Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-07 13:00: 0.1950
2025-01-07 13:00: 0.8050
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.1850
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.8150
2025-01-07 15:00: 0.1900
2025-01-07 15:00: 0.8100
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.2000
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.8000
2025-01-07 17:00: 0.2350
2025-01-07 17:00: 0.7650
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.2300
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.7700
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.2350
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.7650
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.2400
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.7600
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.2500
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.7500
2025-01-07 22:00: 0.2650
2025-01-07 22:00: 0.7350
2025-01-07 23:00: 0.3200
2025-01-07 23:00: 0.6800
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.3200
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.6800
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.3150
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.6850
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.2900
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.7100
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.3150
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.6850
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.3150
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.6850
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.3050
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.6950
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.3200
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.6800
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.3000
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.7000
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.2950
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.7050
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.3000
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.7000
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.2950
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.7050
2025-01-08 11:00: 0.2950
2025-01-08 11:00: 0.7050
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.2950
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.7050
2025-01-08 13:00: 0.2950
2025-01-08 13:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 15441.54, Sell volume: 1169.15, Average price: 0.4831, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.7000
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.3000
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.7000
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.3050
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.6950
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.3150
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.6850
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.3150
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.6850
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.3100
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.6900
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.3100
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.6900
2025-01-08 21:00: 0.3050
2025-01-08 21:00: 0.6950
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.3050
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.6950
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.3050
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.6950
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.3050
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.6950
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.3050
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.6950
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.3100
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.6900
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.3100
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.6900
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.3100
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.6900
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.3150
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.6850
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.3000
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.7000
2025-01-09 07:00: 0.2950
2025-01-09 07:00: 0.7050
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.2950
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.7050
2025-01-09 09:00: 0.2950
2025-01-09 09:00: 0.7050
2025-01-09 10:00: 0.2950
2025-01-09 10:00: 0.7050
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.3100
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.6900
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.3150
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.6850
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.3150
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.6850
2025-01-09 14:00: 0.3250
2025-01-09 14:00: 0.6750
2025-01-09 15:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 6940.70, Sell volume: 1106.91, Average price: 0.4392, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.3350
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.6650
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.3500
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.6500
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.3550
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.6450
2025-01-09 19:00: 0.4450
2025-01-09 19:00: 0.5550
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.4550
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.5450
2025-01-09 21:00: 0.4550
2025-01-09 21:00: 0.5450
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.4550
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.5450
2025-01-09 23:00: 0.4550
2025-01-09 23:00: 0.5450
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.4550
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.5450
2025-01-10 01:00: 0.4700
2025-01-10 01:00: 0.5300
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.4700
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.5300
2025-01-10 03:00: 0.4500
2025-01-10 03:00: 0.5500
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.4500
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.5500
2025-01-10 05:00: 0.4450
2025-01-10 05:00: 0.5550
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.4100
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.5900
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.4050
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.5950
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.4000
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.6000
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.4050
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.5950
2025-01-10 10:00: 0.4150
2025-01-10 10:00: 0.5850
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.4200
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.5800
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.4200
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.5800
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.4150
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.5850
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.4150
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.5850
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.4000
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.6000
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.3950
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2810.14, Sell volume: 1062.43, Average price: 0.4775, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.6050
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.3950
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.6050
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.4000
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.6000
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.4000
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.6000
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.4000
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.6000
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.4000
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.6000
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.4000
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.6000
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 142.25, Sell volume: 119.18, Average price: 0.5400, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.5950
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.4050
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.5950
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.4050
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.5950
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.4050
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.5950
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.4050
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.5950
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.4050
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.5950
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.4050
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.5950
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.5850
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.5850
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.5850
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.5850
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.5850
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.5850
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.5850
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.5850
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.5850
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.5850
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.5850
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.5850
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.5850
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1105.25, Sell volume: 179.14, Average price: 0.4840, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.5850
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.5850
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.5850
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.5850
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.4150
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.5850
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.4150
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.5850
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.4150
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.5850
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.3950
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.6050
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.4000
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.6000
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.3950
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.6050
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.3850
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.6150
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.3250
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.6750
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.3250
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.6750
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.3100
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.6900
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.3050
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.6950
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.3050
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.6950
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.3050
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.6950
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.3050
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.6950
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.3650
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.6350
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.3900
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.6100
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.3950
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.6050
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.4000
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.6000
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.4000
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.6000
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.4000
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.6000
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.4000
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.6000
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 14529.35, Sell volume: 3844.99, Average price: 0.4739, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.4000
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.6000
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.4000
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.6000
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.6000
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.6000
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.6000
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.6000
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.6000
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.6000
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.3950
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.6050
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.3950
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.6050
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.3950
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.6050
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.3950
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.6050
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.3950
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.6050
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.3700
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.6300
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.3800
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.6200
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.3800
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.6200
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.3800
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.6200
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.6150
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.6150
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.6150
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.6150
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.6150
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.6150
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.6150
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 639.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5678, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.3650
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.6350
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.3700
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.6300
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.3700
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.6300
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.3700
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.6300
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.3700
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.6300
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.3700
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.6300
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.3700
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.6300
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.6450
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.3500
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.6500
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 961.56, Sell volume: 38.11, Average price: 0.4856, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.3500
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.6500
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.3450
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.6550
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.3450
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.6550
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.3450
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.6550
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.3350
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.6650
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.3400
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.6600
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.3350
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.6650
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.3250
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.6750
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.3250
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.6750
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.3300
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.6700
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.3300
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.6700
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.3300
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.6700
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.3300
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.6700
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.3300
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.6700
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.3350
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.6650
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.3350
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.6650
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.3350
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.6650
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.3350
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.6650
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.3350
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.6650
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.3350
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.6650
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.3350
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.6650
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.3350
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.6650
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.3350
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.6650
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.3350
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.6650
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.3350
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 6323.71, Average price: 0.6092, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.6200
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.3800
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.6200
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.6100
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.6100
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.6100
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.6100
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.6100
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.3950
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.6050
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.3950
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.6050
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.3950
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.6050
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.6100
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.6100
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.6100
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.3850
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.6150
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.3850
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.6150
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.3850
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.6150
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.3850
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.6150
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.3850
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.6150
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.6100
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.6100
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.6100
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 240.87, Sell volume: 934.71, Average price: 0.5915, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.3850
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.6150
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.3950
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.6050
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.3950
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.6050
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.3950
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.6050
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.3950
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 126.09, Sell volume: 671.38, Average price: 0.4240, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.4950
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.5050
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.5250
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.4750
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.9250
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.0750
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.9050
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.0950
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.6750
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.3250
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.6700
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.3300
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.6900
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.7050
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.2950
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.7300
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.2700
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.6750
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.3250
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 11023.66, Sell volume: 2938.40, Average price: 0.4686, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9192

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.6200
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.3800
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.6900
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.6950
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.3050
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.9050
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.0950
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.9150
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.0850
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.8950
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.1050
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.9650
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.0350
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.9490
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.0510
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.9665
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.0335
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.9555
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0445
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.9350
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.0650
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.9095
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.0905
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.9205
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.0795
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.9225
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0775
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.9105
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.0895
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.9880
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0120
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.9920
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.0080
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.9990
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.0010
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.9995
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.9985
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.9985
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.9980
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.9975
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.9975
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 222, Buy volume: 59813.32, Sell volume: 48133.73, Average price: 0.5581, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-07 13:00: 0.1950
2025-01-07 13:00: 0.8050
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.1850
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.8150
2025-01-07 15:00: 0.1900
2025-01-07 15:00: 0.8100
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.2000
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.8000
2025-01-07 17:00: 0.2350
2025-01-07 17:00: 0.7650
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.2300
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.7700
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.2350
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.7650
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.2400
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.7600
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.2500
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.7500
2025-01-07 22:00: 0.2650
2025-01-07 22:00: 0.7350
2025-01-07 23:00: 0.3200
2025-01-07 23:00: 0.6800
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.3200
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.6800
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.3150
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.6850
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.2900
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.7100
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.3150
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 15441.54, Sell volume: 1169.15, Average price: 0.4831, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.7000
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.3000
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.7000
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.3050
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.6950
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.3150
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.6850
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.3150
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.6850
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.3100
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.6900
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.3100
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.6900
2025-01-08 21:00: 0.3050
2025-01-08 21:00: 0.6950
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.3050
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.6950
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.3050
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.6950
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.3050
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.6950
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.3050
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.6950
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.3100
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.6900
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.3100
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.6900
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.3100
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.6900
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 6940.70, Sell volume: 1106.91, Average price: 0.4392, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.3350
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.6650
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.3500
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.6500
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.3550
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.6450
2025-01-09 19:00: 0.4450
2025-01-09 19:00: 0.5550
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.4550
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.5450
2025-01-09 21:00: 0.4550
2025-01-09 21:00: 0.5450
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.4550
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.5450
2025-01-09 23:00: 0.4550
2025-01-09 23:00: 0.5450
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.4550
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.5450
2025-01-10 01:00: 0.4700
2025-01-10 01:00: 0.5300
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.4700
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.5300
2025-01-10 03:00: 0.4500
2025-01-10 03:00: 0.5500
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.4500
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.5500
2025-01-10 05:00: 0.4450
2025-01-10 05:00: 0.5550
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.4100
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2810.14, Sell volume: 1062.43, Average price: 0.4775, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.6050
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.3950
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.6050
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.4000
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.6000
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.4000
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.6000
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.4000
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.6000
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.4000
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.6000
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.4000
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.6000
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 142.25, Sell volume: 119.18, Average price: 0.5400, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.5950
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.4050
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.5950
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.4050
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.5950
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.4050
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.5950
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.4050
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.5950
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.4050
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.5950
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.4050
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.5950
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.4050
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.5950
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.5850
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.5850
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.5850
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1105.25, Sell volume: 179.14, Average price: 0.4840, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.5850
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.5850
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.5850
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.5850
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.4150
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.5850
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.4150
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.5850
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.4150
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.5850
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.3950
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.6050
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.4000
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.6000
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.3950
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.6050
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.3850
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.6150
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.3250
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.6750
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.3250
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.6750
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.3100
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.6900
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.3050
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.6950
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 14529.35, Sell volume: 3844.99, Average price: 0.4739, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.4000
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.6000
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.4000
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.6000
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.6000
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.6000
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.6000
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.6000
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.6000
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.6000
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.3950
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.6050
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.3950
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.6050
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.3950
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.6050
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.3950
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.6050
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.3950
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.6050
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.3700
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.6300
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.3800
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 639.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5678, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 961.56, Sell volume: 38.11, Average price: 0.4856, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.3500
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.6500
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.3450
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.6550
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.3450
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.6550
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.3450
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.6550
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.3350
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.6650
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.3400
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.6600
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.3350
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.6650
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.3250
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.6750
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.3250
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.6750
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.3300
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.6700
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.3300
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.6700
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.3300
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.6700
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.3300
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.6700
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.3300
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.6700
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.3350
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 6323.71, Average price: 0.6092, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.6200
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.3800
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.6200
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.6100
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.6100
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.6100
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.6100
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.6100
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.3950
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.6050
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.3950
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.6050
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.3950
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.6050
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.6100
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.6100
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.6100
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.3850
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.6150
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.3850
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.6150
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 240.87, Sell volume: 934.71, Average price: 0.5915, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.3850
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.6150
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.3900
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 126.09, Sell volume: 671.38, Average price: 0.4240, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.4950
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.5050
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.5250
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.4750
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 11023.66, Sell volume: 2938.40, Average price: 0.4686, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9192
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517840
Question: Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Volume: 199072.846519
Price History:
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.6200
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.3800
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.6900
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.6950
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.3050
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.9050
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.0950
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.9150
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.0850
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.8950
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.1050
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.9650
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.0350
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.9490
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.0510
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.9665
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.0335
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.9555
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0445
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.9350
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.0650
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.9095
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.0905
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.9205
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.0795
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.9225
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0775
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.9105
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.0895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 222, Buy volume: 59813.32, Sell volume: 48133.73, Average price: 0.5581, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528960
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Subscriber" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 260.0
Price History:
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.4500
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.5500
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0100
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.9900
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0045
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9955
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528960
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Subscriber" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 260.0
Price History:
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.4500
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.5500
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0100
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.9900
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0045
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9955
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528961
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Common Sense" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 472.609658
Price History:
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.8000
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.2000
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.9700
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0300
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9955
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0045
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528961
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Common Sense" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 472.609658
Price History:
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.8000
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.2000
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.9700
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0300
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9955
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0045
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528962
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1610.857141
Price History:
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.4150
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.5850
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9965
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528962
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1610.857141
Price History:
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.4150
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.5850
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9965
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528963
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 219.78
Price History:
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.5150
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.4850
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0245
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9755
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0245
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528963
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 219.78
Price History:
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.5150
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.4850
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0245
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9755
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0245
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528952
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Astronaut" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1498.125
Price History:
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.5100
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.4900
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9960
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528952
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Astronaut" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1498.125
Price History:
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.5100
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.4900
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9960
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528955
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1606.120297
Price History:
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.8150
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.1850
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9980
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528955
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1606.120297
Price History:
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.8150
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.1850
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9980
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528953
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15.0
Price History:
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.5050
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.4950
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.4650
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.5350
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.4650
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.5350
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0050
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528953
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 15.0
Price History:
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.5050
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.4950
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.4650
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.5350
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.4650
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.5350
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0050
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528950
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Putin" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 213.832564
Price History:
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.4250
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.5750
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0250
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9750
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528950
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Putin" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 213.832564
Price History:
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.4250
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.5750
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0250
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9750
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528951
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 318.082207
Price History:
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.9000
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.1000
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9750
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0250
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528951
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Go ahead" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 318.082207
Price History:
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.9000
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.1000
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9750
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0250
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528956
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive Order" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15.0
Price History:
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.6500
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.3500
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.4000
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.6000
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.4000
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.6000
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0050
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528956
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive Order" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 15.0
Price History:
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.6500
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.3500
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.4000
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.6000
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.4000
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.6000
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0050
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757704
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Volume: 7350.858797
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879, Buy volume: 29763.02, Sell volume: 3197.91, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.5000
2025-01-06 14:00: 0.4550
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.4700
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.4450
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.4750
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.5050
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.4350
2025-01-07 02:00: 0.4450
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.4400
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.4400
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.4350
2025-01-07 10:00: 0.4450
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.4300
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.4250
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.4250
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.4250
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.4100
2025-01-07 22:00: 0.4100
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.4100
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.3800
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.3700
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.3750
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.3700
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.3750
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.4050
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.3800
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.3750
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.3800
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.3700
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.3650
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.3750
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.3700
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.3800
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.3850
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.3800
2025-01-09 10:00: 0.3600
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.3800
2025-01-09 14:00: 0.3800
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.4100
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.4350
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.4400
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.4450
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.4400
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.4400
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.4350
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.4400
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.4350
2025-01-10 10:00: 0.4800
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.5050
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 132546050.90, Sell volume: 122159608.93, Average price: 0.7224, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.4850
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.4700
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.4800
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.4950
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.5050
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.5350
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.5400
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.5350
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.5400
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.5500
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.5600
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.5600
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.5600
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.5600
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.5600
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.5600
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.5750
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.5950
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.5700
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.5700
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.5700
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.5700
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.5700
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.5700
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.5700
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.5700
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.5700
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.5800
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.5850
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.5950
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.5850
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.5850
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.5850
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.5850
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.5750
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.5850
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.5850
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.6100
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.6250
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.6300
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.6300
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.6600
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.6850
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.6900
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.7350
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.7800
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.7800
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 132546050.90, Sell volume: 122159608.93, Average price: 0.7224, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.7700
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.7700
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.7700
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.7700
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.7700
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.7750
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.7650
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.7000
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.6650
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.7050
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.6850
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.6900
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.7100
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.7250
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.7200
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.7250
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.7200
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.7000
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.7250
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.7400
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.7400
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.7450
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.7250
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.7200
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.7150
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.7200
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.7100
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.7050
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.7050
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.7000
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.6750
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.6650
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.6600
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.6600
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.6550
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.6500
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.6400
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.6200
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.6500
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.6550
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.6600
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.6550
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.6550
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.6700
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.6700
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.6700
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.6650
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.6650
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 132546050.90, Sell volume: 122159608.93, Average price: 0.7224, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.6900
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.7150
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.7400
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.7400
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.7350
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.7400
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.7500
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.7500
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.7650
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.7700
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.7850
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.7900
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.8050
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.8000
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.7950
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.7950
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.8000
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.8050
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.8100
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.8050
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.8250
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.8200
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.8050
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.8000
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.8050
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.8050
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.8050
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.8050
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.8050
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.8050
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.8050
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.8050
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.8050
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.8050
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.7950
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.8000
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.8150
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.8050
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.8150
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.8150
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.8050
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.8200
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.8250
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.8200
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.8200
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.8200
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.8200
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 132546050.90, Sell volume: 122159608.93, Average price: 0.7224, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.8250
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.8250
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.8350
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.8350
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.8350
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.8400
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.8400
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.8350
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.8350
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.8400
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.8450
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.8450
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.8500
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.8450
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.8500
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.8400
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.8300
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.8400
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.8400
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.8450
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.8450
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.8450
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.8550
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.8550
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.8500
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.8450
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.8500
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.8550
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.8600
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.8750
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.8750
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.8750
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.8750
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.8750
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.8750
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.8750
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.8750
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.8900
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.8850
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.8950
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.9050
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.9000
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.9050
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.8950
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.8950
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.8950
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.8950
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.8950
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.8950
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 132546050.90, Sell volume: 122159608.93, Average price: 0.7224, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.9150
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.9150
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.9150
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.9150
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.9150
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.9150
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.9150
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.9150
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.9150
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.9150
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.9150
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.9150
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.9150
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.9150
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.9150
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.9150
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.9150
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.9150
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.9150
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.9150
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.9150
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.9150
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9150
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.9150
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.9150
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.9300
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.9300
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.9350
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.9300
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.9300
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.9300
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.9300
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.9250
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.9350
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.9350
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.9300
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.9300
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.9300
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.9250
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.9250
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.9250
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.9250
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.9250
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.9200
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.9250
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.9200
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.9350
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 132546050.90, Sell volume: 122159608.93, Average price: 0.7224, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9200
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9200
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9250
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.9250
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.9200
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.9200
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.9250
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.9250
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.9250
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.9050
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.9050
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9050
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.9050
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.9050
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.9050
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9050
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.9000
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.9000
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.9000
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.8950
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.9050
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.9050
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.9050
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.9050
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9050
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.9050
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.9050
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.8950
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.8950
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.8950
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.8950
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.9050
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.9050
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.9050
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.9050
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.8950
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.9000
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9000
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9000
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.8950
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9000
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 132546050.90, Sell volume: 122159608.93, Average price: 0.7224, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9100
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9100
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9100
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9100
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9100
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9100
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9100
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9100
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9100
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9100
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9100
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.9150
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.9150
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.9150
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.9150
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9150
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9150
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9150
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9150
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9250
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9250
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.9250
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.9250
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.9250
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.9250
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.9250
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.9250
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.9250
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9250
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9250
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9250
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9250
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9600
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.9600
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9550
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9550
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.9650
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.9645
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.9670
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.9685
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.9545
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.9550
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.9550
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.9545
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.9440
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.9425
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.9375
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.9440
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.9465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 132546050.90, Sell volume: 122159608.93, Average price: 0.7224, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.9370
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.9365
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.9435
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.9460
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.9480
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.9515
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.9520
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9515
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9525
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.9600
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.9645
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.9665
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.9690
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.9685
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9685
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.9690
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.9695
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9700
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.9700
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.9695
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.9685
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.9695
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.9695
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9695
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.9695
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.9660
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.9665
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.9665
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.9640
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.9630
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.9635
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.9630
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.9635
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.9585
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.9590
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9590
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.9585
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.9575
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.9575
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.9575
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.9640
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.9640
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9640
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.9615
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.9595
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.9595
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.9595
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.9600
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.9625
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.9615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 132546050.90, Sell volume: 122159608.93, Average price: 0.7224, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.9475
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.9475
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9505
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.9515
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.9510
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.9515
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.9515
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.9495
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9495
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9485
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.9490
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9485
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.9515
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.9515
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.9485
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.9455
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.9445
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.9445
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.9465
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.9460
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9465
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.9465
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.9465
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.9475
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.9475
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.9420
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.9425
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.9440
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.9465
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.9475
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.9475
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.9480
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.9480
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.9465
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.9470
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.9475
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.9480
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.9475
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.9485
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.9480
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.9475
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.9470
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.9360
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.9335
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.9335
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.9345
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.9345
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.9295
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.9295
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.9295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33966, Buy volume: 1019409.72, Sell volume: 604994.40, Average price: 0.8257, Price range: 0.0690 - 0.9290

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.9255
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.9285
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.9250
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.9295
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.9295
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.9295
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.9345
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.9380
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.9390
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.9390
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.9390
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.9395
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.9405
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.9420
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.9410
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.9395
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.9235
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.9280
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.9385
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.9440
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.9415
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.9425
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.9390
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.9390
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.9355
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9390
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9435
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.9405
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.9480
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.9510
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.9690
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.9715
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.9790
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.9765
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.9750
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.9765
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.9760
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.9760
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.9730
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.9730
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.9765
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.9720
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.9755
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.9620
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.9655
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.9665
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.9665
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.9680
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.9690
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 961041, Buy volume: 131310660.47, Sell volume: 121405147.74, Average price: 0.7178, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9720
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.9740
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.9765
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9735
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.9740
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9630
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.9725
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.9705
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9635
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.9630
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9615
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.9610
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.9670
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.9690
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.9685
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.9700
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9690
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9715
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.9725
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.9600
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.9590
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.9595
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9585
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.9575
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.9585
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9640
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9665
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.9670
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9680
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9665
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9670
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9645
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.9685
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.9610
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.9600
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9580
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.9630
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.9625
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.9630
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.9620
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9665
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.9685
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9700
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9720
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9750
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9705
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.9745
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.9760
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.9765
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 703, Buy volume: 45514.69, Sell volume: 30135.24, Average price: 0.7875, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9791

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9595
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.9610
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.9605
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9595
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9570
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9555
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.9580
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9655
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.9565
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9575
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.9620
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.9610
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.9605
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.9640
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9665
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9730
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.9755
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9755
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9770
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9680
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9625
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9595
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.9645
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9545
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.9525
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9530
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.9535
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9515
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.9560
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.9675
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9680
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.9675
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.9710
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.9655
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.9660
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9740
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9710
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.9700
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9685
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9650
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9635
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.9655
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9665
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.9695
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.9700
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9710
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.9755
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.9725
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.9690
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 272, Buy volume: 94825.58, Sell volume: 19093.62, Average price: 0.7836, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.5000
2025-01-06 15:00: 0.4800
2025-01-06 19:00: 0.4450
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.4950
2025-01-07 02:00: 0.4450
2025-01-07 05:00: 0.5550
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.4450
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.5700
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.4250
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.5950
2025-01-07 23:00: 0.4100
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.6200
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.3750
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.6250
2025-01-08 13:00: 0.4050
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.6250
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.3700
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.6350
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.3800
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.6150
2025-01-09 10:00: 0.3600
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.6200
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.4200
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.5600
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.4400
2025-01-10 03:00: 0.5650
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.4350
2025-01-10 10:00: 0.5200
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.4850
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 132546050.90, Sell volume: 122159608.93, Average price: 0.7224, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.4850
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.5250
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.5250
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.4650
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.5350
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.4550
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.5550
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.4400
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.5600
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.4250
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.5700
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.4300
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.5700
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.4300
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.5700
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.4300
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.5850
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.4050
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.5850
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.5750
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.4150
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.6050
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.3750
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.6300
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.3150
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.7000
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.2200
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.7850
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 132546050.90, Sell volume: 122159608.93, Average price: 0.7224, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.7700
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.2300
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.7700
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.2250
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.3250
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.7150
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.3100
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.7250
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.2750
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.7150
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.2750
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.7400
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.2600
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.7100
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.2800
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.7050
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.3000
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.6250
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.3400
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.6550
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.3600
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.6250
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.3450
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.6550
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.3350
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.6700
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.6600
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 132546050.90, Sell volume: 122159608.93, Average price: 0.7224, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.6900
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.2700
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.7300
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.2600
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.7500
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.2050
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.7850
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.1950
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.7950
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.2000
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.8100
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.1950
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.8200
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.1950
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.8050
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.1950
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.8050
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.1950
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.8050
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.1950
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.8000
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.1900
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.8150
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.1850
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.8100
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.1750
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.8200
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.1800
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.8200
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 132546050.90, Sell volume: 122159608.93, Average price: 0.7224, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.8250
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.1750
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.8350
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.1600
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.8350
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.1650
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.8450
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.1500
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.8500
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.1600
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.8400
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.1550
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.8450
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.1450
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.8500
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.1500
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.8600
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.1250
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.8750
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.1250
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.8750
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.1250
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.8850
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.0950
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.9050
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.1050
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.8950
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.1050
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.8950
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 132546050.90, Sell volume: 122159608.93, Average price: 0.7224, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.9150
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.0850
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.9150
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.0850
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.9150
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0850
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.9150
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.0850
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.9150
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0850
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.9150
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.0850
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.9150
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0850
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.9150
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0700
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0650
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.9300
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.0700
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.9350
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0650
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.9300
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.9250
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0750
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.9250
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.0800
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.9350
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 132546050.90, Sell volume: 122159608.93, Average price: 0.7224, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0750
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0750
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0800
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.9250
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0800
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.9250
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0750
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.9050
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0950
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.9050
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0950
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9000
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.1000
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.9050
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0950
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9050
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.8950
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.1050
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.9050
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.9050
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.1000
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.8950
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.1050
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9050
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 132546050.90, Sell volume: 122159608.93, Average price: 0.7224, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9100
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0900
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9100
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0900
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9100
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0900
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.9100
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.0850
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.9150
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0850
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9150
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0850
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9250
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0750
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9250
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0750
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.9250
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0750
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9250
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0400
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9550
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0355
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.9645
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0315
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.9550
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0455
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.9440
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.0625
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.9465
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 132546050.90, Sell volume: 122159608.93, Average price: 0.7224, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.9370
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.0565
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.9475
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0485
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9515
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0415
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.9650
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0310
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9685
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0305
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9700
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.0305
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.9695
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0305
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9695
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.0335
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.9640
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.0365
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.9635
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0415
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9590
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0425
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9575
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0360
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9640
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0405
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.9595
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.0400
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.9615
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 132546050.90, Sell volume: 122159608.93, Average price: 0.7224, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.9475
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0530
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9510
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0485
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.9495
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0505
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.9485
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0485
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.9485
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0575
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.9450
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0540
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.9465
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0525
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.9475
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.0575
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.9465
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.0525
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.9480
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.0535
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.9475
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.0525
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.9480
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.0525
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.9360
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.0665
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.9345
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.0705
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.9295
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.0730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33966, Buy volume: 1019409.72, Sell volume: 604994.40, Average price: 0.8257, Price range: 0.0690 - 0.9290
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.9255
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.0715
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.9310
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.0705
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.9380
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.0610
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.9390
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.0595
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.9410
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.9380
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.0560
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.9425
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.0620
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.9360
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0565
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.9480
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.0490
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.9780
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.0235
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.9765
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0240
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.9745
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.0235
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.9755
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.0350
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.9660
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.0320
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.9650
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 961041, Buy volume: 131310660.47, Sell volume: 121405147.74, Average price: 0.7178, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9720
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0265
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.9745
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0370
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.9705
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0375
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.9615
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.0330
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.9685
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0280
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9680
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0400
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.9595
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0425
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.9595
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0335
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9680
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0330
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.9680
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0390
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9580
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0370
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.9620
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0335
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9700
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0255
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.9715
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0240
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9705
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 703, Buy volume: 45514.69, Sell volume: 30135.24, Average price: 0.7875, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9791
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517554
Question: Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 863664.134897
Price History:
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9595
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0395
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9570
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0445
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9655
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0455
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9610
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0395
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9665
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0265
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9770
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0320
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9595
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0450
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9530
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.0465
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.9560
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0325
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9680
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.0345
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9740
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0260
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.9650
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0365
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9665
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0300
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.9735
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0275
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.9725
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 272, Buy volume: 94825.58, Sell volume: 19093.62, Average price: 0.7836, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes