Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561656
Question: Will Israel win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10117.635571
Price History:
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9955
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0045
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9955
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9955
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0045
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9955
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9615
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9615
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0385
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9615
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0385
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0385
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0385
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.9615
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0290
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9755
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0245
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0235
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9765
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0235
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0235
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0235
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0235
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9765
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0235
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0235
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9765
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0235
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9765
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0235
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0235
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0235
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9765
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9765
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0235
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0235
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9765
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.9765
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0235
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9765
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9765
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0235
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0235
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0235
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0235
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9765
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0235
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9765
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0235
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 108.17, Sell volume: 94.83, Average price: 0.3364, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561656
Question: Will Israel win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10117.635571
Price History:
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.0235
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.9765
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9765
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9765
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0235
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0235
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0225
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9795
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.0205
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9805
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9825
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0175
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9825
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0175
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9825
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0155
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9865
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.0115
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9915
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0085
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9930
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0070
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.9930
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9930
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0070
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0070
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0070
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9930
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9930
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9930
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0070
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0070
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9930
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0070
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9930
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9930
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0070
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0070
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0070
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9930
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0070
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9930
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0070
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0060
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 109.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561656
Question: Will Israel win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10117.635571
Price History:
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9940
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9940
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9945
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0055
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9945
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0055
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0055
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0055
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0055
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9945
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0060
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9945
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9945
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0060
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9940
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0060
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9940
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0060
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0060
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9940
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9940
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9940
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0060
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9940
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9940
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 9478.64, Sell volume: 639.00, Average price: 0.8675, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561656
Question: Will Israel win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10117.635571
Price History:
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9940
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 334.74, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561656
Question: Will Israel win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10117.635571
Price History:
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 196.28, Sell volume: 64.99, Average price: 0.6660, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561656
Question: Will Israel win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10117.635571
Price History:
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0020
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 9478.64, Sell volume: 639.00, Average price: 0.8675, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561656
Question: Will Israel win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10117.635571
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 2368.98, Sell volume: 407.68, Average price: 0.8655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561656
Question: Will Israel win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10117.635571
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.5000
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.1000
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.1000
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0600
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0850
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0500
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0700
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.1000
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0360
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0360
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.0365
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0365
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0365
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0355
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0310
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0305
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0260
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0260
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0250
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0250
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0250
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0240
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 668.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9974, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561656
Question: Will Israel win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10117.635571
Price History:
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0355
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.0315
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0315
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0315
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.0300
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.0275
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0295
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.0285
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.0290
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0275
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0275
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0235
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.0330
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.0415
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0415
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.0415
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.0415
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0415
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0415
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.0415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 582.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6680, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561656
Question: Will Israel win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10117.635571
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0415
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0415
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.0415
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.0415
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.0415
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0410
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.0385
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.0385
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0385
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0385
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.0385
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0385
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.0390
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.0355
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.0390
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0390
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0390
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.0390
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0390
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0390
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.0390
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.0365
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0290
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.0390
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.0390
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.0265
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.9610
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9615
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.9605
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.0395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 59.51, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7450, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561656
Question: Will Israel win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10117.635571
Price History:
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.0390
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0390
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0395
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0390
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.9655
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.0345
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9655
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0345
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.0345
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0345
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0345
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0345
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.0340
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9655
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.0340
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0340
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0340
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0340
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9655
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.0345
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9655
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.9650
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9630
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0420
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0420
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0470
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0455
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0330
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.0205
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 244.10, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.7479, Price range: 0.0710 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561656
Question: Will Israel win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10117.635571
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.9795
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0205
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9795
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9795
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.0205
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0205
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.9795
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9795
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.9795
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9795
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.0205
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.9795
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9795
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.9915
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0085
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0085
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9915
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0085
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0085
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.0085
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0085
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0085
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9915
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9915
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9915
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.0085
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9915
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0085
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0085
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 50.50, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561656
Question: Will Israel win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10117.635571
Price History:
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0085
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0085
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0085
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0085
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9915
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0085
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9915
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9915
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0085
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9915
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0085
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9915
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9915
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9915
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0085
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0085
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9935
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0070
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9930
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0055
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0055
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9955
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0045
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0045
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9955
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0045
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9955
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0045
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9955
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9955, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561656
Question: Will Israel win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10117.635571
Price History:
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9955
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0045
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0045
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0385
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0385
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0385
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0385
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0385
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0255
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0245
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9765
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0235
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0235
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9765
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9765
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9765
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9765
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9765
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9765
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0235
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0235
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9765
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0235
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9765
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0235
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.0235
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0235
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0235
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0235
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 108.17, Sell volume: 94.83, Average price: 0.3364, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561656
Question: Will Israel win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10117.635571
Price History:
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.0235
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0235
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0235
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9765
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.0205
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0195
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9825
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9825
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0175
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9865
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9905
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0070
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9930
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9930
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9930
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9930
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0070
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9930
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9930
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9930
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9930
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9930
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9930
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0070
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0060
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 109.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561656
Question: Will Israel win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10117.635571
Price History:
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0060
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0055
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0055
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0055
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.9945
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0060
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9945
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0060
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.0060
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9940
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0060
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0060
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0060
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 9478.64, Sell volume: 639.00, Average price: 0.8675, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561656
Question: Will Israel win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10117.635571
Price History:
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0060
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9970
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9970
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9970
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 334.74, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561656
Question: Will Israel win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10117.635571
Price History:
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 196.28, Sell volume: 64.99, Average price: 0.6660, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561656
Question: Will Israel win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10117.635571
Price History:
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 9478.64, Sell volume: 639.00, Average price: 0.8675, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561656
Question: Will Israel win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10117.635571
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 2368.98, Sell volume: 407.68, Average price: 0.8655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.5000
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.7950
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.2150
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.8200
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.0450
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.9550
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.0750
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.9250
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0750
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9500
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.9350
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9050
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.2350
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.7950
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0165
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.9835
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.0165
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.9830
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.0170
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.9830
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0170
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.9830
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0155
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9845
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0155
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9845
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0155
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9845
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0155
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9845
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0155
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9845
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0145
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9855
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0145
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9855
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0145
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9855
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0130
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9870
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0130
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9870
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0120
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9880
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0245
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9765
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0200
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 441.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9969, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0200
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9770
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0230
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.9805
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0235
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9765
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0235
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9765
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0235
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.9765
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0235
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.9765
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0235
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.9765
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0235
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.9765
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0235
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.9765
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0235
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.9765
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.0235
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.9765
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.0235
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.9765
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.0235
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.9765
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0235
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.9765
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.0225
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.9775
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0225
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.9775
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.0220
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.9785
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.0215
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.9785
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0215
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.9785
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.0165
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.9835
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0180
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.9775
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0225
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.9780
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0220
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.9780
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0220
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9780
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0225
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 9514.35, Sell volume: 854.27, Average price: 0.8815, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0225
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.9775
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.0225
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.9775
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0225
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.9775
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0225
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.9775
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.0225
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.9775
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.0225
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.9775
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0225
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.9765
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0230
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.9770
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0230
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.9770
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0230
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.9770
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0230
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.9760
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0240
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.9760
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0240
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.9760
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0245
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.9755
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.0240
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.9760
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0240
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.9760
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0235
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.9765
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0235
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.9765
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0235
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.9765
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0205
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9800
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0205
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.9765
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0235
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0235
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0235
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9765
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.0235
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9765
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0235
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 39.51, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.0235
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.9765
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.0385
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.0155
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.9850
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.0150
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.9610
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.0390
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.9610
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.9610
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.9610
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.9610
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.0390
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9610
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.9610
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9610
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.9645
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.9615
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.0375
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.9630
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.9610
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9610
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9610
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9610
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.9610
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.0390
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.0390
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.0390
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0390
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9610
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.9610
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.9610
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9610
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.0390
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9610
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.9610
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0390
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.9610
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0415
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9585
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0415
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0385
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9615
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.0380
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.9650
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.9650
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0350
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9710
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0190
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 75.00, Sell volume: 9.00, Average price: 0.6655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.0025
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9975
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.0025
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9975
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.0025
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.9975
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.9975
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.9975
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.0020
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9980
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.9980
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0020
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9975
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.0020
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.9975
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.9975
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.9975
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9975
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.9975
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9975
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.9975
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0025
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.9975
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.9975
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.9975
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9975
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9980
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0020
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9980
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.0020
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.9980
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.0020
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.9980
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.0020
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0020
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.9980
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9980
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.9980
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.0020
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0020
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.9980
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9980
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0020
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0020
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 9514.35, Sell volume: 854.27, Average price: 0.8815, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0020
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9980
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0020
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9980
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9980
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9980
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0020
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0020
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9980
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9980
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0020
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9980
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0020
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0020
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 9514.35, Sell volume: 854.27, Average price: 0.8815, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 24.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 9514.35, Sell volume: 854.27, Average price: 0.8815, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 214.72, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 237.37, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9980
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9980
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9645
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0345
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9605
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 817.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0122, Price range: 0.0122 - 0.0122

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9685
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0200
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9805
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0195
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9805
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0195
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9805
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0195
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9805
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0195
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9805
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0195
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9805
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0195
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9800
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0195
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9805
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0200
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9800
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0200
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9805
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2334.47, Sell volume: 825.27, Average price: 0.8565, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.5000
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.2050
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.1850
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.1200
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.1000
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0500
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0650
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.2050
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0165
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0165
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.0170
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0170
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0170
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0155
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0155
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0155
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0155
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0155
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0145
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0145
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0145
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0135
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0130
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0130
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0120
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0245
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0200
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0200
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 441.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9969, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0200
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0235
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0150
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0235
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0235
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0235
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0235
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0235
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0235
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0235
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0235
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.0235
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0235
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0235
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.0235
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.0235
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0225
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.0225
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.0220
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0215
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0215
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0175
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.0190
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.0225
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0225
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.0220
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.0220
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0225
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0225
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 9514.35, Sell volume: 854.27, Average price: 0.8815, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0225
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0225
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.0225
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.0225
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.0225
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0225
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.0225
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.0235
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0230
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0230
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.0230
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0230
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.0240
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.0240
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.0240
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0245
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0240
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.0240
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0235
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0235
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.0235
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.0235
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0205
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.0235
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.9765
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.0235
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0235
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0235
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.9765
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 39.51, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.0235
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0385
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.9850
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0150
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.9610
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.0390
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0390
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9610
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9610
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.9645
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0375
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9645
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.0390
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.0390
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9610
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9610
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0390
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0390
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9610
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9610
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.0390
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0395
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9585
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.9615
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0385
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9650
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0335
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0190
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.0025
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 75.00, Sell volume: 9.00, Average price: 0.6655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.9975
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9975
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.9975
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0020
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.0020
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.0020
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9975
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.9980
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.0025
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.0025
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.9975
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9975
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0025
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0020
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.9980
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.9980
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0020
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0020
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.0020
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0020
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.0020
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0020
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0020
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9980
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 9514.35, Sell volume: 854.27, Average price: 0.8815, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0020
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0020
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9980
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0020
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0020
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0020
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0020
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0020
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 9514.35, Sell volume: 854.27, Average price: 0.8815, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 24.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 9514.35, Sell volume: 854.27, Average price: 0.8815, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 214.72, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 237.37, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9660
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9605
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9625
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 817.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0122, Price range: 0.0122 - 0.0122
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561658
Question: Will Moldova win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 10368.616
Price History:
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9685
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9770
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9805
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9805
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9805
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9805
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9805
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9805
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9800
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9805
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9800
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9805
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2334.47, Sell volume: 825.27, Average price: 0.8565, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.5900
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.4100
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.4100
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.5900
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.4100
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.5900
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.5900
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.4100
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.4100
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.5900
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.6300
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.3700
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.3700
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.6300
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.6350
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.3650
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.3550
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.6450
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.6450
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.3550
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.6450
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.3550
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.6100
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.3900
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.3900
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.6100
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.6100
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.3900
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.6450
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.3550
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.6450
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.3550
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.6450
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.3550
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.7400
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.2600
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.2600
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.7400
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.7400
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.2600
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.2600
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.7400
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.7550
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.2450
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.2400
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.7650
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.2350
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 70.13, Sell volume: 8.32, Average price: 0.7875, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.7450
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.2300
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.1800
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 21.92, Sell volume: 1.12, Average price: 0.8183, Price range: 0.6300 - 0.9149

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.1650
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.8350
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.1650
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.8350
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.1650
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.8350
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.1650
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.8350
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.1650
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.8350
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.1650
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.8350
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.1550
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.8450
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.1550
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.8450
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.1550
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.8450
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.1550
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.8450
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.1550
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.8450
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.1550
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.8450
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.1550
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.8450
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.1550
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 465.06, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.8689, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9000
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9000
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9000
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9000
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9000
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9000
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9000
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9000
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9000
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9000
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9100
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0900
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 350.05, Sell volume: 43.58, Average price: 0.9221, Price range: 0.8733 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0900
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9100
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0900
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9100
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0900
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9100
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0900
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9100
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0900
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9100
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9100
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0900
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9100
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0900
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9100
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0900
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9100
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0900
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9100
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 132.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7254, Price range: 0.0916 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 10396.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9582, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0355
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9645
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0350
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9650
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0350
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9650
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0355
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9645
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0340
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9660
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0280
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9720
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0280
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9720
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0270
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9730
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0270
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9730
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0270
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9730
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9750
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0240
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9760
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0240
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9760
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0250
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9750
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0240
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9760
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0235
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9765
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0240
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9760
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0245
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9755
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0185
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9815
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0235
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9765
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0225
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 4228.57, Sell volume: 527.74, Average price: 0.8047, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0120
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9880
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0120
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9880
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0120
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9880
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0120
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9880
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0115
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9885
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0110
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9890
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0110
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9890
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0110
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9890
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0155
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9845
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0390
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9610
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0410
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9590
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0180
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9820
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0185
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9815
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0175
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9825
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0165
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9835
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0170
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9830
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0170
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9830
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0165
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9835
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0160
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9840
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0185
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9815
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0180
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9820
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0170
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9830
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0195
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9805
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0165
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9835
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0160
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 10519.25, Sell volume: 98.49, Average price: 0.8535, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0200
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9800
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0180
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9820
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0185
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9815
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9825
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0170
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9830
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0170
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9830
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0155
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9845
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0130
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0150
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9850
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0130
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0155
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9845
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0150
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9850
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0155
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9845
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0150
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9850
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0155
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9845
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0145
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9855
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0155
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9845
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0205
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9795
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0200
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9800
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0200
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9800
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0205
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9795
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0205
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9795
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0200
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9800
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0205
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 14960.93, Sell volume: 7301.62, Average price: 0.9063, Price range: 0.0112 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0250
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9750
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0250
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9750
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0210
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9790
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0200
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9800
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0210
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9790
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0240
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9760
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0230
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9770
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0240
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9760
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0240
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9760
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0230
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9770
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0215
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9785
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0230
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9770
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0230
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9770
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9775
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0220
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9780
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9775
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9775
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9775
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9775
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0210
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9790
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9775
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9775
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9775
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9775
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 2870.35, Sell volume: 8619.98, Average price: 0.8096, Price range: 0.0164 - 0.9821

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0195
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9805
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0220
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9780
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0195
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9805
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0185
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9815
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0230
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9770
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0230
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9770
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0260
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9740
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0265
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9735
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0265
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9735
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0265
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9735
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0265
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9735
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0265
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9735
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0265
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9735
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0265
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9735
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0265
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9735
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0265
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9735
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9745
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0225
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9775
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0215
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9785
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0215
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9785
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0225
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9775
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0195
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9805
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0190
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9810
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0190
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9810
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 35568.91, Sell volume: 11091.72, Average price: 0.8592, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9917

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9880
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9880
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0105
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9895
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0115
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9885
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0115
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9885
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0115
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9885
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9880
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9880
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9880
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9880
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9880
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0125
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9875
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0125
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9875
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0125
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9875
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0125
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9875
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0125
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9875
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0125
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9875
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0125
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9875
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0135
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9865
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0135
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9865
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0135
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9865
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0135
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9865
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0135
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9865
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0140
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 15508.36, Sell volume: 13215.40, Average price: 0.8038, Price range: 0.0059 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0155
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9845
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0155
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9845
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0100
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9900
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0100
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9900
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0085
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9915
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0110
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9890
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 95, Buy volume: 32992.77, Sell volume: 11931.91, Average price: 0.8808, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.5900
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.4100
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.4100
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.5900
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.4100
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.6300
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.3700
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.6350
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.3550
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.6450
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.6450
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.6100
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.3900
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.6100
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.6450
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.6450
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.6450
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.7400
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.2600
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.7400
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.2600
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.7550
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.7650
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.7650
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 70.13, Sell volume: 8.32, Average price: 0.7875, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.2300
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.1800
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.1600
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.1600
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.1600
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.1650
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 21.92, Sell volume: 1.12, Average price: 0.8183, Price range: 0.6300 - 0.9149
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.1650
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.1650
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.1650
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.1650
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.1650
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.1650
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.1550
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.1550
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.1550
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.1550
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.1550
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.1550
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.1550
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.1550
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.1550
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.1550
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.1550
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.1550
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 465.06, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.8689, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.1000
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0900
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0900
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0900
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0900
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0900
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 350.05, Sell volume: 43.58, Average price: 0.9221, Price range: 0.8733 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0900
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0900
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0900
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0900
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0900
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0900
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0900
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0900
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0900
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 132.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7254, Price range: 0.0916 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 10396.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9582, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0355
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0350
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0350
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0355
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0340
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0280
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0280
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0270
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0270
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0270
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0250
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0240
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0240
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0250
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0240
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0235
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0240
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0245
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0185
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0235
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0225
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0115
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0105
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 4228.57, Sell volume: 527.74, Average price: 0.8047, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0120
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0120
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0120
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0120
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0115
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0110
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0110
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0110
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0155
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0390
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0410
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0180
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0185
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0175
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0165
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0170
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0170
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0165
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0160
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0185
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0180
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0170
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0195
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0165
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0160
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0155
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0180
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0170
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0170
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 10519.25, Sell volume: 98.49, Average price: 0.8535, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0200
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0180
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0185
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0170
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0170
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0155
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0130
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0150
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0130
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0155
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0150
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0155
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0150
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0155
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0145
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0155
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0205
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0200
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0200
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0205
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0205
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0200
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0205
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0200
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0200
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0195
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0195
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 14960.93, Sell volume: 7301.62, Average price: 0.9063, Price range: 0.0112 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0250
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0250
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0210
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0200
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0210
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0240
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0230
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0240
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0240
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0230
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0215
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0230
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0230
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0220
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0210
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0225
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 2870.35, Sell volume: 8619.98, Average price: 0.8096, Price range: 0.0164 - 0.9821
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0195
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0220
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0195
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0185
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0230
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0230
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0260
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0265
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0265
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0265
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0265
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0265
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0265
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0265
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0265
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0265
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0225
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0215
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0215
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0225
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0195
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0190
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0190
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0140
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0145
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 35568.91, Sell volume: 11091.72, Average price: 0.8592, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9917
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0105
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0115
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0115
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0115
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0125
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0125
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0125
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0125
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0125
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0125
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0125
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0135
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0135
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0135
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0135
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0135
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0140
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0095
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0090
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0080
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 15508.36, Sell volume: 13215.40, Average price: 0.8038, Price range: 0.0059 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639960
Question: Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 181223.388994
Price History:
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0155
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0155
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0100
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0100
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0085
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0110
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 95, Buy volume: 32992.77, Sell volume: 11931.91, Average price: 0.8808, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.7200
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.2800
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.4850
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.5150
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.5150
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.4850
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.4850
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.5150
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0350
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9650
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.4895
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.5105
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.5100
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.4900
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.4900
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.5100
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.4905
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.5095
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.5060
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.4940
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.5060
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.4940
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.5055
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.4945
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.4945
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.5055
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.5055
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.4945
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.5055
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.4945
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.4860
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.5140
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.4860
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.5140
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.4860
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.5140
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.4860
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.5140
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.4860
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.5140
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.4460
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.5540
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.4600
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.5400
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.4600
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.5400
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.4600
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.5400
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 107.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2633, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.6599

Output: No