Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0350
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9650
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0355
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9645
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0345
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9655
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0350
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9650
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0345
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9655
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0295
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9705
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0340
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9660
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0330
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9670
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0400
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9600
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0475
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9525
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0470
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9530
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0375
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9625
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0400
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1702.61, Sell volume: 867.62, Average price: 0.4731, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0460
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9540
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0475
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9525
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0475
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9525
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0470
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9530
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0465
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9535
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0465
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9535
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0465
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9535
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0465
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9535
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0455
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9545
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0405
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9595
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0415
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9585
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0330
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9670
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0315
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9685
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 866.21, Sell volume: 908.96, Average price: 0.5987, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9730
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9685
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0200
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9800
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0200
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9800
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0160
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9840
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0160
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9840
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0135
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9865
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0130
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9870
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9860
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9860
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0400
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9600
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0325
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9675
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0325
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9675
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0220
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9780
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0220
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 6342.40, Sell volume: 2249.49, Average price: 0.7225, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0175
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9825
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9820
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0220
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9780
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0245
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9755
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0290
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9710
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0250
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9750
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0195
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9805
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0205
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9795
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0270
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9730
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0310
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9690
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0240
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9760
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0240
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9760
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0215
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9785
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 3423.81, Sell volume: 1157.41, Average price: 0.6508, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9800
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0160
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9840
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0165
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9835
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0165
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9835
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0155
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9845
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0175
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9825
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0170
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9830
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0170
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9830
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0250
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9750
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0255
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9745
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0305
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9695
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0270
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9730
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0265
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9735
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0280
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 5127.74, Sell volume: 1314.06, Average price: 0.5024, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0290
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0315
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9685
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0310
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9690
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0270
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9730
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0260
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9740
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9750
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0235
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9765
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0235
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9765
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0235
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9765
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0235
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9765
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0295
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9705
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0285
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9715
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0285
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9715
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 1707.39, Sell volume: 241.48, Average price: 0.6777, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0295
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9705
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0295
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9705
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0295
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9705
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0290
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0290
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0270
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9730
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0275
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9725
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0145
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9855
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0275
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9725
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0290
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9710
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0245
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9755
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0245
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9755
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0205
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 3189.30, Sell volume: 470.53, Average price: 0.5741, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0185
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9815
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0195
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9805
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0195
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9805
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0195
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9805
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0185
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9815
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0205
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9795
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0250
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9750
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0235
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9765
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0305
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9695
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0330
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9670
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0215
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9785
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0205
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9795
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0220
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9780
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 2752.36, Sell volume: 158.66, Average price: 0.6892, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9830
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9800
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0375
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9625
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0415
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9585
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0415
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9585
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0415
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9585
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0380
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9620
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0375
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9625
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9765
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9765
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0265
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9735
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0230
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0210
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9790
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0270
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9730
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0260
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 160, Buy volume: 20922.81, Sell volume: 5697.31, Average price: 0.3984, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9849
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0275
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9725
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0265
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9735
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0325
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9675
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0435
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9565
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0365
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9635
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0395
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9605
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0615
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9385
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0560
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9440
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0495
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9505
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0475
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9525
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0505
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9495
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0450
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9550
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0360
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9640
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0380
Trade Summary: Total trades: 197, Buy volume: 16696.47, Sell volume: 4178.16, Average price: 0.5645, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9620
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0360
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9640
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0385
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9615
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0325
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9675
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0310
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9690
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0280
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9720
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0290
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9710
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0300
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9700
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0300
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9700
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0265
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9735
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0170
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9830
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0255
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9745
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0115
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 250, Buy volume: 22147.00, Sell volume: 7860.56, Average price: 0.6066, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 37246.71, Sell volume: 1973.72, Average price: 0.1510, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.2450
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.9750
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.0075
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.9470
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.0485
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.9535
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0460
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.9595
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.0405
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.9600
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0340
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.9685
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0290
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.9705
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.0300
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.9705
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0285
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.9665
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0315
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.9715
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0285
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.9750
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0260
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.9710
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0255
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.9705
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0290
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.9720
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.0285
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.9735
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0255
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.9785
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0105
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.9825
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0250
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.9735
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.0260
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.9750
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.0250
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.9750
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.0255
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9825
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0175
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.9850
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.0140
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.9860
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.0140
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9860
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0140
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 198846432.39, Sell volume: 149245340.58, Average price: 0.7395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.9915
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0085
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.9900
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0100
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.9890
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9910
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0090
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.9920
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0070
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.9935
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0070
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9925
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0085
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.9915
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0090
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.9910
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0085
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0085
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0085
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0090
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9905
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0090
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.9910
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0085
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9915
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0085
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9915
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0085
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.9915
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0080
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.9920
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0150
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9895
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0095
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9905
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0085
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.9900
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0100
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.9900
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0095
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9905
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0090
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9910
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0095
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.9910
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 198846432.39, Sell volume: 149245340.58, Average price: 0.7395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0075
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.9935
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0065
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.9940
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.0060
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.9930
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.0065
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.9935
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0065
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.9935
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0065
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9945
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0060
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.9940
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0060
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9940
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0070
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9935
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0065
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.9940
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.0065
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9935
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0065
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.9935
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0060
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.9950
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0085
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9920
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0065
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9935
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0055
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9935
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0070
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.9885
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0110
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.9930
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0125
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9925
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.0070
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.9920
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0090
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9905
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0095
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.9900
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0135
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9885
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0115
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9855
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 189810, Buy volume: 19752939.13, Sell volume: 2728229.04, Average price: 0.6603, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.9870
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0115
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.9920
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.0110
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.9910
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.0070
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.9910
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.0085
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.9850
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.0100
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.9845
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.0100
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.9905
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.0120
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.9915
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.0065
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.9935
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.0065
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.9935
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.0055
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.9935
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.0165
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.9935
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.0010
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.9995
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.9995
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.9990
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.0010
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.9985
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.9995
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 810127, Buy volume: 179058039.83, Sell volume: 146516371.81, Average price: 0.7580, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.9995
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.9995
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0010
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.9995
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.9995
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0010
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9990
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0010
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.9990
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9990
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0010
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.9990
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0010
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 7761.33, Sell volume: 80.31, Average price: 0.3752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.9990
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.0010
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.9990
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.9995
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1972.25, Sell volume: 16.00, Average price: 0.7495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.9995
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.9995
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.9995
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.9990
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1925.36, Sell volume: 2.52, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.0010
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.9995
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.9995
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.9995
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.9985
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.9995
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.9995
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.9995
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 5101.24, Sell volume: 510.31, Average price: 0.7495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.9995
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9995
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.9995
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.9995
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.9995
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.9995
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.9995
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.9995
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.9995
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.37, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.9995
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.9995
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 3890.00, Sell volume: 128.22, Average price: 0.7139, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.9995
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9995
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1100.00, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9995
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9995
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9995
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9995
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9995
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0005
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9995
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9995
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9995
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9995
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11533.24, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9995
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2170.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.2450
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0225
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0525
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0465
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.0405
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0405
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0340
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0290
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.0295
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0290
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0280
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0285
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.0250
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.0305
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0255
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0290
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.0260
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.0275
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0215
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0160
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0250
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.0260
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.0250
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.0250
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0170
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0150
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0135
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.0135
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0140
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 198846432.39, Sell volume: 149245340.58, Average price: 0.7395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.9915
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.9910
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9915
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.9905
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9890
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9935
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.9935
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9925
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9920
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9920
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9905
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9910
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9915
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9915
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9915
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.9915
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9920
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9895
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9905
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.9895
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.9900
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9910
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9905
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9910
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.9910
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 198846432.39, Sell volume: 149245340.58, Average price: 0.7395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0075
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0065
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.0055
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.0070
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.0065
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0070
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.0065
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0060
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0055
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0070
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0060
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0060
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0065
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.0075
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0060
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0075
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0075
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0065
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0065
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0090
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.0120
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0125
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.0070
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0065
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0100
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0080
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0145
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0105
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 189810, Buy volume: 19752939.13, Sell volume: 2728229.04, Average price: 0.6603, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.9870
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.9920
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.9910
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.9930
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.9920
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.9835
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.9855
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.9905
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.9925
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.9930
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.9935
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.9935
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.9860
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.9955
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.9995
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.9995
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.9995
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.9995
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.9990
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.9990
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.9995
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 810127, Buy volume: 179058039.83, Sell volume: 146516371.81, Average price: 0.7580, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0010
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0010
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0010
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0010
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 7761.33, Sell volume: 80.31, Average price: 0.3752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9990
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.9990
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1972.25, Sell volume: 16.00, Average price: 0.7495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1925.36, Sell volume: 2.52, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.9990
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 5101.24, Sell volume: 510.31, Average price: 0.7495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.37, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 3890.00, Sell volume: 128.22, Average price: 0.7139, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1100.00, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11533.24, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520422
Question: Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Volume: 479189.377677
Price History:
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2170.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.6350
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.3650
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.4850
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.5150
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.1500
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.8500
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.1650
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.8350
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.1700
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.8300
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.1850
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.8150
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.2850
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.7150
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.3150
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.6850
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.4500
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5500
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.4250
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.5750
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.4150
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.5850
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.4150
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.5850
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.3850
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.6150
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83406599.62, Sell volume: 50230811.83, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.6150
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.3900
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.6100
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.3850
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.6150
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.6200
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.6200
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.6200
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.6200
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.3750
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.6250
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.6200
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.6200
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.6200
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.6200
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.6200
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83406599.62, Sell volume: 50230811.83, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.6200
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.3000
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.7000
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.2950
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.7050
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.3150
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.6850
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.3150
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.6850
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.2800
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.7200
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.2850
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.7150
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.2850
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.7150
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.2650
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.7350
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.2600
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.7400
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.2450
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.7550
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.2400
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.7600
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.2400
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.7600
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83406599.62, Sell volume: 50230811.83, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.7550
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.2050
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.7950
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.2050
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.7950
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.2050
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.7950
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.2350
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.7650
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.1500
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.8500
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.2000
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.8000
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.2050
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.7950
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.2100
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.7900
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.2200
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.7800
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.2100
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.7900
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.2200
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.7800
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83406599.62, Sell volume: 50230811.83, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.2200
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.7800
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.2200
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.7800
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.2150
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.7850
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.2150
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.7850
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.2200
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.7800
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.2150
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.7850
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.2200
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.7800
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.2200
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.7800
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.2150
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.7850
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.2150
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.7850
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.2150
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.7850
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.2150
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.7850
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.2150
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.7850
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83406599.62, Sell volume: 50230811.83, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.2350
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.7650
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.2350
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.7650
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.2350
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.7650
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.2300
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.7700
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.2300
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.7700
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.2300
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.7700
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.7750
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.2250
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83406599.62, Sell volume: 50230811.83, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.2250
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.7750
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.2150
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.2150
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.2200
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.7800
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.2200
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.7800
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.2200
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.7800
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.2200
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.7800
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.2250
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.7750
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.2250
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.7750
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.2200
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.7800
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.2250
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.7750
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.2150
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83406599.62, Sell volume: 50230811.83, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.2100
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.2100
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.2100
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.2150
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.2150
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.2150
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.2200
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.7800
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.3150
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.6850
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.2900
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.7100
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.2800
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.2800
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83406599.62, Sell volume: 50230811.83, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.2800
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.2800
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.2800
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83406599.62, Sell volume: 50230811.83, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.2900
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.7100
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.3150
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.6850
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.3300
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.6700
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.3350
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.6650
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.3250
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.6750
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.3500
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.6500
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.3450
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.6550
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.3550
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.6450
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.3500
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.6500
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.3500
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83406599.62, Sell volume: 50230811.83, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.3350
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.6650
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.3500
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.6500
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.3450
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.6550
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.3500
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.6500
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.3450
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.6550
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.3500
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.6500
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.3450
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.6550
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.3450
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.6550
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.3400
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.6600
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.3450
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.6550
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.3450
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.6550
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.3700
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.6300
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.3900
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.6100
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83406599.62, Sell volume: 50230811.83, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.6200
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.4250
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.5750
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.4050
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.5950
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.3950
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.6050
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.3650
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.6350
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.3450
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.6550
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.3450
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.6550
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.3400
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.6600
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.3350
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.6650
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.3050
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.6950
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.2850
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.7150
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.1250
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.8750
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.1600
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.8400
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.1900
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 359640, Buy volume: 43443083.78, Sell volume: 20563735.68, Average price: 0.4910, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.1800
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.8200
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.1750
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.8250
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.3450
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.6550
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.3600
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.6400
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9810
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0190
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9965
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9965
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 488512, Buy volume: 31503842.91, Sell volume: 27768356.77, Average price: 0.4405, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.6350
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.3650
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.4850
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.5150
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.1500
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.8500
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.1650
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.8350
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.1700
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.8300
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.1850
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.8150
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.2850
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.7150
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.3150
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.6850
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.4500
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5500
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.4250
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.5750
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.4150
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.5850
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.4150
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.5850
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.3850
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.6150
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83406599.62, Sell volume: 50230811.83, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.6150
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.3900
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.6100
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.3850
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.6150
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.6200
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.6200
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.6200
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.6200
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.3750
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.6250
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.6200
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.6200
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.6200
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.6200
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.6200
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83406599.62, Sell volume: 50230811.83, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.6200
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.3000
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.7000
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.2950
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.7050
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.3150
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.6850
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.3150
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.6850
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.2800
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.7200
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.2850
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.7150
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.2850
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.7150
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.2650
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.7350
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.2600
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.7400
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.2450
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.7550
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.2400
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.7600
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.2400
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.7600
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83406599.62, Sell volume: 50230811.83, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.7550
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.2050
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.7950
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.2050
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.7950
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.2050
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.7950
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.2350
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.7650
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.1500
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.8500
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.2000
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.8000
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.2050
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.7950
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.2100
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.7900
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.2200
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.7800
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.2100
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.7900
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.2200
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.7800
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83406599.62, Sell volume: 50230811.83, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.2200
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.7800
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.2200
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.7800
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.2150
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.7850
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.2150
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.7850
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.2200
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.7800
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.2150
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.7850
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.2200
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.7800
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.2200
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.7800
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.2150
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.7850
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.2150
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.7850
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.2150
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.7850
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.2150
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.7850
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.2150
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.7850
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83406599.62, Sell volume: 50230811.83, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.2350
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.7650
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.2350
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.7650
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.2350
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.7650
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.2300
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.7700
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.2300
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.7700
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.2300
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.7700
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.7750
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.2250
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83406599.62, Sell volume: 50230811.83, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.2250
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.7750
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.2150
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.2150
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.2200
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.7800
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.2200
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.7800
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.2200
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.7800
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.2200
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.7800
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.2250
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.7750
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.2250
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.7750
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.2200
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.7800
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.2250
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.7750
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.2150
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83406599.62, Sell volume: 50230811.83, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.2100
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.2100
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.2100
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.2150
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.2150
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.2150
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.2200
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.7800
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.3150
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.6850
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.2900
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.7100
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.2800
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.2800
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83406599.62, Sell volume: 50230811.83, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.2800
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.2800
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.2800
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83406599.62, Sell volume: 50230811.83, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.2900
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.7100
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.3150
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.6850
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.3300
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.6700
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.3350
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.6650
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.3250
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.6750
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.3500
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.6500
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.3450
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.6550
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.3550
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.6450
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.3500
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.6500
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.3500
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83406599.62, Sell volume: 50230811.83, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.3350
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.6650
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.3500
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.6500
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.3450
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.6550
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.3500
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.6500
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.3450
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.6550
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.3500
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.6500
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.3450
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.6550
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.3450
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.6550
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.3400
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.6600
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.3450
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.6550
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.3450
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.6550
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.3700
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.6300
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.3900
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.6100
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83406599.62, Sell volume: 50230811.83, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.6200
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.4250
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.5750
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.4050
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.5950
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.3950
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.6050
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.3650
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.6350
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.3450
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.6550
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.3450
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.6550
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.3400
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.6600
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.3350
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.6650
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.3050
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.6950
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.2850
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.7150
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.1250
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.8750
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.1600
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.8400
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.1900
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 359640, Buy volume: 43443083.78, Sell volume: 20563735.68, Average price: 0.4910, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547676
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 794282.627018
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.1800
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.8200
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.1750
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.8250
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.3450
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.6550
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.3600
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.6400
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9810
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0190
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9965
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9965
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 488512, Buy volume: 31503842.91, Sell volume: 27768356.77, Average price: 0.4405, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.4950
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.5050
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.4950
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.5050
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.2750
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.7250
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.2650
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.7350
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.2650
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.7350
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.2550
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.7450
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.2250
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.7750
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.1400
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.8600
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.1250
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.8750
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.1200
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.8800
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.1200
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.8800
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.1450
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.8550
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 778.99, Sell volume: 366.00, Average price: 0.4973, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.8400
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.2200
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.7800
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.2100
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.7900
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.2100
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.7900
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.2100
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.7900
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.2000
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.8000
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.2000
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.8000
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.2000
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1317.46, Sell volume: 521.00, Average price: 0.3911, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.2300
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.7700
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.2350
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.7650
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.2550
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.7450
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.2650
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.7350
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.2750
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.7250
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.2750
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.7250
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.2750
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.7250
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.2850
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.7150
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.2850
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.7150
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 1728.01, Sell volume: 1002.73, Average price: 0.4631, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.7000
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.3050
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.6950
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.3100
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.6900
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.3100
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.6900
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.2950
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.7050
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.3600
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.6400
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.3300
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.6700
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.3300
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.6700
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.3300
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.6700
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.3200
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.6800
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.3100
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.6900
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.3100
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.6900
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.2950
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.7050
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.2850
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 5271.37, Sell volume: 681.43, Average price: 0.5506, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.3000
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.7000
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.2900
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.7100
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.3050
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.6950
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.3150
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.6850
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.3100
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.6900
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.3000
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.7000
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.3100
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.6900
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.3150
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.6850
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.3250
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.6750
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.3250
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.6750
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.3150
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.6850
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 1848.27, Sell volume: 740.87, Average price: 0.5102, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.6750
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.3100
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.6900
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.3050
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.6950
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.7050
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.2950
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2320.12, Sell volume: 1497.79, Average price: 0.5649, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.2950
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.7050
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.2950
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.7050
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.2950
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.7050
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.2950
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.7050
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.3000
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.7000
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.3000
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.7000
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.3000
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.7000
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.2950
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.7050
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.2850
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.7150
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.2850
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.7150
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.2850
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.7150
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.2700
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.7300
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.2700
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.7300
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 2670.91, Sell volume: 2603.16, Average price: 0.5489, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.7300
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.2750
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.7250
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.2750
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.7250
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.2800
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.7200
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.2800
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.7200
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.2850
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.7150
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.2850
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.7150
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.2850
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.7150
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.7500
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.2850
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.7150
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.2800
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.2850
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.7150
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.2900
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.7100
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.2850
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 4845.85, Sell volume: 1130.42, Average price: 0.5387, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.2900
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.7100
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.2900
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.7100
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.2900
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.7100
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.2900
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.7100
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.2900
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.7100
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.2950
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.7050
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.2950
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.7050
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.2950
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.7050
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.2800
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.2800
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.3050
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.6950
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.3100
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.6900
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.3100
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.6900
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 3744.25, Sell volume: 914.26, Average price: 0.4783, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.6950
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.2900
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.7100
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.2550
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.7450
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.2600
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.7400
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.2650
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.7350
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.7250
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.2750
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.7250
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.2800
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.7200
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.2750
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.7250
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.2850
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.7150
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.2850
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.7150
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.2950
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.7050
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.3100
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 4636.36, Sell volume: 4324.93, Average price: 0.4878, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7320

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.3050
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.6950
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.3050
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.6950
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.3050
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.6950
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.3000
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.7000
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.3050
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.6950
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.2950
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.7050
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.2450
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.7550
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.2300
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.7700
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.2050
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.7950
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.2050
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.7950
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.2050
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.7950
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.2150
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.7850
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.1950
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.8050
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 6707.83, Sell volume: 1375.63, Average price: 0.5427, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.7900
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.1700
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.8300
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.1750
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.8250
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.1750
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.8250
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.1900
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.8100
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.2000
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.8000
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.1900
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.8100
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.2550
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.7450
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.2350
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.7650
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.3200
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.6800
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.3000
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.7000
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.5000
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.5000
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.7900
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.2100
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.7900
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 283, Buy volume: 32632.54, Sell volume: 8476.69, Average price: 0.5801, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9393

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.7800
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.2200
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.8200
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.1800
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0600
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9400
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 64049.78, Sell volume: 49756.62, Average price: 0.4913, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.4950
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.5050
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.4950
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.5050
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.2750
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.7250
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.2650
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.7350
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.2650
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.7350
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.2550
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.7450
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.2250
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.7750
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.1400
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.8600
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.1250
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.8750
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.1200
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.8800
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.1200
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.8800
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.1450
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.8550
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 778.99, Sell volume: 366.00, Average price: 0.4973, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.8400
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.2200
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.7800
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.2100
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.7900
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.2100
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.7900
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.2100
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.7900
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.2000
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.8000
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.2000
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.8000
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.2000
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1317.46, Sell volume: 521.00, Average price: 0.3911, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.2300
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.7700
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.2350
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.7650
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.2550
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.7450
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.2650
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.7350
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.2750
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.7250
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.2750
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.7250
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.2750
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.7250
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.2850
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.7150
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.2850
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.7150
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 1728.01, Sell volume: 1002.73, Average price: 0.4631, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.7000
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.3050
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.6950
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.3100
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.6900
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.3100
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.6900
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.2950
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.7050
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.3600
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.6400
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.3300
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.6700
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.3300
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.6700
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.3300
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.6700
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.3200
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.6800
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.3100
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.6900
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.3100
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.6900
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.2950
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.7050
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.2850
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 5271.37, Sell volume: 681.43, Average price: 0.5506, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.3000
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.7000
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.2900
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.7100
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.3050
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.6950
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.3150
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.6850
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.3100
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.6900
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.3000
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.7000
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.3100
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.6900
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.3150
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.6850
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.3250
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.6750
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.3250
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.6750
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.3150
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.6850
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 1848.27, Sell volume: 740.87, Average price: 0.5102, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.6750
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.3100
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.6900
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.3050
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.6950
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.2950
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.7050
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.2950
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2320.12, Sell volume: 1497.79, Average price: 0.5649, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No