Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.0575
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.0585
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.0570
2025-01-01 10:00: 0.0555
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0545
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.0550
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.0515
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.0470
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.0470
2025-01-01 22:00: 0.0465
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.0470
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.0470
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0470
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.0475
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.0515
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.0470
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.0475
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.0470
2025-01-02 16:00: 0.0470
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.0470
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.0470
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.0545
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0580
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.0555
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.0545
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.0415
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.0415
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.0400
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.0385
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.0385
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.0395
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.0385
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.0385
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.0375
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.0500
2025-01-04 02:00: 0.0495
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.0505
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.0355
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.0330
2025-01-04 10:00: 0.0325
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.0325
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.0325
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0325
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.0325
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.0325
2025-01-04 22:00: 0.0330
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.0330
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.0330
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.0330
2025-01-05 06:00: 0.0385
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 7814059.66, Sell volume: 928546.37, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.0205
2025-01-06 10:00: 0.0215
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0210
2025-01-06 14:00: 0.0215
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.0220
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.0215
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.0225
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.0225
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.0210
2025-01-07 02:00: 0.0210
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.0215
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.0230
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.0220
2025-01-07 10:00: 0.0220
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.0195
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.0235
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.0225
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.0230
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.0225
2025-01-07 22:00: 0.0225
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0200
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.0225
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.0230
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.0225
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.0220
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.0230
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.0225
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.0220
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.0170
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.0200
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0190
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.0190
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.0175
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.0190
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.0145
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.0155
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.0155
2025-01-09 10:00: 0.0145
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.0155
2025-01-09 14:00: 0.0155
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.0155
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.0145
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.0155
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.0145
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.0145
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.0145
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.0145
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.0145
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.0145
2025-01-10 10:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 7814059.66, Sell volume: 928546.37, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0130
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.0155
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.0135
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.0135
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.0135
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0135
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.0135
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.0135
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.0135
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.0135
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0130
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.0165
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0125
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.0125
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.0125
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.0125
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.0140
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.0175
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.0135
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.0130
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.0140
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.0140
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.0170
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.0160
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.0165
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.0125
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.0140
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.0140
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.0140
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.0145
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0150
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.0130
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.0165
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.0185
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.0160
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.0155
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.0145
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.0135
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.0160
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.0150
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0135
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.0155
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.0160
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.0155
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.0155
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.0155
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0155
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.0150
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.0135
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999425, Buy volume: 7585277.98, Sell volume: 884789.40, Average price: 0.9296, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0030
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.0035
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.0010
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 564, Buy volume: 227566.62, Sell volume: 43544.89, Average price: 0.7690, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.3750
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.0900
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.4100
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.3200
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.3550
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.2400
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.2500
2024-11-16 20:00: 0.2650
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.2550
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.2550
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.2550
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.2550
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.2500
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.2450
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.2500
2024-11-18 04:00: 0.2500
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.2450
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.2450
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.2450
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.2400
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.2450
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.2500
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.2500
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.2450
2024-11-19 16:00: 0.2300
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.1900
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.1000
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.0950
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.0950
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 7814059.66, Sell volume: 928546.37, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.0950
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.1700
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.1850
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.1850
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.2300
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.2650
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.2950
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.2700
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.2650
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.1900
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.2000
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.2000
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.2100
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.2300
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.2300
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.2250
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.1900
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.1750
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.1900
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.2100
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.2100
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.2200
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.2050
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.1800
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.1800
2024-11-25 00:00: 0.1800
2024-11-25 04:00: 0.1800
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.1800
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.1800
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 7814059.66, Sell volume: 928546.37, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.1950
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.1950
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.1800
2024-11-26 12:00: 0.2000
2024-11-26 16:00: 0.2050
2024-11-26 20:00: 0.1800
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.1950
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.1800
2024-11-27 08:00: 0.1800
2024-11-27 12:00: 0.1850
2024-11-27 16:00: 0.1850
2024-11-27 20:00: 0.1800
2024-11-28 00:00: 0.1800
2024-11-28 04:00: 0.1950
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.1900
2024-11-28 12:00: 0.1550
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.1650
2024-11-28 20:00: 0.1500
2024-11-29 00:00: 0.1400
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.1400
2024-11-29 08:00: 0.1750
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.1400
2024-11-29 16:00: 0.1400
2024-11-29 20:00: 0.1350
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.1300
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.1350
2024-11-30 08:00: 0.1300
2024-11-30 12:00: 0.1350
2024-11-30 16:00: 0.1550
2024-11-30 20:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 7814059.66, Sell volume: 928546.37, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2024-12-01 04:00: 0.1350
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.1300
2024-12-01 12:00: 0.1300
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.1350
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.1250
2024-12-02 00:00: 0.1250
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.1200
2024-12-02 08:00: 0.1150
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.1150
2024-12-02 16:00: 0.1300
2024-12-02 20:00: 0.1250
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.1250
2024-12-03 04:00: 0.1200
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.1200
2024-12-03 12:00: 0.1350
2024-12-03 16:00: 0.1400
2024-12-03 20:00: 0.1400
2024-12-04 00:00: 0.1250
2024-12-04 04:00: 0.1350
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.1600
2024-12-04 12:00: 0.1550
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.1200
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.1100
2024-12-05 00:00: 0.1300
2024-12-05 04:00: 0.1300
2024-12-05 08:00: 0.1300
2024-12-05 12:00: 0.1200
2024-12-05 16:00: 0.1150
2024-12-05 20:00: 0.1150
2024-12-06 00:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 7814059.66, Sell volume: 928546.37, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.0800
2024-12-06 12:00: 0.1000
2024-12-06 16:00: 0.0950
2024-12-06 20:00: 0.0950
2024-12-07 00:00: 0.1000
2024-12-07 04:00: 0.1000
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.1000
2024-12-07 12:00: 0.1000
2024-12-07 16:00: 0.0900
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.0750
2024-12-08 00:00: 0.0650
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.0650
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.0650
2024-12-08 12:00: 0.0950
2024-12-08 16:00: 0.0850
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.0900
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.0900
2024-12-09 04:00: 0.0900
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.0750
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.0650
2024-12-09 16:00: 0.0145
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.0150
2024-12-10 00:00: 0.0145
2024-12-10 04:00: 0.0145
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.0265
2024-12-10 12:00: 0.0250
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.0265
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.0260
2024-12-11 00:00: 0.0220
2024-12-11 04:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 7814059.66, Sell volume: 928546.37, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.1250
2024-12-11 16:00: 0.1255
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.1200
2024-12-12 00:00: 0.0075
2024-12-12 04:00: 0.0910
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.0765
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.0440
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.0455
2024-12-12 20:00: 0.0495
2024-12-13 00:00: 0.0505
2024-12-13 04:00: 0.0500
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.0525
2024-12-13 12:00: 0.0510
2024-12-13 16:00: 0.0495
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.0490
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.0465
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.0430
2024-12-14 08:00: 0.0425
2024-12-14 12:00: 0.0425
2024-12-14 16:00: 0.0295
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.0295
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.0165
2024-12-15 04:00: 0.0155
2024-12-15 08:00: 0.0170
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.0105
2024-12-15 16:00: 0.0085
2024-12-15 20:00: 0.0105
2024-12-16 00:00: 0.0105
2024-12-16 04:00: 0.0100
2024-12-16 08:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 7814059.66, Sell volume: 928546.37, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.0320
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.0330
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.0335
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.0365
2024-12-17 08:00: 0.0355
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.0365
2024-12-17 16:00: 0.0385
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.0390
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.0390
2024-12-18 04:00: 0.0390
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.0380
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.0625
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.0625
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.0645
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.0660
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.0510
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.0555
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.0555
2024-12-19 16:00: 0.0550
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.0550
2024-12-20 00:00: 0.0630
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.0640
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.0615
2024-12-20 12:00: 0.0560
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.0565
2024-12-20 20:00: 0.0560
2024-12-21 00:00: 0.0560
2024-12-21 04:00: 0.0560
2024-12-21 08:00: 0.0560
2024-12-21 12:00: 0.0555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 7814059.66, Sell volume: 928546.37, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.0385
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.0345
2024-12-22 04:00: 0.0300
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.0390
2024-12-22 12:00: 0.0440
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.0400
2024-12-22 20:00: 0.0450
2024-12-23 00:00: 0.0480
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.0410
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.0395
2024-12-23 12:00: 0.0400
2024-12-23 16:00: 0.0360
2024-12-23 20:00: 0.0585
2024-12-24 00:00: 0.0510
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.0580
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.0565
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.0565
2024-12-24 16:00: 0.0565
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.0565
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.0660
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.0675
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.0725
2024-12-25 12:00: 0.0685
2024-12-25 16:00: 0.0790
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.0830
2024-12-26 00:00: 0.0840
2024-12-26 04:00: 0.0840
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.0860
2024-12-26 12:00: 0.0650
2024-12-26 16:00: 0.0645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 7814059.66, Sell volume: 928546.37, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.0635
2024-12-27 04:00: 0.0570
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.0645
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0670
2024-12-27 16:00: 0.0635
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0610
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.0615
2024-12-28 04:00: 0.0635
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.0580
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.0570
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.0570
2024-12-28 20:00: 0.0570
2024-12-29 00:00: 0.0565
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.0570
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.0565
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.0620
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.0625
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.0620
2024-12-30 00:00: 0.0625
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.0630
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.0620
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0630
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.0630
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.0630
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0615
2024-12-31 04:00: 0.0495
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.0495
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.0495
2024-12-31 16:00: 0.0495
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.0535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 7814059.66, Sell volume: 928546.37, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.0575
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.0570
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0545
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.0515
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.0470
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.0470
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0470
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.0515
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.0475
2025-01-02 16:00: 0.0470
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.0470
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0580
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.0545
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.0415
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.0385
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.0395
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.0385
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.0500
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.0505
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.0330
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.0325
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0325
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.0325
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.0330
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.0330
2025-01-05 08:00: 0.0320
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.0330
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.0320
2025-01-05 20:00: 0.0330
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 7814059.66, Sell volume: 928546.37, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.0205
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0210
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.0220
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.0225
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.0210
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.0215
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.0220
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.0195
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.0225
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.0225
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0200
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.0230
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.0220
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.0225
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.0170
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0190
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.0175
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.0145
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.0155
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.0155
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.0155
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.0155
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.0145
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.0145
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.0145
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.0145
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.0145
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0145
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.0095
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 7814059.66, Sell volume: 928546.37, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0130
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.0135
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.0135
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.0135
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.0135
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0130
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0125
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.0125
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.0140
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.0135
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.0140
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.0170
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.0165
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.0140
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.0140
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0150
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.0165
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.0160
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.0145
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.0160
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0135
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.0160
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.0155
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0155
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.0135
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0145
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0140
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.0145
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.0130
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999425, Buy volume: 7585277.98, Sell volume: 884789.40, Average price: 0.9296, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0030
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.0010
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 564, Buy volume: 227566.62, Sell volume: 43544.89, Average price: 0.7690, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-11-09 20:00: 0.4750
2024-11-09 22:00: 0.2600
2024-11-10 00:00: 0.0860
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.0350
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.0350
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.0345
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.0150
2024-11-10 10:00: 0.0135
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.0130
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.0055
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.0125
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.0105
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.0095
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.0095
2024-11-11 00:00: 0.0120
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.0085
2024-11-11 04:00: 0.0075
2024-11-11 06:00: 0.0110
2024-11-11 08:00: 0.0075
2024-11-11 10:00: 0.0080
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.0105
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.0105
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.0105
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.0095
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.0115
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.0135
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.0100
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.0090
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.0090
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.0080
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0075
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.0045
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.0050
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.0075
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.0020
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.0020
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.0045
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0085
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0080
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.0050
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0040
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.0020
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.0040
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0030
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0020
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 163867292.39, Sell volume: 6357738.72, Average price: 0.9159, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-11-14 01:00: 0.0020
2024-11-14 03:00: 0.0020
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.0020
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.0020
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.0020
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.0020
2024-11-14 13:00: 0.0020
2024-11-14 15:00: 0.0020
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.0020
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.0020
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.0020
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.0020
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.0020
2024-11-15 03:00: 0.0020
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.0020
2024-11-15 07:00: 0.0020
2024-11-15 09:00: 0.0020
2024-11-15 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 13:00: 0.0020
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 17:00: 0.0025
2024-11-16 19:00: 0.0025
2024-11-16 21:00: 0.0025
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 03:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 163867292.39, Sell volume: 6357738.72, Average price: 0.9159, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-11-18 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 163867292.39, Sell volume: 6357738.72, Average price: 0.9159, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 163867292.39, Sell volume: 6357738.72, Average price: 0.9159, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-11-26 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-28 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-28 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 163867292.39, Sell volume: 6357738.72, Average price: 0.9159, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-11-30 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 23:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 01:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 03:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 05:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 07:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 09:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 11:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 13:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 15:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 17:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 19:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 21:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 23:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 01:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 03:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 05:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 07:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 09:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 11:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 13:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 15:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 17:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 19:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 21:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 23:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 01:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 03:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 05:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 07:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 09:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 11:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 13:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 15:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 17:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 19:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 21:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 23:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 01:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 03:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 05:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 07:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 09:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 11:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 13:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 15:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 17:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 19:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 21:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 23:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 163867292.39, Sell volume: 6357738.72, Average price: 0.9159, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-12-05 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-05 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-05 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-05 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-05 10:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 12:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 14:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 16:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 18:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 20:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 22:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 00:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 02:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 04:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 06:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 10:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 12:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 14:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 16:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 18:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 20:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 22:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 00:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 04:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 06:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 10:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 12:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 14:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 16:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 18:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 22:00: 0.0005
2024-12-08 00:00: 0.0005
2024-12-08 02:00: 0.0005
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 04:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 163867292.39, Sell volume: 6357738.72, Average price: 0.9159, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-12-09 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 23:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 01:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 03:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 05:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 07:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 09:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 11:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 13:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 15:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 17:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 19:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 21:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 23:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 01:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 03:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 05:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 07:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 09:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 11:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 13:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 15:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 17:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 19:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 21:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 23:00: 0.0010
2024-12-12 01:00: 0.0010
2024-12-12 03:00: 0.0010
2024-12-12 05:00: 0.0010
2024-12-12 07:00: 0.0010
2024-12-12 09:00: 0.0010
2024-12-12 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 07:00: 0.0010
2024-12-13 09:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 163867292.39, Sell volume: 6357738.72, Average price: 0.9159, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-12-13 12:00: 0.0050
2024-12-13 14:00: 0.0050
2024-12-13 16:00: 0.0050
2024-12-13 18:00: 0.0050
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.0050
2024-12-13 22:00: 0.0050
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.0055
2024-12-14 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.0005
2024-12-14 06:00: 0.0005
2024-12-14 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 12:00: 0.0005
2024-12-14 14:00: 0.0005
2024-12-14 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 06:00: 0.0010
2024-12-15 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 10:00: 0.0005
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.0005
2024-12-15 14:00: 0.0005
2024-12-15 16:00: 0.0005
2024-12-15 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 00:00: 0.0005
2024-12-16 02:00: 0.0005
2024-12-16 04:00: 0.0005
2024-12-16 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 14:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 163867292.39, Sell volume: 6357738.72, Average price: 0.9159, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-12-17 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 09:00: 0.0005
2024-12-18 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 13:00: 0.0010
2024-12-18 15:00: 0.0005
2024-12-18 17:00: 0.0005
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.0005
2024-12-18 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-20 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-20 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-20 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-20 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-20 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-20 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-20 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-20 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-20 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-20 23:00: 0.0030
2024-12-21 01:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 03:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 09:00: 0.0040
2024-12-21 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-21 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-21 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-21 19:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 163867292.39, Sell volume: 6357738.72, Average price: 0.9159, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-12-21 22:00: 0.0025
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-22 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-22 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-22 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-22 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-22 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.0015
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-22 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-22 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-22 22:00: 0.0025
2024-12-23 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-23 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-23 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-23 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-23 12:00: 0.0030
2024-12-23 14:00: 0.0015
2024-12-23 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-23 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-23 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-23 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-24 00:00: 0.0025
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.0025
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.0025
2024-12-24 06:00: 0.0025
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.0025
2024-12-24 10:00: 0.0025
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.0025
2024-12-24 14:00: 0.0025
2024-12-24 16:00: 0.0025
2024-12-24 18:00: 0.0025
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.0025
2024-12-24 22:00: 0.0025
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.0025
2024-12-25 02:00: 0.0025
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 06:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-25 10:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 12:00: 0.0035
2024-12-25 14:00: 0.0035
2024-12-25 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 22:00: 0.0020
2024-12-26 00:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 755244, Buy volume: 148667814.03, Sell volume: 4920015.06, Average price: 0.9110, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-12-26 03:00: 0.0040
2024-12-26 05:00: 0.0060
2024-12-26 07:00: 0.0020
2024-12-26 09:00: 0.0045
2024-12-26 11:00: 0.0050
2024-12-26 13:00: 0.0045
2024-12-26 15:00: 0.0055
2024-12-26 17:00: 0.0035
2024-12-26 19:00: 0.0035
2024-12-26 21:00: 0.0045
2024-12-26 23:00: 0.0060
2024-12-27 01:00: 0.0045
2024-12-27 03:00: 0.0060
2024-12-27 05:00: 0.0045
2024-12-27 07:00: 0.0035
2024-12-27 09:00: 0.0065
2024-12-27 11:00: 0.0065
2024-12-27 13:00: 0.0050
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.0050
2024-12-27 17:00: 0.0050
2024-12-27 19:00: 0.0055
2024-12-27 21:00: 0.0055
2024-12-27 23:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 01:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 03:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 05:00: 0.0045
2024-12-28 07:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 11:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 15:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 17:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 19:00: 0.0060
2024-12-28 21:00: 0.0050
2024-12-28 23:00: 0.0050
2024-12-29 01:00: 0.0040
2024-12-29 03:00: 0.0040
2024-12-29 05:00: 0.0050
2024-12-29 07:00: 0.0040
2024-12-29 09:00: 0.0050
2024-12-29 11:00: 0.0050
2024-12-29 13:00: 0.0050
2024-12-29 15:00: 0.0050
2024-12-29 17:00: 0.0050
2024-12-29 19:00: 0.0050
2024-12-29 21:00: 0.0045
2024-12-29 23:00: 0.0050
2024-12-30 01:00: 0.0050
2024-12-30 03:00: 0.0050
2024-12-30 05:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 242597, Buy volume: 15056955.53, Sell volume: 1428785.92, Average price: 0.9307, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.0040
2024-12-30 10:00: 0.0040
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0040
2024-12-30 14:00: 0.0040
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.0040
2024-12-30 18:00: 0.0040
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.0040
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.0040
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0040
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.0040
2024-12-31 04:00: 0.0035
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.0035
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.0035
2024-12-31 10:00: 0.0035
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.0035
2024-12-31 14:00: 0.0035
2024-12-31 16:00: 0.0035
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.0035
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.0035
2024-12-31 22:00: 0.0035
2025-01-01 00:00: 0.0035
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.0035
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.0035
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.0035
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.0035
2025-01-01 10:00: 0.0035
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0035
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.0035
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.0035
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.0035
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.0020
2025-01-01 22:00: 0.0025
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.0020
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0020
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.0020
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.0020
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.0025
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.0020
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.0025
2025-01-02 16:00: 0.0020
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 10189.36, Sell volume: 8937.74, Average price: 0.6549, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-11-09 20:00: 0.4750
2024-11-09 23:00: 0.0905
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.0350
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.0350
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.0150
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.0130
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.0055
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.0110
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.0095
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.0170
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.0085
2024-11-11 05:00: 0.0075
2024-11-11 08:00: 0.0075
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.0095
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.0105
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.0100
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.0115
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.0100
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.0090
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.0090
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0075
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.0040
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.0075
2024-11-12 17:00: 0.0025
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.0045
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0080
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.0055
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0040
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 163867292.39, Sell volume: 6357738.72, Average price: 0.9159, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-11-14 01:00: 0.0020
2024-11-14 04:00: 0.0020
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.0020
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.0020
2024-11-14 13:00: 0.0020
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.0020
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.0020
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.0020
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.0020
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.0020
2024-11-15 07:00: 0.0020
2024-11-15 10:00: 0.0020
2024-11-15 13:00: 0.0020
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.0025
2024-11-16 19:00: 0.0025
2024-11-16 22:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 163867292.39, Sell volume: 6357738.72, Average price: 0.9159, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-11-18 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 163867292.39, Sell volume: 6357738.72, Average price: 0.9159, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 163867292.39, Sell volume: 6357738.72, Average price: 0.9159, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-11-26 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-28 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 163867292.39, Sell volume: 6357738.72, Average price: 0.9159, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-11-30 21:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 00:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 03:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 06:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 09:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 12:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 15:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 18:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 21:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 00:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 03:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 06:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 09:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 15:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 18:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 21:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 03:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 06:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 09:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 12:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 15:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 18:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 21:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 00:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 03:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 06:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 09:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 163867292.39, Sell volume: 6357738.72, Average price: 0.9159, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-12-05 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-05 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-05 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-05 11:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 14:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 17:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 20:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 23:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 02:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 05:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 11:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 14:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 20:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 23:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 05:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 11:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 14:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 17:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 23:00: 0.0005
2024-12-08 02:00: 0.0005
2024-12-08 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 163867292.39, Sell volume: 6357738.72, Average price: 0.9159, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-12-09 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 22:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 01:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 04:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 07:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 10:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 13:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 19:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 22:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 01:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 04:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 07:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 10:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 13:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 16:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 19:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 22:00: 0.0010
2024-12-12 01:00: 0.0010
2024-12-12 04:00: 0.0010
2024-12-12 07:00: 0.0010
2024-12-12 10:00: 0.0010
2024-12-12 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 163867292.39, Sell volume: 6357738.72, Average price: 0.9159, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-12-13 12:00: 0.0050
2024-12-13 15:00: 0.0050
2024-12-13 18:00: 0.0050
2024-12-13 21:00: 0.0050
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.0055
2024-12-14 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 06:00: 0.0005
2024-12-14 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 12:00: 0.0005
2024-12-14 15:00: 0.0005
2024-12-14 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 06:00: 0.0010
2024-12-15 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.0005
2024-12-15 15:00: 0.0005
2024-12-15 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 00:00: 0.0005
2024-12-16 03:00: 0.0005
2024-12-16 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 03:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 163867292.39, Sell volume: 6357738.72, Average price: 0.9159, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-12-17 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.0010
2024-12-18 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.0010
2024-12-18 17:00: 0.0005
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-20 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-20 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.0015
2024-12-20 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-20 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-20 23:00: 0.0030
2024-12-21 02:00: 0.0030
2024-12-21 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 08:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 163867292.39, Sell volume: 6357738.72, Average price: 0.9159, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-12-21 22:00: 0.0025
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-22 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-22 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-22 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-22 22:00: 0.0025
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-23 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-23 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-23 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-23 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-23 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-24 01:00: 0.0025
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.0025
2024-12-24 07:00: 0.0025
2024-12-24 10:00: 0.0025
2024-12-24 13:00: 0.0025
2024-12-24 16:00: 0.0025
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.0025
2024-12-24 22:00: 0.0025
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.0025
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 07:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 10:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 13:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 755244, Buy volume: 148667814.03, Sell volume: 4920015.06, Average price: 0.9110, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-12-26 03:00: 0.0040
2024-12-26 06:00: 0.0050
2024-12-26 09:00: 0.0045
2024-12-26 12:00: 0.0055
2024-12-26 15:00: 0.0055
2024-12-26 18:00: 0.0035
2024-12-26 21:00: 0.0045
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.0060
2024-12-27 03:00: 0.0060
2024-12-27 06:00: 0.0045
2024-12-27 09:00: 0.0065
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0065
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.0050
2024-12-27 18:00: 0.0050
2024-12-27 21:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 03:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 06:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 15:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.0050
2024-12-28 21:00: 0.0050
2024-12-29 00:00: 0.0040
2024-12-29 03:00: 0.0040
2024-12-29 06:00: 0.0050
2024-12-29 09:00: 0.0050
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.0050
2024-12-29 15:00: 0.0050
2024-12-29 18:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 242597, Buy volume: 15056955.53, Sell volume: 1428785.92, Average price: 0.9307, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512645
Question: Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 2167156.583081
Price History:
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.0040
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.0040
2024-12-30 14:00: 0.0040
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.0040
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.0040
2024-12-30 23:00: 0.0040
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.0040
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.0035
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.0035
2024-12-31 11:00: 0.0035
2024-12-31 14:00: 0.0035
2024-12-31 17:00: 0.0035
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.0035
2024-12-31 23:00: 0.0035
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.0035
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.0035
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.0035
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.0035
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.0035
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.0035
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.0020
2025-01-01 23:00: 0.0020
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.0020
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.0020
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.0020
2025-01-02 11:00: 0.0020
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.0025
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 10189.36, Sell volume: 8937.74, Average price: 0.6549, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512715
Question: Will Person E be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: nan
Price History:
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512715
Question: Will Person E be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: nan
Price History:
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.2000
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.0950
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.1250
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.1250
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.1700
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.1700
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.1300
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.1250
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.0750
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.1050
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.1500
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.1500
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.1500
2024-11-16 18:00: 0.1500
2024-11-16 20:00: 0.1500
2024-11-16 22:00: 0.1350
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.1350
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.1350
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.1350
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.1500
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.1350
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.1350
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.1350
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.1350
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.1350
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.1350
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.1350
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.1350
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.1350
2024-11-18 02:00: 0.1350
2024-11-18 04:00: 0.1350
2024-11-18 06:00: 0.1350
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.1350
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.1350
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.1350
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.1350
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.1350
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.1350
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.1350
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.1350
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.1350
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.1500
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.1500
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.1500
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.1500
2024-11-19 10:00: 0.1500
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.1500
2024-11-19 14:00: 0.1650
2024-11-19 16:00: 0.1650
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11988, Buy volume: 54283.80, Sell volume: 199800.00, Average price: 0.2667, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.1550
2024-11-20 22:00: 0.1500
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.1500
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.1500
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.1500
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.1500
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.1500
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.1500
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.1500
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0800
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.1050
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.1050
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.1000
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.0650
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0600
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.0300
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.0155
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.0905
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.0870
2024-11-22 10:00: 0.0775
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0695
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.0695
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0690
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.0835
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0820
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.0600
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0705
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0710
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0860
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.0805
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0820
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.0770
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.0820
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.0815
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.0815
2024-11-23 18:00: 0.0815
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0835
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0840
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0840
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0840
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0845
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.0845
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0845
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.0845
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.0820
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0825
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.0820
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.0825
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0845
2024-11-24 22:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41958, Buy volume: 662246.18, Sell volume: 1718180.10, Average price: 0.6613, Price range: 0.0105 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.0565
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.0465
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.0370
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.0560
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.0555
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.0555
2024-11-26 12:00: 0.0550
2024-11-26 14:00: 0.0545
2024-11-26 16:00: 0.0490
2024-11-26 18:00: 0.0545
2024-11-26 20:00: 0.0545
2024-11-26 22:00: 0.0730
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.0755
2024-11-27 02:00: 0.0720
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.0715
2024-11-27 06:00: 0.0735
2024-11-27 08:00: 0.0740
2024-11-27 10:00: 0.0790
2024-11-27 12:00: 0.0815
2024-11-27 14:00: 0.0910
2024-11-27 16:00: 0.0910
2024-11-27 18:00: 0.0905
2024-11-27 20:00: 0.0880
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.0885
2024-11-28 00:00: 0.0880
2024-11-28 02:00: 0.0895
2024-11-28 04:00: 0.0950
2024-11-28 06:00: 0.1115
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.1125
2024-11-28 10:00: 0.1130
2024-11-28 12:00: 0.1140
2024-11-28 14:00: 0.0970
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.0970
2024-11-28 18:00: 0.0995
2024-11-28 20:00: 0.0970
2024-11-28 22:00: 0.0995
2024-11-29 00:00: 0.0980
2024-11-29 02:00: 0.0980
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.0980
2024-11-29 06:00: 0.1035
2024-11-29 08:00: 0.1140
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.1140
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.1055
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.1140
2024-11-29 16:00: 0.1110
2024-11-29 18:00: 0.1060
2024-11-29 20:00: 0.1110
2024-11-29 22:00: 0.1140
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.1140
2024-11-30 02:00: 0.1140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33966, Buy volume: 1916832.15, Sell volume: 189909.90, Average price: 0.5799, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2024-12-01 04:00: 0.1070
2024-12-01 06:00: 0.1065
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.1065
2024-12-01 10:00: 0.1060
2024-12-01 12:00: 0.1340
2024-12-01 14:00: 0.1070
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.1000
2024-12-01 18:00: 0.1000
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.1000
2024-12-01 22:00: 0.0995
2024-12-02 00:00: 0.1135
2024-12-02 02:00: 0.1070
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.1065
2024-12-02 06:00: 0.1075
2024-12-02 08:00: 0.1095
2024-12-02 10:00: 0.1255
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.1090
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.1065
2024-12-02 16:00: 0.1095
2024-12-02 18:00: 0.1080
2024-12-02 20:00: 0.0955
2024-12-02 22:00: 0.1075
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.1075
2024-12-03 02:00: 0.1140
2024-12-03 04:00: 0.1075
2024-12-03 06:00: 0.1085
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.1080
2024-12-03 10:00: 0.1080
2024-12-03 12:00: 0.1150
2024-12-03 14:00: 0.1145
2024-12-03 16:00: 0.1090
2024-12-03 18:00: 0.1145
2024-12-03 20:00: 0.1125
2024-12-03 22:00: 0.1040
2024-12-04 00:00: 0.0905
2024-12-04 02:00: 0.0785
2024-12-04 04:00: 0.0840
2024-12-04 06:00: 0.0800
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.0800
2024-12-04 10:00: 0.0800
2024-12-04 12:00: 0.0795
2024-12-04 14:00: 0.0490
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.0700
2024-12-04 18:00: 0.0690
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.0490
2024-12-04 22:00: 0.0670
2024-12-05 00:00: 0.0720
2024-12-05 02:00: 0.0775
2024-12-05 04:00: 0.0725
2024-12-05 06:00: 0.0725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25974, Buy volume: 394111.92, Sell volume: 1382476.14, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0690 - 0.9490

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.0640
2024-12-06 10:00: 0.0640
2024-12-06 12:00: 0.0640
2024-12-06 14:00: 0.0640
2024-12-06 16:00: 0.0690
2024-12-06 18:00: 0.0690
2024-12-06 20:00: 0.0705
2024-12-06 22:00: 0.0705
2024-12-07 00:00: 0.0760
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.0760
2024-12-07 04:00: 0.0800
2024-12-07 06:00: 0.0800
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.0760
2024-12-07 10:00: 0.0760
2024-12-07 12:00: 0.0735
2024-12-07 14:00: 0.0735
2024-12-07 16:00: 0.0755
2024-12-07 18:00: 0.0800
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.0805
2024-12-07 22:00: 0.0800
2024-12-08 00:00: 0.0725
2024-12-08 02:00: 0.0735
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.0735
2024-12-08 06:00: 0.0710
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.0760
2024-12-08 10:00: 0.0695
2024-12-08 12:00: 0.0700
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.0470
2024-12-08 16:00: 0.0520
2024-12-08 18:00: 0.0620
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.0675
2024-12-08 22:00: 0.0675
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.0765
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.0765
2024-12-09 04:00: 0.0720
2024-12-09 06:00: 0.0775
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.0630
2024-12-09 10:00: 0.0630
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.0585
2024-12-09 14:00: 0.0190
2024-12-09 16:00: 0.0115
2024-12-09 18:00: 0.0085
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.0120
2024-12-09 22:00: 0.0110
2024-12-10 00:00: 0.0075
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.0070
2024-12-10 04:00: 0.0050
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.0160
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.0110
2024-12-10 10:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113886, Buy volume: 5829203.05, Sell volume: 2175762.06, Average price: 0.6379, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.0210
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.0210
2024-12-11 16:00: 0.0215
2024-12-11 18:00: 0.0220
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.0200
2024-12-11 22:00: 0.0195
2024-12-12 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.0025
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.0025
2024-12-12 18:00: 0.0020
2024-12-12 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-12 22:00: 0.0020
2024-12-13 00:00: 0.0205
2024-12-13 02:00: 0.0200
2024-12-13 04:00: 0.0200
2024-12-13 06:00: 0.0200
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.0205
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.0195
2024-12-13 12:00: 0.0200
2024-12-13 14:00: 0.0200
2024-12-13 16:00: 0.0200
2024-12-13 18:00: 0.0180
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.0195
2024-12-13 22:00: 0.0180
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.0200
2024-12-14 02:00: 0.0205
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.0205
2024-12-14 06:00: 0.0205
2024-12-14 08:00: 0.0200
2024-12-14 10:00: 0.0215
2024-12-14 12:00: 0.0220
2024-12-14 14:00: 0.0205
2024-12-14 16:00: 0.0210
2024-12-14 18:00: 0.0205
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.0205
2024-12-14 22:00: 0.0205
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.0145
2024-12-15 02:00: 0.0150
2024-12-15 04:00: 0.0170
2024-12-15 06:00: 0.0165
2024-12-15 08:00: 0.0155
2024-12-15 10:00: 0.0150
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.0115
2024-12-15 14:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93906, Buy volume: 5509520.96, Sell volume: 906732.36, Average price: 0.3678, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.1110
2024-12-16 18:00: 0.1100
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.1050
2024-12-16 22:00: 0.0900
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.1165
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.0310
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.0350
2024-12-17 06:00: 0.0350
2024-12-17 08:00: 0.0370
2024-12-17 10:00: 0.1180
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.1265
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.1355
2024-12-17 16:00: 0.1140
2024-12-17 18:00: 0.1160
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.1155
2024-12-17 22:00: 0.1145
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.1160
2024-12-18 02:00: 0.1160
2024-12-18 04:00: 0.1145
2024-12-18 06:00: 0.1150
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.0720
2024-12-18 10:00: 0.0705
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.0695
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.0655
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.0670
2024-12-18 18:00: 0.0665
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.0660
2024-12-18 22:00: 0.0660
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.0665
2024-12-19 02:00: 0.0610
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.0560
2024-12-19 06:00: 0.0530
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.0495
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.1155
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.1090
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.1215
2024-12-19 16:00: 0.1215
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.1110
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.1030
2024-12-19 22:00: 0.0995
2024-12-20 00:00: 0.0920
2024-12-20 02:00: 0.0695
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.0735
2024-12-20 06:00: 0.0825
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.0820
2024-12-20 10:00: 0.0825
2024-12-20 12:00: 0.0825
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.0840
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.0740
2024-12-20 18:00: 0.0755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35964, Buy volume: 1924802.42, Sell volume: 676502.82, Average price: 0.3008, Price range: 0.0393 - 0.9550

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.0795
2024-12-21 22:00: 0.0775
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.0395
2024-12-22 02:00: 0.0775
2024-12-22 04:00: 0.0775
2024-12-22 06:00: 0.0795
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.0795
2024-12-22 10:00: 0.0790
2024-12-22 12:00: 0.0795
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.0805
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.0790
2024-12-22 18:00: 0.0805
2024-12-22 20:00: 0.0800
2024-12-22 22:00: 0.0795
2024-12-23 00:00: 0.0795
2024-12-23 02:00: 0.0795
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.0795
2024-12-23 06:00: 0.0795
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.0800
2024-12-23 10:00: 0.0810
2024-12-23 12:00: 0.0830
2024-12-23 14:00: 0.0795
2024-12-23 16:00: 0.0795
2024-12-23 18:00: 0.0725
2024-12-23 20:00: 0.0730
2024-12-23 22:00: 0.0800
2024-12-24 00:00: 0.0760
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.0715
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.0720
2024-12-24 06:00: 0.0660
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.0600
2024-12-24 10:00: 0.0525
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.0505
2024-12-24 14:00: 0.0690
2024-12-24 16:00: 0.0830
2024-12-24 18:00: 0.0780
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.0765
2024-12-24 22:00: 0.0685
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.0630
2024-12-25 02:00: 0.0630
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.0735
2024-12-25 06:00: 0.0760
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.0765
2024-12-25 10:00: 0.0755
2024-12-25 12:00: 0.0745
2024-12-25 14:00: 0.0775
2024-12-25 16:00: 0.0765
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.0770
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.0770
2024-12-25 22:00: 0.0775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 241758, Buy volume: 4434650.69, Sell volume: 1223695.08, Average price: 0.6165, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9620

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.0880
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.0855
2024-12-27 04:00: 0.0840
2024-12-27 06:00: 0.0845
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.0855
2024-12-27 10:00: 0.0895
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0900
2024-12-27 14:00: 0.0875
2024-12-27 16:00: 0.0835
2024-12-27 18:00: 0.0845
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0775
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.0735
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.0730
2024-12-28 02:00: 0.1280
2024-12-28 04:00: 0.0905
2024-12-28 06:00: 0.0880
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.0850
2024-12-28 10:00: 0.0875
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.0870
2024-12-28 14:00: 0.0880
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.0870
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.0870
2024-12-28 20:00: 0.0880
2024-12-28 22:00: 0.0850
2024-12-29 00:00: 0.0830
2024-12-29 02:00: 0.0830
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.0840
2024-12-29 06:00: 0.0870
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.0885
2024-12-29 10:00: 0.0840
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.0805
2024-12-29 14:00: 0.0780
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.0660
2024-12-29 18:00: 0.0725
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.0725
2024-12-29 22:00: 0.0720
2024-12-30 00:00: 0.0715
2024-12-30 02:00: 0.0715
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.0715
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.0920
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.0870
2024-12-30 10:00: 0.0935
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0900
2024-12-30 14:00: 0.0910
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.0950
2024-12-30 18:00: 0.0960
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.0975
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.1030
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.1750
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 389665, Buy volume: 5406404.44, Sell volume: 8229756.72, Average price: 0.4923, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9470

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.1665
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.1480
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.1635
2025-01-01 10:00: 0.1435
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.1025
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.1210
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.0790
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.1105
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.1020
2025-01-01 22:00: 0.1000
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.0860
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.0840
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0925
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.0970
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.1295
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.0975
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.0980
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.0980
2025-01-02 16:00: 0.1005
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.0975
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.0970
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.0945
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0980
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.1065
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.1050
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.1095
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.1070
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.1075
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.1070
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.1070
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.1075
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.1080
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.1080
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.0970
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.0850
2025-01-04 02:00: 0.1070
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.0965
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.0895
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.0805
2025-01-04 10:00: 0.0785
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.1080
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.1100
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.1075
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.1145
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.1070
2025-01-04 22:00: 0.1005
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.1000
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.1000
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.1005
2025-01-05 06:00: 0.1005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 161, Buy volume: 1539.85, Sell volume: 1373.48, Average price: 0.4524, Price range: 0.0670 - 0.9320

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.1040
2025-01-06 10:00: 0.1070
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0960
2025-01-06 14:00: 0.0815
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.0915
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.0900
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.0890
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.0895
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.0895
2025-01-07 02:00: 0.0860
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.0860
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.0875
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.0875
2025-01-07 10:00: 0.0875
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.0855
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.0860
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.0805
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.0860
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.0865
2025-01-07 22:00: 0.0845
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0850
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.0865
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.0835
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.0730
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.0745
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.0825
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.0750
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.0755
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.0705
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.0705
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0755
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.0700
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.0695
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.0685
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.0690
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.0700
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.0185
2025-01-09 10:00: 0.0340
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.0500
2025-01-09 14:00: 0.0340
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.0340
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.0385
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.0455
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.0430
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.0445
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.0445
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.0455
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.0415
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.0420
2025-01-10 10:00: 0.0425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1064.70, Sell volume: 319.43, Average price: 0.6728, Price range: 0.0420 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0420
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.0425
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.0420
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.0410
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.0415
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0395
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.0395
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.0395
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.0405
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.0420
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0400
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.0420
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0515
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.0575
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.0520
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.0495
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.0525
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.0570
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.0530
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.0555
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.0570
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.0565
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.0560
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.0545
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.0555
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.0540
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0540
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.0555
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.0665
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.0605
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.0550
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.0525
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.0570
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.0595
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.0565
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.0530
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0530
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.0530
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.0530
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.0535
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.0565
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.0560
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0535
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.0560
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.0545
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.0560
Trade Summary: Total trades: 145, Buy volume: 7097.13, Sell volume: 5474.02, Average price: 0.3749, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 569, Buy volume: 190556.02, Sell volume: 22413.77, Average price: 0.8148, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.2000
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.1250
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.1700
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.1300
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.0750
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.1500
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.1500
2024-11-16 20:00: 0.1500
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.1350
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.1350
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.1350
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.1350
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.1350
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.1350
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.1350
2024-11-18 04:00: 0.1350
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.1350
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.1350
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.1350
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.1350
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.1350
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.1500
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.1500
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.1500
2024-11-19 16:00: 0.1650
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.1650
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.1650
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.1650
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.1600
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11988, Buy volume: 54283.80, Sell volume: 199800.00, Average price: 0.2667, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.1550
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.1500
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.1500
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.1500
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.1500
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.1050
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.1000
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0600
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.0155
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.0870
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0695
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0690
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0820
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0705
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0860
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0820
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.0820
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.0815
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0835
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0840
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0845
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0845
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.0820
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.0820
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0845
2024-11-25 00:00: 0.0760
2024-11-25 04:00: 0.0670
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0660
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.0650
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.0615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41958, Buy volume: 662246.18, Sell volume: 1718180.10, Average price: 0.6613, Price range: 0.0105 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.0565
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.0370
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.0555
2024-11-26 12:00: 0.0550
2024-11-26 16:00: 0.0490
2024-11-26 20:00: 0.0545
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.0755
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.0715
2024-11-27 08:00: 0.0740
2024-11-27 12:00: 0.0815
2024-11-27 16:00: 0.0910
2024-11-27 20:00: 0.0880
2024-11-28 00:00: 0.0880
2024-11-28 04:00: 0.0950
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.1125
2024-11-28 12:00: 0.1140
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.0970
2024-11-28 20:00: 0.0970
2024-11-29 00:00: 0.0980
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.0980
2024-11-29 08:00: 0.1140
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.1055
2024-11-29 16:00: 0.1110
2024-11-29 20:00: 0.1110
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.1140
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.1070
2024-11-30 08:00: 0.1075
2024-11-30 12:00: 0.1070
2024-11-30 16:00: 0.1070
2024-11-30 20:00: 0.1070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33966, Buy volume: 1916832.15, Sell volume: 189909.90, Average price: 0.5799, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2024-12-01 04:00: 0.1070
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.1065
2024-12-01 12:00: 0.1340
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.1000
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.1000
2024-12-02 00:00: 0.1135
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.1065
2024-12-02 08:00: 0.1095
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.1090
2024-12-02 16:00: 0.1095
2024-12-02 20:00: 0.0955
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.1075
2024-12-03 04:00: 0.1075
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.1080
2024-12-03 12:00: 0.1150
2024-12-03 16:00: 0.1090
2024-12-03 20:00: 0.1125
2024-12-04 00:00: 0.0905
2024-12-04 04:00: 0.0840
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.0800
2024-12-04 12:00: 0.0795
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.0700
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.0490
2024-12-05 00:00: 0.0720
2024-12-05 04:00: 0.0725
2024-12-05 08:00: 0.0725
2024-12-05 12:00: 0.0725
2024-12-05 16:00: 0.0615
2024-12-05 20:00: 0.0725
2024-12-06 00:00: 0.0725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25974, Buy volume: 394111.92, Sell volume: 1382476.14, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0690 - 0.9490
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.0640
2024-12-06 12:00: 0.0640
2024-12-06 16:00: 0.0690
2024-12-06 20:00: 0.0705
2024-12-07 00:00: 0.0760
2024-12-07 04:00: 0.0800
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.0760
2024-12-07 12:00: 0.0735
2024-12-07 16:00: 0.0755
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.0805
2024-12-08 00:00: 0.0725
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.0735
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.0760
2024-12-08 12:00: 0.0700
2024-12-08 16:00: 0.0520
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.0675
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.0765
2024-12-09 04:00: 0.0720
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.0630
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.0585
2024-12-09 16:00: 0.0115
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.0120
2024-12-10 00:00: 0.0075
2024-12-10 04:00: 0.0050
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.0110
2024-12-10 12:00: 0.0520
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.0260
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.0250
2024-12-11 00:00: 0.0255
2024-12-11 04:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113886, Buy volume: 5829203.05, Sell volume: 2175762.06, Average price: 0.6379, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.0210
2024-12-11 16:00: 0.0215
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.0200
2024-12-12 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.0025
2024-12-12 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-13 00:00: 0.0205
2024-12-13 04:00: 0.0200
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.0205
2024-12-13 12:00: 0.0200
2024-12-13 16:00: 0.0200
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.0195
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.0200
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.0205
2024-12-14 08:00: 0.0200
2024-12-14 12:00: 0.0220
2024-12-14 16:00: 0.0210
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.0205
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.0145
2024-12-15 04:00: 0.0170
2024-12-15 08:00: 0.0155
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.0115
2024-12-15 16:00: 0.0070
2024-12-15 20:00: 0.0030
2024-12-16 00:00: 0.0035
2024-12-16 04:00: 0.0025
2024-12-16 08:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93906, Buy volume: 5509520.96, Sell volume: 906732.36, Average price: 0.3678, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.1110
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.1050
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.1165
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.0350
2024-12-17 08:00: 0.0370
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.1265
2024-12-17 16:00: 0.1140
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.1155
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.1160
2024-12-18 04:00: 0.1145
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.0720
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.0695
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.0670
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.0660
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.0665
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.0560
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.0495
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.1090
2024-12-19 16:00: 0.1215
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.1030
2024-12-20 00:00: 0.0920
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.0735
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.0820
2024-12-20 12:00: 0.0825
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.0740
2024-12-20 20:00: 0.0740
2024-12-21 00:00: 0.1100
2024-12-21 04:00: 0.1105
2024-12-21 08:00: 0.1080
2024-12-21 12:00: 0.1055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35964, Buy volume: 1924802.42, Sell volume: 676502.82, Average price: 0.3008, Price range: 0.0393 - 0.9550
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.0795
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.0395
2024-12-22 04:00: 0.0775
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.0795
2024-12-22 12:00: 0.0795
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.0790
2024-12-22 20:00: 0.0800
2024-12-23 00:00: 0.0795
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.0795
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.0800
2024-12-23 12:00: 0.0830
2024-12-23 16:00: 0.0795
2024-12-23 20:00: 0.0730
2024-12-24 00:00: 0.0760
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.0720
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.0600
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.0505
2024-12-24 16:00: 0.0830
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.0765
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.0630
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.0735
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.0765
2024-12-25 12:00: 0.0745
2024-12-25 16:00: 0.0765
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.0770
2024-12-26 00:00: 0.0785
2024-12-26 04:00: 0.0795
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.0840
2024-12-26 12:00: 0.0810
2024-12-26 16:00: 0.0785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 241758, Buy volume: 4434650.69, Sell volume: 1223695.08, Average price: 0.6165, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9620
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.0880
2024-12-27 04:00: 0.0840
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.0855
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0900
2024-12-27 16:00: 0.0835
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0775
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.0730
2024-12-28 04:00: 0.0905
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.0850
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.0870
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.0870
2024-12-28 20:00: 0.0880
2024-12-29 00:00: 0.0830
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.0840
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.0885
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.0805
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.0660
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.0725
2024-12-30 00:00: 0.0715
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.0715
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.0870
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0900
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.0950
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.0975
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.1750
2024-12-31 04:00: 0.1555
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.1090
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.0965
2024-12-31 16:00: 0.1410
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.1340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 389665, Buy volume: 5406404.44, Sell volume: 8229756.72, Average price: 0.4923, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9470
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.1665
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.1635
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.1025
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.0790
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.1020
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.0860
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0925
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.1295
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.0980
2025-01-02 16:00: 0.1005
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.0970
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0980
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.1050
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.1070
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.1070
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.1075
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.1080
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.0850
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.0965
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.0805
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.1080
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.1075
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.1070
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.1000
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.1005
2025-01-05 08:00: 0.1005
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.1085
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.1005
2025-01-05 20:00: 0.1030
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.1105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 161, Buy volume: 1539.85, Sell volume: 1373.48, Average price: 0.4524, Price range: 0.0670 - 0.9320
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.1040
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0960
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.0915
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.0890
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.0895
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.0860
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.0875
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.0855
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.0805
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.0865
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0850
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.0835
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.0745
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.0750
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.0705
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0755
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.0695
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.0690
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.0185
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.0500
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.0340
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.0455
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.0445
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.0455
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.0420
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.0420
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.0420
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0465
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.0440
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1064.70, Sell volume: 319.43, Average price: 0.6728, Price range: 0.0420 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0420
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.0420
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.0415
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.0395
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.0405
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0400
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0515
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.0520
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.0570
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.0555
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.0570
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.0550
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.0560
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.0555
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0540
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.0665
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.0550
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.0570
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.0565
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0530
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.0530
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.0565
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0535
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.0545
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0535
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0475
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.0510
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.0505
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.0515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 145, Buy volume: 7097.13, Sell volume: 5474.02, Average price: 0.3749, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513143
Question: Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 256005.721399
Price History:
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 569, Buy volume: 190556.02, Sell volume: 22413.77, Average price: 0.8148, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0800
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.1150
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.0950
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.1150
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.0950
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0950
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.0950
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.0950
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.0950
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.0950
2024-11-22 10:00: 0.0950
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0950
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.0850
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0850
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.0850
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0850
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.0850
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0850
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0850
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0850
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.0850
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0850
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.0850
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.0850
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.0850
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.0900
2024-11-23 18:00: 0.0850
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0850
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0850
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0850
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0850
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0850
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.0850
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0850
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.0850
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.0850
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0850
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.0850
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.0850
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0850
2024-11-24 22:00: 0.0850
2024-11-25 00:00: 0.0850
2024-11-25 02:00: 0.0850
2024-11-25 04:00: 0.0850
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.0850
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0850
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.0850
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.0850
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.0800
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 66113.20, Sell volume: 11204.25, Average price: 0.6755, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513167
Question: Will Matt Gaetz be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 451600.868474
Price History:
2024-11-26 07:00: 0.0160
2024-11-26 09:00: 0.0165
2024-11-26 11:00: 0.0190
2024-11-26 13:00: 0.0155
2024-11-26 15:00: 0.0150
2024-11-26 17:00: 0.0210
2024-11-26 19:00: 0.0195
2024-11-26 21:00: 0.0240
2024-11-26 23:00: 0.0240
2024-11-27 01:00: 0.0245
2024-11-27 03:00: 0.0240
2024-11-27 05:00: 0.0235
2024-11-27 07:00: 0.0235
2024-11-27 09:00: 0.0235
2024-11-27 11:00: 0.0245
2024-11-27 13:00: 0.0245
2024-11-27 15:00: 0.0255
2024-11-27 17:00: 0.0250
2024-11-27 19:00: 0.0285
2024-11-27 21:00: 0.0280
2024-11-27 23:00: 0.0280
2024-11-28 01:00: 0.0280
2024-11-28 03:00: 0.0280
2024-11-28 05:00: 0.0280
2024-11-28 07:00: 0.0280
2024-11-28 09:00: 0.0280
2024-11-28 11:00: 0.0280
2024-11-28 13:00: 0.0285
2024-11-28 15:00: 0.0280
2024-11-28 17:00: 0.0285
2024-11-28 19:00: 0.0285
2024-11-28 21:00: 0.0285
2024-11-28 23:00: 0.0280
2024-11-29 01:00: 0.0280
2024-11-29 03:00: 0.0280
2024-11-29 05:00: 0.0285
2024-11-29 07:00: 0.0285
2024-11-29 09:00: 0.0285
2024-11-29 11:00: 0.0285
2024-11-29 13:00: 0.0285
2024-11-29 15:00: 0.0280
2024-11-29 17:00: 0.0285
2024-11-29 19:00: 0.0285
2024-11-29 21:00: 0.0280
2024-11-29 23:00: 0.0285
2024-11-30 01:00: 0.0285
2024-11-30 03:00: 0.0280
2024-11-30 05:00: 0.0285
2024-11-30 07:00: 0.0285
2024-11-30 09:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3045.94, Sell volume: 2.08, Average price: 0.6132, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9810

Output: Yes