Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.5000
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.5000
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.5350
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.4650
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.5100
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.4900
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.5500
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.4500
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.5550
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.4450
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.5450
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.4550
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.7050
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.2950
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 3426.35, Sell volume: 305.00, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.2950
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.7050
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.2950
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.7050
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.2950
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.7050
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.2950
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 3426.35, Sell volume: 305.00, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.8650
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.1350
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.8650
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.1350
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.8650
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.1350
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1800, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.1800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 3426.35, Sell volume: 305.00, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.7300
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.2700
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.7300
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.2700
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.7300
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.2700
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.7300
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.2700
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.1750, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.2600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 3426.35, Sell volume: 305.00, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 3426.35, Sell volume: 305.00, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.6150
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.3850
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.4700
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.5300
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.4900
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.5100
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.6250
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.3750
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.4900
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.5100
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.7200
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6300, Price range: 0.6300 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.7600
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.2400
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.7450
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.2550
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.6350
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.3650
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.5800
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.4200
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.7500
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.2500
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.4900
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.5100
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 3426.35, Sell volume: 305.00, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.2800
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.7600
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.2400
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.7350
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.2650
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.7650
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.2350
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.7650
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.2350
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.7650
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.2350
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.7550
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.2450
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.7650
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 3426.35, Sell volume: 305.00, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.7650
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.2350
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.7650
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.2350
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.7650
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.2350
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.7650
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.2350
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.7650
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.2350
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.7650
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.2350
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.7500
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.2500
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 150.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3869, Price range: 0.3838 - 0.3900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.2500
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.7400
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.2600
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.7300
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.2700
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.6300
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.3700
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.5700
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.4300
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.5700
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.4300
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.5700
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.4300
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.5700
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.4900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.5700
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.4300
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.5800
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.4200
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.6200
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.3800
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.5700
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.4300
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.4650
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.5350
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.5450
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.4550
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0100
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9900
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2186.35, Sell volume: 295.00, Average price: 0.6707, Price range: 0.2695 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.5300
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.4700
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.8650
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.1350
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.1350
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.8650
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.1350
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.8650
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.8700
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 775.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6434, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9200
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0800
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9200
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0800
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0850
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 543.80, Sell volume: 93.33, Average price: 0.6024, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0850
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9150
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9950
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0050
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 997.86, Sell volume: 402.85, Average price: 0.6719, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 2623.27, Sell volume: 496.18, Average price: 0.6454, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 2623.27, Sell volume: 496.18, Average price: 0.6454, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 2623.27, Sell volume: 496.18, Average price: 0.6454, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 2623.27, Sell volume: 496.18, Average price: 0.6454, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 2623.27, Sell volume: 496.18, Average price: 0.6454, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 2623.27, Sell volume: 496.18, Average price: 0.6454, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 2623.27, Sell volume: 496.18, Average price: 0.6454, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 2623.27, Sell volume: 496.18, Average price: 0.6454, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 2623.27, Sell volume: 496.18, Average price: 0.6454, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 2623.27, Sell volume: 496.18, Average price: 0.6454, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.5150
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.4850
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.5050
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.4950
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.4950
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.5050
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.5050
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.4950
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.4950
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.5050
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.4900
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.5100
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.5100
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.4850
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.5150
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.4850
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.4850
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.4700
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.5300
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.4700
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.5300
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.4700
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.5300
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.4700
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.4700
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.5300
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.4650
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.5350
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.5750
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.3900
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.6100
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.3900
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.6100
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.4100
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.5900
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.4100
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.5900
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.4100
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.5900
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.5950
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.4050
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.5950
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.4050
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.5950
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.4050
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.5950
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.5950
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.3600
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.6400
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.3500
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.6500
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.3500
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.6500
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.3500
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.6500
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.3500
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.6500
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.3500
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.6500
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.3500
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.3500
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.6500
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.3500
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.6500
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.3500
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.6500
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.3500
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.6500
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.3500
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.6500
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.3500
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.6500
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.3500
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.6500
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.6500
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.3300
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.6700
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.3400
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.6600
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.6550
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.6550
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.6550
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.6550
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.6550
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.6550
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.6550
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.6550
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.6550
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.6550
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.6550
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.6550
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.3650
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.6350
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.3650
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.6350
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.3800
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.6200
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.3850
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.6150
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.3850
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.6150
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.3850
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.6150
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.3950
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.4100
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.5900
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.3550
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.6450
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.4050
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.5950
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.3600
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.6400
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.4050
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.5950
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.3400
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.6600
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.2250
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.7750
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.5150
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.4850
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.5050
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.4950
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.4950
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.5050
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.5050
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.4950
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.4950
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.5050
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.4900
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.5100
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.5100
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.4850
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.5150
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.4850
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.4850
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.4700
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.5300
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.4700
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.5300
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.4700
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.5300
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.4700
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.4700
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.5300
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.4650
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.5350
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.5750
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.3900
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.6100
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.3900
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.6100
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.4100
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.5900
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.4100
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.5900
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.4100
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.5900
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.5950
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.4050
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.5950
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.4050
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.5950
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.4050
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.5950
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.5950
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.3600
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.6400
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.3500
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.6500
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.3500
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.6500
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.3500
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.6500
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.3500
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.6500
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.3500
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.6500
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.3500
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.3500
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.6500
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.3500
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.6500
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.3500
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.6500
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.3500
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.6500
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.3500
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.6500
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.3500
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.6500
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.3500
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.6500
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.6500
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.3300
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.6700
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.3400
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.6600
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.6550
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.6550
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.6550
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.6550
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.6550
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.6550
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.6550
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.6550
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.6550
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.6550
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.6550
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.6550
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.3650
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.6350
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.3650
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.6350
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.3800
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.6200
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.3850
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.6150
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.3850
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.6150
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.3850
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.6150
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.3950
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524357
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Iran" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1451.0
Price History:
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.4100
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.5900
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.3550
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.6450
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.4050
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.5950
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.3600
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.6400
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.4050
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.5950
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.3400
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.6600
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.2250
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.7750
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1451.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4900
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5100
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.5900
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.4100
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9600
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0400
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9279, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0600
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9400
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0600
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9400
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0600
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9400
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0600
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9400
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0600
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0600
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9400
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9400
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0600
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0600
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9400
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0600
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9400
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.0600
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9400
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9600
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.0400
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.9650
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0350
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9650
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0350
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.0345
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9655
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9750
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0250
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9735
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 254.86, Sell volume: 329.87, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9735
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0265
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9740
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0260
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9745
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0255
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9765
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0235
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0235
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9765
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0235
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9765
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9755
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0245
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0245
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9755
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0240
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9760
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0240
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9760
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0240
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9760
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0240
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9760
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0245
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9755
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0260
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9740
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0250
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9750
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0255
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.9745
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0250
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9750
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0255
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9745
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0250
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9750
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0255
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9745
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0240
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9760
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0200
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9800
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0170
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9830
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0190
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 279.51, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.9221, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0180
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9820
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0175
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9825
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9825
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0175
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0180
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9820
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9820
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0180
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0180
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9820
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0180
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9820
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0175
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9825
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0175
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9825
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9825
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0175
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0175
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9825
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0175
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9825
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9825
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0175
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9820
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0180
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9830
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0170
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9830
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0170
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9855
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0145
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9855
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0145
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9855
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0145
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9855
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0145
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9860
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0140
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9860
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0140
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9860
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0140
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9865
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 148.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9880, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9880

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9840
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0160
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9830
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0170
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9830
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0170
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9830
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0170
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9830
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0170
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9830
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0170
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9830
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0170
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0170
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9830
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9830
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0170
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9830
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0170
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0170
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9830
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9830
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0170
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0290
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9710
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0315
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9685
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0310
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9690
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0310
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9690
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0310
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9690
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0305
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9695
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9695
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0305
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9690
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0310
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0310
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9690
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0385
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9615
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0385
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9615
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9660
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2058.60, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.2037, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9740

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0340
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9660
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0350
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9650
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0350
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9650
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0350
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9650
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0350
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9650
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0350
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9650
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0350
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9650
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0350
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9650
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0350
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9650
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0350
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9650
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0350
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9650
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0350
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9650
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9650
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0350
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9650
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0350
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9650
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0350
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9650
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0350
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9650
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0350
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9650
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0350
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.8280
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.1720
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.7975
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.2025
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.8045
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.1955
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.8055
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.1945
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.8040
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.1960
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.8040
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.1960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 892.70, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.1986, Price range: 0.0474 - 0.3700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.8535
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.1465
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.8085
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.1915
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.8260
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.1740
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.8300
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.8280
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.1720
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.8290
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.1710
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.1720
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.8280
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.8240
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.1760
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.1505
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.8495
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.1580
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.8420
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.8640
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.1360
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.1290
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.8710
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.1220
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.8780
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.1210
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.8790
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.1195
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.8805
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.8805
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.1195
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.1195
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.8805
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.1250
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.8750
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.1260
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.8740
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.8575
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.1425
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.1270
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.8730
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.1300
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.8700
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.1365
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.8635
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.1545
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.8455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 69.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2360, Price range: 0.1640 - 0.3080

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.1335
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.8665
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.1480
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.8520
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.1345
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.8655
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.1320
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.8680
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.1255
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.8745
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.8690
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.1310
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.1270
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.8730
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.1330
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.8670
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.1280
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.8720
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.1265
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.8735
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.1280
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.8720
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.1495
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.8505
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.1330
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.8670
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.8690
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.1310
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.8700
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.1300
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.1365
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.8635
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.1345
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.8655
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.8620
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.1380
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.8645
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.1355
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.1390
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.8610
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.1380
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.8620
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.1390
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.8610
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.1160
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.8840
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.1255
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.8745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 202.91, Sell volume: 167.60, Average price: 0.2786, Price range: 0.0750 - 0.8570

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.1260
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.8740
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.8695
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.1305
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.1310
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.8690
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.1300
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.8700
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.1310
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.8690
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.8690
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.1310
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.8690
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.1310
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.8815
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.1185
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.8690
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.1310
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.1310
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.8690
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.8635
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.1365
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.8565
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.1435
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.8590
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.1410
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.1185
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.8815
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.8795
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.1205
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.8795
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.1205
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.8815
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.1185
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.1180
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.8820
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.8795
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.1205
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.1205
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.8795
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.1265
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.8735
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.1120
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.8880
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.8940
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.1060
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.1105
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.8895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 406.82, Sell volume: 45.45, Average price: 0.1487, Price range: 0.1074 - 0.1747

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.1085
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.8915
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.1035
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.8965
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.1115
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.8885
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.1030
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.8970
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.1095
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.8905
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.1065
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.8935
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.1035
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.8965
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.8885
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.1115
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.1045
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.8955
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.8935
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.1065
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.8905
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.1095
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.8905
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.1095
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.1030
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.8970
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.1095
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.8905
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.8875
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.1125
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.8935
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.1065
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.1125
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.8875
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.1295
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.8705
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.8725
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.1275
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.1200
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.8800
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.8715
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.1285
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.8480
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.1520
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.8645
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.1355
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.1360
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.8640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 116.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1717, Price range: 0.1717 - 0.1717

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.1310
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.8690
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.1330
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.8670
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.8680
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.1320
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.8635
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.1365
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.8655
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.1345
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.8665
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.1335
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.1300
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.8700
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.1280
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.8720
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.1090
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.8910
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.8960
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.1040
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.1065
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.8935
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.1075
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.8925
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.1050
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.8950
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.8965
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.1035
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.8970
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.1030
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.8990
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.1010
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.8990
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.1010
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9000
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.1000
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.8940
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.1060
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.8965
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.1035
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.8965
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.1035
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.8965
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.1035
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.1035
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.8965
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.8965
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.1035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 253, Buy volume: 13022.26, Sell volume: 4545.93, Average price: 0.6313, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.8965
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.1035
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.8965
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.1035
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.8965
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.1035
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.8965
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.1035
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.8955
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.1045
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.8930
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.1070
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.8895
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.1105
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.8980
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.1020
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.8980
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.1020
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9065
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0935
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9150
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0850
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9205
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0795
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0865
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9135
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0905
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9095
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0930
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9070
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0845
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9155
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.8950
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.1050
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.1050
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.8950
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.1125
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.8875
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.8305
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.1695
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.8285
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.1715
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.1850
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.8150
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.1230
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.8770
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.8890
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.1110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 488.84, Sell volume: 164.78, Average price: 0.6506, Price range: 0.0488 - 0.9510

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9130
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0870
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0800
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9200
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9130
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0870
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0870
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9130
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9125
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0875
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9125
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0875
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0875
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9125
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9115
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0885
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9115
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0885
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0880
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9120
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0885
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9115
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.1030
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.8970
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9125
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0875
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.8990
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.1010
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9085
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0915
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.8820
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.1180
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.1140
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.8860
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.1310
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.8690
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.1350
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.8650
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.8535
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.1465
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.8210
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.1790
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 7701.67, Sell volume: 2849.06, Average price: 0.6397, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.6550
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.3450
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.4750
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.5250
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.5650
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.4350
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.5700
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.4300
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.5750
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.4250
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.5500
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.4500
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.5450
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.4550
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.4550
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.5350
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.4650
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.5350
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.4650
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.5350
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.4650
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.4350
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.5650
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.4350
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.5650
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.4350
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.5650
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.4450
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.5550
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.4450
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.5500
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.4500
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.5500
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.4500
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.6100
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.6100
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.6100
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.6100
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.6100
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.6100
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.6100
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.5850
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.4150
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.4750
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.5250
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.6000
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.4000
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.6000
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.4500
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.5500
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.4500
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.5500
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.4500
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.5500
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.4500
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.5500
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.4500
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.5500
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.4500
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.4500
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.5500
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.4500
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.5500
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.6050
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.3950
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.6050
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.3950
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.6050
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.3950
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.6050
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.3950
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.6050
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.3950
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.3950
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.5950
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.4050
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.5950
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.4050
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.6000
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.4000
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.6000
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.4000
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.6000
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.4000
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.6000
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.4000
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.6000
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.6000
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.4000
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.5750
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.4250
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.6000
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.4000
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.6200
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.3800
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.5950
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.4050
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.6000
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.4000
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0100
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9900
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.6550
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.3450
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.4750
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.5250
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.5650
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.4350
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.5700
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.4300
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.5750
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.4250
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.5500
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.4500
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.5450
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.4550
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.4550
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.5350
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.4650
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.5350
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.4650
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.5350
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.4650
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.4350
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.5650
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.4350
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.5650
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.4350
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.5650
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.4450
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.5550
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.4450
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.5500
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.4500
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.5500
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.4500
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.6100
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.6100
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.6100
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.6100
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.6100
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.6100
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.6100
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.5850
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.4150
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.4750
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.5250
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.6000
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.4000
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.6000
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.4500
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.5500
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.4500
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.5500
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.4500
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.5500
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.4500
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.5500
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.4500
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.5500
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.4500
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.4500
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.5500
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.4500
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.5500
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.6050
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.3950
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.6050
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.3950
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.6050
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.3950
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.6050
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.3950
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.6050
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.3950
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.3950
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.5950
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.4050
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.5950
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.4050
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.6000
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.4000
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.6000
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.4000
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.6000
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.4000
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.6000
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.4000
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.6000
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524359
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Canada" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4682.223157
Price History:
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.6000
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.4000
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.5750
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.4250
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.6000
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.4000
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.6200
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.3800
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.5950
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.4050
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.6000
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.4000
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0100
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9900
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4572.10, Sell volume: 110.12, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4900
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5100
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.5900
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.4100
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9600
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0400
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9279, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0600
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9400
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0600
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9400
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0600
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9400
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0600
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9400
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0600
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0600
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9400
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9400
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0600
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0600
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9400
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0600
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 254.86, Sell volume: 329.87, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9735
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0265
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9740
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0260
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9745
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0255
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9765
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0235
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0235
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9765
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0235
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9765
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9755
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0245
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0245
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9755
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0240
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9760
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0240
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9760
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0240
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9760
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0240
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9760
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0245
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9755
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0260
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9740
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0250
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 279.51, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.9221, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0180
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9820
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0175
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9825
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9825
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0175
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0180
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9820
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9820
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0180
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0180
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9820
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0180
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9820
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0175
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9825
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0175
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9825
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9825
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0175
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0175
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9825
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0175
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9825
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9825
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0175
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9820
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0180
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9830
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 148.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9880, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9840
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0160
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9830
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0170
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9830
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0170
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9830
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0170
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9830
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0170
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9830
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0170
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9830
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0170
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0170
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9830
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9830
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0170
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9830
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0170
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0170
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9830
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9830
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0170
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0290
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9710
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0315
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9685
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0310
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2058.60, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.2037, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0340
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9660
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0350
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9650
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0350
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9650
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0350
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9650
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0350
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9650
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0350
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9650
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0350
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9650
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0350
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9650
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0350
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9650
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0350
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9650
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0350
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9650
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0350
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9650
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9650
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0350
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9650
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0350
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9650
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 892.70, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.1986, Price range: 0.0474 - 0.3700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.8535
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.1465
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.8085
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.1915
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.8260
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.1740
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.8300
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.8280
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.1720
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.8290
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.1710
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.1720
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.8280
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.8240
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.1760
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.1505
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.8495
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.1580
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.8420
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.8640
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.1360
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.1290
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.8710
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.1220
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.8780
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.1210
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.8790
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.1195
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.8805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 69.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2360, Price range: 0.1640 - 0.3080
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.1335
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.8665
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.1480
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.8520
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.1345
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.8655
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.1320
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.8680
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.1255
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.8745
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.8690
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.1310
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.1270
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.8730
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.1330
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.8670
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.1280
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.8720
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.1265
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.8735
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.1280
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.8720
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.1495
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.8505
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.1330
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.8670
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.8690
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.1310
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.8700
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 202.91, Sell volume: 167.60, Average price: 0.2786, Price range: 0.0750 - 0.8570
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.1260
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.8740
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.8695
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.1305
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.1310
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.8690
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.1300
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.8700
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.1310
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.8690
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.8690
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.1310
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.8690
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.1310
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.8815
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.1185
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.8690
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.1310
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.1310
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.8690
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.8635
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.1365
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.8565
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.1435
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.8590
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.1410
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.1185
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.8815
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.8795
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.1205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 406.82, Sell volume: 45.45, Average price: 0.1487, Price range: 0.1074 - 0.1747
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.1085
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.8915
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.1035
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.8965
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.1115
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.8885
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.1030
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.8970
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.1095
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.8905
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.1065
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.8935
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.1035
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.8965
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.8885
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.1115
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.1045
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.8955
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.8935
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.1065
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.8905
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.1095
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.8905
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.1095
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.1030
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.8970
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.1095
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.8905
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.8875
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.1125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 116.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1717, Price range: 0.1717 - 0.1717
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.1310
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.8690
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.1330
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.8670
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.8680
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.1320
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.8635
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.1365
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.8655
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.1345
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.8665
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.1335
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.1300
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.8700
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.1280
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.8720
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.1090
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.8910
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.8960
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.1040
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.1065
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.8935
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.1075
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.8925
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.1050
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.8950
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.8965
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.1035
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.8970
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.1030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 253, Buy volume: 13022.26, Sell volume: 4545.93, Average price: 0.6313, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.8965
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.1035
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.8965
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.1035
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.8965
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.1035
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.8965
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.1035
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.8955
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.1045
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.8930
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.1070
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.8895
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.1105
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.8980
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.1020
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.8980
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.1020
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9065
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0935
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9150
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0850
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9205
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0795
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0865
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9135
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0905
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9095
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0930
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 488.84, Sell volume: 164.78, Average price: 0.6506, Price range: 0.0488 - 0.9510
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582282
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17568.185396
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9130
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0870
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0800
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9200
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9130
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0870
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0870
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9130
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9125
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0875
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9125
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0875
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0875
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9125
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9115
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0885
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9115
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0885
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0880
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9120
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0885
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9115
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.1030
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.8970
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9125
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0875
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.8990
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.1010
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9085
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 7701.67, Sell volume: 2849.06, Average price: 0.6397, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.7550
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.2450
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.7550
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.2450
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.7600
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.2400
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.8000
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.2000
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.8000
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.2000
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.8050
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.1950
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.8050
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.1950
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1131.90, Sell volume: 415.00, Average price: 0.6424, Price range: 0.0223 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.0950
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.9100
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.0900
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.9050
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.9150
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.0850
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.9450
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.0550
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.9450
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.0550
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.9450
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.0550
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.9450
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1131.90, Sell volume: 415.00, Average price: 0.6424, Price range: 0.0223 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.9450
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.0550
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.9400
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.0600
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.9400
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.0600
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.9400
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.0600
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.9400
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.0600
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.9450
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.0550
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.9400
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.0600
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.0600
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.9400
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.0600
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.9400
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.0600
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.9400
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.0600
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.9450
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.0550
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.9450
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.0550
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.9450
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.0550
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.9450
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1131.90, Sell volume: 415.00, Average price: 0.6424, Price range: 0.0223 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.9450
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.0550
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.9450
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.0550
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.9500
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.0500
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.9500
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.0500
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.9500
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.0500
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.9500
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.0500
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.9500
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.0500
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 33.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.0500
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.9500
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.0500
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.9500
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.0500
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.9500
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.0500
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.9500
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.0500
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.9500
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0500
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.9500
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.0500
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.9500
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1131.90, Sell volume: 415.00, Average price: 0.6424, Price range: 0.0223 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524360
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Good Afternoon" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1546.903206
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.9500
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.0500
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.9200
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.9200
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.9200
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.9200
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.9200
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.9200
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1131.90, Sell volume: 415.00, Average price: 0.6424, Price range: 0.0223 - 0.9800

Output: No