Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.2500
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.7500
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.2250
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.7750
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.2500
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 149.32, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.6843, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.2350
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.7650
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.6850
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.8100
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.1900
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.8300
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2002.30, Sell volume: 166.12, Average price: 0.4832, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 10143.19, Sell volume: 156.28, Average price: 0.6410, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 10143.19, Sell volume: 156.28, Average price: 0.6410, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 10143.19, Sell volume: 156.28, Average price: 0.6410, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 10143.19, Sell volume: 156.28, Average price: 0.6410, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 10143.19, Sell volume: 156.28, Average price: 0.6410, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 10143.19, Sell volume: 156.28, Average price: 0.6410, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 10143.19, Sell volume: 156.28, Average price: 0.6410, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 10143.19, Sell volume: 156.28, Average price: 0.6410, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 10143.19, Sell volume: 156.28, Average price: 0.6410, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 10143.19, Sell volume: 156.28, Average price: 0.6410, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9790
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0210
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9700
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0300
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9755
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0245
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9730
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0270
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9710
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0290
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9715
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0285
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9770
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0230
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9795
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0205
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9790
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0210
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9785
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0215
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9785
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0215
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9790
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0210
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9790
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 533.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.6000, Price range: 0.0340 - 0.9790

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9790
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0210
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9790
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0210
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9785
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0215
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9790
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0210
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9795
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0205
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9790
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0210
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9780
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0220
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9775
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0225
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9780
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0220
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9805
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0195
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9785
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0215
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9800
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0200
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9775
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 65.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9880, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9880

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9815
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0185
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9800
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0200
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9825
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0175
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9840
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0160
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9845
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0155
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9830
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0170
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9830
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0170
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9815
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0185
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9835
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9815
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0185
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9805
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0195
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9830
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0170
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9830
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 85.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9895, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9830
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0170
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9820
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0180
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9820
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0180
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9840
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0160
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9840
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0160
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9845
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0155
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9835
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9820
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0180
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9830
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0170
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9825
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0175
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9880
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0120
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9890
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0110
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9890
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 625.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9905, Price range: 0.9905 - 0.9905

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9890
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0110
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9890
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0110
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9895
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0105
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9895
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0105
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9895
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0105
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9900
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0100
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9910
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0090
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9910
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0090
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9910
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0090
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9910
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0090
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9905
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9900
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0100
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9905
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 55.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9910
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0090
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9910
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0090
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9910
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0090
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9905
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9905
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9905
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9905
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9905
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9900
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0100
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9905
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9905
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9910
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0090
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9910
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 76.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9910
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0090
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9910
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0090
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9910
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0090
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9910
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0090
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9910
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0090
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9905
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9915
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0085
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9915
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0085
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9900
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0100
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9900
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0100
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9905
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9900
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0100
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9900
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 25.02, Average price: 0.6590, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9860

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9895
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0105
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9905
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9895
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0105
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9880
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0120
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9885
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0115
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9885
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0115
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9885
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9880
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0120
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9880
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0120
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9880
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0120
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9880
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0120
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9880
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0120
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9880
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0149, Price range: 0.0149 - 0.0149

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9880
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0120
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9875
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9875
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9870
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0130
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9870
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0130
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9870
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0130
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9870
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0130
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9895
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0105
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9895
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9895
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0105
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9885
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9915
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0085
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9920
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 800.85, Sell volume: 13.72, Average price: 0.4048, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9929

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9930
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0070
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9905
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0095
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9905
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0095
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9915
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0085
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9905
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9905
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9905
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9930
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0070
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9925
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0075
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9905
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 274.07, Sell volume: 71.44, Average price: 0.2052, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9930
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0070
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9910
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0090
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9905
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9925
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0075
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9905
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9920
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0080
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9910
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0090
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9910
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 268.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5030, Price range: 0.0121 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9910
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0090
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9925
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0075
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9920
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0080
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9895
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0105
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9895
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0105
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9905
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0095
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9905
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0095
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9905
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0095
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 378.99, Sell volume: 242.97, Average price: 0.8148, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 3283.20, Sell volume: 831.15, Average price: 0.6015, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9790
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0210
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9700
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0300
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9755
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0245
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9730
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0270
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9710
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0290
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9715
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0285
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9770
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0230
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9795
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0205
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9790
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0210
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9785
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0215
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9785
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0215
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9790
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0210
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9790
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 533.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.6000, Price range: 0.0340 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9790
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0210
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9790
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0210
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9785
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0215
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9790
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0210
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9795
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0205
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9790
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0210
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9780
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0220
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9775
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0225
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9780
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0220
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9805
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0195
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9785
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0215
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9800
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0200
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9775
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 65.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9880, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9815
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0185
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9800
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0200
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9825
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0175
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9840
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0160
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9845
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0155
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9830
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0170
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9830
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0170
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9815
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0185
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9835
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9815
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0185
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9805
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0195
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9830
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0170
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9830
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 85.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9895, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9830
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0170
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9820
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0180
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9820
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0180
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9840
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0160
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9840
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0160
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9845
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0155
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9835
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9820
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0180
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9830
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0170
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9825
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0175
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9880
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0120
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9890
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0110
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9890
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 625.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9905, Price range: 0.9905 - 0.9905
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9890
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0110
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9890
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0110
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9895
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0105
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9895
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0105
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9895
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0105
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9900
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0100
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9910
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0090
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9910
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0090
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9910
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0090
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9910
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0090
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9905
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9900
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0100
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9905
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 55.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9910
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0090
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9910
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0090
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9910
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0090
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9905
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9905
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9905
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9905
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9905
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9900
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0100
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9905
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9905
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9910
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0090
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9910
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 76.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9910
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0090
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9910
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0090
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9910
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0090
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9910
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0090
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9910
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0090
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9905
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9915
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0085
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9915
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0085
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9900
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0100
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9900
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0100
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9905
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9900
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0100
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9900
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 25.02, Average price: 0.6590, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9895
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0105
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9905
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9895
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0105
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9880
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0120
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9885
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0115
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9885
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0115
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9885
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9880
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0120
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9880
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0120
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9880
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0120
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9880
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0120
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9880
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0120
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9880
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0149, Price range: 0.0149 - 0.0149
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9880
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0120
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9875
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9875
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9870
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0130
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9870
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0130
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9870
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0130
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9870
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0130
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9895
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0105
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9895
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9895
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0105
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9885
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9915
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0085
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9920
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 800.85, Sell volume: 13.72, Average price: 0.4048, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9929
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9930
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0070
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9905
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0095
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9905
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0095
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9915
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0085
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9905
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9905
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9905
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9930
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0070
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9925
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0075
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9905
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 274.07, Sell volume: 71.44, Average price: 0.2052, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9930
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0070
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9910
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0090
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9905
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9925
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0075
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9905
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9920
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0080
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9910
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0090
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9910
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 268.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5030, Price range: 0.0121 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9910
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0090
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9925
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0075
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9920
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0080
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9895
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0105
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9895
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0105
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9905
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0095
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9905
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0095
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9905
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0095
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 378.99, Sell volume: 242.97, Average price: 0.8148, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547791
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gwangju (광주) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4114.348296
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 3283.20, Sell volume: 831.15, Average price: 0.6015, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.2450
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.7550
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.2650
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 249.83, Sell volume: 40.18, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.2627 - 0.7450
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.2500
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.7500
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.2250
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.7750
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.2500
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 149.32, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.6843, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.2350
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.7650
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.6850
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.8100
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.1900
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.8300
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2002.30, Sell volume: 166.12, Average price: 0.4832, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 10143.19, Sell volume: 156.28, Average price: 0.6410, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 10143.19, Sell volume: 156.28, Average price: 0.6410, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 10143.19, Sell volume: 156.28, Average price: 0.6410, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 10143.19, Sell volume: 156.28, Average price: 0.6410, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 10143.19, Sell volume: 156.28, Average price: 0.6410, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 10143.19, Sell volume: 156.28, Average price: 0.6410, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 10143.19, Sell volume: 156.28, Average price: 0.6410, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 10143.19, Sell volume: 156.28, Average price: 0.6410, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 10143.19, Sell volume: 156.28, Average price: 0.6410, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 10143.19, Sell volume: 156.28, Average price: 0.6410, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.4950
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5050
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.1000
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.5200
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.5800
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.4200
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.8650
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 367.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3433, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.8850
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.1150
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.8800
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.1200
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.8850
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.1150
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.8950
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.1050
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9150
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0850
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9150
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0850
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9150
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0850
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9150
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0850
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9150
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0850
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9150
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0850
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9150
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0850
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9150
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0850
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9150
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 7964.57, Sell volume: 1661.70, Average price: 0.5968, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9150
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0850
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9150
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0850
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9050
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0950
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.8850
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.1150
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9000
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.1000
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.8850
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.1150
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.8850
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.1150
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9000
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.1000
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.8950
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.1050
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.8950
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.1050
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.8900
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.1100
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9000
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1382.70, Sell volume: 220.00, Average price: 0.8542, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9551

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9000
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.1000
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9300
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0700
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0550
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9450
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0550
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9450
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 155.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9533, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9450
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0550
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9350
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0650
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9450
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0550
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1167.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5229, Price range: 0.0859 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0500
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0500
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0500
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0500
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 16.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0500
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0500
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0500
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0500
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0500
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0500
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0500
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0500
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9500
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0500
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9500
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0500
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9500
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0500
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9500
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0500
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9500
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0500
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9500
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9500
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0500
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9550
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0450
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9550
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0450
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 90.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0550
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9450
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0550
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9450
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0550
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9545
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0455
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9555
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0445
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9565
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0435
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9590
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0410
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9560
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0440
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9590
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1070.16, Sell volume: 496.66, Average price: 0.6991, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9690

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9590
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0410
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9590
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0410
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9590
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0410
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9600
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0400
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9595
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0405
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9595
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0405
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9595
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0405
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9595
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0405
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9595
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0405
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9595
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0405
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9595
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0405
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9605
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0395
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9605
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1.03, Sell volume: 11.35, Average price: 0.6510, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.9680

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9600
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0400
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9435
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0565
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9425
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0575
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9430
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0570
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9410
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0590
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9525
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0475
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9440
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0560
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9375
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0625
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9395
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0605
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9510
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0490
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9640
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0360
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9845
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0155
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9865
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2911.95, Sell volume: 233.99, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9925
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0075
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9940
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9935
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0065
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9940
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9935
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0065
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9935
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0065
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9935
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0065
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9960
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9965
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9965
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9965
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 644.85, Sell volume: 699.70, Average price: 0.2007, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.4950
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5050
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.1000
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.5200
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.5800
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.4200
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.8650
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 367.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3433, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.8850
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.1150
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.8800
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.1200
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.8850
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.1150
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.8950
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.1050
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9150
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0850
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9150
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0850
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9150
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0850
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9150
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0850
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9150
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0850
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9150
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0850
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9150
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0850
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9150
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0850
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9150
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 7964.57, Sell volume: 1661.70, Average price: 0.5968, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9150
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0850
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9150
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0850
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9050
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0950
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.8850
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.1150
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9000
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.1000
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.8850
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.1150
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.8850
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.1150
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9000
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.1000
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.8950
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.1050
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.8950
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.1050
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.8900
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.1100
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9000
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1382.70, Sell volume: 220.00, Average price: 0.8542, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9551
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9000
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.1000
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9300
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0700
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0550
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9450
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0550
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9450
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 155.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9533, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9450
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0550
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9350
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0650
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9450
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0550
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1167.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5229, Price range: 0.0859 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9500
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0500
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0500
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0500
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0500
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 16.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0500
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0500
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0500
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0500
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0500
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0500
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0500
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0500
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9500
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0500
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9500
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0500
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9500
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0500
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9500
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0500
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9500
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0500
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9500
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9500
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0500
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9550
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0450
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9550
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0450
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 90.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0550
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9450
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0550
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9450
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0550
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9545
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0455
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9555
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0445
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9565
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0435
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9590
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0410
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9560
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0440
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9590
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1070.16, Sell volume: 496.66, Average price: 0.6991, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9590
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0410
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9590
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0410
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9590
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0410
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9600
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0400
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9595
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0405
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9595
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0405
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9595
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0405
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9595
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0405
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9595
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0405
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9595
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0405
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9595
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0405
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9605
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0395
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9605
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1.03, Sell volume: 11.35, Average price: 0.6510, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9600
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0400
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9435
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0565
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9425
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0575
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9430
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0570
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9410
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0590
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9525
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0475
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9440
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0560
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9375
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0625
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9395
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0605
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9510
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0490
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9640
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0360
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9845
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0155
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9865
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2911.95, Sell volume: 233.99, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547792
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 9626.273531
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9925
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0075
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9940
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9935
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0065
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9940
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9935
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0065
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9935
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0065
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9935
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0065
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9960
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9965
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9965
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9965
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 644.85, Sell volume: 699.70, Average price: 0.2007, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.5200
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.5200
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.5200
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.5200
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.5200
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.5200
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 210, Buy volume: 17585.33, Sell volume: 5488.07, Average price: 0.4636, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.5250
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.4750
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 210, Buy volume: 17585.33, Sell volume: 5488.07, Average price: 0.4636, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.5100
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.4900
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.5100
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.4900
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.5100
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.4900
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.7350
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.2650
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.5050
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.4950
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.5050
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.4950
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.5050
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.4950
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.6500
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.3500
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.6800
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.3200
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.6800
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.3200
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.6850
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.3150
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.6850
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.3150
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.6300
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.6300
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.3700
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.6300
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.3700
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.6300
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.3700
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.6300
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.3700
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.6150
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.3850
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.6150
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.3850
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.6150
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.3850
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.6000
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.4000
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.6000
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.4000
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.6000
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.4000
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.6000
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.4000
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.3800
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5733, Price range: 0.5733 - 0.5733

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.3800
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.3800
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.3800
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.3800
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.3800
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.3800
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.3800
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.3800
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.3800
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.3800
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.6000
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.4000
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.6100
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.3900
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.6100
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4100, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.4100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.6100
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.3900
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.6100
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.3900
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.6000
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.4000
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.7650
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.2350
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.6100
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.3900
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.6100
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.3900
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.6100
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.3900
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.6100
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.3900
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.6100
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.3900
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.5450
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.4550
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.6350
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.3650
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.6350
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.3650
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.6350
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 121.43, Sell volume: 121.42, Average price: 0.3450, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.4300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.5300
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.4700
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.6350
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.3650
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.6450
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.3550
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.6450
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.3550
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.6550
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.3450
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.6050
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.3950
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.6050
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.3950
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.5850
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.4150
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.5850
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.4150
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.3800
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.6200
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.3800
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.6200
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.3800
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.6200
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.5600
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 700.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5460, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.5600
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.4400
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.5550
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.4450
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.5450
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.4550
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.5550
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.4450
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.5450
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.4550
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.5500
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.4500
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.5450
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.4550
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.5500
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.4500
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.4900
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.5100
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.3100
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.6900
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.2800
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.3850
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.6150
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.3850
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 292.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6393, Price range: 0.6373 - 0.6412

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.3800
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.6200
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.3800
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.6200
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.4400
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.5600
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.4550
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.5450
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.5400
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.4600
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.4900
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.5100
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.4950
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.5050
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.4550
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.5450
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.4450
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.5550
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.4450
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.5550
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.4550
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.5450
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.4550
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.5450
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.4550
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 288.34, Sell volume: 276.63, Average price: 0.4883, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.4950
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.5050
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.6200
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.3800
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.6350
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.3650
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.6150
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.3850
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.5950
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.4050
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.6350
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.3650
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.5800
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.4200
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.5350
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.4650
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.4950
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.5050
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.4800
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.5200
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.4800
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.5200
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.4600
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.5400
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.4750
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2080.79, Sell volume: 59.86, Average price: 0.4917, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6862

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.4750
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.5250
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.4550
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.5450
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.4600
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.5400
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.5400
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.4600
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.5050
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.4950
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.5000
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.5000
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.5350
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.4650
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.5250
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.4750
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.4850
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.5150
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.4750
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.5250
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.5200
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.4800
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.4900
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.5100
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.5200
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 4131.50, Sell volume: 171.99, Average price: 0.5116, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.5150
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.4850
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.5200
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.4800
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.4750
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.5250
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.4550
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.5450
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.4550
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.5450
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.3600
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.6400
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.3850
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.6150
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.3800
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.6200
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.4750
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.5250
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.4600
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.5400
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.4900
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.5100
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9000
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.1000
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.8500
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 5931.05, Sell volume: 851.18, Average price: 0.4501, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9635

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.8900
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.1100
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.5300
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.4700
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.1000
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9000
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.1000
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9000
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0150
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9850
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 78, Buy volume: 2534.90, Sell volume: 3030.13, Average price: 0.4295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.7600
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.2400
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.8550
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.1450
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.8650
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.1350
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.8700
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.1300
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.8550
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 396.70, Sell volume: 8.61, Average price: 0.3682, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.8550
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 727.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4829, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.7850
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.2150
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.6550
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.3450
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.3750
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.3200
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.6800
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.3650
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 5816.17, Sell volume: 2555.07, Average price: 0.4919, Price range: 0.0201 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 25323.57, Sell volume: 2844.61, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 25323.57, Sell volume: 2844.61, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 25323.57, Sell volume: 2844.61, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 25323.57, Sell volume: 2844.61, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 25323.57, Sell volume: 2844.61, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 25323.57, Sell volume: 2844.61, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 25323.57, Sell volume: 2844.61, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 25323.57, Sell volume: 2844.61, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 25323.57, Sell volume: 2844.61, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677422
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47059.824597
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 25323.57, Sell volume: 2844.61, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.5200
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.5200
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.5200
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.5200
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.5200
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.5200
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 210, Buy volume: 17585.33, Sell volume: 5488.07, Average price: 0.4636, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.5250
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.4750
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 210, Buy volume: 17585.33, Sell volume: 5488.07, Average price: 0.4636, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.5100
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.4900
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.5100
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.4900
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.5100
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.4900
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.7350
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.2650
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.5050
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.4950
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.5050
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.4950
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.5050
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.4950
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.6500
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.3500
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.6800
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.3200
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.6800
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.3200
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.6850
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.3150
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.6850
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.3150
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.6300
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.6300
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.3700
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.6300
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.3700
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.6300
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.3700
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.6300
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.3700
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.6150
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.3850
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.6150
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.3850
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.6150
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.3850
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.6000
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.4000
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.6000
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.4000
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.6000
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.4000
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.6000
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.4000
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.3800
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5733, Price range: 0.5733 - 0.5733
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.3800
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.3800
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.3800
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.3800
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.3800
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.3800
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.3800
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.3800
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.3800
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.3800
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.6000
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.4000
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.6100
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.3900
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.6100
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4100, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.4100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547793
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 23083.395811
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.6100
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.3900
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.6100
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.3900
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.6000
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.4000
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.7650
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.2350
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.6100
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.3900
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.6100
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.3900
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.6100
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.3900
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.6100
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.3900
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.6100
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.3900
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.5450
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.4550
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.6350
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.3650
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.6350
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.3650
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.6350
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 121.43, Sell volume: 121.42, Average price: 0.3450, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.4300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No