Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.5100
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.4900
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.4850
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.5150
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.5050
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.4950
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.4850
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.5150
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.5100
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.4400
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.5600
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.4400
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.5600
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.4300
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.5700
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.4400
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.5600
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.3600
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.6400
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.3550
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.6450
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.3600
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.6400
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.3600
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.6400
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.3600
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.6400
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.3700
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.6300
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.3700
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 6006.50, Sell volume: 832.46, Average price: 0.2922, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.3700
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.6300
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.2800
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.7200
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0200
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.9800
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0165
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.9835
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0160
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.9840
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0150
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.9850
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0165
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9835
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0165
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9835
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0150
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.9850
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0130
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.9870
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0150
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.9850
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0150
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.9850
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0145
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.9855
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 5047.00, Sell volume: 785.98, Average price: 0.1899, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.0110
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.9890
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0115
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.9885
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.0120
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.9880
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0135
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.9865
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0135
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.9865
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0125
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.9875
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0140
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.9860
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0150
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9850
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0115
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 756.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7487, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0080
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.9920
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0040
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.9960
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0085
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9915
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0065
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9935
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0045
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.9955
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9965
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 77.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.9975
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0025
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9975
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0025
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.9975
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0025
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.9975
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0025
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.9975
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 75.80, Sell volume: 46.48, Average price: 0.3340, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 6006.50, Sell volume: 832.46, Average price: 0.2922, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 6006.50, Sell volume: 832.46, Average price: 0.2922, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 6006.50, Sell volume: 832.46, Average price: 0.2922, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 6006.50, Sell volume: 832.46, Average price: 0.2922, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 6006.50, Sell volume: 832.46, Average price: 0.2922, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 6006.50, Sell volume: 832.46, Average price: 0.2922, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 6006.50, Sell volume: 832.46, Average price: 0.2922, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.5100
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.4900
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.4850
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.5150
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.5050
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.4950
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.4850
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.5150
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.5100
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.4400
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.5600
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.4400
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.5600
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.4300
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.5700
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.4400
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 6006.50, Sell volume: 832.46, Average price: 0.2922, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.3700
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.6300
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.2800
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.7200
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0200
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.9800
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0165
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.9835
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0160
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.9840
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0150
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.9850
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0165
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9835
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0165
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9835
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0150
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.9850
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0130
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.9870
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0150
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.9850
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0150
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.9850
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0145
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.9855
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 5047.00, Sell volume: 785.98, Average price: 0.1899, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.0110
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.9890
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0115
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 756.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7487, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0080
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.9920
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0040
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.9960
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 77.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.9975
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0025
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9975
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0025
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.9975
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0025
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 75.80, Sell volume: 46.48, Average price: 0.3340, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 6006.50, Sell volume: 832.46, Average price: 0.2922, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 6006.50, Sell volume: 832.46, Average price: 0.2922, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 6006.50, Sell volume: 832.46, Average price: 0.2922, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 6006.50, Sell volume: 832.46, Average price: 0.2922, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 6006.50, Sell volume: 832.46, Average price: 0.2922, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 6006.50, Sell volume: 832.46, Average price: 0.2922, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526338
Question: Will Deebo Samuel be traded to the Los Angeles Chargers?
Volume: 6838.958
Price History:
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 6006.50, Sell volume: 832.46, Average price: 0.2922, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.3150
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.3200
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.3250
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.3250
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.3350
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.3550
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.3450
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.3450
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.3400
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.3350
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.3350
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.3800
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.3700
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.4650
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.4350
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.4400
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.4300
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.4200
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.4250
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.4150
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.4150
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.4150
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.4150
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.4150
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.4150
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.4150
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.4150
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.4150
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.4150
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.4150
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.4150
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.4150
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.4150
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.4150
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.4150
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.4150
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.4150
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.4100
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.4100
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.4100
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.4100
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.4050
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.4000
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.4000
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.4000
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.4000
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.4000
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 6058.62, Sell volume: 280.85, Average price: 0.4840, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.7300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.6300
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.6300
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.6300
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.6300
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.6300
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.6300
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.6300
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.6300
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.6300
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.6300
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.6300
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.6300
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.6300
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.6300
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.6300
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.6300
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.6300
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.6300
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.6500
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.6500
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.6500
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.6500
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.6500
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.6500
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.6500
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.6500
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.6500
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.6500
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.6500
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.6600
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.6600
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.6600
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 4708.32, Sell volume: 390.50, Average price: 0.5577, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6603

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.3500
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.3500
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.3500
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.3500
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.3500
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.3600
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.3650
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.3650
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.3650
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.3650
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 2342.23, Sell volume: 1101.59, Average price: 0.4934, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.6300
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.6300
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 66.67, Sell volume: 125.00, Average price: 0.6267, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.6400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.3700
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.3700
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.3700
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.3700
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 290.29, Average price: 0.4720, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.6300
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.6300
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.6300
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.6300
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.6300
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.6300
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.6300
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.6300
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.6300
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.6300
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.6350
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.6350
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.6350
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.6350
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 600.45, Sell volume: 299.48, Average price: 0.4510, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.4900
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.4550
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.4650
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.4550
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.4600
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.4450
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.4100
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.4400
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.4300
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.4000
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.3950
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.3850
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.4400
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.4300
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.4500
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.4200
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.4050
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.4000
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.4050
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.4050
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.4150
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.4150
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.4150
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.4150
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.4150
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.4100
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.4050
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.4100
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.4100
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.4050
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.4050
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.4050
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.4050
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.4050
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.4050
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.4100
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.4050
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.4100
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.4100
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.4100
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.4100
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.4050
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.4050
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 581.56, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.4046, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.4300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.5850
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.5850
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.5850
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.5850
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.5850
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.5850
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.5850
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.5850
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.5850
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.5850
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.5850
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 631.93, Sell volume: 6.55, Average price: 0.4733, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.4050
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.4050
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 28453.00, Sell volume: 28128.51, Average price: 0.4846, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.6050
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.6050
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.6050
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.6050
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.6050
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.6050
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.6050
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.6050
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.6000
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.6000
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.6000
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.6000
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.6000
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.6000
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.6000
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.6000
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.6000
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.6000
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.6000
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 252.56, Sell volume: 183.64, Average price: 0.5140, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.3800
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.3850
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.3850
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.3850
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.3850
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.3850
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.3850
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.3850
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.3850
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.3850
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.3850
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.3850
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.3850
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.3850
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.3850
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.3850
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.3850
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.3850
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.3850
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.3850
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.3850
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.3850
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.3850
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.3850
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 51.28, Sell volume: 20.99, Average price: 0.3850, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.3900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.6150
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.6150
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.6150
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.6150
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.6150
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.6150
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.6150
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.6150
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.6150
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.6150
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.6200
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.6200
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.6200
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.6200
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.6200
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.6200
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.6200
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.6200
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.6200
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.6200
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.6200
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.6200
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.6200
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.6200
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.6200
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.6200
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.6200
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.6200
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.6200
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.6200
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 51.28, Sell volume: 1115.23, Average price: 0.4325, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.3650
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 10881.28, Sell volume: 170.35, Average price: 0.6898, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.3200
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.3250
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.3550
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.3450
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.3350
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.3800
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.4650
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.4300
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.4250
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.4150
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.4150
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.4150
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.4150
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.4150
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.4150
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.4150
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.4150
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.4150
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.4100
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.4100
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.4000
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.4000
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.4000
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.4000
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.4000
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.4000
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.3900
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 6058.62, Sell volume: 280.85, Average price: 0.4840, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.6300
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.6300
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.6300
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.6300
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.6300
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.6300
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.6300
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.6300
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.6300
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.6500
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.6500
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.6500
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.6500
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.6500
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.6600
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.6500
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 4708.32, Sell volume: 390.50, Average price: 0.5577, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6603
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.3500
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.3500
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.3500
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.3600
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.3650
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 2342.23, Sell volume: 1101.59, Average price: 0.4934, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.6300
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.6300
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.6300
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.6300
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.6300
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.6300
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 66.67, Sell volume: 125.00, Average price: 0.6267, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.3700
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.3700
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.3700
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.3700
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.3700
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 290.29, Average price: 0.4720, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.6300
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.6300
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.6300
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.6300
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.6300
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.6350
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.6350
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 600.45, Sell volume: 299.48, Average price: 0.4510, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.4650
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.4600
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.4100
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.4300
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.3950
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.4400
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.4500
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.4050
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.4050
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.4150
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.4150
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.4150
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.4050
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.4100
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.4050
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.4050
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.4050
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.4050
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.4100
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.4100
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.4050
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.4100
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.4100
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.4100
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.4100
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 581.56, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.4046, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.4300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.5850
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.5850
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.5850
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.5850
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.5850
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.5950
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.5950
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.5950
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.5950
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 631.93, Sell volume: 6.55, Average price: 0.4733, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.4050
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.4050
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.4050
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.4100
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.4100
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.4100
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 28453.00, Sell volume: 28128.51, Average price: 0.4846, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.6050
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.6050
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.6050
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.6050
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.6000
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.6000
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.6000
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.6000
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.6000
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.6000
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 252.56, Sell volume: 183.64, Average price: 0.5140, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.3800
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.3850
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.3850
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.3850
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.3850
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.3850
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.3850
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.3850
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.3850
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.3850
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.3850
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.3850
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.3850
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.3850
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.3850
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.3850
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.3850
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 51.28, Sell volume: 20.99, Average price: 0.3850, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.3900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.6150
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.6150
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.6150
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.6150
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.6150
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.6150
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.6200
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.6200
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.6200
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.6200
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.6200
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.6200
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.6200
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.6200
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.6200
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.6200
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.6300
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.6300
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.6350
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.6350
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 51.28, Sell volume: 1115.23, Average price: 0.4325, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535296
Question: US debt downgrade in 2025?
Volume: 88637.631336
Price History:
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.3650
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.3650
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.3650
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.3650
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.3650
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 10881.28, Sell volume: 170.35, Average price: 0.6898, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657174
Question: Will Tesla reach $615 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 787896.692751
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.3750
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.3100
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.3100
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.3100
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.3100
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.3100
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.3100
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.3100
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.3100
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.3100
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.3100
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.3050
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.3050
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.3050
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.3050
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.3050
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.1000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.1000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.1000
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.1000
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.1000
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 11953104.51, Sell volume: 350099785.46, Average price: 0.0765, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657174
Question: Will Tesla reach $615 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 787896.692751
Price History:
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 11953104.51, Sell volume: 350099785.46, Average price: 0.0765, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657174
Question: Will Tesla reach $615 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 787896.692751
Price History:
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0195
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0150
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0175
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0175
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0175
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0175
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0175
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0175
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0175
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0175
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0175
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0170
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0160
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0160
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0170
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0170
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0150
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0115
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0115
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0120
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0130
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0185
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0185
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0185
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0190
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0190
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0190
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0190
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0190
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0190
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0190
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0190
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0190
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0190
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0190
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0190
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 11953104.51, Sell volume: 350099785.46, Average price: 0.0765, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657174
Question: Will Tesla reach $615 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 787896.692751
Price History:
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9895
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9880
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9860
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9860
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9865
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9800
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9800
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9810
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9810
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9810
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9805
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9795
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9795
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9800
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9805
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9805
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9795
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9805
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9795
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9805
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9820
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9820
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9825
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9830
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9835
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9820
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9840
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9825
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9865
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9865
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9855
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9855
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9855
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9860
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9860
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9880
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9880
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9880
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9880
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9885
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9885
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9885
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9890
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9890
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 11953104.51, Sell volume: 350099785.46, Average price: 0.0765, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657174
Question: Will Tesla reach $615 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 787896.692751
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0110
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0110
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0110
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0110
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0110
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0110
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0110
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0110
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0115
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0115
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0115
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 11953104.51, Sell volume: 350099785.46, Average price: 0.0765, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657174
Question: Will Tesla reach $615 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 787896.692751
Price History:
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9905
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9905
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9900
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9900
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9900
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9900
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9900
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9900
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9905
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9905
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9905
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9905
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9905
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9900
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9900
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9900
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9905
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9905
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9905
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9905
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9910
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9910
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9910
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9905
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9905
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9905
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9905
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9905
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9905
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9905
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9905
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9900
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9915
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9915
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9905
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9905
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9905
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9905
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9905
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9905
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9910
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9880
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9880
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9900
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 11953104.51, Sell volume: 350099785.46, Average price: 0.0765, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657174
Question: Will Tesla reach $615 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 787896.692751
Price History:
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0105
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0105
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0105
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0135
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0095
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0095
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0100
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0085
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0100
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 11953104.51, Sell volume: 350099785.46, Average price: 0.0765, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657174
Question: Will Tesla reach $615 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 787896.692751
Price History:
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9910
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9895
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9895
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9905
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9905
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9905
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9905
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9885
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9885
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9905
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9910
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9915
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9925
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9915
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9900
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9910
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9905
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9905
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 141858, Buy volume: 1784595.39, Sell volume: 66589583.76, Average price: 0.1183, Price range: 0.0038 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657174
Question: Will Tesla reach $615 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 787896.692751
Price History:
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0085
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0085
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0085
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0085
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0085
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0085
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0085
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0085
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0085
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0085
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0080
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0085
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0085
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0085
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0085
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0080
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0080
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0080
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 845369, Buy volume: 8682802.33, Sell volume: 282761181.52, Average price: 0.0657, Price range: 0.0034 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657174
Question: Will Tesla reach $615 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 787896.692751
Price History:
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9905
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9905
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9910
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9900
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9905
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9905
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9905
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9920
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9915
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9915
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 274, Buy volume: 18642.81, Sell volume: 36237.45, Average price: 0.2385, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657174
Question: Will Tesla reach $615 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 787896.692751
Price History:
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 1839.45, Sell volume: 2570.52, Average price: 0.9351, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657174
Question: Will Tesla reach $615 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 787896.692751
Price History:
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9960
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9960
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 345, Buy volume: 39431.34, Sell volume: 72965.67, Average price: 0.1140, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657174
Question: Will Tesla reach $615 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 787896.692751
Price History:
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0045
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 106, Buy volume: 12892.44, Sell volume: 15165.08, Average price: 0.4540, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657174
Question: Will Tesla reach $615 in November?
Volume: 787896.692751
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.6250
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.3100
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.6900
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.3100
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.6900
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.3100
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.6900
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.3050
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.6950
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.3050
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.6950
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.1000
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9000
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.1000
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9050
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9300
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 11953104.51, Sell volume: 350099785.46, Average price: 0.0765, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657174
Question: Will Tesla reach $615 in November?
Volume: 787896.692751
Price History:
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0400
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0400
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 11953104.51, Sell volume: 350099785.46, Average price: 0.0765, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657174
Question: Will Tesla reach $615 in November?
Volume: 787896.692751
Price History:
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9600
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9650
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0150
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9825
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0175
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9825
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0175
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9825
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0175
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9830
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0160
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0170
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9850
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0115
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9880
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0185
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9815
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0190
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9810
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0190
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9810
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0190
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 11953104.51, Sell volume: 350099785.46, Average price: 0.0765, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657174
Question: Will Tesla reach $615 in November?
Volume: 787896.692751
Price History:
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9895
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0140
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9860
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0200
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9800
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0190
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9810
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0205
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9795
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0195
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9805
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0195
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9795
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0180
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9820
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0170
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9835
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0160
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9825
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0135
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9855
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0145
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9860
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0120
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0120
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9880
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9880
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 11953104.51, Sell volume: 350099785.46, Average price: 0.0765, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657174
Question: Will Tesla reach $615 in November?
Volume: 787896.692751
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0110
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9890
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0110
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9890
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0110
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9890
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0115
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9885
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9885
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9885
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9885
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9885
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9885
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9885
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9885
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9885
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9910
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9910
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 11953104.51, Sell volume: 350099785.46, Average price: 0.0765, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657174
Question: Will Tesla reach $615 in November?
Volume: 787896.692751
Price History:
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9905
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0100
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0100
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9900
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0100
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9905
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9905
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0100
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9900
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9905
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9910
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0090
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9905
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9905
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9905
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9900
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0085
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9905
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9905
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 11953104.51, Sell volume: 350099785.46, Average price: 0.0765, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657174
Question: Will Tesla reach $615 in November?
Volume: 787896.692751
Price History:
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0105
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9895
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9895
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0135
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9890
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9890
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9900
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9905
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9900
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9900
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0085
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9910
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9910
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9910
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9910
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9910
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 11953104.51, Sell volume: 350099785.46, Average price: 0.0765, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657174
Question: Will Tesla reach $615 in November?
Volume: 787896.692751
Price History:
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9910
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9905
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9905
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9885
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0105
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0105
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0085
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9910
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0085
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9915
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 141858, Buy volume: 1784595.39, Sell volume: 66589583.76, Average price: 0.1183, Price range: 0.0038 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes