Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537454
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5895.330094
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9925
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9925
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9925
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9925
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9925
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9925
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9925
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9925
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9925
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 181.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0110, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.0110
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537454
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5895.330094
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537454
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5895.330094
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 47.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537454
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5895.330094
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 70.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537454
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5895.330094
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9865
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9910
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9920
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9920
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9920
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9915
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9915
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9915
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9915
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9915
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1882.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8978, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537454
Question: Will Trumpet of Patriots win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5895.330094
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0080
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0080
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1873.59, Sell volume: 582.00, Average price: 0.9614, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.5100
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4750
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.5250
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.7450
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0295
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9705
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0210
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.9790
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.9810
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.9810
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9810
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9895
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.9895
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.9895
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9895
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9895
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9895
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9895
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9895
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9895
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 312.15, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.8918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 158.23, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0075
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0075
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0075
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0075
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 149.23, Sell volume: 238.72, Average price: 0.6647, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4990, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 106.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 4161.42, Sell volume: 1007.27, Average price: 0.9250, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 4161.42, Sell volume: 1007.27, Average price: 0.9250, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0030
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9970
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9970
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9970
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9970
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9970
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9970
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9970
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9970
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9970
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9970
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9970
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9970
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9970
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9970
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9970
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9970
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 12.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 49.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 112.43, Sell volume: 407.94, Average price: 0.8872, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0065
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9935
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0065
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9935
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0065
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9935
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0065
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9935
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0070
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9930
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0070
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9930
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0070
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 584.68, Sell volume: 180.00, Average price: 0.8731, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2617.34, Sell volume: 70.61, Average price: 0.9678, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4750
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0295
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0210
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 312.15, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.8918, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 158.23, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 149.23, Sell volume: 238.72, Average price: 0.6647, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4990, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 106.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 4161.42, Sell volume: 1007.27, Average price: 0.9250, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9970
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 4161.42, Sell volume: 1007.27, Average price: 0.9250, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0030
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 12.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 49.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 112.43, Sell volume: 407.94, Average price: 0.8872, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9935
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9935
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9935
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9935
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9930
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9930
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 584.68, Sell volume: 180.00, Average price: 0.8731, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537448
Question: Will HEART Party win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5168.68545
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2617.34, Sell volume: 70.61, Average price: 0.9678, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.5100
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4750
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.5250
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.7450
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.2550
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.7450
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.7450
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.7450
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.7450
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.7450
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.7450
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.1300
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.8700
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.1250
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.8750
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0750
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9250
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0750
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.9250
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0550
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9450
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.9800
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.9800
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9800
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9800
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9795
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9800
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9800
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 408.59, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.6726, Price range: 0.0274 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9810
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0175
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9825
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0170
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9830
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0180
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9820
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0180
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9820
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0190
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9810
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0190
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9810
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0185
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9815
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0175
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9825
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0175
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9825
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0170
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9830
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0185
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9815
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0175
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9825
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0180
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9820
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0170
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.9830
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.0165
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9835
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.0175
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9825
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0200
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9800
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0210
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9790
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0235
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9765
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0245
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9755
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.0245
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9755
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.0195
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.9805
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0195
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.9805
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0180
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9820
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 330.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8904, Price range: 0.0285 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9880
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9880
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9880
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9880
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9880
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9880
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9880
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9880
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9880
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 49.59, Sell volume: 35.67, Average price: 0.9887, Price range: 0.9860 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 149.22, Sell volume: 238.72, Average price: 0.6633, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9880
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9880
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9880
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9880
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9880
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9880
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9880
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0140
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9860
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0140
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9860
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0145
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9855
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0145
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9890, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9870
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0140
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9860
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0140
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9860
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0140
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9860
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0140
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9860
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9870
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0140
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9860
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0130
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9870
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0135
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9865
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0145
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9855
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0130
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9870
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0140
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9860
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0130
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9870
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0140
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9860
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0130
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9870
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0140
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9860
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0155
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9845
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0145
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9855
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0085
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9915
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0090
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9910
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 86.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9897, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9925
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9925
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9920
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9925
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9920
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9920
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9920
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9920
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9930
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9930
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9920
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0085
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9915
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9920
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9920
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9920
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9925
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9920
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9910
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0115
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9885
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1034.41, Sell volume: 281.41, Average price: 0.8145, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0075
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9925
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0100
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9900
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0075
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9925
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9905
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0095
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9905
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0110
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9890
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9920
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1034.41, Sell volume: 281.41, Average price: 0.8145, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1034.41, Sell volume: 281.41, Average price: 0.8145, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.02, Average price: 0.9880, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1034.41, Sell volume: 281.41, Average price: 0.8145, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1034.41, Sell volume: 281.41, Average price: 0.8145, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1034.41, Sell volume: 281.41, Average price: 0.8145, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4750
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.1300
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.1250
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0750
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0750
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0550
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0185
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0170
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 408.59, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.6726, Price range: 0.0274 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9810
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9825
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9830
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9820
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9820
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9810
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9810
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9815
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9825
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9825
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9830
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9815
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9825
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9820
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.9830
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9835
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9825
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9800
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9790
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9765
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9755
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9755
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.9805
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.9805
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9820
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9835
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9810
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9825
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.9855
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 330.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8904, Price range: 0.0285 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 49.59, Sell volume: 35.67, Average price: 0.9887, Price range: 0.9860 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 149.22, Sell volume: 238.72, Average price: 0.6633, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0140
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0140
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0145
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0145
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0145
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0145
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0140
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0135
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9890, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9870
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9860
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9860
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9860
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9860
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9870
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9860
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9870
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9865
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9855
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9870
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9860
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9870
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9860
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9870
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9860
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9845
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9855
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9915
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9910
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9910
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9925
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 86.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9897, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0085
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0115
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1034.41, Sell volume: 281.41, Average price: 0.8145, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9925
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9900
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9925
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9905
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9905
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9890
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9920
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9900
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9905
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9915
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1034.41, Sell volume: 281.41, Average price: 0.8145, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1034.41, Sell volume: 281.41, Average price: 0.8145, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.02, Average price: 0.9880, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1034.41, Sell volume: 281.41, Average price: 0.8145, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1034.41, Sell volume: 281.41, Average price: 0.8145, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537450
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 1315.823179
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1034.41, Sell volume: 281.41, Average price: 0.8145, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.5100
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4750
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.5250
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.7450
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.2550
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.7450
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.7450
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.7450
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.7450
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.7450
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.7450
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.5650
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.4350
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.5700
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.4300
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.5050
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.4950
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.5050
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.4950
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.5150
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.4850
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.5500
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.4500
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.5400
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.4600
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.5450
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.4550
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.5400
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.4600
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.5400
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.4600
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.5400
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.4600
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.5400
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.4600
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.5400
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.4600
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.5400
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.4600
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.5450
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 498.63, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5031, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.5600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.4550
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.5500
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.4500
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.5500
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.4500
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.5500
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.4500
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.5500
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.4500
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.5500
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.4500
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.5500
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.4500
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.5500
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.4500
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.5600
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.4400
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.5600
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.4400
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.5550
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.4450
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.5550
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.4450
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.5550
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.4450
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.5450
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.4550
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.5450
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.4550
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.5500
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.4500
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.5450
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.4550
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.5400
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.4600
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.5400
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.4600
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.5400
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.4600
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.5400
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.4600
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.5350
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.4650
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.5300
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.4700
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.5300
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.4700
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.5250
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.4750
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 35588.80, Sell volume: 34292.23, Average price: 0.4983, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.5400
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.4600
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.5400
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.4600
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.5400
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.4600
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.5400
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.4600
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.5300
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.4700
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.5300
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.4700
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.5300
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.4700
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.5300
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.4700
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.5350
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.4650
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.5300
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.4700
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.5250
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.4750
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.4700
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.4700
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.4700
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.4700
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.4700
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.4700
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.4700
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.4700
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.4700
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.4700
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.4700
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.4700
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.4700
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 9.26, Sell volume: 521.85, Average price: 0.5006, Price range: 0.4546 - 0.5400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.4700
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 167.74, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5350, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.5400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.4650
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.4650
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.4650
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.4650
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.4650
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.4650
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4650
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.4650
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.4650
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.4650
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.4650
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.4650
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.4650
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.4650
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.4650
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.4650
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.4650
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.4650
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.4650
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.4650
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.4650
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.4650
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.4650
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.4650
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4700, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.4700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.4650
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.4650
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.4650
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.4650
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.4650
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.4650
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.5350
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.4650
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.5350
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.4650
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.5350
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.4650
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.5350
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.4650
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.5350
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.4650
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.5350
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.4650
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.5350
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.4650
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.5350
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.4650
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.5350
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.4650
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.5300
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.4700
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.5300
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.4700
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.5300
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.4700
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.5300
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.4700
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.5300
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.4700
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.5300
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.4700
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.5200
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.4800
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.5200
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.4800
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.5200
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.4800
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.5200
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.4800
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 106.20, Sell volume: 166.78, Average price: 0.4925, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.4850
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.4850
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1316.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5316, Price range: 0.5316 - 0.5316

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.4850
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.4850
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.4850
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5150
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5150
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5200
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.5150
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.5150
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5200
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5150
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5150
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5150
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5150
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.5200
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.5150
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.5200
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.5200
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5400, Price range: 0.5400 - 0.5400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.4450
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.5550
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.4450
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.5550
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.4450
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.5350
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.4650
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.5350
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.4650
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.5350
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.4650
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.5300
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.4700
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.5350
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.4650
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.5300
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.4700
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.5350
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.4650
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.5250
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.5450
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.4550
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.5550
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.4450
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.5550
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.4450
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.5550
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.4450
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.5500
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.4500
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.5400
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.4600
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.5500
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.4500
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.5350
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.4650
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.5400
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.4600
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.5300
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.4700
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.5300
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.4700
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.5250
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.5200
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 38631.00, Sell volume: 38619.80, Average price: 0.5133, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.4850
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.5150
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.4900
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.5100
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.4950
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.5050
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 47.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.5350
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.4650
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.5350
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.4650
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.5400
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.4600
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.5400
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.4600
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.5350
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.4650
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.5350
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.4650
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.5350
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.4650
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.5400
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.4600
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.5400
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.4600
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.5350
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.4650
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.4500
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.4500
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.4500
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.4500
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.4500
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.4500
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.4500
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.4500
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.4500
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.4500
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.4500
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.4500
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.4500
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 395.47, Sell volume: 5.53, Average price: 0.5229, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.5600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.5600
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.4400
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.5600
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.4400
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.5600
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.4400
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.5600
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.4400
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.5600
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.4400
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.5600
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.4400
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.5600
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.4400
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.5600
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.4400
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.5600
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.4400
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.5600
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.4400
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.5600
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.4400
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.5600
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.4400
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.5950
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.4050
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.6850
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.3150
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 35952.62, Sell volume: 32960.00, Average price: 0.5465, Price range: 0.3012 - 0.7500

Output: No