Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559690
Question: Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11949172.294894
Price History:
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0085
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0085
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9915
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9915
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9935
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9935
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0060
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559690
Question: Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11949172.294894
Price History:
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9945
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9945
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9945
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9945
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559690
Question: Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11949172.294894
Price History:
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559690
Question: Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11949172.294894
Price History:
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559690
Question: Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11949172.294894
Price History:
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559690
Question: Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11949172.294894
Price History:
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559690
Question: Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11949172.294894
Price History:
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.1650
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.8350
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.8350
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.1650
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.8350
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.1650
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.8350
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.1650
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.8750
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.1250
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.8750
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.1250
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 116.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1700, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.1800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.8700
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.1300
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.8700
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.1300
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.8700
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.1300
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.8700
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.1300
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.8700
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 227, Buy volume: 20569.86, Sell volume: 3841.59, Average price: 0.5728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 227, Buy volume: 20569.86, Sell volume: 3841.59, Average price: 0.5728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.1300
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.8700
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 227, Buy volume: 20569.86, Sell volume: 3841.59, Average price: 0.5728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.8700
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.1300
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.8700
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.1300
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.2750
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.7800
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.2200
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.7750
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.2250
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.8100
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.1900
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.8050
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.1950
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.8000
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 138.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7640, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.8400
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.1600
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.8100
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.1900
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.8250
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.1750
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.1650
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.8450
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.1550
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.8150
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.1850
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.8150
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.1850
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.8450
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.1550
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.8450
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 26.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8940, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.8800
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.1200
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9400
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0600
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9400
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0600
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 62.07, Sell volume: 19.67, Average price: 0.3255, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.8550
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.1450
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.8600
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.8650
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.1350
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.8550
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.1450
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.8600
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.8150
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.1850
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.8150
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.1850
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.8100
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.1900
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.8600
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.1400
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.8550
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.8550
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.1450
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.1350
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.8700
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.1300
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.8650
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.1350
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.8650
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.1350
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.8650
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.1350
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.8550
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.1450
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.8500
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.1500
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.8450
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.1550
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.8450
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 201.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4098, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.8450
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.1550
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.8000
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.2000
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.2750
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.7200
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.2800
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.7250
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.2750
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.7250
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.2750
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.7250
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.2750
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.6500
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.3500
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.6500
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 264.51, Sell volume: 84.99, Average price: 0.3316, Price range: 0.2237 - 0.5126

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.6550
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.3450
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.6600
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.3400
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.6600
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.3400
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.6900
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.3100
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.7250
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.2750
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.7200
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.2800
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.7200
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.2800
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.6950
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.3050
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.6750
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1327.72, Sell volume: 38.45, Average price: 0.4699, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.6950
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.3050
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.6400
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.3600
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.7000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.3000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.6300
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.3700
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.6950
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 184, Buy volume: 18294.61, Sell volume: 3691.94, Average price: 0.5845, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.1650
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.8350
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.8350
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.1650
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.8350
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.1650
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.8350
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.1650
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.8750
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.1250
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.8750
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.1250
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 116.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1700, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.1800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.8700
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.1300
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.8700
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.1300
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.8700
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.1300
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.8700
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.1300
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.8700
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 227, Buy volume: 20569.86, Sell volume: 3841.59, Average price: 0.5728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 227, Buy volume: 20569.86, Sell volume: 3841.59, Average price: 0.5728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.1300
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.8700
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.1300
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.8700
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 227, Buy volume: 20569.86, Sell volume: 3841.59, Average price: 0.5728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.8700
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.1300
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.8700
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.1300
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.2750
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.7800
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.2200
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.7750
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.2250
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.8100
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.1900
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.8050
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.1950
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.8000
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 138.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7640, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.8400
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.1600
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.8100
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.1900
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.8250
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.1750
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.1650
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.8450
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.1550
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.8150
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.1850
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.8150
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.1850
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.8450
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.1550
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.8450
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 26.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8940, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.8800
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.1200
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9400
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0600
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9400
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0600
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 62.07, Sell volume: 19.67, Average price: 0.3255, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.8550
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.1450
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.8600
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.8650
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.1350
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.8550
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.1450
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.8600
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.8150
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.1850
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.8150
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.1850
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.8100
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.1900
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.8600
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.1400
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.8550
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.8550
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.1450
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.1350
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.8700
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.1300
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.8650
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.1350
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.8650
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.1350
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.8650
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.1350
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.8550
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.1450
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.8500
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.1500
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.8450
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.1550
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.8450
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 201.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4098, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.8450
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.1550
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.8000
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.2000
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.2750
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.7200
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.2800
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.7250
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.2750
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.7250
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.2750
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.7250
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.2750
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.6500
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.3500
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.6500
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 264.51, Sell volume: 84.99, Average price: 0.3316, Price range: 0.2237 - 0.5126
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.6550
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.3450
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.6600
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.3400
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.6600
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.3400
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.6900
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.3100
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.7250
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.2750
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.7200
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.2800
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.7200
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.2800
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.6950
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.3050
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.6750
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1327.72, Sell volume: 38.45, Average price: 0.4699, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700147
Question: Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 24411.45372
Price History:
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.6950
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.3050
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.6400
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.3600
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.7000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.3000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.6300
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.3700
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.6950
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 184, Buy volume: 18294.61, Sell volume: 3691.94, Average price: 0.5845, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559690
Question: Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 11949172.294894
Price History:
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9960
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0050
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0045
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0040
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9955
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0045
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0045
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0055
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9945
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0055
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0055
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.9945
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9945
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9945
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559690
Question: Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 11949172.294894
Price History:
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0055
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0055
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0055
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9945
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9945
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0055
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9945
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9945
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9945
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9945
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0055
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559690
Question: Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 11949172.294894
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0075
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0075
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9925
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9925
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9925
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0075
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0075
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0075
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0075
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.9925
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0075
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0075
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9925
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9925
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0075
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.9925
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0075
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9925
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9925
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9925
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9925
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559690
Question: Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 11949172.294894
Price History:
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.0085
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0085
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9915
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0085
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9915
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9915
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9915
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9915
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9915
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9915
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559690
Question: Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 11949172.294894
Price History:
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0085
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9915
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0085
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0085
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0085
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0085
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0085
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9915
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9915
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0085
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0085
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0085
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0085
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0085
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0085
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559690
Question: Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 11949172.294894
Price History:
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0095
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9905
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9905
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0095
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0095
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0095
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559690
Question: Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 11949172.294894
Price History:
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9915
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9915
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9915
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9935
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9935
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559690
Question: Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 11949172.294894
Price History:
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559690
Question: Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 11949172.294894
Price History:
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559690
Question: Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 11949172.294894
Price History:
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559690
Question: Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 11949172.294894
Price History:
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559690
Question: Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 11949172.294894
Price History:
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559690
Question: Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 11949172.294894
Price History:
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.4980
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0155
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9895
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0115
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9885
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0115
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9885
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0105
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9895
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0105
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9900
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0095
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.9905
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0095
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9905
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0085
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.9915
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0075
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.9925
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0075
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.9925
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0075
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.9925
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0075
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9925
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.0075
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.9925
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0075
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.9925
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0075
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.9925
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0075
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.9925
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.0075
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.9925
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.0075
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.9925
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.0075
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.9925
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0075
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.9925
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.0070
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.9935
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0060
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.9940
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.0060
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.9940
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0060
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0060
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.9945
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0055
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9945
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0055
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.9945
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.0055
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.9945
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0055
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.9945
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0045
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.9955
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0045
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.9955
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.0045
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.9965
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.9965
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.0055
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.9945
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.0055
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9945
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0055
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.9945
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.0055
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.9945
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.9945
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.0055
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.9945
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.0055
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.9945
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0055
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.9945
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.0055
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.9945
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0055
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.9945
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.0055
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.9945
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9945
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.9945
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.0055
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.9945
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0055
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0055
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.0055
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9945
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0055
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.0055
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9945
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.9945
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.0055
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.9945
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0055
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.0055
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.0055
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0055
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.9945
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.0055
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.9940
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.0060
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.0055
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.0060
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9945
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.0055
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.0055
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0055
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.9945
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.0055
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9945
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.0055
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0055
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9945
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.9945
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0055
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9945
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.9945
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.0055
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0055
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.0055
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.9945
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.9945
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.0055
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.0055
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9945
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0055
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.9945
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9945
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0055
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.9945
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.9945
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.9945
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.0055
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0055
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.0055
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9945
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.9945
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9945
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.9945
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.9945
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.0055
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0055
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0055
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0055
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0055
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.9945
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0055
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.9945
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.9945
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.9945
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.9945
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.9945
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.9945
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.9945
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.0055
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.9945
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0055
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.9945
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.9945
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.0060
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.0060
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.0060
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.0055
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9945
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9945
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.0060
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.9940
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.0060
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.0060
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0055
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.0055
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9945
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.0055
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.0055
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.9945
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.9945
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9945
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.9945
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9945
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.0055
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.9945
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0055
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.0055
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0055
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.9945
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9945
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9945
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0055
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0055
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0055
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0055
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0055
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0075
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9935
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0065
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9935
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0065
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0065
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9935
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0065
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9935
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0070
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0070
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0070
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9935
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0065
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9935
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0065
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9935
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9935
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0065
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9935
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9935
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0065
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0065
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9910
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9905
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9910
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0090
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0090
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0090
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0090
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0090
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9910
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0090
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0090
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9910
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0090
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9915
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9910
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0090
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9910
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9910
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0065
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9935
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0065
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9935
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0065
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9935
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9935
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9935
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0065
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9935
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0065
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9935
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9935
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9935
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9935
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0065
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9935
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9935
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9935
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0065
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9935
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9935
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0065
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0065
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9935
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9930
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0065
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9935
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0065
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0065
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9935
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0065
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9935
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9935
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9935
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9935
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0065
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9935
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9935
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0055
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0055
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0055
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0055
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9945
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0055
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9935
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0065
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0065
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0060
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9940
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.9935
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0065
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9935
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0065
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0065
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0065
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9935
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0065
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9940
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9940
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0055
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9935
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0065
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0065
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0070
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9930
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0075
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0075
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9925
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0075
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9925
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9920
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0080
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0085
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9915
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0090
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9915
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0085
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9915
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0085
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9915
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0085
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9915
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0085
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9915
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0085
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0085
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0085
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0085
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0085
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0085
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0085
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9915
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9915
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9915
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9915
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0085
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9915
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0085
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0085
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9915
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9915
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9915
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9915
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0085
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0085
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0085
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.0085
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9915
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0085
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9915
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.9915
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9915
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0085
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9915
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9915
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9915
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0085
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9915
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9915
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0085
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0085
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0085
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0085
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9915
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9915
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9915
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9915
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0085
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9905
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0095
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9905
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9905
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0085
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9915
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0085
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0085
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9900
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0100
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0100
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9905
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9905
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9905
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0095
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9905
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0095
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9895
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9895
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0105
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9895
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0105
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9895
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0105
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9895
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0105
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9895
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0105
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9895
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0105
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9895
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0105
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9895
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0105
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9895
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0105
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9895
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0105
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9895
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0105
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9895
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0095
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0095
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0085
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9915
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9915
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9915
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0085
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9925
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9805
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0110
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9885
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0115
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9895
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0105
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9905
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0095
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9905
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0085
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.9925
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0075
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.9925
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0075
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9925
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0075
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.9925
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0075
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.9925
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0075
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.9925
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.0075
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.9925
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0075
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.9925
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0060
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.9940
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0060
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0060
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.9945
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0055
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.9945
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0055
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.9945
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0045
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.9955
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0045
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.9965
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0055
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9945
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.0055
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.9945
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.9945
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0055
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.9945
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.0055
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.9945
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0055
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.9945
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9945
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.9945
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.0055
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9945
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.9945
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.0055
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.0055
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9945
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.0055
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0055
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.9945
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9940
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.0055
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0060
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9945
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0055
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.9945
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0055
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9945
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0055
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9945
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.9945
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.0055
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.9945
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0055
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9945
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0055
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0055
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0055
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.0055
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.9945
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.0055
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.9945
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.9945
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9945
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.0055
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.9945
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0055
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0055
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9945
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0055
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.0055
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.9945
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.0055
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9945
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0055
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.9945
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.0060
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.0060
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.9945
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0060
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.9940
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.0060
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0055
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9945
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.0055
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.9945
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.0055
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.0055
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.9945
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.0055
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9945
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9945
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9945
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0055
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0075
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0065
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9935
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9935
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0065
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9935
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0070
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0070
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9935
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9935
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9935
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9935
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9935
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9935
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9910
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9905
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0090
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0090
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9910
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0090
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0090
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0090
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0085
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0090
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0090
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0065
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0065
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9935
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0065
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9935
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9935
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9935
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9935
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0065
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9935
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9935
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9935
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9935
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0065
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9935
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0065
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0065
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0065
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0065
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9935
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0065
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0065
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9935
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0055
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0055
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9945
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.9945
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0065
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0065
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0065
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0065
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9935
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0065
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9935
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9940
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9935
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0065
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.0070
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0075
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9925
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9920
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9915
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0090
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9915
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0085
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9915
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0085
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.9915
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0085
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0085
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9915
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9915
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0085
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0085
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0085
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0085
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9915
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0085
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9915
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9915
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9915
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0085
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0085
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9915
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0085
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9915
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9915
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9915
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9915
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9915
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9915
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9915
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9915
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0095
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0095
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9915
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.0085
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9915
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9915
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0085
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9915
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0100
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0100
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0095
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9905
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9895
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0105
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9895
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0105
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9895
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0105
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9895
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0105
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9895
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0105
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9895
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0105
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9895
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0105
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9895
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0095
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9905
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9915
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9915
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9915
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559674
Question: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5994564.525205
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.4995
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0165
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9835
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0170
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9820
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0180
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9820
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0180
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9820
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0180
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9820
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0180
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.9820
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0180
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9820
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0180
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.9820
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0175
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.9825
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0175
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.9825
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0175
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.9820
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0180
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9820
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.0180
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.9820
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0180
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.9815
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0195
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.9805
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0195
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.9805
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.0170
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.9830
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.0170
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.9830
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.0170
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.9830
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0170
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.9830
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.0170
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.9830
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0170
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.9835
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.0170
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.9830
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0170
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0165
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.9835
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0170
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9830
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0170
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.9830
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.0170
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.9835
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0160
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.9840
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0160
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.9840
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0160
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.9840
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.0160
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.9825
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.0160
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.9835
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.0165
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.9830
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.0180
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.9830
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.0170
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.9835
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.0160
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9840
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0160
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.9840
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.0155
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.9845
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.0155
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.9845
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.0155
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.9845
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.0155
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.9845
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0155
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.9840
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.0155
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.9845
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0155
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.9855
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.0145
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.9855
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.0145
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9850
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.0150
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.9850
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.0155
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0155
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0155
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9850
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9850
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.0150
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9850
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0150
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.9850
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9850
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.9850
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.9850
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.0150
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9850
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.0150
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9850
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0150
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0150
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.9850
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0145
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.0145
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.0145
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.9855
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0145
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9855
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.0145
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9855
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.0145
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9855
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0135
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.9865
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0130
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0125
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.9885
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0115
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9885
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0115
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0105
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.9895
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0105
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.0105
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.0105
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0105
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.0100
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.9900
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0105
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.9895
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.0085
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9915
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9915
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0085
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0085
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9915
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.0085
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.0085
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.9915
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0085
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9915
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0085
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.9915
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0085
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.9915
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.0085
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.0085
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0085
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0095
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.9905
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9900
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.0100
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.9900
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0100
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.9900
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.9900
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.0100
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.9905
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.0095
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0095
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.9905
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.0095
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.9905
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0095
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.9905
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.0095
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.9905
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.0095
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.0095
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.0095
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9905
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9905
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.0095
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0095
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.0095
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.9905
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0095
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.0095
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.0095
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.0095
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.0095
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.9905
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.9905
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9905
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.0095
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9905
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.0095
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.9905
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0095
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.9905
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9905
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.9905
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0095
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0095
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9905
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9905
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0095
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9905
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0085
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9915
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0085
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9915
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0085
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0085
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0085
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9915
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0085
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9915
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0085
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0085
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0085
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0085
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0085
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0085
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9915
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0085
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0090
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9910
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0090
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9910
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0090
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9920
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0080
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0080
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0080
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9925
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9925
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9925
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0075
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9925
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9925
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0075
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9925
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9925
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9925
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0075
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9925
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9925
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9925
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9925
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9925
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0075
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0075
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0075
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9925
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0075
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9925
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0075
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9925
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9925
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9925
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0075
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0075
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9925
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0075
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9925
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0075
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9925
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0075
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0075
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0075
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9925
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0075
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9925
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9925
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0075
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0075
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0075
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9925
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0075
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9925
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9925
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9925
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0075
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0075
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0075
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0075
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.9935
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0065
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9935
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9935
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9935
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.9935
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0070
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9925
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0075
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9925
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9925
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0075
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9925
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0075
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0075
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9925
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0075
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0075
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.9925
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9925
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.9925
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0075
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0080
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9920
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0080
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9910
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9915
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0085
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0085
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9915
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.9915
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0095
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0095
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9905
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.9905
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0095
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9905
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0095
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0095
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0095
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9905
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0095
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9905
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.0095
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0095
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0095
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.0095
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9905
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0095
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9905
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0095
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9905
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0095
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9905
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0095
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9905
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9905
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0095
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.0095
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0095
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9905
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9905
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0095
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9905
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0095
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0095
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0095
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9905
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0095
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9905
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0095
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9905
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0095
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0095
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9905
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9905
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9905
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0095
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9905
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9905
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9905
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0095
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0095
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9905
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0095
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0095
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9905
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0095
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9905
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9905
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9905
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0095
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0095
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9905
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9905
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0095
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0095
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9905
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0095
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0095
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9905
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0095
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9905
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9905
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0095
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9905
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9905
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0095
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9905
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0095
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9905
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0095
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0095
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0105
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9895
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9895
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0105
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9895
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0105
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9895
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0105
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9895
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0105
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0105
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9895
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0105
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9895
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9895
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0105
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9895
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0105
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9895
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0105
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9895
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0105
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9895
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0105
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9895
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0105
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9895
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0105
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9895
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0105
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9895
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0105
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9895
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0105
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9895
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0105
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9895
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0105
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9895
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0105
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9905
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0095
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9910
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9915
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9915
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9915
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9915
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes