Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.2800
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.2750
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.7250
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.7250
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.7250
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.8200
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.1750
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.1600
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.1500
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.1500
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.1500
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.8700
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.8700
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.1150
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.1200
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.8850
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.8850
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.1100
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.8900
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.1100
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.1050
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.8950
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.8950
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9000
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9100
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9000
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9000
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9000
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9100
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9000
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9100
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9100
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0900
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9100
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9100
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9100
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9250
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0750
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 322.77, Sell volume: 203.31, Average price: 0.8261, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9250
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9250
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9250
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9350
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9250
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0750
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9250
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9300
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0750
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0700
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0700
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0700
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9300
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0700
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9300
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9300
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0700
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0700
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9300
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9350
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9350
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9350
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9350
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9350
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0650
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9350
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9350
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9350
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9350
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9350
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0650
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9300
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9300
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0700
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0650
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9350
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0650
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0650
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 625.00, Sell volume: 345.99, Average price: 0.0767, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0650
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9350
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9350
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9350
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9350
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9350
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9350
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9350
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0650
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0650
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0650
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0650
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9300
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9300
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9350
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9350
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9350
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9350
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0600
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9300
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9300
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 395, Buy volume: 40414.26, Sell volume: 13672.41, Average price: 0.7179, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0650
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0700
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0700
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0700
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9350
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9350
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9350
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9350
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9350
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9350
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0500
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0500
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0500
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9500
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0500
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0500
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0500
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0500
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0500
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0500
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9500
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0500
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9500
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0500
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9500
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0500
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9500
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9500
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9500
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0500
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0500
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.9500
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 433.33, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.0667, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0550
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0550
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0550
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0550
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0550
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0550
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0550
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0550
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0550
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0550
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9450
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9450
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9450
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0550
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0550
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0550
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0550
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9450
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9450
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9450
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9450
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0500
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9450
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9400
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0600
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0600
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0600
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0600
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9400
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0600
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0600
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9400
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0600
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9400
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0600
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9350
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0650
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0600
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0600
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0600
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9400
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9400
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9400
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9400
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 868.65, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.0567, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.0600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9400
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9400
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0600
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9400
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9400
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9400
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9400
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9400
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9400
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9400
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9400
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9400
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0600
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9400
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9400
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0600
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9400
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0600
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9400
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9400
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0600
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9400
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0600
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0600
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9400
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9400
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9400
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9400
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0550
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0550
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0550
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0550
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0550
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9400
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9400
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9450
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0600
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9400
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0600
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9400
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0600
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0600
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9400
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9400
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9400
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9400
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.1250
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.1200
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.1200
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 123.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3633, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.1200
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.1250
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.1150
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0950
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9400
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0600
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0600
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0600
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0550
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1031.68, Sell volume: 98.33, Average price: 0.4636, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0250
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9585
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9535
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9515
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9525
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0550
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0535
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0535
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9465
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9465
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9470
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0530
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0680
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9270
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0725
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0725
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9275
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9275
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0725
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9275
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0720
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0455
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9415
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9415
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9405
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9360
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9360
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0640
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0645
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9360
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9360
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0645
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0645
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0645
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0630
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0640
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9360
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0640
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0640
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9355
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 985.68, Sell volume: 1233.28, Average price: 0.8230, Price range: 0.0502 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9550
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0435
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0440
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9560
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0440
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0445
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0450
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0405
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9555
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.9545
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0455
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0455
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9545
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0455
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0455
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0455
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.0480
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0480
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9515
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0470
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0540
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9460
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0545
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0545
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0545
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0535
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0535
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0535
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0545
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9455
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0530
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9470
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9465
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0530
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0535
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9465
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0525
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0525
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9475
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0525
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0430
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9580
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0495
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0505
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1041.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7481, Price range: 0.0676 - 0.9770

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9430
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0570
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0510
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9490
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0510
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9495
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9495
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0515
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0515
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9485
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9485
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0520
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0515
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.0510
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0510
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0510
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0510
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0510
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9390
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0615
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0615
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0615
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0615
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9385
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0615
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9385
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0615
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9395
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9385
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0430
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9615
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9610
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9625
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9540
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9545
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0445
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9645
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9555
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9845
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9740
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9695
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9955
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9955
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0045
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0045
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9955
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9955
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0270
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 2526.38, Sell volume: 483.73, Average price: 0.8625, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9750
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0105
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9895
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0225
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9850
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0160
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0115
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0300
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0270
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9810
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0215
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0410
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0300
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9590
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9620
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9705
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0280
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0220
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0105
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0105
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0245
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0220
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0195
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0100
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0100
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0100
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0100
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0100
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0100
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0100
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0215
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0215
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0100
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0075
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0075
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0075
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0065
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0065
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0065
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0210
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0230
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0220
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0070
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 141, Buy volume: 11330.78, Sell volume: 623.90, Average price: 0.8265, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0190
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0110
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0225
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0195
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0100
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0100
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0100
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0105
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0050
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0060
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0060
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0140
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0140
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0140
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0135
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0085
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0075
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0075
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0075
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0130
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0060
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0110
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0115
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0130
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0130
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0130
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0105
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0415
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0410
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0390
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0375
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0385
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0345
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0315
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0305
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0415
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0320
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0380
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0395
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 10606.07, Sell volume: 142.52, Average price: 0.6822, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0145
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0145
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0145
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0200
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0200
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0195
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0110
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 9616.52, Sell volume: 10041.35, Average price: 0.4260, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.7200
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.2750
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.1750
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.1550
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.1550
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.1300
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.1150
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.1150
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.8900
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.1100
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.1050
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9000
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0900
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.1000
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0900
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0900
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0900
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0900
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0750
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0750
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 322.77, Sell volume: 203.31, Average price: 0.8261, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9250
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0750
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9250
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0750
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0750
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9250
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0750
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9300
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0700
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0700
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0700
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9300
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0700
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9350
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0650
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9350
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0650
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0650
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0700
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0700
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0650
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0650
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 625.00, Sell volume: 345.99, Average price: 0.0767, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0650
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0650
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9350
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0650
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9350
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9300
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9300
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9300
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0650
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9400
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9350
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9300
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9300
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 395, Buy volume: 40414.26, Sell volume: 13672.41, Average price: 0.7179, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0650
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0700
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0700
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9350
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0650
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9350
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0650
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0500
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9500
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0500
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9500
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0500
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.9500
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0500
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9500
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0500
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0500
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9500
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9500
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0500
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 433.33, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.0667, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0550
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.9450
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0550
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9450
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0550
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9450
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9450
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0550
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0550
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9450
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9450
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9450
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0550
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9400
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9400
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9400
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0600
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0600
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0600
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9400
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0650
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0600
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9400
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0600
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0600
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9400
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 868.65, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.0567, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.0600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9400
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0600
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9400
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0600
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9400
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0600
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9400
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9400
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9400
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0600
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9400
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0600
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9400
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0600
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9400
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0600
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0550
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0550
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9450
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0600
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9450
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9400
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0600
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9400
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9400
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9400
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.8750
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.8800
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.1200
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 123.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3633, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.1200
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8800
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0600
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.0600
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0550
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9450
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1031.68, Sell volume: 98.33, Average price: 0.4636, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9585
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0480
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0535
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9465
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9470
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9470
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9270
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9275
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0725
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9275
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0720
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0450
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0590
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0595
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9360
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0640
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9360
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9355
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0645
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9360
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0640
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9360
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0645
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 985.68, Sell volume: 1233.28, Average price: 0.8230, Price range: 0.0502 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9550
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0435
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0440
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9555
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0405
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9555
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9545
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0455
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0455
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0455
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9510
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9530
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9460
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9455
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0545
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9465
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0535
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.9460
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9470
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0535
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0535
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0530
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0525
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9475
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9580
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0495
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9435
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1041.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7481, Price range: 0.0676 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9430
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0510
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0505
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0505
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0515
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0515
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9485
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9485
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0510
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9490
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9505
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9385
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0615
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0615
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9385
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9385
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9385
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0430
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0365
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0460
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0445
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9645
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0260
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0305
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9955
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0045
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0045
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9755
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 2526.38, Sell volume: 483.73, Average price: 0.8625, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9750
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0105
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9850
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9840
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0300
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0135
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9645
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9700
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9620
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9710
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9900
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9895
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0220
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0205
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0100
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9900
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9900
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0100
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9785
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0100
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9925
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0065
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9935
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0065
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9810
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0230
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0060
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 141, Buy volume: 11330.78, Sell volume: 623.90, Average price: 0.8265, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0190
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9890
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9900
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0100
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9900
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9950
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0060
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9855
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0140
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0075
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9920
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0120
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9870
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0130
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9940
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0380
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9625
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0345
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9695
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0190
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9620
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0180
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 10606.07, Sell volume: 142.52, Average price: 0.6822, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587262
Question: Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54086.667593
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0145
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9855
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0200
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9805
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9825
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 9616.52, Sell volume: 10041.35, Average price: 0.4260, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.7900
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.7950
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.7950
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.7950
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.8000
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.2000
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.1600
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.1600
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.1600
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.1600
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.1550
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9400
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0600
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0600
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0600
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0600
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0600
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0600
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0550
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0550
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0550
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0550
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0550
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9450
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0500
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0500
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0500
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0500
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9550
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0400
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9600
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9600
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0400
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0400
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 509.29, Sell volume: 82.97, Average price: 0.8687, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0350
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0350
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0350
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0350
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0350
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0350
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0350
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0350
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0350
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9650
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0350
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0350
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0350
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0350
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9650
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0350
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0350
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0345
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9650
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0350
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9650
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0350
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9650
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0350
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9650
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0350
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0350
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0350
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9650
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9650
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9650
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0320
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9680
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9680
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9680
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9680
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9680
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9680
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9680
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9680
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9720
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9720
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9720
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9725
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9725
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0270
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9730
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0270
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9730
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.35, Sell volume: 999.94, Average price: 0.7345, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9780

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9720
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0280
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0280
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0280
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0275
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0275
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0275
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9725
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9725
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9725
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0275
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0275
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0275
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0275
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9725
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0275
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0275
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9725
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0275
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9725
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9725
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0275
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0280
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0275
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0275
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9720
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9720
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0280
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0280
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9750
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9750
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9750
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9750
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9760
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0240
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9760
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9760
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9760
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9760
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9760
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0240
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0240
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0240
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0220
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0220
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9780
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0220
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0220
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0220
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 304.29, Average price: 0.0215, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.0220

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9780
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.9780
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9780
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9780
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9780
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0220
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9780
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0220
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0170
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.9815
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9820
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9840
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9845
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9845
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0155
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9845
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9845
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9845
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0155
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0150
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.9850
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9850
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0150
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9850
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9850
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9850
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9850
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0150
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0175
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0180
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9820
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0180
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0180
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0180
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9820
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0180
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0180
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0180
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0180
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9820
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0180
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9820
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9820
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0180
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9820
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0180
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9820
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9820
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.9820
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 751.42, Sell volume: 1413.78, Average price: 0.7412, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0150
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0150
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0150
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0150
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0150
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9850
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0150
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9850
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9840
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9840
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9840
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9845
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9850
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0155
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9850
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0150
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0150
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9845
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9845
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9850
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0150
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0150
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0150
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0150
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9850
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0150
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9850
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0150
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9850
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0150
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9850
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9850
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9850
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0150
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0150
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0150
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0150
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0150
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 369, Buy volume: 36277.78, Sell volume: 25642.43, Average price: 0.8423, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0150
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0150
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9850
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9850
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9850
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9850
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0150
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9850
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9850
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9850
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9850
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0150
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0150
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0150
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0150
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0150
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0150
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0150
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0150
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9850
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0150
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0150
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0150
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0150
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0150
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9850
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9850
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0150
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0150
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0150
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9850
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9850
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9850
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9850
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0150
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0150
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9850
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9850
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0150
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0150
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9850
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0145
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0145
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0145
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0145
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9855
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9855
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9855
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0145
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 369, Buy volume: 36277.78, Sell volume: 25642.43, Average price: 0.8423, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9850
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9850
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9850
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9850
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9850
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0150
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0150
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0150
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0150
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0150
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0150
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0150
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0150
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0150
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0150
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0150
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0135
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0135
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0135
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0135
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0135
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0135
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0135
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0135
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0135
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0135
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0135
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9865
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0135
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9865
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0135
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9865
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9870
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0125
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0125
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9875
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0125
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0125
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0120
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0120
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0120
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0120
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0120
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0120
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0120
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9880
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0120
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0120
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0120
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 526.32, Sell volume: 526.31, Average price: 0.0135, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.0190

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0120
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9880
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9880
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0120
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0120
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9915
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0085
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9860
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9860
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0140
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0140
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9865
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9855
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9855
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9855
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9855
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0145
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0135
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9870
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9870
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0130
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9870
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9870
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9870
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9870
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9870
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 2793.42, Sell volume: 963.76, Average price: 0.9566, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0125
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9880
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0120
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0120
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0120
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0120
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9880
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0120
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0120
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.0120
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0120
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9880
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0120
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0120
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0120
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0120
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.0120
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0120
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9880
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0105
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0105
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0115
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0115
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9885
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0115
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0115
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0115
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0115
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0115
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0115
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9880
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9880
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.0120
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9880
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9880
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0120
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0120
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9880
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9880
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9880
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9885
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0105
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1080.94, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9902, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9895
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0105
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0105
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9895
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0105
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9895
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9925
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0075
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9925
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0075
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9925
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0075
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.0065
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0065
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9935
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0065
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0065
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9935
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0065
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9935
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0090
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9910
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0080
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0080
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9915
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9910
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 2380.84, Sell volume: 2005.00, Average price: 0.9554, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9910
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9920
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0080
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9920
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9920
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0080
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9920
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9935
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9935
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0065
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0065
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0065
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9935
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9935
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9935
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9940
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0065
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9940
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9940
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0050
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0050
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0050
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0050
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0050
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0050
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0050
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0050
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0050
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0050
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0050
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0045
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0045
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0045
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0045
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0045
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 146, Buy volume: 15017.19, Sell volume: 6262.58, Average price: 0.9147, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 5958.28, Sell volume: 6042.01, Average price: 0.7328, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7179.55, Sell volume: 7040.78, Average price: 0.3161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.2050
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.7950
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.2050
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.2000
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.8350
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.1600
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.8400
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0600
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0600
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9400
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0600
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9450
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0550
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0550
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0500
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9500
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0500
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0400
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0400
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9600
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0400
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 509.29, Sell volume: 82.97, Average price: 0.8687, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0350
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9650
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0350
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9650
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0350
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9650
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0350
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9650
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9650
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0350
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0350
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9650
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0350
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9650
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0350
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9650
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9650
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9650
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9680
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0320
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9680
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0320
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9680
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0280
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9720
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9725
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9725
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9730
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9730
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.35, Sell volume: 999.94, Average price: 0.7345, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9720
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9720
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0280
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9725
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9725
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9725
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0275
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9725
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9725
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9725
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0275
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0275
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0275
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9725
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9720
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0280
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0280
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0250
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9750
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0240
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9760
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0240
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9760
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9760
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0240
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9780
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0220
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9780
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0220
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 304.29, Average price: 0.0215, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.0220
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9780
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0220
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9780
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9780
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0220
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.0185
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9820
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0155
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0155
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0155
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9845
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9850
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9850
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0150
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9850
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0150
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0175
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9820
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0180
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9820
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0180
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.9820
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9820
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9820
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9820
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0180
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9820
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0180
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9820
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 751.42, Sell volume: 1413.78, Average price: 0.7412, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0150
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.9850
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0150
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0150
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9850
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9850
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0150
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0150
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9850
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0155
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9850
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9850
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9850
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9850
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9850
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9850
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0150
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9850
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9850
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9850
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9850
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9850
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9850
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9850
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9850
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9850
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0150
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 369, Buy volume: 36277.78, Sell volume: 25642.43, Average price: 0.8423, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0150
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9850
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0150
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0150
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9850
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0150
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0150
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9850
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0150
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9850
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0150
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0150
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0150
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0150
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0150
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0150
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0150
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0150
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9850
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0150
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0150
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9850
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9850
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0150
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0145
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0145
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0145
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0145
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0145
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 369, Buy volume: 36277.78, Sell volume: 25642.43, Average price: 0.8423, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9850
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0150
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9850
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9850
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0150
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9850
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9850
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9850
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0150
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9860
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0135
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9865
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0135
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9865
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0135
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9865
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0135
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9865
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0130
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9875
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9875
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0125
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.0120
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9880
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0120
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9880
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0120
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9880
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0120
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 526.32, Sell volume: 526.31, Average price: 0.0135, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.0190
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0120
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9880
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9880
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9855
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9860
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9865
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0145
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9855
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9855
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0135
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9870
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0130
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9870
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0130
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0130
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 2793.42, Sell volume: 963.76, Average price: 0.9566, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0125
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9880
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0120
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9880
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0120
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0120
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0120
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9880
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0120
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9880
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0120
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9895
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0115
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9885
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9885
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0115
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.0115
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9880
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9880
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9880
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9880
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9880
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0120
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0115
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0115
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0105
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1080.94, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9902, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9895
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0105
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0105
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0105
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0075
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9925
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9925
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9925
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0065
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0065
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0065
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0065
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0065
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0090
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9910
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9910
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9920
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9915
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9910
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9910
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 2380.84, Sell volume: 2005.00, Average price: 0.9554, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9910
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0080
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9920
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0080
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0065
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0065
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0065
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9935
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0060
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9940
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0065
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0050
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9950
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0050
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9950
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0050
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0045
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9955
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0045
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9965
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 146, Buy volume: 15017.19, Sell volume: 6262.58, Average price: 0.9147, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 5958.28, Sell volume: 6042.01, Average price: 0.7328, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587264
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61920.209964
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7179.55, Sell volume: 7040.78, Average price: 0.3161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9645
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9645
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9645
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0220
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9825
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0160
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0160
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0160
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0165
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0165
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0165
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0165
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0165
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9830
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0170
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0170
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9830
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0170
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9830
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0170
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0175
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9820
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0180
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9820
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9820
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9820
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0090
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0065
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9935
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0065
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9940
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0060
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9955
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9955
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9955
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 562.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 20787.46, Sell volume: 7645.98, Average price: 0.5745, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9960
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 560.00, Sell volume: 2398.00, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 522.37, Sell volume: 649.00, Average price: 0.8172, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 20787.46, Sell volume: 7645.98, Average price: 0.5745, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 20787.46, Sell volume: 7645.98, Average price: 0.5745, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 20787.46, Sell volume: 7645.98, Average price: 0.5745, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3868.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4234.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 4758.00, Sell volume: 1937.24, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 6277.27, Sell volume: 2659.74, Average price: 0.3465, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0355
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0220
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9840
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0160
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9835
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0165
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9835
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0170
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9830
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0170
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0170
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9820
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9820
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9820
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0135
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9935
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9940
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9955
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0045
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9960
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 562.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 20787.46, Sell volume: 7645.98, Average price: 0.5745, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587266
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 28433.435333
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9960
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0040
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9960
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes