Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.1350
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.8650
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.1350
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.8650
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.1350
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.8650
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.1350
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.8650
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.1350
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.8650
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.1350
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.8650
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.1350
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.8650
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.1350
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.8650
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.1350
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.8750
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.1250
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.8750
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.1250
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.8750
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.1250
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.8750
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.1250
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.8750
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.1250
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.8750
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.1250
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.8750
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.1250
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.8750
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.1250
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.8750
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.1200
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.8750
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.1150
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.8850
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.1150
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.8850
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.1150
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.8850
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.1150
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.8850
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.1150
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.8850
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.1150
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.8850
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.1150
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3424.20, Sell volume: 2187.38, Average price: 0.5500, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.1150
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.8850
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.1150
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.8850
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.1150
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.8850
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.1150
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.8850
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.1100
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.8850
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.1150
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.8850
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.1150
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.8900
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.1150
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.8850
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.1150
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.8850
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.1150
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.8850
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.1150
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.8850
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.1150
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.8850
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.1150
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.8850
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.1150
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.8850
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.1150
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.8850
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.1150
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.8850
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.1150
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.8850
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.1150
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.8750
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.1250
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.8750
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.1250
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.8750
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.1250
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.8750
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.1250
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3886.72, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.6174, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.1150
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.8850
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.1150
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.8850
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.1150
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.8850
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.1150
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.8850
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.1100
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.8850
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.1150
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.8900
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.1150
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.8850
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.1150
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.8850
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.1250
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.8750
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.1250
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.8750
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.1250
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.8700
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.1350
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.8650
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.1350
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.8650
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.1350
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.8650
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.1350
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.8650
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.1300
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.8650
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.1350
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.8750
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.1250
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.8750
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.1250
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.8750
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.1250
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.8750
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.1250
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.8750
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.1250
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.8750
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.1250
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.8750
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.1250
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.8750
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.1250
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 6386.08, Sell volume: 3142.28, Average price: 0.6582, Price range: 0.1019 - 0.8946

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.1200
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.8800
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.1200
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.8800
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.1200
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.8800
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.1200
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.8800
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.1200
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.8800
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.1200
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.8800
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.1250
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.8800
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.1200
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.8800
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.1200
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.8800
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.1200
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.8800
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.1200
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.8800
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.1150
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.8800
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.1150
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.8850
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.1150
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.8850
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.1150
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.8950
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.1050
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.8950
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.1050
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.9050
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.0950
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.9050
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.0950
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.9050
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.0650
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.9350
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.0650
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.9350
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.0650
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.9350
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.0650
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.0500
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.9400
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.0600
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2112.94, Sell volume: 4173.78, Average price: 0.5655, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.0600
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.9400
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.0600
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.9400
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.0600
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.9400
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.0600
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.9400
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.1150
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.8850
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.1100
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.8900
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.1100
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.8900
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.1050
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.8950
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.1050
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.8950
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.1050
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.8950
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.1050
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.8950
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.1000
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.9000
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.0900
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.9100
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.0900
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.9150
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.0850
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.9150
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.0800
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.9300
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.0750
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.9300
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.0750
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.9300
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.9150
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.0850
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.9150
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.9150
2025-03-18 06:00: 0.0850
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.9300
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.0700
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.9350
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.0650
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.9350
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.0650
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 11347.40, Sell volume: 3493.81, Average price: 0.7019, Price range: 0.0589 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.0650
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.9350
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.0700
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.9300
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.0650
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.9300
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.0700
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.9300
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.0700
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.9350
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.0650
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.9350
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.9250
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.9300
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.0700
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.9300
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0700
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.9350
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0650
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.9200
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.0800
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.9250
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.9350
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.0650
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.9350
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.0650
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.9350
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.0650
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9350
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.0650
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.9350
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.0650
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.9350
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.0650
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.9350
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0650
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.9350
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.0650
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.9350
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.0650
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.9350
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.0650
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.9350
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.0650
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 2159.59, Sell volume: 16.50, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.0650
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9350
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.0650
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.9350
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.0650
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.9350
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.0650
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.9350
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.0650
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.9400
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0600
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.9450
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.9450
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.9450
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.9450
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.9450
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.0550
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.9450
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.0650
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.9450
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.0550
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.9450
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.0550
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.9450
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.0550
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.9450
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.0550
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.9450
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.0550
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.9450
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.0550
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.9450
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.0550
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.9450
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.0550
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.9450
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.0550
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.9450
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0550
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.9450
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.0550
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.9450
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0550
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.9450
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.0550
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 534.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8725, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0550
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.9450
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.0550
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.9500
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0450
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.9550
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.9550
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.0400
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.9645
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.0325
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.9755
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.0275
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9675
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.0325
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.9675
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.0325
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.9675
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.0325
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.9675
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.0275
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.9725
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.0345
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.9665
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.0360
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.9635
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.0365
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.9645
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.0340
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.9665
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0330
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.9670
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.0330
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.9675
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0320
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.9675
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.0290
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.9695
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.0305
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.9685
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.0305
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.9695
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.0305
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.9690
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.0310
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.9710
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0285
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3212.29, Sell volume: 1533.21, Average price: 0.6774, Price range: 0.0296 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.0350
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.9660
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0340
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.9670
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.0360
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.9655
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0355
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.9680
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.0325
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.9665
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.0335
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.9675
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.0305
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.9695
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.0330
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.9750
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.0255
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.9715
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.0290
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.9715
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0275
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.9720
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0265
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.9710
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.0290
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.9715
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.0300
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.9735
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.0265
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.9750
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0260
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9750
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0250
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.9755
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0245
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.9755
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.0245
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.9755
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0245
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.9755
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.0245
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.9755
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0230
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.9775
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0225
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9775
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0225
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9775
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0225
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 2806.22, Sell volume: 1768.04, Average price: 0.8290, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.0165
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.9830
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0170
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.9825
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0165
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.9840
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0205
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9830
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0170
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.9845
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0135
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.9865
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0175
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.9820
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.0185
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.9815
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.0185
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.9805
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0195
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9805
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0195
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.9875
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0145
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9860
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9885
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0115
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.9885
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0110
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.9905
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9890
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0085
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.9900
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9900
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0110
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.9890
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0110
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.9890
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9900
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0115
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9890
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0095
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.9890
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9890
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.0110
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1052.36, Sell volume: 2324.84, Average price: 0.8413, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0110
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9870
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0130
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9870
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0180
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.9825
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.0170
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.9850
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0155
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9850
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0190
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9845
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0145
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9850
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0255
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9740
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0225
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9770
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0285
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.9750
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0255
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.9815
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0195
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.9890
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9925
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9925
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9925
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9900
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0095
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9910
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0085
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9915
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0085
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9890
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0080
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9920
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0080
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9920
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0080
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9920
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9925
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1337.98, Sell volume: 1318.46, Average price: 0.6459, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9970
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9970
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9970
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 108.69, Sell volume: 1910.83, Average price: 0.7961, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.1250
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.8950
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.1050
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.9300
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0950
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.8650
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.1250
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.8750
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.1250
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.8750
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.1350
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.8650
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.1350
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.8650
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.1350
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.8650
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.1350
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.8650
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.1350
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.8650
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.1350
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.8650
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.8650
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.8650
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.1350
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3661.19, Sell volume: 1041.81, Average price: 0.6493, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.1350
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.8650
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.1350
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.8650
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.1350
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.8650
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.1350
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.8650
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.1350
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.8650
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.1250
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.8750
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.1250
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.8750
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.1250
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.8750
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.1250
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.8750
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.1250
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.8800
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.1150
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.8850
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.1150
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.8850
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.1150
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.8850
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.1150
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.8850
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.1150
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3424.20, Sell volume: 2187.38, Average price: 0.5500, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.1150
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.8850
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.1150
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.8850
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.1150
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.8850
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.1150
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.8850
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.1150
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.8850
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.1150
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.8850
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.1150
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.8850
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.1150
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.8850
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.1150
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.8850
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.1150
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.8850
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.1200
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.8750
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.1250
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.8750
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.1250
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.8750
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.1250
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3886.72, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.6174, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.1150
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.8850
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.1150
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.8850
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.1150
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.8850
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.1100
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.8900
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.1150
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.8750
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.1250
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.8750
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.1350
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.8650
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.1350
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.8650
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.1350
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.8650
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.1300
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.8750
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.1250
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.8750
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.1250
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.8750
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.1250
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.8750
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.1250
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.8750
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.1250
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 6386.08, Sell volume: 3142.28, Average price: 0.6582, Price range: 0.1019 - 0.8946
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.1200
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.8800
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.1200
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.8800
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.1200
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.8800
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.1200
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.8800
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.1200
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.8800
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.1200
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.8800
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.1200
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.8800
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.1150
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.8850
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.1050
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.8950
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.0950
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.9050
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.0950
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.9050
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.0650
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.9350
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.0650
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.0600
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.9400
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.0600
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2112.94, Sell volume: 4173.78, Average price: 0.5655, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.0600
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.9400
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.0600
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9400
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.1150
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.8850
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.1100
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.8900
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.1050
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.8950
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.1050
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.8950
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.1050
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.9000
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.0900
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.9150
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.0850
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.9200
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.0700
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.9250
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.9150
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.0850
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9150
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.0700
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.9350
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.0650
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.9350
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0650
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 11347.40, Sell volume: 3493.81, Average price: 0.7019, Price range: 0.0589 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.0650
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.9350
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.0650
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.9350
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0700
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.9350
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0650
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.9250
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.9300
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0700
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.9350
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.0800
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.9250
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.9350
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.0650
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.9350
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.0650
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.9350
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.0650
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.9350
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.0650
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.9350
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.0650
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.9350
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0650
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.9350
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.0650
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 2159.59, Sell volume: 16.50, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.0650
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.9350
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.0650
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.9350
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.0650
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.9400
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.9450
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.9450
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.0550
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.9450
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.0650
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.9450
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.0550
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.9450
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.0550
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.9450
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0550
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.9450
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.0550
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.9450
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.0550
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.9450
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.0550
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.9450
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.0550
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.9450
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0550
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 534.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8725, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0550
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.9450
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9550
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.0450
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.9550
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.0355
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.9675
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0325
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.9675
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.0325
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.9675
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.0325
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.9655
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.0340
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.9635
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0355
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.9655
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.0335
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.9670
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0320
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.9715
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.0310
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.9685
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.0305
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.9690
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.0290
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.9710
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0290
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3212.29, Sell volume: 1533.21, Average price: 0.6774, Price range: 0.0296 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.0350
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.9660
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.0335
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.9650
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.0350
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.9665
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.0325
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.9695
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.0265
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.9745
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.0290
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.9710
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.0260
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.9720
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0300
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.9735
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.0250
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.9745
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0250
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.9755
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.0245
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.9755
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.0245
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.9755
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0225
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9775
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0225
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9775
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0180
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 2806.22, Sell volume: 1768.04, Average price: 0.8290, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.0165
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.9830
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0165
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9835
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0170
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.9845
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0135
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.9825
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.0185
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.9815
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0195
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9805
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0140
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9830
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0110
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.9885
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0095
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.9890
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0085
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9900
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0110
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.9900
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.9890
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0110
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.9890
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0100
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1052.36, Sell volume: 2324.84, Average price: 0.8413, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0110
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9870
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0180
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.9850
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0180
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9850
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0155
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9860
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0255
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9775
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0285
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.9745
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0195
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9875
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9925
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9925
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.9905
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0085
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9920
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9920
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9920
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9925
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1337.98, Sell volume: 1318.46, Average price: 0.6459, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9970
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9970
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 108.69, Sell volume: 1910.83, Average price: 0.7961, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.2350
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.1700
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0215
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0075
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0035
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0030
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0035
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0030
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0030
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0030
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0030
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0030
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0030
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0030
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 335.02, Sell volume: 1504.08, Average price: 0.2233, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0030
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0030
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0030
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0030
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0030
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0030
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0030
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1607.36, Sell volume: 337.69, Average price: 0.3152, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0050
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0055
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0055
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0055
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0065
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0065
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0060
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0065
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0150
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0125
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0315
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0220
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0225
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0335
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0330
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0270
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0300
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0340
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0470
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0420
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0365
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0365
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0365
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0360
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0350
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0355
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0170
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0185
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0215
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0245
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 6866.84, Sell volume: 2158.43, Average price: 0.5448, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0220
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0240
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0265
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0260
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0265
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0245
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0255
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0250
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0260
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0260
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0260
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0260
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0240
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0230
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0215
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0230
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0205
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0245
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0245
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0235
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.0125
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0110
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0115
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0110
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0170
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.0155
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0165
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0175
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0190
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0190
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0145
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0050
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0055
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0055
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0055
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0055
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0055
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0055
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0055
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0055
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0055
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0055
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0055
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0055
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0055
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0060
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 2287.26, Sell volume: 4394.84, Average price: 0.5151, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9947

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0035
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0035
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0080
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0085
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0075
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0075
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0080
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0090
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0085
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0085
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0085
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0085
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0080
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0080
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0085
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0085
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0085
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0085
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0085
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0075
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0075
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0030
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0030
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0030
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0030
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0030
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0030
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0030
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0030
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0030
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 5264.90, Sell volume: 1743.02, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0040
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0065
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0070
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0065
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0065
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0065
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0075
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0075
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.0075
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0075
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0075
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0075
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0075
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0075
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0055
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0050
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0050
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0050
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0070
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0100
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0100
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0100
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0100
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0100
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0100
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 2669.77, Sell volume: 504.84, Average price: 0.7446, Price range: 0.0041 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0075
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0050
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0050
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.0050
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0050
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0050
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0050
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0050
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0055
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0055
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0055
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0055
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0090
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0090
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0090
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0085
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0085
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0085
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0085
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0045
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0075
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0080
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0075
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0075
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0075
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0075
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0075
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0075
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 1147.80, Sell volume: 326.01, Average price: 0.8558, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0070
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0070
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0070
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0070
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0070
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0070
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0070
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0070
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0065
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0115
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.0080
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0080
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0080
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0075
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0075
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0065
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0065
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0065
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0065
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.0065
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0065
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0065
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.0075
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0075
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0075
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.0075
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0075
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0075
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0075
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0075
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0090
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0085
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0085
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0085
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0070
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0110
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0075
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0075
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0110
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0080
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0085
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0065
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0065
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 6505.14, Sell volume: 3595.98, Average price: 0.6926, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0105
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0095
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.0110
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0110
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0110
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0110
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0110
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0110
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0110
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0120
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0100
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0110
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0085
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0085
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0085
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0085
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0065
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0065
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0065
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.0065
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1033.97, Sell volume: 10657.47, Average price: 0.5650, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 4.00, Sell volume: 7009.96, Average price: 0.7492, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0010
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 13635.51, Sell volume: 5643.25, Average price: 0.5598, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 9703.49, Sell volume: 7951.93, Average price: 0.7062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 28401.43, Sell volume: 9203.73, Average price: 0.1678, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.7650
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0215
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9930
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0075
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9955
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9965
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9965
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9965
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0030
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9970
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9970
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9970
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9970
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9965
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0030
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 335.02, Sell volume: 1504.08, Average price: 0.2233, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9965
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9970
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9970
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9970
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9970
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9970
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9970
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0030
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9970
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0030
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9970
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0030
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1607.36, Sell volume: 337.69, Average price: 0.3152, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0050
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9945
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0055
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9940
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9935
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0065
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9960
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9960
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9955
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9955
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9955
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9850
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9685
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0225
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9665
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0270
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9700
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0470
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9580
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0365
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9635
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0350
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 6866.84, Sell volume: 2158.43, Average price: 0.5448, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9780
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9760
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0260
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9735
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0255
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9750
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0260
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9740
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0240
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9770
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0230
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9795
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0245
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.9765
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0110
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9885
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0170
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.9845
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0175
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9810
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0145
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9950
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0055
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9945
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0055
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9945
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0055
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 2287.26, Sell volume: 4394.84, Average price: 0.5151, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9947
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9965
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0035
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.9920
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0075
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9925
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0090
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9915
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0085
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9915
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0080
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.9915
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0085
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.9915
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0085
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.9925
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9970
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.9970
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.9970
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9970
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.9970
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0030
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.9970
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 5264.90, Sell volume: 1743.02, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.9960
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0070
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9940
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0065
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9935
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0075
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9925
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0075
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9925
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0075
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9925
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0050
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.9950
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0070
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9900
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9895
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9895
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9895
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9895
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0100
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.9900
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0100
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9895
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 2669.77, Sell volume: 504.84, Average price: 0.7446, Price range: 0.0041 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9895
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.9895
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0075
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.9950
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0050
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.9950
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0050
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9950
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0055
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9945
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0055
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.9915
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9915
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.9915
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9915
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.9910
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9910
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0085
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9915
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9955
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0080
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 1147.80, Sell volume: 326.01, Average price: 0.8558, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0070
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.9930
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0070
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.9930
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0070
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.9930
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.9940
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.9940
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0115
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9920
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0080
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.9925
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0065
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.9935
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0065
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.9935
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0065
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9925
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0075
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.9925
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0075
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.9925
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0090
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.9915
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0085
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.9930
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0075
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 6505.14, Sell volume: 3595.98, Average price: 0.6926, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0105
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9905
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0110
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.9890
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0110
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9890
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0120
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9900
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0085
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9915
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0085
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.9935
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9950
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9950
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9950
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9935
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9935
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.9975
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9975
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.9975
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1033.97, Sell volume: 10657.47, Average price: 0.5650, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 4.00, Sell volume: 7009.96, Average price: 0.7492, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9990
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 13635.51, Sell volume: 5643.25, Average price: 0.5598, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 9703.49, Sell volume: 7951.93, Average price: 0.7062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547454
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Volume: 135212.536184
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 28401.43, Sell volume: 9203.73, Average price: 0.1678, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.5000
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.5000
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.1200
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.8800
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.1100
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.8900
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0910
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9090
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0895
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9105
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0925
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9075
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0940
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9060
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.1595
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.8405
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.1750
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.8250
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.1805
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.8195
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.1505
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.8495
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.1550
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.8450
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.1645
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.8355
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.1545
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.8455
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.1455
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.8545
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 5935.34, Sell volume: 2382.76, Average price: 0.2764, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9036

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9130
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0595
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.9405
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0595
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.9405
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0575
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9425
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0555
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.9445
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0380
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.9620
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0380
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9620
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0370
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.9630
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0445
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.9555
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0460
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9540
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0425
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.9575
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0100
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.9900
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0065
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9935
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.9960
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.9965
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0045
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 8398.78, Sell volume: 3200.67, Average price: 0.5934, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0045
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.9955
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0045
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.9955
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9955
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.9955
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.9950
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9950
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.9950
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.9950
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9950
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.9950
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.9950
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9970
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.9970
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.9970
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0030
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9970
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5969.04, Sell volume: 3746.76, Average price: 0.7226, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.9970
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0030
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.9970
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0035
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.9965
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.9965
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.9965
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0040
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.9960
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.9960
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9960
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0035
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.9965
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9965
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9965
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.9965
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0035
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.9965
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0035
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.9965
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1822.88, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.3761, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0045
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9955
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 180.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0040
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.9960
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.9960
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0040
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.9960
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.9955
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0035
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9965
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0035
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9965
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0040
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.9960
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0060
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9940
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0065
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9935
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0180
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9820
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0190
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9810
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0195
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.9805
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0300
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.9700
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 12299.36, Sell volume: 1368.49, Average price: 0.4381, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0865
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.9135
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0435
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.9565
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0400
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.9600
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0245
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.9755
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0245
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.9755
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0255
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.9745
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0285
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.9715
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0265
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.9735
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0265
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9735
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0215
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.9785
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0210
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9790
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0110
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.9890
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0150
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.9850
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0205
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9795
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0215
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.9785
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 4549.94, Sell volume: 3966.85, Average price: 0.3893, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.9840
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0265
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9735
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0090
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.9910
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.9965
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.9980
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.9980
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9980
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.9980
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.9980
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9980
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.9980
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9980
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9980
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 7975.67, Sell volume: 16881.47, Average price: 0.4985, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.9990
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 17.00, Sell volume: 0.43, Average price: 0.9985, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9990
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.9990
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9990
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9990
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.9990
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.9990
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9990
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.58, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 37.73, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1150.00, Sell volume: 286.83, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.5000
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.5000
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.1200
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.8800
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.1100
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.8900
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0910
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9090
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0895
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9105
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0925
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9075
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0940
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9060
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.1595
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.8405
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.1750
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.8250
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.1805
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.8195
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.1505
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.8495
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.1550
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.8450
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.1645
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.8355
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.1545
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.8455
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.1455
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.8545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 5935.34, Sell volume: 2382.76, Average price: 0.2764, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9036
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9130
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0595
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.9405
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0595
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.9405
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0575
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9425
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0555
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.9445
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0380
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.9620
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0380
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9620
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0370
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.9630
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0445
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.9555
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0460
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9540
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0425
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.9575
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0100
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.9900
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0065
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9935
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.9960
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.9965
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 8398.78, Sell volume: 3200.67, Average price: 0.5934, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0045
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.9955
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0045
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.9955
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9955
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.9955
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.9950
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9950
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.9950
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.9950
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9950
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.9950
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.9950
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9970
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.9970
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.9970
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0030
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5969.04, Sell volume: 3746.76, Average price: 0.7226, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.9970
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0030
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.9970
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0035
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.9965
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.9965
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.9965
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0040
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.9960
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.9960
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9960
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0035
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.9965
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9965
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9965
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.9965
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0035
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.9965
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0035
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.9965
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1822.88, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.3761, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0045
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9955
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 180.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0040
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.9960
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.9960
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0040
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.9960
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.9955
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0035
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9965
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0035
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9965
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0040
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.9960
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0060
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9940
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0065
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9935
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0180
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9820
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0190
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9810
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0195
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.9805
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0300
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.9700
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 12299.36, Sell volume: 1368.49, Average price: 0.4381, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0865
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.9135
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0435
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.9565
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0400
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.9600
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0245
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.9755
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0245
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.9755
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0255
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.9745
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0285
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.9715
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0265
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.9735
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0265
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9735
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0215
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.9785
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0210
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9790
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0110
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.9890
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0150
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.9850
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0205
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9795
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0215
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 4549.94, Sell volume: 3966.85, Average price: 0.3893, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.9840
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0265
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9735
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0090
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.9910
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.9965
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.9980
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.9980
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9980
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.9980
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.9980
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9980
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.9980
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9980
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9980
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 7975.67, Sell volume: 16881.47, Average price: 0.4985, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 17.00, Sell volume: 0.43, Average price: 0.9985, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9990
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.9990
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9990
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9990
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.9990
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.9990
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9990
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.58, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 37.73, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547472
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?
Volume: 83710.932786
Price History:
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes