Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9545
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0455
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9545
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0455
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9545
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0445
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9555
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0405
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9595
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.2415
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.7585
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2312.96, Sell volume: 186.84, Average price: 0.8231, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2312.96, Sell volume: 186.84, Average price: 0.8231, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2312.96, Sell volume: 186.84, Average price: 0.8231, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2312.96, Sell volume: 186.84, Average price: 0.8231, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2312.96, Sell volume: 186.84, Average price: 0.8231, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 69.68, Sell volume: 20.73, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 144.19, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.8327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.0105
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.9895
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.0100
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.9900
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 2089.09, Sell volume: 116.11, Average price: 0.8568, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0455
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9545
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0455
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9545
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0455
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9545
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2312.96, Sell volume: 186.84, Average price: 0.8231, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2312.96, Sell volume: 186.84, Average price: 0.8231, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9545
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9545
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9545
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2312.96, Sell volume: 186.84, Average price: 0.8231, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9545
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9545
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9545
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9545
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9545
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9545
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2312.96, Sell volume: 186.84, Average price: 0.8231, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9545
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0455
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9545
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0455
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9545
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0445
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9555
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0405
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9595
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.2415
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.7585
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2312.96, Sell volume: 186.84, Average price: 0.8231, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2312.96, Sell volume: 186.84, Average price: 0.8231, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2312.96, Sell volume: 186.84, Average price: 0.8231, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2312.96, Sell volume: 186.84, Average price: 0.8231, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2312.96, Sell volume: 186.84, Average price: 0.8231, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 69.68, Sell volume: 20.73, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 144.19, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.8327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.0105
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.9895
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.0100
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.9900
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 2089.09, Sell volume: 116.11, Average price: 0.8568, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.3400
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.6600
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.3550
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.6400
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.3600
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.3600
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.6400
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.6250
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.3750
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.3850
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.6150
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.2250
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.7750
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.2450
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.7550
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.7500
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.2500
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.2250
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.7750
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.2500
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.7500
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.7500
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.2500
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.7350
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.2650
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.2450
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.7550
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.2450
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.7550
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.7750
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.2250
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.2000
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.8000
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.8200
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.1800
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.1750
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.8250
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.8300
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.8250
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.1750
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.1700
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.8300
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.8600
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 2933.54, Sell volume: 18.90, Average price: 0.7023, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.1400
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.8600
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.1400
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.8600
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.1500
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.8500
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.1450
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.8550
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.1450
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.8550
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.1450
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.8550
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.1450
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.8550
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.8550
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.1450
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.8550
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.1450
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.1350
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.8650
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.8650
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.1350
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.8650
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.1350
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.1350
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.8650
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.8650
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.1350
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.1350
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.8650
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.1350
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.8650
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.1350
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.8650
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.1350
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.8650
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.1350
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.8650
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.1350
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.8650
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.8650
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.1350
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.8650
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.1350
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.8650
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.1350
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.8700
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.1300
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.8700
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 596.07, Sell volume: 236.53, Average price: 0.4987, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.8750
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.1250
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.8750
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.1250
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.8950
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.1050
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.1050
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.8950
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0650
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9350
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9350
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0650
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9350
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0650
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0650
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0650
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 811.13, Sell volume: 878.85, Average price: 0.2455, Price range: 0.0468 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0650
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0650
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0650
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0500
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9500
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9400
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0600
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9400
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0550
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9450
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9450
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0550
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9550
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0450
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0500
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9500
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0550
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9450
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0550
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9450
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0550
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9450
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0550
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9450
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.0550
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9450
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0500
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9500
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9550
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.0450
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0450
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9550
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0550
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9450
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9400
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0600
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0600
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 581.97, Sell volume: 2.12, Average price: 0.2897, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9575

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9350
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.9350
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9350
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9300
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.9300
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9300
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9300
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.9300
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9300
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9300
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9450
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0550
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0550
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9450
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.0550
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.9450
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9450
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 787.13, Sell volume: 973.00, Average price: 0.3594, Price range: 0.0568 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0750
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9250
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.9200
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0800
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9150
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0850
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9150
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.8750
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.1250
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.8850
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.1150
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.8950
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.1050
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.8950
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.1050
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.1050
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.8950
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.1050
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.8950
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.1050
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.8950
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.1050
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.8950
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.8950
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.1050
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.8950
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.1050
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.8950
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.1050
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.8950
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.1050
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9150
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0850
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9150
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0850
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9100
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0900
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9000
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.1000
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9050
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0950
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.9050
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.0950
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0950
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9050
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 3662.77, Sell volume: 469.76, Average price: 0.4556, Price range: 0.0752 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0650
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9350
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0300
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9700
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9720
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0280
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9695
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0305
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0270
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9730
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0235
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9765
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0300
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9700
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9715
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0285
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0255
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9745
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9645
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0355
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9740
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0260
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0270
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9730
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9745
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0255
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0320
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9680
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9655
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0345
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9730
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0270
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0265
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9735
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0410
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9590
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0360
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9640
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0290
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9710
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0265
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9735
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0245
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9755
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0305
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9695
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0255
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9745
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0295
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1267.46, Sell volume: 922.85, Average price: 0.3076, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9820

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.0235
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9765
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0235
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9765
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.0240
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9760
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0225
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9775
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.9750
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0250
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0220
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9780
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0190
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9810
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9810
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0190
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.0190
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9810
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0190
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9810
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0185
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9815
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0190
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9810
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0185
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9815
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0190
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9810
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0190
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.9810
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.0190
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.9810
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.9810
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.0190
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0185
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9815
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9810
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.0190
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0185
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9815
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9810
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0190
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0190
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.9810
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9810
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0190
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9810
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.0190
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0190
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 20.43, Sell volume: 180.43, Average price: 0.7854, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9790

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9765
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0235
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0235
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.9765
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9770
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0230
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9750
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.0250
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9755
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0245
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9750
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0250
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9750
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0250
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0255
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9745
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9725
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0275
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9775
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0225
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0235
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9765
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0235
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9765
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0235
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9765
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9765
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.0235
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9765
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0235
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9760
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0240
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9765
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0235
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9765
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.0235
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9765
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0235
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.0235
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9765
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9935
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0065
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9950
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0050
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9955
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0045
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9950
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0050
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0085
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1689.22, Sell volume: 3127.70, Average price: 0.7177, Price range: 0.0034 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0090
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9910
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0090
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9910
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.9910
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.0090
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0095
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9905
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9945
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0055
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9950
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0050
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9955
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0045
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9960
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0040
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0045
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9955
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9950
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0050
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9955
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0045
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.9955
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0045
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9955
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0045
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.9955
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0045
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0040
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.9955
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0040
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9955
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0045
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0040
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 555.65, Average price: 0.3339, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9955
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9955
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9955
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9955
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9955
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9955
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9955
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9955
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9955
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9955
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9955
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 248.13, Sell volume: 220.43, Average price: 0.6669, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9890
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0110
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9890
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0110
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.0110
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9890
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9890
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0110
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0100
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9900
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0105
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9895
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0100
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.9900
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0100
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9895
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0105
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9895
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0105
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9895
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0105
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9895
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 89.99, Average price: 0.0023, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.0030

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9955
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0070
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9930
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9950
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0050
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9955
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0070
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9930
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0075
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.9925
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0085
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9915
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0085
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9915
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9915
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0085
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9915
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0085
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0085
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9915
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9915
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0085
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0050
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9950
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9990
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9990
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9990
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9990
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9990
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2525.77, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9986, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.3400
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.6400
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.3600
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.6250
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.3850
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.2250
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.2450
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.7500
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.2250
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.2500
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.7500
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.7350
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.2450
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.2450
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.7750
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.2000
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.8200
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.1750
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.8300
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.8250
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.1700
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.8600
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.8600
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.8600
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.1400
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.8450
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 2933.54, Sell volume: 18.90, Average price: 0.7023, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.1400
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.1400
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.1500
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.1450
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.1450
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.1450
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.1450
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.8550
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.8550
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.1350
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.8650
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.8650
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.1350
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.8650
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.1350
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.1350
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.1350
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.1350
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.1350
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.1350
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.8650
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.8650
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.8650
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.8700
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.8700
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.8700
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.1300
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.1300
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.1300
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 596.07, Sell volume: 236.53, Average price: 0.4987, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.8750
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.8750
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.8950
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.1050
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0650
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9350
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9350
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0650
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0650
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0550
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 811.13, Sell volume: 878.85, Average price: 0.2455, Price range: 0.0468 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0650
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0650
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0500
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0600
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0600
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0550
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9450
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9550
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0500
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0550
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0550
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0550
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0550
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.0550
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0500
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9550
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0450
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0550
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9400
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0600
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9450
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0600
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9350
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 581.97, Sell volume: 2.12, Average price: 0.2897, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9575
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9350
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.9350
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9350
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.9300
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9300
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9450
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0550
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.0550
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9450
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.9450
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.9450
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9350
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 787.13, Sell volume: 973.00, Average price: 0.3594, Price range: 0.0568 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0750
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.9200
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0850
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.8750
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.8850
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.8950
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.8950
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.1050
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.1050
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.1050
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.1050
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.8950
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.8950
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.8950
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.8950
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9150
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9150
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9100
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9000
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9050
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.9050
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0950
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.8950
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.0800
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0900
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0900
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 3662.77, Sell volume: 469.76, Average price: 0.4556, Price range: 0.0752 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0650
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0300
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9720
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9695
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0270
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0235
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0300
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9715
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0255
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9645
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9740
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0270
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9745
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0320
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9655
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9730
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0265
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0410
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0360
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0290
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0265
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0245
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0305
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0255
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0295
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0260
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0295
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0265
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0250
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1267.46, Sell volume: 922.85, Average price: 0.3076, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9820
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.0235
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0235
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.0240
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0225
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.9750
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0220
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0190
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9810
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.0190
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0190
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0185
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0190
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0185
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0190
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0190
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.0190
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.9810
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0185
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9810
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0185
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9810
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0190
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9810
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9810
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0190
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.9810
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9805
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.9770
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9765
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 20.43, Sell volume: 180.43, Average price: 0.7854, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9765
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0235
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9770
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9750
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9755
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9750
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9750
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0255
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9725
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9775
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0235
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0235
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0235
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9765
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9765
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9760
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9765
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9765
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9765
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.0235
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9935
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9950
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9955
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9950
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0085
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0065
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9915
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0085
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9915
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1689.22, Sell volume: 3127.70, Average price: 0.7177, Price range: 0.0034 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0090
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0090
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.9910
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0095
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9945
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9950
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9955
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9960
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0045
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9950
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9955
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.9955
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9955
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.9955
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9955
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0045
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0045
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 555.65, Average price: 0.3339, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9955
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9955
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9955
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9955
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 248.13, Sell volume: 220.43, Average price: 0.6669, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9890
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9890
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.0110
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9890
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0100
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0105
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0100
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9895
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9895
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9895
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9895
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9910
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9910
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0090
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9915
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 89.99, Average price: 0.0023, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.0030
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591762
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Volume: 22814.819794
Price History:
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9955
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0070
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9950
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0070
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0075
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0085
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0085
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9915
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9915
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0085
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9915
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0050
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2525.77, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9986, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0700
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9300
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0705
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9295
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0705
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9295
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0705
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9295
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0705
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9295
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0705
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9295
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0705
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9295
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 5466.10, Sell volume: 384.81, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 5466.10, Sell volume: 384.81, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0705
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9295
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0705
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9295
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0705
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9295
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 5466.10, Sell volume: 384.81, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0705
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9295
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0705
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9295
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0690
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9310
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0690
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9310
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0690
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9310
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0690
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9310
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0690
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 5466.10, Sell volume: 384.81, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0690
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9310
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0690
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9310
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0690
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9310
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0585
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9415
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0530
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9470
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 5466.10, Sell volume: 384.81, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 5466.10, Sell volume: 384.81, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 5466.10, Sell volume: 384.81, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 5466.10, Sell volume: 384.81, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 5466.10, Sell volume: 384.81, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 69.68, Sell volume: 20.73, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 144.19, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.8327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.1240
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.8760
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.1240
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.8760
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 5242.23, Sell volume: 294.08, Average price: 0.8119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0700
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9300
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0705
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9295
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0705
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9295
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0705
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9295
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0705
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9295
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0705
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9295
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0705
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9295
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 5466.10, Sell volume: 384.81, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 5466.10, Sell volume: 384.81, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0705
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9295
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0705
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9295
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0705
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9295
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 5466.10, Sell volume: 384.81, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0705
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9295
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0705
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9295
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0690
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9310
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0690
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9310
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0690
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9310
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0690
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9310
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0690
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 5466.10, Sell volume: 384.81, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0690
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9310
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0690
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9310
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0690
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9310
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0585
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9415
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0530
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9470
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 5466.10, Sell volume: 384.81, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 5466.10, Sell volume: 384.81, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 5466.10, Sell volume: 384.81, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 5466.10, Sell volume: 384.81, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 5466.10, Sell volume: 384.81, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 69.68, Sell volume: 20.73, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 144.19, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.8327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700310
Question: Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 5850.908
Price History:
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.1240
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.8760
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.1240
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.8760
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 5242.23, Sell volume: 294.08, Average price: 0.8119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700311
Question: Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7129.291
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9050
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0950
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9045
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0955
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9045
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0955
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9045
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0955
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9045
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0955
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9045
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0955
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9045
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0955
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 6772.76, Sell volume: 356.53, Average price: 0.7841, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700311
Question: Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7129.291
Price History:
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 6772.76, Sell volume: 356.53, Average price: 0.7841, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700311
Question: Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7129.291
Price History:
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9045
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0955
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9045
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0955
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9045
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0955
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 6772.76, Sell volume: 356.53, Average price: 0.7841, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700311
Question: Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7129.291
Price History:
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9045
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0955
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9045
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0955
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9060
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0940
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9060
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0940
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9060
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0940
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9080
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0920
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9080
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 6772.76, Sell volume: 356.53, Average price: 0.7841, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700311
Question: Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7129.291
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9080
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0920
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9080
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0920
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9080
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0920
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9165
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0835
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9210
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0790
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 6772.76, Sell volume: 356.53, Average price: 0.7841, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700311
Question: Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7129.291
Price History:
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 6772.76, Sell volume: 356.53, Average price: 0.7841, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700311
Question: Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7129.291
Price History:
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 6772.76, Sell volume: 356.53, Average price: 0.7841, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700311
Question: Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7129.291
Price History:
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 6772.76, Sell volume: 356.53, Average price: 0.7841, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700311
Question: Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7129.291
Price History:
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 6772.76, Sell volume: 356.53, Average price: 0.7841, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700311
Question: Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7129.291
Price History:
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700311
Question: Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7129.291
Price History:
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 95.62, Sell volume: 32.45, Average price: 0.5455, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700311
Question: Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7129.291
Price History:
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 144.19, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.8327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700311
Question: Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7129.291
Price History:
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 6510.94, Sell volume: 274.08, Average price: 0.8254, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700311
Question: Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 7129.291
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9050
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0950
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9045
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0955
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9045
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0955
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9045
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0955
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9045
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0955
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9045
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0955
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9045
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0955
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 6772.76, Sell volume: 356.53, Average price: 0.7841, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700311
Question: Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 7129.291
Price History:
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 6772.76, Sell volume: 356.53, Average price: 0.7841, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700311
Question: Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 7129.291
Price History:
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9045
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0955
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9045
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0955
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9045
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0955
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 6772.76, Sell volume: 356.53, Average price: 0.7841, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700311
Question: Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 7129.291
Price History:
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9045
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0955
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9045
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0955
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9060
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0940
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9060
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0940
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9060
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0940
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9080
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0920
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9080
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 6772.76, Sell volume: 356.53, Average price: 0.7841, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700311
Question: Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 7129.291
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9080
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0920
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9080
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0920
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9080
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0920
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9165
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0835
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9210
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0790
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 6772.76, Sell volume: 356.53, Average price: 0.7841, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700311
Question: Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 7129.291
Price History:
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 6772.76, Sell volume: 356.53, Average price: 0.7841, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700311
Question: Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 7129.291
Price History:
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 6772.76, Sell volume: 356.53, Average price: 0.7841, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700311
Question: Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 7129.291
Price History:
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 6772.76, Sell volume: 356.53, Average price: 0.7841, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700311
Question: Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 7129.291
Price History:
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 6772.76, Sell volume: 356.53, Average price: 0.7841, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700311
Question: Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 7129.291
Price History:
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700311
Question: Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 7129.291
Price History:
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 95.62, Sell volume: 32.45, Average price: 0.5455, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes