Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.4600
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.5650
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.4350
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.5700
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.4350
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.5650
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.4350
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.5650
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.4350
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.5650
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.4350
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.5650
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.4350
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.5600
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.4400
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.5800
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.4200
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.5800
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.3750
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.6250
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.3750
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.6250
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.3750
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.6250
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.3800
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.6200
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.3850
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.6150
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.3850
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.6250
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.6250
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.3750
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.6250
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.3700
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.6250
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.3750
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.6250
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.3550
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.6550
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.3450
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.6500
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.3000
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.7000
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.2600
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.7400
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.2600
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.7400
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.2650
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 1311.44, Sell volume: 3008.14, Average price: 0.4484, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.2600
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.2350
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.7600
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.2350
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.7450
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.2800
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.7200
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.2850
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.7150
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.2850
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.7150
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.2900
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.7150
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.2900
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.7100
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.2650
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.7350
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.2650
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.7350
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.2700
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.7300
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.2700
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.7300
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.2700
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.7300
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.2700
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.7150
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.2600
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.7250
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.2750
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.7200
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.2800
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.7200
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.2700
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.7150
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.2850
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.4950
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.4250
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.5400
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.4500
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.5300
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.5000
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.4850
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.6050
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 4854.54, Sell volume: 2832.28, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.2320 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.5350
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.4550
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.5400
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.4700
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.4950
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.5100
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.4850
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.5050
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.4450
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.4450
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.4700
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.5900
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.4250
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.6150
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.5500
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.5950
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.4350
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.4300
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.4050
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.5950
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.4050
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.5950
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.4100
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.5950
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.5850
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.4200
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.4200
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.3800
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.6200
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.4000
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.6200
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.6250
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.6100
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.6350
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.7100
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.3000
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.3000
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.3050
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.3000
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.6950
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.3100
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.7200
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.7650
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.7850
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.2250
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.2250
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.2650
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.4600
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.7400
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 2095.16, Sell volume: 2121.88, Average price: 0.4817, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8259

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.1800
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.7800
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.2300
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.7700
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.2300
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.2300
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.2700
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.7400
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.2600
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.7400
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.2600
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.7400
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.2700
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.7300
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.7300
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.2700
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.2650
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.2650
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.2650
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.2650
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.2600
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.2650
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.2650
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.7350
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.2550
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.7800
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.2350
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.2350
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.7650
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.2350
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.2350
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.7650
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.7650
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.2350
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.7650
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.7650
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.2350
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.7600
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.2400
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.7600
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.7600
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.2400
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.2400
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.7550
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.7550
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1284.82, Sell volume: 576.84, Average price: 0.5093, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.2550
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.7450
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.2550
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.2550
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.7050
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.7050
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.3050
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.7200
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.7200
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.2600
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.7350
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.2650
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.7350
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.2650
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.7350
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.2650
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.7350
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.2650
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.2650
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.7350
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.7350
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.2700
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.7250
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.2750
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.7300
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.2600
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.7350
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.7400
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.7400
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.2650
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.7350
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.2650
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.2200
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.6950
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.3250
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.3250
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.6750
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.5350
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.3350
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.3300
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.6750
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.6950
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.7000
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.3000
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.6950
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.2450
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 5283.62, Sell volume: 2903.66, Average price: 0.5354, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8737

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.7900
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.1950
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.8150
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.1900
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.1850
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.1800
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.8200
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.8150
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.1750
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.8250
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.8050
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.7900
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.1950
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.1950
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.1950
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.1950
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.1750
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.1850
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.8100
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.1900
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.8150
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.1900
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.1850
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.1850
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.8100
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.1900
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.8100
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.1900
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.8100
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.8050
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.8050
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.8050
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.1850
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.8100
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.1900
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.8100
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.1900
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.8100
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.8100
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.8100
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.8100
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.8150
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.1850
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.1850
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.8100
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.1900
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1466.62, Sell volume: 909.67, Average price: 0.5745, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8316

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.2250
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.7950
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.7700
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.7650
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.2200
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.8350
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.1550
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.1650
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.8350
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.8350
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.8350
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.1600
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.1650
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.1600
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.1550
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.8450
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.1650
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.8400
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.8350
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.8400
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.8400
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.8350
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.1650
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.8050
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.2700
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.2300
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.7550
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.2500
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.7800
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.2300
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.2300
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.2050
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.2050
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.1800
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.1800
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.1700
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.1800
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.8300
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.1800
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.7900
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.7750
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.1700
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 2974.38, Sell volume: 827.91, Average price: 0.4527, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8518

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.1800
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.8200
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.1800
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.1800
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.8200
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.1900
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.8200
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8050
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.1950
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.8200
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.7950
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.2150
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.8050
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.1600
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.8450
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.1550
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.8500
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.8500
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.7700
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.1650
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.8400
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.1600
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.8200
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.8200
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.8350
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.1650
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.8350
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.1650
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.8000
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.8150
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.1950
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.8100
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.2250
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.7850
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.2000
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.7600
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.2100
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.7600
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 223, Buy volume: 34821.38, Sell volume: 10061.70, Average price: 0.4950, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.4000
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.4200
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.3250
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.2750
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2650
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.2850
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.2550
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.7200
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.6350
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.6400
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.6200
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.6300
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.6350
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.6850
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.6750
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.6800
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.6900
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.7100
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.7100
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.7150
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.7150
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.7150
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 713286, Buy volume: 55817686.09, Sell volume: 28299472.20, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8223
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.7150
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.7150
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.7150
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.7150
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.7150
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.7050
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.7050
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.7100
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.7100
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.6650
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.7000
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.7000
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.7050
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.7100
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.7050
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.7050
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.7000
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.7000
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.7000
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.6900
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.6950
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.7150
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.7150
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.7100
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.7050
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.7050
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.7050
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.7050
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.7050
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101898, Buy volume: 5721284.26, Sell volume: 925293.78, Average price: 0.5058, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.7000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.7050
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.6950
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.6950
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.6950
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.6950
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.8300
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.7650
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.7150
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.7100
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.7100
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.6950
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.6950
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.7100
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.7100
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.7050
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.7100
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.7350
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.7100
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.7250
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.7000
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.7000
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.6950
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.6850
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.6750
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.6750
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.6750
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.6750
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 161838, Buy volume: 3269014.57, Sell volume: 7550941.50, Average price: 0.6123, Price range: 0.1807 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.6750
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.6750
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.6750
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.6650
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.6650
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.6650
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.6650
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.6750
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.6750
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.6750
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.6750
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.6750
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.6750
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.6750
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.6750
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.6700
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.6400
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.6450
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.6450
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.6650
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.6650
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.5000
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.6250
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.6250
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.6250
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.6100
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.6100
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.6200
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.6100
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20025, Buy volume: 638748.93, Sell volume: 311601.33, Average price: 0.4374, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.5050
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.5900
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.5900
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.5750
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.5850
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.5850
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.6050
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.6100
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.6000
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.6050
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.6150
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.5700
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.5700
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.5750
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.5750
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.5650
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.5300
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.5500
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.5500
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.5450
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.5550
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.5550
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.5350
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.4900
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.4650
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.5000
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.5150
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.4900
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 5715.41, Sell volume: 4465.30, Average price: 0.4876, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.4600
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.4350
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.4300
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.4350
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.4350
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.4350
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.4350
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.4400
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.4400
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.4200
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.4200
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.3750
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.3750
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.3750
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.3800
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.3800
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.3850
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.3800
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.3750
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.3700
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.3750
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.3750
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.3450
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.3650
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.3000
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.2600
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.2600
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.2600
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 1311.44, Sell volume: 3008.14, Average price: 0.4484, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.2600
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.2350
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.2750
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.2850
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.2850
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.2900
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.2850
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.2900
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2700
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.2650
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.2650
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.2650
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.2650
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.2700
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.2850
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.2600
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.2750
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.2800
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.3050
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.2850
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.2850
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.4250
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.4500
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.5050
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.5000
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 4854.54, Sell volume: 2832.28, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.2320 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.5350
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.5350
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.5050
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.4900
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.4950
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.4450
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.5300
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.5950
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.5500
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.5900
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.5700
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.4050
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.5950
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.4100
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.5850
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.4150
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.6200
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.6000
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.3800
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.3900
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.2850
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.3000
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.3050
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.3050
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.7000
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.2350
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.2250
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.7750
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.7250
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 2095.16, Sell volume: 2121.88, Average price: 0.4817, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8259
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.1800
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.2300
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.2300
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.7700
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.2600
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.2600
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.7400
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.2600
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.2600
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.7300
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.7350
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.2650
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.7350
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.7350
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.7350
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.2400
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.7700
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.7650
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.7650
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.7650
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.2350
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.2350
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.2400
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.2400
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.7600
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.7600
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.2450
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1284.82, Sell volume: 576.84, Average price: 0.5093, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.2550
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.7450
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.6600
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.3050
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.2850
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.2600
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.2650
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.2650
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.2650
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.2650
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.7350
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.7350
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.2700
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.2750
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.2600
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.7350
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.2600
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.7400
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.7350
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.7350
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.7050
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.3250
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.3250
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.5750
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.6700
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.6950
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.7000
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.3000
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 5283.62, Sell volume: 2903.66, Average price: 0.5354, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8737
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.7900
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.8050
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.1850
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.8250
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.8150
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.8250
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.1900
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.8050
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.8050
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.8050
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.8150
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.8100
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.8150
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.1850
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.8100
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.8100
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.8100
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.8050
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.8050
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.1850
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.1900
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.8100
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.1900
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.1900
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.8100
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.8150
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.8100
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1466.62, Sell volume: 909.67, Average price: 0.5745, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8316
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.2250
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.2400
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.2250
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.1550
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.8400
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.8350
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.1650
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.1650
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.1550
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.1550
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.1600
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.8400
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.8400
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.1650
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.2950
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.7550
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.7650
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.7700
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.8200
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.1800
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.8300
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.1800
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.8300
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 2974.38, Sell volume: 827.91, Average price: 0.4527, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8518
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522677
Question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Volume: 249363.519926
Price History:
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.8200
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.1800
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.1800
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.8200
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.1950
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.7800
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.1900
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.8450
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.8500
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.1850
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.8350
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.8350
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.8350
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.8350
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.6800
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.8200
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.7750
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.7850
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.8000
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.7900
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 223, Buy volume: 34821.38, Sell volume: 10061.70, Average price: 0.4950, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 560, Buy volume: 16206.75, Sell volume: 3742.10, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 560, Buy volume: 16206.75, Sell volume: 3742.10, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 560, Buy volume: 16206.75, Sell volume: 3742.10, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 560, Buy volume: 16206.75, Sell volume: 3742.10, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3261.05, Sell volume: 47.00, Average price: 0.5057, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3261.05, Sell volume: 47.00, Average price: 0.5057, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3261.05, Sell volume: 47.00, Average price: 0.5057, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3261.05, Sell volume: 47.00, Average price: 0.5057, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3261.05, Sell volume: 47.00, Average price: 0.5057, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3261.05, Sell volume: 47.00, Average price: 0.5057, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3261.05, Sell volume: 47.00, Average price: 0.5057, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3261.05, Sell volume: 47.00, Average price: 0.5057, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3261.05, Sell volume: 47.00, Average price: 0.5057, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5700

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 560, Buy volume: 16206.75, Sell volume: 3742.10, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 560, Buy volume: 16206.75, Sell volume: 3742.10, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 560, Buy volume: 16206.75, Sell volume: 3742.10, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 560, Buy volume: 16206.75, Sell volume: 3742.10, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3261.05, Sell volume: 47.00, Average price: 0.5057, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3261.05, Sell volume: 47.00, Average price: 0.5057, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3261.05, Sell volume: 47.00, Average price: 0.5057, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3261.05, Sell volume: 47.00, Average price: 0.5057, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3261.05, Sell volume: 47.00, Average price: 0.5057, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3261.05, Sell volume: 47.00, Average price: 0.5057, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3261.05, Sell volume: 47.00, Average price: 0.5057, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3261.05, Sell volume: 47.00, Average price: 0.5057, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 757710
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Volume: 16128.677899
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3261.05, Sell volume: 47.00, Average price: 0.5057, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.4750
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.5250
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.4650
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.5350
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.4550
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.5450
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.4600
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.5400
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.4600
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.5400
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.4600
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.5400
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.4600
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.5400
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.3900
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.6100
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.3900
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.6100
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.3850
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.6150
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.3800
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.6200
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.3600
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.6400
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.3300
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.6700
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.3200
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.6800
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.3200
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.6800
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.3300
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.6700
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.3250
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.6750
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.3200
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.6800
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.3250
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.6750
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.3150
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.6850
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.3150
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.6850
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.3200
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.6800
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.3950
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.6050
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.3650
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.6350
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.3650
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 734.53, Sell volume: 96.60, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.6150
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.6150
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.6150
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.6150
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.6150
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.6150
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.6150
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.6150
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.6150
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.6150
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.6150
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.6150
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.6150
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.6150
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.6150
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.6150
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.6150
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.6150
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.6150
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.6150
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.6150
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.6150
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.6150
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.6150
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 33.33, Sell volume: 40.26, Average price: 0.3875, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.3900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.6150
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.6150
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.6150
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.6150
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.6150
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.6150
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.6150
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.6150
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.6150
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.6150
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.6150
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.6250
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.6250
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.6250
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.6250
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.6250
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.6250
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.6250
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.6250
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.6250
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.6250
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.3750
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.6250
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.3750
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.6250
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.3750
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.6250
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.3750
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 220.00, Sell volume: 18.84, Average price: 0.4599, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.3750
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.6250
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.3750
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.6250
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.3750
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.6250
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.3750
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.6250
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.6250
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.6250
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.6250
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.6250
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.6250
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.3800
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.6200
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.3800
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.6200
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.3800
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.6200
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.3800
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.6200
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.3800
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.6200
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.3800
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.6200
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.6250
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.6250
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.6250
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.6250
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.6250
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.6250
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.6250
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.6250
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.6250
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2.63, Sell volume: 47.56, Average price: 0.3733, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.3800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.6250
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.6250
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.6250
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.6250
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.6250
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.6250
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.6250
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.6250
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.6250
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.6250
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.3900
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.6100
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.3900
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.6100
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.3900
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.6100
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.4050
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.5950
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.4000
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.6000
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.4000
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.6000
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.4000
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.6000
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.4000
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1235.00, Sell volume: 130.10, Average price: 0.5121, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.3800
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.6200
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.3850
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.6150
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.6100
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.6100
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.6100
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.6100
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.6100
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.6100
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.6100
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.6100
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.6100
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.6100
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.6100
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.6100
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.6100
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.6100
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.4200
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.5800
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.4100
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.5900
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.4200
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.5800
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.4150
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.5850
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.4150
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.5850
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.4150
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.5850
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.4150
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.5850
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.4250
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.5750
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.4350
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 755.42, Sell volume: 19.75, Average price: 0.5215, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.5700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.4450
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.5550
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.4450
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.5550
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.4450
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.5550
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.4450
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.5550
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.4450
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.5550
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.4450
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.5550
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.4550
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.5450
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.4600
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.5400
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.4600
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.5400
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.4550
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.5450
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.4500
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.5500
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.4500
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.5500
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.4500
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.5500
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.4500
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.5500
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.4500
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.5500
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.4550
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.5450
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.4600
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.5400
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.4600
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.5400
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.4350
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.5650
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.4450
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.5550
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.4400
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.5600
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.4400
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.5600
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.4400
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.5600
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.4450
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 1767.77, Sell volume: 468.19, Average price: 0.5355, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.6600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2850
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.7150
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2750
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.7250
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.3000
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.7000
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.3050
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.6950
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.3450
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.6550
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.3400
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.6600
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.3550
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.6450
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.3200
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.6800
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.6700
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.6700
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.6700
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.3550
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.6450
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.3650
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.6350
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.3450
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.6550
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.3500
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.6500
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.3150
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.6850
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.3000
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.7000
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.3150
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.6850
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.6700
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.3400
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.6600
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.3400
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.6600
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.3550
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.6450
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.3600
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.6400
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.3600
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.6400
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.3550
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1691.92, Sell volume: 171.01, Average price: 0.5547, Price range: 0.3082 - 0.7226

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.6300
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.3750
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.6250
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.3800
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.3750
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.6250
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.3850
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.6150
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.3750
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.6250
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.3750
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.6250
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.3800
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.3650
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.6350
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.3650
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.6350
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.3650
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.6350
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.3650
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.6350
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.6300
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.3650
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.6350
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.3650
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.6350
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.3650
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.6350
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.3650
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.6350
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.3750
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.6250
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.3750
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.6250
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.3950
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.6050
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.3750
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.6250
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.3800
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.6200
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.3750
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.6250
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.3600
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.6400
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.3700
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 435.10, Sell volume: 314.50, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.3567 - 0.6436

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.3650
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.6350
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.3750
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.6250
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.3850
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.6150
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.3750
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.6250
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.3750
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.6250
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.3800
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.6200
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.3750
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.6250
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.3700
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.3700
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.3700
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.3700
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.3750
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.6250
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.3700
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.3650
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.6350
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.3750
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.6250
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.3750
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.6250
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.3800
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.6200
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.3700
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.3700
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.3700
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.3650
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.6350
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.3650
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.3800
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.6200
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.3700
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.6300
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.3800
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.88, Average price: 0.3700, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.3700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.6450
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.6450
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.6450
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.6450
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3750
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.6250
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.3750
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.6250
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 297.24, Sell volume: 926.42, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.3362 - 0.6600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.3150
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.6850
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.3150
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.6850
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.3150
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.6850
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.3150
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.6850
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.3150
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.6850
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.3150
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.6850
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.3150
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.6850
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.3150
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.6850
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.3100
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.6900
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.3100
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.6900
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.3100
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.6900
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.3100
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.6900
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.3100
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.6900
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.3150
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.6850
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.3150
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.6850
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.3050
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6950
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.3100
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.6900
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.3100
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.6900
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3150
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.6850
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.3150
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.6850
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.3100
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.6900
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.3100
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.6900
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.3100
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.6900
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.3150
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.6850
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.3150
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 334, Buy volume: 89790.50, Sell volume: 5085.72, Average price: 0.6444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.6850
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.6850
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.6850
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.6850
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.6850
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.6850
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.6850
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.6850
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.6850
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.6850
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.6850
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.6850
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.6850
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.6850
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.6850
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.6850
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.6850
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.6850
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.6850
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.3150
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.6850
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.3150
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.6850
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.3150
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.6850
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.3150
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.6850
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.3350
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.6650
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.3350
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 183, Buy volume: 50617.55, Sell volume: 2846.61, Average price: 0.7704, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.4750
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.4650
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.4550
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.4600
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.4600
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.4600
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.4600
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.3900
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.3900
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.3850
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.3800
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.3600
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.3300
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.3200
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.3200
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.3300
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.3250
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.3200
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.3250
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.3150
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.3150
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.3200
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.3950
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.3650
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.3650
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.3600
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.3550
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.4050
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.4000
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 734.53, Sell volume: 96.60, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.3850
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.3850
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 33.33, Sell volume: 40.26, Average price: 0.3875, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.3900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.3850
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.3750
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.3750
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.3750
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.3750
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.3750
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.3750
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.3750
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.3750
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.3750
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 220.00, Sell volume: 18.84, Average price: 0.4599, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.3750
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.3750
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.3750
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.3800
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.3800
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.3800
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.3800
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.3800
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.3800
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.3750
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2.63, Sell volume: 47.56, Average price: 0.3733, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.3800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.3750
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.3900
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.3900
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.3900
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.4050
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.4000
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.4000
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.4000
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.4000
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.4000
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.4000
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.3900
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.3900
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1235.00, Sell volume: 130.10, Average price: 0.5121, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.3800
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.3850
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.3900
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.4200
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.4100
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.4200
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.4150
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.4150
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.4150
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.4150
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.4250
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.4350
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.4400
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.4400
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.4450
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.4450
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 755.42, Sell volume: 19.75, Average price: 0.5215, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.4450
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.4450
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.4450
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.4450
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.4450
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.4450
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.4550
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.4600
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.4600
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.4550
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.4500
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.4500
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.4500
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.4500
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.4500
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.4550
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.4600
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.4600
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.4350
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.4450
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.4400
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.4400
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.4400
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.4450
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.4500
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.4500
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.4550
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.4550
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 1767.77, Sell volume: 468.19, Average price: 0.5355, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2850
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2750
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.3000
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.3050
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.3450
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.3400
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.3550
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.3200
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.3550
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.3650
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.3450
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.3500
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.3150
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.3000
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.3150
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.3400
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.3400
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.3550
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.3600
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.3600
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.3550
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.3450
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.3900
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.3800
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1691.92, Sell volume: 171.01, Average price: 0.5547, Price range: 0.3082 - 0.7226
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.3750
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.3800
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.3750
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.3850
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.3750
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.3750
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.3800
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.3650
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.3650
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.3650
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.3650
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.3650
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.3650
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.3650
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.3650
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.3750
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.3750
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.3950
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.3750
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.3800
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.3750
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.3600
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.3700
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.3550
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.3750
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.3550
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.3550
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 435.10, Sell volume: 314.50, Average price: 0.4332, Price range: 0.3567 - 0.6436
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.3650
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.3750
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.3850
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.3750
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.3750
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.3800
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.3750
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.3700
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.3700
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.3700
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.3700
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.3750
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.3700
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.3650
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.3750
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.3750
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.3800
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.3700
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.3700
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.3700
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.3650
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.3800
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.3700
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.3800
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.3700
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.3800
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.3800
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.3750
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.88, Average price: 0.3700, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.3700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3750
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.3750
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.3650
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 297.24, Sell volume: 926.42, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.3362 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.3150
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.3150
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.3150
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.3150
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.3150
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.3150
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.3150
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.3150
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.3100
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.3100
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.3100
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.3100
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.3100
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.3150
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.3150
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.3050
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.3100
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.3100
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3150
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.3150
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.3100
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.3100
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.3100
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.3150
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.3150
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.3100
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.3150
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.3100
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.3150
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 334, Buy volume: 89790.50, Sell volume: 5085.72, Average price: 0.6444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535727
Question: Will Elon Musk leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 94876.217361
Price History:
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.3150
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.3150
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.3150
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.3150
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.3150
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.3350
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.3350
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.3350
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.3350
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3350
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 183, Buy volume: 50617.55, Sell volume: 2846.61, Average price: 0.7704, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.4850
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.9705
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0195
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.9810
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.0345
2024-12-31 19:00: 0.9625
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.0365
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.9620
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.0465
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.9400
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0555
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.8515
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.1455
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.8685
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.1410
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.8430
2025-01-03 19:00: 0.1310
2025-01-04 01:00: 0.8605
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.1345
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.8725
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.1440
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.8680
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.1230
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.7675
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.1110
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.8875
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0750
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.9205
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.0780
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.9255
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.0765
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.9210
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.0785
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.9215
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.0775
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.9220
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.0785
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.9530
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.0505
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.9515
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.0385
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.9595
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0400
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.9630
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.0365
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.9555
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0455
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.9545
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.0455
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54063420.54, Sell volume: 57504035.91, Average price: 0.9816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.0455
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.9545
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.0445
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.9555
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.0430
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.9645
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.0325
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.9675
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.0325
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.9675
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.0325
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.9675
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.0325
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.9675
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.0325
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.9675
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0325
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.9675
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0325
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.9675
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.0325
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.9675
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0325
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.9675
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.0325
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.9675
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.0325
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.9675
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.0325
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.9675
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0325
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.9675
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.0325
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.9675
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.0325
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.9675
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.0325
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.9675
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.0325
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.9675
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.0325
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.9675
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0325
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9685
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.0315
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.9685
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.0315
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.9685
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.0315
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54063420.54, Sell volume: 57504035.91, Average price: 0.9816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0315
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.9685
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0315
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.9695
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.0305
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.9695
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.0305
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.9695
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0305
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.9695
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.0305
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.8705
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.1170
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.8830
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.1105
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.8785
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.1165
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.8890
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.1220
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.8715
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.1270
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.8795
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.1060
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.8780
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.1020
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.8965
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0985
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.9035
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.0815
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.9175
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.0815
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.9125
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0785
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.9275
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0700
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9305
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0680
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.9295
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0675
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9495
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0520
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.9615
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0435
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9545
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0455
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9545
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0445
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9560
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0420
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54063420.54, Sell volume: 57504035.91, Average price: 0.9816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0420
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9575
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0425
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9595
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0385
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9615
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0385
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9620
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0380
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9630
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0365
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.9635
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0360
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.9645
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0365
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.9635
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.0365
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.9635
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0365
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.9635
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0395
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9605
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0400
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.9600
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0390
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.9620
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0390
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.9595
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0395
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9610
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0395
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.9600
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0405
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.9400
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0540
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.9420
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0585
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.9345
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0675
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.9280
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9530
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0415
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.9585
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.0475
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.9515
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.0475
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.9525
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.0460
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.9540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54063420.54, Sell volume: 57504035.91, Average price: 0.9816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.0385
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.9625
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0345
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.9690
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0305
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.9795
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.0215
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.9790
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0205
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.9800
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0185
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.9855
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0145
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.9875
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0130
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.9870
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.0160
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9840
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.0160
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.9845
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0160
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9840
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0155
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.9840
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.0150
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9875
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0150
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.9850
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0150
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9850
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0130
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9870
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0150
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9860
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0150
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9850
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0115
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9885
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0115
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9885
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0100
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9885
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0105
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9895
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0115
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.9880
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0110
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9910
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0110
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54063420.54, Sell volume: 57504035.91, Average price: 0.9816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0105
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.9915
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0085
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.0085
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0085
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9900
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0105
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.9895
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.0110
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.9890
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0105
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.9895
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.0105
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.9900
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0100
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.9895
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.0100
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.9900
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.0100
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.9900
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.0095
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.9890
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.0095
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.9890
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.0095
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.9905
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.0095
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.9900
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0100
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.9900
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.0085
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.9915
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0075
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.9925
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.0080
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.9890
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.0110
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.9900
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.0110
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.9905
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0085
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9915
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.0085
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.9915
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.0095
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.9905
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0095
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54063420.54, Sell volume: 57504035.91, Average price: 0.9816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0095
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.9905
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.0095
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.9905
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0095
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9905
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0095
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.9905
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.0080
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.9920
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.0070
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.9930
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0075
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.9925
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0085
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9925
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.9965
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.9965
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0035
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.9965
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.9965
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.0040
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.9960
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.0040
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.9960
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0040
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9960
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0045
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.9955
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.9955
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9955
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.9955
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.9955
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.9955
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54063420.54, Sell volume: 57504035.91, Average price: 0.9816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.9955
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.9965
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9965
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.9965
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9965
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.9965
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9965
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54063420.54, Sell volume: 57504035.91, Average price: 0.9816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9965
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9965
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9970
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9970
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54063420.54, Sell volume: 57504035.91, Average price: 0.9816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.9925
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0085
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.9930
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0070
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.9935
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0065
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.9935
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0065
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.9935
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54063420.54, Sell volume: 57504035.91, Average price: 0.9816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999704, Buy volume: 53972058.90, Sell volume: 57467171.76, Average price: 0.9816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 255, Buy volume: 37119.64, Sell volume: 35998.12, Average price: 0.9362, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes