Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.5450
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.4550
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.4650
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.5350
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.4450
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.5550
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.4500
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.5500
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.4500
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.5500
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.4250
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.5750
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.8200
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.1800
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.8300
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 568.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6373, Price range: 0.5700 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8550
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.1450
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1450
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.8550
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1150
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.8850
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.1150
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8850
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.8900
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.4908, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8516

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 68.06, Sell volume: 6.30, Average price: 0.5150, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 13145.39, Sell volume: 3030.22, Average price: 0.6043, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 113.56, Sell volume: 24.00, Average price: 0.2887, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 107.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9344, Price range: 0.9344 - 0.9344

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 292.49, Sell volume: 62.50, Average price: 0.7200, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 606.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1268.16, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.6390, Price range: 0.0669 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1550.74, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.5032, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9321

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9650
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0350
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0345
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9655
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9830
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0170
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0170
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9830
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0135
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9865
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 5478.16, Sell volume: 1962.81, Average price: 0.6244, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.5100
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.4900
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.5100
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.5100
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.4900
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1550
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.8450
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.1600
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.8400
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.8200
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.1800
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.8200
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.1800
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 209.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6136, Price range: 0.1583 - 0.8533
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.4800
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.5200
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.4500
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.5500
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.5500
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.4500
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.4500
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.5500
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.4550
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.5450
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 420.88, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.5064, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.5450
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.4550
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.4650
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.5350
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.4450
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.5550
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.4500
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.5500
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.4500
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.5500
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.4250
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.5750
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.8200
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.1800
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.8300
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 568.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6373, Price range: 0.5700 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8550
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.1450
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1450
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.8550
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1150
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.8850
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.1150
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8850
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.8900
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.4908, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8516
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 68.06, Sell volume: 6.30, Average price: 0.5150, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 13145.39, Sell volume: 3030.22, Average price: 0.6043, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 113.56, Sell volume: 24.00, Average price: 0.2887, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 107.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9344, Price range: 0.9344 - 0.9344
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 292.49, Sell volume: 62.50, Average price: 0.7200, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 606.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1268.16, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.6390, Price range: 0.0669 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1550.74, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.5032, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9321
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9650
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0350
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0345
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9655
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9830
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0170
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0170
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9830
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0135
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9865
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 5478.16, Sell volume: 1962.81, Average price: 0.6244, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.4650
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.5350
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.4650
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.5350
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.4650
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.5350
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1400
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.8600
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.4550
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.5450
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.7550
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.2450
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.7450
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.2550
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.7350
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 220.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3079, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.3300
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.6700
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.3350
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.6650
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.5150
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.4850
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.5100
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.4900
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.5200
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.4800
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.5150
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.4850
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.4900
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.5100
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.4950
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.5050
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.2150
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.7850
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.2600
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 287.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.2591 - 0.7667

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.4500
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.5500
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.4600
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.5400
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.4650
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.5350
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.3600
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.6400
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.3200
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.6800
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.7100
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.2900
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.7250
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.8100
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.1900
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 406.69, Sell volume: 183.33, Average price: 0.3264, Price range: 0.1709 - 0.7300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.1500
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.8500
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1500
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.1350
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.1300
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.8700
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.8750
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1250
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.1250
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.8750
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1250
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.8750
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9100
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0900
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0900
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9100
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0900
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 105.26, Average price: 0.1200, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.1200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0900
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9100
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9100
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0900
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0900
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9100
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 10293.49, Sell volume: 4107.01, Average price: 0.4696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 10293.49, Sell volume: 4107.01, Average price: 0.4696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 101.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5150, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 175.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 658.71, Sell volume: 251.00, Average price: 0.3178, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 306.51, Sell volume: 151.00, Average price: 0.2400, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9400
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9400
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 706.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9425, Price range: 0.9350 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1553.27, Sell volume: 350.00, Average price: 0.4946, Price range: 0.0681 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 3612.21, Sell volume: 701.00, Average price: 0.5024, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.4650
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.5350
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.4650
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.5350
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.4650
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.5350
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1400
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.8600
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.4550
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.5450
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.7550
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.2450
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.7450
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.2550
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.7350
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 220.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3079, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.3300
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.6700
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.3350
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.6650
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.5150
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.4850
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.5100
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.4900
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.5200
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.4800
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.5150
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.4850
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.4900
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.5100
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.4950
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.5050
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.2150
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.7850
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.2600
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 287.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.2591 - 0.7667
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.4500
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.5500
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.4600
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.5400
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.4650
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.5350
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.3600
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.6400
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.3200
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.6800
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.7100
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.2900
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.7250
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.8100
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.1900
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 406.69, Sell volume: 183.33, Average price: 0.3264, Price range: 0.1709 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.1500
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.8500
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1500
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.1350
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.1300
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.8700
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.8750
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1250
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.1250
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.8750
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1250
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.8750
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9100
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0900
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0900
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9100
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0900
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 105.26, Average price: 0.1200, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.1200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0900
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9100
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9100
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0900
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0900
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9100
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 10293.49, Sell volume: 4107.01, Average price: 0.4696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 10293.49, Sell volume: 4107.01, Average price: 0.4696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 101.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5150, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 175.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 658.71, Sell volume: 251.00, Average price: 0.3178, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 306.51, Sell volume: 151.00, Average price: 0.2400, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9400
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9400
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 706.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9425, Price range: 0.9350 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1553.27, Sell volume: 350.00, Average price: 0.4946, Price range: 0.0681 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636804
Question: Will The Associated Press have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 14400.498599
Price History:
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 3612.21, Sell volume: 701.00, Average price: 0.5024, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.5500
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.4500
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.5300
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.4700
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.8100
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1900
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.2450
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.7550
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.3000
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.7000
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.4100
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.5900
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.4150
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.5850
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.4150
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.5850
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.5600
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 520.46, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.1769 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.5600
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.4400
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.5600
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.4400
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.4700
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.5300
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.5400
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.4600
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.3400
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.6600
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.3450
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.6550
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.6600
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.3400
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.3400
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.6600
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.6600
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.3400
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.2900
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.7100
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.2900
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 616.25, Sell volume: 105.78, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.6600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.7100
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.2900
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.4050
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.5950
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.3450
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.6550
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.3700
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.6300
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.3550
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.6450
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.3350
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.6650
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.3350
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.6650
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.7500
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.2500
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.2200
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.7800
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.1700
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.8300
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.8450
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1001.28, Sell volume: 804.63, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7762

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.1450
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8550
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.8600
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1400
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1250
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.8750
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 35.71, Sell volume: 88.92, Average price: 0.1333, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.1400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1150
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.8850
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.8850
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.1150
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.1150
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.8850
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 131, Buy volume: 16593.25, Sell volume: 7026.55, Average price: 0.5645, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.1200
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.1200
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.8800
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.8850
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.1150
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.8850
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.1150
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.1100
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.1100
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 131, Buy volume: 16593.25, Sell volume: 7026.55, Average price: 0.5645, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.1100
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.1100
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.1100
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 749.46, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 28.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 771.36, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.7225, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 879.74, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6521, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9400
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.1150
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1425.35, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.3582, Price range: 0.0492 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9100
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0900
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.8800
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.1200
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.8850
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.1150
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 4183.02, Sell volume: 590.93, Average price: 0.7339, Price range: 0.0936 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9650
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0350
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0340
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9660
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9895
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0105
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9890
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9910
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0090
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9925
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2467.14, Sell volume: 4967.36, Average price: 0.5578, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.3550
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.6450
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.2150
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.7850
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.2300
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.7700
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.4750
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 387.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5722, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.9592

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.2750
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.7250
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.2600
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.7400
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.1650
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.8350
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.1700
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.8300
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.1700
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 213.40, Sell volume: 53.21, Average price: 0.4915, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.2350
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.7650
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.2700
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.7300
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.2550
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.7450
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.2600
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.7400
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.2600
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 205.33, Sell volume: 192.70, Average price: 0.6258, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.2500
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.7500
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.2600
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.7400
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.2250
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.7750
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.2350
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.7650
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.2150
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1329.78, Sell volume: 99.99, Average price: 0.5860, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7973

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.2050
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.7950
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.8050
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.8050
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.8050
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 286.10, Sell volume: 438.09, Average price: 0.2025, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.2100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.8050
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.8050
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.8050
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.8050
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.1900
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.57, Sell volume: 4.68, Average price: 0.2025, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.2100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.1900
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.8100
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.1900
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.8100
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.8050
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.8050
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 28.31, Sell volume: 19.82, Average price: 0.7229, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.1950
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.8050
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.1950
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.8050
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.1950
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.8050
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.1950
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.8050
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.1950
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 242.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3220, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.2000
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.8000
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.1850
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.8150
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.8150
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.1850
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.8150
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.1300
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1205.73, Sell volume: 91.76, Average price: 0.4990, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.1300
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.8700
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.1500
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.8500
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.1500
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.8500
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2419.66, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.6339, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8941

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0900
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9100
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0900
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9100
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0350
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9650
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2504.55, Sell volume: 585.48, Average price: 0.6847, Price range: 0.0208 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0335
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9665
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0240
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9760
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0235
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9765
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0220
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9780
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0270
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 687.13, Sell volume: 386.00, Average price: 0.1558, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0175
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9825
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.0175
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.9825
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.0160
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.9840
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.0145
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 7954.55, Sell volume: 246.36, Average price: 0.8072, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.5500
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.4500
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.5300
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.4700
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.8100
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1900
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.2450
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.7550
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.3000
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.7000
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.4100
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.5900
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.4150
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.5850
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.4150
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.5850
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.5600
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 520.46, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.1769 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.5600
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.4400
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.5600
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.4400
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.4700
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.5300
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.5400
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.4600
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.3400
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.6600
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.3450
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.6550
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.6600
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.3400
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.3400
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.6600
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.6600
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.3400
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.2900
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.7100
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.2900
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 616.25, Sell volume: 105.78, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.7100
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.2900
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.4050
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.5950
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.3450
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.6550
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.3700
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.6300
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.3550
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.6450
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.3350
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.6650
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.3350
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.6650
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.7500
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.2500
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.2200
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.7800
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.1700
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.8300
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.8450
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1001.28, Sell volume: 804.63, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7762
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.1450
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8550
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.8600
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1400
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1250
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.8750
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 35.71, Sell volume: 88.92, Average price: 0.1333, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.1400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1150
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.8850
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.8850
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.1150
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.1150
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.8850
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 131, Buy volume: 16593.25, Sell volume: 7026.55, Average price: 0.5645, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.1200
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.1200
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.8800
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.8850
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.1150
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.8850
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.1150
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.1100
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.1100
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 131, Buy volume: 16593.25, Sell volume: 7026.55, Average price: 0.5645, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.1100
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.1100
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.1100
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 749.46, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 28.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 771.36, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.7225, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 879.74, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6521, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9400
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.1150
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1425.35, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.3582, Price range: 0.0492 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9100
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0900
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.8800
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.1200
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.8850
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.1150
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 4183.02, Sell volume: 590.93, Average price: 0.7339, Price range: 0.0936 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636803
Question: Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 23619.8012
Price History:
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9650
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0350
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0340
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9660
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9895
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0105
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9890
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9910
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0090
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9925
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2467.14, Sell volume: 4967.36, Average price: 0.5578, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.3550
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.6450
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.2150
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.7850
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.2300
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.7700
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.4750
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 387.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5722, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.9592
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.2750
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.7250
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.2600
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.7400
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.1650
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.8350
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.1700
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.8300
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.1700
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 213.40, Sell volume: 53.21, Average price: 0.4915, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.2350
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.7650
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.2700
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.7300
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.2550
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.7450
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.2600
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.7400
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.2600
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 205.33, Sell volume: 192.70, Average price: 0.6258, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.2500
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.7500
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.2600
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.7400
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.2250
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.7750
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.2350
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.7650
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.2150
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1329.78, Sell volume: 99.99, Average price: 0.5860, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7973
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.2050
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.7950
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.8050
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.8050
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.8050
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 286.10, Sell volume: 438.09, Average price: 0.2025, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.2100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.8050
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.8050
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.8050
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.8050
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.1900
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.57, Sell volume: 4.68, Average price: 0.2025, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.2100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.1900
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.8100
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.1900
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.8100
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.8050
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.8050
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 28.31, Sell volume: 19.82, Average price: 0.7229, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.1950
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.8050
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.1950
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.8050
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.1950
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.8050
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.1950
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.8050
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.1950
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 242.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3220, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.2000
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.8000
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.1850
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.8150
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.8150
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.1850
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.8150
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.1300
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1205.73, Sell volume: 91.76, Average price: 0.4990, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.1300
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.8700
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.1500
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.8500
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.1500
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.8500
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2419.66, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.6339, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8941
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0900
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9100
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0900
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9100
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0350
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9650
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2504.55, Sell volume: 585.48, Average price: 0.6847, Price range: 0.0208 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0335
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9665
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0240
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9760
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0235
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9765
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0220
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9780
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0270
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 687.13, Sell volume: 386.00, Average price: 0.1558, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705369
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Volume: 27529.317942
Price History:
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0175
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9825
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.0175
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.9825
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.0160
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.9840
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.0145
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 7954.55, Sell volume: 246.36, Average price: 0.8072, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.2550
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.7450
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.1750
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.8250
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 332.05, Sell volume: 1.08, Average price: 0.7885, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9501

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.2350
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.7650
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.1000
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9000
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.1250
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 241.06, Sell volume: 1.06, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.0909 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.1250
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.8750
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.1100
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.8900
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.1100
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.8900
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.1100
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.8900
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.1100
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.8900
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.1650
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.8350
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.1650
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 325.71, Sell volume: 220.00, Average price: 0.4701, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8343

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.1450
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.8550
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.8600
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.8600
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 317.37, Average price: 0.1259, Price range: 0.1259 - 0.1259

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.8600
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.8600
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.8600
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.8600
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 15969.87, Sell volume: 1517.62, Average price: 0.6846, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.8600
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.8600
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.8600
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.8600
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 182.50, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.1350
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.8650
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.1400
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.8600
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.1400
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.8600
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.1400
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.8600
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.1450
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1700, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.1700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.1450
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.8550
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 725.75, Sell volume: 299.00, Average price: 0.6398, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9400
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0600
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9400
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0600
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 28.21, Sell volume: 1.11, Average price: 0.3600, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0600
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9400
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0600
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9400
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0600
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9400
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0400
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9600
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 988.36, Sell volume: 495.50, Average price: 0.8948, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 183.17, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0095, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.0100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 12995.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8875, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.2550
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.7450
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.1750
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.8250
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 332.05, Sell volume: 1.08, Average price: 0.7885, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9501
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.2350
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.7650
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.1000
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9000
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.1250
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 241.06, Sell volume: 1.06, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.0909 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.1250
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.8750
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.1100
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.8900
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.1100
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.8900
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.1100
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.8900
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.1100
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.8900
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.1650
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.8350
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.1650
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 325.71, Sell volume: 220.00, Average price: 0.4701, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8343
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705370
Question: Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Volume: 17487.492889
Price History:
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.1450
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.8550
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.8600
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.8600
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.1400
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 317.37, Average price: 0.1259, Price range: 0.1259 - 0.1259
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes