Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513158
Question: Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44989666.665491
Price History:
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.0015
2024-12-11 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-11 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-11 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 14:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 14:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 8226034694.17, Sell volume: 33649891.13, Average price: 0.1349, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513158
Question: Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44989666.665491
Price History:
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.0020
2024-12-17 06:00: 0.0020
2024-12-17 08:00: 0.0025
2024-12-17 10:00: 0.0025
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.0025
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.0045
2024-12-17 16:00: 0.0045
2024-12-17 18:00: 0.0045
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.0045
2024-12-17 22:00: 0.0045
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.0045
2024-12-18 02:00: 0.0045
2024-12-18 04:00: 0.0045
2024-12-18 06:00: 0.0045
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.0045
2024-12-18 10:00: 0.0045
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.0045
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.0045
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.0045
2024-12-18 18:00: 0.0045
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.0055
2024-12-18 22:00: 0.0055
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.0055
2024-12-19 02:00: 0.0055
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.0050
2024-12-19 06:00: 0.0050
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.0055
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.0050
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.0050
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.0050
2024-12-19 16:00: 0.0050
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.0050
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.0050
2024-12-19 22:00: 0.0050
2024-12-20 00:00: 0.0045
2024-12-20 02:00: 0.0045
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.0045
2024-12-20 06:00: 0.0030
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.0030
2024-12-20 10:00: 0.0030
2024-12-20 12:00: 0.0035
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.0035
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.0035
2024-12-20 18:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 8226034694.17, Sell volume: 33649891.13, Average price: 0.1349, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513158
Question: Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44989666.665491
Price History:
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 22:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 02:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 04:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 06:00: 0.0085
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.0085
2024-12-22 10:00: 0.0090
2024-12-22 12:00: 0.0095
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.0100
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.0095
2024-12-22 18:00: 0.0095
2024-12-22 20:00: 0.0100
2024-12-22 22:00: 0.0095
2024-12-23 00:00: 0.0090
2024-12-23 02:00: 0.0090
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.0085
2024-12-23 06:00: 0.0080
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.0095
2024-12-23 10:00: 0.0105
2024-12-23 12:00: 0.0105
2024-12-23 14:00: 0.0105
2024-12-23 16:00: 0.0090
2024-12-23 18:00: 0.0090
2024-12-23 20:00: 0.0090
2024-12-23 22:00: 0.0090
2024-12-24 00:00: 0.0090
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.0090
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.0095
2024-12-24 06:00: 0.0090
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.0090
2024-12-24 10:00: 0.0090
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.0090
2024-12-24 14:00: 0.0090
2024-12-24 16:00: 0.0090
2024-12-24 18:00: 0.0090
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.0090
2024-12-24 22:00: 0.0105
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.0095
2024-12-25 02:00: 0.0085
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.0085
2024-12-25 06:00: 0.0095
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.0095
2024-12-25 10:00: 0.0095
2024-12-25 12:00: 0.0095
2024-12-25 14:00: 0.0090
2024-12-25 16:00: 0.0090
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.0090
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.0090
2024-12-25 22:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 8226034694.17, Sell volume: 33649891.13, Average price: 0.1349, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513158
Question: Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44989666.665491
Price History:
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.0095
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.0095
2024-12-27 04:00: 0.0095
2024-12-27 06:00: 0.0095
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.0095
2024-12-27 10:00: 0.0095
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0095
2024-12-27 14:00: 0.0095
2024-12-27 16:00: 0.0095
2024-12-27 18:00: 0.0095
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0105
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.0095
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.0095
2024-12-28 02:00: 0.0095
2024-12-28 04:00: 0.0095
2024-12-28 06:00: 0.0095
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.0095
2024-12-28 10:00: 0.0090
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.0090
2024-12-28 14:00: 0.0090
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.0090
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.0090
2024-12-28 20:00: 0.0090
2024-12-28 22:00: 0.0090
2024-12-29 00:00: 0.0090
2024-12-29 02:00: 0.0090
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.0085
2024-12-29 06:00: 0.0085
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.0080
2024-12-29 10:00: 0.0080
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.0080
2024-12-29 14:00: 0.0080
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.0080
2024-12-29 18:00: 0.0080
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.0080
2024-12-29 22:00: 0.0075
2024-12-30 00:00: 0.0080
2024-12-30 02:00: 0.0080
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.0085
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.0080
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.0080
2024-12-30 10:00: 0.0080
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0080
2024-12-30 14:00: 0.0080
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.0080
2024-12-30 18:00: 0.0080
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.0080
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.0080
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0080
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 817182, Buy volume: 7009189767.53, Sell volume: 6011642.34, Average price: 0.1051, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513158
Question: Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44989666.665491
Price History:
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.0080
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.0075
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.0080
2025-01-01 10:00: 0.0080
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0080
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.0080
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.0080
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.0080
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.0080
2025-01-01 22:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 16:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.0080
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0080
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.0080
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.0080
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.0080
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.0080
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.0080
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-01-04 02:00: 0.0045
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.0045
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.0045
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-04 10:00: 0.0045
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.0045
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.0030
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0030
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.0020
2025-01-04 22:00: 0.0020
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.0020
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.0020
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.0020
2025-01-05 06:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 175840, Buy volume: 1215719347.64, Sell volume: 27549855.74, Average price: 0.2521, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513158
Question: Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44989666.665491
Price History:
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.0145
2025-01-06 10:00: 0.0125
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0035
2025-01-06 14:00: 0.0030
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.0030
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.0050
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.0050
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.0035
2025-01-07 02:00: 0.0030
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.0100
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.0070
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.0110
2025-01-07 10:00: 0.0115
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.0115
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.0075
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.0115
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.0130
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.0095
2025-01-07 22:00: 0.0130
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0070
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.0065
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.0060
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.0075
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.0075
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.0065
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.0065
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.0070
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.0070
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.0115
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0115
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.0120
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.0075
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.0075
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.0075
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.0075
2025-01-09 10:00: 0.0100
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.0070
2025-01-09 14:00: 0.0070
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.0070
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.0075
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.0075
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.0075
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.0075
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.0075
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.0075
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.0075
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.0070
2025-01-10 10:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 171, Buy volume: 418469.26, Sell volume: 17314.89, Average price: 0.3940, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513158
Question: Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44989666.665491
Price History:
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0110
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.0105
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.0105
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.0105
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.0105
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0095
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.0095
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.0095
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.0150
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.0115
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0120
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.0125
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0105
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.0105
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.0105
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.0105
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.0100
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.0095
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.0105
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.0095
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.0095
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.0095
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.0095
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.0095
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.0095
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.0095
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.0090
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.0090
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.0090
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0105
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.0085
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.0065
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.0065
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.0065
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.0065
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.0065
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.0065
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.0065
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.0065
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0065
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.0065
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.0065
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.0065
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.0065
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.0065
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0065
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.0065
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.0065
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 197, Buy volume: 387465.18, Sell volume: 15671.43, Average price: 0.5837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513158
Question: Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44989666.665491
Price History:
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.0035
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.0030
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.0030
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0030
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.0035
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.0035
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.0035
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0035
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.0035
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.0030
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0030
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0030
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.0025
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 604, Buy volume: 244801.38, Sell volume: 35127.47, Average price: 0.8072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513158
Question: Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 44989666.665491
Price History:
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.2000
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.0400
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.0355
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0285
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.0060
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.0130
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.0120
2024-11-16 20:00: 0.0140
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.0145
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.0095
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.0140
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.0120
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0115
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.0145
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.0145
2024-11-18 04:00: 0.0095
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.0095
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.0065
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.0080
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0065
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.0065
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.0065
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.0065
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.0065
2024-11-19 16:00: 0.0090
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.0085
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.0100
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.0080
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.0085
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 8226034694.17, Sell volume: 33649891.13, Average price: 0.1349, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513158
Question: Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 44989666.665491
Price History:
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.0085
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.0085
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.0080
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.0080
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0080
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.0085
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0080
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0080
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.0080
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.0080
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0090
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0080
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0085
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0085
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0080
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0080
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.0080
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.0080
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0080
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0080
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0080
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0080
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.0080
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.0080
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0085
2024-11-25 00:00: 0.0080
2024-11-25 04:00: 0.0080
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0080
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.0080
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 8226034694.17, Sell volume: 33649891.13, Average price: 0.1349, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513158
Question: Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 44989666.665491
Price History:
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.0080
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.0080
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.0080
2024-11-26 12:00: 0.0080
2024-11-26 16:00: 0.0070
2024-11-26 20:00: 0.0070
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.0070
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.0070
2024-11-27 08:00: 0.0065
2024-11-27 12:00: 0.0065
2024-11-27 16:00: 0.0065
2024-11-27 20:00: 0.0065
2024-11-28 00:00: 0.0065
2024-11-28 04:00: 0.0080
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.0075
2024-11-28 12:00: 0.0075
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.0070
2024-11-28 20:00: 0.0070
2024-11-29 00:00: 0.0070
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.0070
2024-11-29 08:00: 0.0070
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.0075
2024-11-29 16:00: 0.0070
2024-11-29 20:00: 0.0070
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.0070
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.0070
2024-11-30 08:00: 0.0075
2024-11-30 12:00: 0.0070
2024-11-30 16:00: 0.0070
2024-11-30 20:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 8226034694.17, Sell volume: 33649891.13, Average price: 0.1349, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513158
Question: Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 44989666.665491
Price History:
2024-12-01 04:00: 0.0075
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.0070
2024-12-01 12:00: 0.0070
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.0070
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.0070
2024-12-02 00:00: 0.0070
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.0075
2024-12-02 08:00: 0.0070
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.0070
2024-12-02 16:00: 0.0070
2024-12-02 20:00: 0.0070
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.0070
2024-12-03 04:00: 0.0070
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.0070
2024-12-03 12:00: 0.0070
2024-12-03 16:00: 0.0070
2024-12-03 20:00: 0.0070
2024-12-04 00:00: 0.0070
2024-12-04 04:00: 0.0070
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.0070
2024-12-04 12:00: 0.0080
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.0070
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.0075
2024-12-05 00:00: 0.0070
2024-12-05 04:00: 0.0075
2024-12-05 08:00: 0.0075
2024-12-05 12:00: 0.0080
2024-12-05 16:00: 0.0075
2024-12-05 20:00: 0.0075
2024-12-06 00:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 8226034694.17, Sell volume: 33649891.13, Average price: 0.1349, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513158
Question: Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 44989666.665491
Price History:
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.0070
2024-12-06 12:00: 0.0070
2024-12-06 16:00: 0.0070
2024-12-06 20:00: 0.0075
2024-12-07 00:00: 0.0075
2024-12-07 04:00: 0.0080
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.0075
2024-12-07 12:00: 0.0075
2024-12-07 16:00: 0.0080
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.0085
2024-12-08 00:00: 0.0090
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.0090
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.0085
2024-12-08 12:00: 0.0085
2024-12-08 16:00: 0.0085
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.0090
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.0095
2024-12-09 04:00: 0.0090
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.0080
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.0080
2024-12-09 16:00: 0.0075
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.0055
2024-12-10 00:00: 0.0070
2024-12-10 04:00: 0.0055
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.0045
2024-12-10 12:00: 0.0055
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-11 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-11 04:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 8226034694.17, Sell volume: 33649891.13, Average price: 0.1349, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513158
Question: Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 44989666.665491
Price History:
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-11 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 08:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 8226034694.17, Sell volume: 33649891.13, Average price: 0.1349, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513158
Question: Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 44989666.665491
Price History:
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.0020
2024-12-17 08:00: 0.0025
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.0025
2024-12-17 16:00: 0.0045
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.0045
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.0045
2024-12-18 04:00: 0.0045
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.0045
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.0045
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.0045
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.0055
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.0055
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.0050
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.0055
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.0050
2024-12-19 16:00: 0.0050
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.0050
2024-12-20 00:00: 0.0045
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.0045
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.0030
2024-12-20 12:00: 0.0035
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.0035
2024-12-20 20:00: 0.0035
2024-12-21 00:00: 0.0035
2024-12-21 04:00: 0.0035
2024-12-21 08:00: 0.0040
2024-12-21 12:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 8226034694.17, Sell volume: 33649891.13, Average price: 0.1349, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513158
Question: Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 44989666.665491
Price History:
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 04:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.0085
2024-12-22 12:00: 0.0095
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.0095
2024-12-22 20:00: 0.0100
2024-12-23 00:00: 0.0090
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.0085
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.0095
2024-12-23 12:00: 0.0105
2024-12-23 16:00: 0.0090
2024-12-23 20:00: 0.0090
2024-12-24 00:00: 0.0090
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.0095
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.0090
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.0090
2024-12-24 16:00: 0.0090
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.0090
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.0095
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.0085
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.0095
2024-12-25 12:00: 0.0095
2024-12-25 16:00: 0.0090
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.0090
2024-12-26 00:00: 0.0090
2024-12-26 04:00: 0.0080
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.0090
2024-12-26 12:00: 0.0090
2024-12-26 16:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 8226034694.17, Sell volume: 33649891.13, Average price: 0.1349, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513158
Question: Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 44989666.665491
Price History:
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.0095
2024-12-27 04:00: 0.0095
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.0095
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0095
2024-12-27 16:00: 0.0095
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0105
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.0095
2024-12-28 04:00: 0.0095
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.0095
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.0090
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.0090
2024-12-28 20:00: 0.0090
2024-12-29 00:00: 0.0090
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.0085
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.0080
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.0080
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.0080
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.0080
2024-12-30 00:00: 0.0080
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.0085
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.0080
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0080
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.0080
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.0080
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0080
2024-12-31 04:00: 0.0080
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.0085
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.0080
2024-12-31 16:00: 0.0080
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 817182, Buy volume: 7009189767.53, Sell volume: 6011642.34, Average price: 0.1051, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513158
Question: Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 44989666.665491
Price History:
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.0080
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.0080
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0080
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.0080
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 16:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.0080
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0080
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.0080
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.0080
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.0045
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.0045
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0030
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.0020
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.0020
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.0020
2025-01-05 08:00: 0.0020
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.0020
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.0020
2025-01-05 20:00: 0.0020
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 175840, Buy volume: 1215719347.64, Sell volume: 27549855.74, Average price: 0.2521, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513158
Question: Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 44989666.665491
Price History:
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.0145
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0035
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.0050
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.0035
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.0100
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.0110
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.0115
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.0115
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.0095
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0070
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.0060
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.0075
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.0065
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.0070
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0115
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.0075
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.0075
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.0070
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.0070
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.0075
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.0075
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.0075
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.0070
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.0110
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.0110
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0110
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.0110
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 171, Buy volume: 418469.26, Sell volume: 17314.89, Average price: 0.3940, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513158
Question: Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 44989666.665491
Price History:
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0110
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.0105
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.0105
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.0095
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.0150
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0120
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0105
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.0105
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.0095
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.0095
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.0095
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.0095
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.0095
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.0090
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0105
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.0065
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.0065
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.0065
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.0065
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0065
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.0065
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.0065
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0065
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.0065
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0065
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0065
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.0065
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.0065
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 197, Buy volume: 387465.18, Sell volume: 15671.43, Average price: 0.5837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513158
Question: Will Keith Rabois be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 44989666.665491
Price History:
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.0035
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.0030
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0030
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.0035
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0035
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.0030
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0030
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 604, Buy volume: 244801.38, Sell volume: 35127.47, Average price: 0.8072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-11-06 17:00: 0.4850
2024-11-06 19:00: 0.2700
2024-11-06 21:00: 0.2900
2024-11-06 23:00: 0.1650
2024-11-07 01:00: 0.2300
2024-11-07 03:00: 0.2250
2024-11-07 05:00: 0.2250
2024-11-07 07:00: 0.2250
2024-11-07 09:00: 0.2200
2024-11-07 11:00: 0.2200
2024-11-07 13:00: 0.2200
2024-11-07 15:00: 0.1500
2024-11-07 17:00: 0.1150
2024-11-07 19:00: 0.0900
2024-11-07 21:00: 0.1250
2024-11-07 23:00: 0.1150
2024-11-08 01:00: 0.1650
2024-11-08 03:00: 0.1750
2024-11-08 05:00: 0.1650
2024-11-08 07:00: 0.1650
2024-11-08 09:00: 0.1900
2024-11-08 11:00: 0.1800
2024-11-08 13:00: 0.1650
2024-11-08 15:00: 0.1700
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.1700
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.1700
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.1600
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.1600
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.1550
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.1600
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.2250
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.2250
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.2200
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.1600
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.1600
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.1550
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.1400
2024-11-09 19:00: 0.2050
2024-11-09 21:00: 0.0750
2024-11-09 23:00: 0.1150
2024-11-10 01:00: 0.1200
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.1250
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.1250
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.1500
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.1650
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.1450
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.1150
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.0700
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.0335
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.0555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96026786.28, Sell volume: 66162.35, Average price: 0.9969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-11-11 04:00: 0.0525
2024-11-11 06:00: 0.0455
2024-11-11 08:00: 0.0575
2024-11-11 10:00: 0.0590
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.0585
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.0580
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.0615
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.0995
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.0865
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.0935
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.0890
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.1150
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.1160
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.1160
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.1205
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.1145
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.2200
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.1425
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.1365
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.1085
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.1205
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.1090
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.1100
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.1140
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.1195
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.1235
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.1230
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.0885
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.1185
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.0035
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0030
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0030
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0040
2024-11-14 00:00: 0.0045
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.0045
2024-11-14 04:00: 0.0035
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.0040
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.0040
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.0040
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.0040
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.0040
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.0040
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.0040
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.0040
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.0045
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.0035
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.0030
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.0030
2024-11-15 06:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96026786.28, Sell volume: 66162.35, Average price: 0.9969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.0030
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.0030
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.0030
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.0030
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.0030
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0030
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.0030
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.0030
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.0020
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.0020
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.0020
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0020
2024-11-16 15:00: 0.0020
2024-11-16 17:00: 0.0020
2024-11-16 19:00: 0.0020
2024-11-16 21:00: 0.0020
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.0020
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.0020
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.0020
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.0020
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0020
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.0020
2024-11-18 01:00: 0.0020
2024-11-18 03:00: 0.0020
2024-11-18 05:00: 0.0020
2024-11-18 07:00: 0.0020
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.0020
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.0020
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0020
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.0020
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.0020
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.0020
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.0020
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.0020
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.0020
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.0020
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.0020
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.0020
2024-11-19 09:00: 0.0020
2024-11-19 11:00: 0.0020
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.0020
2024-11-19 15:00: 0.0020
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96026786.28, Sell volume: 66162.35, Average price: 0.9969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.0020
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.0020
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.0020
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.0020
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.0020
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.0020
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.0020
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.0020
2024-11-20 18:00: 0.0020
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.0020
2024-11-20 22:00: 0.0020
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.0020
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.0020
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.0020
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0020
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.0020
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.0020
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0020
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0020
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.0020
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.0020
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0020
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.0020
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0020
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.0020
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.0020
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.0020
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.0020
2024-11-22 10:00: 0.0020
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0020
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.0020
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0020
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.0020
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0020
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.0020
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0020
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0020
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0020
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.0020
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0020
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.0020
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.0020
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.0020
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.0020
2024-11-23 18:00: 0.0020
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0020
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96026786.28, Sell volume: 66162.35, Average price: 0.9969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 21:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 23:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 01:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 07:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 09:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 11:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 13:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 15:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 17:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 19:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 21:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 23:00: 0.0020
2024-11-27 01:00: 0.0020
2024-11-27 03:00: 0.0020
2024-11-27 05:00: 0.0020
2024-11-27 07:00: 0.0020
2024-11-27 09:00: 0.0020
2024-11-27 11:00: 0.0020
2024-11-27 13:00: 0.0020
2024-11-27 15:00: 0.0020
2024-11-27 17:00: 0.0020
2024-11-27 19:00: 0.0020
2024-11-27 21:00: 0.0020
2024-11-27 23:00: 0.0020
2024-11-28 01:00: 0.0020
2024-11-28 03:00: 0.0020
2024-11-28 05:00: 0.0020
2024-11-28 07:00: 0.0020
2024-11-28 09:00: 0.0020
2024-11-28 11:00: 0.0020
2024-11-28 13:00: 0.0020
2024-11-28 15:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96026786.28, Sell volume: 66162.35, Average price: 0.9969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-11-29 00:00: 0.0025
2024-11-29 02:00: 0.0025
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.0025
2024-11-29 06:00: 0.0025
2024-11-29 08:00: 0.0025
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.0025
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.0025
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.0025
2024-11-29 16:00: 0.0025
2024-11-29 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-29 20:00: 0.0035
2024-11-29 22:00: 0.0035
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.0035
2024-11-30 02:00: 0.0035
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.0035
2024-11-30 06:00: 0.0035
2024-11-30 08:00: 0.0035
2024-11-30 10:00: 0.0035
2024-11-30 12:00: 0.0035
2024-11-30 14:00: 0.0035
2024-11-30 16:00: 0.0035
2024-11-30 18:00: 0.0035
2024-11-30 20:00: 0.0035
2024-11-30 22:00: 0.0035
2024-12-01 00:00: 0.0035
2024-12-01 02:00: 0.0035
2024-12-01 04:00: 0.0035
2024-12-01 06:00: 0.0035
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.0035
2024-12-01 10:00: 0.0035
2024-12-01 12:00: 0.0035
2024-12-01 14:00: 0.0035
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.0035
2024-12-01 18:00: 0.0035
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.0035
2024-12-01 22:00: 0.0035
2024-12-02 00:00: 0.0035
2024-12-02 02:00: 0.0035
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.0035
2024-12-02 06:00: 0.0035
2024-12-02 08:00: 0.0035
2024-12-02 10:00: 0.0035
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.0035
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.0035
2024-12-02 16:00: 0.0035
2024-12-02 18:00: 0.0035
2024-12-02 20:00: 0.0035
2024-12-02 22:00: 0.0035
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.0035
2024-12-03 02:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96026786.28, Sell volume: 66162.35, Average price: 0.9969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-12-03 11:00: 0.0035
2024-12-03 13:00: 0.0035
2024-12-03 15:00: 0.0035
2024-12-03 17:00: 0.0035
2024-12-03 19:00: 0.0035
2024-12-03 21:00: 0.0035
2024-12-03 23:00: 0.0035
2024-12-04 01:00: 0.0030
2024-12-04 03:00: 0.0030
2024-12-04 05:00: 0.0030
2024-12-04 07:00: 0.0030
2024-12-04 09:00: 0.0030
2024-12-04 11:00: 0.0030
2024-12-04 13:00: 0.0030
2024-12-04 15:00: 0.0030
2024-12-04 17:00: 0.0030
2024-12-04 19:00: 0.0030
2024-12-04 21:00: 0.0030
2024-12-04 23:00: 0.0030
2024-12-05 01:00: 0.0035
2024-12-05 03:00: 0.0035
2024-12-05 05:00: 0.0035
2024-12-05 07:00: 0.0035
2024-12-05 09:00: 0.0035
2024-12-05 11:00: 0.0035
2024-12-05 13:00: 0.0035
2024-12-05 15:00: 0.0035
2024-12-05 17:00: 0.0035
2024-12-05 19:00: 0.0035
2024-12-05 21:00: 0.0035
2024-12-05 23:00: 0.0035
2024-12-06 01:00: 0.0035
2024-12-06 03:00: 0.0035
2024-12-06 05:00: 0.0030
2024-12-06 07:00: 0.0030
2024-12-06 09:00: 0.0030
2024-12-06 11:00: 0.0030
2024-12-06 13:00: 0.0030
2024-12-06 15:00: 0.0030
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.0030
2024-12-06 19:00: 0.0030
2024-12-06 21:00: 0.0030
2024-12-06 23:00: 0.0030
2024-12-07 01:00: 0.0030
2024-12-07 03:00: 0.0030
2024-12-07 05:00: 0.0030
2024-12-07 07:00: 0.0030
2024-12-07 09:00: 0.0030
2024-12-07 11:00: 0.0030
2024-12-07 13:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96026786.28, Sell volume: 66162.35, Average price: 0.9969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-12-07 22:00: 0.0030
2024-12-08 00:00: 0.0030
2024-12-08 02:00: 0.0030
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.0030
2024-12-08 06:00: 0.0030
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.0030
2024-12-08 10:00: 0.0030
2024-12-08 12:00: 0.0030
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.0030
2024-12-08 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-08 18:00: 0.0030
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.0030
2024-12-08 22:00: 0.0030
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.0030
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.0030
2024-12-09 04:00: 0.0030
2024-12-09 06:00: 0.0030
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.0030
2024-12-09 10:00: 0.0030
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.0030
2024-12-09 14:00: 0.0030
2024-12-09 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-09 18:00: 0.0030
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.0030
2024-12-09 22:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 00:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 04:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 10:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 12:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 14:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 18:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 22:00: 0.0030
2024-12-11 00:00: 0.0030
2024-12-11 02:00: 0.0030
2024-12-11 04:00: 0.0030
2024-12-11 06:00: 0.0030
2024-12-11 08:00: 0.0030
2024-12-11 10:00: 0.0030
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.0030
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.0030
2024-12-11 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-11 18:00: 0.0030
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.0030
2024-12-11 22:00: 0.0030
2024-12-12 00:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96026786.28, Sell volume: 66162.35, Average price: 0.9969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-12-12 09:00: 0.0035
2024-12-12 11:00: 0.0030
2024-12-12 13:00: 0.0030
2024-12-12 15:00: 0.0030
2024-12-12 17:00: 0.0030
2024-12-12 19:00: 0.0030
2024-12-12 21:00: 0.0030
2024-12-12 23:00: 0.0030
2024-12-13 01:00: 0.0030
2024-12-13 03:00: 0.0030
2024-12-13 05:00: 0.0030
2024-12-13 07:00: 0.0125
2024-12-13 09:00: 0.0045
2024-12-13 11:00: 0.0020
2024-12-13 13:00: 0.0025
2024-12-13 15:00: 0.0025
2024-12-13 17:00: 0.0025
2024-12-13 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 11:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999586, Buy volume: 95974396.60, Sell volume: 25454.19, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 22:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 00:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 02:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-20 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 10:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 12:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 18:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 22:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 170, Buy volume: 5568.00, Sell volume: 4723.08, Average price: 0.9457, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 09:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 11:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 13:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 15:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 19:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 21:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 23:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 03:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 07:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 09:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 11:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 15:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 17:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 21:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 03:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 07:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 11:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 15:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 17:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 19:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 21:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 23:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 01:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 03:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 07:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 09:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 11:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 13:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 17:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 21:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 23:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 03:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-25 09:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 2530.72, Sell volume: 3404.16, Average price: 0.8874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.0025
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.0025
2024-12-25 22:00: 0.0025
2024-12-26 00:00: 0.0025
2024-12-26 02:00: 0.0025
2024-12-26 04:00: 0.0025
2024-12-26 06:00: 0.0025
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.0025
2024-12-26 10:00: 0.0025
2024-12-26 12:00: 0.0020
2024-12-26 14:00: 0.0020
2024-12-26 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-26 18:00: 0.0020
2024-12-26 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-26 22:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 04:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 06:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.0025
2024-12-27 10:00: 0.0025
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 14:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 18:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0025
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.0025
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.0025
2024-12-28 02:00: 0.0025
2024-12-28 04:00: 0.0025
2024-12-28 06:00: 0.0025
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.0025
2024-12-28 10:00: 0.0025
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.0025
2024-12-28 14:00: 0.0025
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.0025
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.0025
2024-12-28 20:00: 0.0025
2024-12-28 22:00: 0.0025
2024-12-29 00:00: 0.0025
2024-12-29 02:00: 0.0025
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.0025
2024-12-29 06:00: 0.0030
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.0025
2024-12-29 10:00: 0.0020
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.0020
2024-12-29 14:00: 0.0020
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-29 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 2462.86, Sell volume: 15969.72, Average price: 0.8148, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-12-30 05:00: 0.0005
2024-12-30 07:00: 0.0005
2024-12-30 09:00: 0.0005
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.0005
2024-12-30 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 23:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 23:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 07:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-01-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.0015
2025-01-03 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-03 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-03 07:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 25277.99, Sell volume: 16072.67, Average price: 0.5727, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-11-06 17:00: 0.4850
2024-11-06 20:00: 0.7100
2024-11-07 00:00: 0.1700
2024-11-07 03:00: 0.7750
2024-11-07 07:00: 0.2250
2024-11-07 10:00: 0.7800
2024-11-07 14:00: 0.1450
2024-11-07 17:00: 0.8850
2024-11-07 21:00: 0.1250
2024-11-08 00:00: 0.8500
2024-11-08 04:00: 0.1650
2024-11-08 07:00: 0.8350
2024-11-08 11:00: 0.1800
2024-11-08 14:00: 0.8350
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.1750
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.8400
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.1550
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.8400
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.2250
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.8400
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.1550
2024-11-09 18:00: 0.8650
2024-11-09 22:00: 0.0750
2024-11-10 01:00: 0.8800
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.1250
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.8300
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.1450
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.9300
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.0555
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.8940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96026786.28, Sell volume: 66162.35, Average price: 0.9969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-11-11 04:00: 0.0525
2024-11-11 07:00: 0.9550
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.0565
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.9420
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.0995
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.8975
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.1125
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.8840
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.1205
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.8710
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.1470
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.8915
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.1090
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.8860
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.1180
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.8770
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.1185
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.9970
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0030
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9960
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.0045
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.9970
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.0040
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.9960
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.0040
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.9960
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.0045
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.9970
2024-11-15 06:00: 0.0030
2024-11-15 09:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96026786.28, Sell volume: 66162.35, Average price: 0.9969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.0030
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.9970
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.0030
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.9970
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.0030
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.9980
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.0020
2024-11-16 15:00: 0.9980
2024-11-16 19:00: 0.0020
2024-11-16 22:00: 0.9980
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.0020
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.9980
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.0020
2024-11-18 02:00: 0.9980
2024-11-18 06:00: 0.0020
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.9980
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0020
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.9980
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0020
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.9980
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.0020
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.9980
2024-11-19 10:00: 0.0020
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.9980
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0020
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96026786.28, Sell volume: 66162.35, Average price: 0.9969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.0020
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.9980
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.0020
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.9980
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.0020
2024-11-20 19:00: 0.9980
2024-11-20 23:00: 0.0020
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.9980
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0020
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.9980
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.0020
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.9980
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0020
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.9980
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.0020
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.9980
2024-11-22 10:00: 0.0020
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.9980
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.0020
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.9980
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0020
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.9980
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.0020
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.9980
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.0020
2024-11-23 17:00: 0.9980
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.9980
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96026786.28, Sell volume: 66162.35, Average price: 0.9969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.9980
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 23:00: 0.9980
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.9980
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.9980
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.9980
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.9980
2024-11-26 07:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.9980
2024-11-26 14:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 17:00: 0.9980
2024-11-26 21:00: 0.0020
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.9980
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.0020
2024-11-27 07:00: 0.9980
2024-11-27 11:00: 0.0020
2024-11-27 14:00: 0.9980
2024-11-27 18:00: 0.0020
2024-11-27 21:00: 0.9980
2024-11-28 01:00: 0.0020
2024-11-28 04:00: 0.9980
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.0020
2024-11-28 11:00: 0.9980
2024-11-28 15:00: 0.0020
2024-11-28 18:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96026786.28, Sell volume: 66162.35, Average price: 0.9969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-11-29 00:00: 0.0025
2024-11-29 03:00: 0.9975
2024-11-29 07:00: 0.0025
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.9975
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.0025
2024-11-29 17:00: 0.9975
2024-11-29 21:00: 0.0035
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.9965
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.0035
2024-11-30 07:00: 0.9965
2024-11-30 11:00: 0.0035
2024-11-30 14:00: 0.9965
2024-11-30 18:00: 0.0035
2024-11-30 21:00: 0.9965
2024-12-01 01:00: 0.0035
2024-12-01 04:00: 0.9965
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.0035
2024-12-01 11:00: 0.9965
2024-12-01 15:00: 0.0035
2024-12-01 18:00: 0.9965
2024-12-01 22:00: 0.0035
2024-12-02 01:00: 0.9965
2024-12-02 05:00: 0.0035
2024-12-02 08:00: 0.9965
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.0035
2024-12-02 15:00: 0.9965
2024-12-02 19:00: 0.0035
2024-12-02 22:00: 0.9965
2024-12-03 02:00: 0.0035
2024-12-03 05:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96026786.28, Sell volume: 66162.35, Average price: 0.9969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-12-03 11:00: 0.0035
2024-12-03 14:00: 0.9965
2024-12-03 18:00: 0.0035
2024-12-03 21:00: 0.9965
2024-12-04 01:00: 0.0030
2024-12-04 04:00: 0.9965
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.0030
2024-12-04 11:00: 0.9970
2024-12-04 15:00: 0.0030
2024-12-04 18:00: 0.9970
2024-12-04 22:00: 0.0030
2024-12-05 01:00: 0.9965
2024-12-05 05:00: 0.0035
2024-12-05 08:00: 0.9965
2024-12-05 12:00: 0.0035
2024-12-05 15:00: 0.9965
2024-12-05 19:00: 0.0035
2024-12-05 22:00: 0.9965
2024-12-06 02:00: 0.0035
2024-12-06 05:00: 0.9970
2024-12-06 09:00: 0.0030
2024-12-06 12:00: 0.9970
2024-12-06 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-06 19:00: 0.9970
2024-12-06 23:00: 0.0030
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.9970
2024-12-07 06:00: 0.0030
2024-12-07 09:00: 0.9970
2024-12-07 13:00: 0.0030
2024-12-07 16:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96026786.28, Sell volume: 66162.35, Average price: 0.9969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-12-07 22:00: 0.0030
2024-12-08 01:00: 0.9970
2024-12-08 05:00: 0.0030
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.9970
2024-12-08 12:00: 0.0030
2024-12-08 15:00: 0.9970
2024-12-08 19:00: 0.0030
2024-12-08 22:00: 0.9970
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.0030
2024-12-09 05:00: 0.9970
2024-12-09 09:00: 0.0030
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.9970
2024-12-09 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-09 19:00: 0.9970
2024-12-09 23:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.9970
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 09:00: 0.9970
2024-12-10 13:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.9970
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 23:00: 0.9970
2024-12-11 03:00: 0.0030
2024-12-11 06:00: 0.9970
2024-12-11 10:00: 0.0030
2024-12-11 13:00: 0.9970
2024-12-11 17:00: 0.0030
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.9970
2024-12-12 00:00: 0.0030
2024-12-12 03:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96026786.28, Sell volume: 66162.35, Average price: 0.9969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-12-12 09:00: 0.0035
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.9970
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-12 19:00: 0.9970
2024-12-12 23:00: 0.0030
2024-12-13 02:00: 0.9970
2024-12-13 06:00: 0.0030
2024-12-13 09:00: 0.9955
2024-12-13 13:00: 0.0025
2024-12-13 16:00: 0.9975
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 23:00: 0.9985
2024-12-14 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 06:00: 0.9985
2024-12-14 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 13:00: 0.9985
2024-12-14 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.9985
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 03:00: 0.9985
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 10:00: 0.9985
2024-12-15 14:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 17:00: 0.9985
2024-12-15 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 00:00: 0.9985
2024-12-16 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 07:00: 0.9985
2024-12-16 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999586, Buy volume: 95974396.60, Sell volume: 25454.19, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 23:00: 0.9985
2024-12-17 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 06:00: 0.9985
2024-12-17 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.9985
2024-12-17 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.9985
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 03:00: 0.9985
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 10:00: 0.9985
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 17:00: 0.9985
2024-12-18 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.9985
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 07:00: 0.9985
2024-12-19 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.9985
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 21:00: 0.9980
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.9985
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.9980
2024-12-20 15:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 18:00: 0.9980
2024-12-20 22:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 01:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 170, Buy volume: 5568.00, Sell volume: 4723.08, Average price: 0.9457, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 10:00: 0.9980
2024-12-21 14:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.9980
2024-12-21 21:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.9980
2024-12-22 04:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 07:00: 0.9980
2024-12-22 11:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.9980
2024-12-22 18:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 21:00: 0.9980
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.9980
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 11:00: 0.9980
2024-12-23 15:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 18:00: 0.9980
2024-12-23 22:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 01:00: 0.9980
2024-12-24 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.9980
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.9980
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 22:00: 0.9980
2024-12-25 02:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.9980
2024-12-25 09:00: 0.0025
2024-12-25 12:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 2530.72, Sell volume: 3404.16, Average price: 0.8874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.0025
2024-12-25 21:00: 0.9975
2024-12-26 01:00: 0.0025
2024-12-26 04:00: 0.9975
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.0025
2024-12-26 11:00: 0.9975
2024-12-26 15:00: 0.0020
2024-12-26 18:00: 0.9980
2024-12-26 22:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 01:00: 0.9980
2024-12-27 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.9975
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.9980
2024-12-27 19:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.9975
2024-12-28 02:00: 0.0025
2024-12-28 05:00: 0.9975
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.0025
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.9975
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.0025
2024-12-28 19:00: 0.9975
2024-12-28 23:00: 0.0025
2024-12-29 02:00: 0.9975
2024-12-29 06:00: 0.0030
2024-12-29 09:00: 0.9980
2024-12-29 13:00: 0.0020
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.9980
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.0005
2024-12-29 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 2462.86, Sell volume: 15969.72, Average price: 0.8148, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512216
Question: Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 651008.187427001
Price History:
2024-12-30 05:00: 0.0005
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.9995
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0005
2024-12-30 15:00: 0.9985
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.9985
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.9985
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.9985
2024-12-31 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 19:00: 0.9985
2024-12-31 23:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.9985
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 09:00: 0.9985
2025-01-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.9985
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 23:00: 0.9985
2025-01-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.9985
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-01-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.9985
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.9985
2025-01-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 25277.99, Sell volume: 16072.67, Average price: 0.5727, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.1050
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.0365
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.0400
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.0345
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.0340
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.0330
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0320
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.0325
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.0335
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.0335
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.0330
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.0330
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.0290
2024-11-16 18:00: 0.0285
2024-11-16 20:00: 0.0285
2024-11-16 22:00: 0.0300
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.0300
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.0370
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.0390
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.0390
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.0360
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.0310
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.0305
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.0330
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0315
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.0285
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.0245
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.0275
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.0275
2024-11-18 02:00: 0.0235
2024-11-18 04:00: 0.0275
2024-11-18 06:00: 0.0235
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.0250
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.0225
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.0270
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.0275
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.0245
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.0240
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0275
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.0250
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.0275
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.0275
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.0235
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.0235
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.0235
2024-11-19 10:00: 0.0235
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.0230
2024-11-19 14:00: 0.0240
2024-11-19 16:00: 0.0235
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 733874878.93, Sell volume: 66555180.15, Average price: 0.7703, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.0255
2024-11-20 22:00: 0.0255
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.0265
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.0255
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.0255
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0260
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.0255
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.0265
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0265
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0265
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.0260
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.0265
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0265
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.0265
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0265
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.0265
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.0270
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.0270
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.0310
2024-11-22 10:00: 0.0305
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0305
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.0300
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0290
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.0290
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0300
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.0255
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0240
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0250
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0250
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.0250
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0195
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.0180
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.0195
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.0185
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.0175
2024-11-23 18:00: 0.0170
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0190
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0195
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0180
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0180
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0175
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.0170
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0170
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.0170
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.0175
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0160
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.0155
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.0150
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0145
2024-11-24 22:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 733874878.93, Sell volume: 66555180.15, Average price: 0.7703, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.0145
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.0145
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.0145
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.0145
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.0145
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.0145
2024-11-26 12:00: 0.0145
2024-11-26 14:00: 0.0145
2024-11-26 16:00: 0.0145
2024-11-26 18:00: 0.0145
2024-11-26 20:00: 0.0145
2024-11-26 22:00: 0.0145
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.0145
2024-11-27 02:00: 0.0145
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.0145
2024-11-27 06:00: 0.0150
2024-11-27 08:00: 0.0150
2024-11-27 10:00: 0.0150
2024-11-27 12:00: 0.0150
2024-11-27 14:00: 0.0150
2024-11-27 16:00: 0.0150
2024-11-27 18:00: 0.0145
2024-11-27 20:00: 0.0150
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.0145
2024-11-28 00:00: 0.0150
2024-11-28 02:00: 0.0140
2024-11-28 04:00: 0.0135
2024-11-28 06:00: 0.0135
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.0180
2024-11-28 10:00: 0.0150
2024-11-28 12:00: 0.0140
2024-11-28 14:00: 0.0135
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.0135
2024-11-28 18:00: 0.0135
2024-11-28 20:00: 0.0135
2024-11-28 22:00: 0.0135
2024-11-29 00:00: 0.0135
2024-11-29 02:00: 0.0130
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.0135
2024-11-29 06:00: 0.0135
2024-11-29 08:00: 0.0135
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.0140
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.0145
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.0150
2024-11-29 16:00: 0.0135
2024-11-29 18:00: 0.0135
2024-11-29 20:00: 0.0130
2024-11-29 22:00: 0.0130
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.0135
2024-11-30 02:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 733874878.93, Sell volume: 66555180.15, Average price: 0.7703, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2024-12-01 04:00: 0.0130
2024-12-01 06:00: 0.0135
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.0135
2024-12-01 10:00: 0.0135
2024-12-01 12:00: 0.0135
2024-12-01 14:00: 0.0135
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.0130
2024-12-01 18:00: 0.0135
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.0135
2024-12-01 22:00: 0.0135
2024-12-02 00:00: 0.0135
2024-12-02 02:00: 0.0135
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.0135
2024-12-02 06:00: 0.0175
2024-12-02 08:00: 0.0160
2024-12-02 10:00: 0.0170
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.0190
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.0150
2024-12-02 16:00: 0.0150
2024-12-02 18:00: 0.0150
2024-12-02 20:00: 0.0150
2024-12-02 22:00: 0.0150
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.0145
2024-12-03 02:00: 0.0150
2024-12-03 04:00: 0.0150
2024-12-03 06:00: 0.0150
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.0150
2024-12-03 10:00: 0.0150
2024-12-03 12:00: 0.0150
2024-12-03 14:00: 0.0145
2024-12-03 16:00: 0.0155
2024-12-03 18:00: 0.0155
2024-12-03 20:00: 0.0155
2024-12-03 22:00: 0.0150
2024-12-04 00:00: 0.0145
2024-12-04 02:00: 0.0150
2024-12-04 04:00: 0.0145
2024-12-04 06:00: 0.0150
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.0150
2024-12-04 10:00: 0.0150
2024-12-04 12:00: 0.0150
2024-12-04 14:00: 0.0150
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.0150
2024-12-04 18:00: 0.0145
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.0150
2024-12-04 22:00: 0.0150
2024-12-05 00:00: 0.0150
2024-12-05 02:00: 0.0150
2024-12-05 04:00: 0.0150
2024-12-05 06:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 733874878.93, Sell volume: 66555180.15, Average price: 0.7703, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.0155
2024-12-06 10:00: 0.0155
2024-12-06 12:00: 0.0155
2024-12-06 14:00: 0.0155
2024-12-06 16:00: 0.0155
2024-12-06 18:00: 0.0155
2024-12-06 20:00: 0.0155
2024-12-06 22:00: 0.0155
2024-12-07 00:00: 0.0155
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.0155
2024-12-07 04:00: 0.0155
2024-12-07 06:00: 0.0155
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.0155
2024-12-07 10:00: 0.0155
2024-12-07 12:00: 0.0155
2024-12-07 14:00: 0.0155
2024-12-07 16:00: 0.0155
2024-12-07 18:00: 0.0155
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.0155
2024-12-07 22:00: 0.0155
2024-12-08 00:00: 0.0155
2024-12-08 02:00: 0.0155
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.0155
2024-12-08 06:00: 0.0155
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.0155
2024-12-08 10:00: 0.0155
2024-12-08 12:00: 0.0155
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.0155
2024-12-08 16:00: 0.0155
2024-12-08 18:00: 0.0155
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.0155
2024-12-08 22:00: 0.0155
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.0155
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.0155
2024-12-09 04:00: 0.0155
2024-12-09 06:00: 0.0155
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.0135
2024-12-09 10:00: 0.0135
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.0120
2024-12-09 14:00: 0.0060
2024-12-09 16:00: 0.0060
2024-12-09 18:00: 0.0060
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.0060
2024-12-09 22:00: 0.0060
2024-12-10 00:00: 0.0060
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.0060
2024-12-10 04:00: 0.0060
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.0060
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.0060
2024-12-10 10:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 733874878.93, Sell volume: 66555180.15, Average price: 0.7703, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.0035
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.0030
2024-12-11 16:00: 0.0060
2024-12-11 18:00: 0.0055
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.0040
2024-12-11 22:00: 0.0040
2024-12-12 00:00: 0.0035
2024-12-12 02:00: 0.0035
2024-12-12 04:00: 0.0040
2024-12-12 06:00: 0.0040
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.0040
2024-12-12 10:00: 0.0040
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.0045
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.0045
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.0045
2024-12-12 18:00: 0.0040
2024-12-12 20:00: 0.0040
2024-12-12 22:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 00:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 02:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 04:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 06:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 12:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 14:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 16:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 18:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 22:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 02:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 06:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 08:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 10:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 12:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 14:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 16:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 18:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 22:00: 0.0040
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.0040
2024-12-15 02:00: 0.0040
2024-12-15 04:00: 0.0040
2024-12-15 06:00: 0.0040
2024-12-15 08:00: 0.0040
2024-12-15 10:00: 0.0040
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.0040
2024-12-15 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 733874878.93, Sell volume: 66555180.15, Average price: 0.7703, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.0040
2024-12-16 18:00: 0.0040
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.0040
2024-12-16 22:00: 0.0040
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.0030
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.0030
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.0030
2024-12-17 06:00: 0.0040
2024-12-17 08:00: 0.0040
2024-12-17 10:00: 0.0040
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.0040
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.0040
2024-12-17 16:00: 0.0040
2024-12-17 18:00: 0.0040
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.0040
2024-12-17 22:00: 0.0040
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.0040
2024-12-18 02:00: 0.0040
2024-12-18 04:00: 0.0040
2024-12-18 06:00: 0.0040
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.0040
2024-12-18 10:00: 0.0030
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.0070
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.0080
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.0080
2024-12-18 18:00: 0.0080
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.0080
2024-12-18 22:00: 0.0080
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.0080
2024-12-19 02:00: 0.0080
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.0095
2024-12-19 06:00: 0.0095
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.0095
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.0095
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.0095
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.0095
2024-12-19 16:00: 0.0095
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.0095
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.0095
2024-12-19 22:00: 0.0075
2024-12-20 00:00: 0.0030
2024-12-20 02:00: 0.0030
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.0030
2024-12-20 06:00: 0.0030
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.0030
2024-12-20 10:00: 0.0030
2024-12-20 12:00: 0.0030
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.0030
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-20 18:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 733874878.93, Sell volume: 66555180.15, Average price: 0.7703, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.0030
2024-12-21 22:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 02:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 04:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 06:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 10:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 12:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 18:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 20:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 22:00: 0.0025
2024-12-23 00:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 02:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 06:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 10:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 12:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 14:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 18:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-23 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-24 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.0030
2024-12-24 06:00: 0.0030
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.0030
2024-12-24 10:00: 0.0030
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.0030
2024-12-24 14:00: 0.0030
2024-12-24 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-24 18:00: 0.0030
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.0030
2024-12-24 22:00: 0.0030
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.0030
2024-12-25 02:00: 0.0035
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.0035
2024-12-25 06:00: 0.0040
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.0045
2024-12-25 10:00: 0.0045
2024-12-25 12:00: 0.0045
2024-12-25 14:00: 0.0045
2024-12-25 16:00: 0.0045
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.0045
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.0045
2024-12-25 22:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 341658, Buy volume: 24279273.07, Sell volume: 15834969.18, Average price: 0.6955, Price range: 0.0018 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.0040
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.0040
2024-12-27 04:00: 0.0040
2024-12-27 06:00: 0.0040
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.0040
2024-12-27 10:00: 0.0040
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0040
2024-12-27 14:00: 0.0040
2024-12-27 16:00: 0.0040
2024-12-27 18:00: 0.0040
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0040
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.0040
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.0040
2024-12-28 02:00: 0.0040
2024-12-28 04:00: 0.0040
2024-12-28 06:00: 0.0040
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.0040
2024-12-28 10:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 14:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 20:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 22:00: 0.0055
2024-12-29 00:00: 0.0055
2024-12-29 02:00: 0.0055
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.0045
2024-12-29 06:00: 0.0045
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.0050
2024-12-29 10:00: 0.0050
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.0050
2024-12-29 14:00: 0.0050
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.0050
2024-12-29 18:00: 0.0035
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.0045
2024-12-29 22:00: 0.0045
2024-12-30 00:00: 0.0050
2024-12-30 02:00: 0.0045
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.0045
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.0045
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.0045
2024-12-30 10:00: 0.0045
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0045
2024-12-30 14:00: 0.0045
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.0045
2024-12-30 18:00: 0.0045
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.0045
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.0045
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0045
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 465534, Buy volume: 692946829.15, Sell volume: 40059680.22, Average price: 0.8254, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.0045
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.0045
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.0040
2025-01-01 10:00: 0.0040
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0040
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.0040
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.0040
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.0040
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.0040
2025-01-01 22:00: 0.0040
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.0040
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.0040
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0040
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.0040
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.0040
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.0030
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.0030
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.0030
2025-01-02 16:00: 0.0030
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.0030
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.0030
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.0030
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0030
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.0030
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.0030
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.0030
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.0030
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.0030
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.0030
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.0030
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.0030
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.0030
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.0030
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.0030
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.0030
2025-01-04 02:00: 0.0030
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.0030
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.0030
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.0030
2025-01-04 10:00: 0.0030
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.0030
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.0025
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.0025
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.0025
2025-01-04 22:00: 0.0025
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.0035
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.0030
2025-01-05 06:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71928, Buy volume: 8198118.00, Sell volume: 4957377.66, Average price: 0.6934, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-06 10:00: 0.0025
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-06 14:00: 0.0025
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.0025
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.0025
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.0030
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.0030
2025-01-07 02:00: 0.0030
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.0030
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.0030
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.0030
2025-01-07 10:00: 0.0030
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.0030
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.0030
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.0030
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.0030
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.0030
2025-01-07 22:00: 0.0030
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0030
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.0030
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.0030
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.0030
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.0030
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.0030
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.0030
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.0030
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.0020
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0020
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.0025
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.0025
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-09 10:00: 0.0025
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-09 14:00: 0.0025
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.0025
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.0025
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.0025
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-10 10:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 116022, Buy volume: 8157055.41, Sell volume: 5643066.66, Average price: 0.8260, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0035
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.0035
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.0045
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.0045
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0025
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.0025
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.0030
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0030
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.0030
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0030
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.0030
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.0030
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.0030
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.0030
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.0025
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.0025
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.0025
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.0020
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.0020
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.0020
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.0020
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.0020
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0020
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.0020
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.0020
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.0020
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.0035
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.0030
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.0030
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.0030
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0030
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 256, Buy volume: 31980.07, Sell volume: 23831.39, Average price: 0.7916, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.0010
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 600, Buy volume: 204777.23, Sell volume: 16275.04, Average price: 0.8060, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.1050
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.0400
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.0340
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0320
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.0335
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.0330
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.0290
2024-11-16 20:00: 0.0285
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.0300
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.0390
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.0360
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.0305
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0315
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.0245
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.0275
2024-11-18 04:00: 0.0275
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.0250
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.0270
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.0245
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0275
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.0275
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.0235
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.0235
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.0230
2024-11-19 16:00: 0.0235
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.0230
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.0270
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.0270
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.0270
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.0265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 733874878.93, Sell volume: 66555180.15, Average price: 0.7703, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.0255
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.0265
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.0255
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.0255
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0265
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.0260
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0265
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0265
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.0270
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.0310
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0305
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0290
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0300
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0240
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0250
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0195
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.0195
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.0175
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0190
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0180
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0175
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0170
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.0175
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.0155
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0145
2024-11-25 00:00: 0.0150
2024-11-25 04:00: 0.0150
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0150
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.0150
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 733874878.93, Sell volume: 66555180.15, Average price: 0.7703, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.0145
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.0145
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.0145
2024-11-26 12:00: 0.0145
2024-11-26 16:00: 0.0145
2024-11-26 20:00: 0.0145
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.0145
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.0145
2024-11-27 08:00: 0.0150
2024-11-27 12:00: 0.0150
2024-11-27 16:00: 0.0150
2024-11-27 20:00: 0.0150
2024-11-28 00:00: 0.0150
2024-11-28 04:00: 0.0135
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.0180
2024-11-28 12:00: 0.0140
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.0135
2024-11-28 20:00: 0.0135
2024-11-29 00:00: 0.0135
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.0135
2024-11-29 08:00: 0.0135
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.0145
2024-11-29 16:00: 0.0135
2024-11-29 20:00: 0.0130
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.0135
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.0130
2024-11-30 08:00: 0.0130
2024-11-30 12:00: 0.0130
2024-11-30 16:00: 0.0135
2024-11-30 20:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 733874878.93, Sell volume: 66555180.15, Average price: 0.7703, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2024-12-01 04:00: 0.0130
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.0135
2024-12-01 12:00: 0.0135
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.0130
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.0135
2024-12-02 00:00: 0.0135
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.0135
2024-12-02 08:00: 0.0160
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.0190
2024-12-02 16:00: 0.0150
2024-12-02 20:00: 0.0150
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.0145
2024-12-03 04:00: 0.0150
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.0150
2024-12-03 12:00: 0.0150
2024-12-03 16:00: 0.0155
2024-12-03 20:00: 0.0155
2024-12-04 00:00: 0.0145
2024-12-04 04:00: 0.0145
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.0150
2024-12-04 12:00: 0.0150
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.0150
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.0150
2024-12-05 00:00: 0.0150
2024-12-05 04:00: 0.0150
2024-12-05 08:00: 0.0150
2024-12-05 12:00: 0.0150
2024-12-05 16:00: 0.0150
2024-12-05 20:00: 0.0150
2024-12-06 00:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 733874878.93, Sell volume: 66555180.15, Average price: 0.7703, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.0155
2024-12-06 12:00: 0.0155
2024-12-06 16:00: 0.0155
2024-12-06 20:00: 0.0155
2024-12-07 00:00: 0.0155
2024-12-07 04:00: 0.0155
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.0155
2024-12-07 12:00: 0.0155
2024-12-07 16:00: 0.0155
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.0155
2024-12-08 00:00: 0.0155
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.0155
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.0155
2024-12-08 12:00: 0.0155
2024-12-08 16:00: 0.0155
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.0155
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.0155
2024-12-09 04:00: 0.0155
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.0135
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.0120
2024-12-09 16:00: 0.0060
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.0060
2024-12-10 00:00: 0.0060
2024-12-10 04:00: 0.0060
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.0060
2024-12-10 12:00: 0.0060
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.0055
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.0055
2024-12-11 00:00: 0.0055
2024-12-11 04:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 733874878.93, Sell volume: 66555180.15, Average price: 0.7703, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.0035
2024-12-11 16:00: 0.0060
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.0040
2024-12-12 00:00: 0.0035
2024-12-12 04:00: 0.0040
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.0040
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.0045
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.0045
2024-12-12 20:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 00:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 04:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 12:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 16:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 08:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 12:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 16:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.0040
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.0040
2024-12-15 04:00: 0.0040
2024-12-15 08:00: 0.0040
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.0040
2024-12-15 16:00: 0.0040
2024-12-15 20:00: 0.0040
2024-12-16 00:00: 0.0040
2024-12-16 04:00: 0.0040
2024-12-16 08:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 733874878.93, Sell volume: 66555180.15, Average price: 0.7703, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.0040
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.0040
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.0030
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.0030
2024-12-17 08:00: 0.0040
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.0040
2024-12-17 16:00: 0.0040
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.0040
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.0040
2024-12-18 04:00: 0.0040
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.0040
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.0070
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.0080
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.0080
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.0080
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.0095
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.0095
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.0095
2024-12-19 16:00: 0.0095
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.0095
2024-12-20 00:00: 0.0030
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.0030
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.0030
2024-12-20 12:00: 0.0030
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-20 20:00: 0.0030
2024-12-21 00:00: 0.0030
2024-12-21 04:00: 0.0030
2024-12-21 08:00: 0.0030
2024-12-21 12:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 733874878.93, Sell volume: 66555180.15, Average price: 0.7703, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 04:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 12:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 20:00: 0.0030
2024-12-23 00:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 12:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-24 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.0030
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.0030
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.0030
2024-12-24 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.0030
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.0030
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.0035
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.0045
2024-12-25 12:00: 0.0045
2024-12-25 16:00: 0.0045
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.0045
2024-12-26 00:00: 0.0045
2024-12-26 04:00: 0.0045
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.0040
2024-12-26 12:00: 0.0035
2024-12-26 16:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 341658, Buy volume: 24279273.07, Sell volume: 15834969.18, Average price: 0.6955, Price range: 0.0018 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.0040
2024-12-27 04:00: 0.0040
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.0040
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0040
2024-12-27 16:00: 0.0040
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0040
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.0040
2024-12-28 04:00: 0.0040
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.0040
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 20:00: 0.0055
2024-12-29 00:00: 0.0055
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.0045
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.0050
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.0050
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.0050
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.0045
2024-12-30 00:00: 0.0050
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.0045
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.0045
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0045
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.0045
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.0045
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0045
2024-12-31 04:00: 0.0045
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.0045
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.0045
2024-12-31 16:00: 0.0045
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 465534, Buy volume: 692946829.15, Sell volume: 40059680.22, Average price: 0.8254, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.0045
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.0040
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0040
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.0040
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.0040
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.0040
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0040
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.0040
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.0030
2025-01-02 16:00: 0.0030
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.0030
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0030
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.0030
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.0030
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.0030
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.0030
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.0030
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.0030
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.0030
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.0030
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.0030
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.0025
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.0030
2025-01-05 08:00: 0.0030
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.0030
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.0030
2025-01-05 20:00: 0.0030
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71928, Buy volume: 8198118.00, Sell volume: 4957377.66, Average price: 0.6934, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.0025
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.0030
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.0030
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.0030
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.0030
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.0030
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.0030
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0030
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.0030
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.0030
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.0030
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0020
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.0025
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.0030
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.0035
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 116022, Buy volume: 8157055.41, Sell volume: 5643066.66, Average price: 0.8260, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes