Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.1000
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9000
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.0600
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.9400
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0450
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.9550
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.0450
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.9550
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0450
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9550
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0450
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.9550
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0550
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9450
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0500
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.9500
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0500
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.9500
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0400
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0400
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0400
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0400
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0400
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0400
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1698.40, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.4399, Price range: 0.0399 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.9635
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0350
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.9650
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0350
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.9650
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0355
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.9645
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0350
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.9650
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0365
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.9635
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0355
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9645
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0345
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9655
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0335
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.9665
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0340
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.9660
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0330
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9670
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0330
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.9670
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0335
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.9665
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0310
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.9690
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0310
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.9690
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1348.16, Sell volume: 165.00, Average price: 0.2862, Price range: 0.0357 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0335
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.9665
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0340
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.9660
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0345
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.9655
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0340
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9660
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0350
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9650
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9670
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0335
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.9665
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0345
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9655
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0335
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.9665
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0340
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9660
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0345
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.9655
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0310
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9690
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0350
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.9650
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0375
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9625
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0360
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2468.17, Sell volume: 49.99, Average price: 0.2715, Price range: 0.0319 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0325
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9675
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0325
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9675
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0335
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9665
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0335
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9665
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0325
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9675
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0325
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9675
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0325
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9675
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0335
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.9665
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 484.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6631, Price range: 0.0432 - 0.9730
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0355
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.9645
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0365
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.9635
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0350
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9650
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0360
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.9640
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0385
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9615
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0375
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.9625
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0375
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.9625
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0385
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9615
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0380
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9620
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0380
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9620
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0370
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9630
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0380
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9620
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0345
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.9655
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0350
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.9650
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0345
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1008.46, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.5970, Price range: 0.0299 - 0.9720
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.9650
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0350
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.9650
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0435
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.9565
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0450
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.9550
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0450
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.9550
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0455
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.9545
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0440
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.9560
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0435
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.9565
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0475
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.9525
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0470
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.9530
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0470
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.9530
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0475
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.9525
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0475
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.9525
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0475
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.9525
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0475
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.9525
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 2498.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0458 - 0.9620
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0455
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.9545
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.0445
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.9555
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0445
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.9555
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0440
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.9560
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.0435
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.9565
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0435
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.9565
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.0425
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.9575
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.0435
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.9565
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0430
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.9570
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.0435
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.9565
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.0430
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.9570
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.0430
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.9570
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.0425
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9575
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0430
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.9570
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0425
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.9575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 26.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0526, Price range: 0.0526 - 0.0526
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.9545
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.0460
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.9540
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0455
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.9545
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0455
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.9545
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0455
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.9545
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.0445
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.9555
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.0440
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.9560
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.0445
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.9555
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0440
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.9560
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.0445
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.9555
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0440
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.9560
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.0445
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.9555
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.0440
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.9560
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0445
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.9555
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.0440
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.9560
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1760.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8113, Price range: 0.0432 - 0.9650
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0375
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.9625
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.0380
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.9620
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.0385
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.9615
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0390
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.9610
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.0390
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.9610
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.0395
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.9605
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0390
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.9610
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.0375
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.9625
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.0375
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.9625
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.0375
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.9625
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.0375
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.9625
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.0375
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.9625
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.0370
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.9630
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0375
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.9625
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.0370
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 4560.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5019, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9657
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.9665
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0340
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.9660
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.0340
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.9660
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0325
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.9675
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.0350
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.9650
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.0345
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.9655
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.0360
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.9640
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.0340
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.9660
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.0345
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.9655
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0350
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.9650
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.0365
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.9635
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0355
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.9645
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.0410
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.9590
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0380
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.9620
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.0380
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.9620
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.0380
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1150.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.0407 - 0.9718
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0410
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.9590
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0415
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.9585
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.0425
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.9575
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0410
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.9590
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.0425
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.9575
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.0425
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.9575
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0415
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.9585
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.0420
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.9580
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.0430
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.9570
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0420
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.9580
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0425
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.9575
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.0425
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.9575
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0440
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.9560
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.0445
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.9555
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.0445
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.9555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2511.26, Sell volume: 80.43, Average price: 0.6275, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.9667
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.9635
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.0360
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.9640
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.0355
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.9645
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0355
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.9645
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.0405
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.9595
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.0435
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.9565
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0425
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.9575
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.0435
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9565
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.0405
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.9595
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0405
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.9595
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0400
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.9600
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.0415
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.9585
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0430
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.9570
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.0415
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.9585
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.0415
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.9585
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3657.76, Sell volume: 1258.53, Average price: 0.6921, Price range: 0.0224 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.0260
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.9740
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.0285
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.9715
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0260
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.9740
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0255
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.9745
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.0250
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.9750
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.0260
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.9740
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.0255
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.9745
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.0255
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.9745
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0255
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.9745
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0260
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.9740
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.0255
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.9745
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0260
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.9740
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.0260
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.9740
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.0155
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.9845
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.0155
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 25395.82, Sell volume: 1701.46, Average price: 0.6739, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.3000
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.7000
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6650
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.4700
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.5300
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.4650
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.4450
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.5550
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.4400
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.5600
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.5150
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.4850
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 550200812.76, Sell volume: 150947772.10, Average price: 0.5801, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.7750
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.2250
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.2350
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.8550
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.1450
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.8300
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.1700
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8100
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1900
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.8050
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 550200812.76, Sell volume: 150947772.10, Average price: 0.5801, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.7900
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.2100
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.8150
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.8050
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.1950
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.1750
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7350
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.7450
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2550
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.7500
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.2500
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7500
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105894, Buy volume: 42812151.03, Sell volume: 5788225.98, Average price: 0.5391, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.7650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.2350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.7650
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.2350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.7700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.2300
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.7750
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.2250
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.8200
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.1800
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.8350
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.1650
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.8400
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.1600
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.8350
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 221778, Buy volume: 136911637.56, Sell volume: 33330755.88, Average price: 0.5402, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.8400
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.1600
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.8700
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.1300
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.8700
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.1300
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.8650
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.1350
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.8750
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.1250
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.8650
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.1350
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.8650
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 269730, Buy volume: 198288987.57, Sell volume: 68023748.16, Average price: 0.4581, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.8800
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.1200
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.8750
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.1250
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.8650
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.1350
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.8650
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.1350
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.8650
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.1350
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.8750
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.1250
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.8750
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.1250
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.8650
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.1350
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 341672, Buy volume: 118417979.21, Sell volume: 37986528.09, Average price: 0.7213, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.8650
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.1350
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.1350
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.8650
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.8750
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.1250
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 260, Buy volume: 223624.06, Sell volume: 62968.89, Average price: 0.6009, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9300
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9450
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0550
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9450
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0550
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9450
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0550
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9450
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0550
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9665
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 165, Buy volume: 108480.20, Sell volume: 59685.38, Average price: 0.5157, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9670
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0330
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9665
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0335
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9670
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0330
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9675
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0325
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9690
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0310
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9685
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0315
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9685
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0315
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9780
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0220
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9795
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0205
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89, Buy volume: 28227.86, Sell volume: 65098.49, Average price: 0.4949, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9830

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9810
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0190
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9770
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0230
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9585
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0415
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9665
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0335
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9715
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0285
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9665
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0335
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9665
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0335
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9670
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0330
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9765
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0235
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9790
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 61123.60, Sell volume: 18903.69, Average price: 0.6573, Price range: 0.0184 - 0.9816

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9775
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0225
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9865
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0135
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9895
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0105
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9845
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0155
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9905
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0095
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 15827.06, Sell volume: 57831.42, Average price: 0.6311, Price range: 0.0039 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9920
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0080
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9870
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0130
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9905
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9910
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0090
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9925
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9815
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 76511.91, Sell volume: 86330.63, Average price: 0.4871, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 126660.73, Sell volume: 72071.37, Average price: 0.7287, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.3000
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.7000
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6650
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.4700
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.5300
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.4650
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.4450
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.5550
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.4400
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.5600
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.5150
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.4850
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 550200812.76, Sell volume: 150947772.10, Average price: 0.5801, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.7750
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.2250
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.2350
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.8550
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.1450
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.8300
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.1700
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8100
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1900
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.8050
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 550200812.76, Sell volume: 150947772.10, Average price: 0.5801, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.7900
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.2100
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.8150
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.8050
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.1950
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.1750
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7350
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.7450
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2550
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.7500
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.2500
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7500
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105894, Buy volume: 42812151.03, Sell volume: 5788225.98, Average price: 0.5391, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.7650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.2350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.7650
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.2350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.7700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.2300
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.7750
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.2250
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.8200
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.1800
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.8350
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.1650
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.8400
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.1600
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.8350
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 221778, Buy volume: 136911637.56, Sell volume: 33330755.88, Average price: 0.5402, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.8400
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.1600
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.8700
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.1300
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.8700
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.1300
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.8650
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.1350
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.8750
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.1250
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.8650
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.1350
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.8650
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 269730, Buy volume: 198288987.57, Sell volume: 68023748.16, Average price: 0.4581, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.8800
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.1200
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.8750
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.1250
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.8650
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.1350
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.8650
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.1350
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.8650
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.1350
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.8750
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.1250
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.8750
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.1250
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.8650
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.1350
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 341672, Buy volume: 118417979.21, Sell volume: 37986528.09, Average price: 0.7213, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.8650
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.1350
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.1350
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.8650
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.8750
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.1250
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 260, Buy volume: 223624.06, Sell volume: 62968.89, Average price: 0.6009, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9300
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9450
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0550
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9450
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0550
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9450
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0550
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9450
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0550
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9665
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 165, Buy volume: 108480.20, Sell volume: 59685.38, Average price: 0.5157, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9670
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0330
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9665
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0335
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9670
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0330
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9675
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0325
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9690
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0310
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9685
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0315
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9685
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0315
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9780
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0220
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9795
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0205
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89, Buy volume: 28227.86, Sell volume: 65098.49, Average price: 0.4949, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9830
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9810
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0190
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9770
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0230
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9585
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0415
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9665
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0335
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9715
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0285
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9665
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0335
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9665
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0335
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9670
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0330
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9765
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0235
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9790
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 61123.60, Sell volume: 18903.69, Average price: 0.6573, Price range: 0.0184 - 0.9816
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9775
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0225
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9865
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0135
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9895
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0105
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9845
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0155
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9905
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0095
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 15827.06, Sell volume: 57831.42, Average price: 0.6311, Price range: 0.0039 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9920
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0080
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9870
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0130
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9905
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9910
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0090
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9925
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9815
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 76511.91, Sell volume: 86330.63, Average price: 0.4871, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687533
Question: Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1717588.925703
Price History:
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 126660.73, Sell volume: 72071.37, Average price: 0.7287, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.2000
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.4450
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.4950
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.5650
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.5450
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.5400
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.4250
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.4750
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.4700
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.4750
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.8100
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.6850
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.7450
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.6550
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.6450
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.5950
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.7300
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.6950
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.7400
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.7350
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.7450
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.7300
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.7250
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.7700
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.8200
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.8500
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.8800
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.8600
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.8250
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.8200
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.8550
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.8700
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.8400
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.7950
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.4850
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.4200
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.4950
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.4050
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.3900
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.4000
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.4500
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.3500
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.3000
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.2650
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.2650
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.2750
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 31533075.33, Sell volume: 26111044.38, Average price: 0.5156, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.2850
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.2800
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.3050
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.2800
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.3050
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.4000
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.4350
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.5700
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.5700
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.5050
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.5050
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.4700
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.4650
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.4650
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.4850
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.4650
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.4500
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.4800
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.4850
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.4800
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.4750
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.4900
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.4950
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.5300
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.5150
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.5000
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.5200
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.6650
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.5950
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.6550
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.6800
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.6450
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.6000
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.6150
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.5150
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.5250
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.5300
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.5250
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.4500
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.4500
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.4450
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.4650
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.4700
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.5100
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.5750
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.5550
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 215784, Buy volume: 4399811.53, Sell volume: 4447767.78, Average price: 0.5146, Price range: 0.3281 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.6250
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.6250
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.6150
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.6150
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.6450
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.6350
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.6350
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.6550
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.6650
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.6650
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.6850
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.6850
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.6700
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.6550
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.6700
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.5550
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.5700
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.5800
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.6100
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.5500
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.5550
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.5600
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.5850
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.6150
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.5750
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.5550
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.5800
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.5700
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.5800
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.5900
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.5900
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.5700
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.5950
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.5900
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.5850
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.5900
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.5350
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.5200
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.6050
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.6350
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.6250
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.6200
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.6350
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.6200
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.6100
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.6300
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.6350
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.6400
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.6150
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 265734, Buy volume: 8894462.00, Sell volume: 8874416.70, Average price: 0.5392, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.6050
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.6450
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.6550
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.6550
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.6100
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.6600
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.6600
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.6700
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.6750
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.6750
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.6750
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.7050
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.6750
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.6550
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.6850
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.6950
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.6950
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.6950
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.6800
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.6600
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.6550
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.6550
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.6600
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.6850
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.6750
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.6950
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.7250
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.7400
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.7550
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.7450
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.7650
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.7200
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.7050
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.7000
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.7000
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.7050
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.7000
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.7350
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.7200
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.7200
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.7350
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.7300
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.7500
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.7500
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.7450
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.7450
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.7550
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.7600
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 289710, Buy volume: 10375877.49, Sell volume: 5823850.32, Average price: 0.4997, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7673

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.7600
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.7600
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.7600
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.7600
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.7600
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.7600
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.7600
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.7400
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.7250
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.7200
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.7550
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.7850
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.7950
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.7700
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.7650
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.7650
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.7650
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.7650
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.7600
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.7550
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.7450
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.7250
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.7200
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.7200
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.7250
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.7250
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.7300
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.7250
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.7350
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.7350
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.7350
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.7550
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.7550
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.7150
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.7300
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.7350
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.7350
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.7250
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.7150
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.7150
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.7150
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.7200
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.7050
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.7400
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.7450
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.7400
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.7450
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.7350
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 177822, Buy volume: 6406328.49, Sell volume: 5464510.02, Average price: 0.4987, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.7300
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.7300
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.7400
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.7200
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.7300
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.7650
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.7350
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.7300
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.7300
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.7300
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.7300
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.7300
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.7300
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.7300
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.7350
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.7300
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.7200
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.7200
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.6450
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.6450
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.6450
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.6450
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.6450
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.6450
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.6500
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.6300
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.6500
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.7150
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.7150
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.7150
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.7050
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.7050
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.7050
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.7150
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.7050
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.7050
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.7050
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.7050
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.7050
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.2950
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.2950
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.7050
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.6750
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.6500
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.6500
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.6500
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.3600
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.3600
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49968, Buy volume: 1386047.03, Sell volume: 1471031.31, Average price: 0.5447, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.3350
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.3450
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.3300
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.3350
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.3250
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.3250
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.3350
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.6750
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.6850
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.3050
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.3150
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.6900
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.6700
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.6650
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.3300
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.6650
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.6450
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.6450
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.3550
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.6450
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.6450
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.6550
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.6450
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.6500
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.6550
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.3450
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.6450
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.3550
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.3500
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.6500
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.6400
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.6650
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.6650
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.7000
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.5450
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.4000
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.3900
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.5900
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.6100
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.4900
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.4800
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.4650
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.5250
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.4800
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.5900
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.6100
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.5050
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.5550
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.5550
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 196, Buy volume: 8924.89, Sell volume: 3482.06, Average price: 0.5078, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.4500
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.4550
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.5150
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.5450
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.4900
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.5000
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.4600
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.5800
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.4250
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.5700
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.4200
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.5650
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.3900
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.6000
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.3750
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.3850
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.6150
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.3850
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.4300
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.3850
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.5800
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.4200
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.4100
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.5900
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.5950
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.5900
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.5900
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.3900
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.6300
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.3700
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.3750
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.3650
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.3900
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.4000
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.3950
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.3850
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.4200
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.6300
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.6350
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.6350
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.5850
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.3950
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.5850
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.6200
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.6250
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.6350
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.6500
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 2409.13, Sell volume: 2768.15, Average price: 0.5300, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.6050
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.3850
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.6000
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.5850
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.5800
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.4100
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.5750
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.6000
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.3900
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.6100
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.5950
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.6050
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.6000
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.4100
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.4100
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.3800
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.6650
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.6150
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.3700
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.3700
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.3700
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.3550
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.4100
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.5900
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.5900
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.4250
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.5800
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.5850
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.4050
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.4150
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.5850
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.4200
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.4150
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.4050
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.4100
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.4100
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.4100
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.5900
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.5950
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.5900
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.5750
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.5700
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.5800
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.5800
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.4150
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.4150
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.5800
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.5750
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.4200
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 3517.75, Sell volume: 2097.06, Average price: 0.5359, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.2550
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.7800
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.2250
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.2250
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.2250
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.2250
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.2250
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.2250
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.7750
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.2150
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.2150
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.7850
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.2100
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.2100
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.2050
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.2050
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.1850
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.8100
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.8150
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.7400
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.2300
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.7700
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.2200
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.2400
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.2400
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.2350
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.2300
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.7700
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.7650
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.7300
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.2750
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.7300
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.2650
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.8800
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.1000
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 135, Buy volume: 6902.24, Sell volume: 3841.04, Average price: 0.6311, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9400
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9400
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.8350
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.8900
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.8800
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9550
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 2455.59, Sell volume: 7218.39, Average price: 0.7229, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9300
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9600
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9500
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9500
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9450
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9450
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9450
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9400
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9400
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9450
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9450
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9450
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9500
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9500
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9500
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9500
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9500
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9600
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9595
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9590
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9590
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9590
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 3760.73, Sell volume: 1134.64, Average price: 0.6346, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9555
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9670
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9600
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9695
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9585
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9565
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9560
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9565
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9555
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9555
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9555
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9590
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9585
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9585
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9630
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9635
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9630
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9630
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9625
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9715
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9715
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9720
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9715
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9705
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9705
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9795
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9795
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9795
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9680
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9700
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9695
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9690
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9635
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9585
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9590
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9630
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9630
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9630
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9620
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9620
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9620
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9685
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9730
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9725
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9725
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9735
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9720
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 235, Buy volume: 41659.30, Sell volume: 8129.54, Average price: 0.5315, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.2000
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.4900
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.5350
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.5350
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.4350
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.4700
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.7550
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.7450
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.6400
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.6300
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.6900
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.7350
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.7350
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.7700
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.8350
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.8400
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.8300
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.8550
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.8500
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.7850
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.4200
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.4350
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.3750
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.4200
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.3000
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.2550
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.2400
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.2750
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 31533075.33, Sell volume: 26111044.38, Average price: 0.5156, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.2850
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.3050
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.2800
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.4300
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.5850
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.5600
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.5050
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.4800
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.4700
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.4850
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.4700
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.4900
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.4850
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.4800
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.4950
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.5250
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.4800
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.5500
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.6300
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.5450
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.5950
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.5150
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.5150
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.4950
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.4500
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.4450
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.4700
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.5550
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.5550
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 215784, Buy volume: 4399811.53, Sell volume: 4447767.78, Average price: 0.5146, Price range: 0.3281 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.6250
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.6150
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.6300
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.6400
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.6550
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.6650
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.6850
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.6700
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.6750
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.5550
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.5800
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.5600
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.5600
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.5850
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.5750
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.5550
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.5700
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.5950
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.5750
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.5950
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.5850
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.5350
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.5900
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.6300
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.6250
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.6350
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.6100
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.6400
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.6150
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 265734, Buy volume: 8894462.00, Sell volume: 8874416.70, Average price: 0.5392, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.6050
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.6500
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.6550
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.6600
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.6750
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.6750
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.6800
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.6750
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.6700
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.6950
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.6950
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.6600
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.6550
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.6600
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.6750
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.7250
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.7400
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.7350
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.7200
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.7050
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.7000
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.7250
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.7150
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.7450
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.7450
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.7600
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 289710, Buy volume: 10375877.49, Sell volume: 5823850.32, Average price: 0.4997, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7673
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.7600
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.7600
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.7600
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.7600
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.7250
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.7200
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.7550
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.7950
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.7650
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.7650
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.7650
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.7550
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.7300
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.7200
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.7250
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.7250
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.7400
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.7350
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.7550
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.7250
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.7300
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.7350
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.7200
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.7200
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.7200
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.7050
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.7550
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.7350
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.7350
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 177822, Buy volume: 6406328.49, Sell volume: 5464510.02, Average price: 0.4987, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.7300
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.7300
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.7250
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.7300
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.7300
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.7300
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.7300
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.7300
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7300
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.7200
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.6550
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.6450
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.6450
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.6450
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.6500
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.6500
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.7150
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.7050
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.7050
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.7050
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.7050
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.7050
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.7050
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.2950
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.6700
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.6550
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.6500
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.3600
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49968, Buy volume: 1386047.03, Sell volume: 1471031.31, Average price: 0.5447, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.3350
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.6550
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.3150
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.3250
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.3250
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.6950
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.3150
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.6700
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.6700
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.3550
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.3550
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.3550
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.6450
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.6450
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.6550
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.6450
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.3600
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.6600
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.6650
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.7050
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.3950
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.3900
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.3800
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.5050
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.5200
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.4950
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.5850
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.4550
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.5550
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 196, Buy volume: 8924.89, Sell volume: 3482.06, Average price: 0.5078, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.4500
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.4750
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.5450
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.5000
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.4500
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.4250
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.6000
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.6000
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.3850
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.3700
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.4300
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.5900
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.4200
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.5900
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.5900
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.6100
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.3700
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.3700
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.3950
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.4000
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.5850
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.6200
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.6050
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.5800
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.3650
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.6500
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 2409.13, Sell volume: 2768.15, Average price: 0.5300, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.6050
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.5750
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.4350
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.4300
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.6000
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.5950
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.6000
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.4150
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.3900
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.6150
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.3700
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.3550
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.4100
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.5900
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.5650
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.5850
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.4200
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.4200
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.4100
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.4100
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.4100
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.5900
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.5800
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.4250
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.4200
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.4200
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.4200
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.4200
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 3517.75, Sell volume: 2097.06, Average price: 0.5359, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.2550
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.7750
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.7750
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.2250
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.2250
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.2150
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.2150
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.7900
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.2050
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.2100
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.2300
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.2300
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.2200
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.2400
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.2250
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.7700
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.7250
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.7300
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.2650
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.1250
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 135, Buy volume: 6902.24, Sell volume: 3841.04, Average price: 0.6311, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9400
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.8400
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.1250
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0450
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 2455.59, Sell volume: 7218.39, Average price: 0.7229, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9500
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9450
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9400
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9450
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9500
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9500
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9500
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9500
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9500
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9595
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9590
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9590
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 3760.73, Sell volume: 1134.64, Average price: 0.6346, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543204
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Volume: 427311.887843
Price History:
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9640
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9695
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9605
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9575
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9545
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9555
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9590
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9585
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9630
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9635
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9675
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9730
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9715
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9705
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9795
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9790
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9700
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9685
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9600
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9590
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9630
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9620
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9620
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9615
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9725
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9740
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9720
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 235, Buy volume: 41659.30, Sell volume: 8129.54, Average price: 0.5315, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.1800
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.8200
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1800
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.8200
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9000
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 4186.76, Sell volume: 670.77, Average price: 0.5143, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0550
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9700
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0460
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9540
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0265
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9735
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0265
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9735
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0260
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9740
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0260
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 15798.93, Sell volume: 1425.06, Average price: 0.3684, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9720

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0260
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9740
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0290
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9710
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0235
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9765
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0235
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9765
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0310
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9690
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0410
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9590
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0425
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9575
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0430
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9570
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0460
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9540
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0475
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9525
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 16659.04, Sell volume: 4454.42, Average price: 0.4532, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0430
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9570
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0405
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9595
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0435
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9565
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0320
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9680
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0265
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9735
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0265
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9735
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0270
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9730
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0265
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9735
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0265
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9735
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0380
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 24611.21, Sell volume: 10490.53, Average price: 0.7669, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0320
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9680
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0285
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9715
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0265
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9735
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9745
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0240
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9760
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0240
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9760
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0245
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9755
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0285
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9715
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0285
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9715
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0295
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 8119.78, Sell volume: 2653.22, Average price: 0.7246, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9785

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0305
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9695
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0265
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9735
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0260
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9740
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0275
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9725
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0295
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9705
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0290
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9710
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0280
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9720
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0280
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9720
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0270
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9730
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0280
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 8851.69, Sell volume: 1724.13, Average price: 0.8476, Price range: 0.0280 - 0.9759

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0190
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9810
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0205
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9795
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0210
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9790
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0155
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9845
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0190
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9810
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9780
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9780
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0225
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 5535.76, Sell volume: 2313.35, Average price: 0.6688, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0175
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9825
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0155
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9845
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0140
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9860
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0115
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9885
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0140
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9860
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0160
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9840
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0160
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9840
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 4755.14, Sell volume: 10316.88, Average price: 0.6796, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0180
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9820
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0145
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9855
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0130
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9870
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0135
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9865
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0110
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9890
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0100
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9900
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0100
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0105
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9895
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0065
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1027, Buy volume: 30493.17, Sell volume: 3424.75, Average price: 0.9858, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9977

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 7015.41, Sell volume: 6331.73, Average price: 0.4239, Price range: 0.0029 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 6751.68, Sell volume: 6385.98, Average price: 0.1516, Price range: 0.0036 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 4929.59, Sell volume: 7341.40, Average price: 0.2972, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 19265.56, Sell volume: 23854.14, Average price: 0.3895, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.1800
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.8200
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1800
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.8200
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9000
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 4186.76, Sell volume: 670.77, Average price: 0.5143, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0550
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9700
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0460
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9540
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0265
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9735
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0265
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9735
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0260
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9740
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0260
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 15798.93, Sell volume: 1425.06, Average price: 0.3684, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9720
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0260
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9740
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0290
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9710
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0235
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9765
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0235
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9765
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0310
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9690
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0410
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9590
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0425
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9575
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0430
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9570
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0460
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9540
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0475
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9525
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 16659.04, Sell volume: 4454.42, Average price: 0.4532, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0430
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9570
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0405
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9595
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0435
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9565
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0320
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9680
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0265
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9735
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0265
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9735
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0270
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9730
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0265
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9735
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0265
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9735
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0380
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 24611.21, Sell volume: 10490.53, Average price: 0.7669, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0320
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9680
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0285
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9715
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0265
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9735
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9745
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0240
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9760
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0240
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9760
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0245
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9755
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0285
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9715
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0285
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9715
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0295
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 8119.78, Sell volume: 2653.22, Average price: 0.7246, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9785
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0305
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9695
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0265
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9735
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0260
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9740
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0275
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9725
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0295
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9705
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0290
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9710
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0280
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9720
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0280
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9720
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0270
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9730
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0280
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 8851.69, Sell volume: 1724.13, Average price: 0.8476, Price range: 0.0280 - 0.9759
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0190
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9810
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0205
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9795
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0210
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9790
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0155
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9845
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0190
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9810
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9780
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9780
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0225
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 5535.76, Sell volume: 2313.35, Average price: 0.6688, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0175
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9825
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0155
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9845
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0140
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9860
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0115
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9885
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0140
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9860
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0160
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9840
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0160
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9840
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 4755.14, Sell volume: 10316.88, Average price: 0.6796, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0180
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9820
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0145
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9855
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0130
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9870
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0135
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9865
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0110
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9890
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0100
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9900
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0100
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0105
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9895
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0065
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1027, Buy volume: 30493.17, Sell volume: 3424.75, Average price: 0.9858, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9977
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 7015.41, Sell volume: 6331.73, Average price: 0.4239, Price range: 0.0029 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 6751.68, Sell volume: 6385.98, Average price: 0.1516, Price range: 0.0036 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 4929.59, Sell volume: 7341.40, Average price: 0.2972, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687561
Question: Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 282431.645544
Price History:
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 19265.56, Sell volume: 23854.14, Average price: 0.3895, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.4950
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0450
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.0225
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.0200
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0425
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.0375
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.0330
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0380
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.0385
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0410
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.0610
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.0455
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0455
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.1215
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.1180
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.1260
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0820
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.0870
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0830
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0835
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0735
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0585
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0565
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0605
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0595
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0550
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0340
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0240
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0270
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0300
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0385
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0365
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0535
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0710
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0780
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.1185
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.1820
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.1305
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.1310
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.1315
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.1335
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.1285
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.1320
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.1155
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.1095
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.1045
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.1015
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.1025
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.1020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 646, Buy volume: 20542.52, Sell volume: 9161.05, Average price: 0.5207, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9870

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.1010
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.1010
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.1010
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.1005
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0990
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0945
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0830
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0555
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0525
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0520
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0525
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0530
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0530
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0535
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0550
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0540
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0535
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0525
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0525
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0535
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0775
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0780
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0455
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0455
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0445
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0585
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0435
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0505
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0505
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0445
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0525
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0425
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0445
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0430
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0435
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0450
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0435
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0450
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0475
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0470
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0490
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0495
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0490
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0485
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0445
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0450
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 174, Buy volume: 4377.21, Sell volume: 4580.21, Average price: 0.3714, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9830

Output: No