Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 25985.14, Sell volume: 7306.01, Average price: 0.8980, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 29968.02, Sell volume: 10454.08, Average price: 0.8595, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 24181.33, Sell volume: 15027.77, Average price: 0.8025, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 1776.81, Sell volume: 7423.93, Average price: 0.9644, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 27114.86, Sell volume: 5985.13, Average price: 0.5219, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 5250.00, Sell volume: 170.99, Average price: 0.4999, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.7300
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.7050
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.8800
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.8850
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8300
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.8100
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8600
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.8550
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.8700
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.8750
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.8200
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.8450
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.8750
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.8550
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.8900
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9915
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 345, Buy volume: 123342.09, Sell volume: 54067.30, Average price: 0.5323, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 128, Buy volume: 30047.34, Sell volume: 9567.08, Average price: 0.7393, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 22580.31, Sell volume: 14271.37, Average price: 0.6429, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 10538.65, Sell volume: 7372.64, Average price: 0.7260, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9925
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9825
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9925
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9925
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9915
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9920
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9925
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9915
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9930
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 162, Buy volume: 111728.40, Sell volume: 62657.23, Average price: 0.6351, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 24048.06, Sell volume: 19479.51, Average price: 0.6115, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 140, Buy volume: 75711.75, Sell volume: 59339.26, Average price: 0.6352, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 25985.14, Sell volume: 7306.01, Average price: 0.8980, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 29968.02, Sell volume: 10454.08, Average price: 0.8595, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 24181.33, Sell volume: 15027.77, Average price: 0.8025, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 1776.81, Sell volume: 7423.93, Average price: 0.9644, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 27114.86, Sell volume: 5985.13, Average price: 0.5219, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 5250.00, Sell volume: 170.99, Average price: 0.4999, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.4150
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.5850
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.7350
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.2650
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.7500
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.2500
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.7550
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.2450
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.7650
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.2350
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.7650
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.2350
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.8050
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.1950
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.8600
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1400
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.8550
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.1450
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.8600
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.1400
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.1350
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9750
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0250
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9740
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0260
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9665
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0335
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9710
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0290
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9660
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0340
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9665
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0335
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9665
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0335
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9660
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 255708775.89, Sell volume: 87953783.14, Average price: 0.5447, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0265
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9725
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0275
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9725
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0275
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9725
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0275
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9725
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0275
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9725
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0275
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9715
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0285
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9715
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0285
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9715
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0285
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9715
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0285
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9715
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0285
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9715
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0285
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9715
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0285
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9720
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0280
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9720
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0280
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9720
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0280
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9715
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0285
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9710
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0290
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9710
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0290
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9710
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0290
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9715
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0285
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9715
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0285
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9715
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0285
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9710
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0290
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9710
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0290
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 255708775.89, Sell volume: 87953783.14, Average price: 0.5447, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9675
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0325
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9675
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0325
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9675
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0325
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9675
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0325
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9670
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0330
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9670
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0330
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9670
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0330
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9615
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0385
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9650
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0350
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9630
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0370
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9585
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0415
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9590
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0410
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9590
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0410
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9595
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0405
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9475
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0525
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9470
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0530
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9490
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0510
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9475
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0525
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9475
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0525
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9475
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0525
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9475
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0525
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9475
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0525
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9490
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0510
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9490
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0510
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9490
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 255708775.89, Sell volume: 87953783.14, Average price: 0.5447, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0990
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9015
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0985
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9055
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0945
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9105
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0895
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.8835
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.1165
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9120
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0880
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9045
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0955
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9025
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0975
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9080
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0920
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9130
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0870
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9130
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0870
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9125
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0875
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9125
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0875
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9125
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0875
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9125
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0875
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9130
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0870
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9135
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0865
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9135
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0865
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9255
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0745
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9295
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0705
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9390
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0610
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9330
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0670
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9365
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0635
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9425
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0575
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25974, Buy volume: 3321721.08, Sell volume: 321977.70, Average price: 0.3939, Price range: 0.0340 - 0.9650

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9555
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0445
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9570
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0430
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9510
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0490
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9520
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0480
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9495
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0505
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9500
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0500
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9500
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0500
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9360
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0640
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9365
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0635
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9325
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0675
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9330
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0670
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9270
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0730
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9265
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0735
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9220
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0780
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9235
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0765
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9210
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0790
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9240
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0760
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9235
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0765
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9245
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0755
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9210
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0790
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9210
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0790
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9220
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0780
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9375
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0625
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9375
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 125874, Buy volume: 25638258.12, Sell volume: 18047594.34, Average price: 0.4822, Price range: 0.0370 - 0.9630

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0535
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9460
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0540
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9490
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0510
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9505
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0495
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9490
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0510
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9485
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0515
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9405
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0595
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9390
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0610
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9465
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0535
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9440
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0560
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9510
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0490
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9510
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0490
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9495
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0505
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9480
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0520
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9485
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0515
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9475
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0525
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9410
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0590
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9325
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0675
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9295
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0705
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9290
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0710
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9395
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0605
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9395
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0605
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9390
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0610
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9535
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0465
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9535
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0465
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 165834, Buy volume: 10243905.71, Sell volume: 17257685.04, Average price: 0.4855, Price range: 0.0388 - 0.9624

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9365
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0635
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9380
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0620
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9375
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0625
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9375
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0625
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9335
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0665
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9335
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0665
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9330
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0670
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9260
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0740
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9265
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0735
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9270
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0730
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9310
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0690
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9315
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0685
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9235
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0765
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9295
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0705
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9305
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0695
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9305
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0695
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9205
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0795
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9305
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0695
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9345
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0655
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9245
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0755
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9365
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0635
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9270
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0730
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9315
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0685
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9345
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0655
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9335
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103896, Buy volume: 11414413.00, Sell volume: 5144230.62, Average price: 0.4374, Price range: 0.0560 - 0.9460

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0845
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9345
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0655
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9415
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0585
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9425
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0575
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9420
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0580
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9420
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0580
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9420
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0580
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9420
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0580
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9435
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9435
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9430
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0570
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9430
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0570
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9430
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0570
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9455
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0545
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9535
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0465
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9540
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0460
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9545
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0455
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9540
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0460
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9510
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0490
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9515
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0485
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9510
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0490
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9510
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0490
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9510
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0490
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9510
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0490
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 213786, Buy volume: 68039258.91, Sell volume: 10617132.24, Average price: 0.7131, Price range: 0.0408 - 0.9660

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9440
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0560
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9440
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0560
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9460
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0540
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9445
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0555
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9460
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0540
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9465
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0535
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9470
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0530
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9455
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0545
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9460
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0540
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9460
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0540
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9450
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0550
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9465
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0535
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9475
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0525
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9470
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0530
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9460
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0540
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9435
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0565
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9420
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0580
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9500
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9490
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0510
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9520
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0480
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9520
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0480
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9525
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0475
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9535
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0465
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9525
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0475
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9525
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 201798, Buy volume: 77033092.95, Sell volume: 8961349.68, Average price: 0.6246, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9570

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0725
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9330
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0670
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9460
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0540
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9470
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0530
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9465
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0535
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9465
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0535
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9465
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0535
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9470
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0530
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9475
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0525
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9390
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0610
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9340
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0660
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9305
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0695
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9030
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0970
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9035
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0965
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9035
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0965
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9020
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0980
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.8985
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.1015
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9370
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0630
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9420
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0580
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9125
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0875
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9405
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0595
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9095
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0905
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9135
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0865
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137949, Buy volume: 51024306.57, Sell volume: 27459906.44, Average price: 0.4110, Price range: 0.0386 - 0.9616

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9400
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9395
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0605
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9270
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0730
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9385
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0615
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9360
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0640
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9355
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0645
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9280
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0720
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9260
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0740
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9255
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0745
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9205
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0795
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9195
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0805
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9035
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0965
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9005
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0995
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9005
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0995
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9020
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0980
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9020
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0980
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9075
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0925
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9095
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0905
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9065
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0935
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9060
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0940
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9100
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0900
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9095
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0905
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9095
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0905
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9215
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 38627.13, Sell volume: 20574.97, Average price: 0.4492, Price range: 0.0467 - 0.9490

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.1125
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.8895
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.1105
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.8840
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.1160
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.8810
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.1190
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.8825
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.1175
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.8865
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.1135
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.8835
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.1165
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.8940
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.1060
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9025
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0975
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9010
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0990
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9025
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0975
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9085
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0915
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9065
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0935
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9040
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0960
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9100
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9100
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9115
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0885
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9085
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0915
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9105
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0895
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9220
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0780
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9220
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0780
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9410
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0590
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9280
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0720
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9235
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0765
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9345
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0655
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 194, Buy volume: 80377.17, Sell volume: 15775.77, Average price: 0.5356, Price range: 0.0401 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9595
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0405
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9590
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0410
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9590
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0410
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9600
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0400
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9585
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0415
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9545
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0455
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9610
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0390
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9610
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0390
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9515
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0485
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9415
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0585
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9480
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0520
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9495
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0505
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9575
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0425
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9630
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0370
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9745
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0255
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9720
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0280
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9745
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0255
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9655
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0345
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9645
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0355
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9490
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0510
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9660
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0340
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9665
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0335
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9725
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0275
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9670
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 552, Buy volume: 1058663.37, Sell volume: 93158.14, Average price: 0.5570, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.4150
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.7350
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.7500
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.7550
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.7650
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.7650
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.8050
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.8600
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.8550
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.8600
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9750
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9740
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9665
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9710
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9660
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9665
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9665
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9660
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9650
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9670
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9725
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9715
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 255708775.89, Sell volume: 87953783.14, Average price: 0.5447, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0265
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0275
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0275
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0275
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0275
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0275
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0285
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0285
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0285
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0285
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0285
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0285
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0285
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0280
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0280
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0280
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0285
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0290
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0290
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0290
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0285
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0285
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0285
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0290
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0290
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0290
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0285
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0275
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0280
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 255708775.89, Sell volume: 87953783.14, Average price: 0.5447, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9675
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9675
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9675
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9675
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9670
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9670
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9670
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9615
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9650
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9630
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9585
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9590
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9590
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9595
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9475
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9470
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9490
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9475
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9475
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9475
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9475
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9475
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9490
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9490
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9490
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9495
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9510
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9510
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9495
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 255708775.89, Sell volume: 87953783.14, Average price: 0.5447, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0990
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0985
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0945
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0895
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.1165
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0880
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0955
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0975
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0920
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0870
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0870
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0875
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0875
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0875
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0875
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0870
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0865
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0865
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0745
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0705
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0610
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0670
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0635
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0575
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0465
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0485
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0365
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25974, Buy volume: 3321721.08, Sell volume: 321977.70, Average price: 0.3939, Price range: 0.0340 - 0.9650
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9555
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9570
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9510
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9520
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9495
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9500
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9500
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9360
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9365
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9325
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9330
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9270
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9265
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9220
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9235
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9210
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9240
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9235
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9245
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9210
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9210
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9220
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9375
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9375
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9375
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9400
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9480
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9510
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9525
Trade Summary: Total trades: 125874, Buy volume: 25638258.12, Sell volume: 18047594.34, Average price: 0.4822, Price range: 0.0370 - 0.9630
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0535
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0540
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0510
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0495
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0510
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0515
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0595
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0610
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0535
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0560
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0490
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0490
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0505
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0520
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0515
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0525
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0590
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0675
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0705
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0710
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0605
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0605
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0610
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0465
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0465
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0595
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0615
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 165834, Buy volume: 10243905.71, Sell volume: 17257685.04, Average price: 0.4855, Price range: 0.0388 - 0.9624
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9365
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9380
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9375
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9375
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9335
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9335
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9330
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9260
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9265
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9270
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9310
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9315
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9235
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9295
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9305
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9305
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9205
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9305
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9345
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9245
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9365
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9270
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9315
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9345
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9335
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9340
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9335
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9325
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9325
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103896, Buy volume: 11414413.00, Sell volume: 5144230.62, Average price: 0.4374, Price range: 0.0560 - 0.9460
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0845
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0655
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0585
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0575
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0580
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0580
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0580
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0580
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0570
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0570
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0570
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0545
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0465
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0460
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0455
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0460
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0490
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0485
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0490
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0490
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0490
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0490
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0485
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0475
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0475
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0565
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 213786, Buy volume: 68039258.91, Sell volume: 10617132.24, Average price: 0.7131, Price range: 0.0408 - 0.9660
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9440
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9440
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9460
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9445
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9460
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9465
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9470
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9455
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9460
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9460
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9450
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9465
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9475
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9470
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9460
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9435
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9420
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9500
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9490
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9520
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9520
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9525
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9535
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9525
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9525
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9525
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9525
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9525
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9520
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 201798, Buy volume: 77033092.95, Sell volume: 8961349.68, Average price: 0.6246, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9570
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0725
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0670
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0540
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0530
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0535
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0535
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0535
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0530
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0525
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0610
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0660
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0695
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0970
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0965
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0965
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0980
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.1015
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0630
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0580
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0875
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0595
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0905
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0865
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0990
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0905
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0815
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0705
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137949, Buy volume: 51024306.57, Sell volume: 27459906.44, Average price: 0.4110, Price range: 0.0386 - 0.9616
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9400
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9395
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9270
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9385
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9360
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9355
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9280
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9260
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9255
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9205
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9195
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9035
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9005
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9005
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9020
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9020
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9075
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9095
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9065
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9060
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9100
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9095
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9095
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9215
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9245
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9255
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9235
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9260
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 38627.13, Sell volume: 20574.97, Average price: 0.4492, Price range: 0.0467 - 0.9490
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.1125
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.1105
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.1160
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.1190
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.1175
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.1135
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.1165
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.1060
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0975
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0990
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0975
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0915
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0935
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0960
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0885
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0915
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0895
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0780
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0780
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0590
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0720
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0765
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0655
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0495
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0550
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0545
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0540
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 194, Buy volume: 80377.17, Sell volume: 15775.77, Average price: 0.5356, Price range: 0.0401 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 665526
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Volume: 1730497.639344
Price History:
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9595
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9590
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9590
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9600
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9585
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9545
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9610
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9610
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9515
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9415
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9480
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9495
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9575
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9630
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9745
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9720
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9745
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9655
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9645
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9490
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9660
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9665
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9725
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9670
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9735
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9705
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.9740
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9755
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 552, Buy volume: 1058663.37, Sell volume: 93158.14, Average price: 0.5570, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.5000
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.5000
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.6650
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.3350
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.6650
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.3350
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.6850
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.3150
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.7000
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.3000
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.6850
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.3150
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.3650
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.6350
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.6350
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.3650
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.6350
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.6350
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.6350
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.6350
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.6250
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.3750
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.6150
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.3850
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.3850
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.6150
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.6150
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.3850
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.6000
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.4000
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.3900
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.6100
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.6300
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.3700
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.6550
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.3450
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 19.99, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.6967, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.3450
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.6550
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.3450
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.6550
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.3450
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.6550
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.3450
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.6550
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.3450
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.6600
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.3400
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.6600
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.3400
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.3750
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.6250
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.3750
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.6250
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.3750
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.6250
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.6250
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.3750
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.3550
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.6450
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.3300
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.6700
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.3300
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.6700
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.6700
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.3300
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.6300
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.3700
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.6150
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.3850
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.6100
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.3900
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.6200
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.3800
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.6500
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.3500
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.6500
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 383.17, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5571, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.7018

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.6850
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.3150
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.6600
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.3400
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.6350
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.3650
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.6300
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.3700
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.6300
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.3700
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.6300
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.3700
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.6300
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.3700
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.6400
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.3600
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.6300
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.3700
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.6300
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.3700
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.6250
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.3750
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.6250
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.3750
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.3750
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.6250
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.6250
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.3750
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.6250
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.3750
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.3750
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.6250
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.6300
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.3700
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.6000
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.4000
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.6000
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.4000
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.5950
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.4050
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 53.86, Average price: 0.5993, Price range: 0.5913 - 0.6072

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.4000
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.6000
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.4000
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.6000
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.4000
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.6000
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.4000
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.5950
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.4050
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.5950
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.4050
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.5950
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.4050
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.4100
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.5900
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.4100
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.5900
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.4100
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.5900
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.4100
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.5900
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.4100
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.5900
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.5900
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.4100
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.4100
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.5900
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.4100
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.5900
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.6650
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.3350
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.2950
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.7050
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.7250
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.2750
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.3350
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.6650
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.6600
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 66.59, Sell volume: 54.48, Average price: 0.5490, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6364

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.6650
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.3350
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.3900
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.6100
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.3800
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.6200
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.6100
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.3900
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.6300
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.3700
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.6200
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.3800
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.6300
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.3700
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.5500
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.4500
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.4950
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.5050
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.4700
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.5300
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.4650
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.5350
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.5350
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.4650
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.5100
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.4900
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.5100
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.4900
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.5100
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.4900
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.4900
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.5100
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.4800
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.5200
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.5900
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.4100
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.5900
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.4100
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.5700
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.4300
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 38.73, Sell volume: 21.44, Average price: 0.5105, Price range: 0.5046 - 0.5164

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.5000
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.5000
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.5000
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.6150
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.3850
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.6350
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.3650
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.6550
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.3450
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.6750
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.3250
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.3200
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.6800
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.3750
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.6250
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.6400
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.3600
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.3250
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.6750
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.6800
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.3200
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.3300
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.6700
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.6600
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.3400
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.3450
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.6550
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.3450
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.6550
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.3550
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.6450
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.3550
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.6450
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.3550
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.6450
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.3550
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.6450
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.3600
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.6400
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.4450
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 127.71, Sell volume: 67.34, Average price: 0.4189, Price range: 0.3262 - 0.4496

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.4800
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.5200
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.4800
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.5200
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.4800
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.5200
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.4800
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.5200
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.4800
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.5200
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.5000
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.5000
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.5000
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.4950
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.5050
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.4950
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.5050
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.5050
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.4950
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.4950
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.5050
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.4950
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.5050
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.4950
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.5050
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.5050
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.4950
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 91.17, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5484, Price range: 0.5484 - 0.5484

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.6700
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.3300
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.6700
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.3300
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.6700
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.3300
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.6700
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.3300
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.6500
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.3500
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.6600
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.3400
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.6600
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.3400
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.6500
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.3500
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.6600
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.3400
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.6600
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.3400
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.6600
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.3400
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.6600
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.3400
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 96.07, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.4500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.6950
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.6950
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.6950
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.6950
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.6950
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.6950
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.6950
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 19.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8300, Price range: 0.8300 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.2550
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.6950
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.7000
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.3000
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.7100
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.2900
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.7150
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.2850
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.2900
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.7100
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.2850
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.7150
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.2800
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.7200
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.7000
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.3000
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.2700
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.2600
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.7400
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.2600
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.7400
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.6950
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.2600
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.7400
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.2450
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.6950
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.6950
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.3050
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.2950
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.7050
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.3050
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 9452.20, Sell volume: 1784.42, Average price: 0.6378, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.7150
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.2850
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.2750
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.7250
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.7300
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.7300
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.7350
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.2650
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.7350
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.2650
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.6100
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.3900
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.6050
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.3950
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.4000
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.6000
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.6000
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.4000
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.6000
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.4000
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.4000
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.6000
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.6100
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.3900
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.6100
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.3900
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.6050
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.3950
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.6050
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.3950
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.6050
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.3950
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.6050
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.3950
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.6100
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.3900
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.6100
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.3900
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 32.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4600, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.5600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.6200
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.3800
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.6200
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.3800
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.3800
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.6200
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.3800
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.6200
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.3800
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.6200
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.6200
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.3800
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.3800
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.6200
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.6200
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7600, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.3800
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.6200
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.3800
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.6200
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.3800
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.6200
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.3800
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.6200
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.3800
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.6200
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.3800
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.6200
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.3800
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.6200
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.3800
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.6200
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.6200
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.3800
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.3800
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.6200
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.3800
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.6200
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.3800
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.6200
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.3750
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.6250
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.6250
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.3750
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.3750
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.6250
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.3750
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.6250
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9945
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0060
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0060
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1301.83, Sell volume: 500.10, Average price: 0.7418, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.5000
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.5000
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.6650
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.3350
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.6650
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.3350
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.6850
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.3150
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.7000
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.3000
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.6850
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.3150
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.3650
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.6350
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.6350
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.3650
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.6350
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.6350
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.6350
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.6350
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.6250
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.3750
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.6150
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.3850
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.3850
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 19.99, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.6967, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.3450
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.6550
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.3450
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.6550
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.3450
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.6550
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.3450
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.6550
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.3450
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.6600
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.3400
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.6600
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.3400
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.3750
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.6250
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.3750
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.6250
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.3750
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.6250
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.6250
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.3750
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.3550
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.6450
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.3300
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.6700
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.3300
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.6700
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.6700
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.3300
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 383.17, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5571, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.7018
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.6850
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.3150
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.6600
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.3400
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.6350
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.3650
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.6300
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.3700
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.6300
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.3700
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.6300
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.3700
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.6300
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.3700
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.6400
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.3600
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.6300
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.3700
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.6300
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.3700
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.6250
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.3750
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.6250
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.3750
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.3750
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.6250
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.6250
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.3750
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.6250
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 53.86, Average price: 0.5993, Price range: 0.5913 - 0.6072
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.4000
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.6000
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.4000
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.6000
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.4000
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.6000
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.4000
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.5950
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.4050
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.5950
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.4050
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.5950
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.4050
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.4100
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.5900
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.4100
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.5900
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.4100
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.5900
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.4100
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.5900
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.4100
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.5900
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.5900
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.4100
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.4100
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.5900
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.4100
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.5900
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 66.59, Sell volume: 54.48, Average price: 0.5490, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6364
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.6650
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.3350
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.3900
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.6100
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.3800
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.6200
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.6100
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.3900
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.6300
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.3700
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.6200
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.3800
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.6300
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.3700
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.5500
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.4500
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.4950
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.5050
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.4700
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.5300
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.4650
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.5350
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.5350
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.4650
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.5100
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.4900
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.5100
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.4900
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.5100
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 38.73, Sell volume: 21.44, Average price: 0.5105, Price range: 0.5046 - 0.5164
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.5000
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.5000
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.5000
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.6150
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.3850
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.6350
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.3650
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.6550
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.3450
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.6750
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.3250
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.3200
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.6800
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.3750
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.6250
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.6400
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.3600
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.3250
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.6750
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.6800
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.3200
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.3300
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.6700
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.6600
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.3400
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.3450
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.6550
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.3450
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.6550
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 127.71, Sell volume: 67.34, Average price: 0.4189, Price range: 0.3262 - 0.4496
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.4800
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.5200
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.4800
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.5200
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.4800
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.5200
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.4800
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.5200
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.4800
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.5200
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.5000
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.5000
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.5000
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.4950
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.5050
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.4950
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 91.17, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5484, Price range: 0.5484 - 0.5484
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.6700
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.3300
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.6700
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.3300
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.6700
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.3300
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.6700
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.3300
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.6500
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.3500
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.6600
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.3400
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.6600
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.3400
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.6500
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.3500
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.6600
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.3400
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.6600
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.3400
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.6600
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.3400
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 96.07, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.4500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.6950
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.6950
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 19.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8300, Price range: 0.8300 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.2550
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.6950
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.7000
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.3000
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.7100
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.2900
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.7150
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.2850
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.2900
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.7100
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.2850
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.7150
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.2800
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.7200
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.7000
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.3000
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.2700
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.2600
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.7400
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.2600
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.7400
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.6950
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.2600
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.7400
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 9452.20, Sell volume: 1784.42, Average price: 0.6378, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.7150
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.2850
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.2750
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.7250
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.7300
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.7300
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.7350
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.2650
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.7350
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.2650
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.6100
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.3900
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.6050
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.3950
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.4000
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.6000
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.6000
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.4000
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.6000
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.4000
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.4000
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.6000
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.6100
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.3900
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.6100
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.3900
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.6050
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 32.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4600, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.6200
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.3800
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.6200
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.3800
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7600, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578716
Question: Another MrBeast Kick/YouTube livestream by December 31?
Volume: 11236.619449
Price History:
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.3800
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.6200
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.3800
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.6200
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.3800
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.6200
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.3800
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.6200
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.3800
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.6200
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.3800
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.6200
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.3800
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.6200
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.3800
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.6200
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.6200
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.3800
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.3800
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.6200
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.3800
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.6200
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.3800
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.6200
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.3750
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.6250
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.6250
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.3750
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.3750
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1301.83, Sell volume: 500.10, Average price: 0.7418, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552048
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129300.047877
Price History:
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.2300
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.2800
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.2800
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.2800
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.2800
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.2800
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.2800
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.2700
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.2050
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.2050
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.2050
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.2050
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.1950
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.2050
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.2050
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.2050
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.2000
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.2050
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.1950
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.1950
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.1900
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.1500
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.1300
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.1100
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.1100
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.1050
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.1100
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.1100
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.1100
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.1100
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.1100
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.1100
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.1050
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.1100
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.1100
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.1500
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.1500
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.1500
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.1500
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.1500
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.1500
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.1500
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.1500
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.1550
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.1550
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 2729.15, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.2101, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8435

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552048
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129300.047877
Price History:
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.1650
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.1650
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.1650
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.1650
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.1600
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.1600
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.1600
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.1600
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.1600
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.1600
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.1600
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.1700
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.1700
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.1700
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.2200
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.2200
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.2200
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.2200
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.2250
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.2350
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.2350
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.2350
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.2350
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.2350
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.2450
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.2450
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.2450
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.2450
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.2450
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.2450
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.2450
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.2600
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.2550
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.2500
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.2500
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.2500
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.2550
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.2550
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.2650
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.2650
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.2700
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.2700
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.2700
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.2700
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 5941.34, Sell volume: 1501.59, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552048
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129300.047877
Price History:
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.2950
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.2950
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.2950
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.2950
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.2950
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.2950
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.2900
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.2900
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.2900
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.2900
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.2900
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.2900
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.2950
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.2850
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.2850
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.2850
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.2850
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.2750
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.2800
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.2750
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.2700
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.2700
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.2750
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.2700
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.2750
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.2800
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.2800
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.2700
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.2700
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.2700
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.2700
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.2650
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.2600
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.2600
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.2600
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.2600
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.2550
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.2550
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.2550
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.2400
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.2350
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.2350
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.2450
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.2300
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.2300
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.2300
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.2300
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.2350
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.2350
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 3702.13, Sell volume: 2977.80, Average price: 0.3786, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7700

Output: Yes