Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527812
Question: Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 833893.106512
Price History:
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0365
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9700
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0265
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9700
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0305
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.9695
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0075
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9900
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0090
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.9805
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0200
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.9840
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0215
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9780
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0220
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9830
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0175
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9840
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0180
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9875
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9900
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9895
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0075
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0110
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9830
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0180
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 370045386.14, Sell volume: 44537827.61, Average price: 0.8293, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527812
Question: Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 833893.106512
Price History:
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9940
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0055
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9940
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9940
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0045
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.9940
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0075
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9915
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0065
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.9940
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0055
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.9940
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0065
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.9935
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.9905
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.9950
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.9930
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0070
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9660
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0060
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9940
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0155
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.9740
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0050
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 370045386.14, Sell volume: 44537827.61, Average price: 0.8293, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527812
Question: Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 833893.106512
Price History:
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0050
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9950
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.0100
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.9955
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.0045
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.9940
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0060
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.9940
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.0055
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.9945
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0050
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.9950
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0050
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.9950
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0050
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.9955
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0105
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.9895
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0070
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9930
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.0065
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.9925
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.0100
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.9915
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.0145
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.9870
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0075
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0130
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 370045386.14, Sell volume: 44537827.61, Average price: 0.8293, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527812
Question: Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 833893.106512
Price History:
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0070
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9895
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0105
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9865
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0120
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.9900
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0100
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9895
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0120
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.9900
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0100
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9900
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0095
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9895
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0105
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9900
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0100
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9900
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0095
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.9870
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0095
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9915
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.0080
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.9965
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9955
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0040
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.9960
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 370045386.14, Sell volume: 44537827.61, Average price: 0.8293, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527812
Question: Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 833893.106512
Price History:
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.9960
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.9960
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.9965
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.9960
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0055
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.9975
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0025
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9945
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0030
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.9960
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.9965
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.9965
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.9965
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0035
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.0035
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 370045386.14, Sell volume: 44537827.61, Average price: 0.8293, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527812
Question: Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 833893.106512
Price History:
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9965
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9965
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9970
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.0030
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.9965
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0035
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.9965
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0045
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.9960
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.0050
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.9960
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.0045
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.9965
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0030
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.9970
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0035
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.9970
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0030
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.0030
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.9955
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.9955
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.0040
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0035
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0050
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0045
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 370045386.14, Sell volume: 44537827.61, Average price: 0.8293, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527812
Question: Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 833893.106512
Price History:
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9960
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9955
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9955
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9955
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0045
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9955
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0045
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9955
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0045
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0045
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9955
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9955
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9990
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9945
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27972, Buy volume: 10702261.69, Sell volume: 1211227.56, Average price: 0.5716, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527812
Question: Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 833893.106512
Price History:
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 809190, Buy volume: 223060391.66, Sell volume: 35685718.56, Average price: 0.8534, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527812
Question: Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 833893.106512
Price History:
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 160839, Buy volume: 136281732.79, Sell volume: 7630891.49, Average price: 0.7630, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.7750
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.2000
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.8300
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.1450
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.8550
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.8550
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.8550
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.8550
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.1450
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.1450
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.8550
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.1100
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.8900
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.1100
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.8900
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.1200
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.8800
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.8900
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.1150
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.1100
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.8900
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.1200
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.8800
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.1200
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.8800
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.1150
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.8900
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.1100
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.8900
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.1100
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.8900
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.1100
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.1100
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.1100
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.8900
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.1100
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.8900
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.1100
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.8900
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.8900
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.1100
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.1100
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.8950
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.1050
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.1050
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136341141.56, Sell volume: 4666851.95, Average price: 0.6533, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.8950
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.8950
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.8950
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.1050
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.1050
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.8950
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.8950
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.1050
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.8950
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.1050
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.8950
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.1050
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.8950
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.1000
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.9000
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.1000
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9000
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.1000
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9000
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.1000
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.8950
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.8950
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.1050
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.8850
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.8850
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.8850
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.1150
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.1150
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.8850
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.8850
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.8850
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.1150
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.1150
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.8850
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.8850
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.8850
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.8850
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.8850
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.8750
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.1250
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136341141.56, Sell volume: 4666851.95, Average price: 0.6533, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.8800
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.1200
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.1200
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.8800
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.8800
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.8800
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.1200
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.8800
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.1200
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.8800
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.1200
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.8800
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.1200
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.1200
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.1200
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.1200
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.1200
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.1200
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.8800
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.1250
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.8750
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.8700
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.1850
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.1850
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.1850
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.1900
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.8100
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.1900
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.8100
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.1850
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.8150
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.8150
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.1800
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.8200
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.1800
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.8200
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.1850
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.8150
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.1750
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.1600
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.1600
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.8400
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.1550
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.8450
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.1550
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.8450
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.8450
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136341141.56, Sell volume: 4666851.95, Average price: 0.6533, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.1600
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.8400
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.1500
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.8450
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.1550
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.8450
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.1650
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.8450
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.1550
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.8450
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.1550
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.8450
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.1650
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.8350
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.1550
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.8450
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.1550
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.8450
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.8450
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.1550
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.1550
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.8450
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.8200
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.8200
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.1550
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.1550
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.1550
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.1550
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.1550
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.1550
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.1550
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136341141.56, Sell volume: 4666851.95, Average price: 0.6533, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.8550
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.8550
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.1450
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.8550
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.1450
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.8600
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.1400
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.1400
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.8600
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.8550
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.8550
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.1000
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.1100
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9300
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136341141.56, Sell volume: 4666851.95, Average price: 0.6533, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9100
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.1150
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.1100
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33966, Buy volume: 9307675.79, Sell volume: 684155.16, Average price: 0.4925, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0900
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.8900
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0900
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0900
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9100
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9990, Buy volume: 372642.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7607, Price range: 0.0934 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9100
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9100
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53946, Buy volume: 6203120.71, Sell volume: 1555842.60, Average price: 0.4617, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9300
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0600
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9550
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0450
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9450
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113886, Buy volume: 8311796.58, Sell volume: 212027.76, Average price: 0.6276, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0400
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0400
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9550
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0450
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0355
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9645
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9645
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0405
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0395
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9600
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9615
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9600
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0400
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0385
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0400
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9630
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0305
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9700
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0295
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9705
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0300
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9700
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0300
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9705
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0300
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9710
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9700
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0260
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9730
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0275
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9730
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0260
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9745
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0250
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9745
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0255
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9745
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0290
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9705
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9710
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9710
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0295
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0280
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9720
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0280
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9720
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0290
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9695
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 259740, Buy volume: 16688946.24, Sell volume: 702576.72, Average price: 0.7177, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9695
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0305
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9695
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0305
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9695
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0310
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9715
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0280
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9720
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0280
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9765
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0210
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9685
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0260
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9800
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0215
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9735
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0265
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9730
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0280
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9725
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9705
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0295
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9705
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9725
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0260
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9725
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0280
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9695
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9695
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9695
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0305
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0320
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9685
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0315
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9685
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0360
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9650
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0330
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9720
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0275
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9720
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0275
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9735
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9735
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0250
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9735
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 239760, Buy volume: 27438193.53, Sell volume: 756962.28, Average price: 0.7176, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0250
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9790
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0210
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0220
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0215
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9805
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0215
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9785
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0235
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9760
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0240
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9760
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0240
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9760
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0235
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9770
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0230
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9770
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0225
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0225
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9770
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0235
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9805
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0180
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9825
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0195
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9815
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0160
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9840
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0160
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9820
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0170
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9820
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0175
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9820
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0185
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9815
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0165
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9825
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0175
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9850
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0175
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9815
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0150
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9860
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0145
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9860
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0125
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 271845, Buy volume: 66994197.39, Sell volume: 598278.41, Average price: 0.5949, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9895
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9910
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9895
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0110
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9880
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9880
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9880
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9880
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9880
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0125
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9880
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0120
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9880
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9890
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9880
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9870
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0135
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9875
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0130
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9870
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0165
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9830
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0170
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9830
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0165
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9835
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0150
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9890
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0125
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0145
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9845
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0135
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9845
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0155
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9845
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0155
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9840
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0140
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9865
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0115
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9855
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0130
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 794, Buy volume: 384287.93, Sell volume: 67932.29, Average price: 0.7676, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.7750
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.1950
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.8550
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.8550
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.1450
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.1450
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.1450
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.8550
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.8900
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.8900
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.1200
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.1100
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.1150
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.1100
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.8800
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.1200
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.8850
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.1100
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.8900
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.1100
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.8900
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.1100
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.8900
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.1100
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.8900
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.1100
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.1100
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.1100
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.8950
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136341141.56, Sell volume: 4666851.95, Average price: 0.6533, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.8950
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.8950
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.8950
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.8950
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.8950
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.1050
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.8950
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.1050
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9000
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.1000
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9000
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.1000
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.8950
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.1050
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.1150
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.8850
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.8850
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.1150
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.8850
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.1150
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.8850
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.8850
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.8750
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.1250
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.8800
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136341141.56, Sell volume: 4666851.95, Average price: 0.6533, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.8800
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.8800
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.1200
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.8800
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.1200
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.8800
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.1200
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.8800
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.1200
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.1200
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.8800
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.1200
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.8750
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.8700
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.1850
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.1850
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.8100
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.1900
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.8100
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.1850
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.8150
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.8200
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.1800
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.8150
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.1750
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.8400
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.1550
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.8450
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.1550
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136341141.56, Sell volume: 4666851.95, Average price: 0.6533, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.1600
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.8400
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.1550
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.8450
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.1550
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.8450
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.1550
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.8350
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.1650
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.8450
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.1550
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.1550
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.1550
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.8450
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.1800
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.1550
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.1550
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136341141.56, Sell volume: 4666851.95, Average price: 0.6533, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.1450
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.8550
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.8550
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.1400
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.1400
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.1450
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.1450
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.8900
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136341141.56, Sell volume: 4666851.95, Average price: 0.6533, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0900
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.8850
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.1100
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33966, Buy volume: 9307675.79, Sell volume: 684155.16, Average price: 0.4925, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.8900
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9100
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9100
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9990, Buy volume: 372642.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7607, Price range: 0.0934 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0900
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53946, Buy volume: 6203120.71, Sell volume: 1555842.60, Average price: 0.4617, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0600
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0450
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9550
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113886, Buy volume: 8311796.58, Sell volume: 212027.76, Average price: 0.6276, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0400
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0450
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9640
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9645
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9595
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9605
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9615
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9605
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0415
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0400
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9695
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0300
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9705
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0290
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0300
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0300
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0300
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9740
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0275
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9720
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9745
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9745
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0255
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9710
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9710
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9710
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9720
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0280
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9710
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 259740, Buy volume: 16688946.24, Sell volume: 702576.72, Average price: 0.7177, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9695
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0305
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9695
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0310
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9720
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0280
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9765
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0315
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9805
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0215
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9735
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0270
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9725
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9705
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9720
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0260
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9720
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0305
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9695
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0320
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0315
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9685
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0350
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9670
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0275
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9720
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9735
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0265
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 239760, Buy volume: 27438193.53, Sell volume: 756962.28, Average price: 0.7176, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0250
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0150
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0215
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9805
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0215
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9765
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0240
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9760
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0240
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9770
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0230
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0225
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9760
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0195
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9825
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0185
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9840
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0160
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9835
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0180
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9820
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0185
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9835
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0175
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9855
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0175
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9860
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0140
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 271845, Buy volume: 66994197.39, Sell volume: 598278.41, Average price: 0.5949, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601710
Question: Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
Volume: 868492.827289
Price History:
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0105
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9890
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9880
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9880
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0125
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9880
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0120
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9880
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9875
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0125
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9870
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0170
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9830
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0165
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9835
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0130
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0155
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9865
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0155
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9845
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0160
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9865
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0145
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 794, Buy volume: 384287.93, Sell volume: 67932.29, Average price: 0.7676, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.7500
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0950
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0550
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.9450
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9450
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0550
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9450
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0500
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.9550
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9500
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9350
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9500
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9600
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0400
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.9600
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9600
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9600
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9600
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0400
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.0400
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0400
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9600
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9600
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9600
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9600
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0400
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9600
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0400
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9600
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0450
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9450
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9450
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9450
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0500
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0500
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0500
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9500
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0500
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9500
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9500
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9550
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9550
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0450
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0500
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0500
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9500
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0500
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9550
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0450
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 870.71, Sell volume: 646.71, Average price: 0.5466, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0450
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9550
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0400
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9600
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0400
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9600
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9600
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0400
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9600
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9600
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9600
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0400
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9500
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0450
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.9550
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.0450
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9550
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9550
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0500
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0500
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.0500
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0500
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0500
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.9500
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9500
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.9500
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.0500
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0500
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.9500
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0500
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.0500
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0500
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0500
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9500
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0500
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0500
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0500
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9500
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0500
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9500
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0500
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0500
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.0450
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9550
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0400
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9600
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0355
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0355
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9645
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 410.20, Sell volume: 189.06, Average price: 0.7107, Price range: 0.0355 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.9645
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0355
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0355
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9645
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9645
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9645
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0355
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.9595
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0450
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9550
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0415
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9585
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0415
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0415
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0415
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0415
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0415
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9585
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9590
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.0410
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0410
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0410
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0410
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.9590
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9590
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9590
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9590
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.9590
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.0490
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9510
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0490
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9510
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0490
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0490
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9510
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0490
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9510
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0490
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9510
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.0495
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9505
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9500
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9500
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0500
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9500
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9500
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9500
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0490
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0495
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 3.12, Sell volume: 112.24, Average price: 0.9576, Price range: 0.9504 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9505
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9505
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0495
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9460
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9465
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9450
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9450
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9450
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9425
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9425
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0575
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9425
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0575
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9430
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9430
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0570
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0600
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0600
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9395
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0605
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0605
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0605
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0605
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0620
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9380
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9380
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9380
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0615
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9385
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0615
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9385
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9385
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9385
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0610
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9390
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0610
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9390
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0495
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9505
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0495
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9550
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0450
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9500
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0500
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9500
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0500
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9500
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0500
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9500
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2397.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5041, Price range: 0.0593 - 0.9490

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.9485
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0515
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9535
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0465
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9535
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0465
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9525
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0470
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0470
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0470
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9530
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0410
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0410
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.0400
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.9610
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0390
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0395
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0395
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9605
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0395
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9615
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0385
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0385
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0385
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9615
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0385
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9615
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9615
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9615
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0340
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9660
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0340
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9660
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0340
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9660
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0340
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9660
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0340
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9660
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0340
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9660
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0340
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9660
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.0340
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.0340
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9660
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0330
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9670
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0330
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 874.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7858, Price range: 0.0630 - 0.9690

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0260
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9740
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0260
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9740
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0260
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9740
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0260
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9740
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0260
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9740
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9740
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0260
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0260
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.0260
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0255
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0255
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0185
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.0185
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.0150
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9850
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9850
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9850
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9850
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9550
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9545
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0430
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9565
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0420
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0395
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0335
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0320
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9665
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0325
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9670
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0275
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9725
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0310
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0305
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 16444.11, Sell volume: 4.38, Average price: 0.5522, Price range: 0.0198 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9710
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0315
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0305
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9690
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0310
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0310
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9680
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9730
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9735
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9720
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0305
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0255
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9730
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9680
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0320
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9670
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9675
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9675
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9695
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9685
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0310
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9685
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0315
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0325
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0315
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9680
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0285
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9715
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9720
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9715
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0275
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9730
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0270
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9730
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9730
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9725
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0280
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0370
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0370
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9520
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0460
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0475
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0475
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0370
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9535
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9525
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 484.08, Sell volume: 1385.37, Average price: 0.9704, Price range: 0.9592 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9530
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9525
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9635
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9640
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0365
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0365
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0390
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0395
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9605
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.9605
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9615
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0385
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9615
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0385
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9615
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0385
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0385
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.0385
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0365
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9635
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0360
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9630
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.9620
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9620
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0380
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.9615
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0390
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9615
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0385
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0385
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9615
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9615
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0305
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0305
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.9695
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0305
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9695
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.0305
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9695
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9695
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9620
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0380
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9685
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0315
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9685
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0315
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.9685
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0315
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9685
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.0315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1456.01, Sell volume: 59.72, Average price: 0.8690, Price range: 0.0459 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0315
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9755
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9750
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.9760
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0245
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9760
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9760
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0245
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9755
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9755
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9755
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9755
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0245
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9755
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9755
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9765
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9775
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0230
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9835
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9835
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0165
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9835
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9795
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0165
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9800
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0210
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9790
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0215
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9855
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9855
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0145
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9855
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0200
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9830
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0170
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9845
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0155
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9845
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0155
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0165
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0165
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9835
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0165
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9835
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0165
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0165
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9835
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.0165
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9835
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 5076.20, Sell volume: 1999.33, Average price: 0.8997, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0135
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0135
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9865
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0135
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0135
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9865
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9865
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0135
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9865
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9865
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0135
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9930
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9850
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9915
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9915
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9910
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9910
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9910
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0090
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0090
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0090
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0090
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0090
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0090
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0090
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9910
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0090
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9910
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9910
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9590
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0385
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0335
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9630
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0375
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9630
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0355
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 7575.44, Sell volume: 3441.18, Average price: 0.6861, Price range: 0.0048 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9870
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0165
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0145
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0140
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9870
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9835
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0150
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9845
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9840
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0170
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0145
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9880
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0165
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0170
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0135
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0130
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9855
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0145
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9855
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9640
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0175
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9815
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9780
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0155
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9840
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9840
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0235
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9800
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0185
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9785
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0215
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9775
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9865
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0360
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9650
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0440
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9560
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0445
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9615
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0300
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9745
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0220
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9780
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0215
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 16061.85, Sell volume: 578.87, Average price: 0.5475, Price range: 0.0108 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0195
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9805
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0160
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9845
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0125
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0090
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9910
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0090
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9910
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0080
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9920
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0080
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9920
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9920
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0080
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9920
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0080
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9920
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0080
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9920
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0080
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0080
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0075
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9925
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0080
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9920
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0085
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9920
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9925
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0075
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9890
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0110
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9890
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0110
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 21330.80, Sell volume: 1086.39, Average price: 0.5746, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0110
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9900
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9910
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0125
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9880
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9910
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9910
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0105
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9920
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9935
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0125
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0125
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9920
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0105
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9905
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0100
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9895
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0110
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9895
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0070
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9930
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0080
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0080
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0070
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 85859.96, Sell volume: 1874.94, Average price: 0.6232, Price range: 0.0059 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.7500
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.0650
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0550
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0550
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9500
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0450
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9350
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0400
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.9600
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9600
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0400
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9600
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0400
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9600
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0400
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0400
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9600
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0400
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9450
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0550
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9500
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0500
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9500
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0500
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9550
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9550
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0500
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9500
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0450
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 870.71, Sell volume: 646.71, Average price: 0.5466, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0450
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9600
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0400
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9600
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9600
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0400
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9600
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0500
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9550
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.0450
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.0450
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9500
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.0500
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.0500
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0500
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.9500
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9500
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0500
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.0500
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0500
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9500
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0500
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0500
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9500
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0500
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0500
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.0450
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9600
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9645
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 410.20, Sell volume: 189.06, Average price: 0.7107, Price range: 0.0355 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.9645
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.0355
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0355
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9645
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.0405
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9550
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0415
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9585
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0415
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0415
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0415
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0410
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0410
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0410
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9590
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9590
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0410
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.9510
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0490
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0490
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0490
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0490
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9510
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0490
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9505
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0500
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9500
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9500
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9510
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 3.12, Sell volume: 112.24, Average price: 0.9576, Price range: 0.9504 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9505
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9505
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.0535
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9450
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0550
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0575
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0575
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9425
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0570
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0570
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9400
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0605
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0605
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0605
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0620
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9380
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9385
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0615
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9385
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.9385
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9390
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0610
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9505
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0495
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9550
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0500
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9500
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0500
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9500
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2397.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5041, Price range: 0.0593 - 0.9490
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.9485
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0515
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9530
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0465
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9530
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9530
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9530
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.9590
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9600
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0390
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9605
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0395
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9615
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0385
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0385
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0385
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0385
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0385
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9660
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0340
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9660
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0340
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9660
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0340
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9660
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0340
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9660
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9660
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0330
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 874.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7858, Price range: 0.0630 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0260
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9740
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0260
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9740
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0260
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9740
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9740
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0260
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9745
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0255
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9815
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9850
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0150
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.9550
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9545
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0435
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9580
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0335
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0335
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9660
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0275
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9690
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 16444.11, Sell volume: 4.38, Average price: 0.5522, Price range: 0.0198 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9710
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9695
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0310
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0310
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9690
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9730
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0280
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9705
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9730
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9680
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0330
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9675
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0310
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0330
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0315
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9685
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0320
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9715
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0275
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9725
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0270
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0270
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0275
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0370
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0370
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0475
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0475
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0465
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 484.08, Sell volume: 1385.37, Average price: 0.9704, Price range: 0.9592 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9530
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0475
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9625
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0365
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9605
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0395
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9615
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0385
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9615
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0385
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9615
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9635
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0360
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.9620
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0380
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.9615
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0385
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9615
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9615
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9615
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9695
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0305
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9695
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0305
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9620
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0375
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.9685
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0315
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9685
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1456.01, Sell volume: 59.72, Average price: 0.8690, Price range: 0.0459 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0315
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.9750
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0240
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9760
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9755
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0245
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9755
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9755
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0245
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9765
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9770
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0165
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0165
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0165
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9795
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0210
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9785
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0145
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0145
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9795
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0170
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9845
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0155
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9845
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0165
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9835
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0165
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0165
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9835
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 5076.20, Sell volume: 1999.33, Average price: 0.8997, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0135
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0135
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9865
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9865
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9865
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0135
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0135
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0085
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0115
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0085
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9910
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0090
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0090
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0090
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9910
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0090
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9910
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0090
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9910
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9875
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0340
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9630
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0370
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 7575.44, Sell volume: 3441.18, Average price: 0.6861, Price range: 0.0048 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9870
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0170
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0105
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9835
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0155
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0160
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0145
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0170
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9865
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9870
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0145
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9855
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9780
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0160
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0160
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9810
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0215
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9775
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0135
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9640
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0440
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9565
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0405
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9745
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0220
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 16061.85, Sell volume: 578.87, Average price: 0.5475, Price range: 0.0108 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0195
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9815
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0155
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0090
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9910
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0080
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9920
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0080
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9920
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0080
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9920
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0080
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9920
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0075
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9930
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9925
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0075
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9920
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0085
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9890
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0110
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 21330.80, Sell volume: 1086.39, Average price: 0.5746, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 601711
Question: Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
Volume: 264171.197699
Price History:
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0110
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9900
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9910
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0120
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9920
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9910
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0090
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0080
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9930
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0125
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9880
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0080
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9905
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0105
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9890
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9915
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9930
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0080
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 85859.96, Sell volume: 1874.94, Average price: 0.6232, Price range: 0.0059 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601712
Question: Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409366.047575
Price History:
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.2500
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.9000
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0450
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0650
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9350
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0650
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9350
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0350
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9640
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0395
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0405
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9500
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9595
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.9610
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0390
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0340
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0340
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9660
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.9660
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9675
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0325
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9675
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0330
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9660
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0340
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0345
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0340
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0345
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0355
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0340
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9660
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9660
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9675
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0245
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0245
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0245
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0245
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0245
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9755
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9740
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9740
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0215
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9795
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0215
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9785
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0215
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9785
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0210
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 3990.31, Sell volume: 557.99, Average price: 0.3616, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9790

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601712
Question: Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409366.047575
Price History:
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0210
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.0200
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0200
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9790
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0200
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9800
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.0190
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9790
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9790
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0205
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9805
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0195
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0285
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0240
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0250
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.0240
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0225
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.0295
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9665
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.9705
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9705
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0315
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0375
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.9725
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9705
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.9645
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.0310
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0380
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.9620
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9630
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.0380
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0310
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0390
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9630
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0375
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0305
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0390
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9590
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0405
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9635
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0305
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9670
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.0375
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9610
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0125
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9885
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0120
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9880
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0120
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1202.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4141, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601712
Question: Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409366.047575
Price History:
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.0120
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0120
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9880
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9880
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9880
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9880
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9880
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.0125
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9890
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9880
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9885
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0115
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0115
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9885
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9885
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0115
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0115
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0115
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9890
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.0115
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0120
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0120
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0235
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0235
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0250
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9755
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9765
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0235
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.0235
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9775
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0235
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9780
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0235
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9755
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0230
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9775
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0235
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9760
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0245
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.0250
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0335
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9710
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9725
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.9720
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9735
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9730
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0265
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9745
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0265
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 2131.47, Sell volume: 2415.85, Average price: 0.1209, Price range: 0.0067 - 0.9810

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601712
Question: Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409366.047575
Price History:
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9730
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0265
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9745
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0265
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9740
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.0250
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9740
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9745
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0250
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.9750
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0250
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9750
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0205
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9795
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9795
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0215
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0255
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9745
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0255
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9745
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0260
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0255
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9740
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9690
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9690
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9680
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0310
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0320
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0320
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9685
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0315
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0310
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9690
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9695
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0315
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9690
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9690
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9690
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9760
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0235
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9700
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0300
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9700
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0300
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9700
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0225
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9770
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4234.29, Sell volume: 641.37, Average price: 0.0308, Price range: 0.0151 - 0.0465

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601712
Question: Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409366.047575
Price History:
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.9760
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0195
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9805
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0205
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9805
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9810
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0195
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9815
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9795
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0210
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9795
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0280
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9720
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0280
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9730
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0270
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9735
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0405
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9595
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9595
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.9595
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9595
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9595
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0405
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0250
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9740
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0200
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9800
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0200
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0200
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0200
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9800
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.9800
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9810
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9805
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9805
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9810
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0190
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0190
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9810
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.9810
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.0195
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0190
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9810
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0195
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0195
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 307.96, Sell volume: 70.77, Average price: 0.5966, Price range: 0.0338 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601712
Question: Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409366.047575
Price History:
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0195
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9805
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0195
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9805
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0195
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9805
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0195
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9805
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0195
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9805
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0190
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9810
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0195
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.9810
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0180
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9820
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0170
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9830
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0155
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.9830
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0170
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9835
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0170
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0170
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0150
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9850
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0150
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9850
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9860
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9845
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9845
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9845
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9825
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9825
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0170
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9830
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0170
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9830
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0150
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0150
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9850
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0150
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9850
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0150
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9850
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0150
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0155
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 6509.42, Sell volume: 113.00, Average price: 0.7104, Price range: 0.0203 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601712
Question: Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409366.047575
Price History:
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0170
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9825
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9850
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9840
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0160
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0160
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9840
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0160
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9840
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0160
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9840
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9840
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9840
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0160
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0160
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0160
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0160
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0180
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9825
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0180
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9820
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0175
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0180
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0180
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9820
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9820
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0175
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9825
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9830
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0180
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0180
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0170
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9805
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9810
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 316.90, Sell volume: 214.48, Average price: 0.9191, Price range: 0.0217 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601712
Question: Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409366.047575
Price History:
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0190
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9810
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9820
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0180
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0175
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9830
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9825
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9815
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0190
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0200
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9795
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9810
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9810
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0190
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9810
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0195
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9800
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.0200
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9800
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9810
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9800
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9805
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.9810
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9800
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0195
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.9800
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9810
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9805
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0190
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9810
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9810
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.0195
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0200
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0185
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0185
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0185
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0190
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9805
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0195
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9795
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0220
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0205
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0200
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9800
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9815
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9815
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.0195
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0200
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0185
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1329.15, Sell volume: 74.69, Average price: 0.6635, Price range: 0.0236 - 0.9876

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601712
Question: Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409366.047575
Price History:
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9805
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0200
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9800
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.0185
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9815
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9815
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9845
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0180
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0180
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9820
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9820
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0180
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9820
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0180
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0180
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9825
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0170
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9830
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0135
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9860
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0135
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0135
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9870
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9875
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9875
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0125
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0115
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9885
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0105
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9900
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0115
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0115
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0115
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9885
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9885
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0115
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0115
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0115
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9885
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9885
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0115
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9885
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9885
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.0140
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 864.39, Sell volume: 599.72, Average price: 0.8046, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9910

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601712
Question: Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 409366.047575
Price History:
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9850
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9850
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0150
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9850
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9850
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9850
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0150
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9850
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0150
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9850
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9850
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9850
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0100
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9900
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9910
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9925
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9925
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9925
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9925
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0065
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0080
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9920
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0080
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9930
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9900
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9895
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9910
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9895
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0100
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9910
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0095
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0090
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0095
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0095
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0095
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9910
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9900
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9880
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0105
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9895
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0105
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9900
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0105
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 7973.65, Sell volume: 4408.57, Average price: 0.4622, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: No