Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535383
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more?
Volume: 955140.464156
Price History:
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.9865
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0160
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9835
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0175
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.9825
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0170
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9830
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0170
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.9825
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0165
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9835
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0170
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.9810
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0155
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.9830
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0175
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.9825
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0170
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.9835
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0165
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.9850
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0145
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.9780
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0180
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.9735
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0290
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.9715
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0270
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9720
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 6513.77, Sell volume: 2539.96, Average price: 0.6432, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535383
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more?
Volume: 955140.464156
Price History:
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0275
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.9725
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0270
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9725
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0290
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9690
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0295
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9705
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0320
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9680
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0330
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.9635
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0365
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.9635
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0365
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.9635
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0365
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.9635
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.0330
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.9660
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0335
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.9670
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0360
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.9665
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0335
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.9660
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0335
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.9685
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0320
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 964.84, Sell volume: 3964.09, Average price: 0.5195, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9730
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535383
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more?
Volume: 955140.464156
Price History:
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.9665
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.0305
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.9670
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0350
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.9650
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0295
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.9725
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0275
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.9700
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0295
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.9720
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0275
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9725
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0275
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.9725
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.0275
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.9715
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0285
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.9715
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.0160
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.9850
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0150
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.9850
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0150
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.9830
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0150
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.9825
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0165
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.9825
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1917.52, Sell volume: 3016.42, Average price: 0.4217, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535383
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more?
Volume: 955140.464156
Price History:
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0210
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.9835
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0165
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.9830
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0160
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9760
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0240
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9800
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0220
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9800
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0245
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9730
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0275
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9825
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0210
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9785
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0175
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.9815
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0200
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.9820
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0250
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.9800
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.0215
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.9780
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0250
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.9765
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.0240
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.9790
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.0210
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1073.09, Sell volume: 1007.12, Average price: 0.3533, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535383
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more?
Volume: 955140.464156
Price History:
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.9790
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.0210
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.9790
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0255
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.9720
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.0285
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.9710
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.0260
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.9730
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.0275
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.9730
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0255
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.9805
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.0165
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.9820
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0180
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.9820
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.0180
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.9820
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.0185
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.9815
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.0185
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.9820
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.0170
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.9835
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.0165
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.9835
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.0155
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.9845
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2963.20, Sell volume: 1753.39, Average price: 0.3654, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535383
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more?
Volume: 955140.464156
Price History:
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.0155
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.9850
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.0150
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.9850
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0150
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.9850
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.9850
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.9850
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0150
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.9850
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0150
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0150
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.0150
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9855
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.9855
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.0145
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.9855
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.9855
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0145
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.0145
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9855
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0145
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0145
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.9855
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0145
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.9855
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9855
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0145
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0145
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2738.38, Sell volume: 1624.59, Average price: 0.5386, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535383
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more?
Volume: 955140.464156
Price History:
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9860
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9865
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.0130
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.0130
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.9845
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0125
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.9875
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.9870
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9870
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.0130
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.9870
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9870
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0110
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.0100
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0110
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.9880
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.0110
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0110
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9900
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0115
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9890
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0075
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0075
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9925
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9925
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9925
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9935
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9920
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0080
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 6655.42, Sell volume: 2730.74, Average price: 0.5973, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535383
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more?
Volume: 955140.464156
Price History:
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0070
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0040
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9955
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9955
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9955
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 270, Buy volume: 505270.47, Sell volume: 241700.49, Average price: 0.6957, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.1300
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.9805
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0250
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.9750
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.0245
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.9760
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0305
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.9765
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0235
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.9760
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0145
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.9865
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0175
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9835
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0140
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9820
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0185
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.9825
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.0150
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.9860
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0215
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.9785
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0225
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9745
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0270
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.9725
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.0275
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.9730
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0280
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.9720
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0290
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.9710
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0295
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.9705
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0295
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9705
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9700
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0300
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9700
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9700
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9700
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0300
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9700
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0295
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.9705
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0295
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 4142.44, Sell volume: 3138.97, Average price: 0.7384, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9715
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0280
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.9720
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0265
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9730
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0260
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9740
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0260
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.9735
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0270
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0300
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9720
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0270
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9725
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0295
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9715
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0300
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9720
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0270
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9705
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0300
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9700
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0295
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9710
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0290
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9725
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0280
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9730
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9685
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0315
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9680
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0275
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9705
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0275
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9700
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0275
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9735
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0290
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9695
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0275
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9710
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0275
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9730
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0255
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9715
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 385.00, Sell volume: 8.04, Average price: 0.5338, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9780

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0295
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9690
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0310
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9690
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0310
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9695
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0305
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9700
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0305
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9690
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0310
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9695
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0310
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9695
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0265
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9730
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0270
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9775
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0225
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9770
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0230
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9765
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0225
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9775
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0230
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.9765
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.0235
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.9770
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.0225
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.9770
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0240
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.9780
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.0220
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.9780
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.0220
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.9780
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.0220
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.9780
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.0220
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.9780
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.0220
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.9780
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.0220
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.9780
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0220
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.9780
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.0220
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.9780
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.0220
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 3213.64, Sell volume: 940.22, Average price: 0.5379, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.9775
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0235
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.9765
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0235
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.9765
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.0235
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.9765
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0235
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.9765
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0235
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.9765
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.0235
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9765
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0235
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.9765
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0235
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9765
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0230
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.9770
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0230
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.9760
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.0240
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9760
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0225
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.9775
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0225
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.9770
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0225
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.9775
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0230
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9775
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0225
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.9775
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.0235
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9765
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0235
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9765
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0230
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9770
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.0230
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.9770
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.0225
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9775
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0220
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.9780
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0230
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9770
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.0230
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.9770
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1024.83, Sell volume: 480.54, Average price: 0.5653, Price range: 0.0205 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0245
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9765
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0230
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.9765
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0230
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9770
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0230
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9780
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0225
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9775
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0225
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9775
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0225
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9775
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0225
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9835
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0165
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9830
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0165
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9815
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0185
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9830
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0180
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9840
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0175
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9825
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0160
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9840
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0155
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9855
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0160
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9840
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0160
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9840
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0155
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.9830
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0175
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9840
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0155
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.9845
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0170
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.9840
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0165
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.9835
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0170
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.9830
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0170
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.9830
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0170
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2593.07, Sell volume: 932.17, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0129 - 0.9880

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.9835
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0160
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.9840
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0160
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9840
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0155
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.9840
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.0160
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.9840
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0160
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.9845
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0155
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9845
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0160
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.9845
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0155
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.9845
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0155
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.9845
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0155
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.9845
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0150
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.9850
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0150
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.9850
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0135
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.9865
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0145
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9855
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.0145
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.9855
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0145
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9855
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0140
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.9860
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0145
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9860
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0140
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.9855
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0145
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.9855
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0145
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.9840
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0170
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9835
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0170
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9830
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0165
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9835
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 2680.55, Sell volume: 2452.26, Average price: 0.6114, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9870

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0165
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.9835
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0160
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9835
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0165
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9840
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0160
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9830
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0175
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.9820
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0175
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9825
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0180
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9825
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0175
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9815
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0180
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.9825
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.0175
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.9825
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.0190
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.9810
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0180
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.9810
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0190
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.9820
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0180
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.9820
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0180
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.9820
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.0180
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.9825
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.0180
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.9820
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.0180
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9820
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0180
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.9820
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0180
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.9820
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0180
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.9825
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0180
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.9820
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.0180
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.9820
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0175
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.9825
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0165
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 65.76, Sell volume: 514.42, Average price: 0.5522, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9850

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.9825
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0175
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.9825
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0200
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.9795
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0205
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.9795
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0205
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.9795
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0200
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.9795
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0205
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.9840
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0180
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.9850
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.0150
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.9840
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0150
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.9840
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0160
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.9855
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0145
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.9855
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.0170
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.9845
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0175
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.9835
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0170
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.9820
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0180
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.9820
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0180
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.9855
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.0180
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.9830
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0145
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9850
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0160
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.9830
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0165
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.9830
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0175
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.9840
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0165
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.9825
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0170
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.9855
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0155
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.9855
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1536.37, Sell volume: 218.97, Average price: 0.4417, Price range: 0.0121 - 0.9880

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9850
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0150
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.9850
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0150
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9850
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0150
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9850
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0180
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9820
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0170
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9835
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0185
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9825
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0160
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9820
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0160
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9845
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0155
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9845
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0160
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9825
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0180
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9820
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0175
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9835
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0175
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.9825
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0160
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.9845
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0155
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.9855
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0170
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.9840
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0170
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.9840
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.0170
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.9835
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.0165
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.9825
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.0160
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.9840
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0185
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.9835
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.0185
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.9835
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.0170
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.9835
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0170
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 666.79, Sell volume: 466.28, Average price: 0.7910, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9870

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.9835
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.0165
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.9820
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0175
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.9840
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.0160
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.9835
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.0165
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.9845
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0175
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.9830
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.0160
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.9845
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0165
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.9825
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0175
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.9825
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.0165
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.9820
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0160
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.9840
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.0165
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.9830
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.0170
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.9820
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0170
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.9830
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.0165
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.9840
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.0160
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.9830
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.0170
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.9830
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.0160
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.9820
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.0155
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.9835
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.0160
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.9855
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0145
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.9855
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0145
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9855
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0145
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.9855
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.0145
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.9855
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0145
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.9855
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 834.61, Sell volume: 1.64, Average price: 0.9859, Price range: 0.9810 - 0.9870

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.9860
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.0140
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.9860
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.0140
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.9860
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.0140
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9860
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.9860
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.9860
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.0140
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.9860
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.0140
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0140
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.0140
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9860
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.9860
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.9860
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0140
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.0140
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0140
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.9860
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0140
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.9860
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0140
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.0140
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.9860
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.0140
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.9860
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.0140
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.0140
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9860
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.9860
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.9860
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0140
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.9860
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.0140
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.9860
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.9860
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0140
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.9860
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9860
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.0140
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9860
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9860
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.9860
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.0140
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.0140
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.9860
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.0140
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1942.56, Sell volume: 255.43, Average price: 0.1835, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9880

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0125
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.9875
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.0110
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.9900
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.0095
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9900
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0090
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.9890
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.0100
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.0105
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.0105
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.0100
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9900
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.0095
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.9910
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.0085
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.9920
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.0085
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.9915
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0085
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.9920
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.9920
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.9920
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.0080
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.0080
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.9920
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.0080
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.9920
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.0075
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.0075
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.0075
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.0075
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.9925
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.0075
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.0075
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9925
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0070
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0070
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9945
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9950
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0050
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0060
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9950
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9950
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0050
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9950
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0050
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9955
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 3399.50, Sell volume: 1380.59, Average price: 0.7914, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0010
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 233, Buy volume: 356849.28, Sell volume: 184081.82, Average price: 0.7586, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.1300
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.9805
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0380
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.9760
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0235
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.9755
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.0135
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9825
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0155
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9830
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.0150
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.9860
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0215
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.9770
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0265
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.9725
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0285
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9720
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0290
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9705
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0295
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.9700
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0300
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9700
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9700
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0300
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9705
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0295
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 4142.44, Sell volume: 3138.97, Average price: 0.7384, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9715
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0280
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9745
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0265
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9735
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0270
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9740
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0285
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9690
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0275
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9700
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0300
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9715
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0295
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9705
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0290
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9715
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0290
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9700
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0320
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9715
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0295
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9700
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0295
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9725
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0300
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9710
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0285
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9715
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 385.00, Sell volume: 8.04, Average price: 0.5338, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0295
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9690
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0300
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9695
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0300
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9690
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0305
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9690
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0265
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9740
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0225
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9770
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0225
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9775
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0230
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.9765
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0225
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.9770
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0220
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.9780
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.0220
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.9780
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.0220
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.9780
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.0220
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.9780
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.0220
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.9780
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0220
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 3213.64, Sell volume: 940.22, Average price: 0.5379, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.9775
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.0235
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.9765
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0235
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.9765
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0235
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.9765
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0235
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.9765
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.0235
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.9770
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0230
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.9760
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0240
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.9775
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0230
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.9775
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0225
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.9775
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0235
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.9765
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0235
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9770
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0230
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.9775
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0220
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9770
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.0230
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.9770
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1024.83, Sell volume: 480.54, Average price: 0.5653, Price range: 0.0205 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0245
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.9760
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0235
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9765
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0220
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9775
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0225
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9775
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0225
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9810
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0190
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9815
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0180
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9845
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0170
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9840
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0160
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9855
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0165
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9840
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0155
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.9825
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0155
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.9845
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0155
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.9835
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0170
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.9830
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0170
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2593.07, Sell volume: 932.17, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0129 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.9835
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0160
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9840
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0155
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.9840
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0155
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9840
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0160
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.9845
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0155
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9850
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0155
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.9850
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0145
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.9850
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0135
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.9855
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0145
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.9855
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0140
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.9860
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0140
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.9855
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0145
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.9855
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0170
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.9840
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0170
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9835
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 2680.55, Sell volume: 2452.26, Average price: 0.6114, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0165
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.9840
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0165
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9840
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0170
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9815
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0175
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9820
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0185
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9825
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0180
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.9825
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0190
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.9820
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0190
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.9820
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0180
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.9820
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.0180
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.9825
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0180
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.9820
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0180
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.9820
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0175
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.9820
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0180
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.9825
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0160
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 65.76, Sell volume: 514.42, Average price: 0.5522, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.9825
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.0175
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.9795
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0205
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.9800
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0205
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.9795
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0185
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.9855
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0145
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.9840
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0160
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9850
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0145
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.9835
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.0165
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.9820
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0180
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.9820
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.0165
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.9840
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0150
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.9830
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0155
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.9835
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0170
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.9825
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0160
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.9850
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1536.37, Sell volume: 218.97, Average price: 0.4417, Price range: 0.0121 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0150
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.9850
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0150
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.9850
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0150
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9840
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0170
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9815
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0160
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9840
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0165
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9845
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0165
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9850
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0160
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9820
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0165
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.9845
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0170
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.9845
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0175
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.9845
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.0165
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.9845
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0185
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.9820
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.0165
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.9825
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.0160
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 666.79, Sell volume: 466.28, Average price: 0.7910, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.9835
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.0170
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.9845
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0160
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.9840
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.0165
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.9835
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.0155
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.9830
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.0175
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.9830
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0160
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.9845
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.0180
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.9835
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0170
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.9840
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.0160
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.9830
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.0155
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.9845
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.0170
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.9855
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.0145
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.9855
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.0145
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.9855
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.0145
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.9855
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 834.61, Sell volume: 1.64, Average price: 0.9859, Price range: 0.9810 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.9860
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.9860
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.9860
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0140
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0140
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.0140
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.0140
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.9860
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0140
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.9860
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9860
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0140
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9860
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0140
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0140
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.9860
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.0140
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.9860
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.9860
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9860
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.0140
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9860
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0140
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.0140
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.9860
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.0140
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9860
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.9860
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0140
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1942.56, Sell volume: 255.43, Average price: 0.1835, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0125
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0110
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.0090
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.0100
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.9890
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.9900
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.9895
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.0095
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9910
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.0085
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.9915
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0085
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0080
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.9920
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0080
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.9920
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.0080
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9925
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9925
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0075
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0075
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0070
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9940
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9950
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9950
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0050
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0045
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 3399.50, Sell volume: 1380.59, Average price: 0.7914, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535384
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
Volume: 657230.04583
Price History:
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 233, Buy volume: 356849.28, Sell volume: 184081.82, Average price: 0.7586, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.4900
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.5100
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0600
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.9400
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.9150
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0950
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9050
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0950
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.9050
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.1100
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.8900
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.1150
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.8850
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.1150
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.8850
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.1050
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.8950
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.1150
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.8850
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.1150
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.8850
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.1050
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.8950
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.1100
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.8900
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.1100
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.8900
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1200
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.8800
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1200
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.8800
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1200
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.8800
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1200
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.8800
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.8850
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.8850
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.8850
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.8900
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.8900
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.8900
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15984, Buy volume: 1049170.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3248, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.1350
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.8650
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.1300
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.8700
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.1300
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.8700
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.1200
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.8800
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.8700
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.1350
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.8650
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.1300
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.8700
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.1450
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.8550
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.2100
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.7900
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.1750
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.8250
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.1850
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.8150
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.2000
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.8000
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.1250
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.8750
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.1450
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.8550
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.1950
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.8050
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.1650
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.8350
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.1400
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.8600
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.1400
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.8600
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.1450
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.8550
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.1450
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.8550
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.1450
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.8550
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.1450
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 287712, Buy volume: 31763473.92, Sell volume: 9653097.24, Average price: 0.4047, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.1600
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.8400
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.1600
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.8400
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.1550
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.8450
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.1550
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.8450
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.1550
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.8450
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.1550
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.8450
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.1350
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.8650
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.1400
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.8600
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.1400
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.8600
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.1400
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.8600
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.1400
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.8600
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.1400
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.8600
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.1350
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.8650
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.1350
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.8650
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.1300
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.8700
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.1300
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.8700
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.8750
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.1300
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.8700
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.1200
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.8800
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.1150
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.8850
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.8750
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.8750
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.1200
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.8800
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.1200
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.8800
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 171828, Buy volume: 29282909.63, Sell volume: 3338478.18, Average price: 0.4945, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.1850
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.8150
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.1650
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.8350
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.1650
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.8350
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.1750
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.8250
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.1800
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.8200
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.1550
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.8450
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.1600
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.8400
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.1600
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.8400
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.1750
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.8250
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.1650
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.8350
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.1650
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.8350
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.1650
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.8350
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.1700
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.8300
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.1750
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.8250
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.1700
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.8300
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.1700
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.8300
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.1650
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.8350
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.1650
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.8350
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.8400
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.8400
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.8400
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.1700
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.8300
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.1700
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.8300
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.1700
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.8300
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.1700
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 207792, Buy volume: 26030895.12, Sell volume: 13917388.68, Average price: 0.5501, Price range: 0.1509 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.1700
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.8300
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.1650
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.8350
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.8400
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.8400
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.8400
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.8400
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.8400
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.8400
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.1550
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.8450
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.1550
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.8450
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.8450
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.8450
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.8450
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.8450
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.8450
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.8450
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.8450
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.1600
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.8400
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.1650
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.8350
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.8450
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.8450
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.8450
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.1600
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.8400
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.1600
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.8400
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.1600
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 143856, Buy volume: 8660180.62, Sell volume: 3724172.10, Average price: 0.5709, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.8450
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.8450
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.8450
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.8450
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.8450
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.8450
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.8450
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.8400
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.8400
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.8400
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.8400
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.8400
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.8400
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.8400
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.8400
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.8150
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.1750
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.8250
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.1800
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.8200
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.8150
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.8150
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.8150
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.1700
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.8300
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.1700
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.8300
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.1700
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.8300
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.1750
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 135864, Buy volume: 12722501.15, Sell volume: 4688526.78, Average price: 0.6199, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.1850
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.8150
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.1850
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.8150
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.1900
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.8100
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.1900
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.8100
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.1950
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.8050
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.7750
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.2150
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.7850
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.2050
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.7950
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.2100
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.7900
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.1900
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.8100
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.2000
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.8000
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.2000
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.8000
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.2150
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.7850
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.2050
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.7950
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2050
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.7950
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.2050
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.7950
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.1950
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.8050
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.1950
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105, Buy volume: 4562.84, Sell volume: 2112.00, Average price: 0.6434, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.1800
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.8200
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.1800
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.8200
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.1800
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.8200
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.1800
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.8200
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.1800
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.8200
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.1900
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.8100
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.1900
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.8100
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.1900
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.8100
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.1900
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.8100
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.1900
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.8100
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.1900
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.8100
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.1900
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.8100
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 4164.54, Sell volume: 2962.88, Average price: 0.7578, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.1650
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.8350
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.1650
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.8350
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.8350
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.8350
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.8400
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.8400
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.8400
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.8400
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.1800
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.8200
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.1800
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.8200
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.1750
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.8250
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.1750
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.8250
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.8400
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.8350
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.8350
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.8350
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.8350
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.1500
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.8500
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.1500
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.8500
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.1500
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.8500
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.8350
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.8400
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.8400
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.8400
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 175, Buy volume: 14775.50, Sell volume: 732.94, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.8450
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.8450
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.1700
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.8300
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.1800
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.8200
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.1650
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.8350
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.1500
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.8500
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.1500
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.8500
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.8450
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.8450
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.1500
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.8500
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.8450
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.8450
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.1450
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.8550
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.8450
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.8450
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.8450
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.8450
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.8450
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.1550
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.8450
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.1550
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.8450
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.1450
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.8550
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.1450
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.8550
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.1450
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.8550
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.1400
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.8600
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.1400
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 14767.44, Sell volume: 2376.24, Average price: 0.6634, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9083

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.1200
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.8800
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.1350
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.8650
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.1350
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.8650
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.1350
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.8650
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.1200
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.8800
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.1050
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.8950
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.1050
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.8950
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.1150
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.8850
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1200
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.8800
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.1150
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.8850
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.1150
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.8850
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.1150
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.8850
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.1150
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.8850
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.1150
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.8850
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.1150
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.8850
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.1150
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.8850
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.8950
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.8950
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.8950
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.1100
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.8900
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.8950
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.8950
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 11762.57, Sell volume: 1587.92, Average price: 0.5657, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9192

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.8950
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9000
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.1000
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9000
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.1000
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9000
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.1000
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9000
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.1000
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9000
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.1000
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9000
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.1050
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.8950
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.1050
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.8950
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0900
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9100
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.1000
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9000
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.1050
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.8950
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.1100
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.8900
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.1100
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.8900
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.1100
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.8900
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.1000
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9000
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.1000
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9000
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.1000
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9000
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.1000
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9000
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0900
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9100
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0900
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9100
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0900
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 9916.24, Sell volume: 3946.02, Average price: 0.4980, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.1150
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.8850
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.8900
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0950
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9050
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0950
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9050
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9050
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0850
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9150
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0850
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9150
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.1000
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9000
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.8900
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.8800
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.8800
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.8800
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.8800
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.8800
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.8900
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.8900
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.8900
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.8900
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.1150
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.8850
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.1100
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.8900
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.1100
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.8900
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0700
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9300
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0950
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9050
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0900
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9100
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0950
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 304, Buy volume: 39411.11, Sell volume: 6615.83, Average price: 0.5144, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.4900
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0600
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0950
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0950
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.1100
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.1150
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.1150
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.1050
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.1150
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.1150
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.1050
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.1100
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.1100
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1200
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1200
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1200
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1200
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.1600
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.1500
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.1450
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15984, Buy volume: 1049170.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3248, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.1350
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.1300
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.1300
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.1200
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.1350
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.1300
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.1450
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.2100
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.1750
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.1850
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.2000
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.1250
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.1450
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.1950
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.1650
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.1400
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.1400
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.1450
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.1450
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.1450
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.1450
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.1350
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.1400
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.1450
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.1500
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 287712, Buy volume: 31763473.92, Sell volume: 9653097.24, Average price: 0.4047, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.1600
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.1600
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.1550
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.1550
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.1550
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.1550
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.1350
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.1400
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.1400
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.1400
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.1400
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.1400
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.1350
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.1350
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.1300
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.1300
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.1300
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.1200
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.1150
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.1200
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.1200
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.1250
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.1450
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.1750
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.1750
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 171828, Buy volume: 29282909.63, Sell volume: 3338478.18, Average price: 0.4945, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.1850
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.1650
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.1650
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.1750
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.1800
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.1550
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.1600
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.1600
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.1750
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.1650
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.1650
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.1650
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.1700
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.1750
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.1700
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.1700
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.1650
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.1650
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.1700
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.1700
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.1700
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.1700
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.1750
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.1750
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.1750
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.1750
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 207792, Buy volume: 26030895.12, Sell volume: 13917388.68, Average price: 0.5501, Price range: 0.1509 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.1700
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.1650
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.1550
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.1600
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.1650
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.1600
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.1600
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.1600
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.1600
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.1600
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 143856, Buy volume: 8660180.62, Sell volume: 3724172.10, Average price: 0.5709, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.1750
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.1800
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.1700
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.1700
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.1700
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.1750
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.2450
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.1850
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 135864, Buy volume: 12722501.15, Sell volume: 4688526.78, Average price: 0.6199, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.1850
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.1850
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.1900
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.1900
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.1950
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.2150
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.2050
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.2100
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.1900
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.2000
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.2000
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.2150
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.2050
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2050
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.2050
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.1950
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.1950
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.1900
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.1850
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.1900
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.1850
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105, Buy volume: 4562.84, Sell volume: 2112.00, Average price: 0.6434, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.1800
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.1800
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.1800
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.1800
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.1800
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.1900
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.1900
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.1900
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.1900
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.1900
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.1900
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.1900
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.1650
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.1600
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 4164.54, Sell volume: 2962.88, Average price: 0.7578, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.1650
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.1800
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.1800
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.1750
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.1750
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.1500
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.1500
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.1500
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.1600
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 175, Buy volume: 14775.50, Sell volume: 732.94, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.1700
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.1800
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.1650
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.1500
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.1500
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.1500
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.1450
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.1550
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.1550
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.1550
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.1550
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.1450
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.1450
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.1450
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.1400
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.1400
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.1450
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.1300
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.1300
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.1050
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 14767.44, Sell volume: 2376.24, Average price: 0.6634, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9083
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.1200
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.1350
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.1350
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.1350
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.1200
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.1050
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.1050
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.1150
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1200
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.1150
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.1150
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.1150
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.1150
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.1150
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.1150
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.1150
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.1100
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0800
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.1100
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 11762.57, Sell volume: 1587.92, Average price: 0.5657, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9192
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.1000
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.1000
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.1000
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.1000
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.1000
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.1000
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.1050
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.1050
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0900
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.1000
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.1050
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.1100
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.1100
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.1100
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.1000
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.1000
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.1000
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.1000
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0900
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0900
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0900
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.1000
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 9916.24, Sell volume: 3946.02, Average price: 0.4980, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538580
Question: Will the next Pope be Black?
Volume: 269681.436776
Price History:
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.1150
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0950
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0950
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0850
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0850
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.1000
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.1100
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.1150
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.1100
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.1100
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0700
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0950
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0900
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0950
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0700
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0900
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.1100
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0900
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 304, Buy volume: 39411.11, Sell volume: 6615.83, Average price: 0.5144, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.1000
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9000
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 181.60, Sell volume: 3.41, Average price: 0.9060, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9705
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0295
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0295
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9705
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0260
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9740
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0205
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 43.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9920, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0195
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9805
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0200
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9800
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0200
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9800
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9800
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0200
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0225
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9775
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 459.06, Sell volume: 82.04, Average price: 0.6467, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0185
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9815
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9805
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 835.92, Sell volume: 109.13, Average price: 0.6203, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9835
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0165
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0175
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9825
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0185
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9815
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0185
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9815
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0185
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9815
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9835
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0165
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 4.18, Sell volume: 1.33, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9830
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0195
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9805
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0160
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9840
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0140
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9860
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9870
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0130
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9870
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0130
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0140
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9860
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9890
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 48.06, Sell volume: 18.95, Average price: 0.6963, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0090
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9910
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.8625
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.1375
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.1045
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.8955
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9035
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0965
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0390
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9610
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9555
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0445
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.1105
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.8895
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1978.57, Sell volume: 65.07, Average price: 0.5153, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9035
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0870
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9130
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9130
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0870
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9135
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0865
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0725
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9275
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9185
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 176.07, Sell volume: 12.97, Average price: 0.8246, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0705
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9295
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0825
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9175
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9230
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0770
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0375
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9625
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0230
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9770
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0225
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9775
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0145
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9855
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 478.61, Sell volume: 9.49, Average price: 0.8485, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9845
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0160
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9840
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0165
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9835
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0160
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9840
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0610
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9390
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0435
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9565
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0200
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 331.40, Sell volume: 86.64, Average price: 0.8168, Price range: 0.0125 - 0.9870

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0185
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9815
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0170
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9830
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9875
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0135
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0130
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9870
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0140
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9860
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0130
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9870
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 225.96, Sell volume: 378.07, Average price: 0.3368, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9860

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9865
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0140
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9860
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0155
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9845
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0145
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9855
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0525
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9475
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0405
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9595
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0095
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9905
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0110
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 558.82, Sell volume: 85.96, Average price: 0.8730, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9640
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0360
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0085
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 2477.36, Sell volume: 922.48, Average price: 0.6696, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.1000
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9000
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 181.60, Sell volume: 3.41, Average price: 0.9060, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9705
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0295
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0295
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9705
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0260
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9740
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0205
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 43.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9920, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0195
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9805
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0200
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9800
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0200
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9800
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9800
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0200
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0225
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9775
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 459.06, Sell volume: 82.04, Average price: 0.6467, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0185
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9815
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9805
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 835.92, Sell volume: 109.13, Average price: 0.6203, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9835
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0165
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0175
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9825
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0185
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9815
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0185
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9815
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0185
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9815
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9835
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0165
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 4.18, Sell volume: 1.33, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9830
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0195
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9805
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0160
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9840
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0140
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9860
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9870
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0130
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9870
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0130
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0140
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9860
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9890
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 48.06, Sell volume: 18.95, Average price: 0.6963, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0090
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9910
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.8625
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.1375
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.1045
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.8955
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9035
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0965
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0390
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9610
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9555
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0445
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.1105
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.8895
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1978.57, Sell volume: 65.07, Average price: 0.5153, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9035
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0870
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9130
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9130
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0870
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9135
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0865
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0725
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9275
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9185
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 176.07, Sell volume: 12.97, Average price: 0.8246, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0705
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9295
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0825
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9175
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9230
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0770
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0375
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9625
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0230
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9770
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0225
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9775
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0145
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9855
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 478.61, Sell volume: 9.49, Average price: 0.8485, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9845
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0160
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9840
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0165
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9835
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0160
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9840
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0610
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9390
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0435
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9565
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0200
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 331.40, Sell volume: 86.64, Average price: 0.8168, Price range: 0.0125 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0185
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9815
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0170
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9830
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9875
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0135
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0130
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9870
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0140
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9860
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0130
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9870
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 225.96, Sell volume: 378.07, Average price: 0.3368, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9865
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0140
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9860
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0155
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9845
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0145
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9855
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0525
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9475
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0405
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9595
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0095
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9905
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0110
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 558.82, Sell volume: 85.96, Average price: 0.8730, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes