Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757002
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 670.398109
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757002
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 670.398109
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757002
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 670.398109
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757002
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 670.398109
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757002
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 670.398109
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757002
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 670.398109
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757002
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 670.398109
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757002
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 670.398109
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757002
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 670.398109
Price History:
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 144, Buy volume: 4305.71, Sell volume: 466.66, Average price: 0.5248, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757002
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 670.398109
Price History:
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 144, Buy volume: 4305.71, Sell volume: 466.66, Average price: 0.5248, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757002
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 670.398109
Price History:
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 144, Buy volume: 4305.71, Sell volume: 466.66, Average price: 0.5248, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757002
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 670.398109
Price History:
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 144, Buy volume: 4305.71, Sell volume: 466.66, Average price: 0.5248, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757002
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 670.398109
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757002
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 670.398109
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757002
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 670.398109
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757002
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 670.398109
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757002
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 670.398109
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757002
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 670.398109
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757002
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 670.398109
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757002
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 670.398109
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757002
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 670.398109
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.8250
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.5700
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.4300
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9850
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0150
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9750
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0250
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9910
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0090
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0050
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9950
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0050
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9950
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9795
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0205
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.7535
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2465
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.7540
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.2460
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.2465
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.7535
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9740
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0260
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0205
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9795
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9795
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0205
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 5321.50, Sell volume: 20.40, Average price: 0.2937, Price range: 0.0098 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.9885
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0105
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9895
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0105
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.9895
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9895
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0105
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0100
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9900
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0100
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9900
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9910
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0095
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9905
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0095
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9905
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0065
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9935
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 94.83, Sell volume: 1577.94, Average price: 0.6615, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 555.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0090, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.0090

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0075
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9925
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0075
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9925
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0075
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.9925
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0095
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0095
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1.01, Sell volume: 46.11, Average price: 0.5948, Price range: 0.0027 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9910
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0090
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9910
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0090
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9910
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0090
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9910
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0090
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0090
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9910
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9910
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0090
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9910
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2.00, Sell volume: 2.00, Average price: 0.9908, Price range: 0.9830 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0090
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9910
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.9910
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0090
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0090
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9910
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9955
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9950
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0050
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1544.26, Average price: 0.3314, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9955
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9955
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9965
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9965
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9955
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9955
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9955
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 769.76, Sell volume: 609.24, Average price: 0.8546, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0050
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9950
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.0050
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9950
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0050
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0050
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9950
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 775.35, Sell volume: 41.04, Average price: 0.8726, Price range: 0.0078 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 17.36, Sell volume: 14.35, Average price: 0.9977, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.9975, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 485.35, Sell volume: 485.35, Average price: 0.9975, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 398.53, Sell volume: 1675.38, Average price: 0.8984, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 11940.65, Sell volume: 51028.00, Average price: 0.0422, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.8250
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.5700
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.4300
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9850
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0150
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9750
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0250
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9910
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0090
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0050
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9950
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0050
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9950
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9795
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0205
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.7535
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2465
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.7540
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.2460
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.2465
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.7535
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9740
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0260
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0205
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9795
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9795
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0205
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 5321.50, Sell volume: 20.40, Average price: 0.2937, Price range: 0.0098 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.9885
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0105
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9895
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0105
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.9895
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9895
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0105
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0100
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9900
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0100
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9900
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9910
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0095
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9905
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0095
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9905
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0065
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9935
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 94.83, Sell volume: 1577.94, Average price: 0.6615, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 555.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0090, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.0090
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0075
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9925
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0075
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9925
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0075
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.9925
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0095
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0095
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1.01, Sell volume: 46.11, Average price: 0.5948, Price range: 0.0027 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9910
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0090
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9910
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0090
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9910
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0090
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9910
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0090
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0090
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9910
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9910
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2.00, Sell volume: 2.00, Average price: 0.9908, Price range: 0.9830 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0090
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9910
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.9910
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0090
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0090
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9910
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9955
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9950
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0050
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1544.26, Average price: 0.3314, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9955
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9955
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9965
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9965
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9955
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9955
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9955
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 769.76, Sell volume: 609.24, Average price: 0.8546, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0050
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9950
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.0050
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9950
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0050
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0050
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9950
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 775.35, Sell volume: 41.04, Average price: 0.8726, Price range: 0.0078 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 17.36, Sell volume: 14.35, Average price: 0.9977, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.9975, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 485.35, Sell volume: 485.35, Average price: 0.9975, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 398.53, Sell volume: 1675.38, Average price: 0.8984, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618039
Question: Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?
Volume: 82704.555551
Price History:
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 11940.65, Sell volume: 51028.00, Average price: 0.0422, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 690403
Question: Will any Senators vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21344.942965
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.7155
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.2845
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9665
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0335
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9755
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 16945.35, Sell volume: 4399.59, Average price: 0.5483, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 690403
Question: Will any Senators vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?
Volume: 21344.942965
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.7155
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.2845
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9665
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0335
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9755
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 16945.35, Sell volume: 4399.59, Average price: 0.5483, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.4967, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5350
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4650
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5350
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 60.81, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5300, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.5800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5350
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4650
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 194.74, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5770, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.7400
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7400
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 28.34, Sell volume: 43.56, Average price: 0.3733, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9490
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0510
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 4337.63, Sell volume: 235.77, Average price: 0.6542, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9490
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0510
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 4291.63, Sell volume: 34.74, Average price: 0.7775, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9490
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0510
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 4291.63, Sell volume: 34.74, Average price: 0.7775, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9490
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0510
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 4291.63, Sell volume: 34.74, Average price: 0.7775, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9490
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0510
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 4291.63, Sell volume: 34.74, Average price: 0.7775, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9490
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0510
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 4291.63, Sell volume: 34.74, Average price: 0.7775, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9490
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0510
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 4291.63, Sell volume: 34.74, Average price: 0.7775, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9490
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0510
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 4291.63, Sell volume: 34.74, Average price: 0.7775, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9490
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0510
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 4291.63, Sell volume: 34.74, Average price: 0.7775, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.4967, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5350
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4650
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5350
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 60.81, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5300, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.5800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5350
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4650
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 194.74, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5770, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.7400
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7400
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 28.34, Sell volume: 43.56, Average price: 0.3733, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9490
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0510
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 4337.63, Sell volume: 235.77, Average price: 0.6542, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9490
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0510
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 4291.63, Sell volume: 34.74, Average price: 0.7775, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9490
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0510
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 4291.63, Sell volume: 34.74, Average price: 0.7775, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9490
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0510
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 4291.63, Sell volume: 34.74, Average price: 0.7775, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9490
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0510
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 4291.63, Sell volume: 34.74, Average price: 0.7775, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9490
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0510
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 4291.63, Sell volume: 34.74, Average price: 0.7775, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9490
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0510
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 4291.63, Sell volume: 34.74, Average price: 0.7775, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9490
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0510
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 4291.63, Sell volume: 34.74, Average price: 0.7775, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687563
Question: Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 6050.941963
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9490
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0510
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 4291.63, Sell volume: 34.74, Average price: 0.7775, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5300
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.4967, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.33, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7050, Price range: 0.5500 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.2550
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.7450
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.2550
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.7450
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3500, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.3500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 7449.81, Sell volume: 389.62, Average price: 0.5644, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2288.95, Sell volume: 329.62, Average price: 0.5343, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 6298.95, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.8074, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 6298.95, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.8074, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 6298.95, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.8074, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 6298.95, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.8074, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 6298.95, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.8074, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 6298.95, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.8074, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 6298.95, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.8074, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 6298.95, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.8074, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5300
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.4967, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.33, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7050, Price range: 0.5500 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.2550
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.7450
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.2550
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.7450
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3500, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.3500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 7449.81, Sell volume: 389.62, Average price: 0.5644, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2288.95, Sell volume: 329.62, Average price: 0.5343, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 6298.95, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.8074, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 6298.95, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.8074, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 6298.95, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.8074, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 6298.95, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.8074, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 6298.95, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.8074, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 6298.95, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.8074, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 6298.95, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.8074, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687565
Question: Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 7839.429995
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 6298.95, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.8074, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5250, Price range: 0.5250 - 0.5250

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5600
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4400
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5600
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4400
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5600
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4400
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.38, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.6800, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.7350
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3600, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.3600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 16.00, Average price: 0.2200, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.2200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 4103.24, Sell volume: 150.15, Average price: 0.6516, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 4103.67, Sell volume: 143.77, Average price: 0.7362, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 4103.67, Sell volume: 143.77, Average price: 0.7362, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 4103.67, Sell volume: 143.77, Average price: 0.7362, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 4103.67, Sell volume: 143.77, Average price: 0.7362, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 4103.67, Sell volume: 143.77, Average price: 0.7362, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 4103.67, Sell volume: 143.77, Average price: 0.7362, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 4103.67, Sell volume: 143.77, Average price: 0.7362, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 4103.67, Sell volume: 143.77, Average price: 0.7362, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5250, Price range: 0.5250 - 0.5250
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5600
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4400
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5600
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4400
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5600
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4400
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.38, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.6800, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.7350
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3600, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.3600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 16.00, Average price: 0.2200, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.2200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 4103.24, Sell volume: 150.15, Average price: 0.6516, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 4103.67, Sell volume: 143.77, Average price: 0.7362, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 4103.67, Sell volume: 143.77, Average price: 0.7362, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 4103.67, Sell volume: 143.77, Average price: 0.7362, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 4103.67, Sell volume: 143.77, Average price: 0.7362, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 4103.67, Sell volume: 143.77, Average price: 0.7362, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 4103.67, Sell volume: 143.77, Average price: 0.7362, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 4103.67, Sell volume: 143.77, Average price: 0.7362, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687567
Question: Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 5699.588328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 4103.67, Sell volume: 143.77, Average price: 0.7362, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 10703.81, Sell volume: 2004.37, Average price: 0.5890, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.3450
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 122.70, Sell volume: 42.00, Average price: 0.6033, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5950
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4050
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6700
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3300
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6750
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6700
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3300
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.8100
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.1900
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.8100
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 168.00, Average price: 0.4343, Price range: 0.1186 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 6342.57, Sell volume: 1794.37, Average price: 0.6187, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0110
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 8315.95, Sell volume: 1742.38, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0110
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 8315.95, Sell volume: 1742.38, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0110
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 8315.95, Sell volume: 1742.38, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No