Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623555
Question: Will Gabriel Attal be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27819.033283
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0045
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 45.79, Sell volume: 17.79, Average price: 0.5711, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623555
Question: Will Gabriel Attal be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27819.033283
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1058.79, Sell volume: 630.54, Average price: 0.8681, Price range: 0.0014 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623555
Question: Will Gabriel Attal be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27819.033283
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 444.09, Sell volume: 12.97, Average price: 0.8489, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623555
Question: Will Gabriel Attal be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27819.033283
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1005.85, Sell volume: 131.04, Average price: 0.8409, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623555
Question: Will Gabriel Attal be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27819.033283
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 489.90, Sell volume: 26.64, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623555
Question: Will Gabriel Attal be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27819.033283
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 40.04, Sell volume: 86.30, Average price: 0.3754, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623555
Question: Will Gabriel Attal be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27819.033283
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 421.93, Sell volume: 141.96, Average price: 0.9183, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623555
Question: Will Gabriel Attal be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27819.033283
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9835
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0165
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9850
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0150
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9815
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0185
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9895
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0105
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9890
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0110
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0105
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9895
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1290.82, Sell volume: 1869.33, Average price: 0.6935, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0400
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9600
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0260
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9740
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9740
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0260
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 9.94, Average price: 0.8891, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9740
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9740
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0260
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9740
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0260
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0260
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9740
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9740
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0260
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0260
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9740
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0230
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9770
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9800
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 43.91, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9795
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0205
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9875
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0125
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0100
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0100
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0095
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9905
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0100
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0100
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 414.40, Sell volume: 60.69, Average price: 0.6915, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 436.22, Sell volume: 88.91, Average price: 0.6532, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1502.13, Sell volume: 1501.05, Average price: 0.9975, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 554.94, Sell volume: 526.94, Average price: 0.8221, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 380.12, Sell volume: 8.72, Average price: 0.8742, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 176.06, Sell volume: 12.97, Average price: 0.8119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 788.14, Sell volume: 10.60, Average price: 0.7848, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0135
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9875
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1568.93, Sell volume: 26.64, Average price: 0.7617, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9875
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0120
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9880
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9880
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0120
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 474.54, Average price: 0.2502, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 481.00, Sell volume: 1167.66, Average price: 0.1680, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9960
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0040
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 994.88, Sell volume: 544.39, Average price: 0.7182, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0400
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9600
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0260
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9740
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9740
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0260
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 9.94, Average price: 0.8891, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9740
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9740
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0260
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9740
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0260
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0260
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9740
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9740
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0260
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0260
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9740
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0230
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9770
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9800
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 43.91, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9795
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0205
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9875
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0125
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0100
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0100
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0095
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9905
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0100
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0100
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 414.40, Sell volume: 60.69, Average price: 0.6915, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 436.22, Sell volume: 88.91, Average price: 0.6532, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1502.13, Sell volume: 1501.05, Average price: 0.9975, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 554.94, Sell volume: 526.94, Average price: 0.8221, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 380.12, Sell volume: 8.72, Average price: 0.8742, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 176.06, Sell volume: 12.97, Average price: 0.8119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 788.14, Sell volume: 10.60, Average price: 0.7848, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0135
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9875
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1568.93, Sell volume: 26.64, Average price: 0.7617, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9875
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0120
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9880
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9880
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0120
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 474.54, Average price: 0.2502, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 481.00, Sell volume: 1167.66, Average price: 0.1680, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623557
Question: Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 21107.31836
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9960
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0040
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 994.88, Sell volume: 544.39, Average price: 0.7182, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0305
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9695
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0125
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 130.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9865, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0125
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0125
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0125
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.90, Sell volume: 65.00, Average price: 0.8262, Price range: 0.0075 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 241.17, Sell volume: 52.04, Average price: 0.6949, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0070
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1307.71, Sell volume: 451.73, Average price: 0.6291, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0130
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9870
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0125
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9875
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0130
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9870
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0130
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9870
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0130
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9870
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0130
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9870
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9870
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0130
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 284, Buy volume: 12091.38, Sell volume: 4989.76, Average price: 0.7069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9870
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9865
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0135
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0125
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9875
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0090
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9910
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0055
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9945
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0045
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 45.79, Sell volume: 17.79, Average price: 0.5707, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0045
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0140
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9860
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9860
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0140
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0140
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9860
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0235
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9765
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0235
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9765
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9765
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0235
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 951.86, Sell volume: 69.18, Average price: 0.5580, Price range: 0.0062 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0230
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0185
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9815
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9750
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0250
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9750
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0250
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9750
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0190
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9810
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0160
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9840
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0150
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 176.39, Sell volume: 12.97, Average price: 0.8133, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0150
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9850
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.8200
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.1800
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.1775
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.8225
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.7885
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.2115
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.1405
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.8595
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.1025
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.8975
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0625
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9375
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 509.95, Sell volume: 354.48, Average price: 0.6515, Price range: 0.0305 - 0.9326

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9385
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9405
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0595
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0815
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9185
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0725
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9275
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9330
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0670
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9445
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0555
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0590
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 620.65, Sell volume: 126.76, Average price: 0.6977, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9750

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0590
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9410
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0600
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0495
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9505
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0480
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9520
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0495
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9505
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9515
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0485
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9520
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0480
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 56.07, Average price: 0.2138, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9770

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9490
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0510
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0400
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9600
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0540
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9460
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0530
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9470
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0480
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9520
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9505
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 313.94, Sell volume: 79.14, Average price: 0.8679, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9505
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0495
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9470
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0530
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0280
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9720
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0365
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9635
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0445
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9555
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9515
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0485
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.1965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 1105.06, Sell volume: 257.51, Average price: 0.6847, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0305
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9695
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0125
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 130.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9865, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0125
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0125
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0125
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.90, Sell volume: 65.00, Average price: 0.8262, Price range: 0.0075 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 241.17, Sell volume: 52.04, Average price: 0.6949, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0070
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1307.71, Sell volume: 451.73, Average price: 0.6291, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0130
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9870
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0125
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9875
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0130
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9870
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0130
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9870
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0130
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9870
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0130
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9870
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9870
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0130
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 284, Buy volume: 12091.38, Sell volume: 4989.76, Average price: 0.7069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9870
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9865
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0135
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0125
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9875
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0090
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9910
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0055
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9945
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0045
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 45.79, Sell volume: 17.79, Average price: 0.5707, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0045
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0140
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9860
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9860
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0140
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0140
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9860
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0235
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9765
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0235
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9765
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9765
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0235
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 951.86, Sell volume: 69.18, Average price: 0.5580, Price range: 0.0062 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0230
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0185
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9815
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9750
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0250
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9750
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0250
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9750
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0190
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9810
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0160
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9840
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0150
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 176.39, Sell volume: 12.97, Average price: 0.8133, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0150
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9850
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.8200
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.1800
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.1775
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.8225
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.7885
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.2115
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.1405
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.8595
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.1025
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.8975
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0625
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9375
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 509.95, Sell volume: 354.48, Average price: 0.6515, Price range: 0.0305 - 0.9326
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9385
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9405
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0595
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0815
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9185
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0725
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9275
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9330
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0670
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9445
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0555
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0590
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 620.65, Sell volume: 126.76, Average price: 0.6977, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0590
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9410
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0600
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0495
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9505
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0480
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9520
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0495
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9505
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9515
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0485
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9520
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0480
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 56.07, Average price: 0.2138, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9490
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0510
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0400
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9600
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0540
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9460
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0530
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9470
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0480
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9520
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9505
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 313.94, Sell volume: 79.14, Average price: 0.8679, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623559
Question: Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17081.141145
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9505
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0495
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9470
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0530
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0280
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9720
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0365
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9635
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0445
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9555
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9515
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0485
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.1965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 1105.06, Sell volume: 257.51, Average price: 0.6847, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5700
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.4300
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5600
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.4400
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9695
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0305
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 70.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.7300, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0305
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9695
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0305
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0295
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9705
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9705
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0295
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9710
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0290
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 43.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9903, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9917

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0275
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9725
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9730
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0270
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9680
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0320
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 329.55, Sell volume: 52.04, Average price: 0.7099, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0245
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 513.16, Sell volume: 238.89, Average price: 0.5559, Price range: 0.0019 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0075
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 271, Buy volume: 7012.60, Sell volume: 5256.18, Average price: 0.6625, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9825
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0175
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9795
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0205
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9910
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0090
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9840
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0160
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9835
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0165
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0175
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1354.45, Sell volume: 402.69, Average price: 0.3403, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0165
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9835
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9835
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0165
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0180
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9820
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9810
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0190
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9800
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0200
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9790
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0210
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0400
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9600
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.8805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 958.73, Sell volume: 81.00, Average price: 0.5464, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.1195
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.8185
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.1815
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.7575
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.2425
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0985
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9015
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9015
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0985
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9110
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0890
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0290
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9710
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9705
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 257.15, Sell volume: 787.91, Average price: 0.5460, Price range: 0.0280 - 0.9690

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9705
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0295
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0295
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9705
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9705
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0295
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0175
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9825
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0165
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9835
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0160
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9840
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0230
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9770
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 309.28, Sell volume: 9.49, Average price: 0.8522, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9880

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9755
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0260
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9740
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0260
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9740
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0260
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9740
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0255
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9745
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0255
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9745
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9740
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0260
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0255
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 326.34, Sell volume: 26.64, Average price: 0.8419, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9790

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0180
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9820
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0145
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9855
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0140
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9860
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0130
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9870
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0145
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9855
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0145
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9855
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0140
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9860
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 135.50, Sell volume: 118.57, Average price: 0.1352, Price range: 0.0102 - 0.9880

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9860
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0145
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9855
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0185
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9815
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0180
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9820
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0190
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9810
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9830
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0170
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9835
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0165
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0135
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 457.92, Sell volume: 35.96, Average price: 0.8812, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9910

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0145
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9855
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0125
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9875
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9950
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0050
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9950
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0050
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 1266.53, Sell volume: 858.32, Average price: 0.6540, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5700
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.4300
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5600
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.4400
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9695
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0305
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 70.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.7300, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0305
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9695
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0305
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0295
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9705
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9705
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0295
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9710
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0290
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 43.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9903, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9917
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0275
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9725
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9730
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0270
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9680
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0320
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 329.55, Sell volume: 52.04, Average price: 0.7099, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0245
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 513.16, Sell volume: 238.89, Average price: 0.5559, Price range: 0.0019 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0075
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 271, Buy volume: 7012.60, Sell volume: 5256.18, Average price: 0.6625, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9825
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0175
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9795
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0205
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9910
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0090
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9840
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0160
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9835
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0165
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0175
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1354.45, Sell volume: 402.69, Average price: 0.3403, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0165
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9835
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9835
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0165
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0180
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9820
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9810
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0190
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9800
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0200
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9790
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0210
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0400
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9600
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.8805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 958.73, Sell volume: 81.00, Average price: 0.5464, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.1195
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.8185
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.1815
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.7575
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.2425
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0985
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9015
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9015
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0985
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9110
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0890
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0290
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9710
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9705
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 257.15, Sell volume: 787.91, Average price: 0.5460, Price range: 0.0280 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9705
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0295
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0295
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9705
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9705
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0295
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0175
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9825
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0165
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9835
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0160
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9840
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0230
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9770
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 309.28, Sell volume: 9.49, Average price: 0.8522, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9755
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0260
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9740
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0260
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9740
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0260
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9740
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0255
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9745
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0255
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9745
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9740
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0260
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0255
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 326.34, Sell volume: 26.64, Average price: 0.8419, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0180
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9820
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0145
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9855
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0140
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9860
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0130
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9870
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0145
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9855
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0145
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9855
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0140
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9860
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 135.50, Sell volume: 118.57, Average price: 0.1352, Price range: 0.0102 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9860
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0145
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9855
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0185
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9815
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0180
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9820
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0190
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9810
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9830
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0170
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9835
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0165
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0135
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 457.92, Sell volume: 35.96, Average price: 0.8812, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623561
Question: Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12268.775154
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0145
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9855
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0125
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9875
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9950
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0050
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9950
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0050
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 1266.53, Sell volume: 858.32, Average price: 0.6540, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 10653.58, Sell volume: 331.79, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4800
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4800
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5100
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 10653.58, Sell volume: 331.79, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5350
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5350
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.5350
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 10653.58, Sell volume: 331.79, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.5400
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5450
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.5450
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.5450
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 10653.58, Sell volume: 331.79, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 10653.58, Sell volume: 331.79, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 10653.58, Sell volume: 331.79, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 10653.58, Sell volume: 331.79, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5200
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4400
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5600
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5450
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 49.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7000, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.5300
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.4700
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.7400
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.2600
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.2000
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.8200
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.1800
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 101.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.5220 - 0.5220

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.1800
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.1650
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.1650
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.1650
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.1650
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.8450
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1550
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.8500
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1500
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.8450
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 262.27, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.4756, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.8450
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.1550
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.8450
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.1550
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.8650
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1350
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9100
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 46.17, Sell volume: 205.79, Average price: 0.3251, Price range: 0.0719 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.6433, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9400
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9400
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0600
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9750
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0250
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9800
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0200
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0135
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 10078.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9893, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 10653.58, Sell volume: 331.79, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4800
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4800
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5100
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 10653.58, Sell volume: 331.79, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5350
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5350
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.5350
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 10653.58, Sell volume: 331.79, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.5400
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5450
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.5450
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.5450
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 10653.58, Sell volume: 331.79, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 10653.58, Sell volume: 331.79, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 10653.58, Sell volume: 331.79, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 10653.58, Sell volume: 331.79, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5200
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4400
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5600
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5450
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 49.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7000, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.5300
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.4700
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.7400
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.2600
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.2000
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.8200
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.1800
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 101.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.5220 - 0.5220
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.1800
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.1650
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.1650
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.1650
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.1650
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.8450
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1550
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.8500
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1500
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.8450
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 262.27, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.4756, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.8450
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.1550
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.8450
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.1550
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.8650
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1350
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9100
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 46.17, Sell volume: 205.79, Average price: 0.3251, Price range: 0.0719 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.6433, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681327
Question: Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 10985.369581
Price History:
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9400
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9400
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0600
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9750
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0250
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9800
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0200
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0135
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 10078.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9893, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758210
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 5843.614318
Price History:
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5512.84, Sell volume: 330.77, Average price: 0.6427, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758210
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 5843.614318
Price History:
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5512.84, Sell volume: 330.77, Average price: 0.6427, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758210
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 5843.614318
Price History:
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5512.84, Sell volume: 330.77, Average price: 0.6427, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758210
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 5843.614318
Price History:
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5512.84, Sell volume: 330.77, Average price: 0.6427, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758210
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 5843.614318
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5512.84, Sell volume: 330.77, Average price: 0.6427, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758210
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 5843.614318
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5512.84, Sell volume: 330.77, Average price: 0.6427, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758210
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 5843.614318
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5512.84, Sell volume: 330.77, Average price: 0.6427, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758210
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 5843.614318
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5512.84, Sell volume: 330.77, Average price: 0.6427, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758210
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 5843.614318
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5512.84, Sell volume: 330.77, Average price: 0.6427, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758210
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 5843.614318
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5512.84, Sell volume: 330.77, Average price: 0.6427, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758210
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 5843.614318
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5512.84, Sell volume: 330.77, Average price: 0.6427, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758210
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 5843.614318
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5512.84, Sell volume: 330.77, Average price: 0.6427, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758210
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 5843.614318
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5512.84, Sell volume: 330.77, Average price: 0.6427, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758210
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 5843.614318
Price History:
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5512.84, Sell volume: 330.77, Average price: 0.6427, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758210
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 5843.614318
Price History:
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5512.84, Sell volume: 330.77, Average price: 0.6427, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758210
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 5843.614318
Price History:
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5512.84, Sell volume: 330.77, Average price: 0.6427, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758210
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 5843.614318
Price History:
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5512.84, Sell volume: 330.77, Average price: 0.6427, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758210
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 5843.614318
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5512.84, Sell volume: 330.77, Average price: 0.6427, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758210
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 5843.614318
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5512.84, Sell volume: 330.77, Average price: 0.6427, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758210
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 5843.614318
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5512.84, Sell volume: 330.77, Average price: 0.6427, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758210
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 5843.614318
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5512.84, Sell volume: 330.77, Average price: 0.6427, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758210
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 5843.614318
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5512.84, Sell volume: 330.77, Average price: 0.6427, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No