Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543205
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Spain first?
Volume: 96001.712748
Price History:
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9885
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 147, Buy volume: 18269.88, Sell volume: 5680.81, Average price: 0.8016, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.4950
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0250
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.0125
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.0165
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0160
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.0125
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.0125
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0150
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.0135
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0170
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.0085
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.0055
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0055
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0060
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0060
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.0075
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0070
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.0070
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0065
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0065
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0065
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0060
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0060
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0085
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0060
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0040
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0040
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0040
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0035
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0045
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0070
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0075
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0075
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0070
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0080
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0080
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0080
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0120
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0115
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.1430
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.1200
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.1310
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0715
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0500
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 484, Buy volume: 15936.68, Sell volume: 6824.62, Average price: 0.6460, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0235
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0180
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0160
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0650
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0170
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0175
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0130
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0125
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0140
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0140
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0135
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0130
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0140
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0140
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0140
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0140
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0140
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0140
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0140
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0150
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0140
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0140
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0080
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0080
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0120
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0065
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0075
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0075
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0075
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0075
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0075
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0075
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0075
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0095
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0090
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0095
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0100
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0090
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0085
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0085
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0080
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 125, Buy volume: 2707.30, Sell volume: 3756.35, Average price: 0.3252, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0060
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0065
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0080
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0080
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0085
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0080
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0085
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0080
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0080
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0080
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0080
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0080
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0085
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0080
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0085
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0075
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0075
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0085
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0085
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0085
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0085
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0085
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0080
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0080
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0070
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0090
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0085
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0085
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0090
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0085
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0080
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0080
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0085
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0085
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0085
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0085
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0085
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0085
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0095
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0095
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 565.23, Sell volume: 36.67, Average price: 0.7961, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0105
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0085
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0085
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0085
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0085
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0095
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0090
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0100
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0095
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0095
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0090
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.0090
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0105
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0095
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0095
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0100
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0095
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0095
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0095
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0095
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0060
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0075
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0060
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0055
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0070
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0050
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.0050
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0050
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0055
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.0060
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0060
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0060
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0065
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0070
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0070
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0065
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0065
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0055
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0060
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0060
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0065
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0060
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0060
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0060
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 2426.78, Sell volume: 1668.16, Average price: 0.6881, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0060
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0090
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0085
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0070
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0075
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0085
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0080
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0070
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0055
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0060
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0050
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0050
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.0050
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0050
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0050
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0030
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0030
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0030
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0030
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0030
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0030
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0030
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0030
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0030
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0030
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.0030
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0030
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.0030
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0030
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0030
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0030
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0050
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 530.49, Sell volume: 12.24, Average price: 0.8224, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.0070
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.0070
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0070
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.0040
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.0060
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0070
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.0070
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0070
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0045
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.0065
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.0045
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0070
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0070
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.0060
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.0070
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0070
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.0070
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0075
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0060
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.0075
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0070
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0070
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.0070
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.0070
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0070
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.0070
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0050
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.0070
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0070
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0040
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.0040
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0040
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.0040
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0040
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0040
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0040
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0070
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.9930
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.0070
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.9955
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.9960
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.9955
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.9960
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.9960
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9965
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9960
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.76, Average price: 0.9930, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0045
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9955
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.0050
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0065
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0050
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.9930
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0040
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9935
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0045
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9960
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.9930
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.9930
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9930
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9930
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9925
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0050
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.0070
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0070
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.0055
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0045
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0075
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.0075
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9930
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0075
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0055
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0055
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.9925
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.9930
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.9925
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9930
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0070
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0070
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0055
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.0050
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.0040
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0045
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9950
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.9945
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9950
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.9965
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.9960
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.0035
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.9965
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.9965
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0050
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9960
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9965
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9960
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 1554.50, Sell volume: 73.83, Average price: 0.8215, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.0065
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.9950
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9955
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0055
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.9945
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.0065
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9940
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9940
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0055
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9940
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9940
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9965
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9965
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9965
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9965
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9965
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1130.45, Sell volume: 510.00, Average price: 0.7490, Price range: 0.0013 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0055
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9950
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0050
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9945
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0050
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9950
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0070
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9930
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0070
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0070
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0070
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0070
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0060
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9950
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0050
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0060
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0060
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0060
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9940
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9940
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0060
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0060
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9940
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0060
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9940
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9950
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9955
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0045
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0045
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0045
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0045
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0045
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9955
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9955
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0045
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9955
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9955
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.9955
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9955
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9955
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0045
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.0045
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0045
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0045
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 613.01, Sell volume: 49.77, Average price: 0.7272, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9955
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9960
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0055
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0050
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9960
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0040
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9950
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0065
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0050
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0040
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0050
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9940
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9940
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0060
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9960
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0045
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0055
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 4319.03, Sell volume: 4158.21, Average price: 0.8782, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 6078.27, Sell volume: 5619.37, Average price: 0.8835, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 421.17, Sell volume: 874.63, Average price: 0.8740, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 4751.93, Sell volume: 4084.63, Average price: 0.7096, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.4950
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0125
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.0180
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.0125
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.0160
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0135
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0060
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0055
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0060
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0075
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.0070
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0065
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0065
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0060
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0060
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.0040
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0040
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0075
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0070
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0085
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0120
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0120
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.1570
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.1320
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0500
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 484, Buy volume: 15936.68, Sell volume: 6824.62, Average price: 0.6460, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0235
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0170
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0455
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0145
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0125
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0135
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0130
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0140
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0140
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0140
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0140
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0150
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0140
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0140
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0080
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0080
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0075
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0075
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0075
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0075
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0085
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0090
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0100
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0085
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0080
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 125, Buy volume: 2707.30, Sell volume: 3756.35, Average price: 0.3252, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0065
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0080
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0085
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0080
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0080
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0090
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0075
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0080
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0080
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0080
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0095
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 565.23, Sell volume: 36.67, Average price: 0.7961, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0105
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0075
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0090
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0095
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0095
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0090
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0095
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0095
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0095
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0095
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0090
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0055
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0050
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0050
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0060
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0065
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0060
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0065
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0065
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0060
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.0060
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0060
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 2426.78, Sell volume: 1668.16, Average price: 0.6881, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0060
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0090
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0070
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0075
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.0075
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0085
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0060
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0050
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0050
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0030
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0030
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0030
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0030
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0030
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0030
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.0030
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.0030
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.0030
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0050
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 530.49, Sell volume: 12.24, Average price: 0.8224, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.0070
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.0060
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.0070
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0070
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.0065
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0070
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.0070
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0070
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.0070
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0070
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0070
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0070
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.0070
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.0050
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.0050
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.0070
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0040
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.0040
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0040
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0060
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0070
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0070
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.0040
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.9960
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.9960
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9960
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.76, Average price: 0.9930, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0045
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0040
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9930
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9930
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9955
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9955
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9930
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9930
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.9925
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.9930
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.0065
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.0075
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.9925
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0055
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.0075
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.9925
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.9930
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.0070
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.0055
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.9955
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9950
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.0055
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.0035
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.0040
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9965
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.0045
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9965
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9960
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 1554.50, Sell volume: 73.83, Average price: 0.8215, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.0065
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.0050
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.9940
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0065
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0060
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9940
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9965
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9965
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1130.45, Sell volume: 510.00, Average price: 0.7490, Price range: 0.0013 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9950
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9950
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9950
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0070
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9930
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0070
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.9930
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.0060
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0060
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9940
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0060
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0060
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9940
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9955
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9955
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0045
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0045
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9955
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9955
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0045
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0045
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.0045
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.9955
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0045
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 613.01, Sell volume: 49.77, Average price: 0.7272, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9955
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0045
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0040
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0050
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0050
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9950
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9940
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9940
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0050
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 4319.03, Sell volume: 4158.21, Average price: 0.8782, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 6078.27, Sell volume: 5619.37, Average price: 0.8835, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 421.17, Sell volume: 874.63, Average price: 0.8740, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543210
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
Volume: 68714.094979
Price History:
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 4751.93, Sell volume: 4084.63, Average price: 0.7096, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0400
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9600
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0415
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9585
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0495
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9505
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0555
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9445
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0655
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9345
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0490
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9510
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0570
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9430
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0570
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 323604185.10, Sell volume: 167179137.84, Average price: 0.5901, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0585
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9415
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0560
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9440
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0560
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9440
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0510
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9490
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0620
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9380
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0605
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9395
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0655
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9345
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0695
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 323604185.10, Sell volume: 167179137.84, Average price: 0.5901, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0715
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9285
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0705
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9295
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0760
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9240
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.1320
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.8680
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.1305
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.8695
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.1690
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.8310
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.1215
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.8785
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.1020
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.8980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 323604185.10, Sell volume: 167179137.84, Average price: 0.5901, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.1525
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.8475
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.1275
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.8725
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.1640
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.8360
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.1525
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.8475
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.1835
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.8165
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.1655
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.8345
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.1630
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.8370
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.1785
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.8215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 323604185.10, Sell volume: 167179137.84, Average price: 0.5901, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.1985
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.8015
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.1770
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.8230
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.1880
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.8120
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.2005
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.7995
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.1760
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.8240
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.1805
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.8195
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.1535
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.8465
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.1555
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.8445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 323604185.10, Sell volume: 167179137.84, Average price: 0.5901, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.1455
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.8545
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.1365
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.8635
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.1555
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.8445
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.1775
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.8225
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.1670
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.8330
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.1700
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.8300
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.2060
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.7940
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.1735
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.8265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 323604185.10, Sell volume: 167179137.84, Average price: 0.5901, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.2280
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.7720
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.3065
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.6935
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.2805
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.7195
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.3000
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.7000
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.3445
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.6555
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.3535
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.6465
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.3745
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.6255
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.3920
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.6080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 323604185.10, Sell volume: 167179137.84, Average price: 0.5901, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.5440
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.4560
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.6105
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.3895
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.6050
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.3950
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.5980
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.4020
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.5625
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.4375
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.5920
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.4080
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.5895
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.4105
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.6445
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.3555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 323604185.10, Sell volume: 167179137.84, Average price: 0.5901, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.6670
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.3330
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.7025
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.2975
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.7155
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.2845
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.7455
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.2545
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.7965
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.2035
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.6750
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.3250
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.7210
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.2790
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.7400
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 323604185.10, Sell volume: 167179137.84, Average price: 0.5901, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.8070
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.1930
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.7800
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.2200
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.7340
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.2660
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.7410
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.2590
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.6735
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.3265
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.5620
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.4380
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.6415
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.3585
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 323604185.10, Sell volume: 167179137.84, Average price: 0.5901, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.7630
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.2370
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.7810
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.2190
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.7620
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.2380
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.7595
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.2405
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.8465
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.1535
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9105
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0895
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.8705
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.1295
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.8960
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.1040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 323604185.10, Sell volume: 167179137.84, Average price: 0.5901, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9005
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0995
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.8920
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.1080
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.8830
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.1170
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9140
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0860
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9045
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0955
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9010
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0990
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.8610
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.1390
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.8845
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.1155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 365634, Buy volume: 87346046.34, Sell volume: 15735828.42, Average price: 0.7818, Price range: 0.0830 - 0.9190

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.8615
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.1385
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.7875
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.2125
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9080
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0920
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9465
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0535
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9555
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0445
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9885
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0115
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9885
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 404240, Buy volume: 157111634.29, Sell volume: 122860098.98, Average price: 0.4587, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0400
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9600
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0415
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9585
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0495
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9505
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0555
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9445
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0655
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9345
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0490
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9510
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0570
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9430
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0570
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 323604185.10, Sell volume: 167179137.84, Average price: 0.5901, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0585
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9415
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0560
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9440
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0560
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9440
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0510
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9490
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0620
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9380
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0605
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9395
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0655
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9345
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0695
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 323604185.10, Sell volume: 167179137.84, Average price: 0.5901, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0715
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9285
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0705
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9295
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0760
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9240
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.1320
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.8680
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.1305
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.8695
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.1690
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.8310
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.1215
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.8785
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.1020
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.8980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 323604185.10, Sell volume: 167179137.84, Average price: 0.5901, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.1525
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.8475
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.1275
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.8725
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.1640
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.8360
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.1525
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.8475
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.1835
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.8165
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.1655
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.8345
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.1630
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.8370
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.1785
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.8215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 323604185.10, Sell volume: 167179137.84, Average price: 0.5901, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.1985
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.8015
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.1770
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.8230
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.1880
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.8120
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.2005
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.7995
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.1760
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.8240
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.1805
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.8195
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.1535
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.8465
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.1555
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.8445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 323604185.10, Sell volume: 167179137.84, Average price: 0.5901, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.1455
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.8545
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.1365
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.8635
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.1555
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.8445
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.1775
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.8225
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.1670
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.8330
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.1700
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.8300
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.2060
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.7940
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.1735
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.8265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 323604185.10, Sell volume: 167179137.84, Average price: 0.5901, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.2280
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.7720
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.3065
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.6935
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.2805
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.7195
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.3000
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.7000
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.3445
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.6555
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.3535
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.6465
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.3745
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.6255
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.3920
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.6080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 323604185.10, Sell volume: 167179137.84, Average price: 0.5901, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.5440
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.4560
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.6105
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.3895
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.6050
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.3950
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.5980
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.4020
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.5625
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.4375
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.5920
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.4080
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.5895
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.4105
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.6445
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.3555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 323604185.10, Sell volume: 167179137.84, Average price: 0.5901, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.6670
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.3330
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.7025
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.2975
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.7155
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.2845
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.7455
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.2545
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.7965
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.2035
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.6750
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.3250
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.7210
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.2790
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.7400
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 323604185.10, Sell volume: 167179137.84, Average price: 0.5901, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.8070
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.1930
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.7800
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.2200
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.7340
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.2660
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.7410
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.2590
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.6735
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.3265
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.5620
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.4380
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.6415
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.3585
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 323604185.10, Sell volume: 167179137.84, Average price: 0.5901, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.7630
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.2370
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.7810
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.2190
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.7620
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.2380
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.7595
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.2405
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.8465
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.1535
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9105
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0895
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.8705
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.1295
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.8960
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.1040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 323604185.10, Sell volume: 167179137.84, Average price: 0.5901, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9005
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0995
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.8920
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.1080
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.8830
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.1170
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9140
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0860
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9045
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0955
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9010
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0990
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.8610
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.1390
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.8845
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.1155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 365634, Buy volume: 87346046.34, Sell volume: 15735828.42, Average price: 0.7818, Price range: 0.0830 - 0.9190
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 689364
Question: Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 5118740.992131
Price History:
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.8615
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.1385
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.7875
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.2125
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9080
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0920
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9465
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0535
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9555
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0445
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9885
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0115
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9885
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 404240, Buy volume: 157111634.29, Sell volume: 122860098.98, Average price: 0.4587, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.2350
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.7650
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.1650
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0600
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9400
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0500
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0345
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9655
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0320
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9680
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0250
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9750
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0165
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 24619.66, Sell volume: 5766.61, Average price: 0.4957, Price range: 0.0201 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0165
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9835
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0170
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9830
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0275
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9725
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0275
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9725
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9910
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9745
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0230
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 12502.72, Sell volume: 1525.00, Average price: 0.2324, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0140
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9860
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0110
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0115
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0105
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9895
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0105
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9895
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0105
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9895
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0115
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0280
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9720
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0120
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9880
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0130
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 11227.22, Sell volume: 8292.77, Average price: 0.6494, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9910
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9915
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9855
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0130
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9870
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0115
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0115
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0115
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9885
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8093.96, Sell volume: 3233.30, Average price: 0.2889, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9921

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0145
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9855
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0090
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9910
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0085
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9915
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0180
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9820
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0175
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9825
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 38869.54, Sell volume: 6327.94, Average price: 0.3375, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0135
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9865
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0125
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0120
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9880
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0120
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9880
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9915
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0085
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9915
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0085
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9915
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9915
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 12640.70, Sell volume: 120.91, Average price: 0.6103, Price range: 0.0089 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0080
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9920
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0070
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9930
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0100
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9895
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0110
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9890
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9895
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0115
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 31399.24, Sell volume: 11978.39, Average price: 0.4424, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9959

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0110
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 9982.82, Sell volume: 5735.48, Average price: 0.3350, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0100
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9900
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9895
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9895
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0090
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9910
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0085
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9915
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 167589.93, Sell volume: 9551.33, Average price: 0.8023, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9979

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0085
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9915
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 41232.93, Sell volume: 9367.90, Average price: 0.3052, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9985

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 12128.00, Sell volume: 4677.58, Average price: 0.4011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 8449.20, Sell volume: 3811.81, Average price: 0.8377, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 20545.51, Sell volume: 2022.92, Average price: 0.8920, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.2350
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.7650
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.1650
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0600
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9400
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0500
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0345
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9655
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0320
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9680
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0250
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9750
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0165
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 24619.66, Sell volume: 5766.61, Average price: 0.4957, Price range: 0.0201 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0165
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9835
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0170
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9830
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0275
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9725
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0275
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9725
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9910
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9745
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0230
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 12502.72, Sell volume: 1525.00, Average price: 0.2324, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0140
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9860
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0110
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0115
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0105
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9895
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0105
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9895
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0105
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9895
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0115
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0280
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9720
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0120
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9880
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0130
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 11227.22, Sell volume: 8292.77, Average price: 0.6494, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9910
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9915
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9855
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0130
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9870
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0115
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0115
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0115
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9885
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8093.96, Sell volume: 3233.30, Average price: 0.2889, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9921
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0145
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9855
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0090
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9910
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0085
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9915
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0180
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9820
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0175
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9825
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 38869.54, Sell volume: 6327.94, Average price: 0.3375, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0135
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9865
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0125
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0120
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9880
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0120
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9880
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9915
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0085
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9915
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0085
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9915
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9915
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 12640.70, Sell volume: 120.91, Average price: 0.6103, Price range: 0.0089 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0080
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9920
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0070
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9930
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0100
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9895
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0110
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9890
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9895
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0115
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 31399.24, Sell volume: 11978.39, Average price: 0.4424, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9959
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0110
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 9982.82, Sell volume: 5735.48, Average price: 0.3350, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0100
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9900
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9895
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9895
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0090
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9910
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0085
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9915
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 167589.93, Sell volume: 9551.33, Average price: 0.8023, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9979
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0085
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9915
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 41232.93, Sell volume: 9367.90, Average price: 0.3052, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9985
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 12128.00, Sell volume: 4677.58, Average price: 0.4011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 8449.20, Sell volume: 3811.81, Average price: 0.8377, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687003
Question: Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 527187.399393
Price History:
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 20545.51, Sell volume: 2022.92, Average price: 0.8920, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.6650
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.1250
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.1500
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.1700
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.1700
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.1700
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.2350
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.2350
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.2450
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.2450
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.0550
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.0600
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0650
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0850
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0850
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.1250
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0850
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.0800
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0800
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0850
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0900
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0950
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0950
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0900
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0900
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0800
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0650
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0550
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0550
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0550
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0550
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0550
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0380
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0605
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0565
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.1635
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.2195
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.1200
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0940
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.2125
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.2050
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.1635
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.1730
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.2150
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.1595
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.1265
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.1740
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.1815
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.2155
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.1875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 32008395.36, Sell volume: 23578276.44, Average price: 0.4049, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.1960
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.1995
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.1805
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.1670
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.2230
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.1455
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.1195
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0775
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0600
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0955
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.1055
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.1005
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.1560
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.1335
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0975
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.1425
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.1020
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.1550
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.1785
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.1450
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.1485
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.1205
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.1380
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0970
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.1575
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.1925
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.1850
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.1745
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.1620
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.1145
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0985
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0995
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0910
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.1000
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.1295
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.1475
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.1015
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.1545
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.1575
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.1605
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.1470
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.1150
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0875
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0955
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0850
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0840
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0760
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0645
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0720
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25974, Buy volume: 991654.02, Sell volume: 323136.54, Average price: 0.2726, Price range: 0.0675 - 0.9130

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0895
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0865
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0895
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0950
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0925
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0920
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0925
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0975
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.1000
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.1000
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0990
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0995
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0970
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0965
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.1405
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.1355
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.1190
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.1190
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.1400
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.1470
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.1970
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.1510
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.1780
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.1845
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.1830
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.1885
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.1780
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.1560
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.1545
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.1530
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.1915
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.1860
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.2035
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.2065
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.2080
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.2070
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.1855
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.1915
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.1870
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.1920
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.2045
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.2050
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.2070
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.2065
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.1890
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.1885
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.2045
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.2115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137862, Buy volume: 4771306.14, Sell volume: 2384533.08, Average price: 0.2490, Price range: 0.0864 - 0.9120

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.2090
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.2035
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.2155
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.2090
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.2150
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.1790
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.1780
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.1440
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.1410
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.1430
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.1430
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.1375
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.1325
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.1400
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.1385
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.1345
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.1340
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.1000
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.1285
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.1190
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.1235
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.1205
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.1140
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.1130
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.1230
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.1110
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.1130
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.1125
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.1125
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.1110
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.1120
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.1120
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.1070
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.1210
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.1240
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.1280
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.1275
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.1300
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.1310
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.1310
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.1325
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.1260
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.1185
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.1180
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.1180
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.1180
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.1180
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.1175
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.1165
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.1155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 247752, Buy volume: 5212657.64, Sell volume: 3964191.84, Average price: 0.4995, Price range: 0.0980 - 0.9018

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.1045
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.1030
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.1035
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.1040
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.1035
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.1030
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.1055
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.1050
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.1020
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.1020
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.1030
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0985
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0975
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0575
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0750
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.0785
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0775
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0800
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0860
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0870
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.1275
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.1425
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.1250
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.1445
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.1310
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.1360
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.1425
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.1255
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.1425
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.1285
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.1420
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.1435
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.1435
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.1420
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.1345
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.1325
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.1370
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.1400
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.1420
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.1405
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.1410
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.1385
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.1310
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.1100
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.1110
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.1105
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.1130
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.1130
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.1120
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.1120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101898, Buy volume: 4382833.75, Sell volume: 3183872.94, Average price: 0.4638, Price range: 0.0741 - 0.9410

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.1085
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.1095
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.1085
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.1085
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.1095
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.1100
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.1100
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.1100
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.1095
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.1100
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.1100
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.1100
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.1105
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.1120
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.1125
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.1125
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.1125
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.1125
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.1125
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.1145
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.1145
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.1140
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.1145
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.1150
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.1170
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.1330
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.1380
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.1385
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.1350
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.1315
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.1350
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.1350
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.1355
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.1375
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.1400
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.1415
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.1355
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.1380
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.1400
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.1425
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.1405
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.1390
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.1390
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.8620
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.1380
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.1380
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.8620
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.1380
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.1380
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.1380
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57942, Buy volume: 2742044.78, Sell volume: 754744.50, Average price: 0.3065, Price range: 0.1060 - 0.8820

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.1375
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.1385
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.1385
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.1425
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.8570
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.1430
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.1430
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.8430
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.8455
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.1545
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.1545
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.1545
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.1550
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.1510
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.1510
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.1510
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.1510
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.1515
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.8105
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.1825
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.1660
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.8330
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.1625
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.1655
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.8330
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.8305
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.8345
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.1620
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.1660
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.8315
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.8235
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.8130
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.1945
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.8210
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.5960
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.6600
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.3245
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.3090
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.2705
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.5195
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.5690
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.6120
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.5565
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.5650
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.3895
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.6305
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.6405
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.6340
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.6120
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.6235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 217782, Buy volume: 7397100.03, Sell volume: 3802473.72, Average price: 0.4079, Price range: 0.1250 - 0.8510

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.6200
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.6050
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.5500
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.4795
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.5315
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.4495
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.6055
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.6075
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.3750
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.3825
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.6310
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.6465
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.6485
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.3515
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.3415
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.3405
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.3535
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.3160
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.6830
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.6595
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.3290
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.3355
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.6645
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.3265
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.3260
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.3260
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.6750
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.3295
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.6710
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.3135
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.6900
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.3095
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.6970
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.6795
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.6740
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.3270
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.3125
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.3125
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.6880
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.6905
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.2765
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.7135
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.3005
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.3190
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.3190
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.3185
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.6890
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.3035
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.6945
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.7070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87912, Buy volume: 1604637.71, Sell volume: 3304871.82, Average price: 0.4091, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7230

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.6865
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.3125
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.6865
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.6865
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.6950
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.3245
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.3305
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.6725
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.6730
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.6740
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.6755
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.6750
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.6760
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.6765
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.3250
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.6750
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.3195
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.3250
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.3245
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.6765
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.6770
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.3350
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.3345
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.6675
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.6675
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.3325
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.3380
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.3215
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.3225
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.6760
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.3225
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.3200
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.6875
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.3085
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.6640
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.6630
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.3380
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.3330
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.6660
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.6665
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.3325
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.6580
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.3370
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.6610
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.6670
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.6580
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.6700
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.6695
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67932, Buy volume: 2380473.04, Sell volume: 3932863.20, Average price: 0.4181, Price range: 0.0831 - 0.7880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.1250
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.8570
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.1355
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.8600
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.1410
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.1415
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.8595
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.1395
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.8620
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.8615
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.8665
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.8670
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.8615
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.8665
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1240
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.8815
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9020
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.8670
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1280
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.1180
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.8640
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.8640
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.8635
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.1585
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.8370
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.1630
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.1580
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.8425
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.1585
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.2105
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.8075
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.1920
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.8095
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.7745
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.7700
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.2225
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.7790
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.7840
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9705
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0385
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0400
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9750
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0250
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0175
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0165
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9380
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0520
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9575
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49976, Buy volume: 2429003.18, Sell volume: 1785914.78, Average price: 0.3985, Price range: 0.0081 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9675
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.9670
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9725
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9740
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0260
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.9615
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0250
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9750
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9750
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9750
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9760
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9750
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9750
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9750
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0375
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0385
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.0365
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9635
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0365
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9635
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0295
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9705
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9660
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9700
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9700
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9700
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0335
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9690
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0335
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9680
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0345
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9660
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0350
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9665
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9645
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9675
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9695
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9675
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9695
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9685
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9650
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9675
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9695
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9690
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9685
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9685
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9685
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9700
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 1228.25, Sell volume: 659.45, Average price: 0.4510, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9700
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9685
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9670
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9680
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9670
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9670
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9670
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9670
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0330
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0340
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0340
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0335
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0335
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0330
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0335
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0340
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0345
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0345
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0340
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0340
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0345
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0360
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0375
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0375
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0395
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0395
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0395
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0395
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0395
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0395
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0395
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0395
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0395
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0395
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0395
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0395
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0395
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0395
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0395
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0395
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0395
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0395
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0395
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0395
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0140
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0135
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0135
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0135
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0135
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 168, Buy volume: 6821.72, Sell volume: 4935.42, Average price: 0.2176, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9820

Output: Yes