Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.8200
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.1850
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.8100
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.1650
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.8350
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.8200
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.1800
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.8250
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.1800
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.1750
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.8250
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388919011.57, Sell volume: 244141241.75, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.8050
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.1950
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.8050
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.1900
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.1700
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.8300
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.1700
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.8250
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.8300
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.1700
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.8300
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.1600
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388919011.57, Sell volume: 244141241.75, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.8500
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.1250
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.8800
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.1200
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.8800
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.1250
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.8800
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.1250
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.8750
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.1100
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.8600
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.1650
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.8300
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.1800
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.8200
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.1700
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.8300
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.1650
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.8300
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.2150
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.8000
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.1350
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.8600
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388919011.57, Sell volume: 244141241.75, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.1250
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.8550
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.1500
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.8550
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.1450
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.8550
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.1400
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.8650
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.1350
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.8650
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.1400
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.8600
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.1250
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.8750
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.1200
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.8850
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.1200
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.8750
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.1250
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.8750
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.1300
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.8750
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.1200
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.8400
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.1600
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.8400
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.1500
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.8650
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.1250
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388919011.57, Sell volume: 244141241.75, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.1300
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.1400
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.8700
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1250
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.1300
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.8700
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.1600
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.8500
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.1450
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8550
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.1500
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.8450
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.1450
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.8500
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.1500
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.8500
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.8500
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.1450
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.8550
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.1450
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.8600
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388919011.57, Sell volume: 244141241.75, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.1400
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8550
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.1700
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.1750
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.8150
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8150
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8150
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.1950
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8150
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.1750
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8350
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.1700
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.1700
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.8300
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.1650
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.1450
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.8750
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388919011.57, Sell volume: 244141241.75, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9000
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9000
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1000
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388919011.57, Sell volume: 244141241.75, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9100
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9000
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.8450
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8600
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1200
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388919011.57, Sell volume: 244141241.75, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.8450
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.1550
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.8450
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.1450
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9600
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0360
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9780
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0280
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9920
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0085
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 961038, Buy volume: 290877011.57, Sell volume: 241612745.40, Average price: 0.3902, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 950, Buy volume: 769808.14, Sell volume: 790715.31, Average price: 0.6906, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.2550
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.7450
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0400
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0400
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9655
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0345
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9655
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0345
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9650
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146602176.55, Sell volume: 61452594.56, Average price: 0.7306, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0285
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9715
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0285
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9725
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0275
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9740
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0260
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9740
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0260
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9745
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0255
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9745
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0255
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9745
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0255
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9755
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0245
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9765
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0235
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9775
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0225
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0125
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9750
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0250
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9750
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0250
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9750
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0250
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9810
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0190
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9795
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0205
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9720
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0280
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9715
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0285
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9710
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0290
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9720
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0280
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9720
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0280
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9740
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0260
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9725
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0275
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146602176.55, Sell volume: 61452594.56, Average price: 0.7306, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9605
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0395
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9605
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0395
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9595
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0405
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9600
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9670
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0330
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9640
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0360
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9595
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0405
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9590
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0410
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9660
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0340
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9610
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9610
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9610
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9660
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0340
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9615
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0385
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9590
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0410
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9585
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0415
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9585
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0415
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9585
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0415
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9585
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0415
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9585
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0415
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9585
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0415
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9585
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0415
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9585
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0415
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9595
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0405
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9600
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146602176.55, Sell volume: 61452594.56, Average price: 0.7306, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0430
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9560
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0440
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9560
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0440
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9555
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0445
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9565
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0435
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9565
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0435
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9555
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0445
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9550
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9550
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9550
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9550
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9555
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0445
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9545
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0455
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9545
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0455
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9545
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0455
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9545
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0455
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9545
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0455
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9545
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0455
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9545
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0455
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9540
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0460
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9540
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0460
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9540
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0460
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9540
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0460
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9540
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0460
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9540
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0460
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146602176.55, Sell volume: 61452594.56, Average price: 0.7306, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9670
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0330
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9665
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0335
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9645
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0355
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9695
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0305
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9690
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0310
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9665
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0335
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9660
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0340
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9685
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0315
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9690
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0310
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9685
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0315
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9670
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0330
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9625
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0375
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9625
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0375
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9625
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0375
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9630
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0370
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9710
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0290
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9770
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0230
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9770
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0230
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9735
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0265
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9730
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0270
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9705
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0295
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9745
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0255
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9770
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0230
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9770
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0230
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9770
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146602176.55, Sell volume: 61452594.56, Average price: 0.7306, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0245
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9770
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0230
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9770
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0230
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9680
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0320
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9715
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0285
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9770
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0230
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9785
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0215
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9720
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0280
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9755
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0245
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9755
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0245
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9785
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0215
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9780
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0220
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9785
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0215
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9785
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0215
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9735
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0265
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9740
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0260
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9670
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0330
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9645
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0355
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9655
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0345
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9645
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0355
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9735
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0265
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146602176.55, Sell volume: 61452594.56, Average price: 0.7306, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9780
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0220
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9790
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0210
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9790
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0210
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9790
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0210
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9790
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0210
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9795
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0205
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9795
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0205
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9800
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0200
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9835
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0165
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9835
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0165
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9820
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0180
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9820
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0180
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9825
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0175
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9825
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0175
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9825
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0175
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9835
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0165
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9825
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0175
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9890
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0110
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9845
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0155
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9865
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0135
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9840
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9745
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0255
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9805
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0195
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9805
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0195
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9760
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146602176.55, Sell volume: 61452594.56, Average price: 0.7306, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0395
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9665
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0335
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9665
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0335
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9665
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0335
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9665
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0335
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9665
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0335
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9665
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0335
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9670
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0330
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9665
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0335
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9665
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0335
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9680
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0320
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9680
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0320
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9680
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0320
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9685
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0315
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9710
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0290
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9715
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0285
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9670
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0330
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9710
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0290
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9695
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0305
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9655
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0345
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9660
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0340
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9720
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0280
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9765
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0235
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9785
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0215
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9595
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0405
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146602176.55, Sell volume: 61452594.56, Average price: 0.7306, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9720
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0280
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9720
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0280
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9730
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0270
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9735
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0265
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9765
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0235
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9775
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0225
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9775
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0225
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9775
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0225
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9770
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0230
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9765
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0235
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9785
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0215
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9785
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0215
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9835
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0165
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9825
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0175
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9795
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0205
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9810
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0190
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9810
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0190
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9885
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0115
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9870
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0130
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9870
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0130
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9870
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0130
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9885
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0115
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0125
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9885
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0115
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 359640, Buy volume: 21290090.15, Sell volume: 11791696.50, Average price: 0.8776, Price range: 0.0073 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0155
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9830
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0170
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9825
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0175
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9825
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0175
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9805
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0195
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9825
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0175
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9825
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0175
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9840
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0160
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9840
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0160
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9860
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0140
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9870
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0130
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9840
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9855
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0145
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9855
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0145
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9865
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9860
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0140
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9825
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0175
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9695
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0305
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9845
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0155
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9870
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0130
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9845
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0155
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9850
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0150
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9850
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0150
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9855
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0145
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 639571, Buy volume: 125012584.18, Sell volume: 49539454.87, Average price: 0.6480, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9860
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0140
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9850
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0150
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0145
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9865
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0135
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9850
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0150
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9850
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0150
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0145
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9860
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0140
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9860
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0140
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9860
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0140
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9860
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0140
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9870
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0130
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9880
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9850
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0150
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9850
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0150
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9850
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0150
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9850
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0150
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0145
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9850
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0150
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9850
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0150
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9850
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0150
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9850
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0150
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9850
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0150
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9845
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0155
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 368, Buy volume: 67129.83, Sell volume: 19820.04, Average price: 0.7087, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9920
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0080
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 278, Buy volume: 171577.29, Sell volume: 69551.27, Average price: 0.6226, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121, Buy volume: 59326.28, Sell volume: 30278.67, Average price: 0.8173, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.2550
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9655
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9655
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9650
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9650
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9650
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9650
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9650
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146602176.55, Sell volume: 61452594.56, Average price: 0.7306, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0285
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0285
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0275
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0260
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0260
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0255
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0255
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0255
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0245
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0235
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0225
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0125
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0250
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0250
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0250
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0190
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0205
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0280
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0285
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0290
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0280
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0280
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0260
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0275
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0275
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0305
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0270
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0270
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146602176.55, Sell volume: 61452594.56, Average price: 0.7306, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9605
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9605
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9595
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9600
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9670
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9640
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9595
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9590
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9660
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9610
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9610
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9610
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9660
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9615
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9590
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9585
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9585
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9585
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9585
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9585
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9585
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9585
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9585
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9595
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9600
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9600
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9600
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9590
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9580
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146602176.55, Sell volume: 61452594.56, Average price: 0.7306, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0430
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0440
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0440
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0445
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0435
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0435
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0445
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0445
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0455
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0455
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0455
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0455
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0455
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0455
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0455
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0460
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0460
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0460
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0460
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0460
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0460
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0465
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0465
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0465
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0465
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146602176.55, Sell volume: 61452594.56, Average price: 0.7306, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9670
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9665
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9645
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9695
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9690
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9665
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9660
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9685
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9690
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9685
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9670
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9625
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9625
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9625
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9630
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9710
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9770
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9770
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9735
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9730
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9705
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9745
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9770
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9770
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9770
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9770
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9770
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9770
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9715
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146602176.55, Sell volume: 61452594.56, Average price: 0.7306, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0245
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0230
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0230
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0320
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0285
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0230
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0215
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0280
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0245
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0245
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0215
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0220
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0215
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0215
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0265
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0260
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0330
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0355
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0345
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0355
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0265
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0310
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0295
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0290
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0290
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146602176.55, Sell volume: 61452594.56, Average price: 0.7306, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9780
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9790
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9790
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9790
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9790
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9795
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9795
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9800
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9835
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9835
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9820
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9820
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9825
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9825
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9825
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9835
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9825
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9890
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9845
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9865
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9840
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9745
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9805
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9805
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9760
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9755
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9760
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9765
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9765
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146602176.55, Sell volume: 61452594.56, Average price: 0.7306, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0395
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0335
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0335
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0335
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0335
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0335
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0335
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0330
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0335
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0335
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0320
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0320
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0320
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0315
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0290
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0285
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0330
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0290
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0305
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0345
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0340
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0280
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0235
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0215
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0405
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0250
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0260
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0250
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0265
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146602176.55, Sell volume: 61452594.56, Average price: 0.7306, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9720
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9720
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9730
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9735
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9765
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9775
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9775
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9775
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9770
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9765
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9785
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9785
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9835
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9825
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9795
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9810
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9810
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9885
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9870
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9870
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9870
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9885
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9885
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9855
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9870
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9915
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9890
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 359640, Buy volume: 21290090.15, Sell volume: 11791696.50, Average price: 0.8776, Price range: 0.0073 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0155
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0170
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0175
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0175
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0195
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0175
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0175
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0160
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0160
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0140
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0130
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0145
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0145
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0140
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0175
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0305
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0155
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0130
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0155
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0150
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0150
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0145
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0120
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0095
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0105
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 639571, Buy volume: 125012584.18, Sell volume: 49539454.87, Average price: 0.6480, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9860
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9850
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9865
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9850
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9850
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9860
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9860
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9860
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9860
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9870
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9880
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9850
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9850
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9850
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9850
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9850
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9850
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9850
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9850
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9850
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9845
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9850
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9845
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9850
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9860
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 368, Buy volume: 67129.83, Sell volume: 19820.04, Average price: 0.7087, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0080
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 278, Buy volume: 171577.29, Sell volume: 69551.27, Average price: 0.6226, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641250
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Volume: 692619.181819
Price History:
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121, Buy volume: 59326.28, Sell volume: 30278.67, Average price: 0.8173, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.2600
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.3700
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.3550
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.5000
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.4950
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.4900
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.4600
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.4600
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.4600
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.4600
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.4600
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.4300
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.3950
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.4150
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.4150
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.4150
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.4600
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.4600
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.4600
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.4600
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.4600
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.4400
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.4300
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.4450
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.4350
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.4450
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.4500
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.4450
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.4250
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.4600
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.4600
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.4650
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.4450
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.4550
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.4550
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.4550
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.4550
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.4400
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.4400
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.4350
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.4450
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.4450
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85332587.57, Sell volume: 31848809.89, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.5450
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.5400
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.5400
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.5750
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.5750
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.5850
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.5900
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.6250
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.6250
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.6450
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.6450
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.6450
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.6450
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.6450
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.6500
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.6500
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.6600
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7200
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7600
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.7400
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.7450
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.7450
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.7450
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.7400
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.7400
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.7550
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.7600
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.7450
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.7450
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.7400
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.7350
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.7350
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.7350
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.7350
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85332587.57, Sell volume: 31848809.89, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.2650
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.2650
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.3100
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.3050
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.3200
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.3100
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.2800
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.2850
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.3000
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.2600
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.2650
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.2650
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.2700
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.2800
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.2850
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.2600
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.2900
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.3500
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.3500
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.3250
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.3000
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.2850
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.3250
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.3000
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.2200
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.2350
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.2400
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.2450
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.2300
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.2300
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.2350
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.2350
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.2550
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.2200
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.2000
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.1800
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.1900
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.4200
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.3600
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.3400
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.2700
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.2200
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.2550
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.2350
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.2150
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.2900
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.2600
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.2450
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85332587.57, Sell volume: 31848809.89, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.7600
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.7150
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.7650
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.7650
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.7400
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.7050
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.7350
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.7850
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.7200
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.6650
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.7150
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.6450
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5700
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.5450
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.6750
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.5950
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.5550
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.6150
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.7000
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.6700
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.7000
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.7000
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.6850
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.6650
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.6400
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.6400
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.6000
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.6650
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.6400
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.6200
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.6550
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.6400
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.6550
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.6500
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.6550
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.6650
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.6650
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.6850
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.6900
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.7000
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.7300
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.7300
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.7100
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.7100
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.7100
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.7150
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.7150
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85332587.57, Sell volume: 31848809.89, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.2850
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.2750
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.2750
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.2750
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.2750
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.2850
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.2950
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.2900
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.2900
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.2950
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.2900
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.2950
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.2850
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.2850
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.2900
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.2850
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.2900
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.3150
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.3100
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.3100
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.3950
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.3950
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.3100
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.3100
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.3250
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.3150
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.3250
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.2950
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.3100
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.3100
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.3050
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.3050
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.3100
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.3050
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.3050
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.3050
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.3050
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.3050
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.3050
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.3050
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.3000
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.3000
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.3000
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.2950
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.2950
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.3000
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.3000
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.3000
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.3050
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85332587.57, Sell volume: 31848809.89, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.7500
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.7650
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.8150
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.8000
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.8050
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.8100
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.8050
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.8100
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.8100
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.8100
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.8100
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.8150
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.8150
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.8200
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.8200
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.8150
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.8150
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.8100
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.8150
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.8150
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.8150
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.8150
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.8150
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.8200
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.8200
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.8150
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.8150
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.8150
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.8200
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.8150
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.8150
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.8150
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.8200
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.8050
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.8150
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.8150
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.8150
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.8150
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.8150
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.8150
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.8150
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.8250
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.8350
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.8300
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.8300
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.8250
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.8250
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.8300
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.8550
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85332587.57, Sell volume: 31848809.89, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.1200
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.1100
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.3950
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.2700
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.2650
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.2650
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.2400
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.2050
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.1950
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.1850
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.1950
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.1900
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.1950
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.1950
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.1950
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.1950
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.1950
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.2050
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.1850
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.1850
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.1900
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.1900
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.1850
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.1900
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.1900
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.1750
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.1750
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.1750
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.1850
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.1750
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.1800
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.1800
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.1800
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.1800
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.1750
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.1750
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.1750
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.1750
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.1750
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.1750
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.1750
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.1750
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.1750
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.1750
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.1750
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.1750
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.1750
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.1750
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.1750
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85332587.57, Sell volume: 31848809.89, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.8200
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.8200
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.8250
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.8250
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.8250
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.8250
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.8250
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.8150
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.8150
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.8150
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.8200
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.8150
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.8150
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.8250
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.8150
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.8150
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.8200
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.8150
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.8150
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.8150
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.8150
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.8150
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.8100
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.8100
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.8150
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.8100
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.8100
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.8100
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.8100
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.8100
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.8100
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.8100
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.8100
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.8100
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.8100
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.8100
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.8100
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.8100
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.8100
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.8100
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.8100
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.8100
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.8100
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.8100
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.8100
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.8100
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.8100
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.8100
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.8100
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85332587.57, Sell volume: 31848809.89, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.1050
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.1000
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.1300
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.1250
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.1350
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.1200
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.1400
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.1250
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.1250
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.1200
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.1200
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.1250
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.1400
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.1350
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.1350
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.1350
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.1400
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.1200
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.1150
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.1100
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.1100
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.1250
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.1300
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.2000
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.1900
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.1900
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.1900
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.1900
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.1850
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.3700
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.3050
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.2700
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.2200
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.2850
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.2200
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.2200
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.3100
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.5450
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.6600
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.3600
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.3650
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.6100
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.4900
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.5450
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.3450
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.5100
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.5750
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.5550
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85332587.57, Sell volume: 31848809.89, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.5450
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.5950
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.3300
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.5800
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.6800
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.7050
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.3500
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.3950
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.3200
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.6900
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.3200
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.7300
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.2550
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.2850
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.7150
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.7000
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.2900
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.3150
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.6100
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.6450
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.6650
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.6700
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.7000
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.6350
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.6650
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.3250
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.5900
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.3500
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.6650
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.3450
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.6350
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.3650
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.3450
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.3550
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.3600
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.4550
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.4650
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.4650
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.4250
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.5650
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.4300
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.4300
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.4300
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.5600
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.5600
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.4400
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.4350
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.4450
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85332587.57, Sell volume: 31848809.89, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.4750
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.5450
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.5450
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.5250
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.5350
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.5800
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.4350
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.5150
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.5100
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.4850
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.5200
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.5150
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.4850
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.4800
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.5150
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.5150
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.4850
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.5150
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.4800
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.4550
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.5400
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.5450
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.5650
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.5350
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.4900
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.5000
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.4850
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.5100
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.4900
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.4850
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.5050
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.5350
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.5900
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.5400
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.5450
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.5550
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.4300
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.3850
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.4250
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.3950
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.4250
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.4500
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.5200
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.5400
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.3850
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.4700
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.4550
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.4200
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59940, Buy volume: 4610319.41, Sell volume: 373526.10, Average price: 0.5678, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.6450
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.6250
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.6400
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.3600
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.3550
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.6550
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.6550
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.6550
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.6550
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.6450
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.3350
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.6700
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.7450
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.7050
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.3300
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.6250
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.6450
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.6300
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.3700
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.3550
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.3600
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.3550
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.3550
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.3600
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.6250
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.6250
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.4100
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.3800
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.6200
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.3900
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.6100
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.3850
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.3850
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.3850
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.6000
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.5550
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.5350
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.4900
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.4800
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.5350
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.4250
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.5750
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.4500
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.5000
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.3800
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.6400
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.6800
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.5850
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 467532, Buy volume: 34738250.81, Sell volume: 21367930.68, Average price: 0.5748, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7520

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.4500
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.5600
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.5500
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.4600
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.5400
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.5400
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.4850
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.4850
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.3350
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.3550
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.6700
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.7000
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.7000
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.3050
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.3200
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.3550
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.5500
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.4700
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.4350
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.5150
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.5000
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.4700
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.4500
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.4900
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.4900
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.4750
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.4350
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.4350
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.5350
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.5450
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.5250
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.5850
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.5350
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6450
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.6250
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 472364, Buy volume: 45925091.71, Sell volume: 10091710.55, Average price: 0.5447, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.2600
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.3700
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.4200
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.5000
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.4900
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.4600
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.4600
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.4600
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.4150
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.4150
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.4200
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.4600
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.4600
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.4600
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.4300
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.4500
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.4450
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.4600
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.4600
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.4450
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.4550
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.4550
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.4400
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.4400
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.4450
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85332587.57, Sell volume: 31848809.89, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.5450
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.5400
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.5750
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.6250
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.6450
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.6450
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.6500
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.6600
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.7650
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.7450
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.7450
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.7400
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.7400
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.7600
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.7450
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.7450
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.7350
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.7350
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85332587.57, Sell volume: 31848809.89, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.2650
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.2900
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.3050
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.3100
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.2800
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.2950
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.2650
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.2550
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.2750
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.2600
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.2850
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.3350
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.3000
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.2900
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.2550
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.2200
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.2450
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.2300
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.2600
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.2050
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.2000
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.2050
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.3600
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.3400
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.2200
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.2200
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.2150
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.3000
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85332587.57, Sell volume: 31848809.89, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.7600
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.7500
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.7400
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.7650
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.7400
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.7350
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.7200
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.7200
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.6700
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.5450
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.6150
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.6250
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.7000
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.7200
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.7450
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.6650
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.6400
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.6450
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.6400
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.6550
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.6550
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.6500
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.6550
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.6650
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.6900
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.6900
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.7250
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.7100
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.7100
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85332587.57, Sell volume: 31848809.89, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.2850
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.2750
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.2750
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.2850
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.2900
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.2900
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.2900
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.2850
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.2850
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.2850
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.2850
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.3100
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.3950
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.3750
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.3050
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.3150
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.3100
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.3100
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.3050
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.3100
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.3050
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.3050
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.3050
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.3050
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.3000
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.3000
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.2950
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.3000
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.3000
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85332587.57, Sell volume: 31848809.89, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.7500
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.8150
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.8000
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.8100
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.8100
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.8150
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.8100
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.8150
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.8200
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.8150
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.8150
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.8150
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.8150
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.8150
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.8150
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.8150
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.8150
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.8200
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.8150
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.8150
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.8150
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.8150
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.8150
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.8150
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.8150
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.8250
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.8250
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.8250
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.8250
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85332587.57, Sell volume: 31848809.89, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.1200
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.1400
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.2100
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.2650
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.2050
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.1850
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.1950
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.2000
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.1950
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.1950
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.2050
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.1900
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.1900
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.1850
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.1850
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.1750
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.1700
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.1800
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.1800
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.1800
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.1800
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.1750
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.1750
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.1750
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.1750
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.1750
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.1750
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.1750
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.1750
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85332587.57, Sell volume: 31848809.89, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.8200
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.8250
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.8250
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.8250
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.8200
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.8150
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.8200
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.8150
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.8300
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.8150
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.8200
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.8150
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.8150
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.8100
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.8100
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.8100
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.8100
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.8100
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.8100
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.8100
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.8100
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.8100
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.8100
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.8100
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.8100
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.8100
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.8100
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.8100
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.8100
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85332587.57, Sell volume: 31848809.89, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.1050
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0950
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.1200
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.1200
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.1400
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.1250
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.1200
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.1250
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.1300
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.1350
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.1200
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.1100
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.1100
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.1200
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.1950
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.1900
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.1900
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.4000
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.3050
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.2200
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.2850
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.2200
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.5250
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.4500
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.3600
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.3950
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.4850
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.3450
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.4250
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85332587.57, Sell volume: 31848809.89, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.5450
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.3250
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.4100
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.7050
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.3500
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.6750
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.3200
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.2800
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.2800
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.7150
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.2950
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.6850
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.6450
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.6700
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.7050
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.6650
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.3750
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.3750
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.3450
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.3300
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.3500
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.3600
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.4500
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.4200
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.5650
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.4300
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.4350
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.5600
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.4450
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85332587.57, Sell volume: 31848809.89, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.4750
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.4650
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.5300
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.5800
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.4850
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.5100
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.5200
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.5150
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.4900
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.5150
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.5150
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.4800
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.5400
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.5650
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.5450
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.5000
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.4900
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.5050
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.6600
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.5450
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.5700
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.4150
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.3950
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.4450
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.5050
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.3850
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.5500
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59940, Buy volume: 4610319.41, Sell volume: 373526.10, Average price: 0.5678, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.6450
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.6450
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.3600
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.6550
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.6550
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.3450
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.3350
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.7000
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.6950
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.6250
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.6300
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.3350
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.3600
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.3550
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.3600
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.6250
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.3800
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.3950
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.3850
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.6150
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.6000
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.5350
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.4750
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.5350
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.3850
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.5400
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.3800
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 467532, Buy volume: 34738250.81, Sell volume: 21367930.68, Average price: 0.5748, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7520
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537491
Question: OpenAI social app in 2025?
Volume: 425243.213872
Price History:
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.4500
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.5600
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.4550
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.5400
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.5150
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.3400
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.6700
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.6900
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.3050
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.3150
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.3600
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.4700
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.4700
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.4700
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.4500
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.5100
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.4750
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.4350
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.5350
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5550
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5550
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5450
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.4850
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.5350
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.3650
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 472364, Buy volume: 45925091.71, Sell volume: 10091710.55, Average price: 0.5447, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527030
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1997.260324
Price History:
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.4600
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.5400
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.4150
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.5850
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.4550
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.5450
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.5200
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.4800
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.5200
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.4800
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.5050
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.4950
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.4950
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.5050
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.4950
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.5050
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.4950
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7700, Price range: 0.7700 - 0.7700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527030
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1997.260324
Price History:
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.4950
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.5050
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.4950
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.5050
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.5150
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.4850
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.5200
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.4800
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.5200
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.4800
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.5150
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.4850
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.5900
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.4100
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.5850
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.4150
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.5850
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6200, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.6200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527030
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1997.260324
Price History:
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.5850
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.4150
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.5850
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.4150
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.5850
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.4150
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.5850
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.4150
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.5850
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.4150
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.5850
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.4150
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.5850
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.4150
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.5600
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.4400
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.5600
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 8.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4300, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.4300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527030
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1997.260324
Price History:
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.5800
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.4200
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.5850
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.4150
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.5850
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.4150
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.6200
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.3800
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.6200
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.3800
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.6200
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.3800
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.6200
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.3800
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.4900
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.5100
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.4950
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 365.07, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5639, Price range: 0.5259 - 0.6019

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527030
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1997.260324
Price History:
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.5350
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.4650
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.5300
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.4700
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.5450
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.4550
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.5450
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.4550
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.5200
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.4800
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.4600
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.5400
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.5100
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.4900
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.5100
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.4900
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.5100
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5500, Price range: 0.5500 - 0.5500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527030
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1997.260324
Price History:
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.5100
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.4900
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.5100
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.4900
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.5200
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.4800
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.5200
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.4800
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.5100
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.4900
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.5100
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.4900
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.5250
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.4750
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.5200
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.4800
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.5150
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 17.48, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527030
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1997.260324
Price History:
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.5150
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.4850
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.5150
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.4850
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.5050
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.4950
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.5150
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.4850
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.5250
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.4750
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.5400
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.4600
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.5400
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.4600
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.5400
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.4600
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.5400
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 156.92, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5357, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.5500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527030
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1997.260324
Price History:
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.5400
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.4600
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.5400
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.4600
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.5400
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.4600
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.5400
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.4600
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.5450
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.4550
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.5450
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.4550
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.5450
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.4550
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.5450
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.4550
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.5450
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4700, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.4700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527030
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1997.260324
Price History:
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.5450
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.4550
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.5450
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.4550
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.5450
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.4550
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.5450
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.4550
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.5450
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.4550
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.5850
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.4150
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.5800
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.4200
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.5800
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.4200
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.5800
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1918.09, Sell volume: 79.17, Average price: 0.5644, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527030
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1997.260324
Price History:
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.5800
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.4200
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.5800
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.4200
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.5800
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.4200
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.5700
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.4300
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.5750
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.4250
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.5700
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.4300
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.5700
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.4300
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.5700
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.4300
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.5600
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.65, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4300, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.4300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527030
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1997.260324
Price History:
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.5600
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.4400
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.5650
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.4350
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.5650
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.4350
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.5350
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.4650
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.5350
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.4650
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.5500
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.4500
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.5450
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.4550
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.5450
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.4550
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.5450
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 113.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.4500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527030
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1997.260324
Price History:
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.5400
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.4600
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.5400
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.4600
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.5400
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.4600
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.5400
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.4600
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.5500
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.4500
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.5600
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.4400
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.5600
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.4400
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.6450
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.3550
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.6050
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 249.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5701, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.5783

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527030
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1997.260324
Price History:
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.6150
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.3850
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.6150
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.3850
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.6150
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.3850
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.6150
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.3850
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.6150
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.3850
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.6100
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.3900
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.5950
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.4050
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.5650
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.4350
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.5600
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 434.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4075, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.4200

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527030
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1997.260324
Price History:
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.4600
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.5400
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.4150
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.5850
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.4550
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.5450
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.5200
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.4800
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.5200
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.4800
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.5050
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.4950
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.4950
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.5050
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.4950
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.5050
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.4950
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7700, Price range: 0.7700 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527030
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1997.260324
Price History:
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.4950
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.5050
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.4950
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.5050
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.5150
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.4850
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.5200
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.4800
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.5200
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.4800
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.5150
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.4850
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.5900
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.4100
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.5850
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.4150
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.5850
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6200, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527030
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1997.260324
Price History:
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.5850
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.4150
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.5850
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.4150
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.5850
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.4150
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.5850
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.4150
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.5850
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.4150
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.5850
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.4150
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.5850
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.4150
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.5600
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.4400
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.5600
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 8.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4300, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.4300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527030
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1997.260324
Price History:
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.5800
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.4200
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.5850
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.4150
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.5850
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.4150
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.6200
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.3800
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.6200
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.3800
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.6200
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.3800
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.6200
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.3800
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.4900
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.5100
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.4950
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 365.07, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5639, Price range: 0.5259 - 0.6019
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527030
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1997.260324
Price History:
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.5350
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.4650
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.5300
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.4700
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.5450
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.4550
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.5450
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.4550
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.5200
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.4800
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.4600
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.5400
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.5100
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.4900
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.5100
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.4900
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.5100
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5500, Price range: 0.5500 - 0.5500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527030
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tax" 7+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1997.260324
Price History:
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.5100
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.4900
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.5100
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.4900
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.5200
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.4800
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.5200
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.4800
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.5100
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.4900
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.5100
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.4900
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.5250
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.4750
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.5200
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.4800
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.5150
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 17.48, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No