Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.2250
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.7750
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.2250
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.7750
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.2200
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.7800
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.2200
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.2250
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.7750
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.2250
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.7750
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.2250
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.7750
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.2250
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.7750
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.2250
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.7750
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.2350
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.7650
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.2250
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.7750
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.7800
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.2200
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.7800
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.2200
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.7800
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.2200
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.7800
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.2250
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.7750
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.2200
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.7800
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.2250
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.7750
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.2250
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.7750
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.2250
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.7750
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.2250
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.7750
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.2400
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.7600
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.2250
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.2500
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.7500
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.2500
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.7500
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.2500
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.7500
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.2450
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.7550
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.2600
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.7400
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.2700
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.7300
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.2500
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.7500
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.2600
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.7400
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.2500
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.7500
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.2600
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.7400
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.2500
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.7500
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.2600
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.7400
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.2500
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523164
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Bilateral during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1035.875805
Price History:
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.2500
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.7500
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.2500
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.7500
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.2650
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.7350
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.2500
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.7500
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.2600
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.7400
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.2800
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.7200
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.2800
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.7200
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.2800
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.7200
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.2200
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.7800
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.2250
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.7750
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.2250
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.7750
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.2250
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.7750
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.2350
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.1300
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.8700
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.1300
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.8700
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.1300
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.8700
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.1300
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.8700
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.0600
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.9400
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.0600
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.9400
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0550
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.9450
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.0600
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.9400
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0550
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.9450
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.0550
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.9450
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.0550
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0500
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9500
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0500
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9500
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0600
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9400
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.9350
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0550
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.9450
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.0550
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0600
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.9400
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0600
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.9400
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.0600
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.9400
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0600
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.9400
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.0600
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9400
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.0600
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.9400
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.0650
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.0650
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.9300
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.9300
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0650
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.9300
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.9300
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.9300
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0650
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.9300
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.9300
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0650
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9300
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0650
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.9350
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.1250
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.8750
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.1300
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.8700
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.1300
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.8700
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.1350
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.8650
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.1300
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.8700
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.1350
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.8650
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.1450
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.8550
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.1500
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.8500
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.1400
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.8600
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.1500
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.8500
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.1350
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.2750
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.7250
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.2750
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.7250
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.2750
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.7250
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.2850
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.7150
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.2850
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.7150
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.2500
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.7500
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.2550
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.7450
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.2550
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.7450
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.2550
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.7450
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.2400
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.7600
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.2400
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.7600
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.1600
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.8400
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.1550
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.1200
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.8800
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.1150
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.8850
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.1200
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.8800
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.1200
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.8800
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.1200
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.8800
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.1200
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.8800
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.1200
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.8800
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0850
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9150
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0900
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.9100
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0900
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.9100
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0950
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.9050
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.1000
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.9000
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.1000
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.1300
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.8700
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.1300
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.8700
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.1300
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.8700
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.1300
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.8700
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.0600
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.9400
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.0600
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.9400
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0550
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.9450
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.0600
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.9400
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0550
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.9450
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.0550
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.9450
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.0550
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0500
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9500
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0500
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9500
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0600
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9400
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.9350
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0550
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.9450
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.0550
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0600
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.9400
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0600
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.9400
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.0600
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.9400
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0600
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.9400
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.0600
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9400
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.0600
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.9400
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.0650
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.0650
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.9300
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.9300
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0650
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.9300
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.9300
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.9300
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0650
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.9300
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.9300
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0650
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9300
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0650
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.9350
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.1250
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.8750
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.1300
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.8700
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.1300
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.8700
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.1350
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.8650
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.1300
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.8700
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.1350
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.8650
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.1450
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.8550
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.1500
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.8500
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.1400
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.8600
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.1500
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.8500
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.1350
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.2750
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.7250
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.2750
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.7250
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.2750
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.7250
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.2850
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.7150
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.2850
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.7150
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.2500
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.7500
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.2550
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.7450
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.2550
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.7450
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.2550
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.7450
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.2400
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.7600
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.2400
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.7600
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.1600
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.8400
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.1550
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523166
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Greenland during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3461.068306
Price History:
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.1200
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.8800
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.1150
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.8850
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.1200
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.8800
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.1200
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.8800
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.1200
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.8800
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.1200
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.8800
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.1200
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.8800
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0850
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9150
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0900
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.9100
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0900
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.9100
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0950
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.9050
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.1000
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.9000
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.1000
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.3250
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.6750
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.3000
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.7000
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.3750
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.6250
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.3700
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.6300
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.3000
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.7000
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.3800
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.6200
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.5800
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 207450468.68, Sell volume: 22735921.16, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.4050
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.5950
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.4650
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.5350
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.5800
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.3250
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.6750
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.3000
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.7000
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.3000
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.7000
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.2900
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.7100
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.2450
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 207450468.68, Sell volume: 22735921.16, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.3950
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.6050
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.3050
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.3450
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.6550
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.4150
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.5850
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.5800
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.4600
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.5400
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.4250
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.5750
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.4100
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.5900
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 207450468.68, Sell volume: 22735921.16, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.5750
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.6350
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.3550
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.6450
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.3050
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.6950
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.3100
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.6900
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.3400
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.6600
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.3650
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.6350
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.3750
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.6250
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.3650
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 207450468.68, Sell volume: 22735921.16, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.3600
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.6400
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.4050
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.5950
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.4100
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.5900
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.4250
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.5750
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.4350
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.5650
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.4100
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.5900
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.5800
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.5800
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 207450468.68, Sell volume: 22735921.16, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.5800
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.5700
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.4650
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.5350
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.4900
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.5100
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.4900
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.5100
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.5150
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.4850
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.4150
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.5850
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.5800
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.4000
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 207450468.68, Sell volume: 22735921.16, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.4250
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.5750
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.3800
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.6200
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.4050
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.5950
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.3950
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.6050
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.4150
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.5850
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.4600
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.5400
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.4800
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.5200
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.4850
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.5150
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 207450468.68, Sell volume: 22735921.16, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.5250
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.4350
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.5650
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.4750
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.5250
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.4750
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.5250
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.4950
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.5050
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.5400
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.4600
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.6000
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 207450468.68, Sell volume: 22735921.16, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.6150
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.3850
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.6150
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.3850
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.6350
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.3650
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.6600
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.3400
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.6850
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.3150
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.6550
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.3450
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.6450
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.3550
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.6550
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.3450
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1998, Buy volume: 5550.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3600, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.3600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.3500
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.6450
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.3550
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.6350
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.3650
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.6400
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.3600
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.6550
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.3450
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.6600
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.3400
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.6450
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.3550
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.6950
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.3050
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.6850
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 367632, Buy volume: 58962011.35, Sell volume: 8055176.76, Average price: 0.5524, Price range: 0.2954 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.6750
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.3250
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.6800
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.3200
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.7750
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.2250
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.7550
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.2450
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.3050
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.2750
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.7050
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.2950
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 509490, Buy volume: 129055376.17, Sell volume: 11317830.84, Average price: 0.5875, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.3350
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.6900
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.3100
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.6950
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.3050
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.7000
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.3000
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.7700
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.2300
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.7750
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.2250
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.7700
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.2300
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.7250
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90012, Buy volume: 12184380.20, Sell volume: 3162126.74, Average price: 0.5513, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.7850
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.2150
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.6200
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.3800
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.5650
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.4350
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.5950
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.4050
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.5750
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.4250
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.6350
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.3650
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.7450
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.2550
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 513, Buy volume: 95690.03, Sell volume: 40608.40, Average price: 0.5548, Price range: 0.0708 - 0.9532

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.3250
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.6750
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.3000
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.7000
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.3750
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.6250
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.3700
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.6300
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.3000
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.7000
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.3800
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.6200
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.5800
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 207450468.68, Sell volume: 22735921.16, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.4050
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.5950
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.4650
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.5350
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.5800
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.3250
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.6750
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.3000
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.7000
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.3000
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.7000
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.2900
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.7100
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.2450
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 207450468.68, Sell volume: 22735921.16, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.3950
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.6050
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.3050
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.3450
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.6550
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.4150
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.5850
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.5800
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.4600
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.5400
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.4250
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.5750
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.4100
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.5900
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 207450468.68, Sell volume: 22735921.16, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.5750
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.6350
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.3550
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.6450
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.3050
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.6950
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.3100
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.6900
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.3400
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.6600
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.3650
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.6350
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.3750
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.6250
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.3650
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 207450468.68, Sell volume: 22735921.16, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.3600
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.6400
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.4050
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.5950
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.4100
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.5900
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.4250
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.5750
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.4350
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.5650
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.4100
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.5900
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.5800
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.5800
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 207450468.68, Sell volume: 22735921.16, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.5800
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.5700
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.4650
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.5350
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.4900
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.5100
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.4900
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.5100
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.5150
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.4850
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.4150
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.5850
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.5800
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.4000
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 207450468.68, Sell volume: 22735921.16, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.4250
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.5750
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.3800
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.6200
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.4050
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.5950
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.3950
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.6050
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.4150
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.5850
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.4600
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.5400
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.4800
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.5200
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.4850
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.5150
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 207450468.68, Sell volume: 22735921.16, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.5250
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.4350
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.5650
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.4750
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.5250
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.4750
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.5250
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.4950
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.5050
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.5400
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.4600
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.6000
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 207450468.68, Sell volume: 22735921.16, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.6150
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.3850
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.6150
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.3850
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.6350
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.3650
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.6600
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.3400
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.6850
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.3150
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.6550
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.3450
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.6450
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.3550
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.6550
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.3450
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1998, Buy volume: 5550.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3600, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.3600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.3500
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.6450
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.3550
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.6350
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.3650
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.6400
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.3600
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.6550
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.3450
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.6600
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.3400
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.6450
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.3550
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.6950
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.3050
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.6850
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 367632, Buy volume: 58962011.35, Sell volume: 8055176.76, Average price: 0.5524, Price range: 0.2954 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.6750
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.3250
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.6800
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.3200
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.7750
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.2250
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.7550
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.2450
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.3050
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.2750
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.7050
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.2950
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 509490, Buy volume: 129055376.17, Sell volume: 11317830.84, Average price: 0.5875, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.3350
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.6900
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.3100
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.6950
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.3050
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.7000
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.3000
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.7700
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.2300
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.7750
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.2250
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.7700
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.2300
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.7250
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90012, Buy volume: 12184380.20, Sell volume: 3162126.74, Average price: 0.5513, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 646076
Question: Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 689641.300081
Price History:
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.7850
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.2150
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.6200
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.3800
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.5650
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.4350
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.5950
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.4050
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.5750
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.4250
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.6350
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.3650
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.7450
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.2550
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 513, Buy volume: 95690.03, Sell volume: 40608.40, Average price: 0.5548, Price range: 0.0708 - 0.9532
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1245, Buy volume: 45099.88, Sell volume: 7340.23, Average price: 0.5761, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1245, Buy volume: 45099.88, Sell volume: 7340.23, Average price: 0.5761, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1245, Buy volume: 45099.88, Sell volume: 7340.23, Average price: 0.5761, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1245, Buy volume: 45099.88, Sell volume: 7340.23, Average price: 0.5761, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1026.55, Sell volume: 7.00, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1026.55, Sell volume: 7.00, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1026.55, Sell volume: 7.00, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1026.55, Sell volume: 7.00, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1026.55, Sell volume: 7.00, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1026.55, Sell volume: 7.00, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1026.55, Sell volume: 7.00, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1026.55, Sell volume: 7.00, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1026.55, Sell volume: 7.00, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1245, Buy volume: 45099.88, Sell volume: 7340.23, Average price: 0.5761, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1245, Buy volume: 45099.88, Sell volume: 7340.23, Average price: 0.5761, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1245, Buy volume: 45099.88, Sell volume: 7340.23, Average price: 0.5761, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1245, Buy volume: 45099.88, Sell volume: 7340.23, Average price: 0.5761, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1026.55, Sell volume: 7.00, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1026.55, Sell volume: 7.00, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1026.55, Sell volume: 7.00, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1026.55, Sell volume: 7.00, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1026.55, Sell volume: 7.00, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1026.55, Sell volume: 7.00, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1026.55, Sell volume: 7.00, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1026.55, Sell volume: 7.00, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757003
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Volume: 18144.0108
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1026.55, Sell volume: 7.00, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4000
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.6000
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0800
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9200
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9250
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0700
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9300
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0700
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9300
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9250
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0700
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9300
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0700
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9300
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0700
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9300
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9300
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9300
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9300
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9300
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9300
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9300
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9050
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0255
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9745
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0255
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9745
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0255
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9745
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0255
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9745
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0290
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9710
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0290
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9710
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0290
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9710
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0270
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9730
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0310
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0280
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0415
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9585
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0420
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9580
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0425
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9575
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0430
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9570
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0610
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9390
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0630
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9370
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0565
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9435
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0515
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9485
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0550
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9450
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0600
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9400
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0490
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9510
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0480
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9520
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0515
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9485
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0530
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9470
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0545
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9455
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0550
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9450
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0550
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9450
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0625
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9375
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0485
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9515
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0485
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9515
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0485
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9515
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0485
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9515
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0485
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9515
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0575
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9425
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0575
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9425
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0575
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9425
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0575
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9425
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0580
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9420
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0580
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9420
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0580
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9420
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0580
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9420
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0580
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9420
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0695
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9305
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0645
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9355
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0705
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9295
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0655
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9345
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0610
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9390
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0590
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9410
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0590
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9410
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0585
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9415
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0580
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9420
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0580
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9420
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0580
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9420
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0575
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9425
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0580
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9420
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0580
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9420
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0580
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9420
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0580
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9420
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0670
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9330
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0670
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9330
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0670
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9330
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0645
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9355
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0645
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9355
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0640
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9360
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0630
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9370
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0645
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9355
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0645
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9355
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0645
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9355
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0645
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9355
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0680
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9320
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0720
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9280
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0725
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9275
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0730
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9270
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0695
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9305
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0755
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9245
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0655
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9345
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0665
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9335
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0675
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9325
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0665
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9335
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0665
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9335
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0675
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9325
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0665
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9335
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0660
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9340
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0665
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9335
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0675
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9325
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0670
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9330
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0665
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9335
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0675
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9325
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0670
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9330
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0675
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9325
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0675
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9325
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0685
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9315
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0650
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9350
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0665
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9335
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0625
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9375
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0640
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9360
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0620
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9380
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0620
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9380
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0610
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9390
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0640
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9360
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9350
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0640
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9360
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0640
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9360
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0640
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9360
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0625
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9375
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0620
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9380
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0620
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9380
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0625
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9375
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0615
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9385
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0610
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9390
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0585
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9415
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0580
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9420
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0580
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9420
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0575
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9425
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0575
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9425
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0570
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9430
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0570
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9430
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0570
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9430
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0580
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9420
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0580
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9420
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0585
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9415
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0600
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9400
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0580
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9420
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0580
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9420
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0585
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9415
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0575
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9425
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0575
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9425
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0585
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9415
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0580
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9420
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0590
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9410
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0580
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9420
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0585
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9415
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0585
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9415
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0585
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9415
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0585
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9415
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0585
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9415
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0585
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9415
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0590
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9410
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0590
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9410
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0590
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9410
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0590
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9410
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0590
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9410
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0580
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9420
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0580
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9420
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0585
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9415
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0575
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9425
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0575
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9425
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0580
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9420
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0580
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9420
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0575
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9425
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0580
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9420
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0580
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9420
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0585
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9415
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0575
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9425
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0585
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9415
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0580
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9420
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0570
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9430
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0585
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9415
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0595
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9405
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0595
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9405
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0595
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9405
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0595
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9405
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0595
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9405
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0595
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9405
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0590
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9410
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0585
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9415
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0595
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9405
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0590
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9410
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0580
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9420
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0570
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9430
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0585
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9415
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0575
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9425
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0570
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9430
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0590
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9410
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0580
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9420
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0585
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9415
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0615
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9385
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0605
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9395
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0605
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9395
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0610
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9390
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0605
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9395
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0605
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9395
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0610
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9390
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0610
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9390
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0620
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9380
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0565
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9435
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0580
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9420
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0575
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9425
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0565
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9435
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0560
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9440
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0620
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9380
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0620
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9380
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0620
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9380
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0620
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9380
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0640
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9360
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0635
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9365
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0635
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9365
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0635
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9365
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0630
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9370
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0630
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9370
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0640
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9360
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0640
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9360
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0640
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9360
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0640
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9360
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0640
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9360
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0640
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9360
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0595
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9405
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9400
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0595
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9405
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0665
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9335
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0645
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9355
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0650
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9350
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0625
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9375
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0655
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9345
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0645
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9355
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0615
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9385
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0645
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9355
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0640
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9360
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0655
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9345
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0655
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9345
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0620
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9380
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0640
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9360
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0615
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9385
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0645
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9355
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0635
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9365
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0625
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9375
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0615
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9385
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0640
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9360
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0620
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9380
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0630
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9370
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9350
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0670
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9330
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0760
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9240
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0755
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9245
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0755
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9245
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0730
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9270
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0730
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9270
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9280
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0710
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9290
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0715
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9285
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9280
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9280
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0740
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9260
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0725
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9275
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0740
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9260
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0755
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9245
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0745
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9255
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0730
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9270
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0730
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9270
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9280
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0700
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9300
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0730
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.9270
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0725
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9275
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0725
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9275
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0720
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9280
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0740
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9260
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0730
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9270
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0720
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9280
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0725
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9275
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0745
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9255
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0730
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9270
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0685
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9315
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0665
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9335
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0620
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9380
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0610
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9390
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0650
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0670
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9330
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0645
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9355
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0660
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9340
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0655
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9345
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0610
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9390
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0610
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9390
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0625
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9375
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0625
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9375
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0610
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9390
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0630
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9370
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0655
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9345
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0660
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9340
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0735
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9265
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0625
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9375
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0640
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9360
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0550
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9450
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0665
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9335
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0625
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9375
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0580
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9420
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0585
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9415
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0570
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9430
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0570
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9430
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0540
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9460
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0505
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9495
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0300
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9700
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0405
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9595
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0420
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9580
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9710
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0425
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9575
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0395
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9605
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0490
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9510
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0555
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9445
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0565
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.9435
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0675
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.9325
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0350
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.9650
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4000
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0800
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0700
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0700
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0700
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0700
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0255
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0255
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0255
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0255
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0290
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0290
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0290
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0270
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0310
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0305
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0305
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0310
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0305
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0280
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0415
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0420
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0425
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0430
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0610
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0630
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0565
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0515
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0550
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0600
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0490
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0480
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0515
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0530
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0545
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0550
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0550
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0625
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0485
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0485
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0485
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0485
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0485
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0485
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0485
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0705
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0630
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0645
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0575
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0575
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0575
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0575
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0580
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0580
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0580
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0580
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0580
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0695
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0645
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0705
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0655
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0610
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0590
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0590
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0585
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0580
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0580
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0580
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0575
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0580
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0580
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0580
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0580
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0585
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0585
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0585
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0575
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0580
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0670
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0670
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0670
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0645
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0645
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0640
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0630
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0645
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0645
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0645
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0645
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0680
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0720
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0725
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0730
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0695
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0755
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0655
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0665
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0675
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0665
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0665
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0675
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0665
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0660
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0635
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0660
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0655
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0655
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0655
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0665
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0675
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0670
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0665
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0675
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0670
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0675
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0675
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0685
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0650
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0665
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0625
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0640
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0620
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0620
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0610
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0640
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0640
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0640
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0640
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0625
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0620
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0620
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0645
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0630
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0630
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0630
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0635
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0625
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0615
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0610
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0585
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0580
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0580
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0575
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0575
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0570
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0570
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0570
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0580
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0580
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0585
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0600
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0580
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0580
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0585
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0575
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0575
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0585
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0580
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0590
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0580
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0585
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0570
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0575
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0570
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0585
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0585
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0585
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0585
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0585
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0585
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0585
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0590
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0590
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0590
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0590
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0590
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0580
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0580
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0585
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0575
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0575
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0580
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0580
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0575
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0580
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0580
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0585
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0575
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0585
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0580
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0570
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0585
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0580
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0590
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0590
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0595
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0585
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0595
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0595
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0595
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0595
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0595
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0595
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0590
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0585
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0595
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0590
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0580
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0570
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0585
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0575
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0570
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0590
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0580
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0585
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0615
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0605
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0605
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0610
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0605
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0605
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0600
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0600
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0600
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0620
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0620
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0610
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0610
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0620
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0565
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0580
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0575
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0565
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0560
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0620
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0620
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0620
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0620
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0640
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0635
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0635
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0635
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0630
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0630
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0640
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0640
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0640
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0640
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0640
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0640
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0595
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0595
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0590
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0590
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0595
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0590
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0595
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0665
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0645
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0650
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0625
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0655
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0645
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0615
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0645
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0640
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0655
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0655
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0620
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0640
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0615
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0645
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0635
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0625
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0615
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0640
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0620
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0630
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0670
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0660
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0640
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0640
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0760
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0755
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0755
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0730
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0730
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0710
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0715
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0740
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0725
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0740
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0755
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0745
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0730
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0730
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0700
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0730
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0725
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0725
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0735
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0725
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0725
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0720
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0725
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0720
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0740
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0730
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0720
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0725
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0745
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0730
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0685
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0665
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0620
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0610
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0650
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0670
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0645
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0660
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0655
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0610
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0610
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0625
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0625
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0610
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0630
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0655
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0660
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0735
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0740
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0740
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0755
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0755
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0735
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes