Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700294
Question: Will Isack Hadjar achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 1185.423
Price History:
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1176.37, Sell volume: 9.05, Average price: 0.9750, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700294
Question: Will Isack Hadjar achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 1185.423
Price History:
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1176.37, Sell volume: 9.05, Average price: 0.9750, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700294
Question: Will Isack Hadjar achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 1185.423
Price History:
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.1600
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.8400
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.1600
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.8400
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.1600
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.8400
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0350
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9650
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0355
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9645
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0355
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9645
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.2455
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.7545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1176.37, Sell volume: 9.05, Average price: 0.9750, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700294
Question: Will Isack Hadjar achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 1185.423
Price History:
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.2400
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.7600
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.2290
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.7710
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.2145
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.7855
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.2055
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.7945
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.1925
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.8075
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.1740
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.8260
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.1615
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.8385
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.1535
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.8465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1176.37, Sell volume: 9.05, Average price: 0.9750, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700294
Question: Will Isack Hadjar achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 1185.423
Price History:
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.1465
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.8535
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.1380
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.8620
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.1305
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.8695
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.1230
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.8770
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.1195
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.8805
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.1060
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.8940
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0975
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9025
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0940
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700294
Question: Will Isack Hadjar achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 1185.423
Price History:
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0925
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9075
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0925
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9075
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0925
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9075
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0925
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9075
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.4280
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5720
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.4145
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5855
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.4085
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1176.37, Sell volume: 9.05, Average price: 0.9750, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700294
Question: Will Isack Hadjar achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 1185.423
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.4070
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5930
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.4070
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.5930
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.4015
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.5985
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.3865
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.6135
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.3730
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.6270
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.3675
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.6325
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.3600
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.6400
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.3520
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.6480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1176.37, Sell volume: 9.05, Average price: 0.9750, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700294
Question: Will Isack Hadjar achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 1185.423
Price History:
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.3450
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.6550
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.3345
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.6655
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.3240
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.6760
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.3145
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.6855
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.2955
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.7045
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.2680
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.7320
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.2575
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.7425
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.2525
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.7475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 12.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700294
Question: Will Isack Hadjar achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 1185.423
Price History:
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.2505
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.7495
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.2465
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.7535
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.2465
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.7535
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.2435
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.7565
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.2390
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.7610
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.2340
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.7660
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.2295
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.7705
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.2225
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.7775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1176.37, Sell volume: 9.05, Average price: 0.9750, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700294
Question: Will Isack Hadjar achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 1185.423
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.2130
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.7870
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.2090
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.7910
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.2090
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.7910
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.2075
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.7925
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0505
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9495
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0495
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9505
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0495
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9505
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0505
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1176.37, Sell volume: 9.05, Average price: 0.9750, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700294
Question: Will Isack Hadjar achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 1185.423
Price History:
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0505
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9495
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0505
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9495
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0485
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9515
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0475
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9525
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0470
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9530
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9500
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0425
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9575
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0370
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 500.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700294
Question: Will Isack Hadjar achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 1185.423
Price History:
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0280
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9720
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0280
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9720
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0275
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9725
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0260
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9740
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0500
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 559.31, Sell volume: 9.05, Average price: 0.9646, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 924.96, Sell volume: 22.38, Average price: 0.9274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 924.96, Sell volume: 22.38, Average price: 0.9274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 924.96, Sell volume: 22.38, Average price: 0.9274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.1550
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.8450
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.1550
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.8450
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.1550
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.8450
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.2455
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.7545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 924.96, Sell volume: 22.38, Average price: 0.9274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.2395
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.7605
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.2295
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.7705
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.2165
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.7835
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.2030
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.7970
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.1955
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.8045
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.1765
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.8235
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.1650
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.8350
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.1565
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.8435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 924.96, Sell volume: 22.38, Average price: 0.9274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.1490
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.8510
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.1425
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.8575
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.1365
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.8635
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.1285
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.8715
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.1265
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.8735
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.1140
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.8860
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.1045
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.8955
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0980
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0965
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9035
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0965
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9035
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0965
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9035
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0965
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9035
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4360
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5640
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.4280
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5720
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.4160
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5840
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.4065
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 924.96, Sell volume: 22.38, Average price: 0.9274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.3970
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.6030
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.3805
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.6195
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.3725
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.6275
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.3575
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.6425
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.3450
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.6550
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.3390
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.6610
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.3315
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.6685
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.3205
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.6795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 924.96, Sell volume: 22.38, Average price: 0.9274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.3090
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.6910
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.3015
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.6985
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.2925
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.7075
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.2825
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.7175
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.2615
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.7385
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.2415
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.7585
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.2315
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.7685
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.2300
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 12.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.2300
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.7700
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.4695
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.5305
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.4605
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.5395
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.4475
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.5525
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.4275
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.5725
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.4020
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.5980
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.3815
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.6185
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.3745
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.6255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 924.96, Sell volume: 22.38, Average price: 0.9274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.3675
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.6325
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.3630
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.6370
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.3540
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.6460
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.3435
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.6565
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0505
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9495
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0495
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9505
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0495
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9505
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0505
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 924.96, Sell volume: 22.38, Average price: 0.9274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0505
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9495
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0505
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9495
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0495
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9505
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0485
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9515
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0445
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9555
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0495
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9505
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0425
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9575
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0355
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 486.73, Sell volume: 13.33, Average price: 0.8992, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0300
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9700
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0360
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9640
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0345
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9655
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0320
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9680
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.4935
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.5065
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.4845
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.5155
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.4770
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.5230
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.2120
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.7880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 321.22, Sell volume: 9.05, Average price: 0.9325, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 924.96, Sell volume: 22.38, Average price: 0.9274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 924.96, Sell volume: 22.38, Average price: 0.9274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 924.96, Sell volume: 22.38, Average price: 0.9274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.1550
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.8450
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.1550
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.8450
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.1550
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.8450
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.2455
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.7545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 924.96, Sell volume: 22.38, Average price: 0.9274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.2395
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.7605
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.2295
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.7705
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.2165
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.7835
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.2030
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.7970
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.1955
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.8045
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.1765
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.8235
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.1650
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.8350
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.1565
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.8435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 924.96, Sell volume: 22.38, Average price: 0.9274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.1490
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.8510
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.1425
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.8575
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.1365
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.8635
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.1285
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.8715
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.1265
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.8735
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.1140
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.8860
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.1045
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.8955
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0980
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0965
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9035
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0965
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9035
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0965
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9035
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0965
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9035
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4360
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5640
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.4280
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5720
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.4160
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5840
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.4065
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 924.96, Sell volume: 22.38, Average price: 0.9274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.3970
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.6030
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.3805
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.6195
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.3725
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.6275
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.3575
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.6425
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.3450
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.6550
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.3390
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.6610
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.3315
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.6685
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.3205
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.6795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 924.96, Sell volume: 22.38, Average price: 0.9274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.3090
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.6910
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.3015
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.6985
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.2925
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.7075
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.2825
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.7175
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.2615
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.7385
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.2415
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.7585
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.2315
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.7685
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.2300
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 12.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.2300
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.7700
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.4695
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.5305
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.4605
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.5395
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.4475
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.5525
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.4275
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.5725
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.4020
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.5980
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.3815
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.6185
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.3745
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.6255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 924.96, Sell volume: 22.38, Average price: 0.9274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.3675
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.6325
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.3630
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.6370
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.3540
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.6460
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.3435
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.6565
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0505
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9495
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0495
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9505
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0495
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9505
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0505
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 924.96, Sell volume: 22.38, Average price: 0.9274, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0505
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9495
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0505
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9495
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0495
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9505
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0485
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9515
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0445
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9555
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0495
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9505
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0425
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9575
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0355
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 486.73, Sell volume: 13.33, Average price: 0.8992, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700295
Question: Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 947.339
Price History:
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0300
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9700
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0360
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9640
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0345
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9655
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0320
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9680
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.4935
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.5065
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.4845
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.5155
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.4770
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.5230
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.2120
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.7880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 321.22, Sell volume: 9.05, Average price: 0.9325, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.4250
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.9200
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0750
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.9250
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.0750
2024-12-31 19:00: 0.9250
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.0750
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.9250
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.0750
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.4700
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.1850
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.8300
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.1600
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.8500
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.1600
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.8400
2025-01-03 19:00: 0.1400
2025-01-04 01:00: 0.8750
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.1250
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.8750
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.1250
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.8700
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.1300
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.8700
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.1150
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.8850
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.1050
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.8950
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.1050
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.9050
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.0950
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.9100
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.0900
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.9100
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.0900
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.9150
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.0850
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.9150
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.0850
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.9250
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.0750
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.9250
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0750
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.9250
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.0750
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.9200
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0800
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.9200
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.0800
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 88659765.00, Sell volume: 135013078.42, Average price: 0.9298, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.0750
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.9250
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.0750
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.9250
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.0750
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.9200
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.0800
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.9200
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.0800
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.9250
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.0800
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.9200
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.0800
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.9200
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.0800
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.9200
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0800
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.9200
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0800
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.9200
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.0800
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.9200
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0800
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.9200
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.0800
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.9200
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.0800
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.9200
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.0800
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.9200
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0800
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.9250
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.0750
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.9545
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.0405
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.9590
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.0700
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.9300
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.0750
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.9245
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.0750
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.9245
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0755
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9245
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.0755
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.9250
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.0755
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.9250
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 88659765.00, Sell volume: 135013078.42, Average price: 0.9298, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.9250
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0755
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.9255
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.0745
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.9250
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.9255
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0745
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.9250
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.0750
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.9695
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.0330
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.9675
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0325
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.9675
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.0330
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.9670
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0330
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.9670
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.0330
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9670
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0330
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.9670
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0340
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.9660
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0340
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.9705
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.0455
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.9545
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.0620
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.9390
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0605
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.9410
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0455
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9560
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0410
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.9540
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0405
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9535
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0455
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.9605
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0420
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9545
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0410
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9615
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0450
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9560
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0385
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 88659765.00, Sell volume: 135013078.42, Average price: 0.9298, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0385
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9770
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0205
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9825
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0160
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9800
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0200
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9815
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0135
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9910
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0090
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.9825
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0175
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.9860
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0150
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.9860
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.0120
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.9885
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0120
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.9890
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0110
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9895
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0065
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.9930
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0070
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.9930
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0050
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.9860
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0160
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9910
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0095
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.9885
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0115
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.9870
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0085
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.9875
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0180
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.9895
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0115
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.9895
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0110
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9895
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0105
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.9890
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.0165
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.9845
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.0180
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.9820
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.0180
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 88659765.00, Sell volume: 135013078.42, Average price: 0.9298, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.0170
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.9825
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0110
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.9870
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0170
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.9855
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.0145
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.9875
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0160
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.9880
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0155
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.9875
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0145
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.9895
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0110
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.9890
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.0105
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9890
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.0125
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.9900
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0125
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9875
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0115
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.9880
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.0130
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9915
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0090
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.9910
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0090
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9910
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0085
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9915
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0095
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0095
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0085
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9915
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0085
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9910
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0085
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0090
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9915
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0100
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.9905
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9910
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0090
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 88659765.00, Sell volume: 135013078.42, Average price: 0.9298, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0090
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.9915
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0085
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.0085
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0085
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0085
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.9915
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.0085
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.9915
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0085
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.0080
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.9920
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0065
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.9935
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.0065
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.9935
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.0065
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.9935
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.0065
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.9935
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.0065
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.9935
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.0065
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.9935
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.0065
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.9935
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0060
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.9940
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.0060
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.9935
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0060
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.9940
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.0060
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.9940
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.0045
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.9940
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.0055
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.9935
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0070
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9935
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.0075
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.9925
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.0075
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.9935
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0070
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 88659765.00, Sell volume: 135013078.42, Average price: 0.9298, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0065
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.9935
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.0065
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.9935
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0065
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9935
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0065
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.9935
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.0065
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.9935
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.0060
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.9940
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0060
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.9940
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0045
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9955
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.0040
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.9965
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.9965
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0035
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.9965
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.9965
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9965
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0035
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.9965
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9965
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 88659765.00, Sell volume: 135013078.42, Average price: 0.9298, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.9965
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9965
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.9965
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9965
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.9965
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9965
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 88659765.00, Sell volume: 135013078.42, Average price: 0.9298, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9965
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9965
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0030
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 88659765.00, Sell volume: 135013078.42, Average price: 0.9298, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.0035
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.9965
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.0035
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.9965
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.9965
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.0035
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.9965
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.9955
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0035
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.9965
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 749250, Buy volume: 79145437.95, Sell volume: 111848619.42, Average price: 0.9121, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 244705, Buy volume: 8698175.96, Sell volume: 23164058.61, Average price: 0.9824, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 69000.00, Sell volume: 231.00, Average price: 0.2149, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 57611.33, Sell volume: 137.37, Average price: 0.0865, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.4250
2024-12-30 21:00: 0.9200
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.0750
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.9250
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.0750
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.9250
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.1900
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.8150
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.1500
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.8400
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.1400
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.8750
2025-01-04 17:00: 0.1250
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.8700
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.1300
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.8850
2025-01-06 11:00: 0.1150
2025-01-06 21:00: 0.8950
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.0950
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.9100
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.0900
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.9050
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.0850
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.9150
2025-01-09 23:00: 0.0850
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.9250
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0750
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.9250
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.0800
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 88659765.00, Sell volume: 135013078.42, Average price: 0.9298, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.0750
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.9250
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.0750
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.9250
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.0800
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.9200
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0750
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.9200
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.0800
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.9200
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.0800
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.9200
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.0800
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.9200
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0800
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.9200
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.0800
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.9200
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0800
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.9200
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.0450
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.9590
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.0425
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.9300
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.0750
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9250
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0755
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9245
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.0755
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 88659765.00, Sell volume: 135013078.42, Average price: 0.9298, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.9245
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.0745
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.9255
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.0745
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.9255
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0745
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.9680
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0325
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.9675
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0330
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.9670
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0330
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9670
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0330
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.9660
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0340
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.9505
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0455
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.9390
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0615
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9545
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0460
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.9570
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0465
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9580
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0420
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9545
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0385
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9560
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 88659765.00, Sell volume: 135013078.42, Average price: 0.9298, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0385
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9795
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0170
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9800
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0185
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.9865
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0090
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.9825
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0140
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.9845
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.0090
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.9885
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0105
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9895
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0060
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9930
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0040
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.9865
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0105
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.9860
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0115
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.9855
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0185
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.9900
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0105
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.9905
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0105
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.9835
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.0180
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 88659765.00, Sell volume: 135013078.42, Average price: 0.9298, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.0170
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.9820
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0120
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.9875
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.0155
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.9840
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.0155
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.9870
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0105
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.9890
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.0105
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.9890
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.0120
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9875
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0125
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.9870
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0090
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.9915
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0090
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.9915
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0095
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9910
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0095
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9915
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0090
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0090
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9910
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0095
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 88659765.00, Sell volume: 135013078.42, Average price: 0.9298, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0090
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0085
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0085
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.9915
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.0085
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.9915
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0085
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9925
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0065
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.9935
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.0065
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.9935
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.0065
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.9935
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.0065
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.9935
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.0065
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.9940
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.0065
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9940
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.0060
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.9940
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.0060
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.9935
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0070
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.9930
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0075
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 88659765.00, Sell volume: 135013078.42, Average price: 0.9298, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0065
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.9935
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0065
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.9935
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0065
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.9935
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.0060
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.9940
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.0060
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.9955
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.0040
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.9965
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.9965
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.9965
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 88659765.00, Sell volume: 135013078.42, Average price: 0.9298, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9965
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 88659765.00, Sell volume: 135013078.42, Average price: 0.9298, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9965
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9965
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9970
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 88659765.00, Sell volume: 135013078.42, Average price: 0.9298, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.9965
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.9965
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.9960
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0035
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 749250, Buy volume: 79145437.95, Sell volume: 111848619.42, Average price: 0.9121, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 244705, Buy volume: 8698175.96, Sell volume: 23164058.61, Average price: 0.9824, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 69000.00, Sell volume: 231.00, Average price: 0.2149, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516789
Question: Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1203460.484481
Price History:
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 57611.33, Sell volume: 137.37, Average price: 0.0865, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.7350
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.2650
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 10530.16, Sell volume: 309.83, Average price: 0.5153, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.2650
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.7350
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.3500
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.6500
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.3500
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.6500
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.3500
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.6500
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.3500
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.6500
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.3500
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.6500
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.3500
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.6500
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.3500
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 10530.16, Sell volume: 309.83, Average price: 0.5153, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.3500
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.6500
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.3500
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.6500
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.3500
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.6500
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.3500
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.6500
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.3500
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.6500
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.3500
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.6500
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.3500
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.6500
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.3500
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 10530.16, Sell volume: 309.83, Average price: 0.5153, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.3500
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.6500
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.7350
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.2650
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.7350
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.2700
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.7300
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.3700
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.6300
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.3600
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.6400
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.3600
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.6400
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.2200
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 9.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5150, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.3600
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.6400
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.3550
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.6450
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.3600
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.6400
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.3550
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.6450
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.3200
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.6800
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.3350
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.6650
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.3300
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.6700
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.3300
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 10530.16, Sell volume: 309.83, Average price: 0.5153, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.3650
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.6350
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.3650
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.6350
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.3550
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.6450
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.3600
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.6400
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.3500
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.6500
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.3200
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.6800
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.3200
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.6800
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.3200
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7000, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.1700
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.8300
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.1700
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.8300
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.1700
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.8300
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.1700
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.8300
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.2200
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.7800
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5950
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5950
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 12.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4300, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.4300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5950
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.5950
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.5950
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.5950
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.5950
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.5950
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 10530.16, Sell volume: 309.83, Average price: 0.5153, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.4050
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.5950
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.4050
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.5950
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.4050
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.5950
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.4050
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.5950
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.6850
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.6850
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.3150
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 12.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6200, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.3150
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.6850
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.3350
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.6650
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.3550
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.6450
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.3550
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.6450
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.3450
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.6550
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.3450
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.6550
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.3100
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.6900
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.3100
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 218.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4413, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.4626

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.3900
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.6100
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.3100
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.3100
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.6900
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.3000
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.7000
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.6150
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.3000
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.7000
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.3300
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 513.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4158, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.4200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.3300
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.6700
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.4300
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.5700
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.4100
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.5900
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.4100
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.5900
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.4150
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.5850
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.4100
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.5900
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.3900
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 867.26, Sell volume: 2.86, Average price: 0.5606, Price range: 0.4350 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.4050
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.5950
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.3000
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.7000
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.3350
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.6650
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.7050
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.2250
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.7750
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 8660.26, Sell volume: 306.97, Average price: 0.5145, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.7350
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.2650
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 10530.16, Sell volume: 309.83, Average price: 0.5153, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.2650
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.7350
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.3500
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.6500
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.3500
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.6500
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.3500
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.6500
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.3500
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.6500
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.3500
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.6500
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.3500
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.6500
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.3500
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 10530.16, Sell volume: 309.83, Average price: 0.5153, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.3500
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.6500
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.3500
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.6500
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.3500
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.6500
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.3500
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.6500
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.3500
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.6500
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.3500
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.6500
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.3500
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.6500
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.3500
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 10530.16, Sell volume: 309.83, Average price: 0.5153, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.3500
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.6500
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.7350
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.2650
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.7350
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.2700
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.7300
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.3700
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.6300
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.3600
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.6400
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.3600
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.6400
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.2200
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 9.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5150, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.3600
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.6400
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.3550
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.6450
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.3600
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.6400
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.3550
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.6450
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.3200
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.6800
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.3350
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.6650
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.3300
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.6700
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.3300
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 10530.16, Sell volume: 309.83, Average price: 0.5153, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.3650
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.6350
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.3650
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.6350
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.3550
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.6450
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.3600
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.6400
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.3500
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.6500
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.3200
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.6800
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.3200
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.6800
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.3200
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7000, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.1700
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.8300
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.1700
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.8300
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.1700
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.8300
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.1700
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.8300
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.2200
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.7800
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5950
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5950
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 12.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4300, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.4300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5950
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.5950
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.5950
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.5950
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.5950
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.5950
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 10530.16, Sell volume: 309.83, Average price: 0.5153, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.4050
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.5950
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.4050
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.5950
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.4050
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.5950
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.4050
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.5950
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.6850
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.6850
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.3150
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 12.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6200, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.3150
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.6850
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.3350
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.6650
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.3550
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.6450
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.3550
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.6450
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.3450
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.6550
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.3450
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.6550
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.3100
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.6900
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.3100
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 218.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4413, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.4626
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.3900
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.6100
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.3100
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.3100
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.6900
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.3000
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.7000
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.6150
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.3000
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.7000
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.3300
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 513.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4158, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.4200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.3300
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.6700
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.4300
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.5700
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.4100
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.5900
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.4100
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.5900
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.4150
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.5850
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.4100
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.5900
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.3900
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 867.26, Sell volume: 2.86, Average price: 0.5606, Price range: 0.4350 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700296
Question: Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10839.986624
Price History:
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.4050
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.5950
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.3000
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.7000
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.3350
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.6650
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.7050
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.2250
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.7750
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 8660.26, Sell volume: 306.97, Average price: 0.5145, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700297
Question: Will Liam Lawson achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18.992
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 17.00, Sell volume: 1.99, Average price: 0.6633, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700297
Question: Will Liam Lawson achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18.992
Price History:
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 17.00, Sell volume: 1.99, Average price: 0.6633, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700297
Question: Will Liam Lawson achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18.992
Price History:
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 17.00, Sell volume: 1.99, Average price: 0.6633, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700297
Question: Will Liam Lawson achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18.992
Price History:
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.1700
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.8300
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.1700
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.8300
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.1700
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.8300
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0250
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9750
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.2455
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.7545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 17.00, Sell volume: 1.99, Average price: 0.6633, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700297
Question: Will Liam Lawson achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18.992
Price History:
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.2445
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.7555
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.2320
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.7680
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.2170
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.7830
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.2105
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.7895
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.2070
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.7930
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.1945
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.8055
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.1925
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.8075
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.1925
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.8075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 17.00, Sell volume: 1.99, Average price: 0.6633, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700297
Question: Will Liam Lawson achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18.992
Price History:
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.1880
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.8120
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.1825
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.8175
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.1700
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.8300
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.1615
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.8385
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.1520
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.8480
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.1400
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.8600
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.1345
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.8655
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.1290
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.8710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700297
Question: Will Liam Lawson achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18.992
Price History:
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.1270
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.8730
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.1270
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.8730
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.1270
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.8730
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.1270
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.8730
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.4325
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5675
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.4215
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5785
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.4120
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 17.00, Sell volume: 1.99, Average price: 0.6633, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700297
Question: Will Liam Lawson achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18.992
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.4015
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5985
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.3860
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.6140
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.3795
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.6205
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.3665
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.6335
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.3545
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.6455
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.3465
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.6535
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.3355
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.6645
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.3260
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.6740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 17.00, Sell volume: 1.99, Average price: 0.6633, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700297
Question: Will Liam Lawson achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18.992
Price History:
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.3200
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.6800
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.3150
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.6850
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.3040
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.6960
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.2890
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.7110
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.2670
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.7330
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.2450
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.7550
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.2355
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.7645
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.2300
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 12.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700297
Question: Will Liam Lawson achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18.992
Price History:
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.2270
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.7730
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.4590
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.5410
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.4485
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.5515
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.4370
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.5630
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.4190
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.5810
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.3960
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.6040
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.3775
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.6225
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.3655
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.6345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 17.00, Sell volume: 1.99, Average price: 0.6633, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700297
Question: Will Liam Lawson achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18.992
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.3515
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.6485
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.3465
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.6535
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.3370
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.6630
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.3275
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.6725
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0505
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9495
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0500
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0500
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9500
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0505
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 17.00, Sell volume: 1.99, Average price: 0.6633, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700297
Question: Will Liam Lawson achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18.992
Price History:
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0505
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9495
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0505
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9495
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0495
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9505
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0475
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9525
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0435
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9565
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0495
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9505
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0435
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9565
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0355
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.99, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes