Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536580
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Golf" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32.640306
Price History:
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.3700
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.6300
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.3700
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.6300
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.3700
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.6300
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.3700
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.6300
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.6150
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.6150
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536580
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Golf" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32.640306
Price History:
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.6150
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.6150
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.6150
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.6150
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.6150
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.6150
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6700, Price range: 0.6700 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536580
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Golf" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32.640306
Price History:
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.6150
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.6150
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.6150
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.3000
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.7000
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.3000
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.7000
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.3000
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.7000
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.3000
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 29.57, Sell volume: 3.07, Average price: 0.7650, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536580
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Golf" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32.640306
Price History:
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.3000
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.7000
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.3050
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.6950
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.3050
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.6950
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.3050
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.6950
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.3050
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.6950
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.3100
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.6900
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.3100
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 29.57, Sell volume: 3.07, Average price: 0.7650, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536580
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Golf" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32.640306
Price History:
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.3100
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.6900
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.3100
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.6900
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.3100
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.6900
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.3100
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.6900
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.3100
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.6900
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.3100
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.6900
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.3100
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 29.57, Sell volume: 3.07, Average price: 0.7650, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536580
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Golf" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32.640306
Price History:
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.3100
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.6900
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.3100
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.6900
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.3100
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.6900
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.3100
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.6900
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.3100
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.6900
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.3100
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.6900
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.3100
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 29.57, Sell volume: 3.07, Average price: 0.7650, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536580
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Golf" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32.640306
Price History:
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.3100
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.6900
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.3150
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.6850
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.3150
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.6850
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.3100
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.6900
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.3100
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.6900
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.3050
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.6950
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.3050
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3.07, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.5200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536580
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Golf" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32.640306
Price History:
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.3050
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.6950
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.3050
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.6950
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.2950
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.7050
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.2950
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.7050
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.3050
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.6950
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.3050
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.6950
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.3050
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 29.57, Sell volume: 3.07, Average price: 0.7650, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536580
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Golf" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32.640306
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.2300
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.7700
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.2550
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.7450
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.7450
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.2800
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.7200
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.2800
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.7200
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.2800
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.7200
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.2800
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 29.57, Sell volume: 3.07, Average price: 0.7650, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536580
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Golf" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32.640306
Price History:
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.2750
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.7250
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.2700
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.7300
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.2700
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.7300
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.2700
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.7300
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.2700
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.7300
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.2600
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.7400
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.2600
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 29.57, Sell volume: 3.07, Average price: 0.7650, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536580
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Golf" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32.640306
Price History:
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.2050
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.7950
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.2300
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.7700
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.2550
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.7450
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.3600
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.6400
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536580
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Golf" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 32.640306
Price History:
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.5150
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.4850
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.5150
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.4850
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.5150
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.4850
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 29.57, Sell volume: 3.07, Average price: 0.7650, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536580
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Golf" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 32.640306
Price History:
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.4900
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.5100
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.4550
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.5450
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.4600
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 29.57, Sell volume: 3.07, Average price: 0.7650, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536580
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Golf" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 32.640306
Price History:
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.3700
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.6300
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.3700
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.6300
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.3700
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.6300
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.3700
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.6300
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.6150
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.6150
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536580
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Golf" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 32.640306
Price History:
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.6150
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.6150
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.6150
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.6150
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.6150
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.6150
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6700, Price range: 0.6700 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536580
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Golf" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 32.640306
Price History:
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.6150
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.6150
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.6150
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.3000
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.7000
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.3000
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.7000
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.3000
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.7000
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.3000
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 29.57, Sell volume: 3.07, Average price: 0.7650, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536580
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Golf" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 32.640306
Price History:
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.3000
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.7000
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.3050
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.6950
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.3050
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.6950
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.3050
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.6950
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.3050
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.6950
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.3100
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.6900
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.3100
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 29.57, Sell volume: 3.07, Average price: 0.7650, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536580
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Golf" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 32.640306
Price History:
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.3100
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.6900
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.3100
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.6900
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.3100
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.6900
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.3100
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.6900
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.3100
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.6900
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.3100
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.6900
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.3100
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 29.57, Sell volume: 3.07, Average price: 0.7650, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536580
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Golf" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 32.640306
Price History:
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.3100
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.6900
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.3100
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.6900
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.3100
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.6900
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.3100
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.6900
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.3100
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.6900
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.3100
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.6900
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.3100
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 29.57, Sell volume: 3.07, Average price: 0.7650, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536580
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Golf" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 32.640306
Price History:
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.3100
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.6900
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.3150
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.6850
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.3150
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.6850
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.3100
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.6900
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.3100
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.6900
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.3050
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.6950
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.3050
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3.07, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.5200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536580
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Golf" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 32.640306
Price History:
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.3050
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.6950
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.3050
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.6950
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.2950
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.7050
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.2950
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.7050
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.3050
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.6950
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.3050
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.6950
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.3050
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 29.57, Sell volume: 3.07, Average price: 0.7650, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536580
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Golf" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 32.640306
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.2300
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.7700
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.2550
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.7450
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.7450
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.2800
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.7200
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.2800
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.7200
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.2800
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.7200
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.2800
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 29.57, Sell volume: 3.07, Average price: 0.7650, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536580
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Golf" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 32.640306
Price History:
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.2750
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.7250
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.2700
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.7300
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.2700
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.7300
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.2700
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.7300
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.2700
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.7300
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.2600
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.7400
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.2600
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 29.57, Sell volume: 3.07, Average price: 0.7650, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536580
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Golf" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 32.640306
Price History:
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.2050
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.7950
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.2300
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.7700
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.2550
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.7450
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.3600
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.6400
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.4500
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.5700
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.4300
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.5700
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.4300
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.5600
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.4400
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.5600
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.4400
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.5600
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.4400
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.5500
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.5500
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.4500
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.5500
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.4500
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.5500
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.4500
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.5650
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.4350
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.5600
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.4400
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.5200
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.4800
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.5250
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.5250
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.4750
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.5300
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.4700
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.5300
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.4700
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.5300
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.4700
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.5300
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.4700
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.5300
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.4700
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.5200
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.5200
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.4800
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.5200
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.4800
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.5200
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.4800
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.5200
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.4800
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.5200
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.4800
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.5150
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.4850
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.5150
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.5150
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.4850
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.5150
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.4850
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.5100
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.4900
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.5100
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.4900
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.4400
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.5600
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.4400
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.5600
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.4400
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.4400
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.5600
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.4400
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.5600
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.4400
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.5600
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.4400
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.5600
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.4400
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.5600
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.4400
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.5600
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.4800
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.4800
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.5200
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.4800
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.5200
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.5250
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.5250
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.5250
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.5250
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.5250
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.4750
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.5250
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.5250
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.4750
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.5250
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.4750
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.5250
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.4750
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.5250
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.4750
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.4450
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.5550
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.4450
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.5550
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.4400
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.5600
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.4450
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.5550
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.4450
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.5550
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.4450
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.5550
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.4450
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.4450
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.5550
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.4450
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.5550
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.4000
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.6000
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.4000
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.6000
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.4000
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.6000
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.4000
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.4000
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.6000
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.4000
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.6000
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.4000
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.6000
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.4000
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.6000
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.5600
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.5600
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.5600
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.5600
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.5600
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.5600
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.5600
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.5600
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.4550
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.5450
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.4550
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.5450
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.4250
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.5750
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.4850
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.5150
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.4500
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.5700
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.4300
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.5700
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.4300
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.5600
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.4400
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.5600
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.4400
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.5600
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.4400
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.5500
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.5500
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.4500
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.5500
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.4500
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.5500
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.4500
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.5650
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.4350
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.5600
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.4400
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.5200
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.4800
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.5250
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.5250
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.4750
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.5300
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.4700
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.5300
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.4700
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.5300
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.4700
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.5300
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.4700
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.5300
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.4700
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.5200
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.5200
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.4800
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.5200
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.4800
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.5200
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.4800
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.5200
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.4800
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.5200
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.4800
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.5150
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.4850
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.5150
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.5150
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.4850
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.5150
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.4850
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.5100
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.4900
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.5100
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.4900
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.4400
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.5600
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.4400
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.5600
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.4400
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.4400
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.5600
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.4400
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.5600
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.4400
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.5600
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.4400
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.5600
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.4400
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.5600
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.4400
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.5600
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.4800
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.4800
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.5200
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.4800
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.5200
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.5250
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.5250
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.5250
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.5250
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.5250
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.4750
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.5250
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.5250
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.4750
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.5250
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.4750
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.5250
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.4750
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.5250
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.4750
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.4450
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.5550
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.4450
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.5550
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.4400
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.5600
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.4450
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.5550
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.4450
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.5550
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.4450
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.5550
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.4450
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.4450
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.5550
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.4450
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.5550
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.4000
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.6000
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.4000
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.6000
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.4000
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.6000
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.4000
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.4000
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.6000
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.4000
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.6000
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.4000
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.6000
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.4000
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.6000
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.5600
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.5600
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.5600
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.5600
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.5600
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.5600
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.5600
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.5600
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536581
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Fentanyl" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6.315787
Price History:
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.4550
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.5450
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.4550
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.5450
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.4250
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.5750
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.4850
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.5150
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.5400
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.4600
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.5400
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.4600
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.5400
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.4600
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.5350
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6610, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7540

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.5350
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.4650
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.5350
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.4650
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.5350
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.4650
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.5350
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.4650
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.5300
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.4700
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.5300
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.4700
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.5150
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6610, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7540

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.4500
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.5500
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.4500
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.5500
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.4500
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.5500
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.4750
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.5250
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.4750
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.5250
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.4750
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6610, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7540

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.4750
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.5250
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.4750
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.5250
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.4750
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.5250
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.4750
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.5250
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.4750
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.5250
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.5250
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6610, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7540

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.5250
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.5250
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.5250
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.5250
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.5900
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.4100
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.5900
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.4100
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.5900
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6610, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7540

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.5900
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.4100
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.5900
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.4100
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.5900
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.4100
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.5900
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.4100
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.5900
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.4100
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.5900
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.4100
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.5900
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6610, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7540

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.5900
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.4100
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.5900
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.4100
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.5850
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.4150
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.5800
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.4200
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.5800
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.4200
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.5800
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.4200
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.5800
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6610, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7540

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.5850
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.4150
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.5850
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.4150
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.4200
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.4200
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.4200
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.4200
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.4200
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.4200
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.4200
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.5850
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.4150
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.5850
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.4150
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.5850
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.4150
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.5850
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6610, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7540

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.5850
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.4150
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.5850
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.4150
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.5850
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.4150
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.4200
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.4200
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.4200
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6610, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7540

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.4200
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.5950
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.4050
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.5950
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.4050
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.5950
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.4050
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.5600
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.5600
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.5600
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6610, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7540

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.5600
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.5650
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.4350
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.5650
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.4350
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.5650
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.4350
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.5650
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.4350
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.5700
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.4300
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.5700
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6610, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7540

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.5700
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.4300
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.5700
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.4300
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.3450
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 23.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6647, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7540

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.5400
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.4600
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.5400
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.4600
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.5400
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.4600
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.5350
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6610, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7540
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.5350
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.4650
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.5350
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.4650
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.5350
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.4650
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.5350
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.4650
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.5300
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.4700
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.5300
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.4700
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.5150
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6610, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7540
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.4500
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.5500
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.4500
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.5500
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.4500
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.5500
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.4750
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.5250
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.4750
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.5250
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.4750
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6610, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7540
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.4750
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.5250
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.4750
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.5250
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.4750
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.5250
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.4750
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.5250
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.4750
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.5250
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.5250
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6610, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7540
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.5250
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.5250
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.5250
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.5250
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.5900
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.4100
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.5900
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.4100
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.5900
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6610, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7540
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.5900
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.4100
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.5900
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.4100
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.5900
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.4100
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.5900
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.4100
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.5900
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.4100
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.5900
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.4100
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.5900
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6610, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7540
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.5900
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.4100
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.5900
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.4100
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.5850
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.4150
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.5800
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.4200
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.5800
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.4200
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.5800
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.4200
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.5800
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6610, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7540
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.5850
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.4150
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.5850
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.4150
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.4200
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.4200
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.4200
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.4200
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.4200
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.4200
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.4200
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.5850
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.4150
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.5850
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.4150
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.5850
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.4150
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.5850
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6610, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7540
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.5850
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.4150
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.5850
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.4150
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.5850
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.4150
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.4200
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.4200
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.4200
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6610, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7540
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.4200
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.5950
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.4050
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.5950
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.4050
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.5950
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.4050
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.5600
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.5600
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.5600
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6610, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7540
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.5600
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.4400
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.5650
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.4350
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.5650
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.4350
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.5650
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.4350
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.5650
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.4350
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.5700
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.4300
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.5700
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6610, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7540
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536582
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Heinous" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25.197625
Price History:
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.5700
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.4300
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.5700
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.4300
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.3450
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 23.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6647, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7540
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Outcomes: ["Carlsen", "Caruana"]
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.7450
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.2750
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.7250
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.7500
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.7750
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.2250
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.2200
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.7800
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.1700
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.8300
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.1700
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.8300
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.1650
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.8350
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.1700
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.8300
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.1700
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.8300
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.1700
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.8300
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.1600
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.8400
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.1600
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.8400
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.1600
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.8400
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.1700
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.8300
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.1250
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.8750
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.1250
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.8750
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.1250
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.8750
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1250
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.8750
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.1200
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 787.54, Sell volume: 9.58, Average price: 0.6531, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Outcomes: ["Carlsen", "Caruana"]
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.1400
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.8600
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.1400
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.8600
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.1400
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.8600
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.1400
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.8600
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1400
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8600
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 98.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6408, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Outcomes: ["Carlsen", "Caruana"]
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.8750
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.1250
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.8750
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.1250
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.1250
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8750
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.1250
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.8750
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.1250
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8750
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.1250
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.8750
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 61.31, Sell volume: 49.13, Average price: 0.7100, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Outcomes: ["Carlsen", "Caruana"]
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.1250
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.8750
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.1250
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.8750
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.1250
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.8750
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1250
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.8750
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.8800
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.8800
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.8800
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8800
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 14.51, Sell volume: 28.60, Average price: 0.4983, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Outcomes: ["Carlsen", "Caruana"]
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.8800
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8800
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.8800
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8800
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 123.60, Sell volume: 18.92, Average price: 0.6300, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Outcomes: ["Carlsen", "Caruana"]
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.8800
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.1200
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.8800
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1200
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.8800
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.1200
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.8800
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 24771.21, Sell volume: 326.76, Average price: 0.6697, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Outcomes: ["Carlsen", "Caruana"]
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 33.33, Sell volume: 3.37, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Outcomes: ["Carlsen", "Caruana"]
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 24771.21, Sell volume: 326.76, Average price: 0.6697, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Outcomes: ["Carlsen", "Caruana"]
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.69, Sell volume: 11.23, Average price: 0.8850, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Outcomes: ["Carlsen", "Caruana"]
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 61.24, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.6300, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Outcomes: ["Carlsen", "Caruana"]
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 11.24, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Outcomes: ["Carlsen", "Caruana"]
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.8850
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.1000
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.1000
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.1000
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.1000
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.1000
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.1000
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1243.82, Sell volume: 1.12, Average price: 0.8885, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8971

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Outcomes: ["Carlsen", "Caruana"]
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.1000
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.1000
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9050
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9100
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0600
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9400
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1813.39, Sell volume: 12.35, Average price: 0.7360, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.7450
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.2750
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.7250
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.7500
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.7750
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.2250
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.2200
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.7800
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.1700
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.8300
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.1700
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.8300
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.1650
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.8350
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.1700
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.8300
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.1700
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.8300
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.1700
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.8300
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.1600
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.8400
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.1600
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 787.54, Sell volume: 9.58, Average price: 0.6531, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.1400
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.8600
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.1400
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.8600
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.1400
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.8600
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.1400
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.8600
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1400
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8600
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.1350
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.8650
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 98.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6408, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.8750
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.1250
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.8750
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.1250
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.1250
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8750
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.1250
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.8750
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.1250
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8750
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.1250
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 61.31, Sell volume: 49.13, Average price: 0.7100, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.1250
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 14.51, Sell volume: 28.60, Average price: 0.4983, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.8800
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8800
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.8800
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8800
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 123.60, Sell volume: 18.92, Average price: 0.6300, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.8800
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.1200
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.8800
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1200
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.8800
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.1200
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.8800
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 24771.21, Sell volume: 326.76, Average price: 0.6697, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 33.33, Sell volume: 3.37, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 24771.21, Sell volume: 326.76, Average price: 0.6697, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.69, Sell volume: 11.23, Average price: 0.8850, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 61.24, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.6300, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 11.24, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.8850
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.1150
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1243.82, Sell volume: 1.12, Average price: 0.8885, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8971
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658168
Question: Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana
Volume: 25097.968352
Price History:
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.1000
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.1000
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9050
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9100
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1813.39, Sell volume: 12.35, Average price: 0.7360, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561415
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 295688.33316
Price History:
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.5000
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.7500
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.8550
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.1550
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.8450
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.7450
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.2150
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.7800
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.2900
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.7100
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.3100
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.7650
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.1950
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.8150
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.1950
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.8050
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.2150
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.7950
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.2050
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.7950
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.1950
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.8050
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.2100
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.7950
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.2050
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.7950
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.2050
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.7950
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.2100
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.7900
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.2100
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.7900
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.2150
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.7800
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.2200
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.7800
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.2200
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.7800
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.2200
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.7800
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.2450
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.7550
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.2650
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.6800
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.2550
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.7450
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.2550
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 11153.28, Sell volume: 1730.57, Average price: 0.4978, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561415
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 295688.33316
Price History:
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.2700
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.7350
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.2700
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.7250
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.2750
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.7250
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.2450
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.7650
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.2550
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.2600
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.7400
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.2600
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.7400
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.2600
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.7450
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.2550
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.7450
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.7450
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.7450
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.2550
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.7400
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.2600
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.7400
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.2650
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.7350
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.2600
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.7400
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.2650
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.7350
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.2650
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.7350
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.2650
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.7400
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.2650
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.6050
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.5100
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.4850
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.5650
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.4350
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.4950
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.4700
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.5050
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.4550
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.4050
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.5850
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.4300
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 148, Buy volume: 15212.32, Sell volume: 3071.92, Average price: 0.4756, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561415
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 295688.33316
Price History:
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.4550
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.5150
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.4800
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.5450
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.4150
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.5850
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.4500
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.5500
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.5150
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.4850
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.5800
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.4300
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.5100
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.4900
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.4600
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.4750
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.5250
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.5150
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.4750
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.5350
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.4450
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.5650
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.4350
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.5650
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.4350
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.5650
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.4350
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.5650
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.4350
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.5850
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.4350
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.6600
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.3650
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.3200
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.6750
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.3650
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.6300
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.3850
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.6000
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.4000
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.5700
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.4050
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.5850
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.4150
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.5950
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.4050
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.6350
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.5650
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 189, Buy volume: 31617.45, Sell volume: 11100.64, Average price: 0.5052, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.8400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561415
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 295688.33316
Price History:
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.6050
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.3950
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.5950
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.4000
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.6250
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.3750
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.5950
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.4050
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.5950
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.4050
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.5950
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.4050
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.5950
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.3950
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.6000
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.4000
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.5950
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.3950
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.6050
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.3950
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.6050
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.3950
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.6050
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.3950
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.6050
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.3950
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.6050
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.3950
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.6050
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.3950
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.6100
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.3900
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.6100
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.4050
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.5950
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.4250
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.5750
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.4250
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.5750
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.4250
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.5650
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.4350
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.5650
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.4350
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.5650
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.4350
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.5550
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.4450
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.5550
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 9967.44, Sell volume: 2519.74, Average price: 0.5310, Price range: 0.3112 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561415
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 295688.33316
Price History:
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.5850
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.4150
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.5650
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.4200
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.5450
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.4550
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.5550
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.4000
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.5850
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.4150
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.5900
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.4150
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.4950
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.4850
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.4650
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.4750
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.5350
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.4650
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.5350
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.4650
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.5350
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.4650
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.5450
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.4650
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.5400
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.4600
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.5450
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.4550
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.5750
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.4350
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.5800
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.4250
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.5750
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.4250
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.5750
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.4250
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.5750
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.4250
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.5850
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.4150
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.5850
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.4150
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.5850
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.4150
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.5850
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.4150
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.6400
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.3600
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.6950
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 181, Buy volume: 15470.20, Sell volume: 10204.53, Average price: 0.5142, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7100

Output: No