Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.9780
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.0215
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.9825
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.0260
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.9740
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.0260
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.9740
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.0260
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.9770
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0245
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.9755
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.0295
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.9720
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0290
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.9750
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.0275
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9705
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0290
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.9705
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.0280
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9710
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0280
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.9710
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0270
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9720
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0250
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.9755
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0245
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9795
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 786029707.52, Sell volume: 33999222.94, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0085
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9865
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0105
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9890
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0125
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9885
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0125
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9855
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0165
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9900
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0110
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9920
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0105
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9905
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 786029707.52, Sell volume: 33999222.94, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9965
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9965
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9930
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0135
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9910
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0090
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9905
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0095
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9910
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9945
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0055
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.9955
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0065
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.9935
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.0055
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.9945
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0055
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.9940
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.0060
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.9940
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.9950
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.0055
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.9945
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 587412, Buy volume: 731349375.30, Sell volume: 17883898.20, Average price: 0.2012, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.0035
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.9965
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 412404, Buy volume: 54571150.90, Sell volume: 16086010.75, Average price: 0.9499, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0010
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 152, Buy volume: 66971.32, Sell volume: 28984.21, Average price: 0.8805, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 42210.00, Sell volume: 329.78, Average price: 0.0946, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.2100
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.0500
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.0550
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.0450
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.0450
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.0350
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0350
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.0305
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.0285
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.0250
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.0360
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.0355
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.0345
2024-11-16 18:00: 0.0340
2024-11-16 20:00: 0.0365
2024-11-16 22:00: 0.0345
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.0345
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.0305
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.0315
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.0360
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.0360
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.0360
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.0365
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.0310
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0290
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.0290
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.0285
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.0290
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.0290
2024-11-18 02:00: 0.0225
2024-11-18 04:00: 0.0260
2024-11-18 06:00: 0.0240
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.0230
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.0220
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.0200
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.0200
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.0235
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.0205
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0195
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.0240
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.0285
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.0230
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.0245
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.0225
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.0225
2024-11-19 10:00: 0.0250
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.0240
2024-11-19 14:00: 0.0290
2024-11-19 16:00: 0.0290
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 122897983.17, Sell volume: 18907130.43, Average price: 0.8412, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.0290
2024-11-20 22:00: 0.0285
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.0290
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.0290
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.0290
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0285
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.0285
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.0285
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0285
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0290
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.0285
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.0285
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0285
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.0280
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0285
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.0285
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.0285
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.0285
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.0280
2024-11-22 10:00: 0.0280
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0280
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.0285
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0280
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.0285
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0285
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.0285
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0195
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0140
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0160
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.0160
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0165
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.0165
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.0175
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.0180
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.0175
2024-11-23 18:00: 0.0175
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0180
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0175
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0170
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0175
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0170
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.0170
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0165
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.0170
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.0170
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0170
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.0165
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.0140
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0120
2024-11-24 22:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 122897983.17, Sell volume: 18907130.43, Average price: 0.8412, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.0175
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.0175
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.0170
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.0150
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.0150
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.0160
2024-11-26 12:00: 0.0175
2024-11-26 14:00: 0.0175
2024-11-26 16:00: 0.0170
2024-11-26 18:00: 0.0145
2024-11-26 20:00: 0.0175
2024-11-26 22:00: 0.0155
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.0160
2024-11-27 02:00: 0.0180
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.0175
2024-11-27 06:00: 0.0165
2024-11-27 08:00: 0.0115
2024-11-27 10:00: 0.0095
2024-11-27 12:00: 0.0095
2024-11-27 14:00: 0.0095
2024-11-27 16:00: 0.0080
2024-11-27 18:00: 0.0090
2024-11-27 20:00: 0.0085
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.0090
2024-11-28 00:00: 0.0090
2024-11-28 02:00: 0.0090
2024-11-28 04:00: 0.0085
2024-11-28 06:00: 0.0090
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.0085
2024-11-28 10:00: 0.0125
2024-11-28 12:00: 0.0095
2024-11-28 14:00: 0.0090
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.0090
2024-11-28 18:00: 0.0090
2024-11-28 20:00: 0.0085
2024-11-28 22:00: 0.0090
2024-11-29 00:00: 0.0080
2024-11-29 02:00: 0.0090
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.0090
2024-11-29 06:00: 0.0090
2024-11-29 08:00: 0.0090
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.0090
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.0080
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.0090
2024-11-29 16:00: 0.0085
2024-11-29 18:00: 0.0080
2024-11-29 20:00: 0.0080
2024-11-29 22:00: 0.0085
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.0090
2024-11-30 02:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 122897983.17, Sell volume: 18907130.43, Average price: 0.8412, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2024-12-01 04:00: 0.0085
2024-12-01 06:00: 0.0090
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.0090
2024-12-01 10:00: 0.0090
2024-12-01 12:00: 0.0090
2024-12-01 14:00: 0.0085
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.0085
2024-12-01 18:00: 0.0080
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.0090
2024-12-01 22:00: 0.0090
2024-12-02 00:00: 0.0090
2024-12-02 02:00: 0.0090
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.0080
2024-12-02 06:00: 0.0090
2024-12-02 08:00: 0.0090
2024-12-02 10:00: 0.0090
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.0080
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.0090
2024-12-02 16:00: 0.0085
2024-12-02 18:00: 0.0080
2024-12-02 20:00: 0.0090
2024-12-02 22:00: 0.0090
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.0085
2024-12-03 02:00: 0.0090
2024-12-03 04:00: 0.0090
2024-12-03 06:00: 0.0090
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.0090
2024-12-03 10:00: 0.0080
2024-12-03 12:00: 0.0090
2024-12-03 14:00: 0.0090
2024-12-03 16:00: 0.0085
2024-12-03 18:00: 0.0090
2024-12-03 20:00: 0.0080
2024-12-03 22:00: 0.0080
2024-12-04 00:00: 0.0085
2024-12-04 02:00: 0.0090
2024-12-04 04:00: 0.0090
2024-12-04 06:00: 0.0085
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.0075
2024-12-04 10:00: 0.0090
2024-12-04 12:00: 0.0080
2024-12-04 14:00: 0.0080
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.0090
2024-12-04 18:00: 0.0085
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.0090
2024-12-04 22:00: 0.0080
2024-12-05 00:00: 0.0090
2024-12-05 02:00: 0.0090
2024-12-05 04:00: 0.0090
2024-12-05 06:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 122897983.17, Sell volume: 18907130.43, Average price: 0.8412, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.0085
2024-12-06 10:00: 0.0085
2024-12-06 12:00: 0.0090
2024-12-06 14:00: 0.0090
2024-12-06 16:00: 0.0090
2024-12-06 18:00: 0.0090
2024-12-06 20:00: 0.0090
2024-12-06 22:00: 0.0080
2024-12-07 00:00: 0.0075
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.0070
2024-12-07 04:00: 0.0075
2024-12-07 06:00: 0.0090
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.0075
2024-12-07 10:00: 0.0075
2024-12-07 12:00: 0.0075
2024-12-07 14:00: 0.0075
2024-12-07 16:00: 0.0075
2024-12-07 18:00: 0.0090
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.0080
2024-12-07 22:00: 0.0070
2024-12-08 00:00: 0.0070
2024-12-08 02:00: 0.0075
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.0070
2024-12-08 06:00: 0.0070
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.0075
2024-12-08 10:00: 0.0075
2024-12-08 12:00: 0.0075
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.0080
2024-12-08 16:00: 0.0070
2024-12-08 18:00: 0.0075
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.0105
2024-12-08 22:00: 0.0085
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.0075
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.0075
2024-12-09 04:00: 0.0075
2024-12-09 06:00: 0.0075
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.0075
2024-12-09 10:00: 0.0090
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.0085
2024-12-09 14:00: 0.0055
2024-12-09 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-09 18:00: 0.0020
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.0030
2024-12-09 22:00: 0.0040
2024-12-10 00:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 04:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 10:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 122897983.17, Sell volume: 18907130.43, Average price: 0.8412, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.0030
2024-12-11 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-11 18:00: 0.0030
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-11 22:00: 0.0030
2024-12-12 00:00: 0.0020
2024-12-12 02:00: 0.0020
2024-12-12 04:00: 0.0025
2024-12-12 06:00: 0.0045
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.0025
2024-12-12 10:00: 0.0045
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.0030
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.0025
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-12 18:00: 0.0020
2024-12-12 20:00: 0.0040
2024-12-12 22:00: 0.0035
2024-12-13 00:00: 0.0035
2024-12-13 02:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 04:00: 0.0035
2024-12-13 06:00: 0.0020
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.0020
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.0020
2024-12-13 12:00: 0.0030
2024-12-13 14:00: 0.0030
2024-12-13 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-13 18:00: 0.0030
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.0030
2024-12-13 22:00: 0.0020
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.0055
2024-12-14 02:00: 0.0030
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 06:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 14:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 427572, Buy volume: 74761791.37, Sell volume: 3285431.28, Average price: 0.9747, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.0080
2024-12-16 18:00: 0.0080
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.0080
2024-12-16 22:00: 0.0080
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.0080
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.0080
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.0080
2024-12-17 06:00: 0.0080
2024-12-17 08:00: 0.0080
2024-12-17 10:00: 0.0080
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.0080
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.0115
2024-12-17 16:00: 0.0115
2024-12-17 18:00: 0.0110
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.0115
2024-12-17 22:00: 0.0115
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.0115
2024-12-18 02:00: 0.0115
2024-12-18 04:00: 0.0110
2024-12-18 06:00: 0.0115
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.0115
2024-12-18 10:00: 0.0095
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.0115
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.0115
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.0115
2024-12-18 18:00: 0.0115
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.0120
2024-12-18 22:00: 0.0120
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.0120
2024-12-19 02:00: 0.0120
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.0120
2024-12-19 06:00: 0.0125
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.0120
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.0120
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.0120
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.0120
2024-12-19 16:00: 0.0120
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.0120
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.0115
2024-12-19 22:00: 0.0120
2024-12-20 00:00: 0.0190
2024-12-20 02:00: 0.0180
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.0170
2024-12-20 06:00: 0.0165
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.0155
2024-12-20 10:00: 0.0155
2024-12-20 12:00: 0.0175
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.0180
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.0185
2024-12-20 18:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 159840, Buy volume: 39478488.02, Sell volume: 904434.66, Average price: 0.9160, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.0145
2024-12-21 22:00: 0.0155
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.0150
2024-12-22 02:00: 0.0155
2024-12-22 04:00: 0.0155
2024-12-22 06:00: 0.0160
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.0160
2024-12-22 10:00: 0.0150
2024-12-22 12:00: 0.0125
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.0125
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.0115
2024-12-22 18:00: 0.0140
2024-12-22 20:00: 0.0180
2024-12-22 22:00: 0.0190
2024-12-23 00:00: 0.0175
2024-12-23 02:00: 0.0085
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.0115
2024-12-23 06:00: 0.0080
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.0130
2024-12-23 10:00: 0.0125
2024-12-23 12:00: 0.0085
2024-12-23 14:00: 0.0085
2024-12-23 16:00: 0.0120
2024-12-23 18:00: 0.0080
2024-12-23 20:00: 0.0085
2024-12-23 22:00: 0.0165
2024-12-24 00:00: 0.0195
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.0200
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.0200
2024-12-24 06:00: 0.0200
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.0200
2024-12-24 10:00: 0.0185
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.0135
2024-12-24 14:00: 0.0130
2024-12-24 16:00: 0.0130
2024-12-24 18:00: 0.0130
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.0130
2024-12-24 22:00: 0.0135
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.0150
2024-12-25 02:00: 0.0180
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.0145
2024-12-25 06:00: 0.0135
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.0200
2024-12-25 10:00: 0.0175
2024-12-25 12:00: 0.0190
2024-12-25 14:00: 0.0155
2024-12-25 16:00: 0.0175
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.0170
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.0160
2024-12-25 22:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 215784, Buy volume: 5836925.18, Sell volume: 10243306.44, Average price: 0.6533, Price range: 0.0038 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.0170
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.0195
2024-12-27 04:00: 0.0205
2024-12-27 06:00: 0.0205
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.0160
2024-12-27 10:00: 0.0160
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0175
2024-12-27 14:00: 0.0175
2024-12-27 16:00: 0.0175
2024-12-27 18:00: 0.0220
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0195
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.0190
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.0205
2024-12-28 02:00: 0.0215
2024-12-28 04:00: 0.0205
2024-12-28 06:00: 0.0215
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.0205
2024-12-28 10:00: 0.0180
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.0180
2024-12-28 14:00: 0.0190
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.0200
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.0190
2024-12-28 20:00: 0.0185
2024-12-28 22:00: 0.0175
2024-12-29 00:00: 0.0165
2024-12-29 02:00: 0.0155
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.0175
2024-12-29 06:00: 0.0145
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.0145
2024-12-29 10:00: 0.0145
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.0145
2024-12-29 14:00: 0.0175
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.0150
2024-12-29 18:00: 0.0145
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.0145
2024-12-29 22:00: 0.0145
2024-12-30 00:00: 0.0145
2024-12-30 02:00: 0.0145
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.0145
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.0145
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.0145
2024-12-30 10:00: 0.0145
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0145
2024-12-30 14:00: 0.0145
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.0145
2024-12-30 18:00: 0.0145
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.0145
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.0145
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0145
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 175935, Buy volume: 2534483.23, Sell volume: 3459305.07, Average price: 0.6639, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.0065
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.0080
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.0065
2025-01-01 10:00: 0.0065
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0080
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.0080
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.0080
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.0105
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.0095
2025-01-01 22:00: 0.0085
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.0075
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.0095
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.0100
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.0100
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.0105
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.0105
2025-01-02 16:00: 0.0105
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.0105
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.0105
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.0100
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0100
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.0100
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.0100
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.0075
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.0075
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.0075
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.0065
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.0055
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.0050
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.0050
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.0065
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.0075
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.0055
2025-01-04 02:00: 0.0050
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.0065
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.0060
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.0060
2025-01-04 10:00: 0.0065
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.0050
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.0065
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0065
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.0055
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.0065
2025-01-04 22:00: 0.0050
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.0050
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.0045
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.0045
2025-01-05 06:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 171, Buy volume: 1252.13, Sell volume: 7918.92, Average price: 0.4514, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.0105
2025-01-06 10:00: 0.0105
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0105
2025-01-06 14:00: 0.0105
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.0105
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.0110
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.0110
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.0105
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.0105
2025-01-07 02:00: 0.0100
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.0105
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.0095
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.0095
2025-01-07 10:00: 0.0095
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.0095
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.0095
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.0090
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.0090
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.0090
2025-01-07 22:00: 0.0090
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0090
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.0090
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.0090
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.0090
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.0090
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.0090
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.0090
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.0090
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.0090
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.0090
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0090
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.0090
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.0090
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.0090
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.0200
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.0195
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.0195
2025-01-09 10:00: 0.0175
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.0180
2025-01-09 14:00: 0.0230
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.0215
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.0200
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.0220
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.0220
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.0230
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.0230
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.0205
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.0195
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.0205
2025-01-10 10:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 405.88, Sell volume: 10851.75, Average price: 0.7868, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0125
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.0100
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.0100
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.0100
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.0100
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0100
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.0100
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.0100
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.0100
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.0100
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0100
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.0100
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0100
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.0100
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.0100
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.0100
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.0100
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.0100
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0100
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.0100
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.0100
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.0100
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.0100
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.0100
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.0100
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.0100
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.0100
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.0100
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0095
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.0095
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.0095
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.0095
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.0095
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.0100
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0100
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.0100
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.0100
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 11897.49, Sell volume: 7982.85, Average price: 0.7191, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0010
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 589, Buy volume: 199031.91, Sell volume: 20857.46, Average price: 0.7939, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.2100
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.0550
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.0450
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0350
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.0285
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.0360
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.0345
2024-11-16 20:00: 0.0365
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.0345
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.0315
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.0360
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.0365
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0290
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.0285
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.0290
2024-11-18 04:00: 0.0260
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.0230
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.0200
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.0235
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0195
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.0285
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.0245
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.0225
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.0240
2024-11-19 16:00: 0.0290
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.0290
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.0290
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.0290
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.0290
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 122897983.17, Sell volume: 18907130.43, Average price: 0.8412, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.0290
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.0290
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.0290
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.0285
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0285
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.0285
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0285
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0285
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.0285
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.0280
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0280
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0280
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0285
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0195
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0160
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0165
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.0175
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.0175
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0180
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0170
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0170
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0165
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.0170
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.0165
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0120
2024-11-25 00:00: 0.0140
2024-11-25 04:00: 0.0140
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0165
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.0175
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 122897983.17, Sell volume: 18907130.43, Average price: 0.8412, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.0175
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.0170
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.0150
2024-11-26 12:00: 0.0175
2024-11-26 16:00: 0.0170
2024-11-26 20:00: 0.0175
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.0160
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.0175
2024-11-27 08:00: 0.0115
2024-11-27 12:00: 0.0095
2024-11-27 16:00: 0.0080
2024-11-27 20:00: 0.0085
2024-11-28 00:00: 0.0090
2024-11-28 04:00: 0.0085
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.0085
2024-11-28 12:00: 0.0095
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.0090
2024-11-28 20:00: 0.0085
2024-11-29 00:00: 0.0080
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.0090
2024-11-29 08:00: 0.0090
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.0080
2024-11-29 16:00: 0.0085
2024-11-29 20:00: 0.0080
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.0090
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.0085
2024-11-30 08:00: 0.0090
2024-11-30 12:00: 0.0085
2024-11-30 16:00: 0.0090
2024-11-30 20:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 122897983.17, Sell volume: 18907130.43, Average price: 0.8412, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2024-12-01 04:00: 0.0085
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.0090
2024-12-01 12:00: 0.0090
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.0085
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.0090
2024-12-02 00:00: 0.0090
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.0080
2024-12-02 08:00: 0.0090
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.0080
2024-12-02 16:00: 0.0085
2024-12-02 20:00: 0.0090
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.0085
2024-12-03 04:00: 0.0090
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.0090
2024-12-03 12:00: 0.0090
2024-12-03 16:00: 0.0085
2024-12-03 20:00: 0.0080
2024-12-04 00:00: 0.0085
2024-12-04 04:00: 0.0090
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.0075
2024-12-04 12:00: 0.0080
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.0090
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.0090
2024-12-05 00:00: 0.0090
2024-12-05 04:00: 0.0090
2024-12-05 08:00: 0.0085
2024-12-05 12:00: 0.0090
2024-12-05 16:00: 0.0090
2024-12-05 20:00: 0.0090
2024-12-06 00:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 122897983.17, Sell volume: 18907130.43, Average price: 0.8412, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.0085
2024-12-06 12:00: 0.0090
2024-12-06 16:00: 0.0090
2024-12-06 20:00: 0.0090
2024-12-07 00:00: 0.0075
2024-12-07 04:00: 0.0075
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.0075
2024-12-07 12:00: 0.0075
2024-12-07 16:00: 0.0075
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.0080
2024-12-08 00:00: 0.0070
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.0070
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.0075
2024-12-08 12:00: 0.0075
2024-12-08 16:00: 0.0070
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.0105
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.0075
2024-12-09 04:00: 0.0075
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.0075
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.0085
2024-12-09 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 00:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 04:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 12:00: 0.0030
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.0045
2024-12-11 00:00: 0.0030
2024-12-11 04:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 122897983.17, Sell volume: 18907130.43, Average price: 0.8412, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-11 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-12 00:00: 0.0020
2024-12-12 04:00: 0.0025
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.0025
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.0030
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-12 20:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 00:00: 0.0035
2024-12-13 04:00: 0.0035
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.0020
2024-12-13 12:00: 0.0030
2024-12-13 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.0030
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.0055
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 08:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 427572, Buy volume: 74761791.37, Sell volume: 3285431.28, Average price: 0.9747, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.0080
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.0080
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.0080
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.0080
2024-12-17 08:00: 0.0080
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.0080
2024-12-17 16:00: 0.0115
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.0115
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.0115
2024-12-18 04:00: 0.0110
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.0115
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.0115
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.0115
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.0120
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.0120
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.0120
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.0120
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.0120
2024-12-19 16:00: 0.0120
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.0115
2024-12-20 00:00: 0.0190
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.0170
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.0155
2024-12-20 12:00: 0.0175
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.0185
2024-12-20 20:00: 0.0195
2024-12-21 00:00: 0.0195
2024-12-21 04:00: 0.0200
2024-12-21 08:00: 0.0175
2024-12-21 12:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 159840, Buy volume: 39478488.02, Sell volume: 904434.66, Average price: 0.9160, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.0145
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.0150
2024-12-22 04:00: 0.0155
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.0160
2024-12-22 12:00: 0.0125
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.0115
2024-12-22 20:00: 0.0180
2024-12-23 00:00: 0.0175
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.0115
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.0130
2024-12-23 12:00: 0.0085
2024-12-23 16:00: 0.0120
2024-12-23 20:00: 0.0085
2024-12-24 00:00: 0.0195
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.0200
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.0200
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.0135
2024-12-24 16:00: 0.0130
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.0130
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.0150
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.0145
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.0200
2024-12-25 12:00: 0.0190
2024-12-25 16:00: 0.0175
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.0160
2024-12-26 00:00: 0.0210
2024-12-26 04:00: 0.0205
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.0200
2024-12-26 12:00: 0.0200
2024-12-26 16:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 215784, Buy volume: 5836925.18, Sell volume: 10243306.44, Average price: 0.6533, Price range: 0.0038 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.0170
2024-12-27 04:00: 0.0205
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.0160
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0175
2024-12-27 16:00: 0.0175
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0195
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.0205
2024-12-28 04:00: 0.0205
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.0205
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.0180
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.0200
2024-12-28 20:00: 0.0185
2024-12-29 00:00: 0.0165
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.0175
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.0145
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.0145
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.0150
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.0145
2024-12-30 00:00: 0.0145
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.0145
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.0145
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0145
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.0145
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.0145
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0145
2024-12-31 04:00: 0.0150
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.0135
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.0125
2024-12-31 16:00: 0.0125
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 175935, Buy volume: 2534483.23, Sell volume: 3459305.07, Average price: 0.6639, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.0065
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.0065
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0080
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.0080
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.0095
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.0075
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.0100
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.0105
2025-01-02 16:00: 0.0105
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.0105
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0100
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.0100
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.0075
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.0065
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.0050
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.0065
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.0055
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.0065
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.0060
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.0050
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0065
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.0065
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.0050
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.0045
2025-01-05 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.0045
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.0080
2025-01-05 20:00: 0.0135
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 171, Buy volume: 1252.13, Sell volume: 7918.92, Average price: 0.4514, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.0105
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0105
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.0105
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.0110
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.0105
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.0105
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.0095
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.0095
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.0090
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.0090
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0090
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.0090
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.0090
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.0090
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.0090
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0090
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.0090
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.0200
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.0195
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.0180
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.0215
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.0220
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.0230
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.0205
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.0205
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.0210
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.0125
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0120
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.0115
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 405.88, Sell volume: 10851.75, Average price: 0.7868, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0125
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.0100
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.0100
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.0100
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.0100
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0100
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0100
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.0100
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.0100
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0100
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.0100
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.0100
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.0100
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.0100
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0095
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.0095
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.0095
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0100
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.0100
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0100
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0100
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.0100
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.0100
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 11897.49, Sell volume: 7982.85, Average price: 0.7191, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513145
Question: Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 409285.893554999
Price History:
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.0010
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 589, Buy volume: 199031.91, Sell volume: 20857.46, Average price: 0.7939, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.3600
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.3800
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.3800
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.3800
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.3800
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.3800
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.3800
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.3600
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.3800
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.3500
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.4400
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.4350
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.4250
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.3900
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.3500
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.3900
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.3950
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.3950
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.3950
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.3950
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.3950
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.3950
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.3750
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.3900
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.3900
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.3900
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.3900
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.3900
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.3900
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.3900
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.4000
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.4000
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.4000
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.3850
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.3850
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.3850
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.3850
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.3850
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.3850
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.3850
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.3950
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.3950
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.3900
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.3900
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.3900
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404536319.79, Sell volume: 87118606.68, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.3900
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.3900
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.3850
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.3850
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.3850
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.3850
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.3850
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.3850
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.3850
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.3950
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.3950
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.3950
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404536319.79, Sell volume: 87118606.68, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.3900
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.3900
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.3900
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.3900
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.3900
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.3900
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.3900
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.3900
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.3900
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.3950
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.3950
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.3950
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.4250
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.4350
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.4400
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.4400
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.4400
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.4400
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.4350
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.4400
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.4400
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.4350
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.4400
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.4400
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.4350
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.4400
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.4350
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.4400
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.4400
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.4450
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.4400
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.4400
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.4400
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.4400
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.4400
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.4400
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.4400
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.4600
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.4600
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.4600
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.4550
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.4550
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.4650
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.4650
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.4700
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.4700
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.4700
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.4700
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.4500
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404536319.79, Sell volume: 87118606.68, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.4350
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.4350
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.4300
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.4300
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.4300
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.4300
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.4300
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.4300
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.4300
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.4000
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.4000
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.4350
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.4350
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.4350
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.4350
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.4350
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.4350
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.4350
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.4350
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.4350
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.4300
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.4150
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.4000
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.4250
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.4150
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.4150
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.3900
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.3950
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.3950
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.3950
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.3950
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.3950
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.3950
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.3950
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.3950
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.3950
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.3950
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.3950
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.3950
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.3950
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.3950
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.3950
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.3950
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.3950
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.3950
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.3950
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.3950
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.3950
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.3950
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404536319.79, Sell volume: 87118606.68, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.3800
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.3900
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.3750
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.3750
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.3800
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.3800
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.3750
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.3800
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.3900
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.3800
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.3750
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.3750
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.3750
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.3800
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.3800
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.3800
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.3800
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.3850
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.3900
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.3850
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.3750
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.3750
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.3800
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.3750
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.3750
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.3750
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.3750
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.3750
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.3750
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.3750
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.3750
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.3750
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.3750
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.3800
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.3800
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.3800
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.3750
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.3800
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.3800
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.3800
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.3800
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.3800
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.3750
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.3800
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.3800
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.3800
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.3750
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.3800
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.3800
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404536319.79, Sell volume: 87118606.68, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.3550
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.3550
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.3550
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.3550
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.3600
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.3550
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.3550
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.3650
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.3650
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.3650
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.3650
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.3650
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.3650
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.3650
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.3700
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.3750
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.3750
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.3750
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.3800
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.3800
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.3800
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.3800
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.3800
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.3800
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.3800
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.3800
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.3750
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.3750
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.3750
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.3750
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.3750
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.3800
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.3750
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.3750
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.3750
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.3750
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.3750
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.3750
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.3750
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.3750
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.3750
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.3750
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.3750
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.3800
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404536319.79, Sell volume: 87118606.68, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.3700
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.3700
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.3700
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.3700
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.3700
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.3700
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.3700
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.3700
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.3700
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.3700
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.3700
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.3700
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.3700
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.3750
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.3750
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404536319.79, Sell volume: 87118606.68, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.3800
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.3800
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.3800
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.3800
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.3800
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.3800
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.3800
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.3800
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.3800
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.3800
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.3800
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.3800
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.3800
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.3800
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.3800
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.3800
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.3800
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.3800
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.3650
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.3800
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.3850
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.3900
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.3950
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.3950
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.3950
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.3950
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.3950
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.3950
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.3950
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.3950
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.3950
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.3950
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.3950
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.3950
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.3950
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.3950
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.3900
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.3950
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.3850
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.3850
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.3850
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.3850
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.3850
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.3850
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.3850
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.3850
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.3850
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.3850
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.3850
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404536319.79, Sell volume: 87118606.68, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.3700
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.3700
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.3700
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.3700
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.3700
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.3700
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.3700
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.3700
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.3700
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.3700
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.3700
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.3700
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.3700
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.3700
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.3700
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.3700
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.3650
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.3650
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.3650
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.3650
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.3650
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.3650
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.3300
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.3250
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.3150
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.3150
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.3150
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.3150
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404536319.79, Sell volume: 87118606.68, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.3200
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.3200
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.3050
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.3050
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.3050
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.3050
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404536319.79, Sell volume: 87118606.68, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.3250
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.3150
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.3150
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.3200
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.3150
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.3150
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.3150
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.3150
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.3150
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.3150
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.3150
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.3150
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.3150
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.3150
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.3500
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.3500
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.3750
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.4100
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.4100
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.4100
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.4100
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.4050
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.4050
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.4100
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.4250
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.4250
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.4350
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.3850
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.4050
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.4200
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.4050
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.4000
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.4100
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.3900
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.4000
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.4000
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.4050
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.4250
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.3400
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.3450
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.3450
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.3450
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.3450
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.3650
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.3700
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.3600
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.3700
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.3800
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.3700
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404536319.79, Sell volume: 87118606.68, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.3400
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.3400
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.3400
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.3400
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.3400
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.3400
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.3400
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.3400
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.3400
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.3400
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.3400
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.3450
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.3450
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.3450
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.3450
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.3450
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.3450
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.3450
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.3350
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.3350
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.3300
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.3300
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.3300
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.3350
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.5200
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.2900
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.3900
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.6850
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.6750
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.6950
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.7450
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.6500
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 729270, Buy volume: 273387229.49, Sell volume: 34988696.28, Average price: 0.5565, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8598

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.8000
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.8150
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.8150
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.8150
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.8550
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.9950
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9985
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.9980
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.9980
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9975
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.9975
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.9975
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.9975
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.9975
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.9980
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9980
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.9980
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.9975
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.9980
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.9975
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.9985
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.9985
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.9985
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.9985
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.9985
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 236762, Buy volume: 128061699.78, Sell volume: 49480581.38, Average price: 0.6792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.3600
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.6200
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.3800
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.6200
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.3800
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.6400
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.3500
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.5600
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.4250
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.6100
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.3900
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.6050
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.3950
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.6050
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.3950
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.6250
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.3900
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.6100
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.3900
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.6100
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.3900
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.6000
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.4000
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.6150
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.3850
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.6150
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.3850
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404536319.79, Sell volume: 87118606.68, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.3900
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.6100
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.6100
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.6100
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.6100
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.3850
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.6150
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.3850
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.6150
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.6100
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.6100
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.6100
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.6100
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.6050
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.3950
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.6100
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.6100
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.6100
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.3900
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404536319.79, Sell volume: 87118606.68, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.3900
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.6100
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.3900
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.6100
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.3900
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.6100
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.3950
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.6050
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.4250
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.5650
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.4400
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.5600
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.4350
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.5600
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.4350
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.5600
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.4350
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.5600
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.4400
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.5600
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.4400
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.5600
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.4400
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.5600
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.4400
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.5400
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.4600
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.5450
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.4650
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404536319.79, Sell volume: 87118606.68, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.4350
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.5650
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.4300
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5700
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.4300
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.5700
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.4000
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.6000
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.4350
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.5650
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.4350
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.5650
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.4350
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.5650
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.4150
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.6000
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.4150
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.5850
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.3950
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.6050
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.3950
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.6050
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.3950
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.6050
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.3950
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.6050
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.3950
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.6050
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.3950
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404536319.79, Sell volume: 87118606.68, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.3800
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.6100
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.3750
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.6200
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.3750
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.6200
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.3800
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.6250
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.3750
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.6200
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.3800
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.6200
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.3900
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.6150
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.3750
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.6200
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.3750
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.6250
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.3750
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.6250
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.3750
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.6250
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.3800
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.6200
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.3750
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.6200
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.3800
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.6200
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.3750
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404536319.79, Sell volume: 87118606.68, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.3550
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.6450
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.3550
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.6400
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.3550
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.6350
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.3650
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.6350
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.3650
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.6350
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.3750
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.6250
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.3800
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.6200
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.3800
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.6200
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.3800
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.6200
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.3750
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.6250
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.3750
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.6200
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.3750
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.6250
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.3750
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.6250
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.3750
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.6250
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.3750
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404536319.79, Sell volume: 87118606.68, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.6300
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.6300
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.6300
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.6300
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.6300
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.6300
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.6300
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.6300
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.6300
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.6300
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.6300
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.3700
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.6300
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.3700
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.6300
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.3700
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.6300
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.3700
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404536319.79, Sell volume: 87118606.68, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.3800
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.6200
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.3800
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.6200
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.3800
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.6200
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.3800
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.6200
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.3800
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.6200
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.3800
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.6200
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.3650
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.6200
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.3900
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.6050
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.3950
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.6050
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.3950
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.6050
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.3950
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.6050
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.3950
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.6050
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.3900
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.6050
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.3850
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.6150
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.3850
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404536319.79, Sell volume: 87118606.68, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.6150
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.6150
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.6150
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.6150
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.3850
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.6150
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.3700
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.6300
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.3700
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.6300
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.3700
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.6300
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.3700
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.6300
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.3700
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.6300
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.3650
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.6350
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.3650
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.6350
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.3300
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.6750
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.3150
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.6850
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404536319.79, Sell volume: 87118606.68, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.6850
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.6850
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.6850
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.6800
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.6850
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.6850
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.6850
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.6850
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.6850
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.3150
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.6850
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.3050
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.6950
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.3050
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.6950
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.6950
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.6950
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.3050
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404536319.79, Sell volume: 87118606.68, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.3250
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.6850
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.3200
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.6850
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.3150
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.6850
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.3150
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.6850
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.3150
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.6850
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.3500
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.6250
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.4100
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.5900
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.4050
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.5950
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.4250
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.5750
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.3850
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.5950
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.4050
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.6000
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.3900
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.6000
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.4050
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.5750
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.3450
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.6550
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.3450
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404536319.79, Sell volume: 87118606.68, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.3400
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.6600
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.3400
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.6600
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.3400
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.6600
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.3400
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.6600
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.3450
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.6550
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.3450
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.6550
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.6550
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.6550
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.6550
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.6550
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.6550
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.6550
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.3350
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.6700
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.3300
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.6650
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.2900
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 729270, Buy volume: 273387229.49, Sell volume: 34988696.28, Average price: 0.5565, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8598
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 519284
Question: Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Volume: 7292393.067868
Price History:
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.8000
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.1850
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.8150
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.1450
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9985
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0020
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9975
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.9975
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9980
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0020
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0020
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.9975
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 236762, Buy volume: 128061699.78, Sell volume: 49480581.38, Average price: 0.6792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.7650
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9250
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9250
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.9150
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.9150
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9150
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.9150
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9200
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.9250
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.9250
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9200
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.9150
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9150
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.9150
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.9150
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.9150
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.9150
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.9150
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.9150
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.9200
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.9200
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.9250
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.9200
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.9250
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.9300
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.9300
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.9300
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.9350
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.9350
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.9350
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.9350
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.9350
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.9250
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.9250
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.9250
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.9250
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.9250
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.9250
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.9250
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.9250
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.9250
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.9300
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.9250
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.9250
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.9250
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.9250
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.9250
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.9250
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.9300
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196523109.82, Sell volume: 295564782.92, Average price: 0.7153, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.9100
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.9050
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.9050
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.9050
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.9050
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.9050
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.9050
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.9050
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.9050
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.9050
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.9050
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9100
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.9050
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.9150
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.9150
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.9150
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.9150
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.9050
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.9050
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.9050
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.9050
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.9050
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.9050
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.9050
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.9050
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.9050
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.9050
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.9050
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.9050
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.9050
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.9000
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.9000
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.9000
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.8950
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.8950
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.8950
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.8950
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.9050
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.9050
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.9050
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.9050
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9000
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.9000
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.8950
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.8950
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.8950
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.8950
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.9050
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.8850
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196523109.82, Sell volume: 295564782.92, Average price: 0.7153, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.8950
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.8950
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.8950
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9050
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.9050
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.9050
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.9050
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.9150
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.9200
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.9200
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.9200
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.9150
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.9150
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.9250
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.9250
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.9250
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.9250
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.9050
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.9050
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.9050
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9050
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.9050
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.9050
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9050
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9050
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.9050
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.9050
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.9050
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.9050
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9050
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.9050
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.9050
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.9050
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.9050
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9050
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.9050
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.8950
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.8950
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.8900
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.8850
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.8850
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.8650
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.8650
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.8650
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.8650
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.8700
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.8700
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.8700
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196523109.82, Sell volume: 295564782.92, Average price: 0.7153, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.8700
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.8700
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.8700
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.8700
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.8700
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.8700
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.8700
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.8700
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.8750
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.8750
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.8750
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.8750
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.8800
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.8800
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.8850
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.8850
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.8850
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.8850
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.8850
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.8850
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.8850
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.8700
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.8700
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.8700
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.8750
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.8800
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.8800
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.8750
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.8750
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.8750
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.8800
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.8850
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.8800
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.8800
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.8850
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.8900
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.8950
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.8950
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.8950
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.8900
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.8800
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.8850
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.8850
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.8900
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196523109.82, Sell volume: 295564782.92, Average price: 0.7153, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.8850
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.8800
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.8800
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.8800
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.8800
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.8800
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.8800
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.8750
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.8750
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.8750
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.8800
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.8750
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.8750
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.8750
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.8750
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.8750
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.8750
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.8750
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.8750
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.8750
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.8750
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.8750
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.8750
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.8750
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.8750
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.8750
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.8700
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.8350
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.8400
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.8400
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.8450
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.8500
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.8550
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.8450
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.8450
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.8450
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.8450
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.8500
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.8500
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.8450
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.8450
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.8500
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.8500
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.8500
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.8500
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.8550
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.8450
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.8450
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.8450
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196523109.82, Sell volume: 295564782.92, Average price: 0.7153, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.8200
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.8150
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.8200
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.8200
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.8250
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.8200
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.8100
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.8050
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.8050
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.8050
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.8150
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.8150
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.8150
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.8150
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.8100
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.8100
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.7900
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.7800
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.7800
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.7800
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.7650
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.7650
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.7550
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.7700
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.7750
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.7700
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.7600
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.7600
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.7600
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.7600
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.7500
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.7550
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.7550
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.7300
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.7450
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.7400
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.7200
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.7150
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.7150
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.7250
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.7250
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.7100
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.7150
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.7150
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196523109.82, Sell volume: 295564782.92, Average price: 0.7153, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.7100
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.7100
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.7100
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.7100
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.7150
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.7350
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.7550
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.7600
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.7650
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.7350
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.7250
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.7200
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.7200
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.7200
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.7400
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.7450
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.7600
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.7550
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.7550
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.7400
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.7400
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.7350
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.7500
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.7450
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.7450
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.7450
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.8100
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.8100
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.8200
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.8200
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.8200
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.8150
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.8200
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.8300
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.8250
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.8050
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.8050
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.8050
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.8050
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.7950
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.7950
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.7950
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.8050
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.7850
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.7850
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.7800
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.7900
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.7900
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.7850
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196523109.82, Sell volume: 295564782.92, Average price: 0.7153, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.8050
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.7950
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.7950
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.7950
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.7950
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.8000
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.8000
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.8000
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.8000
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.8050
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.8050
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.7950
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.7950
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.7950
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.8050
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.8450
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.8400
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.8400
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.8450
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.8400
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.8400
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.8400
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.8450
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.8500
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.8450
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.8550
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.8850
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.8800
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.8750
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.8750
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.8800
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.8800
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.8850
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.8750
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.8750
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.8850
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.8800
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.8850
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.8850
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.8950
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.8950
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.8900
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9000
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.9050
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.9150
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.8800
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.9000
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196523109.82, Sell volume: 295564782.92, Average price: 0.7153, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.8400
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.8500
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.8600
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.8500
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.8600
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.8550
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.8550
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.8550
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.8450
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.8450
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.8450
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.8450
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.8450
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.8450
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.8550
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.8500
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.8550
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.8500
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.8300
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.8350
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.8350
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.8200
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.8250
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.8250
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.8400
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.8500
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.8450
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.8450
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.8500
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.8450
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.8350
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.8350
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.8350
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.8450
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.8550
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.8550
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.8350
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.8550
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.8550
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.8400
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.8250
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.8150
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.8250
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.8250
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.8200
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.8200
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.8150
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.8250
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.8250
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196523109.82, Sell volume: 295564782.92, Average price: 0.7153, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.8450
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.8300
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.8300
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.8300
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.8300
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.8300
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.8350
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.8350
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.8350
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.8550
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.8500
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.8450
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.8400
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.8400
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.8400
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.8400
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.8350
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.8350
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.8300
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.8300
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.8250
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.8300
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.8250
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.8150
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.8050
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.8050
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.8050
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.8050
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.8050
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.8050
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.8000
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.8050
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.8050
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.7800
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.7550
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.7450
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.7400
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.7350
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.7350
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.8050
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.8600
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.8850
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.8950
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196523109.82, Sell volume: 295564782.92, Average price: 0.7153, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.9050
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.9050
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.8950
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.8950
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.9050
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.8850
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.8900
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.8950
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.9100
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9050
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.9100
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.9100
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.0850
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.9300
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.0800
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.9200
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.9150
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.9300
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.9200
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.0800
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.9200
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.9200
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.0750
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.0750
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0750
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.9200
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9100
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.0850
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0650
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.0600
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.0650
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.9400
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9450
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.9200
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9100
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9150
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.9150
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0900
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0900
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.0900
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0950
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.9100
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 951048, Buy volume: 195018018.86, Sell volume: 293900984.82, Average price: 0.7127, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.0900
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.0950
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.9000
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.1000
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.1000
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.9000
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.9000
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.8950
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.9000
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.1100
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.8850
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.1400
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.8450
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.1900
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.0700
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.0700
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9200
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.0750
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.0700
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.0700
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.9250
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9350
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.9350
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.9400
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.9350
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0600
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.0600
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.0600
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.0650
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.9400
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0600
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9350
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9350
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.0600
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9350
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0600
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0600
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0600
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46278, Buy volume: 868223.20, Sell volume: 1600566.91, Average price: 0.7934, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600

Output: Yes