Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0530
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.9480
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.0600
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9445
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.0620
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9440
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.0620
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.9435
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.0570
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.9385
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0615
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.9455
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.0560
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.9440
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.0550
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9460
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0610
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.9320
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.0615
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.9105
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.4610
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.8925
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.1580
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.7990
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.1180
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9060
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.1295
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.6645
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.1430
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.8160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349338.01, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0970
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.8795
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.1010
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.8990
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.0995
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9035
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.1030
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.8975
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.1000
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.8975
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.1025
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.8975
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0890
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.9110
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0890
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9110
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.1535
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.8485
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.1465
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.8535
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.1465
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.8540
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.1465
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.8520
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.1500
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.8535
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.1460
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.8535
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.1465
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.8535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349338.01, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.1500
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.8535
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0845
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9085
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.0935
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9075
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0920
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.9095
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.0895
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.9105
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0930
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.9100
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0930
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.9070
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0930
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9070
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0895
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9080
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0900
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.9085
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0925
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.9105
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.0520
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.9475
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0540
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9450
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0545
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.9450
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0540
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.9465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349338.01, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0545
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.9455
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.0615
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9385
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0605
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9395
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.0605
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.9395
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0605
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.9410
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0580
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.9400
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0605
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.9390
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.0610
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9405
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0605
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.9390
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.0605
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.9385
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0610
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.9400
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0620
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.9400
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0630
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9415
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.9435
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0560
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349338.01, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0570
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9435
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0565
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.9440
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.0565
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9345
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0625
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9405
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0630
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9380
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0630
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.9420
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.0655
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.9390
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0615
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0640
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9380
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0625
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.9340
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0635
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.9180
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.0940
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9175
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0915
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9120
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0870
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9155
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0845
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349338.01, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0790
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9235
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0755
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9230
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0775
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9220
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0770
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9210
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0785
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9220
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0770
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9225
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0775
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9215
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0680
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9385
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0625
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9320
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0680
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.9220
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0690
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9320
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0655
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9320
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0700
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9265
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0745
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.9705
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0375
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349338.01, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0670
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9300
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0630
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9460
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0670
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9070
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0890
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9155
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0750
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9315
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0765
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9175
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0705
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.8770
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9195
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9230
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0670
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9380
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0625
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9310
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0610
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9440
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0525
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9295
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0695
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9445
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0560
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349338.01, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0525
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9390
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0680
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9335
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0610
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9360
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0510
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9575
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0535
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9530
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0420
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9465
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0470
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9515
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9510
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0485
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9325
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0555
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9480
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0605
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9400
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0590
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9415
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0610
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9370
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0705
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9410
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0745
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349338.01, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.1075
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0885
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9095
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0840
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9110
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.1000
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9065
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0955
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9060
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9100
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0875
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9110
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0810
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9160
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0875
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9015
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0950
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9055
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0880
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9085
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0845
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9145
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0925
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9080
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0915
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9060
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0965
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999998, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349072.98, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.5000
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.6800
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.6100
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.2650
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.4900
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.4900
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.2650
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.5150
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.5350
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.5150
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.5150
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.5150
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.5000
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.5000
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.5000
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.5050
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.5100
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.5100
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.5100
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.5100
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.5100
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.5050
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.2950
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.5550
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.5550
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.5550
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.5550
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.5550
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.5550
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.5550
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.5550
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.3400
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.5000
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.5000
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.5000
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.5000
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.5000
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.5000
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.5000
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.5000
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.5000
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.2900
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.2900
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.2850
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.3100
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 616515253.11, Sell volume: 67907231.33, Average price: 0.3448, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.3150
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.3150
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.4050
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.4100
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.4300
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.4250
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.4250
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.4250
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.4250
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.4250
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.3550
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.4250
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.3200
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.3200
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.3850
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.3300
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.4100
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.4150
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.4150
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.3700
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.3650
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.3550
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.3500
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.3650
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.3500
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.3600
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.3650
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.3650
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.3650
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.3650
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.3650
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.3650
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.2350
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.2350
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.2800
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.2300
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.2650
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.2050
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.2700
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.2700
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.2850
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.2850
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.2850
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.2850
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.2850
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.2850
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 616515253.11, Sell volume: 67907231.33, Average price: 0.3448, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.2650
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.2800
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.2800
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.2800
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.2600
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.2600
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.2600
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.2850
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.2750
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.2850
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.2800
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.2800
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.2950
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.2950
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.2950
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.2950
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.2950
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.2950
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.2950
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.2950
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.2950
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.2950
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.2950
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.2950
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.4450
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.4250
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.4300
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.4350
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.4300
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.4150
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.4300
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.4400
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.4100
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.4350
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.4300
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.4300
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.4150
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.4300
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.4800
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.5100
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.3850
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.3900
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.3850
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.4000
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.4000
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.4000
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.3900
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.3900
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 616515253.11, Sell volume: 67907231.33, Average price: 0.3448, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.4050
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.4050
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.4050
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.4050
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.4050
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.4050
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.3250
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.3200
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.3200
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.3200
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.3200
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.3200
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.3650
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.3550
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.3550
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.3750
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.3750
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.3750
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.3550
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.3450
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.3650
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.3650
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.4150
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.4200
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.4150
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.4450
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.4150
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.4300
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.4250
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.3950
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.2950
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.2750
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.3300
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.3300
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.3150
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.3200
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.3100
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.3250
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.3150
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.3150
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.3150
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.3100
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47952, Buy volume: 8329410.82, Sell volume: 3470745.78, Average price: 0.5512, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.2650
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.1650
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.2350
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.2600
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.2850
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.2850
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.1800
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.2450
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.2500
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.2550
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.2550
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.2350
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.2350
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.2350
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.2750
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.3050
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.3050
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.3100
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.3100
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.1200
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.1250
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.1000
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.0700
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.0750
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.0800
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.0850
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.0600
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.0650
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.0650
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.0600
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.0950
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.0950
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.1100
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.1050
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105894, Buy volume: 56186436.46, Sell volume: 4934960.10, Average price: 0.5332, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9581

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.0850
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.0850
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.0900
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.0850
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.0900
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.0900
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.0650
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.0900
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.0900
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.0400
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.0650
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.0850
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.0700
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.0600
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.0600
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.0600
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.0600
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.0600
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.0600
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.0700
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0700
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.0600
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.0330
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.0290
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.0305
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.0270
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.0270
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137862, Buy volume: 173711539.34, Sell volume: 3852923.22, Average price: 0.3184, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9749

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.0295
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.0290
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.0290
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.0295
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.0295
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.0295
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.0290
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.0295
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.0295
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.0295
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.0295
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.0295
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.0295
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.0290
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.0295
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.0295
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.0295
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.0295
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.0305
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.0310
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.0345
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0345
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0350
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.0350
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0355
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.0335
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.0335
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0335
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.0335
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.0345
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0325
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0330
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0330
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0335
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.0330
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.0490
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0495
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.0495
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.0495
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0475
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.0460
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.0470
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0455
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.0455
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.0465
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.0465
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.0355
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.0315
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0325
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115884, Buy volume: 59266594.89, Sell volume: 7091501.40, Average price: 0.4984, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9730

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0325
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0345
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.0310
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0315
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0310
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.0320
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.0345
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0355
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0285
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0240
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0280
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.0300
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.0235
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0230
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0205
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.0210
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.0295
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0325
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.0330
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0410
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0415
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0350
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0355
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.0355
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0345
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0370
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.0370
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0370
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0365
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.0365
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0355
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0375
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.0385
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0380
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0380
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0395
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.0395
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0420
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0445
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0445
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.0460
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0470
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.0475
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.0485
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.0485
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0470
Trade Summary: Total trades: 209790, Buy volume: 103069020.63, Sell volume: 5157177.66, Average price: 0.2660, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9820

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0520
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0575
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0650
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0670
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0695
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0640
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0640
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0455
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0345
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.0280
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0285
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.0255
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0275
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.0345
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0405
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.0550
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0505
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.0520
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0515
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0545
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0400
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.0395
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.0400
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0395
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0385
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0390
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0380
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0385
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0385
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0390
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0405
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0380
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0260
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0290
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0325
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0265
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0275
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.0315
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0315
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.0315
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.0335
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.0490
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0475
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.0480
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.0480
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.0490
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.0810
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.0820
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.0890
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 243756, Buy volume: 170640289.58, Sell volume: 38379062.52, Average price: 0.2618, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9730

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.0540
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.0720
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.0600
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.0685
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.0645
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.0600
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0610
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0495
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.0460
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0455
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.0540
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.0650
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0655
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.0690
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.0690
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0700
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.0720
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.0725
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0730
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.0695
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0695
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0645
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.0700
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.0865
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.1000
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0905
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0675
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0800
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0770
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0780
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0795
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0825
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0830
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0750
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0785
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0785
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.1020
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0905
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0900
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0890
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.0910
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0875
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0875
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.0880
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.1110
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.1115
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0985
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.0940
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0935
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.0905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 123960, Buy volume: 39614977.24, Sell volume: 2612081.66, Average price: 0.2788, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9644

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0870
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0855
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0900
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0860
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0840
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0675
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0665
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0640
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0655
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0620
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0630
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0680
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0685
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0750
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0745
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0755
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0830
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0855
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0890
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0830
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0820
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0835
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.0860
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0835
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.0870
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.0925
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.0925
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0895
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.1050
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.1035
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.1045
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.1015
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0945
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0945
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0970
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0975
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0970
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0980
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0975
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0955
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0960
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0970
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0960
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0900
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0900
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0840
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0820
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0860
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0880
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 142, Buy volume: 30666.75, Sell volume: 8439.16, Average price: 0.2804, Price range: 0.0613 - 0.9370

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.0915
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0910
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0925
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0920
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0935
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0925
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0840
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0830
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0865
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0850
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0855
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0845
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0845
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0850
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0835
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0830
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0850
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0845
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0910
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0910
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.0910
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0910
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0850
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0855
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0885
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0870
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.0840
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0860
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.0815
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0810
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0855
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0775
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0720
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0705
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0675
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0665
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0690
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0680
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0665
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0660
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0795
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0840
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0830
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0760
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.0765
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.0850
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.0885
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.0885
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.0885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 22537.84, Sell volume: 19484.07, Average price: 0.4420, Price range: 0.0666 - 0.9360

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0870
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.0800
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0790
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0745
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0825
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0735
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0775
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0730
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0865
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0855
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0775
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0935
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.1005
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.1355
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.1425
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.1050
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.1450
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.1325
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.1335
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.1455
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.1075
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0945
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.1345
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.1160
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.1235
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.1240
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.1215
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.1215
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.1215
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.1250
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.1340
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.1350
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.1615
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.1350
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.1430
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.1535
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.1585
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.1205
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.1290
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.1280
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.1340
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.1185
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.1290
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.1420
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.1560
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.1285
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.1265
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.1340
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.1390
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.1410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 563, Buy volume: 170740.51, Sell volume: 32668.45, Average price: 0.2959, Price range: 0.0628 - 0.9290

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.5000
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.6100
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.7350
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.4900
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.7350
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.5350
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.4850
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.5150
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.5000
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.5000
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.4950
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.5100
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.4900
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.5100
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.4950
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.4550
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.5550
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.4450
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.5550
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.4450
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.5550
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.6600
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.5000
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.5000
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.5000
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.5000
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.5000
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 616515253.11, Sell volume: 67907231.33, Average price: 0.3448, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.6850
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.3150
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.5950
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.4300
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.5750
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.4250
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.5750
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.3550
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.5750
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.3200
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.3300
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.5900
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.4150
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.6300
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.3550
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.6500
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.3500
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.6400
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.3650
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.6350
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.3650
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.6350
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.2350
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.7200
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.2650
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.7950
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.2700
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 616515253.11, Sell volume: 67907231.33, Average price: 0.3448, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.2650
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.7200
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.2800
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.2600
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.7150
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.2850
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.7200
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.2950
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.7050
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.2950
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.7050
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.2950
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.7050
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.2950
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.7050
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.4450
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.5750
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.4350
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.5700
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.4300
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.5600
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.4350
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.5800
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.4300
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.5850
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.4800
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.4900
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.3900
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 616515253.11, Sell volume: 67907231.33, Average price: 0.3448, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.4050
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.5950
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.4050
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.5950
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.5900
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.4050
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.6750
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.3200
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.6800
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.3200
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.6350
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.3550
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.6250
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.3750
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.6450
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.3650
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.6350
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.4200
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.5850
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.4150
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.5700
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.3950
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.7050
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.3300
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.6700
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.3200
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47952, Buy volume: 8329410.82, Sell volume: 3470745.78, Average price: 0.5512, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.2650
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.8350
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.2600
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.7150
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.1800
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.7550
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.2550
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.7450
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.2350
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.7650
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.7600
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.7600
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.7600
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.7600
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.7600
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.3050
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.6950
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.3100
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.8800
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.1000
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.9300
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.0800
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.9150
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.0650
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105894, Buy volume: 56186436.46, Sell volume: 4934960.10, Average price: 0.5332, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9581
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.0850
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.9150
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.0850
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.9100
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.0650
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.9100
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.9450
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.0400
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.9450
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.0650
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.9250
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.9150
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.0700
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.9450
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.9400
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.0600
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.9400
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.0600
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.9350
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.9350
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.9350
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.0600
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.9350
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137862, Buy volume: 173711539.34, Sell volume: 3852923.22, Average price: 0.3184, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9749
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.0295
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.9710
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.0295
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.9705
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.0290
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.9705
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.0295
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.9705
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.0295
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.9710
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.0295
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.9705
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.0305
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.9690
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0345
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.9650
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0355
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.9665
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0335
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.9665
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0325
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.9670
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0335
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.9670
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0495
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.9505
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0475
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.9540
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0455
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115884, Buy volume: 59266594.89, Sell volume: 7091501.40, Average price: 0.4984, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9730
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0325
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.9655
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0315
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.9690
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.0345
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.9645
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0240
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.9720
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.0235
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.9770
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0205
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.9790
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.0295
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.9675
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.9590
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0350
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.9645
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0345
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.9630
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0370
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.9635
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0355
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.9625
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0380
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.9620
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.9605
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0445
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.9555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 209790, Buy volume: 103069020.63, Sell volume: 5157177.66, Average price: 0.2660, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9820
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0520
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.9425
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0670
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.9305
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0640
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.9545
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.0280
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.9715
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0275
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.9655
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.0550
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.9495
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0515
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.9455
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.0395
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.9600
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0385
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.9610
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0385
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.9615
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0405
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.9620
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0290
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.9675
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0275
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.9685
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.0315
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.9665
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0475
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.9520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 243756, Buy volume: 170640289.58, Sell volume: 38379062.52, Average price: 0.2618, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9730
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.0540
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.9280
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.0685
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.9355
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0610
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.9505
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0455
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.9460
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0655
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.9310
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0700
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.9280
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0730
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.9305
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0645
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.9300
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.1000
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9095
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0800
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9230
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0795
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9175
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0750
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9215
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.1020
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9095
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0890
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.9090
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0875
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.9120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 123960, Buy volume: 39614977.24, Sell volume: 2612081.66, Average price: 0.2788, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9644
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0870
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9145
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0860
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.9160
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0665
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.9360
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0620
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9370
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0685
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9250
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0755
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.9170
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0890
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9170
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0835
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.9140
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.0870
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.9075
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0895
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.8950
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.1045
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.8985
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0945
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9030
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0970
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9020
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0955
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9040
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0960
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 142, Buy volume: 30666.75, Sell volume: 8439.16, Average price: 0.2804, Price range: 0.0613 - 0.9370
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.0915
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9090
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0920
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.9065
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0840
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9170
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0850
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9145
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0845
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9150
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0830
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9150
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0910
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9090
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0910
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9150
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0885
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9130
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0860
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9185
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0855
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9225
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0705
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9325
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0690
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9320
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0660
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9205
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0830
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 22537.84, Sell volume: 19484.07, Average price: 0.4420, Price range: 0.0666 - 0.9360
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518540
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 785997.923493
Price History:
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0870
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.9200
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0745
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9175
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0775
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9270
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0855
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9225
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.1005
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.8645
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.1050
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.8550
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.1335
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.8545
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0945
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.8655
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.1235
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.8760
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.1215
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.8785
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.1340
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.8650
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.1350
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.8570
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.1585
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.8795
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.1280
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.8660
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.1290
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.8580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 563, Buy volume: 170740.51, Sell volume: 32668.45, Average price: 0.2959, Price range: 0.0628 - 0.9290
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.5000
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.2700
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.4700
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.4700
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.4700
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.4700
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.4700
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.4700
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.4650
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.4650
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.4650
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.4700
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.4700
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.4700
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.4700
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.4700
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.4700
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.4700
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.4700
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.4700
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.4600
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.4600
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.4600
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.4600
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.4600
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.4600
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.4600
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.4800
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.7200
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.5450
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.5450
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.5450
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.7100
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.7200
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.6350
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.7550
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.6900
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.6400
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.7200
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.7150
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.7350
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.7400
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.7500
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.7650
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.7200
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.5950
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.6050
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 250.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4200, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.5300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.5900
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.5900
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.6000
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.5900
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.7150
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.6750
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.6850
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.6700
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.6350
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.5450
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.5450
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.5600
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.5500
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.5500
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.5500
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.5500
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.5350
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.5450
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.5450
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.5500
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.5500
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.5500
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.5500
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.5500
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.5850
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.5600
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.5800
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.5750
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.5950
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.5900
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.6800
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.5950
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.5950
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.5900
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.5900
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.5950
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.5950
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.5900
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 52.22, Sell volume: 85.00, Average price: 0.4229, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.4600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.5900
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.6000
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.6000
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.6000
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.6000
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.6000
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.6000
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.6000
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.6000
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.6000
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.6150
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.6000
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.6000
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.6000
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.6000
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.6000
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.6000
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.6000
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.6000
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.6000
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.6000
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.6000
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.6000
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.6000
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.6000
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.6000
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.6000
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.6000
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.6000
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.6000
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.6000
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.6000
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.6000
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.6100
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.6250
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.6150
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.6550
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.6400
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.6550
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.6600
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.6600
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.6600
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.6750
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.6750
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.6750
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 127.19, Sell volume: 35.00, Average price: 0.3086, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.6750
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.6600
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.6750
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.6750
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.6650
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.7400
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.7350
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.7550
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.6950
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.6950
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.6800
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.6200
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.6200
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.6200
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.6200
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.6300
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.6300
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.6250
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.6250
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.6200
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.6200
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.6200
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.6250
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.6300
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.6300
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.6300
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.6300
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.6300
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.6300
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 753.67, Sell volume: 301.07, Average price: 0.4420, Price range: 0.2556 - 0.7300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.6300
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.6300
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.6300
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.6300
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.8100
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.6700
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.6050
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.6050
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.6050
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.6050
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.5950
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.5950
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.5950
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.3550
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.5850
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.5850
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.5850
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.5850
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.5850
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.5850
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.5800
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.5850
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.5850
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.5850
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.5850
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.5850
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.5850
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.5850
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.5850
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.5850
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.5950
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.5850
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.5900
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.5950
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.5950
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.5900
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.5950
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.5950
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.5700
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.2950
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.3300
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.3100
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.3150
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.4950
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.4900
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.5350
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.5350
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.5300
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.5300
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 5418.73, Sell volume: 730.94, Average price: 0.5029, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.5550
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.5550
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.5400
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.5450
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.5500
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.5450
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.5300
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.5500
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.5550
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.7500
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.6350
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.6750
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.7200
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.7150
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.6950
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.6950
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.6850
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.6750
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.4500
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.4050
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.3800
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.5300
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.5450
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.5350
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.5350
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.4950
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.4600
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.5500
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.5500
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.5400
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.5400
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.5400
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.5400
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.5400
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.5450
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.5450
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.5450
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.5250
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.5250
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.5400
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.5500
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.5450
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.5650
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.5600
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.5350
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.5350
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.5350
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.5350
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.5350
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 7157.11, Sell volume: 347.54, Average price: 0.5395, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.6700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.5150
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.5150
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.5200
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.5150
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.5400
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.5400
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.4850
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.4950
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.5150
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.5350
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.5350
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.5400
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.4900
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.5250
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.5250
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.4950
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.4950
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.4950
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.4950
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.4950
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.4950
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.5150
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.5350
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.5350
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.5400
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.5400
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.5400
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.5300
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.5300
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.5250
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.5250
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.5250
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.5250
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.5200
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 3716.22, Sell volume: 2124.40, Average price: 0.5049, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.7250
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.7200
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.7200
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.6200
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.6900
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.6950
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.6700
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.7450
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.7600
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.6500
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.5700
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.5550
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.5450
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.5450
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.4700
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.5500
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.1950
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.2300
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.3150
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.2650
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.2650
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.2300
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.2100
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.3250
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.3400
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.3450
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.2700
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.3350
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.3500
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.3250
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.3400
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.2700
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.3400
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.3050
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.2750
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.2750
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.2950
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.2750
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.2700
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.2800
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.3100
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.3000
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.3000
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.2850
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.3050
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.3050
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.2900
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.2900
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.2900
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 6691.22, Sell volume: 788.54, Average price: 0.4359, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.2850
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.3000
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.2900
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.2900
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.2950
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.2200
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.2250
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.2200
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.2200
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.2300
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.2300
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.2300
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.2300
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.2750
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.2750
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.2850
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.2850
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.2900
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.3050
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.3000
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.2950
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.3050
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.3050
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.3700
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.3800
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.3950
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.3950
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.3450
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.3350
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.3750
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.3500
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.4350
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.4150
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.4150
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.3950
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.4250
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.4200
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.4000
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.4350
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.4050
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.4050
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.3550
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.3550
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.3650
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.3550
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.3450
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.3550
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.3550
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.3500
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 10062.04, Sell volume: 5326.07, Average price: 0.4430, Price range: 0.2030 - 0.8469

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.3950
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.3600
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.2900
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.2800
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.3250
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.4850
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.4900
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.4950
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.5050
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.5600
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.6350
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.6300
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.5500
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.6100
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.6100
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.5450
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.5850
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.5850
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.5900
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.5950
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.6050
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.6100
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.6000
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.6750
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.7450
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.7250
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.7050
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.7150
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.7100
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.7450
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.7450
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.7600
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.7350
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.7500
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.7500
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.6800
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.6700
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.6950
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.6800
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.6850
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.6900
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.7350
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.7350
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.6950
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.6850
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.6500
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.7550
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.6800
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 236, Buy volume: 15646.69, Sell volume: 4870.30, Average price: 0.5693, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8083

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.6000
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.6350
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.6550
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.6800
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.6700
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.6650
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.6750
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.6900
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.6900
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.6850
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.6400
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.6500
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.6450
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.6500
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.6500
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.6300
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.6300
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.6650
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.6450
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.6650
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.6600
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.6550
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.6550
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.6300
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.6450
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.6400
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.6350
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.6150
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.6150
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.6250
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.6350
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.6450
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.6300
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.6250
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.6350
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.6300
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.6300
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.6300
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.6300
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.6050
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.6050
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.6150
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.5950
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.5950
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.5850
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.5950
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.6050
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.6000
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.6000
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 9397.35, Sell volume: 14477.89, Average price: 0.5684, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.6050
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.5800
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.6000
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.5950
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.6050
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.6100
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.6250
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.6350
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.6350
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.6350
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.6800
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.7000
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.7050
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.7100
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.7150
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.7000
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.7050
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.7050
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.6950
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.6950
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.6950
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.6800
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.6950
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.6950
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.6950
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.6950
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.6850
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.6850
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.6850
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.6850
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.6850
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.6850
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.6650
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.7250
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.6550
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.6800
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.6800
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.6700
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.6600
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.6500
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.6500
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.6650
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.6650
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.7050
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 95, Buy volume: 20726.81, Sell volume: 13481.17, Average price: 0.5850, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.7050
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.7050
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.7050
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.7000
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.7000
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.7050
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.6800
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.6600
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.6750
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.6950
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.6950
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.6450
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.6800
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.6400
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.6600
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.7000
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.7250
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.6950
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.6750
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.6850
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.6750
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.6600
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.6650
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.6750
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.6800
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.6800
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.6850
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.6850
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.6800
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.6750
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.6950
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.6900
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.6950
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.6950
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.6650
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.6850
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.6650
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.6600
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.6500
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.6250
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.6300
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.6450
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.6450
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.6450
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.6950
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.7350
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.7300
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.7300
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.7250
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 317, Buy volume: 49740.13, Sell volume: 15443.97, Average price: 0.4828, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.5000
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.4700
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.5300
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.4700
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.5300
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.4650
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.5350
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.4700
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.5300
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.4700
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.5300
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.4700
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.5300
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.4600
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.5400
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.4600
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.5400
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.4600
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.5200
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.4550
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.5450
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.2900
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.6350
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.2450
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.6400
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.2800
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.7350
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 250.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4200, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.5300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.5900
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.4100
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.5900
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.2850
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.3150
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.6350
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.5600
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.4500
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.5500
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.4500
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.5450
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.5500
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.4500
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.5500
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.4150
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.5800
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.4250
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.5950
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.4150
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.5900
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.3200
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.5950
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.4100
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.4150
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 52.22, Sell volume: 85.00, Average price: 0.4229, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.4600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.5900
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.4000
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.6000
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.4000
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.6000
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.4000
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.4000
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.6000
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.4000
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.6000
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.4000
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.6000
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.4000
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.6000
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.4000
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.6000
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.4000
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.6000
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.4000
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.6000
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.4000
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.6000
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.3900
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.6150
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.3450
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.6550
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 127.19, Sell volume: 35.00, Average price: 0.3086, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.6750
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.3400
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.6750
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.3350
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.7350
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.6950
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.3050
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.3150
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.6800
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.3800
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.6200
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.3800
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.6300
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.3750
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.6200
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.3800
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.6250
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 753.67, Sell volume: 301.07, Average price: 0.4420, Price range: 0.2556 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.6300
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.3700
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.6300
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.1900
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.6050
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.3950
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.6050
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.4050
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.5950
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.6450
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.5850
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.4150
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.5850
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.4150
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.5850
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.4150
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.5850
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.4150
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.5850
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.4150
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.5950
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.4150
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.5950
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.4050
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.5950
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.4050
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.2950
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.6700
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.3150
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 5418.73, Sell volume: 730.94, Average price: 0.5029, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.5550
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.4450
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.5450
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.4500
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.5300
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.4500
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.7500
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.3650
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.7200
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.2850
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.6950
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.3150
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.4500
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.5950
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.5300
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.4550
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.5350
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.5050
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.5500
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.4500
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.5400
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.4600
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.5400
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.4550
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.5450
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.4750
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.5400
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.4500
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.5650
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 7157.11, Sell volume: 347.54, Average price: 0.5395, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.5150
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.4850
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.5150
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.4600
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.4850
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.5050
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.5350
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.4650
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.4900
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.4750
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.4950
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.5050
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.4950
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5050
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.5150
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.4650
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.5400
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.4600
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.4650
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.4650
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.4650
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.5300
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.4700
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.4650
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.5350
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 3716.22, Sell volume: 2124.40, Average price: 0.5049, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.7250
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.2800
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.6200
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.3100
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.6700
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.2550
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.6500
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.4300
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.5450
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.4550
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.5500
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.8050
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.3150
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.7350
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.2300
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.7900
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.3400
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.6550
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.3350
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.6500
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.3400
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.7300
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.3050
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.7250
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.2950
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.7250
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.2800
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.6900
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.3000
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 6691.22, Sell volume: 788.54, Average price: 0.4359, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.2850
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.7000
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.2900
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.7050
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.2250
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.7800
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.2300
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.7700
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.2300
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.7250
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.2850
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.7150
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.3050
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.7000
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.3050
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.6950
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.3800
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.6050
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.3450
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.6650
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.3500
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.5650
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.4150
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.6050
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.4200
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.6000
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.4050
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.5950
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.3550
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 10062.04, Sell volume: 5326.07, Average price: 0.4430, Price range: 0.2030 - 0.8469
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.3950
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.6400
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.2800
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.6750
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.4900
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.5050
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.5050
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.4400
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.6300
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.4500
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.6100
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.4550
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.5850
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.4100
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.6050
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.3900
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.6750
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.2550
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.7050
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.2850
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.7450
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.2550
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.7350
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.2500
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.6800
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.3300
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.6800
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.3150
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.7350
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 236, Buy volume: 15646.69, Sell volume: 4870.30, Average price: 0.5693, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8083
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.6000
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.3650
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.6800
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.3300
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.6750
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.3100
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.6850
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.3600
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.6450
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.3500
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.6300
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.3700
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.6450
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.3350
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.6550
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.3450
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.6450
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.3600
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.6150
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.3850
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.6350
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.3550
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.6250
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.3650
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.6300
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.3700
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.6050
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.3950
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.5950
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 9397.35, Sell volume: 14477.89, Average price: 0.5684, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.6050
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.4200
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.5900
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.4100
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.6050
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.3900
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.6350
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.3650
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.6800
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.3000
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.7100
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.2850
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.7050
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.2950
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.6950
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.3050
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.6950
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.3050
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.6950
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.3150
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.6850
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.3150
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.6850
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.3350
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.6550
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.3200
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.6700
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 95, Buy volume: 20726.81, Sell volume: 13481.17, Average price: 0.5850, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518544
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 214119.759591
Price History:
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.7050
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.2950
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.7000
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.3000
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.6800
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.3400
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.6950
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.3050
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.6800
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.3600
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.7000
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.2750
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.6750
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.6600
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.3350
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.6800
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.3200
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.6850
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.3200
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.6950
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.3100
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.6950
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.3350
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.6650
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.3400
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.6250
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.3700
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.6450
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 317, Buy volume: 49740.13, Sell volume: 15443.97, Average price: 0.4828, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.4100
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.4100
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.6750
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.6750
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.4950
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.4950
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.4950
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.6750
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.6750
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.6750
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.6300
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.6400
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.6750
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.6650
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 190433394.56, Sell volume: 55199844.15, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.6600
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.6400
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.6950
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.4700
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.4700
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.2750
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.2700
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.4200
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.4200
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.4200
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.4200
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.4200
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.4500
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.6950
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.5200
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.2350
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.4250
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.4250
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.4250
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.4250
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.4250
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.4250
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.4250
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.4250
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 190433394.56, Sell volume: 55199844.15, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.4250
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.4250
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.4250
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.4250
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.4200
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.4200
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.4200
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.4200
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.4200
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.4200
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.4200
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.5150
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.5000
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.4500
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.4500
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.4500
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.4500
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.4500
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.2550
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.2550
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.2550
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.2550
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.2550
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.2650
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.2700
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.2650
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.2700
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.2650
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.2650
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.2650
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.2650
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.2650
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.2650
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.2650
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.3000
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.4400
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.4950
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.4900
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.4950
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.4950
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.4900
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.4950
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.4900
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.4900
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 190433394.56, Sell volume: 55199844.15, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.5550
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.5650
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.5650
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.5700
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.6100
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.5600
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.5550
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.5250
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.5450
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.5500
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.5350
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.5350
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.5350
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.5350
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.5350
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.5350
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.5350
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.5350
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.5350
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.5350
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.5350
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.5450
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.5550
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.5450
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.5450
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.5400
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.5400
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.5400
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.5400
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.5400
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.5400
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.5650
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.6100
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.5800
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.5800
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.5800
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.5800
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.7050
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.4750
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.5900
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.4800
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.5200
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.5150
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.5200
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.5200
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.3200
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.3150
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.3250
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.3150
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 190433394.56, Sell volume: 55199844.15, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.4650
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.4600
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.4600
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.4700
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.3200
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.3550
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.2300
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.2900
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.2900
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.2550
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.2550
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.2500
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.2600
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.2650
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.2650
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.2650
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.2650
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.2650
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.2650
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.2650
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.2600
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.2650
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.2600
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.2600
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.2650
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.2650
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.2650
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.2700
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.2700
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.2700
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.2750
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.2750
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.2700
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.2700
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.3550
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.3200
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.3200
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.2450
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.1900
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.1900
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.2150
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.2050
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.1050
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.1250
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.2000
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.2300
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.2400
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.2050
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.1950
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55944, Buy volume: 7213170.93, Sell volume: 5808186.00, Average price: 0.3336, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.2300
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.2250
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.1850
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.1750
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.1150
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.1800
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.1800
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.1800
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.1800
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.1400
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.1350
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.1750
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.1600
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.1600
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.1600
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.1600
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.1600
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.1600
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.1550
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.1550
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.1550
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.1450
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.1500
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.1500
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.1250
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.1400
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.1300
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.1250
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.1350
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.1550
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.1550
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.1600
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.1600
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.1600
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.1600
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.1550
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.1550
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.1550
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.1350
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.1400
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.1400
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.1350
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.1350
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.1500
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.1300
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.1000
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.1000
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.1000
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 221778, Buy volume: 35140594.34, Sell volume: 4193821.98, Average price: 0.2409, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9371

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.0900
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.0900
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.0900
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.0900
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.0900
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.0900
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.0900
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.1100
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.1200
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.0900
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0800
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0800
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.0700
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0700
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.0750
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.0750
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0750
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.0800
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.0750
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0750
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0750
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0750
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0800
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.0750
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.0800
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0750
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.0750
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.0750
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0800
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.1300
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.1050
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0950
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.0950
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.0750
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.0950
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.0950
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.0950
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0950
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83916, Buy volume: 19616971.18, Sell volume: 4613521.86, Average price: 0.2561, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.1500
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.1550
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.1600
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.1550
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.1400
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.1500
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.1450
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.1400
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.1600
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.2700
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.2600
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.2600
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.2500
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.2800
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.2300
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.2900
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.2500
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.3500
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.3500
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.3900
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.3550
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.2850
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.2800
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.2200
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.2350
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.2250
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.2550
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.2550
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.3300
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.3400
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.3450
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.3550
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.3150
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.3150
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.3750
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.3750
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.3950
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.3800
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.4100
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.3600
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.3600
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.4050
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.5400
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.4700
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.4150
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.4200
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.4250
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.5150
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.5450
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 633417, Buy volume: 127844045.48, Sell volume: 40491232.41, Average price: 0.3770, Price range: 0.1002 - 0.9095

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.4250
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.4200
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.4200
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.4700
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.4100
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.4050
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.4300
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.4050
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.4350
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.4250
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.4250
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.3900
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.4150
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.4350
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.4600
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.4600
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.4550
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.4550
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.4600
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.4550
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.4750
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.4700
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.4300
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.4450
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.4600
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.4600
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.4600
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.4600
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.4600
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.4600
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.4500
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.5350
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.5050
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.4700
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.4700
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.4650
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.4600
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.4550
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.4450
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.4400
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.3850
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.4000
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.4200
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.4250
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.4150
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.4050
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.3950
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.3950
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.3950
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 180, Buy volume: 15738.62, Sell volume: 8049.41, Average price: 0.4882, Price range: 0.3747 - 0.6900

Output: No