Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543227
Question: Will Chris Fomunyoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 106451.096901
Price History:
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 6672.98, Sell volume: 3984.54, Average price: 0.4783, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543227
Question: Will Chris Fomunyoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 106451.096901
Price History:
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0300
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.0425
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0265
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.0255
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.0130
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0110
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0105
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0125
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0115
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.0120
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0130
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0105
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0140
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0135
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0140
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0145
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.0115
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0115
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0130
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0115
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0100
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0110
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0105
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0130
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0100
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0125
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0095
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0095
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 1223.73, Sell volume: 584.52, Average price: 0.8156, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543227
Question: Will Chris Fomunyoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 106451.096901
Price History:
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0095
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.0095
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0090
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0095
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0095
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0095
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0095
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0095
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0095
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0090
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0095
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0100
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0095
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0095
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0080
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0075
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0075
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0075
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0075
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0075
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0075
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0075
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0075
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0075
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0075
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0075
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 536, Buy volume: 33786.77, Sell volume: 40141.78, Average price: 0.0407, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543227
Question: Will Chris Fomunyoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 106451.096901
Price History:
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0075
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0075
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0075
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0070
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0070
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0070
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0070
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0055
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0060
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0055
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0055
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0055
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 174.15, Sell volume: 258.66, Average price: 0.7825, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543227
Question: Will Chris Fomunyoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 106451.096901
Price History:
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0060
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0060
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0060
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0060
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.0060
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0055
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.0055
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0055
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0055
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0055
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0055
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0050
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0050
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0060
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0050
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 70.71, Sell volume: 770.52, Average price: 0.7251, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543227
Question: Will Chris Fomunyoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 106451.096901
Price History:
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0050
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0050
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0050
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0050
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.0050
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0050
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0040
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0040
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0040
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3.33, Sell volume: 719.43, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543227
Question: Will Chris Fomunyoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 106451.096901
Price History:
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0040
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0035
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 4.86, Sell volume: 460.68, Average price: 0.3347, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543227
Question: Will Chris Fomunyoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 106451.096901
Price History:
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.9965
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0035
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 714.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543227
Question: Will Chris Fomunyoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 106451.096901
Price History:
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.9965
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9965
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.9965
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.9965
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.9965
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.9965
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.9965
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.9965
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 26.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543227
Question: Will Chris Fomunyoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 106451.096901
Price History:
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.0035
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9965
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.9965
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9965
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.0035
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9965
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0035
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9965
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0035
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9960
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9965
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9965
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 442.00, Sell volume: 7.89, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543227
Question: Will Chris Fomunyoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 106451.096901
Price History:
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1349.08, Sell volume: 68.67, Average price: 0.9314, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543227
Question: Will Chris Fomunyoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 106451.096901
Price History:
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 3609.86, Sell volume: 4686.99, Average price: 0.9355, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543227
Question: Will Chris Fomunyoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 106451.096901
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0095
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9910
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 5464.76, Sell volume: 1142.22, Average price: 0.7494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543227
Question: Will Chris Fomunyoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Volume: 106451.096901
Price History:
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 6672.98, Sell volume: 3984.54, Average price: 0.4783, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.8550
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.7000
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.7800
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.7550
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.8000
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.7950
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.8100
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.8100
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.8100
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.8100
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.8100
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.8100
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.8100
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.8050
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.8050
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.8050
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.8050
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.6150
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.7250
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.7700
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.7800
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.7800
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.7650
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.8650
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.8500
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.8650
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.8650
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.8600
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.8600
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.8600
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.8600
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.8600
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.8600
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.8550
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.8600
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.8400
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.8400
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.8400
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.8400
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.8350
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.8350
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.8300
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 148363997.01, Sell volume: 29775256.60, Average price: 0.5478, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.7900
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.7850
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.7650
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.7650
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.7650
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.7750
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.7750
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.7650
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.7700
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.7800
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.7850
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.7900
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.7900
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.7900
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.7900
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.7900
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.7900
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.7900
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.7900
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.7900
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.7900
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.7900
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.7900
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.7900
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.7900
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.7900
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.7900
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.7900
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 148363997.01, Sell volume: 29775256.60, Average price: 0.5478, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.7850
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.7850
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.7900
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.7900
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.7900
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.7900
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.7900
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.7850
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.7850
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.7850
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.7850
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.7850
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.7850
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.7850
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.7850
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.7900
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.7900
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.7900
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.7900
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.7900
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.7900
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.7900
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.7900
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.7900
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.7900
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.7850
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.7850
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.7900
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.7850
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.7850
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.7900
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9000
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9200
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9200
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9150
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9050
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9050
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9050
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9050
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9050
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9050
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9000
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9000
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.8900
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.8900
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.8900
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 148363997.01, Sell volume: 29775256.60, Average price: 0.5478, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.8850
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.8900
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.8900
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.8900
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.8900
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.8350
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.8350
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.8400
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.8400
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.8450
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.8650
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.8550
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.8550
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.8550
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.8450
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.8400
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.8500
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.8500
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.8300
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.8200
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.8150
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.8150
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.8150
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.8150
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.8150
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.8250
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.8250
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.8300
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.8150
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.8150
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.8150
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.8450
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.8850
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.8850
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.8900
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.8900
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.8750
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.8750
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.8700
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.8650
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.8550
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.8200
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.8350
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.8300
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.8350
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.8550
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.8500
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.8500
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.8500
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15984, Buy volume: 1157376.35, Sell volume: 477362.16, Average price: 0.6736, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.8550
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.8700
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.8700
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.8700
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.8700
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9100
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.9000
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.8950
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.9000
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.8800
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.9100
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9100
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.9050
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.9050
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9050
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.9050
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.9050
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9050
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.9050
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.9050
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.9050
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.9050
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.9050
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.9050
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.9150
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.9250
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.9200
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.9200
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.9200
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9150
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.9200
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.9150
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.9000
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.8950
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.8950
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.9000
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.8500
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.8750
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.8800
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.8750
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.8750
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.8800
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.8600
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.8550
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.8450
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.8300
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.8300
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.8300
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.8150
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 325674, Buy volume: 66286323.86, Sell volume: 9055875.06, Average price: 0.5228, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9394

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.8250
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.8250
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.8250
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.8250
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.8150
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.8150
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.8100
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.8050
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.8050
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.8000
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.8050
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.8000
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.8000
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.8000
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.8000
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.8000
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.7700
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.7650
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.7700
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.7750
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.7750
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.7850
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.7800
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.7700
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.7600
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.7700
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.7650
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.7600
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.7450
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.7500
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.7500
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.7500
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.7550
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.7550
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.7550
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.7550
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.7550
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.7450
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.7400
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.7400
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.7400
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.7400
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.7400
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.7550
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.7450
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.7900
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.8150
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.8150
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.7900
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 225774, Buy volume: 51425875.92, Sell volume: 5664110.22, Average price: 0.5978, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8327

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.8150
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.8000
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.7800
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.7800
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.7650
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.7650
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.7900
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.7800
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.7800
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.7750
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.7750
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.7700
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.7700
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.7700
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.7800
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.7800
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.7750
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.7750
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.7800
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.7800
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.7850
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.7850
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.7850
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.7750
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.7750
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.7700
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.7650
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.7750
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.7500
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.7500
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.7500
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.7500
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.7500
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.7500
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.7500
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.7500
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.7500
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.7500
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.7500
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.7500
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.7650
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.7750
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.7850
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.7850
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.7850
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.7850
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.7900
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.7900
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.7850
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 151848, Buy volume: 9771732.73, Sell volume: 5728545.72, Average price: 0.5829, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.7700
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.7600
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.7200
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.7250
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.7150
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.6200
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.5850
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.5700
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.6200
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.6000
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.5900
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.6150
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.6200
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.7250
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.7150
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.6900
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.6900
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.6950
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.6900
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.7150
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.7100
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.7050
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.6950
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.6900
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.6600
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.5450
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.5250
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.5250
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.5250
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.5250
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.5250
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.5250
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.5250
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.5450
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.5600
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.5550
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.5500
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.4800
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.3550
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.1850
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.2300
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.2800
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.4500
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.4800
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.4800
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.4350
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.5200
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.5350
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.4900
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 263898, Buy volume: 13384900.09, Sell volume: 8536417.50, Average price: 0.5183, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8350

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.5850
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.5950
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.5950
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.6050
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.6000
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.6100
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.6100
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.6100
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.6200
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.6100
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.6100
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.6400
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.6200
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.5600
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.5600
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.5750
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.5750
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.5750
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.6300
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.5800
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.6100
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.6200
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.5700
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.5700
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.6350
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.6450
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.6450
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.6300
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.6400
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.6450
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.6600
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.6700
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.6450
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.6500
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.6500
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.6500
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.6450
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.5300
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.5450
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.5900
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.6550
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.6400
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.6400
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.6350
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.6500
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.6450
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.6200
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.6250
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.6200
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 9336.19, Sell volume: 4915.61, Average price: 0.5349, Price range: 0.2869 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.6250
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.6150
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.6200
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.6200
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.6200
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.6200
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.6300
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.7300
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.7600
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.7250
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.6700
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.8400
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.8250
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.8100
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.8200
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.8250
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.8300
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.8300
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.8900
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.8900
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.8800
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.8950
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.8900
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.8950
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.8950
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.8850
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.8850
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.8800
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9050
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.9050
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.9150
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9450
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.9350
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.9450
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9500
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.9400
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.9600
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9580
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.9565
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.9490
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.9355
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.9365
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.9450
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.9460
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.9445
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9550
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.9555
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9555
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9550
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.9530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 172, Buy volume: 22041.02, Sell volume: 9145.40, Average price: 0.7121, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9720

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.9560
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.9610
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9480
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.9415
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.9475
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9430
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.9370
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.9415
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9265
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.9290
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.9065
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9250
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.9240
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9240
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9190
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.9150
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9140
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9140
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.9130
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.9110
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.8985
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.8985
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.9285
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9495
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9290
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.8815
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.8755
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9145
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9170
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9210
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.9150
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.8580
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.7500
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.7385
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.7425
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.7350
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.7365
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.7125
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.6745
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.4515
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.5950
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.6155
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.5650
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.5950
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.6480
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.6355
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.6660
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.6845
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.7300
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.7060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 298, Buy volume: 22844.02, Sell volume: 20198.66, Average price: 0.6308, Price range: 0.0640 - 0.9784

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.9740
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.9800
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.9755
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9760
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.9830
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.9825
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9830
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.9830
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9830
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9855
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.9840
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.9840
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9855
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.9855
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.9850
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9845
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.9840
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.9850
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9830
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.9825
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.9825
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9825
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.9825
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9825
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9825
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.9825
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.9830
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9810
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.9805
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9825
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9825
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.9825
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.9825
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9825
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.9825
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.9825
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.9825
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.9825
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.9825
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.9825
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9825
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9825
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.9825
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9825
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9825
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.9825
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.9825
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9825
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.9825
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 2550.30, Sell volume: 10836.24, Average price: 0.8458, Price range: 0.0123 - 0.9882

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9845
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9845
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.9910
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.9895
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9880
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.9920
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.9960
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9960
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.9960
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.9960
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9960
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.9960
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.9960
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9960
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9980
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9980
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.9990
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.9990
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.9990
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.9990
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.9990
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.9990
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.9990
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.9990
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.9990
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.9990
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 44441.34, Sell volume: 29894.27, Average price: 0.8568, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.1450
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.7800
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.8000
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.2050
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.8100
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.1900
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.8100
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.1900
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.8050
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.1950
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.8050
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.3850
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.2300
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.7800
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.2350
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.8650
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.1500
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.8650
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.1400
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.8600
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.1400
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.8600
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.1450
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.8400
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.1600
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.8400
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 148363997.01, Sell volume: 29775256.60, Average price: 0.5478, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.7900
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.2150
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.7650
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.2350
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.7750
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.2350
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.7800
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.2150
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.7900
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.2100
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.7900
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.2100
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.7900
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.2100
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.7900
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.2100
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.7900
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.2100
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.7900
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.2100
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.2150
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.2100
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.2100
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 148363997.01, Sell volume: 29775256.60, Average price: 0.5478, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.2150
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.7850
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.2150
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.7900
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.2100
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.7900
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.2150
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.7850
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.2150
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.7850
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.2150
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.7900
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.2100
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.7900
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.2100
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.7900
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.2100
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.7900
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.2150
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.7900
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.2150
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.7900
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.1000
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9200
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0850
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9050
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0950
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9050
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 148363997.01, Sell volume: 29775256.60, Average price: 0.5478, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.8850
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.1100
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.8900
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.1100
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.8350
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.1600
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.8450
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.1350
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.8550
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.1450
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.8400
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.1500
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.8300
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.1800
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.8150
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.1850
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.8150
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.1750
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.8300
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.1850
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.8150
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.1550
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.8850
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.1100
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.8750
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.1250
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.8650
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.1450
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.8350
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15984, Buy volume: 1157376.35, Sell volume: 477362.16, Average price: 0.6736, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.8550
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.1300
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.8700
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.1300
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.9000
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.1050
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.8800
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0900
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.9050
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0950
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.9050
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0950
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.9050
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0950
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.9050
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0950
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.9150
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0750
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.9200
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0800
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.9200
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0850
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.8950
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.1050
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.8500
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.1250
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.8750
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.1250
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.8600
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 325674, Buy volume: 66286323.86, Sell volume: 9055875.06, Average price: 0.5228, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9394
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.8250
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.1750
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.8250
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.1850
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.8100
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.1950
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.8000
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.1950
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.8000
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.2000
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.8000
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.2300
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.7700
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.2250
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.7850
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.2200
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.7600
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.2300
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.7600
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.2550
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.7500
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.2500
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.7550
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.2450
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.7550
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.2550
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.7400
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.2600
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.7400
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 225774, Buy volume: 51425875.92, Sell volume: 5664110.22, Average price: 0.5978, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8327
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.8150
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.2000
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.7800
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.2350
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.7900
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.2200
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.7750
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.2250
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.7700
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.2300
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.7800
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.2250
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.7800
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.2200
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.7850
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.2150
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.7750
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.2300
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.7750
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.2500
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.7500
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.2500
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.7500
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.2500
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.7500
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.2500
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.7500
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.2350
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.7850
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 151848, Buy volume: 9771732.73, Sell volume: 5728545.72, Average price: 0.5829, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.7700
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.2400
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.7250
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.2850
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.5850
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.4300
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.6000
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.4100
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.6200
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.2750
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.6900
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.3100
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.6900
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.2850
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.7050
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.3050
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.6600
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.4550
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.5250
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.4750
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.5250
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.4750
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.5450
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.4400
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.5500
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.5200
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.1850
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.7700
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.4500
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 263898, Buy volume: 13384900.09, Sell volume: 8536417.50, Average price: 0.5183, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8350
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.5850
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.4050
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.6050
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.4000
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.6100
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.3900
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.6100
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.3900
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.6200
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.4400
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.5750
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.4250
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.6300
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.4200
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.6200
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.4300
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.6350
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.3550
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.6300
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.3600
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.6600
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.3300
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.6500
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.3500
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.6450
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.4700
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.5900
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.3450
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.6400
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 9336.19, Sell volume: 4915.61, Average price: 0.5349, Price range: 0.2869 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.6250
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.3850
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.6200
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.3800
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.6300
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.2700
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.7250
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.3300
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.8250
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.1900
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.8250
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.1700
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.8900
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.1100
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.8950
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.1100
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.8950
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.1150
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.8800
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0950
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.9150
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0550
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.9450
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.9600
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0420
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.9490
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0645
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.9450
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 172, Buy volume: 22041.02, Sell volume: 9145.40, Average price: 0.7121, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9720
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.9560
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0390
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.9415
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0525
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.9370
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0585
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.9290
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0935
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.9240
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0760
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.9150
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0860
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.9130
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0890
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.8985
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0715
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9290
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.1185
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9145
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0830
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.9150
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.1420
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.7385
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.2575
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.7365
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.2875
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.4515
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.4050
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.5650
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 298, Buy volume: 22844.02, Sell volume: 20198.66, Average price: 0.6308, Price range: 0.0640 - 0.9784
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.9740
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0200
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9760
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0170
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9830
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0170
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9855
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0160
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9855
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0145
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9845
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0160
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9830
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0175
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9825
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0175
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9825
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0175
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9810
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0195
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9825
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0175
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9825
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0175
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.9825
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0175
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.9825
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0175
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.9825
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 2550.30, Sell volume: 10836.24, Average price: 0.8458, Price range: 0.0123 - 0.9882
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547445
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Volume: 348617.119479
Price History:
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9845
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0155
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.9895
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0120
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.9960
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0040
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.9960
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0040
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.9960
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0040
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.9990
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.0010
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.9990
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 44441.34, Sell volume: 29894.27, Average price: 0.8568, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0700
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.0300
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0180
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0100
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0020
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0020
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0020
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0020
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 139, Buy volume: 7322.48, Sell volume: 1700.74, Average price: 0.7621, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.31, Sell volume: 1360.00, Average price: 0.9985, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 899.72, Sell volume: 3435.91, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 5096.88, Sell volume: 1841.63, Average price: 0.7297, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 336, Buy volume: 25065.76, Sell volume: 8347.93, Average price: 0.6582, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1114.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1356.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 336, Buy volume: 25065.76, Sell volume: 8347.93, Average price: 0.6582, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 5038.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 336, Buy volume: 25065.76, Sell volume: 8347.93, Average price: 0.6582, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 336, Buy volume: 25065.76, Sell volume: 8347.93, Average price: 0.6582, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0700
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9700
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0100
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.9965
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9980
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0020
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 139, Buy volume: 7322.48, Sell volume: 1700.74, Average price: 0.7621, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.31, Sell volume: 1360.00, Average price: 0.9985, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 899.72, Sell volume: 3435.91, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.9985
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 5096.88, Sell volume: 1841.63, Average price: 0.7297, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 336, Buy volume: 25065.76, Sell volume: 8347.93, Average price: 0.6582, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1114.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1356.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 336, Buy volume: 25065.76, Sell volume: 8347.93, Average price: 0.6582, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 5038.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 336, Buy volume: 25065.76, Sell volume: 8347.93, Average price: 0.6582, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547446
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Volume: 33413.702666
Price History:
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 336, Buy volume: 25065.76, Sell volume: 8347.93, Average price: 0.6582, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547447
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of USR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 222204.721639
Price History:
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.2400
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.0395
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0375
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0170
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0060
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0060
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0060
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0065
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0065
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0060
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0060
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0075
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0080
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0090
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0090
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0080
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0090
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0080
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0075
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0060
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0075
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0075
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0065
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0065
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0065
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0065
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0080
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0090
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0090
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0090
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0090
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0085
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0085
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0080
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0075
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0075
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 148, Buy volume: 9004.47, Sell volume: 1690.45, Average price: 0.7345, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547447
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of USR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 222204.721639
Price History:
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0075
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0060
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0060
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0060
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0060
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0060
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0060
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0060
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0060
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0060
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0060
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0060
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0080
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0090
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0090
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0085
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0085
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0085
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0085
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0085
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0085
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0085
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0085
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0085
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0085
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0085
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0085
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0085
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0110
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0110
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0110
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0110
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0110
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0110
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0110
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0110
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0110
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 907.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0112, Price range: 0.0098 - 0.0127

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547447
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of USR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 222204.721639
Price History:
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0110
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0105
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0105
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0105
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0105
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0105
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0105
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0105
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0105
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0105
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0105
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0105
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0105
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0105
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0105
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0110
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0110
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0080
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0030
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0075
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0065
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0065
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0065
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0065
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0065
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0070
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0065
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 941.34, Sell volume: 1846.92, Average price: 0.3940, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547447
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of USR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 222204.721639
Price History:
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.0030
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 158, Buy volume: 8626.68, Sell volume: 2587.77, Average price: 0.6831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547447
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of USR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 222204.721639
Price History:
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 19416.42, Sell volume: 5451.49, Average price: 0.6437, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547447
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of USR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 222204.721639
Price History:
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0045
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0045
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0045
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0045
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 10544.16, Sell volume: 556.51, Average price: 0.7610, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes