Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525450
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI or Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 5775.596369
Price History:
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.2600
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.7400
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.2550
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.7450
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.2600
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.7400
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.2600
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.7400
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.2550
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.7450
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.2600
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.7400
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.2650
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.7350
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.2650
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.7350
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.2600
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.7400
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.2650
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.7350
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.2650
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.7350
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.2650
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.7350
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.2650
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 5638.60, Sell volume: 137.00, Average price: 0.6352, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525450
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI or Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 5775.596369
Price History:
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.2650
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.7350
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.2600
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.7400
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.2650
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.7350
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.2750
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.7250
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.2500
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.7500
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.2600
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.7400
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.2600
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.7400
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.2600
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.7400
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.2600
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.7400
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.2600
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.7400
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.2600
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.7400
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.2600
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.7400
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.2600
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 5638.60, Sell volume: 137.00, Average price: 0.6352, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525450
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI or Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 5775.596369
Price History:
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.2600
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.7400
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.2600
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.7400
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.2600
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.7400
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.2600
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.7400
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.2600
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.7400
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.2700
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.7300
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.2550
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.7450
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.2600
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.7400
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.2550
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.7450
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.2600
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.7400
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.2600
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.7400
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.3000
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.7000
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.3150
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4600, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.4600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525450
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say AI or Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 5775.596369
Price History:
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.3150
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.6850
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.3050
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.6950
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.3050
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.6950
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.1900
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.8100
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.3800
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.6200
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.2250
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.7750
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.2100
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.7900
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2200
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.7800
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.2100
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.7900
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.2000
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.8000
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.4050
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.5950
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 5284.00, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7941, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-04-17 12:00: 0.5000
2024-04-17 19:00: 0.9200
2024-04-18 02:00: 0.9200
2024-04-18 09:00: 0.9250
2024-04-18 16:00: 0.9250
2024-04-18 23:00: 0.9250
2024-04-19 06:00: 0.9250
2024-04-19 13:00: 0.9250
2024-04-19 20:00: 0.9250
2024-04-20 03:00: 0.9250
2024-04-20 10:00: 0.9250
2024-04-20 17:00: 0.9250
2024-04-21 00:00: 0.9250
2024-04-21 07:00: 0.9250
2024-04-21 14:00: 0.9250
2024-04-21 21:00: 0.9250
2024-04-22 04:00: 0.9250
2024-04-22 11:00: 0.9250
2024-04-22 18:00: 0.9250
2024-04-23 01:00: 0.9250
2024-04-23 08:00: 0.9250
2024-04-23 15:00: 0.9250
2024-04-23 22:00: 0.9250
2024-04-24 05:00: 0.9250
2024-04-24 12:00: 0.9250
2024-04-24 19:00: 0.9250
2024-04-25 02:00: 0.9250
2024-04-25 09:00: 0.9250
2024-04-25 16:00: 0.9250
2024-04-25 23:00: 0.9300
2024-04-26 06:00: 0.9300
2024-04-26 13:00: 0.9300
2024-04-26 20:00: 0.9300
2024-04-27 03:00: 0.9300
2024-04-27 10:00: 0.9300
2024-04-27 17:00: 0.9300
2024-04-28 00:00: 0.9300
2024-04-28 07:00: 0.9300
2024-04-28 14:00: 0.9300
2024-04-28 21:00: 0.9250
2024-04-29 04:00: 0.9250
2024-04-29 11:00: 0.9250
2024-04-29 18:00: 0.9250
2024-04-30 01:00: 0.9250
2024-04-30 08:00: 0.9250
2024-04-30 15:00: 0.9250
2024-04-30 22:00: 0.9250
2024-05-01 05:00: 0.9350
2024-05-01 12:00: 0.9300
2024-05-01 20:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5220.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-05-03 03:00: 0.0650
2024-05-03 10:00: 0.0650
2024-05-03 17:00: 0.0650
2024-05-04 00:00: 0.0650
2024-05-04 07:00: 0.0650
2024-05-04 14:00: 0.0650
2024-05-04 21:00: 0.0650
2024-05-05 04:00: 0.0650
2024-05-05 11:00: 0.0650
2024-05-05 18:00: 0.0650
2024-05-06 01:00: 0.0650
2024-05-06 08:00: 0.0650
2024-05-06 15:00: 0.0650
2024-05-06 22:00: 0.0650
2024-05-07 05:00: 0.0650
2024-05-07 12:00: 0.0650
2024-05-07 19:00: 0.0650
2024-05-08 02:00: 0.0550
2024-05-08 09:00: 0.0550
2024-05-08 16:00: 0.0550
2024-05-08 23:00: 0.0550
2024-05-09 06:00: 0.0550
2024-05-09 13:00: 0.0550
2024-05-09 20:00: 0.0550
2024-05-10 03:00: 0.0550
2024-05-10 10:00: 0.0550
2024-05-10 17:00: 0.0550
2024-05-11 00:00: 0.0550
2024-05-11 07:00: 0.0550
2024-05-11 14:00: 0.0550
2024-05-11 21:00: 0.0550
2024-05-12 04:00: 0.0550
2024-05-12 11:00: 0.0550
2024-05-12 18:00: 0.0550
2024-05-13 01:00: 0.0550
2024-05-13 08:00: 0.0550
2024-05-13 15:00: 0.0550
2024-05-13 22:00: 0.0550
2024-05-14 05:00: 0.0550
2024-05-14 12:00: 0.0550
2024-05-14 19:00: 0.0550
2024-05-15 02:00: 0.0550
2024-05-15 09:00: 0.0550
2024-05-15 16:00: 0.0550
2024-05-15 23:00: 0.0550
2024-05-16 06:00: 0.0550
2024-05-16 13:00: 0.0550
2024-05-16 20:00: 0.0600
2024-05-17 03:00: 0.0600
2024-05-17 10:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 536.91, Sell volume: 336.91, Average price: 0.7200, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-05-18 18:00: 0.9400
2024-05-19 01:00: 0.9400
2024-05-19 08:00: 0.9400
2024-05-19 15:00: 0.9400
2024-05-19 22:00: 0.9400
2024-05-20 05:00: 0.9400
2024-05-20 12:00: 0.9450
2024-05-20 19:00: 0.9450
2024-05-21 02:00: 0.9400
2024-05-21 09:00: 0.9350
2024-05-21 16:00: 0.9350
2024-05-21 23:00: 0.9350
2024-05-22 06:00: 0.9350
2024-05-22 13:00: 0.9350
2024-05-22 20:00: 0.9350
2024-05-23 03:00: 0.9350
2024-05-23 10:00: 0.9350
2024-05-23 17:00: 0.9350
2024-05-24 00:00: 0.9350
2024-05-24 07:00: 0.9350
2024-05-24 14:00: 0.9350
2024-05-24 21:00: 0.9350
2024-05-25 04:00: 0.9350
2024-05-25 11:00: 0.9350
2024-05-25 18:00: 0.9350
2024-05-26 01:00: 0.9350
2024-05-26 08:00: 0.9350
2024-05-26 15:00: 0.9350
2024-05-26 22:00: 0.9350
2024-05-27 05:00: 0.9350
2024-05-27 12:00: 0.9350
2024-05-27 19:00: 0.9350
2024-05-28 02:00: 0.9350
2024-05-28 09:00: 0.9350
2024-05-28 16:00: 0.9350
2024-05-28 23:00: 0.9350
2024-05-29 06:00: 0.9350
2024-05-29 13:00: 0.9350
2024-05-29 20:00: 0.9350
2024-05-30 03:00: 0.9350
2024-05-30 10:00: 0.9350
2024-05-30 17:00: 0.9350
2024-05-31 00:00: 0.9350
2024-05-31 07:00: 0.9350
2024-05-31 14:00: 0.9350
2024-05-31 21:00: 0.9350
2024-06-01 04:00: 0.9350
2024-06-01 11:00: 0.9350
2024-06-01 18:00: 0.9350
2024-06-02 01:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 101.19, Sell volume: 320.98, Average price: 0.9390, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9480

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-06-03 08:00: 0.0650
2024-06-03 15:00: 0.0650
2024-06-03 22:00: 0.0650
2024-06-04 05:00: 0.0650
2024-06-04 12:00: 0.0650
2024-06-04 19:00: 0.0650
2024-06-05 02:00: 0.0650
2024-06-05 09:00: 0.0650
2024-06-05 16:00: 0.0650
2024-06-05 23:00: 0.0650
2024-06-06 06:00: 0.0650
2024-06-06 13:00: 0.0650
2024-06-06 20:00: 0.0650
2024-06-07 03:00: 0.0650
2024-06-07 10:00: 0.0650
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.0650
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.0650
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.0650
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.0650
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.0650
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.0650
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.0650
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.0650
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.0650
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.0650
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.0650
2024-06-10 22:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.0650
2024-06-12 02:00: 0.0650
2024-06-12 09:00: 0.0650
2024-06-12 16:00: 0.0650
2024-06-12 23:00: 0.0650
2024-06-13 06:00: 0.0650
2024-06-13 13:00: 0.0650
2024-06-13 20:00: 0.0650
2024-06-14 03:00: 0.0650
2024-06-14 10:00: 0.0650
2024-06-14 17:00: 0.0650
2024-06-15 00:00: 0.0650
2024-06-15 07:00: 0.0650
2024-06-15 14:00: 0.0650
2024-06-15 21:00: 0.0650
2024-06-16 04:00: 0.0650
2024-06-16 11:00: 0.0650
2024-06-16 18:00: 0.0650
2024-06-17 01:00: 0.0650
2024-06-17 08:00: 0.0650
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.9350
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.9350
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.9350
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.9350
2024-06-20 03:00: 0.9350
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.9350
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.9350
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.9350
2024-06-21 07:00: 0.9350
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.9350
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.9350
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.9350
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.9350
2024-06-22 18:00: 0.9350
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.9350
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.9350
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.9350
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.9350
2024-06-24 05:00: 0.9350
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.9350
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.9350
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.9350
2024-06-25 09:00: 0.9350
2024-06-25 16:00: 0.9350
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.9350
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.9350
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.9350
2024-06-26 20:00: 0.9350
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.9350
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.9350
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.9350
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.9350
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.9350
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.9350
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.9350
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.9350
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.9350
2024-06-29 18:00: 0.9350
2024-06-30 01:00: 0.9350
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.9350
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.9350
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.9350
2024-07-01 05:00: 0.9350
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.9350
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.9350
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.9350
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.9350
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.9350
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.9350
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 513.37, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9416, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9448

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.0550
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.0550
2024-07-05 03:00: 0.0550
2024-07-05 10:00: 0.0550
2024-07-05 17:00: 0.0600
2024-07-06 00:00: 0.0550
2024-07-06 07:00: 0.0550
2024-07-06 14:00: 0.0550
2024-07-06 21:00: 0.0550
2024-07-07 04:00: 0.0550
2024-07-07 11:00: 0.0550
2024-07-07 18:00: 0.0550
2024-07-08 01:00: 0.0550
2024-07-08 08:00: 0.0550
2024-07-08 15:00: 0.0550
2024-07-08 22:00: 0.0550
2024-07-09 05:00: 0.0550
2024-07-09 12:00: 0.0550
2024-07-09 19:00: 0.0550
2024-07-10 02:00: 0.0550
2024-07-10 09:00: 0.0550
2024-07-10 16:00: 0.0550
2024-07-10 23:00: 0.0550
2024-07-11 06:00: 0.0550
2024-07-11 13:00: 0.0550
2024-07-11 20:00: 0.0550
2024-07-12 03:00: 0.0550
2024-07-12 10:00: 0.0550
2024-07-12 17:00: 0.0550
2024-07-13 00:00: 0.0550
2024-07-13 07:00: 0.0550
2024-07-13 14:00: 0.0550
2024-07-13 21:00: 0.0550
2024-07-14 04:00: 0.0550
2024-07-14 11:00: 0.0550
2024-07-14 18:00: 0.0550
2024-07-15 01:00: 0.0550
2024-07-15 08:00: 0.0550
2024-07-15 15:00: 0.0550
2024-07-15 22:00: 0.0550
2024-07-16 05:00: 0.0550
2024-07-16 12:00: 0.0550
2024-07-16 19:00: 0.0450
2024-07-17 02:00: 0.0450
2024-07-17 09:00: 0.0450
2024-07-17 16:00: 0.0450
2024-07-17 23:00: 0.0450
2024-07-18 06:00: 0.0450
2024-07-18 13:00: 0.0450
2024-07-18 20:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 3000.00, Sell volume: 2982.92, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-07-20 04:00: 0.9550
2024-07-20 11:00: 0.9550
2024-07-20 18:00: 0.9550
2024-07-21 01:00: 0.9550
2024-07-21 08:00: 0.9550
2024-07-21 16:00: 0.9550
2024-07-21 23:00: 0.9550
2024-07-22 06:00: 0.9550
2024-07-22 13:00: 0.9550
2024-07-22 20:00: 0.9500
2024-07-23 03:00: 0.9500
2024-07-23 10:00: 0.9500
2024-07-23 17:00: 0.9500
2024-07-24 00:00: 0.9500
2024-07-24 07:00: 0.9500
2024-07-24 14:00: 0.9500
2024-07-24 21:00: 0.9500
2024-07-25 04:00: 0.9500
2024-07-25 11:00: 0.9500
2024-07-25 18:00: 0.9500
2024-07-26 01:00: 0.9500
2024-07-26 08:00: 0.9500
2024-07-26 15:00: 0.9500
2024-07-26 22:00: 0.9500
2024-07-27 05:00: 0.9500
2024-07-27 12:00: 0.9500
2024-07-27 19:00: 0.9500
2024-07-28 02:00: 0.9450
2024-07-28 09:00: 0.9450
2024-07-28 16:00: 0.9450
2024-07-28 23:00: 0.9450
2024-07-29 06:00: 0.9450
2024-07-29 13:00: 0.9450
2024-07-29 20:00: 0.9450
2024-07-30 03:00: 0.9450
2024-07-30 10:00: 0.9450
2024-07-30 17:00: 0.9450
2024-07-31 00:00: 0.9450
2024-07-31 07:00: 0.9450
2024-07-31 14:00: 0.9450
2024-07-31 21:00: 0.9550
2024-08-01 04:00: 0.9550
2024-08-01 11:00: 0.9550
2024-08-01 18:00: 0.9550
2024-08-02 01:00: 0.9550
2024-08-02 08:00: 0.9550
2024-08-02 15:00: 0.9550
2024-08-02 22:00: 0.9550
2024-08-03 05:00: 0.9550
2024-08-03 12:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 4657.06, Sell volume: 1303.28, Average price: 0.6480, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-08-04 19:00: 0.0450
2024-08-05 02:00: 0.0450
2024-08-05 09:00: 0.0500
2024-08-05 16:00: 0.0500
2024-08-05 23:00: 0.0500
2024-08-06 06:00: 0.0500
2024-08-06 13:00: 0.0400
2024-08-06 20:00: 0.0300
2024-08-07 03:00: 0.0300
2024-08-07 10:00: 0.0350
2024-08-07 17:00: 0.0350
2024-08-08 00:00: 0.0330
2024-08-08 07:00: 0.0345
2024-08-08 14:00: 0.0345
2024-08-08 21:00: 0.0340
2024-08-09 04:00: 0.0290
2024-08-09 11:00: 0.0285
2024-08-09 18:00: 0.0300
2024-08-10 01:00: 0.0295
2024-08-10 08:00: 0.0270
2024-08-10 15:00: 0.0270
2024-08-10 22:00: 0.0230
2024-08-11 05:00: 0.0240
2024-08-11 12:00: 0.0240
2024-08-11 19:00: 0.0255
2024-08-12 02:00: 0.0255
2024-08-12 09:00: 0.0255
2024-08-12 16:00: 0.0255
2024-08-12 23:00: 0.0255
2024-08-13 06:00: 0.0220
2024-08-13 13:00: 0.0220
2024-08-13 20:00: 0.0220
2024-08-14 03:00: 0.0220
2024-08-14 10:00: 0.0225
2024-08-14 17:00: 0.0220
2024-08-15 00:00: 0.0225
2024-08-15 07:00: 0.0235
2024-08-15 14:00: 0.0235
2024-08-15 21:00: 0.0230
2024-08-16 04:00: 0.0230
2024-08-16 11:00: 0.0230
2024-08-16 18:00: 0.0225
2024-08-17 01:00: 0.0225
2024-08-17 08:00: 0.0225
2024-08-17 15:00: 0.0225
2024-08-17 22:00: 0.0225
2024-08-18 05:00: 0.0225
2024-08-18 12:00: 0.0225
2024-08-18 19:00: 0.0225
2024-08-19 02:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 13174.95, Sell volume: 7556.64, Average price: 0.5544, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-08-20 10:00: 0.9775
2024-08-20 17:00: 0.9775
2024-08-21 00:00: 0.9775
2024-08-21 07:00: 0.9775
2024-08-21 14:00: 0.9775
2024-08-21 21:00: 0.9780
2024-08-22 04:00: 0.9780
2024-08-22 11:00: 0.9780
2024-08-22 18:00: 0.9780
2024-08-23 01:00: 0.9780
2024-08-23 08:00: 0.9780
2024-08-23 15:00: 0.9780
2024-08-23 22:00: 0.9785
2024-08-24 05:00: 0.9780
2024-08-24 12:00: 0.9785
2024-08-24 19:00: 0.9785
2024-08-25 02:00: 0.9780
2024-08-25 09:00: 0.9780
2024-08-25 16:00: 0.9785
2024-08-25 23:00: 0.9790
2024-08-26 06:00: 0.9790
2024-08-26 13:00: 0.9795
2024-08-26 20:00: 0.9790
2024-08-27 03:00: 0.9790
2024-08-27 10:00: 0.9790
2024-08-27 17:00: 0.9790
2024-08-28 00:00: 0.9790
2024-08-28 07:00: 0.9790
2024-08-28 14:00: 0.9790
2024-08-28 21:00: 0.9790
2024-08-29 04:00: 0.9790
2024-08-29 11:00: 0.9790
2024-08-29 18:00: 0.9790
2024-08-30 01:00: 0.9790
2024-08-30 08:00: 0.9790
2024-08-30 15:00: 0.9790
2024-08-30 22:00: 0.9790
2024-08-31 05:00: 0.9790
2024-08-31 12:00: 0.9790
2024-08-31 19:00: 0.9790
2024-09-01 02:00: 0.9790
2024-09-01 09:00: 0.9790
2024-09-01 16:00: 0.9790
2024-09-01 23:00: 0.9790
2024-09-02 06:00: 0.9790
2024-09-02 13:00: 0.9790
2024-09-02 20:00: 0.9790
2024-09-03 03:00: 0.9790
2024-09-03 10:00: 0.9790
2024-09-03 17:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1390.43, Sell volume: 1645.83, Average price: 0.9175, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9850

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-09-05 00:00: 0.0155
2024-09-05 07:00: 0.0155
2024-09-05 14:00: 0.0180
2024-09-05 21:00: 0.0165
2024-09-06 04:00: 0.0180
2024-09-06 11:00: 0.0170
2024-09-06 18:00: 0.0180
2024-09-07 01:00: 0.0180
2024-09-07 08:00: 0.0170
2024-09-07 15:00: 0.0175
2024-09-07 22:00: 0.0170
2024-09-08 05:00: 0.0165
2024-09-08 12:00: 0.0165
2024-09-08 19:00: 0.0175
2024-09-09 02:00: 0.0165
2024-09-09 09:00: 0.0175
2024-09-09 16:00: 0.0165
2024-09-09 23:00: 0.0175
2024-09-10 06:00: 0.0165
2024-09-10 13:00: 0.0165
2024-09-10 20:00: 0.0165
2024-09-11 03:00: 0.0165
2024-09-11 10:00: 0.0165
2024-09-11 17:00: 0.0165
2024-09-12 00:00: 0.0165
2024-09-12 07:00: 0.0165
2024-09-12 14:00: 0.0160
2024-09-12 21:00: 0.0160
2024-09-13 04:00: 0.0160
2024-09-13 11:00: 0.0160
2024-09-13 18:00: 0.0160
2024-09-14 01:00: 0.0160
2024-09-14 08:00: 0.0160
2024-09-14 15:00: 0.0160
2024-09-14 22:00: 0.0165
2024-09-15 05:00: 0.0165
2024-09-15 12:00: 0.0160
2024-09-15 19:00: 0.0160
2024-09-16 02:00: 0.0160
2024-09-16 09:00: 0.0160
2024-09-16 16:00: 0.0160
2024-09-16 23:00: 0.0160
2024-09-17 06:00: 0.0160
2024-09-17 13:00: 0.0160
2024-09-17 20:00: 0.0160
2024-09-18 03:00: 0.0160
2024-09-18 10:00: 0.0160
2024-09-18 17:00: 0.0160
2024-09-19 00:00: 0.0160
2024-09-19 07:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 558.27, Sell volume: 1303.67, Average price: 0.8454, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9850

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-09-20 15:00: 0.9840
2024-09-20 22:00: 0.9840
2024-09-21 05:00: 0.9865
2024-09-21 12:00: 0.9865
2024-09-21 19:00: 0.9865
2024-09-22 02:00: 0.9870
2024-09-22 09:00: 0.9870
2024-09-22 16:00: 0.9880
2024-09-22 23:00: 0.9880
2024-09-23 06:00: 0.9880
2024-09-23 13:00: 0.9880
2024-09-23 20:00: 0.9880
2024-09-24 03:00: 0.9880
2024-09-24 10:00: 0.9880
2024-09-24 17:00: 0.9880
2024-09-25 00:00: 0.9880
2024-09-25 07:00: 0.9880
2024-09-25 14:00: 0.9880
2024-09-25 21:00: 0.9880
2024-09-26 04:00: 0.9885
2024-09-26 11:00: 0.9885
2024-09-26 18:00: 0.9885
2024-09-27 01:00: 0.9885
2024-09-27 08:00: 0.9885
2024-09-27 15:00: 0.9885
2024-09-27 22:00: 0.9885
2024-09-28 05:00: 0.9885
2024-09-28 12:00: 0.9885
2024-09-28 19:00: 0.9885
2024-09-29 02:00: 0.9885
2024-09-29 09:00: 0.9885
2024-09-29 16:00: 0.9885
2024-09-29 23:00: 0.9885
2024-09-30 06:00: 0.9885
2024-09-30 13:00: 0.9885
2024-09-30 20:00: 0.9885
2024-10-01 03:00: 0.9885
2024-10-01 10:00: 0.9885
2024-10-01 17:00: 0.9885
2024-10-02 00:00: 0.9885
2024-10-02 07:00: 0.9885
2024-10-02 13:00: 0.9885
2024-10-02 20:00: 0.9885
2024-10-03 03:00: 0.9885
2024-10-03 10:00: 0.9885
2024-10-03 17:00: 0.9885
2024-10-04 00:00: 0.9885
2024-10-04 07:00: 0.9885
2024-10-04 14:00: 0.9885
2024-10-04 21:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 227.57, Sell volume: 5318.54, Average price: 0.8736, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-10-06 04:00: 0.0120
2024-10-06 11:00: 0.0120
2024-10-06 18:00: 0.0120
2024-10-07 01:00: 0.0125
2024-10-07 08:00: 0.0120
2024-10-07 15:00: 0.0120
2024-10-07 22:00: 0.0115
2024-10-08 05:00: 0.0115
2024-10-08 12:00: 0.0115
2024-10-08 19:00: 0.0115
2024-10-09 02:00: 0.0125
2024-10-09 09:00: 0.0125
2024-10-09 16:00: 0.0125
2024-10-09 23:00: 0.0125
2024-10-10 06:00: 0.0125
2024-10-10 13:00: 0.0125
2024-10-10 20:00: 0.0125
2024-10-11 03:00: 0.0120
2024-10-11 10:00: 0.0120
2024-10-11 17:00: 0.0120
2024-10-12 00:00: 0.0120
2024-10-12 07:00: 0.0130
2024-10-12 14:00: 0.0105
2024-10-12 21:00: 0.0110
2024-10-13 04:00: 0.0110
2024-10-13 11:00: 0.0110
2024-10-13 18:00: 0.0100
2024-10-14 01:00: 0.0100
2024-10-14 08:00: 0.0105
2024-10-14 15:00: 0.0085
2024-10-14 22:00: 0.0085
2024-10-15 05:00: 0.0105
2024-10-15 12:00: 0.0105
2024-10-15 19:00: 0.0105
2024-10-16 02:00: 0.0105
2024-10-16 09:00: 0.0105
2024-10-16 16:00: 0.0105
2024-10-16 23:00: 0.0105
2024-10-17 06:00: 0.0085
2024-10-17 13:00: 0.0085
2024-10-17 20:00: 0.0085
2024-10-18 03:00: 0.0085
2024-10-18 10:00: 0.0100
2024-10-18 17:00: 0.0100
2024-10-19 00:00: 0.0105
2024-10-19 07:00: 0.0100
2024-10-19 14:00: 0.0100
2024-10-19 21:00: 0.0100
2024-10-20 04:00: 0.0095
2024-10-20 11:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 294, Buy volume: 21890.22, Sell volume: 11823.98, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-10-21 19:00: 0.9905
2024-10-22 02:00: 0.9905
2024-10-22 09:00: 0.9905
2024-10-22 16:00: 0.9905
2024-10-22 23:00: 0.9905
2024-10-23 06:00: 0.9905
2024-10-23 13:00: 0.9905
2024-10-23 20:00: 0.9905
2024-10-24 03:00: 0.9905
2024-10-24 10:00: 0.9905
2024-10-24 17:00: 0.9905
2024-10-25 00:00: 0.9915
2024-10-25 07:00: 0.9915
2024-10-25 14:00: 0.9915
2024-10-25 21:00: 0.9910
2024-10-26 04:00: 0.9910
2024-10-26 11:00: 0.9910
2024-10-26 18:00: 0.9920
2024-10-27 01:00: 0.9920
2024-10-27 08:00: 0.9920
2024-10-27 15:00: 0.9920
2024-10-27 22:00: 0.9920
2024-10-28 05:00: 0.9920
2024-10-28 12:00: 0.9920
2024-10-28 19:00: 0.9920
2024-10-29 02:00: 0.9925
2024-10-29 09:00: 0.9930
2024-10-29 16:00: 0.9930
2024-10-29 23:00: 0.9920
2024-10-30 06:00: 0.9920
2024-10-30 13:00: 0.9920
2024-10-30 20:00: 0.9920
2024-10-31 03:00: 0.9920
2024-10-31 10:00: 0.9920
2024-10-31 17:00: 0.9935
2024-11-01 00:00: 0.9925
2024-11-01 07:00: 0.9925
2024-11-01 14:00: 0.9935
2024-11-01 21:00: 0.9935
2024-11-02 04:00: 0.9935
2024-11-02 11:00: 0.9935
2024-11-02 18:00: 0.9935
2024-11-03 01:00: 0.9935
2024-11-03 07:00: 0.9935
2024-11-03 14:00: 0.9935
2024-11-03 21:00: 0.9940
2024-11-04 04:00: 0.9940
2024-11-04 11:00: 0.9950
2024-11-04 18:00: 0.9895
2024-11-05 01:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 3033.77, Sell volume: 491.21, Average price: 0.8871, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-04-17 12:00: 0.5000
2024-04-18 00:00: 0.9200
2024-04-18 12:00: 0.9250
2024-04-19 00:00: 0.9250
2024-04-19 12:00: 0.9250
2024-04-20 00:00: 0.9250
2024-04-20 12:00: 0.9250
2024-04-21 00:00: 0.9250
2024-04-21 12:00: 0.9250
2024-04-22 00:00: 0.9250
2024-04-22 12:00: 0.9250
2024-04-23 00:00: 0.9250
2024-04-23 12:00: 0.9250
2024-04-24 00:00: 0.9250
2024-04-24 12:00: 0.9250
2024-04-25 00:00: 0.9250
2024-04-25 12:00: 0.9250
2024-04-26 00:00: 0.9300
2024-04-26 12:00: 0.9300
2024-04-27 00:00: 0.9300
2024-04-27 12:00: 0.9300
2024-04-28 00:00: 0.9300
2024-04-28 12:00: 0.9300
2024-04-29 00:00: 0.9250
2024-04-29 12:00: 0.9250
2024-04-30 00:00: 0.9250
2024-04-30 12:00: 0.9250
2024-05-01 00:00: 0.9350
2024-05-01 12:00: 0.9300
2024-05-02 01:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5220.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-05-03 03:00: 0.0650
2024-05-03 15:00: 0.0650
2024-05-04 03:00: 0.0650
2024-05-04 15:00: 0.0650
2024-05-05 03:00: 0.0650
2024-05-05 15:00: 0.0650
2024-05-06 03:00: 0.0650
2024-05-06 15:00: 0.0650
2024-05-07 03:00: 0.0650
2024-05-07 15:00: 0.0650
2024-05-08 03:00: 0.0550
2024-05-08 15:00: 0.0550
2024-05-09 03:00: 0.0550
2024-05-09 15:00: 0.0550
2024-05-10 03:00: 0.0550
2024-05-10 15:00: 0.0550
2024-05-11 03:00: 0.0550
2024-05-11 15:00: 0.0550
2024-05-12 03:00: 0.0550
2024-05-12 15:00: 0.0550
2024-05-13 03:00: 0.0550
2024-05-13 15:00: 0.0550
2024-05-14 03:00: 0.0550
2024-05-14 15:00: 0.0550
2024-05-15 03:00: 0.0550
2024-05-15 15:00: 0.0550
2024-05-16 03:00: 0.0550
2024-05-16 15:00: 0.0600
2024-05-17 03:00: 0.0600
2024-05-17 15:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 536.91, Sell volume: 336.91, Average price: 0.7200, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-05-18 18:00: 0.9400
2024-05-19 06:00: 0.9400
2024-05-19 18:00: 0.9400
2024-05-20 06:00: 0.9400
2024-05-20 18:00: 0.9450
2024-05-21 06:00: 0.9400
2024-05-21 18:00: 0.9350
2024-05-22 06:00: 0.9350
2024-05-22 18:00: 0.9350
2024-05-23 06:00: 0.9350
2024-05-23 18:00: 0.9350
2024-05-24 06:00: 0.9350
2024-05-24 18:00: 0.9350
2024-05-25 06:00: 0.9350
2024-05-25 18:00: 0.9350
2024-05-26 06:00: 0.9350
2024-05-26 18:00: 0.9350
2024-05-27 06:00: 0.9350
2024-05-27 18:00: 0.9350
2024-05-28 06:00: 0.9350
2024-05-28 18:00: 0.9350
2024-05-29 06:00: 0.9350
2024-05-29 18:00: 0.9350
2024-05-30 06:00: 0.9350
2024-05-30 18:00: 0.9350
2024-05-31 06:00: 0.9350
2024-05-31 18:00: 0.9350
2024-06-01 06:00: 0.9350
2024-06-01 18:00: 0.9350
2024-06-02 06:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 101.19, Sell volume: 320.98, Average price: 0.9390, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9480
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-06-03 08:00: 0.0650
2024-06-03 20:00: 0.0650
2024-06-04 08:00: 0.0650
2024-06-04 20:00: 0.0650
2024-06-05 08:00: 0.0650
2024-06-05 20:00: 0.0650
2024-06-06 08:00: 0.0650
2024-06-06 20:00: 0.0650
2024-06-07 08:00: 0.0650
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.0650
2024-06-08 08:00: 0.0650
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.0650
2024-06-09 08:00: 0.0650
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.0650
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.0650
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 20:00: 0.0650
2024-06-12 08:00: 0.0650
2024-06-12 20:00: 0.0650
2024-06-13 08:00: 0.0650
2024-06-13 20:00: 0.0650
2024-06-14 08:00: 0.0650
2024-06-14 20:00: 0.0650
2024-06-15 08:00: 0.0650
2024-06-15 20:00: 0.0650
2024-06-16 08:00: 0.0650
2024-06-16 20:00: 0.0650
2024-06-17 08:00: 0.0650
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.9350
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.9350
2024-06-19 23:00: 0.9350
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.9350
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.9350
2024-06-21 11:00: 0.9350
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.9350
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.9350
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.9350
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.9350
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.9350
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.9350
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.9350
2024-06-25 11:00: 0.9350
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.9350
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.9350
2024-06-26 23:00: 0.9350
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.9350
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.9350
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.9350
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.9350
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.9350
2024-06-29 23:00: 0.9350
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.9350
2024-06-30 23:00: 0.9350
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.9350
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.9350
2024-07-02 11:00: 0.9350
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.9350
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 513.37, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9416, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9448
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.0550
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.0550
2024-07-05 13:00: 0.0550
2024-07-06 01:00: 0.0550
2024-07-06 13:00: 0.0550
2024-07-07 01:00: 0.0550
2024-07-07 13:00: 0.0550
2024-07-08 01:00: 0.0550
2024-07-08 13:00: 0.0550
2024-07-09 01:00: 0.0550
2024-07-09 13:00: 0.0550
2024-07-10 01:00: 0.0550
2024-07-10 13:00: 0.0550
2024-07-11 01:00: 0.0550
2024-07-11 13:00: 0.0550
2024-07-12 01:00: 0.0550
2024-07-12 13:00: 0.0550
2024-07-13 01:00: 0.0550
2024-07-13 13:00: 0.0550
2024-07-14 01:00: 0.0550
2024-07-14 13:00: 0.0550
2024-07-15 01:00: 0.0550
2024-07-15 13:00: 0.0550
2024-07-16 01:00: 0.0550
2024-07-16 13:00: 0.0550
2024-07-17 01:00: 0.0450
2024-07-17 13:00: 0.0450
2024-07-18 01:00: 0.0450
2024-07-18 13:00: 0.0450
2024-07-19 01:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 3000.00, Sell volume: 2982.92, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-07-20 04:00: 0.9550
2024-07-20 16:00: 0.9550
2024-07-21 04:00: 0.9550
2024-07-21 17:00: 0.9550
2024-07-22 05:00: 0.9550
2024-07-22 17:00: 0.9550
2024-07-23 05:00: 0.9500
2024-07-23 17:00: 0.9500
2024-07-24 05:00: 0.9500
2024-07-24 17:00: 0.9500
2024-07-25 05:00: 0.9500
2024-07-25 17:00: 0.9500
2024-07-26 05:00: 0.9500
2024-07-26 17:00: 0.9500
2024-07-27 05:00: 0.9500
2024-07-27 17:00: 0.9500
2024-07-28 05:00: 0.9450
2024-07-28 17:00: 0.9450
2024-07-29 05:00: 0.9450
2024-07-29 17:00: 0.9450
2024-07-30 05:00: 0.9450
2024-07-30 17:00: 0.9450
2024-07-31 05:00: 0.9450
2024-07-31 17:00: 0.9450
2024-08-01 05:00: 0.9550
2024-08-01 17:00: 0.9550
2024-08-02 05:00: 0.9550
2024-08-02 17:00: 0.9550
2024-08-03 05:00: 0.9550
2024-08-03 17:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 4657.06, Sell volume: 1303.28, Average price: 0.6480, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-08-04 19:00: 0.0450
2024-08-05 07:00: 0.0500
2024-08-05 19:00: 0.0500
2024-08-06 07:00: 0.0500
2024-08-06 19:00: 0.0300
2024-08-07 07:00: 0.0340
2024-08-07 19:00: 0.0350
2024-08-08 07:00: 0.0345
2024-08-08 19:00: 0.0340
2024-08-09 07:00: 0.0280
2024-08-09 19:00: 0.0295
2024-08-10 07:00: 0.0270
2024-08-10 19:00: 0.0230
2024-08-11 07:00: 0.0240
2024-08-11 19:00: 0.0255
2024-08-12 07:00: 0.0255
2024-08-12 19:00: 0.0255
2024-08-13 07:00: 0.0220
2024-08-13 19:00: 0.0225
2024-08-14 07:00: 0.0225
2024-08-14 19:00: 0.0225
2024-08-15 07:00: 0.0235
2024-08-15 19:00: 0.0230
2024-08-16 07:00: 0.0230
2024-08-16 19:00: 0.0225
2024-08-17 07:00: 0.0225
2024-08-17 19:00: 0.0225
2024-08-18 07:00: 0.0225
2024-08-18 19:00: 0.0225
2024-08-19 07:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 13174.95, Sell volume: 7556.64, Average price: 0.5544, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-08-20 10:00: 0.9775
2024-08-20 22:00: 0.9775
2024-08-21 10:00: 0.9775
2024-08-21 22:00: 0.9780
2024-08-22 10:00: 0.9780
2024-08-22 22:00: 0.9780
2024-08-23 10:00: 0.9780
2024-08-23 22:00: 0.9785
2024-08-24 10:00: 0.9780
2024-08-24 22:00: 0.9785
2024-08-25 10:00: 0.9780
2024-08-25 22:00: 0.9790
2024-08-26 10:00: 0.9795
2024-08-26 22:00: 0.9790
2024-08-27 10:00: 0.9790
2024-08-27 22:00: 0.9790
2024-08-28 10:00: 0.9790
2024-08-28 22:00: 0.9790
2024-08-29 10:00: 0.9790
2024-08-29 22:00: 0.9790
2024-08-30 10:00: 0.9790
2024-08-30 22:00: 0.9790
2024-08-31 10:00: 0.9790
2024-08-31 22:00: 0.9790
2024-09-01 10:00: 0.9790
2024-09-01 22:00: 0.9790
2024-09-02 10:00: 0.9790
2024-09-02 22:00: 0.9790
2024-09-03 10:00: 0.9790
2024-09-03 22:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1390.43, Sell volume: 1645.83, Average price: 0.9175, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-09-05 00:00: 0.0155
2024-09-05 12:00: 0.0155
2024-09-06 00:00: 0.0185
2024-09-06 12:00: 0.0175
2024-09-07 00:00: 0.0175
2024-09-07 12:00: 0.0175
2024-09-08 00:00: 0.0170
2024-09-08 12:00: 0.0165
2024-09-09 00:00: 0.0175
2024-09-09 12:00: 0.0175
2024-09-10 00:00: 0.0165
2024-09-10 12:00: 0.0165
2024-09-11 00:00: 0.0165
2024-09-11 12:00: 0.0165
2024-09-12 00:00: 0.0165
2024-09-12 12:00: 0.0160
2024-09-13 00:00: 0.0160
2024-09-13 12:00: 0.0160
2024-09-14 00:00: 0.0160
2024-09-14 12:00: 0.0160
2024-09-15 00:00: 0.0165
2024-09-15 12:00: 0.0160
2024-09-16 00:00: 0.0160
2024-09-16 12:00: 0.0160
2024-09-17 00:00: 0.0160
2024-09-17 12:00: 0.0160
2024-09-18 00:00: 0.0160
2024-09-18 12:00: 0.0160
2024-09-19 00:00: 0.0160
2024-09-19 12:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 558.27, Sell volume: 1303.67, Average price: 0.8454, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-09-20 15:00: 0.9840
2024-09-21 03:00: 0.9840
2024-09-21 15:00: 0.9865
2024-09-22 03:00: 0.9870
2024-09-22 15:00: 0.9875
2024-09-23 03:00: 0.9880
2024-09-23 15:00: 0.9880
2024-09-24 03:00: 0.9880
2024-09-24 15:00: 0.9880
2024-09-25 03:00: 0.9880
2024-09-25 15:00: 0.9880
2024-09-26 03:00: 0.9885
2024-09-26 15:00: 0.9885
2024-09-27 03:00: 0.9885
2024-09-27 15:00: 0.9885
2024-09-28 03:00: 0.9885
2024-09-28 15:00: 0.9885
2024-09-29 03:00: 0.9885
2024-09-29 15:00: 0.9885
2024-09-30 03:00: 0.9885
2024-09-30 15:00: 0.9885
2024-10-01 03:00: 0.9885
2024-10-01 15:00: 0.9885
2024-10-02 03:00: 0.9885
2024-10-02 14:00: 0.9885
2024-10-03 02:00: 0.9885
2024-10-03 14:00: 0.9885
2024-10-04 02:00: 0.9885
2024-10-04 14:00: 0.9885
2024-10-05 02:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 227.57, Sell volume: 5318.54, Average price: 0.8736, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-10-06 04:00: 0.0120
2024-10-06 16:00: 0.0125
2024-10-07 04:00: 0.0120
2024-10-07 16:00: 0.0120
2024-10-08 04:00: 0.0115
2024-10-08 16:00: 0.0115
2024-10-09 04:00: 0.0125
2024-10-09 16:00: 0.0125
2024-10-10 04:00: 0.0125
2024-10-10 16:00: 0.0125
2024-10-11 04:00: 0.0120
2024-10-11 16:00: 0.0120
2024-10-12 04:00: 0.0125
2024-10-12 16:00: 0.0110
2024-10-13 04:00: 0.0110
2024-10-13 16:00: 0.0100
2024-10-14 04:00: 0.0100
2024-10-14 16:00: 0.0085
2024-10-15 04:00: 0.0085
2024-10-15 16:00: 0.0105
2024-10-16 04:00: 0.0105
2024-10-16 16:00: 0.0105
2024-10-17 04:00: 0.0105
2024-10-17 16:00: 0.0085
2024-10-18 04:00: 0.0085
2024-10-18 16:00: 0.0105
2024-10-19 04:00: 0.0105
2024-10-19 16:00: 0.0100
2024-10-20 04:00: 0.0095
2024-10-20 16:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 294, Buy volume: 21890.22, Sell volume: 11823.98, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501012
Question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 93874.99787
Price History:
2024-10-21 19:00: 0.9905
2024-10-22 07:00: 0.9905
2024-10-22 19:00: 0.9905
2024-10-23 07:00: 0.9905
2024-10-23 19:00: 0.9905
2024-10-24 07:00: 0.9905
2024-10-24 19:00: 0.9905
2024-10-25 07:00: 0.9915
2024-10-25 19:00: 0.9910
2024-10-26 07:00: 0.9910
2024-10-26 19:00: 0.9920
2024-10-27 07:00: 0.9920
2024-10-27 19:00: 0.9920
2024-10-28 07:00: 0.9920
2024-10-28 19:00: 0.9920
2024-10-29 07:00: 0.9930
2024-10-29 19:00: 0.9935
2024-10-30 07:00: 0.9920
2024-10-30 19:00: 0.9920
2024-10-31 07:00: 0.9920
2024-10-31 19:00: 0.9925
2024-11-01 07:00: 0.9925
2024-11-01 19:00: 0.9935
2024-11-02 07:00: 0.9935
2024-11-02 19:00: 0.9935
2024-11-03 06:00: 0.9935
2024-11-03 18:00: 0.9940
2024-11-04 06:00: 0.9950
2024-11-04 18:00: 0.9895
2024-11-05 06:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 3033.77, Sell volume: 491.21, Average price: 0.8871, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-04-17 12:00: 0.5000
2024-04-17 19:00: 0.0650
2024-04-18 02:00: 0.0650
2024-04-18 09:00: 0.0750
2024-04-18 16:00: 0.0750
2024-04-18 23:00: 0.0750
2024-04-19 06:00: 0.0750
2024-04-19 13:00: 0.0750
2024-04-19 20:00: 0.0750
2024-04-20 03:00: 0.0750
2024-04-20 10:00: 0.0750
2024-04-20 17:00: 0.0750
2024-04-21 00:00: 0.0750
2024-04-21 07:00: 0.0750
2024-04-21 14:00: 0.0750
2024-04-21 21:00: 0.0750
2024-04-22 04:00: 0.0750
2024-04-22 11:00: 0.0750
2024-04-22 18:00: 0.0750
2024-04-23 01:00: 0.0750
2024-04-23 08:00: 0.0750
2024-04-23 15:00: 0.0750
2024-04-23 22:00: 0.0750
2024-04-24 05:00: 0.0750
2024-04-24 12:00: 0.0750
2024-04-24 19:00: 0.0750
2024-04-25 02:00: 0.0750
2024-04-25 09:00: 0.0750
2024-04-25 16:00: 0.0750
2024-04-25 23:00: 0.0700
2024-04-26 06:00: 0.0700
2024-04-26 13:00: 0.0650
2024-04-26 20:00: 0.0650
2024-04-27 03:00: 0.0650
2024-04-27 10:00: 0.0650
2024-04-27 17:00: 0.0650
2024-04-28 00:00: 0.0650
2024-04-28 07:00: 0.0650
2024-04-28 14:00: 0.0650
2024-04-28 21:00: 0.0700
2024-04-29 04:00: 0.0700
2024-04-29 11:00: 0.0700
2024-04-29 18:00: 0.0700
2024-04-30 01:00: 0.0700
2024-04-30 08:00: 0.0700
2024-04-30 15:00: 0.0700
2024-04-30 22:00: 0.0700
2024-05-01 05:00: 0.0650
2024-05-01 12:00: 0.0600
2024-05-01 20:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 5221.06, Sell volume: 14385.00, Average price: 0.4101, Price range: 0.0505 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-05-03 03:00: 0.9400
2024-05-03 10:00: 0.9450
2024-05-03 17:00: 0.9450
2024-05-04 00:00: 0.9450
2024-05-04 07:00: 0.9450
2024-05-04 14:00: 0.9450
2024-05-04 21:00: 0.9450
2024-05-05 04:00: 0.9450
2024-05-05 11:00: 0.9450
2024-05-05 18:00: 0.9450
2024-05-06 01:00: 0.9450
2024-05-06 08:00: 0.9450
2024-05-06 15:00: 0.9450
2024-05-06 22:00: 0.9450
2024-05-07 05:00: 0.9450
2024-05-07 12:00: 0.9450
2024-05-07 19:00: 0.9450
2024-05-08 02:00: 0.9450
2024-05-08 09:00: 0.9450
2024-05-08 16:00: 0.9450
2024-05-08 23:00: 0.9450
2024-05-09 06:00: 0.9450
2024-05-09 13:00: 0.9450
2024-05-09 20:00: 0.9450
2024-05-10 03:00: 0.9450
2024-05-10 10:00: 0.9450
2024-05-10 17:00: 0.9450
2024-05-11 00:00: 0.9450
2024-05-11 07:00: 0.9450
2024-05-11 14:00: 0.9450
2024-05-11 21:00: 0.9450
2024-05-12 04:00: 0.9450
2024-05-12 11:00: 0.9450
2024-05-12 18:00: 0.9450
2024-05-13 01:00: 0.9450
2024-05-13 08:00: 0.9450
2024-05-13 15:00: 0.9450
2024-05-13 22:00: 0.9450
2024-05-14 05:00: 0.9450
2024-05-14 12:00: 0.9450
2024-05-14 19:00: 0.9450
2024-05-15 02:00: 0.9450
2024-05-15 09:00: 0.9450
2024-05-15 16:00: 0.9450
2024-05-15 23:00: 0.9450
2024-05-16 06:00: 0.9450
2024-05-16 13:00: 0.9450
2024-05-16 20:00: 0.9450
2024-05-17 03:00: 0.9450
2024-05-17 10:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 445.00, Average price: 0.0550, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.0600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-05-18 18:00: 0.0550
2024-05-19 01:00: 0.0550
2024-05-19 08:00: 0.0550
2024-05-19 15:00: 0.0550
2024-05-19 22:00: 0.0550
2024-05-20 05:00: 0.0550
2024-05-20 12:00: 0.0550
2024-05-20 19:00: 0.0550
2024-05-21 02:00: 0.0550
2024-05-21 09:00: 0.0550
2024-05-21 16:00: 0.0550
2024-05-21 23:00: 0.0550
2024-05-22 06:00: 0.0550
2024-05-22 13:00: 0.0500
2024-05-22 20:00: 0.0500
2024-05-23 03:00: 0.0500
2024-05-23 10:00: 0.0500
2024-05-23 17:00: 0.0500
2024-05-24 00:00: 0.0500
2024-05-24 07:00: 0.0500
2024-05-24 14:00: 0.0500
2024-05-24 21:00: 0.0500
2024-05-25 04:00: 0.0500
2024-05-25 11:00: 0.0500
2024-05-25 18:00: 0.0500
2024-05-26 01:00: 0.0500
2024-05-26 08:00: 0.0500
2024-05-26 15:00: 0.0500
2024-05-26 22:00: 0.0500
2024-05-27 05:00: 0.0500
2024-05-27 12:00: 0.0500
2024-05-27 19:00: 0.0500
2024-05-28 02:00: 0.0500
2024-05-28 09:00: 0.0500
2024-05-28 16:00: 0.0500
2024-05-28 23:00: 0.0500
2024-05-29 06:00: 0.0500
2024-05-29 13:00: 0.0500
2024-05-29 20:00: 0.0500
2024-05-30 03:00: 0.0500
2024-05-30 10:00: 0.0500
2024-05-30 17:00: 0.0500
2024-05-31 00:00: 0.0500
2024-05-31 07:00: 0.0500
2024-05-31 14:00: 0.0500
2024-05-31 21:00: 0.0500
2024-06-01 04:00: 0.0450
2024-06-01 11:00: 0.0500
2024-06-01 18:00: 0.0500
2024-06-02 01:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3220.00, Average price: 0.0500, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.0500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-06-03 08:00: 0.9550
2024-06-03 15:00: 0.9550
2024-06-03 22:00: 0.9550
2024-06-04 05:00: 0.9550
2024-06-04 12:00: 0.9550
2024-06-04 19:00: 0.9550
2024-06-05 02:00: 0.9550
2024-06-05 09:00: 0.9550
2024-06-05 16:00: 0.9550
2024-06-05 23:00: 0.9550
2024-06-06 06:00: 0.9550
2024-06-06 13:00: 0.9550
2024-06-06 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-07 03:00: 0.9550
2024-06-07 10:00: 0.9550
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.9550
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.9550
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.9550
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.9550
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.9550
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.9550
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.9550
2024-06-10 22:00: 0.9550
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.9550
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.9550
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 02:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 09:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 16:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 23:00: 0.9550
2024-06-13 06:00: 0.9550
2024-06-13 13:00: 0.9550
2024-06-13 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-14 03:00: 0.9550
2024-06-14 10:00: 0.9550
2024-06-14 17:00: 0.9550
2024-06-15 00:00: 0.9550
2024-06-15 07:00: 0.9550
2024-06-15 14:00: 0.9550
2024-06-15 21:00: 0.9550
2024-06-16 04:00: 0.9550
2024-06-16 11:00: 0.9550
2024-06-16 18:00: 0.9550
2024-06-17 01:00: 0.9550
2024-06-17 08:00: 0.9550
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 445.00, Average price: 0.0400, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.0400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.0450
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.0450
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.0450
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.0450
2024-06-20 03:00: 0.0450
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.0450
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.0450
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.0450
2024-06-21 07:00: 0.0450
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.0450
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.0450
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.0450
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.0450
2024-06-22 18:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.0450
2024-06-24 05:00: 0.0450
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.0450
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.0450
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.0450
2024-06-25 09:00: 0.0450
2024-06-25 16:00: 0.0450
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.0450
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.0450
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.0450
2024-06-26 20:00: 0.0450
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.0450
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.0450
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.0450
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.0450
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.0450
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.0450
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.0450
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.0450
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.0450
2024-06-29 18:00: 0.0450
2024-06-30 01:00: 0.0450
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.0450
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.0450
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.0450
2024-07-01 05:00: 0.0450
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.0450
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.0450
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.0450
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.0450
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.0450
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.0450
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 245.00, Average price: 0.0400, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.0400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.9550
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.9550
2024-07-05 03:00: 0.9550
2024-07-05 10:00: 0.9550
2024-07-05 17:00: 0.9550
2024-07-06 00:00: 0.9550
2024-07-06 07:00: 0.9550
2024-07-06 14:00: 0.9550
2024-07-06 21:00: 0.9550
2024-07-07 04:00: 0.9550
2024-07-07 11:00: 0.9550
2024-07-07 18:00: 0.9550
2024-07-08 01:00: 0.9550
2024-07-08 08:00: 0.9550
2024-07-08 15:00: 0.9550
2024-07-08 22:00: 0.9550
2024-07-09 05:00: 0.9550
2024-07-09 12:00: 0.9550
2024-07-09 19:00: 0.9550
2024-07-10 02:00: 0.9550
2024-07-10 09:00: 0.9550
2024-07-10 16:00: 0.9550
2024-07-10 23:00: 0.9550
2024-07-11 06:00: 0.9550
2024-07-11 13:00: 0.9550
2024-07-11 20:00: 0.9550
2024-07-12 03:00: 0.9550
2024-07-12 10:00: 0.9550
2024-07-12 17:00: 0.9550
2024-07-13 00:00: 0.9550
2024-07-13 07:00: 0.9550
2024-07-13 14:00: 0.9550
2024-07-13 21:00: 0.9550
2024-07-14 04:00: 0.9550
2024-07-14 11:00: 0.9550
2024-07-14 18:00: 0.9550
2024-07-15 01:00: 0.9550
2024-07-15 08:00: 0.9550
2024-07-15 15:00: 0.9550
2024-07-15 22:00: 0.9550
2024-07-16 05:00: 0.9550
2024-07-16 12:00: 0.9550
2024-07-16 19:00: 0.9550
2024-07-17 02:00: 0.9550
2024-07-17 09:00: 0.9550
2024-07-17 16:00: 0.9550
2024-07-17 23:00: 0.9550
2024-07-18 06:00: 0.9550
2024-07-18 13:00: 0.9550
2024-07-18 20:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-07-20 04:00: 0.0450
2024-07-20 11:00: 0.0450
2024-07-20 18:00: 0.0450
2024-07-21 01:00: 0.0450
2024-07-21 08:00: 0.0450
2024-07-21 16:00: 0.0450
2024-07-21 23:00: 0.0450
2024-07-22 06:00: 0.0450
2024-07-22 13:00: 0.0450
2024-07-22 20:00: 0.0450
2024-07-23 03:00: 0.0450
2024-07-23 10:00: 0.0450
2024-07-23 17:00: 0.0450
2024-07-24 00:00: 0.0450
2024-07-24 07:00: 0.0450
2024-07-24 14:00: 0.0450
2024-07-24 21:00: 0.0450
2024-07-25 04:00: 0.0450
2024-07-25 11:00: 0.0450
2024-07-25 18:00: 0.0450
2024-07-26 01:00: 0.0450
2024-07-26 08:00: 0.0450
2024-07-26 15:00: 0.0450
2024-07-26 22:00: 0.0450
2024-07-27 05:00: 0.0450
2024-07-27 12:00: 0.0450
2024-07-27 19:00: 0.0450
2024-07-28 02:00: 0.0450
2024-07-28 09:00: 0.0450
2024-07-28 16:00: 0.0450
2024-07-28 23:00: 0.0450
2024-07-29 06:00: 0.0450
2024-07-29 13:00: 0.0450
2024-07-29 20:00: 0.0450
2024-07-30 03:00: 0.0450
2024-07-30 10:00: 0.0450
2024-07-30 17:00: 0.0450
2024-07-31 00:00: 0.0450
2024-07-31 07:00: 0.0450
2024-07-31 14:00: 0.0450
2024-07-31 21:00: 0.0450
2024-08-01 04:00: 0.0450
2024-08-01 11:00: 0.0450
2024-08-01 18:00: 0.0450
2024-08-02 01:00: 0.0450
2024-08-02 08:00: 0.0450
2024-08-02 15:00: 0.0450
2024-08-02 22:00: 0.0450
2024-08-03 05:00: 0.0450
2024-08-03 12:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2090.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7325, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-08-04 19:00: 0.9550
2024-08-05 02:00: 0.9550
2024-08-05 09:00: 0.9550
2024-08-05 16:00: 0.9550
2024-08-05 23:00: 0.9550
2024-08-06 06:00: 0.9550
2024-08-06 13:00: 0.9600
2024-08-06 20:00: 0.9650
2024-08-07 03:00: 0.9645
2024-08-07 10:00: 0.9655
2024-08-07 17:00: 0.9660
2024-08-08 00:00: 0.9680
2024-08-08 07:00: 0.9680
2024-08-08 14:00: 0.9795
2024-08-08 21:00: 0.9795
2024-08-09 04:00: 0.9795
2024-08-09 11:00: 0.9795
2024-08-09 18:00: 0.9795
2024-08-10 01:00: 0.9795
2024-08-10 08:00: 0.9795
2024-08-10 15:00: 0.9795
2024-08-10 22:00: 0.9795
2024-08-11 05:00: 0.9795
2024-08-11 12:00: 0.9795
2024-08-11 19:00: 0.9795
2024-08-12 02:00: 0.9795
2024-08-12 09:00: 0.9795
2024-08-12 16:00: 0.9890
2024-08-12 23:00: 0.9865
2024-08-13 06:00: 0.9865
2024-08-13 13:00: 0.9865
2024-08-13 20:00: 0.9865
2024-08-14 03:00: 0.9865
2024-08-14 10:00: 0.9865
2024-08-14 17:00: 0.9865
2024-08-15 00:00: 0.9870
2024-08-15 07:00: 0.9865
2024-08-15 14:00: 0.9865
2024-08-15 21:00: 0.9870
2024-08-16 04:00: 0.9865
2024-08-16 11:00: 0.9865
2024-08-16 18:00: 0.9865
2024-08-17 01:00: 0.9865
2024-08-17 08:00: 0.9865
2024-08-17 15:00: 0.9865
2024-08-17 22:00: 0.9865
2024-08-18 05:00: 0.9865
2024-08-18 12:00: 0.9865
2024-08-18 19:00: 0.9865
2024-08-19 02:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 4261.84, Sell volume: 8383.00, Average price: 0.7090, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-08-20 10:00: 0.0145
2024-08-20 17:00: 0.0140
2024-08-21 00:00: 0.0145
2024-08-21 07:00: 0.0145
2024-08-21 14:00: 0.0145
2024-08-21 21:00: 0.0145
2024-08-22 04:00: 0.0145
2024-08-22 11:00: 0.0145
2024-08-22 18:00: 0.0145
2024-08-23 01:00: 0.0145
2024-08-23 08:00: 0.0145
2024-08-23 15:00: 0.0145
2024-08-23 22:00: 0.0140
2024-08-24 05:00: 0.0145
2024-08-24 12:00: 0.0135
2024-08-24 19:00: 0.0140
2024-08-25 02:00: 0.0145
2024-08-25 09:00: 0.0140
2024-08-25 16:00: 0.0140
2024-08-25 23:00: 0.0155
2024-08-26 06:00: 0.0140
2024-08-26 13:00: 0.0120
2024-08-26 20:00: 0.0160
2024-08-27 03:00: 0.0135
2024-08-27 10:00: 0.0160
2024-08-27 17:00: 0.0140
2024-08-28 00:00: 0.0135
2024-08-28 07:00: 0.0135
2024-08-28 14:00: 0.0130
2024-08-28 21:00: 0.0135
2024-08-29 04:00: 0.0135
2024-08-29 11:00: 0.0135
2024-08-29 18:00: 0.0130
2024-08-30 01:00: 0.0135
2024-08-30 08:00: 0.0135
2024-08-30 15:00: 0.0130
2024-08-30 22:00: 0.0130
2024-08-31 05:00: 0.0130
2024-08-31 12:00: 0.0130
2024-08-31 19:00: 0.0130
2024-09-01 02:00: 0.0130
2024-09-01 09:00: 0.0130
2024-09-01 16:00: 0.0135
2024-09-01 23:00: 0.0135
2024-09-02 06:00: 0.0135
2024-09-02 13:00: 0.0130
2024-09-02 20:00: 0.0130
2024-09-03 03:00: 0.0130
2024-09-03 10:00: 0.0130
2024-09-03 17:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 65.13, Sell volume: 1.34, Average price: 0.9878, Price range: 0.9810 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-09-05 00:00: 0.9880
2024-09-05 07:00: 0.9880
2024-09-05 14:00: 0.9890
2024-09-05 21:00: 0.9870
2024-09-06 04:00: 0.9870
2024-09-06 11:00: 0.9880
2024-09-06 18:00: 0.9875
2024-09-07 01:00: 0.9875
2024-09-07 08:00: 0.9880
2024-09-07 15:00: 0.9880
2024-09-07 22:00: 0.9875
2024-09-08 05:00: 0.9875
2024-09-08 12:00: 0.9880
2024-09-08 19:00: 0.9875
2024-09-09 02:00: 0.9875
2024-09-09 09:00: 0.9875
2024-09-09 16:00: 0.9875
2024-09-09 23:00: 0.9875
2024-09-10 06:00: 0.9875
2024-09-10 13:00: 0.9875
2024-09-10 20:00: 0.9875
2024-09-11 03:00: 0.9875
2024-09-11 10:00: 0.9875
2024-09-11 17:00: 0.9875
2024-09-12 00:00: 0.9880
2024-09-12 07:00: 0.9880
2024-09-12 14:00: 0.9885
2024-09-12 21:00: 0.9885
2024-09-13 04:00: 0.9885
2024-09-13 11:00: 0.9885
2024-09-13 18:00: 0.9885
2024-09-14 01:00: 0.9885
2024-09-14 08:00: 0.9880
2024-09-14 15:00: 0.9880
2024-09-14 22:00: 0.9880
2024-09-15 05:00: 0.9880
2024-09-15 12:00: 0.9880
2024-09-15 19:00: 0.9885
2024-09-16 02:00: 0.9880
2024-09-16 09:00: 0.9880
2024-09-16 16:00: 0.9880
2024-09-16 23:00: 0.9880
2024-09-17 06:00: 0.9880
2024-09-17 13:00: 0.9880
2024-09-17 20:00: 0.9880
2024-09-18 03:00: 0.9880
2024-09-18 10:00: 0.9880
2024-09-18 17:00: 0.9880
2024-09-19 00:00: 0.9880
2024-09-19 07:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1.61, Sell volume: 335.49, Average price: 0.8470, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-09-20 15:00: 0.0120
2024-09-20 22:00: 0.0120
2024-09-21 05:00: 0.0120
2024-09-21 12:00: 0.0115
2024-09-21 19:00: 0.0110
2024-09-22 02:00: 0.0115
2024-09-22 09:00: 0.0115
2024-09-22 16:00: 0.0110
2024-09-22 23:00: 0.0120
2024-09-23 06:00: 0.0115
2024-09-23 13:00: 0.0110
2024-09-23 20:00: 0.0115
2024-09-24 03:00: 0.0115
2024-09-24 10:00: 0.0115
2024-09-24 17:00: 0.0115
2024-09-25 00:00: 0.0115
2024-09-25 07:00: 0.0110
2024-09-25 14:00: 0.0110
2024-09-25 21:00: 0.0110
2024-09-26 04:00: 0.0110
2024-09-26 11:00: 0.0105
2024-09-26 18:00: 0.0095
2024-09-27 01:00: 0.0100
2024-09-27 08:00: 0.0100
2024-09-27 15:00: 0.0100
2024-09-27 22:00: 0.0100
2024-09-28 05:00: 0.0100
2024-09-28 12:00: 0.0100
2024-09-28 19:00: 0.0100
2024-09-29 02:00: 0.0100
2024-09-29 09:00: 0.0100
2024-09-29 16:00: 0.0100
2024-09-29 23:00: 0.0100
2024-09-30 06:00: 0.0100
2024-09-30 13:00: 0.0100
2024-09-30 20:00: 0.0100
2024-10-01 03:00: 0.0100
2024-10-01 10:00: 0.0100
2024-10-01 17:00: 0.0100
2024-10-02 00:00: 0.0100
2024-10-02 07:00: 0.0100
2024-10-02 13:00: 0.0100
2024-10-02 20:00: 0.0100
2024-10-03 03:00: 0.0095
2024-10-03 10:00: 0.0095
2024-10-03 17:00: 0.0095
2024-10-04 00:00: 0.0085
2024-10-04 07:00: 0.0085
2024-10-04 14:00: 0.0085
2024-10-04 21:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1025.83, Sell volume: 2205.20, Average price: 0.8429, Price range: 0.0075 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-10-06 04:00: 0.9915
2024-10-06 11:00: 0.9915
2024-10-06 18:00: 0.9915
2024-10-07 01:00: 0.9915
2024-10-07 08:00: 0.9915
2024-10-07 15:00: 0.9915
2024-10-07 22:00: 0.9915
2024-10-08 05:00: 0.9915
2024-10-08 12:00: 0.9915
2024-10-08 19:00: 0.9915
2024-10-09 02:00: 0.9915
2024-10-09 09:00: 0.9915
2024-10-09 16:00: 0.9915
2024-10-09 23:00: 0.9915
2024-10-10 06:00: 0.9915
2024-10-10 13:00: 0.9915
2024-10-10 20:00: 0.9915
2024-10-11 03:00: 0.9920
2024-10-11 10:00: 0.9920
2024-10-11 17:00: 0.9920
2024-10-12 00:00: 0.9920
2024-10-12 07:00: 0.9920
2024-10-12 14:00: 0.9920
2024-10-12 21:00: 0.9920
2024-10-13 04:00: 0.9920
2024-10-13 11:00: 0.9925
2024-10-13 18:00: 0.9920
2024-10-14 01:00: 0.9925
2024-10-14 08:00: 0.9925
2024-10-14 15:00: 0.9915
2024-10-14 22:00: 0.9915
2024-10-15 05:00: 0.9915
2024-10-15 12:00: 0.9920
2024-10-15 19:00: 0.9920
2024-10-16 02:00: 0.9920
2024-10-16 09:00: 0.9920
2024-10-16 16:00: 0.9920
2024-10-16 23:00: 0.9920
2024-10-17 06:00: 0.9935
2024-10-17 13:00: 0.9935
2024-10-17 20:00: 0.9935
2024-10-18 03:00: 0.9935
2024-10-18 10:00: 0.9935
2024-10-18 17:00: 0.9935
2024-10-19 00:00: 0.9945
2024-10-19 07:00: 0.9950
2024-10-19 14:00: 0.9950
2024-10-19 21:00: 0.9950
2024-10-20 04:00: 0.9950
2024-10-20 11:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 3091.11, Sell volume: 8400.66, Average price: 0.8943, Price range: 0.0031 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-10-21 19:00: 0.0030
2024-10-22 02:00: 0.0030
2024-10-22 09:00: 0.0030
2024-10-22 16:00: 0.0030
2024-10-22 23:00: 0.0030
2024-10-23 06:00: 0.0030
2024-10-23 13:00: 0.0035
2024-10-23 20:00: 0.0035
2024-10-24 03:00: 0.0035
2024-10-24 10:00: 0.0035
2024-10-24 17:00: 0.0035
2024-10-25 00:00: 0.0035
2024-10-25 07:00: 0.0035
2024-10-25 14:00: 0.0035
2024-10-25 21:00: 0.0035
2024-10-26 04:00: 0.0035
2024-10-26 11:00: 0.0025
2024-10-26 18:00: 0.0015
2024-10-27 01:00: 0.0015
2024-10-27 08:00: 0.0015
2024-10-27 15:00: 0.0015
2024-10-27 22:00: 0.0015
2024-10-28 05:00: 0.0015
2024-10-28 12:00: 0.0015
2024-10-28 19:00: 0.0015
2024-10-29 02:00: 0.0015
2024-10-29 09:00: 0.0015
2024-10-29 16:00: 0.0015
2024-10-29 23:00: 0.0030
2024-10-30 06:00: 0.0040
2024-10-30 13:00: 0.0065
2024-10-30 20:00: 0.0035
2024-10-31 03:00: 0.0035
2024-10-31 10:00: 0.0035
2024-10-31 17:00: 0.0045
2024-11-01 00:00: 0.0045
2024-11-01 07:00: 0.0045
2024-11-01 14:00: 0.0045
2024-11-01 21:00: 0.0060
2024-11-02 04:00: 0.0060
2024-11-02 11:00: 0.0060
2024-11-02 18:00: 0.0060
2024-11-03 01:00: 0.0060
2024-11-03 07:00: 0.0060
2024-11-03 14:00: 0.0070
2024-11-03 21:00: 0.0065
2024-11-04 04:00: 0.0060
2024-11-04 11:00: 0.0050
2024-11-04 18:00: 0.0120
2024-11-05 01:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 172, Buy volume: 7868.31, Sell volume: 5329.28, Average price: 0.7285, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-04-17 12:00: 0.5000
2024-04-18 00:00: 0.0650
2024-04-18 12:00: 0.0750
2024-04-19 00:00: 0.0750
2024-04-19 12:00: 0.0750
2024-04-20 00:00: 0.0750
2024-04-20 12:00: 0.0750
2024-04-21 00:00: 0.0750
2024-04-21 12:00: 0.0750
2024-04-22 00:00: 0.0750
2024-04-22 12:00: 0.0750
2024-04-23 00:00: 0.0750
2024-04-23 12:00: 0.0750
2024-04-24 00:00: 0.0750
2024-04-24 12:00: 0.0750
2024-04-25 00:00: 0.0750
2024-04-25 12:00: 0.0750
2024-04-26 00:00: 0.0700
2024-04-26 12:00: 0.0700
2024-04-27 00:00: 0.0650
2024-04-27 12:00: 0.0650
2024-04-28 00:00: 0.0650
2024-04-28 12:00: 0.0650
2024-04-29 00:00: 0.0700
2024-04-29 12:00: 0.0700
2024-04-30 00:00: 0.0700
2024-04-30 12:00: 0.0700
2024-05-01 00:00: 0.0650
2024-05-01 12:00: 0.0600
2024-05-02 01:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 5221.06, Sell volume: 14385.00, Average price: 0.4101, Price range: 0.0505 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-05-03 03:00: 0.9400
2024-05-03 15:00: 0.9450
2024-05-04 03:00: 0.9450
2024-05-04 15:00: 0.9450
2024-05-05 03:00: 0.9450
2024-05-05 15:00: 0.9450
2024-05-06 03:00: 0.9450
2024-05-06 15:00: 0.9450
2024-05-07 03:00: 0.9450
2024-05-07 15:00: 0.9450
2024-05-08 03:00: 0.9450
2024-05-08 15:00: 0.9450
2024-05-09 03:00: 0.9450
2024-05-09 15:00: 0.9450
2024-05-10 03:00: 0.9450
2024-05-10 15:00: 0.9450
2024-05-11 03:00: 0.9450
2024-05-11 15:00: 0.9450
2024-05-12 03:00: 0.9450
2024-05-12 15:00: 0.9450
2024-05-13 03:00: 0.9450
2024-05-13 15:00: 0.9450
2024-05-14 03:00: 0.9450
2024-05-14 15:00: 0.9450
2024-05-15 03:00: 0.9450
2024-05-15 15:00: 0.9450
2024-05-16 03:00: 0.9450
2024-05-16 15:00: 0.9450
2024-05-17 03:00: 0.9450
2024-05-17 15:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 445.00, Average price: 0.0550, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.0600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-05-18 18:00: 0.0550
2024-05-19 06:00: 0.0550
2024-05-19 18:00: 0.0550
2024-05-20 06:00: 0.0550
2024-05-20 18:00: 0.0550
2024-05-21 06:00: 0.0550
2024-05-21 18:00: 0.0550
2024-05-22 06:00: 0.0550
2024-05-22 18:00: 0.0500
2024-05-23 06:00: 0.0500
2024-05-23 18:00: 0.0500
2024-05-24 06:00: 0.0500
2024-05-24 18:00: 0.0500
2024-05-25 06:00: 0.0500
2024-05-25 18:00: 0.0500
2024-05-26 06:00: 0.0500
2024-05-26 18:00: 0.0500
2024-05-27 06:00: 0.0500
2024-05-27 18:00: 0.0500
2024-05-28 06:00: 0.0500
2024-05-28 18:00: 0.0500
2024-05-29 06:00: 0.0500
2024-05-29 18:00: 0.0500
2024-05-30 06:00: 0.0500
2024-05-30 18:00: 0.0500
2024-05-31 06:00: 0.0500
2024-05-31 18:00: 0.0500
2024-06-01 06:00: 0.0500
2024-06-01 18:00: 0.0500
2024-06-02 06:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3220.00, Average price: 0.0500, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.0500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-06-03 08:00: 0.9550
2024-06-03 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-04 08:00: 0.9550
2024-06-04 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-05 08:00: 0.9550
2024-06-05 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-06 08:00: 0.9550
2024-06-06 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-07 08:00: 0.9550
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 08:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-09 08:00: 0.9550
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.9550
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.9550
2024-06-11 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 08:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-13 08:00: 0.9550
2024-06-13 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-14 08:00: 0.9550
2024-06-14 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-15 08:00: 0.9550
2024-06-15 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-16 08:00: 0.9550
2024-06-16 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-17 08:00: 0.9550
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 445.00, Average price: 0.0400, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.0400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.0450
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.0450
2024-06-19 23:00: 0.0450
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.0450
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.0450
2024-06-21 11:00: 0.0450
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.0450
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.0450
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.0450
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.0450
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.0450
2024-06-25 11:00: 0.0450
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.0450
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.0450
2024-06-26 23:00: 0.0450
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.0450
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.0450
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.0450
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.0450
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.0450
2024-06-29 23:00: 0.0450
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.0450
2024-06-30 23:00: 0.0450
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.0450
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.0450
2024-07-02 11:00: 0.0450
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.0450
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 245.00, Average price: 0.0400, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.0400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.9550
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.9550
2024-07-05 13:00: 0.9550
2024-07-06 01:00: 0.9550
2024-07-06 13:00: 0.9550
2024-07-07 01:00: 0.9550
2024-07-07 13:00: 0.9550
2024-07-08 01:00: 0.9550
2024-07-08 13:00: 0.9550
2024-07-09 01:00: 0.9550
2024-07-09 13:00: 0.9550
2024-07-10 01:00: 0.9550
2024-07-10 13:00: 0.9550
2024-07-11 01:00: 0.9550
2024-07-11 13:00: 0.9550
2024-07-12 01:00: 0.9550
2024-07-12 13:00: 0.9550
2024-07-13 01:00: 0.9550
2024-07-13 13:00: 0.9550
2024-07-14 01:00: 0.9550
2024-07-14 13:00: 0.9550
2024-07-15 01:00: 0.9550
2024-07-15 13:00: 0.9550
2024-07-16 01:00: 0.9550
2024-07-16 13:00: 0.9550
2024-07-17 01:00: 0.9550
2024-07-17 13:00: 0.9550
2024-07-18 01:00: 0.9550
2024-07-18 13:00: 0.9550
2024-07-19 01:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-07-20 04:00: 0.0450
2024-07-20 16:00: 0.0450
2024-07-21 04:00: 0.0450
2024-07-21 17:00: 0.0450
2024-07-22 05:00: 0.0450
2024-07-22 17:00: 0.0450
2024-07-23 05:00: 0.0450
2024-07-23 17:00: 0.0450
2024-07-24 05:00: 0.0450
2024-07-24 17:00: 0.0450
2024-07-25 05:00: 0.0450
2024-07-25 17:00: 0.0450
2024-07-26 05:00: 0.0450
2024-07-26 17:00: 0.0450
2024-07-27 05:00: 0.0450
2024-07-27 17:00: 0.0450
2024-07-28 05:00: 0.0450
2024-07-28 17:00: 0.0450
2024-07-29 05:00: 0.0450
2024-07-29 17:00: 0.0450
2024-07-30 05:00: 0.0450
2024-07-30 17:00: 0.0450
2024-07-31 05:00: 0.0450
2024-07-31 17:00: 0.0450
2024-08-01 05:00: 0.0450
2024-08-01 17:00: 0.0450
2024-08-02 05:00: 0.0450
2024-08-02 17:00: 0.0450
2024-08-03 05:00: 0.0450
2024-08-03 17:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2090.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7325, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-08-04 19:00: 0.9550
2024-08-05 07:00: 0.9550
2024-08-05 19:00: 0.9550
2024-08-06 07:00: 0.9550
2024-08-06 19:00: 0.9650
2024-08-07 07:00: 0.9655
2024-08-07 19:00: 0.9660
2024-08-08 07:00: 0.9680
2024-08-08 19:00: 0.9795
2024-08-09 07:00: 0.9795
2024-08-09 19:00: 0.9795
2024-08-10 07:00: 0.9795
2024-08-10 19:00: 0.9795
2024-08-11 07:00: 0.9795
2024-08-11 19:00: 0.9795
2024-08-12 07:00: 0.9795
2024-08-12 19:00: 0.9865
2024-08-13 07:00: 0.9865
2024-08-13 19:00: 0.9865
2024-08-14 07:00: 0.9865
2024-08-14 19:00: 0.9865
2024-08-15 07:00: 0.9865
2024-08-15 19:00: 0.9865
2024-08-16 07:00: 0.9865
2024-08-16 19:00: 0.9865
2024-08-17 07:00: 0.9865
2024-08-17 19:00: 0.9870
2024-08-18 07:00: 0.9865
2024-08-18 19:00: 0.9865
2024-08-19 07:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 4261.84, Sell volume: 8383.00, Average price: 0.7090, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-08-20 10:00: 0.0145
2024-08-20 22:00: 0.0140
2024-08-21 10:00: 0.0145
2024-08-21 22:00: 0.0145
2024-08-22 10:00: 0.0145
2024-08-22 22:00: 0.0145
2024-08-23 10:00: 0.0145
2024-08-23 22:00: 0.0140
2024-08-24 10:00: 0.0145
2024-08-24 22:00: 0.0140
2024-08-25 10:00: 0.0140
2024-08-25 22:00: 0.0150
2024-08-26 10:00: 0.0135
2024-08-26 22:00: 0.0135
2024-08-27 10:00: 0.0160
2024-08-27 22:00: 0.0135
2024-08-28 10:00: 0.0130
2024-08-28 22:00: 0.0135
2024-08-29 10:00: 0.0130
2024-08-29 22:00: 0.0135
2024-08-30 10:00: 0.0130
2024-08-30 22:00: 0.0130
2024-08-31 10:00: 0.0130
2024-08-31 22:00: 0.0130
2024-09-01 10:00: 0.0130
2024-09-01 22:00: 0.0135
2024-09-02 10:00: 0.0135
2024-09-02 22:00: 0.0130
2024-09-03 10:00: 0.0130
2024-09-03 22:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 65.13, Sell volume: 1.34, Average price: 0.9878, Price range: 0.9810 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-09-05 00:00: 0.9880
2024-09-05 12:00: 0.9900
2024-09-06 00:00: 0.9870
2024-09-06 12:00: 0.9880
2024-09-07 00:00: 0.9875
2024-09-07 12:00: 0.9875
2024-09-08 00:00: 0.9875
2024-09-08 12:00: 0.9880
2024-09-09 00:00: 0.9875
2024-09-09 12:00: 0.9875
2024-09-10 00:00: 0.9875
2024-09-10 12:00: 0.9875
2024-09-11 00:00: 0.9875
2024-09-11 12:00: 0.9875
2024-09-12 00:00: 0.9880
2024-09-12 12:00: 0.9885
2024-09-13 00:00: 0.9885
2024-09-13 12:00: 0.9885
2024-09-14 00:00: 0.9885
2024-09-14 12:00: 0.9880
2024-09-15 00:00: 0.9885
2024-09-15 12:00: 0.9880
2024-09-16 00:00: 0.9880
2024-09-16 12:00: 0.9880
2024-09-17 00:00: 0.9880
2024-09-17 12:00: 0.9880
2024-09-18 00:00: 0.9880
2024-09-18 12:00: 0.9880
2024-09-19 00:00: 0.9880
2024-09-19 12:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1.61, Sell volume: 335.49, Average price: 0.8470, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-09-20 15:00: 0.0120
2024-09-21 03:00: 0.0120
2024-09-21 15:00: 0.0120
2024-09-22 03:00: 0.0115
2024-09-22 15:00: 0.0110
2024-09-23 03:00: 0.0115
2024-09-23 15:00: 0.0110
2024-09-24 03:00: 0.0115
2024-09-24 15:00: 0.0115
2024-09-25 03:00: 0.0115
2024-09-25 15:00: 0.0110
2024-09-26 03:00: 0.0110
2024-09-26 15:00: 0.0110
2024-09-27 03:00: 0.0095
2024-09-27 15:00: 0.0100
2024-09-28 03:00: 0.0100
2024-09-28 15:00: 0.0100
2024-09-29 03:00: 0.0100
2024-09-29 15:00: 0.0100
2024-09-30 03:00: 0.0100
2024-09-30 15:00: 0.0100
2024-10-01 03:00: 0.0100
2024-10-01 15:00: 0.0100
2024-10-02 03:00: 0.0100
2024-10-02 14:00: 0.0100
2024-10-03 02:00: 0.0095
2024-10-03 14:00: 0.0095
2024-10-04 02:00: 0.0085
2024-10-04 14:00: 0.0085
2024-10-05 02:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1025.83, Sell volume: 2205.20, Average price: 0.8429, Price range: 0.0075 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-10-06 04:00: 0.9915
2024-10-06 16:00: 0.9915
2024-10-07 04:00: 0.9915
2024-10-07 16:00: 0.9915
2024-10-08 04:00: 0.9915
2024-10-08 16:00: 0.9915
2024-10-09 04:00: 0.9915
2024-10-09 16:00: 0.9915
2024-10-10 04:00: 0.9915
2024-10-10 16:00: 0.9915
2024-10-11 04:00: 0.9920
2024-10-11 16:00: 0.9920
2024-10-12 04:00: 0.9920
2024-10-12 16:00: 0.9920
2024-10-13 04:00: 0.9920
2024-10-13 16:00: 0.9920
2024-10-14 04:00: 0.9925
2024-10-14 16:00: 0.9915
2024-10-15 04:00: 0.9915
2024-10-15 16:00: 0.9920
2024-10-16 04:00: 0.9920
2024-10-16 16:00: 0.9920
2024-10-17 04:00: 0.9920
2024-10-17 16:00: 0.9935
2024-10-18 04:00: 0.9935
2024-10-18 16:00: 0.9935
2024-10-19 04:00: 0.9950
2024-10-19 16:00: 0.9950
2024-10-20 04:00: 0.9950
2024-10-20 16:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 3091.11, Sell volume: 8400.66, Average price: 0.8943, Price range: 0.0031 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501013
Question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 73030.340923
Price History:
2024-10-21 19:00: 0.0030
2024-10-22 07:00: 0.0030
2024-10-22 19:00: 0.0030
2024-10-23 07:00: 0.0030
2024-10-23 19:00: 0.0035
2024-10-24 07:00: 0.0035
2024-10-24 19:00: 0.0035
2024-10-25 07:00: 0.0035
2024-10-25 19:00: 0.0035
2024-10-26 07:00: 0.0035
2024-10-26 19:00: 0.0015
2024-10-27 07:00: 0.0015
2024-10-27 19:00: 0.0015
2024-10-28 07:00: 0.0015
2024-10-28 19:00: 0.0015
2024-10-29 07:00: 0.0015
2024-10-29 19:00: 0.0030
2024-10-30 07:00: 0.0060
2024-10-30 19:00: 0.0035
2024-10-31 07:00: 0.0035
2024-10-31 19:00: 0.0045
2024-11-01 07:00: 0.0045
2024-11-01 19:00: 0.0065
2024-11-02 07:00: 0.0060
2024-11-02 19:00: 0.0060
2024-11-03 06:00: 0.0060
2024-11-03 18:00: 0.0065
2024-11-04 06:00: 0.0050
2024-11-04 18:00: 0.0120
2024-11-05 06:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 172, Buy volume: 7868.31, Sell volume: 5329.28, Average price: 0.7285, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501014
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49392.804242
Price History:
2024-04-17 12:00: 0.5000
2024-04-17 19:00: 0.0130
2024-04-18 02:00: 0.0135
2024-04-18 09:00: 0.0135
2024-04-18 16:00: 0.0135
2024-04-18 23:00: 0.0135
2024-04-19 06:00: 0.0135
2024-04-19 13:00: 0.0135
2024-04-19 20:00: 0.0135
2024-04-20 03:00: 0.0115
2024-04-20 10:00: 0.0115
2024-04-20 17:00: 0.0115
2024-04-21 00:00: 0.0125
2024-04-21 07:00: 0.0125
2024-04-21 14:00: 0.0125
2024-04-21 21:00: 0.0125
2024-04-22 04:00: 0.0125
2024-04-22 11:00: 0.0125
2024-04-22 18:00: 0.0125
2024-04-23 01:00: 0.0125
2024-04-23 08:00: 0.0125
2024-04-23 15:00: 0.0125
2024-04-23 22:00: 0.0125
2024-04-24 05:00: 0.0125
2024-04-24 12:00: 0.0125
2024-04-24 19:00: 0.0125
2024-04-25 02:00: 0.0125
2024-04-25 09:00: 0.0125
2024-04-25 16:00: 0.0125
2024-04-25 23:00: 0.0125
2024-04-26 06:00: 0.0125
2024-04-26 13:00: 0.0125
2024-04-26 20:00: 0.0125
2024-04-27 03:00: 0.0125
2024-04-27 10:00: 0.0125
2024-04-27 17:00: 0.0125
2024-04-28 00:00: 0.0125
2024-04-28 07:00: 0.0125
2024-04-28 14:00: 0.0125
2024-04-28 21:00: 0.0125
2024-04-29 04:00: 0.0125
2024-04-29 11:00: 0.0125
2024-04-29 18:00: 0.0125
2024-04-30 01:00: 0.0145
2024-04-30 08:00: 0.0145
2024-04-30 15:00: 0.0145
2024-04-30 22:00: 0.0145
2024-05-01 05:00: 0.0140
2024-05-01 12:00: 0.0120
2024-05-01 20:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 639, Buy volume: 22656.13, Sell volume: 26736.22, Average price: 0.8712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501014
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49392.804242
Price History:
2024-05-03 03:00: 0.9880
2024-05-03 10:00: 0.9880
2024-05-03 17:00: 0.9880
2024-05-04 00:00: 0.9880
2024-05-04 07:00: 0.9880
2024-05-04 14:00: 0.9880
2024-05-04 21:00: 0.9880
2024-05-05 04:00: 0.9880
2024-05-05 11:00: 0.9880
2024-05-05 18:00: 0.9880
2024-05-06 01:00: 0.9880
2024-05-06 08:00: 0.9880
2024-05-06 15:00: 0.9880
2024-05-06 22:00: 0.9880
2024-05-07 05:00: 0.9880
2024-05-07 12:00: 0.9880
2024-05-07 19:00: 0.9880
2024-05-08 02:00: 0.9905
2024-05-08 09:00: 0.9905
2024-05-08 16:00: 0.9905
2024-05-08 23:00: 0.9905
2024-05-09 06:00: 0.9885
2024-05-09 13:00: 0.9885
2024-05-09 20:00: 0.9885
2024-05-10 03:00: 0.9885
2024-05-10 10:00: 0.9885
2024-05-10 17:00: 0.9895
2024-05-11 00:00: 0.9895
2024-05-11 07:00: 0.9895
2024-05-11 14:00: 0.9895
2024-05-11 21:00: 0.9895
2024-05-12 04:00: 0.9895
2024-05-12 11:00: 0.9895
2024-05-12 18:00: 0.9895
2024-05-13 01:00: 0.9895
2024-05-13 08:00: 0.9885
2024-05-13 15:00: 0.9885
2024-05-13 22:00: 0.9885
2024-05-14 05:00: 0.9885
2024-05-14 12:00: 0.9885
2024-05-14 19:00: 0.9880
2024-05-15 02:00: 0.9885
2024-05-15 09:00: 0.9885
2024-05-15 16:00: 0.9885
2024-05-15 23:00: 0.9885
2024-05-16 06:00: 0.9885
2024-05-16 13:00: 0.9880
2024-05-16 20:00: 0.9885
2024-05-17 03:00: 0.9885
2024-05-17 10:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 639, Buy volume: 22656.13, Sell volume: 26736.22, Average price: 0.8712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501014
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49392.804242
Price History:
2024-05-18 18:00: 0.0115
2024-05-19 01:00: 0.0115
2024-05-19 08:00: 0.0115
2024-05-19 15:00: 0.0115
2024-05-19 22:00: 0.0115
2024-05-20 05:00: 0.0115
2024-05-20 12:00: 0.0110
2024-05-20 19:00: 0.0110
2024-05-21 02:00: 0.0115
2024-05-21 09:00: 0.0115
2024-05-21 16:00: 0.0115
2024-05-21 23:00: 0.0115
2024-05-22 06:00: 0.0115
2024-05-22 13:00: 0.0115
2024-05-22 20:00: 0.0115
2024-05-23 03:00: 0.0115
2024-05-23 10:00: 0.0115
2024-05-23 17:00: 0.0115
2024-05-24 00:00: 0.0115
2024-05-24 07:00: 0.0115
2024-05-24 14:00: 0.0115
2024-05-24 21:00: 0.0115
2024-05-25 04:00: 0.0115
2024-05-25 11:00: 0.0115
2024-05-25 18:00: 0.0115
2024-05-26 01:00: 0.0115
2024-05-26 08:00: 0.0115
2024-05-26 15:00: 0.0115
2024-05-26 22:00: 0.0115
2024-05-27 05:00: 0.0115
2024-05-27 12:00: 0.0115
2024-05-27 19:00: 0.0115
2024-05-28 02:00: 0.0115
2024-05-28 09:00: 0.0115
2024-05-28 16:00: 0.0115
2024-05-28 23:00: 0.0115
2024-05-29 06:00: 0.0115
2024-05-29 13:00: 0.0115
2024-05-29 20:00: 0.0115
2024-05-30 03:00: 0.0115
2024-05-30 10:00: 0.0115
2024-05-30 17:00: 0.0115
2024-05-31 00:00: 0.0115
2024-05-31 07:00: 0.0115
2024-05-31 14:00: 0.0115
2024-05-31 21:00: 0.0115
2024-06-01 04:00: 0.0115
2024-06-01 11:00: 0.0115
2024-06-01 18:00: 0.0115
2024-06-02 01:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 639, Buy volume: 22656.13, Sell volume: 26736.22, Average price: 0.8712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501014
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49392.804242
Price History:
2024-06-03 08:00: 0.9885
2024-06-03 15:00: 0.9885
2024-06-03 22:00: 0.9885
2024-06-04 05:00: 0.9885
2024-06-04 12:00: 0.9885
2024-06-04 19:00: 0.9885
2024-06-05 02:00: 0.9885
2024-06-05 09:00: 0.9885
2024-06-05 16:00: 0.9885
2024-06-05 23:00: 0.9885
2024-06-06 06:00: 0.9885
2024-06-06 13:00: 0.9885
2024-06-06 20:00: 0.9885
2024-06-07 03:00: 0.9885
2024-06-07 10:00: 0.9885
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.9885
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.9885
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.9885
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.9885
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.9885
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.9885
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.9885
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.9885
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.9885
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.9885
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.9885
2024-06-10 22:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.9885
2024-06-12 02:00: 0.9885
2024-06-12 09:00: 0.9885
2024-06-12 16:00: 0.9885
2024-06-12 23:00: 0.9885
2024-06-13 06:00: 0.9885
2024-06-13 13:00: 0.9885
2024-06-13 20:00: 0.9885
2024-06-14 03:00: 0.9885
2024-06-14 10:00: 0.9885
2024-06-14 17:00: 0.9885
2024-06-15 00:00: 0.9885
2024-06-15 07:00: 0.9885
2024-06-15 14:00: 0.9885
2024-06-15 21:00: 0.9885
2024-06-16 04:00: 0.9885
2024-06-16 11:00: 0.9885
2024-06-16 18:00: 0.9885
2024-06-17 01:00: 0.9885
2024-06-17 08:00: 0.9885
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 639, Buy volume: 22656.13, Sell volume: 26736.22, Average price: 0.8712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501014
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49392.804242
Price History:
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.0115
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.0115
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.0115
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.0115
2024-06-20 03:00: 0.0115
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.0115
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.0115
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.0115
2024-06-21 07:00: 0.0115
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.0115
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.0115
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.0115
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.0115
2024-06-22 18:00: 0.0115
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.0115
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.0115
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.0115
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.0115
2024-06-24 05:00: 0.0115
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.0115
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.0115
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.0115
2024-06-25 09:00: 0.0115
2024-06-25 16:00: 0.0115
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.0115
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.0115
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.0115
2024-06-26 20:00: 0.0115
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.0115
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.0115
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.0115
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.0115
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.0115
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.0115
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.0115
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.0110
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.0110
2024-06-29 18:00: 0.0110
2024-06-30 01:00: 0.0110
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.0110
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.0110
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.0110
2024-07-01 05:00: 0.0110
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.0110
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.0110
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.0110
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.0110
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.0110
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.0110
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 639, Buy volume: 22656.13, Sell volume: 26736.22, Average price: 0.8712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501014
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49392.804242
Price History:
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.9890
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.9890
2024-07-05 03:00: 0.9890
2024-07-05 10:00: 0.9890
2024-07-05 17:00: 0.9890
2024-07-06 00:00: 0.9890
2024-07-06 07:00: 0.9890
2024-07-06 14:00: 0.9890
2024-07-06 21:00: 0.9890
2024-07-07 04:00: 0.9890
2024-07-07 11:00: 0.9890
2024-07-07 18:00: 0.9890
2024-07-08 01:00: 0.9890
2024-07-08 08:00: 0.9890
2024-07-08 15:00: 0.9890
2024-07-08 22:00: 0.9890
2024-07-09 05:00: 0.9890
2024-07-09 12:00: 0.9890
2024-07-09 19:00: 0.9890
2024-07-10 02:00: 0.9890
2024-07-10 09:00: 0.9890
2024-07-10 16:00: 0.9890
2024-07-10 23:00: 0.9890
2024-07-11 06:00: 0.9890
2024-07-11 13:00: 0.9890
2024-07-11 20:00: 0.9890
2024-07-12 03:00: 0.9890
2024-07-12 10:00: 0.9890
2024-07-12 17:00: 0.9890
2024-07-13 00:00: 0.9890
2024-07-13 07:00: 0.9890
2024-07-13 14:00: 0.9890
2024-07-13 21:00: 0.9890
2024-07-14 04:00: 0.9890
2024-07-14 11:00: 0.9890
2024-07-14 18:00: 0.9890
2024-07-15 01:00: 0.9890
2024-07-15 08:00: 0.9890
2024-07-15 15:00: 0.9890
2024-07-15 22:00: 0.9890
2024-07-16 05:00: 0.9890
2024-07-16 12:00: 0.9890
2024-07-16 19:00: 0.9895
2024-07-17 02:00: 0.9895
2024-07-17 09:00: 0.9895
2024-07-17 16:00: 0.9895
2024-07-17 23:00: 0.9890
2024-07-18 06:00: 0.9895
2024-07-18 13:00: 0.9895
2024-07-18 20:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 639, Buy volume: 22656.13, Sell volume: 26736.22, Average price: 0.8712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501014
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49392.804242
Price History:
2024-07-20 04:00: 0.0105
2024-07-20 11:00: 0.0110
2024-07-20 18:00: 0.0110
2024-07-21 01:00: 0.0110
2024-07-21 08:00: 0.0110
2024-07-21 16:00: 0.0110
2024-07-21 23:00: 0.0110
2024-07-22 06:00: 0.0110
2024-07-22 13:00: 0.0110
2024-07-22 20:00: 0.0110
2024-07-23 03:00: 0.0110
2024-07-23 10:00: 0.0110
2024-07-23 17:00: 0.0110
2024-07-24 00:00: 0.0115
2024-07-24 07:00: 0.0115
2024-07-24 14:00: 0.0115
2024-07-24 21:00: 0.0115
2024-07-25 04:00: 0.0115
2024-07-25 11:00: 0.0115
2024-07-25 18:00: 0.0115
2024-07-26 01:00: 0.0115
2024-07-26 08:00: 0.0115
2024-07-26 15:00: 0.0115
2024-07-26 22:00: 0.0115
2024-07-27 05:00: 0.0115
2024-07-27 12:00: 0.0115
2024-07-27 19:00: 0.0115
2024-07-28 02:00: 0.0115
2024-07-28 09:00: 0.0115
2024-07-28 16:00: 0.0115
2024-07-28 23:00: 0.0120
2024-07-29 06:00: 0.0120
2024-07-29 13:00: 0.0120
2024-07-29 20:00: 0.0120
2024-07-30 03:00: 0.0120
2024-07-30 10:00: 0.0120
2024-07-30 17:00: 0.0120
2024-07-31 00:00: 0.0120
2024-07-31 07:00: 0.0120
2024-07-31 14:00: 0.0130
2024-07-31 21:00: 0.0130
2024-08-01 04:00: 0.0125
2024-08-01 11:00: 0.0115
2024-08-01 18:00: 0.0120
2024-08-02 01:00: 0.0120
2024-08-02 08:00: 0.0120
2024-08-02 15:00: 0.0120
2024-08-02 22:00: 0.0120
2024-08-03 05:00: 0.0125
2024-08-03 12:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 90.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9890, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501014
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49392.804242
Price History:
2024-08-04 19:00: 0.9905
2024-08-05 02:00: 0.9910
2024-08-05 09:00: 0.9910
2024-08-05 16:00: 0.9910
2024-08-05 23:00: 0.9910
2024-08-06 06:00: 0.9910
2024-08-06 13:00: 0.9910
2024-08-06 20:00: 0.9915
2024-08-07 03:00: 0.9910
2024-08-07 10:00: 0.9895
2024-08-07 17:00: 0.9930
2024-08-08 00:00: 0.9930
2024-08-08 07:00: 0.9930
2024-08-08 14:00: 0.9925
2024-08-08 21:00: 0.9925
2024-08-09 04:00: 0.9925
2024-08-09 11:00: 0.9925
2024-08-09 18:00: 0.9925
2024-08-10 01:00: 0.9925
2024-08-10 08:00: 0.9925
2024-08-10 15:00: 0.9925
2024-08-10 22:00: 0.9930
2024-08-11 05:00: 0.9920
2024-08-11 12:00: 0.9920
2024-08-11 19:00: 0.9930
2024-08-12 02:00: 0.9930
2024-08-12 09:00: 0.9925
2024-08-12 16:00: 0.9925
2024-08-12 23:00: 0.9925
2024-08-13 06:00: 0.9925
2024-08-13 13:00: 0.9940
2024-08-13 20:00: 0.9940
2024-08-14 03:00: 0.9940
2024-08-14 10:00: 0.9940
2024-08-14 17:00: 0.9940
2024-08-15 00:00: 0.9940
2024-08-15 07:00: 0.9940
2024-08-15 14:00: 0.9940
2024-08-15 21:00: 0.9940
2024-08-16 04:00: 0.9930
2024-08-16 11:00: 0.9930
2024-08-16 18:00: 0.9930
2024-08-17 01:00: 0.9930
2024-08-17 08:00: 0.9930
2024-08-17 15:00: 0.9930
2024-08-17 22:00: 0.9930
2024-08-18 05:00: 0.9930
2024-08-18 12:00: 0.9930
2024-08-18 19:00: 0.9930
2024-08-19 02:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 4125.76, Sell volume: 3634.54, Average price: 0.8919, Price range: 0.0042 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501014
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49392.804242
Price History:
2024-08-20 10:00: 0.0065
2024-08-20 17:00: 0.0055
2024-08-21 00:00: 0.0060
2024-08-21 07:00: 0.0060
2024-08-21 14:00: 0.0060
2024-08-21 21:00: 0.0060
2024-08-22 04:00: 0.0060
2024-08-22 11:00: 0.0060
2024-08-22 18:00: 0.0060
2024-08-23 01:00: 0.0060
2024-08-23 08:00: 0.0060
2024-08-23 15:00: 0.0060
2024-08-23 22:00: 0.0060
2024-08-24 05:00: 0.0060
2024-08-24 12:00: 0.0060
2024-08-24 19:00: 0.0055
2024-08-25 02:00: 0.0060
2024-08-25 09:00: 0.0060
2024-08-25 16:00: 0.0060
2024-08-25 23:00: 0.0060
2024-08-26 06:00: 0.0060
2024-08-26 13:00: 0.0060
2024-08-26 20:00: 0.0060
2024-08-27 03:00: 0.0060
2024-08-27 10:00: 0.0060
2024-08-27 17:00: 0.0060
2024-08-28 00:00: 0.0060
2024-08-28 07:00: 0.0055
2024-08-28 14:00: 0.0060
2024-08-28 21:00: 0.0060
2024-08-29 04:00: 0.0060
2024-08-29 11:00: 0.0060
2024-08-29 18:00: 0.0060
2024-08-30 01:00: 0.0060
2024-08-30 08:00: 0.0060
2024-08-30 15:00: 0.0060
2024-08-30 22:00: 0.0060
2024-08-31 05:00: 0.0060
2024-08-31 12:00: 0.0060
2024-08-31 19:00: 0.0060
2024-09-01 02:00: 0.0060
2024-09-01 09:00: 0.0060
2024-09-01 16:00: 0.0060
2024-09-01 23:00: 0.0060
2024-09-02 06:00: 0.0060
2024-09-02 13:00: 0.0060
2024-09-02 20:00: 0.0060
2024-09-03 03:00: 0.0060
2024-09-03 10:00: 0.0060
2024-09-03 17:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 800.55, Sell volume: 962.75, Average price: 0.9322, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501014
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49392.804242
Price History:
2024-09-05 00:00: 0.9940
2024-09-05 07:00: 0.9940
2024-09-05 14:00: 0.9940
2024-09-05 21:00: 0.9940
2024-09-06 04:00: 0.9945
2024-09-06 11:00: 0.9950
2024-09-06 18:00: 0.9950
2024-09-07 01:00: 0.9950
2024-09-07 08:00: 0.9950
2024-09-07 15:00: 0.9965
2024-09-07 22:00: 0.9965
2024-09-08 05:00: 0.9965
2024-09-08 12:00: 0.9965
2024-09-08 19:00: 0.9965
2024-09-09 02:00: 0.9970
2024-09-09 09:00: 0.9970
2024-09-09 16:00: 0.9970
2024-09-09 23:00: 0.9970
2024-09-10 06:00: 0.9970
2024-09-10 13:00: 0.9970
2024-09-10 20:00: 0.9970
2024-09-11 03:00: 0.9970
2024-09-11 10:00: 0.9970
2024-09-11 17:00: 0.9970
2024-09-12 00:00: 0.9970
2024-09-12 07:00: 0.9970
2024-09-12 14:00: 0.9970
2024-09-12 21:00: 0.9970
2024-09-13 04:00: 0.9970
2024-09-13 11:00: 0.9970
2024-09-13 18:00: 0.9970
2024-09-14 01:00: 0.9970
2024-09-14 08:00: 0.9970
2024-09-14 15:00: 0.9970
2024-09-14 22:00: 0.9975
2024-09-15 05:00: 0.9975
2024-09-15 12:00: 0.9975
2024-09-15 19:00: 0.9975
2024-09-16 02:00: 0.9975
2024-09-16 09:00: 0.9975
2024-09-16 16:00: 0.9975
2024-09-16 23:00: 0.9975
2024-09-17 06:00: 0.9975
2024-09-17 13:00: 0.9975
2024-09-17 20:00: 0.9975
2024-09-18 03:00: 0.9975
2024-09-18 10:00: 0.9975
2024-09-18 17:00: 0.9975
2024-09-19 00:00: 0.9975
2024-09-19 07:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1942.16, Sell volume: 2636.45, Average price: 0.5454, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501014
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49392.804242
Price History:
2024-09-20 15:00: 0.0025
2024-09-20 22:00: 0.0025
2024-09-21 05:00: 0.0025
2024-09-21 12:00: 0.0025
2024-09-21 19:00: 0.0025
2024-09-22 02:00: 0.0025
2024-09-22 09:00: 0.0025
2024-09-22 16:00: 0.0025
2024-09-22 23:00: 0.0025
2024-09-23 06:00: 0.0025
2024-09-23 13:00: 0.0025
2024-09-23 20:00: 0.0025
2024-09-24 03:00: 0.0025
2024-09-24 10:00: 0.0025
2024-09-24 17:00: 0.0025
2024-09-25 00:00: 0.0025
2024-09-25 07:00: 0.0025
2024-09-25 14:00: 0.0025
2024-09-25 21:00: 0.0025
2024-09-26 04:00: 0.0025
2024-09-26 11:00: 0.0025
2024-09-26 18:00: 0.0025
2024-09-27 01:00: 0.0025
2024-09-27 08:00: 0.0025
2024-09-27 15:00: 0.0025
2024-09-27 22:00: 0.0025
2024-09-28 05:00: 0.0025
2024-09-28 12:00: 0.0025
2024-09-28 19:00: 0.0025
2024-09-29 02:00: 0.0025
2024-09-29 09:00: 0.0025
2024-09-29 16:00: 0.0025
2024-09-29 23:00: 0.0025
2024-09-30 06:00: 0.0025
2024-09-30 13:00: 0.0025
2024-09-30 20:00: 0.0025
2024-10-01 03:00: 0.0025
2024-10-01 10:00: 0.0025
2024-10-01 17:00: 0.0025
2024-10-02 00:00: 0.0025
2024-10-02 07:00: 0.0025
2024-10-02 13:00: 0.0025
2024-10-02 20:00: 0.0025
2024-10-03 03:00: 0.0025
2024-10-03 10:00: 0.0025
2024-10-03 17:00: 0.0025
2024-10-04 00:00: 0.0015
2024-10-04 07:00: 0.0015
2024-10-04 14:00: 0.0015
2024-10-04 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 202, Buy volume: 6629.40, Sell volume: 4505.54, Average price: 0.9634, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501014
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49392.804242
Price History:
2024-10-06 04:00: 0.9980
2024-10-06 11:00: 0.9980
2024-10-06 18:00: 0.9980
2024-10-07 01:00: 0.9980
2024-10-07 08:00: 0.9980
2024-10-07 15:00: 0.9980
2024-10-07 22:00: 0.9980
2024-10-08 05:00: 0.9980
2024-10-08 12:00: 0.9980
2024-10-08 19:00: 0.9980
2024-10-09 02:00: 0.9980
2024-10-09 09:00: 0.9980
2024-10-09 16:00: 0.9980
2024-10-09 23:00: 0.9980
2024-10-10 06:00: 0.9980
2024-10-10 13:00: 0.9980
2024-10-10 20:00: 0.9980
2024-10-11 03:00: 0.9980
2024-10-11 10:00: 0.9980
2024-10-11 17:00: 0.9980
2024-10-12 00:00: 0.9980
2024-10-12 07:00: 0.9980
2024-10-12 14:00: 0.9980
2024-10-12 21:00: 0.9980
2024-10-13 04:00: 0.9980
2024-10-13 11:00: 0.9985
2024-10-13 18:00: 0.9985
2024-10-14 01:00: 0.9985
2024-10-14 08:00: 0.9985
2024-10-14 15:00: 0.9980
2024-10-14 22:00: 0.9980
2024-10-15 05:00: 0.9980
2024-10-15 12:00: 0.9980
2024-10-15 19:00: 0.9980
2024-10-16 02:00: 0.9980
2024-10-16 09:00: 0.9980
2024-10-16 16:00: 0.9980
2024-10-16 23:00: 0.9980
2024-10-17 06:00: 0.9980
2024-10-17 13:00: 0.9980
2024-10-17 20:00: 0.9980
2024-10-18 03:00: 0.9980
2024-10-18 10:00: 0.9980
2024-10-18 17:00: 0.9980
2024-10-19 00:00: 0.9980
2024-10-19 07:00: 0.9980
2024-10-19 14:00: 0.9980
2024-10-19 21:00: 0.9980
2024-10-20 04:00: 0.9980
2024-10-20 11:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 1621.52, Sell volume: 1032.24, Average price: 0.7749, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501014
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49392.804242
Price History:
2024-10-21 19:00: 0.0020
2024-10-22 02:00: 0.0020
2024-10-22 09:00: 0.0020
2024-10-22 16:00: 0.0020
2024-10-22 23:00: 0.0020
2024-10-23 06:00: 0.0020
2024-10-23 13:00: 0.0020
2024-10-23 20:00: 0.0015
2024-10-24 03:00: 0.0015
2024-10-24 10:00: 0.0015
2024-10-24 17:00: 0.0015
2024-10-25 00:00: 0.0015
2024-10-25 07:00: 0.0015
2024-10-25 14:00: 0.0015
2024-10-25 21:00: 0.0015
2024-10-26 04:00: 0.0015
2024-10-26 11:00: 0.0015
2024-10-26 18:00: 0.0015
2024-10-27 01:00: 0.0015
2024-10-27 08:00: 0.0015
2024-10-27 15:00: 0.0015
2024-10-27 22:00: 0.0015
2024-10-28 05:00: 0.0015
2024-10-28 12:00: 0.0015
2024-10-28 19:00: 0.0015
2024-10-29 02:00: 0.0015
2024-10-29 09:00: 0.0015
2024-10-29 16:00: 0.0015
2024-10-29 23:00: 0.0025
2024-10-30 06:00: 0.0025
2024-10-30 13:00: 0.0025
2024-10-30 20:00: 0.0025
2024-10-31 03:00: 0.0025
2024-10-31 10:00: 0.0025
2024-10-31 17:00: 0.0025
2024-11-01 00:00: 0.0025
2024-11-01 07:00: 0.0025
2024-11-01 14:00: 0.0025
2024-11-01 21:00: 0.0025
2024-11-02 04:00: 0.0025
2024-11-02 11:00: 0.0025
2024-11-02 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-03 01:00: 0.0025
2024-11-03 07:00: 0.0025
2024-11-03 14:00: 0.0025
2024-11-03 21:00: 0.0025
2024-11-04 04:00: 0.0025
2024-11-04 11:00: 0.0025
2024-11-04 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-05 01:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 238, Buy volume: 6760.39, Sell volume: 13278.34, Average price: 0.8268, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 501014
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Volume: 49392.804242
Price History:
2024-04-17 12:00: 0.5000
2024-04-18 00:00: 0.0135
2024-04-18 12:00: 0.0135
2024-04-19 00:00: 0.0135
2024-04-19 12:00: 0.0135
2024-04-20 00:00: 0.0135
2024-04-20 12:00: 0.0115
2024-04-21 00:00: 0.0125
2024-04-21 12:00: 0.0125
2024-04-22 00:00: 0.0125
2024-04-22 12:00: 0.0125
2024-04-23 00:00: 0.0125
2024-04-23 12:00: 0.0125
2024-04-24 00:00: 0.0125
2024-04-24 12:00: 0.0125
2024-04-25 00:00: 0.0125
2024-04-25 12:00: 0.0125
2024-04-26 00:00: 0.0125
2024-04-26 12:00: 0.0125
2024-04-27 00:00: 0.0125
2024-04-27 12:00: 0.0125
2024-04-28 00:00: 0.0125
2024-04-28 12:00: 0.0125
2024-04-29 00:00: 0.0125
2024-04-29 12:00: 0.0125
2024-04-30 00:00: 0.0145
2024-04-30 12:00: 0.0145
2024-05-01 00:00: 0.0140
2024-05-01 12:00: 0.0120
2024-05-02 01:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 639, Buy volume: 22656.13, Sell volume: 26736.22, Average price: 0.8712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes