Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.86, Sell volume: 1.85, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.86, Sell volume: 1.85, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.86, Sell volume: 1.85, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.86, Sell volume: 1.85, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.1000
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.1000
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.1000
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.1000
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.1000
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.86, Sell volume: 1.85, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9000
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9000
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9000
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.1000
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9000
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.1000
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.1000
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9000
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.1000
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.1000
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.1000
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.1000
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.1000
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9000
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9000
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.1000
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.1000
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.1000
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9000
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9000
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1000
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9000
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9000
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9000
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9000
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.86, Sell volume: 1.85, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9000
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9000
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9000
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9000
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9000
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9000
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9000
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9000
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9000
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9000
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.86, Sell volume: 1.85, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9000
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9000
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9000
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.1000
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9000
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9000
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9000
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9000
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9000
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9000
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9000
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9000
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9000
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9000
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.85, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.1000
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.1000
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.1000
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.1000
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.1000
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.1000
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.1000
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.86, Sell volume: 1.85, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.86, Sell volume: 1.85, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.86, Sell volume: 1.85, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.86, Sell volume: 1.85, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.86, Sell volume: 1.85, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.86, Sell volume: 1.85, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.86, Sell volume: 1.85, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.86, Sell volume: 1.85, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630831
Question: Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.707133
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.1000
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.1000
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.1000
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.1000
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.1000
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.1000
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.1000
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.86, Sell volume: 1.85, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.5000
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.5000
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.5050
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.0700
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.3600
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.6250
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.1800
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.8050
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.1800
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.8450
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.2900
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.6600
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.3300
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.6500
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.3450
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.7500
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.3450
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.6900
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.2700
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.7700
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.3400
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.6600
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.3600
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.6250
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.3800
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.6100
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.3850
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.7450
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.2500
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.6750
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.3250
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.6750
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.4150
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.6300
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.3900
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.5800
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.3500
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.6400
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.5750
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.4250
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.5800
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.4200
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.5850
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.4900
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 1314.05, Sell volume: 287.71, Average price: 0.5443, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.4350
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.5550
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.4450
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.5550
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.4450
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.5850
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.5400
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.4600
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.5450
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.4600
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.5400
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.4700
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.5400
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.4600
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.5550
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.4450
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.6250
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.3900
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.6200
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.3700
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.6300
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.3600
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.5450
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.4650
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.5350
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.4250
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.6500
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.4000
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.5800
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.3750
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.6100
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.3800
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.6350
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.3400
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.6600
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.3450
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.6600
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.3450
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.7000
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.3500
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.6700
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.3300
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.6550
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.3400
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.6750
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.3550
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.7200
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.2550
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.6650
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 146.71, Sell volume: 137.62, Average price: 0.4725, Price range: 0.2945 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.3100
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.6700
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.2950
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.6700
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.3250
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.7000
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.2950
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.7300
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.3150
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.6800
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.2900
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.7250
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.2800
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.7200
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.2700
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.7300
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.2700
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.7250
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.2750
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.7250
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.2700
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.7300
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.2700
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.7300
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.2700
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.7300
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.2800
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.7150
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.2850
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.7150
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.2700
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.7350
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.2700
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.7300
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.2850
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.7150
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.2750
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.7100
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.2850
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.7200
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.2850
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.7150
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.2750
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.7100
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.2850
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.7250
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.2750
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.7150
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.2650
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 13.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3600, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.3600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.7350
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.4300
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.5450
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.4500
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.4550
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.4300
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.5450
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.4550
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.5450
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.4750
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.5750
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.4100
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.5900
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.3750
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.6350
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.3650
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.6350
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.3650
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.6350
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.3750
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.6150
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.3900
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.6100
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.3850
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.5850
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.3950
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.6050
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.4000
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.5950
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.4000
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.6000
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.4050
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.5900
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.4250
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.5900
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.5800
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.5650
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.4350
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.5650
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.4250
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.5750
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.4150
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.5850
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.4150
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.5850
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.4250
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.5950
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.4200
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.5800
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 34.65, Sell volume: 41.01, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.4250
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.5750
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.4150
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.5900
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.5800
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.4050
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.5800
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.4150
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.5800
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.5900
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.4150
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.5850
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.4150
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.5950
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.4050
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.5950
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.4150
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.5950
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.4050
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.5850
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.4250
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.5850
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.4200
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.5750
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.4300
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.5750
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.4250
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.5900
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.4100
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.5900
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.4100
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.5900
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.4650
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.5350
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.4650
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.5350
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.4650
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.5300
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.4700
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.5350
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.4650
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.5350
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.4650
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.5350
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.4650
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.5350
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.4700
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 37.26, Average price: 0.2900, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.3500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.5150
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.4800
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.5150
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.4900
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.5150
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.4850
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.5150
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.4900
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.5450
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.4800
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.5100
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.4550
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.5400
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.4700
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.5250
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.4650
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.5550
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.4600
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.5400
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.4750
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.5300
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.4950
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.5000
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.5150
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.5050
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.5200
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.3550
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.5350
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.4650
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.5200
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.4950
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.5100
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.5150
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.4600
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.6000
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.4650
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.4850
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.5100
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.4750
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.4900
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.5100
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.4900
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.5200
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.4800
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.4700
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.5350
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.4700
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.5150
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.4750
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 36.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5934, Price range: 0.5068 - 0.6800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.4400
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.5550
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.5150
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.4950
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.4850
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.6100
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.5050
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.5250
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.4200
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.5700
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.4600
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.5250
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.5300
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.3650
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.7250
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.1350
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.5500
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.2100
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.7050
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.4000
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.3050
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.6900
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.3050
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.6950
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.2600
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.9000
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0750
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.2350
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.7700
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.2300
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.7700
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.4000
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.5900
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.4100
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.5900
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.4100
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.3200
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.7500
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.1600
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.8100
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.1700
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.8250
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.2250
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.8350
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.2000
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.9800
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.0450
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.9460
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.9330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 2708.29, Sell volume: 1132.80, Average price: 0.5203, Price range: 0.0768 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.8660
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.0680
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.9000
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.1010
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.8960
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.0985
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.8995
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.0480
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.9465
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0515
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.9345
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.0655
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.9385
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.0680
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.9405
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.0525
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.9435
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.0550
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.9385
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.0675
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.7500
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.1715
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.8655
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.1115
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.9065
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.2385
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.8115
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.0545
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.8190
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.0585
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.8340
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.1720
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.9320
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.0225
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.9265
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.1275
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.9585
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0400
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.9550
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0530
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.9560
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.0425
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.9615
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0415
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.9760
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.0220
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.9600
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0350
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9675
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1730.49, Sell volume: 378.24, Average price: 0.3915, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.0300
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.9705
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.2005
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.4935
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.2610
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.7430
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.2650
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.7465
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.2625
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.7380
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.3465
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.3315
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.6375
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.3990
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.6010
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.3990
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.6010
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.0560
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9860
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0255
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.9755
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0080
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9815
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0220
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.9915
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0030
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.9975
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.9975
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9965
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0035
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9965
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.9965
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0040
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.9960
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0040
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.9960
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0040
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 5591.95, Sell volume: 4400.03, Average price: 0.3655, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.9940
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0060
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.9940
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0265
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9745
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0250
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.9930
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0110
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9915
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0100
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.9900
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0100
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9960
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0040
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.9960
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0040
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9960
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0040
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.9960
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.0040
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.9960
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0040
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.9960
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0040
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.9960
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0455
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9535
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.0475
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.9500
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0375
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9520
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0385
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9515
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0465
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.9530
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0440
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.9560
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0475
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.9490
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0500
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.9495
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0495
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.9535
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.0520
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.9585
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0510
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.9485
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0530
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.9395
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 164.21, Sell volume: 1509.64, Average price: 0.7596, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.0520
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9380
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.0505
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.9495
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0505
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.9515
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.0490
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.9480
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0535
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.9500
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.0550
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.9530
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.0450
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.9570
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.0430
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.9500
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0480
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.9510
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.0395
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.9670
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.0320
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.9665
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.0350
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.9650
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0365
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.9545
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.0425
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.9570
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.0375
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.9585
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.0420
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.9570
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.0445
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.9565
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.0535
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.9535
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.0495
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.9545
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.0460
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.9570
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.0445
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.9525
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.0470
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.9605
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.0440
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.9635
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.0405
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.9585
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.0380
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.9595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 3.65, Sell volume: 151.47, Average price: 0.7692, Price range: 0.0122 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.9600
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.0405
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.9645
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.0395
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.9645
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.0375
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.9555
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.0370
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.9605
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.0385
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.9605
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.0455
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.9585
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.0430
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.9635
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.0375
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.9590
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0435
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.9655
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.0505
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9565
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.0440
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.9655
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.0385
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.9650
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.0355
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.9645
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.0455
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.9610
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.0415
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.9585
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.0375
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.9655
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.0425
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.9645
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.0430
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.9655
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.0380
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.9680
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0445
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9565
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0435
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.9595
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.0380
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.9645
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.0380
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.9655
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.0400
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.9640
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 221, Buy volume: 34295.94, Sell volume: 8085.78, Average price: 0.5241, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9989

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0410
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.9570
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0430
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9570
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0340
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.9680
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0320
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.9610
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.0405
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.9675
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.0340
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9685
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.0380
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.9630
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.0415
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.9680
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.0415
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.9625
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.0370
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9645
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0410
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.9590
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0355
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.9610
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.0410
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.9630
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.0430
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.9570
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.0385
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9690
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.0375
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.9670
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0415
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.9575
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.0390
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.9580
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.0425
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.9575
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0430
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.9560
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.0370
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.9605
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.0360
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.9595
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.0390
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.9595
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.0385
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9610
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0385
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.9595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.42, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4995, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.1000
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.1150
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1150
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.1150
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.8850
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.8850
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.8850
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.8850
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.8850
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.8850
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.8850
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.1150
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.8850
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8850
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.1150
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.8850
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.8850
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.8850
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.8850
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.8900
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.8900
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2.22, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.8933, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 8.54, Sell volume: 2.87, Average price: 0.8957, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.87, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.1050
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 8.54, Sell volume: 2.87, Average price: 0.8957, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 8.54, Sell volume: 2.87, Average price: 0.8957, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 8.54, Sell volume: 2.87, Average price: 0.8957, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 8.54, Sell volume: 2.87, Average price: 0.8957, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 8.54, Sell volume: 2.87, Average price: 0.8957, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 8.54, Sell volume: 2.87, Average price: 0.8957, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 8.54, Sell volume: 2.87, Average price: 0.8957, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.5000
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.5150
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.3600
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.2150
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.1850
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.1550
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.3300
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.3300
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.3600
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.3600
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.3100
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.2500
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.3400
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.3750
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.3800
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.3900
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.3300
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.2500
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.3250
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.3250
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.3700
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.4100
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.3500
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.4200
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.4250
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.4200
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 1314.05, Sell volume: 287.71, Average price: 0.5443, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.4350
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.4450
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.4450
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.4450
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.5400
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.5450
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.5400
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.5300
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.5400
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.5550
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.6250
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.6250
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.6300
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.6300
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.5350
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.5350
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.5900
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.6000
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.6400
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.6700
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.6350
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.6550
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.6550
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.7200
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.7150
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.6700
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.6600
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.6600
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.6750
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 146.71, Sell volume: 137.62, Average price: 0.4725, Price range: 0.2945 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.3100
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.3400
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.3500
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.3000
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.3150
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.3150
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.3400
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.2800
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.2800
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.2700
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.2700
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.2750
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.2750
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.2700
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.2700
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.2700
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.2700
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.2850
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.2850
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.2800
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.2700
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.2850
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.2750
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.2900
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.2900
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.2850
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.2850
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.2800
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.2750
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 13.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3600, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.3600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.7350
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.5550
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.5500
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.5100
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.5450
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.5450
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.5250
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.5900
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.5950
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.6400
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.6350
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.6350
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.6250
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.6100
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.6150
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.5850
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.6050
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.6000
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.6000
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.6000
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.5900
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.5900
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.4200
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.5650
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.5650
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.5750
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.5850
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.5850
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.5800
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 34.65, Sell volume: 41.01, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.4250
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.4250
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.4150
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.4200
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.4150
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.4150
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.4200
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.4150
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.4150
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.4050
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.4150
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.4050
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.4150
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.4150
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.4200
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.4300
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.4200
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.4100
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.4100
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.4100
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.4150
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.4650
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.4650
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.4650
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.4700
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.4700
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.4650
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.4650
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 37.26, Average price: 0.2900, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.3500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.5150
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.5200
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.5100
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.5150
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.5150
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.5450
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.5600
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.5450
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.5250
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.5300
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.5550
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.5400
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.5250
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.5050
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.5050
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.5050
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.3800
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.4650
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.4350
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.5500
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.5150
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.6000
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.5350
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.4800
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.4650
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.5100
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.5300
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.5200
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.4850
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 36.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5934, Price range: 0.5068 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.4400
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.5150
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.4800
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.3900
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.5050
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.4200
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.4500
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.5100
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.6350
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.7250
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.5500
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.7050
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.3000
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.3100
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.3000
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.2600
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.7650
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.7700
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.6000
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.5900
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.5900
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.5900
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.2500
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.2350
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.1700
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.1850
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.2550
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.0200
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 2708.29, Sell volume: 1132.80, Average price: 0.5203, Price range: 0.0768 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.8660
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.8620
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.8990
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.9040
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.9030
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.9465
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.9480
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.9345
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.9470
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.9495
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.9435
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.9510
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.9325
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.7910
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.8845
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.9065
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.7830
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.9455
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.9395
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.8855
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.9320
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.8680
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.8725
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.9595
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.9580
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.9560
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.9580
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.9585
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.9760
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1730.49, Sell volume: 378.24, Average price: 0.3915, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.0300
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.1985
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5065
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.2570
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.2635
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.2625
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.3375
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.2985
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.3625
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.3990
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.3990
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.1175
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0080
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0245
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.2490
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0220
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0045
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0040
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 5591.95, Sell volume: 4400.03, Average price: 0.3655, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.9940
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.9940
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9735
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9750
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9915
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9915
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.9925
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.9900
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9960
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9960
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9960
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9960
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9960
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9960
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9960
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.9960
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.9605
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.9525
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9530
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.9500
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9515
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.9530
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.9560
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9500
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.9515
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.9495
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.9560
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9480
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.9540
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 164.21, Sell volume: 1509.64, Average price: 0.7596, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.0520
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.0505
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0505
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.0485
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.0575
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0535
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.0500
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.0445
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.0430
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.0470
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0480
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0490
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.0325
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.0335
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.0325
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0365
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.0425
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.0400
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.0415
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.0435
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.0445
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.0445
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.0435
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.0455
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.0460
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.0445
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.0415
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.0370
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.0365
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.0405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 3.65, Sell volume: 151.47, Average price: 0.7692, Price range: 0.0122 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.9600
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.9550
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.9605
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.9565
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.9565
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.9605
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.9625
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.9545
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.9645
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.9660
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.9590
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.9580
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.9495
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.9525
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.9610
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.9650
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9640
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.9545
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.9620
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.9555
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.9655
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.9590
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.9570
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.9660
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.9625
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9565
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.9580
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.9620
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.9660
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.9615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 221, Buy volume: 34295.94, Sell volume: 8085.78, Average price: 0.5241, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9989
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518879
Question: Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?
Volume: 42381.719415
Price History:
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0410
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.0430
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.0430
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.0320
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0370
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.0405
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0345
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.0335
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0370
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.0365
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.0415
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.0410
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0445
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.0410
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.0415
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.0410
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.0420
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0410
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0310
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.0360
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0415
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.0360
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.0400
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.0425
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0435
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.0370
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.0350
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.0375
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.0405
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.0405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.42, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4995, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1150
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.8850
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.8850
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.8850
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.1150
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8850
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.8850
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.8850
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.8900
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.1100
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.1100
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.8900
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2.22, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.8933, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 8.54, Sell volume: 2.87, Average price: 0.8957, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.87, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 8.54, Sell volume: 2.87, Average price: 0.8957, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 8.54, Sell volume: 2.87, Average price: 0.8957, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 8.54, Sell volume: 2.87, Average price: 0.8957, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 8.54, Sell volume: 2.87, Average price: 0.8957, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 8.54, Sell volume: 2.87, Average price: 0.8957, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 8.54, Sell volume: 2.87, Average price: 0.8957, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630832
Question: Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 11.41443
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 8.54, Sell volume: 2.87, Average price: 0.8957, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757699
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 19045.119707
Price History:
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 660, Buy volume: 21422.57, Sell volume: 3254.55, Average price: 0.6145, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757699
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 19045.119707
Price History:
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 660, Buy volume: 21422.57, Sell volume: 3254.55, Average price: 0.6145, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757699
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 19045.119707
Price History:
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 660, Buy volume: 21422.57, Sell volume: 3254.55, Average price: 0.6145, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757699
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 19045.119707
Price History:
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 660, Buy volume: 21422.57, Sell volume: 3254.55, Average price: 0.6145, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757699
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 19045.119707
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 14.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757699
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 19045.119707
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 14.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757699
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 19045.119707
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 14.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5100

Output: No