Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.6350
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.6350
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.6350
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 3531.77, Sell volume: 122.11, Average price: 0.6479, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 3531.77, Sell volume: 122.11, Average price: 0.6479, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 3531.77, Sell volume: 122.11, Average price: 0.6479, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.2700
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.7300
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.1450
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.8550
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.1450
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 166.03, Sell volume: 2.08, Average price: 0.7651, Price range: 0.6123 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.1450
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.8550
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.1650
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.8350
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.1650
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.8350
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.1700
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.8300
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.1700
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.8300
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.1800
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.8200
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.1600
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.8400
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.1800
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.8200
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.1800
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.8200
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.2000
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.8000
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.1450
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.8550
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.1800
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.8200
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0225
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9775
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 722.83, Sell volume: 59.00, Average price: 0.5478, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.7750
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.2250
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.7750
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.2250
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.7750
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.2250
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.7750
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.2250
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.7700
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.2300
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.7700
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.2300
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.7700
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.2300
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.2350
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.2050
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.2050
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.2500
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.7450
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 170.52, Sell volume: 112.76, Average price: 0.6182, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.9311

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.7400
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.5700
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.4300
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 278.52, Sell volume: 2.11, Average price: 0.4688, Price range: 0.3075 - 0.7030

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.5900
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4100
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.5900
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.4100
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.5900
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4100
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.5900
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.4100
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.5900
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4100
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.5900
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.4100
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.5900
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4100
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.5900
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.4100
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.50, Average price: 0.3500, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.3500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89, Buy volume: 4998.62, Sell volume: 552.08, Average price: 0.5615, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5450
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.5450
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.5450
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.13, Sell volume: 3.62, Average price: 0.4450, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.4700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.5450
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.5450
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.5450
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 41.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.4900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4200
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4200
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5800
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.4100
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5900
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4100
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.5900
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4100
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 92.10, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.5200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4100
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.5900
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89, Buy volume: 4998.62, Sell volume: 552.08, Average price: 0.5615, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4380, Price range: 0.4320 - 0.4400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3600
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6400
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3550
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6450
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 117.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4815, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3550
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6450
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2250
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.7750
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.2550
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.7450
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.3300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6700
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.3300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3500
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.6500
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.3600
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.6400
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.3550
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6450
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.6450
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.3500
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.6500
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.3500
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.6500
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.3500
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.6500
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.3500
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 54.76, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4200, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.4200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.3500
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.6500
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.3500
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.6500
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.3600
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.6400
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.3550
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.6450
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.3550
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.6450
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.3550
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.6450
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.3550
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.6450
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.3600
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.6400
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.6450
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.3550
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.5150
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.5150
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.5150
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 57.73, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4185, Price range: 0.4138 - 0.4200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.5150
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.5150
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.5150
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.4800
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.5200
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.3750
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.6250
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.4550
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.5450
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.3550
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.6450
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.3800
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.6200
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.3800
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 178.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6244, Price range: 0.3824 - 0.7016

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.7750
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.2250
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.7750
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.2250
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.7750
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.2250
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.7750
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.2250
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.7700
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.2300
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.7700
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.2300
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.7700
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.2300
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.2350
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.2050
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.2050
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.2500
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.7450
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 170.52, Sell volume: 112.76, Average price: 0.6182, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.9311
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.7400
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.5700
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.4300
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 278.52, Sell volume: 2.11, Average price: 0.4688, Price range: 0.3075 - 0.7030
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.5900
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4100
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.5900
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.4100
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.5900
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4100
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.5900
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.4100
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.5900
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4100
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.5900
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.4100
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.5900
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4100
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.5900
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.4100
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.50, Average price: 0.3500, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.3500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89, Buy volume: 4998.62, Sell volume: 552.08, Average price: 0.5615, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5450
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.5450
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.5450
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.13, Sell volume: 3.62, Average price: 0.4450, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.4700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.5450
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.5450
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.5450
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 41.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.4900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4200
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4200
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5800
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.4100
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5900
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4100
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.5900
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4100
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 92.10, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.5200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4100
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.5900
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89, Buy volume: 4998.62, Sell volume: 552.08, Average price: 0.5615, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4380, Price range: 0.4320 - 0.4400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3600
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6400
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3550
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6450
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 117.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4815, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3550
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6450
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2250
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.7750
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.2550
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.7450
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.3300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6700
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.3300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3500
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.6500
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.3600
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.6400
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.3550
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6450
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.6450
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.3500
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.6500
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.3500
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.6500
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.3500
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.6500
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.3500
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 54.76, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4200, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.4200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.3500
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.6500
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.3500
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.6500
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.3600
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.6400
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.3550
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.6450
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.3550
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.6450
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.3550
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.6450
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.3550
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.6450
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.3600
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.6400
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.6450
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.3550
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.5150
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.5150
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.5150
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 57.73, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4185, Price range: 0.4138 - 0.4200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678644
Question: Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5550.697374
Price History:
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.5150
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.5150
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.5150
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.4800
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.5200
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.3750
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.6250
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.4550
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.5450
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.3550
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.6450
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.3800
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.6200
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.3800
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 178.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6244, Price range: 0.3824 - 0.7016
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.4400
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.5600
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.4200
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.3950
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.6050
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.3950
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3362.84, Sell volume: 96.59, Average price: 0.7056, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.3950
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.6050
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.3750
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.3750
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.6250
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.3800
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.6200
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.3800
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.6200
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.3700
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.6300
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.3850
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.6150
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.6200
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.6250
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.3750
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.6250
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.3750
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.6250
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.3750
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.6250
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.3750
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 22.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8700, Price range: 0.8700 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.3750
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.6250
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.3750
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.6250
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.3650
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.6350
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.3600
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.6400
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.3500
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.6500
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.3500
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3362.84, Sell volume: 96.59, Average price: 0.7056, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3362.84, Sell volume: 96.59, Average price: 0.7056, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.3450
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.6550
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.3450
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.6550
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.3450
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.6550
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3362.84, Sell volume: 96.59, Average price: 0.7056, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.3550
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.6450
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.6450
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.3550
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.6450
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.3550
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.6450
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3500
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.6500
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.3500
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.6500
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.3500
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.6500
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.3500
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3362.84, Sell volume: 96.59, Average price: 0.7056, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.3500
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.6500
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.3500
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.6500
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.3400
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.6600
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3362.84, Sell volume: 96.59, Average price: 0.7056, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.6700
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.3300
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.6700
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.3300
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.6700
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.3300
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.6700
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.3250
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.6750
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.3250
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6750
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.3250
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6750
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.3200
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.3200
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.3200
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.3250
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.6750
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.3250
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.6750
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.3250
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3362.84, Sell volume: 96.59, Average price: 0.7056, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.3200
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.3200
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.3200
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.3200
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.3200
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.3150
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.6850
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.2950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.7050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.2950
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.7050
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.2950
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.7050
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.2950
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.7050
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.2950
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.7050
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.2950
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3362.84, Sell volume: 96.59, Average price: 0.7056, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3362.84, Sell volume: 96.59, Average price: 0.7056, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3362.84, Sell volume: 96.59, Average price: 0.7056, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3500, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.3500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.3200
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.6800
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.3200
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.6800
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.3200
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.6800
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.3200
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.6800
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.3200
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.6800
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.3200
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.6800
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.3200
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.6800
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.3000
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.7000
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.2900
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.7100
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.2950
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 202.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5427, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7460

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.4400
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.5600
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.4200
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.3950
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.6050
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.3950
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3362.84, Sell volume: 96.59, Average price: 0.7056, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.3950
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.6050
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.3750
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.3750
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.6250
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.3800
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.6200
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.3800
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.6200
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.3700
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.6300
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.3850
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.6150
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.6200
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.6250
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.3750
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.6250
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.3750
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.6250
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.3750
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.6250
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.3750
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 22.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8700, Price range: 0.8700 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.3750
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.6250
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.3750
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.6250
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.3650
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.6350
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.3600
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.6400
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.3500
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.6500
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.3500
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3362.84, Sell volume: 96.59, Average price: 0.7056, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3362.84, Sell volume: 96.59, Average price: 0.7056, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.3450
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.6550
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.3450
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.6550
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.3450
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.6550
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3362.84, Sell volume: 96.59, Average price: 0.7056, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.3550
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.6450
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.6450
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.3550
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.6450
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.3550
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.6450
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3500
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.6500
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.3500
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.6500
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.3500
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.6500
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.3500
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3362.84, Sell volume: 96.59, Average price: 0.7056, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.3500
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.6500
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.3500
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.6500
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.3400
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.6600
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3362.84, Sell volume: 96.59, Average price: 0.7056, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.6700
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.3300
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.6700
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.3300
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.6700
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.3300
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.6700
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.3250
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.6750
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.3250
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6750
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.3250
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6750
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.3200
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.3200
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.3200
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.3250
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.6750
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.3250
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.6750
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.3250
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3362.84, Sell volume: 96.59, Average price: 0.7056, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.3200
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.3200
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.3200
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.3200
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.3200
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.3150
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.6850
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.2950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.7050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.2950
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.7050
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.2950
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.7050
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.2950
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.7050
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.2950
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.7050
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.2950
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3362.84, Sell volume: 96.59, Average price: 0.7056, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3362.84, Sell volume: 96.59, Average price: 0.7056, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3362.84, Sell volume: 96.59, Average price: 0.7056, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3500, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.3500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678646
Question: Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3459.429591
Price History:
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.3200
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.6800
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.3200
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.6800
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.3200
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.6800
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.3200
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.6800
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.3200
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.6800
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.3200
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.6800
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.3200
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.6800
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.3000
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.7000
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.2900
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.7100
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.2950
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 202.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5427, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7460
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.7850
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.2150
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.7850
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.2150
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.7850
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.2150
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.7800
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.2200
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.7650
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.2350
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.7600
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.2400
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.7750
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.2250
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.7750
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.2250
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.7750
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.2250
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.7700
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.2300
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.7700
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.2300
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.7700
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3812, Price range: 0.3812 - 0.3812

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.7600
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.2400
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.2500
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.2500
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.2500
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.2500
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.7450
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.2550
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.7200
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.2800
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.7200
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.2800
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.7200
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.2800
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.7200
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.2800
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7200
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.2800
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.7200
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.2800
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.7200
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.2800
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.7200
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 33.39, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8575, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.7200
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.2800
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.7200
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.2800
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.7100
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.2900
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.7100
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.2900
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.7100
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.2900
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.7100
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3878.34, Sell volume: 551.46, Average price: 0.7988, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.7000
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.3000
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.7000
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.3000
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.7000
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.3000
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.7000
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.3000
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.7000
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.3000
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3878.34, Sell volume: 551.46, Average price: 0.7988, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.7000
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.3000
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.7000
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.3000
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.7000
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.3000
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.7000
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.3000
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.3700
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.6300
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 46.81, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3433, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.3600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.5950
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4100
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5900
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4100
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3878.34, Sell volume: 551.46, Average price: 0.7988, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4100
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5900
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3878.34, Sell volume: 551.46, Average price: 0.7988, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3878.34, Sell volume: 551.46, Average price: 0.7988, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.2750
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.2750
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.2850
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.7150
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.2750
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.2750
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3878.34, Sell volume: 551.46, Average price: 0.7988, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3450
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3600
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.6400
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6350
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6350
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3878.34, Sell volume: 551.46, Average price: 0.7988, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3878.34, Sell volume: 551.46, Average price: 0.7988, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.3850
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.6150
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.3850
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.6150
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.5150
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.5150
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.39, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7200, Price range: 0.7200 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.5150
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.4900
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.5100
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.4900
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.5100
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.4900
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.4900
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.5100
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.5050
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.4900
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6600, Price range: 0.6600 - 0.6600

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.7850
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.2150
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.7850
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.2150
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.7850
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.2150
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.7800
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.2200
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.7650
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.2350
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.7600
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.2400
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.7750
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.2250
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.7750
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.2250
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.7750
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.2250
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.7700
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.2300
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.7700
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.2300
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.7700
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3812, Price range: 0.3812 - 0.3812
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.7600
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.2400
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.2500
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.2500
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.2500
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.2500
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.7450
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.2550
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.7200
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.2800
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.7200
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.2800
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.7200
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.2800
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.7200
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.2800
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7200
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.2800
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.7200
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.2800
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.7200
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.2800
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.7200
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 33.39, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8575, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.7200
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.2800
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.7200
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.2800
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.7100
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.2900
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.7100
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.2900
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.7100
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.2900
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.7100
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3878.34, Sell volume: 551.46, Average price: 0.7988, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.7000
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.3000
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.7000
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.3000
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.7000
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.3000
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.7000
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.3000
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.7000
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.3000
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3878.34, Sell volume: 551.46, Average price: 0.7988, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.7000
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.3000
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.7000
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.3000
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.7000
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.3000
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.7000
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.3000
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.3700
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.6300
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 46.81, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3433, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.3600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.5950
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4100
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5900
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4100
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3878.34, Sell volume: 551.46, Average price: 0.7988, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4100
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5900
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3878.34, Sell volume: 551.46, Average price: 0.7988, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3878.34, Sell volume: 551.46, Average price: 0.7988, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.2750
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.2750
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.2850
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.7150
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.2750
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.2750
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3878.34, Sell volume: 551.46, Average price: 0.7988, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3450
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3600
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.6400
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6350
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6350
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3878.34, Sell volume: 551.46, Average price: 0.7988, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3878.34, Sell volume: 551.46, Average price: 0.7988, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.3850
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.6150
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.3850
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.6150
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.5150
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.5150
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.39, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7200, Price range: 0.7200 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678648
Question: Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4429.800968
Price History:
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.5150
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.4900
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.5100
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.4900
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.5100
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.4900
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.4900
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.5100
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.5050
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.4900
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6600, Price range: 0.6600 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678650
Question: Will Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 530.372292
Price History:
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.3750
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.3700
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.6300
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.3700
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.6300
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.3650
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.6350
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.3600
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.3600
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.3600
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.6700
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.3350
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.6650
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.3350
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.6650
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.3450
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.6550
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.3450
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1953.37, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5106, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9988

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678650
Question: Will Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 530.372292
Price History:
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.3250
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.6750
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.2250
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.7750
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.2250
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.7750
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.2200
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.7800
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.2200
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.7800
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.2250
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.7750
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.2250
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.7750
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.2250
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7750
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.2250
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.7750
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.2250
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.7750
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.2200
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 12.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678650
Question: Will Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 530.372292
Price History:
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.2150
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.7850
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.2150
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.7850
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.2150
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.7850
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.2150
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.7850
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.2150
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.7850
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.2150
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.7850
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.2150
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.7850
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.2150
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.7850
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.2100
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.7900
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.2100
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.7900
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.2050
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.7950
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.2050
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1953.37, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5106, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9988

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678650
Question: Will Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 530.372292
Price History:
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.2050
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.7950
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.2050
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.7950
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.2050
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.7950
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.2150
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.7850
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.2150
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.7850
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.2100
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.7900
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.2100
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.7900
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.2100
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.7900
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.2100
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.7900
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.2100
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.7900
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.2100
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.7900
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.2100
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.7900
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.2100
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.7900
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.2050
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1953.37, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5106, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9988

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678650
Question: Will Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 530.372292
Price History:
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.2050
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.7950
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.2050
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.7950
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.2050
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.7950
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.2050
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.7950
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.2050
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.7950
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.2050
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.7950
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.2050
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.7950
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.2050
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.7950
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.2050
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.7950
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.2050
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.7950
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.2050
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.7950
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.2000
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8000
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.2000
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8000
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.2000
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2700, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.2700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678650
Question: Will Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 530.372292
Price History:
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.2000
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8000
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.2000
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8000
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2000
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8000
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2000
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8000
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.2000
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.1950
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8050
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1953.37, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5106, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9988

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678650
Question: Will Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 530.372292
Price History:
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1953.37, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5106, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9988

Output: Yes