Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0530
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0530
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9470
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0530
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0530
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0530
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0530
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0505
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0505
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.0515
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0515
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0550
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.0550
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9455
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9445
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9440
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9440
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9440
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0565
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9440
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9340
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9340
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.9345
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9340
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0655
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0655
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0660
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0660
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9345
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0660
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0660
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9345
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0645
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0645
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9355
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 362.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8306, Price range: 0.0850 - 0.9550

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0640
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0640
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9360
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0645
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9355
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0420
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0420
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0605
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0605
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0605
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9395
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9395
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0605
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.0605
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9395
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0600
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9410
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0645
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0710
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9355
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0645
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0600
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9455
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0590
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0515
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0530
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0565
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0540
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0590
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9415
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0460
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0555
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9520
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9440
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0565
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0545
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0535
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0540
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9465
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9470
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9520
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0525
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9490
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 2246.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9405, Price range: 0.0435 - 0.9760

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0265
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9735
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0265
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0265
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0265
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0265
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9735
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0280
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9720
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0250
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9775
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0280
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9725
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9720
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9720
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0280
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9715
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9720
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9750
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9735
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9710
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9715
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9715
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9720
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9750
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9755
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9820
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9750
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9740
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9630
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9670
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9675
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9650
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9680
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9610
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9615
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9660
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9665
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9665
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9685
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9685
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9620
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9600
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9615
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9630
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9630
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9530
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9565
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 154, Buy volume: 12944.13, Sell volume: 1258.66, Average price: 0.8112, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9830

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9165
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.8655
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.8645
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.8650
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.8610
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.8645
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.8695
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.8805
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.8605
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.8855
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9030
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9140
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9090
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9120
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9110
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9090
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9090
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9120
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9105
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9115
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9065
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9080
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9085
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9030
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9030
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.8995
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.8995
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.8995
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9005
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.8995
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9000
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9015
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.8990
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.8880
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9015
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9015
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9100
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9085
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9085
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9075
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9080
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9080
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9110
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9060
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.8895
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.8860
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 151, Buy volume: 12532.68, Sell volume: 7639.09, Average price: 0.4985, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9115
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9125
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9145
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.8975
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.8910
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.8720
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.2205
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.2150
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0370
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0285
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.1570
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0825
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0620
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0720
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.2000
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.1790
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.1455
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0275
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0065
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0065
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0110
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0120
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0120
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0155
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0150
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0130
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 577, Buy volume: 71977.08, Sell volume: 31593.65, Average price: 0.6764, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.2550
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.2000
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.8100
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.1850
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.1850
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.8200
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.1650
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.1650
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.8350
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.1650
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.8550
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.8550
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.8550
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.1450
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.1450
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 244.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.1400
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.1450
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.8900
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.1100
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.1100
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.8900
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.1100
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.8900
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0950
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9000
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.8950
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9050
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0950
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9050
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0950
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.1000
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9050
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9000
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9050
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0950
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0950
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 94.00, Sell volume: 244.99, Average price: 0.1025, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.1400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9100
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9100
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0900
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0900
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0900
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9100
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0900
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9150
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0850
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9150
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9200
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9200
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0800
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9250
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9250
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0800
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0800
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0800
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9200
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9200
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9200
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 387.63, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5065, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9258
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9150
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0850
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9150
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9150
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.9150
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.1650
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.8950
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.1000
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.1000
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.8950
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.1100
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.1050
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.1050
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.8950
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.1050
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.8900
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.1100
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.1050
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.1050
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.8950
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.8950
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.8950
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.8900
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.1050
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.8950
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.1050
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.8900
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.1050
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 863.43, Sell volume: 1.09, Average price: 0.6975, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.1050
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.8950
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.1050
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.8950
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.8850
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.1050
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.8950
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.8950
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.1000
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.1050
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.1000
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.1000
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9000
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.1000
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9000
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9000
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9000
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.1000
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9000
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9000
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9000
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.1000
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 444.00, Sell volume: 299.99, Average price: 0.1100, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.1200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0950
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9050
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9000
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9000
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9000
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.1000
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9000
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.1000
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9000
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9000
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.1000
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9050
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0950
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9050
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9050
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9050
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0950
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0950
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9050
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0950
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9100
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0900
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9100
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9100
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0750
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0750
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 564.40, Sell volume: 128.33, Average price: 0.5093, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 527.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0600
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9745
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9695
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0305
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0305
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9695
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0300
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9700
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0300
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9700
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9700
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0300
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9700
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1030.22, Sell volume: 323.99, Average price: 0.8706, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0530
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9470
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9470
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9470
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0505
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9495
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0555
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0545
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0555
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9440
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0560
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0560
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0660
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9340
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.9340
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0660
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0655
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0660
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9345
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0645
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0640
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 362.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8306, Price range: 0.0850 - 0.9550
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0640
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9360
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9360
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9580
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0605
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9395
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0605
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9395
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9395
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9390
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0600
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9410
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0710
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9355
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9455
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9420
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0525
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9460
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9415
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0465
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9530
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9435
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0535
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0535
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9475
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9475
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0375
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 2246.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9405, Price range: 0.0435 - 0.9760
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0265
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9735
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0265
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9735
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0280
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9725
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0280
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0275
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9720
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0280
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9750
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0265
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9715
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9705
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9745
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0180
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9740
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0325
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9675
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0320
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9615
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0365
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9685
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0315
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9600
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0380
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9595
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0470
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9580
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 154, Buy volume: 12944.13, Sell volume: 1258.66, Average price: 0.8112, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9830
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.8705
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.1355
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.8610
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.1175
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.8590
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.1145
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9140
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0910
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9095
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0910
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9105
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0930
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9095
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0970
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.8995
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.1000
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.8995
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.1000
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.8990
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.1010
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.8960
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0915
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9075
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0920
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9205
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.1105
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9275
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 151, Buy volume: 12532.68, Sell volume: 7639.09, Average price: 0.4985, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587257
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 154464.329658
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9115
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0930
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.8985
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.1280
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.2150
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9550
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.1025
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9380
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.2000
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.8490
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0310
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0110
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9845
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0130
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 577, Buy volume: 71977.08, Sell volume: 31593.65, Average price: 0.6764, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.5800
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.4200
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.5750
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.5750
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.6700
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.3300
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.3300
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.7100
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.2500
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.2550
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.2550
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.7450
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.7800
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.7800
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.2250
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.7800
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.7750
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.2150
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.7950
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.7950
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.7950
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.7950
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.7950
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.8000
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.8000
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.8050
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.2100
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.2100
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.2100
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.2200
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.2200
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.2200
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.2200
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.2250
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.7750
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.2200
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.2200
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.2050
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.7750
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.2250
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.7750
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.2250
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.2350
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.2350
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1360.51, Sell volume: 172.00, Average price: 0.6645, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.2350
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.2350
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.2250
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.2250
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.2250
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.2250
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.2250
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.2250
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.2250
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.2250
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.2250
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.7450
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.2550
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.7450
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.2550
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.2550
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.2550
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.7450
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.7450
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.2550
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.2550
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.2550
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.7450
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.2550
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.2550
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.7450
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.2650
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.2700
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.2650
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.2600
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.2600
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.2600
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.7550
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.7400
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.7400
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.7350
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.7300
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.7400
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.7300
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.7500
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.2700
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.7300
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.3050
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.7000
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.6900
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.3000
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 979.90, Sell volume: 300.10, Average price: 0.5146, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.3050
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.7150
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.6900
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.6850
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.6950
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.6950
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.2800
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.2800
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.7000
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.7100
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.7100
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.2900
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.2900
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.7150
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.7200
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.2600
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.2900
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.2700
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.2700
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.7300
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.2700
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.2750
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.7250
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.7300
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.7300
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.7300
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.7300
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.7050
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.7200
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.7050
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.7200
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.7100
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.2850
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.7200
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.7250
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.2750
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.2750
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.2800
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.7200
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.2800
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.2800
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.2700
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.7300
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.2700
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.2700
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.2700
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.2700
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1106.25, Sell volume: 1018.17, Average price: 0.6051, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7312

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.7150
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.2850
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.2900
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.2900
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.2950
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.2950
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.2950
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.6950
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.3150
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.3050
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.3700
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.3750
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.3750
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.3800
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.3800
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.3750
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.3750
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.6350
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.6300
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.3550
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.6550
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.6550
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.3450
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.3450
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.6550
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.6550
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.3350
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.3350
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.3350
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.6700
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.3250
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.6800
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.6800
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.6800
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.6800
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.6800
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.6800
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.6800
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.6800
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.6800
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.6800
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.6800
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 633.83, Sell volume: 442.82, Average price: 0.4345, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.3450
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.3350
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.3350
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.3350
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.3300
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.6850
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.6850
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.3150
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.3150
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.3550
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.6450
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.6450
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.3550
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.3550
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.6450
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.6450
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.6350
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.6350
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.6350
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.6350
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.6350
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.6350
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.6350
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.3650
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.6550
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.3550
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.6450
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.3500
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 420.50, Sell volume: 147.87, Average price: 0.4250, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.6800
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.3550
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.3550
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.3550
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.6450
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.3550
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3550
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.6450
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.3550
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.6450
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.6450
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3550
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3550
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3550
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.3550
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3550
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.4100
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.4100
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.6200
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.4000
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.6050
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.5550
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3850
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3850
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.3800
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6200
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.6300
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.6300
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.6400
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.6350
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3650
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1156.27, Sell volume: 672.25, Average price: 0.4237, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.5991

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.3350
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.3350
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.3400
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.6500
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.6500
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.6550
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.3450
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.3400
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.3400
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.6600
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.3350
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.3300
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.6700
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.6650
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.6600
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.3400
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.6550
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.6550
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.6550
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.6550
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.6550
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.6550
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.6550
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.6550
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.6550
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.3450
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.3450
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.3450
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.3450
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.3450
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.3450
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.3450
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.6550
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.6600
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.3400
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.6600
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.6600
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.6600
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.6600
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.6600
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.6600
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.6600
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.6600
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.6100
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.6100
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.6100
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.6150
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 549.84, Sell volume: 380.23, Average price: 0.3639, Price range: 0.3123 - 0.4500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.6150
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.6150
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.6150
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.3850
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.3850
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.4100
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5750
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.6000
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.6000
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.6000
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.3950
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.6150
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.6450
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.3600
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.6400
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.3900
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.3850
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.3850
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.3850
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.3850
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.3800
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.3850
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.3600
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.3350
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.3650
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.3400
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.6600
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.3600
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.6600
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.6400
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.3700
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.6400
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.3750
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.6350
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.3650
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.3650
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.6450
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.3800
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.3800
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.3750
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.3650
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.3500
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.6500
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.3450
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.6350
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.3600
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.6400
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.3600
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.3600
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 2250.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5049, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.3550
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.6450
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.3550
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.6450
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.6250
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.3700
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.6250
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.6250
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.6250
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.3750
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.6200
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.6150
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.6100
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.6100
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.6100
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.6100
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.6100
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.6100
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.3900
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.6100
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.6100
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.6100
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.3900
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.6100
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.3900
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.3950
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.5950
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.6000
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.4000
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.6050
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.6100
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.3900
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.3900
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.6200
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.3850
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.4000
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.4000
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.4100
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.4100
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.4100
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.4100
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 824.79, Sell volume: 200.71, Average price: 0.4243, Price range: 0.3607 - 0.4500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.4300
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.4300
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.4300
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.4300
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.3950
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.3850
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.5700
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.4300
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.4300
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.4450
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.5550
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.5600
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.6000
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.6000
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.6000
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.6000
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.4000
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.6200
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.6250
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.3900
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.6150
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.6250
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.3600
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.6350
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.6300
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.3550
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.3600
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.6300
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.3650
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.6400
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.3650
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.3450
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.3450
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.3600
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.6550
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.3450
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.3350
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.3400
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.3350
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.3350
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.6650
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.6700
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.6700
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.3300
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 4446.69, Sell volume: 552.86, Average price: 0.5315, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.7660

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.7450
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.7400
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.7400
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.7350
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.7400
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.2600
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.7400
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.7500
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.7700
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.2350
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.2350
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.7500
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.7450
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.6500
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.3400
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.3400
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.6550
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.6550
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.6250
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.5400
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.5500
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.5350
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.4950
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.4800
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.5050
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.5050
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.5150
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.5100
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.5100
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.5100
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.4600
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.4750
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.4750
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.4850
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.4850
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.4850
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.4950
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.4850
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.4900
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.5050
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.4900
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.4950
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.5150
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 128, Buy volume: 15333.84, Sell volume: 645.85, Average price: 0.5155, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.6100
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.6150
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.6300
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.6250
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.6100
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.6000
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.6050
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.6050
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.5850
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.6000
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.5950
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.5850
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.6750
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.6650
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.6600
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.6600
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.6550
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.6350
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.6350
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.6350
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.6400
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.6500
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.6500
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.6500
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.6650
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.6650
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.6950
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.7050
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.6950
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.6800
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.6850
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.6850
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.6900
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.6650
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.6850
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.6900
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.7050
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.6900
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.7200
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.7250
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.7350
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.7450
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.7450
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.7350
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 168, Buy volume: 6599.61, Sell volume: 4645.40, Average price: 0.4664, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.8450
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.8450
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.8250
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.8300
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.8450
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9845
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9850
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9775
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9940
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9960
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 169, Buy volume: 18853.68, Sell volume: 10996.22, Average price: 0.5650, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.5800
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.4250
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.3300
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.3300
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.2550
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.2550
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.2550
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.7800
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.2200
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.7850
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.2050
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.7950
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.2050
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.2000
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.1950
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.2100
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.7800
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.2200
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.7800
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.7750
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.7800
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.7750
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.7750
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.2250
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.7650
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.2350
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1360.51, Sell volume: 172.00, Average price: 0.6645, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.2350
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.7650
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.2250
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.7750
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.2250
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.7750
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.7500
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.7450
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.2550
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.7450
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.2550
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.7450
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.2550
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.2550
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.7450
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.7350
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.2700
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.7400
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.7450
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.2450
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.7400
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.2650
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.7350
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.2700
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.2700
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.2650
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.6950
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.3100
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.3100
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 979.90, Sell volume: 300.10, Average price: 0.5146, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.3050
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.3000
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.3050
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.3150
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.6950
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.2850
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.7100
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.2900
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.2900
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.7200
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.2800
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.7300
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.7300
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.7300
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.7300
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.2700
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.7300
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.2850
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.7150
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.2900
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.7200
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.2750
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.2800
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.2800
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.7300
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.2700
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.7300
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.2350
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1106.25, Sell volume: 1018.17, Average price: 0.6051, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7312
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.7150
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.7150
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.2900
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.7050
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.6950
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.6850
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.6250
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.3800
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.6200
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.6400
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.6450
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.6550
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.3450
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.6550
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.3350
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.3350
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.3350
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.6800
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.3200
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.6800
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.6800
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.6800
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.3200
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.6800
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 633.83, Sell volume: 442.82, Average price: 0.4345, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.3450
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.6600
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.3350
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.3200
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.3150
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.3150
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.6450
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.6450
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.6450
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.6450
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.3650
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.6350
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.3650
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.6350
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.6350
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.6450
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.3550
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3500
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 420.50, Sell volume: 147.87, Average price: 0.4250, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.6450
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.6450
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.3550
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.6450
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.3550
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.6450
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.6450
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6450
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.6450
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3550
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6450
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3550
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.5900
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.6200
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3950
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.6150
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.3800
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.6300
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.3650
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3650
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1156.27, Sell volume: 672.25, Average price: 0.4237, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.5991
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.6650
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.6500
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.3500
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.3450
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.6600
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.3350
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.6700
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.6650
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.6600
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.3450
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.3450
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.6550
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.3450
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.3450
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.6550
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.3450
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.6550
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.3450
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.3450
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.3400
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.6600
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.6600
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.3400
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.6600
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.6600
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.6100
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.3950
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.6150
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 549.84, Sell volume: 380.23, Average price: 0.3639, Price range: 0.3123 - 0.4500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.6150
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.6150
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.3850
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.5900
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.6000
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.6000
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.6100
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.3550
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.6400
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.6100
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.3850
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.6150
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.3850
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.6600
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.3400
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.3400
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.6600
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.6300
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.3650
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.3650
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.3650
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.6400
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.3650
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.6350
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.6500
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.3550
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.3600
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.6400
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.3550
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 2250.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5049, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.3550
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.3550
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.3550
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.6250
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.3750
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.6250
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.3750
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.3850
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.6100
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.3900
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.3900
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.6100
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.6100
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.3900
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.3900
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.6000
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.6000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.6100
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.6100
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.3850
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.6000
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.4100
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.5900
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 824.79, Sell volume: 200.71, Average price: 0.4243, Price range: 0.3607 - 0.4500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.5700
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.4300
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.6050
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.5700
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.5700
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.4350
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.4400
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.4050
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.5950
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.3800
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.3900
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.3850
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.3650
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.6350
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.6300
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.6350
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.3650
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.6600
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.6550
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.6550
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.3400
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.6650
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.3350
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.3300
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.6650
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 4446.69, Sell volume: 552.86, Average price: 0.5315, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.7660
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.7450
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.7400
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.7400
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.7400
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.7500
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.7700
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.3500
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.6600
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.6550
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.3550
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.5350
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.4650
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.4800
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.5150
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.4900
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.4600
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.5250
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.4850
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.5150
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.4850
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.5900
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 128, Buy volume: 15333.84, Sell volume: 645.85, Average price: 0.5155, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.6100
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.3600
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.6150
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.4000
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.6050
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.4200
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.5950
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.4150
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.6650
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.3400
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.6550
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.3650
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.6400
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.3500
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.6550
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.3350
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.7050
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.3200
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.6850
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.3100
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.6850
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.3050
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.6900
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.2800
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.2750
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.7350
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.2550
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.7450
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 168, Buy volume: 6599.61, Sell volume: 4645.40, Average price: 0.4664, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587259
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 75126.044938
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.8450
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.8400
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.1100
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9850
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0130
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0195
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 169, Buy volume: 18853.68, Sell volume: 10996.22, Average price: 0.5650, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.1450
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.1450
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.1450
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.1450
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.1450
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.1450
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.8600
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.1200
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.1250
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.8750
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.1250
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.8850
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.1150
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.8950
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.1100
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.1050
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.8950
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.1000
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9000
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9000
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.1000
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0850
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0900
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0900
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0900
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9200
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0800
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0900
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0900
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0800
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0900
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9100
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0700
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0600
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0600
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0600
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9400
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0450
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9550
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0450
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9550
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9550
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9550
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1056.70, Sell volume: 984.84, Average price: 0.8486, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0350
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0350
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9705
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0295
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9705
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0295
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9705
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0295
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0295
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9705
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0295
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9705
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0295
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9705
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9705
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0295
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0295
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9705
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9705
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0295
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9705
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0295
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9705
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9705
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9705
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0295
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0295
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9705
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0295
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0295
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9705
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0245
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0245
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0245
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0245
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0245
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0245
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0240
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0240
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9760
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0245
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0245
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0245
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0245
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0245
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0245
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0245
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0245
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0245
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1009.00, Average price: 0.0288, Price range: 0.0277 - 0.0300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0240
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9760
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9755
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9755
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9755
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9755
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9755
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0245
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0245
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0245
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0245
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0245
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0245
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0245
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9755
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9760
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9755
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9755
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0245
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9755
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0245
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0245
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0245
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0245
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0245
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9755
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9755
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0245
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0245
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9755
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9755
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9755
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9755
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0250
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9750
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9745
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9745
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0250
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0255
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0255
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0255
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0250
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9745
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0255
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9745
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9745
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9745
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9745
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9745
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1227.58, Average price: 0.6543, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9722

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9825
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.9825
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0185
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9750
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9725
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9710
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0290
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0270
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0290
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.9710
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9720
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9715
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9715
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9715
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9715
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0280
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9715
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9745
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9715
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9715
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.9730
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9725
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9720
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9715
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9715
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9715
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9715
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9720
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9720
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9715
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0280
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9725
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9715
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9720
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0260
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9715
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9730
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9710
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9715
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.0280
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9710
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0285
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9715
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0285
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9730
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0290
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0285
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9715
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.9715
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 310.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5015, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9730

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9720
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.9710
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9720
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.9715
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9720
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0280
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9720
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9715
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9720
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9710
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9720
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0285
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9715
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0290
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9735
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0250
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9730
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0290
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9715
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0285
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0270
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0270
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0275
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0275
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0275
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0205
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0205
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0190
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0190
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0190
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0200
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0200
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0200
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0200
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0200
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9775
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9780
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9780
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9780
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9780
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9785
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9780
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9755
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9760
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0245
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9755
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9760
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9755
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0240
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 578.21, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.0241, Price range: 0.0183 - 0.0300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9750
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9750
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9750
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9750
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9750
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9830
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9830
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9830
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9810
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9805
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9810
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9810
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0190
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0190
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0190
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9810
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9810
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9810
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0190
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9810
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9805
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9810
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9810
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9810
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9810
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9810
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9805
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9810
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9810
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9810
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0190
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0190
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0190
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9810
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9770
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9775
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0475
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0475
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0425
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0420
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0425
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0425
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0425
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0425
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9575
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9570
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0440
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0440
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0440
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3625.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0373, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.0410

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0425
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9580
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0410
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9590
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9590
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0415
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0415
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0415
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9590
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0410
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9590
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9590
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0410
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9590
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0410
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9590
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0410
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9590
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0410
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9590
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0415
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0410
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0410
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0410
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0410
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0410
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9590
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0410
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9590
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0410
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0410
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9590
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0410
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9585
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9585
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0420
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9580
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0415
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0415
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9585
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9590
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0410
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9590
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0410
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9590
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9015
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9015
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0985
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0830
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9750, Price range: 0.9750 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9275
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9275
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9270
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0685
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0670
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0555
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9125
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0840
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0870
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0820
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0905
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0860
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0845
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0845
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0845
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0725
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0725
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0730
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0705
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9385
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9280
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0520
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0565
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9435
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0555
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9435
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9460
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9435
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0565
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0565
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9445
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0565
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0560
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9435
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9435
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0550
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9445
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0555
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9455
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9435
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9435
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1738.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9291, Price range: 0.0940 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9550
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0450
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9545
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0455
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9545
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0455
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0445
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9565
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9540
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.9530
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0470
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0470
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9530
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0470
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0465
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0465
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9530
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0485
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9530
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0505
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9480
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9480
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0830
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0840
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0870
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0870
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0870
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0870
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0870
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0870
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9130
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0870
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9065
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9175
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.8850
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.8880
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.8755
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9175
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9175
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0830
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9290
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0705
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0505
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0505
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0510
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0510
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0510
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0510
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 338.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9327, Price range: 0.8950 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0515
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0630
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9370
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0635
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0635
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0815
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0825
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9175
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0825
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0825
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0825
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.1055
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.8945
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.9140
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.1500
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.1260
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0910
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.8485
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.8535
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.8530
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8635
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.8715
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.8770
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.1235
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8670
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1175
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.1175
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.8855
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.1170
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.1150
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.8860
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.8855
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.1155
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.1145
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.1155
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.8840
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.1665
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.8315
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.8315
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.1775
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.8155
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.8555
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.8495
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.8605
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.8665
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.8675
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.1350
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.1335
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.8665
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.1330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 6828.98, Sell volume: 21.60, Average price: 0.5928, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9550

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.1390
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.8620
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.1380
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.8625
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.1375
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.8630
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.8530
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.8325
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.8435
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.1370
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.8655
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.8540
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.8545
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.1455
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.1395
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.1515
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.8420
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.8440
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.8880
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.8870
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.1115
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.8875
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.8885
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.1115
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.1115
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.1110
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.1020
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0965
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.1025
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.1180
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0965
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0960
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0990
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0885
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.1130
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0895
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0940
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0950
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.1045
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.1075
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.1080
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0960
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.1125
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.1160
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.1160
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0895
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0965
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0940
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0995
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.1015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 159, Buy volume: 17555.67, Sell volume: 2909.05, Average price: 0.6911, Price range: 0.0792 - 0.9297

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0945
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0985
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0935
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0770
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0635
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0545
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0545
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0540
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0590
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.1995
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.2135
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.2175
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.2515
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.2465
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.2425
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.2510
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.2595
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.2475
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.2520
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.2520
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.2445
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.2530
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.2530
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.2295
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.2240
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.2245
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.2390
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.2310
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.2315
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.2610
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.2530
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.2660
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.2590
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.2145
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.2265
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.2325
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.2320
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.2220
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.2285
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.2270
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.2270
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.2090
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.1980
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.2020
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.1960
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.1810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 181, Buy volume: 11006.19, Sell volume: 13958.00, Average price: 0.3579, Price range: 0.0444 - 0.9560

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.1470
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.1305
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0755
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.1390
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.1445
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.1180
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0045
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0040
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 145, Buy volume: 17734.98, Sell volume: 22569.32, Average price: 0.3087, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.8550
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.1450
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.8550
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.8600
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.8700
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.1250
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.1150
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.8950
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.8950
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.1000
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.1000
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.1000
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9100
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9150
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9100
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0900
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9100
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0800
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9100
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0600
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9400
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9400
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0450
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9550
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0450
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9550
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1056.70, Sell volume: 984.84, Average price: 0.8486, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0350
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0295
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0295
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9705
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0295
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9705
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9705
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9705
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9705
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0295
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0295
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9705
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0295
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9705
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9705
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9705
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0295
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0295
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0245
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9755
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0245
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9755
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9755
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9755
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0245
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9755
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0245
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9755
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0240
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1009.00, Average price: 0.0288, Price range: 0.0277 - 0.0300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0240
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9755
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0245
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0245
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0245
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9755
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0245
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9755
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9755
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9755
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0245
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0245
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0245
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9765
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9760
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0245
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0245
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0245
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9750
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9750
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9745
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9745
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0255
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9745
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9745
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9745
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0255
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0255
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0255
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1227.58, Average price: 0.6543, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9722
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9825
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9825
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9715
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0290
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0270
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.0275
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9725
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0285
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9715
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9720
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9715
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0285
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9725
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0285
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9715
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0285
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9720
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0280
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9710
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0280
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9715
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.0285
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0285
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0290
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9715
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9750
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0285
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0285
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0285
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 310.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5015, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9730
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9720
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.0285
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9720
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9720
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9715
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0285
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0280
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0285
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9735
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0250
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0285
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9715
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0270
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9725
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0200
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9795
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0190
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9805
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0200
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9800
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9775
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0220
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9785
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0215
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9755
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0240
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9760
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0245
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9760
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 578.21, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.0241, Price range: 0.0183 - 0.0300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9750
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0250
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0250
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0170
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9830
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0190
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0190
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9810
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0190
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0190
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9810
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0190
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9810
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9810
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9810
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0195
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9810
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0190
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9810
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0190
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9775
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9525
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0425
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9575
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0425
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9575
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0440
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9560
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0440
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3625.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0373, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.0410
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0425
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9580
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9590
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9585
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0415
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9590
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0410
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9590
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0410
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0410
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9590
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0410
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0410
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9590
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9590
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0410
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9590
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9590
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9590
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0415
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0420
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9585
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9580
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0410
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9590
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0410
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0985
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9015
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9170
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9750, Price range: 0.9750 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9275
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9310
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9320
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9445
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9125
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9135
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9195
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9095
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9155
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0725
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9275
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0730
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9340
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0675
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0520
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0555
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0565
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0565
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9435
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0565
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0545
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9440
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9435
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9450
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9470
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0565
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9435
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1738.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9291, Price range: 0.0940 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9550
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9550
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9545
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9545
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9565
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9555
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9530
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0470
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0465
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0465
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9530
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9480
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9480
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0870
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9130
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0870
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.9130
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0870
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0935
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.8850
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.1115
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9175
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9170
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0705
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9495
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0510
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9490
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9495
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 338.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9327, Price range: 0.8950 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0515
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9370
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9370
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9185
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9175
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0825
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.1055
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.1055
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.1500
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.8740
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.8320
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.1470
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.8715
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.8780
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.1330
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.8825
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.1170
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.1150
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.8840
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.8855
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.8840
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.1675
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.8185
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.1845
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.8495
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.1345
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.8660
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.8665
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.1330
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.1445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 6828.98, Sell volume: 21.60, Average price: 0.5928, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9550
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.1390
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.1380
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.1385
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.1370
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.8325
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.1370
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.8525
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.1455
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.1395
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.1565
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.8890
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.1130
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.8875
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.1105
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.1115
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.8980
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.1025
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.8995
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0975
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9115
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0895
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9135
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.1075
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8920
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.1125
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.8835
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9060
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.1015
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.8915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 159, Buy volume: 17555.67, Sell volume: 2909.05, Average price: 0.6911, Price range: 0.0792 - 0.9297
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9005
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0670
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9365
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9425
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0515
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9410
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.2135
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.7745
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.2120
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.7490
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.2475
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.7485
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.2535
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.7470
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.2240
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.7630
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.2355
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.7390
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.2660
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.7440
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.2335
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.7680
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.2285
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.7755
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.1985
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.7980
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.1810
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.8210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 181, Buy volume: 11006.19, Sell volume: 13958.00, Average price: 0.3579, Price range: 0.0444 - 0.9560
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587261
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 104047.372263
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.1470
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.8695
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.1440
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.8820
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0040
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 145, Buy volume: 17734.98, Sell volume: 22569.32, Average price: 0.3087, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes