Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547468
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Crin Antonescu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67603.845641
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547468
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Crin Antonescu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67603.845641
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 327, Buy volume: 31732.90, Sell volume: 35870.95, Average price: 0.6297, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547468
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Crin Antonescu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67603.845641
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 327, Buy volume: 31732.90, Sell volume: 35870.95, Average price: 0.6297, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547468
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Crin Antonescu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67603.845641
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547468
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Crin Antonescu?
Volume: 67603.845641
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.6000
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0215
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9930
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9925
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9965
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0030
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9970
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0030
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9970
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0030
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9970
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0030
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9970
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0030
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9970
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0030
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9970
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0030
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9970
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0030
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9970
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0030
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9970
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0030
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 337.93, Sell volume: 1484.08, Average price: 0.2414, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547468
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Crin Antonescu?
Volume: 67603.845641
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9970
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9955
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0105
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9875
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0125
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0115
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9895
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0120
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9935
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0070
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9930
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0065
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9935
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0065
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9935
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0065
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9945
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0060
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9940
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0060
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9940
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0060
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9940
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0060
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9940
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0060
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 580.86, Sell volume: 460.48, Average price: 0.4048, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547468
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Crin Antonescu?
Volume: 67603.845641
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9940
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0060
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9940
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0055
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9945
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0055
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9955
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9955
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9955
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9955
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9955
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0055
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9945
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0055
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9955
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9965
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9965
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9975
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9975
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 1545.36, Sell volume: 610.20, Average price: 0.7417, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547468
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Crin Antonescu?
Volume: 67603.845641
Price History:
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9975
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9980
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 132.40, Sell volume: 524.79, Average price: 0.7770, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547468
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Crin Antonescu?
Volume: 67603.845641
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 3479.37, Sell volume: 3424.09, Average price: 0.8146, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547468
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Crin Antonescu?
Volume: 67603.845641
Price History:
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.9970
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9970
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0030
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9970
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0030
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9970
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0030
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9970
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0030
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9970
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0030
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.9970
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0030
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9970
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9970
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9965
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9965
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9965
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.9965
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9965
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0035
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 5634.94, Sell volume: 810.18, Average price: 0.5554, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547468
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Crin Antonescu?
Volume: 67603.845641
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0035
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9965
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0035
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.9965
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.9970
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0035
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.9965
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9965
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0035
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9965
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0035
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.9965
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0035
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9965
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0035
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.9965
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0035
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9965
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.9965
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0035
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9965
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9965
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0035
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9975
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 5684.69, Sell volume: 2142.00, Average price: 0.8425, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547468
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Crin Antonescu?
Volume: 67603.845641
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.9980
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9975
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.9975
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.9975
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.9975
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.9975
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1562.01, Sell volume: 14539.39, Average price: 0.7267, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547468
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Crin Antonescu?
Volume: 67603.845641
Price History:
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9975
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.9975
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9975
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9975
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9975
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 6775.35, Sell volume: 11818.74, Average price: 0.5825, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547468
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Crin Antonescu?
Volume: 67603.845641
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547468
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Crin Antonescu?
Volume: 67603.845641
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 327, Buy volume: 31732.90, Sell volume: 35870.95, Average price: 0.6297, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547468
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Crin Antonescu?
Volume: 67603.845641
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 327, Buy volume: 31732.90, Sell volume: 35870.95, Average price: 0.6297, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547468
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Crin Antonescu?
Volume: 67603.845641
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.4000
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.1850
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0215
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0210
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0180
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0175
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0175
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0155
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0165
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0275
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0285
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0255
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0260
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0245
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0215
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0260
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0210
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0255
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0255
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0255
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0245
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0230
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0240
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0340
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0335
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0315
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0445
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0375
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0335
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0335
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0340
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0315
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0300
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0305
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0335
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0335
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0345
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0310
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0350
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0335
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0330
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0305
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0320
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 2109.72, Sell volume: 2013.67, Average price: 0.1867, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0315
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0305
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0340
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0445
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0445
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0385
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0460
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0460
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0460
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0470
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0465
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0465
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0460
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0465
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0460
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0460
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0460
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0470
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0475
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0480
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0480
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0440
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0430
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0430
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0415
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0400
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0410
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0400
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0395
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0390
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0380
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0375
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0420
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0410
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0415
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0410
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0255
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0255
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0255
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0205
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0180
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0170
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 828.98, Sell volume: 1171.22, Average price: 0.4656, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9740

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0170
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0185
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0195
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0210
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0215
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0210
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0210
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0235
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0235
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0230
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0090
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0210
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0235
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0255
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0265
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0260
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0270
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0275
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0275
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0275
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0280
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0285
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0290
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0295
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0285
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0280
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0135
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0120
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 4115.64, Sell volume: 600.50, Average price: 0.7006, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0210
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0340
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0365
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0335
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0345
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0345
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0365
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0355
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0360
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0360
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0420
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0365
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0370
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0395
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0370
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0365
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0330
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.0330
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0330
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0330
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0320
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0320
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.0265
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0275
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0275
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0275
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0275
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0275
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0255
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0270
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0280
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0270
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0275
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0275
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0265
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0260
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0260
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0120
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 4142.69, Sell volume: 1226.66, Average price: 0.6204, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0130
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0055
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0055
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0060
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0060
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0060
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.0120
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0090
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0150
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0110
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0120
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0130
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0130
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0125
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0070
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0070
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0070
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.0070
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0060
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0065
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0065
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0065
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0065
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 5672.49, Sell volume: 944.77, Average price: 0.7386, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0065
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0065
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0065
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0105
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0090
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.0090
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0090
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0105
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0105
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0165
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0170
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.0165
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0165
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0165
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0140
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0145
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0165
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0125
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0140
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0185
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0170
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0225
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0225
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0215
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0180
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0180
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0180
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0180
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0180
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.0180
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0195
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0195
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0195
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0195
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0195
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0225
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0225
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0215
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0210
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0215
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0210
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0210
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0210
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0215
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0145
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0145
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0160
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0180
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0175
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 536.55, Sell volume: 2046.62, Average price: 0.6704, Price range: 0.0118 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0195
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.0185
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0180
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0180
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0175
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0180
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0170
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0160
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0160
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0160
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.0160
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0160
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0160
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0255
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0275
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0250
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0255
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0265
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0310
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0460
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0525
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0515
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0515
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0540
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0445
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0435
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0430
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0420
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0425
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0435
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0395
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0400
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0410
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0400
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0420
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0400
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0395
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0400
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0400
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0395
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0365
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0370
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0370
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0375
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0375
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0385
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0385
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0365
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0345
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 4919.63, Sell volume: 1382.91, Average price: 0.4834, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0365
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0345
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0370
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0540
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0545
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0455
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0425
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0445
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0460
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0475
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0520
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0510
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0495
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0500
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0500
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0565
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.0840
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.1055
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0905
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0960
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0970
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0720
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0595
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0670
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0805
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.0730
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0670
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0610
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.0545
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0570
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0545
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.0550
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0565
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0545
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0525
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0485
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0570
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0465
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0485
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0485
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0470
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0365
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0435
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0440
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0230
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0365
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0445
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0415
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0370
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.0405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 9323.01, Sell volume: 7189.21, Average price: 0.3290, Price range: 0.0079 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0415
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0355
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.0415
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0400
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0375
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0415
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0425
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0390
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0400
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0465
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0290
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0305
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0295
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0270
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0250
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0235
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0145
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0155
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0155
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0155
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0145
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0145
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0145
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.0145
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0150
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0145
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0145
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0145
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0145
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.0145
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0145
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.0145
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0145
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0195
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0175
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0200
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0160
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0195
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0170
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0190
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0250
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.0245
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0280
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0350
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0350
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.0350
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0350
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0325
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.0310
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 1147.65, Sell volume: 1944.71, Average price: 0.5971, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0170
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0155
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0200
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0200
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0185
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0185
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0185
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0160
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0085
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0085
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0080
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0080
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0065
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0035
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0020
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0020
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0020
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0020
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0035
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0020
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0020
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0035
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0040
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0040
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 130, Buy volume: 9165.73, Sell volume: 19980.84, Average price: 0.7522, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0030
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0020
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0030
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0050
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0035
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0035
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0035
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0050
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0050
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0030
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0030
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0030
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 13620.21, Sell volume: 4067.82, Average price: 0.5061, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0075
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 8782.94, Sell volume: 17730.44, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.6000
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0215
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9930
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9945
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0210
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9820
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0175
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9845
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0275
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9715
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0260
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9755
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0260
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9790
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0255
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9745
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0230
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9760
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0335
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9685
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0375
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9665
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0340
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9685
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0305
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9665
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0345
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 2109.72, Sell volume: 2013.67, Average price: 0.1867, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9670
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0305
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9670
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9555
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0385
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0460
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9530
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0465
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0460
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9540
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0470
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9525
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0480
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9560
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0430
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9585
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0410
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9600
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0390
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9620
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0420
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9590
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0410
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 828.98, Sell volume: 1171.22, Average price: 0.4656, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0170
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9815
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0210
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9785
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0210
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9765
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0230
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9910
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0235
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9745
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0260
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9730
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0275
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9725
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0285
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9710
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0285
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9720
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0120
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9955
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9955
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9955
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9970
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9970
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 4115.64, Sell volume: 600.50, Average price: 0.7006, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0210
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9660
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0335
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9655
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0365
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9645
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0360
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9580
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0370
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9605
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0365
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.9670
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0330
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9670
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0320
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.9735
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0275
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9725
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0275
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9745
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0280
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9730
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0275
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9735
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0260
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 4142.69, Sell volume: 1226.66, Average price: 0.6204, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0130
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9955
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.9955
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0055
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9940
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0060
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9940
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9940
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.9940
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.9940
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.9940
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9880
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0150
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.9890
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.9870
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0125
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9930
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0070
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.9930
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0060
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.9940
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 5672.49, Sell volume: 944.77, Average price: 0.7386, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0065
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.9935
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0105
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9910
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0090
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9895
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0165
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9830
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0165
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9835
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0145
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9835
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0140
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.9815
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0225
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9775
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0180
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9820
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0180
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9820
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0195
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0195
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0225
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.9785
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0215
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9790
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0210
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 536.55, Sell volume: 2046.62, Average price: 0.6704, Price range: 0.0118 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0195
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9815
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0180
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.9825
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0170
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.9840
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0160
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.9840
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0160
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9745
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0250
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9745
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0310
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.9540
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0515
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9485
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0445
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.9565
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0420
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9575
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0395
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.9600
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0400
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9580
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0395
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9600
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0395
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9635
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0370
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 4919.63, Sell volume: 1382.91, Average price: 0.4834, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0365
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.9655
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0540
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.9455
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0425
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.9555
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0475
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.9480
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0495
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.9500
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0565
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9160
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0905
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.9040
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0720
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.9405
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0805
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.9270
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0610
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9455
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0545
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.9450
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0545
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.9475
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0570
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.9535
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0485
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.9530
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0435
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9560
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 9323.01, Sell volume: 7189.21, Average price: 0.3290, Price range: 0.0079 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0415
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9645
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0400
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.9625
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0425
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9610
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0465
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9710
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0295
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9730
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0235
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.9855
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0155
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9845
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0145
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9855
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0150
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9855
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0145
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9855
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0145
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9855
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0195
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.9825
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0160
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9805
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0190
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.9750
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0280
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 1147.65, Sell volume: 1944.71, Average price: 0.5971, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0170
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9845
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0200
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9815
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0185
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9840
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0085
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.9915
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0080
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9935
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9975
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9975
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9980
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0020
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9980
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9980
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0035
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 130, Buy volume: 9165.73, Sell volume: 19980.84, Average price: 0.7522, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0030
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.9975
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0030
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9975
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9975
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9970
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0035
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9965
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0050
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9950
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9960
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.9970
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0030
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9980
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9980
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9980
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.9980
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 13620.21, Sell volume: 4067.82, Average price: 0.5061, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.9925
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9990
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9990
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 8782.94, Sell volume: 17730.44, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547469
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?
Volume: 125761.641345
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.1850
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0115
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0130
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0075
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0080
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 501.43, Sell volume: 1342.28, Average price: 0.2755, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 451.38, Sell volume: 324.59, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0020
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0020
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0020
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0020
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0020
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0020
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0020
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0020
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0020
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 854.43, Sell volume: 389.99, Average price: 0.6884, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 10652.64, Sell volume: 21460.51, Average price: 0.4323, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 10652.64, Sell volume: 21460.51, Average price: 0.4323, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0030
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0030
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0030
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0010
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0010
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0010
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 392.01, Sell volume: 3763.81, Average price: 0.5557, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0010
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0120
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.0070
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0100
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0100
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0100
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0090
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0110
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0125
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0080
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0045
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0045
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0045
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0045
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0045
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0030
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 4453.39, Sell volume: 10249.41, Average price: 0.0014, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0025

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5290.43, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 10652.64, Sell volume: 21460.51, Average price: 0.4323, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 10652.64, Sell volume: 21460.51, Average price: 0.4323, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.7500
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0115
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9870
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0080
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9950
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9950
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9955
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9955
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9955
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9955
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9955
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9955
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9955
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9955
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9955
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9955
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0045
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 501.43, Sell volume: 1342.28, Average price: 0.2755, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9955
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9955
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9955
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9955
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9955
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9955
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9955
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9955
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9955
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9955
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9955
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9955
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9955
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9955
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 451.38, Sell volume: 324.59, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9955
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9955
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9955
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9975
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0020
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9980
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0020
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9980
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0020
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9980
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0020
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9980
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9970
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9985
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 854.43, Sell volume: 389.99, Average price: 0.6884, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 10652.64, Sell volume: 21460.51, Average price: 0.4323, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 10652.64, Sell volume: 21460.51, Average price: 0.4323, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.9970
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0030
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 392.01, Sell volume: 3763.81, Average price: 0.5557, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0010
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9880
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0100
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.9900
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0090
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9940
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0125
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9920
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0045
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9955
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0045
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.9970
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 4453.39, Sell volume: 10249.41, Average price: 0.0014, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0025
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5290.43, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 10652.64, Sell volume: 21460.51, Average price: 0.4323, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 10652.64, Sell volume: 21460.51, Average price: 0.4323, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547470
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?
Volume: 32113.152833
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547471
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Florin Cîțu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39704.583617
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.2000
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.1800
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0335
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0375
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0405
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0410
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0290
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0205
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0215
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0220
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0190
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0175
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0120
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0100
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0110
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0090
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0095
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0105
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0105
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0105
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0105
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0105
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0105
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0105
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0105
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0105
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0100
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0090
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0090
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0100
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0090
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0085
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0105
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0080
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0080
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0085
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0085
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0095
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0100
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0095
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0085
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0085
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0085
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0085
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0090
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0090
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0090
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0085
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 806.41, Sell volume: 1199.18, Average price: 0.2456, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547471
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Florin Cîțu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39704.583617
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0085
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0085
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0085
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0105
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0110
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0110
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0110
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0110
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0110
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0110
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0085
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0075
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0080
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0070
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0070
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0070
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0070
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0070
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0070
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0070
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0070
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0070
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0070
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0070
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0080
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0070
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0080
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0080
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0080
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0080
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0080
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 364.39, Sell volume: 380.79, Average price: 0.4399, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547471
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Florin Cîțu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39704.583617
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0080
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0080
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0080
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0075
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0075
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0070
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0070
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0070
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0070
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0070
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0070
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 78, Buy volume: 2336.95, Sell volume: 1094.12, Average price: 0.7036, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes