Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.3350
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.6650
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.3350
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.6650
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.3350
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.6650
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3400
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.6600
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.6850
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.3200
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.6800
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 259.77, Sell volume: 1551.16, Average price: 0.4673, Price range: 0.3036 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.2700
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.7300
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.2700
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.7300
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.2800
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.7200
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2900, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.2900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.7200
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.2800
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.1700
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 161, Buy volume: 14686.91, Sell volume: 1227.99, Average price: 0.7285, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9400
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0600
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9400
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 8843.97, Sell volume: 82.61, Average price: 0.4929, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9400
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0600
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9400
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0600
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9640
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0360
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9605
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0395
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 3572.67, Sell volume: 2284.23, Average price: 0.3938, Price range: 0.0326 - 0.9580

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9655
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0345
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9670
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9665
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0335
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9665
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0335
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9665
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0335
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9745
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0255
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9745
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9765
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 500.29, Sell volume: 4559.28, Average price: 0.4565, Price range: 0.0164 - 0.9690

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9765
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0235
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9775
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0225
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9710
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0290
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9755
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0245
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9775
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0225
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9600
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0400
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9610
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0390
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9755
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0245
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 19671.44, Sell volume: 7471.25, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.1650
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.8350
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.1650
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.8350
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.1600
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 671.64, Sell volume: 120.51, Average price: 0.7032, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.1700
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.8300
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.1700
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.8300
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.1700
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.8300
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.1750
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1183.50, Sell volume: 249.02, Average price: 0.5610, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.1800
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.8200
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.1850
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.2250
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.2350
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.7650
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.2350
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.7650
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.2750
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.7250
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.3100
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.6900
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.3250
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1667.77, Sell volume: 961.22, Average price: 0.4163, Price range: 0.1963 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.3250
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.6750
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.6550
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 572.46, Sell volume: 54.00, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6350
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.6350
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.6350
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.3450
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.6550
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.3400
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.6600
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.6350
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.3450
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 720.55, Sell volume: 336.53, Average price: 0.4408, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.3400
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.6600
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.3400
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.6600
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.3350
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.6650
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.3400
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.6600
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.3400
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.6600
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.3400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.6600
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.3400
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.6600
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3400
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.6600
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.3350
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 471.88, Sell volume: 309.66, Average price: 0.5567, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.3350
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.6650
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.3350
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.6650
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.3350
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.6650
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3400
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.6600
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.6850
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.3200
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.6800
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 259.77, Sell volume: 1551.16, Average price: 0.4673, Price range: 0.3036 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.2700
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.7300
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.2700
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.7300
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.2800
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.7200
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2900, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.2900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.7200
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.2800
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.1700
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 161, Buy volume: 14686.91, Sell volume: 1227.99, Average price: 0.7285, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9400
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0600
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9400
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 8843.97, Sell volume: 82.61, Average price: 0.4929, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9400
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0600
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9400
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0600
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9640
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0360
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9605
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0395
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 3572.67, Sell volume: 2284.23, Average price: 0.3938, Price range: 0.0326 - 0.9580
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9655
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0345
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9670
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9665
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0335
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9665
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0335
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9665
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0335
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9745
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0255
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9745
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9765
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 500.29, Sell volume: 4559.28, Average price: 0.4565, Price range: 0.0164 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9765
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0235
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9775
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0225
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9710
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0290
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9755
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0245
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9775
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0225
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9600
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0400
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9610
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0390
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9755
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0245
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 19671.44, Sell volume: 7471.25, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.2700
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0155
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9845
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0175
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9825
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0175
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9825
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0165
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9835
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0165
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 1192.82, Sell volume: 181.61, Average price: 0.7279, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0165
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9835
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0165
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9835
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0165
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9835
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0170
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9830
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0175
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9825
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0170
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9830
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0140
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9860
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0140
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9860
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0145
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 2092.95, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.7244, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0180
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9820
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0155
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9845
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0155
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9845
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0155
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9845
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0155
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9845
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0140
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9860
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0165
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9835
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0165
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9835
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1550.58, Sell volume: 1420.48, Average price: 0.5879, Price range: 0.0102 - 0.9870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0150
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9850
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0150
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9850
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0210
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9790
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0210
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9790
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0210
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9790
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0210
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9790
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0210
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9790
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0205
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 328.03, Sell volume: 13.00, Average price: 0.5706, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0205
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9795
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9805
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9805
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9805
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9805
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0210
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9790
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0215
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9785
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9805
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0155
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 712.38, Sell volume: 239.64, Average price: 0.3122, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0135
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9865
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0135
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9865
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0135
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9865
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0135
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9865
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0135
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9865
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0135
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9865
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0135
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9865
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0135
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9865
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0135
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 666.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5015, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0135
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9865
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0135
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9865
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0135
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9865
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0135
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9865
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0135
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9865
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0135
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9865
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0295
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9705
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0230
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9770
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0290
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1337.33, Sell volume: 1.01, Average price: 0.8137, Price range: 0.0249 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0285
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9715
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0285
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9715
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0285
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9715
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0285
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9715
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0285
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9715
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0290
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9710
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0285
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9715
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0285
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9715
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0285
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 609.06, Sell volume: 1.15, Average price: 0.2715, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0275
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9725
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0280
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9720
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0280
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9720
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9920
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0085
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 196, Buy volume: 8438.40, Sell volume: 4491.69, Average price: 0.3587, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0080
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9920
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 5579.29, Sell volume: 9715.30, Average price: 0.2776, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 80610.19, Average price: 0.0267, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9910
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 4528.15, Sell volume: 8714.64, Average price: 0.2208, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9925
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 17489.48, Sell volume: 1398.36, Average price: 0.4342, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.2700
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0155
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9845
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0175
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9825
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0175
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9825
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0165
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9835
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0165
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 1192.82, Sell volume: 181.61, Average price: 0.7279, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0165
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9835
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0165
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9835
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0165
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9835
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0170
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9830
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0175
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9825
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0170
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9830
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0140
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9860
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0140
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9860
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0145
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 2092.95, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.7244, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0180
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9820
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0155
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9845
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0155
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9845
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0155
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9845
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0155
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9845
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0140
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9860
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0165
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9835
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0165
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9835
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1550.58, Sell volume: 1420.48, Average price: 0.5879, Price range: 0.0102 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0150
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9850
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0150
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9850
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0210
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9790
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0210
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9790
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0210
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9790
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0210
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9790
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0210
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9790
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0205
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 328.03, Sell volume: 13.00, Average price: 0.5706, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0205
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9795
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9805
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9805
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9805
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9805
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0210
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9790
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0215
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9785
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9805
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0155
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 712.38, Sell volume: 239.64, Average price: 0.3122, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0135
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9865
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0135
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9865
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0135
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9865
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0135
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9865
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0135
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9865
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0135
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9865
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0135
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9865
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0135
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9865
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0135
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 666.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5015, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0135
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9865
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0135
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9865
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0135
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9865
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0135
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9865
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0135
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9865
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0135
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9865
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0295
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9705
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0230
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9770
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0290
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1337.33, Sell volume: 1.01, Average price: 0.8137, Price range: 0.0249 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0285
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9715
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0285
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9715
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0285
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9715
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0285
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9715
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0285
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9715
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0290
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9710
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0285
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9715
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0285
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9715
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0285
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 609.06, Sell volume: 1.15, Average price: 0.2715, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0275
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9725
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0280
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9720
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0280
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9720
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9920
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0085
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 196, Buy volume: 8438.40, Sell volume: 4491.69, Average price: 0.3587, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0080
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9920
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 5579.29, Sell volume: 9715.30, Average price: 0.2776, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 80610.19, Average price: 0.0267, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9910
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 4528.15, Sell volume: 8714.64, Average price: 0.2208, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680920
Question: Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 177351.990309
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9925
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 17489.48, Sell volume: 1398.36, Average price: 0.4342, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4850
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9645
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0355
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9615
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0385
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9590
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0410
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9605
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0395
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9600
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9605
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 1488.28, Sell volume: 163.51, Average price: 0.7453, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9585
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0415
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9610
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0390
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9605
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0395
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9615
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0385
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9630
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0370
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9620
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0380
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9560
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0440
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9545
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0455
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9565
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 894.85, Sell volume: 1085.71, Average price: 0.6771, Price range: 0.0326 - 0.9670

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9505
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0495
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9520
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0480
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9545
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0455
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9545
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0455
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9590
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0410
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9625
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0375
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9625
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0375
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9625
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1385.49, Sell volume: 661.26, Average price: 0.3802, Price range: 0.0406 - 0.9560

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9625
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0375
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9625
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0375
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9620
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0380
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9615
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0385
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9620
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0380
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9620
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0380
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9610
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0390
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9610
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0390
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9610
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 830.00, Sell volume: 60.61, Average price: 0.0384, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.0440

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9610
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0390
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9675
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 112.97, Sell volume: 226.76, Average price: 0.3441, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9670

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9675
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0325
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9675
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0325
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9675
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0325
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9675
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0325
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9675
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0325
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9675
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0325
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9675
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0325
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9675
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0325
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9675
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9680, Price range: 0.9680 - 0.9680

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9675
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0325
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9675
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0325
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9590
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0410
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9585
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0415
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9590
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0410
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9585
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0415
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9585
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0415
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9585
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0415
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9580
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 361.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5697, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.9650

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9565
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0435
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9560
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0440
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9555
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 511, Buy volume: 46971.98, Sell volume: 43137.17, Average price: 0.3528, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9830
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0170
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9850
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0150
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 183, Buy volume: 7212.68, Sell volume: 2809.18, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9920
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0105
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 5306.42, Sell volume: 11127.95, Average price: 0.1989, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2404.56, Sell volume: 142.13, Average price: 0.3765, Price range: 0.0029 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 21877.30, Sell volume: 20817.77, Average price: 0.0783, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 412.67, Sell volume: 1509.32, Average price: 0.0916, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4850
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9645
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0355
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9615
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0385
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9590
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0410
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9605
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0395
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9600
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9605
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 1488.28, Sell volume: 163.51, Average price: 0.7453, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9585
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0415
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9610
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0390
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9605
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0395
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9615
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0385
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9630
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0370
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9620
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0380
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9560
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0440
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9545
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0455
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9565
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 894.85, Sell volume: 1085.71, Average price: 0.6771, Price range: 0.0326 - 0.9670
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9505
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0495
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9520
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0480
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9545
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0455
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9545
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0455
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9590
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0410
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9625
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0375
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9625
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0375
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9625
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1385.49, Sell volume: 661.26, Average price: 0.3802, Price range: 0.0406 - 0.9560
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9625
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0375
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9625
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0375
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9620
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0380
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9615
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0385
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9620
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0380
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9620
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0380
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9610
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0390
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9610
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0390
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9610
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 830.00, Sell volume: 60.61, Average price: 0.0384, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.0440
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9610
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0390
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9675
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 112.97, Sell volume: 226.76, Average price: 0.3441, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9670
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9675
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0325
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9675
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0325
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9675
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0325
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9675
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0325
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9675
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0325
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9675
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0325
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9675
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0325
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9675
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0325
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9675
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9680, Price range: 0.9680 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9675
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0325
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9675
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0325
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9590
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0410
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9585
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0415
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9590
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0410
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9585
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0415
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9585
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0415
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9585
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0415
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9580
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 361.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5697, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.9650
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9565
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0435
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9560
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0440
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9555
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 511, Buy volume: 46971.98, Sell volume: 43137.17, Average price: 0.3528, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9830
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0170
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9850
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0150
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 183, Buy volume: 7212.68, Sell volume: 2809.18, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9920
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0105
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 5306.42, Sell volume: 11127.95, Average price: 0.1989, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2404.56, Sell volume: 142.13, Average price: 0.3765, Price range: 0.0029 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 21877.30, Sell volume: 20817.77, Average price: 0.0783, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680922
Question: Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 90109.151356
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 412.67, Sell volume: 1509.32, Average price: 0.0916, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4850
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.2700
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 744.83, Sell volume: 141.51, Average price: 0.7529, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 466.31, Sell volume: 315.45, Average price: 0.6976, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9600
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9600
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9600
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9650
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0305
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9695
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0305
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9695
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0305
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 502.15, Sell volume: 598.30, Average price: 0.4475, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0305
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9695
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0305
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9695
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0255
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9745
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0305
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9695
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0305
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9695
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0305
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9695
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0280
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9720
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0250
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9750
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0250
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 66.30, Average price: 0.0210, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.0210

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0250
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9750
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0250
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9750
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0250
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9750
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0250
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9750
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0250
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9750
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0250
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9750
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0250
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9750
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0240
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9760
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0230
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 156.26, Sell volume: 339.64, Average price: 0.3860, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9790

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0235
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9765
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0235
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9765
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0235
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9765
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0235
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9765
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0235
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9765
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0235
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9765
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0235
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9765
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0235
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 426, Buy volume: 32417.24, Sell volume: 34795.96, Average price: 0.3305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0190
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9810
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0195
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9805
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0195
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 757.23, Sell volume: 181.00, Average price: 0.0220, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.0280

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0195
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9805
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0195
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9805
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0195
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9805
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0080
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9920
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0105
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 183, Buy volume: 9121.37, Sell volume: 5027.10, Average price: 0.3128, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 4253.65, Sell volume: 4637.18, Average price: 0.1146, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 10824.33, Sell volume: 12207.56, Average price: 0.0277, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2454.57, Sell volume: 8278.04, Average price: 0.3344, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 100.20, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4850
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.2700
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 744.83, Sell volume: 141.51, Average price: 0.7529, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 466.31, Sell volume: 315.45, Average price: 0.6976, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9600
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9600
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9600
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9650
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0305
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9695
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0305
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9695
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0305
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 502.15, Sell volume: 598.30, Average price: 0.4475, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0305
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9695
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0305
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9695
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0255
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9745
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0305
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9695
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0305
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9695
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0305
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9695
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0280
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9720
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0250
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9750
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0250
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 66.30, Average price: 0.0210, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.0210
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0250
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9750
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0250
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9750
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0250
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9750
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0250
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9750
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0250
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9750
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0250
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9750
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0250
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9750
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0240
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9760
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0230
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 156.26, Sell volume: 339.64, Average price: 0.3860, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0235
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9765
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0235
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9765
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0235
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9765
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0235
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9765
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0235
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9765
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0235
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9765
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0235
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9765
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0235
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 426, Buy volume: 32417.24, Sell volume: 34795.96, Average price: 0.3305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0235
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0190
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9810
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0195
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9805
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0195
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 757.23, Sell volume: 181.00, Average price: 0.0220, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.0280
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0195
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9805
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0195
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9805
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0195
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9805
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0080
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9920
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0105
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 183, Buy volume: 9121.37, Sell volume: 5027.10, Average price: 0.3128, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 4253.65, Sell volume: 4637.18, Average price: 0.1146, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 10824.33, Sell volume: 12207.56, Average price: 0.0277, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2454.57, Sell volume: 8278.04, Average price: 0.3344, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680924
Question: Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 67213.196648
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 100.20, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680926
Question: Will between 245 and 249 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46553.17356
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 661.50, Sell volume: 221.72, Average price: 0.7204, Price range: 0.0433 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680926
Question: Will between 245 and 249 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46553.17356
Price History:
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 417.31, Sell volume: 636.89, Average price: 0.6862, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680926
Question: Will between 245 and 249 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46553.17356
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9600
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9600
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9600
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9445
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0555
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9600
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9600
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3650.04, Sell volume: 570.34, Average price: 0.4768, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680926
Question: Will between 245 and 249 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46553.17356
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9600
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9600
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9525
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0475
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9515
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0485
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9540
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0460
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9525
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0475
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9515
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0485
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 13.00, Average price: 0.0478, Price range: 0.0478 - 0.0478

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680926
Question: Will between 245 and 249 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46553.17356
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9545
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0455
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9545
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0455
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9545
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0455
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9570
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0430
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9570
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 216.55, Sell volume: 339.63, Average price: 0.4164, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680926
Question: Will between 245 and 249 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46553.17356
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9570
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0430
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9570
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0430
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9570
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0430
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9570
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0430
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9570
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0430
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9570
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0430
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9570
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0430
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9570
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 426, Buy volume: 29522.22, Sell volume: 17030.95, Average price: 0.4009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680926
Question: Will between 245 and 249 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46553.17356
Price History:
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680926
Question: Will between 245 and 249 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46553.17356
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9565
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0435
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9565
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 107.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0466, Price range: 0.0466 - 0.0466

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680926
Question: Will between 245 and 249 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46553.17356
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9565
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0435
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9565
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0435
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9565
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0435
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9830
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0170
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 178, Buy volume: 5582.03, Sell volume: 2735.51, Average price: 0.3854, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680926
Question: Will between 245 and 249 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46553.17356
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1221.42, Sell volume: 969.58, Average price: 0.3814, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680926
Question: Will between 245 and 249 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46553.17356
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680926
Question: Will between 245 and 249 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46553.17356
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 135.02, Sell volume: 2000.00, Average price: 0.8742, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680926
Question: Will between 245 and 249 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46553.17356
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9920
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0080
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9920
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0080
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101, Buy volume: 17260.84, Sell volume: 9490.95, Average price: 0.1316, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680926
Question: Will between 245 and 249 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 46553.17356
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 661.50, Sell volume: 221.72, Average price: 0.7204, Price range: 0.0433 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680926
Question: Will between 245 and 249 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 46553.17356
Price History:
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 417.31, Sell volume: 636.89, Average price: 0.6862, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680926
Question: Will between 245 and 249 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 46553.17356
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9600
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9600
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9600
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9445
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0555
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9600
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9600
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3650.04, Sell volume: 570.34, Average price: 0.4768, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes