Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641841
Question: Will Jammin 123 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 17585.205254
Price History:
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9530
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0470
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9530
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0470
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9530
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0460
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9540
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0465
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9540
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0460
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9535
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0440
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9560
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0435
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9555
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0420
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9580
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0420
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9580
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0420
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9580
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0420
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9580
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0420
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9585
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0415
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9890
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0105
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9895
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 23.08, Sell volume: 201.26, Average price: 0.2550, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641841
Question: Will Jammin 123 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 17585.205254
Price History:
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9895
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0105
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9895
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0105
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9895
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0105
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9895
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0105
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9895
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0105
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9895
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0105
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9895
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0105
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9895
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0105
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9895
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0105
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9895
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0105
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9895
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0105
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9895
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0105
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9895
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0105
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9895
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 435.91, Sell volume: 58.64, Average price: 0.7447, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641841
Question: Will Jammin 123 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 17585.205254
Price History:
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0100
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0100
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0100
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9595
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0405
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9595
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0405
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9595
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9895
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0100
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9900
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 271.47, Sell volume: 66.16, Average price: 0.9866, Price range: 0.9280 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641841
Question: Will Jammin 123 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 17585.205254
Price History:
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9905
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9905
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0095
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9905
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0095
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9905
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0100
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9900
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0100
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9900
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0100
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9900
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0100
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9900
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0100
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9900
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 1392.25, Sell volume: 332.76, Average price: 0.9623, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641841
Question: Will Jammin 123 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 17585.205254
Price History:
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9930
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 282.22, Sell volume: 399.99, Average price: 0.9349, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641841
Question: Will Jammin 123 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 17585.205254
Price History:
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 2081.15, Sell volume: 50.97, Average price: 0.9727, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641841
Question: Will Jammin 123 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 17585.205254
Price History:
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 399.95, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641841
Question: Will Jammin 123 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 17585.205254
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 899.80, Sell volume: 6386.74, Average price: 0.9242, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641841
Question: Will Jammin 123 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 17585.205254
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 1195.49, Sell volume: 855.70, Average price: 0.8244, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2500
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0245
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9800
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9800
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9820
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0175
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9890
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 51.00, Sell volume: 61.00, Average price: 0.6615, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9910
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9910
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9940
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9940
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9945
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9920
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9920
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9925
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9950
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9950
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9955
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9950
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9955
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9955
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9955
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9955
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9955
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9950
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9950
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9955
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9955
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9955
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9955
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9955
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9955
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 766.62, Sell volume: 401.40, Average price: 0.8311, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9955
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9955
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9955
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9955
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9955
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9955
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9955
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9955
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9955
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9955
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9955
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9950
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9950
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9950
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9950
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9955
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9960
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 488.60, Sell volume: 232.77, Average price: 0.8674, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 38.54, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 100.20, Sell volume: 348.74, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4.97, Sell volume: 4.96, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 223.01, Sell volume: 17.72, Average price: 0.9963, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 1209.93, Sell volume: 154.96, Average price: 0.9481, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 178.06, Sell volume: 503.13, Average price: 0.5998, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 1720.13, Sell volume: 369.28, Average price: 0.8538, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 283, Buy volume: 4950.17, Sell volume: 3716.50, Average price: 0.8501, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 195.00, Sell volume: 1584.00, Average price: 0.8327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 283, Buy volume: 4950.17, Sell volume: 3716.50, Average price: 0.8501, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2500
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9755
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9800
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0180
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9890
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 51.00, Sell volume: 61.00, Average price: 0.6615, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9910
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9910
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0060
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9945
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0080
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0075
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0050
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9950
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0050
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9955
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0045
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9955
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0045
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9950
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0045
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9955
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 766.62, Sell volume: 401.40, Average price: 0.8311, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0045
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9955
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0045
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0045
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0040
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0040
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0040
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0040
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0045
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9955
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0045
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9950
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0050
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9950
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0040
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 488.60, Sell volume: 232.77, Average price: 0.8674, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 38.54, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 100.20, Sell volume: 348.74, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4.97, Sell volume: 4.96, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 223.01, Sell volume: 17.72, Average price: 0.9963, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 1209.93, Sell volume: 154.96, Average price: 0.9481, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 178.06, Sell volume: 503.13, Average price: 0.5998, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 1720.13, Sell volume: 369.28, Average price: 0.8538, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 283, Buy volume: 4950.17, Sell volume: 3716.50, Average price: 0.8501, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 195.00, Sell volume: 1584.00, Average price: 0.8327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641843
Question: Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 8666.667521
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 283, Buy volume: 4950.17, Sell volume: 3716.50, Average price: 0.8501, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2500
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9755
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9820
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9825
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9890
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9890
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9890
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9890
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9890
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.2580, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9890
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9920
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9945
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9920
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9950
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9950
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9950
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9940
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9940
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9945
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9945
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 490.12, Sell volume: 327.31, Average price: 0.7487, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9945
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9945
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9945
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9945
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9950
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9950
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9955
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9955
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9955
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9955
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9955
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9955
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9955
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9960
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9960
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9960
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9960
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9960
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9955
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9955
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 255.66, Sell volume: 278.19, Average price: 0.8222, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0030

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 80.42, Sell volume: 80.40, Average price: 0.9945, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 209.37, Sell volume: 15.14, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 1147.10, Sell volume: 74.00, Average price: 0.9634, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 178.06, Sell volume: 503.11, Average price: 0.5998, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 95, Buy volume: 1655.16, Sell volume: 371.84, Average price: 0.8519, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 241, Buy volume: 4139.59, Sell volume: 1733.99, Average price: 0.8411, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 241, Buy volume: 4139.59, Sell volume: 1733.99, Average price: 0.8411, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2500
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0245
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0180
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9890
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9890
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0110
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.2580, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0115
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9890
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9945
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0050
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0050
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9940
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0055
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0060
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0055
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 490.12, Sell volume: 327.31, Average price: 0.7487, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9945
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0055
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9945
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0050
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9950
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9955
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0045
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0045
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9955
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0040
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9960
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0040
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 255.66, Sell volume: 278.19, Average price: 0.8222, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0045
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0045
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0030
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 80.42, Sell volume: 80.40, Average price: 0.9945, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 209.37, Sell volume: 15.14, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 1147.10, Sell volume: 74.00, Average price: 0.9634, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 178.06, Sell volume: 503.11, Average price: 0.5998, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 95, Buy volume: 1655.16, Sell volume: 371.84, Average price: 0.8519, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 241, Buy volume: 4139.59, Sell volume: 1733.99, Average price: 0.8411, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641845
Question: Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 5873.584998
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 241, Buy volume: 4139.59, Sell volume: 1733.99, Average price: 0.8411, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.7500
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9750
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9755
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9800
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9795
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9825
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9890
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 51.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0090
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0065
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0055
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0090
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0090
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0090
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0090
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0090
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0090
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0090
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0090
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0090
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0090
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0090
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0090
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0090
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0090
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0090
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0090
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0080
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0080
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0080
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0080
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0080
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0080
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0085
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0080
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 771.83, Sell volume: 336.04, Average price: 0.8746, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0080
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0080
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0080
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0080
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0080
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0080
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0080
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0080
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0085
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0075
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0090
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0080
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0045
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 301.09, Sell volume: 232.77, Average price: 0.9049, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0065
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0065
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0065
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0040
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0070
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0040
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0040
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 260.00, Average price: 0.0023, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0030

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0070
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0070
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 49.20, Sell volume: 49.19, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 205.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 1448.68, Sell volume: 37.80, Average price: 0.9316, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 25409.37, Sell volume: 12996.17, Average price: 0.7789, Price range: 0.0017 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 1952.20, Sell volume: 417.45, Average price: 0.8888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes