Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2024-12-01 00:00: 0.0295
2024-12-01 02:00: 0.0295
2024-12-01 04:00: 0.0290
2024-12-01 06:00: 0.0290
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.0300
2024-12-01 10:00: 0.0320
2024-12-01 12:00: 0.0335
2024-12-01 14:00: 0.0335
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.0305
2024-12-01 18:00: 0.0300
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.0295
2024-12-01 22:00: 0.0295
2024-12-02 00:00: 0.0295
2024-12-02 02:00: 0.0295
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.0295
2024-12-02 06:00: 0.0295
2024-12-02 08:00: 0.0295
2024-12-02 10:00: 0.0285
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.0295
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.0295
2024-12-02 16:00: 0.0295
2024-12-02 18:00: 0.0295
2024-12-02 20:00: 0.0285
2024-12-02 22:00: 0.0295
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.0295
2024-12-03 02:00: 0.0300
2024-12-03 04:00: 0.0300
2024-12-03 06:00: 0.0300
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.0300
2024-12-03 10:00: 0.0300
2024-12-03 12:00: 0.0300
2024-12-03 14:00: 0.0285
2024-12-03 16:00: 0.0300
2024-12-03 18:00: 0.0290
2024-12-03 20:00: 0.0285
2024-12-03 22:00: 0.0290
2024-12-04 00:00: 0.0300
2024-12-04 02:00: 0.0300
2024-12-04 04:00: 0.0300
2024-12-04 06:00: 0.0290
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.0300
2024-12-04 10:00: 0.0290
2024-12-04 12:00: 0.0275
2024-12-04 14:00: 0.0285
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.0275
2024-12-04 18:00: 0.0285
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.0290
2024-12-04 22:00: 0.0280
2024-12-05 00:00: 0.0290
2024-12-05 02:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1779.19, Sell volume: 3521.94, Average price: 0.3445, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.9730

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2024-12-05 17:00: 0.0290
2024-12-05 19:00: 0.0265
2024-12-05 21:00: 0.0280
2024-12-05 23:00: 0.0280
2024-12-06 01:00: 0.0280
2024-12-06 03:00: 0.0280
2024-12-06 05:00: 0.0275
2024-12-06 07:00: 0.0280
2024-12-06 09:00: 0.0280
2024-12-06 11:00: 0.0285
2024-12-06 13:00: 0.0280
2024-12-06 15:00: 0.0270
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.0280
2024-12-06 19:00: 0.0280
2024-12-06 21:00: 0.0270
2024-12-06 23:00: 0.0270
2024-12-07 01:00: 0.0270
2024-12-07 03:00: 0.0280
2024-12-07 05:00: 0.0280
2024-12-07 07:00: 0.0270
2024-12-07 09:00: 0.0280
2024-12-07 11:00: 0.0280
2024-12-07 13:00: 0.0270
2024-12-07 15:00: 0.0285
2024-12-07 17:00: 0.0305
2024-12-07 19:00: 0.0305
2024-12-07 21:00: 0.0305
2024-12-07 23:00: 0.0305
2024-12-08 01:00: 0.0305
2024-12-08 03:00: 0.0305
2024-12-08 05:00: 0.0305
2024-12-08 07:00: 0.0305
2024-12-08 09:00: 0.0305
2024-12-08 11:00: 0.0305
2024-12-08 13:00: 0.0305
2024-12-08 15:00: 0.0305
2024-12-08 17:00: 0.0305
2024-12-08 19:00: 0.0305
2024-12-08 21:00: 0.0305
2024-12-08 23:00: 0.0305
2024-12-09 01:00: 0.0305
2024-12-09 03:00: 0.0305
2024-12-09 05:00: 0.0305
2024-12-09 07:00: 0.0305
2024-12-09 09:00: 0.0305
2024-12-09 11:00: 0.0305
2024-12-09 13:00: 0.0305
2024-12-09 15:00: 0.0295
2024-12-09 17:00: 0.0285
2024-12-09 19:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 5656.68, Sell volume: 4150.20, Average price: 0.7354, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9749

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2024-12-10 10:00: 0.0545
2024-12-10 12:00: 0.0570
2024-12-10 14:00: 0.0495
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.0500
2024-12-10 18:00: 0.0350
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.0355
2024-12-10 22:00: 0.0385
2024-12-11 00:00: 0.0385
2024-12-11 02:00: 0.0365
2024-12-11 04:00: 0.0360
2024-12-11 06:00: 0.0355
2024-12-11 08:00: 0.0350
2024-12-11 10:00: 0.0530
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.0510
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.0545
2024-12-11 16:00: 0.0540
2024-12-11 18:00: 0.0490
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.0540
2024-12-11 22:00: 0.0540
2024-12-12 00:00: 0.0345
2024-12-12 02:00: 0.0345
2024-12-12 04:00: 0.0320
2024-12-12 06:00: 0.0350
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.0335
2024-12-12 10:00: 0.0335
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.0325
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.0225
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.0225
2024-12-12 18:00: 0.0185
2024-12-12 20:00: 0.0185
2024-12-12 22:00: 0.0180
2024-12-13 00:00: 0.0185
2024-12-13 02:00: 0.0180
2024-12-13 04:00: 0.0185
2024-12-13 06:00: 0.0180
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.0190
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.0185
2024-12-13 12:00: 0.0190
2024-12-13 14:00: 0.0190
2024-12-13 16:00: 0.0190
2024-12-13 18:00: 0.0190
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.0185
2024-12-13 22:00: 0.0190
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.0185
2024-12-14 02:00: 0.0180
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.0185
2024-12-14 06:00: 0.0190
2024-12-14 08:00: 0.0185
2024-12-14 10:00: 0.0185
2024-12-14 12:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 1992.52, Sell volume: 4872.33, Average price: 0.5478, Price range: 0.0206 - 0.9831

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2024-12-15 03:00: 0.0235
2024-12-15 05:00: 0.0230
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.0210
2024-12-15 09:00: 0.0205
2024-12-15 11:00: 0.0225
2024-12-15 13:00: 0.0205
2024-12-15 15:00: 0.0205
2024-12-15 17:00: 0.0200
2024-12-15 19:00: 0.0200
2024-12-15 21:00: 0.0175
2024-12-15 23:00: 0.0175
2024-12-16 01:00: 0.0175
2024-12-16 03:00: 0.0170
2024-12-16 05:00: 0.0155
2024-12-16 07:00: 0.0160
2024-12-16 09:00: 0.0160
2024-12-16 11:00: 0.0165
2024-12-16 13:00: 0.0155
2024-12-16 15:00: 0.0160
2024-12-16 17:00: 0.0160
2024-12-16 19:00: 0.0155
2024-12-16 21:00: 0.0150
2024-12-16 23:00: 0.0150
2024-12-17 01:00: 0.0155
2024-12-17 03:00: 0.0155
2024-12-17 05:00: 0.0155
2024-12-17 07:00: 0.0155
2024-12-17 09:00: 0.0160
2024-12-17 11:00: 0.0160
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.0190
2024-12-17 15:00: 0.0200
2024-12-17 17:00: 0.0190
2024-12-17 19:00: 0.0195
2024-12-17 21:00: 0.0200
2024-12-17 23:00: 0.0190
2024-12-18 01:00: 0.0195
2024-12-18 03:00: 0.0195
2024-12-18 05:00: 0.0195
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.0200
2024-12-18 09:00: 0.0175
2024-12-18 11:00: 0.0190
2024-12-18 13:00: 0.0145
2024-12-18 15:00: 0.0140
2024-12-18 17:00: 0.0145
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.0140
2024-12-18 21:00: 0.0145
2024-12-18 23:00: 0.0145
2024-12-19 01:00: 0.0145
2024-12-19 03:00: 0.0135
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 281.94, Sell volume: 761.41, Average price: 0.6778, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.0160
2024-12-19 22:00: 0.0165
2024-12-20 00:00: 0.0155
2024-12-20 02:00: 0.0160
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.0155
2024-12-20 06:00: 0.0145
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.0160
2024-12-20 10:00: 0.0155
2024-12-20 12:00: 0.0165
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.0160
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.0160
2024-12-20 18:00: 0.0125
2024-12-20 20:00: 0.0125
2024-12-20 22:00: 0.0130
2024-12-21 00:00: 0.0135
2024-12-21 02:00: 0.0185
2024-12-21 04:00: 0.0165
2024-12-21 06:00: 0.0160
2024-12-21 08:00: 0.0280
2024-12-21 10:00: 0.0270
2024-12-21 12:00: 0.0350
2024-12-21 14:00: 0.0365
2024-12-21 16:00: 0.0380
2024-12-21 18:00: 0.0395
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.0420
2024-12-21 22:00: 0.0355
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.0195
2024-12-22 02:00: 0.0150
2024-12-22 04:00: 0.0145
2024-12-22 06:00: 0.0130
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.0120
2024-12-22 10:00: 0.0115
2024-12-22 12:00: 0.0120
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.0270
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.0270
2024-12-22 18:00: 0.0275
2024-12-22 20:00: 0.0185
2024-12-22 22:00: 0.0300
2024-12-23 00:00: 0.0420
2024-12-23 02:00: 0.0505
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.0505
2024-12-23 06:00: 0.0505
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.0495
2024-12-23 10:00: 0.0490
2024-12-23 12:00: 0.0490
2024-12-23 14:00: 0.0300
2024-12-23 16:00: 0.0235
2024-12-23 18:00: 0.0235
2024-12-23 20:00: 0.0300
2024-12-23 22:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 12383.82, Sell volume: 14646.88, Average price: 0.7941, Price range: 0.0116 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2024-12-24 13:00: 0.0230
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.0200
2024-12-24 17:00: 0.0235
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.0225
2024-12-24 21:00: 0.0180
2024-12-24 23:00: 0.0180
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.0170
2024-12-25 03:00: 0.0140
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.0190
2024-12-25 07:00: 0.0195
2024-12-25 09:00: 0.0175
2024-12-25 11:00: 0.0125
2024-12-25 13:00: 0.0110
2024-12-25 15:00: 0.0120
2024-12-25 17:00: 0.0120
2024-12-25 19:00: 0.0120
2024-12-25 21:00: 0.0120
2024-12-25 23:00: 0.0125
2024-12-26 01:00: 0.0115
2024-12-26 03:00: 0.0125
2024-12-26 05:00: 0.0115
2024-12-26 07:00: 0.0120
2024-12-26 09:00: 0.0075
2024-12-26 11:00: 0.0075
2024-12-26 13:00: 0.0075
2024-12-26 15:00: 0.0075
2024-12-26 17:00: 0.0075
2024-12-26 19:00: 0.0075
2024-12-26 21:00: 0.0075
2024-12-26 23:00: 0.0090
2024-12-27 01:00: 0.0090
2024-12-27 03:00: 0.0090
2024-12-27 05:00: 0.0080
2024-12-27 07:00: 0.0080
2024-12-27 09:00: 0.0090
2024-12-27 11:00: 0.0090
2024-12-27 13:00: 0.0105
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.0105
2024-12-27 17:00: 0.0145
2024-12-27 19:00: 0.0120
2024-12-27 21:00: 0.0120
2024-12-27 23:00: 0.0115
2024-12-28 01:00: 0.0115
2024-12-28 03:00: 0.0100
2024-12-28 05:00: 0.0100
2024-12-28 07:00: 0.0095
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.0095
2024-12-28 11:00: 0.0095
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.0165
2024-12-28 15:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 166, Buy volume: 3854.61, Sell volume: 5763.18, Average price: 0.5832, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2024-12-29 06:00: 0.0105
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.0165
2024-12-29 10:00: 0.0115
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.0115
2024-12-29 14:00: 0.0115
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.0115
2024-12-29 18:00: 0.0100
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.0100
2024-12-29 22:00: 0.0100
2024-12-30 00:00: 0.0100
2024-12-30 02:00: 0.0100
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.0110
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.0110
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.0110
2024-12-30 10:00: 0.0100
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0100
2024-12-30 14:00: 0.0100
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.0105
2024-12-30 18:00: 0.0105
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.0105
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.0105
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0105
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.0110
2024-12-31 04:00: 0.0105
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.0105
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.0105
2024-12-31 10:00: 0.0105
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.0105
2024-12-31 14:00: 0.0105
2024-12-31 16:00: 0.0105
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.0105
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.0105
2024-12-31 22:00: 0.0105
2025-01-01 00:00: 0.0105
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.0095
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.0135
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.0110
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.0115
2025-01-01 10:00: 0.0100
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0130
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.0130
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.0130
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.0135
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.0130
2025-01-01 22:00: 0.0120
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.0125
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.0130
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0130
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.0130
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 148, Buy volume: 3972.25, Sell volume: 7638.23, Average price: 0.3282, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.0100
2025-01-03 01:00: 0.0100
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.0100
2025-01-03 05:00: 0.0105
2025-01-03 07:00: 0.0105
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.0100
2025-01-03 11:00: 0.0105
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.0105
2025-01-03 15:00: 0.0105
2025-01-03 17:00: 0.0105
2025-01-03 19:00: 0.0130
2025-01-03 21:00: 0.0130
2025-01-03 23:00: 0.0130
2025-01-04 01:00: 0.0130
2025-01-04 03:00: 0.0130
2025-01-04 05:00: 0.0130
2025-01-04 07:00: 0.0075
2025-01-04 09:00: 0.0075
2025-01-04 11:00: 0.0075
2025-01-04 13:00: 0.0075
2025-01-04 15:00: 0.0075
2025-01-04 17:00: 0.0075
2025-01-04 19:00: 0.0110
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.0105
2025-01-04 23:00: 0.0115
2025-01-05 01:00: 0.0105
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.0110
2025-01-05 05:00: 0.0125
2025-01-05 07:00: 0.0110
2025-01-05 09:00: 0.0100
2025-01-05 11:00: 0.0100
2025-01-05 13:00: 0.0100
2025-01-05 15:00: 0.0100
2025-01-05 17:00: 0.0100
2025-01-05 19:00: 0.0100
2025-01-05 21:00: 0.0100
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.0100
2025-01-06 01:00: 0.0105
2025-01-06 03:00: 0.0105
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.0100
2025-01-06 07:00: 0.0100
2025-01-06 09:00: 0.0100
2025-01-06 11:00: 0.0100
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.0100
2025-01-06 15:00: 0.0100
2025-01-06 17:00: 0.0100
2025-01-06 19:00: 0.0100
2025-01-06 21:00: 0.0100
2025-01-06 23:00: 0.0100
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 1409.87, Sell volume: 3662.69, Average price: 0.4722, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.0085
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.0105
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.0100
2025-01-07 22:00: 0.0095
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0095
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.0105
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.0095
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.0095
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.0100
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.0100
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.0100
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.0100
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.0100
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.0100
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0100
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.0100
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.0100
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.0100
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.0095
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.0095
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.0085
2025-01-09 10:00: 0.0085
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.0085
2025-01-09 14:00: 0.0085
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.0085
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.0085
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.0085
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.0085
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.0085
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.0085
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.0100
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.0100
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.0100
2025-01-10 10:00: 0.0100
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.0100
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.0100
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.0100
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.0100
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0100
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.0100
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.0100
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.0100
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.0100
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.0100
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.0100
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.0100
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0100
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.0100
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.0100
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1790.15, Sell volume: 390.45, Average price: 0.6525, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9924

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.0070
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.0070
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.0070
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.0070
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.0070
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.0070
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.0070
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.0070
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.0070
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.0070
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.0070
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.0050
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.0050
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.0050
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.0050
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.0050
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.0050
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.0045
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.0045
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.0040
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.0050
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.0055
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.0055
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.0030
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.0030
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.0030
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.0030
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.0030
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.0030
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.0030
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.0030
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.0030
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.0030
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.0090
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.0090
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.0090
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.0090
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0090
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.0090
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.0090
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.0090
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.0090
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.0090
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.0090
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.0090
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.0090
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 14071.09, Sell volume: 7579.47, Average price: 0.7312, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.0025
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.0025
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.0030
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.0030
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 644, Buy volume: 224648.05, Sell volume: 45129.22, Average price: 0.8082, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0800
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.9250
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.1150
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.9050
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.0950
2024-11-22 07:00: 0.9050
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.0950
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.9150
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.0850
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.9150
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.0850
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.9150
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0850
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.9150
2024-11-23 15:00: 0.0850
2024-11-23 18:00: 0.9150
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0850
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.9150
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0850
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.9150
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.0850
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.9150
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.0850
2024-11-24 22:00: 0.9150
2024-11-25 02:00: 0.0850
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.9150
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.0850
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.9150
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.0750
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 66113.20, Sell volume: 11204.25, Average price: 0.6755, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2024-11-26 07:00: 0.0160
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.9810
2024-11-26 14:00: 0.0180
2024-11-26 17:00: 0.9790
2024-11-26 21:00: 0.0240
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.9755
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.0245
2024-11-27 07:00: 0.9765
2024-11-27 11:00: 0.0245
2024-11-27 14:00: 0.9765
2024-11-27 18:00: 0.0250
2024-11-27 21:00: 0.9720
2024-11-28 01:00: 0.0280
2024-11-28 04:00: 0.9720
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.0280
2024-11-28 11:00: 0.9720
2024-11-28 15:00: 0.0280
2024-11-28 18:00: 0.9715
2024-11-28 22:00: 0.0285
2024-11-29 01:00: 0.9720
2024-11-29 05:00: 0.0285
2024-11-29 08:00: 0.9715
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.0280
2024-11-29 15:00: 0.9720
2024-11-29 19:00: 0.0285
2024-11-29 22:00: 0.9720
2024-11-30 02:00: 0.0285
2024-11-30 05:00: 0.9715
2024-11-30 09:00: 0.0285
2024-11-30 12:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3045.94, Sell volume: 2.08, Average price: 0.6132, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2024-12-01 00:00: 0.0295
2024-12-01 03:00: 0.9705
2024-12-01 07:00: 0.0295
2024-12-01 10:00: 0.9680
2024-12-01 14:00: 0.0335
2024-12-01 17:00: 0.9695
2024-12-01 21:00: 0.0295
2024-12-02 00:00: 0.9705
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.0295
2024-12-02 07:00: 0.9705
2024-12-02 11:00: 0.0295
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.9705
2024-12-02 18:00: 0.0295
2024-12-02 21:00: 0.9715
2024-12-03 01:00: 0.0300
2024-12-03 04:00: 0.9700
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.0300
2024-12-03 11:00: 0.9700
2024-12-03 15:00: 0.0300
2024-12-03 18:00: 0.9710
2024-12-03 22:00: 0.0290
2024-12-04 01:00: 0.9700
2024-12-04 05:00: 0.0285
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.9700
2024-12-04 12:00: 0.0275
2024-12-04 15:00: 0.9725
2024-12-04 19:00: 0.0290
2024-12-04 22:00: 0.9720
2024-12-05 02:00: 0.0290
2024-12-05 05:00: 0.9710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1779.19, Sell volume: 3521.94, Average price: 0.3445, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.9730
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2024-12-05 17:00: 0.0290
2024-12-05 20:00: 0.9730
2024-12-06 00:00: 0.0280
2024-12-06 03:00: 0.9720
2024-12-06 07:00: 0.0280
2024-12-06 10:00: 0.9715
2024-12-06 14:00: 0.0280
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.9720
2024-12-06 21:00: 0.0270
2024-12-07 00:00: 0.9730
2024-12-07 04:00: 0.0270
2024-12-07 07:00: 0.9730
2024-12-07 11:00: 0.0280
2024-12-07 14:00: 0.9720
2024-12-07 18:00: 0.0305
2024-12-07 21:00: 0.9695
2024-12-08 01:00: 0.0305
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.9695
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.0305
2024-12-08 11:00: 0.9695
2024-12-08 15:00: 0.0305
2024-12-08 18:00: 0.9695
2024-12-08 22:00: 0.0305
2024-12-09 01:00: 0.9695
2024-12-09 05:00: 0.0305
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.9695
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.0305
2024-12-09 15:00: 0.9705
2024-12-09 19:00: 0.0285
2024-12-09 22:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 5656.68, Sell volume: 4150.20, Average price: 0.7354, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9749
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2024-12-10 10:00: 0.0545
2024-12-10 13:00: 0.9530
2024-12-10 17:00: 0.0500
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.9645
2024-12-11 00:00: 0.0385
2024-12-11 03:00: 0.9625
2024-12-11 07:00: 0.0355
2024-12-11 10:00: 0.9470
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.0545
2024-12-11 17:00: 0.9505
2024-12-11 21:00: 0.0495
2024-12-12 00:00: 0.9655
2024-12-12 04:00: 0.0320
2024-12-12 07:00: 0.9675
2024-12-12 11:00: 0.0320
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.9775
2024-12-12 18:00: 0.0185
2024-12-12 21:00: 0.9815
2024-12-13 01:00: 0.0180
2024-12-13 04:00: 0.9815
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.0190
2024-12-13 11:00: 0.9810
2024-12-13 15:00: 0.0185
2024-12-13 18:00: 0.9810
2024-12-13 22:00: 0.0190
2024-12-14 01:00: 0.9815
2024-12-14 05:00: 0.0185
2024-12-14 08:00: 0.9815
2024-12-14 12:00: 0.0180
2024-12-14 15:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 1992.52, Sell volume: 4872.33, Average price: 0.5478, Price range: 0.0206 - 0.9831
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2024-12-15 03:00: 0.0235
2024-12-15 06:00: 0.9770
2024-12-15 10:00: 0.0215
2024-12-15 13:00: 0.9795
2024-12-15 17:00: 0.0200
2024-12-15 20:00: 0.9795
2024-12-16 00:00: 0.0175
2024-12-16 03:00: 0.9830
2024-12-16 07:00: 0.0160
2024-12-16 10:00: 0.9835
2024-12-16 14:00: 0.0160
2024-12-16 17:00: 0.9840
2024-12-16 21:00: 0.0150
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.9850
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.0155
2024-12-17 07:00: 0.9845
2024-12-17 11:00: 0.0160
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.9800
2024-12-17 18:00: 0.0190
2024-12-17 21:00: 0.9800
2024-12-18 01:00: 0.0195
2024-12-18 04:00: 0.9800
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.0195
2024-12-18 11:00: 0.9810
2024-12-18 15:00: 0.0140
2024-12-18 18:00: 0.9855
2024-12-18 22:00: 0.0145
2024-12-19 01:00: 0.9855
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.0145
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 281.94, Sell volume: 761.41, Average price: 0.6778, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.0160
2024-12-19 23:00: 0.9840
2024-12-20 03:00: 0.0160
2024-12-20 06:00: 0.9855
2024-12-20 10:00: 0.0155
2024-12-20 13:00: 0.9835
2024-12-20 17:00: 0.0140
2024-12-20 20:00: 0.9875
2024-12-21 00:00: 0.0135
2024-12-21 03:00: 0.9820
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.0160
2024-12-21 10:00: 0.9730
2024-12-21 14:00: 0.0365
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.9610
2024-12-21 21:00: 0.0335
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.9805
2024-12-22 04:00: 0.0145
2024-12-22 07:00: 0.9880
2024-12-22 11:00: 0.0130
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.9730
2024-12-22 18:00: 0.0275
2024-12-22 21:00: 0.9710
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.0505
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.9495
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.0495
2024-12-23 11:00: 0.9510
2024-12-23 15:00: 0.0235
2024-12-23 18:00: 0.9765
2024-12-23 22:00: 0.0305
2024-12-24 01:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 12383.82, Sell volume: 14646.88, Average price: 0.7941, Price range: 0.0116 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2024-12-24 13:00: 0.0230
2024-12-24 16:00: 0.9800
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.0220
2024-12-24 23:00: 0.9820
2024-12-25 03:00: 0.0140
2024-12-25 06:00: 0.9800
2024-12-25 10:00: 0.0125
2024-12-25 13:00: 0.9890
2024-12-25 17:00: 0.0120
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.9880
2024-12-26 00:00: 0.0120
2024-12-26 03:00: 0.9875
2024-12-26 07:00: 0.0120
2024-12-26 10:00: 0.9925
2024-12-26 14:00: 0.0075
2024-12-26 17:00: 0.9925
2024-12-26 21:00: 0.0075
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.9925
2024-12-27 04:00: 0.0090
2024-12-27 07:00: 0.9920
2024-12-27 11:00: 0.0090
2024-12-27 14:00: 0.9895
2024-12-27 18:00: 0.0120
2024-12-27 21:00: 0.9880
2024-12-28 01:00: 0.0115
2024-12-28 04:00: 0.9900
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.0095
2024-12-28 11:00: 0.9905
2024-12-28 15:00: 0.0145
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 166, Buy volume: 3854.61, Sell volume: 5763.18, Average price: 0.5832, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2024-12-29 06:00: 0.0105
2024-12-29 09:00: 0.9835
2024-12-29 13:00: 0.0115
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.9885
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.0100
2024-12-29 23:00: 0.9900
2024-12-30 03:00: 0.0110
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.9890
2024-12-30 10:00: 0.0100
2024-12-30 13:00: 0.9900
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.0105
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.9895
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0105
2024-12-31 03:00: 0.9895
2024-12-31 07:00: 0.0105
2024-12-31 10:00: 0.9895
2024-12-31 14:00: 0.0105
2024-12-31 17:00: 0.9895
2024-12-31 21:00: 0.0105
2025-01-01 00:00: 0.9895
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.0135
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.9870
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.0130
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.9870
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.0135
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.9905
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.0130
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.9870
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.0130
2025-01-02 11:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 148, Buy volume: 3972.25, Sell volume: 7638.23, Average price: 0.3282, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.0100
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.9900
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.0100
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.9900
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.0105
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.9900
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.0130
2025-01-03 23:00: 0.9870
2025-01-04 03:00: 0.0130
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.9860
2025-01-04 10:00: 0.0075
2025-01-04 13:00: 0.9925
2025-01-04 17:00: 0.0075
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.9880
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.0125
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.9890
2025-01-05 07:00: 0.0110
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.9900
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.0100
2025-01-05 17:00: 0.9900
2025-01-05 21:00: 0.0100
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.9895
2025-01-06 04:00: 0.0105
2025-01-06 07:00: 0.9900
2025-01-06 11:00: 0.0100
2025-01-06 14:00: 0.9900
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.0100
2025-01-06 21:00: 0.9900
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.0100
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 1409.87, Sell volume: 3662.69, Average price: 0.4722, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.0085
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.9895
2025-01-07 23:00: 0.0095
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.9895
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.0095
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.9900
2025-01-08 13:00: 0.0100
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.9900
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0100
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.9900
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.0095
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.9905
2025-01-09 10:00: 0.0085
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.9915
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.0085
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.9915
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.0085
2025-01-10 03:00: 0.9900
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.0100
2025-01-10 10:00: 0.9900
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.0100
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.9900
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.0100
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.9900
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.0100
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.9900
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.0100
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.9900
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.0100
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1790.15, Sell volume: 390.45, Average price: 0.6525, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9924
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.0070
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.9930
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.0070
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.9930
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.0070
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.9930
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.0070
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.9950
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.0050
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.9950
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.9955
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.9950
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.0030
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.9970
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.0030
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.9970
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.9970
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.0030
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.9910
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.0090
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.9910
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.0090
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.9910
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.0090
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.9910
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.0020
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 14071.09, Sell volume: 7579.47, Average price: 0.7312, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.9980
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.9975
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.0025
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.9970
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 644, Buy volume: 224648.05, Sell volume: 45129.22, Average price: 0.8082, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-11-06 17:00: 0.4900
2024-11-06 19:00: 0.3100
2024-11-06 21:00: 0.4150
2024-11-06 23:00: 0.4550
2024-11-07 01:00: 0.4300
2024-11-07 03:00: 0.4250
2024-11-07 05:00: 0.4550
2024-11-07 07:00: 0.4550
2024-11-07 09:00: 0.4750
2024-11-07 11:00: 0.7050
2024-11-07 13:00: 0.6650
2024-11-07 15:00: 0.6200
2024-11-07 17:00: 0.6750
2024-11-07 19:00: 0.6750
2024-11-07 21:00: 0.5700
2024-11-07 23:00: 0.6300
2024-11-08 01:00: 0.5250
2024-11-08 03:00: 0.5100
2024-11-08 05:00: 0.5800
2024-11-08 07:00: 0.5700
2024-11-08 09:00: 0.5250
2024-11-08 11:00: 0.5200
2024-11-08 13:00: 0.4250
2024-11-08 15:00: 0.5200
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.5350
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.4750
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.5100
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.5200
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.4900
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.5200
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.5800
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.5550
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.5550
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.5350
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.5100
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.5100
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.5050
2024-11-09 19:00: 0.5000
2024-11-09 21:00: 0.3050
2024-11-09 23:00: 0.4050
2024-11-10 01:00: 0.4250
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.4250
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.4400
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.5250
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.5850
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.4700
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.3300
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.2950
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.2450
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24981764.54, Sell volume: 26855989.02, Average price: 0.9386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-11-11 04:00: 0.3400
2024-11-11 06:00: 0.3300
2024-11-11 08:00: 0.3450
2024-11-11 10:00: 0.3400
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.3900
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.3850
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.3450
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.4350
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.4350
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.4250
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.4500
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.5500
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.5800
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.6150
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.6150
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.6400
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.5750
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.5450
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.6050
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.6150
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.6050
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.5250
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.5850
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.6000
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.6350
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.6350
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.6150
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.5750
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.8200
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.9865
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.9785
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9780
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9825
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9815
2024-11-14 00:00: 0.9785
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.9760
2024-11-14 04:00: 0.9755
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.9750
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.9770
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.9775
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.9795
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.9750
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.9760
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.9760
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.9750
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.9740
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.9775
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.9775
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.9780
2024-11-15 06:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24981764.54, Sell volume: 26855989.02, Average price: 0.9386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.9735
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.9740
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.9695
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.9695
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.9695
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.9720
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.9710
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.9710
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.9685
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.9685
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.9690
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.9740
2024-11-16 15:00: 0.9700
2024-11-16 17:00: 0.9760
2024-11-16 19:00: 0.9760
2024-11-16 21:00: 0.9760
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.9765
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.9725
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.9725
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.9730
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.9730
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.9725
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.9730
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.9730
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.9685
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.9715
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.9715
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.9715
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.9720
2024-11-18 01:00: 0.9720
2024-11-18 03:00: 0.9720
2024-11-18 05:00: 0.9755
2024-11-18 07:00: 0.9765
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.9720
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.9720
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.9715
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.9705
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.9705
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.9680
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.9675
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.9685
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.9685
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.9685
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.9685
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.9685
2024-11-19 09:00: 0.9685
2024-11-19 11:00: 0.9690
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.9665
2024-11-19 15:00: 0.9690
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24981764.54, Sell volume: 26855989.02, Average price: 0.9386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.9690
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.9695
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.9685
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.9690
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.9690
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.9760
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.9760
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.9760
2024-11-20 18:00: 0.9760
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.9760
2024-11-20 22:00: 0.9715
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.9715
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.9700
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.9700
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.9715
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.9680
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.9715
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.9705
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.9655
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.9665
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.9680
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.9690
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.9690
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.9690
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.9690
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.9730
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.9730
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.9730
2024-11-22 10:00: 0.9715
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.9715
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.9715
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.9715
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.9715
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.9705
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.9705
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.9705
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.9705
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.9705
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.9705
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.9705
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.9705
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.9705
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.9685
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.9685
2024-11-23 18:00: 0.9685
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.9690
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.9700
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.9690
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.9700
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24981764.54, Sell volume: 26855989.02, Average price: 0.9386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.9660
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.9695
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.9685
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.9680
2024-11-24 21:00: 0.9665
2024-11-24 23:00: 0.9650
2024-11-25 01:00: 0.9650
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.9650
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.9655
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.9655
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.9655
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.9655
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.9640
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.9650
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.9675
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.9665
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.9660
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.9680
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.9635
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.9700
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.9695
2024-11-26 07:00: 0.9695
2024-11-26 09:00: 0.9695
2024-11-26 11:00: 0.9695
2024-11-26 13:00: 0.9695
2024-11-26 15:00: 0.9700
2024-11-26 17:00: 0.9700
2024-11-26 19:00: 0.9700
2024-11-26 21:00: 0.9705
2024-11-26 23:00: 0.9705
2024-11-27 01:00: 0.9705
2024-11-27 03:00: 0.9705
2024-11-27 05:00: 0.9705
2024-11-27 07:00: 0.9705
2024-11-27 09:00: 0.9700
2024-11-27 11:00: 0.9700
2024-11-27 13:00: 0.9700
2024-11-27 15:00: 0.9690
2024-11-27 17:00: 0.9690
2024-11-27 19:00: 0.9690
2024-11-27 21:00: 0.9690
2024-11-27 23:00: 0.9690
2024-11-28 01:00: 0.9690
2024-11-28 03:00: 0.9690
2024-11-28 05:00: 0.9690
2024-11-28 07:00: 0.9690
2024-11-28 09:00: 0.9690
2024-11-28 11:00: 0.9690
2024-11-28 13:00: 0.9690
2024-11-28 15:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24981764.54, Sell volume: 26855989.02, Average price: 0.9386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-11-29 00:00: 0.9690
2024-11-29 02:00: 0.9690
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.9690
2024-11-29 06:00: 0.9690
2024-11-29 08:00: 0.9690
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.9690
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.9690
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.9690
2024-11-29 16:00: 0.9690
2024-11-29 18:00: 0.9690
2024-11-29 20:00: 0.9690
2024-11-29 22:00: 0.9690
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.9665
2024-11-30 02:00: 0.9670
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.9665
2024-11-30 06:00: 0.9660
2024-11-30 08:00: 0.9660
2024-11-30 10:00: 0.9660
2024-11-30 12:00: 0.9665
2024-11-30 14:00: 0.9665
2024-11-30 16:00: 0.9665
2024-11-30 18:00: 0.9665
2024-11-30 20:00: 0.9665
2024-11-30 22:00: 0.9665
2024-12-01 00:00: 0.9665
2024-12-01 02:00: 0.9665
2024-12-01 04:00: 0.9665
2024-12-01 06:00: 0.9665
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.9665
2024-12-01 10:00: 0.9665
2024-12-01 12:00: 0.9665
2024-12-01 14:00: 0.9665
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.9665
2024-12-01 18:00: 0.9665
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.9665
2024-12-01 22:00: 0.9655
2024-12-02 00:00: 0.9655
2024-12-02 02:00: 0.9655
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.9650
2024-12-02 06:00: 0.9655
2024-12-02 08:00: 0.9650
2024-12-02 10:00: 0.9650
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.9650
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.9650
2024-12-02 16:00: 0.9650
2024-12-02 18:00: 0.9650
2024-12-02 20:00: 0.9650
2024-12-02 22:00: 0.9650
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.9650
2024-12-03 02:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24981764.54, Sell volume: 26855989.02, Average price: 0.9386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-12-03 11:00: 0.9650
2024-12-03 13:00: 0.9635
2024-12-03 15:00: 0.9630
2024-12-03 17:00: 0.9645
2024-12-03 19:00: 0.9650
2024-12-03 21:00: 0.9650
2024-12-03 23:00: 0.9645
2024-12-04 01:00: 0.9645
2024-12-04 03:00: 0.9650
2024-12-04 05:00: 0.9660
2024-12-04 07:00: 0.9660
2024-12-04 09:00: 0.9660
2024-12-04 11:00: 0.9660
2024-12-04 13:00: 0.9660
2024-12-04 15:00: 0.9660
2024-12-04 17:00: 0.9660
2024-12-04 19:00: 0.9660
2024-12-04 21:00: 0.9660
2024-12-04 23:00: 0.9660
2024-12-05 01:00: 0.9660
2024-12-05 03:00: 0.9655
2024-12-05 05:00: 0.9655
2024-12-05 07:00: 0.9655
2024-12-05 09:00: 0.9670
2024-12-05 11:00: 0.9665
2024-12-05 13:00: 0.9655
2024-12-05 15:00: 0.9655
2024-12-05 17:00: 0.9655
2024-12-05 19:00: 0.9655
2024-12-05 21:00: 0.9685
2024-12-05 23:00: 0.9685
2024-12-06 01:00: 0.9685
2024-12-06 03:00: 0.9675
2024-12-06 05:00: 0.9670
2024-12-06 07:00: 0.9665
2024-12-06 09:00: 0.9665
2024-12-06 11:00: 0.9670
2024-12-06 13:00: 0.9665
2024-12-06 15:00: 0.9670
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.9670
2024-12-06 19:00: 0.9670
2024-12-06 21:00: 0.9670
2024-12-06 23:00: 0.9670
2024-12-07 01:00: 0.9670
2024-12-07 03:00: 0.9670
2024-12-07 05:00: 0.9670
2024-12-07 07:00: 0.9670
2024-12-07 09:00: 0.9670
2024-12-07 11:00: 0.9670
2024-12-07 13:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24981764.54, Sell volume: 26855989.02, Average price: 0.9386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-12-07 22:00: 0.9670
2024-12-08 00:00: 0.9660
2024-12-08 02:00: 0.9670
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.9670
2024-12-08 06:00: 0.9665
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.9670
2024-12-08 10:00: 0.9670
2024-12-08 12:00: 0.9665
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.9675
2024-12-08 16:00: 0.9700
2024-12-08 18:00: 0.9700
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.9700
2024-12-08 22:00: 0.9700
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.9700
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.9660
2024-12-09 04:00: 0.9655
2024-12-09 06:00: 0.9675
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.9675
2024-12-09 10:00: 0.9675
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.9705
2024-12-09 14:00: 0.9705
2024-12-09 16:00: 0.9695
2024-12-09 18:00: 0.9685
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.9695
2024-12-09 22:00: 0.9695
2024-12-10 00:00: 0.9695
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.9695
2024-12-10 04:00: 0.9690
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.9690
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.9700
2024-12-10 10:00: 0.9700
2024-12-10 12:00: 0.9700
2024-12-10 14:00: 0.9700
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.9700
2024-12-10 18:00: 0.9700
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.9700
2024-12-10 22:00: 0.9695
2024-12-11 00:00: 0.9695
2024-12-11 02:00: 0.9695
2024-12-11 04:00: 0.9695
2024-12-11 06:00: 0.9695
2024-12-11 08:00: 0.9695
2024-12-11 10:00: 0.9695
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.9710
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.9710
2024-12-11 16:00: 0.9710
2024-12-11 18:00: 0.9710
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.9710
2024-12-11 22:00: 0.9695
2024-12-12 00:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24981764.54, Sell volume: 26855989.02, Average price: 0.9386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-12-12 09:00: 0.9660
2024-12-12 11:00: 0.9660
2024-12-12 13:00: 0.9680
2024-12-12 15:00: 0.9660
2024-12-12 17:00: 0.9650
2024-12-12 19:00: 0.9670
2024-12-12 21:00: 0.9670
2024-12-12 23:00: 0.9675
2024-12-13 01:00: 0.9730
2024-12-13 03:00: 0.9730
2024-12-13 05:00: 0.9755
2024-12-13 07:00: 0.9690
2024-12-13 09:00: 0.9740
2024-12-13 11:00: 0.9745
2024-12-13 13:00: 0.9755
2024-12-13 15:00: 0.9745
2024-12-13 17:00: 0.9745
2024-12-13 19:00: 0.9745
2024-12-13 21:00: 0.9740
2024-12-13 23:00: 0.9740
2024-12-14 01:00: 0.9740
2024-12-14 03:00: 0.9740
2024-12-14 05:00: 0.9740
2024-12-14 07:00: 0.9725
2024-12-14 09:00: 0.9710
2024-12-14 11:00: 0.9715
2024-12-14 13:00: 0.9705
2024-12-14 15:00: 0.9715
2024-12-14 17:00: 0.9715
2024-12-14 19:00: 0.9710
2024-12-14 21:00: 0.9710
2024-12-14 23:00: 0.9710
2024-12-15 01:00: 0.9710
2024-12-15 03:00: 0.9710
2024-12-15 05:00: 0.9710
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.9710
2024-12-15 09:00: 0.9710
2024-12-15 11:00: 0.9740
2024-12-15 13:00: 0.9745
2024-12-15 15:00: 0.9740
2024-12-15 17:00: 0.9740
2024-12-15 19:00: 0.9740
2024-12-15 21:00: 0.9750
2024-12-15 23:00: 0.9745
2024-12-16 01:00: 0.9690
2024-12-16 03:00: 0.9690
2024-12-16 05:00: 0.9690
2024-12-16 07:00: 0.9690
2024-12-16 09:00: 0.9690
2024-12-16 11:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24981764.54, Sell volume: 26855989.02, Average price: 0.9386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.9755
2024-12-16 22:00: 0.9755
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.9745
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.9755
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.9750
2024-12-17 06:00: 0.9750
2024-12-17 08:00: 0.9750
2024-12-17 10:00: 0.9755
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.9755
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.9755
2024-12-17 16:00: 0.9755
2024-12-17 18:00: 0.9755
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.9755
2024-12-17 22:00: 0.9755
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.9755
2024-12-18 02:00: 0.9755
2024-12-18 04:00: 0.9755
2024-12-18 06:00: 0.9755
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.9745
2024-12-18 10:00: 0.9785
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.9785
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.9785
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.9825
2024-12-18 18:00: 0.9810
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.9810
2024-12-18 22:00: 0.9810
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.9810
2024-12-19 02:00: 0.9810
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.9810
2024-12-19 06:00: 0.9785
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.9765
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.9815
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.9815
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.9815
2024-12-19 16:00: 0.9815
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.9815
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.9815
2024-12-19 22:00: 0.9845
2024-12-20 00:00: 0.9855
2024-12-20 02:00: 0.9855
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.9835
2024-12-20 06:00: 0.9815
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.9815
2024-12-20 10:00: 0.9850
2024-12-20 12:00: 0.9805
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.9795
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.9810
2024-12-20 18:00: 0.9800
2024-12-20 20:00: 0.9815
2024-12-20 22:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67932, Buy volume: 3239841.87, Sell volume: 635224.14, Average price: 0.9540, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9850

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.9780
2024-12-21 09:00: 0.9780
2024-12-21 11:00: 0.9675
2024-12-21 13:00: 0.9680
2024-12-21 15:00: 0.9685
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.9685
2024-12-21 19:00: 0.9720
2024-12-21 21:00: 0.9720
2024-12-21 23:00: 0.9740
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.9725
2024-12-22 03:00: 0.9790
2024-12-22 05:00: 0.9785
2024-12-22 07:00: 0.9740
2024-12-22 09:00: 0.9730
2024-12-22 11:00: 0.9730
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.9750
2024-12-22 15:00: 0.9740
2024-12-22 17:00: 0.9750
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.9710
2024-12-22 21:00: 0.9700
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.9700
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.9710
2024-12-23 03:00: 0.9735
2024-12-23 05:00: 0.9740
2024-12-23 07:00: 0.9730
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.9710
2024-12-23 11:00: 0.9720
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.9740
2024-12-23 15:00: 0.9740
2024-12-23 17:00: 0.9750
2024-12-23 19:00: 0.9750
2024-12-23 21:00: 0.9745
2024-12-23 23:00: 0.9760
2024-12-24 01:00: 0.9760
2024-12-24 03:00: 0.9760
2024-12-24 05:00: 0.9765
2024-12-24 07:00: 0.9765
2024-12-24 09:00: 0.9765
2024-12-24 11:00: 0.9775
2024-12-24 13:00: 0.9795
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.9825
2024-12-24 17:00: 0.9825
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.9810
2024-12-24 21:00: 0.9810
2024-12-24 23:00: 0.9830
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.9815
2024-12-25 03:00: 0.9815
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.9820
2024-12-25 07:00: 0.9800
2024-12-25 09:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 551448, Buy volume: 17012621.28, Sell volume: 22735022.22, Average price: 0.9363, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9860

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.9830
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.9820
2024-12-25 22:00: 0.9830
2024-12-26 00:00: 0.9835
2024-12-26 02:00: 0.9845
2024-12-26 04:00: 0.9835
2024-12-26 06:00: 0.9835
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.9835
2024-12-26 10:00: 0.9835
2024-12-26 12:00: 0.9865
2024-12-26 14:00: 0.9840
2024-12-26 16:00: 0.9840
2024-12-26 18:00: 0.9855
2024-12-26 20:00: 0.9855
2024-12-26 22:00: 0.9840
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.9845
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.9840
2024-12-27 04:00: 0.9835
2024-12-27 06:00: 0.9845
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.9840
2024-12-27 10:00: 0.9835
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.9840
2024-12-27 14:00: 0.9840
2024-12-27 16:00: 0.9875
2024-12-27 18:00: 0.9880
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.9870
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.9875
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.9855
2024-12-28 02:00: 0.9865
2024-12-28 04:00: 0.9855
2024-12-28 06:00: 0.9825
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.9840
2024-12-28 10:00: 0.9840
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.9830
2024-12-28 14:00: 0.9850
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.9855
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.9865
2024-12-28 20:00: 0.9875
2024-12-28 22:00: 0.9880
2024-12-29 00:00: 0.9885
2024-12-29 02:00: 0.9885
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.9865
2024-12-29 06:00: 0.9860
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.9855
2024-12-29 10:00: 0.9860
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.9865
2024-12-29 14:00: 0.9865
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.9865
2024-12-29 18:00: 0.9870
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 380152, Buy volume: 4654972.86, Sell volume: 3473707.99, Average price: 0.9392, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9906

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-12-30 05:00: 0.9875
2024-12-30 07:00: 0.9870
2024-12-30 09:00: 0.9870
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.9865
2024-12-30 13:00: 0.9865
2024-12-30 15:00: 0.9870
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.9865
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.9870
2024-12-30 21:00: 0.9880
2024-12-30 23:00: 0.9865
2024-12-31 01:00: 0.9865
2024-12-31 03:00: 0.9875
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.9875
2024-12-31 07:00: 0.9875
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.9870
2024-12-31 11:00: 0.9875
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.9875
2024-12-31 15:00: 0.9875
2024-12-31 17:00: 0.9875
2024-12-31 19:00: 0.9875
2024-12-31 21:00: 0.9880
2024-12-31 23:00: 0.9875
2025-01-01 01:00: 0.9875
2025-01-01 03:00: 0.9880
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.9880
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.9890
2025-01-01 09:00: 0.9895
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.9890
2025-01-01 13:00: 0.9890
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.9890
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.9890
2025-01-01 19:00: 0.9905
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.9910
2025-01-01 23:00: 0.9910
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.9915
2025-01-02 03:00: 0.9920
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.9920
2025-01-02 07:00: 0.9900
2025-01-02 09:00: 0.9900
2025-01-02 11:00: 0.9930
2025-01-02 13:00: 0.9925
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.9920
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.9920
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.9945
2025-01-02 21:00: 0.9945
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.9945
2025-01-03 01:00: 0.9950
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.9955
2025-01-03 05:00: 0.9955
2025-01-03 07:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 458, Buy volume: 28103.47, Sell volume: 9463.44, Average price: 0.8922, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9989

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-11-06 17:00: 0.4900
2024-11-06 20:00: 0.5950
2024-11-07 00:00: 0.4300
2024-11-07 03:00: 0.5750
2024-11-07 07:00: 0.4550
2024-11-07 10:00: 0.5250
2024-11-07 14:00: 0.6450
2024-11-07 17:00: 0.3250
2024-11-07 21:00: 0.5700
2024-11-08 00:00: 0.3850
2024-11-08 04:00: 0.6050
2024-11-08 07:00: 0.4300
2024-11-08 11:00: 0.5200
2024-11-08 14:00: 0.4900
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.5300
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.4900
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.4900
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.4600
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.5550
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.4650
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.5100
2024-11-09 18:00: 0.5100
2024-11-09 22:00: 0.3800
2024-11-10 01:00: 0.5750
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.4400
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.3500
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.4700
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.7050
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.2300
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24981764.54, Sell volume: 26855989.02, Average price: 0.9386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-11-11 04:00: 0.3400
2024-11-11 07:00: 0.6650
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.4100
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.6150
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.4350
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.5550
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.5250
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.4200
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.6150
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.4000
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.5450
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.3850
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.5250
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.4200
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.6400
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.3850
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.8200
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.0190
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9805
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0185
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.9760
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.0220
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.9770
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.0205
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.9760
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.0245
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.9740
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.0225
2024-11-15 06:00: 0.9785
2024-11-15 09:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24981764.54, Sell volume: 26855989.02, Average price: 0.9386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.9735
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.0275
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.9695
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0280
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.9710
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.0315
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.9720
2024-11-16 15:00: 0.0300
2024-11-16 19:00: 0.9760
2024-11-16 22:00: 0.0240
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.9710
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.0270
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.9725
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.0260
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.9715
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.0285
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.9720
2024-11-18 02:00: 0.0280
2024-11-18 06:00: 0.9740
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.0280
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.9715
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.0295
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.9690
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.0315
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.9685
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.0315
2024-11-19 10:00: 0.9690
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.0335
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.9690
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.0310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24981764.54, Sell volume: 26855989.02, Average price: 0.9386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.9690
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.0310
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.9695
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.0240
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.9760
2024-11-20 19:00: 0.0240
2024-11-20 23:00: 0.9715
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.0300
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.9715
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.0320
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.9665
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.0335
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.9690
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.0310
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.9720
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.0270
2024-11-22 10:00: 0.9715
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.0285
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.9715
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0295
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.9705
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.0295
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.9705
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.0295
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.9685
2024-11-23 17:00: 0.0315
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.9700
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0310
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.9660
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24981764.54, Sell volume: 26855989.02, Average price: 0.9386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.9660
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.0335
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.9665
2024-11-24 23:00: 0.0350
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.9650
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.0345
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.9655
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.0360
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.9675
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.0360
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.9680
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.0300
2024-11-26 07:00: 0.9695
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.0305
2024-11-26 14:00: 0.9700
2024-11-26 17:00: 0.0300
2024-11-26 21:00: 0.9705
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.0295
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.9705
2024-11-27 07:00: 0.0295
2024-11-27 11:00: 0.9700
2024-11-27 14:00: 0.0310
2024-11-27 18:00: 0.9690
2024-11-27 21:00: 0.0310
2024-11-28 01:00: 0.9690
2024-11-28 04:00: 0.0310
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.9690
2024-11-28 11:00: 0.0310
2024-11-28 15:00: 0.9690
2024-11-28 18:00: 0.0310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24981764.54, Sell volume: 26855989.02, Average price: 0.9386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-11-29 00:00: 0.9690
2024-11-29 03:00: 0.0310
2024-11-29 07:00: 0.9690
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.0310
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.9690
2024-11-29 17:00: 0.0310
2024-11-29 21:00: 0.9690
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.0335
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.9665
2024-11-30 07:00: 0.0340
2024-11-30 11:00: 0.9660
2024-11-30 14:00: 0.0335
2024-11-30 18:00: 0.9665
2024-11-30 21:00: 0.0335
2024-12-01 01:00: 0.9665
2024-12-01 04:00: 0.0335
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.9665
2024-12-01 11:00: 0.0335
2024-12-01 15:00: 0.9665
2024-12-01 18:00: 0.0335
2024-12-01 22:00: 0.9655
2024-12-02 01:00: 0.0345
2024-12-02 05:00: 0.9655
2024-12-02 08:00: 0.0350
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.9650
2024-12-02 15:00: 0.0350
2024-12-02 19:00: 0.9650
2024-12-02 22:00: 0.0350
2024-12-03 02:00: 0.9650
2024-12-03 05:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24981764.54, Sell volume: 26855989.02, Average price: 0.9386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-12-03 11:00: 0.9650
2024-12-03 14:00: 0.0360
2024-12-03 18:00: 0.9645
2024-12-03 21:00: 0.0350
2024-12-04 01:00: 0.9645
2024-12-04 04:00: 0.0340
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.9660
2024-12-04 11:00: 0.0340
2024-12-04 15:00: 0.9660
2024-12-04 18:00: 0.0340
2024-12-04 22:00: 0.9660
2024-12-05 01:00: 0.0340
2024-12-05 05:00: 0.9655
2024-12-05 08:00: 0.0335
2024-12-05 12:00: 0.9670
2024-12-05 15:00: 0.0345
2024-12-05 19:00: 0.9655
2024-12-05 22:00: 0.0315
2024-12-06 02:00: 0.9685
2024-12-06 05:00: 0.0330
2024-12-06 09:00: 0.9665
2024-12-06 12:00: 0.0335
2024-12-06 16:00: 0.9665
2024-12-06 19:00: 0.0330
2024-12-06 23:00: 0.9670
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.0330
2024-12-07 06:00: 0.9670
2024-12-07 09:00: 0.0330
2024-12-07 13:00: 0.9670
2024-12-07 16:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24981764.54, Sell volume: 26855989.02, Average price: 0.9386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-12-07 22:00: 0.9670
2024-12-08 01:00: 0.0335
2024-12-08 05:00: 0.9665
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.0330
2024-12-08 12:00: 0.9665
2024-12-08 15:00: 0.0325
2024-12-08 19:00: 0.9700
2024-12-08 22:00: 0.0300
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.9660
2024-12-09 05:00: 0.0325
2024-12-09 09:00: 0.9675
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.0295
2024-12-09 16:00: 0.9695
2024-12-09 19:00: 0.0315
2024-12-09 23:00: 0.9695
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.0305
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.9690
2024-12-10 09:00: 0.0300
2024-12-10 13:00: 0.9700
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.0300
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.9700
2024-12-10 23:00: 0.0305
2024-12-11 03:00: 0.9695
2024-12-11 06:00: 0.0305
2024-12-11 10:00: 0.9695
2024-12-11 13:00: 0.0290
2024-12-11 17:00: 0.9710
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.0290
2024-12-12 00:00: 0.9690
2024-12-12 03:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24981764.54, Sell volume: 26855989.02, Average price: 0.9386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-12-12 09:00: 0.9660
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.0305
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.9660
2024-12-12 19:00: 0.0330
2024-12-12 23:00: 0.9675
2024-12-13 02:00: 0.0260
2024-12-13 06:00: 0.9755
2024-12-13 09:00: 0.0260
2024-12-13 13:00: 0.9755
2024-12-13 16:00: 0.0255
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.9740
2024-12-13 23:00: 0.0260
2024-12-14 03:00: 0.9740
2024-12-14 06:00: 0.0275
2024-12-14 10:00: 0.9715
2024-12-14 13:00: 0.0295
2024-12-14 17:00: 0.9715
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.0290
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.9710
2024-12-15 03:00: 0.0290
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.9710
2024-12-15 10:00: 0.0310
2024-12-15 14:00: 0.9735
2024-12-15 17:00: 0.0260
2024-12-15 21:00: 0.9750
2024-12-16 00:00: 0.0310
2024-12-16 04:00: 0.9730
2024-12-16 07:00: 0.0310
2024-12-16 11:00: 0.9755
2024-12-16 14:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24981764.54, Sell volume: 26855989.02, Average price: 0.9386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.9755
2024-12-16 23:00: 0.0255
2024-12-17 03:00: 0.9750
2024-12-17 06:00: 0.0250
2024-12-17 10:00: 0.9755
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.0245
2024-12-17 17:00: 0.9755
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.0245
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.9755
2024-12-18 03:00: 0.0245
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.9755
2024-12-18 10:00: 0.0215
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.9785
2024-12-18 17:00: 0.0210
2024-12-18 21:00: 0.9810
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.0190
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.9810
2024-12-19 07:00: 0.0235
2024-12-19 11:00: 0.9815
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.0185
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.9815
2024-12-19 21:00: 0.0185
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.9855
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.0165
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.9815
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.0145
2024-12-20 15:00: 0.9795
2024-12-20 18:00: 0.0200
2024-12-20 22:00: 0.9835
2024-12-21 01:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67932, Buy volume: 3239841.87, Sell volume: 635224.14, Average price: 0.9540, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.9780
2024-12-21 10:00: 0.0330
2024-12-21 14:00: 0.9685
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.0315
2024-12-21 21:00: 0.9720
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.0260
2024-12-22 04:00: 0.9790
2024-12-22 07:00: 0.0260
2024-12-22 11:00: 0.9730
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.0250
2024-12-22 18:00: 0.9740
2024-12-22 21:00: 0.0300
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.9710
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.0255
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.9705
2024-12-23 11:00: 0.0280
2024-12-23 15:00: 0.9740
2024-12-23 18:00: 0.0250
2024-12-23 22:00: 0.9755
2024-12-24 01:00: 0.0240
2024-12-24 05:00: 0.9765
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.0235
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.9800
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.0175
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.9810
2024-12-24 22:00: 0.0160
2024-12-25 02:00: 0.9815
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.0180
2024-12-25 09:00: 0.9785
2024-12-25 12:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 551448, Buy volume: 17012621.28, Sell volume: 22735022.22, Average price: 0.9363, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.9830
2024-12-25 21:00: 0.0170
2024-12-26 01:00: 0.9845
2024-12-26 04:00: 0.0165
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.9835
2024-12-26 11:00: 0.0165
2024-12-26 15:00: 0.9855
2024-12-26 18:00: 0.0145
2024-12-26 22:00: 0.9840
2024-12-27 01:00: 0.0160
2024-12-27 05:00: 0.9835
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.0160
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.9840
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.0135
2024-12-27 19:00: 0.9880
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.0125
2024-12-28 02:00: 0.9865
2024-12-28 05:00: 0.0150
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.9845
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.0170
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.9855
2024-12-28 19:00: 0.0130
2024-12-28 23:00: 0.9870
2024-12-29 02:00: 0.0115
2024-12-29 06:00: 0.9860
2024-12-29 09:00: 0.0140
2024-12-29 13:00: 0.9865
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.0135
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.9875
2024-12-29 23:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 380152, Buy volume: 4654972.86, Sell volume: 3473707.99, Average price: 0.9392, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9906
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512213
Question: Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 829319.258317001
Price History:
2024-12-30 05:00: 0.9875
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.0130
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.9870
2024-12-30 15:00: 0.0130
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.9870
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.0135
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.9865
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.0125
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.9870
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.0120
2024-12-31 16:00: 0.9875
2024-12-31 19:00: 0.0125
2024-12-31 23:00: 0.9875
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.0120
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.9885
2025-01-01 09:00: 0.0105
2025-01-01 13:00: 0.9890
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.0110
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.9910
2025-01-01 23:00: 0.0090
2025-01-02 03:00: 0.9920
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.0085
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.9915
2025-01-02 13:00: 0.0075
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.9920
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.0055
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.9945
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.0045
2025-01-03 07:00: 0.9955
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 458, Buy volume: 28103.47, Sell volume: 9463.44, Average price: 0.8922, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9989
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.4900
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.9550
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0450
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.9550
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.0450
2024-12-31 19:00: 0.9550
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.0450
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.9550
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.0450
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.9550
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0355
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.9745
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.0250
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.9790
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.0265
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.9790
2025-01-03 19:00: 0.0210
2025-01-04 01:00: 0.9790
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.0210
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.9790
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.0215
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.9785
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.0225
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.9775
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.0150
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.9870
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0105
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.9895
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.0095
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.9900
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.0095
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.9900
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.0105
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.9885
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.0125
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.9875
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.0125
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.9875
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.0120
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.9875
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.0125
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.9875
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0125
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.9875
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.0115
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.9870
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0130
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.9870
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.0180
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 786029707.52, Sell volume: 33999222.94, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.9870
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.0135
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.9865
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.0135
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.9865
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.0130
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.9870
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.0150
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.9850
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.0150
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.9850
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.0150
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.9850
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.0150
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.9850
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.0150
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.9850
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0150
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.9850
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.0155
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.9845
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0150
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.9845
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.0155
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.9855
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.0150
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.9855
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.0140
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.9865
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0120
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.9865
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.0125
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.9875
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.0180
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.9820
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.0180
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.9820
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.0180
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.9820
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.0180
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9820
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.0190
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9810
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.0195
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.9800
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.0200
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.9800
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.0200
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.9690
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.0310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 786029707.52, Sell volume: 33999222.94, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.0320
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.9680
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.0355
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.9680
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.0320
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.9680
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.0320
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.9680
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0320
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.9680
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.0320
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.9680
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0270
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.9730
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0275
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.9725
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0290
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.9710
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0290
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.9710
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.0290
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.9710
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0290
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.9700
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0275
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.9725
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0275
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.9725
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.0210
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.9795
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0245
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.9755
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.0275
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9725
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0275
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.9780
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0220
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.9775
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0195
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.9725
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0275
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.9775
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0275
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9725
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0275
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.9725
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0250
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9775
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0110
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 786029707.52, Sell volume: 33999222.94, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9900
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0070
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9915
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0090
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9900
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0230
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.9785
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0170
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.9845
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0165
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9835
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0170
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.9850
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0115
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.9675
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.0280
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.9725
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0310
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.9680
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0315
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.9705
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0290
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.9725
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0280
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9740
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0310
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.9710
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0270
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.9750
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0255
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.9750
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0255
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.9745
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.0250
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.9750
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0245
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.9750
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0255
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9745
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0250
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.9750
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0250
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.9755
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.0250
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.9745
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.0255
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.9745
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.0270
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.9725
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 786029707.52, Sell volume: 33999222.94, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.0280
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.9725
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.0280
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.9725
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.0275
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.9710
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.0305
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.9685
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.0320
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.9655
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0250
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.9770
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.0235
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.9745
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.0270
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.9740
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0265
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.9735
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.0265
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.9735
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.0265
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.9735
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0260
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.9735
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.0265
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9730
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0255
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.9740
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0255
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9735
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0250
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.9735
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0340
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9670
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0335
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.9655
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0235
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.9675
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0290
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9655
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0340
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.9675
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0320
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9680
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0245
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9725
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0290
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.9750
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0250
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 786029707.52, Sell volume: 33999222.94, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.9765
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0350
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.9640
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0310
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.9700
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0325
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.9675
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.0330
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9670
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.0330
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.9665
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.0345
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.9655
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.0365
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.9625
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.0365
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.9465
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0550
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.9455
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.0490
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.9510
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.0405
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.9530
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.0420
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.9580
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.0310
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9695
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.0310
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.9595
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.0370
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.9670
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.0295
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.9670
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.0400
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.9595
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.0370
2025-03-18 06:00: 0.9630
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.0310
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.9700
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.0305
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.9705
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0325
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.9675
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.0295
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.9690
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.0300
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.9685
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.0320
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.9715
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 786029707.52, Sell volume: 33999222.94, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0335
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.9665
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.0335
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.9665
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.0355
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.9640
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0360
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.9650
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.0360
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.9640
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.0355
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.9645
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.0350
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.9645
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.0360
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.9665
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.0275
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.9820
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0185
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.9815
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0185
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.9840
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.0150
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.9845
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.0175
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.9855
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.0150
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9845
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.0160
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.9845
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.0150
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.9825
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.0170
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.9845
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.0150
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.9840
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.0145
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.9855
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.0145
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.9855
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.0145
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.9855
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0145
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.9855
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.0155
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.9820
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.0205
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9790
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.0225
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 786029707.52, Sell volume: 33999222.94, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.9780
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0195
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.9780
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.0165
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.9825
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.0250
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.9760
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.0240
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.9740
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.0260
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.9750
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.0265
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.9740
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.0195
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.9735
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.0275
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.9750
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0285
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.9730
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.0300
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.9725
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0290
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.9720
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.9730
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0295
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9705
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9730
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0295
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.9715
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0275
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.9720
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0285
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.9720
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0285
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.9735
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.0285
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.9730
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0280
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9720
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0250
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.9755
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9755
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0200
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9760
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0220
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9825
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 786029707.52, Sell volume: 33999222.94, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0085
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9885
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0125
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9885
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0105
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.9900
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0085
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9905
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0110
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9865
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0125
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0115
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9875
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9835
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0150
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9890
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0105
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9900
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0100
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9920
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0100
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9920
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9925
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9955
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 786029707.52, Sell volume: 33999222.94, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9965
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0035
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9965
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9965
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0070
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9930
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0115
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9865
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0090
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9900
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0110
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9905
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0090
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9910
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0090
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9915
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9945
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0065
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.9940
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0065
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.9955
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0070
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.9960
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.0065
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.9940
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.0055
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.9945
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.0055
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.9945
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0055
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.9940
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.0065
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.9930
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.0060
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.9950
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.0050
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.9950
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0055
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.9945
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.0055
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.9945
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.9965
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 587412, Buy volume: 731349375.30, Sell volume: 17883898.20, Average price: 0.2012, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.0035
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.9965
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0030
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.9970
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 412404, Buy volume: 54571150.90, Sell volume: 16086010.75, Average price: 0.9499, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9990
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0010
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9990
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 152, Buy volume: 66971.32, Sell volume: 28984.21, Average price: 0.8805, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 42210.00, Sell volume: 329.78, Average price: 0.0946, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.4900
2024-12-30 21:00: 0.9500
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.0450
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.9550
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.0450
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.9550
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.0350
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.9750
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.0210
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.9775
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.0210
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.9790
2025-01-04 17:00: 0.0215
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.9785
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.0225
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.9860
2025-01-06 11:00: 0.0120
2025-01-06 21:00: 0.9895
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.0105
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.9900
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.0105
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.9875
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.0125
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.9885
2025-01-09 23:00: 0.0125
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.9885
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0125
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.9875
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.0130
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 786029707.52, Sell volume: 33999222.94, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.9870
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.0135
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.9865
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.0130
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.9855
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.0150
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.9850
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.0150
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.9850
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0150
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.9850
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.0150
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.9845
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0150
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.9845
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.0150
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.9855
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.0120
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.9880
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.0115
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.9885
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.0180
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.9820
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.0180
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.9820
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.0180
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9810
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.0200
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.9800
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 786029707.52, Sell volume: 33999222.94, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.0320
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.9680
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.0320
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.9655
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.0320
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.9680
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0320
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.9730
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0270
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.9725
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0290
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.9710
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0290
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.9710
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.0300
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.9725
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0275
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.9790
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.0270
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.9755
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0275
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9725
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0205
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.9805
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0275
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.9725
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0275
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.9725
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.0275
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 786029707.52, Sell volume: 33999222.94, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9900
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0080
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.9910
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0200
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.9790
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0170
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.9830
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0155
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.9865
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.0275
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.9675
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0310
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9695
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0290
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9720
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0280
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.9710
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0270
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.9745
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0250
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.9745
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.0250
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.9750
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0255
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.9745
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0250
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.9755
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.0255
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.9750
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 786029707.52, Sell volume: 33999222.94, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.0280
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.9725
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.0240
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.9710
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.0325
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.9680
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0290
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.9770
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.0255
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.9735
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.0260
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.9735
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0265
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.9735
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0265
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.9735
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0260
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9740
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0265
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9745
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0345
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.9675
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0260
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.9675
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0330
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.9660
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0320
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9690
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0250
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 786029707.52, Sell volume: 33999222.94, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.9765
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0365
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.9685
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0325
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9680
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.0330
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.9665
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.0340
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.9625
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0345
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.9440
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.0540
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.9510
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.0405
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.9455
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.0315
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.9690
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.0400
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.9630
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.0295
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.9630
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.0405
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.9630
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.0290
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.9700
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.0295
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.9675
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.0315
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.9715
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 786029707.52, Sell volume: 33999222.94, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516787
Question: Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 897160.532822
Price History:
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0335
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.9665
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.0345
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.9635
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.0345
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.9640
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0345
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.9645
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.0355
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9645
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.0275
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.9815
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0185
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.9840
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.0150
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.9850
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.0150
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.9850
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0165
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.9840
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.0160
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9845
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0150
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.9855
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0145
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.9855
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0145
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.9855
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.0240
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 786029707.52, Sell volume: 33999222.94, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes