Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.2450
2025-01-06 15:00: 0.0600
2025-01-06 17:00: 0.0290
2025-01-06 19:00: 0.0195
2025-01-06 21:00: 0.0385
2025-01-06 23:00: 0.0405
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.0430
2025-01-07 03:00: 0.0450
2025-01-07 05:00: 0.0420
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.0440
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.0430
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.0450
2025-01-07 13:00: 0.0440
2025-01-07 15:00: 0.0440
2025-01-07 17:00: 0.0440
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.0440
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.0455
2025-01-07 23:00: 0.0435
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.0435
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.0435
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.0445
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.0440
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.0440
2025-01-08 11:00: 0.0430
2025-01-08 13:00: 0.0435
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.0450
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.0455
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.0475
2025-01-08 21:00: 0.0495
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.0495
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.0485
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.0485
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.0485
2025-01-09 07:00: 0.0495
2025-01-09 09:00: 0.0470
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.0480
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.0480
2025-01-09 15:00: 0.0220
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.0205
2025-01-09 19:00: 0.0195
2025-01-09 21:00: 0.0230
2025-01-09 23:00: 0.0295
2025-01-10 01:00: 0.0295
2025-01-10 03:00: 0.0305
2025-01-10 05:00: 0.0305
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.0200
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.0205
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.0195
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.0270
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3960778769.87, Sell volume: 93918701.78, Average price: 0.8703, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.0420
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.0410
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0280
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.0215
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.0095
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.0080
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.0040
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0050
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.0040
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.0030
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.0045
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0035
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.0025
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.0035
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.0020
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.0020
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.0020
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.0105
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.0180
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.0160
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.0135
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.0060
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.0040
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0060
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.0065
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.0060
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.0055
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.0055
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.0055
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.0055
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.0065
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.0055
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.0055
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.0055
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.0045
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.0060
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.0060
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.0050
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0050
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3960778769.87, Sell volume: 93918701.78, Average price: 0.8703, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.0020
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.0030
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.0030
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.0020
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.0020
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.0020
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.0020
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.0020
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.0020
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.0020
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.0020
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.0020
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.0020
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.0020
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.0020
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.0020
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.0020
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.0020
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.0020
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.0020
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.0020
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.0020
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.0020
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 255744, Buy volume: 1433884682.00, Sell volume: 27796176.00, Average price: 0.9591, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.0050
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.0060
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0045
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.0050
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.0050
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.0045
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.0025
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.0030
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.0030
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.0030
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.0030
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.0030
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.0035
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.0040
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.0045
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.0045
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.0045
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.0045
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.0045
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.0045
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.0045
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.0045
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.0045
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.0045
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.0045
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.0045
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.0045
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.0040
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.0040
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0040
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.0035
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 703415, Buy volume: 2286616499.31, Sell volume: 66026331.83, Average price: 0.8309, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.0040
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.0040
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.0040
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.0045
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.0035
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.0035
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.0035
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.0080
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.0065
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.0045
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.0045
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0045
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.0045
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.0045
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.0035
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.0035
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.0035
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.0040
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.0040
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.0035
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.0035
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.0035
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.0035
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.0035
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.0035
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.0035
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.0035
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.0035
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.0035
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.0035
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.0035
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.0035
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.0035
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.0035
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.0035
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0035
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.0035
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.0035
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0035
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.0035
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0035
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0035
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.0035
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.0035
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0035
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.0035
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.0035
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 125, Buy volume: 18461.20, Sell volume: 13884.38, Average price: 0.6950, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0035
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.0035
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0035
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0035
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.0035
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 12407.25, Sell volume: 5104.30, Average price: 0.6021, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 14634.65, Sell volume: 5343.73, Average price: 0.9391, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 173, Buy volume: 17503.17, Sell volume: 6740.49, Average price: 0.9229, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 18646.06, Sell volume: 22291.22, Average price: 0.9282, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89, Buy volume: 31832.32, Sell volume: 10828.73, Average price: 0.7744, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0010
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 41592.66, Sell volume: 25314.27, Average price: 0.6934, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0010
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0010
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0010
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0010
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0010
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0010
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 75217.71, Sell volume: 6156.06, Average price: 0.4848, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0010
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 110203.70, Sell volume: 129.68, Average price: 0.1746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.2450
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.9705
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.0485
2025-01-06 23:00: 0.9595
2025-01-07 03:00: 0.0450
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.9555
2025-01-07 10:00: 0.0430
2025-01-07 13:00: 0.9560
2025-01-07 17:00: 0.0440
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.9570
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0435
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.9565
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.0440
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.9565
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.0445
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.9545
2025-01-08 21:00: 0.0495
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.9525
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.0485
2025-01-09 07:00: 0.9505
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.0480
2025-01-09 14:00: 0.9520
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.0210
2025-01-09 21:00: 0.9770
2025-01-10 01:00: 0.0295
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.9695
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.0200
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.9805
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.0195
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3960778769.87, Sell volume: 93918701.78, Average price: 0.8703, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.0420
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.9575
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.0135
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.9920
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0050
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.9965
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.0035
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.9975
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0035
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.9965
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.0020
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.9980
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.9895
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.0160
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.9935
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.0040
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.9935
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.0055
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.9935
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.0050
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.9945
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.9955
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.0060
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.9950
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.0050
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3960778769.87, Sell volume: 93918701.78, Average price: 0.8703, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.0020
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.0020
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.9975
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.9975
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.9980
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.9980
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.9980
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0020
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.0020
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.9980
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.9980
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.0020
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.9975
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.0020
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.9980
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.9980
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.0020
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.9980
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.0020
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 255744, Buy volume: 1433884682.00, Sell volume: 27796176.00, Average price: 0.9591, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.9980
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.9950
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0045
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.9950
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.0045
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.9975
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.0030
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.9970
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.0030
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.9960
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.0045
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.9955
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.0045
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.9955
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.0045
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.9955
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.0045
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.9955
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.0040
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9960
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.0040
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9965
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.0035
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 703415, Buy volume: 2286616499.31, Sell volume: 66026331.83, Average price: 0.8309, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.0040
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.9960
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.0035
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.9965
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.0080
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.9930
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.0045
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.9955
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.0035
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.9965
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0035
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.9960
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.0035
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.9965
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.0035
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.9965
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.0035
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.9965
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.0035
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.9965
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.0035
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.9965
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0035
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.9965
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0035
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.9965
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.0035
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.9965
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.0035
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 125, Buy volume: 18461.20, Sell volume: 13884.38, Average price: 0.6950, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0035
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.9965
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.0035
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.9965
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.9965
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.9965
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.9965
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.9965
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.9965
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.9965
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.9975
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.9975
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.9975
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.9975
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.9975
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 12407.25, Sell volume: 5104.30, Average price: 0.6021, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 14634.65, Sell volume: 5343.73, Average price: 0.9391, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.9975
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.9975
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9975
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9975
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.9975
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.9975
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.9975
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 173, Buy volume: 17503.17, Sell volume: 6740.49, Average price: 0.9229, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.9975
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.9975
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.9975
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9975
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.9975
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.9975
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9975
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.9975
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.9985
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.9985
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 18646.06, Sell volume: 22291.22, Average price: 0.9282, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9985
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.9985
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.9985
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.9985
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.9985
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.9985
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.9985
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.9985
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.9985
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.9995
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89, Buy volume: 31832.32, Sell volume: 10828.73, Average price: 0.7744, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.9995
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.9995
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.9985
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.9985
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.9980
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.0020
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 41592.66, Sell volume: 25314.27, Average price: 0.6934, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.9995
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9995
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.9990
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0010
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.9985
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.9990
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.9990
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 75217.71, Sell volume: 6156.06, Average price: 0.4848, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517555
Question: Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 3750274.821707
Price History:
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9985
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0010
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.9985
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 110203.70, Sell volume: 129.68, Average price: 0.1746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.2450
2025-01-06 15:00: 0.0550
2025-01-06 17:00: 0.0290
2025-01-06 19:00: 0.0290
2025-01-06 21:00: 0.0290
2025-01-06 23:00: 0.0315
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.0315
2025-01-07 03:00: 0.0385
2025-01-07 05:00: 0.0340
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.0365
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.0355
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.0375
2025-01-07 13:00: 0.0365
2025-01-07 15:00: 0.0260
2025-01-07 17:00: 0.0315
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.0330
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.0340
2025-01-07 23:00: 0.0240
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.0335
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.0340
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.0320
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.0320
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.0325
2025-01-08 11:00: 0.0330
2025-01-08 13:00: 0.0325
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.0335
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.0420
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.0450
2025-01-08 21:00: 0.0495
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.0455
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.0935
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.0840
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.1035
2025-01-09 07:00: 0.0950
2025-01-09 09:00: 0.0955
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.0920
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.0960
2025-01-09 15:00: 0.0840
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.0845
2025-01-09 19:00: 0.0845
2025-01-09 21:00: 0.0845
2025-01-09 23:00: 0.0845
2025-01-10 01:00: 0.0850
2025-01-10 03:00: 0.1020
2025-01-10 05:00: 0.0920
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.0915
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.1035
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.1160
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.1395
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.1215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 75211474.11, Sell volume: 47744691.65, Average price: 0.8506, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.0915
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.0905
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0905
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.0905
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.0905
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.0845
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.0910
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0845
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.0830
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.0760
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.0760
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.0750
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0760
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.0770
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0465
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.0315
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.0225
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.0270
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.0270
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.0280
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.0250
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.0090
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.0085
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.0085
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.0090
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.0110
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.0125
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.0125
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.0125
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0125
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.0125
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.0125
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.0125
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.0125
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.0130
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.0300
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.0065
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.0050
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.0050
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0050
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.0050
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.0045
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.0045
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 75211474.11, Sell volume: 47744691.65, Average price: 0.8506, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.0020
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.0020
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.0020
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.0020
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.0020
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.0020
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.0020
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.0025
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.0025
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.0025
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.0025
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.0020
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.0020
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.0020
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25974, Buy volume: 7632904.12, Sell volume: 5126947.92, Average price: 0.6153, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.0020
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.0020
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.0020
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.0025
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.0030
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.0025
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.0025
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0025
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.0030
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.0025
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 285714, Buy volume: 44663793.41, Sell volume: 26294958.72, Average price: 0.6920, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.0030
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.0030
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.0040
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.0040
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.0025
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.0025
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.0025
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.0035
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.0025
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.0025
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.0025
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0025
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.0025
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.0025
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.0025
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.0025
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.0025
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.0025
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.0025
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.0045
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.0055
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.0045
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.0045
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.0050
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.0040
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.0045
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.0050
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.0045
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.0045
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.0045
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.0045
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.0050
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.0045
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.0050
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.0035
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.0035
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.0035
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0035
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.0035
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.0035
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0035
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.0045
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0045
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0050
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.0055
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.0055
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0045
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.0045
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.0045
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 687416, Buy volume: 22742376.28, Sell volume: 16246365.41, Average price: 0.9254, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.0060
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0055
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0055
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.0050
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0045
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0050
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0045
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0045
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0045
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0045
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0045
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.0045
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0045
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0055
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0060
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0055
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0050
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.0050
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0050
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0050
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0060
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0060
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0060
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0055
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0030
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0030
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0035
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0040
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.0040
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0040
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0040
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0040
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0040
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0040
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0035
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0035
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0030
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0030
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.0035
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.0035
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.0030
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.0030
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0030
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 133, Buy volume: 18395.47, Sell volume: 6931.28, Average price: 0.4157, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0030
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0030
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 10413.06, Sell volume: 3492.34, Average price: 0.9553, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 166, Buy volume: 12642.67, Sell volume: 4469.44, Average price: 0.9617, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 168, Buy volume: 26099.19, Sell volume: 24567.49, Average price: 0.9268, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 212, Buy volume: 11881.25, Sell volume: 9954.32, Average price: 0.9092, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 37676.81, Sell volume: 23621.26, Average price: 0.5788, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0010
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0010
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0010
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 23136.53, Sell volume: 2979.99, Average price: 0.5217, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0010
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0010
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0010
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0010
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0010
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0010
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0010
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.0010
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0010
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0010
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 31639.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.2450
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.9710
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.0280
2025-01-06 23:00: 0.9685
2025-01-07 03:00: 0.0385
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.9635
2025-01-07 10:00: 0.0350
2025-01-07 13:00: 0.9635
2025-01-07 17:00: 0.0315
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.9680
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0235
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.9660
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.0320
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.9670
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.0330
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.9580
2025-01-08 21:00: 0.0495
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.9505
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.0950
2025-01-09 07:00: 0.9050
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.0920
2025-01-09 14:00: 0.9025
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.0845
2025-01-09 21:00: 0.9155
2025-01-10 01:00: 0.0850
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.9080
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.1025
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.8840
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.1215
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.9145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 75211474.11, Sell volume: 47744691.65, Average price: 0.8506, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.0915
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.9095
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.0905
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.9155
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0845
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.9185
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.0795
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.9240
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0465
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.9750
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.0270
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.9720
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.0090
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.9915
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.9900
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.0110
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.9875
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.0125
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.9875
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.0125
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.9875
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.0230
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.9950
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0050
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.9950
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.9975
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 75211474.11, Sell volume: 47744691.65, Average price: 0.8506, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.9975
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.9975
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.0020
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.9980
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.9980
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.9980
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.0020
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0020
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.9980
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.9975
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.0025
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.9975
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.0020
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25974, Buy volume: 7632904.12, Sell volume: 5126947.92, Average price: 0.6153, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.9985
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.9985
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.9980
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.0020
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.0020
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.9985
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.9985
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.0015
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.9985
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.9970
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.0030
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.9975
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0025
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9975
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9970
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.9975
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9975
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 285714, Buy volume: 44663793.41, Sell volume: 26294958.72, Average price: 0.6920, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.0030
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.9960
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.9975
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.0035
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.9975
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.0025
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.9975
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.0025
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.9975
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.9955
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.0045
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.9950
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.0050
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.9950
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.0045
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.9950
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.9950
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.0035
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.9965
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0035
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.9965
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0045
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.9940
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.0050
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.9955
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.0050
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 687416, Buy volume: 22742376.28, Sell volume: 16246365.41, Average price: 0.9254, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.9945
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.0055
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.9955
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0045
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.9955
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0050
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.9955
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0045
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.9945
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.0060
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.9950
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0050
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.9950
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0060
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.9965
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0030
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.9970
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0035
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.9960
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0040
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.9960
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0040
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.9965
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.9970
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.0030
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.9970
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.0030
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 133, Buy volume: 18395.47, Sell volume: 6931.28, Average price: 0.4157, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.9970
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0030
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 10413.06, Sell volume: 3492.34, Average price: 0.9553, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.9975
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.9975
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9975
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9975
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.9975
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.9975
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.9975
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 166, Buy volume: 12642.67, Sell volume: 4469.44, Average price: 0.9617, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.9975
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.9975
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.9975
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9975
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.9975
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.9975
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9975
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.9975
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.9985
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.9985
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 168, Buy volume: 26099.19, Sell volume: 24567.49, Average price: 0.9268, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9985
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.9985
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.9985
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.9985
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.9985
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.9985
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.9985
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.9985
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.9985
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.9985
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.9985
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 212, Buy volume: 11881.25, Sell volume: 9954.32, Average price: 0.9092, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.9985
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.9985
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.9985
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.9985
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.9985
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.9995
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.9995
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.9995
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.9995
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.9995
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 37676.81, Sell volume: 23621.26, Average price: 0.5788, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.9990
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9995
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.9990
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 23136.53, Sell volume: 2979.99, Average price: 0.5217, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517556
Question: Will Francois-Philippe Champagne be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 1420924.02237
Price History:
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0010
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.9990
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0010
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9990
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.0010
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.9990
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 31639.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517557
Question: Will Sean Fraser be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1735177.270708
Price History:
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.1700
2025-01-06 15:00: 0.0600
2025-01-06 17:00: 0.0075
2025-01-06 19:00: 0.0070
2025-01-06 21:00: 0.0070
2025-01-06 23:00: 0.0070
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.0075
2025-01-07 03:00: 0.0075
2025-01-07 05:00: 0.0020
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.0050
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.0030
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.0055
2025-01-07 13:00: 0.0065
2025-01-07 15:00: 0.0065
2025-01-07 17:00: 0.0065
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.0060
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.0060
2025-01-07 23:00: 0.0125
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.0155
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.0180
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.0200
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.0170
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.0170
2025-01-08 11:00: 0.0170
2025-01-08 13:00: 0.0130
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.0130
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.0140
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.0130
2025-01-08 21:00: 0.0135
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.0135
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.0130
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.0155
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.0170
2025-01-09 07:00: 0.0170
2025-01-09 09:00: 0.0170
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.0175
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.0175
2025-01-09 15:00: 0.0125
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.0115
2025-01-09 19:00: 0.0105
2025-01-09 21:00: 0.0105
2025-01-09 23:00: 0.0100
2025-01-10 01:00: 0.0110
2025-01-10 03:00: 0.0095
2025-01-10 05:00: 0.0095
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.0090
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.0090
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.0100
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.0040
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1532939332.65, Sell volume: 92897264.89, Average price: 0.7888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517557
Question: Will Sean Fraser be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1735177.270708
Price History:
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.0030
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0030
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.0025
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.0035
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.0035
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.0035
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0035
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.0035
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.0035
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.0035
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.0035
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0040
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.0035
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0040
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.0055
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.0055
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.0055
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.0055
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.0055
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0055
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.0055
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.0055
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.0055
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.0020
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.0020
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.0020
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1532939332.65, Sell volume: 92897264.89, Average price: 0.7888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517557
Question: Will Sean Fraser be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1735177.270708
Price History:
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.0020
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.0020
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.0020
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.0020
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.0020
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.0025
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.0025
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.0025
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.0025
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.0020
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.0020
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.0020
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.0020
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 637362, Buy volume: 1240841924.66, Sell volume: 54312313.32, Average price: 0.8575, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517557
Question: Will Sean Fraser be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1735177.270708
Price History:
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.0020
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.0025
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.0025
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.0020
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.0020
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.0020
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.0020
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.0025
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.0025
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.0025
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0025
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.0025
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 355651, Buy volume: 260037757.00, Sell volume: 38466426.70, Average price: 0.6625, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517557
Question: Will Sean Fraser be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1735177.270708
Price History:
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.0025
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.0025
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.0030
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.0030
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.0030
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.0030
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.0030
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.0030
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.0035
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.0025
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.0025
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0025
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.0025
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.0025
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.0025
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.0025
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.0025
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.0035
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.0035
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.0035
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.0035
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.0035
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.0035
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.0035
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.0035
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.0040
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.0040
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.0040
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.0050
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.0050
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.0050
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.0045
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.0050
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.0045
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.0045
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.0045
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0050
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.0050
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.0050
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0050
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.0045
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0045
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0045
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.0040
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.0040
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0040
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.0035
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.0035
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 197, Buy volume: 31869.86, Sell volume: 25573.07, Average price: 0.3017, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517557
Question: Will Sean Fraser be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1735177.270708
Price History:
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0035
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.0035
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0035
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0035
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.0035
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0035
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0035
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0035
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0035
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0035
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 12343.89, Sell volume: 3513.05, Average price: 0.7116, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517557
Question: Will Sean Fraser be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1735177.270708
Price History:
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 78, Buy volume: 10320.06, Sell volume: 8720.18, Average price: 0.9084, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517557
Question: Will Sean Fraser be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1735177.270708
Price History:
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 132, Buy volume: 11989.86, Sell volume: 3965.79, Average price: 0.9534, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517557
Question: Will Sean Fraser be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1735177.270708
Price History:
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 152, Buy volume: 21140.23, Sell volume: 10239.26, Average price: 0.9265, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517557
Question: Will Sean Fraser be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1735177.270708
Price History:
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 95, Buy volume: 8510.14, Sell volume: 11864.95, Average price: 0.8517, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517557
Question: Will Sean Fraser be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1735177.270708
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 35794.13, Sell volume: 53215.85, Average price: 0.5587, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517557
Question: Will Sean Fraser be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1735177.270708
Price History:
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0010
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 140, Buy volume: 134585.58, Sell volume: 1337.55, Average price: 0.9134, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517557
Question: Will Sean Fraser be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1735177.270708
Price History:
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 24686.98, Sell volume: 6.00, Average price: 0.1673, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517557
Question: Will Sean Fraser be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 1735177.270708
Price History:
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.1700
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.9945
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.0070
2025-01-06 23:00: 0.9930
2025-01-07 03:00: 0.0075
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.9940
2025-01-07 10:00: 0.0030
2025-01-07 13:00: 0.9935
2025-01-07 17:00: 0.0065
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.9870
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0125
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.9820
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.0170
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.9830
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.0130
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.9860
2025-01-08 21:00: 0.0135
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.9870
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.0145
2025-01-09 07:00: 0.9830
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.0175
2025-01-09 14:00: 0.9830
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.0125
2025-01-09 21:00: 0.9895
2025-01-10 01:00: 0.0110
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.9900
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.0100
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.9900
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.0040
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1532939332.65, Sell volume: 92897264.89, Average price: 0.7888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517557
Question: Will Sean Fraser be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 1735177.270708
Price History:
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.9975
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.0025
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.9965
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0035
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.9965
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.0035
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.9960
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0040
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.9945
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.0055
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.9945
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.9945
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.9945
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.9945
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.0055
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.9945
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.0055
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.9980
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1532939332.65, Sell volume: 92897264.89, Average price: 0.7888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517557
Question: Will Sean Fraser be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 1735177.270708
Price History:
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.9975
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.0020
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.9980
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.9980
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.9980
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.9985
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.9975
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0020
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.9975
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.0025
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.9975
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.9980
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.0020
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 637362, Buy volume: 1240841924.66, Sell volume: 54312313.32, Average price: 0.8575, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517557
Question: Will Sean Fraser be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 1735177.270708
Price History:
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.9980
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.9980
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.9980
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.9975
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.9980
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.0020
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.9980
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.9975
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.0025
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.9975
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0025
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9975
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9975
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.9975
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9975
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 355651, Buy volume: 260037757.00, Sell volume: 38466426.70, Average price: 0.6625, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes