Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525585
Question: Will Cameron Young win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 28003.438672
Price History:
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0110
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0145
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0145
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0140
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0145
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0140
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0145
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0140
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0145
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0145
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0145
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0140
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0140
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0140
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0140
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0140
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0140
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0140
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0145
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0140
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0140
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0140
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0145
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0140
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0145
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0140
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0145
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0140
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 174, Buy volume: 24863.69, Sell volume: 3139.75, Average price: 0.5837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525585
Question: Will Cameron Young win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 28003.438672
Price History:
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0150
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0150
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0150
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0150
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0150
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0155
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.0150
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.0155
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0155
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0150
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.0150
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.0150
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.0140
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.0130
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.0130
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.0130
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.0135
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.0135
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.0130
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0135
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.0145
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.0145
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.0140
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.0140
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0140
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0140
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 174, Buy volume: 24863.69, Sell volume: 3139.75, Average price: 0.5837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525585
Question: Will Cameron Young win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 28003.438672
Price History:
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0145
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0145
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0145
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.0140
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0145
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0140
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0145
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.0140
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0140
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0140
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.0140
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0140
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0145
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0140
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0140
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0140
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0140
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0140
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0140
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0140
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0135
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0125
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0090
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0105
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0120
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0120
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0140
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0135
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0125
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 174, Buy volume: 24863.69, Sell volume: 3139.75, Average price: 0.5837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525585
Question: Will Cameron Young win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 28003.438672
Price History:
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0120
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0135
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0140
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0110
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0140
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0125
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0115
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0135
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0130
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0090
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0120
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0120
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0120
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0120
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0140
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0140
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0125
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0125
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0130
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0130
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0125
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0145
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0090
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0120
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0100
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0115
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0155
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0160
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 174, Buy volume: 24863.69, Sell volume: 3139.75, Average price: 0.5837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525585
Question: Will Cameron Young win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 28003.438672
Price History:
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0190
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0185
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0180
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0180
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0185
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0160
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0175
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0150
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0170
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0150
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0125
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0125
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0075
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0115
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0110
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0115
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0115
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0110
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.0105
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0105
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0105
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0105
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0105
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0105
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0105
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0105
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0105
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0105
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0100
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 180.50, Sell volume: 69.71, Average price: 0.2094, Price range: 0.0038 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525585
Question: Will Cameron Young win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 28003.438672
Price History:
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0100
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0095
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0095
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0095
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0095
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0095
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0095
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0090
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0100
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0090
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0090
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0090
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0090
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0095
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0095
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0095
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0095
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0090
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0925
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0110
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0160
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0160
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0070
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0055
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0055
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0070
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0100
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 144, Buy volume: 23153.49, Sell volume: 3052.84, Average price: 0.5758, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.3100
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.8100
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.3700
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.7050
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.2550
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.7200
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.2600
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.7850
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.3350
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.8050
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2900
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.6750
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.3250
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.6600
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.1800
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.7300
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.2600
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.7400
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.2600
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.7400
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.3100
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.7300
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.1800
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.6900
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.2800
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.7200
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.2800
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.6850
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.3000
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.7400
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.2400
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.7600
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.2400
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.7600
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2550
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.7750
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.2800
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.6950
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.3150
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.6850
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.4950
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.5050
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.5050
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.4700
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.5750
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.3600
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541976314.49, Sell volume: 21359724.26, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.3250
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.6750
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.3250
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.5050
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.4900
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.5150
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.4750
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.5400
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.4700
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.5600
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.4950
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5100
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.1250
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.8750
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.1250
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.5400
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.4400
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.5150
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.4235
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.8330
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.0900
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.9250
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.2860
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.5475
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.4615
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.6320
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.3825
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.7335
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.4095
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.5955
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.4015
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.5570
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.3450
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.7115
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.3615
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.5950
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.4180
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.8410
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.1055
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.5970
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.1395
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.6260
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.1195
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.5185
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.4730
2025-03-18 06:00: 0.5435
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.2335
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.8815
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.4045
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.8445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541976314.49, Sell volume: 21359724.26, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.4315
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.6085
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.4265
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.5360
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.5125
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.5835
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.4975
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.5465
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.5300
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.4880
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.5445
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.4500
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.5030
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.5940
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.4350
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.5500
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.4775
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.5330
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.5060
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.5410
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.3645
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.4790
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.5460
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.4830
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.4895
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.5160
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.5305
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.4695
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.5150
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.4935
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.5030
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.5510
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.5400
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.5025
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.4435
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.7270
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.4900
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.5740
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.5035
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.5145
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.4980
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.5875
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.5455
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.6150
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.5380
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.5380
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.5195
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.5425
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.4700
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.4995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541976314.49, Sell volume: 21359724.26, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.2155
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.7100
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.2760
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.7545
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.2505
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.7500
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.2805
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.7500
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.2050
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.7100
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.2835
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.7155
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.2350
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.7755
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.2510
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.7495
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.2525
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.7490
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.2510
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.7485
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.2360
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.7050
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.2595
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.7350
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.2530
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.7470
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.2655
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.7310
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.2455
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.7545
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.2500
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.7500
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.2005
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.7635
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.2250
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.2750
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.7185
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.2855
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.7150
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.2865
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.6035
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.4200
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.5995
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.4135
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.5815
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.3445
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.8620
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.1330
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.8675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541976314.49, Sell volume: 21359724.26, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.1035
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.6075
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.4005
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.5825
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.4120
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.5885
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.3760
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.6165
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.3735
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.6420
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.3455
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.6625
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.3350
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.6650
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.2750
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.6635
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.3305
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.6785
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.2970
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.5115
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.3360
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.7740
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.1225
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.8465
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.1275
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.8860
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.1055
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.8845
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.1155
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.8865
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.1160
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.8965
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.1175
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.8835
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.1110
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.8895
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.2475
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.8400
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.1595
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.8575
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.1465
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.8665
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.1270
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.8780
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.0970
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.8985
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.1240
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.8670
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.1275
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.8735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541976314.49, Sell volume: 21359724.26, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.5150
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.4475
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.5295
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.5195
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.5535
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.4865
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.4795
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.5145
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.4650
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.5490
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.4565
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.4410
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.4590
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.4705
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.5050
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.5400
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.4560
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.5185
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.5980
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.4630
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.5550
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.4565
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.4645
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.4685
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.4680
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.5100
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.5035
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.4300
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.5950
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.3000
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.5010
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.4500
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.5650
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.4550
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.5350
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.5505
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.4990
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.5100
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.5155
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.4395
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.4150
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.5010
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.4850
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.6840
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.1500
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.8755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541976314.49, Sell volume: 21359724.26, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.4310
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.6095
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.1705
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.8800
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.1200
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.8850
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.1150
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.8865
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1135
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.8865
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.1050
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.8925
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.1070
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.8925
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.5305
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.5755
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.4200
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.7140
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.2870
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.6615
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.1140
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.8705
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.1305
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.8695
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.1305
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.8645
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.1350
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.8650
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.4980
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.6700
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.1355
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.8745
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.1255
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.8745
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.1255
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.8745
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.1255
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.8745
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.1255
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.8745
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.1255
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.8745
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.8745
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.4555
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.5745
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.2255
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.8745
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.1150
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.8885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541976314.49, Sell volume: 21359724.26, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.1205
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.8795
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1335
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.4445
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.5370
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.5145
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.4710
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.6205
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.2500
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.8720
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.1270
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.8730
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.1270
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.8730
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.1270
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.8730
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.1270
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.8730
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.1270
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.8730
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.1270
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.8730
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.4560
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.5995
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.5645
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.4600
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.2655
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.6450
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.1340
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.8660
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.1340
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.8660
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.1340
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.8710
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.1290
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.8760
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.4660
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.4755
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.5010
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.5320
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.2750
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.7370
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.4150
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.6050
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.2250
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.4620
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.8500
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.4860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541976314.49, Sell volume: 21359724.26, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7300
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.3245
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.6960
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.2915
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.8450
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.2050
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.8350
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.2045
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.6505
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.1885
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.6580
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.6810
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.7000
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.3550
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.6305
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.3650
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.7900
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.3450
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.8100
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.3500
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.7900
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.2680
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.6310
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.2050
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.8150
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.3700
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.8605
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.2100
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.6370
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.2250
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.6350
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.1900
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.7750
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.2600
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.8600
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.1235
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.8555
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.2250
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.8665
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.2995
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.7805
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.3590
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.6390
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.3690
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.6310
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.3200
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.8655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541976314.49, Sell volume: 21359724.26, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.3500
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.6950
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.6360
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.3605
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.6500
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.3110
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.6800
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.3700
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.6390
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.3745
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.6290
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.2895
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.7245
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.1900
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.8165
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.2955
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.7210
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.2755
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.6295
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.1815
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.8000
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.3690
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.8115
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.3400
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.6625
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.3300
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.8015
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.3805
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.8300
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.1750
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.8025
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.2005
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.7995
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.2040
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.7960
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.2005
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.7995
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.2050
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.7950
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.2050
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.7950
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.2105
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.7905
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.2105
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.7900
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.2105
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.7895
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.2105
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.7895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541976314.49, Sell volume: 21359724.26, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.2250
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.7750
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.2255
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.7860
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.2140
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.7755
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.2245
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.8085
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.1890
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.8240
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.1750
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.8250
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.1875
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.7780
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.2190
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.7785
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.2170
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.7850
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.2150
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.7760
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.2160
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.8150
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.2050
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.7930
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.2065
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.7960
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.2090
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.7910
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.2060
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.7955
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.2100
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.7900
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.2100
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.7900
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.2100
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.7900
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.7895
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.7750
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.2260
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.7745
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.2260
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.7850
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.2340
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.7845
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.2215
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.7750
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.2210
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.7830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541976314.49, Sell volume: 21359724.26, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.2340
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.7650
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.2220
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.7700
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.2300
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.7790
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.2310
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.7610
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.2365
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.7615
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.2500
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.2390
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.7755
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.2290
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.7535
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.2445
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.7705
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.2715
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.7425
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.2525
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.7490
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.2590
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.7490
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.2510
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.7490
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.2510
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.7500
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.2375
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.7590
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.2405
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.7530
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.2285
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.7750
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.2375
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.7625
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.2385
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.7605
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.2390
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.7595
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.2400
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.7600
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.2405
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.7595
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.2400
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.7655
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.2430
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.7675
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.2360
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.7635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541976314.49, Sell volume: 21359724.26, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.2410
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.7580
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.2420
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.7580
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.2465
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.7535
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.2455
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.7580
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.2415
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.7585
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.2400
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.7595
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.2540
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.7525
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.2490
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.7585
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.2485
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.7505
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.2485
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.2470
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.7555
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.2475
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.7525
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.2465
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.7545
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.2440
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.7565
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.2440
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.7590
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.2360
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.7635
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.2485
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.7535
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.2000
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.8875
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.1280
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.8680
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.1320
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.8845
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0815
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.9085
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.1025
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.8985
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0985
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.8990
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.1005
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9260
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0250
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999843, Buy volume: 541818826.60, Sell volume: 21333499.27, Average price: 0.3865, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.3400
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.2400
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.3750
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.2800
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.2150
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.3000
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2900
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.3250
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.1800
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.2600
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.2600
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.2450
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.1800
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.2800
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.2800
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.3100
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.2600
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.2400
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.2400
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2550
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.2200
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.3150
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.3150
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.4650
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.3600
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541976314.49, Sell volume: 21359724.26, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.3250
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.3250
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.4850
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.4600
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.4500
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.1250
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.1250
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.4600
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.4850
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.1670
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.0910
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.4280
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.4615
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.3690
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.4265
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.4695
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.4430
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.3685
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.4225
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.4180
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.1055
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.2800
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.3735
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.4815
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.4565
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.4465
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.4045
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.2570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541976314.49, Sell volume: 21359724.26, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.4315
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.4810
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.5125
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.4800
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.4535
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.5165
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.5410
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.5030
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.3710
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.5065
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.4690
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.4590
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.5170
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.5315
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.4895
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.4065
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.5065
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.5145
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.4490
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.4700
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.4350
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.4900
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.5040
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.5325
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.3625
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.3850
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.4665
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.5295
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.4700
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.3930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541976314.49, Sell volume: 21359724.26, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.2155
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.2450
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.2505
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.2400
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.2850
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.2840
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.2350
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.2650
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.2515
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.2920
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.2605
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.2530
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.2550
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.2640
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.2510
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.2500
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.2105
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.2500
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.2750
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.2870
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.2805
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.4200
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.4005
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.4205
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.2905
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.1330
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.2645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541976314.49, Sell volume: 21359724.26, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.1035
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.4000
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.4160
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.4115
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.3835
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.3680
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.3420
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.3350
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.3050
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.3340
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.3215
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.4885
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.2660
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.1245
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.1275
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.1105
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.1185
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.1135
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.1035
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.1105
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.1105
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.2475
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.1605
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.1425
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.1360
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.1220
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.0990
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.1345
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.1275
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.1220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541976314.49, Sell volume: 21359724.26, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.5150
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.5455
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.5190
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.5200
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.5205
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.5450
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.4835
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.4410
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.5095
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.5020
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.5440
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.4020
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.4540
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.4675
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.4685
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.3400
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.4850
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.4500
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.4990
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.4300
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.4950
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.4990
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.4500
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.4550
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.4945
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.4800
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.1500
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.1135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541976314.49, Sell volume: 21359724.26, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.4310
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.3910
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.1200
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.1150
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.1135
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1135
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.1080
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.1070
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.4460
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.4290
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.2900
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.3385
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.1250
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.1260
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.1305
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.1350
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.1355
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.2905
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.1255
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.1255
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.1255
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.1255
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.1255
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.1255
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.1255
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.4355
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.1355
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.1150
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541976314.49, Sell volume: 21359724.26, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.1205
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.1300
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.5540
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.5400
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.3795
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.1790
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.1270
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.1270
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.1270
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.1270
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.1270
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.1270
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.1270
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.4700
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.5645
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.5450
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.1500
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.1340
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.1340
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.1340
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.1290
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.4660
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.5055
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.3895
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.3950
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.5400
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.1550
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.2405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541976314.49, Sell volume: 21359724.26, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.3340
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.3040
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.2050
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.1650
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.3650
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.1650
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.1395
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.1500
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.3675
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.2100
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.3500
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.3045
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.2680
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.3200
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.2195
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.2450
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.3630
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.2800
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.2795
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.2600
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.1225
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.2300
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.1370
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.2195
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.3615
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.3640
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.3200
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.1360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541976314.49, Sell volume: 21359724.26, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.3500
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.1400
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.3620
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.3045
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.3200
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.3620
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.3730
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.2895
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.1945
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.2845
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.2780
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.3705
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.3455
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.3445
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.3400
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.3500
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.1975
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.1700
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.1975
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.2005
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.2005
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.2005
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.2045
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.2050
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.2050
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.2095
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.2105
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.2105
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.2105
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.2105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541976314.49, Sell volume: 21359724.26, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.2250
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.2250
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.2140
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.2245
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.1915
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.1880
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.1765
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.1875
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.2160
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.2155
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.2150
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.2240
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.1850
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.2050
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.2065
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.2090
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.2045
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.2090
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.2100
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.2100
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.2100
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.2260
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.2255
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.2150
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.2155
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.2245
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.2210
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.2175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541976314.49, Sell volume: 21359724.26, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.2340
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.2185
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.2450
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.2200
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.2390
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.2370
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.2485
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.2390
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.2425
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.2445
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.2360
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.2575
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.2570
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.2500
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.2510
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.2510
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.2380
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.2455
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.2470
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.2320
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.2370
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.2385
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.2390
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.2400
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.2400
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.2405
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.2255
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.2420
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.2360
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.2365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541976314.49, Sell volume: 21359724.26, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525570
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 861724.308346
Price History:
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.2410
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.2420
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.2460
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.2465
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.2420
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.2415
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.2400
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.2540
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.2470
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.2430
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.2490
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.2440
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.2475
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.2465
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.2440
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.2435
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.2405
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.2365
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.2380
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.2240
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.1280
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.1345
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0655
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0955
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.1015
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.1025
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.1005
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0250
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999843, Buy volume: 541818826.60, Sell volume: 21333499.27, Average price: 0.3865, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.2450
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.7650
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.3600
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.7000
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.1700
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.6950
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.2250
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.8300
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.3250
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.7000
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.3050
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.7150
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.2850
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.6600
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.1800
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.7300
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.2600
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.7400
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.2600
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.7400
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.3100
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.7350
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.1700
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.6900
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.6850
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.3200
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.7200
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.2800
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.7200
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.2800
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.7200
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2550
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.8050
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.2800
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.7350
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.2600
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.7050
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.3200
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.6800
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.5050
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.4600
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.6150
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.3350
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.3550
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.6300
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.2950
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.7550
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.4850
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.5500
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.3600
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.6950
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.3950
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.4950
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5150
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.1150
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.8850
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.0950
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.5800
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.3400
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.5200
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.3905
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.7925
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.0600
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.9355
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.0595
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.7380
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.3625
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.6660
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.2965
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.8110
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.3535
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.6305
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.3865
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.6120
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.2925
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.8950
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.3560
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.5595
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.4325
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.9430
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.0525
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.6665
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.0750
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.6550
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.0690
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.5570
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.4555
2025-03-18 06:00: 0.5880
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.0570
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.9355
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.3845
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.6305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 556.82, Sell volume: 14.99, Average price: 0.8142, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.2900
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.9200
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.0815
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.7295
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.4290
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.6395
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.4155
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.5350
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.4955
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.5455
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.5005
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.4995
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.3450
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.5950
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.4150
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.6005
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.3500
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.5905
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.5010
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.6705
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.4045
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.5950
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.4000
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.5600
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.4860
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.5205
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.3300
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.5260
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.4690
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.5025
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.5005
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.5695
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.3850
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.5125
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.3550
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.8850
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.2805
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.6810
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.4030
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.6250
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.4395
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.6000
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.4795
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.6300
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.3295
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.5630
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.3900
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.7400
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.4105
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.4995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 646, Buy volume: 532454.20, Sell volume: 25013.31, Average price: 0.4059, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.1850
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.7400
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.2695
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.7450
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.2575
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.2545
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.7430
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.2600
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.7430
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.2575
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.7425
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.2475
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.7785
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.2575
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.7425
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.2570
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.7425
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.2575
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.7425
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.2080
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.7350
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.2125
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.7525
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.2570
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.7425
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.2425
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.7470
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.2525
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.7475
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.2520
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.7430
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.2075
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.7475
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.2325
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.7475
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.0730
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.9275
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.0725
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9265
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.0735
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.7575
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.2570
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.7550
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.2520
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.7535
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.1580
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.9135
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.0865
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 646, Buy volume: 532454.20, Sell volume: 25013.31, Average price: 0.4059, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.0880
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.7360
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.2585
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.7415
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.2555
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.7445
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.5090
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.5540
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.4230
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.5965
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.3995
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.6065
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.3900
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.6100
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.3360
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.9190
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.0720
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.9280
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0675
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.4965
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.3110
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.8640
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.0905
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.8050
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.0715
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.9385
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.0675
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9325
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.3550
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.8600
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0855
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.9145
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.0855
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.9145
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0855
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.9145
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.0855
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9145
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0855
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.9145
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0855
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.9145
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0855
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.9145
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.5270
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.4725
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.3570
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7300
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.2205
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.7795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 271.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0950, Price range: 0.0950 - 0.0950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.4800
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.4850
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.4530
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.5350
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.4660
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.5400
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.4345
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.5350
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.1150
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.8850
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.1170
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.8790
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.1105
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.8840
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.1160
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.8880
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.1170
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.8780
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.5250
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.4650
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.5900
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.8810
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.1190
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.8760
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.1240
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.8825
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.4400
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.6350
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.4450
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.5010
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.4450
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.5950
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.4550
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.5050
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.4950
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.5355
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.4990
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.5150
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.5750
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.3895
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.4450
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.5005
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.4650
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.7740
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.1135
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.8795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 35.42, Sell volume: 24.94, Average price: 0.5006, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.1120
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.8880
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.1050
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.8965
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.1005
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.9015
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0995
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9040
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1085
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.8920
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.1085
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.8915
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.1070
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.8960
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.1025
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.8980
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.1225
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.8850
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.1150
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.7600
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.1280
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.8490
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.1270
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.8940
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.1115
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.5385
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.1500
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.8550
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.2795
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.7930
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.1395
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.8745
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.1255
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.8745
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.1185
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.8815
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.1180
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.8825
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.1180
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.8820
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.1175
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.8820
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.1185
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.8865
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.1575
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.8600
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.1200
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.8955
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.1030
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 123.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5460, Price range: 0.2120 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.1010
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.8985
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.4040
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.5005
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.4175
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.4075
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.1870
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.7250
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.1185
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.8825
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.1175
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.8860
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.1040
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.5505
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.1295
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.8745
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.1200
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.8800
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.1200
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.8805
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.4050
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.8600
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.3120
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.6900
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.1135
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.8915
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.1085
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9095
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.1135
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.8960
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.1065
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.8900
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.1100
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.8980
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.2860
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.8550
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.1370
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.8700
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.1090
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9220
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.1010
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.8900
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.1085
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.8915
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.1085
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.8915
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0840
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.8835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 646, Buy volume: 532454.20, Sell volume: 25013.31, Average price: 0.4059, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.1140
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.8910
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.1140
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.8810
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.1090
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.8860
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.1140
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.8750
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.1235
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.8800
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.1190
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.7490
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.2800
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.7600
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.1350
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.7800
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.2250
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.7540
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.2465
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.7550
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.1950
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.8650
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.2850
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.8200
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.2860
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.7135
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.1550
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.8755
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.2800
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.8750
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.2450
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.7200
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.2150
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.1500
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.8750
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.2800
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.8600
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.1900
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.8400
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.2150
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.8755
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.2150
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.7850
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.2140
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.7850
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.1450
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.8820
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.1230
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.8455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 173.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1385, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.1460

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.1675
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.8250
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.2230
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.7770
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.2250
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.7800
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.1760
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.7850
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.2205
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.7850
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.2150
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.7850
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.1795
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.7800
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.2095
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.8675
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.2200
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.7800
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.2150
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.7850
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.2095
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.7800
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.2150
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.8650
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.1430
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.8505
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.1455
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.8645
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.2220
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.8850
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.1175
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.8770
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.1175
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.8875
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.1185
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.8825
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.1230
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.8795
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.1225
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.8815
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.1155
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.9215
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0790
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.8850
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.1155
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9190
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.0810
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9195
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.1160
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.8855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 166.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1638, Price range: 0.1360 - 0.1992

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0855
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9195
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.1160
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.8860
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.1210
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.8865
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.1145
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.8710
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.1295
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.9150
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0900
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9235
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.1220
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.8755
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.1295
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.8810
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.1205
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.8715
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.8830
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.1175
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.8825
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.1185
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.8750
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.1250
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.8760
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.1125
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.8830
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.1245
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.8550
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.1450
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.8575
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.1455
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.8580
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.1355
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.8585
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.1415
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.8640
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.1415
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.8640
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.1360
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.8590
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.1360
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.8640
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.1360
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.8585
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.1300
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.8690
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.1405
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.8595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 7909.67, Sell volume: 1153.21, Average price: 0.3711, Price range: 0.0024 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.1265
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.8720
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.1300
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.8700
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.1400
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.8675
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.1330
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.8685
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.1355
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.8640
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.1450
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.8505
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.1325
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.8660
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.1335
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.8715
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.1250
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.8775
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0490
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.8970
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.1085
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.8870
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.1140
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.8855
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.1145
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.8855
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.1160
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.8900
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.1100
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.8900
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.1150
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.8850
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.1065
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.8865
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.1135
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.8865
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.1125
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.8885
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.1060
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.8920
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.1040
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.8935
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.1090
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.8910
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.1085
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.9245
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.1095
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.8905
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0975
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.8985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 11601.37, Sell volume: 3835.20, Average price: 0.2561, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9640

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0790
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9220
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0775
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9260
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0680
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.9325
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0815
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9245
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0880
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9265
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0790
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.9210
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0780
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.9330
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0645
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.9360
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0595
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9340
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0660
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.9350
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0610
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.9380
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0620
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9375
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0620
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9385
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0620
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.9380
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0615
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.9395
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0590
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.9420
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.1125
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.9270
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0240
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.9775
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0245
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.9765
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0245
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9765
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.9965
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0120
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9835
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0150
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.9830
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0140
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9945
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 429, Buy volume: 511595.65, Sell volume: 19909.55, Average price: 0.4369, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.2850
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.1750
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.3800
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.3050
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.1900
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.2900
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.3050
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.2850
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.2700
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.2600
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.2600
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.1700
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.3100
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.2800
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.2800
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.2800
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2550
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.1950
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.2950
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.2950
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.3200
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.4500
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.3350
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.3550
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.3150
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.4300
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.3050
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.3350
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.4900
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.1150
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.1150
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.3700
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.4800
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.2075
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.1955
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.1855
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.3625
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.3350
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.2940
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.4975
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.3880
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.1650
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.2530
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.4325
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.0525
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.2245
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.3355
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.4430
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.4245
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.4170
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.3845
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 556.82, Sell volume: 14.99, Average price: 0.8142, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.2900
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.0810
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.4055
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.4100
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.4650
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.4655
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.5010
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.3450
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.4200
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.4850
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.4090
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.3295
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.3850
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.3950
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.4860
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.3800
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.4700
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.4750
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.4305
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.4440
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.2900
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.2805
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.4035
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.3600
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.2600
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.3700
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.4380
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.3755
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.4105
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.4690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 646, Buy volume: 532454.20, Sell volume: 25013.31, Average price: 0.4059, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.1850
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.2400
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.2555
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.2570
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.2600
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.2580
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.2475
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.2570
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.2570
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.2570
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.2575
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.2600
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.2475
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.2570
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.2525
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.2480
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.2575
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.2570
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.2225
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.2525
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.0730
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.0725
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.0735
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.2525
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.2450
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.2470
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.1080
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.0865
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 646, Buy volume: 532454.20, Sell volume: 25013.31, Average price: 0.4059, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.0880
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.2585
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.2555
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.2555
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.4460
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.4135
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.3980
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.3900
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.3550
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.0740
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.0715
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.5035
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.1910
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.0830
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.0715
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.0670
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.3850
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.1000
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.0855
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0855
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.0855
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.0855
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0855
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0855
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0855
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0855
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.5275
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.3450
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.2205
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.2190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 271.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0950, Price range: 0.0950 - 0.0950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.4800
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.4645
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.4635
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.4645
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.4650
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.1150
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.1180
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.1105
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.1090
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.1115
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.5360
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.4750
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.4550
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.3250
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.1190
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.1240
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.4700
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.4600
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.4990
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.4250
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.4500
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.4950
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.4990
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.4400
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.4095
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.4950
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.4600
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.1135
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.1035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 35.42, Sell volume: 24.94, Average price: 0.5006, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.1120
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.1050
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0995
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0995
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0960
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1085
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.1085
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.1070
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.1015
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.1900
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.1150
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.1480
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.1190
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.1115
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.1500
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.1435
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.2040
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.1255
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.1255
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.1185
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.1180
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.1185
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.1175
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.1180
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.1135
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.1440
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.1095
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.1030
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 123.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5460, Price range: 0.2120 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.1010
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.4350
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.5005
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.4605
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.3840
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.1175
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.1175
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.1105
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.3600
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.1255
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.1200
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.1195
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.3750
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.3120
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.1135
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.1085
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0835
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.1040
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.1065
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.1100
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.2860
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.1400
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.1135
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0950
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.1100
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.1085
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.1035
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0840
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.1055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 646, Buy volume: 532454.20, Sell volume: 25013.31, Average price: 0.4059, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.1140
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.1140
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.1190
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.1140
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.1250
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.1150
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0805
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.2800
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.1250
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.1750
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.2465
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.2450
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.2795
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.2495
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.2860
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.2850
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.2545
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.2150
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.2800
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.1700
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.2045
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.2800
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.1880
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.2050
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.1230
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.2150
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.2150
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.1340
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.1230
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.1210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 173.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1385, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.1460
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.1675
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.1675
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.2225
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.2100
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.2150
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.2250
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.2150
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.1795
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.1845
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.1850
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.2200
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.2150
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.2250
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0885
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.1430
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.1405
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.2140
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.1125
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.1230
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.1125
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.1160
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.1230
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.1220
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.1205
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0775
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.1150
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0785
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0785
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.1160
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.1155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 166.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1638, Price range: 0.1360 - 0.1992
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0855
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.1160
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.1210
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0980
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.1290
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.1315
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0830
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.1220
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.1320
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0800
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.1030
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.1170
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.1175
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.1180
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.1250
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.1170
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.1250
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.1450
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.1425
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.1420
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.1410
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.1415
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.1415
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.1360
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.1360
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.1360
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.1455
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.1310
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.1405
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 7909.67, Sell volume: 1153.21, Average price: 0.3711, Price range: 0.0024 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.1265
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.1270
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.1510
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.1305
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.1315
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.1350
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.1445
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.1325
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.1320
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.1345
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.1190
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.1030
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.1105
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.1140
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.1145
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.1160
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.1100
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.1100
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.1150
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.1135
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.1135
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.1125
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.1020
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.1005
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.1075
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.1090
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0735
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.1095
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0975
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.1035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 11601.37, Sell volume: 3835.20, Average price: 0.2561, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9640
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525572
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 557687.379518
Price History:
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0790
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0840
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0725
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0740
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0755
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0785
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0790
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0780
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0640
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0630
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0660
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0650
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0610
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0615
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0620
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0620
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0615
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0605
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0580
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0920
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0255
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0245
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0245
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0265
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0030
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0165
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0170
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0080
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 429, Buy volume: 511595.65, Sell volume: 19909.55, Average price: 0.4369, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.2450
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.8100
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.3750
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.7350
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.1700
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.6950
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.2500
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.8350
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.3250
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.7050
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.3000
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.6900
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.3100
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.6600
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.2650
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.7500
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.2500
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.7500
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.2500
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.7500
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.3100
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.7650
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.1700
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.8450
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.2750
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.7250
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.2750
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.3050
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.7650
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2550
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.7800
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.2600
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.7350
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.2600
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.7300
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.2950
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.7000
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.5050
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.4200
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.6750
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 25506.41, Sell volume: 2087.67, Average price: 0.5241, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.4100
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.5200
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.4900
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.5100
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.4900
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.5350
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.4150
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.5500
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.5500
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.4950
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5100
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.1250
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.8750
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.1250
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.5600
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.4100
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.5150
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.3855
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.6280
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.0515
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.9425
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.3790
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.6890
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.3970
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.6305
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.3685
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.5840
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.3900
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.5940
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.4980
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.5490
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.3840
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.6690
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.4545
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.5365
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.4015
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.6310
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.4810
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.6275
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.3585
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.6495
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.4750
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.5970
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.4525
2025-03-18 06:00: 0.5500
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.3350
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.5560
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.3085
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 531.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9179, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.3655
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.9770
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.0250
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.7435
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.4885
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.5495
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.3745
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.5445
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.4035
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.5990
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.3820
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.5660
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.3665
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.6560
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.4910
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.6195
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.4255
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.5800
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.4620
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.5720
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.4330
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.5320
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.4655
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.5970
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.4450
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.5470
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.6730
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.4995
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.6190
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.3685
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.6345
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.4170
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.5725
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.3550
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.5595
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.3660
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.6340
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.3660
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.6600
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.4370
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.5805
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.3460
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.5990
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.4995
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.6115
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.3655
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.6345
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.3655
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.5020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 25506.41, Sell volume: 2087.67, Average price: 0.5241, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.2450
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.2450
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.2495
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.7515
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.2495
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.7505
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.2495
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.7515
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.7505
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.2495
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.7505
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.2495
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.7505
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.2495
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.7505
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.2495
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.7505
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.7500
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.2495
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.7505
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.2495
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.7505
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.2495
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.7500
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.2495
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.7505
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.2495
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.7505
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.2495
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.7505
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.2495
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.7505
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.1525
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.9520
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.0250
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9715
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.0260
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.7505
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.2495
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.7935
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.2155
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.7845
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.2155
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.7845
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.2155
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.7845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 25506.41, Sell volume: 2087.67, Average price: 0.5241, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.2155
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.7550
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.2255
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.8155
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.1535
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.8490
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.1350
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.8875
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.0880
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.9265
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.0645
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.9455
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.0465
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.9625
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.0300
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.5885
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.3960
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.6175
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.3495
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.6625
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.3005
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.7075
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.4270
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.5785
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.3685
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.6840
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.2930
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.7280
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.2535
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.7760
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.2045
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.8045
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.1835
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.8225
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.1615
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.8510
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.4020
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.6230
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.3490
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.6610
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.3220
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.6860
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.2990
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.7170
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.2650
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.7440
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.2535
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.2425
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.7575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 25506.41, Sell volume: 2087.67, Average price: 0.5241, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.5090
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.5005
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.5200
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.4670
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.5090
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.5025
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.4960
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.4105
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.5575
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.5030
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.5405
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.4940
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.4950
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.3860
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.5370
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.4060
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.4980
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.5035
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.5330
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.3790
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.6320
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.3205
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.7130
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.1210
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.9415
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0090
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9930
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.9930
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9930
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9930
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.9930
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9930
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.9885
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 6.11, Sell volume: 6.10, Average price: 0.5473, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9800
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0195
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.9815
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0185
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9800
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0200
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9785
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0210
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9800
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0210
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9750
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0225
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9780
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.3135
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.6870
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.3130
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.6335
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.3665
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.6725
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.3025
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.7100
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.2900
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.7100
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.2890
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.7110
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.4920
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.5565
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.3420
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.6620
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.3380
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.6620
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.3360
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.6640
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.3355
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.6645
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.3365
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.6635
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.3360
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.6640
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.3390
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.6635
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.4390
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6500
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3335
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.6915
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.2900
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.7325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 39.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0255, Price range: 0.0255 - 0.0255

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.1950
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.8050
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.4840
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.5435
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.4200
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.5825
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.4830
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.5655
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.4095
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.5965
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.3900
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.6260
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3710
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.6380
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.3570
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.6505
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.3385
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.6580
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3360
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.3265
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.4935
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.5605
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.3640
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.6730
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.2630
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.7705
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.1865
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.8595
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0905
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9400
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0335
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0285
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9745
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.5055
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.5100
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.3700
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.3470
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.6630
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.3315
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.5535
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.3530
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.6495
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.3425
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.6555
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.4445
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.5835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4960, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9620

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.3115
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.6890
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.3090
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.6930
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.3015
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.7125
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.2870
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.7180
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.2870
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.7190
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.2800
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.6355
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.3410
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.6795
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.3185
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.6890
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.3175
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.6885
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.3095
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.6925
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.3060
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.7140
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.2760
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.7245
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.3115
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.6885
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.3275
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.6895
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.3570
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.6795
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.3285
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.6725
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.3260
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.6855
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.3155
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.6290
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.3605
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.6395
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.3570
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.6825
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.3055
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.6945
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.2965
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.7040
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.2925
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.7085
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.2910
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.7090
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.2915
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.7090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 25506.41, Sell volume: 2087.67, Average price: 0.5241, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.2855
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.6400
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.3265
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.6735
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.3230
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.6335
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.3640
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.6800
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.3080
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.7030
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.3300
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.6700
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.3650
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.6705
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.3295
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.6705
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.3300
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.6600
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.3410
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.6625
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.3335
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.6665
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.3270
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.6650
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.3290
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.6725
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.3165
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.6830
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.3170
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9490
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0510
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.9490
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.0510
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.9545
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.0455
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.9540
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0450
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.9550
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0455
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.9545
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0410
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.9600
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0400
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.9600
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0400
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9590
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.0410
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9590
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0410
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9590
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 25506.41, Sell volume: 2087.67, Average price: 0.5241, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0410
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9590
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0410
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9590
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0410
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9590
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0410
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9590
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0445
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.9580
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0410
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9590
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0410
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.9585
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0410
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.9590
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.0415
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.9715
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0305
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9625
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0405
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.9595
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.0405
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.9615
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0400
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.9605
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0405
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.9595
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0410
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9590
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0410
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.9590
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0410
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9590
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0415
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9590
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0410
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9590
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0410
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9590
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0410
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9590
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0410
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9590
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0410
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9590
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0415
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9590
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0360
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 80.85, Sell volume: 39.20, Average price: 0.0536, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0798

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9640
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0360
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9635
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0365
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9640
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0360
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9595
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0405
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9595
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0405
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9595
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0405
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9595
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0405
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9595
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0255
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9745
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0170
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9830
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0170
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9845
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0160
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9840
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0160
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9835
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0160
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9875
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9835
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0190
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.9825
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0150
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.9850
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0175
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9850
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0150
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.9820
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0150
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9830
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0150
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.9830
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0175
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.9850
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0150
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.9850
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0165
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.9845
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0150
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 117.82, Sell volume: 195.75, Average price: 0.1370, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes