Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.3250
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.6750
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.3250
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.6750
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.3250
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.8250
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.1750
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.8150
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.1850
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.7350
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.2650
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.7300
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.2700
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.7300
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.2700
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.7050
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.2950
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.8150
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.1850
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.8250
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.1750
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.8200
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.1800
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.8200
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.1800
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.8200
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.1800
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.8150
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.1850
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.8150
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.1850
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.8200
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.1800
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.8150
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.1850
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.8200
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.1800
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.8150
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.1850
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.7500
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.2500
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.7650
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.2350
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.7650
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.2350
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.7650
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.2350
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.7650
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.2350
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 116.18, Sell volume: 577.09, Average price: 0.7649, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.7750
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.2250
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.7750
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.2250
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.7750
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.2250
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.7750
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.2250
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.7750
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.2250
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.7750
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.2250
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.7750
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.2250
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.7750
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.2250
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.7700
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.2300
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.7550
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.2450
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.7650
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.2350
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.7650
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.2350
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.7650
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.2350
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.7650
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.2350
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.7650
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.2350
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.7650
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.2350
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.7650
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.2350
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.7650
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.2350
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.5400
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.4600
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.4850
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.5150
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.5450
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.4550
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.5850
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.4150
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.6500
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.3500
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.6550
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.3450
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.6500
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 505.00, Sell volume: 634.58, Average price: 0.5587, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.3450
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.6550
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.3450
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.6550
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.3450
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.6500
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.3500
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.6500
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.3500
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.6500
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.3500
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.6550
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.3450
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.6500
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.3500
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.6500
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.3500
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.6550
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.3450
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.6500
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.3500
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.6500
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.3500
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.6650
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.3350
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.6700
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.6700
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.6700
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.6700
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.6700
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.6700
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.6700
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.3300
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.6700
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.3300
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.6700
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.3300
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.6700
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.3300
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.6700
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.3300
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.6750
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.3250
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 593.62, Sell volume: 93.00, Average price: 0.6300, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.6750
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.3250
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.6750
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.3250
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.6750
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.3250
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.6750
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.3250
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.6750
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.3250
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.6750
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.3250
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.6750
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.3250
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.6750
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.3250
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.6750
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.3250
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.6750
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.3250
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.6750
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.3250
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.6750
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.3250
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.6750
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.3250
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.6750
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.3250
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.6750
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.3250
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.7050
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.2950
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.7200
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.2800
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.7200
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.2800
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.7200
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.2800
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.7250
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.2750
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.7250
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.2750
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.7250
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.2750
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.7250
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.2750
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.7250
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.2750
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.7250
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 2575.10, Sell volume: 158.00, Average price: 0.6702, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.2750
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.7350
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.2650
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.7350
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.2650
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.7450
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.2550
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.7800
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.2200
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.8600
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.1400
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.8950
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.1050
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.8950
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.1050
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.8950
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.1050
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.7900
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.2100
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.8050
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.1950
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.8200
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.1800
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.8250
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.1750
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.8450
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.1550
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.8600
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.1400
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.8600
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.1400
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.8600
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.1400
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.8600
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.1400
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.8600
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.1400
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.8600
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.1400
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 4151.69, Sell volume: 442.66, Average price: 0.6670, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.9300
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0700
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.9300
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0700
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.9300
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0700
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.9300
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0700
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.9300
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0700
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0750
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9250
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.0750
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.9250
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0750
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.9200
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0800
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.9250
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0750
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.9250
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0750
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.9250
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0750
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9250
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.0750
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9250
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0750
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.9250
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0750
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9200
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1550.15, Sell volume: 1353.84, Average price: 0.7390, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0750
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.9250
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0750
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.9250
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0750
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.9250
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0750
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.9250
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0750
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.9250
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0750
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.9250
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0750
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.9250
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0750
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9250
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0750
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.9250
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.9250
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0750
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.9250
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0750
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.9250
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0750
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.9250
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0750
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.9250
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0750
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9250
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0750
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.9250
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0750
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.9250
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0750
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.9250
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0750
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.9200
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0800
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.9200
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.0800
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.9250
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0750
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9250
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0750
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.9250
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0750
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.9100
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0900
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 2148.26, Sell volume: 1612.00, Average price: 0.8580, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.9100
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0900
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.9100
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0900
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.9050
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0950
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.9050
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0950
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.9100
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0900
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.9050
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.0950
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.9100
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0900
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.8900
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.1100
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.8900
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.1100
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.8900
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.1100
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.8850
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.1150
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.8900
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.1100
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.8900
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.1100
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.8900
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.1100
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.8900
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.1100
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.8900
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.1100
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.8950
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.1050
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.8850
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.1150
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.8450
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.1550
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.8400
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.1600
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.8550
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.1450
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.8900
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.1100
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.8900
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.1100
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.8850
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.1150
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.8950
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 195, Buy volume: 29542.80, Sell volume: 10383.38, Average price: 0.4966, Price range: 0.0598 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.3000
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.6950
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.3150
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.5350
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.4650
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.5350
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.4650
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.5450
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.4550
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.4250
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.2800
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.7200
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.2800
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.7200
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.2800
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.7200
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.2750
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.7200
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.2800
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.7200
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.2850
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.7150
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.2850
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.7150
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.2850
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.7150
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.2850
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.7150
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.2850
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 288.23, Sell volume: 13.00, Average price: 0.5075, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.6750
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.3250
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.6750
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.3250
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.6750
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.3250
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.6750
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.3250
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.6750
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.3350
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.6650
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.3450
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.6450
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.3600
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.6400
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.3600
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.6400
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.3650
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.6350
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.3650
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.6350
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.3650
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.6350
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.3650
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.6350
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.3650
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.6350
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.3650
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.6350
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 601.72, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5869, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.2900
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.7100
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.1900
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.8100
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.1900
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.8100
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.1950
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.7850
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.2800
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.7350
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.2700
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.7300
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.7500
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.2450
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.7550
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.2400
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.7600
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.2400
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.8150
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.2600
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.7650
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.1850
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.7600
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.2300
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.7800
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.3400
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 404.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3800, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.6850
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.3450
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.6400
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.3650
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.6350
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.3900
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.6100
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.3900
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.6100
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.2650
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.7500
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.2600
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.7300
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.3050
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.5650
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.3100
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.6850
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.3350
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.6600
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.3500
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.6150
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.3850
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.6150
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.3850
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.6150
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.3850
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.6150
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.3850
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.6150
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 367.23, Sell volume: 108.00, Average price: 0.4729, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.3100
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.6750
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.3050
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.6950
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.6950
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.6800
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.3200
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.6000
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.4050
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.5500
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.4500
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.5500
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.4700
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.5250
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.4750
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.5250
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.4750
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.5250
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.4750
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 816.11, Sell volume: 120.40, Average price: 0.4474, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.3250
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.6750
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.1750
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.7350
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.2700
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.7050
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.1850
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.8200
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.1800
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.8150
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.1850
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.8150
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.1800
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.7500
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.2350
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.7650
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.2350
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.8700
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.1300
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.8600
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.1300
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.8700
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.1350
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.8650
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.1350
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.8750
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.1250
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.8700
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.1650
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 116.18, Sell volume: 577.09, Average price: 0.7649, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.7750
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.2250
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.7750
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.2250
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.7750
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.2250
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.7550
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.2350
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.7650
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.2350
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.7650
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.2350
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.5400
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.5150
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.5850
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.3500
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.6500
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.3500
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.6500
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.3450
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.6500
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.3500
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.6500
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.3500
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.6550
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.3500
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.6500
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.3500
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.6500
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 505.00, Sell volume: 634.58, Average price: 0.5587, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.3450
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.6550
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.3500
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.6500
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.3450
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.6500
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.3450
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.6500
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.3350
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.6700
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.6700
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.3300
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.6700
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.3300
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.6700
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.3250
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.6750
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.3250
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.6750
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.3250
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.6750
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.3250
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.6750
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.3250
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.6750
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.3250
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.6750
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.3250
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 593.62, Sell volume: 93.00, Average price: 0.6300, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.6750
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.3250
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.6750
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.3250
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.6750
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.3250
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.6750
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.3250
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.6750
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.3250
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.7050
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.2800
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.7200
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.2750
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.7250
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.2750
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.7250
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.2750
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.7300
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.2700
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.7300
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.2650
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.7300
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.2700
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.7300
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.2700
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.7250
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.2750
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.7200
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 2575.10, Sell volume: 158.00, Average price: 0.6702, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.2750
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.7350
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.2550
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.8600
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.1050
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.8950
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.2100
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.8200
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.1750
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.8600
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.1400
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.8600
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.1400
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.8600
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.1400
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.9150
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.1250
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.9050
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.0950
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.9050
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0800
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.9200
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 4151.69, Sell volume: 442.66, Average price: 0.6670, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0700
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.9300
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0700
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0750
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9250
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0750
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.9250
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0750
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9250
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0750
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9200
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.0800
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.9250
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.9200
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.0800
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9200
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9250
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.0800
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.9250
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0750
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.9200
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1550.15, Sell volume: 1353.84, Average price: 0.7390, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0750
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.9250
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0750
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.9250
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0750
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9250
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.9250
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0750
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.9250
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0750
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.9250
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0750
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.9200
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0750
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.9250
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0900
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.8650
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0900
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.9100
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.9100
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0900
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.9000
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.1000
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.9050
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.1000
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.9000
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.1000
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 2148.26, Sell volume: 1612.00, Average price: 0.8580, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.9100
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0900
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.9050
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0900
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.9100
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.1100
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.8900
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.1150
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.8900
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.1100
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.8900
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.1050
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.8450
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.1600
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.8900
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.1100
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.8950
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.1050
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.8850
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.1100
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.8850
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.1150
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.8850
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.1150
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.8800
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.1200
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.8850
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0850
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.8850
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 195, Buy volume: 29542.80, Sell volume: 10383.38, Average price: 0.4966, Price range: 0.0598 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.7500
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.2500
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.7450
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.2550
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.7400
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.2600
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.7400
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.2600
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.5350
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.4650
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.5350
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.4650
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.5350
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.4650
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.5300
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.4700
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.5300
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.4700
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.5300
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.4700
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.5300
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.4700
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.5300
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.4700
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.5300
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.4700
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.8300
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.1700
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.8300
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.1700
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.8300
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.1700
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.8300
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.1700
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.8300
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.1700
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.8300
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.1700
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.8300
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.1700
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.8300
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.1700
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.8300
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.1700
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.8300
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.1700
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.8550
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.1450
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.8550
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 262.76, Sell volume: 13.83, Average price: 0.8715, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.1150
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.8850
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.1150
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.8850
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.1150
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.8850
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.1150
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.8850
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.1150
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.8850
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.1150
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.8850
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.1150
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.8850
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.1150
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.9250
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.9150
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.8900
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.1100
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.8900
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.1100
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.8900
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.1100
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.8850
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.1150
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.8450
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.1550
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.8500
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.1500
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.8500
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.1500
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.8500
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.1500
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.8500
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.1500
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.8450
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.1550
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.8450
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.1550
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.8450
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.1550
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.8450
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.1550
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.8450
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.1550
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.8450
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.1550
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 202.15, Sell volume: 97.15, Average price: 0.8497, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.8700
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.1300
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.8750
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.1250
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.8800
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.1200
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.8750
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.1250
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.8800
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.1200
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.8750
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.1250
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.8750
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.1250
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.8750
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.1250
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.8750
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.1250
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.8750
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.1250
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.8750
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.1250
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.8750
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.1250
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.8750
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.1250
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.8750
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.1250
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.8750
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.1250
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.8750
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.1250
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.8800
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.1200
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.8750
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.1250
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.8750
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.1250
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.8750
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.1250
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.8850
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.8850
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.8850
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.8850
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.8850
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 423.33, Sell volume: 146.95, Average price: 0.7387, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0600
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.9400
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.0600
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.9400
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0600
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.9550
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0450
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.9550
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0450
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.9550
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0450
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.9550
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0450
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.9550
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.0450
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.9550
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0450
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.9600
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.9550
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.0450
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.9600
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.9600
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.9605
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.0395
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.9600
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.9590
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0410
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.9590
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.0410
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.9580
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0420
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.9560
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0440
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.9565
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0435
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.9645
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0355
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.9595
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.0405
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.9690
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0310
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.9690
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0310
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.9690
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0310
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 92.42, Sell volume: 106.64, Average price: 0.8486, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9770

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.9600
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0400
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.9605
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.0395
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.9600
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0400
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.9605
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0395
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.9610
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0390
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.9735
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.0265
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.9735
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.0265
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.9735
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0265
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.9735
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0265
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.9735
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0265
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.9735
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0265
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.9735
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0265
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.9735
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0265
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.9735
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0265
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.9735
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0265
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.9735
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0265
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.9730
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0270
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.9730
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0270
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.9730
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0270
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.9720
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0280
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.9710
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0290
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.9715
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.0285
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.9715
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0285
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.9715
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.0285
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.9715
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 805.59, Sell volume: 125.73, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.9740

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.9725
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.0275
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9725
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0275
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9725
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0275
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9725
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0275
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9730
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0270
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9730
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0270
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 95.24, Sell volume: 55.01, Average price: 0.9729, Price range: 0.9710 - 0.9740

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.9725
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0275
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9725
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0275
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.9730
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0270
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.9730
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0270
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9730
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0270
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.9730
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0270
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.9730
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0270
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.9725
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0275
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.9730
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0270
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.9730
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0270
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9715
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0285
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.9715
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0285
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.9715
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0285
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.9715
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.0285
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.9715
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0285
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.9715
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.0285
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.9715
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.0285
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.9715
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.0285
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9715
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0285
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9715
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0285
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9715
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0285
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.9715
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0285
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9715
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0285
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.9715
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0285
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9715
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 148.20, Sell volume: 150.69, Average price: 0.8868, Price range: 0.0280 - 0.9740

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0275
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9730
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0270
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9730
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0270
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9730
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0270
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9730
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0270
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9730
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0270
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9725
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0275
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.9730
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0270
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9730
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0270
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9730
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0270
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9725
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0275
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9730
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0270
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.9730
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0270
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.9730
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0270
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9725
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0275
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9725
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.0275
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.9730
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0270
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9730
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0270
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9725
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0275
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.9725
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0275
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9730
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0270
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9730
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.0270
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.9725
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0275
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9725
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.0275
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9725
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0275
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 387.31, Sell volume: 91.83, Average price: 0.8781, Price range: 0.0297 - 0.9740

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.9725
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0275
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9725
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0275
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9725
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0275
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9725
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0275
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9725
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0275
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9725
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0275
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9725
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0275
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9725
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0275
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9725
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0275
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9725
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0275
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9720
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0280
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9720
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0280
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.9720
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0280
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9720
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0280
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9720
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0280
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.9720
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0280
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9720
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0280
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.9720
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0280
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.9710
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0290
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.9710
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0290
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9720
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0280
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.9710
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0290
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.9715
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0285
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.9715
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0285
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.9715
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 2882.27, Sell volume: 340.92, Average price: 0.8147, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9740

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0365
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.9635
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0365
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.9635
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0365
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.9610
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0390
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.9635
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0365
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.9635
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0365
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.9635
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0365
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.9635
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0365
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.9635
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0365
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.9635
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0365
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.9635
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0365
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.9635
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0365
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.9635
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0365
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.9635
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0365
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.9615
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0385
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.9635
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0365
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.9635
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.0365
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.9635
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0365
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.9635
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.0365
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.9635
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0365
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.9635
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0365
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.9635
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.0365
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.9635
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.0365
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.9635
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.0365
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.9635
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.0365
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 1972.02, Sell volume: 1526.85, Average price: 0.7573, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9860
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0140
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9880
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0120
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9875
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0125
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9870
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0130
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.9865
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0135
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.9875
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0125
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.9885
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0115
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.9890
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0110
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.9885
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0115
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.9895
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0105
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.9890
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0110
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.9895
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0105
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9895
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0105
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.9895
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0105
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.9895
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0105
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9895
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.0105
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.9895
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0105
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.9895
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0105
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.9895
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0105
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.9890
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0110
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.9890
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0110
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9890
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.0110
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9885
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0115
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.9895
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0105
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9895
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 185, Buy volume: 9444.56, Sell volume: 11558.59, Average price: 0.0793, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0115
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.9895
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0105
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.9895
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0105
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.9895
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0105
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.9895
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0105
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.9895
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0105
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.9895
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0105
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.9895
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0105
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9895
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0105
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.9895
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0105
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.9900
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0100
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.9900
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0100
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.9900
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0100
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.9900
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0100
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.9900
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0100
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9900
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0100
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.9900
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0100
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.9900
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0100
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.9900
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0100
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.9905
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0095
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.9895
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.0105
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.9905
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0095
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9895
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0105
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.9895
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0105
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.9895
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0105
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 2851.62, Sell volume: 3690.97, Average price: 0.1175, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9910

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.9895
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0105
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.9895
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0105
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.9895
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0105
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.9895
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0105
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.9895
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0105
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.9895
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.0105
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.9895
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0105
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9895
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.0105
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.9895
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0105
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.9895
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0105
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9895
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0105
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.9895
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.9895
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.9895
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.9895
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.9895
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.9895
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.9895
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.9895
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9895
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.9895
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9895
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9895
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.9895
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.9895
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 4683.32, Sell volume: 1716.91, Average price: 0.9703, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.7500
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.2550
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.7400
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.4650
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.5350
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.4700
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.5300
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.4700
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.5300
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.1700
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.8300
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.1700
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.8300
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.1700
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.8300
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.1700
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.8550
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.1450
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.8550
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.1450
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.8550
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.1450
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.8550
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.1450
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.8550
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.1450
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.8550
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.1450
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.8550
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 262.76, Sell volume: 13.83, Average price: 0.8715, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.1150
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.8850
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.1150
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.8850
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.1150
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.9250
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.8900
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.1100
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.8450
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.1500
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.8500
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.1500
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.8450
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.1550
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.8450
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.1550
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.8450
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.1550
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.8500
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.1500
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.8450
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.1550
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.8450
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.1550
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.8500
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.1500
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.8500
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.1500
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 202.15, Sell volume: 97.15, Average price: 0.8497, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.8700
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.1250
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.8750
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.1200
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.8750
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.1250
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.8750
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.1250
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.8750
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.1250
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.8750
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.1200
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.8750
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.1250
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.8850
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.8850
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.1050
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.8950
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.1150
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.8850
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.1150
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.8850
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.1150
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.8850
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.1150
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.8850
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.1150
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.8950
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 423.33, Sell volume: 146.95, Average price: 0.7387, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0600
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.9400
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0450
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.9550
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0450
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.9550
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.9600
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.9600
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0410
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.9580
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0440
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.9645
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.0405
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.9690
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0310
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.9690
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.0310
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.9690
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0305
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.9690
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0310
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.9695
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0400
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.9600
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0395
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.9605
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0395
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.9585
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 92.42, Sell volume: 106.64, Average price: 0.8486, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.9600
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.0395
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.9605
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0390
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.9735
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0265
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.9735
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0265
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.9735
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0265
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.9735
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0270
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.9730
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0280
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.9715
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0285
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.9715
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.0290
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.9715
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.0295
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.9720
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.0275
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.9725
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.0275
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.9730
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.0270
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.9730
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.0270
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9725
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 805.59, Sell volume: 125.73, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0270
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9730
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0270
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.9730
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0275
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.9730
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0275
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.9730
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0270
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.9725
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0270
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.9725
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0270
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.9730
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0270
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 95.24, Sell volume: 55.01, Average price: 0.9729, Price range: 0.9710 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.9725
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0275
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.9730
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0270
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.9730
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0275
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.9730
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0285
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.9715
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.0285
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.9715
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.0285
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9715
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0285
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.9715
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0285
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9715
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0275
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9725
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0275
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.9725
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0275
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.9725
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0275
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.9725
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0275
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.9725
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0275
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.9730
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 148.20, Sell volume: 150.69, Average price: 0.8868, Price range: 0.0280 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0275
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9730
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0270
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9730
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0275
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9730
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0270
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9730
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0270
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9725
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.0275
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9730
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0275
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9730
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.0270
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9725
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0275
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9730
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0270
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9730
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0270
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9725
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0270
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9725
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0275
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9725
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.0275
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9725
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.0275
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 387.31, Sell volume: 91.83, Average price: 0.8781, Price range: 0.0297 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.9725
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0275
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9725
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0275
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9725
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0275
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9725
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0280
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.9720
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0280
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.9720
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0280
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.9710
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0290
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.9710
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0285
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.9715
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0285
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.9695
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0305
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9675
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0320
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9605
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0375
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.9605
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0395
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.9605
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0370
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9610
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 2882.27, Sell volume: 340.92, Average price: 0.8147, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0365
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.9635
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0390
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.9635
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0365
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.9635
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0365
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.9635
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0365
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.9615
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0365
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.9635
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.0365
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.9635
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.0365
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.9635
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.0365
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.9635
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.0360
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.9660
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.0290
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.9760
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.0230
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.9770
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0190
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.9820
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.0180
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.9855
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0145
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 1972.02, Sell volume: 1526.85, Average price: 0.7573, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9860
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0120
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9870
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0135
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.9885
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0110
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.9895
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0110
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9895
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0105
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9895
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0105
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.9895
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0110
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9890
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0115
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9895
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.0105
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.9895
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0105
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.9900
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.0100
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9895
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0100
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9900
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.0100
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.9895
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0105
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.9890
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 185, Buy volume: 9444.56, Sell volume: 11558.59, Average price: 0.0793, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0115
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.9895
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0105
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.9895
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0105
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9895
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0105
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.9900
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0100
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.9900
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0100
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.9900
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0100
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.9895
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0095
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.9895
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0105
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.9895
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0105
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.9895
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0105
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.9895
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0105
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.9895
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0105
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.9895
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0105
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.9895
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0105
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 2851.62, Sell volume: 3690.97, Average price: 0.1175, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520160
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 46878.457705
Price History:
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.9895
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0105
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.9895
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0105
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.9895
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.0105
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.9895
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.9895
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.9895
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.9895
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9895
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.9895
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.9895
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.9895
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.9895
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0105
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.9895
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0105
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.9905
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0100
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.9900
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 4683.32, Sell volume: 1716.91, Average price: 0.9703, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.7000
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.3000
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.7000
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.3000
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.6750
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.3250
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.6750
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.3250
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.4600
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.5400
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.4450
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.5550
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.4600
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.5400
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.4650
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.5350
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.4650
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.5350
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.4650
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.5350
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.8200
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.1800
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.4600
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.5400
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.4600
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.5400
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.3300
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.6700
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.3300
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.6700
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.3300
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.6700
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.3300
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.6700
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.3300
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.6700
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.3300
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.6700
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.3300
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.6700
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.3300
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.6700
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.3300
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.6700
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.3300
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.6700
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.3300
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.6700
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.3300
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 970.42, Sell volume: 51.42, Average price: 0.4836, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.7100
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.2900
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.7100
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.2900
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.7100
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.2900
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.7100
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.2950
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.7050
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.2950
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.7050
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.3000
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.7000
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.3000
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.7000
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.3000
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.7000
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.3000
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.7000
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.3000
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.7000
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.3000
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.7000
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.2950
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.7050
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.3050
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.6950
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.4100
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.5900
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.4150
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.5850
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.4150
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.5850
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.4150
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.5850
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.4150
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.5850
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.4150
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.5850
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.4150
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.5850
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.4150
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.5850
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.4150
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.5850
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.4250
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.5750
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.4250
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.5750
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1557.61, Sell volume: 158.80, Average price: 0.4519, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.5100
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.4900
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.5100
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.4900
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.5100
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.4900
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.5150
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.4850
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.5150
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.4850
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.5100
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.4900
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.4650
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.4650
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.4650
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.4600
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.5400
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.4600
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.5400
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.4600
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.5400
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.4550
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.5450
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.4550
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.5450
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.4550
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.5450
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.4550
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.5450
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.4550
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.5450
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.4650
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.4500
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.5500
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.4550
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.5450
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.4400
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.5600
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.4400
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.5600
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.4400
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.5600
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.4400
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.5600
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.4400
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 942.76, Sell volume: 990.55, Average price: 0.5089, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.5800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.4600
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.4950
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.5050
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.5150
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.4850
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.4950
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.5050
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.4950
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.5050
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.4500
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.4500
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.4500
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.4500
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.4500
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.4500
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.4600
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.5400
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.4550
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.5450
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.5250
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.4750
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.5400
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.4600
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.5350
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.4650
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.5600
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.4400
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.4500
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.4500
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.5600
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.4400
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.5650
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.4350
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.4500
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.5600
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.4400
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.4500
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.4500
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2749.09, Sell volume: 891.50, Average price: 0.5029, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.6400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.5150
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.4850
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.5550
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.4450
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.5350
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.4650
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.5400
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.4600
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.5350
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.4650
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.5350
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.4650
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.5350
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.4650
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.5400
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.4600
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.6500
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.3500
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.6400
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.3600
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.6050
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.3950
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.5650
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.4350
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.5450
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.4550
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.5400
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.4600
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.6000
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.4000
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.6050
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.3950
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.5600
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.4400
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.5500
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.4500
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.5550
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.4450
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.5500
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.4500
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.5500
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.4500
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.5550
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.4450
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.5650
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.4350
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.5750
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.4250
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.5700
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 3925.22, Sell volume: 43.73, Average price: 0.4592, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7757

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.3800
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.6200
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.3800
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.6200
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.3800
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.6200
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.3800
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.6250
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.3750
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.6200
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.3800
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.6250
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.3750
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.6200
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.3800
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.6250
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.3750
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.6200
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.3800
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.6200
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.3800
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.6200
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.3800
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.6300
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.6250
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.3750
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.6250
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.3750
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.6250
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.3750
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.7000
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.3000
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.6550
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.3450
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.6350
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.3650
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.6350
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.3650
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.6850
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.3150
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.6850
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.3150
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.7250
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.2750
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.7450
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.2550
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.7050
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.2950
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 4338.35, Sell volume: 2063.35, Average price: 0.4298, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.6250
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.3750
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.6250
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.3750
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.6250
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.3750
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.6250
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.3750
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.6250
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.3750
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.3550
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.6450
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.5900
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.4100
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.6500
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.3500
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.6500
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.3500
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.6500
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.3500
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.6450
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.3550
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.6150
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.3850
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.6100
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.3900
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.6150
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.3850
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.6050
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.3950
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.6050
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.3950
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.6050
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.3950
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.6200
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.3800
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.6000
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.4000
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.5750
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.4250
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.5850
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.4150
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.5900
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.5850
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.4150
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.5750
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.4250
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.5750
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1099.23, Sell volume: 819.87, Average price: 0.4553, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6159

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.4100
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.5900
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.4100
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.5900
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.4100
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.5950
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.4050
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.5950
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.4050
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.5950
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.4050
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 2580.41, Sell volume: 1154.08, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.5450
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.4550
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.5450
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.4550
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.5450
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.4550
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.5450
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.4550
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.5550
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.4450
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.5550
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.4450
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.5550
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.4450
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.5550
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.4450
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.5550
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.4450
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.5550
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.4450
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.5550
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.4450
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.5900
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.4100
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.6100
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.3900
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.6100
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.3900
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.6100
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.3900
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.6100
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.3900
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.6250
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.3750
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.6250
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.3750
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.6300
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.3700
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.6350
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.3650
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.6350
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.3650
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.6450
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.3550
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.6450
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.3550
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.6450
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.3550
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.6400
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 1123.55, Sell volume: 3472.55, Average price: 0.4239, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.3550
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.6450
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.3550
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.6450
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.3550
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.6450
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.3550
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.6450
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.3550
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.6550
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.3450
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.6400
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.3600
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.5800
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.4200
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.4850
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.5150
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.4300
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.5700
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.4550
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.5450
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.4300
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.5700
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.4400
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.5600
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.4050
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.5950
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.4150
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.5850
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.3900
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.6100
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.3750
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.6250
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.3850
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.6150
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.3650
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.6350
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.3600
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.6400
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.3600
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.6400
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.3500
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.6500
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.3500
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.6500
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.3400
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.6600
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.3350
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.6650
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 389, Buy volume: 26473.65, Sell volume: 9649.64, Average price: 0.5821, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8443

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.2450
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.7550
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.2500
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.7500
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.2400
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.7600
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.2600
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.7400
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.2450
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.7550
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.2300
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.7700
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.2300
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.7700
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.2350
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.7650
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.2250
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.7750
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.2350
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.7650
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.2350
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.7650
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.2350
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.7650
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.2300
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.7700
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.2300
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.7700
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.2250
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.7750
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.7750
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.7750
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.7750
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 9719.40, Sell volume: 589.37, Average price: 0.6761, Price range: 0.2295 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.7600
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.2500
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.7500
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.2500
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.7500
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.2500
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.7500
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.2300
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.7700
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.2300
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.7700
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.2300
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.7700
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.2300
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.7700
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.7700
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.2400
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.7600
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.2400
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.7600
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.2250
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.7750
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.7700
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.7700
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.7700
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.7700
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.7700
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.7700
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.7700
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 14647.77, Sell volume: 1668.41, Average price: 0.6238, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.2500
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.7500
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.2500
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.7500
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.2400
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.7600
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.2450
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.7550
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.2350
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.7650
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.2300
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.7700
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.2450
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.7550
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.2850
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.7150
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.2800
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.7200
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.2800
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.7200
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.2850
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.7150
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.2950
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.7050
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.3000
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.7000
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.2900
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.7100
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.2950
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.7050
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.2950
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.7050
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.2900
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.7100
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.2900
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.7100
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.2900
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.7100
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.2900
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.7100
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.2850
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.7150
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.2300
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.7700
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.2700
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.7300
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.2550
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.7450
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.2450
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 217, Buy volume: 47036.83, Sell volume: 16183.27, Average price: 0.5971, Price range: 0.1326 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.7000
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.3000
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.6750
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.5400
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.4600
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.5350
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.4650
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.1800
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.4600
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.6700
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.3300
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.6700
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.3300
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.6700
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.3300
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.6700
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.3300
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.6700
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.3250
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.6750
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.2750
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.7250
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.2950
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.6700
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.3300
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.6700
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.3350
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.6650
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.3350
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 970.42, Sell volume: 51.42, Average price: 0.4836, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.7100
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.2900
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.7100
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.2950
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.7000
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.3000
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.7000
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.3000
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.7050
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.4100
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.5850
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.4150
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.5850
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.4150
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.5850
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.4250
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.5750
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.4250
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.5750
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.4150
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.5850
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.4150
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.5850
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.4200
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.5800
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.4250
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.5750
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.5500
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.4900
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1557.61, Sell volume: 158.80, Average price: 0.4519, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.5100
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.4900
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.5150
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.4850
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.4650
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.4600
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.5400
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.4550
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.5450
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.4550
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.5450
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.4500
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.5450
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.4400
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.5600
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.4400
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.5600
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.4450
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.5550
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.4400
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.5600
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.4400
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.5600
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.4800
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.5150
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.4850
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.5600
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.4400
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 942.76, Sell volume: 990.55, Average price: 0.5089, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.5800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.4600
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.5150
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.5050
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.4500
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.4500
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.4600
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.5450
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.5400
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.4650
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.4500
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.5650
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.4500
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.4500
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.5400
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.4800
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.5250
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.4700
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.5350
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.4650
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.5150
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.4900
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.5100
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.4900
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.5100
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.5250
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2749.09, Sell volume: 891.50, Average price: 0.5029, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.5150
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.4450
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.5400
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.4650
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.5350
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.4600
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.6400
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.3950
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.5450
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.4600
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.6050
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.4400
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.5550
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.4500
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.5550
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.4350
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.5700
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.4300
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.5700
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.4150
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.5800
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.4250
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.5800
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.4200
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.6300
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.3350
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.6550
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.3950
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.6050
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 3925.22, Sell volume: 43.73, Average price: 0.4592, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7757
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.3800
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.6200
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.3800
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.6200
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.3750
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.6250
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.3800
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.6200
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.6250
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.3750
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.6550
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.3650
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.6850
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.3150
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.7450
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.2950
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.7000
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.2800
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.7200
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.2800
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.6900
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.3200
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.7100
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.3050
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.6000
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.5250
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.3800
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.4450
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 4338.35, Sell volume: 2063.35, Average price: 0.4298, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.6250
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.3750
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.6250
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.3750
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.5900
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.3500
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.6500
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.3550
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.6100
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.3850
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.6050
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.3950
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.6000
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.4250
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.5900
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.4150
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.5750
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.4250
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.5750
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.4250
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.5800
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.4250
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.5750
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.4250
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.5750
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.4250
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.5750
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.4250
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.5850
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1099.23, Sell volume: 819.87, Average price: 0.4553, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6159
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.4100
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.5900
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.4100
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.5950
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.4050
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.5950
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.4100
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.5900
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.4100
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.3450
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.4600
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.5550
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.4650
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.4850
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.4850
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.5350
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.4500
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 2580.41, Sell volume: 1154.08, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.5450
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.4550
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.5450
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.4450
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.5550
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.4450
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.5550
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.4450
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.6100
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.3900
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.6100
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.3750
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.6300
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.3650
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.6450
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.3550
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.6400
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.3600
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.6450
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.3550
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.6400
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.3600
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.6450
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.3550
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.6450
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.3550
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.6450
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.3550
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.6450
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 1123.55, Sell volume: 3472.55, Average price: 0.4239, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.3550
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.6450
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.3550
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.6550
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.3600
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.4850
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.5700
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.4300
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.5600
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.4150
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.6100
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.3850
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.6350
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.3600
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.6500
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.3400
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.6650
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.2550
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.6900
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.2850
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.6550
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.2500
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.7150
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.2450
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.7750
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.2350
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.7750
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.2100
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.7950
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 389, Buy volume: 26473.65, Sell volume: 9649.64, Average price: 0.5821, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8443
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.2450
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.7500
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.2600
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.7550
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.2300
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.7650
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.2350
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.7650
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.2300
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.7750
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.7650
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.2350
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.7650
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.2350
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.7600
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.2450
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.7600
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.2400
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.7600
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.2400
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.7600
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.2400
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 9719.40, Sell volume: 589.37, Average price: 0.6761, Price range: 0.2295 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520162
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 187517.781192
Price History:
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.7600
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.2500
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.7500
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.2300
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.7700
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.7600
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.2250
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.7700
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.7700
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.7700
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.7650
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.7700
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.2250
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.7700
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.7700
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.2300
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.7700
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.2350
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.7650
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 14647.77, Sell volume: 1668.41, Average price: 0.6238, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes