Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.5000
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.4950
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.5050
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.4900
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.5100
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.4900
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.5100
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.4900
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.5100
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.4900
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.5100
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.4900
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.5100
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.4900
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.5100
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.4900
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.5100
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.4900
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.5100
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.4900
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.5100
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.4900
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.5100
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.4900
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.5100
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.4900
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.5100
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.4950
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.5050
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.4950
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.5050
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.4850
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.5150
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.4750
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.5250
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.4800
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.5200
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.4800
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.5200
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.5100
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.4900
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.5050
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.4950
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.5100
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.4900
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.5350
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.4650
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 21001.11, Sell volume: 1274.53, Average price: 0.5292, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.6650
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.3350
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.6550
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.3450
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.6550
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.3450
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.6400
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.3600
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.6450
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.3550
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.6700
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.3300
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.6500
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.3500
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.6450
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.3550
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.6650
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.3350
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.6650
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.3350
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.6600
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.3400
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.6100
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.3900
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.6150
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.3850
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.6350
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.3650
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.6350
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.3650
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.6500
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.3500
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.6700
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.3300
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.6600
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.3400
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.6650
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.3350
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.6550
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.6550
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.6550
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.6600
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.3400
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.6600
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.3400
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.6600
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 8315.60, Sell volume: 1128.17, Average price: 0.5726, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6986

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.3250
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.6850
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.3150
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.6850
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.3150
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.6750
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.3250
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.6900
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.3100
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.6800
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.3200
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.6850
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.3150
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.6600
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.3400
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.6500
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.3500
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.6650
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.3350
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.6700
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.3300
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.6500
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.3500
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.6600
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.3400
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.6600
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.3400
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.7500
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.2500
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.7750
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.2250
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.7650
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.2350
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.7600
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.2400
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.7850
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.2150
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.7600
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.2400
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.8000
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.2000
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.8150
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.1850
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.8250
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.1750
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.8100
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.1900
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 5659.10, Sell volume: 7559.02, Average price: 0.5554, Price range: 0.1732 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.7850
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.2150
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.7500
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.2500
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.7500
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.2500
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.7550
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.2450
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.7450
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.2550
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.7750
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.2250
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.7700
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.2300
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.7850
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.2150
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.8000
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.2000
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.7600
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.2400
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.7200
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.2800
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.7200
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.2800
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.7550
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.2450
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.7850
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.2150
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.7650
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.2350
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.7900
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.2100
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.7850
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.2150
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.7650
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.2350
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.7800
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.2200
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.7600
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.2400
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.7350
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.2650
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.7500
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.2500
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.7650
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.2350
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.7900
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.2100
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.7650
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 2095.65, Sell volume: 3020.79, Average price: 0.6565, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.2050
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.7850
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.2150
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.8150
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.1850
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.7600
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.2400
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.7600
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.2400
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.7600
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.2400
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.7600
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.2400
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.7600
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.2400
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.7600
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.2400
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.7600
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.2400
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.7650
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.2350
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.7850
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.2150
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.7550
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.2450
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.7450
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.2550
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.7400
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.2600
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.7350
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.2650
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.7250
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.2750
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.7500
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.2500
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.7550
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.2450
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.6850
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.3150
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.6450
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.3550
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.6400
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.3600
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.6400
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.3600
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.6400
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.3600
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.6400
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.3600
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 6210.43, Sell volume: 573.49, Average price: 0.4933, Price range: 0.2336 - 0.8173

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.6400
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.3600
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.6400
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.3600
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.6400
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.3600
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.6400
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.3600
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.6400
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.3600
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.6350
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.3650
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.6450
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.3550
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.6500
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.3500
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.6450
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.3550
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.6450
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.3550
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.6450
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.3550
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.5450
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.4550
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.5850
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.4150
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.5900
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.4100
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.6000
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.4000
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.6000
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.4000
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.4050
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.5950
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.4050
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.5900
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.4100
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.5900
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 708.44, Sell volume: 2204.53, Average price: 0.6065, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.6000
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.4000
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.5450
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.4550
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.5350
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.4650
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.5550
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.4450
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.5800
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.4200
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.5900
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.4100
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.5900
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.4100
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.5900
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.4100
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.5950
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.4050
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.5900
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.4100
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.5900
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.4100
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.5900
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.4100
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.5900
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.4100
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.5900
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.4100
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.5900
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.4100
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.6000
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.4000
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.5950
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.4050
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.5900
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.4100
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.5650
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.4350
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.5200
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.4800
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.5100
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.4900
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89, Buy volume: 127664.39, Sell volume: 119081.79, Average price: 0.5149, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8746

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.1850
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.8150
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.2700
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.7300
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.2900
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.7100
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.2100
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.7900
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.1900
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.8100
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.8050
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.1800
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.8200
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.1750
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.8250
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.1500
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.8500
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.1500
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.8500
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.1650
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.8350
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.1900
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.8100
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.1900
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.8100
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.1950
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.8050
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.1900
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.8100
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.1800
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.8200
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.1750
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.8250
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.1800
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.8200
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.1750
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.8250
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.1750
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.8250
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0900
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9100
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0800
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.9200
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.0250
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.9750
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.0255
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121, Buy volume: 25311.52, Sell volume: 7381.66, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0204 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.9755
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0225
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.9775
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0175
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.9825
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.0175
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.9825
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.0170
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.9830
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.0220
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.9780
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0205
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.9795
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0205
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.9795
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.0225
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.9775
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.0250
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.9750
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.0325
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.9675
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0365
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.9635
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.0135
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.9865
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.0145
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.9855
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0130
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.9870
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.0120
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.9880
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.0135
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.9865
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.0135
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.9865
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.0130
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.9870
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.0120
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.9880
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0120
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.9880
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0130
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.9870
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.0135
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.9865
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.0140
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.9860
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.0140
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.9860
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 12260.93, Sell volume: 7521.51, Average price: 0.5349, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.0115
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.9885
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.0145
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9855
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.0145
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.9855
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.0125
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.9875
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0150
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.9850
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.0075
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.9925
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0070
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.9930
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.0090
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.9910
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.0150
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.9850
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.0065
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.9935
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.0055
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.9945
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.0035
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.9965
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.0035
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.9965
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.0035
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.9965
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0035
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.9965
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.9970
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.9970
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.0030
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.9970
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.0020
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.9980
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9995
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.9995
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9995
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.9995
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 46204.86, Sell volume: 13569.66, Average price: 0.4847, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.1500
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.1050
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.1300
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.1900
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.1900
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.1950
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.1900
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.1900
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.1850
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.1850
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.1400
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.1350
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.1450
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.1550
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.1550
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.1400
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.1350
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.1300
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.1300
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.1300
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.1300
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.1350
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.2050
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.1550
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.1600
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.1600
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.3050
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.2850
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 11206.46, Sell volume: 1066.58, Average price: 0.5767, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.5150
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.5050
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.5000
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.5150
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.5150
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.5200
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.5150
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.5150
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.5200
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.5200
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.5150
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.5300
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.5150
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.5300
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.5800
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.5750
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.5850
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.5850
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.5400
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.5450
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.5450
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.5450
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.5450
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.5300
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.5300
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.5300
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.5750
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.5450
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.5350
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 10009.42, Sell volume: 1952.27, Average price: 0.5024, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.4400
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.4300
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.4300
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.4450
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.4400
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.4450
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.4300
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.4250
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.4300
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.4300
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.4250
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.4250
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.4700
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.4700
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.4700
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.4700
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.4700
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.4750
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 6311.25, Sell volume: 154.90, Average price: 0.4945, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.5800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.5000
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.5050
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.5100
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.5100
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.5100
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.5100
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.5100
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.5100
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.5100
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.5100
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.5100
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.5100
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.5100
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.5100
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.5050
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.5050
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.5150
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.5250
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.5200
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.5200
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.4900
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.4950
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.4900
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.4650
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.4650
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.4600
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.4400
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.3700
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 21001.11, Sell volume: 1274.53, Average price: 0.5292, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.6650
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.6550
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.6550
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.6400
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.6450
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.6700
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.6500
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.6450
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.6650
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.6650
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.6600
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.6100
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.6150
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.6350
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.6350
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.6500
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.6700
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.6600
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.6650
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.6550
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.6550
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.6550
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.6600
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.6600
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.6600
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.6600
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.6600
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.6750
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.6900
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 8315.60, Sell volume: 1128.17, Average price: 0.5726, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6986
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.3250
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.3150
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.3150
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.3250
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.3100
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.3200
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.3150
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.3400
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.3500
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.3350
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.3300
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.3500
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.3400
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.3400
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.2500
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.2250
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.2350
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.2400
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.2150
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.2400
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.2000
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.1850
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.1750
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.1900
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.1900
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.1900
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.1900
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.1900
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 5659.10, Sell volume: 7559.02, Average price: 0.5554, Price range: 0.1732 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.7850
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.7500
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.7500
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.7550
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.7450
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.7750
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.7700
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.7850
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.8000
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.7600
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.7200
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.7200
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.7550
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.7850
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.7650
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.7900
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.7850
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.7650
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.7800
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.7600
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.7350
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.7500
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.7650
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.7900
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.7650
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.7650
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.7700
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.7800
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.7850
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 2095.65, Sell volume: 3020.79, Average price: 0.6565, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.2050
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.2150
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.1850
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.2400
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.2400
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.2400
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.2400
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.2400
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.2400
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.2400
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.2350
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.2150
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.2450
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.2550
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.2600
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.2650
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.2750
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.2500
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.2450
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.3150
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.3550
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.3600
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.3600
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.3600
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.3600
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.3600
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.3700
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.3250
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.3600
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 6210.43, Sell volume: 573.49, Average price: 0.4933, Price range: 0.2336 - 0.8173
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.6400
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.6400
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.6400
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.6400
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.6400
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.6350
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.6450
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.6500
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.6450
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.6450
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.6450
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.5450
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.5850
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.5900
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.6000
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.6000
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.5950
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.5950
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.5900
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.5900
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.6000
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.6000
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.6000
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.6000
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 708.44, Sell volume: 2204.53, Average price: 0.6065, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.4000
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.4550
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.4650
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.4450
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.4200
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.4100
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.4100
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.4100
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.4050
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.4100
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.4100
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.4100
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.4100
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.4100
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.4100
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.4000
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.4050
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.4100
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.4350
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.4800
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.4900
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.4800
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.4950
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.5100
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.8050
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89, Buy volume: 127664.39, Sell volume: 119081.79, Average price: 0.5149, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8746
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.1850
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.2700
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.2900
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.2100
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.1900
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.1800
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.1750
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.1500
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.1500
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.1650
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.1900
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.1900
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.1950
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.1900
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.1800
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.1750
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.1800
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.1750
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.1750
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0900
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0800
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.0250
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.0255
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.0265
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.0265
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.0265
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.0265
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121, Buy volume: 25311.52, Sell volume: 7381.66, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0204 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.9755
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.9775
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.9825
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.9825
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.9830
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.9780
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.9795
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.9795
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.9775
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.9750
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.9675
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.9635
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.9865
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.9855
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.9870
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.9880
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.9865
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.9865
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.9870
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.9880
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.9880
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.9870
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.9865
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.9860
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.9860
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.9865
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.9860
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.9865
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.9875
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 12260.93, Sell volume: 7521.51, Average price: 0.5349, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522878
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 465247.688699
Price History:
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.0115
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.0145
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.0145
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.0125
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0150
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.0075
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0070
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.0090
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.0150
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.0065
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.0055
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.0035
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.0035
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.0035
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0035
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0030
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.0030
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.0020
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 46204.86, Sell volume: 13569.66, Average price: 0.4847, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.1450
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.8550
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.1900
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.8100
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.2100
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.7900
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.1850
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.8150
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.2050
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.1950
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.8050
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.1700
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.8300
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.1600
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.8400
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.1600
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.8400
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.2000
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.2000
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.8000
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.1850
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.8150
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.1750
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.8250
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.1700
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.8300
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.1550
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.1850
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.8150
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.1850
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.8150
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.1850
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.8150
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.1850
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.8150
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.1950
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.1900
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.8100
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.1900
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.8100
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.1950
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.8050
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.2000
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.8000
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.1850
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.1900
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.8100
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.1700
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.8300
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.1700
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.8300
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.1700
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.8300
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.1700
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.1750
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.8250
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.1750
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.8250
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.1750
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.8250
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.1750
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.8250
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.1800
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.1950
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.8050
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.2000
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.8000
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.2000
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.8000
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.2000
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.8000
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.2000
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.1950
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.8050
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.7750
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.2000
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.8000
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.1950
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.8050
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.1900
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.8950
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9960
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0040
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.8950
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9960
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0040
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.8950
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9960
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0040
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.8950
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9960
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0040
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.1450
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.8550
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.1900
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.8100
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.2100
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.7900
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.1850
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.8150
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.2050
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.1950
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.8050
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.1700
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.8300
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.1600
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.8400
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.1600
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.8400
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.2000
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.2000
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.8000
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.1850
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.8150
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.1750
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.8250
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.1700
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.8300
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.1550
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.1850
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.8150
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.1850
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.8150
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.1850
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.8150
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.1850
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.8150
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.1950
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.1900
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.8100
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.1900
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.8100
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.1950
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.8050
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.2000
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.8000
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.1850
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.1900
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.8100
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.1700
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.8300
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.1700
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.8300
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.1700
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.8300
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.1700
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.1750
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.8250
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.1750
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.8250
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.1750
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.8250
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.1750
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.8250
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.1800
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.1950
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.8050
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.2000
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.8000
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.2000
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.8000
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.2000
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.8000
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.2000
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.1950
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.8050
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.7750
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.2000
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.8000
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.1950
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.8050
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.1900
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.8950
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9960
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0040
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.8950
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9960
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0040
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.8950
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9960
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0040
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 542160
Question: Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Volume: 63622.897229
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.8950
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9960
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0040
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.3650
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.6750
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.3250
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.6750
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.3050
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.7050
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.2900
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.7350
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.2500
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.7750
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.2650
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.7450
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.2450
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.7550
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.2650
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.7550
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.2550
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.7350
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.2750
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.7150
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.2800
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.7200
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.2750
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.7300
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.2700
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.7250
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.2750
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.7250
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.2750
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.7600
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.7550
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.2450
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.7550
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.2300
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.7650
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.2350
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.7550
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.2400
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.7600
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.2450
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.7550
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.2350
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.7650
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.2450
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.7550
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.2400
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.7550
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.2450
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.2400
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.7600
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.2400
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.7650
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.7650
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.2350
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.7650
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.2350
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.7650
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.2350
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.7650
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.2350
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.7650
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.2450
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.7400
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.2650
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.7350
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.2550
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.7450
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.2550
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.7450
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.2550
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.7550
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.2450
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.7550
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.2450
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.7550
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.2500
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.7450
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.2650
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.7350
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.2650
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.7350
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.2850
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.7350
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.2650
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.7300
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.2700
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.7400
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.2550
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.7500
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.2400
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.7600
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.2400
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.7550
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.2550
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.7450
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.2500
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.2500
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.7450
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.2550
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.7450
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.2550
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.7450
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.2550
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.7450
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.2550
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.7450
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.2550
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.7450
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.2550
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.7450
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.2550
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.7450
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.2550
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.2450
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.7550
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.7550
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.2500
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.7500
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.7500
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.7550
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.7450
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.2450
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.7500
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.2450
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.7550
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.2450
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.7550
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.7550
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.2450
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.7550
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.2450
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.7350
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.2650
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.7350
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.2700
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.7300
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.2700
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.7300
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.2650
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.2700
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.7250
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.2750
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.7250
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.2750
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.7150
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.2850
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.7150
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.2850
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.7150
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.2850
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.7150
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.2850
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.7200
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.2750
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.7200
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.2800
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.7200
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.2750
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.7250
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.2750
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.7250
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.2750
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.7250
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.2750
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.7250
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.2700
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.7250
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.2750
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.7250
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.2750
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.7250
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.2750
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.7250
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.2750
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.7250
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.2750
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.7200
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.2750
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.7250
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.2800
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.7200
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.2750
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.7250
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.2750
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.7250
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.2750
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.7300
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.2650
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.2700
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.7300
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.2700
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.7450
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.2650
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.7350
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.2600
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.7350
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.2650
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.7350
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.2650
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.7350
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.2650
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.7350
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.2650
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.7250
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.2750
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.7250
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.2750
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.7250
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.2750
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.7250
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.2750
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.7250
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.2750
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.7200
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.2800
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.7200
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.2750
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.7200
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.2750
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.7250
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.2750
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.7250
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2800
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.7200
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.2800
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.7200
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.2800
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.7200
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.2950
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.6950
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.3350
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.6650
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.3300
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.6800
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.3050
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.6900
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.3100
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.2800
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.7200
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.2750
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.2750
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.7250
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.2750
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.7200
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.2800
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.7200
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.2800
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.7200
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.2800
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.7200
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.2800
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.7150
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.2850
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.7200
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.2800
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.7200
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.2800
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.7250
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.2850
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.7150
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.2750
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.7250
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.2750
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.2750
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.2650
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.2650
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.7400
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.7400
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.2600
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.7400
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.7350
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.2550
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.2800
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.7050
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.2850
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.7150
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.7150
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.7150
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.7150
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.2850
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.7150
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.2850
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.2850
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.7150
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.7150
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.2850
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.2850
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.2850
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.2850
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.7150
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.7150
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2850
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.2850
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.2850
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.2850
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.7150
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.7150
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.7150
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.7150
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.7150
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.7150
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.7150
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.2850
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.2850
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.2850
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.2850
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.7150
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.2850
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.7200
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.2800
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.7200
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.2750
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.7200
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.2800
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.7200
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.2850
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.7150
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.2850
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.7200
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.7200
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.2800
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.2800
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.7200
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.2800
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.7150
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.2800
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.7150
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.2950
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.7050
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.2950
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.7050
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.2850
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.2850
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.2850
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.7150
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.2750
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.2750
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.7250
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.2750
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.7150
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.7150
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.7150
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.7050
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.2950
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.2950
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.7150
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.7150
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.2900
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.2900
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.7100
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.7100
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.2900
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.7100
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.2900
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.7100
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.7100
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.2700
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.2700
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.2700
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.7300
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.2750
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.2750
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.2750
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.2750
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.2750
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.7250
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.7250
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.2650
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.2650
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.7350
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.7350
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.2650
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.7350
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.7350
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.2650
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.7350
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.2650
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.7650
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.2300
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.1950
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.1850
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.8150
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.1850
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.8100
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.8000
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.2600
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.7550
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.2400
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.2300
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.7700
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.2300
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.2300
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.2300
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.2300
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.2300
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.2300
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.7700
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.7700
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.7750
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.2100
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.7750
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.7700
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.2300
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.7650
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.2200
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.7800
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.2200
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.7800
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.7800
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.2200
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.2200
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.2200
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.2200
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.2200
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.2250
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.7750
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.7750
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.7750
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.7750
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.2250
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.7750
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.2250
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.7750
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.8050
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.2250
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.2250
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.2250
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.2250
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.2250
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.7950
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.2050
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.8100
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.8100
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.8150
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.1850
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.8150
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.1850
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.8150
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.1950
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.8150
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.1850
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.8150
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.1850
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.1850
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.8150
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.8150
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.1850
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.8150
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.1850
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.1850
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.8150
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.1750
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.8250
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.1750
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.1750
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.8250
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.8250
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.8250
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.1700
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.1650
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.1650
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.1650
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.8350
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.8300
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.8350
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.8350
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.1650
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.8350
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.1700
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.8250
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.1700
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.1850
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.8050
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.1850
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.8100
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.1450
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.8550
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.8550
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.1350
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.8600
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.1350
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.8800
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.8850
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.8850
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.1100
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.1150
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.1150
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.8800
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.1150
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.8850
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.1150
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.8850
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.8850
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.8850
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.1150
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.8850
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.1200
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.8800
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.1100
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9100
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0900
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9100
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9100
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.8850
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9100
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.1150
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.8900
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9000
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.1200
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.8850
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.1250
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.8750
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.1200
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.8750
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.1600
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.8550
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.1350
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.8850
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.3650
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.3250
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.3150
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.2950
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.2850
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.2650
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.2600
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.2450
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.2550
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.2450
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.2600
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.2750
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.2800
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.2800
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.2700
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.2700
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.2750
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.2750
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.2350
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.2450
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.2450
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.2350
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.2350
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.2400
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.2400
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.2450
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.2350
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.2450
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.2400
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.2400
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.2400
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.2350
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.2350
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.2350
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.2350
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.2350
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.2600
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.2650
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.2550
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.2550
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.2550
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.2450
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.2450
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.2450
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.2500
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.2500
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.2650
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.2650
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.2850
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.2650
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.2750
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.2550
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.2500
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.2400
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.2400
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.2450
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.2500
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.2550
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.2550
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.2550
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.2550
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.2550
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.2550
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.2550
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.2550
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.2550
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.2550
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.2450
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.2450
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.2450
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.2450
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.2450
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.2450
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.2450
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.2450
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.2450
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.2650
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.2650
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.2750
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.2700
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.2700
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.2750
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.2750
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.2850
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.2850
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.2850
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.2850
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.2850
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.2800
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.2800
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.2800
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.2750
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.2750
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.2750
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.2750
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.2750
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.2700
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.2750
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.2750
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.2750
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.2750
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.2750
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.2750
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.2750
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.2750
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.2800
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.2750
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.2750
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.2750
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.2700
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.2700
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.2550
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.2650
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.2650
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.2650
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.2650
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.2650
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.2650
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.2750
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.2750
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.2750
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.2750
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2750
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.2750
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.2750
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.2800
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.2750
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.2800
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.2750
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.2750
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.2800
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.2800
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.2800
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.2800
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.3050
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.3350
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.3300
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.3050
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.2800
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.2800
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.2650
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.2750
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.2800
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.2800
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.2800
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.2800
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.2800
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.2800
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.2850
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.2800
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.2800
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.2750
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.2850
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.2750
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.2750
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.2650
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.2650
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.2600
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.2600
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.7350
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.2550
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.2800
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.2900
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.2850
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.2850
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.2800
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.7150
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.7150
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.7150
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.7150
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.7150
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.2850
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.7150
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.7150
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.7150
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.2850
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.7150
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.7150
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.7150
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.7150
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.2850
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.2850
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.7200
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.2800
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.2750
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.2800
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.7200
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.2850
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.2850
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.7200
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.7200
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.2800
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.2850
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.2850
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.2950
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.2950
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.2850
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.7150
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.2750
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.2750
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.2850
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.2850
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.7050
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.7050
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.7150
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.7150
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.2900
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.7100
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.7100
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.2900
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.2900
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.2700
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.7250
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.2750
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.2800
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.7250
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.2650
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.7350
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.7350
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.7350
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.2650
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.7350
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.1950
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.8150
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.8150
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.1950
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.2600
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.2300
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.2300
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.7700
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.2300
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.2300
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.7700
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.2250
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.7750
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.2300
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.2300
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.2350
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.2200
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.2200
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.7800
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.2200
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.7800
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.2200
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.2250
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.2250
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.7750
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.7750
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.8050
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.7750
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.7750
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.7750
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.7950
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.1850
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.8150
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.1850
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.8150
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.8150
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.8150
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.8150
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.8150
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.1850
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.8150
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.8150
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.1850
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.1750
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.8250
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.8250
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.1750
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.8250
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.8300
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.8350
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.8350
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.1700
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.8350
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.8350
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.1850
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.1950
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.1600
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.1450
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.8750
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.8650
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.1400
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.1200
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.1150
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.1100
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.1150
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.8850
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.1150
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.1150
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.8850
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.1200
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0900
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0900
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0900
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.1150
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549622
Question: Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1679680.306599
Price History:
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0600
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.1200
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.1200
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.1250
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.1450
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.1350
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 213620689.35, Sell volume: 70431058.41, Average price: 0.5545, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.5000
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.4150
2025-01-03 17:00: 0.4450
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.4850
2025-01-04 15:00: 0.4850
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.4800
2025-01-05 13:00: 0.5450
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.5550
2025-01-06 11:00: 0.5300
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.5200
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.5500
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.5600
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.5550
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.5550
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.5100
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.5100
2025-01-10 03:00: 0.3900
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.3950
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.4150
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.4100
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.4200
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.4150
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.4150
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.4150
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.4150
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.4100
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.5050
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.6350
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.6650
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.6250
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.6300
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.6250
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.6350
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.6700
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.6900
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.6950
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.6950
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.6900
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.6850
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.6900
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.6900
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.7200
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.7200
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.8350
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 491508, Buy volume: 15119956.97, Sell volume: 7579752.66, Average price: 0.5347, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.8050
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.8150
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.8150
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.8050
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.8150
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.8500
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.8500
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.8450
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.8450
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.8450
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.8650
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.8450
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.8450
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.8250
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.7850
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.7800
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.7600
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.7600
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.7600
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.7650
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.7650
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.7650
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.7850
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.7900
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.7900
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.7900
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.7900
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.7850
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.7900
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.8050
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.8100
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.8000
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.8000
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.8000
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.8050
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.7950
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.8050
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.8350
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.8350
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.8300
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.8350
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.8450
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.8650
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.8700
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.8700
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.8750
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.8750
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.8700
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.8750
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 149850, Buy volume: 10692227.93, Sell volume: 4131004.86, Average price: 0.5925, Price range: 0.1355 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.8650
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.8350
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.8400
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.8400
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.8400
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.8450
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.8450
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.8650
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.8450
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.8450
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.8450
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.8450
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.8450
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.8400
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.8350
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.6700
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.7850
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.7850
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.7750
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.7500
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.7500
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.7550
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.7550
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.7550
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.7700
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.7450
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.7550
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.7950
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.7950
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.6000
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.6250
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.6650
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.6400
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.6400
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.6350
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.6550
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.6850
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.6900
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.6850
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.6850
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.6900
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.6900
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.7650
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.7650
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.7350
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.7700
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 357651, Buy volume: 12752117.74, Sell volume: 8200091.20, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.7750
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.7650
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.7650
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.7550
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.7600
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.7150
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.7200
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.7200
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.7200
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.7200
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.7200
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.7150
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.7150
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.7200
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.7350
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.7450
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.7500
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.7400
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.7500
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.6150
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.6900
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.7050
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.6900
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.6950
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.7200
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.7300
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.7300
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.7300
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.7300
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.7300
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.7300
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.7250
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.7250
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.7250
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.7250
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.7250
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.7250
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.7250
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.7250
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.6850
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.7050
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.7100
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.7100
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.6950
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 7510.17, Sell volume: 209.37, Average price: 0.4087, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.6900
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.6900
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.6900
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.6900
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.6900
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.7000
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.7100
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.7100
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.7000
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.6950
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.7000
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.7000
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.7000
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.7000
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.7000
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.6950
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.7000
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.7000
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.7050
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.7000
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.7000
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.7050
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.7050
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.7050
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.7050
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.7000
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.7100
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.7000
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.7000
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.7050
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.7050
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.7100
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.7100
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.6950
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.7050
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.7100
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.7100
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.7150
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.7000
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.6950
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.7000
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.7000
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.7000
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.7000
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.6950
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.6950
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.6950
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.7000
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.6950
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1814.28, Sell volume: 328.03, Average price: 0.5750, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.6950
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.7050
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.6950
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.7000
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.7050
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.7450
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.7800
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.7900
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.7850
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.7650
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.7750
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.7850
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.7800
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.7900
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.7850
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.7850
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.7900
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.7900
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.7850
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.7700
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.7450
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.7600
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.7550
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.7550
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.7550
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.7650
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.7650
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.7950
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.8050
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.8050
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.8050
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.8050
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.8000
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.8000
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.7950
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.7950
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.7900
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.7950
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.7850
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.7850
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.7850
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.7950
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.7850
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.7950
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.7850
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.7850
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.7850
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.7850
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3132.28, Sell volume: 201.53, Average price: 0.4798, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.7850
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.7950
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.7850
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.7850
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.7850
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.7900
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.7850
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.7900
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.7850
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.7750
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.7750
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.7750
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.7750
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.7800
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.7800
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.7550
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.7500
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.7150
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.7150
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.7050
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.7050
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.7150
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.7150
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.7200
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.7200
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.7250
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.7400
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.7300
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.7100
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.7150
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.6900
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.6850
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.7150
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.6850
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.7100
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.6950
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.6650
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.6950
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.6950
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.6600
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.6700
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.7250
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.7800
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.7550
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 2699.94, Sell volume: 241.57, Average price: 0.5287, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.7650
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.7600
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.7650
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.7600
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.7500
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.7650
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.7650
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.7550
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.7550
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.7700
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.7650
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.7600
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.7550
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.7450
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.7550
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.7650
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.7550
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.7350
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.8700
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.8250
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.8050
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.8500
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.8600
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.8600
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.8650
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.8650
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.8300
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.8300
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.8250
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.8300
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.8200
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.8100
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.8100
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.8100
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.8100
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.8050
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.8050
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.8100
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.7900
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.7900
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.6950
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.8550
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.8550
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.8850
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.9000
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.8650
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.8750
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.8750
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.8600
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1350.74, Sell volume: 564.03, Average price: 0.5129, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.8775

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.8600
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.8650
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.8600
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.8600
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.8650
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.8650
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.8650
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.8650
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.8650
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.8700
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.8700
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.8700
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.8900
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.8900
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.8900
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.8900
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.8950
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.8950
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.9150
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.9200
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9500
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.9500
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9200
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.9200
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.8750
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.8750
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.8550
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.8450
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.8500
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.8600
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.8650
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.8450
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.8450
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.8250
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.8550
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.8650
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.8750
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.8500
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.8450
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.8500
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.8450
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.8550
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.8350
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.8350
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.8350
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.8350
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.8350
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.6400
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.7700
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 5812.88, Sell volume: 2153.04, Average price: 0.4752, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.8200
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.8150
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.8100
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.8100
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.8200
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.8050
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.8000
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.8050
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.7650
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.7650
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.7350
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.7450
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.7900
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.7950
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.8150
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.8050
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.8250
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.7950
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.8050
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.8000
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.8150
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.8050
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.1850
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.1900
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.1900
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.1900
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.8100
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.1900
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.8300
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.1750
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.8250
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.8250
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.1650
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.1750
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.8250
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.1850
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.1750
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.2000
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.8050
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.2050
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.7950
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.7850
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.7900
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 4452.24, Sell volume: 2423.97, Average price: 0.5218, Price range: 0.1385 - 0.8300

Output: Yes