Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 694231
Question: Lanka Premier League: Galle Marvels vs Jaffna Kings (Game 1)
Volume: 1375.384614
Price History:
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.5100
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.4900
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1375.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6754, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 694231
Question: Lanka Premier League: Galle Marvels vs Jaffna Kings (Game 1)
Volume: 1375.384614
Price History:
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9450
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0550
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 360.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3020, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 694231
Question: Lanka Premier League: Galle Marvels vs Jaffna Kings (Game 1)
Volume: 1375.384614
Price History:
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.4950
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1375.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6754, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 694231
Question: Lanka Premier League: Galle Marvels vs Jaffna Kings (Game 1)
Volume: 1375.384614
Price History:
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9646, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 694231
Question: Lanka Premier League: Galle Marvels vs Jaffna Kings (Game 1)
Volume: 1375.384614
Price History:
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1375.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6754, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 694231
Question: Lanka Premier League: Galle Marvels vs Jaffna Kings (Game 1)
Volume: 1375.384614
Price History:
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.4850
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5150
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.4800
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1375.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6754, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 694231
Question: Lanka Premier League: Galle Marvels vs Jaffna Kings (Game 1)
Volume: 1375.384614
Price History:
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1375.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6754, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 694231
Question: Lanka Premier League: Galle Marvels vs Jaffna Kings (Game 1)
Volume: 1375.384614
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1375.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6754, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 694231
Question: Lanka Premier League: Galle Marvels vs Jaffna Kings (Game 1)
Volume: 1375.384614
Price History:
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1375.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6754, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 694231
Question: Lanka Premier League: Galle Marvels vs Jaffna Kings (Game 1)
Volume: 1375.384614
Price History:
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.5250
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.4750
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 15.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757711
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 1623.415288
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 24900895.87, Sell volume: 4750209.02, Average price: 0.4918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.6050
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0850
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.9150
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0800
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.9200
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0750
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.9250
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0800
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.9200
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.0800
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.9150
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0750
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.9200
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.9100
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0900
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.9050
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.0950
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.9100
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0950
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.9050
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0950
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.9050
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.0950
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.8800
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.1150
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.9050
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0950
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9050
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.9150
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0850
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.9150
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0850
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.9150
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0850
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.9150
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0850
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9150
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0850
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.9150
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0850
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9150
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0850
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9150
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0850
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.9150
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0850
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.9150
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 6010.22, Sell volume: 2575.63, Average price: 0.4468, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9150
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0850
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9150
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0850
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9150
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0850
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9150
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0850
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.9150
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.0850
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.9150
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0850
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9150
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0850
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9150
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0750
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9250
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0700
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.9300
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0700
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9300
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0700
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9300
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0700
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.9300
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0700
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.9300
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0700
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.9300
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.0700
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.9300
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.0700
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.9300
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.0700
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.9300
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.0700
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.9300
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0700
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.9300
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.9300
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0700
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9300
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.0700
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.9300
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0700
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.9300
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0700
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9300
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1101.74, Sell volume: 1.09, Average price: 0.5276, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9350
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0650
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9350
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0650
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9350
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0650
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.9350
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.0650
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0650
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.0650
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0650
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0700
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.9300
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.0700
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9300
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0700
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9300
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.0700
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.9300
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0700
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.9300
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0700
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.9300
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.0700
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.9300
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.0700
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.9200
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.0800
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.9200
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.9200
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.0800
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.9150
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.0800
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.9150
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.0850
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.9200
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.0850
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.9150
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.0850
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.9150
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.0850
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.9150
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.9200
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 586.06, Sell volume: 282.66, Average price: 0.6406, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.9150
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.0850
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.9150
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.0850
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.9150
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.0850
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.9250
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.0750
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.9250
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0750
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9250
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0750
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.9250
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.9250
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.0700
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.9300
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0700
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.9250
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0750
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.9250
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0750
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.9250
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0750
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.0750
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.9250
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9250
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0750
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9300
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0700
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.9250
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0700
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.9300
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0750
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9250
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.0700
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.9250
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0700
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9250
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 221.42, Sell volume: 133.39, Average price: 0.6378, Price range: 0.0672 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.9300
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0700
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.9250
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0700
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9250
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0700
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9300
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0700
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.9300
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0700
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.9300
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0700
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9300
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0700
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.9300
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.0750
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9250
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0700
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9300
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0700
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.9300
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0700
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.9250
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0700
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9250
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0700
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.9300
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.0700
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.9300
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0700
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9300
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0700
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9300
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.0700
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.9300
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0750
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9250
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0750
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9300
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.0700
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.9300
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.0700
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.9300
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.0700
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.9300
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.0700
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.9300
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0700
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.9300
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 5.37, Sell volume: 42.19, Average price: 0.4952, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9307

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.9300
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.0700
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.9300
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.0700
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.9300
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0700
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.9300
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.0700
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.9300
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.0700
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.9300
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.0700
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.9300
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.0700
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.9300
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.0700
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.9300
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.0700
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.9300
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.0700
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.9300
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.0700
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.9300
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.0700
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.9300
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.0700
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.9300
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.0700
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.9300
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.0700
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.9300
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0700
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.9300
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0700
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.9300
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.0700
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.9300
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.0700
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.9300
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.0700
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.9300
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.0700
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.9350
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.0650
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.9350
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.0650
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.9350
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0650
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.9350
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 155.37, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.9300
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.0700
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9300
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0700
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.9350
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.0650
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.9300
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0700
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.0700
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.0700
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.9300
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.0700
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.9300
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.0700
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.9300
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.0700
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.9300
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0700
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.9300
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.0700
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.9300
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.0700
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.9300
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.0700
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.9300
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.0700
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.9250
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.9250
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.0750
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9250
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.0750
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.9250
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.0750
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.9250
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.0750
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.9250
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0750
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.9250
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.9250
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.0750
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.9250
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1774.70, Sell volume: 1.08, Average price: 0.5025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.9350
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.0650
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.9350
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.0650
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.9350
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.0650
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.9450
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.0550
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.9550
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.0450
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.9550
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0450
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.9550
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0450
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.9550
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.0450
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.9550
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0450
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.9550
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.0450
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.9550
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.9550
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.0450
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.9550
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.0450
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.9550
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.0450
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.9550
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0450
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9550
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0450
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.9550
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.0450
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.9550
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.0450
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.9550
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.0450
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.9550
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.0450
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.9550
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0450
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.9550
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.0450
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.9550
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0450
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.9645
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0355
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.9645
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2700.80, Sell volume: 33.81, Average price: 0.6542, Price range: 0.0223 - 0.9696

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.9840
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.0155
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.9845
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.0165
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.9850
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0150
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.9860
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.0155
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.9775
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.0215
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.9795
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.0220
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.9760
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0245
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.9770
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.0245
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.9755
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.0245
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.9745
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.0255
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.9750
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.0260
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.9735
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0260
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.9635
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.0390
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.9605
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.0425
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.9545
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0375
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.9605
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.9565
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0405
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.9575
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0490
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.9600
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.0395
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.9615
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0445
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9545
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0455
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9555
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0445
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9555
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0445
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.9570
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0440
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.9555
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.0440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 366.15, Sell volume: 1902.80, Average price: 0.7714, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.9756

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9560
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0445
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.9560
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0440
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.9555
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.0445
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.9570
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0440
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.9560
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0445
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.9555
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0430
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9565
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0445
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.9565
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0430
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.9560
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0375
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9580
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0410
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9585
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0415
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.9590
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0425
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9575
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0435
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9575
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0420
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9585
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0410
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9600
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0405
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.9595
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0435
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9600
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0445
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9615
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0415
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.9560
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0445
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.9585
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.0400
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.9615
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0405
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9580
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0370
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9605
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0415
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9595
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1250.28, Sell volume: 119.34, Average price: 0.4381, Price range: 0.0357 - 0.9670

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9610
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0415
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9595
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0405
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9600
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0415
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.9590
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0405
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9565
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0440
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9600
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0405
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9590
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0420
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9600
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0420
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9605
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0375
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9590
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0420
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9565
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9525
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0485
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9515
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0485
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9540
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0460
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9540
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0460
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9540
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0455
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9540
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0465
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9535
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0465
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9535
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0465
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9575
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0415
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9550
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0415
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9540
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0430
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9560
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0420
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0450
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9550
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1114.49, Sell volume: 274.65, Average price: 0.7599, Price range: 0.0440 - 0.9680

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9545
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0435
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9540
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0150
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9805
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9890
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0115
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9855
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0085
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9920
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0295
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9785
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0300
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9775
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0240
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9785
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0195
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9765
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0255
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9805
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0330
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9755
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0270
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9745
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0280
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9755
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9760
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0210
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9930
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0160
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9835
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9840
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0160
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9890
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0095
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9930
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0060
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9935
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9915
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3851.41, Sell volume: 2078.85, Average price: 0.4652, Price range: 0.0019 - 0.9860

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9870
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9870
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.8585
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.1340
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9150
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0805
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.9135
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0860
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.9185
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0735
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.9275
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.0735
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.9265
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.0715
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.9270
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.0735
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.9265
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.0730
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.9265
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.0770
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.9265
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0735
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.9260
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0520
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.9670
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.0310
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.9915
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.0095
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.9920
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.0085
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.9835
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0175
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.9910
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0085
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.9925
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.0100
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.9920
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0075
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.9935
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.0075
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.9940
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.0055
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.9935
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.0060
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.9940
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.0050
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.9950
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 8432.42, Sell volume: 4028.61, Average price: 0.5542, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.6050
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.9200
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.9200
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.9200
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.9200
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.9250
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.9200
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.9100
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.9050
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.9100
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.9050
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9050
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.9050
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.8800
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.9050
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.9050
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9000
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.9150
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.9150
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.9150
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.9150
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.9150
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.9150
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.9150
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.9150
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9150
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.9150
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.9150
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 6010.22, Sell volume: 2575.63, Average price: 0.4468, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9150
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9150
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9150
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9150
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9150
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9150
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.9150
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9150
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.9150
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.9250
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.9300
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9300
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.9300
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9300
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.9300
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.9300
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.9300
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.9300
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.9300
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.9300
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.9300
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.9300
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.9300
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9300
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.9300
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9300
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9300
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.9300
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9300
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1101.74, Sell volume: 1.09, Average price: 0.5276, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9350
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.9350
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.9350
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.9350
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.9350
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.9300
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.9300
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.9300
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.9300
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.9300
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.9300
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.9300
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.9300
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.9300
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.9200
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.9200
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.9200
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.9150
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.9150
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.9150
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.9150
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.9150
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.9200
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.9150
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.9200
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 586.06, Sell volume: 282.66, Average price: 0.6406, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.9150
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.9150
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.9150
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9150
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.9250
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.9250
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.9250
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.9250
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.9250
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.9250
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.9300
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.9300
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9250
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.9250
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.9250
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9250
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.9250
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9250
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9300
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.9250
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.9250
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9250
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9250
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 221.42, Sell volume: 133.39, Average price: 0.6378, Price range: 0.0672 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.9300
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9300
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9300
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.9250
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9300
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.9250
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9300
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9300
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9300
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.9300
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9300
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9300
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.9300
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9300
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9250
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9300
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9250
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.9300
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.9300
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.9300
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.9300
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9250
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9250
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.9250
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.9300
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.9300
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.9300
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.9300
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.9300
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 5.37, Sell volume: 42.19, Average price: 0.4952, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9307
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.9300
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.9300
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.9300
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.9300
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.9300
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.9300
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.9300
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.9300
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.9300
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.9300
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.9300
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9300
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.9300
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.9300
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.9300
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.9300
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.9300
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.9300
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.9300
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.9300
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.9300
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.9300
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.9300
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.9300
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.9300
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.9350
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.9350
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.9350
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.9350
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 155.37, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.9300
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.9300
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.9350
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.9300
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.9300
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.9300
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9300
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.9300
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.9300
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9300
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.9300
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.9300
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.9300
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.9300
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.9300
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.9300
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.9250
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.9250
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9250
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.9250
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.9250
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.9250
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.9250
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.9250
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9250
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.9250
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1774.70, Sell volume: 1.08, Average price: 0.5025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.9350
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.9350
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.9350
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.9450
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.9450
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.9550
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.9550
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.9550
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.9550
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.9550
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9550
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.9550
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.9550
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.9550
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.9550
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9550
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.9550
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.9550
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.9550
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9550
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9550
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.9550
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.9550
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.9550
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.9550
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9550
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.9550
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.9660
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.9645
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2700.80, Sell volume: 33.81, Average price: 0.6542, Price range: 0.0223 - 0.9696
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.9840
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.9865
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.9840
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.9840
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.9845
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.9790
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.9785
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.9760
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9750
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.9755
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.9745
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.9745
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.9740
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.9745
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.9635
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.9560
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.9560
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.9590
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.9600
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.9610
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9625
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.9600
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.9605
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9570
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.9545
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9555
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9550
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.9555
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.9555
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.9555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 366.15, Sell volume: 1902.80, Average price: 0.7714, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.9756
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9560
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9565
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.9560
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.9560
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.9560
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9555
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9555
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9565
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9565
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9560
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9570
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9590
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9590
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9585
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9575
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9590
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9575
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9585
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9595
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9575
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9595
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9615
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9600
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.9540
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.9570
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9595
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9585
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9620
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9595
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.9590
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1250.28, Sell volume: 119.34, Average price: 0.4381, Price range: 0.0357 - 0.9670
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9610
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9590
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9595
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9590
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9595
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9585
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9590
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9590
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9565
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9595
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9580
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9580
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9575
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9525
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9515
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9525
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9540
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9540
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9545
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9535
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9535
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9535
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9535
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9545
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9540
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9570
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9555
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9565
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9550
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1114.49, Sell volume: 274.65, Average price: 0.7599, Price range: 0.0440 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9545
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9565
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9740
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9890
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9885
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9895
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9905
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9785
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9770
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9775
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9780
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9745
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9730
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9750
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9745
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9780
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9910
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9845
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9835
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9840
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9840
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9905
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9940
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9930
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9915
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3851.41, Sell volume: 2078.85, Average price: 0.4652, Price range: 0.0019 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521256
Question: Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Volume: 43740.946543
Price History:
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9870
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9870
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9855
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.8665
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.9195
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.9140
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.9215
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.9275
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.9255
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.9255
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.9265
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.9270
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.9270
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.9265
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.9260
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.9655
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.9695
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.9905
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.9915
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.9825
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.9915
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.9925
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.9915
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.9935
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.9940
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.9945
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.9925
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.9940
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.9950
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 8432.42, Sell volume: 4028.61, Average price: 0.5542, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 289, Buy volume: 5088.27, Sell volume: 2624.77, Average price: 0.5173, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 289, Buy volume: 5088.27, Sell volume: 2624.77, Average price: 0.5173, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 289, Buy volume: 5088.27, Sell volume: 2624.77, Average price: 0.5173, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 2342.56, Sell volume: 292.69, Average price: 0.5507, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7547

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 280, Buy volume: 4272.39, Sell volume: 2624.77, Average price: 0.5178, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 280, Buy volume: 4272.39, Sell volume: 2624.77, Average price: 0.5178, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 280, Buy volume: 4272.39, Sell volume: 2624.77, Average price: 0.5178, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 280, Buy volume: 4272.39, Sell volume: 2624.77, Average price: 0.5178, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 280, Buy volume: 4272.39, Sell volume: 2624.77, Average price: 0.5178, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 280, Buy volume: 4272.39, Sell volume: 2624.77, Average price: 0.5178, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 280, Buy volume: 4272.39, Sell volume: 2624.77, Average price: 0.5178, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 280, Buy volume: 4272.39, Sell volume: 2624.77, Average price: 0.5178, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 289, Buy volume: 5088.27, Sell volume: 2624.77, Average price: 0.5173, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 289, Buy volume: 5088.27, Sell volume: 2624.77, Average price: 0.5173, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 289, Buy volume: 5088.27, Sell volume: 2624.77, Average price: 0.5173, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 2342.56, Sell volume: 292.69, Average price: 0.5507, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7547
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 280, Buy volume: 4272.39, Sell volume: 2624.77, Average price: 0.5178, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 280, Buy volume: 4272.39, Sell volume: 2624.77, Average price: 0.5178, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 280, Buy volume: 4272.39, Sell volume: 2624.77, Average price: 0.5178, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 280, Buy volume: 4272.39, Sell volume: 2624.77, Average price: 0.5178, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 280, Buy volume: 4272.39, Sell volume: 2624.77, Average price: 0.5178, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 280, Buy volume: 4272.39, Sell volume: 2624.77, Average price: 0.5178, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 280, Buy volume: 4272.39, Sell volume: 2624.77, Average price: 0.5178, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754341
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 7713.04283
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 280, Buy volume: 4272.39, Sell volume: 2624.77, Average price: 0.5178, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680663
Question: Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 189780.596253
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4500
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.8500
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.1500
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.8550
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.1450
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.8550
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.1450
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.8600
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.1400
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.8600
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.1400
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.8500
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.1500
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 129.73, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6640, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680663
Question: Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 189780.596253
Price History:
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 85.55, Sell volume: 62.35, Average price: 0.6152, Price range: 0.1612 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680663
Question: Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 189780.596253
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.1550
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.1550
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.1550
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.1550
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.1550
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.1550
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.1550
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.1550
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 482, Buy volume: 158874.99, Sell volume: 30905.61, Average price: 0.5350, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680663
Question: Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 189780.596253
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 366.19, Sell volume: 42.27, Average price: 0.5411, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680663
Question: Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 189780.596253
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 478.50, Sell volume: 170.58, Average price: 0.2980, Price range: 0.1499 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680663
Question: Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 189780.596253
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.1550
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8450
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 70.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6300, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680663
Question: Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 189780.596253
Price History:
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8450
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.1550
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8350
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.1650
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.7000
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.3000
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5450
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4550
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5400
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.7350
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2869.35, Sell volume: 118.95, Average price: 0.4949, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680663
Question: Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 189780.596253
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.7750
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.2250
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.2600
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.2600
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.2600
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.2600
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.2600
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.7600
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.2400
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.7600
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.2400
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.7500
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 280.79, Sell volume: 172.99, Average price: 0.5704, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680663
Question: Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 189780.596253
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.6300
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1556.00, Sell volume: 193.16, Average price: 0.4253, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680663
Question: Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 189780.596253
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.4650
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.5350
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.5150
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 941.73, Sell volume: 1564.37, Average price: 0.5019, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.5500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680663
Question: Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 189780.596253
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.5300
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.4700
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.5450
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.4550
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.5600
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.4400
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.5600
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1814.73, Sell volume: 584.78, Average price: 0.4699, Price range: 0.4082 - 0.6300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680663
Question: Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 189780.596253
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5700
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.4300
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.4800
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 30729.36, Sell volume: 299.38, Average price: 0.4981, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.5900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680663
Question: Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 189780.596253
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4850
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5150
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5150
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3550
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.6450
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6350
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 8027.31, Sell volume: 3133.41, Average price: 0.5086, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680663
Question: Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 189780.596253
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4500
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.8500
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.1500
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.8550
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.1450
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.8550
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.1450
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.8600
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.1400
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.8600
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.1400
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.8500
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.1500
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 129.73, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6640, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680663
Question: Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 189780.596253
Price History:
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 85.55, Sell volume: 62.35, Average price: 0.6152, Price range: 0.1612 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680663
Question: Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 189780.596253
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.1550
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.1550
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.1550
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.1550
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.1550
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.1550
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.1550
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.1550
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 482, Buy volume: 158874.99, Sell volume: 30905.61, Average price: 0.5350, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680663
Question: Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 189780.596253
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 366.19, Sell volume: 42.27, Average price: 0.5411, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680663
Question: Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 189780.596253
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 478.50, Sell volume: 170.58, Average price: 0.2980, Price range: 0.1499 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680663
Question: Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 189780.596253
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.1550
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8450
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 70.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6300, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680663
Question: Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 189780.596253
Price History:
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8450
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.1550
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8350
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.1650
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.7000
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.3000
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5450
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4550
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5400
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.7350
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2869.35, Sell volume: 118.95, Average price: 0.4949, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680663
Question: Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 189780.596253
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.7750
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.2250
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.2600
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.2600
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.2600
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.2600
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.2600
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.7600
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.2400
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.7600
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.2400
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.7500
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 280.79, Sell volume: 172.99, Average price: 0.5704, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680663
Question: Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 189780.596253
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.6300
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1556.00, Sell volume: 193.16, Average price: 0.4253, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680663
Question: Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 189780.596253
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.4650
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.5350
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.5150
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 941.73, Sell volume: 1564.37, Average price: 0.5019, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.5500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680663
Question: Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 189780.596253
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.5300
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.4700
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.5450
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.4550
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.5600
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.4400
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.5600
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1814.73, Sell volume: 584.78, Average price: 0.4699, Price range: 0.4082 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No