Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547444
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 317695.079042
Price History:
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0905
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0975
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0975
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0975
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0975
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0915
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0920
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0930
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0935
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0945
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0900
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0875
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0880
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0910
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0895
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0860
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0855
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0870
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0915
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0900
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0890
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0900
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0920
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0920
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0920
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0945
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0970
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0970
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0975
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.1015
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.1025
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.1025
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.1025
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0610
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0635
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0615
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0585
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0620
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0635
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0630
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0615
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0620
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0685
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0665
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0645
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0640
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0630
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0625
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 205556231.81, Sell volume: 30190829.15, Average price: 0.5394, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547444
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 317695.079042
Price History:
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0595
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0585
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0600
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0615
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0555
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0570
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0615
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0630
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0625
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0620
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0615
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0645
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0645
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0670
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0650
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0660
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0650
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0640
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0640
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0640
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0640
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0640
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0550
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0555
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0555
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0555
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0555
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0545
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0525
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.0510
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0540
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0485
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0345
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0420
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.0425
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0455
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0470
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0445
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0720
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0820
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0830
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.1260
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.1120
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.1070
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.1085
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.1125
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.1190
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.1145
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.1150
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 471528, Buy volume: 71572889.52, Sell volume: 13123763.10, Average price: 0.5230, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9820

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547444
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 317695.079042
Price History:
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0855
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0830
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0895
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0830
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0945
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0820
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0905
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0895
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0890
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0995
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0825
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0805
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0845
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0835
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0820
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0820
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0820
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0820
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0820
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0820
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0820
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0835
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0830
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0835
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0805
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0565
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0725
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0735
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0735
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.0795
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0760
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0755
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0900
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0955
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0935
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0875
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.1415
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.1140
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.1105
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.1140
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.1120
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.1065
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.1280
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.1335
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.1455
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.1515
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.1520
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.1530
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.1565
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 419580, Buy volume: 104104222.13, Sell volume: 11850118.02, Average price: 0.5518, Price range: 0.0550 - 0.9339

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547444
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 317695.079042
Price History:
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.1120
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.1120
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.1120
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.1120
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.1115
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.1500
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.1375
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.1340
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.1425
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.1440
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.1500
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.1485
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.1500
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.1490
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.1480
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.1480
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.1795
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.1925
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.1875
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.1590
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.1620
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.1545
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.1580
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.1580
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.1565
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.1500
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.1485
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.1650
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.1625
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.1610
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.1600
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.1600
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.1650
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.1650
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.1650
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.1650
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.1650
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.1650
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.1915
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.1835
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.1860
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.1850
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.1850
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.1830
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.1805
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.1550
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.1135
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.1095
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.1110
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.1315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99949, Buy volume: 28318906.98, Sell volume: 5174932.60, Average price: 0.5664, Price range: 0.1201 - 0.8886

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547444
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 317695.079042
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0960
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.1080
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.1105
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.1110
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.1280
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.1270
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.1290
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.1305
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.1320
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.1300
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.1295
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.1320
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.1320
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.1320
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.1330
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.1285
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.1410
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.1405
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.1405
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.1400
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.1370
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.1365
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.1355
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.1370
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.1370
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.1365
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.1705
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.1450
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.1610
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.1750
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.1525
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.1545
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.1545
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.1535
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.1540
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.1545
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.1540
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.1535
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.1550
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.1545
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.1545
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.1510
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.1485
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.1535
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.1535
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.1520
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.1525
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.1510
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.1505
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.1485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3421.72, Sell volume: 2322.29, Average price: 0.4645, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547444
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 317695.079042
Price History:
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.1545
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.1635
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.1450
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.1415
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.1420
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.1425
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.1440
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.1415
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.1415
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.1430
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.1480
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.1485
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.1535
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.1505
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.1505
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.1520
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.1530
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.1530
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.1455
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.1350
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.1375
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.1355
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.1360
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.1375
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.1515
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.1495
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.1450
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.1455
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.1455
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.1460
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.1460
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.1460
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.1460
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.1470
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.1475
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.1475
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.1445
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.1430
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0625
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0770
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0760
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0785
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0825
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0880
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0835
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0865
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0890
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.0935
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.1015
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.1265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 181, Buy volume: 32560.98, Sell volume: 9377.85, Average price: 0.4677, Price range: 0.0470 - 0.9338

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547444
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 317695.079042
Price History:
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.1260
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.1260
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.1260
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.1265
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.1320
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.1285
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.1260
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.1255
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.1255
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.1255
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.1265
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.1270
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.1380
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.1365
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.1315
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.1345
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.1345
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.1285
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.1265
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.1240
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.1170
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.1215
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.1120
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.1090
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.1100
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.1105
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.1100
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.1060
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.1060
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0890
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0845
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.1085
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0980
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0935
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0860
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0985
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.1065
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.1065
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.1070
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.1070
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.1075
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.1185
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.1165
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.0925
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0920
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0920
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0820
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0820
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 186, Buy volume: 17208.74, Sell volume: 4761.72, Average price: 0.6530, Price range: 0.0770 - 0.9241

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547444
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 317695.079042
Price History:
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0760
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0825
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0900
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0855
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0785
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0790
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0885
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0690
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0725
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0675
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0735
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0480
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0375
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0455
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0455
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0590
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0665
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0700
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0670
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0555
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0530
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0525
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0530
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0600
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0585
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0535
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0475
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0480
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0480
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0260
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0285
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0315
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0325
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0335
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0265
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0215
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0220
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0245
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0215
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0255
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0255
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0245
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0245
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0255
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0260
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0240
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0300
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 244, Buy volume: 20026.51, Sell volume: 3336.46, Average price: 0.6678, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9810

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547444
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 317695.079042
Price History:
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0290
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0290
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0245
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0305
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0290
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0285
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0295
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0315
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0405
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0385
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0390
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0375
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0360
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0355
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0355
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0350
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0325
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0325
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0510
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0470
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0495
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0485
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0480
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0355
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0335
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0340
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0360
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0365
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0390
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0365
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0290
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0340
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0325
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0320
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0335
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0385
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0385
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0380
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0375
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0375
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0380
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0380
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0380
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0385
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0390
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0380
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0380
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0435
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 164, Buy volume: 8464.25, Sell volume: 2068.46, Average price: 0.6773, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547444
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 317695.079042
Price History:
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0055
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0055
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0100
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0095
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0080
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0080
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0075
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0075
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0075
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0075
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0080
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0080
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0080
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0085
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0080
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0080
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0085
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0085
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0080
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0075
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0070
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0070
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0075
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0075
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0070
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0080
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0075
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0075
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0100
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0090
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0090
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0100
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0100
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0090
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0085
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0080
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0095
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0085
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0085
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0085
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0085
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0080
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0075
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0085
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0090
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0080
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0085
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0090
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0085
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 1853.55, Sell volume: 1332.17, Average price: 0.6391, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547444
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 317695.079042
Price History:
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0075
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0075
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0070
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0080
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0035
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0035
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0035
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0020
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0020
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0010
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0010
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0010
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 10157.91, Sell volume: 16652.31, Average price: 0.7477, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547444
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Volume: 317695.079042
Price History:
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.5650
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.1800
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.8250
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.1150
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.8850
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.1150
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.8850
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.1150
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.8900
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.1050
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.8950
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.1050
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.8950
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0850
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9645
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0170
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9740
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0255
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9600
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0445
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9535
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0500
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9410
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9395
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0605
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 205556231.81, Sell volume: 30190829.15, Average price: 0.5394, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547444
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Volume: 317695.079042
Price History:
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0870
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9065
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0890
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9085
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0870
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9095
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0900
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9100
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0880
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9115
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0990
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9015
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0985
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9025
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0975
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9105
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0880
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9130
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0895
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9125
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0880
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9110
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0925
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9080
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0900
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9115
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0810
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9160
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0845
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 205556231.81, Sell volume: 30190829.15, Average price: 0.5394, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547444
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Volume: 317695.079042
Price History:
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0905
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9025
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0975
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9025
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0920
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9070
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9055
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0875
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9120
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0895
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9140
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0870
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9085
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0890
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9100
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0920
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9080
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0970
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9030
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.1015
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.8975
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.1025
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9390
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0615
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9415
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0635
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9370
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0620
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 205556231.81, Sell volume: 30190829.15, Average price: 0.5394, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547444
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Volume: 317695.079042
Price History:
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0595
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9415
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0615
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9445
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0615
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9370
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0620
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9385
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0645
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9330
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0660
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9350
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0640
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9360
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0640
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9450
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0555
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9445
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0545
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.9475
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0540
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9515
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0420
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.9575
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0470
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9555
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0820
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9170
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.1120
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.8930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 471528, Buy volume: 71572889.52, Sell volume: 13123763.10, Average price: 0.5230, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9820
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547444
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Volume: 317695.079042
Price History:
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0855
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.9170
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0830
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.9055
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0905
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9105
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0995
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.9175
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0845
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.9165
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0820
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.9180
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0820
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.9180
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0835
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.9170
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0805
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.9435
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0735
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.9265
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0760
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.9245
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0955
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.9065
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.1415
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.8860
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.1140
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.8880
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.1280
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.8665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 419580, Buy volume: 104104222.13, Sell volume: 11850118.02, Average price: 0.5518, Price range: 0.0550 - 0.9339
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547444
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Volume: 317695.079042
Price History:
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.1120
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.8880
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.1120
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.8885
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.1375
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.8660
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.1440
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.8500
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.1500
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.8510
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.1480
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.8205
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.1875
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.8410
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.1545
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.8420
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.1565
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.8500
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.1650
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.8375
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.1600
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.8400
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.1650
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.8350
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.1650
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.8350
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.1835
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.8140
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.1850
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.8170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99949, Buy volume: 28318906.98, Sell volume: 5174932.60, Average price: 0.5664, Price range: 0.1201 - 0.8886
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547444
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Volume: 317695.079042
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0960
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.8920
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.1110
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.8720
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.1290
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.8695
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.1300
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.8705
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.1320
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.8680
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.1285
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.8590
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.1405
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.8600
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.1365
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.8645
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.1370
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.8635
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.1450
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.8390
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.1525
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.8455
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.1535
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.8460
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.1540
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.8465
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.1545
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.8455
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.1485
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.8465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3421.72, Sell volume: 2322.29, Average price: 0.4645, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547444
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Volume: 317695.079042
Price History:
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.1545
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.8365
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.1415
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.8580
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.1440
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.8585
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.1430
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.8520
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.1535
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.8495
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.1520
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.8470
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.1455
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.8650
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.1355
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.8640
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.1515
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.8505
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.1455
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.8545
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.1460
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.8540
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.1470
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.8525
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.1445
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.8570
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0770
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.9240
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0825
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.9120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 181, Buy volume: 32560.98, Sell volume: 9377.85, Average price: 0.4677, Price range: 0.0470 - 0.9338
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547444
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Volume: 317695.079042
Price History:
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.1260
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.8740
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.1265
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.8680
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.1260
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.8745
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.1255
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.8735
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.1380
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.8635
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.1350
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.8655
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.1285
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.8735
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.1170
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.8785
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.1090
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.8900
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.1100
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.8940
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0890
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.9155
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0980
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.9065
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0985
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.8935
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.1070
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.8930
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.1185
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.8835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 186, Buy volume: 17208.74, Sell volume: 4761.72, Average price: 0.6530, Price range: 0.0770 - 0.9241
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547444
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Volume: 317695.079042
Price History:
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0760
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9175
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0855
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.9215
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0885
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9310
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0675
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9265
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0375
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9545
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0590
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9335
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9330
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0555
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.9470
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0530
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9400
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0535
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9525
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0480
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9740
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0315
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9675
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0265
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9785
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0245
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.9785
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0255
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 244, Buy volume: 20026.51, Sell volume: 3336.46, Average price: 0.6678, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547444
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Volume: 317695.079042
Price History:
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0290
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.9710
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0305
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.9710
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0295
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.9685
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0385
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.9610
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0360
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9645
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0350
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9675
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0510
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.9530
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0485
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.9520
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0335
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.9660
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0365
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9610
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0290
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.9660
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0320
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.9665
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0385
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.9620
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0375
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.9620
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0380
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 164, Buy volume: 8464.25, Sell volume: 2068.46, Average price: 0.6773, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547444
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Volume: 317695.079042
Price History:
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0055
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.9945
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0095
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.9920
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0075
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.9925
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0075
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.9920
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0080
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.9915
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0080
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.9915
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0080
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.9925
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0070
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.9925
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0070
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.9920
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0075
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.9900
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0090
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.9900
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0090
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.9915
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0095
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.9915
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0085
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9915
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0075
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 1853.55, Sell volume: 1332.17, Average price: 0.6391, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547444
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Volume: 317695.079042
Price History:
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0075
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9925
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9920
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9965
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9965
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9965
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0020
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.9980
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0010
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.9990
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 10157.91, Sell volume: 16652.31, Average price: 0.7477, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543233
Question: Will Person E win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: nan
Price History:
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543233
Question: Will Person E win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: nan
Price History:
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.2550
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.2550
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.1200
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.2650
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0220
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.0220
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0195
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.0080
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0080
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0060
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0075
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.0075
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0125
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0130
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0150
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.0065
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0095
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0095
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.0095
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0085
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0095
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0095
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0095
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0095
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0095
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0095
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0090
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0100
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0100
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0100
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0100
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0095
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0090
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0090
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0090
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0090
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0090
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0090
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0090
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0090
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0090
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0090
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0090
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0095
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0095
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0095
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0095
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0095
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 428, Buy volume: 28686.92, Sell volume: 19702.08, Average price: 0.1350, Price range: 0.0074 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0095
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0095
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.0095
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0095
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0095
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0095
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.0095
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0095
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0100
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0105
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0100
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0105
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0105
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0065
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0075
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0075
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0075
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0075
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0065
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0065
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0065
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0065
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0065
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0060
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0055
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0055
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0055
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0050
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0050
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0065
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0065
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0065
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0070
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0105
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0115
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0095
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0155
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0155
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0155
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0155
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.0155
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 466, Buy volume: 29553.98, Sell volume: 61582.27, Average price: 0.0498, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0155
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0155
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.0155
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0155
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0155
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0155
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0155
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0155
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0160
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0160
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0160
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0160
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0160
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0155
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0155
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0155
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0155
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0155
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0155
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0155
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0155
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0155
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0155
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.0155
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0155
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0155
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0155
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0155
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0155
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0155
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0155
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0155
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0155
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0155
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0155
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0155
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0155
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0155
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0155
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 105.15, Sell volume: 826.43, Average price: 0.3382, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0155
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0155
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0155
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0155
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0155
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0155
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0155
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0155
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0155
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0155
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0155
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0155
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0155
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0155
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0155
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0155
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.0150
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.0155
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0155
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.0155
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0155
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0150
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0155
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0155
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0155
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0155
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0155
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0155
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0155
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.0155
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0110
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.0095
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.0095
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.0130
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0125
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0125
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0090
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0090
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.0115
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0090
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.0085
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0085
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0095
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0080
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0080
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0080
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0080
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0080
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 33.64, Sell volume: 566.35, Average price: 0.6620, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0080
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0080
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.0080
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0080
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0080
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0080
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0080
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.0080
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0080
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0080
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0080
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0070
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.0065
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0070
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0070
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0060
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0060
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0060
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0060
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0060
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0090
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0090
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0085
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.0110
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.0085
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.0090
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0110
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0090
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0110
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0095
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0095
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0110
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0105
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0100
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.0095
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0110
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0095
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0080
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0110
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0110
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0110
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0080
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0075
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0080
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 466.13, Sell volume: 104.00, Average price: 0.5988, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0070
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0080
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0075
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0085
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0080
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0075
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0075
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0080
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0075
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0075
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0080
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0080
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0075
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0080
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0080
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0080
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0080
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0070
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0070
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0070
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0070
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0075
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0075
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0075
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0075
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0075
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0075
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.0065
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.0065
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0060
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0060
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.0060
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.0060
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0060
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.0060
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0060
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.0060
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.0060
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0060
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.0060
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0060
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0060
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0060
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0060
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.0060
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 310.71, Sell volume: 310.71, Average price: 0.8281, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0060
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.0060
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0120
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0165
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.0190
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.0185
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0185
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.0200
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.0185
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.0205
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0180
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.0175
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0165
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0175
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0175
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0175
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.0160
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0170
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.0175
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.0140
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0140
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0135
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.0100
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.0115
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.0055
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.0055
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.0055
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.0055
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.0050
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0050
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.0050
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0050
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0050
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.9950
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.0050
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.0055
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.9945
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.9945
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.0055
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.9895
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9885
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.9875
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.0125
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.0120
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.9890
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.0130
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 6265.84, Sell volume: 1827.63, Average price: 0.7089, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0115
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.0115
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.9870
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.9890
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.0105
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9890
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.9890
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0080
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.9910
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.0085
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.9900
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.9900
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.0085
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9895
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0090
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9895
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.9905
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9810
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0215
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.9805
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.9775
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9835
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0125
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.0120
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.9820
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.0135
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.9900
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.0125
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0150
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9875
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.0120
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.9900
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.9840
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.9875
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.0170
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0135
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.0105
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.0150
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.9900
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.0090
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.9920
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.0085
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.0100
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.0105
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.0090
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.9915
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.9900
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.9900
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.9900
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 93.96, Sell volume: 20.62, Average price: 0.6012, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.9895
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.9930
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0105
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.0200
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.9820
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.9810
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.9780
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.0110
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.9860
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.0150
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9840
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.9870
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.9865
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.0105
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0145
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.0205
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.9800
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9795
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0200
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9800
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9800
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0210
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9790
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0195
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0205
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0210
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0215
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0200
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0200
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0225
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9780
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0225
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0235
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0235
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0235
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9765
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0225
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9770
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0230
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0230
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0230
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9770
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0230
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0230
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0200
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9780
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1707.99, Sell volume: 32.81, Average price: 0.1982, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0230
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9770
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9765
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9770
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9755
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9755
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0245
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9770
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9770
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9770
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0230
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9770
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9770
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9775
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0225
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0220
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9780
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9780
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9780
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9780
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9770
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9770
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9755
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9750
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0250
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0255
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9745
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.1905
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0325
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9650
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0345
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0355
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9695
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9715
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9875
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9900
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0065
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9935
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9935
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9935
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0065
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9935
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0065
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9940
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9940
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9945
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.0090
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0095
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 2540.90, Sell volume: 213.36, Average price: 0.8300, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0100
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9870
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9880
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0115
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0100
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0125
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9895
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0105
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9900
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9905
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0095
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0105
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0100
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0105
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.0100
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9900
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0090
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0070
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0065
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0085
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0095
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9930
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9925
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9935
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9955
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9910
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9925
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9930
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0060
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0090
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9940
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0075
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0075
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0050
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0065
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9910
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9915
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9920
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9935
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0075
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9925
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0085
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0090
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9955
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9925
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9915
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0080
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0075
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9915
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 470.62, Sell volume: 1235.33, Average price: 0.6664, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0060
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0050
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0050
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0050
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9950
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0050
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0050
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0055
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 7037.38, Sell volume: 133.51, Average price: 0.8587, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 116, Buy volume: 5596.01, Sell volume: 4446.66, Average price: 0.8868, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.2550
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.2550
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0220
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.0220
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.0080
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0060
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0075
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0125
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0150
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.0095
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0095
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0085
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0095
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0090
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0095
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0100
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.0095
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0100
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0095
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0090
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0090
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0090
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0090
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0090
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0090
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0090
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0095
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0090
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 428, Buy volume: 28686.92, Sell volume: 19702.08, Average price: 0.1350, Price range: 0.0074 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0095
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.0095
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0095
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0095
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0095
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0105
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0100
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0105
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0055
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0075
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0075
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0075
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0065
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0065
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0065
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0055
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0050
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0055
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0050
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0065
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0065
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0070
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0110
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0150
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0155
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0155
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 466, Buy volume: 29553.98, Sell volume: 61582.27, Average price: 0.0498, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0155
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0155
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0155
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0155
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0155
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0160
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0160
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0160
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0155
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0155
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0155
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0155
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0155
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0155
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0155
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0155
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0155
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0155
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0155
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0155
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0155
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0155
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0155
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0155
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 105.15, Sell volume: 826.43, Average price: 0.3382, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0155
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0155
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0155
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0155
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0155
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0155
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0155
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0155
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0155
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0155
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0155
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.0155
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0155
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.0155
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0155
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0155
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.0155
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.0155
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0110
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.0095
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0130
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0125
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0090
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0095
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0090
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0085
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0080
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.0080
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 33.64, Sell volume: 566.35, Average price: 0.6620, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0080
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0080
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0080
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0080
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0080
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.0080
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0080
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0065
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0070
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0060
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.0060
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0060
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.0060
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0090
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0085
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0085
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0110
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0090
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0105
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0095
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0110
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.0110
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0110
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0100
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0100
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0110
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0075
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 466.13, Sell volume: 104.00, Average price: 0.5988, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0070
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0080
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0075
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0080
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0080
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0075
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0080
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0075
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0080
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0080
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0070
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0070
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0075
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.0075
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0075
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0075
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.0065
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.0060
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.0060
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.0060
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0060
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.0060
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.0060
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.0060
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0060
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.0060
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 310.71, Sell volume: 310.71, Average price: 0.8281, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0060
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.0125
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0205
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.0185
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.0200
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.0200
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0180
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.0180
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0180
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0175
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.0160
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.0165
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0140
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.0150
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.0055
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.0055
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0050
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.0050
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0050
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0050
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.9945
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.9945
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.9910
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9885
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.0125
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.9890
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 6265.84, Sell volume: 1827.63, Average price: 0.7089, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0115
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.9885
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0110
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9890
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.9890
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9885
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.9900
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.9910
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.9885
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9895
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9805
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.9780
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.9775
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.0305
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.0175
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.0135
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.9825
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.0065
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.0120
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.9880
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.9860
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0135
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.0100
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.9900
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.9920
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0200
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.0110
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.9915
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.9895
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 93.96, Sell volume: 20.62, Average price: 0.6012, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.9895
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0100
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.0165
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.9810
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0165
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.0160
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9840
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.9860
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0140
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.0205
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.9820
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0200
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0195
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9795
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9790
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0210
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0210
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0200
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0200
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0220
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0235
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0235
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0235
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9770
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9770
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0230
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0230
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0215
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1707.99, Sell volume: 32.81, Average price: 0.1982, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0230
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9770
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9770
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9755
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0230
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9770
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0230
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9770
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9775
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0220
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0220
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9780
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9770
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9770
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9750
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0255
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9740
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9640
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0345
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9690
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9850
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9900
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0065
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9935
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0065
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9935
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0065
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9940
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.0090
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 2540.90, Sell volume: 213.36, Average price: 0.8300, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0100
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9895
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0120
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0125
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9900
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0095
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0095
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0095
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0100
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9900
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0090
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0095
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0095
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9905
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9910
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9910
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0050
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9910
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9940
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0050
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0045
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9910
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9935
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9915
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9925
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0060
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0065
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9915
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9930
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 470.62, Sell volume: 1235.33, Average price: 0.6664, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0060
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0050
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9950
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9950
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0050
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9945
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 7037.38, Sell volume: 133.51, Average price: 0.8587, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543220
Question: Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 173870.990728
Price History:
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 116, Buy volume: 5596.01, Sell volume: 4446.66, Average price: 0.8868, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543221
Question: Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39954.48382
Price History:
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.2550
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.2550
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.1200
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.2700
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0195
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.0155
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0145
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.0040
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0105
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0095
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0160
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.0160
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0225
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0235
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0225
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.0225
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0225
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0220
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.0220
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0225
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0275
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0265
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0265
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0285
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0280
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0310
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0320
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0295
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0295
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0310
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0310
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0295
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0310
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0310
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0290
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0235
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0290
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0310
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0320
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0330
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0315
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0330
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0325
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0320
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0330
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0305
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0305
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0330
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 7704.68, Sell volume: 1280.12, Average price: 0.6694, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543221
Question: Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39954.48382
Price History:
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0305
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0350
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.0350
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0350
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0345
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0360
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.0360
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0360
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0360
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0365
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0365
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0350
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0365
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0360
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0365
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0360
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0360
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0360
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0355
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0355
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0350
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0360
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0335
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0355
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0320
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0255
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0255
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0255
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0300
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0305
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0310
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0505
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0575
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0475
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0410
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0435
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0595
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0420
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0325
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0390
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0395
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0395
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0430
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0425
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0405
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.0405
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1078.70, Sell volume: 165.95, Average price: 0.4244, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9773

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543221
Question: Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39954.48382
Price History:
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0350
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0345
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0380
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0345
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0360
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0345
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0345
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0385
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0345
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.0380
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0345
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0430
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0360
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0365
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0375
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0385
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0345
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0345
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0370
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0430
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0410
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0380
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0505
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0510
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0500
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0505
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0500
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0500
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0500
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0460
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0320
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0280
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0345
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.0270
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0280
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0395
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0310
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0280
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0320
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0300
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0275
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0305
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0325
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0300
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0355
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0300
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0300
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0295
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0300
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 62.38, Sell volume: 792.06, Average price: 0.4359, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.9670

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543221
Question: Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39954.48382
Price History:
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0355
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0390
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0350
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0310
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0275
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0355
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0350
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0350
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0300
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0350
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0350
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0330
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0285
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0295
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0310
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0320
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.0275
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.0275
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0375
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.0300
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0325
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0275
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0275
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0295
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0270
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0265
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0335
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0265
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0235
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.0235
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0230
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.0215
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.0215
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.0215
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0215
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0215
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0215
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0215
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0215
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.0230
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0215
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.0230
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0215
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0225
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0210
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0215
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0170
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0170
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0150
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 31.76, Sell volume: 3132.36, Average price: 0.5671, Price range: 0.0118 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543221
Question: Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39954.48382
Price History:
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0110
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0110
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.0110
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0110
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0140
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0135
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0130
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.0145
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0145
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0150
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0145
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0170
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.0155
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0160
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0155
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0155
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0180
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0160
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0155
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.0180
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0155
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0160
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.0175
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0160
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0155
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0155
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0160
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.0170
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.0175
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.0160
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0155
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0175
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0180
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0165
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0170
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0185
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0165
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0180
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0180
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.0175
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0175
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0185
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0175
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0185
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0175
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0170
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0165
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0085
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0080
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 303.82, Sell volume: 2702.02, Average price: 0.5550, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543221
Question: Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39954.48382
Price History:
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0100
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0100
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0105
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0090
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0100
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0080
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0080
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0095
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0090
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0085
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0090
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0090
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0090
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0095
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0080
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0090
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0090
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0075
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0075
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0075
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0075
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0095
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0065
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0090
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0105
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0095
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0100
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0100
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0105
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.0080
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.0100
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0080
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0085
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.0085
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.0100
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0090
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.0095
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0085
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.0115
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.0120
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0120
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.0120
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0120
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0120
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0095
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0105
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.0100
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 113.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5048, Price range: 0.0155 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543221
Question: Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39954.48382
Price History:
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0100
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.0100
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0100
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0105
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.0115
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.0115
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0115
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.0105
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.0120
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.0120
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0120
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.0120
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0120
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0120
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0120
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0120
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.0120
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0120
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.0120
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.0120
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0120
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0120
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.0120
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.0120
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.0105
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.0110
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.0090
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.0090
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.0085
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.0085
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0085
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.0090
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0090
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.0105
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0085
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0085
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.9900
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.0100
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.0110
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.0115
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.0110
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.9915
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.9915
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9895
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.9885
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.0110
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.0110
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.0100
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.0100
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 701.65, Sell volume: 16.66, Average price: 0.9422, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543221
Question: Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39954.48382
Price History:
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0105
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.0105
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.9885
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.9900
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.0100
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9900
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.0100
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0085
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0115
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.0085
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.9915
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.9910
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.9915
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9900
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0080
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0100
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.0080
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.0100
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0100
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.0080
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0090
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0085
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.9890
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.9915
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.9895
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9915
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.0105
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.9885
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9915
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9895
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.9900
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.0105
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.0105
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.9895
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.9895
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9895
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.9885
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.9885
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.9890
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.0090
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0080
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.9915
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.9900
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.9910
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.9915
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.9915
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.0090
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.9905
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.9910
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 26.01, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.6647, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543221
Question: Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39954.48382
Price History:
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.9905
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.9915
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0095
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.9885
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.0105
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.0115
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0115
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.9895
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.9895
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.0105
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9900
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.9915
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.9915
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9900
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9900
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.0085
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.9930
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9925
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9920
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.9915
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9915
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9910
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0100
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0085
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0080
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0085
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0080
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0080
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0090
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0085
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0100
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0100
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0100
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0105
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9920
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0100
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9900
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0100
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0085
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0100
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0105
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9915
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9895
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9895
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9895
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9895
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 374.88, Sell volume: 34.48, Average price: 0.6006, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543221
Question: Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39954.48382
Price History:
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0105
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9895
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0100
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9915
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0085
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9895
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0100
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0090
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0090
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0090
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9910
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0090
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0090
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0090
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9915
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9915
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9915
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9915
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9915
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0085
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0075
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0080
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0080
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0070
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9925
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9920
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0080
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9930
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9920
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0080
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9930
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9915
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9915
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0085
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0080
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9920
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9925
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0075
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0075
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9950
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0050
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0055
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.9955
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.9960
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 2661.02, Sell volume: 918.31, Average price: 0.9353, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543221
Question: Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39954.48382
Price History:
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0050
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9960
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9955
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0045
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0045
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0045
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0045
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9955
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0045
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0045
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0045
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0045
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.0045
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0050
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0050
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0050
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0050
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0050
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9950
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9950
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9950
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9955
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9955
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9955
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9955
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0100
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 4281.41, Sell volume: 4780.57, Average price: 0.9458, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543221
Question: Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39954.48382
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0105
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9890
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0045
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1894.79, Sell volume: 2173.10, Average price: 0.8557, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543221
Question: Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39954.48382
Price History:
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 2024.68, Sell volume: 2680.04, Average price: 0.8563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543221
Question: Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 39954.48382
Price History:
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.2550
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.2550
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0195
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.0160
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.0115
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0095
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0160
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0225
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0225
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.0225
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0220
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0225
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0265
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0265
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0280
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0320
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.0290
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0310
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0295
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0310
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0290
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0265
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0325
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0330
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0315
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0315
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0330
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0325
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 7704.68, Sell volume: 1280.12, Average price: 0.6694, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543221
Question: Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 39954.48382
Price History:
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0305
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.0350
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0350
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0360
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0365
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0365
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0365
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0360
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0360
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0360
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0360
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0360
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0365
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0335
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0320
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0255
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0255
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0310
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0310
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0575
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0325
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0545
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0420
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0315
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0400
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0430
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0375
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1078.70, Sell volume: 165.95, Average price: 0.4244, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9773
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543221
Question: Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 39954.48382
Price History:
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0350
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0390
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0380
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0345
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0360
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0370
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0345
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0380
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0385
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0395
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0385
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0410
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0475
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0510
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0505
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0500
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0440
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0320
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0315
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0285
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0395
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0330
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0325
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0275
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0305
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0350
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0300
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0280
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 62.38, Sell volume: 792.06, Average price: 0.4359, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.9670
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543221
Question: Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 39954.48382
Price History:
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0355
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0370
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0280
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0355
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0350
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0300
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0350
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0280
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0310
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0320
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0275
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.0300
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0325
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.0275
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0295
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0265
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.0270
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.0235
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0230
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.0215
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0215
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0215
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0215
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0240
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0215
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0230
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0215
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0215
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.0170
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 31.76, Sell volume: 3132.36, Average price: 0.5671, Price range: 0.0118 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543221
Question: Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 39954.48382
Price History:
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0110
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0110
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0135
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0135
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0125
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.0145
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0145
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0155
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0160
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0155
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.0165
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.0170
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0155
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0155
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.0170
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0155
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0165
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0170
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0155
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0165
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0180
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0185
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0180
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.0180
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0175
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0185
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0175
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0170
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0080
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 303.82, Sell volume: 2702.02, Average price: 0.5550, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543221
Question: Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 39954.48382
Price History:
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0095
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0085
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0100
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0085
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0090
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0085
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0090
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0085
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0080
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0090
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0075
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0095
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0090
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0090
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.0080
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0080
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0105
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.0090
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.0075
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.0085
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.0085
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0090
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.0115
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.0120
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.0120
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0120
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.0105
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 113.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5048, Price range: 0.0155 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543221
Question: Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 39954.48382
Price History:
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0100
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.0100
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0115
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.0115
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.0105
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.0120
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0120
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.0120
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0120
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0120
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.0120
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.0120
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0120
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.0120
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.0105
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.0110
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0090
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0080
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0085
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0080
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.0085
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0085
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0090
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.0100
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.0110
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.9885
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9885
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.0110
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.0100
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 701.65, Sell volume: 16.66, Average price: 0.9422, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes