Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.7750
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.2250
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.7600
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.7600
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.7550
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.7600
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.7600
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.7650
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.7650
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.7650
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 12521.28, Sell volume: 2703.00, Average price: 0.3228, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.2400
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.7600
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.2400
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.7600
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.2400
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.7600
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.2400
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7600
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.2400
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.8000
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.2000
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.8050
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.1950
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.8050
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.1950
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.8050
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.1950
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.8050
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.1950
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.8050
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.1950
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.8050
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.1950
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.8050
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.1950
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.8050
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.1950
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.8050
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.1950
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.8050
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.1950
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.8050
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.1950
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.8050
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.1950
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.8050
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.1950
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.8050
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.1950
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.8050
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.1950
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.8050
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.1950
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.8050
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.1950
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8050
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1950
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8050
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1950
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 12521.28, Sell volume: 2703.00, Average price: 0.3228, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.8200
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.1800
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.8100
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.1900
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.8050
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.1950
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.8050
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.1950
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.8050
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.1950
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.8050
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.1950
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.8050
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.1950
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.8050
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.1950
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.8050
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.1950
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.8050
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.1950
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.8050
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.1950
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.4850
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.5400
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.1913, Price range: 0.0925 - 0.2900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4850
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4850
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5500
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4500
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4500
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5500
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4500
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 12521.28, Sell volume: 2703.00, Average price: 0.3228, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4500
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5500
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4500
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.6250
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.3750
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8600
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 151.52, Sell volume: 10.70, Average price: 0.3343, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.8229

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8500
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.1500
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0355
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9340
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0660
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9340
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0660
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9340
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0660
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9340
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0660
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9315
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0685
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9305
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0695
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9295
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0705
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.8405
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.1595
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.8445
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.1555
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.8445
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.1555
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.8445
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.1555
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.8495
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.1505
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.8495
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.1505
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.8495
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.1505
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.8545
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.1455
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5030
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4970
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.8575
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.1425
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.8565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 25.79, Average price: 0.3057, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9041

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.8660
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.1340
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.8395
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.1605
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.8395
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.1605
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.8395
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.1605
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.8395
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.1605
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.8395
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.1605
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.8440
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1560
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.8440
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1560
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.7790
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.2210
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.7790
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.2210
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.7790
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.2210
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.7790
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.2210
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.7790
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.2210
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.7790
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.2210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 13.65, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2400, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.2400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.2210
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.7790
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.2210
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.7790
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.2210
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.7790
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.2210
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.7790
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.2210
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.4450
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.5550
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.6900
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.3100
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.7450
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.2550
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.7800
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.2200
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.7800
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.2200
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.7600
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.2400
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.3750
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.7245
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.2755
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.5855
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.4145
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 167.65, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.3693, Price range: 0.3690 - 0.3700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.5350
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.4650
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.6045
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.3955
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.5365
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.4635
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.5365
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.4635
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5225
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.4775
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.5210
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.4790
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.6600
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.3400
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.7750
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.2250
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.7700
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.2300
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.7700
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.2300
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.7700
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.2300
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.7700
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.2300
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.4250
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9750
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0250
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9790
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0210
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9815
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0185
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 11015.32, Sell volume: 2478.51, Average price: 0.2963, Price range: 0.0018 - 0.9983

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 67.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5504, Price range: 0.5420 - 0.5588
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.2500
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.2550
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.7450
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.2550
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.7450
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.2550
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.2500
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2500
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.2350
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.7650
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.2350
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.7600
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.2400
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 12521.28, Sell volume: 2703.00, Average price: 0.3228, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.7450
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.2550
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.7450
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.2550
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.7450
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.2550
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.7450
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.2550
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.7450
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.2550
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.7450
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.2550
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.7150
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.2850
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.1200, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.1200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.4300
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.4300
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.4300
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.6150
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.3850
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.3950
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.3950
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.3950
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.3950
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 12521.28, Sell volume: 2703.00, Average price: 0.3228, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.7750
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.2250
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.7600
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.7600
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.7550
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.7600
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.7600
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.7650
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 12521.28, Sell volume: 2703.00, Average price: 0.3228, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.2400
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.7600
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.2400
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.7600
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.2400
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.7600
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.2400
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7600
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.2400
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.8000
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.2000
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.8050
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.1950
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.8050
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.1950
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.8050
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.1950
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.8050
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.1950
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.8050
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.1950
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.8050
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.1950
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.8050
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.1950
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.8050
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.1950
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.8050
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.1950
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 12521.28, Sell volume: 2703.00, Average price: 0.3228, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.8200
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.1800
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.8100
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.1900
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.8050
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.1950
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.8050
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.1950
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.8050
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.1950
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.8050
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.1913, Price range: 0.0925 - 0.2900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4850
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4850
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 12521.28, Sell volume: 2703.00, Average price: 0.3228, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4500
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5500
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4500
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 151.52, Sell volume: 10.70, Average price: 0.3343, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.8229
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8500
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.1500
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0355
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9340
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0660
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9340
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0660
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9340
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0660
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9340
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0660
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9315
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0685
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9305
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0695
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9295
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0705
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.8405
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.1595
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.8445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 25.79, Average price: 0.3057, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9041
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.8660
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.1340
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.8395
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.1605
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.8395
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.1605
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.8395
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.1605
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.8395
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.1605
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.8395
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.1605
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.8440
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1560
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.8440
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1560
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.7790
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.2210
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.7790
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.2210
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.7790
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.2210
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.7790
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.2210
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.7790
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.2210
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.7790
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.2210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 13.65, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2400, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.2400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.2210
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.7790
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.2210
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.7790
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.2210
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.7790
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.2210
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.7790
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.2210
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.7790
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.2210
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.4450
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.5550
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 167.65, Sell volume: 148.00, Average price: 0.3693, Price range: 0.3690 - 0.3700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666075
Question: Will John Thune attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 15224.277409
Price History:
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.5350
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.4650
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.6045
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.3955
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.5365
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.4635
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.5365
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.4635
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5225
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.4775
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.5210
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.4790
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.4450
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.6600
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.3400
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.7750
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.2250
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.7700
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.2300
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.7700
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.2300
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.7700
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.2300
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.7700
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.2300
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 11015.32, Sell volume: 2478.51, Average price: 0.2963, Price range: 0.0018 - 0.9983
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3400
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6600
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.3150
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.6850
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.1700
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.8300
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.1350
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.1350
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9600
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0505
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9495
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0510
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9490
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0460
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9540
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0410
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9590
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0440
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9560
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9600
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0435
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9565
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0430
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9570
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0435
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9565
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0475
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9525
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0515
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9485
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0470
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9530
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0485
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 2842.93, Sell volume: 884.99, Average price: 0.4416, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9480
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0535
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9465
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0575
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9425
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0600
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9400
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0555
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9445
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0575
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9425
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0605
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9395
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0575
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9425
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0600
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9400
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0630
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9370
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0645
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9355
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0555
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9445
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0560
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9440
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0665
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9335
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0680
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9320
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0705
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9295
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0655
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9345
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0715
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9285
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0715
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9285
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0675
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9325
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.1440
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.8560
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.1445
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.8555
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.1435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 2770.64, Sell volume: 218.26, Average price: 0.2558, Price range: 0.0630 - 0.9272

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.1460
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.8540
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.1590
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.8410
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.1705
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.8295
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.1770
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.8230
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.1875
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.8125
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.1800
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.8200
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.1705
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.8295
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.1725
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.8275
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.1620
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.8380
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.1635
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.8365
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.1635
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.8365
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.1635
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.8365
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.1695
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.8305
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.1730
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.8270
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.1760
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.8240
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.1805
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8195
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.1850
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.8150
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.1875
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8125
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.1890
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.8110
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1890
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.8110
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1890
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8110
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1890
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8110
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1890
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.8110
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1890
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8110
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.1560
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.8440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 681.42, Sell volume: 403.31, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8654

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.8410
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.1590
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.8410
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.1595
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.8405
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.1595
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.8405
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.1580
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.8420
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.1495
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8505
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.1310
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.8690
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.1310
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.8690
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.1310
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.8690
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.1235
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.8765
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.1230
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.8770
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.1225
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.8775
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.1230
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.8770
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.1235
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.8765
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.1880
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.8120
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.1925
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.8075
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.1495
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.8505
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.1520
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.8480
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.1525
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.8475
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.1525
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.8475
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.1520
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.8480
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.1510
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.8490
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.1510
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.8490
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.1440
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.8560
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.1465
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.8535
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.1460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 332.72, Sell volume: 525.87, Average price: 0.2619, Price range: 0.1020 - 0.8770

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.1465
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.8535
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.1465
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.8535
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.1460
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.8540
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.1455
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.8545
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.1455
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.8545
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.1360
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.8640
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.1395
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8605
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.1420
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.8580
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.1420
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.8580
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.1720
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.8280
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.2090
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.7910
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.2775
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.7225
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.2620
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.7380
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.2130
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.7870
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.2130
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.7870
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.2710
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.7290
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.2720
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.7280
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.2745
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.7255
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.2720
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.7280
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.2780
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.7220
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.2810
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.7190
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.2810
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.7190
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.2875
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.7125
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.2765
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.7235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 1817.92, Sell volume: 131.54, Average price: 0.5049, Price range: 0.1646 - 0.8070

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.7375
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.2625
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.7375
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.2625
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.7375
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.2625
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.7375
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.2625
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7375
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.2785
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.7215
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.2785
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.7215
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.2685
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.7315
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.2720
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.7280
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.2375
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.7625
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.2380
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.7620
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.2360
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.7640
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.2355
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.7645
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.2340
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.7660
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.2365
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.7635
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.2345
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.7655
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.2355
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.7645
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.2295
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.7705
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.1830
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.8170
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.1775
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.8225
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.2055
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.7945
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.2120
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.7880
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.2105
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.7895
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1700
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8300
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1430
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8570
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 1874.42, Sell volume: 497.05, Average price: 0.4190, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8861

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.1000
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9000
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0995
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9005
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0840
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9160
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0875
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9125
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0870
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9130
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0865
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9135
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0825
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9175
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0825
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9175
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0765
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9235
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0655
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9345
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0680
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9320
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0660
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9340
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0660
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9340
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0660
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9340
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0660
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9340
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9400
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0620
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9380
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0610
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1086.78, Sell volume: 876.67, Average price: 0.1111, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9060

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9230
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0765
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9235
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0780
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9220
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0795
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9205
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0805
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9195
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0755
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9245
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0755
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9245
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0760
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9240
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0755
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9245
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0760
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9240
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0770
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9230
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0765
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9235
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0760
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9240
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0770
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9230
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0770
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9230
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0775
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9225
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0775
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9225
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0770
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9230
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0775
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9225
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0785
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9215
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0795
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9205
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0795
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9205
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 880.76, Sell volume: 533.27, Average price: 0.3934, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9377

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0795
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9205
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0795
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9205
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0810
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9190
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0645
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9355
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0625
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9375
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0660
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9340
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0660
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9340
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0660
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9340
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0610
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9390
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0635
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9365
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0640
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9360
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0535
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9465
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0500
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9500
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0545
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9455
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0490
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9470
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0445
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9555
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0455
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9545
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0455
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9545
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0490
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9510
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0480
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9520
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0480
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9520
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0460
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9540
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0485
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9515
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0465
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2287.78, Sell volume: 101.23, Average price: 0.2781, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9606

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9365
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0680
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9320
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0570
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9430
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0580
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9420
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0575
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9425
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0575
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9425
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0570
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9430
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0565
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9435
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0575
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9425
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0575
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9425
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0575
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9425
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0570
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9430
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0570
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9430
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0575
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9425
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0580
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9420
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0580
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9420
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0575
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9425
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0580
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9420
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0580
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9420
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0575
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9425
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0515
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9485
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0520
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9480
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0495
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9505
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0490
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9510
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0465
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9535
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 829.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1964, Price range: 0.0661 - 0.9535

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0470
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9530
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0475
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9525
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0555
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9445
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0575
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9425
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0560
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9440
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0645
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9355
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0485
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9515
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0480
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9520
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0545
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9455
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0545
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9455
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0550
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9450
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0560
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9440
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0560
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9440
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0555
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9445
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0540
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9460
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0540
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9460
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0540
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9460
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0550
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0540
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9460
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0545
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9455
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0555
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9445
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0570
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9430
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0525
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9475
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0515
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9485
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0540
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 395.87, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.5945, Price range: 0.0656 - 0.9636

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9470
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0535
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9465
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0535
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9465
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0535
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9465
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0535
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9465
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0535
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9465
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0535
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9465
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0535
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9465
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0535
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9465
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0535
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9465
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0535
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9465
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0535
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9465
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0535
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9465
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0535
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9465
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0535
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9465
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0540
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9460
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0505
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9495
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0505
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9495
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0505
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9495
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0505
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9495
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0500
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0500
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9500
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0500
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9500
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0505
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9495
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0515
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9485
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1480.80, Sell volume: 709.39, Average price: 0.4246, Price range: 0.0303 - 0.9670

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0480
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9520
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0380
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9620
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0365
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9635
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0390
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9610
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9895
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0335
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9665
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0325
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9675
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9695
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9695
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9695
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9695
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0280
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9720
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0290
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9710
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0270
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9730
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0260
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9740
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0230
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9770
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 20856.80, Sell volume: 965.42, Average price: 0.6809, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3400
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6600
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.3150
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.6850
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.1700
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.8300
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.1350
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.1350
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9600
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0505
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9495
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0510
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9490
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0460
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9540
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0410
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9590
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0440
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9560
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 2842.93, Sell volume: 884.99, Average price: 0.4416, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9480
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0535
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9465
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0575
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9425
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0600
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9400
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0555
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9445
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0575
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9425
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0605
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9395
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0575
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9425
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0600
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9400
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0630
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9370
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0645
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9355
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0555
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9445
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0560
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9440
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0665
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9335
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 2770.64, Sell volume: 218.26, Average price: 0.2558, Price range: 0.0630 - 0.9272
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.1460
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.8540
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.1590
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.8410
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.1705
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.8295
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.1770
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.8230
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.1875
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.8125
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.1800
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.8200
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.1705
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.8295
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.1725
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.8275
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.1620
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.8380
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.1635
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.8365
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.1635
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.8365
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.1635
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.8365
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.1695
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.8305
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.1730
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.8270
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.1760
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.8240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 681.42, Sell volume: 403.31, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8654
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.8410
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.1590
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.8410
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.1595
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.8405
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.1595
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.8405
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.1580
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.8420
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.1495
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8505
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.1310
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.8690
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.1310
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.8690
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.1310
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.8690
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.1235
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.8765
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.1230
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.8770
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.1225
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.8775
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.1230
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.8770
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.1235
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.8765
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.1880
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.8120
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.1925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 332.72, Sell volume: 525.87, Average price: 0.2619, Price range: 0.1020 - 0.8770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.1465
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.8535
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.1465
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.8535
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.1460
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.8540
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.1455
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.8545
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.1455
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.8545
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.1360
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.8640
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.1395
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8605
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.1420
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.8580
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.1420
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.8580
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.1720
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.8280
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.2090
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.7910
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.2775
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.7225
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.2620
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.7380
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.2130
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.7870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 1817.92, Sell volume: 131.54, Average price: 0.5049, Price range: 0.1646 - 0.8070
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.7375
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.2625
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.7375
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.2625
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.7375
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.2625
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.7375
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.2625
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7375
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.2785
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.7215
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.2785
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.7215
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.2685
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.7315
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.2720
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.7280
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.2375
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.7625
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.2380
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.7620
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.2360
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.7640
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.2355
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.7645
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.2340
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.7660
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.2365
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.7635
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.2345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 1874.42, Sell volume: 497.05, Average price: 0.4190, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8861
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.1000
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9000
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0995
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9005
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0840
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9160
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0875
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9125
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0870
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9130
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0865
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9135
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0825
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9175
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0825
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9175
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0765
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9235
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0655
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9345
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0680
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9320
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0660
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9340
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0660
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9340
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0660
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9340
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1086.78, Sell volume: 876.67, Average price: 0.1111, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9060
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9230
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0765
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9235
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0780
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9220
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0795
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9205
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0805
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9195
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0755
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9245
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0755
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9245
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0760
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9240
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0755
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9245
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0760
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9240
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0770
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9230
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0765
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9235
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0760
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9240
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0770
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9230
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0770
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9230
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 880.76, Sell volume: 533.27, Average price: 0.3934, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9377
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0795
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9205
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0795
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9205
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0810
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9190
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0645
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9355
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0625
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9375
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0660
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9340
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0660
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9340
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0660
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9340
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0610
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9390
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0635
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9365
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0640
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9360
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0535
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9465
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0500
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9500
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0545
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2287.78, Sell volume: 101.23, Average price: 0.2781, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9606
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9365
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0680
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9320
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0570
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9430
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0580
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9420
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0575
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9425
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0575
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9425
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0570
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9430
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0565
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9435
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0575
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9425
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0575
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9425
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0575
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9425
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0570
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9430
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0570
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9430
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0575
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9425
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0580
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9420
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 829.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1964, Price range: 0.0661 - 0.9535
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0470
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9530
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0475
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9525
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0555
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9445
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0575
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9425
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0560
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9440
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0645
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9355
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0485
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9515
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0480
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9520
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0545
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9455
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0545
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9455
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0550
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9450
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0560
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9440
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0560
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9440
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0555
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9445
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0540
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 395.87, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.5945, Price range: 0.0656 - 0.9636
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9470
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0535
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9465
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0535
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9465
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0535
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9465
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0535
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9465
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0535
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9465
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0535
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9465
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0535
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9465
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0535
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9465
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0535
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9465
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0535
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9465
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0535
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9465
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0535
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9465
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0535
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9465
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0535
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9465
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1480.80, Sell volume: 709.39, Average price: 0.4246, Price range: 0.0303 - 0.9670
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666076
Question: Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 48543.376555
Price History:
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0480
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9520
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0380
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9620
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0365
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9635
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0390
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9610
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9895
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0335
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9665
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0325
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9675
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9695
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9695
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9695
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9695
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0280
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9720
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0290
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9710
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0270
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9730
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0260
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 20856.80, Sell volume: 965.42, Average price: 0.6809, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5850
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.4150
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.4300
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.4300
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.4300
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.4300
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.6000
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.4100
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.5900
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.4100
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.5900
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.3200
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.2900
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.7100
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.2600
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.7400
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.2600
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.7400
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.3650
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.6350
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.4100
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 375.64, Sell volume: 52.19, Average price: 0.5325, Price range: 0.2217 - 0.7775

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.6400
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.6000
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.4300
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5700
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.3450
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.6550
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.2900
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.2750
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.7250
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.2750
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.7250
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.2500
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2250
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.7750
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.2100
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7900
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.8150
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.8150
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.2200
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.7800
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.3300
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.3350
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.6650
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.3500
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.6500
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.3500
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.6500
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.3450
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.6550
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.3450
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.6550
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.3450
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.6550
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.3500
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.6500
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.6300
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.3700
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.6200
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 313.47, Sell volume: 120.79, Average price: 0.3925, Price range: 0.2087 - 0.5001

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.5300
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.4700
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.4500
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.4450
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.5550
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.4500
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.6000
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.4000
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.6700
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.3300
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.5950
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.4050
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.5750
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.5650
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.4350
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.6150
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.3850
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.6550
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.3450
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.6500
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.3500
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.6500
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.3500
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.6400
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.3600
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.6450
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.6450
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.6900
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.3100
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.7000
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 152.20, Sell volume: 159.08, Average price: 0.5779, Price range: 0.4495 - 0.7306

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.2900
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.7000
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.3000
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.3150
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.6700
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.3300
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.6300
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.3700
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.3750
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.6200
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.3800
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.6200
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.3800
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.6150
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.3850
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.6150
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.3850
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.6150
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.3850
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.6100
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.3900
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.6100
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.3900
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.3950
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.4050
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.4050
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.4100
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.4100
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.4150
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 8.60, Sell volume: 59.76, Average price: 0.5792, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.5850
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.4150
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.5850
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.4150
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.5850
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.4100
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.5900
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.4050
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.5950
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.4050
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.5950
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.5950
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.4050
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.6000
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.3950
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.6050
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.3950
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.6050
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.6000
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.3950
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.6050
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.6050
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.6000
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.6000
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.4100
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.5900
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.4750
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 141.83, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5804, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.4850
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.5150
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.4700
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.5300
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.5350
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.4650
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.4350
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.4050
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.5950
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.4100
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.5900
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.4100
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.5900
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.4100
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.5900
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.4050
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.5950
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.4100
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.5900
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.3300
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.6700
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.6850
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.3150
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.6300
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.3700
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.3700
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.6300
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.3750
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.3600
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.3750
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.3700
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.6300
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.6200
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.6200
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 99.68, Sell volume: 172.20, Average price: 0.5024, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.7100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.4000
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.6000
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.4000
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.6000
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.4000
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.6000
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.3600
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4050
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5950
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.3900
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.6100
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.3900
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.6100
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.3900
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.6100
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.3900
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.6100
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.3900
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.6100
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.3900
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.6100
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.3900
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.6100
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.3900
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.6100
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.3900
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.6100
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.3900
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.6100
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.3900
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.6100
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.6700
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.4000
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.6000
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.4300
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.5700
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.4050
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.5950
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 110.65, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5560, Price range: 0.4040 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4050
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5950
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4050
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5950
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4000
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.6000
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.4000
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.6000
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4000
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.6000
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.4000
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.6000
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4000
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.6050
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.3950
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.6100
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.3900
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.6000
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.4000
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.6000
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.4000
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5900
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.4100
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 27.41, Sell volume: 24.65, Average price: 0.4594, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3150
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6850
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.2600
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.2500
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.2550
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.2550
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.2600
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.2600
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.2600
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.7300
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.7300
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.7200
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.2800
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.7200
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.2800
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.7200
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.2800
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7100
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2900
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.6700
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.6700
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.6650
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 234.71, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.5212, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.6100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4100
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5900
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4550
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.5450
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4550
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4550
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.5450
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4550
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5450
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.3150
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.6850
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.2700
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.7300
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.7600
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.2400
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6650
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 15.82, Sell volume: 60.59, Average price: 0.4324, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6321

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.2700
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.7300
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.2450
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.7550
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.3300
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.6700
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.6600
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.3400
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.2750
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.3500
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.2000
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.2050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.7950
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.1600
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.8400
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1650
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.1550
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.8450
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.1650
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.1700
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.8300
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.1550
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.8450
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.1600
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.3200
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6800
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.3200
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.6800
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.3450
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3550
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 42.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6039, Price range: 0.2218 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3400
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6600
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.3500
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3400
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6600
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.3600
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.6400
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.3300
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6700
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.3250
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.6750
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.3250
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.6750
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.3150
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.6850
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.3150
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.3300
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.6700
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.2900
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.7100
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.2900
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.7100
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.2900
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.7100
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 16755.57, Sell volume: 3479.04, Average price: 0.5253, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0260
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9740
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0265
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9735
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0270
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9730
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0260
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9740
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0155
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9845
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0155
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9845
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0155
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9845
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0155
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9845
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0160
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9840
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0160
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9840
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0155
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9845
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0155
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9845
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0155
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9845
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0155
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9845
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0115
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9885
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 12893.77, Sell volume: 2747.31, Average price: 0.5337, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5850
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.4150
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.4300
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.4300
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.4300
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.4300
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 375.64, Sell volume: 52.19, Average price: 0.5325, Price range: 0.2217 - 0.7775
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.6400
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.6000
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.4300
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5700
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.3450
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.6550
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.2900
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.2750
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.7250
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.2750
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.7250
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.2500
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2250
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.7750
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.2100
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7900
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.8150
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.1850
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.8150
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.2200
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.7800
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 313.47, Sell volume: 120.79, Average price: 0.3925, Price range: 0.2087 - 0.5001
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.5300
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.4700
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.4500
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.4450
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.5550
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.4500
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.6000
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.4000
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.6700
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.3300
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.5950
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.4050
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.5750
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.5650
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.4350
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.6150
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.3850
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.6550
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.3450
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.6500
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 152.20, Sell volume: 159.08, Average price: 0.5779, Price range: 0.4495 - 0.7306
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.2900
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.7000
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.3000
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.3150
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.6700
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.3300
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.6300
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.3700
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.3750
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.6200
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.3800
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.6200
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.3800
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.6150
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.3850
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.6150
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.3850
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.6150
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.3850
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 8.60, Sell volume: 59.76, Average price: 0.5792, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.5850
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.4150
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.5850
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.4150
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.5850
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.4100
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.5900
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.4050
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.5950
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.4050
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.5950
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.5950
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.4050
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.6000
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.3950
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.6050
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.3950
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.6050
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.6000
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.3950
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.6050
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.6050
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 141.83, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5804, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.4850
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.5150
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.4700
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.5300
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.5350
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.4650
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.4350
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.4050
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.5950
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.4100
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.5900
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.4100
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.5900
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.4100
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.5900
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.4050
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.5950
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.4100
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.5900
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 99.68, Sell volume: 172.20, Average price: 0.5024, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.4000
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.6000
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.4000
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.6000
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.4000
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.6000
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.3600
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4050
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5950
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.3900
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.6100
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.3900
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.6100
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.3900
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.6100
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.3900
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.6100
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.3900
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.6100
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.3900
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.6100
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.3900
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 110.65, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5560, Price range: 0.4040 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4050
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5950
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4050
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5950
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4000
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.6000
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.4000
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.6000
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4000
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.6000
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.4000
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.6000
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4000
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.6050
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.3950
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 27.41, Sell volume: 24.65, Average price: 0.4594, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3150
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6850
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.2600
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.2500
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.2550
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.2550
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.2600
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.2600
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.2600
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.7300
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 234.71, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.5212, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4100
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5900
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 15.82, Sell volume: 60.59, Average price: 0.4324, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6321
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.2700
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.7300
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.2450
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.7550
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.3300
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.6700
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.6600
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.3400
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.2750
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.3500
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.2000
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.2050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.7950
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.1600
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.8400
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1650
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.1550
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.8450
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.1650
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.1700
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 42.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6039, Price range: 0.2218 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3400
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6600
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.3500
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3400
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6600
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.3600
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.6400
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.3300
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6700
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.3250
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.6750
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.3250
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.6750
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.3150
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.6850
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.3150
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 16755.57, Sell volume: 3479.04, Average price: 0.5253, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes