Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0220
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.9780
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0220
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9780
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.0220
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9780
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0220
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.9780
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0225
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9850, Price range: 0.9850 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.0225
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9775
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0220
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.9780
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0220
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9780
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0505
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.9495
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.0490
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1238.42, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6834, Price range: 0.0805 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0150
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9850
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0135
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9865
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1293.64, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.6749, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1293.64, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.6749, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1293.64, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.6749, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1293.64, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.6749, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1293.64, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.6749, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1293.64, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.6749, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1293.64, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.6749, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1293.64, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.6749, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1293.64, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.6749, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0200
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.9800
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.0200
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9800
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0200
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1293.64, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.6749, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0270
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.9730
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.0275
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.9725
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0250
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9750
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0245
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.9755
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.0220
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.0150, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.0150
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0220
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.9780
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0220
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9780
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.0220
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9780
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0220
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.9780
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0225
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9850, Price range: 0.9850 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.0225
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9775
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0220
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.9780
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0220
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9780
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0505
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.9495
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.0490
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1238.42, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6834, Price range: 0.0805 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0150
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9850
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0135
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9865
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1293.64, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.6749, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1293.64, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.6749, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1293.64, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.6749, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1293.64, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.6749, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1293.64, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.6749, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1293.64, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.6749, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1293.64, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.6749, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1293.64, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.6749, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1293.64, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.6749, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.5050
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.4950
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.5250
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.4750
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.5950
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.3300
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.5550
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.4800
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.5300
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.4400
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.5800
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.2600
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.7750
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.1400
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.6650
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.3300
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.6100
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.4700
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.5300
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.4400
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.5700
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.4650
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.5500
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.4750
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.5650
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.3800
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.6500
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.4750
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.5700
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.3000
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.7700
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.2750
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.7750
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.3300
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 714.94, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6076, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.4350
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.5450
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.4100
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.5550
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.4250
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.5600
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.5100
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.4850
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.5250
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.4400
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.5800
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.4900
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.5350
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.4650
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.5150
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.4800
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.5150
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.4800
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.5100
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.4800
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.5200
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.4800
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.4900
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.5200
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.4850
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.4900
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.4650
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 185.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.4700
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.5200
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.4800
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.4800
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.4600
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.4850
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.5400
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.5350
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.4700
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.4400
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.5600
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.4250
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.5750
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.4250
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.5750
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.4250
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.5750
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.4600
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.5350
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.4050
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.6000
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.3650
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.6350
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.3650
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.6350
2025-03-18 06:00: 0.3650
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.6350
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.3650
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.6350
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.3650
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.6350
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.0155
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.9845
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.0155
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.9845
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.0160
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.9840
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.0160
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.9845
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.0155
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.9840
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.0155
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.9840
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.0155
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 714.94, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6076, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.0160
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.9840
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0160
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.9840
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.0160
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.9845
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0160
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.9840
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.0155
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.9840
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.0160
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.9840
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.0160
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.9845
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.0155
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.9845
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.0185
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.9845
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.0165
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.9830
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.0160
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.9835
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.0160
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.9835
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.0155
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.9840
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.0155
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.9845
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0155
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.9845
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.0155
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.9845
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.0155
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.9845
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.0155
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.9845
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.0155
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.9845
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0155
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.9845
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.0155
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.9845
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.0155
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.9845
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.0155
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.9845
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.0155
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.9845
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.0155
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 16.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.0155
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.9845
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.0165
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.9845
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.0155
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.9845
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.0155
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.7550
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.2450
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.7550
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.2350
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.7650
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.2425
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.7605
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.2410
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.7570
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.2410
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.7555
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.2475
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.7525
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.2485
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.7530
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.2445
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.7545
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.2490
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.7510
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.2420
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.7515
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.2460
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.7515
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.2485
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.7515
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.2465
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.7545
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.2480
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.7515
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.2435
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.7525
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.2425
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.7575
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.2490
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.7525
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.2485
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.7565
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.2485
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.7515
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.2485
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.7540
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.2485
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.7510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 714.94, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6076, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.2485
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.7525
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.2485
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.7515
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.2480
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.7560
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.2440
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.8235
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0765
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9810
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0210
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9790
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0220
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9790
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.2445
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.7555
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.2160
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.7685
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.1985
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.8365
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.1305
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.8935
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.0685
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.9385
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0480
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9675
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0235
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9765
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.0235
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9765
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.0235
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.9765
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0235
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.9765
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.2445
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.7610
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.2135
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.7865
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.2135
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.7865
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.2005
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.8065
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.4180
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.6470
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.3160
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.6975
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.2630
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.7590
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.1615
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.8645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 714.94, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6076, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.3325
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.7245
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.1725
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.8865
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.0555
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.9625
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.0135
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.9905
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.4455
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.5755
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.3515
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.7375
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.1675
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.9100
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.0790
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.9305
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.0125
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.9860
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.0105
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.9900
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.0145
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.9870
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0130
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.9855
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0140
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.6020
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.2415
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.7585
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.3990
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.6010
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.3655
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.6345
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.3655
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.6345
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.3655
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.6345
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.3655
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.6345
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.3655
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.6345
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.3655
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.6345
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.3655
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.6345
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3655
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.6345
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.3655
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.6435
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.3475
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.6535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5500, Price range: 0.5500 - 0.5500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.4980
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.5135
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.4860
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.5530
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.4470
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.5530
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.5530
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.4710
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.5010
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.4990
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.5015
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.4860
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.5125
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.4180
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.5010
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.3660
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.6335
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.4255
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.6140
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.3835
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.6170
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.4350
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.6150
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.3905
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.6095
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.3855
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.6140
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.4185
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.5865
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.4115
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.5010
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.3665
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.6805
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.2055
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.8285
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.1715
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.8285
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.1715
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.5835
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.4060
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.5890
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.4095
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.6005
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.4325
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.5835
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.4010
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.5580
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.4740
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.5960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 714.94, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6076, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.4125
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.5890
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.4010
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.5985
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.4110
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.5790
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.4985
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.5885
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.4195
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.5800
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.4090
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.6345
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.3325
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.6675
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.3250
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.7020
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.2885
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.7025
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.3245
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.6755
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.3245
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.6755
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.3245
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.6755
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.3245
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.6765
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.3005
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.6995
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.3005
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.6995
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.3005
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.6995
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.3005
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.6795
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.3130
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.6870
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.2555
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.7445
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.2555
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.7445
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.2555
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.7445
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.2555
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.7445
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.3075
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.6925
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.3075
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.6925
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.3075
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.6645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 714.94, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6076, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.2815
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.7185
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.2815
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.7185
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.2815
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.7185
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.2815
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.7160
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.2820
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.7180
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.2820
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.7180
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.2820
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.7180
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.2820
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.7180
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.2820
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.7180
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.2820
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.7180
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.2820
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.7180
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.2820
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.7180
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.2820
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.7180
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.2820
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.7075
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.2925
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.7110
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.2815
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.7185
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.2815
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.7185
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.2815
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.7185
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.2815
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.7185
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.2815
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.7185
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.2815
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.7185
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.2815
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.7185
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.2820
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.7180
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.2820
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.7085
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.2860
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.7065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 714.94, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6076, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.2915
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.7115
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.2825
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.7175
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7225
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.2745
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.7255
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2745
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.7255
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2745
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.7265
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.2735
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7265
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.2735
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.7260
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2735
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.7265
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.2735
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.7265
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.1005
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9100
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0915
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9100
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0900
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9100
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0905
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9100
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0900
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9100
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0905
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0930
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9140
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0860
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9130
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0865
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9140
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0865
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9095
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 714.94, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6076, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0665
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9295
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0660
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9340
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0650
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0650
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0650
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0650
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0650
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0650
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0650
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0650
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9100
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9100
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0900
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9100
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0900
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9100
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0900
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.9100
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0900
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.9100
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.0900
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.9105
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0895
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.9105
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0900
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.9850
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0150
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.9850
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.0150
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.9850
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0150
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.9850
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0155
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.9855
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0145
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.9845
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.0160
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 714.94, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6076, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.0890
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.9110
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0890
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.9110
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0890
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.9110
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.0890
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.9075
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.0915
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.9085
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.1025
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.8975
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.0440
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.9775
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.0220
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.9780
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0130
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.9875
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0130
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.9875
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.0115
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.9880
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.0085
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.9915
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0085
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.9915
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.0085
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.9910
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.0090
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.9915
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.0050
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.9940
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.0080
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.9920
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0095
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.9910
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0090
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.9925
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.0075
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.9925
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.2360
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.7150
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.2710
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.9665
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0105
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.9950
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.9950
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0045
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 508.94, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.5211, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.4750
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.5100
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.3350
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.5400
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.3100
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.7750
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.3350
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.6100
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.4700
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.5600
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.4650
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.5450
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.4050
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.5300
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.4300
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.7700
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.2250
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.8050
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.3750
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 714.94, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6076, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.4350
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.6400
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.4150
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.5550
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.4900
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.5200
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.4300
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.5100
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.5650
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.4650
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.5150
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.5100
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.5200
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.5350
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.4450
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 185.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.4700
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.5150
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.4650
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.5250
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.4550
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.5400
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.4650
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.5450
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.4500
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.5750
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.4250
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.5750
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.4700
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.5400
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.4400
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.6350
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.3650
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.6350
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.3650
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.6350
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.0155
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.9845
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.0160
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.9840
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0160
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.9840
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.0160
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.9840
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.0160
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 714.94, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6076, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.0160
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.9840
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0160
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.9840
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.0155
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.9840
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.0160
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.9845
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.0155
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.9815
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.0165
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.9845
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0155
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.9830
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.0165
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.9845
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.0155
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.9845
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.0155
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.9845
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.0155
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.9845
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.0155
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.9845
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.0155
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.9845
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.0155
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.9845
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.0155
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 16.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.0155
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.9845
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.0155
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.9845
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.2355
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.7550
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.2350
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.2415
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.7590
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.2475
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.7525
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.2485
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.7515
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.2450
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.7515
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.2485
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.7545
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.2475
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.7520
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.2435
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.7515
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.2430
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.7575
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.2485
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.7515
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.2460
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.7530
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.2485
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.7555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 714.94, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6076, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.2485
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.7525
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.2485
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.7515
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.1445
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9810
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0210
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9790
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.2445
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.7840
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.1985
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.8650
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.0745
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.9425
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0235
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9765
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0235
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.9765
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0235
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.7555
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.2135
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.7865
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.2135
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.3365
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.6975
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.2410
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.8395
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.1165
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.9340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 714.94, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6076, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.3325
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.7885
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0670
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.9715
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.0135
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.5755
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.2625
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.8780
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.0790
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9875
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.0105
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.9900
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.0135
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.9855
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.2415
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.7585
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.3990
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.6345
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.3655
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.6345
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.3655
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.6345
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.3655
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.6345
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.3655
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.6345
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.3565
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.6495
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.3335
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.6835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5500, Price range: 0.5500 - 0.5500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.4980
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.5055
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.4470
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.5530
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.4990
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.5010
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.4985
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.5120
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.4880
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.6340
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.4255
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.6150
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.3855
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.5855
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.4020
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.6140
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.4135
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.5290
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.3495
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.7945
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.1715
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.8285
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.4215
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.5605
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.4210
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.5835
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.4420
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.5185
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.4105
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.5875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 714.94, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6076, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.4125
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.5750
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.4000
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.5790
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.3925
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.5800
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.3655
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.6675
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.3135
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.7115
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.3245
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.6755
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.3245
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.6755
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.3075
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.6995
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.3005
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.6995
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.3005
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.6870
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.2555
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.7445
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.2555
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.7445
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.2555
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.6925
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.3075
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.5835
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.2920
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.7130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 714.94, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6076, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.2815
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.7185
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.2815
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.7185
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.2820
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.7180
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.2820
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.7180
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.2820
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.7180
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.2820
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.7180
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.2820
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.7180
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.2820
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.7075
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.2890
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.7185
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.2815
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.7185
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.2815
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.7185
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.2815
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.7185
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.2815
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.7180
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.2915
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.7070
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.2935
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.7070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 714.94, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6076, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.2915
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.7175
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.2830
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.7235
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2745
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.7255
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.2735
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.7265
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.2735
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.7265
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.2735
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.8995
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0900
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9100
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0900
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9100
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0900
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9140
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0870
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9140
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0905
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9100
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 714.94, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6076, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0665
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9340
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0655
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0650
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0650
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0650
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0650
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9100
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0900
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9100
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0900
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9100
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0895
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.9105
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0900
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.9850
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0150
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.9850
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.0150
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.9855
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0155
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.9840
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0890
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.9110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 714.94, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6076, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525639
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 715.942
Price History:
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.0890
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.9110
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.0890
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.9110
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.0915
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.9085
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.1025
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.9560
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.0220
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.9870
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0130
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.9885
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0115
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.9915
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.0085
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.9910
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0085
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.9950
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.0080
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.9905
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0090
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.9925
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0175
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.7275
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0315
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.9950
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.9955
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.0315
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 508.94, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.5211, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.5050
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.4950
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.5150
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.4550
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.5950
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.3300
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.5550
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.4850
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.5350
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.4400
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.5800
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.2600
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.7250
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.1650
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.6250
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.6100
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.4700
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.5300
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.4200
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.5750
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.4500
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.5550
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.4700
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.5650
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.3800
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.6500
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.4700
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.5600
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.8150
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.2750
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.7400
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.2900
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1652.96, Sell volume: 784.98, Average price: 0.1717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.4350
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.5450
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.4000
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.5600
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.4250
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.5150
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.5100
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.4850
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.5250
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.4450
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.5800
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.4550
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.5400
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.4750
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.5100
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.4750
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.5150
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.4850
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.5550
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.4850
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.5250
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.4700
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.4900
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.5200
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.4900
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.4650
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 185.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.4800
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.5200
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.4850
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.5400
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.4750
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.5550
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.4850
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.5350
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.5300
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.4700
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.4350
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.5650
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.4350
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.5650
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.4350
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.5650
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.4600
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.5400
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.4600
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.6000
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.4600
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.6400
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.3600
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.6400
2025-03-18 06:00: 0.3600
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.6400
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.3600
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.6400
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.3600
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.6400
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.3500
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.6500
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.3500
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.6500
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.3500
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.6500
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.3500
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.6500
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.3500
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.6500
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1652.96, Sell volume: 784.98, Average price: 0.1717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.6500
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.3500
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.6500
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.3500
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.6500
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.3500
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.6500
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.3500
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.6500
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.3500
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.6500
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.3500
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.6500
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.3500
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.6500
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.3500
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.6500
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.3500
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.6500
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.3500
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.6500
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.3500
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.6500
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.3500
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.6500
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.3500
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.6500
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.3500
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.6500
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.3500
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.6500
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.3500
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.6500
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.3500
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.6500
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.3500
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.6500
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.3500
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.6500
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.6500
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.6500
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.6500
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.6500
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 16.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.6500
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.6500
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.3500
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.6500
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.3500
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.7600
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.2400
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.7600
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.2400
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.7600
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.2400
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.7600
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.2400
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.7600
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.2400
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.7600
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.2400
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.7600
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.2400
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.7600
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.2400
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.7600
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.2400
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.7600
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.7550
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.2450
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.7550
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.2450
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.7550
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.2450
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.7550
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.2450
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.7550
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.2450
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.7550
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.2450
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.7550
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.7550
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.2450
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.7550
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.2450
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.7550
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.2450
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.7550
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.2450
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1652.96, Sell volume: 784.98, Average price: 0.1717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.2450
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.7550
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.2450
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.2450
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.7550
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.0450
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.9850
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0200
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9800
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0200
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9800
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0200
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9800
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.2445
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.7555
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.2220
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.7665
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.2030
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.8385
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.1615
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.8385
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.1615
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.8385
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.1615
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.8385
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.1615
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.8385
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.1615
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.8385
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.1615
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.8385
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.1615
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.8385
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.2440
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.7605
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.2065
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.7935
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.2065
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.7935
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.1920
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.8225
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.4270
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.6585
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.3015
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.7110
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.2580
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.7620
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.1855
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.8485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1652.96, Sell volume: 784.98, Average price: 0.1717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.3585
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.6725
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.2555
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.7840
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.1495
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.5535
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.4145
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.6215
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.4395
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.5765
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.3635
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.7015
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.2150
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.8230
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.1650
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.8375
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.1505
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.8495
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.1040
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.9050
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.0800
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.9685
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0135
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.9855
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0145
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.9855
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0085
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.9865
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.3995
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.6280
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.3465
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.6865
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.2605
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.7445
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.2195
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.8025
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.1570
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.8725
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.9535
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.0145
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.9860
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0125
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.9875
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0120
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9880
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.9880
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0125
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1652.96, Sell volume: 784.98, Average price: 0.1717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.4925
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.5465
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.4680
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.5320
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.4470
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.5530
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.4635
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.5530
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.4470
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.5010
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.4990
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.5280
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.4445
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.5020
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.4015
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.5165
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.3665
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.6375
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.4075
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.6145
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.3835
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.6170
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.3860
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.6110
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.3905
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.6095
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.3855
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.6145
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.4185
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.5865
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.4115
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.5010
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.3665
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.6675
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.3325
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.6675
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.3325
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.6675
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.2285
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.5905
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.4060
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.5895
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.4090
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.6005
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.4200
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.5810
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.4010
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.5935
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.4855
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.5990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1652.96, Sell volume: 784.98, Average price: 0.1717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.4110
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.5835
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.4960
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.5830
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.4110
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.5790
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.4290
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.5970
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.4985
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.5490
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.4090
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.6395
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.3195
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.6805
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.3120
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.7110
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.2785
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.7115
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.3115
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.6885
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.3115
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.6885
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.3115
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.6885
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.3115
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.6895
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.2925
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.7075
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.2925
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.7075
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.2925
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.7075
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2925
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.6935
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.2530
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.7485
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.2515
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.7485
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.2515
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.7485
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.2515
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.7485
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.2515
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.7485
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.3435
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.6845
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.2285
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.7715
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.2285
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.6630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1652.96, Sell volume: 784.98, Average price: 0.1717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.2710
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.7290
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.2710
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.7290
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.2710
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.7290
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.2710
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.7275
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.2710
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.7290
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.2710
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.7290
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.2710
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.7290
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.2710
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.7290
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.2710
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.7290
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.2710
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.7290
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.2710
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.7290
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.2710
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.7290
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.2710
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.7290
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.2710
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.7185
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.2815
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.7215
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.7300
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.7300
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.7300
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.7300
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.2700
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.7300
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.2700
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.7300
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.2700
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.7300
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.2705
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.7295
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.2705
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.7205
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.2740
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.7175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1652.96, Sell volume: 784.98, Average price: 0.1717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.2765
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.7285
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.2715
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.7285
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2720
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7285
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.2715
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.7285
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2715
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.7285
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2715
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.7285
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.2715
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7285
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.2715
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.7280
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2715
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.7285
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.2715
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.7285
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.1005
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9105
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0905
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9100
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0900
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9100
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0905
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9100
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0900
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9100
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0915
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0915
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9090
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0905
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0905
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9095
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1652.96, Sell volume: 784.98, Average price: 0.1717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9045
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0910
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9090
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0900
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9100
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0900
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9100
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0900
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9100
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0900
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9100
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0900
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9100
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9100
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9100
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9100
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9100
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9100
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0900
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9100
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0925
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9100
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0900
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.9100
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0900
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.9100
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.0900
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.9105
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0895
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.9105
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0900
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.9100
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0900
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.9100
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.0915
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.9100
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0900
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.0860
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.9140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1652.96, Sell volume: 784.98, Average price: 0.1717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.0890
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.9110
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0890
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.9110
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0890
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.9110
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.0895
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.9095
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.0890
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.9110
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.1000
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.9000
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.0350
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.9750
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.0195
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.9805
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0115
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.9870
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0120
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.9880
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.0115
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.9890
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.0110
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.9890
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0110
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.9890
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.0105
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.9890
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.0110
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.9890
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.0100
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.9900
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.0100
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.9900
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0100
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.9905
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0100
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.9900
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.0095
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.9905
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.2170
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.7200
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.2575
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.9670
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0010
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.9910
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0020
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.9980
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0020
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1451.96, Sell volume: 784.98, Average price: 0.0133, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.4550
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.5100
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.3350
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.5200
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.2650
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.7250
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.3750
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.6100
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.4700
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.5800
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.4500
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.5500
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.4000
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.5250
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.4100
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.8150
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.2600
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.8100
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.4250
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1652.96, Sell volume: 784.98, Average price: 0.1717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.4350
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.6400
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.4100
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.5150
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.4900
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.5200
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.4350
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.5450
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.5550
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.4850
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.5200
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.5200
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.4900
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.5300
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.5350
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.4450
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 185.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.4800
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.5150
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.4600
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.5300
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.4550
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.5350
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.4700
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.5450
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.4550
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.5650
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.4350
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.5650
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.4600
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.5400
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.3900
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.6400
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.3600
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.6400
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.3600
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.6400
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.3500
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.6500
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.3500
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.6500
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.3500
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1652.96, Sell volume: 784.98, Average price: 0.1717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.3500
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.6500
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.3500
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.6500
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.3500
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.6500
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.3500
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.6500
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.3500
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.6500
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.3500
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.6500
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.3500
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.6500
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.3500
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.6500
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.3500
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.6500
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.3500
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.6500
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.3500
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.6500
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.6500
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.6500
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.6500
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 16.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.6500
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.3500
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.6500
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.2400
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.7600
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.2400
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.7600
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.2400
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.7600
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.2400
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.7600
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.2400
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.7600
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.2400
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.7550
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.2450
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.7550
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.2450
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.7550
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.2450
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.7550
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.7550
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.2450
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.7550
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.7550
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.2450
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1652.96, Sell volume: 784.98, Average price: 0.1717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.2450
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.7550
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.2450
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.7550
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0200
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9800
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0200
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9800
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.2445
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.7780
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.2030
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.8385
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.1615
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.8385
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.1615
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.8385
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.1615
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.8385
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.1615
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.7560
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.2065
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.7935
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.2065
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.8220
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.3195
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.7110
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.2380
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.8190
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.1330
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.9140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1652.96, Sell volume: 784.98, Average price: 0.1717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.3585
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.7110
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.1665
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.5565
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.3635
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.5765
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.2985
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.8085
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.1650
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.8495
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.1040
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.9055
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.0080
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.9850
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0095
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.9865
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.3720
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.6625
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.2580
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.7805
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.1570
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.9120
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0255
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.9875
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0120
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9880
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0120
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9865
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0135
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1652.96, Sell volume: 784.98, Average price: 0.1717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.4925
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.5300
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.4470
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.5530
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.4980
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.5010
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.4720
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.5580
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.4980
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.6335
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.4075
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.6145
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.3855
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.6150
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.3905
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.6145
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.4135
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.5290
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.6675
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.3325
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.6965
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.4815
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.5750
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.4210
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.5810
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.4065
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.5020
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.4925
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1652.96, Sell volume: 784.98, Average price: 0.1717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.4110
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.5890
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.4000
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.5790
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.3895
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.5490
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.3605
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.6815
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.2995
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.7215
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.3115
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.6885
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.3115
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.6885
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.3035
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.7075
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.2925
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.7075
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2925
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.7470
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.2515
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.7485
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.2515
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.7485
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.2515
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.6845
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.2285
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.5565
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.2810
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.7235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1652.96, Sell volume: 784.98, Average price: 0.1717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.2710
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.7290
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.2710
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.7290
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.2710
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.7290
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.2710
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.7290
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.2710
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.7290
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.2710
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.7290
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.2710
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.7290
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.2710
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.7185
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.2785
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.7300
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.7300
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.2700
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.7300
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.2700
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.7300
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.2700
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.7295
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.2795
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.7180
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.2825
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.7180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1652.96, Sell volume: 784.98, Average price: 0.1717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.2765
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.7285
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.2720
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.7285
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2715
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.7285
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.2715
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.7285
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.2715
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.7285
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.2715
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.8995
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0900
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9100
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0900
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9100
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0900
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0910
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0905
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9100
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1652.96, Sell volume: 784.98, Average price: 0.1717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9090
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0905
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9100
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0900
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9100
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0900
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9100
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9100
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9100
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9100
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0900
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9100
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0900
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9100
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0895
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.9105
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0900
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.9100
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0900
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.9090
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.9140
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0890
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.9110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1652.96, Sell volume: 784.98, Average price: 0.1717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525635
Question: Will Russell Henley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 2437.938907
Price History:
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.0890
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.9110
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.0890
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.9110
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.0890
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.9110
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.1000
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.9650
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.0195
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.9885
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0120
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.9885
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0110
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.9890
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.0105
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.9890
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0110
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.9900
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.0100
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.9900
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0100
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.9905
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0195
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.7305
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0315
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.9910
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0020
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.9980
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1451.96, Sell volume: 784.98, Average price: 0.0133, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0150
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.9850
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.0150
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9850
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0150
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.9850
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0190
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.9810
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.0210
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.9790
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0190
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9810
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0185
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.9815
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.0185
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.9815
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0155
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.0185, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.0250

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0155
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9845
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.0155
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9845
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0155
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.9845
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0155
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.9845
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.0160
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9840
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0160
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.9840
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0185
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9815
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0350
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.9650
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.0295
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9705
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0170
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9830
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 16157.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6714, Price range: 0.0235 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 23897.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 41134.04, Sell volume: 48.99, Average price: 0.3393, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 41134.04, Sell volume: 48.99, Average price: 0.3393, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 41134.04, Sell volume: 48.99, Average price: 0.3393, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 41134.04, Sell volume: 48.99, Average price: 0.3393, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 41134.04, Sell volume: 48.99, Average price: 0.3393, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 41134.04, Sell volume: 48.99, Average price: 0.3393, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 41134.04, Sell volume: 48.99, Average price: 0.3393, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 41134.04, Sell volume: 48.99, Average price: 0.3393, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 41134.04, Sell volume: 48.99, Average price: 0.3393, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0150
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.9850
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.0150
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9850
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0150
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.9850
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0190
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.9810
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.0210
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.9790
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0190
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9810
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0185
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.9815
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.0185
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.9815
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0155
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.0185, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.0250
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes