Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.2750
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.2700
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.2700
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.2700
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.2700
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.2700
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.2700
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.2700
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.2700
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.2750
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.2700
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.2700
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.2700
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.2700
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.2750
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.2750
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.2700
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.2700
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.2700
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.2700
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.2700
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.2700
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.2700
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.2700
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.2700
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.2700
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.2700
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.2700
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.2700
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.2750
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.2750
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.2750
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.2750
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.2750
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.2750
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.2750
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.2750
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.7250
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.2750
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.2750
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.0500, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.0500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.1500
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.8500
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.7250
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.1700
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.1700
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.1700
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.2750
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.2750
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.2750
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.2750
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.7250
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.7250
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.7250
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.7250
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.2750
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.2750
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.7250
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.7250
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.2750
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.2750
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.7250
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.7250
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.2750
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.7250
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.7250
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.2750
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.7250
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.7250
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.7250
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.7250
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.2750
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.7250
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.7250
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.7250
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.2750
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.7250
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.7250
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.2750
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.2750
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.2750
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.2750
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.2750
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.2000
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.8500
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.1100
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0700
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9250, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.2450
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.2450
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.7750
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.1450
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.4400
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.4400
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.4400
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.4400
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.5600
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.4400
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.4400
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.4400
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.4400
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.5600
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.4400
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.4400
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.4400
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.5600
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.4400
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.5600
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.5600
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.4400
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.5600
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.4400
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.4400
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.4400
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.9600
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.9600
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.9600
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.9600
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.9600
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0400
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.9600
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0400
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.9600
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9600
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.9600
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.9600
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.9600
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.4400
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.4400
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.4400
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.4400
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.4400
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.4400
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2358.99, Sell volume: 249.13, Average price: 0.8599, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.4400
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.4400
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.4400
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.4400
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.4400
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.4400
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.4400
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.2600
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.7400
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.2600
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.7400
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.7400
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.2600
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.4400
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.3200
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.6800
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.3200
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.6800
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.4400
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.5600
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.3200
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.5600
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.5600
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.4400
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.4400
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.4400
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.3200
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.6750
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.3200
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.3200
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.3200
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.3200
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.5600
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.5600
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.4400
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.5600
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.3200
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.6800
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.3200
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.6800
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.4950
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.5050
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.5050
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.7250
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.7250
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.7250
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.4950
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2358.99, Sell volume: 249.13, Average price: 0.8599, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5050
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.5050
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.5050
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.5050
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.7150
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.2850
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.4900
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.2850
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.4950
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.4950
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.5100
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.4950
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.4950
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.4950
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.4950
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.4950
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.4950
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.4950
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.4950
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.2300
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.4950
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.4950
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.5050
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.4950
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.5050
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.4950
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.4950
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.6500
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.6500
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.4950
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.5050
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.4150
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.5050
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.5050
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.5850
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.5850
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.5850
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.4150
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.4950
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.5050
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.5050
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.5000
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.5050
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2358.99, Sell volume: 249.13, Average price: 0.8599, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.4150
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.5000
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.4150
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.5050
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.5050
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.5050
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.5850
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.5850
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.4950
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.5050
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.5050
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.4950
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.4950
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.4950
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.5050
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.5050
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.4950
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.4950
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.5050
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.4950
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.4950
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.4950
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.4950
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.4950
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.5050
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.5050
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.5050
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.5050
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.4950
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.4950
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.4950
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.4950
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.4950
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.5200
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.5050
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.5600
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.5050
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.4400
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.5600
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.4400
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.4300
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.4450
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.4950
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.4950
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.5050
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.4950
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.4950
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.5050
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2358.99, Sell volume: 249.13, Average price: 0.8599, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.5050
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.4950
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.5050
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.4950
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.5050
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.4950
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.5050
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.4950
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.4400
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.4950
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.4950
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.5050
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.4400
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.4950
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.5050
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.5050
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.4950
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.4400
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.5050
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.5050
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.4800
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.5200
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.4800
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.4800
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.4950
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.4950
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.4750
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.5250
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5100
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2358.99, Sell volume: 249.13, Average price: 0.8599, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.5250
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.4750
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.4750
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.4900
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.5100
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.5100
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.4750
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.4750
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.4900
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.4900
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.4750
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.4750
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.5250
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.5250
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.4750
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.5100
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.4750
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.5250
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.5250
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.5250
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.4750
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.4750
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.4750
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.5100
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.4900
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.4900
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.4900
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.4750
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.5250
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.4750
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.5250
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.4750
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.4800
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.4800
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.4750
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.4650
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.4650
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.4650
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.4650
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.4650
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.4650
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.4650
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.4650
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2358.99, Sell volume: 249.13, Average price: 0.8599, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.4650
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.5100
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.5050
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.4950
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.4900
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.4650
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.4650
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.4900
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.5100
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.5100
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.4650
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.4650
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.4900
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.4900
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.4900
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.4900
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.4650
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.4650
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.4650
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.4650
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.4900
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.4650
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.4650
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.4950
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.5100
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.4900
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.4950
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.5100
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.5100
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.4950
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.4650
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.4650
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.4900
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.5350
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.5350
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.4950
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.4650
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.4950
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.4950
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.4950
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.4900
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.5150
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.4900
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.5100
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.4900
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.4900
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2358.99, Sell volume: 249.13, Average price: 0.8599, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.5350
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.4900
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.4900
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.5050
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.5350
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.5100
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.4650
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.5050
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.4950
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.5100
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5350
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.4650
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.5350
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.4650
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.4850
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.4850
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.4900
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.4900
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.4250
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.4850
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.4250
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.4250
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.4250
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.4250
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.4250
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.4250
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.4250
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.4250
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.4250
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.4250
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.4250
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.4250
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.4250
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.4250
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.4250
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.4250
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.4250
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2358.99, Sell volume: 249.13, Average price: 0.8599, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.4250
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.4250
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.4250
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.4250
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.4250
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.4250
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.3700
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.3700
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.4250
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.4150
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.4450
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.4400
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.4950
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4850
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.4850
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.4900
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.4900
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.3900
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.4750
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.3800
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.3800
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.3800
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.3600
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4250
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.3800
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.3700
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.4550
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.2000
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.2000
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.1850
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.1400
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4500
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0500
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0500
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.4600
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.85, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0550
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.2250
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1750
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.1750
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.1750
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1350
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.3750
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.2650
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.3450
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.2550
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.1900
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.1600
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.1000
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.3150
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.1650
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0600
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0400
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0105
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0105
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0105
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0100
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0100
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 2273.65, Sell volume: 219.28, Average price: 0.8916, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.5200
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.5200
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.3000
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.3000
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2950
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.2950
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.2700
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2700
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2700
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.2700
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2700
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.2700
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.2700
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2450
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2358.99, Sell volume: 249.13, Average price: 0.8599, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.2750
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.2700
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.2750
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.2700
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.2700
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.2750
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.2700
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.2700
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.2700
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.2700
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.2700
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.2700
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.2700
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.2700
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.2700
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.2700
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.2700
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.2750
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.2750
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.2750
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.2750
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.7250
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.7250
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.2750
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.0500, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.0500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.1500
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.1500
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.1700
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.1700
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.2750
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.2750
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.7250
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.7250
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.2750
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.2750
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.2750
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.2750
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.2750
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.2750
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.2750
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.7250
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.7250
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.7250
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.2750
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.7250
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7250
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.7250
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.7250
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.2750
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.2700
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.1750
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.1000
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.2450
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9250, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.2000
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.5600
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.4400
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.4400
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.4400
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.5600
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.5600
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.4400
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.5600
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.5600
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.5600
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.5600
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.4400
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.4400
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.9600
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.9600
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.9600
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.0400
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.9600
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.9600
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0400
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.4400
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.4400
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.4400
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.4400
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2358.99, Sell volume: 249.13, Average price: 0.8599, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.4400
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.4400
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.4400
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.5600
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.2600
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.5600
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.7400
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.5600
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.3200
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.4400
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.3200
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.5600
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.5600
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.6750
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.4400
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.3200
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.3200
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.4400
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.4400
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.4400
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.5600
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.6800
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.6800
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.5050
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.3200
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.2750
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.4950
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.5100
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2358.99, Sell volume: 249.13, Average price: 0.8599, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5050
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.4950
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.4950
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.4950
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.2850
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.4950
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.2850
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.4950
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.4950
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.4950
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.5050
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.2300
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.6500
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.5050
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.3500
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.4950
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.3500
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.6500
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.3500
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.4150
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.4150
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.5000
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.4150
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.5050
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.4950
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.5850
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.5050
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2358.99, Sell volume: 249.13, Average price: 0.8599, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.4150
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.4150
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.5050
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.4150
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.5850
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.4150
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.4950
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.4950
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.4950
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.5050
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.5050
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.5050
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.4950
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.5050
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.4950
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.5050
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.5050
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.4950
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.4950
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.5000
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.5050
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.5600
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.4950
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.4400
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.4450
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.4950
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.4950
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.4950
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.4950
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2358.99, Sell volume: 249.13, Average price: 0.8599, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.5050
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.5050
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.5050
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.4950
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.4950
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.4950
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.4950
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.4950
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4950
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5050
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.4800
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.4950
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.4950
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.5250
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.4900
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2358.99, Sell volume: 249.13, Average price: 0.8599, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.5250
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.5250
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.5250
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.4750
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.4900
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.5100
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.4750
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.5250
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.4750
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.5250
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.5250
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.5250
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.4750
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.4750
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.4900
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.4900
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.5250
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.4750
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.5250
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.4800
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.5200
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.4650
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.4650
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.4650
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.4650
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.5350
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2358.99, Sell volume: 249.13, Average price: 0.8599, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.4650
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.5350
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.5100
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.4950
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.4900
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.4900
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.4900
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.4650
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.4450
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.4650
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.4950
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.4650
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.4950
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.4900
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.5100
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.4900
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.4650
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.4900
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.4950
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.4950
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.4950
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.4900
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.4900
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.4900
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.5100
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2358.99, Sell volume: 249.13, Average price: 0.8599, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.5350
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.5100
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.4950
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.5350
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.4650
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.5350
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.4650
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.4650
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.5350
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.5350
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.4850
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.4900
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.4900
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.4250
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.4250
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.4250
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.4250
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.4250
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.4250
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.4250
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.4250
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.4250
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.4250
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.4250
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.4250
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2358.99, Sell volume: 249.13, Average price: 0.8599, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.4250
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.4250
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.4250
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.4250
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.3700
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.4150
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.4900
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4850
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.4900
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.4900
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.3750
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.3800
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.3750
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.3450
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.3400
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.3700
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.2000
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.2000
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.1650
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0500
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0500
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0600
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.85, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565778
Question: Will Luke Kwon win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2608.116
Price History:
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.1650
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1750
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.1750
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.3750
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.1850
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.2550
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.1700
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.1000
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.1650
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0900
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0105
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0100
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 2273.65, Sell volume: 219.28, Average price: 0.8916, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.4950
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.3050
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.3050
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.3050
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.3050
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.3050
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.2450
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 2514.85, Sell volume: 636.96, Average price: 0.7995, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 2514.85, Sell volume: 636.96, Average price: 0.7995, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.7550
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.7700
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.8500
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9400
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0340
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.2505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.2520
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.2520
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.2510
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.7580
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.5225
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.3845
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.5225
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.3725
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.5250
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.4750
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.4760
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.5245
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.5240
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.4770
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.5245
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.5245
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.5245
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.5245
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.5245
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.5245
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.4755
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.4755
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.4755
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.5245
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.4750
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.5245
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.4725
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.4710
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.5370
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.5395
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.5420
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.5440
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.5540
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.4350
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.5670
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.4125
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.5935
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.2285
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.7745
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.7770
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.7800
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.7830
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.2140
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.7885
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.2090
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.7940
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.7970
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.8000
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.8025
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.8055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.4816, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9620

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.1815
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.1790
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.1760
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.1735
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.8295
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.1680
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.8375
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.1595
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.8430
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.1545
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.1515
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.1490
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.1465
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.1440
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.1415
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.1390
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.8635
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.1340
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.8685
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.1295
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.1270
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.1270
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.1270
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.1270
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.1270
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.1270
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.1270
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.1270
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.1270
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.1270
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.1270
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.1265
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.1240
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.1215
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.8810
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.8840
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.8865
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.8890
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.8915
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.8930
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.1070
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.8930
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.8930
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.1070
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.8930
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.1070
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.1070
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.1070
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.1070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 2514.85, Sell volume: 636.96, Average price: 0.7995, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.8930
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.8930
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.1070
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.1070
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.8930
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.8930
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.8930
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.8930
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.8930
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.8930
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.1070
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.1070
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.8930
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.8930
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.1070
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.1070
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.1070
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.8930
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.8995
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.8995
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.8995
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.8995
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.8995
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.1005
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9000
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9000
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9000
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9005
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9005
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9005
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9005
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9010
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0995
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9010
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9010
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9010
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9015
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9010
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9015
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9010
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9015
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0990
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9015
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9010
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0985
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0990
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0985
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0990
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 2514.85, Sell volume: 636.96, Average price: 0.7995, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9015
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9010
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9015
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9020
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9015
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0980
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9015
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9015
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0985
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0985
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9015
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9015
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9015
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0985
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0985
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0985
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0985
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9015
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9015
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9015
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0985
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0985
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0985
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0985
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9015
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.0985
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.9015
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0985
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0985
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9015
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0985
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0985
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0985
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0985
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0985
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0985
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0985
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0985
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0985
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0985
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0985
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0985
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9015
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9015
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0980
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9015
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9015
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9015
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0985
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 2514.85, Sell volume: 636.96, Average price: 0.7995, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.9015
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0980
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9020
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9020
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0980
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9020
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9020
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0980
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0980
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9020
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.8970
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.8965
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9020
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9015
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9010
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9010
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9015
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9015
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0990
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0990
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0975
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0985
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0985
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0985
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9015
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9015
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9010
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9015
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9010
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9010
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9015
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9015
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9010
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9010
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9015
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9020
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0985
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0985
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9015
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9020
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9020
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0980
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0985
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9015
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9015
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0980
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9020
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9015
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0980
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 6.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9015
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9020
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9020
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0980
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9020
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3.99, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0390
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9610
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0390
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9610
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9610
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9610
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9610
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0390
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9610
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0390
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0390
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0390
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0390
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0390
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0390
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0390
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 18.83, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0531, Price range: 0.0531 - 0.0531

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0390
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0390
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0390
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0390
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0390
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9610
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0390
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0390
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0390
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0390
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0390
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9610
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9610
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0390
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9610
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0390
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0390
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0390
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0390
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0390
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0390
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0390
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0390
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0390
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0390
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0390
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0390
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0390
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0390
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0390
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0390
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0390
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.85, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9610
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9610
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9610
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9610
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9610
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9610
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9610
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9610
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9610
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9610
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9610
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9610
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9610
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9610
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9610
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9610
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9610
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9610
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9610
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9610
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9610
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9610
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9610
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9610
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9610
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9610
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9610
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9610
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9610
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9565
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9565
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.8945
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.6660
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.6660
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.8945
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.7265
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.7810
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.7810
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.7755
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.7395
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.7840
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8945
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8905
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.8960
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.8960
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 34.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 2440.99, Sell volume: 578.12, Average price: 0.8481, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.3050
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.3050
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2450
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 2514.85, Sell volume: 636.96, Average price: 0.7995, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 2514.85, Sell volume: 636.96, Average price: 0.7995, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.7550
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.8400
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9200
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0330
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.2505
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.2515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.2520
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.7490
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.4775
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.6155
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.3725
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.5250
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.5240
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.4770
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.5245
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.4755
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.4755
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.5245
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.4755
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.4755
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.5260
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.4725
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.5370
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.5415
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.4460
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.4345
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.4125
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.2290
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.2240
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.7810
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.2140
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.7905
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.2045
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.8005
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.8055
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.8105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.4816, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9620
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.1815
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.1770
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.8280
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.8330
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.8375
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.1575
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.1530
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.1485
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.1440
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.8650
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.8690
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.1270
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.8730
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.1270
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.1270
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.1270
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.1270
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.1270
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.1235
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.8810
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.8855
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.8930
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.8930
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.8930
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.8930
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.1070
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.1070
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.1070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 2514.85, Sell volume: 636.96, Average price: 0.7995, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.8930
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.1070
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.8930
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.8930
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.8930
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.8930
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.8930
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.8930
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.1070
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.1070
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.8930
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.1005
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.8995
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.1005
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.8995
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.1000
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9005
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9010
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9005
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9005
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9010
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9010
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0985
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9015
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0990
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9015
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9010
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9010
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9010
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 2514.85, Sell volume: 636.96, Average price: 0.7995, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9015
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9015
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9015
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9015
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9015
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9015
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9015
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0985
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0985
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0985
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0985
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0985
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0985
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9015
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.9015
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.0985
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0985
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.0985
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0985
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.9015
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0985
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0985
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0985
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0985
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9015
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9020
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9015
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9015
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9015
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 2514.85, Sell volume: 636.96, Average price: 0.7995, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.9015
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.0980
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0985
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0985
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0980
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9015
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.8970
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9010
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9010
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9015
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9010
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0980
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0985
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0985
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9015
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9015
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9010
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9015
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9010
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9015
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9020
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9020
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0985
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9015
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0985
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0980
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9020
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9020
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9020
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 6.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9015
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9020
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0980
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3.99, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0390
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0390
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9610
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.0390
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0390
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0390
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9610
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0390
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0390
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9610
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 18.83, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0531, Price range: 0.0531 - 0.0531
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0390
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9610
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0390
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0390
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0390
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0390
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9610
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9610
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9610
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0390
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0390
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0390
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0390
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0390
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0390
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0390
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0390
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0390
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0390
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0390
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.85, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9610
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9610
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9610
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9610
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9610
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9610
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9610
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9610
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9610
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9610
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9610
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9610
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9610
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9610
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9610
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9610
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9610
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9565
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.6620
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.6705
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.7265
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.7810
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.7255
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9495
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.8905
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9005
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 34.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565766
Question: Will Micah Morris win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3151.808167
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 2440.99, Sell volume: 578.12, Average price: 0.8481, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565767
Question: Will Matt Scharff win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2821.3
Price History:
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.4950
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.2450
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 2664.61, Sell volume: 156.69, Average price: 0.8772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565767
Question: Will Matt Scharff win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2821.3
Price History:
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 2664.61, Sell volume: 156.69, Average price: 0.8772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565767
Question: Will Matt Scharff win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2821.3
Price History:
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.7550
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.7700
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.8500
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.0600
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.7605
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.7495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565767
Question: Will Matt Scharff win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2821.3
Price History:
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.7480
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.7480
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.7490
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.2420
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.5020
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.4550
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.4825
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.4820
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.5000
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.4825
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.5170
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.5000
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.5135
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.5180
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.5195
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.5190
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.4805
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.4810
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.5210
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.4790
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.5210
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.4790
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.4805
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.5195
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.4725
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.5000
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.4610
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.4595
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.4565
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.4460
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.4435
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.4410
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.5615
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.4255
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.4220
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.5805
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.5900
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.5850
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.5865
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.6035
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.6065
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.6095
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.6125
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.6150
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.6175
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.6205
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.6235
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.6265
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.6290
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.6320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.4957, Price range: 0.0034 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565767
Question: Will Matt Scharff win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2821.3
Price History:
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.6450
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.3525
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.6505
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.3470
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.3440
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.3415
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.6615
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.6640
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.6670
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.6695
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.3280
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.6775
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.3200
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.3175
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.6875
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.6900
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.3075
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.6950
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.6970
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.3005
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.3005
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.3005
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.3005
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.3005
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.3005
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.3005
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.3005
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.3005
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.3005
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.3005
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.3000
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.2975
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.2950
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.2925
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.2895
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.2870
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.2845
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.2820
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.2805
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.7195
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.7195
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.7195
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.7195
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.7195
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.2805
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.7195
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.7195
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.7195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 2664.61, Sell volume: 156.69, Average price: 0.8772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565767
Question: Will Matt Scharff win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2821.3
Price History:
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.2805
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.2805
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.2805
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.2805
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.2805
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.2805
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.7195
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.7195
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.7195
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.7195
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.2805
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.7195
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.2805
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.2805
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.2805
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.2805
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.2805
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.2805
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.7195
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.7195
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.7195
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.7195
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.7195
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.7195
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.2800
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.2800
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.2800
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.2795
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.2795
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.2795
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.2795
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.2795
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.7210
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.2795
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.7210
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.2790
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.2790
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.2785
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.7210
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.2785
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.2790
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.2785
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.7210
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.2785
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.2790
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.7215
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.7210
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.7215
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.2785
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.2790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 2664.61, Sell volume: 156.69, Average price: 0.8772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565767
Question: Will Matt Scharff win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2821.3
Price History:
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.2785
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.2790
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.2785
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.2780
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.7215
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.7220
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.7215
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.7215
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.2785
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.2785
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.7215
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.2785
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.2785
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.2785
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.2785
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.7215
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.2785
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.2785
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.2785
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.2785
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.7215
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.7215
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.7215
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.2785
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.2785
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.2785
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.7215
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.7215
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.2785
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.2785
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.2785
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.7215
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.2785
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.2785
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.2785
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.2785
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.2785
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.7215
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.2785
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.2785
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.2785
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.2785
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.2785
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.7215
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.2780
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.7215
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.7215
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.7215
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.2785
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.2785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 2664.61, Sell volume: 156.69, Average price: 0.8772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565767
Question: Will Matt Scharff win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2821.3
Price History:
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.7215
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.7220
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.7220
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.2780
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.7220
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.7220
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.2780
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.2780
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.2780
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.2780
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.7220
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.7215
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.2780
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.7215
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.2790
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.7210
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.2785
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.2785
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.7210
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.2790
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.2785
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.2785
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.7215
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.7215
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2785
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.2785
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.2790
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.2785
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2790
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.2790
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.2785
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.7215
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.2790
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.7210
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.7215
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7215
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.7210
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.7210
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.7210
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.2785
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.7215
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.7215
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.7210
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.7210
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.7210
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.2785
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.7215
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.2790
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.7215
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.7215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 2664.61, Sell volume: 156.69, Average price: 0.8772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565767
Question: Will Matt Scharff win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2821.3
Price History:
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.7210
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.2785
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.7215
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.2785
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.7215
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.2790
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.2790
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.7215
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.2785
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.2790
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.2785
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.7210
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.7215
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.2790
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.2785
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.2785
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.2785
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.2790
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.2790
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.7210
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.7215
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.7215
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.2790
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.2785
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.2790
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.2785
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.2790
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.2790
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.2790
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.2790
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.2790
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.2790
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.2790
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.2790
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.2790
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.7210
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.2790
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.2790
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.2790
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.7210
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.2790
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.7210
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.2790
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.8745
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.1255
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.1255
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.8745
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.8745
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.2790
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.2790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565767
Question: Will Matt Scharff win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2821.3
Price History:
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.8745
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.1255
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.8745
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.1255
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.1205
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.1205
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.8795
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.8795
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.8795
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.1205
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.8795
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.8795
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.8795
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.1205
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.8795
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.1205
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.8795
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.8795
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.1205
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.1205
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.8795
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.1205
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.1205
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.8795
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1205
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.1205
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.8795
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.1205
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.1205
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.1205
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.1205
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.8795
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.8795
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.8795
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1205
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.1205
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.8795
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.8795
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.8795
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.8795
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.8795
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1205
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1205
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1205
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1205
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.1205
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.8795
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.8795
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.8795
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.8795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 2664.61, Sell volume: 156.69, Average price: 0.8772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565767
Question: Will Matt Scharff win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2821.3
Price History:
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.1195
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.1195
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.1195
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.1195
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.1195
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.1190
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.1190
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.1190
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.1190
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.1190
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.1185
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.1185
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.8820
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.1180
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.1180
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.8820
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.8825
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.1175
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.1175
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.1175
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.1175
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.1175
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.1175
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.1175
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.1175
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.1175
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.1175
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.1175
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.1175
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.1175
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.1175
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.1175
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.1175
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.1175
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.1175
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.1175
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.1175
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.1175
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.1175
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.1175
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.1175
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.1175
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.1175
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.1175
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.1175
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.1175
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.1175
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.1175
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.1175
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.1175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.85, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565767
Question: Will Matt Scharff win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2821.3
Price History:
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.8825
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.8825
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.8825
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.8825
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.8825
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.8825
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.8825
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.8825
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.1175
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.1175
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0900
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0900
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0900
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0900
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0855
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0855
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0805
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0805
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0805
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0805
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0805
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0805
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0805
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0805
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0805
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0805
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0805
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0805
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0805
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0805
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0805
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0805
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.4915
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0805
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.4610
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.1100
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.1100
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4405
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.4335
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.1045
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.1045
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1090
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.1085
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.1080
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.1035
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 34.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565767
Question: Will Matt Scharff win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2821.3
Price History:
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 2613.28, Sell volume: 101.84, Average price: 0.9277, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565767
Question: Will Matt Scharff win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2821.3
Price History:
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2450
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 2664.61, Sell volume: 156.69, Average price: 0.8772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565767
Question: Will Matt Scharff win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2821.3
Price History:
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 2664.61, Sell volume: 156.69, Average price: 0.8772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565767
Question: Will Matt Scharff win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2821.3
Price History:
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.7550
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.1600
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9200
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.7615
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.7495
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.2515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565767
Question: Will Matt Scharff win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2821.3
Price History:
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.7480
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.2510
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.4980
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.5020
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.4820
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.4825
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.4995
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.4985
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.5195
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.5195
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.5190
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.4790
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.4790
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.5000
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.5285
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.4610
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.4565
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.4440
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.4330
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.4235
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.5805
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.4050
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.6025
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.6075
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.6125
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.6170
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.6220
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.6270
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.6320
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.6370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.4957, Price range: 0.0034 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565767
Question: Will Matt Scharff win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2821.3
Price History:
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.6450
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.6495
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.3455
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.3405
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.6640
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.6690
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.6735
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.3220
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.3175
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.6865
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.3085
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.3045
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.3005
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.3005
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.3005
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.3005
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.3005
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.3005
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.3005
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.2970
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.2925
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.7120
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.2835
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.2805
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.7195
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.7195
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.7195
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.7195
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.7195
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.7195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 2664.61, Sell volume: 156.69, Average price: 0.8772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565767
Question: Will Matt Scharff win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2821.3
Price History:
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.2805
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.2805
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.2805
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.7195
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.7195
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.2805
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.2805
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.2805
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.2805
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.2805
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.2805
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.7195
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.7195
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.7195
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.2805
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.2800
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.2795
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.2790
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.7205
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.2795
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.2790
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.7210
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.7215
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.2785
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.7210
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.7215
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.2790
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.2790
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.2790
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.2790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 2664.61, Sell volume: 156.69, Average price: 0.8772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565767
Question: Will Matt Scharff win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2821.3
Price History:
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.2785
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.2785
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.2785
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.2785
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.7215
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.2785
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.2785
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.7215
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.2785
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.2785
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.2785
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.2785
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.7215
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.7215
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.2785
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.7215
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.2785
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.2785
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.2785
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.2785
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.2785
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.2785
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.2785
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.2785
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.2785
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.7220
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.2785
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.2785
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.2785
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.2780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 2664.61, Sell volume: 156.69, Average price: 0.8772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes