Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538350
Question: Will Dream's next video get 1.5m-2m views on day 1?
Volume: 7548.816762
Price History:
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.2900
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.7100
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.2900
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 6905.51, Sell volume: 643.31, Average price: 0.6785, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538350
Question: Will Dream's next video get 1.5m-2m views on day 1?
Volume: 7548.816762
Price History:
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3100
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.6900
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.2750
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.7250
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.2750
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.7250
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0300
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9700
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0730
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9270
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.2250
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.7750
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.2350
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.7650
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.2350
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.7650
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.2350
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.7650
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.1850
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.8150
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.2350
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.7650
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.2320
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.7680
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.1680
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.8320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1084.28, Sell volume: 8.70, Average price: 0.5673, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538350
Question: Will Dream's next video get 1.5m-2m views on day 1?
Volume: 7548.816762
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.3265
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.6735
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.3310
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.6690
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.3365
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.6635
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.3345
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.6655
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.2005
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.7995
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.1955
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.8045
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.8150
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.1995
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.8005
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.1955
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.8045
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.1955
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.8045
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.1995
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.8005
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.2040
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.7960
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1955
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.8045
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.1950
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.8050
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.1955
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.8045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 83.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8151, Price range: 0.2270 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538350
Question: Will Dream's next video get 1.5m-2m views on day 1?
Volume: 7548.816762
Price History:
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.1860
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.8140
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.1795
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.8205
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.1785
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.8215
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.1725
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.8275
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.1715
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.8285
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.1705
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.8295
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.1695
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.8305
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.1680
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.8320
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.1645
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.8355
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.1635
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.8365
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.1635
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.8365
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.1615
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.8385
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.1625
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.8375
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.1600
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 6905.51, Sell volume: 643.31, Average price: 0.6785, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538350
Question: Will Dream's next video get 1.5m-2m views on day 1?
Volume: 7548.816762
Price History:
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.1390
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.8610
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.1380
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.8620
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.1370
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.8630
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.1325
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.8675
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.1320
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.8680
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.1290
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.8710
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.1260
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.8740
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.1250
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1245
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.8755
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.1235
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.8765
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.1235
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.8765
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.1220
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.8780
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.1180
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.8820
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.1145
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.8855
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.1145
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.8855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 6905.51, Sell volume: 643.31, Average price: 0.6785, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538350
Question: Will Dream's next video get 1.5m-2m views on day 1?
Volume: 7548.816762
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0785
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9215
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0760
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9240
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0650
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9350
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.1060
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.8940
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.1035
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.8965
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.1055
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.8945
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.1785
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.8215
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.1785
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.8215
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.1805
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.8195
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.1820
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.8180
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.1805
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.8195
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.1815
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.8185
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.1795
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.8205
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.1815
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.8185
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.1790
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.8210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 51.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1595, Price range: 0.1180 - 0.2010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538350
Question: Will Dream's next video get 1.5m-2m views on day 1?
Volume: 7548.816762
Price History:
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.1880
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.8120
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.1880
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.8120
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.1880
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.8120
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.1895
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.8105
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.1880
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.8120
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.1880
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.8120
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.1880
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.8120
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.1880
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.8120
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0215
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9785
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 5482.00, Sell volume: 630.82, Average price: 0.8016, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.3500
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.6500
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.3500
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.6500
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.3500
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.6500
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0550
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9400
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9400
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.9400
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.2300
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.7700
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.1850
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.8150
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.1050
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.8950
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.1050
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.8950
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.1050
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.8950
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.1100
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.8900
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.1100
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.8900
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.1100
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.8900
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.1100
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.8900
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.1100
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.8900
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.1100
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.8900
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.1100
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 172.70, Sell volume: 0.69, Average price: 0.6886, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.1100
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.8900
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.1100
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.8900
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.1100
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.8900
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.8850
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.1150
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.8850
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.1150
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 131.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.3050
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.6950
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.3200
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.6800
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.3250
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.6750
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.2650
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.7350
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.3250
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.6750
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.2900
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.7100
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.2700
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.7300
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.2200
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.7800
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.2150
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.7850
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2150
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.7850
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2100
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.7900
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2100
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.7900
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2000
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.8000
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.8150
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1800
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.8200
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1750
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.8250
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1650
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.8350
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1700
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.8300
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1700
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.8300
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.1550
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.8450
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.1750
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.8250
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.2000
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.8000
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.2000
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.8000
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.2000
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 300.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8800, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.2000
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.8000
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.2000
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.8000
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.2000
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.8000
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.2050
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.7950
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.2050
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.7950
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.2450
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.7550
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.2600
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.7400
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.2550
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.7450
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.2600
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.7400
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.2550
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.7450
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.2600
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.7400
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.2600
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.7400
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.7400
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.7400
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.2450
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.7550
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.2450
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.7550
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.2450
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.7550
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.2450
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.7550
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.2450
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.7550
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.7600
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.7600
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.2300
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.7700
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 17384.41, Sell volume: 631.51, Average price: 0.6379, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.2450
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.7550
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.7600
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.7600
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.7600
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.7600
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.2650
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.7350
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.2450
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.7550
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.2550
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.7450
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.7450
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.2450
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.7550
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.2450
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.7550
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.2550
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.7450
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 34.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3525, Price range: 0.3525 - 0.3525

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.7350
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.2750
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.7250
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.2950
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.7050
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.2950
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.7050
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.3050
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.6950
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.3100
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.6900
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.3000
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.7000
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.3100
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.6900
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.2650
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.7350
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.2650
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.7350
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.7250
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.7250
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.7250
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.7250
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.7250
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.7250
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.7250
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 40.99, Average price: 0.2550, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.2600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.2750
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.7250
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.2750
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.7250
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.2950
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.7050
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.2950
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.7050
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.2950
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.7050
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.2950
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.7050
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.2950
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.7050
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.2950
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.7050
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.2950
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 17384.41, Sell volume: 631.51, Average price: 0.6379, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0150
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9850
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.1935
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.8065
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.2055
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.7945
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.2150
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.7850
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.3055
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.6945
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.3055
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.6945
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.3055
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.6945
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.3055
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.6945
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.3050
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.6950
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.3055
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.6945
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.3055
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.6945
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.3035
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.6965
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.3045
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.6955
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.3280
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.6720
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.3300
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.6700
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.3280
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.6720
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.3285
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.6715
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.3295
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.6705
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.3335
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.6665
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.3345
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.6655
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.3335
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.6665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 290.00, Sell volume: 42.13, Average price: 0.7550, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.3320
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.6680
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.3310
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.6690
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.3320
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.6680
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.3320
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.6680
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.4105
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5895
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.5225
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.4775
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.5130
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.4870
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.5180
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.4820
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.5130
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.4870
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.5130
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.4870
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.5135
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.4865
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.5130
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.4870
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.5130
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.4870
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.5130
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.4870
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.5125
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.4875
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.5105
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.4895
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.5080
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.4920
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.5075
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.4925
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.5030
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.4970
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.4940
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.5060
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.4955
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.5045
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.5030
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.4970
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.5025
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.4975
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.4950
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.5050
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.4970
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.5030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 169.60, Sell volume: 19.01, Average price: 0.5916, Price range: 0.3210 - 0.6890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.4200
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.5800
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.4200
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.5800
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.4200
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.5800
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.4200
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.5800
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.4200
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.5800
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.4200
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.5800
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.4200
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.5800
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.4200
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.5800
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.4165
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.5835
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.4160
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.5840
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.4160
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.5840
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.4160
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.5840
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.4160
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.5840
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.4160
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.5840
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.4805
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.5195
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.4805
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.5195
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.4805
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.5195
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.4775
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.5225
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.4805
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.5195
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.4805
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.5195
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.4805
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.5195
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.4805
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.5195
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.5040
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.4960
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.5095
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.4905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 140.43, Sell volume: 4.57, Average price: 0.4039, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.5105
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.4895
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.5115
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.4885
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.5115
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.4885
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.5115
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.4885
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.5135
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.4865
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.5110
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.4890
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.5115
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.4885
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.5115
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.4885
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.5190
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.4810
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.5200
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.4800
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.5200
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.4800
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.5200
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.4800
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.5200
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.4800
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.5210
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.4790
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.5205
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.4795
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.5420
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.4580
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.5440
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.4560
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.5450
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.4550
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.5450
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.4550
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.5450
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.4550
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.5400
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.4600
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.5400
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.4600
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.5400
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.4600
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.5400
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.4600
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.5400
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 17384.41, Sell volume: 631.51, Average price: 0.6379, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.5400
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.4600
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.5400
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.4600
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.4930
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.5070
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.5005
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.4995
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.4555
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.5445
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.4555
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.5445
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.4555
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.5445
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.4555
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.5445
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.4555
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.5445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 15.39, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5500, Price range: 0.5500 - 0.5500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.4480
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.5520
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.4500
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.5500
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.4500
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.5500
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.4500
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.5500
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.4500
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.5500
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.4500
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.5500
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.4500
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.5500
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9675
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0325
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9920
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0080
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9765
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0235
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9845
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0155
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0125
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9870
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0130
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9860
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0140
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9840
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9870
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0130
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9855
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0145
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9880
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0120
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9870
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0130
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9880
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0120
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9895
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0105
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9890
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0110
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9900
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0100
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9910
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 15970.27, Sell volume: 523.12, Average price: 0.7029, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.3500
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.6500
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.3500
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.6500
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.3500
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.6500
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0550
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9400
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9400
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.9400
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.2300
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.7700
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.1850
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 172.70, Sell volume: 0.69, Average price: 0.6886, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.1100
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.8900
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.1100
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.8900
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.1100
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.8900
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.8850
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.1150
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 131.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.3050
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.6950
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.3200
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.6800
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.3250
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.6750
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.2650
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.7350
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.3250
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.6750
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.2900
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.7100
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.2700
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.7300
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.2200
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.7800
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.2150
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.7850
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2150
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.7850
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2100
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.7900
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2100
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.7900
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2000
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.8000
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 300.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8800, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.2000
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.8000
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.2000
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.8000
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.2000
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.8000
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.2050
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.7950
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.2050
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.7950
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.2450
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.7550
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.2600
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.7400
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.2550
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.7450
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.2600
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.7400
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.2550
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.7450
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.2600
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.7400
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.2600
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.7400
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.7400
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 17384.41, Sell volume: 631.51, Average price: 0.6379, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.2450
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.7550
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.7600
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.7600
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.7600
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.7600
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.2650
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.7350
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.2450
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.7550
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.2550
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.7450
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.7450
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.2450
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.7550
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.2450
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.7550
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 34.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3525, Price range: 0.3525 - 0.3525
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.7350
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.2750
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.7250
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.2950
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.7050
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.2950
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.7050
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.3050
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.6950
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.3100
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.6900
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.3000
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.7000
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.3100
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.6900
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.2650
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.7350
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.2650
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.7350
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.7250
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 40.99, Average price: 0.2550, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.2600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.2750
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.7250
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.2750
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.7250
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 17384.41, Sell volume: 631.51, Average price: 0.6379, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0150
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9850
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.1935
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.8065
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.2055
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.7945
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.2150
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.7850
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.3055
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.6945
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.3055
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.6945
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.3055
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.6945
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.3055
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.6945
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.3050
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.6950
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.3055
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.6945
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.3055
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.6945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 290.00, Sell volume: 42.13, Average price: 0.7550, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.3320
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.6680
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.3310
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.6690
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.3320
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.6680
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.3320
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.6680
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.4105
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5895
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.5225
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.4775
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.5130
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.4870
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.5180
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.4820
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.5130
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.4870
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.5130
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.4870
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.5135
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.4865
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.5130
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.4870
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.5130
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.4870
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.5130
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.4870
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.5125
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.4875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 169.60, Sell volume: 19.01, Average price: 0.5916, Price range: 0.3210 - 0.6890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.4200
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.5800
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.4200
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.5800
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.4200
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.5800
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.4200
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.5800
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.4200
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.5800
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.4200
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.5800
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.4200
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.5800
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.4200
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.5800
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.4165
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.5835
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.4160
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.5840
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.4160
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.5840
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.4160
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.5840
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.4160
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.5840
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.4160
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.5840
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 140.43, Sell volume: 4.57, Average price: 0.4039, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.5105
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.4895
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.5115
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.4885
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.5115
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.4885
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.5115
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.4885
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.5135
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.4865
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.5110
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.4890
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.5115
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.4885
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.5115
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.4885
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.5190
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.4810
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.5200
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.4800
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.5200
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.4800
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.5200
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.4800
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.5200
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.4800
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.5210
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.4790
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.5205
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.4795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 17384.41, Sell volume: 631.51, Average price: 0.6379, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.5400
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.4600
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.5400
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.4600
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 15.39, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5500, Price range: 0.5500 - 0.5500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538351
Question: Will Dream's next video get >2m views on day 1?
Volume: 18015.924642
Price History:
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.4480
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.5520
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.4500
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.5500
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.4500
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.5500
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.4500
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.5500
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.4500
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.5500
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.4500
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.5500
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.4500
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.5500
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9675
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0325
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9920
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0080
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9765
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0235
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9845
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0155
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0125
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9870
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0130
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9860
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 15970.27, Sell volume: 523.12, Average price: 0.7029, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0500
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.5250
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.4800
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9100
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0500
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0450
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9475
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0525
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0540
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9440
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9435
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9430
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0665
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0610
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9380
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9400
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9050
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9335
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0680
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0680
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9265
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.9270
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9375
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9400
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0650
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0580
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9465
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0595
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9405
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0640
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0655
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0650
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9340
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0655
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0640
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0655
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9350
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0675
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9360
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0655
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9370
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0525
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9560
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0475
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9525
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0375
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9625
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0375
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 143833007.44, Sell volume: 13606837.00, Average price: 0.5337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9650
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0225
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0220
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9860
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0140
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0130
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0060
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9950
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9950
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0075
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9915
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9840
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9845
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9845
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0170
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0220
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9745
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0285
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9675
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0265
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9750
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0185
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9815
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0190
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9820
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0150
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9835
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0130
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0130
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0170
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9830
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0180
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9800
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0200
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9800
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0200
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0160
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0170
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9780
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0275
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0275
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0235
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9770
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0235
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9645
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0415
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9580
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0570
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9360
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.1065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 143833007.44, Sell volume: 13606837.00, Average price: 0.5337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9305
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0705
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9350
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0660
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9325
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9325
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9305
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0695
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9320
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0685
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0695
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0690
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.9310
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0695
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0720
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9285
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0765
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9210
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0910
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.9095
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9100
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0905
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0945
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0950
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.9135
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9075
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0500
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0475
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9410
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0570
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0525
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.9480
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0510
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.9490
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0495
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9505
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.0450
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.9605
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0415
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.9590
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0445
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9555
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0410
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9650
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0400
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9585
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0125
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9905
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0105
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 143833007.44, Sell volume: 13606837.00, Average price: 0.5337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9915
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0075
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9925
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0060
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9960
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9910
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9905
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.0100
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0100
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0095
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0095
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.9895
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9955
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0050
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9960
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0055
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0055
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0070
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0070
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9935
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9935
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0070
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0070
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0075
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9925
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0045
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.0045
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0045
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9935
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9935
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0170
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0205
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0205
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9675
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9670
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9605
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0365
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 143833007.44, Sell volume: 13606837.00, Average price: 0.5337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0350
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0350
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9650
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.0345
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.0280
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0255
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9760
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9785
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0220
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.0220
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0275
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0275
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9735
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.0270
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0275
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0280
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0210
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0200
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0170
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0255
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9770
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9675
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.0330
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0385
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0260
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9725
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9740
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9725
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0370
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9600
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0435
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9550
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9680
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9580
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.0425
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9580
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9610
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9615
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0375
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9620
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0310
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.9685
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0340
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0330
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0320
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9650
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0325
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9665
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0340
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 315684, Buy volume: 36479345.98, Sell volume: 3177559.26, Average price: 0.6505, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9860

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9530
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0480
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9550
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0435
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9565
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0430
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0440
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0435
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9565
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0455
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.9555
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0445
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9520
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0575
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9420
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0515
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0525
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9445
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0670
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9410
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9450
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9455
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9450
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9475
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9475
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9475
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0605
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9425
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0665
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9125
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0895
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0920
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0925
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0860
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0845
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0805
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9235
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9285
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.0765
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9080
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9080
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0980
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.1010
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.9015
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0975
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9175
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9095
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9095
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9115
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 473526, Buy volume: 76448585.62, Sell volume: 3788547.66, Average price: 0.5397, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0525
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0520
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0575
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0640
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9475
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9510
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0470
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9520
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0480
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0540
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9390
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0640
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.0645
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0645
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0745
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9200
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.1195
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9000
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0800
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0790
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0780
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0740
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0745
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9285
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0625
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9335
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0865
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9095
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0780
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0780
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.9190
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.0790
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9210
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0790
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9265
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0745
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9265
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0750
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9165
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0845
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9465
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.9465
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9320
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0705
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0715
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 205880, Buy volume: 30509401.56, Sell volume: 6493259.39, Average price: 0.3407, Price range: 0.0360 - 0.9674

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0275
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0380
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9570
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0390
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9725
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0270
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9595
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9550
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9475
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0480
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0425
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9510
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0505
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9495
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0495
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9470
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9465
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9435
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9460
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9505
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0495
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9525
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0475
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0445
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.9485
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9420
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9265
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0640
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9420
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9375
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9530
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9555
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9590
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0325
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0260
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0260
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9765
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 443, Buy volume: 71767.67, Sell volume: 78340.15, Average price: 0.5595, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0040
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 23885.12, Sell volume: 23498.56, Average price: 0.5711, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 135, Buy volume: 21676.47, Sell volume: 17821.55, Average price: 0.7919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 155, Buy volume: 25511.99, Sell volume: 11170.87, Average price: 0.8315, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 33533.07, Sell volume: 14211.74, Average price: 0.7930, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 19499.97, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0500
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.4800
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.4450
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0500
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0525
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9475
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9440
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9420
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9345
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9380
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0950
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0665
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0680
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0725
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0665
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0650
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0535
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9405
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0640
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0660
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9350
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0640
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0650
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9325
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0655
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9495
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0470
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9525
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0375
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 143833007.44, Sell volume: 13606837.00, Average price: 0.5337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9650
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9780
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0140
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0130
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0065
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9930
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9915
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0155
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0155
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0220
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0245
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0275
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9750
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0185
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9810
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0150
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0140
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0135
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9830
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0200
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9800
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0200
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9830
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0295
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0275
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0230
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9765
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0415
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9575
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 143833007.44, Sell volume: 13606837.00, Average price: 0.5337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9305
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9330
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9305
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9325
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9305
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0680
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0695
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0695
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9285
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0790
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9090
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9100
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.9050
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0945
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9075
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9525
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0590
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0525
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.0520
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.9490
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9505
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0395
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9585
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0445
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.9555
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9640
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9585
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0095
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 143833007.44, Sell volume: 13606837.00, Average price: 0.5337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9915
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0075
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9940
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9960
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0075
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0100
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9905
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.0105
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0050
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9960
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0055
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9930
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0065
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0070
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9935
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9930
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0045
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9960
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9955
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9935
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9830
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9795
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9675
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0365
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 143833007.44, Sell volume: 13606837.00, Average price: 0.5337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0350
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0350
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0280
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0255
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0215
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.9780
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0275
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0275
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0270
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0280
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9800
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9830
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9770
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0325
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9630
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9725
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0275
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9630
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0435
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9610
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9585
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9580
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.0385
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9625
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0310
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9685
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0320
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9650
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0335
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 315684, Buy volume: 36479345.98, Sell volume: 3177559.26, Average price: 0.6505, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9530
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0450
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9565
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0430
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9565
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0455
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.9555
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0480
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9425
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0515
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9505
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0670
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9450
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0550
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0525
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9475
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0595
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9155
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0895
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9075
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9140
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0805
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9295
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0920
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9080
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.8990
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0985
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9175
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0885
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 473526, Buy volume: 76448585.62, Sell volume: 3788547.66, Average price: 0.5397, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0525
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9435
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9350
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9510
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0480
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9520
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9390
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9360
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9350
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9200
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.1000
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9200
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0780
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0720
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9335
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0905
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9220
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0780
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9185
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0790
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9265
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0735
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9165
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.9430
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9320
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9285
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 205880, Buy volume: 30509401.56, Sell volume: 6493259.39, Average price: 0.3407, Price range: 0.0360 - 0.9674
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0275
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0430
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9610
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0270
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9540
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0525
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0425
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9495
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0505
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9470
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0530
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9465
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0495
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9525
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9555
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9420
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9315
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0600
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9530
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0410
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9675
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0260
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 443, Buy volume: 71767.67, Sell volume: 78340.15, Average price: 0.5595, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9990
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 23885.12, Sell volume: 23498.56, Average price: 0.5711, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 135, Buy volume: 21676.47, Sell volume: 17821.55, Average price: 0.7919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 155, Buy volume: 25511.99, Sell volume: 11170.87, Average price: 0.8315, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9990
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 33533.07, Sell volume: 14211.74, Average price: 0.7930, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590825
Question: Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 515740.324203
Price History:
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 19499.97, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.7250
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.7250
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.7250
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9600
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9750
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9655
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9740
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9825
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9825
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0155
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9850
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0155
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9850
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0135
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0150
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0145
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0145
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0070
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9930
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0075
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0070
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 5088.70, Sell volume: 257.40, Average price: 0.9349, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 8106.48, Sell volume: 2841.24, Average price: 0.7440, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 7117.17, Sell volume: 1670.67, Average price: 0.8511, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 8753.05, Sell volume: 193.38, Average price: 0.7055, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 14594.14, Sell volume: 444.46, Average price: 0.7440, Price range: 0.0019 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0010
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.9990
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1052, Buy volume: 458329.52, Sell volume: 54138.32, Average price: 0.8532, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 3176.92, Sell volume: 246.47, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 12316.06, Sell volume: 657.32, Average price: 0.7741, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 10816.41, Sell volume: 234.37, Average price: 0.7661, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0105
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9895
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9890
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0615
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0435
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9795
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0120
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0120
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0120
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9885
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0035
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0040
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 204, Buy volume: 19621.29, Sell volume: 12276.89, Average price: 0.8620, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9945
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0055
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9945
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0040
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.9960
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0040
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9960
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0040
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9960
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 7190.67, Sell volume: 83.45, Average price: 0.9655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9855
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9925
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9825
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0165
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0120
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9880
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0120
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0120
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0115
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0115
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0105
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0105
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0050
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9955
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0045
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9955
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0045
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0045
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0045
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0045
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0045
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0040
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9960
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 210, Buy volume: 349298.64, Sell volume: 31054.27, Average price: 0.8887, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No