Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502229
Question: Will Chuck Smith win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3336.263156
Price History:
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.9755
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.0245
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.9755
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.0245
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.9755
2024-06-10 02:00: 0.0245
2024-06-10 02:00: 0.9755
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.0245
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.9755
2024-06-10 04:00: 0.0245
2024-06-10 04:00: 0.9755
2024-06-10 05:00: 0.0245
2024-06-10 05:00: 0.9755
2024-06-10 06:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 540.26, Sell volume: 2796.00, Average price: 0.5563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502229
Question: Will Chuck Smith win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3336.263156
Price History:
2024-06-10 06:00: 0.9755
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.0245
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.9755
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.0245
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.9755
2024-06-10 09:00: 0.0245
2024-06-10 09:00: 0.9755
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.0245
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.9755
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.0245
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.9755
2024-06-10 12:00: 0.0245
2024-06-10 12:00: 0.9755
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.0240
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.9760
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.0240
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.9760
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.0240
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.9760
2024-06-10 16:00: 0.0240
2024-06-10 16:00: 0.9760
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.0240
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.9760
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.0200
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.9800
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.0200
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.9800
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.0200
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.9800
2024-06-10 21:00: 0.0200
2024-06-10 21:00: 0.9800
2024-06-10 22:00: 0.0200
2024-06-10 22:00: 0.9800
2024-06-10 23:00: 0.0200
2024-06-10 23:00: 0.9800
2024-06-11 00:00: 0.0200
2024-06-11 00:00: 0.9800
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.0200
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.9800
2024-06-11 02:00: 0.0200
2024-06-11 02:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9927, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502229
Question: Will Chuck Smith win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3336.263156
Price History:
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.0200
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.9800
2024-06-11 04:00: 0.0200
2024-06-11 04:00: 0.9800
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.0200
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.9800
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.0200
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.9800
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.0200
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.9800
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.0200
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.9800
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.0130
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.9870
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.0130
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.9870
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.0130
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.9870
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.0130
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.9870
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.0130
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.9870
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.0130
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.9870
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.0130
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.9870
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.0130
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.9870
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.0130
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.9870
2024-06-11 18:00: 0.0130
2024-06-11 18:00: 0.9870
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.0130
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.9870
2024-06-11 20:00: 0.0130
2024-06-11 20:00: 0.9870
2024-06-11 21:00: 0.0130
2024-06-11 21:00: 0.9870
2024-06-11 22:00: 0.0130
2024-06-11 22:00: 0.9870
2024-06-11 23:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0380, Price range: 0.0380 - 0.0380

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502229
Question: Will Chuck Smith win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3336.263156
Price History:
2024-06-11 23:00: 0.9870
2024-06-12 00:00: 0.0130
2024-06-12 00:00: 0.9870
2024-06-12 01:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 01:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 02:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 02:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 03:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 03:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 04:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 04:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 05:00: 0.0080
2024-06-12 05:00: 0.9920
2024-06-12 06:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 06:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 07:00: 0.0130
2024-06-12 07:00: 0.9870
2024-06-12 08:00: 0.0130
2024-06-12 08:00: 0.9870
2024-06-12 09:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 09:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 10:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 10:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 11:00: 0.0130
2024-06-12 11:00: 0.9870
2024-06-12 12:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 12:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 13:00: 0.0130
2024-06-12 13:00: 0.9870
2024-06-12 14:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 14:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 15:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 15:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 16:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 16:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 17:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 17:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 18:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 18:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 19:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 19:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 45.00, Sell volume: 45.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502229
Question: Will Chuck Smith win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3336.263156
Price History:
2024-06-12 20:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 20:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 21:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 21:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 22:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 22:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 23:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 23:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 00:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 00:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 01:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 01:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 02:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 02:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 03:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 03:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 04:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 04:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 05:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 05:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 06:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 06:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 07:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 07:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 08:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 08:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 09:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 09:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 10:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 10:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 11:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 11:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 12:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 12:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 13:00: 0.0130
2024-06-13 13:00: 0.9870
2024-06-13 14:00: 0.0130
2024-06-13 14:00: 0.9870
2024-06-13 15:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 15:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 16:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 69.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502229
Question: Will Chuck Smith win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3336.263156
Price History:
2024-06-13 16:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 17:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 17:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 18:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 18:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 19:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 19:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 20:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 20:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 21:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 21:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 22:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 22:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 23:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 23:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 00:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 00:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 01:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 01:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 02:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 02:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 03:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 03:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 04:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 04:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 05:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 05:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 06:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 06:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 07:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 07:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 08:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 08:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 09:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 09:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 10:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 10:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 11:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 11:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 12:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 12:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 540.26, Sell volume: 2796.00, Average price: 0.5563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502229
Question: Will Chuck Smith win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3336.263156
Price History:
2024-06-14 13:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 13:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 14:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 14:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 15:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 15:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 16:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 16:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 17:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 17:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 18:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 18:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 19:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 19:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 20:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 20:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 21:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 21:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 22:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 22:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 23:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 23:00: 0.9875
2024-06-15 00:00: 0.0125
2024-06-15 00:00: 0.9875
2024-06-15 01:00: 0.0125
2024-06-15 01:00: 0.9875
2024-06-15 02:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 02:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 03:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 03:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 04:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 04:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 05:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 05:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 06:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 06:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 07:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 07:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 08:00: 0.0125
2024-06-15 08:00: 0.9875
2024-06-15 09:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 540.26, Sell volume: 2796.00, Average price: 0.5563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502229
Question: Will Chuck Smith win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3336.263156
Price History:
2024-06-15 09:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 10:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 10:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 11:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 11:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 12:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 12:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 13:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 13:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 14:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 14:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 15:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 15:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 16:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 16:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 17:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 17:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 18:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 18:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 19:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 19:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 20:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 20:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 21:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 21:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 22:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 22:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 23:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 23:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 00:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 00:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 01:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 01:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 02:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 02:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 03:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 03:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 04:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 04:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 05:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 05:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 540.26, Sell volume: 2796.00, Average price: 0.5563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502229
Question: Will Chuck Smith win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3336.263156
Price History:
2024-06-16 06:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 06:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 07:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 07:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 08:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 08:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 09:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 09:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 10:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 10:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 11:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 11:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 12:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 12:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 13:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 13:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 14:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 14:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 15:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 15:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 16:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 16:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 17:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 17:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 18:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 18:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 19:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 19:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 20:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 20:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 21:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 21:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 22:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 22:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 23:00: 0.0105
2024-06-16 23:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 00:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 00:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 01:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 01:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 02:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 540.26, Sell volume: 2796.00, Average price: 0.5563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502229
Question: Will Chuck Smith win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3336.263156
Price History:
2024-06-17 02:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 03:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 03:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 04:00: 0.0110
2024-06-17 04:00: 0.9890
2024-06-17 05:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 05:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 06:00: 0.0110
2024-06-17 06:00: 0.9890
2024-06-17 07:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 07:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 08:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 08:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 09:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 09:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 10:00: 0.0110
2024-06-17 10:00: 0.9890
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.0100
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.9900
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.0055
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.9945
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.0055
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.9945
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.0055
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.9945
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.0055
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.9945
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.0055
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 540.26, Sell volume: 2796.00, Average price: 0.5563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502229
Question: Will Chuck Smith win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3336.263156
Price History:
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.0055
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.0050
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.9950
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.0050
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.9950
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.0050
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.9950
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.0050
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.9950
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.0050
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.9950
2024-06-18 14:00: 0.0050
2024-06-18 14:00: 0.9950
2024-06-18 15:00: 0.0050
2024-06-18 15:00: 0.9950
2024-06-18 16:00: 0.0050
2024-06-18 16:00: 0.9950
2024-06-18 17:00: 0.0050
2024-06-18 17:00: 0.9950
2024-06-18 18:00: 0.0050
2024-06-18 18:00: 0.9950
2024-06-18 19:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 195.64, Sell volume: 235.64, Average price: 0.2505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502229
Question: Will Chuck Smith win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 3336.263156
Price History:
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.4950
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.5050
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.4950
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.5050
2024-06-07 19:00: 0.0350
2024-06-07 19:00: 0.9650
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.0250
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.9750
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.0250
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.9750
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.0250
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.9750
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.0250
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.9750
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.0250
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.9750
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.0250
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.9750
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.0250
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.9750
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.0250
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.9750
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.0250
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.9750
2024-06-08 05:00: 0.0250
2024-06-08 05:00: 0.9750
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.0250
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.9750
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.0250
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 540.26, Sell volume: 2796.00, Average price: 0.5563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502229
Question: Will Chuck Smith win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 3336.263156
Price History:
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.9750
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.0250
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.9750
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.0250
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.9750
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.0250
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.9750
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.0250
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.9750
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.0250
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.9750
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.0250
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.9750
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.0250
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.9750
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.0250
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.9750
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.0250
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.9750
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.0250
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.9750
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.0250
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.9750
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.0250
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.9750
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.0250
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.9750
2024-06-09 03:00: 0.0250
2024-06-09 03:00: 0.9750
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 540.26, Sell volume: 2796.00, Average price: 0.5563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502229
Question: Will Chuck Smith win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 3336.263156
Price History:
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.9755
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.0245
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.9755
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.0245
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 540.26, Sell volume: 2796.00, Average price: 0.5563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502229
Question: Will Chuck Smith win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 3336.263156
Price History:
2024-06-10 06:00: 0.9755
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.0245
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.9755
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.0245
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.9755
2024-06-10 09:00: 0.0245
2024-06-10 09:00: 0.9755
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.0245
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.9755
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.0245
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.9755
2024-06-10 12:00: 0.0245
2024-06-10 12:00: 0.9755
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.0240
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.9760
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.0240
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.9760
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.0240
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.9760
2024-06-10 16:00: 0.0240
2024-06-10 16:00: 0.9760
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.0240
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.9760
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.0200
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.9800
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.0200
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.9800
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.0200
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.9800
2024-06-10 21:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9927, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502229
Question: Will Chuck Smith win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 3336.263156
Price History:
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.0200
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.9800
2024-06-11 04:00: 0.0200
2024-06-11 04:00: 0.9800
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.0200
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.9800
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.0200
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.9800
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.0200
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.9800
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.0200
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.9800
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.0130
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.9870
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.0130
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.9870
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.0130
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.9870
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.0130
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.9870
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.0130
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.9870
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.0130
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.9870
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.0130
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.9870
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.0130
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.9870
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.0130
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0380, Price range: 0.0380 - 0.0380
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502229
Question: Will Chuck Smith win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 3336.263156
Price History:
2024-06-11 23:00: 0.9870
2024-06-12 00:00: 0.0130
2024-06-12 00:00: 0.9870
2024-06-12 01:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 01:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 02:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 02:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 03:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 03:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 04:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 04:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 05:00: 0.0080
2024-06-12 05:00: 0.9920
2024-06-12 06:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 06:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 07:00: 0.0130
2024-06-12 07:00: 0.9870
2024-06-12 08:00: 0.0130
2024-06-12 08:00: 0.9870
2024-06-12 09:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 09:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 10:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 10:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 11:00: 0.0130
2024-06-12 11:00: 0.9870
2024-06-12 12:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 12:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 13:00: 0.0130
2024-06-12 13:00: 0.9870
2024-06-12 14:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 45.00, Sell volume: 45.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502229
Question: Will Chuck Smith win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 3336.263156
Price History:
2024-06-12 20:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 20:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 21:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 21:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 22:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 22:00: 0.9875
2024-06-12 23:00: 0.0125
2024-06-12 23:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 00:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 00:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 01:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 01:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 02:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 02:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 03:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 03:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 04:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 04:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 05:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 05:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 06:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 06:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 07:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 07:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 08:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 08:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 09:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 09:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 10:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 10:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 69.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502229
Question: Will Chuck Smith win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 3336.263156
Price History:
2024-06-13 16:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 17:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 17:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 18:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 18:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 19:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 19:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 20:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 20:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 21:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 21:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 22:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 22:00: 0.9875
2024-06-13 23:00: 0.0125
2024-06-13 23:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 00:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 00:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 01:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 01:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 02:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 02:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 03:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 03:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 04:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 04:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 05:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 05:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 06:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 06:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 07:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 540.26, Sell volume: 2796.00, Average price: 0.5563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502229
Question: Will Chuck Smith win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 3336.263156
Price History:
2024-06-14 13:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 13:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 14:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 14:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 15:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 15:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 16:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 16:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 17:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 17:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 18:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 18:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 19:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 19:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 20:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 20:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 21:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 21:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 22:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 22:00: 0.9875
2024-06-14 23:00: 0.0125
2024-06-14 23:00: 0.9875
2024-06-15 00:00: 0.0125
2024-06-15 00:00: 0.9875
2024-06-15 01:00: 0.0125
2024-06-15 01:00: 0.9875
2024-06-15 02:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 02:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 03:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 03:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 540.26, Sell volume: 2796.00, Average price: 0.5563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502229
Question: Will Chuck Smith win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 3336.263156
Price History:
2024-06-15 09:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 10:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 10:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 11:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 11:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 12:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 12:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 13:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 13:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 14:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 14:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 15:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 15:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 16:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 16:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 17:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 17:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 18:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 18:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 19:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 19:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 20:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 20:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 21:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 21:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 22:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 22:00: 0.9880
2024-06-15 23:00: 0.0120
2024-06-15 23:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 00:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 540.26, Sell volume: 2796.00, Average price: 0.5563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502229
Question: Will Chuck Smith win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 3336.263156
Price History:
2024-06-16 06:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 06:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 07:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 07:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 08:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 08:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 09:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 09:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 10:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 10:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 11:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 11:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 12:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 12:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 13:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 13:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 14:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 14:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 15:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 15:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 16:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 16:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 17:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 17:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 18:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 18:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 19:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 19:00: 0.9880
2024-06-16 20:00: 0.0120
2024-06-16 20:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 540.26, Sell volume: 2796.00, Average price: 0.5563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502229
Question: Will Chuck Smith win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 3336.263156
Price History:
2024-06-17 02:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 03:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 03:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 04:00: 0.0110
2024-06-17 04:00: 0.9890
2024-06-17 05:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 05:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 06:00: 0.0110
2024-06-17 06:00: 0.9890
2024-06-17 07:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 07:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 08:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 08:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 09:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 09:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 10:00: 0.0110
2024-06-17 10:00: 0.9890
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 540.26, Sell volume: 2796.00, Average price: 0.5563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502229
Question: Will Chuck Smith win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 3336.263156
Price History:
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.0055
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.0055
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.9945
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.0050
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.9950
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.0050
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.9950
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.0050
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.9950
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.0050
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.9950
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.0050
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 195.64, Sell volume: 235.64, Average price: 0.2505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.4950
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.5050
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.4950
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.5050
2024-06-07 19:00: 0.0350
2024-06-07 19:00: 0.9650
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.0305
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.9695
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.0055
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.9945
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.0055
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.9945
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.0055
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.9945
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.0060
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.9940
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.0060
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.9940
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.0065
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.9935
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.0065
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.9935
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.0065
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.9935
2024-06-08 05:00: 0.0065
2024-06-08 05:00: 0.9935
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.0065
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.9935
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.0065
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.9935
2024-06-08 08:00: 0.0065
2024-06-08 08:00: 0.9935
2024-06-08 09:00: 0.0065
2024-06-08 09:00: 0.9935
2024-06-08 10:00: 0.0065
2024-06-08 10:00: 0.9935
2024-06-08 11:00: 0.0065
2024-06-08 11:00: 0.9935
2024-06-08 12:00: 0.0065
2024-06-08 12:00: 0.9935
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 240.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3367, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.9935
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.0065
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.9935
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.0130
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.9870
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.0130
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.9870
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.0130
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.9870
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.0130
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.9870
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.0130
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.9870
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.0130
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.9870
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.0130
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.9870
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.0130
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.9870
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.0120
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.0125
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.9875
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.0125
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.9875
2024-06-09 03:00: 0.0125
2024-06-09 03:00: 0.9875
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.0125
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.9875
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.0125
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.9875
2024-06-09 06:00: 0.0125
2024-06-09 06:00: 0.9875
2024-06-09 07:00: 0.0125
2024-06-09 07:00: 0.9875
2024-06-09 08:00: 0.0125
2024-06-09 08:00: 0.9875
2024-06-09 09:00: 0.0125
2024-06-09 09:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 190.00, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.6647, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.0125
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.9875
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 02:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 02:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 04:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 04:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 05:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 05:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 06:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 3965.27, Sell volume: 2395.29, Average price: 0.7189, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-10 06:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 09:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 09:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 12:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 12:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.0115
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.9885
2024-06-10 16:00: 0.0115
2024-06-10 16:00: 0.9885
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.0115
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.9885
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 21:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 21:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 22:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 22:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 23:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 23:00: 0.9880
2024-06-11 00:00: 0.0120
2024-06-11 00:00: 0.9880
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.0120
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.9880
2024-06-11 02:00: 0.0120
2024-06-11 02:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9940, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.0120
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.9880
2024-06-11 04:00: 0.0120
2024-06-11 04:00: 0.9880
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.0120
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.9880
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.0120
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.9880
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.0120
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.9880
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.0120
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.9880
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.0115
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.0115
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.0115
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.0115
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.0115
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.0115
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.0115
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.0115
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.0115
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 18:00: 0.0115
2024-06-11 18:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.0115
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 20:00: 0.0115
2024-06-11 20:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 21:00: 0.0115
2024-06-11 21:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 22:00: 0.0115
2024-06-11 22:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 23:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0180, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.0180

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-11 23:00: 0.9885
2024-06-12 00:00: 0.0115
2024-06-12 00:00: 0.9885
2024-06-12 01:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 01:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 02:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 02:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 03:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 03:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 04:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 04:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 05:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 05:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 06:00: 0.0115
2024-06-12 06:00: 0.9885
2024-06-12 07:00: 0.0115
2024-06-12 07:00: 0.9885
2024-06-12 08:00: 0.0115
2024-06-12 08:00: 0.9885
2024-06-12 09:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 09:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 10:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 10:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 11:00: 0.0115
2024-06-12 11:00: 0.9885
2024-06-12 12:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 12:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 13:00: 0.0115
2024-06-12 13:00: 0.9885
2024-06-12 14:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 14:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 15:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 15:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 16:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 16:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 17:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 17:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 18:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 18:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 19:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 19:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 45.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9940, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-12 20:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 20:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 21:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 21:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 22:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 22:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 23:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 23:00: 0.9890
2024-06-13 00:00: 0.0110
2024-06-13 00:00: 0.9890
2024-06-13 01:00: 0.0110
2024-06-13 01:00: 0.9890
2024-06-13 02:00: 0.0105
2024-06-13 02:00: 0.9895
2024-06-13 03:00: 0.0105
2024-06-13 03:00: 0.9895
2024-06-13 04:00: 0.0105
2024-06-13 04:00: 0.9895
2024-06-13 05:00: 0.0105
2024-06-13 05:00: 0.9895
2024-06-13 06:00: 0.0105
2024-06-13 06:00: 0.9895
2024-06-13 07:00: 0.0105
2024-06-13 07:00: 0.9895
2024-06-13 08:00: 0.0105
2024-06-13 08:00: 0.9895
2024-06-13 09:00: 0.0105
2024-06-13 09:00: 0.9895
2024-06-13 10:00: 0.0105
2024-06-13 10:00: 0.9895
2024-06-13 11:00: 0.0105
2024-06-13 11:00: 0.9895
2024-06-13 12:00: 0.0105
2024-06-13 12:00: 0.9895
2024-06-13 13:00: 0.0090
2024-06-13 13:00: 0.9910
2024-06-13 14:00: 0.0090
2024-06-13 14:00: 0.9910
2024-06-13 15:00: 0.0060
2024-06-13 15:00: 0.9940
2024-06-13 16:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 69.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9949, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9966

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-13 16:00: 0.9940
2024-06-13 17:00: 0.0060
2024-06-13 17:00: 0.9940
2024-06-13 18:00: 0.0060
2024-06-13 18:00: 0.9940
2024-06-13 19:00: 0.0060
2024-06-13 19:00: 0.9940
2024-06-13 20:00: 0.0060
2024-06-13 20:00: 0.9940
2024-06-13 21:00: 0.0060
2024-06-13 21:00: 0.9940
2024-06-13 22:00: 0.0060
2024-06-13 22:00: 0.9940
2024-06-13 23:00: 0.0060
2024-06-13 23:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 00:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 00:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 01:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 01:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 02:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 02:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 03:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 03:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 04:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 04:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 05:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 05:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 06:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 06:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 07:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 07:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 08:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 08:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 09:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 09:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 10:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 10:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 11:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 11:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 12:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 12:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 3965.27, Sell volume: 2395.29, Average price: 0.7189, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-14 13:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 13:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 14:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 14:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 15:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 15:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 16:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 16:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 17:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 17:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 18:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 18:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 19:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 19:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 20:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 20:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 21:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 21:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 22:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 22:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 23:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 23:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 00:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 00:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 01:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 01:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 02:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 02:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 03:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 03:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 04:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 04:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 05:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 05:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 06:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 06:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 07:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 07:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 08:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 08:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 09:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 3965.27, Sell volume: 2395.29, Average price: 0.7189, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-15 09:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 10:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 10:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 11:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 11:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 12:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 12:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 13:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 13:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 14:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 14:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 15:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 15:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 16:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 16:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 17:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 17:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 18:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 18:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 19:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 19:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 20:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 20:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 21:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 21:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 22:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 22:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 23:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 23:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 00:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 00:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 01:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 01:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 02:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 02:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 03:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 03:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 04:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 04:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 05:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 05:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 3965.27, Sell volume: 2395.29, Average price: 0.7189, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-16 06:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 06:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 07:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 07:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 08:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 08:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 09:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 09:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 10:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 10:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 11:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 11:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 12:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 12:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 13:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 13:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 14:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 14:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 15:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 15:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 16:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 16:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 17:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 17:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 18:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 18:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 19:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 19:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 20:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 20:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 21:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 21:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 22:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 22:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 23:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 23:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 00:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 00:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 01:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 01:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 02:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 3965.27, Sell volume: 2395.29, Average price: 0.7189, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-17 02:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 03:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 03:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 04:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 04:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 05:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 05:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 06:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 06:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 07:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 07:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 08:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 08:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 09:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 09:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 10:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 10:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.0035
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.9965
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.0035
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.9965
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.0035
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.9965
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.0035
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.9965
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.0035
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 3965.27, Sell volume: 2395.29, Average price: 0.7189, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.0035
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.9965
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.0035
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.9965
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.0035
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.9965
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.0035
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.9965
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.0035
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.9965
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.0035
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.9965
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.0035
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.9965
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.0035
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.9965
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.0030
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.9970
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.0030
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.9970
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.0030
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.9970
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.0030
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.9970
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.0030
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.9970
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.0030
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.9970
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.0030
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.9970
2024-06-18 14:00: 0.0030
2024-06-18 14:00: 0.9970
2024-06-18 15:00: 0.0030
2024-06-18 15:00: 0.9970
2024-06-18 16:00: 0.0030
2024-06-18 16:00: 0.9970
2024-06-18 17:00: 0.0030
2024-06-18 17:00: 0.9970
2024-06-18 18:00: 0.0030
2024-06-18 18:00: 0.9970
2024-06-18 19:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 205.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9985, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.4950
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.5050
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.4950
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.5050
2024-06-07 19:00: 0.0350
2024-06-07 19:00: 0.9650
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.0305
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.9695
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.0055
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.9945
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.0055
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.9945
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.0055
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.9945
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.0060
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.9940
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.0060
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.9940
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.0065
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.9935
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.0065
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.9935
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.0065
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.9935
2024-06-08 05:00: 0.0065
2024-06-08 05:00: 0.9935
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.0065
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.9935
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.0065
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 240.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3367, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.9935
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.0065
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.9935
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.0130
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.9870
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.0130
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.9870
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.0130
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.9870
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.0130
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.9870
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.0130
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.9870
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.0130
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.9870
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.0130
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.9870
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.0130
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.9870
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.0120
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.0125
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.9875
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.0125
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.9875
2024-06-09 03:00: 0.0125
2024-06-09 03:00: 0.9875
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 190.00, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.6647, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.0125
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.9875
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.9880
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.0120
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 3965.27, Sell volume: 2395.29, Average price: 0.7189, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-10 06:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 09:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 09:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 12:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 12:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.0115
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.9885
2024-06-10 16:00: 0.0115
2024-06-10 16:00: 0.9885
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.0115
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.9885
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.0120
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.9880
2024-06-10 21:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9940, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.0120
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.9880
2024-06-11 04:00: 0.0120
2024-06-11 04:00: 0.9880
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.0120
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.9880
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.0120
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.9880
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.0120
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.9880
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.0120
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.9880
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.0115
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.0115
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.0115
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.0115
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.0115
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.0115
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.0115
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.0115
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.9885
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.0115
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0180, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.0180
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-11 23:00: 0.9885
2024-06-12 00:00: 0.0115
2024-06-12 00:00: 0.9885
2024-06-12 01:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 01:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 02:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 02:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 03:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 03:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 04:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 04:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 05:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 05:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 06:00: 0.0115
2024-06-12 06:00: 0.9885
2024-06-12 07:00: 0.0115
2024-06-12 07:00: 0.9885
2024-06-12 08:00: 0.0115
2024-06-12 08:00: 0.9885
2024-06-12 09:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 09:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 10:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 10:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 11:00: 0.0115
2024-06-12 11:00: 0.9885
2024-06-12 12:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 12:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 13:00: 0.0115
2024-06-12 13:00: 0.9885
2024-06-12 14:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 45.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9940, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-12 20:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 20:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 21:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 21:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 22:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 22:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 23:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 23:00: 0.9890
2024-06-13 00:00: 0.0110
2024-06-13 00:00: 0.9890
2024-06-13 01:00: 0.0110
2024-06-13 01:00: 0.9890
2024-06-13 02:00: 0.0105
2024-06-13 02:00: 0.9895
2024-06-13 03:00: 0.0105
2024-06-13 03:00: 0.9895
2024-06-13 04:00: 0.0105
2024-06-13 04:00: 0.9895
2024-06-13 05:00: 0.0105
2024-06-13 05:00: 0.9895
2024-06-13 06:00: 0.0105
2024-06-13 06:00: 0.9895
2024-06-13 07:00: 0.0105
2024-06-13 07:00: 0.9895
2024-06-13 08:00: 0.0105
2024-06-13 08:00: 0.9895
2024-06-13 09:00: 0.0105
2024-06-13 09:00: 0.9895
2024-06-13 10:00: 0.0105
2024-06-13 10:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 69.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9949, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9966
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-13 16:00: 0.9940
2024-06-13 17:00: 0.0060
2024-06-13 17:00: 0.9940
2024-06-13 18:00: 0.0060
2024-06-13 18:00: 0.9940
2024-06-13 19:00: 0.0060
2024-06-13 19:00: 0.9940
2024-06-13 20:00: 0.0060
2024-06-13 20:00: 0.9940
2024-06-13 21:00: 0.0060
2024-06-13 21:00: 0.9940
2024-06-13 22:00: 0.0060
2024-06-13 22:00: 0.9940
2024-06-13 23:00: 0.0060
2024-06-13 23:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 00:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 00:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 01:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 01:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 02:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 02:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 03:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 03:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 04:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 04:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 05:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 05:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 06:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 06:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 07:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 3965.27, Sell volume: 2395.29, Average price: 0.7189, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-14 13:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 13:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 14:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 14:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 15:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 15:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 16:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 16:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 17:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 17:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 18:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 18:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 19:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 19:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 20:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 20:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 21:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 21:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 22:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 22:00: 0.9940
2024-06-14 23:00: 0.0060
2024-06-14 23:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 00:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 00:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 01:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 01:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 02:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 02:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 03:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 03:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 3965.27, Sell volume: 2395.29, Average price: 0.7189, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-15 09:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 10:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 10:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 11:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 11:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 12:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 12:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 13:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 13:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 14:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 14:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 15:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 15:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 16:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 16:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 17:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 17:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 18:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 18:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 19:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 19:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 20:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 20:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 21:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 21:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 22:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 22:00: 0.9940
2024-06-15 23:00: 0.0060
2024-06-15 23:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 00:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 3965.27, Sell volume: 2395.29, Average price: 0.7189, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-16 06:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 06:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 07:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 07:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 08:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 08:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 09:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 09:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 10:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 10:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 11:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 11:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 12:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 12:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 13:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 13:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 14:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 14:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 15:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 15:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 16:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 16:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 17:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 17:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 18:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 18:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 19:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 19:00: 0.9940
2024-06-16 20:00: 0.0060
2024-06-16 20:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 3965.27, Sell volume: 2395.29, Average price: 0.7189, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-17 02:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 03:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 03:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 04:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 04:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 05:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 05:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 06:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 06:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 07:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 07:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 08:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 08:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 09:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 09:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 10:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 10:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 3965.27, Sell volume: 2395.29, Average price: 0.7189, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502230
Question: Will another person win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 6360.555554
Price History:
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.0035
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.9965
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.0035
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.9965
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.0035
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.9965
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.0035
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.9965
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.0035
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.9965
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.0035
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.9965
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.0035
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.9965
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.0035
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.9965
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.0030
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.9970
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.0030
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.9970
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.0030
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.9970
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.0030
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.9970
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.0030
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.9970
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.0030
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.9970
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.0030
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 205.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9985, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9550
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0250
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9750
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9895
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0095
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.9905
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.9870
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9915
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0090
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9910
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0085
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9915
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9920
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9925
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9925
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9915
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0080
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9920
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0075
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9925
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9920
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9930
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9930
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9930
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9925
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9925
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9925
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9930
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9930
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0085
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9915
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9925
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9920
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9905
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9920
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9925
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0100
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9900
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0100
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9900
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0100
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9900
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0090
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9940
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9940
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9915
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9920
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0090
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9910
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0090
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9900
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0090
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9910
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0090
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9910
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0090
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9910
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0095
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9905
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0095
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9905
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0090
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9910
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0090
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9910
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0095
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9905
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0095
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9905
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0095
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9905
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0090
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9910
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9925
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9925
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9900
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9900
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0105
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9895
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0090
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9910
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9910
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9905
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9905
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9905
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9910
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9910
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9915
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9915
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9910
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9910
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9910
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9910
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9910
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9910
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9910
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0080
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9920
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0075
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9925
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0075
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9925
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0075
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9925
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0075
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9925
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9895
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9895
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9895
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0085
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9915
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0090
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9910
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9920
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9920
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9920
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0080
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9920
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0080
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9920
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0090
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9910
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9895
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9895
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0205
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9795
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0155
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9845
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9855
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9855
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0140
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9860
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0170
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9830
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0130
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9870
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0125
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0120
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9880
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0110
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9890
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0110
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9890
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0110
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9890
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0090
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9910
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0125
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0145
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9855
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0170
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9830
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0185
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9815
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0170
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9830
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0170
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9830
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0130
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9870
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0140
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0145
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9855
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0145
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9855
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0165
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0150
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0140
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9860
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0140
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9860
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0140
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9860
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0125
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9875
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0110
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9890
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0150
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9910
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0085
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9915
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0085
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9915
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0085
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9915
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0170
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9830
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0170
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9830
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0180
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9820
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0125
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9875
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0125
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9875
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0140
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9860
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0140
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9860
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0135
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9865
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0135
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0120
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9880
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0120
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9880
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0125
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9875
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0120
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9880
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0125
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9875
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0125
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9875
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0130
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9870
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0130
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9870
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0130
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9870
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0130
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9870
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0130
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9870
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0150
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9850
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0150
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9850
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0200
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9800
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0215
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9785
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0220
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9780
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0245
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9755
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0220
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9780
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9790
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9790
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0245
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.9755
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0170
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9830
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9820
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0170
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9830
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0170
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0210
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9790
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0180
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9820
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0185
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9815
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0145
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9855
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0145
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9855
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0150
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9850
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0135
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9865
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0220
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9780
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0210
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9790
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0150
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9850
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0150
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9850
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0130
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9870
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9860
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0135
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9865
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0135
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9865
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0125
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9875
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0130
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9870
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0140
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9860
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0145
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9855
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0225
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9775
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0115
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0155
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9845
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0135
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9865
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9840
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0145
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9855
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0195
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9805
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0195
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9805
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0200
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9800
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0115
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9885
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0140
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9860
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0125
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9875
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0135
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9865
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0115
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9885
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0125
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9875
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9855
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9855
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0175
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9825
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9850
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9850
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0235
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9765
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9850
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0210
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9790
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0235
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.9765
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0205
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.9795
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0175
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.9825
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0250
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0095
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0090
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0085
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0075
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0080
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0080
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0085
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0080
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0080
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0075
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0085
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0100
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0100
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0100
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0090
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0090
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0090
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0090
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0095
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0080
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0090
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0090
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0090
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0095
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0095
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0090
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0090
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0095
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0095
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0095
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0090
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0105
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0090
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0080
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0075
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0075
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0075
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0075
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0085
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0090
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0080
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0080
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0080
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0080
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0080
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0080
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0080
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0090
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0205
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0155
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0140
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0170
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0130
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0125
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0120
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0110
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0110
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0110
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0090
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0125
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0145
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0170
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0185
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0170
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0170
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0130
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0140
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0140
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0140
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0135
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0135
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0145
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0145
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0165
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0150
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0140
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0140
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0140
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0125
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0110
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0150
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0085
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0085
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0085
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0170
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0170
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0180
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0125
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0125
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0140
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0140
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0135
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0135
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0125
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0135
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0130
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0130
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0120
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0120
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0125
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0120
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0125
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0125
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0130
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0130
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0130
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0130
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0130
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0150
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0150
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0200
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0215
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0220
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0245
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0220
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0245
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0170
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0170
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0170
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0150
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0160
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0160
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0155
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0210
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0180
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0185
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0145
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0145
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0150
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0135
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0220
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0210
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0150
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0150
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0130
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0140
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0135
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0135
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0125
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0130
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0140
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0145
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0225
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0115
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0110
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0110
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0130
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0125
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes