Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527835
Question: Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 achieve a sucessful splashdown?
Volume: 26850.31143
Price History:
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.5250
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.4750
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.5250
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.4750
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.6300
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.3550
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.6500
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.3750
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.6050
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.6450
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.7150
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.2850
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.5800
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.4200
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.4800
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.4700
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.4600
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.5300
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.4800
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.3650
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.7000
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.3900
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.7000
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.3050
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.6100
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.3850
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.5100
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.4750
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.6850
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 181, Buy volume: 8710.59, Sell volume: 1484.68, Average price: 0.5198, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.2000
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.8000
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2000
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.8000
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.1200
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.8800
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.1200
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.8800
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.1200
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.8800
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.1200
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.8800
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.1200
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.8800
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.1200
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.8800
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.1150
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.8850
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.1150
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.8850
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.1150
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.8850
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.1150
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.8850
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.1150
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2200, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.2200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.1500
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.8500
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.1550
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.8450
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.1400
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.8600
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.1750
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.8250
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.1350
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.8650
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.1450
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.8550
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.1500
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.8500
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.1500
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.8500
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.1450
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.8550
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.1450
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.8550
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.1700
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.8300
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.1700
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.8300
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.1700
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.8300
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.1700
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.8300
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.1700
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.8300
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.1700
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.8300
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1700
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.8300
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.1700
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.8300
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.8950
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.1100
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.8900
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.1100
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.8900
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0850
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 503.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5075, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0850
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9150
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0850
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9150
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0850
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9150
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0700
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0700
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0700
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0700
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 101.11, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.2946, Price range: 0.0506 - 0.9476

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0700
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9300
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9250
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.1300
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.8700
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.1350
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.8650
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.1350
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.8650
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.1350
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.8650
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.1350
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.8650
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.1350
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.8650
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.1350
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.8650
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.1250
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.8750
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.1250
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.8750
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.1250
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.8750
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.1250
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.8750
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.1250
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.8750
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.8900
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.1150
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.8850
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.8900
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.1150
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.8850
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.1150
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.8850
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.8800
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.1150
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.8850
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.8800
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.1150
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.8850
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.1150
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 639.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5425, Price range: 0.0902 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.1250
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.8750
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.4350
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.5650
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.4350
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.5650
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.4350
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.5650
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.5250
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.4750
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.5250
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.4750
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.5350
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.4650
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.5350
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.4650
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.5200
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.4800
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.5200
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.4800
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.5200
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.4800
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.5200
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.4800
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.5000
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.5000
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.4800
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.5200
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.4600
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.5400
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.4400
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.5600
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.4300
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.5700
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.4100
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.5900
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.3950
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.6050
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.3800
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.6200
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.3250
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.6750
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.3100
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.6900
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.3050
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 463.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8550, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.3300
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.6700
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.3100
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.6900
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.3150
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.6850
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.1600
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.8400
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.3300
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.6700
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.3100
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.6900
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.3150
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.6850
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.3100
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.6900
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.3200
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.6800
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.3050
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.6950
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.3100
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.6900
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.3000
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.7000
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.3200
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.6800
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.3000
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.7000
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.3150
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.6850
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.3100
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.6900
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.3300
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.6700
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.2950
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.7050
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.3000
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.7000
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.3150
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.6850
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.3100
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.6900
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.3200
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.6800
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.3300
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.6700
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.2950
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.7050
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.3200
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 7.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9471, Price range: 0.9471 - 0.9471

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.2550
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.7450
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.2450
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.7550
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.2700
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.7300
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.2250
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.7750
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.2450
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.7550
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.2650
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.7350
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.2550
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.7450
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.2400
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.7600
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.2250
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.7750
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.2150
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.7850
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.4700
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.5300
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.4450
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.5550
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.4300
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.5700
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.4050
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.5950
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.3800
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.6200
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.3650
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.6350
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.3400
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.6600
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.3300
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.6700
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.3100
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.6900
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.4150
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.5850
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.3850
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.6150
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.1250
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.8750
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.1100
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 292.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7725, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.1950
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.8050
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.2900
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.7100
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.2150
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.7850
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.2100
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.7900
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.2150
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.7850
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.2100
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.7900
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.4700
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.5300
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.4550
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.5450
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.4350
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.5650
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.4050
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.5950
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.2450
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.7550
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.3300
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.6700
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.2200
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.7800
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.1050
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.8950
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.9250
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0700
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.9300
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.0850
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.9150
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.0665
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.9335
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0670
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.9330
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.0320
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.9680
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0285
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.9715
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0280
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 3735.21, Sell volume: 748.76, Average price: 0.3849, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.1800
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.8200
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.1700
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.8300
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.2050
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.7950
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0530
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.9470
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.0500
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.9500
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.9550
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.0570
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.9430
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.0570
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.9430
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.0575
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.9425
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.0570
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.9430
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.0560
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.9440
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.0560
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.9440
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.0565
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.9435
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.0550
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.9450
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0280
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.9720
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0355
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.9645
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0340
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.9660
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0330
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.9670
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.0330
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.9670
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.0330
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.9670
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0330
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.9670
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.0260
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.9740
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.0285
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.9715
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0285
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.9715
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0260
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2120.32, Sell volume: 1183.85, Average price: 0.2949, Price range: 0.0111 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.0145
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.9855
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0155
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.9845
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.9840
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0155
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.9845
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0155
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.9845
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0150
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9850
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0165
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.9835
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.0160
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.9840
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0160
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.9840
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0160
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.9840
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0110
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.9890
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0115
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.9885
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.0095
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.9905
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0080
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.9920
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.0075
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.9925
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.0070
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.9930
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0040
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.9960
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.9955
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.9955
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.9955
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.9955
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0055
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.9945
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.0045
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.9955
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.9950
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 3854.57, Sell volume: 19.09, Average price: 0.5049, Price range: 0.0068 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0040
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.9960
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.9960
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.9955
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.9955
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.9960
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.9960
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9960
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9960
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.9960
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.9960
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.9955
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9960
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.9960
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9955
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.9955
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.9955
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.9955
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.9960
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.9955
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.9960
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.9955
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9955
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.9955
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.0030
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.9970
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 155.50, Sell volume: 4.99, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.0030
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9970
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0030
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.9970
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0030
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9970
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0030
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.9970
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.0030
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9970
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0030
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9970
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0030
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9970
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.0030
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.9970
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0030
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9970
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0020
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.9980
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0020
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.9980
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.0020
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.9980
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0020
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.9980
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.0020
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9980
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.0020
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.9980
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0020
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.9980
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.0020
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 2229.92, Average price: 0.4995, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 12926.50, Sell volume: 4266.61, Average price: 0.4934, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.2000
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2000
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.1200
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.1200
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.1200
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.1200
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.1200
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.1200
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.1150
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.1150
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.1150
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.1150
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.1150
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.1150
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.1150
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.1150
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.1150
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2200, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.2200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.1500
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.1550
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.1400
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.1750
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.1350
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.1450
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.1500
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.1500
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.1450
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.1450
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.1700
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.1700
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.1700
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.1700
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.1700
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.1700
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1700
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.1700
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.1100
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.1100
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0850
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0850
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0850
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0850
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0850
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 503.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5075, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0850
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0850
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0850
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0700
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0700
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0700
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0700
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 101.11, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.2946, Price range: 0.0506 - 0.9476
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0700
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.1300
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.1350
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.1350
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.1350
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.1350
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.1350
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.1350
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.1250
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.1250
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.1250
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.1250
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.1250
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.1150
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.1150
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.1150
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.1150
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.1200
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.1150
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.1150
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.1150
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.1150
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.1150
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.1200
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 639.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5425, Price range: 0.0902 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.1250
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.4350
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.4350
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.4350
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.5250
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.5250
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.5350
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.5350
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.5200
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.5200
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.5200
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.5200
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.5000
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.4800
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.4600
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.4400
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.4300
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.4100
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.3950
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.3800
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.3250
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.3100
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.3050
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.4700
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.4550
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.4350
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.4200
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 463.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8550, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.3300
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.3100
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.3150
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.1600
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.3300
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.3100
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.3150
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.3100
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.3200
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.3050
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.3100
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.3000
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.3200
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.3000
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.3150
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.3100
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.3300
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.2950
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.3000
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.3150
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.3100
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.3200
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.3300
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.2950
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.3200
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.3000
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.3000
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.2800
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.3350
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 7.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9471, Price range: 0.9471 - 0.9471
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.2550
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.2450
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.2700
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.2250
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.2450
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.2650
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.2550
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.2400
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.2250
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.2150
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.4700
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.4450
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.4300
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.4050
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.3800
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.3650
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.3400
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.3300
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.3100
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.4150
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.3850
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.1250
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.1100
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.1050
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.1000
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.1050
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.1850
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 292.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7725, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.1950
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.2900
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.2150
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.2100
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.2150
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.2100
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.4700
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.4550
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.4350
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.4050
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.2450
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.3300
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.2200
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.1050
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0700
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.0850
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.0665
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0670
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.0320
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0285
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0280
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.0280
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.0280
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.0445
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.0075
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 3735.21, Sell volume: 748.76, Average price: 0.3849, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.1800
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.1700
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.2050
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0530
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.0500
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.0570
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.0570
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.0575
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.0570
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.0560
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.0560
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.0565
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.0550
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0280
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0355
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0340
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0330
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.0330
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.0330
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0330
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.0260
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.0285
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0285
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0260
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.0225
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0200
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.0195
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.0195
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2120.32, Sell volume: 1183.85, Average price: 0.2949, Price range: 0.0111 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.0145
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0155
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0155
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0155
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0150
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0165
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.0160
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0160
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0160
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0110
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0115
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.0095
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0080
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.0075
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.0070
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0040
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0055
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.0045
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0055
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 3854.57, Sell volume: 19.09, Average price: 0.5049, Price range: 0.0068 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.0030
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0020
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.0020
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 155.50, Sell volume: 4.99, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.0030
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0030
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0030
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0030
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.0030
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0030
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0030
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.0030
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0030
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0020
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0020
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.0020
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0020
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.0020
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.0020
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0020
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.0020
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.0020
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0020
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0020
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.0020
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 2229.92, Average price: 0.4995, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541060
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?
Volume: 17193.10528
Price History:
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 12926.50, Sell volume: 4266.61, Average price: 0.4934, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.5500
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.4500
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.5650
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.4350
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.5650
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.4350
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.6000
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.4000
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.6000
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.4000
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.6000
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.4000
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.6000
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.4000
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.6000
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.4000
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.6000
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.4000
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.6000
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.4000
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.6000
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.4000
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.6000
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.4000
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 712.62, Sell volume: 10.19, Average price: 0.4774, Price range: 0.2046 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.4650
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.4650
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.4650
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.4650
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.4650
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.4650
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.4650
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.5350
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.4650
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.5350
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.4650
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.5350
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.4650
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.5350
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.4650
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.4850
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.4850
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.3700
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.6300
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.3700
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.6300
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.3650
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.6350
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.3600
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.6400
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.3750
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.6250
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.4250
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5750
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.4050
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.5950
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.3850
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.6150
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.4250
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5750
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.4600
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.5400
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.3950
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 43432.52, Sell volume: 42660.46, Average price: 0.4810, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.6600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.5350
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.4650
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.5450
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.4550
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.5550
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.4450
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.5450
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.4550
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.5450
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.4550
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.4500
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.5400
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.4600
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.5450
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.4550
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.5450
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.4550
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.5450
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.4550
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.5450
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.4550
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.5400
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.4600
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.5450
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.4550
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.6550
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.3450
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.5700
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.4300
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.5700
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.4300
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.5700
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.4300
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.5700
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.4300
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.5700
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.4300
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5700
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.4300
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5700
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 89.48, Sell volume: 541.66, Average price: 0.4757, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.5800
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.4200
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.5800
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.4200
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.5850
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.4150
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.4250
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.5750
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.4250
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.5750
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.4250
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.5750
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.4250
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.5750
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.4250
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.5750
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.4250
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.5850
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.4150
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.5850
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.4150
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.5800
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.4200
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.5800
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.4200
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.5800
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.4200
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.5800
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.4200
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.5800
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.4200
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.5800
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.4200
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.5800
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 3884.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5774, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.5850
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.4150
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.5850
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.4150
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.5850
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.4150
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.5850
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.4150
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.5850
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.4150
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.5850
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.4150
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.6750
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.3250
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.7150
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.2850
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.7150
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.2850
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.6750
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.3250
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.7250
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.2750
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.7200
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.2800
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.7300
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.2700
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.7150
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.2850
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.6850
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.3150
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.6850
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.3150
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.6850
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.3150
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.6850
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.3150
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.6700
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.3300
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.7200
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.2800
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.7200
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.2800
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.7300
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.2700
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.7150
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.2850
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.6800
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 6124.56, Sell volume: 302.07, Average price: 0.4558, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.6850
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.3150
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.7050
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.2950
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.6900
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.3100
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.6850
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.3150
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.7050
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.2950
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.7050
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.2950
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.7050
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.2950
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.7050
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.2950
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.7050
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.2950
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.7050
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.2950
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.8250
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.1750
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.8250
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.1750
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.8200
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.1800
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.7450
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.2550
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.8550
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.1450
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.7850
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.2150
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.7950
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.2050
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.7850
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.2150
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.7950
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.2050
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.7850
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.2150
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.7700
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.7750
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.2250
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.7750
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.2250
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.7750
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.2250
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.7950
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 412.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5125, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.7900
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.2100
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.7900
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.2100
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.8400
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.1600
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.8250
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.1750
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.8250
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.1750
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.8250
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.1750
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.8250
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.1750
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.8250
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.1750
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.2150
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.8350
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.1650
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.8200
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.1800
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.8200
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.1800
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.8250
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.1750
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.8150
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.1850
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.8350
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.1650
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.8250
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.1750
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.8250
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.1750
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.8250
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.1750
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.8250
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.1750
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.8250
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.1750
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.8300
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.1700
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.8300
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.1700
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.8400
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.1600
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.8400
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.1600
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.8300
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.17, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2400, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.2400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.8650
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.1350
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.8650
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.1350
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.8100
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.1900
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.8100
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.1900
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.8150
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.1850
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.8100
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.1900
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.8550
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.1450
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.8500
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.1500
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.8550
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.1450
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.8550
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.1450
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.8200
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.1800
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.8200
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.1800
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.8200
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.1800
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.7850
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.2150
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.7800
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.2200
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.7800
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.2200
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.7800
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.2200
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.7800
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.2200
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.7700
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.2300
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.7700
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.2300
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.8450
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.1550
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.8450
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.1550
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.8450
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.1550
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.8450
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.1550
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.8650
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 398.19, Sell volume: 572.88, Average price: 0.5692, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.8000
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.2000
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.7650
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.2350
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.7650
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.2350
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.7650
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.2350
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.7650
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.2350
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.7300
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.2700
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.7300
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.2700
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.7050
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.2950
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.7850
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.2150
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.7800
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.2200
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.7650
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.2350
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.7900
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.2100
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.7650
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.2350
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.7600
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.2400
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.7550
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.2450
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.7550
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.2450
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.7550
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.2450
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.7550
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.2450
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.7550
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.2450
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.7550
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.2450
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.7550
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.2450
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.7600
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.2400
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.7600
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.2400
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.7600
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 182.23, Sell volume: 1708.51, Average price: 0.6209, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7570

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.6850
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.3150
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.6950
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.3050
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.6800
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.3200
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.6600
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.3400
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.6600
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.3400
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.6600
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.3400
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.6500
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.3500
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.6450
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.3550
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.6400
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.3600
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.4450
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.5550
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.4700
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.5300
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.4700
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.5300
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.4750
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.5250
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.4700
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.5300
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.4700
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.5300
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.4650
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.5350
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.4850
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.5150
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.4950
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.5050
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.4900
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.5100
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.4900
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.5100
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.4650
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.5350
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.4650
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.5350
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.4650
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.5350
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.4650
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.5350
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.4700
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 559.92, Sell volume: 1049.99, Average price: 0.5633, Price range: 0.3535 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.5350
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.4650
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.5350
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.4650
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.5000
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.5000
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.5100
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.4900
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.5100
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.4900
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.5100
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.4900
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.5150
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.4850
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.5150
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.4850
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.5150
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.4850
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.5150
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.4850
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.5200
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.4800
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.5250
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.4750
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.5300
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.4700
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.5350
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.4650
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.6400
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.3600
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.6300
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.3700
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.6600
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.3400
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.6400
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.3600
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.6600
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.3400
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.6650
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.3350
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.6850
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.3150
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.7000
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.3000
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.7000
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.3000
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.7000
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.3000
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.7000
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2942.77, Sell volume: 394.55, Average price: 0.6257, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.7400
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.2600
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.7400
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.2600
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.7550
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.2450
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.7550
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.2450
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.7600
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.2400
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.7700
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.7700
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.7700
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.7700
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.7450
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.2550
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.7400
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.2600
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.7400
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.2600
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.7300
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.2700
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.7300
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.2700
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.7250
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.2750
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.7300
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.2700
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.7350
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.2650
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.7400
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.2600
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.7350
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.2650
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.7350
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.2650
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.7400
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.2600
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.7350
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.2650
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.7200
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 912.05, Sell volume: 1397.50, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.7350
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.2650
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.7400
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.2600
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.7350
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.2650
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.7350
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.2650
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.7500
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.7500
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.7800
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.2200
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.7850
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.2150
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.7850
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.2150
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.7850
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.2150
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9000
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.1000
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.8550
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.1450
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.8300
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.1700
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.8350
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.1650
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.8350
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.1650
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.8650
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.1350
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.8650
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.1350
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.8950
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.1050
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.8500
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.1500
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.8150
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 4506.32, Sell volume: 822.81, Average price: 0.5856, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9438

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.5650
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.4350
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.6000
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.4000
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.6000
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.4000
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.6000
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.4000
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.6800
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.3650
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.5500
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.4500
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 712.62, Sell volume: 10.19, Average price: 0.4774, Price range: 0.2046 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.4650
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.4650
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.5350
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.4650
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.5350
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.4650
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.6300
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.3650
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.6400
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.3750
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5750
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.3850
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5750
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.3950
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.6100
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.5200
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.4750
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.5100
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.5100
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.5000
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.5550
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.4800
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.4900
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.4750
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 43432.52, Sell volume: 42660.46, Average price: 0.4810, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.5350
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.4550
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.5450
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.4550
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.5400
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.4550
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.5450
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.4550
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.5450
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.3450
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.5700
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.4300
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.5700
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.4300
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5700
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.4150
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5850
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.4200
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.5800
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.4200
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5800
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.4200
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.5800
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.4400
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.5650
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 89.48, Sell volume: 541.66, Average price: 0.4757, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.5800
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.5850
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.4250
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.5750
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.4250
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.5750
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.4150
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.5800
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.4200
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.5800
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.4200
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.5800
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.4200
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.5850
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.4200
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.5850
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.4150
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.5850
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.4150
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.5850
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.4150
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.5850
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.4150
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.5850
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 3884.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5774, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.5850
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.4150
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.5850
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.4150
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.6750
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.2850
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.6750
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.2750
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.7200
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.2700
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.6850
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.3150
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.6850
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.3300
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.7200
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.2700
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.6800
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.2650
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.7350
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.2750
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.6850
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.2950
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.7100
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.3300
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.6850
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.2950
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.7050
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.3300
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.6850
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 6124.56, Sell volume: 302.07, Average price: 0.4558, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.6850
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.2950
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.6850
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.2950
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.7050
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.2950
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.7050
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.1750
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.8200
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.2550
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.7850
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.2050
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.7950
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.2150
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.7750
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.2250
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.7950
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.2150
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.7850
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.2350
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.7300
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.2650
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.7350
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.2600
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.7750
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.7600
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.2700
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.7650
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 412.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5125, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.7900
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.2100
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.8250
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.1750
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.8250
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.1750
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.8350
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.1800
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.8250
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.1850
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.8250
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.1750
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.8250
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.1750
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.8300
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.1600
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.8300
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.1450
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.8250
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.1800
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.8250
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.1750
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.8250
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.1750
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.8400
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.1950
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.7950
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.1350
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.8550
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.17, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2400, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.2400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.8650
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.1350
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.8100
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.1850
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.8550
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.1500
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.8550
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.1800
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.8200
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.2150
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.7800
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.2200
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.7700
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.2300
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.8450
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.1550
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.8650
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.1800
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.8150
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.1850
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.7350
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.2650
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.7150
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.2850
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.7450
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.2450
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.7850
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 398.19, Sell volume: 572.88, Average price: 0.5692, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.8000
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.2350
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.7650
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.2350
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.7300
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.2700
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.7850
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.2200
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.7900
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.2350
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.7550
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.2450
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.7550
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.2450
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.7550
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.2400
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.7600
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.2450
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.7450
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.2550
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.7250
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.2650
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.7300
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.2700
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.6900
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.3150
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.6900
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.3050
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.6950
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 182.23, Sell volume: 1708.51, Average price: 0.6209, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7570
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.6850
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.3050
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.6600
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.3400
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.6500
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.3550
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.4450
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.5300
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.4750
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.5300
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.4650
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.5150
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.4900
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.5100
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.4650
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.5350
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.4700
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.5350
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.4700
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.5500
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.4550
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.6200
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.5000
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.5050
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.4750
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.4900
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.5100
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 559.92, Sell volume: 1049.99, Average price: 0.5633, Price range: 0.3535 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.5350
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.4650
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.5100
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.4900
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.5150
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.4850
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.5150
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.4800
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.5300
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.4650
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.6300
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.3400
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.6600
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.3350
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.7000
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.3000
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.7000
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.3050
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.7050
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.2950
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.7100
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.2650
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.7400
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.2600
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.7350
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.2600
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.8200
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.1800
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.7200
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2942.77, Sell volume: 394.55, Average price: 0.6257, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.2600
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.2450
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.7600
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.7700
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.7400
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.2600
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.7300
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.2750
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.7350
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.2600
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.7350
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.2600
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.7200
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.2800
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.7450
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.2550
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.7450
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.6450
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.4500
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.6800
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.3000
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.7250
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 912.05, Sell volume: 1397.50, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541061
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?
Volume: 122738.106719
Price History:
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.7350
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.2600
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.7350
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.7500
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.7500
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.7850
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.2150
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9000
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.1450
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.8350
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.1650
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.8650
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.1050
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.8150
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.1900
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.7900
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.2050
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.9200
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0800
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.8700
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.1300
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.8750
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.1150
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.8950
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.1050
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9200
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 4506.32, Sell volume: 822.81, Average price: 0.5856, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9438
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.5750
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.2800
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.7050
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.3050
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.6850
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.2950
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.7100
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.2950
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.7150
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.2850
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.7150
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.2850
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.7150
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.2850
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.7150
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.2850
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.7150
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.2850
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.7150
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.2850
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.7150
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.2850
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.7150
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.2850
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.7150
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.2850
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.7150
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.2850
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.7150
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.2850
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.7150
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.2900
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.7100
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.2900
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.7100
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.2900
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.7100
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.2900
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.7100
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.2900
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.7100
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.2900
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.7100
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.2900
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.7100
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.2900
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.7100
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.2900
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.6950
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 677164475.14, Sell volume: 90051382.10, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.6950
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.3050
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.6950
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.3050
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.6950
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.3150
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.6850
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.3150
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.6850
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.3150
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.6750
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.3300
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.6700
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.3300
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.6700
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.3300
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.6600
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.3450
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.6550
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.3450
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.6550
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.3450
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.6650
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.3350
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.6600
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.3450
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.6550
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.3450
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.6550
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.3400
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.6600
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.3400
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.6600
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.3400
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.6600
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.3400
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.6600
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.3400
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.6600
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.3400
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.6600
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.3400
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.6600
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.3400
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.6600
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.3400
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.6600
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.3400
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.6600
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 677164475.14, Sell volume: 90051382.10, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.6600
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.3400
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.6600
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.3400
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.6600
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.3400
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.6550
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.3450
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.6550
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.3450
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.6550
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.3450
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.6550
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.3450
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.6550
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.3450
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.6550
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.3450
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.6550
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.3450
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.6550
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.3450
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.6550
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.3450
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.6550
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.3450
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.6550
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.3450
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.6550
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.3450
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.6550
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.3450
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.6550
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.3450
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.6550
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.3450
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.6600
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.3400
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.6800
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.3250
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.6750
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.3250
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.6800
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.3200
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.6800
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.3200
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.6800
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.3200
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.6800
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 677164475.14, Sell volume: 90051382.10, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.6800
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.3200
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.6800
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.3200
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.6800
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.3200
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.6800
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.3200
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.6850
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.3200
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.6800
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.3200
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.6900
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.3200
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.6900
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.3050
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.6900
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.3100
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.6900
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.3100
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.6950
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.3050
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.6900
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.3100
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.6950
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.3050
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.6950
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.3050
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.6950
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.3050
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.6950
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.3050
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.6950
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.3050
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.6950
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.3050
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.6950
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.3050
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.6950
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.3050
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.6950
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.3050
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.7050
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.2950
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.7050
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.2950
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.7050
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.3000
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.7000
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 677164475.14, Sell volume: 90051382.10, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.6950
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.3050
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.6950
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.3050
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.6950
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.2950
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.7050
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.3050
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.6950
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.3050
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.6950
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.2950
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.7050
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.2950
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.7050
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.2950
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.7050
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.2950
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.7050
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.2900
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.7100
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.2900
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.7100
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.2900
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.7100
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.2900
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.7100
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.2900
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.7100
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.2900
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.7150
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.2750
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.7350
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.2650
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.7250
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.2750
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.7250
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.2750
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.7350
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.2750
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.7250
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.2650
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.7350
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.2750
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.7150
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.2850
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.7150
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.2850
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.7150
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 677164475.14, Sell volume: 90051382.10, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.7250
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.2750
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.7250
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.2750
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.7250
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.2850
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.7150
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.2750
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.7300
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.2700
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.7350
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.2650
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.7400
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.2650
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.7350
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.2650
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.7350
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.2650
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.7350
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.2600
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.7350
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.2650
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.7350
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.2650
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.7350
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.2650
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.7350
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.2600
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.7400
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.2600
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.7400
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.2600
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.7400
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.2600
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.7400
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.2600
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.7400
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.2600
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.7400
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.2550
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.7450
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.2550
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.7450
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.2600
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.7400
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.2550
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.2550
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.7450
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 677164475.14, Sell volume: 90051382.10, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.7450
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.2550
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.7450
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.2550
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.2550
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.7450
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.2550
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.2400
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.7550
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.2450
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.7550
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.2450
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.7600
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.2400
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.7600
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.2400
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.7550
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.2450
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.7550
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.2450
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.7550
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.2450
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.7550
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.7550
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.7550
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.7450
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.7450
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.7450
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.2450
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.7550
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.2450
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.7550
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.2450
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.7550
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.2300
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.7750
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.2200
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.7800
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.2200
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.7750
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 677164475.14, Sell volume: 90051382.10, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.7750
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.2250
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.7750
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.2250
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.7750
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2250
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.7750
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.2300
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.7700
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.7700
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.2250
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.7750
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.7650
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.2350
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.7650
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.2350
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.7600
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2350
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.7700
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2300
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.7750
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.2000
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.8250
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.1800
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.8450
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.1650
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.8350
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.1650
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.8300
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.8450
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.8450
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.8450
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.1450
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.8900
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.1400
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.8550
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.1400
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.8600
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.1350
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.8650
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.1450
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.8550
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.1450
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.8550
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 677164475.14, Sell volume: 90051382.10, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.8550
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.1400
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.8600
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.1600
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.8500
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.1550
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.8450
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.1550
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.8350
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.1550
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.8450
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.8600
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.1400
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.8350
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.2300
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.7350
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.2600
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.7100
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.2200
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.7850
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.2400
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.7550
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.2450
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.2900
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.7100
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.2900
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.2900
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.2750
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.7350
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.7400
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.7350
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.2800
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.7200
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.2800
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.7200
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.2800
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.7200
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.2800
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.2750
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 677164475.14, Sell volume: 90051382.10, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.3250
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.6850
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.2700
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.7800
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.2400
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.2300
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.2400
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.2600
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.7250
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.2750
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.7250
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.2750
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.7250
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.2750
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.7250
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.3000
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.3150
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.3100
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.6850
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.6750
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.3400
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.3750
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.3600
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.3550
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.6400
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.3600
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.6150
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.3950
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.6100
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.3900
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.6050
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.4050
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.6050
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.4300
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.4250
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.5800
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.3800
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.6200
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.6250
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.3950
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.6100
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.3850
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.6050
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.3950
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.3900
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.3900
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.3850
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.3100
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.7550
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 677164475.14, Sell volume: 90051382.10, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.7150
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.7150
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.2750
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.7250
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.2800
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.2850
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.2850
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.2800
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.7150
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.3050
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.6950
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.3150
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.6850
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.6850
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.6600
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.3300
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.6400
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.3850
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.6250
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.6250
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.3850
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.5750
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.5700
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.4200
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.5650
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.4200
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.5700
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.4350
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.5650
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.4150
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.5850
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.3950
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.5950
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.4050
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.6000
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.3950
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.6050
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.4000
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.4000
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.4000
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.5950
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.3950
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.3900
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.6150
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.6150
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.3850
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.6150
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.6150
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.6150
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 677164475.14, Sell volume: 90051382.10, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.6100
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.3850
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.6150
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.3850
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.6150
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.3750
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.3250
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.3450
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.6550
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.3400
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.3300
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.6800
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.3150
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.7000
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.6950
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.6800
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.6800
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.2450
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.7700
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.7800
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.2200
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.2050
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.7950
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.2150
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.7850
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.2150
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.7850
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.7850
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.2150
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.7850
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.7850
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.2150
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.2250
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.8000
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.1850
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 677164475.14, Sell volume: 90051382.10, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.2800
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.2800
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.7200
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.2650
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.2800
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.7100
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.7100
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.7150
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.7200
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.7200
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.2600
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.2400
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.7650
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.7650
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.2250
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.7750
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.7850
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.8150
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.8350
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.8400
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.8500
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.8550
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.1600
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.1650
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.8450
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.1350
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.8550
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.1450
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.8650
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.1350
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.8650
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.8650
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.8700
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.1350
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.8700
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.1300
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.8750
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.8550
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.1350
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.8650
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.1300
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.8650
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.8550
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.1450
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.8650
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.1600
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9880
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0145
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9820
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999897, Buy volume: 676882437.67, Sell volume: 90016546.02, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9903

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.5750
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.2800
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.6950
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.2950
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.7050
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.2850
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.7150
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.2850
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.7150
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.2850
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.7150
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.2850
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.7150
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.2850
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.7150
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.2850
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.7150
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.2850
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.7150
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.2850
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.7100
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.2900
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.7100
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.2900
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.7100
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.2900
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.7100
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.2900
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.7100
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 677164475.14, Sell volume: 90051382.10, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.6950
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.3050
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.6950
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.3150
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.6850
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.3150
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.6750
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.3300
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.6700
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.3300
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.6600
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.3450
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.6550
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.3450
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.6650
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.3350
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.6550
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.3450
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.6600
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.3400
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.6600
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.3400
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.6600
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.3400
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.6600
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.3400
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.6600
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.3400
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.6600
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 677164475.14, Sell volume: 90051382.10, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.6600
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.3400
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.6600
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.3400
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.6550
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.3450
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.6550
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.3450
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.6550
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.3450
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.6550
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.3450
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.6550
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.3450
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.6550
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.3450
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.6550
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.3450
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.6550
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.3450
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.6550
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.3450
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.6550
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.3400
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.6600
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.3250
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.6750
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.3200
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.6800
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 677164475.14, Sell volume: 90051382.10, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.6800
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.3200
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.6800
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.3200
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.6800
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.3150
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.6800
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.3200
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.6900
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.3100
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.6900
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.3100
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.6900
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.3050
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.6900
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.3050
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.6950
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.3050
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.6950
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.3050
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.6950
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.3050
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.6950
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.3050
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.6950
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.3050
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.6950
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.2950
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.7050
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 677164475.14, Sell volume: 90051382.10, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes