Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547474
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Delia Velculescu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97441.58325
Price History:
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 358, Buy volume: 56618.71, Sell volume: 40822.87, Average price: 0.5844, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547474
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Delia Velculescu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97441.58325
Price History:
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 358, Buy volume: 56618.71, Sell volume: 40822.87, Average price: 0.5844, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547474
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Delia Velculescu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97441.58325
Price History:
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547474
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Delia Velculescu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97441.58325
Price History:
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 358, Buy volume: 56618.71, Sell volume: 40822.87, Average price: 0.5844, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547474
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Delia Velculescu?
Volume: 97441.58325
Price History:
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.5050
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.4950
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0750
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.9250
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0400
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.9600
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0510
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9490
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0225
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9775
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0255
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9745
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0260
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9740
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0255
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9745
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0250
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.9750
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0580
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9420
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0380
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.9620
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0390
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.9610
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0435
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.9565
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0460
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.9540
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0565
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.9435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 6001.80, Sell volume: 1576.72, Average price: 0.3097, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9550
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547474
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Delia Velculescu?
Volume: 97441.58325
Price History:
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9565
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0270
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.9730
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0390
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.9610
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0290
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9710
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0255
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.9745
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0140
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.9860
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9975
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.9975
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0040
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.9960
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9960
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0045
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.9955
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.9965
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0030
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9970
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 6069.08, Sell volume: 9558.83, Average price: 0.6542, Price range: 0.0021 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547474
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Delia Velculescu?
Volume: 97441.58325
Price History:
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0030
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.9970
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9970
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0030
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.9970
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0030
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.9970
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9975
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.9975
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.9975
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9980
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.9980
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.9980
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4249.67, Sell volume: 1310.83, Average price: 0.7720, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547474
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Delia Velculescu?
Volume: 97441.58325
Price History:
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 2062.52, Sell volume: 1800.74, Average price: 0.9586, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547474
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Delia Velculescu?
Volume: 97441.58325
Price History:
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547474
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Delia Velculescu?
Volume: 97441.58325
Price History:
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0035
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.9965
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.9970
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 22750.48, Sell volume: 3822.84, Average price: 0.7084, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547474
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Delia Velculescu?
Volume: 97441.58325
Price History:
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0705
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.9295
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0570
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.9430
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0075
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.9925
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0225
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.9775
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0225
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.9775
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0200
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.9800
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0220
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.9780
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0230
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.9770
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0185
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9815
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0155
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.9845
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0170
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9830
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0185
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.9815
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0395
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.9605
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0340
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9660
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0325
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 4177.34, Sell volume: 2667.24, Average price: 0.3818, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547474
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Delia Velculescu?
Volume: 97441.58325
Price History:
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.9410
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0375
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9625
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0050
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.9950
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.9975
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 8875.82, Sell volume: 19628.96, Average price: 0.5872, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547474
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Delia Velculescu?
Volume: 97441.58325
Price History:
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 358, Buy volume: 56618.71, Sell volume: 40822.87, Average price: 0.5844, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547474
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Delia Velculescu?
Volume: 97441.58325
Price History:
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 358, Buy volume: 56618.71, Sell volume: 40822.87, Average price: 0.5844, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547474
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Delia Velculescu?
Volume: 97441.58325
Price History:
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 358, Buy volume: 56618.71, Sell volume: 40822.87, Average price: 0.5844, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547474
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Delia Velculescu?
Volume: 97441.58325
Price History:
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547474
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Delia Velculescu?
Volume: 97441.58325
Price History:
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 358, Buy volume: 56618.71, Sell volume: 40822.87, Average price: 0.5844, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.4950
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.5050
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0105
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.9895
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.9935
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0045
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9955
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9960
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9965
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0035
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9965
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9965
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.9965
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9965
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 802.18, Sell volume: 2131.32, Average price: 0.3583, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.9980
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0020
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9980
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0010
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.9990
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0010
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.9990
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 4394.21, Sell volume: 8109.99, Average price: 0.5999, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 23342.38, Sell volume: 14422.52, Average price: 0.3560, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 23342.38, Sell volume: 14422.52, Average price: 0.3560, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 7000.00, Sell volume: 37.01, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 8120.45, Sell volume: 4114.20, Average price: 0.3773, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1015.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 23342.38, Sell volume: 14422.52, Average price: 0.3560, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 23342.38, Sell volume: 14422.52, Average price: 0.3560, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 23342.38, Sell volume: 14422.52, Average price: 0.3560, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 23342.38, Sell volume: 14422.52, Average price: 0.3560, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.4950
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.5050
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0105
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.9895
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.9935
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0045
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9955
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9960
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9965
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0035
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9965
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9965
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.9965
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9965
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 802.18, Sell volume: 2131.32, Average price: 0.3583, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.9980
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0020
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9980
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0010
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.9990
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0010
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.9990
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 4394.21, Sell volume: 8109.99, Average price: 0.5999, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 23342.38, Sell volume: 14422.52, Average price: 0.3560, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 23342.38, Sell volume: 14422.52, Average price: 0.3560, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 7000.00, Sell volume: 37.01, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 8120.45, Sell volume: 4114.20, Average price: 0.3773, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1015.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 23342.38, Sell volume: 14422.52, Average price: 0.3560, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 23342.38, Sell volume: 14422.52, Average price: 0.3560, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 23342.38, Sell volume: 14422.52, Average price: 0.3560, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547475
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?
Volume: 37764.89713
Price History:
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 23342.38, Sell volume: 14422.52, Average price: 0.3560, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.1000
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0500
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.0355
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0340
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.0280
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.0250
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.0245
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.0235
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.0255
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.0240
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.0240
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.0235
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.0235
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.0235
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.0240
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.0240
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.0170
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.0170
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.0160
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.0170
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.0165
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.0165
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.0165
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.0165
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.0165
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.0165
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.0165
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.0165
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.0165
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0165
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.0170
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.0165
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.0170
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.0165
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0170
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.0170
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0165
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0165
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.0150
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0150
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.0150
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.0145
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.0145
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.0145
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0145
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.0145
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.0155
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0155
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0155
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169025860.48, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.0155
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.0155
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0155
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.0155
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.0155
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.0155
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.0155
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.0100
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0100
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.0095
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.0095
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.0150
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0095
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.0110
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.0125
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.0150
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.0115
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0150
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.0140
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0135
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.0145
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.0115
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.0140
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.0140
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.0160
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.0130
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0160
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.0160
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.0150
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.0160
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.0135
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0160
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.0160
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.0155
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.0160
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0155
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0160
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0160
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.0180
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0185
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0180
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0180
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0180
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.0190
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0200
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0245
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0240
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169025860.48, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0255
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0270
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0265
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0245
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0240
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0240
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0240
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0220
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.0220
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0220
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0220
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0220
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0220
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0220
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0220
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0220
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0220
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0220
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.0220
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0220
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0220
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0220
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0355
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0360
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0370
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0360
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0355
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0360
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0360
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0415
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0415
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0385
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0405
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0390
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0390
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0380
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0225
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0280
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0285
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0355
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0360
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0330
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0320
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0330
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0330
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0340
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0325
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0335
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169025860.48, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0325
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0365
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0345
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0335
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0335
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0350
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0365
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0385
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0305
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0300
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0305
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0305
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0305
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0300
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0300
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0300
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0370
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0370
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0355
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0355
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0305
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0305
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0300
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.0305
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0320
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.0315
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.0310
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0305
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.0290
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.0290
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.0290
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.0290
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.0290
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0290
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0290
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.0280
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.0220
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0225
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.0245
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0220
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0235
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.0225
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0225
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0235
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0245
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.0245
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0240
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0240
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.0235
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169025860.48, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0205
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.0205
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0170
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0170
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0195
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0230
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0130
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0130
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0130
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0130
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0130
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0130
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0130
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0130
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0130
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0130
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0130
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0130
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0130
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.0130
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0130
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0130
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0130
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0130
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0145
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0145
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0150
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0125
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0125
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0125
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0140
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0140
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0150
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0145
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0145
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0145
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0145
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0145
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0145
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0140
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0140
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0150
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0145
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0145
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0145
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0140
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0135
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0115
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169025860.48, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0130
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0130
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0120
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0080
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0075
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0105
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0090
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0090
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0095
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0055
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0060
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0050
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0090
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0100
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0090
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0085
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0050
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0055
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0085
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0075
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0075
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0080
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0070
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0070
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0070
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0050
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0050
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0060
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0050
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0075
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0075
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0055
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0050
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0050
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169025860.48, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0095
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0075
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0080
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.0045
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0100
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0080
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0090
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0075
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0065
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.0090
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0075
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0075
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0045
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0045
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0045
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0030
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.0030
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169025860.48, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0090
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0055
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0075
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0075
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0070
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0085
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.0215
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0055
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0375
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.0045
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0305
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0190
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.0045
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0065
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0070
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0090
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0305
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0070
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0070
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0050
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0065
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.0030
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.0030
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0175
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.0160
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.0180
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.0100
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.0125
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169025860.48, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0130
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.0130
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0130
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0125
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.0130
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.0130
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0130
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.0105
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0075
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0075
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.0070
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0100
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.0080
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.0095
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0140
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.0070
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.0070
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0060
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0055
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.0050
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.0045
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.0045
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.0045
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.0045
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0045
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0050
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0055
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.0050
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.0050
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0050
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.0045
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.0050
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.0050
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.9940
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.9940
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9940
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0060
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.0060
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.0060
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.0080
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.0065
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9945
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.0060
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9935
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.0060
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.0080
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169025860.48, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.0130
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.9890
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0115
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9890
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0110
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0120
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.0105
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.0080
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.0080
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.0075
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.9930
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.9925
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.0065
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.0075
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.9930
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.9945
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9960
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0040
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.0040
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.0040
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.0040
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.0050
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.0055
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.0055
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0055
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0045
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9955
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.9960
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.0040
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0045
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9945
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.9950
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0060
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.9915
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0325
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.0280
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.9715
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0210
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9790
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.0190
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0185
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9805
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9715
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9795
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0230
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.0290
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169025860.48, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9555
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9510
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0370
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0245
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0335
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9505
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0510
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9515
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0495
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0470
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0455
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0415
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0415
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9610
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9610
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9630
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9620
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9595
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0420
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9775
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9835
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9935
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9925
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0085
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0550
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9790
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9705
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9760
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0265
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9735
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9740
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9775
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0085
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0090
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0045
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9955
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0045
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9935
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9905
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9900
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0095
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9925
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.0070
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0090
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169025860.48, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0065
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.0055
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0065
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9940
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9955
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9945
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9915
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9955
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9960
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9960
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9955
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9990
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169025860.48, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9930
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0125
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0110
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0095
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0135
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0160
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9810
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0340
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0220
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0205
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0185
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9805
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0140
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0270
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0175
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9850
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9860
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.9810
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9945
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9875
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9915
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0100
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9920
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0050
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0040
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0035
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0045
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9935
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9945
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999998, Buy volume: 169007766.36, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.1000
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.9600
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.0330
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.9750
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.0240
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.9745
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.0235
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.9765
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.0235
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.9765
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.0170
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.9835
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.0165
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.9830
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0165
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.9830
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.0165
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.9835
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.0170
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.9830
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.0170
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.9830
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0170
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.9850
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0150
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.9855
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.0145
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.9855
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.0155
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169025860.48, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.0155
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.9845
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.0155
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.9845
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0110
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.9905
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0095
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.9855
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.0160
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.9850
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.0145
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.9875
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.0130
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.9885
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0160
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.9840
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.9840
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.0160
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9865
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.0160
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.9840
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0155
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.9845
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0180
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9820
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0180
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.9825
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0250
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169025860.48, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0255
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9735
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0245
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.9760
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0220
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9780
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0220
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9780
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0220
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9780
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0220
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.9780
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0220
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9645
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0370
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9640
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0360
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9590
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0415
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9595
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0385
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9615
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0280
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9680
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0320
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9745
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0325
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169025860.48, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0325
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9655
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0335
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9650
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0380
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9695
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0305
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9695
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0300
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9635
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0365
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9645
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0300
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.9700
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.0310
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.9700
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0305
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.9710
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.0290
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.9710
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.0290
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.9765
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0225
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.9770
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0230
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.9780
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.0240
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.9755
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.0235
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169025860.48, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0205
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9825
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0180
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9770
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0130
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9870
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0130
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.9870
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0130
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.9870
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0130
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.9870
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0130
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.9870
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0130
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9855
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0125
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9875
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0140
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9860
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0145
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9855
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0145
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9855
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0145
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9845
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0145
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9855
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0135
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169025860.48, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0130
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.9880
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0075
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.9895
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9920
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0085
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.9940
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0060
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.9940
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.9940
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0045
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.9950
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0055
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9900
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0085
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.9925
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.9925
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0080
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.9925
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0070
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9950
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.9950
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0095
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9960
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0045
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169025860.48, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9955
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0090
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.9955
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0045
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.9910
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0090
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.9925
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0090
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.9925
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.9955
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.9955
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9965
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9965
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.9965
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.9965
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0030
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.9970
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169025860.48, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9910
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0075
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9925
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0075
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.9930
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0280
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.9965
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.0190
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.9955
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0150
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.9935
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0070
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9950
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9960
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.9965
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.9960
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.9980
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0025
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.9975
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.0230
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.9745
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.0105
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169025860.48, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0130
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.9870
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0120
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.9870
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0100
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.9925
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0065
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.9915
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0130
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.9930
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0060
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.9950
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0045
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.9955
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0045
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.9945
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9945
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0050
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9950
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9950
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.0050
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9940
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.9940
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0060
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.9915
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9935
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9940
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0060
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169025860.48, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.0130
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.9885
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.0115
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9880
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0085
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.9920
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9920
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.9920
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.0080
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.9945
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.0040
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.0040
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.9960
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9965
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.0055
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.9945
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0055
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.9955
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.9960
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9955
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9950
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.9940
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9675
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.9780
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0210
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0195
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9815
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0275
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.0205
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169025860.48, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9555
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0295
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0245
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0495
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9520
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9565
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9530
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9585
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0415
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9620
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0415
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9785
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0180
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9945
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9945
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0550
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9635
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9660
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0265
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0215
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0070
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0065
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0045
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0045
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0065
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0100
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0080
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0075
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169025860.48, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0065
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9900
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0045
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9915
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9950
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0045
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.9990
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9990
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169025860.48, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527800
Question: Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1659437.285595
Price History:
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9845
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0145
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9815
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9730
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9860
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9785
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9810
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9825
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9820
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0125
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0050
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9915
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9920
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9955
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9960
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0045
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9945
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9965
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999998, Buy volume: 169007766.36, Sell volume: 30548782.56, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.5000
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.5000
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.5000
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.6750
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.3250
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.4050
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.6000
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.4050
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.5950
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.4450
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.4350
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.4850
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.4200
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.5800
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.4200
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.5800
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.5900
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.4000
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.6000
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.4000
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.3750
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.3650
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.3650
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.6350
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.6350
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.3650
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.6350
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.3600
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.4050
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.6300
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.3700
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.6300
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.6200
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.6300
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.6300
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.3700
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.6300
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.6350
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.6350
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.3650
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.6350
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.3650
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.6450
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.3550
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.3500
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.3500
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.3500
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.6700
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 148651868.33, Sell volume: 68629119.84, Average price: 0.5425, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.7050
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.7050
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.7000
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.3000
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.3000
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.3000
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.7000
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.3000
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.7000
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.3000
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.7000
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.3000
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.3000
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.7000
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.3000
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.7000
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.3000
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.3000
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.3150
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.6850
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.6850
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.6900
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.6900
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.6900
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.6850
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.3150
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.3150
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.6850
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.3150
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.3150
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.6850
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.6900
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.6850
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.6850
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.6900
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.6900
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.2950
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.7050
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.2900
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.2900
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.7100
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.2900
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.7100
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.2900
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.7100
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.2950
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.7450
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 148651868.33, Sell volume: 68629119.84, Average price: 0.5425, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.3200
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.6800
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.2850
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.7150
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.2850
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.7150
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.2900
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.7100
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.3050
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.6950
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.3050
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.3050
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.3050
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.7000
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.3000
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.7050
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.2900
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.7150
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.2850
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.2800
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.2800
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.2800
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.2750
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.2750
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.7600
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.2650
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.7350
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.2650
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.2650
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.7350
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.2600
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.7400
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.7400
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.2600
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.7400
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.2600
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.7400
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.2300
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.7750
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.2350
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.7650
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.7700
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.7700
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.2250
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.7750
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.2350
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.2350
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.2300
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.2100
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 148651868.33, Sell volume: 68629119.84, Average price: 0.5425, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.7750
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.2250
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.7750
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.7950
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.2050
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.7950
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.2050
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.7950
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.7900
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.8150
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.1850
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.8150
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.1850
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.8150
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.1850
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.8150
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.1850
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.7450
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.2550
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.2550
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.7250
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.2850
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.7300
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.2950
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.7400
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.7300
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.2750
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.7050
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.3250
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.6700
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.3200
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.6800
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.3200
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.6750
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.3250
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.3250
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.6700
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.3200
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.6850
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.6850
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.6850
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.6850
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.6850
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.7150
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.7200
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.7200
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.7250
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.2700
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 148651868.33, Sell volume: 68629119.84, Average price: 0.5425, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.7400
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.7400
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.7050
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.7200
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.7200
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.2800
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.2800
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.2850
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.2800
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.2800
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.7100
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.7100
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.2850
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.7200
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.7100
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.6950
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.3050
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.3050
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.6950
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.6900
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.3100
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.6900
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.7050
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.7350
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.7450
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.7350
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.2650
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.7350
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.7350
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.7350
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.2650
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.7350
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.2650
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.7550
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.7650
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.8900
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.1350
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.1650
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.8400
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.1650
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 148651868.33, Sell volume: 68629119.84, Average price: 0.5425, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.1600
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.8400
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.1700
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.8300
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.1700
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.8300
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.1700
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.8300
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.1750
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.8450
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.1350
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.1000
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0950
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.1200
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.8750
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.1150
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.8750
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.1300
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.1250
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.1250
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.1250
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.8750
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.8750
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.8750
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.1250
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.8950
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.8950
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.1050
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.1000
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.1000
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.8950
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.8950
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.1050
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.8850
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.8900
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.8950
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.8950
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.8950
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.1050
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.2950
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.2600
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.2650
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.2550
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.7400
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.7500
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 148651868.33, Sell volume: 68629119.84, Average price: 0.5425, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.8050
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.8000
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.7900
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.2100
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.2100
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.8000
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.2350
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.2350
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.8500
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.8300
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.1700
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.8200
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.1800
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.1550
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.8350
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.2050
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.7750
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.2250
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.2250
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.2150
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.7550
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.2450
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.7550
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.7600
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.8250
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.1500
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.1650
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.1500
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.8500
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.8550
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.1400
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.2300
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.7750
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.7650
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.7600
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.7350
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.7300
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.2550
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.7500
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.2550
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.6800
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.6900
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.3050
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.7100
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.2750
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 351648, Buy volume: 65066066.60, Sell volume: 35785918.26, Average price: 0.4932, Price range: 0.1283 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.2700
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.2650
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.7350
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.2600
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.2350
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.2200
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.7500
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.2500
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.7100
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.2500
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.7550
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.2350
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.7650
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.2950
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.2950
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.6900
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.6750
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.2850
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.7250
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.7350
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.7350
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.2750
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.6850
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.3150
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.3050
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.3000
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.3000
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.7150
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.7150
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.7150
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.7150
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.2750
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.2750
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.2850
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.3000
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.7000
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.2950
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.7350
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.7500
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.7500
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.2450
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.7550
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.2550
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.7450
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.2550
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.7450
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 427572, Buy volume: 49494227.02, Sell volume: 22767130.08, Average price: 0.5827, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000

Output: Yes