Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.2300
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.7700
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.2350
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.7650
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.7650
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.2350
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.7700
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.2300
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.2300
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.7700
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.2350
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.7650
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.2350
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.7650
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.2350
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.7650
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.2400
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.7600
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.2400
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.7600
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.2400
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.7600
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.2400
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.7600
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.3750
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.6250
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.3750
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.6250
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.6150
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.3850
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.4050
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.5950
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.4050
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.5950
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.4050
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 35.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6712, Price range: 0.4223 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.5950
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.4050
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.4050
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.5950
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.4150
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.5850
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.4050
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.5950
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.4000
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.6000
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.4000
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.6000
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.4000
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.6000
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.4000
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.6000
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.4000
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.6000
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.4000
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.6000
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.4000
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.6000
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.6100
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.3900
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.3900
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.6100
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.6100
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.3900
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.3900
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.6100
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.3900
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.6100
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.6100
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.3900
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.3900
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 34.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4733, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.5700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.3650
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.6350
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.3700
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.6300
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.3700
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.6300
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.6300
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.3700
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.6300
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.3700
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.3700
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.6300
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.6300
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.3700
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.3700
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.6300
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.6250
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.3750
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.3750
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.6250
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.6100
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 55.95, Sell volume: 4.46, Average price: 0.4892, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.3950
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.6050
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.6050
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.3950
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.3950
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.6050
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.6050
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.3950
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.3950
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.6050
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.3950
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.6050
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.6050
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.3950
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.6050
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.3950
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.6050
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 63.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6300, Price range: 0.6300 - 0.6300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.3950
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.6050
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.6100
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.6100
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.6100
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.5950
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.5950
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.4050
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.4050
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.5950
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.4050
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.5950
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.5950
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.4050
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.4050
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.5950
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.4050
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.5950
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.4100
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.5900
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.4050
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 10278.43, Sell volume: 439.64, Average price: 0.5441, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.4050
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.5950
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.4050
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.5950
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.4050
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.5950
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.5950
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.4050
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.4000
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.6000
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.4000
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.6000
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.6100
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.6100
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.6100
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.6100
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.6100
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 10278.43, Sell volume: 439.64, Average price: 0.5441, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.6050
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.3950
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.6050
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.3950
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.6050
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.3950
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.6050
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.3950
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.6050
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 74.39, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4033, Price range: 0.4033 - 0.4033

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.4600
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.5400
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.4600
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.5400
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.5400
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.4600
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.5400
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.4600
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.5400
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.4600
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.5400
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.4600
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.4600
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.5400
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.5300
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.4700
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.4700
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.5300
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.5300
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.4700
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.5300
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.4700
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.5250
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.4750
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.4200
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.5800
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.4000
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.6000
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.3950
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.6050
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.3950
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.6050
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.3950
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.6050
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.3950
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 577.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5642, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.6384

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.3950
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.6050
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.3950
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.6050
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.3950
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.6050
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.3950
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.6050
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.3950
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.6050
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.6100
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.3900
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.3900
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.6100
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.3900
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.6100
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.3900
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.6100
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.3900
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.6100
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.3850
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.6150
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.3850
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.6150
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.3850
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.6150
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.3850
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.6150
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.3850
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.6150
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.6150
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.3850
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.3850
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.6150
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.6150
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 8.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.6200
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.3800
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.6200
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.3800
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.6200
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.3800
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.6200
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.3800
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.6200
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.3800
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.6200
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.3800
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.6200
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.3800
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.6200
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.3800
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.6200
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.3800
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.6200
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.3800
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.3800
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.6200
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.6250
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.3750
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.6250
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.3750
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.6250
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.3750
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.3750
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.6250
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.6250
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.3750
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.6250
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.3750
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.6200
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 26.65, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6110, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.6931

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.3800
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.6200
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.3800
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.6200
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.6200
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.3800
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.6200
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.3800
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.6250
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.3750
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.6250
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.3750
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.6250
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.3750
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.3750
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.6250
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.6250
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.3750
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.6250
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.3750
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.6300
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.3700
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.6300
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.3700
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.6450
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.3550
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.3550
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.6500
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.3500
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.6500
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.3500
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.6500
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.3500
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.3500
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 10278.43, Sell volume: 439.64, Average price: 0.5441, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.6500
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.6500
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.6500
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.6500
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.6500
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.6500
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.6500
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.6500
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.6500
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.6500
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.3450
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.6550
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.6550
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.3450
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.6550
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.3450
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.6600
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.3400
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.3400
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.6600
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.6550
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.3450
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.2950
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.7050
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.1000
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 252.44, Sell volume: 140.57, Average price: 0.2921, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.4000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0700
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9350
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0650
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0650
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9350
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9350
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0650
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9350
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0650
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9350
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0650
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0650
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9350
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.1000
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9000
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.1000
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9000
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9000
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.1000
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.1950
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.8050
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.1950
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.8050
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.1950
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.8050
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.2800
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.7200
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.2800
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.7200
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.2800
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.7200
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.2800
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.7200
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.2800
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 14.22, Sell volume: 108.15, Average price: 0.3349, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8395

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.2300
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.7700
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.2350
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.7650
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.7650
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.2350
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.7700
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.2300
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.2300
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.7700
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.2350
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.7650
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.2350
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.7650
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.2350
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.7650
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.2400
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.7600
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.2400
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.7600
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.2400
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.7600
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.2400
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.7600
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.3750
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.6250
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.3750
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.6250
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.6150
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 35.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6712, Price range: 0.4223 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.5950
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.4050
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.4050
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.5950
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.4150
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.5850
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.4050
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.5950
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.4000
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.6000
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.4000
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.6000
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.4000
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.6000
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.4000
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.6000
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.4000
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.6000
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.4000
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.6000
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.4000
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.6000
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.6100
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.3900
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.3900
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.6100
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.6100
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.3900
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.3900
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 34.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4733, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.3650
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.6350
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.3700
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.6300
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.3700
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.6300
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.6300
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.3700
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.6300
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.3700
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.3700
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.6300
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.6300
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.3700
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.3700
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.6300
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.6250
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.3750
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.3750
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.6250
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 55.95, Sell volume: 4.46, Average price: 0.4892, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.3950
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.6050
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.6050
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.3950
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.3950
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.6050
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.6050
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.3950
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.3950
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.6050
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.3950
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 63.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6300, Price range: 0.6300 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.3950
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.6050
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.6100
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.6100
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.6100
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.5950
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.5950
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.4050
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.4050
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.5950
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.4050
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.5950
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.5950
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.4050
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.4050
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 10278.43, Sell volume: 439.64, Average price: 0.5441, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.4050
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.5950
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.4050
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.5950
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.4050
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.5950
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.5950
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.4050
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.4000
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.6000
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.4000
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.6000
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.6100
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.6100
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.6100
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.6100
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.6100
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 10278.43, Sell volume: 439.64, Average price: 0.5441, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.6050
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.3950
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.6050
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 74.39, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4033, Price range: 0.4033 - 0.4033
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.4600
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.5400
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.4600
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.5400
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.5400
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.4600
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.5400
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.4600
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.5400
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.4600
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.5400
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.4600
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.4600
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.5400
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.5300
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.4700
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.4700
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.5300
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.5300
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.4700
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.5300
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.4700
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.5250
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.4750
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.4200
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.5800
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.4000
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.6000
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.3950
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 577.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5642, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.6384
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.3950
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.6050
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.3950
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.6050
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.3950
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.6050
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.3950
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.6050
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.3950
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.6050
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.6100
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.3900
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.3900
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.6100
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.3900
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.6100
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.3900
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.6100
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.3900
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.6100
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.3850
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.6150
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.3850
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.6150
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.3850
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.6150
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.3850
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.6150
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.3850
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 8.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.6200
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.3800
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.6200
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.3800
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.6200
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.3800
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.6200
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.3800
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.6200
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.3800
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.6200
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.3800
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.6200
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.3800
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.6200
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.3800
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.6200
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.3800
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.6200
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.3800
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.3800
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.6200
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.6250
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.3750
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.6250
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.3750
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.6250
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.3750
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.3750
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 26.65, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6110, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.6931
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.3800
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.6200
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.3800
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.6200
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.6200
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.3800
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.6200
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.3800
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.6250
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.3750
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.6250
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.3750
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.6250
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.3750
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.3750
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.6250
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.6250
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.3750
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.6250
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.3750
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.6300
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.3700
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.6300
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.3700
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.6450
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.3550
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.3550
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.6500
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 10278.43, Sell volume: 439.64, Average price: 0.5441, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.6500
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.6500
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.6500
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.6500
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.6500
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.6500
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.6500
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.6500
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.6500
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.6500
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.3450
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.6550
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.6550
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.3450
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.6550
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.3450
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.6600
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.3400
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.3400
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 252.44, Sell volume: 140.57, Average price: 0.2921, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.4000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587233
Question: Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?
Volume: 12718.066721
Price History:
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0700
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9350
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0650
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0650
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9350
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9350
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0650
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9350
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0650
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9350
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0650
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0650
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9350
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.1000
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9000
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.1000
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9000
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9000
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.1000
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.1950
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.8050
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.1950
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.8050
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.1950
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.8050
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.2800
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.7200
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.2800
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 14.22, Sell volume: 108.15, Average price: 0.3349, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8395
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.4900
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.5100
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.3450
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.6550
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.3400
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.6600
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.3400
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.6600
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.3400
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.6600
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.3350
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.6650
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.3350
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.6650
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.3350
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.6650
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.3050
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.6950
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.2850
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.7150
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.2900
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.7100
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.2950
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.7050
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.3000
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.7000
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.3000
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.7000
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.3000
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.7000
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.3000
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.7000
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.3000
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.7000
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.3000
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 842.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5558, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.3050
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.6950
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.3100
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.6900
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.3050
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.6950
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.3100
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.6900
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.3100
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.6900
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.3150
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.6850
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.3150
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.6850
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.3150
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.6850
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.3150
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.6850
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.3050
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.6950
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.3050
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.6950
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.3150
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.6850
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.3150
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.6850
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.3150
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.6850
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.3150
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.6850
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.3150
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.6850
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.3150
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.6850
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.3150
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 54990.98, Sell volume: 54822.37, Average price: 0.5512, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.3150
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.6850
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.3150
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.6850
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.3200
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.6800
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.3250
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.6750
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.3350
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.6650
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.3350
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.6650
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.3350
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.6650
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.3250
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.6750
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.3250
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.6750
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.3200
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.6800
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.3200
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.6800
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.3200
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.6800
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.3250
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.6750
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.3250
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.6750
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.3300
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.6700
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.3300
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.6700
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.3300
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.6700
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.3300
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 343.69, Sell volume: 33.77, Average price: 0.5611, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.3300
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.6700
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.3300
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.6700
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.3300
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.6700
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.3300
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.6700
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4550
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4500
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5500
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.4350
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.5650
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.4350
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.5650
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 443.16, Sell volume: 64.51, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.4300
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.5700
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.4300
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.5700
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.4300
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.5700
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.4300
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.5700
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.4300
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.5700
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 566.61, Sell volume: 4.28, Average price: 0.5720, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.5875

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 74.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.5900 - 0.5900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.4200
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.5800
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.4200
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5800
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.4300
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.5700
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.4300
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.5700
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.4300
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.5700
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.4300
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.5700
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.4300
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.5700
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.4300
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.5700
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.4300
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.4300
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.72, Sell volume: 23.00, Average price: 0.5700, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.5800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.4300
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.4350
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.5650
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.4350
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.5650
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.4350
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.5650
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.4350
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.5650
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.4350
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.5650
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.4300
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.4300
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.4200
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.5800
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.4200
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.5800
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.4200
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.5800
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.3750
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.6250
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.3450
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.6550
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.3450
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.6550
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.3350
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.6650
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.3250
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.6750
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.3200
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.6800
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.3300
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 28394.37, Sell volume: 27363.47, Average price: 0.5628, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.3150
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.6850
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.2900
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.7100
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.2850
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.7150
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.2850
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.7150
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.2850
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.2900
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.7100
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.2900
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.7100
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2950
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.7050
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.2900
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7100
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.2950
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.7050
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.2900
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.7100
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.2900
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.7100
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 519.51, Sell volume: 7.94, Average price: 0.4100, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.2750
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.7250
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.2750
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.7250
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.2750
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.7250
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2750
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.7250
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.2750
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.7250
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.2750
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.7250
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.2750
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.7250
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.2750
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.7250
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.2750
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.7250
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2750
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.7250
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.2750
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7250
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.2750
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.7250
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2750
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.7250
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.2750
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 421.22, Sell volume: 117.58, Average price: 0.5490, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7659

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.2800
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.7200
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.2950
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.7050
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.2900
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.7100
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.2900
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.7100
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.2800
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.7200
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.2800
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.7200
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.2800
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.7200
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.2800
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.7200
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.2800
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.7200
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.2800
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 505.53, Sell volume: 75.67, Average price: 0.4729, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.2800
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.7200
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.2800
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.7200
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.2800
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.7200
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.2800
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.7200
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2800
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.7200
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.7150
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.7150
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.7150
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.7150
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.7150
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.7150
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.7150
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.7150
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.7150
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.7150
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.7150
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.7150
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 306.18, Sell volume: 304.98, Average price: 0.6337, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.3150
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.6850
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.3150
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.6850
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.3200
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.6800
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.3400
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.6600
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.3550
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.6450
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.3500
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.6500
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.5150
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.4850
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.7650
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2350
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9955
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9970
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0030
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9970
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0030
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9970
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 134, Buy volume: 41210.48, Sell volume: 8838.24, Average price: 0.5693, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.4900
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.5100
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.3450
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.6550
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.3400
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.6600
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.3400
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.6600
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.3400
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.6600
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.3350
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.6650
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.3350
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.6650
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.3350
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.6650
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.3050
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.6950
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.2850
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.7150
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.2900
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.7100
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.2950
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.7050
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.3000
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.7000
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.3000
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.7000
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.3000
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 842.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5558, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.3050
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.6950
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.3100
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.6900
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.3050
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.6950
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.3100
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.6900
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.3100
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.6900
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.3150
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.6850
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.3150
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.6850
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.3150
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.6850
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.3150
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.6850
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.3050
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.6950
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.3050
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.6950
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.3150
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.6850
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.3150
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.6850
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.3150
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.6850
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.3150
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 54990.98, Sell volume: 54822.37, Average price: 0.5512, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.3150
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.6850
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.3150
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.6850
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.3200
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.6800
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.3250
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.6750
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.3350
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.6650
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.3350
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.6650
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.3350
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.6650
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.3250
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.6750
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.3250
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.6750
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.3200
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.6800
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.3200
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.6800
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.3200
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.6800
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.3250
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.6750
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.3250
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.6750
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.3300
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 343.69, Sell volume: 33.77, Average price: 0.5611, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.3300
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.6700
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.3300
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.6700
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.3300
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.6700
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.3300
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.6700
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4550
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4500
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5500
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.4350
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.5650
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.4350
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.5650
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 443.16, Sell volume: 64.51, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.4300
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.5700
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.4300
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.5700
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.4300
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.5700
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.4300
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.5700
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.4300
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.5700
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 566.61, Sell volume: 4.28, Average price: 0.5720, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.5875
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 74.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.5900 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.4200
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.5800
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.4200
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5800
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.4300
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.5700
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.4300
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.5700
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.4300
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.5700
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.4300
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.5700
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.4300
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.72, Sell volume: 23.00, Average price: 0.5700, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.5800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.4300
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.4350
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.5650
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.4350
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.5650
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.4350
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.5650
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.4350
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.5650
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.4350
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.5650
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.4300
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.4300
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.4200
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.5800
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.4200
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.5800
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.4200
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.5800
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.3750
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.6250
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.3450
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.6550
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.3450
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.6550
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.3350
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 28394.37, Sell volume: 27363.47, Average price: 0.5628, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.3150
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.6850
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.2900
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.7100
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.2850
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.7150
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.2850
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.7150
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.2850
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.2900
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.7100
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.2900
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.7100
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2950
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.7050
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.2900
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7100
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.2950
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.7050
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.2900
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 519.51, Sell volume: 7.94, Average price: 0.4100, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.2750
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.7250
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.2750
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.7250
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.2750
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.7250
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2750
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.7250
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.2750
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.7250
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.2750
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.7250
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.2750
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.7250
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.2750
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.7250
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.2750
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.7250
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2750
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.7250
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.2750
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 421.22, Sell volume: 117.58, Average price: 0.5490, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7659
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.2800
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.7200
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.2950
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.7050
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.2900
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.7100
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.2900
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.7100
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.2800
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.7200
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.2800
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.7200
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.2800
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 505.53, Sell volume: 75.67, Average price: 0.4729, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.2800
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.7200
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.2800
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.7200
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.2800
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.7200
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.2800
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.7200
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2800
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.7200
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.7150
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.7150
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.7150
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.7150
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.7150
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.7150
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.7150
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.7150
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.7150
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 306.18, Sell volume: 304.98, Average price: 0.6337, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539253
Question: Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?
Volume: 230936.194481
Price History:
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.3150
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.6850
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.3150
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.6850
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.3200
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.6800
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.3400
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.6600
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.3550
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.6450
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.3500
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.6500
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.5150
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.4850
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.7650
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2350
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9955
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 134, Buy volume: 41210.48, Sell volume: 8838.24, Average price: 0.5693, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.4250
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.1800
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.1800
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.1850
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.1500
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.1700
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.1700
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.1800
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.1800
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.1750
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.1250
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.1650
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.4600
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.3100
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.3250
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.2750
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.2200
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.2100
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.1900
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.1950
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.1950
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.1900
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.1850
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.1850
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.1750
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.1750
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.1550
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.1550
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.1800
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.1900
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.2000
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.1850
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.1950
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.1950
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.2050
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.2250
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.2250
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.2250
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.2400
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.2400
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.2350
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.2550
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.2350
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.2350
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.2350
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.2400
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.2400
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.2400
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.2400
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 178.57, Sell volume: 18.91, Average price: 0.5569, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.7650
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.7650
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.7600
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.7600
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.7600
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.7600
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.7550
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.7600
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.7600
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.7600
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.7600
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.7500
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.7400
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.7400
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.7400
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.7300
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.7300
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.7550
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.7650
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.7650
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.7650
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.7650
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.7650
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.7650
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.7650
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.7650
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.7450
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.7450
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.7450
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.7450
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.7450
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.7450
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.7500
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.7500
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.7500
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.7500
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.7500
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.7600
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.7600
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.7600
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.7600
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.7650
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.7600
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 78.11, Sell volume: 3.33, Average price: 0.2956, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.3400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2400
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.2400
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.2400
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.2400
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.2400
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.2400
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.2400
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.2400
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.3300
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.2000
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.2000
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.2000
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.2000
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.1750
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.5200
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.3800
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.3750
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.3700
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.3700
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.3450
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.3450
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.3450
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.3200
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.3250
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.3150
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.3150
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.3300
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.3200
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.3000
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.2950
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.2950
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.2950
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.2950
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.2950
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.2950
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.2800
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.2800
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.2750
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.2700
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.2700
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.2950
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.2950
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.2550
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.2650
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.2700
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.2700
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.2950
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.2950
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1079.46, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5021, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.7100
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.7100
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.7100
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.7100
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.7100
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.7100
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.7100
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.7100
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.7050
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.7050
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.7050
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.7050
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.7050
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.6950
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.7000
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.7050
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.2950
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.7000
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.7050
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.7000
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.7050
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.7050
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.7050
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.2950
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.7050
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.7050
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.5250
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.4750
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.6000
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.4000
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.6100
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.4000
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.3900
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.3950
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.6050
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.3950
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.3950
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.3950
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.3950
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.3950
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.3950
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.3950
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.3950
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.6050
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.6050
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.6050
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.6400
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.6550
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 219.60, Sell volume: 10.61, Average price: 0.5260, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.6550
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.3450
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.6550
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.6550
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.3450
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.3450
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.6300
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.6300
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.3700
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.6300
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.6550
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.6500
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.6500
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.6500
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.3450
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.3450
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.7100
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.7200
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.2900
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.2850
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.2850
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.7200
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.7100
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.7800
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.7800
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.7600
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.2400
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.7600
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.2400
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.2400
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.2400
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.2400
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.2400
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.2400
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.7950
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.7950
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.8150
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.1850
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.8000
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.8000
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.8000
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.8000
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.8000
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.8000
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.8000
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.8000
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 113.90, Sell volume: 79.04, Average price: 0.3929, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.7300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.8000
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.2000
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.2000
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.8000
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.2000
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.2000
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.2000
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.8000
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.2000
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.8000
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.2000
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.8000
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.7400
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.7400
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.2600
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.7400
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.7400
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.7400
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.7400
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.2600
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.2600
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.7450
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.7450
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.2550
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.2300
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.2300
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.2300
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.2300
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.2350
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.2350
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.8000
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.2000
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.8000
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.2000
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.8000
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.2000
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.8000
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.2000
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.2000
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.2000
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.2000
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.8000
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.2000
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.2000
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.8000
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.2000
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.8000
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.8000
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 109.97, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.5018, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.2000
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.2000
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.2000
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.2000
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.2000
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.8000
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.8000
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.2000
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.2000
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.8000
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.2000
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.8000
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.8000
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.2000
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.2000
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.2000
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.2000
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.2000
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.2000
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.2000
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.8000
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.8000
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.8000
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.8000
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.8000
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.8000
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.8000
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.8000
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.8000
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.8000
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.7950
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.7950
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.2050
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.2050
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.7950
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.2050
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.1550
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.8450
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.1550
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.1550
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.1550
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.7950
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.2050
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.7950
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.2050
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.2050
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.2050
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.7950
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.2050
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 54.17, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2939, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.2978

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.2050
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.2050
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.7950
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.2050
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.2050
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.2050
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.2050
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.7950
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.2000
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.2000
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.8000
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.2000
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.7950
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.7950
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.7950
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.7950
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.2050
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.7950
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.7950
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.7950
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.7950
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.7950
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.7950
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.7950
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.7950
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.2050
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.8200
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.8200
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.1800
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.1700
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.1700
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.1700
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.1700
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.8300
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.8300
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.8300
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.8300
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.8300
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.8350
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.8300
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 122.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7584, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.8350
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.8350
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.1700
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.8300
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.8300
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.8300
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.1600
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.1600
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.1550
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.8450
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.8600
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.1350
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.8600
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.1350
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.1350
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.8750
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.8800
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.8750
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.8750
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.8000
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.2150
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.2150
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.2150
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.2150
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.2150
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.2150
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.2150
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.2150
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.7850
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.2150
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.2150
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.2150
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 80.47, Average price: 0.7837, Price range: 0.7375 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.1600
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.8400
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.8350
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.1650
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.8350
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.1650
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.1600
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.1600
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.1500
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.8500
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.1600
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.1600
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.8450
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.1600
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.8400
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.7100
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.7050
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.7050
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.7050
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.2850
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.2850
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.2500
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.2500
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.2450
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.7500
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.7550
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.7550
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.2450
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.7550
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.7500
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.7550
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.2500
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.7550
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.7500
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.2050
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.1800
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.8050
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.7950
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.7950
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.7500
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.7500
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.2450
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.2450
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.7650
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.7650
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.8500
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 42.73, Sell volume: 128.71, Average price: 0.3682, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.2400
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.2400
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.7600
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.7600
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.7550
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.8300
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.8400
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.8550
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.1450
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.8450
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.8450
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.8850
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.7900
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.7700
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.8750
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.1250
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.8750
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.1250
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.1250
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.1250
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.1250
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.1250
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.1300
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.3250
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.4100
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.4400
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.4400
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.4400
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.4400
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.6200
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.5200
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.5600
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.5400
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.4500
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.4450
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.4400
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.4400
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.2900
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.2650
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.2650
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.2650
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.2950
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.3150
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.3250
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.3100
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 484.11, Sell volume: 282.08, Average price: 0.4428, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8732

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.7850
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.8000
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.8050
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.8100
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.8050
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.7900
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.7900
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.7900
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.7850
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.7850
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.7950
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.8200
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.7750
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.7750
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.7750
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.7300
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.7300
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.7350
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.7450
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.7700
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.7750
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.7800
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.7750
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.7700
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.7700
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.7350
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.7900
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.7800
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.7900
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.8000
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.8400
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.8400
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.8500
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.7450
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.7400
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 884.83, Sell volume: 420.56, Average price: 0.6148, Price range: 0.1682 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.2500
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.2500
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.2500
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.2500
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.1900
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.2550
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.2550
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.3250
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.6350
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.7600
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.8150
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.6750
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.6350
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.6900
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.7150
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.6900
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7000
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.6850
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.6800
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.6800
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.6750
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.7250
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.7200
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.6500
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.6150
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.6600
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5700
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.6600
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.6850
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.6850
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6850
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 670, Buy volume: 29334.24, Sell volume: 10280.86, Average price: 0.5842, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8817

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.4250
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.8200
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.1500
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.8300
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.1800
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.8250
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.1250
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.5500
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.3450
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.6800
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.2100
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.8150
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.1900
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.8150
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.1750
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.8350
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.1450
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.8100
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.1850
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.8050
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.2050
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.7750
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.2350
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.7600
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.2400
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.7650
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.2400
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.7600
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.2400
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 178.57, Sell volume: 18.91, Average price: 0.5569, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.7650
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.2400
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.7600
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.7600
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.2400
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.7600
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.2600
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.7400
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.2700
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.7550
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.2350
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.7650
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.2350
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.7650
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.2350
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.7450
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.2550
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.7500
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.2400
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.7600
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.2400
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.7600
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 78.11, Sell volume: 3.33, Average price: 0.2956, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.3400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2400
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.7600
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.2400
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.7600
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.2400
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.4650
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.2000
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.8000
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.5200
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.6250
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.3700
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.6550
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.3450
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.6450
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.3300
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.6850
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.3250
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.6900
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.2950
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.7050
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.2950
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.7050
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.2800
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.7300
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.2950
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.7050
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.2700
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.7300
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.2950
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1079.46, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5021, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.7100
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.2900
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.7100
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.2900
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.7100
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.2950
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.7050
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.2950
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.6950
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.7050
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.7000
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.3000
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.7050
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.2950
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.7000
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.2950
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.5150
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.4000
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.4000
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.6050
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.3950
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.6050
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.3950
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.6050
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.6050
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.6050
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.3950
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.3950
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.6550
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 219.60, Sell volume: 10.61, Average price: 0.5260, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.6550
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.6550
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.6550
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.6550
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.3700
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.3700
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.3500
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.3500
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.6500
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.3500
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.7200
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.7100
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.2900
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.7100
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.2200
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.7600
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.2400
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.7600
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.2400
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.7600
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.7950
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.1850
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.1850
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.2000
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.8000
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.2000
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.8000
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 113.90, Sell volume: 79.04, Average price: 0.3929, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.8000
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.8000
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8000
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.8000
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.2000
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.8000
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.2000
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.2450
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.7400
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.2600
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.7400
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.2600
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.7400
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.2550
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.2550
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.2300
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.7700
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.7650
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.8000
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.2000
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.2000
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.8000
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.8000
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.2000
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.8000
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.2000
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.8000
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.8000
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.8000
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 109.97, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.5018, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.2000
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.8000
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.8000
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.2000
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.8000
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.2000
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.2000
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.8000
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.2000
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.8000
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.2000
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.8000
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.8000
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.2000
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.8000
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.2000
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.2000
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.8000
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.2050
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.2050
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.7950
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.7950
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.1550
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.8450
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.2050
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.7950
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.2050
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.2050
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.7950
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 54.17, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2939, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.2978
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.2050
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.7950
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.7950
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.7950
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.7950
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.2000
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.2000
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.8000
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.7950
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.2050
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.2050
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.2050
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.7950
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.2050
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.2050
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.7950
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.7950
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.1800
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.1700
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.8300
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.8300
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.1700
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.8300
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.1650
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.8300
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 122.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7584, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.1650
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.1700
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.1700
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.8400
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8450
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.1350
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.1400
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.1350
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.1250
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.8750
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.1600
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.2150
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.7850
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.2150
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.2150
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.2200
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.2150
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.2150
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 80.47, Average price: 0.7837, Price range: 0.7375 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.1600
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.8350
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.8350
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.1650
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.1600
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.8450
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.1600
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.1550
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.8450
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.2900
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.7050
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.7050
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.7150
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.7500
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.2450
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.7500
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.7500
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.2450
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.2450
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.7500
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.7500
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.8200
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.8050
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.2100
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.7500
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.2500
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.2450
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.2350
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8600
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 42.73, Sell volume: 128.71, Average price: 0.3682, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.2400
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.2400
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.2400
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.2450
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.8400
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.1350
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.8450
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.8800
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.2300
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.8750
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.8750
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.8750
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.1250
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.8750
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.3150
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.5900
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.4400
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.5600
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.6350
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.4350
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.4050
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.4500
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.5600
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.2850
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.7350
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.2650
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.7350
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.3100
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 484.11, Sell volume: 282.08, Average price: 0.4428, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8732
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.7850
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.1950
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.8100
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.1950
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.8050
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.2100
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.7850
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.2050
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.7750
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.2700
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.7500
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.2250
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.7800
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.2250
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.2450
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.2100
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.7900
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.1700
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.8500
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.2550
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 884.83, Sell volume: 420.56, Average price: 0.6148, Price range: 0.1682 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558665
Question: Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Volume: 89592.135579
Price History:
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.2500
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.7550
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.2500
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.7500
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.8100
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.2550
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.2700
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.3350
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.6900
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.7200
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.3150
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.6800
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.3450
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.7150
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.2800
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.6500
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.3400
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.6150
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.3100
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6850
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 670, Buy volume: 29334.24, Sell volume: 10280.86, Average price: 0.5842, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8817
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630976
Question: Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479.792563
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.4750
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.5250
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5100
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.5100
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5100
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.4900
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 3.23, Sell volume: 4.30, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No