Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554639
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be less than 35% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 9737.501271
Price History:
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0080
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.9930
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0070
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.9930
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0070
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.9930
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.0070
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.9930
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0070
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.9930
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.0070
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.9920
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.0080
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.9925
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0070
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.9930
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.0050
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.9955
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.9955
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.0070
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.9935
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.0050
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.9950
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0050
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.9950
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.9960
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 5.10, Sell volume: 140.04, Average price: 0.5970, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554639
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be less than 35% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 9737.501271
Price History:
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0055
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0050
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.9950
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.0050
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.9950
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0070
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.9950
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0070
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.0070
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0065
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0090
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.9910
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0095
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.9910
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0080
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.9920
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0090
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.9905
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.0095
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.9910
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.0100
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.9920
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0095
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.9925
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 159.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554639
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be less than 35% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 9737.501271
Price History:
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0085
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.9870
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.1880
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.8260
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0110
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.9885
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0085
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.9860
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0135
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.9890
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0090
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.9895
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0115
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.9890
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0105
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.9900
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0095
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.8075
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0125
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.9880
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0120
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.9880
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0120
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.9880
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.0120
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.9880
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0130
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1575.69, Sell volume: 320.00, Average price: 0.2058, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554639
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be less than 35% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 9737.501271
Price History:
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9905
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0095
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.9895
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0125
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.9890
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.0110
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.9890
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.0110
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.9890
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.0105
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.9790
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0070
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.9475
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0105
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.9910
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0080
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.9910
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0110
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.9890
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.9895
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0110
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.9880
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0120
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.9880
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0120
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.9880
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.0120
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.9880
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 136, Buy volume: 206.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9986, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554639
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be less than 35% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 9737.501271
Price History:
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.0115
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.9875
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0125
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.9890
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0110
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.9890
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0110
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.9890
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0110
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.9890
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0110
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.9890
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0110
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.9890
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0110
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.9890
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0110
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.9890
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.0110
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.9890
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0110
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.9890
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.0110
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.9890
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0110
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.9890
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0110
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.9890
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.0110
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 244.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0409, Price range: 0.0409 - 0.0409
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554639
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be less than 35% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 9737.501271
Price History:
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.9890
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0075
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.9865
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0075
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.9840
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0145
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9915
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.0105
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.9820
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0055
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.9945
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.0055
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.9945
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0055
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.9945
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.0055
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0050
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.0050
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.0050
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.9950
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.0050
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.9945
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.0055
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.9950
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0055
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.9945
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554639
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be less than 35% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 9737.501271
Price History:
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0050
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.9950
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.9950
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0055
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.9945
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 477.76, Sell volume: 145.73, Average price: 0.3970, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554639
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be less than 35% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 9737.501271
Price History:
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.9855
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0765
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.9680
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0250
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.9680
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.1340
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.8970
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0175
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.9825
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0175
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.9825
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.1335
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.8670
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.1255
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.8720
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0990
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.9295
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0460
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.9730
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.0195
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.9800
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0210
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9800
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0195
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.9815
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0195
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.9805
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0185
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.9810
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1182.04, Sell volume: 397.94, Average price: 0.8381, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554639
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be less than 35% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 9737.501271
Price History:
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.0055
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9950
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0065
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.9945
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0055
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.9885
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0090
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.9950
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0060
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.9945
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0070
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.9930
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.9945
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0070
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.8100
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0555
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.9905
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0095
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.9905
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0075
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9905
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.1925
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9925
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0075
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.9930
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0070
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9930
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0070
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 367, Buy volume: 6774.77, Sell volume: 2962.73, Average price: 0.8615, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554639
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be less than 35% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 9737.501271
Price History:
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.8740
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0075
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.9925
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.1405
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9555
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.1495
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.8505
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.1500
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.8505
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0090
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.9925
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0065
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9930
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.1485
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9920
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0065
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9615
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0070
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0080
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0070
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0095
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9905
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 18.61, Sell volume: 346.61, Average price: 0.9104, Price range: 0.1110 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554639
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be less than 35% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 9737.501271
Price History:
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0685
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9320
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0600
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.9400
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0600
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.9400
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0600
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.9400
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0600
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.9400
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.0600
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.9400
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0600
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.9400
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0590
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.9450
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0550
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.9450
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0550
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.9450
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0550
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.9450
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0550
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.9450
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0550
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9450
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0550
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.9450
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0550
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3.21, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.4500
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.4500
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.4500
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.5600
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.5350
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.4050
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.4000
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.4000
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.3950
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.3700
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.3700
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.3800
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.3800
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.3750
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.3750
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.3700
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.3600
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.3700
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.3500
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.3500
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.3500
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.3450
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.3450
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.3450
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.3450
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.3450
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.3450
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.3400
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.3400
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.3450
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.3450
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.3450
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.3450
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.3850
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.4000
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.4550
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.6700
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.6900
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.6800
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.6850
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.6650
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.6800
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.6900
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.5850
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.5900
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.6850
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.6550
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.6100
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 697.63, Sell volume: 25.07, Average price: 0.4940, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.7902

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.3900
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.3900
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.3950
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.3900
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.4000
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.4050
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.4000
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.3950
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.5500
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.4900
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.4900
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.4600
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.5150
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.5250
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.5050
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.5150
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.4500
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.5400
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.1150
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.4950
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.4850
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.4900
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.4900
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.4900
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.4850
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.4500
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.4900
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0450
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.0400
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0400
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0400
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.0400
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0400
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.0450
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0450
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0450
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.0450
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0450
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0450
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0450
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.0450
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0450
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.0450
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0450
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0450
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0450
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0450
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0450
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.0500
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 332.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.9750
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.9800
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.9800
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.9800
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.9800
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.9790
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.9785
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.9790
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.9790
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.9790
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.9790
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.9790
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.9790
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.9785
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.9790
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.9790
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.9835
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.9835
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.9835
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.9790
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.9835
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.9835
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.9860
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.9905
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.9920
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.9920
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.9920
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.9920
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.9920
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.9920
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.9925
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.9925
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.9925
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.9925
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.9925
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.9925
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.9925
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.9925
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.9925
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9925
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.9925
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.9925
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.9925
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.9925
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.9925
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9925
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.9925
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.9925
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.9925
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 171.00, Average price: 0.6627, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0075
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0075
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0075
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.0075
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0060
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.0070
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0070
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0070
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0070
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.0075
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0070
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0070
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.0070
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0070
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0065
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0070
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0055
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0080
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0180
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0180
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.0180
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0175
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0180
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0150
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0180
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.0180
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0150
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0125
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.0140
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0140
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.0105
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.0120
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.0150
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.0180
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.0150
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0145
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0150
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0145
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0115
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.0060
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.0115
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.0090
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0120
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0130
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 134.77, Sell volume: 93.03, Average price: 0.9939, Price range: 0.9740 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.9880
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.9855
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9890
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.9900
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.9855
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.9885
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.9845
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.9895
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9890
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.9885
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.9880
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.9875
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9875
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.9830
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9835
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.9820
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.9840
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.9845
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.9895
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.9875
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9870
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.9860
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.9860
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9860
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.9860
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.9860
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.9865
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.9865
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.9855
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9850
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.9850
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.9850
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.9850
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.9850
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.9850
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9850
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.9850
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.9850
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.9850
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.9850
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.9850
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.9850
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.9850
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.9850
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.9850
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.9850
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.9850
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.9850
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.9850
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 666.12, Sell volume: 137.00, Average price: 0.6658, Price range: 0.0199 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0150
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.0150
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0150
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.0150
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0150
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0150
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0150
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0150
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.0150
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0150
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0150
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.0150
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0150
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0150
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.0135
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.0140
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0065
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0065
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.0065
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0065
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0100
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0100
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0100
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0100
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0100
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0100
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0105
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0110
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.0100
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0110
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0110
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 42.78, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9954, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.9895
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.9895
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.9895
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.9895
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.9895
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.9895
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.9890
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.9890
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.9890
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.9885
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.9900
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.9895
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.9895
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.9895
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.9895
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.9895
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.9895
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.9895
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9895
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.9900
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.9890
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.9890
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.9890
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.9895
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.9835
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.9835
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.9840
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 332.65, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9468, Price range: 0.0249 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0130
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0105
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0080
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.0120
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0085
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0085
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0085
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0120
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0145
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0085
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0075
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.0120
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0135
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0110
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0155
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0140
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0150
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.0150
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0130
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0115
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0095
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0070
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0095
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.0085
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0090
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.0095
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0080
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0070
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0095
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.0075
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0115
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0115
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.0115
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.0120
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0115
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.0115
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.0115
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.0105
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.0115
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.0115
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.0115
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0115
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0115
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0110
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.0110
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.0115
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.0110
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.0110
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.0110
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1080.91, Sell volume: 118.19, Average price: 0.9572, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.9930
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.9925
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.9930
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.9915
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.9915
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.9900
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.9900
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.9900
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.9905
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.9910
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9915
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.9925
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.9925
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.9900
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.9945
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.9940
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.9930
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9920
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.9905
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.9925
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.9940
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.9905
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.9945
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9940
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9945
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.9945
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.9915
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.9910
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9920
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.9935
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.9945
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.9900
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.9930
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.9925
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.9920
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.9900
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.9920
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.9940
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.9905
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.9910
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.9940
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.9920
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.9935
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.9940
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.9915
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.9945
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.9905
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.9900
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.9895
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 258.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8897, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0090
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.0070
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0090
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.0085
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.0075
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0085
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0090
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0090
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0150
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.0150
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0150
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0150
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0150
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0150
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0145
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0145
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0150
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.0150
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0150
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0150
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0150
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0150
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0150
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.0150
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0150
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0150
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 825.85, Sell volume: 104.74, Average price: 0.7228, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.9915
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9915
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.9915
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9915
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.9915
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.9915
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.9905
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.9905
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.9905
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.9905
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.9910
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.9905
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9915
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.9905
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.9905
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.9915
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.9900
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9910
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.9920
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.9910
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.9920
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9920
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.9910
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9920
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.9900
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.9910
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.9915
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.9925
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.9910
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.9910
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9910
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9915
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.9900
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.9910
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9920
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.9920
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.9925
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.9930
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.9925
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9925
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9925
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.9920
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.9925
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9925
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9910
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9910
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.9920
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.9920
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9920
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.23, Average price: 0.9860, Price range: 0.9860 - 0.9860

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0080
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0080
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0080
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0080
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0080
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0075
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0080
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0080
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0080
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0080
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0075
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0075
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0075
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0070
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0070
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0075
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0075
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0075
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0075
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.0075
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0070
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0070
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0080
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0075
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0080
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0075
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0075
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0120
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 40.27, Sell volume: 160.52, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9245
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9240
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9240
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9240
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.9260
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.9240
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.9240
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.9240
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.9240
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.9240
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.9240
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9240
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.9240
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.9240
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9240
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.9240
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.9240
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.9240
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.9240
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.9240
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.9240
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.9290
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.9340
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.9340
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.9340
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.9340
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.9340
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.9340
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.9340
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.9340
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.9345
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.9340
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.9340
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.9340
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.9340
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.9340
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.9340
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9340
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.9340
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.9340
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.9340
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.9340
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.9345
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.9340
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.9340
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.9340
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.9340
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.9345
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.9340
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.9340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 7.01, Sell volume: 12.02, Average price: 0.9610, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.4500
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.5500
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.5600
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.4650
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.4000
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.6000
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.6300
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.3800
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.6200
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.3750
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.6300
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.3700
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.6500
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.3500
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.6550
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.3450
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.6550
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.3450
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.6600
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.3450
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.6550
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.3450
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.6150
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.4550
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.3300
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.6800
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.3150
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.6800
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 697.63, Sell volume: 25.07, Average price: 0.4940, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.7902
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.3900
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.6050
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.3900
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.5950
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.4000
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.4500
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.4900
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.5400
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.5150
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.4950
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.5150
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.4600
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.1150
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.5150
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.4900
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.5100
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.4850
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.5100
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0450
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.9600
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0400
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.9600
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.0450
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.9550
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.0450
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.9550
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0450
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.9550
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.0450
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 332.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.9750
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0200
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.9800
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0200
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.9785
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0210
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.9790
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0210
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.9790
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0215
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.9790
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0165
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.9835
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0210
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.9835
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.0140
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.9920
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0080
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.9920
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0080
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.9925
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.0075
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.9925
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.0075
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.9925
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0075
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9925
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.0075
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.9925
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 171.00, Average price: 0.6627, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0075
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.9925
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.0075
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.9940
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.9930
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0070
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.9930
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.0075
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.9930
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.0070
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.9940
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0065
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.9820
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0180
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9825
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0180
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.9820
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.0180
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.9875
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.0140
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.9895
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.0120
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.9820
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.0150
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.9850
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0145
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 134.77, Sell volume: 93.03, Average price: 0.9939, Price range: 0.9740 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.9880
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0145
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.9900
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0145
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.9845
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.0105
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.9885
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0120
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9875
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.0170
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.9820
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0160
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.9895
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.0125
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.9860
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.0140
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.9860
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0140
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.9865
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0145
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.9850
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.0150
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.9850
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0150
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.9850
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.0150
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.9850
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0150
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.9850
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 666.12, Sell volume: 137.00, Average price: 0.6658, Price range: 0.0199 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0150
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9850
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.0150
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.9850
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0150
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.9850
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0150
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.9850
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0150
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.9865
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.0140
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9935
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.0065
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.9900
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0100
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.9900
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0100
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.9895
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0110
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.9895
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.9890
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.9895
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.9895
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.9895
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.0105
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 42.78, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9954, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.9895
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0105
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.9895
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.0105
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.9890
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0110
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.9885
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.0100
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.9895
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0105
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.9895
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0105
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9895
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0105
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0105
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.0100
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.0105
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.0105
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.9890
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0105
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0105
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.0105
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.9895
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 332.65, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9468, Price range: 0.0249 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0130
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.0120
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9915
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0085
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.9855
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0085
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.9880
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0135
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.9845
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0140
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.9850
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0130
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9905
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0070
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.9915
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0090
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9920
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0070
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.9925
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0115
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.9885
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.0120
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.9885
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.0115
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.9885
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.0115
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.9885
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0115
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1080.91, Sell volume: 118.19, Average price: 0.9572, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.9930
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0075
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.9915
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0085
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.9900
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0100
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.9910
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0085
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.9925
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0100
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.9940
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0070
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.9905
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0075
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.9905
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0055
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9945
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.0055
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.9910
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.9945
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0100
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.9925
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.9920
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0060
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.9910
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0060
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.9935
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 258.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8897, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0090
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.9910
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.0085
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.9915
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0090
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.9910
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0150
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.9850
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0150
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.9850
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.9855
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0145
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.9850
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.9850
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.9850
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.9850
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.9850
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.9850
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9850
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0150
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.9850
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0150
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 825.85, Sell volume: 104.74, Average price: 0.7228, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.9915
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0085
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9915
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0085
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.9905
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0095
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.9905
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0090
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9915
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0095
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.9915
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.0100
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.9920
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0090
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9920
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0090
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.9900
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0090
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.9925
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0090
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9910
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0085
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.9910
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0080
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.9925
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0070
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9925
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0075
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.9925
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.23, Average price: 0.9860, Price range: 0.9860 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0080
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9920
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0080
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.9925
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0080
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9920
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0080
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9925
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0075
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9930
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0075
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.9925
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0075
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9930
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0070
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 40.27, Sell volume: 160.52, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554640
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5282.353004
Price History:
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9245
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0760
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9240
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0740
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.9240
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0760
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.9240
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0760
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.9240
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0760
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.9240
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0760
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.9240
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0760
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.9290
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0660
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.9340
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0660
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.9340
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0660
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.9345
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0660
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.9340
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0660
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.9340
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0660
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.9340
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0660
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.9345
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 7.01, Sell volume: 12.02, Average price: 0.9610, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.1950
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.4100
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.4100
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.4800
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.3500
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.3600
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.3600
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.3550
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.3850
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.3900
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.3800
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.3750
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.3850
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.3850
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.3850
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.3850
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.3850
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.3850
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.3850
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.3850
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.2400
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.3200
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.2900
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.2950
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.3350
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.1500
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.1800
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.1250
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.1300
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.1300
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0700
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0800
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0650
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.1100
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0800
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 2927.53, Sell volume: 243.92, Average price: 0.5600, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.9050
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.9050
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.9200
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.9050
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.9050
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.9100
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.9050
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.9050
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.9050
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.8850
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.8800
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.8800
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.8800
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.8800
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.8000
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.8300
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.7500
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.5850
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.8850
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.6000
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.5150
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.5900
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.5600
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.5300
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.5350
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.5750
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.5100
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.9650
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.9665
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.9680
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.9615
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.9745
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.9745
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.9745
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.9750
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.9795
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.9795
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.9760
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.9760
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.9760
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.9765
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.9755
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.9760
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.9760
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.9760
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.9775
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.9760
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.9755
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.9760
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 840.89, Sell volume: 592.62, Average price: 0.6103, Price range: 0.0013 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0195
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0145
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.0230
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0200
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0140
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0160
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0145
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0110
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.0140
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.0140
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0140
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0185
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0140
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0145
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0200
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.0135
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0085
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.0165
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0130
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.0095
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0095
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.0075
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0065
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.0040
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0035
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.0035
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.0065
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.0045
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.0045
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.0045
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0045
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.0045
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0070
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 140.02, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.9940
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.9940
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.9940
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.9940
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.9935
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.9950
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.9950
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.9935
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.9930
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.9930
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.9950
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.9950
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.9950
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.9960
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.9875
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.9935
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.9880
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.9880
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.9890
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9875
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.9875
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.9905
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.9905
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.9905
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.9905
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.9900
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.9880
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.9885
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.9885
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.9905
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.9895
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.9860
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.9880
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.9930
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.9910
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.9905
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.9920
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.9910
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.9910
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.9925
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.9900
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.9925
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 94.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9978, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0060
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0110
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.0090
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0060
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0060
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0055
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0055
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0050
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0080
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0045
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0055
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0045
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0070
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.0060
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0055
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0060
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0080
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0085
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0065
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0045
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0060
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0080
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.0065
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0075
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0055
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.0080
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0060
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.0055
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.0065
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.0050
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0070
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0060
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0075
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0075
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0055
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0060
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0075
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.0065
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0050
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 300.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9920
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.9930
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9945
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.9935
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.9930
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.9900
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.9900
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.9900
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.9900
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.9920
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.9940
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.9910
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.9930
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.9910
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.9930
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.9935
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.9945
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9940
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.9945
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.9935
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.9910
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.9925
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.9920
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.9910
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.9920
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.9910
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.9930
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.9910
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.9910
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.9910
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.9905
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.9925
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.9940
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.9915
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.9910
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.9935
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.9925
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.9915
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.9935
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.9925
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.9940
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.9925
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.9935
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.9915
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.9935
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.9915
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.9925
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.9940
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.9915
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 4302.08, Sell volume: 1185.65, Average price: 0.6558, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 4302.08, Sell volume: 1185.65, Average price: 0.6558, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.9935
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.9940
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.9925
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.9940
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9940
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.9940
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.9930
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.9935
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.9925
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.9925
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.9940
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.9900
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9915
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.9900
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.9905
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.9895
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.9905
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.9900
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.9905
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.9905
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.9910
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.9910
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.9920
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.9915
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.9920
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.9920
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.9920
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0055
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0055
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0110
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0105
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0075
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0125
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0090
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0090
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0110
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0090
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0090
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0120
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0120
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0060
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0060
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0120
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0095
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0085
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0075
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0100
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0060
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0070
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0125
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.0055
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0125
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0090
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0115
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0065
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0105
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0055
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0105
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0075
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0090
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0125
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0085
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0095
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0100
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0100
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0085
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.0115
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0105
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0130
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0100
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.0100
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0100
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 127.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6725, Price range: 0.0194 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.9870
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.9875
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.9870
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.9870
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.9895
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.9870
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.9880
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.9905
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.9870
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.9955
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.9955
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.9955
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.9955
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.9955
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.9955
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.9955
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.9910
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.9900
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.9890
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.9880
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9880
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.9885
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.9870
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.9890
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9905
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.9870
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.9885
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.9960
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.9875
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.9885
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.9895
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.9870
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9895
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9885
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.9885
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.9890
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9890
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9880
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.9910
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.9890
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.9880
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.9915
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9970
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.9970
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.9975
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.9930
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.9905
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.9940
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 4302.08, Sell volume: 1185.65, Average price: 0.6558, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.0050
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0065
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0060
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0065
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0070
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0055
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0085
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0110
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0110
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0110
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0080
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0070
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0095
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0075
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0080
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0070
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0080
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0075
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0060
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0065
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0070
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0060
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0075
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0065
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0055
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0060
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0065
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0075
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0075
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0075
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0070
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0105
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0110
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0110
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0060
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 4302.08, Sell volume: 1185.65, Average price: 0.6558, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9895
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.9890
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9935
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.9935
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9935
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.9930
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9915
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.9890
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9895
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9890
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9890
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9890
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9930
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9935
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9930
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.9925
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9925
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.9925
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9935
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9925
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.9895
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9940
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9930
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9930
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9950
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9940
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9930
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9930
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.9915
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9940
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9920
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9930
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9945
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9895
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9890
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9925
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.9925
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.9930
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.91, Sell volume: 9.09, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0100
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0100
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0100
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0100
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0105
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0100
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0100
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0100
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0100
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0100
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0100
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0100
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0100
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0100
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0100
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0120
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0120
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0100
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0120
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0100
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0045
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 4302.08, Sell volume: 1185.65, Average price: 0.6558, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.1950
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.5900
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.4800
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.6500
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.3600
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.6350
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.3850
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.6100
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.6350
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.6350
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.6350
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.6250
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.3850
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.6150
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.3850
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.6150
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.3850
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.7600
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.2900
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.7050
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.8500
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.8200
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.1300
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 2927.53, Sell volume: 243.92, Average price: 0.5600, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.9050
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.0800
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.9050
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0900
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.9050
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.0950
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.8850
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.1200
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.8800
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.2000
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.8300
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.4150
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.8850
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.4850
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.5900
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.4700
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.5350
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.4900
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.9650
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0320
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.9615
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0255
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.9745
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0205
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.9795
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0240
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.9760
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0245
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.9760
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 840.89, Sell volume: 592.62, Average price: 0.6103, Price range: 0.0013 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0195
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.9855
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0200
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.9860
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0145
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.9890
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.0140
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.9860
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0140
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.9855
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.0135
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.9915
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.9870
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0095
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.9925
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.0040
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.9965
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.0035
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.9965
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.0065
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.9955
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.0045
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.9955
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.9955
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.9960
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 140.02, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.9940
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.9940
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0055
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.0055
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.9950
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0065
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0070
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.9950
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.0050
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.9950
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0125
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0120
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.9880
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0125
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.9875
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0095
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.9905
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0100
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.9880
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.0115
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.9905
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.0140
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.9880
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0090
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.9905
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 94.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9978, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0110
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.9910
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0060
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.9945
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0050
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.9955
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0045
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.9960
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0055
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.9950
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0070
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.9940
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0060
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.9920
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0065
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.9955
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0080
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.9935
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0075
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.9945
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0060
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.9945
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.0050
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.9930
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0075
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 300.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9920
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0055
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.9935
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0100
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.9900
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.0100
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.9920
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.0090
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.9930
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.0070
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.9935
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0060
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.9945
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0090
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.9925
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0090
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.9920
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0070
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.9910
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0090
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.9905
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0060
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.9915
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0065
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.9925
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0065
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.9925
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.0075
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.9935
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 4302.08, Sell volume: 1185.65, Average price: 0.6558, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 4302.08, Sell volume: 1185.65, Average price: 0.6558, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.0060
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.9925
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0060
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.9940
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.0065
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.9925
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.0060
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.9900
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.0100
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.9905
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.0095
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.9900
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0095
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.9910
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0055
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.9945
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0105
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.9925
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0090
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.9910
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0090
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9910
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0120
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.9920
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0060
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.9920
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0095
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.9915
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0100
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.9940
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0125
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.9945
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0090
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9885
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0105
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.9945
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0075
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.9910
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0085
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.9920
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0100
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.9935
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0085
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 127.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6725, Price range: 0.0194 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.9870
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0130
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.9870
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0090
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.9880
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0130
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0045
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.9955
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.9955
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0090
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.9900
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0120
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9880
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0130
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.9890
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0130
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.9885
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.0125
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.9885
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0130
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9895
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0115
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.9890
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0120
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.9910
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0120
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.9915
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 4302.08, Sell volume: 1185.65, Average price: 0.6558, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.0050
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9935
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0065
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.9930
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0085
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.9890
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.9950
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.9950
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.9950
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.9950
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.9890
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0080
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.9930
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0075
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.9920
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0080
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9925
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0065
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9930
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0075
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.9935
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0060
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9935
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0075
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 4302.08, Sell volume: 1185.65, Average price: 0.6558, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9895
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0065
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.9935
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0070
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9915
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0105
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9890
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0110
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9930
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0070
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.9925
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0075
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9935
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0105
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9940
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0070
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9930
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9940
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0070
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.9915
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0070
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.91, Sell volume: 9.09, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554641
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 40% and 45% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5487.726796
Price History:
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0100
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9900
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0100
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.9895
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0100
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.9900
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0100
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.9900
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0100
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.9900
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.9880
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0100
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.9880
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0045
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.9870
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.9870
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.9870
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.9870
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.9870
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9870
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.9870
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 4302.08, Sell volume: 1185.65, Average price: 0.6558, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641621
Question: Will Mike McDaniel be the next coach fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7374.749714
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.4500
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.5500
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.4500
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.5500
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.4600
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.5400
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.6450
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.3550
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.6450
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.3550
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.3550
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.6450
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.3550
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.6450
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.6450
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.6450
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.3550
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.3550
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.6450
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.3550
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.6450
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.6450
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.3550
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.6450
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.3550
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.3550
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.6450
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.6400
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.3600
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.6450
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.3550
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.6650
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.3350
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.6500
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.3500
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.6500
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.3500
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.6500
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.3500
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.6500
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.3500
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.3400
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.6600
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.6600
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.3400
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.3400
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.6600
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.3400
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 42.66, Sell volume: 8.57, Average price: 0.6150, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641621
Question: Will Mike McDaniel be the next coach fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7374.749714
Price History:
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.6100
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.3900
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.6100
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.3900
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.6100
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.3900
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.6100
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.4350
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.5650
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.4350
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.5650
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.4350
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.5650
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.4350
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.5650
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.3650
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.6350
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.3700
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.6300
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.3750
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.6250
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.3750
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.6250
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.3750
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.6250
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.3750
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.6250
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.3750
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.6250
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.3800
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.6200
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.3950
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.6050
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.3950
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.6050
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.4000
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.6000
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.4000
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.6000
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.4000
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.6000
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.3950
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.6050
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.3950
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.6050
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.4000
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.6000
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.4000
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.6000
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 75.44, Sell volume: 2.65, Average price: 0.5368, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641621
Question: Will Mike McDaniel be the next coach fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7374.749714
Price History:
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.4000
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.6000
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.4000
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.6000
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.4000
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.6000
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.4100
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.5900
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.4100
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.5900
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.4100
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.5900
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.4100
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.5900
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.4100
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.5900
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.4100
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.5900
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.4100
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.5900
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.4150
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.5850
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.4050
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.5950
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.4000
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.6000
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.3950
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.6050
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.3900
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.6100
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.3900
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.6100
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.3950
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.6050
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.3950
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.6050
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.3950
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.6050
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.3900
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.6100
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.3900
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.6100
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.3900
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.6100
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.3900
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.6100
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.3900
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.6100
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.3900
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 783.56, Sell volume: 13.65, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6535

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641621
Question: Will Mike McDaniel be the next coach fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7374.749714
Price History:
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.5600
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.4550
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.5450
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.4600
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.5400
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.4500
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.5500
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.4500
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.5500
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.4500
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.5500
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.4500
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.5500
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.4500
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.5500
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.4450
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.5550
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.4450
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.5550
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.4450
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.5550
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.4450
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.5550
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.4450
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.5550
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.4450
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.5550
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.4450
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.5550
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.4450
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.5550
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.4450
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.5550
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.4450
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.5550
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.4450
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.5550
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.4450
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.5550
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.4450
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.5550
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.4450
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.5550
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.4450
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.5550
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.4450
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.5550
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.3600
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.6400
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 67.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5381, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.6468

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641621
Question: Will Mike McDaniel be the next coach fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7374.749714
Price History:
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.4150
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.4150
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.4150
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.4150
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.4150
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.4150
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.4150
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.4150
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.4150
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.4150
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.4150
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.4150
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.4150
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.4150
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.4150
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.4150
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.4150
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.4150
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.4150
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.4150
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.5850
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.4150
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.5850
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.4150
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.5850
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.4150
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.5850
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.4150
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.5850
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.4150
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 15.46, Average price: 0.5032, Price range: 0.4765 - 0.5300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641621
Question: Will Mike McDaniel be the next coach fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7374.749714
Price History:
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.5500
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.4500
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.5500
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.4500
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.5500
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.4500
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.5500
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.4500
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.5500
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.4500
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.5500
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.4500
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.5500
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.4500
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.5500
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.4500
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.5500
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.4150
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.5850
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.4150
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.5850
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.4150
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.5850
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.5800
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.5800
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.5800
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.5800
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.5800
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.4150
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.5850
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.4150
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.5850
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.4150
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.5850
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4150
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5850
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4150
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5850
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.4150
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.5850
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.4150
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.5850
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.4150
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.5850
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.43, Sell volume: 49.18, Average price: 0.4105, Price range: 0.1211 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641621
Question: Will Mike McDaniel be the next coach fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7374.749714
Price History:
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.5900
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.4100
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5850
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.4150
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.5900
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.4100
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5900
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4100
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5900
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.4100
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5900
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.4100
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5900
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.4100
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5900
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.4100
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5850
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.4150
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5850
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.4150
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.4850
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.3850
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.6150
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.3850
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.6150
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.3450
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.6550
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.3450
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.6550
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.3300
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.6700
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.3350
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.6650
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.3300
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.6700
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.3350
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.6650
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.3350
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.6650
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.3350
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.6650
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.3350
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.6650
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.3450
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.6550
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.7000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.3000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.6900
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1187.94, Sell volume: 857.63, Average price: 0.4978, Price range: 0.0646 - 0.8800

Output: No