Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-20 21:00: 0.0145
2024-11-20 22:00: 0.9815
2024-11-20 22:00: 0.0185
2024-11-20 23:00: 0.9815
2024-11-20 23:00: 0.0185
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.9810
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.0190
2024-11-21 01:00: 0.9805
2024-11-21 01:00: 0.0195
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.9805
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.0195
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.9825
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.0175
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.9825
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.0175
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.9830
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.0170
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.9835
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0165
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.9835
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.0165
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.9830
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.0170
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.9830
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.0170
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.9835
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.0165
2024-11-21 11:00: 0.9830
2024-11-21 11:00: 0.0170
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.9835
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0165
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.9855
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.0145
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.9840
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0160
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.9850
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.0150
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.9835
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.0165
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.9825
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.0175
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.9830
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.0170
2024-11-21 19:00: 0.9825
2024-11-21 19:00: 0.0175
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.9775
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0225
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.9770
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.0230
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 307.24, Sell volume: 3354.64, Average price: 0.9806, Price range: 0.9750 - 0.9850

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.9775
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.0225
2024-11-22 07:00: 0.9775
2024-11-22 07:00: 0.0225
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.9775
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.0225
2024-11-22 09:00: 0.9795
2024-11-22 09:00: 0.0205
2024-11-22 10:00: 0.9785
2024-11-22 10:00: 0.0215
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.9785
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.0215
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.9785
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0215
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.9790
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.0210
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.9785
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.0215
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.9785
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.0215
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.9785
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0215
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.9790
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.0210
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.9780
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.0220
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.9790
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.0210
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.9785
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0215
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.9795
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.0205
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.9790
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.0210
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.9785
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.0215
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.9785
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0215
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.9790
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.0210
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.9790
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0210
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.9790
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.0210
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.9835
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0165
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.9855
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.0145
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.9850
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3289.52, Sell volume: 15.88, Average price: 0.9833, Price range: 0.9750 - 0.9899

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.0075
2024-11-23 15:00: 0.9925
2024-11-23 15:00: 0.0075
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.9925
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.0075
2024-11-23 17:00: 0.9925
2024-11-23 17:00: 0.0075
2024-11-23 18:00: 0.9920
2024-11-23 18:00: 0.0080
2024-11-23 19:00: 0.9925
2024-11-23 19:00: 0.0075
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.9925
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0075
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.9925
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.0075
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.9945
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0055
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.9945
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.9940
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0060
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.9940
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.0060
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.9940
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0060
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.9940
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.0060
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.9945
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.9945
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.9945
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.9945
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.9945
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.9945
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.9945
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.9945
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.9945
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.9945
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.9945
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 56.17, Sell volume: 4400.51, Average price: 0.9941, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-24 23:00: 0.9945
2024-11-24 23:00: 0.0055
2024-11-25 00:00: 0.9945
2024-11-25 00:00: 0.0055
2024-11-25 01:00: 0.9940
2024-11-25 01:00: 0.0060
2024-11-25 02:00: 0.9940
2024-11-25 02:00: 0.0060
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.9890
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.0110
2024-11-25 04:00: 0.9830
2024-11-25 04:00: 0.0170
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.9820
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.0180
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.9800
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.0200
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.9805
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.0195
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.9845
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0155
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.9845
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.0155
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.9860
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.0140
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.9845
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.0155
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.9855
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.0145
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.9855
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.0145
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.9860
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.0140
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.9855
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.0145
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.9860
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.0140
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.9860
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.0140
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.9860
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.0140
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.9855
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.0145
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.9850
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.0150
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.9850
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.0150
2024-11-25 22:00: 0.9855
2024-11-25 22:00: 0.0145
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.9850
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 10867.78, Sell volume: 15157.00, Average price: 0.9458, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.5450
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.5200
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.2900
2024-11-08 20:00: 0.2600
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.2400
2024-11-08 22:00: 0.2850
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.2850
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.3100
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.2850
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.2850
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.2950
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.3100
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.3100
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.2950
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.3000
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.3000
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.3000
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.3000
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.2950
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.2850
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.2850
2024-11-09 14:00: 0.3250
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.3500
2024-11-09 16:00: 0.3550
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.3750
2024-11-09 18:00: 0.3950
2024-11-09 19:00: 0.3700
2024-11-09 20:00: 0.4000
2024-11-09 21:00: 0.4250
2024-11-09 22:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211788, Buy volume: 66013460.63, Sell volume: 3459676.86, Average price: 0.5210, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6326
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-10 01:00: 0.5150
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.4850
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.2500
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.2350
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.2300
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.2600
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.3850
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.5600
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.5650
2024-11-10 10:00: 0.5150
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.5350
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.4200
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.4900
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.3100
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.2900
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.2850
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.3000
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.3150
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.3050
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.2000
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.3650
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.2900
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.3100
2024-11-11 00:00: 0.2750
2024-11-11 01:00: 0.2950
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.3000
2024-11-11 03:00: 0.3050
2024-11-11 04:00: 0.3100
2024-11-11 05:00: 0.2900
2024-11-11 06:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 787301, Buy volume: 128814884.79, Sell volume: 77943295.53, Average price: 0.4916, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8134
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-11 10:00: 0.7150
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.7450
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.7550
2024-11-11 13:00: 0.7150
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.6850
2024-11-11 15:00: 0.7150
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.8450
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.7750
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.7950
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.8050
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.9450
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.8750
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.8800
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.8850
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.9580
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.9050
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.9150
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.9645
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.9435
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.9670
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.9635
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.9600
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.9535
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.9185
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.8995
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.8995
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.9375
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.9260
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.9220
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.9225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 372, Buy volume: 37985.48, Sell volume: 23327.87, Average price: 0.5564, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.0765
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.0715
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.0615
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.0620
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.0910
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.0750
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0750
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.0660
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0635
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.0655
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.0690
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.0690
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.0690
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.0675
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0660
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.0655
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.0660
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.0585
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.0570
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0550
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0550
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.0520
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.0515
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.0420
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0365
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0380
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0400
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0430
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0455
2024-11-13 23:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 213, Buy volume: 13197.51, Sell volume: 13140.93, Average price: 0.7510, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-14 03:00: 0.9745
2024-11-14 04:00: 0.9755
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.9775
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.9780
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.9775
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.9785
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.9780
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.9730
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.9570
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.9665
2024-11-14 13:00: 0.9685
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.9655
2024-11-14 15:00: 0.9725
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.9860
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.9885
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.9875
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.9900
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.9905
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.9920
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.9910
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.9910
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.9910
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.9915
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.9915
2024-11-15 03:00: 0.9910
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.9905
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.9900
2024-11-15 06:00: 0.9905
2024-11-15 07:00: 0.9905
2024-11-15 08:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 23303.48, Sell volume: 3419.61, Average price: 0.7716, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-15 11:00: 0.0095
2024-11-15 12:00: 0.0110
2024-11-15 13:00: 0.0145
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.0140
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.0140
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.0135
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.0140
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.0140
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.0140
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.0140
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.0135
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.0145
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.0145
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.0210
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0190
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.0195
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.0195
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0190
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.0190
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.0175
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.0185
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.0220
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.0220
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.0185
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.0185
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.0175
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0175
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.0175
2024-11-16 15:00: 0.0175
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 645.16, Sell volume: 2067.43, Average price: 0.9480, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-16 20:00: 0.9815
2024-11-16 21:00: 0.9820
2024-11-16 22:00: 0.9815
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.9820
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.9815
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.9820
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.9820
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.9820
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.9830
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.9815
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.9815
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.9815
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.9815
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.9805
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.9820
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.9815
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.9825
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.9825
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.9835
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.9835
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.9835
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.9835
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.9830
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.9825
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.9830
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.9830
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.9830
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.9835
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.9825
2024-11-18 01:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 1761.96, Sell volume: 381.53, Average price: 0.9431, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-18 04:00: 0.0175
2024-11-18 05:00: 0.0175
2024-11-18 06:00: 0.0175
2024-11-18 07:00: 0.0175
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.0175
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.0175
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.0175
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.0175
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.0175
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0175
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.0170
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.0165
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.0165
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.0165
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.0165
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.0165
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0165
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.0165
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.0165
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.0165
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.0175
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.0180
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.0175
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.0190
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.0185
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.0185
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.0185
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.0185
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.0185
2024-11-19 09:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1698.58, Sell volume: 3421.58, Average price: 0.8947, Price range: 0.0167 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.9825
2024-11-19 14:00: 0.9820
2024-11-19 15:00: 0.9820
2024-11-19 16:00: 0.9820
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.9825
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.9825
2024-11-19 19:00: 0.9820
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.9825
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.9825
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.9825
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.9825
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.9825
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.9825
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.9825
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.9825
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.9820
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.9830
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.9825
2024-11-20 07:00: 0.9825
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.9820
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.9830
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.9830
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.9840
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.9830
2024-11-20 13:00: 0.9840
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.9835
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.9830
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.9830
2024-11-20 17:00: 0.9830
2024-11-20 18:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 2930.31, Sell volume: 655.78, Average price: 0.9821, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-20 21:00: 0.0145
2024-11-20 22:00: 0.0185
2024-11-20 23:00: 0.0185
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.0190
2024-11-21 01:00: 0.0195
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.0195
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.0175
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.0175
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.0170
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0165
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.0165
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.0170
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.0170
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.0165
2024-11-21 11:00: 0.0170
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0165
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.0145
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0160
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.0150
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.0165
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.0175
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.0170
2024-11-21 19:00: 0.0175
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0225
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.0230
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.0230
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.0225
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0225
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.0225
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 307.24, Sell volume: 3354.64, Average price: 0.9806, Price range: 0.9750 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.9775
2024-11-22 07:00: 0.9775
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.9775
2024-11-22 09:00: 0.9795
2024-11-22 10:00: 0.9785
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.9785
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.9785
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.9790
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.9785
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.9785
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.9785
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.9790
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.9780
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.9790
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.9785
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.9795
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.9790
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.9785
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.9785
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.9790
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.9790
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.9790
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.9835
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.9855
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.9850
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.9850
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.9850
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.9850
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.9850
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3289.52, Sell volume: 15.88, Average price: 0.9833, Price range: 0.9750 - 0.9899
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.0075
2024-11-23 15:00: 0.0075
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.0075
2024-11-23 17:00: 0.0075
2024-11-23 18:00: 0.0080
2024-11-23 19:00: 0.0075
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0075
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.0075
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0055
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0060
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.0060
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0060
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.0060
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.0060
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.0060
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 56.17, Sell volume: 4400.51, Average price: 0.9941, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-24 23:00: 0.9945
2024-11-25 00:00: 0.9945
2024-11-25 01:00: 0.9940
2024-11-25 02:00: 0.9940
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.9890
2024-11-25 04:00: 0.9830
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.9820
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.9800
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.9805
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.9845
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.9845
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.9860
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.9845
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.9855
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.9855
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.9860
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.9855
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.9860
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.9860
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.9860
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.9855
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.9850
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.9850
2024-11-25 22:00: 0.9855
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.9850
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.9940
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.9940
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.9915
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.9905
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 10867.78, Sell volume: 15157.00, Average price: 0.9458, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.5500
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.4500
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.5400
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.4600
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.4800
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.5200
2024-11-08 20:00: 0.4550
2024-11-08 20:00: 0.5450
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.2800
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.7200
2024-11-08 22:00: 0.3000
2024-11-08 22:00: 0.7000
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.5250
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.4750
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.4350
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.5650
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.3650
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.6350
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.4050
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.5950
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.3800
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.6200
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.3850
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.6150
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.3800
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.6200
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.3650
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.6350
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.3850
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.6150
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.3600
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.6400
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.4850
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.5150
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.4950
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.5050
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.5400
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.4600
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.5200
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.4800
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.4950
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.5050
2024-11-09 14:00: 0.5450
2024-11-09 14:00: 0.4550
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.4750
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.5250
2024-11-09 16:00: 0.4350
2024-11-09 16:00: 0.5650
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.4200
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 391, Buy volume: 29779.49, Sell volume: 4620.57, Average price: 0.5126, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.4200
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.5800
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.2350
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.7650
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.1750
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.8250
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.1650
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.8350
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.1450
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.8550
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.2500
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.7500
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.3050
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.6950
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.3300
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.6700
2024-11-10 10:00: 0.3300
2024-11-10 10:00: 0.6700
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.3150
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.6850
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.1900
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.8100
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.3400
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.6600
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.2150
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.7850
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.2250
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.7750
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.2350
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.7650
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.2800
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.7200
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.2650
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.7350
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.1500
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.8500
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.0950
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.9050
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.0700
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.9300
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.0225
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.9775
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.0075
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.9925
2024-11-11 00:00: 0.0055
2024-11-11 00:00: 0.9945
2024-11-11 01:00: 0.0105
2024-11-11 01:00: 0.9895
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.0150
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 391, Buy volume: 46728.76, Sell volume: 14878.69, Average price: 0.5418, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.0075
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.9925
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.0085
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.9915
2024-11-11 13:00: 0.0135
2024-11-11 13:00: 0.9865
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.0140
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.9860
2024-11-11 15:00: 0.0160
2024-11-11 15:00: 0.9840
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.0150
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.9850
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.0345
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.9655
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.0295
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.9705
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.0235
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.9765
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.0195
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.9805
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.0490
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.9510
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.0605
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.9395
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.0540
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.9460
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.0280
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.9720
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.0315
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.9685
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.0405
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.9595
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.0335
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.9665
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.0385
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.9615
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.0180
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.9820
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.0160
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.9840
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.0150
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.9850
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0240
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.9760
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.0330
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.9670
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.0620
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.9380
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.0635
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.9365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 291, Buy volume: 98416.20, Sell volume: 16348.64, Average price: 0.4629, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.0430
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.9570
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.0440
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.9560
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.0640
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.9360
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.0510
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.9490
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0520
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.9480
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.0540
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.9460
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0565
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.9435
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.0555
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.9445
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.0620
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.9380
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.0585
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.9415
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.0545
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.9455
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.0555
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.9445
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0545
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.9455
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.0540
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.9460
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.0560
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.9440
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.0530
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.9470
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.0540
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.9460
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0535
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.9465
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0585
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.9415
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.0485
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.9515
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.0555
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.9445
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.0420
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.9580
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0225
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9775
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0275
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9725
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0290
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 6234.19, Sell volume: 23315.27, Average price: 0.3589, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.0090
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.9910
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.0105
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.9895
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.0180
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.9820
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.0100
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.9900
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.0095
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.9905
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.0090
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.9910
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.0035
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.9965
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.0085
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.9915
2024-11-14 13:00: 0.0080
2024-11-14 13:00: 0.9920
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.0115
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.9885
2024-11-14 15:00: 0.0095
2024-11-14 15:00: 0.9905
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.0055
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.9945
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.0030
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.9970
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.0035
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.9965
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.0035
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.9965
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.0045
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.9955
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.0045
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.9955
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.0045
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.9955
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.0040
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.9960
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.0035
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.9965
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.0040
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.9960
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.0040
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.9960
2024-11-15 03:00: 0.0030
2024-11-15 03:00: 0.9970
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.0025
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.9975
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.0030
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 9762.08, Sell volume: 28674.82, Average price: 0.5141, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.9985
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.9985
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.9985
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.9985
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.9985
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.9985
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.9985
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.9985
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.0020
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.9980
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 2485.32, Sell volume: 4634.75, Average price: 0.1386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.0035
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.9965
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.0055
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.9945
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.0055
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.9945
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.0040
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.9960
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.0035
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.9965
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0030
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.9970
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.0035
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.9965
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.0035
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.9965
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.0060
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.9940
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.0050
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.9950
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.0030
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.9970
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.0030
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.9970
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.0065
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.9935
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.0065
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.9935
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0065
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.9935
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.0045
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.9955
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.0045
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.9955
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.0045
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.9955
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.0050
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.9950
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.0045
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.9955
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.0045
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.9955
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.0045
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 5683.28, Sell volume: 21626.96, Average price: 0.5734, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.0055
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.9945
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.0055
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.9945
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.0055
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.9945
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.9965
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.9965
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.9965
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.9965
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.9965
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.9965
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.9965
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.9965
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.9965
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.9965
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.9965
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.9965
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.9965
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.9965
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.9965
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.9965
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.9965
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.9965
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.9965
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.9965
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 146.68, Sell volume: 847.62, Average price: 0.5829, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0040
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.9960
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.0040
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.9960
2024-11-19 19:00: 0.0030
2024-11-19 19:00: 0.9970
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.0030
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.9970
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.9965
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.9965
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.9965
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.9965
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.9965
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.9965
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.9965
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.9965
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.9965
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.0030
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.9970
2024-11-20 07:00: 0.0030
2024-11-20 07:00: 0.9970
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.9965
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.9965
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.9965
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.0045
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.9955
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.9960
2024-11-20 13:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 13:00: 0.9960
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.0045
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.9955
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.9965
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.9965
2024-11-20 17:00: 0.0030
2024-11-20 17:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 1094.50, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0050

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.0030
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.9970
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.0030
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.9970
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.0030
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.9970
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 11:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 11:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 19:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 19:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2073.94, Sell volume: 2071.14, Average price: 0.8315, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0045
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.9955
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.0045
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.9955
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.0045
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.9955
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.0040
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.9960
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.9985
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.9985
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.9985
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.9985
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.9985
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.9985
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.0030
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.9970
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 19912.93, Sell volume: 32870.98, Average price: 0.3084, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 4881.32, Sell volume: 1835.12, Average price: 0.0014, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.9985
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.9985
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.9990
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.9990
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 6.36, Sell volume: 99.18, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.5500
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.5400
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.4800
2024-11-08 20:00: 0.4550
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.2800
2024-11-08 22:00: 0.3000
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.5250
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.4350
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.3650
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.4050
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.3800
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.3850
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.3800
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.3650
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.3850
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.3600
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.4850
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.4950
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.5400
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.5200
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.4950
2024-11-09 14:00: 0.5450
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.4750
2024-11-09 16:00: 0.4350
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.4200
2024-11-09 18:00: 0.4250
2024-11-09 19:00: 0.4650
2024-11-09 20:00: 0.4800
2024-11-09 21:00: 0.3950
2024-11-09 22:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 391, Buy volume: 29779.49, Sell volume: 4620.57, Average price: 0.5126, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.4200
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.2350
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.1750
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.1650
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.1450
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.2500
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.3050
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.3300
2024-11-10 10:00: 0.3300
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.3150
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.1900
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.3400
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.2150
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.2250
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.2350
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.2800
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.2650
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.1500
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.0950
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.0700
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.0225
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.0075
2024-11-11 00:00: 0.0055
2024-11-11 01:00: 0.0105
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.0150
2024-11-11 03:00: 0.0170
2024-11-11 04:00: 0.0220
2024-11-11 05:00: 0.0205
2024-11-11 06:00: 0.0205
2024-11-11 07:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 391, Buy volume: 46728.76, Sell volume: 14878.69, Average price: 0.5418, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.0075
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.0085
2024-11-11 13:00: 0.0135
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.0140
2024-11-11 15:00: 0.0160
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.0150
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.0345
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.0295
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.0235
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.0195
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.0490
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.0605
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.0540
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.0280
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.0315
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.0405
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.0335
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.0385
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.0180
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.0160
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.0150
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0240
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.0330
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.0620
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.0635
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.0385
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.0475
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.0650
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.0515
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.0520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 291, Buy volume: 98416.20, Sell volume: 16348.64, Average price: 0.4629, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.0430
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.0440
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.0640
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.0510
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0520
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.0540
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0565
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.0555
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.0620
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.0585
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.0545
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.0555
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0545
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.0540
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.0560
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.0530
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.0540
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0535
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0585
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.0485
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.0555
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.0420
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0225
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0275
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0290
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0325
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0320
2024-11-13 23:00: 0.0315
2024-11-14 00:00: 0.0245
2024-11-14 01:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 6234.19, Sell volume: 23315.27, Average price: 0.3589, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.0090
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.0105
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.0180
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.0100
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.0095
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.0090
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.0035
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.0085
2024-11-14 13:00: 0.0080
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.0115
2024-11-14 15:00: 0.0095
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.0055
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.0030
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.0035
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.0035
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.0045
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.0045
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.0045
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.0040
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.0035
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.0040
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.0040
2024-11-15 03:00: 0.0030
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.0025
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.0030
2024-11-15 06:00: 0.0030
2024-11-15 07:00: 0.0025
2024-11-15 08:00: 0.0025
2024-11-15 09:00: 0.0025
2024-11-15 10:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 9762.08, Sell volume: 28674.82, Average price: 0.5141, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.0020
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 19:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 2485.32, Sell volume: 4634.75, Average price: 0.1386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.0035
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.0055
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.0055
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.0040
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.0035
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0030
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.0035
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.0035
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.0060
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.0050
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.0030
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.0030
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.0065
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.0065
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0065
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.0045
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.0045
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.0045
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.0050
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.0045
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.0045
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.0045
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.0045
2024-11-18 01:00: 0.0050
2024-11-18 02:00: 0.0050
2024-11-18 03:00: 0.0050
2024-11-18 04:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 5683.28, Sell volume: 21626.96, Average price: 0.5734, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.0055
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.0055
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.0055
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 09:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 10:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 11:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.0050
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 146.68, Sell volume: 847.62, Average price: 0.5829, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0040
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.0040
2024-11-19 19:00: 0.0030
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.0030
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.0030
2024-11-20 07:00: 0.0030
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.0045
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 13:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.0045
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 17:00: 0.0030
2024-11-20 18:00: 0.0030
2024-11-20 19:00: 0.0030
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.0025
2024-11-20 21:00: 0.0030
2024-11-20 22:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 1094.50, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0050
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.0030
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.0030
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.0030
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 11:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 19:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.0030
2024-11-22 05:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.0030
2024-11-22 07:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2073.94, Sell volume: 2071.14, Average price: 0.8315, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0045
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.0045
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.0045
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.0040
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.0030
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 19912.93, Sell volume: 32870.98, Average price: 0.3084, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 01:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 4881.32, Sell volume: 1835.12, Average price: 0.0014, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512455
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 397555.116214
Price History:
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 6.36, Sell volume: 99.18, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.1650
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.8350
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.1150
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.8850
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.1600
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.8400
2024-11-08 20:00: 0.1500
2024-11-08 20:00: 0.8500
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.1800
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.8200
2024-11-08 22:00: 0.1300
2024-11-08 22:00: 0.8700
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.1250
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.8750
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.1250
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.8750
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.1000
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.9000
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.1150
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.8850
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.0650
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.9350
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.0600
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.9400
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.0600
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.9400
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.0750
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.9250
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.0550
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.9450
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.0700
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.9300
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.0700
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.9300
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.0650
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.9350
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.0700
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.9300
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.0750
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.9250
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.0700
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.9300
2024-11-09 14:00: 0.0550
2024-11-09 14:00: 0.9450
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.0450
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.9550
2024-11-09 16:00: 0.0350
2024-11-09 16:00: 0.9650
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.0375
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 367, Buy volume: 40012.63, Sell volume: 6351.46, Average price: 0.6717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.0070
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.9930
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.0065
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.9935
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.0065
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.9935
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.0065
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.9935
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.0070
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.9930
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.0065
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.9935
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.0065
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.9935
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.0075
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.9925
2024-11-10 10:00: 0.0075
2024-11-10 10:00: 0.9925
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.0045
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.9955
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.0070
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.9930
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.0080
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.9920
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.0080
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.9920
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.0065
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.9935
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.0095
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.9905
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.0045
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.9955
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.0045
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.9955
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.0070
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.9930
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.0070
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.9930
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.0070
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.9930
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.0065
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.9935
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.0070
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.9930
2024-11-11 00:00: 0.0065
2024-11-11 00:00: 0.9935
2024-11-11 01:00: 0.0040
2024-11-11 01:00: 0.9960
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.0040
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 285, Buy volume: 27020.25, Sell volume: 7751.76, Average price: 0.7105, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9978

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.0030
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.9970
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.0030
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.9970
2024-11-11 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 13:00: 0.9985
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.9985
2024-11-11 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 15:00: 0.9985
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.0020
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.9980
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.0020
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.9980
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.0020
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.9980
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.0020
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.9980
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.0020
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.9980
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.0020
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.9980
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.9985
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.9985
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.0020
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.9980
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.0020
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.9980
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.9990
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.9990
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 394, Buy volume: 918671.42, Sell volume: 13670.05, Average price: 0.1334, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.0020
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.9980
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.0025
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.9975
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.0020
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.9980
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.0020
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.9980
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.0020
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.9980
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.0020
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.9980
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0010
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.9990
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9975
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 106, Buy volume: 17130.41, Sell volume: 15489.03, Average price: 0.5846, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.9985
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.9985
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.9985
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.9985
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.9985
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 6958.30, Sell volume: 14224.69, Average price: 0.4781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 20468.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.9995
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.9995
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.9995
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.9995
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1272, Buy volume: 1215365.25, Sell volume: 58446.74, Average price: 0.4557, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-19 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 07:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 13:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 17:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 17:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 500.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 11:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 11:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 19:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 19:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.9990
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.9990
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.9990
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1272, Buy volume: 1215365.25, Sell volume: 58446.74, Average price: 0.4557, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.9990
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.9990
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.9990
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.9990
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.9990
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.9990
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.9990
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.9990
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.9990
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.9990
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.9990
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.9990
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.9990
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.9990
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.9990
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.9990
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.9990
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.9990
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.9990
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.9990
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.9990
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.9990
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.9990
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.9990
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1272, Buy volume: 1215365.25, Sell volume: 58446.74, Average price: 0.4557, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.9990
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.9990
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.9990
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.9990
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.9990
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.9990
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 300.25, Sell volume: 72.17, Average price: 0.1264, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.9985
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 16625.00, Sell volume: 877.58, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.1650
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.1150
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.1600
2024-11-08 20:00: 0.1500
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.1800
2024-11-08 22:00: 0.1300
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.1250
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.1250
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.1000
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.1150
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.0650
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.0600
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.0600
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.0750
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.0550
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.0700
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.0700
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.0650
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.0700
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.0750
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.0700
2024-11-09 14:00: 0.0550
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.0450
2024-11-09 16:00: 0.0350
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.0375
2024-11-09 18:00: 0.0350
2024-11-09 19:00: 0.0140
2024-11-09 20:00: 0.0145
2024-11-09 21:00: 0.0330
2024-11-09 22:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 367, Buy volume: 40012.63, Sell volume: 6351.46, Average price: 0.6717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.0070
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.0065
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.0065
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.0065
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.0070
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.0065
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.0065
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.0075
2024-11-10 10:00: 0.0075
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.0045
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.0070
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.0080
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.0080
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.0065
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.0095
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.0045
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.0045
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.0070
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.0070
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.0070
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.0065
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.0070
2024-11-11 00:00: 0.0065
2024-11-11 01:00: 0.0040
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.0040
2024-11-11 03:00: 0.0035
2024-11-11 04:00: 0.0035
2024-11-11 05:00: 0.0045
2024-11-11 06:00: 0.0040
2024-11-11 07:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 285, Buy volume: 27020.25, Sell volume: 7751.76, Average price: 0.7105, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9978
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.0030
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.0030
2024-11-11 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.0020
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.0020
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.0020
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.0020
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.0020
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.0020
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.0020
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.0020
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.0035
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.0030
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.0030
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.0030
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 394, Buy volume: 918671.42, Sell volume: 13670.05, Average price: 0.1334, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.0020
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.0020
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.0020
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.0020
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.0020
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0010
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0020
2024-11-13 23:00: 0.0020
2024-11-14 00:00: 0.0020
2024-11-14 01:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 106, Buy volume: 17130.41, Sell volume: 15489.03, Average price: 0.5846, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 6958.30, Sell volume: 14224.69, Average price: 0.4781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 20468.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1272, Buy volume: 1215365.25, Sell volume: 58446.74, Average price: 0.4557, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 17:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 18:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 19:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 21:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 22:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 500.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 11:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 19:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 05:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 07:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1272, Buy volume: 1215365.25, Sell volume: 58446.74, Average price: 0.4557, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.0010
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 13:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 15:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1272, Buy volume: 1215365.25, Sell volume: 58446.74, Average price: 0.4557, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0010
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 01:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 300.25, Sell volume: 72.17, Average price: 0.1264, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512458
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 1274812.000546
Price History:
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 16625.00, Sell volume: 877.58, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.0750
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.9250
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.0500
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.9500
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.0350
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.9650
2024-11-08 20:00: 0.0400
2024-11-08 20:00: 0.9600
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.1520
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.8480
2024-11-08 22:00: 0.0315
2024-11-08 22:00: 0.9685
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.0095
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.9905
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.0210
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.9790
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.0095
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.9905
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.0095
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.9905
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.0085
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.9915
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.0085
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.9915
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.0085
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.9915
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.0125
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.9875
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.0080
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.9920
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.0210
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.9790
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.0080
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.9920
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.0075
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.9925
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.0110
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.9890
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.0170
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.9830
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.0135
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.9865
2024-11-09 14:00: 0.0100
2024-11-09 14:00: 0.9900
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.0095
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.9905
2024-11-09 16:00: 0.0090
2024-11-09 16:00: 0.9910
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.0065
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 292, Buy volume: 35834.85, Sell volume: 7412.11, Average price: 0.6841, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.0035
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.9965
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.0045
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.9955
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.0030
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.9970
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.0025
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.9975
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.0070
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.9930
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.0035
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.9965
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.0030
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.9970
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.0040
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.9960
2024-11-10 10:00: 0.0040
2024-11-10 10:00: 0.9960
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.0040
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.9960
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.0040
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.9960
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.0045
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.9955
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.0040
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.9960
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.0030
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.9970
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.0040
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.9960
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.0040
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.9960
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.0040
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.9960
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.0025
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.9975
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.0025
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.9975
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.0025
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.9975
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 9326.51, Sell volume: 3361.97, Average price: 0.5902, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.9990
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.9985
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.9985
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.0010
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 384, Buy volume: 1915728.78, Sell volume: 41469.03, Average price: 0.0091, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes