Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0655
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.0655
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.0655
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.0655
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.0655
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.0660
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.0665
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.0740
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.0740
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.0735
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0665
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.0660
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.0670
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.0675
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.0675
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.0675
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.0675
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0675
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0675
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0665
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0665
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0665
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0665
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0665
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0665
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0665
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0665
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0575
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0645
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0645
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0645
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0505
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0545
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0545
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0545
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0420
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0420
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0420
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.0545
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.1105
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.0975
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0975
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0975
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0975
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0965
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0965
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0845
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0845
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0845
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 663336, Buy volume: 2642946.64, Sell volume: 7807504.68, Average price: 0.5724, Price range: 0.0324 - 0.9690

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0845
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0845
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0845
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0830
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0905
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0915
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0920
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0915
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.1375
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0850
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0855
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.0855
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0765
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0835
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.0850
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0855
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0805
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0850
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0620
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0785
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0710
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0715
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0835
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0840
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0705
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0840
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0695
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0835
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.0745
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0770
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0745
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0860
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0860
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0745
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.1550
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.1090
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0960
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.1005
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0920
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.1000
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0920
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0665
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.1040
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.1190
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.1065
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.1155
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.1390
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.1295
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.1475
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.1425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 288068, Buy volume: 2278221.94, Sell volume: 1949280.35, Average price: 0.6109, Price range: 0.0380 - 0.9630

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.1470
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.1500
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.1495
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.1470
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.1475
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.1480
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.1495
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.1495
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.1500
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.1500
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.1585
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.1575
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.1520
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.1470
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.1560
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.1570
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.1520
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.1490
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.1470
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.1495
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.1425
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.1475
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.1440
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.1500
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.1480
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.1440
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.1510
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.1520
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.1485
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.1220
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.1215
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.1230
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.1105
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.1055
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0890
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.0930
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.0930
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0930
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0930
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0840
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0690
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0690
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0645
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0690
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0655
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0690
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0690
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0690
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0680
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 309, Buy volume: 5355.38, Sell volume: 3036.60, Average price: 0.7102, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0660
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0655
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0660
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0655
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0660
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0615
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0590
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0570
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0590
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0595
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0595
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0590
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0845
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0845
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0845
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0805
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0850
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0850
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0850
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0850
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0815
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0810
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0795
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.0400
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0250
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0250
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0160
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0155
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.0170
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0125
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.0200
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.0135
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.0135
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0160
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.0140
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.0140
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.0125
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.0155
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.0140
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.0150
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.0130
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.0155
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.0145
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 119, Buy volume: 9655.95, Sell volume: 7199.14, Average price: 0.6703, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0100
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.0070
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.0120
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0120
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.0135
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.0090
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.0075
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.0040
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.0040
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.0075
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0050
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.0060
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.0055
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.0055
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0045
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0050
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.0045
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.0045
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0030
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.0030
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.0030
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.0030
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0050
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.0055
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.0055
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.0055
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0055
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.0055
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.0060
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.0060
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0060
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.0060
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.0060
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0060
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0060
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.0055
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.0060
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.0055
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.0055
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0055
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.0055
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0055
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0055
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.0055
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.0055
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.0055
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 167, Buy volume: 390.19, Sell volume: 4287.31, Average price: 0.7998, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0055
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.0055
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.0055
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0055
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.0055
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0055
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0055
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0055
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0055
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0055
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0030
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.0030
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 680.74, Sell volume: 301.83, Average price: 0.8601, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0030
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0030
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0030
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0030
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0030
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0030
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0030
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0030
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0030
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 1003.70, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0030
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0030
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0030
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0200
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0185
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0190
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0180
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0190
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0190
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0190
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0190
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0185
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0175
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0150
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0140
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0120
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0140
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0160
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0125
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0145
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0070
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0080
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0055
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0030
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0030
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0030
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0030
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0030
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 9193.68, Sell volume: 505.00, Average price: 0.5859, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.43, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.3150
2024-12-05 06:00: 0.1500
2024-12-05 16:00: 0.1950
2024-12-06 02:00: 0.2150
2024-12-06 12:00: 0.1000
2024-12-06 22:00: 0.0345
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.0250
2024-12-07 18:00: 0.0395
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.0420
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.0435
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.0370
2024-12-09 10:00: 0.0370
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.0355
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.0400
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.0335
2024-12-11 02:00: 0.0330
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.0275
2024-12-11 22:00: 0.0295
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.0445
2024-12-12 18:00: 0.0445
2024-12-13 04:00: 0.0445
2024-12-13 14:00: 0.0400
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.0400
2024-12-14 10:00: 0.0390
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.0510
2024-12-15 06:00: 0.0500
2024-12-15 16:00: 0.0510
2024-12-16 02:00: 0.0500
2024-12-16 12:00: 0.0795
2024-12-16 22:00: 0.0680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5124577.58, Sell volume: 10306595.04, Average price: 0.5819, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.0845
2024-12-17 23:00: 0.0885
2024-12-18 09:00: 0.0875
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.0845
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.0870
2024-12-19 15:00: 0.0705
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.0710
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.0750
2024-12-20 21:00: 0.0710
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.0750
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.0710
2024-12-22 03:00: 0.0710
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.0710
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.0690
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.0830
2024-12-23 19:00: 0.0845
2024-12-24 05:00: 0.0730
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.0740
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.0750
2024-12-25 11:00: 0.0755
2024-12-25 21:00: 0.0750
2024-12-26 07:00: 0.0500
2024-12-26 17:00: 0.0500
2024-12-27 03:00: 0.0515
2024-12-27 13:00: 0.0515
2024-12-27 23:00: 0.0535
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.0540
2024-12-28 19:00: 0.0490
2024-12-29 05:00: 0.0470
2024-12-29 15:00: 0.0480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5124577.58, Sell volume: 10306595.04, Average price: 0.5819, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.0345
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.0290
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.0305
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.0310
2024-12-31 22:00: 0.0565
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.0775
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.0405
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0390
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.0390
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0400
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.0405
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.0685
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.0655
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0670
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.0430
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.0435
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.0630
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.0670
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.0595
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.0620
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.0630
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0770
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.0735
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0485
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.0550
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.0550
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.0465
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.0560
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.0555
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.0635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5124577.58, Sell volume: 10306595.04, Average price: 0.5819, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.0535
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.0540
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.0540
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.0435
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.0540
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.0675
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.0525
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.0395
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.0370
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0410
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.0390
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.0305
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.0525
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0510
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.0520
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.0395
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.0445
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.0450
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.0420
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.0520
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.0515
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.0515
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.0570
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.0570
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.0570
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.0645
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.0670
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.0675
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.0665
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.0670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47952, Buy volume: 178073.05, Sell volume: 533466.00, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0660 - 0.9550
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0655
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.0655
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.0655
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.0660
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.0665
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.0735
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0665
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.0665
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.0675
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.0675
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0675
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0675
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0665
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.0665
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0665
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0665
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.0615
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0645
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0645
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0545
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0545
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0420
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0420
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.0545
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.0975
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.0975
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.0965
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0965
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.0845
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 663336, Buy volume: 2642946.64, Sell volume: 7807504.68, Average price: 0.5724, Price range: 0.0324 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0845
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.0845
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0905
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0915
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0915
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0830
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0855
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0855
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0840
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0855
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0805
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0825
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0710
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0715
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0825
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0840
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.0615
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.0805
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0745
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0835
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0860
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.1090
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0980
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.1015
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0920
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.1060
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.1550
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.1155
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.1220
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.1470
Trade Summary: Total trades: 288068, Buy volume: 2278221.94, Sell volume: 1949280.35, Average price: 0.6109, Price range: 0.0380 - 0.9630
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.1470
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.1480
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.1465
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.1480
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.1490
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.1495
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.1585
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.1490
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.1455
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.1570
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.1570
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.1385
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.1425
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.1445
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.1495
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.1440
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.1490
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.1425
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.1215
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.1115
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.1045
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.0930
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0930
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0930
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0690
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0690
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0670
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0690
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0690
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 309, Buy volume: 5355.38, Sell volume: 3036.60, Average price: 0.7102, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0660
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.0670
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0615
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0590
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0590
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0595
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0845
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0845
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0805
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0755
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0850
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0815
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0845
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0415
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0250
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0150
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.0165
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.0200
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.0125
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.0155
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.0140
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.0145
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.0155
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.0130
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.0155
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 119, Buy volume: 9655.95, Sell volume: 7199.14, Average price: 0.6703, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0100
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.0115
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.0100
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.0090
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.0040
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.0040
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.0045
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.0055
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.0050
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.0050
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.0045
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.0030
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.0030
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0050
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.0060
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0055
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.0055
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.0060
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.0060
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.0060
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.0060
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0060
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.0055
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.0055
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0055
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0055
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.0055
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 167, Buy volume: 390.19, Sell volume: 4287.31, Average price: 0.7998, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0055
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.0055
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.0055
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0055
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.0055
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.0060
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.0030
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.0030
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 680.74, Sell volume: 301.83, Average price: 0.8601, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0030
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0030
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 1003.70, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0030
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0030
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0185
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0185
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0190
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0190
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0185
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0195
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0125
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0160
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0140
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0180
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0165
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0125
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0085
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0085
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0030
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0030
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0030
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 9193.68, Sell volume: 505.00, Average price: 0.5859, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.43, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0015
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9985
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0030
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9970
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0030
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9970
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0030
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9970
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0030
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9970
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0030
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9970
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 300953368.40, Sell volume: 108639366.67, Average price: 0.6138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0030
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9970
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0020
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9980
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0015
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0015
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0015
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0015
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0015
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0015
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0015
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0015
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0015
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0015
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0015
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0020
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9980
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 300953368.40, Sell volume: 108639366.67, Average price: 0.6138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0030
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9970
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0030
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9970
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0030
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9970
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 300953368.40, Sell volume: 108639366.67, Average price: 0.6138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0030
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9970
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9910
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0105
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9895
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0105
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9895
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0105
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9895
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 300953368.40, Sell volume: 108639366.67, Average price: 0.6138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 300953368.40, Sell volume: 108639366.67, Average price: 0.6138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0030
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9970
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0030
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9970
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9970
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 300953368.40, Sell volume: 108639366.67, Average price: 0.6138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0015
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9985
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0015
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9985
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0015
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9985
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0015
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9985
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0015
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9985
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0015
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9985
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 300953368.40, Sell volume: 108639366.67, Average price: 0.6138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 300953368.40, Sell volume: 108639366.67, Average price: 0.6138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 300953368.40, Sell volume: 108639366.67, Average price: 0.6138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 300953368.40, Sell volume: 108639366.67, Average price: 0.6138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 300953368.40, Sell volume: 108639366.67, Average price: 0.6138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0010
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9990
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 301698, Buy volume: 122223305.94, Sell volume: 61692525.72, Average price: 0.4108, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9990
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9990
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0010
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9990
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 680319, Buy volume: 173735062.46, Sell volume: 39747307.25, Average price: 0.7170, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0015
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0030
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0030
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0030
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0030
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0030
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0030
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 300953368.40, Sell volume: 108639366.67, Average price: 0.6138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9970
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9980
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9980
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 300953368.40, Sell volume: 108639366.67, Average price: 0.6138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0030
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0030
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0030
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 300953368.40, Sell volume: 108639366.67, Average price: 0.6138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9970
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9910
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9895
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9895
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9895
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9920
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9965
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 300953368.40, Sell volume: 108639366.67, Average price: 0.6138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 300953368.40, Sell volume: 108639366.67, Average price: 0.6138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9970
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9970
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9970
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9970
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 300953368.40, Sell volume: 108639366.67, Average price: 0.6138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0015
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0015
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0015
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0015
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0015
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0015
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 300953368.40, Sell volume: 108639366.67, Average price: 0.6138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 300953368.40, Sell volume: 108639366.67, Average price: 0.6138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 300953368.40, Sell volume: 108639366.67, Average price: 0.6138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 300953368.40, Sell volume: 108639366.67, Average price: 0.6138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 300953368.40, Sell volume: 108639366.67, Average price: 0.6138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9990
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 301698, Buy volume: 122223305.94, Sell volume: 61692525.72, Average price: 0.4108, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525012
Question: Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
Volume: 1266172.102202
Price History:
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0010
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0020
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0030
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 680319, Buy volume: 173735062.46, Sell volume: 39747307.25, Average price: 0.7170, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.4750
2024-12-05 02:00: 0.2700
2024-12-05 08:00: 0.1950
2024-12-05 14:00: 0.2150
2024-12-05 20:00: 0.2050
2024-12-06 02:00: 0.1900
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.1900
2024-12-06 14:00: 0.1300
2024-12-06 20:00: 0.0650
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.0500
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.1150
2024-12-07 14:00: 0.1700
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.1800
2024-12-08 02:00: 0.1850
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.1350
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.1250
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.1000
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.1200
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.1050
2024-12-09 14:00: 0.1100
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.1000
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.1100
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.1050
2024-12-10 14:00: 0.1000
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.0550
2024-12-11 02:00: 0.0535
2024-12-11 08:00: 0.0490
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.0345
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.0175
2024-12-12 02:00: 0.0175
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.0190
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.0185
2024-12-12 20:00: 0.0195
2024-12-13 02:00: 0.0190
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.0200
2024-12-13 14:00: 0.0185
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.0165
2024-12-14 02:00: 0.0210
2024-12-14 08:00: 0.0110
2024-12-14 14:00: 0.0195
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.0225
2024-12-15 02:00: 0.0220
2024-12-15 08:00: 0.0220
2024-12-15 14:00: 0.0240
2024-12-15 20:00: 0.0235
2024-12-16 02:00: 0.0225
2024-12-16 08:00: 0.0225
2024-12-16 14:00: 0.0230
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.0230
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3935442.80, Sell volume: 10945570.68, Average price: 0.6874, Price range: 0.0015 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.0175
2024-12-17 19:00: 0.0185
2024-12-18 01:00: 0.0185
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.0190
2024-12-18 13:00: 0.0190
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.0250
2024-12-19 01:00: 0.0250
2024-12-19 07:00: 0.0210
2024-12-19 13:00: 0.0210
2024-12-19 19:00: 0.0195
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.0195
2024-12-20 07:00: 0.0180
2024-12-20 13:00: 0.0195
2024-12-20 19:00: 0.0205
2024-12-21 01:00: 0.0215
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.0195
2024-12-21 13:00: 0.0195
2024-12-21 19:00: 0.0195
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.0210
2024-12-22 07:00: 0.0185
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.0195
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.0245
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.0195
2024-12-23 07:00: 0.0250
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.0170
2024-12-23 19:00: 0.0240
2024-12-24 01:00: 0.0195
2024-12-24 07:00: 0.0220
2024-12-24 13:00: 0.0195
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.0235
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.0205
2024-12-25 07:00: 0.0215
2024-12-25 13:00: 0.0260
2024-12-25 19:00: 0.0265
2024-12-26 01:00: 0.0340
2024-12-26 07:00: 0.0335
2024-12-26 13:00: 0.0335
2024-12-26 19:00: 0.0340
2024-12-27 01:00: 0.0335
2024-12-27 07:00: 0.0340
2024-12-27 13:00: 0.0340
2024-12-27 19:00: 0.0345
2024-12-28 01:00: 0.0340
2024-12-28 07:00: 0.0340
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.0340
2024-12-28 19:00: 0.0335
2024-12-29 01:00: 0.0340
2024-12-29 07:00: 0.0340
2024-12-29 13:00: 0.0350
2024-12-29 19:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3935442.80, Sell volume: 10945570.68, Average price: 0.6874, Price range: 0.0015 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.0340
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0340
2024-12-30 18:00: 0.0340
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0340
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.0240
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.0255
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.0225
2025-01-01 00:00: 0.0260
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.0210
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0190
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.0165
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.0170
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.0180
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.0170
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.0205
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0185
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.0170
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.0195
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.0185
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.0155
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.0165
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.0165
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.0270
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.0235
2025-01-05 06:00: 0.0190
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.0180
2025-01-05 18:00: 0.0155
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.0180
2025-01-06 06:00: 0.0245
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0170
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.0185
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.0185
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.0190
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.0180
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.0230
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0190
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.0250
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.0260
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.0160
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.0165
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.0160
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.0130
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.0150
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.0145
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.0160
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.0160
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.0240
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.0230
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.0240
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3935442.80, Sell volume: 10945570.68, Average price: 0.6874, Price range: 0.0015 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.0230
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.0195
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.0230
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.0230
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.0250
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.0175
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.0450
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.0465
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.0475
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.0170
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.0140
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.0145
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.0135
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.0165
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.0605
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0635
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.0295
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.0665
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.0530
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.0520
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.0520
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.0475
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.0535
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.0475
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.0540
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.0630
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.0630
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.0620
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.0535
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.0530
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.0535
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.0555
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.0550
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.0545
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.0545
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.0555
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.0555
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.0555
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.0555
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.0545
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.0500
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.0505
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.0500
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.0515
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.0540
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.0540
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.0540
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.0530
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0475
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 393606, Buy volume: 3719243.09, Sell volume: 5057757.18, Average price: 0.9258, Price range: 0.0198 - 0.9790

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0495
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.0495
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.0495
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.0495
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.0495
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.0495
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.0305
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.0305
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.0305
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.0305
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0305
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.0275
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.0275
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.0275
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.0275
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.0275
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.0275
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0275
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0275
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0270
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0270
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0275
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0275
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0275
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0275
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0275
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0275
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0275
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0275
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0275
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0275
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0275
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0275
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0275
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.0275
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.0275
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.0275
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0275
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0275
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0275
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0275
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0275
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0275
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0280
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0280
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 605512, Buy volume: 198456.16, Sell volume: 5871409.20, Average price: 0.5324, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9886

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0280
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0280
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0280
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0275
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0275
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0280
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0280
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0280
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0280
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0285
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0280
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.0280
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0285
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0280
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.0275
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0270
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0270
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0265
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0270
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0270
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0270
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0270
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0270
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0260
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0245
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0240
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0135
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0135
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.0145
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0145
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0150
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0155
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0155
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0155
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0525
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0315
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0390
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0295
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0305
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0385
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0365
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0295
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0285
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0435
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0365
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0410
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0475
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.0385
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.0470
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 133, Buy volume: 200.74, Sell volume: 1060.84, Average price: 0.3552, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0445
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0480
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0465
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0465
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0475
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0465
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0470
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.0480
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.0485
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.0485
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0485
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.0490
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.0465
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.0405
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.0440
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.0450
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.0455
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0450
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.0450
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.0410
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.0410
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.0455
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0440
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.0460
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.0460
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0465
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0480
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.0475
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0460
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.0465
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0485
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0485
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.0485
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.0425
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0440
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.0415
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.0440
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0440
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0440
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0455
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0480
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0520
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0505
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0480
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0480
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0465
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0470
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0415
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0470
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 338, Buy volume: 5935.25, Sell volume: 3854.98, Average price: 0.7035, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9885

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0460
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0475
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0280
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0225
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0410
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0435
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0460
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0435
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0485
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0465
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0480
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0445
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0480
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0470
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0475
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0490
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0500
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0425
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0460
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0490
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0485
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0470
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0460
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.0105
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0060
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0060
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0050
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0045
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.0040
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0030
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.0045
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.0065
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.0055
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0055
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.0040
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.0095
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.0120
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.0145
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.0145
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.0145
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.0145
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.0145
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.0145
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.0145
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.0145
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.0145
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.0145
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.0145
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.0145
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 135, Buy volume: 7387.45, Sell volume: 1462.03, Average price: 0.6651, Price range: 0.0015 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0145
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.0145
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.0145
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0145
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.0145
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.0145
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.0145
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.0145
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.0145
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0210
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.0190
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.0190
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.0185
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0175
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.0210
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.0205
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.0195
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0180
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.0165
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.0165
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0155
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.0155
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.0150
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.0160
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0180
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.0155
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.0170
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.0175
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0140
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.0160
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.0155
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.0150
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0145
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.0160
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.0155
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0160
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0165
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.0160
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.0165
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.0160
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.0160
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0130
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.0145
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0150
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0150
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.0150
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.0135
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.0135
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 178, Buy volume: 590.87, Sell volume: 8482.85, Average price: 0.7004, Price range: 0.0086 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0110
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.0140
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.0145
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0140
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.0150
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0160
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0140
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0140
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0140
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0140
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0130
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0140
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0155
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.0115
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.0085
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.0085
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0085
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.0085
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0085
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0110
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.0130
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.0130
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0125
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.0100
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.0105
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0110
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0100
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 813.75, Sell volume: 382.00, Average price: 0.8707, Price range: 0.0079 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0075
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0085
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 266.00, Sell volume: 728.25, Average price: 0.8293, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0100
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0125
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0125
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0125
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0125
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0100
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0115
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0030
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0030
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0030
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0030
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0030
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0030
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0030
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0030
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0055
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0045
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2549.49, Sell volume: 350.00, Average price: 0.6883, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0030
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0030
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0030
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0035
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0030
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.0035
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0035
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.0030
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0030
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 11.35, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.4750
2024-12-05 06:00: 0.2650
2024-12-05 16:00: 0.2100
2024-12-06 02:00: 0.1900
2024-12-06 12:00: 0.2000
2024-12-06 22:00: 0.0600
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.1150
2024-12-07 18:00: 0.1550
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.1550
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.1250
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.1200
2024-12-09 10:00: 0.1050
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.1000
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.1050
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.0900
2024-12-11 02:00: 0.0535
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.0350
2024-12-11 22:00: 0.0170
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.0190
2024-12-12 18:00: 0.0200
2024-12-13 04:00: 0.0205
2024-12-13 14:00: 0.0185
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.0210
2024-12-14 10:00: 0.0110
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.0225
2024-12-15 06:00: 0.0215
2024-12-15 16:00: 0.0205
2024-12-16 02:00: 0.0225
2024-12-16 12:00: 0.0240
2024-12-16 22:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3935442.80, Sell volume: 10945570.68, Average price: 0.6874, Price range: 0.0015 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.0175
2024-12-17 23:00: 0.0175
2024-12-18 09:00: 0.0200
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.0250
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.0250
2024-12-19 15:00: 0.0210
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.0195
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.0205
2024-12-20 21:00: 0.0195
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.0195
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.0195
2024-12-22 03:00: 0.0260
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.0195
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.0195
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.0230
2024-12-23 19:00: 0.0240
2024-12-24 05:00: 0.0250
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.0230
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.0205
2024-12-25 11:00: 0.0240
2024-12-25 21:00: 0.0335
2024-12-26 07:00: 0.0335
2024-12-26 17:00: 0.0340
2024-12-27 03:00: 0.0335
2024-12-27 13:00: 0.0340
2024-12-27 23:00: 0.0335
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.0340
2024-12-28 19:00: 0.0335
2024-12-29 05:00: 0.0340
2024-12-29 15:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3935442.80, Sell volume: 10945570.68, Average price: 0.6874, Price range: 0.0015 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.0340
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.0340
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.0285
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.0255
2024-12-31 22:00: 0.0210
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.0265
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.0165
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0185
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.0155
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0185
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.0170
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.0195
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.0165
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0175
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.0165
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.0180
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.0155
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.0190
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.0185
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.0185
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.0235
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0190
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.0205
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0165
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.0160
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.0160
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.0160
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.0160
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.0240
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3935442.80, Sell volume: 10945570.68, Average price: 0.6874, Price range: 0.0015 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.0230
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.0195
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.0245
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.0175
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.0465
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.0330
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.0140
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.0135
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.0165
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0635
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.0510
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.0520
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0535
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.0560
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.0630
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.0625
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.0535
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.0535
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.0545
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.0545
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.0555
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.0555
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.0555
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.0500
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.0505
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.0540
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.0540
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.0530
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.0480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 393606, Buy volume: 3719243.09, Sell volume: 5057757.18, Average price: 0.9258, Price range: 0.0198 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0495
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.0495
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.0495
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.0495
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.0305
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.0305
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0305
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.0275
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.0275
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.0275
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0275
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0270
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0270
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0275
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.0275
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0275
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0275
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0275
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0275
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0275
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0275
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.0275
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.0275
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.0275
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.0275
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0275
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.0280
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 605512, Buy volume: 198456.16, Sell volume: 5871409.20, Average price: 0.5324, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9886
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0280
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.0280
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0275
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0280
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0280
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0280
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0280
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0280
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0280
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0270
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0270
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0270
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0270
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0265
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0240
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0240
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.0135
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.0130
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0150
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0150
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0155
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0315
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0340
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0345
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0365
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0400
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0375
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0410
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0400
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 133, Buy volume: 200.74, Sell volume: 1060.84, Average price: 0.3552, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0445
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0480
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0470
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0465
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0470
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.0490
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0485
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.0450
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.0475
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.0450
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.0360
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0460
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.0410
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.0460
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.0460
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0465
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.0460
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.0475
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0485
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.0485
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.0460
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.0415
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0440
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0405
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0480
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0500
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0440
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0465
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0480
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 338, Buy volume: 5935.25, Sell volume: 3854.98, Average price: 0.7035, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9885
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0460
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.0365
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0365
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0435
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0425
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0490
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0480
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0475
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0500
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0490
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0460
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0490
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0485
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0490
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0105
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0060
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0040
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.0045
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.0045
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.0065
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.0055
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.0095
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.0145
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.0145
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.0145
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.0145
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.0145
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.0145
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.0145
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 135, Buy volume: 7387.45, Sell volume: 1462.03, Average price: 0.6651, Price range: 0.0015 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0145
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.0145
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.0145
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.0145
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.0145
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.0145
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.0190
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.0220
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.0165
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.0205
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.0195
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.0180
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.0165
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.0170
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.0155
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0180
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.0145
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0165
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.0160
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.0150
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.0165
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.0155
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.0165
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0160
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.0160
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.0140
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0135
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0150
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.0140
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 178, Buy volume: 590.87, Sell volume: 8482.85, Average price: 0.7004, Price range: 0.0086 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514817
Question: Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Volume: 90079.044389
Price History:
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0110
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.0145
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.0150
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0160
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.0150
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.0155
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0130
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.0135
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.0140
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.0085
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.0085
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.0085
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0085
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.0085
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.0085
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.0085
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.0085
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.0085
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.0110
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0125
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.0100
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0115
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0120
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0100
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 813.75, Sell volume: 382.00, Average price: 0.8707, Price range: 0.0079 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes