Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612255
Question: South Park: Trump x Satan baby is female?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4120.796423
Price History:
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 3.61, Sell volume: 2.35, Average price: 0.5660, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612255
Question: South Park: Trump x Satan baby is female?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4120.796423
Price History:
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.8250
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.8250
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.8250
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.8250
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 14.73, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612255
Question: South Park: Trump x Satan baby is female?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4120.796423
Price History:
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.8250
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.8250
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 43.13, Average price: 0.8200, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612255
Question: South Park: Trump x Satan baby is female?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4120.796423
Price History:
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1800, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.1800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612255
Question: South Park: Trump x Satan baby is female?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4120.796423
Price History:
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1800, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.1800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612255
Question: South Park: Trump x Satan baby is female?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4120.796423
Price History:
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.8250
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.8250
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.1800
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.8200
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.1800
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.8200
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.8200
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.1800
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.1900
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.8100
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.1900
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.8100
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.1150
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.1150
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 2712.56, Sell volume: 310.46, Average price: 0.7374, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612255
Question: South Park: Trump x Satan baby is female?
Volume: 4120.796423
Price History:
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.6450
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.2300
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.7800
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.7900
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.8250
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.8300
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.1750
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.1750
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.1750
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.1750
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.1750
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.1750
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.1750
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 489.80, Sell volume: 99.40, Average price: 0.3996, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612255
Question: South Park: Trump x Satan baby is female?
Volume: 4120.796423
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.1750
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.1750
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.1750
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.1750
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.1750
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.1750
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.1750
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.1750
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.1750
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.1750
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.8250
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.1750
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.1750
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.1750
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.1750
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.1750
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.1750
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.1750
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.1750
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.1750
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 27.78, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1800, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.1800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612255
Question: South Park: Trump x Satan baby is female?
Volume: 4120.796423
Price History:
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 55.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1800, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.1800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612255
Question: South Park: Trump x Satan baby is female?
Volume: 4120.796423
Price History:
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.8250
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.8250
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.8250
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.8250
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.8250
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.8250
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.8250
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.8250
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.8250
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.8250
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.8250
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.1750
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 158.67, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.2867, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612255
Question: South Park: Trump x Satan baby is female?
Volume: 4120.796423
Price History:
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.8250
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.8250
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 30.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8300, Price range: 0.8300 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612255
Question: South Park: Trump x Satan baby is female?
Volume: 4120.796423
Price History:
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.8250
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.8250
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.8250
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.8250
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.8250
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.1750
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.8250
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 44.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1800, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.1800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612255
Question: South Park: Trump x Satan baby is female?
Volume: 4120.796423
Price History:
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.8250
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.8250
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.1750
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.1750
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.1750
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.8250
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 61.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612255
Question: South Park: Trump x Satan baby is female?
Volume: 4120.796423
Price History:
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 3.61, Sell volume: 2.35, Average price: 0.5660, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612255
Question: South Park: Trump x Satan baby is female?
Volume: 4120.796423
Price History:
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.8250
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 14.73, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612255
Question: South Park: Trump x Satan baby is female?
Volume: 4120.796423
Price History:
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 43.13, Average price: 0.8200, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612255
Question: South Park: Trump x Satan baby is female?
Volume: 4120.796423
Price History:
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1800, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.1800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612255
Question: South Park: Trump x Satan baby is female?
Volume: 4120.796423
Price History:
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1800, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.1800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612255
Question: South Park: Trump x Satan baby is female?
Volume: 4120.796423
Price History:
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.1800
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.1800
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.8200
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.1900
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.1900
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.1150
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.8550
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.8600
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.1350
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.1300
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 2712.56, Sell volume: 310.46, Average price: 0.7374, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.2550
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.7450
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.2500
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.7500
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.2500
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.7500
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.2500
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.7500
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.2500
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.7500
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.1150
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.8850
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.1150
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.8850
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.1150
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.8850
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.1150
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.8850
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.1150
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.8850
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.1150
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.8850
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.0750
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0800
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0800
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.9200
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0800
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.9200
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.0700
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.9300
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0700
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9300
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0700
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9300
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0600
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0600
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.9400
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0600
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.9400
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0600
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.9400
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0600
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.9400
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0600
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.9400
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0600
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.9400
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.5200
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.4800
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.5900
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.4100
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.5400
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.4600
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.5850
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.4150
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.5150
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.4850
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.5950
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.4050
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.5050
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.4950
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.5450
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.4550
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.5850
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.4650
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.5350
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.4900
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.5100
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.5300
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.4700
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.6000
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.4000
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.5200
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.4800
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.5450
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.4550
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.6200
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.3800
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.4850
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.5150
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.4950
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.5050
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.5950
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.4050
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.4800
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.5200
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.4650
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.5350
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.4500
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.4450
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.5550
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.4450
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.5550
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.4500
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.5500
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.4700
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.5300
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.4600
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.5400
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.4600
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.5400
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.4800
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.5200
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.5500
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.4500
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.4250
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.5750
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.4400
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.5600
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.4500
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.5500
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.4650
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.5350
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.3650
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.3650
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.6350
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.3600
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.6400
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.3600
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.6400
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.3850
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.6150
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.4050
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.5950
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.4250
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.5750
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.3800
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.6200
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.3700
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.6300
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.3850
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.6150
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.4950
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.5050
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.5850
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.4150
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.5550
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.5500
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.4500
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.5600
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.4400
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.4950
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.5050
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.3850
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.6150
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.3650
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.6350
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.5650
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.4350
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.5750
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.4250
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.6150
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.3850
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.5550
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.4450
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.5850
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.4150
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.6550
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.3450
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.4550
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.5450
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.4200
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.5400
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.4600
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.5300
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.4700
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.4150
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.5850
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.3600
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.6400
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.3600
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.6400
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.3600
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.6400
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.3500
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.6500
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.3450
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.6550
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.3150
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.6850
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.3300
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.6700
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.4100
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.5900
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.4050
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.5950
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.4050
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.5950
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.4050
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.5950
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.4050
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.5950
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.4050
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.5950
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.4050
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.5950
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.4000
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.6000
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.4200
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.5800
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.4200
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.5800
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.3750
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.6250
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.6150
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.2550
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.7450
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.2500
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.7500
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.2500
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.7500
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.2500
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.7500
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.2500
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.7500
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.1150
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.8850
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.1150
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.8850
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.1150
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.8850
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.1150
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.8850
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.1150
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.8850
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.1150
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.8850
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.0750
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0800
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0800
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.9200
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0800
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.9200
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.0700
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.9300
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0700
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9300
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0700
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9300
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0600
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0600
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.9400
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0600
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.9400
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0600
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.9400
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0600
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.9400
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0600
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.9400
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0600
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.9400
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.9450
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0550
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0550
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.9450
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.9400
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0600
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0600
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.9400
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.5200
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.4800
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.5900
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.4100
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.5400
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.4600
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.5850
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.4150
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.5150
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.4850
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.5950
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.4050
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.5050
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.4950
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.5450
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.4550
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.5850
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.4650
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.5350
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.4900
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.5100
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.5300
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.4700
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.6000
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.4000
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.5200
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.4800
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.5450
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.4550
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.6200
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.3800
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.4850
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.5150
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.4950
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.5050
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.5950
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.4050
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.4800
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.5200
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.4650
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.5350
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.4500
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.4450
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.5550
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.4450
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.5550
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.4500
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.5500
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.4700
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.5300
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.4600
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.5400
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.4600
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.5400
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.4800
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.5200
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.5500
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.4500
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.4250
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.5750
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.4400
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.5600
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.4500
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.5500
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.4650
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.5350
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.3650
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.3650
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.6350
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.3600
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.6400
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.3600
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.6400
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.3850
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.6150
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.4050
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.5950
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.4250
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.5750
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.3800
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.6200
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.3700
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.6300
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.3850
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.6150
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.4950
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.5050
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.5850
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.4150
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.5050
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.4950
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.5550
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.5500
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.4500
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.5600
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.4400
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.4950
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.5050
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.3850
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.6150
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.3650
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.6350
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.5650
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.4350
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.5750
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.4250
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.6150
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.3850
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.5550
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.4450
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.5850
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.4150
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.6550
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.3450
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.4550
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.5450
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.4200
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.5400
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.4600
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.5300
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.4700
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.4150
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.5850
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.3600
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.6400
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.3600
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.6400
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.3600
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.6400
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.3500
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.6500
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.3450
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.6550
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.3150
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.6850
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523304
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4697.757063
Price History:
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.3300
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.6700
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.4100
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.5900
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.4050
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.5950
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.4050
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.5950
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.4050
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.5950
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.4050
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.5950
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.4050
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.5950
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.4050
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.5950
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.4000
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.6000
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.4200
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.5800
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.4200
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.5800
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.3750
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.6250
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.6150
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.2600
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.7400
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.2700
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.7300
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.2700
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.7300
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.2600
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.7400
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.1100
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.8900
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.1150
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.8850
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.1400
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.8600
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.1650
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.8350
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.1600
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.8400
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.1600
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.8400
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.1600
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.8400
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.1600
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.8400
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.1600
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.1600
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.8400
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.1600
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.8400
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.1600
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.8400
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.1600
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.8400
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.1650
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.8350
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.1650
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.8350
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.1650
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.8350
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1650
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8350
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.1650
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.8350
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.1650
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.8350
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.1650
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.8350
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.1450
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.8550
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.1450
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.1450
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.8550
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.1450
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.8550
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.1400
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.1400
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.1400
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.1400
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.1350
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.8650
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.1400
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.1400
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.1400
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.1350
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.8650
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.1350
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.8650
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.1400
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0800
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.9200
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0800
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.9200
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.1150
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.8850
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.1150
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.8850
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.1100
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.1200
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.8800
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.1150
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.8850
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.1200
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.8800
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.1150
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.8850
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.1150
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.8850
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.1200
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.8800
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.1200
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.8800
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.1200
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.8800
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.1150
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.8850
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.1150
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.8850
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.1150
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.8850
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.1150
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.8850
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.1150
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.1150
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.8850
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.1150
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.8850
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.1150
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.8850
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.1150
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.8850
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.1100
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.8900
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.1100
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.8900
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.1050
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.8950
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.1100
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.8900
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.1100
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.8900
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.1050
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.8950
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.1100
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.8900
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.1050
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.8950
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.1050
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.1100
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.8900
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.1100
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.8900
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.1050
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.8950
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.1100
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.8900
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.1100
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.8900
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.1100
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.8900
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.1050
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.8950
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.1050
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.8950
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.1050
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.8950
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.1050
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.8950
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.1000
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.9000
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.1000
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.9000
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.1000
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.1000
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.9000
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.1000
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9000
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.1000
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.9000
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.1000
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.9000
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.1000
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.9000
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.1000
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.9000
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0950
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.9050
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0950
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.9050
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0950
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.9050
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0950
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.9050
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.0950
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.9050
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.0950
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.9050
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0950
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.0950
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.9050
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0400
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.9600
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0450
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.9550
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0320
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.9680
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.0420
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.9580
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0275
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.9725
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0540
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.9460
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.0435
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.9565
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0550
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.0550
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.0550
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.0550
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.0550
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.0550
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0550
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.0550
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0665
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.9335
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0610
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.9390
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0555
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.9445
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0555
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.9445
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0555
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.9445
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.0555
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.9445
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0555
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.9445
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.0555
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9445
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0550
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0540
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.9460
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0545
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9455
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0565
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.9435
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0565
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.9435
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0560
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.9440
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0565
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.9435
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0570
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.9430
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0560
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.9440
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.0570
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.9430
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0540
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.9460
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0530
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9470
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0525
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.9475
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0525
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9475
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0530
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9470
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0520
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.9480
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0505
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.9495
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0515
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9485
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0505
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.9495
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0505
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.9495
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0510
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9490
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0530
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.9470
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0530
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.9470
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.0530
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.9470
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0510
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.9490
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0505
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.9495
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0490
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.9510
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0505
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.9495
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0510
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.9490
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0515
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.9485
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0500
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.9500
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0510
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.9490
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0515
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.9485
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0530
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.9470
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0515
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.9485
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0530
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9470
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0530
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.9470
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0530
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.9470
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0520
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.9480
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.0530
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.9470
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0530
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.9470
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.2600
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.7400
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.2700
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.7300
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.2700
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.7300
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.2600
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.7400
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.1100
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.8900
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.1150
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.8850
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.1400
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.8600
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.1650
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.8350
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.1600
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.8400
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.1600
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.8400
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.1600
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.8400
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.1600
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.8400
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.1600
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.1600
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.8400
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.1600
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.8400
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.1600
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.8400
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.1600
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.8400
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.1650
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.8350
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.1650
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.8350
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.1650
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.8350
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1650
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8350
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.1650
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.8350
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.1650
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.8350
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.1650
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.8350
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.1450
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.8550
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.1450
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.1450
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.8550
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.1450
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.8550
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.1400
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.1400
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.1400
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.1400
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.1350
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.8650
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.1400
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.1400
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.1400
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.1350
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.8650
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.1350
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.8650
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.1400
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0800
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.9200
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0800
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.9200
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.1150
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.8850
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.1150
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.8850
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.1100
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.1200
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.8800
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.1150
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.8850
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.1200
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.8800
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.1150
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.8850
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.1150
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.8850
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.1200
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.8800
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.1200
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.8800
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.1200
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.8800
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.1150
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.8850
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.1150
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.8850
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.1150
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.8850
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.1150
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.8850
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.1150
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.1150
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.8850
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.1150
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.8850
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.1150
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.8850
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.1150
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.8850
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.1100
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.8900
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.1100
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.8900
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.1050
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.8950
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.1100
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.8900
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.1100
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.8900
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.1050
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.8950
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.1100
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.8900
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.1050
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.8950
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.1050
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.1100
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.8900
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.1100
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.8900
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.1050
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.8950
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.1100
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.8900
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.1100
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.8900
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.1100
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.8900
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.1050
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.8950
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.1050
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.8950
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.1050
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.8950
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.1050
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.8950
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.1000
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.9000
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.1000
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.9000
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.1000
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.1000
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.9000
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.1000
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9000
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.1000
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.9000
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.1000
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.9000
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.1000
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.9000
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.1000
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.9000
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0950
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.9050
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0950
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.9050
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0950
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.9050
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0950
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.9050
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.0950
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.9050
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.0950
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.9050
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0950
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.0950
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.9050
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0400
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.9600
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0450
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.9550
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0320
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.9680
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.0420
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.9580
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0275
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.9725
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0540
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.9460
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.0435
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.9565
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0550
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.0550
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.0550
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.0550
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.0550
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.0550
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0550
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.0550
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0665
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.9335
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0610
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.9390
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0555
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.9445
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0555
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.9445
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0555
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.9445
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.0555
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.9445
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0555
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.9445
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.0555
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9445
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0550
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.9450
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0540
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.9460
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0545
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9455
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0565
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.9435
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0565
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.9435
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0560
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.9440
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0565
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.9435
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0570
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.9430
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0560
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.9440
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.0570
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.9430
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0540
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.9460
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0530
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9470
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0525
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.9475
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0525
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9475
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0530
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9470
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0520
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.9480
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0505
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.9495
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0515
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9485
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0505
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.9495
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0505
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.9495
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0510
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9490
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0530
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.9470
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0530
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.9470
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.0530
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.9470
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0510
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.9490
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0505
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.9495
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0490
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.9510
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0505
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.9495
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523165
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say God 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4119.62395
Price History:
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0510
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.9490
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0515
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.9485
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0500
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.9500
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0510
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.9490
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0515
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.9485
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0530
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.9470
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0515
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.9485
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0530
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9470
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0530
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.9470
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0530
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.9470
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0520
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.9480
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.0530
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.9470
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0530
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.9470
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.5500
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.4500
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.5750
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.4250
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.6700
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.3300
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.7300
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.2700
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.6500
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.3500
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.7600
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.2400
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.7600
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.2400
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.7700
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.2300
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.7650
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.2350
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.7650
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.2350
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.7650
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.2350
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.7650
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.2350
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.7650
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.7700
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.2300
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.7700
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.2300
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.8450
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.1550
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.8450
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.1550
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.8500
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.1500
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.8500
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.1500
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.8500
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.1500
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8200
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1800
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.8100
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.1900
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.8100
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.1900
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.8150
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.1850
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.8100
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.8100
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.1900
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.8200
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.1800
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.8500
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.1500
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.8450
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.1550
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.8500
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.1500
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.8500
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.1500
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.8500
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.1500
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.8500
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.1500
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.8500
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.1500
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.8500
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.1500
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.1400
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.8950
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.1050
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.8950
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.1050
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.8950
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.1050
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9000
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.1000
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.8050
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.1950
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.8100
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.1900
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.8100
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.1900
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.8100
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.1900
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.8200
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.1800
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.8150
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.1850
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.8200
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.8250
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.8200
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.1800
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.7900
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.2100
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.7900
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.2100
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.7900
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.2100
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.7900
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.2100
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.7900
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.2100
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.8000
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.2000
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.8000
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.2000
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.8050
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.1950
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.8050
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.1950
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.8000
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.2000
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.8500
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.8500
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.1500
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.8500
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.1500
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.8500
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.1500
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.8650
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.8600
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.1400
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.8550
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.1450
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.8550
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.1450
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.8400
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.1600
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.8400
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.1600
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.8400
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.1600
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.8400
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.1600
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.8300
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.1700
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.8350
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.8350
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.1650
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.8350
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.1650
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.8200
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.1800
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.8200
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.1800
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.8250
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.1750
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.8250
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.1750
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.8250
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.1750
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.8250
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.1750
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.8200
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.1800
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.8200
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.1800
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.8200
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.1800
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.8200
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.1800
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.8200
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.1800
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.8200
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.8300
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.1700
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.8400
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.1600
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.8300
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.1700
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.8350
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.1650
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.8200
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.1800
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.8200
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.1800
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.8200
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.1800
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.8200
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.1800
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.8200
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.1800
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.8200
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.1800
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.8200
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.1800
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.8200
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.1800
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.8350
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.8400
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.1600
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.8400
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.1600
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.8400
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.1600
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.8550
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.1450
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.8600
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.1400
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.8600
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.1400
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.8650
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.1350
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.8600
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.1400
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.8550
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.1450
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.8600
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.1400
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.8550
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.1450
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.8600
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.1400
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.8550
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.8600
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.1400
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.8550
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.1450
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.8550
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.1450
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.8550
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.1450
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.9000
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.1000
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.9050
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0950
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.8800
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.1200
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.8800
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.1200
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.8700
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.1300
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.8650
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.1350
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.9100
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0900
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.8850
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.1150
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9050
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.8950
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.1050
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.9150
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0850
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9150
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0850
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.9150
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0850
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.9150
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0850
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9150
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0850
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.8850
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.1150
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.8850
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.1150
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.8900
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.1100
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.9000
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.1000
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.9000
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.1000
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.9000
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.1000
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.9050
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.9050
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0950
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.9050
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0950
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.8550
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.1450
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.8700
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.1300
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.8050
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.1950
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.8600
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.1400
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.8900
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.1100
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.8600
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.1400
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.8600
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.1400
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.8600
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.1400
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.7650
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.2350
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.9000
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.1000
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.8900
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.5500
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.4500
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.5750
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.4250
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.6700
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.3300
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.7300
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.2700
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.6500
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.3500
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.7600
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.2400
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.7600
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.2400
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.7700
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.2300
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.7650
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.2350
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.7650
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.2350
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.7650
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.2350
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.7650
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.2350
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.7650
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.7700
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.2300
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.7700
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.2300
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.8450
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.1550
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.8450
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.1550
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.8500
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.1500
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.8500
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.1500
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.8500
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.1500
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8200
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1800
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.8250
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.8100
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.1900
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.8100
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.1900
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.8150
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.1850
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.8100
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.8100
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.1900
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.8200
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.1800
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.8500
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.1500
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.8450
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.1550
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.8500
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.1500
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.8500
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.1500
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.8500
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.1500
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.8500
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.1500
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.8500
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.1500
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.8500
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.1500
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.1400
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.8950
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.1050
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.8950
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.1050
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.8950
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.1050
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9000
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.1000
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.8050
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.1950
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.8100
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.1900
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.8100
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.1900
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.8100
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.1900
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.8200
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.1800
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.8300
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.8150
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.1850
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.8200
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.8250
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.8200
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.1800
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.7900
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.2100
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.7900
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.2100
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.7900
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.2100
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.7900
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.2100
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.7900
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.2100
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.8000
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.2000
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.8000
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.2000
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.8050
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.1950
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.8050
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.1950
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.8000
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.2000
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.8500
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.8500
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.1500
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.8500
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.1500
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.8500
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.1500
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.8650
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.8600
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.1400
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.8550
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.1450
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.8550
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.1450
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.8400
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.1600
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.8400
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.1600
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.8400
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.1600
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.8400
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.1600
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.8300
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.1700
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.8350
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.8350
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.1650
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.8350
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.1650
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.8200
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.1800
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.8200
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.1800
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.8250
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.1750
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.8250
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.1750
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.8150
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.1850
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.8250
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.1750
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.8250
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.1750
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.8200
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.1800
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.8200
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.1800
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.8200
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.1800
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.8200
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.1800
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.8200
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.1800
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.8200
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.8300
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.1700
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.8400
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.1600
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.8300
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.1700
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.8350
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.1650
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.8200
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.1800
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.8200
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.1800
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.8200
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.1800
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.8200
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.1800
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.8200
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.1800
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.8200
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.1800
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.8200
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.1800
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.8200
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.1800
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.8350
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.8400
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.1600
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.8400
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.1600
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.8400
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.1600
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.8550
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.1450
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.8600
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.1400
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.8600
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.1400
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.8650
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.1350
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.8600
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.1400
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.8550
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.1450
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.8600
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.1400
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.8550
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.1450
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.8600
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.1400
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.8550
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.8600
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.1400
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.8550
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.1450
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.8550
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.1450
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.8550
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.1450
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.9000
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.1000
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.9050
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0950
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.8800
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.1200
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.8800
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.1200
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.8700
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.1300
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.8650
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.1350
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.9100
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0900
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.8850
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.1150
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9050
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.8950
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.1050
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.9150
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0850
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9150
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0850
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.9150
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0850
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.9150
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0850
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9150
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0850
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.8850
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.1150
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.8850
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.1150
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.8900
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.1100
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.9000
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.1000
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.9000
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.1000
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.9000
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.1000
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.9050
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523156
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4308.379633
Price History:
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.9050
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0950
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.9050
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0950
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.8550
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.1450
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.8700
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.1300
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.8050
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.1950
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.8600
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.1400
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.8900
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.1100
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.8600
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.1400
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.8600
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.1400
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.8600
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.1400
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.7650
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.2350
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.9000
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.1000
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.8900
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes