Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.2900
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.7100
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.2900
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.7100
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.7000
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.7000
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.7000
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.7000
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.7000
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.4000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 9.16, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.5820, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.6750
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.6750
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.6750
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.6650
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.3350
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6650
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3350
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6650
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.3350
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.6650
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3350
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.6650
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.3350
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.2800
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 74.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7356, Price range: 0.7356 - 0.7356

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.7100
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.7100
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.7200
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.2800
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.7100
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.7050
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8750
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1250
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8800
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 272.38, Sell volume: 57.54, Average price: 0.7936, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.6500
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.3500
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.3500
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.6500
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.6500
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.3500
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.3550
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.6450
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.6100
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.3850
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.6150
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.6150
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.3850
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 653.45, Sell volume: 97.54, Average price: 0.7162, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.6200
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3800
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3750
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.6250
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.6250
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.3750
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.6250
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.3750
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 653.45, Sell volume: 97.54, Average price: 0.7162, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.6900
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.6950
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.3050
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.6950
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.6900
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.6900
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 653.45, Sell volume: 97.54, Average price: 0.7162, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 653.45, Sell volume: 97.54, Average price: 0.7162, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.6800
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.6800
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.6800
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.3250
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 653.45, Sell volume: 97.54, Average price: 0.7162, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.6750
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 150.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7667, Price range: 0.7500 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.2550
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7450
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.2600
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.7400
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.2650
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.2550
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.7450
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2550
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.7450
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.7450
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.2550
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.2600
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 653.45, Sell volume: 97.54, Average price: 0.7162, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.7600
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.2200
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.2250
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.7750
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.2150
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.7850
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.2150
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.7850
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.7850
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.2150
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.2100
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.7900
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.2100
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.7900
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.7900
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.2100
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.7900
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.2100
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.7900
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 653.45, Sell volume: 97.54, Average price: 0.7162, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.7100
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.2900
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.7150
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 145.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2572, Price range: 0.2572 - 0.2572
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.2900
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.7100
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.2900
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.7100
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.7000
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.7000
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.7000
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.7000
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.7000
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.4000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 9.16, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.5820, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.6750
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.6750
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.6750
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.6650
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.3350
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6650
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3350
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6650
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.3350
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.6650
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3350
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.6650
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.3350
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.2800
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 74.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7356, Price range: 0.7356 - 0.7356
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612868
Question: Will Leavitt say "Transgender" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 750.987736
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.7100
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.7100
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.7200
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.2800
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.7100
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.7050
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8750
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1250
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8800
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 272.38, Sell volume: 57.54, Average price: 0.7936, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0250
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.9750
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9800
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0200
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0200
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9800
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0200
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9800
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9800
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0200
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0535
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9465
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9550
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 30.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0330, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.0330

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0450
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9550
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0300
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9700
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0470
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9530
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0470
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9530
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9530
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0470
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.0470
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9530
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.0260
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9740
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0265
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9735
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0265
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9735
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0260
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 217.17, Sell volume: 1.34, Average price: 0.2672, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9929

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9740
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0260
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0275
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9725
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0280
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.9720
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0420
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9580
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0420
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9580
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0420
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9580
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0420
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9580
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0420
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9580
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0420
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9580
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0420
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9580
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0420
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 200.60, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0498, Price range: 0.0495 - 0.0500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9580
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0420
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0300
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0300
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0300
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0300
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0300
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0300
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0300
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0300
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.0300
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0500, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.0500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.0300
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9650
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0350
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9650
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0350
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9650
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0350
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9650
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.0350
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9650
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0350
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0350
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9650
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9650
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0350
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0350
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.9650
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0350
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0500, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.0500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 212.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5150, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9835
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0165
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9785
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0215
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9740
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0260
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9740
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 338.47, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5082, Price range: 0.0288 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0260
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 17751.59, Sell volume: 18.34, Average price: 0.4718, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0265
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9735
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.1320
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.8680
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.1315
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.8685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 224.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0545, Price range: 0.0545 - 0.0545

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.1275
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.8725
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.8725
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.1275
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.8725
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.1275
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.8770
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.1230
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.8770
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.1230
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8745
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.1255
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.8735
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1265
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.8665
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.1335
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.1195
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.8805
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.8855
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.1145
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.8855
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.1145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 17.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2200, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.2300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.8855
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1145
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.8850
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.1150
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.1150
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.8850
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.1150
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.8850
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.8850
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.1150
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.1145
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.8855
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.8855
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.1145
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0675
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9325
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9325
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0675
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0675
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9325
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0675
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 17751.59, Sell volume: 18.34, Average price: 0.4718, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0675
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9325
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0675
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9325
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0670
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9330
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0625
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9375
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9375
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0625
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9375
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0625
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0625
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9375
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0620
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9380
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0625
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9375
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0625
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9375
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.9370
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 17751.59, Sell volume: 18.34, Average price: 0.4718, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0605
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.9395
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.0605
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9395
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9355
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0645
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0645
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.9355
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0645
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9355
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9365
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0635
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.8655
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.1345
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.1265
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.8735
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9490
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0510
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 16393.65, Sell volume: 16.00, Average price: 0.7906, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0250
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.9750
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9800
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0200
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0200
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9800
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0200
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9800
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9800
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0200
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0535
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9465
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9550
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 30.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0330, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.0330
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0450
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9550
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0300
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9700
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0470
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9530
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0470
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9530
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9530
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0470
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.0470
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9530
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.0260
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9740
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0265
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9735
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0265
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9735
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0260
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 217.17, Sell volume: 1.34, Average price: 0.2672, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9929
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9740
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0260
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0275
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9725
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0280
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.9720
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0420
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9580
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0420
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9580
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0420
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9580
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0420
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9580
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0420
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9580
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0420
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9580
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0420
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9580
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0420
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 200.60, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0498, Price range: 0.0495 - 0.0500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9580
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0420
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0300
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0300
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0300
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0300
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0300
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0300
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0300
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0300
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.0300
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0500, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.0500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.0300
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9650
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0350
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9650
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0350
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9650
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0350
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9650
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.0350
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9650
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0350
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0350
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9650
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9650
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0350
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0350
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.9650
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0350
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0500, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.0500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 212.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5150, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9835
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0165
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9785
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0215
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9740
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0260
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9740
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 338.47, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5082, Price range: 0.0288 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0260
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 17751.59, Sell volume: 18.34, Average price: 0.4718, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0265
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9735
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.1320
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.8680
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.1315
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.8685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 224.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0545, Price range: 0.0545 - 0.0545
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.1275
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.8725
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.8725
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.1275
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.8725
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.1275
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.8770
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.1230
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.8770
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.1230
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8745
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.1255
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.8735
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1265
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.8665
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.1335
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.1195
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.8805
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.8855
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.1145
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.8855
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.1145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 17.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2200, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.2300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.8855
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1145
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.8850
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.1150
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.1150
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.8850
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.1150
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.8850
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.8850
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.1150
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.1145
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.8855
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.8855
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.1145
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0675
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9325
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9325
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0675
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0675
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9325
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0675
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 17751.59, Sell volume: 18.34, Average price: 0.4718, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0675
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9325
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0675
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9325
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0670
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9330
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0625
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9375
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9375
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0625
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9375
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0625
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0625
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9375
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0620
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9380
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0625
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9375
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0625
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9375
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.9370
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 17751.59, Sell volume: 18.34, Average price: 0.4718, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612871
Question: Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 17769.928381
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0605
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.9395
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.0605
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9395
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9355
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0645
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0645
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.9355
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0645
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9355
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9365
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0635
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.8655
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.1345
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.1265
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.8735
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9490
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0510
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 16393.65, Sell volume: 16.00, Average price: 0.7906, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 392, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2774.22, Average price: 0.5950, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 392, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2774.22, Average price: 0.5950, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 392, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2774.22, Average price: 0.5950, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 392, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2774.22, Average price: 0.5950, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 391, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2744.37, Average price: 0.5940, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 391, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2744.37, Average price: 0.5940, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 391, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2744.37, Average price: 0.5940, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 391, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2744.37, Average price: 0.5940, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 391, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2744.37, Average price: 0.5940, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 391, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2744.37, Average price: 0.5940, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 391, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2744.37, Average price: 0.5940, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 391, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2744.37, Average price: 0.5940, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 391, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2744.37, Average price: 0.5940, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 392, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2774.22, Average price: 0.5950, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 392, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2774.22, Average price: 0.5950, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 392, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2774.22, Average price: 0.5950, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 392, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2774.22, Average price: 0.5950, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 391, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2744.37, Average price: 0.5940, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 391, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2744.37, Average price: 0.5940, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 391, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2744.37, Average price: 0.5940, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 391, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2744.37, Average price: 0.5940, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 391, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2744.37, Average price: 0.5940, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 391, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2744.37, Average price: 0.5940, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 391, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2744.37, Average price: 0.5940, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 391, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2744.37, Average price: 0.5940, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758945
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7825.910504
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 391, Buy volume: 10453.55, Sell volume: 2744.37, Average price: 0.5940, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.4250
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.7350
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.3300
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.6850
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.3200
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.6800
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.3250
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.6750
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.4350
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.5600
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.4500
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.5900
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.3950
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.6050
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.3950
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.6350
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.3500
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.6000
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.4000
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.8650
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.2350
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.7750
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.1800
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.7950
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.1100
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9250
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0800
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.9300
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0600
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.9450
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0550
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.9350
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0550
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.9450
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0500
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.9350
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0600
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.9400
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0600
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9450
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0500
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.9450
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0500
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.9550
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0500
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.9550
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0500
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9500
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0500
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.9510
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0485
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9515
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0485
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9515
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0485
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9515
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0490
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.9510
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0485
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9515
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0485
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9515
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0485
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9515
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0485
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9515
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0485
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9515
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0485
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.9515
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0485
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9520
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0480
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.9670
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0510
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.9490
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.0510
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.9565
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.0440
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.9555
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0350
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9505
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0405
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9515
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0510
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.9495
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0345
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.9485
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0335
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.9535
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0355
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.9500
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0485
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.9505
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0475
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.9535
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0465
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.9525
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0510
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0510
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.9490
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0510
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.9490
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0555
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.9490
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0510
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.9490
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0510
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.9490
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0510
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.9490
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0510
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.9490
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0510
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.9490
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0510
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.9490
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0510
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.9490
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0510
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9490
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0510
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9490
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0510
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.9490
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0510
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.9490
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0510
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.9495
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0505
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.9495
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0505
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.9495
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0505
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.9495
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0505
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.9495
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0315
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.9495
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0510
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.9490
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0475
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.9490
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0510
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9490
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0510
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.9490
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0510
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.9490
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.9490
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0510
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9485
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0515
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9490
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0510
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.9485
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0365
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9755
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.1140
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9960
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0040
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.9960
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0265
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.9735
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0265
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.9735
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0265
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.9735
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0265
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9735
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0265
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9735
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0260
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9735
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0260
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.9735
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0260
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.9735
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0265
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9735
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0265
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.9735
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0265
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.9735
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0265
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.9740
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.0265
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.9735
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0265
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.9735
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.0265
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.8950
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.1050
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.9265
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0750
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.9250
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.0515
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.8950
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.1050
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.8950
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.1050
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.8950
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0265
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.9735
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0255
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.9745
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0255
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.9745
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0255
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.9745
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0255
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.9745
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0255
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.9745
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.0255
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.9745
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.1040
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.8960
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.1040
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.8960
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.1040
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.8960
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.1040
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.8960
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.1040
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.8960
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.1040
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.8960
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.1040
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.8960
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.1040
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.8960
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0485
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.9515
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.0485
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.9420
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.0680
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.9860
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0170
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.9830
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0160
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.9780
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0180
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.9790
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.0160
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.9800
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0220
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.9835
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0165
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.9835
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0165
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.9835
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0165
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.9835
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.1045
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.8965
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.1040
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.8945
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.1045
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.8960
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.1040
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.8960
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.1030
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.8970
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.0840
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.9300
2025-07-01 04:00: 0.0635
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.9155
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.0910
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.9840
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0155
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9095
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0200
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.9800
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.0350
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9650
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0350
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.9650
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.0350
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9650
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0325
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.9690
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.0310
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9690
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.0345
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9655
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0345
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.9660
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0340
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9660
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.0340
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.9660
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0300
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9665
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.0315
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.9680
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0315
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0310
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.9700
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0320
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.9695
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0310
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.9700
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.0330
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.9665
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.0330
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.9685
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0300
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.9690
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0300
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.9690
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0310
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.9690
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.0310
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.9690
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0330
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.9660
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.0340
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.9670
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0325
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.9775
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.0280
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.9720
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0275
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.9945
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.0055
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.9730
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.0245
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.9705
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.0135
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.9835
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0210
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.9705
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0235
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.9730
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0100
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.9915
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0090
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.9890
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0270
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.9885
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.0280
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.9750
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.0085
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9800
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.0295
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.9685
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0315
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.9685
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0315
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.9685
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.0315
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9685
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0305
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.9695
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0305
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9695
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0305
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9695
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0305
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.9690
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0310
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.9695
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0295
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.9705
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0300
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.9705
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0295
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9705
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0295
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.9705
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.0295
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9705
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0295
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.9705
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0295
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.9705
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0285
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.9715
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.0285
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.9715
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.0285
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.9715
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0285
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.9710
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.0285
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.9715
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0285
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.9715
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0285
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.9715
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.0290
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.9710
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0285
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.9715
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0310
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.9695
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0330
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.9710
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0295
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.9705
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0290
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.9665
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0320
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.9710
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0325
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.9665
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0305
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.9705
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.0300
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.9705
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0290
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.9660
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0290
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.9710
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0290
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.9675
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0315
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.9710
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0260
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.9710
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0255
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.9730
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0270
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.9730
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0270
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.9730
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0275
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.9710
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0295
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9690
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0320
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.9700
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0290
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.9710
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.0285
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.9715
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0295
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9715
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0285
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.9715
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0285
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.9685
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0285
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.9710
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0270
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.9740
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0260
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.9740
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0260
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.9740
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0260
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.9730
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0260
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.9710
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0300
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.9710
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0290
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.9700
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0295
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9700
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0300
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9710
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0290
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.9725
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0270
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9725
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0275
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9715
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0275
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.9710
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0290
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.9720
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0290
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.9710
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0290
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9710
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0290
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.9710
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0290
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9705
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0290
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.9710
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0290
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9710
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0290
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9720
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0290
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9710
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0290
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9710
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0290
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9710
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0290
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.9710
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0285
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.9705
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0290
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9720
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0275
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9730
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0285
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9715
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0275
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.9715
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0285
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.9715
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0285
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9715
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0285
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9715
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0265
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.9725
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0275
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.9740
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0260
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.9735
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0265
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.9715
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.3365
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.6615
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.3365
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.6615
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.3365
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.6615
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.3410
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.6630
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.3410
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.6630
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.3400
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.6590
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.3375
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.6630
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.3405
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.6590
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.6660
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.3340
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.6655
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.3345
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.6655
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.3345
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.6655
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.3345
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.6655
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.3345
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.6655
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.3345
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.6655
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.3345
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.6655
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.3345
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.6655
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.3345
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.6655
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.3345
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.6655
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.4250
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.3300
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.3200
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.3250
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.4350
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.4500
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.3950
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.3950
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.3500
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.4000
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.2350
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.1800
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.1100
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0800
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0600
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0550
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0550
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0500
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0600
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0600
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0500
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0500
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0500
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0500
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0500
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0500
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0500
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0500
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0500
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.9510
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9515
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9515
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9515
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.9510
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9515
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9515
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9515
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9515
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9515
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.9515
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9520
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.9670
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.9490
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.9565
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.9555
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9505
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9515
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.9495
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.9485
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.9535
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.9500
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.9505
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.9535
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.9525
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.9495
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.9490
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.9490
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.9495
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.9495
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0510
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0510
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0555
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0510
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0510
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0510
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0510
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0510
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0510
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0510
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0510
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0510
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0510
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0510
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0510
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0505
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0505
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0505
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0505
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0315
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0510
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0475
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0510
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0510
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0510
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0510
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0510
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0510
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0515
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.9490
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9485
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9490
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.9485
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9755
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9960
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.9960
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.9735
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.9735
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.9735
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9735
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9735
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9735
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.9735
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.9735
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9735
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.9735
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.9735
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.9740
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.9735
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.9735
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.8950
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.9265
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.9250
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.8950
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.8950
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.8950
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.8950
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.8955
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.8955
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.1050
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.1050
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0265
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0255
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0255
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0255
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0255
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0255
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.0255
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.1040
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.1040
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.1040
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.1040
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.1040
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.1040
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.1040
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.1040
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0485
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.0485
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.0680
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0170
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0160
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0180
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.0160
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0220
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.0170
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0165
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0160
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.0180
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.9835
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.9835
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.9835
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.9835
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.8965
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.8945
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.8960
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.8960
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.8970
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.9300
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.9155
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.9840
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9095
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.9800
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9650
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.9650
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9650
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.9690
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9690
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9655
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.9660
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9660
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.9660
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9665
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.9680
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.9695
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.9700
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.9695
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.9695
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0310
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0320
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0310
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.0330
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.0330
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0300
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0300
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0310
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.0310
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0330
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.0340
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0325
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.0280
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0275
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.0055
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.0245
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.0135
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0210
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0235
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0100
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0090
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0270
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.0280
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.0085
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.0295
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.0240
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.0065
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0170
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.0210
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.9685
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.9685
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.9685
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9685
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.9695
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9695
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9695
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.9690
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.9695
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.9705
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.9705
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9705
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.9705
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9705
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.9705
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.9705
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.9715
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.9715
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.9715
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.9710
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.9715
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.9715
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.9715
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.9710
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.9715
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.9715
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.9710
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9680
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.9710
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0310
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0330
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0295
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0290
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0320
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0325
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0305
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.0300
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0290
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0290
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0290
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0315
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0260
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0255
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0270
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0270
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0275
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0295
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0320
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0290
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.0285
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0295
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0285
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0285
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0285
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0260
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0310
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.0260
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.0260
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.9710
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.9740
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.9740
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.9740
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.9730
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.9710
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.9710
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.9700
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9700
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9710
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.9725
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9725
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9715
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.9710
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.9720
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.9710
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9710
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.9710
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9705
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.9710
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9710
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9720
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9710
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9710
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9710
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9715
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9710
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9710
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9710
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9710
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0290
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0285
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0290
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0275
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0285
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0275
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0285
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0285
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0285
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0265
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0275
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0260
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0265
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.3365
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.3365
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.3365
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.3410
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.3410
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.3400
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.3375
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.3405
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551106
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?
Volume: 7651.058725
Price History:
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.3340
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.3345
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.3345
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.3345
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.3345
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.3345
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.3345
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.3345
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.3345
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.3345
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.3305
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.1415
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.1425
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.1425
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.1445
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549905
Question: Will Trump end DOGE in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 80234.055223
Price History:
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.5000
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.3550
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.2950
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.3850
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.3750
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.3700
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.2050
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.2150
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.2150
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.1950
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.1950
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.1950
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.1900
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.1900
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.1950
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.1950
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.1950
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.2000
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.2000
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.2000
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.2000
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.1850
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.1850
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.1850
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.1850
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.1850
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.1850
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.1850
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.1850
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.1850
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.1850
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.1850
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.1850
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.1850
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.1850
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.1850
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.1850
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.1850
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.1850
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.1850
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.1850
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.1850
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 6818.27, Sell volume: 4458.22, Average price: 0.4340, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549905
Question: Will Trump end DOGE in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 80234.055223
Price History:
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.1850
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.1850
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.1850
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.1850
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.1850
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.1850
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.1850
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.1850
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.1850
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.1850
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.1850
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.1850
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.1850
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.1850
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.1850
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.1850
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.1850
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.1850
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.1850
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.1850
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.1850
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.1850
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.1850
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.1850
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.1850
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.3100
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.2750
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.2700
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.2750
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.2850
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.2950
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.2850
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.2700
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.2700
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.2700
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.2700
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.2700
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.2700
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.2700
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.2700
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.2700
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.2700
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.2700
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.2700
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.2700
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.2700
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.2700
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.2250
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.2150
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 2644.93, Sell volume: 2190.78, Average price: 0.5464, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549905
Question: Will Trump end DOGE in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 80234.055223
Price History:
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.2150
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.2100
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.2100
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.2100
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.2100
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.2000
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.1900
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.1900
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.1850
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.1900
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.1900
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.1850
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.1850
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.1850
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.1850
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.1850
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.1850
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.1900
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.1900
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.1900
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.1900
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.1900
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.1900
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.1900
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.1900
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.1900
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.1900
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.1900
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.1900
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.1900
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.1900
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.1900
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.1900
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.1900
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.1900
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.1900
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.1900
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.1900
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.1950
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.1950
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.1950
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.1950
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.1950
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.1950
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.1950
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.1950
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.1950
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.1950
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.1950
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 221.55, Sell volume: 620.91, Average price: 0.6358, Price range: 0.1911 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549905
Question: Will Trump end DOGE in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 80234.055223
Price History:
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.2000
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.1850
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.1650
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.1450
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.1450
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.1450
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.1450
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.1200
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.1150
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.1150
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0950
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0950
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0950
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0950
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0900
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0900
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0900
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0900
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0900
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0950
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.1050
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.1000
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0850
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0950
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0950
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.1000
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.1000
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.1000
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.1000
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.1000
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0950
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0950
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0950
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0950
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0950
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.1000
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.0950
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0950
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0950
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.0950
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.0950
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0950
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.0950
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0950
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.0950
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.0950
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0950
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.0950
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0950
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2177.89, Sell volume: 1895.14, Average price: 0.2586, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9135

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549905
Question: Will Trump end DOGE in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 80234.055223
Price History:
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.1000
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.1000
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.1000
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0950
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.0950
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0950
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0950
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.1000
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.1000
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.1000
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.0950
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.0950
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.1000
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0900
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.0900
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0900
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0900
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0900
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0900
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.0900
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0900
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.0900
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.0900
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0900
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0900
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.0900
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.0900
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.0900
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.0900
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.0900
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.0900
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.0900
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.0900
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0900
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.0900
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0900
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.0900
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0900
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0900
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.0900
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.0900
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.0900
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.0900
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.0900
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.0750
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.9100
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9100
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.9100
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.0900
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 344.19, Sell volume: 450.17, Average price: 0.4506, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9200

Output: No