Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.5750
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.5600
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.8650
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.8600
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.8650
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.8650
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.8650
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.8650
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.8700
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9000
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9000
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.6750
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.6650
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.6650
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.6600
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.8750
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.8800
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.8750
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.8850
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.8850
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9050
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.7050
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.7050
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.6800
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.7100
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.7050
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.7050
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7200
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.7200
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.7200
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.7200
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.6350
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.6350
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.6350
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.6700
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.6350
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.6400
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.6900
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.6350
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.6800
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.6400
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.6350
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.6400
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.8500
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.8600
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.8600
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.8600
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3.23, Sell volume: 93.63, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9400
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9400
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 2004.60, Sell volume: 152.71, Average price: 0.3679, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.8500
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.8200
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.8150
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8150
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.8150
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.8650
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.8650
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.8600
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.8600
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.8300
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.8300
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.8150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.8150
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.8150
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.8150
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.8150
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.8300
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.8300
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.8300
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.8350
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.8350
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9450
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9300
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2084.06, Sell volume: 410.00, Average price: 0.5268, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9700
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9725
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.8945
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9170
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.8945
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9100
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9140
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9145
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9145
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9145
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9145
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9145
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9145
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9145
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9145
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9140
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9140
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9145
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9145
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9145
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9140
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9140
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9450
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9545
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9505
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9590
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9610
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9600
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9365
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9360
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9480
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9475
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9465
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1115.72, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.6053, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9610
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9605
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9690
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9700
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9695
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9705
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9705
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9705
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9705
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9700
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9690
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9685
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9700
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9695
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9695
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9690
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9695
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9695
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9695
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9700
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9700
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9700
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9700
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9695
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9695
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9690
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9700
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9695
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9695
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9685
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9675
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9690
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9690
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9665
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9665
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9660
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9675
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9695
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9665
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9670
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9685
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9680
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9680
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9680
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9680
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9715
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9715
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9710
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.9705
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 112.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5175, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.9860

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9695
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9795
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9820
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9820
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9830
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9840
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9820
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9815
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9740
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9735
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9735
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9735
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9735
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9735
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9735
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9780
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9780
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9795
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9795
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9795
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9795
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9850
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9850
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9850
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9850
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9850
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9850
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9835
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9760
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9770
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9755
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9755
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9750
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9765
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9765
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9755
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9790
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9840
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9885
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9905
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 2642.61, Sell volume: 2736.02, Average price: 0.9347, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9895
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9915
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9910
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9910
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9910
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9910
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9910
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9905
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9930
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 300, Buy volume: 30190.08, Sell volume: 120246.01, Average price: 0.0412, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-04-12 17:00: 0.8850
2024-04-13 00:00: 0.0950
2024-04-13 08:00: 0.9050
2024-04-13 15:00: 0.0950
2024-04-13 23:00: 0.9000
2024-04-14 06:00: 0.1000
2024-04-14 14:00: 0.9000
2024-04-14 21:00: 0.1000
2024-04-15 05:00: 0.9000
2024-04-15 12:00: 0.1000
2024-04-15 20:00: 0.9000
2024-04-16 03:00: 0.1000
2024-04-16 11:00: 0.9000
2024-04-16 18:00: 0.1000
2024-04-17 02:00: 0.9000
2024-04-17 09:00: 0.1000
2024-04-17 17:00: 0.9000
2024-04-18 00:00: 0.1000
2024-04-18 08:00: 0.9000
2024-04-18 15:00: 0.1000
2024-04-18 23:00: 0.9000
2024-04-19 06:00: 0.1000
2024-04-19 14:00: 0.9000
2024-04-19 21:00: 0.1000
2024-04-20 05:00: 0.9000
2024-04-20 12:00: 0.1000
2024-04-20 20:00: 0.9000
2024-04-21 03:00: 0.1000
2024-04-21 11:00: 0.9000
2024-04-21 18:00: 0.1000
2024-04-22 02:00: 0.9050
2024-04-22 09:00: 0.0950
2024-04-22 17:00: 0.9050
2024-04-23 00:00: 0.0950
2024-04-23 08:00: 0.9050
2024-04-23 15:00: 0.0950
2024-04-23 23:00: 0.9050
2024-04-24 06:00: 0.0950
2024-04-24 14:00: 0.9050
2024-04-24 21:00: 0.0950
2024-04-25 05:00: 0.9050
2024-04-25 12:00: 0.0950
2024-04-25 20:00: 0.9050
2024-04-26 03:00: 0.0950
2024-04-26 11:00: 0.9050
2024-04-26 18:00: 0.0950
2024-04-27 02:00: 0.9050
2024-04-27 09:00: 0.0950
2024-04-27 17:00: 0.9050
2024-04-28 00:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-04-28 17:00: 0.0950
2024-04-29 01:00: 0.9050
2024-04-29 08:00: 0.0950
2024-04-29 16:00: 0.9050
2024-04-29 23:00: 0.0950
2024-04-30 07:00: 0.9050
2024-04-30 14:00: 0.0950
2024-04-30 22:00: 0.9050
2024-05-01 05:00: 0.0950
2024-05-01 13:00: 0.9050
2024-05-01 21:00: 0.0950
2024-05-02 05:00: 0.9050
2024-05-02 12:00: 0.0950
2024-05-02 20:00: 0.9050
2024-05-03 03:00: 0.0950
2024-05-03 11:00: 0.9050
2024-05-03 18:00: 0.0950
2024-05-04 02:00: 0.9050
2024-05-04 09:00: 0.0950
2024-05-04 17:00: 0.9050
2024-05-05 00:00: 0.0950
2024-05-05 08:00: 0.9050
2024-05-05 15:00: 0.0950
2024-05-05 23:00: 0.9050
2024-05-06 06:00: 0.0950
2024-05-06 14:00: 0.9050
2024-05-06 21:00: 0.0950
2024-05-07 05:00: 0.9050
2024-05-07 12:00: 0.0950
2024-05-07 20:00: 0.9050
2024-05-08 03:00: 0.0950
2024-05-08 11:00: 0.9050
2024-05-08 18:00: 0.0950
2024-05-09 02:00: 0.9050
2024-05-09 09:00: 0.0950
2024-05-09 17:00: 0.9050
2024-05-10 00:00: 0.0950
2024-05-10 08:00: 0.9050
2024-05-10 15:00: 0.0950
2024-05-10 23:00: 0.9050
2024-05-11 06:00: 0.0950
2024-05-11 14:00: 0.9050
2024-05-11 21:00: 0.0950
2024-05-12 05:00: 0.9050
2024-05-12 12:00: 0.0950
2024-05-12 20:00: 0.9050
2024-05-13 03:00: 0.0950
2024-05-13 11:00: 0.9050
2024-05-13 18:00: 0.0950
2024-05-14 02:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-05-14 19:00: 0.9050
2024-05-15 02:00: 0.0950
2024-05-15 10:00: 0.9050
2024-05-15 17:00: 0.0950
2024-05-16 01:00: 0.9050
2024-05-16 08:00: 0.0950
2024-05-16 16:00: 0.9050
2024-05-16 23:00: 0.0950
2024-05-17 07:00: 0.9050
2024-05-17 14:00: 0.0950
2024-05-17 22:00: 0.9050
2024-05-18 05:00: 0.0950
2024-05-18 13:00: 0.9050
2024-05-18 20:00: 0.0950
2024-05-19 04:00: 0.9050
2024-05-19 11:00: 0.0950
2024-05-19 19:00: 0.9050
2024-05-20 02:00: 0.0950
2024-05-20 10:00: 0.9050
2024-05-20 17:00: 0.0950
2024-05-21 01:00: 0.9050
2024-05-21 08:00: 0.0950
2024-05-21 16:00: 0.9050
2024-05-21 23:00: 0.0950
2024-05-22 07:00: 0.9050
2024-05-22 14:00: 0.0950
2024-05-22 22:00: 0.9050
2024-05-23 05:00: 0.0950
2024-05-23 13:00: 0.9050
2024-05-23 20:00: 0.0950
2024-05-24 04:00: 0.9050
2024-05-24 11:00: 0.0950
2024-05-24 19:00: 0.9050
2024-05-25 02:00: 0.0950
2024-05-25 10:00: 0.9050
2024-05-25 17:00: 0.0950
2024-05-26 01:00: 0.9050
2024-05-26 08:00: 0.0950
2024-05-26 16:00: 0.9050
2024-05-26 23:00: 0.0950
2024-05-27 07:00: 0.9050
2024-05-27 14:00: 0.0950
2024-05-27 22:00: 0.9050
2024-05-28 05:00: 0.0950
2024-05-28 13:00: 0.9050
2024-05-28 20:00: 0.0950
2024-05-29 04:00: 0.9050
2024-05-29 11:00: 0.0950
2024-05-29 19:00: 0.9050
2024-05-30 02:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-05-30 19:00: 0.0950
2024-05-31 03:00: 0.9050
2024-05-31 10:00: 0.0950
2024-05-31 18:00: 0.9050
2024-06-01 01:00: 0.0950
2024-06-01 09:00: 0.9050
2024-06-01 16:00: 0.0950
2024-06-02 00:00: 0.9050
2024-06-02 07:00: 0.0950
2024-06-02 15:00: 0.9050
2024-06-02 22:00: 0.0950
2024-06-03 06:00: 0.9050
2024-06-03 13:00: 0.0950
2024-06-03 21:00: 0.9050
2024-06-04 04:00: 0.0950
2024-06-04 12:00: 0.9050
2024-06-04 19:00: 0.0950
2024-06-05 03:00: 0.9050
2024-06-05 10:00: 0.0950
2024-06-05 18:00: 0.9050
2024-06-06 01:00: 0.0950
2024-06-06 09:00: 0.9050
2024-06-06 16:00: 0.0950
2024-06-07 00:00: 0.9050
2024-06-07 07:00: 0.0950
2024-06-07 15:00: 0.9050
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.0950
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.9050
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.0950
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.9050
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.0950
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.9050
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.0950
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.9050
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.0950
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.9050
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.0950
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.9050
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.0950
2024-06-12 00:00: 0.9050
2024-06-12 07:00: 0.0950
2024-06-12 15:00: 0.9050
2024-06-12 22:00: 0.0950
2024-06-13 06:00: 0.9050
2024-06-13 13:00: 0.0950
2024-06-13 21:00: 0.9050
2024-06-14 04:00: 0.0950
2024-06-14 12:00: 0.9050
2024-06-14 19:00: 0.0950
2024-06-15 03:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-06-15 20:00: 0.9050
2024-06-16 03:00: 0.0950
2024-06-16 11:00: 0.9050
2024-06-16 18:00: 0.0950
2024-06-17 02:00: 0.9050
2024-06-17 09:00: 0.0950
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.9050
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.0950
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.9050
2024-06-18 15:00: 0.0950
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.9050
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.0950
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.9050
2024-06-19 21:00: 0.0950
2024-06-20 05:00: 0.9050
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.0950
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.9050
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.0950
2024-06-21 11:00: 0.9050
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 17:00: 0.9050
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.0950
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.9050
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.0950
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.9050
2024-06-24 06:00: 0.0950
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.9050
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.0950
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.9050
2024-06-25 12:00: 0.0950
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.9050
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.0950
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.9050
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.0950
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.9050
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.0950
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.9050
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.0950
2024-06-28 08:00: 0.9050
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.0950
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.9050
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.0950
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.9050
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.0950
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.9050
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.0950
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.9050
2024-07-01 03:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.0950
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.9050
2024-07-02 11:00: 0.0950
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.9050
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.0950
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.9050
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.0950
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.9050
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.0900
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.9100
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.0900
2024-07-05 07:00: 0.9100
2024-07-05 14:00: 0.0900
2024-07-05 22:00: 0.9100
2024-07-06 05:00: 0.0900
2024-07-06 13:00: 0.9100
2024-07-06 20:00: 0.0900
2024-07-07 04:00: 0.9100
2024-07-07 11:00: 0.0900
2024-07-07 19:00: 0.9100
2024-07-08 02:00: 0.0900
2024-07-08 10:00: 0.9100
2024-07-08 17:00: 0.0900
2024-07-09 01:00: 0.9050
2024-07-09 08:00: 0.0950
2024-07-09 16:00: 0.9050
2024-07-09 23:00: 0.0950
2024-07-10 07:00: 0.9050
2024-07-10 14:00: 0.0950
2024-07-10 22:00: 0.9100
2024-07-11 05:00: 0.0900
2024-07-11 13:00: 0.9100
2024-07-11 20:00: 0.0900
2024-07-12 04:00: 0.9100
2024-07-12 11:00: 0.0900
2024-07-12 19:00: 0.9100
2024-07-13 02:00: 0.0900
2024-07-13 10:00: 0.9100
2024-07-13 17:00: 0.0450
2024-07-14 01:00: 0.9600
2024-07-14 08:00: 0.0450
2024-07-14 16:00: 0.9550
2024-07-14 23:00: 0.0450
2024-07-15 07:00: 0.9500
2024-07-15 14:00: 0.0500
2024-07-15 22:00: 0.9450
2024-07-16 05:00: 0.0350
2024-07-16 13:00: 0.9650
2024-07-16 20:00: 0.0350
2024-07-17 04:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-07-17 21:00: 0.9655
2024-07-18 04:00: 0.0345
2024-07-18 12:00: 0.9650
2024-07-18 19:00: 0.0350
2024-07-19 03:00: 0.9650
2024-07-19 10:00: 0.0350
2024-07-19 18:00: 0.9650
2024-07-20 01:00: 0.0350
2024-07-20 09:00: 0.9650
2024-07-20 16:00: 0.0350
2024-07-21 00:00: 0.9650
2024-07-21 07:00: 0.0350
2024-07-21 16:00: 0.9700
2024-07-21 23:00: 0.0300
2024-07-22 07:00: 0.9700
2024-07-22 14:00: 0.0305
2024-07-22 22:00: 0.9695
2024-07-23 05:00: 0.0300
2024-07-23 13:00: 0.9700
2024-07-23 20:00: 0.0310
2024-07-24 04:00: 0.9690
2024-07-24 11:00: 0.0305
2024-07-24 19:00: 0.9690
2024-07-25 02:00: 0.0325
2024-07-25 10:00: 0.9675
2024-07-25 17:00: 0.0320
2024-07-26 01:00: 0.9680
2024-07-26 08:00: 0.0315
2024-07-26 16:00: 0.9685
2024-07-26 23:00: 0.0320
2024-07-27 07:00: 0.9680
2024-07-27 14:00: 0.0315
2024-07-27 22:00: 0.9685
2024-07-28 05:00: 0.0315
2024-07-28 13:00: 0.9685
2024-07-28 20:00: 0.0320
2024-07-29 04:00: 0.9680
2024-07-29 11:00: 0.0320
2024-07-29 19:00: 0.9680
2024-07-30 02:00: 0.0325
2024-07-30 10:00: 0.9675
2024-07-30 17:00: 0.0330
2024-07-31 01:00: 0.9585
2024-07-31 08:00: 0.0410
2024-07-31 16:00: 0.9595
2024-07-31 23:00: 0.0400
2024-08-01 07:00: 0.9530
2024-08-01 14:00: 0.0470
2024-08-01 22:00: 0.9520
2024-08-02 05:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-08-02 22:00: 0.0480
2024-08-03 06:00: 0.9520
2024-08-03 13:00: 0.0480
2024-08-03 21:00: 0.9515
2024-08-04 04:00: 0.0495
2024-08-04 12:00: 0.9505
2024-08-04 19:00: 0.0495
2024-08-05 03:00: 0.9400
2024-08-05 10:00: 0.0600
2024-08-05 18:00: 0.9405
2024-08-06 01:00: 0.0595
2024-08-06 09:00: 0.9425
2024-08-06 16:00: 0.0460
2024-08-07 00:00: 0.9560
2024-08-07 07:00: 0.0440
2024-08-07 15:00: 0.9570
2024-08-07 22:00: 0.0390
2024-08-08 06:00: 0.9610
2024-08-08 13:00: 0.0395
2024-08-08 21:00: 0.9695
2024-08-09 04:00: 0.0295
2024-08-09 12:00: 0.9665
2024-08-09 19:00: 0.0295
2024-08-10 03:00: 0.9655
2024-08-10 10:00: 0.0340
2024-08-10 18:00: 0.9615
2024-08-11 01:00: 0.0375
2024-08-11 09:00: 0.9610
2024-08-11 16:00: 0.0315
2024-08-12 00:00: 0.9615
2024-08-12 07:00: 0.0230
2024-08-12 15:00: 0.9715
2024-08-12 22:00: 0.0330
2024-08-13 06:00: 0.9750
2024-08-13 13:00: 0.0245
2024-08-13 21:00: 0.9815
2024-08-14 04:00: 0.0275
2024-08-14 12:00: 0.9725
2024-08-14 19:00: 0.0250
2024-08-15 03:00: 0.9750
2024-08-15 10:00: 0.0210
2024-08-15 18:00: 0.9725
2024-08-16 01:00: 0.0270
2024-08-16 09:00: 0.9790
2024-08-16 16:00: 0.0265
2024-08-17 00:00: 0.9715
2024-08-17 07:00: 0.0290
2024-08-17 15:00: 0.9705
2024-08-17 22:00: 0.0295
2024-08-18 06:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-08-18 23:00: 0.9715
2024-08-19 06:00: 0.0285
2024-08-19 14:00: 0.9715
2024-08-19 21:00: 0.0280
2024-08-20 05:00: 0.9720
2024-08-20 12:00: 0.0285
2024-08-20 20:00: 0.9715
2024-08-21 03:00: 0.0285
2024-08-21 11:00: 0.9720
2024-08-21 18:00: 0.0280
2024-08-22 02:00: 0.9720
2024-08-22 09:00: 0.0280
2024-08-22 17:00: 0.9715
2024-08-23 00:00: 0.0285
2024-08-23 08:00: 0.9715
2024-08-23 15:00: 0.0285
2024-08-23 23:00: 0.9715
2024-08-24 06:00: 0.0285
2024-08-24 14:00: 0.9720
2024-08-24 21:00: 0.0285
2024-08-25 05:00: 0.9715
2024-08-25 12:00: 0.0280
2024-08-25 20:00: 0.9720
2024-08-26 03:00: 0.0285
2024-08-26 11:00: 0.9720
2024-08-26 18:00: 0.0285
2024-08-27 02:00: 0.9715
2024-08-27 09:00: 0.0285
2024-08-27 17:00: 0.9720
2024-08-28 00:00: 0.0285
2024-08-28 08:00: 0.9715
2024-08-28 15:00: 0.0285
2024-08-28 23:00: 0.9715
2024-08-29 06:00: 0.0285
2024-08-29 14:00: 0.9715
2024-08-29 21:00: 0.0355
2024-08-30 05:00: 0.9645
2024-08-30 12:00: 0.0355
2024-08-30 20:00: 0.9645
2024-08-31 03:00: 0.0355
2024-08-31 11:00: 0.9645
2024-08-31 18:00: 0.0355
2024-09-01 02:00: 0.9715
2024-09-01 09:00: 0.0350
2024-09-01 17:00: 0.9710
2024-09-02 00:00: 0.0290
2024-09-02 08:00: 0.9655
2024-09-02 15:00: 0.0345
2024-09-02 23:00: 0.9655
2024-09-03 06:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-09-03 23:00: 0.0220
2024-09-04 07:00: 0.9655
2024-09-04 14:00: 0.0345
2024-09-04 22:00: 0.9655
2024-09-05 05:00: 0.0295
2024-09-05 13:00: 0.9700
2024-09-05 20:00: 0.0300
2024-09-06 04:00: 0.9700
2024-09-06 11:00: 0.0300
2024-09-06 19:00: 0.9680
2024-09-07 02:00: 0.0325
2024-09-07 10:00: 0.9675
2024-09-07 17:00: 0.0325
2024-09-08 01:00: 0.9675
2024-09-08 08:00: 0.0325
2024-09-08 16:00: 0.9720
2024-09-08 23:00: 0.0280
2024-09-09 07:00: 0.9720
2024-09-09 14:00: 0.0280
2024-09-09 22:00: 0.9720
2024-09-10 05:00: 0.0280
2024-09-10 13:00: 0.9720
2024-09-10 20:00: 0.0280
2024-09-11 04:00: 0.9720
2024-09-11 11:00: 0.0280
2024-09-11 19:00: 0.9720
2024-09-12 02:00: 0.0280
2024-09-12 10:00: 0.9720
2024-09-12 17:00: 0.0280
2024-09-13 01:00: 0.9720
2024-09-13 08:00: 0.0280
2024-09-13 16:00: 0.9720
2024-09-13 23:00: 0.0280
2024-09-14 07:00: 0.9720
2024-09-14 14:00: 0.0280
2024-09-14 22:00: 0.9720
2024-09-15 05:00: 0.0280
2024-09-15 13:00: 0.9720
2024-09-15 20:00: 0.0280
2024-09-16 04:00: 0.9720
2024-09-16 11:00: 0.0280
2024-09-16 19:00: 0.9715
2024-09-17 02:00: 0.0285
2024-09-17 10:00: 0.9715
2024-09-17 17:00: 0.0285
2024-09-18 01:00: 0.9715
2024-09-18 08:00: 0.0285
2024-09-18 16:00: 0.9710
2024-09-18 23:00: 0.0290
2024-09-19 07:00: 0.9710
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-09-20 00:00: 0.9710
2024-09-20 07:00: 0.0300
2024-09-20 15:00: 0.9705
2024-09-20 22:00: 0.0295
2024-09-21 06:00: 0.9705
2024-09-21 13:00: 0.0295
2024-09-21 21:00: 0.9705
2024-09-22 04:00: 0.0295
2024-09-22 12:00: 0.9705
2024-09-22 19:00: 0.0295
2024-09-23 03:00: 0.9705
2024-09-23 10:00: 0.0295
2024-09-23 18:00: 0.9705
2024-09-24 01:00: 0.0295
2024-09-24 09:00: 0.9705
2024-09-24 16:00: 0.0295
2024-09-25 00:00: 0.9705
2024-09-25 07:00: 0.0295
2024-09-25 15:00: 0.9705
2024-09-25 22:00: 0.0295
2024-09-26 06:00: 0.9705
2024-09-26 13:00: 0.0295
2024-09-26 21:00: 0.9705
2024-09-27 04:00: 0.0295
2024-09-27 12:00: 0.9705
2024-09-27 19:00: 0.0295
2024-09-28 03:00: 0.9670
2024-09-28 10:00: 0.0295
2024-09-28 18:00: 0.9715
2024-09-29 01:00: 0.0285
2024-09-29 09:00: 0.9720
2024-09-29 16:00: 0.0285
2024-09-30 00:00: 0.9710
2024-09-30 07:00: 0.0285
2024-09-30 15:00: 0.9715
2024-09-30 22:00: 0.0285
2024-10-01 06:00: 0.9715
2024-10-01 13:00: 0.0280
2024-10-01 21:00: 0.9720
2024-10-02 04:00: 0.0280
2024-10-02 11:00: 0.9720
2024-10-02 18:00: 0.0280
2024-10-03 02:00: 0.9720
2024-10-03 09:00: 0.0280
2024-10-03 17:00: 0.9720
2024-10-04 00:00: 0.0280
2024-10-04 08:00: 0.9720
2024-10-04 15:00: 0.0280
2024-10-04 23:00: 0.9725
2024-10-05 06:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-10-05 23:00: 0.0275
2024-10-06 07:00: 0.9725
2024-10-06 14:00: 0.0275
2024-10-06 22:00: 0.9715
2024-10-07 05:00: 0.0285
2024-10-07 13:00: 0.9740
2024-10-07 20:00: 0.0250
2024-10-08 04:00: 0.9760
2024-10-08 11:00: 0.0240
2024-10-08 19:00: 0.9770
2024-10-09 02:00: 0.0230
2024-10-09 10:00: 0.9770
2024-10-09 17:00: 0.0230
2024-10-10 01:00: 0.9770
2024-10-10 08:00: 0.0230
2024-10-10 16:00: 0.9770
2024-10-10 23:00: 0.0230
2024-10-11 07:00: 0.9770
2024-10-11 14:00: 0.0230
2024-10-11 22:00: 0.9770
2024-10-12 05:00: 0.0230
2024-10-12 13:00: 0.9770
2024-10-12 20:00: 0.0245
2024-10-13 04:00: 0.9760
2024-10-13 11:00: 0.0240
2024-10-13 19:00: 0.9760
2024-10-14 02:00: 0.0240
2024-10-14 10:00: 0.9760
2024-10-14 17:00: 0.0230
2024-10-15 01:00: 0.9775
2024-10-15 08:00: 0.0225
2024-10-15 16:00: 0.9775
2024-10-15 23:00: 0.0225
2024-10-16 07:00: 0.9780
2024-10-16 14:00: 0.0225
2024-10-16 22:00: 0.7505
2024-10-17 05:00: 0.2450
2024-10-17 13:00: 0.9395
2024-10-17 20:00: 0.0310
2024-10-18 04:00: 0.9705
2024-10-18 11:00: 0.0290
2024-10-18 19:00: 0.9715
2024-10-19 02:00: 0.0295
2024-10-19 10:00: 0.9700
2024-10-19 17:00: 0.0275
2024-10-20 01:00: 0.9725
2024-10-20 08:00: 0.0250
2024-10-20 16:00: 0.9750
2024-10-20 23:00: 0.0250
2024-10-21 07:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-10-22 00:00: 0.9750
2024-10-22 07:00: 0.0250
2024-10-22 15:00: 0.9750
2024-10-22 22:00: 0.0250
2024-10-23 06:00: 0.9750
2024-10-23 13:00: 0.0250
2024-10-23 21:00: 0.9750
2024-10-24 04:00: 0.0250
2024-10-24 12:00: 0.9750
2024-10-24 19:00: 0.0250
2024-10-25 03:00: 0.9750
2024-10-25 10:00: 0.0245
2024-10-25 18:00: 0.9755
2024-10-26 01:00: 0.0245
2024-10-26 09:00: 0.9755
2024-10-26 16:00: 0.0245
2024-10-27 00:00: 0.9755
2024-10-27 07:00: 0.0245
2024-10-27 15:00: 0.9755
2024-10-27 22:00: 0.0245
2024-10-28 06:00: 0.9755
2024-10-28 13:00: 0.0215
2024-10-28 21:00: 0.9830
2024-10-29 04:00: 0.0175
2024-10-29 12:00: 0.9825
2024-10-29 19:00: 0.0195
2024-10-30 03:00: 0.9770
2024-10-30 10:00: 0.0200
2024-10-30 18:00: 0.9800
2024-10-31 01:00: 0.0200
2024-10-31 09:00: 0.9770
2024-10-31 16:00: 0.0235
2024-11-01 00:00: 0.9765
2024-11-01 07:00: 0.0265
2024-11-01 15:00: 0.9800
2024-11-01 22:00: 0.0225
2024-11-02 06:00: 0.9805
2024-11-02 13:00: 0.0195
2024-11-02 21:00: 0.9830
2024-11-03 03:00: 0.0170
2024-11-03 11:00: 0.9830
2024-11-03 18:00: 0.0175
2024-11-04 02:00: 0.9795
2024-11-04 09:00: 0.0205
2024-11-04 17:00: 0.9795
2024-11-05 00:00: 0.0195
2024-11-05 08:00: 0.9810
2024-11-05 15:00: 0.0185
2024-11-06 00:00: 0.9845
2024-11-06 07:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-04-12 17:00: 0.8850
2024-04-13 05:00: 0.1000
2024-04-13 18:00: 0.9000
2024-04-14 06:00: 0.1000
2024-04-14 19:00: 0.9000
2024-04-15 07:00: 0.1000
2024-04-15 20:00: 0.9000
2024-04-16 08:00: 0.1000
2024-04-16 21:00: 0.9000
2024-04-17 09:00: 0.1000
2024-04-17 22:00: 0.9000
2024-04-18 10:00: 0.1000
2024-04-18 23:00: 0.9000
2024-04-19 11:00: 0.1000
2024-04-20 00:00: 0.9000
2024-04-20 12:00: 0.1000
2024-04-21 01:00: 0.9000
2024-04-21 13:00: 0.1000
2024-04-22 02:00: 0.9050
2024-04-22 14:00: 0.0950
2024-04-23 03:00: 0.9050
2024-04-23 15:00: 0.0950
2024-04-24 04:00: 0.9050
2024-04-24 16:00: 0.0950
2024-04-25 05:00: 0.9050
2024-04-25 17:00: 0.0950
2024-04-26 06:00: 0.9050
2024-04-26 18:00: 0.0950
2024-04-27 07:00: 0.9050
2024-04-27 19:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-04-28 17:00: 0.0950
2024-04-29 06:00: 0.9050
2024-04-29 18:00: 0.0950
2024-04-30 07:00: 0.9050
2024-04-30 19:00: 0.0950
2024-05-01 08:00: 0.9050
2024-05-01 21:00: 0.0950
2024-05-02 10:00: 0.9050
2024-05-02 22:00: 0.0950
2024-05-03 11:00: 0.9050
2024-05-03 23:00: 0.0950
2024-05-04 12:00: 0.9050
2024-05-05 00:00: 0.0950
2024-05-05 13:00: 0.9050
2024-05-06 01:00: 0.0950
2024-05-06 14:00: 0.9050
2024-05-07 02:00: 0.0950
2024-05-07 15:00: 0.9050
2024-05-08 03:00: 0.0950
2024-05-08 16:00: 0.9050
2024-05-09 04:00: 0.0950
2024-05-09 17:00: 0.9050
2024-05-10 05:00: 0.0950
2024-05-10 18:00: 0.9050
2024-05-11 06:00: 0.0950
2024-05-11 19:00: 0.9050
2024-05-12 07:00: 0.0950
2024-05-12 20:00: 0.9050
2024-05-13 08:00: 0.0950
2024-05-13 21:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-05-14 19:00: 0.9050
2024-05-15 07:00: 0.0950
2024-05-15 20:00: 0.9050
2024-05-16 08:00: 0.0950
2024-05-16 21:00: 0.9050
2024-05-17 09:00: 0.0950
2024-05-17 22:00: 0.9050
2024-05-18 10:00: 0.0950
2024-05-18 23:00: 0.9050
2024-05-19 11:00: 0.0950
2024-05-20 00:00: 0.9050
2024-05-20 12:00: 0.0950
2024-05-21 01:00: 0.9050
2024-05-21 13:00: 0.0950
2024-05-22 02:00: 0.9050
2024-05-22 14:00: 0.0950
2024-05-23 03:00: 0.9050
2024-05-23 15:00: 0.0950
2024-05-24 04:00: 0.9050
2024-05-24 16:00: 0.0950
2024-05-25 05:00: 0.9050
2024-05-25 17:00: 0.0950
2024-05-26 06:00: 0.9050
2024-05-26 18:00: 0.0950
2024-05-27 07:00: 0.9050
2024-05-27 19:00: 0.0950
2024-05-28 08:00: 0.9050
2024-05-28 20:00: 0.0950
2024-05-29 09:00: 0.9050
2024-05-29 21:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-05-30 19:00: 0.0950
2024-05-31 08:00: 0.9050
2024-05-31 20:00: 0.0950
2024-06-01 09:00: 0.9050
2024-06-01 21:00: 0.0950
2024-06-02 10:00: 0.9050
2024-06-02 22:00: 0.0950
2024-06-03 11:00: 0.9050
2024-06-03 23:00: 0.0950
2024-06-04 12:00: 0.9050
2024-06-05 00:00: 0.0950
2024-06-05 13:00: 0.9050
2024-06-06 01:00: 0.0950
2024-06-06 14:00: 0.9050
2024-06-07 02:00: 0.0950
2024-06-07 15:00: 0.9050
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.0950
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.9050
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.0950
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.9050
2024-06-10 05:00: 0.0950
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.9050
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.0950
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.9050
2024-06-12 07:00: 0.0950
2024-06-12 20:00: 0.9050
2024-06-13 08:00: 0.0950
2024-06-13 21:00: 0.9050
2024-06-14 09:00: 0.0950
2024-06-14 22:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-06-15 20:00: 0.9050
2024-06-16 08:00: 0.0950
2024-06-16 21:00: 0.9050
2024-06-17 09:00: 0.0950
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.9050
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.0950
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.9050
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.0950
2024-06-20 00:00: 0.9050
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.0950
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.9050
2024-06-21 13:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.0950
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.9050
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.0950
2024-06-24 04:00: 0.9050
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.0950
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.9050
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.0950
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.9050
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.0950
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.9050
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.0950
2024-06-28 08:00: 0.9050
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.0950
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.9050
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.0950
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.9050
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.0950
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.9050
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.0950
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.9050
2024-07-03 22:00: 0.0950
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.9100
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.0900
2024-07-05 12:00: 0.9100
2024-07-06 00:00: 0.0900
2024-07-06 13:00: 0.9100
2024-07-07 01:00: 0.0900
2024-07-07 14:00: 0.9100
2024-07-08 02:00: 0.0900
2024-07-08 15:00: 0.9100
2024-07-09 03:00: 0.0950
2024-07-09 16:00: 0.9050
2024-07-10 04:00: 0.0950
2024-07-10 17:00: 0.9100
2024-07-11 05:00: 0.0900
2024-07-11 18:00: 0.9100
2024-07-12 06:00: 0.0900
2024-07-12 19:00: 0.9100
2024-07-13 07:00: 0.0900
2024-07-13 20:00: 0.9550
2024-07-14 08:00: 0.0450
2024-07-14 21:00: 0.9600
2024-07-15 09:00: 0.0500
2024-07-15 22:00: 0.9450
2024-07-16 10:00: 0.0350
2024-07-16 23:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-07-17 21:00: 0.9655
2024-07-18 09:00: 0.0345
2024-07-18 22:00: 0.9650
2024-07-19 10:00: 0.0350
2024-07-19 23:00: 0.9650
2024-07-20 11:00: 0.0350
2024-07-21 00:00: 0.9650
2024-07-21 12:00: 0.0350
2024-07-22 02:00: 0.9700
2024-07-22 14:00: 0.0305
2024-07-23 03:00: 0.9695
2024-07-23 15:00: 0.0305
2024-07-24 04:00: 0.9690
2024-07-24 16:00: 0.0305
2024-07-25 05:00: 0.9675
2024-07-25 17:00: 0.0320
2024-07-26 06:00: 0.9685
2024-07-26 18:00: 0.0315
2024-07-27 07:00: 0.9680
2024-07-27 19:00: 0.0315
2024-07-28 08:00: 0.9685
2024-07-28 20:00: 0.0320
2024-07-29 09:00: 0.9680
2024-07-29 21:00: 0.0320
2024-07-30 10:00: 0.9675
2024-07-30 22:00: 0.0325
2024-07-31 11:00: 0.9590
2024-07-31 23:00: 0.0400
2024-08-01 12:00: 0.9530
2024-08-02 00:00: 0.0480
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-08-02 22:00: 0.0480
2024-08-03 11:00: 0.9520
2024-08-03 23:00: 0.0495
2024-08-04 12:00: 0.9505
2024-08-05 00:00: 0.0495
2024-08-05 13:00: 0.9400
2024-08-06 01:00: 0.0595
2024-08-06 14:00: 0.9455
2024-08-07 02:00: 0.0440
2024-08-07 15:00: 0.9570
2024-08-08 03:00: 0.0390
2024-08-08 16:00: 0.9680
2024-08-09 04:00: 0.0295
2024-08-09 17:00: 0.9705
2024-08-10 05:00: 0.0340
2024-08-10 18:00: 0.9615
2024-08-11 06:00: 0.0395
2024-08-11 19:00: 0.9605
2024-08-12 07:00: 0.0230
2024-08-12 20:00: 0.9670
2024-08-13 08:00: 0.0235
2024-08-13 21:00: 0.9815
2024-08-14 09:00: 0.0275
2024-08-14 22:00: 0.9750
2024-08-15 10:00: 0.0210
2024-08-15 23:00: 0.9730
2024-08-16 11:00: 0.0250
2024-08-17 00:00: 0.9715
2024-08-17 12:00: 0.0295
2024-08-18 01:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-08-18 23:00: 0.9715
2024-08-19 11:00: 0.0285
2024-08-20 00:00: 0.9720
2024-08-20 12:00: 0.0285
2024-08-21 01:00: 0.9715
2024-08-21 13:00: 0.0280
2024-08-22 02:00: 0.9720
2024-08-22 14:00: 0.0285
2024-08-23 03:00: 0.9715
2024-08-23 15:00: 0.0285
2024-08-24 04:00: 0.9715
2024-08-24 16:00: 0.0280
2024-08-25 05:00: 0.9715
2024-08-25 17:00: 0.0280
2024-08-26 06:00: 0.9715
2024-08-26 18:00: 0.0285
2024-08-27 07:00: 0.9715
2024-08-27 19:00: 0.0285
2024-08-28 08:00: 0.9715
2024-08-28 20:00: 0.0285
2024-08-29 09:00: 0.9715
2024-08-29 21:00: 0.0355
2024-08-30 10:00: 0.9645
2024-08-30 22:00: 0.0355
2024-08-31 11:00: 0.9645
2024-08-31 23:00: 0.0355
2024-09-01 12:00: 0.9650
2024-09-02 00:00: 0.0290
2024-09-02 13:00: 0.9655
2024-09-03 01:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-09-03 23:00: 0.0220
2024-09-04 12:00: 0.9655
2024-09-05 00:00: 0.0285
2024-09-05 13:00: 0.9700
2024-09-06 01:00: 0.0300
2024-09-06 14:00: 0.9680
2024-09-07 02:00: 0.0325
2024-09-07 15:00: 0.9675
2024-09-08 03:00: 0.0325
2024-09-08 16:00: 0.9720
2024-09-09 04:00: 0.0280
2024-09-09 17:00: 0.9720
2024-09-10 05:00: 0.0280
2024-09-10 18:00: 0.9720
2024-09-11 06:00: 0.0280
2024-09-11 19:00: 0.9720
2024-09-12 07:00: 0.0280
2024-09-12 20:00: 0.9720
2024-09-13 08:00: 0.0280
2024-09-13 21:00: 0.9720
2024-09-14 09:00: 0.0280
2024-09-14 22:00: 0.9720
2024-09-15 10:00: 0.0280
2024-09-15 23:00: 0.9720
2024-09-16 11:00: 0.0280
2024-09-17 00:00: 0.9715
2024-09-17 12:00: 0.0285
2024-09-18 01:00: 0.9715
2024-09-18 13:00: 0.0285
2024-09-19 02:00: 0.9710
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-09-20 00:00: 0.9710
2024-09-20 12:00: 0.0295
2024-09-21 01:00: 0.9705
2024-09-21 13:00: 0.0295
2024-09-22 02:00: 0.9705
2024-09-22 14:00: 0.0295
2024-09-23 03:00: 0.9705
2024-09-23 15:00: 0.0295
2024-09-24 04:00: 0.9705
2024-09-24 16:00: 0.0295
2024-09-25 05:00: 0.9705
2024-09-25 17:00: 0.0295
2024-09-26 06:00: 0.9705
2024-09-26 18:00: 0.0295
2024-09-27 07:00: 0.9705
2024-09-27 19:00: 0.0295
2024-09-28 08:00: 0.9670
2024-09-28 20:00: 0.0285
2024-09-29 09:00: 0.9720
2024-09-29 21:00: 0.0290
2024-09-30 10:00: 0.9715
2024-09-30 22:00: 0.0285
2024-10-01 11:00: 0.9720
2024-10-01 23:00: 0.0280
2024-10-02 11:00: 0.9720
2024-10-02 23:00: 0.0280
2024-10-03 12:00: 0.9720
2024-10-04 00:00: 0.0280
2024-10-04 13:00: 0.9720
2024-10-05 01:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-10-05 23:00: 0.0275
2024-10-06 12:00: 0.9725
2024-10-07 00:00: 0.0285
2024-10-07 13:00: 0.9740
2024-10-08 01:00: 0.0240
2024-10-08 14:00: 0.9760
2024-10-09 02:00: 0.0230
2024-10-09 15:00: 0.9770
2024-10-10 03:00: 0.0230
2024-10-10 16:00: 0.9770
2024-10-11 04:00: 0.0230
2024-10-11 17:00: 0.9770
2024-10-12 05:00: 0.0230
2024-10-12 18:00: 0.9760
2024-10-13 06:00: 0.0240
2024-10-13 19:00: 0.9760
2024-10-14 07:00: 0.0240
2024-10-14 20:00: 0.9775
2024-10-15 08:00: 0.0225
2024-10-15 21:00: 0.9775
2024-10-16 09:00: 0.0230
2024-10-16 22:00: 0.7505
2024-10-17 10:00: 0.0750
2024-10-17 23:00: 0.9545
2024-10-18 11:00: 0.0290
2024-10-19 00:00: 0.9715
2024-10-19 12:00: 0.0285
2024-10-20 01:00: 0.9725
2024-10-20 13:00: 0.0250
2024-10-21 02:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-10-22 00:00: 0.9750
2024-10-22 12:00: 0.0250
2024-10-23 01:00: 0.9750
2024-10-23 13:00: 0.0250
2024-10-24 02:00: 0.9750
2024-10-24 14:00: 0.0250
2024-10-25 03:00: 0.9750
2024-10-25 15:00: 0.0245
2024-10-26 04:00: 0.9755
2024-10-26 16:00: 0.0245
2024-10-27 05:00: 0.9755
2024-10-27 17:00: 0.0245
2024-10-28 06:00: 0.9755
2024-10-28 18:00: 0.0170
2024-10-29 07:00: 0.9830
2024-10-29 19:00: 0.0195
2024-10-30 08:00: 0.9770
2024-10-30 20:00: 0.0200
2024-10-31 09:00: 0.9770
2024-10-31 21:00: 0.0260
2024-11-01 10:00: 0.9735
2024-11-01 22:00: 0.0225
2024-11-02 11:00: 0.9805
2024-11-02 23:00: 0.0170
2024-11-03 11:00: 0.9830
2024-11-03 23:00: 0.0200
2024-11-04 12:00: 0.9795
2024-11-05 00:00: 0.0195
2024-11-05 13:00: 0.9815
2024-11-06 02:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.7500
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.2500
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.7550
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.2450
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.7550
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.2450
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.8000
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.2000
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.8000
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.2000
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.8050
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.1950
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.8150
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.1850
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2227.13, Sell volume: 903.98, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.1800
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.8350
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.1650
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.8350
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.1650
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.8350
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.1650
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.8350
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.1650
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.8200
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.1800
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.8200
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.1800
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.8200
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.8300
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.1700
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.8300
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.1700
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.8300
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.1700
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.8300
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.1700
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.8300
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.1700
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.8300
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.1700
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2227.13, Sell volume: 903.98, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.1700
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.8350
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.1650
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.8350
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.1650
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.8350
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.1650
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.8500
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.1500
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.8550
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.1450
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.8550
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.1450
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.8550
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2227.13, Sell volume: 903.98, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.8550
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.1450
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.8550
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.1450
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.8550
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.1450
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.8550
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.1450
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.8550
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.1450
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.8550
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.1450
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.8550
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.1450
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2227.13, Sell volume: 903.98, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.1450
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.8550
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.1450
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.8550
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.1450
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.8500
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.1500
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.8500
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.1500
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.8500
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.1500
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.8500
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.1500
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.8500
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2227.13, Sell volume: 903.98, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.8550
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.1450
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.8550
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.1450
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.8550
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.1450
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.8550
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.1450
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.8550
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.1450
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.8550
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.1450
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.8550
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.1450
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2227.13, Sell volume: 903.98, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.1500
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.8500
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.1500
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.8500
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.1500
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.8500
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.1500
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.8500
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.1500
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.8450
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.1550
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.8450
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.1550
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.8450
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2227.13, Sell volume: 903.98, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.8450
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.1550
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.8450
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.1550
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.8450
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.1550
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.8450
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.1550
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.8450
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.1550
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.8450
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.1550
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.8450
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.1550
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2227.13, Sell volume: 903.98, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.1500
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.8550
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.1450
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.8850
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.1150
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.8800
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.1200
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.8800
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.1200
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.8800
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.1200
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.8750
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.1250
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.8800
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2227.13, Sell volume: 903.98, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.8800
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.1200
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.8800
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.1200
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.8800
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.1200
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.8800
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.1200
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.9550
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.0450
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.9550
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.0450
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.9650
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0350
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 101.03, Sell volume: 1.03, Average price: 0.3533, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.0400
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.9600
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.0400
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.9640
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.0360
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.9575
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.0425
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.9575
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.0425
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.9575
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.0425
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.9575
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.0425
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.9535
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.0465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2227.13, Sell volume: 903.98, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.9535
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0465
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.9630
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.0370
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.9580
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.0420
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.9535
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.0465
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.8180
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.1820
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.8390
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.1610
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9980
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0020
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2125.09, Sell volume: 387.40, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.6200
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.3800
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.3900
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.3900
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.3900
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 470, Buy volume: 38391.55, Sell volume: 123843.72, Average price: 0.3064, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.3900
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3900
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.3900
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.3900
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.3950
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.3950
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.3950
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.3900
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.6050
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.6000
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.4000
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.6100
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.4000
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.5850
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.3150
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.6850
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.3200
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 14.29, Sell volume: 38.07, Average price: 0.6120, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.6600
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.3400
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.6600
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.3400
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.6600
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.3300
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.6700
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.3300
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.3250
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.6750
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.3250
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.6750
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.3250
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.6600
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.3400
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.6600
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.3450
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.6550
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.3450
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.4600
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.5400
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.4550
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5600
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.3900
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.6100
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.6100
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 103.00, Sell volume: 14.28, Average price: 0.4450, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.5200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.3600
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.6650
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.6700
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.3300
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.6700
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.3300
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.6700
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.3300
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.3300
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.3300
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.3300
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.3250
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.3250
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.5300
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.4450
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 103.00, Average price: 0.1740, Price range: 0.1740 - 0.1740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.3250
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.6800
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.3000
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.2850
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.2500
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.5450
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.4650
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5350
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.4650
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.6100
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.3900
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.6100
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.6100
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.4300
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.4300
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.5700
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.4300
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.5700
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 93.63, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4617, Price range: 0.4617 - 0.4617
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.8650
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.1400
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.8650
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.1350
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.8700
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.1000
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.6750
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.3350
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.6600
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.8800
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.1250
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.8750
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.1250
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.7050
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.3200
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.7050
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.2950
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.7200
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.2800
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.3650
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.6350
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.3600
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.6350
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.3650
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.8500
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3.23, Sell volume: 93.63, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.1300
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1300
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.1300
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1300
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.1300
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.1300
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.1300
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.1300
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.1300
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.1250
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0900
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 2004.60, Sell volume: 152.71, Average price: 0.3679, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1650
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.8200
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.1750
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.1700
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1750
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.1350
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.8600
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.1600
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.8300
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.1750
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.8150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.8150
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.1850
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.8300
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.1700
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.8350
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2084.06, Sell volume: 410.00, Average price: 0.5268, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0300
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.1010
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9170
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.1055
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9140
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0855
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9145
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0855
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9145
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0855
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9140
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0860
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9145
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0855
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9140
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0500
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9545
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0495
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9610
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1115.72, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.6053, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9610
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0395
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9700
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0305
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9705
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0295
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9700
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0310
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9700
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0305
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9690
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0305
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9695
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0300
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9700
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0300
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9695
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0310
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9695
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0305
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9675
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0310
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9665
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0335
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9675
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0305
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9670
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0315
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9680
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 112.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5175, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9695
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0205
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9820
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0170
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9820
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0185
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9735
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0265
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9735
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0265
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9780
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0220
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9795
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0205
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9795
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0150
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9850
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0150
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9850
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0165
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9770
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9750
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0235
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9755
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0210
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9885
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 2642.61, Sell volume: 2736.02, Average price: 0.9347, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9895
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9915
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0090
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9910
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0090
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9905
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9930
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 300, Buy volume: 30190.08, Sell volume: 120246.01, Average price: 0.0412, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4750
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5250
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.4050
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.5950
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9550
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0500
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9500
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0500
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9500
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0500
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9500
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.9500
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0500
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9500
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0500
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.0500
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.9500
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.0500
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9500
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.9500
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0500
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0500
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9500
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0500
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9500
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0500
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9500
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9500
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 215.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.7563, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0500
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9500
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9500
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0500
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9550
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9550
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9550
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9650
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0350
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.9745
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.0255
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9745
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.0255
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.9745
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0255
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9750
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0250
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9745
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.0255
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0250
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9750
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9745
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 240.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9683, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9705
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0295
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9710
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0290
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9720
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0280
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9720
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0280
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9720
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0280
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9720
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0280
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0280
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9720
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9720
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0280
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9720
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0280
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9720
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0280
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0280
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9720
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9720
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0280
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0275
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9725
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9715
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0285
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0275
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9725
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.9720
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0280
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0275
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9725
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0280
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9720
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0275
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9725
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0275
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9725
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9735
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0265
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0265
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9735
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0260
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9740
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0265
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 215.43, Sell volume: 221.07, Average price: 0.8194, Price range: 0.0209 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0260
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9740
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0265
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9735
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0260
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9740
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0265
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9735
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0260
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9740
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0260
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9740
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0255
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9745
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0260
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9740
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0260
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9740
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0260
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9740
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0260
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9740
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0260
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9740
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9710
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0290
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0315
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9685
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9670
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0330
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9670
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0330
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9710
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0290
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0290
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9710
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0275
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9725
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9710
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0290
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9725
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0275
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9690
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0310
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0305
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9695
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9705
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 713.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6609, Price range: 0.0336 - 0.9790

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0380
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9620
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0380
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9620
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9620
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0380
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9620
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0380
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0380
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9620
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9620
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0380
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0380
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9620
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9620
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0380
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0380
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9620
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9620
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0380
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9620
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0380
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0490
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9510
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9510
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0490
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9510
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0490
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9510
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0490
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9510
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0490
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9510
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0490
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9510
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0490
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9510
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0490
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9510
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0490
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9510
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0490
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9510
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0490
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0490
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9510
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9510
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 230.60, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0434, Price range: 0.0434 - 0.0434

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9510
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0490
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0500
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9500
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9500
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0500
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0500
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9500
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0500
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9500
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0500
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9500
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9500
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9500
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9500
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.1100
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.8900
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.8895
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.1105
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.8890
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.1110
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.8895
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.1105
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.1115
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.8885
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.8895
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.1105
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.8895
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.1105
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.1110
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.8890
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.8885
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.1115
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.8875
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.1125
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.8340
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.1660
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.1650
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.8350
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.1210
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.8790
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.1595
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.8405
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.1485
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.8515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 168.96, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6945, Price range: 0.1560 - 0.9580

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.8520
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.1480
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.1480
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.8520
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.1485
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.8515
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.1465
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.8535
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.1470
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.8530
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.1470
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.8530
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.1225
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.8775
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.1465
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.8535
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.8940
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.1060
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.1440
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.8560
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.1460
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.8540
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.1375
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.8625
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.1285
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.8715
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.1355
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.8645
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.1340
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.8660
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.1365
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.8635
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.1355
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.8645
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.1355
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.8645
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.1315
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.8685
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.1315
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.8685
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.1315
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.8685
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.1315
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.8685
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.1315
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.8685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 9.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2380, Price range: 0.2190 - 0.2570

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.1315
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.8685
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.1325
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.8675
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.1325
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.8675
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.1325
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.8675
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.1325
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.8675
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.1325
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.8675
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.1325
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.8675
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.1330
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.8670
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.1330
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.8670
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.1100
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.8900
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.1100
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.8900
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.1100
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.8900
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.1100
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.8900
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.1100
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.8900
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.8900
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.1100
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.1100
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.8900
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.1100
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.8900
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.8900
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.1100
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.8900
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.1100
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.1105
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.8895
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.8890
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.1110
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.8895
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.1105
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.2035
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.7965
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.1990
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.8010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 6.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8350, Price range: 0.8350 - 0.8350

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.8720
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.1280
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.1270
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.8730
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.1270
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.8730
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.8730
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.1270
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.1270
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.8730
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.1270
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.8730
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.8730
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.1270
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.8730
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.1270
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.8730
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.1270
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.8730
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.1270
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.8730
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.1270
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.8730
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.1270
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.8730
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.1270
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.1270
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.8730
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.8730
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.1270
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.8740
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.1260
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.1265
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.8735
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.8730
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.1270
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.8730
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.1270
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.1270
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.8730
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.8730
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.1270
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.8730
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.1270
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.1270
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.8730
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.8730
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.1270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9735, Price range: 0.9735 - 0.9735

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.1270
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.8730
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.1270
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.8730
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.8785
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.1215
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.8785
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.1215
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.8795
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.1205
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.8795
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.1205
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.8795
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.1205
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.8795
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.1205
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.1205
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.8795
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.1205
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.8795
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.8795
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.1205
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.8795
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.1205
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.1200
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.8800
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.1200
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.8800
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.1160
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.8840
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.1160
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.8840
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.1160
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.8840
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.1160
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.8840
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.1160
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.8840
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.1160
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.8840
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.1160
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.8840
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.1155
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.8845
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.1155
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.8845
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.1155
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.8845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8010, Price range: 0.8010 - 0.8010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.1155
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.8845
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.1155
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.8845
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.1155
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.8845
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.1155
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.8845
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.1155
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.8845
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.8845
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.1155
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.1155
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.8845
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.1155
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.8845
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.1155
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.8845
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.1155
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.8845
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.1155
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.8845
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.1155
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.8845
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.8845
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.1155
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.8865
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.1135
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.1135
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.8865
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.8870
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.1130
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.8870
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.1130
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.8870
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.1130
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.8890
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.1110
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.1130
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.8870
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.8870
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.1130
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.8870
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.1130
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.8885
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.1115
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.1115
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.8885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 191, Buy volume: 8107.84, Sell volume: 869.23, Average price: 0.8482, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.1115
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.8885
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.8885
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.1115
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.8905
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.1095
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.8905
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.1095
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.1095
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.8905
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.8905
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.1095
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.8905
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.1095
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.8905
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.1095
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.1095
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.8905
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.1090
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.8910
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.1090
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.8910
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.1090
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.8910
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.1090
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.8910
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.8910
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.1090
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.1090
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.8910
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.1040
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.8960
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.1040
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.8960
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.1040
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.8960
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.8960
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.1040
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.8985
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.1015
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9035
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0965
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9035
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0965
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9200
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0800
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0800
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 433.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9782, Price range: 0.9670 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0170
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0170
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0155
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9845
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9850
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0150
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0155
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9845
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0155
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9845
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9845
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0155
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0155
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9845
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0200
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9800
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0200
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9800
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0210
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9790
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0255
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9745
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9755
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0245
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9700
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0300
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0280
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9720
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9715
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0285
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0285
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9715
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0280
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9720
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0245
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9755
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0175
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9825
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0140
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9860
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9990
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5476.02, Sell volume: 613.16, Average price: 0.8784, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4750
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5250
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.4050
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.5950
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9550
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0500
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9500
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0500
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9500
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0500
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 215.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.7563, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0500
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9500
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9500
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0500
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9550
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9550
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9550
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 240.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9683, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9705
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0295
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9710
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0290
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9720
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0280
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9720
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0280
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9720
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0280
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9720
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0280
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0280
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9720
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9720
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0280
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9720
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0280
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9720
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0280
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0280
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9720
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9720
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0280
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0275
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9725
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9715
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0285
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0275
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 215.43, Sell volume: 221.07, Average price: 0.8194, Price range: 0.0209 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0260
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9740
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0265
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9735
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0260
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9740
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0265
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9735
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0260
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9740
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0260
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9740
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0255
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9745
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0260
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9740
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0260
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9740
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0260
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9740
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0260
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9740
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0260
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9740
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9710
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0290
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0315
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9685
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9670
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 713.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6609, Price range: 0.0336 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0380
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9620
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0380
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9620
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9620
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0380
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9620
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0380
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0380
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9620
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9620
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0380
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0380
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9620
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9620
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0380
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0380
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9620
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9620
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0380
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9620
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0380
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0490
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9510
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9510
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0490
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9510
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0490
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9510
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 230.60, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0434, Price range: 0.0434 - 0.0434
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9510
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0490
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0500
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9500
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9500
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0500
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0500
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9500
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0500
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9500
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0500
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9500
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9500
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9500
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9500
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.1100
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.8900
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.8895
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.1105
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.8890
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.1110
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.8895
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.1105
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.1115
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.8885
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.8895
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.1105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 168.96, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6945, Price range: 0.1560 - 0.9580
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.8520
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.1480
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.1480
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.8520
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.1485
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.8515
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.1465
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.8535
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.1470
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.8530
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.1470
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.8530
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.1225
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.8775
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.1465
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.8535
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.8940
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.1060
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.1440
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.8560
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.1460
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.8540
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.1375
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.8625
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.1285
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.8715
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.1355
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.8645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 9.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2380, Price range: 0.2190 - 0.2570
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes