Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Outcomes: ["Hyperliquid", "Bitcoin"]
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5300, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.5300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Outcomes: ["Hyperliquid", "Bitcoin"]
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.4850
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.5150
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.4850
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.5150
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.4850
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.5150
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.4850
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 84.91, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5300, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.5300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Outcomes: ["Hyperliquid", "Bitcoin"]
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.4800
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.5200
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.4800
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.5200
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.4800
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.5200
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.4800
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.5200
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.4800
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.5200
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.4800
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.5200
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.4800
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.5200
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.4800
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.5200
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.4800
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.5200
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.4800
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.5200
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.4800
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 727.97, Sell volume: 23.51, Average price: 0.5462, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Outcomes: ["Hyperliquid", "Bitcoin"]
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.4800
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.5200
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.4750
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.5250
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.4750
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.5250
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.4750
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.5250
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.4750
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.5250
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.4750
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.5250
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.4750
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.5250
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.4750
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.5250
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.4750
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.5250
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.4750
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.5250
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.4750
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.4800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Outcomes: ["Hyperliquid", "Bitcoin"]
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.4800
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.5200
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.4800
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.5200
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.4800
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.5200
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.4800
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.5200
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.4800
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.5200
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.6100
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.6100
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.6100
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.6100
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.6100
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 66.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Outcomes: ["Hyperliquid", "Bitcoin"]
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.6100
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.6100
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.6100
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.6100
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.3950
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.6050
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.3950
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.6050
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.4050
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.5950
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.4100
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.5900
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.4150
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.5850
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.4100
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.5900
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.4150
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 11.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6000, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Outcomes: ["Hyperliquid", "Bitcoin"]
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.4100
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.5900
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.4100
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.5900
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.4150
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.5850
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.4100
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.5900
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.4100
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.5900
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.4100
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.5900
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.4100
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.5900
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.3900
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.6100
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.3900
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.6100
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.3950
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.6050
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.3950
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 9.43, Average price: 0.3400, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.3400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Outcomes: ["Hyperliquid", "Bitcoin"]
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.3950
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.6050
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.3650
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.6350
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.3650
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.6350
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.3650
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.6350
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.3650
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.6350
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.3650
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.6350
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.3650
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.6350
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.3650
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.6350
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.3450
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.6550
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.3450
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.6550
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.3450
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 22.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6878, Price range: 0.6878 - 0.6878

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Outcomes: ["Hyperliquid", "Bitcoin"]
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.3450
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.6550
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.3450
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.6550
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.3450
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.6550
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.3450
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.6550
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.3500
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.6500
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.3500
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.6500
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.3500
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.6500
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.3500
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.6500
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.3500
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.6500
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.3500
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.6500
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.3000
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 44.48, Sell volume: 9.08, Average price: 0.5275, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7653

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.3800
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.6200
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.3800
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.6200
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.3800
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.6200
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.3800
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.6200
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.3800
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.6200
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.4000
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.6000
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.4000
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.6000
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.4000
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.6000
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.4000
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.6000
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.4000
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.6000
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.4000
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.4000
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.6000
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.4000
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.6000
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.4000
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.6000
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.4000
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.6000
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.4000
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.6000
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.4000
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.6000
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.4000
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.6000
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.4000
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.6000
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.3800
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.6200
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.3800
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.6200
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.3800
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.3800
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.6200
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.3800
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.6200
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.3800
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.6200
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.3800
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.6200
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.4700
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.5300
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.4750
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.5250
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.4400
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.5600
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.4400
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.5600
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.4400
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.5600
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.4400
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.5600
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.4400
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 43.42, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4934, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4968
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.4400
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.5600
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.4400
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.5600
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.4400
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.5600
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.4400
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.5600
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.4400
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.5600
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 386.79, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.5300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5300, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.5300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.4850
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.5150
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.4850
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.5150
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.4850
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.5150
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.4850
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 84.91, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5300, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.5300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.4800
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.5200
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.4800
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.5200
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.4800
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.5200
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.4800
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.5200
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.4800
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.5200
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.4800
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.5200
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.4800
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.5200
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.4800
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.5200
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.4800
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.5200
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.4800
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.5200
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.4800
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 727.97, Sell volume: 23.51, Average price: 0.5462, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.4800
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.5200
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.4750
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.5250
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.4750
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.5250
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.4750
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.5250
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.4750
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.5250
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.4750
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.5250
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.4750
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.5250
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.4750
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.5250
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.4750
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.5250
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.4750
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.5250
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.4750
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.4800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.4800
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.5200
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.4800
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.5200
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.4800
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.5200
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.4800
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.5200
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.4800
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.5200
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.6100
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.6100
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.6100
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.6100
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.6100
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 66.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.6100
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.6100
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.6100
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.6100
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.3950
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.6050
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.3950
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.6050
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.4050
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.5950
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.4100
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.5900
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.4150
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.5850
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.4100
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.5900
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.4150
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 11.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6000, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.4100
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.5900
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.4100
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.5900
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.4150
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.5850
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.4100
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.5900
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.4100
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.5900
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.4100
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.5900
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.4100
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.5900
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.3900
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.6100
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.3900
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.6100
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.3950
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.6050
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.3950
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 9.43, Average price: 0.3400, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.3400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.3950
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.6050
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.3650
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.6350
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.3650
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.6350
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.3650
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.6350
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.3650
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.6350
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.3650
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.6350
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.3650
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.6350
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.3650
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.6350
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.3450
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.6550
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.3450
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.6550
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.3450
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 22.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6878, Price range: 0.6878 - 0.6878
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.3450
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.6550
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.3450
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.6550
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.3450
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.6550
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.3450
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.6550
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.3500
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.6500
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.3500
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.6500
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.3500
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.6500
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.3500
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.6500
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.3500
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.6500
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.3500
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.6500
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.3000
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 44.48, Sell volume: 9.08, Average price: 0.5275, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7653
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.7250
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9350
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0300
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9745
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9815
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0085
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0095
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9920
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9920
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9935
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9935
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0055
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9945
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 5437.26, Sell volume: 593.39, Average price: 0.9255, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 6332.16, Sell volume: 1188.92, Average price: 0.7320, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 5753.15, Sell volume: 407.01, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 20056.22, Sell volume: 3516.99, Average price: 0.8795, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 134, Buy volume: 9566.76, Sell volume: 3393.52, Average price: 0.9764, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5747.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0012, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0013

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 7925.94, Sell volume: 213.71, Average price: 0.4448, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 9484.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0012, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 12066.43, Sell volume: 56.88, Average price: 0.2734, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9895
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0195
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0155
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0080
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0955
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9735
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0505
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0470
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9785
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0105
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9825
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0125
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9855
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9805
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9815
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0220
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0215
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 201, Buy volume: 33358.61, Sell volume: 12021.82, Average price: 0.6902, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0215
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0165
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9830
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9840
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.9835
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0165
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9830
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0155
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9870
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0130
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9860
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.9870
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0155
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9870
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0125
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0125
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0125
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0095
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0100
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0100
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.0105
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9880
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0115
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.0110
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0110
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0110
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9890
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9890
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9890
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9890
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9895
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.9900
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0080
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0080
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9895
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0100
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9905
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0080
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9920
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0090
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9860
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0140
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9840
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0140
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9760
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0240
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9765
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 138, Buy volume: 18638.44, Sell volume: 5241.87, Average price: 0.7955, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0130
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0150
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9895
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0155
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9805
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9815
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9820
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9820
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0150
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9900
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9895
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9915
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9905
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0050
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9950
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9950
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0045
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0090
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0135
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9900
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9900
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.0100
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.0045
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9910
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0075
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0075
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0075
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9930
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0065
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9930
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9940
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9940
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9940
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0060
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0055
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0050
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9955
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9965
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0035
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 224, Buy volume: 356348.15, Sell volume: 23775.66, Average price: 0.8897, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9960
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9965
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9965
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9965
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 22223.77, Sell volume: 10503.35, Average price: 0.8282, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.7250
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9700
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0245
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9905
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9915
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9935
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0055
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 5437.26, Sell volume: 593.39, Average price: 0.9255, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 6332.16, Sell volume: 1188.92, Average price: 0.7320, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 5753.15, Sell volume: 407.01, Average price: 0.7571, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 20056.22, Sell volume: 3516.99, Average price: 0.8795, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 134, Buy volume: 9566.76, Sell volume: 3393.52, Average price: 0.9764, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5747.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0012, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0013
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 7925.94, Sell volume: 213.71, Average price: 0.4448, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 9484.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0012, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 12066.43, Sell volume: 56.88, Average price: 0.2734, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9895
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9845
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9920
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0955
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9860
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0480
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9785
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0175
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9805
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0215
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 201, Buy volume: 33358.61, Sell volume: 12021.82, Average price: 0.6902, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0215
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.0170
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9835
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0165
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9845
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0130
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9860
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9870
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9875
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0125
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9905
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9900
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.0105
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0120
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0110
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0110
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0110
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0110
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9895
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0100
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9920
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0100
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9920
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0080
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9850
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0140
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9760
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 138, Buy volume: 18638.44, Sell volume: 5241.87, Average price: 0.7955, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0130
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0105
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9845
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9815
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0155
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0100
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9895
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0085
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9915
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9905
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0050
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0050
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0090
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0100
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0100
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.0045
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.0060
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9925
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0075
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9935
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0065
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0060
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0060
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9950
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0045
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9965
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0035
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 224, Buy volume: 356348.15, Sell volume: 23775.66, Average price: 0.8897, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590823
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 578891.252083
Price History:
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 22223.77, Sell volume: 10503.35, Average price: 0.8282, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.8050
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.1800
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.6200
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.3050
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.7250
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.3000
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.7200
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.2400
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.8500
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.2000
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.8000
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.2050
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.7200
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.1550
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.8000
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.2100
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.8850
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.1300
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.7850
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.1950
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.8450
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.1650
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.8350
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.1650
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.8350
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.1650
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.8400
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.1600
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.8400
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.1600
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.8050
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.0900
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.9200
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0850
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.9300
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0750
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.9250
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0650
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.9350
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0600
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.9200
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0900
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.9150
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0850
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.9150
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.0800
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.9150
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.0950
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.9050
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 186836529.69, Sell volume: 153473277.44, Average price: 0.7346, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0950
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.9050
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.9300
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0650
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.9350
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.0315
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.9570
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0325
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9665
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0330
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.9595
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0570
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.9570
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0620
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.9570
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0355
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.9615
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0535
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.9615
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0465
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.9640
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0460
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.9400
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.0655
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.9580
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0425
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.9470
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0565
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.9455
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0650
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9540
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0510
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.9500
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0600
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.9420
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0625
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.9250
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0715
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.9250
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0700
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.9305
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9255
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0695
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9305
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0685
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 186836529.69, Sell volume: 153473277.44, Average price: 0.7346, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9300
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0705
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9290
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0705
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.9310
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0705
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.9340
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0690
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.9295
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0700
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.9325
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.0700
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.9345
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.0700
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.9360
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0680
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.9330
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0670
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.9340
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.0655
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.9360
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.0690
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.9365
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.0695
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.8950
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.1725
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.9925
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.0565
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.0665
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.9270
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.0685
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.9290
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0800
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.9215
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.0790
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.9420
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.0495
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.9400
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0610
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.9295
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.0620
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.9435
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0620
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.9365
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0625
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.9380
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.0610
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.9380
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 186836529.69, Sell volume: 153473277.44, Average price: 0.7346, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0490
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.9550
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0495
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.9545
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.0500
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.9590
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0440
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.9550
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.0700
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.9300
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.0710
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.9305
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0695
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.9300
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0710
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.9300
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0695
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.9305
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0410
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.9550
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0465
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.9565
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0480
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.9525
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0480
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.9505
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.0500
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.0500
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.9545
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.9575
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0425
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.9545
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.9545
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.0425
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.9530
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.0465
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9505
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.0480
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.0495
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.9505
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.9525
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.0470
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.9535
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.0480
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.0400
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.0415
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0450
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.9550
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0470
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.9560
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 186836529.69, Sell volume: 153473277.44, Average price: 0.7346, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9560
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.9560
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.9550
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0435
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.0405
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0405
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.0435
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0640
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0605
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0620
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9410
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.0605
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.0585
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9395
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0600
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.9470
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.0565
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9165
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.0880
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0870
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0605
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0610
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9395
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.9450
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0670
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9265
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0920
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.9080
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0530
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.0540
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0510
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0530
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0540
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0530
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.0525
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.9470
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9475
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.0540
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.9555
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9645
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.9715
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0230
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.0235
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0545
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.9415
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.0600
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0620
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.0620
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0610
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 186836529.69, Sell volume: 153473277.44, Average price: 0.7346, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0660
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.9370
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.0605
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.0605
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.0605
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0605
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.9390
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.9390
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.9390
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.0610
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0610
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.9395
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.0560
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9435
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.9435
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9430
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9435
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.9390
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.0605
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9395
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0605
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9410
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.0585
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9415
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9375
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0620
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9375
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9385
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0655
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9300
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0680
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9240
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0455
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9570
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0315
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9685
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0405
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9645
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9645
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9650
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0330
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9695
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9695
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9690
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0310
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9720
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0280
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0285
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9715
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 186836529.69, Sell volume: 153473277.44, Average price: 0.7346, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9710
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9710
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9720
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0280
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9720
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9720
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9715
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0285
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9715
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0285
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9715
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0285
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0285
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0285
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9715
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0285
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9715
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0285
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0285
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0285
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9715
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9715
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9715
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9715
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9715
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0285
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.9715
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0285
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9715
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9710
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9710
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0290
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0300
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0305
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9695
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9695
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9695
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9695
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9695
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9695
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0305
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9695
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0305
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0305
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9695
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.9695
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0310
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9690
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9700
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 186836529.69, Sell volume: 153473277.44, Average price: 0.7346, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9700
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0300
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0295
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.9480
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9480
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9490
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.9485
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.0510
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.9540
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0410
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.9580
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9895
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0460
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0410
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0415
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9610
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9790
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0240
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9765
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9090
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0880
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9105
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.0790
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9220
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0565
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0555
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.9470
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0335
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.0300
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9700
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.0295
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9705
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0295
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9705
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0295
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9705
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0300
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0300
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0300
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9700
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0305
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9695
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0305
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.9695
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0565
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0535
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9420
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9475
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9430
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 186836529.69, Sell volume: 153473277.44, Average price: 0.7346, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.0560
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0545
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9455
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9490
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0570
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9420
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0500
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9500
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0435
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0450
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9545
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9610
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0455
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0430
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9520
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9530
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9545
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.9590
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0410
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9590
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9590
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9480
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0510
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0510
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9620
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0410
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9650
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9660
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0340
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9655
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9640
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0380
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9635
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0375
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9640
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.0190
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9855
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0140
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9670
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0315
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9785
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9895
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9890
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0100
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0075
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 186836529.69, Sell volume: 153473277.44, Average price: 0.7346, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9950
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0210
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0125
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0115
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0090
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9925
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0075
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9925
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0100
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0105
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.9890
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9895
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0095
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.9905
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9890
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0095
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0080
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0125
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0100
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9900
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0065
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.0045
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9955
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0050
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0085
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0100
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0095
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0265
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0170
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0200
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0200
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0200
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9830
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0185
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9845
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9845
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 186836529.69, Sell volume: 153473277.44, Average price: 0.7346, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0115
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0100
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9895
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0120
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0125
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9925
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0070
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9930
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0100
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9895
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0105
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9855
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0080
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9930
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0105
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0095
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9900
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0105
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9900
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0095
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9880
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0120
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0125
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0125
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9880
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0120
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9880
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9900
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0060
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9905
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0070
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 857142, Buy volume: 168038830.44, Sell volume: 137032370.46, Average price: 0.7052, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0040
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9925
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9930
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 142318, Buy volume: 18474354.88, Sell volume: 16359142.45, Average price: 0.9116, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0140
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9810
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0235
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9885
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0090
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0120
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9900
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0100
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9920
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9930
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 536, Buy volume: 323222.01, Sell volume: 81664.33, Average price: 0.8154, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.8050
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.6250
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.7150
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.7000
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.7500
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.8450
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.8150
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.7550
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.8450
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.7550
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.8850
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.7850
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.8550
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.8350
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.8350
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.8350
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.8400
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.8400
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.7750
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9200
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.9150
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.9250
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.9250
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.9350
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.9150
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.9100
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.9150
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.9200
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.9150
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 186836529.69, Sell volume: 153473277.44, Average price: 0.7346, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0950
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0800
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.0400
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.0330
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0335
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0405
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0625
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0460
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0355
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0535
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0335
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0415
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0525
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0540
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0560
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0425
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.0545
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0420
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0610
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0600
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0695
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0750
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0650
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0715
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0715
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 186836529.69, Sell volume: 153473277.44, Average price: 0.7346, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9300
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9310
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9290
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.9295
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.9280
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.9280
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.9350
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.9295
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.9295
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.9310
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.9325
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.9340
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.9375
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.9370
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.9305
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.8080
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.9910
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.8830
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.9355
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.9295
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.9225
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.9200
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.9420
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.9540
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.9395
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.9380
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.9380
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.9385
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.9385
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.9360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 186836529.69, Sell volume: 153473277.44, Average price: 0.7346, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0490
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.0490
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0510
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0485
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.0500
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0700
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.0700
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.0710
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.0700
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.0700
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.0695
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0410
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.0425
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.0490
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.0380
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0440
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0500
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.9490
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.0460
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.0455
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.0450
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.0480
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9505
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0480
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.9530
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.9530
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.9520
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0365
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.0450
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 186836529.69, Sell volume: 153473277.44, Average price: 0.7346, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9560
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.0430
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.9620
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9595
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.0395
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.9395
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.9410
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9395
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.0600
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.0535
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.0590
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.0880
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.9380
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.9395
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0550
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.0660
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.0920
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.9460
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.0520
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.0535
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.0530
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.0560
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9475
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.9525
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9645
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9770
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.0190
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.9415
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.0625
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 186836529.69, Sell volume: 153473277.44, Average price: 0.7346, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0660
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.0605
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.9400
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.9395
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.9390
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.9390
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.0605
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.0620
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0565
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.0570
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.9435
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.0605
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0605
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0590
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0585
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9375
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9375
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0625
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0725
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0760
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0430
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0315
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0405
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0355
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9660
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0305
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0305
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9635
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0280
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 186836529.69, Sell volume: 153473277.44, Average price: 0.7346, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9710
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9720
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9720
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0280
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9715
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9715
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9715
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0285
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0285
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9715
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9715
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0285
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0285
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9715
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0285
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9715
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9715
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9715
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9710
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9710
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9695
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9695
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9695
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9695
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9695
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0305
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9695
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0305
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9690
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 186836529.69, Sell volume: 153473277.44, Average price: 0.7346, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9700
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0295
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9480
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9490
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.9460
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.0435
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0425
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.9890
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9590
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9610
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9775
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9765
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0915
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0895
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0815
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9420
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9455
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0300
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0295
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0295
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9705
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9705
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0300
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.0300
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0300
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.9695
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0305
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0585
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0525
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.9485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 186836529.69, Sell volume: 153473277.44, Average price: 0.7346, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.0560
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9455
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9460
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0580
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0500
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0450
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9550
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0385
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.0430
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9575
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.9590
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0410
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9590
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9470
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9490
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9515
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0385
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0345
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9660
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9620
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.9640
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9805
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9855
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9705
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9680
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0100
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 186836529.69, Sell volume: 153473277.44, Average price: 0.7346, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9950
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9895
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9910
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9925
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0075
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0085
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0125
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0105
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.0105
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9890
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9920
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0100
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0100
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0920
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0245
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0205
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9820
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9820
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 186836529.69, Sell volume: 153473277.44, Average price: 0.7346, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9890
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9875
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0075
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0065
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0095
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0100
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0105
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0145
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0095
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0105
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0105
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0130
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0115
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0125
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0120
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0115
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0070
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0070
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0095
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 857142, Buy volume: 168038830.44, Sell volume: 137032370.46, Average price: 0.7052, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9930
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 142318, Buy volume: 18474354.88, Sell volume: 16359142.45, Average price: 0.9116, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556112
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Volume: 1227801.464404
Price History:
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0190
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0180
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0100
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0100
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 536, Buy volume: 323222.01, Sell volume: 81664.33, Average price: 0.8154, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556110
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 322080.223395
Price History:
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.5950
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.4050
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.7250
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.2900
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.7100
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.2900
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.5700
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.4300
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.5700
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.4300
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.6150
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.3400
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.6700
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.2350
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.7650
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.2350
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.7600
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.2450
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.7850
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.2150
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.7850
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.2150
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.7850
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.2150
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.7850
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.2150
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.7850
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.2150
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.7850
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.2350
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.7650
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.2350
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.5000
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.3050
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.6800
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.3700
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.6350
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.3100
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.6000
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.4000
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.6000
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.4650
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.5300
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.4650
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.5350
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.4650
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.5350
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.4700
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.6550
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 395.72, Sell volume: 114.55, Average price: 0.6412, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556110
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 322080.223395
Price History:
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.6300
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.3750
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.6350
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.3300
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.6200
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.3600
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.6200
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.3450
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.6300
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.3350
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.6650
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.3700
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.6800
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.3550
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.6250
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.3400
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.6250
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.3650
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.6800
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.3750
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.6200
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.3750
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.6850
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.3750
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.7100
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.3900
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.6250
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.3850
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.5900
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.3900
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.5850
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.4200
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.6400
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.3850
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.6100
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.4000
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.6150
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.3900
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.6150
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.3650
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.6050
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.4450
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.5850
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.4150
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.5850
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.3900
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.4900
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.5100
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.5400
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 288.35, Sell volume: 67.05, Average price: 0.6517, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.7839

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556110
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 322080.223395
Price History:
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.5400
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.4600
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.5400
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.4600
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.5400
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.4600
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.5400
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.4600
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.5400
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.4600
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.5300
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.4700
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.5300
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.4700
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.5300
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.4700
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.5300
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.4700
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.5300
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.4700
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.5300
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.4700
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.5300
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.4700
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.5300
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.4700
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.5300
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.4700
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.5300
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.4700
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.5300
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.4700
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.5300
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.4700
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.5350
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.4700
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.5300
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.4700
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.5300
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.4700
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.5300
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.4700
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.6000
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.3550
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.6350
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.3750
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.6350
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.3350
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.6500
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 411.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6684, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556110
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 322080.223395
Price History:
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.6450
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.3550
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.6250
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.3750
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.6250
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.3750
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.6250
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.3750
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.6250
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.3750
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.6250
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.3800
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.6200
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.3800
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.6200
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.3800
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.6200
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.3800
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.6150
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.3850
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.6200
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.3700
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.5600
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.4250
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.6450
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.3700
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.5550
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.4450
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.5450
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.3750
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.6550
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.3900
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.6950
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.2900
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.7100
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2900
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.7050
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2950
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.6900
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.3100
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.6950
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.7200
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2800
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.7150
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.4150
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.5500
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.4250
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.5550
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1769.99, Sell volume: 77.94, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8500

Output: No