Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.7050
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.2950
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.7050
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.2950
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.7050
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.2950
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.7050
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.2950
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.7050
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.2950
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.7050
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.2950
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.7050
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.2950
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.7050
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.2950
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.7050
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.2950
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.7050
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.2750
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.6600
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.3300
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.6750
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.6950
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.3100
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.3100
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.6900
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 41337735.26, Sell volume: 11279484.52, Average price: 0.5211, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.6900
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.3100
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.6900
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.3100
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.6800
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.3250
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.6750
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.3150
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.6950
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.3050
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.6950
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.3100
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.6900
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.3100
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.6850
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.3150
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.6900
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.3100
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.6900
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.3100
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.6900
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.3100
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.6900
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.3100
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.6900
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.3100
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.6900
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.3100
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.6900
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 41337735.26, Sell volume: 11279484.52, Average price: 0.5211, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.6850
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.3150
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.6850
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.3150
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.6850
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.3150
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.6850
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.3150
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.6850
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.3250
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.6750
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.3350
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.6650
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.3350
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.6650
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.3350
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.6250
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.3650
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.6000
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.4000
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.6000
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.4000
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.6000
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.4000
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.6000
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.3950
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.5950
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.4050
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.5950
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 41337735.26, Sell volume: 11279484.52, Average price: 0.5211, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.5850
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.4150
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.5850
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.4150
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.4150
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.5500
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.4450
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.5600
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.4400
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.5600
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.4400
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.5600
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.4350
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.5650
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.4300
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.5650
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.4350
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.5650
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.4350
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.5700
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.4300
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.5750
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.4300
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.5650
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.4350
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.5500
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.4400
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.5600
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 41337735.26, Sell volume: 11279484.52, Average price: 0.5211, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.5550
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.5400
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.4600
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.5350
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.4650
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.5350
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.4650
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.5550
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.4450
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.5550
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.4300
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.5700
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.4200
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.5750
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.4300
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.5700
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.4300
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.8600
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.1500
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.8600
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.0465
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9280
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.1970
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.8250
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.1080
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.9070
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0935
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.7650
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.2455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 41337735.26, Sell volume: 11279484.52, Average price: 0.5211, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.8215
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.1825
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.7865
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.2125
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.7790
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.2235
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.7860
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.1760
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.8270
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.1720
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.8335
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.1535
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.8510
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.1465
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.8500
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.1900
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.8060
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.1845
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.8175
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.1430
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.8255
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.1805
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.8110
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.1785
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.8190
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.1815
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.8050
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.2000
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.7990
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.2040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 41337735.26, Sell volume: 11279484.52, Average price: 0.5211, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.7995
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.2030
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.7950
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.2045
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.7955
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.2055
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.7925
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.2075
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.7945
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.2030
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.7920
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.2070
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.7255
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.2795
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.7175
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.2445
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.7550
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.2430
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.7580
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.2105
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.7980
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.2020
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.7980
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.2020
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.7895
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.2110
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.7885
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.2145
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.7860
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.2135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 317682, Buy volume: 8084234.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5167, Price range: 0.2140 - 0.7870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.7865
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.2135
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.7695
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2165
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.7795
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.2095
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.7820
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.2120
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.7895
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.2105
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.7895
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.2105
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.7865
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.2160
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.7810
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.2190
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.7650
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.2455
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.7550
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.7490
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.2375
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.7700
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.2325
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.7675
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.2325
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.7675
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.2325
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.7655
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.2355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 679476, Buy volume: 32924879.80, Sell volume: 11095988.50, Average price: 0.5222, Price range: 0.2070 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.7650
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.2350
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.7655
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.2345
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.7435
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.2490
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.7610
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.2410
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.7580
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.2460
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.7540
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.2460
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.7540
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.2405
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.7320
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.2630
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.7480
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.2425
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.7680
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.4160
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.6120
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.3905
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.6135
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.4935
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.5085
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.6010
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.4730
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.2760
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.6625
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.3430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 234, Buy volume: 89972.74, Sell volume: 75058.11, Average price: 0.5072, Price range: 0.2014 - 0.8050
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516707
Question: Circle IPO in 2025?
Volume: 1275920.614668
Price History:
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.6765
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.3480
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.6980
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.2830
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.6925
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.2910
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.7055
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.3050
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.9060
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0815
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9230
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0780
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9375
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0615
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9395
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0230
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9645
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0390
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9675
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0330
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9675
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0435
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9575
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0405
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9755
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0235
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9720
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0100
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.9950
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 601, Buy volume: 213260.89, Sell volume: 26347.39, Average price: 0.6882, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.1900
2024-12-16 21:00: 0.0450
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.0500
2024-12-17 07:00: 0.0650
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.0700
2024-12-17 17:00: 0.0750
2024-12-17 22:00: 0.0750
2024-12-18 03:00: 0.0750
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.0850
2024-12-18 13:00: 0.0850
2024-12-18 18:00: 0.0750
2024-12-18 23:00: 0.0750
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.0750
2024-12-19 09:00: 0.0750
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.0750
2024-12-19 19:00: 0.0700
2024-12-20 00:00: 0.0750
2024-12-20 05:00: 0.0650
2024-12-20 10:00: 0.0335
2024-12-20 15:00: 0.0445
2024-12-20 20:00: 0.0360
2024-12-21 01:00: 0.0340
2024-12-21 06:00: 0.0340
2024-12-21 11:00: 0.0355
2024-12-21 16:00: 0.0350
2024-12-21 21:00: 0.0355
2024-12-22 02:00: 0.0355
2024-12-22 07:00: 0.0340
2024-12-22 12:00: 0.0335
2024-12-22 17:00: 0.0450
2024-12-22 22:00: 0.0260
2024-12-23 03:00: 0.0285
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.0235
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.0240
2024-12-23 18:00: 0.0250
2024-12-23 23:00: 0.0280
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.0275
2024-12-24 09:00: 0.0285
2024-12-24 14:00: 0.0285
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.0280
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.0280
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.0265
2024-12-25 10:00: 0.0265
2024-12-25 15:00: 0.0325
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.0340
2024-12-26 01:00: 0.0280
2024-12-26 06:00: 0.0225
2024-12-26 11:00: 0.0235
2024-12-26 16:00: 0.0250
2024-12-26 21:00: 0.0240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 301544496.30, Sell volume: 304365300.15, Average price: 0.8180, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0245
2024-12-27 17:00: 0.0240
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.0230
2024-12-28 03:00: 0.0235
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.0280
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.0210
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.0255
2024-12-28 23:00: 0.0245
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.0245
2024-12-29 09:00: 0.0250
2024-12-29 14:00: 0.0235
2024-12-29 19:00: 0.0315
2024-12-30 00:00: 0.0290
2024-12-30 05:00: 0.0250
2024-12-30 10:00: 0.0355
2024-12-30 15:00: 0.0380
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.0325
2024-12-31 01:00: 0.0285
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.0305
2024-12-31 11:00: 0.0215
2024-12-31 16:00: 0.0290
2024-12-31 21:00: 0.0215
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.0230
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.0230
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0215
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.0220
2025-01-01 22:00: 0.0210
2025-01-02 03:00: 0.0185
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.0195
2025-01-02 13:00: 0.0195
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.0180
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.0190
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.0195
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.0185
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.0190
2025-01-03 19:00: 0.0205
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.0210
2025-01-04 05:00: 0.0205
2025-01-04 10:00: 0.0245
2025-01-04 15:00: 0.0240
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.0230
2025-01-05 01:00: 0.0225
2025-01-05 06:00: 0.0225
2025-01-05 11:00: 0.0245
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.0240
2025-01-05 21:00: 0.0210
2025-01-06 02:00: 0.0210
2025-01-06 07:00: 0.0210
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0210
2025-01-06 17:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 301544496.30, Sell volume: 304365300.15, Average price: 0.8180, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.0210
2025-01-07 13:00: 0.0210
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.0185
2025-01-07 23:00: 0.0180
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.0180
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.0180
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.0170
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.0160
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.0165
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.0170
2025-01-09 10:00: 0.0165
2025-01-09 15:00: 0.0190
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.0190
2025-01-10 01:00: 0.0195
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.0195
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.0205
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.0205
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.0205
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.0195
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.0195
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0195
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.0195
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0195
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.0195
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0195
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.0190
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.0190
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.0190
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.0190
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.0190
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.0190
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.0190
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0190
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.0190
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.0185
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.0170
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0185
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.0185
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.0175
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.0175
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0200
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.0205
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.0205
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.0200
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.0200
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.0200
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.0205
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.0205
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.0205
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 301544496.30, Sell volume: 304365300.15, Average price: 0.8180, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0200
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.0200
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.0195
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.0195
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0195
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.0195
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.0195
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.0195
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.0195
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.0195
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.0195
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.0180
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0180
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.0175
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.0175
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.0175
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0170
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.0170
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.0170
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.0170
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.0170
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.0170
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.0170
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.0175
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.0175
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.0170
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.0170
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.0170
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.0170
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0170
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0150
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.0060
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.0075
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.0085
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.0060
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.0055
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.0060
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.0100
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.0100
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.0110
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.0105
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.0110
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.0110
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.0085
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.0075
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.0085
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.0070
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.0070
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.0070
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 301544496.30, Sell volume: 304365300.15, Average price: 0.8180, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.0095
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0095
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0085
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.0105
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.0155
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0200
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0185
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0260
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.0265
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0250
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0250
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0250
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0245
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0260
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.0245
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0215
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0250
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0235
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.0225
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0225
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0215
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0250
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0245
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.0305
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.0245
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.0285
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.0275
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0275
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0260
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.0290
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0265
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0275
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0305
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0280
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.0325
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0370
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0365
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0315
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0310
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0300
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.0300
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0300
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0295
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0235
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0255
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0255
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0255
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 301544496.30, Sell volume: 304365300.15, Average price: 0.8180, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0250
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.0250
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0260
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0260
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0250
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.0270
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0235
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0240
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0235
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0245
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0240
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0245
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0220
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0220
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0225
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0230
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0235
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0210
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0200
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0205
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0205
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.0205
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.0205
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0205
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.0200
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0195
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0195
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0185
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0195
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0195
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0190
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0185
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0195
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0195
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.0185
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0185
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0195
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0195
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0190
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0185
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0185
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0105
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0105
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0115
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.0095
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.0095
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0095
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0095
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0085
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 301544496.30, Sell volume: 304365300.15, Average price: 0.8180, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0085
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0115
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0135
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0115
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0120
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.0110
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.0115
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.0115
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.0085
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.0090
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.0085
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.0080
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.0115
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.0095
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.0090
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.0090
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.0085
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.0125
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.0040
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0020
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.0030
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.0020
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.0020
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0030
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0030
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0030
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.0030
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 301544496.30, Sell volume: 304365300.15, Average price: 0.8180, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0030
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0025
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0025
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0025
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0030
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.0030
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0030
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0030
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0010
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0020
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.0020
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.0020
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.0020
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.0020
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.0020
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5994, Buy volume: 2000.00, Sell volume: 45474.48, Average price: 0.9983, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.0020
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.0020
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.0020
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.0020
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.0020
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.0020
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.0020
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.0020
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.0020
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.0020
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.0020
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.0020
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.0020
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0020
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.0020
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.0020
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.0020
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.0030
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.0025
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.0030
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.0040
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0040
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.0040
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.0040
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.0035
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.0030
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.0030
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0030
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.0030
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.0035
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.0040
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.0035
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 731268, Buy volume: 270734368.45, Sell volume: 270012117.60, Average price: 0.8182, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.0040
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.0035
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.0040
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.0040
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.0060
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0055
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.0055
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.0045
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.0045
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.0045
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.0045
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.0045
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.0045
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0040
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0045
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.0045
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.0040
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.0040
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.0045
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.0040
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0040
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.0040
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.0040
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0040
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.0040
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.0040
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.0045
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.0045
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0045
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.0045
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.0045
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.0045
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0045
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.0045
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 256095, Buy volume: 28659128.90, Sell volume: 30257602.60, Average price: 0.8322, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.0020
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.0020
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0020
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0020
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0020
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.0020
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0020
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0020
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0020
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0020
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0020
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0020
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0020
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0020
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.0020
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.0020
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0020
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0020
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0020
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0020
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0020
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 364, Buy volume: 75386.45, Sell volume: 19794.70, Average price: 0.9445, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0020
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0020
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0020
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0020
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0020
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0020
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0020
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0020
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0020
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0020
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0020
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0020
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0020
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0020
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0020
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0020
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0020
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0020
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0020
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0020
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0020
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0020
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0020
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0020
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0020
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0020
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0020
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0020
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0020
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0020
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0020
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0020
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0020
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0020
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0020
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0020
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0020
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 154, Buy volume: 4547.16, Sell volume: 5807.46, Average price: 0.9459, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0020
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0020
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0020
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0020
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0020
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0020
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0020
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0020
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0020
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0020
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0010
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0010
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0010
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0010
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0010
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0010
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0010
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0010
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0010
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0010
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0010
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0010
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0010
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0010
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0010
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0010
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0010
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0010
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0010
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0010
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0010
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 131, Buy volume: 77855.22, Sell volume: 28503.31, Average price: 0.6562, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.1900
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.9500
2024-12-17 09:00: 0.0650
2024-12-17 17:00: 0.9250
2024-12-18 02:00: 0.0750
2024-12-18 10:00: 0.9150
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.0750
2024-12-19 03:00: 0.9250
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.0700
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.9250
2024-12-20 05:00: 0.0650
2024-12-20 13:00: 0.9630
2024-12-20 22:00: 0.0345
2024-12-21 06:00: 0.9660
2024-12-21 15:00: 0.0350
2024-12-21 23:00: 0.9650
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.0345
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.9655
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.0290
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.9765
2024-12-23 18:00: 0.0250
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.9710
2024-12-24 11:00: 0.0280
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.9720
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.0265
2024-12-25 12:00: 0.9725
2024-12-25 21:00: 0.0345
2024-12-26 05:00: 0.9735
2024-12-26 14:00: 0.0235
2024-12-26 22:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 301544496.30, Sell volume: 304365300.15, Average price: 0.8180, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0245
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.9760
2024-12-28 05:00: 0.0255
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.9790
2024-12-28 22:00: 0.0245
2024-12-29 06:00: 0.9750
2024-12-29 15:00: 0.0220
2024-12-29 23:00: 0.9700
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.0345
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.9620
2024-12-31 01:00: 0.0285
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.9700
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.0230
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.9770
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.0215
2025-01-01 19:00: 0.9815
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0185
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.9815
2025-01-02 21:00: 0.0190
2025-01-03 05:00: 0.9805
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.0190
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.9790
2025-01-04 07:00: 0.0225
2025-01-04 15:00: 0.9760
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.0230
2025-01-05 08:00: 0.9780
2025-01-05 17:00: 0.0215
2025-01-06 01:00: 0.9790
2025-01-06 10:00: 0.0205
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 301544496.30, Sell volume: 304365300.15, Average price: 0.8180, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.0210
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.9810
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.0185
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.9820
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.0155
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.9830
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.0155
2025-01-09 19:00: 0.9810
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.0195
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.9795
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.0205
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.9805
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.0195
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.9805
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.0195
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.9810
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.0190
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.9810
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.0190
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.9810
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.0185
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.9815
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.0185
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.9825
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0205
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.9790
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.0200
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.9795
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.0205
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 301544496.30, Sell volume: 304365300.15, Average price: 0.8180, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0200
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.9805
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.0195
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.9805
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.0195
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.9805
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.0195
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.9820
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.0175
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.9825
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.0170
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.9830
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.0170
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.9830
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.0175
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.9830
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0170
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.9830
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.0150
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.9925
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.0060
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.9945
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.0100
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.9890
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.0110
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.9890
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.0075
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.9925
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.0070
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 301544496.30, Sell volume: 304365300.15, Average price: 0.8180, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.0095
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.9910
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.0095
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.9800
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0230
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.9745
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0250
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.9750
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0260
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.9785
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0250
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.9750
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.0225
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.9750
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.0305
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.9785
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.0280
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.9735
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9715
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0305
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.9680
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0385
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.9685
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0300
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.9705
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0300
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9745
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.0255
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 301544496.30, Sell volume: 304365300.15, Average price: 0.8180, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0250
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9735
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0265
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9730
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0240
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9770
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0240
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.9780
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0225
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9765
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0210
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.9795
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0205
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.9795
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0200
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.9805
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0185
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.9805
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0190
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.9805
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.0185
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.9815
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0190
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.9815
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0105
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.9890
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0095
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.9905
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0085
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 301544496.30, Sell volume: 304365300.15, Average price: 0.8180, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0105
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.9915
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0130
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.9880
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.0115
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.9905
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.0085
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.9915
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.0105
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.9910
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.0085
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.9950
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.0020
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.9985
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.9975
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.9980
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.9995
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0030
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.9970
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0030
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 301544496.30, Sell volume: 304365300.15, Average price: 0.8180, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9970
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.9975
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0025
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.9970
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0030
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.9965
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9980
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.9985
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9985
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.9980
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.9985
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9985
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.9970
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0020
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5994, Buy volume: 2000.00, Sell volume: 45474.48, Average price: 0.9983, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.9980
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.0020
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9980
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.9985
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.0020
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.9985
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.9980
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.0020
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.9980
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.9980
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.0020
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.9980
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.0030
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.9975
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.0040
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.9960
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.0040
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.9965
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.0030
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.9970
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.0035
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.9960
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.0035
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 731268, Buy volume: 270734368.45, Sell volume: 270012117.60, Average price: 0.8182, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.0040
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.0040
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.9945
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.0055
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.0045
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.9955
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0045
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.9960
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0045
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.9955
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.0050
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.9960
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.0040
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.9960
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.0040
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.9955
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0045
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9955
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.0045
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.9955
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.9955
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 256095, Buy volume: 28659128.90, Sell volume: 30257602.60, Average price: 0.8322, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.9955
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.9955
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.9955
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0020
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.9980
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.0020
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0020
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0020
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9980
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0020
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.9980
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0020
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.9980
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0020
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 364, Buy volume: 75386.45, Sell volume: 19794.70, Average price: 0.9445, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0020
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9980
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0020
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.9980
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0020
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9980
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0020
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9980
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9975
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0020
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9980
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0020
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9980
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0020
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9980
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0020
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9980
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0020
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9980
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0020
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9980
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0020
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9980
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0020
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 154, Buy volume: 4547.16, Sell volume: 5807.46, Average price: 0.9459, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515799
Question: Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Volume: 2731767.35948
Price History:
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0020
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9980
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0020
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9980
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0020
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9980
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0010
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9990
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0010
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9990
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0010
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9990
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0010
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9990
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0010
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9990
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9990
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 131, Buy volume: 77855.22, Sell volume: 28503.31, Average price: 0.6562, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.4950
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.4800
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.5100
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.4900
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.5100
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.5100
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.4900
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.5100
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.3450
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.6550
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.3450
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.6450
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.3550
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.6400
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.3700
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.6300
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.6500
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.3950
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.6400
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.3500
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.6500
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.4750
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.5150
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.4850
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.4200
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.5850
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.4100
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.6200
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.4050
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.5850
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.4150
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.5850
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.4150
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.5750
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.4150
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.5850
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.4150
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.5850
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.4150
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.6500
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.3500
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.6500
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.4150
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.5300
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.4600
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.5750
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.4700
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.4950
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.6600
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169942428.13, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.5550
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.3200
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.5200
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.5000
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.5150
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.4350
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.6300
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.3800
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.6000
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.3050
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.6800
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.3150
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.6850
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.3100
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.6900
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.3000
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.4500
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.4750
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.7250
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.3500
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.6500
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.3500
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.6400
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.3250
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.6600
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.3500
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.6500
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.3500
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.6500
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.3500
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.6200
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.3800
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.5600
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.4400
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.6000
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.3800
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.6150
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.4300
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.5750
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.4250
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.5750
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.4250
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.5750
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.3100
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.7600
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.2200
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.7550
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.2600
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.7250
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169942428.13, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.7100
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.2900
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.6750
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.3350
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.6500
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.3500
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.6450
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.3700
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.6050
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.3900
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.6200
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.3800
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.6200
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.3750
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.6300
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.4050
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.6000
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.4050
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.5950
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.4100
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.5900
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.4000
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.6000
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.4000
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.6000
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.4100
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.5900
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.3950
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.6050
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.3950
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.6050
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.4250
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.6050
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.3950
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.6150
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.3950
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.6350
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.3900
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.6100
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.4200
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.6150
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.3900
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.6100
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.3850
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.6150
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.3650
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.6300
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.3700
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.6250
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169942428.13, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.6800
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.3250
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.6800
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.3550
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.6150
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.3600
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.6350
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.3500
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.6300
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.3200
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.6750
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.3350
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.6950
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.4850
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.5300
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.4700
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.5300
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.4600
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.5350
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.4350
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.5600
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.4550
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.5500
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.4400
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.5550
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.4400
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.4650
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.3700
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.6250
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.4750
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.4550
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.5900
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.4700
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.5900
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.5250
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.4550
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.5100
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.4850
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.4650
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.4950
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.4700
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.5100
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.4300
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.5700
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.4800
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.5950
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.3350
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.5800
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.3400
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169942428.13, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.4850
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.5150
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.4850
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.4850
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.4850
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.4700
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.4450
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.4450
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.4600
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.4650
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.5250
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.5400
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.5800
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.4250
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.5250
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.3750
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.5600
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.6900
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.3550
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.6350
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.4500
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.5400
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.4400
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.5700
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.4200
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.7300
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.6050
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.5700
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.4800
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.4650
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.4350
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.4650
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.5800
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.5850
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.4050
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.5900
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.5900
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.5750
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.5900
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.6050
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.4000
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.5900
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.5850
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.4100
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.5750
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.4300
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.5700
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.4250
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.5450
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169942428.13, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.5750
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.4150
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.4200
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.4200
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.4250
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.4100
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.4400
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.5600
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.4050
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.5950
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.4000
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.6050
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.4150
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.5650
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.4400
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.4600
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.4600
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.5400
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.4600
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.4600
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.4500
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.5400
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.4600
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.5400
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.4650
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.5350
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.5350
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.5350
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.5350
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.5350
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.4650
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.5350
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.4650
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.5350
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.5350
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.4650
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.4650
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.5350
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.4650
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.5350
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.4550
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.4550
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.5450
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.4550
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.5450
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.4550
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.4550
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.4550
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.5450
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169942428.13, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.3900
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.4250
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.5750
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.5750
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.5800
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.4300
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.5650
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.4350
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.4350
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.4350
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.4300
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.5500
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.5450
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.4300
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.5700
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.5700
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.4150
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.4200
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.3950
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.4100
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.5800
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.4100
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.5900
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.5900
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.5900
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.4350
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.5650
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.5650
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.4400
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.4400
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.4400
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.5600
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.5450
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.4550
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.3950
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.3600
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.6400
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.6400
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.6450
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.6450
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.6450
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.6450
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.3550
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.6400
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.3600
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.6050
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.5550
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.4000
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169942428.13, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.4400
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.4400
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.5600
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.4400
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.5450
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.5400
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.5250
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.5150
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.5150
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.5150
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.4850
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.5150
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.5100
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.5200
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.5050
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.4950
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.5000
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.4950
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.5050
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.4950
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.4950
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.5050
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.4950
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.3750
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.6800
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.2800
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.2850
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.6650
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.3250
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.7750
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.2700
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.2700
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.3450
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.3600
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.6450
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.3250
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3300
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.6700
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169942428.13, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.3250
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3300
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.3250
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.3250
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.3250
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3250
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.7400
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.2650
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.7400
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.2600
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.2450
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.7650
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.7500
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.2500
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.2500
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.7100
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.7000
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.3100
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.2800
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.7350
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.7100
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.8350
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.1550
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.7300
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.2050
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.3000
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.2950
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.7050
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.3100
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.8100
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.7350
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.2650
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.3000
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.2700
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.7200
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.3450
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.1100
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9100
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.8450
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.2500
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169942428.13, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.1250
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.8900
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.1000
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.8500
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.1800
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.2200
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.7550
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.2700
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.2450
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.2450
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.1900
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.1950
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.7850
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.7450
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.2350
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.2550
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.6800
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.3850
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.4150
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.3850
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.3850
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.3350
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.6450
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.6450
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.6500
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.4950
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.3900
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.3100
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.3250
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.3050
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.3350
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.3950
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.6050
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.6700
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.3350
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.6550
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.3300
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.6550
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.6700
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.3350
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.6500
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.3800
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.6400
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.3650
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.6650
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169942428.13, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.6550
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.3100
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.3000
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.6850
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.3350
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.6600
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.3400
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.6600
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.3450
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.6550
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.3750
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.6400
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.3800
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.6100
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.4050
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.5100
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.5350
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.4750
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.5350
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.4750
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.5200
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.5200
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.5400
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.4800
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.4850
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.5050
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.5250
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.4750
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.5350
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.4050
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.7350
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.3050
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.6850
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.2650
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.2850
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.7300
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.2600
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.8550
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.1450
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.8550
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.8800
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.1800
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.8900
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169942428.13, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.1150
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9000
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.1100
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.1500
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1650
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.1700
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.2300
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.2700
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.7550
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.7650
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.2400
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7550
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.2350
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.7650
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.7700
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.7800
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.2600
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.2600
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.2750
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.2550
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.7400
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.2200
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.8250
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.1750
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.8050
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.1800
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.1800
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1950
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.8100
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.8400
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169942428.13, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.8550
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.1350
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.1400
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.8750
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8850
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.1250
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9100
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0600
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0700
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9625
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0540
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9570
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9605
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0625
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9420
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0420
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0550
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0540
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9510
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.0455
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0080
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9905
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999996, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169940098.16, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.4950
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.5150
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.5100
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.4900
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.4900
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.3450
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.3450
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.3550
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.3600
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.3700
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.6050
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.6400
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.6500
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.5250
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.5150
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.4100
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.4000
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.3900
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.4150
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.4100
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.4250
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.4100
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.4150
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.4150
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.3500
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.3500
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.4250
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.4850
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.5100
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169942428.13, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.5550
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.5300
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.4950
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.5650
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.6150
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.6000
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.6750
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.6900
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.6800
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.7000
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.5300
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.7250
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.6500
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.6500
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.6750
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.6500
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.6500
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.6500
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.6200
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.6200
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.5600
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.6000
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.6150
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.5750
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.5750
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.5750
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.6650
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.7600
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.7550
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169942428.13, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.7100
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.7200
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.6650
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.6500
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.6300
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.6050
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.6400
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.6200
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.6250
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.5950
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.6000
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.5950
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.5900
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.6000
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.6000
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.6000
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.5650
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.6050
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.6050
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.6000
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.6050
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.6050
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.6350
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.6100
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.5950
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.6100
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.6150
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.6150
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.6300
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169942428.13, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.6800
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.6900
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.6150
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.6400
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.6400
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.6300
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.6700
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.6700
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.4800
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.5300
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.5300
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.5350
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.5550
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.5500
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.5600
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.5350
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.5600
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.3850
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.5250
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.4050
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.5700
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.5900
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.5100
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.5000
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.5000
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.4900
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.4750
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.4100
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.3400
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169942428.13, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.4850
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.5150
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.5150
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.5300
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.5550
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.5350
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.5350
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.4900
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.4250
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.6050
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.6750
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.3550
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.4500
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.4500
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.4300
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.3350
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.3650
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.4500
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.4500
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.5800
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.4150
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.4100
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.5900
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.5700
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.6000
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.4100
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.4050
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.5900
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.5500
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169942428.13, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.5750
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.5800
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.5800
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.5900
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.5600
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.5950
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.4000
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.4150
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.5600
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.5400
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4600
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.4600
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.4600
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.4600
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.4600
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.4650
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.5350
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.5350
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.5350
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.4650
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.5350
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.4650
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.4650
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.4650
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.4550
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.5450
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.5450
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.4550
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.5450
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169942428.13, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.3900
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.4250
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.5750
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.5700
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.4350
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.5650
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.4300
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.4550
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.4300
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.4300
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.4050
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.3950
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.5650
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.5900
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.4100
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.4350
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.4450
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.4400
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.5600
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.5550
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.5450
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.6150
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.6400
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.6400
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.6500
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.3550
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.6450
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.3600
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.6050
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169942428.13, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.4400
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.4400
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.4400
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.5450
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.5250
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.5200
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.4850
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.5150
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.4950
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.5200
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.5100
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.5000
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.4950
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.5050
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.5050
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.4950
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.2800
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.3150
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.2250
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.2700
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.3600
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.6750
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3300
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.2900
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169942428.13, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.3250
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3250
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.6750
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6750
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.2650
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.2650
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.2550
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.2350
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.2500
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.7500
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.7100
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.3100
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.2800
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.8700
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.1500
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.1950
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.7000
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.2950
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.3100
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.1450
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.7350
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.7300
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.2800
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169942428.13, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.1250
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.1000
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.8600
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.7800
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.2150
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.2650
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.2600
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.2700
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.1950
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.2250
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.2350
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.2550
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.3900
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.6150
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.6650
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.6450
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.3500
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.4250
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.3150
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.3000
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.6350
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.6050
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.6750
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.3250
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.3450
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.6550
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.6500
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.6400
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169942428.13, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.6550
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.6750
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.3150
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.3400
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.6600
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.3450
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.3750
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.3700
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.3950
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.5250
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.4950
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.4750
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.4650
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.4800
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.4600
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.4800
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.4900
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.4750
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.4750
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.7100
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.7150
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.6850
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.7250
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.8150
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.8550
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.8800
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169942428.13, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.8300
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.8300
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.7550
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.7500
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.7550
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.7750
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.7600
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.7650
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.7750
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.7750
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.2750
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.7150
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.7400
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.7950
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.8250
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.8200
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.8100
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169942428.13, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556075
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Volume: 1591809.883869
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.8550
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.8650
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.8850
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9100
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9625
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0335
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9390
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0580
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9570
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0345
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.9480
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999996, Buy volume: 313362386.14, Sell volume: 169940098.16, Average price: 0.5951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.1100
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.9100
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.0550
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.9300
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.0340
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.9665
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.0345
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.9655
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.0340
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.9660
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.0345
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.9650
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.0350
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.9650
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0350
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.9650
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0350
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.9650
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.0350
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.9650
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.0350
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.9650
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.0350
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.9650
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.0350
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.9650
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.0350
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.9650
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.0345
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.9650
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.0305
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.9695
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0260
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.9765
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0235
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.9765
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0230
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9780
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0220
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.9785
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0215
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9845
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0160
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.9840
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.0160
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.9840
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0160
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.9840
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0170
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 78248779.63, Sell volume: 20656535.81, Average price: 0.8917, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0120
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.9895
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0115
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9905
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0120
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9865
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0110
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.9870
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0110
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9890
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.0115
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.9900
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0125
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.9855
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0115
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9875
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0090
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.9900
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0100
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0130
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.9855
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0145
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9865
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0155
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9860
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0145
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.9860
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0130
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9870
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0110
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.9890
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0110
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.9885
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0115
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9890
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0120
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.9885
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0120
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.9880
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0120
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9885
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0140
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.9860
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.0140
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9860
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0140
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.9860
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0140
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 78248779.63, Sell volume: 20656535.81, Average price: 0.8917, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0140
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.9860
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0140
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9860
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0140
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9860
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0140
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.9860
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.0140
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.9860
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0140
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.9860
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0140
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.9860
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0140
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9860
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.0130
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.9880
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0165
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.9825
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.0200
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9785
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0170
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9825
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.0230
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.9790
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.0165
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.9845
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.0095
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.9905
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.0095
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.9905
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.0095
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.9905
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.0095
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.9880
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0120
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.9880
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.0120
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.9890
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0110
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.9890
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.0110
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.9890
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.0160
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.9840
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.0160
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.9840
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.0160
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 78248779.63, Sell volume: 20656535.81, Average price: 0.8917, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.0160
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.9840
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.0160
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.9840
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.0160
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.9840
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.0160
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.9840
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.0160
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.9845
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.0155
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.9845
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.0155
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.9840
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.0160
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.9840
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.0160
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.9840
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.0170
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.9830
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.0170
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.9830
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.0170
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.9830
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.0170
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.9830
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.0170
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.9830
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.0170
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.9820
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.0185
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.9820
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.0185
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.9820
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.0185
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.9820
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0185
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.9820
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.0185
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9820
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.0185
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.9820
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.0185
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.9820
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.0185
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.9820
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.0185
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.9820
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.0185
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 78248779.63, Sell volume: 20656535.81, Average price: 0.8917, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.0185
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.9820
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.0185
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.9820
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0185
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9820
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0185
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.9820
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.0185
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.9820
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.0185
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.9820
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.0185
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.9820
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.0185
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.9820
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.0185
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.9820
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0185
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.9820
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.0170
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.9815
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0180
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.9820
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.0170
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.9825
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.0185
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.9825
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.0185
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.9815
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.0180
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.9820
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.0185
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.9815
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.0175
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.9815
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.0175
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.9815
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.0175
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.9815
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.0175
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.9815
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.0175
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.9825
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0170
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.9830
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.0170
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.9830
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.0170
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 78248779.63, Sell volume: 20656535.81, Average price: 0.8917, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0170
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.9825
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.0175
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.9825
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.0175
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.9825
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.0175
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.9825
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.0175
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.9825
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.0175
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.9825
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.0175
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.9825
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.0170
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.9835
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.0165
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.9835
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.0165
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.9835
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.0165
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.9835
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.0165
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.9835
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.0165
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.9835
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.0165
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.9835
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.0165
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.9835
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.0165
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.9835
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0165
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.9835
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.0165
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.9835
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.0175
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.9825
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.0175
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.9825
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.0175
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.9825
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.0175
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.9825
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.0175
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.9825
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.0175
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.9825
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.0175
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 78248779.63, Sell volume: 20656535.81, Average price: 0.8917, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.0175
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.9825
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.0175
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.9825
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.0175
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9825
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.0175
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.9825
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0175
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.9825
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.0175
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.9825
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.0175
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.9825
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.0175
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.9825
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.0175
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.9825
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.0175
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.9825
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.0175
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.9825
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.0175
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.9825
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.0175
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.9825
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.0175
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.9825
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0175
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.9825
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.0175
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.9825
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0175
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.9825
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.0175
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.9825
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.0175
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.9825
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.0175
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.9825
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.0175
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.9825
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.0175
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.9825
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0175
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.9825
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.0175
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.9825
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.0175
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 78248779.63, Sell volume: 20656535.81, Average price: 0.8917, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.0170
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.9830
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.0185
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.9820
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.0180
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9825
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0180
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.9820
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.0180
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.9815
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.0185
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.9815
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.0185
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.9820
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0185
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.9815
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.0185
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.9820
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.0180
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.9815
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.0185
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.9820
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0180
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.9815
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.0185
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.9815
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.0190
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.9820
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.0185
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.9815
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.0185
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.9815
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.0180
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.9815
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.0185
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.9815
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.0185
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.9815
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0185
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.9815
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.0185
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.9820
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.0170
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.9830
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.0170
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.9830
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.0170
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.9830
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.0170
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 78248779.63, Sell volume: 20656535.81, Average price: 0.8917, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0185
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.9825
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0175
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.9810
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0190
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.9815
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.0190
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.9820
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0185
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9815
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0185
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.9825
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0185
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9820
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0185
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9825
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0190
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9815
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0190
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.9815
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.0190
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.9825
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.0190
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.9810
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0190
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.9820
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0190
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9815
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0190
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.9810
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0175
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.9820
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0170
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.9830
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0170
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.9830
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.0170
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.9830
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0190
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.9795
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0230
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9785
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0230
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9775
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0230
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9790
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0215
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9770
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0230
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 78248779.63, Sell volume: 20656535.81, Average price: 0.8917, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes