Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.2750
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.7250
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.2800
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.7200
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.2550
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.7450
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.2550
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.7450
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.2550
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.7450
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.7450
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.2600
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.7400
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.2600
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.7400
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.2550
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.7450
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.9450
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.9450
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.9450
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 692.36, Sell volume: 588.72, Average price: 0.7151, Price range: 0.0363 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0390
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.9610
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0390
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.9610
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0350
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.9650
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0350
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9650
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0350
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9650
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0345
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9655
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9650
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0345
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9655
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0340
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9660
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0345
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.9655
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0340
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.9660
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0345
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9655
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0345
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9655
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0350
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9650
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0350
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9650
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0350
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9650
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0345
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9655
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0350
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9650
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0345
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9655
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0355
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9645
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0350
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.9650
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0355
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9645
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0350
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9650
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0350
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9650
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0345
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0345
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.9655
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0350
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.9650
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0345
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9655
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0345
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.9655
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0350
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.9650
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0345
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.9655
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0345
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.9655
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0345
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9655
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0340
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9660
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0340
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9660
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0340
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.9660
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0345
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.9655
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0345
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9655
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0340
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.9660
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0350
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.9650
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0350
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9650
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0345
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9655
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0350
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9650
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0345
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.9655
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0345
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.9655
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0345
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.9655
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0340
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.9660
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0350
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9650
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0350
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.9650
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0350
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 7110.24, Sell volume: 703.74, Average price: 0.8532, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0345
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.9655
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0345
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9655
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0350
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9650
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0345
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.9655
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0345
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.9655
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0340
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9660
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0340
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9660
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0340
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9660
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0345
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.9655
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0345
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9655
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0340
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.9660
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0340
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9660
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0340
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9660
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0340
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.9660
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0345
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.9655
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0340
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9660
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0345
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9655
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0350
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9650
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0345
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.9655
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0350
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9650
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0345
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9655
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0350
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9650
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0345
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9655
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0350
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9650
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0345
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 7110.24, Sell volume: 703.74, Average price: 0.8532, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0345
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9655
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0350
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9650
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0350
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9650
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0350
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9650
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0345
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9655
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0345
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9655
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0345
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9655
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0345
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.9655
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0345
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.9655
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0345
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.9655
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0345
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9655
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0345
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.9655
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0350
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9650
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0345
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.9655
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0345
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.9655
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0350
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9650
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0345
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9655
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0350
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9650
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0345
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9655
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0345
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9655
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0345
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9655
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0350
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9650
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0345
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9655
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0345
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9655
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0345
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 1.65, Average price: 0.9655, Price range: 0.9610 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0350
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9650
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0345
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9655
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0345
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.9655
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0345
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9655
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0345
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9655
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0340
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.9660
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0340
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.9660
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0340
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9660
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0345
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9655
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0345
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9655
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0340
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9660
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0345
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9655
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0350
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9650
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0350
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9650
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0345
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9655
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0345
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9655
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0305
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9695
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0315
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9685
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0325
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.9675
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0335
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9665
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0335
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9665
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0335
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9665
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0335
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.9665
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0305
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9695
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0320
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 108.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9735, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9790

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9700
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0280
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9720
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0265
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9735
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0295
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9705
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0290
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9710
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0300
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9700
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9715
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9715
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0275
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9725
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0305
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9695
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9715
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0280
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9720
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0270
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9730
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0260
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9740
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0250
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9750
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0250
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9750
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0240
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9760
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0245
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9755
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0245
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9755
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0095
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9905
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9940
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 322.16, Sell volume: 8.00, Average price: 0.9116, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9810

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9930
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9925
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0100
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9900
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9930
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 691.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8327, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.0070, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.0070

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0075
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9925
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9920
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0100
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9900
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9900
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9910
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9915
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9920
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9910
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9910
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9910
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9910
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9910
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9910
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9910
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0100
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9900
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0100
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9900
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0100
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9900
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0100
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9900
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0100
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 21.00, Average price: 0.0070, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.0070

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0090
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9910
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0090
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9910
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0095
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9905
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0095
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9905
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0100
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9900
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9900
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9900
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9900
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9900
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9900
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9900
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9900
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9900
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9900
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9900
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9900
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9900
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9900
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9900
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9900
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9900
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9900
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9900
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9900
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9920, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9900
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9900
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9900
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9900
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9900
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9900
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9900
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9900
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9900
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9900
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9900
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 7110.24, Sell volume: 703.74, Average price: 0.8532, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9900
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0100
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9900
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0100
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9900
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0100
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9900
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0100
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9900
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0100
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9900
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0100
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 3194.93, Sell volume: 34.37, Average price: 0.9071, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.2750
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.2800
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.2550
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.2550
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.2550
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.2600
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.2600
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.2550
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 692.36, Sell volume: 588.72, Average price: 0.7151, Price range: 0.0363 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0390
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0390
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0350
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0350
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0345
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0350
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0345
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0340
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0345
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0340
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0345
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0345
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0350
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0350
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0350
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0345
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0350
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0345
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0355
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0350
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0355
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0350
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0350
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0345
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0350
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0350
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0355
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0355
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0345
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0350
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0345
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0345
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0350
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0345
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0345
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0345
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0340
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0340
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0340
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0345
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0345
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0340
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0350
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0350
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0345
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0350
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0345
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0345
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0345
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0340
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0350
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0350
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0350
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0350
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0350
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0345
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0350
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 7110.24, Sell volume: 703.74, Average price: 0.8532, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0345
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0345
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0350
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0345
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0345
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0340
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0340
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0340
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0345
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0345
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0340
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0340
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0340
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0340
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0345
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0340
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0345
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0350
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0345
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0350
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0345
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0350
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0345
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0350
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0345
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0350
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0345
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0340
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0340
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 7110.24, Sell volume: 703.74, Average price: 0.8532, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0345
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0350
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0350
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0350
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0345
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0345
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0345
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0345
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0345
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0345
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0345
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0345
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0350
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0345
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0345
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0350
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0345
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0350
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0345
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0345
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0345
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0350
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0345
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0345
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0345
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0345
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0340
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0345
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0340
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 1.65, Average price: 0.9655, Price range: 0.9610 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0350
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0345
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0345
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0345
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0345
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0340
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0340
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0340
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0345
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0345
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0340
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0345
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0350
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0350
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0345
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0345
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0305
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0315
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0325
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0335
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0335
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0335
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0335
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0305
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0320
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0260
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0275
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0285
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0265
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 108.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9735, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0280
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0265
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0295
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0290
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0300
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0275
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0305
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0280
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0270
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0260
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0250
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0250
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0240
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0245
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0245
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0095
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 322.16, Sell volume: 8.00, Average price: 0.9116, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0100
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 691.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8327, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.0070, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.0070
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0075
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0100
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0100
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0100
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0100
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0100
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0100
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0100
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 21.00, Average price: 0.0070, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.0070
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0090
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0090
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0095
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0095
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9920, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 7110.24, Sell volume: 703.74, Average price: 0.8532, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535733
Question: Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 7813.978794
Price History:
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0100
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0100
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0100
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0100
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0100
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0100
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0100
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0100
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0100
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0100
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0100
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 3194.93, Sell volume: 34.37, Average price: 0.9071, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.1550
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.8450
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.1600
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.8400
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.1600
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.8400
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.1600
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.8400
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.1600
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.8400
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.1600
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.8400
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.1600
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.8400
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.1600
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.8400
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.9450
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.9550
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.9600
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.9600
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.9600
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 234.70, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7213, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.9600
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.9600
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.9600
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9600
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9600
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9600
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9600
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9600
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9600
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.9600
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.9600
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9600
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9600
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9600
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9600
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9600
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9600
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9600
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9600
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9600
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.9600
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9600
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9600
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9600
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.9600
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.9600
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9600
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.9600
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.9600
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.9600
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.9600
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9600
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9600
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9600
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.9600
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.9600
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9600
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.9600
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.9600
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9600
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9600
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9600
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.9600
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.9600
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.9600
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.9600
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9600
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.9600
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 248, Buy volume: 19255.29, Sell volume: 2131.66, Average price: 0.8497, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.9600
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9600
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9600
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.9600
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.9600
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9600
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9600
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9600
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.9600
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9600
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.9600
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9600
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9600
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.9600
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.9600
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9600
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9600
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9600
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.9600
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9600
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9600
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9600
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9600
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9600
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 248, Buy volume: 19255.29, Sell volume: 2131.66, Average price: 0.8497, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0375
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9625
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0370
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9630
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0360
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9640
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0360
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9640
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0355
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9645
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0355
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9645
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0375
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9625
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0380
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.9620
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0360
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.9640
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0355
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.9645
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0380
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9620
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0380
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.9620
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0380
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9620
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0365
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.9635
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0370
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.9630
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0370
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9630
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0365
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9635
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0355
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9645
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0365
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9635
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0355
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9645
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0285
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9715
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0285
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9715
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0280
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9720
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0280
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9720
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0285
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 59.99, Average price: 0.3403, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0310
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9690
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0310
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9690
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0310
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.9690
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0315
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9685
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0320
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9680
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0310
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.9690
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0315
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.9685
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0315
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9685
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0315
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9685
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0305
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9695
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0310
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9690
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0320
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9680
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0310
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9690
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0320
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9680
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0315
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9685
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0315
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9685
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0315
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9685
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9700
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0280
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.9720
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0280
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9720
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0280
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9720
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0280
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9720
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0280
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.9720
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0250
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9750
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0280
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 351.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8570, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9760

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0285
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9715
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9715
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9715
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9715
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9715
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9715
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9715
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9715
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9715
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9715
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9715
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9715
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0280
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9720
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0280
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9720
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0280
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9720
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0280
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9720
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9715
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0280
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9720
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0280
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9720
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0270
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9730
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0280
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9720
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0275
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9725
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0270
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9730
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0280
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9720
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0275
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1001.64, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.8232, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9790

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0240
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9760
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0240
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9760
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0135
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9865
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0100
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9900
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0135
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9865
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0110
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9890
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0100
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9900
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0140
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9860
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0135
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9865
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0095
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9905
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0085
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9915
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9870
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0080
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9920
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0145
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9855
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0100
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9900
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0095
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9905
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0105
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9895
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0095
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9905
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0095
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9905
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0105
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9895
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0110
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9890
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0140
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9860
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9900
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0135
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 293.24, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.8292, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9900
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0100
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9900
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0125
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9875
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0120
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9880
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0100
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9900
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9880
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9880
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9880
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0120
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9880
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9880
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0120
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9880
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0120
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9880
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0125
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9875
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9880
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0125
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9875
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9880
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9880
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9880
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9880
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9880
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0125
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9875
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9880
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0125
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9875
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9880
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 71.39, Sell volume: 36.99, Average price: 0.0191, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.0224

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0120
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9880
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0130
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9870
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0125
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9875
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0135
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0135
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0130
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9870
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0130
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9870
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0135
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0135
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0140
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9860
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0135
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0135
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0130
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9870
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0135
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0130
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9870
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0130
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9870
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0130
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9870
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0275
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9725
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0275
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9725
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0275
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9725
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0275
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9725
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0275
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9725
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0275
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9725
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0275
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9725
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0275
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 221.00, Sell volume: 33.61, Average price: 0.0219, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.0238

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0165
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9835
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0175
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9825
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0175
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9825
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0180
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9820
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0175
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9825
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0185
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9815
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0170
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9830
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9835
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9855
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9840
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9860
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9860
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9835
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9855
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9860
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9860
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0135
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9865
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9860
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0135
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9865
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9860
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0135
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9865
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0135
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9865
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9860
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9855
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9880, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0155
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9845
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0140
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9860
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0145
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9855
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0140
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9860
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0145
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9855
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0145
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9855
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0150
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9850
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0150
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9850
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0150
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9850
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0150
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9850
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0150
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9850
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9850
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0155
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9845
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9865
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0165
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9835
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9850
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0155
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9845
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9865
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0155
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9845
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9865
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9850
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9850
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0145
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9855
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0160
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 248, Buy volume: 19255.29, Sell volume: 2131.66, Average price: 0.8497, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0140
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9860
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0125
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9875
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0125
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9875
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0125
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9875
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0125
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9875
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0130
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9870
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0135
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9865
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0155
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9845
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0130
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9870
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0150
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9850
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9845
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0125
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9875
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0130
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9870
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0155
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9845
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0125
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9875
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0130
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9870
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0155
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9845
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0145
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9855
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0135
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9865
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0135
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9865
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0135
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9865
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0150
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9850
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0130
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9870
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0140
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 158, Buy volume: 15981.10, Sell volume: 1810.00, Average price: 0.9089, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.1550
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.1600
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.1600
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.1600
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.1600
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.1600
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.1600
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.1600
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 234.70, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7213, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 248, Buy volume: 19255.29, Sell volume: 2131.66, Average price: 0.8497, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0400
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0400
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 248, Buy volume: 19255.29, Sell volume: 2131.66, Average price: 0.8497, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0375
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0370
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0360
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0360
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0355
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0355
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0375
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0380
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0360
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0355
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0380
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0380
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0380
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0365
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0370
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0370
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0365
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0355
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0365
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0355
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0285
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0285
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0280
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0280
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0285
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0255
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0270
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0285
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0290
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 59.99, Average price: 0.3403, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0310
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0310
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0310
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0315
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0320
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0310
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0315
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0315
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0315
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0305
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0310
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0320
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0310
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0320
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0315
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0315
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0315
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0280
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0280
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0280
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0280
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0280
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0250
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0280
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0280
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0280
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0280
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0280
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 351.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8570, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9760
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0280
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0280
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0280
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0280
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0280
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0280
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0270
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0280
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0275
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0270
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0280
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0275
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0265
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0280
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0275
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0270
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1001.64, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.8232, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0240
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0240
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0135
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0100
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0135
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0110
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0100
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0140
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0135
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0095
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0085
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0080
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0145
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0100
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0095
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0105
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0095
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0095
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0105
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0110
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0140
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0135
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0140
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0145
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0105
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0125
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 293.24, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.8292, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0100
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0125
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0120
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0100
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0120
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0120
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0120
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0125
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0125
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0125
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0125
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 71.39, Sell volume: 36.99, Average price: 0.0191, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.0224
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0120
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0130
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0125
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0135
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0135
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0130
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0130
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0135
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0135
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0140
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0135
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0135
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0130
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0135
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0130
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0130
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0130
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0275
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0275
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0275
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0275
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0275
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0275
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0275
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0275
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0275
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0275
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0275
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0275
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 221.00, Sell volume: 33.61, Average price: 0.0219, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.0238
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0165
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0175
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0175
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0180
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0175
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0185
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0170
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0135
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0135
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0135
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0135
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0150
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0150
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0140
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9880, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0155
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0140
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0145
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0140
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0145
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0145
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0150
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0150
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0150
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0150
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0155
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0165
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0155
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0155
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0145
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0160
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 248, Buy volume: 19255.29, Sell volume: 2131.66, Average price: 0.8497, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535734
Question: Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 21386.946941
Price History:
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0140
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0125
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0125
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0125
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0125
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0130
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0135
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0155
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0130
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0150
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0125
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0130
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0155
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0125
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0130
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0155
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0145
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0135
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0135
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0135
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0150
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0130
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0140
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0130
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0130
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0130
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0135
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 158, Buy volume: 15981.10, Sell volume: 1810.00, Average price: 0.9089, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535735
Question: Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163277.222643
Price History:
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.5250
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.4750
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.5100
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.4900
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.5050
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.4900
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.5100
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.4700
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.5300
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.4700
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.5300
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.4750
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.5250
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.3550
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.6450
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.3350
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.6650
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.2800
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.7200
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.2700
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.7300
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.2400
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.7600
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.2200
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.7800
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.2200
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.7800
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.2250
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.7750
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.2250
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.7750
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.2200
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.7800
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.1500
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.8500
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.1300
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.8700
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.1050
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.8950
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.1050
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.8950
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.1100
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.8900
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.9050
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.1050
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.8950
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0950
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 177.61, Sell volume: 12.56, Average price: 0.7056, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535735
Question: Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163277.222643
Price History:
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0700
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0700
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0700
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0700
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0700
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0700
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0700
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0700
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535735
Question: Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163277.222643
Price History:
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.9300
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.9300
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.9300
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9300
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.9300
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.9300
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.9300
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.9300
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9300
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9300
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9300
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.9300
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.9300
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9300
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.9300
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.9300
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9300
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9300
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9300
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.9300
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.9300
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.9300
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.9300
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0700
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9300
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 422, Buy volume: 128700.69, Sell volume: 32576.53, Average price: 0.5699, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535735
Question: Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163277.222643
Price History:
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.9300
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0700
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.9300
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0700
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.9300
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0700
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9300
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0700
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9300
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0750
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.9250
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0800
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0800
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0800
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0800
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0800
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0800
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0800
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0800
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0850
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.9150
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0800
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0800
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1285.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0850, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535735
Question: Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163277.222643
Price History:
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0750
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.9250
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0750
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.9250
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9200
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9200
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0800
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9200
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0800
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9200
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9200
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9200
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0800
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.9200
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.9200
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0800
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0800
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9200
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.9200
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.9200
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.9200
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9200
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9200
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9200
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9200
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9200
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9200
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 592.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3682, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535735
Question: Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163277.222643
Price History:
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9150
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0850
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.9150
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0850
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9150
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0850
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9150
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0850
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9150
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 488.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7561, Price range: 0.1007 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535735
Question: Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163277.222643
Price History:
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.9100
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.9100
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.9100
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9100
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0900
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9100
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.1000
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9000
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.1000
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9000
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.1000
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9000
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.1000
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9000
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.1000
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9000
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.1000
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9000
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.1000
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9000
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.1000
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9000
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.1000
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9000
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.1000
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9000
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.1000
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 452.16, Sell volume: 8.00, Average price: 0.8683, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535735
Question: Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163277.222643
Price History:
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.8550
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.1400
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.8600
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.2100
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.7900
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.1500
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.8500
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.1600
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.8400
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.1750
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.8250
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.1500
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.8500
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.1500
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.8500
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1550
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.8450
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.8750
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1350
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.8650
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1300
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.8700
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.8900
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.8900
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.8900
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.1450
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.8550
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.8900
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.8900
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.1400
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.8600
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.1600
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.8400
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.1400
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.8600
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.1400
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.8600
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.1300
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.8700
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.1300
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.8700
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 793.59, Sell volume: 1452.21, Average price: 0.7216, Price range: 0.0942 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535735
Question: Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163277.222643
Price History:
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.1300
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.8700
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.1300
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.8700
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.1300
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.8700
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.1300
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.8700
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.1650
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.8350
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.1650
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.8350
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.1750
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.8250
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.1650
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.8350
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.1300
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.8700
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.1550
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.8450
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.8900
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.8950
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.1200
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.8800
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.8950
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.8950
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.8950
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.1350
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 422, Buy volume: 128700.69, Sell volume: 32576.53, Average price: 0.5699, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535735
Question: Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163277.222643
Price History:
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.8700
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.8750
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.8750
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.1350
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.8650
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.1400
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.8600
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.1300
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.8700
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.1350
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.8650
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.1150
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.8850
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.1250
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.8750
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.1250
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.8750
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.1350
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.8650
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.1250
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.8750
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.1450
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.8550
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.1350
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.8650
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.1450
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.8550
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.1300
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.8700
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.1400
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.8600
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.1400
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.8600
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.1450
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.8550
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.1400
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.8600
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.1400
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.8600
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.1400
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.8600
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.1400
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.8600
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.1400
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.8600
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 422, Buy volume: 128700.69, Sell volume: 32576.53, Average price: 0.5699, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535735
Question: Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163277.222643
Price History:
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.1150
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.8850
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.1150
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.8850
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 105.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535735
Question: Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163277.222643
Price History:
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.8950
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.1050
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.8950
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.1050
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.8950
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.1050
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.8950
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.1050
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.8950
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.1050
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.8950
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.1050
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.8950
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.1050
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.8950
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.1050
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.8950
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.1050
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.8950
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.1050
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.8950
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.1050
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.8950
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.1050
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.8950
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.1050
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.8950
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.1050
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.8950
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.1050
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.8950
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.1050
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.8950
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.1050
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.8950
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1050
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.8950
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.1050
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.8950
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.1050
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.8950
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.1050
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.8950
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.1000
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9000
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.1000
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9000
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.1000
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9000
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 422, Buy volume: 128700.69, Sell volume: 32576.53, Average price: 0.5699, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535735
Question: Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163277.222643
Price History:
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.1000
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9000
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9000
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9000
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9000
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.1050
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.8950
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9000
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9000
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9000
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9000
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9000
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9000
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.1050
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.8950
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9000
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9000
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9000
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9000
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9000
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9000
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9000
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9000
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9000
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9000
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9000
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9000
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 199, Buy volume: 50912.92, Sell volume: 16194.07, Average price: 0.5746, Price range: 0.0057 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535735
Question: Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 163277.222643
Price History:
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.5250
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.5100
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.4900
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.4700
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.4700
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.4750
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.3550
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.3350
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.2800
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.2700
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.2400
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.2200
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.2200
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.2250
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.2250
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.2200
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.1500
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.1300
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.1050
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.1050
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.1100
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.1050
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0950
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.1100
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.1300
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.1200
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 177.61, Sell volume: 12.56, Average price: 0.7056, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535735
Question: Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 163277.222643
Price History:
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.9300
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535735
Question: Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 163277.222643
Price History:
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0700
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0700
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0700
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0700
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0700
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0700
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 422, Buy volume: 128700.69, Sell volume: 32576.53, Average price: 0.5699, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535735
Question: Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 163277.222643
Price History:
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.9300
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.9300
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.9300
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9300
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9300
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.9250
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.9150
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1285.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0850, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535735
Question: Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 163277.222643
Price History:
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0750
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0750
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0800
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0800
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0800
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0800
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 592.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3682, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535735
Question: Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 163277.222643
Price History:
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9150
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.9150
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9150
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9150
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9150
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.9150
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9150
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9150
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9150
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 488.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7561, Price range: 0.1007 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes