Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657126
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $525 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2724.09
Price History:
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2601.80, Sell volume: 122.29, Average price: 0.9878, Price range: 0.9342 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657126
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $525 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2724.09
Price History:
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5350
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4650
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5450
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4550
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5450
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.4550
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5450
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4550
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5450
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.4550
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2601.80, Sell volume: 122.29, Average price: 0.9878, Price range: 0.9342 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657126
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $525 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2724.09
Price History:
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5450
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.4550
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9750
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9750
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0250
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9750
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 12.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9342, Price range: 0.9342 - 0.9342

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657126
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $525 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2724.09
Price History:
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9755
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0245
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9755
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0245
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9755
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2601.80, Sell volume: 122.29, Average price: 0.9878, Price range: 0.9342 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657126
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $525 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2724.09
Price History:
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9755
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0245
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9755
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2601.80, Sell volume: 122.29, Average price: 0.9878, Price range: 0.9342 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657126
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $525 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2724.09
Price History:
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2601.80, Sell volume: 122.29, Average price: 0.9878, Price range: 0.9342 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657126
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $525 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2724.09
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9745
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0255
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9745
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0255
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9745
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0255
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2601.80, Sell volume: 122.29, Average price: 0.9878, Price range: 0.9342 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657126
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $525 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2724.09
Price History:
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9745
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9745
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0255
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9745
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0255
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9745
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2601.80, Sell volume: 122.29, Average price: 0.9878, Price range: 0.9342 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657126
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $525 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2724.09
Price History:
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9745
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0255
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2601.80, Sell volume: 122.29, Average price: 0.9878, Price range: 0.9342 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657126
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $525 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2724.09
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9895
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0105
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9810
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0190
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9815
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0185
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9815
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 122.29, Sell volume: 122.29, Average price: 0.9883, Price range: 0.9876 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657126
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $525 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2724.09
Price History:
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9815
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0185
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9815
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0185
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9815
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0185
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9815
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0185
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9805
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0195
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9805
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0195
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9805
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2601.80, Sell volume: 122.29, Average price: 0.9878, Price range: 0.9342 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657126
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $525 in November?
Volume: 2724.09
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2601.80, Sell volume: 122.29, Average price: 0.9878, Price range: 0.9342 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657126
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $525 in November?
Volume: 2724.09
Price History:
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2601.80, Sell volume: 122.29, Average price: 0.9878, Price range: 0.9342 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657126
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $525 in November?
Volume: 2724.09
Price History:
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2601.80, Sell volume: 122.29, Average price: 0.9878, Price range: 0.9342 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657126
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $525 in November?
Volume: 2724.09
Price History:
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5350
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4650
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5450
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4550
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5450
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.4550
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5450
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4550
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5450
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.4550
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2601.80, Sell volume: 122.29, Average price: 0.9878, Price range: 0.9342 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657126
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $525 in November?
Volume: 2724.09
Price History:
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5450
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.4550
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9750
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9750
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0250
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9750
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 12.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9342, Price range: 0.9342 - 0.9342
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657126
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $525 in November?
Volume: 2724.09
Price History:
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9755
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0245
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9755
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0245
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9755
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2601.80, Sell volume: 122.29, Average price: 0.9878, Price range: 0.9342 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657126
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $525 in November?
Volume: 2724.09
Price History:
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9755
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0245
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9755
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2601.80, Sell volume: 122.29, Average price: 0.9878, Price range: 0.9342 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657126
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $525 in November?
Volume: 2724.09
Price History:
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2601.80, Sell volume: 122.29, Average price: 0.9878, Price range: 0.9342 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657126
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $525 in November?
Volume: 2724.09
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9745
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0255
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9745
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0255
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9745
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0255
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2601.80, Sell volume: 122.29, Average price: 0.9878, Price range: 0.9342 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657126
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $525 in November?
Volume: 2724.09
Price History:
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9745
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9745
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0255
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9745
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0255
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9745
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2601.80, Sell volume: 122.29, Average price: 0.9878, Price range: 0.9342 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657126
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $525 in November?
Volume: 2724.09
Price History:
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9745
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0255
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2601.80, Sell volume: 122.29, Average price: 0.9878, Price range: 0.9342 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657126
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $525 in November?
Volume: 2724.09
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9895
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0105
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9810
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0190
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9815
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0185
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9815
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 122.29, Sell volume: 122.29, Average price: 0.9883, Price range: 0.9876 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657126
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $525 in November?
Volume: 2724.09
Price History:
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9815
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0185
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9815
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0185
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9815
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0185
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9815
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0185
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9805
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0195
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9805
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0195
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9805
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2601.80, Sell volume: 122.29, Average price: 0.9878, Price range: 0.9342 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 8987.00, Sell volume: 662.00, Average price: 0.6281, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 8987.00, Sell volume: 662.00, Average price: 0.6281, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4600
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5400
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 8987.00, Sell volume: 662.00, Average price: 0.6281, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.1950
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.8050
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.1950
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.8050
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.1900
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.8100
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 8987.00, Sell volume: 662.00, Average price: 0.6281, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8400, Price range: 0.8400 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.1450
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.8550
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.3767, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1350
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 8987.00, Sell volume: 662.00, Average price: 0.6281, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1400, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.1400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 8987.00, Sell volume: 662.00, Average price: 0.6281, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 8987.00, Sell volume: 662.00, Average price: 0.6281, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.1350
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8650
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 75.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9100
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9100
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 225.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8800, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9100
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0900
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9100
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9100
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0700
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9300
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 8442.00, Sell volume: 232.00, Average price: 0.9660, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 8987.00, Sell volume: 662.00, Average price: 0.6281, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 8987.00, Sell volume: 662.00, Average price: 0.6281, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4600
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5400
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 8987.00, Sell volume: 662.00, Average price: 0.6281, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.1950
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.8050
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.1950
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.8050
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.1900
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.8100
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 8987.00, Sell volume: 662.00, Average price: 0.6281, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8400, Price range: 0.8400 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.1450
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.8550
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.3767, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1350
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 8987.00, Sell volume: 662.00, Average price: 0.6281, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1400, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.1400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 8987.00, Sell volume: 662.00, Average price: 0.6281, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 8987.00, Sell volume: 662.00, Average price: 0.6281, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.1350
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8650
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 75.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9100
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9100
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 225.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8800, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657127
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $510 in November?
Volume: 9649.0
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9100
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0900
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9100
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9100
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0700
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9300
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 8442.00, Sell volume: 232.00, Average price: 0.9660, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 20507.09, Sell volume: 930.94, Average price: 0.5939, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.6900
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.6900
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6900
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6900
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 32.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.2950
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.7050
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.2950
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.7050
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.7050
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.2950
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 14.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7000, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.7050
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.7050
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.7000
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.7000
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.7000
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.7000
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.7000
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.7000
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.7000
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.7000
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.7000
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.7000
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.7000
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.7000
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.7000
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 20507.09, Sell volume: 930.94, Average price: 0.5939, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.5600
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.4400
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5600
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.4400
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5650
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.4350
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.4350
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.1450
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.8550
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.4250
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5750
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.4100
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5900
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5850
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.4050
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5950
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.3950
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.6050
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.6150
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.4100
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5900
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.3900
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.3850
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.6150
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.4100
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.5900
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.3900
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.3900
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.3650
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6350
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.3650
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6350
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.3550
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 156.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4600, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.5150
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.5150
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.5150
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.4850
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.5750
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.4250
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 88.63, Sell volume: 39.92, Average price: 0.5375, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.5650
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.4350
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.5650
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.4350
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.5700
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.4300
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.5600
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.4400
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.4500
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.5300
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.4700
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.5300
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.4700
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.5300
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.4700
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.5300
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.4700
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.5250
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.4750
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.5350
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.4600
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.4050
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.6100
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.3900
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.6100
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.3900
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6100
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.3900
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 20507.09, Sell volume: 930.94, Average price: 0.5939, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.4500
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.5500
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.5450
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.4550
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.5450
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.4550
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.5450
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.4550
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.5450
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.4550
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.5450
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.4600
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.5400
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.4600
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.5400
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.3300
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.6700
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.3300
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.6700
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.3300
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.6700
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.3350
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.6650
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.3450
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.6550
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.3750
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.6200
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.3850
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.6150
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.3900
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 20507.09, Sell volume: 930.94, Average price: 0.5939, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.4450
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.5550
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.4450
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.5550
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.4450
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.5550
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.3650
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.6350
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.5350
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.4650
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.5150
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.4850
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.5100
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.4900
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.5550
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.4450
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.5550
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.4450
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.3850
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.6150
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.3850
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.6150
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.6150
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.3850
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.6150
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.3850
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.6150
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.3850
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.6150
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.3850
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.6150
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.3850
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.6150
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.3900
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.6100
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.3900
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.6100
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.3900
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.6100
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.3900
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 69.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4790, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.5800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.3500
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.3500
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.3700
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.6300
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.3700
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.6300
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.3700
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.6300
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.3100
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.6900
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.3100
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.6900
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.3100
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.6900
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.3000
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.7000
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.3000
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.7000
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.3000
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.7000
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.3000
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.7000
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.3000
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.7000
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.3000
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.7000
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.2800
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.7200
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.2800
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.7200
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.7400
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.2700
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.3700
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.6300
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.4000
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.6000
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 41.25, Average price: 0.4662, Price range: 0.4662 - 0.4662

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.3950
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.5450
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.5500
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.4450
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.5550
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.4100
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.5900
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.3900
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.6100
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.3750
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.6250
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.3350
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.6650
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.3100
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.2750
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.7250
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.3300
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.6700
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.3300
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.6700
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.3300
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.6700
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.6700
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.6700
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6700
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.6700
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5350
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1370.63, Sell volume: 74.58, Average price: 0.4130, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.8447

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.3750
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.6250
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3750
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.6250
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.3750
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.6250
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.3750
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.6250
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.3750
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.6250
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.3750
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.6250
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.3750
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.6250
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.3750
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.3750
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.3750
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.6250
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.6300
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.6300
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.6300
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 273.97, Sell volume: 5.17, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.6650
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6650
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6650
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.3250
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.6750
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.6650
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.3400
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.6600
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.3400
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.6600
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.3300
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.6700
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.6650
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.6650
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.3400
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.6600
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.3300
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.6700
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6650
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 17501.12, Sell volume: 763.87, Average price: 0.7560, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.4750
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.3050
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.2950
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 20507.09, Sell volume: 930.94, Average price: 0.5939, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 32.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.2950
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.2950
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.2950
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.2950
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.2950
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.2950
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.2950
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 14.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7000, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.5650
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.5600
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 20507.09, Sell volume: 930.94, Average price: 0.5939, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.5600
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5600
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5650
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.1450
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.4250
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.4100
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.4050
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.3950
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.4100
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.3900
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.3850
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.4100
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.3900
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.3900
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.3650
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.3650
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.3550
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.3900
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.5600
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 156.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4600, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.5150
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.5150
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.5150
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.5750
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.6000
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.3500
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 88.63, Sell volume: 39.92, Average price: 0.5375, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.5650
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.5650
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.5700
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.5600
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.5300
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.5300
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.5300
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.5300
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.5250
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.5350
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.5400
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.6100
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.6100
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6100
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.6300
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 20507.09, Sell volume: 930.94, Average price: 0.5939, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.4450
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.4500
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.4550
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.4550
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.4550
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.4550
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.4600
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.4600
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.3300
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.3300
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.3300
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.3350
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.3450
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.3750
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.3850
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.3900
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.3900
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.3900
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 20507.09, Sell volume: 930.94, Average price: 0.5939, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.4450
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.4450
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.4450
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.3650
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.5350
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.5150
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.5100
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.5550
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.5550
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.3850
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.3850
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.3850
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.3850
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.3850
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.3850
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.3850
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.3900
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.3900
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.3900
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.3900
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.3900
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.3850
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.3500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.3000
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 69.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4790, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.5800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.3500
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.3500
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.3700
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.3700
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.3700
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.3100
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.3100
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.3100
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.3000
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.3000
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.3000
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.3000
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.3000
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.3000
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.2800
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.2800
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.2700
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.3700
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.4000
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 41.25, Average price: 0.4662, Price range: 0.4662 - 0.4662
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.4450
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.4100
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.3900
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.3750
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.3350
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.3100
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.2750
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.3300
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.3300
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3600
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1370.63, Sell volume: 74.58, Average price: 0.4130, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.8447
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.3750
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3750
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.3750
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.3750
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.3750
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.3750
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.3750
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.3750
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.3750
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.3750
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.3400
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 273.97, Sell volume: 5.17, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657128
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $488 in November?
Volume: 21438.026327
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.3250
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.3400
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.3400
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.3300
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.3400
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.3300
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5700
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 17501.12, Sell volume: 763.87, Average price: 0.7560, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.8700
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.1300
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.1300
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.1300
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.8700
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.1300
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.8750
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.1250
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.8750
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.1250
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.8750
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.1250
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.8750
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.1250
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.8750
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 290, Buy volume: 30881.90, Sell volume: 11418.31, Average price: 0.4865, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.8650
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.1350
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.8650
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.1350
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.8650
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.1350
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.8650
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.1350
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.8650
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.1350
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.8650
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.1350
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8650
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 290, Buy volume: 30881.90, Sell volume: 11418.31, Average price: 0.4865, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8650
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.1350
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8650
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.1350
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8650
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.1350
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9300
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0700
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1400, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.1400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9100
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0900
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9000
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1000
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.1250
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.1250
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.1250
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1250
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.1250
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.8600
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 202.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5150, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.8600
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.1400
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.8600
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.1400
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.8600
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.1400
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.8600
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.1400
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.8550
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8450
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 290, Buy volume: 30881.90, Sell volume: 11418.31, Average price: 0.4865, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.8450
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.1550
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.1400
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.1400
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.8550
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.1450
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.8550
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.1450
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.8550
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.1450
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.8550
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.1450
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.8550
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.1450
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8650
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.1350
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.8800
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.1200
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.1100
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.8800
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.1200
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.8800
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.1200
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 327.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8800, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 46.00, Sell volume: 57.76, Average price: 0.1000, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.1100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.1000
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.1000
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9000
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.1000
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9000
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.1000
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9000
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.1000
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9000
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.1000
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9000
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.1000
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9000
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.1000
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9000
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.1000
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9000
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.1000
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9000
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.1000
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9000
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.1000
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.8900
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.1100
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.8900
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.1100
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.1100
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.1100
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.8900
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.1100
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.1100
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9000
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9000
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.1000
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9000
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.1000
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 2560.52, Sell volume: 294.75, Average price: 0.2991, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.7800
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.2200
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.7350
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.7600
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.2400
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.7600
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.2400
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.7600
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.2400
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.7500
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.2500
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.7600
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.2400
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.6900
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.3100
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.7200
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.2800
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.7200
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.2800
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.7600
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.2400
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1454.85, Sell volume: 806.31, Average price: 0.3426, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.1750
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.6450
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.7500
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.2500
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.8050
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1950
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.8050
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.1950
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.8150
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8150
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.8100
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.1900
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.7850
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.2150
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.8050
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.1950
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.7500
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.2500
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.7600
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.2400
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.7450
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.2550
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7700
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2300
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7850
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2150
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.7350
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.2650
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6450
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.3550
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.6750
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.6700
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.3300
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6900
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 2775.00, Sell volume: 2127.89, Average price: 0.4319, Price range: 0.1933 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.8050
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.1950
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.8050
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.1950
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.8200
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.1800
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.8150
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.1850
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.7850
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.2150
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.7850
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.2150
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.7800
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.2200
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.7650
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.2350
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.7750
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.2250
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.7750
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.2250
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.7850
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.2150
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.7850
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.2150
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.7550
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.2450
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.7650
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.2350
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.7350
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.6450
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.3550
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.5850
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.4150
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.5700
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.4300
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.6000
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.4000
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.5650
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.4350
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 1316.49, Sell volume: 1449.53, Average price: 0.5329, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.4350
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.4300
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.5700
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.4300
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.5700
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.4300
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.5700
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.4300
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.5700
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.4450
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.5550
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.4400
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.5600
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.4400
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.5600
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.4400
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.5600
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.4400
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.5600
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.4550
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.5450
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.4450
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.5550
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.4600
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.5400
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.4650
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.5350
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.5350
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.4650
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.5350
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.4650
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.4650
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.5350
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.4650
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 89.21, Sell volume: 498.84, Average price: 0.5241, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.5800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.4700
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.5300
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.4700
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.5300
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.4700
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.5300
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.4700
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.5300
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.4700
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.5300
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.4700
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.5300
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.3750
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.3150
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.6850
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.4150
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.5850
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.3750
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.6250
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.5200
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.4800
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.4450
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.5550
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.4150
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.5850
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.5650
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.4350
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.5650
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.4350
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.5550
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.4450
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.5550
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.4450
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5450
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 118, Buy volume: 22060.06, Sell volume: 6183.23, Average price: 0.5936, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.1300
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.1300
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.8750
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.1250
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.8750
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.1250
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.8750
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.1250
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.8800
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.1200
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.8800
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.1200
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.8650
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.1350
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.8650
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 290, Buy volume: 30881.90, Sell volume: 11418.31, Average price: 0.4865, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.8650
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.1350
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.8650
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.1350
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.1350
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.8650
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.1350
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.8650
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.1350
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8650
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 290, Buy volume: 30881.90, Sell volume: 11418.31, Average price: 0.4865, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8650
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.1350
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9300
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1400, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.1400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9100
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1000
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.1250
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.1250
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.8600
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1400
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.8600
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.1400
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.8600
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.1400
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.8600
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.1400
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.8600
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1400
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.8600
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.1400
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.8600
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 202.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5150, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes