Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537660
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Kick us off" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 334.429526
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 268.43, Sell volume: 66.00, Average price: 0.4674, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537660
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Kick us off" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 334.429526
Price History:
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.3950
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.6050
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.3950
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.6050
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.3950
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.6050
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.3950
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.6050
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.3950
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.6050
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.3950
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.6050
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.3950
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.6050
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 268.43, Sell volume: 66.00, Average price: 0.4674, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537660
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Kick us off" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 334.429526
Price History:
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.6100
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.3900
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.6450
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.3550
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.6250
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.3750
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.5950
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.4050
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.6500
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.3500
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.6000
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.4000
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.3950
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.6050
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 174.46, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5813, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9567

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537660
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Kick us off" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 334.429526
Price History:
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.6250
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.8600
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.1400
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.8550
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.1450
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.8550
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.1450
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.8600
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.1400
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.8600
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.1400
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.8600
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.1400
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 268.43, Sell volume: 66.00, Average price: 0.4674, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537660
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Kick us off" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 334.429526
Price History:
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.1400
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.8600
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.1400
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.8650
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.1350
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.8650
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.1350
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.8650
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.1350
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.8650
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.1350
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.8650
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.1350
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.8650
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 268.43, Sell volume: 66.00, Average price: 0.4674, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537660
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Kick us off" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 334.429526
Price History:
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.8650
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.1350
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.8650
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.1350
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.8450
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.1550
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.8450
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.1550
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.8450
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.1550
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.8450
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.1550
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.8450
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.1550
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 42.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2600, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.2600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537660
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Kick us off" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 334.429526
Price History:
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.1600
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.8200
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.1800
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.8200
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.1800
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.8200
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.1800
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.8200
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.1800
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.8250
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.1750
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.8250
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.1750
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.8250
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2650, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.2700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537660
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Kick us off" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 334.429526
Price History:
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.8250
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.1750
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.8250
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.1750
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.8250
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.1750
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.8250
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.1750
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.8250
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.1750
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.8250
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.1750
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.8250
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.1750
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 268.43, Sell volume: 66.00, Average price: 0.4674, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537660
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Kick us off" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 334.429526
Price History:
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.1750
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.8250
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.1750
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.8250
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.1750
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.8250
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.1750
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.8250
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.1750
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.8250
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.1750
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.8250
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.1750
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.8250
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 268.43, Sell volume: 66.00, Average price: 0.4674, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537660
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Kick us off" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 334.429526
Price History:
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.8450
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.1550
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.8450
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.1550
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.8450
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.1550
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.8450
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.1550
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.8400
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.1600
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.8400
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.1600
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.8200
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.1800
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 268.43, Sell volume: 66.00, Average price: 0.4674, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537660
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Kick us off" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 334.429526
Price History:
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.1800
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.8200
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.1800
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.8200
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.1800
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.8200
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.1800
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.8200
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.1800
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.8200
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.1800
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.8200
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.1800
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.8200
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 268.43, Sell volume: 66.00, Average price: 0.4674, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537660
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Kick us off" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 334.429526
Price History:
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.8200
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.1800
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.8200
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.1800
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.8200
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.1800
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.8200
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.1800
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.8200
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.1800
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.8200
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.1800
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.4000
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.6000
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 27.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2915, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.3230
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537660
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Kick us off" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 334.429526
Price History:
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.6000
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.6000
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.4000
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.6000
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.4000
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 268.43, Sell volume: 66.00, Average price: 0.4674, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537660
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Kick us off" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 334.429526
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 268.43, Sell volume: 66.00, Average price: 0.4674, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537660
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Kick us off" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 334.429526
Price History:
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.3950
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.6050
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.3950
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.6050
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.3950
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.6050
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.3950
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.6050
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.3950
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.6050
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.3950
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.6050
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.3950
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.6050
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 268.43, Sell volume: 66.00, Average price: 0.4674, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537660
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Kick us off" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 334.429526
Price History:
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.6100
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.3900
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.6450
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.3550
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.6250
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.3750
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.5950
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.4050
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.6500
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.3500
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.6000
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.4000
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.3950
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.6050
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 174.46, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5813, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9567
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.3500
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.6500
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9200
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0550
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9450
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0550
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9450
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 9194.59, Sell volume: 4.83, Average price: 0.6536, Price range: 0.0484 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9450
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0550
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9450
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0550
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9450
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0550
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1000, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.1000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0300
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.9700
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0300
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9700
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9700
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9650
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.9650
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.9650
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.9650
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.9650
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.9650
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 300.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0500, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.0500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.9650
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.9650
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.9650
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.9650
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 9.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0355
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9645
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0355
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9645
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9645
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0355
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9645
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0355
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9645
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0355
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9645
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0355
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9645
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0355
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9645
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0355
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9645
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0355
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 9194.59, Sell volume: 4.83, Average price: 0.6536, Price range: 0.0484 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0355
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.9645
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0355
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.9645
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0355
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9645
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.0355
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.9645
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0355
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.9645
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.0355
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.9645
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0365
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.9635
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 9194.59, Sell volume: 4.83, Average price: 0.6536, Price range: 0.0484 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.9510
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0490
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9510
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0490
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.9510
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0490
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.9510
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0490
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.9510
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0490
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9510
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0490
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9510
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0490
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9520, Price range: 0.9520 - 0.9520

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0490
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9510
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0490
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9510
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0355
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9645
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0350
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9650
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0350
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9650
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0350
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9650
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0350
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9650
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 980.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9520, Price range: 0.9520 - 0.9520

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0345
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9655
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0345
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9655
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0345
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.9790 - 0.9790

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0285
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9715
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9550
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9700
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 7810.14, Sell volume: 4.83, Average price: 0.5117, Price range: 0.0484 - 0.9896

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.3500
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.6500
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9200
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0550
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9450
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0550
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9450
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 9194.59, Sell volume: 4.83, Average price: 0.6536, Price range: 0.0484 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9450
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0550
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9450
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0550
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9450
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0550
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1000, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.1000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0300
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.9700
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0300
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9700
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9700
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9650
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.9650
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.9650
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.9650
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.9650
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.9650
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 300.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0500, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.0500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.9650
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.9650
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.9650
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.9650
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 9.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9650
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0355
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9645
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0355
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9645
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9645
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0355
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9645
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0355
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9645
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0355
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9645
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0355
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9645
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0355
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9645
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0355
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9645
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0355
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 9194.59, Sell volume: 4.83, Average price: 0.6536, Price range: 0.0484 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0355
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.9645
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0355
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.9645
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0355
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9645
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.0355
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.9645
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0355
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.9645
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.0355
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.9645
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0365
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.9635
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 9194.59, Sell volume: 4.83, Average price: 0.6536, Price range: 0.0484 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.9510
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0490
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9510
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0490
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.9510
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0490
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.9510
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0490
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.9510
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0490
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9510
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0490
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9510
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0490
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9520, Price range: 0.9520 - 0.9520
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0490
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9510
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0490
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9510
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0355
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9645
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0350
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9650
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0350
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9650
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0350
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9650
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0350
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9650
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 980.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9520, Price range: 0.9520 - 0.9520
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0345
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9655
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0345
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9655
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0345
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.9790 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537663
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 9199.422042
Price History:
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0285
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9715
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9550
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9700
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 7810.14, Sell volume: 4.83, Average price: 0.5117, Price range: 0.0484 - 0.9896
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.6000
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.4000
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.5900
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.4100
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.5750
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.4250
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.6450
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.3550
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.6500
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.3500
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.5700
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.4300
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.5700
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.4300
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 45.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.4250
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.5750
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.4250
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.5750
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.4250
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.5750
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.4250
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.5750
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.4250
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.5750
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.4250
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.6550
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.3450
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.6550
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 537.48, Sell volume: 17.19, Average price: 0.6058, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.5550
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.4450
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.5500
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.4500
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.5500
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.4500
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.5500
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.4500
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.5500
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.4500
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.5500
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.4500
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.5500
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.4500
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 7.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6800, Price range: 0.6800 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.4450
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.5900
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.4100
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.5950
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.4050
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.5950
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.4050
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.5950
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.4050
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.6000
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.4000
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.6000
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.4000
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.6050
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 22.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7355, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.8065

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.6050
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.3950
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.6050
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.3950
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.6050
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.3950
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.3700
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 537.48, Sell volume: 17.19, Average price: 0.6058, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.6250
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.3750
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 537.48, Sell volume: 17.19, Average price: 0.6058, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.6150
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.3850
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.6150
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.3850
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.6150
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.3850
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.6250
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.3750
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.5850
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.4150
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.5850
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.4150
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.5700
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.4300
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 537.48, Sell volume: 17.19, Average price: 0.6058, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.4250
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.5750
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.4250
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.5750
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.4250
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.5750
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.4250
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.5750
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.4250
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.5750
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.4250
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.5750
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.4250
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.5800
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 537.48, Sell volume: 17.19, Average price: 0.6058, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.5800
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.5800
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.5800
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.6100
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.3900
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.6100
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.3900
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.6100
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.3900
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.6100
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.3900
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7000, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.3900
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.6100
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.3900
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.6100
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.3900
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.6000
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.4000
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.6000
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.4000
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.6000
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.4000
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5950
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.4800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.5950
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.4050
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.5900
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.4100
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.5900
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.4100
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 7.20, Average price: 0.3400, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.3400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.3950
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.5900
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.4100
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.5900
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.4100
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.5900
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.4100
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.5900
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.4100
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.5900
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.4100
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.5750
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.4250
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.4750
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 537.48, Sell volume: 17.19, Average price: 0.6058, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.4950
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.5050
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.5100
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.4900
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.4500
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.5500
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.5150
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.4850
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.5400
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.4600
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.5100
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.4900
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.5150
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.4850
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 203.42, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.5650, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.6300

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.6000
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.4000
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.5900
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.4100
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.5750
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.4250
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.6450
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.3550
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.6500
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.3500
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.5700
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.4300
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.5700
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.4300
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 45.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.4250
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.5750
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.4250
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.5750
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.4250
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.5750
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.4250
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.5750
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.4250
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.5750
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.4250
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.6550
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.3450
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.6550
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 537.48, Sell volume: 17.19, Average price: 0.6058, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.5550
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.4450
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.5500
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.4500
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.5500
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.4500
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.5500
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.4500
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.5500
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.4500
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.5500
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.4500
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.5500
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.4500
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 7.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6800, Price range: 0.6800 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.4450
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.5900
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.4100
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.5950
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.4050
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.5950
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.4050
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.5950
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.4050
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.6000
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.4000
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.6000
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.4000
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.6050
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 22.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7355, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.8065
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.6050
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.3950
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.6050
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.3950
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.6050
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.3950
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.3700
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 537.48, Sell volume: 17.19, Average price: 0.6058, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.6250
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.3750
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 537.48, Sell volume: 17.19, Average price: 0.6058, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.6150
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.3850
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.6150
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.3850
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.6150
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.3850
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.6250
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.3750
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.5850
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.4150
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.5850
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.4150
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.5700
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.4300
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 537.48, Sell volume: 17.19, Average price: 0.6058, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.4250
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.5750
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.4250
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.5750
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.4250
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.5750
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.4250
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.5750
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.4250
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.5750
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.4250
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.5750
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.4250
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.5800
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 537.48, Sell volume: 17.19, Average price: 0.6058, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.5800
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.5800
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.5800
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.6100
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.3900
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.6100
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.3900
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.6100
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.3900
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.6100
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.3900
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7000, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.3900
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.6100
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.3900
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.6100
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.3900
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.6000
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.4000
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.6000
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.4000
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.6000
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.4000
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5950
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.4800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.5950
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.4050
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.5900
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.4100
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.5900
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.4100
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.6050
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 7.20, Average price: 0.3400, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.3400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.3950
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.5900
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.4100
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.5900
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.4100
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.5900
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.4100
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.5900
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.4100
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.5900
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.4100
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.5750
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.4250
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.4750
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 537.48, Sell volume: 17.19, Average price: 0.6058, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537651
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 554.665126
Price History:
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.4950
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.5050
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.5100
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.4900
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.4500
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.5500
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.5150
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.4850
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.5400
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.4600
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.5100
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.4900
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.5150
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.4850
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 203.42, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.5650, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.5700
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.4300
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.4050
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.5950
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.3850
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.6150
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.3850
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.6150
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.5050
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.4950
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.5050
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1131.16, Sell volume: 137.55, Average price: 0.5931, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.6250
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.6250
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.6250
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.6250
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.3750
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.6250
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.3500
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.6500
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.3600
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.6400
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.3600
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1131.16, Sell volume: 137.55, Average price: 0.5931, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.3600
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.6400
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.3600
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.6400
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.2600
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.7400
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.2600
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.7400
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.2600
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.7400
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.2600
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.7400
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.2950
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.7050
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1131.16, Sell volume: 137.55, Average price: 0.5931, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.7000
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.2800
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.7200
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.2800
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.7200
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.3000
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.7000
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.3000
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.7000
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.2950
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.7050
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.2950
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.7050
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.2950
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1131.16, Sell volume: 137.55, Average price: 0.5931, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.2950
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.7050
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.2950
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.7050
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.2950
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.7050
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.2950
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.7050
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.2750
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.7250
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.2750
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.7250
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.2750
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.7250
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1131.16, Sell volume: 137.55, Average price: 0.5931, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.7250
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.2750
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.7250
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.2750
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.7250
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.2750
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.7250
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.3000
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.7000
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.3000
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.7000
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.3000
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.7000
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.3000
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 127.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4704, Price range: 0.4704 - 0.4704

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.3000
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.7000
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.3000
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.7000
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.3000
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.7000
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1131.16, Sell volume: 137.55, Average price: 0.5931, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.3750
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.6250
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.3750
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.6250
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.3750
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.6250
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.3750
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.6250
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.3700
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1131.16, Sell volume: 137.55, Average price: 0.5931, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.3700
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.6300
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.3700
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.6300
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.3700
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.6300
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.3700
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.6300
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.3700
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.6300
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.3700
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.6300
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.3700
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.6300
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 54.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5767, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.5600
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.3750
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.6250
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.3750
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.6250
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.3800
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.6200
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.3750
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.6250
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.3750
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.6250
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.3800
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.6200
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.3800
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 250.00, Sell volume: 67.55, Average price: 0.5592, Price range: 0.5084 - 0.6100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.3800
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.6200
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.3850
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.6150
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.3850
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.6150
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.3850
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.6150
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.3850
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.6150
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.3850
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.6150
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.3850
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.6150
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 309.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5146, Price range: 0.4931 - 0.5360

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.4800
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.3900
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.6100
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.3900
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.6100
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.3900
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.6100
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.3900
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.6100
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.3900
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.6100
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.3850
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.6150
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.3850
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 140.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.3750
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.6250
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.3850
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.6150
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.3850
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.6150
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.3900
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.6100
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.3400
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.6600
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.4850
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.5150
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.5400
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.4600
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 250.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4887, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7162

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.5700
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.4300
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.4050
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.5950
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.3850
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.6150
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.3850
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.6150
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.5050
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.4950
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.5050
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1131.16, Sell volume: 137.55, Average price: 0.5931, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.6250
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.6250
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.6250
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.6250
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.3750
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.6250
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.3500
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.6500
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.3600
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.6400
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.3600
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1131.16, Sell volume: 137.55, Average price: 0.5931, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.3600
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.6400
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.3600
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.6400
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.2600
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.7400
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.2600
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.7400
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.2600
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.7400
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.2600
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.7400
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.2950
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.7050
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1131.16, Sell volume: 137.55, Average price: 0.5931, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.7000
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.2800
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.7200
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.2800
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.7200
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.3000
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.7000
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.3000
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.7000
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.2950
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.7050
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.2950
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.7050
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.2950
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1131.16, Sell volume: 137.55, Average price: 0.5931, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.2950
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.7050
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.2950
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.7050
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.2950
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.7050
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.2950
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.7050
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.2750
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.7250
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.2750
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.7250
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.2750
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.7250
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1131.16, Sell volume: 137.55, Average price: 0.5931, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.7250
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.2750
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.7250
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.2750
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.7250
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.2750
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.7250
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.3000
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.7000
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.3000
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.7000
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.3000
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.7000
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.3000
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 127.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4704, Price range: 0.4704 - 0.4704
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.3000
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.7000
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.3000
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.7000
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.3000
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.7000
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1131.16, Sell volume: 137.55, Average price: 0.5931, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.3750
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.6250
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.3750
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.6250
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.3750
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.6250
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.3750
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.6250
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.3700
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1131.16, Sell volume: 137.55, Average price: 0.5931, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.3700
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.6300
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.3700
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.6300
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.3700
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.6300
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.3700
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.6300
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.3700
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.6300
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.3700
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.6300
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.3700
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.6300
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 54.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5767, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.5600
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.3750
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.6250
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.3750
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.6250
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.3800
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.6200
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.3750
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.6250
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.3750
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.6250
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.3800
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.6200
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.3800
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 250.00, Sell volume: 67.55, Average price: 0.5592, Price range: 0.5084 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.3800
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.6200
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.3850
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.6150
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.3850
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.6150
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.3850
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.6150
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.3850
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.6150
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.3850
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.6150
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.3850
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.6150
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 309.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5146, Price range: 0.4931 - 0.5360
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.4800
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.3900
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.6100
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.3900
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.6100
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.3900
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.6100
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.3900
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.6100
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.3900
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.6100
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.3850
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.6150
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.3850
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 140.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537656
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1268.714281
Price History:
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.3750
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.6250
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.3850
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.6150
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.3850
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.6150
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.3900
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.6100
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.3400
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.6600
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.4850
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.5150
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.5400
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.4600
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 250.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4887, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7162
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.3500
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.6500
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.4400
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.5600
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.2650
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.7350
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.2650
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.7350
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.2650
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.7350
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.2650
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.7350
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.2650
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.7350
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 749.31, Sell volume: 19.35, Average price: 0.6573, Price range: 0.3675 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.7350
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.2650
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.7350
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.2650
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.7350
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.2650
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.2650
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.2650
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.2650
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.2650
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 131.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3800, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.3800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.2650
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.2650
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.2650
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.2650
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.2650
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.2650
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.2650
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 749.31, Sell volume: 19.35, Average price: 0.6573, Price range: 0.3675 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.3100
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.6900
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.3100
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.6900
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.3100
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.6900
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.3100
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.6900
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.3050
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.6950
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.3050
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.6950
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.3100
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 40.81, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3675, Price range: 0.3675 - 0.3675

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.3100
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.6900
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.3100
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.6900
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.3100
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.6900
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.3100
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.6900
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.3100
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 749.31, Sell volume: 19.35, Average price: 0.6573, Price range: 0.3675 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 749.31, Sell volume: 19.35, Average price: 0.6573, Price range: 0.3675 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 749.31, Sell volume: 19.35, Average price: 0.6573, Price range: 0.3675 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.6900
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 749.31, Sell volume: 19.35, Average price: 0.6573, Price range: 0.3675 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.6900
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.6900
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.6900
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.6900
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.6900
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.6900
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.6900
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 749.31, Sell volume: 19.35, Average price: 0.6573, Price range: 0.3675 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 749.31, Sell volume: 19.35, Average price: 0.6573, Price range: 0.3675 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 749.31, Sell volume: 19.35, Average price: 0.6573, Price range: 0.3675 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.6700
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.6700
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.4550
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.5450
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.4550
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.5450
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.3150
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.6850
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.3150
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.6850
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.3150
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.6850
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.3150
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 300.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7100, Price range: 0.7100 - 0.7100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.4400
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.5600
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.4400
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.5600
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.6700
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.6700
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.4350
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.5650
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.4350
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.5650
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.3050
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.6950
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 176.92, Sell volume: 8.00, Average price: 0.7240, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.3500
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.6500
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.4400
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.5600
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.2650
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.7350
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.2650
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.7350
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.2650
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.7350
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.2650
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.7350
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.2650
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.7350
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 749.31, Sell volume: 19.35, Average price: 0.6573, Price range: 0.3675 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.7350
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.2650
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.7350
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.2650
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.7350
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.2650
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.2650
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.2650
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.2650
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.2650
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 131.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3800, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.3800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.2650
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.2650
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.2650
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.2650
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.2650
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.2650
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.2650
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 749.31, Sell volume: 19.35, Average price: 0.6573, Price range: 0.3675 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.3100
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.6900
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.3100
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.6900
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.3100
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.6900
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.3100
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.6900
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.3050
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.6950
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.3050
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.6950
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.3100
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 40.81, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3675, Price range: 0.3675 - 0.3675
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.3100
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.6900
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.3100
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.6900
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.3100
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.6900
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.3100
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.6900
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.3100
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 749.31, Sell volume: 19.35, Average price: 0.6573, Price range: 0.3675 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 749.31, Sell volume: 19.35, Average price: 0.6573, Price range: 0.3675 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 749.31, Sell volume: 19.35, Average price: 0.6573, Price range: 0.3675 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.6900
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.3100
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.6900
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 749.31, Sell volume: 19.35, Average price: 0.6573, Price range: 0.3675 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.6900
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.6900
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.6900
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.6900
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.6900
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.6900
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.6900
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 749.31, Sell volume: 19.35, Average price: 0.6573, Price range: 0.3675 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 749.31, Sell volume: 19.35, Average price: 0.6573, Price range: 0.3675 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 749.31, Sell volume: 19.35, Average price: 0.6573, Price range: 0.3675 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.6700
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.6700
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.4550
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.5450
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.4550
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.5450
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.3150
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.6850
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.3150
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.6850
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.3150
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.6850
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.3150
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 300.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7100, Price range: 0.7100 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537657
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 768.658668
Price History:
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.4400
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.5600
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.4400
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.5600
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.6700
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.6700
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.4350
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.5650
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.4350
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.5650
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.3050
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.6950
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 176.92, Sell volume: 8.00, Average price: 0.7240, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537649
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 166.718959
Price History:
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.4050
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.5950
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.3800
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.6200
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.3600
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.6400
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.3450
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.6550
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.3300
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.6700
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.3300
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.6700
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 22.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7300, Price range: 0.6100 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537649
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 166.718959
Price History:
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.6700
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.3300
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.6700
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.3300
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.6700
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.3300
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.6700
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.3300
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.6700
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.3300
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.6700
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.3250
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.6750
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.3250
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.39, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537649
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 166.718959
Price History:
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.3200
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.6800
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.3200
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.6800
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.3200
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.6800
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.3200
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.6800
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.3200
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.6800
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.3250
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.6750
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.3250
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.6750
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3.53, Sell volume: 2.39, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537649
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 166.718959
Price History:
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.6750
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.3200
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.6800
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.3200
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.6800
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.3200
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.6800
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.3200
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.6800
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.3200
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.6800
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.3200
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.6800
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.3200
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.19, Sell volume: 2.39, Average price: 0.6800, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537649
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 166.718959
Price History:
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.3150
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.6850
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.3150
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.6850
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.3150
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.6850
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.3150
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.6850
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.3150
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.6850
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.2900
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.7100
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.2900
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.7100
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537649
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 166.718959
Price History:
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.7100
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.2900
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.7100
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.2900
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.7100
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.2900
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.7100
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.2900
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.7100
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.2900
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.7100
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.1650
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.8350
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.1650
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537649
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 166.718959
Price History:
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.1650
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.8350
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.1650
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.8350
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.1650
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.8350
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.1650
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.8350
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.1650
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.8350
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.1700
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.8300
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.1700
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.8300
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 74.59, Sell volume: 92.13, Average price: 0.6503, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9990

Output: Yes