Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531377
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tariff" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 839.35822
Price History:
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.6300
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.3700
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.6300
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.3700
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.6300
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.3700
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.2850
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.2850
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.2850
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.2850
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.2850
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.2850
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 820.42, Sell volume: 18.94, Average price: 0.6576, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531377
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tariff" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 839.35822
Price History:
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.2850
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.2850
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.2850
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.8200
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.1800
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.8200
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.1800
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.8200
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.1800
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.8200
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.1800
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.8200
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.1800
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.8200
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.1800
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.8200
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 820.42, Sell volume: 18.94, Average price: 0.6576, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531377
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tariff" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 839.35822
Price History:
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.8200
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.1800
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.8200
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.1800
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.8200
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.1800
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.8150
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.1850
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.8150
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.1850
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.8150
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.1850
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.8100
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.1900
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.8150
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.1850
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 76.37, Sell volume: 0.48, Average price: 0.7098, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531377
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tariff" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 839.35822
Price History:
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.7000
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.3000
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.6750
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.3250
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.5000
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.5000
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.5000
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.5000
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.6000
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.4000
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.6000
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.4000
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.6050
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.3950
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 198.46, Sell volume: 18.46, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531377
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tariff" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 839.35822
Price History:
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.3950
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.6050
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.3950
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.6100
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.3900
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.6100
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.3900
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.6150
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.3850
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.6150
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.3850
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.6150
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.3850
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.6150
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.3850
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.6750
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.3250
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.6750
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531377
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tariff" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 839.35822
Price History:
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.6750
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.3250
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.5850
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.4150
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.5850
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.4150
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.5800
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.4200
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.5800
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.4200
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.5800
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.4200
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.5700
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.4300
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.5700
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.4300
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.5700
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.4300
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 30.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6450, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531377
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tariff" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 839.35822
Price History:
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.4300
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.5700
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.4300
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.5700
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.4300
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.5700
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.4300
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.5700
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.4300
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.5700
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.4300
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.5700
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.4300
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.5700
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.4300
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.5900
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.4100
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.6500
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 379.37, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6638, Price range: 0.6576 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531377
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tariff" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 839.35822
Price History:
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.6500
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.3500
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.6500
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.3500
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.6450
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.3550
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.6500
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.3500
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.6500
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.3500
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.7500
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.7500
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.7500
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.7500
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 820.42, Sell volume: 18.94, Average price: 0.6576, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531377
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tariff" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 839.35822
Price History:
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.6500
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.3500
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.6500
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.3500
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.6500
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.3500
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.6500
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.3500
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.6450
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.3550
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.6450
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.3550
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.6450
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.3550
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.6450
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.3550
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.6450
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 820.42, Sell volume: 18.94, Average price: 0.6576, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531377
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tariff" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 839.35822
Price History:
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.6450
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.3550
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.6450
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.3550
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.6450
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.3550
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.5900
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.4100
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.5900
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.4100
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.5900
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.4100
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.5900
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.4100
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.5900
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.4100
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.6450
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.3550
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 15.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6800, Price range: 0.6800 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531377
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tariff" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 839.35822
Price History:
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.3550
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.6450
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.3550
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.6450
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.3550
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.6450
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.3550
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.6250
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.3750
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.6200
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.3800
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.6000
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.4000
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.6000
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.4000
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.3550
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.6450
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.4000
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7000, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531377
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tariff" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 839.35822
Price History:
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.4050
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.5950
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.4100
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.5900
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.4150
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.5850
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.4200
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.5800
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.4200
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.5800
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.4200
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.5800
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.4200
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.5800
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.4200
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.5800
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.4200
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.5800
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 96.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531377
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tariff" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 839.35822
Price History:
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.5550
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.4500
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.5500
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.5600
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.4400
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.5600
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.4400
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.5600
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.4400
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.5600
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.4400
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.5650
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.4350
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.5650
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.4350
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.5650
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.4350
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.5650
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 820.42, Sell volume: 18.94, Average price: 0.6576, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531377
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tariff" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 839.35822
Price History:
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.6300
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.3700
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.6300
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.3700
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.6300
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.3700
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.2850
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.2850
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.2850
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.2850
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.2850
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.2850
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 820.42, Sell volume: 18.94, Average price: 0.6576, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531377
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tariff" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 839.35822
Price History:
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.2850
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.2850
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.2850
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.8200
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.1800
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.8200
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.1800
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.8200
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.1800
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.8200
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.1800
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.8200
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.1800
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.8200
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.1800
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.8200
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 820.42, Sell volume: 18.94, Average price: 0.6576, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531377
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tariff" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 839.35822
Price History:
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.8200
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.1800
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.8200
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.1800
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.8200
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.1800
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.8150
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.1850
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.8150
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.1850
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.8150
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.1850
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.8100
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.1900
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.8150
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.1850
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 76.37, Sell volume: 0.48, Average price: 0.7098, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.5900
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.4100
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.5900
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.4100
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.5900
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.4100
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.5900
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.4100
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.5900
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.4100
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.5900
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.4100
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.5900
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.4100
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.5900
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.4100
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.5950
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.4050
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 13852.25, Sell volume: 365.87, Average price: 0.6848, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.4150
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.6000
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.4000
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.6000
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.4000
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.6000
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.4000
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.4750
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.5250
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.4750
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.5250
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.4750
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.5250
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.4750
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.5250
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.4800
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.5200
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.4800
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 13852.25, Sell volume: 365.87, Average price: 0.6848, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.4800
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.5200
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.4800
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.5200
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.4800
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.5200
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.4750
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.5250
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.4750
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.5250
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.4700
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.5300
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.4700
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.5300
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.4700
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.5300
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.4900
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.5100
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 13852.25, Sell volume: 365.87, Average price: 0.6848, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.5300
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.4700
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.5300
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.4800
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.5200
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.4800
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.5200
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.4900
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.5100
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.4900
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.5100
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.4900
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.5100
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.4900
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.5100
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.4900
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.5100
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.4900
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 13852.25, Sell volume: 365.87, Average price: 0.6848, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.4900
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.5100
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.4900
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.5100
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.4900
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.5100
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.4900
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.5100
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 7.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5700, Price range: 0.5700 - 0.5700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.5050
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.4950
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.5100
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.4900
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.4950
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.5050
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.4950
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.5050
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.4950
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 13852.25, Sell volume: 365.87, Average price: 0.6848, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.4950
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.5050
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.4950
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.5050
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.4950
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.5050
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.4850
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 13852.25, Sell volume: 365.87, Average price: 0.6848, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.4800
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.5200
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.4800
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.5200
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.4800
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.5200
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.4800
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.5200
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 13852.25, Sell volume: 365.87, Average price: 0.6848, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 9.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5300, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.5300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.5150
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.5150
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.5150
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.5150
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.5150
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.5150
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.5150
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.5150
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.5150
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 13852.25, Sell volume: 365.87, Average price: 0.6848, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.5150
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.5100
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.4900
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.5100
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.4900
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.5700
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.4300
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.5700
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.4300
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.5450
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.4550
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.5450
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.4550
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.5450
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.4550
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.5200
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.4800
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5800, Price range: 0.5800 - 0.5800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.4800
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.5250
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.4750
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.4750
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.5250
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.6450
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.3550
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.6450
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.3550
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.6450
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.3550
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.6450
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.3550
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.6450
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.3550
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.6450
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.3550
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.6750
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 55.00, Average price: 0.4473, Price range: 0.4473 - 0.4473

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.5750
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.4250
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.5750
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.4250
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.5750
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.4250
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.5750
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.4250
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.5550
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.4450
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.5250
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.4750
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.5050
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.4950
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.4600
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.5400
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 588.00, Sell volume: 62.87, Average price: 0.6915, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.1450
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.1550
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.1600
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.1600
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.1600
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.1600
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.1550
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.1550
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.1600
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.1600
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.1600
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.1600
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.1600
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.1450
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.1450
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.1450
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.1550
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.1550
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.1450
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.1450
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.1450
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.1450
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.1450
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.1450
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.1450
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.1350
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.1350
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.1350
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.1350
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.1350
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.1300
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.1300
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.1250
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1847.01, Sell volume: 204.43, Average price: 0.6997, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.8700
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.8700
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.8700
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.8750
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.8750
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.8750
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.8750
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.8750
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.8750
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.8750
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.8500
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.8500
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.8600
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.8550
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.8550
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.8550
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.8550
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.8550
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.8550
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.8500
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.8600
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.8600
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.8600
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.8600
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.8500
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.8500
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.8500
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.8500
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.8500
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.8550
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1499.07, Sell volume: 1.60, Average price: 0.3769, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.1450
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.1550
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.1550
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.1600
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.1500
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.1500
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.1500
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.1500
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.1500
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.1450
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.1450
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.1400
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.1400
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.1400
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.1400
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.1450
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.1400
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.1350
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.1400
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.1500
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.1400
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.1400
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.1650
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.1950
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.1850
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.1650
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.1600
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.1600
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.1800
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.1650
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.1650
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.1650
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.1650
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.1650
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.1850
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.1750
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.1700
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.2550
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.2600
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.2600
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.1800
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.1650
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.1650
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.1750
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.1750
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.1750
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 575.01, Sell volume: 108.81, Average price: 0.2741, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.8300
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.8300
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.8250
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.8250
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.8250
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.8150
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.8200
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.8200
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.8200
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.8200
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.8200
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.8200
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.8200
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.8200
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.8200
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.8200
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.8200
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 645.72, Sell volume: 89.66, Average price: 0.2668, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.2400
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.2500
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.2500
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.2600
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.2600
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.2800
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.2350
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.2600
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.2500
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.2500
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.2500
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.2500
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.2500
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.2350
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.2350
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.2350
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.2350
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.2350
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.2300
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.2250
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.2250
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.2250
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.2250
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.2250
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.2250
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.2250
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.2250
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.1850
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.1850
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.1850
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.1850
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.1800
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.1750
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.1850
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.1750
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.1850
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.1850
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.1850
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.1850
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.1850
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.1850
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.1850
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.1850
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.1850
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.1800
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.1800
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 1189.65, Sell volume: 339.34, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.8300
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.8050
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.8150
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.8150
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.8150
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.8150
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.8150
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.8150
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.8150
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.8150
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.8150
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.7900
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.7950
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.7750
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.7750
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.7800
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.7750
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.7700
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.7850
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.7750
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.7750
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.7800
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.7750
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.7750
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.7800
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.7700
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.7800
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.7850
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1139.42, Sell volume: 253.61, Average price: 0.4218, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.2300
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.2150
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.2150
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.2150
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.2150
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.2150
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.2150
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.2050
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.2050
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.2050
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.2050
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.2050
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.2050
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.2050
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.2050
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.2050
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.2050
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.2500
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.2300
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.2200
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.2050
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.2050
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.2050
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.2050
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.2050
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.2050
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.2050
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.2050
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.2000
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.1800
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.1700
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.1700
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 3294.66, Sell volume: 785.74, Average price: 0.3061, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.8050
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.8050
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.8050
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.8050
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.8050
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.8050
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.9000
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.8450
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.8300
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.8300
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.8300
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.8500
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.8400
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.8500
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.8550
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.8550
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.8700
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.8700
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.8650
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.8650
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.8700
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.8650
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.8650
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.8700
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.8700
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.8700
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.8700
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.7750
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.7400
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.7350
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.7600
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.7550
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.7450
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.7600
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 5026.16, Sell volume: 802.69, Average price: 0.4815, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.1650
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.1600
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.1600
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.1600
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.1600
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.1600
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.1650
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.1650
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.1650
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.1750
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.1800
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.1850
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.1850
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.1750
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.1750
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.1750
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.1750
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.1750
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.1750
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.1750
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.1600
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.1600
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.1600
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.1550
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.1600
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.1550
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.1600
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.1600
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 2064.07, Sell volume: 1673.92, Average price: 0.4260, Price range: 0.1416 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.8500
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.8500
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.8500
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.8500
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.8500
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.8500
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.8500
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.8550
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.8500
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.8500
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.8500
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.8500
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.8550
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.8500
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.8500
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.8650
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.8700
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.8650
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.8650
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.8650
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.8700
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.8850
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.8850
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.8750
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.8500
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.8400
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.8450
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.8450
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.8450
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.8450
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.8450
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.8450
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.8450
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.8500
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.8450
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.9450
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.9450
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.9500
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9550
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9500
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9700
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.9745
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9745
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9895
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9885
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9910
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9910
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9910
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 6288.05, Sell volume: 2890.84, Average price: 0.7282, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9964

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0120
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0120
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0120
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0120
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0120
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0120
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0120
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0120
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.0100
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0100
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0100
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0100
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0085
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0080
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0080
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0090
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0080
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0080
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0095
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0095
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0095
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0095
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0095
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0090
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0090
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0095
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0095
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0085
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1334.56, Sell volume: 2360.67, Average price: 0.7351, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9910
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9915
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9915
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9915
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9915
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.9915
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9955
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.9955
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 852.06, Sell volume: 1721.59, Average price: 0.8040, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0045
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0045
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0045
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0040
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0040
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0040
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0040
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0035
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0035
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 174, Buy volume: 12445.06, Sell volume: 1258.48, Average price: 0.6716, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.5900
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.4100
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.5900
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.4100
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.5900
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.4100
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.5900
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.4100
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.5900
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.4100
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.5900
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.4100
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.5900
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.4100
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.5900
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.4100
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.5950
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.4050
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 13852.25, Sell volume: 365.87, Average price: 0.6848, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.4150
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.6000
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.4000
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.6000
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.4000
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.6000
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.4000
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.4750
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.5250
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.4750
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.5250
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.4750
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.5250
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.4750
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.5250
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.4800
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.5200
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.4800
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 13852.25, Sell volume: 365.87, Average price: 0.6848, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.4800
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.5200
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.4800
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.5200
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.4800
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.5200
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.4750
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.5250
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.4750
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.5250
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.4700
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.5300
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.4700
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.5300
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.4700
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.5300
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.4900
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.5100
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 13852.25, Sell volume: 365.87, Average price: 0.6848, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.5300
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.4700
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.5300
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.4800
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.5200
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.4800
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.5200
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.4900
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.5100
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.4900
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.5100
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.4900
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.5100
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.4900
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.5100
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.4900
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.5100
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.4900
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 13852.25, Sell volume: 365.87, Average price: 0.6848, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.4900
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.5100
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.4900
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.5100
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.4900
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.5100
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.4900
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.5100
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 7.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5700, Price range: 0.5700 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.5050
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.4950
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.5100
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.4900
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.4950
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.5050
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.4950
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.5050
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.4950
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 13852.25, Sell volume: 365.87, Average price: 0.6848, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.4950
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.5050
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.4950
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.5050
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.4950
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.5050
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.4850
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 13852.25, Sell volume: 365.87, Average price: 0.6848, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.4800
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.5200
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.4800
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.5200
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.4800
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.5200
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.4800
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.5200
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 13852.25, Sell volume: 365.87, Average price: 0.6848, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.4850
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 9.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5300, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.5300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.5150
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.5150
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.5150
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.5150
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.5150
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.5150
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.5150
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.5150
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.5150
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 13852.25, Sell volume: 365.87, Average price: 0.6848, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.5150
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.5100
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.4900
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.5100
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.4900
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.5700
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.4300
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.5700
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.4300
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.5450
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.4550
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.5450
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.4550
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.5450
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.4550
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.5200
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.4800
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5800, Price range: 0.5800 - 0.5800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.4800
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.5250
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.4750
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.4750
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.5250
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.6450
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.3550
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.6450
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.3550
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.6450
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.3550
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.6450
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.3550
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.6450
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.3550
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.6450
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.3550
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.6750
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 55.00, Average price: 0.4473, Price range: 0.4473 - 0.4473
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531378
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14218.120147
Price History:
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.5750
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.4250
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.5750
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.4250
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.5750
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.4250
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.5750
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.4250
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.5550
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.4450
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.5250
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.4750
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.5050
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.4950
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.4600
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.5400
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 588.00, Sell volume: 62.87, Average price: 0.6915, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.1550
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.1600
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.1600
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.1550
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.1600
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.1600
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.1450
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.1450
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.1550
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.1450
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.1450
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.1450
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.1350
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.1350
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.1350
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.1300
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.1300
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1847.01, Sell volume: 204.43, Average price: 0.6997, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.8700
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.8700
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.8750
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.8750
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.8750
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.8500
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.8600
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.8550
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.8550
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.8600
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.8600
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.8550
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.8550
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.8500
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.8500
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.8550
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.8550
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.8550
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.8650
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.8600
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1499.07, Sell volume: 1.60, Average price: 0.3769, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.1450
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.1550
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.1500
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.1500
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.1500
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.1450
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.1400
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.1400
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.1400
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.1400
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.1400
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.1650
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.1650
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.1600
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.1650
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.1650
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.1650
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.1750
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.2550
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.2600
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.1650
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.1750
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.1750
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.1750
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.1750
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.1750
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.1750
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 575.01, Sell volume: 108.81, Average price: 0.2741, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.8300
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.8250
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.8250
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.8200
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.8200
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.8200
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.8200
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.8200
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.8200
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.8200
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.8200
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.8200
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.8200
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.7950
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 645.72, Sell volume: 89.66, Average price: 0.2668, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.2400
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.2500
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.2500
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.2800
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.2600
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.2500
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.2500
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.2350
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.2350
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.2350
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.2250
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.2250
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.2250
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.2250
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.1850
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.1850
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.1800
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.1850
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.1850
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.1850
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.1850
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.1850
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.1850
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.1800
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.1650
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.1800
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.1800
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.1750
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 1189.65, Sell volume: 339.34, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.8300
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.8150
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.8150
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.8150
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.8150
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.8150
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.7900
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.7750
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.7800
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.7700
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.7750
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.7800
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.7750
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.7700
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.7850
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.7800
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.7750
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.7700
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.7700
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1139.42, Sell volume: 253.61, Average price: 0.4218, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.2300
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.2150
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.2150
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.2150
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.2050
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.2050
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.2050
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.2050
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.2050
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.2300
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.2050
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.2050
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.2050
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.2050
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.1700
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 3294.66, Sell volume: 785.74, Average price: 0.3061, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.8050
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.8050
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.8050
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.9000
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.8300
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.8300
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.8500
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.8500
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.8550
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.8700
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.8650
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.8650
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.8700
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.8700
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.7750
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.7350
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.7550
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.7600
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.7800
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.8100
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.8100
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.8050
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 5026.16, Sell volume: 802.69, Average price: 0.4815, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.1650
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.1600
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.1600
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.1600
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.1650
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.1750
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.1850
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.1750
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.1750
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.1750
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.1750
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.1600
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.1550
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.1550
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.1600
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.1600
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.1600
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.1650
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.1650
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 2064.07, Sell volume: 1673.92, Average price: 0.4260, Price range: 0.1416 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.8500
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.8500
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.8500
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.8500
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.8500
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.8500
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.8550
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.8500
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.8700
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.8650
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.8700
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.8850
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.8500
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.8450
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.8450
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.8450
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.8450
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.8450
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.9450
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9550
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.9745
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9895
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9910
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9910
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9910
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.9910
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.9905
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.9910
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 6288.05, Sell volume: 2890.84, Average price: 0.7282, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9964
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0120
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0120
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0120
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0120
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0100
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0100
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0080
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0090
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0080
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0095
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0095
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0090
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0095
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0085
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0090
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0095
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0085
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.0085
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1334.56, Sell volume: 2360.67, Average price: 0.7351, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9910
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9915
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9915
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9955
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 852.06, Sell volume: 1721.59, Average price: 0.8040, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518093
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 58476.848291
Price History:
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0045
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0040
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0040
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0035
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 174, Buy volume: 12445.06, Sell volume: 1258.48, Average price: 0.6716, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.7000
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.3000
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.6450
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.3550
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.4250
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.5750
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.4500
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.5500
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.4550
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.5450
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.4550
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.5450
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.4600
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.5400
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.4350
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.5650
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.4400
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.5600
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 227.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6619, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6738

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.5300
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.6750
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.3250
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.6750
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.3250
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.6750
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.3250
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.4850
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.5150
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.4850
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.5150
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.4850
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.5150
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.4850
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.5150
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.6800
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.3200
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.6800
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 146.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6290, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.6400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.6800
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.3200
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.7050
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.2950
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.7200
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.2800
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.7350
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.2650
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.7400
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.2600
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.7450
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.2550
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.7350
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.2650
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.7250
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.2750
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.7250
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.2750
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2614.71, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.5877, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.2750
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.7250
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.2750
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.7250
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.2750
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.7250
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.2750
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.7250
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.2750
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.7250
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.2750
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.7250
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.2750
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.7250
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.2750
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.7100
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.2900
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.7100
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 43.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4593, Price range: 0.4593 - 0.4593

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.7100
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.2900
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.7150
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.2850
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.7150
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.2850
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.7100
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.2900
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.7100
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.2900
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.7100
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.2900
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.7100
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.2900
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.7100
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.2900
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.7100
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.2900
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2614.71, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.5877, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.2800
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.7200
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.2800
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.6750
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.3250
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.6750
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.3250
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.6750
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.3250
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.6750
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.3250
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.6750
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.3250
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.6750
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.3250
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.6750
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.3250
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.6750
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2614.71, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.5877, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.6700
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.3300
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.6700
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.3300
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.6700
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.3300
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.6700
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.3300
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.6700
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.3300
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.6700
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.3300
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.6700
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.3300
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.6700
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.3300
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.6700
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.3300
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2614.71, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.5877, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.3300
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.6600
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.3400
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.6600
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.3400
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.6600
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.3400
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.6600
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.3400
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.6450
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.3550
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.6200
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.3800
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.6200
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.3800
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.6150
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.3850
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.6150
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2614.71, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.5877, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.6150
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.3850
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.6200
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.3800
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.6150
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.3850
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.6200
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.3800
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.6300
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.3700
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.6300
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.3700
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.6300
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.3700
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.6300
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.3700
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.6300
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.3700
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 79.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5631, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.6863

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.3700
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.6300
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.3700
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.6300
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.3700
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.6300
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.3700
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.6250
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.3750
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.6250
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.3750
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2614.71, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.5877, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.6150
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.3850
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.6150
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.3850
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.6150
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.3850
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.6150
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.3850
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2614.71, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.5877, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.3800
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.6200
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.3800
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.6200
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.3800
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.6200
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.3800
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.6200
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.3800
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.6200
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2614.71, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.5877, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.7750
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.2250
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.7700
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.2300
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.7700
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.2300
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.7900
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.2100
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.7900
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.2100
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.7350
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.2650
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.6300
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.3700
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.5900
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.4100
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2080.00, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.5400, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.7000
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.3000
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.6450
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.3550
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.4250
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.5750
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.4500
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.5500
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.4550
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.5450
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.4550
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.5450
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.4600
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.5400
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.4350
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.5650
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.4400
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.5600
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 227.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6619, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6738
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.5300
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.6750
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.3250
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.6750
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.3250
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.6750
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.3250
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.4850
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.5150
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.4850
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.5150
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.4850
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.5150
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.4850
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.5150
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.6800
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.3200
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.6800
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 146.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6290, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.6800
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.3200
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.7050
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.2950
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.7200
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.2800
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.7350
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.2650
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.7400
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.2600
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.7450
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.2550
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.7350
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.2650
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.7250
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.2750
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.7250
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.2750
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2614.71, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.5877, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.2750
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.7250
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.2750
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.7250
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.2750
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.7250
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.2750
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.7250
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.2750
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.7250
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.2750
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.7250
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.2750
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.7250
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.2750
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.7100
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.2900
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.7100
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 43.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4593, Price range: 0.4593 - 0.4593
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.7100
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.2900
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.7150
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.2850
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.7150
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.2850
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.7100
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.2900
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.7100
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.2900
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.7100
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.2900
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.7100
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.2900
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.7100
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.2900
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.7100
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.2900
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2614.71, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.5877, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.2800
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.7200
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.2800
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.6750
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.3250
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.6750
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.3250
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.6750
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.3250
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.6750
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.3250
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.6750
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.3250
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.6750
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.3250
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.6750
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.3250
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.6750
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2614.71, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.5877, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.6700
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.3300
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.6700
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.3300
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.6700
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.3300
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.6700
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.3300
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.6700
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.3300
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.6700
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.3300
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.6700
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.3300
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.6700
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.3300
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.6700
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.3300
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2614.71, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.5877, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.3300
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.6600
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.3400
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.6600
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.3400
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.6600
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.3400
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.6600
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.3400
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.6450
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.3550
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.6200
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.3800
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.6200
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.3800
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.6150
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.3850
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.6150
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2614.71, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.5877, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.6150
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.3850
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.6200
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.3800
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.6150
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.3850
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.6200
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.3800
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.6300
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.3700
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.6300
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.3700
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.6300
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.3700
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.6300
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.3700
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.6300
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.3700
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 79.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5631, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.6863
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.3700
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.6300
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.3700
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.6300
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.3700
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.6300
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.3700
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.6250
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.3750
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.6250
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.3750
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2614.71, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.5877, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.6150
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.3850
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.6150
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.3850
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.6150
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.3850
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.6150
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.3850
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2614.71, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.5877, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.6200
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.3800
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.6200
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.3800
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.6200
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.3800
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.6200
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.3800
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.6200
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.3800
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.6200
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2614.71, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.5877, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531379
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Biden" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2724.705714
Price History:
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.7750
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.2250
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.7700
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.2300
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.7700
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.2300
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.7900
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.2100
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.7900
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.2100
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.7350
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.2650
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.6300
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.3700
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.5900
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.4100
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2080.00, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.5400, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.1100
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.1100
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.1100
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.1100
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.1100
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.1100
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.1100
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.1100
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.1100
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.1100
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.1100
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.1100
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.1100
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.0850
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.0850
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.0850
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.0850
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.0850
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.0850
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.0850
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.0600
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0900
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.0900
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.0900
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.0900
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.0900
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.0900
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.0900
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.0900
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.0900
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.0900
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0850
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.0850
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.0850
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.0850
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.0850
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.0850
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.0850
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.1000
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.0950
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.0950
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0950
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.0950
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.0950
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.0950
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0950
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.0850
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.0850
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 270.00, Sell volume: 90.00, Average price: 0.7809, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.9200
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.9200
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.9200
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.9200
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.9200
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.9150
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.9200
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.9200
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.9200
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.9200
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.9250
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.9200
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.9200
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.9300
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.9300
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.9350
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.9350
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.9300
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.9300
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.9300
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.9300
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.9300
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.9300
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.9300
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.9300
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.9300
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.9300
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.9300
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.9300
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.9300
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 533, Buy volume: 32384.02, Sell volume: 14046.92, Average price: 0.6313, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes