Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 733054
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Volume: 76143.662572
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4700
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5300
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13787184.09, Sell volume: 4391910.18, Average price: 0.5230, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 733054
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Volume: 76143.662572
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4700
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5300
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13787184.09, Sell volume: 4391910.18, Average price: 0.5230, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.4850
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.4895
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0185
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.0185
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0145
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.0135
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.0095
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0095
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.0135
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.0125
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0115
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0110
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0135
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0135
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.0135
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.0130
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0115
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.0110
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.0095
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0075
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.0055
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.0025
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.0025
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.0025
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.0020
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.0020
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.0020
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 139832175.02, Sell volume: 56057292.06, Average price: 0.9228, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0025
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0025
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0025
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81918, Buy volume: 14589477.58, Sell volume: 1651127.22, Average price: 0.9251, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69930, Buy volume: 17841984.16, Sell volume: 5031263.70, Average price: 0.9411, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101898, Buy volume: 11191115.68, Sell volume: 347012.64, Average price: 0.9206, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 203796, Buy volume: 24386133.46, Sell volume: 17416585.98, Average price: 0.9205, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 223776, Buy volume: 29765378.83, Sell volume: 5740773.48, Average price: 0.9542, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 141858, Buy volume: 21779438.76, Sell volume: 15196448.34, Average price: 0.9424, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 125874, Buy volume: 11554134.30, Sell volume: 8717913.36, Average price: 0.8403, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34047, Buy volume: 2573012.63, Sell volume: 1243361.18, Average price: 0.9399, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 262, Buy volume: 101491.15, Sell volume: 39523.45, Average price: 0.8844, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0030
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0030
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0030
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0030
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 79894.93, Sell volume: 64388.84, Average price: 0.8557, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0020
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0020
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 321, Buy volume: 19206.35, Sell volume: 21510.97, Average price: 0.9517, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0020
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0025
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0020
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0020
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0020
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0020
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0025
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0045
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0030
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0025
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 189, Buy volume: 67335.45, Sell volume: 21339.36, Average price: 0.7922, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.4850
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0185
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0145
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.0095
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.0135
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0115
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0135
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.0135
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0115
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.0095
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.0055
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.0025
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.0020
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0025
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0025
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 139832175.02, Sell volume: 56057292.06, Average price: 0.9228, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0025
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81918, Buy volume: 14589477.58, Sell volume: 1651127.22, Average price: 0.9251, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69930, Buy volume: 17841984.16, Sell volume: 5031263.70, Average price: 0.9411, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101898, Buy volume: 11191115.68, Sell volume: 347012.64, Average price: 0.9206, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 203796, Buy volume: 24386133.46, Sell volume: 17416585.98, Average price: 0.9205, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 223776, Buy volume: 29765378.83, Sell volume: 5740773.48, Average price: 0.9542, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 141858, Buy volume: 21779438.76, Sell volume: 15196448.34, Average price: 0.9424, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 125874, Buy volume: 11554134.30, Sell volume: 8717913.36, Average price: 0.8403, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34047, Buy volume: 2573012.63, Sell volume: 1243361.18, Average price: 0.9399, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 262, Buy volume: 101491.15, Sell volume: 39523.45, Average price: 0.8844, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0030
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0030
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 79894.93, Sell volume: 64388.84, Average price: 0.8557, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 321, Buy volume: 19206.35, Sell volume: 21510.97, Average price: 0.9517, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517559
Question: Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 544567.390841
Price History:
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0020
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0020
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0025
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0030
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0025
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.0025
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0025
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0020
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0060
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 189, Buy volume: 67335.45, Sell volume: 21339.36, Average price: 0.7922, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.4850
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.4895
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0215
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.0195
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0160
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.0130
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.0085
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0085
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.0150
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.0135
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0100
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0095
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0095
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0095
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.0095
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.0090
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0085
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.0080
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.0065
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0065
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.0065
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.0065
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0065
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.0025
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.0025
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.0020
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.0020
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.0020
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0035
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.0035
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.0050
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0050
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 12265.82, Sell volume: 10007.68, Average price: 0.2399, Price range: 0.0014 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0050
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0045
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0045
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0045
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.0045
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.0045
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0045
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0045
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0045
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0045
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0045
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0035
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0030
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0030
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0030
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0030
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0030
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0035
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0030
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0030
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 8584.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9284, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.0035
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0035
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0040
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0035
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0040
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0045
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0045
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0045
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0035
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0035
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0035
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0040
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0035
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0040
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0040
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0040
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.0035
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0035
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0035
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.0035
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0035
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0040
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0040
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.0035
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0040
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.0035
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.0040
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0035
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0035
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 9107.96, Sell volume: 2237.47, Average price: 0.8166, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 3790.34, Sell volume: 114.70, Average price: 0.9007, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 95, Buy volume: 28664.65, Sell volume: 3954.58, Average price: 0.9139, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 128, Buy volume: 24545.66, Sell volume: 5986.16, Average price: 0.9278, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 12133.30, Sell volume: 9296.77, Average price: 0.9265, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 133, Buy volume: 15380.92, Sell volume: 21564.48, Average price: 0.8853, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 7905.59, Sell volume: 2076.56, Average price: 0.8393, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 223, Buy volume: 76141.25, Sell volume: 60050.82, Average price: 0.8959, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 7076.84, Sell volume: 7222.45, Average price: 0.8590, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0010
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0010
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0010
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0010
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0010
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0010
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 164, Buy volume: 31759.86, Sell volume: 41269.13, Average price: 0.9196, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 7000.00, Sell volume: 45.04, Average price: 0.2505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.4850
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0215
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0160
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.0085
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.0150
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0100
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0095
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.0095
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0085
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.0065
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.0065
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0065
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.0025
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.0020
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0035
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0050
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.0050
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0050
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0045
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0050
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 12265.82, Sell volume: 10007.68, Average price: 0.2399, Price range: 0.0014 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0050
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0045
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0045
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0045
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0045
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0045
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0035
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0040
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0035
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0030
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0030
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0035
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0030
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0030
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0030
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.0030
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 8584.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9284, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0035
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0035
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0045
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0045
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0035
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0040
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0040
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0040
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0035
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.0035
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0040
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.0035
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.0035
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0035
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0035
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0035
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 9107.96, Sell volume: 2237.47, Average price: 0.8166, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 3790.34, Sell volume: 114.70, Average price: 0.9007, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 95, Buy volume: 28664.65, Sell volume: 3954.58, Average price: 0.9139, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 128, Buy volume: 24545.66, Sell volume: 5986.16, Average price: 0.9278, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 12133.30, Sell volume: 9296.77, Average price: 0.9265, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 133, Buy volume: 15380.92, Sell volume: 21564.48, Average price: 0.8853, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 7905.59, Sell volume: 2076.56, Average price: 0.8393, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 223, Buy volume: 76141.25, Sell volume: 60050.82, Average price: 0.8959, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 7076.84, Sell volume: 7222.45, Average price: 0.8590, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0010
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0010
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0010
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0010
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 164, Buy volume: 31759.86, Sell volume: 41269.13, Average price: 0.9196, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517560
Question: Will Ruby Dhalla be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 409448.980932
Price History:
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 7000.00, Sell volume: 45.04, Average price: 0.2505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.3650
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.6350
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.3800
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.6200
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.3400
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.6600
2024-11-08 20:00: 0.2600
2024-11-08 20:00: 0.7400
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.2150
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.7850
2024-11-08 22:00: 0.2550
2024-11-08 22:00: 0.7450
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.2700
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.7300
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.2800
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.7200
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.2600
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.7400
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.2550
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.7450
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.2700
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.7300
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.2500
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.7500
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.2500
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.7500
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.2650
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.7350
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.2650
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.7350
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.2700
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.7300
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.1550
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.8450
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.1450
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.8550
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.0700
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.9300
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.1350
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.8650
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.1650
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.8350
2024-11-09 14:00: 0.1250
2024-11-09 14:00: 0.8750
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.1400
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.8600
2024-11-09 16:00: 0.1850
2024-11-09 16:00: 0.8150
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.1800
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 55830.38, Sell volume: 4342.05, Average price: 0.5996, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.0145
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.9855
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.0490
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.9510
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.0145
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.9855
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.0165
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.9835
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.0155
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.9845
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.0945
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.9055
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.0775
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.9225
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.0850
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.9150
2024-11-10 10:00: 0.0925
2024-11-10 10:00: 0.9075
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.1785
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.8215
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.1950
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.8050
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.0990
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.9010
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.0400
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.9600
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.0225
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.9775
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.0285
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.9715
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.0275
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.9725
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.0280
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.9720
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.0240
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.9760
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.0280
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.9720
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.0245
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.9755
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.0130
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.9870
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.0135
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.9865
2024-11-11 00:00: 0.0060
2024-11-11 00:00: 0.9940
2024-11-11 01:00: 0.0055
2024-11-11 01:00: 0.9945
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.0050
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 37972.79, Sell volume: 37058.58, Average price: 0.6599, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.9985
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.9985
2024-11-11 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 13:00: 0.9985
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.0020
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.9980
2024-11-11 15:00: 0.0045
2024-11-11 15:00: 0.9955
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.0030
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.9970
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.0060
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.9940
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.0140
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.9860
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.0125
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.9875
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.0120
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.9880
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.0260
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.9740
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.0165
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.9835
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.0205
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.9795
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.0045
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.9955
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.0040
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.9960
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.0035
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.9965
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.0035
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.9965
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.0035
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.9965
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.0035
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.9965
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.0035
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.9965
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.0035
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.9965
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0100
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.9900
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.0270
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.9730
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.0275
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.9725
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.0245
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 219, Buy volume: 83652.88, Sell volume: 25787.60, Average price: 0.5383, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.0090
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.9910
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.0070
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.9930
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.0045
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.9955
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.0050
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.9950
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0050
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.9950
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.0050
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.9950
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.9955
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.9955
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.9955
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.9955
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.9955
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.9955
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.9955
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.9955
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.9975
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.9955
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.9975
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.9955
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.9955
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.9955
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.9955
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.9955
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0100
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9900
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0065
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9935
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0065
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 7513.12, Sell volume: 7283.34, Average price: 0.5588, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.0030
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.9970
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.0030
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.9970
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.0030
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.9970
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.0030
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.9970
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.0025
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.9975
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.9985
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.9985
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.9985
2024-11-14 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 13:00: 0.9985
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.0020
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.9980
2024-11-15 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 10389.07, Sell volume: 41072.63, Average price: 0.3752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.0020
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.9980
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.0020
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.9980
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.0025
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.9975
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.0025
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.9975
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.9975
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.0025
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.9975
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.9985
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.9985
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.9985
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.9985
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 401.99, Sell volume: 1168.00, Average price: 0.5883, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 46.69, Sell volume: 5193.64, Average price: 0.8833, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.9985
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.9985
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.9985
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.9985
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.9985
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.9985
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.9985
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.9985
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.9985
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.9985
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.9985
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.9985
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.9985
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.9985
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 4821.12, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 19:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 19:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 07:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.9985
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.9985
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.9985
2024-11-20 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 13:00: 0.9985
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.9985
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.9985
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.9985
2024-11-20 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.9985
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.9985
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 11:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 11:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 19:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 19:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0027, Price range: 0.0027 - 0.0027

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.9975
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0025
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.9975
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.0025
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.9975
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0025
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.9975
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.0025
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.9975
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0025
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.9975
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.0050
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.9950
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.0050
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.9950
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.0050
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.9950
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0050
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.9950
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.0050
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.9950
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.0050
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.9950
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.0050
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2860.96, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0087, Price range: 0.0087 - 0.0087

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0045
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.9955
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.0045
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.9955
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0045
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.9955
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.0045
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.9955
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0045
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.9955
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.0045
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.9955
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0045
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.9955
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 11418.27, Sell volume: 482.13, Average price: 0.1825, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 166.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.3650
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.3800
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.3400
2024-11-08 20:00: 0.2600
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.2150
2024-11-08 22:00: 0.2550
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.2700
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.2800
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.2600
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.2550
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.2700
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.2500
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.2500
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.2650
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.2650
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.2700
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.1550
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.1450
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.0700
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.1350
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.1650
2024-11-09 14:00: 0.1250
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.1400
2024-11-09 16:00: 0.1850
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.1800
2024-11-09 18:00: 0.1550
2024-11-09 19:00: 0.1650
2024-11-09 20:00: 0.1300
2024-11-09 21:00: 0.1800
2024-11-09 22:00: 0.0530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 55830.38, Sell volume: 4342.05, Average price: 0.5996, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.0145
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.0490
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.0145
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.0165
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.0155
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.0945
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.0775
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.0850
2024-11-10 10:00: 0.0925
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.1785
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.1950
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.0990
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.0400
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.0225
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.0285
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.0275
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.0280
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.0240
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.0280
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.0245
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.0130
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.0135
2024-11-11 00:00: 0.0060
2024-11-11 01:00: 0.0055
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.0050
2024-11-11 03:00: 0.0065
2024-11-11 04:00: 0.0055
2024-11-11 05:00: 0.0035
2024-11-11 06:00: 0.0035
2024-11-11 07:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 37972.79, Sell volume: 37058.58, Average price: 0.6599, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.0020
2024-11-11 15:00: 0.0045
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.0030
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.0060
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.0140
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.0125
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.0120
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.0260
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.0165
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.0205
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.0045
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.0040
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.0035
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.0035
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.0035
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.0035
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.0035
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.0035
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0100
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.0270
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.0275
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.0245
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.0055
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.0185
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.0140
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.0185
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 219, Buy volume: 83652.88, Sell volume: 25787.60, Average price: 0.5383, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes