Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0050
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.9950
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0055
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9925
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.0080
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9920
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0075
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.9925
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.0075
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.9925
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0085
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.9915
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0085
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.9920
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0090
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9920
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9915
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.9915
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0095
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.9900
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.0080
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.9920
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0085
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9915
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.9920
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0095
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.9920
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.0085
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9925
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9910
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.0090
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.9910
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0080
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.9920
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0090
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.9925
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0085
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.9920
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9925
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.9915
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.0075
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.9920
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0090
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.9905
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0090
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.9940
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9905
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0090
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.9900
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.9915
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9915
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0090
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9910
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0090
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9915
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0085
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9940
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9940
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0170
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0170
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9920
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0110
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9865
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0120
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9895
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0125
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9820
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9875
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9765
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9840
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0150
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9875
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0110
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9880
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0175
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9865
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0130
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9865
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0135
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9865
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0115
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9885
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9895
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0110
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9890
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9890
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0110
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9880
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9885
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9890
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0135
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9870
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0155
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9860
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0155
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9870
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0145
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9870
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9865
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0130
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9865
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0120
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0115
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9855
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9870
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0145
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9870
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0155
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9855
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0155
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9795
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9785
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0215
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9780
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9775
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0210
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9830
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0170
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9825
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0205
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9745
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9755
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0215
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9755
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0215
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.4100
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.7050
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.3850
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.2950
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.4000
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.3550
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.3650
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.3700
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.2600
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.2650
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.2650
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.1850
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.3400
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.3200
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.3350
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.3550
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.3200
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.3150
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.3050
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.3050
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.3050
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.3050
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.3150
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.3300
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.3600
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.3250
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.3400
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.3250
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.3150
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.3250
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.6850
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.7250
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.7450
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.7000
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.6500
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.6150
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.6450
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.6200
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.6150
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.6350
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.6350
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.6500
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254834761.80, Sell volume: 289405091.24, Average price: 0.7076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.6600
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.6350
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.6000
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.6250
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.6250
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.6150
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.6850
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.7150
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.6650
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.7000
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.7000
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.6650
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.6600
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.6850
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.7050
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.7200
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.7300
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.7300
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.7150
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.7150
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.7050
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.7450
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.7350
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.7350
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.7650
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.7300
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.8100
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.8200
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.5800
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.5150
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.2750
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.2800
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.3150
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.2300
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.2150
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.1150
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.1050
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.1050
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.0700
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.0700
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254834761.80, Sell volume: 289405091.24, Average price: 0.7076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.1735
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.2355
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.2145
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.2590
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.2845
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.3020
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.8720
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.8180
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.8150
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.8520
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.8400
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.8400
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.8490
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.8420
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.8110
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.8075
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.8160
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.8350
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.8400
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.8335
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.8375
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.8465
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.8530
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.8530
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.8530
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.8550
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.8505
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.8510
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.8515
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.8435
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.8490
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.8465
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.8485
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.8505
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.8460
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.8475
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.8485
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.8490
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.8480
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.8470
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.8505
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.8500
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.8510
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.8515
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.8520
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.8555
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.8540
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.8660
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.8660
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.8620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254834761.80, Sell volume: 289405091.24, Average price: 0.7076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.8540
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.8540
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.8530
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.8530
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.8540
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.8540
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.8540
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.8540
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.8535
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.8545
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.8585
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.8620
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.8640
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.8655
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.8655
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.8655
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.8670
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.8720
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.8680
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.8675
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.8760
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.8775
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.8755
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.8755
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.8790
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.8780
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.8820
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.8810
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.8835
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.8820
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.8820
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.8820
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.8820
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.8820
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.8820
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.8820
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.8820
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.8820
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.8820
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.8825
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.8820
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.8820
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.8790
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.8785
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.8760
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.8755
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.8745
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.8770
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.8765
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.8755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254834761.80, Sell volume: 289405091.24, Average price: 0.7076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.8770
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.8785
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.8795
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.8800
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.8790
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.8795
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.8775
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.8780
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.8780
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.8795
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.8815
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.8830
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.8835
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.8840
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.8840
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.8855
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.8870
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.8870
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.8870
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.8910
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.8910
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.8885
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.8880
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.8885
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.8875
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.8895
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.8895
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.8885
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.8875
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.8915
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.8940
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.8925
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.8925
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.8915
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.8910
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.8945
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.8950
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.8955
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.8925
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.8900
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.8890
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.8895
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.9055
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.9040
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.9040
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.9040
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.9040
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.9040
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.9010
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.9020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254834761.80, Sell volume: 289405091.24, Average price: 0.7076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.9010
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.9005
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.8975
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.8970
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.8970
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.8955
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.8945
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.8965
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.8960
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.8950
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.8955
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.8960
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.8980
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.8885
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.8885
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.8875
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.8880
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.8935
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.8945
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.8945
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.8960
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.8955
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.8930
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.8860
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.8860
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.8865
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.8875
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.8875
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.8875
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.8875
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.8865
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.8845
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.8855
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.8855
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.8880
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.8880
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.8880
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.8875
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.8865
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.8875
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.8870
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.8835
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.8840
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.8845
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.8935
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9020
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9050
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9075
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9110
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254834761.80, Sell volume: 289405091.24, Average price: 0.7076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.9260
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9285
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.9215
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.9195
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.9140
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.9220
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.9455
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.9440
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.9415
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.9405
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.9320
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.9265
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.9260
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.9260
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.9260
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.9290
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9370
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.9385
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.9350
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.9355
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.9345
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9425
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9360
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.9290
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9340
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.9350
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.9315
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.9285
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.9280
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.9285
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.9285
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.9280
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.9280
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.9280
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.9275
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.9275
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9275
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.9280
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.9280
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.9290
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.9295
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.9290
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9335
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.9315
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.9300
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.9280
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.9265
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.9275
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254834761.80, Sell volume: 289405091.24, Average price: 0.7076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9270
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.9265
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9210
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.9215
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.9215
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9215
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.9220
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9215
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9210
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9190
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9200
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.9195
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9210
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.9215
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.9210
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9200
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9200
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9185
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.9185
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.9215
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.9220
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.9220
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9220
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.9210
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.9185
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.9180
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.9185
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.9215
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.9145
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.9140
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.9140
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.9140
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.9105
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9095
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9125
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.9115
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9160
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.9165
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9130
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9145
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9150
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9155
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9130
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9145
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9150
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9150
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9145
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9130
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.9145
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.9090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 491508, Buy volume: 83381332.88, Sell volume: 98723837.34, Average price: 0.7454, Price range: 0.0770 - 0.9259

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9085
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.9155
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9155
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.9110
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.9015
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.9010
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9020
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.9020
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.9070
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.9085
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.9075
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.9070
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9070
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.9055
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9055
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.9055
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.9040
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.9020
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9020
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.9020
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.9020
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.9025
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.9025
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.9030
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9020
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.9015
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9055
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.9095
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.9085
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.9085
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.9080
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9060
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.9075
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9090
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.9075
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.9070
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.9080
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.9085
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9035
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9035
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9035
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.9060
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9060
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.9065
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9055
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9045
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 329670, Buy volume: 130586747.31, Sell volume: 58010551.38, Average price: 0.6657, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9141

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.9105
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.9080
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.9080
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.9080
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.9095
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.9105
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.9145
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9190
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.9065
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.9095
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.9090
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9105
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.9165
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.9145
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.9145
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.9140
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.9145
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.9130
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.9115
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.9120
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.9095
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.9095
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9095
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.9085
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.9055
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.9060
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.9110
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9110
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9155
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.9150
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.9140
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.9120
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9120
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.9175
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9180
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.9165
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9125
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9175
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.9180
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.9200
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.9195
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9195
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.9195
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9170
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.9205
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.9205
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9205
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9205
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 164013, Buy volume: 39709446.25, Sell volume: 124812124.43, Average price: 0.6808, Price range: 0.0780 - 0.9230

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9230
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9220
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9240
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9255
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9245
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9275
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9270
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9245
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9225
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9225
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9220
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9210
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9210
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9210
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9255
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9260
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9260
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9265
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9385
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9430
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9490
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9595
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9580
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9580
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9585
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9615
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9580
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9585
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9590
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9730
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9660
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9610
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9605
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9610
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9620
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9640
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9625
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9625
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9625
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9640
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9640
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9635
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9645
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9645
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9645
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9645
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9570
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9580
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 280, Buy volume: 80634.69, Sell volume: 100722.19, Average price: 0.7575, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.9750

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9575
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9565
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9555
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9555
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9530
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9535
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9530
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9530
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9525
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9530
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9530
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9535
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9535
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9540
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9535
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9520
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9515
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9510
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9510
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9510
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9510
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9485
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9495
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9495
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9505
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9505
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9505
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9505
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9510
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9485
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9495
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9490
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9490
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9495
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9495
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9505
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9505
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9485
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9495
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9510
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9510
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9510
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9510
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9510
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9515
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9550
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9515
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9525
Trade Summary: Total trades: 119, Buy volume: 10991.12, Sell volume: 10015.68, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9570

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9535
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9515
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9495
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9500
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9495
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9500
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9505
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9495
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9505
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9560
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9570
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9585
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9595
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9625
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9610
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9605
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9605
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9650
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9655
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9630
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9585
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9440
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9485
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9545
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9555
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9530
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9590
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9580
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9600
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9615
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9625
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9615
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9640
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9640
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9660
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9660
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9695
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9720
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9665
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9905
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9940
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 419, Buy volume: 240168.20, Sell volume: 168679.73, Average price: 0.8341, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.5900
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.3850
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.7050
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.6000
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.3650
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.2600
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.1850
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.6600
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.3350
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.6450
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.3150
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.6950
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.3050
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.6950
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.3150
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.6700
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.3250
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.6600
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.3150
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.6750
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.6850
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.7450
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.6150
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254834761.80, Sell volume: 289405091.24, Average price: 0.7076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.6600
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.3650
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.6250
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.3750
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.6850
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.2850
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.7000
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.3000
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.6600
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.3150
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.7200
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.7300
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.2850
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.7050
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.2550
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.7350
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.2650
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.7300
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.1900
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.5800
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.4850
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.2800
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.6850
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.2150
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.8850
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.8950
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254834761.80, Sell volume: 289405091.24, Average price: 0.7076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.1735
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.7645
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.2590
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.7155
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.8720
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.1820
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.8520
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.1600
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.8490
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.1580
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.8075
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.1840
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.8400
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.1665
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.8465
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.1470
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.8530
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.1450
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.8510
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.1485
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.8490
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.1535
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.8505
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.1540
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.8485
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.1510
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.8470
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.1495
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.8510
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.1485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254834761.80, Sell volume: 289405091.24, Average price: 0.7076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.8540
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.1460
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.8530
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.1460
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.8540
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.1460
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.8545
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.1415
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.8640
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.1345
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.8655
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.1330
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.8680
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.1325
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.8775
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.1245
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.8790
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.1220
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.8810
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.1165
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.8820
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.1180
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.8820
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.1180
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.8820
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.1180
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.8825
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.1180
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.8790
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.1215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254834761.80, Sell volume: 289405091.24, Average price: 0.7076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.8770
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.1215
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.8800
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.1210
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.8775
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.1220
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.8795
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.1185
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.8835
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.1160
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.8855
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.1130
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.8870
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.1090
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.8885
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.1120
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.8875
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.1105
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.8885
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.1125
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.8940
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.1075
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.8915
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.1090
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.8950
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.1045
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.8900
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.1110
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.9055
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.0960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254834761.80, Sell volume: 289405091.24, Average price: 0.7076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.9010
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.0995
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.8970
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.1030
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.8945
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.1035
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.8950
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.1045
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.8980
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.1115
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.8875
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.1120
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.8945
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.1055
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.8955
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.1070
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.8860
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.1135
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.8875
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.1125
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.8865
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.1155
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.8855
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.1120
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.8880
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.1125
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.8875
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.1130
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.8840
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.1155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254834761.80, Sell volume: 289405091.24, Average price: 0.7076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.9260
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.0715
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.0805
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.9220
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0545
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.9415
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0595
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.9265
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.0740
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.9260
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0710
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.9385
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0650
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.9345
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0575
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.9290
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0660
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.9315
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0715
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.9285
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.0715
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.9280
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0720
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.9275
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0725
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.9280
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0710
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.9290
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254834761.80, Sell volume: 289405091.24, Average price: 0.7076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9270
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.0735
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.9215
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0785
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.9220
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0785
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9190
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0800
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9210
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0785
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9200
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.9185
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0785
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.9220
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0780
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.9185
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.0820
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.9215
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0855
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.9140
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.0860
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9095
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0875
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9160
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0835
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9145
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0850
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9130
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 491508, Buy volume: 83381332.88, Sell volume: 98723837.34, Average price: 0.7454, Price range: 0.0770 - 0.9259
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9085
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.0845
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.9110
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0985
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9020
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0980
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.9085
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0925
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9070
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0945
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.9055
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0960
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9020
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.0980
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.9025
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.0975
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9020
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0985
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.9095
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.0915
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.9080
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0940
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9090
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0925
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.9080
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0915
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9035
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0965
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9060
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 329670, Buy volume: 130586747.31, Sell volume: 58010551.38, Average price: 0.6657, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9141
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.9105
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0920
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.9080
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0905
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.9145
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0810
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.9095
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0910
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.9165
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.9145
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0860
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.9130
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.0885
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.9095
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.0905
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.9085
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0945
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.9110
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0890
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.9150
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0860
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9120
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0825
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.9165
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0875
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.9180
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0800
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9195
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 164013, Buy volume: 39709446.25, Sell volume: 124812124.43, Average price: 0.6808, Price range: 0.0780 - 0.9230
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9230
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0780
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9255
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0755
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9270
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0755
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9225
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0780
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9210
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0790
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9260
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0740
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9385
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0570
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9595
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0420
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9585
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0385
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9585
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0410
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9730
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0340
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9605
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0390
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9640
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0375
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9625
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0360
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9635
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 280, Buy volume: 80634.69, Sell volume: 100722.19, Average price: 0.7575, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9575
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0435
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9555
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0470
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0460
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9530
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0475
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9530
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0465
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9540
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0465
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9515
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0490
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9510
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0490
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9495
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0505
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9505
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0495
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9510
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0515
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9490
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0510
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9495
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0495
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9485
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0505
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9510
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 119, Buy volume: 10991.12, Sell volume: 10015.68, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9570
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541392
Question: Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Volume: 4024661.567987
Price History:
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9535
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0485
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9500
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0505
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9505
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0505
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9560
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0430
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9595
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0375
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9605
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0395
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9655
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0370
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9440
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0515
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9555
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0470
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9580
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0400
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9625
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0385
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9640
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0340
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9695
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0280
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0095
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 419, Buy volume: 240168.20, Sell volume: 168679.73, Average price: 0.8341, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.4200
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.2700
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.2600
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.2150
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.2600
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.3100
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.3800
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.3850
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.3750
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.3750
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.3700
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.3700
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.3700
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.3750
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.3850
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.3850
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.2750
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.2750
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.3300
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.3200
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.3250
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.3250
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.3250
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.3250
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.3250
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.3250
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.3200
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.3150
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.3150
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.2700
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.2650
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.2600
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.2600
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.2600
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.2600
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.2600
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.2600
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.2600
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.2600
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.2550
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.2200
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.2150
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.2150
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.2200
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105894, Buy volume: 141901504.10, Sell volume: 133624301.94, Average price: 0.4743, Price range: 0.2077 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.2250
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.2200
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.2200
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.2250
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.2250
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.2250
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.2250
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.2250
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.2250
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.2200
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.2200
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.2200
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.2200
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.2150
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.2150
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.2150
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.2150
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.2150
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.2150
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.2150
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.2150
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.2150
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.2100
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.2100
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.2100
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.2100
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.2100
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.2100
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.2050
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.2050
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.2050
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.2050
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.2050
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.2050
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.2050
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.2050
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.2050
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.2050
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.2050
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.2050
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.2050
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.2050
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.2050
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.2050
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.2050
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.2000
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.1950
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.1950
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31968, Buy volume: 1260559.15, Sell volume: 2072944.98, Average price: 0.5039, Price range: 0.1911 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.1950
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.1950
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.1950
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.1950
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.1950
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.1950
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.1950
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.1950
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.1950
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.1950
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.1950
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.1900
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.1900
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.1900
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.1900
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.1900
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.1900
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.1950
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.1900
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.1900
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.1900
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.1900
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.1900
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.1950
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.1950
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.1900
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.1900
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.1900
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.1900
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.1900
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.1900
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.1900
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.1900
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.1900
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.1900
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.1900
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.1900
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.1900
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.1900
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.1900
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.1900
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.1900
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.1900
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.1900
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.1900
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.1950
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.1950
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.1950
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.1950
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9990, Buy volume: 22323.33, Sell volume: 845134.02, Average price: 0.4380, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.1950
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.1950
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.1950
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.1950
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.1950
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.1950
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.1950
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.1950
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.1950
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.1950
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.1950
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.1950
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.1950
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.1950
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.1950
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.1950
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.1950
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.1950
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.1950
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.1950
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.1950
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.1950
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.1950
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.1950
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.1950
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.1950
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.1950
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.1950
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.1950
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.1850
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.1800
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.1600
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.1550
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.1450
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.1800
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.1800
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.1800
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.1800
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.1800
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.1800
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.1800
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.1800
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.1800
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.1550
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.1550
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.1350
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.1300
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.1250
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.1250
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37962, Buy volume: 1583801.97, Sell volume: 2565551.88, Average price: 0.4534, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.1250
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.1250
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.1250
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.1250
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.1200
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.1200
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.1200
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.1200
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.1200
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.1200
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.1200
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.1200
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.1200
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.1200
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.1100
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.1100
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.1050
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.1050
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.1050
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.1050
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.1050
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.1050
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.1050
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.1050
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0700
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0650
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.0600
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0600
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0600
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.0600
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.0600
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0550
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.0450
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0500
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0500
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0500
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0500
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0500
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0400
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0400
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0400
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0400
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0400
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0340
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.0125
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0210
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0160
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73926, Buy volume: 4080856.09, Sell volume: 9709460.82, Average price: 0.6327, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0250
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0250
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.0240
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0255
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.0225
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0240
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0230
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0240
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0240
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0250
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0230
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0160
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0160
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0225
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0300
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0285
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0295
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0295
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0270
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0295
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0255
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0225
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0285
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0180
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0225
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0185
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0260
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0240
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0205
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0190
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0210
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0275
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0270
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0190
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0265
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0275
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0300
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0310
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0300
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0315
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.0310
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.0320
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0320
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.0320
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0320
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0300
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0280
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.0305
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0280
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65934, Buy volume: 750720.34, Sell volume: 8094897.00, Average price: 0.8917, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.0290
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0250
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.0260
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0270
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0260
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.0275
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.0265
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0250
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.0280
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.0290
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0290
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.0270
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.0290
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0290
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.0265
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.0290
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.0275
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0270
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0270
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.0275
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0275
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.0275
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.0290
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.0280
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.0290
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.0290
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0275
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.0280
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.0280
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0275
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.0280
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.0285
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0285
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0280
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.0285
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0280
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0275
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.0285
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.0295
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.0300
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.0290
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.0295
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0295
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0300
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.0290
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0300
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.0295
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.0275
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5994, Buy volume: 2336.12, Sell volume: 59180.76, Average price: 0.9710, Price range: 0.9690 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0285
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0270
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.0280
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0195
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0290
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0285
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0285
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0275
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.9715
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.9715
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.9725
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0280
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.9725
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.0275
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9695
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.9695
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9690
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.9690
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.0310
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.0310
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.0310
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.9690
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.0310
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0310
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0310
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9690
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0310
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.9690
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0310
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.9690
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9690
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0310
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0305
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0315
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9695
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.0315
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.9685
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9690
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.9690
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0315
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0315
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.0315
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0335
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.0410
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0445
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.0440
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.9480
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.9440
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.9410
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.9395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21978, Buy volume: 1512974.77, Sell volume: 42137.82, Average price: 0.5552, Price range: 0.0368 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.9390
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.0605
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9360
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.8250
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.1700
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.8400
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.1835
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.8135
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.8140
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.8060
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.8090
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.8100
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.7745
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.2215
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.1465
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.8185
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.1870
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.9250
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0740
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.0740
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.0745
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.9245
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.0755
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.0755
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.0755
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.1635
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.1610
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.1605
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.1600
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.1610
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.8395
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.1565
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.8485
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.8430
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.1610
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.8410
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.8485
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.8520
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.8390
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.8385
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.8390
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.0935
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.0920
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9060
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.9055
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.9060
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.9060
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.9070
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9055
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23976, Buy volume: 336951.67, Sell volume: 1881996.12, Average price: 0.3732, Price range: 0.0338 - 0.9630

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0790
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0785
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0790
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0785
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0790
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0790
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.9215
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9205
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9205
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9210
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0780
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9220
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0790
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9220
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9220
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9230
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9215
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0785
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0785
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9220
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9210
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0785
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9220
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0780
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9220
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0785
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0785
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0790
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0790
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9210
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9210
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9490
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9490
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9490
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0510
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0510
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0505
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0625
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0670
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0715
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0725
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0400
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0350
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0350
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9645
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9645
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9645
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9645
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9645
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43956, Buy volume: 878542.42, Sell volume: 19980.00, Average price: 0.9235, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9505
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0495
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9505
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9505
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0490
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0530
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0700
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9365
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9520
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.9460
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9400
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9525
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9475
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9525
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0530
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0555
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0560
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0560
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0550
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0530
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0540
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9745
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0240
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0220
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9785
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0225
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0220
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0220
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0220
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0225
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0250
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9730
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0270
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0245
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0250
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0245
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0225
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9780
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0205
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0195
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0205
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.9795
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0340
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0275
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9720
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.9710
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9730
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.9735
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0260
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 165834, Buy volume: 15211073.26, Sell volume: 767471.76, Average price: 0.8486, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9655
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9655
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0345
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9650
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9660
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9650
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0350
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0350
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9630
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0375
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0365
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.9640
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.9645
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0355
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0260
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9700
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9660
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9670
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0230
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.0325
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9660
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9710
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9715
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0280
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0280
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0145
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0155
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0165
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0160
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0180
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9850
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9835
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0145
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.0175
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0175
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0170
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0190
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9860
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9895
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 406083, Buy volume: 406414148.95, Sell volume: 3492627.12, Average price: 0.5843, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 508, Buy volume: 70801.14, Sell volume: 116027.34, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.4200
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.7550
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.1300
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.7400
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.3800
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.6150
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.3750
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.6300
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.3700
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.6150
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.2750
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.6850
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.3200
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.6750
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.3250
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.6750
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.3150
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.6850
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.2650
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.7400
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.2600
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.7400
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.2600
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.7400
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.2150
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.7850
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105894, Buy volume: 141901504.10, Sell volume: 133624301.94, Average price: 0.4743, Price range: 0.2077 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.2250
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.7800
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.2250
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.7750
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.2250
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.7750
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.2200
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.7800
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.2150
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.7850
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.2150
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.7850
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.2150
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.7850
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.2100
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.7900
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.2100
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.7950
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.2050
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.7950
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.2050
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.7950
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.2050
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.7950
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.2050
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.7950
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.2050
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.8000
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.1950
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31968, Buy volume: 1260559.15, Sell volume: 2072944.98, Average price: 0.5039, Price range: 0.1911 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.1950
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.8050
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.1950
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.8050
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.1950
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.8050
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.1950
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.8100
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.1900
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.8100
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.1950
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.8100
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.1900
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.8100
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.1950
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.8100
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.1900
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.8100
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.1900
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.8100
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.1900
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.8100
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.1900
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.8100
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.1900
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.8100
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.1900
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.8050
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.1950
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9990, Buy volume: 22323.33, Sell volume: 845134.02, Average price: 0.4380, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.1950
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.8050
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.1950
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.8050
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.1950
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.8050
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.1950
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.8050
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.1950
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.8050
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.1950
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.8050
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.1950
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.8050
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.1950
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.8050
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.1950
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.8150
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.1800
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.8450
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.1800
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.8200
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.1800
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.8200
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.1800
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.8200
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.1550
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.8700
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.1250
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37962, Buy volume: 1583801.97, Sell volume: 2565551.88, Average price: 0.4534, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.1250
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.8750
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.1200
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.8800
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.1200
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.8800
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.1200
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.8800
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.1100
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.8900
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.1050
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.8950
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.1050
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.8950
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0800
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.9350
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.9400
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0600
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.9400
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.0450
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9500
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0500
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.9500
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0400
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.9600
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0400
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.9875
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0155
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73926, Buy volume: 4080856.09, Sell volume: 9709460.82, Average price: 0.6327, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0250
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9745
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0270
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9760
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0250
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.9775
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0240
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9805
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0250
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9720
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0295
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9725
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0180
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9715
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0185
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9790
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0210
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9805
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0210
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.9835
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0265
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.9695
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0310
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.9685
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0320
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.9685
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0300
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.9700
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.0290
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65934, Buy volume: 750720.34, Sell volume: 8094897.00, Average price: 0.8917, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.0290
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.9725
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0260
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.9725
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.0225
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.9710
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.0275
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.9725
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0270
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.9710
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.0275
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.9740
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.0275
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.9725
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.0285
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.9725
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.0295
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.9725
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0280
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.9720
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0280
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.9720
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0295
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.9705
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0290
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.9710
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.0290
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.9710
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0230
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.9730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5994, Buy volume: 2336.12, Sell volume: 59180.76, Average price: 0.9710, Price range: 0.9690 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0285
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.9710
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0220
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9715
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.0290
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.0275
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0285
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.0290
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9695
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.9695
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.9690
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.9690
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.0310
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.9690
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.0310
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.9690
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.0310
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.9690
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.0310
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9695
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9695
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0315
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0300
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.9685
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0315
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9655
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.0440
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0460
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9365
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21978, Buy volume: 1512974.77, Sell volume: 42137.82, Average price: 0.5552, Price range: 0.0368 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.9390
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.0615
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.1735
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.1600
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.8950
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.1755
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.8100
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.2270
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.8650
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.1495
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.9250
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9260
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0745
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.9245
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.0755
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.8390
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.1605
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.1605
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.1595
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.1600
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.1610
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.1580
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.8545
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.1615
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.9070
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.0940
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.9055
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.0940
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0940
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23976, Buy volume: 336951.67, Sell volume: 1881996.12, Average price: 0.3732, Price range: 0.0338 - 0.9630
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0790
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.9215
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0790
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9210
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9205
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0790
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9220
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9205
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0780
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0760
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0785
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9220
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9260
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0780
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0780
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0785
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0790
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0790
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9450
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0510
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0510
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0505
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0625
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9285
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0620
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9650
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9645
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0355
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0355
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43956, Buy volume: 878542.42, Sell volume: 19980.00, Average price: 0.9235, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9505
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9505
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0495
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9470
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0510
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9415
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0520
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9560
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9450
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0560
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9455
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9750
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9760
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9780
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0215
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0220
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9775
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9730
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9730
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0250
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9780
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0220
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9805
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0205
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9670
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9720
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0290
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9735
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 165834, Buy volume: 15211073.26, Sell volume: 767471.76, Average price: 0.8486, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9655
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9655
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0350
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0350
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9650
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0375
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0360
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0355
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0315
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0315
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9670
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0245
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9670
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0285
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.0280
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9765
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9845
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9830
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.9820
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9840
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0175
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9835
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0145
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 406083, Buy volume: 406414148.95, Sell volume: 3492627.12, Average price: 0.5843, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545056
Question: Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 729054.561386
Price History:
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 508, Buy volume: 70801.14, Sell volume: 116027.34, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.4200
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.1100
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0800
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0330
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0330
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0330
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0325
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0325
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0325
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0325
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0325
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0325
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0325
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0325
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0325
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0205
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0160
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0265
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0300
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0290
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0280
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.0280
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0255
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0235
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0230
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0175
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0245
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.0240
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0225
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0225
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0225
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0225
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0240
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0230
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0255
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0225
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0225
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0225
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0210
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0170
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0140
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0170
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0205
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0205
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1457.74, Sell volume: 620.36, Average price: 0.7288, Price range: 0.0129 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0195
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0210
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0185
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0180
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0180
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0180
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0180
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0175
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0175
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0170
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0155
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0165
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0150
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0160
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0150
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0135
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0135
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0145
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0165
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0140
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0165
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0170
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0135
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0090
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0090
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0090
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0090
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0090
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0095
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0095
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0100
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0100
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0095
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0120
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0095
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0095
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0095
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0095
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0100
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0095
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.0095
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0095
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0095
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0095
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0100
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0100
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0100
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 149.85, Sell volume: 452.40, Average price: 0.4034, Price range: 0.0117 - 0.9943

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0100
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0110
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0110
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0100
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0100
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0100
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0105
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0105
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0120
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0125
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0120
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0095
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.0105
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0120
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0095
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0095
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0110
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0110
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0110
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0110
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0110
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0115
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0110
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0120
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0115
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0110
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0110
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0125
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0110
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0115
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0110
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0115
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0125
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0115
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0110
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0125
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0135
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0110
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0125
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0115
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0115
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0120
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0115
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0120
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0110
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0115
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0155
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0155
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 238, Buy volume: 27892.13, Sell volume: 9987.95, Average price: 0.7313, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0155
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0155
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0155
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0155
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0130
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0130
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0110
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0140
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0120
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0115
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.0115
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0120
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0120
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.0120
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.0125
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0120
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0125
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0120
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0135
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0140
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0110
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0120
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0120
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0120
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0115
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0120
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.0105
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.0110
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0120
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0120
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.0090
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0090
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0090
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0090
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0090
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0090
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0090
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0090
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0090
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0115
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.0110
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.0090
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0090
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0085
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0085
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0085
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0085
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0085
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0085
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 57.37, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.8527, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0085
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0085
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0085
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0085
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0085
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0085
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0085
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0085
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0085
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.0085
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0085
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0085
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0085
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.0085
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0085
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.0085
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0085
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0085
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0085
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0085
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0085
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.0085
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0085
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0085
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0085
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0085
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0085
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.0085
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0085
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0085
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.0085
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0085
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.0085
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0085
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0085
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0085
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0090
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0090
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0090
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0090
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0090
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0090
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0090
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0090
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.0085
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0085
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0085
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 646.23, Sell volume: 282.78, Average price: 0.8996, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0085
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0085
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.0085
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0085
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.0080
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0080
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0080
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0080
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0080
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0085
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0080
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0080
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0080
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0080
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0080
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0080
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0080
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0080
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0080
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0065
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0065
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0065
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0060
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0060
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0060
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0060
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0060
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0060
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0060
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0050
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0050
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0050
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0050
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0050
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0045
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0045
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0045
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0045
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0045
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.0045
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0045
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.0045
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0045
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 375.28, Sell volume: 16.00, Average price: 0.9476, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.0045
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0045
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0045
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.0045
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.0045
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0045
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.0045
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0045
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.0045
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.0045
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0045
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.0045
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.0045
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.0045
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.0045
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0045
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0045
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.0045
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.0045
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.0045
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.0045
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0045
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.0045
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.0045
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0045
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.0045
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.0045
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0045
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0045
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0045
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0045
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.0045
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 411.51, Average price: 0.4975, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.9965
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.9965
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.9965
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9965
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.9965
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0035
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.9965
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.0035
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.9965
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9965
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.0035
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.9965
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.9965
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.0035
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9965
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.9965
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.0035
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9965
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.9965
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.9965
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0035
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 23.57, Sell volume: 8.90, Average price: 0.0043, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0050

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9965
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.0035
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.9965
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0035
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.0055
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.0055
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.0055
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.9945
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.0055
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0055
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9945
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.0055
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.0055
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.0050
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.0050
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.0050
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.0050
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.0050
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9950
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.0050
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0050
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9950
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.0050
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0050
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.0050
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.9950
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0050
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.0050
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.0050
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.0050
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.0050
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.0050
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.9950
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.9950
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0050
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.0050
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.0050
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.0050
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.9950
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9950
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1539.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5018, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0050
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0050
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9950
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9950
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0050
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9950
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.0050
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0050
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0050
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9950
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9950
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0050
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9950
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0045
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0045
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0045
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0045
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0045
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9955
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0045
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0045
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9955
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0045
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9955
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1007.51, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9665, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545060
Question: Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37880.08031
Price History:
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0045
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9955
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0045
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0045
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0045
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0045
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0070
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9935
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 7530.81, Sell volume: 4307.07, Average price: 0.6956, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes