Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529290
Question: Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339229.84306
Price History:
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9905
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9905
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0095
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0095
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0085
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0085
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0085
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0085
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0085
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9915
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0085
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0085
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0080
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9920
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9920
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0080
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9920
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0080
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0080
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9920
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9920
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0080
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9920
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9925
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9930
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9930
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0075
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9920
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9900
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9915
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9920
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9925
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9780
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9780
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9765
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0235
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9765
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0235
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9765
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9765
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9765
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9765
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9765
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0270
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529290
Question: Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339229.84306
Price History:
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9825
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9820
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0185
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9825
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0190
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9745
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0280
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0165
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0195
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0210
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0200
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0225
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0180
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9805
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0185
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9815
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9805
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0190
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9780
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9750
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9750
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9750
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9740
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9755
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9825
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9745
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0250
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9750
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9750
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9750
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0250
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0250
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9740
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0265
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0265
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0265
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0265
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0260
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9725
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9720
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0270
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0245
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9755
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9715
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9735
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9745
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9725
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9720
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.9720
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529290
Question: Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339229.84306
Price History:
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9710
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9715
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9715
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9715
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9700
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0280
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9720
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0270
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9730
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9730
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0270
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9730
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9735
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0155
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0120
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.0215
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.9800
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9920
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.9880
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.9890
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9895
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0105
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0095
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0080
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0090
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9845
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0105
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9955
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9955
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.9870
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9915
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9920
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9950
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529290
Question: Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339229.84306
Price History:
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529290
Question: Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339229.84306
Price History:
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529290
Question: Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339229.84306
Price History:
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529290
Question: Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339229.84306
Price History:
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529290
Question: Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339229.84306
Price History:
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529290
Question: Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339229.84306
Price History:
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529290
Question: Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339229.84306
Price History:
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529290
Question: Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339229.84306
Price History:
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529290
Question: Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 339229.84306
Price History:
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9050
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9600
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0275
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0210
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9885
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9885
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9885
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9925
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9930
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0080
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9925
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0045
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9955
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0045
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9955
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529290
Question: Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 339229.84306
Price History:
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0055
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0065
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0060
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9940
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0065
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9920
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0080
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9920
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529290
Question: Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 339229.84306
Price History:
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9905
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9905
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0085
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9915
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0085
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9915
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0085
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9920
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9920
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9920
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9920
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0080
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0080
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0080
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9930
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9925
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0105
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9920
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0220
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0220
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9765
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0235
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0235
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9765
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0235
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0250
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529290
Question: Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 339229.84306
Price History:
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9825
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0165
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0155
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0255
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0165
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9815
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0215
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9820
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0185
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9800
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0210
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0250
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9750
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0255
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9755
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9750
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9750
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9745
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0255
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9735
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0265
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0260
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0270
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9730
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9755
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9735
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9745
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0280
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9705
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529290
Question: Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 339229.84306
Price History:
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9710
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0295
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9700
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9720
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0270
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0270
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9730
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0265
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0120
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9800
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0110
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0110
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0105
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0095
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.9905
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9895
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9955
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0105
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9955
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529290
Question: Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 339229.84306
Price History:
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529290
Question: Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 339229.84306
Price History:
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529290
Question: Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 339229.84306
Price History:
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529290
Question: Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 339229.84306
Price History:
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529290
Question: Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 339229.84306
Price History:
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529290
Question: Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 339229.84306
Price History:
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529290
Question: Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 339229.84306
Price History:
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529290
Question: Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 339229.84306
Price History:
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9050
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9050
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9800
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9805
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9795
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.9935
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9935
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9935
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9935
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9935
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9935
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9940
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0060
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0060
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0060
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0060
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0060
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9950
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9940
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9940
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9950
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9050
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0200
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0110
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9935
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9935
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0060
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0060
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0060
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0060
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9950
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0060
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9940
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9980
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529291
Question: Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 268841.132583
Price History:
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.1250
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9825
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0190
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9845
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.0085
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9745
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0185
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9855
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0140
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9875
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9810
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0190
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9825
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0165
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0110
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0120
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0160
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0120
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9835
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0095
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9910
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0090
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9935
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9940
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9940
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9940
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0050
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0065
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9935
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0065
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9935
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0065
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9935
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9940
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9940
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0055
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9945
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0055
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0045
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9955
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9955
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.0045
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9955
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0045
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9955
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9955
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0045
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0045
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0045
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9955
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.0045
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9955
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0045
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0045
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0045
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9955
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9955
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0045
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.9955
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0045
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0045
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.9955
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.1250
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9830
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0135
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9745
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0145
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9860
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9810
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9810
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0130
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0120
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9880
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0165
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9910
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0090
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9940
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9940
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9935
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0065
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9935
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0065
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0060
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0055
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9945
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0045
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9955
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0045
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0045
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0045
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9955
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0045
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9955
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0045
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0045
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0045
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0045
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.9955
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9955
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529292
Question: Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
Volume: 239516.24825
Price History:
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529301
Question: Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4525705.742071
Price History:
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.0700
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.0700
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.0650
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.0650
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.0650
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.0650
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.0650
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.0650
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.0650
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.0550
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.0550
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.0550
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.0550
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.0550
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.0550
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.0550
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.0550
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.0550
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.0550
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.0550
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0550
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.0550
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.0550
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.0550
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.0550
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes