Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3800
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.6200
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.6200
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3800
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3800
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.6200
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6200
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3800
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3800
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6200
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.3800
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.6200
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.3800
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.6200
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.3800
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.6200
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3800
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.6200
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.3850
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.6150
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3850
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 3892.29, Sell volume: 110.21, Average price: 0.6094, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6100
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3900
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3900
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.6100
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.6100
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3900
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3900
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.6100
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.6100
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3900
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3900
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6100
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.6100
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.3900
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.4900
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.5100
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 176.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5050
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.4950
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.5050
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.4950
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.4850
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5150
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.5150
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.4850
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.5150
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.4850
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.5150
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.4850
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.5150
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.4850
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.5150
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 3892.29, Sell volume: 110.21, Average price: 0.6094, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.5150
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.4850
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.5100
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.4900
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.5100
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.4900
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.5100
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.4900
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3950
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.3950
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3950
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.3950
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.3950
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 727.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5616, Price range: 0.5400 - 0.5832

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.6150
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.3850
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.6150
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.3850
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6250
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.3750
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6250
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3750
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.6250
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.6250
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.3750
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.6350
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3650
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.6350
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.3650
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.3500
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7400, Price range: 0.7400 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.6500
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.3500
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.3600
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.3700
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.6300
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3800
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.6200
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.6200
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.3800
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.3400
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.6600
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.3500
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.6500
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.6550
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3450
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.2200
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.7800
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.1950
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.8050
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8050
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1467.41, Sell volume: 90.52, Average price: 0.4497, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9871

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4100
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5900
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.2800
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.7200
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.2800
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.7200
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.2800
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.7200
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.2850
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.7150
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2950
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.2700
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7300
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.7450
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5500, Price range: 0.5500 - 0.5500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7450
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2550
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7500
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.2500
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.7500
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.2500
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7500
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.2500
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7400
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.2600
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.7300
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.2700
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.2700
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.7300
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.6400
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.3600
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.6400
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.3600
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.6400
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.3600
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.6400
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.3600
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.6400
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.3600
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.6400
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.3600
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.3600
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.6400
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.6400
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.3600
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.6450
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.3550
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.6450
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4267, Price range: 0.4267 - 0.4267
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.6450
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.3550
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.6450
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.3550
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.6450
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.3550
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.3550
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.6450
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.6500
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.3500
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.3500
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.6500
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.6500
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.3500
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.3750
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.6250
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.6250
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.3750
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.6300
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.3700
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6250
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 74.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6467, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.3750
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6250
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.6250
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3750
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.6250
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.3750
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.6250
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.3750
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.6250
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.3750
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.6300
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.3700
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.3750
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.6250
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.6250
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.3750
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.3700
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.6300
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.3700
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.6300
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.6300
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 70.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.4500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3700
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.6300
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3700
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.6300
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.3700
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.6300
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.6300
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.3700
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3700
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.6300
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.3700
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.6300
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 3892.29, Sell volume: 110.21, Average price: 0.6094, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.3800
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.6200
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.6200
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3800
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.3800
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.6200
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.3800
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.6200
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.3800
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.6200
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.3800
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.6200
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.6200
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4200, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.4200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3800
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.6200
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.6200
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3800
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3800
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.6200
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6200
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3800
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3800
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6200
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.3800
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.6200
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.3800
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.6200
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.3800
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.6200
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3800
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.6200
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.3850
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.6150
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3850
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 3892.29, Sell volume: 110.21, Average price: 0.6094, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6100
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3900
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3900
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.6100
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.6100
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3900
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3900
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.6100
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.6100
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3900
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3900
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6100
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.6100
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.3900
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.4900
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.5100
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 176.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5050
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.4950
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.5050
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.4950
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.4850
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5150
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.5150
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.4850
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.5150
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.4850
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.5150
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.4850
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.5150
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.4850
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.5150
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 3892.29, Sell volume: 110.21, Average price: 0.6094, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.5150
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.4850
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.5100
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.4900
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.5100
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.4900
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.5100
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.4900
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3950
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.3950
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3950
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.3950
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.3950
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 727.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5616, Price range: 0.5400 - 0.5832
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.6150
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.3850
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.6150
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.3850
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6250
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.3750
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6250
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3750
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.6250
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.6250
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.3750
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.6350
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3650
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.6350
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.3650
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.3500
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7400, Price range: 0.7400 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.6500
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.3500
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.3600
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.3700
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.6300
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3800
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.6200
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.6200
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.3800
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.3400
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.6600
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.3500
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.6500
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.6550
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3450
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.2200
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.7800
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.1950
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.8050
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8050
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1467.41, Sell volume: 90.52, Average price: 0.4497, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9871
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5500
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4500
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4500
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5500
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4500
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5500
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4600
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5400
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4600
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5400
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4600
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5400
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4600
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5400
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4350
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5650
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4300
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.5700
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 227.98, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.5800
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.4200
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.5800
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.4200
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.4200
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.5800
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.5950
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.5900
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.6400
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 227.98, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.6400
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.3600
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.6400
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.3600
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.6300
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.3700
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.6300
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 227.98, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 227.98, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.6550
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.3450
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.6550
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.3450
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.6550
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.3450
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.6550
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.3450
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.6550
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 227.98, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.6550
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3450
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.6550
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3450
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.6600
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.3400
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.3400
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.6600
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3400
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.6600
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.6600
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.3400
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 227.98, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 227.98, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 227.98, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 227.98, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 227.98, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.94, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3400, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.3400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3100
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.3100
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3100
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.3100
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3000
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.7000
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.3000
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.7000
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 150.00, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.4950, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.1500
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.8500
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.1600
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.8400
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.1600
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.8400
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.1600
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.8400
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.1600
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.8400
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.1800
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.8200
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.1800
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.8200
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.1800
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.8200
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1550
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8450
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9950
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 75.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9795, Price range: 0.9595 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5500
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4500
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4500
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5500
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4500
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5500
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4600
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5400
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4600
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5400
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4600
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5400
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4600
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5400
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4350
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5650
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4300
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.5700
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 227.98, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.5800
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.4200
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.5800
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.4200
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.4200
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.5800
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.5950
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.5900
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.6400
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 227.98, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.6400
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.3600
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.6400
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.3600
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.6300
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.3700
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.6300
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 227.98, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 227.98, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.6550
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.3450
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.6550
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.3450
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.6550
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.3450
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.6550
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.3450
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.6550
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 227.98, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.6550
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3450
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.6550
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3450
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.6600
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.3400
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.3400
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.6600
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3400
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.6600
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.6600
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.3400
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 227.98, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 227.98, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 227.98, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 227.98, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 227.98, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.94, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3400, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.3400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3100
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.3100
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3100
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.3100
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3000
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.7000
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.3000
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.7000
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 150.00, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.4950, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612869
Question: Will Leavitt say "Gasoline" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 267.981975
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.1500
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.8500
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.1600
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.8400
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.1600
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.8400
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.1600
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.8400
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.1600
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.8400
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.1800
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.8200
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.1800
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.8200
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.1800
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.8200
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1550
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8450
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9950
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 75.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9795, Price range: 0.9595 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4800
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5200
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4600
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5400
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 638.28, Sell volume: 1.81, Average price: 0.8195, Price range: 0.3342 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.5350
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.4650
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.5400
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.4600
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 638.28, Sell volume: 1.81, Average price: 0.8195, Price range: 0.3342 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.6000
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5500, Price range: 0.5500 - 0.5500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.6100
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.3900
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.6000
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.6000
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 638.28, Sell volume: 1.81, Average price: 0.8195, Price range: 0.3342 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6000
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.6000
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.6000
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.6000
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5850
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 638.28, Sell volume: 1.81, Average price: 0.8195, Price range: 0.3342 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5850
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.4150
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.5850
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.4150
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 638.28, Sell volume: 1.81, Average price: 0.8195, Price range: 0.3342 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.4000
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 638.28, Sell volume: 1.81, Average price: 0.8195, Price range: 0.3342 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.4000
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.6000
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 638.28, Sell volume: 1.81, Average price: 0.8195, Price range: 0.3342 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.81, Average price: 0.3500, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.3500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 638.28, Sell volume: 1.81, Average price: 0.8195, Price range: 0.3342 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.6750
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.7450
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.2550
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.2550
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.7450
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.2550
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 156.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6578, Price range: 0.6578 - 0.6578

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.2500
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.7500
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.7500
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.2500
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2500
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.7500
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.7500
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.2500
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.7400
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.7550
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.2450
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.2450
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.7550
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.2500
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.7500
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.2300
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.7700
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.7550
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 638.28, Sell volume: 1.81, Average price: 0.8195, Price range: 0.3342 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.7650
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.2350
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.2550
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.7450
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.2350
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.7650
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.7650
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.2350
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.7650
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.8050
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.7100
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1150
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8850
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.1150
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.8850
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1150
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 304.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7268, Price range: 0.3342 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4800
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5200
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4600
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5400
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 638.28, Sell volume: 1.81, Average price: 0.8195, Price range: 0.3342 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.5350
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.4650
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.5400
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.4600
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 638.28, Sell volume: 1.81, Average price: 0.8195, Price range: 0.3342 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.6000
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5500, Price range: 0.5500 - 0.5500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.6100
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.3900
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.6000
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.6000
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 638.28, Sell volume: 1.81, Average price: 0.8195, Price range: 0.3342 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6000
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.6000
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.6000
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.6000
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5850
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 638.28, Sell volume: 1.81, Average price: 0.8195, Price range: 0.3342 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5850
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.4150
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.5850
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.4150
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 638.28, Sell volume: 1.81, Average price: 0.8195, Price range: 0.3342 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.4000
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 638.28, Sell volume: 1.81, Average price: 0.8195, Price range: 0.3342 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.4000
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.6000
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 638.28, Sell volume: 1.81, Average price: 0.8195, Price range: 0.3342 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.81, Average price: 0.3500, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.3500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 638.28, Sell volume: 1.81, Average price: 0.8195, Price range: 0.3342 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.6750
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.7450
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.2550
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.2550
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.7450
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.2550
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 156.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6578, Price range: 0.6578 - 0.6578
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.2500
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.7500
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.7500
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.2500
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2500
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.7500
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.7500
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.2500
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.7400
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.7550
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.2450
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.2450
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.7550
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.2500
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.7500
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.2300
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.7700
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.7550
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 638.28, Sell volume: 1.81, Average price: 0.8195, Price range: 0.3342 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612866
Question: Will Leavitt say "South Korea" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 640.090905
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.7650
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.2350
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.2550
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.7450
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.2350
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.7650
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.7650
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.2350
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.7650
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.8050
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.7100
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1150
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8850
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.1150
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.8850
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1150
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 304.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7268, Price range: 0.3342 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4250
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5750
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4050
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5950
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4050
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5950
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.3950
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.6050
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4000
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.3800
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.6200
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 24.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7833, Price range: 0.6700 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.6600
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.3400
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3400
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.6600
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5950
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4350
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.5650
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8000, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.4950
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4300
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5700
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.4350
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5650
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.5700
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4300
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4250
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.5750
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4250
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.5750
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4200
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5800
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4200
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 70.17, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5801, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.6393

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5800
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4200
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5850
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4150
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.6000
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6050
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 11597.47, Sell volume: 48.06, Average price: 0.6412, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6050
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.3950
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.6100
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3900
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.6100
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.3900
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.6100
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.3900
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.3900
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.6100
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.6150
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.3850
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.3800
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.6200
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.6200
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.3800
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.3800
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.6200
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.3800
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.6200
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.6250
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 7.94, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.6250
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3750
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.6250
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3750
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.3750
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.6250
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.6250
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.3750
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3750
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.6250
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.6250
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.3750
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.6400
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3600
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3600
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.6400
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3600
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6400
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.3600
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.6400
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.3600
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 11597.47, Sell volume: 48.06, Average price: 0.6412, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6400
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.3600
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6400
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.3600
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.6400
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.3600
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.3600
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.6400
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.6450
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.6450
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.6450
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.6450
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.6450
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.3500
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 21.54, Sell volume: 23.23, Average price: 0.6450, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.6500
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 11.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6600, Price range: 0.6600 - 0.6600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.5800
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 126.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5224, Price range: 0.3848 - 0.6600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.5800
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.4200
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.4200
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.5800
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.4150
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.4150
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.4150
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.4150
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.4150
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.4150
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.4150
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 11597.47, Sell volume: 48.06, Average price: 0.6412, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.5700
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.4300
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.5700
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.4300
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.5700
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.4300
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.5650
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.4350
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.4350
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.5650
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.5650
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.4350
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.5650
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.4350
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.5650
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.4350
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.5600
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.4400
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.5600
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.4400
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.4350
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 55.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.4800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.4250
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.5750
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.4300
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.5700
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.4000
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.6000
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.3200
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.6800
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.3650
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.6350
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.5900
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1550
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8450
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1400
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 11216.64, Sell volume: 11.74, Average price: 0.6799, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4250
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5750
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4050
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5950
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4050
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5950
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.3950
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.6050
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4000
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.3800
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.6200
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 24.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7833, Price range: 0.6700 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.6600
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.3400
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3400
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.6600
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5950
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4350
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.5650
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8000, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.4950
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4300
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5700
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.4350
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5650
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.5700
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4300
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4250
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.5750
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4250
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.5750
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4200
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5800
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4200
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 70.17, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5801, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.6393
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5800
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4200
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5850
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4150
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.6000
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6050
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 11597.47, Sell volume: 48.06, Average price: 0.6412, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6050
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.3950
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.6100
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3900
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.6100
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.3900
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.6100
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.3900
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.3900
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.6100
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.6150
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.3850
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.3800
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.6200
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.6200
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.3800
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.3800
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.6200
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.3800
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.6200
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.6250
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 7.94, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.6250
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3750
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.6250
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3750
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.3750
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.6250
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.6250
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.3750
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3750
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.6250
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.6250
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.3750
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.6400
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3600
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3600
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.6400
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3600
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6400
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.3600
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.6400
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.3600
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 11597.47, Sell volume: 48.06, Average price: 0.6412, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6400
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.3600
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6400
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.3600
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.6400
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.3600
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.3600
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.6400
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.6450
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.6450
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.6450
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.6450
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.6450
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.3500
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 21.54, Sell volume: 23.23, Average price: 0.6450, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.6500
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 11.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6600, Price range: 0.6600 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.5800
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 126.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5224, Price range: 0.3848 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.5800
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.4200
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.4200
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.5800
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.4150
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.4150
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.4150
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.4150
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.4150
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.4150
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.4150
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 11597.47, Sell volume: 48.06, Average price: 0.6412, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.5700
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.4300
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.5700
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.4300
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.5700
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.4300
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.5650
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.4350
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.4350
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.5650
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.5650
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.4350
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.5650
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.4350
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.5650
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.4350
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.5600
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.4400
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.5600
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.4400
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.4350
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 55.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.4800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612870
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tylenol" or "Autism" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11645.525182
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.4250
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.5750
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.4300
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.5700
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.4000
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.6000
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.3200
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.6800
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.3650
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.6350
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.5900
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1550
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8450
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1400
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 11216.64, Sell volume: 11.74, Average price: 0.6799, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.6500
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.3500
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.3500
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.6500
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.6500
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.3500
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.3550
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.6450
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.6100
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.3850
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.6150
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.6150
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.3850
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 653.45, Sell volume: 97.54, Average price: 0.7162, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.6200
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3800
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3750
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.6250
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.6250
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.3750
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.6250
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.3750
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 653.45, Sell volume: 97.54, Average price: 0.7162, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.6900
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.6950
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.3050
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.6950
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.6900
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.6900
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 653.45, Sell volume: 97.54, Average price: 0.7162, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 653.45, Sell volume: 97.54, Average price: 0.7162, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.6800
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.6800
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.6800
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.3250
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 653.45, Sell volume: 97.54, Average price: 0.7162, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.6750
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 150.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7667, Price range: 0.7500 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.2550
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7450
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.2600
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.7400
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.2650
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.2550
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.7450
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2550
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.7450
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.7450
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.2550
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.2600
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 653.45, Sell volume: 97.54, Average price: 0.7162, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.7600
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.2200
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.2250
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.7750
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.2150
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.7850
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.2150
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.7850
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.7850
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.2150
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.2100
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.7900
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.2100
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.7900
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.7900
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.2100
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.7900
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.2100
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.7900
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 653.45, Sell volume: 97.54, Average price: 0.7162, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.7100
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.2900
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.7150
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 145.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2572, Price range: 0.2572 - 0.2572

Output: No