Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0575
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0590
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0595
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.0605
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0615
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0615
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.0615
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0605
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0620
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0635
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0620
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0610
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.0615
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0620
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0515
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.0615
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0620
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.0615
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.0620
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0620
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.0375
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.0385
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0350
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0375
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.0615
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0620
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0615
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.0615
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0615
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.0615
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0615
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0615
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0615
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.0620
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0620
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0620
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.0615
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0620
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0620
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.0620
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0620
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0620
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0620
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0620
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0620
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.0620
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0620
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.0620
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0620
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 169.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9480, Price range: 0.8960 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.8410
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.8730
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.8805
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.8800
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.8795
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.9160
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.9165
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.8810
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.8790
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.8825
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.8830
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.8815
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.8815
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.8800
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.8770
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.8815
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.8795
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.8805
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.8805
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.8795
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.8820
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.8825
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.8795
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.8800
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.8790
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.8795
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.8385
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.8840
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.8795
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.9180
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.8740
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.8800
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.8795
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.8820
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.8790
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.8800
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9180
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.8815
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.8715
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.8790
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.8740
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9160
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.8815
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.8810
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.8800
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.8815
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.8805
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.8825
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.8755
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.8805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 129.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9303, Price range: 0.8780 - 0.9780

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0640
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0605
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0655
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0660
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.0640
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0665
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.0675
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0670
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0690
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.0690
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0700
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0690
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0640
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.0695
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.0675
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.0685
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0705
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0710
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0710
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.0920
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0705
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0700
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0895
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0885
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0835
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0815
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0805
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0790
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0740
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0705
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0715
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0715
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0705
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0705
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0705
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0680
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.0680
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.0700
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0705
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.0605
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.0610
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0615
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0415
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0445
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0540
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0485
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0435
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0540
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0460
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 236.01, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5046, Price range: 0.0242 - 0.9830

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.9545
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9545
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9540
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.9545
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.9545
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.9545
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9520
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.9515
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9515
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.9490
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9490
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9480
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.9485
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.9480
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.9460
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9470
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.9475
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9495
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.9485
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.9485
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9480
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9485
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9510
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9520
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9520
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9525
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9530
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9540
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9510
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9510
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9510
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9480
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9470
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9475
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9475
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9480
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9485
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9495
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9505
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9505
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9480
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9490
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9515
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9515
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9495
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9475
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9490
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 259.14, Sell volume: 1.22, Average price: 0.7739, Price range: 0.0460 - 0.9570

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0510
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0540
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0505
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0490
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0485
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0405
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0220
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0230
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0215
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0210
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0215
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0395
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0390
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0365
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0400
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0405
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0405
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0415
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0400
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0395
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0395
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0385
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0395
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0275
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0260
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0255
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0255
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0240
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0230
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0215
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0220
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0220
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0220
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0240
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0240
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0240
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0240
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0260
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0230
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0225
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 113.14, Average price: 0.5862, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9680

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9770
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9770
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9770
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9770
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9775
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9780
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9780
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9775
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9790
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9800
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9800
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9790
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9790
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9790
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9790
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9780
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9780
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9790
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9785
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9790
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9785
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9785
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9765
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9790
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9775
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9765
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9775
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9775
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9770
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9765
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9785
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 345.37, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7072, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9820

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0195
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0195
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0195
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0190
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0195
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0195
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0195
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0195
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0195
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0195
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0190
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0190
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0190
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0190
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0210
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0210
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0205
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0205
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0205
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0205
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.0210
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0210
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0210
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0210
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0210
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0210
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0210
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0210
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 101.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5020, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9810

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9785
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.9785
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9785
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.9785
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9785
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9785
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.9785
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.9795
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9790
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.9790
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.9805
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.9805
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9805
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.9805
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9805
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.9805
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.9805
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9805
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.9805
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.9805
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.9805
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.9790
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.9795
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.9800
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9800
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 12.81, Sell volume: 152.53, Average price: 0.2946, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9820

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0200
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0205
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0200
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0200
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0200
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0210
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0205
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0200
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0200
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0205
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0200
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0200
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0185
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0190
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0195
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0195
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0190
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0185
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0180
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0190
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0185
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0185
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0190
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0175
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0180
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0175
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0180
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0180
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0180
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0180
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0180
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0180
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0180
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0175
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0160
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0160
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0160
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0155
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0260
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0250
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0250
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0260
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0270
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0270
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0275
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.0270
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0280
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0275
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0290
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 2167.17, Sell volume: 693.04, Average price: 0.5194, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.9445
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.9440
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.9450
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.9445
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9440
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.9435
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.9465
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.9475
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.9470
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.9470
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.9470
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.9510
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9485
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.9480
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.9480
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.9555
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.9560
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.9540
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9420
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.9420
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.9445
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9460
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.9500
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.9500
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9500
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.9515
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.9520
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.9525
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.9535
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.9535
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9535
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.9535
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9535
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9535
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.9570
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.9570
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9570
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.9570
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.9570
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9570
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.9570
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.9495
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9495
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9500
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.9495
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.9485
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.9490
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.9505
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9510
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.9530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 2936.10, Sell volume: 1205.43, Average price: 0.6298, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9760

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0235
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0235
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0235
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0235
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0235
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0235
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0235
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0230
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0235
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0235
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0235
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0245
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0215
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0205
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0210
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0205
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0195
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0195
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0205
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0195
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0195
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0215
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0175
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0170
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0165
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0165
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0165
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0165
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0165
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0210
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0200
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0190
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0190
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0200
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0190
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0195
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0190
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0185
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0190
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0190
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0190
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0200
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0200
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0145
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0145
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0145
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0145
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0145
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0145
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 3441.53, Sell volume: 2510.50, Average price: 0.7080, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.4800
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.4700
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.1700
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.1750
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.1650
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.1450
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.1500
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.1350
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.1200
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.1200
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.1200
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.1200
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.0950
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.1150
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0500
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.0550
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.0500
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0500
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.0500
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9333, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.9490
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9490
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.9440
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.9490
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.9490
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.9540
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.9490
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.9455
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.9700
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.9700
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.9735
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.9735
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.9780
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.9800
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.9795
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.9800
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.9780
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.9820
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.9755
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9800
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.9775
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9780
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9805
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.9770
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.9475
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.9475
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9485
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.9460
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9455
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 54.51, Sell volume: 2.50, Average price: 0.7475, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0575
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0595
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0615
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.0615
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0620
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0620
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.0615
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0515
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0620
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.0620
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.0375
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0350
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.0615
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0615
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0615
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0615
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0615
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0620
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.0615
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0620
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0620
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0620
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0620
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0620
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0620
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0620
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.1270
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.1280
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.1175
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 169.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9480, Price range: 0.8960 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.8410
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.8805
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.8795
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.9165
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.8790
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.8830
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.8815
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.8770
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.8795
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.8805
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.8820
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.8795
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.8790
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.8385
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.8795
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.8740
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.8795
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.8790
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9180
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.8715
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.8740
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.8815
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.8800
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.8805
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.8755
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.8790
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.8790
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.8970
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.8860
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 129.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9303, Price range: 0.8780 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0640
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0655
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.0640
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.0675
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0690
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0700
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0640
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.0675
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0705
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0710
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0705
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0895
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0835
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0805
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0740
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0715
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0705
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0705
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.0680
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0705
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.0610
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0415
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0540
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0435
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0460
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0465
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0440
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0385
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0380
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 236.01, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5046, Price range: 0.0242 - 0.9830
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.9545
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9540
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.9545
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9520
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9515
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9490
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.9485
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.9460
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.9475
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.9485
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9480
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9510
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9520
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9530
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9510
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9510
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9470
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9475
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9485
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9505
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9480
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9515
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9495
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9510
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9505
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9515
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9515
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9505
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 259.14, Sell volume: 1.22, Average price: 0.7739, Price range: 0.0460 - 0.9570
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0540
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0490
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0405
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0230
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0210
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0395
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0400
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0405
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0400
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0395
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0395
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0255
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0255
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0230
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0220
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0220
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0240
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0240
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0260
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0225
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0205
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0205
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0215
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0205
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 113.14, Average price: 0.5862, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9770
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9770
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9780
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9790
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9800
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9790
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9790
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9780
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9785
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9785
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9765
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9775
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9775
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9770
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9785
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9790
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.9790
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9790
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.9795
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 345.37, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7072, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9820
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0195
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0195
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0195
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0195
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0195
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0190
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0190
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0190
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0210
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0205
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0205
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0210
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0210
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0210
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0210
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0210
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0210
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0210
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0210
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 101.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5020, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9785
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9785
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9785
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.9785
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9790
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9805
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.9805
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9805
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9805
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.9805
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.9805
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.9805
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.9795
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9800
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.9790
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.9800
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.9800
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.9800
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 12.81, Sell volume: 152.53, Average price: 0.2946, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9820
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0200
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0200
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0200
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0205
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0200
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0200
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0185
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0195
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0190
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0180
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0185
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0190
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0180
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0180
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0180
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0180
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0180
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0160
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0160
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0260
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0250
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0270
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0275
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0280
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0290
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0295
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0295
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.0320
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0405
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 2167.17, Sell volume: 693.04, Average price: 0.5194, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.9445
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.9450
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9440
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.9465
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.9470
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.9470
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9485
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.9480
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.9560
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9420
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.9445
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.9500
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9500
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.9520
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.9535
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9535
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9535
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.9570
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9570
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.9570
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.9570
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9495
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.9495
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.9490
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9510
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.9535
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.9535
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.9500
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.9505
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 2936.10, Sell volume: 1205.43, Average price: 0.6298, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9760
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0235
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0235
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0235
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0235
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0235
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0235
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0215
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0210
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0195
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0205
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0195
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0175
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0165
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0165
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0165
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0200
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0190
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0190
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0190
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0190
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0190
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0200
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0145
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0145
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0145
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0135
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0135
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0135
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0110
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 3441.53, Sell volume: 2510.50, Average price: 0.7080, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 15873.46, Sell volume: 2115.84, Average price: 0.6455, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.2550
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.7450
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.7500
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.7500
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.2500
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.7500
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.2500
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.7500
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.2500
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.7500
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 15873.46, Sell volume: 2115.84, Average price: 0.6455, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.2350
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.7650
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.2350
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.7650
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.2350
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.7650
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.2200
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.7800
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.2000
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.8000
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 15873.46, Sell volume: 2115.84, Average price: 0.6455, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.1950
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.8050
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1950
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.8050
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.1950
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.8050
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.1950
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.8050
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.1950
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.8050
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.1950
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.8050
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.1950
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.8050
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.1950
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.8050
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.1850
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.8150
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 15873.46, Sell volume: 2115.84, Average price: 0.6455, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.1900
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.8100
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8150
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.8200
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8200
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.8200
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.8200
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.1750
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9100
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.1100
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.1150
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8850
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.8850
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.1150
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8850
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.1150
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.1150
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8850
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9100
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 78.89, Sell volume: 78.89, Average price: 0.1825, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.1900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.8800
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8600
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.8600
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1450
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.8550
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.1650
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.8350
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.1650
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.8350
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 24.23, Sell volume: 103.11, Average price: 0.6866, Price range: 0.2064 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.8600
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.8600
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8600
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.8600
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8600
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.8600
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.1400
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.8600
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.1400
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.8600
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.1350
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.1350
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.1350
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1350
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.1350
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.1400
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.8600
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.2200
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.7800
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.1850
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.8150
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.8100
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.8100
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.1800
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.8200
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 91.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1800, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.1800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.8500
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.1700
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.8300
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.1700
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.8300
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.8250
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.1750
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.8250
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1750
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.8250
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.1400
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.8600
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1400
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.8600
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.1400
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.8600
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.1300
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.8700
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9100
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9100
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 345.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6030, Price range: 0.1248 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9100
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9100
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1350
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.8650
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.1350
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.8650
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1000
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9000
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9000
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1000
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9000
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.1650
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.8350
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.1800
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.8200
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.1950
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.8050
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.1950
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.8050
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.2000
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.8000
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2000
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.8000
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.2000
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.8000
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.2000
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.8000
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.2000
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.8000
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 901.39, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.3791, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8898

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.7850
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.2150
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.7850
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.2350
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.7650
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.2400
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.7600
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.2450
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.7550
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.2500
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.4550
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.4550
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.4900
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.5100
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.4500
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.5500
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.4250
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.5750
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.4050
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.5950
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.3850
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.6150
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.3750
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6250
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.2350
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.7650
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.2300
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.7700
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.2200
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.7800
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.2050
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.7950
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.2150
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 387.63, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7762, Price range: 0.7500 - 0.8092

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.1750
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.8250
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.1750
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.8250
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.1800
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.8200
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.1750
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.8250
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.1550
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.8450
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.1550
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.8450
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.1700
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.8300
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.1800
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8200
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.1700
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.8300
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1550
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8450
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1550
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8450
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.8500
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 52.63, Average price: 0.8400, Price range: 0.8400 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.8500
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.1500
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.8500
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.1650
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.8350
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.1800
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.8200
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.1800
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.8200
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.1800
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.8200
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.1800
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8200
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.1700
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.8300
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.1700
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.8300
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.1700
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.8300
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.4400
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5600
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.5150
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.4850
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.2750
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.2750
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.7250
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 473.90, Sell volume: 127.50, Average price: 0.3678, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.2850
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.2050
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.7950
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.7550
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.2050
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.7950
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.2100
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.7900
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.2050
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.7950
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.1900
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.8100
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.1900
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.8100
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.1900
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.8100
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.1800
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.8200
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.1650
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.8350
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.1600
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.8400
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.1550
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.8450
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0550
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9450
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 13570.95, Sell volume: 1653.71, Average price: 0.7937, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 15873.46, Sell volume: 2115.84, Average price: 0.6455, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.2550
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.7450
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.7500
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.7500
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.2500
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.7500
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.2500
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.7500
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.2500
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.7500
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 15873.46, Sell volume: 2115.84, Average price: 0.6455, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.2350
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.7650
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.2350
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.7650
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.2350
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.7650
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.2200
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.7800
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.2000
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.8000
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 15873.46, Sell volume: 2115.84, Average price: 0.6455, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.1950
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.8050
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1950
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.8050
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.1950
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.8050
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.1950
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.8050
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.1950
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.8050
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.1950
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.8050
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.1950
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.8050
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.1950
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.8050
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 15873.46, Sell volume: 2115.84, Average price: 0.6455, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.1900
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.8100
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8150
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.8200
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8200
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.8200
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.8200
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.1750
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9100
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.1100
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.1150
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8850
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 78.89, Sell volume: 78.89, Average price: 0.1825, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.1900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.8800
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8600
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.8600
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 24.23, Sell volume: 103.11, Average price: 0.6866, Price range: 0.2064 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.8600
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.8600
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8600
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.8600
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8600
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.8600
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.1400
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.8600
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.1400
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.8600
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.1350
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.1350
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.1350
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1350
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.1350
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.1400
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 91.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1800, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.1800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.8500
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.1700
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.8300
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.1700
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.8300
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.8250
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.1750
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.8250
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1750
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.8250
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.1400
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.8600
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 345.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6030, Price range: 0.1248 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9100
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9100
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1350
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.8650
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.1350
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.8650
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1000
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9000
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9000
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1000
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9000
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.1650
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.8350
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.1800
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.8200
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.1950
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.8050
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.1950
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 901.39, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.3791, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8898
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.7850
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.2150
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.7850
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.2350
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.7650
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.2400
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.7600
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.2450
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.7550
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.2500
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.4550
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.4550
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.4900
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.5100
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.4500
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.5500
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.4250
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.5750
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.4050
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.5950
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.3850
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.6150
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 387.63, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7762, Price range: 0.7500 - 0.8092
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.1750
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.8250
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.1750
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.8250
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.1800
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.8200
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.1750
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.8250
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.1550
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.8450
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.1550
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.8450
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.1700
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.8300
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.1800
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8200
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.1700
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.8300
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1550
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 52.63, Average price: 0.8400, Price range: 0.8400 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.8500
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.1500
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.8500
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.1650
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.8350
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.1800
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.8200
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.1800
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.8200
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.1800
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.8200
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.1800
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8200
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.1700
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.8300
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.1700
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.8300
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.1700
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.8300
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.4400
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5600
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.5150
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.4850
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 473.90, Sell volume: 127.50, Average price: 0.3678, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657151
Question: Will Google reach $290 in November?
Volume: 17989.295437
Price History:
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.2850
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.2050
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.7950
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.7550
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.2050
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.7950
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.2100
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.7900
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.2050
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.7950
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.1900
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.8100
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.1900
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.8100
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.1900
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.8100
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.1800
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.8200
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.1650
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.8350
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.1600
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.8400
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.1550
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.8450
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 13570.95, Sell volume: 1653.71, Average price: 0.7937, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5100
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4900
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.5650
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.4350
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9300
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0700
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0650
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9350
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0650
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9350
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9650
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0350
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9675
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0325
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9660
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0340
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9660
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0340
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0230
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9770
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0230
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9770
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0235
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9765
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0235
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9765
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0190
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 603.00, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.8385, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9824
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9820
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0180
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0180
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9820
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0155
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9845
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0150
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9850
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9850
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0150
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0185
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9815
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9815
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0185
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0185
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9815
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9815
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0185
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0185
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9815
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0185
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9815
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9815
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0185
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9815
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0185
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0185
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9815
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0185
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 252.09, Sell volume: 217.00, Average price: 0.8559, Price range: 0.0154 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9855
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0145
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9860
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0140
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0140
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9860
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0140
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9860
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0140
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9860
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0145
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9855
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9855
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0145
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0145
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9855
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0145
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9855
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0140
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9860
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0140
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9860
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0140
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9860
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9860
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0140
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0115
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9885
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9885
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 153.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9915, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9915
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0085
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0085
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9915
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9915
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0085
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0085
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9915
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0085
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9915
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0085
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9915
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0085
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9915
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0085
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9915
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0085
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9915
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0085
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9915
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0085
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9915
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9915
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0085
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9925
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0075
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0060
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 118.00, Sell volume: 144.00, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9985
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9950
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9950
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9940
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0060
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9955
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0045
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9930
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0070
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0060
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9940
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 4608.66, Sell volume: 401.00, Average price: 0.8633, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9950
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0055
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9945
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0070
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9930
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0065
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9935
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0065
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9935
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0070
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9930
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0045
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9955
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0065
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9935
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0045
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9955
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9955
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9920
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0080
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9945
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0055
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0065
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 109.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9945
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0055
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9945
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0055
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0065
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9935
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9950
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0050
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0040
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0070
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9930
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0085
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9915
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0060
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0085
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9915
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0055
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9945
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9930
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0070
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9945
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0055
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0070
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9930
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0050
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0060
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0080
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9920
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0085
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9915
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0080
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9920
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0055
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9945
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0080
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9920
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0050
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0075
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0090
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9910
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0090
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9910
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0065
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9935
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0085
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9915
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0055
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9945
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0085
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 4608.66, Sell volume: 401.00, Average price: 0.8633, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9935
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0065
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0050
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9950
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9940
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9950
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0050
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9950
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0055
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9945
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9935
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0065
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 4608.66, Sell volume: 401.00, Average price: 0.8633, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0070
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9930
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0080
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9920
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0055
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9945
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9930
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0070
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0055
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9945
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0070
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9930
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0060
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9940
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0060
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9925
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0055
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9945
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0070
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9930
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 4608.66, Sell volume: 401.00, Average price: 0.8633, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9925
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0055
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9945
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0080
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9920
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9940
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0055
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9945
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0060
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9940
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9925
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0055
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9945
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9935
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0065
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9925
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0075
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0055
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9945
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9920
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9925
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0075
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9945
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 4608.66, Sell volume: 401.00, Average price: 0.8633, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9935
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0065
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0060
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9940
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9930
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0070
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0070
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9930
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9950
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0070
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9930
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0060
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9940
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9950
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9950
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9945
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0055
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9950
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 269.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9987, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9955
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0045
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9955
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2835.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8006, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3273.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3273.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3273.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4750
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5250
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.5200
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3273.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0350
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9650
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9650
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0350
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0350
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9650
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9650
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9650
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3273.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3273.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0215
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9785
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0215
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9785
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0215
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9785
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0215
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9785
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0215
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9785
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9785
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3273.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3273.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3273.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9770
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0230
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0220
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3273.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0215
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9785
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0215
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9785
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0215
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9785
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3273.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9785
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0215
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9785
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0215
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9785
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0215
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9785
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0215
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9885
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0115
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9885
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0115
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0140
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 18.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3273.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3273.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3273.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4750
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5250
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.5200
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3273.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0350
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9650
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9650
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0350
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0350
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9650
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9650
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9650
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3273.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3273.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0215
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9785
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0215
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9785
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0215
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9785
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0215
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9785
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0215
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9785
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9785
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3273.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3273.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3273.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9750
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9770
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0230
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0220
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3273.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0215
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9785
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0215
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9785
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0215
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9785
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3273.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657152
Question: Will Google reach $280 in November?
Volume: 3273.585666
Price History:
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9785
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0215
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9785
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0215
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9785
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0215
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9785
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0215
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9885
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0115
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9885
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0115
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0140
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 18.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes