Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0615
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0580
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0590
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0575
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0575
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0585
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0585
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0585
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0590
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0590
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0180
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0230
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0280
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0240
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0235
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0250
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0245
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0255
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0250
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0255
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0265
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0260
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0240
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0590
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0485
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0530
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0550
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0510
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0760
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0780
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0760
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0690
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0765
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0760
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0740
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0765
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0820
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.1855
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.1565
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.1245
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.1365
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0820
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0800
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0795
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0895
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0860
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0990
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69930, Buy volume: 7415440.04, Sell volume: 580638.78, Average price: 0.3759, Price range: 0.0680 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.1015
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.1015
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.1025
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.1230
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.1235
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.1080
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.1040
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.1055
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0990
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0980
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.1020
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0850
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0785
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0465
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0630
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0675
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0620
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0715
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0690
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0345
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0360
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0420
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0415
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0460
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0445
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0400
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0355
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0320
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0355
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0355
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0370
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0370
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0390
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0400
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0890
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0765
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0770
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0865
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0840
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0815
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0860
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0855
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0840
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0670
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0660
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0690
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0700
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0685
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 283716, Buy volume: 23397012.44, Sell volume: 14618726.64, Average price: 0.5673, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.9720

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0655
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0575
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0585
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0580
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0560
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0560
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0560
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0730
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0740
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0740
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0735
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0750
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0760
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0765
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0765
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0760
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0735
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0735
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0735
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0740
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0725
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0705
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0705
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.0705
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0700
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0695
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0390
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0360
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.0340
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0260
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0330
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0475
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0265
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0295
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0175
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0205
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0220
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0205
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0205
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0220
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0205
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0215
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0195
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0175
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0150
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0150
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0140
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0160
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0250
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 133866, Buy volume: 12670442.83, Sell volume: 7384947.66, Average price: 0.5226, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9823

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0265
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0160
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0135
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0105
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0110
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0120
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0120
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0115
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0105
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0115
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0120
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0115
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0110
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0115
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0120
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0120
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0120
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0450
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0535
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0495
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0420
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0610
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0565
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0550
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0840
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.0785
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0765
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0830
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0845
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0840
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0850
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0820
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0940
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.1020
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0825
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0930
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0930
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.0920
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.1170
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.1295
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.1295
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.1480
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.1490
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.1480
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.1430
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.1115
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0845
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0790
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0870
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 225774, Buy volume: 54035340.54, Sell volume: 8747423.82, Average price: 0.5140, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0575
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0580
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0555
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0930
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0915
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.0895
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0900
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0885
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0875
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0840
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0850
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.0850
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0875
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0845
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.1035
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.1030
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0925
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0915
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0935
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0950
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0950
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0950
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0960
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0965
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0855
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0830
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0915
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0915
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0940
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.0945
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0965
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.1020
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.1030
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.1020
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.1025
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0970
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0955
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0975
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0955
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0955
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0955
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0955
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0955
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0905
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0915
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0915
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0850
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0840
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0855
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99900, Buy volume: 25450639.85, Sell volume: 4036839.12, Average price: 0.5476, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9194

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0605
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.0915
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.1015
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.1050
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.1170
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.1155
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.1520
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.1450
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.1550
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.1560
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.1280
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.1090
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.1065
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.1165
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.1175
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.1175
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.1165
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.1160
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.1145
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.1190
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.1190
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.1115
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.1085
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.1120
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.1120
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.1140
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.1170
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.1170
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.1295
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.1310
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.1290
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.1280
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.1295
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.1285
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.1300
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.1290
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.1290
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.1275
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.1310
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.1355
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.1400
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.1375
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.1425
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.1435
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.1435
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.1435
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.1445
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.1445
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.1445
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.1445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 163864, Buy volume: 48811434.21, Sell volume: 5680653.03, Average price: 0.5466, Price range: 0.0689 - 0.9120

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.1440
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.1440
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.1435
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.1450
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.1420
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.1460
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.1485
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.1445
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.1485
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.1450
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.1445
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.1485
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.2080
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.1740
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.1625
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.1455
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.1455
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.1470
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.1465
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.1455
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.1455
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.1370
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.1375
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.1355
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.1365
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.1370
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.1395
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.1430
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.1445
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.1445
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.1445
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.1410
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.1410
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.1410
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.1410
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.1410
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.1410
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.1410
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.1415
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.1415
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0295
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0780
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0895
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0865
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0700
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0980
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0795
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0815
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0815
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.0805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121, Buy volume: 32623.76, Sell volume: 10098.97, Average price: 0.6146, Price range: 0.0354 - 0.9436

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.1160
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.1155
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.1200
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.1095
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.1085
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.1055
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.1040
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.1040
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.1215
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.1245
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.1195
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.1100
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.1125
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.1160
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.1160
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.1160
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0930
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.1025
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.1025
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.1030
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.1075
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.1115
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.1120
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.1035
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.1050
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.1060
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.1050
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.1050
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0705
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.0655
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0590
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.0570
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0550
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0520
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0500
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0640
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0930
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0940
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0880
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0880
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0830
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.0915
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0950
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0835
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0835
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.0850
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0955
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0635
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.0535
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 192, Buy volume: 38919.86, Sell volume: 10404.67, Average price: 0.5245, Price range: 0.0420 - 0.9699

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0490
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0540
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0515
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0515
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0525
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0525
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0540
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0555
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0745
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0550
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0505
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0480
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0700
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0165
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0485
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0420
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0565
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0375
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0425
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0440
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0410
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0590
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0780
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0805
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0355
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0360
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0420
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0505
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0540
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0535
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0535
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0545
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0550
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0545
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0520
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0280
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0265
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0220
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0280
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0465
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0220
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0245
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0230
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0230
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0200
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0220
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0190
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0175
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0200
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 207, Buy volume: 24637.66, Sell volume: 3251.41, Average price: 0.6122, Price range: 0.0159 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0190
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0200
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0195
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0180
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0190
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0150
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0165
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0140
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0135
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0145
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0150
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0160
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0150
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0180
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0160
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0255
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0370
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0370
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0370
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0375
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0375
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0375
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0375
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0385
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0375
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0380
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0505
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0485
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0485
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0480
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0470
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0375
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0215
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0285
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0285
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0285
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0345
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0350
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0285
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0310
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0375
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0320
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0270
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0705
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0380
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0320
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0345
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0345
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0345
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 198, Buy volume: 7963.32, Sell volume: 8004.97, Average price: 0.5178, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0340
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0310
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0310
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0310
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0315
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0320
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0335
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0335
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0145
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0095
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0135
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0090
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0070
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0065
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0055
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0055
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0035
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0035
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0035
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0035
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0035
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0035
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0035
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0040
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0140
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0120
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0120
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0105
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0135
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0135
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0145
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0145
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0145
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0120
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0155
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0140
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0125
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0160
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0160
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0120
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 142, Buy volume: 11156.05, Sell volume: 16537.58, Average price: 0.6511, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0160
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0140
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0140
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0125
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0205
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0150
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0170
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0165
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0160
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0185
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0175
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0175
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0160
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0185
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0070
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0065
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0050
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0045
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0050
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0060
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0055
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0050
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0055
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0010
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0010
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0010
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101, Buy volume: 22156.71, Sell volume: 6417.44, Average price: 0.8392, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.5150
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0275
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.8895
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.1425
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.8615
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0695
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9115
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0470
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9790
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0615
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9095
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0350
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9675
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0275
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9745
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0255
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9750
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0240
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9690
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0330
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9695
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0345
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9810
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0170
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9200
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0630
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9370
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0640
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9385
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 175957633.62, Sell volume: 41213750.81, Average price: 0.5318, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0615
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9420
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0575
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9425
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0585
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9415
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0590
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9820
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0280
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9760
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0250
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9755
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0250
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9745
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0260
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9750
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0240
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9410
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0530
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9450
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0760
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9220
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0690
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9235
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0740
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9235
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.1855
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.8435
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.1365
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69930, Buy volume: 7415440.04, Sell volume: 580638.78, Average price: 0.3759, Price range: 0.0680 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.1015
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.8985
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.1230
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.8765
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.1040
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.8945
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0980
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9050
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0850
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9215
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0630
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9325
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0715
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9310
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0360
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9580
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0460
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9555
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0355
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9680
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0355
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9630
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0390
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9600
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0765
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9230
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0840
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9185
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0855
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 283716, Buy volume: 23397012.44, Sell volume: 14618726.64, Average price: 0.5673, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.9720
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0655
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9425
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0580
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9440
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0560
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9270
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0740
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9265
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0760
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9235
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0760
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9265
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0735
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9260
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0705
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.9295
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0700
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9305
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0360
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.9660
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0330
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9525
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0295
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9825
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0220
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9795
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0220
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0195
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 133866, Buy volume: 12670442.83, Sell volume: 7384947.66, Average price: 0.5226, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9823
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0265
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9840
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0105
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.9890
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0120
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9885
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0115
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9880
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0110
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9885
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0120
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.9880
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0535
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.9505
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0610
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.9435
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0840
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9215
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0830
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.9155
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0850
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.9180
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.1020
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9175
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0930
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.9080
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.1295
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.8705
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.1490
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.8520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 225774, Buy volume: 54035340.54, Sell volume: 8747423.82, Average price: 0.5140, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0575
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.9420
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0930
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9085
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0900
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9115
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0840
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9150
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0875
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9155
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.1030
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9075
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0935
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.9050
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0950
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9040
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0855
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9170
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0915
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9060
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0965
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.8980
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.1020
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.8975
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0955
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.9025
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0955
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9045
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0955
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99900, Buy volume: 25450639.85, Sell volume: 4036839.12, Average price: 0.5476, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9194
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0605
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9085
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.1050
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.8830
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.1520
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.8550
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.1560
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.8720
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.1065
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.8835
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.1175
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.8835
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.1145
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.8810
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.1115
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.8915
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.1120
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.8860
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.1170
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.8705
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.1290
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.8720
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.1285
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.8700
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.1290
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.8725
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.1355
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.8600
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.1425
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.8565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 163864, Buy volume: 48811434.21, Sell volume: 5680653.03, Average price: 0.5466, Price range: 0.0689 - 0.9120
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.1440
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.8560
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.1450
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.8580
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.1485
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.8555
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.1450
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.8555
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.2080
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.8260
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.1455
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.8545
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.1465
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.8545
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.1370
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.8625
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.1365
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.8630
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.1430
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.8555
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.1445
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.8590
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.1410
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.8590
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.1410
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.8590
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.1415
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.9705
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0895
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121, Buy volume: 32623.76, Sell volume: 10098.97, Average price: 0.6146, Price range: 0.0354 - 0.9436
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.1160
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.8845
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.1095
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.8915
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.1040
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.8960
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.1245
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.8805
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.1125
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.8840
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.1160
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.9070
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.1025
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.8970
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.1115
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.8880
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.1050
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.8940
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.1050
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9295
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0590
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9430
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0520
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.9500
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0930
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9060
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0880
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.9170
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0950
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.9165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 192, Buy volume: 38919.86, Sell volume: 10404.67, Average price: 0.5245, Price range: 0.0420 - 0.9699
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0490
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9460
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0515
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9475
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0540
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9445
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0550
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.9495
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0700
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9835
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0420
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9435
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0425
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9560
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0590
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9220
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0355
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9640
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0505
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.9460
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0535
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9455
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0545
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9480
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0265
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9780
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0465
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9780
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0230
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 207, Buy volume: 24637.66, Sell volume: 3251.41, Average price: 0.6122, Price range: 0.0159 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0190
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9800
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0180
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9810
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0165
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.9860
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0145
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9850
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0150
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9820
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0255
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9630
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0370
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9625
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0375
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9625
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0375
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9620
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0485
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.9515
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0470
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9625
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0285
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9715
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0345
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9650
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0310
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.9625
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0270
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.9295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 198, Buy volume: 7963.32, Sell volume: 8004.97, Average price: 0.5178, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0340
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9690
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0310
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9685
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0335
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9665
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0095
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.9960
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0090
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9930
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0065
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9940
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0055
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9965
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0035
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9965
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0035
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9965
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9965
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0035
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9965
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0140
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9880
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0105
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9865
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0145
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9855
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0120
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 142, Buy volume: 11156.05, Sell volume: 16537.58, Average price: 0.6511, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547459
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Volume: 331563.136671
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0160
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9860
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0125
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9795
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0170
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9835
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0185
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9825
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0160
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9815
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9935
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9955
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0050
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9940
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0050
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9945
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101, Buy volume: 22156.71, Sell volume: 6417.44, Average price: 0.8392, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.1950
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0400
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0355
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0345
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0235
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0060
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0075
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0075
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0060
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0060
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0060
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0040
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0080
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0080
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0075
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0070
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0070
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0070
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0070
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0070
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0070
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0070
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0060
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0060
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 978.69, Sell volume: 2252.91, Average price: 0.3451, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0060
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0060
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0065
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0065
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0060
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0065
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0065
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0065
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0065
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0065
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0075
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0070
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0150
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0140
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0135
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0115
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0160
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0150
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0150
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0135
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0155
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0145
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0150
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0150
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0135
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0055
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0055
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 998.45, Sell volume: 304.59, Average price: 0.4060, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 1518.01, Sell volume: 887.56, Average price: 0.7274, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 150.00, Sell volume: 581.01, Average price: 0.7266, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0010
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0010
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 3477.85, Sell volume: 1670.57, Average price: 0.8097, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 257, Buy volume: 19841.02, Sell volume: 16911.64, Average price: 0.5691, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0020
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0020
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 6603.98, Sell volume: 1370.00, Average price: 0.3338, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0045
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0045
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.0045
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0045
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.0045
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0045
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0020
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 3114.03, Sell volume: 9719.00, Average price: 0.1839, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 120.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 257, Buy volume: 19841.02, Sell volume: 16911.64, Average price: 0.5691, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0355
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9655
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9940
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0075
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9935
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0060
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9940
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0040
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9950
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9950
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9950
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9920
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9940
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9930
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0070
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9930
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0070
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9930
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 978.69, Sell volume: 2252.91, Average price: 0.3451, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0060
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9940
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0065
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9935
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0065
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9935
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0065
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9935
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0070
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9850
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0135
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9885
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0150
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9850
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9845
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0150
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9850
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9945
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9960
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9955
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9955
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9955
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 998.45, Sell volume: 304.59, Average price: 0.4060, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9955
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9955
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9960
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9965
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9965
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9965
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9965
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9965
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9960
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9965
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9965
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9970
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9975
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9975
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 1518.01, Sell volume: 887.56, Average price: 0.7274, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9980
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 150.00, Sell volume: 581.01, Average price: 0.7266, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 3477.85, Sell volume: 1670.57, Average price: 0.8097, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 257, Buy volume: 19841.02, Sell volume: 16911.64, Average price: 0.5691, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9980
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.9980
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.9980
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 6603.98, Sell volume: 1370.00, Average price: 0.3338, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9950
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.9950
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9950
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9950
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9950
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.9950
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9950
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9950
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9955
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0045
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9955
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0045
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9955
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0020
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.9990
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9990
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.9990
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 3114.03, Sell volume: 9719.00, Average price: 0.1839, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 120.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 257, Buy volume: 19841.02, Sell volume: 16911.64, Average price: 0.5691, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547460
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Volume: 36752.660122
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.4000
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.1950
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0195
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0145
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0080
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 691.84, Sell volume: 1744.77, Average price: 0.3027, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 7544.69, Sell volume: 304.59, Average price: 0.4328, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0020
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0020
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 1663.31, Sell volume: 7237.55, Average price: 0.7352, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 130.00, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.7495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 2995.89, Sell volume: 2220.23, Average price: 0.7889, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 294, Buy volume: 26496.48, Sell volume: 20754.62, Average price: 0.6530, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1129.64, Sell volume: 740.71, Average price: 0.9589, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 941.12, Sell volume: 4818.94, Average price: 0.8846, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 5000.00, Sell volume: 3457.83, Average price: 0.1436, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 294, Buy volume: 26496.48, Sell volume: 20754.62, Average price: 0.6530, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.6000
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0195
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9855
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9945
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9955
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9955
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9955
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9955
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9955
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9955
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9955
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9955
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9955
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9955
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9965
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 691.84, Sell volume: 1744.77, Average price: 0.3027, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9965
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9965
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9970
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9965
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9965
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9965
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9965
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9965
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9965
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9965
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9965
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9965
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9965
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9965
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 7544.69, Sell volume: 304.59, Average price: 0.4328, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9965
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9965
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9965
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9965
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9965
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9965
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9965
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9970
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9970
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9975
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9970
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9970
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0020
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0020
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 1663.31, Sell volume: 7237.55, Average price: 0.7352, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9980
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 130.00, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.7495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 2995.89, Sell volume: 2220.23, Average price: 0.7889, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 294, Buy volume: 26496.48, Sell volume: 20754.62, Average price: 0.6530, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes