Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582309
Question: Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31789.540698
Price History:
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.5900
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.4100
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.6000
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.4000
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.6100
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.3900
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.6650
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.3350
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.6450
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.3550
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.6550
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.3450
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.6050
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.3950
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.6200
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.3800
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.7050
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.2950
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.6750
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.3250
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.6800
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.3200
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.6800
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.3200
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.3200
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.6800
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.3150
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.6850
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.6850
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.3150
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.4550
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.5450
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.4250
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.5750
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.4200
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.5800
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.3550
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.6450
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.3500
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.6500
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.6650
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.3350
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.3250
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.6750
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.6900
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.2850
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1467.91, Sell volume: 533.34, Average price: 0.5286, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582309
Question: Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31789.540698
Price History:
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.2850
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.7150
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.2650
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.7350
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.7250
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.2750
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.2600
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.2550
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.7450
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.2600
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.7400
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.7250
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.2750
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.2750
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.7250
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.2450
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.7550
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.2550
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.7450
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.7300
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.2750
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.7250
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.7050
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.2950
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.3050
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.6950
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.6950
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.3050
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.6900
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.3100
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.6900
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.3100
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.6900
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.3100
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.7400
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.2600
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.7300
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.3300
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.6700
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.6950
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.3050
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.3050
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.6950
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.6950
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1221.42, Sell volume: 274.52, Average price: 0.5034, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582309
Question: Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31789.540698
Price History:
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.6750
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.3350
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.6650
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.3350
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.3550
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.6450
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.4250
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.5750
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.5750
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.4250
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.4450
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.5550
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.4250
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.5750
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.5400
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.4600
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.4150
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.5850
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.5950
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.6150
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.3850
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.6050
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.3950
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.5950
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.4050
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.4050
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.5950
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.6000
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.4000
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.6250
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.3750
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.3750
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.6250
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.3750
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.6250
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.6250
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.3750
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.6950
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.3050
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.6700
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.3300
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.6700
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.3300
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.3250
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 2332.59, Sell volume: 907.35, Average price: 0.4802, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582309
Question: Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31789.540698
Price History:
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.6750
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.3250
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.6750
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.3550
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.6250
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.3750
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.3700
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.6300
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.6450
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.3550
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.6750
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.3250
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.3250
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.6750
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.3300
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.6700
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.3200
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.6800
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.3250
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.6750
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.3150
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.6850
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.6850
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.3150
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.3150
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.6850
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.2450
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.7550
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.2450
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.7550
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.7500
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.2500
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.2500
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.7500
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.2500
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.7500
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.3050
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.6950
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.3050
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.6950
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.2850
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.7150
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.7150
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.2850
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.7150
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 867.55, Sell volume: 1175.05, Average price: 0.5392, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582309
Question: Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31789.540698
Price History:
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.2800
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.7200
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.2800
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.7200
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.7200
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.2800
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.2800
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.7200
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.7200
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.2800
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.2800
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.7200
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.2800
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.7200
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.7200
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.2800
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.7200
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.2800
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.2800
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.7200
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.7200
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.2800
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.7200
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.2800
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.2800
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.7200
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.2750
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.2750
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.2750
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.2750
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.2750
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.2750
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.2750
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.2750
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.2700
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.7300
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.2750
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.2850
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 420.41, Sell volume: 79.74, Average price: 0.5870, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582309
Question: Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31789.540698
Price History:
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.7050
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.2950
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.2950
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.7050
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.3050
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.6950
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.6950
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.3050
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.6950
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.3300
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.6700
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.3300
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.6700
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.6700
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.3300
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.3300
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.6700
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.3300
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.6700
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.3350
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.6650
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.3250
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.6750
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.3300
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.6700
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.3300
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.6700
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.3000
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.7000
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.3150
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.6850
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.3200
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.6800
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.3150
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.6850
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.3150
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.6850
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.3100
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.6900
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.3100
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.6900
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.6900
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.6900
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 208.80, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.3817, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582309
Question: Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31789.540698
Price History:
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.6900
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.3050
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.6950
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.3050
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.6950
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.6950
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.3050
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.6950
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.3100
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.6900
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.6950
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.3050
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.6950
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.2950
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.7050
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.2800
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.7200
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.7200
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.2800
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.2800
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.7200
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.7150
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.2850
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.2750
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.2800
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.7200
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.2800
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.7200
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.2750
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.7250
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.2650
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.7350
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 413.23, Sell volume: 205.98, Average price: 0.6440, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.7400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582309
Question: Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31789.540698
Price History:
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.2450
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.7550
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.7600
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.2400
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.2450
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.7550
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.7650
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.2350
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.7550
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.2450
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.7650
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.2350
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.7500
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.2500
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.2400
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.7600
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.2400
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.7600
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.7600
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.2400
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.7650
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.2350
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.2200
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.7800
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.7800
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.2200
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.2200
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.7800
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.2200
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.7800
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.2350
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.7650
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0500
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9500
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0500
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9500
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0260
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 2651.92, Sell volume: 906.08, Average price: 0.6128, Price range: 0.0169 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582309
Question: Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31789.540698
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9665
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0335
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9615
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0385
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9560
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0440
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0440
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9560
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0505
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9495
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9495
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0505
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0505
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9495
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9495
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0505
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0545
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9455
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0545
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9455
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0550
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9450
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0590
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9410
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0510
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9490
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0515
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9485
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0525
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9475
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0560
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9440
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9445
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0555
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0460
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9540
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0445
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9555
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0465
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9535
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0460
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9540
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 142, Buy volume: 8282.10, Sell volume: 2898.32, Average price: 0.8243, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.4550
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.0700
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0650
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0600
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0600
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.0600
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0600
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0700
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0700
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.0700
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.0700
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0650
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0650
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0600
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0350
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0350
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0345
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0345
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0340
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0335
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0345
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0345
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0335
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0320
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0315
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0315
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0315
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0320
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0325
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0330
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0320
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0330
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0325
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0315
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0345
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0325
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0330
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0320
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0325
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0320
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0320
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0320
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0330
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0320
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0325
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0325
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0330
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0320
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0330
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0325
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0340
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0335
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0315
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0315
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0320
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0315
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0315
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0315
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0315
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0310
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0325
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0330
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0325
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0325
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0305
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0295
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0310
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0305
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0305
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0310
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0305
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0305
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0305
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0295
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0310
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0310
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0315
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0315
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0315
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0305
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0305
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0300
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0310
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0310
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0295
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0305
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0295
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0305
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0250
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0245
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0250
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0245
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0250
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0250
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0245
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0250
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0250
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0245
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0245
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0245
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0240
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0235
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0245
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0235
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0245
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0240
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0240
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0240
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0235
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0240
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0240
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0235
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0245
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0235
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0240
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0235
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0235
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0240
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0235
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0240
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0240
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0230
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0245
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0240
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0240
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0235
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0240
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0240
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0240
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0245
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0240
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.0235
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.0240
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.0240
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0235
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0240
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0240
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0235
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.0235
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.0245
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.0235
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.0245
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.0235
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.0240
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.0210
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.0205
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0170
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.0180
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.0180
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.0175
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.0180
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.0175
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.0175
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.0175
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0175
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.0170
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.0175
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.0170
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.0170
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.0175
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.0175
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.0175
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0170
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.0180
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.0185
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.0175
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.0175
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.0180
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.0180
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.0175
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0180
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.0185
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0180
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.0180
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.0180
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0175
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0180
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.0175
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.0175
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0175
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.0180
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.0175
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.0180
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.0170
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0180
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.0170
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.0175
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.0170
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.0180
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.0175
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0180
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0180
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.0180
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.0175
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0180
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0175
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.0175
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0180
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.0180
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.0180
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.0180
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0175
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0175
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0180
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.0180
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.0180
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0175
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0185
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0180
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.0120
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.0125
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.0125
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0110
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.0110
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0100
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0110
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.0115
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.0100
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.0110
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0110
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0110
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.0105
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0105
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0105
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.0105
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0105
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.0115
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0120
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0090
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0105
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0115
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0115
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.0115
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.0115
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0115
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.0085
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0120
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0115
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.0130
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.0130
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0140
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.0125
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0130
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0110
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.0125
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0125
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0135
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.0140
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.0130
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0135
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0120
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0130
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0135
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0125
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0110
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0115
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0135
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0130
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0105
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.0135
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.0105
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0130
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0105
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0140
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0125
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0120
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.0100
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0120
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0125
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0055
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0055
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0050
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.0055
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0055
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.0055
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.0045
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.0045
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0045
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0045
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.0045
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.0045
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0045
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0045
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.0045
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0045
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0045
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0045
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0045
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0045
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0045
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.0045
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0010
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0010
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0010
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0010
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0010
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0045
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.4550
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.9300
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.0600
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.9400
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.9350
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.0700
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.9300
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.9300
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.9400
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.9500
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.9500
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9500
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9500
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9500
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9500
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.9500
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.9500
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.9500
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9500
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9500
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9500
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9500
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9500
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.9500
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9500
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9500
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9500
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9500
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9500
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9500
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9500
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0350
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9650
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0345
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9665
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0340
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0320
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9680
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0315
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9675
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0330
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9670
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0330
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9665
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0330
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9665
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0325
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9680
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0320
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9695
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0320
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9670
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0340
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9685
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0310
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9685
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0315
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9685
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0325
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9675
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0305
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9695
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0305
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9690
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0295
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0305
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9705
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0310
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9685
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0315
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9695
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0295
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9690
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0305
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9695
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0250
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9750
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0250
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9755
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0245
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9755
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0245
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9765
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0240
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.9755
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0240
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9765
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0245
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9765
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0235
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9765
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0235
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9765
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0240
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9760
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0230
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9760
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0240
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.9760
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0240
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.9760
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0240
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.9760
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0240
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.9760
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0235
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.9765
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.0235
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.9765
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.0175
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.9820
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.0175
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.9825
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.0175
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.9825
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.0175
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.9830
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.0175
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.9825
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.0180
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.9820
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.0175
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.9820
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0175
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0180
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.9820
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.0180
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.9820
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0180
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.9825
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.0170
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.9825
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.0180
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.9820
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.0175
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.9830
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.0175
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.9820
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.0175
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.9825
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0175
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.9825
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.0180
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.9820
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0175
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.9825
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0180
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.9825
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0180
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.9880
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.0120
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.9890
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0110
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0110
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.9900
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0105
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9890
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0105
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.9895
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0105
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9880
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0105
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.9885
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0115
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.9885
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0120
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.9880
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0130
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9875
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0110
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.9875
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0135
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.9870
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0120
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.9875
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0120
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.9885
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0130
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.9865
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0135
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9895
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0130
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0125
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.9875
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0120
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9945
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0055
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9955
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.0075
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9955
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.0045
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.9955
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9955
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.9955
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9955
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9955
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9955
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9955
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.9955
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9955
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0045
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.9955
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.9955
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0045
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9955
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9955
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9955
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9955
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9955
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9955
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9955
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9955
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9955
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9955
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9955
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9955
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9955
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9955
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9955
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9955
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9955
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9955
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9955
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0045
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.9955
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.9985
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0010
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.9990
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535391
Question: Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 74350.749204
Price History:
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.9980
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582309
Question: Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Volume: 31789.540698
Price History:
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.2850
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.7150
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.4150
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.5850
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1950
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8050
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.1700
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.8300
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.8800
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.2300
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.7700
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.7700
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.2300
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.7700
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.2300
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.7500
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.2600
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.7400
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 1182.74, Sell volume: 273.99, Average price: 0.5498, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9151
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582309
Question: Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Volume: 31789.540698
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.2250
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.7750
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.2200
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.7800
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.2000
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.8000
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 603.73, Sell volume: 21.31, Average price: 0.6237, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582309
Question: Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Volume: 31789.540698
Price History:
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.8400
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.1600
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.1600
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.8400
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.1600
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.8400
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.1650
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.8350
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.1650
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.8350
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.1650
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.8350
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.8350
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.1650
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.1650
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.8350
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.1650
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.8350
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.1650
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.8350
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.1650
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.8350
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.1650
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.8350
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.8750
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.1250
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.1100
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.8900
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2742.30, Sell volume: 16.28, Average price: 0.4757, Price range: 0.1236 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582309
Question: Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Volume: 31789.540698
Price History:
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.6850
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.3150
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.3150
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.6850
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.6750
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.6700
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.3300
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.6800
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.3200
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.6650
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.3350
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.6550
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.3450
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.3350
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.6650
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.3300
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.6700
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.6800
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.3200
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.3400
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.6600
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.6850
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.3150
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.6600
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.3400
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.6600
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.3400
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.6000
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 365.93, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.5098, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582309
Question: Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Volume: 31789.540698
Price History:
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.5900
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.4100
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.6000
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.4000
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.6100
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.3900
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.6650
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.3350
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.6450
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.3550
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.6550
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.3450
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.6050
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.3950
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.6200
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.3800
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.7050
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.2950
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.6750
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.3250
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.6800
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.3200
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.6800
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.3200
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.3200
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.6800
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.3150
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.6850
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.6850
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1467.91, Sell volume: 533.34, Average price: 0.5286, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582309
Question: Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Volume: 31789.540698
Price History:
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.2850
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.7150
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.2650
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.7350
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.7250
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.2750
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.2600
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.2550
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.7450
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.2600
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.7400
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.7250
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.2750
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.2750
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.7250
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.2450
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.7550
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.2550
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.7450
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.7300
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.2750
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.7250
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.7050
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.2950
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.3050
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.6950
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.6950
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1221.42, Sell volume: 274.52, Average price: 0.5034, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582309
Question: Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Volume: 31789.540698
Price History:
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.6750
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.3350
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.6650
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.3350
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.3550
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.6450
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.4250
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.5750
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.5750
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.4250
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.4450
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.5550
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.4250
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.5750
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.5400
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.4600
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.4150
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.5850
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.5950
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.6150
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.3850
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.6050
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.3950
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.5950
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.4050
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.4050
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 2332.59, Sell volume: 907.35, Average price: 0.4802, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582309
Question: Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Volume: 31789.540698
Price History:
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.6750
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.3250
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.6750
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.3550
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.6250
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.3750
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.3700
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.6300
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.6450
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.3550
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.6750
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.3250
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.3250
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.6750
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.3300
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.6700
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.3200
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.6800
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.3250
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.6750
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.3150
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.6850
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.6850
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.3150
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.3150
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.6850
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.2450
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 867.55, Sell volume: 1175.05, Average price: 0.5392, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582309
Question: Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Volume: 31789.540698
Price History:
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.2800
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.7200
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.2800
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.7200
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.7200
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.2800
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.2800
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.7200
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.7200
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.2800
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.2800
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.7200
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.2800
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.7200
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.7200
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.2800
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.7200
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.2800
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.2800
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.7200
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.7200
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.2800
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.7200
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.2800
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.2800
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.7200
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.2750
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 420.41, Sell volume: 79.74, Average price: 0.5870, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582309
Question: Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Volume: 31789.540698
Price History:
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.7050
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.2950
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.2950
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.7050
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.3050
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.6950
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.6950
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.3050
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.6950
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.3300
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.6700
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.3300
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.6700
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.6700
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.3300
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.3300
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.6700
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.3300
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.6700
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.3350
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.6650
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.3250
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.6750
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.3300
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.6700
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.3300
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.6700
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.3000
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 208.80, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.3817, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582309
Question: Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Volume: 31789.540698
Price History:
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.6900
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.3050
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.6950
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.3050
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.6950
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.6950
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.3050
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.6950
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.3100
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.6900
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.6950
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.3050
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.6950
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.2950
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.7050
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.2800
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.7200
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.7200
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.2800
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.2800
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.7200
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.7150
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.2850
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.2750
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 413.23, Sell volume: 205.98, Average price: 0.6440, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582309
Question: Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Volume: 31789.540698
Price History:
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.2450
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.7550
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.7600
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.2400
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.2450
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.7550
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.7650
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.2350
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.7550
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.2450
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.7650
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.2350
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.7500
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.2500
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.2400
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.7600
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.2400
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.7600
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.7600
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 2651.92, Sell volume: 906.08, Average price: 0.6128, Price range: 0.0169 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582309
Question: Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Volume: 31789.540698
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9665
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0335
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9615
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0385
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9560
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0440
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0440
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9560
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0505
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9495
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9495
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0505
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0505
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9495
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9495
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0505
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0545
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9455
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0545
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9455
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0550
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9450
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0590
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9410
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0510
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9490
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0515
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9485
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0525
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 142, Buy volume: 8282.10, Sell volume: 2898.32, Average price: 0.8243, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.5400
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.4600
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.5250
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.4750
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.4350
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.5650
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.4250
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.5750
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.4200
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.5800
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.4400
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.5600
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.5100
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.5300
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.4700
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.4700
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.5300
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.4600
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.5400
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.5400
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.4600
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.5500
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.4500
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.3450
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.6550
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.6500
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.3500
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.5150
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1005.47, Sell volume: 0.95, Average price: 0.5717, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6290

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4150
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5850
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4150
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5850
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4150
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5550
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.6750
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.3250
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.6800
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.6200
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.3800
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.2800
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7200
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.7150
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2850
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.7100
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.2900
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.6900
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.6950
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3050
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.6950
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.3050
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.6900
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.6850
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.3150
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.6950
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.3050
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.6950
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 610.77, Sell volume: 13.59, Average price: 0.5390, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.6700
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.6700
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.6700
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.6750
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.3250
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.6700
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.6700
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.6700
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.3350
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.6650
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.3350
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.6650
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.3350
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6650
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6650
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.3350
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3250
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.6750
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.3250
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.6750
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.6750
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.3250
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.6750
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.3250
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.6750
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.6700
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.3250
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.6750
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.3250
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.6750
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1251.55, Sell volume: 45.01, Average price: 0.5320, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6974

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.45, Sell volume: 7.80, Average price: 0.3000, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.3100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.2950
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.6700
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3300
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.6750
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.3250
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.6750
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.3250
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3250
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.6750
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.6750
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.6750
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.6750
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.6750
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.3350
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.6650
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6700
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.3300
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 400.76, Sell volume: 305.07, Average price: 0.5278, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6822

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3100
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.3100
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3100
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3200, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.3200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.3100
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.6850
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.3150
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.6850
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.3150
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.6850
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.3150
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.6850
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.3150
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.6850
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.3150
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 78.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3200, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.3200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.6900
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.3100
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.6650
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.3350
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.6700
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.3300
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.6700
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.3300
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.6700
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.3300
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.3250
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.6850
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.3150
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.18, Average price: 0.3200, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.3200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.3200
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.6800
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.3200
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.6800
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.6650
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 497.77, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3517, Price range: 0.3434 - 0.3600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.6250
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.6250
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.3750
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.4200
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.5800
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.4200
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.5800
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.4100
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.5900
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.4000
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.6000
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.3900
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.6100
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.3900
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.6100
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.6200
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.3800
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.6300
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.3700
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.6300
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.3700
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.3700
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.6300
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.6300
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.3700
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.3700
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.6300
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.3700
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.6300
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.3700
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.6300
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.3700
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.6300
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.6050
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.3950
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.3950
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.6050
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.6050
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.3950
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.6200
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.3800
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.6200
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.3800
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.6400
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.3600
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.3600
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.6400
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.6400
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.3600
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 165.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3900, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.3900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.4350
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.5650
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.5750
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.4250
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.5750
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.4250
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.5850
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.4150
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.5950
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.4050
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.5950
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.4050
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.5650
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.4350
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.5750
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.4250
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.5550
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.4450
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.5350
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.4650
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5450
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4550
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.2900
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.7100
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.7150
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.7300
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.2700
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.2650
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.7350
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.7350
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.2650
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.2650
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.7350
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.7350
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.2650
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.7350
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.2650
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.7400
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.7400
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.2600
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.2600
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.7400
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.7400
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.2600
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.7400
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.2600
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.2600
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1298.60, Sell volume: 97.46, Average price: 0.5597, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7402

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.7400
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.2600
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.7400
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.2650
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.7350
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.7350
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.2650
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.7350
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.2650
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.2650
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.7350
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.7350
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.2650
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.7350
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.2650
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.2650
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.2450
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.7550
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.2550
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.7450
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.2650
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.7350
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.5450
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.4550
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.5750
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.4250
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.4350
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.5650
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.4700
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.5300
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.4750
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.5250
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.6500
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.3500
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.3500
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.6500
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.3550
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.6450
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.3050
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.6900
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.3100
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.3100
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.6900
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 847.67, Sell volume: 375.76, Average price: 0.4948, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.6850
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.3150
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.6900
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.3100
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.3050
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.3050
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.6900
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.3100
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.6900
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.3100
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.6900
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.3100
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.6850
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.3150
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.3050
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.3150
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.6850
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.6850
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.3150
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.6850
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.3150
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.6850
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.3150
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.3100
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.6850
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.3150
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.6850
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.3150
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.6900
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.3100
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.6850
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.3150
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.3150
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.6850
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.3150
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.6850
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.3100
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.6900
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.3150
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.6850
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.3100
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.6900
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.6950
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.3050
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.3100
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 105.83, Sell volume: 517.52, Average price: 0.3624, Price range: 0.2891 - 0.6700

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.5400
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.4600
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.5250
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.4750
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.4350
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.5650
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.4250
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.5750
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.4200
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.5800
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.4400
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.5600
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.5100
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1005.47, Sell volume: 0.95, Average price: 0.5717, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6290
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4150
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5850
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4150
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5850
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4150
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5550
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.6750
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.3250
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.6800
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.6200
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.3800
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.2800
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7200
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.7150
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2850
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.7100
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.2900
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.6900
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 610.77, Sell volume: 13.59, Average price: 0.5390, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.6700
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.6700
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.6700
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.6750
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.3250
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.6700
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.6700
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.6700
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.3350
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.6650
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.3350
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.6650
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.3350
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6650
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6650
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1251.55, Sell volume: 45.01, Average price: 0.5320, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6974
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.45, Sell volume: 7.80, Average price: 0.3000, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.3100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.2950
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.6700
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3300
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.6750
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.3250
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.6750
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.3250
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3250
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 400.76, Sell volume: 305.07, Average price: 0.5278, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6822
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3100
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3200, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.3200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.3100
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 78.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3200, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.3200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.6900
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.3100
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.6650
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.3350
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.6700
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.3300
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.6700
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.3300
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.6700
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.3300
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.3250
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.18, Average price: 0.3200, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.3200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.3200
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.6800
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.3200
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.6800
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.6650
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 497.77, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3517, Price range: 0.3434 - 0.3600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.6250
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.6250
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.3750
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.4200
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.5800
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.4200
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.5800
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.4100
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.5900
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.4000
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.6000
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.3900
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.6100
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.3900
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.6100
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.6200
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.3800
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.6300
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.3700
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.6300
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.3700
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.3700
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.6300
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.6300
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.3700
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.3700
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.6300
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.3700
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.6300
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 165.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3900, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.3900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.4350
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.5650
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.5750
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.4250
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.5750
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.4250
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.5850
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.4150
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.5950
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.4050
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.5950
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.4050
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.5650
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.4350
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.5750
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.4250
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.5550
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.4450
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.5350
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.4650
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5450
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4550
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.2900
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.7100
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.7150
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.7300
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.2700
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.2650
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1298.60, Sell volume: 97.46, Average price: 0.5597, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7402
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.7400
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.2600
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.7400
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.2650
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.7350
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.7350
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.2650
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.7350
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.2650
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.2650
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.7350
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.7350
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.2650
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.7350
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.2650
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.2650
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.2450
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.7550
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.2550
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.7450
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.2650
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.7350
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.5450
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.4550
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 847.67, Sell volume: 375.76, Average price: 0.4948, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611509
Question: Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?
Volume: 18719.823563
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.6850
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.3150
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.6900
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.3100
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.3050
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.3050
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.6900
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.3100
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.6900
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.3100
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.6900
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.3100
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.6850
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.3150
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.3050
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.3150
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.6850
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.6850
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.3150
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.6850
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.3150
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.6850
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.3150
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.3100
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.6850
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 105.83, Sell volume: 517.52, Average price: 0.3624, Price range: 0.2891 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes