Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543224
Question: Will Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 164556.636873
Price History:
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0045
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0045
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0045
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0045
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0045
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0045
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.21, Sell volume: 473.36, Average price: 0.7480, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543224
Question: Will Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 164556.636873
Price History:
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0055
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.0055
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.0055
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0055
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.0055
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.0055
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0055
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0055
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0055
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0055
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0055
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.0055
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0055
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.0055
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.0055
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0055
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0055
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.0055
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.0055
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.9965
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9965
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.9965
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2326.71, Sell volume: 1621.73, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543224
Question: Will Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 164556.636873
Price History:
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.9960
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.0040
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.9960
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.9960
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.9960
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9960
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0040
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9960
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.9960
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9960
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0040
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.0040
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0040
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0040
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.9960
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.0040
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0040
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.0040
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.0040
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.0040
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0040
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.0040
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.0040
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.0040
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.0040
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.0040
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.9960
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9960
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.9960
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.9960
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.0040
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.9960
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.9960
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.0040
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.9960
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.0040
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.0040
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.0040
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.0040
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0040
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.0040
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 26.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543224
Question: Will Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 164556.636873
Price History:
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.9960
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.9960
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0040
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.0040
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.0040
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.0040
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0040
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.9960
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.0040
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.9960
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.0040
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.0040
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.0040
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0040
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0040
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0040
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0040
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9960
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9960
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.9960
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0040
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9960
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9960
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9960
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9960
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9960
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0040
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0040
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 641.12, Sell volume: 2.61, Average price: 0.4014, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543224
Question: Will Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 164556.636873
Price History:
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1739.97, Sell volume: 510.74, Average price: 0.8515, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543224
Question: Will Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 164556.636873
Price History:
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 3299.50, Sell volume: 3478.88, Average price: 0.8869, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543224
Question: Will Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 164556.636873
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 7390.81, Sell volume: 3024.24, Average price: 0.8831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543224
Question: Will Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 164556.636873
Price History:
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2372.22, Sell volume: 2299.18, Average price: 0.7993, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543224
Question: Will Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 164556.636873
Price History:
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0400
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.0275
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0280
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.0290
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.0100
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0090
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0105
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0100
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0105
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.0110
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0100
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0090
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0095
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0090
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0095
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0100
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.0105
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0100
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0100
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0100
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0100
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0100
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0100
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0100
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0100
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0100
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0100
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0100
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 1295.94, Sell volume: 380.26, Average price: 0.8285, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543224
Question: Will Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 164556.636873
Price History:
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0100
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.0100
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0100
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0100
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0100
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0100
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0100
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0100
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0100
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0105
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0065
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0065
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0070
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0070
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0070
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0070
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0065
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0050
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0050
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0055
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0055
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0055
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0055
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0055
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0055
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0065
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 515, Buy volume: 37069.62, Sell volume: 52618.49, Average price: 0.0461, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543224
Question: Will Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 164556.636873
Price History:
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0080
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0080
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0075
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0075
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0075
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0075
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0075
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0075
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0070
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0070
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0070
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0070
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0065
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0065
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0070
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0065
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0060
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 139, Buy volume: 150.52, Sell volume: 36203.08, Average price: 0.1286, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543224
Question: Will Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 164556.636873
Price History:
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0060
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0060
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0060
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0040
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0040
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0040
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.0040
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0040
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.0040
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0040
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0040
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.0040
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0040
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0040
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0040
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0040
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0040
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0040
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 51.58, Sell volume: 403.21, Average price: 0.6657, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543224
Question: Will Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 164556.636873
Price History:
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0040
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0040
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0040
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0040
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 369.86, Sell volume: 378.70, Average price: 0.8547, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543224
Question: Will Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 164556.636873
Price History:
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0040
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0045
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0045
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0045
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0045
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0045
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.21, Sell volume: 473.36, Average price: 0.7480, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543224
Question: Will Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 164556.636873
Price History:
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.0055
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0055
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.0055
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.0055
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.0055
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0055
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.0055
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0055
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0055
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.0055
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0055
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.0055
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.9965
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9965
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2326.71, Sell volume: 1621.73, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543224
Question: Will Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 164556.636873
Price History:
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9960
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.9960
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.9960
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.9960
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9960
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9960
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.0040
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0040
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.9960
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.9960
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.0040
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.0040
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.9960
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.0040
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.9960
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.0040
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9960
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.9960
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.9960
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.9960
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0040
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.9960
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.0040
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.0040
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 26.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543224
Question: Will Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 164556.636873
Price History:
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.9960
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0040
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9960
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.0040
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9960
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.9960
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.0040
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.0040
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0040
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0040
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0040
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9960
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9960
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9960
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9960
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0040
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0040
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 641.12, Sell volume: 2.61, Average price: 0.4014, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543224
Question: Will Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 164556.636873
Price History:
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1739.97, Sell volume: 510.74, Average price: 0.8515, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543224
Question: Will Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 164556.636873
Price History:
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 3299.50, Sell volume: 3478.88, Average price: 0.8869, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543224
Question: Will Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 164556.636873
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 7390.81, Sell volume: 3024.24, Average price: 0.8831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543224
Question: Will Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 164556.636873
Price History:
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2372.22, Sell volume: 2299.18, Average price: 0.7993, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.0300
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.0440
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.0490
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0420
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0410
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.0365
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0355
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.0250
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0250
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0250
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0250
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.0250
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0260
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0265
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0260
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.0265
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0260
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0260
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.0260
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0260
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0255
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0255
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0255
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0255
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0255
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0255
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0255
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0260
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0260
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0260
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0260
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0260
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0255
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0255
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0255
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0255
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0255
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0255
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0235
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0235
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0250
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0250
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0195
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0205
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0205
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0200
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0195
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0200
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 1840.27, Sell volume: 690.98, Average price: 0.8321, Price range: 0.0209 - 0.9770

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0210
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0205
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.0205
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0205
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0205
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0210
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.0195
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0210
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0210
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0205
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0205
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0200
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0200
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0200
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0205
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0185
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0200
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0195
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0195
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0200
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0200
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0200
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0205
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0180
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0180
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0180
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0155
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0155
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0155
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0155
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0155
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0150
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0150
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0150
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0150
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0150
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0150
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0150
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0145
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0145
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0145
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0145
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0145
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0145
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0145
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0145
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.0145
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 25.03, Sell volume: 95.97, Average price: 0.4024, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0145
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0120
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0120
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0115
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0115
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0110
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0110
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0110
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0110
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.0110
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0110
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0110
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0110
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0110
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0110
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0110
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0110
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0110
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0100
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0100
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0100
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0105
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0105
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0105
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0100
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0100
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0100
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0105
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0100
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.0100
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0105
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0105
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0100
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0105
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0105
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0100
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0105
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0105
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0125
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0120
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0120
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 224, Buy volume: 15395.01, Sell volume: 13394.51, Average price: 0.0285, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0120
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0120
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0120
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0120
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0120
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0120
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0120
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0120
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0120
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0120
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0120
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0115
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0115
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0115
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0115
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0115
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.0115
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.0115
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0115
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.0115
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0115
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0115
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0115
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0115
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0115
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0115
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0115
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0110
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0110
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.0110
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0100
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.0105
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.0100
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0100
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0105
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.0105
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0105
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0100
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0095
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0095
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0095
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0095
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0095
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0095
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 219.93, Sell volume: 584.33, Average price: 0.8111, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0100
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0095
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.0105
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0105
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0105
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0105
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0105
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0105
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.0105
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0105
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0105
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0105
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0105
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0105
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0105
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.0105
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0105
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0105
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.0105
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0105
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0095
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0095
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0095
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.0095
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.0095
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.0095
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0095
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0095
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0095
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0095
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0095
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0095
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0095
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0095
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0095
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.0095
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0095
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0095
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0095
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0095
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0095
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0095
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0095
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0095
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0095
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 530.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7953, Price range: 0.0117 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0085
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0095
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0085
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0095
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0085
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0085
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0085
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0085
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0085
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0085
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0080
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0085
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0085
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0085
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0085
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0085
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0085
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0085
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0085
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0085
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0085
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0085
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0080
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0080
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0085
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0085
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.0080
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.0085
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0085
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0085
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.0085
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.0085
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0085
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.0085
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0085
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.0080
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.0080
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0085
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.0085
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0080
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0085
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0085
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0085
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.0085
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 112.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0085
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.0085
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0080
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0080
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.0080
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.0080
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0080
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.0080
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.0080
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.0060
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0055
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0045
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0050
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0055
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0045
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.0040
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0050
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.0045
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.0055
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0055
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0055
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.0055
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.0060
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.9965
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9965
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 715.32, Sell volume: 807.20, Average price: 0.8977, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9970
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.9970
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.0030
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0030
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0030
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9970
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.0030
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0030
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9970
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.0030
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.0030
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.9970
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9970
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.9970
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9970
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.9970
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.9970
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.9970
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.0030
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.9970
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0025
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.0025
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.0025
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.0025
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.9975
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.9975
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0025
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.9975
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2801.61, Sell volume: 1636.66, Average price: 0.2515, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.0030
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.9970
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.9970
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0030
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.0030
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.0030
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.0030
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.0030
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.9970
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.0030
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9970
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.0030
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 43.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 6652.63, Sell volume: 1669.35, Average price: 0.9436, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 4837.39, Sell volume: 8478.75, Average price: 0.8588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 6940.25, Sell volume: 958.00, Average price: 0.1825, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 6037.08, Sell volume: 1682.67, Average price: 0.6780, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0400
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.0405
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0410
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.0365
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.0255
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0250
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0250
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0260
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0260
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.0265
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0260
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0260
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0255
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0255
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0255
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0255
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.0260
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0260
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0260
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0255
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0255
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0255
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0255
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0235
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0250
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0200
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0205
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0195
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 1840.27, Sell volume: 690.98, Average price: 0.8321, Price range: 0.0209 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0210
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.0200
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0210
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0210
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0195
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0205
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0205
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0190
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0195
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0185
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0195
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0200
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0200
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0195
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0190
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0180
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0185
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0155
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0155
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0155
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0150
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0150
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0150
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0150
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0145
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0145
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0145
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0145
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0145
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 25.03, Sell volume: 95.97, Average price: 0.4024, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0145
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0120
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0120
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0110
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0110
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0110
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0110
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0110
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0110
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0110
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0110
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0100
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0100
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0105
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0105
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0105
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0105
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0105
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0120
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0100
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0105
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0105
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0100
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0120
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0110
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0120
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 224, Buy volume: 15395.01, Sell volume: 13394.51, Average price: 0.0285, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0120
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0120
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0120
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0120
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0120
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0120
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0120
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0115
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0115
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0115
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0115
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.0115
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0115
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.0115
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0115
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0115
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.0110
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.0110
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0100
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.0105
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0105
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0105
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0100
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0100
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0095
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.0095
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 219.93, Sell volume: 584.33, Average price: 0.8111, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0100
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0105
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0100
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0105
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0100
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0105
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0105
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0105
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0105
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.0105
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.0105
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0105
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0105
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.0105
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0095
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0095
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0095
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0095
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0095
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0095
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0095
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0095
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.0095
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0095
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0095
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0095
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0095
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0095
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 530.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7953, Price range: 0.0117 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0080
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0085
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0085
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0085
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0085
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0085
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0085
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0085
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0085
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0085
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0085
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0085
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0085
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0085
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.0080
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0080
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0085
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.0085
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.0080
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.0085
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.0085
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0085
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.0080
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.0080
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.0080
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0085
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.0085
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 112.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0085
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.0075
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0080
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.0080
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.0080
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.0080
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0055
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.0065
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0050
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0045
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.0050
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.0045
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0055
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.0055
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.9965
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.9965
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0035
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 715.32, Sell volume: 807.20, Average price: 0.8977, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9970
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0030
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0030
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0030
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0030
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0030
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0030
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0030
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.9970
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.9970
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.9970
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.9970
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9970
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.9970
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.9970
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.9970
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.0030
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.9970
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0025
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.0025
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.9975
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.0025
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2801.61, Sell volume: 1636.66, Average price: 0.2515, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0025
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.9970
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0030
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.0030
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.0030
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.0030
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0030
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.0030
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 43.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 6652.63, Sell volume: 1669.35, Average price: 0.9436, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 4837.39, Sell volume: 8478.75, Average price: 0.8588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 6940.25, Sell volume: 958.00, Average price: 0.1825, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543225
Question: Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 76149.270652
Price History:
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 6037.08, Sell volume: 1682.67, Average price: 0.6780, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.0300
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.0285
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.0300
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0265
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0255
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.0270
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0205
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.0095
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0100
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0100
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0100
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.0100
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0110
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0120
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0120
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.0120
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0120
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0120
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.0115
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0105
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0115
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0115
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0115
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0115
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0115
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0120
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0120
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0120
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0120
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0120
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0115
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0110
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0115
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0110
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0115
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0115
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0115
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0115
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0115
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0110
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0110
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0115
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0110
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0115
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0115
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0115
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0115
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0110
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 879.36, Sell volume: 43.52, Average price: 0.8850, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0115
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0115
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.0115
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0115
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0115
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0115
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.0115
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0115
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0115
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0115
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0115
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0110
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0110
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0115
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0115
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0110
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0115
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0110
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0115
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0110
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0115
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0115
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0115
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0115
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0115
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0115
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0110
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0110
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0095
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0095
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0110
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0110
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0110
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0115
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0115
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0115
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0115
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0110
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0115
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0115
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0115
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0115
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0115
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0115
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.0115
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 99.00, Average price: 0.3363, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0115
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0115
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0115
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0115
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0115
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0105
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0105
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0105
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0105
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0105
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0105
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0105
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0105
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0115
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0110
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0110
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0110
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0105
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0105
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0110
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0105
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0105
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0105
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0105
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0105
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0105
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0105
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0105
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0105
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0105
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0105
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0105
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 49.93, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.5703, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0105
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0105
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0105
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0105
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0105
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0105
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0105
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0105
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0105
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0105
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0105
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0105
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.0105
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0105
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.0105
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0105
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0105
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0105
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0105
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0105
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0105
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0105
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0080
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.0080
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.0080
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.0085
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0085
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.0085
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0085
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.0075
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0095
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0095
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0085
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0080
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0085
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0085
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0085
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 32.09, Sell volume: 673.04, Average price: 0.6219, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9910

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0085
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0085
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.0085
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0085
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0085
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0085
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0085
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.0085
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0085
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0085
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0085
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0050
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0050
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0050
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0045
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0040
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.0050
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.0050
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0050
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0050
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0050
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0050
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0050
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0050
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0050
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.0050
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0050
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0050
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0050
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0050
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0050
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0050
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 8.46, Sell volume: 1966.97, Average price: 0.6656, Price range: 0.0037 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.0040
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.0040
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0040
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0040
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.0040
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0040
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0040
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 221, Buy volume: 26044.66, Sell volume: 15672.03, Average price: 0.8207, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0040
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.0040
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9965
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.9965
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9965
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.9965
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 719.97, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.9965
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9965
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9965
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.9965
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.9965
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9965
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9965
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.9965
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9965
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9965
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.9970
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.9970
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.0030
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.9970
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0030
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.0030
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.9970
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.9970
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.9970
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.0030
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.9970
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.9970
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0030
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.9970
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.9970
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.0030
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.9970
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.9970
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.0030
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9970
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.9970
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.9970
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9970
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9970
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9970
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9970
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 541.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 2177.89, Sell volume: 869.02, Average price: 0.9110, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 6356.40, Sell volume: 6220.47, Average price: 0.9538, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3454.43, Sell volume: 2071.78, Average price: 0.6660, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 11740.10, Sell volume: 3580.23, Average price: 0.5998, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0250
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.0305
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0255
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.0255
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.0105
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0100
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0100
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0120
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0120
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.0115
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0115
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0105
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0115
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0110
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0115
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0120
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.0115
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0120
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0115
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0115
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0115
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0115
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0115
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0110
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0115
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0115
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0115
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0110
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 879.36, Sell volume: 43.52, Average price: 0.8850, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0115
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.0110
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0110
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0115
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0115
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0115
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0115
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0115
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0115
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0110
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0110
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0115
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0115
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0115
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0115
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0095
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0110
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0110
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0115
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0115
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0115
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0115
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0110
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0115
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0115
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 99.00, Average price: 0.3363, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0115
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0115
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0115
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0105
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0105
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0105
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0105
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0105
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0115
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0110
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0105
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0105
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0105
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0105
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0105
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0105
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0105
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0105
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0105
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0105
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0105
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0105
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 49.93, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.5703, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0105
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0105
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0105
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0105
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0105
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0105
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0105
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0105
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.0105
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0105
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.0105
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0105
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.0105
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0080
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.0080
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0085
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0085
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0095
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0095
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0080
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.0085
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 32.09, Sell volume: 673.04, Average price: 0.6219, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0085
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0085
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0085
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0085
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0085
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.0085
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0085
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0050
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0045
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0050
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0050
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0050
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0050
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0050
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.0050
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0050
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0050
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0050
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0050
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 8.46, Sell volume: 1966.97, Average price: 0.6656, Price range: 0.0037 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0040
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.0040
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.0040
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.0040
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.0040
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 221, Buy volume: 26044.66, Sell volume: 15672.03, Average price: 0.8207, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0040
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.9965
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9965
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 719.97, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9965
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.9965
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.9965
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.9965
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.9970
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.0030
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.0030
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.0030
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0030
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.9970
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.9970
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.9970
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.0030
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.9970
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0030
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.0030
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0030
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.9970
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9970
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.9970
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0030
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9970
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9970
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 541.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 2177.89, Sell volume: 869.02, Average price: 0.9110, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 6356.40, Sell volume: 6220.47, Average price: 0.9538, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543226
Question: Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 41716.692657
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3454.43, Sell volume: 2071.78, Average price: 0.6660, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes