Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561618
Question: Will Northern Ireland win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16096.959
Price History:
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9615
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0415
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9590
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0410
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9585
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0415
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9600
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0400
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9600
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0400
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9600
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0405
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9595
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0400
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9620
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0405
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9580
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0395
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9605
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0395
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9605
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0395
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9610
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0390
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9610
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0390
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9610
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0390
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9610
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0390
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9610
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0390
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9610
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0390
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9610
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0390
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9610
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0390
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9610
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0390
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9610
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0390
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9610
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0390
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9555
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0445
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9615
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0375
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9625
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 16032.14, Sell volume: 64.82, Average price: 0.7845, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561618
Question: Will Northern Ireland win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16096.959
Price History:
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9560
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0405
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9610
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0395
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9610
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0390
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9610
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0390
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9570
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0395
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9560
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0410
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9615
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0385
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9615
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0390
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9620
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0385
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9615
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0385
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9610
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0430
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9570
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0430
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9570
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0430
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9570
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0430
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9570
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0430
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9570
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0430
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9570
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0430
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9570
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0430
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9560
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9820
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0085
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 14600.48, Sell volume: 45.08, Average price: 0.8159, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561618
Question: Will Northern Ireland win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16096.959
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.1950
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.2300
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.2200
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.2150
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.2150
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.2050
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.1950
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.1900
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.1400
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.1400
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.1400
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.1400
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.1250
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0800
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0800
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0700
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0550
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0500
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0500
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0450
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0450
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.1450
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.1250
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.1150
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 250.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561618
Question: Will Northern Ireland win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16096.959
Price History:
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.1200
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.1200
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.1150
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0900
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0900
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0900
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0750
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0800
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0800
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.0800
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.1500
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.0750
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0700
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.0700
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.1200
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0650
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.0600
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.0600
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.0600
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.0600
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0600
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.0600
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0600
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0600
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.0600
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0600
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0600
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.0600
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.0600
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 16032.14, Sell volume: 64.82, Average price: 0.7845, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561618
Question: Will Northern Ireland win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16096.959
Price History:
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.0600
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0600
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.0600
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0600
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.0700
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.0700
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.0700
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.0750
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.0750
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0750
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.0750
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0750
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.0750
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0750
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.0700
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.0750
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.0700
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.0700
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.0650
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.0650
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0650
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.0700
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0700
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0700
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.9300
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.9300
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.0650
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.9300
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0750
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 16032.14, Sell volume: 64.82, Average price: 0.7845, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561618
Question: Will Northern Ireland win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16096.959
Price History:
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.0750
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.9250
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.9300
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.9300
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.0700
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.9300
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9200
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.0800
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.0800
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.0800
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.0800
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0750
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.0750
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.0750
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0750
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.9250
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.9250
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.8600
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.1350
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.8600
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.1700
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.1650
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.1250
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.1300
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.1300
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.1300
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.1150
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.8650
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 16032.14, Sell volume: 64.82, Average price: 0.7845, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561618
Question: Will Northern Ireland win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16096.959
Price History:
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.8650
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.1350
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.1350
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.1400
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.1350
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.8550
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.1400
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.1350
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.8650
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.1350
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.8650
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.1300
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.1300
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.1300
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.8700
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.8750
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.1250
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.1250
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.1250
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.1250
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.1250
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.1250
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.1250
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.1250
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.8750
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.8750
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.8750
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.1250
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.8750
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 16032.14, Sell volume: 64.82, Average price: 0.7845, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561618
Question: Will Northern Ireland win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16096.959
Price History:
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.8750
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.8750
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.1250
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.1250
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0850
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0800
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0850
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0800
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9200
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0800
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9200
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9200
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.1100
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0800
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.1150
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.8800
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.2200
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.1750
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.3795
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.2150
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.2155
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.2195
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.2150
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 41.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561618
Question: Will Northern Ireland win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16096.959
Price History:
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.6005
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.2345
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.7655
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.7630
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.2345
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.1740
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.8255
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.1745
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.1700
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.8250
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.1495
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.1300
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.1345
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.1340
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.8655
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.1345
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.8660
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.8660
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.1305
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.8700
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.8755
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.8660
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.1300
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.1250
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.1300
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0690
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9385
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.9315
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.9325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 16032.14, Sell volume: 64.82, Average price: 0.7845, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561618
Question: Will Northern Ireland win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16096.959
Price History:
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0660
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0450
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.0240
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0070
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0615
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9595
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9425
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9645
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.0490
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0645
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9575
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9345
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9430
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9670
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9345
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9380
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9610
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9375
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0605
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.9490
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.9390
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9650
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0110
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9390
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9615
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0600
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9390
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9505
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 16032.14, Sell volume: 64.82, Average price: 0.7845, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561618
Question: Will Northern Ireland win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16096.959
Price History:
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9355
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9400
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0655
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9345
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9345
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9355
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9355
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9345
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0655
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9345
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0655
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0655
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0655
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0655
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0655
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0655
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9345
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0655
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0655
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0655
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.9345
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9345
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9345
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9395
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0655
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0610
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9345
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0655
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0605
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 16032.14, Sell volume: 64.82, Average price: 0.7845, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561618
Question: Will Northern Ireland win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16096.959
Price History:
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9385
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0595
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0590
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0590
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0610
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0440
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9560
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0970
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9035
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9030
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9030
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9035
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.9035
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0965
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0965
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9035
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0975
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0975
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0975
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0970
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0970
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9030
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0970
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9025
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0975
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0980
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1139.81, Sell volume: 19.74, Average price: 0.6243, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561618
Question: Will Northern Ireland win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16096.959
Price History:
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0980
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0985
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0980
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9020
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0890
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0985
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0985
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0965
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0425
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9590
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9660
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9665
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9725
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9670
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9670
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9620
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9620
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9620
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9620
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9630
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9640
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9640
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9660
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9660
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9660
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9615
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9625
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9600
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9620
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 16032.14, Sell volume: 64.82, Average price: 0.7845, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561618
Question: Will Northern Ireland win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16096.959
Price History:
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9615
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9590
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9585
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9590
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9600
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9600
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9600
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9595
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9610
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9580
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9605
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9605
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9610
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9610
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9610
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9610
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9610
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9610
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9610
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9610
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9605
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9610
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9610
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9610
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9610
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9555
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9615
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9625
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9635
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9560
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 16032.14, Sell volume: 64.82, Average price: 0.7845, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561618
Question: Will Northern Ireland win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16096.959
Price History:
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9560
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9610
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9620
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9605
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9610
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9605
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9575
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9615
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9615
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9620
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9615
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9610
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9570
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9570
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9570
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9570
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9570
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9570
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9570
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9570
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9560
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9670
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 14600.48, Sell volume: 45.08, Average price: 0.8159, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.5050
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.4950
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.4400
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.5600
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.4450
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.5550
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.2800
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.7200
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.7100
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.2900
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.7100
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.2900
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.1300
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.8700
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.1300
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.8700
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.1300
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.8700
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.8750
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.1250
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.8750
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.1250
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.8800
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.8800
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.8800
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.8800
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.8800
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.8800
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.8800
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.8800
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 472, Buy volume: 179516.74, Sell volume: 23556.63, Average price: 0.5865, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.8800
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.8800
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.8800
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.8800
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.8800
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.8850
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.8850
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.8800
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.8850
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.8850
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.8850
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.8850
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.8850
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.1150
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.1150
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.8850
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.8900
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.1100
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.1050
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.1050
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.1050
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.1050
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.8900
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.1100
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.8900
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.1100
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 472, Buy volume: 179516.74, Sell volume: 23556.63, Average price: 0.5865, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.1050
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.1050
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.1050
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.1050
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.1050
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9050
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0950
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0950
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9050
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0950
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9050
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0950
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9050
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9050
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0950
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9050
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0950
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9050
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0950
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.9050
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0950
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0950
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 216.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9229, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9100
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0900
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0950
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 9.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1100, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.1100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0900
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9100
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0950
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0950
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0950
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0950
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0950
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0950
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0950
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0950
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9100
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0900
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0950
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.1000
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9050
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0950
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9050
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0950
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9050
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0950
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0950
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 472, Buy volume: 179516.74, Sell volume: 23556.63, Average price: 0.5865, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0950
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9050
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0950
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9050
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0900
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9100
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0900
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9100
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9100
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0900
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0900
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9100
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0900
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9100
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0950
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9050
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.0950
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9050
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0300
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.0285
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9715
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0280
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9720
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0055
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9945
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0060
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9940
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.0060
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9940
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0055
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9945
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9945
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0055
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0055
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9945
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.9945
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0055
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9945
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0055
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.0060
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0060
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 916.40, Sell volume: 668.32, Average price: 0.5930, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0060
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9940
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9615
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0385
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.0390
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9610
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9820
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9805
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0195
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9395
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0605
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9295
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0705
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0910
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9090
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.1370
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.8630
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.8370
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.1630
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.7945
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.2055
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.7475
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.2525
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7710
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.2290
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.7255
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.2745
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.7115
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.2885
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.2455
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.7545
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.7165
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2835
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.2670
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.7330
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.7375
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.2625
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.2980
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.7020
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.3090
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.6910
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.6680
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 8247.37, Sell volume: 998.48, Average price: 0.4584, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9830

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3335
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.6670
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.6540
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3460
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3410
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6590
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6465
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3535
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.6170
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.3830
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.4590
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.5410
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.4275
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.5725
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3055
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.6945
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.4115
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.5885
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6760
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3240
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.5945
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.4055
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.6105
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3895
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.5895
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.4105
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.4310
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.5690
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.4130
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.5870
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.4475
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.5525
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.4580
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.5420
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.4715
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.5285
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.4735
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5265
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.4795
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.5205
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.4725
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.5275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 5915.43, Sell volume: 3868.52, Average price: 0.5232, Price range: 0.3353 - 0.6820

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.5275
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.4725
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.4820
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.5180
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5320
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.4680
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.4210
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.5790
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5920
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.4080
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.5680
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.4320
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.5800
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.4200
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.4055
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.5945
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3545
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.6455
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3455
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.6545
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.7360
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.2640
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.6915
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.3085
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.2840
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.7160
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.2620
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.7380
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.7410
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.2590
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.2145
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.7855
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.8755
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.1245
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.1190
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.8810
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.8895
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.1105
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.1210
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.8790
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0965
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9035
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9300
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 10778.77, Sell volume: 2587.31, Average price: 0.5606, Price range: 0.0747 - 0.9431

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0530
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9470
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9480
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0520
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9445
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0555
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9385
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0615
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9360
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0640
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9360
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0640
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9360
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0640
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9345
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0655
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.8805
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.1195
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.1045
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.8955
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.1060
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.8940
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9000
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.1000
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.8910
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.1090
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.8980
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.1020
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.1455
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.8545
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.8750
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.1250
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.1195
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.8805
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.1210
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.8790
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8845
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1155
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.8850
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.1150
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1485
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8515
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.1600
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 4602.24, Sell volume: 1000.25, Average price: 0.4718, Price range: 0.0570 - 0.9380

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.1415
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.8585
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9065
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0935
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9045
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0955
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9105
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0895
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.9180
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0820
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9140
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0860
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9130
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0870
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9185
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0815
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9245
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0755
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9175
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0825
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9125
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0875
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9165
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0835
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9245
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0755
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9475
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0525
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9555
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0445
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9580
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0420
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9630
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0370
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9625
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0375
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9560
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0440
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9690
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0310
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9625
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0375
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9635
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 16280.00, Sell volume: 1020.71, Average price: 0.6222, Price range: 0.0396 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.9660
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0340
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0345
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9655
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9665
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0335
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9765
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0235
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9765
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0235
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9700
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0300
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9760
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0240
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9720
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0280
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0125
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.9835
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0165
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0185
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9815
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9740
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0260
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.9740
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.0260
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9725
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0275
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.0205
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.9795
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9795
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0205
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9840
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0150
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9850
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9800
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0200
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9785
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0215
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0195
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9805
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9785
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 8613.61, Sell volume: 1892.38, Average price: 0.5753, Price range: 0.0143 - 0.9899

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0220
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9780
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9780
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0220
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9895
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0105
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0185
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9815
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0105
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9895
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9885
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0115
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0140
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9860
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0140
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9860
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0170
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.9830
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0130
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9870
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0195
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9805
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0180
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9820
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0190
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9810
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0180
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9820
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9845
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0155
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9850
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0150
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9865
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0135
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9870
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0130
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9955
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0030
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 25405.94, Sell volume: 1326.15, Average price: 0.7707, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.5050
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.4950
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.4400
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.5600
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.4450
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.5550
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.2800
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.7200
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.7100
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.2900
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.7100
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.2900
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.1300
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.8700
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.1300
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.8700
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.1300
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.8700
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.8750
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.1250
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.8750
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.1250
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.8800
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 472, Buy volume: 179516.74, Sell volume: 23556.63, Average price: 0.5865, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.8800
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.8800
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.8800
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.8800
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.8800
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.8850
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.8850
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.8800
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.8850
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.8850
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.8850
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.8850
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.8850
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.1150
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.1150
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.8850
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.8900
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 472, Buy volume: 179516.74, Sell volume: 23556.63, Average price: 0.5865, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.1050
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.1050
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.1050
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.1050
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.1050
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9050
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0950
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0950
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9050
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0950
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9050
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0950
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9050
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9050
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0950
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9050
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0950
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9050
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0950
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.9050
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0950
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0950
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 216.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9229, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9100
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0900
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9050
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0950
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 9.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1100, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.1100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0900
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9100
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0950
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0950
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0950
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0950
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0950
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0950
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0950
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0950
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9100
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0900
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9050
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 472, Buy volume: 179516.74, Sell volume: 23556.63, Average price: 0.5865, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0950
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9050
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0950
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9050
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0900
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9100
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0900
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9100
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9100
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0900
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0900
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9100
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0900
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9100
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0950
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9050
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.0950
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9050
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0300
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.0285
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9715
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0280
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9720
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0055
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9945
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0060
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9940
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.0060
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 916.40, Sell volume: 668.32, Average price: 0.5930, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0060
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9940
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9615
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0385
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.0390
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9610
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9820
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9805
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0195
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9395
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0605
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9295
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0705
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0910
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9090
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.1370
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.8630
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.8370
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.1630
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.7945
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.2055
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.7475
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.2525
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7710
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.2290
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.7255
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.2745
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.7115
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.2885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 8247.37, Sell volume: 998.48, Average price: 0.4584, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9830
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3335
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.6670
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.6540
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3460
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3410
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6590
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6465
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3535
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.6170
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.3830
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.4590
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.5410
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.4275
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.5725
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3055
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.6945
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.4115
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.5885
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6760
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3240
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.5945
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.4055
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.6105
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3895
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.5895
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.4105
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.4310
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.5690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 5915.43, Sell volume: 3868.52, Average price: 0.5232, Price range: 0.3353 - 0.6820
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.5275
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.4725
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.4820
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.5180
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5320
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.4680
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.4210
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.5790
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5920
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.4080
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.5680
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.4320
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.5800
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.4200
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.4055
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.5945
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3545
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.6455
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3455
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.6545
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.7360
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.2640
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.6915
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.3085
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.2840
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.7160
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.2620
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.7380
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.7410
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.2590
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 10778.77, Sell volume: 2587.31, Average price: 0.5606, Price range: 0.0747 - 0.9431
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0530
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9470
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9480
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0520
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9445
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0555
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9385
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0615
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9360
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0640
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9360
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0640
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9360
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0640
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9345
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0655
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.8805
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.1195
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.1045
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.8955
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.1060
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.8940
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9000
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.1000
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.8910
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.1090
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.8980
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.1020
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.1455
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.8545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 4602.24, Sell volume: 1000.25, Average price: 0.4718, Price range: 0.0570 - 0.9380
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.1415
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.8585
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9065
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0935
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9045
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0955
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9105
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0895
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.9180
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0820
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9140
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0860
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9130
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0870
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9185
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0815
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9245
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0755
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9175
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0825
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9125
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0875
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9165
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0835
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9245
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0755
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9475
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0525
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9555
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 16280.00, Sell volume: 1020.71, Average price: 0.6222, Price range: 0.0396 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.9660
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0340
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0345
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9655
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9665
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0335
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9765
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0235
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9765
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0235
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9700
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0300
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9760
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0240
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9720
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0280
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0125
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.9835
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0165
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0185
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9815
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9740
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0260
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.9740
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.0260
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9725
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0275
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.0205
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 8613.61, Sell volume: 1892.38, Average price: 0.5753, Price range: 0.0143 - 0.9899
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607727
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Volume: 203073.365561
Price History:
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0220
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9780
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9780
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0220
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9895
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0105
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0185
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9815
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0105
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9895
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9885
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0115
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0140
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9860
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0140
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9860
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0170
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.9830
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0130
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9870
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0195
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9805
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0180
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9820
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0190
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9810
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0180
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 25405.94, Sell volume: 1326.15, Average price: 0.7707, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0450
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.7600
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.2400
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.7800
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.2200
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.8000
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.2000
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.8000
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.1900
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.8050
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.1850
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.8150
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.1900
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.8100
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.1400
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.8600
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.1400
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.8600
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.1400
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.8600
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.0950
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.9050
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0550
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.9550
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0450
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9690
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0355
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9740
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0260
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9890
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0105
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9895
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0105
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9895
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0095
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9905
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0095
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9905
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0095
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9905
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0085
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9915
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0085
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9915
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0085
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9895
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0355
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9645
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0355
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 203.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9927, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0355
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9645
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0355
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.9645
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0320
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.9840
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0160
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.9840
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0140
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.9860
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0140
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.9865
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0135
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.9865
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.0135
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.9865
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.0135
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.9865
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0135
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.9865
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.0135
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.9865
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.0135
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.9865
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0135
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.9865
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.0135
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.9865
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0140
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.9875
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.0125
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.9875
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.0125
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.9875
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.0125
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.9875
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.0125
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.9875
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.0125
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.9875
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.0125
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.9875
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.0125
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.9875
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.0125
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.9875
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.0125
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.9875
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.0125
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.0125
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.9875
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.0125
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.9875
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.0125
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.9875
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.0125
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.9875
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0125
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.9875
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.0125
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.9875
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0125
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.9875
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0125
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.9875
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0125
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.9875
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0125
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.9875
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.0125
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.9875
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0125
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.9875
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.0125
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.9870
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.0130
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.9870
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.0125
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.9875
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.0125
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.9875
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.0130
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.9870
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.0130
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.9870
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0130
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.9870
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0130
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.9870
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.0130
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.9870
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0130
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.9870
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9870
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.9870
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9870
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.9870
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.0130
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 25795.96, Sell volume: 993.61, Average price: 0.8125, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.9870
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0130
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.0130
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.0135
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.9865
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.0135
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.0135
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.9865
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.0135
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.9865
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.0135
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.9865
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.0135
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.0135
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.9865
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0135
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.9865
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.0135
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.9865
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.0135
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.0130
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.9870
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.0130
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0130
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.0130
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.0130
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.0130
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.0130
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.0130
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0130
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.0130
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0130
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.9870
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.0130
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0130
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.0130
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0130
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.9850
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.9850
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.0150
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.9850
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.9875
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.9875
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.0125
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.0125
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.9890
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.0765
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.9350
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.0500
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.0380
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 25795.96, Sell volume: 993.61, Average price: 0.8125, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.9860
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.9860
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.0140
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.9860
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.0140
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9860
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.0140
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.9860
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.9860
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.9860
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0140
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0140
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.0140
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.0140
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.0145
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.9855
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.9860
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.0140
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.9860
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.9860
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.9860
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.0140
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.0140
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0140
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.0140
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.9860
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.9860
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.0140
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.0140
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.9860
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.0140
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.9860
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.0140
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.0140
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.0145
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.9855
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.9855
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.0145
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.9855
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9855
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.0145
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9855
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.0145
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.0145
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0145
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.9855
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.0145
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.0145
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9855
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 25795.96, Sell volume: 993.61, Average price: 0.8125, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0145
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0145
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.9855
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.0145
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9855
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9855
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0145
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.9855
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0145
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9855
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9855
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0145
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0145
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9855
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0145
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0145
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0145
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0145
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0145
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9855
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0145
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0145
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0145
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9855
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0145
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9855
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0135
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9870
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0130
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9870
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9870
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9870
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0130
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0130
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0130
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0130
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9870
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9870
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9870
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0130
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9870
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0130
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0130
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0130
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9870
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 53.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0130
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0130
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9870
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9870
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9870
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9870
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0130
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0130
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0130
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9870
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0130
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9870
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0130
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0120
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0120
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0120
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0120
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9880
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9880
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0120
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9880
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0120
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0120
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0120
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0120
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9880
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9880
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9880
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0120
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9880
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0120
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9880
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0120
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9880
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0120
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9880
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0120
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9880
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9880
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9880
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.9880
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9880
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0120
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9880
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 25795.96, Sell volume: 993.61, Average price: 0.8125, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.9880
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9880
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9880
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0115
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9885
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.0115
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9885
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0115
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9885
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9885
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0115
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0115
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9885
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0115
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0115
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.0115
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9885
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0115
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9885
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.0115
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9885
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0115
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0115
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9885
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.9885
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9885
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9885
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9885
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.0115
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9885
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0115
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9885
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.0115
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9885
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0115
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9885
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0115
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.9885
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0115
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9885
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.9885
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0115
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0115
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9885
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.0115
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9885
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0115
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9885
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0115
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 25795.96, Sell volume: 993.61, Average price: 0.8125, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0115
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0115
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0115
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9885
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0115
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.0115
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0115
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9885
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0115
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0115
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9885
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0115
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9885
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0115
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0115
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9885
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0115
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9885
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9885
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0115
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9885
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0115
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9885
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0115
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9885
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0115
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9885
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.0115
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0115
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9885
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9885
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0115
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9885
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0115
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0115
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9885
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9885
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0115
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9885
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 25795.96, Sell volume: 993.61, Average price: 0.8125, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9885
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0115
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9885
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0115
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9885
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0120
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9885
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9885
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9885
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0115
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0115
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9885
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0115
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9885
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0075
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9935
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0065
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0065
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0065
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0065
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9935
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9935
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0065
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9935
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0065
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0065
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1064.04, Sell volume: 24.74, Average price: 0.5713, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0065
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0065
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0065
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0065
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0065
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0065
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0065
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0065
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9935
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9930
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0070
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0070
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0075
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9925
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0075
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0075
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9925
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0075
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9925
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0075
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9925
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0075
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9925
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0070
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9930
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0070
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9930
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9930
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9930
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9930
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9930
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9930
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9930
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 25795.96, Sell volume: 993.61, Average price: 0.8125, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0070
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0070
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0070
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0070
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 25795.96, Sell volume: 993.61, Average price: 0.8125, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9935
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 24471.27, Sell volume: 968.87, Average price: 0.7488, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0450
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.2300
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.2200
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.2000
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.2400
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.1950
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.1850
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.1900
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.1400
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.1400
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.1400
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.1400
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0950
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0450
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0310
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0260
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0110
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0105
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0105
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0095
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0095
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0095
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0085
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0085
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0085
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0085
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0355
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0355
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0355
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 203.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9927, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0355
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0355
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0355
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0160
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0160
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0140
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0135
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0135
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0135
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.0135
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.0135
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.0135
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0135
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.0135
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0135
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0135
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.0140
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.0125
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.0125
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.0125
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0125
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.0125
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0125
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0125
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.0125
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0125
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0125
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.0125
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.0125
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.0125
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0125
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.0125
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0125
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.0125
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.0125
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.0125
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.0125
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.0125
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0125
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.0125
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0125
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.0125
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0125
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.0130
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.0130
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.0125
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.0125
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.0130
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.0130
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0130
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.0130
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0130
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0130
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.0130
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.0130
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.0130
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.0130
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0130
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 25795.96, Sell volume: 993.61, Average price: 0.8125, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.9870
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.9870
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.0135
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0135
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.0135
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0135
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.0135
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.9865
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.0135
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.9865
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.9865
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.0130
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0130
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.0130
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9870
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0130
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.0130
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.0130
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.9870
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.0130
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.0125
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.9850
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.9850
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.0125
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.9875
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.0125
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.9295
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.0500
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.0250
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 25795.96, Sell volume: 993.61, Average price: 0.8125, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.9860
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0140
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.0140
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.0140
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0140
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0140
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.0140
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.0140
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0145
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.9860
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.9860
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9860
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.9860
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0140
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0140
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0140
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0140
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9860
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.0140
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0145
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0145
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9855
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9855
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0145
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.9855
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0145
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0145
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9855
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0145
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 25795.96, Sell volume: 993.61, Average price: 0.8125, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0145
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9855
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9855
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0145
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0145
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0145
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9855
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0145
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0145
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0145
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0145
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0145
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0145
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0145
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0145
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0135
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0130
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9870
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9870
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0130
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0130
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0130
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0130
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9870
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0130
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9870
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0130
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 53.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0130
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9870
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0130
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0130
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9870
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9870
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9870
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9880
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9880
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9880
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0120
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0120
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0120
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0120
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0120
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9880
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9880
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9880
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9880
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9880
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9880
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0120
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9880
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9880
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9880
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.9880
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 25795.96, Sell volume: 993.61, Average price: 0.8125, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.9880
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9880
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9885
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9885
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9885
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0115
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9885
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9885
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9885
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9885
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9885
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9885
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9885
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0115
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.0115
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0115
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.0115
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0115
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.0115
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0115
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0115
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.0115
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0115
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.9885
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0115
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0115
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0115
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0115
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.0115
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 25795.96, Sell volume: 993.61, Average price: 0.8125, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0115
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9885
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0115
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0115
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0115
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9885
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9885
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9885
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0115
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0115
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0115
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0115
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0115
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0115
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0115
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.0115
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9885
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0115
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0115
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 25795.96, Sell volume: 993.61, Average price: 0.8125, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9885
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0115
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0115
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0115
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0115
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.9885
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0115
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0115
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0115
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0115
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0065
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0065
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0065
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0065
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1064.04, Sell volume: 24.74, Average price: 0.5713, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0065
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0065
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0065
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9935
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9930
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9930
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9925
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0075
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0075
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0075
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0070
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 25795.96, Sell volume: 993.61, Average price: 0.8125, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0070
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0070
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0070
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0070
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0070
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0070
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 25795.96, Sell volume: 993.61, Average price: 0.8125, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561619
Question: Will Luxembourg win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26789.5726
Price History:
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 24471.27, Sell volume: 968.87, Average price: 0.7488, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607728
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 138881.964385
Price History:
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.4950
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.5050
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.4550
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.5450
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.4550
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.5450
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.2800
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.7200
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.2750
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.7250
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.2900
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.7100
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.2900
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.7100
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.1600
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.8400
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.1600
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.8400
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.1600
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.8400
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.1550
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.8450
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.1550
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.8450
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.8450
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.1550
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.1550
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.8450
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.1550
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.8450
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.1600
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.8400
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.1600
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.8400
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.1600
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.8400
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.1600
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.8400
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.1600
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.8400
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.8400
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 662, Buy volume: 99155.08, Sell volume: 39726.88, Average price: 0.3477, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607728
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 138881.964385
Price History:
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.1600
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.8400
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.1600
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.8400
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.1600
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.8400
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.1600
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.8400
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.8400
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.1600
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.1600
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.8400
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.1600
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.8400
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.1600
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.8400
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.1600
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.8400
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.8400
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.1600
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.1600
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.8400
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.8400
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.1600
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.8400
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.1600
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.8400
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.1600
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.1600
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.8400
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.1600
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.8400
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.8400
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.1600
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.1600
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.8400
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.8400
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.1600
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.8400
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.1600
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.1600
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.8400
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.8400
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 662, Buy volume: 99155.08, Sell volume: 39726.88, Average price: 0.3477, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607728
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 138881.964385
Price History:
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.1600
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.8400
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.1600
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.8400
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.1950
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.8050
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.1950
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.8050
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.2000
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.8000
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.1950
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.8050
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.1950
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.8050
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.8050
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.1950
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.8100
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.1900
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 632.41, Sell volume: 33.00, Average price: 0.7464, Price range: 0.1850 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607728
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 138881.964385
Price History:
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.2000, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.2000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607728
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 138881.964385
Price History:
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.2100
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.2100
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.2100
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.2100
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.2100
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.2100
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.2100
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 85.00, Average price: 0.1933, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.2000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607728
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 138881.964385
Price History:
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.8150
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.1850
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.8350
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.1650
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.8350
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.1650
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9200
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0800
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9050
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0950
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9250
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.0750
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9350
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0650
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9450
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0550
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9450
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0550
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.9450
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0550
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.8750
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.1250
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.8050
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.1950
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.6600
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1393.62, Sell volume: 200.52, Average price: 0.4975, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.9505

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607728
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 138881.964385
Price History:
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.6100
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3900
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.4900
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5100
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.5950
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.4050
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.4900
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.5100
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.5250
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.4750
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.4050
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.5950
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.5850
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.4150
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.5600
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.4400
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.6100
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.3900
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.4250
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.5750
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4250
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.5750
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.5800
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.4200
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.5950
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.4050
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.4050
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 5073.95, Sell volume: 1542.39, Average price: 0.5085, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6200

Output: Yes