Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630790
Question: Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3744.283695
Price History:
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 100.85, Average price: 0.9333, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630790
Question: Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3744.283695
Price History:
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.06, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9350, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630790
Question: Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3744.283695
Price History:
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 106.38, Sell volume: 106.38, Average price: 0.9350, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630790
Question: Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3744.283695
Price History:
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 2497.91, Sell volume: 1246.37, Average price: 0.8878, Price range: 0.0583 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630790
Question: Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3744.283695
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.64, Sell volume: 10.63, Average price: 0.9350, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630790
Question: Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3744.283695
Price History:
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 2497.91, Sell volume: 1246.37, Average price: 0.8878, Price range: 0.0583 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630790
Question: Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3744.283695
Price History:
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 2497.91, Sell volume: 1246.37, Average price: 0.8878, Price range: 0.0583 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630790
Question: Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3744.283695
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630790
Question: Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3744.283695
Price History:
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 510.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630790
Question: Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3744.283695
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 11.06, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630790
Question: Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3744.283695
Price History:
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.2000
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.2000
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0450
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0450
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1652.73, Sell volume: 776.35, Average price: 0.8615, Price range: 0.0583 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630790
Question: Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3744.283695
Price History:
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630790
Question: Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3744.283695
Price History:
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 4.97, Sell volume: 210.00, Average price: 0.9380, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630790
Question: Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3744.283695
Price History:
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 100.85, Average price: 0.9333, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630790
Question: Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3744.283695
Price History:
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.06, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9350, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630790
Question: Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3744.283695
Price History:
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 106.38, Sell volume: 106.38, Average price: 0.9350, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630790
Question: Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3744.283695
Price History:
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 2497.91, Sell volume: 1246.37, Average price: 0.8878, Price range: 0.0583 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630790
Question: Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3744.283695
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.64, Sell volume: 10.63, Average price: 0.9350, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630790
Question: Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3744.283695
Price History:
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 2497.91, Sell volume: 1246.37, Average price: 0.8878, Price range: 0.0583 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630790
Question: Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3744.283695
Price History:
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 2497.91, Sell volume: 1246.37, Average price: 0.8878, Price range: 0.0583 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630790
Question: Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3744.283695
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630790
Question: Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3744.283695
Price History:
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 510.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630790
Question: Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3744.283695
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 11.06, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.7000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.7000
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.7000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0450
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0450
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0450
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 927.00, Sell volume: 180.00, Average price: 0.6392, Price range: 0.0576 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 201.24, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.6467, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1548.24, Sell volume: 262.00, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0576 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 42.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1548.24, Sell volume: 262.00, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0576 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1548.24, Sell volume: 262.00, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0576 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1548.24, Sell volume: 262.00, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0576 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1548.24, Sell volume: 262.00, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0576 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1548.24, Sell volume: 262.00, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0576 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1548.24, Sell volume: 262.00, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0576 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1548.24, Sell volume: 262.00, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0576 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 420.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.7000
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.7000
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0450
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0450
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 927.00, Sell volume: 180.00, Average price: 0.6392, Price range: 0.0576 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 201.24, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.6467, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1548.24, Sell volume: 262.00, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0576 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 42.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1548.24, Sell volume: 262.00, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0576 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1548.24, Sell volume: 262.00, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0576 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1548.24, Sell volume: 262.00, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0576 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1548.24, Sell volume: 262.00, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0576 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1548.24, Sell volume: 262.00, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0576 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1548.24, Sell volume: 262.00, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0576 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1548.24, Sell volume: 262.00, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0576 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 420.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630791
Question: Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1810.244666
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.0800
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.0800
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.0800
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0800
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0950
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.1050
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.1000
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.1150
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.1300
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.1200
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.1200
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.1200
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.1200
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.1150
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.1150
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.1150
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.1150
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.1150
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.1150
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.1150
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.1150
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.1150
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.1150
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.1150
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.1150
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.1150
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.1150
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.1150
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.1150
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.1150
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.1150
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.1150
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.1050
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.1000
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.1000
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.1000
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.1000
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.1000
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.1000
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.1050
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.1000
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.1000
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.1000
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.1000
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.1050
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 1260.21, Sell volume: 293.60, Average price: 0.6074, Price range: 0.0805 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.8950
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.8950
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.8950
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.8950
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.8950
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9550
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9550
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.9395
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.9390
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.9555
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.9540
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.9535
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.9545
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.9535
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.9535
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9535
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.9535
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.9540
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9545
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9540
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9535
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9540
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9540
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9545
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9545
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9550
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9540
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9540
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9545
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9545
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9545
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9540
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9550
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9545
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9545
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9545
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9545
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9550
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9545
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 408.20, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.6914, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9687

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0455
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0450
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0450
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0460
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0460
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0460
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0475
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0460
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0455
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0460
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0465
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0465
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0465
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0465
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.0460
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0455
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0460
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0470
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0475
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0460
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0460
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0465
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0470
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0470
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0460
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0485
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0495
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0485
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0495
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0475
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0485
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0490
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0500
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0520
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0500
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0525
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0510
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0510
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0460
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0460
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0465
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0460
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0470
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0440
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0445
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0435
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0435
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.0440
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0445
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 188.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8530, Price range: 0.0587 - 0.9680

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9560
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9545
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.9445
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9420
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9425
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9465
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.9495
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.9515
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9530
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.9550
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.9545
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9530
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.9470
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.9425
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.9480
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.9445
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.9420
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.9420
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9420
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.9425
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9430
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9420
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.9420
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.9485
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.9435
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9420
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.9435
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.9420
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9420
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.9420
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.9430
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9475
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.9475
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.9445
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.9430
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9435
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9420
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.9430
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9440
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9420
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.9440
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9425
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9420
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9430
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.9420
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.9435
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.9420
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.9425
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.9425
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.9530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 667.55, Sell volume: 46.00, Average price: 0.7967, Price range: 0.0586 - 0.9450

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0555
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0555
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.0555
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0555
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.0555
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0550
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0555
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.0580
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.0505
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.0455
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.0455
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.0450
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0450
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.0455
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0580
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0570
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.0570
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.0570
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0445
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0445
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0445
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.0455
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0330
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0335
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0455
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.0450
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0450
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0475
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.1290
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.1810
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.1500
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0100
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0055
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0055
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0125
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0155
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0090
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0100
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.0055
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 471, Buy volume: 30240.67, Sell volume: 15946.60, Average price: 0.9032, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.9970
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.9970
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.9965
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.9965
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.9970
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.9970
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9970
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.9970
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.9970
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.9970
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.9955
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.9955
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.9955
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.9955
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.9955
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.9955
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9955
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.9955
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.9955
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.9965
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.9965
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.9965
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.9965
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.9965
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.9965
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.9965
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.9965
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.9965
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.9965
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9965
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.9965
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9965
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.9965
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.9965
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.9965
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.9965
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.9965
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.9965
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.9965
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9965
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 1772.34, Sell volume: 1475.78, Average price: 0.9071, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0040
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0040
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.0040
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0040
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 181.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6673, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.9965
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.9965
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.9965
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.9955
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.9965
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.9965
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.9965
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.9965
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.9965
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.9960
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.9965
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.9965
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.9970
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.9975
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9975
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.9975
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.9970
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.9970
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.9970
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.9955
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.9960
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.9965
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.9960
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.9950
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.9960
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.9965
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.9965
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.9965
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.9970
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.9940
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.9970
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9940
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.9950
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.9960
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.9965
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.9965
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.9965
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.9965
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.9965
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.0035
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9965
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0035
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 2300.83, Sell volume: 335.58, Average price: 0.9123, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0035
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.0035
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.0035
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0035
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.9965
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.9965
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.9965
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9965
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9965
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9965
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0035
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.0035
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.9965
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.9965
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9965
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9965
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0035
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.0035
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.9965
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0035
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9965
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.9965
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9965
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 713, Buy volume: 41526.08, Sell volume: 18219.16, Average price: 0.8566, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.0040
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.9960
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.9960
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9960
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.9960
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.9960
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.9960
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.9960
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.9960
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.9960
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.0040
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0040
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.9960
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9960
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9960
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.0040
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.9960
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.0040
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.0040
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0040
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.0050
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.0050
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.0050
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.0050
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.9950
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.0050
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.0050
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0050
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.9950
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.0050
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.9950
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.9950
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9950
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0050
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.9950
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0050
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9950
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0050
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9950
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.0050
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.0050
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9950
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9950
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0050
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0050
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9950
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0050
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9950
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0050
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 13.33, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9955
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9955
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9950
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0045
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9950
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9950
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0045
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0045
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9935
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9935
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0065
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0065
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0065
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9935
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9935
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0065
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9935
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9935
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0065
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0065
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9935
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9935
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0065
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0065
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0065
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0065
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0065
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0065
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0065
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9935
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9935
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9935
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9935
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9935
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.9935, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.0800
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.9200
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.0800
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.8950
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.1050
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.8850
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.1200
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.8800
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.1150
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.8850
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.1150
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.8850
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.1150
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.8850
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.1150
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.8850
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.1150
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.8850
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.1150
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.8850
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.1000
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9000
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.1000
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.9000
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.1000
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.8950
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.8950
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.1050
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 1260.21, Sell volume: 293.60, Average price: 0.6074, Price range: 0.0805 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.8950
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.1050
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.8950
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.1050
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9550
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0610
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.9390
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0460
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.9540
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0460
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9535
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0455
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9545
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0455
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9540
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0460
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9545
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0455
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0455
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9540
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0455
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9545
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0465
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9545
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0460
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9550
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0455
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9550
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 408.20, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.6914, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9687
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0455
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9550
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0455
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.9540
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0455
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.9545
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0460
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.9535
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0465
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.9540
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0470
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9530
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0460
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.9530
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0480
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.9505
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0495
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.9490
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0485
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9490
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0500
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9465
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0460
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.9540
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0460
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.9560
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0440
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.9560
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0435
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 188.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8530, Price range: 0.0587 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9560
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.0535
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.9425
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0535
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9480
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0465
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.9545
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0530
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.9420
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0580
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.9420
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0570
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9435
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0565
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9450
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0575
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9420
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0580
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.9420
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0560
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.9430
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0570
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9435
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0580
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.9440
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0580
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.9430
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.0580
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.9440
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.0455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 667.55, Sell volume: 46.00, Average price: 0.7967, Price range: 0.0586 - 0.9450
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0555
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.9445
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0545
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.9450
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0585
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.9545
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.0455
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.9545
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0580
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.9430
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.0570
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.9560
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0455
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.9670
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0450
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.9545
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0480
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.8230
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0195
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.9940
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0055
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.9945
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0045
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.9900
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0075
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.9960
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 471, Buy volume: 30240.67, Sell volume: 15946.60, Average price: 0.9032, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.9970
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.0045
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.9965
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.0030
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.9970
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0030
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0030
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.9970
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.0030
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.9955
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0045
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9955
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0045
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.9965
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.9965
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.9965
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.9965
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.9965
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.9965
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0035
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 1772.34, Sell volume: 1475.78, Average price: 0.9071, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9960
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9960
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0040
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.9960
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.9960
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.9960
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.9960
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.9965
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.9965
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.9965
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.9965
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.9965
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.9965
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.9965
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 181.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6673, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.9965
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.9965
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.9965
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.9960
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.0035
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.9965
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0025
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.9975
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.0030
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.9970
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.0040
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.0040
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.9960
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.9960
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0050
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9940
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.0025
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.9965
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.9965
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9965
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.9965
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.9965
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 2300.83, Sell volume: 335.58, Average price: 0.9123, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544090
Question: Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Volume: 59745.242346
Price History:
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0035
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.9965
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.9965
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0035
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.9965
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.0035
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.9965
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.0035
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.0035
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0035
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.9965
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9965
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.9965
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0035
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.9965
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.9965
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.9965
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 713, Buy volume: 41526.08, Sell volume: 18219.16, Average price: 0.8566, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes