Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.8900
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8850
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.1150
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.1150
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.8750
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9000
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.8850
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.8900
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.1150
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.1200
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.1250
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.1300
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.1250
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.1350
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.1350
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.1300
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.1300
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.1250
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.1200
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.1350
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.1550
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.1550
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.1600
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.1450
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.1350
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.1250
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.1550
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.1450
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.1000
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 686, Buy volume: 166388.89, Sell volume: 79460.54, Average price: 0.5244, Price range: 0.0445 - 0.9703

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.4000
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.6100
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.5450
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.5350
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.4500
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.5500
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.4400
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.5600
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.3750
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.6050
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.3300
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.8050
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.2850
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.7150
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.2950
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.7050
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.2950
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.6450
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3500
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.6500
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.5050
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.4550
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.5150
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.4650
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 216080476.68, Sell volume: 162265339.44, Average price: 0.5365, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.4550
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.5400
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.4500
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.5700
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.5650
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.5650
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.4350
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.5650
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.4350
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5650
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.4350
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.5650
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.4350
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.5550
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.4450
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.5600
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.4450
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.5800
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.3450
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.6450
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.3550
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.6400
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.3850
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.6350
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.6300
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.3750
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 216080476.68, Sell volume: 162265339.44, Average price: 0.5365, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.3900
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.6150
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.3850
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.6150
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.3950
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.5900
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.4750
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.5650
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.4150
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.5750
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.4250
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.5450
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.5500
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.5050
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.4950
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.4850
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.5150
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.4850
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.5150
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.4850
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.5250
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.5250
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.4750
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.5250
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.4800
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.5150
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.4850
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 216080476.68, Sell volume: 162265339.44, Average price: 0.5365, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.5050
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.4850
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.4800
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.5150
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.4850
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.5250
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.4750
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.5250
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.4700
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.5400
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.4600
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.5450
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.4550
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.5300
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.4700
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.5400
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.3650
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.6000
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.3750
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.6100
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.4050
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.5850
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.4150
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.5900
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.4100
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.5950
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.3950
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.6000
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.4000
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 216080476.68, Sell volume: 162265339.44, Average price: 0.5365, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.3950
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.6050
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.3950
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.6200
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.3700
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.6500
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.3450
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.6450
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.4000
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.5600
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.4250
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.5450
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.4250
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.6100
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.3850
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.6050
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.4050
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.5900
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.4450
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.5300
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.4650
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.5650
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.4300
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.5650
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.4550
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.5550
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.4650
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.5450
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.4550
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 216080476.68, Sell volume: 162265339.44, Average price: 0.5365, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.4600
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.5550
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.4450
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.5350
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.4500
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.5450
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.4550
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.5350
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.4900
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.5150
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.4900
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.4850
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.5100
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.5500
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.4650
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.5300
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.4650
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.5350
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.4600
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.5500
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.4500
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.5450
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.4500
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.5650
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.3850
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.6200
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.3850
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.6350
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.3650
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 216080476.68, Sell volume: 162265339.44, Average price: 0.5365, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.4000
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.5850
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.4450
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.5450
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.4500
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.5500
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.4450
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.5400
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.4600
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.5350
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.4650
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.5300
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.4750
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.5250
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.4850
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.5300
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.4700
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.4750
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.5250
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.3850
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.6000
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.3850
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.6650
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.2750
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.6500
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.3700
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.6350
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.3550
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.6250
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 216080476.68, Sell volume: 162265339.44, Average price: 0.5365, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.6150
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.3750
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.5900
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.3450
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.6900
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.3600
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.6400
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.3600
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.6550
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.2300
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.3150
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.6300
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.7350
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.7300
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.3150
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.6550
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.6450
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.3050
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.2950
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.2550
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.7000
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.6550
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.3400
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.6700
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.2650
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.7100
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.2900
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.7100
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 216080476.68, Sell volume: 162265339.44, Average price: 0.5365, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.6950
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.3250
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.3250
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.3100
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.6650
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.3400
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.6550
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.3500
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.3550
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.6650
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.6900
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.6900
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.3000
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.3000
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.3200
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.6650
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.3350
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.3400
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.3400
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.6550
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.6450
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.7200
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.6850
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.3250
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.6850
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.2950
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.3000
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 216080476.68, Sell volume: 162265339.44, Average price: 0.5365, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.5950
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.5550
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.4500
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.4500
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.4950
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.5250
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.5250
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.5350
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.5450
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.3700
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.6150
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.6050
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.3700
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.5650
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.5950
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.3300
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.7000
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.6750
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.3650
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.7050
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.2900
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.7100
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.2700
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.2750
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.3350
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.6650
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.6550
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.2700
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 216080476.68, Sell volume: 162265339.44, Average price: 0.5365, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.6700
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.2150
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.2500
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.2250
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.7300
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.2650
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.8150
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.7500
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.7650
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.7650
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.2650
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.7600
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.2600
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.7500
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.7150
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.2600
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.7400
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.2600
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.2600
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.7350
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.2300
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.2200
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.7800
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7800
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.1850
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.8100
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1998, Buy volume: 231768.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7600, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.7600
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.7250
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.2500
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.2600
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.7650
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.7450
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.2450
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.7200
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.7050
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.7300
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.7450
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.7450
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.2650
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.2900
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.7100
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.2400
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.7550
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.2250
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.7700
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.1150
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.1100
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.8750
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.1150
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.8850
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 987294, Buy volume: 215068326.74, Sell volume: 161544841.05, Average price: 0.5339, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537888
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Volume: 1555128.092628
Price History:
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.8900
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.1150
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9100
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.1650
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.1150
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.8850
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.8850
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.1200
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.1350
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.8650
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.1300
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.8750
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.8650
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.1550
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.8400
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.1350
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.8700
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.1450
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 686, Buy volume: 166388.89, Sell volume: 79460.54, Average price: 0.5244, Price range: 0.0445 - 0.9703
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.4350
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.6950
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.2650
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.7300
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.2900
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.7050
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.3100
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.6750
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.3500
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.6250
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.3750
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.6250
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.4050
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.5500
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.4550
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.5450
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.4400
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.5850
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.4250
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.5550
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.4350
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.5650
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.4500
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.5500
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.4500
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.5550
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.3850
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.6150
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.3850
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.5650
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.4400
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.5600
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.4500
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.5550
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.4400
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.5600
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.4400
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.5500
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.4400
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.5600
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.4400
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.5600
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.4700
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.5450
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.4550
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.5450
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.4500
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.5500
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.4550
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541778295.85, Sell volume: 602490015.38, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.5550
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.4450
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.5650
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.4250
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.5750
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.4250
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.5750
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.4200
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.5800
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.4200
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.5800
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.4200
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.5800
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.4200
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.5850
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.4200
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.5950
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.4150
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.5750
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.4250
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.5700
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.4300
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.5850
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.4150
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.5850
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.4150
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.5850
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.4150
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.5850
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.4150
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.5950
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.4050
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.6050
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.3950
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.6150
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.3900
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.6050
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.3800
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.6150
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.3900
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.6200
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.3800
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.6000
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.4100
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.5850
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.4200
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.5800
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.4250
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.5800
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541778295.85, Sell volume: 602490015.38, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.4150
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.6000
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.4050
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.5950
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.4000
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.5950
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.4050
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.5950
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.4050
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.5950
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.4050
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.5950
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.4050
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.5950
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.4050
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.6000
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.4000
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.6050
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.4000
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.6000
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.4100
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.5900
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.4100
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.5900
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.4100
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.5900
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.4100
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.5900
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.4100
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.5850
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.4200
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.5800
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.4150
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.5850
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.4150
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.5850
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.4150
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.5850
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.4150
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.5850
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.4000
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.5950
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.4050
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.5950
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.4050
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.6000
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.4050
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.6050
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.3950
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541778295.85, Sell volume: 602490015.38, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.5950
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.4050
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.5950
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.4050
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.5950
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.4050
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.5950
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.4150
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.5850
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.4050
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.5950
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.4050
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.5950
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.4150
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.5900
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.4100
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.5900
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.4100
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.5900
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.4100
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.5900
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.4150
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.5900
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.4150
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.5850
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.4200
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.5800
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.4150
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.5800
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.4150
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.5850
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.4150
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.5850
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.4150
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.5850
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.4150
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.5850
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.4050
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.5950
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.4100
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.5900
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.4150
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.5850
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.4150
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.5900
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.4100
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.5950
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.4050
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.5950
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541778295.85, Sell volume: 602490015.38, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.4100
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.5900
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.4100
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.5900
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.4050
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.5900
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.4050
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.5850
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.4150
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.5850
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.4150
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.6000
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.4000
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.6000
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.4150
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.5850
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.4150
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.5850
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.4150
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.5800
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.4250
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.5850
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.4150
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.5850
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.4150
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.5850
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.4150
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.5850
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.4150
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.5850
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.4200
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.5850
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.4150
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.5850
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.4200
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.5800
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.4200
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.5750
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.4350
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.5800
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.3900
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.6450
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.3450
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.6500
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.3600
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.6450
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.3500
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.6550
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.3450
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541778295.85, Sell volume: 602490015.38, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.6550
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.3600
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.6450
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.3600
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.6450
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.3650
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.6250
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.3650
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.6350
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.3650
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.6250
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.3700
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.6300
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.3600
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.6400
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.3600
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.6400
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.3600
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.6400
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.3550
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.6450
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.3550
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.6450
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.3600
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.6550
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.6550
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.3450
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.3600
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.6450
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.3550
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.3550
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.6300
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.3700
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.3700
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.3600
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.6450
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.6350
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.3500
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.6500
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.3250
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.3250
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.3250
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.3300
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.6650
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.3400
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.6700
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.3300
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.3300
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.3300
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541778295.85, Sell volume: 602490015.38, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.3300
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.3300
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.6700
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.3300
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.6650
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.3350
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.6650
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.6700
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.3300
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.3350
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.6700
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.3350
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.6500
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.3550
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.6500
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.3500
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.6350
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.3600
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.3650
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.3650
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.3650
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.6350
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.3600
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.6400
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.6400
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.6250
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.6400
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.3700
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.3700
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.3650
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.3600
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.6400
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.3600
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.6350
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.3650
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.6350
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.6350
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.6350
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.6350
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.6350
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.6150
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.3950
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.3850
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.3850
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.6150
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.3950
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.3900
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541778295.85, Sell volume: 602490015.38, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.3850
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.3850
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.6200
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.6200
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.6250
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.3750
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.6000
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.4100
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.4050
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.5600
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.5750
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.5650
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.5650
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.5650
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.4350
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4550
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.4500
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.4400
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.4400
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.4450
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.5450
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.4550
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.4450
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.4650
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.4750
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.5250
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.5250
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.4750
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.5250
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.5300
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.5350
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.5350
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.4650
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.4500
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.5450
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.4450
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.5550
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.5450
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.5450
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.4550
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.5450
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.4600
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.5400
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.5400
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.4600
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.5400
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.4700
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.4650
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.4750
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541778295.85, Sell volume: 602490015.38, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.4950
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.5050
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.5150
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.5200
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.4750
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.5250
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.4800
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.4200
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.5650
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.4400
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.4400
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.5250
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.4650
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.4650
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.5300
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.4700
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.4600
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.4600
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.5400
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.5400
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.4600
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.5400
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.5450
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.5300
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.4700
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.5300
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.4700
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.4700
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.5350
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.4550
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.4550
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.4550
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.4600
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.5400
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.4600
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.5400
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.4650
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.5350
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.5400
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.5400
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.4600
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.5400
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.4600
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.5400
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.4600
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.4600
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.5400
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.4650
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.5350
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541778295.85, Sell volume: 602490015.38, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.4500
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.4650
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.4650
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.4650
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.5350
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.4950
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.5050
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.4950
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.5200
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.5150
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.4850
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.5100
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.4900
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.4950
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.5250
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.4200
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.5600
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.5700
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.5750
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.4250
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.5700
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.5750
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.5700
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.5750
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.4150
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.5900
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.4100
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.4100
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.4100
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.4050
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.5950
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.6150
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.3850
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.6200
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.6200
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.6300
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.3700
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.3650
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.3800
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.6050
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5950
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.6100
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.3900
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.6150
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6000
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541778295.85, Sell volume: 602490015.38, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.5950
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.4050
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.4100
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.4200
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.6200
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.3450
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6600
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.3450
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.3450
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.6550
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.6650
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.6650
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.6750
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.3100
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.3150
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.3050
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.7050
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.2950
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.7050
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.2900
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.2850
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.7250
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.7050
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.3100
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.6900
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.2950
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.7300
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.7450
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.2600
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.7400
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.2750
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.2800
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.2750
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.2850
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.2700
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.2750
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.2750
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541778295.85, Sell volume: 602490015.38, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.2800
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.2950
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.2600
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.7600
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.2350
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.2350
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.7650
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.1700
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.8100
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.2000
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.7950
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.2050
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.7750
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.2150
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.2150
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.7850
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.2100
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.7550
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.2300
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.2300
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.7700
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.7850
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.2200
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.7850
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.2150
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.2250
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.7800
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.7550
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.7500
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.2700
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.7350
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.2450
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.7200
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.2750
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.2750
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.7250
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.2800
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.2850
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.2800
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.7150
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.2750
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.7400
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.2550
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541778295.85, Sell volume: 602490015.38, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.1550
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.1450
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.8600
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.1450
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.8450
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.1500
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.8450
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.1450
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.8350
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.1600
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.8450
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.1550
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.8350
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.1650
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.1700
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.8550
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.2300
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.7550
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.2450
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.7550
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.2400
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.7450
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.2450
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.7450
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.7050
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.3050
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.7300
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.2650
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.6200
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.3650
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.5500
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.1400
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9370
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0310
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9760
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0160
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9880
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999949, Buy volume: 541463053.22, Sell volume: 602471322.92, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.4350
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.2850
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.2700
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.2950
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.3350
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.3650
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.3750
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.3950
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.4550
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.4550
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.4300
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.4250
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.4400
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.4400
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.4500
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.4450
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.3850
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.3850
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.4300
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.4400
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.4450
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.4350
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.4400
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.4500
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.4400
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.4400
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.4650
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.4550
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.4500
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541778295.85, Sell volume: 602490015.38, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.5550
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.5650
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.5750
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.5750
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.5800
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.5800
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.5800
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.5800
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.5800
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.5800
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.5950
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.5750
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.5750
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.5700
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.5850
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.5850
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.5850
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.5850
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.5850
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.5950
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.6050
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.6150
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.6050
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.6150
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.6100
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.6200
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.5900
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.5800
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.5800
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541778295.85, Sell volume: 602490015.38, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.4150
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.3950
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.4050
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.4050
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.4050
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.4050
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.4050
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.4050
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.4050
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.4000
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.3950
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.4000
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.4100
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.4100
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.4100
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.4100
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.4100
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.4100
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.4200
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.4200
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.4150
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.4150
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.4150
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.4150
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.4150
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.4050
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.4050
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.4050
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.4050
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541778295.85, Sell volume: 602490015.38, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.5950
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.5950
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.5950
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.5950
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.5950
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.5850
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.5950
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.5950
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.5850
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.5900
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.5900
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.5900
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.5900
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.5850
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.5850
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.5850
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.5800
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.5800
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.5850
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.5850
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.5850
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.5850
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.5850
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.5950
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.5900
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.5850
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.5850
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.5900
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.5900
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541778295.85, Sell volume: 602490015.38, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.4100
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.4100
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.4100
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.4100
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.4150
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.4200
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.4150
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.4000
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.4000
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.4150
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.4150
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.4150
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.4200
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.4150
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.4150
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.4150
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.4150
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.4150
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.4150
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.4150
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.4150
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.4200
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.4200
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.4200
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.4100
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.3550
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.3450
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.3450
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.3500
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541778295.85, Sell volume: 602490015.38, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.6550
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.6450
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.6400
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.6350
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.6350
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.6350
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.6250
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.6300
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.6400
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.6400
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.6400
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.6400
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.6450
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.6450
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.6400
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.6550
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.6550
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.6450
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.3500
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.3700
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.3700
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.3550
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.6350
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.6500
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.6750
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.3250
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.3350
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.3400
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.3300
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541778295.85, Sell volume: 602490015.38, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.3300
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.3300
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.6700
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.6650
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.6650
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.3300
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.3300
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.6650
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.6450
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.3500
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.3550
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.3650
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.6350
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.3650
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.3600
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.3600
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.6400
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.6300
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.3650
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.3600
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.3650
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.6350
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.3650
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.3650
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.6200
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.6150
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.6200
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541778295.85, Sell volume: 602490015.38, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.3850
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.6150
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.3800
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.6200
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.5850
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.4050
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.4250
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.5650
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.4350
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.5500
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.5500
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.4400
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.5450
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.5450
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.5350
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.5250
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.5250
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.5250
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.5300
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.4650
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.5500
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.5550
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.5550
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.4550
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.5450
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.5450
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.5400
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.4600
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.5350
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541778295.85, Sell volume: 602490015.38, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.4950
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.4850
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.4750
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.4750
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.5200
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.5650
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.5600
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.4700
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.4650
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.5300
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.5400
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.5400
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.4600
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.4600
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.4700
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.5300
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.5300
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.5300
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.4550
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.5400
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.4600
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.4600
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.4650
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.5350
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.4600
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.4600
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.4600
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.4550
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.5400
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541778295.85, Sell volume: 602490015.38, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.4500
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.4650
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.5350
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.5050
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.5050
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.5200
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.4850
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.4900
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.5050
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.4250
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.5600
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.5750
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.5700
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.4300
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.4250
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.4200
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.4100
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.4100
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.4100
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.3850
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.6150
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.6200
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.6300
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.6250
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.6150
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.6100
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541778295.85, Sell volume: 602490015.38, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.5950
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5800
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3800
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.6550
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.6550
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.3350
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.6750
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.6800
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.6850
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.2950
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.2950
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.7100
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.7250
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.2950
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.6900
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.2550
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.2650
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.2750
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.2750
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.7300
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541778295.85, Sell volume: 602490015.38, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.2800
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.3000
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.7650
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.1800
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.2000
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.7950
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.2250
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.2150
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.7850
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.7550
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.2300
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.7850
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.7850
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.2250
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.2250
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.2550
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.7350
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.2800
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.2750
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.7250
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.2850
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.2750
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.7150
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.2750
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 541778295.85, Sell volume: 602490015.38, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549621
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 10147546.752816
Price History:
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.1650
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.1450
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.1450
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.1650
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.1450
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.1600
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.1650
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.1800
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.1650
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.2300
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.2450
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.2450
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.2550
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.2450
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.3150
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.2750
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.5800
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.6350
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.5950
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9370
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9490
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999949, Buy volume: 541463053.22, Sell volume: 602471322.92, Average price: 0.2931, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.6900
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.1150
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.8700
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.0850
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.8800
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.1150
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.8900
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.8850
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0950
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.9050
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0900
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9100
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0850
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9150
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0850
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9150
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0850
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.9200
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0800
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.9200
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0800
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.9150
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0800
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.9100
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0900
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.9050
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0950
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.9050
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0950
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.8950
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.1050
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.8950
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.1050
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.8950
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.1050
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.8850
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.1250
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.8750
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.1250
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.8750
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.1250
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.8750
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.1250
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.8750
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.1450
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.8400
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.1450
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.8450
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102887777.35, Sell volume: 38168600.24, Average price: 0.4563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.8150
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.2200
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.6750
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.3550
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.6500
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.3600
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.6000
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.3650
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.6350
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.3550
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.6450
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.3300
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.6850
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.3250
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.6800
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.3100
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.6950
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.3050
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.7050
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.3450
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.6900
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.3100
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.6650
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.3300
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.6700
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.3300
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.7050
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.3050
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.7050
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.2850
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.7150
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.2850
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.7000
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.3050
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.6950
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.3050
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.6950
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.3050
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.6950
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.3050
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.6950
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.3050
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.6950
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.3050
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.6850
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.3150
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.6850
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.3150
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.6950
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102887777.35, Sell volume: 38168600.24, Average price: 0.4563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.7350
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.2700
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.2750
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.7350
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.2650
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.7300
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.2700
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.7300
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.6500
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.3550
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.6150
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.3550
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.6450
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.3450
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.6450
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.3000
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.7350
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.2350
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.7500
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.2700
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.7250
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.2950
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.6950
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.3050
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.6950
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.3150
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.6900
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.3050
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.6900
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.3050
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.6900
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.3250
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.6800
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.3250
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.6750
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.3150
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.6800
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.3150
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.6800
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.3350
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.6750
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.3250
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.6750
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.3250
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.6800
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.2950
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.6950
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102887777.35, Sell volume: 38168600.24, Average price: 0.4563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.6450
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.3650
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.6550
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.3400
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.6650
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.3250
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.6700
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.3300
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.6850
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.3050
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.6900
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.3100
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.7200
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.2900
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.7800
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.2050
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.7700
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.2300
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.7700
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.2200
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.7850
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.2350
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.7650
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.2350
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.7950
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.1900
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.7600
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.2350
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.6500
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.2950
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.7200
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.2600
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.7600
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.2950
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.7600
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.7600
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.7600
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.2450
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.2600
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.7850
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.2250
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.8250
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.2250
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.7750
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.2250
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.1950
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.8050
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.1950
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102887777.35, Sell volume: 38168600.24, Average price: 0.4563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.8200
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.8350
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.1750
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.8850
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.1200
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.1300
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.8650
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.8750
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.8700
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.1850
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.1950
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.1850
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.1850
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.1750
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.8300
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.8300
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.1700
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.8300
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.0900
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.8700
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.1300
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.1300
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.8700
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.1350
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.1450
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.8700
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.1300
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.9000
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.9250
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.9150
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.0900
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.8500
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.8250
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.8750
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.8450
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.1650
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.1800
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.1650
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.8000
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.1900
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.8600
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102887777.35, Sell volume: 38168600.24, Average price: 0.4563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.8300
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.1400
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.9100
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.8400
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.8850
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.8500
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.8550
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.1700
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.8250
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.1750
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.8250
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.1750
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.8200
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.1700
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.8500
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.1550
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.8350
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.8350
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.8300
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.8250
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.1600
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.8500
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.1500
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.1500
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.1500
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.8550
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.1450
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.8550
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.1450
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.8550
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.1450
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.1500
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.1550
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.8550
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.1550
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.8400
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.1500
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.8500
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.1550
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.1550
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.1550
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.1600
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.8450
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.1500
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.1500
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.1550
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.8350
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.1650
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.1550
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102887777.35, Sell volume: 38168600.24, Average price: 0.4563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.1650
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.1650
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.8450
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.1550
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.8450
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.1650
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.8350
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.1650
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.8350
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.8350
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.8350
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.1600
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.1650
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.8250
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.1750
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.1800
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.8200
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.1850
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.8250
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.1750
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.1750
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.1700
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.8300
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.1600
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.8350
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.1700
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.8300
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.1650
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.8250
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.1750
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.8200
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.2050
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.8150
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.8300
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.8150
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.1850
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.2050
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.2900
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.2750
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.7200
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.2650
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102887777.35, Sell volume: 38168600.24, Average price: 0.4563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.2700
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.7450
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.7450
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.7250
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.2550
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.7450
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.2550
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.2750
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.7450
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.7200
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.3050
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.7000
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.2950
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.7000
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.3500
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.6550
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.6600
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.6700
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.6550
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.3350
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.2650
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.2600
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.6850
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.6750
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.3000
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.7000
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.2900
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.7100
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.7050
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.7250
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.2750
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.7250
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.2750
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.7150
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.2850
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.3050
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.3150
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.6850
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.3150
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.6950
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.7350
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.2700
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.2750
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102887777.35, Sell volume: 38168600.24, Average price: 0.4563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.3150
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.7300
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.2700
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.7250
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.3000
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.6850
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.7100
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.6950
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.6600
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.3450
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.6850
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.3150
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.6450
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.3550
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.3550
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.3450
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.3450
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.6550
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.3550
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.3550
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.3550
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.6750
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.3150
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.3350
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.6700
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.3450
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.6400
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.3550
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.6450
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.6550
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.3450
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.7100
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.3550
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.6500
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.3500
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.3650
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.3650
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.6350
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.3450
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.3300
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.6600
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.6600
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.6600
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.3400
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.3850
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102887777.35, Sell volume: 38168600.24, Average price: 0.4563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.3850
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.6300
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.5700
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.5450
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.4650
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.4100
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.5850
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.4100
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.4900
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.4550
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.5650
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.5150
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.4750
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.4600
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.5250
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.4600
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.5150
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.5150
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.4800
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.4850
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.5250
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.4500
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.4650
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.4650
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.5450
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.4550
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.5550
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.4450
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.5500
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.5250
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.5200
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.4800
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.5200
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.4800
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.4800
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.5150
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.5400
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.5250
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.4750
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.4850
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.5100
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102887777.35, Sell volume: 38168600.24, Average price: 0.4563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.4600
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5050
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.5750
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.5250
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.5200
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.5250
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.4750
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.4500
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.4850
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.5250
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.5350
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.4650
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.5450
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.4600
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.5450
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.4500
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.5800
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.3950
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.6200
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.2550
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.2300
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.8000
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.3000
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.7050
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.7100
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.7300
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.2650
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.7350
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.2600
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.7500
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.2500
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.7500
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.7400
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.7500
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.2600
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.7400
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.2600
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.7400
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.2300
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.2350
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.2600
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 149850, Buy volume: 7977423.70, Sell volume: 4125290.58, Average price: 0.5768, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7781

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.7350
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.2650
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.2600
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.7600
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.7600
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.2400
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.2950
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.3100
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.7000
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.2650
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.2900
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.7050
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.2900
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.7000
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.3000
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.7000
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.2900
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.7250
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.7300
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.2750
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.7550
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.7650
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.7650
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.7600
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.2400
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.2450
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.2600
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.7200
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.7000
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.2800
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.2450
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.2750
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.6950
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.2800
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.2800
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.2800
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.2700
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.7200
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.2800
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.7200
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.2800
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.2800
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.7200
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.2800
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 849208, Buy volume: 94704340.90, Sell volume: 33840737.96, Average price: 0.4349, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.3100
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.6950
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.3350
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.3500
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.6550
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.3450
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.6700
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.3400
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.6450
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.6750
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.3150
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.6800
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.5950
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.6550
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.3550
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.3450
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.6950
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.3850
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.6500
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.3600
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.3400
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.6800
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.6850
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.6900
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.6900
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.3150
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.6950
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.3200
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.3200
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.6750
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.6800
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.3000
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.2600
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.2600
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.2700
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.7500
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.7400
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.7400
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.2650
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.7350
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.7100
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.3200
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.6850
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.3050
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.2700
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.1900
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 922, Buy volume: 202915.80, Sell volume: 121989.26, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.6900
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.8800
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.8750
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.8850
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.8950
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.9100
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.9100
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9100
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.9150
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.9150
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9150
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.9200
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.9200
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.9150
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.9100
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.9050
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.9050
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.9050
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.8950
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.8950
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.8950
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.8850
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.8750
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.8750
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.8750
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.8750
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.8750
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.8550
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.8450
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102887777.35, Sell volume: 38168600.24, Average price: 0.4563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.8150
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.6750
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.6650
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.6350
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.6350
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.6450
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.6350
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.6850
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.6800
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.6950
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.7000
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.6550
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.6950
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.6650
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.6700
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.6950
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.7000
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.7150
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.7150
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.6950
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.6950
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.6950
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.6950
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.6950
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.6950
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.6950
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.6850
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.6850
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.6950
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102887777.35, Sell volume: 38168600.24, Average price: 0.4563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.7350
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.7350
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.7350
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.7250
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.7300
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.7300
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.6500
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.6150
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.6450
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.6600
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.7150
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.7650
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.7300
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.7150
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.6950
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.6950
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.6950
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.6950
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.6950
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.6750
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.6800
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.6750
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.6850
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.6850
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.6650
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.6750
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.6750
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.6950
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.6950
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102887777.35, Sell volume: 38168600.24, Average price: 0.4563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.6450
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.6550
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.6600
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.6700
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.6700
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.6900
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.6850
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.7200
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.8000
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.7700
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.7800
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.7600
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.7650
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.7950
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.7400
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.6200
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.7000
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.7400
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.2450
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.3250
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.7600
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.2150
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.2050
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.7600
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.7750
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.7750
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.1950
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.1950
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102887777.35, Sell volume: 38168600.24, Average price: 0.4563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.8200
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.1700
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.1750
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.1250
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.1350
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.1300
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.1850
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.1850
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.8100
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.8300
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.8300
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9100
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.8700
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.8700
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.1350
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.8700
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.9000
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.8950
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.0750
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9150
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.9100
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.9150
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.9050
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.8500
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.1350
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.8350
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.7900
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.8600
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102887777.35, Sell volume: 38168600.24, Average price: 0.4563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.8300
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.1200
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.1650
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.8600
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.8300
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.8250
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.8200
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.8450
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.8450
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.8350
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.1750
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.1550
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.1500
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.1500
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.1450
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.1450
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.1450
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.8500
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.1450
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.8450
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.1500
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.1550
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.8450
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.8400
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.8500
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.8500
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.8400
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.1550
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102887777.35, Sell volume: 38168600.24, Average price: 0.4563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.1650
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.8450
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.8450
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8350
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.8350
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.8350
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.8350
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.1700
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.8350
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.1700
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.8250
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.1800
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.8200
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.8200
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.8250
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.8300
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.8400
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.8300
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.8350
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.8250
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.8200
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.7900
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.8250
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.8150
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.7350
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.2800
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.2650
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102887777.35, Sell volume: 38168600.24, Average price: 0.4563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.2700
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.2450
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.2750
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.2550
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.7250
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.2800
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.7200
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.3000
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.7000
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.6400
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.3400
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.3450
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.2600
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.3250
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.3000
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.2900
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.2900
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.2750
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.2750
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.2750
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.2900
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.6950
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.6850
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.6850
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.7000
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.2750
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102887777.35, Sell volume: 38168600.24, Average price: 0.4563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.7250
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.7250
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.3100
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.2900
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.6950
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.7200
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.3450
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.3150
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.6550
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.6550
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.6450
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.6750
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.6550
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.6550
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.3550
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.3550
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.6550
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.3450
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.6500
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.6450
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.6350
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.3400
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.3400
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.6500
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102887777.35, Sell volume: 38168600.24, Average price: 0.4563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.3850
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.5800
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.4550
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.5900
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.5900
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.5600
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.5650
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.4750
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.5350
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.5250
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.4850
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.5050
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.5100
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.4750
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.4500
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.5350
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.4550
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.4450
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.5500
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.4800
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.4800
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.4800
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.4850
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.4650
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.5250
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4550
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102887777.35, Sell volume: 38168600.24, Average price: 0.4563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5050
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.4550
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.4750
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.4000
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.4500
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.5150
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.4650
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.4550
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.5400
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.6050
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.2550
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.7050
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.2950
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.2900
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.2750
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.7500
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.7500
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.7400
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.7400
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.7400
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.2300
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.7650
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 149850, Buy volume: 7977423.70, Sell volume: 4125290.58, Average price: 0.5768, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7781
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.7350
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.7400
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.7600
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.2400
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.7000
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.2650
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.7050
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.2900
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.3000
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.3000
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.2800
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.7550
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.7650
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.2400
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.7450
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.2800
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.3000
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.2800
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.7200
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.2800
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.2800
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.7200
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.7200
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.2800
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 849208, Buy volume: 94704340.90, Sell volume: 33840737.96, Average price: 0.4349, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561767
Question: OpenAI browser in 2025?
Volume: 899215.87511
Price History:
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.3100
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.3200
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.6550
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.6550
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.6600
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.3550
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.6900
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.5950
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.6550
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.6150
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.3600
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.3350
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.3150
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.6900
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.6850
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.3200
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.3250
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.7050
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.7400
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.7300
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.7400
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.2650
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.2800
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.2900
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.3150
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.7250
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.1600
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 922, Buy volume: 202915.80, Sell volume: 121989.26, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540083
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33645.56912
Price History:
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.5050
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.4950
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.4850
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.5150
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.1050
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.8950
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0950
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9050
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.1150
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.8850
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.1450
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.8550
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.1400
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.8600
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.1600
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.8400
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.1550
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.8450
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.1550
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.8450
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.1550
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.8450
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.1450
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.8550
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 335.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5642, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540083
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33645.56912
Price History:
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.8650
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.1350
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.8650
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.1350
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.8650
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.1350
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.8650
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.1350
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.8650
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.1350
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.8650
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.1350
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.8650
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1350
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.8650
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.1350
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.8650
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.1350
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 162.60, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7483, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540083
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33645.56912
Price History:
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.1050
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.8950
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.1050
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.8950
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0900
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9100
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0950
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9050
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0950
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9050
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.1000
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9000
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.1000
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9000
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.1000
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9000
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0950
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9050
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.1000
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9000
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0950
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9050
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.1000
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9000
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.1000
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9000
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.1000
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9000
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.1000
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9000
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.1000
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9000
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.1000
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9000
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.1000
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9000
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.1000
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9000
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.1000
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9000
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.1000
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9000
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.1000
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 156.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5094, Price range: 0.1088 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540083
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33645.56912
Price History:
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.1000
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9000
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0500
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9500
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0500
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9500
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0400
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9600
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0745
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9255
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0910
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9090
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0565
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9435
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0470
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9530
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0600
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9400
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0580
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9420
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0585
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9415
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0590
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9410
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0590
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9410
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0585
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9415
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0580
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9420
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0570
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9430
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9490
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0505
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9495
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0480
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9520
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0645
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9355
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0650
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9350
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0660
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 415.08, Sell volume: 24.79, Average price: 0.4473, Price range: 0.0470 - 0.9350

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540083
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33645.56912
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0505
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9495
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0450
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9550
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0450
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9550
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0460
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9540
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0430
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9570
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0440
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9560
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0390
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9610
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0450
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9550
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0425
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9575
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0390
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9610
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0435
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9565
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0405
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9595
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0380
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9620
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0425
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9575
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0390
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9610
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0440
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9560
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0405
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9595
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0435
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9565
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0400
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9600
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0390
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9610
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0390
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9610
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0390
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9660, Price range: 0.9660 - 0.9660

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540083
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33645.56912
Price History:
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0390
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9610
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0390
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9610
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0380
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9620
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0370
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9630
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0365
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9635
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0365
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9635
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0365
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9635
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0365
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9635
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0365
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9635
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0385
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9615
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0380
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9620
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0365
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9635
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0375
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9625
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0365
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9635
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0365
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9635
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0375
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9625
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0375
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9625
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0370
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9630
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0370
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9630
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0370
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9630
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0360
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9640
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0375
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 53.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9656, Price range: 0.9650 - 0.9661

Output: Yes