Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618024
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Volume: 654396.74352
Price History:
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.7800
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.7800
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.7750
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.7750
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.2200
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.2200
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.7800
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.7800
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.2250
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.2300
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.2250
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.2600
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.2850
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.2800
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.7400
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.2450
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.2800
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.2650
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.2550
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.7600
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.7600
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.2400
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.7600
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.7450
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.2550
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.7550
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 5824.01, Sell volume: 1275.95, Average price: 0.5706, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618024
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Volume: 654396.74352
Price History:
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.7400
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.7400
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.7400
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.7800
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.2100
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.7800
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.7800
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.7800
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.7800
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.2350
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.2200
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.7800
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.2250
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.7150
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.2950
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.3250
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.6450
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.6500
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.4050
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.3850
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.6050
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.3950
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.6150
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.4050
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.5950
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.4050
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.4850
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.5150
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 149, Buy volume: 28100.98, Sell volume: 8820.58, Average price: 0.4970, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618024
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Volume: 654396.74352
Price History:
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.5950
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.4650
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.5450
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.3750
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.6350
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.3750
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.6050
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.3900
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.6300
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.3750
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.6350
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.3900
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.5600
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.4300
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.5750
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.4300
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.5750
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.4250
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.4300
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.5650
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.4200
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.5550
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.4350
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.5950
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.4250
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.4250
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.5950
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 143, Buy volume: 18329.98, Sell volume: 9904.87, Average price: 0.4679, Price range: 0.3405 - 0.6793
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618024
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Volume: 654396.74352
Price History:
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.5650
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.4400
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.5600
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.4450
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.5550
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.4650
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.5450
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.4550
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.5450
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.4300
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.5800
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.4150
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.6000
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.4000
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.6000
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.4000
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.5750
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.3950
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.6350
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.3800
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.6200
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.3550
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.6300
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.3750
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.6750
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.3350
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.6800
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.3200
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.6750
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 12410.86, Sell volume: 8521.65, Average price: 0.4743, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6859
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618024
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Volume: 654396.74352
Price History:
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.6800
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.6900
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.6900
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.6900
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.7150
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.2850
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.7250
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.2650
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.7300
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.2700
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.7350
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.2650
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.7350
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.2650
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.7300
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.2700
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.7400
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.2600
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.2300
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.7550
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 6983.45, Sell volume: 1256.13, Average price: 0.4817, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618024
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Volume: 654396.74352
Price History:
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.2750
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.7250
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.2750
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.7250
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.7100
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.2850
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.7150
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.2800
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.7250
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.7200
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.2800
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.7200
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.2800
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.7200
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 14984.31, Sell volume: 8697.90, Average price: 0.5655, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618024
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Volume: 654396.74352
Price History:
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.7050
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.2950
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.7050
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.2950
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.7050
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.2900
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.2800
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.7200
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.2850
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.7500
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2500
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.7750
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.2400
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.7600
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.2400
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.7600
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.7450
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.1750
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.1800
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.1850
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.8250
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.1550
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.8500
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.1500
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 169, Buy volume: 53967.37, Sell volume: 37011.39, Average price: 0.6008, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618024
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Volume: 654396.74352
Price History:
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1500
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8500
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.1500
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8500
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.1450
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.8650
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.1350
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.8500
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.1550
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.8450
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.1550
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.8400
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1600
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.8450
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1550
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.1600
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.1600
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.8400
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.8350
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.1650
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.8350
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 8694.61, Sell volume: 7765.75, Average price: 0.5812, Price range: 0.1111 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618024
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Volume: 654396.74352
Price History:
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.1650
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.8350
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.1650
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.8800
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.1200
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.8800
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.1200
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.8800
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.1150
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.8900
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9000
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9050
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0950
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.1000
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9000
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.1000
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9000
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 3698.70, Sell volume: 5380.94, Average price: 0.5546, Price range: 0.0686 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618024
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Volume: 654396.74352
Price History:
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9400
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9450
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0700
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9050
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.1250
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.8850
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0555
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9510
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0605
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0675
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9570
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0405
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9910
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 415, Buy volume: 270554.85, Sell volume: 99033.35, Average price: 0.5384, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.8600
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.8200
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.7900
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.7800
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.7850
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.7900
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.7900
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.7900
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.1900
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.8800
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9100
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.8800
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.1200
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.1200
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.1200
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.8800
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.1150
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.1150
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.1150
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.1150
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.1150
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.1150
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.1100
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.1100
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.1100
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.1150
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.1200
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9050
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.1000
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9000
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.1000
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 14364.22, Sell volume: 339.50, Average price: 0.4696, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9100
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0900
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9100
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0900
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.9100
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9100
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9100
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.9100
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9100
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0900
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0900
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9100
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0900
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9100
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0900
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0900
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0900
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0900
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0900
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9100
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9100
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0900
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9100
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9100
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 3093.69, Sell volume: 571.28, Average price: 0.4760, Price range: 0.0818 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0900
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0900
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0900
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 623.81, Sell volume: 523.78, Average price: 0.3568, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0600
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9400
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0900
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9100
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.9100
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0900
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9100
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9100
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9100
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9100
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9100
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9100
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 4128.68, Sell volume: 785.82, Average price: 0.5006, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9100
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9100
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9100
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9100
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9100
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0900
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0900
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9100
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9100
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9100
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0900
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9100
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9100
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0900
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.1000
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9550
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9600
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9300
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 6187.54, Sell volume: 3531.42, Average price: 0.6546, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9600
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9600
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9600
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9600
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9600
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9600
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9600
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9550
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9550
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9550
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9550
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9600
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9600
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9600
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9600
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9600
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9600
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9600
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9600
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9650
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9645
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9645
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9640
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9605
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9600
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9600
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9595
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9595
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9595
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9600
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9595
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9600
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9600
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1981.26, Sell volume: 1538.18, Average price: 0.8050, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9595
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9595
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9595
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9595
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9595
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9595
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9610
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9595
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9595
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9590
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9600
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9600
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9610
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9590
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9615
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9595
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9725
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9725
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9725
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9725
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9705
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9705
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9705
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9725
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9765
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9765
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9760
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9765
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9800
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9800
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9800
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9800
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9800
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9800
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9800
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9790
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9790
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9795
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9805
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9820
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9820
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9820
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9810
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9820
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9820
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1833.66, Sell volume: 1618.50, Average price: 0.7122, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9870

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9775
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9775
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9795
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9770
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9765
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9765
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9765
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9765
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9780
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9780
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9780
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9780
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9780
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9780
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9780
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9780
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9780
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9780
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9780
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9775
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9780
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9780
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9780
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9780
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9780
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9780
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9780
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9780
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9780
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9780
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9765
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9765
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9780
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9780
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9785
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9780
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9780
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9780
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9780
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9780
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9780
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9780
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9780
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9780
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9805
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9805
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9800
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 2404.31, Sell volume: 974.79, Average price: 0.9789, Price range: 0.9750 - 0.9847

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9800
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9800
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9790
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9795
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9795
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9795
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9795
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9795
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9795
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9795
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9795
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9790
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9790
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9790
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9790
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9790
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9790
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9790
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9780
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9780
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9780
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9780
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9785
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9780
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9780
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9780
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9780
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9770
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9775
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9775
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9780
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9780
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9780
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9780
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9780
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9780
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9780
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9780
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9780
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9780
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9785
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9785
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9785
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9780
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9780
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9780
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9780
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9780
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9780
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 4255.02, Sell volume: 320.90, Average price: 0.5963, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9810

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9770
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9770
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9775
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9780
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9785
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9780
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9780
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9780
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9780
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9780
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9780
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9780
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9780
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9780
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9780
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9780
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9785
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9790
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9790
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9790
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9790
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9830
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9835
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9835
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9835
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9835
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9835
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9835
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9840
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9840
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9865
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9860
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9860
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9860
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9860
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9860
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9860
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9860
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9860
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9860
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9865
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9865
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9865
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9865
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9860
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9860
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9860
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9860
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9860
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 6708.50, Sell volume: 1400.73, Average price: 0.9655, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9875
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9875
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9875
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9875
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9875
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9875
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9875
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9885
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9880
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9885
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9900
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9900
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9900
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9885
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9885
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9885
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9885
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9885
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9885
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9885
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9885
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9880
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2220.99, Sell volume: 311.32, Average price: 0.8747, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9880
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9880
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9880
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9850
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9845
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9850
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9845
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9840
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9845
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9845
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9840
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9840
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9840
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9840
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9840
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9840
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9845
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9845
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9850
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9815
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9800
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9805
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9790
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9795
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9795
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9795
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9810
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9815
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9810
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9810
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9805
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9780
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9775
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9805
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9820
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9815
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9805
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9795
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5513.61, Sell volume: 2216.70, Average price: 0.8205, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9930
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9915
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9920
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9925
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 383, Buy volume: 118669.89, Sell volume: 78357.16, Average price: 0.2017, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.8600
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.1800
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.7800
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.7900
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.1950
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.8500
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.1200
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.8800
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.8800
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.1200
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.8850
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.1150
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.8850
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.1150
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.8900
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.1200
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.1000
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 14364.22, Sell volume: 339.50, Average price: 0.4696, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9100
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9100
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.0900
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9100
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0900
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0900
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0900
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0900
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9100
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0900
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9100
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0900
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0900
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9100
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0900
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 3093.69, Sell volume: 571.28, Average price: 0.4760, Price range: 0.0818 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9100
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0900
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 623.81, Sell volume: 523.78, Average price: 0.3568, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9400
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9400
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.0900
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.0900
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9100
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9100
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9100
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9100
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 4128.68, Sell volume: 785.82, Average price: 0.5006, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9100
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9100
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9100
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9100
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9100
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0900
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9100
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0900
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.1000
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9600
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 6187.54, Sell volume: 3531.42, Average price: 0.6546, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9600
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9600
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0400
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9550
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9550
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0450
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9600
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0400
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9600
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0400
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9650
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0355
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9645
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0400
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9595
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0405
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9595
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0400
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9600
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1981.26, Sell volume: 1538.18, Average price: 0.8050, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9595
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0405
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9595
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0405
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9595
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0410
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9605
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0390
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9615
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0275
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9725
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0275
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9705
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0295
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9765
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0240
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9765
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0200
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9800
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0200
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9800
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0210
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9805
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0180
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9820
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0180
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9820
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1833.66, Sell volume: 1618.50, Average price: 0.7122, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0225
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9790
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0235
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9765
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0230
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9780
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0220
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9780
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0220
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9780
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0220
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9775
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0220
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9780
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0220
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9780
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0220
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9765
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0235
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9780
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0220
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9780
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0220
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9780
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0220
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9780
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0195
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9805
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 2404.31, Sell volume: 974.79, Average price: 0.9789, Price range: 0.9750 - 0.9847
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9800
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0200
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9795
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0205
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9795
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0205
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9795
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0210
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9790
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0210
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9780
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0220
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9780
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0215
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9780
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0220
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9775
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0225
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9780
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0220
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9780
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0220
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9780
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0215
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9785
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0220
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9780
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0220
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9780
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 4255.02, Sell volume: 320.90, Average price: 0.5963, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9770
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0230
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9780
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0220
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9780
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0220
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9780
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0220
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9780
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0220
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9790
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0210
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9830
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0165
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9835
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0165
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9840
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0150
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9860
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0140
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9860
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0140
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9860
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0135
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9865
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0135
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9860
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0140
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9860
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 6708.50, Sell volume: 1400.73, Average price: 0.9655, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9875
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0125
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9880
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9875
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0115
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0110
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0110
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0100
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0115
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9885
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0115
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9885
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0115
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0115
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0115
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9880
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0125
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0125
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2220.99, Sell volume: 311.32, Average price: 0.8747, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0120
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0120
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0120
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9880
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0120
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9850
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0155
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9845
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0155
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9840
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9840
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0160
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9845
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0180
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9805
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0210
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9795
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0190
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9815
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0190
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9780
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0190
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9815
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0195
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9800
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5513.61, Sell volume: 2216.70, Average price: 0.8205, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618026
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Volume: 274583.118055
Price History:
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9930
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9920
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 383, Buy volume: 118669.89, Sell volume: 78357.16, Average price: 0.2017, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.3700
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.3600
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.7050
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.7000
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.6000
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.5650
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.5300
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.3650
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.4700
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.5500
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.5500
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.5550
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.5800
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.5650
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.5650
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.5500
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.5500
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.5650
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.5700
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.4300
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.5700
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.5950
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.5900
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.3800
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.3950
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.5950
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.5950
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.5950
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.5950
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.5950
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.5950
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.5900
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.4100
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.4100
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.4100
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.5950
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.5950
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.4050
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.6300
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.3600
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.3550
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.6450
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 4876.50, Sell volume: 63.19, Average price: 0.5741, Price range: 0.3770 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.3600
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.3600
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.6400
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.6400
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.6400
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.3600
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.6400
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.6400
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.6450
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.6350
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.6350
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.3700
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.6300
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.5400
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4650
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.4650
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.4350
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.5450
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.5350
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.5350
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.4250
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.4300
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.5600
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.5700
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.5800
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.4050
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.4050
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.4050
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.4050
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.6000
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.5900
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.5700
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.5700
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.4350
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.4350
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.4350
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.4300
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.4600
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.4600
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.4600
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 6633.17, Sell volume: 506.46, Average price: 0.5027, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6049

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.5750
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.4200
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.5900
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.5900
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.5900
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.5900
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.5900
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.5950
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.4100
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.2200
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.2600
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.7300
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.2600
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.7650
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.2550
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.7600
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.2300
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.7900
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.2150
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.7850
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.8050
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.1800
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.1800
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.8150
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.8150
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.8100
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.8050
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.8050
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.8200
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.2100
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.7900
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.7500
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.7200
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.3200
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.3000
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.3050
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.6950
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.3100
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.6850
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.6850
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.3250
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.6700
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.6600
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.3550
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.3650
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 5306.84, Sell volume: 228.34, Average price: 0.4405, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.6500
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.6800
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.6800
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.7350
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.2650
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.7150
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.2850
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.7150
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.7150
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.6650
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.6950
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.7100
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.7200
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.7200
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.7200
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.2800
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.2800
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.2750
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.7250
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.7250
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.3200
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.4450
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.5500
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.6300
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.3550
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.6400
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.6700
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.3350
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.6700
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.3350
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.3350
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.3350
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.6650
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.3300
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.6700
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.3450
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.3200
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.6850
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.3150
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.3150
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.3200
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.3200
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.3350
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.6600
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.6650
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 5369.70, Sell volume: 4707.87, Average price: 0.4897, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.6100
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.6150
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.6150
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.3850
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.6150
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.3900
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.3900
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.3900
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.3900
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.3900
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.3550
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.3450
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.3150
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.3250
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.3250
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.3250
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.3300
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.3150
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.3150
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.3250
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.3200
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.3250
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.3250
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.3250
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.3100
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.3050
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.6950
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.3050
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.3050
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.3000
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.7000
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.3000
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.2450
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.7450
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.7800
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.7800
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.2050
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.1650
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.1650
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.1650
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.1650
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 10313.88, Sell volume: 1115.09, Average price: 0.5036, Price range: 0.1151 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.1300
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.1000
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.1000
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.1350
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.1550
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.1650
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.1650
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.1450
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.1600
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.1650
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.1650
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.1650
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.1500
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.1250
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.1250
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.1350
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.1150
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.1150
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.1150
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.1150
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.1450
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.1550
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.1550
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.1550
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.1550
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.1500
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.1450
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.1450
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.1450
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.1250
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.1250
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.1250
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.1250
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.1250
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.1250
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.1250
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.1350
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.1350
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.1350
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.1350
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.1300
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.1300
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.1250
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 6834.72, Sell volume: 2547.93, Average price: 0.5822, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.1550
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.1550
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.1550
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.1550
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.1550
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.1550
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.1550
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.1550
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.1550
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.1550
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.1550
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.1500
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.1450
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.1500
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.1450
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.1450
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.1450
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.1500
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.1500
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.1150
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.1150
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.1150
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.1250
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.1200
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.1200
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0900
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0900
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 3659.42, Sell volume: 3927.13, Average price: 0.6109, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0700
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0600
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0600
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0550
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0550
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0550
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0550
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0550
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 9124.58, Sell volume: 2639.88, Average price: 0.5820, Price range: 0.0581 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0700
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0700
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0295
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0295
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0295
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0300
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0295
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0300
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0545
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0480
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0475
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0475
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0425
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0420
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0415
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 7157.04, Sell volume: 3244.50, Average price: 0.2831, Price range: 0.0237 - 0.9738

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0635
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0645
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0670
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0655
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0655
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0655
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0655
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0510
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0510
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0540
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0145
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0375
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0330
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0330
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0365
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0370
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0375
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0375
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0380
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0380
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0385
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0515
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0505
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0620
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0620
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0365
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0415
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0320
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0325
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0395
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0410
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0430
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0430
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0325
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0310
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0330
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0285
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0295
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5091.00, Sell volume: 1905.94, Average price: 0.4569, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0325
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0305
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0275
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0310
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0300
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0335
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0300
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0345
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0345
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0340
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0265
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0265
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0270
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0315
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0315
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0320
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0315
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0305
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0305
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0310
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0310
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0310
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0330
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0340
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0405
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0405
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0405
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0405
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0405
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0405
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0395
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0395
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0395
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0395
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0395
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0395
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0395
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0395
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0500
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0495
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0425
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0425
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0425
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0395
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0395
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0395
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0395
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0395
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0385
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1923.19, Sell volume: 949.92, Average price: 0.4662, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9760

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0360
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0360
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0360
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0420
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0420
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0420
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0375
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0365
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0365
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0365
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0365
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0365
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0320
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0325
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0325
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0325
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0325
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0325
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0325
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0325
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0325
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0325
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0325
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0320
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0320
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0325
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0325
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0325
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0325
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0325
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0325
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0325
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0325
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0325
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0325
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0325
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0325
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0325
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0325
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0260
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0260
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0280
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0280
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0280
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0280
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0280
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0285
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0285
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0285
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 990.04, Sell volume: 1281.69, Average price: 0.7229, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0135
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0120
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0115
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0105
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0125
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0125
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0125
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0120
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0125
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0140
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0150
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0135
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0120
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0165
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0165
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0175
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0175
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0165
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0165
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0165
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0165
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0125
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0125
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0125
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0145
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0310
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 220, Buy volume: 117033.37, Sell volume: 34444.62, Average price: 0.5918, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3600
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.4550
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.4350
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.3650
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.5250
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.5500
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.4200
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.5650
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.4500
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.5700
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.5700
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.5950
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.4050
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.5950
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.4050
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.5950
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.4050
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.5900
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.5900
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.5950
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.4050
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.6400
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.6450
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.3700
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 4876.50, Sell volume: 63.19, Average price: 0.5741, Price range: 0.3770 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.3600
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.3600
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.3600
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.6400
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.6400
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.3550
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.6300
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.3700
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.4800
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.5350
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5350
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.4550
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.5250
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.4650
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.4300
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.5800
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.4150
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.4050
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.5950
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.5900
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.4300
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.4350
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.5700
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.4600
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.5400
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.4600
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 6633.17, Sell volume: 506.46, Average price: 0.5027, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6049
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.5750
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.4150
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.5900
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.4100
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.5950
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.6550
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.7400
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.7400
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.2550
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.7500
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.2150
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.1800
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.1900
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.8050
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.1900
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.8100
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.7200
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.2950
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.3050
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.6850
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.3150
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.3550
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.6450
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.6300
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 5306.84, Sell volume: 228.34, Average price: 0.4405, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.6500
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.6800
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.7350
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.2850
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.2850
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.2850
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.3350
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.7100
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.7200
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.7200
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.7200
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.7250
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.7250
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.4950
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.3700
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.3550
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.3300
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.3400
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.6650
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.3350
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.3300
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.6700
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.6800
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.3150
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.6850
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.6800
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.3400
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.6550
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 5369.70, Sell volume: 4707.87, Average price: 0.4897, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.6100
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.3850
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.6050
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.6100
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.3900
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.6100
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.3500
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.6850
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.3250
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.6750
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.3200
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.6750
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.3250
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.6750
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.3100
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.3050
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.3050
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.3000
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.7000
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.2550
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.7800
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.7850
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.7900
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.1650
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.8350
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 10313.88, Sell volume: 1115.09, Average price: 0.5036, Price range: 0.1151 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.1300
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.1200
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.8350
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.1450
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.8250
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.1650
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.8500
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.1250
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.8700
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.1150
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.8850
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.1450
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.8450
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.1550
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.8500
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.1450
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.8750
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.1250
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.8750
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.1250
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.8700
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.1350
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.8650
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.1350
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.8700
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.1250
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 6834.72, Sell volume: 2547.93, Average price: 0.5822, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.8650
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.8450
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.1550
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.8450
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.1550
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.8450
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.1550
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.8500
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.1500
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.8550
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.1450
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.8500
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.1150
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.8850
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.1200
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.8800
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 3659.42, Sell volume: 3927.13, Average price: 0.6109, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9300
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0600
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9400
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9450
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9500
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9500
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 9124.58, Sell volume: 2639.88, Average price: 0.5820, Price range: 0.0581 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9300
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9300
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9300
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0700
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9400
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9705
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0295
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9705
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0535
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9520
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0475
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9530
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0495
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9580
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0415
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 7157.04, Sell volume: 3244.50, Average price: 0.2831, Price range: 0.0237 - 0.9738
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0635
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0655
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0655
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9345
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0505
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9490
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0145
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9650
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0375
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9630
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0375
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9620
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0390
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9495
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0620
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9685
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0320
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9605
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0430
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9615
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0385
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9715
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0325
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5091.00, Sell volume: 1905.94, Average price: 0.4569, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0325
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9680
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0280
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9665
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0345
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9655
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0265
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9730
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0315
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9680
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0305
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9690
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0310
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9670
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0405
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9595
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0405
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9595
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0395
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9605
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0395
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9605
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0495
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9575
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0425
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9605
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0395
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9605
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0375
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1923.19, Sell volume: 949.92, Average price: 0.4662, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9760
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0360
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9640
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0420
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9580
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0365
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9635
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0365
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9680
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0325
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9675
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0320
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9675
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0325
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9675
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0325
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9675
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0325
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9675
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0325
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9675
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0325
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9675
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0325
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9740
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0280
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9720
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0280
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9715
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.0270
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 990.04, Sell volume: 1281.69, Average price: 0.7229, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618025
Question: Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 242332.164864
Price History:
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0135
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9895
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0130
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9875
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0120
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9870
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0145
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9880
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0165
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9820
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0165
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9835
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9875
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9875
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0095
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 220, Buy volume: 117033.37, Sell volume: 34444.62, Average price: 0.5918, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.4550
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.4200
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.2500
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.2250
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.1800
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.2300
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.2300
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.2800
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.3200
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.3950
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.3300
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.3550
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.2950
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.3050
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.3050
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.3000
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.2950
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.2950
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.2750
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.2750
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.2750
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.2600
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.2700
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.2350
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.1600
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.1650
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.1750
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.1950
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.1850
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.1850
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.1850
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.1800
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.1850
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.1850
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.1750
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.1850
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.1800
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.1850
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.1750
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.1850
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.1850
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.1900
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.1900
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.1900
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.1900
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.1950
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.1950
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.2000
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.2150
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55320047.62, Sell volume: 37735292.55, Average price: 0.7294, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.2350
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.2350
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.2400
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.2400
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.2400
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.2500
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.2600
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.2800
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.2750
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.2550
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.2550
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.2550
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.4750
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.4350
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.4250
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.4100
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.4050
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.4100
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.3950
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.3650
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.3750
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.3550
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.3450
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.3300
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.3250
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.3200
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.3300
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.3700
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.3950
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.4100
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.4150
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.4000
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.4000
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.4000
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.3900
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.3750
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.3600
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.3700
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.3950
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.4000
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.4000
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.4350
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.4850
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.5300
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.4650
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.4600
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55320047.62, Sell volume: 37735292.55, Average price: 0.7294, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.4400
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.4400
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.4250
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.4250
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.4550
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.4350
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.4150
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.4050
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.4050
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.4200
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.4050
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.4050
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.4050
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.3800
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.3750
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.3000
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.2500
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.2650
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.2650
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.2650
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.2650
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.2550
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.2250
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.2850
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.2550
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.2650
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.2650
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.2650
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.2700
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.2750
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.2800
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.2700
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.2800
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.2700
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.3000
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.2900
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.2850
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.2750
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.2700
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.2700
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.2700
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.2700
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.2550
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.2550
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.2550
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.2550
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.2500
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.2500
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.2500
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55320047.62, Sell volume: 37735292.55, Average price: 0.7294, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.2500
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.2200
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.1750
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.1350
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.1450
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.1450
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.1550
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.1500
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.1500
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.1500
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.1500
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.1500
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.1500
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.1500
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.1550
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.1550
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.1400
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.1400
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.1550
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.1550
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.1550
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.1550
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.1550
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.1750
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.1650
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.1650
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.1650
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.1650
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.1650
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.1550
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.1550
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.1500
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.1500
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.1500
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.1700
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.1650
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.1650
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.1800
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.1750
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.1650
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.1700
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.1800
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.1800
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.1950
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.2050
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.2100
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.1950
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.1800
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.1950
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55320047.62, Sell volume: 37735292.55, Average price: 0.7294, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.1550
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.1650
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.1650
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.1800
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.1800
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.1800
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.1800
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.1800
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.2200
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.2050
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.2150
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.2150
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.2000
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.2000
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.1950
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.1850
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.1850
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.1850
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.1850
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.1850
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.1800
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.1800
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.1750
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.1750
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.1750
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.1700
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.1700
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.1650
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.1650
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.1650
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.1450
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.1450
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.1350
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.1100
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.1150
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.1100
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.1200
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.1200
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.1400
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.1400
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.1450
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.1450
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55320047.62, Sell volume: 37735292.55, Average price: 0.7294, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.1400
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.1400
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.1200
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.1250
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.1200
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.1200
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.1200
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.1250
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.1300
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.1250
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.1250
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.1250
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.1250
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.1250
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.1150
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.1150
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.1150
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.1150
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0850
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.0950
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0950
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0950
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0900
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0900
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.1000
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0950
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.0950
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0950
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0950
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.1050
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.1050
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.1050
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.1050
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0800
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0800
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.0750
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0750
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0750
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.0800
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.0800
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0850
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0950
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.1000
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.0950
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0750
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.0750
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0650
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0600
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.0550
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55320047.62, Sell volume: 37735292.55, Average price: 0.7294, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0650
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0650
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0650
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0650
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0650
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0650
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0650
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0650
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.0700
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0650
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0700
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0850
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0800
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0850
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0850
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0850
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.0850
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0850
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0900
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0850
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0850
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0850
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.0850
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.0900
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0900
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0800
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.0700
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.0750
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0750
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0750
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0750
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.0750
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0750
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.0650
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0500
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0500
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0500
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0500
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0500
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0500
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0550
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0550
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0550
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0550
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0550
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0550
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.0550
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0550
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0550
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55320047.62, Sell volume: 37735292.55, Average price: 0.7294, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.0500
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.1950
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0750
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0850
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.1350
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.1350
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.1550
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.1450
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.1200
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.1050
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.1050
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.0850
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0800
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0800
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.0750
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.0700
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.0700
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0700
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.0650
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.0650
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0650
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0650
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0650
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0750
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0650
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.0750
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0750
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0600
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0650
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0750
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0600
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0600
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0600
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0600
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0600
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0650
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0550
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55320047.62, Sell volume: 37735292.55, Average price: 0.7294, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0450
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.0450
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.0450
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.0450
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0450
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0450
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0450
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0450
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0450
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0450
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0350
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0450
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0435
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0440
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0450
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0390
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0390
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0405
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0340
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0400
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0360
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0355
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0375
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0385
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0405
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0505
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0790
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0750
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0700
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0685
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0685
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0690
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0670
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0695
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.0625
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0625
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0370
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.0355
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0370
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0380
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0375
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0390
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0390
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0385
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0390
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0370
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0370
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0395
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55320047.62, Sell volume: 37735292.55, Average price: 0.7294, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0350
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0350
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0350
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.0420
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0365
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0355
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0360
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0350
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0355
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0355
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0355
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.0360
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0360
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0430
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0380
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0230
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0235
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0265
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0240
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0260
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0350
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0430
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0435
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0430
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0410
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0445
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0420
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0395
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0260
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0250
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0225
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0225
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0240
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0225
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0235
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0245
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0240
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0245
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0250
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0280
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0270
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0340
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0285
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0255
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0255
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0230
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0280
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0280
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55320047.62, Sell volume: 37735292.55, Average price: 0.7294, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes