Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.2000
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.1950
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.2000
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.1950
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.1950
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.1950
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.1850
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.1950
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.2000
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.2000
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.1950
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.1900
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.1900
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.1900
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.1900
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.1900
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.1900
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.1900
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.1900
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.1900
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.1900
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.1900
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.1800
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.1800
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.1400
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.1300
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.1300
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.0900
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0750
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.0750
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0750
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.0750
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.1200
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.1200
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.1150
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1539.03, Sell volume: 709.06, Average price: 0.6350, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.1150
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.1150
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.1200
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.1150
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.1150
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.1200
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.1200
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.1200
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.1200
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.1200
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.1100
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.1200
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.1150
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.1100
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0800
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0750
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0750
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0650
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0650
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0650
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0650
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0650
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0550
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0400
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 455.33, Sell volume: 459.10, Average price: 0.6954, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0400
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0400
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.0400
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0400
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0450
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0400
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0450
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0400
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0450
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0450
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0400
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0450
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0400
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0400
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0450
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0400
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0450
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0450
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0450
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0450
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0450
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0450
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0450
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0450
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0450
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.0450
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0350
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.0405
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.0410
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0405
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0400
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0405
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0405
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0400
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0405
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0405
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 930.64, Sell volume: 250.00, Average price: 0.5210, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0405
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0410
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0400
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0400
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0500
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0500
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0500
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0500
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0500
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0550
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0505
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.0595
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0595
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0595
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0595
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0595
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0590
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.0645
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0660
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0655
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0710
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0715
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0715
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0715
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0735
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0730
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0735
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0745
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0740
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0740
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.0755
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0755
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.0745
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.0735
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.0730
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.0720
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.0720
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0720
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0720
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0710
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.0710
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0710
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0710
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0710
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 788.45, Sell volume: 253.33, Average price: 0.1583, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.9410

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0690
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0680
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0680
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0680
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0675
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0670
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0670
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0670
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0675
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0665
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0665
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0660
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0645
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0635
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0635
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0635
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0590
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0595
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0580
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0515
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0495
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0550
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0540
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0560
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0520
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0520
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0500
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0505
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0500
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0505
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0505
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0500
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0505
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0500
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0505
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0500
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0505
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0505
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0505
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0500
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0505
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0505
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0505
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0505
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0505
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0505
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0505
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0500
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0505
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 387.69, Sell volume: 161.54, Average price: 0.5902, Price range: 0.0480 - 0.9530

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0575
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0495
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0560
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0555
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0555
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0550
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0555
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0555
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0550
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0550
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0365
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.0370
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0355
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.0365
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0365
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0365
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.0370
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.0360
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.0650
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.0640
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.0630
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.0305
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.0305
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.0605
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.0540
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.0470
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.0490
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0475
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.0470
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.0470
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.0365
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0215
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.0215
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0210
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.0075
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.0095
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0110
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0100
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0085
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0100
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.0075
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.0090
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0060
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0065
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.0085
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0090
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0035
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0085
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0090
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 4354.02, Sell volume: 313.14, Average price: 0.7894, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0085
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0095
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0085
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0095
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0090
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0100
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0045
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0045
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0045
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0045
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.0045
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0045
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0045
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0045
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0045
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0045
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.0045
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0045
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0045
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0045
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.0045
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0045
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0045
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0100
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0090
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0095
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.0100
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0100
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.0090
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0100
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0100
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0090
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.0100
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0095
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.0095
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0095
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.0085
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0095
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.0085
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0075
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0075
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.0075
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0075
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0075
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0075
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0075
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0075
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0075
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0075
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1091.00, Sell volume: 330.44, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0080
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0080
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0080
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0085
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0080
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0080
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0080
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0080
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0085
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0080
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0085
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0085
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0085
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0110
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.0110
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0115
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0115
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0115
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0105
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0115
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0075
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0095
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0125
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0140
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0130
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.0135
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.0140
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0140
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.0140
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0140
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0140
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0140
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.0140
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0140
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0135
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.0090
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0070
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.0080
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.0090
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.0080
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.0090
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.0175
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0175
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.0170
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0185
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0185
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0185
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0185
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0185
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 3667.88, Sell volume: 1350.33, Average price: 0.5835, Price range: 0.0035 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0185
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.0130
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0225
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0195
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0230
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0205
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0200
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0205
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0235
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0220
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0225
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.0225
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0215
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0240
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0195
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0240
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0225
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0225
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0225
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0280
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0275
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0285
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0310
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0235
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0235
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.0235
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0225
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0200
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0200
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0185
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0195
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0180
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0275
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0245
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0285
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0250
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0240
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0225
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0210
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0225
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0235
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.0225
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.3355
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.2995
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.3195
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.0020
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0010
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 186, Buy volume: 135157.61, Sell volume: 2626.91, Average price: 0.5119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.5000
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.5150
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.4700
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.5300
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.4700
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.5300
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.4700
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.4800
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.1150
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.8850
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.1050
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.8850
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.1050
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.8950
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.1050
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.9000
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.1050
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.8850
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.1200
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.8800
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.1200
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.8800
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.1200
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.8750
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.1450
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.8500
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.1500
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.8450
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.1550
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 619.64, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6332, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.1650
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.7300
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.2550
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.8300
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.2600
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.7450
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.2050
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.8150
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.1950
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.8150
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.8300
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.1600
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.8400
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.8150
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.1900
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.8100
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.8100
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.8200
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.1850
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.8200
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.8250
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.8250
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 867.33, Sell volume: 440.45, Average price: 0.4906, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.1600
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.8350
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.1600
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.8400
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.1650
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.8350
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.1650
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.8350
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.1650
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.8350
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.8200
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.7850
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.3200
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.6750
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.3250
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.7050
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.2150
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.7650
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.2200
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.7500
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.2550
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.8000
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.2650
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.7150
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.2800
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.7200
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.2800
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 2237.17, Sell volume: 119.03, Average price: 0.3526, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.2850
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.7150
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.2850
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.7150
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.2850
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.7150
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.2800
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.7150
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.2700
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.7400
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.2750
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.7300
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.2650
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.7300
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.2750
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.7250
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.2700
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.7300
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.2700
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.7300
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.2750
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.7250
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.2700
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.7350
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.2800
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.7400
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.2600
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.7400
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.2600
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 1323.69, Sell volume: 545.18, Average price: 0.4314, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.2000
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.8050
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.1950
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.8050
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.8100
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.8100
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.8100
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.1850
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.8100
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.8100
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.2000
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.8000
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.1900
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.8100
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.1900
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.8100
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.1900
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.8100
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.1900
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.8100
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.1800
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.8600
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.1300
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9100
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0750
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1539.03, Sell volume: 709.06, Average price: 0.6350, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.1150
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.8850
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.1150
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.8850
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.1200
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.8800
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.1200
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.8900
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.1150
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.8900
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0650
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9350
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0650
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9350
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.9450
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.9450
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.9450
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.9450
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.9450
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9450
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 455.33, Sell volume: 459.10, Average price: 0.6954, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9550
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.9550
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9550
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.9550
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.0450
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.9550
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0400
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9550
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0400
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9550
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0450
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9550
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0450
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9600
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0450
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9600
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0450
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9550
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0450
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.9550
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0450
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9550
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0350
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.9595
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0405
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 930.64, Sell volume: 250.00, Average price: 0.5210, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0405
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9590
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0400
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9500
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0500
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9500
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0550
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9495
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0595
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9405
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0595
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9410
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9350
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9340
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0655
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9290
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0715
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9285
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0730
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9265
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0740
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9260
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0755
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9255
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.0730
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9280
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0720
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.9280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 788.45, Sell volume: 253.33, Average price: 0.1583, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.9410
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0690
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9320
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0680
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9325
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0670
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9330
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0665
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9335
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0645
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.9365
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0635
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9410
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0580
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.9485
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0550
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.9460
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0520
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9480
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0505
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9500
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0505
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9500
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0500
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9495
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0505
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9495
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0500
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.9495
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0505
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.9495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 387.69, Sell volume: 161.54, Average price: 0.5902, Price range: 0.0480 - 0.9530
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0575
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.9505
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0555
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.9445
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0555
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.9445
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0550
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.9635
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0355
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.9635
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0365
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.9630
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.0650
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.9360
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.0305
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.9695
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.0540
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.9530
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0475
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.9530
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.0365
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.9785
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0210
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.9925
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0110
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.9900
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0100
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.9925
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0060
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 4354.02, Sell volume: 313.14, Average price: 0.7894, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0085
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.9905
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0095
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.9910
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0045
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9955
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0045
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9955
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0045
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.9955
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0045
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9955
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0045
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9955
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0045
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.9955
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0090
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.9905
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0100
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9910
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0100
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9910
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0095
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.9905
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.0085
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.9905
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0075
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.9925
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0075
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1091.00, Sell volume: 330.44, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0080
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.9920
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0085
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.9920
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0080
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.9920
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0080
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.9915
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0085
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.9890
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0115
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9885
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0105
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.9885
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0095
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.9875
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0130
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.9865
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0140
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.9860
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0140
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.9860
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0140
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.9865
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0070
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9920
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.0080
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.9910
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0175
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 3667.88, Sell volume: 1350.33, Average price: 0.5835, Price range: 0.0035 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0185
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9870
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0195
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9770
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0200
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.9795
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0220
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.9775
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0215
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9760
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0240
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9775
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0225
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9720
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0285
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9690
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0235
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.9765
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0200
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.9800
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0195
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.9820
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0245
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.9715
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0240
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9775
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0225
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.9765
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.3355
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.7005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 186, Buy volume: 135157.61, Sell volume: 2626.91, Average price: 0.5119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.5000
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.2550
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.2600
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.2600
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.2600
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.2600
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.2600
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.2600
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.2550
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.2350
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.2300
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.2300
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.1250
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.0500
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.0500
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.0650
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.0750
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.0700
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.0700
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.0700
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.0650
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.0650
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.0700
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.0700
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.0700
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.0700
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.1650
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.1050
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.1100
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.1000
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.0950
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.1050
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.1000
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.1050
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.1250
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.1250
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.0900
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.0950
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.0950
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.0900
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.0900
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.0850
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.0850
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.0850
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.0850
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0850
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.0850
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.0850
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.0850
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 2652.59, Sell volume: 56.03, Average price: 0.7718, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.0850
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.0850
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.0850
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.0700
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.0700
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0700
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0700
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 822.14, Sell volume: 996.58, Average price: 0.6855, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0600
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.0600
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.0600
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0800
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.0800
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.0750
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0700
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0700
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0700
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0700
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.0700
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.0700
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0650
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.0700
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.0650
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0700
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.0700
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.0700
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0650
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.0700
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.0550
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.0550
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.0600
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.0600
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0550
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.0600
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0650
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0500
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0500
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.0500
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 681.18, Sell volume: 244.65, Average price: 0.7796, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0450
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.0445
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0445
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0435
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0480
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0480
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.0380
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0485
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0350
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0305
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.0300
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0300
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.0300
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.0310
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.0300
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0310
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.0295
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0295
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0295
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0295
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0295
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0295
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0305
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0305
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0305
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0290
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0355
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0350
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.0350
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0355
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.0355
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0345
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.0310
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0295
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.0345
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0350
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 215.96, Average price: 0.8202, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0350
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0345
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0340
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.0345
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.0345
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0335
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0285
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0290
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0295
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0305
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0295
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0290
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0290
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0285
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0290
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0350
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0345
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0350
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0345
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.0350
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0350
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.0345
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.0345
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.0345
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0345
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.0350
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.0345
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.0290
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.0295
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.0285
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.0285
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.0255
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.0245
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.0320
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0300
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.0295
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.0310
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.0335
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.0310
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.0275
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.0340
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0300
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0265
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.0240
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0240
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.0240
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.0240
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0240
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.0235
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1069.51, Sell volume: 169.06, Average price: 0.8832, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0225
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.0225
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.0220
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0230
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.0230
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0215
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0220
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.0225
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.0230
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.0220
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0230
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0230
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0215
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0230
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0220
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0225
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0230
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0220
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0225
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0230
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0230
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0230
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0225
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0230
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0215
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.0215
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0230
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0225
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.0230
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0230
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0220
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0230
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.0230
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0230
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.0220
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.0230
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0215
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0235
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0235
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0235
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0225
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0225
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0235
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0235
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0230
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0230
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0225
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0235
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0225
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 71.01, Sell volume: 20.39, Average price: 0.7059, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0225
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0225
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0235
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0230
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0225
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0235
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0235
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0235
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0230
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0235
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.0235
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0225
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.0235
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.0230
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.0235
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0235
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0235
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0225
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0235
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0230
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0235
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0235
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0235
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0230
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0235
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0220
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0235
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0235
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0230
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0235
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0225
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0235
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0235
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0235
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0235
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0235
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0300
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0300
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.0300
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0300
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.0305
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.0300
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0300
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0305
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0305
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0300
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0295
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0305
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0300
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 423.24, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3485, Price range: 0.0265 - 0.9790

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0305
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0300
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0300
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0300
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0305
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0305
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0300
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0300
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0295
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0300
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0290
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.0300
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0305
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0305
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0295
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0300
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0295
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.0305
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0305
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.0300
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0300
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0295
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0295
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0300
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0290
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0305
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0300
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0295
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0300
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0300
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0300
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0295
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0300
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0295
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0300
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.0300
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0305
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.0295
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.0300
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.0300
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.0295
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.0305
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0295
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0300
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0305
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.0300
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0300
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0300
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0295
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 436, Buy volume: 35142.18, Sell volume: 4580.66, Average price: 0.7933, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0305
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0300
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0295
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0300
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0295
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0290
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0295
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0295
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0295
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0290
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0290
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0295
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0295
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0290
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0280
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0270
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0280
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0290
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0280
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0210
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0235
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0260
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0255
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0245
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0300
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0285
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0280
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0325
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0320
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0320
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0320
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0320
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0315
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0315
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0320
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0315
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0320
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0320
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0320
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0315
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0320
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0315
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0320
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0315
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0305
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0300
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0300
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0315
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0310
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 377.79, Sell volume: 21.10, Average price: 0.8659, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0295
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0245
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0285
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0280
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0290
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0115
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0100
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0100
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0100
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0080
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0070
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0040
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.0035
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0035
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.0020
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.0020
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0020
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0020
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0020
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0020
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 3055.07, Sell volume: 567.80, Average price: 0.8539, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0020
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 866.02, Sell volume: 192.34, Average price: 0.9082, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0020
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0020
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0020
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0020
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0020
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0020
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.0020
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0020
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0020
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.0020
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.0020
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.0020
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.0020
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.0020
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.0020
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0020
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0020
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0020
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0020
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0020
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0020
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 3119.36, Sell volume: 1510.61, Average price: 0.7093, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.0020
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0020
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0020
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0020
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0020
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0020
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0070
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.0105
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0060
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 20618.78, Sell volume: 586.14, Average price: 0.7382, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.5000
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.7450
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.2600
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.7400
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.2600
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.7400
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.2350
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.7700
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.1250
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.9500
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.0650
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.9250
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.0700
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.9300
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.0650
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.9300
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.0700
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.9300
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.1050
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.8900
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.0950
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.8950
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.1050
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.8750
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.0900
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.9050
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.0900
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.9100
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.0850
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 2652.59, Sell volume: 56.03, Average price: 0.7718, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.0850
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.9150
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.9150
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.9150
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.9150
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.9150
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.9150
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.9150
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.9150
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.9150
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.9250
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.9250
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.9250
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.9350
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.9350
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 822.14, Sell volume: 996.58, Average price: 0.6855, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0600
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.9400
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0800
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.9200
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0700
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.9300
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0700
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.9300
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0650
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.9300
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0700
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.9300
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0650
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.9300
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.0550
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.9400
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0550
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.9400
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0650
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.9450
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.9450
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.9450
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.9450
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0500
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.9500
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 681.18, Sell volume: 244.65, Average price: 0.7796, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.9600
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.9600
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.9600
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.9550
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.9600
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0445
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.9565
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0480
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.9620
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0350
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.9695
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0300
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.9700
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.0300
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.9690
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0295
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9705
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0295
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.9705
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0305
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.9695
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0355
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.9650
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0355
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 215.96, Average price: 0.8202, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0350
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.9655
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.0345
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.9655
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0285
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.9710
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0305
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.9705
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0290
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.9715
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0350
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.9655
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0345
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.9650
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.0345
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.9655
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0345
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.9650
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.0290
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.9705
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.0285
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.9745
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.0320
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.9700
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.0310
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.9665
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.0275
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9660
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0265
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.9760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1069.51, Sell volume: 169.06, Average price: 0.8832, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0225
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.9775
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0230
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.9770
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0220
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.9775
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.0220
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9770
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0215
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9770
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0225
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9770
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0225
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9770
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0230
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9775
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0215
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.9785
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0225
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.9770
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0220
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.9770
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0230
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.9780
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0215
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.9765
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0235
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9775
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0235
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 71.01, Sell volume: 20.39, Average price: 0.7059, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0225
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9775
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0230
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.9775
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0235
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9765
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0235
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.9765
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.0235
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.9770
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0235
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9765
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0235
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9770
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0235
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9765
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0235
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9780
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0235
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9770
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0225
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9765
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0235
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.9765
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0300
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9700
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0300
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.9695
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0300
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 423.24, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3485, Price range: 0.0265 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0305
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9700
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0300
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9695
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0300
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9700
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0300
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9710
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0305
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9695
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0300
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9705
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0305
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9700
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0295
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9705
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0290
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9695
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0295
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9700
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0300
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9705
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0295
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9700
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0305
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9705
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.0300
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9705
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0295
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 436, Buy volume: 35142.18, Sell volume: 4580.66, Average price: 0.7933, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0305
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9700
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0300
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9705
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0295
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9705
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0290
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9710
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0295
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.9710
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0270
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9720
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0280
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.9790
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0260
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.9745
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0300
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9715
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0325
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9680
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0320
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9680
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0315
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9680
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0320
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9680
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0315
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.9680
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0320
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 377.79, Sell volume: 21.10, Average price: 0.8659, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0295
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.9755
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0280
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.9710
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0100
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.9900
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0080
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.9930
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.9970
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.9970
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.9975
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.9970
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.9975
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.9975
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.9960
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0035
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.9980
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0020
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.9980
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0020
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 3055.07, Sell volume: 567.80, Average price: 0.8539, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.9985
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9985
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.9985
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9985
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.9985
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.9985
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 866.02, Sell volume: 192.34, Average price: 0.9082, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9980
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0020
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0020
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0020
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.9980
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0020
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.9980
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9980
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.0020
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.9980
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0020
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 3119.36, Sell volume: 1510.61, Average price: 0.7093, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520148
Question: Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 39722.837575
Price History:
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9980
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9980
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.9985
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.9980
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0020
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.9985
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9980
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0070
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 20618.78, Sell volume: 586.14, Average price: 0.7382, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.5000
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.2550
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.2550
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.2550
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.2550
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.3000
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.3000
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.3000
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.3000
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.3000
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.3000
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.3000
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.1450
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.0750
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.0800
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.0750
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.0550
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.0550
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.0500
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.0500
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.0450
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.0500
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.0500
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.0500
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.0500
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.0500
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.0500
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.0500
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.0500
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.0500
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.0500
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.0500
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.0500
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.0500
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.0500
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.0500
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.0500
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 685.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8137, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.0550
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.0550
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.0550
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.0550
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.0550
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0550
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.0550
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.0550
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.0550
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.0550
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.0550
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.0550
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.0550
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.0550
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.0550
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.0550
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.0500
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.0500
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.0550
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.0550
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.0550
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.0500
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.0500
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.0500
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.0450
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.0300
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0310
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0310
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.0310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 3098.12, Sell volume: 1481.84, Average price: 0.6611, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0300
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.0290
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.0255
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0265
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.0250
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.0250
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0295
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0290
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0295
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0300
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.0300
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.0300
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0295
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.0295
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.0310
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0320
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.0365
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.0375
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0400
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.0405
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.0410
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.0410
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.0410
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.0415
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0390
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.0410
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.0385
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0415
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.0420
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0420
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0420
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.0375
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0405
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0405
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.0405
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.0405
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0405
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0405
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0405
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0405
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.0405
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.0400
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0375
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.0375
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0380
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.0380
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.0380
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.0380
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0380
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.0380
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2134.80, Sell volume: 23.15, Average price: 0.8104, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9690

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0375
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0390
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0390
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0385
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0410
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.0410
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0410
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.0420
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0420
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0420
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.0380
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0375
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.0375
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0365
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0370
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0365
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0365
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.0355
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0365
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0355
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0365
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.0365
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0365
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.0365
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.0365
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.0365
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0370
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.0370
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0370
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0370
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0370
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0370
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0370
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0360
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0360
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0365
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0250
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0245
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0250
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.0255
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0265
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.0260
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0255
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.0215
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0220
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.0215
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0230
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1017.94, Sell volume: 128.96, Average price: 0.8326, Price range: 0.0340 - 0.9870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0205
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0215
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0215
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.0235
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.0240
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0250
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0215
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0210
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0210
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0105
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0100
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0105
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0105
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0090
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0080
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0080
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0060
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0055
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0055
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.0055
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0050
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.0050
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.0045
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.0065
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0065
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.0065
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.0070
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.0080
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.0080
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.0080
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.0085
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.0085
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.0080
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.0085
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0085
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.0080
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.0080
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.0045
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.0045
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.0045
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.0045
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0045
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0045
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.0045
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0045
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.0045
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.0045
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0045
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.0045
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2038.32, Sell volume: 449.06, Average price: 0.7256, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0105
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.0105
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.0110
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0115
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.0120
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0120
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0115
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.0115
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.0115
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.0115
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0120
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0125
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0115
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0115
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0120
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0120
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0115
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0115
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0120
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0125
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0125
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0125
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0125
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0120
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0115
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.0120
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0115
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0115
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.0110
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0115
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0110
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0115
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.0115
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0110
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.0110
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.0110
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0110
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0110
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0110
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0110
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0110
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0110
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0105
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0110
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0100
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0100
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0100
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0100
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 32.02, Sell volume: 31.00, Average price: 0.6643, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0100
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0100
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0100
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0100
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0100
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0105
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0110
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0110
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.0100
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0110
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.0105
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.0100
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.0105
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0115
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0115
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0115
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0115
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0115
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0115
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0110
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0110
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0110
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0110
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0110
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0110
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0110
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0110
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0110
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0110
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0105
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0110
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0105
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0110
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0115
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0110
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0110
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.0110
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0115
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.0105
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.0120
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0110
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0115
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0115
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0110
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0110
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0110
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0105
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2.01, Sell volume: 126.40, Average price: 0.6643, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0110
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0110
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0115
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0115
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0115
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0105
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0110
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0115
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0120
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0115
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0115
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.0115
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0120
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0115
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0115
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0120
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0120
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.0120
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0120
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.0120
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0120
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0130
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0115
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0095
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.0105
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0110
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.0095
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.0105
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.0090
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.0090
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.0110
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0105
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0110
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0080
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.0080
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0085
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0110
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0100
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 436.47, Sell volume: 1545.22, Average price: 0.2572, Price range: 0.0067 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0100
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0090
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0080
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0080
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0085
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0085
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0075
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0075
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0070
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0070
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0075
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0075
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0070
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0075
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0075
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0075
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 286.00, Sell volume: 460.47, Average price: 0.7478, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0035
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.0035
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0035
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.0035
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 2973.06, Sell volume: 1196.91, Average price: 0.7551, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 549, Buy volume: 76412.48, Sell volume: 46254.55, Average price: 0.4555, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0035
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0030
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0035
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0035
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0030
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.0030
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.0030
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0030
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.0030
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0035
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0030
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0030
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0045
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.0035
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0030
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.0040
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.0030
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.0035
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.0035
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.0050
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0050
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0050
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0050
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0050
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0050
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 178, Buy volume: 26466.77, Sell volume: 15761.60, Average price: 0.2159, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0050
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.0030
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0030
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0030
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0030
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0030
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.0045
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0050
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0045
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0030
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0030
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0030
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0030
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0030
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0030
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0030
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0030
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0030
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0040
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0040
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0040
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0040
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0040
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0040
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.0040
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.4225
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.3370
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0460
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 132, Buy volume: 35602.04, Sell volume: 25049.94, Average price: 0.2441, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.5000
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.7450
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.2550
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.7450
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.3000
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.7000
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.3000
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.7000
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.1450
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.9250
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.0750
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.9450
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.0500
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.9500
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.0500
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.9500
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.0500
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.9500
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.0500
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.9500
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.0500
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.9500
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.0500
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.9500
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.0500
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.9450
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.9450
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 685.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8137, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.0550
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.9450
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.0550
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.9450
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.0550
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.9450
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.0550
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.9450
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.0550
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.9450
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.0550
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.9450
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.0550
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.9500
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.9350
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.9350
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.9350
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.9350
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.9350
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.9350
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.0550
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.9450
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.0500
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 3098.12, Sell volume: 1481.84, Average price: 0.6611, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0300
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.9710
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0265
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.9750
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0295
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.9710
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0300
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.9700
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0295
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.9705
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0320
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.9635
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0400
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.9595
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.0410
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.9590
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0390
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.9590
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0415
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.9580
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0420
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.9625
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0405
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.9595
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0405
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.9595
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0405
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.9595
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0375
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2134.80, Sell volume: 23.15, Average price: 0.8104, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0375
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.9610
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0385
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.9590
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.9590
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0420
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.9580
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0375
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.9600
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0365
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.9630
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0365
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.9645
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0355
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.9635
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0365
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.9635
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.0365
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.9630
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0370
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9630
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0370
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.9630
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0360
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.9635
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0245
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.9750
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0265
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1017.94, Sell volume: 128.96, Average price: 0.8326, Price range: 0.0340 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0205
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.9785
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.0235
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.9760
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0215
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.9790
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0105
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.9900
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0105
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.9910
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0080
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.9940
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0055
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.9945
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.0050
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.9955
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0065
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.9935
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.0080
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.9920
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.0085
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.9915
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.0085
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.9915
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.0080
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.9955
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.0045
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9955
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0045
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2038.32, Sell volume: 449.06, Average price: 0.7256, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0105
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.9895
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0115
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.9880
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0115
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.9885
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.0115
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9880
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0115
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9885
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0120
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9885
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0120
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9875
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0125
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9875
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0115
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.9880
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0115
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.9890
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0110
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.9885
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0110
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.9890
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0110
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.9890
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0110
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9890
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0105
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 32.02, Sell volume: 31.00, Average price: 0.6643, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0100
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9900
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0100
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.9900
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0100
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9895
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0110
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.9900
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.0105
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.9900
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0115
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9885
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0115
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9885
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0110
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9890
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0110
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9890
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0110
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9890
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0110
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9895
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0105
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.9890
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0110
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9890
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0115
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.9895
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0110
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2.01, Sell volume: 126.40, Average price: 0.6643, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0110
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9890
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0115
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9885
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0110
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9885
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0115
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9885
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0120
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9885
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0120
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9880
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0120
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9880
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0130
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9885
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9905
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0110
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9905
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.0090
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9910
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0105
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 436.47, Sell volume: 1545.22, Average price: 0.2572, Price range: 0.0067 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0100
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9910
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0080
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9915
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0075
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9925
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0070
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9925
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0070
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.9930
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9930
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0075
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.9940
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.9935
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9940
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9940
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9940
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9945
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.9945
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 286.00, Sell volume: 460.47, Average price: 0.7478, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520149
Question: Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director
Volume: 122667.031451
Price History:
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.9970
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0035
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.9970
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.9970
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.9970
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.9970
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.9970
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.9970
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.0035
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.9970
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.9970
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.9965
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 2973.06, Sell volume: 1196.91, Average price: 0.7551, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes