Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0050
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9950
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 7225.66, Sell volume: 33752.16, Average price: 0.5197, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.4550
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5450
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.4600
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5400
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0150
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9850
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0155
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9845
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 29.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9733, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9845
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0155
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9845
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0150
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9850
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0150
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9850
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0145
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9855
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0145
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9855
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0105
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9895
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0465
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 497.21, Sell volume: 2.69, Average price: 0.2933, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0485
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9515
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9470
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0530
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0470
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9530
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0585
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9415
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0590
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9410
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9535
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0465
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0410
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9590
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 271.23, Sell volume: 61.99, Average price: 0.6547, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9425
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0475
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9525
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0155
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9845
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0155
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9845
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0155
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9845
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 405.36, Sell volume: 88.91, Average price: 0.6337, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9860
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0140
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0070
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9930
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 411, Buy volume: 10777.62, Sell volume: 6534.40, Average price: 0.5455, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0885
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9115
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9230
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0770
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9100
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0900
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9100
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0900
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9145
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0855
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0815
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 564.42, Sell volume: 45.81, Average price: 0.3908, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0675
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9325
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9325
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0675
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0675
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9325
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0730
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9270
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0730
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9270
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0730
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9270
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.2265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 167.15, Sell volume: 495.72, Average price: 0.3024, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9740

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.7735
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.1630
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.8370
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.1505
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.8495
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.1620
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.8380
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.8350
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.1650
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.7000
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.3000
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.4310
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.5690
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 793.89, Sell volume: 0.76, Average price: 0.5217, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.6775
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.3225
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.2595
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.7405
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.1760
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.8240
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.7255
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.2745
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.2705
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.7295
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.7635
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.2365
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.1855
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.8145
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.1885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 1500.08, Sell volume: 381.68, Average price: 0.4746, Price range: 0.0850 - 0.8366

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.8115
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.8555
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.1445
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.1425
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.8575
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.8775
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.1225
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.8650
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.1350
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.8805
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.1195
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.8815
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.1185
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.8610
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.1390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 809.17, Sell volume: 422.28, Average price: 0.4825, Price range: 0.0570 - 0.9410

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.8315
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.1685
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.8560
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.1440
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.8710
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.1290
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.8575
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.1425
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.1410
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.8590
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9065
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0935
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9095
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0905
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 259.59, Sell volume: 255.96, Average price: 0.3511, Price range: 0.0775 - 0.8430

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0860
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9175
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0825
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9180
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0820
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.8985
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.1015
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.8785
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.1215
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.1155
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.8845
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.1240
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.8760
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.1995
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.8005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1046.16, Sell volume: 251.03, Average price: 0.6105, Price range: 0.0720 - 0.9370

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.2240
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.7760
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.7480
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.2520
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.1180
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.8820
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.1035
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.8965
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.1055
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.8945
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.8155
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.1845
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.8155
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.1845
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.8370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 1868.96, Sell volume: 902.15, Average price: 0.5994, Price range: 0.0890 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.4550
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5450
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.4600
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5400
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0150
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9850
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0155
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9845
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 29.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9733, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9845
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0155
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9845
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0150
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9850
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0150
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9850
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0145
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9855
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0145
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9855
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0105
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9895
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0465
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 497.21, Sell volume: 2.69, Average price: 0.2933, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0485
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9515
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9470
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0530
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0470
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9530
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0585
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9415
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0590
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9410
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9535
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0465
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0410
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9590
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 271.23, Sell volume: 61.99, Average price: 0.6547, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9425
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0475
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9525
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0155
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9845
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0155
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9845
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0155
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9845
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 405.36, Sell volume: 88.91, Average price: 0.6337, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9860
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0140
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0070
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9930
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 411, Buy volume: 10777.62, Sell volume: 6534.40, Average price: 0.5455, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0885
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9115
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9230
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0770
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9100
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0900
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9100
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0900
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9145
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0855
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0815
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 564.42, Sell volume: 45.81, Average price: 0.3908, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0675
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9325
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9325
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0675
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0675
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9325
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0730
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9270
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0730
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9270
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0730
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9270
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.2265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 167.15, Sell volume: 495.72, Average price: 0.3024, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.7735
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.1630
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.8370
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.1505
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.8495
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.1620
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.8380
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.8350
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.1650
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.7000
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.3000
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.4310
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.5690
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 793.89, Sell volume: 0.76, Average price: 0.5217, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.6775
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.3225
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.2595
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.7405
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.1760
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.8240
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.7255
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.2745
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.2705
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.7295
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.7635
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.2365
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.1855
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.8145
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.1885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 1500.08, Sell volume: 381.68, Average price: 0.4746, Price range: 0.0850 - 0.8366
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.8115
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.8555
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.1445
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.1425
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.8575
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.8775
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.1225
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.8650
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.1350
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.8805
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.1195
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.8815
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.1185
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.8610
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.1390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 809.17, Sell volume: 422.28, Average price: 0.4825, Price range: 0.0570 - 0.9410
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.8315
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.1685
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.8560
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.1440
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.8710
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.1290
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.8575
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.1425
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.1410
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.8590
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9065
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0935
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9095
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0905
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 259.59, Sell volume: 255.96, Average price: 0.3511, Price range: 0.0775 - 0.8430
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0860
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9175
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0825
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9180
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0820
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.8985
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.1015
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.8785
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.1215
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.1155
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.8845
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.1240
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.8760
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.1995
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.8005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1046.16, Sell volume: 251.03, Average price: 0.6105, Price range: 0.0720 - 0.9370
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623548
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17312.030125
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.2240
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.7760
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.7480
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.2520
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.1180
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.8820
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.1035
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.8965
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.1055
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.8945
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.8155
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.1845
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.8155
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.1845
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.8370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 1868.96, Sell volume: 902.15, Average price: 0.5994, Price range: 0.0890 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4800
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5200
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5350
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4650
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.1900
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.8100
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 120.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9850, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9750
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0250
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9750
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0250
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0250
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9750
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0200
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 43.92, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9902, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9910

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9820
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0180
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9785
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0215
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0215
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9785
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9785
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0215
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 698.23, Sell volume: 97.55, Average price: 0.7026, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0155
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9855
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0145
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9855
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0145
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9850
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0150
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9850
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0150
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9850
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0150
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0100
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0100
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 436.27, Sell volume: 88.91, Average price: 0.6525, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0100
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0100
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0100
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9910
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0090
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9910
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0090
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 292, Buy volume: 12793.57, Sell volume: 4705.48, Average price: 0.6932, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 45.78, Sell volume: 17.79, Average price: 0.5706, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9910
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0090
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0240
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9760
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9745
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0255
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9745
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0255
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 763.14, Sell volume: 8.72, Average price: 0.3499, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9695
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9695
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0305
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9670
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0330
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9685
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0315
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9670
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0330
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9670
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0330
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0080
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9915
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 281.72, Sell volume: 12.97, Average price: 0.6974, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9910
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0090
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9915
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1051.91, Sell volume: 527.48, Average price: 0.7881, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0725
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9275
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0990
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9010
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0980
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1190.59, Sell volume: 252.66, Average price: 0.7501, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9285
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0715
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0735
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9265
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0735
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9265
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0735
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9265
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0725
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9275
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9330
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0670
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0665
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9335
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 22.41, Sell volume: 56.07, Average price: 0.0404, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.1370

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9275
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0725
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0340
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9660
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0720
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9280
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0675
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9325
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0510
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9490
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0625
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 783.46, Sell volume: 155.94, Average price: 0.8156, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9330
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0670
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0740
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9260
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9340
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0660
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1092.91, Sell volume: 119.53, Average price: 0.6856, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4800
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5200
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5350
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4650
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.1900
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.8100
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 120.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9850, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9750
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0250
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9750
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0250
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0250
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9750
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0200
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 43.92, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9902, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9820
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0180
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9785
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0215
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0215
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9785
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9785
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0215
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 698.23, Sell volume: 97.55, Average price: 0.7026, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0155
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9855
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0145
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9855
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0145
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9850
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0150
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9850
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0150
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9850
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0150
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0100
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0100
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 436.27, Sell volume: 88.91, Average price: 0.6525, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0100
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0100
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0100
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9910
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0090
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9910
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0090
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 292, Buy volume: 12793.57, Sell volume: 4705.48, Average price: 0.6932, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 45.78, Sell volume: 17.79, Average price: 0.5706, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9910
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0090
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0240
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9760
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9745
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0255
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9745
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0255
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 763.14, Sell volume: 8.72, Average price: 0.3499, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9695
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9695
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0305
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9670
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0330
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9685
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0315
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9670
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0330
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9670
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0330
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0080
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9915
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 281.72, Sell volume: 12.97, Average price: 0.6974, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9910
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0090
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9915
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1051.91, Sell volume: 527.48, Average price: 0.7881, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0725
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9275
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0990
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9010
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0980
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1190.59, Sell volume: 252.66, Average price: 0.7501, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9285
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0715
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0735
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9265
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0735
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9265
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0735
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9265
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0725
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9275
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9330
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0670
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0665
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9335
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 22.41, Sell volume: 56.07, Average price: 0.0404, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.1370
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9275
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0725
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0340
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9660
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0720
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9280
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0675
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9325
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0510
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9490
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0625
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 783.46, Sell volume: 155.94, Average price: 0.8156, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623550
Question: Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 17499.050728
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9330
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0670
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0740
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9260
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9340
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0660
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1092.91, Sell volume: 119.53, Average price: 0.6856, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9550
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0450
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0450
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9550
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 185.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.9103, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0305
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9695
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0295
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9705
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9725
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0275
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9750
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 43.91, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9896, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9755
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0245
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9805
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0195
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9805
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0195
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9800
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0200
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0200
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9800
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9800
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0200
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9780
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0220
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 337.33, Sell volume: 52.04, Average price: 0.7109, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0190
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9815
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0185
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9815
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0185
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0185
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9815
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9750
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0250
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9770
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0230
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 873.69, Sell volume: 88.91, Average price: 0.6220, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0100
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0100
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0100
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9895
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0105
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0100
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9900
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9900
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0100
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 299, Buy volume: 14963.99, Sell volume: 5544.53, Average price: 0.7599, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9895
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9895
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0105
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9950
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0050
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0050
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9950
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0050
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9950
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0050
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 46.79, Sell volume: 7.79, Average price: 0.7130, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0130
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9870
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 388.01, Sell volume: 183.75, Average price: 0.7979, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0140
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9940
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 176.04, Sell volume: 206.89, Average price: 0.7621, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1480.61, Sell volume: 396.59, Average price: 0.8228, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0140
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0135
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9870
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0130
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9870
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0130
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0135
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9875
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9880
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0120
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9890
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 338.43, Sell volume: 31.64, Average price: 0.8218, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9890
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0110
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 56.07, Average price: 0.2036, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9930
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9945
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 367.20, Sell volume: 56.96, Average price: 0.9216, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0050
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9950
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 2816.60, Sell volume: 1287.58, Average price: 0.6756, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9550
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0450
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0450
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9550
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 185.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.9103, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0305
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9695
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0295
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9705
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9725
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0275
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9750
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 43.91, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9896, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9755
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0245
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9805
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0195
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9805
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0195
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9800
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0200
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0200
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9800
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9800
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0200
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9780
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0220
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 337.33, Sell volume: 52.04, Average price: 0.7109, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0190
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9815
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0185
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9815
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0185
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0185
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9815
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9750
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0250
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9770
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0230
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 873.69, Sell volume: 88.91, Average price: 0.6220, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0100
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0100
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0100
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9895
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0105
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0100
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9900
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9900
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0100
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 299, Buy volume: 14963.99, Sell volume: 5544.53, Average price: 0.7599, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9895
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9895
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0105
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9950
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0050
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0050
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9950
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0050
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9950
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0050
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 46.79, Sell volume: 7.79, Average price: 0.7130, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0130
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9870
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 388.01, Sell volume: 183.75, Average price: 0.7979, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0140
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9940
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 176.04, Sell volume: 206.89, Average price: 0.7621, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1480.61, Sell volume: 396.59, Average price: 0.8228, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0140
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0135
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9870
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0130
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9870
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0130
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0135
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9875
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9880
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0120
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9890
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 338.43, Sell volume: 31.64, Average price: 0.8218, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9890
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0110
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 56.07, Average price: 0.2036, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9930
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9945
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 367.20, Sell volume: 56.96, Average price: 0.9216, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0050
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9950
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 2816.60, Sell volume: 1287.58, Average price: 0.6756, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5650
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4350
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4450
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5550
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.6500
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.3500
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.4000
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.6000
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.5600
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.4400
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 492.69, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.4507, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.5600
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.5250
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.4750
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.5200
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.4800
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.5300
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 435.26, Sell volume: 52.47, Average price: 0.4982, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.5700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.4450
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.5550
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.5450
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.4550
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.5200
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.4800
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.5650
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.4350
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.4600
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.5400
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 4099.35, Sell volume: 304.24, Average price: 0.5115, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6479

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.7650
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.7900
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.2100
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.3100
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.6900
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.3250
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.6750
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.3350
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.6650
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.3100
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.6900
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.5500
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 3931.63, Sell volume: 2366.13, Average price: 0.4789, Price range: 0.1325 - 0.8499

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.4750
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.5250
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.3150
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.6850
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.3350
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.6650
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.3650
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.6350
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.6450
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.3550
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1086.07, Sell volume: 352.22, Average price: 0.5390, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.6800
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.3450
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.6550
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.4200
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.5800
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.4500
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.5500
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.5500
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.4500
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.4800
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.5200
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.4800
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.5200
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.4700
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 5147.21, Sell volume: 1664.60, Average price: 0.5175, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7592

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.3950
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.4050
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.5950
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.6600
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.3400
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.3050
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.1900
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.8100
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0365
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9635
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 4128.97, Sell volume: 3248.15, Average price: 0.5292, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9790

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0420
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0545
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9455
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9555
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0445
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0480
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9520
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0675
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9325
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0560
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9440
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0710
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9290
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0725
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 1120.39, Sell volume: 1317.60, Average price: 0.5299, Price range: 0.0139 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0710
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9290
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9305
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0695
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0730
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9270
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0665
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9335
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9285
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0715
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9295
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0705
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9490
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0510
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 3636.90, Sell volume: 369.36, Average price: 0.6995, Price range: 0.0620 - 0.9540

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0575
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9670
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0330
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0520
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9480
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0685
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9315
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0495
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9505
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9545
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0455
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9495
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0505
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9635
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 2111.29, Sell volume: 191.19, Average price: 0.6585, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0410
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9590
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9580
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0420
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9525
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0475
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9570
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0430
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9635
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0365
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0405
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9595
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9570
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0430
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 403.08, Sell volume: 98.26, Average price: 0.3035, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9740

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9555
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0465
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9535
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0475
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9525
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9460
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0540
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9455
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0545
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0545
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9455
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0580
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9420
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 371.30, Sell volume: 839.01, Average price: 0.7948, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9570

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.6890
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.3110
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.2250
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.7750
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.2350
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.7650
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0375
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9625
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.8885
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.1115
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9570
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0430
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 168, Buy volume: 11530.77, Sell volume: 5196.55, Average price: 0.5519, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5650
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4350
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4450
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5550
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.6500
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.3500
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.4000
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.6000
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.5600
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.4400
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 492.69, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.4507, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.5600
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.5250
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.4750
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.5200
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.4800
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.5300
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 435.26, Sell volume: 52.47, Average price: 0.4982, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.4450
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.5550
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.5450
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.4550
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.5200
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.4800
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.5650
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.4350
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.4600
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.5400
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 4099.35, Sell volume: 304.24, Average price: 0.5115, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6479
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.7650
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.7900
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.2100
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.3100
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.6900
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.3250
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.6750
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.3350
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.6650
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.3100
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.6900
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.5500
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 3931.63, Sell volume: 2366.13, Average price: 0.4789, Price range: 0.1325 - 0.8499
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.4750
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.5250
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.3150
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.6850
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.3350
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.6650
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.3650
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.6350
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.6450
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.3550
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1086.07, Sell volume: 352.22, Average price: 0.5390, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.6800
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.3450
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.6550
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.4200
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.5800
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.4500
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.5500
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.5500
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.4500
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.4800
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.5200
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.4800
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.5200
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.4700
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 5147.21, Sell volume: 1664.60, Average price: 0.5175, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7592
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.3950
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.4050
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.5950
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.6600
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.3400
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.3050
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.1900
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.8100
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0365
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9635
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 4128.97, Sell volume: 3248.15, Average price: 0.5292, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0420
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0545
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9455
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9555
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0445
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0480
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9520
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0675
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9325
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0560
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9440
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0710
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9290
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0725
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 1120.39, Sell volume: 1317.60, Average price: 0.5299, Price range: 0.0139 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0710
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9290
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9305
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0695
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0730
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9270
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0665
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9335
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9285
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0715
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9295
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0705
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9490
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0510
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 3636.90, Sell volume: 369.36, Average price: 0.6995, Price range: 0.0620 - 0.9540
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0575
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9670
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0330
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0520
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9480
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0685
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9315
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0495
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9505
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9545
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0455
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9495
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0505
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9635
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 2111.29, Sell volume: 191.19, Average price: 0.6585, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0410
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9590
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9580
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0420
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9525
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0475
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9570
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0430
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9635
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0365
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0405
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9595
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9570
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0430
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 403.08, Sell volume: 98.26, Average price: 0.3035, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9555
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0465
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9535
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0475
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9525
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9460
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0540
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9455
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0545
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0545
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9455
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0580
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9420
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 371.30, Sell volume: 839.01, Average price: 0.7948, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9570
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.6890
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.3110
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.2250
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.7750
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.2350
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.7650
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0375
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9625
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.8885
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.1115
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9570
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0430
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 168, Buy volume: 11530.77, Sell volume: 5196.55, Average price: 0.5519, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.2500
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.2500
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0305
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9695
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0305
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9695
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0125
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 90.06, Sell volume: 9.94, Average price: 0.9189, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0125
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0125
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0125
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.90, Sell volume: 64.99, Average price: 0.8265, Price range: 0.0088 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 401.38, Sell volume: 52.04, Average price: 0.7027, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1071.20, Sell volume: 473.87, Average price: 0.6542, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1050.17, Sell volume: 1049.17, Average price: 0.9965, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0125
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 1261.91, Sell volume: 18356.83, Average price: 0.0933, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0105
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9895
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0135
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9865
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9875
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0125
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 881.06, Sell volume: 32162.77, Average price: 0.0625, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0130
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0110
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9890
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0140
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9860
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0105
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9895
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9890
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0110
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 146, Buy volume: 5239.09, Sell volume: 23417.80, Average price: 0.1178, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9880
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0120
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9855
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0145
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0135
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0085
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9915
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0050
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0050
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9950
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 1354.20, Sell volume: 55391.61, Average price: 0.1376, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0155
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9845
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9460
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0540
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9760
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0240
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9905
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0095
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0205
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9795
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0080
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1161.68, Sell volume: 26.64, Average price: 0.7517, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0080
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9930
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 56.07, Average price: 0.2030, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0090
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9925
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0075
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0075
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0080
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9920
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0110
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9890
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0100
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9900
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0095
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9905
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9815
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 579.12, Sell volume: 35.96, Average price: 0.8174, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0185
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9815
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0170
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9830
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9860
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0140
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9920
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0050
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9950
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9950
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0050
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 887.68, Sell volume: 525.27, Average price: 0.6859, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.2500
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.2500
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0305
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9695
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0305
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9695
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0125
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 90.06, Sell volume: 9.94, Average price: 0.9189, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0125
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0125
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0125
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.90, Sell volume: 64.99, Average price: 0.8265, Price range: 0.0088 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 401.38, Sell volume: 52.04, Average price: 0.7027, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1071.20, Sell volume: 473.87, Average price: 0.6542, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1050.17, Sell volume: 1049.17, Average price: 0.9965, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0125
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 1261.91, Sell volume: 18356.83, Average price: 0.0933, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0105
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9895
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0135
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9865
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9875
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0125
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 881.06, Sell volume: 32162.77, Average price: 0.0625, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0130
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0110
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9890
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0140
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9860
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0105
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9895
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9890
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0110
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 146, Buy volume: 5239.09, Sell volume: 23417.80, Average price: 0.1178, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9880
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0120
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9855
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0145
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0135
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0085
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9915
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0050
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0050
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9950
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 1354.20, Sell volume: 55391.61, Average price: 0.1376, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0155
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9845
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9460
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0540
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9760
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0240
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9905
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0095
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0205
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9795
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0080
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1161.68, Sell volume: 26.64, Average price: 0.7517, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0080
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9930
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 56.07, Average price: 0.2030, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0090
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9925
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0075
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0075
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0080
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9920
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0110
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9890
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0100
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9900
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0095
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9905
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9815
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 579.12, Sell volume: 35.96, Average price: 0.8174, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes