Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520732
Question: Will Stephen Miller be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 161752.542995
Price History:
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9980
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0020
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9980
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0020
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9980
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0020
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.9980
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0020
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.9980
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0020
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9980
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0020
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9980
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0020
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9980
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0020
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9980
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0020
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9980
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9985
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9985
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520732
Question: Will Stephen Miller be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 161752.542995
Price History:
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9985
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9985
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9985
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9985
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9985
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9985
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9985
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9985
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9985
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9985
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9985
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9985
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9985
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520732
Question: Will Stephen Miller be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 161752.542995
Price History:
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520732
Question: Will Stephen Miller be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 161752.542995
Price History:
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4800
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5200
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.2450
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.7550
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 125.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9853, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.1695
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.8305
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.8505
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.1495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 464.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7852, Price range: 0.0279 - 0.9790

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.8785
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.1215
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0940
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9060
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0990
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9010
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.8360
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.1640
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.8535
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.1465
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.1430
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.8570
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.8315
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.1685
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.8885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 481.34, Sell volume: 72.04, Average price: 0.5514, Price range: 0.0510 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.1115
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9555
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0445
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9595
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0405
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9550
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0450
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9550
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0450
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.8990
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.1010
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.1390
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.8610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1501.93, Sell volume: 153.40, Average price: 0.5384, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.1450
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.8550
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.8420
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.1580
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.8630
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.1370
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.8985
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.1015
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.8970
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.1030
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9010
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0990
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.1015
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.8985
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.8935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 408.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4172, Price range: 0.1240 - 0.8978

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.1065
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.8890
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.1110
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.1140
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.8860
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.8865
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.1135
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.8880
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.1120
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9145
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0855
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9175
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0825
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 162.98, Sell volume: 99.19, Average price: 0.3968, Price range: 0.0986 - 0.9480

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9140
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0860
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0860
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9140
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9105
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0895
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0835
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9165
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.1080
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.8920
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.1080
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.8920
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.8335
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.1665
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.1255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 746.82, Sell volume: 13.60, Average price: 0.3267, Price range: 0.0920 - 0.9580

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.8745
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.1455
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.8545
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.1525
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.8475
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.1465
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.8535
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.1520
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.8480
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.1495
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.8505
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 209.05, Sell volume: 202.59, Average price: 0.6396, Price range: 0.0860 - 0.9140

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9140
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0860
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.1395
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.8605
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.1055
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.8945
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.1485
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.8515
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.1560
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.8440
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.1710
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.8290
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.1465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1384.44, Sell volume: 805.26, Average price: 0.4082, Price range: 0.0840 - 0.9160

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.8535
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.1440
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.8560
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.1405
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.8595
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.1500
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.8500
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.1595
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.8405
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.1630
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.8370
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.1450
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.8550
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.1505
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.8495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1026.40, Sell volume: 369.12, Average price: 0.5484, Price range: 0.1140 - 0.8890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.1565
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.8435
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.1765
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.8235
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.2310
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.7690
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.3270
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.6730
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.3185
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.6815
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.2495
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.7505
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.2485
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.7515
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.2515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 218.74, Sell volume: 303.38, Average price: 0.2749, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.7485
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.3130
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.6870
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.3175
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.6825
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.3425
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.6575
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.2800
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.7100
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.2900
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.8100
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.1900
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.1925
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.8075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 1553.20, Sell volume: 855.86, Average price: 0.4834, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.8200
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.1800
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.8560
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.1440
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.8400
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.1600
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.7915
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.2085
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.1740
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.8260
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.7875
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.2125
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.2260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 4843.25, Sell volume: 1690.21, Average price: 0.5878, Price range: 0.1330 - 0.8811

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.1900
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.8100
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0255
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.9745
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0255
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.9745
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.0255
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.9745
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0250
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.9750
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.0250
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.9750
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.0265
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.9735
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0265
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.9735
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.0265
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.9735
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.0265
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.9735
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0270
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.9730
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0270
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.9730
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0270
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.9730
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0270
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.9730
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.0270
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.9730
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.0275
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.9725
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0295
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.9705
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.0300
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.9700
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.0300
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.9700
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0310
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.9690
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.0315
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.9685
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.0320
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.9680
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0320
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.9680
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.0315
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.9685
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.0320
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.9680
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0320
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.9680
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.0325
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.9675
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.0320
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.9680
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0315
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.9685
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.0325
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.9675
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0315
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.9685
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0320
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.9680
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.0325
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.9675
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0325
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.9675
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0325
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.9675
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.0320
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.9680
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.0325
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.9675
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0325
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.9675
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0320
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.9680
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0320
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.9680
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0320
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.9680
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.0320
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.9680
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.0320
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.9680
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0325
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.9675
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.0320
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.9680
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0320
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.9680
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.0320
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.9680
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.0320
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.9680
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0330
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.9670
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0330
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.9670
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0335
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.9665
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0325
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.9675
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0325
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.9675
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.0330
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.9670
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0335
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.9665
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0330
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.9670
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.0335
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.9665
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0330
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.9670
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0370
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.9630
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.0255
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.9745
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0375
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.9625
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0375
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.9625
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.0345
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.9655
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0415
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.9585
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0335
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.9665
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0340
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.9660
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0345
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.9655
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.0330
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.9670
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0335
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.9665
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0260
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.9740
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0245
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.9755
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.0245
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.9755
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0245
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.9725
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0295
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.9705
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.0555
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.9445
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0535
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.9465
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0555
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9445
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0515
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.9485
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0460
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.9540
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0470
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.9530
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0440
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.9560
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0530
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.9470
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0465
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.9535
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0555
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.9445
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0560
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.9440
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0565
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.9435
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.0570
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.9430
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0575
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.9425
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.0575
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.9425
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0580
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.9420
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.0470
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.9530
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0495
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.9505
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.0475
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.9525
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0510
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.9490
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.0520
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.9480
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0520
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.9480
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0520
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.9480
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0540
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0570
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.9430
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0540
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.9460
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0545
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.9455
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0565
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.9435
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0540
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.9460
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0545
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.9455
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0540
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.9460
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0550
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.9450
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0550
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.9450
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0555
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.9445
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0475
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.9525
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0480
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.9520
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0470
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.9530
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0440
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.9560
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.0440
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.9560
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0435
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.9565
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.0450
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.9550
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.0405
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.9595
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.0440
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.9560
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0435
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.9565
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.0435
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.9565
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.0450
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.9550
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.0445
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.9555
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.0440
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.9560
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.0450
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.9545
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.0450
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.9550
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0455
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.9545
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.0450
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.9550
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.0240
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.9760
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.0190
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.9810
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.0335
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.9665
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.0115
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.9885
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.0065
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9935
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0065
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.9935
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0065
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.9935
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.0040
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.9960
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0040
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.9960
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.0040
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.9960
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.0040
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.9960
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0040
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.9960
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.0040
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.9960
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.9985
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.9985
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0020
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9980
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0020
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9980
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0020
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9980
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0020
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9980
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0020
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9980
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0020
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9980
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9985
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9985
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.9985
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.9985
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.9985
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.9985
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.9985
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.9985
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.9985
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0020
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.9980
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0020
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.9980
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.9985
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.9985
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0020
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.9980
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0020
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.9980
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0020
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.9980
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0020
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.9980
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0020
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.9980
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0020
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9980
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.9985
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.9985
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.9985
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.9985
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.9985
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.9985
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9985
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.9985
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0050
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.9950
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.0040
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.9960
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0040
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.9960
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0055
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9945
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0055
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9945
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0055
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9945
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.9945
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0050
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9950
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.9945
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0050
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9950
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9955
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.9955
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0050
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9950
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9955
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.9955
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0050
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.9950
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0040
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9960
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.9955
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0035
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.9965
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0030
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9970
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0035
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.9965
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0035
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.9965
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0035
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.9965
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0035
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.9965
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0035
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.9965
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0035
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9965
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.0035
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.9965
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9955
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0050
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9950
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0050
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9950
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0070
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.9930
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0065
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.9935
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0065
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9935
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0065
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9935
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0065
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9935
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0060
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9940
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0060
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9940
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0045
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9955
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0040
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.9960
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0040
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9960
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0040
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9960
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0035
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9965
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0035
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9965
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0030
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.9970
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0030
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.9970
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0030
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9970
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.0030
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9970
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0030
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.9970
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0030
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9970
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0030
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9970
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0030
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.9970
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9970
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0030
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9970
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0030
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9970
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0010
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9990
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0010
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9990
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0010
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.9990
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0010
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9990
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0010
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0020
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9980
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0020
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9980
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0020
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9980
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9970
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0010
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9990
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0010
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9990
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0010
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.9990
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0010
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.9990
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0010
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.9990
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0010
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.9990
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0010
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.9990
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0010
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.9990
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0010
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.9990
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0010
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.9990
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0010
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.1900
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.8100
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0255
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.9745
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0255
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.9745
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.0255
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.9745
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0250
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.9750
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.0250
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.9750
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.0265
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.9735
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0265
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.9735
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.0265
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.9735
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.0265
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.9735
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0270
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.9730
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0270
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.9730
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0270
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.9730
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0270
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.9730
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.9685
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.0320
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.9680
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0320
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.9680
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.0325
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.9675
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.0320
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.9680
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0315
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.9685
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.0325
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.9675
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0315
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.9685
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0320
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.9680
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.0325
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.9675
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0325
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.9675
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0325
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.9675
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.0320
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.9680
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.0325
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.9675
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0325
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.9675
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0320
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0330
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.9670
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0330
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.9670
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0335
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.9665
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0325
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.9675
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0325
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.9675
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.0330
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.9670
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0335
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.9665
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0330
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.9670
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.0335
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.9665
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0330
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.9670
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0370
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.9630
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.0255
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.9745
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0375
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.9625
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0375
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.9625
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.0345
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.9725
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0295
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.9705
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.0555
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.9445
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0535
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.9465
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0555
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9445
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0515
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.9485
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0460
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.9540
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0470
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.9530
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0440
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.9560
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0530
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.9470
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0465
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.9535
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0555
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.9445
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0560
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.9440
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0565
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.9435
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.0570
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.9430
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0575
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0570
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.9430
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0540
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.9460
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0545
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.9455
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0565
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.9435
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0540
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.9460
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0545
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.9455
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0540
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.9460
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0550
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.9450
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0550
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.9450
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0555
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.9445
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0475
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.9525
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0480
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.9520
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0470
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.9530
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0440
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.9560
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.0440
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.9560
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.9545
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.0450
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.9550
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0455
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.9545
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.0450
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.9550
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.0240
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.9760
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.0190
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.9810
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.0335
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.9665
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.0115
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.9885
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.0065
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9935
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0065
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.9935
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0065
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.9935
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.0040
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.9960
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0040
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.9960
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.0040
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.9960
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.0040
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.9960
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0020
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9980
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0020
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9980
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0020
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9980
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0020
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9980
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0020
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9980
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0020
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9980
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9985
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9985
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.9985
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0020
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.9980
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0020
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.9980
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0020
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.9980
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0020
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.9980
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0020
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.9980
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0020
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9980
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.9985
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.9985
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0055
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9945
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0055
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9945
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0055
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9945
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.9945
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0050
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9950
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.9945
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0050
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9950
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9955
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.9955
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0050
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9950
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9955
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.9955
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0050
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.9950
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0040
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9960
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9955
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0050
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9950
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0050
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9950
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0070
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.9930
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0065
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.9935
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0065
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9935
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0065
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9935
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0065
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9935
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0060
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9940
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0060
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9940
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0045
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9955
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0040
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.9960
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0040
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9960
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0040
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9960
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0035
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9965
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0030
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9970
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0030
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9970
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0010
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9990
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0010
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9990
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0010
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.9990
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520727
Question: Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 148988.931636
Price History:
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0020
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9980
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0020
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9980
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0020
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9980
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9970
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0010
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9990
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0010
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4800
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5200
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.2450
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.7550
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 125.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9853, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.1695
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.8305
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.8505
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.1495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 464.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7852, Price range: 0.0279 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.8785
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.1215
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0940
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9060
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0990
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9010
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.8360
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.1640
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.8535
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.1465
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.1430
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.8570
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.8315
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.1685
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.8885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 481.34, Sell volume: 72.04, Average price: 0.5514, Price range: 0.0510 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.1115
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9555
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0445
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9595
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0405
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9550
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0450
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9550
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0450
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.8990
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.1010
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.1390
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.8610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1501.93, Sell volume: 153.40, Average price: 0.5384, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.1450
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.8550
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.8420
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.1580
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.8630
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.1370
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.8985
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.1015
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.8970
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.1030
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9010
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0990
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.1015
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.8985
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.8935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 408.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4172, Price range: 0.1240 - 0.8978
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.1065
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.8890
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.1110
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.1140
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.8860
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.8865
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.1135
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.8880
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.1120
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9145
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0855
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9175
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0825
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 162.98, Sell volume: 99.19, Average price: 0.3968, Price range: 0.0986 - 0.9480
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9140
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0860
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0860
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9140
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9105
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0895
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0835
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9165
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.1080
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.8920
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.1080
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.8920
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.8335
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.1665
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.1255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 746.82, Sell volume: 13.60, Average price: 0.3267, Price range: 0.0920 - 0.9580
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.8745
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.1455
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.8545
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.1525
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.8475
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.1465
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.8535
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.1520
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.8480
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.1495
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.8505
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 209.05, Sell volume: 202.59, Average price: 0.6396, Price range: 0.0860 - 0.9140
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9140
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0860
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.1395
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.8605
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.1055
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.8945
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.1485
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.8515
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.1560
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.8440
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.1710
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.8290
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.1465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1384.44, Sell volume: 805.26, Average price: 0.4082, Price range: 0.0840 - 0.9160
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.8535
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.1440
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.8560
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.1405
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.8595
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.1500
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.8500
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.1595
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.8405
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.1630
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.8370
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.1450
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.8550
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.1505
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.8495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1026.40, Sell volume: 369.12, Average price: 0.5484, Price range: 0.1140 - 0.8890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.1565
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.8435
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.1765
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.8235
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.2310
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.7690
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.3270
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.6730
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.3185
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.6815
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.2495
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.7505
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.2485
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.7515
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.2515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 218.74, Sell volume: 303.38, Average price: 0.2749, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.7485
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.3130
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.6870
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.3175
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.6825
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.3425
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.6575
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.2800
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.7100
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.2900
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.8100
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.1900
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.1925
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.8075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 1553.20, Sell volume: 855.86, Average price: 0.4834, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623547
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 42471.029764
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.8200
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.1800
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.8560
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.1440
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.8400
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.1600
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.7915
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.2085
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.1740
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.8260
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.7875
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.2125
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.2260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 4843.25, Sell volume: 1690.21, Average price: 0.5878, Price range: 0.1330 - 0.8811
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.2450
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.7550
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0205
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.9795
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0205
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.9795
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.0205
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.9795
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0200
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.9800
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.0200
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.9800
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.0200
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.9800
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0200
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.9800
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.0200
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.9800
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.0200
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.9800
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0195
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.9805
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0195
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.9805
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0195
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.9805
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0190
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.9810
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.0190
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.9810
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.0190
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.9810
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0190
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.9810
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.0195
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.9805
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.0195
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.9805
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0190
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.9810
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.0185
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.9815
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.0190
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.9810
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0215
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.9785
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.0210
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.9785
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.0210
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.9790
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0215
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.9785
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.0215
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.9785
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.9790
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0215
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.9785
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.0215
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.9785
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0215
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.9785
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.9790
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.9790
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.9790
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0215
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.9785
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.0215
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.9785
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.9790
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.9790
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0215
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.9785
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0215
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.9785
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0215
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.9785
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.0215
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.9785
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.0215
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.9785
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.9790
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.0215
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.9785
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0215
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.9785
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.0215
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.9785
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.0215
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.9785
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0245
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.9755
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0245
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.9755
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0260
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.9740
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0275
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.9725
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0235
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.9765
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.0255
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.9745
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0270
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.9730
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0235
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.9765
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.0255
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.9745
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0265
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.9735
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0285
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.9715
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.0230
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.9770
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0230
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.9770
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0225
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.9775
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.0230
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.9770
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0235
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.9765
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0225
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.9775
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0210
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.9790
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0205
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.9795
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.0215
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.9785
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0180
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.9820
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0135
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.9865
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0225
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.9775
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.0230
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.9770
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0225
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.9840
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0160
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.9840
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.0165
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.9835
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0160
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.9840
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0170
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9830
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0060
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.9940
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0050
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.9950
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0050
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.9950
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.9960
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.9960
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.9960
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.9960
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.9960
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.9960
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.9960
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.9960
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.9960
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.9965
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.9960
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.9960
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.9965
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0040
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.9960
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.0040
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.9960
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0035
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.9965
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0035
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.9965
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0040
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.9960
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0035
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.9965
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0035
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.9965
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0040
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.9960
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0060
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.9940
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0060
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.9940
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0060
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.9940
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0055
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.9945
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0060
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.9940
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0055
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.9945
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0055
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.9945
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0060
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.9940
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0060
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.9940
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0060
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.9940
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.0065
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.9935
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0055
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.9945
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.0060
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.9940
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.0055
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.9945
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.0055
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.9945
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0055
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.9945
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.0055
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.9945
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.0055
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.9945
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.0060
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.9940
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.0055
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.9945
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.0060
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.9940
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.0065
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.9935
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0065
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.9935
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.0055
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.9945
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.0050
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.9950
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.0055
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.9945
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.0055
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.9945
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.0035
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.9965
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.0030
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9970
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0035
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.9965
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0035
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.9965
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.0030
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.9970
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0035
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.9965
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.0030
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0020
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.9980
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.0020
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.9980
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0020
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.9980
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.0020
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.9980
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0020
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.9980
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0020
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9980
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0030
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9970
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0030
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9970
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0030
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9970
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0030
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.9970
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0010
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9990
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0010
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9990
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0010
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.9990
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0010
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.9990
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0010
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.9990
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.9995
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.2450
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.7550
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0205
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.9795
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0205
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.9795
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.0205
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.9795
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0200
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.9800
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.0200
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.9800
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.0200
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.9800
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0200
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.9800
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.0200
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.9800
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.0200
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.9800
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0195
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.9805
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0195
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.9805
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0195
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.9805
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0190
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.9785
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.0210
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.9790
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0215
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.9785
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.0215
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.9785
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.9790
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0215
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.9785
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.0215
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.9785
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0215
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.9785
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.9790
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.9790
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.9790
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0215
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.9785
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.0215
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.9785
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.9790
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.9790
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0245
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.9755
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0245
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.9755
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0260
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.9740
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0275
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.9725
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0235
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.9765
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.0255
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.9745
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0270
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.9730
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0235
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.9765
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.0255
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.9745
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0265
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.9735
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0285
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.9715
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.0230
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.9770
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0230
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.9770
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0225
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.9775
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.0230
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.9840
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0160
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.9840
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.0165
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.9835
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0160
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.9840
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0170
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9830
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0060
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.9940
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0050
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.9950
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0050
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.9950
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.9960
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.9960
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.9960
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.9960
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.9960
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.9960
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.9960
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0040
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.9960
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0035
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.9965
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0035
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.9965
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0040
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.9960
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0060
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.9940
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0060
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.9940
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0060
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.9940
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0055
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.9945
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0060
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.9940
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0055
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.9945
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0055
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.9945
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0060
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.9940
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0060
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.9940
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0060
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.9940
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.0065
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.9940
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.0065
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.9935
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0065
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.9935
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.0055
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.9945
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.0050
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.9950
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.0055
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.9945
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.0055
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.9945
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.0035
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.9965
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.0030
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9970
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0035
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.9965
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0035
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.9965
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.0030
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.9970
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0035
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.9965
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.0030
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.9975
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.9980
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0020
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.9980
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0020
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9980
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0030
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9970
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0030
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9970
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0030
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9970
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0030
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.9970
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0020
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520733
Question: Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 107070.269457
Price History:
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0010
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9990
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0010
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520728
Question: Will Ezra Cohen-Watnick be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 255050.414711
Price History:
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.8250
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0255
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.9745
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0255
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.9745
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.0255
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.9745
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0250
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.9750
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.0250
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.9750
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.0250
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.9750
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0250
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.9750
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.0250
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.9750
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.0250
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.9750
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0245
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.9755
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0245
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.9755
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0245
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.9755
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0245
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.9755
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.0245
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.9755
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.0260
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.9740
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0275
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.9725
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.0275
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.9725
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.0275
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.9725
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0275
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.9725
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.0275
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.9725
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.0275
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.9725
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0275
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.9725
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.0275
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520728
Question: Will Ezra Cohen-Watnick be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 255050.414711
Price History:
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.9725
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.0275
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.9725
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0275
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.9725
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.0275
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.9725
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.9725
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.9725
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.9725
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.9725
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.9725
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.9725
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.9725
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.9725
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.9725
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.9725
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.9725
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.9725
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.9725
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.9725
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.9725
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.9725
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0280
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.9720
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.9725
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.9725
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.9725
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.9725
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520728
Question: Will Ezra Cohen-Watnick be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 255050.414711
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0340
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.9660
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0340
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.9660
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0275
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.9725
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0290
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.9710
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0315
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.9685
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.0275
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.9725
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0285
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.9715
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0305
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.9695
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.0300
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.9700
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0315
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.9685
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0295
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.9705
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.0295
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.9705
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0305
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.9695
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0305
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.9695
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.0305
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.9695
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0310
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.9690
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0330
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.9670
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0275
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.9725
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0335
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.9665
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.0325
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.9675
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0330
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.9670
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0250
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.9750
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0235
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.9765
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.0275
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.9725
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0295
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520728
Question: Will Ezra Cohen-Watnick be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 255050.414711
Price History:
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.9850
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0155
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.9845
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.0140
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.9860
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0120
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.9880
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0125
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9875
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0105
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.9895
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0105
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.9895
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0105
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.9895
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0105
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.9895
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0100
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.9900
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0095
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.9905
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0095
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.9905
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0095
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.9905
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0095
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.9905
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.0095
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.9905
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0095
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.9905
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.0100
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.9900
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0090
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.9910
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.0090
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.9910
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0090
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.9910
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.0090
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.9910
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0090
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.9910
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.0090
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.9910
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0090
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.9910
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0095
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.9905
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520728
Question: Will Ezra Cohen-Watnick be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 255050.414711
Price History:
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0095
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.9905
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0090
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.9910
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0095
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.9905
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0095
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.9905
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0060
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.9940
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0065
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.9935
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0070
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.9930
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0065
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.9935
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0070
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.9930
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.9880
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.9880
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.9880
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.9880
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.9880
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.9880
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.9880
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.9880
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.0150
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.9850
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.0135
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.9865
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0160
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.9840
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.0165
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.9835
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.0145
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.9855
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.0130
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.9870
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.0145
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.9855
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.0155
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes