Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525003
Question: Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 942303.905895
Price History:
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9960
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.9965
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.9955
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.9955
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90498176.76, Sell volume: 31836071.35, Average price: 0.6638, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525003
Question: Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 942303.905895
Price History:
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.9940
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0060
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9930
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0080
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.9920
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.9920
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9935
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9930
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9925
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0075
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9925
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90498176.76, Sell volume: 31836071.35, Average price: 0.6638, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525003
Question: Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 942303.905895
Price History:
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0075
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.9925
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0075
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9925
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0080
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9925
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0075
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9910
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9925
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0075
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9925
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9925
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.9925
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0075
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0075
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.0550
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90498176.76, Sell volume: 31836071.35, Average price: 0.6638, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525003
Question: Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 942303.905895
Price History:
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0095
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9910
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9860
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0125
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9860
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0220
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9790
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0315
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9700
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0325
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9690
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9740
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0325
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9685
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0320
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9665
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0275
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9760
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0225
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9765
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0225
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9795
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0180
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9840
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9870
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0125
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9840
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0150
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9845
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0120
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9870
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0155
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9860
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9890
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0130
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9805
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0165
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9830
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0155
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0220
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9785
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0125
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9875
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0090
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90498176.76, Sell volume: 31836071.35, Average price: 0.6638, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525003
Question: Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 942303.905895
Price History:
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0135
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9870
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0130
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9875
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9875
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0150
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9860
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0125
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9875
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9890
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0110
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9870
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9880
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0110
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9910
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0110
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9890
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0135
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9850
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0125
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0115
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0125
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0135
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9875
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0155
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9870
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0140
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9835
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0135
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9875
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0130
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9870
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0115
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9875
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0115
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9875
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0100
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90498176.76, Sell volume: 31836071.35, Average price: 0.6638, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525003
Question: Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 942303.905895
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0110
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9880
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0130
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9895
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0100
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9890
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0130
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9870
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0125
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9875
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0135
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9860
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0180
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0140
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9865
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0145
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9860
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0135
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9865
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0135
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9875
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0125
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9840
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9845
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0130
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9855
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0135
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9865
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0135
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9850
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0175
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9815
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0195
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9830
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0155
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9875
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0195
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9765
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0165
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9795
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0200
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9755
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0195
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9845
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0140
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9865
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0125
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90498176.76, Sell volume: 31836071.35, Average price: 0.6638, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525003
Question: Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?
Volume: 942303.905895
Price History:
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0400
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.9565
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0435
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.9620
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0295
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9715
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.0295
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.9705
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0295
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.9705
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0325
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.9705
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0295
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.9700
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0220
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9795
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0210
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.9790
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0210
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9795
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0205
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.9850
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.1055
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9260
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0755
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9805
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.0155
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0205
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90498176.76, Sell volume: 31836071.35, Average price: 0.6638, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525003
Question: Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?
Volume: 942303.905895
Price History:
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0145
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9890
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0170
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9885
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0115
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9845
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0130
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9840
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0160
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9850
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0155
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9845
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0150
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9830
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0160
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9840
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0140
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9860
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0100
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9955
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0045
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9860
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0105
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9865
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0105
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9965
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9965
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90498176.76, Sell volume: 31836071.35, Average price: 0.6638, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525003
Question: Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?
Volume: 942303.905895
Price History:
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9965
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9965
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9965
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0035
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9965
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9965
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9965
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9965
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.9965
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.9965
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.9965
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.9965
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90498176.76, Sell volume: 31836071.35, Average price: 0.6638, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525003
Question: Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?
Volume: 942303.905895
Price History:
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.9965
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.9965
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.9965
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.9965
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.9965
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.9965
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.9965
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.9965
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.9965
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9965
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90498176.76, Sell volume: 31836071.35, Average price: 0.6638, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525003
Question: Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?
Volume: 942303.905895
Price History:
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.9915
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.0085
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9900
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.0085
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9920
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.0090
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.9900
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.0080
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.9915
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0085
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.9905
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.0075
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.9910
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.0095
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9915
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0085
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.9900
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.0100
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.9905
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0100
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9900
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.0085
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.9930
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0070
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9935
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.0065
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.9935
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.0070
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90498176.76, Sell volume: 31836071.35, Average price: 0.6638, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525003
Question: Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?
Volume: 942303.905895
Price History:
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0070
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.9925
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.0070
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.9930
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.0070
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9930
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.0075
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9930
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.0065
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.9935
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0060
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.9935
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0065
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.9935
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0065
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9925
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0065
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.9930
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0065
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.9940
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0070
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.9930
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.0070
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.9930
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0040
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90498176.76, Sell volume: 31836071.35, Average price: 0.6638, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525003
Question: Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?
Volume: 942303.905895
Price History:
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9965
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9940
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0060
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.9935
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.9940
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9930
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9955
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90498176.76, Sell volume: 31836071.35, Average price: 0.6638, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525003
Question: Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?
Volume: 942303.905895
Price History:
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.9965
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90498176.76, Sell volume: 31836071.35, Average price: 0.6638, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525003
Question: Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?
Volume: 942303.905895
Price History:
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0080
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.9920
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9940
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9925
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9925
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0075
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90498176.76, Sell volume: 31836071.35, Average price: 0.6638, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525003
Question: Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?
Volume: 942303.905895
Price History:
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0075
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9925
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9925
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9925
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.9890
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90498176.76, Sell volume: 31836071.35, Average price: 0.6638, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525003
Question: Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?
Volume: 942303.905895
Price History:
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0095
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9885
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0160
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9870
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0220
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0310
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9745
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0340
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9680
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0275
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9775
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9800
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9870
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9880
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0110
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9845
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9865
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0165
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9835
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0215
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9785
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0125
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9885
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0125
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90498176.76, Sell volume: 31836071.35, Average price: 0.6638, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525003
Question: Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?
Volume: 942303.905895
Price History:
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0135
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9870
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9875
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0120
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9860
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0125
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9885
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9880
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0110
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9895
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0125
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9850
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0125
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9865
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0155
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9865
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0135
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9875
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0120
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9875
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9900
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0130
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90498176.76, Sell volume: 31836071.35, Average price: 0.6638, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525003
Question: Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?
Volume: 942303.905895
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0110
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9900
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9870
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0130
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9875
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0140
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9855
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0135
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9855
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0135
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9870
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0125
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9840
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0140
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9855
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0135
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9865
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0175
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9805
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0155
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9810
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0165
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9770
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0195
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9845
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0135
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9870
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0245
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90498176.76, Sell volume: 31836071.35, Average price: 0.6638, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.1350
2024-12-16 22:00: 0.0950
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.1700
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.1700
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.1615
2024-12-17 06:00: 0.1595
2024-12-17 08:00: 0.1710
2024-12-17 10:00: 0.2250
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.2105
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.2145
2024-12-17 16:00: 0.2140
2024-12-17 18:00: 0.2140
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.1990
2024-12-17 22:00: 0.2045
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.2050
2024-12-18 02:00: 0.2060
2024-12-18 04:00: 0.2060
2024-12-18 06:00: 0.2055
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.2055
2024-12-18 10:00: 0.2115
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.2410
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.2385
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.2430
2024-12-18 18:00: 0.2620
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.2995
2024-12-18 22:00: 0.2985
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.3040
2024-12-19 02:00: 0.3020
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.3020
2024-12-19 06:00: 0.3020
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.3195
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.3085
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.3085
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.3085
2024-12-19 16:00: 0.3090
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.3095
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.3100
2024-12-19 22:00: 0.3095
2024-12-20 00:00: 0.3100
2024-12-20 02:00: 0.3090
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.3090
2024-12-20 06:00: 0.3090
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.3135
2024-12-20 10:00: 0.3135
2024-12-20 12:00: 0.3135
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.3135
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.3135
2024-12-20 18:00: 0.3135
2024-12-20 20:00: 0.3135
2024-12-20 22:00: 0.3135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1760047982.06, Sell volume: 32969205.34, Average price: 0.4583, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2024-12-21 06:00: 0.6870
2024-12-21 08:00: 0.6870
2024-12-21 10:00: 0.6870
2024-12-21 12:00: 0.6870
2024-12-21 14:00: 0.6870
2024-12-21 16:00: 0.6870
2024-12-21 18:00: 0.6770
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.6770
2024-12-21 22:00: 0.7035
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.7210
2024-12-22 02:00: 0.7225
2024-12-22 04:00: 0.7245
2024-12-22 06:00: 0.7250
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.7260
2024-12-22 10:00: 0.7275
2024-12-22 12:00: 0.7275
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.7430
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.7470
2024-12-22 18:00: 0.7470
2024-12-22 20:00: 0.7380
2024-12-22 22:00: 0.7380
2024-12-23 00:00: 0.7370
2024-12-23 02:00: 0.7380
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.7380
2024-12-23 06:00: 0.7380
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.7305
2024-12-23 10:00: 0.7320
2024-12-23 12:00: 0.7345
2024-12-23 14:00: 0.7295
2024-12-23 16:00: 0.7290
2024-12-23 18:00: 0.7295
2024-12-23 20:00: 0.7290
2024-12-23 22:00: 0.7295
2024-12-24 00:00: 0.7245
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.7250
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.7250
2024-12-24 06:00: 0.7250
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.7250
2024-12-24 10:00: 0.7300
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.7300
2024-12-24 14:00: 0.7300
2024-12-24 16:00: 0.6780
2024-12-24 18:00: 0.6820
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.6885
2024-12-24 22:00: 0.6835
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.6835
2024-12-25 02:00: 0.6855
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.6945
2024-12-25 06:00: 0.6965
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.6935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1760047982.06, Sell volume: 32969205.34, Average price: 0.4583, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2024-12-25 17:00: 0.2905
2024-12-25 19:00: 0.2655
2024-12-25 21:00: 0.2535
2024-12-25 23:00: 0.2545
2024-12-26 01:00: 0.2520
2024-12-26 03:00: 0.2510
2024-12-26 05:00: 0.2535
2024-12-26 07:00: 0.2515
2024-12-26 09:00: 0.2545
2024-12-26 11:00: 0.2570
2024-12-26 13:00: 0.2650
2024-12-26 15:00: 0.2705
2024-12-26 17:00: 0.2555
2024-12-26 19:00: 0.2565
2024-12-26 21:00: 0.2570
2024-12-26 23:00: 0.2580
2024-12-27 01:00: 0.2770
2024-12-27 03:00: 0.2770
2024-12-27 05:00: 0.2775
2024-12-27 07:00: 0.2770
2024-12-27 09:00: 0.2770
2024-12-27 11:00: 0.2770
2024-12-27 13:00: 0.2670
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.2740
2024-12-27 17:00: 0.2645
2024-12-27 19:00: 0.2605
2024-12-27 21:00: 0.2595
2024-12-27 23:00: 0.2605
2024-12-28 01:00: 0.2635
2024-12-28 03:00: 0.2650
2024-12-28 05:00: 0.2660
2024-12-28 07:00: 0.2655
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.2540
2024-12-28 11:00: 0.2540
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.2610
2024-12-28 15:00: 0.2570
2024-12-28 17:00: 0.2595
2024-12-28 19:00: 0.2595
2024-12-28 21:00: 0.2635
2024-12-28 23:00: 0.2675
2024-12-29 01:00: 0.2675
2024-12-29 03:00: 0.2675
2024-12-29 05:00: 0.2675
2024-12-29 07:00: 0.2675
2024-12-29 09:00: 0.2665
2024-12-29 11:00: 0.2665
2024-12-29 13:00: 0.2650
2024-12-29 15:00: 0.2545
2024-12-29 17:00: 0.2535
2024-12-29 19:00: 0.2530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1760047982.06, Sell volume: 32969205.34, Average price: 0.4583, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2024-12-30 03:00: 0.7470
2024-12-30 05:00: 0.7470
2024-12-30 07:00: 0.7465
2024-12-30 09:00: 0.7530
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.7530
2024-12-30 13:00: 0.7530
2024-12-30 15:00: 0.7530
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.7575
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.7565
2024-12-30 21:00: 0.7490
2024-12-30 23:00: 0.7490
2024-12-31 01:00: 0.7490
2024-12-31 03:00: 0.7500
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.7500
2024-12-31 07:00: 0.7500
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.7500
2024-12-31 11:00: 0.7500
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.7500
2024-12-31 15:00: 0.7500
2024-12-31 17:00: 0.7500
2024-12-31 19:00: 0.7500
2024-12-31 21:00: 0.7500
2024-12-31 23:00: 0.7510
2025-01-01 01:00: 0.7510
2025-01-01 03:00: 0.7510
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.7510
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.7540
2025-01-01 09:00: 0.7595
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.7700
2025-01-01 13:00: 0.7720
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.7720
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.7735
2025-01-01 19:00: 0.7855
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.7860
2025-01-01 23:00: 0.7740
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.7720
2025-01-02 03:00: 0.7745
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.7710
2025-01-02 07:00: 0.7710
2025-01-02 09:00: 0.7760
2025-01-02 11:00: 0.7710
2025-01-02 13:00: 0.7890
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.8115
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.8120
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.8190
2025-01-02 21:00: 0.8135
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.8195
2025-01-03 01:00: 0.8220
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.8225
2025-01-03 05:00: 0.8225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1760047982.06, Sell volume: 32969205.34, Average price: 0.4583, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.2085
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.2075
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.2075
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.2065
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.2015
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.1960
2025-01-04 02:00: 0.1960
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.1960
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.1960
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.1960
2025-01-04 10:00: 0.1965
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.1920
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.1920
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.2025
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.2050
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.2050
2025-01-04 22:00: 0.2155
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.2260
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.2200
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.2220
2025-01-05 06:00: 0.2240
2025-01-05 08:00: 0.2240
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.2385
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.2305
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.2305
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.2310
2025-01-05 18:00: 0.2315
2025-01-05 20:00: 0.2315
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.2460
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.2455
2025-01-06 02:00: 0.2455
2025-01-06 04:00: 0.2455
2025-01-06 06:00: 0.2465
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.2460
2025-01-06 10:00: 0.2495
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.2495
2025-01-06 14:00: 0.2495
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.2505
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.2520
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.2520
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.2520
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.2520
2025-01-07 02:00: 0.2520
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.2520
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.2520
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.2520
2025-01-07 10:00: 0.2520
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.2520
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.2520
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.2520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1760047982.06, Sell volume: 32969205.34, Average price: 0.4583, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.7480
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.7480
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.7480
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.7455
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.7420
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.7450
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.7440
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.7435
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.7430
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.7420
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.7420
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.7420
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.7315
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.7745
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.7770
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.7760
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.7780
2025-01-09 10:00: 0.7800
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.7805
2025-01-09 14:00: 0.7820
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.7895
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.7910
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.7845
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.8300
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.8405
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.8220
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.8080
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.8020
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.7875
2025-01-10 10:00: 0.7870
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.7885
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.7875
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.8025
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.7925
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.7840
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.7840
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.7840
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.7840
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.7840
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.7840
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.7840
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.7840
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.7905
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.7980
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.7935
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.7885
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.7945
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.7920
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.7845
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.7845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1760047982.06, Sell volume: 32969205.34, Average price: 0.4583, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.1930
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.1925
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.1980
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.2095
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.2110
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.2130
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.2080
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.2070
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.2175
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.2175
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.2175
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.2160
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.2160
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.2110
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.2175
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.2170
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.2150
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.2185
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.2195
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.2275
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.2260
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.2280
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.2270
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.2280
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.2290
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.2275
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.2345
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.2350
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.2350
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.2255
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.2255
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.2255
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.2250
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.2250
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.2250
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.2320
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.2320
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.2320
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.2320
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.2085
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.2310
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.2310
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.2310
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.2310
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.2310
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.2310
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.2300
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.2290
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.2295
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.2230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1760047982.06, Sell volume: 32969205.34, Average price: 0.4583, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.7855
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.7890
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.7875
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.7875
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.8200
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.8210
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.8235
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.8240
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.8225
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.8045
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.7975
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.8000
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.7945
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.7980
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.7980
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.7865
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.7775
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.7815
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.7795
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.7815
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.7825
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.7825
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.7830
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.7815
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.7815
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.7810
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.7825
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.7815
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.7815
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.7800
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.7800
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.7760
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.7760
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.7395
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.7410
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.7555
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.7570
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.7670
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.7640
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.8040
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.8185
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.8185
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.8110
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.8200
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.8155
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.7980
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.7465
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.7310
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.7170
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1760047982.06, Sell volume: 32969205.34, Average price: 0.4583, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.2690
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.2695
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.2650
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.2690
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.2720
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.2665
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.2555
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.2200
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.2325
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.2390
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.2405
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.2475
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.2515
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.2515
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.2515
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.2520
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.2530
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.2530
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.2530
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.2530
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.2085
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.2060
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.2010
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.2020
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.1920
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.1955
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.1960
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.1600
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.1675
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.1635
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.1690
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.1540
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.1600
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.1580
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.1350
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.1370
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.1325
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.1300
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.1455
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.1440
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.1425
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.1360
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.1285
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.1150
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.1045
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.1045
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.0910
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.0950
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.0925
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.0970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1760047982.06, Sell volume: 32969205.34, Average price: 0.4583, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.9280
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.9180
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.9220
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.9240
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.9210
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.9325
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.9340
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.9335
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.9325
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.9325
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.9280
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.9270
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.9260
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.9230
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.9230
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.9225
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.9185
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.9125
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.9135
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.9145
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.9150
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.9130
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.9020
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.8945
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.9015
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.8980
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.8975
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.8865
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.8790
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.8855
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.8905
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.8935
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.8850
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.8860
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.8870
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.8865
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.8790
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.8790
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.8845
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.8950
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.8985
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.8905
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.8950
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.9005
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.9100
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.9120
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.9165
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.9135
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.9150
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.9165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1760047982.06, Sell volume: 32969205.34, Average price: 0.4583, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.0815
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0805
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.0805
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0635
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0660
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.0465
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.0680
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.0610
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.0645
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.0770
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0760
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0685
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.0675
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0630
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0685
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.0705
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0705
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0700
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0760
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.0775
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0775
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.0800
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.0810
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.0810
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.0585
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0635
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0635
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0650
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0765
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0690
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.0820
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.0820
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.0840
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.1305
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.1075
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.1090
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.1090
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.1060
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.1055
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.1045
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.1050
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0920
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0940
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0980
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.1230
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.1195
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.0990
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.1050
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.1125
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.1220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 621378, Buy volume: 1336822644.49, Sell volume: 17707514.76, Average price: 0.4678, Price range: 0.0388 - 0.9640

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.8955
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.8750
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.8785
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.8660
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.8770
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.8640
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.8725
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.8735
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.8705
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.8625
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.8495
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.8450
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.8300
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.8515
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.8500
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.8480
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.8580
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.8675
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.8820
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.8965
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.8935
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.9105
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.8750
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.8640
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.8655
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.8725
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.8760
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.8705
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.8610
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.8775
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.8795
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.8780
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.8850
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.8810
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.8765
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.8745
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.8435
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.8430
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.8465
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.8825
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9310
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9710
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9615
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.9640
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9530
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.9475
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.9425
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9300
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.9405
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.9395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 378086, Buy volume: 422699320.40, Sell volume: 15121566.76, Average price: 0.4422, Price range: 0.0231 - 0.9740

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0405
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0435
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0560
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0550
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0575
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0620
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0600
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0545
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0565
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0595
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0610
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0615
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0575
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0560
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0585
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0585
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0625
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0515
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0530
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0510
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0475
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0535
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.0495
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.0480
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0480
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0480
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0475
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0475
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0475
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0460
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0600
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0575
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0180
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0200
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0165
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0160
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0170
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0160
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0175
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0175
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0140
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0125
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0145
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0115
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0155
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0115
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0220
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0365
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0210
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 525, Buy volume: 526012.73, Sell volume: 119490.69, Average price: 0.6904, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.1350
2024-12-16 23:00: 0.8750
2024-12-17 03:00: 0.1600
2024-12-17 06:00: 0.8405
2024-12-17 10:00: 0.2250
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.7855
2024-12-17 17:00: 0.2140
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.8010
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.2050
2024-12-18 03:00: 0.7950
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.2065
2024-12-18 10:00: 0.7885
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.2385
2024-12-18 17:00: 0.7580
2024-12-18 21:00: 0.2985
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.6960
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.3020
2024-12-19 07:00: 0.6825
2024-12-19 11:00: 0.3085
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.6915
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.3095
2024-12-19 21:00: 0.6905
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.3090
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.6910
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.3135
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.6860
2024-12-20 15:00: 0.3130
2024-12-20 18:00: 0.6865
2024-12-20 22:00: 0.3135
2024-12-21 01:00: 0.6865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1760047982.06, Sell volume: 32969205.34, Average price: 0.4583, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2024-12-21 06:00: 0.6870
2024-12-21 10:00: 0.3130
2024-12-21 13:00: 0.6870
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.3130
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.6770
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.2790
2024-12-22 03:00: 0.7235
2024-12-22 07:00: 0.2745
2024-12-22 10:00: 0.7275
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.2570
2024-12-22 17:00: 0.7470
2024-12-22 21:00: 0.2620
2024-12-23 00:00: 0.7370
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.2620
2024-12-23 07:00: 0.7380
2024-12-23 11:00: 0.2665
2024-12-23 14:00: 0.7295
2024-12-23 18:00: 0.2705
2024-12-23 21:00: 0.7295
2024-12-24 01:00: 0.2750
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.7250
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.2750
2024-12-24 11:00: 0.7300
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.2700
2024-12-24 18:00: 0.6820
2024-12-24 22:00: 0.3165
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.6840
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.3035
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.6935
2024-12-25 12:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1760047982.06, Sell volume: 32969205.34, Average price: 0.4583, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2024-12-25 17:00: 0.2905
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.7360
2024-12-26 00:00: 0.2520
2024-12-26 03:00: 0.7490
2024-12-26 07:00: 0.2515
2024-12-26 10:00: 0.7450
2024-12-26 14:00: 0.2690
2024-12-26 17:00: 0.7445
2024-12-26 21:00: 0.2570
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.7335
2024-12-27 04:00: 0.2775
2024-12-27 07:00: 0.7230
2024-12-27 11:00: 0.2770
2024-12-27 14:00: 0.7255
2024-12-27 18:00: 0.2540
2024-12-27 21:00: 0.7405
2024-12-28 01:00: 0.2635
2024-12-28 04:00: 0.7345
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.2650
2024-12-28 11:00: 0.7460
2024-12-28 15:00: 0.2570
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.7405
2024-12-28 22:00: 0.2670
2024-12-29 01:00: 0.7325
2024-12-29 05:00: 0.2675
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.7325
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.2665
2024-12-29 15:00: 0.7455
2024-12-29 19:00: 0.2530
2024-12-29 22:00: 0.7480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1760047982.06, Sell volume: 32969205.34, Average price: 0.4583, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2024-12-30 03:00: 0.7470
2024-12-30 07:00: 0.2535
2024-12-30 10:00: 0.7530
2024-12-30 14:00: 0.2440
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.7575
2024-12-30 21:00: 0.2510
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.7490
2024-12-31 04:00: 0.2500
2024-12-31 07:00: 0.7500
2024-12-31 11:00: 0.2500
2024-12-31 14:00: 0.7500
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.2500
2024-12-31 21:00: 0.7500
2025-01-01 01:00: 0.2490
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.7510
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.2420
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.7700
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.2280
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.7825
2025-01-01 22:00: 0.2300
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.7720
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.2290
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.7710
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.2290
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.8115
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.1810
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.8185
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.1775
2025-01-03 05:00: 0.8225
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.1770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1760047982.06, Sell volume: 32969205.34, Average price: 0.4583, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.2085
2025-01-03 17:00: 0.7905
2025-01-03 21:00: 0.1920
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.8040
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.1960
2025-01-04 07:00: 0.8035
2025-01-04 11:00: 0.1920
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.8080
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.2050
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.7845
2025-01-05 01:00: 0.2200
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.7780
2025-01-05 08:00: 0.2240
2025-01-05 11:00: 0.7700
2025-01-05 15:00: 0.2305
2025-01-05 18:00: 0.7685
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.2460
2025-01-06 01:00: 0.7545
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.2465
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.7540
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.2495
2025-01-06 15:00: 0.7500
2025-01-06 19:00: 0.2520
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.7480
2025-01-07 02:00: 0.2520
2025-01-07 05:00: 0.7480
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.2520
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.7480
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.2520
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.7480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1760047982.06, Sell volume: 32969205.34, Average price: 0.4583, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.7480
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.2520
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.7440
2025-01-08 11:00: 0.2555
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.7435
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.2580
2025-01-08 21:00: 0.7420
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.2265
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.7770
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.2220
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.7800
2025-01-09 15:00: 0.2175
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.7910
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.1700
2025-01-10 01:00: 0.8490
2025-01-10 05:00: 0.2005
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.7875
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.2115
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.7890
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.2100
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.7840
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.2160
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.7840
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.2160
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.7905
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.2065
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.7915
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.2150
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.7845
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.2230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1760047982.06, Sell volume: 32969205.34, Average price: 0.4583, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.1930
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.8050
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.2160
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.7870
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.2070
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.7825
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.2175
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.7840
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.2175
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.7880
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.2195
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.7725
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.2280
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.7720
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.2290
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.7655
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.2350
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.7745
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.2255
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.7750
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.2320
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.7680
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.2330
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.7690
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.2310
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.7685
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.2295
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.7710
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.2230
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.7845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1760047982.06, Sell volume: 32969205.34, Average price: 0.4583, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.7855
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.2125
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.8225
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.1910
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.8240
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.1955
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.8005
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.2065
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.7980
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.2225
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.7820
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.2165
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.7825
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.2185
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.7815
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.2155
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.7815
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.2200
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.7785
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.2510
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.7555
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.2330
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.8155
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.1870
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.8110
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.1845
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.7925
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.2865
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.7300
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.2630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1760047982.06, Sell volume: 32969205.34, Average price: 0.4583, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.2690
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.7350
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.2685
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.7335
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.2200
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.7610
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.2395
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.7485
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.2515
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.7475
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.2530
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.7470
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.2060
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.7985
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.1915
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.8040
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.1675
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.8330
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.1385
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.8420
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.1370
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.8695
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.1435
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.8575
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.1285
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.8965
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.0945
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.0970
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.8885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1760047982.06, Sell volume: 32969205.34, Average price: 0.4583, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.9280
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.0780
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.9240
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.0615
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.9335
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.0675
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.9270
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.0760
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.9230
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.0815
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.9135
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.9130
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.1055
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.8960
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.1125
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.8790
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.1095
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.8845
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.1150
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.8865
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.1210
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.8930
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.1030
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.8950
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0900
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.9275
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.0855
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.9165
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.0830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1760047982.06, Sell volume: 32969205.34, Average price: 0.4583, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.0815
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.9195
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0425
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.9535
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.0610
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.9250
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0725
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.9325
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0685
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.9300
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0710
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.9225
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.0800
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.9205
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0625
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.9365
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0765
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.9290
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0840
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.8695
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.1090
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.8910
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.1035
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.8950
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0940
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.8730
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.1110
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.8950
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.1220
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.8865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 621378, Buy volume: 1336822644.49, Sell volume: 17707514.76, Average price: 0.4678, Price range: 0.0388 - 0.9640
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.8955
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.1215
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.8635
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.1280
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.8735
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.1375
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.8360
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.1835
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.8500
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.1420
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.8715
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0975
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.9105
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.1360
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.8645
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.1295
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.8610
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.1205
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.8800
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.1215
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.8745
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.1570
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.8465
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0715
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9615
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0470
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9285
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0415
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.9395
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 378086, Buy volume: 422699320.40, Sell volume: 15121566.76, Average price: 0.4422, Price range: 0.0231 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515822
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Volume: 2218317.120281
Price History:
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0405
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9440
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0570
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9380
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0545
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9380
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0615
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.9425
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0585
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9415
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0525
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9490
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0535
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.9520
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0480
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.9525
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0475
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9540
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0570
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9800
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0160
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.9860
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0175
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.9860
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0145
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9895
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0115
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9635
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0205
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 525, Buy volume: 526012.73, Sell volume: 119490.69, Average price: 0.6904, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.4050
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5950
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.3800
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.6200
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.6000
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.4000
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.4750
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.5250
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.4750
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.5250
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.4750
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.5250
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.4700
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.5300
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.4700
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.5300
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.5200
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.4800
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.6600
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.3400
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.6600
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.3400
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.6600
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.3400
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.6600
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.3400
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.6600
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.3400
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.6600
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.3400
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.6600
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.3400
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.6600
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.3400
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.6600
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.3400
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.6550
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.3450
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.6700
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.3300
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.6700
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.3300
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.6700
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.3300
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.7000
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.7000
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.7000
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 680.83, Sell volume: 73.00, Average price: 0.6056, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.3250
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.7000
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.7050
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.2950
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.7000
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.3000
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.6900
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.3100
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.6950
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.3050
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.6950
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.3050
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.6950
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.3050
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.7000
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.3000
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.7050
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.2950
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.7050
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.2950
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.7000
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.3000
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.7050
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.2950
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.7050
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.2950
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.7600
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.2400
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.8600
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.1400
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.7700
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.2300
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.5350
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.4650
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.6250
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.3750
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.6450
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.3550
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.7500
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.2500
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.5850
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.4150
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.5800
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.4200
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.5550
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.4450
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.5150
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.4850
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 161, Buy volume: 22256.62, Sell volume: 3195.72, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.1182 - 0.9456

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.4900
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.5100
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.4500
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.6000
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.4000
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.4450
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.5550
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.6950
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.3050
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.6800
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.3200
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.6000
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.4000
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.6900
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.3100
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.7700
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.2300
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.6700
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.3300
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.6750
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.3250
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.6600
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.3400
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.6500
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.3500
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.6600
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.3400
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.6550
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.3450
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.7100
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.2900
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.6950
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.3050
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.6700
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.3300
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.6450
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.3550
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.7050
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.2950
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.7050
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.2950
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.7150
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.2850
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.7150
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.2850
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.7100
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.2900
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.7050
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 149, Buy volume: 8943.18, Sell volume: 3864.88, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7783

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.2750
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.7200
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.2800
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.7200
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.2800
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.7200
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.2800
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.7200
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.2800
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.7200
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.2800
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.7200
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.2800
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.7100
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.2900
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.7100
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.2900
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.7100
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.2900
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.7100
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.2900
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.7000
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.3000
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.7000
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.3000
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.7100
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.2900
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.7100
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.2900
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.7100
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.2900
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.7350
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.2650
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.6100
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.3900
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.6100
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.3900
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.6600
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.3400
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.7100
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.2900
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.7100
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.2900
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.7350
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.2650
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.8450
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.1550
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.7300
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.2700
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 4861.66, Sell volume: 535.23, Average price: 0.5438, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.7300
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.2700
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.7700
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.2300
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.7650
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.2350
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.7550
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.2450
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.7500
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.2500
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.7650
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.2350
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.7650
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.2350
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.7550
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.2450
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.8200
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.1800
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.7700
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.2300
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.7750
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.2250
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.7750
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.2250
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.7750
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.2250
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.7700
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.2300
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.7650
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.2350
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.7750
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.2250
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.7750
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.2250
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.7950
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.2050
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.7450
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.2550
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.7650
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.2350
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.7800
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.2200
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.7800
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.2200
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.7850
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.2150
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.7900
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.2100
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.7900
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 13963.85, Sell volume: 2697.14, Average price: 0.4605, Price range: 0.1549 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.2100
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.7850
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.2150
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.7900
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.2100
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.8350
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.1650
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.7950
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.2050
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.7950
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.2050
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.7400
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.2600
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.8600
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.1400
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9600
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.0400
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.9585
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0415
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.9590
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0410
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.9695
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.0305
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.9640
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0360
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.9645
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.0355
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.9605
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.0395
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.9605
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0395
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.9705
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.0295
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.9715
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.0285
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.9710
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0290
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.9665
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.0335
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.9630
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.0370
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.9655
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0345
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.9575
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.0425
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.9430
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0570
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.9440
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0560
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 2000.46, Sell volume: 19349.06, Average price: 0.5316, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9910
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0090
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9910
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0090
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9920
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0080
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9920
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0080
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.9910
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0090
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9910
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0090
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9915
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0085
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9910
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0090
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9910
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0090
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9920
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0080
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9900
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0100
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9885
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0115
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9880
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0120
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.9870
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0130
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.9860
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0140
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.9875
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.0125
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.9875
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0125
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.9895
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0105
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.9880
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.0120
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.9885
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0115
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.9885
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0115
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.9880
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0120
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.9885
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.0115
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.9870
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0130
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.9855
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 225, Buy volume: 11863.77, Sell volume: 20477.24, Average price: 0.0789, Price range: 0.0059 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0115
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.9880
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0120
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9900
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0100
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9875
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0125
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.9870
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0130
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.9875
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0125
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.9870
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.9865
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0135
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.9875
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0125
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.9875
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0125
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9865
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0135
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.9865
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0135
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.9875
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0125
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.9865
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0135
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.9865
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0135
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 1098.79, Sell volume: 7745.49, Average price: 0.1083, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0130
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.9870
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0130
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9870
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0130
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.9870
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0130
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9865
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0135
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9900
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0100
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.9885
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0115
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9875
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0125
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9875
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0125
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.9870
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0130
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.9875
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0125
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9865
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0135
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.9845
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0155
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.9875
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0125
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9790
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0210
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.9795
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0205
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.9790
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0210
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.9800
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0200
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.9795
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0205
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.9805
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0195
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9775
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0225
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.9775
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.0225
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.9770
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 241, Buy volume: 4336.33, Sell volume: 2285.53, Average price: 0.9758, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0225
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9775
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0225
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9775
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0225
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.9775
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0225
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.9775
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0225
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9770
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0230
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9765
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0235
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9765
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0235
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9765
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0235
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9765
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0235
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9765
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0235
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.9765
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0235
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9760
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0240
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9760
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0240
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9760
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0240
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9765
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0235
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.9765
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0235
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.9765
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0235
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9765
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0235
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9760
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.0240
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.9760
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0240
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9765
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0235
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9765
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0235
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.9765
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0235
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9760
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0240
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9877, Price range: 0.9870 - 0.9880

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9760
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0240
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9760
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0240
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9755
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0245
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9760
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0240
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9760
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0240
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9760
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0240
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9750
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0250
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9755
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0245
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9740
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0260
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9720
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0280
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9725
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0275
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9730
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0270
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9725
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0275
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9725
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0275
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9755
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0245
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9750
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.0250
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.9750
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0250
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9745
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.0255
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.9735
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.0265
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.9730
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.0270
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9725
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.0275
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.9725
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.0275
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.9760
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0240
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.9780
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0220
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.9785
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 48.78, Sell volume: 111.68, Average price: 0.9744, Price range: 0.9625 - 0.9840

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0190
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9800
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0200
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9800
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0200
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9800
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0200
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9845
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0155
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9845
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0155
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9745
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0255
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9745
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0255
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9745
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0255
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9740
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0260
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9740
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0260
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.9865
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0135
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9885
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0115
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9920
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0080
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.9915
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0085
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9910
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0090
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.9905
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0095
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.9930
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.9920
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0080
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9930
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.9930
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.9935
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.9935
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 119, Buy volume: 27447.41, Sell volume: 25594.88, Average price: 0.4861, Price range: 0.0048 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9940
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9935
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9935
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0040
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0040
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0040
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0040
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0040
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0050
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9950
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0050
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9950
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0050
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.9950
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0050
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.9945
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.9945
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.9945
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.9945
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.9945
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.9960
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0040
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.9960
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0040
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.9970
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.9975
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 7004.30, Sell volume: 737.17, Average price: 0.9954, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.4050
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5950
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.3800
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.6200
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.6000
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.4000
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.4750
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.5250
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.4750
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.5250
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.4750
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.5250
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.4700
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.5300
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.4700
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.5300
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.5200
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.4800
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.6600
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.3400
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.6600
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.3400
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.6600
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.3400
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.6600
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.3400
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.6600
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.3400
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.6600
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 680.83, Sell volume: 73.00, Average price: 0.6056, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.3250
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.7000
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.7050
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.2950
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.7000
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.3000
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.6900
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.3100
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.6950
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.3050
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.6950
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.3050
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.6950
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.3050
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.7000
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.3000
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.7050
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.2950
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.7050
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.2950
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.7000
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.3000
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.7050
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.2950
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.7050
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.2950
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.7600
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.2400
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 161, Buy volume: 22256.62, Sell volume: 3195.72, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.1182 - 0.9456
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.4900
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.5100
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.4500
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.6000
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.4000
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.4450
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.5550
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.6950
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.3050
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.6800
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.3200
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.6000
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.4000
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.6900
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.3100
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.7700
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.2300
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.6700
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.3300
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.6750
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.3250
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.6600
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.3400
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.6500
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.3500
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.6600
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.3400
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.6550
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 149, Buy volume: 8943.18, Sell volume: 3864.88, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7783
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.2750
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.7200
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.2800
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.7200
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.2800
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.7200
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.2800
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.7200
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.2800
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.7200
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.2800
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.7200
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.2800
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.7100
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.2900
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.7100
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.2900
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.7100
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.2900
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.7100
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.2900
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.7000
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.3000
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.7000
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.3000
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.7100
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.2900
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.7100
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.2900
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 4861.66, Sell volume: 535.23, Average price: 0.5438, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.7300
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.2700
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.7700
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.2300
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.7650
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.2350
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.7550
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.2450
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.7500
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.2500
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.7650
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.2350
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.7650
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.2350
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.7550
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.2450
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.8200
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.1800
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.7700
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.2300
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.7750
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.2250
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.7750
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.2250
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.7750
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.2250
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.7700
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.2300
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.7650
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 13963.85, Sell volume: 2697.14, Average price: 0.4605, Price range: 0.1549 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.2100
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.7850
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.2150
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.7900
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.2100
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.8350
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.1650
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.7950
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.2050
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.7950
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.2050
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.7400
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.2600
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.8600
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.1400
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9600
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.0400
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.9585
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0415
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.9590
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0410
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.9695
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.0305
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.9640
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0360
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.9645
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.0355
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.9605
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.0395
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 2000.46, Sell volume: 19349.06, Average price: 0.5316, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9910
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0090
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9910
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0090
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9920
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0080
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9920
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0080
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.9910
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0090
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9910
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0090
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9915
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0085
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9910
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0090
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9910
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0090
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9920
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0080
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9900
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0100
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9885
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0115
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9880
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0120
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.9870
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0130
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.9860
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 225, Buy volume: 11863.77, Sell volume: 20477.24, Average price: 0.0789, Price range: 0.0059 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0115
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.9880
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0120
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9900
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0100
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9875
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0125
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.9870
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0130
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.9875
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0125
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.9870
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.9865
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0135
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.9875
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0125
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.9875
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0125
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9865
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0135
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 1098.79, Sell volume: 7745.49, Average price: 0.1083, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0130
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.9870
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0130
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9870
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0130
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.9870
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0130
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9865
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0135
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9900
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0100
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.9885
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0115
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9875
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0125
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9875
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0125
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.9870
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0130
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.9875
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0125
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9865
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0135
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.9845
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 241, Buy volume: 4336.33, Sell volume: 2285.53, Average price: 0.9758, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0225
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9775
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0225
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9775
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0225
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.9775
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0225
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.9775
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0225
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9770
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0230
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9765
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0235
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9765
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0235
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9765
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0235
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9765
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0235
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9765
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0235
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.9765
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0235
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9760
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0240
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9760
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0240
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9760
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0240
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9877, Price range: 0.9870 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9760
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0240
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9760
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0240
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9755
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0245
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9760
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0240
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9760
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0240
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9760
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0240
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9750
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0250
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9755
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0245
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9740
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0260
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9720
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0280
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9725
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0275
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9730
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0270
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9725
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0275
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9725
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0275
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9755
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 48.78, Sell volume: 111.68, Average price: 0.9744, Price range: 0.9625 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0190
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9800
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0200
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9800
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0200
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9800
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0200
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9845
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0155
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9845
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0155
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9745
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0255
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9745
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0255
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9745
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0255
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9740
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0260
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9740
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0260
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.9865
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0135
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9885
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0115
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9920
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0080
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.9915
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0085
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 119, Buy volume: 27447.41, Sell volume: 25594.88, Average price: 0.4861, Price range: 0.0048 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520710
Question: Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 192029.030219
Price History:
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9940
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9935
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9935
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0040
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0040
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0040
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0040
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0040
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0050
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9950
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0050
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9950
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 7004.30, Sell volume: 737.17, Average price: 0.9954, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes