Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559240
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?
Volume: 103150.749095
Price History:
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.1400
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.8600
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.1350
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.8650
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.1450
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.8550
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.1450
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.8550
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.1450
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.8550
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.1350
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.8650
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 234.26, Sell volume: 38.53, Average price: 0.6860, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559240
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?
Volume: 103150.749095
Price History:
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.1300
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.8700
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.1300
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.8700
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.1300
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.8700
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.1500
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.8500
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.1500
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.8500
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.1550
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.8450
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.1450
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 15.21, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.3200, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559240
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?
Volume: 103150.749095
Price History:
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.1550
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.8450
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.1550
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.8450
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.1550
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.8450
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.1550
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.8450
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.1150
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.8850
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.1150
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.8850
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.1000
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 163.25, Sell volume: 126.00, Average price: 0.5776, Price range: 0.0979 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559240
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?
Volume: 103150.749095
Price History:
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.1950
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.8050
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.2450
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.7550
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.2750
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.7250
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.3400
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.6600
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.2450
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.7550
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.2850
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.7150
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.3300
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 119, Buy volume: 5214.19, Sell volume: 1497.13, Average price: 0.4614, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8281
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559240
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?
Volume: 103150.749095
Price History:
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.3550
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.6450
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.3450
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.6550
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.4800
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.5200
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.4750
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.5250
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.3450
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.6550
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.2950
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.7050
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.3850
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 6389.74, Sell volume: 663.70, Average price: 0.4746, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559240
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?
Volume: 103150.749095
Price History:
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.3500
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.6500
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.2800
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.7200
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.4400
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.5600
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.4000
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.6000
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.3100
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.6900
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.3800
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.6200
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.5300
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 209, Buy volume: 19204.55, Sell volume: 5450.85, Average price: 0.4676, Price range: 0.2275 - 0.7465
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0950
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.9050
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0850
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9150
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0850
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.9150
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.1150
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.8850
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.2850
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.7150
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.2800
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 495.00, Sell volume: 436.04, Average price: 0.4202, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.2150
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.7850
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.2900
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.7100
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.2050
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.7950
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.2050
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.7950
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.2050
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.7950
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.2050
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.7950
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.2000
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 140.26, Sell volume: 120.26, Average price: 0.5728, Price range: 0.2073 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.1950
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.8050
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.1950
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.8050
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.1950
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.8050
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.1950
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.8050
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.1950
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.8050
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.1850
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.8150
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.1850
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1150.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4050, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.1850
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.8150
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.1850
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.8150
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.1650
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.8350
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.1650
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.8350
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.1650
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.8350
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.1650
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.8350
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.1400
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 11.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5150, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.1450
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.8550
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.1500
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.8500
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.1500
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.8500
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.1500
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.8500
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.1500
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.8500
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.1500
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.8500
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.1300
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 800.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5149, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8696

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.1300
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.8700
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.1300
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.8700
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.1300
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.8700
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.1300
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.8700
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.1300
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.8700
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.1300
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.8700
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0950
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 178.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3867, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.1050
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.8950
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.1100
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.8900
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.8850
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.8850
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.1100
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.8900
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.1100
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.8900
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.1100
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 49.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1250, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.1300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.1100
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.8900
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.8850
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.8850
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.8850
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.8850
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.1100
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.8900
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 199.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.8850
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.1100
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.8900
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.1100
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.8900
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0950
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9050
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0950
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9050
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0950
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9050
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0950
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 24.21, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.5819, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9094

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0950
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9050
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0950
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9050
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0950
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9050
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.1050
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.8950
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.1050
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.8950
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.1150
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.8850
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.1150
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 62.96, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.3400
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.6600
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.2900
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.7100
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.2250
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.7750
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.3200
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.6800
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.1850
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.8150
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.5400
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.4600
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.5600
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 194, Buy volume: 18356.16, Sell volume: 3645.52, Average price: 0.4822, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.4750
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.5250
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.4350
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.5650
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.3400
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.6600
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.4450
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.5550
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.5850
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.4150
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.7200
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.2800
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.6050
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 14617.86, Sell volume: 6219.53, Average price: 0.5356, Price range: 0.1602 - 0.7748

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.6250
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.3750
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.6850
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.3150
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.5100
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.4900
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.5900
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.4100
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.6850
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.3150
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.6300
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.3700
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.4850
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 200, Buy volume: 14686.75, Sell volume: 6583.58, Average price: 0.5296, Price range: 0.2596 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0950
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.9050
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0850
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9150
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0850
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.9150
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.1150
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.8850
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.2850
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.7150
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.2800
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 495.00, Sell volume: 436.04, Average price: 0.4202, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.2150
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.7850
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.2900
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.7100
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.2050
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.7950
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.2050
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.7950
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.2050
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.7950
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.2050
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.7950
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.2000
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 140.26, Sell volume: 120.26, Average price: 0.5728, Price range: 0.2073 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.1950
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.8050
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.1950
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.8050
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.1950
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.8050
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.1950
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.8050
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.1950
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.8050
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.1850
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.8150
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.1850
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1150.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4050, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.1850
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.8150
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.1850
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.8150
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.1650
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.8350
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.1650
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.8350
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.1650
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.8350
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.1650
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.8350
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.1400
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 11.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5150, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.1450
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.8550
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.1500
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.8500
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.1500
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.8500
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.1500
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.8500
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.1500
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.8500
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.1500
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.8500
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.1300
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 800.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5149, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8696
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.1300
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.8700
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.1300
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.8700
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.1300
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.8700
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.1300
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.8700
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.1300
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.8700
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.1300
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.8700
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0950
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 178.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3867, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.1050
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.8950
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.1100
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.8900
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.8850
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.8850
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.1100
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.8900
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.1100
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.8900
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.1100
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 49.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1250, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.1300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.1100
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.8900
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.8850
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.8850
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.8850
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.8850
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.1100
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.8900
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 199.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.8850
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.1100
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.8900
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.1100
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.8900
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0950
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9050
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0950
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9050
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0950
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9050
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0950
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 24.21, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.5819, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9094
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0950
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9050
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0950
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9050
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0950
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9050
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.1050
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.8950
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.1050
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.8950
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.1150
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.8850
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.1150
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 62.96, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.3400
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.6600
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.2900
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.7100
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.2250
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.7750
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.3200
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.6800
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.1850
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.8150
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.5400
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.4600
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.5600
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 194, Buy volume: 18356.16, Sell volume: 3645.52, Average price: 0.4822, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.4750
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.5250
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.4350
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.5650
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.3400
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.6600
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.4450
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.5550
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.5850
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.4150
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.7200
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.2800
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.6050
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 14617.86, Sell volume: 6219.53, Average price: 0.5356, Price range: 0.1602 - 0.7748
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559241
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 180866.237807
Price History:
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.6250
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.3750
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.6850
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.3150
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.5100
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.4900
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.5900
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.4100
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.6850
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.3150
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.6300
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.3700
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.4850
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 200, Buy volume: 14686.75, Sell volume: 6583.58, Average price: 0.5296, Price range: 0.2596 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.4950
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.5050
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.2700
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.7300
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.3200
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.6800
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.2800
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.7200
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.2950
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.7050
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.6900
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.6900
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.3150
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.6850
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.3150
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.6850
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.3050
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.6950
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.6900
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.3000
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.7000
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.3000
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.7000
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.3000
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.7000
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.3000
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.7000
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.3000
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.7000
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.3000
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.7000
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.3000
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.7000
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.3000
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.7000
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.3000
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.7000
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.3050
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.6950
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.2900
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.7100
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.2900
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.7100
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.2950
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.7050
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.2950
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.7450
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.2550
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.7450
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.2550
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.7450
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.2550
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.7450
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.2550
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.7450
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.7450
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.2450
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.7550
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.2450
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.7550
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.2450
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.7550
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.2450
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.7550
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.2450
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.7550
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.7600
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.7600
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.7600
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.2450
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.7550
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.2450
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.7550
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.7600
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.7600
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.7600
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.2700
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.7300
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.2650
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.7350
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.2650
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.7350
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.2650
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.7350
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.2650
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.7350
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.2650
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.2750
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.7250
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.7300
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.7300
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.7300
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.7300
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.7300
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.7300
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.7300
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.7300
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.2800
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.7200
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.2800
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.7200
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.2800
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.7200
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.2800
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.7200
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.2800
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.7200
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.2800
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.7200
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.2800
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.7200
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.2800
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.7200
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.2800
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.7200
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.2800
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.7200
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.2800
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.7200
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.2800
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.7200
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.2800
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.7200
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.2800
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.7200
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.2800
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.7200
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.2800
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.2800
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.7200
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.2800
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.7200
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.2800
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.7200
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.7250
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.2750
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.7250
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.2750
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.7250
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.2750
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.7250
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.7450
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.7450
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.7450
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.7450
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.7450
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.7450
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.7450
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.7450
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.7450
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.7450
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.7450
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.7450
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.7450
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.7450
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.7450
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.7450
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.7450
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.7450
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.7450
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.7450
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.7450
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.7450
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.7450
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.7450
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.7450
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.7450
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.7450
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.7450
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.7450
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.7450
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.7450
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.7450
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.7450
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.7450
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7450
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.7450
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.7450
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.7450
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.7450
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.7450
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.7450
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.7450
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.7450
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.7450
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.7450
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.7450
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.7450
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.7450
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.7450
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.7450
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.7450
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.7450
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.7450
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.7450
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.7450
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.7450
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.7450
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.7450
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.7450
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.7450
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.7450
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.7450
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.7450
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.7450
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.7450
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.7450
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.7450
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.7450
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.7450
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.7450
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.7450
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.7450
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.7450
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.7450
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.7450
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.7450
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.7450
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.2550
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.7450
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.2550
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.7450
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.2550
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.7450
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.2550
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.7450
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.2550
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.7450
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.2550
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.7450
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.2600
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.7400
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.2600
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.7400
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.2600
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.7400
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.2600
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.7400
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.2600
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.7400
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.2600
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.7400
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.2800
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.7200
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.2750
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.7250
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.2650
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.7350
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.2650
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.7350
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.2650
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.7350
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.2650
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.7350
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.2700
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.7300
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.2700
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.7300
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.2650
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.7350
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.2650
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.7350
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.2650
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.7350
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.2600
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.7400
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.2700
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.2650
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.7350
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.2900
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.7100
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.7150
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.2900
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.7100
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.2900
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.7100
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.7050
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.7050
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.7050
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.7050
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.7050
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.7050
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.7050
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.7050
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.7050
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.7050
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7050
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.7050
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.7000
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.7050
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.7050
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.7000
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7000
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.7000
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.7000
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.2800
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.7200
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.2650
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.7350
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.2650
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.7350
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.2650
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.7350
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.2650
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.7350
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.2600
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.7400
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2600
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.7400
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.2600
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.7400
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.2600
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.7400
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.2600
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.7400
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.2600
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.7400
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.2550
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.7450
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.2550
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.7450
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.2550
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.7450
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.2550
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.7450
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.2550
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.7450
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.2550
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.7450
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.2550
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.7450
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.2550
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.7450
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.2550
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.7450
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.2850
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.7150
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.2850
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.7150
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.2850
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.7150
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.2850
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.7150
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.2650
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0245
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.9755
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0260
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.9740
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.0350
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.9650
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0320
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.9680
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.0355
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.9645
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.0315
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.9685
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.0385
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.9615
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0345
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.9655
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0325
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.9675
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0385
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.9615
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0390
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.9610
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.0385
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.9615
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0370
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.9630
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0305
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.9695
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0320
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.9680
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0245
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.9755
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.0285
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.9715
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0315
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.9685
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.0260
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.9740
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.0255
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.9745
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.0270
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.9730
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0270
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.9730
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.0270
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.9730
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0270
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.9730
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.0265
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.4950
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.2700
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.3200
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.2800
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.2950
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.3150
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.3150
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.3050
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.3000
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.3000
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.3000
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.3000
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.3000
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.3000
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.3000
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.3000
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.3000
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.3050
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.2900
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.2900
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.2950
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.2950
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.2950
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.2900
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.2850
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.2850
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.2550
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.2550
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.2550
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.2550
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.2450
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.2450
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.2450
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.2450
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.2450
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.2450
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.2450
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.2700
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.2650
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.2650
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.2650
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.2650
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.2650
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.2700
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.2700
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.2700
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.2650
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.2750
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.2800
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.2800
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.2800
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.2800
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.2800
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.2800
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.2800
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.2800
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.2800
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.2800
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.2800
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.2800
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.2800
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.2800
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.2800
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.2800
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.2800
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.2800
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.2800
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.2800
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.2800
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.2800
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.2800
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.2750
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.2750
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.2750
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.2550
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.2550
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.2550
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.2550
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.2550
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.2550
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.2550
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.2550
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.2550
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.2550
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.2550
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.2600
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.2600
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.2600
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.2600
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.2600
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.2600
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.2800
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.2750
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.2650
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.2650
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.2650
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.2650
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.2700
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.2700
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.2650
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.2650
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.2650
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.2600
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.2700
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.2650
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.2700
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.2650
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.2650
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.2650
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.2900
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.2900
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.2900
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.2950
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.2800
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.2650
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.2650
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.2650
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.2650
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.2600
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2600
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.2600
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.2600
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.2600
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.2600
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.2550
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.2550
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.2550
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.2550
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.2550
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.2550
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.2550
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.2550
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.2550
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.2850
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.2850
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.2850
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.2850
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.2650
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.2650
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.2650
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.2950
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.2950
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538588
Question: Will the next Pope be a manlet?
Volume: 139464.790456
Price History:
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0245
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0260
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.0350
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0320
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.0355
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.0315
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.0385
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0345
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0325
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0385
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0390
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.0385
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0370
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0305
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0320
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0245
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.0285
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0315
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.0260
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.0255
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.0270
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0270
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.0270
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0270
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.0265
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.0265
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.0260
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0150
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.0230
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.0650
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.9350
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0145
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.9855
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0145
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.9855
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0125
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9875
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0105
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.9895
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.9885
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0135
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9865
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0110
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9890
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0130
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9870
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0125
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9875
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0130
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9870
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0130
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9870
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0130
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9870
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0130
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9870
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0130
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9870
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0130
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9870
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0130
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9870
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0125
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9875
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0125
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9875
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0110
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9890
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9880
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9880
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9880
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0125
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 54991.50, Sell volume: 429.56, Average price: 0.6848, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9880
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9900
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0100
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.9900
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0100
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.9900
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0090
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9910
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0090
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9910
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0090
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9910
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0090
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9910
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0090
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9910
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0090
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9910
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9910
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9910
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9910
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9910
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9910
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0095
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9905
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0095
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9905
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9910
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9910
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9910
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9910
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9910
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9910
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9910
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0105
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2728.40, Sell volume: 25.92, Average price: 0.7042, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0165
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9835
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0165
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9835
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9835
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9835
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9835
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9835
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9835
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9835
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9835
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9835
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9835
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9835
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0125
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9875
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0130
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9870
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0125
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9875
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9850
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9845
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9845
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9845
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9845
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9845
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9850
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3333.05, Sell volume: 194.02, Average price: 0.5716, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0170
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9830
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0170
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9830
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0170
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9830
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0190
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9810
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0190
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9810
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0190
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9810
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0190
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9810
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0195
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9805
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0195
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9805
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0195
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9805
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0200
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9800
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9795
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0200
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9800
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0205
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9795
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0205
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9795
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0205
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9795
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0205
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9795
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0200
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9800
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0200
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2300.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3666, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9873

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0145
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9855
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0145
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9855
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0150
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9850
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0150
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9850
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0150
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9850
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0150
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9850
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0150
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9850
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0150
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9850
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0145
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9855
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0145
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9855
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9855
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0150
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9850
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0150
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9850
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0150
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9850
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0150
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9850
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9855
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0170
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9830
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9840
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9840
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9855
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9840
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0155
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9845
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0155
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9845
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0180
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9820
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0180
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 334.28, Sell volume: 756.27, Average price: 0.5813, Price range: 0.0104 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9895
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0110
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9890
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0145
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9855
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0145
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9855
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0140
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9860
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0165
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9835
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0175
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9825
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0175
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9825
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0175
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9825
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0165
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9835
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0165
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9835
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0165
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9835
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0150
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9850
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0155
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9845
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0155
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9845
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0155
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9845
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0120
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9880
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0120
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9880
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0120
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9880
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2031.68, Sell volume: 166.55, Average price: 0.7552, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9880
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9880
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9880
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0140
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9860
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0140
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9860
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9865
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9895
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9895
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9895
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9895
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9895
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9895
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9895
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9895
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9895
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9895
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9895
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9895
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0105
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9895
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9890
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0130
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9870
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9890
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0135
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9865
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0130
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9870
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 232.74, Sell volume: 714.25, Average price: 0.5687, Price range: 0.0102 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0115
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9885
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0130
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9870
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0105
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9895
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9895
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0105
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9895
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0105
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9895
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9895
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9895
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9895
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9895
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9895
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9895
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9895
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9895
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9895
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0100
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9900
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9895
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9895
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9895
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9885
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 755.77, Sell volume: 179.46, Average price: 0.7107, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9885
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9885
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0115
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9885
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0090
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9910
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0085
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9915
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0085
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9915
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0080
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9920
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2769.92, Sell volume: 1252.64, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0052 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9935
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0065
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9935
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0075
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9925
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0065
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9935
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0065
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9935
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0055
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9945
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0055
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 815.44, Sell volume: 406.52, Average price: 0.7745, Price range: 0.0074 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9965
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9965
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9965
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9955
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0055
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9945
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0065
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9935
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0055
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9945
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0055
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9945
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0055
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9945
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0055
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9945
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0055
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9945
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0055
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9945
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0055
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9945
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0060
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9940
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0060
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9940
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0060
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9940
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0060
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9940
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0060
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1587.45, Sell volume: 8.45, Average price: 0.5997, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0060
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9940
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0060
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9940
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0055
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9945
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0045
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9955
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9955
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9955
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1769.30, Sell volume: 932.96, Average price: 0.5549, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9955
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9955
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9955
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9955
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0040
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9960
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0040
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9960
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0040
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9960
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9955
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9955
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9955
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9955
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9955
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9955
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9955
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9955
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9955
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9955
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9955
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0055
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9945
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0055
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9945
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0055
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9945
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0055
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9945
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0055
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9945
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0055
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9945
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0055
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 6923.60, Sell volume: 109.07, Average price: 0.6314, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.0650
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0145
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0145
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0125
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0105
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0135
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0110
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0130
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0125
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0130
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0130
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0130
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0130
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0130
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0130
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0125
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0125
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0110
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0125
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0115
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0115
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 54991.50, Sell volume: 429.56, Average price: 0.6848, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0100
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0100
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0090
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0090
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0090
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0090
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0090
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0095
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0095
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0105
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0115
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0160
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0165
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0165
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2728.40, Sell volume: 25.92, Average price: 0.7042, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0165
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0125
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0130
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0125
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0160
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0170
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0170
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0165
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3333.05, Sell volume: 194.02, Average price: 0.5716, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0170
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0170
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0170
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0190
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0190
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0190
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0190
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0195
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0195
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0195
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0200
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0205
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0200
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0205
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0205
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0205
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0205
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0200
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0200
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0165
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0165
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0140
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0135
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2300.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3666, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9873
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0145
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0145
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0150
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0150
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0150
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0150
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0150
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0150
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0145
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0150
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0150
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0150
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0150
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0170
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0155
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0155
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0180
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0180
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0150
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0155
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 334.28, Sell volume: 756.27, Average price: 0.5813, Price range: 0.0104 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0110
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0145
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0145
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0140
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0165
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0175
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0175
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0175
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0165
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0165
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0165
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0150
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0155
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0155
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0155
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0120
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0120
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0120
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2031.68, Sell volume: 166.55, Average price: 0.7552, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0140
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0140
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0105
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0130
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0135
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0130
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0135
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0130
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 232.74, Sell volume: 714.25, Average price: 0.5687, Price range: 0.0102 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0115
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0130
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0105
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0105
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0105
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0100
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 755.77, Sell volume: 179.46, Average price: 0.7107, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0115
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0115
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0090
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0085
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0085
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0080
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2769.92, Sell volume: 1252.64, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0052 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0065
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0065
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0075
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0065
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0065
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0055
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0055
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0055
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0055
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0055
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0055
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 815.44, Sell volume: 406.52, Average price: 0.7745, Price range: 0.0074 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0055
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0065
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0055
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0055
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0055
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0055
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0055
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0055
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0055
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0060
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0060
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0060
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0060
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0060
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0060
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0060
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0060
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1587.45, Sell volume: 8.45, Average price: 0.5997, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0060
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0060
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0055
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0045
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1769.30, Sell volume: 932.96, Average price: 0.5549, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538582
Question: Will the next Pope be gay?
Volume: 87730.891033
Price History:
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0040
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0040
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0040
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0055
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0055
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0055
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0055
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0055
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0055
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0055
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0055
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0055
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0055
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0055
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 6923.60, Sell volume: 109.07, Average price: 0.6314, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516999
Question: Tom Holland and Zendaya engaged in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39573.208986
Price History:
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.6600
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.3400
2025-01-01 13:00: 0.4950
2025-01-01 13:00: 0.5050
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.6100
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.3900
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.4050
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.5950
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.4100
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.5900
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.4100
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.5900
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.4050
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.5950
2025-01-01 19:00: 0.4100
2025-01-01 19:00: 0.5900
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.4100
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.5900
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.3950
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.6050
2025-01-01 22:00: 0.3850
2025-01-01 22:00: 0.6150
2025-01-01 23:00: 0.3800
2025-01-01 23:00: 0.6200
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.3700
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.6300
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.3700
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.6300
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.3750
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.6250
2025-01-02 03:00: 0.3750
2025-01-02 03:00: 0.6250
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.3700
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.6300
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.3700
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.6300
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.3700
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.6300
2025-01-02 07:00: 0.3700
2025-01-02 07:00: 0.6300
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.3700
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.6300
2025-01-02 09:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 422.66, Sell volume: 9.15, Average price: 0.5400, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516999
Question: Tom Holland and Zendaya engaged in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39573.208986
Price History:
2025-01-02 09:00: 0.6300
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.3700
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.6300
2025-01-02 11:00: 0.3700
2025-01-02 11:00: 0.6300
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.3700
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.6300
2025-01-02 13:00: 0.3700
2025-01-02 13:00: 0.6300
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.3550
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.6450
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.3600
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.6400
2025-01-02 16:00: 0.3450
2025-01-02 16:00: 0.6550
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.3450
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.6550
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.3450
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.6550
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.3450
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.6550
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.3450
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.6550
2025-01-02 21:00: 0.3450
2025-01-02 21:00: 0.6550
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.3450
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.6550
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.3450
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.6550
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.3450
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.6550
2025-01-03 01:00: 0.3450
2025-01-03 01:00: 0.6550
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.3450
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.6550
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.3400
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.6600
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.3400
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.6600
2025-01-03 05:00: 0.3400
2025-01-03 05:00: 0.6600
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.3400
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 385.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5289, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516999
Question: Tom Holland and Zendaya engaged in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39573.208986
Price History:
2025-01-03 07:00: 0.3400
2025-01-03 07:00: 0.6600
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.3400
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.6600
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.3400
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.6600
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.3400
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.6600
2025-01-03 11:00: 0.3400
2025-01-03 11:00: 0.6600
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.3400
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.6600
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.3650
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.6350
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.3450
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.6550
2025-01-03 15:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 15:00: 0.6450
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.3500
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.6500
2025-01-03 17:00: 0.3500
2025-01-03 17:00: 0.6500
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.3500
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.6500
2025-01-03 19:00: 0.3500
2025-01-03 19:00: 0.6500
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.6450
2025-01-03 21:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 21:00: 0.6450
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.6450
2025-01-03 23:00: 0.3550
2025-01-03 23:00: 0.6450
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.3650
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.6350
2025-01-04 01:00: 0.3650
2025-01-04 01:00: 0.6350
2025-01-04 02:00: 0.3650
2025-01-04 02:00: 0.6350
2025-01-04 03:00: 0.3650
2025-01-04 03:00: 0.6350
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 891.30, Sell volume: 121.62, Average price: 0.5831, Price range: 0.3553 - 0.6400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516999
Question: Tom Holland and Zendaya engaged in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39573.208986
Price History:
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.6350
2025-01-04 05:00: 0.3650
2025-01-04 05:00: 0.6350
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.3650
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.6350
2025-01-04 07:00: 0.3650
2025-01-04 07:00: 0.6350
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.3650
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.6350
2025-01-04 09:00: 0.3650
2025-01-04 09:00: 0.6350
2025-01-04 10:00: 0.3650
2025-01-04 10:00: 0.6350
2025-01-04 11:00: 0.3650
2025-01-04 11:00: 0.6350
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.3650
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.6350
2025-01-04 13:00: 0.3650
2025-01-04 13:00: 0.6350
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.3650
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.6350
2025-01-04 15:00: 0.3650
2025-01-04 15:00: 0.6350
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.3650
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.6350
2025-01-04 17:00: 0.3650
2025-01-04 17:00: 0.6350
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.3650
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.6350
2025-01-04 19:00: 0.3650
2025-01-04 19:00: 0.6350
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.3650
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.6350
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.3650
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.6350
2025-01-04 22:00: 0.3650
2025-01-04 22:00: 0.6350
2025-01-04 23:00: 0.3650
2025-01-04 23:00: 0.6350
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.3650
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.6350
2025-01-05 01:00: 0.3650
2025-01-05 01:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.56, Sell volume: 46.00, Average price: 0.6350, Price range: 0.6300 - 0.6400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516999
Question: Tom Holland and Zendaya engaged in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39573.208986
Price History:
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.3650
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.6350
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.3650
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.6350
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.3650
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.6350
2025-01-05 05:00: 0.3650
2025-01-05 05:00: 0.6350
2025-01-05 06:00: 0.3650
2025-01-05 06:00: 0.6350
2025-01-05 07:00: 0.3650
2025-01-05 07:00: 0.6350
2025-01-05 08:00: 0.3650
2025-01-05 08:00: 0.6350
2025-01-05 09:00: 0.3650
2025-01-05 09:00: 0.6350
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.3650
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.6350
2025-01-05 11:00: 0.3650
2025-01-05 11:00: 0.6350
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.3650
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.6350
2025-01-05 13:00: 0.3650
2025-01-05 13:00: 0.6350
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.3650
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.6350
2025-01-05 15:00: 0.3650
2025-01-05 15:00: 0.6350
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.3650
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.6350
2025-01-05 17:00: 0.3650
2025-01-05 17:00: 0.6350
2025-01-05 18:00: 0.3650
2025-01-05 18:00: 0.6350
2025-01-05 19:00: 0.3650
2025-01-05 19:00: 0.6350
2025-01-05 20:00: 0.3650
2025-01-05 20:00: 0.6350
2025-01-05 21:00: 0.3650
2025-01-05 21:00: 0.6350
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.3700
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.6300
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 495.46, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4565, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6400

Output: No