Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 560.00, Sell volume: 2398.00, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 522.37, Sell volume: 649.00, Average price: 0.8172, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 20787.46, Sell volume: 7645.98, Average price: 0.5745, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 20787.46, Sell volume: 7645.98, Average price: 0.5745, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 20787.46, Sell volume: 7645.98, Average price: 0.5745, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3868.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4234.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9990
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 4758.00, Sell volume: 1937.24, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0170
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 6277.27, Sell volume: 2659.74, Average price: 0.3465, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0400
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9600
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0400
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0400
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9600
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0200
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9870
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0130
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0130
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0130
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9865
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0135
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0135
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9865
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9865
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0145
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1971.99, Sell volume: 893.00, Average price: 0.8321, Price range: 0.0021 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1295.39, Sell volume: 1277.38, Average price: 0.9984, Price range: 0.9974 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 185, Buy volume: 27264.18, Sell volume: 15411.64, Average price: 0.8799, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1365.89, Sell volume: 1360.20, Average price: 0.9273, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 185, Buy volume: 27264.18, Sell volume: 15411.64, Average price: 0.8799, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1574.30, Sell volume: 1577.82, Average price: 0.9218, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 6459.53, Sell volume: 8453.63, Average price: 0.9895, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 11.10, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 185, Buy volume: 27264.18, Sell volume: 15411.64, Average price: 0.8799, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2233.45, Sell volume: 46.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1790.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 7569.50, Sell volume: 1788.38, Average price: 0.3891, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0400
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9600
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0200
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9870
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9870
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0135
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0135
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9865
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1971.99, Sell volume: 893.00, Average price: 0.8321, Price range: 0.0021 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1295.39, Sell volume: 1277.38, Average price: 0.9984, Price range: 0.9974 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 185, Buy volume: 27264.18, Sell volume: 15411.64, Average price: 0.8799, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1365.89, Sell volume: 1360.20, Average price: 0.9273, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 185, Buy volume: 27264.18, Sell volume: 15411.64, Average price: 0.8799, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1574.30, Sell volume: 1577.82, Average price: 0.9218, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 6459.53, Sell volume: 8453.63, Average price: 0.9895, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 11.10, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 185, Buy volume: 27264.18, Sell volume: 15411.64, Average price: 0.8799, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2233.45, Sell volume: 46.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1790.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587268
Question: Will the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 42675.817203
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 7569.50, Sell volume: 1788.38, Average price: 0.3891, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9600
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9600
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9600
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0400
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9600
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9800
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9935
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0050
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0050
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0045
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0045
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9955
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9955
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9955
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 879.99, Sell volume: 236.00, Average price: 0.8318, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 431.25, Sell volume: 1660.74, Average price: 0.7492, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 6.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 422.74, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 247, Buy volume: 117923.05, Sell volume: 18989.46, Average price: 0.4130, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1126.33, Sell volume: 998.45, Average price: 0.8739, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 6.85, Sell volume: 1434.72, Average price: 0.7490, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 247, Buy volume: 117923.05, Sell volume: 18989.46, Average price: 0.4130, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 247, Buy volume: 117923.05, Sell volume: 18989.46, Average price: 0.4130, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1068.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 83694.55, Sell volume: 5984.44, Average price: 0.2166, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 20191.15, Sell volume: 2704.71, Average price: 0.5066, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0255
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 8430.87, Sell volume: 5497.61, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0400
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9600
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9800
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0050
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0045
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9955
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9955
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 879.99, Sell volume: 236.00, Average price: 0.8318, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 431.25, Sell volume: 1660.74, Average price: 0.7492, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 6.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 422.74, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 247, Buy volume: 117923.05, Sell volume: 18989.46, Average price: 0.4130, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1126.33, Sell volume: 998.45, Average price: 0.8739, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 6.85, Sell volume: 1434.72, Average price: 0.7490, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 247, Buy volume: 117923.05, Sell volume: 18989.46, Average price: 0.4130, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 247, Buy volume: 117923.05, Sell volume: 18989.46, Average price: 0.4130, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1068.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 83694.55, Sell volume: 5984.44, Average price: 0.2166, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 20191.15, Sell volume: 2704.71, Average price: 0.5066, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587270
Question: Will the Christian Union win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 136912.511
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9745
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 8430.87, Sell volume: 5497.61, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.5050
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.7450
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.2550
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.2000
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.8050
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.1850
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.1850
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.1850
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.8150
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.8200
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.1800
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.1800
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.8200
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.8350
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.8350
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.1650
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.8400
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.8350
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.1600
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.1600
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.8550
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.8550
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.8550
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 244.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.1400
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.8550
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.1050
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.1050
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.8900
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.1100
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.1100
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.1100
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.1100
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.1100
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.1100
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0950
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0950
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.1000
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.8950
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9000
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9050
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9000
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0950
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9000
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0950
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9050
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9000
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.1000
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9050
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9000
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0950
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9050
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.1000
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9050
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0950
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0950
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0950
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9050
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0950
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 94.00, Sell volume: 244.99, Average price: 0.1025, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.1400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9100
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9100
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9100
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9100
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9100
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0900
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9100
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0900
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0900
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9100
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9100
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9100
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0900
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0850
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0800
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0850
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0850
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0900
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9200
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0800
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0800
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0800
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0800
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0750
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0750
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0750
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0800
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0800
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0800
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0800
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9200
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 387.63, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5065, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9258

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.9150
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0850
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9150
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0850
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0850
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9150
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9150
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.1500
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.1250
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.1000
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.1050
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.1000
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.1000
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.8950
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.1050
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.8900
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.8950
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.8900
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.1050
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.1050
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.8950
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.1050
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.8950
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.1050
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.8950
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.8950
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.8900
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.8900
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.8900
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.1100
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.8900
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.8950
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.8900
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.8950
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.8950
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.8950
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.1050
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.8950
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.1100
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.1050
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.1050
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.1050
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.1100
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.1050
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.1100
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.1100
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.1050
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 863.43, Sell volume: 1.09, Average price: 0.6975, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.1050
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.1100
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.1050
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.8900
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.8950
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.1050
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.1050
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.8850
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.1000
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.1050
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9000
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.8950
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.8950
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9000
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.8950
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.1050
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9000
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.1050
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.1000
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.1000
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.1000
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.1000
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.1000
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.1000
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.1000
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9000
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.1000
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.1000
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.1000
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.1000
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.1000
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9000
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9000
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9000
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.1000
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9000
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9000
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.1000
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 444.00, Sell volume: 299.99, Average price: 0.1100, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.1200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0950
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0950
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0950
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9000
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9000
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.1000
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.1000
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9000
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9000
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.1000
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9000
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.1000
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9000
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9000
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9000
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.1000
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.1000
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9000
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.1000
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0950
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0950
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0950
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0950
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9050
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0950
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0950
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0950
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0950
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0950
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0950
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9050
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9050
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9050
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9050
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0900
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9100
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0900
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0900
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9100
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0900
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0900
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9100
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0750
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0750
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9250
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0750
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0700
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 564.40, Sell volume: 128.33, Average price: 0.5093, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 527.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9400
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9745
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0260
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9695
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0305
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9695
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0305
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0305
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9695
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0300
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0300
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0300
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0300
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9700
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0300
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9700
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0300
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0300
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0300
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9700
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0300
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1030.22, Sell volume: 323.99, Average price: 0.8706, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9600

Output: Yes