Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.3300
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.6700
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.3350
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.6550
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.3650
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.6250
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.6250
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.6250
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.3850
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.6000
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.4050
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.5800
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.5800
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.4300
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5750
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.4250
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.5450
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.5400
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.4200
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.4200
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.4150
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.5900
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.5900
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.4550
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.5150
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.5100
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.6250
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.3600
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.6650
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.2950
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.7050
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.3000
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.7100
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.2750
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.7200
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.8000
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.1900
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.8050
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.7900
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.2300
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.3350
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.3550
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 200031, Buy volume: 19474176.91, Sell volume: 2526717.82, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.4950
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.5050
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.4850
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.5700
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.4750
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.5200
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.4850
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.4550
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.6050
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.3950
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.6200
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.3850
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.6000
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.4050
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.4500
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.5250
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.5150
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.4800
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.5550
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.4400
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.5550
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.4450
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.5900
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.3650
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.6250
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.4050
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.7000
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.2700
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.7250
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.2750
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.7850
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 760, Buy volume: 155029.69, Sell volume: 35914.18, Average price: 0.5826, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.5050
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.4450
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.3650
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.3750
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.3750
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.3700
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.3700
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.3500
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.3750
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.3600
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.3600
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.3600
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.3550
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.3400
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.3350
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.3450
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.3450
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.3450
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.3450
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.3450
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.3450
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.3450
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.3450
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.3450
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.3450
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.3450
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.3450
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.3450
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.3450
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 151848, Buy volume: 11732192.46, Sell volume: 4017278.70, Average price: 0.4797, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.3500
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.3500
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.3500
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.3550
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.3550
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.3550
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.3550
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.3550
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.3550
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.3500
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.3400
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.3400
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.3000
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.3000
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.2900
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.2850
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.2800
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.2800
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.2800
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.2650
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.2900
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.2850
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.2850
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.2850
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.2950
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.2950
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.3000
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.3050
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.3000
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111888, Buy volume: 5184543.74, Sell volume: 2870007.12, Average price: 0.5624, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.3000
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.3000
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.3000
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.2950
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.2950
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.2950
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.2950
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.2950
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.2950
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.2950
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.2950
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.2950
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.2950
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.3050
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.3050
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.3050
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.3050
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.3050
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.3050
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.3050
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.3050
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.3050
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.3050
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.3050
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.3050
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.3050
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.3100
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.3100
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.3100
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17982, Buy volume: 1760193.86, Sell volume: 350529.12, Average price: 0.3478, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.3050
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.3050
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.3050
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.3050
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.3050
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.3050
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.3050
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.3050
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.3050
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.3050
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.3050
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.3050
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.3050
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.3050
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.3050
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.3100
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.3100
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.3100
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.3050
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.3050
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.3050
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.3050
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.3050
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.3050
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.3050
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.3050
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.3050
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.3050
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.3050
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23976, Buy volume: 1235493.58, Sell volume: 1226272.50, Average price: 0.3058, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.3200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.2950
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.2950
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.2950
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.2950
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.2950
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.2950
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.2950
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.2950
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.2950
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.2950
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.2950
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.2950
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.3050
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.3050
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.3050
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.3050
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.3100
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.3100
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.3300
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.3400
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.3450
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.3350
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.3350
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.3350
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.3350
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.3350
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.3300
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.3250
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.3250
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25974, Buy volume: 3017276.69, Sell volume: 908230.86, Average price: 0.3478, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.3250
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.3250
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.3250
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.3250
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.3250
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.3300
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.3300
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.3300
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.3300
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.3300
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.3300
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.3300
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.3300
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.3300
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.3300
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.3300
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.6700
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.6700
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.6700
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.3300
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.3300
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.6700
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.3650
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.3450
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.6550
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.3350
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.3350
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.3350
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.6650
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41958, Buy volume: 925443.99, Sell volume: 2935921.14, Average price: 0.3934, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.3300
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.6700
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.6500
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.3550
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.3350
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.3350
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.6650
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.3350
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.3350
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.3350
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.3350
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.3350
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.3350
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.3250
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.6750
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.6750
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.3250
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.3250
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.6750
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.6750
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.3250
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.3300
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.6700
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.3300
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.6700
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.3300
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.6700
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.3300
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23976, Buy volume: 385601.62, Sell volume: 761218.02, Average price: 0.4408, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.6700
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.6700
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.6700
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.6700
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.3300
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.3300
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.3350
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.3600
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.3750
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.6250
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.6250
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.6150
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.4000
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.4050
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.5950
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.5900
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.5800
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.3850
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.6100
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.6100
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.6150
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.6150
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.6150
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.6150
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.6200
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.6750
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.3350
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.6950
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77922, Buy volume: 4041697.01, Sell volume: 1065413.52, Average price: 0.4941, Price range: 0.3050 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.6950
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.6950
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.6950
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.6800
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.6850
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.6650
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.6600
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.6700
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.6600
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.6700
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.6700
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.6650
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.6700
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.6750
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.6750
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.3350
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.3350
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.6700
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.6600
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.6650
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.3350
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.3350
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.3350
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.6700
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.6800
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15984, Buy volume: 2747651.15, Sell volume: 64315.62, Average price: 0.3655, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.3200
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.3150
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.3300
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.3300
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.3250
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.3250
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.6700
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.3300
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.3250
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.6750
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.6800
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.3350
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.3350
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.6650
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.6650
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.3350
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.6650
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.3450
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.3450
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.3450
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39960, Buy volume: 5407392.08, Sell volume: 2034703.26, Average price: 0.4354, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3550
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.3450
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6650
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3450
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.6350
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.6550
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.6550
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.3450
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.3450
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.3450
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.6450
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.3550
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.6300
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.6400
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.6450
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.6550
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.6550
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.6550
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.3500
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.6500
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.3750
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.3800
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.3150
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.6850
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.7000
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.2900
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.2900
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 263736, Buy volume: 16465871.88, Sell volume: 3488408.10, Average price: 0.5508, Price range: 0.2950 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.3300
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.6650
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.3450
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.3750
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.3750
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.3750
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.4050
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.5800
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.5700
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.5750
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.5350
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.4200
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.4150
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.4100
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.5450
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.5150
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.4850
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.3550
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.3100
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.7050
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.7000
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.2700
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.2800
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.8100
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.1950
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2400
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 200031, Buy volume: 19474176.91, Sell volume: 2526717.82, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.4950
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.4800
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.4700
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.4800
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.5900
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.5750
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.6000
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.5850
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.5250
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.4700
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.5150
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.5300
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.5600
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.5550
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.6400
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.6350
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.6900
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.7250
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.6800
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 760, Buy volume: 155029.69, Sell volume: 35914.18, Average price: 0.5826, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.5000
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.7250
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.1700
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.8600
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.1250
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.8750
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.1250
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.8800
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.1200
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.8750
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.1200
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.8450
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.1500
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.8500
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.1500
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.8550
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.1450
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.8450
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.1550
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.8450
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.1550
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.8500
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.1850
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.8150
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.1850
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.8150
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.1850
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.8150
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.1850
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.8150
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.1850
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.8150
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.1850
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.8150
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.1850
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.8150
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.8150
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.8150
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.1850
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.8150
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.1850
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.8150
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.1850
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.8150
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.1850
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.8150
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.1850
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 134, Buy volume: 12672.62, Sell volume: 1052.57, Average price: 0.6862, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.8150
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.8150
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.1850
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.8150
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.1850
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.8150
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.1850
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.8150
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.1850
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.8150
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.1850
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.8150
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.1950
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.8050
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.1950
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.8050
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.1950
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.8050
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.2000
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.8000
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.2000
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.8000
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.2050
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.7950
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.1950
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.8050
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.1950
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.8050
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.1950
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.8050
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.1950
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.8050
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.1950
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.8050
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.1950
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.8050
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.1950
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.8050
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.1950
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.8050
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.1950
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.8050
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.1950
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.8050
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.1950
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.8050
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.1950
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 11063.21, Sell volume: 127.38, Average price: 0.6916, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9061

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.1650
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.8350
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.1600
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.8400
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.1500
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.8500
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.1500
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.8500
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.1550
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.8450
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.1550
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.8450
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.1650
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.8350
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.1650
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.8450
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.1550
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.8450
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.1550
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.8450
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.1550
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.8450
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.1550
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.8450
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.1550
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.8400
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.1600
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.8400
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.1600
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.8400
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.1600
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.1650
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.8350
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.1700
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.8350
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.1650
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.8350
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.1650
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.8350
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.1700
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.8250
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.1750
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.8300
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.1750
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.8300
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.1700
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.8250
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.1750
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1738.36, Sell volume: 400.74, Average price: 0.2793, Price range: 0.1421 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.1750
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.8250
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.1750
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.8250
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.1750
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.8250
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.1750
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.8250
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.1750
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.8250
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.1750
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.8250
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.1750
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.8250
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.1750
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.8250
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.1650
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.8350
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.1650
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.8350
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.1650
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.8350
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.1650
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.8350
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.1650
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.8350
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.1650
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.8350
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.1650
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.8350
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.1650
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.8350
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.1650
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.8350
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.1650
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.8350
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.1650
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.8350
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.1550
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.8450
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.1550
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.8450
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.1550
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.8400
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.1600
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.8400
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.1600
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.8400
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.1600
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 379.41, Sell volume: 600.00, Average price: 0.2475, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.1600
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.8400
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.1600
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.8400
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.1600
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.8400
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.1600
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.8400
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.1600
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.8400
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.1600
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.8400
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.1600
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.8400
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.1600
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.8400
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.1600
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.8400
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.1600
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.8400
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.1600
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.8400
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.1600
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.8400
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.1600
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.8400
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.1650
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.8350
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.1650
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.8350
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.1650
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.8350
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.1650
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.8300
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.1800
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.8200
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.1800
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.8200
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.1850
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.8050
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.1950
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.8050
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.1950
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.8050
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.1950
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.7850
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.2150
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.7850
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.2150
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1923.80, Sell volume: 400.00, Average price: 0.2744, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.2350
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.7650
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.2350
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.7650
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.2350
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.7650
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.2350
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.7650
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.2350
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.7650
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.2350
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.7650
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.2350
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.7650
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.2350
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.7650
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.2350
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.7650
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.2350
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.2350
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.2350
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.7650
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.7650
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.7650
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.2350
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.2350
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.2350
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.2350
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.7650
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.2350
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.2350
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.2350
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.7650
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.2600
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.7400
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.2400
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.7550
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.2400
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 614.00, Sell volume: 298.81, Average price: 0.3030, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.7600
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.7550
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.7550
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.7550
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.2450
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.2450
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.2450
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.2450
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.7600
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.2400
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.7650
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.2350
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.7650
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.7650
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.2350
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.2450
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.7550
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.2450
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.2450
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.7550
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.2450
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.7450
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.7450
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.2550
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.7450
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.2350
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.2350
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.2350
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.2350
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.2350
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.7650
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.2450
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.2550
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.2550
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 386.34, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.4785, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.7550
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.7750
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.7750
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.7650
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.7750
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.7750
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.7750
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.7750
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.7750
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.2350
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.7850
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.7750
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.2250
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.2050
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.7950
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.7950
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.7900
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.2050
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.2050
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.2050
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.7950
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.2050
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.7950
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.2000
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.8000
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.8000
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.2050
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.7850
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.7850
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.2150
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.7850
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.2150
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.7850
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.2150
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.7850
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.7800
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.2200
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.7800
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.2200
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.7800
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.7350
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.2650
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.2850
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.7050
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.7050
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.2950
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.2950
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.7050
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 3558.30, Sell volume: 2128.55, Average price: 0.5838, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.7000
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.7050
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.2650
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.7350
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.2650
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.2800
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.2900
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.7100
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.2650
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.2800
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.7350
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.2600
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.7400
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.2600
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.7400
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.2600
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.2600
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.2600
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.2600
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.7500
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.7500
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.7500
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.7500
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.7500
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.2500
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.2500
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.7500
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.7500
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.7500
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.2500
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.2500
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.7500
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.7500
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.7500
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.7500
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.7500
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.7500
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.2500
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.7500
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.7500
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.2500
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.7500
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.2500
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.7500
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.2500
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.7500
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.2500
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1201.26, Sell volume: 923.89, Average price: 0.3942, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.7500
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.2550
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.7450
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.2550
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.7300
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.2750
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.2800
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.2850
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.2850
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.7150
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.2850
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.2950
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.2950
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.2900
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.7150
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.2850
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.2850
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.2850
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.7150
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.7050
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.6850
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.6800
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.6850
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.6850
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.7050
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.6950
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.2850
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.3100
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.6900
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.6900
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.6900
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 5046.38, Sell volume: 1063.54, Average price: 0.4488, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3350
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3350
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3350
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.3750
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.6150
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.6150
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.3950
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.3950
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.3950
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.6050
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.6050
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.3950
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.6100
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.5900
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.4050
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.4050
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.4100
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.4100
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.5900
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.5750
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.4250
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.4250
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.5750
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.4250
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.4300
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5700
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.5700
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.5700
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.4550
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.5600
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.5700
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.5050
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.5050
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.4950
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.4950
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.5100
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.4650
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.5300
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.4600
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 116, Buy volume: 13778.05, Sell volume: 2461.45, Average price: 0.5066, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.5150
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.5250
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.5250
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.5350
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.4350
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.5550
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.4400
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.5600
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.3850
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.3900
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.3700
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.6550
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.3450
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.6450
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.3300
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.6900
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.4050
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.4050
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.3950
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.5950
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.4050
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.6650
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.7400
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.7150
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.3950
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.6350
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.3500
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.6400
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.5800
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.4400
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.4400
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.5600
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.5550
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.4550
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.5150
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.5150
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.4750
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.5550
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.4350
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.5700
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5050
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.4950
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.3850
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.5750
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 370, Buy volume: 40807.14, Sell volume: 16888.53, Average price: 0.4927, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7528

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.6750
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.3400
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.7000
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.3050
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.6850
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.3150
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.6600
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.4150
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.5900
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.4550
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.5550
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.2950
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.6950
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.3300
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.7800
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.1650
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.8350
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.1450
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.8550
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.1450
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.8600
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.1400
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.8550
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.8800
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0400
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9450
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 493, Buy volume: 39961.06, Sell volume: 35167.33, Average price: 0.4342, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.5000
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.2800
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.1300
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.1250
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.1250
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.1150
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.1200
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.1450
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.1450
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.1500
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.1450
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.1550
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.1550
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.1500
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.1850
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.1850
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.1850
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.1850
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.1850
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.1850
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.1850
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.1850
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.1850
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.1850
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.1850
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.1850
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.1850
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 134, Buy volume: 12672.62, Sell volume: 1052.57, Average price: 0.6862, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.1850
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.1850
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.1850
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.1850
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.1850
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.1850
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.1850
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.1850
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.1950
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.1950
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.1950
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.1950
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.2000
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.2000
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.2050
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.1950
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.1950
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.1950
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.1950
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.1950
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.1950
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.1950
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.1950
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.1950
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.1950
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.1950
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.1950
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.1950
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 11063.21, Sell volume: 127.38, Average price: 0.6916, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9061
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.1650
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.1600
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.1550
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.1500
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.1500
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.1550
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.1550
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.1550
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.1650
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.1550
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.1550
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.1550
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.1550
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.1550
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.1550
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.1550
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.1600
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.1600
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.1600
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.1650
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.1650
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.1650
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.1650
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.1750
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.1750
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.1750
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.1700
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.1700
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1738.36, Sell volume: 400.74, Average price: 0.2793, Price range: 0.1421 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.1750
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.1750
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.1750
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.1750
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.1750
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.1750
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.1750
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.1750
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.1750
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.1750
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.1650
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.1650
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.1650
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.1650
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.1650
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.1650
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.1650
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.1650
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.1650
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.1650
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.1650
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.1650
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.1650
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.1650
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.1550
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.1600
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.1600
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.1600
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 379.41, Sell volume: 600.00, Average price: 0.2475, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.1600
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.1600
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.1600
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.1600
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.1600
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.1600
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.1600
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.1600
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.1600
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.1600
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.1600
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.1600
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.1600
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.1600
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.1600
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.1600
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.1650
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.1650
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.1650
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.1650
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.1700
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.1800
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.1800
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.1800
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.1950
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.1950
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.1950
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.2100
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.2150
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1923.80, Sell volume: 400.00, Average price: 0.2744, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.2350
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.2350
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.2350
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.2350
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.2350
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.2350
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.2350
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.2350
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.2350
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.2350
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.2350
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.2350
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.7650
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.7650
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.2350
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.2350
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.2350
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.7650
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.7650
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.2350
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.7400
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.7400
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.7550
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 614.00, Sell volume: 298.81, Average price: 0.3030, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.7450
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.7500
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.2550
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.2450
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.2450
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.2450
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.2400
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.2350
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.2350
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.7650
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.2450
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.7550
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.7550
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.7550
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.2450
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.2450
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.7450
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.2550
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.2450
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.7650
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.2350
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.7650
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.2450
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 386.34, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.4785, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.7550
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.7750
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.2350
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.2250
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.2250
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.2250
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.7650
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.7700
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.7950
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.2050
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.2050
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.2050
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.2050
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.2050
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.2000
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.2000
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.7850
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.2150
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.2150
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.2150
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.7850
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.7800
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.2200
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.2200
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.2650
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.2750
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.2950
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.2950
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 3558.30, Sell volume: 2128.55, Average price: 0.5838, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.2950
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.2500
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.7350
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.7200
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.7150
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.2650
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.2650
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.2600
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.2600
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.2600
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.2600
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.2600
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.7500
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.2500
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.2500
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.7500
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.7500
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.7500
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.7500
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.2500
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.2500
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.7500
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.7500
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.7500
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.2500
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.2500
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.2500
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.2500
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1201.26, Sell volume: 923.89, Average price: 0.3942, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.7500
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.7450
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.2550
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.7250
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.7150
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.7150
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.2850
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.2950
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.7150
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.7150
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.7150
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.7050
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.3200
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.3150
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.2950
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.3000
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.3100
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.6900
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.6900
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.6900
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 5046.38, Sell volume: 1063.54, Average price: 0.4488, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.6700
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.3350
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.6050
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.6100
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.6050
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.6050
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.4050
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.5950
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.4100
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.4100
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.4250
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.5750
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.4350
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4300
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.5700
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.4550
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.4350
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.5050
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.4950
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.4950
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 116, Buy volume: 13778.05, Sell volume: 2461.45, Average price: 0.5066, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.5150
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.5250
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.4650
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.4450
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.4400
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.3850
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.3850
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.3400
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.6450
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.3300
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.4050
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.3950
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.4000
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.3350
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.2850
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.3050
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.4000
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.5700
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.4400
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.4400
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.4550
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.5100
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.5400
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.4250
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.4700
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.5100
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 370, Buy volume: 40807.14, Sell volume: 16888.53, Average price: 0.4927, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7528
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550017
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 195810.803766
Price History:
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.3450
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.3150
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.3550
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.4150
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.4350
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.3150
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.3050
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.1600
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.1450
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.1450
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.1400
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.1450
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.1000
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.1150
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0600
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 493, Buy volume: 39961.06, Sell volume: 35167.33, Average price: 0.4342, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.2500
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9795
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0165
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.9915
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0035
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.9980
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0020
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.9980
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 3902.62, Sell volume: 2364.05, Average price: 0.8162, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9985
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.9985
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 1990.80, Sell volume: 2132.52, Average price: 0.8992, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 333.35, Sell volume: 5985.26, Average price: 0.9723, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 19.59, Sell volume: 513.66, Average price: 0.8561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.9985
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.9985
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9985
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2077.74, Sell volume: 3074.35, Average price: 0.6246, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.9985
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.9985
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.9985
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.9985
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.0015
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.9985
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9985
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.9985
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.9985
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.9985
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.9985
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.9985
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.0015
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9985
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.9985
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9985
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9985
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1075.17, Sell volume: 978.01, Average price: 0.7492, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9985
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9985
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9985
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.9985
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.9985
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9985
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.9985
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.9985
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0015
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.9985
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.9985
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.9850
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0040
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9960
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9960
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9960
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.9950
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.0050
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0055
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0050
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9945
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9950
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.9950
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1550.69, Sell volume: 1632.41, Average price: 0.8879, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0070
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.9915
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.9930
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.9925
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.0070
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.9930
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.9930
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9930
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0075
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.0070
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.0055
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0055
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0055
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9945
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9945
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0055
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0055
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0055
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9945
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0055
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9945
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0055
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9945
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9945
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0055
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0055
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0055
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0055
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0055
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9945
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9945
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9945
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0045
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9955
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0045
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9955
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0045
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0050
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 1397.91, Sell volume: 20.19, Average price: 0.9279, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1721.98, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.8554, Price range: 0.0059 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9960
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0040
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0040
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9960
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0040
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0040
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9960
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9960
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9960
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 645.64, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.6661, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0045
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9965
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0030
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1980.22, Sell volume: 497.49, Average price: 0.6310, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 400, Buy volume: 33956.72, Sell volume: 19057.01, Average price: 0.8313, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9970
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9960
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0065
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0190
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9980
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9620
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 78, Buy volume: 17257.10, Sell volume: 1828.07, Average price: 0.7819, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.2500
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0160
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0020
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 3902.62, Sell volume: 2364.05, Average price: 0.8162, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 1990.80, Sell volume: 2132.52, Average price: 0.8992, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 333.35, Sell volume: 5985.26, Average price: 0.9723, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 19.59, Sell volume: 513.66, Average price: 0.8561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2077.74, Sell volume: 3074.35, Average price: 0.6246, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.0015
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.9985
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.9985
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.0015
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.9985
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.0015
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.0015
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1075.17, Sell volume: 978.01, Average price: 0.7492, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.9985
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.9940
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.0040
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0040
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0050
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.9945
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.9945
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1550.69, Sell volume: 1632.41, Average price: 0.8879, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0070
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.0070
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.0075
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.0070
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.9925
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0075
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.9940
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9945
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.9945
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0055
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0055
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0055
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0055
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0055
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9945
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9945
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9945
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0055
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9945
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9945
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9955
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9955
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0045
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 1397.91, Sell volume: 20.19, Average price: 0.9279, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1721.98, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.8554, Price range: 0.0059 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9960
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0040
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0040
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 645.64, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.6661, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9965
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1980.22, Sell volume: 497.49, Average price: 0.6310, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 400, Buy volume: 33956.72, Sell volume: 19057.01, Average price: 0.8313, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550018
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 53013.728055
Price History:
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9950
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9795
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9620
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 78, Buy volume: 17257.10, Sell volume: 1828.07, Average price: 0.7819, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518104
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 174194.328716
Price History:
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.2300
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.1700
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.1900
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.1750
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.1750
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.1750
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.1750
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.1750
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.1750
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.1750
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.1750
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.1750
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.1750
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.1600
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.1600
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.1650
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.1650
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.1650
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.1600
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.1600
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.1600
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.1600
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.1600
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.1600
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.1600
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.1650
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.1600
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.1600
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.1600
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.1600
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.1550
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.1600
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.1600
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.1600
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.1600
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.1600
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.1600
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.1600
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.1600
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.1600
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.1600
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.1600
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.1600
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.1600
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.1650
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.1750
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.1750
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.1750
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 69037002.52, Sell volume: 22620904.90, Average price: 0.5169, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518104
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 174194.328716
Price History:
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.1650
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.1650
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.1650
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.1650
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.1650
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.1650
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.1550
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.1650
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.1650
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.1650
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.1650
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.1650
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.1600
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.1600
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.1550
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.1550
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.1550
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.1550
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.1550
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.1550
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.1550
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.1550
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.1550
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.1550
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.1550
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.1550
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.1550
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.1550
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.1550
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.1550
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.1550
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.1550
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.1550
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.1550
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.1550
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.1550
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.1550
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.1550
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.1550
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.1550
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.1550
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.1550
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.1550
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.1550
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.1550
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.1550
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.1600
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.1600
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.1600
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 69037002.52, Sell volume: 22620904.90, Average price: 0.5169, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518104
Question: Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 174194.328716
Price History:
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.1800
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.1850
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.1850
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.1850
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.1850
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.1800
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.1800
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.1800
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.1800
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.2150
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.2400
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.2400
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.2350
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.2450
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.2450
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.2450
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.2450
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.2650
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.2500
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.2550
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.2550
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.2300
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.2350
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.2250
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.2250
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.2250
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.2250
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.2250
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.2250
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.2200
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 69037002.52, Sell volume: 22620904.90, Average price: 0.5169, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes