Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 592097
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 63166.617499
Price History:
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 6482.63, Sell volume: 2089.71, Average price: 0.7345, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 592097
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 63166.617499
Price History:
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 15113.84, Sell volume: 645.01, Average price: 0.7170, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 592097
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 63166.617499
Price History:
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 2118.50, Sell volume: 216.00, Average price: 0.4004, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 592097
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 63166.617499
Price History:
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 9938.00, Sell volume: 1256.66, Average price: 0.6536, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 592097
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 63166.617499
Price History:
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 3020.23, Sell volume: 52.02, Average price: 0.8414, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 592097
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 63166.617499
Price History:
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 267, Buy volume: 57340.51, Sell volume: 5826.11, Average price: 0.6857, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.4350
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.5650
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.4450
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.5550
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.5500
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.4500
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.4650
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.5350
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.3900
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.6100
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.2450
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.7550
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.2400
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.7600
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.2400
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.7600
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.2400
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.7600
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.2400
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.7600
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.2400
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.7600
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.2400
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.7600
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.2400
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.7600
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.2400
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.7600
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.7600
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.2400
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.2350
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.7650
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.2500
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.7500
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7167, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.7700
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.2300
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.7700
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.7800
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.2200
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.2300
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.7700
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.2300
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.7700
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.2650
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.7350
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.7250
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.2750
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.2700
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.7300
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.7300
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.2700
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.7200
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.2800
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.2800
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.7200
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.2800
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.7200
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.2800
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.7200
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.2800
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.7200
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.7150
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.2850
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.2800
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.7200
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.2800
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.7200
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.2800
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.7200
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.2800
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 32.94, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6850, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.2800
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.7200
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.2800
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.7200
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.2800
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.7200
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.2800
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.7200
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.7200
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.2800
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.2800
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.7200
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.2900
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.7100
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.2900
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.7100
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.2900
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.7100
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.2800
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.7200
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.2450
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.7550
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.2450
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.7550
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.2450
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.7550
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.2450
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.7550
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.2000
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.8000
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.2000
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.8000
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.2000
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.8000
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.1800
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.8200
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 126.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7500 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.8200
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.1800
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.8200
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.1800
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.8200
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.1800
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.8200
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.1800
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.8200
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.1800
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.8200
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.1800
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.8200
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.1800
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.8200
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.8050
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.1950
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.8050
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.1950
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.1950
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.8050
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.8050
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.1950
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.1950
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.8050
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.8050
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.1950
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.1950
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.8050
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.8200
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.1800
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.8050
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.1950
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.8050
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.1950
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.2350
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 272.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.2450
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.7550
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.7250
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.2750
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.2900
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.7100
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.3000
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.2950
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.7050
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.3000
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.3050
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.4700
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.5300
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.4700
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.5300
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.4600
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.5400
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.4650
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.5350
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.5000
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.5000
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.4200
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.5800
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.4250
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.5750
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.4250
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.5750
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.5800
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.4200
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.5950
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.4050
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 670.68, Sell volume: 2.04, Average price: 0.5353, Price range: 0.3410 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.5500
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.5050
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.5450
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.4550
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.5350
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.4650
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.5050
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.4950
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.5250
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.4750
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.5250
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.4750
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.5800
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.4200
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.4050
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.6050
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.3950
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.4150
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.5850
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.6100
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.3900
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.6100
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.3900
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.3750
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.6250
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.6500
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.3500
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.6800
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.3200
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.6950
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.3050
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.6850
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.3150
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.6800
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 1345.36, Sell volume: 491.29, Average price: 0.4714, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.3300
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.6700
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.6700
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.3300
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.3300
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.6700
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.6700
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.3300
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.3000
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.7000
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.2950
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.7050
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.7050
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.2950
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.3100
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.6900
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.3300
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.6700
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.6600
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.3400
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.5800
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.4200
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.5950
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.4050
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.3850
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.6150
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.6200
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.3800
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.6250
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.3750
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.6050
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.3950
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.4350
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.5650
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.4350
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.5650
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 2961.31, Sell volume: 1224.87, Average price: 0.4719, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.3900
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.6100
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.6700
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.3300
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.7450
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.2550
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.7050
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.2950
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.7200
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.2800
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.2300
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.7700
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.2050
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.8100
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.1900
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.8250
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.1750
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.8250
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.1750
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.8350
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.1650
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.8350
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.1650
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.8350
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.1650
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.8550
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.1450
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.8600
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.1400
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.1650
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.8350
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.1750
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.8250
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.8450
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 2149.56, Sell volume: 118.02, Average price: 0.4343, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.8450
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.1550
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.8350
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.1650
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.8200
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.1800
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.8000
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.2000
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.8000
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.2000
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.7750
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.2250
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.7650
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.2350
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.6850
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.3150
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.6800
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.3200
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.6800
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.3200
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.5200
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.4800
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.5450
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.4950
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.5050
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.3800
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.6200
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.6150
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.3850
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.6600
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.3400
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.6600
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.3400
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.7950
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.2050
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 5040.95, Sell volume: 2695.00, Average price: 0.5238, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.2000
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.7900
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.2100
2025-09-17 14:00: 0.2100
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.8300
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.8300
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.8000
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.2000
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.8850
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.1150
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.8750
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.1250
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.8700
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.1300
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.1300
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.8700
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.1250
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.8750
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.1000
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9000
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0950
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.9050
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0800
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9200
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0800
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9200
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0800
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9200
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 1927.96, Sell volume: 360.80, Average price: 0.6171, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9400
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9400
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0600
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9400
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0600
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9450
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0550
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9600
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0400
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.9655
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.0345
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.9690
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0310
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9810
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0190
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9890
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0110
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9850
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0150
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9855
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0145
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9895
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0105
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9890
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0110
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.9895
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.0105
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9895
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0105
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9900
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0100
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9895
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0105
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9875
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.0125
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0115
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 5958.68, Sell volume: 1494.60, Average price: 0.5056, Price range: 0.0046 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9930
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0070
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9925
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.0090
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9910
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0105
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9895
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.0105
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9895
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0100
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9900
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0110
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9890
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0135
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9865
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0135
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9865
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.9870
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0130
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.0090
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.9910
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9910
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0090
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0160
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9840
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0135
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9865
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0145
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9855
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0140
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9860
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0120
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9880
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0140
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9860
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 4559.17, Sell volume: 2538.10, Average price: 0.5173, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9865
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9865
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0135
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0130
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9870
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0105
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9895
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0100
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9900
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0100
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9900
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0100
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9900
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0100
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9900
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0100
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9900
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9915
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0085
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9935
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0065
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9950
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0050
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9950
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0050
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 6536.65, Sell volume: 1887.50, Average price: 0.9974, Price range: 0.9904 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.4350
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.5650
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.4450
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.5550
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.5500
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.4500
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.4650
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.5350
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.3900
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.6100
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.2450
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.7550
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.2400
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.7600
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.2400
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.7600
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.2400
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.7600
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.2400
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.7600
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.2400
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.7600
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.2400
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.7600
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.2400
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.7600
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.2400
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7167, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.7700
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.2300
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.7700
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.7800
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.2200
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.2300
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.7700
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.2300
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.7700
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.2650
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.7350
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.7250
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.2750
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.2700
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.7300
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.7300
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.2700
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.7200
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.2800
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.2800
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.7200
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.2800
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.7200
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.2800
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.7200
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.2800
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.7200
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.7150
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.2850
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 32.94, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6850, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.2800
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.7200
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.2800
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.7200
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.2800
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.7200
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.2800
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.7200
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.7200
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.2800
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.2800
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.7200
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.2900
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.7100
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.2900
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.7100
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.2900
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.7100
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.2800
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.7200
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.2450
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.7550
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.2450
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.7550
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.2450
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.7550
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.2450
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.7550
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.2000
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 126.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7500 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.8200
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.1800
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.8200
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.1800
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.8200
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.1800
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.8200
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.1800
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.8200
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.1800
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.8200
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.1800
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.8200
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.1800
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.8200
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.8050
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.1950
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.8050
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.1950
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.1950
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.8050
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.8050
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.1950
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.1950
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.8050
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.8050
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.1950
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.1950
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.8050
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 272.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.2450
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.7550
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.7250
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.2750
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.2900
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.7100
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.3000
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.2950
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.7050
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.3000
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.3050
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.4700
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.5300
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.4700
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.5300
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.4600
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.5400
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.4650
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.5350
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.5000
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.5000
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.4200
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.5800
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.4250
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 670.68, Sell volume: 2.04, Average price: 0.5353, Price range: 0.3410 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.5500
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.5050
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.5450
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.4550
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.5350
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.4650
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.5050
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.4950
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.5250
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.4750
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.5250
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.4750
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.5800
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.4200
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.4050
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.6050
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.3950
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.4150
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.5850
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.6100
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.3900
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.6100
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.3900
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.3750
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.6250
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.6500
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.3500
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 1345.36, Sell volume: 491.29, Average price: 0.4714, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.3300
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.6700
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.6700
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.3300
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.3300
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.6700
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.6700
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.3300
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.3000
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.7000
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.2950
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.7050
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.7050
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.2950
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.3100
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.6900
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.3300
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.6700
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.6600
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.3400
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.5800
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.4200
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.5950
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.4050
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.3850
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.6150
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.6200
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.3800
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.6250
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 2961.31, Sell volume: 1224.87, Average price: 0.4719, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.3900
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.6100
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.6700
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.3300
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.7450
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.2550
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.7050
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.2950
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.7200
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.2800
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.2300
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.7700
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.2050
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.8100
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.1900
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.8250
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.1750
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.8250
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.1750
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.8350
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.1650
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.8350
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.1650
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.8350
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.1650
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.8550
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.1450
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 2149.56, Sell volume: 118.02, Average price: 0.4343, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.8450
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.1550
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.8350
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.1650
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.8200
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.1800
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.8000
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.2000
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.8000
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.2000
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.7750
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.2250
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.7650
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.2350
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.6850
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.3150
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.6800
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.3200
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.6800
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.3200
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.5200
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.4800
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.5450
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.4950
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.5050
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.3800
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.6200
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.6150
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 5040.95, Sell volume: 2695.00, Average price: 0.5238, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.2000
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.7900
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.2100
2025-09-17 14:00: 0.2100
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.8300
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.8300
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.8000
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.2000
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.8850
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.1150
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.8750
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.1250
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.8700
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.1300
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.1300
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.8700
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.1250
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.8750
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.1000
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9000
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0950
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.9050
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0800
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9200
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0800
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9200
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0800
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 1927.96, Sell volume: 360.80, Average price: 0.6171, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9400
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9400
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0600
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9400
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0600
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9450
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0550
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9600
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0400
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.9655
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.0345
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.9690
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0310
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9810
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0190
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9890
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0110
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9850
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0150
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9855
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0145
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9895
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0105
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9890
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0110
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.9895
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.0105
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9895
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0105
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 5958.68, Sell volume: 1494.60, Average price: 0.5056, Price range: 0.0046 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9930
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0070
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9925
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.0090
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9910
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0105
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9895
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.0105
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9895
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0100
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9900
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0110
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9890
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0135
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9865
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0135
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9865
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.9870
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0130
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.0090
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.9910
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9910
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0090
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0160
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9840
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0135
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9865
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0145
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 4559.17, Sell volume: 2538.10, Average price: 0.5173, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 592099
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Volume: 45109.506764
Price History:
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9865
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9865
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0135
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0130
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9870
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0105
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9895
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0100
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9900
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0100
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9900
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0100
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9900
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0100
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9900
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0100
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9900
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9915
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0085
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9935
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0065
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9950
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0050
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9950
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0050
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 6536.65, Sell volume: 1887.50, Average price: 0.9974, Price range: 0.9904 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.3450
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.6550
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.2750
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.7250
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.4100
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5900
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.3800
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.3900
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.3350
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.6650
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.3100
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.6900
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.3000
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.7000
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.3000
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.7000
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.3300
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6700
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.3750
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6250
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.3450
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.6550
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.3350
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.6650
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.3000
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.7000
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.3000
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.7000
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.2950
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.7050
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.3200
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.3100
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.6900
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.3350
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.6650
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.3150
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.6850
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 495159427.90, Sell volume: 143649427.79, Average price: 0.4072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.3200
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.3100
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.3200
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.6800
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.3300
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.3100
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.3050
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.3000
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.7000
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.3000
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.7000
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.3000
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.7000
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.3100
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.3200
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.6800
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.3250
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.3500
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 495159427.90, Sell volume: 143649427.79, Average price: 0.4072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.4050
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.5950
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.6050
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.3950
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.3950
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.3950
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.3950
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.3950
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.3850
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.3850
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.6150
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.3900
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.6100
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.6450
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.3600
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.6400
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.3600
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.6400
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.3000
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.7000
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.3100
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.6900
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.3150
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 495159427.90, Sell volume: 143649427.79, Average price: 0.4072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.3100
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.6900
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.3100
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.6900
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.3100
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.6900
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.3100
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.6900
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.3350
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.6650
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 495159427.90, Sell volume: 143649427.79, Average price: 0.4072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.3150
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.6850
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.3100
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.6900
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.2850
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.7150
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.3000
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.7000
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.7050
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.2900
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.7100
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.7050
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.7050
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.2800
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.7200
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.2700
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.7300
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.2550
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.7450
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.2900
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.7100
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.2900
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.7100
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.2900
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.7100
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.2900
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.7100
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.3000
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.7000
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.3350
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.6650
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.3350
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.6650
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.3450
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.6550
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.3450
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.6550
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 495159427.90, Sell volume: 143649427.79, Average price: 0.4072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.3450
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.6550
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.3450
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.6550
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.3850
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.6150
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.3900
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.6100
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.4100
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.5900
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.4300
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.5700
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.4450
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.5550
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.5750
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.3500
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.6500
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.4250
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.5750
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.4350
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.5650
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.4300
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.5700
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 495159427.90, Sell volume: 143649427.79, Average price: 0.4072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.4450
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.5550
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.3950
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.6050
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.3750
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.3600
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.3700
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.6300
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.4000
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.6000
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.3950
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.4150
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.5850
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.3950
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.6050
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.3600
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.4150
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.5850
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 495159427.90, Sell volume: 143649427.79, Average price: 0.4072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.5900
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.4350
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.4100
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.5900
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.4050
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.5950
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.3850
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.6150
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.3850
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.6150
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.3350
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.6650
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.7150
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.3600
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.3050
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.6950
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.3050
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.6700
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.3350
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.6650
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.3700
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.6300
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.3750
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.6250
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 495159427.90, Sell volume: 143649427.79, Average price: 0.4072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.3450
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.6550
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.6700
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.3450
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.6550
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.3450
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.6550
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.3550
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.2300
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.7700
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.3100
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.6900
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.3100
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.6900
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.3350
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.6650
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.3400
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.6600
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.6550
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.6950
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.3000
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.7000
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.3100
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.6900
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.7050
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.3000
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.7000
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 495159427.90, Sell volume: 143649427.79, Average price: 0.4072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.6850
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.2950
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.7050
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.2350
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.7650
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.2000
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.8000
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.1750
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.8250
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.8350
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.1650
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.8350
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.1450
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.1400
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 495159427.90, Sell volume: 143649427.79, Average price: 0.4072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.1400
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8600
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1350
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8650
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.1200
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8800
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.1350
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8650
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.1200
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8800
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1200
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8800
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.1200
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8800
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1250
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.1250
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.1250
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.1250
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.1250
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.1250
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.1300
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 495159427.90, Sell volume: 143649427.79, Average price: 0.4072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.1150
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.8850
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.1250
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.1150
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.8850
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.8850
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.1250
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.1100
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.8900
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0900
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9100
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.1150
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.8850
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 437562, Buy volume: 167155306.17, Sell volume: 40147312.50, Average price: 0.3979, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0900
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9100
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.1000
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9000
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0550
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9450
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0550
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0465
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9535
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0500
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9500
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0575
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9425
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0470
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9530
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0590
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9410
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0565
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9435
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0490
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9510
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0430
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9570
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0515
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9485
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 490507, Buy volume: 264204995.23, Sell volume: 100095569.04, Average price: 0.4176, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.3450
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.6550
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.2750
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.7250
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.4100
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5900
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.3800
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.3900
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.3350
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.6650
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.3100
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.6900
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.3000
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.7000
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.3000
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.7000
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.3300
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6700
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.3750
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6250
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.3450
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 495159427.90, Sell volume: 143649427.79, Average price: 0.4072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.3200
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.3100
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.3200
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.6800
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.3300
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.3100
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.3050
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 495159427.90, Sell volume: 143649427.79, Average price: 0.4072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.4050
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.5950
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.6050
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.3950
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.3950
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.3950
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.3950
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.3950
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.3850
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.3850
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 495159427.90, Sell volume: 143649427.79, Average price: 0.4072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.3100
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.6900
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.3100
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.6900
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.3100
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.6900
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.3100
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.6900
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.3350
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.6650
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 495159427.90, Sell volume: 143649427.79, Average price: 0.4072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.3150
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.6850
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.3100
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.6900
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.2850
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.7150
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.3000
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.7000
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.7050
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.2900
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.7100
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.7050
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.7050
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.2800
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.7200
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.2700
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.7300
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.2550
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.7450
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.2900
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 495159427.90, Sell volume: 143649427.79, Average price: 0.4072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.3450
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.6550
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.3450
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.6550
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.3850
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.6150
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.3900
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.6100
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 495159427.90, Sell volume: 143649427.79, Average price: 0.4072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.4450
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.5550
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.3950
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.6050
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.3750
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.3600
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 495159427.90, Sell volume: 143649427.79, Average price: 0.4072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.5900
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.4350
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.4100
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.5900
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.4050
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.5950
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.3850
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.6150
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.3850
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.6150
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.3350
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.6650
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.7150
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 495159427.90, Sell volume: 143649427.79, Average price: 0.4072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.3450
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.6550
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.6700
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.3450
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.6550
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.3450
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.6550
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.3550
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.2300
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.7700
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.3100
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.6900
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.3100
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.6900
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.3350
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.6650
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.3400
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.6600
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.6550
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 495159427.90, Sell volume: 143649427.79, Average price: 0.4072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.6850
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.2950
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.7050
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.2350
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.7650
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.2000
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.8000
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.1750
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.8250
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.8350
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.1650
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.8350
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.1450
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 495159427.90, Sell volume: 143649427.79, Average price: 0.4072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.1400
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8600
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1350
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8650
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.1200
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8800
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.1350
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8650
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.1200
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8800
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1200
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8800
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.1200
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8800
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1250
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.1250
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.1250
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 495159427.90, Sell volume: 143649427.79, Average price: 0.4072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.1150
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.8850
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.1250
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.1150
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.8850
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.8850
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.1250
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.1100
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.8900
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 437562, Buy volume: 167155306.17, Sell volume: 40147312.50, Average price: 0.3979, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667232
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Volume: 3032165.869642
Price History:
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0900
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9100
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.1000
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9000
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0550
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9450
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0550
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0465
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9535
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0500
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9500
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0575
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 490507, Buy volume: 264204995.23, Sell volume: 100095569.04, Average price: 0.4176, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561616
Question: Will Germany win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19688.921827
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.8050
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.2250
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.7750
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.2150
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.7850
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.2150
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.7900
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.2100
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.7950
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.2050
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.7950
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.2050
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.7900
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.2100
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.8400
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.1600
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.8400
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.1600
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.8400
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.1600
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.8000
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.2000
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.8150
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.1350
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.8650
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.1400
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.8700
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.1250
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.8850
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.1100
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.8900
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.1200
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.8850
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.1100
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.8950
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.1000
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.8950
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.1050
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.9000
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.1000
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.9050
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0900
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9150
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0850
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.8350
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.1950
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.8000
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.1600
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.8400
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 563.04, Sell volume: 418.00, Average price: 0.9017, Price range: 0.7822 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561616
Question: Will Germany win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19688.921827
Price History:
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.8500
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.1500
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.8500
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.1500
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.8550
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.1400
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.8700
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.1300
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.8700
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.1300
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.8700
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.1250
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.8800
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.1200
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.8800
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.1200
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.8800
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.1200
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.8850
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.1150
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.8850
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.1100
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.8900
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.1150
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.8850
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.1100
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.8900
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.1100
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.8850
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.1150
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.8850
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.1150
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.8850
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.1150
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.8850
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.1150
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.8850
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.1150
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.8850
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.8850
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.8850
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.8900
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.1100
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.8900
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.1100
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.8900
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 2078.60, Sell volume: 7.14, Average price: 0.7500, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561616
Question: Will Germany win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19688.921827
Price History:
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.8800
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.1200
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.8800
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.1200
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.8800
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.1200
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.8800
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.1150
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.8850
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.1100
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.8900
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.1100
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.8900
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.1100
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.8900
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.1100
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.8900
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.1100
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.8900
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.1100
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.8900
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.1100
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.8900
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.1100
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.8900
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.1100
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.8900
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.1100
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.8900
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.1100
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.8900
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.1100
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.8900
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.1100
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.8900
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.1100
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.8900
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.1100
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.8850
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.1150
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.8850
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.1150
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.1150
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.8850
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.1150
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.1150
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.8850
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.1150
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.8850
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561616
Question: Will Germany win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19688.921827
Price History:
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.1150
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.8850
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.8850
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.8850
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.1150
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.8850
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.8800
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.8800
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.8850
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.1150
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.8850
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.2000
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.8000
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.8000
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.8000
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.2000
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.8000
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.8050
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.8050
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.8050
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.8100
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.1900
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.1900
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.8100
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.1950
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.8050
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.1950
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.1950
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.1950
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.1950
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.1950
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.1950
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.8050
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.1950
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.1950
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.1950
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.1950
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.7800
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.2200
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.7800
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.2200
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.8000
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.1950
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.8050
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.1950
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.1950
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.8050
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.1950
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.2100
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 300.62, Sell volume: 20.19, Average price: 0.6028, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561616
Question: Will Germany win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19688.921827
Price History:
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.8050
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.8050
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.8100
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.8050
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.1950
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.8050
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.1950
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.1950
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.1950
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.1900
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.8050
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.1950
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.1950
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.8050
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.1950
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.8050
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.1950
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.8050
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.1950
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.8050
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.1950
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.8050
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.1950
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.1950
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.8050
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.1950
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.1950
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.8050
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.8050
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.1950
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.8050
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.8050
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.1950
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.1950
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.1950
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.8050
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.8050
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.1950
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.8050
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.1950
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.1950
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.8050
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.1950
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.8050
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.8050
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.8050
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.8100
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.8050
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.8050
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 8.99, Sell volume: 1.12, Average price: 0.8633, Price range: 0.7300 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561616
Question: Will Germany win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19688.921827
Price History:
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.1950
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.1950
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.1950
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.8050
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.1950
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.8050
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.1950
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.1550
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.8500
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.1500
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.1500
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.8500
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.8500
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.8500
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.8500
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.8500
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.1500
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.1500
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.8500
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.1400
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.8600
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.1400
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.8600
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.1450
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.8550
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.8600
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.8600
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.1150
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.8800
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.1300
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.1300
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.1300
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.1300
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.1350
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.8650
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.8650
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.1900
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.1900
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.1950
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.6950
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.3050
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.6950
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.6950
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.6950
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.3150
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.6900
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.3100
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.6900
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 892.26, Sell volume: 22.19, Average price: 0.5577, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561616
Question: Will Germany win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19688.921827
Price History:
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.3000
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.7050
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.2950
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.7050
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.2950
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.2950
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.7050
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.6900
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.3100
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.6900
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.3100
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.3150
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.6850
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.3150
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.6850
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.6850
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.6900
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.7000
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.7000
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.3050
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.3050
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.6950
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.3050
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.6950
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.6950
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.3050
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.6950
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.7000
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.7000
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.3000
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.7000
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.3000
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.7000
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.7000
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.3000
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.7000
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.2950
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.2950
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.2950
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.7600
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.2400
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.2400
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.2400
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.7600
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 8.56, Average price: 0.6200, Price range: 0.5400 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561616
Question: Will Germany win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19688.921827
Price History:
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.7600
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.7600
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.7600
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.2400
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.7600
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.2400
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.7600
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.2400
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.7650
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.2350
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.7650
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.2350
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.2350
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.7650
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.7650
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.2350
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.2350
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.2350
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.7650
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.2350
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.7650
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.2350
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.2350
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.2350
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.7650
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.7650
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.2350
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.2350
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.7650
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.2350
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.2350
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.7650
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.2350
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.7650
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.2400
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.7600
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.7600
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.7600
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.2400
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.7650
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.2400
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.7600
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.2400
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.2400
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.7600
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.7600
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.7650
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.2350
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.7600
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 8.01, Average price: 0.4450, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561616
Question: Will Germany win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19688.921827
Price History:
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.2350
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.7650
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.7650
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.2350
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.7650
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.7650
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.7650
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.2350
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.7700
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.2300
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.7700
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.2350
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.7650
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.2350
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.2350
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.7650
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.7650
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.7650
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.7650
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.7650
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.2350
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.2350
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.7650
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.2350
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.7650
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.2350
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.7650
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.2350
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.2350
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.2350
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.2350
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.7650
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.2350
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.2350
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.7650
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.7650
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.7650
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.7600
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.7650
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.2350
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.7650
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.7650
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8200, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561616
Question: Will Germany win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19688.921827
Price History:
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.2300
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.7750
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.2250
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.2250
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.7700
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.7700
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.2400
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.7600
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.7600
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.7550
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.8550
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.8550
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.1500
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.1500
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.8500
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.1500
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.8500
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.1450
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.8550
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.1450
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.8550
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.1450
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.1550
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.8450
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.8450
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.8450
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.8400
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.1600
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.8400
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.8400
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.1550
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.1550
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.1550
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.8450
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.1550
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.1550
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.1550
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.8650
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.8650
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.1350
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.1350
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.1350
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.1300
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.8700
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.8700
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.1300
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 2088.05, Sell volume: 19.74, Average price: 0.8191, Price range: 0.7200 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561616
Question: Will Germany win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19688.921827
Price History:
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.8550
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.8600
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.1400
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.8600
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.1450
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.8550
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.1600
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.8400
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.8600
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.8550
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.1500
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.8450
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.1500
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9100
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0900
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 6.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561616
Question: Will Germany win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19688.921827
Price History:
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0700
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9300
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 4.43, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561616
Question: Will Germany win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19688.921827
Price History:
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0700
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9300
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0700
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9300
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9300
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9300
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.1400
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.8600
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.1400
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.8600
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1400
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.8600
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.1350
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.8650
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.1300
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.8650
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.1350
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.1500
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.8650
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.1350
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.1300
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.1350
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 13194.68, Sell volume: 15.44, Average price: 0.8840, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561616
Question: Will Germany win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 19688.921827
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.8050
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.7750
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.7850
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.7900
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.7900
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.7950
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.7950
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.7900
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.8400
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.8400
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.8400
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.8400
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.8000
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.8650
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.8600
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.8750
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.8900
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.8900
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.8850
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.8950
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.8950
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.8950
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9050
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9100
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.9150
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.8050
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.8050
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.8400
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.8500
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 563.04, Sell volume: 418.00, Average price: 0.9017, Price range: 0.7822 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561616
Question: Will Germany win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 19688.921827
Price History:
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.8500
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.8500
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.8550
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.8700
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.8700
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.8700
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.8750
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.8800
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.8800
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.8800
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.8850
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.8850
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.8900
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.8850
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.8900
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.8850
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.8850
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.8850
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.8850
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.8850
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.8850
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.8850
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.8850
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.8850
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.8900
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.8900
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.8900
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.8850
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 2078.60, Sell volume: 7.14, Average price: 0.7500, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561616
Question: Will Germany win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 19688.921827
Price History:
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.8800
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.8800
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.8800
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.8800
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.8850
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.8900
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.8900
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.8900
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.8900
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.8900
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.8900
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.8900
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.8900
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.8900
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.8900
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.8900
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.8900
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.8900
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.8900
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.8900
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.8900
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.8900
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.8850
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.8850
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.1150
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.1150
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.8850
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.8850
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.8850
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes