Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.1050
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.87, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 31.11, Sell volume: 26.06, Average price: 0.8264, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.1050
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.81, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 31.11, Sell volume: 26.06, Average price: 0.8264, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 31.11, Sell volume: 26.06, Average price: 0.8264, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 31.11, Sell volume: 26.06, Average price: 0.8264, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.8900
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 21.98, Sell volume: 21.97, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 31.11, Sell volume: 26.06, Average price: 0.8264, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 31.11, Sell volume: 26.06, Average price: 0.8264, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.6500
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.6500
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.3500
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.8900
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.22, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.1050
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.87, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 31.11, Sell volume: 26.06, Average price: 0.8264, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.81, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 31.11, Sell volume: 26.06, Average price: 0.8264, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 31.11, Sell volume: 26.06, Average price: 0.8264, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 31.11, Sell volume: 26.06, Average price: 0.8264, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 21.98, Sell volume: 21.97, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 31.11, Sell volume: 26.06, Average price: 0.8264, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9000
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 31.11, Sell volume: 26.06, Average price: 0.8264, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.7150
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.3450
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.6750
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.3250
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.7900
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.1950
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.8300
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.1800
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.8800
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.1450
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.8500
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0900
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.9400
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0550
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.9450
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0550
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.9350
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0650
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.9450
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0550
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9450
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0550
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.9450
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.0500
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.9450
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0550
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.9450
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0550
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9450
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0600
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9400
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0600
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.9400
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0600
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.9450
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0500
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9500
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0550
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.9500
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.9550
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.9550
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0450
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9550
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0450
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9550
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0450
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.9640
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 1452.93, Sell volume: 300.69, Average price: 0.7110, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0350
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.9655
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0275
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9720
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0270
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.9785
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0235
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.9465
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0540
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9455
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0545
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.9455
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0545
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.9455
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0545
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.9455
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0545
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.9455
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0540
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9455
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0545
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.9455
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0540
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9455
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0545
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9440
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0555
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.9430
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0595
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.9430
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0530
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.9465
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.0540
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.9450
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0545
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.9425
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.0580
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.9425
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.0575
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.9445
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0490
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.9565
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.0405
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.9605
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0370
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.9635
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0365
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.9635
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0365
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 2178.17, Sell volume: 823.57, Average price: 0.7438, Price range: 0.0308 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.9625
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.0375
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.9625
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0375
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.9625
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0375
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.9625
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0375
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.9625
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0375
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.9625
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0375
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.9620
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0375
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.9520
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.0480
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.9405
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.0550
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.9375
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.0550
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.9360
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0635
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.8180
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.1255
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.8815
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.0910
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.9130
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0870
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.9045
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0985
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.8990
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0970
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.9005
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.1010
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.9040
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0850
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.9365
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0645
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9375
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0590
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.9435
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0605
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.9390
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0610
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9395
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0595
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.9395
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0610
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.9385
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 2483.31, Sell volume: 1288.11, Average price: 0.8797, Price range: 0.0530 - 0.9660

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0495
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.9510
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0490
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.9505
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0495
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.9515
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.0495
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9505
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0500
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.9500
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0495
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.9505
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.0495
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.9505
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0490
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.9515
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0480
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9520
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0480
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.9520
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0480
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.9520
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0485
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9535
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.0440
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.9555
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.0445
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.9545
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0460
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.9545
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0450
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9550
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0450
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.9515
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0455
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9480
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0460
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9490
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0460
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9540
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0460
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.9540
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0460
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.9540
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0460
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.9540
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0460
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.9540
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0455
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 445.27, Sell volume: 841.26, Average price: 0.9238, Price range: 0.0440 - 0.9680

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.9545
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0450
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.9545
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0460
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.9540
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0450
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.9550
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.0450
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.9550
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0450
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.9550
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0420
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9655
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0345
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.9635
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0360
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.9625
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0390
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.9645
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0455
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9540
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0400
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.9565
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0420
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.9580
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0440
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9630
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0370
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9645
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0355
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9645
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0355
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9645
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0355
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9650
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0345
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9655
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0345
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9655
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0345
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.9765
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0095
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9855
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0120
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.9895
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0105
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.9820
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0090
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.9840
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 1320.33, Sell volume: 551.39, Average price: 0.7746, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0180
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.9880
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.0190
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.9830
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0175
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.9840
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0145
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.9865
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.0120
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.9870
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0125
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9855
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0125
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.9870
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.0145
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.9875
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0130
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.9885
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0115
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.9880
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.0110
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.9890
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.0105
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.9880
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.0120
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.9890
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.0095
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.9910
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.0095
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.9905
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0090
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.9905
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.0095
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.9905
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.0095
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.9905
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0095
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.9905
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.0095
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.9895
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.0105
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.9890
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0110
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.9880
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.0120
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.9880
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.0120
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.9880
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0120
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 769.02, Sell volume: 90.34, Average price: 0.9059, Price range: 0.0122 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.9875
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.0120
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.9875
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0105
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.9905
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.0095
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.9905
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0110
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.9900
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0105
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.9785
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.0270
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.9770
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0205
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.9770
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0280
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.9700
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.0295
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.9735
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.0270
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.9700
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0275
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.9715
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.0300
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.9725
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0275
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.9725
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.0275
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.9720
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0225
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.9775
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0250
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.9755
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.0240
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.9750
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0245
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.9690
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.0305
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.9680
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0315
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.9695
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0315
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.9695
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0315
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.9680
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0315
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.9680
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.9680
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9680
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.0315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 1901.42, Sell volume: 1572.32, Average price: 0.9482, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.9700
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.9720
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.0265
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.9725
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.0290
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.9710
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0275
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9720
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.9720
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.9710
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.0290
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.9720
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.0275
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9720
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.0285
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.9720
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.1885
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.0100
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.0200
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.0220
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.0195
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9760
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.0255
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.9705
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0320
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9680
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.0320
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9680
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.9680
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.0315
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.9740
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9735
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0215
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0235
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9735
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.9795
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0235
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.9730
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0260
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.0260
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.0260
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0285
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.9790
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.9815
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.0245
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9695
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.9705
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.0300
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9685
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 7355.56, Sell volume: 463.15, Average price: 0.7742, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.9918

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0265
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.0295
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9690
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.0310
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.9695
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.0305
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.9705
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.9710
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.9740
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0290
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.0290
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.0295
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9705
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.9720
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.0285
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.9730
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.0280
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.9710
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0285
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.0295
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9710
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0290
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9690
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.0300
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.9700
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.0295
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.9650
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.9640
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.9640
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.9640
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.0355
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0355
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0360
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.0360
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.0360
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0360
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.0295
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.9710
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.9720
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.9715
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.0250
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.9800
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.9750
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.9795
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.9800
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.9845
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9850
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.9850
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.0145
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 20331.93, Sell volume: 1779.07, Average price: 0.7686, Price range: 0.0107 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.0140
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.9860
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.0140
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.9860
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.0140
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0110
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9890
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.9890
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.0110
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.9890
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.0110
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.0110
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.0110
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.9890
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.0110
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.9890
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9890
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.0140
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.9855
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9875
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.0170
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0160
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.0165
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9840
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0165
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9875
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0105
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.9890
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0130
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9890
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0115
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9905
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0095
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9900
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0100
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9900
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0105
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9895
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9900
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0100
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9900
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0100
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9900
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9900
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0100
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0100
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0100
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9900
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9900
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 8405.09, Sell volume: 1418.90, Average price: 0.8920, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9900
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0090
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9910
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9910
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9910
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0110
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9890
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0110
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0105
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9930
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9930
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0070
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0070
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0105
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9890
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0090
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9910
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0090
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0090
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9910
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0090
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0090
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0105
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9895
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9895
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9895
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9895
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9900
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9900
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9900
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9920
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0080
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9920
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9920
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0090
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9910
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0090
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9910
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0090
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9915
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0085
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9915
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0085
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9900
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2784.71, Sell volume: 6028.21, Average price: 0.8272, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0090
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0090
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9915
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9900
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0100
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9900
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.0100
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0100
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0100
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0100
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9900
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0100
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9905
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0095
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9905
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9905
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0095
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9905
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0095
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9905
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0085
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0085
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9915
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9915
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9915
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9915
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9915
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0085
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9915
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0085
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9920
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.9905
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9905
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0095
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9915
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9915
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0090
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0090
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9910
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0090
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9910
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 10830.31, Sell volume: 2616.22, Average price: 0.7953, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9955
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 35301.04, Sell volume: 14500.22, Average price: 0.8772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.7150
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.3250
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.7850
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.2450
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.8700
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.1100
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.8950
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0550
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9450
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0650
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.9450
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0550
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.9450
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0550
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.9450
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0500
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9400
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0600
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9400
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0550
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.9500
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.9550
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0450
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.9550
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0450
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.9640
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0360
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9645
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 1452.93, Sell volume: 300.69, Average price: 0.7110, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0350
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.9725
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0290
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9780
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0535
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.9455
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0545
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.9455
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0545
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.9455
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0545
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.9455
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0540
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9460
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0555
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9405
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0540
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.9465
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.0550
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.9420
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0575
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.9445
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0445
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.9600
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0365
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.9635
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0365
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.9630
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0365
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 2178.17, Sell volume: 823.57, Average price: 0.7438, Price range: 0.0308 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.9625
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0375
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.9625
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.0375
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.9625
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0375
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.9620
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0375
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.9520
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.0585
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.9365
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0625
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.8620
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.1185
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.9130
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0950
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.9010
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0980
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.8965
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0840
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.9355
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0590
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.9395
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0605
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.9395
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0605
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.9390
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0605
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.9505
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.0495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 2483.31, Sell volume: 1288.11, Average price: 0.8797, Price range: 0.0530 - 0.9660
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0495
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.9510
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0495
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.9510
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.0500
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.9505
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0495
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.9505
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0480
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.9520
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0480
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.9520
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.0480
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.9560
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.0445
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.9540
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0450
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.9550
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0530
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.9485
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0510
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9540
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0460
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.9540
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.0460
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.9540
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0455
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.9545
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0455
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 445.27, Sell volume: 841.26, Average price: 0.9238, Price range: 0.0440 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.9545
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.0455
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.9540
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0450
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.9555
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.9635
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0345
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.9640
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0355
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.9625
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0415
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9565
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0420
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9630
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0355
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.9645
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0355
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9645
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0345
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9655
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0345
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.9905
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0110
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9905
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0110
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.9865
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0200
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9800
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 1320.33, Sell volume: 551.39, Average price: 0.7746, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0180
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9810
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.0190
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.9835
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0140
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.9865
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0145
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.9870
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.0115
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.9875
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.0120
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.9885
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0115
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.9900
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.0095
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.9905
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.0095
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.9905
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0095
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.9905
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0095
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.9895
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.0110
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.9890
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0120
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.9885
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0120
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.9880
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.0120
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 769.02, Sell volume: 90.34, Average price: 0.9059, Price range: 0.0122 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.9875
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.0120
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.9905
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.0095
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.9900
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.0095
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.9785
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0205
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.9720
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0295
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9700
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.0285
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.9720
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.0275
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.9725
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.0275
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.9820
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.0245
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.9760
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0250
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9685
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0315
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.9685
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0315
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.9680
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.0320
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.9685
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.9675
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.0325
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.0310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 1901.42, Sell volume: 1572.32, Average price: 0.9482, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.9700
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.9735
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.0290
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.0280
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.0280
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.9710
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.0280
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9720
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.0285
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.9640
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.0225
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.0195
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0235
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.9680
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.0320
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0320
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9715
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0255
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.0255
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.9805
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.0270
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.0260
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0265
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9780
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0250
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.0305
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.0345
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.9735
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.0270
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 7355.56, Sell volume: 463.15, Average price: 0.7742, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.9918
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0265
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.0295
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.9690
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.9695
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9740
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.0275
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.9735
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.9720
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.0270
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.9735
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.0275
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9710
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9700
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.0300
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.9650
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.9640
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.9645
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.9645
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.0360
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.9695
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0290
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.9715
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.0200
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9790
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.9805
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.0140
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.0160
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.9825
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.0160
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 20331.93, Sell volume: 1779.07, Average price: 0.7686, Price range: 0.0107 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.0140
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9860
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.0145
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.0110
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.9890
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0110
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.9890
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.9890
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.0110
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.0135
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0080
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.0165
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0160
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0160
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0105
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9870
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9905
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.0100
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9895
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0105
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0100
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9900
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9900
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9900
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0100
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9900
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0100
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9900
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 8405.09, Sell volume: 1418.90, Average price: 0.8920, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9900
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0090
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9910
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9890
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9890
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0070
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0070
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9895
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0090
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0090
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9910
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9910
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9895
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0105
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9895
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9900
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0080
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9920
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0090
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9910
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0090
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9915
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0085
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9900
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0095
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0095
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2784.71, Sell volume: 6028.21, Average price: 0.8272, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0090
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0085
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0100
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0100
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0100
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0100
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9900
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0095
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9905
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9905
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9905
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0085
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0085
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0085
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9915
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0085
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9920
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0095
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9905
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9915
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9910
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0090
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.0090
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 10830.31, Sell volume: 2616.22, Average price: 0.7953, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551528
Question: Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 127832.529781
Price History:
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 35301.04, Sell volume: 14500.22, Average price: 0.8772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551529
Question: Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109229.695252
Price History:
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.6400
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.5750
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.4600
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.5500
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.6800
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.4400
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.6650
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.3200
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.6250
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.2800
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.7200
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.2650
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.8050
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.1700
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.8250
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.1650
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.8550
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.8650
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.1400
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.8600
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.1200
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.8800
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.1350
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.8700
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.1200
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.8800
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0900
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.8800
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.1250
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.8900
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.1100
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.8950
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.1050
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.8950
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.1050
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9000
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.9200
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0750
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.9250
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0750
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.9250
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0750
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0750
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9250
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0750
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.9250
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1622.92, Sell volume: 1061.39, Average price: 0.5880, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551529
Question: Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109229.695252
Price History:
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.9350
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0650
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9350
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0650
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.9350
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0650
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.9350
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0650
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9300
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0700
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.9200
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0850
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.9150
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0850
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.9150
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0850
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.9150
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0850
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9150
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0850
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.8250
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.2250
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.7600
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.2150
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.7650
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.2050
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.8150
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.1850
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.8500
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.1750
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.8000
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.2050
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.8150
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.2000
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.8300
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.1650
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.8350
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.1550
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.8450
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.1500
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.9000
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.1000
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.9050
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.1550
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.8550
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.1450
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.8550
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.1450
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1207.41, Sell volume: 1881.65, Average price: 0.6484, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551529
Question: Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109229.695252
Price History:
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.8650
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.1350
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.8650
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.1350
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.8650
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.1350
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.8650
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.1350
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.8650
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.1400
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.8600
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.1400
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.8600
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.1400
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.8600
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.1400
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.8600
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.1400
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.8600
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.1400
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.8600
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.1400
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.8600
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.1250
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.8750
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.1250
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.8950
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.1000
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.9000
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0950
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.9000
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0900
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.9100
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.0900
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.9000
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0750
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.9450
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0600
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9450
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0550
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.9450
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0550
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.9450
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0550
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9400
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0550
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.9450
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0600
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.9450
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1300.96, Sell volume: 146.07, Average price: 0.5621, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9253

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551529
Question: Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109229.695252
Price History:
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0600
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.9400
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0500
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.9500
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0500
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.9500
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.0500
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9500
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0500
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.9500
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0500
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.9500
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.0550
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.9450
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0550
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.9450
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0550
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9450
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.9450
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.9450
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9450
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.0600
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.9400
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.0600
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.9400
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0600
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.9400
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0600
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9450
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0550
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.9450
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0550
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9450
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0550
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9450
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0550
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9450
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0550
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.9450
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0550
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.9400
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0600
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.9400
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0600
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.9400
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0600
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 247.05, Sell volume: 198.78, Average price: 0.4545, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551529
Question: Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109229.695252
Price History:
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.9300
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0650
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.9350
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0650
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.9300
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0700
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.9450
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.0600
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.9300
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0650
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.9350
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0700
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9350
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0600
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.9400
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0600
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.9400
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0600
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.9400
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0600
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9500
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0500
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.9500
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0500
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.9500
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0500
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9645
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0355
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9645
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0355
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9650
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0355
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9645
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0355
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9645
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0355
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9645
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0355
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9640
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0355
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.9640
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0350
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9640
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0360
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.9645
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0360
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.9640
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0355
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.9640
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 375.98, Sell volume: 316.88, Average price: 0.4572, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9680

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551529
Question: Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109229.695252
Price History:
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0345
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.9655
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.0345
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.9655
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0345
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.9655
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0345
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.9665
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.0335
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.9665
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0335
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9805
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0220
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.9790
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.0215
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.9775
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0220
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.9785
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0210
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.9795
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.0200
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.9795
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.0215
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.9780
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.0215
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.9785
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.0210
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.9795
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.0205
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.9795
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0210
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.9790
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.0210
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.9750
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.0250
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.9585
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0385
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.9580
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.0410
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.9595
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.0385
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.9540
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0450
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.9550
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.0490
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.9510
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.0495
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.9440
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0900
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.9085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1669.84, Sell volume: 268.72, Average price: 0.7803, Price range: 0.0291 - 0.9703

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551529
Question: Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109229.695252
Price History:
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.9460
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.0540
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.9375
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0595
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.9460
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.0550
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.9460
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0550
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.9395
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0540
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.9075
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.0930
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.9065
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0925
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.8860
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.1090
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.8840
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.0985
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.8980
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.0760
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.9155
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0840
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.9160
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.0820
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.9210
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0610
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.9415
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.0535
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.9465
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0530
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.9470
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0530
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.9530
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.0480
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.9515
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0490
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.9510
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.0480
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.9475
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0225
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.9740
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0515
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.9490
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0515
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.9485
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0515
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.9485
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.0515
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0520
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.9490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1631.44, Sell volume: 498.77, Average price: 0.7713, Price range: 0.0316 - 0.9550

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551529
Question: Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109229.695252
Price History:
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.9490
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.9510
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.0505
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.9545
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.0555
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.9550
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0485
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.0530
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.0490
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.0455
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.0405
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.0430
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.9545
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9530
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.0420
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.0475
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.2395
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.9410
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.0525
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9465
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9680
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0430
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9670
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.9580
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0405
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0415
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.0485
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.0420
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0490
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.0530
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9345
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9355
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0520
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0615
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.9420
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0425
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.9760
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9770
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.0250
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.9720
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0255
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.9720
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.9790
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.0255
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9465
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.9470
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.0575
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9435
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 8305.92, Sell volume: 769.80, Average price: 0.7324, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9985

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551529
Question: Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109229.695252
Price History:
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.9605
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.9510
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0480
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.0485
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.0485
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.9640
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.0350
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.9665
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.0335
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9655
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.9645
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.9620
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.0340
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.9660
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.0340
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.9665
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9665
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.9670
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0330
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.9665
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0330
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9650
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9620
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.0380
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.9615
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.0375
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.0385
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.0380
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.9610
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.0380
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.0350
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0385
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0385
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.0385
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.0385
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0385
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.9655
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.9655
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0340
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.0335
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.0335
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.9765
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.9755
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.9790
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.9785
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.0215
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9785
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.0220
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.0210
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1227.43, Sell volume: 714.21, Average price: 0.8681, Price range: 0.0216 - 0.9834

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551529
Question: Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109229.695252
Price History:
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.0200
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9910
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.0150
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.9880
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0120
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9890
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.9870
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.9920
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.9870
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.0125
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.9905
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9865
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.9900
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.0115
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.9880
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0115
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.9850
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.0195
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9765
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.0250
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9760
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.9765
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0240
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0245
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9755
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0240
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.9755
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9770
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9775
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0225
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0200
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0160
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0160
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0160
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9840
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0165
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0160
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0180
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9820
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9820
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9820
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0180
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9820
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0185
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0175
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105, Buy volume: 5536.89, Sell volume: 2785.04, Average price: 0.9184, Price range: 0.0055 - 0.9978

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551529
Question: Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109229.695252
Price History:
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9920
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0055
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9945
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9935
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0070
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9930
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9950
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0050
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0050
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9955
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0045
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9945
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9940
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0060
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9940
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9940
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0050
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9940
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0060
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0060
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0060
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9940
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9940
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9940
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0060
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9940
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9940
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 327.28, Sell volume: 4575.43, Average price: 0.4279, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9952

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551529
Question: Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109229.695252
Price History:
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0065
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9930
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9930
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0070
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0065
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0070
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9930
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0070
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9930
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9930
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9930
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0070
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0070
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0070
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9930
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9935
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9930
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0070
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9930
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.0040
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 806.00, Sell volume: 101.28, Average price: 0.6653, Price range: 0.0058 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551529
Question: Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109229.695252
Price History:
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.9880
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.0245
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0090
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 56402.92, Sell volume: 14587.95, Average price: 0.8872, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551529
Question: Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 109229.695252
Price History:
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.6400
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.5400
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.5250
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.4050
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.6750
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.2850
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.7650
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.1700
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.8350
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.1450
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.8550
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.8800
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.1300
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.8800
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.1200
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.8900
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.1050
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.8950
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.1050
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.9200
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0750
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.9250
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0750
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.9250
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0750
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.9250
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9250
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1622.92, Sell volume: 1061.39, Average price: 0.5880, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551529
Question: Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 109229.695252
Price History:
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0750
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.9350
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0650
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9350
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0650
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.9300
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0800
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.9150
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0850
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.9150
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0850
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.9150
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.2350
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.7750
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.2050
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.8150
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.1550
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.7950
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.1850
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.8350
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.1650
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.8450
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.1050
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.9000
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.1350
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.8550
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.1450
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.8550
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.1350
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1207.41, Sell volume: 1881.65, Average price: 0.6484, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551529
Question: Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 109229.695252
Price History:
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.8650
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.1350
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.8650
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.1350
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.8650
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.1400
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.8600
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.1400
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.8600
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.1400
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.8650
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.1400
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.8600
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.1250
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.8950
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.1000
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.9050
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.1000
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.9100
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0700
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.9450
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0550
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.9450
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0550
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.9450
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0550
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.9450
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0550
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.9450
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1300.96, Sell volume: 146.07, Average price: 0.5621, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9253
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551529
Question: Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 109229.695252
Price History:
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0600
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.9500
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0500
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.9500
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.0500
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.9500
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0500
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.9450
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0550
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.9450
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.9450
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.9400
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.0600
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.9400
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0600
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.9450
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0550
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.9450
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0550
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9450
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0550
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.9400
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.0600
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.9400
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0600
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.9350
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0650
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 247.05, Sell volume: 198.78, Average price: 0.4545, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551529
Question: Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 109229.695252
Price History:
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.9300
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.0650
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.9300
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0700
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.9300
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0650
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.9350
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0600
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.9400
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0600
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.9400
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0500
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9500
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0500
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9645
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0355
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.9645
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0355
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9640
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0355
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9645
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0355
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.9650
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0360
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9645
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0360
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.9645
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0365
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9640
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 375.98, Sell volume: 316.88, Average price: 0.4572, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551529
Question: Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 109229.695252
Price History:
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0345
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9655
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.0345
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.9660
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0330
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.9665
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0195
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.9790
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.0230
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.9785
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.0210
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.9795
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0205
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.9785
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.0210
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.9795
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.0210
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.9785
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0250
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.9590
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0420
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.9595
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.0400
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.9545
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0490
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.9505
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0915
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.9085
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.0605
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.9505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1669.84, Sell volume: 268.72, Average price: 0.7803, Price range: 0.0291 - 0.9703
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551529
Question: Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 109229.695252
Price History:
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.9460
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.0595
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.9455
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.0545
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.9365
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.0560
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.9075
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0925
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.8910
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.1000
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9255
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.0850
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.9160
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.0790
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.9415
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.0530
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.9470
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.0495
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.9515
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0490
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9490
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0225
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.9485
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0510
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.9485
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.0515
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.0515
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.9480
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.0505
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.9480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1631.44, Sell volume: 498.77, Average price: 0.7713, Price range: 0.0316 - 0.9550
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551529
Question: Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 109229.695252
Price History:
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.9490
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.9495
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9565
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.9485
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9520
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.0415
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.9570
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9530
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9590
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.9835
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.0545
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.9680
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.9670
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0405
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.0485
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.9510
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9340
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0635
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9525
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.9435
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.0240
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.0250
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0235
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9780
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0565
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.0560
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.0565
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.9450
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.9590
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 8305.92, Sell volume: 769.80, Average price: 0.7324, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9985
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes