Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9267, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9267, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9267, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.5050
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.4945
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.1050
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.1050
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.1655
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.2400
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.2400
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.2670
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.2570
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.2570
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.4020
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.4320
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.4570
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.4155
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.4280
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.3745
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.3780
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.3785
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.3785
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.3680
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.3690
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.3675
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.3675
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.3540
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.3540
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.3685
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.3690
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.3690
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.3690
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.3680
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.3685
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.3685
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.3685
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.3690
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.3690
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.3690
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.3690
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.3690
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.3690
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.3685
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.3690
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.3685
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.3685
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.4025
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.4120
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.4165
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.4215
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.4220
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.4550
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1217.12, Sell volume: 219.10, Average price: 0.3865, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.5355
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.5355
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.5355
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.5355
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.5355
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.5355
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.5355
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.5355
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.5360
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.5355
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.5355
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.5355
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.5355
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.5355
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.5355
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.5400
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.5400
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.5070
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.5070
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.5070
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.5070
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.5070
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.4460
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.4285
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.4680
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.3620
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.4415
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.3910
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.2575
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.2625
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.2680
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.4595
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.4925
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.4940
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.4910
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.4980
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.4960
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.4975
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.4950
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.5035
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.4675
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.5010
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.4605
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.4710
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.4900
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.4810
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.4960
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.4110
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.4220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 239.90, Average price: 0.4159, Price range: 0.2488 - 0.5128

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.5415
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.5750
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.5265
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.4795
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.4725
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.4725
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.4700
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.4315
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.4170
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.4260
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.4185
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.4350
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.4350
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.3940
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.4185
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.4315
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.4350
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.4350
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.3995
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.4105
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.4080
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.3950
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.3990
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.4320
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.4395
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.2985
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.3040
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.3105
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.3295
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.3295
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.2465
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.2930
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.3230
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.6655
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.6660
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.5100
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.5810
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.6710
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.6845
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.5330
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.5825
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.6110
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.6635
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.4865
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.4865
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.5105
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.5535
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.6205
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.6575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 176.91, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.4854, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6180

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.5945
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.5585
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.5845
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.5875
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.4730
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.4310
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.4320
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.4685
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.4330
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.6130
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.5020
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.5180
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.5670
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.4725
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.4320
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.5345
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.5515
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.5515
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.5555
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.4250
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.5170
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.4980
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.5900
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.5920
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.6070
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.5980
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.6120
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.6025
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.4525
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.5805
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.6120
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.5905
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.6140
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.5760
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.5995
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.6420
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.6310
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.5980
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.5425
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.5750
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.5775
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.3755
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.4740
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.4415
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.4750
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.4720
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.4555
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.4260
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.4195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 265.45, Sell volume: 16.55, Average price: 0.4984, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6740

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.6235
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.5590
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.5900
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.5770
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.5790
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.5735
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.6275
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.5320
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.5300
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.5295
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.5250
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.5320
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.5140
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.5715
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.5250
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.5200
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.5230
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.5210
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.5260
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.4935
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.5265
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.5285
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.5230
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.5425
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.5190
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.5205
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.5195
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.5200
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.5230
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.5200
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.5260
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.5300
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.5105
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.5305
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.5350
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.5370
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.5385
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.5405
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.5305
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.5415
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.5485
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.5480
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.5665
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.5725
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.5650
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.5670
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.5675
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.5610
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.5640
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.5615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 302.93, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4610, Price range: 0.3910 - 0.5990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.4525
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.4500
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.4490
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.4425
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.4515
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.4555
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.4540
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.4535
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.4535
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.4535
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.4535
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.4535
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.4535
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.4535
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.4535
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.4535
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.7230
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.7120
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.7130
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.7135
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.7175
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.7300
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.7345
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.7375
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.7420
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.7435
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.7465
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.7070
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.7085
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.6615
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.6625
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.6645
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.6645
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.6655
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.3750
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.3725
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.3710
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.3740
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.3745
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.3735
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.3700
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.2965
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.3680
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.2935
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.3095
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.3215
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.3185
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.3245
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.3260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 923.01, Sell volume: 22.61, Average price: 0.5747, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7620

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.5835
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.5840
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.5825
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.5845
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.5880
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.6000
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.6220
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.6415
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.7075
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.6770
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.6730
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.6420
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.6495
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.6120
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.6380
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.6150
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.6715
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.6740
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.6665
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.6675
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.6760
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.6725
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.6650
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.6675
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.6925
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.6620
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.6620
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.6670
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.6650
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.6650
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.6640
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.6495
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.6775
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.6755
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.6390
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.6415
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.6390
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.6415
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.6325
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.6315
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.6280
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.6280
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.6250
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.6545
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.6670
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.6695
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.6690
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.7155
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.6730
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.7065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 336.41, Sell volume: 31.99, Average price: 0.6487, Price range: 0.2840 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.2510
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.2335
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.2760
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.2745
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.2730
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.2690
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.2750
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.2735
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.2720
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.2620
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.2585
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.2565
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.2540
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.2545
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.2545
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.2540
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.2525
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.2555
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.2550
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.2530
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.2300
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.2495
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.2185
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.2420
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.2435
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.2430
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.2590
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.2165
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.2275
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.2045
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.1840
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.2300
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.2060
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.1930
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.2255
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.2325
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.1915
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.2020
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.1965
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.2350
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.2365
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.2350
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.2365
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.2365
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.5430
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.5415
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.3925
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.3890
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.3890
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.3875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 275.80, Sell volume: 2.63, Average price: 0.5106, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.8570

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.6560
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.6610
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.6585
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.6640
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.6830
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.7200
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.7305
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.7025
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.7000
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.7000
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.7015
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.6895
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.6830
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.6905
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.6920
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.6920
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.6920
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.6970
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.6980
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.6980
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.6980
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.6965
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.7165
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.7190
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.7185
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.7175
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.7190
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.7205
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.7195
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.7215
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.7195
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.7215
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.7205
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.7205
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.7170
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.7150
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.7145
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.7150
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.7160
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.7155
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.7140
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.7165
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.7150
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.7200
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.7215
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.7195
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.7205
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.7205
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.7220
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.7205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 206.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7270, Price range: 0.7260 - 0.7290

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.2625
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.2635
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.2645
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.2640
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.2620
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.2625
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.2625
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.2650
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.2640
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.2645
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.2640
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.2630
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.2645
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.2645
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.2645
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.2645
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.2650
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.2650
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.2650
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.2645
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.2650
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.2630
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.2680
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.2560
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.2605
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.2625
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.2660
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.2680
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.2700
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.2725
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.2740
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.2795
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.2775
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.2810
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.2795
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.2825
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.2860
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.2890
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.2960
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.2960
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.2990
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.2980
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.2990
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.3005
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.3020
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.3110
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.3025
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.3035
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.3000
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.2960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 35.25, Sell volume: 345.00, Average price: 0.6010, Price range: 0.2850 - 0.8190

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.7165
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.7150
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.7140
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.7130
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.7110
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.7095
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.7110
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.7085
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.7095
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.7085
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.7105
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.7105
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.6985
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.6985
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.6985
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.6980
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.6805
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.6805
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.6815
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.6875
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.6855
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.6885
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.6885
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.6875
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.6875
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.6835
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.6830
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.6830
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.6830
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.6805
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.6810
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.6800
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.6810
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.7085
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.7130
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.7130
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.7130
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.7135
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.7070
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.7070
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.7070
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.7070
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.7070
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.6825
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.6265
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.6625
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.6150
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.6140
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.6190
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.6185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1014.23, Sell volume: 482.19, Average price: 0.4909, Price range: 0.2890 - 0.7110

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.5710
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.5620
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.5550
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.4915
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.5640
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.5185
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.6355
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.4220
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.4415
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.4285
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.4305
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.4340
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.4395
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.4130
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.4345
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.3510
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.3550
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.3555
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.3300
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.3540
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.3315
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.3185
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.3130
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.3140
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.3135
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.3140
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.3110
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.3070
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.2835
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.2750
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.2775
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.2775
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.2825
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.2830
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.2740
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.2695
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.2600
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.2600
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.2680
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.2710
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.3030
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.3030
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.3015
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.3005
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.2965
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.2970
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.2955
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.2920
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.3060
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.2910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 6805.30, Sell volume: 1618.69, Average price: 0.5608, Price range: 0.0530 - 0.7618

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.6920
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.7125
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.6970
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.6930
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.6965
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.6700
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.6195
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.6455
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.6680
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.3630
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.3655
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.5680
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.6770
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.5955
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.6005
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.6635
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.7090
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.6900
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.7005
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.7095
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.7145
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.7015
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.6740
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.6735
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.6770
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.6775
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.6270
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.6785
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.7450
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.7300
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.7260
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.6815
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.7055
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.6380
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.6025
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.6160
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.6615
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.7770
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.6950
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.6940
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.7135
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.6440
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.6945
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.6590
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.6875
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.7075
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.6750
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.6685
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.6875
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.7055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 11532.91, Sell volume: 5109.63, Average price: 0.5980, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9267, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9267, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9267, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9267, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9267, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9267, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9267, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9267, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9267, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9267, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9267, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.6700
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.4650
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.5000
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.4900
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.4850
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.5150
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.4800
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.5250
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.4800
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.4800
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.5200
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.4800
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.5200
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.4800
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.5200
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.4850
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.5150
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.4850
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.5150
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.4850
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.5100
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.4900
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.5100
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.4800
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.5200
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.4800
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.5050
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.5050
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.4900
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5150
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.4850
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5150
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.4850
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.5150
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.4850
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5150
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.4850
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.5150
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.4850
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.5150
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.4950
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.5150
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.4850
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.5150
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.4850
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.5150
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.4850
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.5150
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.4850
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.5150
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.4850
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.5150
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.4850
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.5150
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.4850
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.5150
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.4750
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.5350
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.4750
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.5250
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.4750
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.5250
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.4750
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.5250
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.4700
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.5300
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.4700
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.5300
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.4700
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.5350
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.4550
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.5400
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.4600
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.5400
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.4600
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.5400
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.4600
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.5400
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.4600
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.5350
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.4650
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.5350
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.4650
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.5450
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.4550
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.5450
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.4550
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5450
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.5400
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.4600
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.5400
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.4650
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.5350
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.4650
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.5350
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.4550
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.5450
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.4550
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.5450
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.4550
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.5450
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.4550
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.5450
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.4450
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.5500
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.4500
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.5500
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.4500
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.5400
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.4600
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.5400
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.4550
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.5500
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.4600
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.5400
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.4600
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.5500
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.4600
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.5350
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.4550
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.5450
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.4550
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.5350
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.4550
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.5350
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.4550
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.5400
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.4650
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.5350
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.4650
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.5350
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.4650
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.5350
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.4750
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.5250
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.4750
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.5300
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.4650
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.5300
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.4700
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.5250
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.4750
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.5250
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.4750
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.5200
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.4850
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.5150
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.4850
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.5350
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.4800
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.5200
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.4550
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.5400
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.4600
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.5400
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.4650
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.5350
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.4650
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.5350
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.4650
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.5350
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.4600
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.5400
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.4600
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.5400
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.4600
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.5400
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.4600
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.5400
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.4550
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.5400
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.4600
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.5400
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.4550
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.5400
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.4600
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.5400
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.4600
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.5400
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.4600
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.5400
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.4600
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.5500
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.4450
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.5550
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.4450
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.5550
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.4450
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.5600
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.4400
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.5850
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.4150
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.5850
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.4050
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.5950
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.4050
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.5950
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.4050
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.5950
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.4000
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.5950
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.4050
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.5950
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.4100
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.5900
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.6250
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.6200
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.3800
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.6200
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.3800
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.6200
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.3600
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.6400
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.3600
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.6400
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.3600
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.6450
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.3600
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.6400
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.3650
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.6350
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.3650
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.6350
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.3600
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.6850
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.3350
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.6650
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.3450
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.6350
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.3650
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.6350
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.3550
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.6450
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.3550
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.6450
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.3550
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.6450
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.3550
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.6450
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.3550
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.6400
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.3350
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.6650
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.3350
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.6650
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.3350
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.6150
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.3950
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.5950
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.3950
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.6400
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.3550
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.6450
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.3700
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.6250
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.3600
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.6400
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.3700
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.6200
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.3800
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.6200
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.6200
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.3750
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.6350
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.3400
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.6600
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.3400
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.6600
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.3400
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.6500
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.3550
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.6450
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3550
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.6250
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.3550
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.3850
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.3750
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.6250
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.3650
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.6250
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.3750
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.6250
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.3650
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.6350
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.3650
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.6350
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.3650
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.6450
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.3450
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.6500
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.3700
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.6300
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.3700
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.6300
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.3700
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.6300
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.3700
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.6300
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.3750
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.6250
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.3750
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.6250
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.3750
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.6250
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.3750
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.6250
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.3750
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.6250
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.3850
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.6150
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.3900
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.6100
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.3850
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.6150
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.3850
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.6150
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.3850
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.6150
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.3850
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.6150
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.3850
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.6150
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.3900
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.6100
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.3900
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.6100
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.3950
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.6100
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.3900
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.6100
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.3900
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.6100
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.3950
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.6050
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.3900
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.6100
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.3900
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.6100
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.3900
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.6050
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.3900
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.6100
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.3950
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.6250
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.3750
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.6250
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.3750
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.6250
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.3750
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.6250
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.3750
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.6250
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.3750
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.6250
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.3750
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.6200
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.3800
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.6200
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.3800
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.6400
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.3600
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.6400
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.3550
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.6450
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.3550
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.6450
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.3450
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.6550
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.3500
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.6500
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.3450
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.6550
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.3450
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.6550
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.3450
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.6550
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.3550
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.6450
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.3500
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.6500
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.3550
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.6500
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.3500
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.6500
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.3500
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.6450
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.3450
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.6550
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.3450
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.6600
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.3350
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.6650
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.3450
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.6500
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.3500
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.6500
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.3500
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.6500
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.3450
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.6600
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.3250
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.6800
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.3250
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.6750
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.3400
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.6800
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.3250
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.6700
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.3250
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.6850
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.3150
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.6800
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.3200
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.6800
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.3200
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.6800
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.3200
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.6800
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.3250
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.6950
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.3200
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.6800
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.3200
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.6800
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.3200
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.6950
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.3050
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.6950
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.3050
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.6800
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.3150
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.6850
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.3150
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.6900
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.3200
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.6850
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.3350
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.6750
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.3350
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.6650
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.3400
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.6750
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.3250
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.6800
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.3250
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.6750
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.3250
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.6750
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.3250
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.6750
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.3200
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.6750
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.3250
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.6600
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.3300
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.6650
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.3400
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.6700
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.3350
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.6600
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.3400
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.6600
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.3350
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.6700
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.3250
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.6750
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.3400
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.6700
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.3350
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.6650
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.3400
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.6650
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.3350
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.6750
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.3050
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.6950
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.3050
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.6950
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.3150
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.6850
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.3150
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.6850
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.3150
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.6850
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.3050
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.6850
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.3250
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.6800
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.3200
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.6850
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.3100
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.6900
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.3200
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.6750
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.3250
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.6750
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.3250
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.6750
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.3900
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.6050
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.3750
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.6350
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.3750
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.6300
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.3750
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.6350
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.3600
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.6450
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.3450
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.6550
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.3250
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.7000
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.2950
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.6950
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.3400
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.6700
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.3350
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.6600
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.3350
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.6700
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.3300
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.6700
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.3300
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.6550
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.3450
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.6550
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.3450
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.6550
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.3450
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.6550
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.3450
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.6550
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.3450
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.6450
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.3550
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.6500
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.3400
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.6500
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.3500
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.6500
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.3300
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.6700
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.3300
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.6700
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.3450
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.6700
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.6700
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.3300
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.6700
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.3300
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.6700
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.3300
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.6700
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.3300
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.6750
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.3250
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.6750
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.3250
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.6750
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.3200
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.6800
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.3200
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.6800
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.2750
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.7300
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.2750
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.7100
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.2950
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.7050
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.2950
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.7000
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.3450
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.6850
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.3200
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.6500
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.3950
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.6550
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.3350
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.6550
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.3450
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.6500
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.3500
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.6500
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.3450
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.6500
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.3500
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.6500
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.3300
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.6600
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.3400
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.6600
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.3400
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.6600
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.3400
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.6650
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.3350
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.6650
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.3350
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.6600
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.3400
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.6600
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.3350
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.6650
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.3400
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.6600
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.3400
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.6600
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.3400
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.6600
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.3400
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.6600
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.3400
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.6600
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.3400
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.6600
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.3400
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.6750
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.3450
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.6550
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.3450
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.6700
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.4850
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.4800
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.5200
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.4750
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.5200
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.4800
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.5200
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.4750
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.5200
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.4850
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.5150
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.4900
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.5100
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.4800
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.5200
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.4900
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.5150
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.4850
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.5150
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.4850
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.5150
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.4850
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.5150
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.4850
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.5150
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.4850
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.5150
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.4850
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.5150
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.4850
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.5150
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.4750
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.5250
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.4750
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.5250
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.4750
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.5300
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.4700
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.5300
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.4600
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.5400
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.4600
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.5400
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.4600
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.5400
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.4650
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.5350
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.4550
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.5450
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.4550
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.5400
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.4600
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.5350
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.4650
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.5350
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.4550
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.5450
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.4550
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.5450
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.4550
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.5500
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.4550
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.5500
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.4600
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.5450
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.4500
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.5400
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.4550
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.5350
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.4650
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.5450
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.4550
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.5450
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.4600
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.5350
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.4650
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.5350
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.4750
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.5250
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.4700
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.5300
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.4750
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.5250
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.4750
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.5200
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.4850
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.5300
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.4800
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.5450
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.4600
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.5400
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.4650
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.5350
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.4650
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.5400
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.4600
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.5400
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.4600
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.5400
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.4600
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.5400
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.4600
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.5400
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.4600
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.5400
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.4600
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.5500
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.4450
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.5550
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.4400
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.5600
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.4200
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.5850
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.4050
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.5950
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.4050
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.5950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.4050
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.5950
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.4100
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.6250
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.6200
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.3800
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.6200
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.3600
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.6400
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.3600
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.6400
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.3600
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.6350
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.3650
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.6850
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.3300
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.6550
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.3650
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.6350
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.3550
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.6450
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.3550
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.6450
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.3550
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.6400
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.3350
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.6650
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.3650
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.6150
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.3950
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.6400
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.3550
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.6400
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.3600
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.6200
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.6350
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.3750
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.6600
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.3400
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.6600
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.3500
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.6450
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.3750
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.3750
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.3650
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.6250
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.3750
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.6350
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.3650
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.6350
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.3450
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.6300
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.3700
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.6300
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.3700
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.6300
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.3750
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.6250
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.3750
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.6250
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.3750
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.6250
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.3900
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.6100
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.3850
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.6150
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.3850
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.6150
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.3850
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.6150
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.3900
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.6100
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.3900
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.6100
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.3900
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.6100
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.3950
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.6050
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.3900
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.6150
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.3900
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.6100
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.3950
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.6250
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.3750
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.6250
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.3750
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.6250
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.3750
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.6200
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.3800
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.6200
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.3600
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.6400
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.3600
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.6450
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.3450
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.6500
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.3450
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.6550
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.3450
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.6450
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.3550
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.6500
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.3500
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.6500
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.3500
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.6450
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.3450
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.6550
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.3350
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.6650
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.3500
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.6500
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.3500
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.6600
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.3250
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.6750
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.3400
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.6750
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.3300
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.6800
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.3200
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.6800
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.3200
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.6850
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.3250
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.6950
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.3200
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.6800
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.3200
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.6950
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.3050
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.6950
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.3150
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.6850
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.3200
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.6450
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.3250
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.6650
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.3350
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.6850
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.3250
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.6750
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.3250
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.6750
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.3250
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.6600
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.3250
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.6600
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.3350
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.6600
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.3400
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.6700
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.3250
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.6700
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.3350
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.6600
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.3350
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.6750
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.3050
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.6950
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.3150
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.6850
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.3150
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.6850
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.3100
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.6750
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.3200
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.6900
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.3100
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.6750
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.3250
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.6750
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.3700
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.6250
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.3700
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.6300
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.3750
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.6400
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.3450
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.6750
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.2950
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.6600
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.3300
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.6650
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.3300
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.6700
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.3300
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.6550
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.3450
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.6550
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.3450
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.6550
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.3450
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.6500
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.3500
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.6500
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.3500
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.6700
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.6550
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.6700
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.3300
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.6700
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.3300
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.6700
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.3250
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.6750
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.3200
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.6800
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.3200
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.7150
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.3050
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.7050
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.2950
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.7000
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524142
Question: Megaquake in 2025?
Volume: 414681.782146
Price History:
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.3450
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.6800
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.3650
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.6550
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.3450
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.6500
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.3500
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.6550
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.3500
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.6550
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.3450
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.6600
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.3400
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.6600
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.3350
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.6650
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.3400
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.6650
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.3350
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.6600
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.3400
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.6600
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.3400
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.6600
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.3400
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.6600
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.3250
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.6550
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.3450
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.5200
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 131, Buy volume: 35707.78, Sell volume: 9471.38, Average price: 0.5456, Price range: 0.0155 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.4800
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0500
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9500
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9100
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0900
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.8200
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.1800
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.8150
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.1850
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.8550
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.1450
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.8650
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 11642.84, Sell volume: 4648.54, Average price: 0.2880, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.8750
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.1250
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.1100
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.8200
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.1800
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.7700
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.2300
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.7600
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.2400
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.8650
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.1350
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 54.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8850, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.8800
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.1200
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.8800
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.1200
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 188.46, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6403, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9300
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0700
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0700
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9300
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1436.90, Sell volume: 244.00, Average price: 0.4433, Price range: 0.0665 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.8600
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.1400
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5400
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.4600
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 11648.47, Sell volume: 4325.91, Average price: 0.5110, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0345
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9655
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9450
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0550
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9650
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0350
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9650
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0350
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9650
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 456.71, Sell volume: 93.75, Average price: 0.7396, Price range: 0.0682 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9650
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0350
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9645
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0355
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9780
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0220
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9780
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0220
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9780
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0220
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9780
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0220
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9780
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 356.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5059, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9798

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0220
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9780
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9835
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0165
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9840
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0160
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9840
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0160
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9840
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9835
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0165
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9835
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 131, Buy volume: 35707.78, Sell volume: 9471.38, Average price: 0.5456, Price range: 0.0155 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9840
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0160
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9815
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0185
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9725
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0275
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9725
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0275
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9755
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0245
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9795
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0205
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9825
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 46.92, Sell volume: 30.82, Average price: 0.4947, Price range: 0.0213 - 0.9680

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9830
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0170
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9830
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0170
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9875
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0125
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9880
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0120
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9885
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0115
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9820
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0180
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9775
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 274.34, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.7450, Price range: 0.0155 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9735
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0265
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9785
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0215
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9785
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0215
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9795
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0205
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9765
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0235
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9885
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 6322.39, Sell volume: 18.36, Average price: 0.5564, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9900
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0100
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2075.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9983, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.5200
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 131, Buy volume: 35707.78, Sell volume: 9471.38, Average price: 0.5456, Price range: 0.0155 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.4800
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0500
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9500
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9100
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0900
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.8200
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.1800
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.8150
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.1850
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.8550
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.1450
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.8650
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 11642.84, Sell volume: 4648.54, Average price: 0.2880, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.8750
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.1250
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.1100
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.8200
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.1800
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.7700
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.2300
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.7600
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.2400
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.8650
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.1350
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 54.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8850, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.8800
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.1200
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.8800
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.1200
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 188.46, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6403, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9300
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0700
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0700
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9300
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1436.90, Sell volume: 244.00, Average price: 0.4433, Price range: 0.0665 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.8600
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.1400
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5400
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.4600
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 11648.47, Sell volume: 4325.91, Average price: 0.5110, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0345
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9655
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9450
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0550
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9650
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0350
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9650
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0350
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9650
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 456.71, Sell volume: 93.75, Average price: 0.7396, Price range: 0.0682 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9650
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0350
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9645
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0355
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9780
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0220
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9780
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0220
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9780
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0220
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9780
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0220
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9780
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 356.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5059, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9798
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0220
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9780
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9835
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0165
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9840
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0160
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9840
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0160
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9840
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9835
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0165
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9835
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 131, Buy volume: 35707.78, Sell volume: 9471.38, Average price: 0.5456, Price range: 0.0155 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9840
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0160
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9815
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0185
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9725
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0275
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9725
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0275
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9755
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0245
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9795
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0205
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9825
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 46.92, Sell volume: 30.82, Average price: 0.4947, Price range: 0.0213 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9830
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0170
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9830
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0170
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9875
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0125
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9880
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0120
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9885
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0115
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9820
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0180
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9775
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 274.34, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.7450, Price range: 0.0155 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9735
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0265
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9785
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0215
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9785
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0215
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9795
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0205
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9765
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0235
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9885
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 6322.39, Sell volume: 18.36, Average price: 0.5564, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702085
Question: Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 45179.161526
Price History:
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9900
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0100
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2075.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9983, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.5050
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.1050
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.1655
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.2400
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.2570
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.4020
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.4570
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.4280
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.3780
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.3785
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.3690
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.3675
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.3540
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.3690
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.3690
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.3685
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.3685
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.3690
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.3690
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.3690
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.3690
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.3685
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.4120
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.4215
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.4550
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.4550
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.4550
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.4550
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.4550
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1217.12, Sell volume: 219.10, Average price: 0.3865, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.5355
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.5355
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.5355
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.5355
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.5360
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.5355
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.5355
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.5355
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.5400
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.5070
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.5070
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.4460
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.4680
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.4415
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.2575
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.2680
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.4925
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.4910
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.4960
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.4950
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.4675
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.5010
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.4710
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.4810
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.4110
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.4240
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.4645
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.4495
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.4920
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.4175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 239.90, Average price: 0.4159, Price range: 0.2488 - 0.5128
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.5750
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.4795
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.4725
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.4315
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.4260
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.4350
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.3940
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.4315
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.4350
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.4105
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.3950
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.4320
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.2985
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.3105
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.3295
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.2930
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.6655
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.5100
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.6710
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.5330
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.6110
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.4865
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.5105
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.6205
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.6645
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.6635
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.6725
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.6070
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.5270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 176.91, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.4854, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6180
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.5945
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.5845
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.4730
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.4320
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.4330
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.5020
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.4725
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.5345
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.5515
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.4250
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.4980
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.5920
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.5980
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.6025
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.5805
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.5905
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.5760
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.6420
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.5980
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.5750
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.3755
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.4415
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.4720
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.4260
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.4555
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.4455
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.3380
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.3480
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.4355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 265.45, Sell volume: 16.55, Average price: 0.4984, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No