Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.7900
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.2100
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.7900
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.2300
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.7900
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.2050
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.7850
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.2200
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.7800
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.2100
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.7900
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.2150
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.7850
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.2250
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.2250
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.2250
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.7900
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.2100
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.2100
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.2100
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.2150
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.7850
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.2100
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.2100
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.7900
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.2100
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.7950
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.2050
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.2050
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.2050
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.2050
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.2050
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.7950
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.7900
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.7850
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.2150
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.7950
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.2000, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.2000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.1950
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.1950
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.7900
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.2150
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.7850
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.7850
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.2150
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.2150
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.2150
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.7850
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.7550
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.2450
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.2150
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.7950
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.2200
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.2150
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.7800
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.2150
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.2100
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2100
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.2100
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.7900
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.7800
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.2200
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.7800
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.2200
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.7900
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.2100
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.7900
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.7400
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.8000
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.8000
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.2000
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.8000
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.2050
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.8000
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.1950
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.8050
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.1950
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.2000
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 101.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8060, Price range: 0.7900 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.2250
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.7750
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.2250
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.2750
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.7200
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.2600
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.7150
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.2900
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.2850
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.7150
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.2850
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.7200
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.2800
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.7200
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.2800
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.7200
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.2850
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.7150
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.2850
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.7150
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.2850
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.2700
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.2650
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.7350
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.7550
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.2450
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.7550
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.2450
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.7550
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.2450
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.7550
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 241.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5532, Price range: 0.2659 - 0.7300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.2600
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.7350
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.2650
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.2650
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.7300
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.2700
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.7350
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.2650
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.7350
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.2650
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.7350
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.2700
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.7350
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.2650
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.7700
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.2450
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.7400
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.2600
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.7400
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.2650
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.7350
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.2650
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.7300
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.2700
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.7350
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.2650
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.7350
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.2700
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.7300
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.2700
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.7350
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.2700
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.7300
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.2650
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.2650
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.7350
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.1950
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.8050
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.2150
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.7850
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.2150
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.7850
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.2150
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.1350
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.8650
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.1400
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.8600
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 865.47, Sell volume: 925.47, Average price: 0.3191, Price range: 0.0021 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9960
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0040
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0045
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 38.00, Sell volume: 695.83, Average price: 0.1837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9975

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.3600
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.3900
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.3800
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.6200
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.3500
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.7000
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.3350
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.6550
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.6700
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.6700
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.3300
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.3200
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.6700
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.6700
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.6700
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 60.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7145, Price range: 0.7100 - 0.7191
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.6800
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.3250
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.3250
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.6750
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.6800
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.6800
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.3200
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.6800
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.3300
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.6700
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.6700
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.6700
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.6750
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.3250
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.6750
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.3250
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.6750
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.3250
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.6800
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.3200
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.6800
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 3173.24, Sell volume: 2089.26, Average price: 0.3945, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.6800
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.3100
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.6900
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.6900
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.3100
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.3100
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.3200
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.6900
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.3100
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.6950
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.6950
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.6950
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.3050
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.6950
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.6950
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.6900
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.6900
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.3050
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.6950
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.3050
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 3173.24, Sell volume: 2089.26, Average price: 0.3945, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.6800
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 3173.24, Sell volume: 2089.26, Average price: 0.3945, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.6850
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.3050
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.6950
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.6950
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.3050
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.6950
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.6950
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.2600
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.2150
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.2150
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.7900
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.7900
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 51.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7100, Price range: 0.7100 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.2050
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.2050
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.2000
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.8050
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.1950
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.1950
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.8050
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.8050
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.8100
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.1900
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.8100
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.1900
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.1850
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.1850
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.8150
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.8150
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 110.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2000, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.2000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.8150
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.1850
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.8150
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.1950
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.1950
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.1950
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 118.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2100, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.2100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.8050
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.8050
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.8050
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.1950
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.1950
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.1950
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.1950
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.1950
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.1950
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.1950
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.1950
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.8050
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.1950
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.8050
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.8050
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.8050
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 200.46, Sell volume: 16.00, Average price: 0.6874, Price range: 0.2168 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.7900
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.7900
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.7900
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.7800
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.2200
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.7900
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.2100
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.7850
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.2250
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.7900
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.7900
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.2100
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.7850
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.2100
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.7900
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.2050
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.7950
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.2050
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.2050
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.2050
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.7900
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.7850
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.2000, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.2000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.1950
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.2100
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.7850
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.7850
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.2150
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.7850
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.7550
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.7850
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.2200
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.7700
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.2100
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2100
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.2100
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.2200
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.7800
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.7900
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.7900
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.2000
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.2000
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.7950
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.1950
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.8050
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.1950
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 101.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8060, Price range: 0.7900 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.7750
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.2250
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.2800
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.7400
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.2900
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.2850
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.2800
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.7200
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.2800
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.7200
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.7150
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.7300
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.2650
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.7600
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.2450
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.7550
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.2450
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.7550
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 241.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5532, Price range: 0.2659 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.2600
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.7350
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.2650
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.7300
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.2650
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.7350
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.2650
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.7300
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.2650
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.7700
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.2600
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.7400
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.2650
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.7350
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.2700
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.7350
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.2650
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.7300
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.2700
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.7350
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.2700
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.2650
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.8050
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.2150
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.7850
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.2150
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.1350
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.8650
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 865.47, Sell volume: 925.47, Average price: 0.3191, Price range: 0.0021 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0040
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9960
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0045
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 38.00, Sell volume: 695.83, Average price: 0.1837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9975
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.5050
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.5100
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.6950
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.3200
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.6800
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.6750
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.6800
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.6800
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.6900
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.7100
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.2350
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.2950
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.2900
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.2750
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.2500
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.8100
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.8250
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.1300
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.8700
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.1300
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.8700
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.1300
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.8700
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.1300
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.8700
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.1300
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.8700
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.1200
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.8800
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.1150
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.8850
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.1250
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.1250
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.1300
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.1300
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.1300
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.8700
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.8700
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.8700
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.1300
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.1300
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.8600
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.1400
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.1400
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.1400
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.1400
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.1400
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.2300
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 215.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4003, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.7640

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.2450
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.7700
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.2050
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.7550
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.2000
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.8050
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.7550
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.2400
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.2450
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.7550
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.2400
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.7550
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.2200
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.2350
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.2350
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.7750
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.7750
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.2250
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.7800
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.7800
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.7750
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.2150
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.7850
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.2150
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.7900
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.2100
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.7850
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.1950
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.7900
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.2100
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.7900
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.2100
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.7800
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.8200
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.2200
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.2200
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.7800
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.7800
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.7900
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.7900
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.2200
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.7800
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.2200
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.7800
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.7800
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.7800
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.7800
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.7800
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.7800
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.7700, Price range: 0.7700 - 0.7700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.2200
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.2150
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.8000
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.7900
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3307.52, Sell volume: 2020.34, Average price: 0.3555, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.2150
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.7850
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.2150
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.2100
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.2100
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.7950
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.7950
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.2050
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.2050
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.7950
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.2050
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.7950
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.2150
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.7850
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3307.52, Sell volume: 2020.34, Average price: 0.3555, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.7800
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.2200
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.7800
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.2200
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.7800
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.2200
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.7800
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.7800
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.7800
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.2200
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.7800
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.2150
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.2150
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.2150
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.2150
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.2150
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.2150
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.2150
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.7850
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.7850
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.2150
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 88.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7950, Price range: 0.7900 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.2250
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.2250
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.7750
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.7750
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.7750
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.2250
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.2250
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.2250
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.2250
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.7750
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.2250
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.7750
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.7750
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.7750
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.7750
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.7750
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.2250
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.7750
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.2250
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.2250
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.7750
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.7750
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.7750
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.2250
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.7750
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.2250
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.7750
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.7750
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.2250
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.2250
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.7750
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.2250
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.2250
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.2250
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.7750
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.7750
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.2150
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.2100
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.2100
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.2100
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.7900
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.7900
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3307.52, Sell volume: 2020.34, Average price: 0.3555, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.2100
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.7900
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.2100
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.7900
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.7900
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.7900
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.2100
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.7900
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.2100
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.7900
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.2100
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.7900
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.2100
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.7900
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.2100
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.7900
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.7900
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.7900
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 6.17, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.8100 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.2050
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.7950
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.2050
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.2050
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.2050
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.7950
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.2050
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.7950
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.2050
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.7950
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.2050
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.7950
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.2050
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.7950
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.2050
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.7950
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.2050
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.7950
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.2050
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.7950
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.7950
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.7950
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.2050
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.7950
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.2050
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.7950
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.2050
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.7950
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.2050
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.2050
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.2050
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.2050
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3307.52, Sell volume: 2020.34, Average price: 0.3555, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.7950
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.7950
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.2050
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.7950
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.2050
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.7950
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.2050
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.7950
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.2050
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.2050
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.7950
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.7950
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.2050
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.2050
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.2050
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.2050
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.7950
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.2050
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.2050
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.7950
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.2050
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.7950
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.2050
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.2050
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.2050
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.7950
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.2050
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.7950
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.7950
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.7950
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.2050
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.2050
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.7950
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3307.52, Sell volume: 2020.34, Average price: 0.3555, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.1900
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.8100
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.1900
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.8100
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.1900
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.8100
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.8100
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.8100
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.1900
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.8100
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.1900
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.8100
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.1900
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.1900
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.1900
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.8100
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.1900
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.8100
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.8350
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.1650
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.8350
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0415
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9340
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0630
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9340
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0660
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0655
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9435
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9700
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0215
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9405
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9475
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9395
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0705
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9320
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9310
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0705
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9310
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0705
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0705
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9310
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 114.00, Sell volume: 100.79, Average price: 0.6066, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9180
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0810
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9190
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0815
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9190
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0815
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8870
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.1130
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.8855
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.1250
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.8790
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.1255
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.8745
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.1255
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.8745
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.1255
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.8745
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.1305
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.8705
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.1295
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.8705
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.1295
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.8735
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.1260
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.8740
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.1260
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.8740
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.1260
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.8700
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.1305
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.8725
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.1275
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.8725
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.1280
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.8720
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.1280
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.8720
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.1275
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.8720
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.1310
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.8695
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.1305
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.8690
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.1310
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.8690
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.1305
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.8690
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.1310
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.8690
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 486.17, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.6685, Price range: 0.0981 - 0.8590

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.8765
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.1235
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.8760
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.1240
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.8760
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.1245
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.8835
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.1160
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.8895
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.1060
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.8955
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.1035
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.8960
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.1040
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.8930
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.1200
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.8800
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.1195
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.8885
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.1150
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.8855
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.1165
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.8880
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.1100
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.8880
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.1080
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.8880
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.1105
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.8830
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.1150
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.8850
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.1150
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.8850
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0900
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.8960
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.1080
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.8920
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.1065
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9380
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0615
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9380
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0585
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9410
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0605
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9410
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0610
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9385
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0585
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 777.94, Sell volume: 986.29, Average price: 0.2002, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 47.42, Sell volume: 408.13, Average price: 0.2509, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.4900
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.3050
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.6800
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.3200
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.3200
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.7100
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.2300
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.6950
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.2500
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.1750
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.8700
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.1300
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.1300
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.1300
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.8700
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.1300
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.8800
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.1150
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.8750
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.1300
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.1300
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.1300
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.1300
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.1300
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.8500
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.8600
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.1400
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.8600
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 215.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4003, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.7640
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.2450
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.2300
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.8000
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.8050
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.7600
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.7550
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.2400
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.7500
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.7600
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.7750
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.7750
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.2200
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.7750
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.7850
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.7850
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.2100
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.8050
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.2100
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.7900
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.2100
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.2200
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.2200
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.2200
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.2100
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.2200
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.7800
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.2200
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.7800
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.2200
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.7700, Price range: 0.7700 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.2200
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.2000
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.7900
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.7900
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.7900
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3307.52, Sell volume: 2020.34, Average price: 0.3555, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.7850
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.2150
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.7900
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.7950
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.2050
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.7950
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.2050
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.7850
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3307.52, Sell volume: 2020.34, Average price: 0.3555, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.7800
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.2200
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.7800
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.2200
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.2200
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.2200
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.2200
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.2150
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.2150
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.2150
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.2150
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.7850
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.2150
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 88.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7950, Price range: 0.7900 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.7750
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.7750
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.7750
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.7750
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.2250
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.7750
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.2250
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.7750
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.2250
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.2250
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.7750
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.2250
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.7750
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.2250
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.7750
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.2250
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.7750
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.7750
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.2250
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.2250
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.7750
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.2250
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.2250
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.2150
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.2100
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.2100
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3307.52, Sell volume: 2020.34, Average price: 0.3555, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.2100
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.7900
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.2100
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.7900
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.7900
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.2100
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.7900
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.2100
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.7900
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 6.17, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.8100 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.7950
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.2050
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.7950
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.2050
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.7950
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.2050
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.7950
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.2050
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.7950
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.2050
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.7950
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.2050
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.7950
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.7950
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.2050
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.7950
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.2050
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.7950
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.2050
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.7950
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3307.52, Sell volume: 2020.34, Average price: 0.3555, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.7950
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.7950
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.2050
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.7950
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.7950
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.2050
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.7950
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.2050
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.7950
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.2050
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.7950
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.2050
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.7950
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.2050
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.7950
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.2050
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.7950
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.7950
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3307.52, Sell volume: 2020.34, Average price: 0.3555, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.1900
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.8100
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.1900
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.8100
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.1900
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.8100
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.1900
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.1900
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.1900
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.8100
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.1900
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.1650
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.8500
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9585
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0630
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9345
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0615
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9700
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0595
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0525
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0705
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0690
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0705
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9295
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 114.00, Sell volume: 100.79, Average price: 0.6066, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9180
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0810
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9190
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0815
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.8870
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.1145
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.8790
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.1260
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.8745
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.1255
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.8695
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.1295
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.8705
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.1270
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.8740
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.1260
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.8740
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.8725
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.1275
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.8720
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.1280
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.8725
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.1280
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.8695
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.1305
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.8690
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.1305
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.8690
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.1310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 486.17, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.6685, Price range: 0.0981 - 0.8590
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.8765
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.1235
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.8760
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.1245
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.8840
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.1105
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.8955
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.1060
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.8965
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.1200
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.8805
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.1115
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.8855
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.1085
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.8875
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.1080
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.8895
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.1170
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.8850
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.1150
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9080
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.1080
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.8935
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0620
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0610
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9420
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0605
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9390
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 777.94, Sell volume: 986.29, Average price: 0.2002, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600452
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5327.860836
Price History:
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 47.42, Sell volume: 408.13, Average price: 0.2509, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.4800
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.5200
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.5200
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.4800
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.5800
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.4200
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9350
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.0650
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.8500
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 2133.17, Sell volume: 640.05, Average price: 0.7155, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.2100
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.7900
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.1900
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.8100
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.8100
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.1900
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.8150
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.1850
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.8200
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 61.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.8100 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.1750
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.8250
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.1750
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.8000
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.2000
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.2050
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.7950
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.7650
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 127.00, Sell volume: 566.10, Average price: 0.4370, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8051

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.7600
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.2400
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.7450
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.7250
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.2750
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.2750
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.7250
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 211.85, Sell volume: 268.56, Average price: 0.4809, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.7300
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.2700
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.2700
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.7300
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2800, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.2800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 4741.17, Sell volume: 250.06, Average price: 0.6623, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9986

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 4741.17, Sell volume: 250.06, Average price: 0.6623, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9986

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 4741.17, Sell volume: 250.06, Average price: 0.6623, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9986

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 4741.17, Sell volume: 250.06, Average price: 0.6623, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9986

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 4741.17, Sell volume: 250.06, Average price: 0.6623, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9986

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 4741.17, Sell volume: 250.06, Average price: 0.6623, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9986

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 4741.17, Sell volume: 250.06, Average price: 0.6623, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9986

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 4741.17, Sell volume: 250.06, Average price: 0.6623, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9986

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.4800
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.5200
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.5200
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.4800
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.5800
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.4200
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9350
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.0650
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.8500
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 2133.17, Sell volume: 640.05, Average price: 0.7155, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.2100
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.7900
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.1900
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.8100
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.8100
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.1900
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.8150
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.1850
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.8200
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 61.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.8100 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.1750
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.8250
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.1750
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.8000
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.2000
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.2050
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.7950
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.7650
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 127.00, Sell volume: 566.10, Average price: 0.4370, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8051
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.7600
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.2400
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.7450
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.7250
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.2750
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.2750
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.7250
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 211.85, Sell volume: 268.56, Average price: 0.4809, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.7300
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.2700
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.2700
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.7300
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2800, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.2800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 4741.17, Sell volume: 250.06, Average price: 0.6623, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9986
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 4741.17, Sell volume: 250.06, Average price: 0.6623, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9986
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 4741.17, Sell volume: 250.06, Average price: 0.6623, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9986
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 4741.17, Sell volume: 250.06, Average price: 0.6623, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9986
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 4741.17, Sell volume: 250.06, Average price: 0.6623, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9986
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 4741.17, Sell volume: 250.06, Average price: 0.6623, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9986
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 4741.17, Sell volume: 250.06, Average price: 0.6623, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9986
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575702
Question: Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?
Volume: 9253.181751
Price History:
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 4741.17, Sell volume: 250.06, Average price: 0.6623, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9986
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.8850
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.1150
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 52.52, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.7820, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 17662.80, Sell volume: 4122.60, Average price: 0.6489, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9600
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0400
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9600
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0400
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9600
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 624.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.1100
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9000
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9050
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 653.55, Sell volume: 188.92, Average price: 0.6230, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9725
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0275
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 6419.76, Sell volume: 3797.81, Average price: 0.6041, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 964.67, Sell volume: 2561.51, Average price: 0.1929, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 964.67, Sell volume: 2561.51, Average price: 0.1929, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 964.67, Sell volume: 2561.51, Average price: 0.1929, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 964.67, Sell volume: 2561.51, Average price: 0.1929, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 964.67, Sell volume: 2561.51, Average price: 0.1929, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 964.67, Sell volume: 2561.51, Average price: 0.1929, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 964.67, Sell volume: 2561.51, Average price: 0.1929, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 964.67, Sell volume: 2561.51, Average price: 0.1929, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.8850
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.1150
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 52.52, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.7820, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 17662.80, Sell volume: 4122.60, Average price: 0.6489, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9600
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0400
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9600
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0400
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9600
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 624.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.1100
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9000
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9050
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 653.55, Sell volume: 188.92, Average price: 0.6230, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9725
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0275
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 6419.76, Sell volume: 3797.81, Average price: 0.6041, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 964.67, Sell volume: 2561.51, Average price: 0.1929, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 964.67, Sell volume: 2561.51, Average price: 0.1929, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 964.67, Sell volume: 2561.51, Average price: 0.1929, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 964.67, Sell volume: 2561.51, Average price: 0.1929, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 964.67, Sell volume: 2561.51, Average price: 0.1929, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 964.67, Sell volume: 2561.51, Average price: 0.1929, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 964.67, Sell volume: 2561.51, Average price: 0.1929, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687508
Question: Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Volume: 21785.400337
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 964.67, Sell volume: 2561.51, Average price: 0.1929, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687510
Question: Will between 55-59 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14682.865088
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.1000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687510
Question: Will between 55-59 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14682.865088
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0390
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9610
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0385
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9615
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0380
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9620
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0325
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9675
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0315
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 152, Buy volume: 8177.50, Sell volume: 6505.37, Average price: 0.7223, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687510
Question: Will between 55-59 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14682.865088
Price History:
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0295
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9705
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0225
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9775
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9910
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 234.28, Sell volume: 286.61, Average price: 0.4451, Price range: 0.0029 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687510
Question: Will between 55-59 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14682.865088
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0265
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9735
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0265
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9735
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0130
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9870
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 282.33, Sell volume: 25.14, Average price: 0.7689, Price range: 0.0067 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687510
Question: Will between 55-59 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14682.865088
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 3484.53, Sell volume: 5971.34, Average price: 0.6552, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687510
Question: Will between 55-59 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14682.865088
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 8.37, Sell volume: 51.60, Average price: 0.2012, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687510
Question: Will between 55-59 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14682.865088
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 8.37, Sell volume: 51.60, Average price: 0.2012, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687510
Question: Will between 55-59 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14682.865088
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 8.37, Sell volume: 51.60, Average price: 0.2012, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687510
Question: Will between 55-59 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14682.865088
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 8.37, Sell volume: 51.60, Average price: 0.2012, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes