Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0110
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 8315.95, Sell volume: 1742.38, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0110
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 8315.95, Sell volume: 1742.38, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0110
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 8315.95, Sell volume: 1742.38, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0110
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 8315.95, Sell volume: 1742.38, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0110
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 8315.95, Sell volume: 1742.38, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 10703.81, Sell volume: 2004.37, Average price: 0.5890, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.3450
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 122.70, Sell volume: 42.00, Average price: 0.6033, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5950
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4050
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6700
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3300
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6750
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6700
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3300
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.8100
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.1900
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.8100
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 168.00, Average price: 0.4343, Price range: 0.1186 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 6342.57, Sell volume: 1794.37, Average price: 0.6187, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0110
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 8315.95, Sell volume: 1742.38, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0110
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 8315.95, Sell volume: 1742.38, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0110
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 8315.95, Sell volume: 1742.38, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0110
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 8315.95, Sell volume: 1742.38, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0110
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 8315.95, Sell volume: 1742.38, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0110
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 8315.95, Sell volume: 1742.38, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0110
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 8315.95, Sell volume: 1742.38, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687569
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 12708.184667
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0110
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 8315.95, Sell volume: 1742.38, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 37.65, Sell volume: 38.64, Average price: 0.4914, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 255.25, Sell volume: 4.00, Average price: 0.5187, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.6800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.6350
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3200
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 106.95, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.5749, Price range: 0.3196 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2250
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7750
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.1400
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 164.05, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.1903 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4750
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5250
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0455
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 4161.07, Sell volume: 349.89, Average price: 0.7544, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0455
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9545
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 6636.50, Sell volume: 264.89, Average price: 0.8773, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0455
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9545
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 6636.50, Sell volume: 264.89, Average price: 0.8773, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0455
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9545
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 6636.50, Sell volume: 264.89, Average price: 0.8773, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0455
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9545
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 6636.50, Sell volume: 264.89, Average price: 0.8773, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0455
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9545
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 6636.50, Sell volume: 264.89, Average price: 0.8773, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0455
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9545
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 6636.50, Sell volume: 264.89, Average price: 0.8773, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0455
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9545
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 6636.50, Sell volume: 264.89, Average price: 0.8773, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0455
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9545
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 6636.50, Sell volume: 264.89, Average price: 0.8773, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 37.65, Sell volume: 38.64, Average price: 0.4914, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 255.25, Sell volume: 4.00, Average price: 0.5187, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.6350
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3200
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 106.95, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.5749, Price range: 0.3196 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2250
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7750
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.1400
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 164.05, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.1903 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4750
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5250
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0455
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 4161.07, Sell volume: 349.89, Average price: 0.7544, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0455
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9545
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 6636.50, Sell volume: 264.89, Average price: 0.8773, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0455
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9545
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 6636.50, Sell volume: 264.89, Average price: 0.8773, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0455
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9545
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 6636.50, Sell volume: 264.89, Average price: 0.8773, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0455
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9545
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 6636.50, Sell volume: 264.89, Average price: 0.8773, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0455
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9545
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 6636.50, Sell volume: 264.89, Average price: 0.8773, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0455
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9545
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 6636.50, Sell volume: 264.89, Average price: 0.8773, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0455
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9545
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 6636.50, Sell volume: 264.89, Average price: 0.8773, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687562
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8881.18481
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0455
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9545
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 6636.50, Sell volume: 264.89, Average price: 0.8773, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.4800
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 70.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.5038, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5600
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 104.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5757, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.6400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4300
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5700
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 129.72, Sell volume: 113.36, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.8200
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.1800
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.8300
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 155.22, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5003, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7521

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3940.14, Sell volume: 1549.30, Average price: 0.6218, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 8656.83, Sell volume: 98.64, Average price: 0.6746, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 8656.83, Sell volume: 98.64, Average price: 0.6746, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 8656.83, Sell volume: 98.64, Average price: 0.6746, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 8656.83, Sell volume: 98.64, Average price: 0.6746, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 8656.83, Sell volume: 98.64, Average price: 0.6746, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 8656.83, Sell volume: 98.64, Average price: 0.6746, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 8656.83, Sell volume: 98.64, Average price: 0.6746, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 8656.83, Sell volume: 98.64, Average price: 0.6746, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.4800
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 70.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.5038, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5600
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 104.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5757, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4300
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5700
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 129.72, Sell volume: 113.36, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.8200
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.1800
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.8300
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 155.22, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5003, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7521
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3940.14, Sell volume: 1549.30, Average price: 0.6218, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 8656.83, Sell volume: 98.64, Average price: 0.6746, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 8656.83, Sell volume: 98.64, Average price: 0.6746, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 8656.83, Sell volume: 98.64, Average price: 0.6746, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 8656.83, Sell volume: 98.64, Average price: 0.6746, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 8656.83, Sell volume: 98.64, Average price: 0.6746, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 8656.83, Sell volume: 98.64, Average price: 0.6746, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 8656.83, Sell volume: 98.64, Average price: 0.6746, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687564
Question: Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 13157.10551
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 8656.83, Sell volume: 98.64, Average price: 0.6746, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6700
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 70.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.4226, Price range: 0.0980 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5350
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4650
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 23.51, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.5700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6400
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 120.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6031, Price range: 0.5700 - 0.6600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.7350
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.2650
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.7350
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7300
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2700
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 16.00, Sell volume: 62.00, Average price: 0.4980, Price range: 0.2140 - 0.6400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2964.74, Sell volume: 1270.29, Average price: 0.5387, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2964.74, Sell volume: 1270.29, Average price: 0.5387, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2964.74, Sell volume: 1270.29, Average price: 0.5387, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2964.74, Sell volume: 1270.29, Average price: 0.5387, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2964.74, Sell volume: 1270.29, Average price: 0.5387, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2964.74, Sell volume: 1270.29, Average price: 0.5387, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2964.74, Sell volume: 1270.29, Average price: 0.5387, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2964.74, Sell volume: 1270.29, Average price: 0.5387, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2964.74, Sell volume: 1270.29, Average price: 0.5387, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6700
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 70.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.4226, Price range: 0.0980 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5350
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4650
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 23.51, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6400
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 120.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6031, Price range: 0.5700 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.7350
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.2650
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.7350
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7300
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2700
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 16.00, Sell volume: 62.00, Average price: 0.4980, Price range: 0.2140 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2964.74, Sell volume: 1270.29, Average price: 0.5387, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2964.74, Sell volume: 1270.29, Average price: 0.5387, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2964.74, Sell volume: 1270.29, Average price: 0.5387, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2964.74, Sell volume: 1270.29, Average price: 0.5387, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2964.74, Sell volume: 1270.29, Average price: 0.5387, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2964.74, Sell volume: 1270.29, Average price: 0.5387, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2964.74, Sell volume: 1270.29, Average price: 0.5387, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2964.74, Sell volume: 1270.29, Average price: 0.5387, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687566
Question: Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 38961.777964
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2964.74, Sell volume: 1270.29, Average price: 0.5387, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 8258.18, Sell volume: 498.29, Average price: 0.6647, Price range: 0.1955 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5600
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4400
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 63.51, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5250, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 256.63, Sell volume: 38.39, Average price: 0.4820, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6404

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6850
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3100
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3150
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6850
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2450
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7550
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2250
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 22.23, Sell volume: 185.29, Average price: 0.4477, Price range: 0.1955 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2161.40, Sell volume: 98.47, Average price: 0.7589, Price range: 0.3275 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 6219.93, Sell volume: 162.14, Average price: 0.9047, Price range: 0.5665 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 6219.93, Sell volume: 162.14, Average price: 0.9047, Price range: 0.5665 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 6219.93, Sell volume: 162.14, Average price: 0.9047, Price range: 0.5665 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 6219.93, Sell volume: 162.14, Average price: 0.9047, Price range: 0.5665 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 6219.93, Sell volume: 162.14, Average price: 0.9047, Price range: 0.5665 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 6219.93, Sell volume: 162.14, Average price: 0.9047, Price range: 0.5665 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 6219.93, Sell volume: 162.14, Average price: 0.9047, Price range: 0.5665 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 6219.93, Sell volume: 162.14, Average price: 0.9047, Price range: 0.5665 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 8258.18, Sell volume: 498.29, Average price: 0.6647, Price range: 0.1955 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5600
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4400
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 63.51, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5250, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 256.63, Sell volume: 38.39, Average price: 0.4820, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6404
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6850
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3100
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3150
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6850
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2450
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7550
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2250
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 22.23, Sell volume: 185.29, Average price: 0.4477, Price range: 0.1955 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2161.40, Sell volume: 98.47, Average price: 0.7589, Price range: 0.3275 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 6219.93, Sell volume: 162.14, Average price: 0.9047, Price range: 0.5665 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 6219.93, Sell volume: 162.14, Average price: 0.9047, Price range: 0.5665 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 6219.93, Sell volume: 162.14, Average price: 0.9047, Price range: 0.5665 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 6219.93, Sell volume: 162.14, Average price: 0.9047, Price range: 0.5665 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 6219.93, Sell volume: 162.14, Average price: 0.9047, Price range: 0.5665 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 6219.93, Sell volume: 162.14, Average price: 0.9047, Price range: 0.5665 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 6219.93, Sell volume: 162.14, Average price: 0.9047, Price range: 0.5665 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687568
Question: Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Volume: 8756.468328
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 6219.93, Sell volume: 162.14, Average price: 0.9047, Price range: 0.5665 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578093
Question: Will MrBeast say Million / Billion 15+ times during next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42946.626151
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.5500
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.4500
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.5400
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.4600
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.5350
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.4650
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.5250
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.4750
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.7000
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.3000
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.5450
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.4550
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.5450
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.4550
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.5500
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.4500
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.5650
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.4350
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.5550
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.4450
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.5550
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.4450
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.4850
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.5150
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.4700
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.5300
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.5250
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.4750
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.5250
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.4750
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.5250
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.4750
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.5200
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.4800
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.5750
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.4250
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.6000
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.4000
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.6100
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.3900
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.5650
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.4350
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.6100
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 217.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6307, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.7300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578093
Question: Will MrBeast say Million / Billion 15+ times during next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42946.626151
Price History:
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.6050
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.3950
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.6050
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.3950
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.3950
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.6050
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.6050
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.3950
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.6650
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.3350
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.6850
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.3150
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.3000
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.7000
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.6850
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.3150
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.6850
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.3150
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.6700
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.3300
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.6700
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.3300
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.6700
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.3300
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.3300
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.6700
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.3300
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.6700
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.3300
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.6700
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.3300
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.6700
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.3300
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.6700
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.3350
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.6650
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.3350
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.6650
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.3350
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.6650
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.3400
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.6600
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.3450
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 354.37, Sell volume: 3.03, Average price: 0.4580, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578093
Question: Will MrBeast say Million / Billion 15+ times during next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42946.626151
Price History:
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.3500
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.6500
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.3500
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.6500
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.3500
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.6500
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.3500
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.6500
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.3500
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.6500
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.3550
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.6450
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.3350
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.6650
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.3400
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.6600
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.3400
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.6600
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.4200
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.5800
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.5450
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.4550
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.5350
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.4650
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.5900
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.4100
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.5950
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.4050
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.4100
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.5900
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.4050
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.5950
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.6000
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.4000
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.3950
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.6050
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.3950
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.6050
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.6000
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.4000
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.3700
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.6300
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.6300
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 98.74, Sell volume: 54.56, Average price: 0.5515, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578093
Question: Will MrBeast say Million / Billion 15+ times during next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42946.626151
Price History:
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.6350
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.6350
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.6450
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.3550
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.3750
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.6250
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.6350
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.6350
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.6350
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.6350
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.6350
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.2900
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.7100
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.2950
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.7050
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.7050
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.2950
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.2950
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.7050
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.2950
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.7050
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.2800
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.7200
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.7200
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.2800
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.2800
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.7200
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.7350
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.2650
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.2800
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.7200
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.7450
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.2550
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.7200
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.2800
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.7000
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 13.75, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3667, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.3800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578093
Question: Will MrBeast say Million / Billion 15+ times during next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42946.626151
Price History:
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.7000
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.3000
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.7000
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.3000
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.7000
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.3000
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.7000
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.3000
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.7000
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.3000
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.6900
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.3100
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.6900
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.3100
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.6900
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.3100
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.6900
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.3100
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.6900
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.3100
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.6850
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.3150
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.6800
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.3200
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.6800
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.3200
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.6800
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.3200
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.6800
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.3200
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.3150
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.6850
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.6850
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.3150
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.6850
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.3150
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.6850
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.3150
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.6850
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.3150
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.6900
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.3100
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.3100
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 144.51, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3333, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.3400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578093
Question: Will MrBeast say Million / Billion 15+ times during next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42946.626151
Price History:
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.3100
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.6900
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.3100
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.6900
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.3100
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.6900
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.3100
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.6900
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.3150
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.6850
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.6850
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.3150
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.7600
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.2400
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.7450
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.2550
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.3100
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.6900
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.3450
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.6550
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.3450
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.6550
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.3450
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.6550
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.6550
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.3450
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.6550
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.3450
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.3500
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.6500
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.3500
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.6500
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.6500
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.3500
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.3500
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.6500
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.3500
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.6500
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.6500
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.3500
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.3500
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.6500
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.3500
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 155.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578093
Question: Will MrBeast say Million / Billion 15+ times during next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42946.626151
Price History:
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.6550
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.3450
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.3450
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.6550
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.6550
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.3450
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.3600
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.6400
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.3550
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.6450
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.3600
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.6400
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.3600
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.6400
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.2750
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.7250
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.7250
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.2750
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.3050
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.6950
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.3300
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.6700
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.6500
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.3500
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.3500
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.6500
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.4650
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.5350
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.5200
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.4800
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.5000
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.5000
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.4350
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.5650
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.5700
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.4300
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.4200
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.5800
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.4000
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.6000
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.4000
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.6000
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.4000
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 214.93, Sell volume: 192.84, Average price: 0.4751, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.6556

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578093
Question: Will MrBeast say Million / Billion 15+ times during next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42946.626151
Price History:
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.4000
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.6000
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.4000
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.6000
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.4000
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.6000
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.6000
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.4000
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.6000
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.4000
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.6000
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.4000
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.4000
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.6000
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.6000
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.4000
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.4000
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.6000
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.4000
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.6000
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.4000
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.6000
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.6000
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.4000
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.5250
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.4750
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.5000
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.5000
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.5450
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.4550
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.4400
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.5600
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.5500
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.4500
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.4300
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.5700
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.4150
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.5850
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.5850
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.4150
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.5800
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 40.48, Sell volume: 67.78, Average price: 0.5512, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.6300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578093
Question: Will MrBeast say Million / Billion 15+ times during next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42946.626151
Price History:
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.4200
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.5800
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.6000
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.4000
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.4000
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.6000
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.6050
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.3950
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.3850
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.6150
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.6150
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.3850
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.3850
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.6150
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.6150
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.3850
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.6150
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.3850
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.3850
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.6150
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.6350
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.3650
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.3650
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.6350
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.3750
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.6250
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.3800
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.6200
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.6200
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.3800
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.3800
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.6200
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.3800
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.6200
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.3800
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.6200
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.6200
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.3800
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.6200
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.3800
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.3400
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.6600
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.6500
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 41.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6250, Price range: 0.6100 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578093
Question: Will MrBeast say Million / Billion 15+ times during next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42946.626151
Price History:
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.3500
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.6500
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.3500
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.6500
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.3500
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.6500
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.3500
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.6500
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.6650
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.3350
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.3350
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.6650
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.3350
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.6650
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.3350
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.6650
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.3350
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.6650
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.6650
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.3350
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.3350
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.6650
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.6650
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.3350
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.6650
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.3350
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.6550
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.3450
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.6550
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.3450
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.6500
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.3500
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.6400
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.3600
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.3600
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.6400
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.6400
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.3600
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.6200
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.3800
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.6250
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.3750
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.3750
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 170.11, Sell volume: 7.11, Average price: 0.5029, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578093
Question: Will MrBeast say Million / Billion 15+ times during next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42946.626151
Price History:
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.3050
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.7300
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.2700
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.2700
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.7300
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.2700
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.7300
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.2650
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.7350
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.2700
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.7350
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.2650
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.7050
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.2950
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.7050
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.2950
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.7050
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.2950
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.7000
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.3000
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.6800
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.3200
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.7050
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.2950
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.7050
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.2950
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.6950
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.3000
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.7000
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.6900
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.3100
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.6850
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.3150
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.6850
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.3150
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.6950
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.6950
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.6950
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 185.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3856, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7136

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578093
Question: Will MrBeast say Million / Billion 15+ times during next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42946.626151
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.6950
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.6950
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.7000
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.3000
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.7000
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.3000
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.7000
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.3000
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.7050
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.2950
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.7000
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.3000
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.7000
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.3000
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.7050
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.2950
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.7000
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.3000
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.7000
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.3000
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.7000
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.3000
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.7000
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.3000
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.7000
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.3000
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.7050
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.2950
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.7050
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.2950
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.2900
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.7100
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.2450
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.2750
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.7250
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.2050
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.7950
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.2050
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.7950
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 315.18, Sell volume: 57.00, Average price: 0.4781, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8107

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578093
Question: Will MrBeast say Million / Billion 15+ times during next video?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42946.626151
Price History:
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.2300
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.7700
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.2450
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.2600
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.7400
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.2600
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.7400
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.2300
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.7700
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.2750
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.7250
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.2750
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.7250
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.2900
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.7100
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.7100
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.2900
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.7100
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.2900
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.2950
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.7050
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.7050
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.2950
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.7050
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.2950
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.3350
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.6650
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.6200
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.3800
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.5450
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.4550
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.5200
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.4800
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.4850
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.5150
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.7150
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 233.67, Sell volume: 70.04, Average price: 0.4191, Price range: 0.1517 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578093
Question: Will MrBeast say Million / Billion 15+ times during next video?
Volume: 42946.626151
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.5500
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.4500
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.5400
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.4600
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.5350
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.4650
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.5250
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.4750
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.7000
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.3000
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.5450
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.4550
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.5450
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.4550
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.5500
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.4500
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.5650
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.4350
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.5550
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.4450
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.5550
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.4450
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.4850
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.5150
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.4700
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.5300
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.5250
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.4750
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.5250
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 217.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6307, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No