Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0370
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9630
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0335
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9665
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0340
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9660
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0340
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9660
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0340
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9660
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0340
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9660
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0340
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9660
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0335
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9665
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0310
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9690
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0220
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9780
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0210
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9790
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0210
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9790
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9795
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9795
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0170
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 3683.91, Sell volume: 3692.52, Average price: 0.8602, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0165
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9835
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0165
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9835
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0165
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9835
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0165
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9835
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0165
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9835
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0130
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9870
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0145
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9855
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0140
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9860
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0105
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9895
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0090
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9910
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 2638.39, Sell volume: 631.01, Average price: 0.9538, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 792.44, Sell volume: 9470.15, Average price: 0.7475, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0115
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9885
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9930
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 633.88, Sell volume: 1839.78, Average price: 0.9391, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 376.67, Sell volume: 1478.15, Average price: 0.8967, Price range: 0.0059 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.3750
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.6250
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.4750
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5250
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5250
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.4750
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5150
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.4850
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.4500
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5500
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5500
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.4500
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5500
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.4500
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5450
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4550
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5450
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.4550
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.4400
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5600
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.4050
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5950
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.3950
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.6050
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.6550
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.3450
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.3550
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.6450
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.3550
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.6450
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.3750
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.6250
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5950
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.4050
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5950
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.4050
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5950
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4050
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5950
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4050
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.4150
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5850
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4450
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5550
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1584.55, Sell volume: 18.21, Average price: 0.5321, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6954

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.5900
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.4100
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.5900
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.4100
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.5950
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.4050
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.4650
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.5350
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.3350
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.6650
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.3650
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.6350
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.3750
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.3750
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.3650
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.6350
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.3600
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.6400
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.3750
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.3750
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.3700
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.6300
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.3650
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.6350
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.6350
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.3650
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.6350
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.3650
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.6350
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.3650
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.3750
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.3700
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.6300
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.3600
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.6400
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.3600
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.6400
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 2785.64, Sell volume: 561.74, Average price: 0.5199, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.7300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.6450
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.4050
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.5950
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.3650
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.6350
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.3600
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.6400
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.3650
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.6350
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.3600
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.6400
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.6350
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.3650
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.3750
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.6250
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.6250
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.3750
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.6650
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 4911.68, Sell volume: 1977.96, Average price: 0.5314, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6740

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.6650
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.3350
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.7700
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.2300
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.7350
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.2950
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.7050
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.7100
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.2900
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.2900
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.7100
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.2950
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.7050
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.3450
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.6550
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.3550
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.6450
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.6550
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.3450
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.7000
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.3000
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.7050
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.2750
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.7250
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.2750
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.7250
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.2750
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.7250
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.2750
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.7250
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.6900
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.3100
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.6850
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.2450
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.7550
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.7550
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.2450
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.2550
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.7450
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.2450
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 5521.88, Sell volume: 150.28, Average price: 0.4909, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.7100
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.2900
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.6900
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.3100
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.6900
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.3100
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.3100
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.6900
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.3100
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.6900
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.2900
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.7100
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.2850
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.7150
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.2850
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.7150
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.2850
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.7150
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.2850
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.7150
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.6500
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.3300
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.6700
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.3200
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.6800
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.6950
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.7050
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.2950
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.2850
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.7150
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.7250
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 2158.57, Sell volume: 1883.42, Average price: 0.5265, Price range: 0.2096 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.8050
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1950
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.7900
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.2100
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1800
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.8200
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.1800
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.8200
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.1950
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.8050
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.8200
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.1800
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.8250
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.1750
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.8550
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.1450
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.8550
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.1450
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.8600
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.1400
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.1400
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.8600
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.1400
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.8600
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1300
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.8800
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.1200
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1200
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.8800
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1200
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.8800
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1250
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.8800
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1200
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.8800
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.1200
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.8800
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.1200
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.8450
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 2211.71, Sell volume: 3027.01, Average price: 0.6910, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.1250
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1250
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.8650
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.1350
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.1200
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.1300
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.1700
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.8300
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.1650
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.8350
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.8150
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.8150
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.1750
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.1700
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.8300
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.1900
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.8100
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.1950
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.8050
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.1950
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.8050
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.1950
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.8050
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.1950
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.8050
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.1950
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.8050
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.7950
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.2050
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.2000
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.8000
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.2000
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.8000
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.8400
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.1600
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.8400
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.1600
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.1600
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 5036.70, Sell volume: 919.57, Average price: 0.5394, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8650
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.8650
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1550
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.8450
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1550
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8450
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1550
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8450
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.1550
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.8450
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.1550
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.8450
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.1350
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.8650
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.1300
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.8700
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.1300
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.8700
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.1200
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.8800
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.1350
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8650
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.1350
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.8650
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.1300
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.8700
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.1300
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.8700
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.1300
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 6913.68, Sell volume: 128.61, Average price: 0.6596, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9450
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0555
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9445
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0550
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.8500
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.1500
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.8400
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.1600
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.8595
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.1405
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9405
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0595
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9385
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0615
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9410
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0590
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9540
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0460
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0505
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9495
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0470
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9530
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0460
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9540
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0460
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9540
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0460
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9540
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9540
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0460
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9645
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 6207.00, Sell volume: 3422.16, Average price: 0.7879, Price range: 0.0405 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9645
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0355
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0355
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9645
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0360
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9640
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0355
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9645
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9635
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0365
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0360
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9640
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0355
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9645
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0360
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9640
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9645
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0355
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9645
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0355
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0440
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9560
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9565
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0435
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0575
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9425
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9460
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0540
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0545
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9455
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0545
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9455
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9605
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0395
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9650
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0350
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9625
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0375
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0375
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9625
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0375
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9625
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0495
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9505
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9505
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0495
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0495
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9505
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0490
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 6973.35, Sell volume: 1027.83, Average price: 0.8072, Price range: 0.0322 - 0.9690

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0440
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9560
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0490
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9510
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0445
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9555
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0430
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9570
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0425
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9575
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0420
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9580
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9575
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0425
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9570
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0430
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9560
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0440
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9565
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0435
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9575
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0425
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0425
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9575
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0400
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9600
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0410
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9590
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0415
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9585
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0420
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9580
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0420
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9580
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0420
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9580
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0415
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9585
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0415
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9585
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0330
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9670
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9660
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0340
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0350
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9650
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9655
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0345
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0340
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 11140.75, Sell volume: 675.06, Average price: 0.9060, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.9880

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0160
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9840
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9840
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0160
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9840
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0290
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9710
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0265
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9740
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0260
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9750
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0250
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0250
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9750
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0250
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9750
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0250
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9750
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9760
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0240
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0240
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9760
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9840
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0185
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9815
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9840
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9910
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9905
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9905
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9905
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9915
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0085
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9905
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9905
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0080
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 18467.49, Sell volume: 8276.43, Average price: 0.7891, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9915
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0085
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9915
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0080
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0080
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9910
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0080
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0080
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0080
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9705
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 138, Buy volume: 66276.03, Sell volume: 27105.78, Average price: 0.7144, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.3750
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.4750
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5250
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5150
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.4500
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5500
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5500
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5450
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5450
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.4400
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.4050
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.3950
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.6550
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.3550
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.3550
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.3750
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5950
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5950
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5950
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5950
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.4150
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4450
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.5600
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.5900
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.5400
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1584.55, Sell volume: 18.21, Average price: 0.5321, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6954
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.5900
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.5900
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.5950
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.4650
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.3350
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.3650
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.3650
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.3600
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.3750
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.3750
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.3700
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.3650
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.6350
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.6350
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.6350
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.3750
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.3700
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.3600
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.3600
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 2785.64, Sell volume: 561.74, Average price: 0.5199, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.4050
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.3650
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.3600
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.3650
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.3600
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.6350
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.3750
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.6250
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.6650
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.3400
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.3450
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.3350
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 4911.68, Sell volume: 1977.96, Average price: 0.5314, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.6650
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.7700
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.7350
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.2950
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.7100
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.2900
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.2950
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.3450
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.3550
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.6550
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.7000
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.7050
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.2750
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.2750
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.2750
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.2750
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.6900
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.2450
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.7550
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.2550
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.2450
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.2600
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.2850
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.2950
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.7000
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 5521.88, Sell volume: 150.28, Average price: 0.4909, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.7100
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.6900
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.6900
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.3100
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.3100
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.2900
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.2850
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.2850
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.2850
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.2850
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.3300
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.3200
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.6950
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.7050
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.2850
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.7250
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.2600
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.2100
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 2158.57, Sell volume: 1883.42, Average price: 0.5265, Price range: 0.2096 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.8050
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.7900
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1800
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.1800
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.1950
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.8200
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.8250
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.8550
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.8550
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.8600
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.1400
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.1400
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1300
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.8800
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1200
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1200
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1250
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.8800
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.8800
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.8450
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.2000
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.8050
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.8350
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.8350
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 2211.71, Sell volume: 3027.01, Average price: 0.6910, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1250
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.8650
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.1700
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.1650
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.1750
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.1700
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.1900
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.1950
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.1950
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.1950
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.1950
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.1950
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.7950
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.2000
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.2000
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.8400
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.8400
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.1600
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.8600
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.8600
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 5036.70, Sell volume: 919.57, Average price: 0.5394, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1550
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1550
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1550
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.1550
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.1550
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.1350
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.1300
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.1300
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.1200
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.1350
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.1350
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.1300
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.1300
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.1300
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.8500
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.1350
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 6913.68, Sell volume: 128.61, Average price: 0.6596, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0550
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0555
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.8500
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.8400
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.8595
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9405
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9385
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9410
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9540
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0505
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0470
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0460
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0460
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0460
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9540
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9645
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0350
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0350
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 6207.00, Sell volume: 3422.16, Average price: 0.7879, Price range: 0.0405 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9645
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0355
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0360
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0355
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9635
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0360
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0355
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0360
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9645
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9645
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0440
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9565
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0575
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9460
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0545
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0545
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9605
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9650
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9625
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0375
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0375
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0495
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9505
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0495
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0490
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0470
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0470
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0470
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0460
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 6973.35, Sell volume: 1027.83, Average price: 0.8072, Price range: 0.0322 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0440
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0490
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0445
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0430
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0425
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0420
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9575
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9570
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9560
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9565
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9575
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0425
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0400
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0410
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0415
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0420
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0420
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0420
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0415
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0415
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0330
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9660
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0350
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9655
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0340
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9675
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0325
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0325
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9675
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 11140.75, Sell volume: 675.06, Average price: 0.9060, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0160
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9840
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0160
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0290
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9740
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9750
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0250
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0250
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0250
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9760
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0240
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0185
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9905
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9915
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9905
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9905
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0080
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0085
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9910
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 18467.49, Sell volume: 8276.43, Average price: 0.7891, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657352
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Volume: 207629.652417
Price History:
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0085
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0080
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0080
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0080
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9705
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9420
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.6800
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7995
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 138, Buy volume: 66276.03, Sell volume: 27105.78, Average price: 0.7144, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.7850
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.2150
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.8450
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.1550
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.1500
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.8450
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.1550
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.1500
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.1500
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.1500
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.1500
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.1500
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.8450
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.1550
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.1500
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.8500
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.1500
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.8500
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.1500
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.8550
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.1450
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.8550
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.1450
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.8600
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.1400
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.8800
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.1200
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.8800
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.1200
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.8800
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.1200
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.8850
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.1150
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.1100
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.1100
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.8850
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.1150
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.1100
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 136.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5525, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.1600
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.8450
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.1550
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.8650
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.8650
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.8650
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.8650
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.8650
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.8650
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.8650
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.8650
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.8650
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.8650
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.8650
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.8650
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.8650
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.8500
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.1500
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.8450
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.1550
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.8450
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.1550
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.8450
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.1550
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.8450
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.1550
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.8450
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.1550
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.8450
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.1550
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.8600
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.1400
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.8600
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.1400
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.8600
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.1400
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 111.03, Sell volume: 20.95, Average price: 0.7460, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.8850
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.8750
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.1250
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.8850
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.8850
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.8850
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.8850
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.8800
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.1200
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.8850
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.8850
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.8850
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.8850
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.8900
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.1100
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.9050
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.0950
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.9100
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.0900
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.9050
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.0950
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.9050
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0950
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.9000
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.1000
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.9000
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.1000
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.8950
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.1050
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.8850
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.8850
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.8850
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.8750
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.1250
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.8750
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.1250
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.8850
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1334.36, Sell volume: 24.98, Average price: 0.8422, Price range: 0.1484 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.1150
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.8800
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.1200
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.8750
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.1250
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.8900
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.1100
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.8800
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.1200
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.8800
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.1200
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.8600
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.1400
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.8550
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.1450
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.8600
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.1400
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.8600
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.1400
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.8650
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.1350
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.8650
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.1350
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.8850
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.1150
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.8850
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.1150
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.8850
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.1150
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.8850
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.1150
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.8950
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.1050
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.8950
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.1050
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.9000
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.1000
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.9000
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.1000
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.9000
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.1000
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.9000
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.1000
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.9100
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.0900
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.9050
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0950
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.9050
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.0950
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1843.96, Sell volume: 442.81, Average price: 0.6614, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.8800
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.1200
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.8800
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.1200
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.8800
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.1200
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.8800
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.1200
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.8800
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.1200
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.8900
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.1100
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.8900
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.1100
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.8950
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.1050
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.9000
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.1000
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.9000
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.1000
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.9000
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.1000
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.9000
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.1000
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.9000
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.1000
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.8950
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.1050
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.9000
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.1000
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.9000
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.1000
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.9000
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.1000
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.9000
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.1000
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.9100
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.0900
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.9000
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.1000
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.9000
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.1000
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.8900
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.1100
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.8900
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.1100
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.8900
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.1100
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.8850
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1088.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2775, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.8450
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.8450
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.8250
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.1750
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.8200
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.1800
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.8150
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.1850
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.7800
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.2200
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.7700
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.2300
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.7400
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.2600
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.2450
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.2450
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.2450
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.2450
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.7650
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.2350
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.7600
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.2400
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.7650
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.2350
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.2450
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.2450
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.2450
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.2450
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1109.75, Sell volume: 75.00, Average price: 0.7028, Price range: 0.2394 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.7600
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.2400
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.7700
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.2300
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.7700
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.2300
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.7700
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.2300
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.7700
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.2300
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.7700
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.2300
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.7700
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.2300
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.7700
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.2300
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.7700
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.2300
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.7750
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.2250
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.7750
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.2250
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.7750
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.2250
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.7800
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.2200
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.7800
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.2200
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.7800
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.2200
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.7800
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.2200
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.7800
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.2200
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.7850
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.2150
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.7850
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.2150
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.7900
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.2100
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.7900
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.2100
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.7900
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.2100
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.7900
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.2100
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.7950
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.2050
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.8000
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7900, Price range: 0.7900 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.1900
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.8100
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.1900
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.8150
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.1850
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.8300
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.1700
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.8050
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.1950
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.2000
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.2000
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.2000
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.2000
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.2000
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.2000
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.7900
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.2100
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.7950
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.2050
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.7950
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.2050
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.7850
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.2150
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.7850
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.2150
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.7800
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.2200
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.7800
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.2200
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.7850
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.2150
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.7900
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.2100
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.7950
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.2050
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.7900
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.2100
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.7850
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.2150
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.7850
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.2150
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.7850
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.2150
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 119.99, Average price: 0.7833, Price range: 0.7700 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.7650
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.2350
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.7800
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.2200
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.7750
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.7800
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.2200
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.7750
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.7750
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.7750
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.7850
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.2150
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.7850
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.2150
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.7850
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.2150
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.7900
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.2100
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.7900
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.2100
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.7850
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.2150
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.7900
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.2100
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.7900
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.2100
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.2100
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.7900
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.2100
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.7900
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.2100
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.7900
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.2100
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.7900
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.2100
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.7900
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.2100
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.7900
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.7900
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.2100
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.7900
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.2100
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.2200
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.7800
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.2200
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 110.00, Sell volume: 1.13, Average price: 0.7850, Price range: 0.7700 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.1900
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.1900
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.8100
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.1800
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.8200
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.8200
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.1800
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.1800
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.8200
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.1800
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.8200
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.8200
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.1800
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.1800
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.8200
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.1800
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.8200
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.8200
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.1800
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.1750
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.1750
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.8250
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.1750
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.8250
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.1750
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.8250
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.1750
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.8250
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.1750
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.1750
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.8250
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.1750
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.8250
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.8300
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.1700
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.1700
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.8300
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.1650
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.1650
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.8300
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.1700
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.1750
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.8250
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.1700
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.8300
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 105.45, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.1608, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.1900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.8200
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.1800
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.1800
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.8200
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.8200
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.1800
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.1800
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.8200
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.8200
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.1800
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.8300
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.1700
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.8300
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.1700
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.1750
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.8250
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.1750
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.8250
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1473.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8567, Price range: 0.8400 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.8600
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.1100
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.8900
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.1100
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.8900
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.0800
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9200
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0800
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9200
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.0800
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9200
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.0350
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.9650
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0350
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9650
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.0350
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9650
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9660
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0340
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.0315
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.9685
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.0350
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.9650
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9610
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0390
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.9595
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.0405
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.9595
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0405
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9605
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.0395
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.9600
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0400
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.9535
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.0465
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9545
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0455
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.0450
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.9550
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.9365
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.0635
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9465
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.0535
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0690
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.9310
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.9435
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0565
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.9435
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0565
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 4147.77, Sell volume: 744.29, Average price: 0.3718, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.8715
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.1285
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.8720
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.1280
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.8895
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.1105
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.8795
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.1205
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.8930
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.1070
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.8990
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.1010
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.8965
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.1035
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.1040
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.8960
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.0945
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9055
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0895
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.9105
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0875
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9125
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9110
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0890
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.0890
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.9110
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.9190
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0810
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9160
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0840
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0820
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9180
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9030
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.0970
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.9030
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.0970
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.1070
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.8930
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9015
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.0985
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.9065
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.0935
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0855
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9145
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.9170
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.0830
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.9270
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 12673.89, Sell volume: 12444.13, Average price: 0.4639, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.7850
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.8450
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.8450
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.8450
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.8500
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.8500
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.8500
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.8550
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.8550
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.8600
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.8800
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.8800
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.8800
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.8850
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.8850
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 136.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5525, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.1600
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.1550
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.1500
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.1550
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.1550
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.1550
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.1550
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.1550
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.1550
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.1400
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.1400
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.1400
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.1400
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.1400
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.1350
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.1350
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 111.03, Sell volume: 20.95, Average price: 0.7460, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.8850
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.8750
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.8850
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.8850
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.8850
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.8850
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.8800
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.8850
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.8850
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.8850
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.8850
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.8900
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.9050
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.9100
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.9050
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.9050
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.9000
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.9000
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.8950
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.8850
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.8850
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.8850
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.8750
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.8750
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.8850
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.8850
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.8850
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.8850
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.8850
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1334.36, Sell volume: 24.98, Average price: 0.8422, Price range: 0.1484 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.1150
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.1200
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.1250
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.1100
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.1200
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.1200
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.1400
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.1450
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.1400
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.1400
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.1350
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.1350
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.1150
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.1150
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.1150
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.1150
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.1050
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.1050
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.1000
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.1000
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.1000
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.1000
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.0900
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0950
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.0950
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.0950
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.0950
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.0950
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.0950
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1843.96, Sell volume: 442.81, Average price: 0.6614, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.8800
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.8800
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.8800
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.8800
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.8800
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.8900
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.8900
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.8950
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.9000
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.9000
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.9000
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.9000
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.9000
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.8950
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.9000
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.9000
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.9000
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.9000
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.9100
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.9000
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.9000
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.8900
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.8900
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.8900
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.8850
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.8750
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.8700
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.8700
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.8850
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1088.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2775, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.1750
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.1800
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.1850
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.2200
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.2300
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.2600
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.2450
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.2450
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.2450
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.2450
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.2350
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.2400
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.2350
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.2450
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.2450
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.2450
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.2450
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.2450
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.2350
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.2400
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.2400
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1109.75, Sell volume: 75.00, Average price: 0.7028, Price range: 0.2394 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.7600
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.7700
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.7700
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.7700
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.7700
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.7700
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.7700
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.7700
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.7700
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.7750
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.7750
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.7750
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.7800
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.7800
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.7800
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.7800
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.7800
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.7850
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.7850
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.7900
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.7900
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.7900
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.7900
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.7950
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.8000
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.8150
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.8100
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.8100
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.8100
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7900, Price range: 0.7900 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.1900
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.1900
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.1850
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.1700
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.1950
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.2000
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.2000
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.2000
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.2000
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.2000
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.2000
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.2100
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.2050
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.2050
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.2150
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.2150
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.2200
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.2200
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.2150
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.2100
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.2050
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.2100
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.2150
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.2150
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.2150
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.2400
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.2400
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.2350
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.2350
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 119.99, Average price: 0.7833, Price range: 0.7700 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.7650
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.7800
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.7750
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.7800
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.7750
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.7750
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.7750
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.7850
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.7850
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.7850
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.7900
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.7900
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.7850
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.7900
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.7900
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.2100
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.2100
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.2100
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.2100
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.2100
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.2100
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.7900
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.7900
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.2200
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.2200
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.2200
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.2200
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.2200
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.2200
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 110.00, Sell volume: 1.13, Average price: 0.7850, Price range: 0.7700 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.1900
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.8100
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.8200
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.1800
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.8200
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.8200
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.1800
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.8200
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.8200
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.1800
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.8250
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.1750
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.1750
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.1750
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.1750
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.8250
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.8250
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.1700
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.8300
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.1650
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.1700
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.8250
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.8300
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.8300
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.1700
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.1800
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 105.45, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.1608, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.1900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.8200
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.1800
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.8200
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.1800
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.8200
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.8300
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.8300
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.1750
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.8250
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.8250
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.1700
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.1500
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.8500
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.1550
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1473.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8567, Price range: 0.8400 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.8600
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.8900
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.8900
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9200
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9200
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9200
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.9650
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9650
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9650
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0340
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.9685
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.9650
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0390
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.0405
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0405
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.0395
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0400
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.0465
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0455
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.9550
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.0635
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.0535
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.9310
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0565
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0565
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9435
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0570
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.0590
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.0595
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.0570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 4147.77, Sell volume: 744.29, Average price: 0.3718, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567493
Question: Bitcoin all time high by December 31?
Volume: 38567.634706
Price History:
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.8715
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.8720
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.8895
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.8795
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.8930
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.8990
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.8965
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.1040
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.0945
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0895
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0875
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9110
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.0890
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.9190
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9160
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0820
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9030
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.9030
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.1070
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9015
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.9065
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0855
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.9170
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.9270
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.0705
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.9215
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.9465
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.0430
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.9520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 12673.89, Sell volume: 12444.13, Average price: 0.4639, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578986
Question: Will Arne Slot be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15384.8885
Price History:
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.9300
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0700
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.9250
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.0750
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0700
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.9300
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9250
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.0750
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.9300
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9250
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.0750
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.9250
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.0750
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.9400
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.0600
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.9400
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.0600
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0600
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9400
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.0600
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.9400
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.0600
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.9400
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0600
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 12470.62, Sell volume: 2914.27, Average price: 0.8990, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578986
Question: Will Arne Slot be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15384.8885
Price History:
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.0105
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.9895
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.9890
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.0110
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.9890
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.0110
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.9890
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.0110
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.0105
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.9895
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.9895
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.0105
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.0105
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.9895
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9895
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.0105
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.9895
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0105
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9895
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0105
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.9890
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.0110
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.9890
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.0110
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.0110
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.9890
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9890
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.0110
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.9890
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.0110
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.9910
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.0090
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9910
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0090
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.9910
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.0090
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.9910
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.0090
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9910
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0090
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.0090
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.9910
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.0090
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.9910
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.9910
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.0090
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.0090
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.9910
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9910
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.7490, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578986
Question: Will Arne Slot be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15384.8885
Price History:
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.0090
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.9910
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.9910
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.0090
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.0090
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.9910
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.0090
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.9910
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.0090
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.9910
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0090
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9910
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.0090
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.9910
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9910
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.0090
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.9910
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.0090
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.0090
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.9910
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.9910
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0090
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.0090
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.9910
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9910
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0090
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9910
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0090
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.9910
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.0090
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.9910
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.0090
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9910
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.0090
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.9910
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.0090
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.9910
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.0090
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9910
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.0090
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.0090
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9910
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9910
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0090
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.0090
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.9910
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.9910
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.0090
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.9910
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 12470.62, Sell volume: 2914.27, Average price: 0.8990, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578986
Question: Will Arne Slot be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15384.8885
Price History:
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.9910
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0090
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.9910
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0090
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.9910
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.0090
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.9910
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.0090
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9910
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0090
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.9910
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.0090
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.9910
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.0090
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.0090
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.9910
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.0090
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.9910
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.9910
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0090
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.9910
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.0090
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.0090
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.9910
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.9910
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.0090
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.0090
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.9910
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.9910
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.0090
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.9910
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.0090
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9910
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0090
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0090
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9910
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.0090
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.9910
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.0085
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.9915
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.0090
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.9910
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.0090
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.9910
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.0090
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.9910
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.9910
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.0090
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9910
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 8.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578986
Question: Will Arne Slot be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15384.8885
Price History:
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.9910
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.0090
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.9910
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.0090
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.9910
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.0090
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0090
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9910
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0090
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.9910
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.0090
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.9910
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9910
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.0090
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.0060
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.9940
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0040
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.0040
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.0040
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0040
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0040
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0040
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.0040
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.0040
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0040
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.0040
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.0040
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.0040
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.0040
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0040
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.0040
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.0040
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.9970
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 59.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9977, Price range: 0.9972 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578986
Question: Will Arne Slot be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15384.8885
Price History:
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9970
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9970
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9970
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9970
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9970
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9970
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9970
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9970
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 12470.62, Sell volume: 2914.27, Average price: 0.8990, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578986
Question: Will Arne Slot be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15384.8885
Price History:
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9970
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9970
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9970
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9970
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9970
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9970
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 12470.62, Sell volume: 2914.27, Average price: 0.8990, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578986
Question: Will Arne Slot be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15384.8885
Price History:
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 12470.62, Sell volume: 2914.27, Average price: 0.8990, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578986
Question: Will Arne Slot be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15384.8885
Price History:
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 12470.62, Sell volume: 2914.27, Average price: 0.8990, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578986
Question: Will Arne Slot be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15384.8885
Price History:
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 12470.62, Sell volume: 2914.27, Average price: 0.8990, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578986
Question: Will Arne Slot be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15384.8885
Price History:
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 12470.62, Sell volume: 2914.27, Average price: 0.8990, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578986
Question: Will Arne Slot be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15384.8885
Price History:
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 6.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578986
Question: Will Arne Slot be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15384.8885
Price History:
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 2262.48, Sell volume: 527.42, Average price: 0.9344, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578986
Question: Will Arne Slot be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 15384.8885
Price History:
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.9300
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.9250
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0700
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9250
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9250
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.9250
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.9400
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.9400
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0600
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.0600
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.0600
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0600
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.0600
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.0600
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0600
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.0700
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 12470.62, Sell volume: 2914.27, Average price: 0.8990, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes