Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518090
Question: Will 53-55 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 15563.915609
Price History:
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0185
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9815
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.0070
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9930
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.0065
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9935
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0070
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9930
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.0300
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.9700
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.0305
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.9695
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.0305
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.9695
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.0270
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.9730
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.0275
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.9725
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0275
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.9725
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.0280
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9720
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.0285
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.9715
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.0215
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.9785
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.0205
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.9795
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0220
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 6747.44, Sell volume: 55.02, Average price: 0.7618, Price range: 0.0292 - 0.9988
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.1500
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.8500
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.1500
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.8500
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.1000
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.9000
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.1000
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.9000
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.1000
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.9000
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.1000
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.9000
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.1000
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.9000
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.1000
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.9000
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.1000
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.9000
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.0700
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.9300
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.0700
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.9300
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.0700
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.9300
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.0700
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.9300
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.0700
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.9300
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.0650
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.9350
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.0600
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.9400
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.0600
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.9400
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.0600
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.9400
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 116.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0650, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1002.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.9450
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.9450
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.9450
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.9450
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.9450
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.9450
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.9450
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.9450
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.9450
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.9450
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.9450
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.9450
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.0600
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.9400
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.0600
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.9400
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.0600
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.9400
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.0600
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.9400
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.0600
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.9400
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.0600
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.9400
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.0600
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.9400
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.0600
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.9400
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.0600
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.9400
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.0600
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 3842.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5066, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.9400
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.0600
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.0650
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.0650
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.0650
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.0650
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0650
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.0650
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.0650
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.9350
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 878.71, Sell volume: 2098.48, Average price: 0.7647, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.0650
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.9350
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.0650
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.9350
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0650
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.9350
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.0650
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.9350
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.0650
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.9350
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.0650
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.9350
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.0650
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.9350
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.0650
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.9350
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.0650
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.9350
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.0650
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.9350
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0650
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.9350
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.9400
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.0600
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.9400
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.0550
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 70.72, Sell volume: 506.30, Average price: 0.7422, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.9450
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.0550
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.9450
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.0600
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.9400
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 31.27, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.0700
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.9300
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.0600
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.9400
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.0600
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.9400
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.0600
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.9400
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.0600
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.9400
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.0650
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.9350
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.0650
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.9350
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0600
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.9400
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.0650
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.9350
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.0600
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 502.11, Sell volume: 134.69, Average price: 0.9425, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.9400
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.0600
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.9400
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.9250
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0750
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.9250
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.0750
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.9250
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.0750
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.9250
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.0750
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.9250
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0750
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.9250
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.0750
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.9250
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.0750
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.9250
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.0750
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.9250
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.0750
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.9250
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.08, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.0650
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.9350
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.0650
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.9350
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.0650
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.9350
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.0650
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.9350
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.0650
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.9350
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.0650
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.9350
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.0600
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.9400
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.0650
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.9350
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.0750
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.9250
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.0750
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.9250
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.0750
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.9250
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.0750
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.9250
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.0750
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.0650
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.9350
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.0650
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.9350
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.0650
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.9350
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.0650
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.9350
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.0650
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1.05, Sell volume: 220.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.9400
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.0600
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.9400
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.0900
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.9100
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0850
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.9150
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.9250
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.0750
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.9250
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.0750
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.9250
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.0700
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.9300
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.0700
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.9300
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0700
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.9300
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.0700
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.9300
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.0700
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.9300
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.0700
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.9300
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.0700
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.9300
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.0700
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.9300
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.0700
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.9300
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.0700
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.9300
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0700
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.9300
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.0700
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.9300
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 759.99, Sell volume: 75.93, Average price: 0.6652, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.0550
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.9450
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.0550
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.9450
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.0550
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.9450
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.0450
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.9550
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.0450
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.9550
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.0400
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.9600
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.0345
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.9655
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.0345
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.9655
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.0350
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.9650
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.0350
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.9650
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.0345
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.9655
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.0345
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.9655
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.0345
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.9655
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.0365
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.9635
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.0355
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.9645
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.0355
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.9645
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.0365
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.9635
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.0355
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.9645
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.0355
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.9645
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.0355
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.9645
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.0360
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.9640
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.0355
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.9645
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.0350
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.9650
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.0350
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.9650
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.0355
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 702.16, Sell volume: 1540.69, Average price: 0.9169, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.9675
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.0325
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.9675
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.0325
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.9675
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.0330
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.9670
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.0320
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.9680
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.0320
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.9680
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.0325
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.9675
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.0325
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.9675
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.0320
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.9680
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.0320
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.9680
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.0325
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.9675
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.0320
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.9680
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.0320
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.9680
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.0320
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.9680
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.0320
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.9680
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.0295
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.9705
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.0305
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.9695
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.0305
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.9695
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.0285
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.9715
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.0165
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.9835
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.0160
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.9840
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.0160
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.9840
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.0140
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.9860
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.0130
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.9870
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.0115
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.9885
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 4598.08, Sell volume: 160.02, Average price: 0.9178, Price range: 0.0253 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.0070
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9930
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.0045
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9955
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0080
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9920
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.0065
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.9935
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.0100
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.9900
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.0075
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.9925
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.0100
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.9900
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.0075
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.9925
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0095
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.9905
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.0080
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9920
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.0095
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.9905
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.0060
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.9940
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.0095
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.9905
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0065
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9935
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.0060
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.9940
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.0085
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.9915
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.0030
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.9970
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.0030
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.9970
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.0030
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.9970
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.0030
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9970
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.0025
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 19333.69, Sell volume: 9067.00, Average price: 0.3899, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.1500
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.8500
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.1500
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.8500
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.1000
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.9000
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.1000
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.9000
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.1000
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.9000
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.1000
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.9000
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.1000
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.9000
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.1000
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.9000
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.1000
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.9000
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.0700
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.9300
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.0700
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.9300
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.0700
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.9300
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.0700
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.9300
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.0700
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.9300
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.0650
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 116.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0650, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1002.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.9450
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.9450
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.9450
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.9450
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.9450
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.9450
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.9450
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.9450
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.9450
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.9450
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.9450
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 3842.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5066, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.9400
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.0600
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.0600
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.9400
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 878.71, Sell volume: 2098.48, Average price: 0.7647, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.0600
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.9400
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.0650
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.9350
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.0650
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.9350
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0650
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.9350
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.0650
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.9350
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.0650
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.9350
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.0650
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.9350
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.0650
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.9350
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.0650
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.9350
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.0650
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.9350
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.0650
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 70.72, Sell volume: 506.30, Average price: 0.7422, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.9450
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.0550
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.9450
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.0600
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.9400
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.0650
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.9350
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 31.27, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.0650
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.9350
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.0700
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.9300
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.0600
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 502.11, Sell volume: 134.69, Average price: 0.9425, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.9400
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.0600
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.9400
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.0750
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.9250
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.08, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.0650
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.9350
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.0650
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.9350
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.0650
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.9350
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.0650
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.9350
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.0650
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.9350
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.0650
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.9350
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.0600
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.9400
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.0650
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.9350
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.0750
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.9250
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.0750
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.9250
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.0750
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.9250
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.0750
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.9250
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.0750
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1.05, Sell volume: 220.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.9400
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.0600
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.9400
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.0900
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.9100
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0850
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.9150
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.9250
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.0750
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.9250
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.0750
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.9250
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.0700
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.9300
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.0700
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.9300
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 759.99, Sell volume: 75.93, Average price: 0.6652, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.0550
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.9450
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.0550
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.9450
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.0550
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.9450
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.0450
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.9550
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.0450
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.9550
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.0400
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.9600
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.0345
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.9655
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.0345
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.9655
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.0350
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.9650
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.0350
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.9650
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.0345
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.9655
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.0345
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.9655
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.0345
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.9655
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.0365
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.9635
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.0355
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 702.16, Sell volume: 1540.69, Average price: 0.9169, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.9675
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.0325
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.9675
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.0325
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.9675
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.0330
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.9670
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.0320
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.9680
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.0320
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.9680
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.0325
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.9675
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.0325
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.9675
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.0320
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.9680
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.0320
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.9680
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.0325
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.9675
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.0320
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.9680
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.0320
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.9680
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.0320
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.9680
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.0320
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.9680
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 4598.08, Sell volume: 160.02, Average price: 0.9178, Price range: 0.0253 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518092
Question: Will 56 or more Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Volume: 46587.142773
Price History:
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.0070
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9930
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.0045
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9955
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0080
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9920
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.0065
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.9935
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.0100
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.9900
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.0075
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.9925
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.0100
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.9900
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.0075
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.9925
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0095
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.9905
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.0080
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9920
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.0095
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.9905
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.0060
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.9940
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.0095
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.9905
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0065
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9935
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.0060
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 19333.69, Sell volume: 9067.00, Average price: 0.3899, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.1200
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.8800
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0200
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.9800
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0195
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.9805
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0140
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9860
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0030
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9970
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 20364.58, Sell volume: 726.60, Average price: 0.7989, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 2391.91, Sell volume: 529.84, Average price: 0.5999, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 185.69, Sell volume: 178.83, Average price: 0.6656, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 3127.00, Sell volume: 17.00, Average price: 0.9966, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9965
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9970
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0020
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9980
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0020
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9980
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0020
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9980
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0020
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9980
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0020
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9980
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0020
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 21.57, Sell volume: 8006.08, Average price: 0.7482, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0020
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9980
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0020
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9980
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9980
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9980
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9980
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9980
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9980
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9980
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9980
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9980
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9980
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9980
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0030
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9970
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0030
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9970
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0030
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9970
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1709.08, Sell volume: 3123.33, Average price: 0.4291, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 4.90, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 7.01, Sell volume: 28.57, Average price: 0.9977, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 42737.17, Sell volume: 16660.35, Average price: 0.7261, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9980
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9980
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9980
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9980
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9980
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9980
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9980
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9980
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9980
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9980
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9980
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9980
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9980
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9980
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9980
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9980
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3.20, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9980
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9980
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9980
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9980
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9980
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9980
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9980
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9980
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9980
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9980
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9980
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9980
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9980
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9980
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9980
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9980
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9980
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2335.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0010
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9990
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0010
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 10487.97, Sell volume: 3402.00, Average price: 0.3759, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.1200
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0200
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0195
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0140
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0030
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 20364.58, Sell volume: 726.60, Average price: 0.7989, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 2391.91, Sell volume: 529.84, Average price: 0.5999, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 185.69, Sell volume: 178.83, Average price: 0.6656, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 3127.00, Sell volume: 17.00, Average price: 0.9966, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0020
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0020
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0020
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0020
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0020
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0020
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0020
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0020
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0020
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0020
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 21.57, Sell volume: 8006.08, Average price: 0.7482, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0020
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0030
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0030
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0030
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1709.08, Sell volume: 3123.33, Average price: 0.4291, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 4.90, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 7.01, Sell volume: 28.57, Average price: 0.9977, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 42737.17, Sell volume: 16660.35, Average price: 0.7261, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3.20, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0020
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0020
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0020
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0020
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2335.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538581
Question: Will the next Pope be trans?
Volume: 59397.519526
Price History:
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0010
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0010
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0010
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0010
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0010
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 10487.97, Sell volume: 3402.00, Average price: 0.3759, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525055
Question: Will the next Pope be from Africa?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 476306.619447
Price History:
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.1200
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.8650
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.1300
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.8700
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.1300
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.8700
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.1700
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.8500
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.1450
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.8550
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.1450
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.8550
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.1450
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.8500
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.1650
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.8500
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.1500
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.8500
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.1500
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.8500
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.1500
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.8500
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.1500
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.8550
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.1450
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.8550
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.1500
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.8600
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.1350
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.8600
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.1400
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.8900
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.1000
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0850
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9150
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9150
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0850
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.9150
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.0850
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.9150
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0850
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.9150
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0850
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77618258.77, Sell volume: 2302520.89, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525055
Question: Will the next Pope be from Africa?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 476306.619447
Price History:
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0850
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0850
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9250
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0750
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.9450
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0600
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9400
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.0600
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.9400
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0550
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.9450
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0550
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9450
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0550
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.9450
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0550
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.9450
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0550
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.9450
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0600
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9400
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0600
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9450
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0550
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.9450
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0550
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9450
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0600
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.9400
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0550
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.9450
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0550
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9450
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0550
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.9450
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0550
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.9400
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0550
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9450
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0550
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.9450
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.0550
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9450
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0550
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.9450
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0550
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77618258.77, Sell volume: 2302520.89, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525055
Question: Will the next Pope be from Africa?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 476306.619447
Price History:
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0550
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.9450
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0550
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9450
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0550
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9450
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0550
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.9450
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.0550
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.9450
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0550
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.9450
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0550
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.9450
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0550
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9450
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.0550
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.9450
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0550
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.9450
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.0550
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9450
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0550
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9450
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.0550
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.9450
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.0550
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.9450
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.0355
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.9590
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.0405
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.9590
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.0480
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.9610
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.0405
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.9590
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0405
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.9595
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.0450
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.9545
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0455
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.9575
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.0425
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.9570
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.0480
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.9540
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.0425
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.9600
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.0415
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.9580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77618258.77, Sell volume: 2302520.89, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525055
Question: Will the next Pope be from Africa?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 476306.619447
Price History:
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.0410
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.9595
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.0430
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.9560
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.0440
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.9550
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.0450
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.9550
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.0440
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.9560
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.0450
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.9545
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.0460
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.9605
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.0405
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.9590
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.0415
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.9560
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.0440
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.9560
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.0440
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.9560
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.0440
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.9560
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.0440
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.9560
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.0440
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.9560
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.0440
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.9560
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.0440
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.9560
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.0440
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.9560
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.0440
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.9560
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0440
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.9560
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.0440
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9550
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.0445
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.9555
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.0435
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.9565
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.0435
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.9565
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.0435
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.9565
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.0435
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.9565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77618258.77, Sell volume: 2302520.89, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525055
Question: Will the next Pope be from Africa?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 476306.619447
Price History:
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.0430
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.9570
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.0430
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.9570
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0430
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9570
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0430
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.9570
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.0430
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.9570
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.0430
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.9570
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.0455
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.9550
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.0450
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.9565
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.0435
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.9565
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0435
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.9565
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.0435
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.9565
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0430
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.9570
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.0430
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.9570
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.0430
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.9570
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.0430
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.9570
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.0430
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.9570
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.0430
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.9570
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.0435
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.9560
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.0440
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.9560
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.0440
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.9560
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.0440
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.9560
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.0440
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.9555
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0440
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.9560
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.0440
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.9560
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.0440
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.9560
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77618258.77, Sell volume: 2302520.89, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525055
Question: Will the next Pope be from Africa?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 476306.619447
Price History:
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0440
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.9560
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.0440
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.9560
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.0440
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.9560
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.0440
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.9560
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.0440
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.9560
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.0440
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.9560
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.0440
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.9560
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.0440
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.9560
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.0440
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.9560
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.0440
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.9560
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.0440
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.9560
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.0440
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.9560
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.0440
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.9560
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.0440
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.9560
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.0440
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.9560
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.0440
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.9560
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0440
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.9560
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.0440
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.9560
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.0440
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.9560
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.0440
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.9560
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.0440
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.9560
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.0440
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.9560
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.0440
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.9560
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.0440
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.9560
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.0440
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.9560
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77618258.77, Sell volume: 2302520.89, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525055
Question: Will the next Pope be from Africa?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 476306.619447
Price History:
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.0440
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.9560
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.0440
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.9560
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.0440
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9560
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.0440
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.9560
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0440
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.9560
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.0340
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.9665
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.0335
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.9665
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.0340
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.9660
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.0340
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.9665
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.0335
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.9660
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.0350
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.9660
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.0340
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.9660
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.0335
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.9665
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.0340
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.9665
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0340
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.9665
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.0345
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.9635
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0350
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.9650
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.0350
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.9640
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.0360
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.9640
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.0360
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.9640
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.0360
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.9640
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.0360
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.9640
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0320
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.9680
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.0320
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.9680
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.0315
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77618258.77, Sell volume: 2302520.89, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525055
Question: Will the next Pope be from Africa?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 476306.619447
Price History:
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.0320
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.9690
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.0320
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.9680
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.0310
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9695
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0300
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.9695
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.0300
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.9695
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.0300
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.9685
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.0310
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.9690
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0305
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.9695
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.0305
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.9700
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.0305
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.9690
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.0310
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.9665
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0355
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.9665
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.0355
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.9665
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.0365
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.9635
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.0360
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.9640
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.0360
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.9650
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.0355
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.9665
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.0310
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.9685
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.0335
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.9700
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0320
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.9680
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.0340
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.9655
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.0345
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.9655
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.0345
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.9655
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.0340
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.9655
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.0345
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77618258.77, Sell volume: 2302520.89, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525055
Question: Will the next Pope be from Africa?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 476306.619447
Price History:
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0330
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.9665
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0290
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.9715
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0290
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.9720
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.0280
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.9705
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0300
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9710
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0295
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.9700
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0295
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9705
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0300
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9730
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0280
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9700
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0295
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.9705
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.0300
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.9715
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.0305
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.9705
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0310
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.9710
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9700
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0285
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.9705
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0460
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.9530
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.9485
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0545
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.9440
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.0580
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.9420
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0580
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.9420
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0580
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9420
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0580
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9410
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0590
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9410
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0600
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9400
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0600
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77618258.77, Sell volume: 2302520.89, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525055
Question: Will the next Pope be from Africa?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 476306.619447
Price History:
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0575
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9425
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0575
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9425
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0575
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9425
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0575
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.9425
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0575
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9425
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0575
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9425
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0575
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9425
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0575
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9425
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0575
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9425
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0575
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9425
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0575
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.9425
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0575
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9435
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0570
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9430
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0570
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9430
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0565
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9430
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0595
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9405
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0595
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.9405
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0595
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.9405
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0595
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9405
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0595
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9415
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0585
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9400
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9400
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9400
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.5675
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0940
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77618258.77, Sell volume: 2302520.89, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525055
Question: Will the next Pope be from Africa?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 476306.619447
Price History:
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1110
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.8890
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.1025
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.8995
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.1055
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.8755
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.1330
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.1225
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.8755
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.1185
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.8725
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.1360
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.8635
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.1355
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.8635
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.1525
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.8475
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.1525
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.8755
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.1380
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.8600
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.1400
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.8640
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.1165
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.8825
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.1235
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.8770
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.1265
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.8710
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.1480
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.8360
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.1645
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.8395
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.1715
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.8370
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.1995
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.8165
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.1815
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.8185
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.1765
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.8235
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.1735
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.8240
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.1820
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.8160
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.1805
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.8180
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.1860
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.8140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77618258.77, Sell volume: 2302520.89, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525055
Question: Will the next Pope be from Africa?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 476306.619447
Price History:
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.1780
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.8225
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.1735
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.8395
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.1640
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.8345
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.1650
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.8345
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.1630
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.8485
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.1800
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.8270
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.1745
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.8330
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1705
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.8310
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.1675
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.8255
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.1680
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.8375
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.1635
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.8265
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.1760
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.8200
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.1950
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.8225
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.1725
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.8280
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.1770
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.8165
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.1845
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.8060
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.1930
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.8130
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.1650
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.8560
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.1590
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.8370
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.1670
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.8450
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.1555
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.8415
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.1535
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.8480
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.1575
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.8455
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.1465
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.8535
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.1455
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.8405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999081, Buy volume: 77406095.73, Sell volume: 2220190.46, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.1416 - 0.8570

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525055
Question: Will the next Pope be from Africa?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 476306.619447
Price History:
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.1670
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.8335
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.1710
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.8340
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.1545
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.8480
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.1460
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.8540
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.1450
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.8565
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.1430
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.8575
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.1240
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.8735
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.1360
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.8690
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.1135
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.8840
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.1170
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9030
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0995
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.8985
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.1035
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.8970
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.1195
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.8835
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.1205
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.8730
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.1305
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.8735
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.1200
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.8750
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.1245
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.8740
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.1350
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.8730
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.1130
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.8865
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0980
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.8890
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.1090
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.8910
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.1235
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.8760
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.1105
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.8870
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.1135
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.8860
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0910
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 918, Buy volume: 212163.04, Sell volume: 77449.95, Average price: 0.6224, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525055
Question: Will the next Pope be from Africa?
Volume: 476306.619447
Price History:
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.1200
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.8600
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.1300
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.8700
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.1500
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.8550
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.1450
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.8500
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.1500
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.8500
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.1500
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.8500
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.1500
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.8550
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.1450
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.8600
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.1400
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.8600
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.1100
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.9150
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9150
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0850
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.9150
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0850
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9150
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0850
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77618258.77, Sell volume: 2302520.89, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525055
Question: Will the next Pope be from Africa?
Volume: 476306.619447
Price History:
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0850
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9200
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0800
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9250
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0550
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9400
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0600
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9450
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0550
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9450
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0550
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9450
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0550
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9400
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0600
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.9450
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0550
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9400
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0550
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.9450
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0550
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9450
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0600
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9450
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0550
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9450
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0550
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9450
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0550
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77618258.77, Sell volume: 2302520.89, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525055
Question: Will the next Pope be from Africa?
Volume: 476306.619447
Price History:
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0550
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9450
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0550
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.9450
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0550
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.9450
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0550
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9450
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0550
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.9450
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0550
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.9450
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0550
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9450
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.0550
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.9450
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.0410
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.9585
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.0405
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.9595
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0405
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.9540
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.0450
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.9580
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.0425
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.9540
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0400
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.9615
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.0365
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.9610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77618258.77, Sell volume: 2302520.89, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525055
Question: Will the next Pope be from Africa?
Volume: 476306.619447
Price History:
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.0410
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.9570
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.0445
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.9555
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.0440
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.9560
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.0455
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.9605
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.0410
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.9585
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.0440
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.9560
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.0440
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.9560
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.0440
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.9560
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0440
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.9560
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.0440
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.9560
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0440
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.9560
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.0445
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.9555
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.0435
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.9565
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.0435
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.9565
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0430
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.9570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77618258.77, Sell volume: 2302520.89, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525055
Question: Will the next Pope be from Africa?
Volume: 476306.619447
Price History:
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.0430
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.9570
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.0430
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.9570
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.0430
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.9570
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.0430
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.9545
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0435
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.9565
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0435
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.9565
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0435
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.9570
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0430
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.9570
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.0430
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.9570
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.0430
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.9565
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.0440
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.9560
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.0440
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.9560
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.0440
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.9560
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.0440
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.9560
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.0440
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.9560
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77618258.77, Sell volume: 2302520.89, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes