Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-01-27 02:00: 0.9955
2024-01-27 09:00: 0.0045
2024-01-27 15:00: 0.9945
2024-01-27 22:00: 0.0055
2024-01-28 04:00: 0.9945
2024-01-28 11:00: 0.0055
2024-01-28 17:00: 0.9945
2024-01-29 00:00: 0.0055
2024-01-29 06:00: 0.9945
2024-01-29 13:00: 0.0055
2024-01-29 19:00: 0.9945
2024-01-30 02:00: 0.0055
2024-01-30 08:00: 0.9945
2024-01-30 15:00: 0.0055
2024-01-30 21:00: 0.9945
2024-01-31 04:00: 0.0060
2024-01-31 10:00: 0.9940
2024-01-31 17:00: 0.0060
2024-01-31 23:00: 0.9940
2024-02-01 06:00: 0.0060
2024-02-01 12:00: 0.9940
2024-02-01 19:00: 0.0060
2024-02-02 01:00: 0.9940
2024-02-02 08:00: 0.0060
2024-02-02 14:00: 0.9940
2024-02-02 21:00: 0.0065
2024-02-03 03:00: 0.9945
2024-02-03 10:00: 0.0055
2024-02-03 16:00: 0.9945
2024-02-03 23:00: 0.0055
2024-02-04 05:00: 0.9945
2024-02-04 12:00: 0.0055
2024-02-04 18:00: 0.9945
2024-02-05 01:00: 0.0055
2024-02-05 07:00: 0.9945
2024-02-05 14:00: 0.0055
2024-02-05 20:00: 0.9945
2024-02-06 03:00: 0.0055
2024-02-06 09:00: 0.9945
2024-02-06 16:00: 0.0055
2024-02-06 22:00: 0.9945
2024-02-07 05:00: 0.0055
2024-02-07 11:00: 0.9945
2024-02-07 18:00: 0.0055
2024-02-08 00:00: 0.9945
2024-02-08 07:00: 0.0055
2024-02-08 13:00: 0.9945
2024-02-08 20:00: 0.0055
2024-02-09 02:00: 0.9945
2024-02-09 09:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-02-10 08:00: 0.0050
2024-02-10 14:00: 0.9950
2024-02-10 21:00: 0.0050
2024-02-11 03:00: 0.9950
2024-02-11 10:00: 0.0050
2024-02-11 16:00: 0.9950
2024-02-11 23:00: 0.0050
2024-02-12 05:00: 0.9950
2024-02-12 12:00: 0.0050
2024-02-12 18:00: 0.9950
2024-02-13 01:00: 0.0050
2024-02-13 07:00: 0.9950
2024-02-13 14:00: 0.0050
2024-02-13 20:00: 0.9950
2024-02-14 03:00: 0.0050
2024-02-14 09:00: 0.9950
2024-02-14 16:00: 0.0050
2024-02-14 22:00: 0.9950
2024-02-15 05:00: 0.0050
2024-02-15 11:00: 0.9950
2024-02-15 18:00: 0.0050
2024-02-16 00:00: 0.9950
2024-02-16 07:00: 0.0050
2024-02-16 13:00: 0.9950
2024-02-16 20:00: 0.0055
2024-02-17 02:00: 0.9950
2024-02-17 09:00: 0.0050
2024-02-17 15:00: 0.9950
2024-02-17 22:00: 0.0050
2024-02-18 04:00: 0.9950
2024-02-18 11:00: 0.0050
2024-02-18 17:00: 0.9945
2024-02-19 00:00: 0.0055
2024-02-19 06:00: 0.9945
2024-02-19 13:00: 0.0055
2024-02-19 19:00: 0.9945
2024-02-20 02:00: 0.0055
2024-02-20 08:00: 0.9945
2024-02-20 15:00: 0.0055
2024-02-20 21:00: 0.9945
2024-02-21 04:00: 0.0055
2024-02-21 10:00: 0.9945
2024-02-21 17:00: 0.0055
2024-02-21 23:00: 0.9945
2024-02-22 06:00: 0.0055
2024-02-22 12:00: 0.9945
2024-02-22 19:00: 0.0055
2024-02-23 01:00: 0.9945
2024-02-23 08:00: 0.0055
2024-02-23 14:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-02-24 13:00: 0.9945
2024-02-24 20:00: 0.0055
2024-02-25 02:00: 0.9945
2024-02-25 09:00: 0.0055
2024-02-25 15:00: 0.9945
2024-02-25 22:00: 0.0055
2024-02-26 04:00: 0.9945
2024-02-26 11:00: 0.0055
2024-02-26 17:00: 0.9945
2024-02-27 00:00: 0.0055
2024-02-27 06:00: 0.9945
2024-02-27 13:00: 0.0055
2024-02-27 19:00: 0.9945
2024-02-28 02:00: 0.0055
2024-02-28 08:00: 0.9945
2024-02-28 15:00: 0.0055
2024-02-28 21:00: 0.9945
2024-02-29 04:00: 0.0055
2024-02-29 10:00: 0.9945
2024-02-29 17:00: 0.0055
2024-02-29 23:00: 0.9945
2024-03-01 06:00: 0.0055
2024-03-01 12:00: 0.9945
2024-03-01 19:00: 0.0055
2024-03-02 01:00: 0.9945
2024-03-02 08:00: 0.0050
2024-03-02 14:00: 0.9945
2024-03-02 21:00: 0.0055
2024-03-03 03:00: 0.9945
2024-03-03 10:00: 0.0055
2024-03-03 16:00: 0.9945
2024-03-03 23:00: 0.0055
2024-03-04 05:00: 0.9945
2024-03-04 12:00: 0.0055
2024-03-04 18:00: 0.9945
2024-03-05 01:00: 0.0055
2024-03-05 07:00: 0.9945
2024-03-05 14:00: 0.0055
2024-03-05 20:00: 0.9945
2024-03-06 03:00: 0.0055
2024-03-06 09:00: 0.9945
2024-03-06 16:00: 0.0055
2024-03-06 22:00: 0.9945
2024-03-07 05:00: 0.0055
2024-03-07 11:00: 0.9945
2024-03-07 18:00: 0.0060
2024-03-08 00:00: 0.9945
2024-03-08 07:00: 0.0055
2024-03-08 13:00: 0.9945
2024-03-08 20:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-03-09 19:00: 0.0060
2024-03-10 01:00: 0.9940
2024-03-10 09:00: 0.0060
2024-03-10 15:00: 0.9940
2024-03-10 22:00: 0.0060
2024-03-11 04:00: 0.9945
2024-03-11 11:00: 0.0055
2024-03-11 17:00: 0.9940
2024-03-12 00:00: 0.0060
2024-03-12 06:00: 0.9940
2024-03-12 13:00: 0.0060
2024-03-12 19:00: 0.9940
2024-03-13 02:00: 0.0060
2024-03-13 08:00: 0.9940
2024-03-13 15:00: 0.0060
2024-03-13 21:00: 0.9940
2024-03-14 04:00: 0.0060
2024-03-14 10:00: 0.9940
2024-03-14 17:00: 0.0060
2024-03-14 23:00: 0.9940
2024-03-15 06:00: 0.0060
2024-03-15 12:00: 0.9940
2024-03-15 19:00: 0.0055
2024-03-16 01:00: 0.9945
2024-03-16 08:00: 0.0055
2024-03-16 14:00: 0.9945
2024-03-16 21:00: 0.0055
2024-03-17 03:00: 0.9945
2024-03-17 10:00: 0.0055
2024-03-17 16:00: 0.9945
2024-03-17 23:00: 0.0055
2024-03-18 05:00: 0.9945
2024-03-18 12:00: 0.0055
2024-03-18 18:00: 0.9945
2024-03-19 01:00: 0.0055
2024-03-19 07:00: 0.9945
2024-03-19 14:00: 0.0055
2024-03-19 20:00: 0.9945
2024-03-20 03:00: 0.0055
2024-03-20 09:00: 0.9945
2024-03-20 16:00: 0.0055
2024-03-20 22:00: 0.9945
2024-03-21 05:00: 0.0055
2024-03-21 11:00: 0.9945
2024-03-21 18:00: 0.0055
2024-03-22 00:00: 0.9945
2024-03-22 07:00: 0.0055
2024-03-22 13:00: 0.9945
2024-03-22 20:00: 0.0055
2024-03-23 02:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-03-24 01:00: 0.9945
2024-03-24 08:00: 0.0055
2024-03-24 14:00: 0.9945
2024-03-24 21:00: 0.0055
2024-03-25 03:00: 0.9945
2024-03-25 10:00: 0.0055
2024-03-25 16:00: 0.9945
2024-03-25 23:00: 0.0055
2024-03-26 05:00: 0.9945
2024-03-26 12:00: 0.0055
2024-03-26 18:00: 0.9945
2024-03-27 01:00: 0.0055
2024-03-27 07:00: 0.9945
2024-03-27 14:00: 0.0055
2024-03-27 20:00: 0.9945
2024-03-28 03:00: 0.0050
2024-03-28 09:00: 0.9950
2024-03-28 16:00: 0.0050
2024-03-28 22:00: 0.9950
2024-03-29 05:00: 0.0050
2024-03-29 11:00: 0.9950
2024-03-29 18:00: 0.0045
2024-03-30 00:00: 0.9955
2024-03-30 07:00: 0.0045
2024-03-30 13:00: 0.9955
2024-03-30 20:00: 0.0045
2024-03-31 02:00: 0.9955
2024-03-31 09:00: 0.0045
2024-03-31 15:00: 0.9955
2024-03-31 22:00: 0.0045
2024-04-01 04:00: 0.9955
2024-04-01 11:00: 0.0045
2024-04-01 17:00: 0.9955
2024-04-02 00:00: 0.0045
2024-04-02 06:00: 0.9955
2024-04-02 13:00: 0.0045
2024-04-02 19:00: 0.9955
2024-04-03 02:00: 0.0045
2024-04-03 08:00: 0.9955
2024-04-03 15:00: 0.0045
2024-04-03 21:00: 0.9955
2024-04-04 04:00: 0.0045
2024-04-04 10:00: 0.9955
2024-04-04 17:00: 0.0045
2024-04-04 23:00: 0.9955
2024-04-05 06:00: 0.0045
2024-04-05 12:00: 0.9955
2024-04-05 19:00: 0.0045
2024-04-06 01:00: 0.9955
2024-04-06 08:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-04-07 07:00: 0.0045
2024-04-07 13:00: 0.9955
2024-04-07 20:00: 0.0045
2024-04-08 02:00: 0.9955
2024-04-08 09:00: 0.0045
2024-04-08 15:00: 0.9955
2024-04-08 22:00: 0.0045
2024-04-09 04:00: 0.9955
2024-04-09 11:00: 0.0045
2024-04-09 17:00: 0.9955
2024-04-10 00:00: 0.0045
2024-04-10 06:00: 0.9955
2024-04-10 13:00: 0.0045
2024-04-10 19:00: 0.9955
2024-04-11 02:00: 0.0045
2024-04-11 08:00: 0.9955
2024-04-11 15:00: 0.0045
2024-04-11 21:00: 0.9955
2024-04-12 04:00: 0.0045
2024-04-12 10:00: 0.9955
2024-04-12 17:00: 0.0045
2024-04-12 23:00: 0.9955
2024-04-13 06:00: 0.0045
2024-04-13 12:00: 0.9955
2024-04-13 19:00: 0.0045
2024-04-14 01:00: 0.9955
2024-04-14 08:00: 0.0045
2024-04-14 14:00: 0.9955
2024-04-14 21:00: 0.0045
2024-04-15 03:00: 0.9955
2024-04-15 10:00: 0.0045
2024-04-15 16:00: 0.9955
2024-04-15 23:00: 0.0045
2024-04-16 05:00: 0.9955
2024-04-16 12:00: 0.0045
2024-04-16 18:00: 0.9955
2024-04-17 01:00: 0.0045
2024-04-17 07:00: 0.9955
2024-04-17 14:00: 0.0045
2024-04-17 20:00: 0.9955
2024-04-18 03:00: 0.0045
2024-04-18 09:00: 0.9955
2024-04-18 16:00: 0.0045
2024-04-18 22:00: 0.9955
2024-04-19 05:00: 0.0045
2024-04-19 11:00: 0.9955
2024-04-19 18:00: 0.0045
2024-04-20 00:00: 0.9955
2024-04-20 07:00: 0.0045
2024-04-20 13:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-04-21 12:00: 0.9955
2024-04-21 19:00: 0.0045
2024-04-22 01:00: 0.9955
2024-04-22 08:00: 0.0045
2024-04-22 14:00: 0.9955
2024-04-22 21:00: 0.0045
2024-04-23 03:00: 0.9955
2024-04-23 10:00: 0.0045
2024-04-23 16:00: 0.9955
2024-04-23 23:00: 0.0045
2024-04-24 05:00: 0.9955
2024-04-24 12:00: 0.0045
2024-04-24 18:00: 0.9955
2024-04-25 01:00: 0.0045
2024-04-25 07:00: 0.9955
2024-04-25 14:00: 0.0045
2024-04-25 20:00: 0.9955
2024-04-26 03:00: 0.0045
2024-04-26 09:00: 0.9955
2024-04-26 16:00: 0.0045
2024-04-26 22:00: 0.9955
2024-04-27 05:00: 0.0045
2024-04-27 11:00: 0.9955
2024-04-27 18:00: 0.0045
2024-04-28 00:00: 0.9955
2024-04-28 07:00: 0.0045
2024-04-28 13:00: 0.9955
2024-04-28 20:00: 0.0045
2024-04-29 02:00: 0.9955
2024-04-29 09:00: 0.0045
2024-04-29 15:00: 0.9955
2024-04-29 22:00: 0.0045
2024-04-30 04:00: 0.9955
2024-04-30 11:00: 0.0045
2024-04-30 17:00: 0.9955
2024-05-01 00:00: 0.0045
2024-05-01 06:00: 0.9955
2024-05-01 13:00: 0.0045
2024-05-01 20:00: 0.9955
2024-05-02 03:00: 0.0045
2024-05-02 09:00: 0.9955
2024-05-02 16:00: 0.0045
2024-05-02 22:00: 0.9955
2024-05-03 05:00: 0.0045
2024-05-03 11:00: 0.9955
2024-05-03 18:00: 0.0045
2024-05-04 00:00: 0.9955
2024-05-04 07:00: 0.0045
2024-05-04 13:00: 0.9955
2024-05-04 20:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-05-05 19:00: 0.0045
2024-05-06 01:00: 0.9955
2024-05-06 08:00: 0.0045
2024-05-06 14:00: 0.9955
2024-05-06 21:00: 0.0045
2024-05-07 03:00: 0.9955
2024-05-07 10:00: 0.0045
2024-05-07 16:00: 0.9955
2024-05-07 23:00: 0.0045
2024-05-08 05:00: 0.9955
2024-05-08 12:00: 0.0045
2024-05-08 18:00: 0.9955
2024-05-09 01:00: 0.0045
2024-05-09 07:00: 0.9955
2024-05-09 14:00: 0.0045
2024-05-09 20:00: 0.9955
2024-05-10 03:00: 0.0045
2024-05-10 09:00: 0.9955
2024-05-10 16:00: 0.0045
2024-05-10 22:00: 0.9955
2024-05-11 05:00: 0.0045
2024-05-11 11:00: 0.9955
2024-05-11 18:00: 0.0045
2024-05-12 00:00: 0.9955
2024-05-12 07:00: 0.0045
2024-05-12 13:00: 0.9955
2024-05-12 20:00: 0.0045
2024-05-13 02:00: 0.9955
2024-05-13 09:00: 0.0045
2024-05-13 15:00: 0.9955
2024-05-13 22:00: 0.0045
2024-05-14 04:00: 0.9960
2024-05-14 11:00: 0.0035
2024-05-14 17:00: 0.9965
2024-05-15 00:00: 0.0035
2024-05-15 06:00: 0.9965
2024-05-15 13:00: 0.0035
2024-05-15 19:00: 0.9965
2024-05-16 02:00: 0.0035
2024-05-16 08:00: 0.9965
2024-05-16 15:00: 0.0035
2024-05-16 21:00: 0.9965
2024-05-17 04:00: 0.0035
2024-05-17 10:00: 0.9965
2024-05-17 17:00: 0.0035
2024-05-17 23:00: 0.9965
2024-05-18 06:00: 0.0035
2024-05-18 12:00: 0.9965
2024-05-18 19:00: 0.0035
2024-05-19 01:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-05-20 00:00: 0.9965
2024-05-20 07:00: 0.0035
2024-05-20 13:00: 0.9965
2024-05-20 20:00: 0.0035
2024-05-21 02:00: 0.9965
2024-05-21 09:00: 0.0035
2024-05-21 15:00: 0.9965
2024-05-21 22:00: 0.0040
2024-05-22 04:00: 0.9960
2024-05-22 11:00: 0.0040
2024-05-22 17:00: 0.9960
2024-05-23 00:00: 0.0040
2024-05-23 06:00: 0.9960
2024-05-23 13:00: 0.0040
2024-05-23 19:00: 0.9960
2024-05-24 02:00: 0.0040
2024-05-24 08:00: 0.9960
2024-05-24 15:00: 0.0040
2024-05-24 21:00: 0.9960
2024-05-25 04:00: 0.0040
2024-05-25 10:00: 0.9960
2024-05-25 17:00: 0.0040
2024-05-25 23:00: 0.9960
2024-05-26 06:00: 0.0040
2024-05-26 12:00: 0.9960
2024-05-26 19:00: 0.0040
2024-05-27 01:00: 0.9960
2024-05-27 08:00: 0.0040
2024-05-27 14:00: 0.9960
2024-05-27 21:00: 0.0040
2024-05-28 03:00: 0.9960
2024-05-28 10:00: 0.0040
2024-05-28 16:00: 0.9960
2024-05-28 23:00: 0.0040
2024-05-29 05:00: 0.9960
2024-05-29 12:00: 0.0045
2024-05-29 18:00: 0.9955
2024-05-30 01:00: 0.0055
2024-05-30 07:00: 0.9960
2024-05-30 14:00: 0.0045
2024-05-30 20:00: 0.9955
2024-05-31 03:00: 0.0045
2024-05-31 09:00: 0.9955
2024-05-31 16:00: 0.0045
2024-05-31 22:00: 0.9950
2024-06-01 05:00: 0.0050
2024-06-01 11:00: 0.9950
2024-06-01 18:00: 0.0050
2024-06-02 00:00: 0.9950
2024-06-02 07:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-06-03 06:00: 0.0050
2024-06-03 12:00: 0.9950
2024-06-03 19:00: 0.0050
2024-06-04 01:00: 0.9950
2024-06-04 08:00: 0.0050
2024-06-04 14:00: 0.9950
2024-06-04 21:00: 0.0050
2024-06-05 03:00: 0.9950
2024-06-05 10:00: 0.0050
2024-06-05 16:00: 0.9950
2024-06-05 23:00: 0.0050
2024-06-06 05:00: 0.9950
2024-06-06 12:00: 0.0050
2024-06-06 18:00: 0.9950
2024-06-07 01:00: 0.0055
2024-06-07 07:00: 0.9945
2024-06-07 14:00: 0.0050
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.9950
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.0050
2024-06-08 09:00: 0.9950
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.0050
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.9950
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.0050
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.9950
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.0050
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.9945
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.0055
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.9945
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.0055
2024-06-11 02:00: 0.9950
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.0045
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.9955
2024-06-11 22:00: 0.0045
2024-06-12 04:00: 0.9960
2024-06-12 11:00: 0.0040
2024-06-12 17:00: 0.9960
2024-06-13 00:00: 0.0040
2024-06-13 06:00: 0.9950
2024-06-13 13:00: 0.0050
2024-06-13 19:00: 0.9955
2024-06-14 02:00: 0.0040
2024-06-14 08:00: 0.9960
2024-06-14 15:00: 0.0040
2024-06-14 21:00: 0.9960
2024-06-15 04:00: 0.0040
2024-06-15 10:00: 0.9960
2024-06-15 17:00: 0.0045
2024-06-15 23:00: 0.9955
2024-06-16 06:00: 0.0045
2024-06-16 12:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.9955
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.0040
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.9960
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.0035
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.9965
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.0035
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.9965
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.0035
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.9965
2024-06-19 22:00: 0.0040
2024-06-20 04:00: 0.9960
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.0040
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.9960
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.0040
2024-06-21 06:00: 0.9960
2024-06-21 13:00: 0.0040
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.9960
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.0040
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.9960
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.0040
2024-06-22 21:00: 0.9960
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.0040
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.9960
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.0040
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.9960
2024-06-24 06:00: 0.0040
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.9960
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.0040
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.9960
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.0040
2024-06-25 14:00: 0.9960
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.0040
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.9960
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.0040
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.9965
2024-06-26 23:00: 0.0035
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.9965
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.0025
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.9975
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.0025
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.9970
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.0030
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.9970
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.0030
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.9970
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.0030
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.9970
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.0030
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.9965
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.0035
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.9965
2024-07-02 06:00: 0.0035
2024-07-02 12:00: 0.9975
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.0040
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.9965
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.0040
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.9960
2024-07-03 21:00: 0.0035
2024-07-04 03:00: 0.9975
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.0030
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.9970
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.0025
2024-07-05 05:00: 0.9970
2024-07-05 12:00: 0.0030
2024-07-05 18:00: 0.9975
2024-07-06 01:00: 0.0030
2024-07-06 07:00: 0.9965
2024-07-06 14:00: 0.0020
2024-07-06 20:00: 0.9980
2024-07-07 03:00: 0.0020
2024-07-07 09:00: 0.9980
2024-07-07 16:00: 0.0020
2024-07-07 22:00: 0.9985
2024-07-08 05:00: 0.0020
2024-07-08 11:00: 0.9975
2024-07-08 18:00: 0.0025
2024-07-09 00:00: 0.9980
2024-07-09 07:00: 0.0020
2024-07-09 13:00: 0.9980
2024-07-09 20:00: 0.0020
2024-07-10 02:00: 0.9980
2024-07-10 09:00: 0.0015
2024-07-10 15:00: 0.9985
2024-07-10 22:00: 0.0015
2024-07-11 04:00: 0.9980
2024-07-11 11:00: 0.0020
2024-07-11 17:00: 0.9975
2024-07-12 00:00: 0.0025
2024-07-12 06:00: 0.9975
2024-07-12 13:00: 0.0025
2024-07-12 19:00: 0.9985
2024-07-13 02:00: 0.0020
2024-07-13 08:00: 0.9980
2024-07-13 15:00: 0.0025
2024-07-13 21:00: 0.9965
2024-07-14 04:00: 0.0020
2024-07-14 10:00: 0.9975
2024-07-14 17:00: 0.0020
2024-07-14 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-01-12 21:00: 0.0500
2024-01-13 08:00: 0.0500
2024-01-13 19:00: 0.0190
2024-01-14 06:00: 0.0190
2024-01-14 17:00: 0.0190
2024-01-15 04:00: 0.0165
2024-01-15 15:00: 0.0180
2024-01-16 02:00: 0.0040
2024-01-16 13:00: 0.0025
2024-01-17 00:00: 0.0025
2024-01-17 11:00: 0.0025
2024-01-17 22:00: 0.0035
2024-01-18 09:00: 0.0035
2024-01-18 20:00: 0.0035
2024-01-19 07:00: 0.0035
2024-01-19 18:00: 0.0035
2024-01-20 05:00: 0.0040
2024-01-20 16:00: 0.0040
2024-01-21 03:00: 0.0040
2024-01-21 14:00: 0.0040
2024-01-22 01:00: 0.0035
2024-01-22 12:00: 0.0035
2024-01-22 23:00: 0.0035
2024-01-23 10:00: 0.0035
2024-01-23 21:00: 0.0035
2024-01-24 08:00: 0.0035
2024-01-24 19:00: 0.0035
2024-01-25 06:00: 0.0045
2024-01-25 17:00: 0.0045
2024-01-26 04:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-01-27 02:00: 0.9955
2024-01-27 13:00: 0.9945
2024-01-28 00:00: 0.9945
2024-01-28 11:00: 0.9945
2024-01-28 22:00: 0.9945
2024-01-29 09:00: 0.9945
2024-01-29 20:00: 0.9945
2024-01-30 07:00: 0.9945
2024-01-30 18:00: 0.9945
2024-01-31 05:00: 0.9940
2024-01-31 16:00: 0.9940
2024-02-01 03:00: 0.9940
2024-02-01 14:00: 0.9940
2024-02-02 01:00: 0.9940
2024-02-02 12:00: 0.9940
2024-02-02 23:00: 0.9945
2024-02-03 10:00: 0.9945
2024-02-03 21:00: 0.9945
2024-02-04 08:00: 0.9945
2024-02-04 19:00: 0.9945
2024-02-05 06:00: 0.9945
2024-02-05 17:00: 0.9945
2024-02-06 04:00: 0.9945
2024-02-06 15:00: 0.9945
2024-02-07 02:00: 0.9945
2024-02-07 13:00: 0.9945
2024-02-08 00:00: 0.9945
2024-02-08 11:00: 0.9945
2024-02-08 22:00: 0.9945
2024-02-09 09:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-02-10 08:00: 0.0050
2024-02-10 19:00: 0.0050
2024-02-11 06:00: 0.0050
2024-02-11 17:00: 0.0050
2024-02-12 04:00: 0.0050
2024-02-12 15:00: 0.0050
2024-02-13 02:00: 0.0050
2024-02-13 13:00: 0.0050
2024-02-14 00:00: 0.0050
2024-02-14 11:00: 0.0050
2024-02-14 22:00: 0.0050
2024-02-15 09:00: 0.0050
2024-02-15 20:00: 0.0050
2024-02-16 07:00: 0.0050
2024-02-16 18:00: 0.0055
2024-02-17 05:00: 0.0050
2024-02-17 16:00: 0.0050
2024-02-18 03:00: 0.0050
2024-02-18 14:00: 0.0050
2024-02-19 01:00: 0.0055
2024-02-19 12:00: 0.0055
2024-02-19 23:00: 0.0055
2024-02-20 10:00: 0.0055
2024-02-20 21:00: 0.0055
2024-02-21 08:00: 0.0055
2024-02-21 19:00: 0.0055
2024-02-22 06:00: 0.0055
2024-02-22 17:00: 0.0055
2024-02-23 04:00: 0.0055
2024-02-23 15:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-02-24 13:00: 0.9945
2024-02-25 00:00: 0.9945
2024-02-25 11:00: 0.9945
2024-02-25 22:00: 0.9945
2024-02-26 09:00: 0.9945
2024-02-26 20:00: 0.9945
2024-02-27 07:00: 0.9945
2024-02-27 18:00: 0.9945
2024-02-28 05:00: 0.9945
2024-02-28 16:00: 0.9945
2024-02-29 03:00: 0.9945
2024-02-29 14:00: 0.9945
2024-03-01 01:00: 0.9945
2024-03-01 12:00: 0.9945
2024-03-01 23:00: 0.9945
2024-03-02 10:00: 0.9950
2024-03-02 21:00: 0.9945
2024-03-03 08:00: 0.9945
2024-03-03 19:00: 0.9945
2024-03-04 06:00: 0.9945
2024-03-04 17:00: 0.9945
2024-03-05 04:00: 0.9945
2024-03-05 15:00: 0.9945
2024-03-06 02:00: 0.9945
2024-03-06 13:00: 0.9945
2024-03-07 00:00: 0.9945
2024-03-07 11:00: 0.9945
2024-03-07 22:00: 0.9945
2024-03-08 09:00: 0.9945
2024-03-08 20:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-03-09 19:00: 0.0060
2024-03-10 07:00: 0.0060
2024-03-10 18:00: 0.0060
2024-03-11 05:00: 0.0055
2024-03-11 16:00: 0.0060
2024-03-12 03:00: 0.0060
2024-03-12 14:00: 0.0060
2024-03-13 01:00: 0.0060
2024-03-13 12:00: 0.0060
2024-03-13 23:00: 0.0060
2024-03-14 10:00: 0.0060
2024-03-14 21:00: 0.0060
2024-03-15 08:00: 0.0060
2024-03-15 19:00: 0.0055
2024-03-16 06:00: 0.0055
2024-03-16 17:00: 0.0055
2024-03-17 04:00: 0.0055
2024-03-17 15:00: 0.0055
2024-03-18 02:00: 0.0055
2024-03-18 13:00: 0.0055
2024-03-19 00:00: 0.0055
2024-03-19 11:00: 0.0055
2024-03-19 22:00: 0.0055
2024-03-20 09:00: 0.0055
2024-03-20 20:00: 0.0055
2024-03-21 07:00: 0.0055
2024-03-21 18:00: 0.0055
2024-03-22 05:00: 0.0055
2024-03-22 16:00: 0.0055
2024-03-23 03:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-03-24 01:00: 0.9945
2024-03-24 12:00: 0.9945
2024-03-24 23:00: 0.9945
2024-03-25 10:00: 0.9945
2024-03-25 21:00: 0.9945
2024-03-26 08:00: 0.9945
2024-03-26 19:00: 0.9945
2024-03-27 06:00: 0.9945
2024-03-27 17:00: 0.9945
2024-03-28 04:00: 0.9950
2024-03-28 15:00: 0.9950
2024-03-29 02:00: 0.9950
2024-03-29 13:00: 0.9950
2024-03-30 00:00: 0.9955
2024-03-30 11:00: 0.9955
2024-03-30 22:00: 0.9955
2024-03-31 09:00: 0.9955
2024-03-31 20:00: 0.9955
2024-04-01 07:00: 0.9955
2024-04-01 18:00: 0.9955
2024-04-02 05:00: 0.9955
2024-04-02 16:00: 0.9955
2024-04-03 03:00: 0.9955
2024-04-03 14:00: 0.9955
2024-04-04 01:00: 0.9955
2024-04-04 12:00: 0.9955
2024-04-04 23:00: 0.9955
2024-04-05 10:00: 0.9955
2024-04-05 21:00: 0.9955
2024-04-06 08:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-04-07 07:00: 0.0045
2024-04-07 18:00: 0.0045
2024-04-08 05:00: 0.0045
2024-04-08 16:00: 0.0045
2024-04-09 03:00: 0.0045
2024-04-09 14:00: 0.0045
2024-04-10 01:00: 0.0045
2024-04-10 12:00: 0.0045
2024-04-10 23:00: 0.0045
2024-04-11 10:00: 0.0045
2024-04-11 21:00: 0.0045
2024-04-12 08:00: 0.0045
2024-04-12 19:00: 0.0045
2024-04-13 06:00: 0.0045
2024-04-13 17:00: 0.0045
2024-04-14 04:00: 0.0045
2024-04-14 15:00: 0.0045
2024-04-15 02:00: 0.0045
2024-04-15 13:00: 0.0045
2024-04-16 00:00: 0.0045
2024-04-16 11:00: 0.0045
2024-04-16 22:00: 0.0045
2024-04-17 09:00: 0.0045
2024-04-17 20:00: 0.0045
2024-04-18 07:00: 0.0045
2024-04-18 18:00: 0.0045
2024-04-19 05:00: 0.0045
2024-04-19 16:00: 0.0045
2024-04-20 03:00: 0.0045
2024-04-20 14:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-04-21 12:00: 0.9955
2024-04-21 23:00: 0.9955
2024-04-22 10:00: 0.9955
2024-04-22 21:00: 0.9955
2024-04-23 08:00: 0.9955
2024-04-23 19:00: 0.9955
2024-04-24 06:00: 0.9955
2024-04-24 17:00: 0.9955
2024-04-25 04:00: 0.9955
2024-04-25 15:00: 0.9955
2024-04-26 02:00: 0.9955
2024-04-26 13:00: 0.9955
2024-04-27 00:00: 0.9955
2024-04-27 11:00: 0.9955
2024-04-27 22:00: 0.9955
2024-04-28 09:00: 0.9955
2024-04-28 20:00: 0.9955
2024-04-29 07:00: 0.9955
2024-04-29 18:00: 0.9955
2024-04-30 05:00: 0.9955
2024-04-30 16:00: 0.9955
2024-05-01 03:00: 0.9955
2024-05-01 14:00: 0.9955
2024-05-02 02:00: 0.9955
2024-05-02 13:00: 0.9955
2024-05-03 00:00: 0.9955
2024-05-03 11:00: 0.9955
2024-05-03 22:00: 0.9955
2024-05-04 09:00: 0.9955
2024-05-04 20:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-05-05 19:00: 0.0045
2024-05-06 06:00: 0.0045
2024-05-06 17:00: 0.0045
2024-05-07 04:00: 0.0045
2024-05-07 15:00: 0.0045
2024-05-08 02:00: 0.0045
2024-05-08 13:00: 0.0045
2024-05-09 00:00: 0.0045
2024-05-09 11:00: 0.0045
2024-05-09 22:00: 0.0045
2024-05-10 09:00: 0.0045
2024-05-10 20:00: 0.0045
2024-05-11 07:00: 0.0045
2024-05-11 18:00: 0.0045
2024-05-12 05:00: 0.0045
2024-05-12 16:00: 0.0045
2024-05-13 03:00: 0.0045
2024-05-13 14:00: 0.0045
2024-05-14 01:00: 0.0045
2024-05-14 12:00: 0.0035
2024-05-14 23:00: 0.0035
2024-05-15 10:00: 0.0035
2024-05-15 21:00: 0.0035
2024-05-16 08:00: 0.0035
2024-05-16 19:00: 0.0035
2024-05-17 06:00: 0.0035
2024-05-17 17:00: 0.0035
2024-05-18 04:00: 0.0035
2024-05-18 15:00: 0.0035
2024-05-19 02:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-05-20 00:00: 0.9965
2024-05-20 11:00: 0.9965
2024-05-20 22:00: 0.9965
2024-05-21 09:00: 0.9965
2024-05-21 20:00: 0.9965
2024-05-22 07:00: 0.9960
2024-05-22 18:00: 0.9960
2024-05-23 05:00: 0.9960
2024-05-23 16:00: 0.9960
2024-05-24 03:00: 0.9960
2024-05-24 14:00: 0.9960
2024-05-25 01:00: 0.9960
2024-05-25 12:00: 0.9960
2024-05-25 23:00: 0.9960
2024-05-26 10:00: 0.9960
2024-05-26 21:00: 0.9960
2024-05-27 08:00: 0.9960
2024-05-27 19:00: 0.9960
2024-05-28 06:00: 0.9960
2024-05-28 17:00: 0.9960
2024-05-29 04:00: 0.9960
2024-05-29 15:00: 0.9955
2024-05-30 02:00: 0.9965
2024-05-30 13:00: 0.9955
2024-05-31 00:00: 0.9955
2024-05-31 11:00: 0.9955
2024-05-31 22:00: 0.9950
2024-06-01 09:00: 0.9950
2024-06-01 20:00: 0.9950
2024-06-02 07:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-06-03 06:00: 0.0050
2024-06-03 17:00: 0.0050
2024-06-04 04:00: 0.0050
2024-06-04 15:00: 0.0050
2024-06-05 02:00: 0.0050
2024-06-05 13:00: 0.0050
2024-06-06 00:00: 0.0050
2024-06-06 11:00: 0.0050
2024-06-06 22:00: 0.0055
2024-06-07 09:00: 0.0055
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.0050
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.0050
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.0050
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.0050
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.0050
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.0055
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.0055
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.0055
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.0045
2024-06-11 23:00: 0.0040
2024-06-12 10:00: 0.0040
2024-06-12 21:00: 0.0040
2024-06-13 08:00: 0.0050
2024-06-13 19:00: 0.0045
2024-06-14 06:00: 0.0040
2024-06-14 17:00: 0.0040
2024-06-15 04:00: 0.0040
2024-06-15 15:00: 0.0040
2024-06-16 02:00: 0.0045
2024-06-16 13:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.9955
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.9960
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.9965
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.9965
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.9965
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.9960
2024-06-20 05:00: 0.9960
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.9960
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.9960
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.9960
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.9960
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.9960
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.9960
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.9960
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.9960
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.9960
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.9960
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.9960
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.9960
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.9960
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.9960
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.9965
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.9975
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.9975
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.9970
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.9970
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.9970
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.9970
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.9960
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.0035
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.0035
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.0025
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.0035
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.0040
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.0025
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.0030
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.0025
2024-07-05 09:00: 0.0030
2024-07-05 20:00: 0.0025
2024-07-06 07:00: 0.0035
2024-07-06 18:00: 0.0020
2024-07-07 05:00: 0.0020
2024-07-07 16:00: 0.0020
2024-07-08 03:00: 0.0020
2024-07-08 14:00: 0.0025
2024-07-09 01:00: 0.0020
2024-07-09 12:00: 0.0020
2024-07-09 23:00: 0.0015
2024-07-10 10:00: 0.0015
2024-07-10 21:00: 0.0015
2024-07-11 08:00: 0.0020
2024-07-11 19:00: 0.0025
2024-07-12 06:00: 0.0025
2024-07-12 17:00: 0.0020
2024-07-13 04:00: 0.0020
2024-07-13 15:00: 0.0025
2024-07-14 02:00: 0.0025
2024-07-14 13:00: 0.0025
2024-07-15 00:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-01-12 21:00: 0.5250
2024-01-13 03:00: 0.1250
2024-01-13 10:00: 0.8400
2024-01-13 16:00: 0.1600
2024-01-13 23:00: 0.8450
2024-01-14 05:00: 0.1550
2024-01-14 12:00: 0.8450
2024-01-14 18:00: 0.1550
2024-01-15 01:00: 0.8450
2024-01-15 07:00: 0.1550
2024-01-15 14:00: 0.8450
2024-01-15 20:00: 0.1550
2024-01-16 03:00: 0.8650
2024-01-16 09:00: 0.1300
2024-01-16 16:00: 0.8750
2024-01-16 22:00: 0.1250
2024-01-17 05:00: 0.8750
2024-01-17 11:00: 0.1250
2024-01-17 18:00: 0.8800
2024-01-18 00:00: 0.1150
2024-01-18 07:00: 0.8850
2024-01-18 13:00: 0.1150
2024-01-18 20:00: 0.8850
2024-01-19 02:00: 0.1150
2024-01-19 09:00: 0.8850
2024-01-19 15:00: 0.1150
2024-01-19 22:00: 0.8850
2024-01-20 04:00: 0.1150
2024-01-20 11:00: 0.8850
2024-01-20 17:00: 0.1150
2024-01-21 00:00: 0.8850
2024-01-21 06:00: 0.1150
2024-01-21 13:00: 0.8850
2024-01-21 19:00: 0.1150
2024-01-22 02:00: 0.9150
2024-01-22 08:00: 0.0850
2024-01-22 15:00: 0.9150
2024-01-22 21:00: 0.0850
2024-01-23 04:00: 0.9150
2024-01-23 10:00: 0.0850
2024-01-23 17:00: 0.9150
2024-01-23 23:00: 0.0550
2024-01-24 06:00: 0.9450
2024-01-24 12:00: 0.0550
2024-01-24 19:00: 0.9450
2024-01-25 01:00: 0.0550
2024-01-25 08:00: 0.9450
2024-01-25 14:00: 0.0550
2024-01-25 21:00: 0.9450
2024-01-26 03:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-01-27 02:00: 0.0550
2024-01-27 09:00: 0.9450
2024-01-27 15:00: 0.0550
2024-01-27 22:00: 0.9450
2024-01-28 04:00: 0.0550
2024-01-28 11:00: 0.9450
2024-01-28 17:00: 0.0550
2024-01-29 00:00: 0.9450
2024-01-29 06:00: 0.0550
2024-01-29 13:00: 0.9450
2024-01-29 19:00: 0.0550
2024-01-30 02:00: 0.9450
2024-01-30 08:00: 0.0550
2024-01-30 15:00: 0.9450
2024-01-30 21:00: 0.0550
2024-01-31 04:00: 0.9450
2024-01-31 10:00: 0.0550
2024-01-31 17:00: 0.9450
2024-01-31 23:00: 0.0550
2024-02-01 06:00: 0.9450
2024-02-01 12:00: 0.0550
2024-02-01 19:00: 0.9450
2024-02-02 01:00: 0.0550
2024-02-02 08:00: 0.9450
2024-02-02 14:00: 0.0550
2024-02-02 21:00: 0.9450
2024-02-03 03:00: 0.0550
2024-02-03 10:00: 0.9450
2024-02-03 16:00: 0.0550
2024-02-03 23:00: 0.9450
2024-02-04 05:00: 0.0550
2024-02-04 12:00: 0.9450
2024-02-04 18:00: 0.0550
2024-02-05 01:00: 0.9450
2024-02-05 07:00: 0.0550
2024-02-05 14:00: 0.9450
2024-02-05 20:00: 0.0550
2024-02-06 03:00: 0.9450
2024-02-06 09:00: 0.0550
2024-02-06 16:00: 0.9450
2024-02-06 22:00: 0.0550
2024-02-07 05:00: 0.9450
2024-02-07 11:00: 0.0550
2024-02-07 18:00: 0.9450
2024-02-08 00:00: 0.0550
2024-02-08 07:00: 0.9450
2024-02-08 13:00: 0.0550
2024-02-08 20:00: 0.9450
2024-02-09 02:00: 0.0650
2024-02-09 09:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-02-10 08:00: 0.9350
2024-02-10 14:00: 0.0650
2024-02-10 21:00: 0.9350
2024-02-11 03:00: 0.0650
2024-02-11 10:00: 0.9350
2024-02-11 16:00: 0.0650
2024-02-11 23:00: 0.9350
2024-02-12 05:00: 0.0650
2024-02-12 12:00: 0.9350
2024-02-12 18:00: 0.0650
2024-02-13 01:00: 0.9350
2024-02-13 07:00: 0.0650
2024-02-13 14:00: 0.9350
2024-02-13 20:00: 0.0650
2024-02-14 03:00: 0.9350
2024-02-14 09:00: 0.0650
2024-02-14 16:00: 0.9350
2024-02-14 22:00: 0.0650
2024-02-15 05:00: 0.9350
2024-02-15 11:00: 0.0650
2024-02-15 18:00: 0.9350
2024-02-16 00:00: 0.0650
2024-02-16 07:00: 0.9350
2024-02-16 13:00: 0.0650
2024-02-16 20:00: 0.9350
2024-02-17 02:00: 0.0650
2024-02-17 09:00: 0.9350
2024-02-17 15:00: 0.0650
2024-02-17 22:00: 0.9350
2024-02-18 04:00: 0.0650
2024-02-18 11:00: 0.9350
2024-02-18 17:00: 0.0650
2024-02-19 00:00: 0.9350
2024-02-19 06:00: 0.0650
2024-02-19 13:00: 0.9350
2024-02-19 19:00: 0.0650
2024-02-20 02:00: 0.9350
2024-02-20 08:00: 0.0650
2024-02-20 15:00: 0.9350
2024-02-20 21:00: 0.0650
2024-02-21 04:00: 0.9350
2024-02-21 10:00: 0.0650
2024-02-21 17:00: 0.9350
2024-02-21 23:00: 0.0650
2024-02-22 06:00: 0.9350
2024-02-22 12:00: 0.0650
2024-02-22 19:00: 0.9350
2024-02-23 01:00: 0.0650
2024-02-23 08:00: 0.9350
2024-02-23 14:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-02-24 13:00: 0.0650
2024-02-24 20:00: 0.9350
2024-02-25 02:00: 0.0650
2024-02-25 09:00: 0.9350
2024-02-25 15:00: 0.0650
2024-02-25 22:00: 0.9350
2024-02-26 04:00: 0.0650
2024-02-26 11:00: 0.9350
2024-02-26 17:00: 0.0650
2024-02-27 00:00: 0.9250
2024-02-27 06:00: 0.0750
2024-02-27 13:00: 0.9250
2024-02-27 19:00: 0.0750
2024-02-28 02:00: 0.9250
2024-02-28 08:00: 0.0750
2024-02-28 15:00: 0.9250
2024-02-28 21:00: 0.0750
2024-02-29 04:00: 0.9250
2024-02-29 10:00: 0.0750
2024-02-29 17:00: 0.9250
2024-02-29 23:00: 0.0750
2024-03-01 06:00: 0.9250
2024-03-01 12:00: 0.0750
2024-03-01 19:00: 0.9250
2024-03-02 01:00: 0.0750
2024-03-02 08:00: 0.9250
2024-03-02 14:00: 0.0750
2024-03-02 21:00: 0.9250
2024-03-03 03:00: 0.0750
2024-03-03 10:00: 0.9250
2024-03-03 16:00: 0.0750
2024-03-03 23:00: 0.9250
2024-03-04 05:00: 0.0750
2024-03-04 12:00: 0.9250
2024-03-04 18:00: 0.0750
2024-03-05 01:00: 0.9250
2024-03-05 07:00: 0.0750
2024-03-05 14:00: 0.9250
2024-03-05 20:00: 0.0750
2024-03-06 03:00: 0.9250
2024-03-06 09:00: 0.0650
2024-03-06 16:00: 0.9350
2024-03-06 22:00: 0.0650
2024-03-07 05:00: 0.9350
2024-03-07 11:00: 0.0650
2024-03-07 18:00: 0.9350
2024-03-08 00:00: 0.0650
2024-03-08 07:00: 0.9350
2024-03-08 13:00: 0.0650
2024-03-08 20:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-03-09 19:00: 0.9350
2024-03-10 01:00: 0.0650
2024-03-10 09:00: 0.9350
2024-03-10 15:00: 0.0650
2024-03-10 22:00: 0.9350
2024-03-11 04:00: 0.0650
2024-03-11 11:00: 0.9350
2024-03-11 17:00: 0.0650
2024-03-12 00:00: 0.9350
2024-03-12 06:00: 0.0650
2024-03-12 13:00: 0.9350
2024-03-12 19:00: 0.0650
2024-03-13 02:00: 0.9350
2024-03-13 08:00: 0.0650
2024-03-13 15:00: 0.9350
2024-03-13 21:00: 0.0650
2024-03-14 04:00: 0.9350
2024-03-14 10:00: 0.0650
2024-03-14 17:00: 0.9350
2024-03-14 23:00: 0.0650
2024-03-15 06:00: 0.9350
2024-03-15 12:00: 0.0650
2024-03-15 19:00: 0.9350
2024-03-16 01:00: 0.0650
2024-03-16 08:00: 0.9350
2024-03-16 14:00: 0.0650
2024-03-16 21:00: 0.9350
2024-03-17 03:00: 0.0650
2024-03-17 10:00: 0.9350
2024-03-17 16:00: 0.0650
2024-03-17 23:00: 0.9350
2024-03-18 05:00: 0.0650
2024-03-18 12:00: 0.9350
2024-03-18 18:00: 0.0650
2024-03-19 01:00: 0.9350
2024-03-19 07:00: 0.0650
2024-03-19 14:00: 0.9350
2024-03-19 20:00: 0.0650
2024-03-20 03:00: 0.9350
2024-03-20 09:00: 0.0650
2024-03-20 16:00: 0.9350
2024-03-20 22:00: 0.0650
2024-03-21 05:00: 0.9250
2024-03-21 11:00: 0.0750
2024-03-21 18:00: 0.9250
2024-03-22 00:00: 0.0750
2024-03-22 07:00: 0.9250
2024-03-22 13:00: 0.0750
2024-03-22 20:00: 0.9250
2024-03-23 02:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-03-24 01:00: 0.0750
2024-03-24 08:00: 0.9250
2024-03-24 14:00: 0.0750
2024-03-24 21:00: 0.9250
2024-03-25 03:00: 0.0750
2024-03-25 10:00: 0.9250
2024-03-25 16:00: 0.0750
2024-03-25 23:00: 0.9250
2024-03-26 05:00: 0.0750
2024-03-26 12:00: 0.9250
2024-03-26 18:00: 0.0750
2024-03-27 01:00: 0.9250
2024-03-27 07:00: 0.0750
2024-03-27 14:00: 0.9250
2024-03-27 20:00: 0.0750
2024-03-28 03:00: 0.9250
2024-03-28 09:00: 0.0750
2024-03-28 16:00: 0.9250
2024-03-28 22:00: 0.0750
2024-03-29 05:00: 0.9250
2024-03-29 11:00: 0.0750
2024-03-29 18:00: 0.9250
2024-03-30 00:00: 0.0750
2024-03-30 07:00: 0.9150
2024-03-30 13:00: 0.0850
2024-03-30 20:00: 0.9150
2024-03-31 02:00: 0.0850
2024-03-31 09:00: 0.9250
2024-03-31 15:00: 0.0750
2024-03-31 22:00: 0.9250
2024-04-01 04:00: 0.0750
2024-04-01 11:00: 0.9250
2024-04-01 17:00: 0.0750
2024-04-02 00:00: 0.9250
2024-04-02 06:00: 0.0750
2024-04-02 13:00: 0.9250
2024-04-02 19:00: 0.0750
2024-04-03 02:00: 0.9250
2024-04-03 08:00: 0.0750
2024-04-03 15:00: 0.9250
2024-04-03 21:00: 0.0750
2024-04-04 04:00: 0.9250
2024-04-04 10:00: 0.0750
2024-04-04 17:00: 0.9250
2024-04-04 23:00: 0.0750
2024-04-05 06:00: 0.9250
2024-04-05 12:00: 0.0750
2024-04-05 19:00: 0.9250
2024-04-06 01:00: 0.0750
2024-04-06 08:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-04-07 07:00: 0.9250
2024-04-07 13:00: 0.0750
2024-04-07 20:00: 0.9250
2024-04-08 02:00: 0.0750
2024-04-08 09:00: 0.9250
2024-04-08 15:00: 0.0750
2024-04-08 22:00: 0.9250
2024-04-09 04:00: 0.0750
2024-04-09 11:00: 0.9250
2024-04-09 17:00: 0.0750
2024-04-10 00:00: 0.9250
2024-04-10 06:00: 0.0750
2024-04-10 13:00: 0.9250
2024-04-10 19:00: 0.0750
2024-04-11 02:00: 0.9250
2024-04-11 08:00: 0.0750
2024-04-11 15:00: 0.9250
2024-04-11 21:00: 0.0750
2024-04-12 04:00: 0.9250
2024-04-12 10:00: 0.0750
2024-04-12 17:00: 0.9250
2024-04-12 23:00: 0.0750
2024-04-13 06:00: 0.9250
2024-04-13 12:00: 0.0750
2024-04-13 19:00: 0.9250
2024-04-14 01:00: 0.0750
2024-04-14 08:00: 0.9250
2024-04-14 14:00: 0.0750
2024-04-14 21:00: 0.9250
2024-04-15 03:00: 0.0750
2024-04-15 10:00: 0.9250
2024-04-15 16:00: 0.0750
2024-04-15 23:00: 0.9250
2024-04-16 05:00: 0.0750
2024-04-16 12:00: 0.9250
2024-04-16 18:00: 0.0750
2024-04-17 01:00: 0.9250
2024-04-17 07:00: 0.0750
2024-04-17 14:00: 0.9250
2024-04-17 20:00: 0.0750
2024-04-18 03:00: 0.9250
2024-04-18 09:00: 0.0750
2024-04-18 16:00: 0.9250
2024-04-18 22:00: 0.0750
2024-04-19 05:00: 0.9250
2024-04-19 11:00: 0.0750
2024-04-19 18:00: 0.9250
2024-04-20 00:00: 0.0750
2024-04-20 07:00: 0.9250
2024-04-20 13:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-04-21 12:00: 0.0750
2024-04-21 19:00: 0.9250
2024-04-22 01:00: 0.0750
2024-04-22 08:00: 0.9250
2024-04-22 14:00: 0.0750
2024-04-22 21:00: 0.9250
2024-04-23 03:00: 0.0750
2024-04-23 10:00: 0.9250
2024-04-23 16:00: 0.0750
2024-04-23 23:00: 0.9250
2024-04-24 05:00: 0.0750
2024-04-24 12:00: 0.9250
2024-04-24 18:00: 0.0750
2024-04-25 01:00: 0.9250
2024-04-25 07:00: 0.0750
2024-04-25 14:00: 0.9250
2024-04-25 20:00: 0.0750
2024-04-26 03:00: 0.9250
2024-04-26 09:00: 0.0750
2024-04-26 16:00: 0.9250
2024-04-26 22:00: 0.0750
2024-04-27 05:00: 0.9250
2024-04-27 11:00: 0.0750
2024-04-27 18:00: 0.9250
2024-04-28 00:00: 0.0750
2024-04-28 07:00: 0.9250
2024-04-28 13:00: 0.0750
2024-04-28 20:00: 0.9250
2024-04-29 02:00: 0.0650
2024-04-29 09:00: 0.9350
2024-04-29 15:00: 0.0650
2024-04-29 22:00: 0.9350
2024-04-30 04:00: 0.0650
2024-04-30 11:00: 0.9350
2024-04-30 17:00: 0.0650
2024-05-01 00:00: 0.9350
2024-05-01 06:00: 0.0650
2024-05-01 13:00: 0.9350
2024-05-01 20:00: 0.0650
2024-05-02 03:00: 0.9350
2024-05-02 09:00: 0.0650
2024-05-02 16:00: 0.9350
2024-05-02 22:00: 0.0650
2024-05-03 05:00: 0.9350
2024-05-03 11:00: 0.0650
2024-05-03 18:00: 0.9350
2024-05-04 00:00: 0.0650
2024-05-04 07:00: 0.9350
2024-05-04 13:00: 0.0650
2024-05-04 20:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-05-05 19:00: 0.9350
2024-05-06 01:00: 0.0650
2024-05-06 08:00: 0.9350
2024-05-06 14:00: 0.0650
2024-05-06 21:00: 0.9350
2024-05-07 03:00: 0.0650
2024-05-07 10:00: 0.9350
2024-05-07 16:00: 0.0650
2024-05-07 23:00: 0.9350
2024-05-08 05:00: 0.0650
2024-05-08 12:00: 0.9350
2024-05-08 18:00: 0.0650
2024-05-09 01:00: 0.9350
2024-05-09 07:00: 0.0650
2024-05-09 14:00: 0.9350
2024-05-09 20:00: 0.0650
2024-05-10 03:00: 0.9350
2024-05-10 09:00: 0.0650
2024-05-10 16:00: 0.9350
2024-05-10 22:00: 0.0650
2024-05-11 05:00: 0.9350
2024-05-11 11:00: 0.0650
2024-05-11 18:00: 0.9350
2024-05-12 00:00: 0.0650
2024-05-12 07:00: 0.9350
2024-05-12 13:00: 0.0650
2024-05-12 20:00: 0.9350
2024-05-13 02:00: 0.0650
2024-05-13 09:00: 0.9350
2024-05-13 15:00: 0.0550
2024-05-13 22:00: 0.9450
2024-05-14 04:00: 0.0550
2024-05-14 11:00: 0.9450
2024-05-14 17:00: 0.0550
2024-05-15 00:00: 0.9450
2024-05-15 06:00: 0.0550
2024-05-15 13:00: 0.9450
2024-05-15 19:00: 0.0550
2024-05-16 02:00: 0.9450
2024-05-16 08:00: 0.0550
2024-05-16 15:00: 0.9450
2024-05-16 21:00: 0.0550
2024-05-17 04:00: 0.9450
2024-05-17 10:00: 0.0550
2024-05-17 17:00: 0.9450
2024-05-17 23:00: 0.0550
2024-05-18 06:00: 0.9450
2024-05-18 12:00: 0.0550
2024-05-18 19:00: 0.9450
2024-05-19 01:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-05-20 00:00: 0.0550
2024-05-20 07:00: 0.9450
2024-05-20 13:00: 0.0550
2024-05-20 20:00: 0.9450
2024-05-21 02:00: 0.0550
2024-05-21 09:00: 0.9450
2024-05-21 15:00: 0.0550
2024-05-21 22:00: 0.9450
2024-05-22 04:00: 0.0550
2024-05-22 11:00: 0.9450
2024-05-22 17:00: 0.0550
2024-05-23 00:00: 0.9450
2024-05-23 06:00: 0.0550
2024-05-23 13:00: 0.9450
2024-05-23 19:00: 0.0550
2024-05-24 02:00: 0.9450
2024-05-24 08:00: 0.0550
2024-05-24 15:00: 0.9450
2024-05-24 21:00: 0.0550
2024-05-25 04:00: 0.9450
2024-05-25 10:00: 0.0550
2024-05-25 17:00: 0.9450
2024-05-25 23:00: 0.0550
2024-05-26 06:00: 0.9450
2024-05-26 12:00: 0.0550
2024-05-26 19:00: 0.9450
2024-05-27 01:00: 0.0550
2024-05-27 08:00: 0.9450
2024-05-27 14:00: 0.0550
2024-05-27 21:00: 0.9450
2024-05-28 03:00: 0.0550
2024-05-28 10:00: 0.9450
2024-05-28 16:00: 0.0550
2024-05-28 23:00: 0.9450
2024-05-29 05:00: 0.0550
2024-05-29 12:00: 0.9450
2024-05-29 18:00: 0.0550
2024-05-30 01:00: 0.9450
2024-05-30 07:00: 0.0550
2024-05-30 14:00: 0.9550
2024-05-30 20:00: 0.0550
2024-05-31 03:00: 0.9550
2024-05-31 09:00: 0.0450
2024-05-31 16:00: 0.9550
2024-05-31 22:00: 0.0450
2024-06-01 05:00: 0.9550
2024-06-01 11:00: 0.0450
2024-06-01 18:00: 0.9550
2024-06-02 00:00: 0.0450
2024-06-02 07:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-06-03 06:00: 0.9550
2024-06-03 12:00: 0.0450
2024-06-03 19:00: 0.9550
2024-06-04 01:00: 0.0450
2024-06-04 08:00: 0.9550
2024-06-04 14:00: 0.0450
2024-06-04 21:00: 0.9550
2024-06-05 03:00: 0.0450
2024-06-05 10:00: 0.9550
2024-06-05 16:00: 0.0450
2024-06-05 23:00: 0.9550
2024-06-06 05:00: 0.0450
2024-06-06 12:00: 0.9550
2024-06-06 18:00: 0.0450
2024-06-07 01:00: 0.9550
2024-06-07 07:00: 0.0450
2024-06-07 14:00: 0.9550
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 09:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.0450
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.9550
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.0450
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.9550
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.0450
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.9550
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.0450
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-11 02:00: 0.0450
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.9550
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.0450
2024-06-11 22:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 04:00: 0.0450
2024-06-12 11:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 17:00: 0.0450
2024-06-13 00:00: 0.9550
2024-06-13 06:00: 0.0450
2024-06-13 13:00: 0.9550
2024-06-13 19:00: 0.0450
2024-06-14 02:00: 0.9550
2024-06-14 08:00: 0.0450
2024-06-14 15:00: 0.9550
2024-06-14 21:00: 0.0450
2024-06-15 04:00: 0.9550
2024-06-15 10:00: 0.0450
2024-06-15 17:00: 0.9550
2024-06-15 23:00: 0.0450
2024-06-16 06:00: 0.9550
2024-06-16 12:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.0450
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.9550
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.0450
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.9550
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.0450
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.9655
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.0425
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.9565
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.0430
2024-06-19 22:00: 0.9570
2024-06-20 04:00: 0.0445
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.9535
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.0435
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.9570
2024-06-21 06:00: 0.0425
2024-06-21 13:00: 0.9575
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.0425
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.9555
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.0445
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.9555
2024-06-22 21:00: 0.0430
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.9570
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.0430
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.9575
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.0425
2024-06-24 06:00: 0.9585
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.0415
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.9550
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.0395
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.9635
2024-06-25 14:00: 0.0360
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.9650
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.0160
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.9845
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.0155
2024-06-26 23:00: 0.9885
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.0130
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.9880
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.0145
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.9835
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.0140
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.0155
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.9855
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.0115
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.9885
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.0125
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.9880
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.0110
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.9895
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.0110
2024-07-02 06:00: 0.9895
2024-07-02 12:00: 0.0085
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.0115
2024-07-03 21:00: 0.9895
2024-07-04 03:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.9905
2024-07-05 05:00: 0.0090
2024-07-05 12:00: 0.9905
2024-07-05 18:00: 0.0095
2024-07-06 01:00: 0.9910
2024-07-06 07:00: 0.0090
2024-07-06 14:00: 0.9925
2024-07-06 20:00: 0.0070
2024-07-07 03:00: 0.9930
2024-07-07 09:00: 0.0065
2024-07-07 16:00: 0.9945
2024-07-07 22:00: 0.0065
2024-07-08 05:00: 0.9935
2024-07-08 11:00: 0.0055
2024-07-08 18:00: 0.9945
2024-07-09 00:00: 0.0060
2024-07-09 07:00: 0.9945
2024-07-09 13:00: 0.0050
2024-07-09 20:00: 0.9950
2024-07-10 02:00: 0.0055
2024-07-10 09:00: 0.9945
2024-07-10 15:00: 0.0050
2024-07-10 22:00: 0.9950
2024-07-11 04:00: 0.0055
2024-07-11 11:00: 0.9945
2024-07-11 17:00: 0.0055
2024-07-12 00:00: 0.9945
2024-07-12 06:00: 0.0055
2024-07-12 13:00: 0.9935
2024-07-12 19:00: 0.0045
2024-07-13 02:00: 0.9945
2024-07-13 08:00: 0.0050
2024-07-13 15:00: 0.9945
2024-07-13 21:00: 0.0100
2024-07-14 04:00: 0.9925
2024-07-14 10:00: 0.0095
2024-07-14 17:00: 0.9920
2024-07-14 23:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-01-12 21:00: 0.5250
2024-01-13 08:00: 0.8750
2024-01-13 19:00: 0.8400
2024-01-14 06:00: 0.8450
2024-01-14 17:00: 0.8450
2024-01-15 04:00: 0.8450
2024-01-15 15:00: 0.8450
2024-01-16 02:00: 0.8650
2024-01-16 13:00: 0.8750
2024-01-17 00:00: 0.8750
2024-01-17 11:00: 0.8750
2024-01-17 22:00: 0.8850
2024-01-18 09:00: 0.8850
2024-01-18 20:00: 0.8850
2024-01-19 07:00: 0.8850
2024-01-19 18:00: 0.8850
2024-01-20 05:00: 0.8850
2024-01-20 16:00: 0.8850
2024-01-21 03:00: 0.8850
2024-01-21 14:00: 0.8850
2024-01-22 01:00: 0.9150
2024-01-22 12:00: 0.9150
2024-01-22 23:00: 0.9150
2024-01-23 10:00: 0.9150
2024-01-23 21:00: 0.9350
2024-01-24 08:00: 0.9450
2024-01-24 19:00: 0.9450
2024-01-25 06:00: 0.9450
2024-01-25 17:00: 0.9450
2024-01-26 04:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-01-27 02:00: 0.0550
2024-01-27 13:00: 0.0550
2024-01-28 00:00: 0.0550
2024-01-28 11:00: 0.0550
2024-01-28 22:00: 0.0550
2024-01-29 09:00: 0.0550
2024-01-29 20:00: 0.0550
2024-01-30 07:00: 0.0550
2024-01-30 18:00: 0.0550
2024-01-31 05:00: 0.0550
2024-01-31 16:00: 0.0550
2024-02-01 03:00: 0.0550
2024-02-01 14:00: 0.0550
2024-02-02 01:00: 0.0550
2024-02-02 12:00: 0.0550
2024-02-02 23:00: 0.0550
2024-02-03 10:00: 0.0550
2024-02-03 21:00: 0.0550
2024-02-04 08:00: 0.0550
2024-02-04 19:00: 0.0550
2024-02-05 06:00: 0.0550
2024-02-05 17:00: 0.0550
2024-02-06 04:00: 0.0550
2024-02-06 15:00: 0.0550
2024-02-07 02:00: 0.0550
2024-02-07 13:00: 0.0550
2024-02-08 00:00: 0.0550
2024-02-08 11:00: 0.0550
2024-02-08 22:00: 0.0550
2024-02-09 09:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-02-10 08:00: 0.9350
2024-02-10 19:00: 0.9350
2024-02-11 06:00: 0.9350
2024-02-11 17:00: 0.9350
2024-02-12 04:00: 0.9350
2024-02-12 15:00: 0.9350
2024-02-13 02:00: 0.9350
2024-02-13 13:00: 0.9350
2024-02-14 00:00: 0.9350
2024-02-14 11:00: 0.9350
2024-02-14 22:00: 0.9350
2024-02-15 09:00: 0.9350
2024-02-15 20:00: 0.9350
2024-02-16 07:00: 0.9350
2024-02-16 18:00: 0.9350
2024-02-17 05:00: 0.9350
2024-02-17 16:00: 0.9350
2024-02-18 03:00: 0.9350
2024-02-18 14:00: 0.9350
2024-02-19 01:00: 0.9350
2024-02-19 12:00: 0.9350
2024-02-19 23:00: 0.9350
2024-02-20 10:00: 0.9350
2024-02-20 21:00: 0.9350
2024-02-21 08:00: 0.9350
2024-02-21 19:00: 0.9350
2024-02-22 06:00: 0.9350
2024-02-22 17:00: 0.9350
2024-02-23 04:00: 0.9350
2024-02-23 15:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-02-24 13:00: 0.0650
2024-02-25 00:00: 0.0650
2024-02-25 11:00: 0.0650
2024-02-25 22:00: 0.0650
2024-02-26 09:00: 0.0650
2024-02-26 20:00: 0.0650
2024-02-27 07:00: 0.0750
2024-02-27 18:00: 0.0750
2024-02-28 05:00: 0.0750
2024-02-28 16:00: 0.0750
2024-02-29 03:00: 0.0750
2024-02-29 14:00: 0.0750
2024-03-01 01:00: 0.0750
2024-03-01 12:00: 0.0750
2024-03-01 23:00: 0.0750
2024-03-02 10:00: 0.0750
2024-03-02 21:00: 0.0750
2024-03-03 08:00: 0.0750
2024-03-03 19:00: 0.0750
2024-03-04 06:00: 0.0750
2024-03-04 17:00: 0.0750
2024-03-05 04:00: 0.0750
2024-03-05 15:00: 0.0750
2024-03-06 02:00: 0.0750
2024-03-06 13:00: 0.0650
2024-03-07 00:00: 0.0650
2024-03-07 11:00: 0.0650
2024-03-07 22:00: 0.0650
2024-03-08 09:00: 0.0650
2024-03-08 20:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-03-09 19:00: 0.9350
2024-03-10 07:00: 0.9350
2024-03-10 18:00: 0.9350
2024-03-11 05:00: 0.9350
2024-03-11 16:00: 0.9350
2024-03-12 03:00: 0.9350
2024-03-12 14:00: 0.9350
2024-03-13 01:00: 0.9350
2024-03-13 12:00: 0.9350
2024-03-13 23:00: 0.9350
2024-03-14 10:00: 0.9350
2024-03-14 21:00: 0.9350
2024-03-15 08:00: 0.9350
2024-03-15 19:00: 0.9350
2024-03-16 06:00: 0.9350
2024-03-16 17:00: 0.9350
2024-03-17 04:00: 0.9350
2024-03-17 15:00: 0.9350
2024-03-18 02:00: 0.9350
2024-03-18 13:00: 0.9350
2024-03-19 00:00: 0.9350
2024-03-19 11:00: 0.9350
2024-03-19 22:00: 0.9350
2024-03-20 09:00: 0.9350
2024-03-20 20:00: 0.9350
2024-03-21 07:00: 0.9250
2024-03-21 18:00: 0.9250
2024-03-22 05:00: 0.9250
2024-03-22 16:00: 0.9250
2024-03-23 03:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-03-24 01:00: 0.0750
2024-03-24 12:00: 0.0750
2024-03-24 23:00: 0.0750
2024-03-25 10:00: 0.0750
2024-03-25 21:00: 0.0750
2024-03-26 08:00: 0.0750
2024-03-26 19:00: 0.0750
2024-03-27 06:00: 0.0750
2024-03-27 17:00: 0.0750
2024-03-28 04:00: 0.0750
2024-03-28 15:00: 0.0750
2024-03-29 02:00: 0.0750
2024-03-29 13:00: 0.0750
2024-03-30 00:00: 0.0750
2024-03-30 11:00: 0.0850
2024-03-30 22:00: 0.0850
2024-03-31 09:00: 0.0750
2024-03-31 20:00: 0.0750
2024-04-01 07:00: 0.0750
2024-04-01 18:00: 0.0750
2024-04-02 05:00: 0.0750
2024-04-02 16:00: 0.0750
2024-04-03 03:00: 0.0750
2024-04-03 14:00: 0.0750
2024-04-04 01:00: 0.0750
2024-04-04 12:00: 0.0750
2024-04-04 23:00: 0.0750
2024-04-05 10:00: 0.0750
2024-04-05 21:00: 0.0750
2024-04-06 08:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-04-07 07:00: 0.9250
2024-04-07 18:00: 0.9250
2024-04-08 05:00: 0.9250
2024-04-08 16:00: 0.9250
2024-04-09 03:00: 0.9250
2024-04-09 14:00: 0.9250
2024-04-10 01:00: 0.9250
2024-04-10 12:00: 0.9250
2024-04-10 23:00: 0.9250
2024-04-11 10:00: 0.9250
2024-04-11 21:00: 0.9250
2024-04-12 08:00: 0.9250
2024-04-12 19:00: 0.9250
2024-04-13 06:00: 0.9250
2024-04-13 17:00: 0.9250
2024-04-14 04:00: 0.9250
2024-04-14 15:00: 0.9250
2024-04-15 02:00: 0.9250
2024-04-15 13:00: 0.9250
2024-04-16 00:00: 0.9250
2024-04-16 11:00: 0.9250
2024-04-16 22:00: 0.9250
2024-04-17 09:00: 0.9250
2024-04-17 20:00: 0.9250
2024-04-18 07:00: 0.9250
2024-04-18 18:00: 0.9250
2024-04-19 05:00: 0.9250
2024-04-19 16:00: 0.9250
2024-04-20 03:00: 0.9250
2024-04-20 14:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-04-21 12:00: 0.0750
2024-04-21 23:00: 0.0750
2024-04-22 10:00: 0.0750
2024-04-22 21:00: 0.0750
2024-04-23 08:00: 0.0750
2024-04-23 19:00: 0.0750
2024-04-24 06:00: 0.0750
2024-04-24 17:00: 0.0750
2024-04-25 04:00: 0.0750
2024-04-25 15:00: 0.0750
2024-04-26 02:00: 0.0750
2024-04-26 13:00: 0.0750
2024-04-27 00:00: 0.0750
2024-04-27 11:00: 0.0750
2024-04-27 22:00: 0.0750
2024-04-28 09:00: 0.0750
2024-04-28 20:00: 0.0750
2024-04-29 07:00: 0.0650
2024-04-29 18:00: 0.0650
2024-04-30 05:00: 0.0650
2024-04-30 16:00: 0.0650
2024-05-01 03:00: 0.0650
2024-05-01 14:00: 0.0650
2024-05-02 02:00: 0.0650
2024-05-02 13:00: 0.0650
2024-05-03 00:00: 0.0650
2024-05-03 11:00: 0.0650
2024-05-03 22:00: 0.0650
2024-05-04 09:00: 0.0650
2024-05-04 20:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-05-05 19:00: 0.9350
2024-05-06 06:00: 0.9350
2024-05-06 17:00: 0.9350
2024-05-07 04:00: 0.9350
2024-05-07 15:00: 0.9350
2024-05-08 02:00: 0.9350
2024-05-08 13:00: 0.9350
2024-05-09 00:00: 0.9350
2024-05-09 11:00: 0.9350
2024-05-09 22:00: 0.9350
2024-05-10 09:00: 0.9350
2024-05-10 20:00: 0.9350
2024-05-11 07:00: 0.9350
2024-05-11 18:00: 0.9350
2024-05-12 05:00: 0.9350
2024-05-12 16:00: 0.9350
2024-05-13 03:00: 0.9350
2024-05-13 14:00: 0.9450
2024-05-14 01:00: 0.9450
2024-05-14 12:00: 0.9450
2024-05-14 23:00: 0.9450
2024-05-15 10:00: 0.9450
2024-05-15 21:00: 0.9450
2024-05-16 08:00: 0.9450
2024-05-16 19:00: 0.9450
2024-05-17 06:00: 0.9450
2024-05-17 17:00: 0.9450
2024-05-18 04:00: 0.9450
2024-05-18 15:00: 0.9450
2024-05-19 02:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-05-20 00:00: 0.0550
2024-05-20 11:00: 0.0550
2024-05-20 22:00: 0.0550
2024-05-21 09:00: 0.0550
2024-05-21 20:00: 0.0550
2024-05-22 07:00: 0.0550
2024-05-22 18:00: 0.0550
2024-05-23 05:00: 0.0550
2024-05-23 16:00: 0.0550
2024-05-24 03:00: 0.0550
2024-05-24 14:00: 0.0550
2024-05-25 01:00: 0.0550
2024-05-25 12:00: 0.0550
2024-05-25 23:00: 0.0550
2024-05-26 10:00: 0.0550
2024-05-26 21:00: 0.0550
2024-05-27 08:00: 0.0550
2024-05-27 19:00: 0.0550
2024-05-28 06:00: 0.0550
2024-05-28 17:00: 0.0550
2024-05-29 04:00: 0.0550
2024-05-29 15:00: 0.0550
2024-05-30 02:00: 0.0550
2024-05-30 13:00: 0.0450
2024-05-31 00:00: 0.0450
2024-05-31 11:00: 0.0450
2024-05-31 22:00: 0.0450
2024-06-01 09:00: 0.0450
2024-06-01 20:00: 0.0450
2024-06-02 07:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-06-03 06:00: 0.9550
2024-06-03 17:00: 0.9550
2024-06-04 04:00: 0.9550
2024-06-04 15:00: 0.9550
2024-06-05 02:00: 0.9550
2024-06-05 13:00: 0.9550
2024-06-06 00:00: 0.9550
2024-06-06 11:00: 0.9550
2024-06-06 22:00: 0.9550
2024-06-07 09:00: 0.9550
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.9550
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.9550
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.9550
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.9550
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.9550
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.9550
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.9550
2024-06-11 23:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 10:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 21:00: 0.9550
2024-06-13 08:00: 0.9550
2024-06-13 19:00: 0.9550
2024-06-14 06:00: 0.9550
2024-06-14 17:00: 0.9550
2024-06-15 04:00: 0.9550
2024-06-15 15:00: 0.9550
2024-06-16 02:00: 0.9550
2024-06-16 13:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.0450
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.0450
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.0450
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.0345
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.0425
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.0430
2024-06-20 05:00: 0.0445
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.0435
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.0425
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.0425
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.0425
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.0445
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.0430
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.0430
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.0425
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.0415
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.0450
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.0375
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.0345
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.0160
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.0155
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.0120
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.0140
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.0165
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.0140
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.0160
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.0115
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.0125
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.0115
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253691
Question: Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Volume: 6074886.86245
Price History:
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.9895
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.9890
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.9885
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.9895
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 09:00: 0.9910
2024-07-05 20:00: 0.9905
2024-07-06 07:00: 0.9910
2024-07-06 18:00: 0.9925
2024-07-07 05:00: 0.9925
2024-07-07 16:00: 0.9945
2024-07-08 03:00: 0.9935
2024-07-08 14:00: 0.9945
2024-07-09 01:00: 0.9940
2024-07-09 12:00: 0.9950
2024-07-09 23:00: 0.9950
2024-07-10 10:00: 0.9945
2024-07-10 21:00: 0.9950
2024-07-11 08:00: 0.9950
2024-07-11 19:00: 0.9945
2024-07-12 06:00: 0.9945
2024-07-12 17:00: 0.9945
2024-07-13 04:00: 0.9950
2024-07-13 15:00: 0.9945
2024-07-14 02:00: 0.9925
2024-07-14 13:00: 0.9920
2024-07-15 00:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-01-12 21:00: 0.0500
2024-01-13 03:00: 0.9350
2024-01-13 10:00: 0.0850
2024-01-13 16:00: 0.9100
2024-01-13 23:00: 0.0950
2024-01-14 05:00: 0.9050
2024-01-14 12:00: 0.0950
2024-01-14 18:00: 0.9050
2024-01-15 01:00: 0.0950
2024-01-15 07:00: 0.9050
2024-01-15 14:00: 0.0950
2024-01-15 20:00: 0.9050
2024-01-16 03:00: 0.0750
2024-01-16 09:00: 0.9250
2024-01-16 16:00: 0.0750
2024-01-16 22:00: 0.9250
2024-01-17 05:00: 0.0750
2024-01-17 11:00: 0.9250
2024-01-17 18:00: 0.0750
2024-01-18 00:00: 0.9250
2024-01-18 07:00: 0.0650
2024-01-18 13:00: 0.9350
2024-01-18 20:00: 0.0650
2024-01-19 02:00: 0.9350
2024-01-19 09:00: 0.0650
2024-01-19 15:00: 0.9350
2024-01-19 22:00: 0.0650
2024-01-20 04:00: 0.9350
2024-01-20 11:00: 0.0650
2024-01-20 17:00: 0.9350
2024-01-21 00:00: 0.0650
2024-01-21 06:00: 0.9350
2024-01-21 13:00: 0.0650
2024-01-21 19:00: 0.9450
2024-01-22 02:00: 0.0550
2024-01-22 08:00: 0.9450
2024-01-22 15:00: 0.0550
2024-01-22 21:00: 0.9450
2024-01-23 04:00: 0.0550
2024-01-23 10:00: 0.9450
2024-01-23 17:00: 0.0450
2024-01-23 23:00: 0.9550
2024-01-24 06:00: 0.0350
2024-01-24 12:00: 0.9650
2024-01-24 19:00: 0.0300
2024-01-25 01:00: 0.9695
2024-01-25 08:00: 0.0305
2024-01-25 14:00: 0.9700
2024-01-25 21:00: 0.0300
2024-01-26 03:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-01-27 02:00: 0.9695
2024-01-27 09:00: 0.0315
2024-01-27 15:00: 0.9690
2024-01-27 22:00: 0.0305
2024-01-28 04:00: 0.9690
2024-01-28 11:00: 0.0310
2024-01-28 17:00: 0.9690
2024-01-29 00:00: 0.0315
2024-01-29 06:00: 0.9685
2024-01-29 13:00: 0.0315
2024-01-29 19:00: 0.9685
2024-01-30 02:00: 0.0315
2024-01-30 08:00: 0.9695
2024-01-30 15:00: 0.0300
2024-01-30 21:00: 0.9700
2024-01-31 04:00: 0.0300
2024-01-31 10:00: 0.9765
2024-01-31 17:00: 0.0285
2024-01-31 23:00: 0.9715
2024-02-01 06:00: 0.0265
2024-02-01 12:00: 0.9725
2024-02-01 19:00: 0.0285
2024-02-02 01:00: 0.9720
2024-02-02 08:00: 0.0310
2024-02-02 14:00: 0.9690
2024-02-02 21:00: 0.0310
2024-02-03 03:00: 0.9700
2024-02-03 10:00: 0.0305
2024-02-03 16:00: 0.9695
2024-02-03 23:00: 0.0305
2024-02-04 05:00: 0.9680
2024-02-04 12:00: 0.0320
2024-02-04 18:00: 0.9675
2024-02-05 01:00: 0.0325
2024-02-05 07:00: 0.9675
2024-02-05 14:00: 0.0345
2024-02-05 20:00: 0.9655
2024-02-06 03:00: 0.0345
2024-02-06 09:00: 0.9670
2024-02-06 16:00: 0.0290
2024-02-06 22:00: 0.9670
2024-02-07 05:00: 0.0330
2024-02-07 11:00: 0.9675
2024-02-07 18:00: 0.0325
2024-02-08 00:00: 0.9675
2024-02-08 07:00: 0.0325
2024-02-08 13:00: 0.9675
2024-02-08 20:00: 0.0325
2024-02-09 02:00: 0.9670
2024-02-09 09:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-02-10 08:00: 0.0325
2024-02-10 14:00: 0.9675
2024-02-10 21:00: 0.0325
2024-02-11 03:00: 0.9675
2024-02-11 10:00: 0.0325
2024-02-11 16:00: 0.9675
2024-02-11 23:00: 0.0325
2024-02-12 05:00: 0.9680
2024-02-12 12:00: 0.0320
2024-02-12 18:00: 0.9680
2024-02-13 01:00: 0.0320
2024-02-13 07:00: 0.9680
2024-02-13 14:00: 0.0320
2024-02-13 20:00: 0.9680
2024-02-14 03:00: 0.0320
2024-02-14 09:00: 0.9680
2024-02-14 16:00: 0.0320
2024-02-14 22:00: 0.9680
2024-02-15 05:00: 0.0320
2024-02-15 11:00: 0.9680
2024-02-15 18:00: 0.0320
2024-02-16 00:00: 0.9675
2024-02-16 07:00: 0.0325
2024-02-16 13:00: 0.9675
2024-02-16 20:00: 0.0325
2024-02-17 02:00: 0.9675
2024-02-17 09:00: 0.0325
2024-02-17 15:00: 0.9675
2024-02-17 22:00: 0.0325
2024-02-18 04:00: 0.9675
2024-02-18 11:00: 0.0325
2024-02-18 17:00: 0.9675
2024-02-19 00:00: 0.0325
2024-02-19 06:00: 0.9675
2024-02-19 13:00: 0.0330
2024-02-19 19:00: 0.9670
2024-02-20 02:00: 0.0330
2024-02-20 08:00: 0.9670
2024-02-20 15:00: 0.0330
2024-02-20 21:00: 0.9705
2024-02-21 04:00: 0.0330
2024-02-21 10:00: 0.9670
2024-02-21 17:00: 0.0330
2024-02-21 23:00: 0.9670
2024-02-22 06:00: 0.0330
2024-02-22 12:00: 0.9670
2024-02-22 19:00: 0.0330
2024-02-23 01:00: 0.9670
2024-02-23 08:00: 0.0330
2024-02-23 14:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-02-24 13:00: 0.9670
2024-02-24 20:00: 0.0330
2024-02-25 02:00: 0.9670
2024-02-25 09:00: 0.0320
2024-02-25 15:00: 0.9675
2024-02-25 22:00: 0.0325
2024-02-26 04:00: 0.9690
2024-02-26 11:00: 0.0310
2024-02-26 17:00: 0.9690
2024-02-27 00:00: 0.0335
2024-02-27 06:00: 0.9665
2024-02-27 13:00: 0.0335
2024-02-27 19:00: 0.9665
2024-02-28 02:00: 0.0350
2024-02-28 08:00: 0.9650
2024-02-28 15:00: 0.0345
2024-02-28 21:00: 0.9650
2024-02-29 04:00: 0.0350
2024-02-29 10:00: 0.9645
2024-02-29 17:00: 0.0355
2024-02-29 23:00: 0.9645
2024-03-01 06:00: 0.0355
2024-03-01 12:00: 0.9645
2024-03-01 19:00: 0.0350
2024-03-02 01:00: 0.9650
2024-03-02 08:00: 0.0350
2024-03-02 14:00: 0.9650
2024-03-02 21:00: 0.0355
2024-03-03 03:00: 0.9645
2024-03-03 10:00: 0.0355
2024-03-03 16:00: 0.9645
2024-03-03 23:00: 0.0355
2024-03-04 05:00: 0.9645
2024-03-04 12:00: 0.0355
2024-03-04 18:00: 0.9645
2024-03-05 01:00: 0.0355
2024-03-05 07:00: 0.9645
2024-03-05 14:00: 0.0355
2024-03-05 20:00: 0.9670
2024-03-06 03:00: 0.0330
2024-03-06 09:00: 0.9675
2024-03-06 16:00: 0.0295
2024-03-06 22:00: 0.9755
2024-03-07 05:00: 0.0245
2024-03-07 11:00: 0.9805
2024-03-07 18:00: 0.0195
2024-03-08 00:00: 0.9830
2024-03-08 07:00: 0.0170
2024-03-08 13:00: 0.9830
2024-03-08 20:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-03-09 19:00: 0.0155
2024-03-10 01:00: 0.9845
2024-03-10 09:00: 0.0155
2024-03-10 15:00: 0.9870
2024-03-10 22:00: 0.0135
2024-03-11 04:00: 0.9865
2024-03-11 11:00: 0.0135
2024-03-11 17:00: 0.9865
2024-03-12 00:00: 0.0135
2024-03-12 06:00: 0.9865
2024-03-12 13:00: 0.0135
2024-03-12 19:00: 0.9865
2024-03-13 02:00: 0.0135
2024-03-13 08:00: 0.9870
2024-03-13 15:00: 0.0120
2024-03-13 21:00: 0.9880
2024-03-14 04:00: 0.0120
2024-03-14 10:00: 0.9880
2024-03-14 17:00: 0.0120
2024-03-14 23:00: 0.9880
2024-03-15 06:00: 0.0120
2024-03-15 12:00: 0.9880
2024-03-15 19:00: 0.0120
2024-03-16 01:00: 0.9880
2024-03-16 08:00: 0.0120
2024-03-16 14:00: 0.9880
2024-03-16 21:00: 0.0125
2024-03-17 03:00: 0.9875
2024-03-17 10:00: 0.0125
2024-03-17 16:00: 0.9875
2024-03-17 23:00: 0.0125
2024-03-18 05:00: 0.9875
2024-03-18 12:00: 0.0125
2024-03-18 18:00: 0.9875
2024-03-19 01:00: 0.0125
2024-03-19 07:00: 0.9875
2024-03-19 14:00: 0.0125
2024-03-19 20:00: 0.9875
2024-03-20 03:00: 0.0125
2024-03-20 09:00: 0.9870
2024-03-20 16:00: 0.0130
2024-03-20 22:00: 0.9870
2024-03-21 05:00: 0.0130
2024-03-21 11:00: 0.9870
2024-03-21 18:00: 0.0130
2024-03-22 00:00: 0.9870
2024-03-22 07:00: 0.0130
2024-03-22 13:00: 0.9870
2024-03-22 20:00: 0.0130
2024-03-23 02:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-03-24 01:00: 0.9870
2024-03-24 08:00: 0.0130
2024-03-24 14:00: 0.9870
2024-03-24 21:00: 0.0130
2024-03-25 03:00: 0.9870
2024-03-25 10:00: 0.0130
2024-03-25 16:00: 0.9870
2024-03-25 23:00: 0.0130
2024-03-26 05:00: 0.9870
2024-03-26 12:00: 0.0130
2024-03-26 18:00: 0.9870
2024-03-27 01:00: 0.0130
2024-03-27 07:00: 0.9870
2024-03-27 14:00: 0.0130
2024-03-27 20:00: 0.9870
2024-03-28 03:00: 0.0125
2024-03-28 09:00: 0.9875
2024-03-28 16:00: 0.0125
2024-03-28 22:00: 0.9875
2024-03-29 05:00: 0.0125
2024-03-29 11:00: 0.9875
2024-03-29 18:00: 0.0125
2024-03-30 00:00: 0.9875
2024-03-30 07:00: 0.0125
2024-03-30 13:00: 0.9875
2024-03-30 20:00: 0.0125
2024-03-31 02:00: 0.9875
2024-03-31 09:00: 0.0125
2024-03-31 15:00: 0.9875
2024-03-31 22:00: 0.0125
2024-04-01 04:00: 0.9875
2024-04-01 11:00: 0.0125
2024-04-01 17:00: 0.9875
2024-04-02 00:00: 0.0125
2024-04-02 06:00: 0.9875
2024-04-02 13:00: 0.0125
2024-04-02 19:00: 0.9875
2024-04-03 02:00: 0.0125
2024-04-03 08:00: 0.9875
2024-04-03 15:00: 0.0125
2024-04-03 21:00: 0.9875
2024-04-04 04:00: 0.0125
2024-04-04 10:00: 0.9875
2024-04-04 17:00: 0.0125
2024-04-04 23:00: 0.9885
2024-04-05 06:00: 0.0115
2024-04-05 12:00: 0.9885
2024-04-05 19:00: 0.0115
2024-04-06 01:00: 0.9885
2024-04-06 08:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-04-07 07:00: 0.0115
2024-04-07 13:00: 0.9885
2024-04-07 20:00: 0.0115
2024-04-08 02:00: 0.9885
2024-04-08 09:00: 0.0115
2024-04-08 15:00: 0.9885
2024-04-08 22:00: 0.0115
2024-04-09 04:00: 0.9885
2024-04-09 11:00: 0.0115
2024-04-09 17:00: 0.9885
2024-04-10 00:00: 0.0115
2024-04-10 06:00: 0.9885
2024-04-10 13:00: 0.0115
2024-04-10 19:00: 0.9885
2024-04-11 02:00: 0.0115
2024-04-11 08:00: 0.9885
2024-04-11 15:00: 0.0115
2024-04-11 21:00: 0.9885
2024-04-12 04:00: 0.0115
2024-04-12 10:00: 0.9885
2024-04-12 17:00: 0.0115
2024-04-12 23:00: 0.9885
2024-04-13 06:00: 0.0115
2024-04-13 12:00: 0.9885
2024-04-13 19:00: 0.0115
2024-04-14 01:00: 0.9885
2024-04-14 08:00: 0.0115
2024-04-14 14:00: 0.9885
2024-04-14 21:00: 0.0115
2024-04-15 03:00: 0.9885
2024-04-15 10:00: 0.0115
2024-04-15 16:00: 0.9900
2024-04-15 23:00: 0.0100
2024-04-16 05:00: 0.9900
2024-04-16 12:00: 0.0100
2024-04-16 18:00: 0.9900
2024-04-17 01:00: 0.0100
2024-04-17 07:00: 0.9900
2024-04-17 14:00: 0.0100
2024-04-17 20:00: 0.9900
2024-04-18 03:00: 0.0100
2024-04-18 09:00: 0.9900
2024-04-18 16:00: 0.0100
2024-04-18 22:00: 0.9900
2024-04-19 05:00: 0.0100
2024-04-19 11:00: 0.9900
2024-04-19 18:00: 0.0100
2024-04-20 00:00: 0.9900
2024-04-20 07:00: 0.0100
2024-04-20 13:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-04-21 12:00: 0.9900
2024-04-21 19:00: 0.0100
2024-04-22 01:00: 0.9900
2024-04-22 08:00: 0.0100
2024-04-22 14:00: 0.9900
2024-04-22 21:00: 0.0100
2024-04-23 03:00: 0.9900
2024-04-23 10:00: 0.0100
2024-04-23 16:00: 0.9900
2024-04-23 23:00: 0.0100
2024-04-24 05:00: 0.9900
2024-04-24 12:00: 0.0100
2024-04-24 18:00: 0.9900
2024-04-25 01:00: 0.0100
2024-04-25 07:00: 0.9900
2024-04-25 14:00: 0.0100
2024-04-25 20:00: 0.9900
2024-04-26 03:00: 0.0100
2024-04-26 09:00: 0.9900
2024-04-26 16:00: 0.0100
2024-04-26 22:00: 0.9900
2024-04-27 05:00: 0.0100
2024-04-27 11:00: 0.9900
2024-04-27 18:00: 0.0100
2024-04-28 00:00: 0.9900
2024-04-28 07:00: 0.0100
2024-04-28 13:00: 0.9900
2024-04-28 20:00: 0.0100
2024-04-29 02:00: 0.9895
2024-04-29 09:00: 0.0105
2024-04-29 15:00: 0.9895
2024-04-29 22:00: 0.0105
2024-04-30 04:00: 0.9895
2024-04-30 11:00: 0.0105
2024-04-30 17:00: 0.9895
2024-05-01 00:00: 0.0105
2024-05-01 06:00: 0.9895
2024-05-01 13:00: 0.0105
2024-05-01 20:00: 0.9895
2024-05-02 03:00: 0.0105
2024-05-02 09:00: 0.9895
2024-05-02 16:00: 0.0105
2024-05-02 22:00: 0.9895
2024-05-03 05:00: 0.0105
2024-05-03 11:00: 0.9895
2024-05-03 18:00: 0.0105
2024-05-04 00:00: 0.9895
2024-05-04 07:00: 0.0105
2024-05-04 13:00: 0.9895
2024-05-04 20:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-05-05 19:00: 0.0075
2024-05-06 01:00: 0.9925
2024-05-06 08:00: 0.0075
2024-05-06 14:00: 0.9925
2024-05-06 21:00: 0.0075
2024-05-07 03:00: 0.9925
2024-05-07 10:00: 0.0075
2024-05-07 16:00: 0.9925
2024-05-07 23:00: 0.0075
2024-05-08 05:00: 0.9925
2024-05-08 12:00: 0.0075
2024-05-08 18:00: 0.9925
2024-05-09 01:00: 0.0075
2024-05-09 07:00: 0.9925
2024-05-09 14:00: 0.0075
2024-05-09 20:00: 0.9925
2024-05-10 03:00: 0.0075
2024-05-10 09:00: 0.9925
2024-05-10 16:00: 0.0075
2024-05-10 22:00: 0.9925
2024-05-11 05:00: 0.0075
2024-05-11 11:00: 0.9925
2024-05-11 18:00: 0.0075
2024-05-12 00:00: 0.9925
2024-05-12 07:00: 0.0075
2024-05-12 13:00: 0.9925
2024-05-12 20:00: 0.0075
2024-05-13 02:00: 0.9925
2024-05-13 09:00: 0.0075
2024-05-13 15:00: 0.9930
2024-05-13 22:00: 0.0070
2024-05-14 04:00: 0.9930
2024-05-14 11:00: 0.0070
2024-05-14 17:00: 0.9930
2024-05-15 00:00: 0.0070
2024-05-15 06:00: 0.9930
2024-05-15 13:00: 0.0070
2024-05-15 19:00: 0.9930
2024-05-16 02:00: 0.0070
2024-05-16 08:00: 0.9930
2024-05-16 15:00: 0.0070
2024-05-16 21:00: 0.9930
2024-05-17 04:00: 0.0070
2024-05-17 10:00: 0.9930
2024-05-17 17:00: 0.0070
2024-05-17 23:00: 0.9930
2024-05-18 06:00: 0.0070
2024-05-18 12:00: 0.9930
2024-05-18 19:00: 0.0070
2024-05-19 01:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-05-20 00:00: 0.9945
2024-05-20 07:00: 0.0050
2024-05-20 13:00: 0.9950
2024-05-20 20:00: 0.0050
2024-05-21 02:00: 0.9950
2024-05-21 09:00: 0.0075
2024-05-21 15:00: 0.9925
2024-05-21 22:00: 0.0075
2024-05-22 04:00: 0.9925
2024-05-22 11:00: 0.0075
2024-05-22 17:00: 0.9925
2024-05-23 00:00: 0.0075
2024-05-23 06:00: 0.9925
2024-05-23 13:00: 0.0075
2024-05-23 19:00: 0.9925
2024-05-24 02:00: 0.0075
2024-05-24 08:00: 0.9925
2024-05-24 15:00: 0.0075
2024-05-24 21:00: 0.9925
2024-05-25 04:00: 0.0075
2024-05-25 10:00: 0.9925
2024-05-25 17:00: 0.0075
2024-05-25 23:00: 0.9925
2024-05-26 06:00: 0.0065
2024-05-26 12:00: 0.9935
2024-05-26 19:00: 0.0065
2024-05-27 01:00: 0.9935
2024-05-27 08:00: 0.0065
2024-05-27 14:00: 0.9935
2024-05-27 21:00: 0.0065
2024-05-28 03:00: 0.9935
2024-05-28 10:00: 0.0070
2024-05-28 16:00: 0.9930
2024-05-28 23:00: 0.0070
2024-05-29 05:00: 0.9930
2024-05-29 12:00: 0.0070
2024-05-29 18:00: 0.9930
2024-05-30 01:00: 0.0070
2024-05-30 07:00: 0.9935
2024-05-30 14:00: 0.0065
2024-05-30 20:00: 0.9940
2024-05-31 03:00: 0.0065
2024-05-31 09:00: 0.9935
2024-05-31 16:00: 0.0070
2024-05-31 22:00: 0.9935
2024-06-01 05:00: 0.0065
2024-06-01 11:00: 0.9935
2024-06-01 18:00: 0.0065
2024-06-02 00:00: 0.9935
2024-06-02 07:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-06-03 06:00: 0.0070
2024-06-03 12:00: 0.9930
2024-06-03 19:00: 0.0070
2024-06-04 01:00: 0.9930
2024-06-04 08:00: 0.0070
2024-06-04 14:00: 0.9925
2024-06-04 21:00: 0.0060
2024-06-05 03:00: 0.9940
2024-06-05 10:00: 0.0070
2024-06-05 16:00: 0.9930
2024-06-05 23:00: 0.0070
2024-06-06 05:00: 0.9930
2024-06-06 12:00: 0.0070
2024-06-06 18:00: 0.9935
2024-06-07 01:00: 0.0060
2024-06-07 07:00: 0.9940
2024-06-07 14:00: 0.0060
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.9940
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.0060
2024-06-08 09:00: 0.9940
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.0060
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.9940
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.0080
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.9920
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.0080
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.9920
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.0080
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.9920
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.0095
2024-06-11 02:00: 0.9905
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.0095
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.9905
2024-06-11 22:00: 0.0095
2024-06-12 04:00: 0.9905
2024-06-12 11:00: 0.0095
2024-06-12 17:00: 0.9905
2024-06-13 00:00: 0.0090
2024-06-13 06:00: 0.9910
2024-06-13 13:00: 0.0090
2024-06-13 19:00: 0.9915
2024-06-14 02:00: 0.0085
2024-06-14 08:00: 0.9915
2024-06-14 15:00: 0.0085
2024-06-14 21:00: 0.9915
2024-06-15 04:00: 0.0085
2024-06-15 10:00: 0.9900
2024-06-15 17:00: 0.0100
2024-06-15 23:00: 0.9900
2024-06-16 06:00: 0.0100
2024-06-16 12:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.9905
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.0095
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.9905
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.0095
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.9905
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.0095
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.9900
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.0105
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.9900
2024-06-19 22:00: 0.0090
2024-06-20 04:00: 0.9910
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.0090
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.9910
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.0090
2024-06-21 06:00: 0.9910
2024-06-21 13:00: 0.0090
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.9900
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.0105
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.9895
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.0105
2024-06-22 21:00: 0.9895
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.0110
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.9890
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.0090
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.9910
2024-06-24 06:00: 0.0090
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.9935
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.0065
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.9935
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.0065
2024-06-25 14:00: 0.9935
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.0060
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.9940
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.0060
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.9940
2024-06-26 23:00: 0.0060
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.9940
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.0060
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.9940
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.0060
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.9940
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.0060
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.9940
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.0060
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.9945
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.0055
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.9945
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.0085
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.9935
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.0065
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.9940
2024-07-02 06:00: 0.0045
2024-07-02 12:00: 0.9960
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.0040
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.9955
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.0045
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 21:00: 0.0085
2024-07-04 03:00: 0.9940
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.0060
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.9930
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.0060
2024-07-05 05:00: 0.9940
2024-07-05 12:00: 0.0060
2024-07-05 18:00: 0.9945
2024-07-06 01:00: 0.0040
2024-07-06 07:00: 0.9960
2024-07-06 14:00: 0.0065
2024-07-06 20:00: 0.9935
2024-07-07 03:00: 0.0065
2024-07-07 09:00: 0.9935
2024-07-07 16:00: 0.0060
2024-07-07 22:00: 0.9940
2024-07-08 05:00: 0.0060
2024-07-08 11:00: 0.9945
2024-07-08 18:00: 0.0055
2024-07-09 00:00: 0.9950
2024-07-09 07:00: 0.0055
2024-07-09 13:00: 0.9955
2024-07-09 20:00: 0.0040
2024-07-10 02:00: 0.9980
2024-07-10 09:00: 0.0030
2024-07-10 15:00: 0.9970
2024-07-10 22:00: 0.0040
2024-07-11 04:00: 0.9960
2024-07-11 11:00: 0.0030
2024-07-11 17:00: 0.9970
2024-07-12 00:00: 0.0035
2024-07-12 06:00: 0.9965
2024-07-12 13:00: 0.0035
2024-07-12 19:00: 0.9975
2024-07-13 02:00: 0.0030
2024-07-13 08:00: 0.9970
2024-07-13 15:00: 0.0025
2024-07-13 21:00: 0.9935
2024-07-14 04:00: 0.0060
2024-07-14 10:00: 0.9940
2024-07-14 17:00: 0.0050
2024-07-14 23:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-01-12 21:00: 0.0500
2024-01-13 08:00: 0.0650
2024-01-13 19:00: 0.0900
2024-01-14 06:00: 0.0950
2024-01-14 17:00: 0.0950
2024-01-15 04:00: 0.0950
2024-01-15 15:00: 0.0950
2024-01-16 02:00: 0.0750
2024-01-16 13:00: 0.0750
2024-01-17 00:00: 0.0750
2024-01-17 11:00: 0.0750
2024-01-17 22:00: 0.0750
2024-01-18 09:00: 0.0650
2024-01-18 20:00: 0.0650
2024-01-19 07:00: 0.0650
2024-01-19 18:00: 0.0650
2024-01-20 05:00: 0.0650
2024-01-20 16:00: 0.0650
2024-01-21 03:00: 0.0650
2024-01-21 14:00: 0.0650
2024-01-22 01:00: 0.0550
2024-01-22 12:00: 0.0550
2024-01-22 23:00: 0.0550
2024-01-23 10:00: 0.0550
2024-01-23 21:00: 0.0550
2024-01-24 08:00: 0.0350
2024-01-24 19:00: 0.0300
2024-01-25 06:00: 0.0305
2024-01-25 17:00: 0.0300
2024-01-26 04:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-01-27 02:00: 0.9695
2024-01-27 13:00: 0.9690
2024-01-28 00:00: 0.9690
2024-01-28 11:00: 0.9690
2024-01-28 22:00: 0.9690
2024-01-29 09:00: 0.9685
2024-01-29 20:00: 0.9685
2024-01-30 07:00: 0.9690
2024-01-30 18:00: 0.9700
2024-01-31 05:00: 0.9700
2024-01-31 16:00: 0.9715
2024-02-01 03:00: 0.9715
2024-02-01 14:00: 0.9725
2024-02-02 01:00: 0.9720
2024-02-02 12:00: 0.9690
2024-02-02 23:00: 0.9700
2024-02-03 10:00: 0.9695
2024-02-03 21:00: 0.9690
2024-02-04 08:00: 0.9680
2024-02-04 19:00: 0.9675
2024-02-05 06:00: 0.9675
2024-02-05 17:00: 0.9655
2024-02-06 04:00: 0.9655
2024-02-06 15:00: 0.9710
2024-02-07 02:00: 0.9670
2024-02-07 13:00: 0.9675
2024-02-08 00:00: 0.9675
2024-02-08 11:00: 0.9675
2024-02-08 22:00: 0.9675
2024-02-09 09:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-02-10 08:00: 0.0325
2024-02-10 19:00: 0.0325
2024-02-11 06:00: 0.0325
2024-02-11 17:00: 0.0325
2024-02-12 04:00: 0.0320
2024-02-12 15:00: 0.0320
2024-02-13 02:00: 0.0320
2024-02-13 13:00: 0.0320
2024-02-14 00:00: 0.0320
2024-02-14 11:00: 0.0320
2024-02-14 22:00: 0.0320
2024-02-15 09:00: 0.0320
2024-02-15 20:00: 0.0320
2024-02-16 07:00: 0.0325
2024-02-16 18:00: 0.0325
2024-02-17 05:00: 0.0325
2024-02-17 16:00: 0.0325
2024-02-18 03:00: 0.0325
2024-02-18 14:00: 0.0325
2024-02-19 01:00: 0.0325
2024-02-19 12:00: 0.0330
2024-02-19 23:00: 0.0330
2024-02-20 10:00: 0.0330
2024-02-20 21:00: 0.0295
2024-02-21 08:00: 0.0330
2024-02-21 19:00: 0.0330
2024-02-22 06:00: 0.0330
2024-02-22 17:00: 0.0330
2024-02-23 04:00: 0.0330
2024-02-23 15:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-02-24 13:00: 0.9670
2024-02-25 00:00: 0.9670
2024-02-25 11:00: 0.9680
2024-02-25 22:00: 0.9675
2024-02-26 09:00: 0.9690
2024-02-26 20:00: 0.9690
2024-02-27 07:00: 0.9665
2024-02-27 18:00: 0.9665
2024-02-28 05:00: 0.9650
2024-02-28 16:00: 0.9655
2024-02-29 03:00: 0.9650
2024-02-29 14:00: 0.9645
2024-03-01 01:00: 0.9645
2024-03-01 12:00: 0.9645
2024-03-01 23:00: 0.9650
2024-03-02 10:00: 0.9650
2024-03-02 21:00: 0.9645
2024-03-03 08:00: 0.9645
2024-03-03 19:00: 0.9645
2024-03-04 06:00: 0.9645
2024-03-04 17:00: 0.9645
2024-03-05 04:00: 0.9645
2024-03-05 15:00: 0.9645
2024-03-06 02:00: 0.9670
2024-03-06 13:00: 0.9695
2024-03-07 00:00: 0.9755
2024-03-07 11:00: 0.9805
2024-03-07 22:00: 0.9805
2024-03-08 09:00: 0.9830
2024-03-08 20:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-03-09 19:00: 0.0155
2024-03-10 07:00: 0.0155
2024-03-10 18:00: 0.0130
2024-03-11 05:00: 0.0135
2024-03-11 16:00: 0.0135
2024-03-12 03:00: 0.0135
2024-03-12 14:00: 0.0135
2024-03-13 01:00: 0.0135
2024-03-13 12:00: 0.0125
2024-03-13 23:00: 0.0120
2024-03-14 10:00: 0.0120
2024-03-14 21:00: 0.0120
2024-03-15 08:00: 0.0120
2024-03-15 19:00: 0.0120
2024-03-16 06:00: 0.0120
2024-03-16 17:00: 0.0125
2024-03-17 04:00: 0.0125
2024-03-17 15:00: 0.0125
2024-03-18 02:00: 0.0125
2024-03-18 13:00: 0.0125
2024-03-19 00:00: 0.0125
2024-03-19 11:00: 0.0125
2024-03-19 22:00: 0.0125
2024-03-20 09:00: 0.0130
2024-03-20 20:00: 0.0130
2024-03-21 07:00: 0.0130
2024-03-21 18:00: 0.0130
2024-03-22 05:00: 0.0130
2024-03-22 16:00: 0.0130
2024-03-23 03:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-03-24 01:00: 0.9870
2024-03-24 12:00: 0.9870
2024-03-24 23:00: 0.9870
2024-03-25 10:00: 0.9870
2024-03-25 21:00: 0.9870
2024-03-26 08:00: 0.9870
2024-03-26 19:00: 0.9870
2024-03-27 06:00: 0.9870
2024-03-27 17:00: 0.9870
2024-03-28 04:00: 0.9875
2024-03-28 15:00: 0.9875
2024-03-29 02:00: 0.9875
2024-03-29 13:00: 0.9875
2024-03-30 00:00: 0.9875
2024-03-30 11:00: 0.9875
2024-03-30 22:00: 0.9875
2024-03-31 09:00: 0.9875
2024-03-31 20:00: 0.9875
2024-04-01 07:00: 0.9875
2024-04-01 18:00: 0.9875
2024-04-02 05:00: 0.9875
2024-04-02 16:00: 0.9875
2024-04-03 03:00: 0.9875
2024-04-03 14:00: 0.9875
2024-04-04 01:00: 0.9875
2024-04-04 12:00: 0.9875
2024-04-04 23:00: 0.9885
2024-04-05 10:00: 0.9885
2024-04-05 21:00: 0.9885
2024-04-06 08:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-04-07 07:00: 0.0115
2024-04-07 18:00: 0.0115
2024-04-08 05:00: 0.0115
2024-04-08 16:00: 0.0115
2024-04-09 03:00: 0.0115
2024-04-09 14:00: 0.0115
2024-04-10 01:00: 0.0115
2024-04-10 12:00: 0.0115
2024-04-10 23:00: 0.0115
2024-04-11 10:00: 0.0115
2024-04-11 21:00: 0.0115
2024-04-12 08:00: 0.0115
2024-04-12 19:00: 0.0115
2024-04-13 06:00: 0.0115
2024-04-13 17:00: 0.0115
2024-04-14 04:00: 0.0115
2024-04-14 15:00: 0.0115
2024-04-15 02:00: 0.0115
2024-04-15 13:00: 0.0115
2024-04-16 00:00: 0.0100
2024-04-16 11:00: 0.0100
2024-04-16 22:00: 0.0100
2024-04-17 09:00: 0.0100
2024-04-17 20:00: 0.0100
2024-04-18 07:00: 0.0100
2024-04-18 18:00: 0.0100
2024-04-19 05:00: 0.0100
2024-04-19 16:00: 0.0100
2024-04-20 03:00: 0.0100
2024-04-20 14:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-04-21 12:00: 0.9900
2024-04-21 23:00: 0.9900
2024-04-22 10:00: 0.9900
2024-04-22 21:00: 0.9900
2024-04-23 08:00: 0.9900
2024-04-23 19:00: 0.9900
2024-04-24 06:00: 0.9900
2024-04-24 17:00: 0.9900
2024-04-25 04:00: 0.9900
2024-04-25 15:00: 0.9900
2024-04-26 02:00: 0.9900
2024-04-26 13:00: 0.9900
2024-04-27 00:00: 0.9900
2024-04-27 11:00: 0.9900
2024-04-27 22:00: 0.9900
2024-04-28 09:00: 0.9900
2024-04-28 20:00: 0.9900
2024-04-29 07:00: 0.9895
2024-04-29 18:00: 0.9895
2024-04-30 05:00: 0.9895
2024-04-30 16:00: 0.9895
2024-05-01 03:00: 0.9895
2024-05-01 14:00: 0.9895
2024-05-02 02:00: 0.9895
2024-05-02 13:00: 0.9895
2024-05-03 00:00: 0.9895
2024-05-03 11:00: 0.9895
2024-05-03 22:00: 0.9895
2024-05-04 09:00: 0.9895
2024-05-04 20:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-05-05 19:00: 0.0075
2024-05-06 06:00: 0.0075
2024-05-06 17:00: 0.0075
2024-05-07 04:00: 0.0075
2024-05-07 15:00: 0.0075
2024-05-08 02:00: 0.0075
2024-05-08 13:00: 0.0075
2024-05-09 00:00: 0.0075
2024-05-09 11:00: 0.0075
2024-05-09 22:00: 0.0075
2024-05-10 09:00: 0.0075
2024-05-10 20:00: 0.0075
2024-05-11 07:00: 0.0075
2024-05-11 18:00: 0.0075
2024-05-12 05:00: 0.0075
2024-05-12 16:00: 0.0075
2024-05-13 03:00: 0.0075
2024-05-13 14:00: 0.0070
2024-05-14 01:00: 0.0070
2024-05-14 12:00: 0.0070
2024-05-14 23:00: 0.0070
2024-05-15 10:00: 0.0070
2024-05-15 21:00: 0.0070
2024-05-16 08:00: 0.0070
2024-05-16 19:00: 0.0070
2024-05-17 06:00: 0.0070
2024-05-17 17:00: 0.0070
2024-05-18 04:00: 0.0070
2024-05-18 15:00: 0.0070
2024-05-19 02:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-05-20 00:00: 0.9945
2024-05-20 11:00: 0.9950
2024-05-20 22:00: 0.9950
2024-05-21 09:00: 0.9925
2024-05-21 20:00: 0.9925
2024-05-22 07:00: 0.9925
2024-05-22 18:00: 0.9925
2024-05-23 05:00: 0.9925
2024-05-23 16:00: 0.9925
2024-05-24 03:00: 0.9925
2024-05-24 14:00: 0.9925
2024-05-25 01:00: 0.9925
2024-05-25 12:00: 0.9925
2024-05-25 23:00: 0.9925
2024-05-26 10:00: 0.9935
2024-05-26 21:00: 0.9935
2024-05-27 08:00: 0.9935
2024-05-27 19:00: 0.9935
2024-05-28 06:00: 0.9935
2024-05-28 17:00: 0.9930
2024-05-29 04:00: 0.9930
2024-05-29 15:00: 0.9930
2024-05-30 02:00: 0.9935
2024-05-30 13:00: 0.9935
2024-05-31 00:00: 0.9935
2024-05-31 11:00: 0.9935
2024-05-31 22:00: 0.9935
2024-06-01 09:00: 0.9935
2024-06-01 20:00: 0.9935
2024-06-02 07:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-06-03 06:00: 0.0070
2024-06-03 17:00: 0.0070
2024-06-04 04:00: 0.0070
2024-06-04 15:00: 0.0070
2024-06-05 02:00: 0.0060
2024-06-05 13:00: 0.0070
2024-06-06 00:00: 0.0070
2024-06-06 11:00: 0.0070
2024-06-06 22:00: 0.0060
2024-06-07 09:00: 0.0060
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.0060
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.0060
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.0060
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.0080
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.0080
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.0080
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.0080
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.0095
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.0095
2024-06-11 23:00: 0.0095
2024-06-12 10:00: 0.0095
2024-06-12 21:00: 0.0090
2024-06-13 08:00: 0.0090
2024-06-13 19:00: 0.0085
2024-06-14 06:00: 0.0085
2024-06-14 17:00: 0.0085
2024-06-15 04:00: 0.0085
2024-06-15 15:00: 0.0100
2024-06-16 02:00: 0.0100
2024-06-16 13:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253695
Question: Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 854534.257974
Price History:
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.9905
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.9905
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.9905
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.9905
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.9895
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.9895
2024-06-20 05:00: 0.9910
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.9910
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.9910
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.9910
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.9895
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.9895
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.9895
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.9890
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.9910
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.9910
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.9935
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.9935
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.9940
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.9940
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.9940
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.9940
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.9940
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.9940
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.9940
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.9940
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.9945
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.9950
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.9915
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes