Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565770
Question: Will Roger Steele win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2834.351
Price History:
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2450
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 2672.66, Sell volume: 161.69, Average price: 0.8613, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565770
Question: Will Roger Steele win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2834.351
Price History:
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 2672.66, Sell volume: 161.69, Average price: 0.8613, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565770
Question: Will Roger Steele win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2834.351
Price History:
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.2450
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.1700
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9100
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.2495
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.2505
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.7495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.2080, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565770
Question: Will Roger Steele win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2834.351
Price History:
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.2515
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.2505
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.4820
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.5180
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.6275
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.5000
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.4870
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.5000
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.4805
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.5190
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.4810
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.4810
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.5190
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.5000
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.5465
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.4430
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.4335
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.4260
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.4150
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.4080
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.6020
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.3940
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.3890
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.3840
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.6210
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.6255
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.6305
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.6355
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.6405
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.3545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.4772, Price range: 0.0034 - 0.9510
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565770
Question: Will Roger Steele win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2834.351
Price History:
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.6535
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.3420
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.3370
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.3320
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.3275
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.3225
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.6820
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.6865
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.6910
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.6950
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.3000
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.7040
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.2920
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.2920
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.2920
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.2920
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.2920
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.2920
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.7080
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.2885
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.2840
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.2795
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.7250
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.7280
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.2720
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.2720
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.2720
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.2720
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.7280
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.2720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 2672.66, Sell volume: 161.69, Average price: 0.8613, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565770
Question: Will Roger Steele win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2834.351
Price History:
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.2720
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.7280
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.2720
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.7280
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.2720
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.2720
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.7280
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.7280
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.7280
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.7280
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.2720
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.7280
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.7280
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.7280
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.7280
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.2715
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.7290
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.7295
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.7290
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.2710
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.7295
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.7295
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.2700
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.7300
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.2705
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.7300
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.2705
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.2705
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.1305
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.2705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 2672.66, Sell volume: 161.69, Average price: 0.8613, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565770
Question: Will Roger Steele win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2834.351
Price History:
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.1250
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.2700
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.2700
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.1250
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.1250
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.2700
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.2700
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.7300
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.2700
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.2700
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.2700
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.7300
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.7300
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.7300
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.2700
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.2700
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.2700
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.2700
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.7300
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.7300
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.7300
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.1250
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.1250
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.1250
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.8750
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.1245
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.8750
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.8750
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.8750
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.8755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 2672.66, Sell volume: 161.69, Average price: 0.8613, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565770
Question: Will Roger Steele win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2834.351
Price History:
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.1250
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.8755
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.8750
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.8750
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.1245
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.1250
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.8805
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.1255
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.8745
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.1250
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.1255
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.8755
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.8750
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.8750
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.8750
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.8750
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.8745
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.8750
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.8745
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.1250
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.8750
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.8750
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.8745
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.8745
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.1255
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.8750
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.8750
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8750
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.8750
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 2672.66, Sell volume: 161.69, Average price: 0.8613, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565770
Question: Will Roger Steele win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2834.351
Price History:
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.1255
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.8750
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.8850
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.8800
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.1205
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.8745
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.8750
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.1250
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.8750
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.1250
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.1250
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.1255
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.8750
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.8745
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.8745
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.8745
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.1255
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.8745
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.8745
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.8745
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.8945
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.8945
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.8945
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.8745
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.1005
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.1005
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.1255
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.8995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565770
Question: Will Roger Steele win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2834.351
Price History:
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.1005
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.8995
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.8995
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0605
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9395
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0605
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.0605
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0605
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9395
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9395
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.9395
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9395
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9395
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9395
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9395
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0605
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9395
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9395
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0605
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9395
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0605
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9395
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.0605
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9395
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9395
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9395
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0605
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0605
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9395
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 2672.66, Sell volume: 161.69, Average price: 0.8613, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565770
Question: Will Roger Steele win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2834.351
Price History:
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0595
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0595
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0595
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9410
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0590
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0590
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9415
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0580
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0575
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9435
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0565
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0565
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0565
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0565
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0565
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0565
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0565
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0565
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0565
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0565
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0565
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0565
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0565
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0565
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0565
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0565
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0565
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0565
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0565
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.85, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565770
Question: Will Roger Steele win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2834.351
Price History:
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9435
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9435
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9435
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9435
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9435
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9435
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9435
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9435
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9435
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9435
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9435
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9435
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9435
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9435
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9435
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9435
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9435
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9390
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.5765
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.6300
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9095
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9095
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9095
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9545
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9545
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9545
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9545
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9545
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 34.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565770
Question: Will Roger Steele win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2834.351
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0420
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0425
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0425
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0425
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0425
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0420
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0420
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0420
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0415
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0465
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0300
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0250
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0250
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0250
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0250
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0245
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0090
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 2626.33, Sell volume: 101.84, Average price: 0.9193, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.4950
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.2450
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 2629.30, Sell volume: 780.95, Average price: 0.7824, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.9050
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.9100
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.9150
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.9150
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.9150
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.9150
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9150
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.9100
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.9100
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.9100
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.9100
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.9100
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.9050
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.9050
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.9050
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.9050
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.9050
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.9050
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.9050
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.9050
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.9050
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.9050
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.9050
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.9050
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.9050
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.9050
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.9050
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.9050
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.9050
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.9050
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.9050
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.9050
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.9050
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.9050
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.9000
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.9000
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.9000
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.9050
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9000
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.1000
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.0950
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.9050
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.9150
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.9185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.2700, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.0865
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.0865
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.9135
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.9135
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.0865
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0865
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.9135
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.9135
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.9135
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9135
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.9135
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.0865
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.0865
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.0865
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0865
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9505
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0455
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.9570
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.9570
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0765
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.0740
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.9260
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0965
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.0965
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0965
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0965
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0965
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.0965
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0965
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.9035
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.9030
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.7480
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.2520
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.7480
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.2520
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2520
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2520
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.2520
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.2520
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.2520
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.2520
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.7480
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.2520
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.2225
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.7930
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.1950
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.8165
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.1730
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.2455
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.2520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9925, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.7510
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.7625
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.7535
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.2300
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.4990
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.2910
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.0585
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.0585
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0550
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.5200
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.5220
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.5250
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.5275
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.5290
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.5500
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.5340
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.4380
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.4295
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.4245
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.4135
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.4090
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.6015
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.4940
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.5125
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.5735
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.5045
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.5090
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.5140
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.5245
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.5635
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.5690
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.5745
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.4200
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.5845
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.5050
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.5790
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.5890
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.5885
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.5625
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.5775
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.5820
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.4050
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.3970
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.4910
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.4525
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.5580
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.4210
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.4150
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.5895
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.3965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6475, Price range: 0.0015 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.5945
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.6020
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.3920
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.5460
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.5865
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.4025
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.4055
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.4430
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4185
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.4125
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.4005
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.5090
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.5180
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.4335
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.3695
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.4910
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.4720
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.5330
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.5600
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.5055
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.4710
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.3800
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.4955
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.5045
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.4955
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.5045
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.5045
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.4955
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.4955
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.4955
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.4955
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.4955
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.4935
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.5140
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.4955
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.4955
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.4895
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.5190
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.4935
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.4855
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.4815
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.4815
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.5185
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.5185
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.4815
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.4815
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.4815
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.5185
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.5185
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.5185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 2629.30, Sell volume: 780.95, Average price: 0.7824, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.4815
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.4815
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.4815
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.5185
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.5185
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.5185
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.4815
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.4815
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.4815
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.4815
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.5185
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.5185
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.4815
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.4815
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.4815
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.4815
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.5185
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.4815
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.4815
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.4815
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.4815
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.4815
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.5185
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.5185
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.5835
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.5890
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.5070
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.5230
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.5330
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.4590
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.5530
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.4400
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.4340
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.4200
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.5900
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.5955
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.4800
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.5320
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.4550
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.5525
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.4720
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.5320
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.5375
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.5555
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.4345
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.5700
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.5210
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.5285
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.4765
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.5340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 2629.30, Sell volume: 780.95, Average price: 0.7824, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.5775
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.5880
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.5985
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.5255
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.5355
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.4545
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.4435
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.5265
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.4760
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.4760
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.5045
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.4955
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.4955
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.4955
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.4955
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.4955
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.4955
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.4955
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.5045
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.4955
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.4955
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.4955
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.4955
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.4955
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.5045
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.4955
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.4955
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.5045
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.5045
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.5045
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.5045
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.4955
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.4700
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.4955
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.4700
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.4705
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.4700
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.4700
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.5300
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.5300
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.4955
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.5300
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.5045
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.5045
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.5100
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.5190
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.5190
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.4810
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.4770
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.5290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 2629.30, Sell volume: 780.95, Average price: 0.7824, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.4945
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.4940
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.4685
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.5300
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.4670
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.4945
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.5075
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.5305
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.5050
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.5345
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.5305
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.4600
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.5475
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.4865
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.4755
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.4735
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.4670
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.5300
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.4625
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.4500
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.4865
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.4790
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4715
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4555
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.5520
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.4685
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4630
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4570
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5345
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5455
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.2540
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.7455
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.7470
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.7460
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.7460
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7455
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.7450
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.2540
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.7460
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.5505
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.4500
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.5050
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.5110
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.5235
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.5005
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.4450
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.5215
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.5095
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.5265
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.5445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 2629.30, Sell volume: 780.95, Average price: 0.7824, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.4485
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.5485
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.5470
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.5550
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.5445
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.4350
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.4915
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.4340
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.4360
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.4265
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.4550
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.4545
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.4495
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.5445
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.5495
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.4370
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.5445
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.5450
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.5580
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.5485
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.5545
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.5490
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.4925
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.4510
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.5140
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.4520
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.4520
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.4510
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.5590
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.4515
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.4510
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.5485
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.5485
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.4515
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.5490
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.4515
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.4515
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.5485
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.5485
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.5485
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.4515
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.5500
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.5485
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.4515
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.5485
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.5485
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.4280
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.4330
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.4320
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.5615
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.4440
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.5500
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.4425
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.4485
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.5890
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.5675
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.4075
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.5920
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.4270
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.4265
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.5735
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.4265
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.4270
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.4270
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.5740
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0795
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.4260
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.4085
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.3940
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.6235
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.6350
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.3480
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.6840
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.7310
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.7600
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.7800
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.7870
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.7870
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.2130
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.6795
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.6795
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.7885
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.6795
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.3100
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.3150
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.3130
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.3085
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.3095
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.2960
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.4985
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.4945
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.4860
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.5490
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.5505
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.5690
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.5885
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.6605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 2629.30, Sell volume: 780.95, Average price: 0.7824, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.3350
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.2495
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.2445
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.7555
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.7555
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.2445
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.2445
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.2445
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.2445
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.7555
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.7555
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.7555
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.7555
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.7555
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.7555
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.2445
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.7555
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.2445
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.2445
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.2445
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.2445
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.2445
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.2445
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.4545
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.4520
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0855
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0855
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.4790
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0855
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.4955
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.4790
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.4955
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.4955
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.4955
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.4955
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.4775
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.85, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.5210
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9400
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.5300
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.5310
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.5305
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.5535
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9445
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.5625
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.5645
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.5695
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9445
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9445
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9445
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9445
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9445
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9445
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9445
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9445
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9445
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9445
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9445
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9445
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9445
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9445
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9445
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9445
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9445
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9445
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9445
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9545
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9545
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9545
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9545
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9545
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9545
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9545
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9545
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9545
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.6355
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9445
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9450
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9460
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9500
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 34.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0430
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0410
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0410
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0390
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.2130
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1970
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.1945
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1950
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.1745
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.1705
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.4755
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.3220
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.1280
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.1060
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0920
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0790
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0625
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0515
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0470
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0475
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0315
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0215
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0155
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0155
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0155
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0155
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0155
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0155
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0120
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0140
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0145
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 2567.97, Sell volume: 741.10, Average price: 0.7993, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2450
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 2629.30, Sell volume: 780.95, Average price: 0.7824, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.9050
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.9150
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.9150
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.9150
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.9100
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.9100
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.9100
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.9100
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.9050
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.9050
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.9050
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.9050
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.9050
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.9050
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.9050
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.9050
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.9050
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.9050
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.9050
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.9050
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.9000
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.9000
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.9000
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.1000
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9050
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.9185
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.2700, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.0865
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.9135
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.9135
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0865
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.9135
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.0865
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9135
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.9135
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0865
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.0515
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0430
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9260
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.9260
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0965
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0965
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0965
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0965
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.9030
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.7480
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.7480
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2520
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.2520
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.2520
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.2520
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.2520
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.2100
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.1890
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.8295
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.2520
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.7475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9925, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.7510
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.5010
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.2910
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.0585
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.4985
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.5230
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.5415
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.5500
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.4640
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.5730
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.4125
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.6015
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.5125
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.5765
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.5110
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.5245
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.5675
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.5870
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.5855
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.5790
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.5940
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.5655
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.5840
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.3970
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.5465
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.4245
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.4955
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.3965
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.4225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6475, Price range: 0.0015 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.5945
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.6060
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.5835
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.5990
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.4430
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.4140
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.5060
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.4805
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.3695
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.4730
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.5345
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.4725
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.3800
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.5045
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.5045
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.4955
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.4955
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.4955
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.4955
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.4870
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.4955
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.5140
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.4890
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.4815
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.5185
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.5185
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.5185
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.5185
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.5185
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.5185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 2629.30, Sell volume: 780.95, Average price: 0.7824, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.4815
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.4815
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.4815
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.5185
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.4815
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.5185
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.5185
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.4815
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.4815
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.4815
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.5185
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.4815
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.4815
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.5185
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.5860
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.4915
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.5330
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.5470
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.4350
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.4195
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.5955
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.4700
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.4585
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.5275
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.5375
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.5610
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.5810
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.4790
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.5340
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.5465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 2629.30, Sell volume: 780.95, Average price: 0.7824, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.5775
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.5975
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.5280
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.5465
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.5265
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.5240
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.4955
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.4955
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.4955
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.5045
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.5045
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.5045
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.4955
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.4955
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.5045
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.5045
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.5045
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.5045
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.4700
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.4700
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.4705
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.4700
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.5295
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.5045
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.5045
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.5090
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.5190
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.5190
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.5290
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.4925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 2629.30, Sell volume: 780.95, Average price: 0.7824, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.4945
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.4700
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.4700
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.4690
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.5305
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.5330
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.4655
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.4935
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.4755
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.4690
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.4660
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.4940
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.4790
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4670
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.5555
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.4610
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5345
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.2545
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.7455
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.2545
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7455
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.7455
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.5045
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.4455
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.5110
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.4520
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5120
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5150
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.5445
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.5515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 2629.30, Sell volume: 780.95, Average price: 0.7824, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.4485
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.5510
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.5585
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.4330
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.4340
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.4290
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.4525
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.4940
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.5495
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.5505
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.5535
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.5530
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.5490
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.5445
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.4490
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.4515
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.5590
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.4405
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.4505
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.4515
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.4515
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.5495
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.5495
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.5485
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.5485
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.4515
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.4515
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.5655
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.4500
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.4505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.5615
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.4495
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.4940
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.4020
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.4075
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.4270
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.5735
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.4265
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.4270
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.4270
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.4270
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.4055
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.6235
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.3520
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.2955
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.2380
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.7870
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.7870
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.7870
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.7880
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.3100
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.6835
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.3085
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.3075
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.4985
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.4940
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.5515
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.5725
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.6605
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.7060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 2629.30, Sell volume: 780.95, Average price: 0.7824, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.3350
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.2445
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.2445
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.7555
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.2445
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.2445
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.7555
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.7555
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.7555
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.7555
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.2445
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.2445
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.2445
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.4545
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.4545
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0855
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.4790
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.4770
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.4795
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.4955
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.4955
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0855
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.4955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.85, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.5210
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.5310
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.5505
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.5620
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.5650
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9445
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9445
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9445
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9445
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9445
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9445
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9445
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9445
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9445
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5280
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9445
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.5255
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9545
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9545
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9545
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9545
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9545
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.6380
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9445
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9495
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9545
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 34.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565785
Question: Will Jon Gruden win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3410.2495
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0430
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0410
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.2210
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.1955
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1950
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.1730
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.4380
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.1260
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0920
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0645
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0475
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0465
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0215
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0155
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0155
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0155
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0150
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0110
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 2567.97, Sell volume: 741.10, Average price: 0.7993, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.4950
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.2450
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 2467.00, Sell volume: 174.14, Average price: 0.8620, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 2467.00, Sell volume: 174.14, Average price: 0.8620, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.7550
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.7550
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.8400
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.8850
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.0700
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0305
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.7495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.4040, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.2520
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.2520
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.7480
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.2420
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.5175
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.6485
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.5025
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.4980
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.5000
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.4805
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.4820
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.5025
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.4870
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.4820
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.4805
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.4810
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.5190
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.5190
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.4790
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.5210
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.4790
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.5210
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.5195
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.4805
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.4430
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.5000
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.4315
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.4300
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.4220
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.4165
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.4140
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.4115
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.5900
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.3975
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.3950
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.3920
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.3900
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.3875
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.3845
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.6180
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.3790
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.6240
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.6270
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.3705
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.6320
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.6350
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.6380
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.3590
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.3565
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.3535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.4957, Price range: 0.0034 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.6595
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.6620
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.6650
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.6675
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.6705
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.3270
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.3240
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.3215
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.3185
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.3160
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.3135
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.3105
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.3080
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.6945
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.6970
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.6995
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.7020
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.2955
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.2930
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.2905
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.7115
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.2860
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.2860
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.7140
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.7140
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.7140
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.7140
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.7140
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.7140
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.7140
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.7140
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.2860
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.2855
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.2830
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.2805
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.2780
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.7250
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.7275
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.7325
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.7340
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.7340
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.2660
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.2660
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.7340
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.7340
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.2660
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.7340
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.2660
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.7340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 2467.00, Sell volume: 174.14, Average price: 0.8620, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.2660
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.2660
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.2660
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.2660
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.7340
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.7340
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.7340
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.7340
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.7340
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.7340
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.7340
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.7340
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.7340
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.7340
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.7340
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.7340
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.7340
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.2660
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.2660
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.2660
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.2660
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.2660
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.7340
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.2660
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.7345
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.7345
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.2655
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.2650
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.7350
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.2650
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.2650
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.7350
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.2645
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.7350
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.2645
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.7355
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.7355
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.2640
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.2645
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.2640
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.2645
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.2640
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.7355
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.7360
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.7355
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.2640
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.7355
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.2640
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.2645
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.7355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 2467.00, Sell volume: 174.14, Average price: 0.8620, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.2640
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.7355
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.7360
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.7365
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.2640
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.2635
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.2640
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.2640
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.7360
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.7360
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.2640
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.2640
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.2640
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.2640
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.2640
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.2640
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.2640
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.2640
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.2640
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.7360
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.2640
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.2640
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.2640
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.2640
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.7360
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.2640
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.7360
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.2640
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.7360
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.2640
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.7360
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.2640
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.7360
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.7360
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.7360
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.2640
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.7360
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.7360
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.2640
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.2640
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.7360
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.7360
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.2640
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.7360
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.2635
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.7360
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.7360
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.7360
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.2640
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.2640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 2467.00, Sell volume: 174.14, Average price: 0.8620, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.7360
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.7365
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.7365
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.2635
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.2635
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.7365
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.2635
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.2635
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.2635
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.2635
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.7365
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.7360
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.2635
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.7360
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.7355
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.7355
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.7360
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.2640
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.7355
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.7355
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.7360
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7360
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.7360
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.7360
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2640
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7360
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.2645
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.7360
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2645
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.2645
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.2640
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.7360
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.7355
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.7355
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.7360
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7360
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.7355
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.7355
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.2645
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.2640
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.7360
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.7360
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.2645
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.7355
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.7355
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.7360
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.7360
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.7355
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.7360
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.7360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 2467.00, Sell volume: 174.14, Average price: 0.8620, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.2645
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.2640
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.2640
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.2640
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.2640
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.2645
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.2645
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.2640
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.7360
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.7355
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.7360
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.7355
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.7360
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.2645
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.2640
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.7360
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.2640
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.2645
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.2645
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.2645
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.2640
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.7360
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.7355
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.2640
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.2645
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.7360
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.7355
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.2645
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.2645
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.7355
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.7355
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.2645
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.2645
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.2645
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.2645
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.2645
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.2645
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.7355
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.7355
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.7355
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.2645
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.7355
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.7355
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.7355
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.2645
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.2645
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.7355
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.2645
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.2645
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.7355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.2645
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.7355
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.2645
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.2645
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.2645
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.7355
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.7355
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.7355
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.2645
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.7355
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.7355
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.2645
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.7355
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.7355
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.2645
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.2645
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0805
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0805
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0805
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0805
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.9195
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0805
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0805
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9195
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0805
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0805
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9195
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0805
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9195
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0805
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0805
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0805
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9195
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0805
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0805
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0805
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0805
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9195
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.0805
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0805
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0805
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9195
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9195
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9195
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9195
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0805
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9195
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9195
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0805
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 2467.00, Sell volume: 174.14, Average price: 0.8620, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9205
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9205
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9205
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9205
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0795
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9210
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9210
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9210
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9210
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0790
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9215
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9215
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9220
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9225
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9225
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9230
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0765
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0765
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0765
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0765
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0765
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0765
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0765
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0765
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0765
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0765
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0765
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0765
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0765
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0765
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0765
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0765
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0765
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0765
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0765
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0765
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0765
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0765
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0765
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0765
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0765
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0765
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0765
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0765
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0765
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0765
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0765
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0765
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0765
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.85, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9235
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9235
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9235
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9235
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9235
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9235
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9235
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9235
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9235
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9235
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9235
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9235
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9235
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9235
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9235
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9445
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9495
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9495
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9495
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9495
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9495
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9495
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9495
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9495
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9495
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9495
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9495
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9495
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9495
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9495
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9495
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9495
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9495
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.5480
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9495
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9455
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.5495
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8260
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8300
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.5515
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.8280
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8320
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.5585
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.5550
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.5555
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.8155
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.5370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 34.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.2155
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1940
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1795
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1480
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1480
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.1480
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1480
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.1375
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.1375
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.1640
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.1575
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.1410
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.1315
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.1280
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1205
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1160
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.1145
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.1640
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.1125
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.1065
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.1060
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.1060
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.1035
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.1010
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.1010
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0870
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0175
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0115
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0145
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0105
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0155
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0155
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 2415.66, Sell volume: 119.29, Average price: 0.9062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.2450
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2450
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 2467.00, Sell volume: 174.14, Average price: 0.8620, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 2467.00, Sell volume: 174.14, Average price: 0.8620, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.2450
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.8300
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9100
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0290
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.7495
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.2515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.4040, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.2520
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.2515
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.5175
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.3515
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.4980
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.5000
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.5005
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.5015
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.4805
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.4810
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.5190
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.5210
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.5210
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.5000
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.4420
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.4315
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.4220
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.4145
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.4035
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.3970
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.3920
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.3880
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.3830
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.3780
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.6270
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.6315
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.6365
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.3585
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.3535
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.3485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.4957, Price range: 0.0034 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.6595
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.6640
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.3310
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.3260
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.3215
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.6835
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.3120
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.3075
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.6970
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.7010
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.2940
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.2900
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.2860
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.2860
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.7140
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.7140
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.7140
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.7140
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.2860
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.2825
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.2780
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.2735
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.7310
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.7340
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.2660
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.2660
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.2660
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.7340
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.7340
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.7340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 2467.00, Sell volume: 174.14, Average price: 0.8620, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.2660
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.7340
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.2660
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.7340
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.7340
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.7340
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.7340
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.7340
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.7340
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.7340
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.2660
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.2660
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.2660
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.2660
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.2660
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.2655
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.7350
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.2645
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.7350
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.2650
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.7355
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.7355
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.7360
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.2640
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.7355
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.7360
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.7355
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.7355
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.7355
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.2645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 2467.00, Sell volume: 174.14, Average price: 0.8620, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.2640
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.2640
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.7360
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.7360
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.2640
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.2640
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.7360
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.2640
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.2640
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.7360
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.7360
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.2640
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.2640
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.2640
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.7360
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.2640
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.7360
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.2640
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.2640
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.2640
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.2640
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.7360
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.2640
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.2640
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.2640
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.7365
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.7360
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.7360
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.2640
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.2635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 2467.00, Sell volume: 174.14, Average price: 0.8620, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.7360
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.2635
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.2640
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.2640
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.2635
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.7360
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.7365
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.2645
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.7355
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.7360
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.7355
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.7355
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7360
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7360
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.7360
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.7360
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2645
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.7360
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.7355
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.7360
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7360
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.7360
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.7355
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.7355
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.2645
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.7360
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.2640
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.7360
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.7360
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.7360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 2467.00, Sell volume: 174.14, Average price: 0.8620, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.2645
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.2640
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.2640
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.7360
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.2640
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.7360
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.7355
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.7355
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.2640
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.2640
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.2640
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.2640
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.7360
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.7355
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.2640
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.7355
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.2645
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.7355
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.2645
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.2645
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.2645
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.2645
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.2645
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.2645
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.7355
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.7355
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.7355
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.2645
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.7355
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.2645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.2645
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.7355
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.2645
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.7355
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.7355
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.7355
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.2645
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.7355
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.2645
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.2645
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.0805
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9195
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0805
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9195
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0805
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9195
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9195
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0805
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9195
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0805
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0805
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9195
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.0805
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0805
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9195
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9195
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9195
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0805
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0805
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 2467.00, Sell volume: 174.14, Average price: 0.8620, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9205
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9205
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9205
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9210
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9210
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9210
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0785
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9220
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9225
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0765
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0765
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0765
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0765
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0765
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0765
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0765
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0765
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0765
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0765
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0765
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0765
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0765
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0765
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0765
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0765
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0765
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0765
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0765
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0765
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.85, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9235
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9235
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9235
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9235
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9235
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9235
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9235
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9235
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9235
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9495
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9495
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9495
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9495
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9495
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9495
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9495
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9495
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9495
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9495
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.5515
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9455
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8275
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.5515
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.8320
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8285
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.8155
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.5370
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 34.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565771
Question: Will Gabby Golf Girl win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2641.136636
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.2155
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.1800
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1610
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.1480
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1480
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.1375
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.1640
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.1395
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.1315
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.1220
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.1155
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.1145
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.1065
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.1060
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.1010
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0995
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0175
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0155
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0115
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0125
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0155
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 2415.66, Sell volume: 119.29, Average price: 0.9062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565772
Question: Will Josh Richards win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3173.471039
Price History:
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.4950
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105, Buy volume: 2815.65, Sell volume: 357.82, Average price: 0.8746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565772
Question: Will Josh Richards win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3173.471039
Price History:
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105, Buy volume: 2815.65, Sell volume: 357.82, Average price: 0.8746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565772
Question: Will Josh Richards win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3173.471039
Price History:
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.2450
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.0500
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9450
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0500
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.2300
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.1550
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.8900
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.0650
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0345
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.7495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565772
Question: Will Josh Richards win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3173.471039
Price History:
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.7480
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.7480
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.2510
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.7580
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.5020
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.3860
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.5180
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.3095
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.5005
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.3020
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.3030
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.6970
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.3030
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.3030
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.5205
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.4810
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.5190
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.5190
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.5190
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.5190
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.5190
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.4810
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.5190
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.4810
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.4545
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.5000
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.5030
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.5740
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.4180
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.5880
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.5925
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.5950
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.3975
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.6050
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.6075
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.6105
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.3875
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.6150
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.6180
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.6205
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.6235
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.6265
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.6295
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.3680
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.6345
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.6375
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.6405
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.3565
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.6460
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.6490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.4761, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9510

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565772
Question: Will Josh Richards win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3173.471039
Price History:
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.6620
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.6645
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.3325
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.6700
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.6730
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.6755
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.6785
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.3190
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.3160
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.6865
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.6890
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.6920
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.6945
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.6970
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.6995
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.7020
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.7045
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.2930
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.7095
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.2880
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.7140
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.2835
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.7165
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.2835
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.2835
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.2835
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.2835
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.7165
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.7165
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.2835
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.2835
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.7165
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.7170
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.7195
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.7220
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.7245
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.2725
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.7325
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.7350
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.2635
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.2635
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.7365
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.7365
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.2635
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.2635
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.2635
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.2635
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.2635
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.2635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105, Buy volume: 2815.65, Sell volume: 357.82, Average price: 0.8746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565772
Question: Will Josh Richards win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3173.471039
Price History:
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.2730
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.2730
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.2635
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.2680
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.2680
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.7320
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.7220
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.7220
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.5895
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.5005
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.4995
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.5005
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.5000
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.5000
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.5000
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.5000
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.6445
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.6445
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.5000
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.6445
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.6445
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.6445
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.5000
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.5870
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.6460
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.6440
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.7110
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.7095
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.3135
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.6865
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.6865
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.3130
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.6865
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.6875
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.4980
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.6865
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.3125
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.5225
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.5025
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.5225
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.3130
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.6895
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.3140
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.3135
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.6860
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.6865
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.4770
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.4795
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.6865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 13.90, Sell volume: 1.90, Average price: 0.3670, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.5260

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565772
Question: Will Josh Richards win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3173.471039
Price History:
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.3130
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.3135
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.5020
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.6870
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.6865
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.3135
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.6870
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.3135
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.5230
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.5230
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.5230
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.4770
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.4770
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.4770
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.4770
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.4770
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.5230
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.4770
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.5230
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.5230
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.4770
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.4770
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.4770
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.4770
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.4770
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.4770
2025-09-17 14:00: 0.5230
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.4770
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.4735
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.4770
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.4770
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.4770
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.4985
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.5230
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.5230
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.4770
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.5235
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.5235
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.5265
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.5715
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.4285
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.5235
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.5235
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.5235
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.5230
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.5230
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.5235
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.5235
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.5230
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.5230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565772
Question: Will Josh Richards win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3173.471039
Price History:
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.5270
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.4770
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.5265
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.4735
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.4730
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.5265
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.4770
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.5230
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.5230
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.5265
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.4770
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.4770
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.5230
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.5235
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.5230
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.5235
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.4770
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.5235
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.4770
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.4770
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.4765
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.4770
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4765
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5005
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5000
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.5505
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.5505
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.5505
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5005
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5005
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.4995
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.4995
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.4750
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.4740
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.5245
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.5005
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.4755
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.5000
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.5000
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.4745
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.4755
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.5005
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.4905
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.4915
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.4755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105, Buy volume: 2815.65, Sell volume: 357.82, Average price: 0.8746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No