Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705758
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1172577.5019
Price History:
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.1650
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.8350
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.8050
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.1450
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.8550
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.2350
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 32807.24, Sell volume: 16962.51, Average price: 0.4456, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9082

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705758
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1172577.5019
Price History:
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.3800
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.6200
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.2050
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.7950
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.1550
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.8450
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.1650
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.8350
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.1850
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 8145.09, Sell volume: 4371.02, Average price: 0.4552, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705758
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1172577.5019
Price History:
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.3250
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.6750
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.3550
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.6450
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.3750
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.6250
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.3850
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.6150
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.4550
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 35229.65, Sell volume: 7956.98, Average price: 0.4349, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705758
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1172577.5019
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.6700
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.3300
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.5550
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.4450
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.4600
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.6350
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 6411.70, Sell volume: 7351.82, Average price: 0.5435, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705758
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1172577.5019
Price History:
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.5550
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.4450
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.4050
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.5950
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.2800
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 47691.90, Sell volume: 31804.58, Average price: 0.4651, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8476

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705758
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1172577.5019
Price History:
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.2100
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.7900
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.1600
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.8400
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.2100
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.7900
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.3450
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.6550
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.2550
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 139, Buy volume: 57892.49, Sell volume: 36881.75, Average price: 0.3900, Price range: 0.0975 - 0.9037

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705758
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1172577.5019
Price History:
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.2250
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.7750
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.1300
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.1400
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.8600
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0105
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9895
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0080
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 364, Buy volume: 363683.30, Sell volume: 298635.01, Average price: 0.5978, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9952

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705758
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1172577.5019
Price History:
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0110
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9890
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 49749.02, Sell volume: 2188.47, Average price: 0.9954, Price range: 0.9870 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705758
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1172577.5019
Price History:
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 32572.13, Sell volume: 1563.69, Average price: 0.9968, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705758
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Volume: 1172577.5019
Price History:
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.2550
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.7450
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.1950
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.8050
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.3250
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.6750
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.3500
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.6500
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.3450
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1535.09, Sell volume: 79.70, Average price: 0.5324, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8454
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705758
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Volume: 1172577.5019
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.3500
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.3700
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.6300
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.6250
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.3450
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.6550
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.3450
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 34.44, Sell volume: 21.67, Average price: 0.5658, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6653
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705758
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Volume: 1172577.5019
Price History:
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.3700
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.6300
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.3500
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.6500
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.3500
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.6500
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.3650
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.6350
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 830.99, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.5083, Price range: 0.3838 - 0.6763
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705758
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Volume: 1172577.5019
Price History:
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.3950
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.6050
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.4050
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.5950
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.4050
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.5950
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.3550
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 13430.42, Sell volume: 328.22, Average price: 0.5164, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705758
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Volume: 1172577.5019
Price History:
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.1650
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.8350
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.8050
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.1450
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.8550
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.2350
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 32807.24, Sell volume: 16962.51, Average price: 0.4456, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9082
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705758
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Volume: 1172577.5019
Price History:
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.3800
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.6200
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.2050
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.7950
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.1550
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.8450
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.1650
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.8350
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.1850
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 8145.09, Sell volume: 4371.02, Average price: 0.4552, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705758
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Volume: 1172577.5019
Price History:
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.3250
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.6750
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.3550
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.6450
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.3750
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.6250
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.3850
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.6150
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.4550
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 35229.65, Sell volume: 7956.98, Average price: 0.4349, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705758
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Volume: 1172577.5019
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.6700
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.3300
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.5550
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.4450
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.4600
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.6350
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 6411.70, Sell volume: 7351.82, Average price: 0.5435, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705758
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Volume: 1172577.5019
Price History:
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.5550
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.4450
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.4050
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.5950
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.2800
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 47691.90, Sell volume: 31804.58, Average price: 0.4651, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8476
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705758
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Volume: 1172577.5019
Price History:
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.2100
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.7900
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.1600
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.8400
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.2100
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.7900
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.3450
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.6550
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.2550
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 139, Buy volume: 57892.49, Sell volume: 36881.75, Average price: 0.3900, Price range: 0.0975 - 0.9037
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705758
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Volume: 1172577.5019
Price History:
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.2250
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.7750
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.1300
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.1400
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.8600
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0105
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9895
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0080
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 364, Buy volume: 363683.30, Sell volume: 298635.01, Average price: 0.5978, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9952
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705758
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Volume: 1172577.5019
Price History:
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0110
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9890
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 49749.02, Sell volume: 2188.47, Average price: 0.9954, Price range: 0.9870 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705758
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Volume: 1172577.5019
Price History:
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 32572.13, Sell volume: 1563.69, Average price: 0.9968, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9450
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0550
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0500
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9745
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0255
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9570
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0430
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9505
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 8517.12, Sell volume: 285.68, Average price: 0.5869, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9575
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0425
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9645
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0355
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9675
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0325
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9740
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0260
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9865
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 3796.90, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4997, Price range: 0.0055 - 0.9961

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9885
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0115
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9880
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0120
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9815
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0185
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9660
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1865.60, Sell volume: 170.36, Average price: 0.5023, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9705
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0295
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9650
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0350
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9295
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0705
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9610
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 14927.35, Sell volume: 1300.00, Average price: 0.6008, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9860

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9910
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0090
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9915
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0085
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9920
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0080
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 14385.83, Sell volume: 8951.34, Average price: 0.7329, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2449.61, Sell volume: 4760.63, Average price: 0.7492, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9905
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9915
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9925
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 6544.46, Sell volume: 1075.82, Average price: 0.4021, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9915
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0085
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9900
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0100
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105, Buy volume: 2214.54, Sell volume: 5886.89, Average price: 0.8624, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0045
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 84570.90, Sell volume: 6310.80, Average price: 0.6368, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 15721.73, Sell volume: 1101.27, Average price: 0.9249, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 132125.42, Sell volume: 961.90, Average price: 0.7888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1220.19, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1220.19, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9450
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0550
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0500
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9745
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0255
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9570
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0430
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9505
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 8517.12, Sell volume: 285.68, Average price: 0.5869, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9575
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0425
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9645
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0355
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9675
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0325
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9740
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0260
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9865
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 3796.90, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4997, Price range: 0.0055 - 0.9961
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9885
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0115
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9880
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0120
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9815
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0185
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9660
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1865.60, Sell volume: 170.36, Average price: 0.5023, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9705
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0295
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9650
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0350
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9295
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0705
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9610
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 14927.35, Sell volume: 1300.00, Average price: 0.6008, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9910
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0090
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9915
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0085
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9920
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0080
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 14385.83, Sell volume: 8951.34, Average price: 0.7329, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2449.61, Sell volume: 4760.63, Average price: 0.7492, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9905
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9915
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9925
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 6544.46, Sell volume: 1075.82, Average price: 0.4021, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9915
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0085
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9900
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0100
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105, Buy volume: 2214.54, Sell volume: 5886.89, Average price: 0.8624, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0045
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 84570.90, Sell volume: 6310.80, Average price: 0.6368, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 15721.73, Sell volume: 1101.27, Average price: 0.9249, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 132125.42, Sell volume: 961.90, Average price: 0.7888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1220.19, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705754
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Volume: 391948.319382
Price History:
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1220.19, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.7100
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.2900
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.3700
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.6300
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.3300
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.6700
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.3350
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 857.20, Sell volume: 63.76, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.7377

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.3600
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.6400
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.4650
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.5350
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.4700
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 6063.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5486, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.6600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.4600
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.5400
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.4650
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.5350
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.4300
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.5700
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.3850
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.6150
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.4600
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 3314.40, Sell volume: 527.75, Average price: 0.4884, Price range: 0.3138 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.3850
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.6150
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.2500
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.7500
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.4550
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 24775.99, Sell volume: 1047.68, Average price: 0.4985, Price range: 0.2268 - 0.7828

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.3250
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.6750
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.5100
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.4900
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.4600
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 25304.33, Sell volume: 16978.17, Average price: 0.5097, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7526

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.2700
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.7300
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.4350
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.5650
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 18531.72, Sell volume: 3698.97, Average price: 0.4662, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.3150
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.6850
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.2350
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.7650
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.2150
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.7850
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.1750
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 18848.21, Sell volume: 2451.38, Average price: 0.7062, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9300
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0400
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9600
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0670
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 5751.12, Sell volume: 5586.20, Average price: 0.5571, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0615
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9385
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0640
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9360
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0575
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9425
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0545
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9455
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.2250
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 133, Buy volume: 60225.17, Sell volume: 15360.80, Average price: 0.6307, Price range: 0.0227 - 0.9957

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.1300
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.8700
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.1285
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.8715
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.1375
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.8625
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0830
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9170
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0935
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 196652.03, Sell volume: 52815.71, Average price: 0.6349, Price range: 0.0640 - 0.9350

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0630
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9370
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0580
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9420
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0325
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9675
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 267, Buy volume: 367020.10, Sell volume: 388814.75, Average price: 0.4869, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 611.96, Sell volume: 2811.23, Average price: 0.8876, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 6808.27, Sell volume: 1051.25, Average price: 0.7260, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.7100
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.2900
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.3700
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.6300
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.3300
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.6700
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.3350
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 857.20, Sell volume: 63.76, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.7377
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.3600
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.6400
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.4650
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.5350
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.4700
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 6063.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5486, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.4600
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.5400
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.4650
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.5350
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.4300
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.5700
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.3850
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.6150
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.4600
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 3314.40, Sell volume: 527.75, Average price: 0.4884, Price range: 0.3138 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.3850
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.6150
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.2500
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.7500
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.4550
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 24775.99, Sell volume: 1047.68, Average price: 0.4985, Price range: 0.2268 - 0.7828
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.3250
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.6750
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.5100
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.4900
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.4600
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 25304.33, Sell volume: 16978.17, Average price: 0.5097, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7526
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.2700
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.7300
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.4350
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.5650
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 18531.72, Sell volume: 3698.97, Average price: 0.4662, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.3150
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.6850
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.2350
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.7650
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.2150
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.7850
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.1750
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 18848.21, Sell volume: 2451.38, Average price: 0.7062, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9300
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0400
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9600
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0670
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 5751.12, Sell volume: 5586.20, Average price: 0.5571, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0615
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9385
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0640
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9360
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0575
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9425
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0545
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9455
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.2250
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 133, Buy volume: 60225.17, Sell volume: 15360.80, Average price: 0.6307, Price range: 0.0227 - 0.9957
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.1300
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.8700
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.1285
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.8715
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.1375
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.8625
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0830
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9170
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0935
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 196652.03, Sell volume: 52815.71, Average price: 0.6349, Price range: 0.0640 - 0.9350
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0630
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9370
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0580
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9420
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0325
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9675
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 267, Buy volume: 367020.10, Sell volume: 388814.75, Average price: 0.4869, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 611.96, Sell volume: 2811.23, Average price: 0.8876, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 705779
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Volume: 1322005.077408
Price History:
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 6808.27, Sell volume: 1051.25, Average price: 0.7260, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.7300
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.2700
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.3050
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.6950
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.3800
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.6200
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.3950
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.6050
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.3950
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.6050
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.3950
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.6050
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.4100
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.5900
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.4150
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.5850
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.4150
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.5850
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.4150
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.5850
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.4150
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.5850
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.5900
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.4100
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.4100
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.5900
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.5950
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.4050
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.4050
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 1837.41, Sell volume: 245.45, Average price: 0.5298, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.5950
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.4050
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.5900
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.4100
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.5850
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.4150
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.4000
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.6000
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.6050
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.3950
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.6200
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.3800
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.7200
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.2800
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.7450
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.2550
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.2250
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.7750
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.7650
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.2350
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.8200
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.1800
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.7850
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.2150
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.8100
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.1900
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.7950
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 14390.83, Sell volume: 655.30, Average price: 0.5839, Price range: 0.1660 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.1350
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.8900
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.1100
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9400
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0600
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.9600
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.0400
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.0450
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.9550
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.9500
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.0500
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.9500
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.0500
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.9500
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0500
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.9250
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.0750
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9200
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0800
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.9350
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.0650
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9250
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.0750
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9250
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.0750
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.0850
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.9200
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 7400.39, Sell volume: 349.07, Average price: 0.6534, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.9250
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0700
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.9300
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0750
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.9250
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.9200
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.0800
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.9200
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.0800
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.9400
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0600
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.9350
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.0650
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.0700
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.9300
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.9300
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0700
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.9350
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.0650
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.1250
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.8750
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.8200
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.1800
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.8600
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.1400
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.1400
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.8600
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 3617.08, Sell volume: 1531.45, Average price: 0.4461, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.1700
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.8300
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.1950
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.8050
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.1750
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.8600
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.1400
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.8450
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.1550
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.8400
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.1600
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.8350
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.1650
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.8350
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.1650
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.8350
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.1650
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.8350
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.1650
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.8350
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.1650
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.1250
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.8750
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.8650
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.8650
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1128.87, Sell volume: 1275.49, Average price: 0.5481, Price range: 0.1086 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.8750
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.1250
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.8850
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.1150
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.8900
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.1100
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.1100
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.8900
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.9000
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.1000
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.9000
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.1000
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.0950
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9050
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9100
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0900
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9100
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.0900
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.9100
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 219.53, Sell volume: 285.54, Average price: 0.8249, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0850
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9150
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.9050
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.0950
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.9050
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0950
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.1000
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9000
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.9000
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.1000
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.1000
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.9000
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.8950
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.1050
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.9050
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.0950
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.8750
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.1250
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.9400
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0600
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.9350
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0650
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.9350
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0650
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9350
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0650
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0650
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 5230.02, Sell volume: 10345.59, Average price: 0.4285, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.9250
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.0750
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.0800
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.9200
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.9200
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.0800
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.0800
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.9200
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.0700
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.9300
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.9300
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 233.81, Sell volume: 134.04, Average price: 0.9256, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9325

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9300
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.0700
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.0700
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.9300
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0700
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.9300
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.0550
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9450
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9450
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0550
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9500
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.0500
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0450
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.9550
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0450
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9550
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9550
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0450
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.9550
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.0450
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.9550
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0450
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9550
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0450
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9550
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0450
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.0450
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9550
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.0450
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 6098.58, Sell volume: 53.76, Average price: 0.8968, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0400
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9600
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.0400
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9600
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.0260
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.9740
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0265
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9735
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.0265
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.9735
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.9735
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0265
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.0520
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9480
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.9475
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0525
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.9585
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.0415
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.9560
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.0440
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.9660
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0340
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.0305
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.9695
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9650
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.0350
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.0345
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.9655
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0350
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 8099.73, Sell volume: 4391.94, Average price: 0.7023, Price range: 0.0257 - 0.9718

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.0335
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9665
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.0330
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.9670
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.9700
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.0300
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.0320
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.9680
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.9655
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.0345
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.9655
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0345
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.0345
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.9655
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0350
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.9650
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.0350
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.9650
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9645
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0355
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0375
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9625
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.9635
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.0365
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.9670
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0330
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.0310
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.9690
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0305
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 5520.36, Sell volume: 189.15, Average price: 0.8624, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9722

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.9780
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0220
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9795
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0205
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.9795
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.0205
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.9805
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.0195
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.9850
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.0150
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.0155
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.9845
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.0155
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.9845
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9880
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0120
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9875
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0125
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9890
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0110
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.9915
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.0085
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9880
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0120
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.9900
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.0100
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.9880
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.0120
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.0130
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 9547.87, Sell volume: 103.13, Average price: 0.9035, Price range: 0.0217 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Outcomes: ["Putin", "Zelenskyy"]
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0125
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.9875
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9865
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.0135
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9855
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0145
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.9850
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.0150
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.0115
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9885
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.0085
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.9915
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.0080
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.9920
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.9905
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.0095
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9905
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0095
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9905
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.0095
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.9900
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0100
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0065
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.9935
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.9940
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.0060
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.0060
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.9940
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9940
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 935.84, Sell volume: 209.23, Average price: 0.9095, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.7300
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.2700
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.3050
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.6950
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.3800
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.6200
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.3950
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.6050
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.3950
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.6050
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.3950
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.6050
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.4100
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.5900
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.4150
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.5850
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.4150
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.5850
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.4150
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.5850
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.4150
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.5850
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.5900
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.4100
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.4100
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.5900
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.5950
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.4050
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.4050
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 1837.41, Sell volume: 245.45, Average price: 0.5298, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.5950
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.4050
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.5900
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.4100
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.5850
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.4150
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.4000
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.6000
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.6050
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.3950
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.6200
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.3800
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.7200
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.2800
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.7450
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.2550
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.2250
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.7750
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.7650
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.2350
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.8200
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.1800
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.7850
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.2150
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.8100
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.1900
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.7950
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 14390.83, Sell volume: 655.30, Average price: 0.5839, Price range: 0.1660 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.1350
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.8900
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.1100
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9400
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0600
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.9600
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.0400
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.0450
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.9550
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.9500
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.0500
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.9500
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.0500
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.9500
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0500
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.9250
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.0750
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9200
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0800
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.9350
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.0650
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9250
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.0750
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9250
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.0750
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.0850
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.9200
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 7400.39, Sell volume: 349.07, Average price: 0.6534, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.9250
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0700
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.9300
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0750
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.9250
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.9200
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.0800
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.9200
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.0800
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.9400
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0600
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.9350
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.0650
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.0700
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.9300
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.9300
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0700
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.9350
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.0650
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.1250
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.8750
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.8200
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.1800
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.8600
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.1400
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.1400
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.8600
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 3617.08, Sell volume: 1531.45, Average price: 0.4461, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.1700
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.8300
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.1950
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.8050
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.1750
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.8600
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.1400
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.8450
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.1550
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.8400
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.1600
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.8350
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.1650
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.8350
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.1650
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.8350
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.1650
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.8350
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.1650
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.8350
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.1650
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.1250
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.8750
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.8650
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.8650
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1128.87, Sell volume: 1275.49, Average price: 0.5481, Price range: 0.1086 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.8750
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.1250
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.8850
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.1150
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.8900
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.1100
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.1100
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.8900
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.9000
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.1000
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.9000
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.1000
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.0950
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9050
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9100
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0900
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9100
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.0900
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.9100
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 219.53, Sell volume: 285.54, Average price: 0.8249, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0850
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9150
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.9050
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.0950
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.9050
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0950
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.1000
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9000
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.9000
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.1000
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.1000
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.9000
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.8950
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.1050
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.9050
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.0950
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.8750
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.1250
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.9400
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0600
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.9350
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0650
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.9350
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0650
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9350
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0650
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0650
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 5230.02, Sell volume: 10345.59, Average price: 0.4285, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.9250
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.0750
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.0800
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.9200
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.9200
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.0800
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.0800
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.9200
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.0700
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.9300
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.9300
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 233.81, Sell volume: 134.04, Average price: 0.9256, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9325
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9300
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.0700
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.0700
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.9300
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0700
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.9300
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.0550
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9450
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9450
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0550
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9500
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.0500
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0450
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.9550
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0450
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9550
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9550
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0450
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.9550
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.0450
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.9550
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0450
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9550
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0450
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9550
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0450
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.0450
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9550
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.0450
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 6098.58, Sell volume: 53.76, Average price: 0.8968, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0400
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9600
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.0400
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9600
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.0260
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.9740
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0265
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9735
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.0265
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.9735
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.9735
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0265
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.0520
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9480
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.9475
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0525
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.9585
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.0415
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.9560
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.0440
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.9660
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0340
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.0305
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.9695
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9650
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.0350
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.0345
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.9655
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0350
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 8099.73, Sell volume: 4391.94, Average price: 0.7023, Price range: 0.0257 - 0.9718
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.0335
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9665
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.0330
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.9670
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.9700
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.0300
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.0320
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.9680
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.9655
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.0345
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.9655
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0345
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.0345
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.9655
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0350
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.9650
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.0350
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.9650
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9645
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0355
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0375
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9625
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.9635
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.0365
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.9670
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0330
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.0310
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.9690
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0305
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 5520.36, Sell volume: 189.15, Average price: 0.8624, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9722
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.9780
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0220
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9795
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0205
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.9795
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.0205
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.9805
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.0195
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.9850
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.0150
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.0155
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.9845
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.0155
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.9845
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9880
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0120
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9875
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0125
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9890
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0110
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.9915
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.0085
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9880
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0120
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.9900
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.0100
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.9880
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.0120
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.0130
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 9547.87, Sell volume: 103.13, Average price: 0.9035, Price range: 0.0217 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573569
Question: Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Volume: 116040.932935
Price History:
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0125
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.9875
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9865
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.0135
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9855
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0145
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.9850
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.0150
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.0115
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9885
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.0085
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.9915
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.0080
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.9920
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.9905
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.0095
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9905
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0095
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9905
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.0095
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.9900
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0100
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0065
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.9935
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.9940
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.0060
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.0060
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.9940
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9940
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 935.84, Sell volume: 209.23, Average price: 0.9095, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630963
Question: Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6642.841232
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.4950
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.4900
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5050
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.5050
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5150
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.8100
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.8100
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 4167.25, Sell volume: 2475.59, Average price: 0.3199, Price range: 0.1630 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630963
Question: Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6642.841232
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.1800
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 4167.25, Sell volume: 2475.59, Average price: 0.3199, Price range: 0.1630 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630963
Question: Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6642.841232
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.1800
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.1800
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.1800
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.1800
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.8200
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.1800
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.1800
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.1800
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.8200
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.8150
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.8150
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.8150
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.1850
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.1850
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.1850
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.8150
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.8150
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 4167.25, Sell volume: 2475.59, Average price: 0.3199, Price range: 0.1630 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630963
Question: Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6642.841232
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 4167.25, Sell volume: 2475.59, Average price: 0.3199, Price range: 0.1630 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630963
Question: Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6642.841232
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.8150
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.8150
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.8150
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.8150
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.8150
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.8150
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 4167.25, Sell volume: 2475.59, Average price: 0.3199, Price range: 0.1630 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630963
Question: Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6642.841232
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.1850
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.1850
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.1850
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.1850
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.1850
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 4167.25, Sell volume: 2475.59, Average price: 0.3199, Price range: 0.1630 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630963
Question: Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6642.841232
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.8150
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.8150
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.8150
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.8150
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.8150
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.8150
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8150
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.8150
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8150
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 4167.25, Sell volume: 2475.59, Average price: 0.3199, Price range: 0.1630 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630963
Question: Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6642.841232
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.1850
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.1850
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.1850
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2710.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3590, Price range: 0.2059 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630963
Question: Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6642.841232
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.7700
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.7750
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.7500
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.8250
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.8200
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.8100
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.8150
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.8150
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.8200
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.7800
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.7550
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.7600
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.7600
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.7650
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.7650
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.7650
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.7650
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.7650
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.7600
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.7600
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.7750
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.7750
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.7750
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.7750
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.7750
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.7750
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.7750
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.7750
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.7750
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.7750
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7750
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.7750
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.7750
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.7750
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.7750
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.7750
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.7750
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.7750
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.7750
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.7750
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.7750
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.7750
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.7750
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.7750
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1357.19, Sell volume: 2475.59, Average price: 0.3018, Price range: 0.1630 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630963
Question: Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6642.841232
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.2350
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.2350
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.2400
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.2500
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.2400
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.2400
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.2450
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.2450
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.2450
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.2450
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.2450
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.2500
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.2500
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.2500
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.2500
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.2550
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.2500
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.2500
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.2500
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 4167.25, Sell volume: 2475.59, Average price: 0.3199, Price range: 0.1630 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630963
Question: Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6642.841232
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.7450
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.7450
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.7500
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.7450
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.7500
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.7500
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.7500
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.7500
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.7450
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.7500
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 4167.25, Sell volume: 2475.59, Average price: 0.3199, Price range: 0.1630 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630963
Question: Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6642.841232
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.2500
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.2500
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.2550
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.2500
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.2750
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.2650
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.2650
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.2650
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.2650
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.2650
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.2800
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 4167.25, Sell volume: 2475.59, Average price: 0.3199, Price range: 0.1630 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630963
Question: Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6642.841232
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.7250
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.7250
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.7250
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.7250
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.7250
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2900, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.2900

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630963
Question: Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 6642.841232
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.4950
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5050
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5150
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.8100
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 4167.25, Sell volume: 2475.59, Average price: 0.3199, Price range: 0.1630 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630963
Question: Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 6642.841232
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.1800
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.1800
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 4167.25, Sell volume: 2475.59, Average price: 0.3199, Price range: 0.1630 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes