Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567558
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43985.641909
Price History:
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.2400
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.7600
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.2400
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.7600
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.2400
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.7600
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.2400
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.7600
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.2400
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.7600
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.2400
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 519.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7227, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567558
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43985.641909
Price History:
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.7550
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.7550
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.7550
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.7550
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.7550
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.7550
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.2250
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.7750
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.2300
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.7700
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.2300
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.7700
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.7550
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.2350
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.7650
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 3137.27, Sell volume: 240.00, Average price: 0.6039, Price range: 0.2324 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567558
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43985.641909
Price History:
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.7700
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.7700
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.7700
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.7700
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.7700
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.7700
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.7700
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.2250
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.7750
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.2250
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.7750
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.2250
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.7750
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.2150
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.7850
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.2150
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.7850
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.2150
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.7850
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.2150
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.7850
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2150
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.7850
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.2150
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 469.23, Sell volume: 40.83, Average price: 0.4006, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7839

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567558
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43985.641909
Price History:
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.2200
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.7800
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.2200
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.7800
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.2200
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.7800
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.2250
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.7750
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.7700
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.2150
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.7850
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.2200
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.7800
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.2250
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.7750
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.2150
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.7850
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.2150
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.7850
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.2150
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.7850
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.2250
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.7750
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.2250
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.7750
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.2250
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.7750
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.2200
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.7800
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.2250
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 146.98, Sell volume: 26.38, Average price: 0.3360, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567558
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43985.641909
Price History:
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.1900
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.8100
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.1900
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.8100
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.1950
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.1950
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.1900
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.8100
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.1950
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.1750
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.8250
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.1750
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.8250
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.1950
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.2050
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.7950
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2050
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.7950
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.2050
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.7950
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.2050
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.7950
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.1950
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.2150
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.7850
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.2050
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2921.91, Sell volume: 1086.93, Average price: 0.3451, Price range: 0.1797 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567558
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43985.641909
Price History:
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.2100
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.7900
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.2050
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.7950
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.2050
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.7950
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.1900
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.8100
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.1900
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.8100
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.1850
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.8150
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.1900
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.8100
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.1800
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.8200
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1080.29, Sell volume: 259.86, Average price: 0.4347, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567558
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43985.641909
Price History:
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.1750
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.8250
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.1800
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.8200
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.1900
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.8100
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.1900
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.8100
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.1850
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.8150
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.1800
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.8200
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.1850
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.8150
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.1850
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.8150
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.1800
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.8200
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.1750
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.8250
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.1850
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.8150
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.1900
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.8100
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.1900
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.8100
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.1900
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.8100
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.1900
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 556.71, Sell volume: 118.37, Average price: 0.2500, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567558
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43985.641909
Price History:
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.1950
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.8050
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.1950
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.8050
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.1900
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.8100
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.1900
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.8100
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.1900
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.8100
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.1900
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.8100
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.1900
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.8100
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.1900
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.8100
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.1850
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.8150
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.1850
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.8150
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.1850
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.8150
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.1850
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.8150
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.1800
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.8200
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.1900
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.8100
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.2250
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.7750
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.2250
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2982.81, Sell volume: 6.14, Average price: 0.6282, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567558
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43985.641909
Price History:
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.2250
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.7750
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.2250
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.7750
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.2250
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.7750
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.2300
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.7700
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.2300
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.7700
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.2400
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.7600
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.2350
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.7650
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.2350
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.7650
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.2300
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.7700
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.2350
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.7650
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.3000
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.7000
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.0110
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.9890
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0035
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9965
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.0025
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.9975
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 160, Buy volume: 14730.85, Sell volume: 5019.82, Average price: 0.7314, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567558
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43985.641909
Price History:
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.9985
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.9985
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.0010
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.9990
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2623.60, Sell volume: 1858.40, Average price: 0.7873, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567558
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 43985.641909
Price History:
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.2300
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.7700
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.7500
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.2300
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.7700
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.2300
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.7700
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.2200
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.7800
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.2200
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.7800
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.2300
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.7700
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.2100
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.7900
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.2350
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.7650
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.2350
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.7650
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2350
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.7650
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.2300
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.7700
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.2300
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.7700
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.2350
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.7650
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.2100
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 903.22, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.5159, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567558
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 43985.641909
Price History:
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.2150
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.7850
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.2050
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.7950
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.2100
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.7900
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.2100
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.7900
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.1950
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.8050
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.2050
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.7950
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.2050
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.7950
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.2050
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.7950
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.2350
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.7650
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.2350
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.7650
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.2350
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.7650
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.2350
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.7650
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.2350
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.7650
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.2350
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.7650
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.2300
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1271.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5106, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567558
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 43985.641909
Price History:
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.2300
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.7700
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.2300
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.7700
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.2300
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.7700
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.2300
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.7700
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.2300
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.7700
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.2300
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.7700
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.2300
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.7700
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.2300
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.7700
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.2300
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.7700
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.2300
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.7700
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.2300
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.7700
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.2400
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.7600
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.2350
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.7650
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.2350
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.7650
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.2350
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 200.32, Sell volume: 45.00, Average price: 0.4767, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567558
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 43985.641909
Price History:
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.2400
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.7600
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.2400
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.7600
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.2400
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.7600
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.2400
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.7600
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.2400
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.7600
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.2400
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 519.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7227, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567558
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 43985.641909
Price History:
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.7550
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.7550
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.7550
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.7550
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.7550
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.7550
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.2250
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.7750
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.2300
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.7700
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.2300
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.7700
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.7600
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.7550
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.2350
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 3137.27, Sell volume: 240.00, Average price: 0.6039, Price range: 0.2324 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567558
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 43985.641909
Price History:
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.7700
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.7700
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.7700
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.7700
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.7700
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.7700
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.7700
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.2250
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.7750
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.2250
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.7750
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.2250
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.7750
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.2150
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.7850
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.2150
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.7850
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.2150
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.7850
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.2150
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.7850
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2150
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 469.23, Sell volume: 40.83, Average price: 0.4006, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7839
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567558
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 43985.641909
Price History:
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.2200
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.7800
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.2200
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.7800
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.2200
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.7800
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.2250
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.7750
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.7700
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.2150
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.7850
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.2200
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.7800
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.2250
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.7750
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.2150
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.7850
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.2150
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.7850
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.2150
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.7850
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.2250
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.7750
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.2250
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.7750
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.2250
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.7750
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.2200
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 146.98, Sell volume: 26.38, Average price: 0.3360, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567558
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 43985.641909
Price History:
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.1900
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.8100
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.1900
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.8100
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.1950
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.1950
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.1900
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.8100
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.1950
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.1750
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.8250
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.1750
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.8250
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.1950
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.2050
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.7950
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2050
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.7950
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.2050
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.7950
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.2050
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.7950
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.1950
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.2150
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2921.91, Sell volume: 1086.93, Average price: 0.3451, Price range: 0.1797 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567558
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 43985.641909
Price History:
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.2100
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.7900
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.2050
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.7950
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.2050
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.7950
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.1900
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.8100
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.1900
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.8100
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.1850
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.8150
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.1900
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.8100
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.1800
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.8200
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1080.29, Sell volume: 259.86, Average price: 0.4347, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567558
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 43985.641909
Price History:
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.1750
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.8250
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.1800
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.8200
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.1900
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.8100
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.1900
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.8100
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.1850
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.8150
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.1800
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.8200
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.1850
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.8150
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.1850
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.8150
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.1800
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.8200
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.1750
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.8250
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.1850
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.8150
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.1900
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.8100
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.1900
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.8100
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.1900
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 556.71, Sell volume: 118.37, Average price: 0.2500, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567558
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 43985.641909
Price History:
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.1950
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.8050
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.1950
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.8050
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.1900
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.8100
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.1900
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.8100
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.1900
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.8100
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.1900
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.8100
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.1900
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.8100
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.1900
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.8100
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.1850
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.8150
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.1850
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.8150
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.1850
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.8150
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.1850
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.8150
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.1800
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.8200
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.1900
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.8100
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.2250
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2982.81, Sell volume: 6.14, Average price: 0.6282, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567558
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 43985.641909
Price History:
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.2250
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.7750
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.2250
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.7750
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.2250
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.7750
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.2300
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.7700
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.2300
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.7700
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.2400
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.7600
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.2350
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.7650
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.2350
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.7650
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.2300
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.7700
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.2350
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.7650
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.3000
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.7000
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.0110
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.9890
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0035
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9965
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.0025
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.9975
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 160, Buy volume: 14730.85, Sell volume: 5019.82, Average price: 0.7314, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567558
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 43985.641909
Price History:
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.9985
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.9985
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.0010
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.9990
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2623.60, Sell volume: 1858.40, Average price: 0.7873, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.7500
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.2500
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.7500
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.7500
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0450
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 180.00, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7066, Price range: 0.0765 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1107.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.7777, Price range: 0.0765 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1107.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.7777, Price range: 0.0765 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1107.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.7777, Price range: 0.0765 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1107.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.7777, Price range: 0.0765 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1107.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.7777, Price range: 0.0765 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1107.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.7777, Price range: 0.0765 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1107.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.7777, Price range: 0.0765 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1107.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.7777, Price range: 0.0765 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1107.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.7777, Price range: 0.0765 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 927.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1107.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.7777, Price range: 0.0765 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.2500
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.7500
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 180.00, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7066, Price range: 0.0765 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1107.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.7777, Price range: 0.0765 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1107.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.7777, Price range: 0.0765 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1107.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.7777, Price range: 0.0765 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1107.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.7777, Price range: 0.0765 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1107.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.7777, Price range: 0.0765 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1107.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.7777, Price range: 0.0765 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1107.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.7777, Price range: 0.0765 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1107.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.7777, Price range: 0.0765 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1107.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.7777, Price range: 0.0765 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 927.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630911
Question: Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1187
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1107.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.7777, Price range: 0.0765 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0450
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 170.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.6318, Price range: 0.0753 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 797.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.7531, Price range: 0.0753 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 797.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.7531, Price range: 0.0753 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 797.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.7531, Price range: 0.0753 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 797.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.7531, Price range: 0.0753 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 797.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.7531, Price range: 0.0753 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 797.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.7531, Price range: 0.0753 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 797.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.7531, Price range: 0.0753 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 797.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.7531, Price range: 0.0753 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 797.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.7531, Price range: 0.0753 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 797.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.7531, Price range: 0.0753 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 627.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9350, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9300
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9300
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9300
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9300
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9300
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 797.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.7531, Price range: 0.0753 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 170.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.6318, Price range: 0.0753 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 797.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.7531, Price range: 0.0753 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 797.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.7531, Price range: 0.0753 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 797.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.7531, Price range: 0.0753 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 797.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.7531, Price range: 0.0753 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 797.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.7531, Price range: 0.0753 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 797.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.7531, Price range: 0.0753 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 797.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.7531, Price range: 0.0753 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 797.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.7531, Price range: 0.0753 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 797.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.7531, Price range: 0.0753 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 797.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.7531, Price range: 0.0753 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 627.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9350, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630912
Question: Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 867
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9300
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9300
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9300
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9300
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9300
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9300
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 797.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.7531, Price range: 0.0753 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes