Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628684
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3865085.474248
Price History:
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999126, Buy volume: 359306233.96, Sell volume: 371234112.57, Average price: 0.6135, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628684
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3865085.474248
Price History:
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 594, Buy volume: 391315.27, Sell volume: 134314.60, Average price: 0.7284, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628684
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3865085.474248
Price History:
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 269, Buy volume: 104083.00, Sell volume: 42974.04, Average price: 0.8394, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.4950
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.2450
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 2790.24, Sell volume: 868.81, Average price: 0.8283, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.7550
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.5900 - 0.5900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.7550
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.8900
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.8850
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.1100
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.8800
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.8800
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.1250
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.8800
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.1250
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.1400
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.9050
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.0500
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9725
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0235
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.2505
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.7490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4983, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.7475
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.9420
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9420
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.0575
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9425
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.0575
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.0575
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.0575
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0550
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0550
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.9450
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9450
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.0550
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0550
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.0550
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.0550
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.9450
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.9450
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.0550
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.9450
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.9450
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.9450
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.9450
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0550
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0550
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.0500
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.9970
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.9970
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.9970
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.9970
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.9970
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.9970
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0030
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.9970
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9970
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.0030
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.0030
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.0030
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0030
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9970
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.0030
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.0030
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.9970
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9970
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 116.94, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7974, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.0030
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.0030
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0030
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.0030
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0030
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.0030
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.9970
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9970
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9970
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9970
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 8.01, Sell volume: 8.00, Average price: 0.9954, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 17.46, Sell volume: 17.44, Average price: 0.9958, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 2790.24, Sell volume: 868.81, Average price: 0.8283, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9610
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0390
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9610
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0390
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0390
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9610
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0390
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9610
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9610
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9610
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9610
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9610
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0390
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0390
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9610
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0390
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0390
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9610
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0390
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0390
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0390
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9610
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0390
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0390
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9610
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0390
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 84.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0118, Price range: 0.0118 - 0.0118

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9610
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9610
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9610
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0390
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9610
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0390
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0390
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0390
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0390
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0390
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0390
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0390
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.0390
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0390
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9610
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0390
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9610
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9610
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0390
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0390
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.0390
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9610
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0390
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.0390
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0390
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9610
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9610
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0390
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0390
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9610
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9610
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0390
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0390
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9610
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9610
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0390
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0390
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0390
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0390
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0390
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0390
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0390
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0390
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9610
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0390
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0390
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0390
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0390
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0390
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.4985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.8095
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.1905
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.8095
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.8095
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.8095
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.8095
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.8095
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.8095
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.8095
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.1905
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.8095
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.8095
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.1905
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.8095
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.1755
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.8245
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.1405
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.1405
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.1405
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.1405
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.1405
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.8595
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.8595
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.1405
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.8595
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.8595
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.8595
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.1405
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.8595
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.8595
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.8595
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.1405
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.1405
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.1405
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1405
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.8595
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.1405
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.8595
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.8595
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.8605
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.8605
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.8605
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1395
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.8605
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.8605
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.1395
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.8605
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.8605
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.8605
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.8605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 2790.24, Sell volume: 868.81, Average price: 0.8283, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.1385
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.8615
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.8615
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.1385
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.1385
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.8620
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.8620
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.8620
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.8620
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.1380
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.1375
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.1375
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.1370
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9945
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.5120
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.4850
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.4850
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.4850
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.4850
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.2155
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.4850
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.4850
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.2150
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.4960
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.2150
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.2150
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.2150
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.2150
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.2150
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.2150
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.2150
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.2150
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.2150
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.2150
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.2150
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.2150
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.2150
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.2150
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.2150
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.2150
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.2150
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.2150
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.2150
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.2150
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.2150
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.2150
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.2150
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.2150
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 114.85, Average price: 0.3213, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.6407

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.7850
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.7850
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.7845
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.7845
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.5010
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.5005
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.7850
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.5190
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.5185
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.5250
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5330
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.5330
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.5340
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.5450
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.5515
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.5335
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5335
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.8100
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5390
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5600
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.8095
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.8095
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.8095
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.8095
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.5115
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.5005
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.5095
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.8195
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.8195
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8150
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.8150
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.8245
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.8160
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.8265
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.8335
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8360
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8345
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9215
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9495
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9495
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9495
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9450
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9495
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9495
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9450
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9495
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 34.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0460
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0465
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0515
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0460
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0460
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0460
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0305
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0305
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0305
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0305
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0305
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0265
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0265
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0260
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0160
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 2501.52, Sell volume: 698.52, Average price: 0.8284, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628684
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Volume: 3865085.474248
Price History:
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.7800
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.6850
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.7050
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.7400
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.7600
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.7400
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.7100
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.2700
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.2600
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.7550
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.7300
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.7300
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.2950
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.3000
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.6550
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.6550
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.6350
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.3350
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.6850
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.3100
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.6950
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.6950
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.7050
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.7050
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.7050
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.3100
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.6950
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.6950
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.3050
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 359803167.81, Sell volume: 371415926.17, Average price: 0.6136, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628684
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Volume: 3865085.474248
Price History:
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.7000
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.6950
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.7150
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.2850
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.7150
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.2900
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.6850
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.3050
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.6950
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.7650
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.2250
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.7750
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.2600
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.2550
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.7550
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.2450
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.2950
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.6300
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.6650
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.4850
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.3550
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.3700
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.3400
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.3600
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 359803167.81, Sell volume: 371415926.17, Average price: 0.6136, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628684
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Volume: 3865085.474248
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.6200
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.6100
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.6350
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.6450
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.6350
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.6750
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.3300
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.3150
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.3250
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.3350
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.3200
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.3300
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.2900
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.3100
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.2550
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.2600
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.2150
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.7850
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.2150
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.2150
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.7850
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.7600
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.7600
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.7600
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.7500
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.2550
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 359803167.81, Sell volume: 371415926.17, Average price: 0.6136, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628684
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Volume: 3865085.474248
Price History:
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.7550
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.2450
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.7400
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.2400
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.2400
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.7450
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.7400
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.7300
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.7350
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.2600
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.7400
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.7050
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.3550
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.3350
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.3450
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.2750
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.2800
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.2950
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.2800
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.2650
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.2650
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.2950
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.7650
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.2450
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.2700
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.3000
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.6900
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 359803167.81, Sell volume: 371415926.17, Average price: 0.6136, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628684
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Volume: 3865085.474248
Price History:
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.6950
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.2750
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.7600
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.2500
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.7250
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.7200
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.7300
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.7250
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.7300
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.7950
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.7950
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.7850
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.8050
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.8350
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.8400
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.8550
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8800
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.8350
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.8750
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 359803167.81, Sell volume: 371415926.17, Average price: 0.6136, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628684
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Volume: 3865085.474248
Price History:
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.8500
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.8550
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.8600
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.8350
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.8350
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.8350
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.8250
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.8250
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.8300
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.8350
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.8350
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.8350
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.8350
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.8450
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.8500
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.8500
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.8500
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.8450
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.8450
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.8550
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.8550
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.8450
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.8450
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.8450
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.8500
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 359803167.81, Sell volume: 371415926.17, Average price: 0.6136, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628684
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Volume: 3865085.474248
Price History:
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.8400
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.8000
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.8300
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.8350
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.8350
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.7950
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.8000
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.7800
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.7550
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.8000
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.7850
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.7850
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.7600
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.7650
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.7900
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.7500
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.7400
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.7600
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.7750
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.7800
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.7650
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.7650
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.7650
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.7850
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.7900
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.8350
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 359803167.81, Sell volume: 371415926.17, Average price: 0.6136, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628684
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Volume: 3865085.474248
Price History:
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.8700
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.8800
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9000
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 359803167.81, Sell volume: 371415926.17, Average price: 0.6136, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628684
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Volume: 3865085.474248
Price History:
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9400
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9300
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9300
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9500
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9400
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 359803167.81, Sell volume: 371415926.17, Average price: 0.6136, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628684
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Volume: 3865085.474248
Price History:
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9450
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9400
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9930
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 359803167.81, Sell volume: 371415926.17, Average price: 0.6136, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628684
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Volume: 3865085.474248
Price History:
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999126, Buy volume: 359306233.96, Sell volume: 371234112.57, Average price: 0.6135, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628684
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Volume: 3865085.474248
Price History:
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 594, Buy volume: 391315.27, Sell volume: 134314.60, Average price: 0.7284, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628684
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Volume: 3865085.474248
Price History:
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 269, Buy volume: 104083.00, Sell volume: 42974.04, Average price: 0.8394, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2450
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 2790.24, Sell volume: 868.81, Average price: 0.8283, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.7550
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.7550
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.7550
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.5900 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.7550
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.8850
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.1200
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.8800
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.1250
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.8750
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9705
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.9775
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.7490
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.2520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4983, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.7475
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.0580
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9425
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.0575
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.0575
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0550
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.9450
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.0550
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.0550
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.9450
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.9450
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.9450
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.9450
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.0550
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.0540
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.9970
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.9970
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.9970
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.9970
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.9970
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9970
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.0030
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.9970
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.0030
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9970
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.0030
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.0030
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.9970
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 116.94, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7974, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.0030
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.0030
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9970
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.0030
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9970
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9970
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 8.01, Sell volume: 8.00, Average price: 0.9954, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 17.46, Sell volume: 17.44, Average price: 0.9958, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 2790.24, Sell volume: 868.81, Average price: 0.8283, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9610
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9610
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9610
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9610
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0390
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9610
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.0390
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0390
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0390
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0390
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0390
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0390
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0390
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9610
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9610
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9610
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 84.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0118, Price range: 0.0118 - 0.0118
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9610
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9610
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0390
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0390
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0390
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9610
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0390
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9610
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9610
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9610
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0390
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9610
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9610
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0390
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9610
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0390
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9610
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0390
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0390
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0390
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0390
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0390
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0390
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0390
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0390
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0390
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0390
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.4985
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.1905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.8095
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.8095
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.1905
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.8095
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.8095
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.8095
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.1905
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.8095
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.1755
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.8245
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.1405
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.8595
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.8595
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.1405
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.1405
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.8595
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.8595
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.1405
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.1405
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.1405
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.8595
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.1405
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.1395
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.8605
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1395
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1395
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.8605
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.8605
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.8605
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.8605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 2790.24, Sell volume: 868.81, Average price: 0.8283, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.1385
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.8615
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.8615
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.1380
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.8620
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.8620
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.1375
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.4880
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9945
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.2155
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.2155
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.4850
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.4850
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.2155
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.2150
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.4930
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.2150
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.2150
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.2150
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.2150
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.2150
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.2150
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.2150
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.2150
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.2150
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.2150
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.2150
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.2150
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 114.85, Average price: 0.3213, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.6407
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.7850
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.7845
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.5010
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.7850
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.5190
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.5250
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.5330
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.5340
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.5515
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.8095
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.8845
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5665
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.8095
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.5105
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.5155
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.8195
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.8195
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5265
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.8200
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.8275
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8360
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9495
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9495
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9495
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9495
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9495
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 34.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565757
Question: Will Ryan Whitney win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3659.052011
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0460
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0465
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0460
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0460
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0305
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0305
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0300
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0265
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0260
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0160
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 2501.52, Sell volume: 698.52, Average price: 0.8284, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.4950
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.2450
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 2498.61, Sell volume: 184.14, Average price: 0.8534, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.7550
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.7550
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.5900 - 0.5900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.7600
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.7550
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.7550
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.7550
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.7550
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.7550
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.2450
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.2450
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.7600
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.2450
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.2450
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.2450
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.2450
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.7550
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.2450
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.2450
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.2450
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.7700
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.1600
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.8850
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.0700
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.9700
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.7495
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.2510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.4020, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.2520
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.2520
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.2505
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.2420
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.4980
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.6955
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.4825
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.4980
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.5000
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.4805
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.5180
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.4820
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.4815
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.4845
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.4805
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.4805
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.5195
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.5195
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.5195
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.5195
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.5195
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.4805
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.5195
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.5195
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.5460
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.5000
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.5245
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.5270
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.5300
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.4675
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.4500
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.4480
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.5685
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.5710
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.5735
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.4235
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.5945
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.6010
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.6035
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.6065
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.3910
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.6120
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.6150
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.3825
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.6205
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.6230
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.6260
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.6290
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.6320
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.6345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.7245, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9850

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.6475
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.6500
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.6530
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.3445
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.3415
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.3390
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.6640
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.6665
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.6695
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.6720
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.6745
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.3225
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.3200
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.6825
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.6850
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.6875
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.6900
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.3075
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.6950
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.6975
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.6995
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.2980
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.7020
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.2980
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.2980
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.7020
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.2980
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.2980
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.2980
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.7020
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.2980
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.7020
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.2975
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.2950
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.2925
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.2900
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.7130
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.7155
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.2820
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.2795
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.2780
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.7220
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.7220
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.7220
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.7220
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.2780
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.7220
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.7220
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.7220
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.7220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 2498.61, Sell volume: 184.14, Average price: 0.8534, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.7220
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.7220
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.2780
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.2780
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.2780
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.7220
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.7220
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.2780
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.7220
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.2780
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.7220
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.7220
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.7220
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.7220
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.2780
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.2780
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.2780
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.2780
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.2780
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.7220
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.7220
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.7220
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.2780
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.7220
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.2775
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.2775
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.2775
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.7230
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.2770
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.2770
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.2770
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.2765
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.2765
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.7230
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.2760
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.2765
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.2765
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.7240
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.2765
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.7240
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.2765
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.2760
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.7235
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.7240
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.2765
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.7240
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.7235
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.7240
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.2760
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.2765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 2498.61, Sell volume: 184.14, Average price: 0.8534, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.2760
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.2765
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.2760
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.2755
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.7240
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.2755
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.2755
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.7240
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.7240
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.7240
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.2760
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.2760
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.2760
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.2760
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.2760
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.2760
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.2760
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.2760
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.7240
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.7240
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.7240
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.2760
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.2760
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.2760
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.7240
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.2760
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.2760
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.2760
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.2760
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.2760
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.2760
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.2760
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.7240
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.7240
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.7240
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.2760
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.7240
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.7240
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.2760
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.2760
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.7240
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.7240
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.2760
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.2760
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.2750
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.2755
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.2755
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.2755
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.2755
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.2755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 2498.61, Sell volume: 184.14, Average price: 0.8534, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.7245
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.2750
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.7250
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.7250
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.7250
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.2750
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.7250
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.2750
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.2750
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.7245
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.7245
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.7240
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.7245
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.2755
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.7245
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.7240
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.7240
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.7245
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7245
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.7245
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.2755
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2755
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7245
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.2760
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.2755
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2760
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.2760
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.7245
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.7245
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.7240
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.7240
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.7245
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7245
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.2760
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.2760
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.2760
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.7245
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.7245
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.2755
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.7240
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.2760
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.7240
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.7245
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.2755
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.7240
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.2755
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.7245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 2498.61, Sell volume: 184.14, Average price: 0.8534, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.2755
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.2755
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.2755
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.7245
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.2755
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.2760
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.2760
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.2755
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.2755
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.2760
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.2755
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.2760
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.2755
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.2760
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.7245
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.2755
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.7245
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.7240
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.7240
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.7245
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.7245
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.2755
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.2760
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.2755
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.7240
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.2755
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.2760
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.2760
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.2760
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.7240
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.7240
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.2760
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.2760
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.2760
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.2760
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.2760
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.2760
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.7240
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.7240
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.7240
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.7240
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.7240
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.7240
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.7240
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.2760
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.2760
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.7240
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.7240
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.2760
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.2760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.2760
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.7240
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.2760
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.7240
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.7240
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.7240
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.7240
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.2760
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.2760
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.2760
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.2760
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.7240
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.2760
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.7240
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.2760
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.7240
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0685
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0655
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0605
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.9395
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0605
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0580
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9465
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0515
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9505
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0495
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0495
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9520
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9520
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9520
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0385
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0385
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9615
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0380
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0380
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0380
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.3445
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.3440
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.3430
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.6680
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.3190
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.6585
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.6630
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.7695
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.8610
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.8635
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.8635
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.1365
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.1365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 2498.61, Sell volume: 184.14, Average price: 0.8534, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.1340
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.1300
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.1250
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.1105
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.1105
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.1095
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.1095
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.8910
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.1085
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.1085
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.8920
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.8925
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.8925
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.8925
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.8925
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.8925
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.8925
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.8925
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.8925
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9145
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9095
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9095
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.5005
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9095
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9095
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.5200
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9095
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9095
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9095
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.5545
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9095
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9095
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9095
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.5205
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.5210
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.5210
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9095
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9095
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9095
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9095
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.5455
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9095
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 14.00, Sell volume: 14.85, Average price: 0.0855, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.1700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.4440
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0905
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0905
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0905
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.4415
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.4410
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.4415
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.4385
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.4320
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0555
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.4290
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.4275
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.4275
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0555
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.4275
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.4280
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0905
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0905
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.4080
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4275
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4070
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.4045
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.4025
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.3965
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.4275
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.4385
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.1905
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1950
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.1930
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1905
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.1940
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.1920
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.1790
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.1655
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.1655
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.1655
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4080
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.4110
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.1445
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.1410
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1450
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.1440
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.2645
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.1800
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.1395
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.1445
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 34.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.8720
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.8820
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.8870
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.8945
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.8985
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.8985
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.8985
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.8985
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9025
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9020
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.5255
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.5135
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.5135
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.5260
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.5295
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.6065
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.7095
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.7875
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.7885
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.8160
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.8540
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.8650
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.8695
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.8730
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.8790
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.8820
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9105
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9845
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9875
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9880
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9855
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9900
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9845
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9845
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9905
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 2418.27, Sell volume: 129.29, Average price: 0.9062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2450
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 2498.61, Sell volume: 184.14, Average price: 0.8534, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.7550
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.7550
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.7550
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.5900 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.7600
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.7550
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.2450
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.2450
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.2400
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.2450
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.2450
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.2450
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.2450
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.8300
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9100
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0290
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.2510
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.2515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.4020, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.2520
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.2510
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.5020
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.5020
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.4980
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.4805
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.4820
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.5155
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.4805
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.5195
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.5195
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.5195
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.4805
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.5000
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.5470
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.5255
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.5300
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.4505
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.5570
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.4285
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.4235
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.5990
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.6050
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.6100
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.6150
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.6195
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.6245
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.6295
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.6345
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.6395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.7245, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.6475
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.6525
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.3430
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.3380
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.6665
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.3285
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.3240
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.6805
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.3105
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.3060
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.3020
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.2980
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.2980
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.2980
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.2980
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.2980
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.2980
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.2980
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.7055
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.2900
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.2850
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.7190
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.2780
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.7220
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.7220
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.7220
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.7220
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.7220
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.7220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 2498.61, Sell volume: 184.14, Average price: 0.8534, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.7220
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.7220
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.2780
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.7220
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.2780
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.7220
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.2780
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.7220
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.2780
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.7220
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.7220
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.7220
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.7220
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.7220
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.2780
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.2775
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.2770
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.2765
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.2770
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.2770
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.2765
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.2765
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.2760
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.7240
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.7235
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.2760
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.2765
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.2765
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.2765
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.2765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 2498.61, Sell volume: 184.14, Average price: 0.8534, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.2760
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.2760
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.7240
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.2760
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.7240
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.2760
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.2760
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.2760
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.2760
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.2760
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.2760
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.7240
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.2760
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.2760
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.7240
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.2760
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.2760
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.2760
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.2760
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.2760
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.2760
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.7240
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.7240
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.7240
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.2760
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.7245
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.2755
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.2755
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.2755
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 2498.61, Sell volume: 184.14, Average price: 0.8534, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.7245
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.7250
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.7245
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.7245
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.7250
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.2750
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.2755
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.7240
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.2755
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.7240
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.2760
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7245
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7245
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.2755
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.2755
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2760
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.7245
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.7245
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.7245
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7245
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.2755
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.2760
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.2760
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.7240
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.7245
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.2755
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.2755
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.7245
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.7245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 2498.61, Sell volume: 184.14, Average price: 0.8534, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.2755
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.2755
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.7245
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.7245
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.2755
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.2755
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.2760
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.2760
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.7245
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.7245
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.7245
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.7245
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.2755
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.2760
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.2755
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.2760
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.2760
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.7240
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.2760
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.2760
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.2760
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.7240
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.2760
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.2760
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.7240
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.7240
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.7240
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.2760
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.2760
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.2760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.2760
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.2760
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.7240
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.2760
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.2760
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.2760
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.2760
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.2760
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.2760
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.7240
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.0670
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9395
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0605
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9485
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0495
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9520
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9520
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0385
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9615
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0380
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.6195
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.3430
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.6710
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.6585
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.7400
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.8635
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.1365
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.1365
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.1365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 2498.61, Sell volume: 184.14, Average price: 0.8534, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.1340
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.8750
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.1105
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.1095
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.8910
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.1085
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.8925
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.8925
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.8925
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.8925
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.8925
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9145
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9095
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.5005
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9095
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.5455
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9095
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9095
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.5195
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.5210
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.5210
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9095
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9145
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9095
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9095
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 14.00, Sell volume: 14.85, Average price: 0.0855, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.1700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.4440
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0905
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.4415
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0900
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.4415
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.4320
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.4290
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.4275
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0555
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0905
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0905
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4275
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.4055
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.3995
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.4105
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.1905
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.4120
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.4445
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.1850
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.1655
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.1655
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.2500
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.1410
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.1440
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.1405
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.1395
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1450
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 34.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565745
Question: Will Riggs win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2682.7463
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.8720
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.8870
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.8970
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.8985
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.8985
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9020
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.5135
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5260
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.5295
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.6820
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.7875
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.8220
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.8650
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.8715
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.8805
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.8880
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9845
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9845
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9885
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9890
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9845
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 2418.27, Sell volume: 129.29, Average price: 0.9062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565786
Question: Will Claire Hogle win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2617.009
Price History:
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.4950
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.2450
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 2321.74, Sell volume: 295.27, Average price: 0.7811, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565786
Question: Will Claire Hogle win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2617.009
Price History:
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.7550
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.7550
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.5900 - 0.5900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565786
Question: Will Claire Hogle win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2617.009
Price History:
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.7650
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.2400
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.7600
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.7600
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.2400
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.7600
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.7600
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.2400
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.7650
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.7600
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.7600
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.7600
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.2400
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.2400
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.2400
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.2400
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.2400
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.7900
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.7900
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.1650
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.1650
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.1650
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.1450
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.2350
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.0600
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9660
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0300
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.2505
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.2510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4950, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565786
Question: Will Claire Hogle win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2617.009
Price History:
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.2525
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.7475
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.7475
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.0735
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9220
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.9220
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.0730
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.0730
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0705
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.4585
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.0780
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9270
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.0705
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0715
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.9295
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.0705
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.5425
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.5425
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.4575
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.5425
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.5425
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.5425
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.4575
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.4575
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.4325
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.4550
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.4210
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.5805
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.4115
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.5940
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.5965
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.6030
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.6055
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.6080
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.6105
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.6135
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.3845
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.3820
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.3790
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.3765
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.3735
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.3705
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.6325
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.6350
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.3625
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.3595
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.3565
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.6465
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.3510
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.6520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.4790, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9540

Output: Yes