Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520498
Question: A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7155.318645
Price History:
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.6800
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.3200
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.6800
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.3200
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.6800
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.3200
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.6800
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.3200
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.6700
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.3300
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.6700
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.3300
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.6700
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.3300
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.6700
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.3300
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.6700
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.3300
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.6700
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.3300
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.6700
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.3300
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.5650
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.4350
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.5550
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.4450
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.5550
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.4450
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.5550
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.4450
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.5550
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.4450
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.5200
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.4800
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.5250
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.4750
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.5200
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.4800
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.5250
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.4750
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.5250
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.4750
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.5250
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.4750
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.5250
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.4750
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.5300
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.4700
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.5300
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.11, Average price: 0.2600, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.2600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520498
Question: A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7155.318645
Price History:
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.4300
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.5700
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.4300
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.5700
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.4300
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.5700
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.4500
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.5500
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.4500
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.5500
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.4500
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.5500
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.4500
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.5500
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.4550
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.5450
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.4550
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.5450
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.4550
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.5450
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.4550
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.5450
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.4550
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.5450
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.4550
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.5450
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.4500
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.5500
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.4550
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.5450
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.4550
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.5450
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.4600
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.5400
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.4600
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.5400
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.4600
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.5400
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.4200
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.5800
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.4100
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.5900
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.4150
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.5850
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.4100
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.5900
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.3950
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.6050
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.4000
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 137.74, Sell volume: 57.95, Average price: 0.4818, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520498
Question: A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7155.318645
Price History:
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.4650
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.5350
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.4600
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.5400
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.4650
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.5350
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.4250
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.5750
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.4400
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.5600
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.4400
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.5600
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.4050
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.5950
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.3900
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.6100
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.6300
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.3600
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.6400
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.3350
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.6650
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.3400
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.6600
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.3400
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.6600
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.3400
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.6600
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.3800
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.6200
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.3800
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.6200
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.3800
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.6200
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.3400
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.6600
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.3400
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.6600
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.3450
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.6550
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.3450
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.6550
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.3450
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.6550
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.3450
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.6550
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.3300
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.6700
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.3300
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 271.28, Sell volume: 15.29, Average price: 0.4450, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520498
Question: A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7155.318645
Price History:
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.4950
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.5050
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.4450
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.5550
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.4000
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.6000
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.4400
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.5600
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.3900
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.6100
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.5550
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.4450
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.4750
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.5250
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.4350
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.5650
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.4400
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.5600
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.4350
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.5650
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.4350
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.5650
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.4350
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.5650
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.4550
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.5450
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.5900
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.4600
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.5400
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.4050
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.5950
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.3650
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.6350
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.3500
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.6500
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.6750
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.3050
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.6950
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.2800
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.7200
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.2400
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.7600
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.3150
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.6850
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.2750
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 38.90, Sell volume: 61.11, Average price: 0.5857, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520498
Question: A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7155.318645
Price History:
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.6700
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.3150
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.6850
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.3050
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.6950
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.2950
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.7050
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.3350
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.6650
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.3350
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.6650
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.3350
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.6650
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.3350
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.6650
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.3350
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.6650
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.3350
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.6650
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.3400
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.6600
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.3750
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.6250
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.3900
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.6100
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.4500
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.5500
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.4450
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.5550
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.4200
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.5800
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.4050
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.5950
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.3500
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.6500
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.3500
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.6500
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.4650
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.5350
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.5500
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.4500
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.4700
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.5300
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.4250
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.5750
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.4300
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.5700
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.4650
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 235.64, Sell volume: 46.35, Average price: 0.5332, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520498
Question: A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7155.318645
Price History:
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.3800
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.6200
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.4500
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.5500
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.3650
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.6350
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.3350
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.6650
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.3750
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.6250
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.3500
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.6500
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.3450
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.6550
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.4150
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.5850
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.3700
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.6300
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.3300
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.6700
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.3700
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.6300
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.2950
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.7050
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.2900
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.7100
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.3250
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.6750
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.3000
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.7000
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.3250
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.6750
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.2300
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.7700
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.2200
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.7800
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.1300
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.8700
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.1000
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9000
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0950
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9050
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0850
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9150
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0800
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9200
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.2250
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.7750
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.2100
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 35.95, Sell volume: 178.41, Average price: 0.5888, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520498
Question: A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7155.318645
Price History:
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.2600
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.7400
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.2550
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.7450
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.2600
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.7400
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.2650
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.7350
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.2450
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.7550
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.2300
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.7700
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.2300
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.7700
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.2250
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.7750
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.2400
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.7600
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.2400
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.7600
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.2300
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.7700
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.2350
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.7650
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.2300
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.7700
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.2250
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.7750
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.2300
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.7700
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.2250
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.7750
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.2300
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.7700
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.2250
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.7750
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.3250
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.6750
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.2350
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.7650
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.2450
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.7550
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.2700
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.7300
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.2650
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.7350
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.2850
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.7150
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.2400
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 58.57, Sell volume: 133.22, Average price: 0.4748, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.7700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520498
Question: A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7155.318645
Price History:
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.3200
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.6800
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.3250
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.6750
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.2400
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.7600
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.2750
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.7250
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.3050
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.6950
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.2700
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.7300
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.2900
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.7100
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.3200
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.6800
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.2650
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.7350
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.2650
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.7350
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.2700
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.7300
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.2900
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.7100
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.2850
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.7150
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.2800
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.7200
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.2650
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.7350
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.2850
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.7150
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.2750
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.7250
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.2750
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.7250
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.2400
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.7600
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.2550
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.7450
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.2550
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.7450
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.2450
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.7550
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.2450
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.7550
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.2650
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 385.47, Sell volume: 25.95, Average price: 0.5796, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520498
Question: A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7155.318645
Price History:
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.2800
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.7200
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.2800
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.7200
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.2750
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.7250
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.2800
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.7200
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.2750
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.7250
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.2800
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.7200
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.2750
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.7250
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.2600
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.7400
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.2600
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.7400
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.2600
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.7400
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.2600
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.7400
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.2650
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.7350
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.2700
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.7300
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.2700
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.7300
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.2700
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.7300
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.2700
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.7300
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.2750
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.7250
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.2650
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.7350
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.2700
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.7300
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.2650
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.7350
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.2700
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.7300
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.2700
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.7300
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.2700
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.7300
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.2650
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.7350
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.2650
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 153.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7590, Price range: 0.7529 - 0.7652

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520498
Question: A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7155.318645
Price History:
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.2100
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.7900
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.2100
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.7900
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.2100
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.7900
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.4650
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.5350
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.3100
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.6900
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0200
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.9800
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0140
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9860
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0135
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.9865
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0090
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.9910
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0110
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.9890
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0095
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.9905
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0080
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.9920
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.9965
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.9965
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0045
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.9955
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0045
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9955
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.9965
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0045
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9955
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9965
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.9965
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.9965
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0040
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9960
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.9965
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.9965
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 248.43, Sell volume: 477.95, Average price: 0.4287, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520498
Question: A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7155.318645
Price History:
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.9965
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.9965
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.9965
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.9965
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.9965
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.9965
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.9965
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.9965
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.0035
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.9965
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.0035
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.9965
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.0035
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.9965
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.0035
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.9965
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.0035
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.9965
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.0035
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.9965
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.0035
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.9965
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.0040
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.9960
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.0035
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.9965
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.0040
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.9960
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.0040
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.9960
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.0045
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.9955
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.0060
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.9940
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.0045
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.9955
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0045
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.9955
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.0040
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.9960
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.0040
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 27.94, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520498
Question: A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Volume: 7155.318645
Price History:
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.6550
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.3400
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.6650
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.3000
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.7000
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.3000
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.5400
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.2950
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.7500
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.2500
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.7400
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.2600
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.7450
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.2350
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.7100
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.2900
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.7100
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.2900
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.6950
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.3100
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.6900
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.3050
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.6950
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.3100
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.6900
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.3100
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.6950
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.3050
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.6950
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1034.28, Sell volume: 28.58, Average price: 0.5683, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520498
Question: A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Volume: 7155.318645
Price History:
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.7200
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.2800
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.7200
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.7000
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.3000
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.7000
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.3050
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.6850
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.3150
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.6850
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.3150
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.5950
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.3850
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.5950
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.3850
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.6500
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.3600
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.6000
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.3500
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.6600
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.3400
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.6700
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.3650
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.6600
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.3400
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.6700
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.3300
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.6550
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 61.63, Sell volume: 17.24, Average price: 0.5299, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520498
Question: A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Volume: 7155.318645
Price History:
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.6800
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.3200
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.6800
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.3300
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.6700
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.3300
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.6700
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.3300
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.5550
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.4450
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.5550
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.4800
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.5200
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.4750
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.5250
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.4750
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.5300
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.4800
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.5050
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.4900
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.5100
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.4900
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.5100
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.5000
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.4800
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.5400
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.4500
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.5500
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.4500
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.11, Average price: 0.2600, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.2600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520498
Question: A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Volume: 7155.318645
Price History:
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.4300
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.5700
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.4500
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.5500
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.4500
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.5450
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.4550
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.5450
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.4550
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.5500
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.4550
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.5400
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.4600
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.5800
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.4150
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.5900
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.4000
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.6000
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.3950
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.6000
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.4000
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.6000
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.3000
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.5650
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.3350
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.6750
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.3100
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.5400
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.4900
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 137.74, Sell volume: 57.95, Average price: 0.4818, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520498
Question: A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Volume: 7155.318645
Price History:
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.4650
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.5400
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.4250
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.5600
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.4050
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.6100
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.3600
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.6650
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.3400
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.6600
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.3800
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.6200
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.3400
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.6550
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.3450
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.6550
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.3300
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.6850
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.3100
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.6800
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.3200
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.6900
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.3100
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.6950
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.3150
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.6850
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.5250
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.4700
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.5150
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 271.28, Sell volume: 15.29, Average price: 0.4450, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520498
Question: A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Volume: 7155.318645
Price History:
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.4950
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.5550
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.4400
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.6100
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.5550
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.5250
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.4400
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.5650
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.4350
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.5450
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.4600
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.5950
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.3500
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.6750
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.2800
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.7600
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.2750
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.7450
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.3000
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.6950
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.2550
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.7600
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.2400
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.7600
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.2450
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.7550
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.2500
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.6650
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.3350
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 38.90, Sell volume: 61.11, Average price: 0.5857, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520498
Question: A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Volume: 7155.318645
Price History:
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.6850
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.2950
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.6650
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.3350
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.6650
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.3350
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.6600
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.3900
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.5500
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.4200
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.5950
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.3500
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.5350
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.4700
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.5750
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.4650
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.5800
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.4350
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.4350
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.5400
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.4300
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.3800
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.6900
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.2400
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.6000
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.2850
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.6250
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.2400
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 235.64, Sell volume: 46.35, Average price: 0.5332, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520498
Question: A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Volume: 7155.318645
Price History:
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.3800
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.5500
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.3350
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.6250
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.3450
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.5850
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.3300
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.6300
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.2900
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.6750
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.3250
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.7700
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.1300
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9000
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0850
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9200
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.2100
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.8850
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.1550
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.7950
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.2550
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.7450
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.2300
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.8150
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.1500
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.8450
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.1850
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.7550
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.2300
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 35.95, Sell volume: 178.41, Average price: 0.5888, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520498
Question: A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Volume: 7155.318645
Price History:
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.2600
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.7450
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.2650
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.7550
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.2300
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.7750
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.2400
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.7700
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.2300
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.7750
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.2250
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.7700
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.3250
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.7650
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.2700
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.7350
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.2400
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.7550
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.5500
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.4550
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.5450
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.4550
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.5700
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.4700
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.5350
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.4800
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.2300
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.7450
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.3000
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 58.57, Sell volume: 133.22, Average price: 0.4748, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520498
Question: A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Volume: 7155.318645
Price History:
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.3200
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.6750
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.2750
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.6950
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.2900
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.6800
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.2650
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.7300
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.2850
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.7200
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.2850
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.7250
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.2400
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.7450
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.2450
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.7550
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.2650
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.7450
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.2750
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.7500
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.2200
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.7750
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.7450
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.2400
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.7600
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.2400
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.7600
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.2400
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 385.47, Sell volume: 25.95, Average price: 0.5796, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520498
Question: A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Volume: 7155.318645
Price History:
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.2800
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.7200
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.2800
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.7250
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.2750
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.7400
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.2600
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.7400
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.2700
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.7300
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.2700
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.7250
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.2700
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.7350
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.2700
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.7300
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.2650
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.7300
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.2800
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.7300
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.2600
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.8550
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.1450
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.8250
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.1800
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.8350
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.1700
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.7950
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.3250
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 153.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7590, Price range: 0.7529 - 0.7652
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520498
Question: A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Volume: 7155.318645
Price History:
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.2100
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.7900
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.4650
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.6900
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0140
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.9865
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0110
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.9905
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.9965
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0045
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.9965
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.9965
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0040
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.9965
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.9965
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.9965
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.9965
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.9965
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.9965
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.9965
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 248.43, Sell volume: 477.95, Average price: 0.4287, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520498
Question: A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Volume: 7155.318645
Price History:
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.9965
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.9965
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.9965
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.0035
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.9965
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.0035
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.9965
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.0040
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.9965
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.0040
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.9955
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.0045
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.9955
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.0040
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.9960
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.0065
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.9935
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.0065
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.9935
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.0060
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.9935
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.0050
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.9935
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.0055
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.9965
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.0035
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 27.94, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.5600
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.2950
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.2150
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.2100
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.2050
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.2850
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.2900
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.2900
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.2900
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.2850
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.2800
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.2800
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.2750
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.2550
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.2500
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.2400
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.2200
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.2150
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.2050
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.2050
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.2050
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.2050
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.2050
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.2050
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.2050
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.2050
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.2050
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.2050
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.2050
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.2050
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.2050
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.2050
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.2050
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.2050
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.2050
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.2050
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.2050
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.2050
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.2050
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.2050
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.2050
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.1950
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.1950
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.1950
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 94091306.07, Sell volume: 25548386.85, Average price: 0.6494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.2000
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.2000
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.2000
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.1950
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.1950
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.1900
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.1900
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.1900
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.1900
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.1900
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.1900
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.1900
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.1900
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.1900
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.1900
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.1900
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.1900
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.1900
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.1900
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.1900
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.1900
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.1900
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.1900
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.1950
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.1950
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.1950
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.1950
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.1850
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.2100
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.2100
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.2100
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.2050
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.2050
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.1950
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.2000
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.1950
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.2000
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.2000
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.1850
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.1850
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 94091306.07, Sell volume: 25548386.85, Average price: 0.6494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.2000
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.1950
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.1950
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.1950
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.1900
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.1900
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.1900
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.2000
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.1950
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.1950
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.1950
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.1850
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.1900
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.1850
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.1850
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.1800
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.1900
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.1800
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.1800
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.1850
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.1850
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.1900
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.1950
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.2000
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.2000
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.2000
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.2100
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.2100
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.2100
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.1950
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.1950
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.1950
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.1950
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.1850
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.1950
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.2100
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.2100
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.2050
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.2050
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.2050
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.2200
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.2250
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.2400
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.2400
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.2400
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.2250
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.2250
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.2250
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.2250
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 335664, Buy volume: 28491272.80, Sell volume: 3162274.56, Average price: 0.6812, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.2250
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.2250
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.2250
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.2250
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.2250
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.2250
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.2250
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.2250
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.2250
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.2200
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.2200
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.2200
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.2200
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.2150
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.2150
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.2250
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.2300
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.2200
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.2250
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.2650
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.2550
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.2550
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.2550
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.2550
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.2550
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.2550
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.2550
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.2550
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.2650
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.2500
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.2450
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.2350
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.2350
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.2550
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.2500
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.2350
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.2250
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.2350
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.2250
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.2200
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.2350
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.2350
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.2250
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.2350
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.2400
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.2400
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.2400
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.2250
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.2400
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 571428, Buy volume: 56824112.62, Sell volume: 21823374.78, Average price: 0.6327, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.2350
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.2250
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.2250
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.2250
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.2350
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.2400
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.2150
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.2050
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.1800
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.1600
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.2250
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.0750
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0220
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.0055
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.0095
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.0055
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.0035
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.0010
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.0010
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44825, Buy volume: 3803039.01, Sell volume: 450373.08, Average price: 0.5350, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.0020
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0020
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0020
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.0020
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.0020
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.0030
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.0030
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 30066.80, Sell volume: 4000.72, Average price: 0.5212, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.0020
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0020
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0020
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0020
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0010
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0010
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 111.97, Sell volume: 6804.65, Average price: 0.7715, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0010
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0010
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0010
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0030
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0030
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0030
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0030
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0030
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0030
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0030
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0020
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0020
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 6960.38, Sell volume: 872.03, Average price: 0.1831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0040
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0040
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0040
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0030
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0030
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0030
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0030
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 102700.75, Sell volume: 97691.36, Average price: 0.7494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 11.68, Sell volume: 720.90, Average price: 0.6245, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 45.84, Sell volume: 1258.74, Average price: 0.2860, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 2350.00, Sell volume: 667.94, Average price: 0.2860, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.0010
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.0010
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.0010
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.0010
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.0010
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.0010
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.0010
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.0010
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 15189.41, Sell volume: 110.29, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.5600
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.7050
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.2100
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.7950
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.2900
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.7100
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.2850
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.7200
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.2750
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.7450
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.2400
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.7850
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.2050
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.7950
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.2050
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.7950
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.2050
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.7950
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.2050
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.7950
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.2050
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.7950
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.2050
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.7950
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.2050
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 94091306.07, Sell volume: 25548386.85, Average price: 0.6494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.2000
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.8000
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.1950
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.8050
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.1900
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.8100
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.1900
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.1900
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.1900
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.8100
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.1900
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.8100
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.1900
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.8100
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.1900
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.8100
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.1950
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.8050
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.1850
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.7900
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.2100
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.7950
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.1950
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 94091306.07, Sell volume: 25548386.85, Average price: 0.6494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.2000
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.8050
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.1950
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.8100
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.1900
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.8000
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.1950
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.8050
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.1900
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.8150
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.1800
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.8100
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.1800
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.8150
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.1900
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.8050
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.2000
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.8000
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.2100
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.7900
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.1950
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.8050
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.1850
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.8050
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.2100
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.7950
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.2050
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.7800
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.2400
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 335664, Buy volume: 28491272.80, Sell volume: 3162274.56, Average price: 0.6812, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.2250
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.7750
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.2250
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.7750
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.2250
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.7750
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.2200
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.7800
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.2200
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.7850
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.2250
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.7700
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.2250
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.7350
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.2550
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.7450
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.2550
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.7450
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.2550
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.7350
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.2450
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.7650
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.2550
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.7500
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.2250
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.7650
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.2200
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.7650
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.2250
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 571428, Buy volume: 56824112.62, Sell volume: 21823374.78, Average price: 0.6327, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.2350
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.7750
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.2250
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.7650
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.2150
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.7950
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.1600
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.0750
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.9780
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.0095
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.9945
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.9985
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.0010
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.9990
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44825, Buy volume: 3803039.01, Sell volume: 450373.08, Average price: 0.5350, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.9995
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.9975
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.9980
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0020
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.9980
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.9985
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.9985
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.0020
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.9975
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.9970
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.9970
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 30066.80, Sell volume: 4000.72, Average price: 0.5212, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.9970
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.9975
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.9975
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0020
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.9980
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.9975
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.9975
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.9975
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9985
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9985
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0010
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 111.97, Sell volume: 6804.65, Average price: 0.7715, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9985
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9985
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.9985
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0010
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.9990
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0030
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9970
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0030
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.9970
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9970
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9975
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9985
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.9985
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9985
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 6960.38, Sell volume: 872.03, Average price: 0.1831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.9980
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.9980
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.9980
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0040
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9960
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0040
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9965
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.9965
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0030
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.9970
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.9980
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9985
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 102700.75, Sell volume: 97691.36, Average price: 0.7494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.9980
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.9980
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9985
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9985
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.9980
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9980
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9980
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9980
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.9980
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9980
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9985
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.9985
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9980
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.9980
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 11.68, Sell volume: 720.90, Average price: 0.6245, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9985
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9985
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.9985
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.9985
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.9985
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.9985
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.9985
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.9985
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9985
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.9985
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9985
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.9985
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 45.84, Sell volume: 1258.74, Average price: 0.2860, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.9985
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.9985
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.9985
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.9985
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.9985
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 2350.00, Sell volume: 667.94, Average price: 0.2860, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523365
Question: Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 550456.488708
Price History:
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.0010
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 15189.41, Sell volume: 110.29, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.4900
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.1950
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.1250
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.1250
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0900
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0555
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0555
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0555
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0555
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.1050
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.1100
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.1100
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.1100
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.1100
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.1100
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.1205
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.1065
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0975
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0900
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.1095
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0920
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0940
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0910
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0910
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0905
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.0905
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0910
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.0895
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0895
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0905
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0905
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.0905
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0905
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.0895
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0895
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.0895
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0895
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.0835
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0945
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0940
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.0935
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.1050
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.1270
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.1275
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.1315
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.1230
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.1100
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.1110
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.1120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 10495.26, Sell volume: 1066.66, Average price: 0.6360, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.1040
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.1035
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.1030
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.1035
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.1030
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.1035
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.1040
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.1035
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.1040
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.1035
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.1030
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.1040
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.1040
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.1015
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.1010
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0965
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0905
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0920
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0915
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0915
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0915
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.1155
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.1155
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.1155
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.1155
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.1180
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.1180
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.1175
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.1225
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.1210
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.1210
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.1215
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.1145
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.1165
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.1105
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.1110
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.1075
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.1080
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.1005
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.1005
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.1005
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.0925
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0935
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0915
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0935
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0895
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0825
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.0930
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0955
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.0845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 8805.55, Sell volume: 971.54, Average price: 0.7077, Price range: 0.0854 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0855
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0840
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0850
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0885
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0885
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0885
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0845
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0875
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.0860
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0830
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0825
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0860
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0755
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0895
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0960
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0900
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0960
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0965
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0970
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.1100
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0925
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0915
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.0940
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0950
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0955
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0940
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0850
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0860
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0840
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0825
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0825
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0820
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0820
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0835
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0815
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0825
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0830
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0830
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.0855
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0850
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.0815
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0840
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.0830
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.0845
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0840
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0830
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.0820
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.0750
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.0750
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.0755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 237, Buy volume: 20344.01, Sell volume: 4287.48, Average price: 0.6566, Price range: 0.0782 - 0.9280

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.0750
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.0750
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.0745
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.0745
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.0730
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.0735
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.0740
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.0730
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.0685
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.0685
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.0715
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.0725
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.0735
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.0685
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0695
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.0725
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.0730
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.0710
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.0705
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.0705
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.0705
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.0705
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.0705
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.0705
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.0705
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.0705
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.0710
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.0725
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.0685
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.0725
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.0705
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.0745
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.0720
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.0745
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.0735
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.0750
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.0735
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.0805
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.0780
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.0810
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.0780
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.0790
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.0710
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.0715
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.0740
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.0745
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.0795
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.0775
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.0765
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.0790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 318, Buy volume: 113070.44, Sell volume: 87422.52, Average price: 0.6834, Price range: 0.0663 - 0.9350

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.0895
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.1010
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.1040
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.1015
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.0710
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0685
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.0735
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.0790
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.1070
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.1175
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.0035
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0020
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.0020
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.0030
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.0020
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 626, Buy volume: 67458.62, Sell volume: 26317.12, Average price: 0.6858, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.0010
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0010
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.0010
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.0010
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.0010
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 773.88, Sell volume: 2126.66, Average price: 0.4546, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0020
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.0020
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 2000.00, Sell volume: 1760.44, Average price: 0.1119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0010
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0020
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0020
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.0020
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0020
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0020
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0020
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.0020
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0020
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.0020
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0020
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0020
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0015
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 3500.00, Sell volume: 132.73, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1786.13, Sell volume: 137.87, Average price: 0.7490, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1.00, Sell volume: 1131.00, Average price: 0.2505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 2.42, Sell volume: 929.42, Average price: 0.1673, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 338.00, Sell volume: 1401.99, Average price: 0.2505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.37, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.4900
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.8050
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.1250
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.9100
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0555
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.9445
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.1050
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.8900
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.1100
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.8900
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.1205
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.8935
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0900
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.8905
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0940
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.9090
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0905
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.9095
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.0895
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.9105
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0905
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.9095
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.0895
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.9105
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0895
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.9165
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0940
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.9065
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.8730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 10495.26, Sell volume: 1066.66, Average price: 0.6360, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.1040
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.8965
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.1035
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.8970
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.1040
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.8965
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.1035
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.8970
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.1040
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.8985
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0965
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.9095
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0915
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.9085
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.1155
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.8845
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.1155
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.8820
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.1175
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.8775
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.1210
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.8785
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.1165
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.8895
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.1075
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.8920
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.1005
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.8995
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0935
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.9085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 8805.55, Sell volume: 971.54, Average price: 0.7077, Price range: 0.0854 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0855
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9160
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0885
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.9115
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0845
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.9125
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0830
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9175
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0755
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9105
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0900
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9040
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0970
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.8900
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0915
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.9060
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0955
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.9060
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0860
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.9160
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0825
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.9180
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0835
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9185
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0830
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.9170
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0850
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.9185
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.0830
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.9155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 237, Buy volume: 20344.01, Sell volume: 4287.48, Average price: 0.6566, Price range: 0.0782 - 0.9280
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.0750
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.9250
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.0745
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.9270
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.0740
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.9270
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.0685
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.9285
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.0735
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.9315
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.0725
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.9270
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.0705
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.9295
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.0705
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.9295
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.0705
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.9295
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.0725
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.9315
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.0705
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.9255
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.0745
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.9265
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.0735
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.9195
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.0810
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.9220
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.0710
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.9285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 318, Buy volume: 113070.44, Sell volume: 87422.52, Average price: 0.6834, Price range: 0.0663 - 0.9350
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.0895
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.8990
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.1015
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.9290
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.0735
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.9210
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.1175
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.9975
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.9980
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.9985
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.9985
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.9970
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.9985
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.9985
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 626, Buy volume: 67458.62, Sell volume: 26317.12, Average price: 0.6858, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.9990
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.0010
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.9990
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.9995
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.9995
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.9995
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.9995
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.9995
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 773.88, Sell volume: 2126.66, Average price: 0.4546, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.9980
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.9980
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.9980
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.9980
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.9980
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.0020
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.9985
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.9995
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.9995
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 2000.00, Sell volume: 1760.44, Average price: 0.1119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.9995
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9990
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9985
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.9980
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9980
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9980
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0020
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.9980
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0020
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9980
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0020
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 3500.00, Sell volume: 132.73, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes