Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.5950
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.5250
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.5400
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.5100
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.9000
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9490
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.9725
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.9640
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.9535
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.9555
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.9735
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.9715
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.9725
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.9715
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.9715
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.9720
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.9725
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.9725
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.9725
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.9720
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.9835
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.9850
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.9875
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.9840
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9845
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9790
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9940
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9905
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.9905
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9885
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9885
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9875
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9870
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9870
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9870
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9885
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9880
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.9885
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.9885
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.9885
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.9885
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.9890
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.9890
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.9890
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.9885
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.9880
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.9890
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.9870
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 359, Buy volume: 65129.87, Sell volume: 65861.56, Average price: 0.7217, Price range: 0.0037 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.9875
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9905
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9885
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.9890
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.9890
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.9890
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.9885
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.9885
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.9910
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.9915
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9915
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.9925
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.9920
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9915
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.9915
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.9930
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.9840
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.9865
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9880
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.9880
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.9895
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.9895
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.9895
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.9850
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.9840
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9865
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9865
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9865
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.9865
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9855
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.9860
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9860
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9860
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.9860
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9860
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9855
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.9855
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.9855
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9855
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.9855
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.9830
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9830
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.9825
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.9840
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.9840
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.9840
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.9835
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 128, Buy volume: 6654.43, Sell volume: 10351.25, Average price: 0.9162, Price range: 0.0054 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.9810
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9800
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9800
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9800
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.9800
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.9800
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9800
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9805
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9805
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9815
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.9800
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9800
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9805
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9805
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9795
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.9795
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.9805
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9805
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9805
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.9805
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9810
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9810
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.9805
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9805
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9805
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.9805
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9805
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9805
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9805
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9805
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9805
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9805
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9805
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9805
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9805
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9785
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9785
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9800
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9785
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9775
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9775
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9780
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9775
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.9775
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9765
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.9765
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.9785
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 903.07, Sell volume: 3787.45, Average price: 0.9226, Price range: 0.0208 - 0.9830

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.9775
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.9770
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.9770
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9770
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9760
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9760
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9765
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9765
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9760
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9755
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9775
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9785
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9830
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9835
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.9905
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9905
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9915
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.9945
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9945
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.9940
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.9940
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9970
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9970
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9970
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.9970
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.9970
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.9970
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 136, Buy volume: 18752.74, Sell volume: 4507.35, Average price: 0.9264, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.6000
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.4100
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.5900
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.5900
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.5900
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.5900
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.5900
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.5900
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.5900
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.5900
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.6750
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.5050
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.4950
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.3250
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 190433394.56, Sell volume: 55199844.15, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.6600
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.3600
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.5300
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.5450
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.5450
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.5450
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.5450
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.5450
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.2700
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.5800
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.4200
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.5800
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.4500
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.3050
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.5700
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.4800
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.5700
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.7650
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.4250
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 190433394.56, Sell volume: 55199844.15, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.4250
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.5750
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.4250
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.5800
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.4200
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.5800
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.4200
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.5800
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.5000
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.4500
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.5500
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.4500
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.7450
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.2550
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.7350
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.2650
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.7300
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.2650
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.7350
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.2650
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.7350
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.3000
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.5600
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.4900
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 190433394.56, Sell volume: 55199844.15, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.5550
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.4350
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.5700
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.3900
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.5550
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.4750
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.5500
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.4650
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.5350
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.4650
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.5350
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.4650
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.5350
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.4650
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.5450
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.4450
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.5450
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.4600
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.5400
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.4600
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.5400
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.4350
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.5800
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.4200
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.5800
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.2950
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.5900
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.5200
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.5150
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 190433394.56, Sell volume: 55199844.15, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.4650
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.5400
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.4700
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.6800
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.2300
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.7100
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.2550
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.7450
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.2600
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.7350
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.2650
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.7350
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.2650
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.7350
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.2650
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.7400
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.2650
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.7350
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.2700
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.7300
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.2750
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.7250
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.2700
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.6450
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.3200
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.7550
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.1900
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.7850
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.1050
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55944, Buy volume: 7213170.93, Sell volume: 5808186.00, Average price: 0.3336, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.2300
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.7750
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.1750
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.8850
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.1800
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.8200
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.1400
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.8650
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.1600
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.8400
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.1600
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.8400
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.1550
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.8450
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.1450
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.8500
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.1250
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.8600
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.1250
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.8650
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.1550
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.8400
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.1600
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.8400
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.1550
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.8450
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.1400
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.8600
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.1350
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 221778, Buy volume: 35140594.34, Sell volume: 4193821.98, Average price: 0.2409, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9371
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.0900
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.9100
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.0900
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.9150
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.9150
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.9150
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.0900
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.9100
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.1200
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.9150
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.9250
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0800
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.9200
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0700
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.9250
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0750
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.9200
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0750
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.9250
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0800
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.9250
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0750
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.9250
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0800
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.8700
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0950
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83916, Buy volume: 19616971.18, Sell volume: 4613521.86, Average price: 0.2561, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.1500
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.8450
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.1550
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.8600
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.1450
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.8600
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.2700
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.7400
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.2500
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.7200
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.2900
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.7500
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.3500
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.6100
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.2850
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.7200
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.2350
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.7750
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.2550
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.6700
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.3450
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.6450
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.3150
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.6250
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.3950
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.6200
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.3600
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.6400
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.5400
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 633417, Buy volume: 127844045.48, Sell volume: 40491232.41, Average price: 0.3770, Price range: 0.1002 - 0.9095
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.4250
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.5800
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.4700
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.5900
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.4300
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.5950
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.4250
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.5750
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.4150
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.5650
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.4600
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.5450
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.4600
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.5450
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.4700
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.5700
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.4600
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.5400
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.4600
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.5400
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.4500
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.4650
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.4700
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.5300
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.4600
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.5450
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.4400
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.6150
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.4200
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 180, Buy volume: 15738.62, Sell volume: 8049.41, Average price: 0.4882, Price range: 0.3747 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.5950
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.4750
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.5100
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.1000
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.9725
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0360
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.9555
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.0265
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.9725
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.0285
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.9720
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.0275
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.9725
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.0280
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.9835
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.0150
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.9840
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0155
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9940
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0095
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9885
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0115
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9870
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0130
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9885
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0120
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.9885
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.0115
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.9890
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 359, Buy volume: 65129.87, Sell volume: 65861.56, Average price: 0.7217, Price range: 0.0037 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.9875
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.9890
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0110
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.9885
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0115
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.9915
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0085
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.9920
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0085
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.9930
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0160
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0120
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.0105
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.9895
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.0150
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9865
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0135
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.9865
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0145
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9860
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0140
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9860
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0145
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.9855
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0145
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.9830
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 128, Buy volume: 6654.43, Sell volume: 10351.25, Average price: 0.9162, Price range: 0.0054 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.9810
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0200
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9800
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0200
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9800
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0195
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9815
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.9800
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0200
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9805
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0205
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.9805
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0195
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.9805
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0190
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.9805
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0195
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.9805
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.0195
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9805
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0195
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9805
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0195
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9805
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0215
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9800
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0215
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9775
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 903.07, Sell volume: 3787.45, Average price: 0.9226, Price range: 0.0208 - 0.9830
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518541
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 357046.018381
Price History:
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.9775
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.0230
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9770
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0240
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9765
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0235
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9755
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0225
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9830
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0165
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9905
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0085
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9945
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.9940
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 136, Buy volume: 18752.74, Sell volume: 4507.35, Average price: 0.9264, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0300
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.9660
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0340
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.9655
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.0350
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.9755
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.0230
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.9765
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.0240
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9760
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0320
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.9685
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.0320
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.9680
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0320
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.9715
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0370
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.9625
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0380
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.9630
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.0375
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.9620
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0385
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.9610
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.0375
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.9640
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0285
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9640
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0385
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.9610
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.0385
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.9625
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0380
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.9625
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0385
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9615
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0380
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.9625
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0380
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9620
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0380
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.9620
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0370
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9620
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0370
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9615
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.1130
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.9465
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0785
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37713261.66, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0635
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9340
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0550
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9465
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0470
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9580
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0415
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9595
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.0405
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9595
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0405
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.9650
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0380
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9625
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0365
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9640
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0380
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9610
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0270
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.9680
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9685
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.9715
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0315
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9680
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.0310
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9705
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0330
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.9690
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0340
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9650
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0370
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9630
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0370
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.9630
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0370
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9630
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0370
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9620
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0405
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9585
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0365
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9635
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0355
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9645
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0345
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9645
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0355
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37713261.66, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0385
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9625
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0395
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9620
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0400
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9605
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0405
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.9600
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.0405
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9605
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0400
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9610
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0380
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9620
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0370
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9600
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.0400
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.9630
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0395
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.9600
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.0375
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9620
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0400
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9610
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0395
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.9605
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0395
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9635
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.0360
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.9635
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.0360
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.9640
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.0365
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.9655
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.0345
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.9670
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0325
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.9665
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.0345
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.9665
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.0340
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.9675
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.0325
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9660
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0330
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.9670
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.0365
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.9665
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.0325
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37713261.66, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0325
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.9810
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.0165
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.9895
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.0110
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.9900
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.0110
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.9915
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.0110
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9910
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.0110
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.9910
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.0135
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.9900
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.0085
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.9905
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.0105
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.9910
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.0100
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.9910
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.0100
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.9890
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.0125
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.9875
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.0125
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.9870
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.0100
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.9895
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.0105
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.9895
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.0055
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.9945
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.0055
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.9945
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.0055
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.9945
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.0165
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.9905
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.0095
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.9900
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.0055
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.9950
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.0050
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.9945
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.0055
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9950
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.0055
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.9950
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.0055
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37713261.66, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0055
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.9945
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.0085
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.9915
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.0090
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9910
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.0085
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.9910
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.0085
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9910
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.0085
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.9915
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.0085
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.9915
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.0090
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.9915
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0090
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.9910
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0090
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9910
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0090
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.9915
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0085
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.9920
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.0085
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.9915
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.0085
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9915
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.0080
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.9915
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.0085
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.9910
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.0085
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.9915
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.0085
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9910
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0090
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.9915
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0085
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.9905
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.0095
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.9905
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.0095
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.9900
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.0090
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9905
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.0100
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.9905
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0090
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37713261.66, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0100
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.9910
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.0090
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.9900
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.0100
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.9910
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.0095
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.9910
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.0090
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9905
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0095
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.9900
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.0085
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.9905
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.0095
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.9905
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0085
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.9920
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0085
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.9910
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.0085
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.9920
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0080
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.9905
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.0085
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.9910
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0095
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9900
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.0095
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.9900
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.0100
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.9915
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.0095
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.9905
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.0095
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.9905
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0105
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.9895
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.0100
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.9895
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.0105
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.9895
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.0095
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.9905
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0075
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9920
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.0080
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.9920
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.0080
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37713261.66, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0075
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.9895
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0105
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9895
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.0110
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.9885
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0115
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.9885
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0115
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9885
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.0115
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.9880
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0120
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.9880
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.0125
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.9875
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.0125
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.9875
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0120
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.9875
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.0185
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9810
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0190
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.9795
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.0190
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.9805
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0200
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9790
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0210
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9790
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0190
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9790
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.0190
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9815
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.0190
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.9795
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0195
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.9800
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0205
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.9795
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.0195
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.9800
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0190
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9805
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0205
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9795
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.0190
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9795
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.0190
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37713261.66, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0195
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.9795
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.0190
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.9815
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.0190
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.9800
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.0200
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.9805
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0200
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9800
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.0210
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.9815
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0200
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.9795
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.0205
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.9800
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0190
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9810
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0200
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.9790
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.0215
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.9790
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0205
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.9800
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.0205
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.9815
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.0210
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9805
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.0215
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.9790
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.0205
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.9790
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0210
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.9785
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.0205
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9805
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0210
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.9785
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0205
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.9790
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0215
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.9785
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.0210
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.9800
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0210
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9805
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.0215
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.9795
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0210
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37713261.66, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0215
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.9790
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0215
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.9800
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0200
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.9785
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.0220
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.9790
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0215
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9785
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0235
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9795
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0210
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9770
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0225
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9790
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0330
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9680
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0280
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.9705
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0330
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.9675
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.0285
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.9735
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0335
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9660
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0350
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9665
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0315
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9735
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0355
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9635
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0375
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9645
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0320
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.9630
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0320
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.9700
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.0240
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.9760
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0230
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9750
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0245
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9770
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0240
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9785
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0210
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9745
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0215
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37713261.66, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0215
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.9780
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0220
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9795
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0210
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9780
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9785
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0215
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9780
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0225
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9790
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0225
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9780
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0210
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9785
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0230
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9775
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0225
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9775
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0225
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9790
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0225
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9775
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0225
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9775
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0225
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9785
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0205
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9780
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0210
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9780
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0210
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.9785
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0225
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.9775
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0225
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9775
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0225
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9780
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0220
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9775
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0225
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9780
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0210
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9770
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0240
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9760
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.0215
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.9320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37713261.66, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1050
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.8955
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0970
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.8960
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.1170
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.8790
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.1015
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.8965
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.1050
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9015
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0955
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.8935
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0990
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.8985
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.1080
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.8870
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.1050
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.8955
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.1020
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.8915
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.1365
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.8585
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.1275
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.8725
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.1370
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.8760
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.1275
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.8760
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.1230
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.8785
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.1210
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.8785
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.1220
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.8745
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.1225
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.8660
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.1235
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.8760
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.1240
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.8775
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.1215
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.8790
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.1215
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.8765
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.1245
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.8785
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.1215
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.8730
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.1305
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.8785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37713261.66, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.1295
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.8735
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.1345
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.8710
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.1315
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.8665
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.1395
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.8670
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.1350
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.8675
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.1245
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.8750
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.1400
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.8740
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.1310
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.8695
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.1310
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.8720
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.1255
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.8765
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.1310
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.8580
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.1420
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.8565
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.1205
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.8790
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.1245
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.8725
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.1235
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.8755
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.1255
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.8715
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.1225
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.8775
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.1220
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.8785
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1235
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.8765
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.1235
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.8730
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.1285
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.8720
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.1230
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.8770
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.1135
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.8890
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.1210
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.8760
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.1135
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.8780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37713261.66, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.1100
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.8810
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.1210
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.8830
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.1185
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.8800
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.1195
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.8825
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.1115
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.8930
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.1065
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.8945
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.1105
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.8950
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.1065
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.8910
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.1115
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.8895
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1140
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.8900
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.1250
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.8860
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.1155
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.8880
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.1115
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.8840
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.1120
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.8900
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.1095
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.8880
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.1105
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.8905
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.1090
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.8920
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.1050
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.8920
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.1060
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.8955
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.8925
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.1015
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.8930
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0960
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9100
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.1060
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.8960
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0985
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9015
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0990
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.8955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999996, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37709621.24, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0300
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.9660
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0345
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.9765
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0235
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9760
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.0315
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.9680
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0320
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.9630
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0380
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.9630
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0385
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.9610
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0285
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9640
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0390
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.9620
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0385
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9615
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0380
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.9615
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0380
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9630
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9615
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.0535
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9120
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0805
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37713261.66, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0635
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9455
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0510
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9580
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0400
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9595
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0350
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9620
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0360
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9620
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0270
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9715
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0305
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9705
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0310
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9655
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0370
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9630
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0370
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9625
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0400
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9585
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0355
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9645
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0355
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9645
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0350
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37713261.66, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0385
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9605
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0400
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9595
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0400
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9605
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0390
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9600
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0380
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.9600
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0395
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9620
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0400
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9620
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0365
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9635
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.0365
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.9640
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.0365
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.9655
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0325
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.9670
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.0335
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.9675
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.0340
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.9670
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0335
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.9675
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0325
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.9665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37713261.66, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0325
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.9835
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.0115
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.9880
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.0110
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9910
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.0090
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.9890
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.0110
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.9895
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.0100
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9885
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.0135
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.9880
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.0125
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.9895
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.0105
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.9950
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.0055
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.9945
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.0165
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.9900
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0050
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.9950
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.0050
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9950
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.0050
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.9945
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.0055
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37713261.66, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0055
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.9915
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.0085
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9910
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.0095
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9910
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.0085
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.9910
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.0090
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.9910
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0090
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.9910
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.0085
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.9920
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.0085
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9915
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0085
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.9915
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.0085
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.9915
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0090
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9920
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.0095
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.9905
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0085
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9905
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.0095
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.9905
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.0095
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37713261.66, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0100
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.9905
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.0095
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.9905
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.0090
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9905
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.0100
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9905
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.0095
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.9915
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0085
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.9915
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0080
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.9915
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0095
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9900
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0100
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.9900
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0095
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.9905
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0105
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.9895
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.0110
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.9900
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0095
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9920
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0080
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.9920
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0080
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37713261.66, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0075
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.9895
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0110
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9885
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.0115
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9885
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0120
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.9880
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.0125
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.9875
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0120
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.9880
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0190
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.9795
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0190
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9790
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0210
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9785
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0205
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.9810
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0195
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.9795
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.0200
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.9795
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0195
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9795
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0205
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.9795
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0190
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37713261.66, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0195
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.9800
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.0180
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9810
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0200
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9800
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.0185
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.9795
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0210
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.9810
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0200
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.9795
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0195
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.9790
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.0210
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9805
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0210
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.9795
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.0210
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.9795
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0210
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.9805
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0200
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.9805
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0195
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9805
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.0205
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.9785
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0210
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37713261.66, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0215
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9785
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0200
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.9780
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.0200
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9785
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0205
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9775
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0230
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9670
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0280
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.9690
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.0265
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.9720
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0310
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9665
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0265
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9655
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0360
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.9680
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0320
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.9740
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.0235
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9750
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0245
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9785
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0255
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9800
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0220
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37713261.66, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0215
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9780
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0220
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9790
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0215
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9780
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0210
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9790
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0200
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9770
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0225
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9790
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0210
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9785
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0220
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9785
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0220
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9795
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0225
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.9775
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0225
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9775
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0220
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9780
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0210
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9770
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0240
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0530
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37713261.66, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1050
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.8965
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.1070
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.8920
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.1110
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9015
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.1065
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.1060
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.8950
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.1020
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.8730
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.1265
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.8760
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.8760
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.1215
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.8785
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.1230
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.8775
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.1235
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.8745
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.1225
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.8780
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.1290
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.8785
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.1270
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.8735
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.1230
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.8645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37713261.66, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.1295
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.8700
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.1275
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.8665
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.1365
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.8675
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.1250
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.8715
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1325
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.8690
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.1255
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.8675
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.1430
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.8565
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.1230
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.8725
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.1245
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.8750
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.1225
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.8780
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1235
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.8775
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.1280
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.8730
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.1230
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.8890
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.1240
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.8870
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.1175
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.8875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37713261.66, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525006
Question: Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Volume: 1361751.784667
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.1100
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.8790
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.1170
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.8795
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.1165
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.8930
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.1055
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.8945
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.1095
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.8885
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1140
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.8760
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.1170
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.8895
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.1130
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.8900
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.1120
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.8905
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.1090
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.8950
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.1060
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.8910
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.1055
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.8925
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0960
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.8960
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0985
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9020
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0975
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999996, Buy volume: 79271200.67, Sell volume: 37709621.24, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.4900
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.4900
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.4900
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.4900
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.4900
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.4900
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.4650
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.4000
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.4000
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.4000
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.4200
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.4250
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.4250
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.4550
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.5250
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.7100
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.8400
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.5150
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.5100
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.5100
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.5150
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.5150
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.7050
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.7050
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.6950
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.5100
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.5100
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.5100
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.5100
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.5150
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.5150
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.5150
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.5150
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.5150
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.5150
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.5150
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.3450
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.3450
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.6150
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.5150
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.5150
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.5150
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.5100
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.5150
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.5150
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.4850
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.6650
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169347833.37, Sell volume: 24815035.73, Average price: 0.3699, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.5050
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.4700
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.3000
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.5150
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.6450
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.5150
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.5200
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.5300
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.5650
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.5350
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.5650
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.5650
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.5650
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.1550
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.3950
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169347833.37, Sell volume: 24815035.73, Average price: 0.3699, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.4300
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.4250
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.4250
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.4200
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.4200
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.4200
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.4200
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.2600
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.2750
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.1200
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.1200
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.2700
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.3900
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.1300
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.3900
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.3850
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.3650
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.3500
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.3350
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.3250
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.3200
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.3000
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.3000
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.2750
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.2650
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.2550
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.2400
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.2400
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.2250
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.2250
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.1950
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.1800
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.1650
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.1500
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.1350
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.1300
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.1200
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.2700
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.2450
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.2200
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.2200
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.4100
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.4100
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.4100
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.4250
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.4250
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 269730, Buy volume: 7732390.12, Sell volume: 3349427.22, Average price: 0.3483, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.4050
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.4150
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.4150
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.3500
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.3400
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.3400
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.3400
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.3400
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.3400
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.3400
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.3400
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.3400
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.3400
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.3400
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.3400
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.4450
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.4300
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.4900
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.4850
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.5100
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.4750
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.5150
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.5100
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.5150
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.5150
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.5150
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.3450
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.4200
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.4250
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.3450
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.4550
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.3900
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.3600
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.3400
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.3300
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.3300
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.3200
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93906, Buy volume: 8853796.53, Sell volume: 1114764.12, Average price: 0.4760, Price range: 0.3539 - 0.6116

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.4250
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.4250
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.4250
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.3950
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.3500
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.3200
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.2600
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.2450
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.2500
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.2150
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.2250
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.2250
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.2600
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.2600
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.2600
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.2600
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.2600
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.2600
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.2600
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.2600
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.2650
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.2650
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.2650
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.2350
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.2350
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.2350
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.2350
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.2350
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.2350
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.2200
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.2200
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.2100
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.1950
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.2050
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.1550
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.1650
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.1600
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.1600
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.1450
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.0850
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.1100
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.1100
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.1250
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.1300
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.1300
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.1400
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.1400
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.1500
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.1950
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67932, Buy volume: 13693157.97, Sell volume: 1292406.30, Average price: 0.4671, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.1700
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.1650
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.1750
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.1850
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.1850
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.1850
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.1850
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.1700
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.1700
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.1650
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.1700
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.1700
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.1700
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.1700
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.1550
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.1350
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.1350
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.1350
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.1350
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.1350
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.1200
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.1250
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.1250
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.1250
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.1250
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.1300
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.1300
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.1300
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.1350
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.1350
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.1350
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.1350
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.1800
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.1800
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.1800
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.1950
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.1700
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.1700
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.1700
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.1700
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.1650
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.1350
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.1100
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.1100
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.1300
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.1350
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59940, Buy volume: 13345801.60, Sell volume: 2567350.08, Average price: 0.5281, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.1500
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.1500
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.1450
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.1350
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.1250
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.1250
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.1100
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.1100
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.1100
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.1100
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.1100
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.1100
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.1100
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.1100
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.1100
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.1200
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.1150
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.1150
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.1200
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.1200
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.1200
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.1200
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.1200
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.1200
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.1200
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.1200
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.1200
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.1200
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.1200
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.1200
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.1200
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.1200
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.1200
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.1050
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39960, Buy volume: 4970472.25, Sell volume: 3100576.32, Average price: 0.4296, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.1100
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.1050
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.1100
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.1100
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.1150
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.1150
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.1100
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.1150
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0650
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0650
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0450
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0500
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.0500
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.0600
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.0600
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.0600
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0650
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.0750
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0800
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0800
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0750
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0750
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0750
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.0750
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0750
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0750
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.0750
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0750
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0750
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.0750
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0750
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0750
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.0750
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0750
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0750
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0800
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0750
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.0650
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0650
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0650
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0650
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.0600
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0650
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.0650
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.0650
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.0650
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105894, Buy volume: 30634176.84, Sell volume: 5397057.54, Average price: 0.3632, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9478

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0650
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0650
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0650
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0650
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0550
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0750
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0750
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0750
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0750
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.0800
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0800
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0750
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.0850
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0850
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0900
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0650
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0750
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0800
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0800
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0800
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.0800
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0800
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.0800
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.0800
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.0850
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0850
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.0850
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.0850
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.0850
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.0850
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.1050
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.1050
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97902, Buy volume: 55034218.11, Sell volume: 2893163.94, Average price: 0.2418, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.1150
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.1150
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.1000
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.1050
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.1250
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.1950
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.2600
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.2450
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.2400
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.2400
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.2450
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.2750
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.2650
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.2500
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.2500
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.2550
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.2550
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.2500
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.2650
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.2650
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.2600
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.2300
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.2050
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.1900
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.2250
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.2050
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.2150
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.2350
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.2600
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.2550
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.2250
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.2550
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.3050
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.3300
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.3250
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.3350
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.4100
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.4100
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.3850
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.3850
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.3950
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.4000
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.4050
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.4050
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.3950
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.3550
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.3650
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.3500
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.3850
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 230086, Buy volume: 33512045.11, Sell volume: 3707418.36, Average price: 0.3532, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9051

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.3600
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.3750
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.3750
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.3800
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.3650
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.3650
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.3700
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.3750
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.3300
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.3350
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.3350
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.3350
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.3350
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.3350
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.3350
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.3550
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.3150
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.2750
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.1950
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.2050
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.2400
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.2550
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.2500
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.2300
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.2150
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.2200
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.2500
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0370
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0110
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0075
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0065
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0065
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0065
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0065
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0065
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0065
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0065
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0070
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 322, Buy volume: 90322.26, Sell volume: 66471.55, Average price: 0.6487, Price range: 0.0026 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.0045
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0045
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0045
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0045
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0045
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0045
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0045
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0045
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0045
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0045
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0050
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0050
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0050
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0050
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0065
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0065
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0065
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0065
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0070
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0070
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.0070
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0065
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0075
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0075
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0075
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0075
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0075
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0075
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0060
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0060
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0060
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0060
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0075
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.0075
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0075
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.0075
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.0075
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.0075
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 2826.87, Sell volume: 10533.73, Average price: 0.8338, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0075
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.0075
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0075
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0090
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0090
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0090
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0080
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0070
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0080
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0085
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0070
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0085
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0105
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0080
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0080
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0085
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0080
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0090
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0065
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0075
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0035
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0035
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0035
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0070
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0040
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0040
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0035
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0035
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 182, Buy volume: 119358.11, Sell volume: 64487.82, Average price: 0.6792, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.4900
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.5100
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.4900
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.5100
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.4000
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.6000
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.4200
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.5750
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.4550
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.4750
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.8400
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.4850
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.5100
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.4850
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.7050
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.2950
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.5100
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.4900
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.5100
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.4850
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.5150
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.4850
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.5150
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.4850
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.3450
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.3850
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.5150
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169347833.37, Sell volume: 24815035.73, Average price: 0.3699, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.5050
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.5300
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.5150
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.3550
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.4800
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.4750
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.5300
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.4350
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.5650
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.4350
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.4750
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.4750
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.4750
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.4750
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.4750
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.4750
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.4750
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.4750
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169347833.37, Sell volume: 24815035.73, Average price: 0.3699, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.4300
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.5750
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.4200
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.5800
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.4200
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.1200
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.8800
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.3900
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.8700
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.3850
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.6350
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.3350
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.6750
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.3000
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.7000
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.2650
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.7450
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.2400
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.7750
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.1950
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.8200
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.1500
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.8650
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.1200
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.7300
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.2200
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.7800
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.4100
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 269730, Buy volume: 7732390.12, Sell volume: 3349427.22, Average price: 0.3483, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.5950
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.5900
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.4150
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.5900
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.5900
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.5900
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.3400
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.6600
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.3400
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.6600
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.3400
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.6600
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.3400
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.6600
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.4450
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.5700
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.4850
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.4900
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.5150
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.4900
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.5150
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.4850
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.4200
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.5750
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.4550
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93906, Buy volume: 8853796.53, Sell volume: 1114764.12, Average price: 0.4760, Price range: 0.3539 - 0.6116
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.4250
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.5750
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.3950
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.6500
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.2600
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.7550
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.2150
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.7750
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.2600
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.7400
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.2600
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.7400
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.2600
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.7400
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.2650
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.7350
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.2350
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.7650
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.2350
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.7650
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.2200
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.7900
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.2050
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.8450
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.1600
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.8400
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.0850
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.8900
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.1250
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67932, Buy volume: 13693157.97, Sell volume: 1292406.30, Average price: 0.4671, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.1700
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.8350
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.1850
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.8150
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.1850
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.8300
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.1650
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.8300
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.1700
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.8300
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.1350
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.8650
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.1350
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.8650
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.1250
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.8750
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.1250
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.8700
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.1300
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.8650
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.1350
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.8650
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.1800
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.8200
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.8200
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.1700
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.8300
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.1700
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59940, Buy volume: 13345801.60, Sell volume: 2567350.08, Average price: 0.5281, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.1500
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.8500
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.1350
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.8750
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.1100
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.8900
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.1100
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.8900
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.1100
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.8900
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.1200
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.8850
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.1200
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.8800
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.1200
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.8800
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.1200
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.8850
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.8850
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.8850
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.8850
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.8850
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.1200
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.8800
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.1200
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39960, Buy volume: 4970472.25, Sell volume: 3100576.32, Average price: 0.4296, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.1100
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.8950
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.1100
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.8850
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.1100
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.8850
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0650
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.9550
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.9500
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.9400
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.0600
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.9350
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0800
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.9200
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0750
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.9250
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0750
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.9250
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0750
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.9250
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0750
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.9250
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0750
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.9250
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0750
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.9350
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0650
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105894, Buy volume: 30634176.84, Sell volume: 5397057.54, Average price: 0.3632, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9478
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0650
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.9350
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0650
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.9450
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0750
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.9250
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.0800
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.9200
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0750
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.9150
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.9150
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.9150
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.9150
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.9050
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0900
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.9150
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0750
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.9200
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0800
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.9200
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.0800
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.9200
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0850
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97902, Buy volume: 55034218.11, Sell volume: 2893163.94, Average price: 0.2418, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.1150
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.8850
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.1050
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.8750
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.2600
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.7550
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.2400
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.7550
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.2650
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.7500
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.2550
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.7450
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.2650
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.7350
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.2300
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.7950
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.2250
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.7950
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.2350
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.7400
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.2250
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.7450
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.3300
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.6750
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.4100
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.5900
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.3850
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.6050
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.4050
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 230086, Buy volume: 33512045.11, Sell volume: 3707418.36, Average price: 0.3532, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9051
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.3600
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.6250
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.3800
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.6350
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.3700
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.6250
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.3350
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.6650
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.3350
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.6650
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.3550
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.6850
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.1950
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.7950
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.2550
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.7500
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.2150
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.7800
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0370
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9890
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9955
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9955
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9955
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9955
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0065
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 322, Buy volume: 90322.26, Sell volume: 66471.55, Average price: 0.6487, Price range: 0.0026 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.0045
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9955
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0045
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.9955
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0045
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9955
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0045
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9950
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0050
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9950
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0065
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9935
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0070
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9930
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0065
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9925
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9920
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0080
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0075
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9935
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0060
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9940
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 2826.87, Sell volume: 10533.73, Average price: 0.8338, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518542
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 526660.014644
Price History:
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0075
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.9925
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0090
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9910
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0080
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9930
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0085
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9930
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0105
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9920
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0085
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9920
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0065
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.9940
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9935
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.9930
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.9930
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9930
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9935
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9965
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9940
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0035
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 182, Buy volume: 119358.11, Sell volume: 64487.82, Average price: 0.6792, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.4100
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.4100
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.4200
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.4200
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.4200
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.4200
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.4200
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.4200
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.4200
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.4200
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.4200
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.4200
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.4200
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.6750
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.5000
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.5000
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.5000
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.4950
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 125.89, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5167, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.4900
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.4900
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.4900
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.4850
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.6250
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.4150
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.3200
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.2900
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.2900
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.2900
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.2900
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.2850
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.2850
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.3000
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.2850
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.3000
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.3000
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.2900
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.2950
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.2900
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.4100
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.4100
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.4100
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.4100
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.4100
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.4650
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.6350
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.4100
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.4100
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.4100
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.4100
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.4100
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.5200
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.6300
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.5650
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.5200
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.5150
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.5150
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.4100
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.4100
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.4100
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.4100
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.4100
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.4100
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.4100
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.4100
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 133.27, Sell volume: 7.24, Average price: 0.5674, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.7800

Output: No