Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9920
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9920
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9920
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9920
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9920
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9920
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9920
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9920
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 292.46, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 69.04, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 447.67, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.6664, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1128.03, Sell volume: 493.03, Average price: 0.8971, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 214.46, Sell volume: 137.80, Average price: 0.7636, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 2860.56, Sell volume: 443.76, Average price: 0.9468, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9930
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 14619.04, Sell volume: 7050.00, Average price: 0.8162, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0135
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0145
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0145
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0145
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0100
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0130
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0115
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0105
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0125
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0100
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0140
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0140
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0145
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0150
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0145
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0225
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 17796.58, Sell volume: 8381.67, Average price: 0.8515, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9915
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9910
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9910
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9905
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9905
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9920
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9920
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9920
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9920
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9915
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9915
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9915
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9915
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9915
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9910
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9920
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9910
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9910
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9910
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9915
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9915
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9915
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9915
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9910
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9905
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9905
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9910
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9910
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9910
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9910
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9915
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9920
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9915
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9905
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 4627.48, Sell volume: 7800.76, Average price: 0.8624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9988

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9805
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9805
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0195
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9805
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0200
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9800
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9800
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 409.21, Sell volume: 52.00, Average price: 0.8948, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9805
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0185
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9815
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0190
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9815
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0155
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9845
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0155
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9845
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0155
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9845
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0145
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9855
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0155
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9780
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0210
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9790
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0210
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9790
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0210
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9790
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0210
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9790
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0195
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9805
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0190
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9805
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0195
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9805
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 709.87, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.6438, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0190
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9810
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0190
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9805
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0190
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9810
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0190
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9810
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0190
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9815
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0185
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9815
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0165
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9850
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0145
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9855
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0145
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9855
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0140
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9860
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0140
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9865
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0140
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9860
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0140
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9860
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 301.09, Sell volume: 390.61, Average price: 0.7916, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0080
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0080
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9920
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9920
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9920
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 292.46, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 69.04, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 447.67, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.6664, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1128.03, Sell volume: 493.03, Average price: 0.8971, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 214.46, Sell volume: 137.80, Average price: 0.7636, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 2860.56, Sell volume: 443.76, Average price: 0.9468, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 14619.04, Sell volume: 7050.00, Average price: 0.8162, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0135
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9855
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0145
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9900
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0130
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9885
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0125
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9900
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9925
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0140
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9860
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0150
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9855
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9855
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 17796.58, Sell volume: 8381.67, Average price: 0.8515, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9915
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9905
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9920
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9920
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0085
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9915
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0085
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9910
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0090
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9910
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9915
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0085
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9910
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0095
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9910
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0090
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9910
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9915
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 4627.48, Sell volume: 7800.76, Average price: 0.8624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9988
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0240
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9760
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0235
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9765
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0210
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9790
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0210
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9790
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0210
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9790
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0140
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 31.00, Sell volume: 164.00, Average price: 0.0033, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0085
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9915
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9925
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9910
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0080
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9920
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 313.73, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1.91, Sell volume: 1.91, Average price: 0.9983, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 78.00, Sell volume: 271.77, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 868.91, Sell volume: 93.05, Average price: 0.8992, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 689.47, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9084, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 478.19, Sell volume: 450.39, Average price: 0.6310, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 112.77, Sell volume: 490.68, Average price: 0.7134, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89, Buy volume: 1681.11, Sell volume: 30.69, Average price: 0.9875, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 195, Buy volume: 7941.35, Sell volume: 4849.22, Average price: 0.8453, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 195, Buy volume: 7941.35, Sell volume: 4849.22, Average price: 0.8453, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2664.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0240
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0235
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0210
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0210
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0210
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0140
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0130
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0120
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0100
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 31.00, Sell volume: 164.00, Average price: 0.0033, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0085
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0080
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 313.73, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1.91, Sell volume: 1.91, Average price: 0.9983, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 78.00, Sell volume: 271.77, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 868.91, Sell volume: 93.05, Average price: 0.8992, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 689.47, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9084, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 478.19, Sell volume: 450.39, Average price: 0.6310, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 112.77, Sell volume: 490.68, Average price: 0.7134, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89, Buy volume: 1681.11, Sell volume: 30.69, Average price: 0.9875, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 195, Buy volume: 7941.35, Sell volume: 4849.22, Average price: 0.8453, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 195, Buy volume: 7941.35, Sell volume: 4849.22, Average price: 0.8453, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2664.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641855
Question: Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12790.5745
Price History:
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0245
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9755
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0230
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9770
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0240
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9760
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0235
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9765
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0220
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9780
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0220
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9780
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0220
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9780
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9805
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9805
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9805
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9805
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9805
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9805
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9805
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9805
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9805
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9805
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9805
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9805
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0190
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9810
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0180
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 178.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0085
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9915
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9925
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9910
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0080
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9920
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 299.73, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 219, Buy volume: 5010.22, Sell volume: 6491.54, Average price: 0.8122, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 78.00, Sell volume: 271.77, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 746.91, Sell volume: 93.05, Average price: 0.8972, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 818.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9084, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 212.46, Sell volume: 540.39, Average price: 0.6465, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1014.99, Sell volume: 888.35, Average price: 0.4787, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 1484.07, Sell volume: 252.87, Average price: 0.9849, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 219, Buy volume: 5010.22, Sell volume: 6491.54, Average price: 0.8122, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 501.92, Sell volume: 3760.38, Average price: 0.8522, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 193.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0245
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0230
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0240
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0235
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0220
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0220
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0220
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0190
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0180
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0165
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0155
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 178.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0085
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0080
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 299.73, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 219, Buy volume: 5010.22, Sell volume: 6491.54, Average price: 0.8122, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 78.00, Sell volume: 271.77, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 746.91, Sell volume: 93.05, Average price: 0.8972, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 818.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9084, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 212.46, Sell volume: 540.39, Average price: 0.6465, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1014.99, Sell volume: 888.35, Average price: 0.4787, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 1484.07, Sell volume: 252.87, Average price: 0.9849, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 219, Buy volume: 5010.22, Sell volume: 6491.54, Average price: 0.8122, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes