Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518080
Question: Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?
Volume: 34879.786274
Price History:
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.2700
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.2700
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.2700
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.2700
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.2700
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.2850
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.2850
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.2800
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.2800
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.2800
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.2800
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.2800
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.2800
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.2800
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.2900
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.2900
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.2900
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.2900
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.2900
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.2900
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.3550
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.3750
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.3850
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.3350
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.3850
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 447.00, Sell volume: 292.53, Average price: 0.4587, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518080
Question: Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?
Volume: 34879.786274
Price History:
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.6100
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.6100
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.6250
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.6100
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.6700
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.6450
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.6300
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.6250
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.6650
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.6800
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.6650
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.6700
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.6600
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.6600
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.6650
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.6850
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.6800
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.6800
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.6800
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.6800
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.6850
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.6800
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.6800
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.6800
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.6850
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.6900
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.6800
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.6650
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.6650
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 97.89, Sell volume: 540.69, Average price: 0.5333, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518080
Question: Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?
Volume: 34879.786274
Price History:
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.3350
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.3300
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.3250
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.3200
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.3350
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.3350
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.3350
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.3350
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.3200
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.3100
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.3150
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.3150
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.3150
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.3250
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.3150
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.3150
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.3150
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.3150
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.3150
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.3150
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.3050
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.3050
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.3050
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.3050
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.3050
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.3050
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.3050
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 90.44, Sell volume: 209.27, Average price: 0.4646, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518080
Question: Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?
Volume: 34879.786274
Price History:
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.7050
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.7050
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.7050
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.7050
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.7050
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.7000
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.7000
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.6850
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.6850
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.6850
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.6850
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.6850
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.6850
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.6850
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.6850
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.6850
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.6850
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.6850
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.6850
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.6850
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.6850
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.6850
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.6850
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.6850
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.6850
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.6850
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.6850
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.6850
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.6850
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 834.54, Sell volume: 21.12, Average price: 0.6150, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518080
Question: Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?
Volume: 34879.786274
Price History:
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.3150
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.3100
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.3100
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.3100
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.3100
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.3100
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.3100
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.3050
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.3050
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.3050
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.3050
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.3050
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.3050
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.3050
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.3050
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.3050
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.3050
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.3050
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.3050
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.3050
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.3050
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.3050
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.3050
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.3050
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.2850
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.2850
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.2850
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.2850
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.2850
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 425.72, Sell volume: 142.00, Average price: 0.7091, Price range: 0.6800 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518080
Question: Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?
Volume: 34879.786274
Price History:
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.7150
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.7150
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.7150
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.7150
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.7150
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.7150
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.7250
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.7250
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.7250
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.7250
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.7250
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.7250
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.7250
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.7250
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.7250
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.7250
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.7250
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.7350
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.7350
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.7650
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.7650
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.7650
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.7650
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.7650
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.7650
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.7650
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.7650
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.7650
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.7650
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 333.28, Sell volume: 201.55, Average price: 0.6354, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518080
Question: Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?
Volume: 34879.786274
Price History:
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.2350
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.2350
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.2350
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.2350
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.3250
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.3400
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.3250
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.3400
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.3550
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.3650
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.3000
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.3300
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.3050
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.3100
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.2950
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.3050
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.2800
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.2800
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.2800
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.2800
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.2950
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.2850
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.2850
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.2850
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.2750
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.2850
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.2850
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.2900
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.2900
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 549.60, Sell volume: 376.43, Average price: 0.5094, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518080
Question: Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?
Volume: 34879.786274
Price History:
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.7450
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.7450
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.7550
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.7450
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.7350
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.7250
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.7250
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.7250
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.7250
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.7350
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.7250
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.7250
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.7250
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.7350
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.7250
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.7250
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.7250
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.7250
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.7300
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.7350
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.7300
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.7350
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.7300
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.7350
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.7300
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.9845
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.9505
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.9580
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 4570.54, Sell volume: 2016.85, Average price: 0.4174, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.7450
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.4100
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5900
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.4000
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.6000
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.3950
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.6250
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.4350
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.5550
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.3400
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.3150
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.6850
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.3150
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.6000
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.4000
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.6050
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.4000
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.5700
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.4100
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.5850
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.4150
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.5850
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.4150
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.6400
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.3600
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.6400
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.3600
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.6400
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.3850
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.6400
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.3600
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.3250
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.3500
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.3700
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.6300
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 192.12, Sell volume: 96.30, Average price: 0.5895, Price range: 0.3067 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.6250
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.3650
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.6300
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.3800
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.4450
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.5600
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.4300
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.5900
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.5700
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.5200
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.4800
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.5350
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.4850
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.6600
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.3450
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.5350
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.4600
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.5400
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.4650
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.5400
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.4400
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.5400
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.4600
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.5350
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.4550
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.5400
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.4850
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.6400
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.3600
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.6350
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.5200
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.5150
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.5200
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.4800
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.5100
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.4950
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.5100
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.4800
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.5300
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.4700
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.6500
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.3400
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.6600
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.4250
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.6600
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.3400
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.6400
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.3600
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.6450
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 166.01, Sell volume: 55.52, Average price: 0.5020, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.5750
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.4250
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.6400
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.4250
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.5750
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.3600
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.5650
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.4300
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.5750
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.5800
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.4600
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.5700
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.4400
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.5550
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.4450
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.5550
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.4150
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.5850
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.4000
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.6000
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.4000
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.5900
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.4000
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.5950
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.4200
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.5950
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.4050
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.6050
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.4300
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.5700
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.3850
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.6200
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.3800
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.6200
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.3250
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.6500
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.2600
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.7400
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.2550
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.7400
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.2000
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.8000
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.2000
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.7850
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.2150
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.7850
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.2150
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.8100
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.1900
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 201.53, Sell volume: 67.85, Average price: 0.5751, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.2050
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.1750
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.8700
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.1300
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.8800
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.1200
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.8800
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.1200
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.8750
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.1250
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.9400
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0400
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.9600
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.0400
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.9650
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.0350
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.9650
2025-03-18 06:00: 0.0255
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.9695
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.0400
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.9550
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.0295
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.9715
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.0300
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.9705
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.0295
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.9705
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.0300
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.9700
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.0300
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.9700
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.0270
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.9735
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.0245
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.9745
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.0285
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.9740
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.0270
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.9750
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.0245
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.9755
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.0285
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.9750
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.0250
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.9750
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.0270
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.9735
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.0280
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 915.07, Sell volume: 778.30, Average price: 0.6770, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.0445
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.9550
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0445
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.9555
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.0450
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.9600
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.0295
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.9705
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.0285
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.9710
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.0290
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9710
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.0290
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.9710
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.0280
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.9720
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.0285
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.9750
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0215
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.9725
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.0155
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.9845
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.0285
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.9750
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.0265
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.9715
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.0275
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.9725
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.0285
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.9730
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.0225
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.9755
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0250
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.9920
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.0090
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.9930
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.0095
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.9905
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.0095
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.9920
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.0095
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.9930
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.0095
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.9935
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.0065
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.9935
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.0065
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.9935
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.0065
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 106.18, Average price: 0.3367, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0065
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9935
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.0065
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.9935
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.0065
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.9935
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.0065
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.9935
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.0065
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.9935
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0220
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.9790
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.0210
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.9840
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.0160
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.9840
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.0160
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.9835
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0165
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9835
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.0165
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.9835
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.0165
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.9835
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.0165
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.9835
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.0165
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.9835
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0165
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.9835
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0165
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9830
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.0170
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.9830
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0170
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.9830
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0165
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9835
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.0170
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.9830
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0165
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.9835
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.0170
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.9830
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.0170
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.9830
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0170
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.9830
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.0170
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 48.82, Sell volume: 58.49, Average price: 0.2562, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0205
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.9810
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.0185
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.9805
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.0185
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.9795
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.0170
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.9830
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.0170
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.9830
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.0170
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.9830
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.0205
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.9815
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.0180
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.9810
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.9880
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0120
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.9880
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.0115
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.9880
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.0120
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.9880
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.0120
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.9880
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.0120
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.9880
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.9880
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.0120
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.9880
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.0115
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.9885
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.0115
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.9885
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0115
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.9885
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.0115
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.9885
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.0115
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.9885
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.0115
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.9885
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.0115
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.9885
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.0115
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.9885
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0115
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 9087.69, Sell volume: 1237.08, Average price: 0.5804, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.0115
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.9885
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.0115
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.9885
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.0115
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.9885
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.0115
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.9885
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.0115
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.9885
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.0115
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.9885
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.0130
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.9875
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0130
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.9865
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.0115
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.9880
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.0120
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.9880
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.0145
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.9875
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.0145
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.9850
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.0155
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.9845
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0155
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.9845
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0155
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.9845
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.9845
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0155
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.9845
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0155
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.9845
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.0155
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.9845
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0155
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9845
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0155
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.9845
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0155
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9845
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0155
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9845
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0155
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9845
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0155
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 52.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0190, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.0190

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.0155
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.9845
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0155
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.9845
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0155
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.9845
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0155
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9845
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0155
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.9845
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0155
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.9845
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0155
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.9840
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.0155
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.9845
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.0145
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.9855
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0145
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9855
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0155
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.9845
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0125
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9840
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0135
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9865
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0120
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.9880
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.9880
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0160
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9865
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0145
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.9865
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0135
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9865
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0145
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.9875
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0125
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.9875
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0155
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9875
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0135
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9875
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0125
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.9865
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0125
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9875
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.0160
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.0090, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.0130

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0125
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9865
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9840
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0145
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9875
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0145
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.9855
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0150
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.9875
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0160
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0125
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9875
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0150
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0125
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9855
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0125
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0150
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.9875
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0145
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.9855
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0155
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9840
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0145
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9875
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0125
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9880
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0135
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9880
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9855
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0135
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.9875
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9855
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0145
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9875
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0140
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9875
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0145
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9875
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0160
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 9087.69, Sell volume: 1237.08, Average price: 0.5804, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0135
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9855
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9880
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9880
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9875
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0125
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9855
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0120
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9880
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0135
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9875
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0155
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9865
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0135
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9865
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0135
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9865
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0135
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9865
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0135
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9865
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0135
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9865
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0135
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9865
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0135
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9865
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0135
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9865
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0135
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9865
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9865
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 13.00, Sell volume: 4.01, Average price: 0.8526, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9865
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0135
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9865
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0305
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9715
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0305
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9675
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0155
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9850
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0140
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9855
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0165
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9845
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0160
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9855
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0155
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9855
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0155
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9855
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0155
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9855
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0170
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9830
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0150
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9845
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0160
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9855
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9835
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9885
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0145
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9840
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9855
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0130
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9845
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0115
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9840
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0160
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9880
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0165
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0110
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.00, Sell volume: 30.43, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0110
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9890
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0110
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9890
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0110
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9890
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0110
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9890
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0110
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9890
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0110
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0110
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0115
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9890
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0110
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9855
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0110
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9875
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0100
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9895
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0100
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9900
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0100
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9860
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0120
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9885
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0100
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9890
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0100
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.9860
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0120
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9910
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.9990
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.0010
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.9990
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.0010
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.9990
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.0010
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 7497.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7495, Price range: 0.0028 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.7450
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5800
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.6000
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.6050
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.5750
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.5550
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.6850
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.6000
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.6050
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.6000
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.5900
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.5850
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.5850
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.6400
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.6400
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.6400
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.6150
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.6400
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.6250
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.6800
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.6000
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 192.12, Sell volume: 96.30, Average price: 0.5895, Price range: 0.3067 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.6250
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.6300
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.6200
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.4400
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.4450
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.5700
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.4800
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.4850
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.3400
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.3450
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.4600
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.4350
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.4550
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.4600
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.4600
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.4550
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.4850
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.3550
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.3650
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.5200
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.5200
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.5050
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.5100
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.5200
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.5300
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.6500
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.6600
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.5750
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.6600
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 166.01, Sell volume: 55.52, Average price: 0.5020, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.5750
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.6400
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.5750
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.6400
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.5750
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.5750
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.4150
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.4300
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.4450
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.4450
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.4150
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.4000
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.4000
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.4100
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.4050
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.4200
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.4150
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.3950
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.4300
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.4050
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.3800
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.3250
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.2600
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.2600
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.2600
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.2000
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.2050
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.2150
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.2150
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 201.53, Sell volume: 67.85, Average price: 0.5751, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.2050
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.1850
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.1300
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.1200
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.1250
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.1200
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.1200
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.0600
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.0400
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.0350
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.0350
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.0250
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.0305
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.0450
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.0275
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.0300
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.0305
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.0295
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.0300
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.0305
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.0270
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.0275
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.0275
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.0260
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.0280
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.0245
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.0260
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.0250
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0250
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 915.07, Sell volume: 778.30, Average price: 0.6770, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.0445
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.0450
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.0450
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.0400
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.0300
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.0285
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.0285
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0285
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.0290
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.0285
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.0285
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0195
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.0155
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0155
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.0215
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.0265
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.0205
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0285
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.0270
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.0275
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0250
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.0090
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.0095
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.0095
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.0095
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.0095
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.0095
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0065
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.0065
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 106.18, Average price: 0.3367, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0065
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.0065
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0065
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.0065
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0065
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.0065
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.0220
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.0215
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.0160
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.0160
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.0160
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.0165
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.0165
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0165
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.0165
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.0165
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.0165
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.0165
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.0165
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.0165
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.0170
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.0170
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.0165
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.0165
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.0165
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0165
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.0165
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.0170
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.0170
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 48.82, Sell volume: 58.49, Average price: 0.2562, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0205
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.0205
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0175
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0205
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.0170
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.0170
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0170
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.0190
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0185
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.0175
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.0120
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.0120
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.0120
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.0120
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.0125
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.0115
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0115
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0115
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0115
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.0115
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0115
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0115
2025-04-06 20:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 9087.69, Sell volume: 1237.08, Average price: 0.5804, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.0115
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.0115
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.0115
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.0115
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.0115
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.0115
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.0125
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.0115
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.0125
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.0120
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.0115
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.0120
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.0145
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.0125
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.0125
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.0155
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0155
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0155
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0155
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0155
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0155
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0155
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.0155
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.0155
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0155
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0155
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0155
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0155
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0155
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 52.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0190, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.0190
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.0155
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0155
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0155
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0155
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0155
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0155
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0155
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0155
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.0160
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.0135
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.0145
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0160
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0160
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0155
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0145
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0135
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0120
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0145
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0145
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0125
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0160
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0125
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0125
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0155
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0125
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0160
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0135
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.0090, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.0130
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0125
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0145
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0125
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0125
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0150
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0145
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0125
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0145
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0130
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0145
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0125
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0150
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0125
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0125
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0160
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0130
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0125
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0145
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0145
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0125
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0160
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0125
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 9087.69, Sell volume: 1237.08, Average price: 0.5804, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0135
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0135
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0120
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0125
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0140
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0140
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0125
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0145
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0135
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0135
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0135
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0135
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0135
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0135
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0135
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0135
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0135
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0135
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0135
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 13.00, Sell volume: 4.01, Average price: 0.8526, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0135
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0135
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0285
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0290
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0155
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0165
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0165
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0155
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0165
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0155
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0165
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0160
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0170
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0150
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0160
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0115
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0165
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0165
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0145
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0145
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0160
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0155
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0145
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.00, Sell volume: 30.43, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525861
Question: Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Volume: 10324.76504
Price History:
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0110
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0110
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0110
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0110
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0110
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0110
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0110
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0110
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0135
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0110
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0110
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0100
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0105
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0105
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0100
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0115
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0110
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0115
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0120
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.0010
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.0010
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 7497.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7495, Price range: 0.0028 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2024-12-17 18:00: 0.3600
2024-12-17 21:00: 0.2550
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.2550
2024-12-18 03:00: 0.2250
2024-12-18 06:00: 0.2400
2024-12-18 09:00: 0.2500
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.2650
2024-12-18 15:00: 0.2550
2024-12-18 18:00: 0.2500
2024-12-18 21:00: 0.2500
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.2450
2024-12-19 03:00: 0.2450
2024-12-19 06:00: 0.2500
2024-12-19 09:00: 0.2450
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.2450
2024-12-19 15:00: 0.2650
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.2950
2024-12-19 21:00: 0.2950
2024-12-20 00:00: 0.2950
2024-12-20 03:00: 0.2950
2024-12-20 06:00: 0.2950
2024-12-20 09:00: 0.3050
2024-12-20 12:00: 0.3050
2024-12-20 15:00: 0.3050
2024-12-20 18:00: 0.3050
2024-12-20 21:00: 0.3050
2024-12-21 00:00: 0.3050
2024-12-21 03:00: 0.3050
2024-12-21 06:00: 0.3050
2024-12-21 09:00: 0.3050
2024-12-21 12:00: 0.3050
2024-12-21 15:00: 0.3050
2024-12-21 18:00: 0.3000
2024-12-21 21:00: 0.2950
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.2950
2024-12-22 03:00: 0.3000
2024-12-22 06:00: 0.2950
2024-12-22 09:00: 0.2950
2024-12-22 12:00: 0.2950
2024-12-22 15:00: 0.2950
2024-12-22 18:00: 0.2900
2024-12-22 21:00: 0.2900
2024-12-23 00:00: 0.2900
2024-12-23 03:00: 0.2850
2024-12-23 06:00: 0.2800
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.2800
2024-12-23 12:00: 0.2800
2024-12-23 15:00: 0.2850
2024-12-23 18:00: 0.2750
2024-12-23 21:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77100096.26, Sell volume: 127583065.80, Average price: 0.6444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2024-12-24 10:00: 0.2750
2024-12-24 13:00: 0.2700
2024-12-24 16:00: 0.2750
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.2800
2024-12-24 22:00: 0.2750
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.2750
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.2700
2024-12-25 07:00: 0.2650
2024-12-25 10:00: 0.2650
2024-12-25 13:00: 0.2650
2024-12-25 16:00: 0.2800
2024-12-25 19:00: 0.2750
2024-12-25 22:00: 0.2800
2024-12-26 01:00: 0.2800
2024-12-26 04:00: 0.2750
2024-12-26 07:00: 0.2800
2024-12-26 10:00: 0.2800
2024-12-26 13:00: 0.2850
2024-12-26 16:00: 0.2850
2024-12-26 19:00: 0.2850
2024-12-26 22:00: 0.2850
2024-12-27 01:00: 0.2850
2024-12-27 04:00: 0.2850
2024-12-27 07:00: 0.2850
2024-12-27 10:00: 0.3050
2024-12-27 13:00: 0.3650
2024-12-27 16:00: 0.3650
2024-12-27 19:00: 0.3250
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.3050
2024-12-28 01:00: 0.3050
2024-12-28 04:00: 0.3150
2024-12-28 07:00: 0.3150
2024-12-28 10:00: 0.3150
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.3150
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.3150
2024-12-28 19:00: 0.3150
2024-12-28 22:00: 0.3150
2024-12-29 01:00: 0.3150
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.3150
2024-12-29 07:00: 0.3150
2024-12-29 10:00: 0.3150
2024-12-29 13:00: 0.3150
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.3150
2024-12-29 19:00: 0.3150
2024-12-29 22:00: 0.3150
2024-12-30 01:00: 0.3150
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.3150
2024-12-30 07:00: 0.3150
2024-12-30 10:00: 0.3150
2024-12-30 13:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77100096.26, Sell volume: 127583065.80, Average price: 0.6444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.3150
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.3150
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.3150
2024-12-31 11:00: 0.3150
2024-12-31 14:00: 0.3150
2024-12-31 17:00: 0.3150
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.3150
2024-12-31 23:00: 0.3150
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.3150
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.3150
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.3150
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.3050
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.3150
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.3150
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.3150
2025-01-01 23:00: 0.3150
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.3150
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.3150
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.3150
2025-01-02 11:00: 0.3150
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.3150
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.3300
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.3300
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.3300
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.3300
2025-01-03 05:00: 0.3350
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.3450
2025-01-03 11:00: 0.3450
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.3450
2025-01-03 17:00: 0.3450
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.3350
2025-01-03 23:00: 0.3350
2025-01-04 02:00: 0.3300
2025-01-04 05:00: 0.3300
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.3300
2025-01-04 11:00: 0.3300
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.3250
2025-01-04 17:00: 0.3300
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.3300
2025-01-04 23:00: 0.3350
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.3350
2025-01-05 05:00: 0.3300
2025-01-05 08:00: 0.3250
2025-01-05 11:00: 0.3250
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.3250
2025-01-05 17:00: 0.3250
2025-01-05 20:00: 0.3250
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.3350
2025-01-06 02:00: 0.3350
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77100096.26, Sell volume: 127583065.80, Average price: 0.6444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.3650
2025-01-06 21:00: 0.3650
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.3650
2025-01-07 03:00: 0.3650
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.3750
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.3750
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.3750
2025-01-07 15:00: 0.3650
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.3650
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.3650
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.3650
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.3650
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.3700
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.3700
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.3600
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.3600
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.3550
2025-01-08 21:00: 0.3550
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.3550
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.3550
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.3400
2025-01-09 09:00: 0.3050
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.3050
2025-01-09 15:00: 0.3150
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.3150
2025-01-09 21:00: 0.3100
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.3100
2025-01-10 03:00: 0.3300
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.3300
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.3450
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.3500
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.3500
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.3500
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.3600
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.3600
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.3650
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.3700
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.3700
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.3700
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.3700
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.3750
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.3750
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.3750
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.3700
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.3700
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.3700
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.3800
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.3650
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.3650
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77100096.26, Sell volume: 127583065.80, Average price: 0.6444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.3650
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.3650
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.3650
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.3650
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.3650
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.3650
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.3650
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.3750
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.3750
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.3650
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.3600
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.3650
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.3600
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.3600
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.3600
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.3500
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.3500
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.3650
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.3650
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.3650
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.3650
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.3600
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.3600
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.3600
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.3600
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.3650
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.3850
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.3800
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.3800
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.3800
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.3750
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.3750
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.3800
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.3800
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.3800
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.3800
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.3800
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.3800
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.3750
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.3750
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.3700
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.3700
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.3700
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77100096.26, Sell volume: 127583065.80, Average price: 0.6444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.3750
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.3650
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.3450
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.3200
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.2500
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.2550
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.2650
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.2900
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.3050
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.2850
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.2950
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.3000
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.3000
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.3050
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.3000
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.3050
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.3050
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.2950
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.2950
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.2950
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.2950
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.2850
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.3200
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.3200
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.3400
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.3250
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.3250
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.3250
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.3250
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.3250
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.3200
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.3400
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.3350
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.3500
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.3500
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.3500
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.3550
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.3550
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.3600
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.3350
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.3050
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.3050
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.3050
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.3150
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.3150
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77100096.26, Sell volume: 127583065.80, Average price: 0.6444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.2950
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.2950
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.2950
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.2950
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.2950
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.2950
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.2950
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.2950
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.2950
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.2950
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.2950
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.2950
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.2950
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.2900
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.2950
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.2950
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.3000
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.2950
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.2900
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.2900
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.3250
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.3300
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.3200
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.3200
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.3200
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.3200
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.2900
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.2850
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.2850
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.3400
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.3350
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.3350
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.3350
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.3400
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.3400
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.3350
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.3300
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.3300
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.3250
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.3250
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.3300
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.3300
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.3450
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.3100
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.2650
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.3150
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.2900
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77100096.26, Sell volume: 127583065.80, Average price: 0.6444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.3050
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.3050
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.3000
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.3000
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.3000
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.3050
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.2850
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.3050
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.3150
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.3050
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.3000
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.3050
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.3050
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.3050
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.3300
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.3400
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.3500
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.3500
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.3400
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.3400
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.3400
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.3200
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.3150
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.3150
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.3150
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.3100
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.3100
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.3100
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.3100
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.3100
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.3050
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.2950
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.2900
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.2900
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.2800
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.2800
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.2800
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.2900
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.3050
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.3150
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.3300
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.3150
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.3150
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.3150
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.3150
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.3200
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.3100
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.3100
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77100096.26, Sell volume: 127583065.80, Average price: 0.6444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.3050
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.3050
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.3050
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.3050
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.3050
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.3000
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.3000
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.3000
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.3000
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.2800
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.3000
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.2950
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.2900
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.2850
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.2800
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.2750
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.2700
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.2800
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.2800
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.2750
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.2750
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.2750
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.2750
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.2750
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.2750
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.2700
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.2650
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.2550
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.2600
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.2550
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.2550
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.2550
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.2550
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.2500
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.2000
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.1850
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.1500
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.1850
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.1700
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.1500
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.1650
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.1600
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1600
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.1600
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.1550
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.1600
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.1850
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77100096.26, Sell volume: 127583065.80, Average price: 0.6444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.1550
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.1550
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.1550
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.1550
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.1550
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.1550
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.1550
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.1550
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.1550
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.1600
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.1600
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.1600
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.1600
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.1600
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.1450
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.1650
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.1450
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.1250
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.1250
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.1250
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.1150
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.1150
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.1000
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.1050
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.1150
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.1250
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.1250
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.1250
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.1300
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.1350
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.1250
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.1150
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.1250
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.1200
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.1200
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.1150
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.1050
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0950
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0850
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.0800
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0900
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.0900
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.0900
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.0900
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.1050
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.1000
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.0645
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.0675
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.0675
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.0675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115884, Buy volume: 11956585.78, Sell volume: 30442826.70, Average price: 0.4555, Price range: 0.0340 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.0670
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.0670
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.0680
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.0725
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.0780
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.0785
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.0935
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.0170
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0050
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.0145
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.0030
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.0035
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.0035
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.0035
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.0030
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0030
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.0055
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.0055
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.0045
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.0050
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.0030
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.0070
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.0065
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.0060
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.0055
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0050
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.0055
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0065
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.0055
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.0035
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.0035
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.0035
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.0035
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.0040
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0040
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.0040
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.0040
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.0040
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.0040
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0040
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879217, Buy volume: 64962364.54, Sell volume: 96521318.20, Average price: 0.6716, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0030
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.0035
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0040
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.0040
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0040
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0040
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0040
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0030
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0080
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0120
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0095
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0090
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0065
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0075
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.0080
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0075
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0075
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0065
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0070
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0075
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0070
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0065
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.0055
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0040
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0045
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0060
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0085
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0085
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0085
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0035
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0025
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0030
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0030
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0040
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.0040
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0040
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0040
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0040
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0040
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0040
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.0040
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0055
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 648, Buy volume: 132727.29, Sell volume: 135775.66, Average price: 0.9280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.0050
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0055
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0055
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0055
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0050
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0050
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0055
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0055
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0050
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0050
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0050
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0050
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0070
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0075
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.0080
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0080
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0080
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.0080
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.0080
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.0075
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0075
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.0075
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.0075
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.0075
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.0050
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.0045
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.0045
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.0045
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0050
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.0045
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0045
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.0045
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.0050
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.0050
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.0040
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.0040
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.0040
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0040
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.0045
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.0045
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.0045
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.0055
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.0045
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.0040
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.0020
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 254, Buy volume: 28438.65, Sell volume: 12435.01, Average price: 0.8931, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2024-12-17 18:00: 0.3600
2024-12-17 23:00: 0.2550
2024-12-18 04:00: 0.2350
2024-12-18 09:00: 0.2500
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.2550
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.2500
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.2450
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.2450
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.2450
2024-12-19 15:00: 0.2650
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.2950
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.2950
2024-12-20 06:00: 0.2950
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.3000
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.3050
2024-12-20 21:00: 0.3050
2024-12-21 02:00: 0.3050
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.3050
2024-12-21 12:00: 0.3050
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.2950
2024-12-21 22:00: 0.2950
2024-12-22 03:00: 0.3000
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.2950
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.2950
2024-12-22 18:00: 0.2900
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.2900
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.2850
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.2800
2024-12-23 14:00: 0.2800
2024-12-23 19:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77100096.26, Sell volume: 127583065.80, Average price: 0.6444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2024-12-24 10:00: 0.2750
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.2750
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.2800
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.2750
2024-12-25 06:00: 0.2650
2024-12-25 11:00: 0.2650
2024-12-25 16:00: 0.2800
2024-12-25 21:00: 0.2750
2024-12-26 02:00: 0.2750
2024-12-26 07:00: 0.2800
2024-12-26 12:00: 0.2800
2024-12-26 17:00: 0.2850
2024-12-26 22:00: 0.2850
2024-12-27 03:00: 0.2850
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.2850
2024-12-27 13:00: 0.3650
2024-12-27 18:00: 0.3650
2024-12-27 23:00: 0.3050
2024-12-28 04:00: 0.3150
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.3150
2024-12-28 14:00: 0.3150
2024-12-28 19:00: 0.3150
2024-12-29 00:00: 0.3150
2024-12-29 05:00: 0.3150
2024-12-29 10:00: 0.3150
2024-12-29 15:00: 0.3150
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.3150
2024-12-30 01:00: 0.3150
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.3150
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77100096.26, Sell volume: 127583065.80, Average price: 0.6444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.3150
2024-12-31 07:00: 0.3150
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.3150
2024-12-31 17:00: 0.3150
2024-12-31 22:00: 0.3150
2025-01-01 03:00: 0.3150
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.3150
2025-01-01 13:00: 0.3150
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.3150
2025-01-01 23:00: 0.3150
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.3150
2025-01-02 09:00: 0.3150
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.3150
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.3300
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.3300
2025-01-03 05:00: 0.3350
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.3450
2025-01-03 15:00: 0.3450
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.3350
2025-01-04 01:00: 0.3300
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.3300
2025-01-04 11:00: 0.3300
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.3300
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.3350
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.3350
2025-01-05 07:00: 0.3300
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.3250
2025-01-05 17:00: 0.3250
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.3350
2025-01-06 03:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77100096.26, Sell volume: 127583065.80, Average price: 0.6444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.3650
2025-01-06 23:00: 0.3650
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.3650
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.3750
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.3650
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.3650
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.3650
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.3650
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.3650
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.3600
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.3550
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.3550
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.3400
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.3050
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.3150
2025-01-09 21:00: 0.3100
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.3100
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.3350
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.3500
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.3500
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.3600
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.3650
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.3700
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.3700
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.3750
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.3750
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.3700
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.3700
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.3800
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77100096.26, Sell volume: 127583065.80, Average price: 0.6444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.3650
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.3650
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.3650
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.3650
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.3750
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.3650
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.3600
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.3650
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.3600
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.3500
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.3650
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.3650
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.3600
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.3600
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.3600
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.3850
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.3900
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.3800
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.3800
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.3750
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.3800
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.3800
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.3800
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.3800
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.3750
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.3750
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.3700
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77100096.26, Sell volume: 127583065.80, Average price: 0.6444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.3750
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.3300
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.3300
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.3200
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.2950
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.2650
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.2900
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.2850
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.3000
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.3050
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.3000
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.3050
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.2950
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.2950
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.2850
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.3350
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.3400
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.3250
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.3250
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.3250
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.3400
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.3500
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.3500
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.3550
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.3600
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.3150
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.3050
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.3150
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77100096.26, Sell volume: 127583065.80, Average price: 0.6444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.2950
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.2950
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.2950
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.2950
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.2950
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.2950
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.2950
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.2950
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.2950
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.2950
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.2900
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.2900
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.3200
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.3200
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.3200
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.2850
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.2850
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.3250
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.3350
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.3400
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.3350
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.3300
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.3250
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.3300
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.3300
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.3100
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.3350
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77100096.26, Sell volume: 127583065.80, Average price: 0.6444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.3050
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.3000
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.3000
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.2850
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.3050
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.3050
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.3050
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.3050
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.3300
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.3400
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.3500
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.3400
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.3200
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.3150
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.3150
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.3100
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.3100
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.3100
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.3050
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.2900
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.2800
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.2800
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.2950
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.3150
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.3150
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.3150
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.3150
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.3100
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77100096.26, Sell volume: 127583065.80, Average price: 0.6444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.3050
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.3050
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.3050
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.3000
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.3000
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.2950
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.3000
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.2900
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.2850
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.2750
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.2800
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.2750
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.2750
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.2750
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.2750
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.2700
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.2650
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.2550
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.2550
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.2550
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.2500
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.1850
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.1700
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.1650
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.1650
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.1650
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.1600
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.1600
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77100096.26, Sell volume: 127583065.80, Average price: 0.6444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.1550
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.1550
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.1550
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.1550
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.1550
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.1600
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.1600
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.1600
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.1600
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.1650
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.1250
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.1250
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.1150
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.1100
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.1050
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.1250
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.1250
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.1350
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.1250
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.1200
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.1200
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.1150
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0950
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0900
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.0900
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.1000
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.1000
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0675
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.0675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115884, Buy volume: 11956585.78, Sell volume: 30442826.70, Average price: 0.4555, Price range: 0.0340 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.0670
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.0675
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.0735
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.0785
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.0770
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.0755
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0050
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.0020
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.0035
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.0035
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.0055
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.0040
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0050
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.0070
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.0060
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.0055
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.0055
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.0055
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0035
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.0035
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0040
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.0040
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.0040
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.0040
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 879217, Buy volume: 64962364.54, Sell volume: 96521318.20, Average price: 0.6716, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0025
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.0030
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.0040
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0040
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0110
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0100
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0065
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0095
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0090
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0065
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0065
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0065
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.0055
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0040
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0070
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0085
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0075
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0025
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0030
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0030
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0040
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0040
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0040
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0040
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.0040
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 648, Buy volume: 132727.29, Sell volume: 135775.66, Average price: 0.9280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515928
Question: Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Volume: 684352.481258
Price History:
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.0050
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0055
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0055
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0050
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0055
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0050
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0050
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0070
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0080
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0080
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.0080
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0085
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.0075
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.0075
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.0075
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.0045
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.0045
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.0045
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.0045
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.0050
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.0050
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.0040
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0040
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.0045
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.0045
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.0045
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.0030
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 254, Buy volume: 28438.65, Sell volume: 12435.01, Average price: 0.8931, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 925, Buy volume: 33332.42, Sell volume: 5879.19, Average price: 0.5719, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 925, Buy volume: 33332.42, Sell volume: 5879.19, Average price: 0.5719, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 925, Buy volume: 33332.42, Sell volume: 5879.19, Average price: 0.5719, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 925, Buy volume: 33332.42, Sell volume: 5879.19, Average price: 0.5719, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 322.40, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 322.40, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 322.40, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 322.40, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 322.40, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 322.40, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 322.40, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 322.40, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 322.40, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 925, Buy volume: 33332.42, Sell volume: 5879.19, Average price: 0.5719, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 925, Buy volume: 33332.42, Sell volume: 5879.19, Average price: 0.5719, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 925, Buy volume: 33332.42, Sell volume: 5879.19, Average price: 0.5719, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 925, Buy volume: 33332.42, Sell volume: 5879.19, Average price: 0.5719, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 322.40, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 322.40, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 322.40, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 322.40, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 322.40, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 322.40, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 322.40, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 322.40, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758211
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 650.811369
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 322.40, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.6450
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.3550
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.6800
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.3200
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.6900
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.6900
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.7050
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.2950
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.7250
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7450
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2550
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.2600
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.7400
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.6800
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.2550
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7450
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.7450
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 7.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7700, Price range: 0.6300 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7350
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2650
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7350
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.2650
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.7350
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.2650
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.2650
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7350
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7350
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.2650
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.6850
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3150
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.7100
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 16.82, Sell volume: 5.35, Average price: 0.5350, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.7100
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.2900
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.7300
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.2700
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.7300
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 189.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6377, Price range: 0.2503 - 0.7935

Output: Yes