Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666073
Question: Will Kamala Harris attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22346.883074
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.2500
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7550
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2450
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7550
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2450
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.7600
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.2400
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.7650
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.2350
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.7650
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.2350
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.7650
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.2350
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.7650
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.2350
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.2350
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.7650
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.2350
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.7650
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.7650
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.2350
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.7900
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.2100
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.7500
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.2500
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.7500
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.2500
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.7500
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.2500
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.7450
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.2550
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.7750
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.2250
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.7700
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.2300
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 250.87, Sell volume: 48.16, Average price: 0.6442, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666073
Question: Will Kamala Harris attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22346.883074
Price History:
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.7900
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.2100
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.7900
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.2100
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.7900
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.2100
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.7800
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.2200
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.7800
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.2200
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.7800
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.2200
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.7800
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.2200
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.7800
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.2200
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.7800
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.2200
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.7800
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.2200
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.7800
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.2200
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.7800
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 166.00, Sell volume: 20.11, Average price: 0.4133, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666073
Question: Will Kamala Harris attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22346.883074
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.7950
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.2050
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7950
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2050
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7950
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2050
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.7950
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2050
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.7850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.2150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7850
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2150
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.7850
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.2150
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.7850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.2150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.7900
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.2100
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.7900
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.2100
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.7900
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.2100
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.7900
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.2100
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.7900
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.2100
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.7900
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.2100
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 556.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2751, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666073
Question: Will Kamala Harris attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22346.883074
Price History:
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.8400
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.1600
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.8550
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.1450
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.8500
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.1500
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.8500
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.1500
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.8500
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.1500
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.8400
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.1600
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.8550
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.1450
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.8500
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.1500
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.8550
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.1450
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.8500
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.1500
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.8500
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.1500
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.8500
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.1500
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.8500
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.1500
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.8500
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.1500
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.8500
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.1500
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.8450
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.1550
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.8600
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.1400
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.8750
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.1250
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9400
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 277.20, Sell volume: 144.82, Average price: 0.6914, Price range: 0.0185 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666073
Question: Will Kamala Harris attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 22346.883074
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6400
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3600
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.6400
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.3600
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5350
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.4650
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.4450
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5550
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5200
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.4800
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5400
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.4600
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.7150
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.2850
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.2850
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.7200
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.2800
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.6500
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.3500
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.6500
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.3500
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.7000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.3000
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.7000
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 531.01, Sell volume: 236.06, Average price: 0.5717, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.7330
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666073
Question: Will Kamala Harris attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 22346.883074
Price History:
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.2700
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.8150
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.8400
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.8200
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1800
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.8600
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.1400
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.8700
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1300
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.1250
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.1250
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.1250
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.1250
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.8200
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.1800
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.8400
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.1600
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.1300
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1300
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.1250
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 180.62, Sell volume: 31.61, Average price: 0.3576, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666073
Question: Will Kamala Harris attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 22346.883074
Price History:
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.8250
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.1750
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.8250
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.1750
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.7900
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.2100
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.7900
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.2100
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.7800
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.2200
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.7800
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.2200
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.7800
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.2200
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.7800
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.2200
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.7700
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.2300
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.7700
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.2300
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.7700
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.2300
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.7700
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.2300
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.7700
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.2300
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.7700
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.2300
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.7700
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 141.31, Sell volume: 125.46, Average price: 0.3417, Price range: 0.1785 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666073
Question: Will Kamala Harris attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 22346.883074
Price History:
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.2200
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.7800
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.2200
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.7800
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.2200
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.7800
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.2200
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.7800
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.2200
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.7800
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.2200
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.7800
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.2200
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.7800
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.2200
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.7750
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.2250
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.7750
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.2250
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.7750
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.2250
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.7750
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.2250
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.7750
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.2250
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.7750
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.2250
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.7750
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.2250
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 49.86, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.4757, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666073
Question: Will Kamala Harris attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 22346.883074
Price History:
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.7250
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.2750
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.7450
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 262.00, Sell volume: 163.00, Average price: 0.4055, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666073
Question: Will Kamala Harris attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 22346.883074
Price History:
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.2900
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.2900
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.2900
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.2900
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.2900
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.2900
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.2900
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.2900
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.2900
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7050
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.2950
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.7150
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.2850
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 172.76, Sell volume: 28.59, Average price: 0.4360, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7343
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666073
Question: Will Kamala Harris attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 22346.883074
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.7200
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.2800
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.7200
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.2800
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.2700
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 130.47, Sell volume: 71.47, Average price: 0.6496, Price range: 0.2890 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666073
Question: Will Kamala Harris attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 22346.883074
Price History:
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.2550
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.7450
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.2550
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.7450
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.2550
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.2500
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.2500
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.2500
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.2500
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.2500
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.2500
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.2500
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.7500
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.2500
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 196.78, Sell volume: 22.94, Average price: 0.3585, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666073
Question: Will Kamala Harris attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 22346.883074
Price History:
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.7450
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.2550
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.7450
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.2550
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.7450
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.2550
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.7450
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.2550
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.7450
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.2550
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.7450
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.2550
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.7450
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.2550
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.2550
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.2550
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.2550
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.2550
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.2550
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.2550
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.2550
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 449.81, Sell volume: 28.33, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666073
Question: Will Kamala Harris attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 22346.883074
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.2500
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7550
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2450
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7550
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2450
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.7600
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.2400
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.7650
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.2350
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.7650
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.2350
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.7650
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.2350
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.7650
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.2350
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.2350
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.7650
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.2350
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.7650
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.7650
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.2350
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.7900
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.2100
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.7500
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.2500
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.7500
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.2500
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 250.87, Sell volume: 48.16, Average price: 0.6442, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666073
Question: Will Kamala Harris attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 22346.883074
Price History:
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.7900
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.2100
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.7900
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.2100
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.7900
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.2100
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.7800
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.2200
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 166.00, Sell volume: 20.11, Average price: 0.4133, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666073
Question: Will Kamala Harris attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 22346.883074
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.7950
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.2050
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7950
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2050
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7950
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2050
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.7950
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2050
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 556.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2751, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666073
Question: Will Kamala Harris attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 22346.883074
Price History:
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.8400
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.1600
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.8550
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.1450
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.8500
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.1500
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.8500
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.1500
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.8500
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.1500
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.8400
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.1600
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.8550
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.1450
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.8500
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.1500
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.8550
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.1450
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.8500
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.1500
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.8500
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 277.20, Sell volume: 144.82, Average price: 0.6914, Price range: 0.0185 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.4150
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.4100
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.3650
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.3800
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.3700
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.3650
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.4350
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.4500
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.4550
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.4650
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.4950
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.4950
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.4850
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.4850
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.4850
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.4850
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.4850
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.5650
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.6300
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.6300
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.6300
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.6300
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.6350
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.6350
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.6350
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.6350
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.6350
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.6150
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.6150
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.6150
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.5300
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.5550
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.5350
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.5450
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.5300
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.5750
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.5750
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.5750
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.5700
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.5250
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.5050
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.5550
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.5600
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.5600
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.5600
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 4306.61, Sell volume: 3417.69, Average price: 0.5105, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.5450
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.5450
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.5450
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.5350
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.5250
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.5300
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.5250
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.5350
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.5350
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.5350
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.5300
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.5300
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.5300
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.5300
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.5300
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.5350
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.5350
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.5350
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.5350
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.5350
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.5350
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.5350
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.5350
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.5350
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.5350
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.5350
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.5350
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.5350
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.5350
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.5250
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.5250
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.5250
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.5300
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.5350
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.5250
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.5250
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.5250
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.4700
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 394.57, Sell volume: 106.17, Average price: 0.5036, Price range: 0.4514 - 0.5500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.4600
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.4750
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.4750
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.4750
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.4750
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.4750
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.4750
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.4750
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.4750
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.4650
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.4650
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.4650
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.4650
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.4650
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.4650
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.4650
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.4650
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.4650
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.4650
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.4650
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.4650
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.4650
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.4650
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.4650
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.4600
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.4600
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.4700
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.4700
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.4850
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.4850
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.4750
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.4750
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.4750
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.4750
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.4750
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.4700
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.4700
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.4700
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.4700
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.4700
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.4700
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.4700
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.4700
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.4700
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.4650
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.4600
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 253.84, Sell volume: 142.91, Average price: 0.5248, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.5497

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.4600
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.4400
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.4400
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.4400
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.4400
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.4400
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.4400
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.4400
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.4400
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.4400
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.4350
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.4400
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.4400
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.4400
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.4400
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.4400
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.4400
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.4400
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.4400
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.4400
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.4400
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.4400
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.4400
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.4450
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.4450
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.4450
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.4450
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.4450
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.4450
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.4400
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.4450
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.4450
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.4450
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.4450
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.4450
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.4450
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.4450
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.4450
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.4450
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.4450
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.4450
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.4350
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.4150
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.4150
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.3950
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.3950
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.3900
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 63562.57, Sell volume: 64005.76, Average price: 0.5374, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.6200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.3850
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.3850
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.3800
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.3850
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.3850
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.3950
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.3750
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.3750
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.3800
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.3800
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.3800
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.3800
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.3800
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.3850
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.3800
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.3850
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.3850
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.3850
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.3800
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.3800
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.3800
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.3800
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.3750
2025-04-06 20:00: 0.3750
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.3750
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.3750
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.3750
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.3750
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.3750
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.3750
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.3750
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.3750
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.3750
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.3750
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.3150
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.3150
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.3150
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.3150
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.3150
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.3150
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.3200
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.3150
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.3200
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.3150
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.3150
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.3100
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.3100
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.3100
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.3100
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 69.72, Average price: 0.5643, Price range: 0.3115 - 0.6300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.3350
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.3300
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.3350
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.3250
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.3150
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.3150
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.3350
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.3250
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.3150
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.3200
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.3250
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.3150
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.3650
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.3400
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.3200
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.3400
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.3350
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.3300
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.3350
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.3600
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.3650
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.3550
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.3450
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.3400
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.3350
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.3300
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.3450
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.3450
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.3600
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.3650
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.3450
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.3400
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.3400
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.3350
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.3350
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.1150
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.1950
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.1900
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.1850
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.1900
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.1900
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.1900
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.1200
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.1100
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0750
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.0750
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0650
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 105.50, Sell volume: 609.84, Average price: 0.3688, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.2000
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.1950
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.1950
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.1900
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1200
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1200
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.1300
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.1650
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.1250
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.1400
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.1400
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0950
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0900
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0950
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.1200
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.1150
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.1200
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0900
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0900
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.1150
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.1100
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.1000
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.2050
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.1850
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.1500
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.1850
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.1700
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.1200
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.1500
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.1900
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.1750
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.1700
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.1700
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.2150
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.2050
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.2050
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.1950
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.2000
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.1450
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1.04, Sell volume: 21.04, Average price: 0.6000, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.1600
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.1450
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.1400
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.1300
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.1550
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1500
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.2000
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.2050
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.1900
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.2150
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.2350
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.1700
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.1600
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.1700
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.1650
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.1450
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.1650
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.1600
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.1650
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.1600
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.2050
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.2000
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.2350
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.2450
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.2400
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.2400
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.1550
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.1600
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.1600
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.1350
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.1450
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.1000
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0950
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0950
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0950
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0950
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.1050
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.1050
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.1050
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 107.82, Sell volume: 232.40, Average price: 0.6878, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.1000
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.1000
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.1000
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.1000
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.1000
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.1000
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.1000
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.1000
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.1000
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.2600
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.3550
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.3450
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.3400
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.3450
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.3900
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.3850
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.4200
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.4000
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.3750
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.3950
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.3750
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.3600
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.3600
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.3600
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.3550
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.3900
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.3900
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.3950
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.3950
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.3950
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.3900
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.4350
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.4350
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.3850
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.3850
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.3850
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.3850
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.3850
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.3850
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.3850
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.3850
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.3850
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.3850
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.4100
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.4200
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.4500
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.4850
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.4850
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.3600
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 704.38, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.2793, Price range: 0.1160 - 0.6100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.4200
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.4200
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.4200
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.4000
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.3300
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.3350
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.3550
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.3550
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.3550
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.3550
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.3550
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.3550
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.3550
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.3550
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.3550
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.3550
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.3550
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.3550
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.3550
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.3700
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.3750
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.3850
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.3800
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.3900
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.4300
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.3750
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.3750
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.3750
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.3750
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.3800
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.3800
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.4300
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.4250
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.4250
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.4250
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.4800
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.4800
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.4750
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.4700
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.4700
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.4150
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.4750
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.4050
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.3650
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.3650
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.3550
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.3550
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.3550
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.3550
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2006.90, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6580, Price range: 0.5119 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.5550
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.5350
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.5700
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5500
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.5350
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.5250
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.4600
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.5450
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.4550
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.4400
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.4300
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.4600
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.4800
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.4850
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.5050
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.4750
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.5150
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.4750
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.6000
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.6200
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.6200
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.5450
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.5550
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.5500
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.5500
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.5500
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.5750
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.5550
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.5600
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.5650
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.5650
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.5800
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.5500
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.5050
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.7050
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.7800
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.7200
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.6150
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.8200
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.8150
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.7550
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.8050
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.8100
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.8150
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.8200
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.8200
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.8200
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.8200
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 777.14, Sell volume: 836.45, Average price: 0.4781, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.8350
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.8350
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.8450
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.7900
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.7800
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.7750
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.7250
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.6950
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.7250
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.7050
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.7150
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.7000
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.7000
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.7000
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.7000
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.7050
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.7100
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.7600
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.7000
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.7000
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.7050
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.7000
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.6800
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.7050
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.7000
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.7050
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.7000
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.7100
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.7200
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.7000
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.7200
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.7000
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.7050
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.7200
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.7100
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.7200
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.7100
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.7050
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.7200
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.7200
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.7300
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.7250
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.7200
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.7300
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.7250
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.7300
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.7200
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.7300
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.7300
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 11.45, Sell volume: 263.93, Average price: 0.5246, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7978

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.7250
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.7300
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.7300
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.7300
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.7250
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.7300
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.7250
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.7250
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.7300
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.7300
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.9450
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.9450
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.7750
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.7400
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.8700
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.8750
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.7650
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.8600
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.8450
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.7900
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9000
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.8800
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.8800
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.8800
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.8700
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.8800
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.8250
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.8250
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.8800
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.8950
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.8600
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.8600
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.8800
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.8850
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.8900
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.8500
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.8500
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.8500
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.8600
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.8500
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.8500
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.8500
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.8500
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.8500
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.8500
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.8500
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.8500
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.8500
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.8500
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2785.31, Sell volume: 154.97, Average price: 0.5779, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.4150
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.4150
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.3850
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.4000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.4500
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.4650
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.4950
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.4850
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.4850
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.4950
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.6150
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.6300
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.6350
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.6350
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.6350
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.6150
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.6150
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.5550
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.5450
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.5300
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.5850
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.5750
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.5750
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.5700
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.5250
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.5450
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.5550
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.5600
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 4306.61, Sell volume: 3417.69, Average price: 0.5105, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.5450
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.5450
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.5250
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.5250
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.5350
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.5350
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.5300
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.5300
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.5300
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.5350
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.5350
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.5350
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.5350
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.5350
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.5350
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.5350
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.5350
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.5250
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.5250
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.5250
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.5250
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.5250
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.4700
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 394.57, Sell volume: 106.17, Average price: 0.5036, Price range: 0.4514 - 0.5500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.4600
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.4750
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.4750
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.4750
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.4750
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.4750
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.4650
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.4650
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.4650
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.4650
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.4650
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.4650
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.4650
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.4650
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.4600
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.4700
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.4750
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.4850
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.4650
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.4750
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.4750
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.4700
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.4700
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.4700
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.4700
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.4700
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.4650
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.4600
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 253.84, Sell volume: 142.91, Average price: 0.5248, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.5497
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.4600
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.4400
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.4400
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.4400
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.4400
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.4400
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.4400
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.4400
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.4400
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.4400
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.4400
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.4400
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.4400
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.4450
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.4450
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.4450
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.4450
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.4450
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.4450
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.4450
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.4450
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.4450
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.4450
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.4450
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.4150
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.4100
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.4000
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.3950
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 63562.57, Sell volume: 64005.76, Average price: 0.5374, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.3850
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.3750
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.3850
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.3850
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.3750
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.3800
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.3800
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.3800
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.3800
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.3850
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.3800
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.3800
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.3800
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.3750
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.3750
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.3750
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.3750
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.3750
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.3750
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.3750
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.3150
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.3150
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.3150
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.3150
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.3200
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.3100
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.3100
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.3100
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.3150
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 69.72, Average price: 0.5643, Price range: 0.3115 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.3350
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.3150
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.3300
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.3150
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.3250
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.3200
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.3400
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.3600
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.3200
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.3350
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.3400
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.3600
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.3550
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.3400
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.3400
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.3600
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.3450
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.3350
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.3400
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.1150
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.1050
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.1850
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.1900
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.1200
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0750
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0750
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0700
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0700
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 105.50, Sell volume: 609.84, Average price: 0.3688, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.2000
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.1950
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.1950
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1200
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.1650
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.1400
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.1350
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.1400
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0950
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0900
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.1150
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0900
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.1100
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.1000
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.1800
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.1850
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.1450
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.1200
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.1850
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.1700
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.2000
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.2150
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.2150
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.2000
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.1950
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.1350
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1.04, Sell volume: 21.04, Average price: 0.6000, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.1450
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.1500
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.2000
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.2000
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.2300
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.1400
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.1750
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.1650
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.1650
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.1650
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.1650
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.2050
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.2450
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.2400
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.1650
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.1650
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.1450
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0950
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0950
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0950
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.1050
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.1000
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 107.82, Sell volume: 232.40, Average price: 0.6878, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.1000
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.1000
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.1000
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.1000
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.1000
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.3400
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.3550
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.3900
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.4100
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.3850
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.3850
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.3600
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.3600
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.3750
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.3850
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.3950
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.4300
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.4350
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.3850
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.3850
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.3850
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.3850
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.3850
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.3850
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.4200
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.4850
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.4850
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.3850
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 704.38, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.2793, Price range: 0.1160 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.4200
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.4050
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.3750
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.3350
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.3550
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.3550
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.3550
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.3550
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.3550
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.3550
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.3550
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.4050
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.3850
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.4250
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.3750
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.3750
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.3750
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.3800
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.4300
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.4250
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.4800
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.4300
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.4700
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.4350
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.4050
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.3650
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.3550
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.3550
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.3550
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2006.90, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6580, Price range: 0.5119 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.5550
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.5650
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.5400
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.5450
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.5500
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.5100
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.5150
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.5050
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.4300
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.5150
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.6200
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.6200
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.5350
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.5400
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.5650
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.5550
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.5400
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.5700
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.5650
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.7050
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.7250
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.8150
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.8150
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.8050
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.8150
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.8200
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.8200
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.8200
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 777.14, Sell volume: 836.45, Average price: 0.4781, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.8350
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.8400
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.7800
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.7150
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.6950
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.7000
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.7000
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.7050
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.7000
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.7000
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.7600
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.6950
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.7000
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.6950
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.6900
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.7000
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.7200
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.7200
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.7100
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.7200
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.7200
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.7150
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.7250
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.7250
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.7200
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.7200
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.7250
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.7300
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.7250
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 11.45, Sell volume: 263.93, Average price: 0.5246, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7978
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525195
Question: Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?
Volume: 149409.013073
Price History:
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.7250
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.7250
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.7250
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.7300
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.7250
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.7300
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9450
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.7900
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.8700
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.7600
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.8150
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.8450
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.8800
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.8800
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.8700
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.8200
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.8800
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.8600
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.8600
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.8950
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.8500
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.8600
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.8550
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.8500
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.8500
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.8650
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.8500
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.8500
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.8500
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2785.31, Sell volume: 154.97, Average price: 0.5779, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.4250
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5750
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.4150
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5850
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.1950
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.8050
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.2100
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.7900
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.2100
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.7900
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 386.63, Sell volume: 340.00, Average price: 0.4749, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.7950
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.2050
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.7950
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.2050
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.7950
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.2050
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.7950
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2050
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.7950
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.2050
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7950
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.2050
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.7950
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.2050
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.7950
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.2050
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.7950
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.2050
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.7950
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.2050
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.7950
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.2050
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.7950
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.2000
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.8000
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.2300
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.7700
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.2300
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.7700
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.2300
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.7700
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.2300
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.7700
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.2300
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.7700
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 278.62, Sell volume: 331.63, Average price: 0.4067, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.3300
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.6700
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.3250
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.6750
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.3350
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.6650
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.3350
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.6650
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.3350
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.6650
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.3300
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.6700
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.3350
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.6650
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.3350
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.6650
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.3350
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.6650
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.3300
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.6700
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.3300
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.6700
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.3450
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.6550
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.3500
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.6500
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.3500
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.6500
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.3500
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.6500
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.3500
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.6500
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.3500
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.6500
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.6450
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.3500
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.6500
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.3500
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.6500
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.3600
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 493.77, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.8745

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.2800
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.7450
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.2550
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.7450
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.2550
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.7600
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6250
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.3750
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.5150
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.4850
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.3700
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.6300
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.3100
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.6900
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.3000
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.7000
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.3100
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.6900
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.3100
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.6900
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 368.97, Sell volume: 253.88, Average price: 0.3682, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.2900
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.7100
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.7050
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.7050
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.7050
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.3000
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.7000
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.3000
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.7000
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.3100
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.6900
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.6850
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.4300
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.5700
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.4250
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.5750
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.4350
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.5650
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.4300
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.5700
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.4050
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.5950
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.3900
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.6100
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.3750
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.3850
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.6150
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.3750
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.3850
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.6150
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.3700
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.6300
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.3600
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.6400
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.4000
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.6000
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.4000
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 360.00, Sell volume: 149.39, Average price: 0.4208, Price range: 0.3524 - 0.5700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.5950
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.4050
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.5950
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.3900
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.6100
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.3900
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.6100
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.3850
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.6150
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.3850
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.6150
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.3800
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.6200
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.3800
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.6200
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.3800
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.6200
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.3650
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.6350
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.3700
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.6300
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.3750
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.6250
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.3750
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.6250
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.3850
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.6150
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.4050
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.5950
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.4100
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.5900
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.5400
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.4600
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.6150
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.3850
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.3750
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1018.04, Sell volume: 103.00, Average price: 0.4250, Price range: 0.3868 - 0.5993

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.5350
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.4650
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.5350
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.4650
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.4900
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.5100
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.5300
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.4750
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.4800
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.5300
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.4600
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.4550
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.5450
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.4600
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.5400
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.4500
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.4500
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.5500
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.4550
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.5450
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.4800
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.4500
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.5500
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 108.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5631, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.6254

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.4350
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.4350
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.4500
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4500
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5500
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.3900
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.6100
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.3900
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.6100
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.6800
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 455.89, Sell volume: 23.99, Average price: 0.5560, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.4600
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5400
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4600
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5400
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4600
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5400
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5100
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5100
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4800
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.5400
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.4600
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5350
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4300
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 282.46, Sell volume: 26.01, Average price: 0.5076, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.5700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4800
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.5400
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5550
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4450
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5400
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5450
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4550
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 375.38, Sell volume: 111.70, Average price: 0.5059, Price range: 0.4318 - 0.5700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4650
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 49.00, Sell volume: 96.52, Average price: 0.5107, Price range: 0.4043 - 0.5709

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4800
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5150
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4850
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.3150
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6850
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.2100
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.7900
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.2200
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.7800
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 835.41, Sell volume: 1147.65, Average price: 0.3147, Price range: 0.0656 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0400
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9600
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0350
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9650
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0545
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9455
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0535
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9465
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0245
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9755
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0110
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9890
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0110
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9895
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0200
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9800
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9780
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0210
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9790
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0215
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9785
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0175
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9825
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0240
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9760
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0185
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9815
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 9227.16, Sell volume: 15785.33, Average price: 0.2720, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9962

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.4250
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5750
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.4150
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5850
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.1950
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.8050
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.2100
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.7900
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 386.63, Sell volume: 340.00, Average price: 0.4749, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.7950
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.2050
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.7950
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.2050
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.7950
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.2050
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.7950
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2050
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.7950
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.2050
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7950
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.2050
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.7950
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.2050
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.7950
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 278.62, Sell volume: 331.63, Average price: 0.4067, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.3300
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.6700
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.3250
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.6750
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.3350
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.6650
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.3350
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.6650
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.3350
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.6650
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.3300
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.6700
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.3350
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.6650
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.3350
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.6650
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.3350
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.6650
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.3300
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.6700
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.3300
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.6700
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 493.77, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.8745
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.2800
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.7450
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.2550
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.7450
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.2550
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.7600
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6250
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.3750
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.5150
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.4850
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 368.97, Sell volume: 253.88, Average price: 0.3682, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.2900
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.7100
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.7050
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.7050
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.7050
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.3000
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.7000
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.3000
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.7000
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.3100
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.6900
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.6850
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.4300
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.5700
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.4250
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.5750
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.4350
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.5650
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.4300
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.5700
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.4050
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.5950
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.3900
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 360.00, Sell volume: 149.39, Average price: 0.4208, Price range: 0.3524 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.5950
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.4050
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.5950
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.3900
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.6100
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.3900
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.6100
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.3850
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.6150
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.3850
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.6150
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.3800
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.6200
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.3800
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.6200
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.3800
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.6200
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.3650
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.6350
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.3700
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.6300
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.3750
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.6250
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.3750
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.6250
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.3850
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.6150
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1018.04, Sell volume: 103.00, Average price: 0.4250, Price range: 0.3868 - 0.5993
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.5350
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.4650
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.5350
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.4650
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.4900
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.5100
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.5300
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.4750
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.4800
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.5300
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 108.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5631, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.6254
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.4350
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.4350
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.4500
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4500
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5500
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 455.89, Sell volume: 23.99, Average price: 0.5560, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.4600
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5400
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4600
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5400
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4600
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5400
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 282.46, Sell volume: 26.01, Average price: 0.5076, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4800
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.5400
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5550
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4450
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5400
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5450
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4550
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 375.38, Sell volume: 111.70, Average price: 0.5059, Price range: 0.4318 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4650
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 49.00, Sell volume: 96.52, Average price: 0.5107, Price range: 0.4043 - 0.5709
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4800
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 835.41, Sell volume: 1147.65, Average price: 0.3147, Price range: 0.0656 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666074
Question: Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 47244.208042
Price History:
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0400
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9600
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0350
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9650
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0545
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9455
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0535
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9465
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0245
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9755
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0110
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 9227.16, Sell volume: 15785.33, Average price: 0.2720, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9962
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.5300
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.4700
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.5300
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 67.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5504, Price range: 0.5420 - 0.5588

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.2500
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.2550
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.7450
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.2550
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.7450
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.2550
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.2500
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2500
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.2350
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.7650
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.2350
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.7600
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.2400
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.2500
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.2500
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.2500
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.2500
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.2500
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.2500
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.8100
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.1900
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.8050
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.1950
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.7950
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.2050
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.8100
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.1900
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 12521.28, Sell volume: 2703.00, Average price: 0.3228, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.7450
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.2550
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.7450
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.2550
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.7450
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.2550
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.7450
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.2550
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.7450
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.2550
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.7450
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.2550
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.7150
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.2850
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.4350
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.5700
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.4300
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.5700
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.4300
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.5700
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.4300
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.5700
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.4300
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.5700
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.1200, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.1200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.4300
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.4300
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.4300
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.6150
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.3850
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.3950
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.3950
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.3950
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.3950
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.6000
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 12521.28, Sell volume: 2703.00, Average price: 0.3228, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9990

Output: No