Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.6950
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.6600
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.3400
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.6500
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.3500
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.6500
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.3500
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.6500
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.3500
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.7000
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.3000
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.6950
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.7000
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.3000
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.6250
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.3750
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.6250
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.3750
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.6250
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.3750
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.6250
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.3750
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.6250
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.3750
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.5100
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.4900
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0280
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9915
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0085
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 5026.64, Sell volume: 528.18, Average price: 0.6485, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4750
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.5650
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.5700
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.5050
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.5050
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.5150
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.5500
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.5400
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.5450
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.5400
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.5400
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.5400
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.5400
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.5400
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.5400
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.5450
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.5450
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.5450
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.5450
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.5450
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 498.63, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5031, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.4550
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.4500
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.4500
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.4500
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.4500
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.4500
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.4500
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.4500
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.4400
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.4400
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.4450
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.4450
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.4450
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.4550
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.4550
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.4500
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.4550
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.4600
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.4600
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.4600
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.4600
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.4650
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.4700
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.4700
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.4750
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.4700
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.4750
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.4750
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.4600
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 35588.80, Sell volume: 34292.23, Average price: 0.4983, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.5400
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.5400
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.5400
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.5400
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.5300
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.5300
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.5300
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.5300
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.5350
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.5250
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.5300
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 9.26, Sell volume: 521.85, Average price: 0.5006, Price range: 0.4546 - 0.5400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.4700
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.4700
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.4700
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.4700
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.4700
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 167.74, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5350, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.5400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.5350
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4700, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.4700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.4650
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.4650
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.4650
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.4650
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.4650
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.4650
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.4650
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.4650
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.4650
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.4650
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.4650
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.4650
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.4650
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.4650
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.4650
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.4700
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.4700
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.4700
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.4700
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.4700
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.4700
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.4800
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.4800
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.4800
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.4800
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.4800
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.4800
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.4800
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.4850
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 106.20, Sell volume: 166.78, Average price: 0.4925, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1316.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5316, Price range: 0.5316 - 0.5316
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.4850
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.4850
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.4850
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5400, Price range: 0.5400 - 0.5400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.5550
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.5550
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.5550
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.5350
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.5350
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.5350
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.5300
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.5350
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.5300
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.5350
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.5250
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.5450
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.5550
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.5550
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.5550
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.5500
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.5400
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.5500
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.5350
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.5400
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.5300
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.5300
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.5250
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.5200
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.5200
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.5200
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.5250
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 38631.00, Sell volume: 38619.80, Average price: 0.5133, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.5150
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.5100
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.5050
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.4850
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.4900
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.4900
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.4950
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 47.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.5350
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.5350
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.5400
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.5400
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.5350
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.5350
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.5350
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.5400
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.5400
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.5350
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 395.47, Sell volume: 5.53, Average price: 0.5229, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.4400
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.4400
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.4400
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.4400
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.4400
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.4400
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.4400
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.4400
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.4400
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.4400
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.4400
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.4400
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.4050
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.3150
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.3750
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.3350
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.3550
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 35952.62, Sell volume: 32960.00, Average price: 0.5465, Price range: 0.3012 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537449
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 225185.615153
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.6950
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.6600
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.6500
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.6500
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.6500
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.7000
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.6950
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.7000
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.6250
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.6250
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.6250
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.6250
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.6250
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.5100
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9915
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 5026.64, Sell volume: 528.18, Average price: 0.6485, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.5100
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4700
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.5300
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.7450
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.9795
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.9800
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9795
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.9800
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.9810
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9810
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.9810
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9810
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0145
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9855
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0125
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.9875
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0125
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.9875
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0125
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9875
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0125
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9875
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0125
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9875
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0125
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9875
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0080
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9920
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9920
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 500.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.9008, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0075
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9925
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0075
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9925
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9925
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0075
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9925
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0075
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9925
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0085
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9915
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0085
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9915
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 146.48, Sell volume: 3.50, Average price: 0.8736, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 29.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 387.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.9975
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9975
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 82.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 316, Buy volume: 6081.74, Sell volume: 5535.24, Average price: 0.9683, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 316, Buy volume: 6081.74, Sell volume: 5535.24, Average price: 0.9683, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 1302.70, Sell volume: 1270.57, Average price: 0.9813, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0480
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9520
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0480
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9520
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0470
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9530
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0420
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9580
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0360
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9640
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0325
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9675
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0255
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9745
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0230
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9770
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0175
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9825
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0145
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9855
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0130
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9870
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.1090
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.8910
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0835
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9165
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0675
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9325
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0450
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9550
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 217, Buy volume: 3602.41, Sell volume: 4161.17, Average price: 0.9699, Price range: 0.8990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9970
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9955
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9970
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 316, Buy volume: 6081.74, Sell volume: 5535.24, Average price: 0.9683, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0030
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9970
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0030
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9970
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0120
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9880
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0010
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9990
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0010
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9990
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0010
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9990
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0010
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9990
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0010
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9990
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0010
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9990
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 316, Buy volume: 6081.74, Sell volume: 5535.24, Average price: 0.9683, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 316, Buy volume: 6081.74, Sell volume: 5535.24, Average price: 0.9683, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4700
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0145
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0125
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0125
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0125
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0125
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0125
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0125
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0080
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 500.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.9008, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9925
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9925
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9925
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9925
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9925
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9915
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9915
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 146.48, Sell volume: 3.50, Average price: 0.8736, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 29.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 387.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 82.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 316, Buy volume: 6081.74, Sell volume: 5535.24, Average price: 0.9683, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 316, Buy volume: 6081.74, Sell volume: 5535.24, Average price: 0.9683, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 1302.70, Sell volume: 1270.57, Average price: 0.9813, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9520
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9520
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9530
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9580
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9640
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9675
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9745
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9770
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9825
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9855
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9870
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.8910
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9165
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9325
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9550
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9795
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9645
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9770
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 217, Buy volume: 3602.41, Sell volume: 4161.17, Average price: 0.9699, Price range: 0.8990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 316, Buy volume: 6081.74, Sell volume: 5535.24, Average price: 0.9683, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9970
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9970
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9880
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9990
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9990
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9990
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9990
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9990
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9990
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 316, Buy volume: 6081.74, Sell volume: 5535.24, Average price: 0.9683, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537451
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 11616.978321
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 316, Buy volume: 6081.74, Sell volume: 5535.24, Average price: 0.9683, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.1150
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.8850
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.1250
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.8750
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.8750
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.1250
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.1250
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.8750
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.0750
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.9250
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9350
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0650
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.0650
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.9350
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.0600
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.9400
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.9400
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0600
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0600
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9400
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9400
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0600
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.0600
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9400
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.9400
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.0600
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0600
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.9400
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.0650
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.9350
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.0350
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9650
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.9730
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 395.17, Sell volume: 220.31, Average price: 0.2199, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.0290
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.9710
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9605
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0395
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.9605
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.0395
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.9690
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.0310
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.9690
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.0310
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9730
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0270
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9735
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0265
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9750
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0250
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9755
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0245
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0245
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9755
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9755
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0245
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0250
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9750
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9755
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0245
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9750
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0250
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0250
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9750
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9755
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0245
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9750
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0250
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9760
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0240
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.9770
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0230
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0220
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 373.08, Sell volume: 207.00, Average price: 0.7402, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.0225
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.9775
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9770
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.0230
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0225
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.9775
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0210
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0210
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0210
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.0210
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0210
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0210
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0210
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0210
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0210
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0210
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9790
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9790
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9790
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9790
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9790
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 227.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9797, Price range: 0.9790 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9790
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9790
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9790
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9790
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.9790
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9790
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.9790
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9795
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0205
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.0215
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9785
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9785
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0215
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0215
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9785
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9785
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0215
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0215
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9785
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9785
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0215
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9785
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0215
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0215
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9785
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0215
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9785
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9785
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9785
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 254.09, Sell volume: 33.10, Average price: 0.7396, Price range: 0.0214 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9785
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9785
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9785
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9785
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9785
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9785
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.9785
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9785
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0210
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9790
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9785
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9785
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9785
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9850
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0150
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0150
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9850
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0150
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9850
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9880
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0120
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0150
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9850
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9850
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0150
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9830
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0170
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9850
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1718.06, Sell volume: 163.17, Average price: 0.5957, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0150
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9850
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0175
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9825
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0185
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9815
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0180
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9820
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9850
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0150
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0145
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9855
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9900
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0100
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0100
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9900
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9880
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0120
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0110
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9890
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0110
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9890
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0080
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9920
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9930
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0070
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0035
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9965
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0020
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0020
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0020
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0020
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 1264.15, Sell volume: 1194.58, Average price: 0.6971, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0020
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0010
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9990
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9975
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0025
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9975
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0025
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9975
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 3594.07, Sell volume: 56.20, Average price: 0.8404, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9990
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9980
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0010
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9990
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 3260.62, Sell volume: 106.88, Average price: 0.7902, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1271.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0018 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0040
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 9085.10, Sell volume: 13776.15, Average price: 0.6472, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 12100.34, Sell volume: 1338.80, Average price: 0.8368, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 27000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 25076.22, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0014

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.1150
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.8850
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.1250
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.8750
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.8750
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.1250
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.1250
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.8750
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.0750
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.9250
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9350
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0650
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.0650
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.9350
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.0600
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.9400
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.9400
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0600
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0600
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9400
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9400
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0600
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.0600
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 395.17, Sell volume: 220.31, Average price: 0.2199, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.0290
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.9710
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9605
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0395
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.9605
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.0395
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.9690
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.0310
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.9690
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.0310
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9730
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0270
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9735
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0265
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9750
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0250
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9755
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0245
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0245
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9755
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9755
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0245
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0250
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9750
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9755
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0245
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9750
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0250
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0250
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 373.08, Sell volume: 207.00, Average price: 0.7402, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.0225
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.9775
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9770
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.0230
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0225
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.9775
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0210
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0210
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0210
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.0210
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0210
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0210
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0210
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0210
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0210
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0210
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 227.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9797, Price range: 0.9790 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9790
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9790
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9790
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9790
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.9790
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9790
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0210
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.9790
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9795
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0205
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.0215
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9785
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9785
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0215
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0215
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9785
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9785
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0215
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0215
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9785
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9785
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0215
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9785
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 254.09, Sell volume: 33.10, Average price: 0.7396, Price range: 0.0214 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9785
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9785
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9785
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9785
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9785
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9785
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.9785
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9785
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0210
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9790
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9785
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9785
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9785
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9850
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0150
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0150
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9850
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0150
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1718.06, Sell volume: 163.17, Average price: 0.5957, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0150
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9850
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0175
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9825
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0185
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9815
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0180
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9820
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9850
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0150
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0145
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9855
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9900
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0100
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0100
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9900
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9880
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0120
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0110
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9890
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0110
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9890
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0080
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9920
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9930
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0070
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0035
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 1264.15, Sell volume: 1194.58, Average price: 0.6971, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0020
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0010
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9990
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9975
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0025
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9975
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0025
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 3594.07, Sell volume: 56.20, Average price: 0.8404, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9990
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9980
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0010
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9990
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 3260.62, Sell volume: 106.88, Average price: 0.7902, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1271.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0018 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0040
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 9085.10, Sell volume: 13776.15, Average price: 0.6472, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 12100.34, Sell volume: 1338.80, Average price: 0.8368, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 27000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581785
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
Volume: 109832.106606
Price History:
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 25076.22, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0014
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754335
Question: Overwatch: Al Qadsiah vs Twisted Minds (BO3)
Outcomes: ["Al Qadsiah", "Twisted Minds"]
Volume: 1549.0
Price History:
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1549.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9968, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754335
Question: Overwatch: Al Qadsiah vs Twisted Minds (BO3)
Outcomes: ["Al Qadsiah", "Twisted Minds"]
Volume: 1549.0
Price History:
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1549.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9968, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754335
Question: Overwatch: Al Qadsiah vs Twisted Minds (BO3)
Outcomes: ["Al Qadsiah", "Twisted Minds"]
Volume: 1549.0
Price History:
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1549.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9968, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754335
Question: Overwatch: Al Qadsiah vs Twisted Minds (BO3)
Outcomes: ["Al Qadsiah", "Twisted Minds"]
Volume: 1549.0
Price History:
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1549.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9968, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754335
Question: Overwatch: Al Qadsiah vs Twisted Minds (BO3)
Outcomes: ["Al Qadsiah", "Twisted Minds"]
Volume: 1549.0
Price History:
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1429.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9945, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754335
Question: Overwatch: Al Qadsiah vs Twisted Minds (BO3)
Outcomes: ["Al Qadsiah", "Twisted Minds"]
Volume: 1549.0
Price History:
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1429.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9945, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754335
Question: Overwatch: Al Qadsiah vs Twisted Minds (BO3)
Outcomes: ["Al Qadsiah", "Twisted Minds"]
Volume: 1549.0
Price History:
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1429.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9945, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754335
Question: Overwatch: Al Qadsiah vs Twisted Minds (BO3)
Outcomes: ["Al Qadsiah", "Twisted Minds"]
Volume: 1549.0
Price History:
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1429.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9945, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754335
Question: Overwatch: Al Qadsiah vs Twisted Minds (BO3)
Outcomes: ["Al Qadsiah", "Twisted Minds"]
Volume: 1549.0
Price History:
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1429.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9945, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754335
Question: Overwatch: Al Qadsiah vs Twisted Minds (BO3)
Outcomes: ["Al Qadsiah", "Twisted Minds"]
Volume: 1549.0
Price History:
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1429.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9945, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754335
Question: Overwatch: Al Qadsiah vs Twisted Minds (BO3)
Outcomes: ["Al Qadsiah", "Twisted Minds"]
Volume: 1549.0
Price History:
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1429.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9945, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754335
Question: Overwatch: Al Qadsiah vs Twisted Minds (BO3)
Outcomes: ["Al Qadsiah", "Twisted Minds"]
Volume: 1549.0
Price History:
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1429.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9945, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754335
Question: Overwatch: Al Qadsiah vs Twisted Minds (BO3)
Outcomes: ["Al Qadsiah", "Twisted Minds"]
Volume: 1549.0
Price History:
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1429.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9945, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754335
Question: Overwatch: Al Qadsiah vs Twisted Minds (BO3)
Volume: 1549.0
Price History:
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1549.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9968, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754335
Question: Overwatch: Al Qadsiah vs Twisted Minds (BO3)
Volume: 1549.0
Price History:
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1549.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9968, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754335
Question: Overwatch: Al Qadsiah vs Twisted Minds (BO3)
Volume: 1549.0
Price History:
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1549.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9968, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754335
Question: Overwatch: Al Qadsiah vs Twisted Minds (BO3)
Volume: 1549.0
Price History:
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1549.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9968, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754335
Question: Overwatch: Al Qadsiah vs Twisted Minds (BO3)
Volume: 1549.0
Price History:
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1429.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9945, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754335
Question: Overwatch: Al Qadsiah vs Twisted Minds (BO3)
Volume: 1549.0
Price History:
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1429.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9945, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754335
Question: Overwatch: Al Qadsiah vs Twisted Minds (BO3)
Volume: 1549.0
Price History:
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1429.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9945, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754335
Question: Overwatch: Al Qadsiah vs Twisted Minds (BO3)
Volume: 1549.0
Price History:
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1429.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9945, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes