Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.9700
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0250
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9735
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0080
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9880
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0190
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9800
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0200
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9800
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.0200
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9830
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0160
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9830
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0175
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.9835
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0165
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.9835
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.0155
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.9850
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0160
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9845
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0150
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9840
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0150
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9845
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0155
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.9845
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0150
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.9850
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0160
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9850
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0150
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.9855
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0145
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.9855
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0150
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.9850
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.0150
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.9850
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0155
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.9850
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.0155
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.9850
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.0150
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9870
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.0130
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.9895
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0115
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118872756.45, Sell volume: 138551042.40, Average price: 0.9772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0095
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9910
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0080
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.9925
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0075
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9925
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0070
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.9930
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0065
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.9925
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0075
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9925
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0070
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9930
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0070
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0075
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9930
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0070
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9940
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.0060
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.9940
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0060
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.9935
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.0060
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.9930
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.0050
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.9950
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.0055
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.9945
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.0050
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9950
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.0070
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.9935
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.0070
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.9920
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.0070
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9930
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.0075
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.9925
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.0075
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.9925
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.0075
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.9925
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.0075
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118872756.45, Sell volume: 138551042.40, Average price: 0.9772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.0055
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9895
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.0115
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.9885
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.0110
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.9900
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0100
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9900
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0100
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.9915
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0090
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.9910
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.0090
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.9915
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.0085
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.9915
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0085
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.9915
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0090
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9910
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.0100
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.9890
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0095
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.9905
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.0100
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9895
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0090
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.9910
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0105
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.9895
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0100
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.9910
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.9895
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0105
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.9890
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.0110
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9895
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.0105
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.9895
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0105
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.9905
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0105
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9900
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0105
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.9895
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9900
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0070
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118872756.45, Sell volume: 138551042.40, Average price: 0.9772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.9910
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0085
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9915
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9910
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0095
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9910
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9905
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9920
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9920
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9905
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0095
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9905
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0095
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9925
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0095
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9905
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9915
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9920
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9920
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9915
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0080
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9920
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0080
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0080
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9920
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0100
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118872756.45, Sell volume: 138551042.40, Average price: 0.9772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0100
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9900
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0100
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9930
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0095
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9890
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.0105
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.9895
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0155
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.9885
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0115
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.9840
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.9855
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.0075
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.9925
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0075
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.9925
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0075
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.9925
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0075
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.9925
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0080
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.9920
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0080
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.9890
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0160
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9885
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0170
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.9810
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0175
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9840
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0145
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.9830
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0165
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9815
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0165
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.9850
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0135
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9785
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0155
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9815
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0135
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.9815
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0190
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.9875
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0185
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9865
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0180
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118872756.45, Sell volume: 138551042.40, Average price: 0.9772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0195
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9825
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0195
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9790
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0190
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0170
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9830
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0095
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9915
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0080
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.9915
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0080
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.9920
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0080
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.9920
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0080
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.9920
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0080
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.9920
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0070
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9930
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0070
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9930
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0070
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9930
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0070
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.9930
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.0070
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.9930
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0070
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.9930
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0070
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.9930
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0070
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.9935
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0065
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9935
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0065
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9935
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0065
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.9935
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0065
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118872756.45, Sell volume: 138551042.40, Average price: 0.9772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0065
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.9935
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0065
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.9935
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0065
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9935
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0065
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9935
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0065
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.9935
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.9940
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.9935
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.9940
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0055
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.9945
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0055
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9945
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0055
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0055
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.9945
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0055
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.9945
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0055
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9945
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0055
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9945
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0055
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9945
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0055
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.9945
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0055
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.9945
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0055
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.9945
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0055
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.9945
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0055
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0055
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.9945
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0075
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.9925
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0055
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.9945
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0055
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118872756.45, Sell volume: 138551042.40, Average price: 0.9772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0070
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.9940
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0060
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.9940
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0060
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9940
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0060
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.9940
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0060
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9940
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0060
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.9940
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0060
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9940
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0060
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9940
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0060
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9940
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0060
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.9940
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0060
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.9940
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0060
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.9940
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0060
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.9940
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.0060
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9940
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0060
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.9940
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0060
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.9940
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.0060
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.9940
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.0060
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.9940
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.0060
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.9940
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.0060
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.9940
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0060
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.9940
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.0060
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.9940
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.0060
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.9940
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.0060
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.9940
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0060
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118872756.45, Sell volume: 138551042.40, Average price: 0.9772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0060
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.9940
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.0060
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.9940
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.0060
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.9940
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0050
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9950
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.9950
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0050
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.9950
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9950
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.9950
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.9950
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.0050
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.9950
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9950
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.9950
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0050
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.9950
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9950
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.0050
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.9950
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0050
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0050
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0050
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.0045
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.9955
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0045
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9955
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.9955
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0045
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.9955
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.9955
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0045
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9955
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.9955
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.0045
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9955
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.0045
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.9965
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.9965
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9965
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.9965
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9965
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.9965
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9965
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118872756.45, Sell volume: 138551042.40, Average price: 0.9772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0035
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.0035
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9965
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0035
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0035
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9965
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9965
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9965
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118872756.45, Sell volume: 138551042.40, Average price: 0.9772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0035
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9965
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9965
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999035, Buy volume: 115988774.31, Sell volume: 138477525.69, Average price: 0.9774, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0040
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 726, Buy volume: 164947.45, Sell volume: 40903.70, Average price: 0.9054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0210
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9900
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 239, Buy volume: 2719034.69, Sell volume: 32613.01, Average price: 0.2930, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9785
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0200
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9880
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0200
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9800
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.0200
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9805
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0170
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.9835
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0160
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.9845
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0160
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9840
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0155
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9845
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0155
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9845
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0160
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9845
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0150
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.9855
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.0145
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.9850
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0155
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.9850
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0150
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9870
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0130
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118872756.45, Sell volume: 138551042.40, Average price: 0.9772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0095
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9920
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0075
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9925
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0070
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.9925
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0075
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9930
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0070
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0075
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9930
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.0060
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.9940
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0060
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.9935
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.0050
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.9950
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.0055
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9950
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.0065
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.9925
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.0070
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.9925
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.0075
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.9925
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0075
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118872756.45, Sell volume: 138551042.40, Average price: 0.9772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.0055
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9885
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0115
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.9900
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0100
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.9900
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0090
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.9915
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.0085
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.9915
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.0085
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.9910
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.9910
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.0105
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9895
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.0090
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.9895
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0100
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.9900
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.0105
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.9890
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0105
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.9895
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0105
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.9895
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0100
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.9895
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0105
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118872756.45, Sell volume: 138551042.40, Average price: 0.9772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.9910
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0085
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9910
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0080
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9905
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9920
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9920
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0095
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9905
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0095
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9905
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9915
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0085
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9920
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0080
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9920
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0080
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0080
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118872756.45, Sell volume: 138551042.40, Average price: 0.9772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0100
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9900
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0070
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9890
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0105
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.9840
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0115
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.9875
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0085
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.9925
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0075
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.9925
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0075
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.9925
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0075
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.9890
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0105
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9840
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0175
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.9870
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0155
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9815
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0170
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9850
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0155
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.9815
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0150
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.9875
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0160
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118872756.45, Sell volume: 138551042.40, Average price: 0.9772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0195
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9810
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0185
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0165
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0085
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9915
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0085
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9920
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0080
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.9920
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0080
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.9920
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0070
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.9930
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0070
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.9930
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0070
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.9930
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0070
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.9930
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0070
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9935
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0065
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9935
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0065
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118872756.45, Sell volume: 138551042.40, Average price: 0.9772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0065
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9935
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0065
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9935
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0065
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9935
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.9940
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.9940
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0055
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.9945
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0055
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.9945
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0055
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.9945
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0055
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.9945
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0055
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.9945
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0055
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.9945
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0055
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9945
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0055
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9945
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0075
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.9925
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0055
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118872756.45, Sell volume: 138551042.40, Average price: 0.9772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0070
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.9940
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0060
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9940
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0060
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.9940
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0060
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9940
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0060
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9940
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0060
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9940
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0060
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.9940
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.0060
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.9940
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.0060
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.9940
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0060
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.9940
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0060
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.9940
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0060
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.9940
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0060
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.9940
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0060
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.9940
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.0060
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118872756.45, Sell volume: 138551042.40, Average price: 0.9772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0060
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.9940
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.0060
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.9940
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.9950
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.0050
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.9950
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.0050
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.0050
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.9950
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.0050
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.9950
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9950
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9950
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9950
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0050
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0045
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.9955
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.9955
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.0045
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0045
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9955
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.0045
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.0045
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.9965
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.0035
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118872756.45, Sell volume: 138551042.40, Average price: 0.9772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0035
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.0035
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0035
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118872756.45, Sell volume: 138551042.40, Average price: 0.9772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0035
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9965
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999035, Buy volume: 115988774.31, Sell volume: 138477525.69, Average price: 0.9774, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 726, Buy volume: 164947.45, Sell volume: 40903.70, Average price: 0.9054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521938
Question: Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 3854866.286442
Price History:
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9815
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 239, Buy volume: 2719034.69, Sell volume: 32613.01, Average price: 0.2930, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["$90k", "$100k"]
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.6050
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.3950
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.4650
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.5350
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.6950
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.2750
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.7250
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.2900
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.7100
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.2850
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.7150
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.2850
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.7150
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.2900
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.7100
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.2900
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.7100
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.2800
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.7200
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.2600
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.7400
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.2800
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.7200
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.2600
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.7400
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.2550
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.7450
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.2600
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.7400
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.2900
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.7100
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.2800
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.7200
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.2350
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.7650
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.2750
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.7250
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.2350
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.7650
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.1200
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["$90k", "$100k"]
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.1650
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.8350
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.1800
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.8200
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.2350
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.7650
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.2100
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.7900
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.2400
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.7600
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.2350
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.7650
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.2300
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.7700
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.1950
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.8050
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.2150
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.7850
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.1900
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.8100
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.2150
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.7850
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.2150
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.7850
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.7750
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.2400
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.7600
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.7750
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.7750
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.2000
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.8000
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.1950
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.8050
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.1850
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.8150
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.1950
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.8050
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.2100
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["$90k", "$100k"]
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.2000
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.8000
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.7750
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.7750
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.7750
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.2200
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.7800
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.7750
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.7750
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.7750
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.2200
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.7800
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.7750
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.2300
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.7700
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.2350
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.7650
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.2350
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.7650
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.2400
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.7600
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["$90k", "$100k"]
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.2650
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.7350
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.2850
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.7150
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.2800
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.7200
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.2800
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.7200
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.2750
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.7250
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.2800
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.7200
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.2700
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.7300
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.2800
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.7200
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.2650
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.7350
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.2850
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.7150
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.3400
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.6600
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.3400
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.6600
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.3150
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.6850
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.3350
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.6650
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.3350
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.6650
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.6550
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.3250
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.6750
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.3350
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.6650
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.3700
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.6300
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["$90k", "$100k"]
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.6550
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.3550
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.6450
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.3550
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.6450
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.3400
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.6600
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.3400
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.6600
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.3050
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.6950
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.3900
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.6100
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.4300
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.5700
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.4050
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.5950
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.4250
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.5750
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.4050
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.5950
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.3650
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.6350
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.3300
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.6700
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.3750
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.6250
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.3700
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.6300
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.3850
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.6150
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.3250
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.6750
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.6550
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.3400
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.6600
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.3550
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.6450
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.3950
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["$90k", "$100k"]
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.4300
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.5700
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.3950
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.6050
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.4150
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.5850
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.3950
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.6050
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.3850
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.6150
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.3900
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.6100
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.3500
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.6500
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.3400
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.6600
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.4050
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.5950
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.4050
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.5950
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.4700
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.5300
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.5200
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.4800
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.5350
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.4650
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.5350
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.4650
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.5400
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.4600
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.4600
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.5400
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.4100
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.5900
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.4050
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.5950
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.4100
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.5900
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.4250
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.5750
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.3700
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["$90k", "$100k"]
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.3750
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.6250
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.4150
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.5850
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.4300
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.5700
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.3850
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.6150
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.3800
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.6200
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.3650
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.6350
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.3450
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.6550
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.3150
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.6850
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.3200
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.6800
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.3200
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.6800
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.3750
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.6250
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.3500
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.6500
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.3200
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.6800
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.3750
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.6250
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.3450
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.6550
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.3200
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.6800
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.3200
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.6800
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.3050
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.6950
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.3100
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["$90k", "$100k"]
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.2900
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.7100
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.2850
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.7150
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.2350
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.7650
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.2650
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.7350
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.2450
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.7550
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.2650
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.7350
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.2800
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.7200
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.2800
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.7200
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.2600
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.7400
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.2600
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.7400
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.2450
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.7550
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.2600
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.7400
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.2350
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.7650
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.2250
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.7750
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.2650
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.7350
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.2850
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.7150
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.2250
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.7750
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.1800
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.8200
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.1450
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.8550
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.1350
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.8650
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.1250
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["$90k", "$100k"]
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.1650
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.8350
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.1550
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.8450
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.1400
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.8600
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.1450
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.8550
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.1400
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.8600
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.1600
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.8400
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.1550
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.8450
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.1500
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.8500
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.1400
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.8600
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.1400
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.8600
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.1550
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.8450
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.1600
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.8400
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.1500
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.8500
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.1300
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.8700
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.1250
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.8750
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.1050
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.8950
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.0600
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.9400
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.1200
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.8800
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.1700
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.8300
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.1850
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.8150
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.2850
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["$90k", "$100k"]
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.3050
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.6950
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.3850
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.6150
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.4150
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.5850
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.3700
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.6300
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.3450
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.6550
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.3300
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.6700
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.3250
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.6750
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.3200
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.6800
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.3200
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.6800
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.3250
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.6750
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.3150
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.6850
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.3100
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.6900
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.3100
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.6900
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.3250
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.6750
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.3250
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.6750
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.3000
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.7000
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.3000
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.7000
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.2950
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.7050
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.2700
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.7300
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.7200
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["$90k", "$100k"]
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.2850
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.7150
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.2850
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.7150
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.2850
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.7150
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.2850
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.7150
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.7200
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.7200
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.2950
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.7050
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.2950
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.7050
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.2950
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.7050
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.3050
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.6950
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.3050
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.6950
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.3150
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.6850
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.3000
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.7000
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.3050
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.6950
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.3200
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.6800
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.3350
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.6650
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.3400
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["$90k", "$100k"]
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.3750
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.6250
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.3850
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.6150
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.3750
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.6250
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.3750
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.6250
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.3700
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.6300
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.3650
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.6350
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.3850
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.6150
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.3800
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.6200
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.3400
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.6600
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.3350
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.6650
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.3650
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.6350
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.3750
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.6250
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.4000
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.6000
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.4300
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.5700
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.3850
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.6150
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.3700
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.6300
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.3800
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.6200
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.4250
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["$90k", "$100k"]
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.4100
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.5900
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.4150
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.5850
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.3950
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.6050
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.3950
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.6050
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.3950
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.6050
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.4900
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.5100
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.5350
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.4650
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.5200
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.4800
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.5050
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.4950
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.5650
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.4350
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.5350
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.4650
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.5350
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.4650
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.5400
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.4600
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.7100
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.2900
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.8450
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.1550
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.8100
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.1900
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.7950
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.2050
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.7450
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.2550
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.7450
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.2550
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.7700
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.2300
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.7600
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.6050
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.3950
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.4650
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.5350
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.6950
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.2750
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.7250
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.2900
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.7100
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.2850
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.7150
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.2850
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.7150
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.2900
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.7100
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.2900
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.7100
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.2800
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.7200
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.2600
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.7400
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.2800
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.7200
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.2600
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.7400
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.2550
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.7450
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.2600
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.1650
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.8350
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.1800
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.8200
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.2350
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.7650
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.2100
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.7900
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.2400
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.7600
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.2350
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.7650
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.2300
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.7700
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.1950
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.8050
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.2150
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.7850
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.1900
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.8100
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.2150
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.7850
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.2150
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.7850
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.7750
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.2400
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.7600
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.2000
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.8000
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.7750
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.7750
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.7750
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.2200
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.7800
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.7750
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.2250
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.7750
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.7750
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.2200
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.2650
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.7350
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.2850
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.7150
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.2800
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.7200
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.2800
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.7200
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.2750
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.7250
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.2800
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.7200
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.2700
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.7300
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.2800
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.7200
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.2650
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.7350
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.2850
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.7150
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.3400
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.6600
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.3400
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.6600
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.3150
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.6850
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.3350
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.6550
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.3550
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.6450
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.3550
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.6450
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.3400
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.6600
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.3400
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.6600
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.3050
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.6950
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.3900
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.6100
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.4300
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.5700
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.4050
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.5950
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.4250
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.5750
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.4050
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.5950
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.3650
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.6350
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.3300
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.6700
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.3750
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.6250
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.3700
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.4300
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.5700
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.3950
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.6050
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.4150
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.5850
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.3950
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.6050
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.3850
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.6150
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.3900
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.6100
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.3500
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.6500
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.3400
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.6600
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.4050
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.5950
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.4050
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.5950
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.4700
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.5300
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.5200
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.4800
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.5350
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.4650
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.5350
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.4650
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.5400
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.3750
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.6250
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.4150
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.5850
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.4300
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.5700
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.3850
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.6150
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.3800
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.6200
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.3650
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.6350
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.3450
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.6550
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.3150
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.6850
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.3200
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.6800
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.3200
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.6800
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.3750
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.6250
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.3500
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.6500
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.3200
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.2900
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.7100
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.2850
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.7150
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.2350
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.7650
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.2650
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.7350
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.2450
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.7550
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.2650
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.7350
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.2800
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.7200
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.2800
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.7200
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.2600
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.7400
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.2600
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.7400
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.2450
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.7550
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.2600
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.7400
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.2350
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.7650
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.2250
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.7750
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.2650
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.1650
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.8350
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.1550
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.8450
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.1400
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.8600
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.1450
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.8550
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.1400
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.8600
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.1600
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.8400
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.1550
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.8450
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.1500
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.8500
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.1400
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.8600
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.1400
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.8600
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.1550
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.8450
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.1600
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.8400
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.1500
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.8500
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.1300
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.8700
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.1250
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.3050
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.6950
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.3850
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.6150
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.4150
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.5850
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.3700
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.6300
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.3450
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.6550
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.3300
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.6700
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.3250
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.6750
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.3200
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.6800
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.3200
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.6800
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.3250
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.6750
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.3150
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.6850
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.3100
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.6900
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.3100
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.6900
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.3250
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.6750
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.3250
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.2850
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.7150
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.2850
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.7150
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.2850
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.7150
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.2850
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.7150
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.7200
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.7200
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.2950
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.7050
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.2950
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.7050
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.2950
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.7050
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.3050
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.6950
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.3050
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.3750
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.6250
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.3850
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.6150
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.3750
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.6250
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.3750
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.6250
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.3700
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.6300
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.3650
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.6350
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.3850
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.6150
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.3800
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.6200
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.3400
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.6600
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.3350
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.6650
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.3650
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.6350
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.3750
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523144
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 516071.031024
Price History:
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.4100
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.5900
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.4150
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.5850
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.3950
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.6050
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.3950
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.6050
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.3950
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.6050
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.4900
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.5100
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.5350
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.4650
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.5200
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.4800
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.5050
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.4950
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.5650
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.4350
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.5350
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.4650
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.5350
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.4650
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.5400
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.4600
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.7100
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.2900
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.8450
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581640
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be <85
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7296.002866
Price History:
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.4950
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.5050
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.2600
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.7400
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.2650
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.7350
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.2600
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.7400
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.2600
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.7400
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.7800
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.2200
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.7850
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.2150
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.2150
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.7850
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.2150
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.7850
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.2150
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.7850
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.7850
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.2150
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.2150
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.7850
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.2150
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.7850
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.2350
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.7650
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.2350
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.7650
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.2550
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.7450
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.7450
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.2550
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.2650
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.7350
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.7750
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.2250
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.7800
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.2200
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.2200
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.7800
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.2200
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 6977.94, Sell volume: 318.06, Average price: 0.7631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581640
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be <85
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7296.002866
Price History:
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.2150
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.2150
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.7850
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.2150
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.7850
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.2150
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.7400
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.2600
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.7400
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.2600
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.7400
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.2600
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.2600
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.7400
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.6850
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.3150
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.3150
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.6850
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.3150
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.6850
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.3150
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.6850
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 56.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8277, Price range: 0.5431 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581640
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be <85
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7296.002866
Price History:
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.3100
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.6900
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.2750
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.7250
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.3050
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.6950
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.3100
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.6900
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.6950
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.3050
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.3100
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.6900
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.3100
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.6900
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.3050
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.6950
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.3050
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 6977.94, Sell volume: 318.06, Average price: 0.7631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581640
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be <85
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7296.002866
Price History:
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.6950
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.6950
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.3050
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.3050
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.6950
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.3050
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.6950
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.3000
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.7000
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.3000
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.7000
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.3000
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.7000
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.3000
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.7000
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.3050
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.6950
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.3050
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.6950
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.3050
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.6950
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.3100
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.6900
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.3100
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.6900
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.6900
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.3100
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.6900
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.3100
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.3050
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.6950
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.3050
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.6950
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.3050
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.6950
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.3050
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.6950
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.3050
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.6950
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.3100
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.6900
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.3100
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.6900
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.3100
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.6900
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.3100
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.6900
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.6900
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.3100
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 6977.94, Sell volume: 318.06, Average price: 0.7631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581640
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be <85
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7296.002866
Price History:
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.3000
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.7000
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.3100
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.6900
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.3000
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.7000
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.7000
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.3000
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.3000
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.7000
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.3000
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.7000
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.3000
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.7000
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.3000
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.6950
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.3050
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.6950
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.7000
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.3000
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.2100
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.7900
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.2750
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.7300
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.2600
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.7400
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.2950
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.7050
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.2800
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.7200
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.2550
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.7450
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0950
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9050
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9050
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0950
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0950
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9050
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0950
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9050
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0950
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9050
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0950
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 280.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7449, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581640
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be <85
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7296.002866
Price History:
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9400
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0600
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9400
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0600
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9400
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0600
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9400
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0600
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9400
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0600
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9400
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0600
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9400
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0600
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9400
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.41, Sell volume: 6.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581640
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be <85
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7296.002866
Price History:
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0700
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9300
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0700
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9300
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0700
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9300
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9300
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0700
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9300
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9300
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9250
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0750
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9350
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0650
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.2250
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.7750
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.1800
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.8200
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.1800
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.8200
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.8300
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.8300
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.8300
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.8300
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.8300
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.8300
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.8350
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.1650
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0450
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0650
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9350
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0650
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9350
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0650
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9350
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9350
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 44.00, Average price: 0.3500, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581640
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be <85
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7296.002866
Price History:
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0305
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9695
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0305
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9695
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0260
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9740
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0270
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9730
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0270
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9730
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0270
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9730
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0325
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9675
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0325
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9675
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0325
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9675
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0275
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9725
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0275
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9725
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0275
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9725
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9725
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0275
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0350
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9650
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9650
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0350
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0350
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9650
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0350
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9650
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0350
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9650
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0350
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9650
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0275
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9725
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9725
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0275
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0275
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9725
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 6977.94, Sell volume: 318.06, Average price: 0.7631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581640
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be <85
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7296.002866
Price History:
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0435
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9565
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9565
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0435
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9565
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0435
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9550
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0450
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9550
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0450
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9550
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0450
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0450
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9550
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0450
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9550
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9555
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9555
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9555
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9555
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9555
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9555
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9555
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9555
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9555
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9555
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9555
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9555
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9555
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9555
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9555
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9555
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 6977.94, Sell volume: 318.06, Average price: 0.7631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581640
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be <85
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7296.002866
Price History:
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9555
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9555
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9555
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9555
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9555
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9555
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9555
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9555
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9555
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9555
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9555
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9555
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9555
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9555
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9555
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9555
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9555
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9555
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9555
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9555
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9555
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9555
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0445
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9555
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9555
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0445
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 6977.94, Sell volume: 318.06, Average price: 0.7631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581640
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be <85
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7296.002866
Price History:
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0445
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9555
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0445
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9555
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9555
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0445
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0445
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9555
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0445
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9555
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0445
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9555
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0445
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9555
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0445
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9555
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0445
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9555
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0445
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9555
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0445
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9555
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0445
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9555
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0445
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9555
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0445
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9555
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0445
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9555
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0445
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9555
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0345
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9655
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0345
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9655
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0345
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9655
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0345
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9655
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9655
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0345
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9655
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0345
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9755
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0245
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9755
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0245
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0345
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.0090, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.0090

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581640
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be <85
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7296.002866
Price History:
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0145
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9870
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9870
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0130
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.9870
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0130
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9870
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0130
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9870
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0130
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9870
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0130
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0130
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.9870
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0105
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0105
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0105
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0105
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0105
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0105
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0105
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0105
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 46.03, Average price: 0.0070, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.0070

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581640
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be <85
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7296.002866
Price History:
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0105
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.0105
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0105
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9895
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0145
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9855
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9855
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0145
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9855
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0145
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9855
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0145
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0145
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9855
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0145
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9855
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9895
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9895
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9895
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9895
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9895
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9895
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9895
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9895
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9895
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9895
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9895
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9895
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9895
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 6977.94, Sell volume: 318.06, Average price: 0.7631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581640
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be <85
Volume: 7296.002866
Price History:
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.4950
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.2600
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.2650
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.2600
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.2600
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.7800
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.7850
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.2150
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.2150
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.2150
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.7850
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.2150
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.2150
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.2350
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.2350
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.2550
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.7450
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.2650
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.7750
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.7800
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.2200
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.2200
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.7850
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.2150
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.7850
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.2150
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 6977.94, Sell volume: 318.06, Average price: 0.7631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581640
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be <85
Volume: 7296.002866
Price History:
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.2150
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.7850
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.7850
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.2600
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.2600
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.2600
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.7400
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.3150
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.6850
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.6850
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.6850
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.6850
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.6850
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 56.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8277, Price range: 0.5431 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581640
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be <85
Volume: 7296.002866
Price History:
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.3100
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.2750
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.3050
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.3100
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.6950
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.3100
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.3100
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.3050
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.3050
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.3050
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.3050
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.3050
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.3050
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 6977.94, Sell volume: 318.06, Average price: 0.7631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581640
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be <85
Volume: 7296.002866
Price History:
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.6950
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.3050
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.6950
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.6950
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.7000
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.7000
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.7000
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.7000
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.6950
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.6950
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.6950
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.6900
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.6900
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.3100
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.3100
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.6950
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.6950
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.6950
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.6950
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.6950
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.6900
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.6900
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.6900
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.6900
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.3100
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.6900
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.6900
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.3000
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.6900
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 6977.94, Sell volume: 318.06, Average price: 0.7631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581640
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be <85
Volume: 7296.002866
Price History:
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.3000
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.3100
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.3000
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.7000
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.3000
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.3000
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.3000
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.3000
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.3050
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.3000
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.2100
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.2750
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.2600
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.2950
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.2800
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.2550
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0950
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9050
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0950
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0950
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0950
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0950
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0950
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0950
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0950
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0950
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 280.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7449, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581640
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be <85
Volume: 7296.002866
Price History:
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9400
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9400
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9400
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9400
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9400
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9400
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9400
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9400
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9300
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0700
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9300
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0700
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0700
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.41, Sell volume: 6.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581640
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be <85
Volume: 7296.002866
Price History:
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0700
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0700
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0700
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9300
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0700
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9250
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9350
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.2250
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.1800
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.1800
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.8300
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.8350
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0650
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0650
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0650
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9350
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0650
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0650
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0650
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9350
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 44.00, Average price: 0.3500, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581640
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be <85
Volume: 7296.002866
Price History:
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9695
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9695
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9740
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9730
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9730
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9730
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9675
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9675
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9675
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9725
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9725
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9725
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0275
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9650
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0350
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9650
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9650
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9650
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9650
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9725
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0275
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9725
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9725
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0275
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0275
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9725
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 6977.94, Sell volume: 318.06, Average price: 0.7631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581640
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be <85
Volume: 7296.002866
Price History:
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0435
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9565
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9565
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9550
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9550
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9550
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0450
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0450
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9555
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9555
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0445
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 6977.94, Sell volume: 318.06, Average price: 0.7631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes