Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2058.95, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.7298, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.4200, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.4800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.4350
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.4350
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.4350
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.4350
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.4350
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.4350
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.4350
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.4350
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.4350
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.4800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.4450
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.5550
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5550
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.4450
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.5550
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2058.95, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.7298, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.4450
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.5550
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.4450
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.5550
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.4450
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2058.95, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.7298, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.4400
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.5600
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.4400
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.5600
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.4400
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.5600
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.4500
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.5500
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.4500
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.5500
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.4500
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.5500
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.5500
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.4500
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.4500
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.5500
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.4900
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 62.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4784, Price range: 0.4784 - 0.4784

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.5050
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.4950
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.5050
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.4950
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.5350
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.4650
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.5350
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.4650
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.4650
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5500, Price range: 0.5500 - 0.5500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.4600
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.5400
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.5650
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.4350
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.5650
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.4350
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.7650
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.7750
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.2250
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.7900
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.2100
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.7500
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.2500
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.7450
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.2550
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8800
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1200
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9900
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0100
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9900
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 90.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7858, Price range: 0.6100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4200
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5800
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4150
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5950
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5900
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2058.95, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.7298, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.5900
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.5900
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.5900
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.4200
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.5800
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.4250
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5750
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.4250
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.5750
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4200
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.5800
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2058.95, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.7298, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.6000
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.6000
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4427, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.4454
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2058.95, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.7298, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.4300
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.5700
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.5700
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.4300
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.4300
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5700
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5700
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.4300
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5700
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2058.95, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.7298, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2058.95, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.7298, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.4200, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.4800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.4350
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.4350
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.4350
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.4350
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.4350
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.4350
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.4350
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.4350
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.4350
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.4800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.4450
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.5550
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5550
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.4450
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.5550
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2058.95, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.7298, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.4450
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.5550
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.4450
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.5550
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.4450
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2058.95, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.7298, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.4400
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.5600
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.4400
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.5600
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.4400
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.5600
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.4500
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.5500
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.4500
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.5500
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.4500
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.5500
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.5500
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.4500
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.4500
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.5500
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.4900
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 62.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4784, Price range: 0.4784 - 0.4784
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.5050
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.4950
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.5050
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.4950
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.5350
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.4650
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.5350
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.4650
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.4650
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5500, Price range: 0.5500 - 0.5500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.4600
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.5400
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.5650
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.4350
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.5650
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.4350
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.7650
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.7750
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.2250
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.7900
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.2100
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.7500
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.2500
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.7450
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.2550
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8800
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1200
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9900
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0100
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9900
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 90.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7858, Price range: 0.6100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5550
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4450
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4450
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5550
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4750
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5250
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5300
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4700
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5250
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4750
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4800
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 658.34, Sell volume: 49.34, Average price: 0.7692, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5350
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.4650
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.5350
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.4650
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 658.34, Sell volume: 49.34, Average price: 0.7692, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.5100
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4950
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4750
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.5250
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4750
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4800
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4.35, Sell volume: 4.34, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4800
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4800
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4800
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4800
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.4800
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.4800
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4800
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4950
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.5050
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5050
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 658.34, Sell volume: 49.34, Average price: 0.7692, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.5050
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.4950
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 658.34, Sell volume: 49.34, Average price: 0.7692, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.5050
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.5050
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.5050
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.5050
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 658.34, Sell volume: 49.34, Average price: 0.7692, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.5050
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.5050
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.5450
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.4550
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.5450
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.4550
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.5550
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.4450
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.5550
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4450
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.4450
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.5550
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.5550
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.4450
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.4450
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.5550
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.3450
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 125.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5224, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5648

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.6600
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6650
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3350
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6650
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3350
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.6650
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.3350
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 658.34, Sell volume: 49.34, Average price: 0.7692, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3350
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6650
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3350
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.6650
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3350
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.6650
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3350
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.6650
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3350
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.6650
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3350
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.3350
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.6650
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3350
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.6650
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 658.34, Sell volume: 49.34, Average price: 0.7692, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3450
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.3450
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.6550
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.6550
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3450
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.6200
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.3800
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.6150
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.3850
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6150
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.3850
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.6150
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3850
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.6500
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.4400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.6500
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.3500
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.6500
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.3500
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.6500
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.3500
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6500
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3500
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.6500
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 658.34, Sell volume: 49.34, Average price: 0.7692, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.6500
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.3500
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.6500
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.3500
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.6500
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.3500
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6450
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6450
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.6450
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.6450
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3600
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.3600
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.4400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.5250
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.4750
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.4750
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.5250
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.4800
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.5200
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.4850
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.5150
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.5150
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.4850
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.4700
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.5300
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.5450
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.4550
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.5500
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.4500
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.7050
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.7600
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.2400
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.2350
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 332.42, Sell volume: 45.00, Average price: 0.7829, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5550
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4450
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4450
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5550
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4750
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5250
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5300
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4700
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5250
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4750
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4800
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 658.34, Sell volume: 49.34, Average price: 0.7692, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5350
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.4650
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.5350
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.4650
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 658.34, Sell volume: 49.34, Average price: 0.7692, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.5100
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4950
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4750
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.5250
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4750
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4800
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4.35, Sell volume: 4.34, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4800
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4800
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4800
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4800
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.4800
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.4800
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4800
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4950
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.5050
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5050
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 658.34, Sell volume: 49.34, Average price: 0.7692, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.5050
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.4950
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 658.34, Sell volume: 49.34, Average price: 0.7692, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.5050
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.5050
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.5050
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.5050
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 658.34, Sell volume: 49.34, Average price: 0.7692, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.5050
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.5050
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.5450
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.4550
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.5450
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.4550
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.5550
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.4450
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.5550
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4450
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.4450
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.5550
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.5550
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.4450
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.4450
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.5550
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.3450
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 125.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5224, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5648
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.6600
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6650
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3350
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6650
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3350
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.6650
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.3350
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 658.34, Sell volume: 49.34, Average price: 0.7692, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3350
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6650
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3350
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.6650
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3350
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.6650
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3350
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.6650
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3350
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.6650
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3350
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.3350
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.6650
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3350
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.6650
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 658.34, Sell volume: 49.34, Average price: 0.7692, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3450
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.3450
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.6550
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.6550
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3450
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.6200
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.3800
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.6150
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.3850
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6150
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.3850
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.6150
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3850
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.6500
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.4400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.6500
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.3500
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.6500
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.3500
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.6500
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.3500
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6500
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3500
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.6500
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 658.34, Sell volume: 49.34, Average price: 0.7692, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.6500
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.3500
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.6500
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.3500
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.6500
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.3500
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6450
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6450
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.6450
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.6450
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3600
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.3600
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.4400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612863
Question: Will Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 707.679948
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.5250
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.4750
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.4750
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.5250
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.4800
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.5200
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.4850
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.5150
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.5150
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.4850
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.4700
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.5300
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.5450
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.4550
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.5500
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.4500
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.7050
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.7600
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.2400
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.2350
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 332.42, Sell volume: 45.00, Average price: 0.7829, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.1600
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.8400
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5500
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4500
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4650
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5350
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.4650
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 45.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5950, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.4650
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.5350
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.5100
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 202.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6655, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4600
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.5400
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4650
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5350
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.4600
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5400
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4600
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.5400
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4650
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5350
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4650
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.5350
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.5450
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 166.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5845, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.6803

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.4450
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5550
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.4450
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5550
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.4750
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 55.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4960, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.4750
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5250
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5100
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.5100
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.5100
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5100
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.5100
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.4800
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5150
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5100
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 21.52, Sell volume: 40.24, Average price: 0.4923, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.5200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.4900
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5100
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.4900
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.5100
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.4900
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5100
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.4900
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5100
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.4900
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.5100
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.5100
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.4900
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 152.32, Average price: 0.4100, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.4600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.4200
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.5800
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.5950
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.4050
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.4000
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.6000
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.6000
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4000
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.4000
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.6000
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.4000
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.6000
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.4050
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.5950
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.4050
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 17.03, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.5200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.5950
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6600, Price range: 0.6600 - 0.6600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 7.81, Sell volume: 37.88, Average price: 0.4498, Price range: 0.3495 - 0.6400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 1323.64, Sell volume: 289.51, Average price: 0.6201, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.4900
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.5100
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.5100
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.4900
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.4900
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.5100
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.4850
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 107.48, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.5507, Price range: 0.4721 - 0.6400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.4400
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.5600
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6250
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.4250
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.5750
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.4400
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.5600
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.4200
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.5800
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.5900
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.4200
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.5800
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.2600
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 80.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7654, Price range: 0.7463 - 0.7846

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.2600
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.7400
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.7350
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.2650
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.5950
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.4050
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.5950
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.4050
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.3650
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.6350
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.7050
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.7150
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.2850
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9550
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0450
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9550
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 443.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5587, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.1600
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.8400
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5500
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4500
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4650
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5350
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.4650
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 45.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5950, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.4650
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.5350
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.5100
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 202.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6655, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4600
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.5400
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4650
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5350
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.4600
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5400
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4600
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.5400
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4650
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5350
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4650
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.5350
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.5450
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 166.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5845, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.6803
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.4450
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5550
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.4450
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5550
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.4750
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 55.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4960, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.4750
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5250
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5100
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.5100
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.5100
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5100
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.5100
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.4800
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5150
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5100
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 21.52, Sell volume: 40.24, Average price: 0.4923, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.5200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.4900
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5100
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.4900
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.5100
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.4900
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5100
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.4900
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5100
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.4900
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.5100
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.5100
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.4900
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 152.32, Average price: 0.4100, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.4600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.4200
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.5800
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.5950
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.4050
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.4000
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.6000
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.6000
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4000
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.4000
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.6000
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.4000
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.6000
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.4050
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.5950
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.4050
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 17.03, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.5200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.5950
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6600, Price range: 0.6600 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 7.81, Sell volume: 37.88, Average price: 0.4498, Price range: 0.3495 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 1323.64, Sell volume: 289.51, Average price: 0.6201, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.4900
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.5100
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.5100
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.4900
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.4900
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.5100
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.4850
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 107.48, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.5507, Price range: 0.4721 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.4400
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.5600
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6250
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.4250
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.5750
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.4400
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.5600
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.4200
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.5800
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.5900
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.4200
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.5800
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.2600
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 80.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7654, Price range: 0.7463 - 0.7846
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612864
Question: Will Leavitt say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1613.152039
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.2600
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.7400
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.7350
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.2650
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.5950
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.4050
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.5950
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.4050
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.3650
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.6350
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.7050
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.7150
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.2850
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9550
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0450
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9550
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 443.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5587, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5750
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4250
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4150
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.3650
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.6350
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.6250
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.3750
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.3800
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.6200
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.6200
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.3800
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.3800
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.6200
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.3800
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.6200
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3750
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.6250
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.6250
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.3750
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.3750
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.6250
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.6150
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 14566.87, Sell volume: 48.26, Average price: 0.7036, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.3850
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.6150
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.3850
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.6150
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.6800
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.3150
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.6850
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.6950
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.7600
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.2400
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.2150
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 241.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8291, Price range: 0.8081 - 0.8501

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.2200
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.7800
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.2200
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.7800
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.7800
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.2200
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.2200
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.7800
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.7850
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.2150
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.2100
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.7900
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.2100
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.7900
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.2000
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.8000
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.1850
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.8150
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.1850
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.8150
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.8150
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 14566.87, Sell volume: 48.26, Average price: 0.7036, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.1850
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.8150
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.8150
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.1850
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.8150
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.1850
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.1850
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.8150
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.8200
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.1800
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.8200
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.1800
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.1800
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.8200
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.1800
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.8200
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.1800
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.8200
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.1850
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.8150
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.1800
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 14.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.1800
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.8200
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.1800
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.8200
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.1800
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.8200
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.8200
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.1800
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.1800
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.8200
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.8200
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.1800
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 14566.87, Sell volume: 48.26, Average price: 0.7036, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 14566.87, Sell volume: 48.26, Average price: 0.7036, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 14566.87, Sell volume: 48.26, Average price: 0.7036, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 14566.87, Sell volume: 48.26, Average price: 0.7036, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 14566.87, Sell volume: 48.26, Average price: 0.7036, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.1600
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.8400
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.1600
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9150
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0850
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9150
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9150
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0850
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0800
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9200
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0850
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 14566.87, Sell volume: 48.26, Average price: 0.7036, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.4550
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.5450
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.1005
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.8995
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1000
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 13221.98, Sell volume: 24.16, Average price: 0.6201, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5750
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4250
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4150
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.3650
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.6350
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.6250
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.3750
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.3800
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.6200
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.6200
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.3800
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.3800
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.6200
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.3800
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.6200
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3750
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.6250
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.6250
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.3750
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.3750
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.6250
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.6150
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 14566.87, Sell volume: 48.26, Average price: 0.7036, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.3850
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.6150
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.3850
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.6150
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.6800
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.3150
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.6850
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.6950
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.7600
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.2400
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.2150
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 241.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8291, Price range: 0.8081 - 0.8501
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.2200
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.7800
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.2200
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.7800
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.7800
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.2200
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.2200
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.7800
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.7850
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.2150
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.2100
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.7900
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.2100
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.7900
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.2000
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.8000
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.1850
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.8150
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.1850
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.8150
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.8150
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 14566.87, Sell volume: 48.26, Average price: 0.7036, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.1850
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.8150
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.8150
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.1850
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.8150
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.1850
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.1850
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.8150
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.8200
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.1800
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.8200
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.1800
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.1800
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.8200
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.1800
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.8200
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.1800
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.8200
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.1850
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.8150
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.1800
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 14.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.1800
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.8200
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.1800
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.8200
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.1800
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.8200
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.8200
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.1800
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.1800
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.8200
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.8200
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.1800
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 14566.87, Sell volume: 48.26, Average price: 0.7036, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 14566.87, Sell volume: 48.26, Average price: 0.7036, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 14566.87, Sell volume: 48.26, Average price: 0.7036, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 14566.87, Sell volume: 48.26, Average price: 0.7036, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 14566.87, Sell volume: 48.26, Average price: 0.7036, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.1600
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.8400
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.1600
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9150
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0850
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9150
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9150
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0850
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0800
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9200
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0850
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 14566.87, Sell volume: 48.26, Average price: 0.7036, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612865
Question: Will Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 14615.130409
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.4550
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.5450
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.1005
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.8995
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1000
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 13221.98, Sell volume: 24.16, Average price: 0.6201, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4100
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5900
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.2800
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.7200
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.2800
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.7200
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.2800
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.7200
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.2850
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.7150
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2950
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.2700
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7300
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.7450
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5500, Price range: 0.5500 - 0.5500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7450
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2550
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7500
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.2500
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.7500
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.2500
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7500
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.2500
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7400
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.2600
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.7300
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.2700
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.2700
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.7300
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.6400
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.3600
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.6400
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.3600
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.6400
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.3600
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.6400
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.3600
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.6400
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.3600
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.6400
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.3600
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.3600
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.6400
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.6400
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.3600
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.6450
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.3550
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.6450
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4267, Price range: 0.4267 - 0.4267

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.6450
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.3550
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.6450
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.3550
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.6450
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.3550
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.3550
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.6450
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.6500
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.3500
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.3500
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.6500
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.6500
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.3500
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.3750
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.6250
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.6250
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.3750
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.6300
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.3700
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6250
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 74.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6467, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.3750
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6250
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.6250
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3750
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.6250
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.3750
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.6250
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.3750
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.6250
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.3750
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.6300
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.3700
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.3750
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.6250
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.6250
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.3750
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.3700
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.6300
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.3700
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.6300
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.6300
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 70.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.4500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3700
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.6300
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3700
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.6300
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.3700
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.6300
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.6300
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.3700
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3700
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.6300
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.3700
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.6300
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 3892.29, Sell volume: 110.21, Average price: 0.6094, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612867
Question: Will Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4002.498207
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.3800
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.6200
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.6200
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3800
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.3800
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.6200
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.3800
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.6200
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.3800
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.6200
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.3800
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.6200
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.6200
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4200, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.4200

Output: No