Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538725
Question: Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?
Volume: 18041.378387
Price History:
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0625
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0640
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0550
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0665
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0625
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0580
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0585
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0570
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0570
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0540
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0505
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0300
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0405
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0420
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0425
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0395
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0490
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0555
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0565
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0675
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0350
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.1300
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.8700
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.1100
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.8900
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0700
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9300
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9350
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0650
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9350
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9350
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0600
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9400
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0600
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9400
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0600
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9400
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0600
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9400
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9350
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9350
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9250
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9250
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9250
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9250
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9250
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9200
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9200
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9200
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0850
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9150
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9200
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9200
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0750
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9250
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0750
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9250
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0750
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9250
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9550
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9550
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9550
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9550
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9550
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9550
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9550
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9550
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9550
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9550
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9550
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9550
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9550
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0450
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9550
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9550
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0360
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9640
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0455
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9545
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0455
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9545
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0455
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9545
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9525
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0505
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9495
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0465
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9535
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0480
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9520
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0465
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9535
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0455
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9545
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0550
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9450
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0760
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9240
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.1010
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.8990
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0980
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9020
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0800
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9200
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0715
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9285
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0715
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9285
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0715
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9285
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0725
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9275
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0735
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9265
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0730
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9270
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0720
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9280
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0735
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9265
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0735
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9265
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0730
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9270
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0720
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9280
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0725
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9275
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0720
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9280
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0720
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9280
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0725
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9275
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0710
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9290
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0715
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9285
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0590
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9410
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0540
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9460
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0530
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9470
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0450
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9550
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0455
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9545
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0455
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9545
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0455
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9545
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0455
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9545
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0455
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9545
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0520
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9480
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0515
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9485
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9525
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0490
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9510
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0460
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9540
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0480
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9520
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0485
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9515
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0495
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9505
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0495
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9505
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0490
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9510
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0475
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9525
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0395
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9605
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0375
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9625
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0375
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9625
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0365
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0365
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0360
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9640
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0360
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9640
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0375
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9625
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0380
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9620
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0380
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0370
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9630
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0370
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9630
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0355
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9645
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0355
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9645
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0385
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9615
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0385
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9615
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0385
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9615
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0390
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9610
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0390
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9610
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0375
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9625
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0380
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9620
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0385
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9615
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0375
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9625
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0390
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9610
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0380
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9620
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0375
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9625
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0370
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9630
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0375
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9625
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0370
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9630
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0375
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9625
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0380
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9620
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0360
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9640
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0355
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9645
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0370
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9630
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0370
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0380
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9620
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0375
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9625
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0375
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9625
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0345
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9655
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0375
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9625
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0360
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9640
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0360
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9640
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0505
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9495
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0505
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9495
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0510
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9490
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0490
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9510
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0485
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9515
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0490
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9510
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0490
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9510
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0490
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9510
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0485
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9515
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0505
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9495
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0505
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9495
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0530
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9470
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0460
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9540
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0425
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9575
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0425
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9575
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0400
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9600
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0405
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9595
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0415
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9585
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0435
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9565
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0410
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9590
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0535
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9465
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0535
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9465
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0555
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9445
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0555
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9445
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0555
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9445
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0555
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9445
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0555
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9445
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0730
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9270
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0835
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9165
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9490
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9490
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9490
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9490
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9490
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0480
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9520
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0440
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9560
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0435
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9565
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0440
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9560
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0605
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9395
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0605
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9395
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0550
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9450
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0525
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9475
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0545
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9455
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0520
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9480
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0520
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9480
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0525
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9475
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0495
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9505
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0495
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9505
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0515
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9485
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0490
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9510
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0490
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9510
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0530
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9470
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0590
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9410
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0590
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9410
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0560
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9440
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0555
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9445
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0580
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9420
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0560
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9440
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0580
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9420
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0580
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9420
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0565
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9435
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0515
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9485
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0520
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9480
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0520
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9480
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0510
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9490
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0520
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9480
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0515
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9485
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0510
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9490
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0505
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9495
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0510
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9490
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0565
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9435
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0555
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9445
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0530
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9470
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0515
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9485
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0555
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9445
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0520
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9480
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0530
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9470
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0440
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9560
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0440
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9560
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0445
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9555
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0435
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9565
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0420
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9580
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0410
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9590
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0425
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9575
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0410
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9590
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0410
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9590
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0505
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9495
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0485
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9515
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0470
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9530
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0505
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9495
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0460
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9540
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0465
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9535
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0445
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9555
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0415
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9585
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0415
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.9585
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0415
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9585
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0500
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9500
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0480
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9520
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0495
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9505
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0520
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9480
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0565
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9435
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0420
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9580
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0390
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9610
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0365
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9635
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0385
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0465
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9535
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0470
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9530
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0465
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9535
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0455
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9545
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0430
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9570
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0490
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9510
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0485
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9515
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0480
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9520
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0480
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9520
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0425
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9575
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0450
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9550
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0435
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9565
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0485
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9515
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0465
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9535
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0465
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9535
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0590
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9410
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0555
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9445
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0550
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9450
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0540
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9460
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0525
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9475
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0580
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9420
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0470
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9530
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0495
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9505
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0595
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9405
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0685
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9315
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.1245
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.8755
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0290
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9710
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0340
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9660
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0340
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9660
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0365
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9635
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0310
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9690
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0405
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9595
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0425
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9575
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0245
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9755
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0240
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9760
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0305
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9695
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0425
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9575
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0410
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9590
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.1300
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.1100
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0700
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0650
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0600
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0600
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0600
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0600
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0850
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0750
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0750
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0750
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0450
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0450
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0450
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0450
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0360
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0455
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0455
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0455
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0505
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0465
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0480
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0465
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0455
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0550
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0760
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.1010
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0980
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0800
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0715
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0715
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0715
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0725
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0735
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0730
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0800
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0805
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0720
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0735
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0735
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0730
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0720
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0725
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0720
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0720
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0725
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0710
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0715
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0590
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0540
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0530
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0450
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0455
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0455
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0455
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0455
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0455
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0520
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0515
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0490
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0490
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0490
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0465
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0490
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0460
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0480
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0485
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0495
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0495
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0490
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0475
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0395
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0375
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0375
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0365
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0365
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0360
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0360
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0375
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0380
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0380
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0380
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0370
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0370
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0375
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0370
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0370
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0355
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0355
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0385
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0385
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0385
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0390
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0390
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0375
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0380
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0385
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0375
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0390
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0380
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0375
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0370
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0375
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0370
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0375
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0380
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0360
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0355
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0370
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0370
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0395
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0395
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0370
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0360
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0380
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0375
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0375
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0345
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0375
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0360
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0360
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0505
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0505
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0510
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0490
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0485
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0490
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0490
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0490
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0485
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0505
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0505
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0530
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0460
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0425
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0425
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0400
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0405
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0415
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0410
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0400
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0425
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0435
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0430
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0435
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0410
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0535
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0535
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0555
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0555
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0555
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0555
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0555
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0730
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0835
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0480
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0440
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0435
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0440
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0605
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0605
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0550
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0525
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0545
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0535
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0520
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0545
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0520
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0540
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0520
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0520
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0525
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0495
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0495
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0515
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0490
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0490
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0530
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0590
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0590
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0560
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0555
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0580
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0560
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0580
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0580
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0565
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0515
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0520
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0520
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0510
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0520
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0515
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0510
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0520
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0520
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0505
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0505
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0505
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0505
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0510
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0565
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0555
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0530
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0515
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0555
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0520
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0530
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0440
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0440
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0445
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0435
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0420
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0410
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0425
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0410
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0410
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0505
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0485
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0470
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0505
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0460
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0465
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0445
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0470
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0435
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0420
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0420
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0415
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0415
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0415
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0500
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0480
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0495
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0520
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0565
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0420
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0390
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0365
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0385
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0465
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0470
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0465
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0455
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0430
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0490
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0485
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0480
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0480
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0425
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0450
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0435
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0485
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0480
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0480
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0475
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0475
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538720
Question: Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Volume: 129440.682238
Price History:
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0465
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0465
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0590
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0555
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0550
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0540
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0525
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0580
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0470
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0495
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0595
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0685
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.1245
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0290
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0340
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0340
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0365
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0310
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0405
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0425
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0245
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0240
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0305
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0425
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0410
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0415
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0540
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5100
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4900
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2250
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.7750
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2200
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.7800
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2300
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.7700
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.2300
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.7700
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.2300
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.7700
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.2300
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.7700
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.2300
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.7700
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.2300
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.7700
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.2300
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.7700
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.2300
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.7700
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.2300
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.7700
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.2300
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.7700
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.2300
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.7700
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.2350
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.7650
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.2200
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.7800
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.2200
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.7800
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.2200
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.7800
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.2250
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.7750
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.2200
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.7800
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.2250
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.7750
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.2200
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.7800
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.2200
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.7800
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.2400
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.2650
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.7350
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.7400
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.2350
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.7650
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.2350
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.7650
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.2800
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.7200
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.2800
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.7200
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.2800
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.7200
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.2900
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.7100
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.2800
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.7200
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.2800
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.7200
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.2750
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.7250
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.2850
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.7150
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.2850
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.7150
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.2850
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.7150
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.2850
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.7150
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.2800
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.7200
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.2750
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.7250
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.2750
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.7250
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.2800
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.7200
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.2750
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.7250
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.2800
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.7200
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.2850
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.7150
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.2950
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.7050
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.2950
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.7050
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.2850
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.7350
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.7350
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.7300
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.7300
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.7350
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.7300
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.7300
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.7300
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.7300
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.7300
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.7350
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.7350
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.7350
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.7400
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.7400
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.7400
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.7400
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.7250
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.7250
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.7250
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.7250
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.7250
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.2650
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.7350
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.2600
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.7400
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.2600
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.7400
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.2600
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.7400
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.2600
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.7400
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.2600
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.2450
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.7550
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.2450
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.7550
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.2450
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.7550
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.7300
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.7300
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.7300
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.7200
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.7200
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.7200
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.7200
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.7200
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.3000
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.7000
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.3000
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.7000
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.3000
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.7000
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.3000
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.7000
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.3000
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.3000
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.7000
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.3000
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.7000
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.2950
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.7050
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.1900
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.8100
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.1400
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.8600
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.2250
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.7750
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.2250
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.7750
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.7750
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.7750
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.7750
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.7750
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.7750
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.7750
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.7750
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.7700
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.7700
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.2350
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.7650
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.7700
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.7700
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.7700
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.2350
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.7650
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.2350
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.7650
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.2350
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.7650
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.7650
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.7650
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.7700
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.7650
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.7650
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.7650
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.7650
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.2250
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7750
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.7700
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.7650
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.7650
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.7650
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.7650
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.7650
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.7700
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.7650
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.2350
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.7650
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.2250
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.7750
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2250
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.7750
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.2250
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7750
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.2200
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.7800
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2200
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.7800
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.2200
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.7800
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.2200
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.7800
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2200
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.7800
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.2200
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.7800
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.7450
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.7450
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.7450
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.2350
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.7650
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.2350
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.7650
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.2250
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.7750
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.8150
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.8150
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.1900
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.8100
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.8150
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.1900
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.8100
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.1900
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2150
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.7850
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.2150
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.7850
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.2300
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.7700
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2300
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.7700
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.2300
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.7700
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2300
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.7700
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.2250
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.7750
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.2350
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.7650
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2350
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.7650
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.2400
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.7600
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.2450
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.7550
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2450
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.7550
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.2450
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.7550
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.2450
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.7550
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.2450
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.7550
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.2450
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.7550
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.2450
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.7550
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.2250
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.7750
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.2200
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.7800
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.2250
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.7750
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2250
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.7750
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2250
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.7750
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.2300
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.2300
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.7700
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.2250
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.7750
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2250
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.7750
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.2250
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.7750
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.2250
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.7750
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.2250
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.7750
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.2250
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.7750
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.2250
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.7750
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.2250
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.1800
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.8200
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.8050
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.8050
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.1850
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.8150
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.8050
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.1900
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.8100
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.1900
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.8100
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.1900
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.8100
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.1900
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.8100
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.1900
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.8100
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.8050
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.8050
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.1900
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.8100
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.1750
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.8250
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.1700
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.8300
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.2050
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.7950
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.2100
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.7900
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.2150
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.7850
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.2150
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.7850
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.2100
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.7900
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.2250
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.7750
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.2250
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.7750
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.2250
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.7750
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.2250
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.7750
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.2350
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.7650
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.7650
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.7650
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.7650
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7650
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.7650
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.7650
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.7650
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.2300
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.7700
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.2250
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.7750
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.1950
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.8050
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.2100
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.7900
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.2100
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.7900
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.2100
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7900
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.2150
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.7850
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.2100
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.7900
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.2050
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.7950
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.7900
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.2050
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.7950
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.7900
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.7900
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.7900
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.2050
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.7950
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.7900
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.1850
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.8150
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.2150
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.7850
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.2550
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.7450
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.2200
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.7800
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.2350
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.7650
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.2300
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.7700
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.2350
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.7650
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.2400
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.7600
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.2150
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.7850
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.2300
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.7700
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.2100
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.7900
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.1950
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.8050
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.2550
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.7450
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.2350
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.7650
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.1450
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.8550
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.2050
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.7950
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.1550
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.8450
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.1600
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.8400
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.1750
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.8250
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0350
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.9650
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9695
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0305
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9760
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0240
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9690
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0310
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5100
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2250
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2200
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2300
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.2300
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.2300
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.2300
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.2300
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.2300
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.2300
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.2300
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.2300
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.2300
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.2300
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.2350
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.2200
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.2200
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.2200
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.2250
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.2200
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.2250
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.2200
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.2200
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.2400
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.2650
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.2350
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.2350
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.2800
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.2800
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.2800
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.2900
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.2800
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.2800
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.2750
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.2850
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.2850
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.2850
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.2850
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.2800
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.2750
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.2750
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.2800
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.2750
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.2800
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.2850
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.2950
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.2950
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.2850
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.2850
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.2850
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.2850
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.2800
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.2600
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.2650
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.2600
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.2600
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.2600
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.2600
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.2450
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.2450
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.2450
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.3000
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.3000
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.3000
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.3000
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.3000
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.3000
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.3000
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.3000
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.3000
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.3000
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.3000
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.2950
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.1900
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.1400
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.2250
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.2350
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.2350
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.2350
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.2350
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.2250
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.2350
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.2350
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.2250
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2250
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.2250
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.2200
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2200
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.2200
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.2200
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2200
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.2200
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.2350
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.2350
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.2250
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.1900
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.1900
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.1900
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.1900
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.1900
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.1900
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2150
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.2150
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.2300
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2300
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.2300
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2300
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.2250
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.2350
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2350
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.2400
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.2450
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2450
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.2450
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.2450
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.2450
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.2450
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.2450
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.2250
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.2200
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.2250
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2250
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2250
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.2300
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2300
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.2300
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.2300
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.2300
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.2300
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.2250
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2250
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.2250
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.2250
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.2250
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.2250
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.2250
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.2200
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.2200
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.1800
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.1850
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.1900
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.1900
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.1900
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.1900
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.1900
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.1900
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.1750
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.1700
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.2050
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.2100
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.2150
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.2150
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.2100
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.2250
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.2250
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.2250
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.2250
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.2300
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.2250
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.1950
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.2100
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.2100
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.2100
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.2150
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.2100
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.2050
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.2050
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.2050
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.2250
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.2150
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.1950
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538721
Question: Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Volume: 275723.293858
Price History:
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.1850
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.2150
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.2550
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.2200
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.2350
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.2300
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.2350
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.2400
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.2150
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.2300
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.2100
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.1950
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.2550
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.2350
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.1450
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.2050
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.1550
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.1600
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.1750
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0350
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9695
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9760
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9690
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9770
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.9815
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.9970
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4750
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5250
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2450
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.7550
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.2000
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.8000
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.2400
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.7600
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.2400
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.7600
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.2050
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.7950
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.2050
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.7950
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.2250
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.7750
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.2250
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.7750
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.2250
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.7750
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.2250
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.7750
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.2650
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.2900
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.7100
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.2900
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.7100
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.2900
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.7100
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.2950
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.7050
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.2950
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.7050
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.2950
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.7050
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.2950
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.7050
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.2950
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.7050
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.3200
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.6800
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.3300
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.6700
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.3150
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.6850
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.3250
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.6750
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.3350
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.6650
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.3350
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.6650
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.3250
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.6750
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.3200
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.6800
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.3150
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.6850
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.3150
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.6850
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.3150
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.6850
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.3250
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.6750
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.3100
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.6900
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.3050
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.6950
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.3100
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.6900
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.3100
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.6900
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.3050
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.3450
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.6550
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.6500
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.6500
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.6500
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.6500
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.6500
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.3700
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.6300
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.3700
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.6300
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.3700
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.6300
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.3650
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.6350
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.4000
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.6000
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.3950
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.6050
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.3800
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.6200
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.4100
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.5900
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.3850
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.6150
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.3850
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.6150
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.3850
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.6150
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.3850
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.6150
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.3850
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.6150
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.6050
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.6050
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.6050
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.6050
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.6050
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.6050
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.6050
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.6050
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.6050
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4000
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.6000
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.6050
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4050
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5950
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4050
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5950
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4050
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5950
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4050
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5950
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4150
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5850
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.6100
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.6100
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.6100
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.6100
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.6100
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.6100
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.6100
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.6100
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.6100
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.6100
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.6100
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.6100
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.6100
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3800
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.3850
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.6150
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.3850
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.6150
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.3850
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.6150
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.6200
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.6200
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.3850
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.6150
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.3850
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.6150
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.3850
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.6150
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.6200
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.3650
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.6350
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.3650
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.6350
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.3650
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.6350
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.3650
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.6350
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.3650
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.6350
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.3650
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.6350
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.3650
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.3050
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.6950
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.3150
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.6850
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.3150
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.6850
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.3150
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.6850
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.3150
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.6850
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.3150
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.3200
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.6800
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.3200
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.6800
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.3250
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.6750
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.3000
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.7000
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.6950
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.6950
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.6950
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.6950
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.3000
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.7000
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.6950
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.6950
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.2800
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.7200
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2800
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.7200
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.7150
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.7150
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.7150
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.2850
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.7150
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.2850
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.7150
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.2850
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.7150
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.2850
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.7150
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.2850
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.7150
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.7100
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2850
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.7150
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.2850
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.7050
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.7050
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.7050
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.7050
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.7050
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.7050
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.7050
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.7050
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.7050
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.7050
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.7050
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.7050
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.7050
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.7050
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.7050
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.7050
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.2800
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.7200
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.2700
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.7300
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.7250
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.7250
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.2800
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.7200
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.7250
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.7250
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.7250
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.7150
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.7150
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.7150
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.7150
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.2900
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.7100
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.7150
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.2800
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.7200
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.2800
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.7200
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.7150
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.2900
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.7100
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.2900
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.7100
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.7150
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.2950
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.7050
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.7150
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.7150
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.7150
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.2950
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.3050
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.6950
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.3050
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.6950
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.3050
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.6950
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.3050
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.6950
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.3050
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.6950
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.3050
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.6950
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.3050
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.6950
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.3050
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.6950
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.3050
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.6950
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.7000
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7000
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.7000
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.7000
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7000
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.7000
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.7000
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.7000
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.7000
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.7000
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.7000
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.7000
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.7000
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.7000
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.3050
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.6950
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.3050
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.7000
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.3050
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.6950
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.3350
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.6650
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.3150
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.6850
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.3250
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.6750
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.3450
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.6550
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.3250
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.6750
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.2900
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.7100
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.2900
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.7100
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.2850
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.7150
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.2950
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.7050
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.2900
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.7100
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.2900
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.7100
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.3000
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.7000
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.3150
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.6850
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.2950
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.7050
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.4650
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.5350
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.3150
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.6850
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.3600
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.6400
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.3750
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.6250
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.3750
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.6250
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.3950
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.6050
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0205
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9795
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0240
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9760
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0280
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4750
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2450
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.2000
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.2400
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.2400
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.2050
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.2050
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.2250
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.2250
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.2250
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.2250
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.2650
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.2700
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.2700
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.2700
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.2700
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.2900
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.2900
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.2900
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.2950
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.2950
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.2950
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.2950
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.2950
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.3200
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.3300
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.3150
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.3250
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.3350
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.3350
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.3250
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.3200
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.3150
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.3150
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.3150
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.3250
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.3100
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.3050
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.3100
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.3100
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.3050
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.3250
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.3100
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.3400
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.3350
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.3450
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.3700
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.3700
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.3700
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.3650
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.4000
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.3950
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.3800
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.4100
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.3850
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.3850
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.3850
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.3850
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.3850
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4000
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.3950
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4050
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4050
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4050
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4050
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4150
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.3950
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.4050
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.3850
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.3850
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.3850
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.3850
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.3850
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.3850
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.3750
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.3750
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.3650
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.3650
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.3650
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.3650
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.3650
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.3650
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.3050
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.3150
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.3150
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.3150
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.3150
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.3150
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.3150
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.3150
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.3150
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.3150
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.3200
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.3200
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.3250
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.3000
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.3000
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.2800
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2800
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.2850
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.2850
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.2850
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.2850
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.2850
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.2850
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.2850
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2850
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.2850
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2850
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.2800
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.2700
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.2800
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.2900
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.2800
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.2800
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.2900
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.2900
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.2950
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.2900
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.2900
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.3050
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.3050
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.3050
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.3050
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.3050
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.3050
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.3050
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.3050
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.3050
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.3050
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.3050
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.3050
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.3050
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.3050
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.3050
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No