Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 689336
Question: Senate vote on Epstein bill by December 31?
Volume: 10533.82
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 7031.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 689334
Question: Senate vote on Epstein bill by November 28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20180.118063
Price History:
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 3177.04, Sell volume: 932.18, Average price: 0.5296, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 689334
Question: Senate vote on Epstein bill by November 28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20180.118063
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2188.60, Sell volume: 932.18, Average price: 0.5246, Price range: 0.2883 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 689334
Question: Senate vote on Epstein bill by November 28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20180.118063
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0205
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9795
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 15427.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 689334
Question: Senate vote on Epstein bill by November 28?
Volume: 20180.118063
Price History:
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 3177.04, Sell volume: 932.18, Average price: 0.5296, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 689334
Question: Senate vote on Epstein bill by November 28?
Volume: 20180.118063
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2188.60, Sell volume: 932.18, Average price: 0.5246, Price range: 0.2883 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 689334
Question: Senate vote on Epstein bill by November 28?
Volume: 20180.118063
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0205
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9795
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 15427.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 689333
Question: Senate vote on Epstein bill by November 21?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12384.519299
Price History:
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.7850
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2150
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4650
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5600
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4400
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 4176.39, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.5742, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9333

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 689333
Question: Senate vote on Epstein bill by November 21?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12384.519299
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5600
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4400
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2233.25, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.5607, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 689333
Question: Senate vote on Epstein bill by November 21?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12384.519299
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0600
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 6164.96, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9369, Price range: 0.0047 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 689333
Question: Senate vote on Epstein bill by November 21?
Volume: 12384.519299
Price History:
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.7850
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2150
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4650
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5600
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4400
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 4176.39, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.5742, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9333
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 689333
Question: Senate vote on Epstein bill by November 21?
Volume: 12384.519299
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5600
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4400
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2233.25, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.5607, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 689333
Question: Senate vote on Epstein bill by November 21?
Volume: 12384.519299
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0600
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 6164.96, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9369, Price range: 0.0047 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Outcomes: ["100", "200"]
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.3550
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.6450
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.4000
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.6000
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.3550
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.6450
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.3500
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.6500
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.3450
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.6550
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.3400
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.6600
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.3350
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.6650
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.3350
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.6650
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.3350
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.6650
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.3350
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.6650
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.3350
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.6650
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.3350
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.6650
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.3400
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.6600
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.3400
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8800, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Outcomes: ["100", "200"]
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.3250
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.6750
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.3250
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.6750
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.3250
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.6750
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.3150
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.6850
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.3200
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.6800
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.3200
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.6800
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.3200
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.6800
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.3600
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.6400
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.3200
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.6800
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.3100
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.6900
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.3200
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.6800
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.3100
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.6900
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.3100
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.6900
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.3100
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 200.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6753, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.8713

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Outcomes: ["100", "200"]
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.3200
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.6800
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.6800
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.3200
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.6900
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.3100
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.3000
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.7000
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.3000
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.7000
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.7000
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.3000
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.6950
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.3050
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.3050
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.6950
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.3050
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.6950
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.2950
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.7050
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.2950
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.7050
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.2900
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.7100
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.7000
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.3000
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.3000
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 31.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3220, Price range: 0.3220 - 0.3220

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Outcomes: ["100", "200"]
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.2700
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.7300
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.2700
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.7300
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.2700
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.7300
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.2700
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.7300
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.7100
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.2900
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.2900
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.7100
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.3100
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.6900
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.3000
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.7000
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.2900
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.7100
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.2700
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.7300
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.2600
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.7400
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.2600
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.7400
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.2400
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.7600
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.2400
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 296.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7500, Price range: 0.7500 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Outcomes: ["100", "200"]
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.2350
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.7650
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.7650
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.2350
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.2300
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.7700
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.2350
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.7650
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.2350
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.7650
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.2350
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.7650
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.7700
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.2300
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.7800
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.2200
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.2350
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.7650
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.2300
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.7700
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.2300
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.7700
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.7800
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.2200
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.2300
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.7700
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.2100
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1.25, Sell volume: 58.08, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Outcomes: ["100", "200"]
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.7700
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.2300
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.2350
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.7650
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.7700
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.2300
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.2000
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.8000
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.7800
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.2200
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.7900
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.2100
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.7900
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.2100
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.2100
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.7900
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.2100
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.7900
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.7800
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.2200
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.2200
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.7800
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.2000
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.8000
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.2100
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.7900
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.2200
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 77.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8160, Price range: 0.8100 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Outcomes: ["100", "200"]
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.8000
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.2000
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.8200
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.1800
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.8300
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.1700
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.8300
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.1700
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.1600
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.8500
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.1500
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.1600
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.8450
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.1550
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.1600
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.1600
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.1500
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 489.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8550, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Outcomes: ["100", "200"]
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.1600
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.1600
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.1500
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.8500
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.8300
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.1700
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.1600
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.8500
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.1500
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.8600
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.1400
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.8600
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.1400
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.8400
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.1600
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.8300
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.1700
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.1800
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 17.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8800, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Outcomes: ["100", "200"]
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.1750
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.8250
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.1750
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.8250
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.1800
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.8200
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.1700
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.8300
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.1700
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.8300
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.1700
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.8300
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.1700
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.8300
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.1650
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.8350
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.1650
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.8350
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.1650
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.8350
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 144.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Outcomes: ["100", "200"]
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.8650
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.8650
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.1450
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.8650
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.8650
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.1350
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.8650
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.1350
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.8650
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.1350
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.8650
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.1350
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.8650
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.8650
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.1350
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.1400
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.8600
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.1400
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.8600
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.1400
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.8600
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.1400
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1492.92, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1500, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.1500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Outcomes: ["100", "200"]
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.8600
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.1400
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.1550
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.8450
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.1600
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.8400
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.1500
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.8500
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.1550
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.8450
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.1650
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.8350
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.1650
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.8350
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.1700
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.8300
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.1700
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.8300
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.1750
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.8250
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.1800
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.8200
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.1800
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.8200
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.1750
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.8250
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.1700
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 370.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Outcomes: ["100", "200"]
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.1700
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.8300
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.1750
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.1700
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.8300
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.1800
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.8200
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.1800
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.8200
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.1700
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.8300
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.8250
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.1750
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.8200
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.1800
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.8200
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.1800
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.8250
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.1750
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.8400
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.1600
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.1700
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.8300
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 602.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8784, Price range: 0.8784 - 0.8784

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Outcomes: ["100", "200"]
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.8650
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.1350
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.1350
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.8650
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0600
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9400
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.0400
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9600
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0350
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.9650
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0305
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9695
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0355
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9645
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.0355
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.9645
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.9745
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0255
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9745
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0255
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9045
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0955
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.0955
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9045
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 13270.33, Sell volume: 3223.69, Average price: 0.8192, Price range: 0.0103 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.3550
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.6450
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.4000
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.6000
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.3550
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.6450
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.3500
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.6500
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.3450
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.6550
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.3400
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.6600
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.3350
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.6650
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.3350
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.6650
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.3350
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.6650
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.3350
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.6650
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.3350
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.6650
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.3350
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.6650
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.3400
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.6600
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.3400
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8800, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.3250
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.6750
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.3250
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.6750
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.3250
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.6750
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.3150
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.6850
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.3200
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.6800
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.3200
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.6800
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.3200
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.6800
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.3600
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.6400
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.3200
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.6800
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.3100
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.6900
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.3200
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.6800
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.3100
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.6900
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.3100
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.6900
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.3100
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 200.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6753, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.8713
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.3200
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.6800
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.6800
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.3200
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.6900
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.3100
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.3000
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.7000
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.3000
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.7000
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.7000
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.3000
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.6950
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.3050
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.3050
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.6950
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.3050
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.6950
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.2950
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.7050
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.2950
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.7050
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.2900
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.7100
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.7000
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.3000
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.3000
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 31.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3220, Price range: 0.3220 - 0.3220
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.2700
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.7300
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.2700
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.7300
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.2700
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.7300
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.2700
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.7300
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.7100
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.2900
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.2900
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.7100
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.3100
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.6900
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.3000
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.7000
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.2900
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.7100
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.2700
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.7300
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.2600
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.7400
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.2600
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.7400
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.2400
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.7600
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.2400
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 296.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7500, Price range: 0.7500 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.2350
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.7650
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.7650
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.2350
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.2300
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.7700
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.2350
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.7650
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.2350
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.7650
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.2350
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.7650
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.7700
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.2300
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.7800
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.2200
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.2350
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.7650
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.2300
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.7700
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.2300
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.7700
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.7800
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.2200
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.2300
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.7700
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.2100
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1.25, Sell volume: 58.08, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.7700
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.2300
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.2350
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.7650
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.7700
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.2300
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.2000
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.8000
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.7800
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.2200
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.7900
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.2100
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.7900
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.2100
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.2100
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.7900
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.2100
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.7900
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.7800
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.2200
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.2200
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.7800
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.2000
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.8000
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.2100
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.7900
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.2200
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 77.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8160, Price range: 0.8100 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.8000
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.2000
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.8200
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.1800
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.8300
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.1700
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.8300
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.1700
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.1600
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.8500
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.1500
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.1600
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.8450
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.1550
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.1600
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.1600
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.1500
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 489.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8550, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.1600
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.1600
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.1500
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.8500
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.8300
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.1700
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.1750
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.1600
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.8500
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.1500
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.8600
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.1400
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.8600
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.1400
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.8400
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.1600
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.8300
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.1700
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.1800
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 17.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8800, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.1750
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.8250
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.1750
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.8250
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.1800
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.8200
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.1700
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.8300
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.1700
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.8300
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.1700
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.8300
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.1700
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.8300
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.1650
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.8350
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.1650
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.8350
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.1650
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.8350
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 144.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.8650
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.8650
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.1450
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.8650
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.8650
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.1350
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.8650
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.1350
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.8650
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.1350
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.8650
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.1350
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.8650
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.8650
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.1350
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.1400
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.8600
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.1400
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.8600
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.1400
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.8600
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.1400
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1492.92, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1500, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.1500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.8600
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.1400
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.1550
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.8450
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.1600
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.8400
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.1500
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.8500
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.1550
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.8450
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.1650
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.8350
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.1650
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.8350
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.1700
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.8300
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.1700
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.8300
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.1750
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.8250
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.1800
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.8200
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.1800
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.8200
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.1750
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.8250
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.1700
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 370.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.1700
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.8300
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.1750
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.1700
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.8300
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.1800
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.8200
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.1800
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.8200
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.1700
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.8300
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.8250
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.1750
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.8200
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.1800
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.8200
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.1800
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.8250
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.1750
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.8400
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.1600
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.1700
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.8300
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.1000
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9000
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 602.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8784, Price range: 0.8784 - 0.8784
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572441
Question: Will Solana hit $100 or $200 first?
Volume: 20329.344044
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.8650
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.1350
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.1350
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.8650
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0600
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9400
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.0400
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9600
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0350
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.9650
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0305
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9695
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0355
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9645
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.0355
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.9645
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.9745
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0255
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9745
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0255
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9045
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0955
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.0955
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9045
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 13270.33, Sell volume: 3223.69, Average price: 0.8192, Price range: 0.0103 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.4600
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.5400
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.4400
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.5600
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.4400
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.4400
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.4300
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.5700
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 60.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6013, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.6350
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.6300
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.2700
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.7300
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.2700
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.7300
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.3550
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.6450
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.3450
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.6550
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.3500
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 46.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4444, Price range: 0.3688 - 0.5200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.3550
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.6450
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.3550
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.6450
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.3550
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.6450
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.3600
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.6400
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.6300
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.3500
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.3500
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.6500
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.3500
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.6500
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.3500
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 162.39, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5829, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.3500
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.6500
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.3500
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.6500
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.3500
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.6500
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.3550
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.6450
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.6450
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.3550
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.6450
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.3550
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.6450
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.3550
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.3550
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 39.40, Sell volume: 1.09, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.4000
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.6000
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.4000
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.6000
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.4050
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.5950
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.4050
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.5950
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.4050
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.5950
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.3800
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.6200
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.3800
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.6200
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 160.70, Sell volume: 85.10, Average price: 0.4869, Price range: 0.3337 - 0.6200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.5900
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.5900
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.4250
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.5750
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.3950
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.6050
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.6050
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.3950
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.6050
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.4000
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.6000
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.4000
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 58.84, Sell volume: 50.12, Average price: 0.4515, Price range: 0.4193 - 0.5700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.4000
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.4000
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.6000
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.6200
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.3800
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.6200
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.3850
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 14.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5160, Price range: 0.4020 - 0.6300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.3850
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.6150
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.3650
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.6350
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.3500
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.6500
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.3500
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.6500
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.3550
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.6450
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.3500
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.6500
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.3500
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.6500
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.3400
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.6600
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 306.65, Sell volume: 269.37, Average price: 0.5140, Price range: 0.2768 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.2900
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.7100
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.2900
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.7100
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.2900
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.7100
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.2950
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.7050
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.7050
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.7050
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.2950
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 62.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3200, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.3200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.2600
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.7400
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.2350
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.2100
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.7900
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.2150
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.7850
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.2400
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.7600
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.2400
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.7600
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.2400
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.7600
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.4000
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.6000
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.2800
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 45879.17, Sell volume: 28159.33, Average price: 0.3661, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.2300
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.7700
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.2350
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.7650
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.2350
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.7650
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.2300
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.7700
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.2700
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.7300
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.3000
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.7000
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1837.11, Sell volume: 518.85, Average price: 0.3798, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.3000
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.7000
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.3000
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.7000
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.5300
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.4700
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.4700
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.5300
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 3686.25, Sell volume: 3484.19, Average price: 0.4916, Price range: 0.3175 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.3700
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.6300
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.3550
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.6450
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.3500
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.6500
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.3300
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.6700
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9800
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0200
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9905
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0095
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 46852.07, Sell volume: 3707.63, Average price: 0.6441, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.4600
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.5400
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.4400
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.5600
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.4400
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.4400
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.4300
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.5700
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 60.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6013, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.6350
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.6300
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.2700
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.7300
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.2700
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.7300
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.3550
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.6450
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.3450
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.6550
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.3500
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 46.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4444, Price range: 0.3688 - 0.5200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.3550
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.6450
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.3550
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.6450
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.3550
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.6450
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.3600
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.6400
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.6300
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.3500
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.3500
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.6500
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.3500
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.6500
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.3500
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 162.39, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5829, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.3500
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.6500
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.3500
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.6500
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.3500
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.6500
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.3550
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.6450
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.6450
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.3550
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.6450
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.3550
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.6450
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.3550
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.3550
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 39.40, Sell volume: 1.09, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.4000
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.6000
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.4000
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.6000
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.4050
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.5950
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.4050
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.5950
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.4050
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.5950
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.3800
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.6200
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.3800
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.6200
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 160.70, Sell volume: 85.10, Average price: 0.4869, Price range: 0.3337 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.5900
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.4100
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.5900
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.4250
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.5750
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.3950
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.6050
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.6050
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.3950
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.6050
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.4000
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.6000
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.4000
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 58.84, Sell volume: 50.12, Average price: 0.4515, Price range: 0.4193 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.4000
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.4000
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.6000
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.6200
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.3800
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.6200
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.3850
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 14.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5160, Price range: 0.4020 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.3850
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.6150
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.3650
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.6350
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.3500
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.6500
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.3500
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.6500
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.3550
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.6450
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.3500
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.6500
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.3500
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.6500
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.3400
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.6600
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 306.65, Sell volume: 269.37, Average price: 0.5140, Price range: 0.2768 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.2900
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.7100
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.2900
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.7100
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.2900
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.7100
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.2950
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.7050
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.7050
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.7050
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.2950
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 62.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3200, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.3200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.2600
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.7400
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.2350
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.2100
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.7900
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.2150
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.7850
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.2400
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.7600
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.2400
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.7600
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.2400
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.7600
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.4000
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.6000
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.2800
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 45879.17, Sell volume: 28159.33, Average price: 0.3661, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.2300
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.7700
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.2350
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.7650
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.2350
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.7650
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.2300
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.7700
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.2700
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.7300
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.3000
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.7000
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1837.11, Sell volume: 518.85, Average price: 0.3798, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.3000
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.7000
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.3000
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.7000
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.5300
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.4700
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.4700
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.5300
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 3686.25, Sell volume: 3484.19, Average price: 0.4916, Price range: 0.3175 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 695481
Question: Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Volume: 136135.232874
Price History:
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.3700
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.6300
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.3550
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.6450
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.3500
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.6500
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.3300
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.6700
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9800
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0200
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9905
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0095
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 46852.07, Sell volume: 3707.63, Average price: 0.6441, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.5100
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.4000
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.4900
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.2250
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.2200
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.3200
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.7950
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.1600
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.8200
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.8350
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.2000
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.8100
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.7200
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.5850
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.4300
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.5850
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.5700
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.5950
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.3650
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.6600
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.6950
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.3000
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.7050
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.7050
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.7050
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.2950
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.7050
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.2950
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.2950
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.7050
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.3150
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.6850
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.4300
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.5550
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.3800
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.3900
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.6200
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.6150
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.6250
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.3700
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.5700
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.4300
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 3329.99, Sell volume: 254.01, Average price: 0.5040, Price range: 0.2369 - 0.9130

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.5050
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.5250
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.4750
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.4950
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.5050
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.5050
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.5150
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.5150
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.5150
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.4850
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.5150
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.4850
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.5150
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.4850
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.4850
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.4250
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.5750
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.5750
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.5800
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.5750
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.5450
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.4250
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.3800
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.4250
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.4250
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.5700
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.4350
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.4350
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.5700
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.4250
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.4350
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.6050
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.4000
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.3850
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.4250
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.3900
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.4000
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.3900
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.5850
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.6200
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.6150
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.5850
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.4150
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.3600
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1093.92, Sell volume: 1460.22, Average price: 0.4912, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.5100
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.4850
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.5100
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.5150
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.5050
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.5100
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.5150
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.5100
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.4850
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.4600
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.5050
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.5200
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.4650
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.4750
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.4850
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.5250
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.5200
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.4750
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.4650
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.4750
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.5350
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.4700
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.4600
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.5350
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.4600
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.4600
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.4700
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.4600
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.4650
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.4600
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.5400
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.4600
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.5550
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.4450
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.4550
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.4500
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.5800
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.4250
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.4150
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.4150
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.5950
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.4100
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.4100
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.5900
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.4100
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.4100
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.4100
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.4050
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.5750
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 759.29, Sell volume: 254.85, Average price: 0.5243, Price range: 0.3606 - 0.6700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.6500
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.3500
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.3400
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.3300
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.3450
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.3300
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.3550
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.3500
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.3450
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.3500
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.3500
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.3450
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.3450
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.3450
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.3500
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.3500
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.3450
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.3450
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.3500
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.3500
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.6500
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.3500
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.3450
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.3500
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.3550
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.3500
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.3550
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.6400
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.6350
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.6350
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.3650
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.6350
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.6350
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.6350
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.3650
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.3650
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.6250
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.3750
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.3700
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.3700
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 537.25, Sell volume: 221.45, Average price: 0.4930, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7069

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.6300
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.3700
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.6150
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.4350
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.4450
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.4500
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.4500
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.4650
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.4650
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.4650
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.4650
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.5350
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.4650
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.4650
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.5500
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.4500
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.4550
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.4500
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.4500
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.4550
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.4550
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.4550
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.4500
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.4500
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.4500
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.4500
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.5450
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.5450
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.4450
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.4450
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.4450
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.4450
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.4450
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.4450
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.5550
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.4450
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.4450
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.5550
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.4450
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.4450
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.4450
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.4450
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.4450
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.4450
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.4450
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.4450
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.5550
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.4500
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 2486.76, Sell volume: 265.98, Average price: 0.5377, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.5700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4400
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4250
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4250
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.4250
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.5700
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.4300
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.4300
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.4300
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 668.57, Sell volume: 587.32, Average price: 0.4998, Price range: 0.4199 - 0.6500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.4000
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.6000
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.4100
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.6000
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.4000
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.6050
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.6000
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.6000
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.4000
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.6000
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.6000
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.6000
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.4050
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 40.93, Sell volume: 207.08, Average price: 0.4897, Price range: 0.3870 - 0.6100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.5900
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.5900
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.5900
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.5900
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.5900
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.4100
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.5450
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.4550
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.4550
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.4550
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.4550
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.4550
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.5600
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.4400
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.4400
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.4400
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.4400
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.4400
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.4400
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.4600
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.4600
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.4600
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.4600
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.4650
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.4650
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.4650
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.4650
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.4650
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.4650
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.4650
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.5250
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.5250
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.5250
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.5200
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.5200
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.5200
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.5200
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.5200
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.5200
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.5200
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.5200
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 265.13, Sell volume: 45.00, Average price: 0.4817, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.5500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.5350
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.5350
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.5350
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.5350
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.5350
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.5350
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.5350
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.5350
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.4650
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.5350
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.5350
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.5350
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.5350
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.5350
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.5350
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.4650
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.5350
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.5350
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.5350
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.5350
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.5350
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.5350
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.5350
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.5300
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.4700
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.5300
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.5300
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.4700
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.5300
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.4700
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.5300
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.5850
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.5150
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.5350
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.5350
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.5350
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.5350
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.5350
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.5350
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.4650
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.5350
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.5350
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.5350
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.5350
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.5550
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.4200
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.6850
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.7700
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.7700
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 3469.54, Sell volume: 1117.91, Average price: 0.5003, Price range: 0.2289 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.7250
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.7000
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.3050
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.3050
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.3050
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.3100
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.3050
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.2950
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.3050
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.3100
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.3050
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.3100
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.2950
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.2900
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.2950
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.2950
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.2250
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.2250
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.2200
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.2200
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.2200
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.2200
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.2200
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.2200
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.2200
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.2450
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.2450
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.7450
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.2550
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.7450
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.7650
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.2250
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.7650
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.2350
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.7650
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.2400
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.7600
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.2350
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.7700
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.2350
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.7600
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.2400
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.2400
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.7500
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.7500
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.2250
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 876.16, Sell volume: 510.09, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.2436 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.2250
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.2250
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.2250
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.2250
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.7750
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.7750
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.7750
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.2250
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.2250
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.2200
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.7800
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.8000
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.1900
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.8100
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.1700
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.1650
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.1650
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.1700
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.1650
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.1650
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.1900
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.1900
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.2150
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.2000
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.2000
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.2000
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.8000
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.2000
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.2000
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.7850
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.2150
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.7850
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 930.60, Sell volume: 227.78, Average price: 0.4883, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.7600
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.7850
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.2200
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.7750
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.7700
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.7750
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.7600
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.7700
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.8100
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.8100
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.8100
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.8100
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.8100
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.8100
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.2000
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.8100
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.1950
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.8200
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.1650
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.2150
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.7850
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.2150
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.1800
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.8300
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.1800
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.8300
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.8200
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.1900
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.1600
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.8300
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.8100
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.8400
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.1650
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.1650
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.1950
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1900
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.7850
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.7850
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.7850
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.7850
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.7850
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.8200
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1033.28, Sell volume: 1353.79, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8659

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.7900
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.7900
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.7900
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.7900
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.8050
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.7850
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.7850
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.7850
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.2150
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.7850
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.7850
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.7800
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.7800
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.7800
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.7800
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.7800
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.7800
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.7800
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.7800
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.2200
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.7600
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.2450
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.7550
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.7550
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.2450
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.2450
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.7500
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.7500
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.7600
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.7200
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.7200
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.2650
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.7350
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 6100.81, Sell volume: 837.40, Average price: 0.6784, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.5100
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.4900
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.2200
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.7950
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.8200
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.2000
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.7200
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.4300
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.5700
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.3650
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.6950
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.3000
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.7050
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.7050
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.7050
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.2950
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.3150
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.5550
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.3900
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.6150
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.3700
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.4300
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.5750
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.5800
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.5800
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.5800
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 3329.99, Sell volume: 254.01, Average price: 0.5040, Price range: 0.2369 - 0.9130
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.5250
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.4950
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.5050
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.5150
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.4850
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.4850
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.4850
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.4250
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.5750
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.5750
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.4250
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.4250
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.5700
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.4350
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.4250
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.6050
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.3850
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.3900
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.3900
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.6200
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.5850
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.3600
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.6350
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.6500
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.4450
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.4900
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1093.92, Sell volume: 1460.22, Average price: 0.4912, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.5100
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.5100
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.5050
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.5150
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.4850
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.5050
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.4650
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.4850
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.5200
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.4650
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.5350
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.4600
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.4600
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.4700
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.4650
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.5400
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.5550
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.4550
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.5800
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.4150
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.5950
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.4100
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.4100
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.4100
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.5750
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.6200
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.6350
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.6350
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.6350
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 759.29, Sell volume: 254.85, Average price: 0.5243, Price range: 0.3606 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.6500
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.3500
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.3300
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.3300
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.3550
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.3450
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.3500
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.3450
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.3500
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.3450
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.3500
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.6500
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.3450
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.3500
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.6400
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.6350
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.6350
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.6350
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.3650
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.3750
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.3700
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.6300
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.6300
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.6300
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.3700
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 537.25, Sell volume: 221.45, Average price: 0.4930, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7069
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.6300
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.6150
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.4450
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.4500
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.4650
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.4650
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.4650
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.5500
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.4550
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.4500
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.4550
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.4500
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.4500
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.5450
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.4450
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.4450
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.4450
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.5550
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.4450
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.4450
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.4450
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.4450
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.4450
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.5550
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 2486.76, Sell volume: 265.98, Average price: 0.5377, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4400
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4250
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.4250
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.4300
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6050
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.6250
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 668.57, Sell volume: 587.32, Average price: 0.4998, Price range: 0.4199 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.4000
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.4100
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.4000
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.6000
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.4000
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.6000
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.4050
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.4000
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.6000
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.5950
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.5950
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 40.93, Sell volume: 207.08, Average price: 0.4897, Price range: 0.3870 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.5900
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.5900
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.4100
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.4550
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.4550
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.4550
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.4400
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.4400
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.4400
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.4600
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.4600
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.4600
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.4650
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.4650
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.4650
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.5250
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.5250
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.5200
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.5200
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.5200
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.5200
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.4800
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.4750
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.4750
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.4750
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 265.13, Sell volume: 45.00, Average price: 0.4817, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.5500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.5350
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.5350
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.5350
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.5350
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.4650
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.5350
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.5350
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.5350
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.5350
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.5350
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.5350
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.5350
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.4700
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.5300
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.5300
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.5300
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.5150
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.5350
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.5350
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.5350
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.5350
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.5350
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.5550
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.6850
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.7700
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.6850
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.7300
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.7350
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.7350
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 3469.54, Sell volume: 1117.91, Average price: 0.5003, Price range: 0.2289 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.7250
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.3050
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.3100
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.2950
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.3100
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.3100
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.2900
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.2950
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.2250
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.2200
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.2200
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.2200
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.2200
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.2450
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.2550
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.7650
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.7650
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.7650
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.7600
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.7700
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.2400
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.7500
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.2250
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 876.16, Sell volume: 510.09, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.2436 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.2250
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.2250
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.2250
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.7750
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.2250
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.2200
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.7800
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.8000
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.8100
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.1650
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.1700
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.1650
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.1900
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.2000
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.2000
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.7850
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.7850
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.2200
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.7850
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.7850
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.2200
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 930.60, Sell volume: 227.78, Average price: 0.4883, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.7600
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.2200
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.7750
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.8100
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.8100
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.8100
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.1950
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.2150
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.2150
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.8300
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.8300
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.1900
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.8300
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.8100
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.1650
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.1950
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.7850
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.7850
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.7850
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.8200
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.1900
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.2000
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.2050
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1033.28, Sell volume: 1353.79, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8659
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595746
Question: Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 29036.326457
Price History:
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.7900
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.7900
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.7850
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.7850
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.7850
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.7800
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.7800
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.7800
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.7800
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.2200
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.2050
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.7950
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.7600
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.7550
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.2450
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.7500
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.7600
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.7350
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.8000
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.2550
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.2100
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.7900
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 6100.81, Sell volume: 837.40, Average price: 0.6784, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.5100
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.4900
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.5050
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.5300
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.4700
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.4750
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.4700
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.5300
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.4700
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.4500
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.4350
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.3800
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.2600
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.7650
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.2250
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.2250
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.2250
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.7900
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.2100
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.7900
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.2050
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.2050
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.2050
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.2050
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.2050
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.7950
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.2050
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.7950
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.2050
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.1900
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.1900
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.1900
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.8100
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.1800
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.8250
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.8200
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.1800
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.8200
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.1750
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.1900
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.8100
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.1900
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.8100
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.1900
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.1900
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.1900
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.8100
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 222.19, Sell volume: 123.96, Average price: 0.5760, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.8100
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.1900
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.8100
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.1900
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.8100
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.1900
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.8100
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.1900
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.8100
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.1900
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.8100
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.1900
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.8100
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.1900
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.8100
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.1900
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.8100
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.1900
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.1900
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.1900
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.1900
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.8100
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.8100
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.1900
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.8100
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.1900
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.1900
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.8100
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.1900
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.8100
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.1900
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.8100
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.8100
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.8100
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.8100
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.1900
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.8100
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.1900
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.8100
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.1950
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.1950
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.1950
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.8000
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.1950
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.8000
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.4700
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.6650
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 3713.84, Sell volume: 184.00, Average price: 0.5343, Price range: 0.2050 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.7900
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.8050
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.2000
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.8000
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.2250
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.8000
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.8000
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.2000
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.2000
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.8050
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.1950
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.8050
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.8050
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.1950
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.8050
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.1950
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.2000
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.2000
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.8050
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.1950
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.1950
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.1950
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.8050
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.8050
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2000
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.2000
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.8000
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2000
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.1950
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.8050
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.1950
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.8050
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.8000
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.1900
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.8050
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2000
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 61.17, Sell volume: 53.70, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.7900
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.2100
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.2100
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.2100
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.7900
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.2000
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.2150
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.7900
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.8000
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.2000
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.8000
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.8000
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.2050
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.2050
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.7950
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.7950
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.7950
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.2000
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.8000
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.8000
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.2000
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 326.51, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.8100 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.2000
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.2000
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.2000
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.2000
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.2000
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.8000
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.2000
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8000
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8050
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.1800
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.8250
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.8300
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.1700
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.8300
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.1700
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.8300
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.1700
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.1700
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.8300
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.1700
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.8600
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0900
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0900
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0900
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 678.72, Sell volume: 187.48, Average price: 0.7235, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.9800

Output: Yes