Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.3050
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.7100
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.3100
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.6900
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.3050
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.6950
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.3050
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.6950
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.6950
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.2650
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.7350
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.1700
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.8350
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.8150
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.1900
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.7850
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.2250
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.7750
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.2300
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.7700
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.2300
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.7700
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.2350
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.7750
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.2300
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.7700
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.2350
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3291.84, Sell volume: 406.15, Average price: 0.5837, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.8044
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.2150
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.7800
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.2150
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.7900
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.2150
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.7850
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.2100
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.7900
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.2100
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.7750
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.2150
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.7900
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.2100
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.7850
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.2100
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.7900
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.2100
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.7900
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.2100
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.7900
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.2100
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.7900
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.2100
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.7900
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.2100
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.7900
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.2100
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.8000
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.1950
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2294.59, Sell volume: 1012.66, Average price: 0.6871, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.1950
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.8050
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.7950
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.2050
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.7950
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.2150
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.7850
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.2150
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.7800
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.2850
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.7700
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.2350
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.7750
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.2200
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.7850
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.2400
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.7600
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.2700
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.7350
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.2400
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.7450
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.2650
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.7300
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.2850
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.6800
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.3200
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.7250
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.2850
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 3432.90, Sell volume: 1427.74, Average price: 0.4184, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.2750
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.7300
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.2700
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.7300
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.3050
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.7000
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.2950
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.7150
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.3050
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.7250
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.2950
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.7300
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.2700
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.7150
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.2850
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.7050
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.3000
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.7000
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.2900
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.7000
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.2950
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.6950
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.3650
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.6500
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.3450
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.6800
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.3200
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.7000
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.3000
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1202.13, Sell volume: 314.58, Average price: 0.3955, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.3050
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.6950
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.3150
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.6850
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.3550
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.6400
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.3650
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.6450
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.3250
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.5200
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.3700
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.6650
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.3400
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.6750
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.6750
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.6750
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.6750
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.6750
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.6750
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.3250
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.6450
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.3500
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.6800
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.3250
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 184.98, Sell volume: 618.10, Average price: 0.4449, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.6700
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.6700
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.6750
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.3250
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.6700
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.6750
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.3200
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.6800
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.3200
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.6800
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.3200
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.6800
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.3200
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.6850
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.3150
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.6850
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.3150
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.6900
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.3050
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.6950
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.3050
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.6950
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.1600
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.8250
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.1900
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 66.00, Sell volume: 1074.00, Average price: 0.3232, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.2850
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.7200
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.2550
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.7500
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.2250
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.7550
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.2050
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.8000
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.2300
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.7350
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.2200
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.7800
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.2200
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.7850
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.2200
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.7800
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.2800
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.7200
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.2800
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.7200
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.2750
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.7150
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.2800
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.7200
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.2450
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.7550
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.2450
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.7550
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.2450
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 956.00, Sell volume: 148.42, Average price: 0.4886, Price range: 0.1540 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.3000
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.7350
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.1750
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.8250
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.2750
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.7450
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.2900
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.7200
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.2750
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.7300
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.2700
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.7300
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.2600
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.7400
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.2350
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.7550
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.2500
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.7800
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.2400
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.7700
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.1950
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.8250
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.1450
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.1350
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.8750
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.8750
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.1250
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 150, Buy volume: 2918.19, Sell volume: 3928.87, Average price: 0.6538, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.1250
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.8750
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.1250
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.8750
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.8650
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.8700
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.8700
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.8750
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.1250
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.8750
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.1350
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.8750
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.8700
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.8700
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.8700
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.1250
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.8750
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.1250
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.8750
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.8650
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1826.62, Sell volume: 516.34, Average price: 0.3691, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.8650
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.8700
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.1250
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.8750
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.1250
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.8750
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.1250
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.8750
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.1250
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.8750
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.1250
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.8750
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.9100
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.1150
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.8850
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.1150
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.8900
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.1100
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.8850
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.1100
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.8900
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.1050
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.8950
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.1050
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.8950
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.1000
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 2980.64, Sell volume: 2431.32, Average price: 0.5623, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520153
Question: Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 42911.073384
Price History:
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.1150
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.8500
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.1500
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.8450
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.1550
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.8450
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.1550
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.8450
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.1500
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.8500
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.1500
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.8550
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.1450
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.8450
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.1600
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.8350
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.1650
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.8350
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.1650
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.8350
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.1650
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.8350
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.1650
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.8350
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.1650
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.8350
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.1650
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.8350
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0050
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 4860.48, Sell volume: 822.85, Average price: 0.4787, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.5000
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.4850
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.4750
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.4700
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.4700
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.4750
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.4750
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.4750
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.0400
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.0400
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.0450
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.0500
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.0450
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.0450
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.0350
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.0300
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.0265
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.0200
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.0200
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.0185
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.0155
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.0195
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.0195
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.0240
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.0250
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.0245
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.0310
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.0305
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.0310
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.0315
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.0335
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.0320
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.0320
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.0310
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.0310
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.0310
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.0335
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.0265
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.0270
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.0300
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.0300
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.0295
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.0315
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.0320
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.0325
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0330
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.0325
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.0335
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.0340
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1690.48, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.8114, Price range: 0.0162 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.0340
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.0355
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.0365
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.0375
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.0375
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.0375
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.0375
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.0375
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0360
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.0375
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.0370
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.0330
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.0355
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.0355
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.0355
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.0355
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.0355
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.0325
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.0320
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.0325
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.0320
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.0330
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.0340
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.0340
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.0340
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.0370
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.0375
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.0455
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.0460
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.0460
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.0465
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.0470
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.0475
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.0475
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.0470
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.0475
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.0475
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.0475
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.0475
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.0475
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.0480
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.0475
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.0480
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.0475
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.0480
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.0475
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.0480
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0480
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0475
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1895.39, Sell volume: 1764.78, Average price: 0.6016, Price range: 0.0380 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0475
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.0480
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.0480
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0480
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.0480
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.0480
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0580
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0580
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0585
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0610
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.0640
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.0640
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0640
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.0635
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.0635
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0615
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.0615
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.0605
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0615
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.0615
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.0605
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.0600
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.0605
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.0625
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0605
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.0605
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.0605
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0600
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.0610
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0600
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0590
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.0590
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0590
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0590
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.0590
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.0595
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0590
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0590
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0595
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0600
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.0630
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.0645
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0645
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.0640
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0605
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.0605
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.0605
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.0605
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0690
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.0690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2231.00, Sell volume: 367.33, Average price: 0.6910, Price range: 0.0520 - 0.9470

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0690
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0710
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0725
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0735
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0850
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.0910
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0930
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0960
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.0965
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0960
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0960
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.0975
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0975
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0970
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.0975
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0975
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0985
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0990
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0985
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.0980
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0980
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0975
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0975
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.0975
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0980
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.0980
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.0980
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.0975
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0975
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.0930
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0935
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0915
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0930
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0935
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0925
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0885
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0885
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0885
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0885
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0885
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0885
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.0885
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0885
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.0885
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0885
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.0885
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0885
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.0885
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0885
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.0885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 7295.58, Sell volume: 78.96, Average price: 0.8315, Price range: 0.0816 - 0.9330

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0885
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0885
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0885
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.0885
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.0885
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0935
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0935
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0935
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0940
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0930
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0930
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0935
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0930
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0925
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0930
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0935
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0930
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0935
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0925
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.0935
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0930
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.0930
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.0930
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.0920
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0910
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.0910
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.0910
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.0910
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.0910
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.0905
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.0900
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.0900
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.0905
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.0910
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0925
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.0845
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.0825
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.0890
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.0890
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.0920
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.0915
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0920
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0920
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.0915
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0915
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.0915
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.0930
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0920
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.0910
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.0915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3111.25, Sell volume: 189.06, Average price: 0.8334, Price range: 0.0870 - 0.9230

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0915
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.0910
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.0915
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0915
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.0930
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0920
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0920
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.0920
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.0915
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.0915
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0925
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0930
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0930
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0930
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0930
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0925
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0925
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0930
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0930
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0930
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0930
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0935
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0930
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0935
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0925
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.0925
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0925
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0930
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.0930
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0935
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0935
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0990
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.0985
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0985
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.0935
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.0935
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0935
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0940
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0940
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0940
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0935
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0930
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0940
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0935
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.1045
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.1050
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.1045
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.1050
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.1060
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.1055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 55.00, Sell volume: 1681.99, Average price: 0.7595, Price range: 0.0870 - 0.9130

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.1060
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.1060
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.1060
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.1065
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.1165
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.1055
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0945
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.1030
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0980
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0965
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.1015
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.1025
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.1015
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.1050
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.1050
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.1055
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.1050
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.1050
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.1050
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0990
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0955
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0995
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0995
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.1000
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.1000
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.1000
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.1000
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.1000
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.1000
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0990
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0990
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0890
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0890
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0890
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0890
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0895
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0900
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0895
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.0875
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0910
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.0845
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.0865
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0870
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0870
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0865
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0865
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0865
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0860
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0870
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 780.60, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7616, Price range: 0.0950 - 0.9210

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0870
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0865
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0875
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0870
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0865
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0855
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0860
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0855
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0840
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0835
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0835
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.0825
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0825
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0825
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0805
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0805
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0810
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.0800
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0790
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.0780
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0785
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0790
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0775
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0790
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0790
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0785
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0775
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0790
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0795
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0755
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0735
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0735
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0730
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0730
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0730
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.0720
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0715
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.0710
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.0710
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.0695
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.0700
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.0690
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0700
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0695
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0695
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.0695
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0695
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0695
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0695
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1126.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.8417, Price range: 0.0710 - 0.9330

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0715
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0695
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0715
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0690
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0700
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0650
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0640
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0630
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0630
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0630
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0630
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0640
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0635
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0640
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0620
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0620
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0625
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0620
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0625
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0610
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0610
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0615
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0615
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0585
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0585
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0585
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0625
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0625
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0615
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0620
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0610
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0610
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0600
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0605
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0620
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0600
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0585
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0585
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0585
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0585
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0565
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0555
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0555
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0560
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0570
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0570
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0575
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0570
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0515
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1671.00, Sell volume: 270.00, Average price: 0.8757, Price range: 0.0550 - 0.9497

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0515
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0460
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0390
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0390
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0390
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0390
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0390
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0385
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0290
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0400
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0205
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.0065
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0075
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.0090
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0080
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0060
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.0075
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.0060
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.0050
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.0055
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.0060
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.0085
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.0095
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.0120
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.0110
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.0095
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0090
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.0085
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.0065
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.0055
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0085
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.0070
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0085
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.0090
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.0050
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0065
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0035
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0085
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0070
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.0060
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.0070
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0055
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0040
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.0065
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0115
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0070
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0090
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0080
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 118, Buy volume: 2612.11, Sell volume: 1667.77, Average price: 0.8520, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0095
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0085
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0080
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0085
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0070
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0080
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0075
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0065
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0070
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0070
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.0070
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0070
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0070
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0085
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0065
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0070
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.0065
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0070
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0080
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0080
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.0080
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0075
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0035
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0080
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0090
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0090
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.0090
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0085
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.0090
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0090
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0090
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0090
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.0070
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0070
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.0070
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0075
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.0075
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0075
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.0070
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0070
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0075
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.0070
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0080
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0070
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0080
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0070
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0080
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0070
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0075
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1338.42, Sell volume: 1037.45, Average price: 0.7618, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0085
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0095
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0095
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0095
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0090
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0090
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0095
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0095
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0095
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0095
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0095
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0095
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0095
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0095
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.0090
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0095
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0095
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0090
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0095
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0100
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0085
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0085
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0085
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0085
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0085
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.0090
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.0090
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0090
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.0085
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0085
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0075
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0080
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.0075
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0075
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0070
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.0075
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0065
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.0070
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.0070
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.0070
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.0070
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.0080
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0075
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.0065
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0065
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0065
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0070
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0070
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0060
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 1654.27, Sell volume: 361.67, Average price: 0.7816, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0070
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.0055
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0055
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0055
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0055
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0050
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0050
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0055
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0050
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0045
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0075
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.0055
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0060
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0060
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0055
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0050
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0040
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0040
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0040
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0040
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0030
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0030
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0030
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.0030
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0030
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0030
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0030
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0030
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0030
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0030
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0030
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0030
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 2420.55, Sell volume: 462.58, Average price: 0.8416, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.5000
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.5150
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.4700
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.5300
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.4750
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.5250
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.0400
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.9550
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.0450
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.9550
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.0300
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.9735
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.0200
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.9815
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.0195
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.9805
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.0250
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.9755
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.0305
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.9690
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.0335
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.9680
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.0310
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.9690
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.0335
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.9735
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.0300
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.9700
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.0315
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.9680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1690.48, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.8114, Price range: 0.0162 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.0340
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.9645
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.0375
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.9625
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.0375
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.9625
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.0375
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.9630
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.0355
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.9645
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.0355
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.9645
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.0320
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.9675
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.0330
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.9660
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.0340
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.9630
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.0455
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.9540
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.0465
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.9530
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.0475
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.9530
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.0475
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.9525
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.0475
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.9520
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.0480
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.9525
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1895.39, Sell volume: 1764.78, Average price: 0.6016, Price range: 0.0380 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0475
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.9520
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0480
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.9520
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0580
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.9420
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0610
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.9360
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0640
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.9365
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0615
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.9385
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0615
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.9385
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.0600
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.9395
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0605
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.9395
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0600
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.9390
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0590
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.9410
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0590
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.9410
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0590
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.9410
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0600
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.9370
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0645
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.9360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2231.00, Sell volume: 367.33, Average price: 0.6910, Price range: 0.0520 - 0.9470
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0690
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.9290
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0735
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.9150
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0930
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.9040
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0960
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.9040
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0975
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.9030
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0975
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.9015
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0985
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.9020
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0975
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.9025
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0980
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.9020
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.0975
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.9025
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0935
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9085
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0935
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.9075
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0885
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.9115
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0885
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.9115
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0885
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.9115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 7295.58, Sell volume: 78.96, Average price: 0.8315, Price range: 0.0816 - 0.9330
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0885
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.9115
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.0885
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.9115
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0935
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.9065
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0930
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.9070
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0930
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.9075
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0935
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.9070
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0925
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.9065
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.0930
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.9070
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0910
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.9090
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.0910
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.9090
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.0900
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.9100
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.0910
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.9075
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.0825
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.9110
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.0920
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9085
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0920
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.9085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3111.25, Sell volume: 189.06, Average price: 0.8334, Price range: 0.0870 - 0.9230
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0915
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.9090
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0915
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.9070
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0920
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.9080
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.0915
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9075
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0930
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9070
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0925
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9075
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0930
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9070
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0935
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9070
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0925
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.9075
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0930
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.9070
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0935
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.9010
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0985
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.9065
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0935
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.9060
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0940
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9065
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0940
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.9065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 55.00, Sell volume: 1681.99, Average price: 0.7595, Price range: 0.0870 - 0.9130
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.1060
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.8940
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.1065
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.8835
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0945
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.8970
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0965
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.8985
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.1015
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.8950
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.1055
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.8950
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.1050
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9010
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0995
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9005
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.1000
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9000
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.1000
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9000
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0990
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9110
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0890
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.9110
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0900
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9105
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0910
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.9155
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0870
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 780.60, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7616, Price range: 0.0950 - 0.9210
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0870
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9135
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0870
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9135
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0860
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9145
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0835
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9165
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0825
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9175
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0805
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9190
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0790
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9220
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0790
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9225
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0790
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9215
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0790
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9205
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0735
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9265
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0730
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9270
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0715
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9290
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.0695
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9300
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0700
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.9305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1126.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.8417, Price range: 0.0710 - 0.9330
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0715
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9305
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0690
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9300
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0640
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9370
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0630
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9370
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0635
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.9360
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0620
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9375
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0625
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.9390
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0615
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.9385
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0585
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9415
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0625
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9385
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0610
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9390
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0605
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9380
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0585
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9415
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0585
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.9435
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0555
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.9440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1671.00, Sell volume: 270.00, Average price: 0.8757, Price range: 0.0550 - 0.9497
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0515
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.9540
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0390
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.9610
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0390
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.9615
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0400
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.9795
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0075
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.9910
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0060
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.9925
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.0050
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.9945
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.9915
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.0120
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.9890
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0090
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.9915
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.0055
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.9915
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0085
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.9910
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0065
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.9965
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0070
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.9940
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0055
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 118, Buy volume: 2612.11, Sell volume: 1667.77, Average price: 0.8520, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0095
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.9915
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0085
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.9930
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0075
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9935
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0070
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9930
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0070
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.9915
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0070
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9935
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0080
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9920
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0075
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.9965
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0090
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.9910
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0085
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9910
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0090
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9910
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0070
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.9930
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.0075
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.9925
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0070
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.9925
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0080
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1338.42, Sell volume: 1037.45, Average price: 0.7618, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0085
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.9905
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0095
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.9910
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0095
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.9905
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0095
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.9905
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0095
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.9905
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0095
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9905
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0095
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.9900
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0085
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.9915
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0085
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.9910
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0090
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.9915
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0075
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.9920
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0075
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.9930
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0065
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9930
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.0070
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.9930
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0075
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 1654.27, Sell volume: 361.67, Average price: 0.7816, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520154
Question: Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 36180.982632
Price History:
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0070
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9945
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0055
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9945
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0050
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.9945
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0045
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.9925
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0060
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9940
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0050
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9960
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0040
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9960
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9970
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0030
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.9970
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0030
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.9970
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.9970
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.9975
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9970
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.9970
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0030
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 2420.55, Sell volume: 462.58, Average price: 0.8416, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.5000
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.4850
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.4750
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.4700
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.4700
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.4750
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.4750
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.4750
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.4750
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.2500
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.2500
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.3600
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.3600
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.3550
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.2900
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.2850
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.2900
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.2850
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.2850
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.2750
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.2850
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.2800
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.2800
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.2750
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.1750
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.1650
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.2000
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.2000
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.2050
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.2050
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.2050
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.2050
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.2050
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.2000
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.2000
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.1900
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.1750
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.1800
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.1800
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.1850
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.1850
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.1850
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.1850
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.1800
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.1850
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.3100
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.2300
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.2300
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1441.89, Sell volume: 421.85, Average price: 0.6307, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.2100
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.1950
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.2150
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.1800
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.1900
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.1900
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.1900
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.1800
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.1900
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.1800
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.1800
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.1800
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.1800
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.1800
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.1800
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.1800
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.1800
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.1850
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.1950
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.1950
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.1950
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.1950
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.1950
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.1950
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.1950
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.1950
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.1850
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.1850
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.1850
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.1950
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 512.87, Sell volume: 229.93, Average price: 0.6127, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.1850
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.1750
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.1850
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.1850
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.1850
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.2050
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.2350
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.2300
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.1900
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.1850
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.1950
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.1950
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.1950
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.1950
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.1950
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.1950
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.1950
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.1950
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.1950
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.1950
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.1950
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.1950
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.2000
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.2000
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.2000
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.2000
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.2000
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.2000
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.2000
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.2000
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.2000
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.2000
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.2000
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.2000
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.2000
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.1950
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 473.80, Sell volume: 273.15, Average price: 0.7150, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.1900
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.1900
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.1900
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.1950
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.1900
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.1900
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.1900
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.1900
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.1900
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.1900
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.1900
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.1850
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.1800
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.1800
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.1900
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.2000
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1776.73, Sell volume: 108.24, Average price: 0.6454, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.1650
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.1650
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.1650
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.1650
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0750
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.0900
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.1400
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.1550
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.1550
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.1450
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.1450
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.1450
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.1450
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.1200
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.1250
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.1250
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.1250
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.1250
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.1300
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.1300
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.1250
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.1350
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.1300
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.1200
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.1400
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.1450
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.0900
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0900
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.1100
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.1100
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.1050
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.1100
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.1100
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.1250
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.1050
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1698.42, Sell volume: 169.06, Average price: 0.5582, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.1100
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.1100
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.1100
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.1100
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.1100
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.1100
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.1100
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.1100
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.1050
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.1050
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.1000
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.1000
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.1000
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.1000
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.1000
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.1000
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.1000
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.1000
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.1000
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.1000
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.1000
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.1000
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.1100
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.1050
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0950
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.0950
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.1000
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.1000
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.0950
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0950
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.1050
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.1050
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.1050
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.1050
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.1050
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.1050
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.1050
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.1050
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.1050
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.1050
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.1050
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.1050
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.1050
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.1050
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.1050
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.1050
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.1050
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.1000
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.1000
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 158.29, Sell volume: 148.60, Average price: 0.2500, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.1000
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.1000
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.1000
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.1000
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.1050
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.1050
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.1050
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.1000
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.1000
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.1000
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.1000
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.1000
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.1000
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.1000
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.1000
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0800
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0950
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.1050
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.1050
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.1050
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.1050
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 282.64, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.3075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.1000
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0950
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.0950
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0950
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.0950
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0950
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0950
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0950
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0950
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0950
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0950
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0950
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0950
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0950
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0900
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0900
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0900
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0900
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.1000
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.1000
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.1000
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.1000
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.1000
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.1050
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.1100
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.1100
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.1250
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.2100
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.1650
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.1150
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.1200
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.1700
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.1150
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.4700
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 531.27, Sell volume: 60.45, Average price: 0.1069, Price range: 0.0888 - 0.1200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.1250
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.1250
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.1050
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.1500
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.1200
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.2050
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.1650
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.1550
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.1500
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.1500
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.2200
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.1900
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.1850
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.3700
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.1150
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.1150
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.1150
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.1150
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.1100
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.1050
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.1050
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.1050
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.1050
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0950
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.1000
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.1000
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.1000
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.1000
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.1000
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.1000
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.1050
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.1050
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.1050
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.3050
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.1950
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0950
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.1000
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.1000
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.1050
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.1000
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.1000
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.1000
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.1000
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.1000
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.1000
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.1000
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.1000
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0900
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0900
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 510.96, Sell volume: 176.12, Average price: 0.5162, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0900
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0850
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0950
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0700
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0700
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0700
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0700
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0700
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0700
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0700
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0450
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.0400
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0400
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.0455
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0455
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0455
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.0455
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.0450
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.0350
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.0360
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.0355
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.0315
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.0315
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.0690
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.0550
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.0560
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.0555
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0595
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.0575
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.0595
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.0505
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0320
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.0320
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0315
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.0420
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.0605
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0625
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0620
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0620
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0560
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.0545
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.0555
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0560
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0560
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.0560
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0565
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0525
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0560
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0520
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 147, Buy volume: 4820.71, Sell volume: 595.55, Average price: 0.6806, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0525
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0515
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0580
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0565
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0565
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0545
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0460
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0470
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0465
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0465
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.0460
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0465
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0470
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0465
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0460
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0460
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.0460
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0460
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0460
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0460
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.0460
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0465
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0445
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0445
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0445
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0445
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.0445
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0445
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.0445
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0445
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0445
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0445
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.0445
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0440
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.0440
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0435
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.0440
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0440
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.0440
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0435
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0435
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.0430
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0430
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0435
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0435
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0440
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0435
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0445
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0480
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1081.03, Sell volume: 437.94, Average price: 0.6036, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9560

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0475
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0465
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0465
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0455
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0475
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0485
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0505
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0520
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0520
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0515
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0520
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0520
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0520
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0540
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.0535
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0565
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0565
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0565
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0850
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0570
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0450
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0475
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0480
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.0800
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.0760
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0795
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.0795
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0785
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0760
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0715
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.0710
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0710
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0710
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.0710
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0710
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.0705
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.0695
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.0695
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.0690
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.0685
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0660
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.0660
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0660
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0685
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0680
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0665
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0675
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.0685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 3673.36, Sell volume: 1622.75, Average price: 0.2203, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.9570

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0680
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.0665
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0665
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0645
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0635
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0680
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0680
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0685
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0680
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0685
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0685
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.0685
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0685
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0670
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0690
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0685
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0720
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0715
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0720
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0685
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0680
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0675
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0675
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0680
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0735
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.0735
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0910
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0835
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0880
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0785
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0950
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0795
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0825
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0820
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0845
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0875
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0895
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0905
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0885
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0910
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0925
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.0925
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.4900
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.4185
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.4035
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.9960
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.9930
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.9990
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.9800
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 12235.85, Sell volume: 727.20, Average price: 0.5089, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.5000
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.5150
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.4700
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.5300
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.4750
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.5250
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.2500
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.7500
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.3600
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.6400
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.2900
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.7150
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.2850
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.7150
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.2850
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.7200
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.2750
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.8250
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.2000
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.8000
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.2050
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.7950
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.2050
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.8000
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.1900
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.8250
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.1800
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.8150
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.1850
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1441.89, Sell volume: 421.85, Average price: 0.6307, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.2100
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.8050
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.8200
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.1900
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.8100
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.8150
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.1800
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.8100
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.1800
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.8200
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.8150
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.1800
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.8200
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.8200
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.8200
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.8200
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.8200
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.1850
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.8050
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.1950
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.8050
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.1950
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 512.87, Sell volume: 229.93, Average price: 0.6127, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.8150
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.1750
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.8200
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.8200
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.8150
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.8200
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.1850
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.8150
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.2050
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.7650
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.1900
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.8150
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.1950
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.8050
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.1950
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.8050
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.1950
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.8050
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.1950
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.8050
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.2000
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.8000
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.2000
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.8000
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.2000
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 473.80, Sell volume: 273.15, Average price: 0.7150, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.1900
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.8100
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.1950
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.8100
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.1900
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.8100
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.1900
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.8100
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.1800
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.8200
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.8300
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.8300
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.1700
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.8300
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.8300
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.8300
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.8300
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.1900
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.8000
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.8300
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.8300
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.1700
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1776.73, Sell volume: 108.24, Average price: 0.6454, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.1650
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.8350
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.8300
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.8300
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.8300
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.1650
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.8300
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0750
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.9150
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.9100
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.1550
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.8450
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.1450
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.8550
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.1200
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.8750
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.1250
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.8750
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.1300
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.8750
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.1300
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.8800
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.1450
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9100
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.1100
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1698.42, Sell volume: 169.06, Average price: 0.5582, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.1100
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.8900
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.1100
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.8900
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.1100
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.8900
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.1050
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9000
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.1000
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9000
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.1000
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9000
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.1000
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9000
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.1000
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.8900
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0950
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.9050
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.1000
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.9050
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.1050
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.8950
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.1050
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.8950
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.1050
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.8950
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.1050
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.8950
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.1050
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 158.29, Sell volume: 148.60, Average price: 0.2500, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.1000
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9000
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.1000
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.8950
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.1050
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9000
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.1000
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.9000
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.1000
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.9000
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0800
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9050
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9050
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9050
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9050
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9050
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9050
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.9050
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9050
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.1050
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.8950
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 282.64, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.3075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9050
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9050
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9050
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.1000
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9050
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9050
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9050
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0950
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9050
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0950
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9050
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0950
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9050
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0950
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9050
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0900
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9100
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.1000
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9000
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.1000
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9000
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.1100
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.8900
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.2100
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 531.27, Sell volume: 60.45, Average price: 0.1069, Price range: 0.0888 - 0.1200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.1250
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.8750
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.1500
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.8800
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.1650
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.8450
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.1500
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.7800
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.1850
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.6300
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.1150
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.8850
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.1100
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.8950
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.1050
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.8950
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.1000
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9000
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.1000
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9000
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.1050
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.8950
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.3050
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.8050
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.1000
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9000
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.1000
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.9000
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.1000
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 510.96, Sell volume: 176.12, Average price: 0.5162, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0900
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.9150
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0700
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.9300
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0700
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.9300
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0700
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.9550
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0400
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.9545
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0455
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.9545
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.0350
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.9640
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.0315
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.9685
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.0550
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.9440
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0595
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.9425
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.0505
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.9680
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0315
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.9580
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0625
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.9380
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0560
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.9455
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0560
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.9440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 147, Buy volume: 4820.71, Sell volume: 595.55, Average price: 0.6806, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0525
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.9485
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0565
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.9435
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0460
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9530
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0465
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9540
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0470
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.9535
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0460
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9540
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0460
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9540
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0465
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.9555
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0445
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.9555
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0445
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9555
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0445
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9555
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0440
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.9560
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.0440
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.9560
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0435
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.9565
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0430
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.9565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1081.03, Sell volume: 437.94, Average price: 0.6036, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9560
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0475
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.9535
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0455
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.9525
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0505
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.9480
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0515
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.9480
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0520
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.9460
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0565
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9435
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0570
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.9550
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0480
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.9200
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0795
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.9205
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0760
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.9285
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0710
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.9290
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0710
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9295
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.0695
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.9310
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0660
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.9340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 3673.36, Sell volume: 1622.75, Average price: 0.2203, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.9570
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520151
Question: Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 34748.686266
Price History:
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0680
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9335
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0645
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9365
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0680
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.9315
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0685
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.9315
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0685
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9330
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0685
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9280
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0720
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9315
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0675
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9325
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0735
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.9265
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0835
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.9120
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0950
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.9205
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0820
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.9155
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0895
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9095
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0910
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.9075
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.4900
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.5815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 12235.85, Sell volume: 727.20, Average price: 0.5089, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.1500
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.0400
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0320
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0260
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0250
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.0230
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.0150
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.0165
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.0135
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.0155
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.0170
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.0160
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.0170
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.0160
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.0150
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.0165
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.0165
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.0145
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.0145
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.0145
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.0160
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0160
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0150
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.0150
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0150
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.0150
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.0150
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0150
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.0150
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0150
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0150
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0150
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.0150
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0150
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.0150
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.0150
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0150
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0150
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.0145
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0145
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.0145
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.0150
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0150
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0145
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.0140
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.0145
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.0145
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0145
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0145
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 383825328.71, Sell volume: 14172838.79, Average price: 0.7751, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0150
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0150
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.0150
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0150
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0150
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0150
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0150
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.0065
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0115
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0125
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0125
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.0130
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0130
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0130
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0125
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0125
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0125
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0125
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0125
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.0125
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0125
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0125
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0125
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0125
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0125
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0130
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0115
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0125
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0125
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0140
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0140
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0140
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0140
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0130
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0130
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0160
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.0140
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.0140
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0150
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0205
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0205
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 383825328.71, Sell volume: 14172838.79, Average price: 0.7751, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0205
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0205
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0210
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0205
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0205
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0210
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0205
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0205
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0205
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0205
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0210
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0210
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0210
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0210
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0210
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0205
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0205
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0205
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0215
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0205
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0210
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0210
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0210
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0210
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0210
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0210
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0205
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0195
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0195
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0195
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0195
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0195
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0195
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0195
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0240
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0240
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0240
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0245
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0245
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0195
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0195
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0195
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0195
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0190
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0190
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0190
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0190
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 383825328.71, Sell volume: 14172838.79, Average price: 0.7751, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0190
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0190
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0190
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0190
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0190
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0190
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0190
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0190
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0190
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0190
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0190
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0190
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0190
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0220
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0220
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0220
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0210
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0210
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0210
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0210
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0205
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.0210
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.0210
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0210
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.0215
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0215
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.0210
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0210
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.0210
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0220
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.0215
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.0210
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0210
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.0210
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.0205
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0205
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.0205
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0205
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0205
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0205
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0200
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0190
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0190
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0210
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0210
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0210
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0210
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0210
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0185
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 383825328.71, Sell volume: 14172838.79, Average price: 0.7751, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0180
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0165
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0155
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0155
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0165
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0150
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0155
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0165
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0165
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0170
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0170
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0190
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0190
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0170
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.0130
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0130
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0155
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0135
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0135
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0135
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0150
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0130
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0135
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0135
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0145
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0130
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0125
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0125
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0125
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0120
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0125
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0120
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0140
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0135
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0135
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0135
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0135
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0130
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0135
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0130
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0130
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0135
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0140
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0130
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0130
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0115
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 383825328.71, Sell volume: 14172838.79, Average price: 0.7751, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0125
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0090
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0095
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0090
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0095
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0090
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0090
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0090
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0075
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0075
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0075
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0065
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0065
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0065
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0055
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0055
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0050
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0065
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0065
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0065
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0065
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0055
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0055
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0055
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0055
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0055
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0030
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0050
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0050
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0055
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0055
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0040
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0055
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0055
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0035
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 383825328.71, Sell volume: 14172838.79, Average price: 0.7751, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0030
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0035
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0020
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.0020
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0020
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0020
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.0020
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0180
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.0065
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0060
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0030
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0045
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0130
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0080
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 383825328.71, Sell volume: 14172838.79, Average price: 0.7751, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0080
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0070
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0055
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0060
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0055
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0055
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0055
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0055
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0050
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0050
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0050
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0045
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0050
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0060
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0105
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0130
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0130
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0150
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0055
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0055
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0055
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0055
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0055
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0055
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0030
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0055
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0065
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.0045
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.0020
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0020
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0020
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0020
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.0020
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.0020
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.0020
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0020
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0020
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 383825328.71, Sell volume: 14172838.79, Average price: 0.7751, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No