Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700886
Question: Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14789.922387
Price History:
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9860
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0140
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9875
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0125
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9885
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0115
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9890
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0110
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 319.94, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.5868, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700886
Question: Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14789.922387
Price History:
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0110
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9895
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9890
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0110
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9890
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0110
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9900
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9880
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0120
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 63.74, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9910, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9910

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700886
Question: Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14789.922387
Price History:
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9900
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9900
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9900
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9900
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9900
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9900
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 74.22, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.3780, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9910

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700886
Question: Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14789.922387
Price History:
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 21.00, Average price: 0.3363, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700886
Question: Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14789.922387
Price History:
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0105
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9895
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0105
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9895
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0105
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 41.74, Sell volume: 129.31, Average price: 0.1124, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700886
Question: Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14789.922387
Price History:
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0105
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9895
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0105
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9895
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0105
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9895
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0105
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9895
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0105
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9895
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0105
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9895
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0105
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9895
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 129.80, Sell volume: 24.32, Average price: 0.3201, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700886
Question: Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14789.922387
Price History:
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 10286.63, Sell volume: 771.21, Average price: 0.4376, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700886
Question: Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 14789.922387
Price History:
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.5100
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.4900
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9400
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0600
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.5300
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.4700
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0500
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 122.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9618, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700886
Question: Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 14789.922387
Price History:
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0350
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9750
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0250
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9750
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0250
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 54.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700886
Question: Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 14789.922387
Price History:
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9715
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0285
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9755
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9755
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9815
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0185
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9865
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0135
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9865
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0135
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9840
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 658.03, Sell volume: 292.70, Average price: 0.6613, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700886
Question: Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 14789.922387
Price History:
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0150
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9850
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0150
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9845
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0155
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9850
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0150
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9850
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0150
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9860
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0140
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9905
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 129.22, Sell volume: 27.18, Average price: 0.5543, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700886
Question: Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 14789.922387
Price History:
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9900
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0100
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9900
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.13, Sell volume: 194.00, Average price: 0.9905, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700886
Question: Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 14789.922387
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 149.43, Sell volume: 109.31, Average price: 0.3772, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700886
Question: Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 14789.922387
Price History:
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9860
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0140
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9875
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0125
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9885
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0115
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9890
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0110
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 319.94, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.5868, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700886
Question: Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 14789.922387
Price History:
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0110
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9895
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9890
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0110
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9890
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0110
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9900
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9880
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0120
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 63.74, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9910, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700886
Question: Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 14789.922387
Price History:
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9900
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9900
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9900
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9900
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9900
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9900
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 74.22, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.3780, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700886
Question: Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 14789.922387
Price History:
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 21.00, Average price: 0.3363, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700886
Question: Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 14789.922387
Price History:
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0105
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9895
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0105
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9895
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0105
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 41.74, Sell volume: 129.31, Average price: 0.1124, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700886
Question: Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 14789.922387
Price History:
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0105
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9895
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0105
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9895
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0105
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9895
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0105
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9895
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0105
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9895
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0105
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9895
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0105
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9895
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 129.80, Sell volume: 24.32, Average price: 0.3201, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700886
Question: Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 14789.922387
Price History:
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 10286.63, Sell volume: 771.21, Average price: 0.4376, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9400
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0600
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.7200
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.2800
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.6000
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.4000
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.6050
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0500
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 58.70, Sell volume: 4.00, Average price: 0.8580, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0350
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9800
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0200
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9845
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0155
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9845
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0155
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9845
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0155
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9845
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0155
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9845
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0155
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9845
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 54.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9750, Price range: 0.9750 - 0.9750

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9885
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0115
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9895
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0105
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9900
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0100
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9865
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0135
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9825
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0175
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9800
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0200
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9705
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0295
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 757.10, Sell volume: 198.53, Average price: 0.7419, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0175
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9805
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0195
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9710
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0290
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9825
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0175
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9760
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0240
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9800
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0200
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9635
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1196.20, Sell volume: 69.59, Average price: 0.4283, Price range: 0.0204 - 0.9760

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9690
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0310
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9680
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0320
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9680
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0320
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9675
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0325
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9680
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0320
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9685
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0315
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 231, Buy volume: 15524.45, Sell volume: 2951.22, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0315
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9685
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0315
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9685
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0315
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9680
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0320
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9805
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0195
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9700
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0300
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9530
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0470
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 206.26, Sell volume: 98.97, Average price: 0.3421, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9810

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9545
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0455
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9480
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0520
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9600
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0400
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.8690
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.1310
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9170
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0830
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9035
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0965
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9035
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0965
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 371.00, Sell volume: 76.10, Average price: 0.5412, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9740

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0965
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9035
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0965
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9035
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0965
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9015
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0985
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9180
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0820
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9225
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0775
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9190
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0810
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9540
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 167.00, Average price: 0.9497, Price range: 0.9490 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9540
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0460
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9540
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0460
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9540
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0460
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9540
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0460
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9570
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0430
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9035
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0965
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.8970
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.1030
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.8985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 309.04, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5041, Price range: 0.0530 - 0.9620

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.1015
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9045
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0955
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9035
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0965
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9090
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0910
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9060
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0940
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9195
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0805
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9190
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0810
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9255
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 17.00, Sell volume: 52.00, Average price: 0.2600, Price range: 0.0372 - 0.8830

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9240
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0760
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9225
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0775
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9565
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0435
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9330
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0670
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9565
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0435
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9570
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0430
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 61.74, Sell volume: 127.73, Average price: 0.1819, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9630

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0430
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9315
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0685
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9295
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0705
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9310
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0690
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9330
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0670
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9260
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0740
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9590
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0410
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9705
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 220.28, Sell volume: 185.87, Average price: 0.4831, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9810

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9905
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9735
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0265
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9665
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0335
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 11586.62, Sell volume: 1765.46, Average price: 0.4018, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9400
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0600
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.7200
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.2800
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.6000
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.4000
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.6050
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0500
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 58.70, Sell volume: 4.00, Average price: 0.8580, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0350
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9800
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0200
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9845
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0155
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9845
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0155
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9845
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0155
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9845
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0155
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9845
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0155
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9845
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 54.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9750, Price range: 0.9750 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9885
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0115
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9895
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0105
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9900
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0100
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9865
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0135
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9825
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0175
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9800
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0200
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9705
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0295
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 757.10, Sell volume: 198.53, Average price: 0.7419, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0175
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9805
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0195
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9710
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0290
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9825
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0175
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9760
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0240
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9800
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0200
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9635
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1196.20, Sell volume: 69.59, Average price: 0.4283, Price range: 0.0204 - 0.9760
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9690
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0310
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9680
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0320
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9680
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0320
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9675
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0325
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9680
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0320
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9685
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0315
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 231, Buy volume: 15524.45, Sell volume: 2951.22, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0315
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9685
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0315
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9685
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0315
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9680
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0320
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9805
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0195
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9700
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0300
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9530
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0470
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 206.26, Sell volume: 98.97, Average price: 0.3421, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9545
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0455
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9480
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0520
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9600
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0400
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.8690
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.1310
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9170
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0830
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9035
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0965
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9035
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0965
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 371.00, Sell volume: 76.10, Average price: 0.5412, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0965
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9035
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0965
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9035
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0965
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9015
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0985
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9180
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0820
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9225
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0775
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9190
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0810
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9540
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 167.00, Average price: 0.9497, Price range: 0.9490 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9540
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0460
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9540
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0460
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9540
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0460
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9540
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0460
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9570
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0430
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9035
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0965
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.8970
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.1030
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.8985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 309.04, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5041, Price range: 0.0530 - 0.9620
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.1015
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9045
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0955
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9035
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0965
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9090
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0910
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9060
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0940
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9195
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0805
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9190
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0810
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9255
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 17.00, Sell volume: 52.00, Average price: 0.2600, Price range: 0.0372 - 0.8830
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9240
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0760
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9225
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0775
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9565
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0435
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9330
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0670
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9565
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0435
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9570
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0430
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 61.74, Sell volume: 127.73, Average price: 0.1819, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9630
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0430
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9315
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0685
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9295
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0705
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9310
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0690
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9330
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0670
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9260
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0740
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9590
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0410
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9705
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 220.28, Sell volume: 185.87, Average price: 0.4831, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700888
Question: Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Volume: 18475.671215
Price History:
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9905
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9735
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0265
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9665
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0335
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 11586.62, Sell volume: 1765.46, Average price: 0.4018, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.4950
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.9700
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0170
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9795
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0065
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9890
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0125
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9870
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0125
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9875
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.0125
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9900
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0105
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9910
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0090
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.9910
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0090
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.9910
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.0090
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.9910
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0090
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9910
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0090
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9910
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0090
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9895
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0100
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.9915
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0085
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.9910
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0090
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9910
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0095
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.9910
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0090
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.9910
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0095
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.9905
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.0090
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.9910
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0095
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.9905
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.0095
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.9905
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.0095
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9905
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.0095
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.9910
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0105
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 117561674.58, Sell volume: 120059331.89, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0085
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9915
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0070
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.9930
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0070
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9930
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0070
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.9930
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0065
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.9935
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0055
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9910
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0055
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9945
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0055
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9935
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0060
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9940
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0065
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9935
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0065
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9940
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0060
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9935
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.0095
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.9905
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0065
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.9935
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.0060
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.9940
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.0060
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.9940
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.0055
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.9945
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.0050
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9935
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.0100
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.9885
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.0115
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.9890
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.0120
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9895
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.0085
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.9920
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.0080
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.9920
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.0075
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.9930
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.0070
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 117561674.58, Sell volume: 120059331.89, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.0050
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9950
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.0065
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.9935
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.0065
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.9935
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0065
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9935
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0065
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.9940
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0060
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.9940
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.0060
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.9940
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.0075
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.9925
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0085
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.9910
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0105
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9900
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.0100
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.9900
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.9925
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.0075
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0120
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.9890
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0110
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.9890
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.0085
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.9890
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0100
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.9900
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.0090
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9890
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.0110
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.9890
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0110
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.9885
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0095
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9880
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0110
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.9890
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0115
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9890
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 117561674.58, Sell volume: 120059331.89, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0125
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.9900
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0150
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9855
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0110
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9855
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0140
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9865
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0145
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9860
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0125
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9855
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0145
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.9895
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0140
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9845
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0145
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.9850
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0150
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9870
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0115
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9850
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9885
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9900
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9915
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0085
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9920
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9895
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0085
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9920
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0085
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9915
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0110
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9915
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0120
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9915
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0110
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9920
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0080
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 117561674.58, Sell volume: 120059331.89, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0115
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9875
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0110
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9880
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0105
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9890
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.0130
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.9880
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0095
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.9905
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0095
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.9905
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0095
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.9905
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.0120
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.9870
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0110
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.9900
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0095
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.9885
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0105
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.9905
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0095
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.9905
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0110
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.9875
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0130
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9875
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0150
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.9850
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0150
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9845
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0150
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.9845
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0150
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9860
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0135
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.9850
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0145
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9885
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0155
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9850
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0145
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.9865
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0135
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.9850
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0160
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9845
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0150
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 117561674.58, Sell volume: 120059331.89, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0160
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9840
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9850
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0160
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9865
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0140
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9850
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0085
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0075
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9920
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0075
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9925
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0075
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.9925
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0075
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.9925
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0075
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.9925
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0075
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.9925
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0075
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.9925
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0065
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9930
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0070
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9930
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0070
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9945
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.9940
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.9945
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.9940
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.9940
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.9940
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9940
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9940
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0060
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.9940
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0055
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 117561674.58, Sell volume: 120059331.89, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0055
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.9945
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0055
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.9945
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0055
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9945
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0055
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9945
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0055
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.9945
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0055
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.9945
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0075
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.9935
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0070
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.9925
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0065
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.9925
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9935
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0080
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.9935
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.9950
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0050
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.9950
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0050
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9950
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0100
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9935
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0045
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0045
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0045
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0045
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.9955
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0045
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.9955
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0045
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.9955
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0045
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.9955
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0045
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0045
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 117561674.58, Sell volume: 120059331.89, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0045
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.9955
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0045
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.9955
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0045
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0045
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.9955
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0045
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9955
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.9955
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9955
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9955
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9955
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0045
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.9955
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0045
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0045
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.9955
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0045
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.9955
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.0045
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9955
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0045
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.9955
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0045
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.9955
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.0045
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.9955
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.0045
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.9955
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.0045
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.9955
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.9955
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0110
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.9945
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.0055
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.9925
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.0075
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.9900
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.0170
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.9890
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0105
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 117561674.58, Sell volume: 120059331.89, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0095
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.9885
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.0100
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.9875
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.0130
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.9865
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0120
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9950
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.9950
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0050
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0050
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9950
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.0050
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.9950
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.0050
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.0050
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9950
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0050
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9955
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.9955
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0045
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.9955
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0045
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.9955
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0045
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0045
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.9955
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0045
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0045
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9955
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9955
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.9955
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0045
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.9955
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.9955
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0045
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0045
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.9955
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.9955
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9955
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.0045
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0045
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.9955
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9955
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.9955
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.9955
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.9955
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9955
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 117561674.58, Sell volume: 120059331.89, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.9955
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0045
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9955
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.0045
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9965
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0035
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0035
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9965
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0035
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0040
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 117561674.58, Sell volume: 120059331.89, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-09-17 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9965
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9965
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9965
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999112, Buy volume: 115888626.84, Sell volume: 119978022.83, Average price: 0.9792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0075
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9940
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 832, Buy volume: 1663469.82, Sell volume: 78387.96, Average price: 0.7698, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9840
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0115
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 9577.92, Sell volume: 2921.10, Average price: 0.8548, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.4950
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9785
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0200
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9890
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0125
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9875
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.0125
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9895
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0090
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.9910
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0090
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.9910
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0090
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9910
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0090
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9895
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0085
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9900
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0090
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9910
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0095
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.9910
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.0095
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.9905
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0095
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.9905
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0095
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9905
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0090
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 117561674.58, Sell volume: 120059331.89, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0085
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9930
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0070
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9930
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0070
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.9935
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0055
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9940
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0060
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9935
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.9935
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0065
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9940
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.0065
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.9905
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0065
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.9940
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.0060
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.9940
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.0055
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9935
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.0125
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.9900
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.0120
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.9915
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.0080
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.9920
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0075
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 117561674.58, Sell volume: 120059331.89, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.0050
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9935
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0065
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.9935
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0065
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.9940
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0060
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.9940
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.0065
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.9925
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.0080
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.9900
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.9890
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.0075
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.9890
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0110
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.9890
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.0090
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.9900
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0110
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.9890
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0110
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.9895
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0110
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.9890
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0110
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 117561674.58, Sell volume: 120059331.89, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0125
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.9855
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0145
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9855
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0140
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9875
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0125
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9850
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0140
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9845
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0145
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9885
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0115
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9870
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0135
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9900
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0085
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0080
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9920
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0085
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9885
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0085
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0085
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9915
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0080
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 117561674.58, Sell volume: 120059331.89, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0115
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9890
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0115
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9890
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0120
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.9905
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0095
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.9905
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0100
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.9870
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0105
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.9895
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0105
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.9905
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0110
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.9875
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0145
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9850
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0150
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.9850
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0155
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9860
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0140
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9875
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0155
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.9865
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0145
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.9850
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0160
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 117561674.58, Sell volume: 120059331.89, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0160
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9855
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0150
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9865
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0150
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9925
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0080
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9925
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0075
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9925
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0075
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.9925
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0075
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.9925
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0070
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.9930
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0070
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.9940
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.9945
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.9940
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9940
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9940
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 117561674.58, Sell volume: 120059331.89, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0055
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9945
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0055
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9945
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0055
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9945
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0055
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.9920
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0070
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.9925
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0065
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.9940
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0080
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.9950
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0050
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.9950
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0050
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.9905
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0045
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0045
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0045
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9955
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0045
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9955
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.9955
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 117561674.58, Sell volume: 120059331.89, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0045
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.9955
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0045
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0045
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.9955
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9955
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9955
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0045
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9955
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0045
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.9955
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.0045
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.9955
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.0045
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.9955
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0045
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.9955
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.9955
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0045
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.9955
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0110
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.9915
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0060
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.9900
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.0095
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 117561674.58, Sell volume: 120059331.89, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0095
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.9880
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.0135
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.9865
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.0050
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.9950
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0050
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.9950
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.0050
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.0050
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.9950
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.9955
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0045
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9955
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0045
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0045
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0045
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.0045
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9955
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.0045
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.9955
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0045
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9955
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.9955
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.0045
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.0045
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.0045
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.9955
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9955
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 117561674.58, Sell volume: 120059331.89, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.9955
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.9955
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.9955
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9965
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9965
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9965
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 117561674.58, Sell volume: 120059331.89, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-09-17 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9965
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9965
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999112, Buy volume: 115888626.84, Sell volume: 119978022.83, Average price: 0.9792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 832, Buy volume: 1663469.82, Sell volume: 78387.96, Average price: 0.7698, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521936
Question: Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 2324363.060788
Price History:
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0220
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 9577.92, Sell volume: 2921.10, Average price: 0.8548, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.2600
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.6800
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.3200
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.6850
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.2850
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.7100
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.2900
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.7150
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.2900
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.7100
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.2900
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.7100
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.2900
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.7100
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.2900
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.7100
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.2800
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.7200
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.3000
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.7000
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.3050
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.6950
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.3050
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.6950
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.2950
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.8650
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.8500
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.1450
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.8550
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.1550
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.8450
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.1550
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.8450
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.1500
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.8500
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.1500
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.8450
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.1550
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.8450
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.1550
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.8050
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.2000
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.8050
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.1750
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.8200
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.2000
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.8000
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 20390985.68, Sell volume: 13617453.13, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.8500
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.1500
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.8350
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.1850
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.8300
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.1800
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.8200
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.1650
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.8100
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.1750
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.8250
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.2050
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.7900
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.2150
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.7900
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.2100
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.7900
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.2150
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.7850
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.2000
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.7800
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.2150
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.7850
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.2100
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.7800
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.2200
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.7850
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.2150
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.7650
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.2350
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.7550
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.2450
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.2250
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.7700
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.2000
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.8050
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.1950
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.8050
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.1950
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.8000
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.1850
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.8150
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.1850
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.8100
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.1650
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.8550
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 20390985.68, Sell volume: 13617453.13, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.8790
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.1295
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.8475
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.1575
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.8855
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.1350
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.8470
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.1210
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.8395
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.1570
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.8410
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.1700
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.8120
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.1650
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.8320
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.1680
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.8190
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.1655
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.8295
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.1755
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.7860
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.1740
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.7925
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.2105
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.7895
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.2100
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.7905
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.2115
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.7890
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.2120
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.7635
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.2645
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.7390
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.2990
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.6810
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.3085
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.7205
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.2880
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.7150
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.2595
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.7180
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.2840
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.6640
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.3370
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.6830
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.3030
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.7060
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.3015
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.7155
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.2590
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 20390985.68, Sell volume: 13617453.13, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.7445
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.2415
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.7600
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.2425
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.7670
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.2365
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.7640
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.2375
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.7650
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.2305
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.6710
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.3285
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.6970
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.3220
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.6960
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.2630
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.7120
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.2785
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.7305
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.2780
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.7280
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.2605
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.7425
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.2570
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.7430
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.2555
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.7490
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.2535
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.7425
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.2585
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.7420
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.2645
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.7335
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.2620
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.7555
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.2325
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.7730
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.2320
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.7640
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.2325
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.7475
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.2395
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.7650
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.2415
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.7565
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.2450
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.7525
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.2540
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.6705
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.2835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 20390985.68, Sell volume: 13617453.13, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.7155
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.2850
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.7140
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.2850
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.7455
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.2450
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.7540
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.2250
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.7750
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.2375
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.7630
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.2150
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.8075
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.1895
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.8075
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.2060
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.7920
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.1960
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.8070
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.1915
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.8085
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.1835
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.8305
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.1680
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.8320
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.1705
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.8300
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.1665
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.8335
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.1585
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.8255
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.1620
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.8390
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.1345
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.8605
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.1565
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.8185
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.1865
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.8385
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.1565
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.8965
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.1245
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.8675
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.1305
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.8695
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.1335
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.8670
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0965
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9345
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 20390985.68, Sell volume: 13617453.13, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.9180
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0850
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.8900
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.1110
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.9045
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.1075
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.8935
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.1165
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.8935
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.0905
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.8550
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.1425
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.8745
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.1065
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.8545
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.1385
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.8905
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.1090
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.8730
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.1370
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.8625
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.1155
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.9020
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.1125
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.8910
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.1045
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.8605
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.1380
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.8560
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.1815
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.7820
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.2410
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.7580
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.2460
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.7955
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.2020
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.7595
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.2390
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.7890
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.2145
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.7790
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.2225
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.7595
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.1535
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.8415
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.1285
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.8335
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.1610
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.8310
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.1690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 20390985.68, Sell volume: 13617453.13, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.8240
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.1445
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.8605
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.1530
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.8525
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.1540
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.8575
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.1410
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.8320
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.1620
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.8185
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.1910
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.8370
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.1625
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.8240
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.1755
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.8335
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.1865
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.8270
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.1845
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.8140
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.1855
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.7915
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.2055
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.7895
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.1900
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.8270
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.1585
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.8355
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.1895
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.8050
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.1925
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.7875
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.2000
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.7275
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.2480
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.7355
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.2475
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.7235
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.2740
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.7050
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.2815
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.7225
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.2955
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.7030
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.3010
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.7055
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.2795
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.7400
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.2660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 20390985.68, Sell volume: 13617453.13, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.7095
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.2875
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.7035
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.3395
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.6930
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.2935
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.6895
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.3140
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.6935
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.3055
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.6870
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.3290
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.6780
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.3560
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.6165
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.3740
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.5760
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.4530
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.5415
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.4645
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.5305
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.4785
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.5310
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.4670
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.5110
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.5140
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.4525
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.5575
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.4315
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.5155
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.4925
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.5135
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.4405
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.5325
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.4115
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.5640
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.4245
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.5540
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.4645
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.5485
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.5360
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.4595
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.4640
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.4610
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.5325
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.5430
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.5410
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.4775
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.5250
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.4895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 20390985.68, Sell volume: 13617453.13, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.5930
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.6265
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.5600
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.4265
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.5210
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.4780
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.5135
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.4980
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.4655
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.5285
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.5325
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.5345
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.4820
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.5165
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.4795
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.4850
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.4830
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.5290
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.4705
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.5295
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.5310
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.4685
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.5285
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.5355
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.5260
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.4695
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.5555
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.4460
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.5770
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.4315
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.5790
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.4220
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.5680
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.5845
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.4535
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.5550
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.4495
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.5555
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.7215
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.5625
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.6635
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.3725
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.4220
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.3900
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.6150
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.4150
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.5660
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.5850
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.5550
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 20390985.68, Sell volume: 13617453.13, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.4310
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.4315
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.5765
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.5775
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.4065
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.5910
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.5900
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.4100
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.4070
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.5920
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.4075
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.4090
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.5790
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.4355
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.5645
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.4360
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.5595
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.4400
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.3920
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.3885
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.4315
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.5795
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.4270
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.5735
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.5660
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.4345
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4485
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.5500
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.4705
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.4765
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.5315
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.4680
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.5315
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.5285
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.4775
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.5225
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.4780
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.4780
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.5160
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.4840
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.4895
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.4895
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.5075
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.4855
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.5035
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.4945
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.4860
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.4825
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.5590
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.4335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 20390985.68, Sell volume: 13617453.13, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.3955
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.6050
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.6105
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.3965
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.5610
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.4450
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.5620
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.5805
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.5840
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.5970
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.3885
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.6120
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.3865
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.5890
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.3915
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.5990
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.3955
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.5980
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.4065
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.4395
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.5650
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.5675
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.4460
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.5270
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.4985
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.4740
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.5465
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.4450
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.5510
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.4450
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.6120
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.4070
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.3610
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.6415
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.3600
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.6445
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.3470
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.3470
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.3505
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.3275
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.6870
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.2950
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.2605
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.2645
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.7235
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.2755
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.2810
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.2735
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.2690
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.7360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 20390985.68, Sell volume: 13617453.13, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.2865
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.7135
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.7165
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.7125
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.2820
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.2740
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.7275
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.7265
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.2785
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.7255
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.2700
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.7220
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.2830
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.2860
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.7135
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.3055
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.6885
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.6900
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.3040
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.3135
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.7035
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.7090
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.2880
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.3060
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.6845
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.2875
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.2820
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.2830
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.2830
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.7180
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.7135
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.7135
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.7205
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.6820
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.6615
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.6415
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.3855
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.3675
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.3700
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.3725
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.6335
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.6290
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.5365
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.4570
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.5995
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.3990
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.5800
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4385
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 20390985.68, Sell volume: 13617453.13, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5110
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4805
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4925
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5030
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4960
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5235
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5165
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.4745
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.5810
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.4415
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.5845
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.4090
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.7135
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.5605
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5065
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.5035
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.4300
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.4505
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.5880
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.4360
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.4340
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.5560
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.4715
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.5320
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.5435
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.4630
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.5555
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.4430
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.5565
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.4560
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.4500
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.3720
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.3610
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.2245
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.7110
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.2690
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.6960
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.6785
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.2965
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.7050
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.2730
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.7275
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.2735
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.7245
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.2680
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.2880
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.6990
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.6890
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.7435
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.2665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999831, Buy volume: 20304723.03, Sell volume: 13513701.18, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0609 - 0.9487

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.3200
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.6950
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.2850
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.7100
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.2900
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.7100
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.2900
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.7100
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.2900
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.7200
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.3000
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.6950
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.3050
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.6950
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.1350
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.8500
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.1450
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.8500
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.1550
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.8450
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.1500
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.8450
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.1550
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.8450
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.2000
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.8250
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.1950
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.8000
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 20390985.68, Sell volume: 13617453.13, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.8500
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.1600
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.8350
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.1950
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.8350
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.1750
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.8250
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.2100
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.7800
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.2100
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.7850
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.2000
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.7850
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.2150
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.7800
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.2200
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.7850
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.2350
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.7550
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.2450
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.7700
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.2300
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.8050
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.1950
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.8000
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.1850
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.8150
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.1850
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.8650
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 20390985.68, Sell volume: 13617453.13, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.8790
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.1410
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.8455
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.1665
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.8790
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.1575
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.8355
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.1880
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.8325
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.1765
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.8330
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.1755
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.8070
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.2085
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.7895
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.2105
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.7890
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.2290
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.7355
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.3770
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.6845
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.2800
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.7150
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.2735
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.7120
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.3370
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.6970
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.2780
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.7420
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.2580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 20390985.68, Sell volume: 13617453.13, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes