Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.9200
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.9200
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.9200
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.9200
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.9400
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.9400
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.9400
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.9400
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.9400
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.9400
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.9400
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.9400
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.9400
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.9400
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.9400
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.9200
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.0800
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.9200
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.0800
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.9200
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.9200
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0800
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.9200
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.0800
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.9150
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1131.90, Sell volume: 415.00, Average price: 0.6424, Price range: 0.0223 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.9150
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.0850
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.9150
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.0850
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.9150
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0850
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.9150
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.0850
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.9200
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.0800
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.9150
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.0850
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.9150
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0850
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.0850
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.9450
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.0550
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.9450
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.0550
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.9450
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.0550
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.9500
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.0500
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.9500
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.0500
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.9500
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.0500
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.9550
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1131.90, Sell volume: 415.00, Average price: 0.6424, Price range: 0.0223 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.9550
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0450
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.9600
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.0400
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.9000
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.1000
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.9100
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.0900
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9100
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0900
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.9250
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9955
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0045
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1081.52, Sell volume: 415.00, Average price: 0.5767, Price range: 0.0223 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.7550
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.2450
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.7550
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.2450
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.7600
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.2400
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.8000
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.2000
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.8000
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.2000
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.8050
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.1950
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.8050
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.1950
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1131.90, Sell volume: 415.00, Average price: 0.6424, Price range: 0.0223 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.0950
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.9100
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.0900
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.9050
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.9150
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.0850
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.9450
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.0550
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.9450
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.0550
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.9450
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.0550
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.9450
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1131.90, Sell volume: 415.00, Average price: 0.6424, Price range: 0.0223 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.9450
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.0550
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.9400
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.0600
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.9400
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.0600
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.9400
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.0600
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.9400
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.0600
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.9450
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.0550
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.9400
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.0600
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.0600
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.9400
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.0600
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.9400
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.0600
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.9400
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.0600
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.9450
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.0550
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.9450
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.0550
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.9450
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.0550
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.9450
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1131.90, Sell volume: 415.00, Average price: 0.6424, Price range: 0.0223 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.9450
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.0550
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.9450
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.0550
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.9500
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.0500
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.9500
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.0500
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.9500
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.0500
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.9500
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.0500
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.9500
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.0500
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 33.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.0500
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.9500
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.0500
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.9500
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.0500
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.9500
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.0500
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.9500
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.0500
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.9500
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0500
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.9500
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.0500
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.9500
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1131.90, Sell volume: 415.00, Average price: 0.6424, Price range: 0.0223 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.9500
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.0500
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.9200
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.9200
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.9200
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.9200
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.9200
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.9200
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1131.90, Sell volume: 415.00, Average price: 0.6424, Price range: 0.0223 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.9200
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.9200
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.9200
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.9200
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.9400
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.9400
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.9400
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.9400
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.9400
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.9400
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.9400
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.9400
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.9400
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.9400
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.9400
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.9200
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.0800
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.9200
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.0800
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.9200
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.9200
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0800
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.9200
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.0800
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.9150
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1131.90, Sell volume: 415.00, Average price: 0.6424, Price range: 0.0223 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.9150
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.0850
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.9150
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.0850
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.9150
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0850
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.9150
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.0850
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.9200
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.0800
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.9150
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.0850
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.9150
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0850
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.0850
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.9450
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.0550
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.9450
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.0550
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.9450
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.0550
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.9500
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.0500
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.9500
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.0500
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.9500
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.0500
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.9550
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1131.90, Sell volume: 415.00, Average price: 0.6424, Price range: 0.0223 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.9550
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0450
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.9600
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.0400
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.9000
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.1000
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.9100
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.0900
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9100
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0900
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.9250
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9955
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0045
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1081.52, Sell volume: 415.00, Average price: 0.5767, Price range: 0.0223 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5000
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5000
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.4700
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.5300
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.4500
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.5500
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.4450
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.5550
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.1500
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.8500
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.1800
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.8200
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.8250
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.1750
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.1750
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.8250
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.1750
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.8250
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.1750
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.1750
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.8250
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.1750
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 654.26, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.5496, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.2050
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.7950
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 984.79, Sell volume: 74.00, Average price: 0.5505, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.7750
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.7800
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.2200
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.7800
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.2200
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.7800
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.2200
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.2200
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.7800
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.2200
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.7800
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.7750
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.2250
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.2250
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.7750
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.7800
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.2200
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.2200
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.7800
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 202.90, Sell volume: 155.38, Average price: 0.7189, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.2100
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.7900
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.7900
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.2100
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.2200
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.7800
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.2100
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.7900
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.3150
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.6850
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.6750
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.3050
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.6950
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.3250
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.6750
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.2950
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.7050
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.2750
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.7250
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.7200
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.2800
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.2400
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.7600
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.2350
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.7650
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.1500
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.8500
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.1700
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.8300
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.1600
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.8400
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.1650
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.8350
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.1600
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.8400
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.1600
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.8400
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.1550
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.8450
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.1600
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.8400
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.1600
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.8400
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.1600
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 823.63, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7498, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.1650
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.8350
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.1600
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.8400
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.1650
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.8350
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.1550
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.8450
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.1600
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.8400
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.1600
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.8400
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.1200
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.8800
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.1350
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.8650
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.1000
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9000
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0900
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9100
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1127.78, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3936, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 223.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7540, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 16.11, Sell volume: 116.00, Average price: 0.2925, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0850
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9150
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 838.56, Sell volume: 520.00, Average price: 0.0852, Price range: 0.0788 - 0.0916

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9150
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0850
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0850
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9150
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0950
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0950
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0950
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 471, Buy volume: 53410.69, Sell volume: 16118.41, Average price: 0.4873, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0950
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0950
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0950
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0950
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0950
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0950
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9000
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.1000
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.1000
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9000
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.1000
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 203.86, Sell volume: 56.62, Average price: 0.5048, Price range: 0.1096 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.1050
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.8950
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.8950
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.1050
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.1050
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.8950
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.8950
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.1050
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.1050
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.8950
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.1050
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.8950
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.1050
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.8950
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.1050
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.8950
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.8950
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.1050
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.8950
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.1050
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.8950
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.1050
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.1400
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.8600
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.8600
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.1400
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.8600
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.1400
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.8600
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.1400
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.1550
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.8450
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.1600
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.8400
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.7850
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.2150
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.2150
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.7850
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.8200
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.1800
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.8050
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.1950
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.7950
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.2050
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.2100
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.7900
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.7900
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 45.15, Sell volume: 114.41, Average price: 0.4847, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.8100
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.1900
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.8100
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.1900
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.2000
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.8000
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.8100
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.1900
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.8100
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.1900
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.1900
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.8100
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.8100
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.1900
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.8000
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.2000
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.1900
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.8100
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.8000
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.2000
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.8000
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.2000
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.7950
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.2050
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.2000
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.8000
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.2000
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.8000
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.2000
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.8000
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.8000
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.2000
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.1950
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.8050
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.2000
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.8000
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.2200
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.7800
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.3500
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.6500
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.3450
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.6550
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.3650
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.6350
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.5350
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.4650
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.5000
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 6934.19, Sell volume: 156.85, Average price: 0.5514, Price range: 0.2195 - 0.8447

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.6750
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.6550
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.3450
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.3700
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.6300
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.4150
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.5850
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.4400
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.5600
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.4400
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.5600
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.4300
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.5700
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.4350
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.5650
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.4350
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.5650
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.5850
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.4150
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.5100
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.4900
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.3900
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.6100
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.6300
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.3700
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.3650
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.6350
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.3650
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.6350
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.4050
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.5950
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.4500
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.5500
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.3900
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.6100
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.5650
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.4350
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.5550
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.4450
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.5600
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.4400
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0050
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9950
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 319, Buy volume: 31948.64, Sell volume: 14282.41, Average price: 0.4538, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5000
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5000
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.4700
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.5300
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.4500
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.5500
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.4450
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.5550
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.1500
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.8500
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.1800
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.8200
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.8250
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.1750
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.1750
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.8250
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.1750
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.8250
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.1750
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 654.26, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.5496, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 984.79, Sell volume: 74.00, Average price: 0.5505, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.7750
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.7800
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.2200
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.7800
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.2200
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.7800
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.2200
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.2200
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.7800
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.2200
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 202.90, Sell volume: 155.38, Average price: 0.7189, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.2100
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.7900
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.7900
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.2100
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.2200
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.7800
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.2100
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.7900
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.3150
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.6850
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.6750
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.3050
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.6950
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.3250
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.6750
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.2950
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.7050
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.2750
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.7250
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.7200
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.2800
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.2400
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.7600
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.2350
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.7650
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.1500
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 823.63, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7498, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.1650
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.8350
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.1600
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.8400
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.1650
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.8350
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.1550
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.8450
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.1600
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.8400
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.1600
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.8400
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.1200
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.8800
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.1350
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.8650
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.1000
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9000
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0900
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9100
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1127.78, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3936, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 223.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7540, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 16.11, Sell volume: 116.00, Average price: 0.2925, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0850
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 838.56, Sell volume: 520.00, Average price: 0.0852, Price range: 0.0788 - 0.0916
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9150
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0850
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0850
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9150
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 471, Buy volume: 53410.69, Sell volume: 16118.41, Average price: 0.4873, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0950
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0950
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0950
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0950
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0950
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0950
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 203.86, Sell volume: 56.62, Average price: 0.5048, Price range: 0.1096 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.1050
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.8950
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.8950
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.1050
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.1050
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.8950
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.8950
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.1050
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.1050
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.8950
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.1050
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.8950
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.1050
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.8950
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.1050
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.8950
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.8950
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.1050
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.8950
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.1050
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.8950
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.1050
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.1400
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.8600
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.8600
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.1400
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.8600
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.1400
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.8600
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 45.15, Sell volume: 114.41, Average price: 0.4847, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.8100
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.1900
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.8100
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.1900
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.2000
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.8000
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.8100
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.1900
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.8100
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.1900
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.1900
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.8100
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.8100
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.1900
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.8000
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.2000
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.1900
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.8100
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.8000
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.2000
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.8000
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.2000
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.7950
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.2050
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.2000
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.8000
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.2000
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.8000
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.2000
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 6934.19, Sell volume: 156.85, Average price: 0.5514, Price range: 0.2195 - 0.8447
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582284
Question: Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 69529.095352
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.6750
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.6550
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.3450
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.3700
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.6300
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.4150
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.5850
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.4400
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.5600
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.4400
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.5600
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.4300
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.5700
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.4350
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.5650
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.4350
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.5650
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.5850
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.4150
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.5100
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.4900
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.3900
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.6100
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.6300
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.3700
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.3650
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.6350
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.3650
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 319, Buy volume: 31948.64, Sell volume: 14282.41, Average price: 0.4538, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.5250
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.4750
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.4500
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.5500
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.4500
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.5500
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.4500
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.5500
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.4500
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.5500
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.4650
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.5350
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.4500
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.5500
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1622.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.5500
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.4500
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.5500
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.4300
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.5750
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.5750
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1622.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.5750
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.5750
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.5750
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.5750
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1622.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1622.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.4150
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.5850
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.4150
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1622.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.6500
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.3500
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.6500
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.3500
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.6500
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.3500
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.6500
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.3500
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.6500
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.3500
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.6500
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.3500
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.6500
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1622.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1622.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.4100
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.5900
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.4100
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.5900
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.4100
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.5900
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.4450
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1622.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1622.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.4300
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.5700
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.3850
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.6150
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.3850
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.6150
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.3850
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.6150
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.3000
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.7000
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.3000
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1622.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.3000
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.7000
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.3600
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.6400
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.3600
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.6400
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.3600
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.6400
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.3600
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.6400
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.3600
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.6400
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.4050
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.5950
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1622.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.5950
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.4450
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.5550
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.4450
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.5550
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.4450
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.5550
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.4450
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.5550
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.4450
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.5550
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.4450
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.5550
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.4450
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1622.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.4450
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.5550
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.4400
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.5600
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.4100
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.5900
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.3800
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.6200
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.4250
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.5750
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.3550
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.6450
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.1500
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.8500
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1542.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7120, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.5250
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.4750
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.4500
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.5500
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.4500
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.5500
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.4500
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.5500
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.4500
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.5500
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.4650
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.5350
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.4500
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.5500
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1622.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.5500
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.4500
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.5500
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.4300
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.5750
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.5750
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1622.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.5750
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.5750
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.5750
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.5750
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1622.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1622.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.4150
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.5850
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.4150
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1622.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.6500
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.3500
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.6500
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.3500
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.6500
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.3500
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.6500
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.3500
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.6500
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.3500
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.6500
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.3500
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.6500
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1622.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1622.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.4100
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.5900
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.4100
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.5900
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.4100
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.5900
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.4450
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1622.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1622.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.4300
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.5700
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.3850
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.6150
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.3850
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.6150
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.3850
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.6150
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.3000
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.7000
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.3000
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1622.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.3000
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.7000
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.3600
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.6400
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.3600
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.6400
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.3600
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.6400
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.3600
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.6400
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.3600
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.6400
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.4050
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.5950
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1622.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.5950
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.4450
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.5550
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.4450
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.5550
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.4450
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.5550
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.4450
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.5550
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.4450
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.5550
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.4450
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.5550
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.4450
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1622.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524356
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Podcast" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1659.053512
Price History:
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.4450
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.5550
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.4400
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.5600
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.4100
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.5900
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.3800
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.6200
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.4250
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.5750
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.3550
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.6450
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.1500
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.8500
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1542.83, Sell volume: 36.22, Average price: 0.7120, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.5000
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.5000
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.8150
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.1850
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.8400
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.1600
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9750
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0250
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9775
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.0225
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0230
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9770
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9770
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0230
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9655
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0345
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9655
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0345
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9775
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0225
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9775
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0225
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9775
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0225
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9775
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0225
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9765
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0235
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9770
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0230
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9765
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0235
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9770
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0230
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0230
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9770
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0230
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9770
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0230
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9770
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.0230
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9770
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0130
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9870
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 296.88, Sell volume: 48.00, Average price: 0.8022, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.9865
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 81.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9835
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0165
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9850
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0150
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9855
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0145
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0140
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9860
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0140
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9860
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0140
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9860
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9865
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0135
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0140
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9860
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9865
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0135
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0140
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9860
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0135
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9865
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0140
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9860
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0135
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9865
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0140
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9860
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9885
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9885
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9885
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9885
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9885
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9885
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 420.16, Sell volume: 7.12, Average price: 0.9181, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9885
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9885
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9885
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9885
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9885
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9885
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9885
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9885
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9885
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9870
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0130
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9870
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0130
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0130
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9870
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9870
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0130
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9870
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0130
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9870
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0130
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9870
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0130
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9860
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0140
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9860
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0140
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9865
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0135
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9860
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0140
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9865
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0135
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 479.98, Sell volume: 64.03, Average price: 0.1537, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9800
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0200
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9750
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0250
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0250
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9750
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0230
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9770
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0230
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9770
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0230
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9770
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9775
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0225
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9770
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0230
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0215
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9785
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0215
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9785
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9785
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9785
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9785
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9785
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9785
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 609.00, Sell volume: 106.03, Average price: 0.0210, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.0210

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9785
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9785
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0260
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9740
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0300
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9700
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0300
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9700
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0300
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9700
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0300
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9700
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0300
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9700
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0300
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9700
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0285
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9715
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0270
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9730
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0265
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9735
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0260
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9740
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0255
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9745
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0265
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9735
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0275
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9725
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0260
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9740
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0270
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9730
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0260
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9740
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0275
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9725
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9740
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0260
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9740
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0260
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9730
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 447.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7031, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9740

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0270
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9730
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0275
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9725
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0265
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9735
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0240
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9760
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9765
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0235
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9760
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0240
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9755
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0245
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0245
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9755
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9760
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0240
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9755
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0245
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9755
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0245
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9755
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0245
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9755
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0245
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9755
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0245
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9750
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0250
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9755
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0245
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0250
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9750
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0250
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9750
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0245
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9755
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9755
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0245
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9750
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0250
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9755
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0245
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.0229, Price range: 0.0229 - 0.0229

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0250
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9750
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0250
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9750
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0250
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9755
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0245
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9765
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0235
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9755
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0245
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9765
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0235
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0245
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9755
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9755
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0245
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9750
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0250
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9760
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0240
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9760
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0240
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0235
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9765
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9760
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0240
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9765
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0235
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9755
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0245
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0235
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9765
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9755
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0245
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9765
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0235
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9755
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0245
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9750
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0250
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9755
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0245
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9765
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 186, Buy volume: 8159.58, Sell volume: 1984.74, Average price: 0.7534, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0250
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9750
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0250
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9750
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0250
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9750
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9750
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0250
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0250
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9750
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9750
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0250
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9750
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0250
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 186, Buy volume: 8159.58, Sell volume: 1984.74, Average price: 0.7534, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0245
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0245
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9755
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 186, Buy volume: 8159.58, Sell volume: 1984.74, Average price: 0.7534, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9750
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0250
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9750
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0250
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9750
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9750
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0250
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0250
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9750
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0250
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9750
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0245
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9755
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0240
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9760
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0240
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9760
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9760
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0240
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9760
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0240
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9760
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0240
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0245
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9755
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0250
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9750
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9750
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0250
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9755
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0245
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0245
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9755
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0250
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9750
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0250
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9750
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9750
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0250
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 45.04, Sell volume: 325.89, Average price: 0.3417, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9770

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9760
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9770
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0230
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0235
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9765
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0230
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9770
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9765
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0235
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0230
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9770
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0235
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9765
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9770
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0230
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0235
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9765
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0230
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9770
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9770
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0230
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9765
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0235
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9770
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0230
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9765
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0235
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9770
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0230
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9765
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0235
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9765
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0235
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0305
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9695
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0260
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9740
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9740
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0260
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9395
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0605
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9270
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0730
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9095
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1711.45, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.6472, Price range: 0.0280 - 0.9790

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9095
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0905
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9150
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9160
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0840
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0840
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9160
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9160
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0840
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9160
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0840
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9155
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0845
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9155
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0845
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9160
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0840
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9155
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0845
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0775
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9225
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0525
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9475
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0505
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9495
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0500
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9500
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0510
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9490
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9570
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0430
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0475
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9525
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9510
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0490
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0415
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9585
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0385
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9615
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 4058.90, Sell volume: 1184.07, Average price: 0.8433, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.5300
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.4700
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.5150
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.4850
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.5050
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.4950
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.5250
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.4750
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.5200
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.4800
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 4421.83, Sell volume: 295.00, Average price: 0.5933, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.4800
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.5150
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.4850
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.5150
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.4850
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.4850
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.4950
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.5050
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.4900
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.5100
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.4900
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.5100
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.4900
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 4421.83, Sell volume: 295.00, Average price: 0.5933, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.4900
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.5100
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.4850
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.4850
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.4850
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.4850
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.4850
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.4850
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 4421.83, Sell volume: 295.00, Average price: 0.5933, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.4850
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.4500
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.5500
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.4500
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.5500
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.3900
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.6100
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.3900
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.6100
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.3950
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.6050
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.3900
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 4421.83, Sell volume: 295.00, Average price: 0.5933, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.3900
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.6100
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.3900
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.6100
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.3900
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.6100
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.3900
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 4421.83, Sell volume: 295.00, Average price: 0.5933, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.4300
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8200, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.4300
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.5700
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.4300
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.5700
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.4450
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.5550
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 70.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5976, Price range: 0.5976 - 0.5976

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.5600
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.4450
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.5550
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.4500
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.5500
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.4500
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.5500
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.4500
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.5500
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.4400
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.5600
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.4350
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.5650
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.4350
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.4300, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.4300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.4350
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.5650
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.4350
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.5650
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.4350
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.5650
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.4350
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.5650
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 110.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6200, Price range: 0.5700 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.5300
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.4800
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.5200
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.3750
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.6250
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.3750
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.6250
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.3750
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.6250
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.3750
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.6250
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.3750
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.6250
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.3800
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 423.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6403, Price range: 0.5700 - 0.7106

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.3800
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.6200
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.3850
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.6150
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.3850
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.6150
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.3850
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.6150
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.3800
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.6200
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.3800
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.6200
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.4400
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.5600
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.2600, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.2600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.5600
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.4500
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.5500
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.4500
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.5500
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.4500
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.5500
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.4500
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.5500
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.4500
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.5500
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.4500
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.5500
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.4500
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 4421.83, Sell volume: 295.00, Average price: 0.5933, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes