Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.15, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 413.09, Sell volume: 66.70, Average price: 0.7817, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 413.09, Sell volume: 66.70, Average price: 0.7817, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 226.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 22.58, Sell volume: 5.43, Average price: 0.9233, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 54.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.75, Sell volume: 22.57, Average price: 0.9167, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 32.25, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 413.09, Sell volume: 66.70, Average price: 0.7817, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 413.09, Sell volume: 66.70, Average price: 0.7817, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 413.09, Sell volume: 66.70, Average price: 0.7817, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.4750
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5100
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5100
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 3.23, Sell volume: 4.30, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.15, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 413.09, Sell volume: 66.70, Average price: 0.7817, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 413.09, Sell volume: 66.70, Average price: 0.7817, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 226.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 22.58, Sell volume: 5.43, Average price: 0.9233, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 54.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.75, Sell volume: 22.57, Average price: 0.9167, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 32.25, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 413.09, Sell volume: 66.70, Average price: 0.7817, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 413.09, Sell volume: 66.70, Average price: 0.7817, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 413.09, Sell volume: 66.70, Average price: 0.7817, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.4950
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5100
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.4900
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.5150
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 472.61, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7843, Price range: 0.0857 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 472.61, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7843, Price range: 0.0857 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 472.61, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7843, Price range: 0.0857 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 472.61, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7843, Price range: 0.0857 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 226.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 472.61, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7843, Price range: 0.0857 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 472.61, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7843, Price range: 0.0857 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 246.35, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.0857 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 472.61, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7843, Price range: 0.0857 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 472.61, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7843, Price range: 0.0857 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 472.61, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7843, Price range: 0.0857 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 472.61, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7843, Price range: 0.0857 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 472.61, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7843, Price range: 0.0857 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.4950
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5100
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.4900
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 472.61, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7843, Price range: 0.0857 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 472.61, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7843, Price range: 0.0857 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 472.61, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7843, Price range: 0.0857 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 472.61, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7843, Price range: 0.0857 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 226.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 472.61, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7843, Price range: 0.0857 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 472.61, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7843, Price range: 0.0857 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 246.35, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.0857 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 472.61, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7843, Price range: 0.0857 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 472.61, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7843, Price range: 0.0857 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 472.61, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7843, Price range: 0.0857 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 472.61, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7843, Price range: 0.0857 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630977
Question: Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 473.677642
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 472.61, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7843, Price range: 0.0857 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623707
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3209.600852
Price History:
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4950
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5050
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5250
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.4750
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5050
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.4950
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.6700
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.3300
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.6800
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.4050
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.4050
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.4050
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.4050
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.4050
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.4150
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.5850
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.5700
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.4300
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.4300
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.5700
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.6100
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.3900
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.6050
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.3950
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.4050
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.6000
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 711.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7437, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623707
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3209.600852
Price History:
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.4000
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.6000
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.4000
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.6000
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.4000
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.6050
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.3950
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.3950
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.6050
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.5850
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.4150
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.5850
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.4150
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.4200
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.5800
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.5800
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.4200
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.5850
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.4150
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.6150
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.3850
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.6150
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.3850
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.6000
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.4000
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.6000
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.4000
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.5900
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.4100
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.6200
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.3800
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.6200
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.3800
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.3800
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.6200
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.6200
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.3800
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.6200
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.3800
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.3750
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.6250
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.6250
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.3750
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.6250
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.3750
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.6250
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.3750
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.6250
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.3750
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 32.70, Sell volume: 2.00, Average price: 0.5927, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623707
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3209.600852
Price History:
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.3800
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.6200
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.3800
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.6200
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.3800
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.6200
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.3800
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.6200
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.6150
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.3850
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.3650
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.6400
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.3600
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.6550
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.3450
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.6550
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.3450
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.3450
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.6550
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.6550
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.3450
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.6550
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.3450
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.6550
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.3450
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.6500
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.3500
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.6500
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.3500
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.3500
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.6500
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.6500
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.3500
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.3500
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.6500
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.3500
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 49.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4424, Price range: 0.3529 - 0.6600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623707
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3209.600852
Price History:
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.6400
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.6400
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.3600
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.3600
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.6400
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.3600
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.6400
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.3600
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.6400
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.6450
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.3550
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.3550
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.6450
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.6450
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.3550
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.3550
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.6450
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.3550
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.6450
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.6450
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.3550
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.3550
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.6450
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.6450
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.6450
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.3550
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.6450
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.3550
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.3550
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.6450
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.3550
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.6450
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.3600
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.6400
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.3600
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.6400
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.3650
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.6350
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.3650
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.6350
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.3650
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.6350
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.3650
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.6350
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.6300
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.3700
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.3700
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.6300
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 16.83, Sell volume: 181.27, Average price: 0.4840, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623707
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3209.600852
Price History:
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.3700
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.6300
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.6300
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.3700
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.3700
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.3700
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.3700
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.3700
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.3700
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.3700
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.3700
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.3700
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.3700
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.3700
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.3700
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.3700
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.3700
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.3700
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.3700
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.3700
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.6250
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.3750
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.6250
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.3750
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.6250
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.3750
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.6250
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.3750
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.6250
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.3750
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.3750
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.6250
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.3750
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4.72, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3800, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.3800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623707
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3209.600852
Price History:
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.6250
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.3750
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.6250
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.3750
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.6250
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.3750
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.6250
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.3750
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.6250
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.3750
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.6250
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 146.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5880, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6822

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623707
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3209.600852
Price History:
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.6600
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.3400
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.5600
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.4400
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.5600
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.4400
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.5450
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.4550
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.4500
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.5500
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.4500
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.5500
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.5450
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.4550
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.5450
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.4550
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.4550
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.5450
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.5450
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.4550
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.5450
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.4550
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.5450
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.4550
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.5450
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.4550
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.5450
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.4550
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.5450
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.4550
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.4750
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.5250
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.5250
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.4750
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.5250
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.4750
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.3700
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.6300
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.3700
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.6300
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.3700
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.6300
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.3700
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.6300
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.3700
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.6300
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.3750
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 71.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6625, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623707
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3209.600852
Price History:
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.5350
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.5350
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.4650
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.5350
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.4650
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.4650
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.5350
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.4650
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.5350
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.4650
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.5350
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.4650
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.5350
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.4650
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.5350
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.5350
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.4650
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.4650
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.5350
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.5350
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.4650
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.5350
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.4650
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.4650
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.5350
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.4650
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.5350
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.4650
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.5350
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.5350
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.4650
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.5350
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.4650
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.4650
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.5350
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.4650
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.5350
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.4650
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.5350
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.5300
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.4700
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.4700
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.5300
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.5300
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.4700
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.5300
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.4700
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 2949.03, Sell volume: 260.57, Average price: 0.6076, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623707
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3209.600852
Price History:
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.2900
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.7100
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.7100
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.2900
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.7100
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.2900
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.7100
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.2900
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.7000
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.3000
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.3000
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.7000
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.7000
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.3000
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.7000
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.3000
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.7000
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.3000
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.7000
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.3000
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.7000
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.3000
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.3000
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.7000
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.7000
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.3000
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.3000
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.7000
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.3000
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.7000
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.3000
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 69.24, Sell volume: 3.19, Average price: 0.4433, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623707
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3209.600852
Price History:
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.7000
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.3000
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.7000
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.3000
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.7000
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.3000
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.7000
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.3000
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.7000
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.3000
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.7000
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.3000
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.7000
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.3000
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.7000
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.3000
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.7000
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.3000
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.7000
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.3000
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.7000
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.7000
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.3000
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.7000
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.3000
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.2850
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.2850
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.2850
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.2850
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.2850
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.2750
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.7250
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.7250
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.2750
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.7250
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.2750
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.7250
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.2750
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.2750
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.7250
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.7250
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.2750
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 42.21, Average price: 0.2600, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.2700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623707
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3209.600852
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.7250
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.2750
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.7250
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.2750
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.7250
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.2750
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.7250
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.7250
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.2750
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.7150
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 47.47, Sell volume: 30.30, Average price: 0.3050, Price range: 0.2576 - 0.3323

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623707
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3209.600852
Price History:
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.5550
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.5550
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.4450
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.4450
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.5550
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.5550
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.4450
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.4450
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.5550
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.5550
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.4450
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.5550
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.4450
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.5550
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.4450
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.4450
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.5550
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.5550
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.4450
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.4450
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.5550
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.5550
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.4450
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.5450
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.4550
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.4550
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.5450
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.5450
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.4550
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.5450
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.4550
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.5450
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.4550
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.4550
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.5450
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.4550
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.5450
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.4550
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.5450
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.4550
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.5450
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.4550
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.5450
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.4550
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.5450
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.4550
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.5450
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.38, Sell volume: 1.60, Average price: 0.4550, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.6300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623707
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3209.600852
Price History:
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.4500
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.5500
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.4500
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.5500
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.4500
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.5500
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.4500
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.5500
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.4500
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.5500
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.4500
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.5500
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.4500
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.5500
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.4500
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.5500
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.4500
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.5500
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.4500
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.5500
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.4500
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.5500
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.4500
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.5500
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.4500
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.5500
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.4500
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.5500
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.4500
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.5500
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.4500
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.5500
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.4500
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.5500
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.4500
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.5500
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.4350
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.5650
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.4350
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.5650
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.4400
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.5600
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.3700
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.6300
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.3700
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.6300
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.3700
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.6300
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.4000
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1405.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6490, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623707
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3209.600852
Price History:
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4950
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5250
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5050
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.6700
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.3200
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.4050
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.4150
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.5700
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.4300
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.6100
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.6050
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.6000
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.6000
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.4150
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.4150
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 711.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7437, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623707
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3209.600852
Price History:
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.4000
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.4000
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.4000
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.3950
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.6050
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.4150
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.4150
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.5800
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.4200
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.4150
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.3850
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.3850
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.4000
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.4000
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.4100
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.3800
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.3800
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.6200
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.3800
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.3800
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.6250
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.3750
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.3750
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.3750
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.3750
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.3750
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.3750
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.3750
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.6250
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 32.70, Sell volume: 2.00, Average price: 0.5927, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623707
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3209.600852
Price History:
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.3800
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.3800
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.3800
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.3800
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.6150
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.6400
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.6550
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.6550
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.3450
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.6550
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.6550
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.6550
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.6500
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.6500
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.3500
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.6500
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.3500
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.3500
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.3500
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.3550
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.3550
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.6400
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 49.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4424, Price range: 0.3529 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623707
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3209.600852
Price History:
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.6400
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.3600
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.6400
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.6400
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.6400
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.3550
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.6450
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.3550
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.6450
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.6450
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.3550
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.6450
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.3550
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.3550
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.6450
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.6450
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.6400
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.6400
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.6350
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.6350
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.6350
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.6350
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.3700
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.6300
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.6300
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.6300
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.6300
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.3700
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 16.83, Sell volume: 181.27, Average price: 0.4840, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623707
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3209.600852
Price History:
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.3700
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.6300
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.3700
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.3700
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.3700
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.3700
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.3700
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.3700
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.6300
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.3700
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.6250
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.6250
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.6250
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.6250
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.6250
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.3750
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.3750
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.6250
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4.72, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3800, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.3800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623707
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3209.600852
Price History:
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.6250
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.6250
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.6250
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.6250
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.6250
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.6250
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.6250
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.6250
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.6250
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.6250
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 146.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5880, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6822
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623707
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3209.600852
Price History:
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.6600
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.5600
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.5600
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.5450
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.4500
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.4500
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.5450
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.5450
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.4550
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.5450
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.5450
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.5450
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.5450
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.5450
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.5450
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.4750
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.5250
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.5250
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.3700
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.3700
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.3700
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.3700
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.3700
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.3750
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.3750
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.3800
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.3800
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.3800
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 71.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6625, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No