Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.5000
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.7500
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.7550
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.7550
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.7500
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.7500
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.7500
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.7500
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.7500
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.7500
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.7500
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.7500
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.7500
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.7500
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.7500
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.7450
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.7450
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.7450
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.7500
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 198, Buy volume: 2972.77, Sell volume: 117.66, Average price: 0.7143, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 198, Buy volume: 2972.77, Sell volume: 117.66, Average price: 0.7143, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0900
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.9600
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.2250
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.1850
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.1750
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.2540
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.2540
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.2410
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.7485
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.2320
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.2050
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.5430
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.4440
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.4280
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.4260
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.6045
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.4785
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.4785
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.4560
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.4560
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.4140
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.4040
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.6025
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.6285
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.6360
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.3640
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.3640
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.6390
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.3595
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.6510
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.4730
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.5345
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.4575
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.5575
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.4330
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.5750
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.5825
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.5860
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.4080
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.6200
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.3730
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.3610
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.6455
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.5815
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.5815
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.6565
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.6835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 22.04, Average price: 0.3050, Price range: 0.0280 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.6365
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.3565
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.5340
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.4605
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.5510
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.5455
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.5645
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.4315
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.5720
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.4255
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.4095
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.4030
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.3935
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.3885
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.6165
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.6210
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.6240
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.3730
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.3630
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.3610
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.3605
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.6415
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.3585
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.6415
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.3585
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.3585
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.3585
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.3585
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.3585
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.6415
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.3585
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.3580
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.3550
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.6370
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.3625
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.6375
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.6375
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.3625
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.3625
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.6375
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.3630
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.3630
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.3630
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.6370
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.3630
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.6370
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.3650
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.6340
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.3660
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.6335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 198, Buy volume: 2972.77, Sell volume: 117.66, Average price: 0.7143, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.6340
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.6340
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.6340
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.6340
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.6335
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.6335
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.3665
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.6335
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.3665
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.6335
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.6335
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.3665
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.6335
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.3665
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.6335
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.3665
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.3340
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.6335
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.3665
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.6340
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.3660
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.3665
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.6335
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.3660
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.6335
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.3665
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.6335
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.6335
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.6340
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.3660
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.3665
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.6335
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.3660
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.3665
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.6340
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.3660
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.6335
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.6335
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.6335
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.6340
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.3665
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.6335
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.6335
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.3665
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.3660
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.3660
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.6340
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.6340
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.3665
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.6335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 198, Buy volume: 2972.77, Sell volume: 117.66, Average price: 0.7143, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.3660
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.6340
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.6340
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.6340
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.3660
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.4885
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.5110
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.5095
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.4905
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.4905
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.5095
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.5095
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.5095
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.5095
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.5095
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.4905
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.5010
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.4990
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.5025
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.5035
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.5035
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.5035
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.5035
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.5035
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.5035
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.5025
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.4945
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.4925
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.4925
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.4925
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.5105
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.4975
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.5035
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.4985
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.5040
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.4970
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.5060
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.4950
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.5050
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.4945
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.5050
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.4940
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.5075
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.5100
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.4850
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.5180
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.5080
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.5030
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.4855
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.4955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 198, Buy volume: 2972.77, Sell volume: 117.66, Average price: 0.7143, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4880
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.4840
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.4925
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.5115
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.5140
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4830
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4880
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5145
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.4955
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5215
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.4750
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.5040
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.5070
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.5100
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.4975
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.5165
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.4800
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.5230
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.4915
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.5125
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.4875
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.5140
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.4840
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.5170
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.5105
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.5120
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.4880
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.4865
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.4870
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.5155
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.5180
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.4795
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.4755
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.5270
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.4850
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.5180
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.5215
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.5240
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.4725
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.4585
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.5475
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.4405
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.5665
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.4305
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.4720
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.4695
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.4705
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.4670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 81.97, Average price: 0.1645, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9560

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.4635
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4635
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.5365
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.5365
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.4635
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.5365
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.4635
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.5365
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.4635
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.5365
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.5365
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.4635
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.4635
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.5365
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.5365
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.5370
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.4630
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.5370
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.4545
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.4545
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.4545
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.4545
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.5455
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.4530
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.4525
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.5475
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.6300
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.7065
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.2935
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.2715
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.7295
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.7295
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.2705
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.7295
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.1385
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.9075
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9275
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0725
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9275
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0355
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9715
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0230
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9780
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9780
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0220
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9780
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0220
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0220
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9780
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0030

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0220
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0220
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0220
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0220
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0220
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9780
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0220
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9780
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9780
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0220
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9780
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0220
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9780
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0220
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0220
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9780
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9780
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9780
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0220
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0220
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9775
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0225
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0225
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0230
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9770
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0230
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9770
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0230
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9770
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0230
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9770
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0230
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9770
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0230
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9770
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0225
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9775
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0225
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0225
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0225
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0225
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9775
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0225
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9775
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0225
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9775
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0270
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9730
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0270
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9735
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0265
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9735
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0265
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9735
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0265
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9735
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0265
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9740
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0260
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9780
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0220
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9780
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0220
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9780
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0220
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9780
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0220
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9780
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0220
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9780
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0220
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9735
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0265
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9735
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0265
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9780
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0220
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9780
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0220
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9780
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0220
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9780
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0220
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9780
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0220
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9780
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0220
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9780
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0220
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9780
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0220
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9780
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0220
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9780
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0220
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9880, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9780
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0220
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9780
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0220
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9780
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0220
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9780
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0220
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9780
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0260
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9780
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0260
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9740
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9740
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9780
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0220
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9780
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0220
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9780
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0220
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9780
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0220
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9780
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0220
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9780
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0225
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9780
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0225
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9780
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.4205
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.5795
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4200
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4200
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5800
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4200
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.5805
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4195
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5810
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 198, Buy volume: 2972.77, Sell volume: 117.66, Average price: 0.7143, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4175
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5825
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.4175
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.5825
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.4175
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5825
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4175
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5825
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.4175
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.5825
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.4175
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.5825
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.4175
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.5830
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.4170
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.6235
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.3765
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.6235
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.3765
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.6235
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.3765
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.6230
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.3770
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.6230
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.3770
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.6230
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.3770
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.6235
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.3765
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.6235
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.3765
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.6235
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.3765
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.6235
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.3765
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.6235
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.3765
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.6235
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.3765
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.6235
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.2125
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.7875
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.2125
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.7875
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.2125
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.7875
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.2125
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.7875
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.2160
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.7930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 163, Buy volume: 869.00, Sell volume: 8.65, Average price: 0.7421, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.5000
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.7500
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 198, Buy volume: 2972.77, Sell volume: 117.66, Average price: 0.7143, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 198, Buy volume: 2972.77, Sell volume: 117.66, Average price: 0.7143, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9550
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.7950
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.7460
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.7460
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.7485
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.7790
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.4545
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.4280
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.6000
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.5215
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.4560
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.5860
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.5995
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.3850
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.3645
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.3610
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.6510
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.4670
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.5530
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.5690
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.4175
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.5905
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.6235
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.6430
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.6500
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.6565
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.5880
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.5970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 22.04, Average price: 0.3050, Price range: 0.0280 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.6365
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.4670
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.4580
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.4540
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.5705
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.5745
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.4050
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.3925
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.3820
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.6240
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.3715
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.3615
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.6415
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.3585
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.6415
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.3585
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.3585
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.6415
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.3550
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.6370
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.6375
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.6375
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.3625
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.6370
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.6370
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.3630
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.3650
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.3660
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.6335
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.6340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 198, Buy volume: 2972.77, Sell volume: 117.66, Average price: 0.7143, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.6340
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.3660
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.6340
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.3665
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.3665
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.3665
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.6335
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.3665
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.3665
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.3340
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.3660
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.3665
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.6335
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.6340
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.6340
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.6340
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.3665
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.3660
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.3660
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.6335
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.3660
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.6340
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.3660
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.3660
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.3665
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.6340
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.6335
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.3665
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.6335
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.6340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 198, Buy volume: 2972.77, Sell volume: 117.66, Average price: 0.7143, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.3660
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.6340
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.3660
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.5110
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.5095
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.5095
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.4905
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.4905
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.5095
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.5010
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.4980
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.4965
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.4965
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.5035
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.4975
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.5075
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.5075
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.5110
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.5035
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.5040
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.5050
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.5045
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.5055
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.5060
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.4955
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.4835
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.5085
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.4855
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.5075
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.5085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 198, Buy volume: 2972.77, Sell volume: 117.66, Average price: 0.7143, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4880
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.4925
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5125
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5180
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.5120
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5175
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.5235
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.5050
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4895
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.5165
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.4775
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.5120
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5130
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.5160
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.5175
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.4875
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.5135
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.5155
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.4795
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.5265
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.4835
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.4780
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.5275
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.5440
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.5585
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.5675
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.5280
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.4705
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.5350
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.5365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 81.97, Average price: 0.1645, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9560
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.4635
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.4635
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.4635
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.4635
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.5365
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.4635
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.4635
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.5365
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.4635
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.4630
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.4540
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.4545
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.5455
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.5475
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.4525
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.7065
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.7285
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.7295
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.2705
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.1725
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0925
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9275
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0345
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9770
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9780
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0220
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0220
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9780
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0220
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0030
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0220
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0220
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0220
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0220
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0220
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9780
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9780
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9780
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0220
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9780
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0220
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9775
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9775
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9770
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9770
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9770
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9770
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9770
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9770
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9770
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9775
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9775
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9775
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9775
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9775
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9775
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0270
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0270
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0265
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0265
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0265
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0265
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0215
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0265
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0220
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0220
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0220
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0220
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0220
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0220
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0265
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0265
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0265
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0220
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0220
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0220
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0220
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0220
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0220
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0220
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0220
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0220
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0220
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0220
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0220
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9880, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9780
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9780
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9780
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9780
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9780
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9740
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9740
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9740
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9740
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9780
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9780
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9780
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9780
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9780
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9780
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9775
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9775
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9780
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.5795
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5800
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5810
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.5820
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 198, Buy volume: 2972.77, Sell volume: 117.66, Average price: 0.7143, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555491
Question: Will Italy win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3090.432815
Price History:
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4175
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.4175
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.4175
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.4175
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4175
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.4175
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.4175
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.4175
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.4170
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.3765
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.3765
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.3765
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.3770
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.3770
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.3770
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.3765
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.3765
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.3765
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.3765
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.3765
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.3765
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.3765
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.3765
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.2125
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.2125
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.2125
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.2125
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.2160
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.2030
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.2030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 163, Buy volume: 869.00, Sell volume: 8.65, Average price: 0.7421, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.5000
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.7500
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.7550
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.7550
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.7500
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.7500
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.7500
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.7500
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.7500
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.7500
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.7500
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.7500
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.7500
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.7500
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.7500
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.7450
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.7450
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.7450
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 4249.83, Sell volume: 116.52, Average price: 0.6825, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.7500
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 4249.83, Sell volume: 116.52, Average price: 0.6825, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 4249.83, Sell volume: 116.52, Average price: 0.6825, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.7600
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0550
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.9670
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.2245
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.2155
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.2435
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.7445
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.2555
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.2555
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.7445
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.2430
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.7485
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.2340
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.7930
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.4605
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.4480
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.5745
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.4230
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.6240
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.3760
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.6240
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.3705
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.5305
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.4465
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.5585
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.5790
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.4120
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.4085
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.4065
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.5970
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.4005
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.6005
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.3975
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.5010
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.4965
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.4930
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.5310
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.5330
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.4670
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.5355
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.5375
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.5395
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.4585
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.5430
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.4545
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.5490
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.5265
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.4735
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.5580
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.4385
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.3287, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.4735
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.5290
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.5320
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.4655
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.4915
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.5090
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.4895
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.5125
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.5150
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.4825
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.4795
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.5230
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.5265
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.5290
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.4680
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.4965
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.4950
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.4920
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.4965
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.5105
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.5105
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.4885
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.5115
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.4885
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.4885
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.5115
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.4885
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.5115
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.4720
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.5280
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.4720
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.4700
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.5325
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.5055
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.4615
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.4600
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.4420
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.4395
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.4385
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.5615
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.4385
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.5615
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.5615
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.5615
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.5620
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.4385
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.5610
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.4385
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.4385
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.5620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9660, Price range: 0.9660 - 0.9660

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.5620
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.5625
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.4375
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.4375
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.4375
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.5625
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.4370
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.5630
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.4370
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.5630
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.4375
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.4375
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.4375
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.4370
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.4375
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.4375
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.6730
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.6760
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.5655
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.4310
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.5685
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.5665
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.5740
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.4330
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.4310
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.5725
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.4245
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.5670
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.4300
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.4265
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.4335
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.5665
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.5695
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.4270
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.5670
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.4295
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.5645
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.5690
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.4335
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.5705
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.4270
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.5770
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.5810
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.4135
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.5895
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.4310
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.5990
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.5760
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.4235
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.4330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 4249.83, Sell volume: 116.52, Average price: 0.6825, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.5670
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.4330
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.4330
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.4330
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.5670
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.5020
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.5060
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.4905
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.5095
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.5095
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.4915
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.5090
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.4910
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.5090
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.5090
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.5090
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.4910
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.5085
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.4930
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.5105
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.5015
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.5100
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.5105
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.5105
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.4940
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.4950
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.5120
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.4880
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.5120
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.5120
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.4850
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.5045
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.4955
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.5055
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.4935
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.5065
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.5095
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.4930
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.5090
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.5070
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.5035
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.5035
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.5070
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.5095
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.4895
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.5135
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.5170
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.5025
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.4770
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.4745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 4249.83, Sell volume: 116.52, Average price: 0.6825, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.5290
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5315
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.4645
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4620
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5410
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5440
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.5025
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5865
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.4975
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5570
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.3935
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.6065
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6060
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3925
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.3930
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3925
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3870
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.5120
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.4905
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.4980
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.4975
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.4885
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.5135
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.5160
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.4840
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.4845
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.5155
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.5170
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.5165
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.5175
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.4800
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.4775
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.4735
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.5290
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.4825
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.5205
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.4680
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.4655
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.4605
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.4580
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.4545
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.5480
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.4365
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.4295
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.5315
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.5315
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.4650
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.5375
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.5410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 4.99, Sell volume: 81.97, Average price: 0.1608, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9270

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.4555
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4555
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.4555
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.5445
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.5445
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.4555
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.5445
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.5445
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.5445
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.4555
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.5445
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.5445
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.4555
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.5445
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.5445
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.4550
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.5450
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.4550
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.5585
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.4415
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.5585
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.4415
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.4415
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.5600
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.5605
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.4395
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.6440
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.2785
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.7285
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.2465
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.7545
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.7545
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.7545
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.2455
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.1230
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.0385
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0375
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9675
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0245
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0250
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9750
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9750
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9790
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9830
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0130
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9870
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0130
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0130
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9870
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0030

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0130
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0130
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9870
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0130
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0130
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9870
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0130
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9870
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0130
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0130
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9870
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0130
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9870
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9870
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0130
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9870
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9870
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0130
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9870
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9870
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0135
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0135
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0135
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9860
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9860
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0140
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9860
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0140
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9860
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0140
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9860
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0140
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9860
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0140
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9860
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0135
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9865
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0135
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9865
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0135
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9865
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0135
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9865
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0135
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9865
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0135
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9865
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0135
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9865
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0180
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9820
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0180
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9825
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0175
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9825
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0175
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9825
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0175
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9825
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0175
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9825
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0175
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9870
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0130
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9870
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0130
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9870
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0130
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9870
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0130
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9870
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0130
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9870
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0130
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9825
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0175
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9825
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0175
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9870
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0130
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0130
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0130
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0130
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0130
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0130
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9870
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0130
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9870
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0130
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9870
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0130
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9870
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0130
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9880, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9870
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0130
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9870
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0130
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9870
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0130
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9870
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0130
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9870
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0170
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9870
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0170
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9830
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0170
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9830
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0170
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9870
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0130
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9870
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0130
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9870
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0130
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9870
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0130
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9870
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0130
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9870
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0135
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9870
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0135
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9870
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.4245
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.5755
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4240
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.5760
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.4240
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.5760
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.4240
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.5760
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4240
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5760
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4240
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.5765
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.4240
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5760
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4240
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5760
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4235
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5770
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 4249.83, Sell volume: 116.52, Average price: 0.6825, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4180
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5820
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.4180
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.5820
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.4180
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5820
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4180
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5820
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.4180
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.5820
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.4180
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.5820
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.4180
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.5825
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.4175
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.5825
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.4175
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.5820
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.4180
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.5835
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.4165
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.5835
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.4165
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.5835
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.4145
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.5855
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.4145
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.5855
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.4145
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.5855
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.4145
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.5855
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.4145
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.5855
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.4145
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.5855
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.4145
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.5855
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.4145
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.5855
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.4145
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.5855
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.4145
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.5855
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.4145
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.5855
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.4145
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5860
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.5985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 1331.10, Sell volume: 9.55, Average price: 0.7162, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.5000
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 4249.83, Sell volume: 116.52, Average price: 0.6825, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 4249.83, Sell volume: 116.52, Average price: 0.6825, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 4249.83, Sell volume: 116.52, Average price: 0.6825, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.7600
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9660
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.2205
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.7445
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.7445
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.2555
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.2520
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.2230
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.5430
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.5745
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.6200
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.6240
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.5305
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.5535
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.4410
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.5900
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.4055
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.4005
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.3975
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.5030
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.4705
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.4670
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.4645
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.4605
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.4570
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.4530
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.5530
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.5580
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.4725
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.5320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.3287, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.4735
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.5315
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.5070
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.4905
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.5135
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.5175
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.5225
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.5275
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.5325
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.4950
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.4910
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.4900
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.4885
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.5115
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.4885
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.4885
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.4720
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.4720
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.5325
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.5365
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.5565
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.5615
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.4385
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.4385
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.4385
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.4380
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.4390
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.4385
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.5615
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.5625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9660, Price range: 0.9660 - 0.9660
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.5620
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.4370
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.5630
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.4370
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.4370
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.4370
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.5630
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.5625
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.5625
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.6730
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.5650
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.5680
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.4280
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.5670
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.5720
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.4220
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.4290
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.5770
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.5695
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.5670
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.5635
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.5695
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.4295
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.4235
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.5835
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.5680
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.5700
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.4235
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.4330
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.4330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 4249.83, Sell volume: 116.52, Average price: 0.6825, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.5670
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.4330
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.4330
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.5020
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.5095
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.4905
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.4910
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.5090
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.5090
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.4910
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.4975
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.4940
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.5050
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.5025
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.5050
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.4880
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.5120
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.4845
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.4955
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.4935
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.4930
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.4915
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.5020
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.4965
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.4885
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.4880
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.5175
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.4770
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.5285
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.4890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 4249.83, Sell volume: 116.52, Average price: 0.6825, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.5075
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4635
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4580
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4975
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5535
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.4410
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.6065
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.6070
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3925
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.5115
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.5130
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.4945
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.4865
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.4835
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.5160
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.5170
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.5175
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.4775
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.5285
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.5190
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.5325
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.5395
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.5445
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.5625
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.4285
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.4675
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.5375
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.4570
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.4555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 4.99, Sell volume: 81.97, Average price: 0.1608, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9270
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.4555
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.4555
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.4555
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.5445
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.5445
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.5445
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.5445
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.4555
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.5445
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.5450
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.5590
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.5585
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.4415
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.4395
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.5605
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.7215
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.7535
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.7545
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.7545
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.8430
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0385
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9695
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9750
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0250
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9820
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0130
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0130
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9870
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9870
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0030
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0130
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9870
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0130
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0130
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0130
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9870
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9870
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0130
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0130
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9870
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0130
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0135
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0135
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0140
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0140
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9860
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9860
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9860
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9860
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9860
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9865
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9865
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9865
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9865
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9865
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9865
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9865
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9865
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9865
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0180
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0180
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0175
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0175
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0175
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0175
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0125
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0180
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0130
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0130
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0130
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0130
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0130
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0130
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0175
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0175
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0130
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0130
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0130
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0130
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0130
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0130
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0130
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0130
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0130
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0130
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0130
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0130
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9880, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9870
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9870
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9870
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9870
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9870
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9830
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9830
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9830
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9830
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9870
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9870
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9870
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9870
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9870
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9870
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9865
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9865
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9870
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.5755
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.5760
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.5760
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.5760
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5760
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.5760
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.5760
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5760
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5760
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5770
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.5780
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 4249.83, Sell volume: 116.52, Average price: 0.6825, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555492
Question: Will Brazil win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4366.346602
Price History:
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4180
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.4180
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.4180
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.4180
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4180
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.4180
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.4180
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.4180
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.4175
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.4175
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.4180
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.4165
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.4165
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.4165
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.4145
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.4145
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.4145
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.4145
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.4145
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.4145
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.4145
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.4145
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.4145
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.4145
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.4145
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.4145
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.4145
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.3850
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.3510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 1331.10, Sell volume: 9.55, Average price: 0.7162, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.5000
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.7500
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.7550
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.7550
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.2450
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.7500
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.7500
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.7500
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.7500
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.7500
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.7500
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.7500
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.7500
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.7500
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.7500
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.7500
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.7450
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.7450
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1405.67, Sell volume: 112.84, Average price: 0.2854, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.7500
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1405.67, Sell volume: 112.84, Average price: 0.2854, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1405.67, Sell volume: 112.84, Average price: 0.2854, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.1700
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.2050
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.2050
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.2850
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.7650
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.7600
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.1050
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.1700
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.0800
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.3750
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.6500
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.3150
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.6400
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.2550
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.7800
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.3900
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.6700
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.3950
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.6100
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.2000
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.6200
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.8150
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.1400
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0325
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.0315
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.0320
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.3935
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.3855
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.4015
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.3935
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.6145
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.6400
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.3600
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.3590
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.3540
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.6460
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.6450
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.3540
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.3540
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.6460
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.6450
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.6460
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.3540
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.3550
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.6460
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.6460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.4320, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.6460
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.3540
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.5100
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.5195
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.5090
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.4865
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.4810
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.4720
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.4650
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5405
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.4520
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.4440
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.5565
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.4035
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.4240
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.4205
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.5895
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.5970
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.3550
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.6510
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.4405
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.5600
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.4400
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.4400
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.5600
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.4400
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.5600
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.4400
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.5600
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.5600
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.5600
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.4355
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.4425
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.4215
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.5865
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.4900
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.5195
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.4775
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.5240
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.5240
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.4760
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.4730
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.4730
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.4730
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.4730
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.4730
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.5270
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.4695
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.5305
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.4695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1405.67, Sell volume: 112.84, Average price: 0.2854, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.5320
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.5320
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.4640
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.5390
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.5390
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.4610
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.5400
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.4600
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.5405
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.4595
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.4595
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.5405
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.5405
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.5345
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.4655
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.4655
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.3265
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.4620
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.4555
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.4500
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.5520
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.5555
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.4610
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.5420
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.4580
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.5420
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.4535
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.5460
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.5445
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.5460
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.4555
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.4555
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.5445
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.5445
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.5445
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.5445
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.4525
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.5445
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.5445
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.4555
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.4555
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.4555
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.5445
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.4380
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.5445
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.5465
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.4490
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.4400
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.5630
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.5445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1405.67, Sell volume: 112.84, Average price: 0.2854, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.5450
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.4550
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.4550
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.4550
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.4550
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.5445
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.5450
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.5450
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.5450
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.4550
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.5450
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.4960
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.5035
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.5005
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.5035
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.4965
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.5050
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.5080
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.4900
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.5015
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.4935
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.4930
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.5040
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.4975
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.5080
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.5105
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.5105
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.5105
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.4895
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.4750
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.4965
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.5050
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.5055
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.4950
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.5070
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.5050
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.5060
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.4930
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.5005
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.5050
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.4930
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.4880
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.4855
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.5180
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.5210
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.4755
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.5270
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.5305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1405.67, Sell volume: 112.84, Average price: 0.2854, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.5130
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.5165
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.4805
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4770
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5255
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5290
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4965
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.4360
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.5030
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5860
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5955
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3925
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6190
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.5065
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.5190
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.4730
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.5350
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.5595
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.4875
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.5140
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.4860
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.5035
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.4870
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.5140
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.5170
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.5140
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.4870
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.4850
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.4855
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.5170
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.5195
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.5190
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.5220
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.5255
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.4720
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.5195
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.4780
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.5310
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.4680
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.5325
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.4645
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.5305
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.4655
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.4580
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.5445
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.4685
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.5340
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.4625
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.4670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 81.97, Average price: 0.1598, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9440

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.5375
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5365
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.5365
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.4635
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.5365
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.4635
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.5365
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.4635
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.5365
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.4635
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.4635
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.5365
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.4635
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.5365
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.4635
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.4630
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.5370
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.5375
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.4575
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.4575
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.4575
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.4575
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.5425
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.4555
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.5445
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.5450
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.6250
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.3035
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.3035
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.6965
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.6975
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.7940
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0580
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9665
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.0335
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9665
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9665
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.9665
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9665
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9665
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0335
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9665
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9665
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0335
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9665
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0335
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9665
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9665
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0335
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0030

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0335
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9665
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9665
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0335
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9665
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0335
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9665
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9665
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0335
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9665
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9665
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9665
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9665
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0335
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9665
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0335
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0335
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9665
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0335
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0335
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0340
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9660
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0345
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9655
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0345
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9655
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0345
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0345
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9655
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0345
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9655
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0345
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9655
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0345
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9665
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0340
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0035
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0035
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0035
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9965
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0035
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9965
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1405.67, Sell volume: 112.84, Average price: 0.2854, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.87, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.5000
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.2450
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1405.67, Sell volume: 112.84, Average price: 0.2854, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.7500
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1405.67, Sell volume: 112.84, Average price: 0.2854, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1405.67, Sell volume: 112.84, Average price: 0.2854, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.1700
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.7950
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.7550
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.6850
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.6400
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.7750
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.6300
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.6050
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.8000
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.7750
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.0350
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0270
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.3920
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.4015
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.6125
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.3610
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.3600
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.3540
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.6450
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.3550
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.3550
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.6460
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.6460
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.3540
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.3540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.4320, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.6460
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.4890
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.4755
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.4850
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.5295
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4595
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.4465
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.5670
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.5775
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.5895
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.6440
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.3420
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.4400
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.4400
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.5600
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.5600
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.5600
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.4390
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.4425
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.4145
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.5170
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.5240
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.4760
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.5270
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.4730
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.5270
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.5280
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.5305
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.5305
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.5315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1405.67, Sell volume: 112.84, Average price: 0.2854, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.5320
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.4660
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.5390
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.5390
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.5400
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.4595
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.5405
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.4595
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.4655
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.3265
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.4565
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.4515
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.5555
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.4580
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.5420
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.4540
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.4540
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.4555
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.5445
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.4555
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.4625
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.5445
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.5445
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.4555
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.5620
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.5450
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.5470
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.5630
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.5445
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1405.67, Sell volume: 112.84, Average price: 0.2854, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No