Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5750
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4250
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.4200
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.5800
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0750
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9250
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9550
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0450
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0450
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9550
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0400
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9600
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0400
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9600
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0400
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9600
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9695
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0305
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0255
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9745
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9875
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0125
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0125
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9875
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9870
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0130
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9870
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0130
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9870
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0130
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0130
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.9870
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9870
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0130
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.0130
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.9870
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.0120
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9880
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0110
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.9890
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0110
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9890
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9890
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0110
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0105
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9895
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.0110
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 770.00, Sell volume: 437.00, Average price: 0.8284, Price range: 0.0098 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0110
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9890
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0110
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9890
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0110
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9890
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0110
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9890
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9890
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0110
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0110
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9890
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9890
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9890
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9890
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9890
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9890
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9890
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9890
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9890
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9890
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9890
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9930
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0070
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.0055
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.0055
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0055
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.0055
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0055
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 336.98, Sell volume: 39.00, Average price: 0.8614, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0055
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0055
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0045
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9955
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0045
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9955
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9955
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0045
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0045
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9955
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 255.18, Sell volume: 229.77, Average price: 0.9440, Price range: 0.0033 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 118.00, Sell volume: 1.47, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 4.00, Sell volume: 4.00, Average price: 0.9954, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 109.52, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.8327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 1779.69, Sell volume: 1052.23, Average price: 0.8832, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 6.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 1779.69, Sell volume: 1052.23, Average price: 0.8832, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 1779.69, Sell volume: 1052.23, Average price: 0.8832, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 8.00, Sell volume: 239.99, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 1779.69, Sell volume: 1052.23, Average price: 0.8832, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.3500
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.3500
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.3500
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.3400
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.3400
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.3300
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.3300
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.3200
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 188, Buy volume: 14667.37, Sell volume: 6581.86, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.3150
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.3100
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.3100
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.3150
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.3150
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.3150
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.3150
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.2100
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.1650
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.1650
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.1650
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.1650
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.1650
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.1700
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.1700
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.1700
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.1700
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 178.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3367, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.1700
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.1700
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.1700
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.1800
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.1800
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.1900
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.1900
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.1900
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.1900
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.1900
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1900
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.1900
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.2000
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.2000
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.2000
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.2300
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.2500
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.2200
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.2600
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.2700
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.2700
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 399.24, Sell volume: 50.83, Average price: 0.5066, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.2850
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.3200
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.3300
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.3300
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.3300
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.3300
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.3300
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.3300
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.3650
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.3600
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.3600
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.4100
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.4100
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.4250
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.2650
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2700
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.2700
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.2700
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.3400
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.3400
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.3350
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.3800
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.3850
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.3300
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.3300
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.3200
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.3750
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.3750
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.3750
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.3750
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.3750
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.3750
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.3750
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.3750
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.3750
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.3750
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.3750
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.3750
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.3750
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.3750
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.3750
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.3750
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 22.22, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.3850
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.3400
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.3450
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.3450
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.3500
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.3500
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.3500
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.3500
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.3350
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.3150
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.2500
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.2500
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.2500
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.2500
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.2500
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.2550
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.3800
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.5950
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.6200
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 268.76, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.4515 - 0.8567

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9100
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.7900
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.7800
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.6700
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.6650
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.6650
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.6700
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.6700
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.6700
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.6700
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.7450
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.7150
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.7450
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.7450
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.7350
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.7450
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.7450
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.7450
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.7500
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.7600
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.7600
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.7600
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.7600
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.7600
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.7600
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.7600
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.7600
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.7600
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.7900
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.7900
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.7950
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.7950
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.7950
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.7950
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.7950
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.7950
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 69.92, Sell volume: 0.72, Average price: 0.4673, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.7150
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.7150
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.3700
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.5700
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4050
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4050
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4100
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.4000
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4000
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.4000
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.2750
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.2750
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.3250
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.3300
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.3150
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.3150
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.3150
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.3150
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.6550
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.6550
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.6550
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.6600
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.6600
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6600
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.6650
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1107.32, Sell volume: 620.98, Average price: 0.4505, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.6650
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.6650
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.6650
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.6750
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.6750
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.6750
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.6750
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.6750
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.6750
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.6750
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.6750
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.6750
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.6750
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.7100
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.7500
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.7500
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.7600
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.7600
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.8050
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.8050
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.8150
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.7950
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.7450
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.7600
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.7550
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 394.84, Sell volume: 51.00, Average price: 0.3945, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.4850
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5950
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.6800
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7650
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6800
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.6850
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.6900
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6800
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.6850
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.6850
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.6850
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.6650
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.6700
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.6700
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.6650
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.6750
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.8400
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.8300
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.8050
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2781.34, Sell volume: 1664.73, Average price: 0.4610, Price range: 0.0860 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.8650
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9400
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9495
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9495
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9495
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9500
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9225
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9225
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9225
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9225
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9225
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9335
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9370
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.8460
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.7960
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.7755
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.7805
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.7265
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.6120
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.5195
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.7630
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.8185
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.7850
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.8155
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.8150
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.8155
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.8155
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.7750
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.7705
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.7650
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.7900
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.8050
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.8600
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.8400
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.8585
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.8825
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.8795
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.8980
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9175
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.8910
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.8955
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.8955
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9000
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.8995
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.8975
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.8965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1818.80, Sell volume: 484.28, Average price: 0.3766, Price range: 0.0440 - 0.9820

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9505
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9530
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9625
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9635
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9565
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9555
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9505
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9435
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9430
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9445
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9440
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9440
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9445
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9440
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9435
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9430
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9425
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9430
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9425
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9425
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9430
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9430
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9430
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9430
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9430
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9430
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9425
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9420
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9420
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9420
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9420
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9420
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9425
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9420
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9415
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9410
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9410
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9410
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9410
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9410
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9410
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9410
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9485
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9485
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9485
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9485
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9485
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9475
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.9475
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 304.99, Sell volume: 541.04, Average price: 0.4607, Price range: 0.0535 - 0.9540

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9490
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9740
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9755
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9750
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9755
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9760
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9740
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9795
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9800
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9815
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9815
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9820
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9820
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9830
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9825
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9830
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9830
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9810
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9815
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9805
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9810
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9810
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9810
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9810
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9810
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9810
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9810
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9835
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9815
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9815
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9865
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 770.32, Sell volume: 1416.35, Average price: 0.4515, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9943

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 5501.57, Sell volume: 1715.88, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5200
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.3500
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.6500
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.6550
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.6550
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.6550
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 188, Buy volume: 14667.37, Sell volume: 6581.86, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.3150
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.6850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6850
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.6850
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.6850
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.6850
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.6850
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.3100
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.6850
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.3150
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.7900
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.1650
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.8350
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.1650
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 178.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3367, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.1700
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.8300
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8150
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.1800
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8100
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.1900
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.8100
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1900
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8100
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.8100
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.8100
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.8100
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.2000
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.8000
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.2500
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.2600
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 399.24, Sell volume: 50.83, Average price: 0.5066, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.2850
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.3300
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.6700
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.3300
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.6700
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.3650
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.6400
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.4100
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.5750
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2700
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7300
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.3400
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.6600
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.3800
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.6150
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.3300
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.6800
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.3750
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.6250
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.3750
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6250
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.3750
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.6250
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.3750
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 22.22, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.3850
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.6600
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.3450
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.6450
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.3500
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.6500
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.6400
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.6400
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.6400
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.3150
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.6850
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.7550
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.2500
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.7500
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.2500
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 268.76, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.4515 - 0.8567
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.2100
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.6700
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.3350
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.6700
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.3300
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.6700
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.2500
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.2550
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.7450
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.2550
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.7450
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.2550
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.7500
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.2400
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.7600
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.2400
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.7600
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.2400
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.7600
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.7950
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 69.92, Sell volume: 0.72, Average price: 0.4673, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.2050
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.2050
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.2050
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.7150
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.6300
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4050
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5900
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4000
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.7250
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.2750
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.6850
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.6700
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.3150
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.6850
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.6550
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1107.32, Sell volume: 620.98, Average price: 0.4505, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.6650
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.3350
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.6750
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.6750
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.6750
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.6750
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.7100
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.2500
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.7600
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.2400
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.8050
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 394.84, Sell volume: 51.00, Average price: 0.3945, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.5150
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7650
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3200
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3150
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6800
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.3150
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.6850
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.3150
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.6700
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.3300
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.6750
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2781.34, Sell volume: 1664.73, Average price: 0.4610, Price range: 0.0860 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.8650
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0900
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9495
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0505
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9500
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0500
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9225
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0775
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9225
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0665
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.8460
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.2040
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.7805
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.2735
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.5195
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.2370
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.7850
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.1845
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.8155
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.7750
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.2295
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.7900
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.1950
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.8400
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.8825
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.1205
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9175
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.1090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1818.80, Sell volume: 484.28, Average price: 0.3766, Price range: 0.0440 - 0.9820
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9505
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0470
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9635
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0435
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9505
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0565
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9445
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0560
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9445
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0560
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9430
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0575
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9425
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0575
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9430
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0570
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9430
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0570
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9420
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0580
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9420
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0580
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9420
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0585
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9410
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0590
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9410
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0590
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9485
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 304.99, Sell volume: 541.04, Average price: 0.4607, Price range: 0.0535 - 0.9540
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9490
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0260
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9750
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0245
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9740
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0205
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9815
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0185
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9820
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0170
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9830
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0170
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9815
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0195
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9810
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0190
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9810
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 770.32, Sell volume: 1416.35, Average price: 0.4515, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9943
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657153
Question: Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Volume: 21249.225066
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 5501.57, Sell volume: 1715.88, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5750
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4250
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.4200
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.5800
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0750
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9250
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9550
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0450
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0450
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9550
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0400
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9600
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0400
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9600
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0400
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9600
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9695
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0305
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0255
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9745
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9875
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0125
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0125
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9875
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9870
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0130
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9870
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0130
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9870
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 770.00, Sell volume: 437.00, Average price: 0.8284, Price range: 0.0098 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0110
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9890
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0110
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9890
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0110
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9890
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0110
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9890
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9890
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0110
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0110
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9890
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9890
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9890
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9890
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9890
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9890
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9890
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9890
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9890
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 336.98, Sell volume: 39.00, Average price: 0.8614, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0055
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0055
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0045
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9955
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0045
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9955
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9955
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0045
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0045
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9955
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 255.18, Sell volume: 229.77, Average price: 0.9440, Price range: 0.0033 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 118.00, Sell volume: 1.47, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 4.00, Sell volume: 4.00, Average price: 0.9954, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 109.52, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.8327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 1779.69, Sell volume: 1052.23, Average price: 0.8832, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 6.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 1779.69, Sell volume: 1052.23, Average price: 0.8832, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 1779.69, Sell volume: 1052.23, Average price: 0.8832, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 8.00, Sell volume: 239.99, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582280
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 2831.918388
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 1779.69, Sell volume: 1052.23, Average price: 0.8832, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.6450
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.3550
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.6500
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.3500
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.6400
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.3600
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.6500
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.3500
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.6500
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.3500
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.6600
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.3400
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.6700
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.3300
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 10471.59, Sell volume: 2718.61, Average price: 0.3728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.3250
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.6900
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.3100
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.6900
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.3100
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.6900
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.3100
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.6900
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.3100
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.6900
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.3100
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.6900
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.3100
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.6900
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 10471.59, Sell volume: 2718.61, Average price: 0.3728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.6900
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.3100
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.6750
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.3250
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.7200
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.7200
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.7200
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.7200
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.7200
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 10471.59, Sell volume: 2718.61, Average price: 0.3728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.7250
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.2750
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.7250
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.2750
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.7250
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.2750
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.7050
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.2950
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 10471.59, Sell volume: 2718.61, Average price: 0.3728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.7100
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.7100
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.7100
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 10471.59, Sell volume: 2718.61, Average price: 0.3728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.7100
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.7100
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.7100
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.7100
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.7100
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.7100
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.7100
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 10471.59, Sell volume: 2718.61, Average price: 0.3728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.7100
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.7100
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.7500
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.2500
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.7500
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.2500
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.7500
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.2500
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.7500
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.2500
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.7500
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.2500
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 10471.59, Sell volume: 2718.61, Average price: 0.3728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.2500
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.7500
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.2500
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.7050
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.2950
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.7050
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.2950
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.7050
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.2950
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.7050
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 10471.59, Sell volume: 2718.61, Average price: 0.3728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 10471.59, Sell volume: 2718.61, Average price: 0.3728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3900, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.3900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.7100
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.2900
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.7100
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.2900
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.7100
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.2900
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.7100
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.2900
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.7950
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.2050
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.7950
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.2050
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.8050
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.1950
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 90.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8237, Price range: 0.8075 - 0.8400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.1850
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.8250
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.1750
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.8300
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.1700
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.8350
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.1650
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.8200
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.1800
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.8200
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.1800
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.8200
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.1800
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.8200
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 211.18, Sell volume: 135.70, Average price: 0.3586, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.8200
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.1800
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.8200
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.1800
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.8200
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.1800
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.8200
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.1800
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.8250
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.1750
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.8500
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.1500
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9445
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0555
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 6462.33, Sell volume: 893.51, Average price: 0.3621, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9979

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.6450
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.3550
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.6500
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.3500
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.6400
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.3600
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.6500
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.3500
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.6500
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.3500
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.6600
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.3400
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.6700
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.3300
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 10471.59, Sell volume: 2718.61, Average price: 0.3728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.3250
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.6900
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.3100
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.6900
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.3100
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.6900
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.3100
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.6900
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.3100
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.6900
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.3100
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.6900
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.3100
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.6900
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 10471.59, Sell volume: 2718.61, Average price: 0.3728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.6900
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.3100
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.6750
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.3250
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.7200
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.7200
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.7200
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.7200
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.7200
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 10471.59, Sell volume: 2718.61, Average price: 0.3728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.7250
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.2750
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.7250
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.2750
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.7250
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.2750
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.7050
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.2950
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 10471.59, Sell volume: 2718.61, Average price: 0.3728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.7100
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.7100
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.7100
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 10471.59, Sell volume: 2718.61, Average price: 0.3728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.7100
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.7100
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.7100
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.7100
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.7100
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.7100
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.7100
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 10471.59, Sell volume: 2718.61, Average price: 0.3728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.7100
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.7100
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.7500
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.2500
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.7500
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.2500
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.7500
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.2500
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.7500
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.2500
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.7500
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.2500
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 10471.59, Sell volume: 2718.61, Average price: 0.3728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.2500
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.7500
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.2500
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.7050
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.2950
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.7050
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.2950
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.7050
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.2950
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.7050
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 10471.59, Sell volume: 2718.61, Average price: 0.3728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 10471.59, Sell volume: 2718.61, Average price: 0.3728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3900, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.3900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.7100
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.2900
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.7100
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.2900
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.7100
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.2900
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.7100
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.2900
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.7950
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.2050
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.7950
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.2050
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.8050
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.1950
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 90.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8237, Price range: 0.8075 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.1850
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.8250
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.1750
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.8300
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.1700
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.8350
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.1650
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.8200
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.1800
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.8200
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.1800
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.8200
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.1800
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.8200
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 211.18, Sell volume: 135.70, Average price: 0.3586, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524345
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 175+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13190.1961
Price History:
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.8200
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.1800
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.8200
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.1800
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.8200
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.1800
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.8200
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.1800
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.8250
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.1750
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.8500
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.1500
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9445
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0555
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 6462.33, Sell volume: 893.51, Average price: 0.3621, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9979
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5250
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.6200
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.6200
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.6200
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 470, Buy volume: 38391.55, Sell volume: 123843.72, Average price: 0.3064, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.6100
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.6050
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.6000
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.6000
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.6100
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.6100
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.6000
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.6000
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.4150
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.3150
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.3150
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.3200
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.3150
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.3150
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.3150
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.3150
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.3150
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.3150
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 14.29, Sell volume: 38.07, Average price: 0.6120, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.6300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.3400
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.3400
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.3400
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.3400
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.3400
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.3400
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.3400
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.3300
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.3300
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.3300
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.3300
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.3300
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.3250
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.3250
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.3250
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.3250
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.3250
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.3250
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.3250
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.3250
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.3250
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.3400
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.3400
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.3400
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.3400
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.3450
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.3450
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.3450
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.3450
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.3450
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.5400
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.5400
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.5400
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5600
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.6100
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.6100
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.6100
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.6100
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.6100
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.6100
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 103.00, Sell volume: 14.28, Average price: 0.4450, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.5200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.6400
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.6650
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.6650
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.6700
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.6700
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.6700
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.6700
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.6700
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.6700
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.6700
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.6700
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.6750
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.4700
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.4500
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.4450
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.4500
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.4300
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.4150
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.3400
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.3400
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.3150
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 103.00, Average price: 0.1740, Price range: 0.1740 - 0.1740

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.3250
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.3200
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.3150
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.3000
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.2850
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.2750
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.2600
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.2500
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.6700
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.4650
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.4650
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.4650
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.4650
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.6100
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.6100
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.6100
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.6100
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.6100
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.6100
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.6100
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.7700
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.5700
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.5700
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.5700
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.5700
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.5700
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.5700
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.5700
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.5700
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.5700
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.5750
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.5750
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.5750
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.6100
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 93.63, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4617, Price range: 0.4617 - 0.4617

Output: No