Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4600
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.5400
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.6150
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.4700
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.4750
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5250
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5200
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5250
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.4800
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.4850
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.4800
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.5350
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.3800
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.4000
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.6050
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3800
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3850
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3900
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.4350
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.4300
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.5650
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.4000
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.6050
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6050
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3900
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.6100
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3900
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.3900
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.6050
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.3900
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.6050
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.3950
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 355367136.08, Sell volume: 163173909.77, Average price: 0.4535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.4000
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.3950
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.4050
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.4250
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.5650
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.5650
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.4250
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.5500
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.5400
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.4600
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.5400
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.5400
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.5050
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.5350
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.5350
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.4750
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.4750
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.4750
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.5050
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.5250
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.5300
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.4750
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.5450
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.5400
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.5250
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.5450
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.4150
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.4750
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.5150
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.4850
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.5050
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.5050
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.5350
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.5250
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.4800
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.4850
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.5300
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.5300
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.4900
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 355367136.08, Sell volume: 163173909.77, Average price: 0.4535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.5250
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.4950
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0190
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0345
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9675
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9815
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9855
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0230
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9725
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9590
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.8515
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.7225
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.8125
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.2985
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.8525
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0645
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0690
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0975
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.0970
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0785
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0655
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0900
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.0775
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9185
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0900
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9245
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0735
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0680
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9185
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0690
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0970
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9025
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.1415
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.1370
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.1170
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.8510
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.8635
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.8605
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.8440
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.8630
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.8475
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.8480
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.8345
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.1725
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.1730
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999945, Buy volume: 355322828.90, Sell volume: 163161380.29, Average price: 0.4534, Price range: 0.0195 - 0.9810

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.5250
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.6450
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.3550
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.6450
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.3750
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.6450
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.3500
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.6350
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.4050
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.5800
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.4300
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.5700
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.6500
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.2900
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.7150
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.3100
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.7100
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.3250
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.6800
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.3350
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.6600
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.3400
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.6550
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.3300
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.6550
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.3750
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.6300
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.3450
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.6650
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 355367136.08, Sell volume: 163173909.77, Average price: 0.4535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.6650
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.3350
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.6650
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.4050
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.5950
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.3950
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.6250
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.3650
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.6100
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.4050
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.5850
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.4050
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.6250
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.3750
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.6250
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.3750
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.5850
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.4050
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.5950
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.4050
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.5750
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.4250
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.5850
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.4150
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.5850
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.3900
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.6050
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.3950
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.6050
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 355367136.08, Sell volume: 163173909.77, Average price: 0.4535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.6050
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.3900
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.6100
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.4350
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.5650
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.4350
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.5550
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.4450
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.5550
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.4450
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.5550
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.4450
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.5550
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.4450
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.5550
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.4450
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.5550
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.4450
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.5550
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.4550
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.5450
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.4650
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.5400
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.4600
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.4950
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.5100
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.4900
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.5100
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.4950
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 355367136.08, Sell volume: 163173909.77, Average price: 0.4535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.4950
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.5050
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.5100
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.5100
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.5450
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.4550
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.4450
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.5500
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.5450
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.5400
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.4500
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.4600
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.4600
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.4600
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.5400
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.4600
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.4600
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.4550
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.5450
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.5450
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.5650
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.4200
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.4450
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.5650
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.4550
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.4600
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.5350
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.4400
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.4550
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 355367136.08, Sell volume: 163173909.77, Average price: 0.4535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.5400
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.5450
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.3950
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.6550
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.3100
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.8100
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.8200
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.7950
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.2000
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.2250
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.2000
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.8050
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.2200
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.2200
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.2250
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.2200
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.7850
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.7450
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.2450
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.8050
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.1850
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.8250
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.1950
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.8050
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.1950
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 355367136.08, Sell volume: 163173909.77, Average price: 0.4535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.8150
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.8150
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.1850
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.1850
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.8200
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.1800
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.8150
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.1800
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.8200
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.1750
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.8250
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.1750
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.8250
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.1850
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.8200
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.1800
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.1800
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.8250
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.1750
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.1850
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.8550
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.0950
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8700
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.8500
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.1500
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.8500
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 355367136.08, Sell volume: 163173909.77, Average price: 0.4535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.8400
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.1600
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.8450
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.8500
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.1500
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.8500
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.8500
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.8400
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.8400
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.8400
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.1600
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.8350
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.1650
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.1650
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.1650
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.8100
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.2050
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.7950
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.7900
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.2000
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.1950
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.2000
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.2000
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.8150
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.1950
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.1950
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.8050
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.1950
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.8050
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 355367136.08, Sell volume: 163173909.77, Average price: 0.4535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.7550
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.2450
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.7700
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.2250
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.7750
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.7300
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.2650
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.7650
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.7900
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.2350
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.7700
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.2250
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.7450
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.2400
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.2300
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.7700
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.7700
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.7700
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.2300
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.7650
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.7600
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.2400
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.7650
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.2500
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.7450
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.2550
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.7450
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.2550
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.2550
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 355367136.08, Sell volume: 163173909.77, Average price: 0.4535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.7350
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.2700
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.7300
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.7300
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.7300
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.2850
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.7200
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.2750
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.2750
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.2500
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.7500
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.2450
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.7500
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.2550
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.2550
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.2550
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.7200
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.2800
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.7200
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.7150
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.2950
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.3000
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.3000
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.7100
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.2850
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.7100
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.3050
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 355367136.08, Sell volume: 163173909.77, Average price: 0.4535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.3300
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.6700
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.6450
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.3950
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.4100
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.4350
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.5550
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.4350
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.4150
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.5850
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.5850
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.5850
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.4150
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.5750
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.4550
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.5450
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.4600
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.5400
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.5300
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.4600
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.5400
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.4850
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 355367136.08, Sell volume: 163173909.77, Average price: 0.4535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4600
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.3600
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.4700
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.5250
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.4800
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.4850
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.5200
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.6150
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6050
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.6100
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.4300
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.6050
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.6000
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.3900
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.3900
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.6100
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.6050
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.6050
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.6050
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 355367136.08, Sell volume: 163173909.77, Average price: 0.4535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.4000
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.5500
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.4250
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.5450
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.5400
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.5400
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.5350
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.4750
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.5250
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.5250
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.4700
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.5250
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.5400
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.4550
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.4300
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.4800
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.4950
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.5050
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.4650
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.4800
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.4450
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.4900
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.5100
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 355367136.08, Sell volume: 163173909.77, Average price: 0.4535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.5250
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.4900
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0135
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9920
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9815
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0275
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.8515
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.2090
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.8560
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0300
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0630
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.9030
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0655
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9020
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.0905
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0780
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0675
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9310
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9020
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.1320
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.1165
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.8635
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1560
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.8475
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.8530
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.1705
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.8725
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1375
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.1480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999945, Buy volume: 355322828.90, Sell volume: 163161380.29, Average price: 0.4534, Price range: 0.0195 - 0.9810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.3250
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.7000
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.3000
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.7050
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.2950
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.6950
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.3050
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.8550
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.2300
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.7700
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.2800
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.7200
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.2850
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.7200
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.2800
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.7200
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.2800
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.7200
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.2800
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.7200
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.2800
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.7000
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.3000
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.7000
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.3000
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.7050
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.2900
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.7050
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.2900
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.6700
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.3300
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.6750
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.3250
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.6750
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.3250
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.6750
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.3250
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.6750
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.3250
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.6750
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.3500
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.6550
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.3650
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.6550
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.3750
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.6350
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.3700
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.7200
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 495.85, Sell volume: 2.42, Average price: 0.5896, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.2650
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.7350
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.2950
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.7050
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.2900
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.7050
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.2950
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.7050
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.2900
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.7450
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.7450
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.7450
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.2650
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.7550
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.7600
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.2450
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.7650
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.2400
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.7400
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.2550
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.7600
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.2350
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.7750
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.2250
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.7900
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.2100
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.7750
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.2250
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.7800
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.2050
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.7750
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.2250
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.7950
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.2000
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.7800
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.1500
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.8500
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.1500
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.8500
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.1500
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0400
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9120
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0805
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.9120
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.1500
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.8180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1011.89, Sell volume: 367.26, Average price: 0.4277, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.7350
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.2650
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.8120
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.1550
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.8495
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.1505
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.8310
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.1800
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.8445
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.1555
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.8445
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.1555
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.8445
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.1495
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.8685
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.1320
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.8645
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.1325
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.8665
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.1295
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.8650
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.1290
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.8725
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.1290
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.8915
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.1085
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.8915
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.1150
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.8910
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.1185
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.8815
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.1185
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.8840
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.1185
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.8830
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.1155
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.8785
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.1290
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.8660
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.1220
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.8660
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.1340
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.8595
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.1400
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.8655
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.1565
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.8435
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.1570
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.8430
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.1570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 288.23, Sell volume: 144.64, Average price: 0.6464, Price range: 0.1190 - 0.8890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.1485
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.8510
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.1490
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.8510
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.1490
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.8510
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.1490
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.8510
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.1490
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.8510
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.1490
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.8510
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.1490
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.8510
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.1490
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.8510
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.1490
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.8510
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.1490
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.8510
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.1500
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.8485
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.1515
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.8485
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.1515
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.8485
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.1505
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.8495
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.1505
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.8490
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.1500
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.8485
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.1505
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.8490
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.1520
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.8470
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.1045
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.8955
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.1045
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.8955
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.1045
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.8955
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.1045
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.8955
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.1045
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.8940
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.1035
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.8955
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.1085
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.8930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 664.17, Sell volume: 341.32, Average price: 0.6909, Price range: 0.1405 - 0.9280

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.8955
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.1125
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.8820
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.1180
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.8955
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.1125
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.8885
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.1125
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.8955
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.1115
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.8800
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.1255
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.8740
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.1265
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.8645
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.1265
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.1360
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.8635
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.1380
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.8785
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.1250
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.8615
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.1045
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.8760
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.1240
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.8910
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.1095
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.8920
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.1190
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.8790
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.1270
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.8755
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.1245
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.8720
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.1255
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.8780
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.1220
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.8910
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.1180
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.8745
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.1255
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.8745
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.1245
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.8745
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.1235
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.8900
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.1125
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.8765
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.1215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 38.82, Sell volume: 6.00, Average price: 0.5058, Price range: 0.1290 - 0.8930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.1215
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.8785
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.1215
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.8785
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.1215
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.8785
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.1215
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.8785
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.1215
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.8785
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.1215
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.8785
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.1215
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.8785
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.1215
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.8785
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.1215
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.8740
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.1260
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.8740
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.1215
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.8785
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.1215
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.8785
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.1215
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.8785
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.1215
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.8785
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.1215
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.8785
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.1180
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.8785
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.1215
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.8835
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.1210
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.8785
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.1215
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.8785
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.1890
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.7430
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.2575
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.7410
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.2590
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.7370
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.2650
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.7355
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.2665
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.6875
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.3460
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.6455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1086.45, Sell volume: 15.56, Average price: 0.6290, Price range: 0.1402 - 0.8862

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.7955
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.2035
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.7915
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.2050
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.7960
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.2040
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.7850
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.2150
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.7880
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.2130
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.7875
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.2120
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.7880
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.2120
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.7880
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.2120
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.7880
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.2120
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.8030
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.1705
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.8425
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.1555
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.8425
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.1555
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.8445
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.1555
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.8440
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.1590
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.8430
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.1555
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.8435
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.1575
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.8435
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.1570
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.8435
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.1570
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.8395
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.1655
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.8305
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.1710
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.8300
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.1575
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.8505
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.1495
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.8505
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.1495
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.8505
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.1495
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.8505
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.1495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 9327.09, Sell volume: 1546.77, Average price: 0.5363, Price range: 0.1544 - 0.8630

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.3185
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.6890
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.3095
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.6945
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.3020
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.7205
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.2750
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.6665
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.3320
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.6715
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.3290
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.6700
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.3245
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.6720
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.3235
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.6405
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.3595
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.6400
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.3580
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.6640
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.3355
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.6705
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.3260
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.7780
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.2525
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.7380
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.2510
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.7830
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.2150
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.7620
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.2290
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.7635
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.2605
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.7330
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.2740
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.7350
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.2885
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.6970
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.2545
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.7515
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.2520
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.7390
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.2510
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.7430
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.2550
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.7425
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.2820
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.7305
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.2665
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.7335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 2952.51, Sell volume: 698.17, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.1320 - 0.8043

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.8375
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.1565
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.8545
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.1415
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.8570
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.1600
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.8440
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.1540
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.8470
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.1570
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.7655
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.2330
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.7680
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.2550
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.7895
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.2500
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.7455
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.2560
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.7435
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.2655
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.7270
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.2200
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.7895
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.1980
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.8090
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.1885
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.8130
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.1850
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.8185
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.1835
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.8155
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.1845
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.8165
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.1835
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.8170
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.1835
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.8140
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.1675
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.8405
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.1520
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.8555
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.1480
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.8455
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.1500
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.8520
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.1465
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.8615
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.1405
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.8515
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.1535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 330.99, Sell volume: 231.85, Average price: 0.6755, Price range: 0.1306 - 0.8580

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0840
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.9140
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0855
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9160
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0840
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.8730
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0925
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.8845
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.1180
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.8905
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.1165
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.8820
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.1135
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.8835
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.1195
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.8810
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.1185
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.8755
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.1120
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.8860
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.1140
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.8785
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.1180
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.8765
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.1190
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.8820
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.1190
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.8825
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.1180
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.8830
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.1170
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.8955
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.1055
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.8995
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.1050
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.8940
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.1085
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.8875
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.1140
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.8900
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.1105
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.8895
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.1135
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.8840
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.1110
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.8845
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.1145
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.8920
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.1120
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.8895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 658.91, Sell volume: 834.63, Average price: 0.3523, Price range: 0.0880 - 0.9010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.8935
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.1095
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.8910
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.1060
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.8900
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.1105
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.8905
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.1080
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.8930
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.1065
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.8930
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.1075
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.8890
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.1075
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.8915
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.1115
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.8925
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.1075
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.8750
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.1265
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.8740
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.1255
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.8705
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.1295
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.8740
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.1240
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.8880
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.1085
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.8840
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.1050
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.8835
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.1100
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.8935
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.1145
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.8920
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.1050
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.8840
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.1210
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.8660
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.1355
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.8690
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.1310
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.8740
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.1315
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.8660
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.1285
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.8640
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.1355
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.8600
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.1395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1066.58, Sell volume: 179.56, Average price: 0.8205, Price range: 0.1160 - 0.8880

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.1340
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.8665
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.1270
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.8655
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.1365
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.8660
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.1370
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.8620
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.1350
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.8630
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.1330
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.8630
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.1315
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.8715
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.1275
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.8700
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.1300
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.8630
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.1360
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.8645
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.1370
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.8645
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.1345
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.8670
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.1340
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.8595
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.1390
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.8605
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.1405
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.9005
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0550
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.9725
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.0335
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.9635
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0350
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.9655
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0355
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.9840
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0165
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.9835
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0180
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.9830
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0180
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.9845
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0155
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.9845
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0155
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.9800
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0195
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1805.13, Sell volume: 431.45, Average price: 0.7585, Price range: 0.0226 - 0.9820

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.9805
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.0195
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.9805
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0200
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.9800
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0205
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.9785
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0205
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.9755
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0245
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9740
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0260
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.9725
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0270
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9755
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0245
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.9785
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0215
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9725
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0275
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.9720
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0280
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9720
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0280
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9720
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0260
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.9730
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0275
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9715
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0285
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.9715
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0285
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9715
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0285
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.9705
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.0295
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.9705
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0295
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.9705
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0295
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.9720
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0290
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.9915
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0085
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9915
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0050
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9885
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0115
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9800
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 6238.28, Sell volume: 951.78, Average price: 0.6575, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9944

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.7000
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.7050
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.6950
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.8550
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.7700
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.7200
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.7200
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.7200
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.7200
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.7200
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.7000
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.7000
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.7050
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.7050
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.6700
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.6750
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.6750
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.6750
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.6750
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.6750
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.6550
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.6550
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.6350
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.7200
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.7000
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.6950
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.6950
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.6950
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 495.85, Sell volume: 2.42, Average price: 0.5896, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.2650
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.2950
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.2900
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.2950
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.2900
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.2650
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.2450
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.2400
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.2550
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.2350
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.2250
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.2100
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.2250
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.2050
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.2250
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.2000
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.1500
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.1500
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.1500
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0400
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0805
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.1500
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.1785
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.2485
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.2160
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.2085
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.3370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1011.89, Sell volume: 367.26, Average price: 0.4277, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.7350
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.8120
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.8495
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.8310
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.8445
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.8445
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.8445
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.8685
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.8645
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.8665
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.8650
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.8725
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.8915
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.8915
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.8910
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.8815
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.8840
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.8830
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.8785
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.8660
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.8660
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.8595
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.8655
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.8435
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.8430
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.8430
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.8430
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.8515
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.8515
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.8520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 288.23, Sell volume: 144.64, Average price: 0.6464, Price range: 0.1190 - 0.8890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.1485
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.1490
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.1490
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.1490
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.1490
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.1490
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.1490
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.1490
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.1490
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.1490
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.1500
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.1515
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.1515
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.1505
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.1505
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.1500
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.1505
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.1520
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.1045
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.1045
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.1045
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.1045
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.1045
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.1035
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.1085
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.1060
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.1045
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.1045
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.1045
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.1045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 664.17, Sell volume: 341.32, Average price: 0.6909, Price range: 0.1405 - 0.9280
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.8955
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.8820
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.8955
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.8885
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.8955
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.8740
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.8645
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.8635
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.8785
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.8615
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.8760
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.8910
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.8920
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.8790
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.8755
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.8720
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.8780
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.8910
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.8745
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.8745
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.8745
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.8900
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.8765
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.8785
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.8790
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.8785
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.8785
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.8785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 38.82, Sell volume: 6.00, Average price: 0.5058, Price range: 0.1290 - 0.8930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.1215
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.1215
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.1215
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.1215
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.1215
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.1215
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.1215
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.1215
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.1215
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.1260
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.1215
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.1215
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.1215
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.1215
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.1215
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.1180
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.1215
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.1210
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.1215
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.1890
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.2575
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.2590
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.2650
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.2665
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.3460
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.3565
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.2425
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.2425
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.2400
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.2275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1086.45, Sell volume: 15.56, Average price: 0.6290, Price range: 0.1402 - 0.8862
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.7955
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.7915
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.7960
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.7850
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.7880
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.7875
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.7880
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.7880
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.7880
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.8030
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.8425
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.8425
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.8445
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.8440
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.8430
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.8435
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.8435
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.8435
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.8395
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.8305
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.8300
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.8505
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.8505
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.8505
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.8505
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.8510
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.8505
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.5025
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.6875
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.6925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 9327.09, Sell volume: 1546.77, Average price: 0.5363, Price range: 0.1544 - 0.8630
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.3185
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.3095
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.3020
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.2750
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.3320
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.3290
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.3245
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.3235
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.3595
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.3580
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.3355
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.3260
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.2525
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.2510
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.2150
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.2290
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.2605
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.2740
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.2885
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.2545
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.2520
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.2510
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.2550
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.2820
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.2665
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.2665
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.2720
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.2485
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.2485
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.2485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 2952.51, Sell volume: 698.17, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.1320 - 0.8043
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.8375
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.8545
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.8570
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.8440
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.8470
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.7655
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.7680
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.7895
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.7455
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.7435
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.7270
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.7895
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.8090
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.8130
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.8185
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.8155
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.8165
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.8170
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.8140
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.8405
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.8555
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.8455
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.8520
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.8615
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.8515
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.8540
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.8650
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.9115
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.9180
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.9185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 330.99, Sell volume: 231.85, Average price: 0.6755, Price range: 0.1306 - 0.8580
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0840
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0855
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0840
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0925
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.1180
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.1165
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.1135
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.1195
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.1185
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.1120
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.1140
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.1180
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.1190
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.1190
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.1180
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.1170
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.1055
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.1050
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.1085
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.1140
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.1105
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.1135
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.1110
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.1145
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.1120
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.1100
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.1070
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.1100
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.1100
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.1105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 658.91, Sell volume: 834.63, Average price: 0.3523, Price range: 0.0880 - 0.9010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.8935
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.8910
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.8900
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.8905
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.8930
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.8930
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.8890
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.8915
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.8925
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.8750
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.8740
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.8705
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.8740
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.8880
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.8840
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.8835
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.8935
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.8920
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.8840
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.8660
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.8690
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.8740
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.8660
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.8640
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.8600
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.8655
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.8640
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.8590
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.8655
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.8605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1066.58, Sell volume: 179.56, Average price: 0.8205, Price range: 0.1160 - 0.8880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.1340
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.1270
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.1365
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.1370
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.1350
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.1330
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.1315
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.1275
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.1300
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.1360
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.1370
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.1345
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.1340
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.1390
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.1405
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0550
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.0335
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0350
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0355
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0165
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0180
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0180
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0155
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0155
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0195
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.0200
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0200
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0185
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0195
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1805.13, Sell volume: 431.45, Average price: 0.7585, Price range: 0.0226 - 0.9820
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544534
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?
Volume: 40107.644548
Price History:
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.9805
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.9805
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.9800
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.9785
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.9755
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9740
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.9725
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9755
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.9785
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9725
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.9720
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9720
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9720
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.9730
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9715
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.9715
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9715
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.9705
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.9705
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.9705
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.9720
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.9915
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9915
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9885
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9800
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.9320
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.9310
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.9280
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.9300
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 6238.28, Sell volume: 951.78, Average price: 0.6575, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9944
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.3250
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.6750
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.3250
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.5500
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.6350
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.4450
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.5550
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.4450
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.5550
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.4450
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.5550
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.4450
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.5200
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.5400
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.5400
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.4750
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.5250
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.4750
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.5250
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.4750
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.4700
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.5300
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.4700
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.5300
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.4700
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.5300
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.4700
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.5300
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.4350
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.5650
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.4350
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.5650
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.5650
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.4200
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.5800
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.4200
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.5800
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.4200
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.5800
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.3700
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.6500
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.3250
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.8450
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.1150
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9000
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.1000
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.9000
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 2069.55, Sell volume: 84.51, Average price: 0.4679, Price range: 0.1089 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.3750
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.6250
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.3750
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.6250
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.3750
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.6250
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.3750
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.6450
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.3450
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.6500
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.3450
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.6500
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.3600
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.6400
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.3500
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.4800
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.5200
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.4800
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.5050
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.4950
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.4900
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.5250
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.5150
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.4950
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.4700
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.5150
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.4750
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.5050
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.4950
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.5250
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.4750
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.5100
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.5050
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.4950
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.5050
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.4750
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.5250
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.4800
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.5250
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.4700
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.5150
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.4850
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.5500
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.4500
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.5450
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.4500
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.5550
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 57020.25, Sell volume: 55733.41, Average price: 0.5110, Price range: 0.3817 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.2150
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.7800
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.2100
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.7650
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.2600
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.6900
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.2450
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.7200
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.2700
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.7150
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.2850
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.7150
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.2850
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.7150
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.2850
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.7150
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.2850
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.8600
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.1400
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.8900
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.1400
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.8600
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.1400
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.8600
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.1300
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.8700
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.1300
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.8700
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.1500
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.8550
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.1400
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.8550
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.1300
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.8500
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.1350
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.8700
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.1500
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.8650
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.1400
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.8600
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.1400
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.8700
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.1650
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.8450
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.1450
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.8550
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.1500
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.8550
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.1450
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 58121.88, Sell volume: 53558.05, Average price: 0.5569, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.8693

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.1300
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.8600
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.1300
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.8750
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.1350
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.8700
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.1350
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.8700
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.1300
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.8650
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.1350
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.8600
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.1450
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.8550
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.1450
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.8700
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.1300
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.8700
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.1300
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.8700
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.1550
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.8500
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.1400
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.8600
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.1400
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.8700
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.1400
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.8700
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.1300
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.8600
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.1300
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.8850
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.8500
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.1500
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.8450
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.1800
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.8200
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 61.82, Sell volume: 61.82, Average price: 0.6333, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.1400
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.8600
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.1400
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.8600
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.1350
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.8650
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.1300
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.8650
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.1200
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.8850
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.1150
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.8700
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.1300
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.8700
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.1350
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.8650
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.1400
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.8650
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.1350
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.8650
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.1350
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.8650
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.1300
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.8650
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.1300
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.8750
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.1350
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.8650
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.1350
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.8550
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.1500
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.8500
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.1500
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.8500
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.1550
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.8550
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.1900
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.8100
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.1850
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.8150
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.1900
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.8550
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.1450
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.8200
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.1700
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.8350
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.1650
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.8550
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.1350
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 462.88, Sell volume: 42.00, Average price: 0.4410, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0900
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9100
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0900
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9100
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0750
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9250
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0750
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9250
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0850
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9150
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0850
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.9150
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0750
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.9250
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.0750
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.9250
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0800
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.9200
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0900
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.9100
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0900
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.9100
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0900
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.9050
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0950
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.9050
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0950
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.9050
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0950
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.9050
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0950
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.9050
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0950
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9050
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0950
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.9050
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0950
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9050
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0950
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9050
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0950
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9050
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0950
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.9050
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0950
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.9050
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0950
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.9050
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0950
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 242.09, Sell volume: 92.56, Average price: 0.4118, Price range: 0.0630 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.1000
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.9000
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.1000
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.9000
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.1000
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9000
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.1000
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9000
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.1000
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9000
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.1000
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9000
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.1000
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9000
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.1000
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.9000
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.1000
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9000
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.1000
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9000
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.1000
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9000
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.1000
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9000
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.1000
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9000
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.1000
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.9000
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.1000
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9000
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.1000
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9000
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.1000
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.9000
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.1000
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.9000
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.1000
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.9000
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.1000
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.9000
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.1000
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.9000
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.1000
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.9000
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.1000
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.9000
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.1000
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.9000
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.1000
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.27, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.1000
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9000
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.1000
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.9000
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.1000
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.9000
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.1000
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.9000
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.1000
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.9000
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.1000
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.9000
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.1000
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.9000
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.1000
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.9000
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.1000
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.9000
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.1000
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.9000
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.9000
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.1000
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.9000
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.0950
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.9050
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.0950
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.9050
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0950
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.9000
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.9000
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.9000
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.9000
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.9000
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.9000
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.0800
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.9200
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0800
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.9200
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0800
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.9200
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.9250
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 164.09, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0650
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.9350
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0650
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.9350
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0650
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.9350
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0650
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9350
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0650
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.9350
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0650
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9350
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.9350
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.9350
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.9350
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.9350
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.9350
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.9350
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.9350
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.9350
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0650
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.9350
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0650
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.9350
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0650
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.9350
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0650
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.9350
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0650
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.9350
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0650
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.9350
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0650
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.9350
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0650
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9350
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0650
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9350
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0650
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.9350
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0650
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 43.44, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0650
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.9350
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0650
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9350
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0650
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.9350
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0650
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.9350
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0650
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.9350
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0650
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.9350
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0650
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9350
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0650
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9350
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0650
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9350
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0650
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.9350
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0650
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9350
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0650
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9350
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0650
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9350
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0650
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9350
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0650
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9350
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0650
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9350
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0650
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9350
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0650
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9350
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0650
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9350
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0650
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9350
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0650
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9350
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0650
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.9350
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0650
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.9350
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0650
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.9350
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0650
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.56, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0650
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9350
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0650
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9350
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0650
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9350
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0650
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9350
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0650
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9350
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0650
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9350
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0650
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.9350
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0650
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.9350
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0650
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.9350
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.0650
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.9350
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0650
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.9350
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0650
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.9350
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.0650
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.9350
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.0650
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.9350
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.0650
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.9350
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.0650
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.9350
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.0650
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.9350
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0650
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.9350
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0650
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.9350
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.0650
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.9350
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.0650
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.9350
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0650
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.9350
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.0650
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.9400
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0600
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.9400
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.0600
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 28.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0550
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.9450
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0550
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.9450
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0550
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.9450
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.0550
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.9450
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0550
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.9450
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0550
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.9450
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.0550
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.9450
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.0550
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.9450
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0550
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.9450
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.0550
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.9450
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0550
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.9450
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.0550
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.9450
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0550
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.9450
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0075
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.9955
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.0085
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.9910
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.9915
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.9915
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.9915
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.9915
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.9915
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.9915
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.9915
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.9915
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.0085
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9915
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0420
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 697.77, Sell volume: 451.00, Average price: 0.0338, Price range: 0.0287 - 0.0389

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0370
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.9665
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0355
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.9640
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.0345
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.9675
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0340
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.9660
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0335
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.9665
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0340
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.9660
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0335
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9665
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0335
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.9660
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0335
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.9665
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0345
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.9655
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0330
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.9675
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0325
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.9675
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0325
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.9675
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0325
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.9675
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.0325
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.9675
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.0325
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.9675
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0325
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.9675
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0325
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.9670
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.0325
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.9670
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.0325
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.9675
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0330
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.9770
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0165
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9785
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0205
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.9815
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0200
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.9835
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.0165
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1903.23, Sell volume: 202.51, Average price: 0.8879, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9951

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.6750
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.5500
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.5550
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.5550
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.5550
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.5200
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.5400
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.5250
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.5250
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.4700
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.4700
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.4700
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.4700
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.4350
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.4350
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.5650
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.5800
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.5800
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.5800
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.6500
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.8450
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9000
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.9000
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.6700
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.4200
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.5150
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.5100
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 2069.55, Sell volume: 84.51, Average price: 0.4679, Price range: 0.1089 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.3750
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.3750
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.3750
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.3750
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.3450
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.3450
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.3600
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.3500
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.5200
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.5050
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.4900
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.5150
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.4700
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.4750
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.4950
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.4750
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.5050
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.5050
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.5250
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.5250
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.5150
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.5500
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.5450
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.5550
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.5500
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.5600
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.4900
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.4900
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 57020.25, Sell volume: 55733.41, Average price: 0.5110, Price range: 0.3817 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.2150
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.2100
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.2600
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.2450
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.2700
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.2850
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.2850
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.2850
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.2850
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.1400
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.1400
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.1400
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.1300
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.1300
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.1500
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.1400
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.1300
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.1350
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.1500
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.1400
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.1400
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.1650
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.1450
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.1500
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.1450
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.1300
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.1300
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.1300
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.1050
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 58121.88, Sell volume: 53558.05, Average price: 0.5569, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.8693
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.1300
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.1300
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.1350
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.1350
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.1300
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.1350
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.1450
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.1450
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.1300
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.1300
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.1550
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.1400
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.1400
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.1400
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.1300
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.1300
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0750
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.1500
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.1800
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.1750
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.1750
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.1700
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.1700
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 61.82, Sell volume: 61.82, Average price: 0.6333, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.1400
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.1400
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.1350
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.1300
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.1200
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.1150
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.1300
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.1350
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.1400
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.1350
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.1350
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.1300
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.1300
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.1350
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.1350
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.1500
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.1500
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.1550
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.1900
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.1850
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.1900
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.1450
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.1700
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.1650
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.1350
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.1200
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.1350
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.1350
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0900
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 462.88, Sell volume: 42.00, Average price: 0.4410, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0900
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0900
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0750
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0750
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0850
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0850
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0750
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.0750
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0800
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0900
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0900
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0900
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0950
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0950
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0950
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0950
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0950
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0950
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0950
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0950
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0950
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0950
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0950
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0950
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0950
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0950
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0950
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0900
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0950
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 242.09, Sell volume: 92.56, Average price: 0.4118, Price range: 0.0630 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.1000
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.1000
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.1000
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.1000
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.1000
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.1000
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.1000
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.1000
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.1000
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.1000
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.1000
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.1000
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.1000
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.1000
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.1000
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.1000
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.1000
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.1000
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.1000
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.1000
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.1000
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.1000
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.1000
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.1000
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.1000
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.1000
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.1000
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.1000
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.1000
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.27, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.1000
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.1000
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.1000
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.1000
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.1000
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.1000
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.1000
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.1000
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.1000
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.1000
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.1000
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.0950
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.0950
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0950
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.0800
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0800
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0800
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0650
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0650
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.0650
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0650
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 164.09, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0650
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0650
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0650
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0650
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0650
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0650
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0650
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0650
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0650
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0650
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0650
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0650
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0650
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0650
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0650
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0650
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0650
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0650
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0650
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0650
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0650
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 43.44, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0650
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0650
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0650
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0650
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0650
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0650
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0650
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0650
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0650
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0650
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0650
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0650
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0650
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0650
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0650
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0650
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0650
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0650
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0650
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0650
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0650
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0650
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0650
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0650
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0650
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0650
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0650
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0650
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0650
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.56, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0650
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0650
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0650
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0650
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0650
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0650
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0650
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0650
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0650
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.0650
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0650
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0650
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.0650
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.0650
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.0650
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.0650
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.0650
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0650
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0650
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.0650
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.0650
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0650
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.0650
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0600
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.0600
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0600
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0600
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.0600
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.0600
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 28.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0550
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0550
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0550
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.0550
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0550
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0550
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.0550
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.0550
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0550
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.0550
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0550
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.0550
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0550
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0075
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0085
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.0085
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0420
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0325
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0325
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.0335
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0350
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 697.77, Sell volume: 451.00, Average price: 0.0338, Price range: 0.0287 - 0.0389
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544535
Question: Will next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?
Volume: 234865.45396
Price History:
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0370
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0355
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.0345
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0340
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0335
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0340
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0335
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0335
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0335
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0345
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0330
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0325
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0325
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0325
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.0325
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.0325
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0325
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0325
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.0325
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.0325
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0330
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0165
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0205
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0200
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.0165
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.0225
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.0220
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0225
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0210
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1903.23, Sell volume: 202.51, Average price: 0.8879, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9951
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.5000
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.5500
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.4500
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.5750
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.3700
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.6400
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.3600
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.6400
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.3600
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.6400
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.3600
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.6400
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.3600
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.6400
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.3600
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.6400
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.3600
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.6400
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.3600
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.6750
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.3250
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.7000
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.3000
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.7000
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.3000
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.7000
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.3000
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.7000
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.3000
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.6800
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.3200
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.6800
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.3200
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.8050
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.2350
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.7650
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.2350
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.7900
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.1950
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.8050
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.1850
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.8100
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.1900
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.8050
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.2000
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.7950
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.2100
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.7950
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 307.73, Sell volume: 37.12, Average price: 0.6403, Price range: 0.3220 - 0.7583

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.8550
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.1600
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.8350
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.1550
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.8500
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.1550
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.8450
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.1600
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.8450
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.1300
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.8650
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.1300
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.8550
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.1350
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.8450
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.1500
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.8450
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.1550
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.8450
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.1550
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.8450
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.1300
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.8700
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.1350
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.8700
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.1300
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.8600
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.1400
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.8600
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.1450
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.8550
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.1400
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.8550
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.1450
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.8500
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.1500
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.8500
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.1200
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.8750
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.8750
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.1300
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.8750
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 59.57, Sell volume: 74.24, Average price: 0.3112, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.8700
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.1300
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.8700
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.1300
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.8700
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.1300
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.8700
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.1300
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.8700
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.1300
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.8700
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.1300
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.8700
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.1300
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.8700
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.1300
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.8700
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.1300
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.8700
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.1300
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.8450
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.1550
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.8550
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.1500
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.8500
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 29.67, Sell volume: 35.00, Average price: 0.2980, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.8350
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.1800
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.8250
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.1750
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.8250
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.1750
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.8250
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.1800
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.8200
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.1800
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.8200
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.1800
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.8200
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.1800
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.8300
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.1800
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.8250
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.1750
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.8250
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.1800
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.8250
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.1750
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.8250
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.1750
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.8250
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.1800
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.8200
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.1750
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.8250
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.1750
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.8200
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.1800
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.8200
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.1800
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.8200
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.1750
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.8250
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.1750
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.8250
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.1750
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.8250
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.1750
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.1750
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.1750
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.1750
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 10825.19, Sell volume: 1929.47, Average price: 0.5800, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: No