Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549628
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1297463.015764
Price History:
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9985
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0015
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.9985
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0015
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9985
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9985
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243989863.78, Sell volume: 196547542.88, Average price: 0.7834, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549628
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1297463.015764
Price History:
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243989863.78, Sell volume: 196547542.88, Average price: 0.7834, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549628
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1297463.015764
Price History:
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 777222, Buy volume: 208957180.32, Sell volume: 179963036.82, Average price: 0.7654, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549628
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1297463.015764
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 222362, Buy volume: 34883176.67, Sell volume: 16511103.50, Average price: 0.8462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549628
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1297463.015764
Price History:
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 388, Buy volume: 113881.78, Sell volume: 69867.88, Average price: 0.8857, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549628
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1297463.015764
Price History:
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 35625.00, Sell volume: 3534.68, Average price: 0.3931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549628
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1297463.015764
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0450
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243989863.78, Sell volume: 196547542.88, Average price: 0.7834, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549628
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1297463.015764
Price History:
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243989863.78, Sell volume: 196547542.88, Average price: 0.7834, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549628
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1297463.015764
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243989863.78, Sell volume: 196547542.88, Average price: 0.7834, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549628
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1297463.015764
Price History:
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243989863.78, Sell volume: 196547542.88, Average price: 0.7834, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549628
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1297463.015764
Price History:
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243989863.78, Sell volume: 196547542.88, Average price: 0.7834, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549628
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1297463.015764
Price History:
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243989863.78, Sell volume: 196547542.88, Average price: 0.7834, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549628
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1297463.015764
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.9985
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.9980
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.9980
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.9980
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.9985
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243989863.78, Sell volume: 196547542.88, Average price: 0.7834, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549628
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1297463.015764
Price History:
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.9985
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0015
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243989863.78, Sell volume: 196547542.88, Average price: 0.7834, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549628
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1297463.015764
Price History:
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243989863.78, Sell volume: 196547542.88, Average price: 0.7834, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549628
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1297463.015764
Price History:
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 777222, Buy volume: 208957180.32, Sell volume: 179963036.82, Average price: 0.7654, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549628
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1297463.015764
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 222362, Buy volume: 34883176.67, Sell volume: 16511103.50, Average price: 0.8462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549628
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1297463.015764
Price History:
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 388, Buy volume: 113881.78, Sell volume: 69867.88, Average price: 0.8857, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549628
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1297463.015764
Price History:
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 35625.00, Sell volume: 3534.68, Average price: 0.3931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.9975
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 145, Buy volume: 9087.02, Sell volume: 3363.85, Average price: 0.8542, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 18000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 5678.56, Sell volume: 628.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0015

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3450.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9985
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.9985
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.9985
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.9985
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0010
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.9990
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0010
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.9990
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.9985
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0010
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.9990
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0010
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.9990
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 11588.56, Sell volume: 6308.84, Average price: 0.7167, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.9990
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0010
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9990
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.0010
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9990
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.0010
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9990
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0010
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9990
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.9990
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9990
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.9990
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0010
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.9990
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0015
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.9985
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 7111.86, Sell volume: 4576.19, Average price: 0.6952, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9990
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0010
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.0010
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.9990
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9985
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.9985
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9995
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9995
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 26967.88, Sell volume: 5506.93, Average price: 0.5587, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9990
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9990
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1611.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 16628.18, Sell volume: 14.00, Average price: 0.0012, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 53100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 46876.04, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 94758.00, Sell volume: 855.00, Average price: 0.2006, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 145, Buy volume: 9087.02, Sell volume: 3363.85, Average price: 0.8542, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 18000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 5678.56, Sell volume: 628.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0015
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3450.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.0010
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0010
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0010
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0010
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0010
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 11588.56, Sell volume: 6308.84, Average price: 0.7167, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0010
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.9990
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9990
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.9990
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.9990
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9990
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.9990
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.0010
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.0010
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 7111.86, Sell volume: 4576.19, Average price: 0.6952, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.0010
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0010
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 26967.88, Sell volume: 5506.93, Average price: 0.5587, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9990
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0010
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9990
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1611.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 16628.18, Sell volume: 14.00, Average price: 0.0012, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 53100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 46876.04, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549629
Question: Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 329132.0745
Price History:
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 94758.00, Sell volume: 855.00, Average price: 0.2006, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 563, Buy volume: 55188.92, Sell volume: 69746.90, Average price: 0.8270, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 23400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9990
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9990
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9990
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 73034.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6030.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9985
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.9985
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.0010
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.9990
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.0010
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.9990
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0010
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.9990
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0010
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.9990
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0010
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.9990
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.9985
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0010
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.9990
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0010
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.9990
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 11446.23, Sell volume: 6455.67, Average price: 0.6384, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0010
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.0010
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0010
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9990
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 11754.70, Sell volume: 5985.46, Average price: 0.3826, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9995
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 32510.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 54000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.0010
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 49561.94, Sell volume: 39198.49, Average price: 0.4775, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 86474.60, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0013

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 178, Buy volume: 39420.26, Sell volume: 26280.99, Average price: 0.8138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 30875.83, Sell volume: 121.00, Average price: 0.1771, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 563, Buy volume: 55188.92, Sell volume: 69746.90, Average price: 0.8270, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 23400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 73034.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6030.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0010
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0010
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0010
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0010
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.0010
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0010
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0010
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0010
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0010
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 11446.23, Sell volume: 6455.67, Average price: 0.6384, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9990
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.0010
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0010
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.9990
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 11754.70, Sell volume: 5985.46, Average price: 0.3826, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 32510.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 54000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 49561.94, Sell volume: 39198.49, Average price: 0.4775, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 86474.60, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0013
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 178, Buy volume: 39420.26, Sell volume: 26280.99, Average price: 0.8138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549630
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 646092.046
Price History:
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 30875.83, Sell volume: 121.00, Average price: 0.1771, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes