Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.0700
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.9300
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.0700
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.9300
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.0700
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.9300
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.0650
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.9350
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.0450
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.9550
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.0395
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.9605
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.0495
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.9505
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.0455
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.9545
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.0435
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.9565
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.0445
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.9555
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.0455
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.9545
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0460
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.9540
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0490
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.9510
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.0490
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.9510
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.0495
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.9505
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0485
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.9515
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.0490
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.9510
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.0405
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.9595
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.0405
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.9595
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.0365
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 60.53, Sell volume: 219.06, Average price: 0.5067, Price range: 0.0474 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.9595
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.0370
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.9630
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.0360
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.9640
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.0360
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.9640
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.0390
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.9610
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.0405
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.9595
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.0400
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.9600
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.0470
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.9530
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.0420
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.9580
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.0420
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.9580
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.0465
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.9535
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.0405
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.9595
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.0370
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.9630
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.0370
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.9630
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0365
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.9635
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.0360
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.9640
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.0360
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.9640
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.0340
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.9660
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.0360
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.9640
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.0410
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.9590
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.0410
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.9590
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.0405
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.9595
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0360
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.9640
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.0360
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.9640
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.0350
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.9650
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 31.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9752, Price range: 0.9750 - 0.9760

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.0300
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.9700
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.0370
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.9630
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.0320
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.9680
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.0370
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.9630
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0350
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.9650
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.0335
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.9665
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.0315
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.9685
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0315
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.9685
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.0480
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.9520
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.0495
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.9505
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.0495
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.9505
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0495
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.9505
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.0565
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.9435
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.0600
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.9400
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.0595
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.9405
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.0605
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.9395
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.0605
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.9395
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0605
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.9395
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.0605
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.9395
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.0610
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.9390
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.0610
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.9390
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.0645
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.9355
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.0445
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.9555
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0455
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.9545
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.0475
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.9525
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 942.71, Sell volume: 1.52, Average price: 0.6542, Price range: 0.0431 - 0.9770

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.9560
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.0425
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.9575
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.0420
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.9580
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.0360
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.9640
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.0365
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.9635
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0355
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.9645
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.0360
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.9640
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.0320
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.9680
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.0320
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.9680
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.0315
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.9685
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.0315
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.9685
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0305
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.9695
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.0315
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.9685
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0310
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.9690
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.0300
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.9700
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.0290
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.9710
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.0295
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.9705
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0290
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.9710
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.0305
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.9695
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.0305
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.9695
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.0315
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.9685
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0310
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.9690
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.0330
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.9670
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.0370
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.9630
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.0365
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.9635
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1.02, Sell volume: 2.84, Average price: 0.9553, Price range: 0.9440 - 0.9770

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.0370
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.9630
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.0385
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.9615
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.0380
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.9620
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.0375
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.9625
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.0360
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.9640
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.0365
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.9635
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.0370
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.9630
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.0365
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.9635
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.0370
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.9630
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.0775
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.9225
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.0765
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.9235
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.0775
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.9225
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.0765
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.9235
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.0775
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.9225
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0780
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.9220
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.0775
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.9225
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.0780
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.9220
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.0785
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.9215
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.0635
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.9365
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.0695
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.9305
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.0635
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.9365
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.0685
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.9315
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.0710
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.9290
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.0700
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.9300
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.0725
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.9275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 461.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3520, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9650

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.9285
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.0780
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.9220
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.0730
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.9270
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0670
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.9330
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.0600
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.9400
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.0600
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.9400
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.0600
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.9400
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0595
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.9405
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.0545
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.9455
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0535
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.9465
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.0535
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.9465
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.0540
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.9460
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.0545
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.9455
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.0545
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.9455
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.0515
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.9485
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0505
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.9495
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.0455
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.9545
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.0460
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.9540
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.0425
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.9575
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.0370
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.9630
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.0370
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.9630
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.0370
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.9630
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.0360
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.9640
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0365
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.9635
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.0240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1894.10, Sell volume: 34.68, Average price: 0.8370, Price range: 0.0380 - 0.9667

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.0230
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.9770
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.0285
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.9715
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.1105
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.8895
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.0915
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.9085
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.0835
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.9165
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.0590
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.9410
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.0580
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.9420
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.0540
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.9460
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.0545
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.9455
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.0530
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.9470
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.0520
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.9480
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.0525
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.9475
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.0505
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.9495
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.0520
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.9480
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.0525
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.9475
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.0530
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.9470
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.0480
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.9520
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.0480
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.9520
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.0485
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.9515
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.0485
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.9515
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.0475
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.9525
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.0475
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.9525
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.0475
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.9525
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.0465
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.9535
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.0495
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.9505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 3714.48, Sell volume: 1934.12, Average price: 0.7233, Price range: 0.0388 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.9540
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.0500
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.9500
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.0500
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.9500
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.0500
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.9500
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.0505
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.9495
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.0510
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.9490
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.0520
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.9480
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.0560
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.9440
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.0555
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.9445
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.0560
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.9440
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.0560
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.9440
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.0560
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.9440
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.0555
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.9445
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.0490
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.9510
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.0420
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.9580
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.0500
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.9500
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.0495
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.9505
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.0500
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.9500
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.0485
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.9515
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.0460
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.9540
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.0365
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.9635
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.0485
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.9515
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.0485
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.9515
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.0480
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.9520
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.0455
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.9545
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.0460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3711.45, Sell volume: 1186.92, Average price: 0.5723, Price range: 0.0322 - 0.9680

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0440
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9560
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.0390
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9610
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.0390
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9610
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0345
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9655
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.0390
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.9610
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.0365
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.9635
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.0355
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.9645
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.0355
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.9645
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.0355
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.9645
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0345
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.9655
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.0345
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9655
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.0345
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.9655
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.0345
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.9655
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.0340
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.9660
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0345
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9655
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.0355
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.9645
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.0350
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.9650
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.0370
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.9630
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.0355
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.9645
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.0350
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.9650
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0395
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9605
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.0500
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.9500
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.0700
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.9300
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.0690
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.9310
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.0565
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 10358.56, Sell volume: 1561.85, Average price: 0.4354, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.1700
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.8300
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.1350
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.8650
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.1250
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.8750
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.1250
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.8750
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.1300
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.8700
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.1250
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.8750
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.1300
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.8700
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.1150
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.8850
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.1050
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.8950
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.8600
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.8600
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.8600
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.8600
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.1450
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 544.63, Sell volume: 23.85, Average price: 0.8347, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.8100
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.1800
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.8200
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.1650
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.8350
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.1550
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.8450
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.1550
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.8450
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.1550
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.8450
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.1550
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.8450
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.1550
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.8450
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.1550
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.8450
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.1550
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.8450
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.1550
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.8450
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.1550
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.8450
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.1550
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.8450
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.1550
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.8450
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.1500
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.8500
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 174.45, Sell volume: 1.89, Average price: 0.7217, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.1750
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.8250
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.1750
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.8250
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.1750
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.8250
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.1750
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.8250
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.1750
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 177.72, Sell volume: 28.39, Average price: 0.7567, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.1750
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.1750
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 2535.45, Sell volume: 252.96, Average price: 0.7426, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.0700
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.9300
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.0700
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.9300
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.0700
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.9300
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.0650
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.9350
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.0450
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.9550
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.0395
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.9605
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.0495
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.9505
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.0455
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.9545
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.0435
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.9565
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.0445
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.9555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 60.53, Sell volume: 219.06, Average price: 0.5067, Price range: 0.0474 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.9595
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.0370
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.9630
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.0360
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.9640
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.0360
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.9640
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.0390
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.9610
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.0405
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.9595
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.0400
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.9600
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.0470
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.9530
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.0420
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.9580
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.0420
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.9580
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.0465
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.9535
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.0405
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.9595
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.0370
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.9630
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.0370
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.9630
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0365
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.9635
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 31.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9752, Price range: 0.9750 - 0.9760
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.0300
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.9700
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.0370
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.9630
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.0320
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.9680
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.0370
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.9630
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0350
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.9650
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.0335
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.9665
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.0315
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.9685
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0315
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.9685
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.0480
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.9520
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.0495
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.9505
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.0495
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.9505
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0495
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.9505
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.0565
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.9435
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.0600
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.9400
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.0595
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.9405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 942.71, Sell volume: 1.52, Average price: 0.6542, Price range: 0.0431 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.9560
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.0425
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.9575
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.0420
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.9580
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.0360
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.9640
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.0365
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.9635
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0355
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.9645
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.0360
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.9640
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.0320
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.9680
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.0320
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.9680
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.0315
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.9685
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.0315
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.9685
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0305
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.9695
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.0315
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.9685
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0310
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.9690
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.0300
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.9700
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1.02, Sell volume: 2.84, Average price: 0.9553, Price range: 0.9440 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.0370
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.9630
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.0385
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.9615
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.0380
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.9620
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.0375
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.9625
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.0360
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.9640
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.0365
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.9635
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.0370
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.9630
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.0365
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.9635
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.0370
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.9630
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.0775
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.9225
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.0765
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.9235
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.0775
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.9225
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.0765
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.9235
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.0775
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.9225
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0780
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.9220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 461.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3520, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9650
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.9285
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.0780
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.9220
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.0730
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.9270
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0670
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.9330
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.0600
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.9400
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.0600
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.9400
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.0600
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.9400
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0595
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.9405
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.0545
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.9455
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0535
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.9465
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.0535
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.9465
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.0540
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.9460
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.0545
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.9455
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.0545
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.9455
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.0515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1894.10, Sell volume: 34.68, Average price: 0.8370, Price range: 0.0380 - 0.9667
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.0230
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.9770
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.0285
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.9715
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.1105
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.8895
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.0915
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.9085
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.0835
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.9165
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.0590
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.9410
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.0580
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.9420
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.0540
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.9460
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.0545
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.9455
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.0530
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.9470
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.0520
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.9480
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.0525
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.9475
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.0505
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.9495
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.0520
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.9480
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.0525
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.9475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 3714.48, Sell volume: 1934.12, Average price: 0.7233, Price range: 0.0388 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.9540
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.0500
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.9500
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.0500
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.9500
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.0500
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.9500
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.0505
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.9495
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.0510
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.9490
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.0520
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.9480
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.0560
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.9440
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.0555
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.9445
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.0560
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.9440
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.0560
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.9440
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.0560
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.9440
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.0555
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.9445
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.0490
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.9510
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.0420
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.9580
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3711.45, Sell volume: 1186.92, Average price: 0.5723, Price range: 0.0322 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518088
Question: Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 40464.554252
Price History:
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0440
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9560
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.0390
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9610
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.0390
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9610
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0345
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9655
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.0390
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.9610
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.0365
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.9635
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.0355
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.9645
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.0355
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.9645
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.0355
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.9645
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0345
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.9655
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.0345
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9655
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.0345
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.9655
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.0345
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.9655
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.0340
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.9660
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0345
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 10358.56, Sell volume: 1561.85, Average price: 0.4354, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.5900
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.4100
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.5150
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.4850
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.5050
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.4950
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.5050
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.4950
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.5050
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.4950
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.5050
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.4950
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.5050
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.4950
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.5050
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.4950
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.5050
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.4950
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.4400
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.5600
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.4400
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.5600
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.4450
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.5550
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.4500
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.5500
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.4500
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.5500
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.4500
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.5500
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.4500
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.5500
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.4500
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.5500
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.4500
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.5500
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.4500
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.5500
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.4500
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.5500
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.4500
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.5500
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.4500
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.5500
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.4500
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.5500
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.5050
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5350, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.4550
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.5550
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.4450
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.5700
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.4300
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.5700
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.4300
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.5750
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.4250
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.5750
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.4250
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.5750
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.4250
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.5750
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.4250
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.5800
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.4200
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.5800
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.4200
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.5800
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.4200
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.5900
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.4100
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.5900
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.4100
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.5900
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.4100
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.5900
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.4100
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.5900
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.4100
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.5900
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.4100
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.5900
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.4100
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.5900
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.4100
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.5900
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.4100
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.5900
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.4100
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.5900
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.4100
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.5900
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.4100
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.5900
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.4100
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.5900
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.4100
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.60, Average price: 0.5600, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.5600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.5800
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.4200
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.5800
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.4200
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.5800
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.4200
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.5800
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.4200
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.5800
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.5850
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.4150
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 165.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5240, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.5900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.6650
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.3350
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.6200
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.3800
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.6050
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.3950
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.6000
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.6000
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.6100
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.3900
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 678.44, Sell volume: 1.58, Average price: 0.5153, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.6300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.6300
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.3700
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.6200
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.3800
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.6200
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.3800
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.6200
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.3800
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.6250
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.3750
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.6300
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.3700
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.6200
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.3800
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.6200
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.3800
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.6200
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.3800
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.7000
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.3000
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.6650
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.3350
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 48.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.8400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.6750
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.3250
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.6450
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.3550
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.6550
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.3450
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.6750
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.3250
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.6300
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.3700
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.6950
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.6950
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.6950
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.2950
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.7050
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.6950
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.6950
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.2850
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.7150
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.6950
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.2950
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.7050
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.2950
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.7050
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.2950
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.7050
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.3000
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.7000
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.3150
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.6850
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.3150
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.6850
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.4250
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.5750
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 46.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5400, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.5450
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.5350
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.4650
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.5350
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.4650
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.4750
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.5350
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.4650
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.5300
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.4700
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.5100
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.4900
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.5300
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.4700
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.5100
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.4900
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.5100
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.4900
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.5300
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.4700
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.5300
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.4700
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.5300
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.4700
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.5100
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.4900
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.5450
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.4550
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.5450
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.4550
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.5450
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 4999.77, Sell volume: 1074.13, Average price: 0.4984, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9739

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.4550
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.5450
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.4550
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.5450
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.4550
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.5300
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.4700
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.5300
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.4700
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.5300
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.4700
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.5300
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.4700
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.5400
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.4600
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.5400
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.4600
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.5400
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.4600
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.5400
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.4600
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.5400
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.4600
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.5050
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.4950
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.5050
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.4950
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.5050
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.4950
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.5050
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.4950
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.5050
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.4950
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.5050
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.4950
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.5050
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.4950
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.5050
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.4950
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.5050
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.4950
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.5050
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.4950
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.5050
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.4950
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.5050
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.4950
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 178.88, Average price: 0.5210, Price range: 0.5210 - 0.5210

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.5050
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.4950
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.5050
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.4950
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.5050
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.4950
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.5050
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.4950
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.5050
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.4950
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.4900
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.5100
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.4900
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.5100
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.4900
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.5100
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.4900
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.5100
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.4900
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.5100
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.4900
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.5100
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.4900
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.5100
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.4900
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.5100
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.4900
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.5100
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.4900
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.5100
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.4900
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.5100
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 129.96, Sell volume: 50.10, Average price: 0.5080, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.4900
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.5100
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.4900
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.5350
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.4650
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.5400
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.4600
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.5450
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.4550
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.5500
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.4500
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.5500
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.4500
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.4450
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.4450
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.4450
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.4450
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.4450
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.5550
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.4450
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.5550
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.4450
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.5250
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.4750
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.5500
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.4500
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.7550
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.7550
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.3200
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.6800
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.3200
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.6800
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.3150
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.3050
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.6950
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.3250
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.6750
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.2650
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.7350
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.2600
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.7400
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 398.99, Sell volume: 128.03, Average price: 0.5148, Price range: 0.4722 - 0.5700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.2650
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.7350
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.2850
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.7150
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.4800
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.5200
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.5500
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.4500
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.5600
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.4400
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.5450
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.4550
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.5450
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.4550
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.5450
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.4550
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.5450
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.4550
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.5450
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.4550
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.3100
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.6900
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.2950
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.7050
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.4200
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.5800
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.4150
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.5850
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.2550
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.7450
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.3300
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.6700
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.3700
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.6300
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.3950
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.6050
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.4300
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.5700
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.4600
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.5400
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.5200
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.4800
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.2600
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.7400
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.3550
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.6450
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.4300
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.5700
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.2500
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1120.71, Sell volume: 9.00, Average price: 0.5160, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.9739

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.4600
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.6050
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.3950
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.5950
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.4050
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.6000
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.4000
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.6050
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.3950
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.6000
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.4000
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.6000
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.4000
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.6050
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.3950
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.6000
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.4000
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.5950
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.4050
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.5850
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.4150
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.5800
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.4200
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.5900
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.4100
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.5950
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.4050
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.5850
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.4150
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.6600
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.3400
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.7400
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.2600
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.7550
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.2450
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.9350
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.0650
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.9450
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.0550
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.9500
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.0500
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 932.85, Sell volume: 625.95, Average price: 0.6480, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9500
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0500
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9600
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.0400
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9600
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.0400
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9600
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0400
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.9400
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.0600
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.9400
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.0600
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.9400
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.0600
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.9450
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.0550
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.9450
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.0550
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.9400
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0600
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9400
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.0600
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.9400
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.0600
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.9500
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.0500
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.9500
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.0500
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9450
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0550
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.9450
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.0550
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.9450
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.0550
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.9400
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.0600
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.9400
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.0600
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.9400
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.0600
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9400
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0600
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.8250
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.1750
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.8200
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.1800
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.8200
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.1800
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.8500
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1369.11, Sell volume: 78.99, Average price: 0.1671, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9556

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.5900
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.4100
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.5150
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.4850
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.5050
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.4950
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.5050
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.4950
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.5050
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.4950
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.5050
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.4950
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.5050
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.4950
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.5050
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.4950
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.5050
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.4950
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.4400
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.5600
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.4400
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.5600
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.4450
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.5550
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.4500
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.5500
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.4500
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5350, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.4550
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.5550
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.4450
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.5700
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.4300
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.5700
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.4300
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.5750
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.4250
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.5750
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.4250
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.5750
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.4250
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.5750
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.4250
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.5800
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.4200
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.5800
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.4200
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.5800
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.4200
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.5900
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.4100
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.5900
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.4100
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.5900
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.4100
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.5900
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.4100
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.60, Average price: 0.5600, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.5800
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.4200
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.5800
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.4200
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.5800
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.4200
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.5800
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.4200
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.5800
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 165.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5240, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 678.44, Sell volume: 1.58, Average price: 0.5153, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.6300
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.3700
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.6200
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.3800
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.6200
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.3800
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.6200
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.3800
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.6250
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.3750
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.6300
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.3700
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.6200
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.3800
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.6200
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.3800
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.6200
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.3800
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 48.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.6750
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.3250
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.6450
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.3550
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.6550
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.3450
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.6750
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.3250
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.6300
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.3700
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.6950
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.6950
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.6950
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.2950
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.7050
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.6950
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.6950
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.2850
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.7150
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 46.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5400, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.5450
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.5350
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.4650
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.5350
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.4650
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.4750
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.5350
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.4650
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.5300
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.4700
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.5100
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 4999.77, Sell volume: 1074.13, Average price: 0.4984, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9739
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.4550
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.5450
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.4550
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.5450
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.4550
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.5300
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.4700
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.5300
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.4700
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.5300
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.4700
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.5300
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.4700
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.5400
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.4600
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.5400
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.4600
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.5400
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.4600
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.5400
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.4600
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.5400
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.4600
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.5050
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.4950
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.5050
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.4950
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 178.88, Average price: 0.5210, Price range: 0.5210 - 0.5210
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.5050
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.4950
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.5050
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.4950
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.5050
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.4950
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.5050
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.4950
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.5050
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.4950
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.4900
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.5100
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 129.96, Sell volume: 50.10, Average price: 0.5080, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.4900
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.5100
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.4900
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.5350
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.4650
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.5400
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.4600
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.5450
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.4550
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.5500
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.4500
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.5500
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.4500
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.4450
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.4450
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.4450
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.4450
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.4450
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.5550
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.4450
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.5550
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.4450
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.5250
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.4750
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 398.99, Sell volume: 128.03, Average price: 0.5148, Price range: 0.4722 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.2650
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.7350
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.2850
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.7150
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.4800
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.5200
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.5500
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.4500
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.5600
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.4400
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.5450
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.4550
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.5450
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.4550
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.5450
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.4550
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.5450
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.4550
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.5450
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.4550
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.3100
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.6900
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.2950
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.7050
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.4200
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.5800
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.4150
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.5850
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.2550
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1120.71, Sell volume: 9.00, Average price: 0.5160, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.9739
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.4600
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.6050
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.3950
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.5950
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.4050
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.6000
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.4000
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.6050
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.3950
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.6000
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.4000
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.6000
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.4000
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.6050
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.3950
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.6000
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.4000
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.5950
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.4050
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.5850
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.4150
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 932.85, Sell volume: 625.95, Average price: 0.6480, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518089
Question: Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 6073.903504
Price History:
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9500
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0500
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9600
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.0400
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9600
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.0400
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9600
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0400
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.9400
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.0600
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.9400
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.0600
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.9400
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.0600
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.9450
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.0550
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.9450
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.0550
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.9400
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0600
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9400
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.0600
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.9400
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.0600
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.9500
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.0500
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.9500
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.0500
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9450
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1369.11, Sell volume: 78.99, Average price: 0.1671, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9556
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.2250
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.7750
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.2250
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.7750
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.1250
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.8750
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.1200
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.8800
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.1200
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.8800
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.1200
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.8800
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.1500
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.8500
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.1500
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.8500
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.1500
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.8500
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.1500
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.8500
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.1500
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.8500
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.1500
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.8500
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.1500
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.8500
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.2200
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.7800
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.2200
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.7800
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.2150
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.7850
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.2100
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.7900
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.2100
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.7900
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.2100
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.7900
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.2100
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.7900
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.2100
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.7900
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.2050
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.7950
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.2050
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.7950
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.2050
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 13344.43, Sell volume: 2219.49, Average price: 0.4864, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9988

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.7950
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.2050
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.7950
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.2050
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.7950
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.2050
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.7950
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.2050
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.7950
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.2050
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.7950
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.2050
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.7950
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.2050
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 13344.43, Sell volume: 2219.49, Average price: 0.4864, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9988

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 165.07, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8000, Price range: 0.8000 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.2000
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.8000
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.2000
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.8000
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.2000
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.8000
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.2000
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.8000
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.2000
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.8000
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.2300
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.7700
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.2200
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.7800
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.2400
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.7600
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.2400
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.7600
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 2796.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4007, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.2650
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.7350
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.2800
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.7200
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.2800
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.7200
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.2850
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.7150
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.2850
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.7150
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.2850
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.7150
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.2850
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.7150
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.2850
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.7150
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.2850
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.7150
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.3000
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.7000
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.3050
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.6950
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.3050
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.6950
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.3050
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.6950
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.3100
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.6900
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.3100
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.6900
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.3100
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.6900
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.3100
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.6900
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.3150
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.6850
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.3050
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.6950
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.3000
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.7000
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.3000
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.7000
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.3000
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.7000
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.2300
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.7700
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.4300
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.5700
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.2500
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 54.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3700, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.3700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.5550
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.3800
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.6200
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.2850
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.7150
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.4800
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.5200
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.3700
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.6300
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.2500
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.7500
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.4100
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.5900
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.5800
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.4200
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.5600
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.4400
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.5400
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.4600
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.5500
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.4500
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.5600
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.4400
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.5600
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.4400
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.5500
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.4500
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.5700
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.4300
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.5500
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.4500
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.5500
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.4500
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.5600
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.4400
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.4750
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.5250
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.4750
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.5250
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.4900
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.5100
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.4850
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.5150
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.4750
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.4750
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.4950
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.5050
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 33.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.3650
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.6350
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.3700
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.6300
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.3800
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.6200
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.3800
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.6200
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.3800
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.6200
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.3800
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.6200
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.3800
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.6200
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.3750
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.6250
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.3750
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.6250
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.3700
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.6300
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.3700
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.6300
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.3550
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.6450
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.3350
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.6650
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.3400
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.6600
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.3700
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.6300
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.3550
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.6450
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.3750
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.6250
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.3750
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.6250
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.6550
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.3450
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.6550
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.3500
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.6500
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.6250
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.6250
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.6250
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 13344.43, Sell volume: 2219.49, Average price: 0.4864, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9988

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.6250
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.6250
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.6250
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.6300
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.6300
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.6300
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.6300
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.6250
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.6250
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.6300
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.6300
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.6300
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.6250
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.6250
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.6250
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.6250
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.6250
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.3750
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.6250
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.3750
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.6250
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.3750
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.6250
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.3750
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.6250
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.3750
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.6250
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.3750
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.6250
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.3750
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.6250
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.3750
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.6250
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 17.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3900, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.3900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.3850
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.6150
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.4100
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.5900
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.3800
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.6200
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.3850
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.6150
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.3800
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.6200
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.3550
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.6450
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.3350
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.6650
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.3300
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.6700
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.3300
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.6700
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.3300
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.6700
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.3200
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.6800
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.3200
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 427.94, Average price: 0.3625, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.3900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.3250
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.6750
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.3250
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.6750
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.3250
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.6750
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.3300
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.6700
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.3700
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.6300
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.6200
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.3800
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.4700
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.5300
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.4700
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.5300
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.4750
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.5250
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.4750
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.5250
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.4550
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.5450
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.4550
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.5450
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.4550
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.5450
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.4600
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.5400
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.4600
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.5400
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 725.09, Sell volume: 185.62, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.4600
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.5400
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.3350
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.6650
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.3300
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.6700
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.3300
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.6700
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.3150
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.3750
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.6250
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.3700
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.6300
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.3750
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.6250
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.3750
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.6250
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.3750
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.6250
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.4050
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.5950
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.4350
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.5650
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.4900
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.5100
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.4900
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.5100
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.5550
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.4450
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.5650
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.4350
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.5600
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.4400
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.5550
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.4450
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.4850
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.5150
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.4800
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.5200
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.4250
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.5750
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.5350
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.4650
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.5300
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.4700
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.5150
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.4850
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.5450
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 1348.94, Sell volume: 781.08, Average price: 0.4771, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.6500
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.2400
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.7600
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.2350
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.7650
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.2650
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.7350
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.2750
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.7250
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.2750
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.7250
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.3450
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.6550
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.2650
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.7350
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.2650
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.7350
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.2700
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.7300
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.2650
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.7350
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.2650
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.7350
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.2650
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.7350
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.2700
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.7300
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.2750
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.7250
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.2750
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.7250
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.2750
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.7250
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.2850
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.7150
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.3100
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.6900
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.2350
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.7650
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.1800
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.8200
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.1800
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.8200
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.0300
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.9700
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.0180
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.9820
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.0055
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.9945
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 764.94, Sell volume: 665.83, Average price: 0.3780, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0185
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9815
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.0070
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9930
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.0065
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9935
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0070
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9930
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.0300
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.9700
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.0305
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.9695
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.0305
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.9695
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.0270
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.9730
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.0275
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.9725
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0275
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.9725
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.0280
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9720
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.0285
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.9715
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.0215
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.9785
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.0205
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.9795
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0220
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9780
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.0210
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.9790
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.0200
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.9800
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.0280
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.9720
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.0270
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.9730
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.0300
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.9700
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0290
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9710
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.0195
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.9805
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.0200
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.9800
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.0195
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.9805
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.0200
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 6747.44, Sell volume: 55.02, Average price: 0.7618, Price range: 0.0292 - 0.9988

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.2250
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.7750
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.2250
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.7750
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.1250
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.8750
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.1200
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.8800
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.1200
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.8800
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.1200
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.8800
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.1500
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.8500
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.1500
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.8500
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.1500
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.8500
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.1500
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.8500
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.1500
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.8500
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.1500
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.8500
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.1500
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.8500
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.2200
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 13344.43, Sell volume: 2219.49, Average price: 0.4864, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9988
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.7950
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.2050
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.7950
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.2050
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.7950
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.2050
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.7950
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.2050
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.7950
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.2050
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.7950
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.2050
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.7950
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.2050
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 13344.43, Sell volume: 2219.49, Average price: 0.4864, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9988
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.7950
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.2050
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 165.07, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8000, Price range: 0.8000 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.7950
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.2050
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.2050
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 2796.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4007, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.2650
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.7350
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.2800
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.7200
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.2800
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.7200
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.2850
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.7150
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.2850
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.7150
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.2850
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.7150
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.2850
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.7150
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.2850
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.7150
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.2850
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.7150
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.3000
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.7000
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.3050
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.6950
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.3050
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.6950
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.3050
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.6950
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.3100
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.6900
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.3100
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 54.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3700, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.3700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.5550
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.3800
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.6200
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.2850
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.7150
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.4800
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.5200
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.3700
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.6300
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.2500
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.7500
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.4100
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.5900
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.5800
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.4200
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.5600
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.4400
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.5400
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.4600
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.5500
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.4500
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.5600
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.4400
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.5600
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.4400
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.5500
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.4500
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.5700
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.4300
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 33.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.3650
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.6350
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.3700
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.6300
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.3800
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.6200
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.3800
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.6200
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.3800
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.6200
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.3800
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.6200
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.3800
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.6200
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.3750
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.6250
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.3750
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.6250
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.3700
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.6300
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.3700
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.6300
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.3550
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.6450
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.3350
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.6650
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.3400
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.6600
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.3700
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 13344.43, Sell volume: 2219.49, Average price: 0.4864, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9988
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.6250
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.6250
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.6250
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.6300
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.6300
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.6300
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.6300
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.6250
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.6250
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.6300
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.6300
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.6300
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.6250
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.6250
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.6250
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 17.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3900, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.3900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.3850
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.6150
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.4100
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.5900
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.3800
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.6200
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.3850
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.6150
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.3800
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.6200
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.3550
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.6450
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.3350
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.6650
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.3300
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.6700
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.3300
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.6700
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.3300
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.6700
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.3200
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.6800
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.3200
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 427.94, Average price: 0.3625, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.3900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.3250
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.6750
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.3250
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.6750
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.3250
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.6750
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.3300
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.6700
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.3700
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.6300
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 725.09, Sell volume: 185.62, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.4600
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.5400
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.3350
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.6650
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.3300
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.6700
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.3300
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.6700
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.3150
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.3750
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.6250
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.3700
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.6300
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.3750
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.6250
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.3750
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.6250
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.3750
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.6250
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.4050
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.5950
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.4350
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.5650
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.4900
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.5100
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.4900
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.5100
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.5550
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 1348.94, Sell volume: 781.08, Average price: 0.4771, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.6500
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.2400
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.7600
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.2350
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.7650
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.2650
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.7350
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.2750
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.7250
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.2750
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.7250
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.3450
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.6550
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.2650
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.7350
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.2650
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.7350
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.2700
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.7300
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.2650
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.7350
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.2650
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.7350
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.2650
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.7350
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.2700
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.7300
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.2750
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.7250
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 764.94, Sell volume: 665.83, Average price: 0.3780, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes