Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Outcomes: ["Weil", "Fine"]
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.0225
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.9775
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.9770
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.0230
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.9770
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.0230
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9770
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0225
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.9775
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.0230
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.9770
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.0225
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.9775
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.0230
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.9770
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.0230
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.9770
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.0230
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.9770
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.0230
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9770
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.0230
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.9770
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.0170
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.9830
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.0165
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.9835
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.0170
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Outcomes: ["Weil", "Fine"]
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.0175
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.9825
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.0175
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.9825
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0175
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.9825
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.0165
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.9835
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.0165
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.9835
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0170
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.9830
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0165
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9835
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.0175
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.9825
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.0170
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.9830
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.0170
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.9830
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.0170
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.9830
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.0165
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.9835
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.0165
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.9835
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0160
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.9840
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0165
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.9835
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.0165
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.9835
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.0165
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.9835
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.0155
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.9845
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.0160
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.9840
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.0165
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.9835
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.0160
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.9840
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.0165
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.9835
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.0165
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Outcomes: ["Weil", "Fine"]
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.0240
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.9760
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.0245
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.9755
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.0215
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.9785
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.0200
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.9800
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.0200
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.9800
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.0200
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.9800
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0205
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.9795
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0200
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.9800
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.0195
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.9805
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.0200
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.9800
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.0200
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.9800
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.0200
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.9800
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.0180
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.9820
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.0185
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.9815
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.0235
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.9765
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.0235
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.9765
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.0285
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.9715
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.0310
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.9690
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0325
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.9675
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.0340
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.9660
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.0340
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.9660
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.0340
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.9660
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.0340
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Outcomes: ["Weil", "Fine"]
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.0285
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.9715
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.0300
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.9700
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0290
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.9710
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.0290
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.9710
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.0315
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.9685
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.0310
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9690
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.0300
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.9700
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.0295
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.9705
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0310
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.9690
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.0295
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.9705
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.0305
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.9695
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.0295
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.9705
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.0340
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.9660
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.0355
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.9645
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.0375
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9625
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.0400
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.9600
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0400
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.9600
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.0400
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.9600
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.0355
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.9645
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.0385
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.9615
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.0395
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.9605
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.0395
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.9605
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.0395
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Outcomes: ["Weil", "Fine"]
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0395
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.9605
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.0410
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.9590
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.0415
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.9585
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.0410
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.9590
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.0410
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.9590
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0410
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.9590
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.0415
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.9585
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.0410
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.9590
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.0450
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.9550
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.0455
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.9545
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.0630
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.9370
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.0580
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.9420
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.0670
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.9330
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.0665
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.9335
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0655
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.9345
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0620
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.9380
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.0600
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.9400
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.0415
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.9585
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.0450
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.9550
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.0525
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.9475
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.0465
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.9535
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.0450
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.9550
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.0435
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.9565
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Outcomes: ["Weil", "Fine"]
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0470
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.9530
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0560
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.9440
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0555
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.9445
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.0590
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.9410
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0690
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9310
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.0645
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.9355
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.0645
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.9355
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.0665
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.9335
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.0630
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.9370
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0860
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.9140
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.1140
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.8860
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.1210
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.8790
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.1330
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.8670
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.1240
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.8760
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.1300
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.8700
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.1265
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.8735
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.1265
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.8735
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.1260
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.8740
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.1380
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.8620
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.1395
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.8605
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.1350
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.8650
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.1350
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.8650
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.1340
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.8660
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Outcomes: ["Weil", "Fine"]
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.1335
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.8665
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.1335
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.8665
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.1400
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.8600
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.1345
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.8655
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.1345
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.8655
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.1345
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.8655
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.1345
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.8655
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.1335
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.8665
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.1295
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.8705
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.1040
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.8960
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.0925
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.9075
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.1145
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.8855
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.1175
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.8825
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.1275
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.8725
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.1265
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.8735
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.1235
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.8765
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.1210
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.8790
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.1095
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.8905
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.1170
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.8830
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.1205
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.8795
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.1150
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.8850
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.1275
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.8725
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.1275
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.8725
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Outcomes: ["Weil", "Fine"]
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.1270
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.8730
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.1270
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.8730
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.1245
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.8755
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.1115
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.8885
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.1210
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.8790
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.1195
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.8805
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.1155
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.8845
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.1105
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.8895
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.1100
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.8900
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.1075
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.8925
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.1060
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.8940
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.1060
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.8940
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.1080
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.8920
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.1080
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.8920
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.1100
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.8900
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.1005
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.8995
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.1005
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.8995
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0905
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.9095
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.1005
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.8995
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.1035
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.8965
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.0900
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.9100
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.0875
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.9125
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.0890
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.9110
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Outcomes: ["Weil", "Fine"]
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.0890
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.9110
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.0890
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.9110
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0890
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.9110
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0895
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.9105
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.0670
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.9330
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.0635
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.9365
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0895
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.9105
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.0930
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.9070
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0890
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.9110
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.0875
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.9125
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0885
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9115
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.0895
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.9105
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0905
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.9095
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.0910
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.9090
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.0975
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.9025
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.0815
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.9185
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.0775
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9225
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.0815
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.9185
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0800
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.9200
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.0795
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.9205
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.0825
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.9175
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.0820
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.9180
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.0815
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.9185
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Outcomes: ["Weil", "Fine"]
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0815
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.9185
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0815
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.9185
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.0820
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9180
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.0835
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.9165
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.0845
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.9155
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.0770
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.9230
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.0765
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.9235
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0765
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.9235
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.0770
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.9230
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.0805
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.9195
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0795
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.9205
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.0780
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.9220
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.0775
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.9225
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0770
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.9230
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.0755
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.9245
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.0895
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.9105
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.0895
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.9105
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.0875
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.9125
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.0860
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.9140
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0875
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.9125
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.0860
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.9140
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.0865
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.9135
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.0880
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.9120
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Outcomes: ["Weil", "Fine"]
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.0880
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.9120
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.0790
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.9210
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0780
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.9220
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.0785
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.9215
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0760
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.9240
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.0715
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.9285
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.0365
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.9635
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.0195
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.9805
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.0140
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.9860
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.0100
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9900
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.0110
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.9890
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0115
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.9885
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0125
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.9875
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.0135
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.9865
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.9995
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.9995
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0750
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.9250
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.0550
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.9450
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.0200
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.9800
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0200
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.9800
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.0195
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.9805
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.0245
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.9755
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.0255
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.9745
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.0260
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.9740
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0255
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.9745
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0240
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.9760
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.0240
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9760
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.0250
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.9750
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.0245
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.9755
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0250
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.9750
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.0280
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.0295
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.9705
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.0290
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.9710
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.0300
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.9700
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.0305
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.9695
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0270
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.9730
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.0295
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.9705
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.0275
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.9725
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.0300
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9700
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.0300
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.9700
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0280
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.9720
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.0225
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.9775
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.0225
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.9775
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.0225
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.9775
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.0225
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.0225
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.9775
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.9770
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.0230
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.9770
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.0230
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9770
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0225
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.9775
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.0230
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.9770
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.0225
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.0175
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.9825
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.0175
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.9825
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0175
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.9825
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.0165
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.9835
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.0165
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.9835
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0170
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.9830
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0165
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9835
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.0175
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.9825
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.0170
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.9830
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.0170
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.9830
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.0170
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.9830
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.0165
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.9835
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.0165
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.9835
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0160
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.9840
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0165
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.0240
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.9760
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.0245
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.9755
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.0215
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.9785
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.0200
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.9800
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.0200
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.9800
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.0200
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.9800
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0205
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.9795
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0200
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.9800
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.0195
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.9805
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.0200
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.9800
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.0200
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.9800
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.0200
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.9800
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.0180
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.9820
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.0185
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.9815
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.0235
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.0285
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.9715
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.0300
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.9700
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0290
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.9710
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.0290
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.9710
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.0315
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.9685
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.0310
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9690
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.0300
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.9700
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.0295
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.9705
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0310
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.9690
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.0295
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.9705
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.0305
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.9695
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.0295
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.9705
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.0340
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.9660
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.0355
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.9645
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.0375
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0395
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.9605
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.0410
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.9590
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.0415
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.9585
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.0410
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.9590
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.0410
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.9590
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0410
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.9590
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.0415
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.9585
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.0410
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.9590
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.0450
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.9550
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.0455
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.9545
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.0630
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.9370
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.0580
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.9420
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.0670
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.9330
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.0665
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.9335
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0655
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.9345
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0470
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.9530
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0560
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.9440
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0555
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.9445
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.0590
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.9410
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0690
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9310
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.0645
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.9355
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.0645
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.9355
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.0665
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.9335
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.0630
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.9370
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0860
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.9140
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.1140
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.8860
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.1210
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.8790
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.1330
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.8670
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.1240
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.8760
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.1300
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.1335
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.8665
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.1335
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.8665
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.1400
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.8600
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.1345
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.8655
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.1345
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.8655
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.1345
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.8655
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.1345
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.8655
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.1335
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.8665
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.1295
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.8705
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.1040
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.8960
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.0925
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.9075
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.1145
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.8855
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.1175
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.8825
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.1275
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.8725
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.1265
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.8735
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.1270
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.8730
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.1270
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.8730
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.1245
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.8755
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.1115
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.8885
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.1210
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.8790
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.1195
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.8805
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.1155
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.8845
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.1105
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.8895
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.1100
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.8900
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.1075
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.8925
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.1060
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.8940
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.1060
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.8940
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.1080
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.8920
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.1080
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.8920
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.1100
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.0890
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.9110
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.0890
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.9110
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0890
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.9110
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0895
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.9105
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.0670
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.9330
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.0635
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.9365
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0895
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.9105
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.0930
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.9070
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0890
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.9110
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.0875
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.9125
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0885
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9115
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.0895
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.9105
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0905
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.9095
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.0910
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.9090
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.0975
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.9025
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0815
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.9185
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0815
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.9185
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.0820
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9180
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.0835
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.9165
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.0845
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.9155
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.0770
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.9230
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.0765
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.9235
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0765
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.9235
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.0770
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.9230
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.0805
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.9195
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0795
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.9205
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.0780
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.9220
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.0775
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.9225
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0770
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.9230
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.0755
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.9245
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529272
Question: FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Volume: 401962.314222
Price History:
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.0880
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.9120
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.0790
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.9210
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0780
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.9220
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.0785
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.9215
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0760
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.9240
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.0715
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.9285
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.0365
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.9635
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.0195
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.9805
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.0140
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.9860
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.0100
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9900
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.0110
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.9890
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0115
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.9885
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0125
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.9875
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.0135
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.9865
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.4750
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.5250
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.5950
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.4050
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.5000
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.5000
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.4500
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.5500
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.4500
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.5500
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.4350
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.5650
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.3750
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.6250
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.8100
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.1900
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.4850
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.5150
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.4850
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.5150
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.4650
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.5350
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.4650
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.5350
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.4650
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.5350
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.4650
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.5350
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.6350
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.3650
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.6000
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.4000
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.5450
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 1382.41, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5039, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.5050
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.4950
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.5100
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.4900
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.5550
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.4450
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.5150
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.4850
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.4750
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.5250
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.4850
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.5150
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.3650
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.6350
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.3650
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.6350
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.3650
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.6350
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.3650
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.6350
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.3650
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.6350
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.3650
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.6350
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.3650
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.6350
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.3650
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.6350
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.4600
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 362.31, Sell volume: 52.00, Average price: 0.5362, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.4700
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.5300
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.4500
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.5500
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.4500
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.5500
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.4500
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.5500
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.4300
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.5700
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.4050
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.5950
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.4050
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.5950
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.4050
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.5950
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.6000
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.3950
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.6050
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.3950
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.6050
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 126.03, Sell volume: 5.49, Average price: 0.6040, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.4150
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.5850
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.4150
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.5850
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.6000
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.3650
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.6350
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.6550
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.3450
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.6550
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.3450
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.6550
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.3450
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.6550
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.2150
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.7850
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.2150
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.7850
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.2450
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.7550
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.2450
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.7550
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.2400
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.7600
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.2400
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.7600
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.2400
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.7600
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.2400
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.7600
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.2400
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 54.94, Sell volume: 172.76, Average price: 0.4095, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.2400
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.7600
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.2450
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.7550
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.2450
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.7550
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.2450
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.7550
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.2450
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.7550
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.2550
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.7450
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.2550
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.7450
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.2550
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.7450
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.2600
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.7400
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.2600
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.7400
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.2600
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.7400
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.2600
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.2600
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.2600
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.2600
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.2600
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.2550
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 32.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2650, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.2700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.5650
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.4350
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.6250
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.3750
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.5350
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.4650
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.5500
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.4500
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.5650
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.4350
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.5900
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.4100
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.5900
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.4100
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.5750
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.4250
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.5750
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.4250
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.5300
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 289.76, Sell volume: 9.69, Average price: 0.4681, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.5550
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.4450
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.5650
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.4350
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.5750
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.4250
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.5800
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.5800
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.5800
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.5800
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.5800
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.5700
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.4300
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.5800
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.5700
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.4300
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.5250
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.4750
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.4800
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.5200
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.4700
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.5300
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.4400
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.5600
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.4400
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.5600
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.4400
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 42.79, Sell volume: 1.60, Average price: 0.5211, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.4400
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.5600
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.4300
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.5700
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.4400
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.5600
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.4400
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.5600
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.3700
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.6300
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.3750
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.6250
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.3450
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.6550
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.3600
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.6400
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.3650
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.6350
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.3450
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.6550
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.3650
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.6350
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.3650
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.6350
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.3900
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.6100
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.3950
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.6050
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.3900
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.6100
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.3850
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.6150
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.3900
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 24.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5967, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.7300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.4000
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.6000
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.4050
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.5950
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.4050
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.5950
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.3850
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.6150
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.3900
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.6100
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.3650
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.6350
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.3600
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.6400
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.3700
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.6300
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.3500
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.6500
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.3050
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.6950
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.3050
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.6950
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.3350
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.6650
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.3400
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.6600
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.3400
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.6600
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.3400
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.6600
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.3400
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.6600
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.3400
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 340.59, Sell volume: 279.00, Average price: 0.6323, Price range: 0.3756 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.3400
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.6600
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.3400
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.6600
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.3450
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.6550
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.3600
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.6400
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.3700
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.6300
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.3700
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.6300
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.3700
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.6300
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.3700
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.6300
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.3700
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.6300
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.3700
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.6300
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.3750
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.6250
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.3800
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.6200
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.3500
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1935.80, Sell volume: 8.00, Average price: 0.5689, Price range: 0.3796 - 0.6600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.3400
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.6600
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.3250
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.6750
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.3250
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.6750
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.3000
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.7000
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.3050
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.6950
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.3050
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.6950
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.2800
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.7200
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.2750
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.7250
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.2600
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.7400
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.2550
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.7450
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.2550
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.7450
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.2450
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.7550
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.2450
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.7550
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.2500
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.7500
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.2450
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.7550
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.2500
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.7500
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.2550
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 166.00, Sell volume: 48.13, Average price: 0.3757, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7207

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.2400
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.7600
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.2050
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.7950
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.2100
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.7900
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.1100
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.8900
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.0055
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.9945
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.0050
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.9950
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.0055
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.9945
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.0055
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.9945
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.0055
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.9945
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0055
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9945
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.0055
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9945
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.0050
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9950
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0050
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9950
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.0050
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.9950
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.0050
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.9950
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.0050
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.9950
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.0040
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 2969.66, Sell volume: 2128.29, Average price: 0.5831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.0040
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.9960
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0040
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.9960
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.0040
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9960
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.0040
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.9960
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.0040
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.9960
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 358.05, Average price: 0.6630, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.4750
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.5250
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.5950
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.4050
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.5000
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.5000
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.4500
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.5500
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.4500
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.5500
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.4350
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.5650
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.3750
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.6250
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.8100
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.1900
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.4850
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.5150
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.4850
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.5150
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.4650
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.5350
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.4650
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.5350
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.4650
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.5350
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.4650
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.5350
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.6350
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 1382.41, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5039, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.5050
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.4950
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.5100
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.4900
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.5550
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.4450
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.5150
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.4850
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.4750
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.5250
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.4850
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.5150
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.3650
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.6350
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.3650
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.6350
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.3650
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.6350
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.3650
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.6350
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.3650
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.6350
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.3650
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.6350
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.3650
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.6350
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.3650
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.6350
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.4600
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 362.31, Sell volume: 52.00, Average price: 0.5362, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.4700
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.5300
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.4500
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.5500
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.4500
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.5500
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.4500
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.5500
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.4300
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.5700
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.4050
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.5950
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.4050
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.5950
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.4050
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.5950
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.6000
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.3950
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 126.03, Sell volume: 5.49, Average price: 0.6040, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.4150
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.5850
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.4150
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.5850
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.6000
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.3650
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.6350
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.6550
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.3450
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.6550
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.3450
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.6550
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.3450
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.6550
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.2150
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.7850
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.2150
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.7850
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.2450
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.7550
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.2450
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.7550
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.2400
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.7600
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.2400
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.7600
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.2400
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 54.94, Sell volume: 172.76, Average price: 0.4095, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.2400
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.7600
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.2450
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.7550
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.2450
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.7550
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.2450
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.7550
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.2450
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.7550
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.2550
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.7450
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.2550
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.7450
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.2550
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.7450
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.2600
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.7400
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.2600
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.7400
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.2600
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.7400
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.2600
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.2600
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.2600
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.2600
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 32.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2650, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.2700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.5650
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.4350
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.6050
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.6250
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.3750
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.5350
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.4650
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.5500
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.4500
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.5650
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.4350
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.5900
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.4100
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.5900
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.4100
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.5750
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 289.76, Sell volume: 9.69, Average price: 0.4681, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.5550
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.4450
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.5650
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.4350
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.5750
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.4250
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.5800
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.5800
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.5800
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.5800
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.5800
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.5700
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.4300
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.5800
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.5700
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.4300
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.5250
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.4750
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.4800
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.5200
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.4700
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.5300
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.4400
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 42.79, Sell volume: 1.60, Average price: 0.5211, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.4400
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.5600
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.4300
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.5700
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.4400
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.5600
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.4400
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.5600
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.3700
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.6300
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.3750
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.6250
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.3450
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.6550
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.3600
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.6400
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.3650
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.6350
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.3450
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.6550
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.3650
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.6350
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.3650
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.6350
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.3900
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.6100
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.3950
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.6050
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.3900
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 24.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5967, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.4000
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.6000
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.4050
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.5950
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.4050
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.5950
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.3850
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.6150
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.3900
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.6100
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.3650
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.6350
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.3600
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.6400
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.3700
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.6300
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.3500
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.6500
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.3050
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.6950
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.3050
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.6950
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.3350
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.6650
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.3400
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.6600
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.3400
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.6600
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.3400
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 340.59, Sell volume: 279.00, Average price: 0.6323, Price range: 0.3756 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.3400
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.6600
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.3400
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.6600
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.3450
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.6550
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.3600
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.6400
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.3700
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.6300
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.3700
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.6300
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.3700
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.6300
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.3700
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.6300
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.3700
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.6300
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.3700
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.6300
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.3750
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.6250
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.3800
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.6200
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1935.80, Sell volume: 8.00, Average price: 0.5689, Price range: 0.3796 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.3400
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.6600
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.3250
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.6750
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.3250
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.6750
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.3000
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.7000
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.3050
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.6950
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.3050
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.6950
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.2800
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.7200
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.2750
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.7250
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.2600
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.7400
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.2550
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.7450
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.2550
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.7450
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.2450
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.7550
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.2450
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.7550
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.2500
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.7500
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.2450
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 166.00, Sell volume: 48.13, Average price: 0.3757, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7207
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.2400
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.7600
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.2050
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.7950
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.2100
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.7900
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.1100
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.8900
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.0055
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.9945
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.0050
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.9950
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.0055
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.9945
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.0055
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.9945
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.0055
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.9945
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0055
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9945
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.0055
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9945
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.0050
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9950
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0050
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9950
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.0050
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.9950
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.0050
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 2969.66, Sell volume: 2128.29, Average price: 0.5831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518611
Question: Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm Pete Hegseth?
Volume: 17122.716252
Price History:
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.0040
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.9960
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0040
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.9960
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.0040
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9960
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.0040
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.9960
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.0040
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.9960
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 358.05, Average price: 0.6630, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.5100
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4700
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.5300
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.7450
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0250
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9750
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.9795
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.9800
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9795
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.9800
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0145
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9855
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0140
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.9860
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0140
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.9860
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0140
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9860
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0140
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9860
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0140
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9860
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0140
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9860
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0140
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9860
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0140
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9860
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0140
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 267.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.8497, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0140
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0140
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0140
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0140
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0140
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0140
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0140
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0140
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0140
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0140
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0140
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0140
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0140
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0140
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.0140
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.0140
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0140
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0145
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9855
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0145
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9855
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0140
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9860
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.0140
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9860
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.0140
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.9860
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0130
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.9870
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0135
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9865
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 171.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9894, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9880
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9880
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9880
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9880
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9880
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9880
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9880
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9880
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9880
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 49.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0115
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0115
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0115
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0115
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0115
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0115
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0115
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0115
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0115
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0115
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0115
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0115
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0115
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0115
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0115
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0115
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9885
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 79.22, Sell volume: 238.72, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4985, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 106.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 3572.55, Sell volume: 1517.55, Average price: 0.9004, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 3572.55, Sell volume: 1517.55, Average price: 0.9004, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 51.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9970
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9970
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9970
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9970
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9970
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9970
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 86.03, Sell volume: 316.22, Average price: 0.8320, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0065
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9935
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0065
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9935
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0065
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9935
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0065
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9935
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0065
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9935
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0065
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9935
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0065
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 583.99, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8732, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 2137.18, Sell volume: 652.61, Average price: 0.9269, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4700
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0250
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0145
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0140
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0140
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0140
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0140
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0140
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0140
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0140
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0140
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0140
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0140
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0140
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0140
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0140
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 267.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.8497, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9855
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9855
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9860
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9860
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.9860
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.9870
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9865
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9870
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9870
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9865
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.9860
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 171.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9894, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 49.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9885
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.9885
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.9885
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.9885
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9885
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 79.22, Sell volume: 238.72, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4985, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 106.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 3572.55, Sell volume: 1517.55, Average price: 0.9004, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 3572.55, Sell volume: 1517.55, Average price: 0.9004, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 51.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 86.03, Sell volume: 316.22, Average price: 0.8320, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9935
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9935
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9935
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9935
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9935
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9935
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 583.99, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.8732, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537452
Question: Will One Nation win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 5090.101228
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0030
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0030
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 2137.18, Sell volume: 652.61, Average price: 0.9269, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537453
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4778.919965
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.5100
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4700
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.5300
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.7450
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0295
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9705
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.9800
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9795
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9800
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0150
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9850
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0125
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.9875
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0125
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.9875
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0125
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9875
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0125
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9875
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0125
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9875
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0125
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9875
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 401.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.8927, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537453
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4778.919965
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0075
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9925
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9925
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.0075
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9925
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.0075
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.9925
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0075
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.9925
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0075
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9925
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.8711, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950

Output: Yes