Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9995
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.9995
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9995
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9995
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.9995
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.9995
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.9995
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 549, Buy volume: 76412.48, Sell volume: 46254.55, Average price: 0.4555, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0030
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.9965
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0030
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.9970
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0030
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.9970
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.9970
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0030
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.9955
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0030
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9960
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.0035
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.9965
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 178, Buy volume: 26466.77, Sell volume: 15761.60, Average price: 0.2159, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0050
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9970
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0030
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9970
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.9965
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0030
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.9965
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0050
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9955
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0030
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9970
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0030
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9970
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9975
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.9975
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.9970
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.9970
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.9960
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0040
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9960
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0040
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.9960
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.4225
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.6630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 132, Buy volume: 35602.04, Sell volume: 25049.94, Average price: 0.2441, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.5000
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.4850
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.4750
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.4700
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.4700
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.4750
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.4750
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.4750
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.0400
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.0400
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.0400
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.0400
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.0355
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.0245
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.0245
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.0065
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.0060
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.0065
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.0055
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.0055
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.0055
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.0050
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.0050
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.0055
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.0055
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.0055
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.0055
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.0055
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.0055
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.0065
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.0075
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.0075
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.0075
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.0075
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.0075
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.0140
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.0145
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.0125
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.0130
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.0125
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.0135
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.0135
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.0135
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.0150
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.0150
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0150
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.0145
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.0145
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.0145
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 992.17, Sell volume: 3.54, Average price: 0.8862, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.0145
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.0145
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.0145
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.0145
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.0145
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.0140
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.0135
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.0140
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0135
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.0145
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.0160
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.0160
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.0155
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.0160
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.0180
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.0180
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.0180
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.0175
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.0175
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.0175
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.0175
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.0175
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.0175
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.0175
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.0175
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.0180
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.0180
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.0220
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.0210
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.0215
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.0215
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.0215
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.0220
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.0220
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.0220
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.0220
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.0220
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.0220
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.0220
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.0220
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.0220
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.0220
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.0220
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.0220
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.0220
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.0220
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.0220
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0220
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0210
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 588.97, Sell volume: 859.40, Average price: 0.7426, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0210
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.0205
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.0205
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0195
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.0175
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.0195
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0220
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0220
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0220
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0220
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.0220
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.0220
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0220
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.0210
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.0210
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0210
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.0210
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.0210
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0210
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.0210
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.0210
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.0210
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.0210
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.0210
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0210
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.0205
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.0205
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0205
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.0250
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.0250
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0250
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.0250
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0250
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.0250
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.0250
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.0250
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0480
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.0470
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 12757.35, Sell volume: 412.78, Average price: 0.6980, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9820

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0475
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0435
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0430
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0430
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0430
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.0360
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0355
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0355
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.0345
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0340
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0370
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.0340
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0345
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0335
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.0335
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0345
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0430
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0355
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0350
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.0350
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0340
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0340
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0335
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.0330
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0330
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.0330
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.0315
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.0315
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0315
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.0235
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0230
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0235
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0235
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0235
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0235
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0210
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0255
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0175
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0175
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0175
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0175
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.0175
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0170
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.0165
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0130
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.0135
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0135
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.0130
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0130
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1481.02, Sell volume: 963.70, Average price: 0.7638, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0125
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0125
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0125
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0110
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0115
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0115
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.0110
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0115
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.0070
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.0070
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.0070
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0070
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.0065
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.0065
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.0065
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.0045
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.0060
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.0045
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.0055
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.0070
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.0055
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0050
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.0060
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.0075
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.0035
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.0035
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.0035
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.0035
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0035
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0035
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.0035
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0035
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.0035
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.0035
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0035
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.0035
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1137.71, Sell volume: 199.36, Average price: 0.8388, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0145
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.0135
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.0125
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0110
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.0095
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0115
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0100
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.0085
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.0080
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.0075
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0095
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0075
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0075
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0095
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0090
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0075
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0095
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0075
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0090
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0075
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0080
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0085
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0070
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0090
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.0080
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0075
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0080
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.0075
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0080
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0065
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0075
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.0085
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0090
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.0090
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.0090
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0100
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0100
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0100
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0075
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0160
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0150
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0155
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0155
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0160
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0155
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1764.70, Sell volume: 698.05, Average price: 0.1726, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0160
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0155
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0160
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0160
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0155
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0175
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0180
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0185
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0190
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0180
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.0180
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0175
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.0180
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.0170
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.0165
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0180
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0140
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0140
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0140
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0120
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0135
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0115
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0110
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0095
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0090
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0135
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0125
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0120
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0100
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0090
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0130
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0120
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0135
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0130
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0135
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0125
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0115
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0105
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.0125
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0115
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.0090
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.0120
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0125
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0135
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0120
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0105
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0090
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0135
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0135
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 789.47, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9890, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0140
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0130
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0120
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0115
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0095
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0145
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0130
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0145
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0130
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0115
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0105
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.0145
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0145
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0135
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0120
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0115
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0100
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.0135
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0125
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.0105
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0105
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0135
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0125
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0105
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0145
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0130
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0120
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0150
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0115
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0145
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0130
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0115
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0155
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0150
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0140
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.0145
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0130
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.0110
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.0110
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.0110
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.0110
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.0105
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0100
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0100
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0090
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.0085
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0090
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0105
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0105
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 226.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0124, Price range: 0.0117 - 0.0131

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0170
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0145
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0175
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0175
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0185
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0180
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0135
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0105
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0105
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0105
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0100
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0100
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0100
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0080
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0085
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 289.69, Sell volume: 1474.63, Average price: 0.7975, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0040
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.0040
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0040
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.0035
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0035
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0035
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.0035
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.0020
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.0030
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 2155.95, Sell volume: 1160.32, Average price: 0.8510, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0020
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 132.19, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 283, Buy volume: 31001.65, Sell volume: 11481.97, Average price: 0.7309, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0040
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0040
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0040
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.0020
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 7266.07, Sell volume: 5578.00, Average price: 0.0444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9973

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.5000
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.5150
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.4700
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.5300
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.4750
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.5250
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.0400
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.9600
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.0355
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.9755
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.0065
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.9940
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.0055
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.9945
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.0050
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.9950
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.0055
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.9945
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.0055
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.9945
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.0075
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.9925
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.0075
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.9925
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.0145
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.9875
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.0125
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.9865
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.0135
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 992.17, Sell volume: 3.54, Average price: 0.8862, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.0145
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.9855
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.0145
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.9855
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.0135
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.9860
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.0145
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.9840
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.0155
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.9840
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.0180
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.9820
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.0175
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.9825
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.0175
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.9825
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.0175
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.9820
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.0220
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.9790
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.0215
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.9785
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.0220
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.9780
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.0220
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.9780
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.0220
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.9780
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.0220
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 588.97, Sell volume: 859.40, Average price: 0.7426, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0210
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.9795
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0195
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.9825
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0220
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.9780
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0220
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.9780
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0220
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.9790
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0210
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.9790
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0210
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.9790
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.0210
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.9790
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0210
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.9790
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.9790
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.9790
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.9795
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0205
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.9790
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.9750
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0250
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 12757.35, Sell volume: 412.78, Average price: 0.6980, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9820
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0475
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.9565
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0430
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.9570
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0355
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.9645
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0340
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.9630
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0345
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.9665
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0345
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.9570
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0350
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.9650
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0340
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.9665
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0330
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.9670
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.0315
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.9685
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0230
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9765
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0235
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.9765
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0255
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.9825
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0175
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.9825
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0170
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1481.02, Sell volume: 963.70, Average price: 0.7638, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0125
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.9880
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.9880
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0125
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.9880
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.9880
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.9880
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0110
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.9880
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0115
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.9890
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.0070
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.9930
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0070
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.9935
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.0065
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.9955
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.0045
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.9945
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.0055
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.9950
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.0075
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.9965
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.0035
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9965
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0035
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1137.71, Sell volume: 199.36, Average price: 0.8388, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0145
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.9865
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0110
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.9905
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0100
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.9915
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.0075
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9905
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0075
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9905
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0075
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9905
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0090
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9925
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0080
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9915
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0090
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.9920
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0080
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.9925
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0065
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.9925
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0090
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.9910
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0100
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.9905
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9900
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1764.70, Sell volume: 698.05, Average price: 0.1726, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0160
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9845
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0160
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.9845
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0180
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9815
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0180
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.9820
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.0180
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.9830
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0180
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9860
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0140
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9880
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0115
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9890
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0090
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9865
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0120
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9900
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0130
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9880
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0130
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.9865
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0115
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9895
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0115
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.9910
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0125
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 789.47, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9890, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0140
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9870
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0115
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9905
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0130
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9855
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0115
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9895
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0145
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9865
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0115
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9900
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0125
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9895
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0135
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9875
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0145
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9870
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0150
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9885
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0130
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9885
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0150
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9860
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0130
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9890
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.0110
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9890
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0100
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 226.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0124, Price range: 0.0117 - 0.0131
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0170
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9855
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0175
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9815
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0135
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9895
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0105
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9900
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0100
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.9920
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9930
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0085
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9935
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9945
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.9955
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 289.69, Sell volume: 1474.63, Average price: 0.7975, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.9955
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.9955
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.9955
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.9960
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0040
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.9965
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0035
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.9970
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.9970
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.9965
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.9975
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.9970
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.9975
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.9975
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.9975
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.9975
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 2155.95, Sell volume: 1160.32, Average price: 0.8510, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9995
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.9995
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9995
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9995
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0020
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.9995
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.9995
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 132.19, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.9995
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.9995
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 283, Buy volume: 31001.65, Sell volume: 11481.97, Average price: 0.7309, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520155
Question: Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42483.623488
Price History:
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9960
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0040
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 7266.07, Sell volume: 5578.00, Average price: 0.0444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9973
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.5000
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.4850
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.4750
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.4700
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.4700
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.4750
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.4750
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.4750
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.4750
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.2250
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.2250
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.2250
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.3000
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.3000
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.2900
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.2650
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.2600
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.2650
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.2650
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.2650
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.2650
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.2700
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.2700
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.2700
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.2700
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.2700
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.2700
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.2650
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.2650
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.2600
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.2600
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.2600
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.2550
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.2600
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.2600
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.2600
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.2600
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.2600
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.2600
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.2500
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.2500
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.2500
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.2500
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.2500
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1183.10, Sell volume: 109.59, Average price: 0.6720, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.2450
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.2450
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.2450
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.2450
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.2450
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.2450
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.2450
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.2450
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.2450
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.2450
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.2450
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.2450
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.2350
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.2350
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.2350
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.2400
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.2400
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.2200
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.2200
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.2100
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.2100
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.2100
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.2100
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.2100
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.2100
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.2100
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.2100
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.2100
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.2100
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.2100
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.2050
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.2150
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.2150
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.2100
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 505.30, Sell volume: 38.81, Average price: 0.6512, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.2100
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.2150
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.2050
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.1950
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.1350
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.1550
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.1400
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.1450
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.1500
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.1500
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.1500
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.1500
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.1450
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.1400
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.1450
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.1400
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.1400
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.1600
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.1600
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.1600
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.1600
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.1600
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.1600
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.1500
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.1450
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.1400
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.1500
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.1500
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.1450
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.1400
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.1450
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1132.80, Sell volume: 198.99, Average price: 0.5185, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.1600
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.1500
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.1600
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.1500
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.1500
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.1500
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.1500
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.1450
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.1350
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.1350
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.1350
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.1750
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.1750
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.1750
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.1750
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.1750
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.1750
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.1750
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.1750
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.1750
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.1750
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.1800
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.1800
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.1800
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.1800
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.1850
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.1850
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.1850
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.1850
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.1850
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.1850
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.1850
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.1850
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.1850
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.2050
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.1950
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.2200
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.2300
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.2350
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.2350
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.2350
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.2400
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.2400
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.2400
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.2700
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.2800
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.2900
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.3400
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 2565.52, Sell volume: 203.96, Average price: 0.3670, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.3850
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.3850
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.3850
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.3250
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.3800
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.3850
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.3850
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.3850
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.3900
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.3350
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.3300
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.3250
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.3350
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.3350
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.3350
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.3350
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.3300
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.3250
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.3250
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.3350
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.3300
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.3400
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.3250
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.3250
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.3300
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.3250
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.3400
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.3350
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.3300
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.3950
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.4000
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.4000
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.4000
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.4000
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.4000
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.4000
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.4000
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.3850
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1536.47, Sell volume: 219.06, Average price: 0.5168, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.4000
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.4200
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.4050
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.4150
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.4150
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.3650
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.3550
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.3600
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.3800
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.4400
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.4850
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.4550
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.4550
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.4800
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.4350
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.4300
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.4350
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.4300
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.4300
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.4350
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.4350
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.4100
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.4100
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.4100
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.4100
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.4100
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.4100
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.4100
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.3550
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.3650
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.3850
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.3800
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.3600
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.3650
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.3900
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.3750
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.3750
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.3850
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.3800
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.3750
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.3850
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.3800
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 176.00, Sell volume: 610.23, Average price: 0.4715, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.3900
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.2300
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.2200
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.2250
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.1950
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.1900
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.1850
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.1850
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.2350
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.2000
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.2100
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.2500
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.2450
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.2450
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.3300
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.3950
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.3900
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.2450
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.2550
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.4150
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.4050
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.4150
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.2300
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.2300
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.4150
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.4350
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.4400
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.4400
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.4500
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.4450
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.4450
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.4450
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.4400
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.4400
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 169.92, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4725, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6952

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.4400
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.4400
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.4450
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.4450
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.4350
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.4350
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.4500
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.4450
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.4400
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.4450
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.4450
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.4450
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.4500
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.4500
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.4400
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.4400
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.4450
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.4450
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.4400
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.4450
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.4450
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.4400
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.4400
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.4350
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.4450
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.4400
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.4400
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.4400
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.4350
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.4400
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.4400
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.4450
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.4400
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.4400
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.4450
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.4400
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.4450
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.4400
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.4450
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.4400
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.4500
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.4500
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.4500
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.4500
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.4450
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.4400
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.4450
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.4450
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.4450
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 190.85, Sell volume: 50.01, Average price: 0.4525, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.4700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.4450
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.4500
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.4500
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.4500
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.4650
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.5100
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.5100
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.5050
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.5100
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.5150
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.5150
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.4950
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.5150
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.5300
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.5300
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.5300
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.5350
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.5500
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.5550
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.5550
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.5500
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.5500
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.5450
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.3050
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.3500
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.3900
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.4400
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.4800
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.3050
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.3550
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.4000
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.4400
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.3000
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.3400
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.5350
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.5350
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.5350
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.5350
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.5350
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.5350
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.5350
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.5350
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.5350
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.5300
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.5300
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.5300
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.5350
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.3600
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 418.46, Sell volume: 95.10, Average price: 0.4824, Price range: 0.4399 - 0.5941

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.4700
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.5450
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.3900
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.4900
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.5350
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.6150
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.5900
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.5100
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.6150
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.5400
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.6350
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.6600
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.6600
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.6550
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.6550
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.6550
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.6550
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.6550
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.6500
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.6500
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.6500
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.6700
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.6600
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.6650
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.6600
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.7050
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.6900
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.6850
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.6900
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.6950
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.7450
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.7500
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.7650
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.8000
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.8050
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.8050
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.8000
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.8150
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.8150
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.8050
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.8150
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.8200
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.8100
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 3604.39, Sell volume: 729.58, Average price: 0.5925, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.8200
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.8150
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.8100
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.8100
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.8150
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.8250
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.8200
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.8200
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.8200
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.8200
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.8200
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.8200
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.8200
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.8200
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.8200
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.8200
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.8200
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.8200
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.8150
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.8150
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.8150
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.8150
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.8150
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.8150
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.8150
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.8150
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.8150
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.8150
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.8100
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.8100
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.8100
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1985.08, Sell volume: 629.00, Average price: 0.4331, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8390

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.8100
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.8100
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.8100
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.8100
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.8000
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.8050
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.8050
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.8050
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.8000
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.8000
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.8050
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.8050
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.8000
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.7950
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.8000
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.7950
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.8050
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.8000
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.7750
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.8050
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.8050
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.7750
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.7750
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.7850
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.7850
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.7800
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.7850
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.7850
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.8000
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.7950
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.7950
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.7950
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.7950
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.7950
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.8000
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.8000
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.8000
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.8000
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.8000
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.8000
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.8000
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.8000
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.8000
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.8000
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.8000
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.8050
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.8000
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 2386.42, Sell volume: 1906.59, Average price: 0.4377, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.8000
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.7750
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.7750
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.7750
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.7750
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.7750
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.7750
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.7750
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.7750
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.7750
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.7750
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.7700
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.7700
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.7700
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.7700
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.7700
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.7650
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.7650
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.7650
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.7550
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.7550
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.7400
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.7400
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.7450
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.7450
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.7450
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.6600
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.4250
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.4900
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.4750
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.5550
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.7350
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.7350
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.7350
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.7300
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.7300
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.7300
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.7300
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.7300
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.7350
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.7350
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.7050
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.1000
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.3300
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.1850
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 5039.71, Sell volume: 3218.51, Average price: 0.3804, Price range: 0.0182 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.5000
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.5150
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.4700
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.5300
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.4750
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.5250
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.2250
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.7750
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.3000
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.7000
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.2650
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.7400
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.2650
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.7350
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.2700
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.7300
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.2700
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.7300
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.2650
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.7350
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.7350
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.7400
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.2600
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.7450
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.2600
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.7400
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.2600
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1183.10, Sell volume: 109.59, Average price: 0.6720, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.2450
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.7550
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.2450
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.7550
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.2450
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.7550
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.2450
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.7550
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.7600
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.7600
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.7600
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.7600
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.7650
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.2350
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.7650
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.2400
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.7600
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.2200
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.7900
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.2100
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.7900
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.2100
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.7900
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.2100
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 505.30, Sell volume: 38.81, Average price: 0.6512, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.2100
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.7900
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.7900
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.7900
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.7900
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.7900
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.7900
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.2150
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.7950
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.8650
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.1400
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.8550
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.1500
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.8500
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.1450
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.8600
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.1400
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.8600
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.1600
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.8400
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.1600
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.8400
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.1450
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1132.80, Sell volume: 198.99, Average price: 0.5185, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.1600
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.8500
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.1500
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.8500
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.1500
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.8550
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.1350
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.8650
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.1750
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.8250
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.1750
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.8250
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.1750
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.8250
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.1750
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.8200
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.1800
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.8200
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.1850
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.8150
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.1850
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.8150
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.1850
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.8150
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.1950
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.7800
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.2350
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.7650
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.2400
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 2565.52, Sell volume: 203.96, Average price: 0.3670, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.3850
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.6150
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.3250
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.6800
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.6800
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.6800
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.3800
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.6150
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.3850
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.6100
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.3300
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.6750
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.3350
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.6650
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.3300
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.6750
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.3350
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.6700
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.3250
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.6750
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.3250
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.6600
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.3300
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.6050
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.4000
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1536.47, Sell volume: 219.06, Average price: 0.5168, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.4000
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.5800
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.4150
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.5850
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.6300
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.6350
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.3600
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.6200
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.4850
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.5450
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.4800
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.5650
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.4350
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.5700
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.4350
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.5650
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.4100
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.5900
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.4100
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.5900
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.3550
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.6350
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.3800
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.6400
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.3650
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.6100
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 176.00, Sell volume: 610.23, Average price: 0.4715, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.3900
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.7700
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.2250
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.8050
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.1850
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.8150
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.2000
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.7900
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.2450
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.7550
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.3950
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.6100
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.2550
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.5850
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.5900
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.5900
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.5900
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.5900
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.4050
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.5850
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.7700
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.4150
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.5650
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.4400
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 169.92, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4725, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6952
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.4400
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.5600
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.4450
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.5650
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.4500
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.5550
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.4450
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.5550
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.4500
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.5500
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.4400
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.5550
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.4400
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.5550
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.4400
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.5600
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.4450
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.5600
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.4400
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.5650
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.4400
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.5550
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.4400
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.5550
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.4450
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.5600
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.4400
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.5500
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.4500
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 190.85, Sell volume: 50.01, Average price: 0.4525, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.4700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.4450
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.5500
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.4500
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.5350
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.5100
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.4950
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.5150
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.4850
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.5150
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.6850
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.5300
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.4700
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.5500
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.4450
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.5500
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.4500
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.3050
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.6500
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.4400
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.5200
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.3550
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.6000
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.3000
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.6600
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.5350
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.4650
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.5350
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.4650
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.5350
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 418.46, Sell volume: 95.10, Average price: 0.4824, Price range: 0.4399 - 0.5941
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.4700
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.4550
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.4900
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.4650
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.5900
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.4900
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.5400
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.3650
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.6600
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.3450
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.6550
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.3450
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.6500
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.3500
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.6700
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.3400
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.6600
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.2950
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.6850
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.3100
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.7450
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.2500
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.8000
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.1950
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.8000
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.1850
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.8050
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 3604.39, Sell volume: 729.58, Average price: 0.5925, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.8200
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.1850
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.8100
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.1850
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.8250
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.1800
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.8200
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.1800
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.8200
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.1800
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.8200
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.1800
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.8200
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.8150
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.1850
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.8150
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.1850
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.8150
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.1850
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.1850
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.1850
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.1850
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1985.08, Sell volume: 629.00, Average price: 0.4331, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8390
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.8100
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.1900
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.8100
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.1850
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.8000
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.1950
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.8050
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.2000
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.8050
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.1950
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.7950
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.2000
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.8050
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.2000
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.8050
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.1950
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.7750
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.2150
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.7800
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.2150
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.8000
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.2050
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.7950
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.2050
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.8000
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.2000
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.8000
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.2000
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.8000
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 2386.42, Sell volume: 1906.59, Average price: 0.4377, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520152
Question: Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 29043.924919
Price History:
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.8000
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.2250
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.7750
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.2250
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.7750
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.2250
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.7750
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.2250
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.7700
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.2300
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.7700
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.2350
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.7650
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.2450
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.7400
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.2600
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.7450
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.2550
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.4250
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.5100
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.5550
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.2650
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.7350
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.2700
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.7300
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.2700
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.7350
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.2650
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.1000
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 5039.71, Sell volume: 3218.51, Average price: 0.3804, Price range: 0.0182 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.5000
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.4800
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.4800
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.4700
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.4700
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.4750
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.4750
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.4750
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.4800
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.4950
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.3550
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.3500
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.1700
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.1750
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.1100
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.2250
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.2300
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.2350
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.2350
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.2350
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.2450
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.2450
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.2450
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.2450
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.2500
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.2500
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.2500
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.2900
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.2900
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.2850
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.2750
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.2750
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.2800
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.2800
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.2800
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.2800
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.2700
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.2700
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.2700
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.2750
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.2750
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.2750
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.2750
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.2700
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1075.90, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.6393, Price range: 0.1349 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.1450
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.1500
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.1550
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.2450
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.2450
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.1550
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.1650
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.2100
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.2250
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.2200
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.2250
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.2300
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.2500
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.2600
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.2450
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.2600
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.2500
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.2300
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.2300
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.2300
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.2300
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.2300
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.2300
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.2250
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.2300
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.2300
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.2250
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.2250
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.2450
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.2450
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.2450
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.2450
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.2450
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.2450
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.2450
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.2450
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.2450
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.2450
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.2450
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.2500
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.2500
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.2750
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.2700
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.2700
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.2650
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 3914.56, Sell volume: 462.81, Average price: 0.5415, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.3050
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.2900
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.3100
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.3100
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.3100
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.3100
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.3050
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.3050
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.3050
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.3050
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.3050
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.3050
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.3050
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.2650
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.2650
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.2650
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.1700
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.1650
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.1850
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.1750
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.1900
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.2150
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.2250
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.2250
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.2250
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.2300
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.2300
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.2300
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.2300
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.2300
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.2300
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.2400
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.2350
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.2250
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.2250
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.2300
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.2300
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.2250
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.2350
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.2300
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.2300
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.2300
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.2300
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.2450
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.2200
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3291.84, Sell volume: 406.15, Average price: 0.5837, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.8044

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.2150
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.2200
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.2350
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.2150
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.2100
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.2100
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.2150
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.2150
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.2100
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.2100
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.2100
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.1100
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.2100
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.2250
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.2150
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.2150
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.2100
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.2100
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.2100
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.2150
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.2100
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.2100
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.2100
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.2100
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.2100
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.2100
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.2100
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.2100
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.2100
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.2100
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.2100
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.2100
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.2100
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.2100
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.2100
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.2050
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.2100
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.2100
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.2100
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.2100
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.2000
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.1950
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.1950
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.1950
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.2100
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.2050
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.2000
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.2000
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.2050
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2294.59, Sell volume: 1012.66, Average price: 0.6871, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.1950
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.1950
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.1950
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.2050
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.2050
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.2050
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.2050
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.2100
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.2150
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.2150
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.2150
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.2150
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.2200
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.2200
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.2850
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.2300
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.2300
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.2350
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.2250
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.2100
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.2200
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.2150
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.2400
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.2400
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.2400
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.2400
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.2700
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.2650
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.2650
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.2400
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.2550
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.2400
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.2650
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.2700
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.2550
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.2850
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.3200
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.3200
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.3200
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.2750
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.2800
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.2850
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.2850
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.2850
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.2850
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.2800
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.2900
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.3050
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 3432.90, Sell volume: 1427.74, Average price: 0.4184, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.2750
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.2700
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.2800
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.2700
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.2700
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.3000
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.3050
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.3000
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.3050
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.2950
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.2850
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.2750
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.3050
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.2750
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.2700
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.2950
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.2700
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.2700
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.2700
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.2850
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.2900
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.2850
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.2950
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.2900
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.3000
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.3000
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.2850
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.2900
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.3000
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.2850
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.2950
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.3050
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.3050
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.3650
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.3500
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.3450
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.3450
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.3200
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.3000
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.3200
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.3000
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.2950
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.3000
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.3000
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.3000
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.3000
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.3000
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.2950
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.3000
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1202.13, Sell volume: 314.58, Average price: 0.3955, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.3050
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.3050
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.3050
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.3150
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.3150
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.3150
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.3550
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.3600
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.3350
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.3650
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.3550
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.3250
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.3250
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.4800
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.4200
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.3700
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.3350
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.3350
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.3400
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.3550
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.3750
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.3500
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.3200
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.3200
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.3250
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.3250
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 184.98, Sell volume: 618.10, Average price: 0.4449, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.3250
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.3250
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.3250
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.3250
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.3250
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.3200
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.3200
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.3200
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.3150
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.3200
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.3200
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.3150
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.3200
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.3200
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.3200
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.3200
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.3150
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.3150
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.3150
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.3150
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.3150
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.3150
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.3100
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.3100
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.3050
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.3050
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.3050
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.3050
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.3050
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.3050
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.1600
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.1750
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.2900
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.1900
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.2300
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.2850
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.2850
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.2400
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.2800
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.2400
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 66.00, Sell volume: 1074.00, Average price: 0.3232, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.2850
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.2800
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.2850
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.2550
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.2500
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.2100
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.2250
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.2450
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.2100
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.2050
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.2000
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.2150
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.2300
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.2650
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.2250
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.2200
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.2200
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.2250
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.2200
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.2150
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.2150
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.2200
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.2200
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.2350
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.2800
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.2800
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.2900
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.2800
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.2800
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.2750
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.2750
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.2850
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.2800
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.2800
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.2800
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.2450
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.2450
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.2450
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.2450
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.2450
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.2450
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.2450
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.2450
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.2450
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.2600
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.2600
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.2600
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.2600
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.3000
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 956.00, Sell volume: 148.42, Average price: 0.4886, Price range: 0.1540 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.3000
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.2650
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.1750
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.1750
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.2350
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.2750
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.2550
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.2500
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.2900
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.2800
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.2800
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.2750
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.2700
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.2750
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.2700
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.2700
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.2700
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.2600
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.2600
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.2600
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.2350
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.2450
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.2400
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.2500
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.2200
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.2300
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.2400
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.2300
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.2300
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.1950
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.1750
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.1750
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.1450
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.1400
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.1350
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.1250
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.1250
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.1250
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.1250
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.1250
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.1250
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1250
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.1250
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.1250
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.1250
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.1350
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 150, Buy volume: 2918.19, Sell volume: 3928.87, Average price: 0.6538, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.1250
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.1250
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.1250
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.1250
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.1250
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.1250
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.1350
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.1250
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.1250
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.1250
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.1250
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.1250
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.1250
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.1350
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.1250
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.1250
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.1250
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.1250
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.1250
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.1250
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.1250
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1826.62, Sell volume: 516.34, Average price: 0.3691, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.1300
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.1250
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.1250
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.1250
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.1250
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.1250
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.1250
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.1250
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.1250
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.1250
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.1250
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.1250
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.1250
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.1250
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.1250
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.1250
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0700
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0900
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.1100
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.1150
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.1150
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.1200
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.1150
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.1100
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.1100
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.1100
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.1150
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.1100
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.1100
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.1100
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.1100
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.1050
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.1050
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.1050
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.1050
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.1050
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.1000
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.1000
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.1000
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.1050
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.1050
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.1050
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.1050
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.1100
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 2980.64, Sell volume: 2431.32, Average price: 0.5623, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.1150
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.1500
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.1450
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.1500
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.1550
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.1550
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.1550
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.1550
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.1550
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.1550
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.1550
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.1500
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.1500
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.1500
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.1500
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.1500
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.1450
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.1450
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.1450
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.1550
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.1550
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.1600
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.1650
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.1650
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.1650
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.1650
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.1650
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.1650
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.1650
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.1650
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.1650
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.1650
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.1650
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.1650
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.1650
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.1650
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.1650
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.1650
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.1650
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.1650
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.1650
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.1900
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0050
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.0225
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0260
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 4860.48, Sell volume: 822.85, Average price: 0.4787, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.5000
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.5200
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.4700
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.5300
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.4750
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.5250
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.4950
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.6450
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.1700
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.8250
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.2250
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.7700
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.2350
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.7650
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.2450
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.7550
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.2500
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.7500
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.2900
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.7100
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.2750
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.7250
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.2800
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.7200
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.2700
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.7350
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.2700
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.7250
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.2750
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1075.90, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.6393, Price range: 0.1349 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.8550
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.1550
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.7550
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.1550
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.8350
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.2100
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.7750
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.2250
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.7850
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.2500
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.7400
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.2600
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.7500
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.2300
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.7700
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.2300
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.7700
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.2250
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.7700
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.2250
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.7750
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.2450
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.7550
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.2450
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.7550
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.2450
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.7550
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.2450
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 3914.56, Sell volume: 462.81, Average price: 0.5415, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes