Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522637
Question: Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 289304.518226
Price History:
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.4750
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.5400
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.5200
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.3350
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.7100
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.3550
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.9835
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.2090
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.7700
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2085
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.7635
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.2365
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.7620
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.2345
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.7590
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.2225
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.7700
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.2310
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.7630
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.2410
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.7490
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.3320
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.6810
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.3120
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.6885
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.3195
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.6800
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.3260
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.6585
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.3335
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.6665
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.3535
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.6505
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.3135
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.6890
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.3085
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.6885
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.3505
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.6240
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.3645
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.6480
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.3710
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.6265
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.3750
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.6420
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.3710
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.6290
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.3715
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.6215
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.3785
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522637
Question: Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 289304.518226
Price History:
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.5950
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.4455
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.5485
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.5735
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.5730
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.4510
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.5490
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.4505
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.5505
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.4370
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.6130
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.5910
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.3895
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.5915
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.5735
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.4215
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.5800
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.4270
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.4270
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.5730
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.5650
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.4305
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.4300
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.6405
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.3765
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.6250
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.3865
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.3810
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.5850
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.6085
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.6100
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.3915
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.3950
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.6050
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.3945
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.3905
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.6085
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.3920
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.3955
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.4040
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.5560
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.3965
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.5530
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.4500
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.5445
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.6250
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.3270
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.3250
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.3280
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.7810
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522637
Question: Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 289304.518226
Price History:
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.2565
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.3270
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.6885
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.3345
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.6245
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.3750
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.6275
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.6325
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.3430
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.6555
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.6780
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.6670
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.6665
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.3410
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.6330
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.6565
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.6560
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.3390
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.3410
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.3400
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.3270
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.2770
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.2755
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.2710
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.2725
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.7310
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.2675
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.7380
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.7430
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.7300
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.2790
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.7180
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.2850
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.2270
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.2515
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.7595
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.2730
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.6115
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.4370
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.5400
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.5660
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.4170
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.4230
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.4355
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.5680
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.3810
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.4410
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.5085
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.4800
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.2430
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522637
Question: Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?
Volume: 289304.518226
Price History:
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.3400
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.6200
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.1300
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.8650
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.1350
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.8650
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.1350
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.8650
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.8550
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.1450
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.8550
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.1450
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.8550
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.1450
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.8550
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.1900
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.7950
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.1950
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.8050
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.1950
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.8050
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.1950
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.8050
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522637
Question: Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?
Volume: 289304.518226
Price History:
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.1850
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.8200
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.1850
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.8150
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.1800
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.8250
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.1750
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.8300
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.1700
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.8300
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.1700
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.8350
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.1650
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.8350
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.1700
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.8300
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.1700
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.8300
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.1700
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.8300
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.1700
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.8300
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.1700
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.8300
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.1700
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.8300
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.1700
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.8300
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.1700
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522637
Question: Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?
Volume: 289304.518226
Price History:
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.1650
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.8350
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.1650
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.7600
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.2800
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.6950
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.2950
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.7050
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.2950
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.6800
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.3050
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.6950
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.3050
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.6950
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.3050
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.6950
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.3100
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.6950
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.3100
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.6900
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.3100
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.6900
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.3100
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.6900
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.3150
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522637
Question: Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?
Volume: 289304.518226
Price History:
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.4750
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.5300
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.4700
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.5300
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.4600
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.4550
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.5500
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.4550
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.5450
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.4550
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.5450
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.4550
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.5500
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.4500
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.5600
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.4350
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.5750
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.4350
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.5750
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.4200
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.5750
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.4250
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.5500
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.4500
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.5500
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.4800
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.5600
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.4350
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522637
Question: Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?
Volume: 289304.518226
Price History:
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.4100
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.5850
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.4100
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.5900
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.4000
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.6000
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.4000
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.6100
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.3850
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.6100
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.3900
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.5700
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.4350
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.5350
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.4650
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.5500
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.4450
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.5600
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.4250
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5800
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4200
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.4500
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.4250
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.5700
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.4150
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522637
Question: Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?
Volume: 289304.518226
Price History:
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.4200
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.5500
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.5900
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.4150
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.5850
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.4100
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5850
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.4150
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.5850
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.4150
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.5850
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.4150
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.5850
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.4150
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.5850
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.4150
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.5850
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.4100
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.5800
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.4200
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.5850
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.4150
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.5150
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.4900
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.4850
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.5050
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522637
Question: Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?
Volume: 289304.518226
Price History:
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.4850
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.5050
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.4900
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.5350
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.4850
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.5150
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.4850
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.5150
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.4850
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.5100
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.4950
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.5050
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.4950
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.5050
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.5900
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.3850
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.6050
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.3550
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.5500
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.4500
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.6300
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.4100
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.6000
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.2700
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.6450
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.3550
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.6650
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.2600
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.7650
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522637
Question: Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?
Volume: 289304.518226
Price History:
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.7050
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.2700
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.6100
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.3700
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.6300
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.4050
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.5800
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.4450
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.5950
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.4050
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.5900
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.4100
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.5900
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.4150
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.5850
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.4150
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.5550
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.4450
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.4900
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.5150
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.5050
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.4700
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.5300
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.4700
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.5300
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.4700
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.5800
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.3700
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.6150
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522637
Question: Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?
Volume: 289304.518226
Price History:
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.6050
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.3750
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.6000
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.4000
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.5950
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.4350
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.5700
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.4550
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.5200
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.5250
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.4600
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.5450
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.4500
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.5500
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.4500
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.5500
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.5150
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.5200
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.4800
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.5300
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.4650
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.5350
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.4650
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.5550
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.3000
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.6950
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.3350
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.6650
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.4850
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522637
Question: Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?
Volume: 289304.518226
Price History:
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.5050
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.4950
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.4950
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.4950
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.5100
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.4950
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.5100
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.4300
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.5700
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.4300
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.5800
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.4350
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.5700
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.4250
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.5750
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.4300
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.5900
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.4100
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.5900
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.4100
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.5450
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.4550
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.5550
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.3750
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.6300
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.3350
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.6250
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.3550
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.6750
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522637
Question: Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?
Volume: 289304.518226
Price History:
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.4750
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.4700
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.6650
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.3550
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.7615
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.2260
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.7635
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.2380
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.7650
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.2225
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.7690
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.2390
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.7490
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.3300
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.6890
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.3195
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.6765
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.3395
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.6665
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.3565
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.6860
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.3085
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.6405
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.3670
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.6480
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.3770
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.6405
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.3710
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.6275
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.3785
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522637
Question: Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?
Volume: 289304.518226
Price History:
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.5950
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.4515
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.5735
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.4510
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.5495
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.4495
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.6130
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.3925
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.5730
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.4215
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.4200
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.5730
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.5650
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.5700
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.3545
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.6250
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.6180
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.4130
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.6100
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.3950
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.6050
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.3905
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.3915
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.4005
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.5560
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.4425
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.4565
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.6250
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.6750
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.6865
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522637
Question: Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?
Volume: 289304.518226
Price History:
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.2565
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.6755
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.6330
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.3750
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.3675
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.6580
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.6780
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.6670
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.6315
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.6565
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.6600
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.3410
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.3270
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.7320
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.7255
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.7310
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.2620
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.7425
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.2790
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.7150
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.2170
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.7595
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.6075
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.5750
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.5660
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.4065
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.5775
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.3810
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.5140
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.3890
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5700
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4300
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6250
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3750
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6800
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4800
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2.25, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6833, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5550
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4450
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5550
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4450
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5550
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4450
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5550
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4450
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5550
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4450
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5550
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4450
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5550
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4450
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.3750
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.6250
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5950
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 13998.70, Sell volume: 41.65, Average price: 0.7710, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4200
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.5800
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4200
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.5800
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.5800
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 11.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5700, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6900, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.5800
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.55, Average price: 0.3500, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.3500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.4400
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 13998.70, Sell volume: 41.65, Average price: 0.7710, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.55, Average price: 0.3000, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.3000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 13998.70, Sell volume: 41.65, Average price: 0.7710, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.4750
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.5250
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.4750
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.4750
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.4750
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.5200
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.4800
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.4800
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.5150
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.5150
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 13998.70, Sell volume: 41.65, Average price: 0.7710, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.5150
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.5100
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.4650
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.5350
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.4900
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.5100
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 13998.70, Sell volume: 41.65, Average price: 0.7710, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.4650
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.5350
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.4600
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.4850
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5150
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.5650
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.4350
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.5650
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.4350
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.5700
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.4300
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5650
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.4350
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5650
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.4350
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5350
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.4650
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5700
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.4300
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5700
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.4300
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5750
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.4250
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5700
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.4300
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5700
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.4300
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5450
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.4550
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.4550
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.5300
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.4700
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 13998.70, Sell volume: 41.65, Average price: 0.7710, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.4700
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.5300
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.4700
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.5300
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.4700
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.5350
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.4650
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.5350
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.4650
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.5450
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.5950
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.5950
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.6100
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 13998.70, Sell volume: 41.65, Average price: 0.7710, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.5700
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.4300
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.5700
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.4300
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.4350
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.5650
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.4350
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.5650
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.4350
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.5650
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.4350
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.5450
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.4550
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.5500
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.5850
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.4150
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.5850
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.4150
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.5850
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.4150
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.4150
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.5500
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.4500
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.4300
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.5700
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.4300
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.5700
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.4300
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.5700
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.4300
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 13983.84, Sell volume: 37.55, Average price: 0.8454, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5700
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4300
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6250
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3750
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6800
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2.25, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6833, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5550
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4450
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5550
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4450
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5550
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4450
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5550
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4450
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 13998.70, Sell volume: 41.65, Average price: 0.7710, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4200
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.5800
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4200
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.5800
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.5800
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 11.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5700, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6900, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.5800
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.55, Average price: 0.3500, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.3500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.4400
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 13998.70, Sell volume: 41.65, Average price: 0.7710, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.55, Average price: 0.3000, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.3000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 13998.70, Sell volume: 41.65, Average price: 0.7710, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.4750
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.5250
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.4750
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.4750
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.4750
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.5200
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.4800
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.4800
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.5150
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 13998.70, Sell volume: 41.65, Average price: 0.7710, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.5150
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.5100
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.4650
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.5350
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 13998.70, Sell volume: 41.65, Average price: 0.7710, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.4650
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.5350
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.4600
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.4850
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5150
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.5650
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.4350
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.5650
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.4350
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.5700
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.4300
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5650
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.4350
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5650
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.4350
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5350
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 13998.70, Sell volume: 41.65, Average price: 0.7710, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.4700
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.5300
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.4700
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.5300
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.4700
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.5350
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.4650
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.5350
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.4650
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 13998.70, Sell volume: 41.65, Average price: 0.7710, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681282
Question: Will the Unity Labour Party (ULP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14040.34976
Price History:
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.5700
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.4300
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.5700
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.4300
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.4350
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.5650
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.4350
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.5650
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.4350
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.5650
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.4350
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.5450
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.4550
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.5500
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.5850
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.4150
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.5850
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.4150
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.5850
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.4150
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 13983.84, Sell volume: 37.55, Average price: 0.8454, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4000
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.6000
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4000
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6350
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6350
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.2850
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.7150
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.2800
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.7200
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.3000
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.7000
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.3150
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.6850
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.3100
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.6900
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 14733.20, Sell volume: 68.01, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.3100
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.6900
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.3100
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.6900
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.6800
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3500
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.6500
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.3600
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.6400
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.3600
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.6400
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.3600
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.6400
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.3600
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.6400
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.3550
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.6450
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.3650
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.6350
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.6300
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.3650
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.6350
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.6300
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5400
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 14733.20, Sell volume: 68.01, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5700
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4300
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5550
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4450
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.3700
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6300
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.3700
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.6300
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7300, Price range: 0.7300 - 0.7300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 14.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6900, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.4050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.5950
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.4100
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.5900
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.4100
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.5900
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.4100
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.5900
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.4100
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.5900
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.4200
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.5800
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.4200
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.5800
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.49, Average price: 0.4993, Price range: 0.4993 - 0.4993

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.5800
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.4200
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.5800
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.5800
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.4200
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.5800
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.5850
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.4150
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.5850
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.4200
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.5800
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.4200
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.5800
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.4250
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.5750
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.4250
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.5750
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.4250
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.5750
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.4250
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.5750
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.4250
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.5750
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 14733.20, Sell volume: 68.01, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.4250
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.5750
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.5750
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.4250
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.5750
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.5700
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.5700
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.5700
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.5700
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.5700
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.5700
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.5700
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.5700
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.5700
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.5700
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.5700
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.4200
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.5800
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.3600
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.6400
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.5700
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.5700
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 14733.20, Sell volume: 68.01, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.5700
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.5700
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.5700
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.4300
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.5700
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.4300
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.5700
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.3450
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.6550
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.3350
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.6650
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.3200
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.6800
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.3200
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.6800
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.3600
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.6400
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.3600
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.6400
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.3600
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.6400
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.3500
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.6500
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.3500
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.6500
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.3500
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.6500
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.6350
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.6350
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.6350
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.6350
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.6350
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.6350
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.6350
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.6350
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.6350
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 14733.20, Sell volume: 68.01, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.6350
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.6350
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.3650
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.6350
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.3650
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.6350
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.3650
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.6350
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.3650
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.6350
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.3650
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.6350
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.3700
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.6300
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.3700
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.6300
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.3700
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.6300
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.5900
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.5900
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.5900
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.4150
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.5900
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.5900
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.5900
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.5900
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.5900
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.5900
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.5900
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.5900
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.5900
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.5900
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 14733.20, Sell volume: 68.01, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.5900
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.5900
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.4100
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.5900
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.4100
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.5900
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.4150
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.5800
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.4150
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.5850
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.4150
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.5850
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.4150
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.5850
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.4150
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5850
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.4150
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.4150
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.5850
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.4150
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.4150
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.5850
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.4100
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.5900
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.4200
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.5800
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.4200
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.5800
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 14733.20, Sell volume: 68.01, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.4200
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.4150
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.4100
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.5900
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.4150
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5850
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 14733.20, Sell volume: 68.01, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.5750
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.5200
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.4800
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.5400
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.4600
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.5400
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.4600
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.4550
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.5450
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.4550
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 14733.20, Sell volume: 68.01, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.5450
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.4550
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.5400
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.4600
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.5400
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.4600
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.5350
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.4650
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.5350
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.4650
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.4600
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.5450
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.4550
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.5850
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.4150
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.5850
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.4150
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.5750
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.4250
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.4350
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.5650
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.4350
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.5550
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.4450
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.4350
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.5600
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.4400
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.5600
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.4400
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9495
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0505
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9495
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0505
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 14708.71, Sell volume: 53.52, Average price: 0.7435, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4000
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.6000
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4000
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6350
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6350
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.2850
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.7150
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.2800
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 14733.20, Sell volume: 68.01, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.3100
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.6900
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.3100
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.6900
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.6800
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3500
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.6500
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.3600
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.6400
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.3600
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.6400
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.3600
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.6400
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.3600
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.6400
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 14733.20, Sell volume: 68.01, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5700
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4300
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5550
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4450
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.3700
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6300
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.3700
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.6300
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7300, Price range: 0.7300 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 14.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6900, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.4050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.5950
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.4100
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.5900
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.4100
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.5900
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.4100
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.5900
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.4100
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.5900
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.4200
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.5800
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.49, Average price: 0.4993, Price range: 0.4993 - 0.4993
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.5800
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.4200
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.5800
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.5800
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.4200
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.5800
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.5850
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.4150
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.5850
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.4200
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.5800
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.4200
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.5800
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 14733.20, Sell volume: 68.01, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.4250
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.5750
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.5750
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.4250
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.5750
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.5700
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.5700
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.5700
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.5700
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.5700
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.5700
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 14733.20, Sell volume: 68.01, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.5700
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.5700
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.5700
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.4300
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.5700
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.4300
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.5700
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.3450
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.6550
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.3350
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.6650
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.3200
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.6800
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.3200
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.6800
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.3600
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.6400
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.3600
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.6400
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.3600
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.6400
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.3500
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.6500
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.3500
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.6500
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.3500
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.6500
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 14733.20, Sell volume: 68.01, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.6350
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.6350
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.3650
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.6350
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.3650
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.6350
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.3650
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.6350
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.3650
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.6350
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.3650
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.6350
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.3700
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.6300
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.3700
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.6300
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.3700
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.6300
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.5900
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.5900
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.5900
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.4150
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 14733.20, Sell volume: 68.01, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.5900
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.5900
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.4100
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.5900
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.4100
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.5900
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.4150
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.5800
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.4150
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.5850
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.4150
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.5850
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.4150
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.5850
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.4150
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5850
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.4150
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 14733.20, Sell volume: 68.01, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.4200
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.4150
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.4100
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.5900
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.4150
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5850
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 14733.20, Sell volume: 68.01, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.5750
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.5200
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.4800
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.5400
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.4600
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.5400
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.4600
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 14733.20, Sell volume: 68.01, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681283
Question: Will the New Democratic Party (NDP) win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 14801.212751
Price History:
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.5450
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.4550
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.5400
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.4600
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.5400
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.4600
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.5350
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.4650
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.5350
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.4650
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.4600
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.5450
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.4550
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.5850
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.4150
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.5850
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.4150
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.5750
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.4250
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.4350
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.5650
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 14708.71, Sell volume: 53.52, Average price: 0.7435, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5700
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3350
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6650
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.2900
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.7100
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.2500
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.2400
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.7600
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.2300
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.7700
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.2000
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.8000
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14314.24, Sell volume: 1937.45, Average price: 0.5675, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8400
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1600
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8400
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.1600
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8400
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.1600
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8400
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.1600
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8400
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.1700
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.1650
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.8350
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.1650
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8350
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.1650
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8350
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.1650
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.8350
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.1650
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.8350
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.1550
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.8450
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.1650
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.8350
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.2100
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.7900
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.2150
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.7850
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.2150
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.7850
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.2150
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.2150
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.7850
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.2150
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.7850
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.2150
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.7850
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.2100
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.7900
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.2150
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.2200
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.7800
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0600
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9400
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9745
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0155
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9845
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0155
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9845
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0165
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9835
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0165
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9835
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 12.67, Sell volume: 35.00, Average price: 0.5983, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9813

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0165
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9835
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0165
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9835
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14314.24, Sell volume: 1937.45, Average price: 0.5675, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes