Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.2700
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.7300
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.2700
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.7500
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.2300
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.7700
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.2300
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.8050
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.8050
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.1950
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.8050
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.1950
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.8050
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.1950
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.8050
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.1950
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.8150
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.1850
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.1950
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.8100
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.1900
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.8100
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.1900
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.8100
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.1950
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.8050
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.8050
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.1950
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.8050
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.1950
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.8050
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.1950
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.8050
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.2050
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.7950
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.2050
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.7950
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.2100
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.7650
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.2250
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 215593441.93, Sell volume: 111458610.41, Average price: 0.6225, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.7700
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.2300
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.7700
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.2300
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.7750
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.2200
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.7650
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.7650
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.7650
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.3000
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.7200
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.3150
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.6950
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.3150
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.6850
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.3100
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.6900
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.3100
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.6900
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.3400
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.5950
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.3750
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.6250
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.3750
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.6150
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.3900
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.6100
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.3950
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.6850
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.3150
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.6850
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.3150
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.7000
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.3250
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.6750
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.3100
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.6850
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.3500
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.6600
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.3400
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.6600
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.3600
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.6150
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.3950
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.6050
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.3800
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 215593441.93, Sell volume: 111458610.41, Average price: 0.6225, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-03-18 06:00: 0.3800
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.6250
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.3700
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.6300
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.3700
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.6350
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.3600
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.6400
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.3600
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.6400
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.3600
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.6400
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.3550
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.6500
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.3500
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.6400
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.3550
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.6500
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.3550
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.6450
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.6550
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.3350
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.6650
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.3350
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.6650
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.3300
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.6750
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.3250
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.6750
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.3250
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.6750
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.3200
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.6850
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.3150
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.6900
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.3150
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.6850
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.3150
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.6850
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.3150
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.6850
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.3150
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.7000
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.1950
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.7700
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.2300
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.7800
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.2300
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 215593441.93, Sell volume: 111458610.41, Average price: 0.6225, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.7800
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.2200
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.7700
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.2300
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.7700
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.2250
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.7750
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.2050
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.8000
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.2000
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.8000
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.2000
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.8200
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.1800
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.8300
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.1650
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.8350
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.1400
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.8600
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.1450
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.8600
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.1500
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.8550
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.1400
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.8600
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.1450
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.8600
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.1400
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.8550
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.1450
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.8550
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.1600
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.8400
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.1550
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.8350
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.1750
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.8250
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.1650
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.8350
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.1650
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.8350
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.1650
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.8350
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.1650
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.8350
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.1650
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.8350
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.1650
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.8250
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 215593441.93, Sell volume: 111458610.41, Average price: 0.6225, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.1550
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.8450
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.1450
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.8550
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.1450
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.8550
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.1450
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.8550
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.1400
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.8650
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.1350
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.8650
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.1350
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.8650
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.1300
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.8650
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.1350
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.8700
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.1250
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.8750
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.1250
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.8700
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.1300
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.8700
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.1400
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.8600
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.1400
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.8600
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.1400
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.8550
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.1450
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.8550
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.1450
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.8550
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.1450
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.8550
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.1450
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.8550
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.1350
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.8600
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.1500
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.8550
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.1450
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.8550
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.1450
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.8600
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.1450
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.8650
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.1350
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 215593441.93, Sell volume: 111458610.41, Average price: 0.6225, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.1250
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.8700
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.1300
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.8750
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.8750
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.8750
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.8750
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.1200
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.8800
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.1250
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0950
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0950
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9050
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.1000
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9050
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0650
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9300
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0750
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9300
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0750
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9250
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0600
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9450
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9350
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0550
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0550
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9550
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0550
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9450
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0550
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.8900
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.1350
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9150
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0800
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9100
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.1100
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 215593441.93, Sell volume: 111458610.41, Average price: 0.6225, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9050
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0800
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9150
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0800
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9200
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0850
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9150
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0800
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9400
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0600
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9450
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0550
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9500
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9450
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9550
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0450
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.9550
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.9500
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.9350
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.9350
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.0700
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.9350
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.0650
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.9300
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0700
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.9400
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0550
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.0550
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.9450
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.0650
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.9450
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0650
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.9350
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.0850
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.9200
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.1050
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.8900
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.1300
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1998, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2053724.22, Average price: 0.1116, Price range: 0.1116 - 0.1116

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.8800
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.1100
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.8900
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.1150
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.8850
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.1250
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.8800
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.8950
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.1100
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.8950
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.1150
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.8850
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0850
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9150
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0850
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.9150
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.0850
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.9150
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0850
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.9150
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0800
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.9150
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0850
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.9200
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.9250
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.0550
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9400
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0600
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.9400
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.0600
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.9450
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.0600
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9450
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0550
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9400
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.0600
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.9400
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0650
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.9400
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 305694, Buy volume: 124905507.34, Sell volume: 73615990.32, Average price: 0.4111, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9200
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0550
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9450
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0500
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9550
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0550
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9450
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0550
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9550
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0500
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9550
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9580
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0430
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9575
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0435
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9575
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0370
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9705
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0320
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9725
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0260
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.9820
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0210
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.9765
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0255
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.9765
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0225
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.9750
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0225
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.9790
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0155
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.9825
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0145
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.9845
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0150
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 687593, Buy volume: 78043196.36, Sell volume: 35677865.63, Average price: 0.7209, Price range: 0.0122 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.9855
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0150
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.9855
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0090
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.9910
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0090
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.9825
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0165
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.9840
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0150
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9850
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0140
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.9865
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0155
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.9845
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0190
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.9825
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0155
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.9845
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0155
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.9855
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0155
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.9850
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0145
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.9845
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0115
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9905
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0095
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.9905
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0115
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.9885
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.0135
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.9865
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0145
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.9865
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0120
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.9870
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0135
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.9875
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0095
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.9925
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0070
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.9905
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0120
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.9875
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0115
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.9890
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0115
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9935
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 590, Buy volume: 14381.53, Sell volume: 60012.59, Average price: 0.7539, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0070
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.9945
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0055
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9940
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0055
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.9940
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0040
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.9965
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9975
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.9960
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0035
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9955
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0040
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.9960
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0040
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9955
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9960
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0055
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.9960
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.0040
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.9960
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.0045
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.9960
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.9970
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0030
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.9970
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0030
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.9970
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.9975
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.9965
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.9970
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.9980
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 1200.73, Sell volume: 51017.65, Average price: 0.7564, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.5750
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.5250
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.4950
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.4900
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.4900
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.4850
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.4750
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.4800
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.4850
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.4800
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.4600
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.5200
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.5100
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.5050
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.5250
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.5200
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.5250
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.5200
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.5150
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.4850
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.4950
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.4150
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.4450
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.4550
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.4150
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.4050
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.2850
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.3550
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.3500
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 215593441.93, Sell volume: 111458610.41, Average price: 0.6225, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.6850
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.6550
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.6050
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.6200
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.6250
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.6250
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.6250
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.6250
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.6300
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.6250
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.6250
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.6350
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.6350
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.6300
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.6300
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.6300
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.6350
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.6300
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.6450
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.6500
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.6500
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.6500
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.6500
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.6500
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.6500
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.6750
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.6750
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.6750
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.6800
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 215593441.93, Sell volume: 111458610.41, Average price: 0.6225, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.2700
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.2700
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.2500
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.2300
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.1950
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.1950
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.1950
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.1950
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.1950
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.1950
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.1850
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.1950
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.1900
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.1900
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.1900
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.1900
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.1950
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.1950
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.1950
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.1950
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.1950
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.2050
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.2050
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2050
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 215593441.93, Sell volume: 111458610.41, Average price: 0.6225, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.7700
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.7700
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.7700
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.7650
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.7650
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.7650
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.7100
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.6850
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.6850
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.6850
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.6900
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.6900
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.5850
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.6300
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.6250
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.6100
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.6100
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.6050
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.6850
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.6850
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.7000
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.6750
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.6850
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.6500
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.6600
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.6500
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.6100
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.6050
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 215593441.93, Sell volume: 111458610.41, Average price: 0.6225, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-03-18 06:00: 0.3800
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.3700
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.3700
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.3650
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.3600
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.3600
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.3650
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.3600
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.3500
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.3600
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.3500
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.3550
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.3450
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.3350
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.3350
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.3300
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.3250
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.3250
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.3250
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.3200
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.3150
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.3150
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.3150
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.3150
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.3150
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.2250
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.2350
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.2300
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 215593441.93, Sell volume: 111458610.41, Average price: 0.6225, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.7800
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.7700
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.7700
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.7700
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.7850
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.8000
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.8000
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.8000
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.8200
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.8350
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.8400
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.8600
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.8550
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.8550
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.8600
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.8550
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.8600
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.8550
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.8550
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.8400
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.8400
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.8350
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.8250
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.8350
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.8350
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.8350
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.8350
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.8350
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.8350
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 215593441.93, Sell volume: 111458610.41, Average price: 0.6225, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.1550
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.1550
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.1450
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.1450
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.1450
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.1350
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.1350
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.1350
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.1350
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.1350
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.1350
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.1250
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.1250
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.1300
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.1300
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.1400
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.1400
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.1400
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.1450
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.1450
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.1450
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.1450
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.1450
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.1350
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.1450
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.1450
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.1350
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.1450
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.1450
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 215593441.93, Sell volume: 111458610.41, Average price: 0.6225, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.8750
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.8700
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.8750
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.8750
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.8750
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.8750
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.8800
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.8750
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9000
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9050
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9000
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9350
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9300
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9300
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9250
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9450
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9350
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9600
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9450
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9500
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.8800
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9150
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 215593441.93, Sell volume: 111458610.41, Average price: 0.6225, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0800
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0800
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0800
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0850
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0800
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0650
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0600
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0550
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0550
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0450
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0450
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0500
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.0650
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.0650
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.0650
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0550
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.0550
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.0650
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.0550
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.0850
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.0950
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1998, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2053724.22, Average price: 0.1116, Price range: 0.1116 - 0.1116
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.8800
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.8900
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.8850
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.8750
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.8800
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.8950
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.8950
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.8850
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.9150
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9150
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.9150
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.9150
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.9150
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.9200
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.9150
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9400
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.9400
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.9400
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.9450
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9400
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.9400
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 305694, Buy volume: 124905507.34, Sell volume: 73615990.32, Average price: 0.4111, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0550
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0550
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0550
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0550
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0500
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0500
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0450
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0430
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0445
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0425
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0385
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0325
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0275
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0260
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0210
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0225
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0220
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0250
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0215
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0155
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0140
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 687593, Buy volume: 78043196.36, Sell volume: 35677865.63, Average price: 0.7209, Price range: 0.0122 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.9855
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9855
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.9910
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.9910
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.9855
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.9840
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.9850
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.9860
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.9845
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9845
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.9830
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.9845
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9835
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.9845
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.9850
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9860
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.9905
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.9905
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.9885
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.9865
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.9855
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9870
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.9870
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.9875
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.9895
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.9930
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.9905
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9875
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9890
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 590, Buy volume: 14381.53, Sell volume: 60012.59, Average price: 0.7539, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0070
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0055
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0035
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0040
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0040
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0055
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.0040
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0040
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.0030
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.0020
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 1200.73, Sell volume: 51017.65, Average price: 0.7564, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.1700
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.1200
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.1200
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.1200
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.1100
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.1100
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.1100
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.1050
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.1050
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.1050
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.1150
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.1150
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.1150
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.1150
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.1150
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.1150
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.1150
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.1150
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.1150
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.1150
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.1150
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.1100
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.1100
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.1100
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.1100
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.1100
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.1100
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.1150
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.1600
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.1600
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.1650
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.1400
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.1400
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.1400
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.1450
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.1450
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.1450
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.1350
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.1400
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.1400
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.1400
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.1400
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.1400
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.1400
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.1400
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.1450
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.1450
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.0900
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.0650
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 25703.41, Sell volume: 1141.70, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.8850
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.8850
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.8850
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.8850
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.8850
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.8850
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.8850
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.8800
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.8800
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.8800
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.8800
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.8800
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.8850
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.8850
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.8850
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.8850
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.8850
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.8850
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.8850
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.8850
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.8850
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.8850
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.9000
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9000
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.9000
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.9000
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.9000
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.9050
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.9000
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.9000
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.9000
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.9000
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9000
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.9000
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.9000
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9000
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9150
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.9200
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9200
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.9200
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.9200
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.9150
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.9300
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.9300
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.9300
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9300
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9300
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9300
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 7742.56, Sell volume: 2879.65, Average price: 0.5903, Price range: 0.0769 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.0750
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.0750
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0750
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0750
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0750
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0750
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0750
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0750
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0750
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0750
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0750
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0750
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0750
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0750
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0750
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0750
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0750
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0750
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0750
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0750
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0750
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0750
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0750
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0750
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0750
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0750
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0750
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0750
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0750
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0750
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0750
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0750
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0700
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0650
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0650
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0650
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 5891.74, Sell volume: 4010.77, Average price: 0.4079, Price range: 0.0501 - 0.9408

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.9350
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.9350
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.9350
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.9350
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.9350
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.9350
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.9350
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.9350
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9350
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.9350
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9350
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.9350
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1459.23, Sell volume: 171.88, Average price: 0.6711, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.0600
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.0600
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.0600
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.0600
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0600
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0650
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0700
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0700
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0700
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.0700
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0700
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0700
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0700
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0700
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0700
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0700
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.0700
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0700
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0700
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.0550
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.0550
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.0550
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.0600
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.0600
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.0600
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.0600
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.0600
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.0600
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.0550
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.0500
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.0450
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2132.33, Sell volume: 159.59, Average price: 0.5081, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.9550
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.9550
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.9550
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.9550
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.9550
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.9550
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.9550
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.9550
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.9550
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.9550
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.9550
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.9550
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.9550
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.9550
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.9550
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.9550
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.9550
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.9550
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.9550
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.9550
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.9550
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.9550
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.9550
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.9550
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.9550
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.9550
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.9550
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.9550
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.9550
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.9550
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.9645
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.9645
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9650
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9660
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.9650
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.9655
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.9650
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.9650
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.9650
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.9650
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.9645
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.9650
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.9690
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.9690
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.9745
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.9750
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.9740
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.9750
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.9745
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 970.37, Sell volume: 1147.04, Average price: 0.4697, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0280
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0285
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.0290
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.0290
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.0290
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0295
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.0300
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.0300
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0260
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0260
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0260
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.0260
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.0260
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0365
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0450
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0450
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0445
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0445
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0440
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0450
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0445
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0345
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0390
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0350
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0350
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0350
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0350
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0390
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0390
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0375
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0375
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0355
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0250
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0220
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0225
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0225
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0225
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0225
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0225
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0225
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0225
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0255
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0240
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0235
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0240
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0215
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0220
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0200
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 4917.53, Sell volume: 1661.91, Average price: 0.5780, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9814

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.9750
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.9755
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9840
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9825
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.9750
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.9770
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9740
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.9740
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9740
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.9740
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.9770
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.9780
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.9745
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.9765
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9735
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9735
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.9730
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.9730
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9735
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9730
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.9730
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9730
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.9725
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9725
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9720
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.9725
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.9730
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.9740
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9740
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9820
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.9840
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.9865
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.9895
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9890
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.9890
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9885
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.9880
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.9880
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9880
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9880
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9880
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.9880
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9890
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.9890
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.9890
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.9890
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.9890
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9890
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9890
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 3006.65, Sell volume: 1432.15, Average price: 0.4568, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0115
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0115
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0200
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0200
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0240
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0170
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0165
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0165
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.0140
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.0135
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0170
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0170
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0170
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.0170
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.0170
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0185
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0180
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.0180
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0165
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.0180
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0185
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0185
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0190
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.0185
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.0215
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.0215
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.0215
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0180
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.0185
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.0195
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.0195
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.0195
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.0185
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.0165
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0155
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.0175
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.0140
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0140
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.0140
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0140
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.0130
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.0140
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.0135
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.0130
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.0110
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.0105
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.0100
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0100
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.0105
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 10115.47, Sell volume: 5898.96, Average price: 0.2521, Price range: 0.0089 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.9825
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.9805
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.9805
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.9825
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.9830
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.9780
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.9790
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.9765
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.9775
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.9815
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.9800
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.9775
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.9790
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.9785
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.9775
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.9775
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.9790
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.9780
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.9785
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.9785
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.9780
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.9795
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.9795
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.9805
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.9760
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9795
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.9770
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.9780
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.9780
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.9790
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.9755
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.9790
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.9780
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.9785
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.9795
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.9795
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.9795
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.9825
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.9825
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.9880
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.9880
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.9870
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.9835
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.9835
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.9860
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.9865
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.9865
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.9905
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.9890
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1999.50, Sell volume: 2099.43, Average price: 0.5737, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.0105
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.0105
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.0105
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.0105
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.0115
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.0115
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.0115
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.0120
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0120
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.0120
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.0120
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.0110
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0110
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.0110
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.0105
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.0110
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.0095
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.0085
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0085
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.0125
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0120
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.0105
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.0105
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.0110
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.0100
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.0100
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.0105
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.0095
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.0115
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.0115
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.0115
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.0115
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0115
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.0115
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.0115
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0115
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.0085
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0080
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.0080
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.0080
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0085
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.0085
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.0085
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.0085
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0075
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.0095
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.0095
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.0095
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0095
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 128, Buy volume: 8829.71, Sell volume: 9597.68, Average price: 0.2077, Price range: 0.0045 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9955
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.9960
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.9960
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.9950
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.9950
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.9950
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.9950
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9950
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.9950
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.9960
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.9965
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.9965
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.9960
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.9970
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.9960
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.9955
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.9965
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.9970
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.9965
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.9970
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.9950
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.9950
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.9950
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.9950
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.9955
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.9960
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.9960
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.9960
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9940
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.9940
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.9935
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.9935
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.9935
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.9940
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.9955
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.9955
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.9945
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.9925
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.9940
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.9930
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 385, Buy volume: 66041.93, Sell volume: 21770.31, Average price: 0.0489, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0040
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.0040
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.0040
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.0045
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0040
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.0045
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.0045
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.0045
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.0030
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.0040
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.0030
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.0030
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.0030
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.0030
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.0040
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.0030
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.0025
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0030
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0025
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.0030
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.0030
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.0030
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.0030
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.0030
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.0030
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.0030
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.0030
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.0030
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0030
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.0030
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0030
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0025
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0025
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 25407.83, Sell volume: 11382.36, Average price: 0.1715, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.1700
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.8850
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.1100
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.8900
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.1050
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.8950
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.1150
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.8850
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.1150
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.8850
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.1150
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.8850
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.1100
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.8900
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.1100
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.8900
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.1600
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.8400
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.1400
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.8600
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.1450
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.8650
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.1400
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.8600
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.1400
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.8600
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.1450
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.9100
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.1250
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 25703.41, Sell volume: 1141.70, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.8850
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.1150
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.8850
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.1150
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.8800
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.1200
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.8800
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.1200
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.8850
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.1150
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.8850
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.1150
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.8850
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.1000
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9000
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.1000
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.9000
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.1000
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9000
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.1000
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9000
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0800
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.9200
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0800
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.9300
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.0700
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9300
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9300
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 7742.56, Sell volume: 2879.65, Average price: 0.5903, Price range: 0.0769 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9250
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9250
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9250
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.9250
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0750
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.9250
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0750
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9250
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0750
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9250
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0750
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9250
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0750
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.9250
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0750
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9250
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0750
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9250
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0750
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.9250
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0750
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.9250
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0650
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.9350
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0600
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 5891.74, Sell volume: 4010.77, Average price: 0.4079, Price range: 0.0501 - 0.9408
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.9350
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.0650
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0650
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9350
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0650
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9350
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.9350
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.0650
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9350
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.9350
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1459.23, Sell volume: 171.88, Average price: 0.6711, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.0600
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.9400
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0600
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9300
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0700
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.9300
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0700
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.9300
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0700
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.9300
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0700
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.9350
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.9350
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.9350
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.9350
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.9350
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.0550
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.9400
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.0600
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.9400
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.0600
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.9500
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.0450
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2132.33, Sell volume: 159.59, Average price: 0.5081, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.9550
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.0450
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.9550
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.0450
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.9550
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.0450
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.9550
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0450
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.9550
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.0450
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.9550
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.0450
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.9550
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.0450
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.9550
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.0450
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.9550
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0355
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.9645
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0340
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.9655
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.0350
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.9645
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.0355
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.9690
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.0255
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.9750
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.0250
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.9750
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 970.37, Sell volume: 1147.04, Average price: 0.4697, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0280
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.9715
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.0285
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.9705
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.0300
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9740
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0255
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.9740
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0450
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.9550
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0440
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.9550
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.9635
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.0350
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9650
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0390
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.9605
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.9750
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0225
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9775
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0225
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.9775
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0255
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9760
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.0230
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.9780
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0200
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 4917.53, Sell volume: 1661.91, Average price: 0.5780, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9814
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.9750
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0160
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.9770
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0255
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.9740
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0260
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9760
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0250
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9735
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0270
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9730
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0270
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9730
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0275
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9720
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0270
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9740
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0160
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9855
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.0110
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9885
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0120
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.9880
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0125
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9890
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0110
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9890
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0110
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.9890
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 3006.65, Sell volume: 1432.15, Average price: 0.4568, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0115
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.9885
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0205
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.9830
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0165
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.9865
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.0175
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.9830
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.0170
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.9820
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.0165
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.9820
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0185
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.9810
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.0215
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.9785
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.0185
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.9805
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.0195
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.9835
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.0175
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.9860
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.0135
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.9870
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.0135
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.9895
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.0155
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.9900
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.0090
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 10115.47, Sell volume: 5898.96, Average price: 0.2521, Price range: 0.0089 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.9825
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.0195
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.9820
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.0215
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.9765
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.0185
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.9765
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.0215
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.9775
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.0210
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.9790
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.0215
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.9795
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.0195
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.9770
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.0220
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.9780
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.0245
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.9780
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.0215
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.9795
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0175
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.9835
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.0130
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.9835
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.0140
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.9865
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.0095
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.9885
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1999.50, Sell volume: 2099.43, Average price: 0.5737, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.0105
2025-03-18 06:00: 0.9895
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.0115
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.9885
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.0120
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.9885
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.0115
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.9890
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.0105
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.9905
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0085
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.9875
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.0105
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.9895
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.0100
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.9895
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.0115
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.9885
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.0115
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.9885
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0115
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.9900
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.0080
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.9915
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.0085
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.9915
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.0095
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.9905
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.0085
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 128, Buy volume: 8829.71, Sell volume: 9597.68, Average price: 0.2077, Price range: 0.0045 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9955
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.0040
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9950
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.0050
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9950
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.0040
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.9970
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0030
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.9960
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0035
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.9960
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.9950
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.0050
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.9950
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.9960
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0040
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9940
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.0065
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.9935
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0060
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.9955
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0045
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.9945
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.0060
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.9960
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 385, Buy volume: 66041.93, Sell volume: 21770.31, Average price: 0.0489, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521017
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by March 31?
Volume: 227697.921172
Price History:
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0040
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9960
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.0045
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.9955
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.0045
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.9965
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.9970
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.0030
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.9965
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.0025
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.9975
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.0030
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.9970
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.0030
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.9970
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0030
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.9970
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.0025
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.9985
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.9985
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 25407.83, Sell volume: 11382.36, Average price: 0.1715, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.4950
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.7550
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.2300
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.8150
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.2050
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.7950
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.2050
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.7800
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.2100
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.7650
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.2350
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.7750
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.2400
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.7600
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.2400
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.7600
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.2350
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.7850
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.2100
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.7900
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.2150
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.7900
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.2050
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.7950
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.2000
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.7950
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.2050
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.7950
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.2050
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.7950
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.2050
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.7950
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.2050
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.7950
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.2050
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.7950
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.2050
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.7950
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.2050
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.7950
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.2050
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.7950
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.2050
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.7950
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.2000
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.8000
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.2000
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.8000
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.2000
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164276.08, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.2000
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.8000
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.2000
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.8000
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.2000
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.8050
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.1950
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.8000
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.2000
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.8000
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.1950
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.8000
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.1950
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.8050
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.2000
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.8000
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.2000
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.8000
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.2000
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.8050
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.1850
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.8150
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.1850
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.8200
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.1750
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.8200
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.1800
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.8200
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.1800
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.8200
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.1800
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.8200
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.1750
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.8200
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.1750
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.8250
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.1750
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.8200
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.1700
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.8300
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.1700
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.8300
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.1700
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.8300
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.1700
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.8300
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.1700
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.8300
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.1700
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164276.08, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.1700
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.8300
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.1700
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.8300
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.1700
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.8250
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.1750
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.8250
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.1750
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.8300
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.1700
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.8250
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.1750
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.8250
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.1750
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.8250
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.1750
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.8250
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.1750
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.8250
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.1750
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.8250
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.1750
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.8250
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.1800
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.8200
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.1800
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.8200
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.1800
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.8200
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.1800
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.8200
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.1850
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.8150
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.1750
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.8250
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.1750
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.8250
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.1750
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.8250
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.1750
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.8250
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.1700
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.8300
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.1700
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.8300
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.1700
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.8300
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.1700
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164276.08, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.1700
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.8300
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.1700
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.8300
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.1700
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.8300
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.1700
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.8300
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.1700
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.8300
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.1700
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.8300
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.1700
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.8300
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.1600
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.8450
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.1550
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.8450
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.1550
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.8450
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.1550
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.8450
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.1550
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.8450
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.1550
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.8450
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.1550
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.8500
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.1550
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.8450
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.1550
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.8450
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.1550
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.8450
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.1550
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.8450
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.1550
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.8450
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.1550
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.8450
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.1500
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.8500
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.1550
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.8450
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.1550
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.8450
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.1450
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.8550
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.1450
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164276.08, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.1450
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.8550
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.1450
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.8550
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.1450
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.8550
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.1450
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.8550
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.1450
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.8550
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.1450
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.8550
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.1450
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.8550
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.1450
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.8550
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.1450
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.8550
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.1450
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.8550
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.1450
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.8550
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.1450
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.8550
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.1450
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.8550
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.1350
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.8650
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.1350
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.8650
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.1350
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.8650
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.1350
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.8650
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.1350
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.8650
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.1350
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.8650
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.1300
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.8700
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.1200
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.8800
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.1200
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.8800
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.1200
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.8900
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.1150
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.8850
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.1150
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164276.08, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.1150
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.8850
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.1150
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.8850
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.1150
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.8850
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.1150
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.8850
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.1150
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.8850
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.1150
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.8850
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.1150
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.8850
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.1150
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.8850
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.1150
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.8850
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.1150
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.8850
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.1150
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.8850
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.1150
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.1100
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.8850
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.8850
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.1150
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.8850
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.1150
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.8850
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.8850
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.1100
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.8900
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.8950
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.8950
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.9200
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9200
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9150
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.9150
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.0650
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9300
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0650
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0650
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9400
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.0600
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0600
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9400
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0600
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164276.08, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0650
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0650
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.0600
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.9400
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0600
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9400
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.0650
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.0850
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9150
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.8900
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9150
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9150
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0850
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.9000
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.0950
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9050
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.0850
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0850
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.0850
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.0850
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9150
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.0850
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0800
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9200
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.0800
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9200
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.9200
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.9150
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.9150
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.9150
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0850
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9150
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9150
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9150
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.9150
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.0850
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0850
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0850
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9150
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0850
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.9150
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164276.08, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9150
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0800
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.0800
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.9200
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.9200
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.0750
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.9250
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9250
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.0750
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.9250
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9250
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9250
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9250
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0750
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0750
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0750
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9250
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0750
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9250
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9250
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9250
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0750
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9300
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0700
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9300
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0750
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9250
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9250
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9250
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9250
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0750
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0750
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9250
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9300
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0700
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9300
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0700
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0700
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9300
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9300
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9300
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164276.08, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0650
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0650
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9350
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9350
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0650
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0650
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9350
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9350
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0650
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0650
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9350
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0650
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0650
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9350
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0650
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9350
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0650
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9350
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0650
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9350
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0650
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0650
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0650
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0650
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9350
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0650
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9350
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0650
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9350
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0650
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0650
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9350
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0650
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0650
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0650
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0650
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9350
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9350
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9350
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9350
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9350
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164276.08, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0650
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.0650
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0650
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9350
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0550
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0600
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9400
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0600
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0600
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9400
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0600
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9400
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0600
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0550
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0550
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9450
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0550
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0550
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9450
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0550
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9450
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0550
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9450
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0550
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9450
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0550
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9450
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9450
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0500
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9550
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0450
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0450
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9550
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0450
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9550
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0450
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0450
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0450
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0450
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0450
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9550
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9550
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9600
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0450
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0450
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9550
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164276.08, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0450
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9550
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0355
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0330
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9640
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9645
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0365
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0350
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0350
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9650
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0350
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0330
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0325
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0270
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0250
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9750
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0260
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9750
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0245
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9745
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0255
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9745
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0255
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0240
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0240
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9760
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0245
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0250
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9765
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0235
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9765
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0200
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0155
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9855
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0145
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9815
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0180
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9815
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9840
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9840
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9845
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0165
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9835
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9835
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0155
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9835
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0155
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9845
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0155
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164276.08, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9850
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9840
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.0160
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0160
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9840
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0160
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9840
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0160
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0185
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9775
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9780
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9780
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0255
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0255
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0255
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0235
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0235
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9780
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9780
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9785
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9795
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9765
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0220
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0220
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.0220
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9785
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0185
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0185
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0190
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0195
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9860
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0140
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0130
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9870
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9870
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9870
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0135
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0135
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9865
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0105
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9895
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0100
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0195
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0150
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9855
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9835
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9895
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9890
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164276.08, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9875
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0130
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9865
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0150
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9845
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0170
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9820
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0195
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9795
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0205
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9820
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0180
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.8990
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0965
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9020
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0400
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9550
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0440
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9505
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0430
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9410
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0625
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9375
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0630
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9355
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0820
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9260
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0830
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9560
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0975
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.8730
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9090
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0865
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9925
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0715
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.8855
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.1505
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0085
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9915
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999998, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164001.36, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.4950
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.2150
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.1900
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.2050
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.2150
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.2300
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.2350
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.2400
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.2350
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.2400
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.2150
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.2100
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.2150
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.2100
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.2050
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.1950
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.2050
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.2050
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.2050
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.2050
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.2050
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.2050
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.2050
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.2050
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.2050
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.2050
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.2050
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.2000
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.2000
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164276.08, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.2000
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.2000
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.2000
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.1950
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.2000
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.2000
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.1950
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.1950
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.2000
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.2000
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.2000
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.2000
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.1850
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.1850
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.1800
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.1800
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.1800
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.1800
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.1800
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.1800
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.1750
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.1750
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.1700
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.1700
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.1700
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.1700
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.1650
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.1700
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164276.08, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.1700
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.1700
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.1700
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.1750
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.1750
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.1750
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.1700
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.1750
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.1750
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.1750
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.1750
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.1750
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.1750
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.1750
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.1750
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.1800
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.1800
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.1800
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.1800
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.1850
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.1850
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.1750
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.1750
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.1750
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.1750
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.1750
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.1700
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.1700
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.1700
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164276.08, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.1700
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.1700
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.1700
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.1700
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.1700
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.1700
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.1700
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.1700
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.1700
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.1550
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.1550
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.1550
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.1550
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.1550
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.1550
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.1550
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.1550
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.1550
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.1550
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.1550
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.1550
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.1550
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.1550
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.1500
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.1550
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.1550
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.1450
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164276.08, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.1450
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.1450
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.1450
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.1450
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.1450
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.1450
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.1450
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.1450
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.1450
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.1450
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.1450
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.1450
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.1450
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.1450
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.1450
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.1450
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.1350
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.1350
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.1350
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.1350
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.1350
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.1350
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.1350
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.1350
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.1300
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.1200
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.1200
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.1200
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.1150
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164276.08, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.1150
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.1150
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.1150
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.1150
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.1150
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.1150
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.1150
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.1150
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.1150
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.1150
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.1150
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.1150
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.1150
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.8850
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.8900
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.8850
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.1150
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.1150
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.1150
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.8900
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.1050
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.8950
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.9250
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0850
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0850
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0700
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0650
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.9400
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0600
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164276.08, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0650
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.9350
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0600
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9400
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.9350
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0850
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.9150
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0850
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.9150
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0850
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9050
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9050
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.9150
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0850
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.0850
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.9200
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.9200
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.0800
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.9150
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.9150
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.9150
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.0850
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0850
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.9150
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.0850
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.0850
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164276.08, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes