Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.0550
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0550
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.0550
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.0400
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.0400
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.0400
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.0400
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.0400
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.0400
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.0400
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.0395
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.0400
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.0405
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.0405
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.0400
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.0400
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.0400
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.0385
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.0385
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.0410
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.0405
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0445
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.0440
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.0450
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.0455
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.0455
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.0445
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.0450
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.0445
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0445
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.0450
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.0455
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.0450
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.0430
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.0430
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.0430
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.0425
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.0435
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0435
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.0430
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.0430
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0420
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.0425
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.0425
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.0445
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0445
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.0370
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.0440
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.0355
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 357.43, Sell volume: 7.62, Average price: 0.8312, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.9676

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.9610
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.9610
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.9615
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.9615
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.9615
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.9620
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.9615
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.9620
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.9615
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.9615
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.9615
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.9620
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.9615
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.9620
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.9645
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.9620
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.9620
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.9645
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.9610
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.9650
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.9655
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.9655
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.9655
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.9655
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.9655
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.9655
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.9665
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.9670
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.9665
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.9580
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.9545
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.9655
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.9625
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.9630
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.9630
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.9650
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.9650
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.9660
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.9660
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.9660
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.9660
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.9665
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.9665
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.9655
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.9650
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.9650
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.9630
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.9630
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.9630
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 146.34, Sell volume: 49.66, Average price: 0.6172, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9690

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.0355
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.0350
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.0345
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.0345
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0340
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.0345
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.0345
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.0345
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.0340
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.0350
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.0350
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.0370
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0365
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.0370
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.0365
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.0370
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.0365
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.0370
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.0365
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.0365
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.0370
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.0350
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.0270
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.0270
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.0270
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.0260
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.0260
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.0255
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.0245
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.0275
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.0255
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.0245
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.0235
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.0220
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.0215
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.0220
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.0205
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.0205
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.0200
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.0195
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.0215
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.0215
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.0220
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.0190
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.0160
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.0160
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.0160
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.0160
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.0095
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 970.18, Sell volume: 749.57, Average price: 0.6022, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.9930
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.9935
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.9915
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.9920
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.9920
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.9920
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9915
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9915
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9915
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9920
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.9920
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.9920
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.9915
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.9915
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.9925
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.9925
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9920
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.9920
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.9920
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.9920
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9930
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.9940
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.9935
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.9935
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.9940
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.9940
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9935
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.9940
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.9940
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.9930
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9935
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.9935
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.9940
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.9960
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.9925
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.9930
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.9810
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.9830
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.9840
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.9855
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.9855
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.9840
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.9820
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.9830
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.9840
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.9835
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.9840
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.9855
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.9865
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 2836.64, Sell volume: 229.11, Average price: 0.3523, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.0210
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.0220
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.0220
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.0210
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.0235
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.0235
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.0235
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.0235
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.0220
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.0205
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0405
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.0410
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.0365
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.0435
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.0440
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.0440
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.0460
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.0410
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.0400
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.0445
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.0460
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.0470
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.0480
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0480
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.0505
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.0510
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.0515
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.0525
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.0525
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.0535
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.0535
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.0535
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.0535
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.0520
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.0520
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.0520
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.0520
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.0530
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.0530
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.0530
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.0545
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.0540
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.0535
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.0535
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.0545
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.0545
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.0545
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.0550
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.0545
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.0530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 2216.12, Sell volume: 728.00, Average price: 0.5920, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.9555
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.9560
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.9560
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.9550
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.9535
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.9555
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.9560
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.9300
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.9350
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.9295
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.9305
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.9315
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.9305
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.9320
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.9275
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.9270
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.9250
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.9295
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.9435
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.9305
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.9305
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.9320
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.9325
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.9355
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.9360
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.9360
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.9355
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.9315
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.9315
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.9320
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.9320
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.9320
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.9380
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.9375
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.9375
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.9330
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.9350
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.9345
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.9345
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.9385
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.9365
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.9355
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.9345
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.7985
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.8050
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.8360
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.8365
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.8170
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.8915
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.8940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 3484.65, Sell volume: 1289.79, Average price: 0.4685, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.9590

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0820
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.0725
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0820
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0985
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.1005
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.1020
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.1025
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.1025
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.1005
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.1020
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.1090
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.1135
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.1195
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.1210
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.1215
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.1215
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.1215
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.1215
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.1090
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.1140
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.1120
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.1135
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.1120
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.1125
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.1135
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.1135
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.1175
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.1170
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.1040
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.1035
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.1045
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.1045
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.1050
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.1050
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0885
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.0870
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0870
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.0860
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0860
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.0865
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0865
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0855
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.0825
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0845
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0845
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0845
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1815.19, Sell volume: 203.00, Average price: 0.6764, Price range: 0.0750 - 0.9210

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.9155
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.9155
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.9155
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.9155
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.9155
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.9155
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.9155
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.9170
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.9155
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.9155
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.9155
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.9155
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.9270
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.9250
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.9250
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.9270
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.9270
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.9275
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9280
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.9295
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.9300
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.9315
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.9310
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.9285
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.9290
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.9285
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.9290
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.9300
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.9300
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.9295
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.9295
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.9290
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.9290
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.9300
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.9300
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.9615
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.9875
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.9920
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9935
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9845
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9790
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9795
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.9830
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9880
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9880
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9890
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9890
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9890
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9895
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 6533.43, Sell volume: 95.83, Average price: 0.7145, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.0090
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0090
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0090
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0090
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0090
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0070
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0070
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0070
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.0070
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0070
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.0070
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.0070
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0070
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0070
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0070
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0050
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0060
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0060
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0060
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0060
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0060
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0060
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0060
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0060
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0060
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 1510.23, Sell volume: 1160.82, Average price: 0.7721, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9935
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9940
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9935
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9935
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9910
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9910
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.9910
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9910
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9910
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9910
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9915
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9945
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9945
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9945
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9945
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.9945
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9945
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.9945
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.9915
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9915
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.9915
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.9915
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.9915
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.9915
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.9915
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3580.80, Sell volume: 1768.91, Average price: 0.8092, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0040
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0035
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0030
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0075
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0075
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0075
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0075
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0075
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0075
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0075
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0075
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0075
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0075
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0075
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 175, Buy volume: 7097.89, Sell volume: 4485.63, Average price: 0.6335, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.1100
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.1100
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.1100
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.1100
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.1100
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.1100
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.0850
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.0850
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.0850
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.0850
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0900
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.0900
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.0900
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.0900
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.0900
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0850
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.0850
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.0850
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.0850
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.0950
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0950
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.0950
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0950
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.0850
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.0850
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.0800
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.0850
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.0800
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 270.00, Sell volume: 90.00, Average price: 0.7809, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.9200
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.9200
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.9200
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.9200
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.9200
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.9250
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.9200
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.9300
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.9350
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.9300
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.9300
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.9300
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.9300
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.9450
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.9450
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.9450
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 533, Buy volume: 32384.02, Sell volume: 14046.92, Average price: 0.6313, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.0550
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.0550
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.0400
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.0400
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.0400
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.0395
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.0405
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.0400
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.0400
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.0385
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.0405
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.0440
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.0455
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.0445
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.0445
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.0450
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.0450
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.0430
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.0425
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0435
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.0430
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.0425
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.0445
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.0370
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.0355
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.0355
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.0345
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.0340
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.0345
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 357.43, Sell volume: 7.62, Average price: 0.8312, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.9676
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.9610
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.9615
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.9615
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.9615
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.9615
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.9615
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.9615
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.9645
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.9620
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.9610
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.9655
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.9655
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.9655
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.9665
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.9665
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.9545
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.9625
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.9630
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.9650
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.9660
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.9660
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.9665
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.9650
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.9630
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.9630
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.9625
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.9635
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.9635
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.9645
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 146.34, Sell volume: 49.66, Average price: 0.6172, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.0355
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.0345
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0340
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.0345
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.0340
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.0350
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0365
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.0365
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.0365
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.0365
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.0370
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.0270
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.0270
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.0260
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.0245
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.0255
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.0235
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.0215
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.0205
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.0200
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.0215
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.0220
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.0160
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.0160
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.0095
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.0050
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.0075
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.0085
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 970.18, Sell volume: 749.57, Average price: 0.6022, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.9930
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.9915
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.9920
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9915
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9915
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.9920
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.9915
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.9925
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9920
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.9920
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9930
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.9935
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.9940
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9935
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.9940
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9935
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.9940
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.9925
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.9810
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.9840
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.9855
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.9820
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.9840
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.9840
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.9865
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.9860
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.9835
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.9790
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.9795
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 2836.64, Sell volume: 229.11, Average price: 0.3523, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.0210
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.0220
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.0235
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.0235
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.0220
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0405
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.0365
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.0440
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.0460
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.0400
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.0460
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.0480
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.0505
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.0515
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.0525
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.0535
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.0535
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.0520
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.0520
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.0530
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.0545
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.0535
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.0545
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.0545
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.0545
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.0530
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.0545
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.0540
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.0575
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.0570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 2216.12, Sell volume: 728.00, Average price: 0.5920, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.9555
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.9560
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.9535
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.9560
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.9350
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.9305
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.9305
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.9275
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.9250
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.9435
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.9305
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.9325
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.9360
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.9355
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.9315
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.9320
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.9380
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.9375
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.9350
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.9345
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.9365
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.9345
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.8050
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.8365
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.8915
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.8915
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.9010
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.9050
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.9045
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.8910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 3484.65, Sell volume: 1289.79, Average price: 0.4685, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.9590
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0820
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0820
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.1005
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.1025
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.1005
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.1090
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.1195
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.1215
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.1215
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.1090
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.1120
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.1120
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.1135
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.1175
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.1040
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.1045
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.1050
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0885
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0870
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0860
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0865
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0855
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.0825
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0845
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0855
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0845
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1815.19, Sell volume: 203.00, Average price: 0.6764, Price range: 0.0750 - 0.9210
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.9155
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.9155
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.9155
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.9155
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.9155
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.9155
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.9270
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.9250
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.9270
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9280
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.9300
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.9310
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.9290
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.9290
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.9300
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.9295
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.9290
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.9300
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.9875
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9935
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9790
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.9830
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9880
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9890
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9895
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9895
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.9910
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.9910
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.9915
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 6533.43, Sell volume: 95.83, Average price: 0.7145, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.0090
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0090
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0090
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0070
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0070
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.0070
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0070
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0070
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0050
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0060
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0060
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0060
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0060
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0060
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0060
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.0060
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 1510.23, Sell volume: 1160.82, Average price: 0.7721, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9935
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9935
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9910
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.9910
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9910
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9915
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9945
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9945
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9945
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.9915
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.9915
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.9915
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.9915
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9915
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9950
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9950
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9950
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3580.80, Sell volume: 1768.91, Average price: 0.8092, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518094
Question: Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 46430.936698
Price History:
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0040
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0075
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0075
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0075
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0075
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0075
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0020
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0020
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0020
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.0020
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 175, Buy volume: 7097.89, Sell volume: 4485.63, Average price: 0.6335, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.2250
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.2150
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.2150
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.2150
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.2150
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.2150
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.2150
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.2150
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.2150
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.2150
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.2150
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.2150
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.2200
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.2450
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.2350
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.2300
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.2300
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.2450
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.2400
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.2400
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.2400
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.2450
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.2500
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.2500
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.1850
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.1950
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.1800
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.1800
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.1650
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.1650
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.1650
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.1650
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.1650
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.1600
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.1600
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 230.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7688, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.8400
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.8400
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.8400
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.8400
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.8400
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.8350
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.8350
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.8350
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.8350
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.8350
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.8350
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.8250
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.8250
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.8250
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.8250
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.8250
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.8250
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.8250
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 474.69, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.2956, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8382

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.1650
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.1650
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.1700
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.1700
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.1700
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.1700
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.1700
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.1700
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.1700
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.1700
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.1700
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.1700
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.0900
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.1300
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.1200
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.1350
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.1150
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.1600
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.1550
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.1500
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.1450
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.1450
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.1400
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.1450
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.1450
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.1350
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.1400
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.1450
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.1500
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.1350
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.1350
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.1350
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.1350
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.1500
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.1500
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.1400
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.1400
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.1400
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.1400
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 466.38, Sell volume: 7.62, Average price: 0.6412, Price range: 0.1355 - 0.8431

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.8600
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.8600
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.8600
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.8600
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.8600
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.8600
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.8600
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.8600
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.8600
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.8600
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.8600
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.8600
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.8600
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.8600
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.8600
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.8600
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.8600
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.8600
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.8600
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.8600
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.8600
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.8600
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.8600
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.8600
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.8600
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 157.00, Sell volume: 49.66, Average price: 0.5514, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.1300
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.1750
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.0900
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.0900
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.0900
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.0750
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.0850
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.0550
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.0150
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.0300
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.0305
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.0245
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.0250
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.0250
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.0405
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.0410
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.0415
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.0420
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.0450
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.0445
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.0445
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.0455
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.0455
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.0565
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.0560
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.0545
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.0620
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.0620
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.0610
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.0555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2029.14, Sell volume: 445.73, Average price: 0.4062, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.9200
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.9205
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.9205
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.9205
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.9200
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9230
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9060
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9070
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9030
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.8980
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.8960
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.8950
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.8955
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.8875
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.8875
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.8875
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.8875
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.8875
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.8875
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.8865
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.8855
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.8845
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.8910
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.8910
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.8930
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.8935
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.8995
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.9065
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.9075
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9075
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.9075
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.9075
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.9055
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.8815
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.8855
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.8820
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.8735
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.8730
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.8830
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.8735
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.8690
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.8720
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.8685
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.8695
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.8775
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.8725
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.8720
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.8805
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.8785
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.8770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1276.82, Sell volume: 626.11, Average price: 0.3058, Price range: 0.0690 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.1410
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.1405
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.1370
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.1400
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.1420
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.1450
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.1370
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.1330
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.1400
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.1485
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.1445
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.1445
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.1450
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.1450
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.1445
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.1455
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.1450
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.1545
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.1995
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.1955
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.2070
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.2025
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.2025
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.2120
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.2170
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.2125
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.2090
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.2145
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.2215
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.2220
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.2190
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.2115
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.2130
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.2165
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.2185
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.2160
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.2155
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.2140
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.2140
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.2165
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.2165
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.2195
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.2170
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.2180
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.2155
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.2165
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.2130
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.2135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 964.74, Sell volume: 366.00, Average price: 0.6152, Price range: 0.1280 - 0.8710

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.8040
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.8040
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.8045
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.8035
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.8010
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.7995
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.7975
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.7980
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.7985
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.7955
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.7975
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.7955
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.7965
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.8010
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.7965
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.8030
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.7675
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.7645
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.7670
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.7670
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.7670
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.7650
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.6950
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.6560
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.6455
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.6770
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.6635
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.6510
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.6515
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.6450
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.6765
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.7110
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.7370
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.7370
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.7370
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.6535
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.6460
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.6450
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.6450
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.6450
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.6415
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.6175
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.5995
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.6435
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.6645
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.6760
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.6445
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.6405
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.6325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1539.11, Sell volume: 167.85, Average price: 0.3978, Price range: 0.1830 - 0.8170

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.3715
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.3510
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.3510
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.3510
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.3510
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.3510
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.3510
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.3515
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.3520
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.3520
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.3520
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.3520
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.3520
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.3515
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.3455
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.3455
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.3565
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.3530
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.3520
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.3580
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.3565
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.3570
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.3540
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.3590
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.3505
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.3565
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.3560
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.3435
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.3440
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.3385
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.3385
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.3385
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.3365
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.3500
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.3165
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.3215
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.3295
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.3325
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.3330
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.3325
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.3285
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.3275
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.3290
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.3395
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.3375
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.3365
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.3340
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.3340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 1408.37, Sell volume: 230.00, Average price: 0.5026, Price range: 0.3180 - 0.6750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.6635
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.6635
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.6620
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.6620
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.6620
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.6620
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.6540
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.6610
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.6610
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.6610
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.6630
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.6685
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.6785
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.6785
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.6755
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.6755
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.6755
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.6755
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.6800
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.6850
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.6850
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.6850
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.6850
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.8365
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.8360
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.8365
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.8255
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.8205
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.8240
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.8320
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.8275
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.8355
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.8185
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.8320
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.8035
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.8745
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.8745
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.8750
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.8745
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.8895
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9040
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.8840
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9065
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.8890
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9055
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9230
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9230
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9230
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9235
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 1464.15, Sell volume: 549.14, Average price: 0.6393, Price range: 0.0605 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0730
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0705
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0710
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0705
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0705
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0700
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0705
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0700
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0800
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0780
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0765
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0770
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0680
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0740
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0740
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0735
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0735
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0845
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0840
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0845
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0855
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0865
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0895
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.1005
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.1005
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.1010
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.1010
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.1025
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.1030
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.1040
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.1135
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.2135
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.1585
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.1320
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.1315
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.1255
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.1230
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.1240
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.1245
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.1275
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.1105
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0940
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0930
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0930
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0930
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0910
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0945
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0945
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0915
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 2527.95, Sell volume: 955.38, Average price: 0.6239, Price range: 0.0670 - 0.9430

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.8955
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.8990
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9070
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9070
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9025
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.9020
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9055
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9055
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9085
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9080
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.9075
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.9075
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9055
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9065
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.9065
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9065
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9080
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.9075
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9075
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9075
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.9075
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9075
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9075
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9075
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9080
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9075
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9075
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9070
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9065
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9060
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9060
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9060
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9060
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9060
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9065
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9065
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9065
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9060
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.9045
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9040
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.9035
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.9035
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9040
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.9035
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.9035
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.9035
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.9030
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.9020
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.9010
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1480.85, Sell volume: 1351.09, Average price: 0.7366, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9470

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0305
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0625
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0480
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0330
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0335
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0300
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0305
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0295
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0315
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0280
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0295
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0295
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0275
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0245
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0245
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0250
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0240
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0240
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0235
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0145
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0125
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0120
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0120
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0120
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0110
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0105
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0110
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0100
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0125
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0125
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0125
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0125
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0125
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0130
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0130
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0135
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0135
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0135
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0175
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0105
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0105
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0105
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0115
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0120
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0070
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0075
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0080
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0065
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 190, Buy volume: 14541.03, Sell volume: 4850.36, Average price: 0.5681, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.2250
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.2150
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.2150
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.2150
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.2150
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.2150
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.2200
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.1400
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.2350
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.2300
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.2400
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.2400
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.2500
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.1850
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.1800
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.1650
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.1650
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.1650
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.1600
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.1600
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.1600
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.1600
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.1600
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 230.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7688, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.8400
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.8400
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.8400
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.8350
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.8350
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.8350
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.8250
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.8250
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.8250
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.8250
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.8250
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.8250
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.8250
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.8250
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.8250
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.8250
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 474.69, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.2956, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8382
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.1650
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.1700
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.1700
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.1700
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.1700
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.1700
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.1300
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.1350
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.1150
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.1550
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.1450
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.1400
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.1450
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.1400
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.1500
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.1350
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.1350
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.1500
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.1400
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.1400
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.1400
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.1400
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.1400
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.1400
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 466.38, Sell volume: 7.62, Average price: 0.6412, Price range: 0.1355 - 0.8431
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.8600
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.8600
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.8600
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.8600
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.8600
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.8600
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.8600
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.8600
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.8600
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.8600
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.8600
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.8600
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.8600
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.8600
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.8600
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.8600
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.8700
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 157.00, Sell volume: 49.66, Average price: 0.5514, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.1300
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.0900
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.0900
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.0850
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.0150
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.0305
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.0250
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.0405
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.0415
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.0450
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.0445
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.0455
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.0560
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.0620
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.0610
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.0645
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.0705
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.0705
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.0585
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.0675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2029.14, Sell volume: 445.73, Average price: 0.4062, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.9200
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.9205
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.9200
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9060
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9030
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.8960
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.8955
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.8875
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.8875
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.8875
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.8855
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.8910
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.8930
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.8995
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.9075
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.9075
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.9055
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.8855
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.8735
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.8830
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.8690
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.8685
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.8775
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.8720
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.8785
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.8760
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.8725
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.8725
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.8725
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.8675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1276.82, Sell volume: 626.11, Average price: 0.3058, Price range: 0.0690 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.1410
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.1370
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.1420
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.1370
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.1400
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.1445
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.1450
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.1445
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.1450
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.1995
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.2070
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.2025
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.2170
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.2090
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.2220
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.2115
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.2130
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.2185
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.2155
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.2140
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.2165
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.2170
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.2155
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.2130
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.2145
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.2155
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.2145
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.2170
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.2115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 964.74, Sell volume: 366.00, Average price: 0.6152, Price range: 0.1280 - 0.8710
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.8040
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.8045
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.8010
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.7975
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.7985
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.7975
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.7955
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.8010
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.8030
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.7645
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.7670
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.7650
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.6560
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.6770
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.6510
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.6450
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.7110
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.7370
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.6535
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.6450
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.6450
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.6175
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.6435
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.6760
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.6405
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.6250
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.6145
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.6100
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.6210
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.6295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1539.11, Sell volume: 167.85, Average price: 0.3978, Price range: 0.1830 - 0.8170
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.3715
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.3510
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.3510
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.3510
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.3520
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.3520
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.3520
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.3455
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.3565
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.3520
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.3565
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.3540
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.3505
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.3560
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.3440
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.3385
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.3365
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.3165
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.3325
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.3325
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.3275
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.3290
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.3375
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.3340
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.3340
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.3340
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.3340
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.3340
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.3340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 1408.37, Sell volume: 230.00, Average price: 0.5026, Price range: 0.3180 - 0.6750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.6635
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.6620
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.6620
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.6540
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.6610
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.6630
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.6785
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.6755
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.6755
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.6800
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.6850
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.6850
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.8360
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.8255
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.8240
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.8275
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.8185
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.8035
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.8745
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.8745
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9040
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9065
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9055
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9230
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9235
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.9340
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.9340
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.9340
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.9215
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.9140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 1464.15, Sell volume: 549.14, Average price: 0.6393, Price range: 0.0605 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0730
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0710
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0705
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0705
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0800
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0765
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0680
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0740
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0735
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0840
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0855
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0895
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.1005
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.1010
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.1030
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.1135
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.1585
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.1315
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.1230
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.1245
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.1105
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0930
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0930
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0945
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0915
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0780
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.0875
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.0900
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0930
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 2527.95, Sell volume: 955.38, Average price: 0.6239, Price range: 0.0670 - 0.9430
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.8955
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9070
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9025
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9055
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9085
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.9075
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9055
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.9065
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9080
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9075
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.9075
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9075
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9080
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9075
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9065
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9060
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9060
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9065
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9065
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.9045
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.9035
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9040
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.9035
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.9030
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.9010
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9010
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9000
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9000
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9070
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1480.85, Sell volume: 1351.09, Average price: 0.7366, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9470
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518095
Question: Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 38754.154157
Price History:
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0305
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0480
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0335
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0305
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0315
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0295
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0275
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0245
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0240
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0235
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0125
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0120
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0110
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0110
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0125
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0125
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0125
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0130
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0135
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0175
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0105
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0115
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0070
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0080
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.0085
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.0075
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0080
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.0505
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 190, Buy volume: 14541.03, Sell volume: 4850.36, Average price: 0.5681, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518096
Question: Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46972.612619
Price History:
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.1200
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.1200
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.1200
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.1200
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.1200
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.1200
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.1200
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.1200
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.1200
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.1200
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.1200
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.1200
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.1200
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.1250
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.1250
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.1250
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.1250
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.1250
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.1250
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.1250
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.1300
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.1300
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.1300
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.1300
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.1300
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.1300
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.1300
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.2350
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.2250
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.2200
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.1550
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.2350
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.2300
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.2300
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.2300
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.2350
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.2400
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.2400
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.1150
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.1150
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.1150
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.1150
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.1100
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.1100
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.1150
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.1150
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.1100
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.1150
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.1150
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 90.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8640, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518096
Question: Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46972.612619
Price History:
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.8850
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.8850
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.8850
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.8850
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.8850
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.8850
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.8850
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.8850
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.8850
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.8850
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.8850
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.8800
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.8800
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.8800
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.8800
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.8800
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.8800
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.8800
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.8800
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.8800
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.8800
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.8800
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.8800
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.8800
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.8800
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.8800
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.8800
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.8800
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.8800
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.8800
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.8800
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.8800
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.8750
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.8750
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.8750
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.8750
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.8750
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.8750
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.8750
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.8750
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.8750
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.8750
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.8750
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.8750
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.8750
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.8750
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.8750
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.8750
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.8750
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 310.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.3000, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518096
Question: Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46972.612619
Price History:
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.1250
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.1250
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.1250
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.1200
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.1200
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.1200
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.1200
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.1200
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.1200
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.1200
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 294.00, Sell volume: 7.62, Average price: 0.7300, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518096
Question: Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46972.612619
Price History:
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 157.00, Sell volume: 49.66, Average price: 0.5543, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518096
Question: Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46972.612619
Price History:
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.2400
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.2600
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.2600
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.2600
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.2450
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.2450
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.2300
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.2550
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.1800
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.1800
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.1800
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.1800
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.1800
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.1800
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.2150
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.2100
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.1900
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.1900
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.1950
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.1950
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.1950
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.1950
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.1900
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.1900
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.1950
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.1900
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.2000
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.2100
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 1023.64, Sell volume: 107.07, Average price: 0.5176, Price range: 0.1402 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518096
Question: Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46972.612619
Price History:
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.8100
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.8150
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.8150
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.8150
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.8150
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.8150
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.8150
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.8150
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.8200
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.8200
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.8200
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.8250
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.8150
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.8200
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.8200
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.8200
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.8250
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.8250
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.8250
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.8250
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.8300
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.8250
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.8200
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.8200
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.7850
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.8000
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.8000
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.8250
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.8250
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.8250
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.8250
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.8250
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.8150
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.8200
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.8150
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.8150
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.8200
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.8200
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.8150
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.8150
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.8250
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.8150
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.8200
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.8200
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.8150
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.8200
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.8150
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.8150
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.8050
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 788.74, Sell volume: 299.21, Average price: 0.4473, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518096
Question: Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46972.612619
Price History:
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.1850
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.1800
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.1850
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.1800
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.1800
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.1800
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.1900
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.1850
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.1900
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.1800
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.1800
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.1900
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.1750
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.1750
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.1750
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.1900
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.1750
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.1800
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.1700
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 1342.45, Sell volume: 472.34, Average price: 0.7439, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518096
Question: Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46972.612619
Price History:
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.8100
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.7950
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.7950
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.7950
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.8050
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.8050
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.8050
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.8050
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.8100
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.8100
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.8050
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.8100
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.7750
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.7450
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.6950
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.5500
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.6600
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.6850
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.6900
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.7100
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.7100
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.7850
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.7800
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.7850
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.7850
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.7850
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.7850
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.7900
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.7850
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.7800
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.7850
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.7800
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.7800
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.7800
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.7850
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.7850
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.7850
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.8000
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.8950
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.8900
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.8650
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.8700
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.8650
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.8800
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.8200
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 3174.46, Sell volume: 469.85, Average price: 0.4693, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518096
Question: Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46972.612619
Price History:
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.1650
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.1750
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.1800
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.1850
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.1850
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.1850
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.1850
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.1850
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.1850
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.1850
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.1850
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.1900
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.1950
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.1950
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.2000
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.1850
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.1850
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.1850
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.1850
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.1800
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.1750
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.1850
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.1850
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.1850
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.1850
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.2000
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2456.43, Sell volume: 136.80, Average price: 0.4594, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518096
Question: Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46972.612619
Price History:
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.7950
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.7950
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.7950
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.7950
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.7950
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.7950
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.8050
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.7950
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.7950
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.7950
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.7850
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.7950
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.7900
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.7900
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.7850
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.7850
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.7850
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.7850
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.7850
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.7850
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.7450
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.7350
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.7200
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.7600
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.7600
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.7500
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.7450
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.7450
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.7450
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.7400
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.7400
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.7400
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.7500
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.7500
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.7500
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.7500
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.7500
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.6350
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.7500
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.7550
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.7550
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.7700
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.7600
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.7600
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.7650
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.7750
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.7750
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.7750
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.7750
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1594.93, Sell volume: 991.71, Average price: 0.4090, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518096
Question: Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46972.612619
Price History:
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.2300
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.2400
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.2400
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.2300
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.2300
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.2200
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.2150
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.2200
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.2300
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.2250
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.2250
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.2200
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.2100
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.2200
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.2200
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.2200
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.2300
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.2300
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.2100
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.2250
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.2150
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.2050
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.2050
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.2150
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.2100
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.2150
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.2150
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.2100
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.2100
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.2250
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.2300
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.2300
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.1300
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.2200
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.2200
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.2200
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.1200
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.1800
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.2000
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.1850
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.1500
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.1600
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.1450
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.1400
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.1400
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.1400
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.1350
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.1300
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.1300
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 1503.24, Sell volume: 1557.89, Average price: 0.4449, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518096
Question: Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46972.612619
Price History:
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.8500
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.8500
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.8500
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.8500
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.8500
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.8500
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.8500
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.8550
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.8550
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.8650
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.8650
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.8650
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.8600
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.8600
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.8600
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.8600
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.8600
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.8650
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.8400
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.8400
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.8400
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.8400
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.8400
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.8400
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.8400
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.8400
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.8400
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.8400
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.8400
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.8400
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.8400
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.8400
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.8400
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.8400
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.8400
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.8400
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.8400
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.8400
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.8450
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.8450
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.8450
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.8350
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.8350
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.8400
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.8450
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.8400
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.8350
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.8350
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.8350
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 4919.15, Sell volume: 3407.52, Average price: 0.4216, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8703

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518096
Question: Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46972.612619
Price History:
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.1450
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.1450
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.1000
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0950
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0950
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0950
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.1000
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.1000
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.1000
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.1000
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.1000
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.1000
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.1000
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0950
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0950
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0950
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0950
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0900
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0900
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0850
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0850
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0850
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0950
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.1250
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.1300
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.1300
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.1300
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.1300
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.1250
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.1300
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.1300
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.1250
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.1250
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.1300
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.1300
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.1300
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.1300
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.1250
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.1300
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.1250
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0100
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0640
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.1005
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0475
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0705
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.1080
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.1010
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0845
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0295
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 259, Buy volume: 9448.60, Sell volume: 4128.40, Average price: 0.3933, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518096
Question: Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 46972.612619
Price History:
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.1200
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.1200
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.1200
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.1200
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.1200
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.1200
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.1200
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.1250
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.1250
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.1250
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.1300
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.1300
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.1300
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.1300
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.2250
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.1550
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.2300
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.2300
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.2400
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.1150
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.1150
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.1100
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.1150
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.1100
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.1150
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.1150
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.1150
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.1150
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.1150
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 90.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8640, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518096
Question: Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 46972.612619
Price History:
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.8850
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.8850
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.8850
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.8850
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.8850
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.8850
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.8800
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.8800
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.8800
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.8800
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.8800
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.8800
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.8800
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.8800
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.8800
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.8800
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.8750
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.8750
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.8750
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.8750
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.8750
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.8750
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.8750
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.8750
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.8750
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.8750
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.8750
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.8750
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.8750
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 310.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.3000, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518096
Question: Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 46972.612619
Price History:
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.1250
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.1200
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.1200
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.1200
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.1200
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.1250
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.1250
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.1250
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.1250
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 294.00, Sell volume: 7.62, Average price: 0.7300, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518096
Question: Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 46972.612619
Price History:
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 157.00, Sell volume: 49.66, Average price: 0.5543, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518096
Question: Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 46972.612619
Price History:
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.2600
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.2600
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.2450
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.2550
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.1800
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.1800
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.1800
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.2100
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.1900
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.1950
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.1950
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.1900
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.1900
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.2100
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.1900
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.1850
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.1850
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.2000
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 1023.64, Sell volume: 107.07, Average price: 0.5176, Price range: 0.1402 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518096
Question: Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 46972.612619
Price History:
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.8100
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.8150
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.8150
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.8150
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.8200
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.8200
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.8150
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.8200
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.8250
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.8250
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.8300
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.8200
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.7850
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.8000
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.8250
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.8250
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.8150
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.8150
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.8200
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.8150
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.8250
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.8200
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.8150
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.8150
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.8050
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.8000
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.8200
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.8100
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.8100
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 788.74, Sell volume: 299.21, Average price: 0.4473, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518096
Question: Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 46972.612619
Price History:
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.1850
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.1850
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.1800
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.1900
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.1900
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.1800
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.1750
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.1750
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.1700
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.1700
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.1650
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.1700
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 1342.45, Sell volume: 472.34, Average price: 0.7439, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518096
Question: Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 46972.612619
Price History:
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.8100
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.7950
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.8050
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.8050
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.8100
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.8050
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.7750
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.6950
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.6600
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.6900
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.7100
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.7800
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.7850
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.7850
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.7850
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.7850
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.7800
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.7850
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.7850
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.8950
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.8650
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.8650
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.8200
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.8250
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.8300
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.8300
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.8300
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 3174.46, Sell volume: 469.85, Average price: 0.4693, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes