Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 5655.91, Sell volume: 31.23, Average price: 0.6494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 9388.67, Sell volume: 3747.70, Average price: 0.3131, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.4200
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.7650
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.1150
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9670
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0330
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9675
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0325
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9675
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.0325
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9675
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0205
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.9730
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0300
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9720
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0255
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9770
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0185
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9765
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0225
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9775
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0240
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9750
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0225
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.9775
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0180
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9820
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0180
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9860
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0180
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1457.74, Sell volume: 620.36, Average price: 0.7288, Price range: 0.0129 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9805
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0180
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9820
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0180
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9825
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0170
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9850
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0145
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9830
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0135
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9835
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0160
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9830
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0090
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.9910
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0090
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9905
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0100
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.9895
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0095
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.9905
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0095
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.9905
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0095
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9905
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0100
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.9905
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0095
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 149.85, Sell volume: 452.40, Average price: 0.4034, Price range: 0.0117 - 0.9943
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0100
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9885
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0105
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.9900
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0110
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.9890
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0105
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.9905
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0110
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9880
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0110
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.9885
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0125
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9885
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0120
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.9890
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0110
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9885
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0110
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.9890
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0115
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.9885
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0120
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9875
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0110
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9885
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0125
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9870
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0135
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 238, Buy volume: 27892.13, Sell volume: 9987.95, Average price: 0.7313, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0155
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9845
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0155
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9870
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0125
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9875
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0120
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.9885
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0120
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.9890
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0120
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.9850
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0125
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.9880
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.0120
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.9880
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.0120
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.9880
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0090
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.9910
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0090
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.9910
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0090
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.9885
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0090
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.9910
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0085
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.9915
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.0085
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 57.37, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.8527, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0085
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9915
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0085
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9915
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0085
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.9915
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0085
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.9915
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0085
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.9915
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0085
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9915
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0085
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.9915
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0085
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.9915
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.9915
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0085
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.9915
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.0085
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9915
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0090
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.9910
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0090
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.9915
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0090
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.9915
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0085
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 646.23, Sell volume: 282.78, Average price: 0.8996, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0085
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9915
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0085
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9920
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0080
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.9920
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0085
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9915
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0080
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9920
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0080
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9920
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0065
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9935
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0060
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9940
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0060
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9940
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0050
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.9950
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0050
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.9955
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0045
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0045
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.9955
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0045
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.9955
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.0045
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 375.28, Sell volume: 16.00, Average price: 0.9476, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.0045
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.9955
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0045
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.9955
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.9955
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.0045
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.9955
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0045
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.9955
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.0045
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.9955
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.0045
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.9955
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.0045
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.9955
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.0045
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.9955
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0045
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.9955
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0045
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.9955
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0045
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.9965
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.9965
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.9965
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 411.51, Average price: 0.4975, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9965
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0035
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.0035
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9965
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0035
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.0035
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.0035
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.9965
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.9965
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9965
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.9965
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9965
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.0035
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0035
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9965
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 23.57, Sell volume: 8.90, Average price: 0.0043, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0050
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.9965
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.0035
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.9965
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.9965
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.0055
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.0055
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.0055
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.0055
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9945
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0055
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.9950
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.0050
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.9950
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.0050
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.9950
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.9950
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.9950
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.9950
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9950
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9950
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.9950
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.0050
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.9950
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.9950
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.9950
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0050
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1539.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5018, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0050
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0050
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9950
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0050
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.0050
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0050
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9950
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9950
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9950
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9955
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0045
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0045
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9955
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9955
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0040
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9955
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1007.51, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9665, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0045
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9955
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0045
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9955
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0065
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0065
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 7530.81, Sell volume: 4307.07, Average price: 0.6956, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 5655.91, Sell volume: 31.23, Average price: 0.6494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 9388.67, Sell volume: 3747.70, Average price: 0.3131, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.4200
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.2700
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.2600
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.1100
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0500
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0250
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0165
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0060
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0155
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0155
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0150
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0175
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0170
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0170
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0175
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0180
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0175
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0120
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0125
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0260
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0255
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0245
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0210
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.0245
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0240
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0225
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0220
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0275
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0245
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.0245
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0245
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0245
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0245
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0195
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0190
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0200
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0195
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0195
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0195
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0185
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0060
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0115
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0095
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0100
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0105
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0110
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0095
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0110
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0110
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 2724.74, Sell volume: 151.00, Average price: 0.7366, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0115
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0115
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0110
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0105
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0095
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0095
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0095
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0085
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0085
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0070
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0055
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0055
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0055
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0055
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0055
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0055
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0060
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0060
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0050
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0040
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0040
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0040
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0050
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0050
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0050
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0050
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0050
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0050
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0050
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0050
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0050
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0050
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.0050
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0050
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0050
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0050
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0050
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0050
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0050
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 90.39, Sell volume: 939.41, Average price: 0.6847, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0050
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0050
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0050
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0050
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0050
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0050
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0050
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0050
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0050
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0050
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0050
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0050
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0080
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0080
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0080
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0080
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0075
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0050
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0050
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0050
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0050
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0080
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0080
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0080
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0080
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0080
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0080
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0080
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0080
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0080
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0080
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0080
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0080
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0080
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 187.70, Sell volume: 166.40, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0080
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0080
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0075
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0075
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0050
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0050
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0050
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0050
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0050
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.0050
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0050
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0050
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.0050
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.0050
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0050
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0050
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0050
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0050
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0090
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0090
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0045
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0045
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0045
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0045
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0045
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0045
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0045
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0045
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0045
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.0050
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.0045
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0045
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0045
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0090
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0080
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0105
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0090
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0090
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 2590.66, Sell volume: 1277.84, Average price: 0.8040, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0090
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0090
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0090
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0090
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0090
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0090
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0090
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0090
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0090
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0090
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.0090
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0090
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0090
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0090
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.0090
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0090
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.0090
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0090
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0090
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0090
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0085
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0085
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.0085
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0085
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0075
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0075
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0075
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0050
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.0050
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0050
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0050
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.0050
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0055
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.0050
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0050
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0050
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0050
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0050
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0050
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0050
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0050
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0050
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0050
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0050
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.0050
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0050
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0050
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 329.84, Sell volume: 10.04, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0045
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.0045
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0045
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.0045
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0045
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0045
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0045
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0045
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0045
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0045
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0045
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0045
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0045
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0045
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0045
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0045
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0045
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0045
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0045
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0045
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0045
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0045
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 295.61, Sell volume: 21.48, Average price: 0.9578, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0040
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.0040
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0040
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.0040
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0040
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.0040
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0040
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.0040
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.0040
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.0040
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0040
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.0040
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.0040
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0040
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0040
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.0040
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0040
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0040
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.0040
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 385, Buy volume: 42932.13, Sell volume: 17150.57, Average price: 0.8004, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.9965
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.9965
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.9965
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.9965
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.9965
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.0035
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9965
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.9965
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.9965
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.9965
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9965
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.0035
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0035
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0035
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.9965
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.9965
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.9965
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9965
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.9965
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.9965
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.9965
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.9960
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9960
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.0040
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.0040
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.9960
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.9960
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 53.36, Sell volume: 8.90, Average price: 0.2030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.9960
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.9960
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9960
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9960
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9960
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.9960
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.0040
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0040
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.0040
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0040
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.0040
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0040
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.9960
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.0040
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.0040
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.0040
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.0040
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.9960
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0040
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.0040
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.0040
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.0040
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.9960
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.9960
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.9960
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.0040
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.0040
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9960
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.9960
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0040
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0040
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.0040
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0040
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.0040
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.0040
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9960
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.9960
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.0040
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.9960
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.9960
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.9960
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.0040
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.9960
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9960
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.9960
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.9960
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.9960
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 749.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6002, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9960
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9960
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0040
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9960
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9960
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9960
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.9960
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0040
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0040
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0040
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0040
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9960
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0040
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0040
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0040
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0040
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0040
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9960
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9960
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9960
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0040
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0040
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 973.98, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9693, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9925
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0055
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 9079.62, Sell volume: 3415.30, Average price: 0.8349, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 15396.16, Sell volume: 169.00, Average price: 0.5384, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 10400.88, Sell volume: 10921.20, Average price: 0.7654, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.4200
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.7550
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.1100
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9750
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9860
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0200
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9830
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.0170
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9825
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0120
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.9755
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0260
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9790
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0240
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9795
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0260
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9755
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0245
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9755
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0190
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9805
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0195
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.9815
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0115
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9900
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0110
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9895
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0110
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 2724.74, Sell volume: 151.00, Average price: 0.7366, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0115
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9890
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9905
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0095
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0055
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9945
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0055
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9945
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9940
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9940
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0040
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.9960
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0040
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9960
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0050
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.9950
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0050
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.9950
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0050
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.9950
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9950
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0050
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.9950
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 90.39, Sell volume: 939.41, Average price: 0.6847, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0050
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9950
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0050
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.9950
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0050
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.9950
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.9950
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9950
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.9950
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0050
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9920
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0080
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.9950
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9950
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.9950
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0050
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.9920
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0080
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9920
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0080
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9920
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0080
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9920
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0080
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 187.70, Sell volume: 166.40, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0080
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9920
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0075
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9950
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0050
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9950
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.9950
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0050
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.9950
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.9950
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0090
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.9910
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.0045
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.9955
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.0045
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.9955
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.9955
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0045
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.9955
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0045
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.9950
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0045
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.9955
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0090
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.9890
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.0090
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 2590.66, Sell volume: 1277.84, Average price: 0.8040, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0090
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9910
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0090
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9910
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0090
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.9910
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0090
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.9910
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0090
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.9910
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0090
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9910
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0085
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.9915
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0075
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.9925
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0050
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.9950
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.0050
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9950
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0050
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.9950
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0050
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.9950
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0050
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.9950
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0050
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 329.84, Sell volume: 10.04, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9955
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0045
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9955
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0045
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.9955
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9955
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9955
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9955
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9955
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9955
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0045
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9955
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0045
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.9955
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0045
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.9955
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.9960
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.9960
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.9960
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 295.61, Sell volume: 21.48, Average price: 0.9578, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.9960
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.9960
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.9960
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.9960
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0040
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.9960
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.9960
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.0040
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.9960
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.9960
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.0040
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.9960
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0040
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.9960
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0040
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.9960
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0040
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.9965
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.9965
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.9965
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 385, Buy volume: 42932.13, Sell volume: 17150.57, Average price: 0.8004, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9965
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.9965
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.9965
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.0035
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9965
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.9965
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.9965
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.0035
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.9965
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.9965
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.0035
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9965
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9965
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.9960
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0040
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9960
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 53.36, Sell volume: 8.90, Average price: 0.2030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.9960
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.9960
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.9960
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.0040
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.0040
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.9960
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0040
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.9960
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.0040
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.0040
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.9960
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9960
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.9960
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.0040
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.9960
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.0040
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.9960
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.0040
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.0040
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.9960
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.0040
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.0040
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0040
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.0040
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.9960
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.9960
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.9960
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.0040
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 749.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6002, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9960
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0040
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9960
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0040
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9960
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9960
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9960
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9960
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0040
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9960
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9960
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9960
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9960
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 973.98, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9693, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9930
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 9079.62, Sell volume: 3415.30, Average price: 0.8349, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 15396.16, Sell volume: 169.00, Average price: 0.5384, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545058
Question: Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 60082.702563
Price History:
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 10400.88, Sell volume: 10921.20, Average price: 0.7654, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.4200
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.2700
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.2600
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.1350
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0055
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0055
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0095
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0415
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0355
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0370
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0365
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0350
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0360
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0380
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0370
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0400
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0360
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0360
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0540
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0530
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0510
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0545
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.0505
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0540
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0540
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0545
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0515
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0465
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.0455
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0470
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0470
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0455
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0455
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0445
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0450
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0445
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0445
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0440
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0440
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0345
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0360
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0345
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0345
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0350
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0355
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0360
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0360
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0355
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 3155.51, Sell volume: 373.64, Average price: 0.6013, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9810

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0300
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0300
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0300
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0300
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0300
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0300
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0295
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0295
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0295
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0300
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0290
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0290
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0295
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0295
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0295
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0300
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0295
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0295
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0295
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0295
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0295
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0290
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0295
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0285
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0230
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0235
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0230
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0230
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0230
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0235
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0230
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0235
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0230
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0230
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0230
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0235
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0230
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0230
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0230
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0230
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0230
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0230
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.0230
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0230
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0230
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0235
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0240
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0230
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0230
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1.02, Sell volume: 308.67, Average price: 0.2099, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0230
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0230
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0230
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0235
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0235
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0230
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0230
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0235
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0230
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0235
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0240
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0240
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0240
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.0240
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0240
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0240
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0285
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0285
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0285
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0285
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0285
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0285
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0285
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0285
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0285
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0280
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0280
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0280
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0280
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0280
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0280
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0280
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0280
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0280
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0280
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0280
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0280
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0285
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0280
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0280
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0280
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0280
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0280
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0280
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0280
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0280
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0280
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0285
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0285
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.01, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0280
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0280
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0285
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0280
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0225
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0225
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0225
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0230
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0220
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0225
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.0225
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0220
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0220
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.0220
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.0220
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0220
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0215
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0215
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0210
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0210
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0215
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0210
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0215
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0215
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0215
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0215
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.0215
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.0215
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0210
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0215
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.0210
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0215
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0210
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0215
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0210
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0215
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0215
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0210
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0210
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0210
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.0210
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.0210
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0210
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0210
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0210
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0210
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0210
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0210
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0210
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 44.67, Sell volume: 179.95, Average price: 0.7076, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0205
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0205
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0210
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0210
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0210
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0210
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0210
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0210
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0210
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0210
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.0180
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0185
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0180
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0185
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.0185
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0180
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.0185
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0175
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0180
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0180
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0180
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0175
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.0175
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0180
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0180
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0190
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0185
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0170
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.0170
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0170
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0170
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.0160
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.0160
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0150
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.0140
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0140
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0140
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0140
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0140
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0140
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0140
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0140
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0140
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0140
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0140
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0140
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.0140
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0140
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0140
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 373.47, Sell volume: 48.78, Average price: 0.8903, Price range: 0.0128 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0140
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0140
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.0140
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0140
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.0145
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0140
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0140
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0140
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0140
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0140
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0135
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0135
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0135
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0135
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0135
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0135
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0135
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0135
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0135
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0135
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0135
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0135
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0135
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0135
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0135
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0135
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0135
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0135
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0135
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0135
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.0130
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.0130
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0130
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.0130
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0130
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0130
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0130
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.0130
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0130
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 506.72, Sell volume: 138.70, Average price: 0.9101, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.0070
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0070
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.0070
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0070
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0070
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.0070
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.0070
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0070
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.0070
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.0070
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0070
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.0070
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.0070
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0070
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.0070
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.0070
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.0070
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.0070
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0070
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0070
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.0070
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0070
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.0070
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.0070
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.0070
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.0070
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.0070
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0070
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.0070
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.0070
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0025
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.0025
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.0025
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0025
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.0025
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0025
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0020
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.0020
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.0020
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.0020
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.0020
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.0020
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0020
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0020
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.0025
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.0025
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.0025
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1.11, Sell volume: 504.08, Average price: 0.7426, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0025
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0025
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0025
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0025
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9975
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0025
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.9975
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.9975
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.9975
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.0025
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.0025
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0025
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.0025
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.0025
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.9975
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9975
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9975
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9975
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.9975
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.9975
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0025
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.9975
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0025
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.9975
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9975
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9975
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.0025
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.9975
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.0025
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.9975
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0025
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.9975
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9975
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.0025
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.9975
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.0025
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0025
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 23.57, Sell volume: 12.57, Average price: 0.2024, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9935
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9935
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9935
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.0065
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.0065
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.9935
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9935
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.9935
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.9935
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0065
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.9915
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.9915
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.9915
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.9915
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.9915
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.0085
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0085
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9915
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.0085
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.0085
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.0075
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.0075
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.0075
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.9925
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.9925
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9925
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.9925
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9925
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0075
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.0075
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0075
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.9925
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.0075
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9925
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.9925
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.0075
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.9925
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.9925
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.9925
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.9925
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.9925
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9925
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.0080
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.0080
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.0080
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.9920
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.0080
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 859.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5034, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9920
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0075
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9925
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0080
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0080
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9920
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.0080
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0080
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9920
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0080
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9920
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9920
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0080
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0080
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0080
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0080
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9920
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9920
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0080
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9920
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9920
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0080
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0065
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9935
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0055
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0045
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 1002.04, Sell volume: 297.11, Average price: 0.9791, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 12383.87, Sell volume: 5084.98, Average price: 0.8252, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 18759.15, Sell volume: 2862.68, Average price: 0.7533, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 10422.02, Sell volume: 12660.74, Average price: 0.7361, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.4200
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.7550
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.1400
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9945
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0065
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9590
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0355
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9645
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.0360
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9605
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0360
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.9535
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0550
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9455
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0525
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9460
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0485
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9535
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0470
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0445
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9550
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0445
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.9560
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0360
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9655
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0360
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9640
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0355
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 3155.51, Sell volume: 373.64, Average price: 0.6013, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0300
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9700
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0300
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9700
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0295
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9705
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0290
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9705
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0295
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9705
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0295
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9705
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0295
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9705
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0230
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.9765
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0235
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9770
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0230
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.9770
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0230
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.9770
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0230
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.9770
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0230
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9770
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0230
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.9770
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0235
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1.02, Sell volume: 308.67, Average price: 0.2099, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0230
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9770
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0230
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.9770
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0230
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.9770
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0240
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.9760
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0240
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9760
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0285
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.9715
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0285
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9715
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0285
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.9720
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0280
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9720
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0280
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.9720
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0280
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.9720
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0280
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9720
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0280
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9720
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0280
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9720
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0285
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.01, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0280
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9715
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0285
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9775
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0225
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9775
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0220
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.9780
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0220
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.9780
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0215
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.9785
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0215
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.9785
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.0210
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.9785
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.0210
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.9785
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0215
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.9785
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0210
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.9790
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0210
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.9790
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0210
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.9795
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0210
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.9790
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.0210
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 44.67, Sell volume: 179.95, Average price: 0.7076, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0205
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9795
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0210
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9790
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0210
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.9790
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0195
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.9820
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0185
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.9820
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0175
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9820
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0180
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.9825
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0185
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.9820
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0170
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.9830
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0170
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.9850
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.0140
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9860
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0140
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.9860
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0140
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.9860
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0140
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.9860
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0140
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 373.47, Sell volume: 48.78, Average price: 0.8903, Price range: 0.0128 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0140
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9860
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0140
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9860
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0140
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.9860
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0135
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9865
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0135
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9865
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0135
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9865
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0135
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9865
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0135
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9865
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0135
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9865
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.9870
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.9870
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.9870
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0130
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.9870
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0130
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.9870
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.0130
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 506.72, Sell volume: 138.70, Average price: 0.9101, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.0070
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.9930
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0070
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.9930
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.0070
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.9930
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.0070
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.9930
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0070
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.9930
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.0070
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.9930
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.0070
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.9930
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.0070
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.9930
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.0070
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.9930
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0025
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.9975
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.9975
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0020
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.9980
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0020
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.9980
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.0020
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.9975
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0025
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1.11, Sell volume: 504.08, Average price: 0.7426, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0025
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.9975
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0025
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0025
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.9975
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.9975
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.0025
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.9975
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.0025
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9975
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.9975
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.9975
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.9975
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.0025
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.0025
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9975
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.9975
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0025
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9975
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.9975
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.9975
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 23.57, Sell volume: 12.57, Average price: 0.2024, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.0070
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.9935
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.9935
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.9935
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0065
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.9935
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.9915
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.0085
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.0085
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.0085
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9915
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0085
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.9925
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.0075
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.9925
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.9925
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.0075
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.0075
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.0075
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.0075
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.0075
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0075
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.0075
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.0075
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.0075
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.9920
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.9920
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.9920
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 859.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5034, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9920
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.9925
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9920
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0080
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.0080
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0080
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9920
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0080
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9920
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9920
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9920
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0080
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9920
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9935
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0065
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0040
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 1002.04, Sell volume: 297.11, Average price: 0.9791, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 12383.87, Sell volume: 5084.98, Average price: 0.8252, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 18759.15, Sell volume: 2862.68, Average price: 0.7533, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545057
Question: Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 70065.263501
Price History:
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 10422.02, Sell volume: 12660.74, Average price: 0.7361, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.4200
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.2700
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.2600
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.1050
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0550
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0140
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0100
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0065
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0080
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0095
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0110
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0150
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0150
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0145
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0145
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0155
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0155
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0145
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0145
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0155
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0160
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0165
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0165
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.0165
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0160
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0155
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0165
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0155
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0160
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.0135
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0160
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0160
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0160
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0160
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0160
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0160
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0160
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0160
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0160
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0145
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0155
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0155
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0155
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0155
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0155
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0155
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0155
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0155
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 3185.14, Sell volume: 96.37, Average price: 0.7728, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0160
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0160
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0160
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0160
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0160
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0160
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0160
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0160
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0160
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0160
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0115
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0115
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0115
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0115
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0115
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0115
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0120
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0120
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0125
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0125
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0120
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0145
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0040
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0085
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0080
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0080
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0080
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0060
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0060
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0060
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0065
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 738.72, Sell volume: 1029.64, Average price: 0.5555, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0055
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0065
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0065
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0065
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0065
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0065
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0065
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0065
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0065
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0065
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0065
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0065
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0065
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0065
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0065
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0065
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0065
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0065
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0065
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0065
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0065
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0065
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0065
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0065
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0065
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0065
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0065
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0065
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 12.35, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.9948, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0065
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0065
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0065
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0065
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0040
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0040
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0040
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0040
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.0040
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0040
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0040
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.0040
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0040
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0040
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0040
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0040
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0040
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0040
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0040
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0040
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0040
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.0040
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0040
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0040
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0040
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0040
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0040
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.0040
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.0040
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0040
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0130
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0105
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0140
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0055
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0055
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 981.51, Sell volume: 729.22, Average price: 0.7133, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0065
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0065
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0065
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0065
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0065
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0065
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0065
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0065
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0065
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.0065
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0065
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0065
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0065
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.0060
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0060
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.0060
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0060
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0060
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0060
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0060
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0060
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0060
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.0060
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0060
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0060
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.0060
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.0060
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0060
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.0060
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0060
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0060
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0060
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0065
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0065
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0065
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0065
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0065
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0065
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0065
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0065
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.0065
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0065
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0065
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 206.65, Sell volume: 10.03, Average price: 0.9963, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9970

Output: No