Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 98.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.2000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.8000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.8000
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.6333, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 98.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.7250
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.8850
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.9150
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.9150
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.9150
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.9250
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.9250
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.9250
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.9250
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.9250
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.9250
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.9250
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.9250
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.9250
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.9150
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.9200
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.9150
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.9150
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9200
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.9200
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.9150
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.9100
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.9100
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.9050
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.9000
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.9050
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.9000
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.9000
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.9050
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.9050
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.9050
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.9050
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.9050
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.9050
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.9050
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.9050
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.9050
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.9050
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.9050
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.9050
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.9050
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.9050
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.9050
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.9050
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.9050
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9050
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.9050
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.9050
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.9050
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 8591.75, Sell volume: 2645.51, Average price: 0.4708, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.9100
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.9100
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.9050
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.9050
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.9050
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.9050
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.9050
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.9050
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.9050
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.9050
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.9050
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.9050
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.8950
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.8950
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.8950
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.8950
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.9000
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.9000
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.9000
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.8950
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.8950
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.8950
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.8950
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.8950
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.8950
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.8950
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.8950
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.8950
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.8950
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.8950
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.8950
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.8950
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.8950
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.8950
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.8950
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.8950
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.8950
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.8950
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.8950
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.8950
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.8950
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.8950
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.8950
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 33.33, Sell volume: 2160.40, Average price: 0.8150, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.8950
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.8950
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.8950
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.8950
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.8950
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.8950
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.8950
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.8950
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.8950
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.8950
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.8950
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.8950
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.8950
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.8950
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.8950
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.8950
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.8950
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.8950
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.9000
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.9000
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.9000
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.9000
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.9000
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.9000
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.9000
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.9000
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9000
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.9000
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.9000
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.9000
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.9000
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.9000
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.9000
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.9100
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.9100
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9100
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.9100
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.9100
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.9100
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.9100
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.9100
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.9100
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.9100
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 866.23, Sell volume: 45.50, Average price: 0.6610, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.9200
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.9200
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.9200
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.9200
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.9200
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.9050
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.9050
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.9050
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.9100
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.9000
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.9100
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.9000
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9000
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.9100
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.9100
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.9100
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.9100
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9100
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.9100
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.9100
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9100
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9100
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9100
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9100
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9100
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.9050
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.9000
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9100
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.9100
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9100
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9100
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 125.81, Sell volume: 1003.99, Average price: 0.4997, Price range: 0.0725 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9750
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9750
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9755
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9775
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9795
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9810
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9795
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9810
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9825
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.9815
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.9790
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.9790
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.9800
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9795
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9805
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9790
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9790
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9895
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9895
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.9895
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.9895
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9865
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9865
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9865
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9865
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9865
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9865
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9865
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9860
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.9865
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9865
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9865
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9865
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9865
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9865
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9865
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9865
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9865
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9865
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9865
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9865
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9865
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9865
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 1153.97, Sell volume: 435.59, Average price: 0.8877, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9780
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9780
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9765
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9765
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9755
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9765
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9815
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9765
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9800
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9750
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9795
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9795
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9780
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9765
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9770
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9780
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9785
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9785
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9785
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9775
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9775
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9775
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9770
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9770
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9795
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9790
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9790
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9790
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9795
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9760
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9765
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9755
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9760
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9765
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9785
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9780
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9780
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9785
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9785
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9780
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9780
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9785
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9770
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9770
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 289.70, Sell volume: 499.70, Average price: 0.8755, Price range: 0.0266 - 0.9780

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9725
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9725
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9730
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9750
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9750
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9755
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9755
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9755
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9755
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9755
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9750
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9755
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9755
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9755
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9755
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9755
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.9755
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.9755
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.9755
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.9750
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.9750
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.9735
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.9735
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.9730
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.9735
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.9735
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.9730
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.9730
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.9735
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.9735
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.9735
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.9735
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.9735
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.9735
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.9730
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.9735
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.9720
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.9725
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.9720
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.9730
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.9725
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.9725
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.9725
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.9730
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.9730
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.9705
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.9705
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.9680
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.9660
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 796.70, Sell volume: 930.57, Average price: 0.4429, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9750

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.9670
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.9680
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.9690
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.9700
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.9695
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.9680
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.9700
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.9695
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.9670
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.9655
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.9660
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.9650
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.9635
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.9655
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.9645
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.9635
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.9660
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.9650
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.9645
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.9660
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.9655
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.9670
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.9640
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9660
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.9610
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.9560
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.9440
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.9440
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.9430
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.9420
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9435
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.9410
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.9520
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.9520
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.9525
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.9525
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.9525
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9520
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9520
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.9520
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9515
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9520
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9520
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.9520
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.9520
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.9515
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.9515
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9515
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9515
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 3008.20, Sell volume: 164.69, Average price: 0.7196, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.9740

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9545
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.9545
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.9545
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9545
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.9545
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.9545
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.9545
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9555
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9555
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9555
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.9555
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.9555
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.9555
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.9535
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.9520
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.9535
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.9520
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.9520
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.9530
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.9525
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9525
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9515
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.9510
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9505
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9520
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9505
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9515
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9515
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9535
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9525
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9530
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9555
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9565
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9595
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9635
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9645
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9645
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9605
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9605
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9595
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9590
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9585
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9585
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9585
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 806.49, Sell volume: 2128.91, Average price: 0.2962, Price range: 0.0360 - 0.9570

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9590
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9585
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9585
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9590
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9585
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9585
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9585
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9585
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9585
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9590
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.9590
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.9590
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9590
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9610
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.9575
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9560
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.9545
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.9530
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.9515
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9545
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9515
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.9515
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.9515
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.9515
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.9515
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.9515
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.9515
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.9515
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.9515
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.9520
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.9515
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.9485
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.9485
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.9395
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9465
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9455
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.9515
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9565
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9760
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.9745
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.9745
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.9745
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.9740
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.9735
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.9720
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.9655
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.9625
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.9620
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.9620
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2693.32, Sell volume: 2889.28, Average price: 0.3112, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9655

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9630
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.9620
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.9615
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.9610
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.9625
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.9635
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.9635
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.9620
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.9620
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.9625
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.9615
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.9625
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9625
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.9615
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9615
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.9620
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.9615
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9635
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.9620
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9625
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9625
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.9620
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.9630
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9635
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.9620
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.9630
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.9630
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9630
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9620
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.9630
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.9625
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9630
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.9620
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.9620
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9630
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.9620
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.9630
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9620
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.9620
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9615
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.9620
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.9615
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9625
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.9620
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9630
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9625
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.9620
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.9625
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9630
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1.14, Sell volume: 71.98, Average price: 0.4061, Price range: 0.0340 - 0.9660

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9620
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.9635
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.9630
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9620
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.9645
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9645
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9625
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.9625
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.9615
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.9620
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9630
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9625
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.9625
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.9625
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9625
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.9625
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9630
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9610
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.9590
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.9590
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9590
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9585
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.9585
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.9590
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.9585
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.9590
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.9585
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.9585
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.9590
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.9585
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.9590
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.9590
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.9590
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.9590
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.9590
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.9590
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.9590
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.9590
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.9590
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.9590
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.9590
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.9590
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.9590
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.9590
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.9590
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.9590
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.9590
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.9590
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.9590
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.9590
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 55.77, Sell volume: 170.62, Average price: 0.7977, Price range: 0.0388 - 0.9660

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.9590
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.9460
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.9500
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.9575
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.9460
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.9550
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.9570
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.9560
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.9555
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.9575
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.9560
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.9525
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.9575
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.9560
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.9545
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.9555
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.9555
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.9555
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9555
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.9725
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.9725
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.9730
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.9785
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.9690
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9710
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9880
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.9895
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.9865
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.9865
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.9905
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.9855
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.9920
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.9915
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.9970
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.9970
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.9970
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.9960
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.9960
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.9960
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.9960
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.9960
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.9960
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.9960
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9950
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.9950
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.9965
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.9965
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 7998.93, Sell volume: 3241.46, Average price: 0.6404, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9966

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.7250
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.9100
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.9150
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.9250
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.9250
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.9250
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.9250
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.9250
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.9150
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.9150
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.9200
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.9050
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.9100
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.9050
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.9050
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.9050
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.9050
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.9050
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.9050
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.9050
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.9050
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.9050
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.9050
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.9050
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.9050
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.9050
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.9050
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.9050
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.9050
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 8591.75, Sell volume: 2645.51, Average price: 0.4708, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.9100
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9050
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.9050
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.9050
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.9050
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.9050
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.9050
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.8950
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.8950
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.9000
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.9000
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.8950
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.8950
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.8950
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.8950
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.8950
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.8950
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.8950
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.8950
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.8950
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.8950
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.8950
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.8950
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.8950
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.8950
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.8950
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 33.33, Sell volume: 2160.40, Average price: 0.8150, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.8950
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.8950
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.8950
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.8950
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.8950
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.8950
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.8950
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.8950
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.8950
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.8950
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.8950
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.9000
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.9000
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.9000
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.9000
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.9000
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.9000
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.9000
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.9000
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.9100
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9100
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.9100
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.9100
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.9100
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.9100
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.9100
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 866.23, Sell volume: 45.50, Average price: 0.6610, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.9200
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.9200
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.9200
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9050
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.9050
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9100
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.9100
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.9000
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.9100
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.9100
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9100
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9100
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9100
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9100
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.9000
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9100
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9100
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9100
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 125.81, Sell volume: 1003.99, Average price: 0.4997, Price range: 0.0725 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9750
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9765
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.9790
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9800
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9810
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.9825
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.9790
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.9820
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9805
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9795
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9895
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.9895
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9865
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9865
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9865
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9865
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9860
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9865
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9865
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9865
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9865
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9865
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9865
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9865
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9865
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9865
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 1153.97, Sell volume: 435.59, Average price: 0.8877, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9780
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9770
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9755
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9765
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9755
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9780
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9770
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9780
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9785
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9775
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9775
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9770
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9795
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9790
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9790
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9755
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9765
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9760
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9780
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9775
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9785
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9785
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9780
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9775
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9765
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 289.70, Sell volume: 499.70, Average price: 0.8755, Price range: 0.0266 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9725
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9725
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9750
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9755
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9755
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9755
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9755
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9755
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9755
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9755
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.9755
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.9750
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.9735
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.9735
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.9735
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.9735
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.9735
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.9735
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.9735
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.9735
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.9735
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.9720
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.9720
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.9725
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.9725
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.9730
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.9705
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.9685
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.9670
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 796.70, Sell volume: 930.57, Average price: 0.4429, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.9670
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.9695
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.9690
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.9675
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.9695
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.9655
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.9650
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.9640
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.9645
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.9630
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.9650
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9655
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.9670
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9640
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.9560
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.9430
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.9430
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.9400
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.9425
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.9520
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.9525
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9520
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9520
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9515
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9520
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.9515
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.9510
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.9515
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9505
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.9525
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 3008.20, Sell volume: 164.69, Average price: 0.7196, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9545
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.9545
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9545
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9515
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9555
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9530
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.9555
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9555
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.9520
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.9520
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9520
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9525
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9515
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9515
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9515
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9515
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9530
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9525
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9565
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9575
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9635
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9645
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9605
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9585
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9585
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9585
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9585
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 806.49, Sell volume: 2128.91, Average price: 0.2962, Price range: 0.0360 - 0.9570
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9590
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9585
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9585
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9585
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9585
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9590
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9590
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.9590
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.9575
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9550
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.9525
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.9535
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.9515
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.9515
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9515
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.9515
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.9515
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.9515
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.9485
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9385
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9455
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.9565
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9760
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9745
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.9740
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.9715
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.9640
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9620
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.9620
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.9615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2693.32, Sell volume: 2889.28, Average price: 0.3112, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9655
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9630
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.9615
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.9620
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9635
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.9620
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.9625
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.9615
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.9615
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9615
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.9615
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.9630
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9630
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.9620
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.9620
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.9635
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.9620
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9620
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.9630
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.9620
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.9620
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.9620
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.9615
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.9635
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.9620
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9625
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.9620
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.9630
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9625
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.9625
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.9615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1.14, Sell volume: 71.98, Average price: 0.4061, Price range: 0.0340 - 0.9660
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9620
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.9630
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.9655
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9635
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.9625
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.9625
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.9620
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9625
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9625
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.9635
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9625
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9590
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9585
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.9590
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.9585
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.9585
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.9590
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.9585
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.9590
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.9590
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.9590
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.9590
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.9590
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.9590
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.9590
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.9590
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.9590
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.9590
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.9590
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.9590
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 55.77, Sell volume: 170.62, Average price: 0.7977, Price range: 0.0388 - 0.9660
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527865
Question: Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
Volume: 44964.56708
Price History:
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.9590
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.9450
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.9595
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.9565
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.9560
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.9570
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.9570
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.9520
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.9545
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9555
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.9560
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.9735
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.9730
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.9770
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.9945
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.9890
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.9865
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.9875
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.9920
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.9970
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.9970
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.9960
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.9960
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.9960
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.9960
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.9950
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.9950
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.9965
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.9965
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 7998.93, Sell volume: 3241.46, Average price: 0.6404, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9966
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.7750
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.2250
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.7250
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.7050
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.2950
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.7050
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.2950
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.7150
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.7150
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.7150
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.2850
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.7150
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.2850
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.7150
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.2850
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.7150
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.2850
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.7150
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.2850
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.7150
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 3968.51, Sell volume: 69.99, Average price: 0.4454, Price range: 0.1920 - 0.7867

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.7150
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.2850
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.7150
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.2850
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.7150
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.2850
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.7300
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.2700
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.7300
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.2700
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.7200
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.2800
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7200
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.2800
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.7200
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.2800
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.7200
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.2800
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.7100
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.2900
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.7100
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.2900
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.7150
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 645.30, Sell volume: 913.78, Average price: 0.4646, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7150
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.2850
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.7150
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.2850
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.7850
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.2150
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7850
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.2150
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.7850
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.2150
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.7850
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.2150
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.7850
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.2150
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.7850
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.2150
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.7900
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.7900
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.7900
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.7950
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 2263.23, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6653, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7962

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.8050
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.1950
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.8100
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.1900
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.7950
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.2050
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.7950
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.2050
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.7850
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.2150
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.7900
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.7900
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.7750
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2250
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.7750
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.2250
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.7700
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.2300
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.7750
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1236.86, Sell volume: 395.01, Average price: 0.6542, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.7750
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.2250
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.7750
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.2250
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.7750
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.2250
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.7800
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.2200
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.7800
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.2200
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.7800
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.2200
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.7750
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.7750
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.7750
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.7750
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.7750
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.7700
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 526.58, Sell volume: 12.19, Average price: 0.7835, Price range: 0.7641 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.7750
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.7750
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.7750
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.7750
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.7750
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.7650
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.2350
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.7650
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.2350
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.7650
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.2350
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.7450
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 871.32, Average price: 0.7416, Price range: 0.7317 - 0.7516

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.7400
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.2600
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.7350
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.2650
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.7550
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.2450
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.7550
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 125.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7562, Price range: 0.7486 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.7550
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.2450
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.7700
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.2300
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.7750
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.2250
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.7800
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.2250
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.7900
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.2100
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.7900
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.2100
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.9000
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 2549.47, Sell volume: 650.99, Average price: 0.4172, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.8200
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.1800
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.8350
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.1650
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.8850
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.1150
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.9050
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.0950
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.9050
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0950
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.9050
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.0950
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.9500
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.0500
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.9500
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.0500
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.9500
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.0500
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1766.74, Sell volume: 107.73, Average price: 0.4073, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9255

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.9350
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.0650
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.9200
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0800
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.9150
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.9050
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.0950
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.9050
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3811.13, Sell volume: 3622.68, Average price: 0.5219, Price range: 0.0755 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.9050
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.0950
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.8800
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.1200
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.8800
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.1200
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.8650
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.1350
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.8700
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.1300
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.8750
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.1250
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.8700
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.1300
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.8700
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.1300
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.8750
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.1250
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.8750
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.1250
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.8750
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.1250
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.8750
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.42, Sell volume: 121.00, Average price: 0.4112, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.8750
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.1250
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.8850
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.1150
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.8850
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.1150
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.9050
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.0950
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.9000
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.1000
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.9000
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.1000
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.9000
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.1000
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.9000
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.1000
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.9050
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.0950
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.9500
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.0500
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.9645
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0355
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.9600
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 7275.89, Sell volume: 213.54, Average price: 0.6893, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.9600
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.0400
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.9600
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.0400
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.9595
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.0405
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.9600
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.0400
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.9605
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.0395
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.9615
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.0385
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.9600
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.0400
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.9615
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.0385
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.9635
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.0365
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.9595
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0405
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.9795
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.0205
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 12722.58, Sell volume: 1262.55, Average price: 0.6907, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.7750
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.2250
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.7250
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.7050
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.2950
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.7050
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.2950
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.7150
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.7150
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.7150
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.2850
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.7150
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.2850
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.7150
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.2850
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.7150
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.2850
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.7150
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.2850
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.7150
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 3968.51, Sell volume: 69.99, Average price: 0.4454, Price range: 0.1920 - 0.7867
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.7150
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.2850
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.7150
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.2850
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.7150
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.2850
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.7300
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.2700
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.7300
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.2700
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.7200
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.2800
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7200
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.2800
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.7200
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.2800
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.7200
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.2800
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.7100
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.2900
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.7100
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.2900
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.7150
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 645.30, Sell volume: 913.78, Average price: 0.4646, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7150
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.2850
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.7150
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.2850
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.7850
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.2150
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7850
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.2150
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.7850
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.2150
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.7850
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.2150
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.7850
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.2150
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.7850
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.2150
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.7900
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.7900
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.7900
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.7950
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 2263.23, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6653, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7962
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.8050
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.1950
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.8100
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.1900
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.7950
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.2050
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.7950
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.2050
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.7850
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.2150
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.7900
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.7900
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.7750
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2250
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.7750
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.2250
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.7700
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.2300
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.7750
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1236.86, Sell volume: 395.01, Average price: 0.6542, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.7750
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.2250
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.7750
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.2250
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.7750
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.2250
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.7800
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.2200
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.7800
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.2200
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.7800
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.2200
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.7750
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.7750
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.7750
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.7750
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.7750
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.7700
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 526.58, Sell volume: 12.19, Average price: 0.7835, Price range: 0.7641 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.7750
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.7750
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.7750
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.7750
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.7750
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.7650
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.2350
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.7650
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.2350
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.7650
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.2350
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.7450
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 871.32, Average price: 0.7416, Price range: 0.7317 - 0.7516
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.7400
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.2600
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.7350
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.2650
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.7550
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.2450
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.7550
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 125.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7562, Price range: 0.7486 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.7550
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.2450
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.7700
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.2300
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.7750
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.2250
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.7800
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.2250
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.7900
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.2100
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.7900
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.2100
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.9000
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 2549.47, Sell volume: 650.99, Average price: 0.4172, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.8200
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.1800
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.8350
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.1650
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.8850
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.1150
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.9050
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.0950
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.9050
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0950
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.9050
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.0950
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.9500
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.0500
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.9500
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.0500
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.9500
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.0500
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1766.74, Sell volume: 107.73, Average price: 0.4073, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9255
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.9350
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.0650
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.9200
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0800
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.9150
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.9050
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.0950
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.9050
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3811.13, Sell volume: 3622.68, Average price: 0.5219, Price range: 0.0755 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.9050
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.0950
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.8800
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.1200
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.8800
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.1200
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.8650
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.1350
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.8700
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.1300
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.8750
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.1250
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.8700
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.1300
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.8700
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.1300
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.8750
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.1250
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.8750
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.1250
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.8750
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.1250
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.8750
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.42, Sell volume: 121.00, Average price: 0.4112, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.8750
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.1250
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.8850
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.1150
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.8850
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.1150
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.9050
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.0950
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.9000
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.1000
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.9000
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.1000
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.9000
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.1000
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.9000
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.1000
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.9050
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.0950
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.9500
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.0500
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.9645
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0355
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.9600
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 7275.89, Sell volume: 213.54, Average price: 0.6893, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541614
Question: US-China trade deal in 2025?
Volume: 48938.707957
Price History:
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.9600
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.0400
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.9600
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.0400
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.9595
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.0405
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.9600
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.0400
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.9605
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.0395
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.9615
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.0385
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.9600
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.0400
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.9615
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.0385
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.9635
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.0365
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.9595
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0405
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.9795
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.0205
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 12722.58, Sell volume: 1262.55, Average price: 0.6907, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.1500
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.8500
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.1050
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.8950
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.1300
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.8700
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.1900
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.8100
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.1900
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.8100
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.1950
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.8050
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.1900
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.8100
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.1900
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.8100
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.1850
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.8150
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.1850
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.8150
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.1400
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.8600
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.1350
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.8650
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.1450
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.8550
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.1550
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.8450
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.1550
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.8450
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.1400
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.8600
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.1350
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.8650
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.1300
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.8700
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.1300
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.8700
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.1300
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.8700
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.8700
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.1300
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.8700
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.1350
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.8650
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.2050
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.7950
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.1550
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 11206.46, Sell volume: 1066.58, Average price: 0.5767, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.5150
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.4950
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.5050
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.5000
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.5000
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.4850
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.5150
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.4850
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.5150
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.4800
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.5200
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.4850
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.5150
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.4850
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.5150
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.4800
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.5200
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.4800
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.5200
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.4850
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.5150
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.4700
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.5300
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.4850
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.5150
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.4700
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.5300
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.4200
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.5800
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.4250
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.5750
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.4150
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.5850
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.4150
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.5850
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.4600
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.5400
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.4550
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.5450
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.4550
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.5450
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.4550
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.5450
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.4550
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.5450
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.4700
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.5300
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.4700
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.5300
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 10009.42, Sell volume: 1952.27, Average price: 0.5024, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.4400
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.5600
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.4300
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.5700
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.4300
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.5700
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.4450
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.5550
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.4400
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.5600
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.4450
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.5550
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.4300
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.5700
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.4250
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.5750
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.4300
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.5700
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.4300
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.5700
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.4250
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.5750
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.4250
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.5750
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.4700
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.5300
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.4700
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.5300
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.4700
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.5300
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.4700
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.5300
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.4700
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.5300
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.4750
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.5250
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.4700
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.5300
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.5300
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.5300
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.5300
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.5300
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.5300
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 6311.25, Sell volume: 154.90, Average price: 0.4945, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.5800

Output: Yes