Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0255
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.9685
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.0325
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.9680
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.0375
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.9625
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.0375
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.9625
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.0390
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.9615
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.0385
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.9615
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.0375
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.9620
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.0375
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.9625
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0375
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.9625
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.0385
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.9615
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.0395
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.9690
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.0235
2025-04-06 20:00: 0.9755
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.0290
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.9745
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.0320
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.9720
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.0305
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.9725
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.0315
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.9680
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0320
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.9680
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0325
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.9680
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0330
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.9675
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0325
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.9670
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0325
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.9655
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.9705
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0330
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.9735
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0250
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.9775
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.0285
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.9730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 25560554.95, Sell volume: 26330417.12, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0275
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.9720
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0265
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9730
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0255
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9735
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0250
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9740
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0215
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.9735
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0255
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9770
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0315
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.9795
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0205
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9795
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0205
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9795
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0205
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9795
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0205
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9795
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0260
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9740
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0190
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0315
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9745
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0255
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9795
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0200
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9800
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0200
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9800
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0200
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9800
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0200
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9795
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9745
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0320
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9770
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0310
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9765
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0320
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 25560554.95, Sell volume: 26330417.12, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0240
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9765
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0235
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9765
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0235
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9765
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0295
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9735
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0175
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9825
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0175
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9825
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0175
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9825
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0180
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9820
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0180
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9830
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0170
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9830
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0170
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9830
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0170
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.9835
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0165
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.9835
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.0165
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.9835
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.0165
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.9835
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.0165
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.9835
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.0165
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.9835
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.0165
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.9835
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.0135
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.9860
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.0135
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.9860
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.0140
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.9865
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0140
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.9860
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0135
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.9865
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.0135
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.9860
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.0135
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 25560554.95, Sell volume: 26330417.12, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.0135
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.9865
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0135
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9885
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0110
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.9920
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.0250
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.9780
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.0280
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.9720
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0275
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.9720
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.0300
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.9585
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0295
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.9580
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.0405
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9610
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0255
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.9765
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0230
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9775
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0235
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.9755
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0240
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9810
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.0185
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.9815
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0155
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.9870
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0130
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9880
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0140
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9835
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0175
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9800
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0205
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9790
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0210
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9780
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0210
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9795
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0210
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9795
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0175
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9825
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0165
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9905
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 25560554.95, Sell volume: 26330417.12, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0055
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9925
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0075
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9935
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0075
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.9925
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0075
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.9935
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0065
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9935
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0065
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.9935
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0065
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.9925
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0075
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.9925
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0075
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9930
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0070
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9930
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0070
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9930
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.0070
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.9935
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0065
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.9930
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0070
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.9930
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0070
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.9920
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0080
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.9920
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0075
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.9925
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0085
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.9915
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0085
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9915
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0085
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9915
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0085
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.9915
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0085
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.9915
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0085
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.9915
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0085
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.9915
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0085
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 25560554.95, Sell volume: 26330417.12, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0085
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.9915
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0085
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.9930
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0070
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9915
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0080
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9920
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0070
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9930
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0070
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.9925
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0070
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.9920
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0080
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.9925
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0070
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9930
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.0070
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.9930
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.0070
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.9935
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0070
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.9925
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0075
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.9930
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0075
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.9925
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0075
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.9925
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0075
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.9920
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0075
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.9920
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0080
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.9925
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0075
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.9920
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.0075
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.9930
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0070
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.9930
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0070
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.9925
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0075
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.9925
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0075
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.9925
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0075
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 25560554.95, Sell volume: 26330417.12, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0075
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.9925
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0075
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.9925
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.0075
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.9925
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.0075
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.9925
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.0075
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.9925
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.0075
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.9925
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0075
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9925
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0075
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9925
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0075
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.9925
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0075
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.9925
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0075
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.9925
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0075
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.9925
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0070
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.9930
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0075
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.9925
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.0075
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.9915
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0070
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9920
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0085
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.9915
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0085
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9915
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0085
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9920
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0075
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.9920
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0080
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.9890
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0120
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9870
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0125
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.9860
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0135
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9860
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0140
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 25560554.95, Sell volume: 26330417.12, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9850
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0135
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.9865
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0135
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.9875
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0140
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.9820
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.0180
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.9875
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.0205
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.9885
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0125
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.9875
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.0120
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.9880
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.0125
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.9855
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.0150
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.9885
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.0105
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.9875
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0110
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.9895
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.0090
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9910
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0090
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.9895
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0100
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.9890
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.0090
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.9915
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.0090
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.9905
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.0095
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.9905
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0100
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.9920
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.0080
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.9920
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.0080
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.9920
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0075
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.9925
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.0075
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.9925
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.0070
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.9930
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0070
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 25560554.95, Sell volume: 26330417.12, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.0080
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9925
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.0075
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.9930
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0075
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.9925
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.0075
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.9925
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0075
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.0075
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0075
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9925
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.9920
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.0080
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9925
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.0075
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9925
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.0075
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0075
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.0075
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.0075
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0075
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0075
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.9925
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.0075
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.9920
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.0075
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0085
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.9925
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0080
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9925
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9915
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0080
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.0075
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.0085
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.9920
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.0085
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.9920
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.0075
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.9920
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0085
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.9920
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0080
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.9920
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0080
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.0080
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.9920
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9925
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.9920
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999428, Buy volume: 25537012.57, Sell volume: 26302603.30, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9915
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.0080
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.9920
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9920
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.0080
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.9925
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.9925
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.9925
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.0075
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.0075
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.0075
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.9930
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.9925
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.0075
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.0075
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9925
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9925
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0070
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9930
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.0070
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9930
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0070
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0070
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9930
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9930
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.9935
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0065
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9935
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0065
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9935
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9950
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9950
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0050
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0050
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9950
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0050
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 452, Buy volume: 12647.74, Sell volume: 15235.27, Average price: 0.7664, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9955
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9990
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 10894.64, Sell volume: 12578.55, Average price: 0.9134, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.3500
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.1400
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.8100
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.1400
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.8600
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.1500
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.8650
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.1400
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.8650
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.1350
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.1350
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.8650
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.1350
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.8600
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.1350
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.8600
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.1400
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.8600
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.1400
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.8600
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.1400
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.8750
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.1350
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.8650
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.1300
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.8900
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.1050
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 25560554.95, Sell volume: 26330417.12, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.0850
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.9100
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.0700
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.9545
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.0385
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.9315
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.0430
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.9605
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.0460
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.9465
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.0550
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.9520
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.0475
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.9525
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.0405
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.9610
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.0390
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.9670
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.0340
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.9660
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.0325
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.9670
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0345
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.9750
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.0225
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.9750
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.0235
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.9740
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0255
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 25560554.95, Sell volume: 26330417.12, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0255
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.9685
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.0320
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.9625
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.0375
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.9625
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.0385
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.9625
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.0375
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.9625
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.0375
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.9615
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.0395
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.9705
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.0290
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.9745
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0320
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.9710
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.0315
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.9685
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0320
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.9680
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.0330
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9670
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0325
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.9670
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0295
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.9735
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0225
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 25560554.95, Sell volume: 26330417.12, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0275
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9745
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0270
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9735
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0230
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9765
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0255
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9795
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0205
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9795
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0205
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9795
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0205
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9795
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9695
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0295
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9695
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9795
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0205
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9800
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0200
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9800
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0200
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9795
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0240
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9770
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0275
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 25560554.95, Sell volume: 26330417.12, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0240
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9760
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0235
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9765
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0205
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9825
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0175
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9825
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0175
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9820
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9830
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0170
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.9830
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.0165
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.9835
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.0165
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.9835
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.0165
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.9835
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0165
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.9835
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0140
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.9865
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.0140
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.9865
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0135
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.9865
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.0135
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 25560554.95, Sell volume: 26330417.12, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.0135
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9865
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0115
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.9920
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.0235
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9720
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0275
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9705
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0415
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.9580
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0395
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9750
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0230
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.9760
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0250
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9810
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0185
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.9845
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0130
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9870
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0160
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9800
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0235
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9785
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0210
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9790
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0180
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9825
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0145
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 25560554.95, Sell volume: 26330417.12, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0055
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9925
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0070
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.9925
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0065
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.9935
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0065
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.9935
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0075
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.9925
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.0070
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.9930
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0070
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.9930
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0065
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.9930
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0070
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.9920
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0080
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.9925
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0075
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.9915
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0085
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.9915
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0085
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.9915
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0085
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.9915
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0085
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 25560554.95, Sell volume: 26330417.12, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0085
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9915
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0070
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9915
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0080
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.9930
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0070
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9930
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0080
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.9925
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0070
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.9930
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.0070
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.9935
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0075
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.9930
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0075
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.9925
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0075
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.9920
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0075
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.9925
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0080
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.9930
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0070
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9930
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0075
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.9925
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0075
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 25560554.95, Sell volume: 26330417.12, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0075
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.9925
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.0075
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.9925
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0075
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9925
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.0075
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.9925
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0075
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9925
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.0075
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.9925
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0075
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.9925
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.0075
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.9930
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0075
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.9925
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0070
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.9920
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0085
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9915
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0080
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.9920
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0080
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.9875
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0130
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.9860
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0135
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 25560554.95, Sell volume: 26330417.12, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.9870
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0125
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.9875
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.0135
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.9710
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.0205
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9870
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.0120
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.9880
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.0145
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.9870
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.0105
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.9885
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.0105
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9910
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0090
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.9895
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.0090
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.9925
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0090
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.9905
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.0090
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.9920
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.0080
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.9925
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0075
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.9925
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.0070
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 25560554.95, Sell volume: 26330417.12, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.0080
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.9930
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0075
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.9925
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.0070
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0075
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0075
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.0075
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.0080
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.0075
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9925
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.9925
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.0075
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.9925
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0075
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.9920
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0085
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.9930
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9925
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0065
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.9925
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.9920
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.0080
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.9925
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0085
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.9920
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.0080
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.0080
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.9925
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999428, Buy volume: 25537012.57, Sell volume: 26302603.30, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9915
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.0080
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.0080
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.9925
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.9925
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.0075
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.0075
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.9930
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.0075
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9925
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.9930
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.0070
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9930
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0070
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0070
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.9935
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0065
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9935
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0050
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9950
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9950
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9950
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 452, Buy volume: 12647.74, Sell volume: 15235.27, Average price: 0.7664, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0045
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 10894.64, Sell volume: 12578.55, Average price: 0.9134, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.4200
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.5850
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.4450
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.6550
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.3500
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.6500
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.4000
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.6000
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.4300
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.5700
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.4250
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.5850
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.3850
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.6150
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.4150
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.6000
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.3900
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.6300
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.3800
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.6350
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.3750
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.6150
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.3800
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.6200
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.3800
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.6250
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.3750
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.6200
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.4200
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.5300
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.4600
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.4550
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.5550
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.3900
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.6450
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.5100
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.5050
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.5100
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.4950
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.4750
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.5100
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.4900
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.5450
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.4600
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.5400
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.5450
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.4500
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.5400
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 160910142.92, Sell volume: 96723245.07, Average price: 0.5423, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.4500
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.6150
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.4000
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.6050
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.3950
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.6050
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.4050
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5900
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.4350
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.5650
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.5800
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.4450
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.5750
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.4150
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.5950
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.4150
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.5950
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.4250
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.5750
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.4200
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.5700
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.4100
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.5900
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.3900
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.6100
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.3900
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.6100
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.3900
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.6150
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.3550
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.7400
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2750
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.7100
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.2900
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.7100
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.2950
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.7050
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.3900
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.5950
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.3950
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.6000
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.3950
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.6000
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.3750
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.6550
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.3450
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.6500
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.3100
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 160910142.92, Sell volume: 96723245.07, Average price: 0.5423, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.6200
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.3700
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.6300
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.3750
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.6350
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.3950
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.6250
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.3950
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.6100
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.3750
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.6250
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.3750
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.6250
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.3450
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.6350
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.3550
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.6250
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.3850
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.6150
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.3950
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.6150
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.4050
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.6100
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.4150
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.6050
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.6250
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.3900
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.6100
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.4100
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.5950
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.4050
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.5800
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.4200
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.5800
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.4400
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.5600
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.4400
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.5650
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.4350
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.5600
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.5400
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.4750
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.4950
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.5300
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.4800
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.5150
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.4550
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.5150
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 160910142.92, Sell volume: 96723245.07, Average price: 0.5423, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.4550
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.5600
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.4500
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.5450
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.4550
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.5450
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.4600
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.5450
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.4500
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.5450
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.4550
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.5450
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.4550
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.5450
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.4550
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.5350
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.5100
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.4850
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.5350
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.4600
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.5800
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.4150
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.5850
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.4150
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.6150
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.3800
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.6200
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.3950
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.6350
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.3650
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.6150
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.4100
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.5850
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.4900
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.4100
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.5400
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.5300
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.4950
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.3450
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.6600
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.3550
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.6600
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.3300
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.6800
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.3150
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.7000
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.3250
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.6800
2025-04-06 20:00: 0.3150
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 160910142.92, Sell volume: 96723245.07, Average price: 0.5423, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.7100
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.3050
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.6950
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.3100
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.6950
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.3050
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.6950
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.3050
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.6900
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.3150
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.6800
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.3200
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.6750
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.3200
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.6800
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.3200
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.6800
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.3150
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.6800
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.3200
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.6800
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.3200
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.6850
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.4200
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.6650
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.3400
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.6500
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.3450
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.3450
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.6550
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.3450
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.6550
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.3450
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.6550
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.3350
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.6650
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.3450
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.6650
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.3400
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.6550
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.3450
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.6600
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.3400
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.6600
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.3400
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.6650
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.3350
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.6650
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 160910142.92, Sell volume: 96723245.07, Average price: 0.5423, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.3250
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.6600
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.3400
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.6600
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.3400
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.6650
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.3350
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.6650
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.3350
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.6650
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.3350
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.6650
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.3250
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.6750
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.3300
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.6850
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.3150
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.6800
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.6700
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.3300
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.6700
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.3300
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.6750
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.3250
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.6750
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.3250
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.6800
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.2700
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7400
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2700
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.3050
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.6950
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.3050
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.6950
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.6950
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.3050
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.6950
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.3050
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.6950
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.3050
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.6650
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.3350
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.6650
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.3350
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 160910142.92, Sell volume: 96723245.07, Average price: 0.5423, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.6750
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.3250
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.6750
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.3250
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.6850
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.2850
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.7200
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.3050
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.7150
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.2650
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.7150
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.2800
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.7200
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.3000
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.6750
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.2950
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.7000
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.2950
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.7050
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.2550
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.8750
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.1450
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.8650
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.1900
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.8050
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.1750
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.8100
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.2150
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.8150
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.1950
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.8050
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.2100
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.7750
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.1950
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.8050
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.2050
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.7850
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.2050
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.8000
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.2000
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.8050
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.1900
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.8100
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.2050
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.7750
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.2150
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.8050
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.1950
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.7800
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 160910142.92, Sell volume: 96723245.07, Average price: 0.5423, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.2150
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.7750
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.2200
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.7550
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.2200
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.8000
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.1950
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.8050
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.1950
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.7950
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.2050
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.8000
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.2000
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.8050
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.2200
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.7850
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.2050
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.6150
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.2850
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.6650
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.2600
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.7550
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.2650
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.7550
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.2450
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.7350
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.2650
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.7600
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.2550
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.7800
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.2250
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.7450
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.2700
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.7300
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.2750
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.7250
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.3500
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.7300
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.2750
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.7250
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.2450
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.7550
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.2450
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.7550
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.2650
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.7500
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.7550
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.2600
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 160910142.92, Sell volume: 96723245.07, Average price: 0.5423, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.7550
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.2450
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.7800
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.2950
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.7800
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.2500
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.7600
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.2350
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.7800
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.2300
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.7550
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.2400
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.7600
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.2300
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.7550
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.2450
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.7550
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.2450
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.7650
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.2300
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.7750
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.2400
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.7650
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.2350
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.7650
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.7450
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.2400
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.7600
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.2350
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.7650
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.2300
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.7700
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.2250
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.7750
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.2250
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.7750
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.2200
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.7550
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.2250
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.7700
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.2350
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.7600
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.2400
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.7550
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.2350
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.7700
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.2250
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.7750
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 160910142.92, Sell volume: 96723245.07, Average price: 0.5423, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.2150
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.7800
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.2250
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.7800
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.2150
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.7900
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.2150
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.8300
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.1850
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.8450
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.1800
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.8100
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.1950
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.8650
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.1650
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.8250
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.1750
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.8250
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.1600
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.8350
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.1700
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.8250
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.8250
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.8350
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.1450
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.8550
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.1600
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.8500
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.1500
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.8300
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.1650
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.8450
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.1550
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.8400
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.1650
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.8250
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.1850
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.8100
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.1900
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.7600
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.2100
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.7800
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.2200
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.7850
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.2200
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.7800
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.2300
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 160910142.92, Sell volume: 96723245.07, Average price: 0.5423, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.7850
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.2100
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.7900
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.2100
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.8050
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.1950
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.8150
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.1850
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.8250
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.1750
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.8350
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.1750
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.8350
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.1750
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.8200
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.1800
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.8150
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.1900
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.8050
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.1750
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.1600
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.8350
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.1650
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.8300
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.1350
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.8700
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.1250
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.8750
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.1000
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.9000
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0700
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.9300
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0850
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.9300
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.0650
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9350
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0750
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.9150
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0750
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.9250
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0750
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.9250
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0750
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.9250
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0750
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.9250
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.0750
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.9200
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 481518, Buy volume: 66621731.77, Sell volume: 49586423.94, Average price: 0.5631, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0850
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.9400
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0650
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9350
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0750
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.9200
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0750
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.9250
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0750
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.9100
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0850
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9200
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0850
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9250
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0750
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9250
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0950
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9050
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0850
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.9400
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0750
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.9300
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0750
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.9250
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0750
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.9250
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0750
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.9250
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0750
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.9300
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0750
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.9250
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0650
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.9350
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.0650
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.9300
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0700
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.9350
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0650
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.9350
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.0650
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.9350
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.0650
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.9350
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.0700
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.9300
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0700
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.9350
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.0650
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 419580, Buy volume: 70002850.81, Sell volume: 41402735.82, Average price: 0.5263, Price range: 0.0507 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.9300
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0650
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.9350
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.0650
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.9250
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.0700
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.9250
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.0750
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.9350
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0650
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.9350
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.0600
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.9400
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.0650
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.9450
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0550
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.9550
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.0450
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.9625
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0540
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.9440
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.0580
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.9420
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.0580
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.9400
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.0635
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.9360
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.0635
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.9365
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0650
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.9395
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.0315
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0600
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.0485
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.9765
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.0330
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.9820
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9705
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.0250
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.9745
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.0325
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.0280
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0310
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0320
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.0520
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.0385
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.9665
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.0360
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9740
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98877, Buy volume: 24272631.57, Sell volume: 5732291.36, Average price: 0.5092, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.4200
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.4150
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.3450
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.3550
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.3950
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.4300
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.4250
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.4100
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.3850
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.3750
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.3700
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.3800
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.3800
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.3800
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.3800
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.3800
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.3900
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.5250
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.5450
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.6200
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.5250
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.5100
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.5050
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.5250
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.5100
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.5300
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.5450
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.5450
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 160910142.92, Sell volume: 96723245.07, Average price: 0.5423, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.4500
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.4100
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.3950
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.3950
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.4050
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.4350
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.4200
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.4400
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.4350
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.4000
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.4100
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.4250
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.4200
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.4100
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.4000
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.3900
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.3900
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.4050
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.3500
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.2950
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.2900
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.2900
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.3000
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.4050
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.4000
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.4050
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.3750
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.3350
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.3400
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 160910142.92, Sell volume: 96723245.07, Average price: 0.5423, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.6200
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.6500
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.6250
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.6450
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.6200
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.6250
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.6250
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.6250
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.6450
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.6350
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.6150
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.6050
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.5950
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.6100
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.5950
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.6200
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.5850
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.5900
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.5850
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.5800
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.5800
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.5600
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.5600
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.5650
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.5000
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.5050
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.5300
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.5050
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.5450
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 160910142.92, Sell volume: 96723245.07, Average price: 0.5423, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.4550
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.4550
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.4550
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.4550
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.4650
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.4550
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.4550
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.4550
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.4550
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.4650
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.5150
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.5450
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.5850
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.5850
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.6150
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.6200
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.6050
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.6400
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.5700
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.5850
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.5300
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.4650
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.4900
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.3400
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.3450
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.3250
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.3150
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.2950
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.3200
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 160910142.92, Sell volume: 96723245.07, Average price: 0.5423, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.7100
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.6950
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.6900
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.6950
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.6950
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.6900
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.6800
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.6800
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.6800
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.6800
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.6850
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.6800
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.6800
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.6850
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.6250
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.6600
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.6550
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.6550
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.6550
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.6550
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.6650
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.6550
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.6600
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.6550
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.6600
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.6600
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.6550
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.6650
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 160910142.92, Sell volume: 96723245.07, Average price: 0.5423, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.3250
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.3400
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.3400
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.3350
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.3350
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.3350
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.3350
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.3350
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.3150
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.3150
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.3200
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.3300
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.3300
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.3250
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.3250
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.3200
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2650
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.2700
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.3050
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.3050
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.3050
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.3050
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.3050
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.3250
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.3450
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 160910142.92, Sell volume: 96723245.07, Average price: 0.5423, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.6750
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.6750
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.6850
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.7050
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.7200
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.7100
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.7150
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.7200
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.6950
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.7050
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.7050
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.8050
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.8650
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.8150
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.8150
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.7850
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.8050
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.7750
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.7950
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.7850
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.7950
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.8000
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.8100
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.8100
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.7750
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.8000
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.7950
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 160910142.92, Sell volume: 96723245.07, Average price: 0.5423, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.2150
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.2200
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.2400
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.2000
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.1950
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.2150
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.2050
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.2000
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.2350
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.2150
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.3950
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.2650
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.2650
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.2650
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.2400
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.2700
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.2750
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.3450
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.2650
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.2750
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.2450
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.2450
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.2650
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.2500
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.2550
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 160910142.92, Sell volume: 96723245.07, Average price: 0.5423, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.7550
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.8650
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.7800
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.7650
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.7650
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.7700
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.7550
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.7550
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.7550
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.7550
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.7550
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.7700
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.7650
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.7650
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.7550
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.7450
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.7600
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.7650
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.7650
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.7700
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.7700
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.7700
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.7800
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.7750
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.7650
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.7600
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.7550
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.7650
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.7750
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 160910142.92, Sell volume: 96723245.07, Average price: 0.5423, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.2150
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.2200
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.2150
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.2100
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.1800
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.1850
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.1800
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.1950
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.1550
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.1800
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.1750
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.1600
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.1750
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.1750
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.1450
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.1650
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.1450
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.1650
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.1550
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.1600
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.1850
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.1900
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.2400
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.2100
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.2200
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.2200
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.2200
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 160910142.92, Sell volume: 96723245.07, Average price: 0.5423, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.7850
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.7900
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.8050
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.8050
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.8150
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.8250
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.8350
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.8350
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.8250
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.8150
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.8100
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.8300
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.8350
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.8350
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.8350
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.8800
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.8900
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.8950
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.9100
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.9300
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.9300
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.9350
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.9150
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.9250
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.9250
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.9250
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.9250
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.9200
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 481518, Buy volume: 66621731.77, Sell volume: 49586423.94, Average price: 0.5631, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0850
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.0650
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0650
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.0800
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0750
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0900
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0850
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0850
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0750
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0900
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0950
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0650
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0750
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0750
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0750
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0750
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0750
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0700
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0650
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0650
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.0700
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.0750
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.0650
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.0650
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0600
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.0650
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.0700
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.0700
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.0650
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 419580, Buy volume: 70002850.81, Sell volume: 41402735.82, Average price: 0.5263, Price range: 0.0507 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522641
Question: South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Volume: 1352704.656205
Price History:
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.9300
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.9350
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.9250
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.9300
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.9250
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.9350
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.9350
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.9400
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.9350
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.9550
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9550
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.9460
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.9425
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.9420
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.9410
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.9355
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.9350
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.9365
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.9665
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.9220
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.0180
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9770
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.0245
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.0255
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.9755
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.9685
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.0520
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.9665
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9650
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98877, Buy volume: 24272631.57, Sell volume: 5732291.36, Average price: 0.5092, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2024-12-30 18:00: 0.2800
2024-12-30 18:00: 0.7200
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.3250
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.6750
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.3300
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.6700
2024-12-30 21:00: 0.3300
2024-12-30 21:00: 0.6700
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.3350
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.6650
2024-12-30 23:00: 0.3350
2024-12-30 23:00: 0.6650
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.3350
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.6650
2024-12-31 01:00: 0.3350
2024-12-31 01:00: 0.6650
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.3350
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.6650
2024-12-31 03:00: 0.3350
2024-12-31 03:00: 0.6650
2024-12-31 04:00: 0.3350
2024-12-31 04:00: 0.6650
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.3350
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.6650
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.3450
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.6550
2024-12-31 07:00: 0.3450
2024-12-31 07:00: 0.6550
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.3450
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.6550
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.3450
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.6550
2024-12-31 10:00: 0.3450
2024-12-31 10:00: 0.6550
2024-12-31 11:00: 0.3450
2024-12-31 11:00: 0.6550
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.3450
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.6550
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.3450
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.6550
2024-12-31 14:00: 0.3450
2024-12-31 14:00: 0.6550
2024-12-31 15:00: 0.3550
2024-12-31 15:00: 0.6450
2024-12-31 16:00: 0.3550
2024-12-31 16:00: 0.6450
2024-12-31 17:00: 0.3550
2024-12-31 17:00: 0.6450
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.3550
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 7425.29, Sell volume: 1722.62, Average price: 0.5213, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.3650
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.3700
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.6300
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.3650
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 09:00: 0.3650
2025-01-01 09:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 10:00: 0.3650
2025-01-01 10:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.3650
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.3650
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 13:00: 0.3650
2025-01-01 13:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.3650
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.3650
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.3650
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.3650
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.3650
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 19:00: 0.3650
2025-01-01 19:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.3650
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.3650
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 22:00: 0.3650
2025-01-01 22:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 23:00: 0.3650
2025-01-01 23:00: 0.6350
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.3650
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.6350
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.3550
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.6450
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.3550
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.6450
2025-01-02 03:00: 0.3550
2025-01-02 03:00: 0.6450
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.3550
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.6450
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.3550
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.6450
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 4081.88, Sell volume: 2025.08, Average price: 0.5433, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.3500
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.6500
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.3500
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.6500
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.3500
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.6500
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.3500
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.6500
2025-01-02 21:00: 0.3500
2025-01-02 21:00: 0.6500
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.3550
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.6450
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.3550
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.6450
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.6450
2025-01-03 01:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 01:00: 0.6450
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.6450
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.6450
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.6450
2025-01-03 05:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 05:00: 0.6450
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.6450
2025-01-03 07:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 07:00: 0.6450
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.6450
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.6450
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.6450
2025-01-03 11:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 11:00: 0.6450
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.6450
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.3500
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.6500
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.3500
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.6500
2025-01-03 15:00: 0.3500
2025-01-03 15:00: 0.6500
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.3500
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.6500
2025-01-03 17:00: 0.3500
2025-01-03 17:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 564.72, Sell volume: 329.85, Average price: 0.5408, Price range: 0.3435 - 0.6600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.6550
2025-01-04 05:00: 0.3450
2025-01-04 05:00: 0.6550
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.3450
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.6550
2025-01-04 07:00: 0.3450
2025-01-04 07:00: 0.6550
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.3450
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.6550
2025-01-04 09:00: 0.3450
2025-01-04 09:00: 0.6550
2025-01-04 10:00: 0.3450
2025-01-04 10:00: 0.6550
2025-01-04 11:00: 0.3500
2025-01-04 11:00: 0.6500
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.3500
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.6500
2025-01-04 13:00: 0.3500
2025-01-04 13:00: 0.6500
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.3500
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.6500
2025-01-04 15:00: 0.3500
2025-01-04 15:00: 0.6500
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.3500
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.6500
2025-01-04 17:00: 0.3500
2025-01-04 17:00: 0.6500
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.3500
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.6500
2025-01-04 19:00: 0.3450
2025-01-04 19:00: 0.6550
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.3450
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.6550
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.3450
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.6550
2025-01-04 22:00: 0.3450
2025-01-04 22:00: 0.6550
2025-01-04 23:00: 0.3450
2025-01-04 23:00: 0.6550
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.3450
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.6550
2025-01-05 01:00: 0.3450
2025-01-05 01:00: 0.6550
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.3450
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.6550
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.3450
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.6550
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.3450
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.6550
2025-01-05 05:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 1579.67, Sell volume: 313.87, Average price: 0.5118, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.3450
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.6550
2025-01-05 17:00: 0.3450
2025-01-05 17:00: 0.6550
2025-01-05 18:00: 0.3450
2025-01-05 18:00: 0.6550
2025-01-05 19:00: 0.3450
2025-01-05 19:00: 0.6550
2025-01-05 20:00: 0.3450
2025-01-05 20:00: 0.6550
2025-01-05 21:00: 0.3450
2025-01-05 21:00: 0.6550
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.3450
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.6550
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.3400
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.6600
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.3350
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.6650
2025-01-06 01:00: 0.3350
2025-01-06 01:00: 0.6650
2025-01-06 02:00: 0.3350
2025-01-06 02:00: 0.6650
2025-01-06 03:00: 0.3350
2025-01-06 03:00: 0.6650
2025-01-06 04:00: 0.3350
2025-01-06 04:00: 0.6650
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.3350
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.6650
2025-01-06 06:00: 0.3350
2025-01-06 06:00: 0.6650
2025-01-06 07:00: 0.3350
2025-01-06 07:00: 0.6650
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.3350
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.6650
2025-01-06 09:00: 0.3550
2025-01-06 09:00: 0.6450
2025-01-06 10:00: 0.3500
2025-01-06 10:00: 0.6500
2025-01-06 11:00: 0.3550
2025-01-06 11:00: 0.6450
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.3550
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.6450
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.3450
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.6550
2025-01-06 14:00: 0.3450
2025-01-06 14:00: 0.6550
2025-01-06 15:00: 0.3450
2025-01-06 15:00: 0.6550
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.3550
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 123, Buy volume: 20634.29, Sell volume: 3672.34, Average price: 0.4276, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2025-01-07 03:00: 0.5150
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.4350
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.5650
2025-01-07 05:00: 0.4350
2025-01-07 05:00: 0.5650
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.4350
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.5650
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.4350
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.5650
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.4350
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.5650
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.4600
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.5400
2025-01-07 10:00: 0.4450
2025-01-07 10:00: 0.5550
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.4500
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.5500
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.4400
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.5600
2025-01-07 13:00: 0.4200
2025-01-07 13:00: 0.5800
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.4250
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.5750
2025-01-07 15:00: 0.4350
2025-01-07 15:00: 0.5650
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.4300
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.5700
2025-01-07 17:00: 0.4300
2025-01-07 17:00: 0.5700
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.4300
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.5700
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.4350
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.5650
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.4450
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.5550
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.4450
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.5550
2025-01-07 22:00: 0.5450
2025-01-07 22:00: 0.4550
2025-01-07 23:00: 0.5450
2025-01-07 23:00: 0.4550
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.5250
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.4750
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.5300
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.4700
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.5400
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.4600
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.5400
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.4600
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 2376.44, Sell volume: 2144.91, Average price: 0.5125, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6444

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.5050
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.4950
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.5150
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.4850
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.5250
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.4750
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.5250
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.4750
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.5250
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.4750
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.5350
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.4650
2025-01-08 21:00: 0.5400
2025-01-08 21:00: 0.4600
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.5550
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.4450
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.5750
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.4250
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.5900
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.4100
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.5900
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.4100
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.5850
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.4150
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.5850
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.4150
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.5850
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.4150
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.5850
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.4150
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.5850
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.4150
2025-01-09 07:00: 0.5950
2025-01-09 07:00: 0.4050
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.5950
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.4050
2025-01-09 09:00: 0.5950
2025-01-09 09:00: 0.4050
2025-01-09 10:00: 0.5950
2025-01-09 10:00: 0.4050
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.5950
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.4050
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.5950
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.4050
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.5850
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.4150
2025-01-09 14:00: 0.5850
2025-01-09 14:00: 0.4150
2025-01-09 15:00: 0.5800
2025-01-09 15:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 3657.55, Sell volume: 2516.07, Average price: 0.5552, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.4050
2025-01-10 03:00: 0.6050
2025-01-10 03:00: 0.3950
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.5950
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.4050
2025-01-10 05:00: 0.5950
2025-01-10 05:00: 0.4050
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.5950
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.4050
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.5950
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.4050
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.5900
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.4100
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.5850
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.4150
2025-01-10 10:00: 0.5850
2025-01-10 10:00: 0.4150
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.6250
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.3750
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.6800
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.3200
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.7950
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.2050
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.7350
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.2650
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.6700
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.3300
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.7300
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.2700
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.7350
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.2650
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.7450
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.2550
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.7150
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.2850
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.7200
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.2800
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.7300
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.2700
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.7300
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.2700
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.7350
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.2650
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.7350
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.2650
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.7350
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.2650
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.7350
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.2650
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 19132.09, Sell volume: 14833.88, Average price: 0.6472, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.7921

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.7350
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.2650
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.6500
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.3500
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.6600
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.3400
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.6750
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.3250
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.6750
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.3250
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.6900
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.3100
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.7050
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.2950
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.6950
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.3050
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.6950
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.3050
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.6950
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.3050
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.6950
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.3050
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.6800
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.3200
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.6800
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.3200
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.6800
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.3200
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.6900
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.3100
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.6950
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.3050
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.6950
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.3050
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.6950
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.3050
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.7000
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.3000
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.7000
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.3000
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.7000
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.3000
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.7000
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.3000
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.7000
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.3000
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.7000
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.3000
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.7050
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 8553.23, Sell volume: 7678.27, Average price: 0.6286, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.2850
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.7150
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.2850
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.7150
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.2850
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.7050
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.2950
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.7050
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.2950
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.7000
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.3000
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.6850
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.3150
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.6800
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.3200
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.6750
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.3250
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.7100
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.2900
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.7050
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.2950
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.6950
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.3050
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.7100
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.2900
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.7100
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.2900
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.7100
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.2900
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.6850
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.3150
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.6850
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.3150
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.6850
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.3150
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.6850
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.3150
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.6800
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.3200
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.6550
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.3450
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.5950
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.4050
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.6200
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.3800
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.6150
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 5898.74, Sell volume: 8648.65, Average price: 0.5847, Price range: 0.2820 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.6350
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.3650
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.6350
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.3650
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.6400
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.3600
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.6400
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.3600
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.6450
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.3550
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.6500
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.3500
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.6600
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.3400
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.6550
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.3450
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.6550
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.3450
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.6550
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.3450
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.6550
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.3450
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.6750
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.3250
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.8000
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.2000
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.7650
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.2350
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.8050
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.1950
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.7950
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.2050
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.7600
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.2400
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.7650
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.2350
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.7650
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.2350
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.7550
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.2450
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.7600
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.2400
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.7900
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.2100
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.7800
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.2200
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.7800
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.2200
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.7750
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 14022.76, Sell volume: 9380.27, Average price: 0.5581, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.3900
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.7050
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.2950
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.7100
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.2900
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.6700
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.3300
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.6700
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.3300
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.6550
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.3450
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.6550
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.3450
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.6600
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.3400
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.6600
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.3400
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.6700
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.3300
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.6600
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.3400
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.6900
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.3100
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.6950
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.6950
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.6750
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.3250
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.3150
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.6750
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.3250
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 196, Buy volume: 11101.32, Sell volume: 6341.47, Average price: 0.5309, Price range: 0.0544 - 0.8605

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.8500
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.1500
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.8550
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.1450
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.8550
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.1450
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.8150
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.1850
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.8250
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.1750
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.8300
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.1700
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.8350
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.1650
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.8350
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.1650
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.8400
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.1600
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.8300
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.1700
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.8300
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.1700
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.8300
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.1700
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.8300
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.1700
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.8400
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.1600
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.8200
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.1800
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.8200
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.1800
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.8200
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.1800
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.8200
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.1800
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.1750
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.1750
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.1750
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.1750
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.1750
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.8350
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.1650
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 8514.78, Sell volume: 5592.93, Average price: 0.4980, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9790

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2024-12-30 18:00: 0.2800
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.3250
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.3300
2024-12-30 21:00: 0.3300
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.3350
2024-12-30 23:00: 0.3350
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.3350
2024-12-31 01:00: 0.3350
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.3350
2024-12-31 03:00: 0.3350
2024-12-31 04:00: 0.3350
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.3350
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.3450
2024-12-31 07:00: 0.3450
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.3450
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.3450
2024-12-31 10:00: 0.3450
2024-12-31 11:00: 0.3450
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.3450
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.3450
2024-12-31 14:00: 0.3450
2024-12-31 15:00: 0.3550
2024-12-31 16:00: 0.3550
2024-12-31 17:00: 0.3550
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.3550
2024-12-31 19:00: 0.3550
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.3550
2024-12-31 21:00: 0.3550
2024-12-31 22:00: 0.3550
2024-12-31 23:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 7425.29, Sell volume: 1722.62, Average price: 0.5213, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.6300
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 09:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 10:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 13:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 19:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 22:00: 0.6350
2025-01-01 23:00: 0.6350
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.6350
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.6450
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.6450
2025-01-02 03:00: 0.6450
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.6450
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.6450
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.6450
2025-01-02 07:00: 0.6450
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.6450
2025-01-02 09:00: 0.6450
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 4081.88, Sell volume: 2025.08, Average price: 0.5433, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.3500
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.3500
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.3500
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.3500
2025-01-02 21:00: 0.3500
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.3550
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 01:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 05:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 07:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 11:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.3500
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.3500
2025-01-03 15:00: 0.3500
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.3500
2025-01-03 17:00: 0.3500
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.3500
2025-01-03 19:00: 0.3450
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.3450
2025-01-03 21:00: 0.3500
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 564.72, Sell volume: 329.85, Average price: 0.5408, Price range: 0.3435 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.6550
2025-01-04 05:00: 0.6550
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.6550
2025-01-04 07:00: 0.6550
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.6550
2025-01-04 09:00: 0.6550
2025-01-04 10:00: 0.6550
2025-01-04 11:00: 0.6500
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.6500
2025-01-04 13:00: 0.6500
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.6500
2025-01-04 15:00: 0.6500
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.6500
2025-01-04 17:00: 0.6500
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.6500
2025-01-04 19:00: 0.6550
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.6550
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.6550
2025-01-04 22:00: 0.6550
2025-01-04 23:00: 0.6550
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.6550
2025-01-05 01:00: 0.6550
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.6550
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.6550
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.6550
2025-01-05 05:00: 0.6550
2025-01-05 06:00: 0.6550
2025-01-05 07:00: 0.6550
2025-01-05 08:00: 0.6550
2025-01-05 09:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 1579.67, Sell volume: 313.87, Average price: 0.5118, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.3450
2025-01-05 17:00: 0.3450
2025-01-05 18:00: 0.3450
2025-01-05 19:00: 0.3450
2025-01-05 20:00: 0.3450
2025-01-05 21:00: 0.3450
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.3450
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.3400
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.3350
2025-01-06 01:00: 0.3350
2025-01-06 02:00: 0.3350
2025-01-06 03:00: 0.3350
2025-01-06 04:00: 0.3350
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.3350
2025-01-06 06:00: 0.3350
2025-01-06 07:00: 0.3350
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.3350
2025-01-06 09:00: 0.3550
2025-01-06 10:00: 0.3500
2025-01-06 11:00: 0.3550
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.3550
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.3450
2025-01-06 14:00: 0.3450
2025-01-06 15:00: 0.3450
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.3550
2025-01-06 17:00: 0.3850
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.3900
2025-01-06 19:00: 0.3900
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.3900
2025-01-06 21:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 123, Buy volume: 20634.29, Sell volume: 3672.34, Average price: 0.4276, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2025-01-07 03:00: 0.5150
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.5650
2025-01-07 05:00: 0.5650
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.5650
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.5650
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.5650
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.5400
2025-01-07 10:00: 0.5550
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.5500
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.5600
2025-01-07 13:00: 0.5800
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.5750
2025-01-07 15:00: 0.5650
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.5700
2025-01-07 17:00: 0.5700
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.5700
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.5650
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.5550
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.5550
2025-01-07 22:00: 0.4550
2025-01-07 23:00: 0.4550
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.4750
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.4700
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.4600
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.4600
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.4450
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.4450
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.4350
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.4450
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 2376.44, Sell volume: 2144.91, Average price: 0.5125, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6444
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.5050
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.5150
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.5250
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.5250
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.5250
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.5350
2025-01-08 21:00: 0.5400
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.5550
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.5750
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.5900
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.5900
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.5850
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.5850
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.5850
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.5850
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.5850
2025-01-09 07:00: 0.5950
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.5950
2025-01-09 09:00: 0.5950
2025-01-09 10:00: 0.5950
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.5950
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.5950
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.5850
2025-01-09 14:00: 0.5850
2025-01-09 15:00: 0.5800
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.5800
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.5950
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.6600
2025-01-09 19:00: 0.6900
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 3657.55, Sell volume: 2516.07, Average price: 0.5552, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.4050
2025-01-10 03:00: 0.3950
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.4050
2025-01-10 05:00: 0.4050
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.4050
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.4050
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.4100
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.4150
2025-01-10 10:00: 0.4150
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.3750
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.3200
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.2050
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.2650
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.3300
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.2700
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.2650
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.2550
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.2850
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.2800
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.2700
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.2700
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.2650
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.2650
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.2650
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.2650
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.2600
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.2450
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.2350
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.2350
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 19132.09, Sell volume: 14833.88, Average price: 0.6472, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.7921
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes