Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.2500
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7500
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.2500
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.2550
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.7450
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.2550
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.2750
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.2800
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.6450
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3300
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.6550
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3400
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.6600
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.2900
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.7000
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.7000
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.2250
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.7700
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.7700
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.2600
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.2450
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8450
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.8350
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.8050
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.2100
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.7950
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.8000
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.2100
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.8100
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.1900
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.8000
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196298166.98, Sell volume: 53680124.58, Average price: 0.8612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.8500
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.8350
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.8800
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.1200
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.1350
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.1550
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.1550
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.8100
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.1850
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.8200
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.8150
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.1850
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.8250
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9300
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.1500
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.8500
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.8650
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.1150
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196298166.98, Sell volume: 53680124.58, Average price: 0.8612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9745
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0495
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0360
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9380
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9490
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0350
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0410
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0520
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9445
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0430
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9475
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9555
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9555
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0445
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9465
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9445
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0540
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9495
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0460
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9595
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0400
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9480
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0565
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9405
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0595
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9380
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0605
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0655
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0640
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0645
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0690
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0775
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.0775
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9270
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0625
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0675
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9420
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0570
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9340
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9435
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9430
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0570
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.9435
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0565
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0580
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0570
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.9380
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.9520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196298166.98, Sell volume: 53680124.58, Average price: 0.8612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0585
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0470
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0460
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0470
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9570
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9530
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9360
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0695
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9265
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9235
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.8940
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.1035
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.8810
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0880
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0900
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0905
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.8970
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0995
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0870
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.8655
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.8455
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.1520
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.8540
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.8645
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.1130
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.8870
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.8925
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.1160
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.1195
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.8760
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.1490
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8510
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1495
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1510
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8560
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1435
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.8485
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.1615
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.1325
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.1145
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.8850
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.1225
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.1520
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.1315
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.8310
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.1570
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.8355
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.1510
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.8365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196298166.98, Sell volume: 53680124.58, Average price: 0.8612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.8310
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.1565
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.8465
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.1520
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.8280
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.1570
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.8470
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.8495
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.8495
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.8500
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.1550
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.8455
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.8605
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.1350
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.8795
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.1215
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.8790
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.1115
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.1010
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.1045
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.1025
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.8905
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0930
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.1010
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9315
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9020
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.1045
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.1095
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.8925
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.1070
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.8940
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.1065
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.8935
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.1090
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.8925
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.1125
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.1055
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.8945
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.1150
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.8850
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.1320
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.8650
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.1155
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.8745
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0970
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9125
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.1000
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.8915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196298166.98, Sell volume: 53680124.58, Average price: 0.8612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.8925
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.1105
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.8895
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.1370
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.8615
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.1395
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.8680
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.1365
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.8630
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.1380
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.8620
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.1385
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.8620
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.1585
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.8685
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.1510
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.8010
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.1915
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.8180
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.1700
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.8310
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.1780
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.8195
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.1875
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.8145
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.2060
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.7840
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.1915
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.6930
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.1720
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.8340
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.1670
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.8345
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.1835
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.8165
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.1635
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.8330
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.1570
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.8435
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.1565
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.8490
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.1535
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.8480
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.1610
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.8520
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.1445
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.8580
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.1245
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.8960
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196298166.98, Sell volume: 53680124.58, Average price: 0.8612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0775
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9090
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0955
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9100
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0865
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9145
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0870
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9165
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9160
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.8955
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0855
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9155
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0845
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9155
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0825
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9175
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0825
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9440
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0610
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9355
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0690
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9310
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0620
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9405
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0760
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0720
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9240
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9045
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0895
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9115
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.1195
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.8825
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0790
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9210
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9100
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.1025
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9080
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.1015
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9010
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0845
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9180
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0725
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196298166.98, Sell volume: 53680124.58, Average price: 0.8612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9295
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0865
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9135
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9130
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0895
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9085
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0775
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9290
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0875
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9120
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0845
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9185
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.1015
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9065
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0765
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9270
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0095
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9850
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0145
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9905
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0110
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9855
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0145
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9890
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0105
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9925
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0110
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9895
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0105
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9885
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0085
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9915
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0080
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9920
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0105
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9890
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0105
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9885
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9880
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0125
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9870
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0170
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9860
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0125
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9870
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196298166.98, Sell volume: 53680124.58, Average price: 0.8612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0125
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9860
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0135
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9765
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0250
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9765
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0255
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9820
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0160
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9845
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0185
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9775
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0185
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9810
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9845
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0210
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9830
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0175
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9825
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0160
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9830
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0155
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9855
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0140
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9875
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0120
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9845
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0120
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9880
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0145
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9865
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0140
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9885
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0130
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9865
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0125
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9875
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0115
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9885
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0125
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9885
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9890
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0115
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9870
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0125
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9875
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0125
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999191, Buy volume: 195566908.33, Sell volume: 53491343.84, Average price: 0.8614, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9880
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0115
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9870
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0130
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9870
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0130
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9910
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9930
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0090
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9910
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9895
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0105
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9905
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9910
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0090
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9910
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9910
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9875
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0115
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0120
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9885
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0115
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0105
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9855
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0200
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9815
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0260
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9765
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0205
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9810
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9765
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0560
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 344, Buy volume: 218310.63, Sell volume: 39103.93, Average price: 0.5730, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0375
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9655
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0400
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0395
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9660
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0365
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9635
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0260
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9745
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9605
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0255
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9760
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0175
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9845
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0195
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9760
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0275
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9715
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0315
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9645
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0380
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9625
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0345
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9415
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0480
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9540
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0490
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9705
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0260
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9770
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0245
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9755
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9780
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0185
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9830
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0135
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9805
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0155
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9895
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9915
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 454, Buy volume: 499630.25, Sell volume: 149664.67, Average price: 0.5233, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.5000
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.5300
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.2700
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.2700
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.7550
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.1900
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.1850
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.1800
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.1700
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.1650
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.8450
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.1600
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.8550
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.8500
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.1500
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.8500
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0600
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9050
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.8950
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.1250
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.8750
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9150
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.9300
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9500
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9150
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.9200
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0800
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.9250
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196298166.98, Sell volume: 53680124.58, Average price: 0.8612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0850
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.8700
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.1300
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.1400
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.1400
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.1300
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.1250
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.8800
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.8850
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.8850
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.1150
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.8850
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.8800
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.1450
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.8400
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.8050
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.8100
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.8450
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7900
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.7800
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2200
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7550
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.7500
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196298166.98, Sell volume: 53680124.58, Average price: 0.8612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.2500
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.2500
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.7500
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.7450
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.6650
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.6700
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3400
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.3400
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.2900
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.7050
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.1900
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.7700
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.2400
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.8150
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.2100
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.7950
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.8100
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196298166.98, Sell volume: 53680124.58, Average price: 0.8612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.8800
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.1400
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.1550
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.8250
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196298166.98, Sell volume: 53680124.58, Average price: 0.8612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0880
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0510
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0375
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0520
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0400
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0495
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0445
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9555
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9445
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9495
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0380
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9600
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9485
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9405
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.9410
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0605
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9360
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0665
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0775
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0625
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.9325
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9430
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9340
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9435
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9430
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9435
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196298166.98, Sell volume: 53680124.58, Average price: 0.8612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0585
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0460
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9530
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9600
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0575
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0695
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0735
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.1060
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.1185
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0900
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0905
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.8965
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9130
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.8470
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.8540
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.8645
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.1175
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.1075
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.8835
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.1225
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8510
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.8500
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.1440
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.1310
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.1590
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.1145
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.8810
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.8480
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.1705
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.1560
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196298166.98, Sell volume: 53680124.58, Average price: 0.8612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.8310
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.8430
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.8505
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.8430
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.8460
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.8495
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.8325
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.8615
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.8650
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.8770
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.8790
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.8915
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.8935
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.8975
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.1015
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.1010
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9070
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.8920
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.1075
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.1030
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.1065
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.1095
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.1075
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.1055
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.1150
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.1165
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.1405
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.1255
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196298166.98, Sell volume: 53680124.58, Average price: 0.8612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.8925
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.8890
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.8630
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.8650
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.8620
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.8630
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.8615
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.8615
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.8475
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.8490
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.8010
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.8160
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.8300
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.8360
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.8230
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.8145
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.7930
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.8085
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.7500
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.8315
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.8345
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.8070
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.8365
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.8420
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.8440
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.8490
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.8455
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.8390
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.8560
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.8530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196298166.98, Sell volume: 53680124.58, Average price: 0.8612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0775
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0945
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0940
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0855
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0865
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0835
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0845
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0825
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0825
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0545
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0605
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0690
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0625
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0695
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0715
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0890
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.1400
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.1175
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0785
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0910
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0945
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0990
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196298166.98, Sell volume: 53680124.58, Average price: 0.8612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9295
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9135
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9100
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9090
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9095
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9290
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9120
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9155
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9045
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9270
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9850
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9855
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9890
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9855
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9890
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9895
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9890
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9895
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9915
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9915
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9895
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9895
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9885
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9890
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9875
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9870
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196298166.98, Sell volume: 53680124.58, Average price: 0.8612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0125
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0175
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0235
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0235
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0195
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0160
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0175
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0160
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0190
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0210
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0175
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0170
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0170
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0145
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0140
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0120
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0160
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0120
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0135
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0140
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0130
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0125
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0125
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0115
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0125
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0130
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999191, Buy volume: 195566908.33, Sell volume: 53491343.84, Average price: 0.8614, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9880
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9885
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9870
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9870
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9910
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9930
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9910
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9905
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9895
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9905
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9910
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9905
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9905
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9910
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9885
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9885
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9885
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9895
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9805
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9815
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9750
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9795
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9810
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 344, Buy volume: 218310.63, Sell volume: 39103.93, Average price: 0.5730, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0375
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0365
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0340
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0365
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0260
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0335
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0240
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0195
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0340
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0355
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0375
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0345
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0410
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0500
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0295
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0250
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0245
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0220
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0175
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0170
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0180
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0155
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0095
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 454, Buy volume: 499630.25, Sell volume: 149664.67, Average price: 0.5233, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0450
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9550
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0450
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9550
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9550
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0450
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9550
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0450
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9600
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0400
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9700
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0300
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9705
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0295
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0300
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9700
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9800
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0200
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9800
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0200
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9800
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0200
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9800
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0200
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9800
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0200
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9815
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0185
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9820
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0180
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9815
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0185
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0185
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9815
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9825
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0175
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9825
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0175
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0180
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9820
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9820
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0180
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0175
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9825
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 301.55, Sell volume: 16.73, Average price: 0.7580, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9820
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9825
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0175
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9820
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0180
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9825
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0175
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9820
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0180
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9815
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0185
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9820
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0180
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9820
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0180
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0175
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9825
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0180
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9820
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0175
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9825
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9820
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0180
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9825
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0175
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0185
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9815
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9825
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0175
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9815
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0185
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9825
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0175
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0185
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9815
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9815
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0185
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9815
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0185
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9815
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0185
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9815
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0185
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0180
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9820
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0180
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 208, Buy volume: 54437.26, Sell volume: 2711.12, Average price: 0.6201, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0175
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9825
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9820
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0180
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0185
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9815
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9815
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0185
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9820
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0180
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9820
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0180
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9815
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0185
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9815
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0185
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9815
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0185
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0180
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9820
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9820
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0180
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9820
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0180
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9830
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0170
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0160
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9840
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0160
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9840
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0145
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9855
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0145
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9855
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9855
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0145
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 116.72, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9872, Price range: 0.9870 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9850
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0150
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9850
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9850
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0150
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9850
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0155
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9845
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0155
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9845
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9845
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0155
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0155
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9845
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9845
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0155
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0155
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9845
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9845
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 166.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7921, Price range: 0.0166 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9845
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0155
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9845
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0155
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9845
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0155
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0155
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9845
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0155
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9845
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0155
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9845
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9845
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0155
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0155
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9845
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0155
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9845
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9845
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0155
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9845
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0155
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9825
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0175
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9825
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0175
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9825
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0175
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9825
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0175
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9825
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0175
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9825
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0175
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9825
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0175
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9825
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0175
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9835
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0165
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0165
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9835
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0165
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9835
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9825
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0175
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 229.66, Sell volume: 271.16, Average price: 0.6623, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0175
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9825
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0175
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9825
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0175
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9825
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0175
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0175
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9825
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0170
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9830
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9825
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0175
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9825
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0175
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0175
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9825
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0170
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9830
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0175
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9825
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9830
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0170
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9830
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0170
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9825
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0175
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9830
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0170
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9825
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0175
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0175
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9825
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0175
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9825
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0175
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9825
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9825
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0175
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0170
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9830
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0170
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9830
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0175
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9825
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9825
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 32.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9855, Price range: 0.9850 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0175
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9825
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0165
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9835
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9830
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0170
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0165
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9835
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9830
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0170
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0170
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0170
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0165
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9835
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0165
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9835
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9840
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0160
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9840
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0160
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0165
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9835
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9840
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0160
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9835
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0165
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0165
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9835
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0170
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0170
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0170
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0170
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0170
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0170
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0170
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0170
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 560.15, Sell volume: 52.00, Average price: 0.7912, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0250
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0250
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9750
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0250
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9750
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0255
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9745
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0255
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9745
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0255
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9745
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0255
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9745
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0250
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9750
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9745
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0255
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0250
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9750
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0255
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9745
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0250
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9750
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0235
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9765
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0235
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9765
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0225
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9775
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0235
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9765
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0230
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9770
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0235
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9765
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0230
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9770
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0230
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9770
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0235
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9765
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0240
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9760
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0240
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9760
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0240
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 144.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8798, Price range: 0.0326 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0235
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9765
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0245
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9755
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0240
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9760
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0240
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9760
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0235
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9765
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0240
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9760
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9790
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0210
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0210
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.9790
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0210
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9790
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0205
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9795
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0200
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9800
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0215
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.9785
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0210
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9790
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0210
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9790
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0205
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9795
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0215
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9785
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0275
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9725
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0285
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9715
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0260
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9740
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0255
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9745
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0260
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9740
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9745
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0255
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0260
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9740
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 407.02, Sell volume: 30.64, Average price: 0.5871, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9740
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0255
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9745
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0250
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9750
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9745
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0255
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.0255
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9745
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0255
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9745
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9745
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0255
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0260
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9740
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9745
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0255
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0255
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9745
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0255
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9745
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0255
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9745
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0255
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9745
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9745
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0255
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9745
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0255
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9745
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0255
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0255
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9745
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0250
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9750
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9745
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0255
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0255
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9745
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9750
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0250
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0255
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9745
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0190
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9810
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9800
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 115.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9854, Price range: 0.9840 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9805
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0195
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0190
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9810
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9815
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0185
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9820
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0180
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0190
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9810
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9810
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0190
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9805
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0195
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0185
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9815
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0185
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9815
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9815
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0185
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9815
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0185
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0180
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9820
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9820
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0180
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0185
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9815
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9820
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0180
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9820
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0180
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9820
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0180
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0140
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9860
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9850
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0150
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9845
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0155
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9845
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0155
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0135
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9865
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9830
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0170
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1224.36, Sell volume: 59.48, Average price: 0.8032, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9845
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0150
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9850
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9855
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0145
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9855
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0145
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0145
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9855
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9850
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0150
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9850
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0150
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9850
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0150
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0140
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9860
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0140
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9860
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0140
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9860
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9860
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0140
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0140
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9860
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0140
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9860
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9685
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0315
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9685
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0315
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9725
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0275
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9705
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0295
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9705
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0295
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0275
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9725
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9730
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0270
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 13801.57, Sell volume: 1601.38, Average price: 0.4066, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 24989.00, Sell volume: 629.73, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0450
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9550
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0450
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9550
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9550
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0450
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9550
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0450
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9600
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0400
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9700
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0300
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9705
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0295
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0300
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9700
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9800
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0200
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9800
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0200
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9800
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0200
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9800
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0200
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9800
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0200
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9815
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 301.55, Sell volume: 16.73, Average price: 0.7580, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9820
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9825
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0175
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9820
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0180
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9825
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0175
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9820
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0180
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9815
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0185
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9820
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0180
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9820
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0180
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0175
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9825
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0180
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9820
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0175
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9825
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9820
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0180
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9825
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0175
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0185
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9815
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9825
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0175
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 208, Buy volume: 54437.26, Sell volume: 2711.12, Average price: 0.6201, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0175
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9825
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9820
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0180
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0185
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9815
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9815
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0185
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9820
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0180
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9820
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0180
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9815
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0185
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9815
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0185
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9815
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0185
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0180
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9820
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9820
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0180
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9820
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0180
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9830
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0170
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0160
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9840
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0160
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 116.72, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9872, Price range: 0.9870 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9850
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0150
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9850
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9850
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0150
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9850
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 166.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7921, Price range: 0.0166 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9845
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0155
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9845
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0155
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9845
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0155
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0155
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9845
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0155
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9845
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0155
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9845
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9845
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0155
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0155
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9845
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0155
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9845
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9845
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0155
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9845
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0155
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9825
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0175
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9825
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0175
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9825
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0175
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9825
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 229.66, Sell volume: 271.16, Average price: 0.6623, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0175
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9825
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0175
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9825
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0175
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9825
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0175
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0175
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9825
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0170
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9830
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9825
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0175
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9825
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0175
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0175
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9825
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0170
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9830
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0175
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9825
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9830
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0170
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9830
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0170
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9825
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0175
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9830
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0170
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 32.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9855, Price range: 0.9850 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0175
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9825
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0165
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9835
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9830
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0170
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0165
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9835
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9830
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0170
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0170
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0170
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0165
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9835
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0165
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9835
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9840
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0160
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9840
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0160
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0165
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9835
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9840
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0160
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9835
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0165
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0165
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 560.15, Sell volume: 52.00, Average price: 0.7912, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0250
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0250
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9750
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0250
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9750
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0255
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9745
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0255
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9745
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0255
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9745
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0255
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9745
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0250
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9750
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9745
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0255
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0250
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9750
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0255
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9745
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0250
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9750
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0235
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9765
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0235
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9765
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0225
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9775
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 144.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8798, Price range: 0.0326 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0235
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9765
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0245
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9755
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0240
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9760
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0240
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9760
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0235
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9765
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0240
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9760
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9790
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0210
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0210
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.9790
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0210
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9790
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0205
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9795
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0200
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9800
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0215
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.9785
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0210
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9790
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0210
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9790
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0205
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 407.02, Sell volume: 30.64, Average price: 0.5871, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9740
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0255
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9745
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0250
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9750
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9745
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0255
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.0255
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9745
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0255
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9745
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9745
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0255
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0260
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9740
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9745
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0255
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0255
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9745
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0255
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9745
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0255
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9745
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0255
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9745
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9745
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0255
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9745
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0255
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 115.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9854, Price range: 0.9840 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9805
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0195
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0190
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9810
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9815
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0185
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9820
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0180
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0190
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9810
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9810
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0190
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9805
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0195
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0185
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9815
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0185
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9815
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9815
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0185
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9815
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0185
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0180
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9820
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9820
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0180
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0185
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9815
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9820
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1224.36, Sell volume: 59.48, Average price: 0.8032, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9845
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0150
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9850
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9855
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0145
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9855
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0145
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0145
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9855
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9850
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0150
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9850
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0150
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9850
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0150
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0140
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9860
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0140
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9860
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0140
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9860
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9860
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0140
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0140
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9860
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0140
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9860
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9685
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0315
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 13801.57, Sell volume: 1601.38, Average price: 0.4066, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585584
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 57148.382085
Price History:
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 24989.00, Sell volume: 629.73, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585586
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45457.008382
Price History:
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.1100
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.8900
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.1350
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.8650
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.1350
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.8650
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.1350
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.8650
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.1200
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.8800
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.1500
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.8500
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.8500
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.1500
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.1500
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.8500
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.8150
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.1850
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.1850
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.8150
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.1850
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.8150
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.8150
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.1850
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.8150
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.1850
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.8150
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.1850
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.1800
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.8200
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.1800
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.8200
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.1800
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.8200
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.1750
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.8250
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.8200
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.1800
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.1750
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.8250
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.1750
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.8250
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.1750
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.8250
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 640.26, Sell volume: 323.75, Average price: 0.4040, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585586
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45457.008382
Price History:
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.8250
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.1750
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.8250
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.1750
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.1800
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.8200
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.1800
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.8200
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.8200
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.1800
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.1800
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.8200
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.1800
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.8200
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.8200
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.1800
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.1800
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.8200
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.8200
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.1800
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.1800
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.8200
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.8200
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 126.32, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6133, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585586
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45457.008382
Price History:
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.1800
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.8200
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.8200
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.1800
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.1800
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.1750
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.8250
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.1750
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.8250
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.8250
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.1750
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.1750
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.8250
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.1750
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.8250
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 111.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8300, Price range: 0.8300 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585586
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45457.008382
Price History:
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.8250
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.1750
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.8250
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.1750
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.8250
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.8250
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 134.10, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7200, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585586
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45457.008382
Price History:
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.1750
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.1750
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.8250
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.8350
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.1650
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.8350
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.1650
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.8350
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.1650
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 192.42, Sell volume: 82.33, Average price: 0.4586, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585586
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45457.008382
Price History:
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.8350
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.1650
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.8350
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.1650
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.8350
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.1650
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.8350
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.1650
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.1650
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.8350
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.1650
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.8350
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.1650
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.8350
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 248.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3412, Price range: 0.1709 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585586
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45457.008382
Price History:
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.8350
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.1650
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.8350
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.1650
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.8350
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.1650
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.1650
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 129.50, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.7429, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585586
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45457.008382
Price History:
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.8500
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.1500
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.8700
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.1300
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.8750
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.1250
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.8800
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.1200
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.8800
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 137.67, Sell volume: 2.30, Average price: 0.7163, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585586
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45457.008382
Price History:
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.1300
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.8700
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.8700
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.1300
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.1300
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.8700
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.8700
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.1300
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9350
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0650
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0750
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9250
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0850
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.9150
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9300
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0700
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9150
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0850
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0850
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9150
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9100
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0900
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0850
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9150
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0800
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9200
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0800
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9200
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9150
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0850
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0900
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9100
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0900
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9100
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 196.89, Sell volume: 13.57, Average price: 0.6227, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585586
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45457.008382
Price History:
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9200
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9250
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0750
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9300
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9300
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9300
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.0700
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9300
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0700
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9250
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0750
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0700
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0700
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0750
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9250
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0750
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9250
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0750
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9250
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0750
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0750
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9250
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0700
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0700
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0700
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0700
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0700
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0700
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 106.99, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.7642, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9409

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585586
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45457.008382
Price History:
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0700
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0700
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0700
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0800
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9150
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0850
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9050
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0950
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.1050
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.8950
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9150
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0850
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0950
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9050
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9150
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0850
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0900
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9100
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 971.25, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.8188, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585586
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45457.008382
Price History:
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9100
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9100
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0900
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0900
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9100
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0900
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9100
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.1000
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.1000
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.1000
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9100
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0900
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9100
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0900
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9100
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0900
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9100
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0900
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0900
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9100
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9100
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0900
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.1050
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.8950
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.1000
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9000
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.1100
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.8900
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.1150
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.8850
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.1100
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.8900
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.1100
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.8900
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.8900
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.1100
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9500
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0500
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.1105
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.8895
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.1010
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.8990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 6888.84, Sell volume: 567.28, Average price: 0.5814, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585586
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45457.008382
Price History:
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0305
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9695
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0085
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9915
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0110
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9890
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 21504.50, Sell volume: 5306.89, Average price: 0.3840, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585586
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
Volume: 45457.008382
Price History:
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.1100
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.8900
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.1350
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.8650
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.1350
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.8650
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.1350
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.8650
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.1200
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.8800
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.1500
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.8500
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.8500
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.1500
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.1500
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.8500
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.8150
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.1850
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.1850
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.8150
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.1850
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.8150
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.8150
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.1850
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.8150
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.1850
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.8150
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 640.26, Sell volume: 323.75, Average price: 0.4040, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585586
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
Volume: 45457.008382
Price History:
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.8250
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.1750
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.8250
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.1750
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.1800
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.8200
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 126.32, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6133, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585586
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
Volume: 45457.008382
Price History:
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.1800
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.8200
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.8200
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.1800
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.1800
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 111.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8300, Price range: 0.8300 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585586
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
Volume: 45457.008382
Price History:
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.8250
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.1750
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.8250
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.1750
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.8250
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.8250
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 134.10, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7200, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585586
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
Volume: 45457.008382
Price History:
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.1750
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.1750
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.8250
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 192.42, Sell volume: 82.33, Average price: 0.4586, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585586
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
Volume: 45457.008382
Price History:
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.8350
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.1650
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.8350
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.1650
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.8350
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.1650
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.8350
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.1650
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.1650
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.8350
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.1650
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.8350
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.1650
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.8350
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 248.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3412, Price range: 0.1709 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585586
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
Volume: 45457.008382
Price History:
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.8350
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.1650
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.8350
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.1650
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.8350
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.1650
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.1650
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 129.50, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.7429, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585586
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
Volume: 45457.008382
Price History:
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.8500
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.1500
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.8700
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.1300
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.8750
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.1250
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.8800
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.1200
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.8800
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 137.67, Sell volume: 2.30, Average price: 0.7163, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585586
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
Volume: 45457.008382
Price History:
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.1300
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.8700
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.8700
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.1300
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.1300
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.8700
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.8700
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.1300
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9350
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0650
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0750
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9250
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0850
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.9150
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9300
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0700
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9150
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0850
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 196.89, Sell volume: 13.57, Average price: 0.6227, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes