Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0850
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.9150
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0850
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.9150
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0850
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.9150
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0850
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.9150
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0850
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.9150
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0750
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9250
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0750
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.9250
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0750
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.9250
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.0750
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.9250
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.9250
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0700
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.9300
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0230
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9770
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0350
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.9650
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0265
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9735
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0175
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.9825
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.0125
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.9875
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0125
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9875
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.0115
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9885
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.0125
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0130
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.9870
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0115
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9885
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0095
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9905
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.0090
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.9910
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0085
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.9915
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0085
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9915
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0095
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9905
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0090
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9910
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0095
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.9905
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.0090
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9910
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.0095
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.9905
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0090
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.9910
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.0090
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.9910
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0095
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0090
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9910
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0090
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0090
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0070
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.9930
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0070
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.9930
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9925
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0075
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.9925
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0075
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.9925
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0075
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.9925
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0075
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9925
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0075
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9925
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0095
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.9905
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0075
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.9925
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0095
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.9905
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0095
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.9905
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0095
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9905
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.0095
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.9905
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.0095
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.9905
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.0095
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.9905
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0095
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.9905
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0095
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0085
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.9900
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.0085
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0075
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9925
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0085
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0100
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.9900
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0075
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.9925
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0100
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.9900
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.0100
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9900
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.0265
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9735
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0135
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9865
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0160
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.9840
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.0100
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.9900
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.0090
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.9910
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0085
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.0075
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.9925
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0095
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.9905
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.0085
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0085
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.3000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.7000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.4000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.6000
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.4000
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.6000
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.4000
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.6000
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.4000
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.6000
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.6000
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5350
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.4650
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.6350
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.3650
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.6350
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.3650
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.6000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.4000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.6000
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.4000
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.6000
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.4000
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.6000
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0900
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.9100
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0900
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9100
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0900
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.9100
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0900
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.9100
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0900
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.9100
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0900
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.9100
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0950
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.9050
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0950
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9050
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0950
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9050
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0850
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.9150
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0850
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.9150
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0850
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.9150
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0850
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.9150
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0850
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.9150
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0750
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9250
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0750
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.9250
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0750
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9200
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9200
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9200
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0800
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0700
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.9300
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0230
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0130
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.9870
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0115
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9885
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0095
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9905
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.0090
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.9910
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0085
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.9915
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0085
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9915
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0095
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9905
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0090
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9910
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0095
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0090
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9910
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0090
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0090
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0070
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.9930
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0070
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.9930
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9925
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0075
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.9925
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0075
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.9925
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0075
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.9925
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0075
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9925
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0075
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9925
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0095
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.9905
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0075
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.9925
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0095
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.9905
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0095
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.9905
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0095
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9905
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0085
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.9900
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.0085
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0075
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9925
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0085
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0100
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.9900
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0075
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.9925
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0100
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.9900
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.0100
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9900
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.0265
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9735
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0135
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9865
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0160
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.4500
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.5500
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.2350
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.7650
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.4450
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.5550
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.2350
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.7650
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.2350
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.7650
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.2350
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.7650
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.2350
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.7650
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.2350
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.7650
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.2350
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.7650
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.2350
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.7650
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.2350
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.7650
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.2350
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.7650
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.2350
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.7650
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.2350
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.7650
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.2250
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.7750
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.1500
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.1500
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.1500
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.1500
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.1500
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.1500
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.1500
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.1500
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.1500
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.1500
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.1500
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.0950
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.9050
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0950
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.9050
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.9050
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.0950
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.9050
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.0950
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.9050
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.0950
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.9050
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0350
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0350
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0350
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0350
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.0350
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0350
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0350
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.0350
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.0350
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.0350
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0345
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0345
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.9655
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0345
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9655
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0340
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.9660
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0340
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.9660
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0340
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.9660
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0340
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.9660
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0340
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.9660
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0355
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9645
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0355
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9645
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0370
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.9630
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0385
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.9615
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0385
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9615
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0435
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.9565
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0460
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.9540
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0460
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.9540
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.0460
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.9540
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0460
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9540
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.0470
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.9530
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0470
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.9530
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.0470
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.9530
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0355
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.9645
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.0340
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0355
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.9645
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.0350
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9650
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0350
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.9650
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0340
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9660
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0345
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9655
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.0350
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.9650
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0335
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.9665
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0330
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.9670
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0330
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.9670
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0335
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.9665
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0355
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.9645
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0355
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.9645
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9635
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9635
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.9635
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.9635
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.9635
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.9635
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.9635
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9635
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.9635
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9635
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.9635
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9635
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9635
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.9635
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0385
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9615
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0395
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.9605
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0395
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9605
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0395
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9605
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0395
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9605
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0400
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.9600
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0410
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.9590
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0410
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9590
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0410
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.9590
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0390
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.9610
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.0400
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.9600
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0405
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.9595
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0410
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9590
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0410
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9590
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.0410
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.9590
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0445
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.9555
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.0445
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.9555
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0450
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.9550
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0445
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.9555
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0450
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.9550
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0445
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.9555
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0440
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9560
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0455
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9545
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0455
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.9545
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0450
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.9550
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0455
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9545
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0445
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9555
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0460
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9540
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0460
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9540
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0455
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.9545
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0460
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9540
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0455
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9545
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0455
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9545
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0435
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.9565
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0435
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.9565
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0435
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.9565
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0435
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.9565
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0435
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.9565
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.0435
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.9565
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0435
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9565
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0435
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9565
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0435
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.9565
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0435
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9565
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0440
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.9560
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0445
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.9555
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0345
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.9655
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0350
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.9650
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0350
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.9650
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0360
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9640
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0360
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9640
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0360
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.9640
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0365
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.9635
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0360
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9640
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0380
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9620
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0380
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.9620
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.0370
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.9630
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0355
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.9645
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0375
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9625
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0370
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.9630
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0360
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.9640
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0380
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0370
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.9630
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0345
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.9655
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0355
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9645
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0355
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9645
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0355
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9645
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0345
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9655
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0345
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9655
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0350
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.9650
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0360
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.9640
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0370
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.9630
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0370
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9630
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0365
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9635
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0355
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.9645
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0355
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9645
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0350
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9650
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0355
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.9645
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.0350
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.9650
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0360
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9640
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.0360
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.9640
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0350
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.9650
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0350
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.9650
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0355
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0355
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.9645
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0365
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9635
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0355
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9645
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0355
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.9645
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0350
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9650
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0345
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.9655
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0350
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.9650
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0360
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.9640
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0355
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9645
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0345
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9655
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0360
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9640
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0350
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9650
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0370
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9630
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0370
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.9630
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0370
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9630
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0355
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.9645
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0310
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9690
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0165
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.9835
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.0195
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.9805
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0155
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9845
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.0190
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9810
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.0150
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0165
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.9835
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0175
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9825
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0160
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9840
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0110
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.9890
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.0110
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.9890
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0110
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.9890
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0110
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9890
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0105
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9895
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0115
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.9885
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0125
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.9875
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0125
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.9875
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0105
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9895
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0105
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.9895
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0105
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.9895
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0105
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9895
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0105
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9895
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0105
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.9895
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0125
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.9875
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0105
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.9895
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0115
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.9885
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0125
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9875
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.0130
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9870
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.0115
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.9885
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.0125
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.9875
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.9900
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.0100
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.9900
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0120
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9880
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0120
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9880
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0120
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.9880
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0120
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.9880
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0120
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.9880
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.0120
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9880
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.0120
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9880
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0120
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9880
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0120
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.9880
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.0120
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.9880
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.0120
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.9880
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0125
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.9875
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.0130
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.9870
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0120
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.9880
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.0125
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.9875
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0095
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.4500
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.5500
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.2350
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.7650
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.4450
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.5550
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.2350
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.7650
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.2350
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.7650
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.2350
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.7650
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.2350
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.7650
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.2350
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.7650
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.2350
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.7650
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.2350
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.7650
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.2350
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.7650
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.2350
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.7650
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.2350
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.7650
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.2350
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.1500
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.1500
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.1500
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.1500
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.1500
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.0950
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.9050
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0950
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.9050
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.9050
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.0950
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.9050
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.0950
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.9050
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.0950
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.9050
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0350
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0350
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0350
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0350
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0345
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.9655
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0345
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9655
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0340
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.9660
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0340
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.9660
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0340
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.9660
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0340
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.9660
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0340
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.9660
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0355
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9645
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0355
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9645
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0370
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.9630
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0385
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.9615
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0385
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9615
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0435
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.9565
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0460
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.9540
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0460
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.9540
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0355
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.9645
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.0350
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9650
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0350
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.9650
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0340
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9660
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0345
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9655
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.0350
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.9650
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0335
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.9665
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0330
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.9670
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0330
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.9670
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0335
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.9665
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0355
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.9645
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0355
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.9645
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9635
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9635
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9635
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.9635
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9635
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9635
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.9635
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0385
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9615
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0395
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.9605
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0395
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9605
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0395
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9605
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0395
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9605
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0400
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.9600
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0410
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.9590
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0410
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9590
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0410
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.9590
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0390
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.9610
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0450
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.9550
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0445
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.9555
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0450
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.9550
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0445
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.9555
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0440
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9560
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0455
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9545
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0455
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.9545
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0450
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.9550
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0455
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9545
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0445
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9555
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0460
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9540
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0460
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9540
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0455
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.9545
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0460
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9540
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0455
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0435
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9565
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0435
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9565
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0435
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.9565
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0435
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9565
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0440
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.9560
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0445
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.9555
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0345
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.9655
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0350
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.9650
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0350
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.9650
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0360
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9640
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0360
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9640
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0360
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.9640
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0365
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.9635
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0360
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9640
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0380
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0370
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.9630
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0345
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.9655
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0355
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9645
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0355
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9645
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0355
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9645
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0345
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9655
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0345
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9655
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0350
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.9650
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0360
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.9640
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0370
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.9630
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0370
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9630
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0365
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9635
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0355
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.9645
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0355
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9645
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0350
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0355
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.9645
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0365
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9635
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0355
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9645
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0355
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.9645
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0350
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9650
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0345
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.9655
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0350
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.9650
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0360
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.9640
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0355
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9645
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0345
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9655
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0360
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9640
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0350
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9650
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0370
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9630
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0370
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.9630
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0370
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0165
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.9835
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0175
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9825
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0160
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9840
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0110
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.9890
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.0110
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.9890
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0110
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.9890
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0110
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9890
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0105
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9895
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0125
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.9875
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0100
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.9900
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0105
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9895
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0105
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.9895
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0105
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.9895
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0105
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9895
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0105
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9895
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0105
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.9895
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0125
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.9875
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0105
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.9895
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0115
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.9885
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0125
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9875
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.0130
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525476
Question: Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 4490.133295
Price History:
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.9900
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.0100
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.9900
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0120
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9880
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0120
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9880
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0120
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.9880
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0120
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.9880
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0120
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.9880
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.0120
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9880
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.0120
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9880
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0120
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9880
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0120
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.7500
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.2500
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.7500
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.2500
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.7500
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.2500
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.2000
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.7500
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.2500
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.7500
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.2500
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.7500
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.2500
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.7500
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.2500
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5050
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.4950
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.3900
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.6100
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.3900
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.6100
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.3900
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.6100
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.8600
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.1400
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.8600
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.1400
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.8600
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.1400
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.8600
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.1400
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.8600
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.1400
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.8600
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.1400
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.8600
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.1400
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.8700
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.1300
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.8700
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.1300
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.8600
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.1400
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.8550
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.1500
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.8550
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.1450
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.1500
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.1500
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.1500
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.1500
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.1500
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.1500
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.1500
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.8550
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.1450
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.1500
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.8500
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.1500
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.8500
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.1500
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.8500
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.1500
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.8500
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.1500
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.8500
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.1500
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.8500
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.1500
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.8500
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.1500
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.8500
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.1500
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.8500
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.1500
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.8500
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.8500
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.1500
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.8500
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.1500
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.8500
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.1500
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.8500
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.1500
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.8700
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.1300
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.8700
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.1300
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.8700
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.1300
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.8850
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.1150
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.8850
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.1150
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.8800
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.1200
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.8800
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.1200
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.8800
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.1200
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.8800
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.1200
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.8800
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.1200
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.8800
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.1200
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.8800
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.1200
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.8800
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.1200
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.8800
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.1200
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.8800
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.1200
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.8800
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.1200
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.8800
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.1200
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.8800
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.8800
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.1200
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.8850
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.1150
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.8850
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.1150
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.8800
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.1200
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.8700
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.1300
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.8700
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.1300
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.8750
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.1250
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.8600
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.1400
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.8600
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.1400
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.8600
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.1400
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.8600
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.1400
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.8600
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.1400
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.8600
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.1400
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.8600
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.1400
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.8700
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.1300
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.8650
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.1350
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.8600
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.1400
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.1450
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.1450
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.1450
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.8500
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.1500
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.1450
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.1450
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.1450
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.8500
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.1500
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.1450
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.1450
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.1450
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.8500
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.1500
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.8500
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.1500
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.8500
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.1500
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.8500
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.1500
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.1450
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.8500
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.1500
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.8500
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.1500
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.8500
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.1500
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.8500
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.1500
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.8500
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.1500
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.8500
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.1500
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.8500
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.1500
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.8500
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.1500
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.8500
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.1500
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.8500
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.8500
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.1500
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.8500
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.1500
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.8500
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.1500
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.8500
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.1500
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.8500
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.1500
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.8500
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.1500
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.8500
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.1500
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.8500
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.1500
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.9350
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.9000
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.1000
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9050
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0950
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.8850
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.1150
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.8850
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.1150
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9150
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0850
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.8900
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.1100
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.8850
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.1150
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.8900
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.1100
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.8800
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.1200
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.8800
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.1200
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.8750
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.1250
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.8750
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.1250
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.8750
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.8700
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.1300
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.8800
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.1200
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.8800
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.1200
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.8800
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.1200
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.8800
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.1200
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.8750
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.1250
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.8700
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.1300
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.8750
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.1250
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.8750
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.1250
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9250
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0750
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.9050
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0950
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.8750
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.1250
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.8850
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.1150
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.5200
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.4800
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.7400
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.2600
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.7950
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.2050
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.8300
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.1700
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.8500
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.1500
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.8200
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.8000
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.2000
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.8250
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.1750
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.7900
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.2100
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.7950
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.2050
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.7800
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.2200
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.8050
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.1950
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.8050
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.1950
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.8050
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.1950
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.7900
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.2100
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.8250
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.1750
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.8050
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.1950
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.8200
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.1800
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.8050
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.1950
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.8100
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.1900
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.8050
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.1950
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.8250
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.1750
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.8400
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.1600
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.8450
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.1550
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.8050
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.1950
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.8000
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.2000
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.7850
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.2150
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.7550
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.7600
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.2400
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.7850
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.2150
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.7750
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.2250
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.7900
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.2100
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.7850
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.2150
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.7850
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.2150
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.7900
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.2100
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.7850
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.2150
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.7850
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2150
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.7850
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.7800
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.2200
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.7650
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.2350
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.7750
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.2250
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.7750
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.2250
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.7750
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.7750
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.2250
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.7750
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.2250
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.7750
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.2250
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.7750
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.2250
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.7650
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.2350
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.7750
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.2250
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.7800
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.2200
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.7800
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.2200
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.7800
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.2200
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.7800
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.2200
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.7800
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.2200
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.7800
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.2200
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.7800
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.2200
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.7800
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.2200
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.7800
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.2200
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.7950
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.2050
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.8150
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.1850
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.8100
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.1900
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.8050
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.1950
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.8100
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.1900
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.8150
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.1850
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.8900
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.7500
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.2500
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.7500
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.2500
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.7500
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.2500
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.2000
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.7500
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.2500
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.7500
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.2500
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.7500
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.2500
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.7500
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.2500
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5050
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.4950
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.3900
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.6100
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.3900
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.6100
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.3900
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.6100
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.8600
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.1400
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.8600
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.1400
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.8600
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.1400
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.8600
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.1500
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.8550
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.1450
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.1500
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.1500
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.1500
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.1500
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.1500
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.1500
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.1500
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.8550
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.1450
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.1500
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.1500
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.8500
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.1500
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.8500
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.1500
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.8500
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.8500
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.1500
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.8500
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.1500
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.8500
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.1500
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.8500
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.1500
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.8700
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.1300
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.8700
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.1300
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.8700
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.1300
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.8850
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.1150
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.8850
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.1150
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.8800
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.1200
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.8800
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.1200
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.8800
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.1200
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.8800
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.1200
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.8800
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.1200
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.8800
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.8800
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.1200
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.8850
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.1150
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.8850
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.1150
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.8800
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.1200
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.8700
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.1300
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.8700
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.1300
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.8750
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.1250
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.8600
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.1400
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.8600
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.1400
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.8600
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.1400
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.8600
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.1400
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.8600
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.1400
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.8600
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.1400
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.8600
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.1400
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.8700
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.1450
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.1450
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.1450
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.8500
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.1500
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.1450
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.1450
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.1450
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.8500
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.1500
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.8500
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.1500
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.8500
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.1500
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.8500
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.1500
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.1450
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.8500
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.1500
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.8500
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.1500
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.8500
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.8500
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.1500
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.8500
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.1500
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.8500
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.1500
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.8500
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.1500
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.8500
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.1500
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.8500
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.1500
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.8500
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.1500
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.8500
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.1500
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.9350
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.9000
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.1000
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9050
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0950
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.8850
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.1150
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.8850
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.1150
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9150
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0850
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.8900
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.8700
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.1300
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.8800
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.1200
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.8800
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.1200
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.8800
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.1200
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.8800
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.1200
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.8750
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.1250
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.8700
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.1300
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.8750
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.1250
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.8750
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.1250
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9250
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0750
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9200
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.9050
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0950
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.8750
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.8000
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.2000
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.8250
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.1750
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.7900
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.2100
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.7950
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.2050
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.7800
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.2200
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.8050
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.1950
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.8050
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.1950
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.8050
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.1950
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.7900
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.2100
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.8250
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.1750
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.8050
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.1950
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.8200
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.1800
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.8050
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.1950
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.8100
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.1900
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.8050
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.7600
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.2400
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.7850
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.2150
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.7750
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.2250
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.7900
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.2100
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.7850
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.2150
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.7850
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.2150
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.7900
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.2100
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.7850
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.2150
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.7850
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2150
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.7850
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.2150
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525474
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 16035.304711
Price History:
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.7750
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.2250
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.7750
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.2250
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.7750
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.2250
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.7750
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.2250
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.7650
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.2350
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.7750
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.2250
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.7800
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.2200
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.7800
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.2200
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.7800
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.2200
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.7800
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.2200
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.7800
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.2200
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.7800
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.2200
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.7800
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.2200
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.7800
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.2200
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.7800
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758944
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 40424.225708
Price History:
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1014, Buy volume: 35213.79, Sell volume: 5189.44, Average price: 0.5375, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758944
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 40424.225708
Price History:
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1014, Buy volume: 35213.79, Sell volume: 5189.44, Average price: 0.5375, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758944
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 40424.225708
Price History:
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1014, Buy volume: 35213.79, Sell volume: 5189.44, Average price: 0.5375, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758944
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 40424.225708
Price History:
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1014, Buy volume: 35213.79, Sell volume: 5189.44, Average price: 0.5375, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758944
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 40424.225708
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1012, Buy volume: 35213.79, Sell volume: 5126.23, Average price: 0.5366, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758944
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 40424.225708
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1012, Buy volume: 35213.79, Sell volume: 5126.23, Average price: 0.5366, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758944
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 40424.225708
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1012, Buy volume: 35213.79, Sell volume: 5126.23, Average price: 0.5366, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758944
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 40424.225708
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1012, Buy volume: 35213.79, Sell volume: 5126.23, Average price: 0.5366, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758944
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 40424.225708
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1012, Buy volume: 35213.79, Sell volume: 5126.23, Average price: 0.5366, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758944
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 40424.225708
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1012, Buy volume: 35213.79, Sell volume: 5126.23, Average price: 0.5366, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758944
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 40424.225708
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1012, Buy volume: 35213.79, Sell volume: 5126.23, Average price: 0.5366, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes