Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525203
Question: Elon out of Trump administration in 2025?
Volume: 645571.500718
Price History:
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.3850
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.6150
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.3900
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.6100
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.3900
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.6100
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.3900
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.6100
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.3900
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.6100
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.3900
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.6100
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.3900
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.6100
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.3900
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.5950
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.4150
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.5850
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.4150
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.5850
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.4300
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.5450
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.4850
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.5150
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.4850
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.5200
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.4800
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.5300
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.4800
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525203
Question: Elon out of Trump administration in 2025?
Volume: 645571.500718
Price History:
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.5200
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.4800
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.5200
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.4800
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.5050
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.4950
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.5050
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.5200
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.4400
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.5650
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.4450
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.5600
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.4250
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.5900
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.4150
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.5850
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.4150
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.5850
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.4150
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.5850
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.4150
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.5850
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.4150
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.6050
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.3800
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.6150
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.6200
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.5000
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.3900
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.5850
2025-01-01 13:00: 0.6600
2025-01-01 22:00: 0.3150
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.6750
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.3450
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.6450
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.6300
2025-01-04 01:00: 0.3700
2025-01-04 09:00: 0.6300
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.4250
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.5750
2025-01-05 11:00: 0.4350
2025-01-05 19:00: 0.5750
2025-01-06 04:00: 0.4450
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.5250
2025-01-06 21:00: 0.4500
2025-01-07 05:00: 0.4900
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.5050
2025-01-07 22:00: 0.4950
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.5300
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.5000
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.5050
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.4900
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.5100
2025-01-10 01:00: 0.4900
2025-01-10 10:00: 0.5050
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.4950
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.5050
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.4950
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.5050
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.4950
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.5050
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.5650
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.3800
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.6250
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.3750
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.6250
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.3750
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.6250
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.3750
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.6050
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.3950
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.6000
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.4050
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.5950
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.4900
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 1552.40, Sell volume: 542.63, Average price: 0.5143, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.5050
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.4950
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.4850
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.5100
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.4750
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.5250
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.4750
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.5250
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.4750
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.5250
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.4900
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.4950
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.5050
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.4950
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.5050
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.4950
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.5150
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.4850
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.5150
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.4850
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.5150
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.4750
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.6350
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.3600
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.6150
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.3750
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.6150
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.4250
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.5850
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.4050
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.6150
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.4100
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.6150
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.3450
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.6500
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.3550
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.5900
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.4150
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.5900
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.4100
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.6400
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.3600
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.6400
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.3600
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.6200
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.4350
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.5650
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.4350
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121, Buy volume: 2916.98, Sell volume: 554.23, Average price: 0.5116, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.5550
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.4300
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.5550
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.4450
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.5550
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.4400
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.5550
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.4400
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.5600
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.4350
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.5600
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.4400
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.5550
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.4850
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.4800
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.5200
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.4750
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.5550
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.4200
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.5850
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.4150
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.5850
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.4050
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.5950
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.4450
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.5600
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.4200
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.5800
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.4200
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.5850
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.4200
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.5850
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.4200
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.5950
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.4150
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.5850
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.4050
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.5950
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.4050
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.5850
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.4100
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.5900
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.4050
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.5900
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.3850
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.6100
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.3900
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.6150
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 4257.30, Sell volume: 1973.90, Average price: 0.4997, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.6050
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.3950
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.6050
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.3950
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.6050
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.3950
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.6050
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.3950
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.6050
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.3950
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.6050
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.3950
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.6050
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.3950
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.6050
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.3950
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.6050
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.3950
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.6050
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.3950
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.6050
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.3950
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.6050
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.3950
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.6100
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.3850
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.6150
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.3850
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.6150
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.4050
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.5950
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.4050
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.5950
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.4050
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.5950
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.4050
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.5950
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.4050
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.5950
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.4100
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.5900
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.4100
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.5900
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.4100
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.5900
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.4100
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.5900
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.4500
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1776.20, Sell volume: 596.26, Average price: 0.5009, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.4450
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.5550
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.4500
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.5500
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.4500
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.5500
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.4500
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.5500
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.4450
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.5550
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.4500
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.5500
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.4500
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.5500
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.4500
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.5650
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.4450
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.5550
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.4450
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.5550
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.4450
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.5550
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.4450
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.5550
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.4450
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.5550
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.4450
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.5550
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.5550
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.5550
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.4450
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.5550
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.4450
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.5550
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.4450
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.5550
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.4450
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.5600
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.4300
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.5700
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.4300
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.5700
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.4300
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.5650
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.4350
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.5650
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.4450
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 375.40, Sell volume: 340.27, Average price: 0.5253, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.5650
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.4350
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.5600
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.4450
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.5550
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.4400
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.5550
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.4450
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.5600
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.4450
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.5550
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.4450
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.5600
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.4350
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.5650
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.4350
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.5650
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.4350
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.5650
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.4400
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.5700
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.4300
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.5700
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.4300
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.5700
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.4300
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.5700
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.4300
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.5700
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.4300
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.4400
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.5650
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.4300
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.5650
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.4450
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.5600
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.4600
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.5450
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.4350
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.5450
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.4400
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.5550
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.4450
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.5550
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.4450
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.5550
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.4450
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.5550
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.4450
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 947.81, Sell volume: 72.02, Average price: 0.5202, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.5800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.5550
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.4550
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.5400
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.4600
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.5450
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.4550
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.5450
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.5300
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.4750
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.5300
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.4700
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.5250
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.4700
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.5350
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.4700
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4700
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.5350
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.4650
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.5550
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.4450
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.5500
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.4400
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.5600
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.5500
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.4250
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.5650
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.4250
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.5650
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.4250
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.5850
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.4100
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.5950
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.5950
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.4150
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.5800
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.4250
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5750
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.6000
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.4050
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.5950
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.4150
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 309.05, Sell volume: 229.37, Average price: 0.5253, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.5850
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.4150
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.5900
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.3900
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.6100
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.3950
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.6050
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.3950
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.6050
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.3950
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.6050
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.3950
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.6050
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.3950
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.6100
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.2450
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.7900
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.2700
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.7100
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.3250
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.6650
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.3450
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.6400
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.3650
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.6100
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.3900
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.6200
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.3800
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.6200
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.3800
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.6000
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.3850
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.6050
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.3800
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.6100
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.3800
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.6200
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.3850
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.6200
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.3800
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.5300
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.4750
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.5300
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.4050
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.6100
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.3650
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.5750
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 143777.26, Sell volume: 143422.88, Average price: 0.5240, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.3500
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.6500
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.3650
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.6350
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.3650
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.6350
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.4050
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.6400
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.3600
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.6400
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.3600
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.6050
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.3950
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.6100
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.3900
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.6100
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.3900
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.6200
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.3800
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.6250
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.3750
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.6250
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.3750
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.6200
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.3800
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.6400
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.3650
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.6550
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.3650
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.6400
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.3650
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.6350
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.3700
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.6350
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.3650
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.6350
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.3650
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.6350
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.3650
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.6350
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.3650
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.6350
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.3650
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.6350
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.3650
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.6350
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.3650
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.6400
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.3650
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 765.23, Sell volume: 434.11, Average price: 0.5248, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.6350
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.3700
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.6300
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.3700
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.6300
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.3700
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.6350
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.3650
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.6350
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.3650
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.6350
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.3650
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.6350
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.3650
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.6350
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.3650
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.6350
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.3650
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.6350
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.3650
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.6350
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.6350
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.3550
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.6300
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.3700
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.6300
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.3700
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.6350
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.3650
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.6350
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.3650
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.6350
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.3650
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.6350
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.3600
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.6400
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.3550
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.6500
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.3450
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.6550
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.3450
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.6550
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.3450
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.6550
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.3750
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.5400
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.4450
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.6150
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 2145.21, Sell volume: 328.52, Average price: 0.5102, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.3900
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.6100
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.3900
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.6100
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.3900
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.6100
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.4000
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.6000
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.4000
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.5950
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.4050
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.6050
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.3950
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.6050
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.3950
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.6050
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.3950
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.6200
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.3800
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.6050
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.3950
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.6050
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.3950
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.6050
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.3950
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.6100
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.3750
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.6150
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.3750
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.6250
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.3700
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.6300
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.3800
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.6200
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.3600
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.6350
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.3650
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.3650
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.6450
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.3850
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.6150
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.3850
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.6200
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.3750
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.6250
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.3900
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.6100
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.3900
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 5576.09, Sell volume: 666.79, Average price: 0.5234, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.6050
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.3950
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.6150
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.3850
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.6150
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.3850
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.6150
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.3800
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.6150
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.3800
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.6150
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.3850
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.6150
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.3850
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.6150
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.3850
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.6250
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.3600
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.6400
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.3650
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.6300
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.3700
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.5850
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.5200
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.4500
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.4500
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.5400
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.4450
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.6050
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.5800
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.4450
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.5550
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.4500
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.5600
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.4350
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.5650
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.4300
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.5700
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.4250
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.5750
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.4250
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.5750
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.4250
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.5750
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.3850
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.6150
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.3850
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.3850
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 165, Buy volume: 10416.62, Sell volume: 2894.63, Average price: 0.5179, Price range: 0.3642 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.5900
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.4100
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.5900
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.4300
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.6350
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.3250
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.3550
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.6950
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.2900
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.7250
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.2750
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.7150
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.2550
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.2950
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.3050
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.6850
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.2900
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.6650
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.3050
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.7150
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.2700
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.7150
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.2850
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.7150
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.2750
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.7250
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.2700
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.7350
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.2850
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.2550
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.2550
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.2450
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.2450
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.7550
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.7600
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.7600
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.2400
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.2400
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.7600
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.2400
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.7600
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.2350
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.7600
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.2400
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.2450
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 142, Buy volume: 11270.16, Sell volume: 5929.63, Average price: 0.4572, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.5000
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.3950
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.2650
2025-01-02 07:00: 0.6750
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.3500
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.6550
2025-01-04 03:00: 0.3700
2025-01-04 17:00: 0.5900
2025-01-05 08:00: 0.4250
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.5500
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.4750
2025-01-07 03:00: 0.4450
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.5050
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.4850
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.5000
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.4900
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.5100
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.4950
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.5050
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.4950
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.5050
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.5950
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.3750
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.3750
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.6050
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.3950
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.5950
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.4650
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 1552.40, Sell volume: 542.63, Average price: 0.5143, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.5050
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.4900
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.5150
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.4750
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.5250
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.4750
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.5000
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.5050
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.4950
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.5050
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.4850
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.5150
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.4850
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.5250
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.3700
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.6200
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.4250
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.5850
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.3900
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.6200
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.3450
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.6450
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.4100
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.5900
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.3550
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.6400
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.3600
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.5650
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.4300
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121, Buy volume: 2916.98, Sell volume: 554.23, Average price: 0.5116, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.5550
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.4350
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.5550
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.4450
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.5600
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.4400
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.5600
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.4350
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.4850
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.5200
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.4450
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.5850
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.4150
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.5850
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.4200
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.5550
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.4150
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.5850
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.4200
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.5800
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.4150
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.5950
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.4150
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.5950
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.4100
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.5900
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.4000
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 4257.30, Sell volume: 1973.90, Average price: 0.4997, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.6050
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.3950
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.6050
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.3950
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.6050
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.3950
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.6050
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.3950
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.6050
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.3950
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.6050
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.3950
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.6050
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.3950
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.6100
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.3850
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.6150
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.4050
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.5950
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.4050
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.5950
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.4050
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.5950
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.4100
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.5900
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.4100
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.5900
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.4100
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.5600
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1776.20, Sell volume: 596.26, Average price: 0.5009, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.4450
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.5500
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.4500
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.5500
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.4500
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.5550
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.4500
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.5500
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.4500
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.5650
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.4450
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.5550
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.4450
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.5550
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.4450
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.5550
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.5550
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.4450
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.5550
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.4450
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.5550
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.4450
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.5600
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.4300
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.5700
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.4350
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.5650
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.4450
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 375.40, Sell volume: 340.27, Average price: 0.5253, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.5650
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.4450
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.5550
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.4400
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.5600
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.4450
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.5600
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.4400
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.5650
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.4350
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.5650
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.4400
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.5700
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.4300
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.5700
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.4300
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.5700
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.4300
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.4300
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.5650
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.4550
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.5650
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.4500
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.5450
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.4450
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.5550
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.4450
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.5450
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.4450
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 947.81, Sell volume: 72.02, Average price: 0.5202, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.5800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.5550
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.4550
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5400
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.4550
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.4750
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.5250
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.4700
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.5300
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.4700
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.4650
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.5600
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.4450
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.5550
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.5600
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.4400
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.5650
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.4100
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.4200
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5850
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.5950
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.4050
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 309.05, Sell volume: 229.37, Average price: 0.5253, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.5850
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.4150
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.6050
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.3950
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.6050
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.3950
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.6050
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.3950
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.6100
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.3600
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.7550
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.6900
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.3350
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.6450
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.3900
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.6150
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.3800
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.6200
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.3950
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.6100
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.3800
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.6200
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.3800
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.6150
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.4750
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.5550
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.3950
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.5700
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 143777.26, Sell volume: 143422.88, Average price: 0.5240, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.3500
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.6350
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.3650
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.6350
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.3600
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.6400
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.4400
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.6050
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.3900
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.6100
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.3800
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.6250
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.3750
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.6250
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.3800
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.6350
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.3450
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.6400
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.3650
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.6250
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.3650
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.6350
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.3650
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.6350
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.3650
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.6350
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.3650
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.6350
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.3650
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 765.23, Sell volume: 434.11, Average price: 0.5248, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.6350
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.3700
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.6300
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.3700
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.6350
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.3650
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.6350
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.3650
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.6350
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.3650
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.6350
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.3650
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.6350
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.6300
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.3700
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.6350
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.3650
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.6350
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.3650
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.6350
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.3600
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.6500
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.3450
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.6550
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.3450
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.6250
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.4650
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.6150
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 2145.21, Sell volume: 328.52, Average price: 0.5102, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.3900
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.6100
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.3900
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.6100
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.4000
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.6050
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.4000
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.6050
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.4000
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.6000
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.3800
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.6050
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.3950
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.6050
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.3950
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.3750
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.6250
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.3700
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.6200
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.3600
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.6400
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.3650
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.6350
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.3850
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.6200
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.3750
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.6100
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.3900
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 5576.09, Sell volume: 666.79, Average price: 0.5234, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.6050
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.3850
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.6150
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.3850
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.6200
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.3800
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.6150
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.3850
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.6150
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.3750
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.6400
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.3600
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.6350
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.5550
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.4550
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.4550
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.5450
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.5450
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.4450
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.5550
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.4350
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.5700
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.4250
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.5750
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.4250
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.5750
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.3850
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.6150
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 165, Buy volume: 10416.62, Sell volume: 2894.63, Average price: 0.5179, Price range: 0.3642 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516906
Question: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Volume: 385147.398348
Price History:
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.5900
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.4200
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.6050
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.6650
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.6950
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.2850
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.7200
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.7000
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.6900
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.3350
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.7100
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.2850
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.7150
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.2750
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.2750
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.7350
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.2550
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.7600
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.2400
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.2400
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.2400
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.2350
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.7600
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.2450
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 142, Buy volume: 11270.16, Sell volume: 5929.63, Average price: 0.4572, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.1150
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.8850
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9050
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0950
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9150
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0850
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 694472484.93, Sell volume: 141410045.35, Average price: 0.4496, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.8650
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.1350
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.8900
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.1100
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.1100
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.8900
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.1200
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 694472484.93, Sell volume: 141410045.35, Average price: 0.4496, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.1400
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.8600
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.8500
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.1500
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.1300
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.8700
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.1300
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.8700
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.1250
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.8750
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.8750
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.1250
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.8750
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.1250
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.8500
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 694472484.93, Sell volume: 141410045.35, Average price: 0.4496, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.1400
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.8600
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.8650
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.1350
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.4950
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.5050
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.3450
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.6550
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.3650
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.6350
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.3750
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.6250
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.5150
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.4850
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.6700
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 694472484.93, Sell volume: 141410045.35, Average price: 0.4496, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.3000
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.8350
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.1650
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9200
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0800
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9200
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0800
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0600
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9400
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9450
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0550
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 481518, Buy volume: 323427999.01, Sell volume: 81853304.76, Average price: 0.5107, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0650
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9250
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0750
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9300
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0700
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9250
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0750
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0750
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9250
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9300
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0750
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 205794, Buy volume: 86095788.57, Sell volume: 11183045.76, Average price: 0.4078, Price range: 0.0682 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9150
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0850
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9510
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0490
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0460
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9540
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.9610
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0390
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0385
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9615
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9555
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0445
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9620
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0380
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9625
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 245806, Buy volume: 228607099.35, Sell volume: 44002277.92, Average price: 0.4025, Price range: 0.0309 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0435
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9565
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9570
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0430
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0370
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9630
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9635
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.0365
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9635
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0365
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0375
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9625
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9595
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0405
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9575
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 143, Buy volume: 76196.94, Sell volume: 19144.89, Average price: 0.4723, Price range: 0.0345 - 0.9670

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9585
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0415
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9580
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0420
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9670
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0330
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9640
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0360
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9610
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0390
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9610
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0390
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9625
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0375
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.0380
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 116, Buy volume: 29142.35, Sell volume: 1616.71, Average price: 0.4534, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9693

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0410
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9590
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9595
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.0405
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0415
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9585
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0445
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9555
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9615
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0385
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9515
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0485
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9600
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0400
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.9630
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 175026.14, Sell volume: 39313.93, Average price: 0.3167, Price range: 0.0374 - 0.9641

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9635
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0365
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9595
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0405
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9630
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0370
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9565
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0435
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9590
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0410
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.9600
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.0400
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0380
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9620
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0385
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 69344.36, Sell volume: 19226.23, Average price: 0.3969, Price range: 0.0335 - 0.9663

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0370
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9630
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0365
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.9635
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0395
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9605
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9610
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0390
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9595
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0405
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9575
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0425
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9585
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0415
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9640
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 50123.42, Sell volume: 55426.35, Average price: 0.4357, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9740

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9615
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0385
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9600
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0400
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9615
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0385
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.0375
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.9625
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9670
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0330
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0060
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9940
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 145, Buy volume: 209598.14, Sell volume: 91980.29, Average price: 0.3046, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.1150
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.8850
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9050
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0950
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9150
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0850
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 694472484.93, Sell volume: 141410045.35, Average price: 0.4496, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.8650
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.1350
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.8900
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.1100
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.1100
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.8900
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.1200
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 694472484.93, Sell volume: 141410045.35, Average price: 0.4496, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.1400
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.8600
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.8500
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.1500
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.1300
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.8700
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.1300
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.8700
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.1250
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.8750
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.8750
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.1250
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.8750
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.1250
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.8500
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 694472484.93, Sell volume: 141410045.35, Average price: 0.4496, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.1400
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.8600
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.8650
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.1350
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.4950
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.5050
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.3450
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.6550
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.3650
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.6350
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.3750
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.6250
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.5150
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.4850
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.6700
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 694472484.93, Sell volume: 141410045.35, Average price: 0.4496, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.3000
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.8350
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.1650
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9200
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0800
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9200
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0800
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0600
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9400
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9450
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0550
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 481518, Buy volume: 323427999.01, Sell volume: 81853304.76, Average price: 0.5107, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0650
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9250
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0750
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9300
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0700
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9250
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0750
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0750
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9250
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9300
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0750
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 205794, Buy volume: 86095788.57, Sell volume: 11183045.76, Average price: 0.4078, Price range: 0.0682 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9150
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0850
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9510
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0490
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0460
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9540
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.9610
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0390
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0385
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9615
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9555
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0445
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9620
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0380
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9625
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 245806, Buy volume: 228607099.35, Sell volume: 44002277.92, Average price: 0.4025, Price range: 0.0309 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0435
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9565
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9570
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0430
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0370
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9630
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9635
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.0365
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9635
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0365
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0375
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9625
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9595
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0405
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9575
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 143, Buy volume: 76196.94, Sell volume: 19144.89, Average price: 0.4723, Price range: 0.0345 - 0.9670
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9585
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0415
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9580
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0420
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9670
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0330
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9640
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0360
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9610
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0390
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9610
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0390
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9625
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0375
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.0380
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 116, Buy volume: 29142.35, Sell volume: 1616.71, Average price: 0.4534, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9693
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0410
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9590
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9595
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.0405
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0415
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9585
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0445
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9555
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9615
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0385
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9515
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0485
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9600
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0400
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.9630
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 175026.14, Sell volume: 39313.93, Average price: 0.3167, Price range: 0.0374 - 0.9641
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9635
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0365
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9595
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0405
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9630
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0370
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9565
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0435
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9590
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0410
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.9600
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.0400
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0380
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9620
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0385
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 69344.36, Sell volume: 19226.23, Average price: 0.3969, Price range: 0.0335 - 0.9663
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0370
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9630
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0365
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.9635
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0395
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9605
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9610
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0390
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9595
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0405
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9575
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0425
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9585
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0415
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9640
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 50123.42, Sell volume: 55426.35, Average price: 0.4357, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595206
Question: Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Volume: 2423971.795742
Price History:
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9615
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0385
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9600
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0400
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9615
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0385
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.0375
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.9625
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9670
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0330
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0060
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9940
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 145, Buy volume: 209598.14, Sell volume: 91980.29, Average price: 0.3046, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.1400
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.1050
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.1150
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.1000
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.0900
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.1000
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.1050
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.0950
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.0950
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.0950
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.0700
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.0600
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.0600
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.0650
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.0550
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.0550
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.0800
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.0850
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.0850
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.0900
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.0900
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.0900
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.0800
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.0700
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.0750
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.0850
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.1000
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.1000
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.1000
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.1000
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.0900
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.0950
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.1000
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.0950
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.0950
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.0950
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.0950
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.0950
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.0950
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.0950
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.0950
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.0950
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.0950
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.0950
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.0950
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.0950
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.0950
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 6156.20, Sell volume: 2162.82, Average price: 0.3970, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0650
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0650
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0650
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0650
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.0700
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0650
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0650
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0650
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.0700
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0650
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0650
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0600
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.0600
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.0600
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0600
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.0600
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.0600
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0700
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.0600
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.0600
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.0600
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0600
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0650
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0650
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.0600
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0600
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0650
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0650
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0700
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0650
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0650
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0650
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0650
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0700
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.0700
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 233.39, Sell volume: 688.92, Average price: 0.6187, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0900
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0900
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0900
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0900
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0900
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0900
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0850
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0850
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.0850
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.0800
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.0750
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0800
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0800
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0900
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0800
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0800
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0800
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0800
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0800
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.0800
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0850
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0800
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0850
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0850
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0850
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.0800
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.0850
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0850
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0850
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.0800
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0850
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0800
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.0850
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.0800
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.0800
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.0850
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.0850
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.0850
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.0800
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.0850
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1536.54, Sell volume: 2142.20, Average price: 0.7759, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.0850
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.0800
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.0800
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.0850
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.0850
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0800
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.0800
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.0800
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.0850
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.0800
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0800
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0850
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.0800
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.0850
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0800
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0850
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0800
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0850
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.0850
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.0750
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0750
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0750
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0750
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0750
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0750
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.0750
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.0750
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0750
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0750
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0750
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0750
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0750
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0750
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0750
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0750
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0750
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0750
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0750
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0750
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0750
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0750
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0750
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0750
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0750
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 30.20, Sell volume: 48.95, Average price: 0.8267, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0750
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0750
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0750
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 31.18, Sell volume: 21.47, Average price: 0.9267, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.0700
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.0700
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.0700
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0600
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.0600
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.0600
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.0600
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0600
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0600
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.0600
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.0600
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.0600
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.0600
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.0600
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.0600
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.0600
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0700
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1601.61, Sell volume: 11.07, Average price: 0.6893, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.0700
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0700
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0700
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.0700
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.0700
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.0700
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0700
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0700
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.0700
2025-04-06 20:00: 0.0700
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0700
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.0700
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0700
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0700
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.0700
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.0700
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0700
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0700
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0550
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0550
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0550
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0550
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.0550
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.0550
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0550
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0550
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0550
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0550
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0550
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.0550
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0550
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0550
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0550
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0550
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 103.30, Sell volume: 1.63, Average price: 0.9333, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0550
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0600
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0600
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0450
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0450
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0400
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0400
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0400
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0400
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0400
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0400
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0400
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0400
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 427.43, Sell volume: 672.94, Average price: 0.7073, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0400
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0350
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0340
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0340
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0340
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0340
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0355
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0345
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0340
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0345
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0350
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0340
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0340
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0345
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0345
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0360
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0330
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0330
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0345
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0345
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0350
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0350
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0325
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0325
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0355
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0360
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0365
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0355
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0375
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0345
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0370
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0390
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.0260
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0395
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0320
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.0365
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.0390
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0375
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.0415
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.0380
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.0390
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.0390
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.0385
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.0365
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.0440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1159.58, Sell volume: 690.27, Average price: 0.7171, Price range: 0.0238 - 0.9698

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0440
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.0460
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0440
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0355
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.0410
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0410
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.0440
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.0355
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0270
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0345
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0305
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0355
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.0315
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0260
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0310
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0330
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.0325
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0330
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.0325
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.0290
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.0275
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0295
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0290
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0250
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0265
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0320
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0320
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0270
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0260
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0265
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0300
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0285
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0275
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0270
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0270
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0270
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0310
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0270
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0280
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0285
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0255
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0275
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0280
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0305
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.0300
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0260
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0255
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0300
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 51.33, Sell volume: 275.86, Average price: 0.6506, Price range: 0.0226 - 0.9742

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0320
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0355
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0345
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0340
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0350
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0340
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0250
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0260
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0285
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0280
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0250
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0275
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0300
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0235
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0290
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0295
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0270
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0310
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0310
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0320
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0340
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0270
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0300
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0335
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0305
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0305
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0345
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0315
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0300
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0275
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0310
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0385
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0220
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0230
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0240
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0235
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0145
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0145
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0110
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0140
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0135
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0150
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0120
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0155
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0135
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0150
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0150
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0150
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0155
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 2464.86, Sell volume: 1213.14, Average price: 0.7702, Price range: 0.0119 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0165
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0150
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0175
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0150
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0150
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0145
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0150
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0150
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0150
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0145
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0150
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0155
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0145
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0145
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0145
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0145
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0145
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0155
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0155
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0155
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0155
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0160
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0175
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0165
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0185
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0185
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0200
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0195
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0195
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0175
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0165
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0165
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0185
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0215
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0200
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0185
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0185
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0135
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0145
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0170
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0190
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0170
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0175
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0175
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0165
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0145
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0175
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 2210.82, Sell volume: 2027.76, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0095 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0115
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0120
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0115
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0115
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0115
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0115
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0115
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0120
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0125
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0125
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0125
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0125
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0125
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0125
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0125
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0125
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.0125
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.0125
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0125
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0115
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0115
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0110
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0120
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0115
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0115
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0115
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0055
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0090
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.0070
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0080
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0080
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0070
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.0080
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0065
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0080
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0065
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0065
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0055
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0055
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2926.15, Sell volume: 1682.19, Average price: 0.5465, Price range: 0.0027 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.1400
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.1200
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.1100
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.0900
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.0950
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.0950
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.0950
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.0700
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.0600
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.0550
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.0800
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.0850
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.0850
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.0900
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.0900
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.0700
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.0750
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.1000
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.1000
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.0950
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.1000
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.0950
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.0950
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.0950
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.0950
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.0950
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.0950
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.0950
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.0900
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 6156.20, Sell volume: 2162.82, Average price: 0.3970, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.0650
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.0650
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.0700
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.0650
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.0700
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0650
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.0600
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0600
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0600
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.0650
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0600
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.0600
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.0600
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0600
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.0600
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0600
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0650
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0700
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0650
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0650
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0650
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0700
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.0650
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0650
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.0700
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 233.39, Sell volume: 688.92, Average price: 0.6187, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0900
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0900
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0900
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0900
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0850
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.0850
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.0750
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0800
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0850
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0850
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0800
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0850
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0800
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0800
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.0850
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0800
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0850
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0800
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0800
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.0850
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.0800
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.0800
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.0850
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.0850
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1536.54, Sell volume: 2142.20, Average price: 0.7759, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.0850
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.0800
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.0800
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0800
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.0800
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0800
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0800
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0800
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0850
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0800
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0850
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0850
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.0750
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0750
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0750
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0750
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.0750
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0750
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0750
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0750
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0750
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0750
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0750
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0750
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0750
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0750
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0750
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 30.20, Sell volume: 48.95, Average price: 0.8267, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0750
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0750
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0750
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.0750
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0750
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.0750
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0750
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0750
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.0750
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.0750
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.0750
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.0750
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.0750
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.0750
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.0750
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.0750
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.0750
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.0750
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.0750
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.0750
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 31.18, Sell volume: 21.47, Average price: 0.9267, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.0750
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.0750
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.0750
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.0750
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.0750
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0750
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0750
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.0750
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.0700
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.0700
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.0600
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.0600
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0600
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0600
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.0600
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.0600
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0600
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.0600
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.0600
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.0750
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1601.61, Sell volume: 11.07, Average price: 0.6893, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.0700
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.0700
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.0700
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0700
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0700
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.0700
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0700
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.0700
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.0700
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.0700
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.0700
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0550
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0550
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.0550
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0550
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0550
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0550
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.0550
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0550
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0550
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 103.30, Sell volume: 1.63, Average price: 0.9333, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0550
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0600
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0600
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0400
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0400
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0400
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0400
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0400
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0400
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 427.43, Sell volume: 672.94, Average price: 0.7073, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0400
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0350
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0340
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0345
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0335
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0345
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0340
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0350
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0340
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0360
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0360
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0330
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0350
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0350
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0345
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0325
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0360
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0365
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0335
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0370
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0260
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0375
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.0365
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.0440
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.0340
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.0390
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.0395
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.0385
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1159.58, Sell volume: 690.27, Average price: 0.7171, Price range: 0.0238 - 0.9698
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0440
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.0460
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.0460
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.0410
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0425
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.0365
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0345
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.0335
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0340
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0310
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0360
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0280
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.0290
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.0265
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0300
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0265
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.0290
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.0265
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0265
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.0270
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0280
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0270
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0280
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.0265
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0285
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0275
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0275
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.0300
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0280
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 51.33, Sell volume: 275.86, Average price: 0.6506, Price range: 0.0226 - 0.9742
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0320
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0335
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0340
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0340
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0245
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0285
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0250
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0270
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0270
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0295
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0310
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0310
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0295
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0310
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0305
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0355
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0280
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0310
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0220
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0235
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0235
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0145
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0125
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0135
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0095
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0145
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0150
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0135
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 2464.86, Sell volume: 1213.14, Average price: 0.7702, Price range: 0.0119 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0165
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0170
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0150
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0155
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0155
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0150
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0150
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0155
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0145
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0145
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0145
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0155
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0155
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0185
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0165
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0185
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0210
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0195
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0165
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0175
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0215
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0190
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0150
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0145
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0200
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0190
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0175
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0165
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 2210.82, Sell volume: 2027.76, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0095 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517427
Question: Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?
Volume: 32591.506276
Price History:
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0115
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0115
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0115
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0115
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0115
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0125
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0125
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0125
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0125
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0125
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.0125
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0125
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0115
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0115
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0115
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0115
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.0065
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.0060
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0080
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.0065
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0055
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0080
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0070
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.0080
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0055
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2926.15, Sell volume: 1682.19, Average price: 0.5465, Price range: 0.0027 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666213
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["90k", "110k"]
Volume: 62256.056771
Price History:
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.4300
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.7750
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.2250
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.8000
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.2000
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.8450
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.1550
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.8450
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.1550
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.7850
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.2150
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.7000
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.3000
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.6900
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.3100
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.6850
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.3150
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.7050
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.2950
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.6700
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.3300
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.6850
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.3150
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.7000
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.3000
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.6900
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.3100
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.3150
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.3200
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6850
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6850
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 4136.23, Sell volume: 54.91, Average price: 0.4955, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666213
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["90k", "110k"]
Volume: 62256.056771
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.3750
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.5500
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.4500
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.6000
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.5600
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.4400
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.4200
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.4050
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.4050
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.6100
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.3900
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.5550
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.4450
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.4550
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 2139.42, Sell volume: 29.96, Average price: 0.4992, Price range: 0.3516 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666213
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["90k", "110k"]
Volume: 62256.056771
Price History:
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.5550
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.4450
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.4550
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.5650
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.4350
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.6250
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.3750
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.6200
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.3800
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.3100
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.3100
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.6750
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.3250
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.6550
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.3450
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.6750
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.3250
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.3300
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.6650
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.3350
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.6600
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.3400
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.6500
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.3500
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.6500
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.3500
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.6550
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.3450
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.6550
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.3450
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.6550
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.3450
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.6600
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 979.73, Sell volume: 710.57, Average price: 0.4976, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.7000

Output: Yes