Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.8250
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.1750
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.8250
2025-04-06 20:00: 0.1750
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.8250
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.2000
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.8050
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.1950
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.8050
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.1950
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.8050
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.1950
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.8050
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.1950
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.8100
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.2000
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.8000
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.2000
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.8050
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.2000
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.8000
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.1950
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.8050
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.1900
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.8100
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.1900
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.8100
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.1900
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.8100
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.1800
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.8200
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.1800
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.8250
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.1750
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.8250
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.1750
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.8250
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.1750
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.8350
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.1750
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.8300
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.1700
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.8300
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.1550
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.8550
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.1500
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.8500
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.1600
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.8450
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1279392397.76, Sell volume: 1110241425.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.8400
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.1650
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.8400
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.1600
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.8450
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.1550
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.8450
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.1600
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.8300
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.1700
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.8250
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.8400
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.1600
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.8400
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.1600
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.8450
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.1550
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.8450
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.1550
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.8400
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.1600
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.8500
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.1450
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.8550
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.1450
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.8550
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.1450
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.8550
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.1450
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.8550
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.1450
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.8550
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.1450
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.8600
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.1400
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.8550
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.1450
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.8500
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.1550
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.8550
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.1350
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.1250
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.8750
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.1250
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.8750
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.1250
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.8750
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1279392397.76, Sell volume: 1110241425.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.8750
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.1250
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.8750
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.1250
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.8750
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.1250
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.8750
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.1250
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.8750
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.1200
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.8800
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.1200
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.8750
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.1250
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.8750
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.8800
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.1200
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.8900
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.1200
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.8950
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.1150
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.8850
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.1150
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.8850
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.1200
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.8850
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.1150
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.8850
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.1150
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.8850
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.1150
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.8850
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.1150
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.8950
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.8850
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.1050
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.8850
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.1150
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.8850
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.1050
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.9050
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.0950
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.9050
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0950
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.9050
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0950
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.9150
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1279392397.76, Sell volume: 1110241425.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9050
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.0950
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.9050
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0950
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9050
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0950
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.9150
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.0850
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.9150
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0850
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9150
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0850
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.9150
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0950
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.9150
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0850
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0750
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0700
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0750
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9250
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9250
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.9200
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9200
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0800
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9150
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0850
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9150
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0850
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.8950
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.8750
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.1550
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.8450
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.1450
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.8650
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1279392397.76, Sell volume: 1110241425.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.8450
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.1550
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.8350
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.1700
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.8300
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.1750
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.8250
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.1750
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.8250
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.1750
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.8250
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.1750
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.8150
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.1950
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.8550
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.1350
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.8550
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.1450
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.8550
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.1750
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.8150
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.1850
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.8150
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.1850
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.8150
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.1850
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.8150
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.1850
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.8150
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.1850
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.8150
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.1750
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.8250
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.1850
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.8050
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.1850
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.7450
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.2750
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.7150
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.2850
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.7150
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.3550
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.6000
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.4250
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.6150
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.3850
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.6450
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1279392397.76, Sell volume: 1110241425.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.6150
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.3750
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.6150
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.3750
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.6150
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.3950
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.6050
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.3950
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.6150
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.3350
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.7050
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.2850
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.7250
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.2750
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.7650
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.1850
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.8050
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.2100
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.7950
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.2050
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.7950
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.2250
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.7650
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.2350
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.7550
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.2550
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.7250
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.2650
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.7450
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.2750
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.7350
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.2250
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.7250
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.3250
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.6550
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.4950
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.5500
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.5450
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.4550
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.5550
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.5700
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.9970
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.9965
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.9975
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0030
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999982, Buy volume: 1278472560.70, Sell volume: 1110235022.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.5000
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.2450
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.2450
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.2450
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.2450
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.2000
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.1850
2025-01-02 16:00: 0.1750
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.2050
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.2000
2025-01-04 01:00: 0.2050
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.2050
2025-01-04 23:00: 0.2050
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.2050
2025-01-05 21:00: 0.2050
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.2050
2025-01-06 19:00: 0.2150
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.2250
2025-01-07 17:00: 0.2500
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.3650
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.4100
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.3550
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.3650
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.3700
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.3650
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.3600
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.3550
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.3600
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.3400
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1279392397.76, Sell volume: 1110241425.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.3400
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.4350
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.4350
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.4550
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.4450
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.4450
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.4450
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.4450
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.4150
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.4150
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.4150
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.4150
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.4150
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.4150
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.4400
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.4650
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.4400
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.4400
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.4950
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.4850
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.4850
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.5050
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.5250
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.4900
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.4500
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.4550
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.5000
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1279392397.76, Sell volume: 1110241425.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.4800
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.4800
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.4800
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.4900
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.4950
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.4800
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.5450
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.5350
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.5100
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.4950
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.5300
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.5300
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.5250
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.5200
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.5250
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.5350
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.5400
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.4950
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.5500
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.5700
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.5850
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.5850
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.5850
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.6100
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.6100
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.6050
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.6600
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.6100
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.6450
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1279392397.76, Sell volume: 1110241425.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.6700
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.6700
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.6500
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.6000
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.6000
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.5950
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.5750
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.6600
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.6300
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.5950
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.6100
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.6550
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.6550
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.6900
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.6850
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.6950
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.7050
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.6900
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.7150
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.7150
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.7200
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.7050
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.6800
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.6800
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.6850
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.6800
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.6850
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.6850
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.6850
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1279392397.76, Sell volume: 1110241425.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.7300
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.7450
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.7250
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.7400
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.7400
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.7600
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.7450
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.7450
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.7400
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.7350
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.7350
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.7400
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.7350
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.7400
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.7200
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.6850
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.7400
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.7300
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.7150
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.7050
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.7350
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.6550
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.6850
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.6300
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.6350
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.6350
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.6550
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1279392397.76, Sell volume: 1110241425.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.6950
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.7300
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.7350
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.7250
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.7050
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.7150
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.7200
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.6700
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.6650
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.6750
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.6650
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.6600
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.6500
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.6550
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.6550
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.6550
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.6550
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.6550
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.6550
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.6500
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.6550
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.6700
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.6850
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.6900
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.6900
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.6900
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.7050
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.7100
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.7350
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1279392397.76, Sell volume: 1110241425.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.7450
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.7500
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.7600
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.7400
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.7450
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.7800
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.7900
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.7850
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.7650
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.7700
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.7600
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.7650
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.7750
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.7750
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.7900
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.7900
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.7900
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.7850
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.7850
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.7850
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.7900
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.7850
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.7900
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.7950
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.8000
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.8250
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1279392397.76, Sell volume: 1110241425.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.8250
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.8250
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.8250
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.8000
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.8050
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.8050
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.8050
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.8050
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.8100
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.8050
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.8000
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.8050
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.8050
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.8050
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.8100
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.8050
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.8100
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.8200
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.8200
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.8250
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.8250
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.8250
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.8250
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.8250
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.8300
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.8300
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.8550
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.8400
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.8400
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1279392397.76, Sell volume: 1110241425.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.8400
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.8400
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.8400
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.8450
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.8450
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.8350
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.8300
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.8400
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.8400
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.8400
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.8450
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.8450
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.8400
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.8500
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.8550
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.8550
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.8550
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.8550
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.8550
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.8550
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.8550
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.8600
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.8500
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.8450
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.8650
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.8750
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.8750
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.8750
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1279392397.76, Sell volume: 1110241425.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.8750
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.8750
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.8750
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.8750
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.8750
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.8750
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.8800
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.8750
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.8750
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.8800
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.8800
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.8850
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.8800
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.8850
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.8850
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.8850
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.8850
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.8850
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.8850
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.8850
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.8950
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.8850
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.8950
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.8850
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.8950
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.9050
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.9050
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.9050
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.9050
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1279392397.76, Sell volume: 1110241425.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9050
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.9050
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9050
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.9050
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9150
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.9150
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9150
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.9150
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.9150
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.9250
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9300
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.9250
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9250
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.9250
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.9200
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9150
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9150
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9150
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.8600
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.8750
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.8350
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.8650
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1279392397.76, Sell volume: 1110241425.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.8450
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.8350
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.8300
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.8250
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.8250
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.8250
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.8250
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.8250
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.8350
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.8750
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.8550
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.8550
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.8150
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.8150
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.8150
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.8150
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.8150
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.8150
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.8150
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.8250
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.8150
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.7350
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.7250
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.7150
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.6950
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.6000
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.5650
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.6250
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1279392397.76, Sell volume: 1110241425.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.6150
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.6150
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.6250
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.6050
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.6050
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.6450
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.7050
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.7250
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.7850
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.8150
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.7900
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.7950
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.7950
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.7650
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.7550
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.7550
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.7350
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.7250
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.7350
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.7250
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.6650
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.5600
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.4250
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.4450
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0035
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999982, Buy volume: 1278472560.70, Sell volume: 1110235022.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.3050
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.6250
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.6950
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.4800
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.4800
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.5850
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.4100
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.6050
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.3650
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.6800
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.3900
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.6800
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.3450
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.6250
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.4100
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.6050
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.4200
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.6200
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.3650
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.6350
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.3600
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.6400
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.3550
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.6300
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.3650
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.6400
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.3450
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.6800
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.3950
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.6350
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.3450
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.6550
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.3850
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.6350
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.3850
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.6150
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.3800
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.6200
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.3650
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.6650
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.3350
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.6700
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.3300
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.6700
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.3300
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.6700
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.3350
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.6550
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.3450
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 263305867.50, Sell volume: 60413763.32, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.3250
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.6800
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.3200
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.6800
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.3150
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.6850
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.3150
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.6850
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.3150
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.6850
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.3550
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.6450
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.3550
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.6400
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.3600
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.6450
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.3550
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.6400
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.3600
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.6450
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.3550
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.6450
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.3550
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.6450
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.3450
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.6600
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.3400
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.6650
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.3300
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.6700
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.3300
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.6700
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.3300
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.6700
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.3250
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.6750
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.3250
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.6750
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.3250
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.6750
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.3250
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.6750
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.3250
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.6850
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.3150
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.6850
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.3150
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.6950
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.3000
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 263305867.50, Sell volume: 60413763.32, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.2950
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.7050
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.2950
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.7050
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.2950
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.7050
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.2950
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.7050
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.3050
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.6950
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.2950
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.7050
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.2950
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.7050
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.2950
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.7050
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.2650
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.7350
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.2600
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.7400
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.2600
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.7400
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.2250
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.7800
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.2200
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.7800
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.2150
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.7850
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.2150
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.7850
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.2150
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.8050
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.2450
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.7550
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.2350
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.7700
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.2250
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.7750
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.2150
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.7850
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.2150
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.7850
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.2150
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.7850
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.2050
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.7950
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.2000
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.8000
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.2000
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 263305867.50, Sell volume: 60413763.32, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.1850
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.8150
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.1850
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.8150
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.1850
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.8150
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.1850
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.7950
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.2050
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.7950
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.1850
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.8150
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.1850
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.8150
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.1900
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.7950
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.1950
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.8050
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.1900
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.8100
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.1900
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.8150
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.1800
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.8200
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.1800
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.8200
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.1800
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.8150
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.1850
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.8150
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.1850
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.8150
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.1800
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.8200
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.1800
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.8200
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.1850
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.8000
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.2000
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.8050
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.1950
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.8000
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.1950
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.8050
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.2050
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.7950
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.2050
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.7950
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.2050
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 263305867.50, Sell volume: 60413763.32, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.2150
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.7850
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.2150
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.7850
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.2150
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.7900
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.2100
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.7900
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.2100
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.7950
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.2000
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.7950
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.2050
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.7950
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.2050
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.7950
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.2050
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.8050
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.2050
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.7950
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.2050
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.7950
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.2050
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.8000
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.1950
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.8100
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.8150
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.8100
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.1900
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.8100
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.1900
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.8400
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.1700
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.8350
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.1550
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.8450
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.1500
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.8500
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.1550
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.8450
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.1500
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.8500
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.1200
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.8850
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.1150
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.8850
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.1150
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 263305867.50, Sell volume: 60413763.32, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.1200
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.8800
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.1250
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.8750
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.1250
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.8750
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.1250
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.8750
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.1250
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.8750
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.1250
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.8750
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.1250
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.8750
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.1250
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.8750
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.8850
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.1200
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.8800
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.1200
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.8800
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.1350
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.8700
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.1300
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.1550
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.8450
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.8550
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.1500
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.8600
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.8600
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.1400
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.8550
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.1450
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.8600
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.1400
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.8600
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.1350
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.1300
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.8750
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.1250
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.8750
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.1250
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.8750
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.1250
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 263305867.50, Sell volume: 60413763.32, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.1400
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.8550
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.1450
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.8600
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.1400
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.8600
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.1350
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.8650
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.1250
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.8650
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.1350
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.8650
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.1350
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.8650
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.1500
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.8450
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.1550
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.8450
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.1550
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.8500
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.1450
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.8550
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.1450
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.8550
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.1350
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.8650
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.1350
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.8550
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.1450
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.8600
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.1400
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.8600
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.1400
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.8600
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.1400
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.8600
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.1400
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.8650
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.1300
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.8650
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.1250
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.8700
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.1350
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.8650
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.1300
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.8750
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.1150
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.8850
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.1000
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 263305867.50, Sell volume: 60413763.32, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0900
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.9050
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.0950
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.9050
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0900
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.9100
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.0850
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.9150
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.0850
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.9150
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0850
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9250
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0750
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.9150
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0850
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.9150
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.0850
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9150
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0850
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.9100
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0850
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.9150
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.0850
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.9150
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0850
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.9150
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.1100
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.8900
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.1200
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.8850
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.1150
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.8850
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.1150
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.8850
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.1050
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.8900
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.1100
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.8900
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.1200
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.8800
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.1200
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.8750
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.1150
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.8850
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.1150
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.8850
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.1100
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.8900
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.1150
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 263305867.50, Sell volume: 60413763.32, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.1200
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.8850
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.1150
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.8850
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.1050
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9000
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.1000
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.9050
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0850
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.9150
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.0850
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.9150
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.0850
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.9150
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0850
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.9200
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.0800
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.9200
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.0750
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9250
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0750
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.9250
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0750
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.9250
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0750
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.9250
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0750
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9250
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0750
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.9250
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.0750
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.9250
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0750
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.9250
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0850
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.9200
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0850
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.9200
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0800
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.9200
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0800
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.9150
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0850
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.9150
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.0850
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.9150
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0850
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.9150
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0800
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 263305867.50, Sell volume: 60413763.32, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.1350
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.8750
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.1450
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.8650
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.1300
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.8750
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.1250
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.8750
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.1250
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.8600
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.1350
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.8650
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.1350
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.8750
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.1250
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.8750
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.1100
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.8850
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.1300
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.8750
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.1200
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.8800
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.1350
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.8700
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.1300
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.8700
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.1300
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.8750
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.1250
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.8750
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.1300
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.8700
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.1300
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.8700
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.1300
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.8700
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.1350
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.8650
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.1350
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.8650
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.1250
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.8750
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.1250
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.8750
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.1300
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.8600
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.1450
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.8550
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.1350
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 263305867.50, Sell volume: 60413763.32, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.1200
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.8800
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.1200
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.8750
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.1250
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.8650
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.1650
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.8500
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.1350
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.8550
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.1550
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.8500
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.1550
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.8500
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.1550
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.8450
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.1550
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.8450
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.1600
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.8400
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.1600
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.8450
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.1500
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.8500
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.1550
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.8450
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.1550
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.8350
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.1600
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.8450
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.1500
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.1600
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.8400
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.1700
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.8100
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.1700
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.8350
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.1600
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.8300
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.3750
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.7300
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.2250
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.7600
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.2350
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.7300
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.3000
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.7050
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.2950
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 263305867.50, Sell volume: 60413763.32, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.7550
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.7400
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.2700
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.7500
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.2600
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.2250
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.8050
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.1800
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.8300
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.2050
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.7950
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.1650
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.8100
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.2050
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.8000
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.2150
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.7550
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.2200
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.7900
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2200
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.7650
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.2300
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.7750
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.2300
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.7700
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.2300
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.7700
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.2950
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.6850
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.3050
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.6750
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.3150
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.7000
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.2900
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.7050
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.2950
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.3500
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.5150
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.4050
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.4850
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.5000
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.5100
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.4850
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.5500
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 847152, Buy volume: 167402245.97, Sell volume: 52929617.40, Average price: 0.5131, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.6150
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.4050
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.6150
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.3900
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.6050
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.4050
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.5850
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.4250
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.5550
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.4650
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.5250
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.4800
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.5200
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.4800
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.5200
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.4800
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.5450
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.4550
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.5050
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.5550
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.4600
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.5900
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.4250
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.5700
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.4350
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.5650
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.4500
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.5500
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.4450
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.5800
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.3950
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.5950
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.4100
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.6100
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.3850
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.6250
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.3150
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.6700
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.3200
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.6750
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.2800
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.6950
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.3100
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.3250
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.6750
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.6600
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.6650
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.3450
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.6650
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108764, Buy volume: 66279103.67, Sell volume: 7037567.27, Average price: 0.4760, Price range: 0.0097 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.3050
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.2850
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.5050
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.5750
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.4150
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.6800
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.3200
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.6500
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.4100
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.5800
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.3650
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.6350
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.3600
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.6300
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.3450
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.6800
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.3650
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.6550
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.3650
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.6150
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.3800
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.6200
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.3400
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.6700
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.3300
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.6700
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.3450
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.6700
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.3200
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 263305867.50, Sell volume: 60413763.32, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.3250
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.6800
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.3250
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.6850
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.3150
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.6850
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.3550
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.6400
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.3600
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.6450
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.3600
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.6450
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.3550
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.6550
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.3400
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.6650
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.3300
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.6700
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.3300
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.6750
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.3250
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.6750
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.3250
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.6750
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.3150
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.6850
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.3050
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.7050
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.2950
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 263305867.50, Sell volume: 60413763.32, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.2950
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.7050
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.2950
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.7050
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.2950
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.6950
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.2950
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.7050
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.2950
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.7350
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.2600
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.7400
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.2450
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.7800
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.2150
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.7850
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.2150
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.7850
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.2450
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.7650
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.2250
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.7850
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.2150
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.7850
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.2050
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.7950
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.2000
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.8000
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.2000
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 263305867.50, Sell volume: 60413763.32, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.1850
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.8150
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.1850
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.8150
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.2050
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.7950
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.1850
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.8150
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.2050
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.8050
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.1900
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.8100
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.1850
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.8200
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.1800
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.8150
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.1850
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.8150
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.1800
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.8200
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.1850
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.8000
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.2000
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.8000
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.2050
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.7950
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.2050
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.7950
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.2350
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 263305867.50, Sell volume: 60413763.32, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.2150
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.7850
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.2150
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.7900
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.2100
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.7950
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.2050
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.7950
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.2050
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.7950
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.2050
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.7950
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.2050
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.8050
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.1850
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.8150
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.1900
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.8100
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.1900
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.8300
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.1550
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.8500
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.1500
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.8450
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.1150
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.8850
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.1150
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.8850
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.1150
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 263305867.50, Sell volume: 60413763.32, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.1200
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.8750
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.1250
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.8750
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.1250
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.8750
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.1250
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.8750
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.1250
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.8850
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.1200
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.8800
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.1200
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.1300
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.8450
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.8550
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.8600
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.1450
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.8600
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.1350
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.1250
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.8750
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.1250
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.8750
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.1250
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 263305867.50, Sell volume: 60413763.32, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.1400
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.8650
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.1400
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.8600
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.1350
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.8650
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.1350
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.8650
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.1500
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.8450
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.1550
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.8550
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.1450
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.8550
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.1350
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.8550
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.1400
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.8600
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.1400
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.8600
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.1400
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.8700
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.1250
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.8600
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.1350
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.8750
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.1150
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.9000
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.1050
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 263305867.50, Sell volume: 60413763.32, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0900
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.9050
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0900
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.9100
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.0850
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.9150
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0750
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.9150
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.0850
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.9150
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0850
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.9150
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0850
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.9150
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0850
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.8900
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.1150
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.8850
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.1150
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.8950
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.1100
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.8800
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.1200
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.8750
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.1150
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.8850
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.1100
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.8800
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.1200
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 263305867.50, Sell volume: 60413763.32, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.1200
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.8850
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.1050
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.9000
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.9150
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.0850
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.9150
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.0850
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.9200
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.0750
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.9250
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0750
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.9250
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0750
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9250
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0750
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.9250
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0750
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.9150
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0850
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.9200
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.0800
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.9150
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.0850
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.9150
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.0850
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.9200
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0800
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 263305867.50, Sell volume: 60413763.32, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.1350
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.8700
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.1300
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.8750
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.1250
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.8600
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.1350
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.8650
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.1300
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.8900
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.1300
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.8700
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.1200
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.8700
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.1300
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.8750
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.1250
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.8700
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.1300
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.8700
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.1350
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.8650
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.1250
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.8750
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.1300
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.8600
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.1450
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.8700
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.1300
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 263305867.50, Sell volume: 60413763.32, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.1200
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.8850
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.1200
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.8650
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.1350
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.8550
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.1500
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.8450
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.8450
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.1600
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.8400
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.1500
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.8450
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.1500
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.8350
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.1550
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.1650
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.8300
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.1700
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.8400
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.3350
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.8050
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.2400
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.7300
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.2950
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.6950
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.3200
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 263305867.50, Sell volume: 60413763.32, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.7650
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.7300
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.1950
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.8200
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.2050
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.8350
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.2050
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.7950
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.2250
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.7850
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.2400
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.7750
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.2300
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.7700
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.2550
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.6950
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.3150
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.7050
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.2950
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.3850
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.5200
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.5000
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.5150
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.4550
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.5400
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 847152, Buy volume: 167402245.97, Sell volume: 52929617.40, Average price: 0.5131, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545880
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Volume: 1797521.530595
Price History:
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.6150
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.3850
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.5950
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.4100
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.5350
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.4650
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.5200
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.4800
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.5200
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.4550
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.5050
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.5550
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.4200
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.5600
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.4300
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.5500
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.4200
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.5900
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.3900
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.6150
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.3150
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.6650
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.3000
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.6950
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.6750
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.6600
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.6550
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.6650
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.6750
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108764, Buy volume: 66279103.67, Sell volume: 7037567.27, Average price: 0.4760, Price range: 0.0097 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.2550
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.2650
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.3300
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.3300
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.2550
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.2600
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.2650
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.2600
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.2600
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.2600
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.2650
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.2750
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.2800
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.2850
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.2800
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.2800
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.2800
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.2750
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.2800
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.2800
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.3050
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.3050
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.3050
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.3200
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.3250
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.3250
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.3250
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.3250
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.3350
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.3350
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.3350
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.3350
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.3350
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.3350
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 2221.15, Sell volume: 68.37, Average price: 0.4492, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.3350
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.3350
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.3350
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.3350
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.3350
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.3350
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.3350
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.3350
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.3350
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.3250
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.3300
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.3300
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.3300
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.3300
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.3300
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.3300
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.3300
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.3300
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.3300
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.3300
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.3300
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.3300
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.3300
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.3350
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.3350
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1497.92, Sell volume: 28.00, Average price: 0.4710, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.3550
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.3550
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.3550
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.3550
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.3400
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.3400
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.3400
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.3400
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.3400
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.3400
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.3400
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.3400
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.3350
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.3350
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.3350
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.3350
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.3350
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.3350
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.3350
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.3350
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.3350
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.3350
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.3400
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.3400
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.3400
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.3450
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.3700
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.3850
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.3650
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.3400
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.3450
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.3550
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 6356.36, Sell volume: 282.82, Average price: 0.5118, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.3850
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.3850
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.3900
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.3850
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.4350
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.4350
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.4500
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.4600
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.4550
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.4350
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.4350
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.4350
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.4400
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.4400
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.4400
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.4600
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.4850
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.4850
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.4850
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.4400
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.4400
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.4400
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.4400
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.4400
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.4250
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.4250
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.4100
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.4150
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.4050
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.4050
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.4100
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.4100
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.4100
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.4100
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.4100
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.4100
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.4100
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.4100
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.4100
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.4200
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.4200
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.4150
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.4250
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.4300
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.4300
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.4300
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.4300
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.4300
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.4350
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 22680.92, Sell volume: 943.15, Average price: 0.5194, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.5000
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.5100
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.5250
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.5250
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.5200
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.5200
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.5150
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.5150
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.5150
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.5150
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.5150
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.5150
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.5050
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.5050
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.5050
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.4850
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.4850
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.4850
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.4900
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.4900
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.4950
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.4850
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.4850
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.4850
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.4850
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.4850
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.4850
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.4850
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.4850
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.5050
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.4900
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.4900
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.4750
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.4750
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.4750
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.4750
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.4750
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.4700
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.4750
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.5050
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.4950
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.4950
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.4900
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 12928.54, Sell volume: 3139.61, Average price: 0.5057, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5530

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.5250
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.5250
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.5250
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.5250
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.5550
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.5300
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.5350
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.5350
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.5300
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.5250
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.5250
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.5250
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.5250
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.5100
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.5050
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.5050
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.5000
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.5000
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.5000
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.5050
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.4950
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.5000
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.5000
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.5050
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.5050
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.5050
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.5050
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.5050
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.5050
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.5050
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.5050
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.5050
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.5050
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.5050
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.5050
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.5050
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.5050
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.5050
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.5050
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.5050
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.5050
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.4950
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.4950
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.4950
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.4950
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.5000
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.5000
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.5050
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.5000
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 25689.29, Sell volume: 4555.03, Average price: 0.5142, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.5500
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.5600
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.5600
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.5600
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.5600
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.5600
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.5550
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.5550
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.5550
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.5550
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.5550
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.5600
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.5900
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.5500
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.5550
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.5550
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.5850
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.5850
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.5900
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.5850
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.5850
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.5850
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.5900
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.5900
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.5950
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.5950
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.5950
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.5900
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.5850
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.5850
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.5850
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.5850
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.5850
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.5850
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.5850
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.5850
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.5850
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.5850
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.5850
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.5750
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.5800
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.5850
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.5800
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.5800
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.5800
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.5800
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.5750
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.5800
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.5650
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89, Buy volume: 24915.10, Sell volume: 5719.25, Average price: 0.4973, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.5900
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.5950
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.6250
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.6300
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.6250
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.6200
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.6200
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.6200
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.6100
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.5900
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.5900
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.5900
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.5900
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.5950
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.6000
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.6100
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.6100
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.6100
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.6300
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.6600
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.7650
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.6650
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.6400
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.6450
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.6550
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.6550
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.6500
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.6850
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.6650
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.6800
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.6650
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.6550
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.6550
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.6800
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.6850
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.6750
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.6950
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.6900
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.7150
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.7050
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.7350
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.7550
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.7550
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.7550
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.7550
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.7600
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.7600
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.7700
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 184, Buy volume: 41738.71, Sell volume: 16235.64, Average price: 0.5087, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.7400
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.7400
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.7300
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.7250
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.7300
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.7300
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.7300
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.7150
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.7050
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.7050
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.7000
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.7100
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.7100
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.7000
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.6900
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.6950
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.6800
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.6900
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.6950
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.6950
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.6950
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.6950
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.6950
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.6950
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.6950
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.6950
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.6750
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.6750
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.6750
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.6850
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.6900
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.6900
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.6900
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.6900
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.6800
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.6850
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.6850
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.6850
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.6850
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.6850
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.6850
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.6300
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.6350
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.6450
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.6450
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.6550
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.6550
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.6550
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.6500
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 35637.71, Sell volume: 5397.44, Average price: 0.5652, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.6700
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.6700
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.6700
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.6700
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.6700
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.6700
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.6700
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.6600
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.6700
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.6450
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.6500
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.6450
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.6500
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.6500
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.6500
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.6500
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.6500
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.6450
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.6450
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.6450
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.6450
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.6450
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.6450
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.6450
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.6450
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.6500
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.6500
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.6500
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.7150
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.7350
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.7400
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.7250
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.7450
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.7700
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.7600
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.7650
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.7650
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.7650
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.7650
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.7700
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.7700
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.7700
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.8200
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.7950
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.7850
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.7800
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.7750
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.7750
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.7750
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 134, Buy volume: 31069.51, Sell volume: 20791.98, Average price: 0.4526, Price range: 0.1074 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.8300
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.8300
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.8300
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.8450
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.8550
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.8650
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.8650
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.8750
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.8750
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.8750
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.8650
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.8600
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.9050
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.8850
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.8400
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.8650
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.8750
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.8900
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.9000
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.9000
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.9050
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.8950
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.8950
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.9050
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.8900
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.8850
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.8900
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.8800
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.8850
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.8850
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.9000
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.9000
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.9000
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.8950
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.8950
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.8850
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.8850
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.8850
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.8850
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.8850
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.8850
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.8850
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.8850
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.8850
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.8850
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.8850
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.8850
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 12293.22, Sell volume: 13293.86, Average price: 0.4270, Price range: 0.0878 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.8600
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.8600
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.8550
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.8550
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.8550
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.8600
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.8550
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.8650
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.8650
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.8650
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.8650
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.8600
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.8650
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.8650
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.8700
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.8700
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.8550
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.8550
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.8700
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.8650
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.8650
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.8600
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.8650
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.8650
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.8600
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.8650
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.8650
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.8600
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.8500
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.8500
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.8500
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.8500
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.8500
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.8500
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.8500
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.8500
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.8500
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.8500
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.8400
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.8400
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.8450
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.8450
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 7085.87, Sell volume: 12655.63, Average price: 0.6041, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.8500
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.8450
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.8200
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.8200
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.8200
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.8150
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.8000
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.8000
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.7950
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.7900
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.7750
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.7750
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.7650
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.7650
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.7550
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.7450
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.7450
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.2450
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.2350
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.7400
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.7450
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.7450
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.2450
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.2700
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.7400
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.7250
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.2650
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.2650
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.7250
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.7350
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.2650
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.2700
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.3050
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.3300
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.6750
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.3250
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.3150
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.3350
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.3450
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.3250
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.6750
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.6750
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.3100
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 13753.06, Sell volume: 12596.60, Average price: 0.5773, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.2550
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.3300
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.2600
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.2600
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.2600
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.2750
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.2850
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.2800
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.2750
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.2800
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.3050
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.3250
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.3250
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.3350
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.3350
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.3350
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 2221.15, Sell volume: 68.37, Average price: 0.4492, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.3350
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.3350
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.3350
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.3350
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.3350
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.3250
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.3300
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.3300
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.3300
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.3300
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.3300
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.3300
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.3300
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.3350
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.3350
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.3350
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.3350
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.3350
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1497.92, Sell volume: 28.00, Average price: 0.4710, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.3550
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.3550
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.3400
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.3400
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.3400
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.3400
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.3350
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.3350
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.3350
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.3350
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.3350
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.3400
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.3400
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.3450
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.3350
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.3850
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.3400
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.3550
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.3650
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.3650
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.3650
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.3850
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 6356.36, Sell volume: 282.82, Average price: 0.5118, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.3850
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.3900
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.4350
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.4500
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.4550
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.4350
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.4400
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.4400
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.4850
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.4850
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.4400
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.4400
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.4250
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.4100
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.4050
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.4100
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.4100
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.4100
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.4100
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.4100
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.4200
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.4250
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.4300
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.4300
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.4350
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.4700
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.4850
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.4900
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.5000
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 22680.92, Sell volume: 943.15, Average price: 0.5194, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.5000
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.5250
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.5200
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.5150
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.5150
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.5150
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.5050
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.5050
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.4850
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.4900
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.4950
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.4850
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.4850
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.4850
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.4850
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.4900
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.4750
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.4750
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.4700
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.5050
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.4950
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.4900
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.4900
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.4900
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.4900
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.4900
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 12928.54, Sell volume: 3139.61, Average price: 0.5057, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5530
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.5250
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.5250
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.5550
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.5350
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.5300
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.5250
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.5250
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.5050
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.5000
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.5000
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.4950
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.5000
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.5050
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.5050
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.5050
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.5050
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.5050
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.5050
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.5050
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.5050
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.5050
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.4950
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.4950
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.5000
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.5000
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.5200
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.5650
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.5750
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.5750
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 25689.29, Sell volume: 4555.03, Average price: 0.5142, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.5500
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.5600
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.5600
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.5550
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.5550
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.5550
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.5900
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.5550
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.5850
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.5900
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.5850
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.5900
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.5950
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.5950
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.5850
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.5850
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.5850
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.5850
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.5850
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.5850
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.5800
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.5800
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.5800
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.5750
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.5650
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.5700
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.5750
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.5750
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.5750
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89, Buy volume: 24915.10, Sell volume: 5719.25, Average price: 0.4973, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.5900
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.6250
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.6250
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.6200
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.6100
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.5900
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.5900
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.6000
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.6100
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.6300
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.7650
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.6400
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.6550
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.6500
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.6650
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.6650
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.6550
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.6850
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.6950
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.7150
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.7350
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.7550
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.7550
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.7600
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.7700
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.7600
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.7650
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.7600
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 184, Buy volume: 41738.71, Sell volume: 16235.64, Average price: 0.5087, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.7400
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.7300
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.7300
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.7300
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.7050
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.7000
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.7100
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.6900
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.6800
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.6950
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.6950
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.6950
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.6950
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.6750
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.6750
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.6900
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.6900
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.6800
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.6850
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.6850
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.6850
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.6350
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.6450
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.6550
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.6500
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.6550
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.6450
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.6400
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.6400
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 35637.71, Sell volume: 5397.44, Average price: 0.5652, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.6700
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.6700
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.6700
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.6700
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.6700
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.6500
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.6500
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.6500
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.6500
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.6450
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.6450
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.6450
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.6450
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.6500
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.7150
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.7400
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.7450
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.7600
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.7650
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.7650
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.7700
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.8200
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.7850
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.7750
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.7750
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.8650
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.8700
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.8400
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.8300
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 134, Buy volume: 31069.51, Sell volume: 20791.98, Average price: 0.4526, Price range: 0.1074 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.8300
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.8300
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.8550
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.8650
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.8750
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.8650
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.9050
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.8400
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.8750
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.9000
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.8950
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.9050
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.8850
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.8800
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.8850
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.9000
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.9000
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.8950
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.8850
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.8850
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.8850
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.8850
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.8850
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.8850
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.8750
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.8600
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.8550
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.8550
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 12293.22, Sell volume: 13293.86, Average price: 0.4270, Price range: 0.0878 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.8600
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.8550
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.8550
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.8550
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.8650
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.8650
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.8650
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.8700
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.8550
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.8700
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.8650
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.8650
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.8600
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.8650
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.8500
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.8500
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.8500
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.8500
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.8500
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.8400
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.8450
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.8450
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.8350
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.8350
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.8350
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 7085.87, Sell volume: 12655.63, Average price: 0.6041, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560559
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Volume: 405545.868786
Price History:
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.8500
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.8200
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.8200
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.8000
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.7950
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.7750
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.7650
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.7550
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.7450
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.7400
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.2450
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.7400
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.2650
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.7250
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.2650
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.3050
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.6750
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.3150
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.3450
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.6750
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.3100
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.3000
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.2900
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.7050
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.7150
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 13753.06, Sell volume: 12596.60, Average price: 0.5773, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702037
Question: Will Netflix reach $125 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2087.5785
Price History:
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1945.48, Sell volume: 142.10, Average price: 0.8620, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702037
Question: Will Netflix reach $125 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2087.5785
Price History:
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1945.48, Sell volume: 142.10, Average price: 0.8620, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702037
Question: Will Netflix reach $125 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2087.5785
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1945.48, Sell volume: 142.10, Average price: 0.8620, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes