Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 6779.71, Sell volume: 522.90, Average price: 0.7208, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 6779.71, Sell volume: 522.90, Average price: 0.7208, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 6779.71, Sell volume: 522.90, Average price: 0.7208, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.2500
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.2450
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.2450
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.2500
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.2250
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.2250
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.2200
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.2000
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.1500
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.1600
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.1550
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.1550
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.1550
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.1550
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.1550
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.1550
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.1550
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.1500
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.1450
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.1450
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.1450
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.1450
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.1450
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.1450
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.1450
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.1450
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.1450
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.1450
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.1250
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.1200
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.1300
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.1250
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0550
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0750
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0500
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0450
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0400
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0450
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0450
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0400
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0400
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0400
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0400
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0405
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1306.93, Sell volume: 326.00, Average price: 0.5341, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9690

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.9420
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9700
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9645
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.9705
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9720
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9745
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.9760
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.9740
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9750
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9845
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.9775
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9880
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.9710
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9760
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9765
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9720
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.9420
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.9460
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9550
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.9450
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.9400
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.9855
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.9850
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.9855
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.9850
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.9890
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.9295
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.9295
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.9290
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.9295
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.9295
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.9710
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.9710
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.9710
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.9690
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.9665
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.9175
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.9170
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.9165
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.9165
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.9865
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.9855
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.9865
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.9865
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.9860
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.9865
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.9855
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.9865
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.9865
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 6355.60, Sell volume: 1157.81, Average price: 0.6545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0020
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.0020
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0020
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.02, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9980
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.9980
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.9975
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.9975
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9975
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.9975
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.9975
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.9975
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.9975
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 7842.16, Sell volume: 1884.83, Average price: 0.6214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0045
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.0045
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0045
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0045
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0045
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.0045
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-01 04:00: 0.0045
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 7842.16, Sell volume: 1884.83, Average price: 0.6214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.9975
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.9975
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.9975
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.9975
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.9975
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 7842.16, Sell volume: 1884.83, Average price: 0.6214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 7842.16, Sell volume: 1884.83, Average price: 0.6214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.9980
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.9980
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9960
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.9960
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.9950
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.9935
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9950
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.9935
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.9935
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9950
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.9950
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.9865
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.9960
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9990
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.9990
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.9990
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.9975
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.9890
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.9890
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.9900
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9900
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.9900
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.9900
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.9900
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.9900
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 179.63, Sell volume: 400.00, Average price: 0.5023, Price range: 0.0056 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0090
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.0030
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0095
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0085
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0045
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0025
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0055
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 7842.16, Sell volume: 1884.83, Average price: 0.6214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.9900
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.9900
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.9900
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.9900
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.9900
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.9900
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.9900
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.9900
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.9900
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9900
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.9900
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.9900
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.9900
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9910
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.9990
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.9990
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.9990
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.9990
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.9990
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.9990
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.9990
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9990
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.9990
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9990
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9990
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 7842.16, Sell volume: 1884.83, Average price: 0.6214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0085
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0075
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0070
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0060
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0095
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0090
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0060
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0085
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0080
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0060
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0080
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0080
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0050
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0090
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0100
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0100
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0090
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0085
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 7842.16, Sell volume: 1884.83, Average price: 0.6214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9965
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9950
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9950
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9950
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9950
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.9950
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9950
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.9950
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9950
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9980
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9950
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 7842.16, Sell volume: 1884.83, Average price: 0.6214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 7842.16, Sell volume: 1884.83, Average price: 0.6214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.2500
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.7550
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.2500
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.7750
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.2200
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.8000
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.1600
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.8450
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.1550
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.8450
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.1550
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.8450
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.1450
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.8550
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.1450
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.8550
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.1450
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.8550
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.1450
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.8550
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.8550
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.1250
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.8800
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.1250
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9450
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0500
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9550
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0450
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1306.93, Sell volume: 326.00, Average price: 0.5341, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.9420
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0355
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.9705
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0255
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.9760
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0250
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9845
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0120
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.9710
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0235
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9720
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0540
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9550
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0600
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.9855
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.0145
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.9850
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.0705
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.9295
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.0705
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.9295
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.0290
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.9710
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.0335
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.9175
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.0835
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.9165
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.0145
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.9865
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 6355.60, Sell volume: 1157.81, Average price: 0.6545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.9980
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.9975
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.9975
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.9980
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.9975
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.9975
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.9975
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.9975
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.9975
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.9975
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.9975
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.9980
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.9975
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.9975
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.02, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9980
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.9975
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 7842.16, Sell volume: 1884.83, Average price: 0.6214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.9955
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.0045
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.9960
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0045
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.9955
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.9955
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.9980
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.9975
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.9980
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.9980
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.9980
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9975
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.9990
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.9990
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.9990
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.9990
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 7842.16, Sell volume: 1884.83, Average price: 0.6214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.9975
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 7842.16, Sell volume: 1884.83, Average price: 0.6214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.9975
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 7842.16, Sell volume: 1884.83, Average price: 0.6214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.9980
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9960
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0055
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.9950
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9950
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0065
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9950
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0135
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.9960
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.9990
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0030
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0110
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.9890
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 179.63, Sell volume: 400.00, Average price: 0.5023, Price range: 0.0056 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.9910
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.0030
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.9905
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.9915
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.9950
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0055
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 7842.16, Sell volume: 1884.83, Average price: 0.6214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.9900
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0100
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.9900
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0100
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.9900
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0100
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9900
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0100
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.9900
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.9990
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.9990
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 7842.16, Sell volume: 1884.83, Average price: 0.6214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0085
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.9930
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9950
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.9905
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0060
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.9915
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0060
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9960
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0080
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.9950
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0090
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.9980
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 7842.16, Sell volume: 1884.83, Average price: 0.6214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0025
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0100
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0035
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0050
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9950
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0050
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9950
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0050
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0050
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 7842.16, Sell volume: 1884.83, Average price: 0.6214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554580
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 9726.986463
Price History:
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 7842.16, Sell volume: 1884.83, Average price: 0.6214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.3000
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.3000
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.3000
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.3600
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.3350
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.3350
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.3350
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.3400
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.3400
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.3400
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.3450
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.3500
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.3500
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.3500
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.3500
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.3500
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.3550
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.3500
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.3450
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.3500
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.3500
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.3500
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.3500
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.3500
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.3500
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.3500
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.3500
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.3500
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.3500
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.3500
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.3500
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.3500
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.3450
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.3350
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.3350
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.3350
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.3350
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.3700
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.3850
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.3750
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.3800
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.3800
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.3800
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.3850
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.3800
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.3900
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.3900
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.3750
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1593.13, Sell volume: 143.78, Average price: 0.5178, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.6350
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.6400
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.6450
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.6500
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.6600
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.6550
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.6550
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.6550
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.6600
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.6550
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.6550
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.6450
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.6600
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.6600
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.6600
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.6600
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.6600
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.6500
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.6550
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.6550
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.6600
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.6600
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.8000
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.8000
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.8050
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.8000
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.7850
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.7850
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.7850
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.7350
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.7250
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.7050
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.6950
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.7200
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.7200
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.7200
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.7200
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.7200
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.7300
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.7400
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.9945
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.9970
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.9970
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.9970
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.9970
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.9970
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.9970
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.9970
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.9970
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3624.21, Sell volume: 1831.30, Average price: 0.5044, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0095
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0095
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.0055
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.0060
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0055
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.0060
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0060
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.0060
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 932.01, Average price: 0.8499, Price range: 0.0013 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9950
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.9945
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.9945
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.9945
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.9945
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.9945
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.9945
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.9945
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.9945
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.9945
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.9945
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.9945
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.9945
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.9945
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9945
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.9945
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.9945
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.9945
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.9945
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 791.76, Sell volume: 62.99, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.0013 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0055
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0050
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.0055
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.0055
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0050
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0050
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0045
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.0050
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0055
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-01 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0050
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0050
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.0050
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0225
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.0125
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0035
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0040
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0210
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0050
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.0050
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0030
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 7287.28, Sell volume: 2970.08, Average price: 0.5274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.9960
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.9960
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.9960
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.9960
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.9960
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.9960
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.9910
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.9945
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.9930
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9940
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.9945
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.9915
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9935
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9950
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.9780
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9870
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.9935
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.9945
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.9915
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.9930
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.9920
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.9880
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.9935
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.9940
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.9930
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.9940
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.9930
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.9935
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.9925
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.9920
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9935
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.9945
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.9930
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.9905
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.9935
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.9950
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.9930
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.9950
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.9945
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.9935
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.9810
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.9960
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.9910
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.9945
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 7287.28, Sell volume: 2970.08, Average price: 0.5274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0275
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.0205
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0045
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 7287.28, Sell volume: 2970.08, Average price: 0.5274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9955
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.9965
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.9800
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.9645
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.9960
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.9950
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.9950
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.9790
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.9965
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9990
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.9990
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.9990
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.9975
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.9695
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.9740
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.9780
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9830
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.9865
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.9870
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.9870
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.9870
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 418.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0024, Price range: 0.0024 - 0.0024

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0140
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.0020
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0155
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0170
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0165
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0165
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0025
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0155
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 7287.28, Sell volume: 2970.08, Average price: 0.5274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.9775
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.9800
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.9780
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.9815
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.9845
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.9850
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.9850
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.9880
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.9880
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9880
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.9880
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.9880
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.9880
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9885
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.9990
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 7287.28, Sell volume: 2970.08, Average price: 0.5274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0085
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0085
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0060
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0070
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0055
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0055
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0080
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0100
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0060
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0090
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0080
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0060
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0080
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0055
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0090
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0080
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0090
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0070
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0100
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0100
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0100
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0090
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0090
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 7287.28, Sell volume: 2970.08, Average price: 0.5274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9815
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.9865
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9785
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.9775
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9825
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9895
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9810
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9920
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9915
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9920
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9980
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9920
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.9900
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 7287.28, Sell volume: 2970.08, Average price: 0.5274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 850.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.3000
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.7000
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.3600
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.6650
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.3350
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.6600
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.3400
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.6550
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.3500
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.6500
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.3500
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.6450
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.3450
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.6500
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.3500
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.6500
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.3500
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.6500
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.3500
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.6500
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.3500
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.6500
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.3350
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.6650
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.3350
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.6300
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.3850
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.6250
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.3800
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1593.13, Sell volume: 143.78, Average price: 0.5178, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.6350
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.3550
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.6500
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.3450
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.6550
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.3400
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.6550
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.3550
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.6600
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.3400
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.6600
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.3500
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.6550
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.3400
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.6600
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.2000
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.8050
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.2150
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.7850
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.2650
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.7250
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.3050
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.7200
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.2800
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.7200
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.2700
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.7400
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.0030
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.9970
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3624.21, Sell volume: 1831.30, Average price: 0.5044, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0095
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.9905
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.9940
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.9940
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.9940
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.9940
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.9940
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.9940
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.9940
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.9940
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.9940
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.9940
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.9940
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0060
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.9940
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 932.01, Average price: 0.8499, Price range: 0.0013 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9950
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.0055
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.9945
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.0055
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.9945
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0055
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.9945
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0055
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0055
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0055
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.0055
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0055
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0055
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.0055
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0055
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0055
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.9945
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 791.76, Sell volume: 62.99, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.0013 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0055
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.9950
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.0055
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.9945
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0050
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.9955
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0055
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.9955
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0050
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.9950
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.9975
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.9980
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.9775
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.9965
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9960
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.9990
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.9790
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.9990
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.9990
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 7287.28, Sell volume: 2970.08, Average price: 0.5274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.9960
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.9960
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0040
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0055
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.9930
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0055
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.9915
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0050
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.9780
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.0065
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.9945
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0070
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.9920
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0065
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.9940
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0060
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.9930
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.0075
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.9920
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.0055
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.9930
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0095
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.9935
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0070
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0055
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.9935
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 7287.28, Sell volume: 2970.08, Average price: 0.5274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.9725
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0045
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 7287.28, Sell volume: 2970.08, Average price: 0.5274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9955
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0200
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.9645
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0050
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0210
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.9965
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.9990
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0030
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0305
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.9740
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 418.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0024, Price range: 0.0024 - 0.0024
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.9860
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.0020
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.9845
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.9830
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.9835
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0155
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 7287.28, Sell volume: 2970.08, Average price: 0.5274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.9775
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0220
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.9815
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.9850
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0120
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9880
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0120
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.9880
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 7287.28, Sell volume: 2970.08, Average price: 0.5274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0085
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0060
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.9930
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9945
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.9920
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0060
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.9910
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0060
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9920
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0090
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.9920
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0070
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.9980
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 7287.28, Sell volume: 2970.08, Average price: 0.5274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0025
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0215
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.9775
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0105
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9810
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0100
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9920
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0100
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0080
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0080
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 7287.28, Sell volume: 2970.08, Average price: 0.5274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554581
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 10257.359233
Price History:
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 850.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.2500
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.2450
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.3450
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.3550
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.3550
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.3550
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.3600
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.3600
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.3600
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.3600
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.3650
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.3650
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.4150
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.4250
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.4250
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.4250
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.4550
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.4700
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.4750
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.4650
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.4650
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.4650
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.4650
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.4650
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.4650
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.4700
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.4700
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.4700
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.4750
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.4750
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.4700
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.4700
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.4750
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.4900
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.5150
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.5100
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.5150
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.5600
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.5400
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.5550
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.5500
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.5500
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.5600
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.5500
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.5500
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.5500
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.5450
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.5500
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.5600
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 3420.81, Sell volume: 490.00, Average price: 0.5065, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.4450
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.4050
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.4000
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.3900
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.3650
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.3650
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.3650
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.3650
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.3650
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.3600
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.3600
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.3650
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.3600
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.3550
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.3600
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.3600
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.3950
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.3900
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.3800
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.3850
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.3800
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.3800
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.2750
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.2350
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.2900
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.3550
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.2800
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.3550
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.3600
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.3500
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.3650
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.3650
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.3650
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.3500
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.3400
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.3550
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.3550
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.4250
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.5850
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.5050
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.0405
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.0405
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.0355
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.0405
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0355
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0305
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.0305
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0300
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0250
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 3926.97, Sell volume: 1283.68, Average price: 0.5736, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.9725
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.9755
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.9865
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.9865
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.9855
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.9870
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.9885
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.9875
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.9820
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.9830
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.9825
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.9815
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.9855
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.9890
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.9890
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.9900
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.9910
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.9885
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.9885
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.9880
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.9890
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.9890
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.9885
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.9885
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.9880
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.9880
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.9875
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.9875
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.9880
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.9890
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.9895
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.9895
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.9895
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.9900
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.9885
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.9885
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.9885
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.9885
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.9885
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.9890
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.9895
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.9890
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.9890
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.9895
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.9895
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.9895
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.9900
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.9895
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.9895
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 955.65, Sell volume: 313.88, Average price: 0.9834, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.0095
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.0095
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0095
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.0095
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0095
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.0095
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0095
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.0095
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.0095
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0095
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0095
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.0100
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0100
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0100
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0100
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.0100
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.0100
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0100
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0100
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0100
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0100
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.0100
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0105
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.0105
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0105
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0105
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0105
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0105
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.0100
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 136.10, Sell volume: 7.19, Average price: 0.9918, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.9910
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.9910
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.9905
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.9905
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.9905
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.9905
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.9905
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.9910
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.9910
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.9910
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.9910
2025-07-01 04:00: 0.9910
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.9905
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.9910
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.9910
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.9935
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.9935
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.9935
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9925
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.9915
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.9945
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.9955
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.9955
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.9960
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.9960
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.9960
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9955
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.9975
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.9975
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.9975
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 2000.19, Sell volume: 1445.76, Average price: 0.7673, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0050
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0050
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0050
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.0050
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0050
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.0055
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0070
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.0090
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0130
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0130
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.0120
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0090
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0090
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.0090
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0090
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.0090
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0085
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0110
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0090
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0100
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.0095
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0100
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0095
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.0100
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0105
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0110
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.0105
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.0105
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0110
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0070
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.0045
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0070
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0050
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0050
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0060
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0065
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0050
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0050
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0055
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0045
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.0080
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0045
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0050
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0065
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 4382.06, Sell volume: 4382.55, Average price: 0.7894, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.9965
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.9960
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.9960
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.9960
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.9965
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.9960
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.9965
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.9960
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.9930
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.9925
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.9935
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.9945
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.9930
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.9920
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.9950
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.9950
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.9935
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.9945
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.9950
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.9945
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.9965
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.9950
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.9950
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9935
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.9950
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.9955
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.9955
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.9950
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.9940
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.9935
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.9940
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.9930
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9925
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.9950
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.9935
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.9930
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.9930
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.9935
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.9965
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.9940
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.9965
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.9965
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 25.97, Sell volume: 72.04, Average price: 0.8169, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.0025
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0045
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0050
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0080
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.0065
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0075
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0055
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0070
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0070
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0070
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0075
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0045
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 9374.98, Sell volume: 243.23, Average price: 0.7135, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.9980
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.9980
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 805.00, Average price: 0.6656, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.0010
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2808.00, Sell volume: 122.87, Average price: 0.2507, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.9990
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.9990
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9990
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9990
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.9990
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.9990
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.9990
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.9990
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9980
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9980
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.9980
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.9980
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9980
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9980
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1029.02, Sell volume: 1300.00, Average price: 0.2864, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1035.99, Sell volume: 18.25, Average price: 0.9976, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9990

Output: No