Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528998
Question: Will Leavitt say "astronaut" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4642.927498
Price History:
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.2450
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.7550
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.2400
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.7600
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.2400
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.7600
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.1500
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.8500
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.1500
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.8500
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.1550
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.8450
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.1550
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.8450
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.1550
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.8450
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.1500
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.8500
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.1500
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.8500
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.1500
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.8500
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.1500
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.8500
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528998
Question: Will Leavitt say "astronaut" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4642.927498
Price History:
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.8500
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.1800
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.8200
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.1500
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.8500
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.1500
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.8500
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.1800
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.8200
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.1500
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.8500
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.8050
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.1400
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.8600
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.1400
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.8600
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.1700
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.8300
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.1700
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.8300
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.1750
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.8250
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.1750
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528998
Question: Will Leavitt say "astronaut" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4642.927498
Price History:
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.1750
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.8250
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.1750
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.8250
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.1750
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.8250
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.1750
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.8250
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.1750
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.8250
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.1750
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.8250
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.1750
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.8250
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.1750
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.8250
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.1750
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.8250
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.1750
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.8250
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.1750
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.8250
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.1750
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.8250
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528998
Question: Will Leavitt say "astronaut" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4642.927498
Price History:
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.8250
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.1700
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.8300
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.1700
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.8300
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.1550
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.8450
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.3700
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.6300
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.4000
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.6000
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.4000
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.6000
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.4000
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.6000
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.4050
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.5950
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.4000
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.6000
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.4000
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.6000
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.4000
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.6000
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.4000
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528998
Question: Will Leavitt say "astronaut" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4642.927498
Price History:
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.4000
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.6000
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.1850
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.8150
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.1850
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.8150
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.1900
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.8100
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.1900
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.8100
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.1900
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.8100
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.4050
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.5950
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.3750
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.6250
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.3750
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.6250
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.3650
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.6350
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.3800
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.6200
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.3650
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.6350
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528998
Question: Will Leavitt say "astronaut" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4642.927498
Price History:
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.6200
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.3350
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.6650
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.3250
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.6750
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.3400
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.6600
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.3300
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.6700
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.3250
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.6750
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.3300
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.6700
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.3250
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.6750
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.3450
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.6550
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.3050
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.6950
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.3050
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.6950
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.3050
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.6950
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.3050
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528998
Question: Will Leavitt say "astronaut" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4642.927498
Price History:
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.3000
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.2350
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.7650
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.2350
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.7650
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.2350
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.7650
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.7650
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.2350
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.7650
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.1950
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.8050
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.1950
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.8050
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.1750
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.8250
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.1750
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.8250
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.1750
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.8250
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528998
Question: Will Leavitt say "astronaut" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4642.927498
Price History:
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.8250
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.1750
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.8250
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.1800
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.8200
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.1750
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.8250
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.1750
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.8250
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.1800
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.8200
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.1800
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.8200
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.1750
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.8250
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.1750
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.8250
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.1750
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.8250
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.1750
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.8250
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.1750
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.8250
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.1750
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528998
Question: Will Leavitt say "astronaut" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4642.927498
Price History:
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.1750
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.8250
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.1750
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.8250
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.1750
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.8250
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.1750
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.8250
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.1750
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.8250
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.1750
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.8250
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.1750
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.8250
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.1750
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.8250
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.1800
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.8200
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.1800
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.8200
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.1300
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.8700
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.1800
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.8200
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528998
Question: Will Leavitt say "astronaut" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4642.927498
Price History:
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.8200
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.1800
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.8200
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.1800
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.8200
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.1800
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.8200
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.1800
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.8200
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.1800
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.8200
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.1800
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.8200
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.1900
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.8100
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.1900
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.8100
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.1900
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.8100
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.1900
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.8100
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.1900
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.8100
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.1900
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528998
Question: Will Leavitt say "astronaut" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4642.927498
Price History:
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.1900
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.8100
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.1900
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.8100
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.2100
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.7900
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.2100
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.7900
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.2550
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.7450
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.2550
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.7450
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.2550
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.7450
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.2550
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.7450
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.2550
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.7450
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.2550
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.7450
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.2300
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.7700
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.2250
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.7750
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.4900
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5100
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.5150
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.4850
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.3800
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.6200
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.3800
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.6200
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.3800
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.6200
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.5150
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.4850
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.5150
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.4850
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.5150
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.4850
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.5150
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.4850
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.5150
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.4850
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.5150
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.4850
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.1200
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.8800
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.8750
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.1300
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.8700
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.1300
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.8700
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.1200
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.8800
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.1200
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.8800
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.1150
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.8850
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.1050
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.8950
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.1050
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.8950
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.1050
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.8950
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.1050
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.8950
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.1050
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.8950
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.1050
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.8950
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.1050
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.1000
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.9000
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.0750
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.9250
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.0750
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.9250
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.0750
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.9250
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.9250
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.9250
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9250
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.9250
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.0600
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.9400
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0800
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.9200
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.0800
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.9200
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.0800
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.9200
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.9200
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.9250
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.9250
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0650
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.9350
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.0800
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.9200
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.0650
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.9350
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.9250
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.0650
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.9350
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.0650
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.9350
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.0700
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.9300
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.0700
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.9300
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.9250
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.9250
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9250
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.9250
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.9250
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.9250
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.9250
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0650
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.9350
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.9250
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.9250
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.0650
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.9350
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.9250
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9250
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.9250
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.0650
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.9350
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0650
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.9250
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.0650
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.9350
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.0650
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.9350
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.0700
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9300
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0700
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.9300
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.0700
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.9300
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.0700
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.9300
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.0700
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.9300
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.9250
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.1900
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.8100
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.1850
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.8150
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.1850
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.8150
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.1900
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.8100
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.1950
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.8050
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.1900
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.8100
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.1450
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.8550
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.1800
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.8200
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.1800
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.8200
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.1750
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.8250
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.1650
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.8350
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.8650
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.1200
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.8800
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.1200
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.8800
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.1450
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.8550
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.1200
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.8800
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.1250
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.8750
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.1250
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.8750
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.1200
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.8800
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.1100
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.8900
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.1050
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.8950
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.1050
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.8950
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.1050
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.8950
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.1050
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.1000
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9000
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.1100
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.8900
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.0850
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.9150
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.0850
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.9150
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.0850
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.9150
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.0850
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.9150
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.0850
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.1100
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.8900
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.1100
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.8900
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.1000
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.9000
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.0950
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.9050
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.0900
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.9100
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.0850
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.9150
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.0850
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.9150
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.0850
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.9150
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.0850
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.9150
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0800
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.9200
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.0650
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.9350
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.0600
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.9400
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.4900
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5100
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.5150
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.4850
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.3800
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.6200
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.3800
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.6200
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.3800
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.6200
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.5150
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.4850
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.5150
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.4850
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.5150
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.4850
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.5150
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.4850
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.5150
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.4850
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.5150
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.4850
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.1200
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.8800
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.8750
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.1300
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.8700
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.1300
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.8700
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.1200
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.8800
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.1200
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.8800
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.1150
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.8850
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.1050
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.8950
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.1050
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.8950
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.1050
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.8950
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.1050
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.8950
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.1050
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.8950
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.1050
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.8950
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.1050
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.1000
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.9000
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.0750
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.9250
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.0750
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.9250
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.0750
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.9250
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.9250
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.9250
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9250
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.9250
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.0600
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.9400
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0800
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.9200
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.0800
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.9200
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.0800
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.9200
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.9200
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.9250
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.9250
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0650
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.9350
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.0800
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.9200
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.0650
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.9350
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.9250
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.0650
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.9350
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.0650
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.9350
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.0700
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.9300
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.0700
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.9300
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.9250
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.9250
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9250
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.9250
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.9250
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.9250
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.9250
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0650
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.9350
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.9250
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.9250
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.0650
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.9350
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.9250
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9250
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.9250
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.0650
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.9350
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0650
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.9250
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.0650
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.9350
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.0650
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.9350
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.0700
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9300
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0700
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.9300
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.0700
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.9300
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.0700
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.9300
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.0700
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.9300
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.9250
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.9250
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.1900
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.8100
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.1850
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.8150
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.1850
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.8150
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.1900
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.8100
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.1950
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.8050
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.1900
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.8100
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.1450
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.8550
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.1800
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.8200
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.1800
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.8200
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.1750
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.8250
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.1650
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.8350
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.8650
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.1200
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.8800
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.1200
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.8800
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.1450
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.8550
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.1200
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.8800
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.1250
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.8750
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.1250
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.8750
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.1200
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.8800
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.1100
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.8900
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.1050
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.8950
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.1050
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.8950
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.1050
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.8950
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.1050
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.1000
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9000
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.1100
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.8900
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.1050
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.0850
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.9150
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.0850
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.9150
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.0850
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.9150
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.0850
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.9150
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.0850
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529009
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 43706.623002
Price History:
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.1100
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.8900
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.1100
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.8900
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.1000
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.9000
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.0950
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.9050
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.0900
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.9100
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.0850
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.9150
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.0850
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.9150
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.0850
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.9150
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.0850
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.9150
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0800
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.9200
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.0650
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.9350
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.0600
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.9400
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.5000
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.5000
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.5000
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.5000
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.5000
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.5000
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.5000
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.4950
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.5050
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.4900
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.5100
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.5500
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.4500
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.5500
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.4500
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.5500
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.4500
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.5500
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.4500
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.5500
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.4450
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.5550
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.4450
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.5550
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.4450
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.5550
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.4350
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.5650
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.4350
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.5650
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.4350
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.5650
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.4350
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.5650
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.4350
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.4300
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.5700
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.4300
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.5700
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.4300
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.5700
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.5750
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.4300
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.5700
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.4150
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.5850
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.4150
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.5850
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.4100
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.5900
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.3950
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.6050
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.3850
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.6150
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.3750
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.6250
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.3400
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.6600
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.6700
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.3300
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.6700
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.3300
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.6700
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.3300
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.6700
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.3300
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.6700
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.1900
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.8100
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.1900
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.8100
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.8050
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.8050
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.8050
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.2050
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.7950
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.2050
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.7950
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.2050
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.2050
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.7950
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.2050
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.7950
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.2050
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.1950
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.8050
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.1950
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.8050
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.1950
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.8050
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.2250
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.7750
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.2250
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.7750
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.2250
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.7750
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.2250
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.7750
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.7700
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.2250
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.7750
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.7700
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.7700
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.2600
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.7400
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.2600
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.7400
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.2600
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.7400
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.7400
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.2700
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.7300
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.2650
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.7350
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.2700
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.7300
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.2650
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.2650
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.3400
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.6600
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.3050
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.6950
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.3050
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.6950
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.3050
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.6950
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.3050
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.6950
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.3050
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.6950
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.3050
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.6500
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.6500
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.6500
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.6500
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.6500
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.3550
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.6450
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.3550
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.6450
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.3550
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.6450
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.6500
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.2450
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.7550
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.2450
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.7550
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.2450
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.7550
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.2450
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.7550
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.2450
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.7550
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.2450
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.2450
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.7550
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.2450
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.7550
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.2450
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.7550
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.2450
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.7550
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.2650
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.7350
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.2650
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.7350
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.2650
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.7350
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.2650
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.7350
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.2650
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.7350
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.2650
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.7350
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.2800
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.7200
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.2900
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.7100
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.5000
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.5000
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.5000
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.5000
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.5000
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.5000
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.5000
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.4950
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.5050
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.4900
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.5100
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.5500
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.4500
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.5500
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.4500
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.5500
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.4500
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.5500
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.4500
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.5500
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.4450
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.5550
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.4450
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.5550
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.4450
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.5550
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.4350
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.5650
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.4350
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.5650
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.4350
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.5650
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.4350
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.5650
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.4350
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.4300
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.5700
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.4300
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.5700
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.4300
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.5700
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.5750
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.4300
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.5700
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.4150
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.5850
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.4150
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.5850
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.4100
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.5900
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.3950
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.6050
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.3850
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.6150
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.3750
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.6250
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.3400
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.6600
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.6700
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.3300
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.6700
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.3300
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.6700
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.3300
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.6700
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.3300
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.6700
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.1900
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.8100
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.1900
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.8100
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.8050
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.8050
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.8050
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.2050
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.7950
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.2050
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.7950
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.2050
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.2050
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.7950
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.2050
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.7950
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.2050
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.1950
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.8050
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.1950
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.8050
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.1950
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.8050
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.2250
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.7750
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.2250
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.7750
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.2250
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.7750
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.2250
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.7750
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.7700
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.2250
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.7750
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.7700
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.7700
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.2600
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.7400
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.2600
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.7400
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.2600
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.7400
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.7400
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.2700
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.7300
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.2650
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.7350
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.2700
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.7300
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.2650
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.2650
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.3400
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.6600
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.3050
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.6950
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.3050
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.6950
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.3050
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.6950
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.3050
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.6950
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.3050
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.6950
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.3050
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.6500
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.6500
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.6500
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.6500
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.6500
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.3550
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.6450
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.3550
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.6450
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.3550
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.6450
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.6500
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.2450
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.7550
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.2450
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.7550
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.2450
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.7550
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.2450
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.7550
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.2450
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.7550
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.2450
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528999
Question: Will Leavitt say "Carney" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 281.774135
Price History:
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.2450
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.7550
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.2450
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.7550
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.2450
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.7550
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.2450
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.7550
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.2650
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.7350
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.2650
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.7350
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.2650
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.7350
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.2650
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.7350
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.2650
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.7350
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.2650
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.7350
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.2800
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.7200
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.2900
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.7100
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5250
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.4750
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.5250
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.4750
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.5250
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.4750
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.5250
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.4750
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.5250
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.3450
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.6550
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.3450
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.6550
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.3450
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.6550
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.3550
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.6450
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.3550
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.6450
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.3550
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.6450
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.3550
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.6450
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.3550
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.6450
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.3550
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.6450
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.3550
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.3600
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.6400
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.6400
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.3600
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.6400
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.3600
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.6400
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.3600
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.6400
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.3600
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.6400
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.3600
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.6400
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.3600
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.6400
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.3600
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.6400
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.6450
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.3550
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.6450
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.3550
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.6450
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.3550
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.6450
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.3550
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.6450
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.3550
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.6450
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.3550
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.6450
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.2200
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.7800
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.2200
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.7800
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.2450
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.2450
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.2450
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.2450
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.2450
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.2450
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.2400
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.7600
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.7500
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.2500
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.7500
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.2500
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.7500
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.2500
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.7500
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.7500
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.2500
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.7500
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.2500
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.7500
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.2500
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.7500
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.7500
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.2500
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.7500
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.7500
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.2500
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.7500
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.2500
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.7500
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.2500
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.7500
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.2500
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.7500
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.2500
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.7500
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.6850
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.3150
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.6850
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.3150
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.6850
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.2600
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.7400
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.2650
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.7350
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.2600
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.7400
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.2650
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.7350
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.2600
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.7400
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.2650
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.2700
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.7300
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.2550
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.7450
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.2550
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.7450
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.2550
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.7450
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.2750
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.7250
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.7250
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.2750
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.7250
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.2750
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.7250
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.2750
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.7250
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.2750
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.7250
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.2750
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.7250
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.2750
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.7250
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.2800
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.7200
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.2800
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.7200
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.2800
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.7200
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.2800
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.7200
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.2800
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.7200
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.2800
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.2800
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.7200
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.2800
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.7200
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.2800
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.7200
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.2800
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.7200
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.2800
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.7200
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.2800
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.7200
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.2800
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.7200
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.2800
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.7200
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.2800
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.7200
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.2800
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.7200
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.2400
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.7600
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.2750
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.7250
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.7300
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.2700
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.7300
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.2700
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.7300
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.2700
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.7300
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.2700
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.7300
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.2700
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.7300
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.2650
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.7350
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.2000
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.8000
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.2000
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.8000
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.2000
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.8000
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.2000
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.8000
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.2000
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.8000
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.2000
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.2000
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.8000
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.2000
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.8000
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.2050
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.7950
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.1850
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.8150
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.2750
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.7250
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.2750
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.7250
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.2750
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.7250
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.2750
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.7250
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.2750
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.7250
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.3200
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.6800
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.3200
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.6800
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.2100
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.7900
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5250
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.4750
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.5250
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.4750
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.5250
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.4750
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.5250
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.4750
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.5250
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.3450
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.6550
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.3450
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.6550
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.3450
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.6550
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.3550
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.6450
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.3550
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.6450
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.3550
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.6450
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.3550
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.6450
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.3550
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.6450
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.3550
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.6450
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.3550
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.3600
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.6400
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.6400
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.3600
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.6400
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.3600
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.6400
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.3600
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.6400
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.3600
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.6400
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.3600
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.6400
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.3600
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.6400
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.3600
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.6400
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.6450
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.3550
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.6450
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.3550
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.6450
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.3550
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.6450
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.3550
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.6450
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.3550
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.6450
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.3550
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.6450
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.2200
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.7800
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.2200
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.7800
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.2450
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.2450
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.2450
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.2450
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.2450
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.2450
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.2400
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.7600
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.7500
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.2500
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.7500
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.2500
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.7500
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.2500
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.7500
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.7500
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.2500
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.7500
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.2500
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.7500
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.2500
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.7500
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.7500
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.2500
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.7500
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.7500
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.2500
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.7500
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.2500
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.7500
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.2500
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.7500
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.2500
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.7500
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.2500
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.7500
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.6850
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.3150
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.6850
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.3150
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.6850
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.2600
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.7400
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.2650
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.7350
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.2600
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.7400
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.2650
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.7350
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.2600
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.7400
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.2650
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.2700
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.7300
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.2550
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.7450
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.2550
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.7450
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.2550
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.7450
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.2750
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.7250
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.7250
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.2750
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.7250
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.2750
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.7250
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.2750
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.7250
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.2750
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.7250
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.2750
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.7250
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.2750
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.7250
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.2800
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.7200
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.2800
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.7200
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.2800
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.7200
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.2800
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.7200
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.2800
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.7200
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.2800
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.2800
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.7200
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.2800
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.7200
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.2800
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.7200
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.2800
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.7200
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.2800
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.7200
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.2800
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.7200
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.2800
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.7200
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.2800
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.7200
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.2800
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.7200
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.2800
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.7200
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.2400
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.7600
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.2750
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.7250
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.7300
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.2700
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.7300
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.2700
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.7300
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.2700
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.7300
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.2700
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.7300
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.2700
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.7300
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.2650
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.7350
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.2000
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.8000
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.2000
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.8000
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.2000
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.8000
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.2000
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.8000
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.2000
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.8000
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.2000
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529003
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "efficiency" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 757.248866
Price History:
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.2000
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.8000
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.2000
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.8000
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.2050
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.7950
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.1850
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.8150
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.2750
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.7250
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.2750
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.7250
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.2750
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.7250
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.2750
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.7250
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.2750
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.7250
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.3200
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.6800
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.3200
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.6800
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.2100
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.7900
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5250
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.4750
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.3450
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.6550
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.3450
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.6550
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.3450
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.6550
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.3450
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.6550
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.3450
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.6550
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.3450
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.6550
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.3450
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.6550
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.3450
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.6550
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.3400
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.6600
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.3400
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.6600
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.3400
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.6600
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.6550
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.4150
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.5850
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.4200
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.5800
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.4150
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.5850
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.4150
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.5850
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.4100
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.4100
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.5900
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.4050
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.5950
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.3850
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.6150
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.2300
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.7700
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.7700
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.3000
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.7000
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.3000
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.7000
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.3000
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.7000
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.3000
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.7000
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.3400
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.6600
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.3400
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.6600
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.3400
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.6600
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.6600
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.3400
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.6600
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.3400
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.6600
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.3400
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.6600
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.3400
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.6600
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.3050
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.6950
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.3000
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.7000
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.3250
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.6750
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.3300
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.6700
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.3300
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.6700
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.3300
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.6700
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.3300
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.6700
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.3300
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.3300
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.6700
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.3050
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.6950
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.3300
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.3300
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.3300
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.3300
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.3300
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.3300
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.3300
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.3300
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.3300
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.3300
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.3300
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.3300
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.3300
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.3450
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.6550
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.3050
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.6950
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.3050
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.6950
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.3050
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.6950
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.3700
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.6300
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.3700
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.6300
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.3700
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.6300
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.3700
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.6300
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.3750
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.3750
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.6250
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.3700
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.6300
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.3600
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.6400
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.3450
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.6550
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.3450
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.6550
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.3450
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.6550
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.3450
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.6550
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.3000
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.7000
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.3000
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.7000
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.3000
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.7000
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.3000
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.7000
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.3000
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.7000
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.3000
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.2950
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.7050
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.2950
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.7050
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.3200
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.6800
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.3200
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.6800
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.3150
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.6850
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.3200
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.6800
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.3200
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.6800
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.3200
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.6800
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.3200
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.6800
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.3200
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.6800
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.3200
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.6800
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.7050
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.3100
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.6900
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.2250
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.7750
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.2300
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.7700
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.2300
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.7700
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.2900
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.7100
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.2950
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.7050
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.2400
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.7600
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.2400
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.7600
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.2850
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.7150
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.2400
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.2400
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.7600
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.2250
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.7750
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.2250
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.7750
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.2250
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.7750
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.7650
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.2250
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.7750
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.1600
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.8400
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.2250
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.7750
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.2250
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.7750
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.2200
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.7800
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.2100
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.7900
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.2350
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.7650
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.7650
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.2350
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.7650
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.2350
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.7650
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.2400
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.7600
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.2400
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.7600
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.3100
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.6900
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.2500
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.7500
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.2500
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.7500
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.2950
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.7050
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.2400
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.7600
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.2500
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.2400
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.7600
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.7500
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.2500
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.7500
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.7500
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.2300
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.7700
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.2300
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.7700
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.7050
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.7050
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.7050
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.7050
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.7050
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.2550
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.7450
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5250
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.4750
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.3450
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.6550
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.3450
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.6550
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.3450
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.6550
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.3450
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.6550
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.3450
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.6550
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.3450
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.6550
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.3450
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.6550
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.3450
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.6550
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.3400
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.6600
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.3400
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.6600
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.3400
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.6600
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.6550
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.4150
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.5850
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.4200
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.5800
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.4150
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.5850
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.4150
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.5850
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.4100
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.4100
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.5900
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.4050
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.5950
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.3850
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.6150
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.2300
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.7700
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.7700
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.3000
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.7000
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.3000
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.7000
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.3000
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.7000
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.3000
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.7000
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.3400
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.6600
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.3400
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.6600
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.3400
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.6600
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.6600
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.3400
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.6600
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.3400
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.6600
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.3400
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.6600
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.3400
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.6600
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.3050
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.6950
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.3000
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.7000
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.3250
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.6750
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.3300
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.6700
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.3300
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.6700
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.3300
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.6700
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.3300
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.6700
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.3300
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No