Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9050
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9050
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9050
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9050
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 227.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0900
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 173.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.4950
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.4950
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.5000
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.4950
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.5350
2024-06-22 19:00: 0.3350
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.3100
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.2900
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.2950
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.2950
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.3050
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.3050
2024-06-24 06:00: 0.3050
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.3050
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.3050
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.3050
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.3050
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.3050
2024-06-25 12:00: 0.3050
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.3050
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.3050
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.3050
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.3050
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.3050
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.3050
2024-06-26 23:00: 0.3050
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.3050
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.3050
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.3050
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.3050
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.3050
2024-06-28 05:00: 0.3050
2024-06-28 10:00: 0.3050
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.3050
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.3050
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.3050
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.3050
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.3050
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.3050
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.3050
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.3050
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.3050
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.3050
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.3050
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.3050
2024-07-01 03:00: 0.3050
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.3050
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.3050
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.3050
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.3050
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.3050
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.3050
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.3050
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.3050
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.3050
2024-07-03 20:00: 0.3050
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.3050
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.3050
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.3050
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.3050
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.3050
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.3050
2024-07-05 07:00: 0.3050
2024-07-05 12:00: 0.3050
2024-07-05 17:00: 0.3050
2024-07-05 22:00: 0.3050
2024-07-06 03:00: 0.3050
2024-07-06 08:00: 0.3050
2024-07-06 13:00: 0.3050
2024-07-06 18:00: 0.3050
2024-07-06 23:00: 0.3050
2024-07-07 04:00: 0.3050
2024-07-07 09:00: 0.3050
2024-07-07 14:00: 0.3050
2024-07-07 19:00: 0.3050
2024-07-08 00:00: 0.3050
2024-07-08 05:00: 0.3050
2024-07-08 10:00: 0.3050
2024-07-08 15:00: 0.3050
2024-07-08 20:00: 0.3050
2024-07-09 01:00: 0.3050
2024-07-09 06:00: 0.3050
2024-07-09 11:00: 0.3050
2024-07-09 16:00: 0.3050
2024-07-09 21:00: 0.3050
2024-07-10 02:00: 0.3050
2024-07-10 07:00: 0.3050
2024-07-10 12:00: 0.3050
2024-07-10 17:00: 0.3050
2024-07-10 22:00: 0.3050
2024-07-11 03:00: 0.3050
2024-07-11 08:00: 0.3050
2024-07-11 13:00: 0.3050
2024-07-11 18:00: 0.3050
2024-07-11 23:00: 0.3050
2024-07-12 04:00: 0.3050
2024-07-12 09:00: 0.3050
2024-07-12 14:00: 0.3050
2024-07-12 19:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-07-13 10:00: 0.3050
2024-07-13 15:00: 0.3050
2024-07-13 20:00: 0.3050
2024-07-14 01:00: 0.3050
2024-07-14 06:00: 0.3050
2024-07-14 11:00: 0.3050
2024-07-14 16:00: 0.3050
2024-07-14 21:00: 0.3050
2024-07-15 02:00: 0.3050
2024-07-15 07:00: 0.3050
2024-07-15 12:00: 0.3050
2024-07-15 17:00: 0.3050
2024-07-15 22:00: 0.3050
2024-07-16 03:00: 0.3050
2024-07-16 08:00: 0.3050
2024-07-16 13:00: 0.3050
2024-07-16 18:00: 0.3050
2024-07-16 23:00: 0.3050
2024-07-17 04:00: 0.3050
2024-07-17 09:00: 0.3050
2024-07-17 14:00: 0.3050
2024-07-17 19:00: 0.3050
2024-07-18 00:00: 0.3050
2024-07-18 05:00: 0.3050
2024-07-18 10:00: 0.3050
2024-07-18 15:00: 0.3050
2024-07-18 20:00: 0.3050
2024-07-19 01:00: 0.3050
2024-07-19 06:00: 0.3050
2024-07-19 11:00: 0.3050
2024-07-19 16:00: 0.3050
2024-07-19 21:00: 0.3050
2024-07-20 02:00: 0.3050
2024-07-20 07:00: 0.3050
2024-07-20 12:00: 0.3050
2024-07-20 17:00: 0.3050
2024-07-20 22:00: 0.3050
2024-07-21 03:00: 0.3050
2024-07-21 08:00: 0.3050
2024-07-21 13:00: 0.3050
2024-07-21 19:00: 0.3050
2024-07-22 00:00: 0.3050
2024-07-22 05:00: 0.3050
2024-07-22 10:00: 0.3050
2024-07-22 15:00: 0.3050
2024-07-22 20:00: 0.3050
2024-07-23 01:00: 0.3050
2024-07-23 06:00: 0.3050
2024-07-23 11:00: 0.3050
2024-07-23 16:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-07-24 07:00: 0.3050
2024-07-24 12:00: 0.3050
2024-07-24 17:00: 0.3050
2024-07-24 22:00: 0.3050
2024-07-25 03:00: 0.3050
2024-07-25 08:00: 0.3050
2024-07-25 13:00: 0.3200
2024-07-25 18:00: 0.3200
2024-07-25 23:00: 0.3200
2024-07-26 04:00: 0.3200
2024-07-26 09:00: 0.3200
2024-07-26 14:00: 0.3200
2024-07-26 19:00: 0.3200
2024-07-27 00:00: 0.6500
2024-07-27 05:00: 0.3550
2024-07-27 10:00: 0.3550
2024-07-27 15:00: 0.3550
2024-07-27 20:00: 0.3550
2024-07-28 01:00: 0.3550
2024-07-28 06:00: 0.3550
2024-07-28 11:00: 0.3550
2024-07-28 16:00: 0.3550
2024-07-28 21:00: 0.3550
2024-07-29 02:00: 0.3550
2024-07-29 07:00: 0.3550
2024-07-29 12:00: 0.3550
2024-07-29 17:00: 0.3550
2024-07-29 22:00: 0.3550
2024-07-30 03:00: 0.3500
2024-07-30 08:00: 0.3500
2024-07-30 13:00: 0.3500
2024-07-30 18:00: 0.3500
2024-07-30 23:00: 0.3500
2024-07-31 04:00: 0.3500
2024-07-31 09:00: 0.3500
2024-07-31 14:00: 0.3500
2024-07-31 19:00: 0.6350
2024-08-01 00:00: 0.5100
2024-08-01 05:00: 0.5100
2024-08-01 10:00: 0.5100
2024-08-01 15:00: 0.5100
2024-08-01 20:00: 0.5100
2024-08-02 01:00: 0.5100
2024-08-02 06:00: 0.5050
2024-08-02 11:00: 0.5050
2024-08-02 16:00: 0.5050
2024-08-02 21:00: 0.5000
2024-08-03 02:00: 0.5000
2024-08-03 07:00: 0.5000
2024-08-03 12:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-08-04 03:00: 0.5000
2024-08-04 08:00: 0.5000
2024-08-04 13:00: 0.5000
2024-08-04 18:00: 0.5000
2024-08-04 23:00: 0.5000
2024-08-05 04:00: 0.5000
2024-08-05 09:00: 0.5000
2024-08-05 14:00: 0.5000
2024-08-05 19:00: 0.5000
2024-08-06 00:00: 0.5000
2024-08-06 05:00: 0.5000
2024-08-06 10:00: 0.5000
2024-08-06 15:00: 0.5000
2024-08-06 20:00: 0.5000
2024-08-07 01:00: 0.4300
2024-08-07 06:00: 0.5000
2024-08-07 11:00: 0.5000
2024-08-07 16:00: 0.5000
2024-08-07 21:00: 0.5000
2024-08-08 02:00: 0.5000
2024-08-08 07:00: 0.5000
2024-08-08 12:00: 0.5000
2024-08-08 17:00: 0.5000
2024-08-08 22:00: 0.4900
2024-08-09 03:00: 0.5000
2024-08-09 08:00: 0.3400
2024-08-09 13:00: 0.3400
2024-08-09 18:00: 0.3400
2024-08-09 23:00: 0.3400
2024-08-10 04:00: 0.3400
2024-08-10 09:00: 0.3400
2024-08-10 14:00: 0.5050
2024-08-10 19:00: 0.5050
2024-08-11 00:00: 0.5050
2024-08-11 05:00: 0.4750
2024-08-11 10:00: 0.4750
2024-08-11 15:00: 0.4750
2024-08-11 20:00: 0.4750
2024-08-12 01:00: 0.4600
2024-08-12 06:00: 0.4650
2024-08-12 11:00: 0.4650
2024-08-12 16:00: 0.4650
2024-08-12 21:00: 0.4600
2024-08-13 02:00: 0.4650
2024-08-13 07:00: 0.4750
2024-08-13 12:00: 0.4700
2024-08-13 17:00: 0.4550
2024-08-13 22:00: 0.5500
2024-08-14 03:00: 0.5450
2024-08-14 08:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-08-14 23:00: 0.4750
2024-08-15 04:00: 0.4800
2024-08-15 09:00: 0.5400
2024-08-15 14:00: 0.5600
2024-08-15 19:00: 0.5550
2024-08-16 00:00: 0.5950
2024-08-16 05:00: 0.5700
2024-08-16 10:00: 0.5650
2024-08-16 15:00: 0.5550
2024-08-16 20:00: 0.5500
2024-08-17 01:00: 0.5500
2024-08-17 06:00: 0.5150
2024-08-17 11:00: 0.5050
2024-08-17 16:00: 0.5100
2024-08-17 21:00: 0.5150
2024-08-18 02:00: 0.5150
2024-08-18 07:00: 0.5150
2024-08-18 12:00: 0.5150
2024-08-18 17:00: 0.5150
2024-08-18 22:00: 0.5150
2024-08-19 03:00: 0.5150
2024-08-19 08:00: 0.5150
2024-08-19 13:00: 0.5150
2024-08-19 18:00: 0.5150
2024-08-19 23:00: 0.5150
2024-08-20 04:00: 0.5150
2024-08-20 09:00: 0.5150
2024-08-20 14:00: 0.5150
2024-08-20 19:00: 0.5150
2024-08-21 00:00: 0.5150
2024-08-21 05:00: 0.5150
2024-08-21 10:00: 0.5150
2024-08-21 15:00: 0.5150
2024-08-21 20:00: 0.5150
2024-08-22 01:00: 0.5150
2024-08-22 06:00: 0.5150
2024-08-22 11:00: 0.5150
2024-08-22 16:00: 0.5150
2024-08-22 21:00: 0.5150
2024-08-23 02:00: 0.5150
2024-08-23 07:00: 0.5200
2024-08-23 12:00: 0.5200
2024-08-23 17:00: 0.5200
2024-08-23 22:00: 0.5200
2024-08-24 03:00: 0.5200
2024-08-24 08:00: 0.5200
2024-08-24 13:00: 0.5200
2024-08-24 18:00: 0.5200
2024-08-24 23:00: 0.5200
2024-08-25 04:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-08-25 19:00: 0.5200
2024-08-26 00:00: 0.5200
2024-08-26 05:00: 0.4900
2024-08-26 10:00: 0.4650
2024-08-26 15:00: 0.4650
2024-08-26 20:00: 0.4650
2024-08-27 01:00: 0.4600
2024-08-27 06:00: 0.4600
2024-08-27 11:00: 0.4600
2024-08-27 16:00: 0.4600
2024-08-27 21:00: 0.4650
2024-08-28 02:00: 0.4650
2024-08-28 07:00: 0.4650
2024-08-28 12:00: 0.4700
2024-08-28 17:00: 0.4700
2024-08-28 22:00: 0.4700
2024-08-29 03:00: 0.4700
2024-08-29 08:00: 0.4700
2024-08-29 13:00: 0.4700
2024-08-29 18:00: 0.4600
2024-08-29 23:00: 0.4700
2024-08-30 04:00: 0.4700
2024-08-30 09:00: 0.4700
2024-08-30 14:00: 0.4750
2024-08-30 19:00: 0.4700
2024-08-31 00:00: 0.4700
2024-08-31 05:00: 0.4700
2024-08-31 10:00: 0.4700
2024-08-31 15:00: 0.4700
2024-08-31 20:00: 0.4700
2024-09-01 01:00: 0.4700
2024-09-01 06:00: 0.4700
2024-09-01 11:00: 0.4700
2024-09-01 16:00: 0.4750
2024-09-01 21:00: 0.4750
2024-09-02 02:00: 0.4750
2024-09-02 07:00: 0.4750
2024-09-02 12:00: 0.4750
2024-09-02 17:00: 0.4700
2024-09-02 22:00: 0.4700
2024-09-03 03:00: 0.4700
2024-09-03 08:00: 0.4700
2024-09-03 13:00: 0.4700
2024-09-03 18:00: 0.4700
2024-09-03 23:00: 0.4700
2024-09-04 04:00: 0.4700
2024-09-04 09:00: 0.4700
2024-09-04 14:00: 0.4700
2024-09-04 19:00: 0.4600
2024-09-05 00:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-09-05 15:00: 0.4600
2024-09-05 20:00: 0.4600
2024-09-06 01:00: 0.4600
2024-09-06 06:00: 0.4600
2024-09-06 11:00: 0.4600
2024-09-06 16:00: 0.4600
2024-09-06 21:00: 0.4600
2024-09-07 02:00: 0.4600
2024-09-07 07:00: 0.4600
2024-09-07 12:00: 0.4600
2024-09-07 17:00: 0.4600
2024-09-07 22:00: 0.4700
2024-09-08 03:00: 0.4600
2024-09-08 08:00: 0.4600
2024-09-08 13:00: 0.4600
2024-09-08 18:00: 0.4600
2024-09-08 23:00: 0.4700
2024-09-09 04:00: 0.4700
2024-09-09 09:00: 0.4700
2024-09-09 14:00: 0.4700
2024-09-09 19:00: 0.4700
2024-09-10 00:00: 0.4700
2024-09-10 05:00: 0.4700
2024-09-10 10:00: 0.4700
2024-09-10 15:00: 0.4700
2024-09-10 20:00: 0.4700
2024-09-11 01:00: 0.4700
2024-09-11 06:00: 0.4700
2024-09-11 11:00: 0.4700
2024-09-11 16:00: 0.4700
2024-09-11 21:00: 0.4700
2024-09-12 02:00: 0.4700
2024-09-12 07:00: 0.4650
2024-09-12 12:00: 0.4600
2024-09-12 17:00: 0.4600
2024-09-12 22:00: 0.4600
2024-09-13 03:00: 0.4600
2024-09-13 08:00: 0.4600
2024-09-13 13:00: 0.4600
2024-09-13 18:00: 0.4600
2024-09-13 23:00: 0.4600
2024-09-14 04:00: 0.4600
2024-09-14 09:00: 0.4600
2024-09-14 14:00: 0.4600
2024-09-14 19:00: 0.4600
2024-09-15 00:00: 0.4600
2024-09-15 05:00: 0.4600
2024-09-15 10:00: 0.4600
2024-09-15 15:00: 0.4600
2024-09-15 20:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-09-16 11:00: 0.4600
2024-09-16 16:00: 0.4600
2024-09-16 21:00: 0.4600
2024-09-17 02:00: 0.4600
2024-09-17 07:00: 0.4600
2024-09-17 12:00: 0.4600
2024-09-17 17:00: 0.4600
2024-09-17 22:00: 0.4600
2024-09-18 03:00: 0.4600
2024-09-18 08:00: 0.4600
2024-09-18 13:00: 0.4600
2024-09-18 18:00: 0.4600
2024-09-18 23:00: 0.4600
2024-09-19 04:00: 0.4600
2024-09-19 09:00: 0.4600
2024-09-19 14:00: 0.4600
2024-09-19 19:00: 0.4600
2024-09-20 00:00: 0.4600
2024-09-20 05:00: 0.4600
2024-09-20 10:00: 0.3600
2024-09-20 15:00: 0.4200
2024-09-20 20:00: 0.4200
2024-09-21 01:00: 0.4200
2024-09-21 06:00: 0.4200
2024-09-21 11:00: 0.4200
2024-09-21 16:00: 0.4200
2024-09-21 21:00: 0.4200
2024-09-22 02:00: 0.4200
2024-09-22 07:00: 0.4250
2024-09-22 12:00: 0.4250
2024-09-22 17:00: 0.4250
2024-09-22 22:00: 0.4250
2024-09-23 03:00: 0.4250
2024-09-23 08:00: 0.4150
2024-09-23 13:00: 0.4150
2024-09-23 18:00: 0.4100
2024-09-23 23:00: 0.4100
2024-09-24 04:00: 0.4100
2024-09-24 09:00: 0.4100
2024-09-24 14:00: 0.4100
2024-09-24 19:00: 0.4100
2024-09-25 00:00: 0.4100
2024-09-25 05:00: 0.4150
2024-09-25 10:00: 0.4150
2024-09-25 15:00: 0.4150
2024-09-25 20:00: 0.4100
2024-09-26 01:00: 0.4100
2024-09-26 06:00: 0.4100
2024-09-26 11:00: 0.4100
2024-09-26 16:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-09-27 07:00: 0.3400
2024-09-27 12:00: 0.3700
2024-09-27 17:00: 0.3650
2024-09-27 22:00: 0.3650
2024-09-28 03:00: 0.3450
2024-09-28 08:00: 0.3300
2024-09-28 13:00: 0.3650
2024-09-28 18:00: 0.3650
2024-09-28 23:00: 0.3650
2024-09-29 04:00: 0.3800
2024-09-29 09:00: 0.3700
2024-09-29 14:00: 0.3650
2024-09-29 19:00: 0.3800
2024-09-30 00:00: 0.3500
2024-09-30 05:00: 0.3500
2024-09-30 10:00: 0.3700
2024-09-30 15:00: 0.3850
2024-09-30 20:00: 0.3550
2024-10-01 01:00: 0.3700
2024-10-01 06:00: 0.3600
2024-10-01 11:00: 0.3750
2024-10-01 16:00: 0.3500
2024-10-01 21:00: 0.3500
2024-10-02 02:00: 0.3300
2024-10-02 07:00: 0.3300
2024-10-02 11:00: 0.3300
2024-10-02 16:00: 0.3350
2024-10-02 21:00: 0.3600
2024-10-03 02:00: 0.3650
2024-10-03 07:00: 0.3650
2024-10-03 12:00: 0.3400
2024-10-03 17:00: 0.3700
2024-10-03 22:00: 0.3750
2024-10-04 03:00: 0.3750
2024-10-04 08:00: 0.3700
2024-10-04 13:00: 0.3650
2024-10-04 18:00: 0.3650
2024-10-04 23:00: 0.3650
2024-10-05 04:00: 0.3650
2024-10-05 09:00: 0.3650
2024-10-05 14:00: 0.3650
2024-10-05 19:00: 0.3650
2024-10-06 00:00: 0.3650
2024-10-06 05:00: 0.3600
2024-10-06 10:00: 0.3600
2024-10-06 15:00: 0.3600
2024-10-06 20:00: 0.3600
2024-10-07 01:00: 0.3600
2024-10-07 06:00: 0.3600
2024-10-07 11:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-10-08 02:00: 0.3600
2024-10-08 07:00: 0.3600
2024-10-08 12:00: 0.3600
2024-10-08 17:00: 0.3600
2024-10-08 22:00: 0.4050
2024-10-09 03:00: 0.4000
2024-10-09 08:00: 0.4000
2024-10-09 13:00: 0.3650
2024-10-09 18:00: 0.3550
2024-10-09 23:00: 0.3600
2024-10-10 04:00: 0.3800
2024-10-10 09:00: 0.3800
2024-10-10 14:00: 0.3800
2024-10-10 19:00: 0.3800
2024-10-11 00:00: 0.3800
2024-10-11 05:00: 0.3650
2024-10-11 10:00: 0.3850
2024-10-11 15:00: 0.3800
2024-10-11 20:00: 0.3750
2024-10-12 01:00: 0.3750
2024-10-12 06:00: 0.3850
2024-10-12 11:00: 0.3750
2024-10-12 16:00: 0.3700
2024-10-12 21:00: 0.3650
2024-10-13 02:00: 0.3750
2024-10-13 07:00: 0.3750
2024-10-13 12:00: 0.3750
2024-10-13 17:00: 0.3750
2024-10-13 22:00: 0.3700
2024-10-14 03:00: 0.3700
2024-10-14 08:00: 0.3650
2024-10-14 13:00: 0.3650
2024-10-14 18:00: 0.3650
2024-10-14 23:00: 0.3650
2024-10-15 04:00: 0.3650
2024-10-15 09:00: 0.3650
2024-10-15 14:00: 0.3600
2024-10-15 19:00: 0.3650
2024-10-16 00:00: 0.3600
2024-10-16 05:00: 0.3700
2024-10-16 10:00: 0.3550
2024-10-16 15:00: 0.3650
2024-10-16 20:00: 0.3550
2024-10-17 01:00: 0.3550
2024-10-17 06:00: 0.3550
2024-10-17 11:00: 0.3550
2024-10-17 16:00: 0.3550
2024-10-17 21:00: 0.3550
2024-10-18 02:00: 0.3550
2024-10-18 07:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-10-18 22:00: 0.3550
2024-10-19 03:00: 0.3500
2024-10-19 08:00: 0.3500
2024-10-19 13:00: 0.3500
2024-10-19 18:00: 0.3500
2024-10-19 23:00: 0.3500
2024-10-20 04:00: 0.3150
2024-10-20 09:00: 0.3050
2024-10-20 14:00: 0.3050
2024-10-20 19:00: 0.3050
2024-10-21 00:00: 0.3050
2024-10-21 05:00: 0.3050
2024-10-21 10:00: 0.3050
2024-10-21 15:00: 0.2900
2024-10-21 20:00: 0.1400
2024-10-22 01:00: 0.1400
2024-10-22 06:00: 0.1350
2024-10-22 11:00: 0.1350
2024-10-22 16:00: 0.1350
2024-10-22 21:00: 0.1400
2024-10-23 02:00: 0.1350
2024-10-23 07:00: 0.1350
2024-10-23 12:00: 0.1350
2024-10-23 17:00: 0.1350
2024-10-23 22:00: 0.1400
2024-10-24 03:00: 0.1400
2024-10-24 08:00: 0.1400
2024-10-24 13:00: 0.1350
2024-10-24 18:00: 0.2650
2024-10-24 23:00: 0.2050
2024-10-25 04:00: 0.2100
2024-10-25 09:00: 0.3000
2024-10-25 14:00: 0.1900
2024-10-25 19:00: 0.2250
2024-10-26 00:00: 0.3000
2024-10-26 05:00: 0.3000
2024-10-26 10:00: 0.2450
2024-10-26 15:00: 0.3550
2024-10-26 20:00: 0.2900
2024-10-27 01:00: 0.2800
2024-10-27 06:00: 0.1850
2024-10-27 11:00: 0.1900
2024-10-27 16:00: 0.1900
2024-10-27 21:00: 0.1700
2024-10-28 02:00: 0.1700
2024-10-28 07:00: 0.1650
2024-10-28 12:00: 0.1600
2024-10-28 17:00: 0.1600
2024-10-28 22:00: 0.1950
2024-10-29 03:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-10-29 18:00: 0.1650
2024-10-29 23:00: 0.1650
2024-10-30 04:00: 0.1650
2024-10-30 09:00: 0.1650
2024-10-30 14:00: 0.1550
2024-10-30 19:00: 0.1600
2024-10-31 00:00: 0.1600
2024-10-31 05:00: 0.1650
2024-10-31 10:00: 0.1750
2024-10-31 15:00: 0.1750
2024-10-31 20:00: 0.2050
2024-11-01 01:00: 0.2000
2024-11-01 06:00: 0.2000
2024-11-01 11:00: 0.2000
2024-11-01 16:00: 0.2000
2024-11-01 21:00: 0.2200
2024-11-02 02:00: 0.1950
2024-11-02 07:00: 0.1950
2024-11-02 12:00: 0.2050
2024-11-02 17:00: 0.2050
2024-11-02 22:00: 0.1950
2024-11-03 02:00: 0.2100
2024-11-03 07:00: 0.2100
2024-11-03 12:00: 0.2150
2024-11-03 17:00: 0.2100
2024-11-03 22:00: 0.2100
2024-11-04 03:00: 0.2100
2024-11-04 08:00: 0.2100
2024-11-04 13:00: 0.2050
2024-11-04 18:00: 0.2150
2024-11-04 23:00: 0.2150
2024-11-05 04:00: 0.2300
2024-11-05 09:00: 0.2450
2024-11-05 14:00: 0.2350
2024-11-05 20:00: 0.2200
2024-11-06 01:00: 0.3250
2024-11-06 06:00: 0.1200
2024-11-06 11:00: 0.1100
2024-11-06 16:00: 0.0450
2024-11-06 21:00: 0.0100
2024-11-07 02:00: 0.0100
2024-11-07 07:00: 0.0100
2024-11-07 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-07 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-07 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-08 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-08 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-08 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.4950
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.5050
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.5350
2024-06-22 19:00: 0.6650
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.2900
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.7050
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.2950
2024-06-24 05:00: 0.6950
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.3050
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.6950
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.3050
2024-06-25 15:00: 0.6950
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.3050
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.6950
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.3050
2024-06-27 01:00: 0.6950
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.3050
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.6950
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.3050
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.6950
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.3050
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.6950
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.3050
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.6950
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.3050
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.6950
2024-06-30 23:00: 0.3050
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.6950
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.3050
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.3050
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.6950
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.3050
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.6950
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.3050
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.6950
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.3050
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.6950
2024-07-05 10:00: 0.3050
2024-07-05 18:00: 0.6950
2024-07-06 03:00: 0.3050
2024-07-06 11:00: 0.6950
2024-07-06 20:00: 0.3050
2024-07-07 04:00: 0.6950
2024-07-07 13:00: 0.3050
2024-07-07 21:00: 0.6950
2024-07-08 06:00: 0.3050
2024-07-08 14:00: 0.6950
2024-07-08 23:00: 0.3050
2024-07-09 07:00: 0.6950
2024-07-09 16:00: 0.3050
2024-07-10 00:00: 0.6950
2024-07-10 09:00: 0.3050
2024-07-10 17:00: 0.6950
2024-07-11 02:00: 0.3050
2024-07-11 10:00: 0.6950
2024-07-11 19:00: 0.3050
2024-07-12 03:00: 0.6950
2024-07-12 12:00: 0.3050
2024-07-12 20:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-07-13 10:00: 0.3050
2024-07-13 18:00: 0.6950
2024-07-14 03:00: 0.3050
2024-07-14 11:00: 0.6950
2024-07-14 20:00: 0.3050
2024-07-15 04:00: 0.6950
2024-07-15 13:00: 0.3050
2024-07-15 21:00: 0.6950
2024-07-16 06:00: 0.3050
2024-07-16 14:00: 0.6950
2024-07-16 23:00: 0.3050
2024-07-17 07:00: 0.6950
2024-07-17 16:00: 0.3050
2024-07-18 00:00: 0.6950
2024-07-18 09:00: 0.3050
2024-07-18 17:00: 0.6950
2024-07-19 02:00: 0.3050
2024-07-19 10:00: 0.6950
2024-07-19 19:00: 0.3050
2024-07-20 03:00: 0.6950
2024-07-20 12:00: 0.3050
2024-07-20 20:00: 0.6950
2024-07-21 05:00: 0.3050
2024-07-21 13:00: 0.6950
2024-07-21 23:00: 0.3050
2024-07-22 07:00: 0.6950
2024-07-22 16:00: 0.3050
2024-07-23 00:00: 0.6950
2024-07-23 09:00: 0.3050
2024-07-23 17:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-07-24 07:00: 0.3050
2024-07-24 15:00: 0.6950
2024-07-25 00:00: 0.3050
2024-07-25 08:00: 0.6950
2024-07-25 17:00: 0.3200
2024-07-26 01:00: 0.6800
2024-07-26 10:00: 0.3200
2024-07-26 18:00: 0.6800
2024-07-27 03:00: 0.6500
2024-07-27 11:00: 0.6450
2024-07-27 20:00: 0.3550
2024-07-28 04:00: 0.6450
2024-07-28 13:00: 0.3550
2024-07-28 21:00: 0.6450
2024-07-29 06:00: 0.3550
2024-07-29 14:00: 0.6450
2024-07-29 23:00: 0.3550
2024-07-30 07:00: 0.6500
2024-07-30 16:00: 0.3500
2024-07-31 00:00: 0.6500
2024-07-31 09:00: 0.3500
2024-07-31 17:00: 0.3650
2024-08-01 02:00: 0.5100
2024-08-01 10:00: 0.4900
2024-08-01 19:00: 0.5100
2024-08-02 03:00: 0.4950
2024-08-02 12:00: 0.5050
2024-08-02 20:00: 0.5000
2024-08-03 05:00: 0.5000
2024-08-03 13:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-08-04 03:00: 0.5000
2024-08-04 11:00: 0.5000
2024-08-04 20:00: 0.5000
2024-08-05 04:00: 0.5000
2024-08-05 13:00: 0.5000
2024-08-05 21:00: 0.5000
2024-08-06 06:00: 0.5000
2024-08-06 14:00: 0.5000
2024-08-06 23:00: 0.4300
2024-08-07 07:00: 0.5000
2024-08-07 16:00: 0.5000
2024-08-08 00:00: 0.5000
2024-08-08 09:00: 0.5000
2024-08-08 17:00: 0.5000
2024-08-09 02:00: 0.5000
2024-08-09 10:00: 0.6600
2024-08-09 19:00: 0.3400
2024-08-10 03:00: 0.6600
2024-08-10 12:00: 0.5050
2024-08-10 20:00: 0.4950
2024-08-11 05:00: 0.4750
2024-08-11 13:00: 0.5400
2024-08-11 22:00: 0.4600
2024-08-12 06:00: 0.5350
2024-08-12 15:00: 0.4650
2024-08-12 23:00: 0.5250
2024-08-13 08:00: 0.4750
2024-08-13 16:00: 0.5250
2024-08-14 01:00: 0.5500
2024-08-14 09:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-08-14 23:00: 0.4750
2024-08-15 07:00: 0.3800
2024-08-15 16:00: 0.5600
2024-08-16 00:00: 0.4050
2024-08-16 09:00: 0.5650
2024-08-16 17:00: 0.4500
2024-08-17 02:00: 0.5500
2024-08-17 10:00: 0.4950
2024-08-17 19:00: 0.5100
2024-08-18 03:00: 0.4850
2024-08-18 12:00: 0.5150
2024-08-18 20:00: 0.4850
2024-08-19 05:00: 0.5150
2024-08-19 13:00: 0.4850
2024-08-19 22:00: 0.5150
2024-08-20 06:00: 0.4850
2024-08-20 15:00: 0.5150
2024-08-20 23:00: 0.4850
2024-08-21 08:00: 0.5150
2024-08-21 16:00: 0.4850
2024-08-22 01:00: 0.5150
2024-08-22 09:00: 0.4850
2024-08-22 18:00: 0.5150
2024-08-23 02:00: 0.4850
2024-08-23 11:00: 0.5200
2024-08-23 19:00: 0.4800
2024-08-24 04:00: 0.5200
2024-08-24 12:00: 0.4850
2024-08-24 21:00: 0.5200
2024-08-25 05:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-08-25 19:00: 0.5200
2024-08-26 03:00: 0.5050
2024-08-26 12:00: 0.4600
2024-08-26 20:00: 0.5350
2024-08-27 05:00: 0.4600
2024-08-27 13:00: 0.5400
2024-08-27 22:00: 0.4650
2024-08-28 06:00: 0.5350
2024-08-28 15:00: 0.4700
2024-08-28 23:00: 0.5300
2024-08-29 08:00: 0.4700
2024-08-29 16:00: 0.5350
2024-08-30 01:00: 0.4700
2024-08-30 09:00: 0.5300
2024-08-30 18:00: 0.4700
2024-08-31 02:00: 0.5300
2024-08-31 11:00: 0.4700
2024-08-31 19:00: 0.5300
2024-09-01 04:00: 0.4700
2024-09-01 12:00: 0.5300
2024-09-01 21:00: 0.4750
2024-09-02 05:00: 0.5250
2024-09-02 14:00: 0.4750
2024-09-02 22:00: 0.5300
2024-09-03 07:00: 0.4700
2024-09-03 15:00: 0.5300
2024-09-04 00:00: 0.4700
2024-09-04 08:00: 0.5300
2024-09-04 17:00: 0.4600
2024-09-05 01:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-09-05 15:00: 0.4600
2024-09-05 23:00: 0.5400
2024-09-06 08:00: 0.4600
2024-09-06 16:00: 0.5400
2024-09-07 01:00: 0.4600
2024-09-07 09:00: 0.5400
2024-09-07 18:00: 0.4600
2024-09-08 02:00: 0.5400
2024-09-08 11:00: 0.4600
2024-09-08 19:00: 0.5400
2024-09-09 04:00: 0.4700
2024-09-09 12:00: 0.5300
2024-09-09 21:00: 0.4700
2024-09-10 05:00: 0.5300
2024-09-10 14:00: 0.4700
2024-09-10 22:00: 0.5300
2024-09-11 07:00: 0.4700
2024-09-11 15:00: 0.5300
2024-09-12 00:00: 0.4700
2024-09-12 08:00: 0.5400
2024-09-12 17:00: 0.4600
2024-09-13 01:00: 0.5400
2024-09-13 10:00: 0.4600
2024-09-13 18:00: 0.5400
2024-09-14 03:00: 0.4600
2024-09-14 11:00: 0.5400
2024-09-14 20:00: 0.4600
2024-09-15 04:00: 0.5400
2024-09-15 13:00: 0.4600
2024-09-15 21:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-09-16 11:00: 0.4600
2024-09-16 19:00: 0.5400
2024-09-17 04:00: 0.4600
2024-09-17 12:00: 0.5400
2024-09-17 21:00: 0.4600
2024-09-18 05:00: 0.5400
2024-09-18 14:00: 0.4600
2024-09-18 22:00: 0.5400
2024-09-19 07:00: 0.4600
2024-09-19 15:00: 0.5400
2024-09-20 00:00: 0.4600
2024-09-20 08:00: 0.5500
2024-09-20 17:00: 0.4200
2024-09-21 01:00: 0.5800
2024-09-21 10:00: 0.4200
2024-09-21 18:00: 0.5800
2024-09-22 03:00: 0.4200
2024-09-22 11:00: 0.5750
2024-09-22 20:00: 0.4250
2024-09-23 04:00: 0.5750
2024-09-23 13:00: 0.4150
2024-09-23 21:00: 0.5900
2024-09-24 06:00: 0.4100
2024-09-24 14:00: 0.5900
2024-09-24 23:00: 0.4100
2024-09-25 07:00: 0.5850
2024-09-25 16:00: 0.4100
2024-09-26 00:00: 0.5900
2024-09-26 09:00: 0.4100
2024-09-26 17:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-09-27 07:00: 0.3400
2024-09-27 15:00: 0.6250
2024-09-28 00:00: 0.3550
2024-09-28 08:00: 0.6700
2024-09-28 17:00: 0.3650
2024-09-29 01:00: 0.6350
2024-09-29 10:00: 0.3650
2024-09-29 18:00: 0.6350
2024-09-30 03:00: 0.3500
2024-09-30 11:00: 0.6300
2024-09-30 20:00: 0.3550
2024-10-01 04:00: 0.6450
2024-10-01 13:00: 0.3500
2024-10-01 21:00: 0.6500
2024-10-02 06:00: 0.3300
2024-10-02 13:00: 0.6700
2024-10-02 22:00: 0.3600
2024-10-03 06:00: 0.6350
2024-10-03 15:00: 0.3700
2024-10-03 23:00: 0.6250
2024-10-04 08:00: 0.3700
2024-10-04 16:00: 0.6350
2024-10-05 01:00: 0.3650
2024-10-05 09:00: 0.6350
2024-10-05 18:00: 0.3650
2024-10-06 02:00: 0.6400
2024-10-06 11:00: 0.3600
2024-10-06 19:00: 0.6400
2024-10-07 04:00: 0.3600
2024-10-07 12:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-10-08 02:00: 0.3600
2024-10-08 10:00: 0.6400
2024-10-08 19:00: 0.3700
2024-10-09 03:00: 0.6000
2024-10-09 12:00: 0.3650
2024-10-09 20:00: 0.6400
2024-10-10 05:00: 0.3800
2024-10-10 13:00: 0.6200
2024-10-10 22:00: 0.3600
2024-10-11 06:00: 0.6150
2024-10-11 15:00: 0.3800
2024-10-11 23:00: 0.6250
2024-10-12 08:00: 0.3750
2024-10-12 16:00: 0.6300
2024-10-13 01:00: 0.3650
2024-10-13 09:00: 0.6250
2024-10-13 18:00: 0.3800
2024-10-14 02:00: 0.6300
2024-10-14 11:00: 0.3650
2024-10-14 19:00: 0.6200
2024-10-15 04:00: 0.3650
2024-10-15 12:00: 0.6400
2024-10-15 21:00: 0.3650
2024-10-16 05:00: 0.6300
2024-10-16 14:00: 0.3550
2024-10-16 22:00: 0.6450
2024-10-17 07:00: 0.3550
2024-10-17 15:00: 0.6450
2024-10-18 00:00: 0.3550
2024-10-18 08:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-10-18 22:00: 0.3550
2024-10-19 06:00: 0.6500
2024-10-19 15:00: 0.3500
2024-10-19 23:00: 0.6500
2024-10-20 08:00: 0.3050
2024-10-20 16:00: 0.6950
2024-10-21 01:00: 0.3050
2024-10-21 09:00: 0.6950
2024-10-21 18:00: 0.1400
2024-10-22 02:00: 0.8600
2024-10-22 11:00: 0.1350
2024-10-22 19:00: 0.8650
2024-10-23 04:00: 0.1350
2024-10-23 12:00: 0.8650
2024-10-23 21:00: 0.1400
2024-10-24 05:00: 0.8600
2024-10-24 14:00: 0.1400
2024-10-24 22:00: 0.7950
2024-10-25 07:00: 0.2200
2024-10-25 15:00: 0.8100
2024-10-26 00:00: 0.3000
2024-10-26 08:00: 0.7000
2024-10-26 17:00: 0.2350
2024-10-27 01:00: 0.7200
2024-10-27 10:00: 0.1850
2024-10-27 18:00: 0.8100
2024-10-28 03:00: 0.1700
2024-10-28 11:00: 0.8400
2024-10-28 20:00: 0.1850
2024-10-29 04:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502737
Question: Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 68666.829873
Price History:
2024-10-29 18:00: 0.1650
2024-10-30 02:00: 0.8350
2024-10-30 11:00: 0.1650
2024-10-30 19:00: 0.8400
2024-10-31 04:00: 0.1650
2024-10-31 12:00: 0.8250
2024-10-31 21:00: 0.1950
2024-11-01 05:00: 0.8000
2024-11-01 14:00: 0.2000
2024-11-01 22:00: 0.8000
2024-11-02 07:00: 0.1950
2024-11-02 15:00: 0.7950
2024-11-03 00:00: 0.2050
2024-11-03 07:00: 0.7900
2024-11-03 16:00: 0.2100
2024-11-04 00:00: 0.7900
2024-11-04 09:00: 0.2100
2024-11-04 17:00: 0.7850
2024-11-05 02:00: 0.2300
2024-11-05 10:00: 0.7550
2024-11-05 20:00: 0.2200
2024-11-06 04:00: 0.6800
2024-11-06 13:00: 0.0450
2024-11-06 21:00: 0.9900
2024-11-07 06:00: 0.0100
2024-11-07 14:00: 0.9985
2024-11-07 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-08 07:00: 0.9995
2024-11-08 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.4950
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.4950
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.4900
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.4950
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.4900
2024-06-22 19:00: 0.4800
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.4500
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.4750
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.4800
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.4800
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.4750
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.4750
2024-06-24 06:00: 0.4750
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.4750
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.4750
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.4750
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.4750
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.4750
2024-06-25 12:00: 0.4750
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.4750
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.4750
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.4750
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.4750
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.4750
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.4750
2024-06-26 23:00: 0.4750
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.4750
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.4750
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.4750
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.4750
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.4750
2024-06-28 05:00: 0.4750
2024-06-28 10:00: 0.4750
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.4750
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.4750
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.4750
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.4750
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.4750
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.4750
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.4750
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.4750
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.4750
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.4750
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.4750
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.4750
2024-07-01 03:00: 0.4750
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.4750
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.4750
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.4750
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.4750
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.4750
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.4750
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.4750
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.4750
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.4750
2024-07-03 20:00: 0.4750
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.4750
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.4750
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.4750
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.4750
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.4750
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.4750
2024-07-05 07:00: 0.4750
2024-07-05 12:00: 0.4750
2024-07-05 17:00: 0.4750
2024-07-05 22:00: 0.4750
2024-07-06 03:00: 0.4750
2024-07-06 08:00: 0.4750
2024-07-06 13:00: 0.4750
2024-07-06 18:00: 0.4750
2024-07-06 23:00: 0.4750
2024-07-07 04:00: 0.4750
2024-07-07 09:00: 0.4750
2024-07-07 14:00: 0.4750
2024-07-07 19:00: 0.4750
2024-07-08 00:00: 0.4750
2024-07-08 05:00: 0.4750
2024-07-08 10:00: 0.4750
2024-07-08 15:00: 0.4750
2024-07-08 20:00: 0.4750
2024-07-09 01:00: 0.4750
2024-07-09 06:00: 0.4750
2024-07-09 11:00: 0.4750
2024-07-09 16:00: 0.4750
2024-07-09 21:00: 0.4750
2024-07-10 02:00: 0.4750
2024-07-10 07:00: 0.4750
2024-07-10 12:00: 0.4750
2024-07-10 17:00: 0.4750
2024-07-10 22:00: 0.4750
2024-07-11 03:00: 0.4750
2024-07-11 08:00: 0.4750
2024-07-11 13:00: 0.4750
2024-07-11 18:00: 0.4750
2024-07-11 23:00: 0.4750
2024-07-12 04:00: 0.4750
2024-07-12 09:00: 0.4750
2024-07-12 14:00: 0.4750
2024-07-12 19:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-07-13 10:00: 0.4750
2024-07-13 15:00: 0.4750
2024-07-13 20:00: 0.4750
2024-07-14 01:00: 0.4750
2024-07-14 06:00: 0.4750
2024-07-14 11:00: 0.4750
2024-07-14 16:00: 0.4750
2024-07-14 21:00: 0.4750
2024-07-15 02:00: 0.4750
2024-07-15 07:00: 0.4750
2024-07-15 12:00: 0.4750
2024-07-15 17:00: 0.4750
2024-07-15 22:00: 0.4750
2024-07-16 03:00: 0.4750
2024-07-16 08:00: 0.4750
2024-07-16 13:00: 0.4750
2024-07-16 18:00: 0.4750
2024-07-16 23:00: 0.4750
2024-07-17 04:00: 0.4900
2024-07-17 09:00: 0.4900
2024-07-17 14:00: 0.4900
2024-07-17 19:00: 0.4900
2024-07-18 00:00: 0.4900
2024-07-18 05:00: 0.4900
2024-07-18 10:00: 0.4900
2024-07-18 15:00: 0.4900
2024-07-18 20:00: 0.4900
2024-07-19 01:00: 0.4900
2024-07-19 06:00: 0.4900
2024-07-19 11:00: 0.4900
2024-07-19 16:00: 0.4900
2024-07-19 21:00: 0.4900
2024-07-20 02:00: 0.4900
2024-07-20 07:00: 0.4900
2024-07-20 12:00: 0.4850
2024-07-20 17:00: 0.4850
2024-07-20 22:00: 0.4850
2024-07-21 03:00: 0.4850
2024-07-21 08:00: 0.4850
2024-07-21 13:00: 0.4850
2024-07-21 19:00: 0.4800
2024-07-22 00:00: 0.4800
2024-07-22 05:00: 0.4800
2024-07-22 10:00: 0.4800
2024-07-22 15:00: 0.4800
2024-07-22 20:00: 0.4800
2024-07-23 01:00: 0.4800
2024-07-23 06:00: 0.4800
2024-07-23 11:00: 0.4800
2024-07-23 16:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-07-24 07:00: 0.4800
2024-07-24 12:00: 0.4800
2024-07-24 17:00: 0.4800
2024-07-24 22:00: 0.4800
2024-07-25 03:00: 0.4800
2024-07-25 08:00: 0.4800
2024-07-25 13:00: 0.4800
2024-07-25 18:00: 0.4800
2024-07-25 23:00: 0.4800
2024-07-26 04:00: 0.4800
2024-07-26 09:00: 0.4800
2024-07-26 14:00: 0.4800
2024-07-26 19:00: 0.4800
2024-07-27 00:00: 0.4800
2024-07-27 05:00: 0.4800
2024-07-27 10:00: 0.4800
2024-07-27 15:00: 0.4800
2024-07-27 20:00: 0.4800
2024-07-28 01:00: 0.4800
2024-07-28 06:00: 0.4800
2024-07-28 11:00: 0.4800
2024-07-28 16:00: 0.4800
2024-07-28 21:00: 0.4800
2024-07-29 02:00: 0.4800
2024-07-29 07:00: 0.4800
2024-07-29 12:00: 0.4800
2024-07-29 17:00: 0.4800
2024-07-29 22:00: 0.4800
2024-07-30 03:00: 0.4800
2024-07-30 08:00: 0.4800
2024-07-30 13:00: 0.4800
2024-07-30 18:00: 0.4800
2024-07-30 23:00: 0.4800
2024-07-31 04:00: 0.4800
2024-07-31 09:00: 0.4800
2024-07-31 14:00: 0.4800
2024-07-31 19:00: 0.4800
2024-08-01 00:00: 0.4800
2024-08-01 05:00: 0.4800
2024-08-01 10:00: 0.4800
2024-08-01 15:00: 0.4800
2024-08-01 20:00: 0.4800
2024-08-02 01:00: 0.4800
2024-08-02 06:00: 0.4800
2024-08-02 11:00: 0.4800
2024-08-02 16:00: 0.4800
2024-08-02 21:00: 0.4800
2024-08-03 02:00: 0.4800
2024-08-03 07:00: 0.4800
2024-08-03 12:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-08-04 03:00: 0.4800
2024-08-04 08:00: 0.4800
2024-08-04 13:00: 0.4800
2024-08-04 18:00: 0.4800
2024-08-04 23:00: 0.4800
2024-08-05 04:00: 0.4800
2024-08-05 09:00: 0.4800
2024-08-05 14:00: 0.4800
2024-08-05 19:00: 0.4800
2024-08-06 00:00: 0.4800
2024-08-06 05:00: 0.4800
2024-08-06 10:00: 0.4800
2024-08-06 15:00: 0.4800
2024-08-06 20:00: 0.4800
2024-08-07 01:00: 0.4800
2024-08-07 06:00: 0.4800
2024-08-07 11:00: 0.4800
2024-08-07 16:00: 0.4800
2024-08-07 21:00: 0.4800
2024-08-08 02:00: 0.4800
2024-08-08 07:00: 0.4800
2024-08-08 12:00: 0.4800
2024-08-08 17:00: 0.4800
2024-08-08 22:00: 0.4800
2024-08-09 03:00: 0.4800
2024-08-09 08:00: 0.4800
2024-08-09 13:00: 0.4800
2024-08-09 18:00: 0.4800
2024-08-09 23:00: 0.4750
2024-08-10 04:00: 0.4750
2024-08-10 09:00: 0.4750
2024-08-10 14:00: 0.4750
2024-08-10 19:00: 0.4750
2024-08-11 00:00: 0.4750
2024-08-11 05:00: 0.4300
2024-08-11 10:00: 0.4250
2024-08-11 15:00: 0.4200
2024-08-11 20:00: 0.4200
2024-08-12 01:00: 0.4300
2024-08-12 06:00: 0.4300
2024-08-12 11:00: 0.4250
2024-08-12 16:00: 0.4300
2024-08-12 21:00: 0.4300
2024-08-13 02:00: 0.4300
2024-08-13 07:00: 0.4300
2024-08-13 12:00: 0.4300
2024-08-13 17:00: 0.4300
2024-08-13 22:00: 0.4300
2024-08-14 03:00: 0.4300
2024-08-14 08:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-08-14 23:00: 0.2550
2024-08-15 04:00: 0.2950
2024-08-15 09:00: 0.3150
2024-08-15 14:00: 0.3550
2024-08-15 19:00: 0.3700
2024-08-16 00:00: 0.3700
2024-08-16 05:00: 0.3650
2024-08-16 10:00: 0.3600
2024-08-16 15:00: 0.3550
2024-08-16 20:00: 0.3550
2024-08-17 01:00: 0.3550
2024-08-17 06:00: 0.3750
2024-08-17 11:00: 0.3800
2024-08-17 16:00: 0.3800
2024-08-17 21:00: 0.3800
2024-08-18 02:00: 0.3800
2024-08-18 07:00: 0.3800
2024-08-18 12:00: 0.3800
2024-08-18 17:00: 0.3800
2024-08-18 22:00: 0.3800
2024-08-19 03:00: 0.3800
2024-08-19 08:00: 0.3800
2024-08-19 13:00: 0.3800
2024-08-19 18:00: 0.3800
2024-08-19 23:00: 0.3850
2024-08-20 04:00: 0.3850
2024-08-20 09:00: 0.3850
2024-08-20 14:00: 0.3850
2024-08-20 19:00: 0.3850
2024-08-21 00:00: 0.3850
2024-08-21 05:00: 0.3850
2024-08-21 10:00: 0.3850
2024-08-21 15:00: 0.3850
2024-08-21 20:00: 0.3850
2024-08-22 01:00: 0.3850
2024-08-22 06:00: 0.3850
2024-08-22 11:00: 0.3850
2024-08-22 16:00: 0.3850
2024-08-22 21:00: 0.3850
2024-08-23 02:00: 0.3850
2024-08-23 07:00: 0.3850
2024-08-23 12:00: 0.3850
2024-08-23 17:00: 0.3850
2024-08-23 22:00: 0.3850
2024-08-24 03:00: 0.3850
2024-08-24 08:00: 0.3850
2024-08-24 13:00: 0.3800
2024-08-24 18:00: 0.3800
2024-08-24 23:00: 0.3800
2024-08-25 04:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-08-25 19:00: 0.3900
2024-08-26 00:00: 0.4300
2024-08-26 05:00: 0.4200
2024-08-26 10:00: 0.4300
2024-08-26 15:00: 0.4400
2024-08-26 20:00: 0.4450
2024-08-27 01:00: 0.4450
2024-08-27 06:00: 0.4450
2024-08-27 11:00: 0.4450
2024-08-27 16:00: 0.4400
2024-08-27 21:00: 0.4350
2024-08-28 02:00: 0.4350
2024-08-28 07:00: 0.4350
2024-08-28 12:00: 0.4150
2024-08-28 17:00: 0.4150
2024-08-28 22:00: 0.4150
2024-08-29 03:00: 0.4100
2024-08-29 08:00: 0.4050
2024-08-29 13:00: 0.4000
2024-08-29 18:00: 0.4000
2024-08-29 23:00: 0.4000
2024-08-30 04:00: 0.4000
2024-08-30 09:00: 0.4000
2024-08-30 14:00: 0.4000
2024-08-30 19:00: 0.4000
2024-08-31 00:00: 0.4000
2024-08-31 05:00: 0.4000
2024-08-31 10:00: 0.4000
2024-08-31 15:00: 0.4000
2024-08-31 20:00: 0.4000
2024-09-01 01:00: 0.4000
2024-09-01 06:00: 0.4000
2024-09-01 11:00: 0.4000
2024-09-01 16:00: 0.4000
2024-09-01 21:00: 0.4000
2024-09-02 02:00: 0.4000
2024-09-02 07:00: 0.4000
2024-09-02 12:00: 0.4000
2024-09-02 17:00: 0.4000
2024-09-02 22:00: 0.4000
2024-09-03 03:00: 0.4000
2024-09-03 08:00: 0.4050
2024-09-03 13:00: 0.4050
2024-09-03 18:00: 0.4050
2024-09-03 23:00: 0.4050
2024-09-04 04:00: 0.4050
2024-09-04 09:00: 0.4050
2024-09-04 14:00: 0.4050
2024-09-04 19:00: 0.4100
2024-09-05 00:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-09-05 15:00: 0.4100
2024-09-05 20:00: 0.4100
2024-09-06 01:00: 0.4100
2024-09-06 06:00: 0.4100
2024-09-06 11:00: 0.4100
2024-09-06 16:00: 0.4100
2024-09-06 21:00: 0.4100
2024-09-07 02:00: 0.4100
2024-09-07 07:00: 0.4100
2024-09-07 12:00: 0.4100
2024-09-07 17:00: 0.4100
2024-09-07 22:00: 0.4100
2024-09-08 03:00: 0.4050
2024-09-08 08:00: 0.4100
2024-09-08 13:00: 0.4050
2024-09-08 18:00: 0.4050
2024-09-08 23:00: 0.4050
2024-09-09 04:00: 0.4050
2024-09-09 09:00: 0.4050
2024-09-09 14:00: 0.4050
2024-09-09 19:00: 0.4050
2024-09-10 00:00: 0.4050
2024-09-10 05:00: 0.4050
2024-09-10 10:00: 0.4050
2024-09-10 15:00: 0.4050
2024-09-10 20:00: 0.4150
2024-09-11 01:00: 0.4200
2024-09-11 06:00: 0.4600
2024-09-11 11:00: 0.4400
2024-09-11 16:00: 0.4550
2024-09-11 21:00: 0.4600
2024-09-12 02:00: 0.4650
2024-09-12 07:00: 0.4650
2024-09-12 12:00: 0.4550
2024-09-12 17:00: 0.4450
2024-09-12 22:00: 0.4400
2024-09-13 03:00: 0.4400
2024-09-13 08:00: 0.4400
2024-09-13 13:00: 0.4400
2024-09-13 18:00: 0.4400
2024-09-13 23:00: 0.4450
2024-09-14 04:00: 0.4450
2024-09-14 09:00: 0.4450
2024-09-14 14:00: 0.4450
2024-09-14 19:00: 0.4450
2024-09-15 00:00: 0.4450
2024-09-15 05:00: 0.4450
2024-09-15 10:00: 0.4450
2024-09-15 15:00: 0.4450
2024-09-15 20:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-09-16 11:00: 0.4450
2024-09-16 16:00: 0.4450
2024-09-16 21:00: 0.4450
2024-09-17 02:00: 0.4450
2024-09-17 07:00: 0.4150
2024-09-17 12:00: 0.4050
2024-09-17 17:00: 0.4050
2024-09-17 22:00: 0.4150
2024-09-18 03:00: 0.4150
2024-09-18 08:00: 0.4150
2024-09-18 13:00: 0.4150
2024-09-18 18:00: 0.4100
2024-09-18 23:00: 0.4100
2024-09-19 04:00: 0.4000
2024-09-19 09:00: 0.4000
2024-09-19 14:00: 0.3900
2024-09-19 19:00: 0.3900
2024-09-20 00:00: 0.3850
2024-09-20 05:00: 0.4200
2024-09-20 10:00: 0.4250
2024-09-20 15:00: 0.4200
2024-09-20 20:00: 0.4200
2024-09-21 01:00: 0.4200
2024-09-21 06:00: 0.4200
2024-09-21 11:00: 0.4200
2024-09-21 16:00: 0.4200
2024-09-21 21:00: 0.4200
2024-09-22 02:00: 0.4200
2024-09-22 07:00: 0.4150
2024-09-22 12:00: 0.4250
2024-09-22 17:00: 0.4150
2024-09-22 22:00: 0.4250
2024-09-23 03:00: 0.4250
2024-09-23 08:00: 0.4250
2024-09-23 13:00: 0.4250
2024-09-23 18:00: 0.4250
2024-09-23 23:00: 0.4250
2024-09-24 04:00: 0.4150
2024-09-24 09:00: 0.4150
2024-09-24 14:00: 0.4150
2024-09-24 19:00: 0.4150
2024-09-25 00:00: 0.4150
2024-09-25 05:00: 0.4150
2024-09-25 10:00: 0.4150
2024-09-25 15:00: 0.4150
2024-09-25 20:00: 0.4150
2024-09-26 01:00: 0.4150
2024-09-26 06:00: 0.4150
2024-09-26 11:00: 0.4150
2024-09-26 16:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-09-27 07:00: 0.4150
2024-09-27 12:00: 0.4150
2024-09-27 17:00: 0.4150
2024-09-27 22:00: 0.4150
2024-09-28 03:00: 0.4150
2024-09-28 08:00: 0.4100
2024-09-28 13:00: 0.4250
2024-09-28 18:00: 0.4250
2024-09-28 23:00: 0.4250
2024-09-29 04:00: 0.4200
2024-09-29 09:00: 0.4200
2024-09-29 14:00: 0.4250
2024-09-29 19:00: 0.4250
2024-09-30 00:00: 0.4250
2024-09-30 05:00: 0.4250
2024-09-30 10:00: 0.4200
2024-09-30 15:00: 0.4200
2024-09-30 20:00: 0.4250
2024-10-01 01:00: 0.4250
2024-10-01 06:00: 0.4250
2024-10-01 11:00: 0.4200
2024-10-01 16:00: 0.4200
2024-10-01 21:00: 0.4200
2024-10-02 02:00: 0.4250
2024-10-02 07:00: 0.4250
2024-10-02 11:00: 0.4250
2024-10-02 16:00: 0.4250
2024-10-02 21:00: 0.4250
2024-10-03 02:00: 0.4200
2024-10-03 07:00: 0.4200
2024-10-03 12:00: 0.4200
2024-10-03 17:00: 0.4250
2024-10-03 22:00: 0.4250
2024-10-04 03:00: 0.4550
2024-10-04 08:00: 0.4600
2024-10-04 13:00: 0.4450
2024-10-04 18:00: 0.4450
2024-10-04 23:00: 0.4550
2024-10-05 04:00: 0.4550
2024-10-05 09:00: 0.4550
2024-10-05 14:00: 0.4550
2024-10-05 19:00: 0.4550
2024-10-06 00:00: 0.4650
2024-10-06 05:00: 0.4650
2024-10-06 10:00: 0.4450
2024-10-06 15:00: 0.4650
2024-10-06 20:00: 0.4450
2024-10-07 01:00: 0.4650
2024-10-07 06:00: 0.4650
2024-10-07 11:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-10-08 02:00: 0.4500
2024-10-08 07:00: 0.4550
2024-10-08 12:00: 0.4500
2024-10-08 17:00: 0.4500
2024-10-08 22:00: 0.4500
2024-10-09 03:00: 0.4500
2024-10-09 08:00: 0.4500
2024-10-09 13:00: 0.4550
2024-10-09 18:00: 0.4600
2024-10-09 23:00: 0.4600
2024-10-10 04:00: 0.4600
2024-10-10 09:00: 0.4500
2024-10-10 14:00: 0.4500
2024-10-10 19:00: 0.4500
2024-10-11 00:00: 0.4500
2024-10-11 05:00: 0.4550
2024-10-11 10:00: 0.4500
2024-10-11 15:00: 0.4500
2024-10-11 20:00: 0.4500
2024-10-12 01:00: 0.4500
2024-10-12 06:00: 0.4500
2024-10-12 11:00: 0.4500
2024-10-12 16:00: 0.4800
2024-10-12 21:00: 0.4850
2024-10-13 02:00: 0.4750
2024-10-13 07:00: 0.4700
2024-10-13 12:00: 0.4750
2024-10-13 17:00: 0.4750
2024-10-13 22:00: 0.4850
2024-10-14 03:00: 0.4850
2024-10-14 08:00: 0.4900
2024-10-14 13:00: 0.4750
2024-10-14 18:00: 0.4700
2024-10-14 23:00: 0.4750
2024-10-15 04:00: 0.4750
2024-10-15 09:00: 0.4700
2024-10-15 14:00: 0.4800
2024-10-15 19:00: 0.4800
2024-10-16 00:00: 0.4800
2024-10-16 05:00: 0.4750
2024-10-16 10:00: 0.4900
2024-10-16 15:00: 0.4850
2024-10-16 20:00: 0.4900
2024-10-17 01:00: 0.4900
2024-10-17 06:00: 0.4900
2024-10-17 11:00: 0.4900
2024-10-17 16:00: 0.5000
2024-10-17 21:00: 0.5050
2024-10-18 02:00: 0.4650
2024-10-18 07:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-10-18 22:00: 0.2850
2024-10-19 03:00: 0.2650
2024-10-19 08:00: 0.2600
2024-10-19 13:00: 0.2750
2024-10-19 18:00: 0.2700
2024-10-19 23:00: 0.2800
2024-10-20 04:00: 0.2900
2024-10-20 09:00: 0.2900
2024-10-20 14:00: 0.3100
2024-10-20 19:00: 0.3350
2024-10-21 00:00: 0.3450
2024-10-21 05:00: 0.3450
2024-10-21 10:00: 0.3450
2024-10-21 15:00: 0.2850
2024-10-21 20:00: 0.3000
2024-10-22 01:00: 0.3050
2024-10-22 06:00: 0.1950
2024-10-22 11:00: 0.2000
2024-10-22 16:00: 0.2150
2024-10-22 21:00: 0.2150
2024-10-23 02:00: 0.2150
2024-10-23 07:00: 0.2150
2024-10-23 12:00: 0.2150
2024-10-23 17:00: 0.2150
2024-10-23 22:00: 0.2150
2024-10-24 03:00: 0.2150
2024-10-24 08:00: 0.2150
2024-10-24 13:00: 0.2500
2024-10-24 18:00: 0.2200
2024-10-24 23:00: 0.1650
2024-10-25 04:00: 0.2100
2024-10-25 09:00: 0.2250
2024-10-25 14:00: 0.2250
2024-10-25 19:00: 0.2400
2024-10-26 00:00: 0.2450
2024-10-26 05:00: 0.2350
2024-10-26 10:00: 0.2250
2024-10-26 15:00: 0.2300
2024-10-26 20:00: 0.2250
2024-10-27 01:00: 0.2200
2024-10-27 06:00: 0.1700
2024-10-27 11:00: 0.1650
2024-10-27 16:00: 0.1450
2024-10-27 21:00: 0.1450
2024-10-28 02:00: 0.1450
2024-10-28 07:00: 0.1450
2024-10-28 12:00: 0.1450
2024-10-28 17:00: 0.1400
2024-10-28 22:00: 0.1400
2024-10-29 03:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-10-29 18:00: 0.1350
2024-10-29 23:00: 0.1400
2024-10-30 04:00: 0.1350
2024-10-30 09:00: 0.1400
2024-10-30 14:00: 0.1350
2024-10-30 19:00: 0.1350
2024-10-31 00:00: 0.0900
2024-10-31 05:00: 0.0900
2024-10-31 10:00: 0.1350
2024-10-31 15:00: 0.1350
2024-10-31 20:00: 0.1350
2024-11-01 01:00: 0.1350
2024-11-01 06:00: 0.1350
2024-11-01 11:00: 0.1350
2024-11-01 16:00: 0.1450
2024-11-01 21:00: 0.4550
2024-11-02 02:00: 0.4600
2024-11-02 07:00: 0.4400
2024-11-02 12:00: 0.2500
2024-11-02 17:00: 0.2500
2024-11-02 22:00: 0.2600
2024-11-03 02:00: 0.1800
2024-11-03 07:00: 0.1750
2024-11-03 12:00: 0.1950
2024-11-03 17:00: 0.1950
2024-11-03 22:00: 0.2050
2024-11-04 03:00: 0.2050
2024-11-04 08:00: 0.1800
2024-11-04 13:00: 0.3750
2024-11-04 18:00: 0.2100
2024-11-04 23:00: 0.2100
2024-11-05 04:00: 0.1500
2024-11-05 09:00: 0.1850
2024-11-05 14:00: 0.4400
2024-11-05 20:00: 0.0550
2024-11-06 01:00: 0.4750
2024-11-06 06:00: 0.0150
2024-11-06 11:00: 0.0095
2024-11-06 16:00: 0.0100
2024-11-06 21:00: 0.0045
2024-11-07 02:00: 0.0045
2024-11-07 07:00: 0.0045
2024-11-07 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-07 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-07 22:00: 0.0035
2024-11-08 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-08 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-08 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.4950
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.5100
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.4900
2024-06-22 19:00: 0.5200
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.4750
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.5200
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.4750
2024-06-24 05:00: 0.5250
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.4750
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.5250
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.4750
2024-06-25 15:00: 0.5250
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.4750
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.5250
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.4750
2024-06-27 01:00: 0.5250
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.4750
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.5250
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.4750
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.5250
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.4750
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.5250
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.4750
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.5250
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.4750
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.5250
2024-06-30 23:00: 0.4750
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.5250
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.4750
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.4750
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.5250
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.4750
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.5250
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.4750
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.5250
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.4750
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.5250
2024-07-05 10:00: 0.4750
2024-07-05 18:00: 0.5250
2024-07-06 03:00: 0.4750
2024-07-06 11:00: 0.5250
2024-07-06 20:00: 0.4750
2024-07-07 04:00: 0.5250
2024-07-07 13:00: 0.4750
2024-07-07 21:00: 0.5250
2024-07-08 06:00: 0.4750
2024-07-08 14:00: 0.5250
2024-07-08 23:00: 0.4750
2024-07-09 07:00: 0.5250
2024-07-09 16:00: 0.4750
2024-07-10 00:00: 0.5250
2024-07-10 09:00: 0.4750
2024-07-10 17:00: 0.5250
2024-07-11 02:00: 0.4750
2024-07-11 10:00: 0.5250
2024-07-11 19:00: 0.4750
2024-07-12 03:00: 0.5250
2024-07-12 12:00: 0.4750
2024-07-12 20:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-07-13 10:00: 0.4750
2024-07-13 18:00: 0.5250
2024-07-14 03:00: 0.4750
2024-07-14 11:00: 0.5250
2024-07-14 20:00: 0.4750
2024-07-15 04:00: 0.5250
2024-07-15 13:00: 0.4750
2024-07-15 21:00: 0.5250
2024-07-16 06:00: 0.4750
2024-07-16 14:00: 0.5250
2024-07-16 23:00: 0.4750
2024-07-17 07:00: 0.5100
2024-07-17 16:00: 0.4900
2024-07-18 00:00: 0.5100
2024-07-18 09:00: 0.4900
2024-07-18 17:00: 0.5100
2024-07-19 02:00: 0.4900
2024-07-19 10:00: 0.5100
2024-07-19 19:00: 0.4900
2024-07-20 03:00: 0.5100
2024-07-20 12:00: 0.4850
2024-07-20 20:00: 0.5150
2024-07-21 05:00: 0.4850
2024-07-21 13:00: 0.5150
2024-07-21 23:00: 0.4800
2024-07-22 07:00: 0.5200
2024-07-22 16:00: 0.4800
2024-07-23 00:00: 0.5200
2024-07-23 09:00: 0.4800
2024-07-23 17:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-07-24 07:00: 0.4800
2024-07-24 15:00: 0.5200
2024-07-25 00:00: 0.4800
2024-07-25 08:00: 0.5200
2024-07-25 17:00: 0.4800
2024-07-26 01:00: 0.5200
2024-07-26 10:00: 0.4800
2024-07-26 18:00: 0.5200
2024-07-27 03:00: 0.4800
2024-07-27 11:00: 0.5200
2024-07-27 20:00: 0.4800
2024-07-28 04:00: 0.5200
2024-07-28 13:00: 0.4800
2024-07-28 21:00: 0.5200
2024-07-29 06:00: 0.4800
2024-07-29 14:00: 0.5200
2024-07-29 23:00: 0.4800
2024-07-30 07:00: 0.5200
2024-07-30 16:00: 0.4800
2024-07-31 00:00: 0.5200
2024-07-31 09:00: 0.4800
2024-07-31 17:00: 0.5200
2024-08-01 02:00: 0.4800
2024-08-01 10:00: 0.5200
2024-08-01 19:00: 0.4800
2024-08-02 03:00: 0.5200
2024-08-02 12:00: 0.4800
2024-08-02 20:00: 0.5200
2024-08-03 05:00: 0.4800
2024-08-03 13:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-08-04 03:00: 0.4800
2024-08-04 11:00: 0.5200
2024-08-04 20:00: 0.4800
2024-08-05 04:00: 0.5200
2024-08-05 13:00: 0.4800
2024-08-05 21:00: 0.5200
2024-08-06 06:00: 0.4800
2024-08-06 14:00: 0.5200
2024-08-06 23:00: 0.4800
2024-08-07 07:00: 0.5200
2024-08-07 16:00: 0.4800
2024-08-08 00:00: 0.5200
2024-08-08 09:00: 0.4800
2024-08-08 17:00: 0.5200
2024-08-09 02:00: 0.4800
2024-08-09 10:00: 0.5200
2024-08-09 19:00: 0.4800
2024-08-10 03:00: 0.5250
2024-08-10 12:00: 0.4750
2024-08-10 20:00: 0.5250
2024-08-11 05:00: 0.4300
2024-08-11 13:00: 0.5700
2024-08-11 22:00: 0.4300
2024-08-12 06:00: 0.5700
2024-08-12 15:00: 0.4300
2024-08-12 23:00: 0.5750
2024-08-13 08:00: 0.4300
2024-08-13 16:00: 0.5700
2024-08-14 01:00: 0.4300
2024-08-14 09:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-08-14 23:00: 0.2550
2024-08-15 07:00: 0.7000
2024-08-15 16:00: 0.3700
2024-08-16 00:00: 0.6300
2024-08-16 09:00: 0.3550
2024-08-16 17:00: 0.6450
2024-08-17 02:00: 0.3550
2024-08-17 10:00: 0.6200
2024-08-17 19:00: 0.3800
2024-08-18 03:00: 0.6200
2024-08-18 12:00: 0.3800
2024-08-18 20:00: 0.6200
2024-08-19 05:00: 0.3800
2024-08-19 13:00: 0.6200
2024-08-19 22:00: 0.3850
2024-08-20 06:00: 0.6150
2024-08-20 15:00: 0.3850
2024-08-20 23:00: 0.6150
2024-08-21 08:00: 0.3850
2024-08-21 16:00: 0.6150
2024-08-22 01:00: 0.3850
2024-08-22 09:00: 0.6150
2024-08-22 18:00: 0.3850
2024-08-23 02:00: 0.6150
2024-08-23 11:00: 0.3850
2024-08-23 19:00: 0.6150
2024-08-24 04:00: 0.3850
2024-08-24 12:00: 0.6150
2024-08-24 21:00: 0.3800
2024-08-25 05:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-08-25 19:00: 0.3900
2024-08-26 03:00: 0.5700
2024-08-26 12:00: 0.4350
2024-08-26 20:00: 0.5550
2024-08-27 05:00: 0.4450
2024-08-27 13:00: 0.5550
2024-08-27 22:00: 0.4350
2024-08-28 06:00: 0.5650
2024-08-28 15:00: 0.4150
2024-08-28 23:00: 0.5850
2024-08-29 08:00: 0.4050
2024-08-29 16:00: 0.6000
2024-08-30 01:00: 0.4000
2024-08-30 09:00: 0.6000
2024-08-30 18:00: 0.4000
2024-08-31 02:00: 0.6000
2024-08-31 11:00: 0.4000
2024-08-31 19:00: 0.6000
2024-09-01 04:00: 0.4000
2024-09-01 12:00: 0.6000
2024-09-01 21:00: 0.4000
2024-09-02 05:00: 0.6000
2024-09-02 14:00: 0.4000
2024-09-02 22:00: 0.6000
2024-09-03 07:00: 0.4050
2024-09-03 15:00: 0.5950
2024-09-04 00:00: 0.4050
2024-09-04 08:00: 0.5950
2024-09-04 17:00: 0.4100
2024-09-05 01:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-09-05 15:00: 0.4100
2024-09-05 23:00: 0.5900
2024-09-06 08:00: 0.4100
2024-09-06 16:00: 0.5900
2024-09-07 01:00: 0.4100
2024-09-07 09:00: 0.5900
2024-09-07 18:00: 0.4100
2024-09-08 02:00: 0.5950
2024-09-08 11:00: 0.4100
2024-09-08 19:00: 0.5950
2024-09-09 04:00: 0.4050
2024-09-09 12:00: 0.5950
2024-09-09 21:00: 0.4050
2024-09-10 05:00: 0.5950
2024-09-10 14:00: 0.4050
2024-09-10 22:00: 0.5850
2024-09-11 07:00: 0.4600
2024-09-11 15:00: 0.5500
2024-09-12 00:00: 0.4650
2024-09-12 08:00: 0.5350
2024-09-12 17:00: 0.4450
2024-09-13 01:00: 0.5600
2024-09-13 10:00: 0.4400
2024-09-13 18:00: 0.5600
2024-09-14 03:00: 0.4450
2024-09-14 11:00: 0.5550
2024-09-14 20:00: 0.4450
2024-09-15 04:00: 0.5550
2024-09-15 13:00: 0.4450
2024-09-15 21:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-09-16 11:00: 0.4450
2024-09-16 19:00: 0.5550
2024-09-17 04:00: 0.4450
2024-09-17 12:00: 0.5950
2024-09-17 21:00: 0.4150
2024-09-18 05:00: 0.5850
2024-09-18 14:00: 0.4150
2024-09-18 22:00: 0.5850
2024-09-19 07:00: 0.4000
2024-09-19 15:00: 0.6100
2024-09-20 00:00: 0.3850
2024-09-20 08:00: 0.5750
2024-09-20 17:00: 0.4200
2024-09-21 01:00: 0.5800
2024-09-21 10:00: 0.4200
2024-09-21 18:00: 0.5800
2024-09-22 03:00: 0.4250
2024-09-22 11:00: 0.5900
2024-09-22 20:00: 0.4200
2024-09-23 04:00: 0.5750
2024-09-23 13:00: 0.4250
2024-09-23 21:00: 0.5750
2024-09-24 06:00: 0.4150
2024-09-24 14:00: 0.5850
2024-09-24 23:00: 0.4150
2024-09-25 07:00: 0.5850
2024-09-25 16:00: 0.4150
2024-09-26 00:00: 0.5850
2024-09-26 09:00: 0.4150
2024-09-26 17:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-09-27 07:00: 0.4150
2024-09-27 15:00: 0.5850
2024-09-28 00:00: 0.4150
2024-09-28 08:00: 0.5900
2024-09-28 17:00: 0.4250
2024-09-29 01:00: 0.5750
2024-09-29 10:00: 0.4200
2024-09-29 18:00: 0.5750
2024-09-30 03:00: 0.4250
2024-09-30 11:00: 0.5750
2024-09-30 20:00: 0.4250
2024-10-01 04:00: 0.5750
2024-10-01 13:00: 0.4200
2024-10-01 21:00: 0.5800
2024-10-02 06:00: 0.4250
2024-10-02 13:00: 0.5750
2024-10-02 22:00: 0.4250
2024-10-03 06:00: 0.5800
2024-10-03 15:00: 0.4250
2024-10-03 23:00: 0.5750
2024-10-04 08:00: 0.4600
2024-10-04 16:00: 0.5550
2024-10-05 01:00: 0.4550
2024-10-05 09:00: 0.5450
2024-10-05 18:00: 0.4550
2024-10-06 02:00: 0.5350
2024-10-06 11:00: 0.4450
2024-10-06 19:00: 0.5350
2024-10-07 04:00: 0.4650
2024-10-07 12:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-10-08 02:00: 0.4500
2024-10-08 10:00: 0.5400
2024-10-08 19:00: 0.4500
2024-10-09 03:00: 0.5500
2024-10-09 12:00: 0.4500
2024-10-09 20:00: 0.5400
2024-10-10 05:00: 0.4600
2024-10-10 13:00: 0.5500
2024-10-10 22:00: 0.4500
2024-10-11 06:00: 0.5450
2024-10-11 15:00: 0.4500
2024-10-11 23:00: 0.5500
2024-10-12 08:00: 0.4500
2024-10-12 16:00: 0.5200
2024-10-13 01:00: 0.4750
2024-10-13 09:00: 0.5250
2024-10-13 18:00: 0.4750
2024-10-14 02:00: 0.5150
2024-10-14 11:00: 0.4750
2024-10-14 19:00: 0.5300
2024-10-15 04:00: 0.4750
2024-10-15 12:00: 0.5250
2024-10-15 21:00: 0.4750
2024-10-16 05:00: 0.5250
2024-10-16 14:00: 0.4900
2024-10-16 22:00: 0.5100
2024-10-17 07:00: 0.4900
2024-10-17 15:00: 0.5100
2024-10-18 00:00: 0.4750
2024-10-18 08:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-10-18 22:00: 0.2850
2024-10-19 06:00: 0.7400
2024-10-19 15:00: 0.2700
2024-10-19 23:00: 0.7200
2024-10-20 08:00: 0.2900
2024-10-20 16:00: 0.6750
2024-10-21 01:00: 0.3450
2024-10-21 09:00: 0.6550
2024-10-21 18:00: 0.2950
2024-10-22 02:00: 0.6950
2024-10-22 11:00: 0.2000
2024-10-22 19:00: 0.7850
2024-10-23 04:00: 0.2150
2024-10-23 12:00: 0.7850
2024-10-23 21:00: 0.2150
2024-10-24 05:00: 0.7850
2024-10-24 14:00: 0.2500
2024-10-24 22:00: 0.8350
2024-10-25 07:00: 0.2050
2024-10-25 15:00: 0.7600
2024-10-26 00:00: 0.2450
2024-10-26 08:00: 0.7650
2024-10-26 17:00: 0.2400
2024-10-27 01:00: 0.7800
2024-10-27 10:00: 0.1700
2024-10-27 18:00: 0.8500
2024-10-28 03:00: 0.1400
2024-10-28 11:00: 0.8600
2024-10-28 20:00: 0.1400
2024-10-29 04:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502738
Question: Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 133122.497156
Price History:
2024-10-29 18:00: 0.1350
2024-10-30 02:00: 0.8650
2024-10-30 11:00: 0.1350
2024-10-30 19:00: 0.8650
2024-10-31 04:00: 0.0900
2024-10-31 12:00: 0.8650
2024-10-31 21:00: 0.1350
2024-11-01 05:00: 0.8650
2024-11-01 14:00: 0.1500
2024-11-01 22:00: 0.5550
2024-11-02 07:00: 0.4400
2024-11-02 15:00: 0.7500
2024-11-03 00:00: 0.1800
2024-11-03 07:00: 0.8250
2024-11-03 16:00: 0.1950
2024-11-04 00:00: 0.7950
2024-11-04 09:00: 0.2250
2024-11-04 17:00: 0.7150
2024-11-05 02:00: 0.1750
2024-11-05 10:00: 0.6950
2024-11-05 20:00: 0.0550
2024-11-06 04:00: 0.9600
2024-11-06 13:00: 0.0095
2024-11-06 21:00: 0.9955
2024-11-07 06:00: 0.0045
2024-11-07 14:00: 0.9985
2024-11-07 23:00: 0.0035
2024-11-08 07:00: 0.9995
2024-11-08 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502739
Question: Will Daniel Lurie win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 110209.536077
Price History:
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.4950
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.4950
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.4900
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.4900
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.4900
2024-06-22 19:00: 0.1300
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.1300
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.1600
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.1650
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.1650
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.1650
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.1650
2024-06-24 06:00: 0.1650
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.1650
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.1650
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.1650
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.1650
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.1650
2024-06-25 12:00: 0.1650
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.1650
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.1650
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.1650
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.1650
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.1650
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.1650
2024-06-26 23:00: 0.1650
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.1650
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.1650
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.1650
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.1650
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.1650
2024-06-28 05:00: 0.1650
2024-06-28 10:00: 0.1650
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.1650
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.1650
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.1650
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.1650
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.1650
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.1650
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.1650
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.1650
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.1650
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.1650
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.1650
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.1650
2024-07-01 03:00: 0.1650
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.1650
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.1650
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.1650
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502739
Question: Will Daniel Lurie win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 110209.536077
Price History:
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.1650
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.1650
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.1650
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.1650
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.1650
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.1650
2024-07-03 20:00: 0.1650
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.1650
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.1650
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.1650
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.1650
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.1650
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.1650
2024-07-05 07:00: 0.1650
2024-07-05 12:00: 0.1650
2024-07-05 17:00: 0.1650
2024-07-05 22:00: 0.1650
2024-07-06 03:00: 0.1650
2024-07-06 08:00: 0.1650
2024-07-06 13:00: 0.1650
2024-07-06 18:00: 0.1650
2024-07-06 23:00: 0.1650
2024-07-07 04:00: 0.1650
2024-07-07 09:00: 0.1650
2024-07-07 14:00: 0.1650
2024-07-07 19:00: 0.1650
2024-07-08 00:00: 0.1650
2024-07-08 05:00: 0.1650
2024-07-08 10:00: 0.1650
2024-07-08 15:00: 0.1650
2024-07-08 20:00: 0.1650
2024-07-09 01:00: 0.1650
2024-07-09 06:00: 0.1650
2024-07-09 11:00: 0.1650
2024-07-09 16:00: 0.1650
2024-07-09 21:00: 0.1650
2024-07-10 02:00: 0.1650
2024-07-10 07:00: 0.1650
2024-07-10 12:00: 0.1650
2024-07-10 17:00: 0.1650
2024-07-10 22:00: 0.1650
2024-07-11 03:00: 0.1650
2024-07-11 08:00: 0.1650
2024-07-11 13:00: 0.1650
2024-07-11 18:00: 0.1650
2024-07-11 23:00: 0.1650
2024-07-12 04:00: 0.1650
2024-07-12 09:00: 0.1650
2024-07-12 14:00: 0.1650
2024-07-12 19:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502739
Question: Will Daniel Lurie win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 110209.536077
Price History:
2024-07-13 10:00: 0.1650
2024-07-13 15:00: 0.1650
2024-07-13 20:00: 0.1650
2024-07-14 01:00: 0.1650
2024-07-14 06:00: 0.1650
2024-07-14 11:00: 0.1650
2024-07-14 16:00: 0.1650
2024-07-14 21:00: 0.1650
2024-07-15 02:00: 0.1650
2024-07-15 07:00: 0.1650
2024-07-15 12:00: 0.1650
2024-07-15 17:00: 0.1650
2024-07-15 22:00: 0.1650
2024-07-16 03:00: 0.1650
2024-07-16 08:00: 0.1650
2024-07-16 13:00: 0.1650
2024-07-16 18:00: 0.1650
2024-07-16 23:00: 0.1650
2024-07-17 04:00: 0.1650
2024-07-17 09:00: 0.1650
2024-07-17 14:00: 0.1650
2024-07-17 19:00: 0.1650
2024-07-18 00:00: 0.1650
2024-07-18 05:00: 0.1650
2024-07-18 10:00: 0.1650
2024-07-18 15:00: 0.1650
2024-07-18 20:00: 0.1650
2024-07-19 01:00: 0.1650
2024-07-19 06:00: 0.1650
2024-07-19 11:00: 0.1650
2024-07-19 16:00: 0.1650
2024-07-19 21:00: 0.1650
2024-07-20 02:00: 0.1650
2024-07-20 07:00: 0.1650
2024-07-20 12:00: 0.1650
2024-07-20 17:00: 0.1650
2024-07-20 22:00: 0.1650
2024-07-21 03:00: 0.1650
2024-07-21 08:00: 0.1650
2024-07-21 13:00: 0.1650
2024-07-21 19:00: 0.1650
2024-07-22 00:00: 0.1650
2024-07-22 05:00: 0.1650
2024-07-22 10:00: 0.1650
2024-07-22 15:00: 0.1650
2024-07-22 20:00: 0.1650
2024-07-23 01:00: 0.1650
2024-07-23 06:00: 0.1650
2024-07-23 11:00: 0.1650
2024-07-23 16:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502739
Question: Will Daniel Lurie win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 110209.536077
Price History:
2024-07-24 07:00: 0.1650
2024-07-24 12:00: 0.1650
2024-07-24 17:00: 0.1650
2024-07-24 22:00: 0.1650
2024-07-25 03:00: 0.1650
2024-07-25 08:00: 0.1650
2024-07-25 13:00: 0.1650
2024-07-25 18:00: 0.1650
2024-07-25 23:00: 0.1650
2024-07-26 04:00: 0.1650
2024-07-26 09:00: 0.1650
2024-07-26 14:00: 0.1650
2024-07-26 19:00: 0.1650
2024-07-27 00:00: 0.1650
2024-07-27 05:00: 0.1650
2024-07-27 10:00: 0.1650
2024-07-27 15:00: 0.1650
2024-07-27 20:00: 0.1650
2024-07-28 01:00: 0.1650
2024-07-28 06:00: 0.1650
2024-07-28 11:00: 0.1650
2024-07-28 16:00: 0.1650
2024-07-28 21:00: 0.1650
2024-07-29 02:00: 0.1650
2024-07-29 07:00: 0.1650
2024-07-29 12:00: 0.1650
2024-07-29 17:00: 0.1650
2024-07-29 22:00: 0.1650
2024-07-30 03:00: 0.1650
2024-07-30 08:00: 0.1650
2024-07-30 13:00: 0.1650
2024-07-30 18:00: 0.1650
2024-07-30 23:00: 0.1650
2024-07-31 04:00: 0.1650
2024-07-31 09:00: 0.1650
2024-07-31 14:00: 0.1650
2024-07-31 19:00: 0.1650
2024-08-01 00:00: 0.1650
2024-08-01 05:00: 0.1650
2024-08-01 10:00: 0.1650
2024-08-01 15:00: 0.1650
2024-08-01 20:00: 0.1650
2024-08-02 01:00: 0.1650
2024-08-02 06:00: 0.1650
2024-08-02 11:00: 0.1650
2024-08-02 16:00: 0.1650
2024-08-02 21:00: 0.1650
2024-08-03 02:00: 0.1650
2024-08-03 07:00: 0.1650
2024-08-03 12:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502739
Question: Will Daniel Lurie win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 110209.536077
Price History:
2024-08-04 03:00: 0.1650
2024-08-04 08:00: 0.1650
2024-08-04 13:00: 0.1650
2024-08-04 18:00: 0.1650
2024-08-04 23:00: 0.1650
2024-08-05 04:00: 0.1650
2024-08-05 09:00: 0.1650
2024-08-05 14:00: 0.1650
2024-08-05 19:00: 0.1650
2024-08-06 00:00: 0.1650
2024-08-06 05:00: 0.1650
2024-08-06 10:00: 0.1650
2024-08-06 15:00: 0.1650
2024-08-06 20:00: 0.1650
2024-08-07 01:00: 0.1650
2024-08-07 06:00: 0.1650
2024-08-07 11:00: 0.1650
2024-08-07 16:00: 0.1650
2024-08-07 21:00: 0.1650
2024-08-08 02:00: 0.1650
2024-08-08 07:00: 0.1650
2024-08-08 12:00: 0.1650
2024-08-08 17:00: 0.1650
2024-08-08 22:00: 0.1650
2024-08-09 03:00: 0.1650
2024-08-09 08:00: 0.1650
2024-08-09 13:00: 0.1650
2024-08-09 18:00: 0.1650
2024-08-09 23:00: 0.1650
2024-08-10 04:00: 0.1650
2024-08-10 09:00: 0.1650
2024-08-10 14:00: 0.1650
2024-08-10 19:00: 0.1650
2024-08-11 00:00: 0.1650
2024-08-11 05:00: 0.1050
2024-08-11 10:00: 0.1050
2024-08-11 15:00: 0.1050
2024-08-11 20:00: 0.1050
2024-08-12 01:00: 0.1050
2024-08-12 06:00: 0.1050
2024-08-12 11:00: 0.1050
2024-08-12 16:00: 0.1050
2024-08-12 21:00: 0.1050
2024-08-13 02:00: 0.1050
2024-08-13 07:00: 0.1050
2024-08-13 12:00: 0.1050
2024-08-13 17:00: 0.1050
2024-08-13 22:00: 0.1050
2024-08-14 03:00: 0.1050
2024-08-14 08:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502739
Question: Will Daniel Lurie win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 110209.536077
Price History:
2024-08-14 23:00: 0.0800
2024-08-15 04:00: 0.0700
2024-08-15 09:00: 0.0650
2024-08-15 14:00: 0.0650
2024-08-15 19:00: 0.0550
2024-08-16 00:00: 0.0550
2024-08-16 05:00: 0.0550
2024-08-16 10:00: 0.0750
2024-08-16 15:00: 0.0750
2024-08-16 20:00: 0.0750
2024-08-17 01:00: 0.0750
2024-08-17 06:00: 0.0750
2024-08-17 11:00: 0.0750
2024-08-17 16:00: 0.0750
2024-08-17 21:00: 0.0750
2024-08-18 02:00: 0.0750
2024-08-18 07:00: 0.0750
2024-08-18 12:00: 0.0750
2024-08-18 17:00: 0.0750
2024-08-18 22:00: 0.0750
2024-08-19 03:00: 0.0750
2024-08-19 08:00: 0.0750
2024-08-19 13:00: 0.0750
2024-08-19 18:00: 0.0750
2024-08-19 23:00: 0.0750
2024-08-20 04:00: 0.0750
2024-08-20 09:00: 0.0750
2024-08-20 14:00: 0.0750
2024-08-20 19:00: 0.0750
2024-08-21 00:00: 0.0750
2024-08-21 05:00: 0.0750
2024-08-21 10:00: 0.0750
2024-08-21 15:00: 0.0750
2024-08-21 20:00: 0.0750
2024-08-22 01:00: 0.0750
2024-08-22 06:00: 0.0750
2024-08-22 11:00: 0.0750
2024-08-22 16:00: 0.0750
2024-08-22 21:00: 0.0750
2024-08-23 02:00: 0.0750
2024-08-23 07:00: 0.0750
2024-08-23 12:00: 0.0750
2024-08-23 17:00: 0.0750
2024-08-23 22:00: 0.0750
2024-08-24 03:00: 0.0750
2024-08-24 08:00: 0.0750
2024-08-24 13:00: 0.0750
2024-08-24 18:00: 0.0750
2024-08-24 23:00: 0.0750
2024-08-25 04:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502739
Question: Will Daniel Lurie win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 110209.536077
Price History:
2024-08-25 19:00: 0.0750
2024-08-26 00:00: 0.0700
2024-08-26 05:00: 0.0700
2024-08-26 10:00: 0.0700
2024-08-26 15:00: 0.0700
2024-08-26 20:00: 0.0700
2024-08-27 01:00: 0.0700
2024-08-27 06:00: 0.0700
2024-08-27 11:00: 0.0700
2024-08-27 16:00: 0.0700
2024-08-27 21:00: 0.0700
2024-08-28 02:00: 0.0700
2024-08-28 07:00: 0.0700
2024-08-28 12:00: 0.0650
2024-08-28 17:00: 0.0650
2024-08-28 22:00: 0.0650
2024-08-29 03:00: 0.0650
2024-08-29 08:00: 0.0650
2024-08-29 13:00: 0.0650
2024-08-29 18:00: 0.1250
2024-08-29 23:00: 0.0850
2024-08-30 04:00: 0.0650
2024-08-30 09:00: 0.0650
2024-08-30 14:00: 0.0650
2024-08-30 19:00: 0.0650
2024-08-31 00:00: 0.0650
2024-08-31 05:00: 0.0650
2024-08-31 10:00: 0.0650
2024-08-31 15:00: 0.0650
2024-08-31 20:00: 0.0650
2024-09-01 01:00: 0.0650
2024-09-01 06:00: 0.0650
2024-09-01 11:00: 0.0650
2024-09-01 16:00: 0.0650
2024-09-01 21:00: 0.0650
2024-09-02 02:00: 0.0650
2024-09-02 07:00: 0.0650
2024-09-02 12:00: 0.0650
2024-09-02 17:00: 0.0650
2024-09-02 22:00: 0.0650
2024-09-03 03:00: 0.0650
2024-09-03 08:00: 0.0650
2024-09-03 13:00: 0.0650
2024-09-03 18:00: 0.0650
2024-09-03 23:00: 0.0650
2024-09-04 04:00: 0.0650
2024-09-04 09:00: 0.0650
2024-09-04 14:00: 0.0650
2024-09-04 19:00: 0.0650
2024-09-05 00:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502739
Question: Will Daniel Lurie win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 110209.536077
Price History:
2024-09-05 15:00: 0.0650
2024-09-05 20:00: 0.0650
2024-09-06 01:00: 0.0650
2024-09-06 06:00: 0.0650
2024-09-06 11:00: 0.0650
2024-09-06 16:00: 0.0650
2024-09-06 21:00: 0.0650
2024-09-07 02:00: 0.0650
2024-09-07 07:00: 0.0650
2024-09-07 12:00: 0.0650
2024-09-07 17:00: 0.0650
2024-09-07 22:00: 0.0650
2024-09-08 03:00: 0.0650
2024-09-08 08:00: 0.0650
2024-09-08 13:00: 0.0650
2024-09-08 18:00: 0.0650
2024-09-08 23:00: 0.0650
2024-09-09 04:00: 0.0650
2024-09-09 09:00: 0.0650
2024-09-09 14:00: 0.0650
2024-09-09 19:00: 0.0650
2024-09-10 00:00: 0.0650
2024-09-10 05:00: 0.0650
2024-09-10 10:00: 0.0650
2024-09-10 15:00: 0.0650
2024-09-10 20:00: 0.0650
2024-09-11 01:00: 0.0650
2024-09-11 06:00: 0.0650
2024-09-11 11:00: 0.0650
2024-09-11 16:00: 0.0700
2024-09-11 21:00: 0.0700
2024-09-12 02:00: 0.0700
2024-09-12 07:00: 0.0700
2024-09-12 12:00: 0.0700
2024-09-12 17:00: 0.0900
2024-09-12 22:00: 0.0900
2024-09-13 03:00: 0.0900
2024-09-13 08:00: 0.0900
2024-09-13 13:00: 0.0950
2024-09-13 18:00: 0.0950
2024-09-13 23:00: 0.0900
2024-09-14 04:00: 0.0900
2024-09-14 09:00: 0.0900
2024-09-14 14:00: 0.0900
2024-09-14 19:00: 0.0900
2024-09-15 00:00: 0.0900
2024-09-15 05:00: 0.0900
2024-09-15 10:00: 0.0900
2024-09-15 15:00: 0.0900
2024-09-15 20:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502739
Question: Will Daniel Lurie win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 110209.536077
Price History:
2024-09-16 11:00: 0.0900
2024-09-16 16:00: 0.0900
2024-09-16 21:00: 0.0900
2024-09-17 02:00: 0.0900
2024-09-17 07:00: 0.0900
2024-09-17 12:00: 0.0900
2024-09-17 17:00: 0.0900
2024-09-17 22:00: 0.0900
2024-09-18 03:00: 0.0900
2024-09-18 08:00: 0.0900
2024-09-18 13:00: 0.0900
2024-09-18 18:00: 0.0900
2024-09-18 23:00: 0.1200
2024-09-19 04:00: 0.3150
2024-09-19 09:00: 0.1250
2024-09-19 14:00: 0.1350
2024-09-19 19:00: 0.3150
2024-09-20 00:00: 0.1450
2024-09-20 05:00: 0.1450
2024-09-20 10:00: 0.1400
2024-09-20 15:00: 0.1400
2024-09-20 20:00: 0.1400
2024-09-21 01:00: 0.1400
2024-09-21 06:00: 0.1400
2024-09-21 11:00: 0.1400
2024-09-21 16:00: 0.1400
2024-09-21 21:00: 0.1400
2024-09-22 02:00: 0.1400
2024-09-22 07:00: 0.1400
2024-09-22 12:00: 0.1400
2024-09-22 17:00: 0.1400
2024-09-22 22:00: 0.1450
2024-09-23 03:00: 0.1450
2024-09-23 08:00: 0.1450
2024-09-23 13:00: 0.1600
2024-09-23 18:00: 0.1600
2024-09-23 23:00: 0.1600
2024-09-24 04:00: 0.1550
2024-09-24 09:00: 0.1550
2024-09-24 14:00: 0.1550
2024-09-24 19:00: 0.1550
2024-09-25 00:00: 0.1550
2024-09-25 05:00: 0.1550
2024-09-25 10:00: 0.1600
2024-09-25 15:00: 0.1600
2024-09-25 20:00: 0.1650
2024-09-26 01:00: 0.1650
2024-09-26 06:00: 0.1650
2024-09-26 11:00: 0.1650
2024-09-26 16:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502739
Question: Will Daniel Lurie win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 110209.536077
Price History:
2024-09-27 07:00: 0.1600
2024-09-27 12:00: 0.1600
2024-09-27 17:00: 0.1550
2024-09-27 22:00: 0.1550
2024-09-28 03:00: 0.1550
2024-09-28 08:00: 0.1500
2024-09-28 13:00: 0.1550
2024-09-28 18:00: 0.1550
2024-09-28 23:00: 0.1550
2024-09-29 04:00: 0.1600
2024-09-29 09:00: 0.1600
2024-09-29 14:00: 0.1600
2024-09-29 19:00: 0.1600
2024-09-30 00:00: 0.1600
2024-09-30 05:00: 0.1600
2024-09-30 10:00: 0.1550
2024-09-30 15:00: 0.1600
2024-09-30 20:00: 0.1600
2024-10-01 01:00: 0.1600
2024-10-01 06:00: 0.1600
2024-10-01 11:00: 0.1600
2024-10-01 16:00: 0.1600
2024-10-01 21:00: 0.1600
2024-10-02 02:00: 0.1600
2024-10-02 07:00: 0.1600
2024-10-02 11:00: 0.1550
2024-10-02 16:00: 0.1550
2024-10-02 21:00: 0.1550
2024-10-03 02:00: 0.1550
2024-10-03 07:00: 0.1550
2024-10-03 12:00: 0.1550
2024-10-03 17:00: 0.1600
2024-10-03 22:00: 0.1600
2024-10-04 03:00: 0.1550
2024-10-04 08:00: 0.1550
2024-10-04 13:00: 0.1550
2024-10-04 18:00: 0.1550
2024-10-04 23:00: 0.1550
2024-10-05 04:00: 0.1550
2024-10-05 09:00: 0.1550
2024-10-05 14:00: 0.1550
2024-10-05 19:00: 0.1550
2024-10-06 00:00: 0.1550
2024-10-06 05:00: 0.1550
2024-10-06 10:00: 0.1550
2024-10-06 15:00: 0.1550
2024-10-06 20:00: 0.1550
2024-10-07 01:00: 0.1550
2024-10-07 06:00: 0.1600
2024-10-07 11:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502739
Question: Will Daniel Lurie win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 110209.536077
Price History:
2024-10-08 02:00: 0.1550
2024-10-08 07:00: 0.1350
2024-10-08 12:00: 0.1350
2024-10-08 17:00: 0.1350
2024-10-08 22:00: 0.1350
2024-10-09 03:00: 0.1350
2024-10-09 08:00: 0.1350
2024-10-09 13:00: 0.1350
2024-10-09 18:00: 0.1350
2024-10-09 23:00: 0.1350
2024-10-10 04:00: 0.1350
2024-10-10 09:00: 0.1350
2024-10-10 14:00: 0.1350
2024-10-10 19:00: 0.1350
2024-10-11 00:00: 0.1350
2024-10-11 05:00: 0.1350
2024-10-11 10:00: 0.1350
2024-10-11 15:00: 0.1350
2024-10-11 20:00: 0.1350
2024-10-12 01:00: 0.1350
2024-10-12 06:00: 0.1350
2024-10-12 11:00: 0.1350
2024-10-12 16:00: 0.1350
2024-10-12 21:00: 0.1350
2024-10-13 02:00: 0.1350
2024-10-13 07:00: 0.1350
2024-10-13 12:00: 0.1350
2024-10-13 17:00: 0.1350
2024-10-13 22:00: 0.1350
2024-10-14 03:00: 0.1350
2024-10-14 08:00: 0.1350
2024-10-14 13:00: 0.1350
2024-10-14 18:00: 0.1350
2024-10-14 23:00: 0.1350
2024-10-15 04:00: 0.1350
2024-10-15 09:00: 0.1350
2024-10-15 14:00: 0.1350
2024-10-15 19:00: 0.1350
2024-10-16 00:00: 0.1350
2024-10-16 05:00: 0.1350
2024-10-16 10:00: 0.1350
2024-10-16 15:00: 0.1350
2024-10-16 20:00: 0.1350
2024-10-17 01:00: 0.1350
2024-10-17 06:00: 0.1350
2024-10-17 11:00: 0.1350
2024-10-17 16:00: 0.1350
2024-10-17 21:00: 0.1550
2024-10-18 02:00: 0.1800
2024-10-18 07:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502739
Question: Will Daniel Lurie win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 110209.536077
Price History:
2024-10-18 22:00: 0.3700
2024-10-19 03:00: 0.3550
2024-10-19 08:00: 0.3750
2024-10-19 13:00: 0.3800
2024-10-19 18:00: 0.3800
2024-10-19 23:00: 0.3750
2024-10-20 04:00: 0.3950
2024-10-20 09:00: 0.3950
2024-10-20 14:00: 0.3900
2024-10-20 19:00: 0.3450
2024-10-21 00:00: 0.3400
2024-10-21 05:00: 0.3400
2024-10-21 10:00: 0.3400
2024-10-21 15:00: 0.4300
2024-10-21 20:00: 0.3600
2024-10-22 01:00: 0.3800
2024-10-22 06:00: 0.5400
2024-10-22 11:00: 0.5300
2024-10-22 16:00: 0.5400
2024-10-22 21:00: 0.5300
2024-10-23 02:00: 0.5250
2024-10-23 07:00: 0.5350
2024-10-23 12:00: 0.5400
2024-10-23 17:00: 0.5250
2024-10-23 22:00: 0.5400
2024-10-24 03:00: 0.5400
2024-10-24 08:00: 0.5350
2024-10-24 13:00: 0.5400
2024-10-24 18:00: 0.5250
2024-10-24 23:00: 0.5250
2024-10-25 04:00: 0.5250
2024-10-25 09:00: 0.3150
2024-10-25 14:00: 0.3250
2024-10-25 19:00: 0.3450
2024-10-26 00:00: 0.3600
2024-10-26 05:00: 0.3500
2024-10-26 10:00: 0.3550
2024-10-26 15:00: 0.3150
2024-10-26 20:00: 0.4350
2024-10-27 01:00: 0.4400
2024-10-27 06:00: 0.5450
2024-10-27 11:00: 0.5550
2024-10-27 16:00: 0.5650
2024-10-27 21:00: 0.5750
2024-10-28 02:00: 0.5750
2024-10-28 07:00: 0.5750
2024-10-28 12:00: 0.5750
2024-10-28 17:00: 0.5150
2024-10-28 22:00: 0.5150
2024-10-29 03:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502739
Question: Will Daniel Lurie win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 110209.536077
Price History:
2024-10-29 18:00: 0.5850
2024-10-29 23:00: 0.5800
2024-10-30 04:00: 0.5850
2024-10-30 09:00: 0.5800
2024-10-30 14:00: 0.6250
2024-10-30 19:00: 0.6250
2024-10-31 00:00: 0.6500
2024-10-31 05:00: 0.6450
2024-10-31 10:00: 0.6450
2024-10-31 15:00: 0.6150
2024-10-31 20:00: 0.6150
2024-11-01 01:00: 0.6100
2024-11-01 06:00: 0.6100
2024-11-01 11:00: 0.6100
2024-11-01 16:00: 0.6100
2024-11-01 21:00: 0.3150
2024-11-02 02:00: 0.3650
2024-11-02 07:00: 0.5500
2024-11-02 12:00: 0.5450
2024-11-02 17:00: 0.5450
2024-11-02 22:00: 0.5300
2024-11-03 02:00: 0.5700
2024-11-03 07:00: 0.5700
2024-11-03 12:00: 0.5650
2024-11-03 17:00: 0.5650
2024-11-03 22:00: 0.5650
2024-11-04 03:00: 0.5650
2024-11-04 08:00: 0.5650
2024-11-04 13:00: 0.5600
2024-11-04 18:00: 0.5500
2024-11-04 23:00: 0.5500
2024-11-05 04:00: 0.6600
2024-11-05 09:00: 0.6950
2024-11-05 14:00: 0.4950
2024-11-05 20:00: 0.4400
2024-11-06 01:00: 0.5250
2024-11-06 06:00: 0.5350
2024-11-06 11:00: 0.8900
2024-11-06 16:00: 0.9400
2024-11-06 21:00: 0.9650
2024-11-07 02:00: 0.9800
2024-11-07 07:00: 0.9850
2024-11-07 12:00: 0.9905
2024-11-07 17:00: 0.9940
2024-11-07 22:00: 0.9925
2024-11-08 03:00: 0.9935
2024-11-08 08:00: 0.9970
2024-11-08 13:00: 0.9970
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.9975
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No