Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.8650
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.1350
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.8650
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.1400
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.8600
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.1400
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.8600
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.1400
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.8600
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.1350
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.8650
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.1450
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.8550
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.1300
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.8700
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.1400
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.8600
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.1400
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.8600
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.1350
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.8650
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.1400
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.8600
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.1350
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.8650
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.1400
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.8600
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.1250
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.8750
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.1250
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.8750
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.1200
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.8800
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.1300
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.8700
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.1250
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.8750
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.1300
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.8700
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.1300
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.8700
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.1300
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.8700
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.1350
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.8650
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.1300
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.8700
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.1150
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.8850
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 62.00, Sell volume: 628.10, Average price: 0.6362, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.1050
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.8950
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0950
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9050
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0950
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9050
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0950
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9050
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0950
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9050
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0950
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9050
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9050
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9050
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9100
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9050
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9050
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9050
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9050
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9050
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9050
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9050
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9050
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9050
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9100
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9100
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9100
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9100
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9100
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0600
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9400
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0500
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 528.50, Sell volume: 118.61, Average price: 0.3511, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0700
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0700
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0700
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0700
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0700
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0700
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0700
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0700
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0700
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0700
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0700
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0700
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0700
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0700
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0700
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9400
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9400
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9400
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9400
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9400
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9400
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9400
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0600
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9400
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0600
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9400
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 291.03, Sell volume: 464.51, Average price: 0.6750, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0550
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9450
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0550
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9450
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0550
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9450
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0550
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9450
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0800
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9200
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0800
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9200
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0800
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9200
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0800
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9200
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0800
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9200
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0800
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9200
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0800
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9200
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0750
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0700
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9300
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9100
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0650
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9350
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9350
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9350
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9350
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9350
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9450
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9450
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9450
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9450
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9450
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0450
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 6835.15, Sell volume: 1195.89, Average price: 0.6710, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0700
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 270.01, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.4280, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9150
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9150
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9150
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9150
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9200
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9200
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9150
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 66.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0900
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.1200
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.1200
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.1200
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.1300
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.1300
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.1250
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.1150
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.1200
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2015.15, Sell volume: 414.56, Average price: 0.5208, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.8800
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.8350
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.8450
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.8450
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.8400
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.8450
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.8500
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.8450
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.8450
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.8600
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.8550
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.8500
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.8600
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.8600
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.8600
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.8550
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.8600
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.8600
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.8600
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.8600
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.8600
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.8600
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.8600
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.8850
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.8850
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.8800
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.8800
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1527.59, Sell volume: 401.10, Average price: 0.7745, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.1350
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.1350
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.1350
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.1350
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.1350
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 98.00, Sell volume: 62.70, Average price: 0.6800, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.8650
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.8650
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.8650
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.8650
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.8650
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.8750
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.8700
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.8700
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.8700
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.8300
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.8250
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.8350
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.8350
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.8350
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.8350
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.8300
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.8300
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.8200
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.8150
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.8250
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.8250
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.8250
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.8250
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.8300
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 121.81, Sell volume: 1060.87, Average price: 0.6429, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.1700
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.1700
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.1700
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.1500
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.1450
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.1550
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.1850
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.1900
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.1950
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.1950
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.1900
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.1850
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.1900
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.1950
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.1900
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.1850
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.1850
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.1800
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.1800
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.1900
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.2250
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 839.00, Sell volume: 640.98, Average price: 0.7422, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.8150
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.8100
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.8150
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.8150
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.8500
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.8400
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.8550
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.8400
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.8400
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.8400
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.8400
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.8350
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.8350
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.8350
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.8350
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.8350
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.8350
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.8350
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.8350
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.8350
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.8350
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.8350
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.8350
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 468.00, Sell volume: 8.00, Average price: 0.8387, Price range: 0.8300 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.1500
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.1500
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.1450
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.1350
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.1400
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.1450
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.1350
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.1350
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.1350
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.1400
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.1400
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.1400
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.1350
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.1450
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.1400
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.1350
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.1450
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.1400
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.1300
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.1250
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 465.34, Average price: 0.1500, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.1500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.8650
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.8650
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.8600
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.8600
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.8600
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.8650
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.8550
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.8700
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.8600
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.8600
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.8650
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.8600
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.8650
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.8600
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.8750
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.8750
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.8800
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.8700
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.8750
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.8700
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.8700
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.8700
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.8650
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.8700
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.8850
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.8850
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.8950
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.8850
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.8950
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 62.00, Sell volume: 628.10, Average price: 0.6362, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.1050
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0950
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0950
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0950
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0950
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0600
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0500
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0500
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0500
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0500
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0500
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 528.50, Sell volume: 118.61, Average price: 0.3511, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9400
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9400
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9400
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9400
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9400
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9400
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9400
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9400
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9400
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9400
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9400
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9450
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9450
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 291.03, Sell volume: 464.51, Average price: 0.6750, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0550
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0550
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0550
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0550
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0800
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0800
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0800
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0800
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0800
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0800
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0800
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0750
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0700
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0450
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0450
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0260
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.2015
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 6835.15, Sell volume: 1195.89, Average price: 0.6710, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0165
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9835
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0165
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9835
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0155
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9845
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0165
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9835
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0165
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9835
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0175
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9825
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0170
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9830
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0170
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9830
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0165
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9835
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0175
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9825
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0170
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9830
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0165
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9835
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0170
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9830
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0165
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9835
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0190
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9810
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0185
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9815
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0185
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9815
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0185
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9815
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0180
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9820
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0185
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9815
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0185
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9815
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0185
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9815
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0180
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9820
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0175
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9825
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0175
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 16129.04, Sell volume: 3396.04, Average price: 0.5861, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9800
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0195
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9805
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0195
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9805
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0200
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9800
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0195
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9805
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0200
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9800
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0200
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9800
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0200
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9800
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0200
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9800
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0200
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9800
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0200
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9800
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0200
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9800
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0200
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9800
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0200
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9800
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0195
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9805
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0215
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9785
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0215
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9785
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0225
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9775
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0255
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9745
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0260
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9740
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0260
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9740
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0260
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9740
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0260
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9740
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0260
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9740
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 30.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0330, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.0330

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0270
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9730
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0270
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9730
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0275
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9725
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0265
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9735
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0275
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9725
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0265
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9735
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0275
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9725
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0205
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9795
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0235
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9765
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0245
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9755
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0250
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9750
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9840
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0180
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9820
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0210
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9790
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0210
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9790
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0180
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9820
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0215
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9785
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0205
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0230
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9770
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0230
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9770
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0185
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9815
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0215
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9785
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0235
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9765
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0175
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9825
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0225
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 70.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6030, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9770
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0240
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9760
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0235
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9765
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0225
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9775
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0235
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9765
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0235
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9765
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0240
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9760
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0240
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9760
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0240
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9760
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0235
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9765
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0235
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9765
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0220
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0225
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9775
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0235
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9765
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0235
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9765
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0225
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9775
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0220
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0230
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9770
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0230
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9770
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0235
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9765
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0240
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9760
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0240
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9760
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0220
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0225
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9775
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0220
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 500.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0270, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.0270

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0250
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9750
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0250
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9750
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0250
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9750
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0270
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9730
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0270
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9730
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0280
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9720
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0295
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9705
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0295
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9705
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0295
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9705
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0295
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9705
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0265
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9735
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0265
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9735
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0290
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9710
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0275
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9725
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0275
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9725
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0275
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9725
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0265
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9735
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0260
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9740
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0280
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9720
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0280
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9720
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0280
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9720
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0260
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9740
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0275
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9725
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0275
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9725
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0275
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 23.44, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.8175, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9770

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9725
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0275
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9725
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0270
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9730
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0260
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9740
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0260
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9740
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0275
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9725
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0270
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9730
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0250
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9750
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0250
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9750
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0240
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9760
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0210
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0205
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9795
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0210
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0205
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9795
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0210
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0210
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0210
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0210
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0210
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0210
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 3.30, Sell volume: 463.01, Average price: 0.2620, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9810

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0215
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9785
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 8.63, Sell volume: 144.47, Average price: 0.7875, Price range: 0.0177 - 0.9810

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9810
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0200
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9800
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0195
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9805
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0195
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9805
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0195
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0190
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9810
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0190
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9810
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0190
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9810
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0190
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9810
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0215
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9785
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0175
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9825
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0200
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9800
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0175
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9825
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0175
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9825
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0200
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9800
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 357.19, Sell volume: 350.66, Average price: 0.5015, Price range: 0.0174 - 0.9830

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0200
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9800
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0200
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9800
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0195
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9805
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0200
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9800
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0195
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9805
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0170
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9830
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9855
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9825
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9820
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9820
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9820
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9820
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9825
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9825
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9825
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9825
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9825
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0190
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9810
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0185
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9815
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9820
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9820
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0175
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9825
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0175
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9825
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0180
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9820
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0180
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 95.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8457, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9810
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0190
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9810
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0190
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9810
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0190
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9810
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0190
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9810
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0190
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9810
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0190
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9810
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0190
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9810
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0185
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9815
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0185
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9815
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0190
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9810
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0185
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9815
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0185
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9815
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0185
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9815
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0185
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9815
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0185
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9815
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0170
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9830
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0170
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9830
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0170
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9830
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0175
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9825
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0175
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9825
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0170
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9830
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0165
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0165
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0165
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.0150, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.0150

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0170
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9830
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0165
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0165
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0165
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0165
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0165
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9835
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0175
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9825
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9835
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9835
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0175
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9825
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9835
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9835
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0170
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9830
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0175
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9825
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0170
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9830
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0170
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9830
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0170
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9830
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0175
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9825
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9835
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9835
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9835
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9835
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9835
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9835
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 169.93, Sell volume: 75.44, Average price: 0.3399, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9835
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0165
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9835
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0165
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9835
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 16129.04, Sell volume: 3396.04, Average price: 0.5861, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0185
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9815
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0185
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9815
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9820
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0185
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9815
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9820
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9820
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9820
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9820
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9820
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0200
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9800
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0200
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9800
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0200
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9800
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0200
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9800
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0200
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9800
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0185
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9815
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0175
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9825
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0175
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9825
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0175
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9825
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0175
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9825
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0175
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9825
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0175
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9825
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0115
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9885
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9870
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9870
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0140
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 14840.39, Sell volume: 2157.46, Average price: 0.6223, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0165
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0165
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0155
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0165
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0165
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0175
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0170
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0170
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0165
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0175
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0170
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0165
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0170
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0165
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0190
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0185
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0185
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0185
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0180
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0185
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0185
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0185
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0180
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0175
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0175
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0190
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0200
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0195
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0195
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 16129.04, Sell volume: 3396.04, Average price: 0.5861, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9800
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9805
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9805
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9800
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9805
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9800
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9800
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9800
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9800
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9800
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9800
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9800
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9800
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9800
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9805
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9785
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9785
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9775
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9745
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9740
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9740
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9740
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9740
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9740
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9740
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9740
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9740
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9745
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 30.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0330, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.0330
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0270
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0270
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0275
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0265
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0275
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0265
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0275
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0205
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0235
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0245
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0250
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0180
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0210
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0210
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0180
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0215
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0230
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0230
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0185
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0215
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0235
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0175
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0225
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0225
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0225
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0235
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0225
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 70.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6030, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9770
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9760
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9765
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9775
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9765
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9765
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9760
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9760
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9760
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9765
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9765
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9775
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9765
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9765
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9775
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9770
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9770
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9765
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9760
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9760
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9775
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9765
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9770
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9760
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9770
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 500.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0270, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.0270
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0250
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0250
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0250
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0270
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0270
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0280
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0295
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0295
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0295
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0295
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0265
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0265
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0290
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0275
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0275
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0275
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0265
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0260
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0280
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0280
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0280
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0260
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0275
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0275
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0275
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0280
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0270
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0270
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0270
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 23.44, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.8175, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9725
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9725
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9730
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9740
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9740
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9725
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9730
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9750
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9750
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9760
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9795
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9795
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 3.30, Sell volume: 463.01, Average price: 0.2620, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0215
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 8.63, Sell volume: 144.47, Average price: 0.7875, Price range: 0.0177 - 0.9810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9810
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9800
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9805
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9805
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9810
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9810
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9810
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9810
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9785
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9825
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9800
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9825
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9825
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9800
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9800
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9800
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9800
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9805
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 357.19, Sell volume: 350.66, Average price: 0.5015, Price range: 0.0174 - 0.9830
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0200
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0200
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0195
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0200
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0195
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0170
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0190
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0185
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0175
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0175
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0180
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0180
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0175
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0175
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0185
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0185
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 95.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8457, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9810
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9810
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9810
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9810
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9810
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9810
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9810
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9810
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9815
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9815
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9810
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9815
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9815
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9815
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9815
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9815
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9830
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9830
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9830
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9825
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9825
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9830
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9830
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.0150, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.0150
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0170
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0165
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0165
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0165
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0165
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0175
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0175
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0170
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0175
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0170
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0170
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0170
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0175
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 169.93, Sell volume: 75.44, Average price: 0.3399, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9835
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9835
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9835
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9815
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9820
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9815
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9815
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 16129.04, Sell volume: 3396.04, Average price: 0.5861, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538690
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
Volume: 19525.082389
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0185
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0185
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0185
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0200
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0200
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0200
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0200
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0200
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0185
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0175
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0175
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0175
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0175
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0175
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0175
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0115
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0140
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0125
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 14840.39, Sell volume: 2157.46, Average price: 0.6223, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0400
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9600
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0400
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9600
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0395
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9605
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0395
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9605
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0400
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9600
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0395
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9605
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0380
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9620
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0370
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9630
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0360
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9640
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0365
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9635
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0360
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9640
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0360
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9640
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0365
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9635
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0355
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9645
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0360
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9640
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0355
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9645
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0345
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9655
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0345
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9655
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0340
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9660
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0470
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9530
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0455
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9545
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0455
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9545
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9550
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0490
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9510
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 470.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5180, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9580
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0430
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9570
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0425
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9575
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0455
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9545
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0425
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9575
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0405
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9595
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0395
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9605
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0385
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9615
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0480
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9520
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0525
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9475
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0425
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9575
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0425
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9575
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0435
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9565
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0445
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9555
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0440
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9560
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0435
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9565
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0430
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9570
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0430
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9570
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0430
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9570
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0430
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9570
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0405
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9595
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0425
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9575
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0420
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9580
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0415
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9585
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0410
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9590
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 382.11, Sell volume: 136.10, Average price: 0.5048, Price range: 0.0440 - 0.9707

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0415
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9585
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0420
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9580
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0420
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9580
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0430
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9570
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0425
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9575
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0410
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9590
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0415
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9585
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0425
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9575
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0410
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9590
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0410
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9590
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0420
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9580
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0415
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9585
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0410
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9590
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0410
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9590
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0410
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9590
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0415
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9585
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0415
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9585
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0420
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9580
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0420
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9580
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0420
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9580
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0440
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9560
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0415
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9585
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0420
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9580
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0415
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9585
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0415
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9585
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 166.12, Sell volume: 5.19, Average price: 0.2754, Price range: 0.0360 - 0.9680

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9585
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0395
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9605
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0405
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9595
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0405
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9595
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0405
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9595
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0405
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9595
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0405
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9595
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0405
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9595
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0395
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9605
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0390
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9610
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0395
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9605
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0390
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9610
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0395
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9605
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0395
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9605
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0405
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9595
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0415
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9585
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9600
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0405
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9595
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0410
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9590
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0420
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9580
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0400
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9600
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0425
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9575
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0410
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9590
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0395
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9605
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0395
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9605
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 785.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3537, Price range: 0.0470 - 0.9660

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0420
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9580
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0445
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9555
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0455
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9545
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0435
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9565
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0450
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9550
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0420
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9580
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0425
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9575
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0440
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9560
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0435
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9565
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0405
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9595
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9590
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0405
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9595
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0445
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9555
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0435
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9565
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0430
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9570
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0430
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9570
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0435
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9565
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0435
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9565
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0430
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9570
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0425
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9575
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0430
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9570
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0435
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9565
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0450
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9550
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9550
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0390
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0470, Price range: 0.0470 - 0.0470

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0410
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9600
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0395
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9605
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0405
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9595
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0410
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0420
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9580
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0425
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9575
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0430
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9570
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0430
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9570
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0385
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9615
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0390
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9610
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0385
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9615
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0390
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9610
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0390
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9610
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0390
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9610
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0385
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9615
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0385
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9615
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0390
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9610
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0425
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9575
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0445
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9555
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0450
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9550
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9550
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0460
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9540
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0455
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9545
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 638.82, Sell volume: 246.79, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.0398 - 0.9690

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9550
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9550
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0455
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9545
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0455
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9545
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0455
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9545
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0435
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9565
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0445
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9555
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0440
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9560
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0440
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9560
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0420
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9580
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0415
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9585
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0430
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9570
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0430
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9570
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0440
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9560
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9550
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0430
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9570
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0445
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9555
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0440
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9560
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0410
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9590
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0415
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9585
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0405
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9595
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0375
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9625
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0375
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9625
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0385
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9615
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0390
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 382.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9648, Price range: 0.9616 - 0.9680

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9625
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0355
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9645
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0355
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9645
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0355
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9645
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0345
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9655
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0330
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9670
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0335
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9665
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0325
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9675
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0325
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9675
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0320
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9680
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0320
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9680
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0290
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9710
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0305
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9695
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0300
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9700
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0310
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9690
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0320
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9680
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0330
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9670
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0335
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9665
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0340
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9660
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0320
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9680
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0345
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9655
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0340
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9660
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0325
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9675
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0340
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9660
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0280
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1414.69, Sell volume: 4.00, Average price: 0.6568, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9719

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0300
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9700
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0270
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9730
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0280
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9720
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0280
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9720
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0275
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9725
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0325
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9675
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0310
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9690
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0310
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9690
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0320
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9680
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0320
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9680
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0325
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9675
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0320
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9680
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0280
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9720
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0325
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9675
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0335
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9665
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0340
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9660
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0295
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9705
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0270
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9730
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0290
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9710
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0285
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9715
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0285
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9715
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0270
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9730
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0270
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9730
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0265
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9735
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0270
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 147.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9757, Price range: 0.9710 - 0.9780

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0280
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0280
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0285
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9715
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0300
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9700
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0290
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9710
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0270
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9730
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0285
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9715
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0260
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9740
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0275
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9725
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0265
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9735
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0270
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9730
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0270
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9730
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0275
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9725
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0255
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9745
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0255
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9745
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0220
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9780
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0205
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9795
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0200
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9800
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0200
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9800
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0185
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9815
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0180
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9820
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0190
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9810
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0180
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9820
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0180
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9820
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.0187, Price range: 0.0187 - 0.0187

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0185
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9815
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0130
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9870
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0170
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9830
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0170
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9830
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0120
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9880
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0155
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9845
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0105
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9895
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0110
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9890
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0115
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9885
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0115
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9885
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0105
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9895
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0095
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9905
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0090
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9910
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0125
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9875
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0100
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9900
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0110
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9890
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0090
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9910
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0090
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9910
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0105
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9895
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0110
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9890
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0110
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9890
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0135
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9865
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0180
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9820
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0185
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9815
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0180
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2344.90, Sell volume: 249.04, Average price: 0.4331, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9830
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0185
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9815
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0185
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9815
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0185
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9815
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0190
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9810
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0190
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9810
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0190
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9810
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0235
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9765
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0230
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9770
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0230
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9770
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0225
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9775
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0240
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9760
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0235
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9765
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0230
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9770
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0230
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9770
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0235
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9765
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0235
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9765
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0240
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9760
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0230
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9770
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0240
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9760
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0245
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9755
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0245
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9755
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0235
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9765
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0235
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9765
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0240
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9760
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 93.00, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9770

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0240
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9760
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0230
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9770
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0220
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9780
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0220
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9780
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0230
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9770
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0235
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9765
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0225
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9775
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0235
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9765
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0235
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9765
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0225
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9775
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0230
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9770
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0230
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9770
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0230
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9770
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0225
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9775
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0205
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9795
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0195
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9805
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0180
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9820
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0185
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9815
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0190
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9810
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0185
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9815
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0230
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9770
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0235
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9765
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0205
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9795
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0185
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9815
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0155
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 13547.38, Sell volume: 759.68, Average price: 0.6726, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0400
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0400
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0395
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0395
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0400
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0395
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0380
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0370
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0360
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0365
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0360
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0360
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0365
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0355
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0360
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0355
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0345
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0345
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0340
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0470
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0455
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0455
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0490
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0415
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0415
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0445
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0445
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 470.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5180, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9580
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9570
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9575
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9545
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9575
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9595
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9605
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9615
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9520
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9475
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9575
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9575
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9565
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9555
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9560
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9565
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9570
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9570
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9570
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9570
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9595
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9575
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9580
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9585
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9590
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9585
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9590
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9585
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9580
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 382.11, Sell volume: 136.10, Average price: 0.5048, Price range: 0.0440 - 0.9707
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0415
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0420
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0420
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0430
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0425
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0410
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0415
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0425
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0410
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0410
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0420
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0415
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0410
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0410
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0410
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0415
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0415
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0420
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0420
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0420
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0440
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0415
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0420
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0415
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0415
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0390
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0395
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0400
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0430
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 166.12, Sell volume: 5.19, Average price: 0.2754, Price range: 0.0360 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9585
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9605
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9595
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9595
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9595
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9595
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9595
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9595
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9605
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9610
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9605
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9610
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9605
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9605
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9595
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9585
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9600
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9595
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9590
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9580
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9600
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9575
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9590
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9605
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9605
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9595
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9595
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9595
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9600
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 785.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3537, Price range: 0.0470 - 0.9660
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0420
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0445
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0455
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0435
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0450
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0420
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0425
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0440
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0435
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0405
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0405
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0445
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0435
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0430
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0430
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0435
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0435
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0430
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0425
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0430
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0435
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0450
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0390
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0425
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0395
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0400
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0420
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0470, Price range: 0.0470 - 0.0470
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9600
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9605
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9595
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9580
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9575
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9570
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9570
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9615
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9610
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9615
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9610
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9610
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9610
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9615
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9615
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9610
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9575
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9555
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9550
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9550
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9540
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9545
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9540
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9545
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9540
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9545
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 638.82, Sell volume: 246.79, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.0398 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0455
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0455
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0455
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0435
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0445
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0440
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0440
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0420
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0415
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0430
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0430
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0440
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0430
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0445
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0440
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0410
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0415
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0405
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0375
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0375
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0385
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0390
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0365
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0370
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0365
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0365
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 382.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9648, Price range: 0.9616 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9625
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9645
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9645
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9645
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9655
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9670
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9665
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9675
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9675
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9680
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9680
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9710
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9695
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9700
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9690
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9680
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9670
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9665
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9660
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9680
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9655
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9660
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9675
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9660
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9715
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9710
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9720
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1414.69, Sell volume: 4.00, Average price: 0.6568, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9719
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0300
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0270
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0280
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0280
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0275
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0325
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0310
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0310
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0320
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0320
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0325
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0320
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0280
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0325
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0335
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0340
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0295
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0270
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0290
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0285
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0285
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0270
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0270
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0265
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0270
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0260
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0250
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0275
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0270
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 147.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9757, Price range: 0.9710 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9715
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9700
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9710
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9730
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9715
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9740
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9725
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9735
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9730
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9730
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9725
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9745
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9745
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9780
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9795
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9800
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9800
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9815
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9820
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9810
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9820
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9820
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9820
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9800
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9820
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9820
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.0187, Price range: 0.0187 - 0.0187
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0185
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0130
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0170
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0170
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0120
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0155
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0105
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0110
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0115
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0115
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0105
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0095
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0090
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0125
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0100
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0110
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0090
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0090
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0105
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0110
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0110
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0135
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0180
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0185
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0180
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0180
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0195
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0200
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0205
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2344.90, Sell volume: 249.04, Average price: 0.4331, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9830
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9815
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9815
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9815
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9810
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9810
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9810
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9765
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9770
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9770
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9775
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9760
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9765
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9770
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9770
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9765
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9765
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9760
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9770
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9760
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9755
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9755
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9765
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9765
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9760
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9760
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9760
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9760
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9760
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 93.00, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538691
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
Volume: 22126.357823
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0240
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0230
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0220
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0220
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0230
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0235
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0225
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0235
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0235
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0225
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0230
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0230
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0230
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0225
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0205
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0195
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0180
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0185
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0190
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0185
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0230
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0235
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0205
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0185
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0155
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0205
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0200
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0185
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0180
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 13547.38, Sell volume: 759.68, Average price: 0.6726, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564603
Question: Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 236891.000485
Price History:
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.4050
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.7100
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.3150
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.6550
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.3500
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.6250
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.3800
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.6200
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.5100
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.5850
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.4950
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.5050
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.4950
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.5050
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.4950
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.4250
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.5600
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.4300
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.5650
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.4250
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.5600
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.4600
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.5400
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.4600
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.6300
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.3200
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.6900
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.3650
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.6250
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.3750
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.6250
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.3700
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.6250
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.3750
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.5850
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.4150
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.5550
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.4450
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.5550
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.4200
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.5800
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.4250
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.5750
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.4250
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.3900
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.5850
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.4150
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.5850
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.3450
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 4020.92, Sell volume: 2187.47, Average price: 0.5135, Price range: 0.1817 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564603
Question: Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 236891.000485
Price History:
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.7400
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.5200
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.6450
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.3350
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.6850
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.3050
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.3050
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.6950
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.3050
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.6950
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.3050
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.6950
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.3050
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.6950
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.3050
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.6950
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.3050
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.7000
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.3000
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.7500
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.2800
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.7350
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.2650
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.7350
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.2650
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.7350
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.2650
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.7350
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.4350
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.6650
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.3900
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.5600
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.4350
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.5500
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.4500
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.5500
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.4300
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.5700
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.3950
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.6050
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.3900
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.6400
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.3750
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.6250
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.3750
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.6250
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.3750
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.6250
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1734.52, Sell volume: 586.63, Average price: 0.3879, Price range: 0.2311 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564603
Question: Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 236891.000485
Price History:
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.4050
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.6150
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.4050
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.5800
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.4550
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.5400
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.4200
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.5750
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.4250
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.5750
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.4350
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.5650
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.4350
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.5700
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.4300
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.5700
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.4300
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.5700
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.4300
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.5700
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.4350
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.5650
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.4300
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.5700
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.4300
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.5700
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.4300
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.5700
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.5700
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.4300
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.5700
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.4350
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.5650
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.4200
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.4200
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.4200
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.4100
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.4100
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.5900
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.4100
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.5900
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.4100
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.4300
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.5700
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.4300
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.5550
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.4400
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.4600
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.5400
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 178.79, Sell volume: 239.39, Average price: 0.4862, Price range: 0.3682 - 0.6200

Output: No