Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 465.96, Sell volume: 499.97, Average price: 0.0013, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 3242.34, Sell volume: 4018.05, Average price: 0.7937, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0040
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 1614.26, Sell volume: 4124.38, Average price: 0.7165, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.7500
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9750
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0245
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0205
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9890
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 51.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0090
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0055
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9910
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0090
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9910
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0090
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9910
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0090
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9910
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0090
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9910
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0090
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9910
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0090
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9920
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0080
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 771.83, Sell volume: 336.04, Average price: 0.8746, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0080
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9920
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0080
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9920
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9920
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9920
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9920
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9920
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0085
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9920
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9920
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9920
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9920
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9910
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9910
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0080
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9930
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 301.09, Sell volume: 232.77, Average price: 0.9049, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0040
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 260.00, Average price: 0.0023, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0030
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 49.20, Sell volume: 49.19, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9915
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9915
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9915
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9915
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9915
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9915
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9915
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9915
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9915
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9915
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9915
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9915
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9915
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 205.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 1448.68, Sell volume: 37.80, Average price: 0.9316, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 25409.37, Sell volume: 12996.17, Average price: 0.7789, Price range: 0.0017 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9960
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 1952.20, Sell volume: 417.45, Average price: 0.8888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 465.96, Sell volume: 499.97, Average price: 0.0013, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 3242.34, Sell volume: 4018.05, Average price: 0.7937, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641847
Question: Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 58605.67683
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 1614.26, Sell volume: 4124.38, Average price: 0.7165, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2500
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0245
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9800
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9795
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9825
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9890
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 51.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9910
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9910
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9920
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9910
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9910
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9910
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9910
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9920
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9920
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9920
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9920
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9920
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9920
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9920
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9920
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9920
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9920
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9920
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 635.11, Sell volume: 339.82, Average price: 0.8438, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9920
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9920
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9920
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9920
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9920
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9920
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9920
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9920
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9925
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9930
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9930
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9925
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9925
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9925
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9930
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9935
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9940
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 498.15, Sell volume: 333.37, Average price: 0.8713, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9940
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9940
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9940
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9940
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9940
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.0025 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9940
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9940
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9940
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9940
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9940
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9940
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9940
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 4.01, Sell volume: 210.00, Average price: 0.3343, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3.40, Sell volume: 83.40, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 234.84, Sell volume: 29.54, Average price: 0.9957, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1216.10, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.9807, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 212.46, Sell volume: 665.24, Average price: 0.6867, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 3063.26, Sell volume: 532.51, Average price: 0.9346, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 236.33, Sell volume: 1213.39, Average price: 0.4284, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 195.00, Sell volume: 3758.27, Average price: 0.7139, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 307, Buy volume: 6362.31, Sell volume: 7300.54, Average price: 0.8808, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2500
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9755
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0205
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9890
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 51.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9910
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9910
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0080
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0090
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9910
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0075
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9920
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9920
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 635.11, Sell volume: 339.82, Average price: 0.8438, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9920
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0080
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9920
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0080
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9920
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0080
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0075
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0075
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0075
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0075
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0075
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0075
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9930
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9925
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 498.15, Sell volume: 333.37, Average price: 0.8713, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0060
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0060
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0060
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0060
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0060
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0060
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0060
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0060
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9940
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0060
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9940
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.0025 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9940
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0060
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9940
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0060
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 4.01, Sell volume: 210.00, Average price: 0.3343, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3.40, Sell volume: 83.40, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 234.84, Sell volume: 29.54, Average price: 0.9957, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1216.10, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.9807, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 212.46, Sell volume: 665.24, Average price: 0.6867, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 3063.26, Sell volume: 532.51, Average price: 0.9346, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 236.33, Sell volume: 1213.39, Average price: 0.4284, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 195.00, Sell volume: 3758.27, Average price: 0.7139, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641849
Question: Will 追风 ZF_lab win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 13662.854664
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 307, Buy volume: 6362.31, Sell volume: 7300.54, Average price: 0.8808, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9750
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9750
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.5045
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0745
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0745
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0745
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0745
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0250
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.1005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 1193.60, Sell volume: 297.44, Average price: 0.7766, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9455
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9465
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9490
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9495
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9495
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9495
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9565
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9575
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9575
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9575
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9575
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9575
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9575
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9575
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9575
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9575
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9640
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9645
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9645
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9735
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9760
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9760
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9760
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9760
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9760
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9760
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9775
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9790
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9790
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9790
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9790
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9790
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9810
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9780
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9795
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9835
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9845
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9790
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9820
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9825
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9825
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9825
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 295.32, Sell volume: 1727.48, Average price: 0.4668, Price range: 0.0113 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0215
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0200
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0180
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0140
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0120
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0195
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0195
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0200
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0170
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0185
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0165
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0155
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0170
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0180
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0145
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0180
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0140
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0115
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0115
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0120
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0125
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0120
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0120
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0115
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0120
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0105
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0200
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0200
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0200
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0155
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 825.38, Sell volume: 240.96, Average price: 0.7105, Price range: 0.0112 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9900
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9900
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9900
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9900
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9900
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9900
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9900
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9900
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9900
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9905
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9905
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9905
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9915
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9915
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9915
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9915
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9915
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9915
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9915
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9915
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 161.28, Average price: 0.3346, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2.15, Sell volume: 568.72, Average price: 0.2520, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 199.20, Sell volume: 302.19, Average price: 0.8322, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 205.28, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 1628.01, Sell volume: 681.04, Average price: 0.8681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1174.47, Sell volume: 1587.65, Average price: 0.7568, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 521.84, Sell volume: 423.69, Average price: 0.9250, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 290, Buy volume: 6564.52, Sell volume: 9917.48, Average price: 0.7659, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 501.92, Sell volume: 3024.40, Average price: 0.8279, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 7.36, Sell volume: 892.63, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9255
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0745
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9255
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9255
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9255
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9255
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0745
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 1193.60, Sell volume: 297.44, Average price: 0.7766, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9455
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0535
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9490
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0505
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9495
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9565
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0425
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9575
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0425
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9575
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0425
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9575
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0355
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9645
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0235
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0235
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9760
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0240
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9760
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0240
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9775
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0210
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9790
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0210
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9810
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0205
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9835
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 295.32, Sell volume: 1727.48, Average price: 0.4668, Price range: 0.0113 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0215
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9800
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0140
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9880
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0195
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9805
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0170
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9815
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0155
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9830
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0145
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9820
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0115
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9885
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0125
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9880
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0115
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9880
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0200
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9800
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9850
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9850
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9850
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9850
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 825.38, Sell volume: 240.96, Average price: 0.7105, Price range: 0.0112 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9900
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0100
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9900
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0100
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9900
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9900
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0095
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9905
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9915
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9915
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 161.28, Average price: 0.3346, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2.15, Sell volume: 568.72, Average price: 0.2520, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 199.20, Sell volume: 302.19, Average price: 0.8322, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 205.28, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 1628.01, Sell volume: 681.04, Average price: 0.8681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1174.47, Sell volume: 1587.65, Average price: 0.7568, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 521.84, Sell volume: 423.69, Average price: 0.9250, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 290, Buy volume: 6564.52, Sell volume: 9917.48, Average price: 0.7659, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 501.92, Sell volume: 3024.40, Average price: 0.8279, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641851
Question: Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 16481.996637
Price History:
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 7.36, Sell volume: 892.63, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9750
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9750
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9750
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9800
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9805
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9805
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0195
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0195
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0195
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0195
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0195
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0200
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0200
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0200
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0200
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 409.21, Sell volume: 52.00, Average price: 0.8948, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9805
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9805
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9815
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9815
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9810
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9810
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9815
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9815
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9845
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9845
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9845
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9845
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9845
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9845
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9845
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9845
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9845
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9855
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9855
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9850
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9845
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9780
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9790
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9790
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9790
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9790
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9790
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9790
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9790
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9790
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9790
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9790
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9790
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9790
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9805
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9805
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9805
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9805
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9810
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9805
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9805
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9805
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9805
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9805
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9805
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9805
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9800
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9805
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9805
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 709.87, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.6438, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0190
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0190
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0190
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0190
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0195
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0195
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0190
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0190
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0190
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0190
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0190
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0190
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0190
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0185
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0190
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0185
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0185
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0185
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0165
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0150
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0150
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0145
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0145
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0145
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0145
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0145
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0140
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0140
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0140
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0140
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0140
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0135
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0140
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0140
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0140
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0140
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0140
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0085
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 301.09, Sell volume: 390.61, Average price: 0.7916, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641853
Question: Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68365.117725
Price History:
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes