Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654255
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1
Volume: 113169.520565
Price History:
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0615
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9385
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0615
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9385
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0615
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9385
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0615
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9385
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0615
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9385
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0615
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9385
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0615
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9385
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0615
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9385
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0615
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9385
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0615
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9385
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0615
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9385
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0615
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9385
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0615
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9385
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0615
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9385
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0615
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9385
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 46.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3653, Price range: 0.0730 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654255
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1
Volume: 113169.520565
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9385
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0615
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9385
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0615
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9385
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0615
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9385
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0615
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9385
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0615
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9385
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0615
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9385
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0610
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9390
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0610
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9390
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0610
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9390
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0610
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9390
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0610
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9390
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0610
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9390
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0610
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9390
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0610
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9390
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 202.04, Sell volume: 214.24, Average price: 0.5643, Price range: 0.0390 - 0.9610
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654255
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1
Volume: 113169.520565
Price History:
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0310
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9690
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0310
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9690
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0310
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9690
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0310
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9690
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0310
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9690
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0310
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9690
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0310
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9690
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0310
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9690
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0310
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9690
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0310
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9690
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0310
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9690
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0310
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9690
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0310
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9690
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0815
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9185
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0785
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 505.11, Sell volume: 158.82, Average price: 0.0406, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.0560
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654255
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1
Volume: 113169.520565
Price History:
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9320
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0615
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9385
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0585
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9415
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0585
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9415
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0590
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9410
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0590
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9410
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0775
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9225
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0555
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9445
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0475
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9525
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0445
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9555
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0445
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9555
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0585
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9415
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0855
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9145
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0555
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9445
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 275, Buy volume: 49564.48, Sell volume: 10530.08, Average price: 0.6660, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654255
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1
Volume: 113169.520565
Price History:
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 20655.08, Sell volume: 19163.21, Average price: 0.6426, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9550
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0450
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9550
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0450
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9450
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0550
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9650
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0350
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9695
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0305
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9490
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0510
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9445
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0555
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9445
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0555
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9450
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0550
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9460
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0540
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9480
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0520
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9460
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0540
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0550
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9445
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0555
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 309.76, Sell volume: 155.69, Average price: 0.8225, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0560
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9435
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0565
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9440
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0560
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9440
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0560
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9440
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0560
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 90.78, Sell volume: 14.12, Average price: 0.9726, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9770

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0515
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9485
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0515
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9485
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0515
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9485
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0515
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9485
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0515
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9420
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0580
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9420
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0580
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9420
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0580
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9420
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0580
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9420
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0580
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9420
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0580
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9470
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0530
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9480
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0520
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9520
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0480
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9520
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0480
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9520
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0480
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9520
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0480
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9520
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0480
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 48.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9643, Price range: 0.9640 - 0.9650

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0480
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9525
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0475
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9525
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0475
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9525
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0475
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9525
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0475
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9525
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0475
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9525
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9535
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 114.05, Sell volume: 161.30, Average price: 0.5324, Price range: 0.0360 - 0.9640

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9535
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0465
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9535
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0465
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9535
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0465
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9535
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0465
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9535
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0465
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9535
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0465
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9535
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0465
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9535
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0465
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9535
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0465
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9535
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0465
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9535
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0465
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9535
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0465
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9535
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0465
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9535
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0465
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9535
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0465
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9535
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0465
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9535
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0465
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9535
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0465
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9540
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0460
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9540
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0460
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9540
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0460
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 44.33, Sell volume: 29.43, Average price: 0.6548, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.9650

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0460
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9650, Price range: 0.9650 - 0.9650

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9535
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0465
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9535
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0465
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9535
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0465
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9535
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0465
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9535
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0465
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9535
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0465
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9535
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0465
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9535
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0465
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9535
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0465
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9535
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0465
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9535
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 264.51, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6626, Price range: 0.0578 - 0.9650

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0465
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9605
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0395
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9605
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0395
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9605
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0395
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9605
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 99.18, Sell volume: 54.48, Average price: 0.5531, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9780

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9605
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0395
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9605
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0395
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0295
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9705
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0295
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 437.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3507, Price range: 0.0370 - 0.9780

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0295
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9705
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0295
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9705
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0295
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9705
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0295
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9705
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0295
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9705
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0295
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9705
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0295
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9705
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0295
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9705
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0295
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9585
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0415
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9585
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0415
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9585
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0415
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9585
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0415
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9515
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0485
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9430
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0570
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9410
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0590
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9410
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0590
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9405
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0595
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9405
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0595
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9405
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0595
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9405
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0595
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9405
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 696.83, Sell volume: 192.38, Average price: 0.6183, Price range: 0.0377 - 0.9520

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9405
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0595
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9405
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0595
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9405
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0595
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9405
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0595
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9405
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0595
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9405
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0595
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9405
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0595
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9405
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0595
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9405
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0595
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9590
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0410
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9590
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0410
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9590
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0410
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9590
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0410
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9590
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0410
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9590
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0410
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9585
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0415
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9585
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0415
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9585
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0415
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9585
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0415
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9585
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0415
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9590
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0410
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9590
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 108.82, Average price: 0.0230, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.0230

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0410
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9590
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0410
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9595
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0405
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9615
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0385
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9625
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0375
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9635
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0365
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9635
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0365
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9590
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0410
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9595
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0405
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9595
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0405
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9595
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0405
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9595
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0405
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9595
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0405
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9630
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0370
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9705
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0295
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9705
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0295
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9630
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0370
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 254, Buy volume: 134696.60, Sell volume: 5310.28, Average price: 0.6953, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 29686.40, Sell volume: 3305.18, Average price: 0.4835, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9550
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0450
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9550
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0450
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9450
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0550
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9650
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0350
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9695
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0305
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9490
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0510
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9445
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0555
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9445
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 309.76, Sell volume: 155.69, Average price: 0.8225, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0560
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9435
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0565
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9440
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0560
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9440
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0560
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9440
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0560
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 90.78, Sell volume: 14.12, Average price: 0.9726, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0515
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9485
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0515
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9485
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0515
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9485
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0515
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9485
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0515
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9420
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0580
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9420
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0580
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9420
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0580
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9420
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0580
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9420
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0580
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9420
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0580
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9470
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 48.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9643, Price range: 0.9640 - 0.9650
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0480
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9525
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0475
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9525
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0475
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9525
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0475
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9525
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0475
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9525
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0475
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9525
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9525
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 114.05, Sell volume: 161.30, Average price: 0.5324, Price range: 0.0360 - 0.9640
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9535
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0465
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9535
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0465
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9535
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0465
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9535
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0465
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9535
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0465
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9535
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0465
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9535
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0465
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9535
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0465
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9535
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0465
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9535
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0465
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9535
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0465
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9535
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0465
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9535
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0465
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9535
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0465
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9535
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 44.33, Sell volume: 29.43, Average price: 0.6548, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.9650
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0460
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9650, Price range: 0.9650 - 0.9650
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9535
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0465
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9535
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0465
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9535
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0465
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9535
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0465
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9535
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0465
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9535
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0465
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9535
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0465
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9535
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0465
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9535
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0465
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9535
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0465
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9535
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 264.51, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6626, Price range: 0.0578 - 0.9650
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9535
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0465
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 99.18, Sell volume: 54.48, Average price: 0.5531, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9605
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0395
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9605
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0395
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0295
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 437.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3507, Price range: 0.0370 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0295
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9705
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0295
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9705
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0295
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9705
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0295
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9705
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0295
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9705
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0295
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9705
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0295
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9705
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0295
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9705
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0295
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9585
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0415
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9585
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0415
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9585
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0415
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9585
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0415
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9515
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0485
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9430
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0570
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 696.83, Sell volume: 192.38, Average price: 0.6183, Price range: 0.0377 - 0.9520
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9405
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0595
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9405
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0595
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9405
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0595
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9405
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0595
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9405
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0595
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9405
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0595
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9405
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0595
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9405
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0595
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9405
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0595
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9590
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0410
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9590
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0410
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9590
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0410
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9590
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0410
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9590
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0410
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9590
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 108.82, Average price: 0.0230, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.0230
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0410
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9590
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0410
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9595
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0405
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9615
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0385
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9625
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0375
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9635
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0365
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9635
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0365
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9590
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0410
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9595
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0405
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9595
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0405
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9595
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0405
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9595
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0405
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9595
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0405
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9630
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0370
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9705
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0295
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 254, Buy volume: 134696.60, Sell volume: 5310.28, Average price: 0.6953, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654256
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1
Volume: 187875.940321
Price History:
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 29686.40, Sell volume: 3305.18, Average price: 0.4835, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-10-29 22:00: 0.3550
2024-10-29 23:00: 0.3850
2024-10-30 00:00: 0.3400
2024-10-30 01:00: 0.3000
2024-10-30 02:00: 0.2950
2024-10-30 03:00: 0.2900
2024-10-30 04:00: 0.2900
2024-10-30 05:00: 0.3400
2024-10-30 06:00: 0.3450
2024-10-30 07:00: 0.3500
2024-10-30 08:00: 0.3400
2024-10-30 09:00: 0.3450
2024-10-30 10:00: 0.3800
2024-10-30 11:00: 0.3750
2024-10-30 12:00: 0.3800
2024-10-30 13:00: 0.3800
2024-10-30 14:00: 0.3800
2024-10-30 15:00: 0.3800
2024-10-30 16:00: 0.3800
2024-10-30 17:00: 0.3800
2024-10-30 18:00: 0.3800
2024-10-30 19:00: 0.3800
2024-10-30 20:00: 0.3800
2024-10-30 21:00: 0.3800
2024-10-30 22:00: 0.4000
2024-10-30 23:00: 0.4050
2024-10-31 00:00: 0.4000
2024-10-31 01:00: 0.4000
2024-10-31 02:00: 0.4000
2024-10-31 03:00: 0.4000
2024-10-31 04:00: 0.4000
2024-10-31 05:00: 0.4000
2024-10-31 06:00: 0.4000
2024-10-31 07:00: 0.3800
2024-10-31 08:00: 0.3800
2024-10-31 09:00: 0.3800
2024-10-31 10:00: 0.3850
2024-10-31 11:00: 0.3950
2024-10-31 12:00: 0.3950
2024-10-31 13:00: 0.3950
2024-10-31 14:00: 0.3950
2024-10-31 15:00: 0.3950
2024-10-31 16:00: 0.3950
2024-10-31 17:00: 0.3950
2024-10-31 18:00: 0.3950
2024-10-31 19:00: 0.3950
2024-10-31 20:00: 0.3950
2024-10-31 21:00: 0.3950
2024-10-31 22:00: 0.3950
2024-10-31 23:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 154, Buy volume: 5070.97, Sell volume: 428.28, Average price: 0.5131, Price range: 0.3230 - 0.7400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-11-01 12:00: 0.3950
2024-11-01 13:00: 0.3950
2024-11-01 14:00: 0.3950
2024-11-01 15:00: 0.3950
2024-11-01 16:00: 0.4000
2024-11-01 17:00: 0.4000
2024-11-01 18:00: 0.4000
2024-11-01 19:00: 0.4000
2024-11-01 20:00: 0.4000
2024-11-01 21:00: 0.4000
2024-11-01 22:00: 0.3850
2024-11-01 23:00: 0.3850
2024-11-02 00:00: 0.3800
2024-11-02 01:00: 0.3850
2024-11-02 02:00: 0.3850
2024-11-02 03:00: 0.3850
2024-11-02 04:00: 0.3850
2024-11-02 05:00: 0.3900
2024-11-02 06:00: 0.3900
2024-11-02 07:00: 0.3950
2024-11-02 08:00: 0.3950
2024-11-02 09:00: 0.3950
2024-11-02 10:00: 0.3950
2024-11-02 11:00: 0.3950
2024-11-02 12:00: 0.3850
2024-11-02 13:00: 0.3850
2024-11-02 14:00: 0.3900
2024-11-02 15:00: 0.3900
2024-11-02 16:00: 0.3900
2024-11-02 17:00: 0.3900
2024-11-02 18:00: 0.4000
2024-11-02 19:00: 0.4000
2024-11-02 20:00: 0.3150
2024-11-02 21:00: 0.3450
2024-11-02 22:00: 0.3500
2024-11-02 23:00: 0.3500
2024-11-03 00:00: 0.3500
2024-11-03 01:00: 0.3450
2024-11-03 01:00: 0.3450
2024-11-03 02:00: 0.3450
2024-11-03 03:00: 0.3450
2024-11-03 04:00: 0.3450
2024-11-03 05:00: 0.3450
2024-11-03 06:00: 0.3450
2024-11-03 07:00: 0.3450
2024-11-03 08:00: 0.3400
2024-11-03 09:00: 0.3400
2024-11-03 10:00: 0.3400
2024-11-03 11:00: 0.3350
2024-11-03 12:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 159, Buy volume: 3664.58, Sell volume: 4006.75, Average price: 0.5051, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-11-04 01:00: 0.3250
2024-11-04 02:00: 0.3250
2024-11-04 03:00: 0.3250
2024-11-04 04:00: 0.3150
2024-11-04 05:00: 0.3150
2024-11-04 06:00: 0.3150
2024-11-04 07:00: 0.3150
2024-11-04 08:00: 0.3150
2024-11-04 09:00: 0.3150
2024-11-04 10:00: 0.3150
2024-11-04 11:00: 0.3150
2024-11-04 12:00: 0.3150
2024-11-04 13:00: 0.3150
2024-11-04 14:00: 0.3150
2024-11-04 15:00: 0.3150
2024-11-04 16:00: 0.3150
2024-11-04 17:00: 0.3150
2024-11-04 18:00: 0.3150
2024-11-04 19:00: 0.3150
2024-11-04 20:00: 0.3100
2024-11-04 21:00: 0.3100
2024-11-04 22:00: 0.3050
2024-11-04 23:00: 0.3150
2024-11-05 00:00: 0.3150
2024-11-05 01:00: 0.3150
2024-11-05 02:00: 0.3150
2024-11-05 03:00: 0.3150
2024-11-05 04:00: 0.3150
2024-11-05 05:00: 0.3150
2024-11-05 06:00: 0.3150
2024-11-05 07:00: 0.3150
2024-11-05 08:00: 0.3150
2024-11-05 09:00: 0.3050
2024-11-05 10:00: 0.3050
2024-11-05 11:00: 0.2900
2024-11-05 12:00: 0.2900
2024-11-05 13:00: 0.2900
2024-11-05 14:00: 0.2900
2024-11-05 15:00: 0.2900
2024-11-05 16:00: 0.2900
2024-11-05 18:00: 0.2650
2024-11-05 19:00: 0.3100
2024-11-05 20:00: 0.3150
2024-11-05 21:00: 0.2950
2024-11-05 22:00: 0.4000
2024-11-05 23:00: 0.8450
2024-11-06 00:00: 0.5900
2024-11-06 01:00: 0.6000
2024-11-06 02:00: 0.6250
2024-11-06 03:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 55840.36, Sell volume: 13981.26, Average price: 0.5638, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-11-06 16:00: 0.9500
2024-11-06 17:00: 0.9500
2024-11-06 18:00: 0.9500
2024-11-06 19:00: 0.9500
2024-11-06 20:00: 0.9250
2024-11-06 21:00: 0.9250
2024-11-06 22:00: 0.9250
2024-11-06 23:00: 0.9250
2024-11-07 00:00: 0.7750
2024-11-07 01:00: 0.7850
2024-11-07 02:00: 0.8150
2024-11-07 03:00: 0.9450
2024-11-07 04:00: 0.7950
2024-11-07 05:00: 0.7950
2024-11-07 06:00: 0.7950
2024-11-07 07:00: 0.7300
2024-11-07 08:00: 0.7300
2024-11-07 09:00: 0.7300
2024-11-07 10:00: 0.7150
2024-11-07 11:00: 0.9550
2024-11-07 12:00: 0.9550
2024-11-07 13:00: 0.9550
2024-11-07 14:00: 0.9350
2024-11-07 15:00: 0.9350
2024-11-07 16:00: 0.9350
2024-11-07 17:00: 0.9350
2024-11-07 18:00: 0.9300
2024-11-07 19:00: 0.9350
2024-11-07 20:00: 0.9550
2024-11-07 21:00: 0.9550
2024-11-07 22:00: 0.9550
2024-11-07 23:00: 0.9550
2024-11-08 00:00: 0.8150
2024-11-08 01:00: 0.8150
2024-11-08 02:00: 0.8150
2024-11-08 03:00: 0.7950
2024-11-08 04:00: 0.8150
2024-11-08 05:00: 0.8250
2024-11-08 06:00: 0.8700
2024-11-08 07:00: 0.8750
2024-11-08 08:00: 0.8850
2024-11-08 09:00: 0.9000
2024-11-08 10:00: 0.9000
2024-11-08 11:00: 0.9200
2024-11-08 12:00: 0.9300
2024-11-08 13:00: 0.9200
2024-11-08 14:00: 0.9100
2024-11-08 15:00: 0.9150
2024-11-08 16:00: 0.9100
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 16651.84, Sell volume: 29559.98, Average price: 0.5390, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.8350
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.8350
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.8350
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.8350
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.8350
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.8350
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.8200
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.6550
2024-11-09 14:00: 0.6500
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.6550
2024-11-09 16:00: 0.6650
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.6750
2024-11-09 18:00: 0.6750
2024-11-09 19:00: 0.6750
2024-11-09 20:00: 0.6650
2024-11-09 21:00: 0.7100
2024-11-09 22:00: 0.7200
2024-11-09 23:00: 0.6550
2024-11-10 00:00: 0.6550
2024-11-10 01:00: 0.7200
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.7100
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.7050
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.7100
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.7100
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.7150
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.7150
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.7100
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.7750
2024-11-10 10:00: 0.7200
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.7350
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.7300
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.7300
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.7300
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.7300
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.7250
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.7300
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.7300
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.7600
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.7100
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.7200
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.7200
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.7400
2024-11-11 00:00: 0.7450
2024-11-11 01:00: 0.7450
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.7450
2024-11-11 03:00: 0.7350
2024-11-11 04:00: 0.7250
2024-11-11 05:00: 0.7250
2024-11-11 06:00: 0.7250
2024-11-11 07:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 4926.87, Sell volume: 4092.95, Average price: 0.5660, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.7750
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.8200
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.8200
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.8200
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.8250
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.8100
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.7550
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.8650
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.8650
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.8250
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.8200
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.8200
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.8200
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.8200
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.8200
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.8200
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.8200
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.8200
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.8200
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.8200
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.8300
2024-11-12 17:00: 0.8150
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.8300
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.8150
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.8150
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.8050
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.8550
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.8450
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.8450
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.8450
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.8450
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.8400
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.8400
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.8450
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.8450
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.8450
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.8450
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.8450
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.7750
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.7950
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.8100
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.8100
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.8200
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.8200
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.8200
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.8200
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.8150
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.8150
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.8150
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 257.24, Sell volume: 6178.82, Average price: 0.6777, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.8100
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.8050
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.8100
2024-11-14 13:00: 0.8250
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.8250
2024-11-14 15:00: 0.8350
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.8400
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.8400
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.8350
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.8350
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.8350
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.8700
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.8700
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.8700
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.8750
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.8750
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.8950
2024-11-15 03:00: 0.8650
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.8650
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.8650
2024-11-15 06:00: 0.8650
2024-11-15 07:00: 0.8650
2024-11-15 08:00: 0.8650
2024-11-15 09:00: 0.8650
2024-11-15 10:00: 0.8700
2024-11-15 11:00: 0.8700
2024-11-15 12:00: 0.8650
2024-11-15 13:00: 0.8650
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.8300
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.8300
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.8300
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.8300
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.8300
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.8300
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.7750
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.7750
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.7750
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.7750
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.8200
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.8200
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.8150
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.8150
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.7700
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.6450
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.6400
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.6400
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.4550
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.4550
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.4700
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 3917.98, Sell volume: 1871.67, Average price: 0.7036, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.4600
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.5550
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.4800
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.4800
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.4450
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.4400
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.4400
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.4400
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.4400
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.4450
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.3900
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.3850
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.3850
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.4450
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.4450
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.5100
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.5550
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.5550
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.5650
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.5650
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.5450
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.5550
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.5600
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.5800
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.5750
2024-11-18 01:00: 0.5550
2024-11-18 02:00: 0.5650
2024-11-18 03:00: 0.5550
2024-11-18 04:00: 0.5200
2024-11-18 05:00: 0.5150
2024-11-18 06:00: 0.5650
2024-11-18 07:00: 0.5600
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.5600
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.5600
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.5600
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.5600
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.5650
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.5250
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.4500
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.4450
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.4150
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.3350
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.1150
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.1350
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0475
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.0355
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.0395
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.0450
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.0805
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 95, Buy volume: 3267.03, Sell volume: 4479.56, Average price: 0.5587, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-11-19 14:00: 0.1145
2024-11-19 15:00: 0.1200
2024-11-19 16:00: 0.0330
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0415
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.1240
2024-11-19 19:00: 0.1025
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.1030
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.1025
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.1025
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.1025
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.1025
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.1025
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.1025
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.1025
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.1025
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.1010
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.1035
2024-11-20 07:00: 0.1010
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.1020
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.1020
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.1030
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.1020
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.1020
2024-11-20 13:00: 0.1020
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.1020
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.1025
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.1045
2024-11-20 17:00: 0.1060
2024-11-20 18:00: 0.1110
2024-11-20 19:00: 0.1035
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.1205
2024-11-20 21:00: 0.1205
2024-11-20 22:00: 0.1200
2024-11-20 23:00: 0.1200
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.1205
2024-11-21 01:00: 0.1010
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.1010
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.1010
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.1000
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.1005
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.1005
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.1010
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.1000
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.1005
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.1000
2024-11-21 11:00: 0.0990
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0950
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.0995
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.1005
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.1010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 593.38, Sell volume: 7108.72, Average price: 0.5143, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.1650
2024-11-22 05:00: 0.1655
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.1650
2024-11-22 07:00: 0.1645
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.1215
2024-11-22 09:00: 0.1210
2024-11-22 10:00: 0.1060
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.1055
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.1060
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.1060
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.1065
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.1055
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.1055
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.1060
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.1065
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.1065
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.1065
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.1060
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.0795
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.0795
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0795
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.0800
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0795
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.0800
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0795
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.0800
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.0800
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.0645
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0800
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.0795
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.0795
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.2280
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.2290
2024-11-23 13:00: 0.2290
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.1705
2024-11-23 15:00: 0.0205
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.0205
2024-11-23 17:00: 0.0205
2024-11-23 18:00: 0.0205
2024-11-23 19:00: 0.0205
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0605
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.0610
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0605
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.0610
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0610
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.0605
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0605
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.0605
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0605
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 1095.25, Sell volume: 385.01, Average price: 0.8786, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9810

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.1730
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.0590
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0585
2024-11-24 21:00: 0.0585
2024-11-24 22:00: 0.1755
2024-11-24 23:00: 0.1750
2024-11-25 00:00: 0.1755
2024-11-25 01:00: 0.1755
2024-11-25 02:00: 0.1135
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.1135
2024-11-25 04:00: 0.1140
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.1135
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.1130
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.1135
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.1135
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.1135
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.1135
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.1135
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.1150
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.1150
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.1145
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.1155
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.1155
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.1115
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.1120
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.1065
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.0895
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.0895
2024-11-25 22:00: 0.1065
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.1060
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.1065
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.0940
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.0945
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.0940
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.0940
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.1070
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.1185
2024-11-26 07:00: 0.1225
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.1255
2024-11-26 09:00: 0.1195
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.1200
2024-11-26 11:00: 0.0840
2024-11-26 12:00: 0.0940
2024-11-26 13:00: 0.0940
2024-11-26 14:00: 0.0945
2024-11-26 15:00: 0.0940
2024-11-26 16:00: 0.0940
2024-11-26 17:00: 0.0945
2024-11-26 18:00: 0.0940
2024-11-26 19:00: 0.0945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 238.25, Sell volume: 258.59, Average price: 0.9007, Price range: 0.0273 - 0.9720

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-11-27 08:00: 0.0840
2024-11-27 09:00: 0.0840
2024-11-27 10:00: 0.0840
2024-11-27 11:00: 0.0840
2024-11-27 12:00: 0.0840
2024-11-27 13:00: 0.0840
2024-11-27 14:00: 0.0840
2024-11-27 15:00: 0.0845
2024-11-27 16:00: 0.0840
2024-11-27 17:00: 0.0835
2024-11-27 18:00: 0.0835
2024-11-27 19:00: 0.0825
2024-11-27 20:00: 0.0830
2024-11-27 21:00: 0.0835
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.0835
2024-11-27 23:00: 0.0505
2024-11-28 00:00: 0.0505
2024-11-28 01:00: 0.0505
2024-11-28 02:00: 0.0510
2024-11-28 03:00: 0.0510
2024-11-28 04:00: 0.0510
2024-11-28 05:00: 0.0510
2024-11-28 06:00: 0.0510
2024-11-28 07:00: 0.0510
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.0505
2024-11-28 09:00: 0.0495
2024-11-28 10:00: 0.0450
2024-11-28 11:00: 0.0450
2024-11-28 12:00: 0.0370
2024-11-28 13:00: 0.0330
2024-11-28 14:00: 0.0275
2024-11-28 15:00: 0.0280
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.0280
2024-11-28 17:00: 0.0280
2024-11-28 18:00: 0.0280
2024-11-28 19:00: 0.0280
2024-11-28 20:00: 0.0285
2024-11-28 21:00: 0.0285
2024-11-28 22:00: 0.0290
2024-11-28 23:00: 0.0250
2024-11-29 00:00: 0.0255
2024-11-29 01:00: 0.0250
2024-11-29 02:00: 0.0250
2024-11-29 03:00: 0.0245
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.0245
2024-11-29 05:00: 0.0250
2024-11-29 06:00: 0.0245
2024-11-29 07:00: 0.0250
2024-11-29 08:00: 0.0255
2024-11-29 09:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 525.99, Sell volume: 612.97, Average price: 0.9413, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-11-29 22:00: 0.0185
2024-11-29 23:00: 0.0180
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.0180
2024-11-30 01:00: 0.0175
2024-11-30 02:00: 0.0185
2024-11-30 03:00: 0.0180
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.0180
2024-11-30 05:00: 0.0175
2024-11-30 06:00: 0.0180
2024-11-30 07:00: 0.0180
2024-11-30 08:00: 0.0180
2024-11-30 09:00: 0.0185
2024-11-30 10:00: 0.0180
2024-11-30 11:00: 0.0185
2024-11-30 12:00: 0.0180
2024-11-30 13:00: 0.0185
2024-11-30 14:00: 0.0180
2024-11-30 15:00: 0.0185
2024-11-30 16:00: 0.0180
2024-11-30 17:00: 0.0165
2024-11-30 18:00: 0.0165
2024-11-30 19:00: 0.0170
2024-11-30 20:00: 0.0165
2024-11-30 21:00: 0.0165
2024-11-30 22:00: 0.0165
2024-11-30 23:00: 0.0165
2024-12-01 00:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 01:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 02:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 03:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 04:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 05:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 06:00: 0.0160
2024-12-01 07:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 09:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 10:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 11:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 12:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 13:00: 0.0160
2024-12-01 14:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 15:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 17:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 18:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 19:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 21:00: 0.0150
2024-12-01 22:00: 0.0150
2024-12-01 23:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 816.54, Sell volume: 472.17, Average price: 0.9516, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-10-29 22:00: 0.3550
2024-10-30 00:00: 0.3400
2024-10-30 02:00: 0.2950
2024-10-30 04:00: 0.2900
2024-10-30 06:00: 0.3450
2024-10-30 08:00: 0.3400
2024-10-30 10:00: 0.3800
2024-10-30 12:00: 0.3800
2024-10-30 14:00: 0.3800
2024-10-30 16:00: 0.3800
2024-10-30 18:00: 0.3800
2024-10-30 20:00: 0.3800
2024-10-30 22:00: 0.4000
2024-10-31 00:00: 0.4000
2024-10-31 02:00: 0.4000
2024-10-31 04:00: 0.4000
2024-10-31 06:00: 0.4000
2024-10-31 08:00: 0.3800
2024-10-31 10:00: 0.3850
2024-10-31 12:00: 0.3950
2024-10-31 14:00: 0.3950
2024-10-31 16:00: 0.3950
2024-10-31 18:00: 0.3950
2024-10-31 20:00: 0.3950
2024-10-31 22:00: 0.3950
2024-11-01 00:00: 0.3950
2024-11-01 02:00: 0.3950
2024-11-01 04:00: 0.3950
2024-11-01 06:00: 0.3950
2024-11-01 08:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 154, Buy volume: 5070.97, Sell volume: 428.28, Average price: 0.5131, Price range: 0.3230 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-11-01 12:00: 0.3950
2024-11-01 14:00: 0.3950
2024-11-01 16:00: 0.4000
2024-11-01 18:00: 0.4000
2024-11-01 20:00: 0.4000
2024-11-01 22:00: 0.3850
2024-11-02 00:00: 0.3800
2024-11-02 02:00: 0.3850
2024-11-02 04:00: 0.3850
2024-11-02 06:00: 0.3900
2024-11-02 08:00: 0.3950
2024-11-02 10:00: 0.3950
2024-11-02 12:00: 0.3850
2024-11-02 14:00: 0.3900
2024-11-02 16:00: 0.3900
2024-11-02 18:00: 0.4000
2024-11-02 20:00: 0.3150
2024-11-02 22:00: 0.3500
2024-11-03 00:00: 0.3500
2024-11-03 01:00: 0.3450
2024-11-03 03:00: 0.3450
2024-11-03 05:00: 0.3450
2024-11-03 07:00: 0.3450
2024-11-03 09:00: 0.3400
2024-11-03 11:00: 0.3350
2024-11-03 13:00: 0.3350
2024-11-03 15:00: 0.3350
2024-11-03 17:00: 0.3250
2024-11-03 19:00: 0.3250
2024-11-03 21:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 159, Buy volume: 3664.58, Sell volume: 4006.75, Average price: 0.5051, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-11-04 01:00: 0.3250
2024-11-04 03:00: 0.3250
2024-11-04 05:00: 0.3150
2024-11-04 07:00: 0.3150
2024-11-04 09:00: 0.3150
2024-11-04 11:00: 0.3150
2024-11-04 13:00: 0.3150
2024-11-04 15:00: 0.3150
2024-11-04 17:00: 0.3150
2024-11-04 19:00: 0.3150
2024-11-04 21:00: 0.3100
2024-11-04 23:00: 0.3150
2024-11-05 01:00: 0.3150
2024-11-05 03:00: 0.3150
2024-11-05 05:00: 0.3150
2024-11-05 07:00: 0.3150
2024-11-05 09:00: 0.3050
2024-11-05 11:00: 0.2900
2024-11-05 13:00: 0.2900
2024-11-05 15:00: 0.2900
2024-11-05 18:00: 0.2650
2024-11-05 20:00: 0.3150
2024-11-05 22:00: 0.4000
2024-11-06 00:00: 0.5900
2024-11-06 02:00: 0.6250
2024-11-06 04:00: 0.7250
2024-11-06 06:00: 0.7200
2024-11-06 08:00: 0.7250
2024-11-06 10:00: 0.7400
2024-11-06 12:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 55840.36, Sell volume: 13981.26, Average price: 0.5638, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-11-06 16:00: 0.9500
2024-11-06 18:00: 0.9500
2024-11-06 20:00: 0.9250
2024-11-06 22:00: 0.9250
2024-11-07 00:00: 0.7750
2024-11-07 02:00: 0.8150
2024-11-07 04:00: 0.7950
2024-11-07 06:00: 0.7950
2024-11-07 08:00: 0.7300
2024-11-07 10:00: 0.7150
2024-11-07 12:00: 0.9550
2024-11-07 14:00: 0.9350
2024-11-07 16:00: 0.9350
2024-11-07 18:00: 0.9300
2024-11-07 20:00: 0.9550
2024-11-07 22:00: 0.9550
2024-11-08 00:00: 0.8150
2024-11-08 02:00: 0.8150
2024-11-08 04:00: 0.8150
2024-11-08 06:00: 0.8700
2024-11-08 08:00: 0.8850
2024-11-08 10:00: 0.9000
2024-11-08 12:00: 0.9300
2024-11-08 14:00: 0.9100
2024-11-08 16:00: 0.9100
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.9050
2024-11-08 20:00: 0.8400
2024-11-08 22:00: 0.8500
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.8500
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 16651.84, Sell volume: 29559.98, Average price: 0.5390, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.8350
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.8350
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.8350
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.8200
2024-11-09 14:00: 0.6500
2024-11-09 16:00: 0.6650
2024-11-09 18:00: 0.6750
2024-11-09 20:00: 0.6650
2024-11-09 22:00: 0.7200
2024-11-10 00:00: 0.6550
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.7100
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.7100
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.7150
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.7100
2024-11-10 10:00: 0.7200
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.7300
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.7300
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.7250
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.7300
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.7100
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.7200
2024-11-11 00:00: 0.7450
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.7450
2024-11-11 04:00: 0.7250
2024-11-11 06:00: 0.7250
2024-11-11 08:00: 0.7750
2024-11-11 10:00: 0.7300
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.7250
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.7300
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 4926.87, Sell volume: 4092.95, Average price: 0.5660, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.7750
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.8200
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.8250
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.7550
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.8650
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.8200
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.8200
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.8200
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.8200
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.8200
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.8300
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.8300
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.8150
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.8550
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.8450
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.8450
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.8400
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.8450
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.8450
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.7750
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.8100
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.8200
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.8200
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.8150
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.8150
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.8150
2024-11-14 00:00: 0.8150
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.8150
2024-11-14 04:00: 0.8000
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 257.24, Sell volume: 6178.82, Average price: 0.6777, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.8100
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.8100
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.8250
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.8400
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.8350
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.8350
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.8700
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.8750
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.8950
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.8650
2024-11-15 06:00: 0.8650
2024-11-15 08:00: 0.8650
2024-11-15 10:00: 0.8700
2024-11-15 12:00: 0.8650
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.8300
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.8300
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.8300
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.7750
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.7750
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.8200
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.8150
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.7700
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.6400
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.4550
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.4700
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.5800
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.5650
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.4700
2024-11-16 18:00: 0.5750
2024-11-16 20:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 3917.98, Sell volume: 1871.67, Average price: 0.7036, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.4600
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.4800
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.4450
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.4400
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.4400
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.3900
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.3850
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.4450
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.5550
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.5650
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.5450
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.5600
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.5750
2024-11-18 02:00: 0.5650
2024-11-18 04:00: 0.5200
2024-11-18 06:00: 0.5650
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.5600
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.5600
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.5650
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.4500
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.4150
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.1150
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0475
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.0395
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.0805
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.1630
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.1030
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.0780
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.1850
2024-11-19 10:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 95, Buy volume: 3267.03, Sell volume: 4479.56, Average price: 0.5587, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-11-19 14:00: 0.1145
2024-11-19 16:00: 0.0330
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.1240
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.1030
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.1025
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.1025
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.1025
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.1025
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.1035
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.1020
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.1030
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.1020
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.1020
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.1045
2024-11-20 18:00: 0.1110
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.1205
2024-11-20 22:00: 0.1200
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.1205
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.1010
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.1000
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.1005
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.1000
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.1000
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0950
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.1005
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.1005
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.4635
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.2590
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.2805
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.2505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 593.38, Sell volume: 7108.72, Average price: 0.5143, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.1650
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.1650
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.1215
2024-11-22 10:00: 0.1060
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.1060
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.1065
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.1055
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.1065
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.1065
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.0795
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0795
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0795
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0795
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.0800
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0800
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.0795
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.2290
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.1705
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.0205
2024-11-23 18:00: 0.0205
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0605
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0605
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0610
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0605
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0605
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.0605
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0605
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.0605
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.1695
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 1095.25, Sell volume: 385.01, Average price: 0.8786, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.1730
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0585
2024-11-24 22:00: 0.1755
2024-11-25 00:00: 0.1755
2024-11-25 02:00: 0.1135
2024-11-25 04:00: 0.1140
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.1130
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.1135
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.1135
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.1150
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.1145
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.1155
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.1120
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.0895
2024-11-25 22:00: 0.1065
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.1065
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.0945
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.0940
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.1185
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.1255
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.1200
2024-11-26 12:00: 0.0940
2024-11-26 14:00: 0.0945
2024-11-26 16:00: 0.0940
2024-11-26 18:00: 0.0940
2024-11-26 20:00: 0.0940
2024-11-26 22:00: 0.0940
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.0840
2024-11-27 02:00: 0.0840
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.0840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 238.25, Sell volume: 258.59, Average price: 0.9007, Price range: 0.0273 - 0.9720
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-11-27 08:00: 0.0840
2024-11-27 10:00: 0.0840
2024-11-27 12:00: 0.0840
2024-11-27 14:00: 0.0840
2024-11-27 16:00: 0.0840
2024-11-27 18:00: 0.0835
2024-11-27 20:00: 0.0830
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.0835
2024-11-28 00:00: 0.0505
2024-11-28 02:00: 0.0510
2024-11-28 04:00: 0.0510
2024-11-28 06:00: 0.0510
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.0505
2024-11-28 10:00: 0.0450
2024-11-28 12:00: 0.0370
2024-11-28 14:00: 0.0275
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.0280
2024-11-28 18:00: 0.0280
2024-11-28 20:00: 0.0285
2024-11-28 22:00: 0.0290
2024-11-29 00:00: 0.0255
2024-11-29 02:00: 0.0250
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.0245
2024-11-29 06:00: 0.0245
2024-11-29 08:00: 0.0255
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.0255
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.0205
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.0200
2024-11-29 16:00: 0.0165
2024-11-29 18:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 525.99, Sell volume: 612.97, Average price: 0.9413, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 511406
Question: Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Volume: 172535.86521
Price History:
2024-11-29 22:00: 0.0185
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.0180
2024-11-30 02:00: 0.0185
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.0180
2024-11-30 06:00: 0.0180
2024-11-30 08:00: 0.0180
2024-11-30 10:00: 0.0180
2024-11-30 12:00: 0.0180
2024-11-30 14:00: 0.0180
2024-11-30 16:00: 0.0180
2024-11-30 18:00: 0.0165
2024-11-30 20:00: 0.0165
2024-11-30 22:00: 0.0165
2024-12-01 00:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 02:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 04:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 06:00: 0.0160
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 10:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 12:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 14:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 18:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.0155
2024-12-01 22:00: 0.0150
2024-12-02 00:00: 0.0180
2024-12-02 02:00: 0.0180
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.0180
2024-12-02 06:00: 0.0180
2024-12-02 08:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 816.54, Sell volume: 472.17, Average price: 0.9516, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 175.38, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.7100, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 292.38, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.2738, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 292.38, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.2738, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 292.38, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.2738, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 292.38, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.2738, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 292.38, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.2738, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 292.38, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.2738, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 292.38, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.2738, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 292.38, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.2738, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 292.38, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.2738, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 292.38, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.2738, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 117.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 292.38, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.2738, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 175.38, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.7100, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 292.38, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.2738, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes