Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641826
Question: Will Crypto Vikings win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32319.784652
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 5.61, Sell volume: 161.32, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641826
Question: Will Crypto Vikings win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32319.784652
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 227.68, Sell volume: 5566.73, Average price: 0.4616, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641826
Question: Will Crypto Vikings win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32319.784652
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 327, Buy volume: 18863.22, Sell volume: 13456.56, Average price: 0.8473, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641826
Question: Will Crypto Vikings win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 32319.784652
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9750
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9800
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0205
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0135
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0140
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0140
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0140
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0140
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0140
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0140
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9860
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9860
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0140
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0140
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9860
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0140
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9860
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0140
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9860
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0140
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9860
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0140
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9860
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0140
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9860
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0140
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.3370, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641826
Question: Will Crypto Vikings win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 32319.784652
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9925
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0075
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0075
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9925
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0335
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9750
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0205
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9745
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0250
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9755
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0230
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9770
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0225
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9780
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0205
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9780
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0205
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9810
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0210
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9770
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0245
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.5540
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.2505
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.7495
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0740
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9270
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0685
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 1341.58, Sell volume: 285.30, Average price: 0.7574, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641826
Question: Will Crypto Vikings win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 32319.784652
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0640
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9355
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9390
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0635
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9310
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9295
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0575
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9375
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0605
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9385
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0620
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9415
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0630
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9395
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0665
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9295
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0695
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0640
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9460
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0455
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9550
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0325
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0165
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9840
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0170
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 262.43, Sell volume: 232.77, Average price: 0.8463, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641826
Question: Will Crypto Vikings win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 32319.784652
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0065
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0060
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0060
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0060
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9950
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0120
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9880
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0120
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9880
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0120
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9880
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0120
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9880
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0120
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9880
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0120
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9880
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0410
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9590
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0410
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9590
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0410
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9590
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 441.83, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.3369, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641826
Question: Will Crypto Vikings win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 32319.784652
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0420
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9580
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0415
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9585
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0405
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9595
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0405
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9595
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0405
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9600
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0400
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9600
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0400
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9600
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0400
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9605
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0385
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9615
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0385
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9615
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0385
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9615
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0385
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9615
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0385
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9615
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0385
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9615
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0385
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 327, Buy volume: 18863.22, Sell volume: 13456.56, Average price: 0.8473, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641826
Question: Will Crypto Vikings win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 32319.784652
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0385
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9615
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0385
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9615
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0385
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9615
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0390
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9610
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0385
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9830
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0170
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9830
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0170
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9830
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0170
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9830
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0170
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9830
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0170
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9830
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 327, Buy volume: 18863.22, Sell volume: 13456.56, Average price: 0.8473, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641826
Question: Will Crypto Vikings win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 32319.784652
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0165
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9835
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0165
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9835
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0165
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9835
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0165
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9835
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0165
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9835
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0165
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9835
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0165
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9835
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0165
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9835
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0165
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9835
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0420
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9580
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0420
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9580
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0420
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9585
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0415
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9585
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0410
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9590
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0410
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 258.74, Sell volume: 61.11, Average price: 0.5816, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641826
Question: Will Crypto Vikings win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 32319.784652
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0145
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9865
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0130
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9870
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0130
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9870
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0130
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9610
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0340
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9700
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0240
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9770
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0200
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9810
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0170
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9840
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0135
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9905
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 1256.85, Sell volume: 8.25, Average price: 0.9820, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641826
Question: Will Crypto Vikings win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 32319.784652
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0960
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9045
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0855
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9385
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9385
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0785
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9510
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0365
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9655
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0490
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9485
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0420
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9595
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0475
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9545
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0495
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9535
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0500
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 844.72, Sell volume: 137.50, Average price: 0.8282, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641826
Question: Will Crypto Vikings win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 32319.784652
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0480
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9505
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0505
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9495
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0505
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9495
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0505
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9495
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0435
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9610
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 14171.16, Sell volume: 6843.58, Average price: 0.9431, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641826
Question: Will Crypto Vikings win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 32319.784652
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 5.61, Sell volume: 161.32, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641826
Question: Will Crypto Vikings win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 32319.784652
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 227.68, Sell volume: 5566.73, Average price: 0.4616, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641826
Question: Will Crypto Vikings win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 32319.784652
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 327, Buy volume: 18863.22, Sell volume: 13456.56, Average price: 0.8473, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9650
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0350
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9700
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0300
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0305
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9720
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9720
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9725
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9765
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0235
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0235
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0240
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0240
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0230
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0225
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0225
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0210
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0210
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0210
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0210
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0210
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0210
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9790
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9790
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9790
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9790
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9790
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9785
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 104.01, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.7189, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9840
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9850
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9845
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9920
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9895
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9895
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9910
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9940
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9940
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9960
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9960
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9960
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9960
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9960
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 415.09, Sell volume: 480.15, Average price: 0.7843, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 386.08, Sell volume: 328.19, Average price: 0.7362, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 75.40, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0030

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 50.40, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0030

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 231.54, Sell volume: 26.25, Average price: 0.9954, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1216.09, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.9808, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 178.06, Sell volume: 553.52, Average price: 0.5624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 1796.81, Sell volume: 424.76, Average price: 0.9556, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 161.94, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 755.16, Sell volume: 24.38, Average price: 0.8780, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 965.76, Sell volume: 2813.28, Average price: 0.7642, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0450
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0350
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0300
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0305
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0280
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9725
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0235
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0235
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9760
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0230
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9775
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0210
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9790
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0210
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9790
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9790
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0210
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9790
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0210
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0210
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0210
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0210
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0210
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 104.01, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.7189, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0165
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0165
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0165
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9840
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0150
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9920
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0105
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9910
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0075
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0065
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0065
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9940
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0040
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0040
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 415.09, Sell volume: 480.15, Average price: 0.7843, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 386.08, Sell volume: 328.19, Average price: 0.7362, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0065
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0065
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0070
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0070
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0070
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0070
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0070
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 75.40, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0030
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 50.40, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0030
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 231.54, Sell volume: 26.25, Average price: 0.9954, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1216.09, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.9808, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 178.06, Sell volume: 553.52, Average price: 0.5624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 1796.81, Sell volume: 424.76, Average price: 0.9556, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 161.94, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 755.16, Sell volume: 24.38, Average price: 0.8780, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641828
Question: Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11034.514998
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 965.76, Sell volume: 2813.28, Average price: 0.7642, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9650
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9650
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9700
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9675
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0330
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0280
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9720
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9725
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0275
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9725
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9725
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0275
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9725
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9730
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9735
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9730
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9745
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9745
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9745
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0255
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0255
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0250
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0250
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.2652, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0265
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0265
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0265
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0265
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0265
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0265
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0265
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0265
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0265
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0240
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0235
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0220
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0225
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0210
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0205
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0190
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0180
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0180
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0160
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0155
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0140
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0125
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0120
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0120
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0145
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0180
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0185
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0185
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0185
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0185
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0185
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0180
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0185
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0185
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0155
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0150
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0150
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0155
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0150
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0150
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0155
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0155
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0150
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0150
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0150
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0150
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0150
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0150
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0150
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 535.50, Sell volume: 311.09, Average price: 0.8668, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0145
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0150
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0150
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0150
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0150
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0155
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0155
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0150
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0150
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0150
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0150
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0150
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0150
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0150
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0150
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0150
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0150
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0150
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0145
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0145
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0150
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0150
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0150
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0145
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0145
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0145
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0145
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0145
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0145
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0140
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0145
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0145
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0145
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0140
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0145
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0145
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0110
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0105
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0090
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0100
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0105
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 293.99, Sell volume: 238.86, Average price: 0.8447, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0070
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0060
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0060
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0060
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0070
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0085
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0070
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0070
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0060
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0060
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0060
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 168.37, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0030

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0085
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 16.23, Sell volume: 96.22, Average price: 0.6640, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0080
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 205.28, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.7982, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 6090.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9816, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0090
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0090
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 349.53, Sell volume: 617.38, Average price: 0.8796, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0085
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0085
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0085
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0085
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0085
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0085
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0085
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0085
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0085
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 118, Buy volume: 1935.39, Sell volume: 888.03, Average price: 0.9313, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 342, Buy volume: 15742.64, Sell volume: 11289.47, Average price: 0.8950, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 696.93, Sell volume: 3260.38, Average price: 0.9181, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 920.32, Sell volume: 1005.08, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0450
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9650
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0300
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0330
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9720
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9725
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9725
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9725
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9725
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9730
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0265
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9745
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0255
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0255
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9745
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9750
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9750
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0250
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9735
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9735
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9735
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9735
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.2652, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0265
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9735
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0265
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9735
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0265
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9735
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0240
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9765
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0225
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9790
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0190
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9820
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0160
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9845
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0125
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9880
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0145
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9820
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0185
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9815
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0185
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9820
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0185
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9845
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0150
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9845
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0150
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9845
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0150
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 535.50, Sell volume: 311.09, Average price: 0.8668, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0145
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9850
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0150
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9850
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0155
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9850
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0150
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9850
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0150
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9850
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0150
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9850
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0145
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9855
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0150
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9850
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0145
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9855
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0145
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9855
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0145
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9855
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0140
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9855
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0110
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9895
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9925
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 293.99, Sell volume: 238.86, Average price: 0.8447, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9915
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0060
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0085
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9940
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0060
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9945
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 168.37, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0030
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9920
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 16.23, Sell volume: 96.22, Average price: 0.6640, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9930
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9930
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 205.28, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.7982, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 6090.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9816, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9925
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9930
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9930
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9930
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9905
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9905
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 349.53, Sell volume: 617.38, Average price: 0.8796, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0085
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9915
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9915
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9915
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0085
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9915
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 118, Buy volume: 1935.39, Sell volume: 888.03, Average price: 0.9313, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 342, Buy volume: 15742.64, Sell volume: 11289.47, Average price: 0.8950, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 696.93, Sell volume: 3260.38, Average price: 0.9181, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641830
Question: Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 27032.111996
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 920.32, Sell volume: 1005.08, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2024-12-30 14:00: 0.7750
2024-12-30 15:00: 0.8850
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.9150
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.9100
2024-12-30 18:00: 0.9350
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.9300
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.9300
2024-12-30 21:00: 0.9300
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.9250
2024-12-30 23:00: 0.9300
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.9300
2024-12-31 01:00: 0.9300
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.9350
2024-12-31 03:00: 0.9300
2024-12-31 04:00: 0.9300
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.9250
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.9350
2024-12-31 07:00: 0.9350
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.9350
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.9350
2024-12-31 10:00: 0.9450
2024-12-31 11:00: 0.9350
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.9350
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.9350
2024-12-31 14:00: 0.9350
2024-12-31 15:00: 0.9350
2024-12-31 16:00: 0.9350
2024-12-31 17:00: 0.9350
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.9350
2024-12-31 19:00: 0.9350
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.9350
2024-12-31 21:00: 0.9350
2024-12-31 22:00: 0.9350
2024-12-31 23:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 00:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 01:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 03:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 09:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 10:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 13:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 2257.47, Sell volume: 49.84, Average price: 0.6727, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 19:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 22:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 23:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 03:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 07:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 09:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 11:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 13:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 16:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 21:00: 0.9450
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.9450
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 01:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 05:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 07:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 11:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 15:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 17:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1181.99, Sell volume: 10.63, Average price: 0.8329, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 19:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 21:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 23:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 01:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 02:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 03:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 05:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 07:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 09:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 10:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 11:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 13:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 15:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 17:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 19:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 22:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 23:00: 0.9450
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.9450
2025-01-05 01:00: 0.9450
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.9450
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.9450
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.9450
2025-01-05 05:00: 0.9450
2025-01-05 06:00: 0.9450
2025-01-05 07:00: 0.9450
2025-01-05 08:00: 0.9450
2025-01-05 09:00: 0.9450
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.9450
2025-01-05 11:00: 0.9450
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.9450
2025-01-05 13:00: 0.9550
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.9550
2025-01-05 15:00: 0.9550
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.9550
2025-01-05 17:00: 0.9550
2025-01-05 18:00: 0.9550
2025-01-05 19:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1153.13, Sell volume: 258.65, Average price: 0.8779, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2025-01-05 20:00: 0.9550
2025-01-05 21:00: 0.9550
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.9550
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.9550
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.9550
2025-01-06 01:00: 0.9550
2025-01-06 02:00: 0.9550
2025-01-06 03:00: 0.9550
2025-01-06 04:00: 0.9550
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.9550
2025-01-06 06:00: 0.9550
2025-01-06 07:00: 0.9550
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.9550
2025-01-06 09:00: 0.9720
2025-01-06 10:00: 0.9750
2025-01-06 11:00: 0.9710
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.9610
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.9680
2025-01-06 14:00: 0.9685
2025-01-06 15:00: 0.9685
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.9685
2025-01-06 17:00: 0.9605
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.9610
2025-01-06 19:00: 0.9445
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.9430
2025-01-06 21:00: 0.9430
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.9440
2025-01-06 23:00: 0.9410
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.9410
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.9415
2025-01-07 02:00: 0.9420
2025-01-07 03:00: 0.9405
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.9410
2025-01-07 05:00: 0.9400
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.9410
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.9415
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.9410
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.9410
2025-01-07 10:00: 0.9415
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.9405
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.9400
2025-01-07 13:00: 0.9400
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.9405
2025-01-07 15:00: 0.9400
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.9415
2025-01-07 17:00: 0.9415
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.9415
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.9410
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.9410
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.9410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 6792.06, Sell volume: 6892.02, Average price: 0.8851, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: No