Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623720
Question: Will Leavitt say "National Guard" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3386.279104
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.3300
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.6700
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.3300
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.6700
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.3300
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.6700
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.6700
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.3300
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.6700
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.3300
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.3300
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.6700
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.6700
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.3300
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.3300
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.6700
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.6700
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.3300
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.3300
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.6700
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.6700
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.3300
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.3300
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.6700
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.3300
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.6700
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.6700
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.3300
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.3300
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.6700
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.3300
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.6700
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.6700
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.3300
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.2800
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.7200
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.2800
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.7200
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.2800
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.7200
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.2800
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.7200
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.2800
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.7200
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.2800
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.7200
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.22, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8200, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623720
Question: Will Leavitt say "National Guard" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3386.279104
Price History:
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.7100
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.7150
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.7150
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.2900
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.7100
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.7100
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.2900
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.7150
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.7150
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.7150
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.7250
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.2750
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.7250
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.2750
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.7200
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.2800
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.7250
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.2750
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.7250
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.2750
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.7250
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.2750
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.7250
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.2750
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.7150
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.2650
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.7350
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.2650
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.7350
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.2650
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.7350
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.2650
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.7350
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.2700
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.7300
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.2650
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.7350
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.2700
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.7300
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 24.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.8100 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623720
Question: Will Leavitt say "National Guard" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3386.279104
Price History:
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.2700
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.7300
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.2700
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.7300
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.2700
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.7300
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.2750
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.7250
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.2750
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.7250
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.2750
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.7250
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.2750
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.7250
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.2750
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.7250
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.2800
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.7200
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.2800
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.7200
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.2800
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.7200
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.2750
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.7250
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.2750
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.7250
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.2750
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.7250
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.2900
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.7100
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.3000
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 666.40, Sell volume: 278.15, Average price: 0.5665, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623720
Question: Will Leavitt say "National Guard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3386.279104
Price History:
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.4950
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.5050
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.4150
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.5850
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.4150
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.4150
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.4150
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.5850
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.4150
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.4150
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.5750
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.5750
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.4950
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.4950
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.4450
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.4450
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.4450
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.4450
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.5650
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 568.83, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7894, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623720
Question: Will Leavitt say "National Guard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3386.279104
Price History:
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.7950
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.7850
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.7650
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.7650
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.2350
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.7550
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.7550
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.7550
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.7550
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.2450
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.7600
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.7750
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.7750
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.7750
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.7750
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.2300
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.7700
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.2300
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.7700
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.7700
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.2300
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.7700
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.2300
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.7700
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.7700
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.7700
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.7800
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.7800
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.7800
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 178.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8150, Price range: 0.8100 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623720
Question: Will Leavitt say "National Guard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3386.279104
Price History:
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.2250
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.2250
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.2250
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.2150
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.2150
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.2150
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.2150
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.7850
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.7850
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.2150
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.7850
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.7600
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.7600
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.2400
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.4050
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.3200
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.4000
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.2500
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.3200
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.6800
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.6800
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.6850
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.3150
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.6850
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.3150
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.6850
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.6850
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 157.00, Sell volume: 99.97, Average price: 0.7764, Price range: 0.7449 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623720
Question: Will Leavitt say "National Guard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3386.279104
Price History:
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.3100
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.2350
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.5100
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.5100
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.4850
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.2400
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.4700
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.5300
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.5300
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.5100
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.4750
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.6550
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.6550
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.3450
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.3450
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.6550
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.3500
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.6500
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.3500
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.3500
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.6100
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.3950
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.3350
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.3350
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.3350
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.3350
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.3350
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.4600
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.6050
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 415.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623720
Question: Will Leavitt say "National Guard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3386.279104
Price History:
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.4300
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.4500
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.4100
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.4600
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.5700
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.4300
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.4450
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.4250
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.5700
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.5700
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.5700
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.4350
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.4350
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.5650
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.4150
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.5750
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.5600
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.5250
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.4550
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.4400
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.4150
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.4350
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.5650
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.4150
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.5650
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.5850
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.3350
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.39, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7200, Price range: 0.7200 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623720
Question: Will Leavitt say "National Guard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3386.279104
Price History:
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.4550
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.4300
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.5700
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.5700
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.4550
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.5450
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.4550
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.4550
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.4650
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.5800
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.5700
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.4250
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5700
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.5700
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5700
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.4300
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.5700
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.5700
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.5700
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.5700
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.5700
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.5700
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.5700
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.5700
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.5700
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 55.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7065, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623720
Question: Will Leavitt say "National Guard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3386.279104
Price History:
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.4400
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.4400
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.4400
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.4400
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.5600
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.5500
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.4500
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.4500
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.5500
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.5500
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.5500
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.5500
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.3250
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.3250
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.3950
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.3950
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.4600
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.4000
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.5400
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.4600
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.4600
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.4000
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.4600
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.3250
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.6750
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.6750
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.3250
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.3250
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.4000
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 3008.16, Sell volume: 378.12, Average price: 0.7143, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623720
Question: Will Leavitt say "National Guard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3386.279104
Price History:
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.3150
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.6850
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.6850
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.3150
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.6850
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.6850
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.6750
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.4600
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.4700
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.4700
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.4700
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.4700
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.4700
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.5300
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.5300
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.4700
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.4750
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.5400
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.6000
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.4000
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.4650
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.6650
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.5100
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.4100
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.4050
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.4050
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.4900
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.4900
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 3008.16, Sell volume: 378.12, Average price: 0.7143, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623720
Question: Will Leavitt say "National Guard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3386.279104
Price History:
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.4900
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.4950
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.4950
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.4950
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.4950
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.4950
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.4950
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.5050
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.4950
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.5850
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.4950
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.5850
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.4950
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.4100
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.6150
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.6150
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.5900
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.4100
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.4100
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.5900
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.5900
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.5900
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.5900
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.5900
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.5900
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.4100
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.5900
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.5900
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.6050
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 3008.16, Sell volume: 378.12, Average price: 0.7143, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623720
Question: Will Leavitt say "National Guard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3386.279104
Price History:
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.3950
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.3950
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.3950
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.3900
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.3900
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.3900
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.3900
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.3900
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.3900
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.6100
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.3850
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.3850
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.3400
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.3400
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.3400
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.3350
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.3350
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.3350
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.3300
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.6700
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.6700
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.6650
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.6650
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.6700
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.6700
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.6700
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.6700
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.3300
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.6700
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 3008.16, Sell volume: 378.12, Average price: 0.7143, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623720
Question: Will Leavitt say "National Guard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3386.279104
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.3300
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.3300
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.3300
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.6700
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.6700
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.3300
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.6700
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.3300
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.6700
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.3300
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.6700
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.3300
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.3300
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.6700
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.3300
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.3300
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.6700
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.2800
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.2800
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.2800
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.2800
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.2800
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.2800
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.22, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8200, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623720
Question: Will Leavitt say "National Guard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3386.279104
Price History:
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.7100
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.7150
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.7100
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.2900
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.2750
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.2750
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.2800
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.2750
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.2750
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.2750
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.2750
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.7350
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.7350
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.7350
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.7350
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.7300
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.7350
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.7300
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.7350
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.7350
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.7350
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 24.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.8100 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623720
Question: Will Leavitt say "National Guard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3386.279104
Price History:
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.2700
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.2700
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.2700
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.2750
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.2750
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.2750
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.2750
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.2750
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.2800
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.2800
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.2800
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.2750
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.2750
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.2750
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.2900
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.3000
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.3800
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.3200
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.3300
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.3500
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 666.40, Sell volume: 278.15, Average price: 0.5665, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5050
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4950
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5050
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5050
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.4950
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.5050
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.4950
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.5800
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.4200
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.3800
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.6200
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.3800
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.6200
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.3800
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.6200
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.3800
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.6200
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.3800
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.6200
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.3800
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.6200
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.3800
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 338.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5941, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.7700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.6200
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.3800
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.6200
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.3800
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.6200
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.3800
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.6200
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.3800
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.6200
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.3700
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.6300
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.3700
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.6300
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.6300
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.3700
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.6300
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.3700
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.3650
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.6350
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.3550
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.6450
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.3550
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.6450
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.3550
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.6450
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.3550
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.6450
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.6450
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.3550
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.3250
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.6750
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.3250
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.6750
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.6750
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.3250
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.6750
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.3250
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.3250
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.6750
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.3250
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.6750
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.6750
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.3250
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.6800
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.3200
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.6800
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.3200
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.3200
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.6800
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 328.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7819, Price range: 0.7700 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.8050
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.1950
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.1950
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.8050
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.8050
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.1950
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.8050
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.1950
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.1950
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.8050
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.8100
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.1900
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.8100
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.1550
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.8450
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.1550
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.8450
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.1550
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.8450
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.1550
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.8450
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.1550
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.8450
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.1550
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2.41, Sell volume: 28.00, Average price: 0.8050, Price range: 0.7900 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.1550
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.8450
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.1550
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.8450
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.1550
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.8400
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.1600
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.8400
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.1600
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.8400
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.1600
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.8400
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.1600
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.8350
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.1650
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.8400
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.1600
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.8400
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.1600
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.8400
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.1600
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.8300
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.1700
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.8300
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.1700
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.8300
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.1700
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.8300
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.1700
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.8300
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.1700
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.8300
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.1700
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.1700
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.8300
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.1700
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.8300
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8600, Price range: 0.8600 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.1650
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.1650
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.1650
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.1650
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.1650
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.1650
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.1650
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.1650
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.1650
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.1600
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.8400
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.1600
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.8400
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.1600
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.8400
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.8400
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.1600
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.1600
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.8400
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.1600
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.8400
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.8400
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.1600
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.1600
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.8400
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.1600
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.8400
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.1600
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.8400
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.1600
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.8400
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.1600
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.8400
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1600
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.8400
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.1600
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.8400
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.1600
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.8400
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 2427.01, Sell volume: 136.26, Average price: 0.6928, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.8250
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.8250
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.1800
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.8200
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.1800
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.8200
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 2427.01, Sell volume: 136.26, Average price: 0.6928, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.1800
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.8200
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.1800
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.8200
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.1800
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.1800
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.8200
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.8200
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.1800
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.8200
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.1800
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.8200
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.1800
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.8200
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.1800
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.8400
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.1600
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.8400
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.1600
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.8400
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.1600
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.8400
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.1600
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.1600
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.8400
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.8400
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.1600
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.8350
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.1650
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.8350
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.1650
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.8350
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.1650
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.8350
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.1650
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.8350
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.1650
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.8350
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.1650
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.8350
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.1650
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.8350
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.1650
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.8350
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.1650
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.1650
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.8350
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.1650
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.8350
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 2427.01, Sell volume: 136.26, Average price: 0.6928, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.1600
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.8400
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.8250
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.8250
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 2427.01, Sell volume: 136.26, Average price: 0.6928, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.3300
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.6700
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.6700
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.3300
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.6750
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.3250
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.3100
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.6900
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.3050
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.6950
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.6950
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.3050
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 25.67, Average price: 0.7817, Price range: 0.7817 - 0.7817

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.2850
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.2850
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.3100
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.6900
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.6900
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.3100
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.6900
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.3100
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.3100
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.3100
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.6900
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.3100
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.6900
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.3100
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.6900
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.3100
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.6900
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.3100
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.6900
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.6900
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.3100
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.6900
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.3100
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.6900
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.3100
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.6900
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.3100
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.3100
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.6900
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.3000
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.7000
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.3000
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.7000
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.7000
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.3000
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 85.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7766, Price range: 0.7699 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.2900
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.7100
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.2900
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.7100
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.2900
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.7600
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.2400
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.2400
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.7600
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.2400
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.7600
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.2400
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.7600
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.2400
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.7600
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.2300
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.7700
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.2300
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.7700
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.2300
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.7700
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.2300
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.2300
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 2427.01, Sell volume: 136.26, Average price: 0.6928, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.7850
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.7850
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.7850
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.7850
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.7850
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.2050
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.7950
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.2100
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.7900
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.2100
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.7900
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.7850
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.2100
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.7900
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.2100
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.7900
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.7850
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.2100
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.7900
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.7850
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.2100
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.7900
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.2100
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.7900
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.2100
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.7900
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.2100
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.7900
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.2100
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.7900
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.2150
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.7850
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.2100
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.7900
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.2100
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.7900
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.2100
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.7900
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.2050
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.7950
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1065.36, Sell volume: 82.59, Average price: 0.6129, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5050
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5050
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.5050
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.5800
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.3800
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.3800
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.3800
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.3800
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.3800
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.3800
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.3800
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.3800
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.3800
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.3750
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.3750
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 338.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5941, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.6200
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.6200
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.6200
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.6200
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.6200
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.6300
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.6300
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.3700
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.3700
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.6350
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.6450
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.6450
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.6450
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.6450
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.3550
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.6750
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.6750
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.3250
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.3250
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.6750
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.6750
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.3250
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.3200
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.3200
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.6800
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.6800
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.2600
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 328.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7819, Price range: 0.7700 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.8050
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.1950
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.8050
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.8050
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.1950
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.1900
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.1900
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.1550
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.1550
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.1550
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.1550
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.1550
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.1550
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.8450
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.8450
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.8450
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.1550
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2.41, Sell volume: 28.00, Average price: 0.8050, Price range: 0.7900 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.1550
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.1550
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.1550
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.1600
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.1600
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.1600
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.1600
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.1650
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.1600
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.1600
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.1600
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.1700
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.1700
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.1700
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.1700
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.1700
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.1700
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.8300
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.8300
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8600, Price range: 0.8600 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.1650
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.8400
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.8400
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.8400
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.1600
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.8400
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.8400
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.1600
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.8400
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.8400
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.8400
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.8400
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.8400
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.8400
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.8400
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.8400
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.1600
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.1600
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.1650
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.1650
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 2427.01, Sell volume: 136.26, Average price: 0.6928, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.1800
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.1800
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.1800
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 2427.01, Sell volume: 136.26, Average price: 0.6928, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.1800
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.1800
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.1800
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.8200
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.1800
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.1800
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.1800
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.1800
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.1600
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.1600
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.1600
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.1600
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.8400
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.1600
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.1650
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.1650
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.1650
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.1650
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.1650
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.1650
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.1650
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.1650
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.1650
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.8350
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.8350
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.8350
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.1650
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.8400
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8350
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 2427.01, Sell volume: 136.26, Average price: 0.6928, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.1600
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.8250
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.8250
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 2427.01, Sell volume: 136.26, Average price: 0.6928, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.6700
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.3300
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.3250
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.6900
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.6950
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.3050
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.2800
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.2800
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.2800
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.2800
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 25.67, Average price: 0.7817, Price range: 0.7817 - 0.7817
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.3100
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.6900
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.6900
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.3100
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.3100
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.3100
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.3100
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.3100
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.6900
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.6900
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.6900
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.6900
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.3100
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.3000
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.3000
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.7000
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 85.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7766, Price range: 0.7699 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.2900
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.2900
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.2900
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.2400
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.7600
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.7600
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.7600
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.7600
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.7700
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.7700
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.7700
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 2427.01, Sell volume: 136.26, Average price: 0.6928, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623722
Question: Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2563.273227
Price History:
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.2050
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.2100
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.2100
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.2100
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.2100
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.2100
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.2100
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.2100
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.2100
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.2100
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.2100
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.2150
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.2100
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.2100
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.2100
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.2050
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.1800
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.1600
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1065.36, Sell volume: 82.59, Average price: 0.6129, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.3950
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.6050
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.6150
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.3850
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.5500
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.4500
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.4550
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.5450
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.6150
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.3850
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.6150
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.3850
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.3850
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.6150
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.6350
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.3650
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.6350
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.3650
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.6350
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.3650
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.6350
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.3650
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.3650
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.6350
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.4050
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.4000
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.6000
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.6000
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.4000
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.4150
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.5850
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.5850
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.4150
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.4150
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.5850
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.4050
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 994.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7029, Price range: 0.4506 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.4100
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.5900
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.4100
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.4150
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.5850
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.4150
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.5850
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.4300
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.5700
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.5700
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.4300
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.4300
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.5700
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.4550
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.5450
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.4650
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.5350
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.4750
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.5250
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.4750
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.5250
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.5250
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.4750
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.5250
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.4750
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.4750
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.5250
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.5300
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.4700
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.4700
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.5300
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.4700
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.5300
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.5950
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.4050
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.6100
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.3900
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.3900
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.6100
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.6100
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.3900
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.6100
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.3900
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.3900
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.6100
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6880, Price range: 0.6880 - 0.6880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.4000
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.6000
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.4000
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.6000
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.3950
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.6050
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.3950
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.6050
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.6050
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.3950
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.3950
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.6050
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.3950
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.6050
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.3950
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.6050
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.3700
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.6300
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.3700
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.6300
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.3700
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.6300
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.3650
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.6350
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.3650
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.6350
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.6300
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.6300
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.3750
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.6250
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.6300
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.6300
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.3750
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.6250
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.3650
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.6350
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.3650
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 994.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7029, Price range: 0.4506 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.6300
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.6400
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.3600
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.3600
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.6400
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.6350
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.3650
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.6300
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.6300
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.6300
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.6300
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.6300
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.6300
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.6300
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.6250
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.6250
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.6250
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.6050
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.3950
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.6100
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.3900
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.3800
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.6200
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.6200
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.3800
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.6200
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.3800
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.6250
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.6250
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.6250
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.6250
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.6250
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.6250
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 117.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5905, Price range: 0.4911 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.6300
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.3700
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.5850
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.4150
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.5800
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.5750
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.4250
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.4250
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.5750
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.5750
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.4250
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 221.92, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4506, Price range: 0.4506 - 0.4506

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.4200
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.5800
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.4200
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.5850
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.5850
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.4150
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.5800
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.4200
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.5800
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.4200
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.5800
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.4200
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.5800
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.4200
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 994.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7029, Price range: 0.4506 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.5600
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.4400
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.5600
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.4400
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 55.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6250, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.6300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.5650
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.4350
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.5650
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.4350
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.5650
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.4350
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.5650
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.7250
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.2750
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.7250
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 39.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5060, Price range: 0.5060 - 0.5060

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.7250
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.2750
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.2750
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.7250
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.2750
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.7250
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.2750
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.7250
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.7250
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.2750
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.7250
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.2750
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.2750
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.7250
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.2750
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.7250
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.2850
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.7150
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.6700
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.3300
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.2850
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.2850
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.7150
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.7150
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.2850
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.7150
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.7150
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.2850
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.2850
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.7150
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.2850
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.7150
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.2850
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.7150
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.5050
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.4950
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.5050
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.5100
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.4900
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.4900
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.5100
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.5100
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.4900
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.5100
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.5100
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.4900
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.5100
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.4900
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.5100
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.4900
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.5100
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.4900
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.5100
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.5100
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.4900
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.4900
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.5100
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.4900
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.5100
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.5100
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.4900
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.5100
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.4900
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.5100
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.4900
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.5100
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.4900
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.4900
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.5100
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.4900
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.5100
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.4850
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.5150
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.4850
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.5150
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.4900
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.5100
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.4900
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.5100
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 994.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7029, Price range: 0.4506 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.5100
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.4900
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.4900
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.5100
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.4750
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.5250
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.4750
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.5250
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.5250
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.4750
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.4750
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.5250
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.4750
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.5250
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.4750
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.5250
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.4750
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.5250
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.4750
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.5250
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.4750
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.5250
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.5300
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.5300
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.5300
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.5300
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.5300
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.5300
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.4450
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.5550
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.4450
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.5550
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.5550
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.4450
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.4450
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.5550
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.4450
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.5550
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.5550
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.4450
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.5600
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.4400
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7700, Price range: 0.7700 - 0.7700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.5650
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.4350
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.5650
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.4350
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.5650
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.4400
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.5600
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.5600
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.4400
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.4400
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.5600
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.5600
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.4400
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.4400
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.5600
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.5550
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.4450
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.5550
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.4450
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.5550
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.4450
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.5750
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.4250
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.4250
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.5750
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.4250
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.5750
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.5750
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.4250
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.5750
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.4250
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.5750
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.4250
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.5750
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.4250
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.5750
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.4250
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.5750
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.4250
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.5750
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.4250
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.4250
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.5750
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.5750
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.4250
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.5750
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.4250
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.4250
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.5750
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 994.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7029, Price range: 0.4506 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.4450
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.5550
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.4450
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.5550
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.4450
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.5550
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.4450
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.5550
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.4450
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.5550
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.4450
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.5550
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.4450
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.5550
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.4450
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.5550
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.4450
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.5600
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.4400
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.5600
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 34.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7769, Price range: 0.6100 - 0.9877

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.3950
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.6150
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.5500
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.4550
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.6150
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.6150
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.3850
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.6350
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.6350
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.6350
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.6350
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.3650
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.4050
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.4000
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.6000
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.4150
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.5850
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.4150
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.4050
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.5850
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.3850
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 994.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7029, Price range: 0.4506 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.4100
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.4100
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.5850
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.5850
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.5700
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.4300
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.5700
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.5450
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.5350
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.5250
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.5250
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.4750
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.4750
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.5250
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.4700
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.5300
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.5300
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.4050
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.3900
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.6100
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.3900
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.3900
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.6100
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.4000
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.6000
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.4000
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6880, Price range: 0.6880 - 0.6880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.4000
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.4000
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.3950
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.3950
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.6050
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.3950
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.3950
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.3950
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.3700
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.3700
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.3700
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.3650
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.3650
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.6300
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.3750
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.3750
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.3650
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.3650
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.6300
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 994.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7029, Price range: 0.4506 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.6300
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.3600
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.6400
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.3650
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.6300
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.6300
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.6300
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.6300
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.6250
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.3950
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.3900
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.6200
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.3800
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.3800
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.6250
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.6300
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.3700
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 117.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5905, Price range: 0.4911 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.6300
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.5850
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.5750
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.4250
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.5750
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.4200
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.4200
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.4200
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 221.92, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4506, Price range: 0.4506 - 0.4506
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.4200
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.4200
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.5850
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.4150
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.4200
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.4200
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.4200
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.4200
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.4200
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.4200
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.4250
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.4250
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 994.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7029, Price range: 0.4506 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.5600
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.5600
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 55.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6250, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.5650
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.5650
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.5650
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.5650
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.2750
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.7250
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.2750
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.2750
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.2750
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.2750
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 39.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5060, Price range: 0.5060 - 0.5060
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.7250
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.2750
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.2750
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.2750
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.7250
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.7250
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.2750
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.2750
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.2850
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.6700
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.2850
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.2850
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.2850
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.7150
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.2850
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.7150
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.7150
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.2850
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.2850
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.2850
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.3250
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.5050
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.5050
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.4900
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.5100
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.4900
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.4900
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.4900
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.4900
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.4900
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.4900
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.5100
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.5100
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.4900
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.4900
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.4900
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.4900
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.5100
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.5100
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.5150
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.5150
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.5100
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.5100
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.4900
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.4900
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.4900
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 994.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7029, Price range: 0.4506 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.5100
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.4900
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.4750
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.4750
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.5250
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.4750
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.4750
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.4750
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.4750
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.4750
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.4750
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.5300
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.5300
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.4450
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.4450
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.5550
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.4450
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.4450
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.5550
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.5600
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.4350
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.4350
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7700, Price range: 0.7700 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.5650
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.5650
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.5650
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.5600
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.4400
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.5600
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.4400
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.5600
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.4450
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.4450
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.4450
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.4250
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.5750
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.5750
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.4250
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.4250
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.4250
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.4250
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.4250
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.4250
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.4250
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.5750
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.4250
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.4250
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.5750
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.5750
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.4250
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.4250
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.4250
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 994.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7029, Price range: 0.4506 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623724
Question: Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 994.574949
Price History:
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.5550
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.5550
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.5550
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.5550
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.5550
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.5550
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.5550
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.5550
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.5550
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.5600
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.5600
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.5600
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.5500
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.5600
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.3850
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 34.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7769, Price range: 0.6100 - 0.9877
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.4950
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9300
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0700
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No