Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540478
Question: Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 114636.501883
Price History:
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.9230
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.9285
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9370
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9320
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9325
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.9335
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9330
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.9340
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.9325
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.9330
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9330
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.9420
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9420
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.9445
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.9430
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9440
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.9430
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.9430
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9425
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.9425
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9405
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.9405
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9400
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.9405
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.9405
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.9405
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.9400
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.9320
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9325
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9330
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9360
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.9435
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.9325
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.9345
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.9355
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.9330
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.9330
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.9325
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.9320
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.9335
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9345
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.9330
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.9305
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9310
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.9300
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.9285
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.9300
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9305
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 3156.61, Sell volume: 3429.29, Average price: 0.8119, Price range: 0.0540 - 0.9460

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540478
Question: Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 114636.501883
Price History:
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0680
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0700
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0705
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0695
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0695
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0685
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0720
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0725
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0725
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0725
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0725
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0710
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0655
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0695
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0710
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0710
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0710
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0715
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0710
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0710
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0710
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0710
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0835
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0855
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0855
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0835
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0830
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0830
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0825
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0825
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0830
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0715
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0720
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0725
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0725
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0730
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0720
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0645
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0640
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0640
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0630
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0645
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0660
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0670
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0680
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0680
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0660
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0680
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0685
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 798.84, Sell volume: 1215.91, Average price: 0.8374, Price range: 0.0669 - 0.9340

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540478
Question: Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 114636.501883
Price History:
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9385
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.9395
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.9345
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.9360
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9355
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9350
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.9355
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.9330
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.9375
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.9365
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.9375
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.9380
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.9375
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.9375
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.9375
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.9375
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.9375
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.8610
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.8690
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.8940
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9115
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.8705
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.8910
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.8625
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.9030
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.9020
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.8850
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.8975
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.9115
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.9040
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.8980
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.8520
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.8510
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.8525
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.8515
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.8400
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.8405
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.8530
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.8575
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.8120
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.8555
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.8625
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.8455
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.8420
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.8600
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.8115
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.8560
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.9305
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.9250
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.9260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 2939.96, Sell volume: 5830.29, Average price: 0.5019, Price range: 0.0685 - 0.9430

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540478
Question: Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 114636.501883
Price History:
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0610
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0605
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0600
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0610
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0615
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0605
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0600
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0620
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.0555
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0555
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0555
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.0555
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.0555
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0590
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0575
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0575
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0575
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0570
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0575
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0630
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0575
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0575
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0440
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0415
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0505
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0265
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0335
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0260
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0260
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0280
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0340
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0330
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0290
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0295
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0275
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0270
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0255
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0255
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0260
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0245
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0270
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0270
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0275
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0245
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0330
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0260
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0245
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0245
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0340
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 4003.98, Sell volume: 1569.68, Average price: 0.6688, Price range: 0.0484 - 0.9791

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540478
Question: Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 114636.501883
Price History:
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.9680
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9635
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9585
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.9520
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.9480
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9480
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.9430
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.9355
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9360
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9445
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.9425
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.9445
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.9450
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.9445
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.9445
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.9450
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.9450
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.9455
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.9450
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.9455
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.9445
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.9455
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.9455
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.9455
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.9450
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.9450
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.9450
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.9455
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.9430
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.9450
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.9450
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.9425
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.9450
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.9415
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.9430
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9450
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.9455
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.9455
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.9455
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.9445
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.9450
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.9480
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.9485
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.9485
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.9495
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.9705
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9670
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.9745
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.9705
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 3459.71, Sell volume: 535.94, Average price: 0.8180, Price range: 0.0491 - 0.9860

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540478
Question: Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 114636.501883
Price History:
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0135
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.0160
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0210
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0380
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0265
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0240
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0255
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.0245
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0240
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0195
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0230
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.0200
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0210
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0200
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.0220
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0220
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.0320
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0240
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0205
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0260
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0325
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0340
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0275
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0255
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0255
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0215
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.0210
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0225
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0345
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.0245
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0280
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0255
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0250
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0255
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0265
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0260
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.0245
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.0305
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.0305
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0275
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0280
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0290
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0280
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0325
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0270
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0275
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0265
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0295
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0295
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 964.79, Sell volume: 918.07, Average price: 0.7486, Price range: 0.0195 - 0.9850

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540478
Question: Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 114636.501883
Price History:
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.9750
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.9745
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.9755
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.9755
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.9740
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.9755
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.9740
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.9750
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.9745
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.9755
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.9745
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.9735
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9740
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.9745
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.9750
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.9750
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.9745
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.9745
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.9705
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.9705
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.9705
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.9705
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.9705
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.9705
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.9705
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.9705
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.9705
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.9730
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.9725
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9720
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9700
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.9685
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.9685
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.9695
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.9680
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.9710
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.9565
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.9560
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9570
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.9560
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.9570
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.9610
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.9635
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.9720
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.9645
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9760
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9765
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9780
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.9790
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1414.36, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.6972, Price range: 0.0274 - 0.9820

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540478
Question: Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 114636.501883
Price History:
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0245
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0235
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0235
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0390
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0305
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0360
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0380
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0325
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0310
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0355
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0305
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0305
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0375
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0335
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0345
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.0370
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0320
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0360
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0440
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0475
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0470
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0390
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0350
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0335
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.0315
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0355
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.0345
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0360
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0355
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.0320
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.0340
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.0345
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.0300
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0310
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0350
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.0335
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.0285
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.0295
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.0315
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.0340
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0355
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.0300
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0295
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0290
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.0345
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.0350
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.0320
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.0305
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.0310
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.0310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 3330.37, Sell volume: 128.94, Average price: 0.7377, Price range: 0.0315 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540478
Question: Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 114636.501883
Price History:
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.9665
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.9665
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.9660
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.9655
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.9655
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.9655
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.9655
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.9655
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.9670
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.9665
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.9665
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.9665
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.9665
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.9670
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.9665
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.9720
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.9715
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.9710
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.9715
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.9775
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.9700
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.9710
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.9750
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.9745
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.9790
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.9755
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.9765
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.9750
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.9690
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.9680
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.9690
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9765
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.9760
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.9755
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.9800
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.9790
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.9800
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.9795
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.9790
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.9805
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.9800
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.9805
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.9800
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.9795
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.9795
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.9785
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.9785
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.9785
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.9790
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 5123.67, Sell volume: 1645.46, Average price: 0.6314, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9827

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540478
Question: Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 114636.501883
Price History:
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.0225
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.0225
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0225
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.0225
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.0205
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0205
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0205
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.0205
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0205
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.0205
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.0210
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.9790
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.9790
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0210
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.0210
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9790
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.0210
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0205
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.9795
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.9795
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.9795
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9785
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.9790
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0225
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9780
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0220
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.0225
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0230
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.0235
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.9780
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.0220
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.0105
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.9865
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9835
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.9815
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.0160
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.9840
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.9815
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.0185
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0185
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0185
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0185
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.0185
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9815
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.0185
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9815
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.0185
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3854.42, Sell volume: 912.79, Average price: 0.4670, Price range: 0.0165 - 0.9860

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540478
Question: Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 114636.501883
Price History:
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.0185
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0185
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.9830
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.9825
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0165
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9830
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.9830
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9830
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0170
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.9835
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.0200
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0200
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.0185
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0190
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.0215
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.9800
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.9840
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.9840
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.9840
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9840
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.9840
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.0195
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.0220
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9800
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.0160
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9840
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.9845
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.9845
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.9820
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.9790
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0175
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 16085.22, Sell volume: 10412.33, Average price: 0.7272, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540478
Question: Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
Volume: 114636.501883
Price History:
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.5450
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.8350
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.7250
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.7850
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.7350
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.7450
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9250
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9605
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9640
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9655
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9725
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9745
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9715
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9735
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9695
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9645
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9550
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9435
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9435
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9340
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9395
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9360
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9420
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9455
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9475
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9510
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.9435
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.9470
Trade Summary: Total trades: 173, Buy volume: 18365.85, Sell volume: 8943.61, Average price: 0.5991, Price range: 0.0246 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540478
Question: Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
Volume: 114636.501883
Price History:
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0535
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.0545
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.0570
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.0350
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.0360
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.0355
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.0405
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.0395
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.0400
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0400
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.0400
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.0405
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.0410
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.0405
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.0405
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.0950
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.0945
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.0930
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0890
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.0875
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.0875
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0975
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0875
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.0760
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.0865
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0970
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0940
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.0875
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.0835
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.0715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 6753.35, Sell volume: 8817.93, Average price: 0.6204, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540478
Question: Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
Volume: 114636.501883
Price History:
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.9230
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.9300
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9320
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.9330
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.9340
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.9330
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.9420
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.9420
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.9430
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.9435
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.9425
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9425
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9405
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.9400
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.9405
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.9405
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.9320
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.9330
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9320
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.9355
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.9330
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.9320
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.9335
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.9330
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9310
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.9290
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.9305
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9315
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.9325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 3156.61, Sell volume: 3429.29, Average price: 0.8119, Price range: 0.0540 - 0.9460
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540478
Question: Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
Volume: 114636.501883
Price History:
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0680
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0700
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0690
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0685
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0725
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0725
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0710
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0650
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0710
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0705
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0715
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0710
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0710
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0855
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0845
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0825
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0825
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0825
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0715
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0725
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0730
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0640
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0635
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0630
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0660
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0680
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0675
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0685
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0640
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 798.84, Sell volume: 1215.91, Average price: 0.8374, Price range: 0.0669 - 0.9340
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540478
Question: Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
Volume: 114636.501883
Price History:
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9385
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.9370
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9365
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.9350
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.9330
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.9360
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.9380
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.9375
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.9375
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.9375
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.8690
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.9110
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.8705
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.8520
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.9025
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.8920
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.9115
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.8970
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.8550
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.8515
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.8400
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.8510
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.8120
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.8535
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.8455
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.8570
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.8400
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.9265
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.9260
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.9390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 2939.96, Sell volume: 5830.29, Average price: 0.5019, Price range: 0.0685 - 0.9430
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540478
Question: Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
Volume: 114636.501883
Price History:
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0610
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0600
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0610
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0600
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0620
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0555
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0555
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0555
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0575
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0575
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0575
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0610
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0575
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0440
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0505
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0340
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0260
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0315
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0300
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0265
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0270
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0260
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0235
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0270
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0275
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0325
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0250
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0245
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0410
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 4003.98, Sell volume: 1569.68, Average price: 0.6688, Price range: 0.0484 - 0.9791
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540478
Question: Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
Volume: 114636.501883
Price History:
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.9680
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.9585
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9515
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.9500
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.9355
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9350
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.9445
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.9420
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.9445
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.9450
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.9455
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.9455
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.9455
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.9425
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.9455
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.9445
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.9430
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.9450
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.9425
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.9410
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9450
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.9455
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.9455
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.9445
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.9485
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.9495
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.9740
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.9745
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.9715
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 3459.71, Sell volume: 535.94, Average price: 0.8180, Price range: 0.0491 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540478
Question: Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
Volume: 114636.501883
Price History:
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0135
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0185
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0295
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0235
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.0245
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0215
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0230
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0200
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.0220
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0340
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0235
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.0210
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0340
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.0260
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0220
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.0205
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0345
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0250
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0260
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0240
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0260
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.0295
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.0280
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.0300
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0280
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0295
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0270
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.0295
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0295
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 964.79, Sell volume: 918.07, Average price: 0.7486, Price range: 0.0195 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540478
Question: Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
Volume: 114636.501883
Price History:
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.9750
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.9755
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.9740
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9755
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.9750
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9755
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9745
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9745
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.9750
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.9745
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.9745
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.9705
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.9705
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.9705
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.9705
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.9705
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.9725
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9710
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.9695
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.9715
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.9710
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.9560
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.9560
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9570
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.9635
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.9750
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.9765
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.9795
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9760
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1414.36, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.6972, Price range: 0.0274 - 0.9820
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540478
Question: Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
Volume: 114636.501883
Price History:
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0245
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0235
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0265
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0320
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0325
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0340
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0355
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0370
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0345
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0360
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0385
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0450
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0390
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0355
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.0340
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0350
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0355
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.0355
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.0320
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.0335
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.0335
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0320
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.0335
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.0320
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0295
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0325
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.0340
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.0310
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.0310
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 3330.37, Sell volume: 128.94, Average price: 0.7377, Price range: 0.0315 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540478
Question: Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
Volume: 114636.501883
Price History:
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.9665
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.9660
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.9655
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.9655
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.9655
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.9665
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.9665
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.9665
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.9665
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.9715
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.9710
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.9725
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.9710
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.9745
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.9785
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.9760
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.9690
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.9690
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.9765
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.9770
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.9790
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.9795
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.9800
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.9805
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.9800
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.9800
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.9780
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.9785
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.9800
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 5123.67, Sell volume: 1645.46, Average price: 0.6314, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9827
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540478
Question: Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
Volume: 114636.501883
Price History:
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.0225
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0225
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0205
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.0205
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.0205
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.0205
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0210
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.0210
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.0210
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0210
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.0205
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.0205
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9785
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.9785
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.0230
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0225
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.0235
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.9780
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.9880
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.9825
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.0160
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.0185
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0185
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.0185
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0185
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.9815
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9815
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3854.42, Sell volume: 912.79, Average price: 0.4670, Price range: 0.0165 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540478
Question: Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
Volume: 114636.501883
Price History:
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.0185
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.0170
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.9835
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.0170
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9830
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0160
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.0195
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9815
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.0215
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.0150
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0160
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.0160
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.0195
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.9790
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0160
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.9850
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.9820
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.9735
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 16085.22, Sell volume: 10412.33, Average price: 0.7272, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.6000
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.4000
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.7050
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.2950
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.7750
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.2250
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.8400
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.1600
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.1550
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.8450
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.8650
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.1350
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.8750
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.1250
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.8850
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.1150
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9000
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.1000
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9000
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.1000
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9050
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0950
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9050
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0950
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9050
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0950
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0950
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9050
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9100
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0900
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 2781.52, Sell volume: 17.27, Average price: 0.5767, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9676

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0900
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0850
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9150
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0850
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9150
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9150
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.0850
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9300
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0700
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9450
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 953.29, Sell volume: 220.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9450
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0550
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9450
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0550
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9450
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9450
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9450
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.9450
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9450
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.9450
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9450
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9450
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0450
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.9550
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9450
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9450
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0500
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0500
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1303.36, Sell volume: 10.67, Average price: 0.5012, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0500
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0500
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0500
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0500
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0500
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0500
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0500
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0500
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0500
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0450
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.9550
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0400
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9600
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0400
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9600
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0400
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9600
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0400
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.9600
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0400
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 210.42, Sell volume: 10.41, Average price: 0.2800, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.9600
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0400
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9600
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0400
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.9600
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.0400
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0400
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9600
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0305
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9695
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9665
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0335
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9665
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0335
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0250
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9750
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.9750
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0250
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9750
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0250
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9750
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0250
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9750
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0250
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.9750
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0250
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9750
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0250
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.9610
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0390
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1710.19, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8036, Price range: 0.0316 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9560
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.9565
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.0435
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9565
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0435
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0255
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0230
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9770
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9770
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0230
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9775
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0225
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0225
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9775
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9775
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0225
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0225
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9775
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9775
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0225
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0225
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9775
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9775
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0225
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0225
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9775
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0225
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9775
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.0225
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 216.67, Sell volume: 249.98, Average price: 0.2669, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9750
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0250
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9750
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0250
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9745
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9750
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0250
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9755
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0245
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 9142.81, Sell volume: 985.27, Average price: 0.6378, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0265
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0260
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9740
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0250
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9750
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0250
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9750
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9815
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0185
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0185
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9815
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0185
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9815
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9815
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0185
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9815
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0185
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9815
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0185
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9825
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.0175
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0175
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9825
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9825
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.0175
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9825
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0175
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0175
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9825
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9825
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 127.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9825, Price range: 0.9790 - 0.9830

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.0175
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9825
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0175
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9825
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0175
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9825
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9825
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0175
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0175
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.9825
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0175
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9820
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 9142.81, Sell volume: 985.27, Average price: 0.6378, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9820
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9820
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9820
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9820
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9820
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9820
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9820
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9820
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 249.87, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 10.41, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0175
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0175
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9825
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9825
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0175
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0175
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9825
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9825
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0175
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9825
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0175
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0175
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9825
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9830
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0170
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9830
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 587.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6685, Price range: 0.0341 - 0.9862

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9845
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0155
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9890
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0110
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.0100
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.9900
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0095
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9905
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.0085
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.9915
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0060
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9940
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9940
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0060
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0060
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9940
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9920
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0080
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0080
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9920
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0080
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9920
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0080
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9920
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0080
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9920
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9920
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0080
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0080
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9920
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 9142.81, Sell volume: 985.27, Average price: 0.6378, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.6000
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.4000
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.7050
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.2950
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.7750
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.2250
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.8400
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.1600
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.1550
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.8450
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.8650
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.1350
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.8750
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.1250
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.8850
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.1150
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9000
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.1000
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9000
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.1000
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9050
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0950
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9050
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0950
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9050
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0950
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0950
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9050
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9100
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 2781.52, Sell volume: 17.27, Average price: 0.5767, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9676
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0900
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0850
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9150
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0850
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9150
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9150
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.0850
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9300
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0700
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 953.29, Sell volume: 220.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9450
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0550
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9450
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0550
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9450
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9450
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9450
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.9450
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9450
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.9450
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9450
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9450
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0450
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.9550
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9450
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9450
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0500
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1303.36, Sell volume: 10.67, Average price: 0.5012, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0500
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0500
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0500
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0500
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0500
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0500
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0500
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0500
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0500
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0450
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.9550
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0400
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9600
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0400
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9600
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0400
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9600
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0400
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.9600
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 210.42, Sell volume: 10.41, Average price: 0.2800, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.9600
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0400
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9600
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0400
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.9600
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.0400
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0400
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9600
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0305
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9695
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9665
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0335
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9665
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0335
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0250
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9750
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.9750
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0250
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9750
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0250
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9750
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0250
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9750
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0250
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.9750
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0250
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9750
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0250
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.9610
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1710.19, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8036, Price range: 0.0316 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9560
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.9565
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.0435
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9565
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0435
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0255
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0230
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9770
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9770
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0230
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9775
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0225
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0225
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9775
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9775
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0225
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0225
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9775
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9775
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0225
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0225
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9775
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9775
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0225
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0225
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9775
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0225
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9775
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 216.67, Sell volume: 249.98, Average price: 0.2669, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9750
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0250
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9750
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0250
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9745
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9750
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0250
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9755
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 9142.81, Sell volume: 985.27, Average price: 0.6378, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0265
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0260
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9740
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0250
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9750
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0250
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9750
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9815
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0185
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0185
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9815
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0185
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9815
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9815
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0185
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9815
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0185
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9815
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0185
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9825
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.0175
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0175
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9825
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9825
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.0175
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9825
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0175
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0175
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9825
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 127.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9825, Price range: 0.9790 - 0.9830
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.0175
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9825
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0175
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9825
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0175
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9825
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9825
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0175
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0175
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.9825
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0175
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 9142.81, Sell volume: 985.27, Average price: 0.6378, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9820
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9820
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9820
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9820
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9820
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9820
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9820
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9820
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9825
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0175
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 249.87, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 10.41, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0175
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0175
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0175
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9825
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9825
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0175
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0175
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9825
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9825
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0175
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9825
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0175
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0175
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9825
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9830
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0170
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 587.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6685, Price range: 0.0341 - 0.9862
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607965
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30?
Volume: 10128.075952
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9845
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0155
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9890
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0110
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.0100
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.9900
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0095
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9905
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.0085
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.9915
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0060
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9940
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9940
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0060
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0060
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9940
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9920
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0080
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0080
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9920
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0080
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9920
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0080
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9920
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0080
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9920
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9920
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0080
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0080
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 9142.81, Sell volume: 985.27, Average price: 0.6378, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.6200
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.3400
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.7100
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.7100
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.7200
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.7200
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.7250
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.2700
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.2700
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.2700
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.7300
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.2700
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.2050
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.7850
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.2250
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.2350
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.1750
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.1750
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.1800
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.8200
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.8050
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.8050
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.8050
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.7800
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.7800
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.7800
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.7300
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.6450
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.6500
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.7050
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.6950
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.3600
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.6800
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.3050
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.6850
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.6800
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.6850
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 8071.76, Sell volume: 175.54, Average price: 0.5952, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.6750
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.6800
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6800
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.6750
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.6550
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.6500
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.3500
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3500
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.3500
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.6550
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3400
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.6600
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6600
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.3250
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.6750
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.3350
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.3300
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.6750
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3350
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1995.26, Sell volume: 6.93, Average price: 0.5461, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.6600
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.6800
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.6550
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.6550
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.6550
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.6450
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.6450
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.6450
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.6450
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.6550
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.6400
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.6400
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.6400
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.6400
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.6400
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.3650
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.6350
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.6350
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.3650
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.3650
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.3650
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.6350
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.6350
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.6350
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.6350
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.6350
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.6350
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.3650
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.3650
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.6350
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.6350
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.3650
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.3650
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.6350
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.6350
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.3650
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.6350
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.3550
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.6450
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.6450
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.6450
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.6450
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.6450
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.6450
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.6400
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.6400
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.6350
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1112.09, Sell volume: 246.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.3650
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.3650
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.3700
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.3700
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.3700
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.3700
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.3700
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.3700
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.3700
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.3700
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.3700
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.3700
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.6300
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.3700
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.6300
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.6350
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.6350
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.3650
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.6350
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.6350
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.6350
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.6350
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.6350
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.3700
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.5850
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.5750
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.4600
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.5800
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.5850
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.4400
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.4400
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.4250
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.4350
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.4350
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.4400
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.4300
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.4200
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.4200
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.5800
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.4150
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.5900
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.5950
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.4150
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.4150
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.5850
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.5850
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.5900
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 143.39, Sell volume: 73.00, Average price: 0.4731, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.4050
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.4050
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.4050
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.4050
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.4050
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.5950
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.4050
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.5950
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.5950
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.5950
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.4050
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.5950
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.5950
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.4050
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.4150
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.4150
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.5850
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.4150
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.4150
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.4150
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.4150
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.4150
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.5850
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.4150
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.5850
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.4450
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.4400
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.4300
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.4150
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.4150
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.5850
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.4150
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.5850
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.4100
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.4250
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.4250
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.4350
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.5650
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.5750
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.4250
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.5750
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.5800
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.4150
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.5800
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.5450
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.5450
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1247.12, Sell volume: 353.28, Average price: 0.4967, Price range: 0.3827 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.5800
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.4150
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.4100
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.4150
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.5850
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.5800
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.5800
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.4150
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.4150
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.4150
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.4200
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.5800
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.4200
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.5800
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.4200
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.4200
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.4450
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.5550
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.4450
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.5600
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.5650
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.5550
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.5650
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.5650
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.4350
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.4450
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.5550
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.5550
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.4450
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.5750
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.5750
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.4250
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.5750
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.4100
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.5850
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.4250
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.4400
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.4400
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.4400
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.5600
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.4400
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.4400
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.4400
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.4450
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.4450
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.4450
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.5050
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1578.70, Sell volume: 884.00, Average price: 0.5087, Price range: 0.4197 - 0.5900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.4650
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.4650
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.4650
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.4850
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.5600
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.4500
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.5950
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.5850
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.5650
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.5750
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.4250
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.4250
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.5750
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.4250
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.4250
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.4350
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.5550
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.5850
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.4200
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.5850
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.4250
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.5800
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.5800
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.5800
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.5800
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.4200
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.5800
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.4550
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.4600
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.4600
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.4600
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.4350
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.4300
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.4250
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.5750
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.5650
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.5750
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.5650
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.5650
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.4250
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.5750
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 39.33, Sell volume: 80.79, Average price: 0.4425, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.5400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.4350
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.4350
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.5650
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.4350
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.4350
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.4350
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.4350
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.4250
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.4250
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.4250
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.4150
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.4150
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.4150
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.4150
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.4150
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.3800
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.4000
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.3750
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.6250
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.3750
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.3750
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.6250
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.3750
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.3750
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.3750
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.3750
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.6250
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.3750
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.3750
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.3750
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.6250
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.3750
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.3750
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.3750
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.3750
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.3750
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.3750
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.6250
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.3750
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.3750
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.3750
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.3750
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.3750
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.3750
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.3750
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.3750
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.3800
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.3800
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 194.55, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5206, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.4400
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.5600
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.5600
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.5500
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.5400
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.4550
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.5550
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.4450
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.4450
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.5350
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.4650
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.5350
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.4650
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.5350
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.5350
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.5150
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.5150
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.5200
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.5150
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.5050
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.5150
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4850
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.4900
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.4800
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.4800
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.5200
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.4800
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.5200
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.4800
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.4800
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5200
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5200
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5200
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.4800
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5200
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5200
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5250
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5250
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5250
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.4750
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.4750
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.4750
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 198.42, Sell volume: 609.08, Average price: 0.4894, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.5600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.4750
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.4750
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.4750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.4750
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.4750
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.5200
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.5200
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4800
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.4800
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.4800
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.4800
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 132.65, Sell volume: 173.28, Average price: 0.5291, Price range: 0.4534 - 0.5700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.5100
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.5450
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.4700
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.4300
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.6300
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.3750
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.6250
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.3750
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.3750
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.6000
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.4000
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.4050
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.4000
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.3800
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.6250
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.6200
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.3800
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.6200
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.6400
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.6400
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 676.87, Sell volume: 352.92, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.3333 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.6450
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.6450
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.5450
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.5450
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.4550
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.5450
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.4550
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.4550
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.4550
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.4550
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.4550
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.4250
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.5750
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.4250
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.4500
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.5500
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.5500
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.4500
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.5450
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.4550
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.4550
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.5450
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.5450
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.5450
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.5450
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.4550
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4550
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5450
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5450
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 131.92, Sell volume: 72.21, Average price: 0.4712, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5450
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5100
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4950
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.5150
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.5350
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1800
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9500
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0395
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0430
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0465
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1200
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0955
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.1985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 252, Buy volume: 20725.23, Sell volume: 5075.11, Average price: 0.5704, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.6200
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.1650
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.7100
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.2800
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.7250
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.2700
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.7300
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.7850
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.7650
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.8150
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.1800
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.8050
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.7800
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.3700
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.6900
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.3600
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.3050
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.3300
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 8071.76, Sell volume: 175.54, Average price: 0.5952, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6800
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.3500
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.3500
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3450
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.3400
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6750
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.6650
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.3350
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3350
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1995.26, Sell volume: 6.93, Average price: 0.5461, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.6600
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.6550
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.6450
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.3450
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.6400
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.3600
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.6400
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.3650
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.6350
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.6350
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.3650
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.3650
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.6350
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.3650
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.6350
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.6350
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.6350
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.6350
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.3650
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.3650
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.3550
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.6450
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.6450
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.6400
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.3600
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.6350
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1112.09, Sell volume: 246.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.3650
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.6300
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.3700
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.3700
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.3700
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.6300
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.3700
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.3700
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.6300
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.3650
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.6350
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.6350
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.6350
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.6300
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.4450
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.4600
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.4150
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.4400
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.5650
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.4350
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.5700
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.4200
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.5850
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.5900
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.5850
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.4150
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.5900
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.5900
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 143.39, Sell volume: 73.00, Average price: 0.4731, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.4050
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.5950
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.5950
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.4050
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.5950
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.5950
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.4050
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.4050
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.4150
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.5850
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.4150
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.5850
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.4150
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.5850
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.4100
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.5600
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.4150
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.5850
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.4150
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.5900
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.4250
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.4350
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.5750
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.4250
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.4150
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.4550
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.4550
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1247.12, Sell volume: 353.28, Average price: 0.4967, Price range: 0.3827 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.5800
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.5900
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.5850
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.5800
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.4150
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.5850
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.4200
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.4200
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.4200
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.4350
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.4350
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.4350
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.5650
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.4350
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.4350
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.4450
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.4250
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.5750
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.4100
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.5850
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.4400
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.4400
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.4400
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.5600
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.4450
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.4850
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.5000
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1578.70, Sell volume: 884.00, Average price: 0.5087, Price range: 0.4197 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.4650
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.5350
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.5150
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.5500
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.5850
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.4250
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.4250
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.4250
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.4250
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.4200
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.4150
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.5800
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.5800
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.4200
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.4200
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.4600
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.5400
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.4350
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.5750
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.5650
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.4350
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.5650
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.5750
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.5750
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 39.33, Sell volume: 80.79, Average price: 0.4425, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.5400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.4350
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.4350
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.5650
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.5750
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.4250
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.5850
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.4150
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.6200
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.6250
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.3750
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.3750
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.6250
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.3750
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.6250
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.3750
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.6250
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.3750
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.6250
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.3750
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.6250
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.3750
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.6250
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.3750
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.6250
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.3750
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.6200
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.3800
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 194.55, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5206, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.4400
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.4400
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.4500
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.5450
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.4450
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.4700
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.5350
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.5350
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.5350
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.4850
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.5150
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.4950
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.5150
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4850
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.5200
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.4800
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.5200
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.5200
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4800
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.4800
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5200
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5200
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5200
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5250
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5250
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 198.42, Sell volume: 609.08, Average price: 0.4894, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.5250
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.4750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5250
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.4750
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.4800
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.4800
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.5200
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4800
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.4800
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.5200
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.5200
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 132.65, Sell volume: 173.28, Average price: 0.5291, Price range: 0.4534 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.4700
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.3700
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.6250
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.3750
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.4000
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.6000
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.4000
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.6350
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.3700
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.6200
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.3700
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 676.87, Sell volume: 352.92, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.3333 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.4550
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.4550
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.4550
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.4550
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.5450
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.4550
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.4250
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.4250
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.5500
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.5500
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4500
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.4550
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.5450
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.5450
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.5450
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.5450
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5450
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 131.92, Sell volume: 72.21, Average price: 0.4712, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607966
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 75237.788832
Price History:
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.5450
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5450
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5450
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.5150
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.4850
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.4650
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9500
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0425
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9455
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9045
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.1985
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 252, Buy volume: 20725.23, Sell volume: 5075.11, Average price: 0.5704, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525444
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Gold during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2454.299455
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.4550
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.5450
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.4500
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5500
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.4350
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.5650
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.4350
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.5650
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.4350
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.5650
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.4350
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.5650
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.4350
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.5650
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.4350
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.5650
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.5350
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.4650
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5350
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 2449.69, Sell volume: 4.61, Average price: 0.5627, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No