume: 2212.40, Average price: 0.5731, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.8550
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.8550
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8450
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.8500
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.8500
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 58.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1700, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.1700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.1500
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.1500
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.1500
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.1500
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.1500
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1500
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.1500
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.1500
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.1500
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0900
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0900
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0900
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 58.82, Average price: 0.1300, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.1300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9300
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.8700
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.8700
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.8700
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.8700
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 136.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1374, Price range: 0.1148 - 0.1600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.1400
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.1400
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.1350
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.1350
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.1400
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.1400
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.1450
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.1450
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.1450
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 26116.58, Sell volume: 2212.40, Average price: 0.5731, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.8700
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.8700
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.8700
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 212.24, Sell volume: 155.10, Average price: 0.4430, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 122.22, Sell volume: 122.22, Average price: 0.5029, Price range: 0.0526 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9400
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9400
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.8650
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.8650
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.8700
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.8700
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.8700
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.8700
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.8650
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.5450
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.5450
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 609.00, Sell volume: 209.05, Average price: 0.6047, Price range: 0.0741 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.3950
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.1900
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.1950
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.1950
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1950
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.1950
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 116.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4775, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.8500
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.8550
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.8550
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.8550
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.8550
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.8500
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.8400
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.8400
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1041.22, Sell volume: 792.77, Average price: 0.6205, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.2150
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.2400
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.2550
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.2450
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.2700
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3500
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.4050
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.3700
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.3850
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.3750
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.3950
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.4250
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.4650
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.4700
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 345.24, Sell volume: 140.48, Average price: 0.4919, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657140
Question: Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?
Volume: 28328.976839
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.6450
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.6400
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.6550
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.6650
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.5700
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.6600
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.6450
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.5850
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.6800
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.6500
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.7300
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.7700
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.7150
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.4900
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.4900
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.5100
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.4250
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.1600
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.3230
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.1695
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.1590
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.1590
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.1560
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.1455
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.1455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 13634.93, Sell volume: 483.87, Average price: 0.6662, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.1500
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.8500
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.4900
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.5100
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.5200
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.4800
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.4500
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.5500
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.4150
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.5850
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.4150
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.5850
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.4200
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.5800
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.4150
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.5850
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.4550
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.5450
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.5150
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.4850
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.5350
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.4650
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.5850
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.4150
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.5900
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.4100
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.5900
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.4100
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.5900
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.4100
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.5600
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.4400
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.5100
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.4900
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.6000
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.4000
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.5850
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.4150
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.5950
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.4050
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.5850
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.4150
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.5850
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.4150
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.5800
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.4200
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.5800
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.4200
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.5800
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 321.68, Sell volume: 19.15, Average price: 0.6211, Price range: 0.3252 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.7050
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.2750
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.7250
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.2650
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.7350
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.2550
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.7450
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.2450
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.7550
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.7150
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.2850
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.2650
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.7350
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.2550
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.7450
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.7500
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.2500
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.7600
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.2400
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.2850
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.7150
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.2800
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.7200
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.7150
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.2850
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.2850
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.7150
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.2850
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.7150
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.2850
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.7150
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.2850
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.7150
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.2900
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.7100
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.2900
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.7100
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.2900
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.7100
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.7100
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.2900
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.2600
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.7400
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.7350
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.2650
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.7350
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.2650
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.2650
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.7350
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 109.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3144, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.3500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.7350
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.2650
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.7350
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.2650
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.2650
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.7350
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.2650
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.7350
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.7350
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.2650
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.7350
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.2650
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.7350
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.2650
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.7350
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.2650
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.7350
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.2650
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.2650
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.7350
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.2650
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.7350
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.1850
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.8150
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.1500
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.8500
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.1500
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.8500
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.1500
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.8500
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.1500
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.8500
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.8450
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.1550
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.1700
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.8300
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.1700
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.8300
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.1800
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.8200
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.2150
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.7850
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.2450
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.7550
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.2450
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.7550
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.2500
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.7500
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.2600
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1863.06, Sell volume: 39.48, Average price: 0.5826, Price range: 0.2152 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.3300
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.3300
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.6700
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.3300
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.6700
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.3300
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.6700
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.6750
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.3250
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.6700
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.3300
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.6750
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.3250
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.6750
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.6700
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.3300
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.6700
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.3300
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.6750
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.3250
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.6750
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.3250
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.6700
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.3300
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.6700
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.3300
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.6700
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.3300
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.6750
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.3250
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.6700
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.3300
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.6700
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.3300
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.6750
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.3250
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.6700
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.3300
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.3250
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.6750
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.6750
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.6700
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.3300
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.6750
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.3250
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 45.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4425, Price range: 0.4425 - 0.4425

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.3900
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.6100
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.6100
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.3900
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.6100
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.4000
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.6000
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.6000
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.4000
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.6000
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.4000
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.6000
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.4000
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.6000
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.4000
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.6000
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.4000
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.6000
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.4000
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.4000
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.6000
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.6000
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.4000
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.6000
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.4000
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.6000
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 226.02, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.5863, Price range: 0.2873 - 0.6769

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.6600
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.3400
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.6600
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.3400
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.3400
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.3400
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.3400
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.3400
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 879.91, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7692

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.3500
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.6500
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.3200
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.6800
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.2800
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.7200
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.7100
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.2900
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.7200
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.2800
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.7200
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.2800
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.2800
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.7200
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.7200
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.2800
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.2550
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.7450
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.7350
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.2650
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.7350
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.2650
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.2500
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.7500
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.2600
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.7400
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.2600
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1253.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4250, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7151

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.2550
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.2550
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.7450
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.7450
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.2550
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.2750
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.7200
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.2800
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.7200
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.2800
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.2750
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.2750
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.2750
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.2750
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.2750
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.2750
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.2750
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.2700
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.7300
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.2700
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.7300
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.2750
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.2750
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.2700
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.7300
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.2700
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.7300
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.2550
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.7450
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.2550
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.7450
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.7450
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.2550
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.7450
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.2550
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.7450
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.2550
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.7450
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.2550
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 498.46, Sell volume: 69.14, Average price: 0.4819, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.7050
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.3550
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.6450
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.6250
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.3750
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.5350
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4650
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4550
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 2951.18, Sell volume: 175.14, Average price: 0.5238, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.5550
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.4450
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.5550
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.4450
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.5550
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.4450
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.4100
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 446.81, Sell volume: 196.56, Average price: 0.5175, Price range: 0.3979 - 0.6000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.6350
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.6500
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.3500
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.6300
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.3700
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6700
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.3300
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.6550
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3450
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.6700
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.3300
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.7100
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.2900
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.6750
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.6700
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.3300
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.6650
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3350
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.6500
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.3500
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.3350
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.6650
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.3600
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.6400
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6600
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3400
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.3100
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2087.40, Sell volume: 30.52, Average price: 0.6077, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.7650
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.2350
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.7650
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.2350
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.7650
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.2250
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.2450
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.7550
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.2500
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.7500
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.7500
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.2500
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.2500
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.7500
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.7500
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.2500
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.2500
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.7500
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.2550
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.7450
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.7450
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.7450
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.2650
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.7350
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.2650
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.7350
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.2650
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.2650
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.7350
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.7350
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.2650
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.7350
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.2650
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.2450
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.7550
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.2500
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.7500
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.2650
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.7350
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.2600
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.7400
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.7400
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.2600
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.7400
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 2741.07, Sell volume: 765.98, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.8100
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.1900
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.8100
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.1900
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.8000
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.2000
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.2000
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.8000
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.2000
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.8000
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.2000
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.8000
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.7950
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.2050
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.7900
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.2100
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.7900
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.2100
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.7900
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.2400
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.7600
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.7500
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.2500
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.7600
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.2400
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.2900
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.7100
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.2750
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.7250
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.2750
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.3000
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.7000
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.6150
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.6200
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.3800
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.3750
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.6250
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.6250
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.3750
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.3800
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.6200
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.3800
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.6200
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.3800
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.6200
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.6200
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 6001.81, Sell volume: 196.77, Average price: 0.5075, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.1500
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.5100
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.4500
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.5850
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.4200
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.5850
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.5150
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.4650
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.5900
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.4100
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.5600
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.4900
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.5850
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.4050
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.5850
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.4200
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.5800
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.6250
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.6600
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.6550
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.3400
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.3150
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.6850
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.3200
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.6800
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.3250
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.2950
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.7250
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.2550
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 321.68, Sell volume: 19.15, Average price: 0.6211, Price range: 0.3252 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.7050
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.2650
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.7450
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.7150
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.7350
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.7500
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.2400
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.2800
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.2850
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.2850
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.7150
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.2900
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.7100
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.7100
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.7400
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.7350
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.7350
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.7350
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.7350
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.2650
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.2650
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.7350
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.7350
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.2650
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.7350
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.2650
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.2650
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.2650
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.7300
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 109.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3144, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.3500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.7350
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.2650
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.2650
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.2650
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.7350
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.2650
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.2650
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.7350
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.1500
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.8500
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.1500
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.1550
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.1700
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.8200
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.2450
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.7550
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.2600
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.7450
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.7500
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.7500
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.2500
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.7400
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.2350
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.2350
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.7650
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.7550
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.2450
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.2500
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.2750
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1863.06, Sell volume: 39.48, Average price: 0.5826, Price range: 0.2152 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.3300
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.3300
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.6700
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.6700
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.6750
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.6700
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.3300
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.6750
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.3300
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.6700
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.3250
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.6700
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.6700
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.6750
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.6700
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.3250
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.6750
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.6700
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.6700
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.3300
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.6700
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.6700
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.3600
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.3650
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.3700
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.6300
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.3800
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.6200
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 45.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4425, Price range: 0.4425 - 0.4425
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.3900
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.6000
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.4000
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.6000
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.4000
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.4000
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.4000
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.6000
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.4000
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.6000
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.4000
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.6000
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.4000
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.4000
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.4000
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.3900
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.3900
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.3700
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.6300
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.3700
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 226.02, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.5863, Price range: 0.2873 - 0.6769
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.6600
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.3400
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.3400
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.3400
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.6550
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.6550
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.6550
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.3450
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.7650
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.2800
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.2800
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.2650
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.7350
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.2700
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.7300
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 879.91, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7692
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.3500
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.6800
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.7100
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.7200
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.7200
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.2550
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.2650
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.2500
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.2450
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.2550
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.7450
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.7450
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.7450
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.2550
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.7450
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.2550
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.2550
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.7450
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.7450
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.7500
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1253.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4250, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7151
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.2550
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.7450
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.2750
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.7200
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.2750
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.2750
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.2700
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.2700
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.7300
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.2550
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.2550
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.7450
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.2550
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.7450
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.7450
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.7450
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.7450
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.7450
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.2700
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.7300
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.2600
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.7350
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.2650
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.7250
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.2850
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 498.46, Sell volume: 69.14, Average price: 0.4819, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.6250
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.5350
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4150
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4150
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.4800
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5300
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5300
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 2951.18, Sell volume: 175.14, Average price: 0.5238, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.5550
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.4450
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.4100
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.5900
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.4100
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.5900
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.4100
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.5900
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.4100
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.4550
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.5450
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.4550
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.5450
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.6350
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 446.81, Sell volume: 196.56, Average price: 0.5175, Price range: 0.3979 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.6300
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.6550
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.7100
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.6750
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.3300
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3350
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.3500
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.3100
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3100
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.3650
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.6150
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.3900
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.3800
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3800
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.2400
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.7600
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2087.40, Sell volume: 30.52, Average price: 0.6077, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.7650
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.2350
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.2500
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.2500
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.7500
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.7500
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.7450
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.2650
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.7350
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.2650
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.2500
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.7350
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.7400
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.7400
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.7450
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.7550
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.2050
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.1900
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.1850
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.1850
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.1850
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.1850
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 2741.07, Sell volume: 765.98, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591891
Question: Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?
Volume: 28846.461081
Price History:
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.8100
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.1900
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.2000
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.8000
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.7950
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.2100
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.2100
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.7600
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.7600
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.7100
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.2750
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.7000
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.6200
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.6250
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.3800
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.6200
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.6200
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.6200
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.3750
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.3700
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.6250
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.3750
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.3250
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.3250
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.6850
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.3350
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.3900
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.6700
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.2500
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 6001.81, Sell volume: 196.77, Average price: 0.5075, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes