Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.5200
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.5430
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.4985
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.5490
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.5360
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.5340
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.5260
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.5550
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.5645
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.5625
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.5900
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.6050
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.5885
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.5560
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.5755
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.5860
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.5745
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.5665
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.5670
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.5740
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.5725
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.5610
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.5630
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.5565
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.5630
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.5230
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.4925
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.4455
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.4945
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.4515
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.4100
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.3690
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.4060
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.6090
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.6100
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.4075
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.6180
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.6260
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.6045
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.4200
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.6105
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.5730
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.4115
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.5875
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.6195
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.6000
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.4005
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.6360
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.3875
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.6205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 189208339.03, Sell volume: 21006572.70, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.6040
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.5915
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.5785
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.5710
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.6165
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.3850
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.4005
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.3735
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.3650
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.3590
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.3595
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.6405
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.3560
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.3560
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.3125
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.3030
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.6850
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.6855
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.3040
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.2745
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.7355
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.8150
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.1975
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.1570
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.1455
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.1430
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.8525
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.8350
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.1595
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.8405
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.8440
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.1460
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.8535
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.1590
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.1525
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.1550
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.1480
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8445
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.8410
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.1180
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.1370
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.8660
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.1480
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9055
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.1055
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0965
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0965
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9060
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.1015
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 189208339.03, Sell volume: 21006572.70, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9155
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0825
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9065
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.8680
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.1185
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.1025
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.1030
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.1105
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.1760
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.6825
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.6950
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.7315
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.2785
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.2545
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.2575
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.7225
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.3340
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.7030
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.6190
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.6025
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.4815
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.5730
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0420
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0445
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9635
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0255
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0905
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0640
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0760
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0715
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0705
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0700
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0710
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0665
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9525
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9465
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9475
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0475
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9525
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0445
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0460
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9545
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9530
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0490
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0485
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0430
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9535
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9465
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 189208339.03, Sell volume: 21006572.70, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0470
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.9540
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0460
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9630
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9640
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9625
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9645
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0395
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0350
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0340
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9620
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0355
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9655
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0340
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0305
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0290
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9685
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0320
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9685
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9675
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9680
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9660
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0345
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0305
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0340
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0320
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0330
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0340
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9670
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9670
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9680
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0290
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0265
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0235
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9750
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9715
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0265
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0250
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9805
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9780
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0220
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9790
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0225
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0170
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0200
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0165
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0125
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9860
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0130
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 189208339.03, Sell volume: 21006572.70, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9855
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9885
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9900
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0095
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0110
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0115
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9855
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9825
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9815
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0155
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0230
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0250
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0260
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9560
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9685
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9620
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9615
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9580
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9625
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9025
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0890
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9400
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9405
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0710
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0835
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0510
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9325
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0580
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0660
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9460
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0515
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0460
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9560
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9560
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9480
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9315
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9380
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9330
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0595
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9440
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0555
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9440
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0415
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0330
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0335
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0270
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0355
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0380
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0305
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999977, Buy volume: 189163624.39, Sell volume: 20977941.02, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.9400
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.0450
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.9050
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.0750
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.9350
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.1150
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.8700
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.1350
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.8550
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.1250
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.8550
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.1450
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.8600
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.1350
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.8600
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.1450
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.8550
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.1450
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.8600
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.1500
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.8550
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.1450
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.8350
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.1550
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.8400
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.1650
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.8400
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.1650
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 189208339.03, Sell volume: 21006572.70, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.1700
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.8300
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.1500
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.8500
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.2150
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.8450
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.1300
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.8500
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.1500
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.8650
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.1500
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.8200
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.2100
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.8200
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.2100
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.7900
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.2100
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.8050
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.1800
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.8200
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.1800
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.8500
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.2050
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.7900
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.2100
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.8050
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.2100
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.7900
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.1850
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 189208339.03, Sell volume: 21006572.70, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.1350
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.8700
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.1100
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.9250
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9200
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.1050
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.8950
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.1050
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.1050
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.9200
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9150
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9450
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0255
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9655
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0350
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9705
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0350
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9445
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0720
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9335
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0850
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9100
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0820
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9270
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0730
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 189208339.03, Sell volume: 21006572.70, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0845
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9170
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0840
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9080
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0920
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9140
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0915
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9165
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0795
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9185
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0770
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9235
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0830
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.9210
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.0950
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.9045
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0955
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.9055
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.0950
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.8935
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.1070
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.8925
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.1075
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.8925
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.1070
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.8930
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.1075
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.8925
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.1075
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.8955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 189208339.03, Sell volume: 21006572.70, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.1150
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.8405
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.1745
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.8285
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.1675
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.8325
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.1655
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.8325
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.1685
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.8275
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.1720
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.8295
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.1495
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.8505
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.1495
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.8310
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.1990
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.7695
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.2320
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.7330
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.2625
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.8095
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.1980
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.8085
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.2450
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.7815
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.2460
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.7505
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.2545
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.7235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 189208339.03, Sell volume: 21006572.70, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.3305
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.7100
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.2300
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.7875
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.2160
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.7810
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.2150
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.7815
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.2260
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.7850
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.2190
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.8450
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.1140
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.8420
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.1130
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.8885
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0965
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.9190
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0725
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.9170
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0945
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.9280
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0720
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9135
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.1375
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.8850
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.1170
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.8985
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0865
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.9235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 189208339.03, Sell volume: 21006572.70, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0715
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9280
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0850
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.9050
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.1100
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.8965
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.1135
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.8870
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.1110
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.8845
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.1235
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.8885
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.1095
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.8660
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.1320
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.8730
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.1265
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.8635
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.1795
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.8530
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.1740
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.8280
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.2100
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.8205
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.1985
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.8020
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.2045
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.7645
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.2250
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.7460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 189208339.03, Sell volume: 21006572.70, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.2945
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.7255
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.2780
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.7240
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.2770
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.7110
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.2335
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.7185
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.2915
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.7210
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.2265
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.7295
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.3800
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.5535
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.4260
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.5295
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.4380
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.5505
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.5135
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.5895
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.3865
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.6085
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.3975
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2910
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.6345
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.3580
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.5405
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.4355
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.5775
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.4470
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 189208339.03, Sell volume: 21006572.70, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.5200
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.4950
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.5350
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.4660
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.5550
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.4345
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.6115
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.3815
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.5505
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.4135
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.5660
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.4270
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.5670
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.4385
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.5610
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.4845
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.4455
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.5515
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.3325
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.5940
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.6100
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.3985
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.3835
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.6425
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.4100
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.4130
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.6195
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.5995
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.3675
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.6205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 189208339.03, Sell volume: 21006572.70, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.6040
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.5910
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.5775
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.6150
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.3805
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.3595
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.3595
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.6440
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.6775
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.6975
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.6775
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.3050
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.2640
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.8055
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.8570
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.8570
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.8350
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.1595
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.8495
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.1465
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.1550
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.1490
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.1550
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.1185
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.1400
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.1460
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.1050
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9055
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.0940
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 189208339.03, Sell volume: 21006572.70, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9155
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0870
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.8840
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.8975
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.1100
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.2490
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.7050
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.2790
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.2435
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.7010
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.7070
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.3925
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.5055
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.4050
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9510
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9575
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0905
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0830
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0725
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0710
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9380
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9450
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9525
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0455
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0455
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0465
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0440
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0455
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 189208339.03, Sell volume: 21006572.70, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0470
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0475
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0360
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0375
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0385
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9645
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9610
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0340
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0355
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9730
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9685
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9625
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9680
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9670
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0340
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9680
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0340
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0335
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9690
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9735
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0230
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9720
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0245
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0220
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9785
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9775
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0200
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9860
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0130
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 189208339.03, Sell volume: 21006572.70, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9855
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0110
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0095
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9885
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9790
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0240
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9750
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0590
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0275
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9560
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9410
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9270
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0580
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9255
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0590
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0580
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0595
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9540
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0440
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0475
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9275
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9340
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9460
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9415
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0410
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9665
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9595
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0420
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999977, Buy volume: 189163624.39, Sell volume: 20977941.02, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.4000
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.6450
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.7900
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.8000
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.1500
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.8750
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.8800
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.1250
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.8700
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.1100
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.8900
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.1150
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.8850
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.1100
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.8500
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.8500
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.8700
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.8650
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.8700
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.1200
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.1050
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.1100
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.1100
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.8900
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9050
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9000
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.1000
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0800
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9200
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9200
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9300
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0700
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9400
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9400
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0600
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0600
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0600
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0400
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9550
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9550
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9500
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9500
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0450
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9550
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0400
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9640
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0360
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4631968051.68, Sell volume: 94240450.17, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0365
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9635
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0365
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9410
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0550
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9455
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0540
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0540
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0540
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0540
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9455
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0555
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9365
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0595
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0595
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0575
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9420
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0540
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9415
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9440
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0570
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0565
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9435
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0565
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9435
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9450
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9500
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0500
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9500
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0495
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9505
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9420
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9395
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9395
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9395
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0605
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9395
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0605
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0570
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9430
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9430
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9435
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0565
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9435
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0565
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9430
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0565
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9435
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0565
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4631968051.68, Sell volume: 94240450.17, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0490
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0485
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0485
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0485
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0485
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0375
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9655
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0330
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9670
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0330
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9670
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0330
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9670
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0330
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0330
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9670
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0330
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0330
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0330
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9670
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0325
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9675
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0315
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9685
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0315
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9685
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0265
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9685
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0320
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9680
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9680
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9680
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9680
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9680
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9680
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0320
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9680
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0320
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9680
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0320
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0320
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0320
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9680
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9685
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0310
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9680
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0315
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9685
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9685
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4631968051.68, Sell volume: 94240450.17, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9675
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9680
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0320
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0310
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9690
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9690
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0310
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9690
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0310
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9690
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9690
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0310
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9710
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9715
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9720
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0265
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9735
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0265
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9735
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9800
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0205
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9785
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0200
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9800
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0200
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0200
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9795
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0215
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.9765
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9780
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0220
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9775
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.9785
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9780
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9775
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.0190
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9795
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0205
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0200
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0185
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0190
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9820
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.9840
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0160
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.0160
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0160
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9840
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0160
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.9840
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4631968051.68, Sell volume: 94240450.17, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9855
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.0140
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9860
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9850
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0145
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.0150
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9845
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0150
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9840
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9840
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0160
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0145
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9850
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0140
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9860
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9880
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0120
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0120
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0120
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9880
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0145
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9865
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0135
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9855
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9855
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.9870
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9875
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9885
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9880
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0120
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.0120
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9890
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0115
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.9875
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0125
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9875
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0125
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9875
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0125
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9875
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9875
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9875
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0125
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9890
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0110
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9890
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9885
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0105
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0105
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4631968051.68, Sell volume: 94240450.17, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9920
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9925
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.9920
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0080
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0080
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0075
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.9920
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9920
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9935
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.9945
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9945
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0055
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9945
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.9945
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0055
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0055
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9945
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0055
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9950
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0040
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9935
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0055
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9935
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9915
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9900
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0085
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9915
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0085
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9915
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0085
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.0075
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0055
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9945
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9955
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9960
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0080
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4631968051.68, Sell volume: 94240450.17, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0050
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9945
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0055
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0050
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9950
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9950
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0050
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.9945
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.0055
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9950
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0055
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9945
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0050
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0045
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0045
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0045
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9955
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0045
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9940
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0055
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9935
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0055
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0045
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0045
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0060
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9940
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0060
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0060
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9945
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9955
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0040
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4631968051.68, Sell volume: 94240450.17, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0040
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9955
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0040
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0040
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0045
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0045
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9950
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9955
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9955
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0045
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9945
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0050
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9955
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0050
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9940
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9940
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9940
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0060
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9930
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4631968051.68, Sell volume: 94240450.17, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0075
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9930
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0075
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9930
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0070
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9925
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.0070
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9930
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.0070
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0065
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9930
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0070
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9930
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9925
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9925
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0075
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9925
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0075
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.0075
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0075
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0075
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9930
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9930
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0065
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0065
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9935
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0065
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0065
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0065
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0065
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9935
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0065
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9940
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9940
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9940
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4631968051.68, Sell volume: 94240450.17, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9935
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9935
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0065
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0070
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0065
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9935
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9935
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9935
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0065
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9935
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9935
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0065
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0065
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9935
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9935
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0065
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9935
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0065
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0065
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0060
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9940
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0060
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9940
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0060
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9945
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9945
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0060
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9940
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0060
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9940
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0065
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4631968051.68, Sell volume: 94240450.17, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0060
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0060
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0060
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0060
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9940
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0060
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9940
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0060
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9940
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0060
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9940
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0060
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9940
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0060
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9945
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0055
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0055
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9940
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0065
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0065
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0060
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0050
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9930
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0075
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9945
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0055
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9945
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9950
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0050
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4631968051.68, Sell volume: 94240450.17, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9950
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9940
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9930
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9930
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0065
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0070
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9930
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0065
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0070
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9925
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0075
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0070
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0075
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9960
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9960
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4631968051.68, Sell volume: 94240450.17, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999993, Buy volume: 4631965051.68, Sell volume: 94238356.31, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.4000
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.3350
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.8050
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.1250
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.8750
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.8700
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.8900
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.1150
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.8900
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.8500
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.8700
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.1300
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.1200
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.8900
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.8900
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9050
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.1000
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9200
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0800
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9300
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9400
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0600
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9400
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9600
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0450
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0500
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0450
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4631968051.68, Sell volume: 94240450.17, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0365
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0365
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0590
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0555
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0540
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0540
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9455
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9445
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9415
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9410
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9420
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0575
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0560
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9430
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9435
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9435
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0555
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9500
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0500
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9395
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9395
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0610
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9395
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9395
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9430
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9430
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0565
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0565
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0570
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4631968051.68, Sell volume: 94240450.17, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0490
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0485
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0485
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9625
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0345
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9670
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9670
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9670
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9670
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0330
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0330
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0330
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0330
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0325
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0315
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0315
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0265
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9680
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0320
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9680
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9680
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9680
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9680
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9680
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9685
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0320
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9680
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0320
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0320
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4631968051.68, Sell volume: 94240450.17, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9675
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9680
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9690
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9690
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9695
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0310
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9690
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9690
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.9715
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9705
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9735
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9740
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0200
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.0215
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0200
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0200
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9800
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9785
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9770
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0230
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.9785
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.9770
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.9810
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9800
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.0195
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0190
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0190
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.9840
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9840
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4631968051.68, Sell volume: 94240450.17, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9855
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9855
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0150
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0150
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9845
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9840
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9840
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9855
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9855
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0135
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0120
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9880
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0120
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0145
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.0135
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9855
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0120
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0115
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9880
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9880
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0115
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.0125
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0125
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0105
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0125
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9875
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0120
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0110
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0115
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4631968051.68, Sell volume: 94240450.17, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9920
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0075
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9920
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9920
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0090
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9920
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9945
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0060
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0055
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9945
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0055
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9945
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0040
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9960
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0040
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9935
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0055
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0100
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9915
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9915
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9915
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9925
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9940
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9950
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9960
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0040
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0040
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4631968051.68, Sell volume: 94240450.17, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0050
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0050
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9950
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0050
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0060
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.0055
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0055
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0045
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0045
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9955
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9955
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0065
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.0050
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0060
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0065
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0060
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9935
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4631968051.68, Sell volume: 94240450.17, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9960
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0040
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0040
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9965
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0045
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0050
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9955
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9950
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9955
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9950
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0060
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0060
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4631968051.68, Sell volume: 94240450.17, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9925
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0075
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.0070
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0070
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0065
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0065
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9925
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0075
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0075
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0075
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0075
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0075
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9930
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9930
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0065
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9935
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0065
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0065
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9935
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4631968051.68, Sell volume: 94240450.17, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9930
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0065
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0065
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0065
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9935
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9940
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9940
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0060
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9945
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0055
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9940
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9940
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4631968051.68, Sell volume: 94240450.17, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0060
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0060
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0060
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0060
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0060
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0060
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0060
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0060
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0060
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0060
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0055
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0055
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0060
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0070
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0065
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0060
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0055
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0060
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0075
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0055
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0055
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0050
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4631968051.68, Sell volume: 94240450.17, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9950
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9940
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9930
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9930
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9925
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9930
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9925
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9925
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9925
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9960
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4631968051.68, Sell volume: 94240450.17, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582313
Question: Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Volume: 8495812.451834
Price History:
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999993, Buy volume: 4631965051.68, Sell volume: 94238356.31, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.0395
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0295
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0160
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0195
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.0180
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.0175
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.0175
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.0165
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.0190
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.0190
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.0185
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.0190
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.0190
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.0175
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.0185
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.0195
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.0175
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.0205
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.0195
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0190
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0195
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.0190
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0190
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.0195
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.0200
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0190
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.0195
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0205
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0190
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.0195
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.0195
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.0195
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0195
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.0170
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0175
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.0170
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.0150
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0145
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0145
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.0135
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.0120
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.0140
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0165
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0165
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13198638235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0170
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0175
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.0165
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0165
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0175
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0185
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0185
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.0175
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.0170
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0175
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0175
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0175
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0175
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0180
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.0175
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0175
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0175
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0175
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0175
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0180
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0180
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0195
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.0190
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0180
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0200
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0200
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0200
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0180
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0180
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0180
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0185
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0185
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0185
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0185
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0185
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0185
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0185
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0230
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0230
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0225
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0250
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0245
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0245
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0250
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.0245
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.0255
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0245
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0325
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0330
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13198638235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0330
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0330
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0330
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0330
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0325
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0335
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0335
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0310
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0315
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0315
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0320
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0320
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0310
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0305
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0300
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0300
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0300
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0305
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0300
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0305
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0305
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0315
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0305
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0300
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0300
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0305
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0305
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0295
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0290
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0305
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0295
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0320
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0300
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0305
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0315
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0360
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0360
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0360
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0355
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0360
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0355
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0355
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0355
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0355
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0350
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0350
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0350
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0350
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13198638235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0310
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0310
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0315
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0310
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0310
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0315
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0310
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0310
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0305
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0300
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0305
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0280
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0280
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0265
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0265
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0265
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0265
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0265
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0265
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0275
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0270
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.0275
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.0275
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0325
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.0325
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0320
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.0325
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0330
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.0320
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0305
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.0285
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.0285
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0280
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.0280
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.0280
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0280
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.0280
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0285
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0280
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0285
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0295
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0285
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0290
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0345
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0345
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0345
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0340
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0340
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0340
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13198638235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0305
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0290
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0240
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0230
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0265
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0220
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0220
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0220
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0215
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0215
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0205
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0200
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0195
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0195
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0180
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.0180
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0180
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0180
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0180
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0180
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0180
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0180
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0180
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0170
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0170
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0170
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0170
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0170
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0170
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0170
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0170
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0170
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0170
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0170
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0170
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0170
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0145
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0145
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0155
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0150
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0115
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0155
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0140
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0140
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0105
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13198638235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0120
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0120
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0115
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0120
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0120
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0120
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0120
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0115
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0115
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0115
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0115
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0110
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0100
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0120
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0095
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0130
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0080
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0080
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0080
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0080
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0050
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0075
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0065
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0140
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0085
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0175
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0165
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0070
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0095
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0165
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0085
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0050
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0055
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0055
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0095
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0105
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0145
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0085
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0065
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0075
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0090
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0115
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0065
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0070
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13198638235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0115
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0095
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0065
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0120
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0095
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0095
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0105
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0090
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0080
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0110
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0210
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.0085
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0085
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0080
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.0075
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0080
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.0095
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0075
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0075
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0095
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.0065
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0085
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0055
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0050
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0085
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0045
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0055
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0060
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.0060
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0060
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0080
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0075
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0075
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.0075
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0075
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0070
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.0070
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0070
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0050
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0065
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0065
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0065
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0065
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13198638235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0080
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0130
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0095
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0105
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0120
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0120
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0105
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0175
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0145
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0100
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0120
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0120
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0110
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0110
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0115
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0115
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0110
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0120
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0105
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0100
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0090
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0090
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0095
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0095
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0095
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0095
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0090
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0090
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0100
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0100
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0090
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0120
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0110
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0105
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0095
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0090
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0090
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0090
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.0030
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0030
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0030
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.0030
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0030
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0030
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13198638235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0025
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0030
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.0030
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0030
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0040
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.0155
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0105
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.0315
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.0100
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0060
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0050
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.0050
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.0045
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0045
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.0055
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.0055
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.0055
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0070
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.0065
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.0090
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0100
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0145
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0095
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0090
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0085
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.9935
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.9950
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9945
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0050
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.9940
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.0055
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0070
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.0070
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.9930
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.9945
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.0060
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.0060
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.0060
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.9940
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0060
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0060
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0060
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9945
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13198638235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0055
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0055
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0050
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9950
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9950
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9950
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0050
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0065
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0065
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0055
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0080
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.9920
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0070
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.0080
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.0080
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0070
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.9930
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0070
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9930
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.9930
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0070
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0070
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9930
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.0055
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0060
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.0060
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.0060
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0060
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.9945
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0055
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0045
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0055
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0065
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9935
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.9940
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0060
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.9905
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0090
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.0070
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9930
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.9930
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0090
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0055
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0045
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0045
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0055
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9940
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0060
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13198638235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0125
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9895
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9930
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9940
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0050
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13198638235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13198638235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999999, Buy volume: 13198637235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 689336
Question: Senate vote on Epstein bill by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10533.82
Price History:
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.2050
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2361.65, Sell volume: 106.00, Average price: 0.4208, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 689336
Question: Senate vote on Epstein bill by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10533.82
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 267.00, Sell volume: 106.00, Average price: 0.3943, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.6000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 689336
Question: Senate vote on Epstein bill by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10533.82
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 7031.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9700
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.0180
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.9820
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.0180
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.9810
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.0195
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.9825
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.0190
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.9805
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.0180
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.9820
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.0195
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.9810
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0190
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.9810
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0190
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.9805
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.0195
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.9805
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.0195
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.9800
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.0185
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.9830
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.0165
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.9855
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0125
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.9855
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0175
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13198638235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0170
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.9835
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.0165
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9815
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0180
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.9830
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.0170
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.9825
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0175
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.9825
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.0180
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.9825
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0185
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.9815
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.0200
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.9805
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0180
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.9815
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.0185
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.9815
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0180
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.9815
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0230
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.9765
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0240
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9755
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0250
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.9750
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0325
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.9665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13198638235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0330
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9675
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0335
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.9665
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0310
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9685
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0315
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9690
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0305
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9700
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0310
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9690
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9690
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0310
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9690
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0305
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9700
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0295
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9680
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0325
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9680
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0360
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9640
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0355
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9645
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0355
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9650
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0350
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13198638235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0310
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9690
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0310
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9685
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0310
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9690
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0305
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9720
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0265
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9735
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0265
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9725
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0280
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.9725
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0320
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.9665
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0330
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.9690
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.0280
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.9720
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0285
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.9720
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0285
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.9715
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0285
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.9710
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0345
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.9660
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0340
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13198638235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0305
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9760
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0235
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9780
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0215
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.9785
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0200
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9805
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0205
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.9820
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0180
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.9820
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0180
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9820
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0180
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9820
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0170
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9830
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0170
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9830
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0170
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9830
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0170
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9830
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0125
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9845
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0115
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9860
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0140
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13198638235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0120
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9880
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0125
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9880
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0115
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9890
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0115
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.9850
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0095
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9900
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0085
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.9920
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.9930
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0065
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.9820
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0070
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.9900
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0175
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.9950
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0055
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0110
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9940
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0060
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9960
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0055
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.9935
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0100
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13198638235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0115
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9890
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.0055
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.9905
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.0090
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.9860
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0115
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.9930
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.0070
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.9915
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0075
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.9925
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0090
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.9935
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0085
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.9940
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.9955
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0045
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9940
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.0060
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.9920
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.0075
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.9925
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.0070
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.9930
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0075
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.9935
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0065
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13198638235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0080
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9910
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0095
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9880
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0150
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.9850
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0120
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9905
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0150
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.9890
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0120
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9895
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0090
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9910
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0095
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9915
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0090
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9900
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0120
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.9890
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0110
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9910
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.0090
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.9980
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0030
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9975
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0030
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.9965
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0030
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13198638235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0025
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.9965
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.9965
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0030
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.9970
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.9875
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0215
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.9940
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0050
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9955
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0055
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.9945
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.0065
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.9900
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0145
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.9915
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0085
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0050
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.0050
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.9945
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.9930
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.9930
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.0055
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.9940
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0060
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0060
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0060
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13198638235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0055
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0055
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0050
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.0050
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.0065
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.0055
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0080
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.9920
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0080
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9930
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9930
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.0070
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.0070
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.0070
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.0060
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.9940
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0060
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.9945
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.0055
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9935
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.9935
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9935
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.0090
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.9930
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.9910
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.9955
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0045
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0060
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9940
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13198638235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0125
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0080
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0060
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9990
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9990
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9990
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13198638235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.9990
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9990
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13198638235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527805
Question: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10288595.526434
Price History:
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999999, Buy volume: 13198637235.79, Sell volume: 76947234.07, Average price: 0.5781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 689336
Question: Senate vote on Epstein bill by December 31?
Volume: 10533.82
Price History:
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.2050
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2361.65, Sell volume: 106.00, Average price: 0.4208, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 689336
Question: Senate vote on Epstein bill by December 31?
Volume: 10533.82
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 267.00, Sell volume: 106.00, Average price: 0.3943, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No