Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702049
Question: Will Tesla reach $450 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2096.987441
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.7450
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.2550
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.7540
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.2460
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.7445
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.2555
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.7420
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.2580
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.7455
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.2545
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.7455
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.2545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2096.33, Sell volume: 0.66, Average price: 0.9387, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702049
Question: Will Tesla reach $450 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2096.987441
Price History:
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.7455
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.2545
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.7455
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.2545
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.7425
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.2575
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.7425
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.2575
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.7445
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.2555
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.7450
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2096.33, Sell volume: 0.66, Average price: 0.9387, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702049
Question: Will Tesla reach $450 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2096.987441
Price History:
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.7860
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.2140
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.7935
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.2065
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.7955
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.2045
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.8020
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.1980
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.8315
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.1685
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9180
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 456.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9957, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702049
Question: Will Tesla reach $450 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2096.987441
Price History:
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2096.33, Sell volume: 0.66, Average price: 0.9387, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702049
Question: Will Tesla reach $450 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2096.987441
Price History:
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5150
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.8100
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.1900
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.8100
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.1900
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.8100
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2096.33, Sell volume: 0.66, Average price: 0.9387, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702049
Question: Will Tesla reach $450 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2096.987441
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.8100
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.1900
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.8100
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.1900
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.8100
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.1900
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.8100
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.1900
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.6750
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.3250
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.6800
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2096.33, Sell volume: 0.66, Average price: 0.9387, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702049
Question: Will Tesla reach $450 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2096.987441
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.6800
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.3200
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.6800
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.3200
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.8150
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.6800
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.3200
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.6800
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.3200
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.6800
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2096.33, Sell volume: 0.66, Average price: 0.9387, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702049
Question: Will Tesla reach $450 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2096.987441
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.7300
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.2700
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.7300
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.2700
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.7250
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.2750
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.7250
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.2750
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.7300
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.2700
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 0.66, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702049
Question: Will Tesla reach $450 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2096.987441
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.7550
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.2450
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.7550
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.2450
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.7350
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.2650
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.8150
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2096.33, Sell volume: 0.66, Average price: 0.9387, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702049
Question: Will Tesla reach $450 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2096.987441
Price History:
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.7300
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.2700
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.7350
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.2650
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.7300
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.2700
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.7700
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.2300
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.7400
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.2600
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9450
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8400, Price range: 0.8400 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702049
Question: Will Tesla reach $450 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2096.987441
Price History:
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0500
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0500
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2096.33, Sell volume: 0.66, Average price: 0.9387, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702049
Question: Will Tesla reach $450 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2096.987441
Price History:
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0500
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0500
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0500
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0500
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2096.33, Sell volume: 0.66, Average price: 0.9387, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702049
Question: Will Tesla reach $450 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2096.987441
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0500
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0500
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0500
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9445
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0555
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9445
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2096.33, Sell volume: 0.66, Average price: 0.9387, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702049
Question: Will Tesla reach $450 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2096.987441
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.7450
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.2550
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.7540
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.2460
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.7445
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.2555
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.7420
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.2580
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.7455
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.2545
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.7455
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.2545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2096.33, Sell volume: 0.66, Average price: 0.9387, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702049
Question: Will Tesla reach $450 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2096.987441
Price History:
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.7455
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.2545
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.7455
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.2545
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.7425
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.2575
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.7425
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.2575
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.7445
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.2555
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.7450
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2096.33, Sell volume: 0.66, Average price: 0.9387, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702049
Question: Will Tesla reach $450 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2096.987441
Price History:
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.7860
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.2140
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.7935
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.2065
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.7955
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.2045
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.8020
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.1980
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.8315
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.1685
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9180
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 456.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9957, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.5250
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.4950
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.6350
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.6350
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.5500
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.5850
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.5900
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.5900
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.5750
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.5050
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.5500
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.5000
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.5000
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.5000
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.4950
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.4700
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.4900
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.5050
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.4650
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.4850
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.4800
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.4950
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.5100
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.5350
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.5400
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.5300
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.5300
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.5250
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.5250
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.5350
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.5350
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.5350
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.5300
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.5300
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.5200
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.5050
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.5000
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.5250
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.5150
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.5100
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.5050
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.5100
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.5350
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.5200
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.5200
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.5200
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.5200
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.5100
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.5000
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 280496392.66, Sell volume: 110659864.88, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.5100
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.5150
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.5200
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.5100
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.5100
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.5200
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.5200
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.5150
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.5100
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.5150
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.5600
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.5500
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.5350
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.5300
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.5200
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.5200
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.5100
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.5000
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.4900
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.4800
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.4850
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.5000
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.4900
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.5000
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.5000
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.4550
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.4800
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.4700
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.4650
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.4650
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.4750
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.4650
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.4850
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.4750
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.4650
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.4700
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.4700
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.4750
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.4950
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.4750
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.4850
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.4900
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.4750
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.4650
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.4650
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.4600
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.4600
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 280496392.66, Sell volume: 110659864.88, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.5150
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.5250
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.5050
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.5100
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.5550
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.5300
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.5250
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.5600
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.5650
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.5650
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.5650
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.5700
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.5800
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.5700
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.5550
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.5650
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.5200
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.5300
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.5350
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.5300
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.5300
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.4750
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.4900
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.4900
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.4950
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.5050
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.5100
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.5500
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.5550
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.5350
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.5450
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.5450
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.5400
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.5150
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.5250
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.5300
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.5350
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.5200
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.5200
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.5000
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.5100
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.4900
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.5100
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.4850
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.5050
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.5050
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.5000
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.4900
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.5050
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 280496392.66, Sell volume: 110659864.88, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.5300
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.4750
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.4650
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.4650
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.4650
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.4600
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.5450
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.4450
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.5850
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.4000
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.4450
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.4200
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.4500
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.4500
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.4500
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.5550
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.5500
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.5600
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.4400
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.5650
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.4350
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.5550
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.5650
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.5950
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.4150
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.6200
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.3800
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.6050
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.4350
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.5100
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.4850
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.5150
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.5300
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.5400
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.4700
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.4800
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.4650
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.4800
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.4800
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.5150
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.4950
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.4950
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.4950
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.4900
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.4800
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.4900
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.5150
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.4950
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.4950
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 280496392.66, Sell volume: 110659864.88, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.5250
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.5350
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.5250
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.5150
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.5250
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.5150
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.4850
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.5450
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.4650
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.4700
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.4700
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.4850
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.4700
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.5350
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.4700
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.5300
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.5450
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.4750
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.5350
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.4600
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.5350
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.4650
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.4700
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.4750
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.4550
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.5500
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.5750
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.5400
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.5350
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.4750
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.4750
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.5250
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.5450
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.5350
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.5050
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.4950
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.5150
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.5350
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.6350
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.6150
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.3850
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.3650
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.3700
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.3950
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.2800
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.3000
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.6900
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.6750
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.6800
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 280496392.66, Sell volume: 110659864.88, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.3500
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.6550
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.6550
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.6150
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.3950
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.6500
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.6250
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.5900
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.4150
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.4150
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.3800
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.3850
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.6150
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.6800
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.7000
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.6650
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.3050
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.2950
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.3100
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.6750
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.6850
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.6850
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.3250
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.6450
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.6800
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.6750
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.6950
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.6850
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.6950
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.7350
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.6600
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.3100
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.6600
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.6700
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.6550
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.3350
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.3250
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.3550
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.3450
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.6350
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.6500
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.3550
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.6150
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.6000
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.4050
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.3800
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.3850
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 280496392.66, Sell volume: 110659864.88, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.6600
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.6450
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.3600
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.5750
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.6050
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.3650
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.6150
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.6200
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.3750
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.3650
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.6400
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.3650
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.6200
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.6000
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.6250
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.6350
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.3550
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.6400
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.6300
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.6000
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.6200
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.3850
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.5850
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.5650
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.5700
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.6150
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.6000
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.5950
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.5900
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.5650
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.5750
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.5650
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.5750
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.5700
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.5550
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.5600
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.4500
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.4700
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.5250
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.5150
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.4850
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.4850
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.4800
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.4850
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.5150
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 280496392.66, Sell volume: 110659864.88, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.4800
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.4750
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.4600
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.5500
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.4650
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.5400
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.5450
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.4650
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.5450
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.5450
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.5300
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.4700
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.4850
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.4850
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.4950
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.4750
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.5250
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.4750
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.5200
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.5200
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.5350
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.4500
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.5650
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.5400
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.5650
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.5750
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.5950
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.5950
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.3800
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.6050
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.6000
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.5900
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.5750
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.4350
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.4500
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.4500
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.5450
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.5500
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.4450
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.5550
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.4250
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.5300
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.5650
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.5700
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.5700
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 280496392.66, Sell volume: 110659864.88, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.5600
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.4850
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.4950
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.5150
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.5100
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.5100
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.5050
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.4950
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.4800
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.4450
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.4700
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.4750
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.4850
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.4850
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.5450
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.5400
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.4700
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.4350
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.4200
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.5950
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4400
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4400
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4400
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5700
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.4400
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.4450
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.4900
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.4850
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.5050
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.4950
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.5450
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.5600
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.5650
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 280496392.66, Sell volume: 110659864.88, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.5500
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.4600
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.4400
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.5800
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3850
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3700
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.3900
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.6450
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.6450
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.6500
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.2950
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.3100
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.2950
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.3050
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.3100
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.6850
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.6700
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.7200
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.2850
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.2800
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.7200
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.2950
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.7000
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.7500
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.2150
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.2500
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.2650
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.7400
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.2550
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.7450
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.2500
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.7650
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.7650
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.2400
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.7450
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.7750
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.7300
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.7450
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.7450
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.7550
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.2400
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.2150
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.2300
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 280496392.66, Sell volume: 110659864.88, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.7450
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.7250
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.7300
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.7450
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.2550
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.7450
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.3050
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.3550
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.5750
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.5350
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.5650
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.5250
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.4850
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.4200
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.5950
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.5550
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.5450
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.5300
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.4350
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.4100
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.5550
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.5700
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.4300
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.4350
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.4200
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.3900
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.4000
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.4500
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.4850
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.4750
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.5200
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.4700
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.4500
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.4800
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.5550
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.5400
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.5650
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.4600
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.4500
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.5200
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.3850
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.3800
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.4100
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.5950
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.7400
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.7400
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 280496392.66, Sell volume: 110659864.88, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.3100
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.3200
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.3200
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.6850
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.3250
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.3150
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.3400
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.3000
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.3400
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.6250
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.6000
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.3600
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.4200
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.4450
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.4600
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.5450
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.5350
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.5750
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.3400
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.6550
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.6150
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.4800
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.5450
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.6250
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.6400
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.6200
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.6200
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.6100
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.6500
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.6300
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.5850
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.6050
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.5650
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.5700
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.5400
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.5100
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.5100
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.5450
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.5200
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.5200
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.4950
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.5050
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.4750
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.5200
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.5200
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.4750
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.5300
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 280496392.66, Sell volume: 110659864.88, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.4600
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.4300
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.3850
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.3700
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.3850
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.3500
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.3750
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.4250
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.4150
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.4150
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.4150
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.3650
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.4450
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.4700
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.4350
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.4650
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.4550
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.5850
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.5650
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.6050
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.6100
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5200
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5350
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5400
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5400
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.5400
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.5300
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.5150
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.5100
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5200
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.5100
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.5150
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.5150
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.5150
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.5900
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.6300
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.6500
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.6550
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.6450
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999387, Buy volume: 280152926.00, Sell volume: 110528729.54, Average price: 0.5123, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.5250
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.3750
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.6300
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.4150
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.5900
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.4250
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.5000
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.5100
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.5000
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.5150
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.4900
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.4850
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.5050
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.5350
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.4600
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.5300
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.4800
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.5400
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.4650
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.5300
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.4800
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.5000
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.4850
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.5100
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.4950
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.5350
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.4700
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.5100
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 280496392.66, Sell volume: 110659864.88, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.5100
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.4900
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.5100
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.4800
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.5200
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.4900
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.5450
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.4400
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.5300
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.4800
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.5100
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.5100
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.4850
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.5000
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.4900
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.5050
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.4800
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.5350
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.4650
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.5150
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.4850
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.5350
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.4700
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.5250
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.5200
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.4900
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.5050
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.4650
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 280496392.66, Sell volume: 110659864.88, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.5150
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.4850
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.5250
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.4550
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.5600
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.4350
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.5800
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.4350
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.5700
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.4350
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.5200
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.4650
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.5300
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.5250
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.4900
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.5050
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.5100
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.4500
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.5350
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.4650
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.5150
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.4750
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.5350
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.4750
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.5000
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.5050
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.5150
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.5150
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.5050
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 280496392.66, Sell volume: 110659864.88, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.5300
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.5150
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.5350
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.5400
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.5450
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.4150
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.4050
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.5550
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.4500
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.5500
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.4500
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.5600
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.5650
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.4450
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.5900
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.5950
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.3800
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.6000
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.4950
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.5150
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.5250
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.5300
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.5400
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.5200
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.5150
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.4950
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.4950
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.5200
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.5100
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 280496392.66, Sell volume: 110659864.88, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.5250
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.4850
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.5250
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.4800
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.5350
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.5350
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.5300
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.4650
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.5350
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.4750
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.5350
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.4650
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.4600
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.5350
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.5250
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.4650
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.5750
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.4650
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.4750
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.4800
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.5350
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.4950
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.4900
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.4450
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.6150
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.3700
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.3700
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.6450
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.6950
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 280496392.66, Sell volume: 110659864.88, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.3500
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.3450
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.3900
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.3450
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.4000
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.5850
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.6200
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.3850
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.6800
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.3100
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.2800
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.7100
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.6850
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.3150
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.3150
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.3450
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.6750
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.3150
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.7000
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.2750
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.3250
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.3300
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.3350
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.6550
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.3550
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.3650
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.6500
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.6150
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.4000
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 280496392.66, Sell volume: 110659864.88, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.6600
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.3600
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.6050
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.3500
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.3750
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.6350
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.3650
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.6200
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.4000
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.6400
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.6500
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.3700
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.4100
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.3800
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.5850
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.4450
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.3850
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.5950
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.4150
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.4250
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.5700
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.5700
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.5600
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.5350
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.5250
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.4950
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.4800
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 280496392.66, Sell volume: 110659864.88, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.4800
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.4550
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.4650
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.5350
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.4600
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.4550
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.5300
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.4950
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.4850
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.5300
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.5250
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.4800
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.4700
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.5500
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.4350
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.5550
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.5650
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.4150
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.4100
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.3850
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.6050
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.4000
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.5800
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.4400
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.4500
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.4450
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.4550
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.4350
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.4200
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 280496392.66, Sell volume: 110659864.88, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.5600
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.4850
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.5050
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.4850
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.4900
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.5050
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.4450
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.4750
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.4850
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.4650
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.5350
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.4850
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5700
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4350
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.4200
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.5800
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4300
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4400
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4300
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4400
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.4450
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.5250
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.4900
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.5100
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.5500
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 280496392.66, Sell volume: 110659864.88, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.5500
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.5550
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.5950
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.3650
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.3700
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.3200
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.6900
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.3050
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.6800
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.2750
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.2900
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.7200
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.7100
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.3000
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.7500
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.2500
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.2400
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.7400
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.2550
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.2350
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.7650
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.7450
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.7450
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.2600
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.2250
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 280496392.66, Sell volume: 110659864.88, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.7450
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.2750
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.7300
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.7500
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.6450
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.5500
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.4400
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.4850
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.4300
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.5500
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.4850
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.5650
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.4450
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.5800
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.3900
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.5700
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.4600
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.5300
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.5350
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.5300
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.4750
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.4400
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.5650
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.4700
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.4650
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.6100
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.5900
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 280496392.66, Sell volume: 110659864.88, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.3100
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.3150
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.3200
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.7050
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.6850
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.6600
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.3950
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.6500
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.4450
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.5100
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.4400
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.3850
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.6200
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.5200
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.6300
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.3550
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.6200
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.3700
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.6500
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.3950
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.5950
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.5450
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.5050
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.5450
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.4850
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.5400
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.4950
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.5200
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 280496392.66, Sell volume: 110659864.88, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 562870
Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Volume: 3077937.059422
Price History:
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.4600
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.6150
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.3750
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.4000
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.5850
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.4100
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.6250
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.4700
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.5850
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.4550
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.4350
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.6450
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5200
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5600
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.4850
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.4900
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.5650
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999387, Buy volume: 280152926.00, Sell volume: 110528729.54, Average price: 0.5123, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.6500
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.3500
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.6800
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.3200
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.6800
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.3200
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.3200
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.6800
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.3200
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.6800
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.2300
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.7700
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.2300
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.7700
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.7700
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.2300
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.2050
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.2600
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.7400
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.7400
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.2600
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.2450
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.7550
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.2450
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.7550
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.7650
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.2350
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.7650
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.2350
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.7650
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.2350
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.2400
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.7600
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.2400
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.7600
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.7600
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.2400
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.7600
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.2400
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.7600
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.2400
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.7850
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.2150
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.2150
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 345.73, Sell volume: 17.50, Average price: 0.6470, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.7850
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.2150
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.7850
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.2150
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.7850
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.2150
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.2150
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.7850
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.2150
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.7850
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.2350
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.7650
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.2350
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.7650
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.2350
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.7650
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.2350
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.7650
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.2300
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.7700
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.2300
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.7700
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.2300
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.7700
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.2300
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.7700
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.2350
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.7650
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.2350
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.7650
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.2650
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.7350
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.2650
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.7350
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.2650
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.7350
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.2650
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.7350
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.2450
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.7550
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.2450
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.7550
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.2450
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.7550
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.7550
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.7550
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.7550
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 809.07, Sell volume: 71.99, Average price: 0.5084, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.7400
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.2600
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.2600
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.7400
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.7350
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.2650
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.2650
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.7350
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.7350
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.2650
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.7350
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.2650
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.7300
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.2700
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.7300
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.2700
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.7300
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.2700
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.7300
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.2700
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.7250
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.2750
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.7250
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.2750
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.7200
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.2800
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.7200
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.2800
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.2850
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.7150
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.2850
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.7150
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.2850
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.7150
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.2850
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.7150
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.2850
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.7100
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.2900
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.2900
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.7100
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.7100
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.2900
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.7100
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.2900
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.2900
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 683.43, Sell volume: 131.96, Average price: 0.3881, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.6250
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.3750
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.5400
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.4600
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.4250
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.5750
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.6100
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.3900
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.6200
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.3800
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.6200
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.3800
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.6200
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.3800
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.6200
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.3800
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.6200
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.3800
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.6200
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.3800
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.6200
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.3800
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.6200
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.3800
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.6200
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.3800
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.6200
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.3800
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.6200
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.3800
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.3800
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.6200
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.3800
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.6200
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.3700
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.6300
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.3400
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.6600
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.3400
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.6600
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.3250
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.6750
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.3250
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.6750
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.3250
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.6750
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.3250
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 914.25, Sell volume: 307.78, Average price: 0.5377, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6787

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.3150
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.3150
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.6850
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.3150
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.6850
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.3150
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.6850
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.3150
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.6850
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.3150
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.6850
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.3150
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.6850
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.6850
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.3150
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.6800
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.3200
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.6800
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.3200
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.6800
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.3200
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 70.78, Sell volume: 28.00, Average price: 0.4533, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.6800
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.6800
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.6800
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.6800
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.3250
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.6750
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.3250
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.6750
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.6700
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.3300
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.3300
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.6700
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.6750
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.3250
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.6750
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.3250
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.6750
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.3300
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.6700
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.6700
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.3300
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.6700
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.3300
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.3250
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.6750
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.6700
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.6750
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.6750
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 303.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.6700 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 325.00, Sell volume: 312.50, Average price: 0.3133, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.3200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3200, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.3200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 239.10, Average price: 0.6140, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.6750
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.3250
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.3250
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.6750
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.6750
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.3250
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3250
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.6750
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.3250
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.6750
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.3450
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.6550
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.3500
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.6500
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.6450
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.6450
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.6450
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.6450
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.6450
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.4150
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.5850
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.4000
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.6000
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.5850
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.4150
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.4200
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.5800
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.4200
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 384.23, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.5298, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.3450
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.6550
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.3450
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.6550
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.3800
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.6200
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.6250
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.3800
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.6200
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.6250
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.6250
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.3900
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.6100
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.4300
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.5700
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.4200
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.5800
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.4100
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.5900
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.4100
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.5900
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.4150
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.5850
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.4150
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.5850
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.4150
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.5850
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.4150
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.5850
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.5850
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.4150
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.4150
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.5850
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.3950
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.6050
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.3950
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.6050
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.6050
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.3950
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.3950
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.6050
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.3950
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.6050
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.3950
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.6050
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.6100
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1412.37, Sell volume: 79.54, Average price: 0.5320, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.6250
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.3750
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.3750
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.6250
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.3750
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.6250
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.6250
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.3750
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.6250
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.3750
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.6250
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.3750
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.6250
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.3750
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.6250
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.3750
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.6150
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.3850
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.6150
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.6150
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.6150
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.3900
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.6100
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.6150
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.6150
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.6150
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.6150
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.6150
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.6150
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.6150
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.6150
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.6150
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.6150
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.3800
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.6200
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.3800
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 180.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6300, Price range: 0.6300 - 0.6300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.6150
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.6150
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.6150
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.6150
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.3850
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.3850
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.6150
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.3850
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.6150
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.3850
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.6150
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.3850
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.6150
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.3850
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.6150
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.6150
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.3850
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.6150
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.3850
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.6150
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.3850
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.6150
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.3850
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.3850
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.6150
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.3850
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.6150
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.3950
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.3950
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.6050
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.6050
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.3950
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.6000
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.4000
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.6550
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.3450
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.6950
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.3050
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.6850
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.3150
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.6900
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.3100
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.6850
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.3150
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.7100
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 5059.38, Sell volume: 11.00, Average price: 0.6067, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.7400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.6500
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.6800
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.6800
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.3200
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.3200
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.2300
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.2300
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.7700
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.2600
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.7400
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.2450
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.2450
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.7650
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.7650
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.7650
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.2400
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.2400
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.7600
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.7600
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.7600
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.7850
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.2150
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.2150
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.2150
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.2150
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.2150
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 345.73, Sell volume: 17.50, Average price: 0.6470, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.7850
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.7850
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.7850
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.2150
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.2150
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.2350
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.2350
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.2350
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.2350
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.2300
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.2300
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.2300
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.2300
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.2350
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.2350
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.2650
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.2650
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.2650
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.2650
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.2450
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.2450
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.7550
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.2650
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.7400
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.7400
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 809.07, Sell volume: 71.99, Average price: 0.5084, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.7400
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.2600
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.7350
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.2650
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.7350
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.7350
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.7300
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.7300
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.7300
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.7300
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.7250
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.7250
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.7200
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.7200
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.7150
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.7150
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.7150
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.7150
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.7150
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.7100
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.2900
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.7100
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.7100
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.2900
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.6550
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.3550
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.3550
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.6500
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 683.43, Sell volume: 131.96, Average price: 0.3881, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.6250
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.5400
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.4250
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.6100
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.6200
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.6200
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.6200
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.6200
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.6200
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.6200
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.6200
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.6200
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.6200
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.6200
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.6200
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.3800
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.3800
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.3700
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.3400
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.3400
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.3250
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.3250
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.3250
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.3250
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.3250
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.3250
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.3300
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.3300
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 914.25, Sell volume: 307.78, Average price: 0.5377, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6787
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.3150
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.3150
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.3150
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.3150
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.3150
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.3150
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.3150
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.6850
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.6800
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.6800
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.6800
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.6750
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.6750
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 70.78, Sell volume: 28.00, Average price: 0.4533, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.3250
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.3250
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.6700
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.3300
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.3250
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.3250
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.3300
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.6700
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.6700
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.3250
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.6750
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.6750
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.6700
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.6700
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 303.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.6700 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 325.00, Sell volume: 312.50, Average price: 0.3133, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.3200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3200, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.3200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 239.10, Average price: 0.6140, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.6750
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.3250
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.6750
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3250
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.3250
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.3450
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.3500
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.6450
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.4150
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.4000
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.5850
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.4200
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.4200
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.5800
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.6450
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.3550
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.3450
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 384.23, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.5298, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.3450
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.3450
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.3800
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.6250
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.3800
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.3900
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.4300
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.4200
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.4100
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.4100
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.4150
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.4150
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.4150
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.4150
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.5850
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.4150
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.3950
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.3950
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.6050
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.3950
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.3950
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.3950
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.6100
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.3850
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.3700
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.3750
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.6250
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1412.37, Sell volume: 79.54, Average price: 0.5320, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.6250
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.3750
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.3750
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.6250
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.6250
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.6250
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.6250
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.6250
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.6150
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.6150
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.3900
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.6150
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.6150
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.3800
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.3800
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.3800
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.3800
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 180.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6300, Price range: 0.6300 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 604536
Question: Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Volume: 22510.850465
Price History:
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.3850
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.6150
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.6150
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.3850
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.3850
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.3850
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.3850
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.3850
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.6150
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.6150
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.6150
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.6150
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.3850
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.3850
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.3950
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.6050
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.6000
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.6550
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.6950
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.6850
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.6900
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.6850
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.7100
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.7100
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.7100
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.7100
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.2900
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 5059.38, Sell volume: 11.00, Average price: 0.6067, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.5700
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.5500
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.5550
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.5900
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.6000
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.6000
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.6000
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.6000
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.6000
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.6000
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.6050
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.7550
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.7600
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.7600
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.6400
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.6400
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.5900
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.5950
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.5900
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.5900
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.5950
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.6250
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.5950
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.5950
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.6350
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.6250
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.6150
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.6350
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.6350
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.6350
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.6350
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.6400
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.6400
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 554.73, Sell volume: 6.57, Average price: 0.5694, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.8100
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.6950
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.7900
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.8250
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.5950
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.5450
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.5950
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.6000
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.7500
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.7450
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.6900
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.6900
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.6900
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.6900
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.6900
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.6900
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.6300
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.6250
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.6250
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.6350
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.6400
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.6400
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.6400
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.6400
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.7250
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.7100
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.7150
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.6800
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.6900
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.6800
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.6550
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.6850
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.6850
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.6850
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.7000
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.6350
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.6550
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.6550
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.6600
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.6600
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.6600
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.6600
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.7050
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.7150
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.6700
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.6750
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.6800
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.6800
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.6800
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2530.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5167, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.7550
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.7550
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.7550
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.7550
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.7550
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.7550
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.7450
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.7650
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.7650
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.7650
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.7650
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.7950
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.7900
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.7900
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.7850
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.7850
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.7850
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.7850
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.7850
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.7850
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.7850
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.7850
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.7850
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.7850
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.7600
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.7600
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.7450
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.7400
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.7350
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.7350
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1930.08, Sell volume: 368.01, Average price: 0.4528, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.7250
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.7250
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.7250
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.7050
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.7150
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.7100
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.7150
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.7050
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.7050
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.7000
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.7100
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.7150
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.7150
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.7150
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.7250
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.7000
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.7050
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.7000
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.7000
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.7000
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.7000
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.7000
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.7100
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.7100
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.7100
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.7100
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.7150
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.7150
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.7200
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.7200
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.7200
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.7200
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.7200
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.7250
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.7050
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.7200
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.7200
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.7200
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.7200
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.7200
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.7000
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.7050
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1488.77, Sell volume: 1043.38, Average price: 0.5664, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.8700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.7800
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.7800
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.7800
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.7750
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.7450
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.7550
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.7800
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.8000
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.7800
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.8000
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.7950
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.7850
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.8050
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.7850
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.7750
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.7950
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.8100
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.7800
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.7850
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.8500
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.8500
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.8350
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.8350
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.8350
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.8350
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.8300
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.8300
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.8300
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.7750
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.7700
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.7700
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.7550
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.7550
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.7750
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.7700
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.7600
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.7650
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.7750
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.7750
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.7600
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.7650
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.7850
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.7800
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.7800
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.7800
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.7850
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.8000
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.8000
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1207.84, Sell volume: 591.48, Average price: 0.4574, Price range: 0.1815 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.8000
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.8000
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.8000
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.8100
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.8100
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.8050
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.8050
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.8050
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.8050
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.8050
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.8050
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.8050
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.8050
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.8050
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.8050
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.8050
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.8050
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.8050
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.7950
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.7950
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.8350
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.8300
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.8250
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.8250
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.8250
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.8400
2025-04-06 20:00: 0.8250
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.8400
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1522.72, Sell volume: 72.17, Average price: 0.4151, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.8550
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.8500
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.8350
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.8350
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.8300
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.8350
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.8400
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.8400
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 755.13, Sell volume: 252.05, Average price: 0.3779, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.8400
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.8400
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.8400
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.8400
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.8150
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.7750
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.7800
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.7800
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.7950
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.7900
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.7950
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.7950
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.8350
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.8350
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.8350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.8350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.8250
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.8400
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.8350
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.8350
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.8350
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.8350
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.8350
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.8350
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.8300
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.8250
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.8250
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.8250
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.8300
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.8300
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.8300
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.8250
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.8200
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.8250
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.8350
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.8350
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.8600
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.8650
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.8650
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.8650
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.8650
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.8650
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.8650
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.8900
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.8800
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.8800
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.8650
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.8650
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 78, Buy volume: 5912.79, Sell volume: 1370.49, Average price: 0.3362, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8602

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.8450
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.8150
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.8150
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.8100
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.8100
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.8100
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.8100
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.8100
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.8100
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.8100
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.8100
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.8100
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.8100
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.8100
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.8100
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.7800
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.7900
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.7900
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.7900
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.7750
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.7850
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.7850
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.7900
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.7850
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.7900
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.7850
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.7900
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.7850
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.7850
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.7900
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.7900
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.7850
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.7850
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.7900
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.7900
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.7900
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.7900
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.7900
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.7750
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.7650
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.7400
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.7400
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.7350
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.7350
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.7450
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.7550
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.7550
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.7650
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.7650
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 719.95, Sell volume: 4793.56, Average price: 0.4095, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8236

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.7650
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.7700
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.7700
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.7450
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.7500
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.7500
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.7550
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.7500
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.7550
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.7550
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.7550
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.7600
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.7550
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.7600
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.7600
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.7600
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.7600
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.7650
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.7650
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.7650
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.7400
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.7400
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.7400
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.7450
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.7450
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.7300
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.7400
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.7400
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.7350
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.7400
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.7350
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.7350
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.7450
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.7450
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.7450
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.7450
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.7600
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.7600
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.7100
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.7000
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.7100
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.7100
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.6950
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.6950
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.6950
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.7550
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.7550
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.7250
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 191, Buy volume: 10380.82, Sell volume: 2043.00, Average price: 0.6594, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.7400
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.7400
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.7400
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.7400
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.7400
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.7400
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.7400
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.7400
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.7250
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.7100
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.7200
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.7300
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.7350
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.7300
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.7350
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.7400
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.7350
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.7350
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.7400
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.7400
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.7400
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.7400
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.7400
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.7400
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.7250
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.7250
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.7250
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.7250
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.7250
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.7250
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.7250
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.7250
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.7250
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.7350
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.7350
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.7350
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.7350
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.7350
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.7350
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.7250
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.7250
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.6250
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.6200
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.7100
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.7050
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.7050
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.7050
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.7050
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.7150
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 5420.78, Sell volume: 1002.29, Average price: 0.6363, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8100

Output: No