Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578102
Question: Will MrBeast say YouTube during next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12480.060963
Price History:
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.7250
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.2750
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.7250
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.2750
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.2750
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.7250
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.2750
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.7250
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.7250
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.2850
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.7150
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.4350
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.5650
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.5550
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.4450
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.4850
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.5150
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.5300
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 746.97, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5512, Price range: 0.3783 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578102
Question: Will MrBeast say YouTube during next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12480.060963
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.5300
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.4700
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.5300
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.4700
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.3900
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.6100
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.3700
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.6300
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.5350
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.4650
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.4650
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.5350
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.5150
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.4850
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.4650
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.5350
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.5150
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.4850
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.5350
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.4650
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.5500
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.4500
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.4500
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.5500
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.5500
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.4500
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.5500
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.4500
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.5500
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.4500
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.4450
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.5550
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.4450
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.5550
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.5350
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.4650
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.5600
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.4400
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.4550
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.5450
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.4500
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.5500
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.4450
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1719.94, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.4946, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.5979

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578102
Question: Will MrBeast say YouTube during next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12480.060963
Price History:
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.4500
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.5500
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.4450
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.5550
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.5600
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.4400
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.5150
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.4850
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.5200
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.4800
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.5200
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.4800
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.4800
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.5200
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.5300
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.4700
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.5300
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.4700
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.5550
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.4450
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.6050
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.3950
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.6000
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.4000
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.6050
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.3950
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.6050
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.3950
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.6150
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.3850
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.2700
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.2450
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.2450
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.7550
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.1750
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1711.97, Sell volume: 288.91, Average price: 0.5086, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578102
Question: Will MrBeast say YouTube during next video?
Volume: 12480.060963
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.4750
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.5250
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.4250
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.5750
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.3850
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.6150
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.4000
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.6000
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.4000
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.6000
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.4000
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.6000
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.4000
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.6000
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.4050
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.5950
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.5950
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.4050
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.4250
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.5750
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.4300
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.5700
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.4300
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.5700
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.4300
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.5700
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.4300
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.5700
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.4000
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 105.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6529, Price range: 0.5900 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578102
Question: Will MrBeast say YouTube during next video?
Volume: 12480.060963
Price History:
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.2900
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.7100
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.3000
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.7000
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.2950
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.7050
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.2950
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.7050
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.2950
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.7050
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.2950
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.7050
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.2750
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.7250
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.2450
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.7550
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.2550
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.7450
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.2700
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.7300
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.2650
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.7350
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.2450
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.2700
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.7300
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.2550
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 11437.13, Sell volume: 1042.93, Average price: 0.5847, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578102
Question: Will MrBeast say YouTube during next video?
Volume: 12480.060963
Price History:
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.7550
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.2450
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.2450
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.7550
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.7550
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.2450
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.2500
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.7550
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.2450
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.7000
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.3000
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.7000
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.3000
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.7000
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.3000
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.7000
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.3000
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.3000
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.7000
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.7000
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.3000
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.7050
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.2950
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.7000
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.3000
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.3000
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 96.82, Sell volume: 49.38, Average price: 0.4830, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578102
Question: Will MrBeast say YouTube during next video?
Volume: 12480.060963
Price History:
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.6950
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.3050
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.6950
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.3050
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.3050
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.6950
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.3050
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.6950
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.6950
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.3050
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.3050
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.6950
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.3050
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.6950
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.3050
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.6950
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.3050
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.6950
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.3100
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.6900
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.3100
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.6900
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.3150
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.6850
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.6850
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.3150
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.3050
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.6950
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.6850
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 11.76, Sell volume: 28.50, Average price: 0.5025, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578102
Question: Will MrBeast say YouTube during next video?
Volume: 12480.060963
Price History:
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.3000
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.7000
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.6950
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.3050
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.6950
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.3050
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.6950
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.3050
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.6950
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.3050
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.7000
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.3000
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.3000
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.7000
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.2950
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.7050
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.3050
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.6950
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.7100
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.2900
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.7200
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.2800
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.7200
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.2800
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.7200
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.2800
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.7200
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.2800
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.2800
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 10.78, Sell volume: 2.94, Average price: 0.3900, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578102
Question: Will MrBeast say YouTube during next video?
Volume: 12480.060963
Price History:
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.7200
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.2800
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.7200
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.2800
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.7200
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.2800
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.7200
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.2800
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.7200
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.2800
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.7050
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.2950
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.3100
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.6900
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.6900
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.3100
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.6900
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.3100
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.6900
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.3100
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.6900
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.3100
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.6850
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.3150
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.6850
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.3150
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.6850
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.3150
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.6850
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 253.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3180, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.3340
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578102
Question: Will MrBeast say YouTube during next video?
Volume: 12480.060963
Price History:
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.6900
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.3100
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.3100
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.6900
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.3100
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.6900
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.3100
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.6900
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.3050
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.6950
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.6950
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.3050
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.3000
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.7000
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.3050
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.6950
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.3150
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.6850
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.3150
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.6850
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.3150
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.6850
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.3150
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.6850
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.3150
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.6850
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.3150
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.6850
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.3150
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 11437.13, Sell volume: 1042.93, Average price: 0.5847, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578102
Question: Will MrBeast say YouTube during next video?
Volume: 12480.060963
Price History:
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.3050
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.6950
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.3050
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.6950
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.6950
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.3050
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.6950
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.3050
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.7050
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.2950
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.7050
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.2950
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.2950
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.7050
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.7050
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.2950
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.7050
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.2950
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.2950
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.7050
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.7050
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.2950
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.7050
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.2950
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.2950
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.7050
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.2850
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.7150
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.7150
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 22.86, Sell volume: 205.04, Average price: 0.3911, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.4322
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578102
Question: Will MrBeast say YouTube during next video?
Volume: 12480.060963
Price History:
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.6550
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.3450
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.6550
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.3450
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.6450
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.6250
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.3750
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.6450
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.6450
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.6450
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.6450
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.6450
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.6450
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.6450
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.6450
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.6450
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.6600
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.3400
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.6450
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5109, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.7228
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578102
Question: Will MrBeast say YouTube during next video?
Volume: 12480.060963
Price History:
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.2950
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.7050
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.2950
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.7050
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.2950
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.7050
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.2900
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.7100
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.2850
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.7150
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.2850
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.7150
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.2850
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.7150
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.7150
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.2850
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.7150
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.2850
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.2850
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.7150
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.7150
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.2850
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.7200
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.2800
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.7200
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.2800
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.7150
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.2850
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.7150
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 12.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7700, Price range: 0.7700 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578102
Question: Will MrBeast say YouTube during next video?
Volume: 12480.060963
Price History:
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.7250
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.2750
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.7250
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.2750
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.2750
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.7250
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.2750
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.7250
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.7250
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.2850
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 746.97, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5512, Price range: 0.3783 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578102
Question: Will MrBeast say YouTube during next video?
Volume: 12480.060963
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.5300
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.4700
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.5300
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.4700
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.3900
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.6100
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.3700
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.6300
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.5350
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.4650
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.4650
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.5350
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.5150
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.4850
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.4650
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.5350
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.5150
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.4850
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.5350
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.4650
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.5500
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.4500
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.4500
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.5500
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.5500
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.4500
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.5500
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.4500
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.5500
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1719.94, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.4946, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.5979
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578102
Question: Will MrBeast say YouTube during next video?
Volume: 12480.060963
Price History:
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.4500
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.5500
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.4450
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.5550
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.5600
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.4400
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.5150
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.4850
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.5200
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.4800
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.5200
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.4800
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.4800
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.5200
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.5300
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.4700
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.5300
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.4700
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.5550
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.4450
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.6050
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.3950
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.6000
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.4000
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.3900
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.6050
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1711.97, Sell volume: 288.91, Average price: 0.5086, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.4800
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.4700
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.5300
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.7400
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.2600
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.2600
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.4450
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.4450
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.4450
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.4450
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.5550
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.4450
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.4450
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.4400
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.4400
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.4400
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.5600
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.4400
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.5550
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.5550
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.5550
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.4450
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.5600
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.5600
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.5600
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.4400
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.5600
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.5600
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.4400
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.5600
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.5550
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.4450
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.4450
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.4450
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.4450
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.4450
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.5550
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 247.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5800, Price range: 0.5800 - 0.5800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.4400
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.4400
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.4400
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.5600
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.4400
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.4400
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.5600
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.5600
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.4400
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.4400
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.4400
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.4400
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.4400
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.4400
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.4400
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.4400
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.4400
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.4400
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.5600
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.4400
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.5600
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.5600
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.4350
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.5650
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.4350
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.5650
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.5550
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.4450
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.5550
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.5550
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.5550
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.4450
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.5550
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.4400
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.5750
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 905.36, Sell volume: 299.98, Average price: 0.5350, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.5800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.5650
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.5650
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.5650
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.5650
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.5650
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.5650
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.5650
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.5650
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.5700
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.4300
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.4350
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.4350
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.5800
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.5800
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.4200
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.5800
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.5800
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.5800
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.5800
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.5800
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.5800
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5800
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.4200
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.5800
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.5800
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.5800
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.5800
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.5800
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.4200
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.5800
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.4200
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.5800
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.4200
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.4200
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.4200
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.4200
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5700, Price range: 0.5700 - 0.5700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.4200
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.4200
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.4200
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.4200
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.4200
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.4200
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.4200
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.4200
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.4200
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.4200
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.4200
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.4200
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.4200
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.4200
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.4200
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 6847.52, Sell volume: 1217.83, Average price: 0.5560, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 6847.52, Sell volume: 1217.83, Average price: 0.5560, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.4200
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.4200
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.4200
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.4200
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.4200
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.4200
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.4200
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 6847.52, Sell volume: 1217.83, Average price: 0.5560, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.5800
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.5800
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 6847.52, Sell volume: 1217.83, Average price: 0.5560, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.4200
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 3233.73, Sell volume: 229.37, Average price: 0.6091, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.6750
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.6750
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.6750
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.6750
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.6750
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6600
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.6600
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.6600
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.6600
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.6650
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.6600
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.6650
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.6700
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.6800
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.6800
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.6800
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.6800
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.6800
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.7000
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.7000
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.7000
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.7000
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 281.79, Sell volume: 108.27, Average price: 0.6607, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.2800
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.2800
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.3000
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.2800
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.2850
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.2900
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.2900
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.2900
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.2900
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.2850
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.3150
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.3150
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.3100
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 83.00, Sell volume: 112.56, Average price: 0.3800, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.6850
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.7050
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.7050
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.7050
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.7100
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.7050
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.7050
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.7050
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.7050
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.7050
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.7050
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.7050
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.7050
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.6350
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1829.48, Sell volume: 216.47, Average price: 0.4589, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.3500
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.3500
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.3300
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.3250
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.3300
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.3300
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.3300
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.3300
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.3300
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.3300
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.3300
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.3250
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.3250
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 257.06, Sell volume: 236.69, Average price: 0.4933, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6750
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6750
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.6750
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.49, Average price: 0.6800, Price range: 0.6800 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.4800
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.5300
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.2600
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.4450
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.4450
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.4450
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.4400
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.4400
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.4400
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.5550
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.5550
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.5600
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.5600
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.5600
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.4400
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.5550
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.4450
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.4450
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.5550
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.4450
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.5550
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.5550
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.4400
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 247.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5800, Price range: 0.5800 - 0.5800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.4400
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.4400
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.4400
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.5600
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.4400
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.4400
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.4400
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.4400
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.4400
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.5600
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.5600
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.4350
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.4350
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.5550
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.5550
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.5550
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.5550
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.5750
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.5750
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.4250
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.4250
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.4250
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 905.36, Sell volume: 299.98, Average price: 0.5350, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.5800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.5650
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.5650
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.5650
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.5650
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.5700
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.4350
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.5800
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.5800
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.5800
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.5800
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5800
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.5800
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.5800
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.5800
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.5800
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.5800
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.4200
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.4200
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.5800
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.4200
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.5800
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.5800
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5700, Price range: 0.5700 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.4200
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.4200
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.4200
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.4200
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.4200
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.4200
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.4200
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.4200
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 6847.52, Sell volume: 1217.83, Average price: 0.5560, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.5800
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 6847.52, Sell volume: 1217.83, Average price: 0.5560, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.4200
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.4200
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.4200
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.4200
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.4200
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.4200
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.4200
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.4200
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 6847.52, Sell volume: 1217.83, Average price: 0.5560, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5800
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.5800
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.5800
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.5800
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.5800
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.5800
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.5800
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 6847.52, Sell volume: 1217.83, Average price: 0.5560, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.4200
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.4200
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 3233.73, Sell volume: 229.37, Average price: 0.6091, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.6750
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.6750
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6600
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.6600
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.6650
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.6650
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.6800
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.6800
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.6800
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.7000
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.7000
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 281.79, Sell volume: 108.27, Average price: 0.6607, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.2800
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.2900
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.2900
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.2900
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.2900
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.3100
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.3150
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 83.00, Sell volume: 112.56, Average price: 0.3800, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.7050
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.7100
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.7050
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.7050
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.7050
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.7050
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.6350
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.6350
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.6000
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.6100
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5950
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1829.48, Sell volume: 216.47, Average price: 0.4589, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.3500
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.3250
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.3300
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.3300
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.3300
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.3250
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.3200
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 257.06, Sell volume: 236.69, Average price: 0.4933, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630772
Question: Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 8065.35384
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6750
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.49, Average price: 0.6800, Price range: 0.6800 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.4950
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.4950
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.2600
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.2600
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.2600
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.4450
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.4450
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.4450
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.5550
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.5550
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.5550
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.4450
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.5550
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.5600
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.4400
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.4450
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.5600
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.5600
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.4400
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.4400
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.5600
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2453.85, Sell volume: 242.07, Average price: 0.5030, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.5550
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.4450
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.5550
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.4450
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.5550
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.4450
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.5550
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.5550
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.4450
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.4450
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.4450
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.5550
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.5550
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.5550
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.5600
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.5600
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.5600
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.4400
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.5600
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.4500
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.4500
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.5500
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.4500
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.5600
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.4450
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.4450
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.4400
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.4350
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 323.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5071, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.5700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.5650
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.5650
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.4350
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.5600
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.4400
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.4400
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.5600
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.4400
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.4350
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.5650
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.4400
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.5600
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.4400
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.5600
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.5600
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.5600
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.4400
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.4400
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.5600
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.5600
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.5600
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.5600
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.4400
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.4300
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.4300
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.5700
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.4300
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.5700
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.4300
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.4300
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.5700
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.5700
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5700
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.4300
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.4300
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.4300
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.4300
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.4300
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.4300
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.5700
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.5700
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.4300
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.5700
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.5700
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.4300
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.5700
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.4300
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5750, Price range: 0.5700 - 0.5800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.5700
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.5700
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.5700
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2453.85, Sell volume: 242.07, Average price: 0.5030, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.4300
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.4300
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.4300
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.4300
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.4300
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.4300
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.4300
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.5700
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.5700
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.4300
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.4300
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.4300
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.5700
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.5700
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2453.85, Sell volume: 242.07, Average price: 0.5030, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.4300
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.4300
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.4300
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.4300
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.4300
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.4300
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.4300
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.4300
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.4300
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.4250
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.4250
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.4250
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.4250
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.4250
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.4250
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4250
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4250
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.4250
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.4250
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.4250
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.4250
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.4250
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.4250
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.4250
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.4250
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.4250
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.4250
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2453.85, Sell volume: 242.07, Average price: 0.5030, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5750
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5750
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5750
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5750
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5750
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5750
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.5750
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.4300
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.4300
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.5700
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.5700
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5700
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5700
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.5600, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.5600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.4300
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.4300
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.4300
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.4300
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.4300
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.4300
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.4300
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.4300
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.4300
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.4300
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.4300
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.4300
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.4300
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.4300
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.4300
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.4300
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.5700
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.4300
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.4300
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1208.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6509, Price range: 0.5800 - 0.6971

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.6800
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.6800
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.3200
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.6800
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.6800
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.3200
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.2900
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.6900
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.3100
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.3200
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.3200
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.6850
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 13.51, Sell volume: 13.51, Average price: 0.7200, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.2700
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.2750
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.1800
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.7000
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.7000
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.3250
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.3250
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.3250
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.2900
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 144.51, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2979, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.3157

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.6950
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7150
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.7150
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.7150
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.2900
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.7150
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.7150
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.7150
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.7150
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.7000
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.7150
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.7100
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.7100
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.7100
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.6350
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.3550
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 449.62, Sell volume: 28.56, Average price: 0.3420, Price range: 0.3179 - 0.3600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.3500
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.3400
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.3350
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.3250
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.3150
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.3150
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.3150
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.3150
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.3000
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7000
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3000
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.3100
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 14.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3100, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.3100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.7450
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.7450
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.7450
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.7450
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.7450
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.7450
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.7450
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.7100
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.7100
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.7750
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3033, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.3100

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.4950
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.2600
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.4450
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.5550
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.5550
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.5550
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.4400
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.4450
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.5600
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.5600
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.4400
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.5550
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.4400
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.4400
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.4350
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2453.85, Sell volume: 242.07, Average price: 0.5030, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.5550
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.5550
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.5550
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.5550
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.4450
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.4450
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.5550
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.5550
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.5600
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.4400
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.4500
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.5500
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.5600
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.4450
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.4350
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.5700
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.4300
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.4300
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.4350
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 323.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5071, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.5650
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.4350
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.4400
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.5600
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.4350
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.4400
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.4400
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.5600
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.4400
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.5600
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.5600
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.4400
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.4300
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.4300
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.4300
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.5700
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5700
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.4300
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.4300
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.4300
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.5700
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.5700
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.4300
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.4300
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.5700
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.4300
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.5700
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.5700
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5750, Price range: 0.5700 - 0.5800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.5700
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.5700
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2453.85, Sell volume: 242.07, Average price: 0.5030, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.4300
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.4300
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.4300
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.4300
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.4300
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.5700
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.4300
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.4300
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.5700
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.4300
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.5700
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.5750
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.5750
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2453.85, Sell volume: 242.07, Average price: 0.5030, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.4300
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.4300
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.4300
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.4300
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.4300
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.4250
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.4250
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.4250
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4250
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.4250
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.4250
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.4250
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.4250
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.4250
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.4250
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.4250
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.4300
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.4300
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2453.85, Sell volume: 242.07, Average price: 0.5030, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5750
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5750
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5750
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.4300
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.5700
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5700
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.5700
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.5700
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.5700
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.5700
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.5600, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.4300
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.4300
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.4300
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.4300
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.4300
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.4300
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.4300
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.4300
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.5700
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.4300
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.4300
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.4300
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.4300
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.3550
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1208.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6509, Price range: 0.5800 - 0.6971
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.6800
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.3200
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.6900
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.3200
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.2700
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.7150
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 13.51, Sell volume: 13.51, Average price: 0.7200, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.2700
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.2750
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.7000
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.3250
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.2900
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.3100
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.3100
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.3100
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 144.51, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2979, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.3157
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7150
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.7150
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.2900
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.7150
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.7150
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.7000
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.7100
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.7100
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.3550
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.6150
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.6100
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 449.62, Sell volume: 28.56, Average price: 0.3420, Price range: 0.3179 - 0.3600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.3400
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.3250
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.3150
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.3150
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.3000
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3000
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.3100
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.2300
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.2250
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.2350
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.2350
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 14.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3100, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.3100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630773
Question: Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 2695.921288
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.7450
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.7450
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.7450
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.7450
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.7100
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3033, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.3100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.5500
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.6000
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.4250
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.5750
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2900
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.7100
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.7150
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.2600
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.7650
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.7150
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.7350
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.2650
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.7150
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.2650
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.7350
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.7150
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.2950
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.2550
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.7200
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.3400
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.5950
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.3500
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.6200
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.3950
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.6350
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.3700
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.6350
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.3550
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.6700
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.3200
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.6750
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.3100
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.6850
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.3100
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.7100
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.2900
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.7100
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.2900
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.7150
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.2850
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.7150
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.2850
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.7150
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 713286, Buy volume: 55817686.09, Sell volume: 28299472.20, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8223

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.7150
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.2850
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.7150
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.2850
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.7150
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.2850
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.7150
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.2850
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.7050
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.2950
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.7050
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.2950
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.7100
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.2900
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.7100
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.3250
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.7000
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.3000
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.7000
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.2950
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.7050
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.2950
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.7100
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.2950
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.7050
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.2950
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.7050
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.3000
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.7000
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.3050
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.7000
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.3000
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.7000
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.3050
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.6950
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.2850
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.7150
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.2850
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.7100
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.2900
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.7100
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.2950
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.7050
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.2950
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.7050
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.2950
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.7050
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.3050
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.7050
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101898, Buy volume: 5721284.26, Sell volume: 925293.78, Average price: 0.5058, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.7000
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.2950
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.7050
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.3000
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.7000
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.3050
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.6950
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.3050
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.3050
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.6950
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.8450
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.2400
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.7650
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.2850
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.7150
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.2900
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.7150
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.3050
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.6950
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.3100
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.6950
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.3050
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.7050
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.2950
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.7050
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.2950
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.7050
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.2900
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.7200
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.3000
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.7150
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.2750
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.7200
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.2900
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.7500
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.2750
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.6950
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.3050
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.7000
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.3150
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.6850
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.3250
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.6750
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.3150
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.6750
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.3250
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.6750
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 161838, Buy volume: 3269014.57, Sell volume: 7550941.50, Average price: 0.6123, Price range: 0.1807 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.6750
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.3250
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.6750
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.3250
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.6750
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.3250
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.6650
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.3350
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.6650
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.3350
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.6650
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.3350
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.6750
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.3250
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.6750
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.3250
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.6750
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.3250
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.6750
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.3250
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.6750
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.3250
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.6750
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.3250
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.6750
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.3300
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.6700
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.3650
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.6650
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.3550
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.6700
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.3350
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.6650
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.3300
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.6650
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.3800
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.5750
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.3750
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.6250
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.3750
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.6300
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.3750
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.6250
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.3900
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.6100
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.3850
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.6150
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.3900
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.6150
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20025, Buy volume: 638748.93, Sell volume: 311601.33, Average price: 0.4374, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.5050
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.4550
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.5800
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.4100
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.5900
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.4150
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.5900
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.4150
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.5850
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.4050
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.5950
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.3750
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.6050
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.4000
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.5950
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.4100
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.6050
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.3850
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.5750
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.4350
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.5700
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.4350
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.5750
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.4250
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.5750
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.4350
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.5150
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.4700
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.5200
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.4500
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.5500
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.4500
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.5500
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.4450
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.5550
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.4450
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.5550
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.4450
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.5050
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.5100
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.4900
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.5350
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.4850
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.5150
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.4850
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.5050
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 5715.41, Sell volume: 4465.30, Average price: 0.4876, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6100

Output: Yes