Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.1500
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.1500
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.1500
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.1500
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.1500
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.1500
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.1500
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.1500
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.1500
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.1500
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.1500
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.1500
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.1500
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.1500
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.1500
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.1500
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.2250
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0700
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0700
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.4050
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2200
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.2200
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.2100
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.1850
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2950
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.2250
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.2200
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1526.73, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4531, Price range: 0.1259 - 0.8911
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7850
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.7800
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.7550
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.7550
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.5450
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.7350
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.7450
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.7650
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.7650
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.7650
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.7650
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.7650
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.7650
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.7650
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.7450
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.7200
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.7250
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.7200
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.7300
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.7400
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.7400
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.7400
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.7650
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.7650
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.7600
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.7600
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.7600
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.7600
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 222.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6208, Price range: 0.4285 - 0.8131
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.1850
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2100
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.1800
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.2200
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2100
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.1500
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.1500
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.1500
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.1450
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.1500
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.1300
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.1300
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.4800
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.4700
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2350
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 213.02, Sell volume: 167.33, Average price: 0.9098, Price range: 0.7500 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5050
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.5050
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.5100
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.5100
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.9795
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.9800
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9810
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.9810
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0185
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.9815
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0185
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9815
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0185
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.9815
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9810
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0150
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9850
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0115
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.9885
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.9885
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 39.33, Sell volume: 11.41, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 39.33, Sell volume: 11.41, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0090
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9910
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0090
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9910
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.9930
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9930
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9910
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9910
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.9910
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9910
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9910
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0085
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9915
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.9910
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0085
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.9915
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9910
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9910
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9910
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0085
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.9915
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.32, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9915
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9915
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0090
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9910
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0075
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0075
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0075
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0075
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9930
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0075
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0070
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9930
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 37.01, Sell volume: 9.10, Average price: 0.5992, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9930
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9930
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9930
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9930
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9930
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9930
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 39.33, Sell volume: 11.41, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9930
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 39.33, Sell volume: 11.41, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 39.33, Sell volume: 11.41, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 39.33, Sell volume: 11.41, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9940
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9940
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9940
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 39.33, Sell volume: 11.41, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 39.33, Sell volume: 11.41, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 39.33, Sell volume: 11.41, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 39.33, Sell volume: 11.41, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 39.33, Sell volume: 11.41, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0185
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0185
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0185
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0150
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0115
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 39.33, Sell volume: 11.41, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 39.33, Sell volume: 11.41, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0090
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0085
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0085
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0085
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0085
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0085
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.32, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9915
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9915
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9910
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9930
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9930
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 37.01, Sell volume: 9.10, Average price: 0.5992, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 39.33, Sell volume: 11.41, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9930
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 39.33, Sell volume: 11.41, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 39.33, Sell volume: 11.41, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 39.33, Sell volume: 11.41, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 39.33, Sell volume: 11.41, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 39.33, Sell volume: 11.41, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 39.33, Sell volume: 11.41, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 39.33, Sell volume: 11.41, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537444
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 50.7444
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 39.33, Sell volume: 11.41, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.4050
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.5950
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.6000
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.4000
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.6000
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.4000
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5550
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.4450
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.5550
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 2839.36, Sell volume: 214.10, Average price: 0.7037, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.3750
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.6250
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.6250
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.3750
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.6400
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.3600
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.6500
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.3500
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.6450
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 154.91, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5753, Price range: 0.4766 - 0.6740

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.6500
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.3500
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.3550
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.6450
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.6450
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.3550
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.3550
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.6450
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.6550
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 104.90, Average price: 0.3163, Price range: 0.3163 - 0.3163

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.3450
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.6550
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.6500
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.3500
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.3400
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.6600
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.2800
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.7200
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 62.20, Sell volume: 41.10, Average price: 0.6950, Price range: 0.6300 - 0.7300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.7000
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.3000
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.7000
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.3000
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.6500
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.3500
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.3500
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.6500
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.6500
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 167.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3943, Price range: 0.3174 - 0.4200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.6400
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.3600
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.5550
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 2839.36, Sell volume: 214.10, Average price: 0.7037, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.5400
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.4600
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.5500
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.4500
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.5500
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1198.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5400, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.5900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.5500
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.4500
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.5500
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.4500
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 2839.36, Sell volume: 214.10, Average price: 0.7037, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.5100
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.4900
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 2839.36, Sell volume: 214.10, Average price: 0.7037, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.5650
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.4350
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.6150
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.3850
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.6150
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.3850
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.6100
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 81.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6600, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.6100
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.3900
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.6150
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.3850
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.6150
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.3850
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.6050
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.3950
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.6000
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 30.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7221, Price range: 0.7221 - 0.7221

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.6150
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.3850
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.6150
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.3850
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.6250
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.3750
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1143.02, Sell volume: 57.47, Average price: 0.8204, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1143.02, Sell volume: 9.52, Average price: 0.8474, Price range: 0.7200 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.4050
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.5950
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.6000
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.4000
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.6000
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.4000
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5550
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.4450
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.5550
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 2839.36, Sell volume: 214.10, Average price: 0.7037, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.3750
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.6250
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.6250
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.3750
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.6400
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.3600
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.6500
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.3500
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.6450
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 154.91, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5753, Price range: 0.4766 - 0.6740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.6500
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.3500
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.3550
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.6450
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.6450
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.3550
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.3550
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.6450
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.6550
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 104.90, Average price: 0.3163, Price range: 0.3163 - 0.3163
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.3450
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.6550
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.6500
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.3500
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.3400
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.6600
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.2800
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.7200
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 62.20, Sell volume: 41.10, Average price: 0.6950, Price range: 0.6300 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.7000
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.3000
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.7000
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.3000
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.6500
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.3500
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.3500
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.6500
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.6500
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 167.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3943, Price range: 0.3174 - 0.4200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.6400
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.3600
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.5550
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 2839.36, Sell volume: 214.10, Average price: 0.7037, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.5400
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.4600
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.5500
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.4500
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.5500
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1198.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5400, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.5500
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.4500
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.5500
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.4500
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 2839.36, Sell volume: 214.10, Average price: 0.7037, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.5100
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.4900
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 2839.36, Sell volume: 214.10, Average price: 0.7037, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.5650
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.4350
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.6150
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.3850
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.6150
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.3850
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.6100
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 81.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6600, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.6100
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.3900
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.6150
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.3850
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.6150
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.3850
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.6050
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.3950
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.6000
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 30.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7221, Price range: 0.7221 - 0.7221
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.6150
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.3850
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.6150
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.3850
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.6250
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.3750
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1143.02, Sell volume: 57.47, Average price: 0.8204, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642047
Question: Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 3053.455812
Price History:
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1143.02, Sell volume: 9.52, Average price: 0.8474, Price range: 0.7200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.5100
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.6300
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.3700
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.6200
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2685.03, Sell volume: 310.89, Average price: 0.7065, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.3700
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.6300
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.3650
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.6350
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.6100
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.3900
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.6100
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.3900
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.6050
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 53.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5667, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.6400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.3950
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.6050
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.6050
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.3950
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.4000
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.6000
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.6000
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.4000
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.4000
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2685.03, Sell volume: 310.89, Average price: 0.7065, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.6000
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.4000
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.3950
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.6400
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.3600
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.6000
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.4000
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.7100
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 39.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.6100 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.7400
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.2600
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.2750
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.7450
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.2550
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.7600
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.2400
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2685.03, Sell volume: 310.89, Average price: 0.7065, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.2900
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.7100
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.2900
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2685.03, Sell volume: 310.89, Average price: 0.7065, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.2900
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.7100
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.2900
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.7100
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.2900
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.7100
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.2900
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2685.03, Sell volume: 310.89, Average price: 0.7065, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.2800
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.7200
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.3000
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.7000
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.3000
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.7000
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.3000
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.7000
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 37.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3963, Price range: 0.3963 - 0.3963

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.6800
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.6800
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.3100
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.6900
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.3000
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.7000
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2685.03, Sell volume: 310.89, Average price: 0.7065, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.6800
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.6800
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.6800
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.6800
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4100, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.4100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.6800
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.6800
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.6800
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.3550
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.6450
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.4700
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 568.65, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4922, Price range: 0.4488 - 0.5700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.4800
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.5200
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.5150
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.4850
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.5350
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.4650
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.5500
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.4500
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1383.42, Sell volume: 310.89, Average price: 0.8814, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.5350
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.4650
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.5500
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.4500
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1310.38, Sell volume: 310.89, Average price: 0.8937, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.5100
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.6300
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.3700
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.6200
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2685.03, Sell volume: 310.89, Average price: 0.7065, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.3700
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.6300
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.3650
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.6350
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.6100
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.3900
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.6100
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.3900
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.6050
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 53.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5667, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.3950
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.6050
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.6050
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.3950
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.4000
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.6000
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.6000
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.4000
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.4000
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2685.03, Sell volume: 310.89, Average price: 0.7065, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.6000
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.4000
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.3950
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.6400
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.3600
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.6000
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.4000
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.7100
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 39.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.6100 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.7400
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.2600
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.2750
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.7450
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.2550
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.7600
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.2400
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2685.03, Sell volume: 310.89, Average price: 0.7065, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.2900
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.7100
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.2900
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2685.03, Sell volume: 310.89, Average price: 0.7065, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.2900
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.7100
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.2900
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.7100
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.2900
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.7100
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.2900
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2685.03, Sell volume: 310.89, Average price: 0.7065, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.2800
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.7200
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.3000
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.7000
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.3000
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.7000
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.3000
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.7000
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 37.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3963, Price range: 0.3963 - 0.3963
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.6800
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.6800
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.3100
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.6900
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.3000
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.7000
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2685.03, Sell volume: 310.89, Average price: 0.7065, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.6800
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.6800
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.6800
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.6800
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4100, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.4100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.6800
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.6800
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.6800
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.3550
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.6450
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.4700
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 568.65, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4922, Price range: 0.4488 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.4800
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.5200
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.5150
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.4850
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.5350
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.4650
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.5500
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.4500
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1383.42, Sell volume: 310.89, Average price: 0.8814, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642048
Question: Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 2995.919357
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.5350
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.4650
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.5500
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.4500
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1310.38, Sell volume: 310.89, Average price: 0.8937, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.5100
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.3700
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.6300
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 353.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 353.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 353.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.1950
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.8050
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.1950
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.8050
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.1950
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.1950
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 353.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.1950
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.8050
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.1950
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.8050
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.1950
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.8050
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.1900
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.8100
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.2000
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 353.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.1900
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.8100
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.1950
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.1950
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.8050
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 353.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.1950
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.8050
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.1950
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.8050
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.1950
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.8050
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.1950
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.8050
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.1800
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 353.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.1350
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.8650
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.1600
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.8400
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 353.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.1900
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.8100
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.1800
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.8200
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.1900
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.8100
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.1900
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.8100
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.1900
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 353.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.1900
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.8100
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.1900
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.8100
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.1900
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.8100
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.1950
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.8050
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.1900
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.1500
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.8500
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.1450
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8550
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 303.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.7918, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.1500
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.8500
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.1450
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8550
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 303.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.7918, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.5100
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.3700
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.6300
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 353.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 353.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 353.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.1950
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.8050
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.1950
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.8050
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.1950
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.1950
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 353.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.1950
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.8050
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.1950
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.8050
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.1950
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.8050
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.1900
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.8100
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.2000
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 353.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.1900
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.8100
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.1950
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.1950
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.8050
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 353.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.1950
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.8050
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.1950
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.8050
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.1950
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.8050
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.1950
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.8050
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.1800
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 353.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.1350
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.8650
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.1600
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.8400
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 353.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.1900
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.8100
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.1800
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.8200
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.1900
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.8100
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.1900
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.8100
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.1900
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 353.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.1900
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.8100
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.1900
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.8100
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.1900
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.8100
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.1950
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.8050
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.1900
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.1500
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.8500
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.1450
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8550
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 303.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.7918, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642049
Question: Will Hu Zhongming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 553.0
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.1500
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.8500
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.1450
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8550
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 303.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.7918, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642050
Question: Will Li Qiaoming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1457.9812
Price History:
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.5100
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.3700
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.6300
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1257.98, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8910, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642050
Question: Will Li Qiaoming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1457.9812
Price History:
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1257.98, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8910, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642050
Question: Will Li Qiaoming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1457.9812
Price History:
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1257.98, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8910, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642050
Question: Will Li Qiaoming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1457.9812
Price History:
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.8550
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.1450
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.7700
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5186, Price range: 0.1271 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642050
Question: Will Li Qiaoming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1457.9812
Price History:
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.7700
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.2300
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.7400
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.2600
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.7250
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.2750
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.2900
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.7100
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.2900
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1257.98, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8910, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642050
Question: Will Li Qiaoming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1457.9812
Price History:
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.2950
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.7050
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.3050
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.6950
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.3050
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.6950
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.2800
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.7200
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1257.98, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8910, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642050
Question: Will Li Qiaoming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1457.9812
Price History:
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.2750
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.7250
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.2550
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.7450
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.2550
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.7450
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.2550
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.7450
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.2650
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1257.98, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8910, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642050
Question: Will Li Qiaoming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1457.9812
Price History:
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.2700
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.7300
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.2800
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.7200
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.2800
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.7200
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1257.98, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8910, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642050
Question: Will Li Qiaoming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1457.9812
Price History:
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.2400
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.7600
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.1800
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.8200
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.2550
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1257.98, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8910, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642050
Question: Will Li Qiaoming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1457.9812
Price History:
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.2400
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.7600
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.2550
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.7450
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.2550
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1257.98, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8910, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642050
Question: Will Li Qiaoming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1457.9812
Price History:
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.2750
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.7250
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.2700
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.7300
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.2650
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.7350
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.2600
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.7400
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.2500
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642050
Question: Will Li Qiaoming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1457.9812
Price History:
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.2350
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.7650
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.7700
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.1800
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.8200
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.1950
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8050
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1117.98, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.9501, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 642050
Question: Will Li Qiaoming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1457.9812
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.1800
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.8200
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.1950
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8050
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1117.98, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.9501, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 642050
Question: Will Li Qiaoming be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?
Volume: 1457.9812
Price History:
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.5100
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.3700
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.6300
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1257.98, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8910, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes