Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.7400
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.2400
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.7800
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.2400
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.2400
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.2600
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.2600
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.2650
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.7300
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.7050
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.7050
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.7050
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.2950
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.2950
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.7050
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.2950
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.7050
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.3000
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.3000
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.2900
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.2900
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.2900
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.2900
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.6850
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.6850
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.6900
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.6900
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.3100
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.6900
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.3100
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.6900
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.6900
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.3100
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.6850
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.6850
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.3150
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.3150
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.6850
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.3150
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.6850
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.6850
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.3150
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.6900
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.6900
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.3000
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.7000
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404192742.17, Sell volume: 77207537.27, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.3050
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.3100
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.6800
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.6700
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.5350
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.4600
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.5400
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.5500
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.4650
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.4750
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.5050
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.5100
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.4950
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.5150
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.5450
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.4850
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.5550
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.3950
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.3900
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.3350
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.6750
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.3300
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.3300
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.6850
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.3600
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.6300
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.4100
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.4150
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.4150
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.6350
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.6400
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.6300
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.6550
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.6450
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.6450
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.3450
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.3350
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.3350
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.6650
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.3350
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.3250
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.3250
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.6750
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.3250
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.6750
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.3250
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404192742.17, Sell volume: 77207537.27, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.3250
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.7000
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.7050
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.7100
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.2700
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.2700
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.7300
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.7950
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.7950
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.2250
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.7800
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.7350
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.7400
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.2600
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.2500
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.2500
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.7500
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.2550
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.7450
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.2550
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.7800
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.7800
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.7800
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.7800
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.2200
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.7800
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.7800
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.2150
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.7850
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.7850
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.2150
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.2800
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.7250
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.2650
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.7600
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.2050
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404192742.17, Sell volume: 77207537.27, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.7250
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.2650
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.2650
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.2650
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.7350
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.2650
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.2650
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.2650
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.7200
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.2950
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.7200
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.7300
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.7300
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.2700
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.7300
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.7300
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.4700
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.6750
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.2600
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.7400
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.7450
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.3500
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.7300
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.2700
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.7300
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.2700
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.7100
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.3050
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.3050
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.6450
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.6350
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.3550
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.6450
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.3550
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.6300
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.3700
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.6300
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.3700
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404192742.17, Sell volume: 77207537.27, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.3650
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.6350
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.3600
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.6400
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.3600
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.6400
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.3600
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.6400
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.3650
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.6350
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.3650
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.3600
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.6400
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.3600
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.6400
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.3550
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.6400
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.3850
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.6150
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.3800
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.6200
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.3800
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.6150
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.3850
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.6150
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.3850
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.6150
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.3750
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.6200
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.3800
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.6200
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.3850
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.6150
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.3850
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.6300
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.3700
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.6350
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.3650
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.6350
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.3650
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.6350
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.3650
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.6350
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.3750
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.6150
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.3900
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.6100
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.4000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404192742.17, Sell volume: 77207537.27, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4050
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.5900
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.4100
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.5900
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.5900
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.4100
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.5900
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.4100
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.5900
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.4100
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.5900
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.4100
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5900
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.4600
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.4600
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.5400
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.4600
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.5400
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.5500
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.4500
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.4650
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.5400
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.5350
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4800
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.4850
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.4800
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.5450
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.5750
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.4300
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.5800
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.4550
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.4450
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.4350
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.4450
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5500
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.4450
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404192742.17, Sell volume: 77207537.27, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.4300
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.5700
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.4200
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.5800
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.4250
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.3900
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.6250
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.3800
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.6650
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.3450
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.6550
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.3450
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.6550
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.3450
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.6550
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.3650
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.6350
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.3650
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.6350
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.3850
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.3750
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.6300
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.3450
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.6850
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.7000
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.2500
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.7500
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.7500
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.2550
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.7350
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.2700
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.7350
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404192742.17, Sell volume: 77207537.27, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.3950
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.6350
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.8800
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.1200
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.8500
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.2200
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.6900
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.2500
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.8050
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.1450
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.8650
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.1400
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.8650
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.8800
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0550
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9400
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0250
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9815
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0205
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9740
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0230
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9745
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0230
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999803, Buy volume: 403836381.06, Sell volume: 77117761.10, Average price: 0.4492, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.3750
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.3950
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.1850
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.8950
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.8150
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.2100
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.2250
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.2900
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.7350
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.2250
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.7650
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.2800
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.5450
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.4650
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.5400
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.3850
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.3650
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.3550
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.6550
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.6450
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.3200
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.3200
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.3200
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.6300
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.3750
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.6350
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.2950
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.6800
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404192742.17, Sell volume: 77207537.27, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.6800
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.3200
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.7050
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.6450
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.6150
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.6150
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.3850
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.3950
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.4950
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.4150
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.4750
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.4450
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.4450
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.4400
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.5850
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.3950
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.6500
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.3900
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.4100
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.5750
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.5750
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.5950
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.5200
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.4350
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.5650
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.5350
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.5450
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.4400
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.4900
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404192742.17, Sell volume: 77207537.27, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.5600
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.4300
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.5750
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.5750
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.4400
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.5750
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.4400
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.5600
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.5650
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.4050
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.6000
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.4000
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.4000
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.3700
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.6100
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.3850
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.3850
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.6250
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.3800
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.6150
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.3850
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.3750
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.6250
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.3750
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.4350
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.5650
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.5350
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.4550
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404192742.17, Sell volume: 77207537.27, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.4850
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.5100
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.4800
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.4800
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.5150
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.4800
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.4900
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.5100
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.4900
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.4200
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.6100
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.4100
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.4850
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.2700
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.6750
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.7250
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.4000
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.4400
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.5800
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.4450
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.6600
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.8100
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.8000
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.1950
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.8150
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.8150
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.1950
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404192742.17, Sell volume: 77207537.27, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.8050
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.1950
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.1950
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.8050
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.1950
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.1950
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.8500
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.8750
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.8850
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.8800
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.1250
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.1250
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.1250
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.8700
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.1550
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.1600
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.4400
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.2800
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.7450
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404192742.17, Sell volume: 77207537.27, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.7400
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.2350
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.7450
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.2600
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.7350
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.7050
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.7050
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.2950
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.2950
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.7050
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.3000
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.7000
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.2900
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.2900
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.6900
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.6900
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.3100
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.6900
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.6900
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.3150
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.3150
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.3150
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.6850
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.6850
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.6900
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.7000
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.3000
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.3000
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404192742.17, Sell volume: 77207537.27, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.3050
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.3100
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.5500
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.5500
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.5250
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.4850
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.5150
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.4550
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.5550
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.3950
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.3050
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.3300
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.3600
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.5900
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.4150
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.3650
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.3700
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.6450
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.6600
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.3350
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.3350
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.3250
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.6750
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.3250
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.6750
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.3250
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404192742.17, Sell volume: 77207537.27, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.3250
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.7050
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.2800
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.7300
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.7950
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.2050
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.7800
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.2650
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.7400
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.2450
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.7450
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.7450
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.2200
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.2250
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.7800
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.2200
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.2150
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.7850
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.2900
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.7250
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.2400
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.7950
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.2400
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404192742.17, Sell volume: 77207537.27, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.7250
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.7350
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.2650
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.7350
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.2950
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.2700
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.7300
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.2700
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.6750
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.2600
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.3250
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.7300
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.2700
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.7100
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.3050
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.6950
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.6450
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.3550
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.6300
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.3700
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.6300
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.3700
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404192742.17, Sell volume: 77207537.27, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.3650
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.6400
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.3600
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.6400
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.3650
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.6350
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.3650
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.6400
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.3600
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.6450
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.3850
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.6250
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.3800
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.6150
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.3850
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.6150
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.3800
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.6200
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.3850
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.6150
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.3700
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.6350
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.3650
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.6300
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.3750
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.6150
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.3900
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.6350
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.3600
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404192742.17, Sell volume: 77207537.27, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4050
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.5900
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.4100
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.5900
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.4100
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.5900
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.4100
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.5900
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.5400
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.4600
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.5400
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.4500
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.5550
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.4600
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.5350
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.5150
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.4800
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.4550
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.5750
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.5750
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.4550
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.4350
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.4500
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5550
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.4500
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404192742.17, Sell volume: 77207537.27, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.4300
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5750
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.4200
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.3900
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.6250
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.3350
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6550
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.3450
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.6550
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.3650
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.6350
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.3800
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.3700
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.6550
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.2500
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.2650
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.2650
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.7350
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.2500
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404192742.17, Sell volume: 77207537.27, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.3950
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.1200
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.8050
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.1350
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.8650
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9450
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9400
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0165
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9740
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0255
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9780
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0165
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999803, Buy volume: 403836381.06, Sell volume: 77117761.10, Average price: 0.4492, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.5000
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.5000
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.6700
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.3450
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.6550
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.2700
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.7300
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.6050
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.3950
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.6000
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.4000
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.5100
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.4900
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.5950
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.4050
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.5900
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.4100
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.6050
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.3950
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.6100
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.3900
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.6050
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.3950
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.6700
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.3300
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.6750
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.3250
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.6850
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.3150
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.6850
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.3150
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.6750
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.3250
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.6550
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.3450
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.6150
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.3850
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.5850
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.4150
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.5850
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.4150
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.5800
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.4200
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.4350
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.5650
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.3750
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.6250
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.3850
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 455.34, Sell volume: 76.12, Average price: 0.5775, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.3900
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.3850
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.6150
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.3850
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.6150
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.3850
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.6150
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.3900
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.3900
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.3900
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.3900
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.3900
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.3900
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.3900
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.3900
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.3900
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.3900
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.4200
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.5800
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.4200
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.5800
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.4200
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.5800
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.4200
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.5800
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.4200
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.5800
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.4200
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.5800
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.4200
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.5800
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.4200
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.5800
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.4200
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.5800
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.4200
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.5800
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 265.96, Sell volume: 59.30, Average price: 0.5296, Price range: 0.4067 - 0.6200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.4050
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.5950
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.4250
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.5750
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.4250
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.5750
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.4250
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.5750
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.4350
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.5650
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.4350
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.5650
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.4250
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.5750
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.4250
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.5750
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.4250
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.5750
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.4200
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.5800
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.4250
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.5750
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.4250
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.5750
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.4250
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.5750
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.4250
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.5750
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.4250
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.5750
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.4050
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.5950
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.4050
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.5950
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.4050
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.5950
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.4050
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.5950
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.4000
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.6000
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.4000
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.6000
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.4000
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.6000
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.4050
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.5950
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.4050
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.5950
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.4050
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1094.41, Sell volume: 316.11, Average price: 0.5724, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.6200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.6250
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.3750
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.6250
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.3750
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.6250
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.3750
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.6250
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.3400
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.6600
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.3400
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.6600
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.3400
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.6600
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.3400
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.6600
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.3400
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.6600
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.3400
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.6600
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.3650
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.3650
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.3650
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.3650
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.3650
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.3650
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.3650
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.3650
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.3650
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.3650
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.3650
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.3650
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.3800
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.6200
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.3800
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.6200
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.3800
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.6200
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1104.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4856, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.4450
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.5550
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.4300
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.5700
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.4300
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.5700
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.4250
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.5750
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.4250
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.5750
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.4250
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.5750
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.6300
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.6300
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.6300
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.3750
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.6250
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.6300
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.3750
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.6250
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.6300
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.6300
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.6300
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.6300
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.3650
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.6350
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.3200
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.6800
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.3400
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.6600
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.3400
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.6600
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.3400
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.6600
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.3350
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.6650
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.3450
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.6550
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.3550
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.6450
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.3550
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 572.63, Sell volume: 256.00, Average price: 0.5711, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.7150
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.3100
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.6900
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.2900
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.7100
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.2900
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.7100
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.2900
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.7100
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.3050
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.6950
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.2950
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.7050
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.2950
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.7050
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.3150
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.6850
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.2950
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.7050
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.2900
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.7100
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.3000
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.7000
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.3100
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.6900
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.2950
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.7050
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.2950
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.7050
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.2950
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.7050
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.3000
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.7000
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.3000
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.7000
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.3000
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.7000
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.3000
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.7000
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.3000
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.7000
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.3000
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.7000
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.3000
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.7000
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.3000
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.7000
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.3000
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.7000
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 961.86, Sell volume: 23.23, Average price: 0.4862, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.7869

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.4300
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.5700
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.3700
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.6300
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.2800
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.7200
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.3650
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.6350
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.3650
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.6350
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.2550
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.7450
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.2450
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.7550
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.3350
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.6650
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.3250
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.6750
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.3750
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.6250
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.3600
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.6400
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.3250
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.6750
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.3250
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.6750
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.3150
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.6850
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.3050
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.6950
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.3550
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.6450
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.3300
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.6700
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.3250
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.6750
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.3200
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.6800
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.3250
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.6750
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.3250
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.6750
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.3250
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.6750
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.3100
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.6900
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.2850
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.7150
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.3250
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 407.08, Sell volume: 102.48, Average price: 0.5994, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.7550
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.7500
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.7500
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.7500
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.3050
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.6950
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.3050
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.6950
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.3000
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.7000
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.3000
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.7000
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.3000
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.7000
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.3000
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.7000
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.2950
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.7050
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.2950
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.7050
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.2950
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.7050
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.2950
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.7050
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2950
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.7050
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.3000
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.7000
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.3000
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.7000
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.3450
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.6550
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.2850
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.7150
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.2850
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.7150
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.2850
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.7150
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2850
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.7150
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.3000
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.7000
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.3050
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.6950
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.3050
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.6950
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1159.08, Sell volume: 2.63, Average price: 0.5476, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2450
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.7550
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.7550
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.2450
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.7550
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.2450
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.7550
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.2350
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.7650
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.2450
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.7550
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.2450
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.7550
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2350
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.7650
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.7550
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.2300
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.7700
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.2250
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.7750
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.2350
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.7650
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.2250
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.7750
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.2450
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.7550
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.7450
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.7500
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.7450
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.2600
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.7400
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.7450
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.2600
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.7400
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.7500
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.2650
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.7350
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.2650
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.7350
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.2650
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 116.89, Sell volume: 5.51, Average price: 0.2500, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.2800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.7350
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.2650
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.7350
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.2700
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.7300
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.2700
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.7300
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.3600
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.6400
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.3650
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.6350
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.3750
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.6250
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.3600
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.6400
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.3600
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.6400
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.3600
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.6400
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.3600
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.6400
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.3650
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.6350
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.3700
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.6300
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.3600
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.6400
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.3700
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.6300
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.3600
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.6400
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.3750
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.6250
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.3600
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.6400
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.3700
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.6300
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.3750
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.6250
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.3900
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.6100
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.2300
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.7700
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.3650
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.6350
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.3050
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.6950
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.3550
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.6450
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1084.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6030, Price range: 0.2621 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.2600
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.7400
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.7300
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.7300
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.7300
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.7300
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.7300
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.7300
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.7300
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.7300
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.2650
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.7350
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.7500
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.8200
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.7500
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.2800
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.7200
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.2800
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.7200
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.2900
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.7100
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.3050
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.6950
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2800
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.7200
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.2850
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.7150
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.2800
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.7200
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.3250
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.6750
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.2900
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.7100
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.2850
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.7150
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.2900
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 2403.64, Sell volume: 170.75, Average price: 0.5579, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.5200
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.5850
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.4150
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.5800
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.4200
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.5850
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.4150
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.5900
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.4100
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.5900
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.4100
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.5950
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.4050
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.6050
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.3950
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.6150
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.3850
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.6150
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.3850
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.6150
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.3850
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.6050
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.3950
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.6250
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.3750
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.6450
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.3550
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.6450
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.3550
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.6450
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.3550
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.6250
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.3750
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.6250
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.3750
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.6250
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.3750
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.6250
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.3750
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.4450
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.5550
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.6150
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.3850
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.6200
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.3800
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.6150
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.3850
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.6200
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.3800
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1020.75, Sell volume: 271.39, Average price: 0.5688, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.6850
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.3150
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.6600
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.3400
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.6100
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.3900
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.6450
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.3550
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.8000
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.2000
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.8250
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.1750
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.8250
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.1750
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.8050
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.1950
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.8100
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.1900
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.8400
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.1600
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.4050
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.5950
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.4250
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.5750
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.5900
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.6700
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.3300
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.6250
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.3750
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.6450
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.3550
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.6350
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.3650
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.7050
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.2950
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.6400
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.3600
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.6150
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.3850
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.6250
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.3750
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.4450
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.5550
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.4250
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.5750
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.4300
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.5700
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.4650
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 3370.70, Sell volume: 457.21, Average price: 0.5745, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.5000
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.3300
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.3450
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.2700
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.6050
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.6000
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.5100
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.5950
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.5900
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.6050
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.6100
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.6050
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.6700
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.6750
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.6850
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.6850
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.6750
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.6550
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.6150
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.5850
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.5850
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.5800
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.4350
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.3750
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.3850
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.3900
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.3900
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.3900
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.3900
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 455.34, Sell volume: 76.12, Average price: 0.5775, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.6150
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.6150
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.6150
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.6100
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.5800
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.5800
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.5800
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.5800
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.5800
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.5800
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.5800
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.5800
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.5800
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.5800
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.5800
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.5850
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.5850
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.5850
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 265.96, Sell volume: 59.30, Average price: 0.5296, Price range: 0.4067 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.4050
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.4250
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.4250
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.4250
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.4350
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.4350
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.4250
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.4250
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.4250
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.4200
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.4250
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.4250
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.4250
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.4250
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.4250
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.4050
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.4050
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.4050
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.4050
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.4000
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.4000
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.4000
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.4050
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.4050
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.4050
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.4050
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.3750
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.3750
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.3750
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1094.41, Sell volume: 316.11, Average price: 0.5724, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.6250
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.6250
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.6250
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.6250
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.6600
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.6600
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.6600
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.6600
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.6600
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.6600
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.6200
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.6200
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.6200
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.6200
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.6200
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.6200
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.6200
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1104.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4856, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.4450
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.4300
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.4300
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.4250
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.4250
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.4250
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.3750
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.3750
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.3650
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.3200
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.3400
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.3400
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.3400
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.3350
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.3450
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.3550
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.3550
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.3600
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.3600
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.3600
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.3600
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 572.63, Sell volume: 256.00, Average price: 0.5711, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.7150
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.6900
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.7100
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.7100
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.7100
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.6950
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.7050
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.7050
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.6850
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.7050
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.7100
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.7000
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.6900
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.7050
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.7050
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.7050
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.7000
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.7000
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.7000
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.7000
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.7000
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.7000
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.7000
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.7000
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.7000
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.7150
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.7350
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.7400
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.7650
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 961.86, Sell volume: 23.23, Average price: 0.4862, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.7869
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.4300
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.3700
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.2800
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.3650
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.3650
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.2550
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.2450
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.3350
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.3250
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.3750
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.3600
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.3250
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.3250
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.3150
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.3050
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.3550
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.3300
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.3250
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.3200
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.3250
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.3250
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.3250
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.3100
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.2850
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.3250
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.3250
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.3150
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.3000
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.3250
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 407.08, Sell volume: 102.48, Average price: 0.5994, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.7550
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.7500
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.7500
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.7500
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.6950
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.6950
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.7000
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.7000
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.7000
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.7000
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.7050
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.7050
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.7050
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.7050
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.7050
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.7000
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.7000
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.6550
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.7150
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.7150
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.7150
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.7150
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.7000
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.6950
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.6950
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.6950
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.6900
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.6900
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.6750
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1159.08, Sell volume: 2.63, Average price: 0.5476, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2450
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.2450
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.2450
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.2350
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.2450
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.2450
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2350
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.2300
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.2250
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.2350
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.2250
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.2450
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.2600
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.2600
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.2650
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.2650
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.2650
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.2650
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.2650
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.2650
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.2650
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 116.89, Sell volume: 5.51, Average price: 0.2500, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.2800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.7350
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.7350
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.7300
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.7300
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.6400
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.6350
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.6250
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.6400
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.6400
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.6400
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.6400
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.6350
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.6300
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.6400
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.6300
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.6400
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.6250
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.6400
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.6300
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.6250
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.6100
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.7700
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.6350
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.6950
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.6450
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.6400
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.6650
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.6650
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.6750
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1084.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6030, Price range: 0.2621 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.2600
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.2650
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.2800
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.2800
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.2900
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.3050
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2800
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.2850
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.2800
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.3250
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.2900
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.2850
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.2900
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.3200
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.3300
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.3300
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.3950
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 2403.64, Sell volume: 170.75, Average price: 0.5579, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.5200
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.4150
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.4200
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.4150
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.4100
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.4100
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.4050
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.3950
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.3850
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.3850
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.3850
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.3950
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.3750
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.3550
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.3550
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.3550
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.3750
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.3750
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.3750
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.3750
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.5550
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.3850
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.3800
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.3850
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.3800
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.3850
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.3850
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.3800
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.3800
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1020.75, Sell volume: 271.39, Average price: 0.5688, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561958
Question: Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Volume: 23581.473601
Price History:
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.6850
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.6600
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.6100
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.6450
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.8000
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.8250
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.8250
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.8050
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.8100
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.8400
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.4050
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.4250
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.5900
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.6700
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.6250
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.6450
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.6350
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.7050
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.6400
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.6150
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.6250
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.4450
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.4250
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.4300
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.4650
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.4850
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.4900
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.9050
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.8800
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 3370.70, Sell volume: 457.21, Average price: 0.5745, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.5850
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.5500
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.2850
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.2850
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.2900
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.2500
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.2600
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.2050
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.2000
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.2000
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.1950
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.1900
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.1900
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.1850
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.1850
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.1900
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.1050
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.1850
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.1950
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.1950
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.2000
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.2000
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.2000
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.2000
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.2000
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.2000
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.2000
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.2000
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.2050
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.2000
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.2000
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.2000
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.2000
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.2000
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.2150
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.2000
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.2000
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.1950
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.2000
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.2000
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.2000
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.2000
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.2000
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.2000
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.2000
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.2000
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.2000
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.2000
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.2000
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 522.49, Sell volume: 196.74, Average price: 0.5217, Price range: 0.1844 - 0.8444

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.8000
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.8000
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.8000
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.8000
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.8000
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.8000
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.8500
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.8500
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.8500
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.8500
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.8500
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.8550
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.8550
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.8550
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.8550
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.8550
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.8500
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.8550
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.8400
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.8550
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.8550
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.8450
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 70.27, Sell volume: 28.75, Average price: 0.3550, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.1450
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.1450
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.1450
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.1550
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.1450
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.1500
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.1550
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.1550
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.1550
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.1450
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.1650
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.1450
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.1600
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.1450
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.1950
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.1550
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.1550
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.1650
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.1600
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.1950
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.1950
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.1600
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.1550
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.2000
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.1600
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.1550
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.1450
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.1650
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.1550
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.1650
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.1800
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.1900
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.2000
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.1750
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.1850
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.1950
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.1900
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.1650
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.1650
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.1650
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.1650
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.1650
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.1650
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.1650
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.1700
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.1700
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.1700
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.1700
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.1750
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 263.33, Sell volume: 89.96, Average price: 0.6099, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8775

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.8500
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.8500
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.8600
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.8600
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.8600
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.8600
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.8600
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.8600
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.8600
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.8600
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.8600
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.8600
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.8600
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.8600
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.8850
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.8900
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.8850
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.8800
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.8850
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.8850
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.8800
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.8800
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.8750
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.8750
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.8750
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.8750
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.8750
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.8800
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.8750
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.8700
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.8700
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.8750
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.8700
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.8750
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.8300
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.8300
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.8300
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.8300
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.8300
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.8250
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.8300
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.8200
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.8350
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.8150
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.8200
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.8200
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.8100
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.8250
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.8250
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 19.08, Sell volume: 19.07, Average price: 0.4875, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.1800
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.1800
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.1800
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.1900
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.1800
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.1850
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.1800
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.1800
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.1800
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.1800
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.1800
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.1800
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.1800
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.1800
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.1850
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.1850
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.1800
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.1800
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.1800
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.1800
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.1800
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.1800
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.1850
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.1800
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.1800
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.1800
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.1800
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.1850
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.1800
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.1800
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.1800
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.1800
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.1800
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.1800
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.1800
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.1800
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.3650
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.5250
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.5100
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.5000
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.4850
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.4900
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.4650
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.4750
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.4800
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.4650
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.4750
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.4750
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 34.10, Average price: 0.2902, Price range: 0.0542 - 0.6665

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.5250
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.5300
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.5300
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.5300
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.5350
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.5350
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.5350
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.5450
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.5400
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.5400
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.5500
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.5500
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.5900
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.5950
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.5900
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.6000
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.6000
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.6200
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.6200
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.6200
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.6250
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.6250
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.6250
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.6250
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.7200
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.7450
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.7350
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.7300
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.7400
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.7500
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.7550
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.7600
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.7650
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.7600
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.7700
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.7550
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.7550
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.7550
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.7700
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.7550
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.7300
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.7600
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.7600
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.7550
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.7700
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.7700
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.7650
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.7600
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.7000
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 98.19, Average price: 0.0767, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.1400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.2200
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.2550
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.2850
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.2800
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.2750
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.2300
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.3100
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.3550
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.3550
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.2700
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.2400
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.2400
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.2150
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.2400
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.2400
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.2550
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.2450
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.2250
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.2400
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.2550
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.2250
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.2250
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.2450
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.2300
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.2350
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.2450
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.2300
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.2350
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.2250
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.2350
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.2300
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.2350
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.2400
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.2400
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.2450
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.2400
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.2450
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.2300
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.2400
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 31.34, Average price: 0.2000, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.2000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.6150
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.6150
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.6150
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.6150
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.6150
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.7550
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.7800
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.8800
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.8150
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.8700
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.7850
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.7650
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.7650
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.8250
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.7800
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.7850
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.8200
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.8450
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.7600
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.7300
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.7800
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.7600
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.7800
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.7900
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.7350
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.8300
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.7950
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.7850
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.7700
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.7800
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.7650
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.7300
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.7600
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.7000
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.7050
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.7450
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.7400
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.7700
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7550
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.7350
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.7600
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.7600
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.7550
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 104.25, Sell volume: 110.24, Average price: 0.3860, Price range: 0.1039 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.2650
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.2650
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.2450
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.2450
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.2600
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.2900
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.2450
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.2550
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.2450
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.2650
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.2450
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.2400
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.2400
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.2450
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.2400
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.2400
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.2400
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.2350
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.2400
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.2350
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.2100
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.2100
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.2100
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.2100
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.2250
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.2300
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.2250
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.2250
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.2350
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.2300
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.2300
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.2300
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.2250
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.2400
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.3300
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.2950
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.3150
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.2700
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.2750
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.2750
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.2850
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.2850
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.2850
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.2800
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.2850
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.2800
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.2900
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.7200
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.7250
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.7150
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.7150
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.7200
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.7200
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.7200
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.7150
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.7250
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.7100
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.7150
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.7150
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.7000
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.7000
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.7000
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.7000
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.7000
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.7050
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.7400
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.7150
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.7250
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.7100
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.7000
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.7100
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.7050
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.7250
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.7950
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.7850
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.7550
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.7450
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.7250
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.7250
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.7300
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.7300
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.7250
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.7400
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.7250
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.7400
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.7250
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.7200
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.7200
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.7200
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.7250
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.7250
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.7200
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.7250
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.7200
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.7250
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.7250
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.1900, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.1900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.2700
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.2700
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.2700
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.2750
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.2750
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.2700
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.2700
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.2750
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.2700
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.2700
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.2700
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.2700
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.2700
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.2750
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.2700
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.2750
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.2750
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.2750
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.2750
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.2800
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.2700
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.2700
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.2700
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.2700
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.2750
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.2750
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.4000
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.3150
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.3600
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.2850
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.3600
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.2800
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.3250
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.2350
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.1750
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.1600
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.1500
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.2450
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.2500
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0300
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0255
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0340
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0315
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.0315
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0315
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0315
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0320
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 313.00, Sell volume: 324.97, Average price: 0.7329, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.9670
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.9680
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.9660
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.9685
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9680
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9685
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9680
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.9680
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.9685
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.9685
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.9685
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.9685
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.9685
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.9685
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.9685
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.9685
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.9685
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.9685
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.9685
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.9685
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.9685
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9675
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.9675
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.9675
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.9675
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.9670
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.9680
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.9675
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9665
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.9675
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.9675
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9670
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.9675
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.9660
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9660
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.9670
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.9665
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.9665
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9670
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.9660
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.9655
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9660
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9655
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.9655
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9645
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.9700
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.9785
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9800
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9805
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 584.00, Sell volume: 6.77, Average price: 0.9580, Price range: 0.9430 - 0.9870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0190
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0190
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0190
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0190
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0190
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0175
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0185
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0175
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0190
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0175
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0180
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0190
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0180
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0190
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0180
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0190
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.0185
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0190
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0180
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.0190
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.0190
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0190
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0190
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0190
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0190
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0190
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0185
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0190
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0185
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0185
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0190
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0190
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.0165
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.0165
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0150
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0170
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.0175
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0165
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0190
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0190
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0190
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0190
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0160
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0170
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0165
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0080
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.0080
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.0075
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0070
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 7239.60, Sell volume: 2307.52, Average price: 0.7247, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.5850
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.7200
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.2800
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.7500
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.2150
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.8000
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.1900
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.8100
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.1850
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.8100
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.1850
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.8050
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.2000
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.8000
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.2000
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.8000
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.2000
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.8000
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.2000
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.8000
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.2150
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.8000
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.2000
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.8000
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.2000
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.8000
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.2000
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.8000
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.2000
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 522.49, Sell volume: 196.74, Average price: 0.5217, Price range: 0.1844 - 0.8444
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.8000
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.8000
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.2000
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.8300
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.1500
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.8500
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.1500
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.1500
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.1500
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.1450
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.8550
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.1450
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.8550
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.1450
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.8550
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.1450
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.8550
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 70.27, Sell volume: 28.75, Average price: 0.3550, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.1450
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.8600
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.1450
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.8500
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.1550
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.8400
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.1450
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.8400
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.1600
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.8050
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.1650
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.8250
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.1950
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.8450
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.1550
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.8350
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.1650
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.8300
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.1850
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.8150
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.1850
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.8100
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.1650
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.8350
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.1650
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.8350
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.1650
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.8300
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.1700
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 263.33, Sell volume: 89.96, Average price: 0.6099, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8775
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.8500
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.1550
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.8600
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.1400
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.8600
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.1400
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.8600
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.1400
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.8600
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.1150
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.8800
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.1200
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.8800
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.1250
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.8750
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.1250
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.8800
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.1300
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.8700
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.1250
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.8300
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.1700
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.8300
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.1750
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.8200
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.1650
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.8200
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.1900
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.8250
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 19.08, Sell volume: 19.07, Average price: 0.4875, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.1800
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.8200
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.1850
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.8150
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.1800
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.8200
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.1800
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.8200
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.1800
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.8200
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.1800
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.8200
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.1800
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.8150
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.1800
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.8200
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.1800
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.8200
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.1800
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.8200
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.1800
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.6400
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.5100
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.5000
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.4850
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.5250
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.4850
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.5300
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 34.10, Average price: 0.2902, Price range: 0.0542 - 0.6665
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.5250
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.4750
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.5300
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.4650
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.5450
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.4600
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.5500
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.4100
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.5900
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.3950
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.6200
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.3800
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.6200
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.3800
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.7250
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.7450
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.2500
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.7700
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.2350
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.7700
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.2450
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.7550
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.2750
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.7450
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.2750
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.7700
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.2350
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.7200
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 98.19, Average price: 0.0767, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.1400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.2200
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.3150
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.7700
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.2800
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.6950
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.2750
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.7600
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.2200
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.7800
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.2550
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.7750
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.7600
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2300
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.7550
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.2300
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.7700
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.2450
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.7800
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.7750
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.2350
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.2400
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.7650
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.2600
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 31.34, Average price: 0.2000, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.2000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.6350
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.3850
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.6150
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.8150
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.1850
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9050
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.7550
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.2350
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.2300
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.7600
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.2400
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.7550
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.2400
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.7800
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.1700
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.7700
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.2300
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.7650
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.2600
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.7650
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.2700
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.2550
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.7250
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.2400
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.7650
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 104.25, Sell volume: 110.24, Average price: 0.3860, Price range: 0.1039 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.2650
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.7550
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.2550
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.7400
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.7450
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.2550
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.7600
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.2400
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.7650
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.2350
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.7900
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.2100
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.7900
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.2200
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.7750
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.2300
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.7700
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.2250
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.6550
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.2950
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.7300
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.2750
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.7250
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.2850
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.7200
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.2850
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.7200
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.2850
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.7150
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.2800
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.7200
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.2900
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.7150
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.3000
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.7000
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.3000
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.7050
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.2000
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.7150
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.2850
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.7100
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.2250
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.7850
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.2550
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.7250
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.2750
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.7250
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.2550
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.7250
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.2750
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.7200
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.2700
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.7300
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.2800
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.7300
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.1900, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.1900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.2700
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.7250
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.2700
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.7300
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.2700
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.7300
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.7300
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.2750
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.7200
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.2750
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.7300
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.2750
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.7300
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.2750
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.7300
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.2800
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.6700
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.3150
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.6600
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.3250
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.8150
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.1600
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.7550
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0300
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9770
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0315
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.9685
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0315
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 313.00, Sell volume: 324.97, Average price: 0.7329, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.9670
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0320
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.9685
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0310
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.9685
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0320
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.9685
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0315
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.9685
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0315
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.9685
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0315
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.9685
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0325
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.9675
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0330
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.9675
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0325
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.9675
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0330
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9660
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0335
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9670
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0340
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.9665
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0350
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9650
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0215
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.9810
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 584.00, Sell volume: 6.77, Average price: 0.9580, Price range: 0.9430 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes