Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 02:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.0900
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.0900
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.0900
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.0900
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.0900
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.0900
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.0900
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.0900
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.0850
2024-06-24 00:00: 0.0850
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.0850
2024-06-24 02:00: 0.0850
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.0850
2024-06-24 04:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 6544.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3667, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 09:00: 0.0650
2024-06-24 10:00: 0.0650
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.0650
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 17:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.0750
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.0750
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.0750
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.0750
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.0750
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.0750
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.0750
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.0750
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.0750
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.0750
2024-06-25 09:00: 0.0750
2024-06-25 10:00: 0.0750
2024-06-25 11:00: 0.0750
2024-06-25 12:00: 0.0750
2024-06-25 13:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 6526.73, Sell volume: 475.00, Average price: 0.5443, Price range: 0.0797 - 0.9372
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.0600
2024-06-25 18:00: 0.0600
2024-06-25 19:00: 0.0600
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.0600
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.0600
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.0600
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.0450
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.0500
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.0500
2024-06-26 19:00: 0.0500
2024-06-26 20:00: 0.0500
2024-06-26 21:00: 0.0500
2024-06-26 22:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 589.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7255, Price range: 0.0522 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.0450
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.0450
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 06:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.0450
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.0500
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.0500
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.0500
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.0500
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.0500
2024-06-28 04:00: 0.0500
2024-06-28 05:00: 0.0500
2024-06-28 06:00: 0.0550
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 7236.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3583, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.0550
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.0550
2024-06-28 13:00: 0.0650
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.0650
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.0550
2024-06-28 16:00: 0.0650
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.0600
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.0600
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.0600
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.0600
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.0600
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.0600
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 12:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 15:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 9086.39, Sell volume: 439.72, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.0750
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.0750
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.0750
2024-06-29 23:00: 0.0750
2024-06-30 00:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 01:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 03:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.0600
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.0600
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.0600
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.0600
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.0600
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.0600
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.0600
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.0600
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 21:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 23:00: 0.0650
2024-07-01 00:00: 0.0650
2024-07-01 01:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1816.24, Sell volume: 595.31, Average price: 0.5042, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-07-01 05:00: 0.0650
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.0650
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.0550
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.0550
2024-07-01 09:00: 0.0550
2024-07-01 10:00: 0.0550
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.0550
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.0550
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.0550
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.0550
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.0350
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.0340
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.0360
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.0360
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.0355
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.0355
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.0355
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.0355
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.0355
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.0380
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.0380
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.0380
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.0380
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.0380
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.0375
2024-07-02 06:00: 0.0370
2024-07-02 07:00: 0.0340
2024-07-02 08:00: 0.0355
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.0340
2024-07-02 10:00: 0.0315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 46925.66, Sell volume: 1283.33, Average price: 0.6959, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9746
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.0375
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.0375
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.0375
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.0370
2024-07-02 18:00: 0.0370
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.0370
2024-07-02 20:00: 0.0370
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.0370
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.0370
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.0370
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.0395
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.0375
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.0375
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.0375
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.0370
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.0325
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.0320
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.0320
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.0320
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.0320
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.0350
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.0355
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.0355
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.0355
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.0375
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.0375
2024-07-03 16:00: 0.0375
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.0395
2024-07-03 18:00: 0.0395
2024-07-03 19:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 22511.58, Sell volume: 6896.08, Average price: 0.5785, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.0375
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.0385
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.0385
2024-07-04 02:00: 0.0385
2024-07-04 03:00: 0.0385
2024-07-04 04:00: 0.0385
2024-07-04 05:00: 0.0385
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.0385
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.0385
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.0385
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.0285
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.0285
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.0260
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.0360
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.1210
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.0540
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.0490
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.0490
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.0650
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.0105
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.0105
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.0105
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.0055
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.0145
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.0005
2024-07-05 00:00: 0.0005
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.0160
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.0100
2024-07-05 03:00: 0.0005
2024-07-05 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 21724.11, Sell volume: 3482.54, Average price: 0.4629, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.4950
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.5050
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.0100
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.9900
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.0110
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.9890
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.0110
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.9890
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.0110
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.9890
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.0110
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.9890
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.0110
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.9890
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.0055
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.0050
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.9950
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.0050
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.9950
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.0050
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.9950
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 964.72, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8010, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.0040
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.9960
2024-06-18 21:00: 0.0040
2024-06-18 21:00: 0.9960
2024-06-18 22:00: 0.0040
2024-06-18 22:00: 0.9960
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.0040
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.9960
2024-06-19 00:00: 0.0040
2024-06-19 00:00: 0.9960
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.0040
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.9960
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.0040
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.9960
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.0040
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.9960
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.0040
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.9960
2024-06-19 05:00: 0.0040
2024-06-19 05:00: 0.9960
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.0040
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.9960
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 16:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 16:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1068.93, Sell volume: 673.04, Average price: 0.5015, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-06-20 05:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 05:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 06:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 06:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 07:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 07:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 09:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 09:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.0025
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.9975
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.9985
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.9970
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.9970
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.9970
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.9970
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.9970
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.9970
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 243.23, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.7495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.9980
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.9980
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.9980
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.9980
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.9980
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.9980
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.9980
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.9980
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.9980
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.9980
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.9980
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.9980
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.9980
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.9980
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.9980
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.9980
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.0025
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.9975
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.0025
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.9975
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.0025
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.9975
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.0025
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.9975
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.0025
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.9975
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.0025
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.9975
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.0025
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.9975
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.0025
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.9975
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.0025
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2048.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7500, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.0025
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.9975
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.0025
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.9975
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.0025
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.9975
2024-06-23 02:00: 0.0025
2024-06-23 02:00: 0.9975
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.0025
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.9975
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.0025
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.9975
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 3547.67, Sell volume: 4583.01, Average price: 0.6657, Price range: 0.0013 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 09:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 10:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 10:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 17:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.9980
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.9980
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.9980
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.9980
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.9980
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.9980
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.9980
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.9980
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.9980
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 402.40, Sell volume: 400.40, Average price: 0.9983, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.9980
2024-06-25 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 18:00: 0.9980
2024-06-25 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 19:00: 0.9980
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.9980
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.9980
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.9980
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.0030
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.9970
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.0030
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.9970
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.0030
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.9970
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.0030
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.9970
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.0030
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.9970
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.0030
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.9970
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.0030
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 884.33, Sell volume: 2288.75, Average price: 0.5003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.0030
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.9970
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.0030
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.9970
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.0030
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.9970
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 06:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 06:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.9975
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.9975
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 318.89, Sell volume: 188.08, Average price: 0.9978, Price range: 0.9954 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.9975
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.9975
2024-06-28 13:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 13:00: 0.9975
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.9975
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.0030
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.9970
2024-06-28 16:00: 0.0030
2024-06-28 16:00: 0.9970
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.9975
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.9975
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.9975
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.9975
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.9975
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.9975
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.9975
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.9975
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.9975
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.9975
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.9975
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.9975
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.9975
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.9975
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.9975
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.9975
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.9975
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.9975
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 3151.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 23:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 23:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 00:00: 0.0025
2024-06-30 00:00: 0.9975
2024-06-30 01:00: 0.0025
2024-06-30 01:00: 0.9975
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.0025
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.9975
2024-06-30 03:00: 0.0025
2024-06-30 03:00: 0.9975
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.0025
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.9975
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.0025
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.9975
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.0025
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.9975
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.0025
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.9975
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.0025
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.9975
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 677.44, Sell volume: 3595.69, Average price: 0.6245, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-07-01 05:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 05:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.0015
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.9985
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.0015
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.9985
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.0015
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.9985
2024-07-01 09:00: 0.0015
2024-07-01 09:00: 0.9985
2024-07-01 10:00: 0.0015
2024-07-01 10:00: 0.9985
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.0015
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.9985
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.0015
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.9985
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.0015
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.9985
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.0015
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.9985
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.0015
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.9985
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.0005
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.9995
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.0005
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.9995
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.0005
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.9995
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.0005
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.9995
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.0005
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.9995
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.0005
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.9995
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.0005
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.9995
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.0005
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.9995
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.9995
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.9995
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.9995
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.9995
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.9995
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 4033.96, Sell volume: 919.06, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.9995
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.9995
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.9995
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.9995
2024-07-02 18:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 18:00: 0.9995
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.9995
2024-07-02 20:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 20:00: 0.9995
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.9995
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.9995
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 13.01, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 02:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 02:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 03:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 03:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 04:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 04:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 05:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 05:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 15.37, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.4950
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.0100
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.0110
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.0110
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.0110
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.0110
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.0110
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.0050
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.0050
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.0050
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.0050
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.0050
2024-06-18 14:00: 0.0040
2024-06-18 15:00: 0.0040
2024-06-18 16:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 964.72, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8010, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.0040
2024-06-18 21:00: 0.0040
2024-06-18 22:00: 0.0040
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.0040
2024-06-19 00:00: 0.0040
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.0040
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.0040
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.0040
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.0040
2024-06-19 05:00: 0.0040
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.0040
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 16:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 21:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 22:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 23:00: 0.0040
2024-06-20 00:00: 0.0040
2024-06-20 01:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1068.93, Sell volume: 673.04, Average price: 0.5015, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-06-20 05:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 06:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 07:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 09:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.0025
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 06:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 07:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 10:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 243.23, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.7495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.0025
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.0025
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.0025
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.0025
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.0025
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.0025
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.0025
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.0025
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.0025
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.0025
2024-06-22 16:00: 0.0025
2024-06-22 17:00: 0.0025
2024-06-22 18:00: 0.0025
2024-06-22 19:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2048.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7500, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.0025
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.0025
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.0025
2024-06-23 02:00: 0.0025
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.0025
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.0025
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 00:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 02:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 04:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 3547.67, Sell volume: 4583.01, Average price: 0.6657, Price range: 0.0013 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 10:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 10:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 11:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 12:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 13:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 402.40, Sell volume: 400.40, Average price: 0.9983, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.0030
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.0030
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.0030
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.0030
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.0030
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.0030
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.0030
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.0030
2024-06-26 19:00: 0.0030
2024-06-26 20:00: 0.0030
2024-06-26 21:00: 0.0030
2024-06-26 22:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 884.33, Sell volume: 2288.75, Average price: 0.5003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.0030
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.0030
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.0030
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 06:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 04:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 05:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 06:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 318.89, Sell volume: 188.08, Average price: 0.9978, Price range: 0.9954 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 13:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.0030
2024-06-28 16:00: 0.0030
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 12:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 15:00: 0.0025
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 3151.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 23:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 00:00: 0.0025
2024-06-30 01:00: 0.0025
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.0025
2024-06-30 03:00: 0.0025
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.0025
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.0025
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.0025
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.0025
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.0025
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 23:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 00:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 01:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 677.44, Sell volume: 3595.69, Average price: 0.6245, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-07-01 05:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.0015
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.0015
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.0015
2024-07-01 09:00: 0.0015
2024-07-01 10:00: 0.0015
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.0015
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.0015
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.0015
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.0015
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.0015
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.0005
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.0005
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.0005
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.0005
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.0005
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.0005
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.0005
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 06:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 07:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 08:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 4033.96, Sell volume: 919.06, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 18:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 20:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 16:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 18:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 13.01, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502271
Question: Greens win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 30064.230521
Price History:
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 02:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 03:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 04:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 05:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.0005
2024-07-05 00:00: 0.0005
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.0005
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.0005
2024-07-05 03:00: 0.0005
2024-07-05 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 15.37, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.5400
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.4600
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.5400
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.4600
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.3650
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.6350
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.3950
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.6050
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.3850
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.6150
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.4050
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.5950
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.3700
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.6300
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.4450
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.5550
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.3400
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.6600
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.3650
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 368578457.70, Sell volume: 151762080.26, Average price: 0.5724, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.4150
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.5850
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.5800
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.4200
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.3900
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.6100
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.3900
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.6100
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.5950
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.4050
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.5850
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.4150
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.6000
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.4000
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.6350
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.3650
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.2850
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.7150
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.2800
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.7200
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.2200
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 368578457.70, Sell volume: 151762080.26, Average price: 0.5724, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.1700
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.8300
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0600
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9400
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0600
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9400
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0540
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9460
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0520
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9480
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.1000
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9000
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9240
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0760
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0895
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9105
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0490
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9510
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.1450
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.8550
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.1600
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 368578457.70, Sell volume: 151762080.26, Average price: 0.5724, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.8725
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.1275
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.2520
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.7480
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.4720
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.5280
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.4185
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.5815
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.6480
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.3520
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.3195
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.6805
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.8195
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.1805
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.2035
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.7965
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0775
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9225
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.1625
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.8375
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.8640
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.1360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 368578457.70, Sell volume: 151762080.26, Average price: 0.5724, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.1845
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.8155
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.7910
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.2090
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.2715
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.7285
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.7045
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.2955
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.2095
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.7905
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.8730
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.1270
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.8035
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.1965
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.2010
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.7990
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.7725
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.2275
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.8475
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.1525
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.1420
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.8580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47952, Buy volume: 7825740.38, Sell volume: 98361.54, Average price: 0.6233, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8620

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.1590
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.8410
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.8050
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.1950
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.7730
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.2270
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9485
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0515
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0610
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9390
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.8815
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.1185
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9305
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0695
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9165
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0835
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9515
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0485
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0270
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9730
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0305
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 833166, Buy volume: 304981464.80, Sell volume: 146256816.78, Average price: 0.5759, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9675
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0325
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9550
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0450
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9305
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0695
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9665
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0335
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9345
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0655
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0665
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9335
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9585
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0415
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9550
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0450
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9370
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0630
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9370
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0630
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9155
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16261, Buy volume: 12177952.69, Sell volume: 1492042.61, Average price: 0.7287, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9105
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0895
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9265
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0735
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9185
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0815
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9195
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0805
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0625
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9375
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9365
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0635
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9770
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0230
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9595
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0405
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0535
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9465
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9390
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0610
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9190
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 187, Buy volume: 87535.30, Sell volume: 16332.09, Average price: 0.5938, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0710
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9290
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0640
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9360
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9580
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0420
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0305
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9695
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0375
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9625
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9490
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0510
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9580
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0420
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9695
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0305
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0400
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9600
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9570
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0430
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0415
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9585
Trade Summary: Total trades: 234, Buy volume: 90993.95, Sell volume: 31455.36, Average price: 0.5493, Price range: 0.0242 - 0.9780

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0405
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9595
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9610
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0390
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9610
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0390
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0390
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9610
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9700
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0300
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9665
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0335
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9655
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0345
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0345
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9655
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9660
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0340
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0360
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9640
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9755
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 17360.70, Sell volume: 16411.12, Average price: 0.5197, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9720

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0235
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9765
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9740
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0260
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0260
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9740
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0160
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9840
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0180
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9820
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0175
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9825
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9775
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0225
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0170
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9830
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9890
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0110
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9925
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0075
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0155
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 15646.15, Sell volume: 19832.45, Average price: 0.5892, Price range: 0.0067 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0145
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9855
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0165
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9835
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9850
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0150
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9850
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0150
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0060
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9940
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9950
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0050
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0045
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9955
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 32177.10, Sell volume: 5678.87, Average price: 0.7868, Price range: 0.0026 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0045
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9955
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 87853.61, Sell volume: 21808.86, Average price: 0.6728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502272
Question: Another party wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30326.116997
Price History:
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.4950
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.5050
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.9895
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.0105
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.9895
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.0105
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.9895
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.0105
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.9895
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.0105
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.9895
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.0105
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.9895
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.0105
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.9895
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.0105
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.9895
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.0100
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.9900
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.0100
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.9900
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.0100
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.9900
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.0100
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.9900
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.0105
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 235.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502272
Question: Another party wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30326.116997
Price History:
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 21:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 21:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 22:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 22:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.0060
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 00:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 00:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 05:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 05:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 16:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 16:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.9940
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 231.81, Sell volume: 20.02, Average price: 0.9975, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502272
Question: Another party wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30326.116997
Price History:
2024-06-20 05:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 05:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 06:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 06:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 07:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 07:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 09:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 09:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.0025
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.9975
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.9970
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.9970
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.9970
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.9970
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.9970
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.9970
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.9970
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 279.27, Sell volume: 66.03, Average price: 0.8320, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502272
Question: Another party wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30326.116997
Price History:
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.9980
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.9980
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.9980
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.9980
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.9980
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.9980
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.9980
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.9980
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.9980
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.9980
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.9980
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.9980
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.9980
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.9980
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.9980
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.9980
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.9980
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.9980
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.9980
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.9980
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.9980
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.9980
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.9980
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.9980
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 379.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502272
Question: Another party wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30326.116997
Price History:
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 02:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 02:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.9980
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 3356.36, Sell volume: 782.42, Average price: 0.7986, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502272
Question: Another party wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30326.116997
Price History:
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 09:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 10:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 10:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 17:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.9980
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.9980
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.9980
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.9980
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.9980
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.9980
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.9980
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.9980
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.9980
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.9980
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 333.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0030

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502272
Question: Another party wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30326.116997
Price History:
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 18:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 18:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 19:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 19:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502272
Question: Another party wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30326.116997
Price History:
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 06:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 06:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.9975
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.9975
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.9975
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.9975
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 499.11, Sell volume: 75.00, Average price: 0.5998, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502272
Question: Another party wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30326.116997
Price History:
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.9975
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.9975
2024-06-28 13:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 13:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 16:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 16:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 3253.17, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8993, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502272
Question: Another party wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30326.116997
Price History:
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.0015
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.9985
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.0015
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.9985
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.0015
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.9985
2024-06-29 23:00: 0.0015
2024-06-29 23:00: 0.9985
2024-06-30 00:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 00:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 01:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 01:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 03:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 03:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 877.44, Sell volume: 3595.28, Average price: 0.5554, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502272
Question: Another party wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30326.116997
Price History:
2024-07-01 05:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 05:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 09:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 09:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 10:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 10:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.9980
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.9980
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.9980
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.9980
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.9980
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.9980
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 8695.98, Sell volume: 7025.67, Average price: 0.9123, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502272
Question: Another party wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30326.116997
Price History:
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.9995
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.9995
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.9995
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.9995
2024-07-02 18:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 18:00: 0.9995
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.9995
2024-07-02 20:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 20:00: 0.9995
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.9995
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.9995
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.0005
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.9995
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 18761.70, Sell volume: 11564.42, Average price: 0.7588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502272
Question: Another party wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30326.116997
Price History:
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.0005
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 02:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 02:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 03:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 03:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 04:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 04:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 05:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 05:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.9995
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 53.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.5400
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.4600
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.5400
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.4600
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.3650
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.6350
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.3950
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.6050
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.3850
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.6150
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.4050
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.5950
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.3700
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.6300
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.4450
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.5550
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.3400
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.6600
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.3650
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 368578457.70, Sell volume: 151762080.26, Average price: 0.5724, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.4150
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.5850
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.5800
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.4200
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.3900
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.6100
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.3900
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.6100
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.5950
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.4050
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.5850
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.4150
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.6000
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.4000
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.6350
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.3650
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.2850
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.7150
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.2800
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.7200
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.2200
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 368578457.70, Sell volume: 151762080.26, Average price: 0.5724, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.1700
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.8300
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0600
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9400
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0600
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9400
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0540
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9460
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0520
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9480
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.1000
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9000
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9240
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0760
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0895
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9105
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0490
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9510
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.1450
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.8550
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.1600
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 368578457.70, Sell volume: 151762080.26, Average price: 0.5724, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.8725
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.1275
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.2520
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.7480
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.4720
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.5280
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.4185
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.5815
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.6480
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.3520
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.3195
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.6805
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.8195
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.1805
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.2035
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.7965
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0775
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9225
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.1625
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.8375
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.8640
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.1360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 368578457.70, Sell volume: 151762080.26, Average price: 0.5724, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.1845
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.8155
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.7910
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.2090
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.2715
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.7285
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.7045
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.2955
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.2095
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.7905
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.8730
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.1270
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.8035
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.1965
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.2010
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.7990
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.7725
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.2275
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.8475
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.1525
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.1420
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.8580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47952, Buy volume: 7825740.38, Sell volume: 98361.54, Average price: 0.6233, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8620
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.1590
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.8410
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.8050
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.1950
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.7730
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.2270
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9485
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0515
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0610
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9390
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.8815
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.1185
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9305
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0695
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9165
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0835
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9515
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0485
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0270
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9730
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0305
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 833166, Buy volume: 304981464.80, Sell volume: 146256816.78, Average price: 0.5759, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9675
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0325
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9550
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0450
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9305
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0695
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9665
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0335
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9345
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0655
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0665
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9335
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9585
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0415
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9550
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0450
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9370
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0630
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9370
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0630
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9155
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16261, Buy volume: 12177952.69, Sell volume: 1492042.61, Average price: 0.7287, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9105
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0895
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9265
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0735
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9185
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0815
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9195
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0805
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0625
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9375
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9365
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0635
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9770
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0230
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9595
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0405
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0535
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9465
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9390
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0610
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9190
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 187, Buy volume: 87535.30, Sell volume: 16332.09, Average price: 0.5938, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0710
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9290
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0640
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9360
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9580
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0420
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0305
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9695
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0375
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9625
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9490
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0510
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9580
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0420
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9695
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0305
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0400
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9600
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9570
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0430
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0415
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9585
Trade Summary: Total trades: 234, Buy volume: 90993.95, Sell volume: 31455.36, Average price: 0.5493, Price range: 0.0242 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0405
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9595
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9610
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0390
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9610
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0390
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0390
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9610
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9700
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0300
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9665
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0335
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9655
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0345
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0345
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9655
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9660
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0340
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0360
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9640
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9755
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 17360.70, Sell volume: 16411.12, Average price: 0.5197, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9720
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0235
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9765
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9740
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0260
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0260
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9740
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0160
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9840
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0180
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9820
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0175
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9825
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9775
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0225
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0170
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9830
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9890
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0110
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9925
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0075
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0155
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 15646.15, Sell volume: 19832.45, Average price: 0.5892, Price range: 0.0067 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0145
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9855
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0165
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9835
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9850
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0150
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9850
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0150
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0060
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9940
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9950
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0050
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0045
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9955
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 32177.10, Sell volume: 5678.87, Average price: 0.7868, Price range: 0.0026 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590790
Question: Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1200931.015352
Price History:
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0045
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9955
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 87853.61, Sell volume: 21808.86, Average price: 0.6728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502272
Question: Another party wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 30326.116997
Price History:
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.4950
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.0105
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.0105
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.0105
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.0105
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.0105
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.0105
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.0105
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.0105
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.0100
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.0100
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.0100
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.0100
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.0105
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.0100
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.0100
2024-06-18 14:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 15:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 16:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 235.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502272
Question: Another party wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 30326.116997
Price History:
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 21:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 22:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 00:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 05:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 16:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 21:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 22:00: 0.0060
2024-06-19 23:00: 0.0040
2024-06-20 00:00: 0.0040
2024-06-20 01:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 231.81, Sell volume: 20.02, Average price: 0.9975, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502272
Question: Another party wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 30326.116997
Price History:
2024-06-20 05:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 06:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 07:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 09:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.0025
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.0030
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.0030
2024-06-21 06:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 07:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 10:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 279.27, Sell volume: 66.03, Average price: 0.8320, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502272
Question: Another party wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 30326.116997
Price History:
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.0020
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 16:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-22 19:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 379.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502272
Question: Another party wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 30326.116997
Price History:
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 02:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.0020
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 00:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 02:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 04:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 3356.36, Sell volume: 782.42, Average price: 0.7986, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502272
Question: Another party wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 30326.116997
Price History:
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 10:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.0020
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 10:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 11:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 12:00: 0.0020
2024-06-25 13:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 333.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0030
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502272
Question: Another party wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 30326.116997
Price History:
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 18:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 19:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 19:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 20:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 21:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 22:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes