Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0010
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9990
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9990
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.4200
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.0800
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0305
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0205
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0205
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0245
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0215
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0225
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0235
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0235
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0245
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.0215
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0265
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.0280
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0250
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0235
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.0235
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0215
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0240
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0230
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0250
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0245
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0225
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0255
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0250
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0260
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0270
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0280
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0280
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9730
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9730
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9795
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9810
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9815
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9810
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9815
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9840
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9860
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9860
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9860
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9860
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9860
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9860
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9860
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9795
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.9780
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9770
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.9770
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.9770
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.9780
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9770
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.9770
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.9770
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.9770
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.9770
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.9770
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.9770
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.9770
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0230
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0225
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0230
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0230
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0230
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0230
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0230
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0225
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0230
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0230
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0230
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.0230
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0225
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0225
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.0225
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0225
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0220
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0200
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0185
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0185
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0185
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0185
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0210
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0195
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0200
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0185
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0210
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0185
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0195
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9805
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.9795
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.9815
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.9810
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9815
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.9795
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.9790
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9810
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.9790
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.9785
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.9790
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9790
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9815
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9800
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.9810
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.9790
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.9810
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.9810
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.9815
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.9820
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.9790
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.9820
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.9810
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.9810
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.9810
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.9820
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.9805
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.9810
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.9810
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0190
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0200
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0190
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.0210
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.0205
2025-07-01 04:00: 0.0190
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0200
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0200
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.0200
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0210
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.0185
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0185
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0185
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0185
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0185
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.0185
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0185
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0185
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.0185
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.0185
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.0185
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0185
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0185
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0185
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.0185
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.0185
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0185
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.0185
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0185
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.9815
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.9815
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.9815
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.9815
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.9810
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.9810
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9810
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.9815
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.9815
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.9815
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.9815
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.9815
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.9815
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.9815
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.9815
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.9815
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.9815
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.9815
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.9895
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.9900
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.9895
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.9895
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9900
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.9900
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.9875
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.9885
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9900
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9895
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0055
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0050
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0030
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.0030
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.0030
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.0030
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0025
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.0025
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.0025
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.0025
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.0025
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.0025
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.0025
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.0025
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.9975
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.9980
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.9975
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.9975
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.9975
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.9975
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.9975
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.9975
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.9975
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.9975
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.9975
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.9975
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.9975
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.9980
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.9980
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9980
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.9980
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.9980
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.9980
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.0020
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.0020
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0020
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9980
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0020
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.0020
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.9975
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.9975
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.9975
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.9975
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9975
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9975
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.0025
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.0020
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0020
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.9980
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0020
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9980
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.9980
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.0020
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0020
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.0020
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.0020
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.0020
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0020
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0020
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.0020
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9980
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0020
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.0020
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.0020
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0020
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.0020
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.9980
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.9980
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.9980
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.9980
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.9980
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.9980
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.0020
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.0020
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.0020
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.9980
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.0020
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.9980
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.9980
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.9980
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.9980
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.0020
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.9980
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.9980
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.0020
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.9980
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.9980
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.0020
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9980
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.0020
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0020
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9980
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0020
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0015
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.9990
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.6000
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.8250
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.1500
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.8500
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.1550
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.8450
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.1550
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.8450
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.1550
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.8450
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.1550
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.8450
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.1550
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.8550
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.1450
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.1350
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.8600
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.1350
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.8650
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.1450
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.8500
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.1500
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.8450
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.1550
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.8450
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.1500
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.8500
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.1500
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.8550
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.1450
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.8550
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.1450
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.8550
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.1450
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.8550
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.1450
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.8550
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.1450
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.8550
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.1400
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.8600
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.1350
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.8650
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.1350
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.8650
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.1350
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.8650
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.8650
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.1350
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.8650
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.1350
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.8650
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.1350
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.8650
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.1350
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.8650
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.1350
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.8650
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.1350
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.8650
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.1350
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.8650
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.1350
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.8650
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.1350
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.8700
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.1300
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.8700
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.1300
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.8700
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.1300
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.8700
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.1300
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.8700
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.1350
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.8650
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.1350
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.8650
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.1350
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.8650
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.1350
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.8650
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.1350
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.8650
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.1350
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.8650
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.1350
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.8700
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.1300
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.8700
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.1300
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.8700
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.1300
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.8700
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.1300
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.8700
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.8750
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.1250
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.8750
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.1250
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.8750
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.1250
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.8750
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.1250
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.8650
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.1350
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.8700
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.1250
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.8750
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.1250
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.8700
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.1300
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.8700
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.1350
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.8650
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.1450
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.8550
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.1450
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.8550
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.1450
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.8550
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.1450
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.8550
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.1450
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.8550
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.1450
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.8550
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.1450
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.8550
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.1450
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.8550
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.1450
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.8550
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.1450
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.8550
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.1450
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.8550
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.1450
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.8550
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.1450
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.8550
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.1450
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.8550
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.1450
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.8550
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.8550
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.1450
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.8550
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.1450
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.8550
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.1450
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.8550
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.1450
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.8550
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.1450
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.8550
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.1450
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.8550
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.8550
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.8550
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.8550
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.8550
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.8550
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.8550
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.1450
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.8500
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.1500
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.8500
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.1500
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.8500
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.1500
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.8500
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.1500
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.8500
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.1500
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.8500
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.1500
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.8450
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.1550
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.8450
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.1550
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.8450
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.1550
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.8450
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.1550
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.8450
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.1550
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.8550
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.8550
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.1450
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.8550
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.1450
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.8550
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.1450
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.8550
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.1450
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.8550
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.1450
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.8550
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.1350
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.8650
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.1350
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.8650
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.1350
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.8650
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.1350
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.8650
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.1350
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.8650
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.1350
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.8650
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.1350
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.8650
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.1350
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.8650
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.1300
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.8700
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.1300
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.8700
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.1300
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.8700
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.1300
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.8700
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.1300
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.8700
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.1300
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.8700
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.1300
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.8700
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.1300
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.8950
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.1050
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.8950
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.1050
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.8950
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0950
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.9200
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0800
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.9200
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0700
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.9300
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0700
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.9300
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0700
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.9300
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0700
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9300
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0700
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.9300
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0700
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.9300
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0700
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.9250
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0750
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.9250
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0700
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.9300
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0700
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.9300
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0700
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.9350
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0650
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.9350
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0650
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.9350
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0650
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.9350
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0650
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9300
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0700
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.9300
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0700
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.9300
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0700
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0700
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9300
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0700
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.9300
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0700
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9300
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9350
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0650
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9350
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0650
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.9300
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0700
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9300
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0700
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.9300
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0700
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.9250
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0750
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.9250
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.0750
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.9250
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.0750
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9300
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0700
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.9300
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.0700
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.9300
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.0700
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.9300
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0700
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.9300
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.0700
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.9300
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0700
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.9300
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.0700
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.9300
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.0700
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.9300
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.0700
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.9300
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.0700
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.9300
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.0700
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.9300
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.0700
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.9300
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.0700
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.9300
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.0700
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.9300
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.0700
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.9300
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.0700
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.9300
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.9300
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.0700
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.9250
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.0750
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.9250
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0650
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.9350
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0650
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.9250
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.0750
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.9300
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0700
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.9300
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0700
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.9300
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.0700
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.9300
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0700
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.9300
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.0700
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.9300
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.0700
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.9300
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.0700
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.9300
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.0700
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.9300
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.0700
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.9300
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0800
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.9250
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.0750
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.9250
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.9250
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.0750
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.9250
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0750
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.9250
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0750
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.9250
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.0750
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.9250
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.0750
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.9250
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.9250
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.9250
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0750
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.9350
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0650
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.9350
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0650
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.9350
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9350
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9250
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9250
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.0750
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.9250
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0800
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9200
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0800
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.9200
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.9200
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9200
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0800
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9200
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0800
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0800
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0800
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.0850
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.0850
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9150
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9150
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9150
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.9150
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.9200
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0800
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.9150
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.9150
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0850
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0850
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.9150
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.0850
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.9150
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9150
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.0850
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.9150
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.0850
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9100
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.0950
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.9050
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.9150
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0850
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.0900
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.9100
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.9100
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9100
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.0900
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9100
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.9100
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.9100
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.0900
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.9100
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.9050
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9050
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.9000
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.1000
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.8800
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.8850
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.1150
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.8850
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.1150
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.1250
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.1250
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.8750
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.8750
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.1250
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.8750
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1250
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.8750
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.8300
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.8300
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.8550
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.8500
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.1500
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.1500
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.8550
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.1450
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.8550
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.1400
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.8600
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.1400
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.8600
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.1350
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.1350
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.1350
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.8650
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.1350
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.8600
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.8600
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.1400
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.1350
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.8650
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.1350
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.8650
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.1250
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.8750
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.1150
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.8900
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0900
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0850
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9150
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0950
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0950
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9100
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0900
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0950
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9050
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.1050
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.8950
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.1050
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.8950
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.7550
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.2050
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.7850
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.2150
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.8550
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.1500
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.8650
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.1250
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.8850
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.8800
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.1200
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.1250
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.1200
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.8550
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.1500
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.1450
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.1450
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.8550
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.8600
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.1100
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.8950
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.1000
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.8950
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.1050
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.8900
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.8900
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.8900
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.1050
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.8900
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.1100
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.8900
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.1150
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.8850
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.8850
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.8850
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.1150
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.8600
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.1350
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.1350
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.1150
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.8850
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.8850
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.8750
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.1250
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.1250
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.8750
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.1200
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.8850
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.8850
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.1150
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.8850
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.1050
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9050
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9050
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0900
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9250
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0750
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9250
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0750
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9250
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0750
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.0750
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.9250
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9250
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0750
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.0750
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0750
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9300
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9300
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.9300
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9350
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9300
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9350
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9300
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9450
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9250
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0750
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0950
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0950
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0950
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.1000
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.1050
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.1000
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0950
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9150
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9350
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0700
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.6000
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.7600
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.8450
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.8450
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.8450
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.8450
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.8450
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.8450
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.8550
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.8650
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.8600
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.8650
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.8500
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.8500
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.8450
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.8500
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.8500
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.8550
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.8550
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.8550
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.8550
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.8550
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.8550
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.8600
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.8650
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.8650
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.8650
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.8650
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.8650
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.8650
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.8650
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.8650
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.8650
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.8650
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.8650
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.8650
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.8650
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.8650
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.8650
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.8650
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.8700
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.8700
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.8700
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.8700
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.8650
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.8650
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.8650
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.8650
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.8650
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.8650
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.8650
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.8700
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.8700
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.8700
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.8700
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.8700
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.8700
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.8750
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.8750
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.8750
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.8750
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.8750
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.8750
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.8650
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.8750
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.8750
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.8700
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.8700
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.8650
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.8550
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.8550
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.8550
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.8550
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.8550
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.8550
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.8550
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.8550
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.8550
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.8550
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.8550
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.8550
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.8550
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.8550
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.8550
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.8550
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.8550
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.8550
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.8550
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.8550
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.8550
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.8550
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.8550
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.8550
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.8550
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.8550
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.8550
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.8550
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.8550
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.8550
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.8550
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.8550
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.8550
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.8500
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.8500
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.8500
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.8500
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.8500
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.8500
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.8450
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.8450
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.8450
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.8450
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.8450
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.8450
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.8550
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.8550
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.8550
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.8550
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.8550
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.8550
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.8550
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.8550
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.8550
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.8650
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.8650
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.8650
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.8650
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.8650
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.8650
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.8650
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.8650
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.8650
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.8700
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.8700
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.8700
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.8700
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.8700
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.8700
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.8700
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.8700
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.8950
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.8950
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.8950
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9150
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.9200
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.9200
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.9300
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9300
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.9300
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.9300
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.9300
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9300
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.9300
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.9250
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.9250
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.9300
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.9300
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.9300
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.9350
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.9350
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9350
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.9350
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9300
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.9300
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9300
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.9300
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9300
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9300
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9300
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9300
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9350
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.9350
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9350
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9300
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.9300
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.9300
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.9250
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.9250
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.9250
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9300
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.9300
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.9300
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.9300
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9300
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.9300
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.9300
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.9300
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.9300
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.9300
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.9300
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.9300
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.9350
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.9300
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.9300
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.9300
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.9300
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.9300
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.9300
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.9250
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.9300
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.9250
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.9300
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.9350
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.9350
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.9250
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.9300
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.9300
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.9300
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.9300
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.9300
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.9300
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.9300
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.9300
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.9300
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.9300
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.9200
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.9200
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.9250
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.9250
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.9250
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.9250
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.9250
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.0750
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.0750
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.0750
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.0750
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0750
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.0650
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.9350
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.9350
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9350
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.9350
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.9250
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.0750
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0750
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0800
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.0800
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.9200
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.9200
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.9200
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.9200
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9150
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.9150
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9150
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.0800
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.0800
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0850
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.0850
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0850
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.0850
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.0850
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9100
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9050
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.0850
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.0900
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9100
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.9100
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.9100
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.9100
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.0900
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9050
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.1000
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.1000
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.8850
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.8850
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.8750
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.8750
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.1250
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.8750
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.1250
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.8050
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.8550
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.8650
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.8500
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.1500
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.1450
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.1450
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.1400
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.1400
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.8650
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.8650
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.8550
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.8600
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.8650
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.1350
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.1350
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.8750
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.1100
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9150
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0900
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9100
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9050
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9050
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.8950
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.8950
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.8950
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.7550
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.7800
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.8450
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.8500
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.8750
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.1200
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.1200
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.1200
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.8500
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.1450
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.1400
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.8950
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.8900
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.8950
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.1100
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.8900
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.8900
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.1100
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.8850
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.8850
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.8800
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.1350
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.8850
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.1150
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.8750
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.1250
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.8800
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.8850
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.8850
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545312
Question: Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 514281.372276
Price History:
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.1150
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.1050
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.1000
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0750
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0750
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0750
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0750
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0750
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9250
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.9250
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9250
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0750
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0750
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0700
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9300
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9300
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9300
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9450
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0700
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9050
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.8950
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9050
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0850
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0700
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.5500
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.4500
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.5600
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.4400
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.4300
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.5700
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.4300
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.5700
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.4350
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.5650
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.3850
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.6150
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.3600
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.6400
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.6350
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.3650
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.3350
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.6650
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.3350
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.6650
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.6650
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.3350
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.2600
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.7400
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.2050
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.7950
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.7950
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.2050
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.2900
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.7100
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.2900
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.7100
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.2900
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.7100
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.2900
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.7100
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.2700
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.7300
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.2700
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.7300
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.2700
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.7300
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.2850
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.7150
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.3300
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.6700
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.3350
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.6650
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 199.54, Sell volume: 57.42, Average price: 0.5567, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.6600
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.3400
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.6700
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.3300
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.3350
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.3350
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.3350
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 83.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6511, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.3300
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.6700
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.6700
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.3300
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.3300
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.6700
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.3300
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.6700
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.6700
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.3300
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.6600
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.3400
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.3400
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.6600
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.3400
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.6600
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.6600
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.3400
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.3400
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.6600
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.3400
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.3350
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.3350
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.3300
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.6700
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.3300
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.6700
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.3300
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.6700
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.6700
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.3300
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.3350
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.3400
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.3400
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.5950
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.4050
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.5700
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.4300
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.5500
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.4500
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.4700
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 230.51, Sell volume: 23.20, Average price: 0.4697, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.6000
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.4000
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.6000
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.4000
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.6000
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.4000
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.6000
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.4000
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.4100
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.5900
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.5800
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.4200
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.5800
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.4200
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.5800
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.4200
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.5800
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.4200
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.5800
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.4200
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.5800
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.4200
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.3950
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.6050
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.6100
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.3900
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.6000
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.4000
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.6100
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.3900
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.3900
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.6100
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.6100
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.3900
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.6100
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.3900
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.5850
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.4150
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.5850
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.4150
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.5800
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.4200
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.5600
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.4400
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.5600
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.4400
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.5650
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.4350
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.5650
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4700, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.4700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.5750
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.4250
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.5750
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.4250
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.5650
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.4350
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.5750
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.4250
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.4250
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.5750
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.5650
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.4350
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.5600
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.4400
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.5600
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.4400
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.5600
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.4400
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.4400
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.5600
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.5800
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.4200
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.5800
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.4200
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.5900
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.4100
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.4100
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.5900
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.5900
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.4100
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.6400
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.3600
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.3600
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.6400
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.6800
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.3200
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.7600
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.2400
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.7800
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.2200
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.2250
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.7750
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.2350
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.7650
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.2300
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.7700
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.2250
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.7750
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.7850
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 676.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5829, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.2300
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.7700
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.2300
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.7700
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.1050
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.8950
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.7800
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.2200
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.1600
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.8400
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.8100
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.1900
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.1850
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.8150
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.1950
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.8050
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.1950
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.8050
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.1850
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.8150
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.1750
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.8250
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.1600
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.8400
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.1550
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.8450
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.1500
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 642.80, Sell volume: 383.68, Average price: 0.6784, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.1650
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.8350
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.8350
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.1650
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.8400
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.1600
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.1700
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.8300
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.1550
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.8450
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.8100
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.1900
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.7700
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.2300
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.2350
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.7650
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7700
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.2300
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.7700
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.2300
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.2300
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.7700
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.2300
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.7700
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3400, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.3400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.1350
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.8650
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.1350
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.8650
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.8700
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.8700
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.1350
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.8650
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.1250
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.8750
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.1200
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.8800
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.1200
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.8800
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.1200
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.8800
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.1200
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.8800
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.1250
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.8750
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.1250
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.8750
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.1250
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.8750
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.1300
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.8700
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.1350
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.8650
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.8650
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.1350
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.8650
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.1350
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.8650
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.1350
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.8650
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.1350
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.8650
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.1350
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.8000
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.2000
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.8100
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.1900
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.8000
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.2000
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.8100
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.1900
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.8100
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 12.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2000, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.2000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.8750
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.1250
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.8750
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.1250
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.8550
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.1450
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.8550
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.1450
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.8500
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.1500
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.8550
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.1450
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.1500
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.8500
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.8500
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.1500
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.8350
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.1650
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.8050
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.1950
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.2000
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.8000
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.1950
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.8050
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.2100
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7900
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.7700
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.2300
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.2250
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.7750
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.8050
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.1950
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2000
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.8000
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.8050
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.1950
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.8050
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.1950
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1506.08, Sell volume: 357.82, Average price: 0.4179, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3300
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.6700
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3250
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.6750
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.1100
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.8900
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.1300
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.8700
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.1300
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.8700
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.1950
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.8050
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.1900
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.8100
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.1950
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.8050
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.1900
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.8100
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.1800
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.8200
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.8250
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8250
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.8250
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.1800
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.8200
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.8250
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.8250
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.8250
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 17135.95, Sell volume: 3669.07, Average price: 0.5653, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9109

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.8100
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.1900
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2350
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.7650
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.7850
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.2150
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.1800
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.8200
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.1600
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.8400
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.1500
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.8500
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.1450
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.8550
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.1450
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.8550
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9100
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0900
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9450
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0400
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9600
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0450
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9550
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0450
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9550
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0450
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 217, Buy volume: 43897.64, Sell volume: 4877.68, Average price: 0.6428, Price range: 0.0185 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0245
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9755
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0245
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9755
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9775
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0225
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0220
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9780
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9780
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0220
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0225
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9775
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9790
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0210
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9910
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9885
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0115
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0120
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9880
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.9920
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0080
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9890
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0110
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9895
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0105
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9900
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0100
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0110
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9890
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0105
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9895
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0080
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9920
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0065
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9935
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0065
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0065
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.9945
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9965
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.0065
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 487, Buy volume: 132202.10, Sell volume: 112979.40, Average price: 0.3898, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9987

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0045
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9955
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0030
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 228, Buy volume: 114175.76, Sell volume: 93747.37, Average price: 0.5353, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.5500
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.5600
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.4300
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.4300
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.4350
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.3850
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.3600
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.6350
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.3350
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.3350
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.6650
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.2600
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.2050
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.7950
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.2900
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.2900
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.2900
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.2900
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.2700
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.2700
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.2700
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.2850
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.3300
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.6650
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.6550
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.6700
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.6500
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.6450
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 199.54, Sell volume: 57.42, Average price: 0.5567, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.6600
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.6700
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.3350
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 83.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6511, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.3300
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.6700
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.3300
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.3300
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.6700
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.6600
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.3400
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.3400
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.6600
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.3400
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.3400
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.3350
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.3300
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.3300
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.3300
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.6700
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.5950
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.5700
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.5500
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.4700
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.4750
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.5750
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.5750
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.5750
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 230.51, Sell volume: 23.20, Average price: 0.4697, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.6000
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.6000
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.6000
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.6000
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.4100
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.5800
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.5800
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.5800
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.5800
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.5800
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.5800
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.3950
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.6100
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.6000
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.6100
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.3900
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.6100
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.6100
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.5850
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.5850
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.5800
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.5600
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.5600
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.5650
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.5650
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.4350
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.5650
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.5700
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.5700
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4700, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.4700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.5750
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.5750
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.5650
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.5750
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.4250
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.5650
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.5600
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.5600
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.5600
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.4400
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.5800
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.5800
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.5900
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.4100
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.5900
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.6400
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.3600
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.6800
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.7600
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.7800
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.2250
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.2350
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.2300
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.2250
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.7850
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.2300
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.7700
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.7700
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.2300
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 676.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5829, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.2300
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.2300
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.1050
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.7800
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.1600
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.8100
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.1850
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.1950
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.1950
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.1850
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.1750
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.1600
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.1550
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.1500
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.1500
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.1600
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.1550
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.1450
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 642.80, Sell volume: 383.68, Average price: 0.6784, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.1650
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.8350
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.8400
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.1700
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.1550
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.8100
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.7700
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.2350
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7700
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.7700
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.2300
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.2300
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.2700
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3400, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.3400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.1350
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.1350
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.1350
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.1250
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.1200
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.1200
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.1200
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.1200
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.1250
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.1250
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.1250
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.1300
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.1350
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.8650
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.8650
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.8650
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.8650
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.8650
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.8000
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.8100
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.8000
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.8100
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.8100
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.1850
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.8300
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.8300
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.8300
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 12.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2000, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.2000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.8750
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.8750
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.8550
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.8550
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.8500
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.8550
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.1500
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.8500
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.8350
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.8050
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.2000
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.1950
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.2100
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.7700
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.2250
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.8050
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2000
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.8050
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.8050
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.2150
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1506.08, Sell volume: 357.82, Average price: 0.4179, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3300
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3250
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.1100
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.1300
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.1300
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.1950
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.1900
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.1950
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.1900
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.1800
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8250
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.1800
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.1700
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 17135.95, Sell volume: 3669.07, Average price: 0.5653, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9109
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.8100
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2350
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.7850
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.1800
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.1600
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.1500
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.1450
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.1450
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9100
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0400
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0450
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0450
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0450
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0450
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0365
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9675
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0350
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 217, Buy volume: 43897.64, Sell volume: 4877.68, Average price: 0.6428, Price range: 0.0185 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0245
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0245
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9775
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0220
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9780
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0225
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9790
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9885
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0120
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.9920
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9890
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9895
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9900
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0110
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0105
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0080
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0065
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.0065
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 487, Buy volume: 132202.10, Sell volume: 112979.40, Average price: 0.3898, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9987
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600701
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Volume: 546627.506354
Price History:
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0045
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0030
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 228, Buy volume: 114175.76, Sell volume: 93747.37, Average price: 0.5353, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545316
Question: Will Our Party win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17285.330143
Price History:
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.2500
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.7500
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.2450
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.7550
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.2400
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.7600
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0500
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9500
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9600
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0400
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0450
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9550
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0350
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9650
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0345
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9655
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9655
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0345
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0305
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9695
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0305
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9695
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0305
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9695
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0305
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9695
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0305
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9695
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0305
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9695
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0305
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9695
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0295
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9705
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0290
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9710
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0295
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9705
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9750
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0250
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0055
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9945
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9945
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0055
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9945
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0055
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0055
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9945
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9945
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545316
Question: Will Our Party win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17285.330143
Price History:
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9945
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0055
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9945
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0055
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9945
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0085
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9915
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0085
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9915
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0085
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9915
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.0095
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9905
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0095
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9905
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0095
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9905
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0095
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9905
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0085
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9915
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0085
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9915
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0085
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9915
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0085
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9915
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9915
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0085
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0080
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9920
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9915
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0085
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0125
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9875
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.0125
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9875
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0085
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9915
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9920
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.0080
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0085
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9915
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0080
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9920
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0140
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9860
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0245
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9755
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545316
Question: Will Our Party win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17285.330143
Price History:
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0225
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9775
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9775
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0225
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.9780
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.0220
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0225
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9775
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9780
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0220
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9775
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0225
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.9775
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0225
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0225
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9775
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9770
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0230
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0110
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9890
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0070
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9930
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9930
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0070
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9930
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0070
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0065
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9935
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9790
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0210
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9850
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0150
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.9870
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.0130
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0075
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9925
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0065
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9935
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0065
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9935
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.9925
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.0075
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0075
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9925
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0055
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9945
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9935
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0065
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.0065
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545316
Question: Will Our Party win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17285.330143
Price History:
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0070
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0060
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9940
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0065
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9935
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.0065
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.9935
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0065
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9935
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0065
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.9935
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.0045
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.9955
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0045
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9955
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.0045
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.9955
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.0045
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.9955
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0055
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9945
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0050
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9950
2025-09-17 14:00: 0.0050
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.9950
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.0050
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.0050
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.9950
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545316
Question: Will Our Party win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17285.330143
Price History:
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0085
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9915
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0085
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9915
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9930
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0070
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9960
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9960
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545316
Question: Will Our Party win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17285.330143
Price History:
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545316
Question: Will Our Party win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17285.330143
Price History:
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes