Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500656
Question: Will a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 312748.693911
Price History:
2024-08-31 18:00: 0.8050
2024-09-01 02:00: 0.1850
2024-09-01 09:00: 0.8150
2024-09-01 17:00: 0.1750
2024-09-02 00:00: 0.8350
2024-09-02 08:00: 0.1600
2024-09-02 15:00: 0.8400
2024-09-02 23:00: 0.1600
2024-09-03 06:00: 0.8400
2024-09-03 14:00: 0.1550
2024-09-03 21:00: 0.8450
2024-09-04 05:00: 0.1550
2024-09-04 12:00: 0.8450
2024-09-04 20:00: 0.1700
2024-09-05 03:00: 0.8250
2024-09-05 11:00: 0.1750
2024-09-05 18:00: 0.8250
2024-09-06 02:00: 0.1400
2024-09-06 09:00: 0.8250
2024-09-06 17:00: 0.1750
2024-09-07 00:00: 0.8250
2024-09-07 08:00: 0.1750
2024-09-07 15:00: 0.8250
2024-09-07 23:00: 0.1850
2024-09-08 06:00: 0.8150
2024-09-08 14:00: 0.1850
2024-09-08 21:00: 0.8150
2024-09-09 05:00: 0.1850
2024-09-09 12:00: 0.8150
2024-09-09 20:00: 0.1850
2024-09-10 03:00: 0.8150
2024-09-10 11:00: 0.1850
2024-09-10 18:00: 0.8150
2024-09-11 02:00: 0.1950
2024-09-11 09:00: 0.8050
2024-09-11 17:00: 0.1900
2024-09-12 00:00: 0.8250
2024-09-12 08:00: 0.1800
2024-09-12 15:00: 0.8200
2024-09-12 23:00: 0.1800
2024-09-13 06:00: 0.8200
2024-09-13 14:00: 0.1800
2024-09-13 21:00: 0.8200
2024-09-14 05:00: 0.1800
2024-09-14 12:00: 0.8200
2024-09-14 20:00: 0.1800
2024-09-15 03:00: 0.8200
2024-09-15 11:00: 0.1800
2024-09-15 18:00: 0.8200
2024-09-16 02:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500656
Question: Will a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 312748.693911
Price History:
2024-09-17 10:00: 0.1800
2024-09-17 17:00: 0.8200
2024-09-18 01:00: 0.1800
2024-09-18 08:00: 0.8200
2024-09-18 16:00: 0.1800
2024-09-18 23:00: 0.8200
2024-09-19 07:00: 0.1750
2024-09-19 14:00: 0.8250
2024-09-19 22:00: 0.1750
2024-09-20 05:00: 0.8250
2024-09-20 13:00: 0.1750
2024-09-20 20:00: 0.8250
2024-09-21 04:00: 0.1750
2024-09-21 11:00: 0.8250
2024-09-21 19:00: 0.1750
2024-09-22 02:00: 0.8250
2024-09-22 10:00: 0.1750
2024-09-22 17:00: 0.8250
2024-09-23 01:00: 0.1750
2024-09-23 08:00: 0.8250
2024-09-23 16:00: 0.1700
2024-09-23 23:00: 0.8350
2024-09-24 07:00: 0.1650
2024-09-24 14:00: 0.8350
2024-09-24 22:00: 0.1700
2024-09-25 05:00: 0.8300
2024-09-25 13:00: 0.1700
2024-09-25 20:00: 0.8300
2024-09-26 04:00: 0.1750
2024-09-26 11:00: 0.8250
2024-09-26 19:00: 0.1750
2024-09-27 02:00: 0.8250
2024-09-27 10:00: 0.1750
2024-09-27 17:00: 0.8250
2024-09-28 01:00: 0.1750
2024-09-28 08:00: 0.8250
2024-09-28 16:00: 0.1750
2024-09-28 23:00: 0.8250
2024-09-29 07:00: 0.1750
2024-09-29 14:00: 0.8250
2024-09-29 22:00: 0.1750
2024-09-30 05:00: 0.8250
2024-09-30 13:00: 0.1750
2024-09-30 20:00: 0.8150
2024-10-01 04:00: 0.1850
2024-10-01 11:00: 0.8150
2024-10-01 19:00: 0.1850
2024-10-02 02:00: 0.8150
2024-10-02 10:00: 0.1850
2024-10-02 16:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500656
Question: Will a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 312748.693911
Price History:
2024-10-04 00:00: 0.8150
2024-10-04 08:00: 0.1850
2024-10-04 15:00: 0.8150
2024-10-04 23:00: 0.1850
2024-10-05 06:00: 0.8250
2024-10-05 14:00: 0.1750
2024-10-05 21:00: 0.8300
2024-10-06 05:00: 0.1700
2024-10-06 12:00: 0.8300
2024-10-06 20:00: 0.1750
2024-10-07 03:00: 0.8250
2024-10-07 11:00: 0.1750
2024-10-07 18:00: 0.8300
2024-10-08 02:00: 0.1700
2024-10-08 09:00: 0.8600
2024-10-08 17:00: 0.1350
2024-10-09 00:00: 0.8650
2024-10-09 08:00: 0.1350
2024-10-09 15:00: 0.8650
2024-10-09 23:00: 0.1350
2024-10-10 06:00: 0.8600
2024-10-10 14:00: 0.1400
2024-10-10 21:00: 0.8950
2024-10-11 05:00: 0.1050
2024-10-11 12:00: 0.8900
2024-10-11 20:00: 0.1150
2024-10-12 03:00: 0.8850
2024-10-12 11:00: 0.1150
2024-10-12 18:00: 0.8850
2024-10-13 02:00: 0.1150
2024-10-13 09:00: 0.8850
2024-10-13 17:00: 0.1050
2024-10-14 00:00: 0.9000
2024-10-14 08:00: 0.0950
2024-10-14 15:00: 0.9050
2024-10-14 23:00: 0.0950
2024-10-15 06:00: 0.9050
2024-10-15 14:00: 0.0950
2024-10-15 21:00: 0.9050
2024-10-16 05:00: 0.0950
2024-10-16 12:00: 0.9050
2024-10-16 20:00: 0.1050
2024-10-17 03:00: 0.8950
2024-10-17 11:00: 0.1100
2024-10-17 18:00: 0.8950
2024-10-18 02:00: 0.1100
2024-10-18 09:00: 0.8950
2024-10-18 17:00: 0.1100
2024-10-19 00:00: 0.8850
2024-10-19 08:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500656
Question: Will a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 312748.693911
Price History:
2024-10-20 16:00: 0.1100
2024-10-20 23:00: 0.8850
2024-10-21 07:00: 0.1150
2024-10-21 14:00: 0.8850
2024-10-21 22:00: 0.1150
2024-10-22 05:00: 0.8850
2024-10-22 13:00: 0.1150
2024-10-22 20:00: 0.8950
2024-10-23 04:00: 0.1100
2024-10-23 11:00: 0.8900
2024-10-23 19:00: 0.1000
2024-10-24 02:00: 0.9000
2024-10-24 10:00: 0.0850
2024-10-24 17:00: 0.9150
2024-10-25 01:00: 0.0850
2024-10-25 08:00: 0.9150
2024-10-25 16:00: 0.0850
2024-10-25 23:00: 0.9150
2024-10-26 07:00: 0.0850
2024-10-26 14:00: 0.9200
2024-10-26 22:00: 0.0800
2024-10-27 05:00: 0.9200
2024-10-27 13:00: 0.0800
2024-10-27 20:00: 0.9200
2024-10-28 04:00: 0.0750
2024-10-28 11:00: 0.9250
2024-10-28 19:00: 0.0750
2024-10-29 02:00: 0.9250
2024-10-29 10:00: 0.0750
2024-10-29 17:00: 0.9250
2024-10-30 01:00: 0.0700
2024-10-30 08:00: 0.9250
2024-10-30 16:00: 0.0750
2024-10-30 23:00: 0.9250
2024-10-31 07:00: 0.0800
2024-10-31 14:00: 0.9050
2024-10-31 22:00: 0.0950
2024-11-01 05:00: 0.9050
2024-11-01 13:00: 0.0950
2024-11-01 20:00: 0.9150
2024-11-02 04:00: 0.0850
2024-11-02 11:00: 0.9150
2024-11-02 19:00: 0.0800
2024-11-03 01:00: 0.9100
2024-11-03 09:00: 0.0900
2024-11-03 16:00: 0.9100
2024-11-04 00:00: 0.0950
2024-11-04 07:00: 0.9050
2024-11-04 15:00: 0.1000
2024-11-04 22:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500656
Question: Will a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 312748.693911
Price History:
2024-04-03 21:00: 0.1250
2024-04-04 10:00: 0.1200
2024-04-04 23:00: 0.1200
2024-04-05 12:00: 0.1200
2024-04-06 01:00: 0.1200
2024-04-06 14:00: 0.1150
2024-04-07 03:00: 0.1200
2024-04-07 16:00: 0.1200
2024-04-08 05:00: 0.1150
2024-04-08 18:00: 0.1150
2024-04-09 07:00: 0.1150
2024-04-09 20:00: 0.1150
2024-04-10 09:00: 0.1150
2024-04-10 22:00: 0.1150
2024-04-11 11:00: 0.1150
2024-04-12 00:00: 0.1150
2024-04-12 13:00: 0.1200
2024-04-13 02:00: 0.1200
2024-04-13 15:00: 0.1200
2024-04-14 04:00: 0.1200
2024-04-14 17:00: 0.1200
2024-04-15 06:00: 0.1200
2024-04-15 19:00: 0.1200
2024-04-16 08:00: 0.1200
2024-04-16 21:00: 0.1200
2024-04-17 10:00: 0.1250
2024-04-17 23:00: 0.1250
2024-04-18 12:00: 0.1250
2024-04-19 01:00: 0.1250
2024-04-19 14:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500656
Question: Will a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 312748.693911
Price History:
2024-04-20 12:00: 0.8750
2024-04-21 01:00: 0.8750
2024-04-21 14:00: 0.8750
2024-04-22 03:00: 0.8750
2024-04-22 16:00: 0.8750
2024-04-23 05:00: 0.8750
2024-04-23 18:00: 0.8750
2024-04-24 07:00: 0.8800
2024-04-24 20:00: 0.8800
2024-04-25 09:00: 0.8800
2024-04-25 22:00: 0.8800
2024-04-26 11:00: 0.8800
2024-04-27 00:00: 0.8800
2024-04-27 13:00: 0.8800
2024-04-28 02:00: 0.8800
2024-04-28 15:00: 0.8800
2024-04-29 04:00: 0.8800
2024-04-29 17:00: 0.8800
2024-04-30 06:00: 0.8800
2024-04-30 19:00: 0.8850
2024-05-01 08:00: 0.8800
2024-05-01 22:00: 0.8800
2024-05-02 11:00: 0.8800
2024-05-03 00:00: 0.8800
2024-05-03 13:00: 0.8800
2024-05-04 02:00: 0.8800
2024-05-04 15:00: 0.8800
2024-05-05 04:00: 0.8800
2024-05-05 17:00: 0.8800
2024-05-06 06:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500656
Question: Will a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 312748.693911
Price History:
2024-05-07 05:00: 0.1200
2024-05-07 18:00: 0.1150
2024-05-08 07:00: 0.1150
2024-05-08 20:00: 0.1150
2024-05-09 09:00: 0.1200
2024-05-09 22:00: 0.1200
2024-05-10 11:00: 0.1200
2024-05-11 00:00: 0.1200
2024-05-11 13:00: 0.1200
2024-05-12 02:00: 0.1200
2024-05-12 15:00: 0.1200
2024-05-13 04:00: 0.1200
2024-05-13 17:00: 0.1200
2024-05-14 06:00: 0.1200
2024-05-14 19:00: 0.1200
2024-05-15 08:00: 0.1200
2024-05-15 21:00: 0.1250
2024-05-16 10:00: 0.1250
2024-05-16 23:00: 0.1250
2024-05-17 12:00: 0.1250
2024-05-18 01:00: 0.1250
2024-05-18 14:00: 0.1250
2024-05-19 03:00: 0.1250
2024-05-19 16:00: 0.1250
2024-05-20 05:00: 0.1250
2024-05-20 18:00: 0.1250
2024-05-21 07:00: 0.1250
2024-05-21 20:00: 0.1250
2024-05-22 09:00: 0.1250
2024-05-22 22:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500656
Question: Will a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 312748.693911
Price History:
2024-05-23 20:00: 0.8750
2024-05-24 09:00: 0.8750
2024-05-24 22:00: 0.8750
2024-05-25 11:00: 0.8750
2024-05-26 00:00: 0.8750
2024-05-26 13:00: 0.8750
2024-05-27 02:00: 0.8750
2024-05-27 15:00: 0.8750
2024-05-28 04:00: 0.8750
2024-05-28 17:00: 0.8750
2024-05-29 06:00: 0.8750
2024-05-29 19:00: 0.8750
2024-05-30 08:00: 0.8750
2024-05-30 21:00: 0.8750
2024-05-31 10:00: 0.8750
2024-05-31 23:00: 0.8750
2024-06-01 12:00: 0.8750
2024-06-02 01:00: 0.8750
2024-06-02 14:00: 0.8750
2024-06-03 03:00: 0.8750
2024-06-03 16:00: 0.8750
2024-06-04 05:00: 0.8750
2024-06-04 18:00: 0.8750
2024-06-05 07:00: 0.8850
2024-06-05 20:00: 0.8850
2024-06-06 09:00: 0.8850
2024-06-06 22:00: 0.8850
2024-06-07 11:00: 0.8850
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.8850
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500656
Question: Will a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 312748.693911
Price History:
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.1150
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.1150
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.1150
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.1150
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.1150
2024-06-12 05:00: 0.1150
2024-06-12 18:00: 0.1150
2024-06-13 07:00: 0.1150
2024-06-13 20:00: 0.1150
2024-06-14 09:00: 0.1150
2024-06-14 22:00: 0.1150
2024-06-15 11:00: 0.1150
2024-06-16 00:00: 0.1150
2024-06-16 13:00: 0.1150
2024-06-17 02:00: 0.1150
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.1150
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.1150
2024-06-18 17:00: 0.1150
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.1150
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.1150
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.1150
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.1150
2024-06-21 10:00: 0.1150
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.1150
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.1150
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.1150
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500656
Question: Will a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 312748.693911
Price History:
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.8850
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.8850
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.8850
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.8850
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.8850
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.8850
2024-07-01 00:00: 0.8850
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.8850
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.8850
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.8850
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.8850
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.8850
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.8850
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.8850
2024-07-05 08:00: 0.8850
2024-07-05 21:00: 0.8850
2024-07-06 10:00: 0.8850
2024-07-06 23:00: 0.8850
2024-07-07 12:00: 0.8850
2024-07-08 01:00: 0.8850
2024-07-08 14:00: 0.8850
2024-07-09 03:00: 0.8850
2024-07-09 16:00: 0.8850
2024-07-10 05:00: 0.8850
2024-07-10 18:00: 0.8850
2024-07-11 07:00: 0.8850
2024-07-11 20:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500656
Question: Will a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 312748.693911
Price History:
2024-07-12 19:00: 0.1150
2024-07-13 08:00: 0.1150
2024-07-13 21:00: 0.1150
2024-07-14 10:00: 0.1150
2024-07-14 23:00: 0.1150
2024-07-15 12:00: 0.1150
2024-07-16 01:00: 0.1100
2024-07-16 14:00: 0.1150
2024-07-17 03:00: 0.1150
2024-07-17 16:00: 0.1150
2024-07-18 05:00: 0.1150
2024-07-18 18:00: 0.1150
2024-07-19 07:00: 0.1150
2024-07-19 20:00: 0.1150
2024-07-20 09:00: 0.1150
2024-07-20 22:00: 0.1150
2024-07-21 11:00: 0.1150
2024-07-22 01:00: 0.1150
2024-07-22 14:00: 0.1150
2024-07-23 03:00: 0.1150
2024-07-23 16:00: 0.1150
2024-07-24 05:00: 0.1150
2024-07-24 18:00: 0.1150
2024-07-25 07:00: 0.1150
2024-07-25 20:00: 0.1150
2024-07-26 09:00: 0.1150
2024-07-26 22:00: 0.1150
2024-07-27 11:00: 0.1150
2024-07-28 00:00: 0.1150
2024-07-28 13:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500656
Question: Will a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 312748.693911
Price History:
2024-07-29 11:00: 0.8850
2024-07-30 00:00: 0.8850
2024-07-30 13:00: 0.8850
2024-07-31 02:00: 0.8850
2024-07-31 15:00: 0.8550
2024-08-01 04:00: 0.8600
2024-08-01 17:00: 0.8550
2024-08-02 06:00: 0.8500
2024-08-02 19:00: 0.8450
2024-08-03 08:00: 0.8450
2024-08-03 21:00: 0.8450
2024-08-04 10:00: 0.8600
2024-08-04 23:00: 0.8600
2024-08-05 12:00: 0.8600
2024-08-06 01:00: 0.8450
2024-08-06 14:00: 0.8550
2024-08-07 03:00: 0.8650
2024-08-07 16:00: 0.8750
2024-08-08 05:00: 0.8700
2024-08-08 18:00: 0.8700
2024-08-09 07:00: 0.8700
2024-08-09 20:00: 0.8700
2024-08-10 09:00: 0.8700
2024-08-10 22:00: 0.8700
2024-08-11 11:00: 0.8700
2024-08-12 00:00: 0.8650
2024-08-12 13:00: 0.8600
2024-08-13 02:00: 0.8600
2024-08-13 15:00: 0.8400
2024-08-14 04:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500656
Question: Will a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 312748.693911
Price History:
2024-08-15 03:00: 0.1650
2024-08-15 16:00: 0.1650
2024-08-16 05:00: 0.1650
2024-08-16 18:00: 0.1650
2024-08-17 07:00: 0.1650
2024-08-17 20:00: 0.1650
2024-08-18 09:00: 0.1650
2024-08-18 22:00: 0.1650
2024-08-19 11:00: 0.1650
2024-08-20 00:00: 0.1650
2024-08-20 13:00: 0.1650
2024-08-21 02:00: 0.1650
2024-08-21 15:00: 0.1650
2024-08-22 04:00: 0.1650
2024-08-22 17:00: 0.1650
2024-08-23 06:00: 0.1650
2024-08-23 19:00: 0.1650
2024-08-24 08:00: 0.1650
2024-08-24 21:00: 0.1650
2024-08-25 10:00: 0.4200
2024-08-25 23:00: 0.2450
2024-08-26 12:00: 0.1950
2024-08-27 01:00: 0.2250
2024-08-27 14:00: 0.2450
2024-08-28 03:00: 0.2050
2024-08-28 16:00: 0.2100
2024-08-29 05:00: 0.2250
2024-08-29 18:00: 0.2000
2024-08-30 07:00: 0.1950
2024-08-30 20:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500656
Question: Will a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 312748.693911
Price History:
2024-08-31 18:00: 0.8050
2024-09-01 07:00: 0.8150
2024-09-01 20:00: 0.8250
2024-09-02 09:00: 0.8400
2024-09-02 22:00: 0.8400
2024-09-03 11:00: 0.8450
2024-09-04 00:00: 0.8450
2024-09-04 13:00: 0.8450
2024-09-05 02:00: 0.8250
2024-09-05 15:00: 0.8250
2024-09-06 04:00: 0.8600
2024-09-06 17:00: 0.8250
2024-09-07 06:00: 0.8250
2024-09-07 19:00: 0.8150
2024-09-08 08:00: 0.8150
2024-09-08 21:00: 0.8150
2024-09-09 10:00: 0.8150
2024-09-09 23:00: 0.8150
2024-09-10 12:00: 0.8150
2024-09-11 01:00: 0.8100
2024-09-11 14:00: 0.8100
2024-09-12 03:00: 0.8250
2024-09-12 16:00: 0.8200
2024-09-13 05:00: 0.8200
2024-09-13 18:00: 0.8200
2024-09-14 07:00: 0.8200
2024-09-14 20:00: 0.8200
2024-09-15 09:00: 0.8200
2024-09-15 22:00: 0.8200
2024-09-16 11:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500656
Question: Will a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 312748.693911
Price History:
2024-09-17 10:00: 0.1800
2024-09-17 23:00: 0.1800
2024-09-18 12:00: 0.1800
2024-09-19 01:00: 0.1750
2024-09-19 14:00: 0.1750
2024-09-20 03:00: 0.1750
2024-09-20 16:00: 0.1750
2024-09-21 05:00: 0.1750
2024-09-21 18:00: 0.1750
2024-09-22 07:00: 0.1750
2024-09-22 20:00: 0.1750
2024-09-23 09:00: 0.1750
2024-09-23 22:00: 0.1650
2024-09-24 11:00: 0.1650
2024-09-25 00:00: 0.1700
2024-09-25 13:00: 0.1700
2024-09-26 02:00: 0.1700
2024-09-26 15:00: 0.1700
2024-09-27 04:00: 0.1750
2024-09-27 17:00: 0.1750
2024-09-28 06:00: 0.1750
2024-09-28 19:00: 0.1750
2024-09-29 08:00: 0.1750
2024-09-29 21:00: 0.1750
2024-09-30 10:00: 0.1750
2024-09-30 23:00: 0.1850
2024-10-01 12:00: 0.1850
2024-10-02 01:00: 0.1850
2024-10-02 13:00: 0.1850
2024-10-03 02:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500656
Question: Will a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 312748.693911
Price History:
2024-10-04 00:00: 0.8150
2024-10-04 13:00: 0.8150
2024-10-05 02:00: 0.8150
2024-10-05 15:00: 0.8250
2024-10-06 04:00: 0.8300
2024-10-06 17:00: 0.8250
2024-10-07 06:00: 0.8250
2024-10-07 19:00: 0.8300
2024-10-08 08:00: 0.8600
2024-10-08 21:00: 0.8650
2024-10-09 10:00: 0.8650
2024-10-09 23:00: 0.8650
2024-10-10 12:00: 0.8600
2024-10-11 01:00: 0.8900
2024-10-11 14:00: 0.8850
2024-10-12 03:00: 0.8850
2024-10-12 16:00: 0.8850
2024-10-13 05:00: 0.8850
2024-10-13 18:00: 0.8950
2024-10-14 07:00: 0.9050
2024-10-14 20:00: 0.9050
2024-10-15 09:00: 0.9050
2024-10-15 22:00: 0.9050
2024-10-16 11:00: 0.9050
2024-10-17 00:00: 0.8950
2024-10-17 13:00: 0.8950
2024-10-18 02:00: 0.8900
2024-10-18 15:00: 0.8900
2024-10-19 04:00: 0.8850
2024-10-19 17:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500656
Question: Will a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 312748.693911
Price History:
2024-10-20 16:00: 0.1100
2024-10-21 05:00: 0.1150
2024-10-21 18:00: 0.1150
2024-10-22 07:00: 0.1150
2024-10-22 20:00: 0.1050
2024-10-23 09:00: 0.1100
2024-10-23 22:00: 0.1000
2024-10-24 11:00: 0.0850
2024-10-25 00:00: 0.0850
2024-10-25 13:00: 0.0850
2024-10-26 02:00: 0.0850
2024-10-26 15:00: 0.0800
2024-10-27 04:00: 0.0800
2024-10-27 17:00: 0.0800
2024-10-28 06:00: 0.0750
2024-10-28 19:00: 0.0750
2024-10-29 08:00: 0.0750
2024-10-29 21:00: 0.0700
2024-10-30 10:00: 0.0750
2024-10-30 23:00: 0.0750
2024-10-31 12:00: 0.0950
2024-11-01 01:00: 0.0950
2024-11-01 14:00: 0.0950
2024-11-02 03:00: 0.0850
2024-11-02 16:00: 0.0800
2024-11-03 04:00: 0.0900
2024-11-03 17:00: 0.0900
2024-11-04 06:00: 0.0950
2024-11-04 19:00: 0.0950
2024-11-05 08:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-04-03 21:00: 0.8750
2024-04-04 04:00: 0.1250
2024-04-04 12:00: 0.8800
2024-04-04 19:00: 0.1200
2024-04-05 03:00: 0.8800
2024-04-05 10:00: 0.1200
2024-04-05 18:00: 0.8800
2024-04-06 01:00: 0.1200
2024-04-06 09:00: 0.8800
2024-04-06 16:00: 0.1200
2024-04-07 00:00: 0.8800
2024-04-07 07:00: 0.1250
2024-04-07 15:00: 0.8750
2024-04-07 22:00: 0.1250
2024-04-08 06:00: 0.8750
2024-04-08 13:00: 0.1250
2024-04-08 21:00: 0.8750
2024-04-09 04:00: 0.1250
2024-04-09 12:00: 0.8750
2024-04-09 19:00: 0.1250
2024-04-10 03:00: 0.8750
2024-04-10 10:00: 0.1250
2024-04-10 18:00: 0.8750
2024-04-11 01:00: 0.1250
2024-04-11 09:00: 0.8750
2024-04-11 16:00: 0.1250
2024-04-12 00:00: 0.8750
2024-04-12 07:00: 0.1250
2024-04-12 15:00: 0.8750
2024-04-12 22:00: 0.1250
2024-04-13 06:00: 0.8750
2024-04-13 13:00: 0.1250
2024-04-13 21:00: 0.8750
2024-04-14 04:00: 0.1250
2024-04-14 12:00: 0.8750
2024-04-14 19:00: 0.1250
2024-04-15 03:00: 0.8750
2024-04-15 10:00: 0.1250
2024-04-15 18:00: 0.8750
2024-04-16 01:00: 0.1250
2024-04-16 09:00: 0.8750
2024-04-16 16:00: 0.1250
2024-04-17 00:00: 0.8750
2024-04-17 07:00: 0.1250
2024-04-17 15:00: 0.8750
2024-04-17 22:00: 0.1250
2024-04-18 06:00: 0.8750
2024-04-18 13:00: 0.1250
2024-04-18 21:00: 0.8750
2024-04-19 04:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-04-20 12:00: 0.1250
2024-04-20 20:00: 0.8750
2024-04-21 03:00: 0.1250
2024-04-21 11:00: 0.8750
2024-04-21 18:00: 0.1250
2024-04-22 02:00: 0.8750
2024-04-22 09:00: 0.1250
2024-04-22 17:00: 0.8750
2024-04-23 00:00: 0.1250
2024-04-23 08:00: 0.8750
2024-04-23 15:00: 0.1250
2024-04-23 23:00: 0.8750
2024-04-24 06:00: 0.1250
2024-04-24 14:00: 0.8750
2024-04-24 21:00: 0.1250
2024-04-25 05:00: 0.8750
2024-04-25 12:00: 0.1250
2024-04-25 20:00: 0.8750
2024-04-26 03:00: 0.1250
2024-04-26 11:00: 0.8750
2024-04-26 18:00: 0.1250
2024-04-27 02:00: 0.8750
2024-04-27 09:00: 0.1250
2024-04-27 17:00: 0.8750
2024-04-28 00:00: 0.1250
2024-04-28 08:00: 0.8750
2024-04-28 15:00: 0.1250
2024-04-28 23:00: 0.8750
2024-04-29 06:00: 0.1250
2024-04-29 14:00: 0.8750
2024-04-29 21:00: 0.1250
2024-04-30 05:00: 0.8750
2024-04-30 12:00: 0.1250
2024-04-30 20:00: 0.8750
2024-05-01 03:00: 0.1250
2024-05-01 11:00: 0.8750
2024-05-01 19:00: 0.1250
2024-05-02 03:00: 0.8750
2024-05-02 10:00: 0.1250
2024-05-02 18:00: 0.8750
2024-05-03 01:00: 0.1250
2024-05-03 09:00: 0.8750
2024-05-03 16:00: 0.1250
2024-05-04 00:00: 0.8750
2024-05-04 07:00: 0.1250
2024-05-04 15:00: 0.8750
2024-05-04 22:00: 0.1250
2024-05-05 06:00: 0.8750
2024-05-05 13:00: 0.1250
2024-05-05 21:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-05-07 05:00: 0.8750
2024-05-07 12:00: 0.1250
2024-05-07 20:00: 0.8750
2024-05-08 03:00: 0.1250
2024-05-08 11:00: 0.8750
2024-05-08 18:00: 0.1250
2024-05-09 02:00: 0.8750
2024-05-09 09:00: 0.1250
2024-05-09 17:00: 0.8750
2024-05-10 00:00: 0.1250
2024-05-10 08:00: 0.8750
2024-05-10 15:00: 0.1250
2024-05-10 23:00: 0.8750
2024-05-11 06:00: 0.1250
2024-05-11 14:00: 0.8750
2024-05-11 21:00: 0.1250
2024-05-12 05:00: 0.8750
2024-05-12 12:00: 0.1250
2024-05-12 20:00: 0.8750
2024-05-13 03:00: 0.1250
2024-05-13 11:00: 0.8750
2024-05-13 18:00: 0.1250
2024-05-14 02:00: 0.8750
2024-05-14 09:00: 0.1250
2024-05-14 17:00: 0.8750
2024-05-15 00:00: 0.1250
2024-05-15 08:00: 0.8750
2024-05-15 15:00: 0.1250
2024-05-15 23:00: 0.8750
2024-05-16 06:00: 0.1250
2024-05-16 14:00: 0.8750
2024-05-16 21:00: 0.1250
2024-05-17 05:00: 0.8750
2024-05-17 12:00: 0.1250
2024-05-17 20:00: 0.8750
2024-05-18 03:00: 0.1250
2024-05-18 11:00: 0.8750
2024-05-18 18:00: 0.1250
2024-05-19 02:00: 0.8750
2024-05-19 09:00: 0.1250
2024-05-19 17:00: 0.8750
2024-05-20 00:00: 0.1250
2024-05-20 08:00: 0.8750
2024-05-20 15:00: 0.1250
2024-05-20 23:00: 0.8750
2024-05-21 06:00: 0.1250
2024-05-21 14:00: 0.8750
2024-05-21 21:00: 0.1250
2024-05-22 05:00: 0.8750
2024-05-22 12:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-05-23 20:00: 0.1250
2024-05-24 04:00: 0.8750
2024-05-24 11:00: 0.1250
2024-05-24 19:00: 0.8750
2024-05-25 02:00: 0.1250
2024-05-25 10:00: 0.8750
2024-05-25 17:00: 0.1250
2024-05-26 01:00: 0.8750
2024-05-26 08:00: 0.1250
2024-05-26 16:00: 0.8750
2024-05-26 23:00: 0.1250
2024-05-27 07:00: 0.8750
2024-05-27 14:00: 0.1250
2024-05-27 22:00: 0.8750
2024-05-28 05:00: 0.1250
2024-05-28 13:00: 0.8750
2024-05-28 20:00: 0.1250
2024-05-29 04:00: 0.8750
2024-05-29 11:00: 0.1250
2024-05-29 19:00: 0.8750
2024-05-30 02:00: 0.1250
2024-05-30 10:00: 0.8750
2024-05-30 17:00: 0.1250
2024-05-31 01:00: 0.8750
2024-05-31 08:00: 0.1250
2024-05-31 16:00: 0.8750
2024-05-31 23:00: 0.1250
2024-06-01 07:00: 0.8750
2024-06-01 14:00: 0.1250
2024-06-01 22:00: 0.8750
2024-06-02 05:00: 0.1250
2024-06-02 13:00: 0.8750
2024-06-02 20:00: 0.1250
2024-06-03 04:00: 0.8750
2024-06-03 11:00: 0.1250
2024-06-03 19:00: 0.8750
2024-06-04 02:00: 0.1250
2024-06-04 10:00: 0.8750
2024-06-04 17:00: 0.1250
2024-06-05 01:00: 0.8750
2024-06-05 08:00: 0.1250
2024-06-05 16:00: 0.8750
2024-06-05 23:00: 0.1250
2024-06-06 07:00: 0.8750
2024-06-06 14:00: 0.1250
2024-06-06 22:00: 0.8750
2024-06-07 05:00: 0.1250
2024-06-07 13:00: 0.8750
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.1250
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.8750
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.1250
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.8750
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.1250
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.8750
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.1250
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.8750
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.1250
2024-06-12 00:00: 0.8750
2024-06-12 07:00: 0.1250
2024-06-12 15:00: 0.8750
2024-06-12 22:00: 0.1250
2024-06-13 06:00: 0.8750
2024-06-13 13:00: 0.1250
2024-06-13 21:00: 0.8750
2024-06-14 04:00: 0.1250
2024-06-14 12:00: 0.8750
2024-06-14 19:00: 0.1250
2024-06-15 03:00: 0.8750
2024-06-15 10:00: 0.1250
2024-06-15 18:00: 0.8750
2024-06-16 01:00: 0.1250
2024-06-16 09:00: 0.8750
2024-06-16 16:00: 0.1250
2024-06-17 00:00: 0.8750
2024-06-17 07:00: 0.1250
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.8750
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.1250
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.8750
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.1250
2024-06-18 21:00: 0.8750
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.1250
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.8750
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.1250
2024-06-20 03:00: 0.8750
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.1250
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.8750
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.1250
2024-06-21 09:00: 0.8750
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.1250
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.8750
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.1250
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.8750
2024-06-22 22:00: 0.1250
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.8750
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.1250
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.8750
2024-06-24 04:00: 0.1250
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.8750
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.1250
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.8750
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.1250
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.8750
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.1250
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.8750
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.1250
2024-06-28 08:00: 0.8750
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.1250
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.8750
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.1250
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.8750
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.1250
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.8750
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.1250
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.8750
2024-07-01 03:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.1150
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.8850
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.1150
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.8850
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.1150
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.8850
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.1150
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.8850
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.1150
2024-07-05 05:00: 0.8850
2024-07-05 12:00: 0.1150
2024-07-05 20:00: 0.8850
2024-07-06 03:00: 0.1150
2024-07-06 11:00: 0.8850
2024-07-06 18:00: 0.1150
2024-07-07 02:00: 0.8850
2024-07-07 09:00: 0.1150
2024-07-07 17:00: 0.8850
2024-07-08 00:00: 0.1150
2024-07-08 08:00: 0.8850
2024-07-08 15:00: 0.1150
2024-07-08 23:00: 0.8850
2024-07-09 06:00: 0.1150
2024-07-09 14:00: 0.8850
2024-07-09 21:00: 0.1150
2024-07-10 05:00: 0.8850
2024-07-10 12:00: 0.1150
2024-07-10 20:00: 0.8850
2024-07-11 03:00: 0.1150
2024-07-11 11:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-07-12 19:00: 0.8850
2024-07-13 02:00: 0.1150
2024-07-13 10:00: 0.8850
2024-07-13 17:00: 0.1150
2024-07-14 01:00: 0.8850
2024-07-14 08:00: 0.1150
2024-07-14 16:00: 0.8850
2024-07-14 23:00: 0.1150
2024-07-15 07:00: 0.8850
2024-07-15 14:00: 0.1150
2024-07-15 22:00: 0.8850
2024-07-16 05:00: 0.1150
2024-07-16 13:00: 0.8850
2024-07-16 20:00: 0.1150
2024-07-17 04:00: 0.8850
2024-07-17 11:00: 0.1150
2024-07-17 19:00: 0.8850
2024-07-18 02:00: 0.1150
2024-07-18 10:00: 0.8850
2024-07-18 17:00: 0.1150
2024-07-19 01:00: 0.8850
2024-07-19 08:00: 0.1150
2024-07-19 16:00: 0.8850
2024-07-19 23:00: 0.1150
2024-07-20 07:00: 0.8850
2024-07-20 14:00: 0.1150
2024-07-20 22:00: 0.8850
2024-07-21 05:00: 0.1150
2024-07-21 13:00: 0.8850
2024-07-21 21:00: 0.1150
2024-07-22 05:00: 0.8850
2024-07-22 12:00: 0.1150
2024-07-22 20:00: 0.8850
2024-07-23 03:00: 0.1150
2024-07-23 11:00: 0.8850
2024-07-23 18:00: 0.1150
2024-07-24 02:00: 0.8850
2024-07-24 09:00: 0.1150
2024-07-24 17:00: 0.8850
2024-07-25 00:00: 0.1150
2024-07-25 08:00: 0.8850
2024-07-25 15:00: 0.1150
2024-07-25 23:00: 0.8850
2024-07-26 06:00: 0.1150
2024-07-26 14:00: 0.8850
2024-07-26 21:00: 0.1150
2024-07-27 05:00: 0.8850
2024-07-27 12:00: 0.1150
2024-07-27 20:00: 0.8850
2024-07-28 03:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-07-29 11:00: 0.1150
2024-07-29 19:00: 0.8850
2024-07-30 02:00: 0.1150
2024-07-30 10:00: 0.8850
2024-07-30 17:00: 0.1150
2024-07-31 01:00: 0.8750
2024-07-31 08:00: 0.1250
2024-07-31 16:00: 0.8700
2024-07-31 23:00: 0.1300
2024-08-01 07:00: 0.8700
2024-08-01 14:00: 0.1700
2024-08-01 22:00: 0.8350
2024-08-02 05:00: 0.1650
2024-08-02 13:00: 0.8350
2024-08-02 20:00: 0.1750
2024-08-03 04:00: 0.8650
2024-08-03 11:00: 0.1450
2024-08-03 19:00: 0.8550
2024-08-04 02:00: 0.1450
2024-08-04 10:00: 0.8550
2024-08-04 17:00: 0.1500
2024-08-05 01:00: 0.8550
2024-08-05 08:00: 0.1500
2024-08-05 16:00: 0.8500
2024-08-05 23:00: 0.1550
2024-08-06 07:00: 0.8400
2024-08-06 14:00: 0.1550
2024-08-06 22:00: 0.8450
2024-08-07 05:00: 0.1550
2024-08-07 13:00: 0.8500
2024-08-07 20:00: 0.1400
2024-08-08 04:00: 0.8600
2024-08-08 11:00: 0.1400
2024-08-08 19:00: 0.8600
2024-08-09 02:00: 0.1400
2024-08-09 10:00: 0.8600
2024-08-09 17:00: 0.1400
2024-08-10 01:00: 0.8600
2024-08-10 08:00: 0.1400
2024-08-10 16:00: 0.8600
2024-08-10 23:00: 0.1400
2024-08-11 07:00: 0.8600
2024-08-11 14:00: 0.1400
2024-08-11 22:00: 0.8600
2024-08-12 05:00: 0.1400
2024-08-12 13:00: 0.8600
2024-08-12 20:00: 0.1400
2024-08-13 04:00: 0.8600
2024-08-13 11:00: 0.1550
2024-08-13 19:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-08-15 03:00: 0.8350
2024-08-15 10:00: 0.1650
2024-08-15 18:00: 0.8350
2024-08-16 01:00: 0.1650
2024-08-16 09:00: 0.8350
2024-08-16 16:00: 0.1650
2024-08-17 00:00: 0.8350
2024-08-17 07:00: 0.1650
2024-08-17 15:00: 0.8350
2024-08-17 22:00: 0.1650
2024-08-18 06:00: 0.8350
2024-08-18 13:00: 0.1650
2024-08-18 21:00: 0.8350
2024-08-19 04:00: 0.1650
2024-08-19 12:00: 0.8350
2024-08-19 19:00: 0.1650
2024-08-20 03:00: 0.8350
2024-08-20 10:00: 0.1650
2024-08-20 18:00: 0.8350
2024-08-21 01:00: 0.1650
2024-08-21 09:00: 0.8350
2024-08-21 16:00: 0.1650
2024-08-22 00:00: 0.8350
2024-08-22 07:00: 0.1650
2024-08-22 15:00: 0.8350
2024-08-22 22:00: 0.1650
2024-08-23 06:00: 0.8350
2024-08-23 13:00: 0.1700
2024-08-23 21:00: 0.8300
2024-08-24 04:00: 0.1700
2024-08-24 12:00: 0.8300
2024-08-24 19:00: 0.1700
2024-08-25 03:00: 0.8300
2024-08-25 10:00: 0.4350
2024-08-25 18:00: 0.7250
2024-08-26 01:00: 0.2350
2024-08-26 09:00: 0.8050
2024-08-26 16:00: 0.2000
2024-08-27 00:00: 0.8150
2024-08-27 07:00: 0.2400
2024-08-27 15:00: 0.7600
2024-08-27 22:00: 0.2150
2024-08-28 06:00: 0.7850
2024-08-28 13:00: 0.2150
2024-08-28 21:00: 0.7850
2024-08-29 04:00: 0.2250
2024-08-29 12:00: 0.7950
2024-08-29 19:00: 0.2050
2024-08-30 03:00: 0.7950
2024-08-30 10:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-08-31 18:00: 0.2000
2024-09-01 02:00: 0.8050
2024-09-01 09:00: 0.1900
2024-09-01 17:00: 0.8250
2024-09-02 00:00: 0.1750
2024-09-02 08:00: 0.8250
2024-09-02 15:00: 0.1750
2024-09-02 23:00: 0.8300
2024-09-03 06:00: 0.1700
2024-09-03 14:00: 0.8350
2024-09-03 21:00: 0.1650
2024-09-04 05:00: 0.8400
2024-09-04 12:00: 0.1600
2024-09-04 20:00: 0.8250
2024-09-05 03:00: 0.1800
2024-09-05 11:00: 0.8200
2024-09-05 18:00: 0.1800
2024-09-06 02:00: 0.8550
2024-09-06 09:00: 0.1750
2024-09-06 17:00: 0.8200
2024-09-07 00:00: 0.1800
2024-09-07 08:00: 0.8200
2024-09-07 15:00: 0.1950
2024-09-07 23:00: 0.8050
2024-09-08 06:00: 0.1950
2024-09-08 14:00: 0.8100
2024-09-08 21:00: 0.1900
2024-09-09 05:00: 0.8100
2024-09-09 12:00: 0.1900
2024-09-09 20:00: 0.8100
2024-09-10 03:00: 0.1900
2024-09-10 11:00: 0.8100
2024-09-10 18:00: 0.1900
2024-09-11 02:00: 0.8100
2024-09-11 09:00: 0.1900
2024-09-11 17:00: 0.8100
2024-09-12 00:00: 0.1750
2024-09-12 08:00: 0.8200
2024-09-12 15:00: 0.1800
2024-09-12 23:00: 0.8200
2024-09-13 06:00: 0.1800
2024-09-13 14:00: 0.8200
2024-09-13 21:00: 0.1800
2024-09-14 05:00: 0.8200
2024-09-14 12:00: 0.1800
2024-09-14 20:00: 0.8200
2024-09-15 03:00: 0.1750
2024-09-15 11:00: 0.8200
2024-09-15 18:00: 0.1800
2024-09-16 02:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-09-17 10:00: 0.8200
2024-09-17 17:00: 0.1800
2024-09-18 01:00: 0.8200
2024-09-18 08:00: 0.1800
2024-09-18 16:00: 0.8200
2024-09-18 23:00: 0.1800
2024-09-19 07:00: 0.8250
2024-09-19 14:00: 0.1750
2024-09-19 22:00: 0.8250
2024-09-20 05:00: 0.1850
2024-09-20 13:00: 0.8150
2024-09-20 20:00: 0.1850
2024-09-21 04:00: 0.8200
2024-09-21 11:00: 0.1800
2024-09-21 19:00: 0.8200
2024-09-22 02:00: 0.1800
2024-09-22 10:00: 0.8200
2024-09-22 17:00: 0.1800
2024-09-23 01:00: 0.8150
2024-09-23 08:00: 0.1800
2024-09-23 16:00: 0.8250
2024-09-23 23:00: 0.1650
2024-09-24 07:00: 0.8350
2024-09-24 14:00: 0.1650
2024-09-24 22:00: 0.8250
2024-09-25 05:00: 0.1750
2024-09-25 13:00: 0.8250
2024-09-25 20:00: 0.1750
2024-09-26 04:00: 0.8250
2024-09-26 11:00: 0.1750
2024-09-26 19:00: 0.8300
2024-09-27 02:00: 0.1750
2024-09-27 10:00: 0.8250
2024-09-27 17:00: 0.1750
2024-09-28 01:00: 0.8250
2024-09-28 08:00: 0.1750
2024-09-28 16:00: 0.8250
2024-09-28 23:00: 0.1750
2024-09-29 07:00: 0.8250
2024-09-29 14:00: 0.1750
2024-09-29 22:00: 0.8250
2024-09-30 05:00: 0.1750
2024-09-30 13:00: 0.8250
2024-09-30 20:00: 0.1850
2024-10-01 04:00: 0.8150
2024-10-01 11:00: 0.1850
2024-10-01 19:00: 0.8150
2024-10-02 02:00: 0.1800
2024-10-02 10:00: 0.8200
2024-10-02 16:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-10-04 00:00: 0.1900
2024-10-04 08:00: 0.8100
2024-10-04 15:00: 0.1900
2024-10-04 23:00: 0.8100
2024-10-05 06:00: 0.1850
2024-10-05 14:00: 0.8100
2024-10-05 21:00: 0.1850
2024-10-06 05:00: 0.8150
2024-10-06 12:00: 0.1850
2024-10-06 20:00: 0.8200
2024-10-07 03:00: 0.1800
2024-10-07 11:00: 0.8200
2024-10-07 18:00: 0.1800
2024-10-08 02:00: 0.8200
2024-10-08 09:00: 0.1400
2024-10-08 17:00: 0.8650
2024-10-09 00:00: 0.1350
2024-10-09 08:00: 0.8650
2024-10-09 15:00: 0.1350
2024-10-09 23:00: 0.8650
2024-10-10 06:00: 0.1500
2024-10-10 14:00: 0.8550
2024-10-10 21:00: 0.1100
2024-10-11 05:00: 0.8900
2024-10-11 12:00: 0.1100
2024-10-11 20:00: 0.8850
2024-10-12 03:00: 0.1150
2024-10-12 11:00: 0.8850
2024-10-12 18:00: 0.1150
2024-10-13 02:00: 0.8850
2024-10-13 09:00: 0.1150
2024-10-13 17:00: 0.8950
2024-10-14 00:00: 0.1050
2024-10-14 08:00: 0.9050
2024-10-14 15:00: 0.0950
2024-10-14 23:00: 0.9050
2024-10-15 06:00: 0.0950
2024-10-15 14:00: 0.9050
2024-10-15 21:00: 0.0950
2024-10-16 05:00: 0.9050
2024-10-16 12:00: 0.0950
2024-10-16 20:00: 0.8950
2024-10-17 03:00: 0.1050
2024-10-17 11:00: 0.8950
2024-10-17 18:00: 0.1050
2024-10-18 02:00: 0.8900
2024-10-18 09:00: 0.1050
2024-10-18 17:00: 0.8900
2024-10-19 00:00: 0.1150
2024-10-19 08:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-10-20 16:00: 0.8900
2024-10-20 23:00: 0.1150
2024-10-21 07:00: 0.8850
2024-10-21 14:00: 0.1150
2024-10-21 22:00: 0.8850
2024-10-22 05:00: 0.1150
2024-10-22 13:00: 0.8850
2024-10-22 20:00: 0.1150
2024-10-23 04:00: 0.8750
2024-10-23 11:00: 0.1150
2024-10-23 19:00: 0.8950
2024-10-24 02:00: 0.1000
2024-10-24 10:00: 0.9150
2024-10-24 17:00: 0.0850
2024-10-25 01:00: 0.9150
2024-10-25 08:00: 0.0850
2024-10-25 16:00: 0.9150
2024-10-25 23:00: 0.0850
2024-10-26 07:00: 0.9150
2024-10-26 14:00: 0.0800
2024-10-26 22:00: 0.9200
2024-10-27 05:00: 0.0750
2024-10-27 13:00: 0.9250
2024-10-27 20:00: 0.0750
2024-10-28 04:00: 0.9250
2024-10-28 11:00: 0.0750
2024-10-28 19:00: 0.9250
2024-10-29 02:00: 0.0750
2024-10-29 10:00: 0.9200
2024-10-29 17:00: 0.0800
2024-10-30 01:00: 0.9250
2024-10-30 08:00: 0.0750
2024-10-30 16:00: 0.9250
2024-10-30 23:00: 0.0750
2024-10-31 07:00: 0.9200
2024-10-31 14:00: 0.0950
2024-10-31 22:00: 0.9050
2024-11-01 05:00: 0.0950
2024-11-01 13:00: 0.9050
2024-11-01 20:00: 0.0850
2024-11-02 04:00: 0.9150
2024-11-02 11:00: 0.0850
2024-11-02 19:00: 0.9250
2024-11-03 01:00: 0.0900
2024-11-03 09:00: 0.9100
2024-11-03 16:00: 0.0900
2024-11-04 00:00: 0.9050
2024-11-04 07:00: 0.0950
2024-11-04 15:00: 0.9000
2024-11-04 22:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-04-03 21:00: 0.8750
2024-04-04 10:00: 0.8800
2024-04-04 23:00: 0.8800
2024-04-05 12:00: 0.8800
2024-04-06 01:00: 0.8800
2024-04-06 14:00: 0.8800
2024-04-07 03:00: 0.8800
2024-04-07 16:00: 0.8750
2024-04-08 05:00: 0.8750
2024-04-08 18:00: 0.8750
2024-04-09 07:00: 0.8750
2024-04-09 20:00: 0.8750
2024-04-10 09:00: 0.8750
2024-04-10 22:00: 0.8750
2024-04-11 11:00: 0.8750
2024-04-12 00:00: 0.8750
2024-04-12 13:00: 0.8750
2024-04-13 02:00: 0.8750
2024-04-13 15:00: 0.8750
2024-04-14 04:00: 0.8750
2024-04-14 17:00: 0.8750
2024-04-15 06:00: 0.8750
2024-04-15 19:00: 0.8750
2024-04-16 08:00: 0.8750
2024-04-16 21:00: 0.8750
2024-04-17 10:00: 0.8750
2024-04-17 23:00: 0.8750
2024-04-18 12:00: 0.8750
2024-04-19 01:00: 0.8750
2024-04-19 14:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-04-20 12:00: 0.1250
2024-04-21 01:00: 0.1250
2024-04-21 14:00: 0.1250
2024-04-22 03:00: 0.1250
2024-04-22 16:00: 0.1250
2024-04-23 05:00: 0.1250
2024-04-23 18:00: 0.1250
2024-04-24 07:00: 0.1250
2024-04-24 20:00: 0.1250
2024-04-25 09:00: 0.1250
2024-04-25 22:00: 0.1250
2024-04-26 11:00: 0.1250
2024-04-27 00:00: 0.1250
2024-04-27 13:00: 0.1250
2024-04-28 02:00: 0.1250
2024-04-28 15:00: 0.1250
2024-04-29 04:00: 0.1250
2024-04-29 17:00: 0.1250
2024-04-30 06:00: 0.1250
2024-04-30 19:00: 0.1250
2024-05-01 08:00: 0.1250
2024-05-01 22:00: 0.1250
2024-05-02 11:00: 0.1250
2024-05-03 00:00: 0.1250
2024-05-03 13:00: 0.1250
2024-05-04 02:00: 0.1250
2024-05-04 15:00: 0.1250
2024-05-05 04:00: 0.1250
2024-05-05 17:00: 0.1250
2024-05-06 06:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-05-07 05:00: 0.8750
2024-05-07 18:00: 0.8750
2024-05-08 07:00: 0.8750
2024-05-08 20:00: 0.8750
2024-05-09 09:00: 0.8750
2024-05-09 22:00: 0.8750
2024-05-10 11:00: 0.8750
2024-05-11 00:00: 0.8750
2024-05-11 13:00: 0.8750
2024-05-12 02:00: 0.8750
2024-05-12 15:00: 0.8750
2024-05-13 04:00: 0.8750
2024-05-13 17:00: 0.8750
2024-05-14 06:00: 0.8750
2024-05-14 19:00: 0.8750
2024-05-15 08:00: 0.8750
2024-05-15 21:00: 0.8750
2024-05-16 10:00: 0.8750
2024-05-16 23:00: 0.8750
2024-05-17 12:00: 0.8750
2024-05-18 01:00: 0.8750
2024-05-18 14:00: 0.8750
2024-05-19 03:00: 0.8750
2024-05-19 16:00: 0.8750
2024-05-20 05:00: 0.8750
2024-05-20 18:00: 0.8750
2024-05-21 07:00: 0.8750
2024-05-21 20:00: 0.8750
2024-05-22 09:00: 0.8750
2024-05-22 22:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-05-23 20:00: 0.1250
2024-05-24 09:00: 0.1250
2024-05-24 22:00: 0.1250
2024-05-25 11:00: 0.1250
2024-05-26 00:00: 0.1250
2024-05-26 13:00: 0.1250
2024-05-27 02:00: 0.1250
2024-05-27 15:00: 0.1250
2024-05-28 04:00: 0.1250
2024-05-28 17:00: 0.1250
2024-05-29 06:00: 0.1250
2024-05-29 19:00: 0.1250
2024-05-30 08:00: 0.1250
2024-05-30 21:00: 0.1250
2024-05-31 10:00: 0.1250
2024-05-31 23:00: 0.1250
2024-06-01 12:00: 0.1250
2024-06-02 01:00: 0.1250
2024-06-02 14:00: 0.1250
2024-06-03 03:00: 0.1250
2024-06-03 16:00: 0.1250
2024-06-04 05:00: 0.1250
2024-06-04 18:00: 0.1250
2024-06-05 07:00: 0.1250
2024-06-05 20:00: 0.1250
2024-06-06 09:00: 0.1250
2024-06-06 22:00: 0.1250
2024-06-07 11:00: 0.1250
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.1250
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.8750
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.8750
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.8750
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.8750
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.8750
2024-06-12 05:00: 0.8750
2024-06-12 18:00: 0.8750
2024-06-13 07:00: 0.8750
2024-06-13 20:00: 0.8750
2024-06-14 09:00: 0.8750
2024-06-14 22:00: 0.8750
2024-06-15 11:00: 0.8750
2024-06-16 00:00: 0.8750
2024-06-16 13:00: 0.8750
2024-06-17 02:00: 0.8750
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.8750
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.8750
2024-06-18 17:00: 0.8750
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.8750
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.8750
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.8750
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.8750
2024-06-21 10:00: 0.8750
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.8750
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.8750
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.8750
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.8750
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.8750
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.8750
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.1250
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.1250
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.1250
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.1250
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.1250
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.1250
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.1250
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.1250
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.1250
2024-07-01 00:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.1150
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.1150
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.1150
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.1150
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.1150
2024-07-05 08:00: 0.1150
2024-07-05 21:00: 0.1150
2024-07-06 10:00: 0.1150
2024-07-06 23:00: 0.1150
2024-07-07 12:00: 0.1150
2024-07-08 01:00: 0.1150
2024-07-08 14:00: 0.1150
2024-07-09 03:00: 0.1150
2024-07-09 16:00: 0.1150
2024-07-10 05:00: 0.1150
2024-07-10 18:00: 0.1150
2024-07-11 07:00: 0.1150
2024-07-11 20:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-07-12 19:00: 0.8850
2024-07-13 08:00: 0.8850
2024-07-13 21:00: 0.8850
2024-07-14 10:00: 0.8850
2024-07-14 23:00: 0.8850
2024-07-15 12:00: 0.8850
2024-07-16 01:00: 0.8850
2024-07-16 14:00: 0.8850
2024-07-17 03:00: 0.8850
2024-07-17 16:00: 0.8850
2024-07-18 05:00: 0.8850
2024-07-18 18:00: 0.8850
2024-07-19 07:00: 0.8850
2024-07-19 20:00: 0.8850
2024-07-20 09:00: 0.8850
2024-07-20 22:00: 0.8850
2024-07-21 11:00: 0.8850
2024-07-22 01:00: 0.8850
2024-07-22 14:00: 0.8850
2024-07-23 03:00: 0.8850
2024-07-23 16:00: 0.8850
2024-07-24 05:00: 0.8850
2024-07-24 18:00: 0.8850
2024-07-25 07:00: 0.8850
2024-07-25 20:00: 0.8850
2024-07-26 09:00: 0.8850
2024-07-26 22:00: 0.8850
2024-07-27 11:00: 0.8850
2024-07-28 00:00: 0.8850
2024-07-28 13:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-07-29 11:00: 0.1150
2024-07-30 00:00: 0.1150
2024-07-30 13:00: 0.1150
2024-07-31 02:00: 0.1250
2024-07-31 15:00: 0.1300
2024-08-01 04:00: 0.1300
2024-08-01 17:00: 0.1700
2024-08-02 06:00: 0.1650
2024-08-02 19:00: 0.1750
2024-08-03 08:00: 0.1450
2024-08-03 21:00: 0.1450
2024-08-04 10:00: 0.1450
2024-08-04 23:00: 0.1500
2024-08-05 12:00: 0.1500
2024-08-06 01:00: 0.1550
2024-08-06 14:00: 0.1550
2024-08-07 03:00: 0.1550
2024-08-07 16:00: 0.1350
2024-08-08 05:00: 0.1400
2024-08-08 18:00: 0.1450
2024-08-09 07:00: 0.1400
2024-08-09 20:00: 0.1400
2024-08-10 09:00: 0.1400
2024-08-10 22:00: 0.1400
2024-08-11 11:00: 0.1400
2024-08-12 00:00: 0.1400
2024-08-12 13:00: 0.1400
2024-08-13 02:00: 0.1400
2024-08-13 15:00: 0.1550
2024-08-14 04:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-08-15 03:00: 0.8350
2024-08-15 16:00: 0.8350
2024-08-16 05:00: 0.8350
2024-08-16 18:00: 0.8350
2024-08-17 07:00: 0.8350
2024-08-17 20:00: 0.8350
2024-08-18 09:00: 0.8350
2024-08-18 22:00: 0.8350
2024-08-19 11:00: 0.8350
2024-08-20 00:00: 0.8350
2024-08-20 13:00: 0.8350
2024-08-21 02:00: 0.8350
2024-08-21 15:00: 0.8350
2024-08-22 04:00: 0.8350
2024-08-22 17:00: 0.8350
2024-08-23 06:00: 0.8350
2024-08-23 19:00: 0.8300
2024-08-24 08:00: 0.8300
2024-08-24 21:00: 0.8300
2024-08-25 10:00: 0.5650
2024-08-25 23:00: 0.7300
2024-08-26 12:00: 0.8000
2024-08-27 01:00: 0.7650
2024-08-27 14:00: 0.7450
2024-08-28 03:00: 0.7850
2024-08-28 16:00: 0.7850
2024-08-29 05:00: 0.7750
2024-08-29 18:00: 0.7950
2024-08-30 07:00: 0.7950
2024-08-30 20:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-08-31 18:00: 0.2000
2024-09-01 07:00: 0.1900
2024-09-01 20:00: 0.1900
2024-09-02 09:00: 0.1750
2024-09-02 22:00: 0.1700
2024-09-03 11:00: 0.1650
2024-09-04 00:00: 0.1600
2024-09-04 13:00: 0.1600
2024-09-05 02:00: 0.1800
2024-09-05 15:00: 0.1800
2024-09-06 04:00: 0.1450
2024-09-06 17:00: 0.1800
2024-09-07 06:00: 0.1800
2024-09-07 19:00: 0.1950
2024-09-08 08:00: 0.1900
2024-09-08 21:00: 0.1900
2024-09-09 10:00: 0.1900
2024-09-09 23:00: 0.1900
2024-09-10 12:00: 0.1900
2024-09-11 01:00: 0.1900
2024-09-11 14:00: 0.1900
2024-09-12 03:00: 0.1750
2024-09-12 16:00: 0.1800
2024-09-13 05:00: 0.1800
2024-09-13 18:00: 0.1800
2024-09-14 07:00: 0.1800
2024-09-14 20:00: 0.1800
2024-09-15 09:00: 0.1800
2024-09-15 22:00: 0.1800
2024-09-16 11:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-09-17 10:00: 0.8200
2024-09-17 23:00: 0.8200
2024-09-18 12:00: 0.8200
2024-09-19 01:00: 0.8250
2024-09-19 14:00: 0.8250
2024-09-20 03:00: 0.8150
2024-09-20 16:00: 0.8150
2024-09-21 05:00: 0.8200
2024-09-21 18:00: 0.8200
2024-09-22 07:00: 0.8200
2024-09-22 20:00: 0.8200
2024-09-23 09:00: 0.8200
2024-09-23 22:00: 0.8350
2024-09-24 11:00: 0.8350
2024-09-25 00:00: 0.8250
2024-09-25 13:00: 0.8250
2024-09-26 02:00: 0.8250
2024-09-26 15:00: 0.8300
2024-09-27 04:00: 0.8250
2024-09-27 17:00: 0.8250
2024-09-28 06:00: 0.8250
2024-09-28 19:00: 0.8250
2024-09-29 08:00: 0.8250
2024-09-29 21:00: 0.8250
2024-09-30 10:00: 0.8250
2024-09-30 23:00: 0.8150
2024-10-01 12:00: 0.8150
2024-10-02 01:00: 0.8200
2024-10-02 13:00: 0.8200
2024-10-03 02:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-10-04 00:00: 0.1900
2024-10-04 13:00: 0.1900
2024-10-05 02:00: 0.1900
2024-10-05 15:00: 0.1850
2024-10-06 04:00: 0.1850
2024-10-06 17:00: 0.1800
2024-10-07 06:00: 0.1800
2024-10-07 19:00: 0.1800
2024-10-08 08:00: 0.1400
2024-10-08 21:00: 0.1350
2024-10-09 10:00: 0.1350
2024-10-09 23:00: 0.1350
2024-10-10 12:00: 0.1450
2024-10-11 01:00: 0.1100
2024-10-11 14:00: 0.1100
2024-10-12 03:00: 0.1150
2024-10-12 16:00: 0.1150
2024-10-13 05:00: 0.1150
2024-10-13 18:00: 0.1050
2024-10-14 07:00: 0.0950
2024-10-14 20:00: 0.0950
2024-10-15 09:00: 0.0950
2024-10-15 22:00: 0.0950
2024-10-16 11:00: 0.0950
2024-10-17 00:00: 0.1050
2024-10-17 13:00: 0.1050
2024-10-18 02:00: 0.1100
2024-10-18 15:00: 0.1100
2024-10-19 04:00: 0.1150
2024-10-19 17:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500657
Question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 297222.151563
Price History:
2024-10-20 16:00: 0.8900
2024-10-21 05:00: 0.8850
2024-10-21 18:00: 0.8850
2024-10-22 07:00: 0.8850
2024-10-22 20:00: 0.8850
2024-10-23 09:00: 0.8850
2024-10-23 22:00: 0.9000
2024-10-24 11:00: 0.9150
2024-10-25 00:00: 0.9150
2024-10-25 13:00: 0.9150
2024-10-26 02:00: 0.9150
2024-10-26 15:00: 0.9200
2024-10-27 04:00: 0.9250
2024-10-27 17:00: 0.9250
2024-10-28 06:00: 0.9250
2024-10-28 19:00: 0.9250
2024-10-29 08:00: 0.9200
2024-10-29 21:00: 0.9250
2024-10-30 10:00: 0.9250
2024-10-30 23:00: 0.9250
2024-10-31 12:00: 0.9050
2024-11-01 01:00: 0.9050
2024-11-01 14:00: 0.9050
2024-11-02 03:00: 0.9150
2024-11-02 16:00: 0.9250
2024-11-03 04:00: 0.9100
2024-11-03 17:00: 0.9100
2024-11-04 06:00: 0.9050
2024-11-04 19:00: 0.9050
2024-11-05 08:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-04-03 21:00: 0.0060
2024-04-04 04:00: 0.9940
2024-04-04 12:00: 0.0060
2024-04-04 19:00: 0.9940
2024-04-05 03:00: 0.0060
2024-04-05 10:00: 0.9940
2024-04-05 18:00: 0.0060
2024-04-06 01:00: 0.9940
2024-04-06 09:00: 0.0060
2024-04-06 16:00: 0.9940
2024-04-07 00:00: 0.0105
2024-04-07 07:00: 0.9900
2024-04-07 15:00: 0.0100
2024-04-07 22:00: 0.9900
2024-04-08 06:00: 0.0100
2024-04-08 13:00: 0.9900
2024-04-08 21:00: 0.0100
2024-04-09 04:00: 0.9900
2024-04-09 12:00: 0.0100
2024-04-09 19:00: 0.9900
2024-04-10 03:00: 0.0100
2024-04-10 10:00: 0.9900
2024-04-10 18:00: 0.0100
2024-04-11 01:00: 0.9900
2024-04-11 09:00: 0.0100
2024-04-11 16:00: 0.9900
2024-04-12 00:00: 0.0100
2024-04-12 07:00: 0.9900
2024-04-12 15:00: 0.0100
2024-04-12 22:00: 0.9900
2024-04-13 06:00: 0.0100
2024-04-13 13:00: 0.9900
2024-04-13 21:00: 0.0100
2024-04-14 04:00: 0.9900
2024-04-14 12:00: 0.0100
2024-04-14 19:00: 0.9900
2024-04-15 03:00: 0.0100
2024-04-15 10:00: 0.9900
2024-04-15 18:00: 0.0100
2024-04-16 01:00: 0.9900
2024-04-16 09:00: 0.0100
2024-04-16 16:00: 0.9900
2024-04-17 00:00: 0.0100
2024-04-17 07:00: 0.9900
2024-04-17 15:00: 0.0100
2024-04-17 22:00: 0.9900
2024-04-18 06:00: 0.0100
2024-04-18 13:00: 0.9900
2024-04-18 21:00: 0.0100
2024-04-19 04:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-04-20 12:00: 0.9900
2024-04-20 20:00: 0.0100
2024-04-21 03:00: 0.9900
2024-04-21 11:00: 0.0100
2024-04-21 18:00: 0.9900
2024-04-22 02:00: 0.0100
2024-04-22 09:00: 0.9900
2024-04-22 17:00: 0.0100
2024-04-23 00:00: 0.9900
2024-04-23 08:00: 0.0100
2024-04-23 15:00: 0.9900
2024-04-23 23:00: 0.0100
2024-04-24 06:00: 0.9900
2024-04-24 14:00: 0.0100
2024-04-24 21:00: 0.9900
2024-04-25 05:00: 0.0100
2024-04-25 12:00: 0.9900
2024-04-25 20:00: 0.0120
2024-04-26 03:00: 0.9880
2024-04-26 11:00: 0.0120
2024-04-26 18:00: 0.9880
2024-04-27 02:00: 0.0120
2024-04-27 09:00: 0.9880
2024-04-27 17:00: 0.0120
2024-04-28 00:00: 0.9880
2024-04-28 08:00: 0.0120
2024-04-28 15:00: 0.9880
2024-04-28 23:00: 0.0120
2024-04-29 06:00: 0.9880
2024-04-29 14:00: 0.0120
2024-04-29 21:00: 0.9880
2024-04-30 05:00: 0.0120
2024-04-30 12:00: 0.9880
2024-04-30 20:00: 0.0120
2024-05-01 03:00: 0.9880
2024-05-01 11:00: 0.0120
2024-05-01 19:00: 0.9880
2024-05-02 03:00: 0.0120
2024-05-02 10:00: 0.9880
2024-05-02 18:00: 0.0120
2024-05-03 01:00: 0.9880
2024-05-03 09:00: 0.0120
2024-05-03 16:00: 0.9880
2024-05-04 00:00: 0.0120
2024-05-04 07:00: 0.9880
2024-05-04 15:00: 0.0120
2024-05-04 22:00: 0.9895
2024-05-05 06:00: 0.0105
2024-05-05 13:00: 0.9895
2024-05-05 21:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-05-07 05:00: 0.0105
2024-05-07 12:00: 0.9895
2024-05-07 20:00: 0.0105
2024-05-08 03:00: 0.9895
2024-05-08 11:00: 0.0105
2024-05-08 18:00: 0.9900
2024-05-09 02:00: 0.0100
2024-05-09 09:00: 0.9895
2024-05-09 17:00: 0.0105
2024-05-10 00:00: 0.9895
2024-05-10 08:00: 0.0105
2024-05-10 15:00: 0.9895
2024-05-10 23:00: 0.0105
2024-05-11 06:00: 0.9895
2024-05-11 14:00: 0.0105
2024-05-11 21:00: 0.9895
2024-05-12 05:00: 0.0105
2024-05-12 12:00: 0.9895
2024-05-12 20:00: 0.0105
2024-05-13 03:00: 0.9895
2024-05-13 11:00: 0.0105
2024-05-13 18:00: 0.9895
2024-05-14 02:00: 0.0105
2024-05-14 09:00: 0.9895
2024-05-14 17:00: 0.0105
2024-05-15 00:00: 0.9895
2024-05-15 08:00: 0.0105
2024-05-15 15:00: 0.9900
2024-05-15 23:00: 0.0095
2024-05-16 06:00: 0.9905
2024-05-16 14:00: 0.0095
2024-05-16 21:00: 0.9905
2024-05-17 05:00: 0.0100
2024-05-17 12:00: 0.9905
2024-05-17 20:00: 0.0095
2024-05-18 03:00: 0.9905
2024-05-18 11:00: 0.0095
2024-05-18 18:00: 0.9905
2024-05-19 02:00: 0.0100
2024-05-19 09:00: 0.9905
2024-05-19 17:00: 0.0095
2024-05-20 00:00: 0.9905
2024-05-20 08:00: 0.0095
2024-05-20 15:00: 0.9905
2024-05-20 23:00: 0.0095
2024-05-21 06:00: 0.9905
2024-05-21 14:00: 0.0095
2024-05-21 21:00: 0.9905
2024-05-22 05:00: 0.0095
2024-05-22 12:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-05-23 20:00: 0.9905
2024-05-24 04:00: 0.0095
2024-05-24 11:00: 0.9900
2024-05-24 19:00: 0.0105
2024-05-25 02:00: 0.9895
2024-05-25 10:00: 0.0105
2024-05-25 17:00: 0.9895
2024-05-26 01:00: 0.0105
2024-05-26 08:00: 0.9895
2024-05-26 16:00: 0.0105
2024-05-26 23:00: 0.9895
2024-05-27 07:00: 0.0105
2024-05-27 14:00: 0.9895
2024-05-27 22:00: 0.0105
2024-05-28 05:00: 0.9890
2024-05-28 13:00: 0.0110
2024-05-28 20:00: 0.9890
2024-05-29 04:00: 0.0105
2024-05-29 11:00: 0.9895
2024-05-29 19:00: 0.0110
2024-05-30 02:00: 0.9895
2024-05-30 10:00: 0.0105
2024-05-30 17:00: 0.9890
2024-05-31 01:00: 0.0110
2024-05-31 08:00: 0.9890
2024-05-31 16:00: 0.0110
2024-05-31 23:00: 0.9895
2024-06-01 07:00: 0.0110
2024-06-01 14:00: 0.9895
2024-06-01 22:00: 0.0105
2024-06-02 05:00: 0.9895
2024-06-02 13:00: 0.0110
2024-06-02 20:00: 0.9890
2024-06-03 04:00: 0.0110
2024-06-03 11:00: 0.9890
2024-06-03 19:00: 0.0110
2024-06-04 02:00: 0.9890
2024-06-04 10:00: 0.0110
2024-06-04 17:00: 0.9890
2024-06-05 01:00: 0.0110
2024-06-05 08:00: 0.9890
2024-06-05 16:00: 0.0110
2024-06-05 23:00: 0.9890
2024-06-06 07:00: 0.0110
2024-06-06 14:00: 0.9890
2024-06-06 22:00: 0.0110
2024-06-07 05:00: 0.9890
2024-06-07 13:00: 0.0110
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.9890
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.0110
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.9890
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.0110
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.9890
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.0110
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.9890
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.0110
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 00:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 07:00: 0.9890
2024-06-12 15:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 22:00: 0.9890
2024-06-13 06:00: 0.0110
2024-06-13 13:00: 0.9890
2024-06-13 21:00: 0.0110
2024-06-14 04:00: 0.9890
2024-06-14 12:00: 0.0110
2024-06-14 19:00: 0.9890
2024-06-15 03:00: 0.0110
2024-06-15 10:00: 0.9890
2024-06-15 18:00: 0.0110
2024-06-16 01:00: 0.9890
2024-06-16 09:00: 0.0110
2024-06-16 16:00: 0.9890
2024-06-17 00:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 07:00: 0.9895
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.9895
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.0105
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.9895
2024-06-18 21:00: 0.0105
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.9845
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.0155
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.9845
2024-06-20 03:00: 0.0155
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.9845
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.0110
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.9890
2024-06-21 09:00: 0.0110
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.9890
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.0110
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.9890
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.0110
2024-06-22 22:00: 0.9890
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.0110
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.9890
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.0110
2024-06-24 04:00: 0.9890
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.0110
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.9890
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.0110
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.9890
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.0110
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.9890
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.0110
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.9890
2024-06-28 08:00: 0.0110
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.9890
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.0110
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.9890
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.0105
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.9895
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.0105
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.9895
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.0105
2024-07-01 03:00: 0.9895
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.0105
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.9895
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.0105
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.9900
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.0105
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.9895
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.0105
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.9895
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.0105
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 05:00: 0.0100
2024-07-05 12:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 20:00: 0.0100
2024-07-06 03:00: 0.9900
2024-07-06 11:00: 0.0100
2024-07-06 18:00: 0.9900
2024-07-07 02:00: 0.0100
2024-07-07 09:00: 0.9900
2024-07-07 17:00: 0.0100
2024-07-08 00:00: 0.9900
2024-07-08 08:00: 0.0100
2024-07-08 15:00: 0.9900
2024-07-08 23:00: 0.0100
2024-07-09 06:00: 0.9900
2024-07-09 14:00: 0.0100
2024-07-09 21:00: 0.9900
2024-07-10 05:00: 0.0095
2024-07-10 12:00: 0.9905
2024-07-10 20:00: 0.0095
2024-07-11 03:00: 0.9910
2024-07-11 11:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-07-12 19:00: 0.0090
2024-07-13 02:00: 0.9910
2024-07-13 10:00: 0.0090
2024-07-13 17:00: 0.9910
2024-07-14 01:00: 0.0095
2024-07-14 08:00: 0.9910
2024-07-14 16:00: 0.0090
2024-07-14 23:00: 0.9910
2024-07-15 07:00: 0.0090
2024-07-15 14:00: 0.9910
2024-07-15 22:00: 0.0090
2024-07-16 05:00: 0.9905
2024-07-16 13:00: 0.0090
2024-07-16 20:00: 0.9910
2024-07-17 04:00: 0.0090
2024-07-17 11:00: 0.9910
2024-07-17 19:00: 0.0090
2024-07-18 02:00: 0.9910
2024-07-18 10:00: 0.0090
2024-07-18 17:00: 0.9910
2024-07-19 01:00: 0.0090
2024-07-19 08:00: 0.9910
2024-07-19 16:00: 0.0090
2024-07-19 23:00: 0.9910
2024-07-20 07:00: 0.0090
2024-07-20 14:00: 0.9910
2024-07-20 22:00: 0.0095
2024-07-21 05:00: 0.9905
2024-07-21 13:00: 0.0095
2024-07-21 21:00: 0.9905
2024-07-22 05:00: 0.0095
2024-07-22 12:00: 0.9905
2024-07-22 20:00: 0.0095
2024-07-23 03:00: 0.9905
2024-07-23 11:00: 0.0095
2024-07-23 18:00: 0.9905
2024-07-24 02:00: 0.0095
2024-07-24 09:00: 0.9905
2024-07-24 17:00: 0.0095
2024-07-25 00:00: 0.9905
2024-07-25 08:00: 0.0095
2024-07-25 15:00: 0.9905
2024-07-25 23:00: 0.0095
2024-07-26 06:00: 0.9905
2024-07-26 14:00: 0.0100
2024-07-26 21:00: 0.9900
2024-07-27 05:00: 0.0100
2024-07-27 12:00: 0.9900
2024-07-27 20:00: 0.0100
2024-07-28 03:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-07-29 11:00: 0.9895
2024-07-29 19:00: 0.0105
2024-07-30 02:00: 0.9895
2024-07-30 10:00: 0.0105
2024-07-30 17:00: 0.9895
2024-07-31 01:00: 0.0095
2024-07-31 08:00: 0.9905
2024-07-31 16:00: 0.0090
2024-07-31 23:00: 0.9935
2024-08-01 07:00: 0.0065
2024-08-01 14:00: 0.9935
2024-08-01 22:00: 0.0065
2024-08-02 05:00: 0.9935
2024-08-02 13:00: 0.0065
2024-08-02 20:00: 0.9935
2024-08-03 04:00: 0.0065
2024-08-03 11:00: 0.9935
2024-08-03 19:00: 0.0070
2024-08-04 02:00: 0.9930
2024-08-04 10:00: 0.0070
2024-08-04 17:00: 0.9930
2024-08-05 01:00: 0.0070
2024-08-05 08:00: 0.9930
2024-08-05 16:00: 0.0060
2024-08-05 23:00: 0.9940
2024-08-06 07:00: 0.0060
2024-08-06 14:00: 0.9940
2024-08-06 22:00: 0.0060
2024-08-07 05:00: 0.9940
2024-08-07 13:00: 0.0060
2024-08-07 20:00: 0.9940
2024-08-08 04:00: 0.0050
2024-08-08 11:00: 0.9945
2024-08-08 19:00: 0.0055
2024-08-09 02:00: 0.9945
2024-08-09 10:00: 0.0055
2024-08-09 17:00: 0.9950
2024-08-10 01:00: 0.0055
2024-08-10 08:00: 0.9950
2024-08-10 16:00: 0.0050
2024-08-10 23:00: 0.9950
2024-08-11 07:00: 0.0055
2024-08-11 14:00: 0.9945
2024-08-11 22:00: 0.0055
2024-08-12 05:00: 0.9945
2024-08-12 13:00: 0.0055
2024-08-12 20:00: 0.9945
2024-08-13 04:00: 0.0055
2024-08-13 11:00: 0.9950
2024-08-13 19:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-08-15 03:00: 0.0035
2024-08-15 10:00: 0.9965
2024-08-15 18:00: 0.0035
2024-08-16 01:00: 0.9965
2024-08-16 09:00: 0.0035
2024-08-16 16:00: 0.9970
2024-08-17 00:00: 0.0025
2024-08-17 07:00: 0.9975
2024-08-17 15:00: 0.0025
2024-08-17 22:00: 0.9975
2024-08-18 06:00: 0.0025
2024-08-18 13:00: 0.9975
2024-08-18 21:00: 0.0025
2024-08-19 04:00: 0.9975
2024-08-19 12:00: 0.0025
2024-08-19 19:00: 0.9965
2024-08-20 03:00: 0.0035
2024-08-20 10:00: 0.9965
2024-08-20 18:00: 0.0025
2024-08-21 01:00: 0.9965
2024-08-21 09:00: 0.0035
2024-08-21 16:00: 0.9965
2024-08-22 00:00: 0.0035
2024-08-22 07:00: 0.9965
2024-08-22 15:00: 0.0030
2024-08-22 22:00: 0.9970
2024-08-23 06:00: 0.0030
2024-08-23 13:00: 0.9975
2024-08-23 21:00: 0.0025
2024-08-24 04:00: 0.9975
2024-08-24 12:00: 0.0025
2024-08-24 19:00: 0.9975
2024-08-25 03:00: 0.0025
2024-08-25 10:00: 0.9975
2024-08-25 18:00: 0.0030
2024-08-26 01:00: 0.9970
2024-08-26 09:00: 0.0030
2024-08-26 16:00: 0.9970
2024-08-27 00:00: 0.0035
2024-08-27 07:00: 0.9980
2024-08-27 15:00: 0.0020
2024-08-27 22:00: 0.9980
2024-08-28 06:00: 0.0020
2024-08-28 13:00: 0.9980
2024-08-28 21:00: 0.0020
2024-08-29 04:00: 0.9980
2024-08-29 12:00: 0.0020
2024-08-29 19:00: 0.9980
2024-08-30 03:00: 0.0020
2024-08-30 10:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-08-31 18:00: 0.9980
2024-09-01 02:00: 0.0020
2024-09-01 09:00: 0.9980
2024-09-01 17:00: 0.0020
2024-09-02 00:00: 0.9980
2024-09-02 08:00: 0.0020
2024-09-02 15:00: 0.9980
2024-09-02 23:00: 0.0020
2024-09-03 06:00: 0.9980
2024-09-03 14:00: 0.0015
2024-09-03 21:00: 0.9985
2024-09-04 05:00: 0.0015
2024-09-04 12:00: 0.9985
2024-09-04 20:00: 0.0015
2024-09-05 03:00: 0.9985
2024-09-05 11:00: 0.0015
2024-09-05 18:00: 0.9985
2024-09-06 02:00: 0.0015
2024-09-06 09:00: 0.9985
2024-09-06 17:00: 0.0015
2024-09-07 00:00: 0.9985
2024-09-07 08:00: 0.0015
2024-09-07 15:00: 0.9985
2024-09-07 23:00: 0.0015
2024-09-08 06:00: 0.9985
2024-09-08 14:00: 0.0015
2024-09-08 21:00: 0.9985
2024-09-09 05:00: 0.0015
2024-09-09 12:00: 0.9985
2024-09-09 20:00: 0.0015
2024-09-10 03:00: 0.9985
2024-09-10 11:00: 0.0015
2024-09-10 18:00: 0.9985
2024-09-11 02:00: 0.0015
2024-09-11 09:00: 0.9985
2024-09-11 17:00: 0.0015
2024-09-12 00:00: 0.9985
2024-09-12 08:00: 0.0030
2024-09-12 15:00: 0.9970
2024-09-12 23:00: 0.0030
2024-09-13 06:00: 0.9970
2024-09-13 14:00: 0.0025
2024-09-13 21:00: 0.9975
2024-09-14 05:00: 0.0025
2024-09-14 12:00: 0.9975
2024-09-14 20:00: 0.0025
2024-09-15 03:00: 0.9975
2024-09-15 11:00: 0.0025
2024-09-15 18:00: 0.9975
2024-09-16 02:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-09-17 10:00: 0.0025
2024-09-17 17:00: 0.9975
2024-09-18 01:00: 0.0025
2024-09-18 08:00: 0.9975
2024-09-18 16:00: 0.0025
2024-09-18 23:00: 0.9975
2024-09-19 07:00: 0.0025
2024-09-19 14:00: 0.9975
2024-09-19 22:00: 0.0025
2024-09-20 05:00: 0.9975
2024-09-20 13:00: 0.0025
2024-09-20 20:00: 0.9975
2024-09-21 04:00: 0.0025
2024-09-21 11:00: 0.9975
2024-09-21 19:00: 0.0025
2024-09-22 02:00: 0.9975
2024-09-22 10:00: 0.0025
2024-09-22 17:00: 0.9975
2024-09-23 01:00: 0.0025
2024-09-23 08:00: 0.9975
2024-09-23 16:00: 0.0025
2024-09-23 23:00: 0.9975
2024-09-24 07:00: 0.0025
2024-09-24 14:00: 0.9975
2024-09-24 22:00: 0.0025
2024-09-25 05:00: 0.9975
2024-09-25 13:00: 0.0025
2024-09-25 20:00: 0.9975
2024-09-26 04:00: 0.0025
2024-09-26 11:00: 0.9970
2024-09-26 19:00: 0.0020
2024-09-27 02:00: 0.9980
2024-09-27 10:00: 0.0020
2024-09-27 17:00: 0.9975
2024-09-28 01:00: 0.0025
2024-09-28 08:00: 0.9980
2024-09-28 16:00: 0.0020
2024-09-28 23:00: 0.9980
2024-09-29 07:00: 0.0020
2024-09-29 14:00: 0.9980
2024-09-29 22:00: 0.0020
2024-09-30 05:00: 0.9980
2024-09-30 13:00: 0.0020
2024-09-30 20:00: 0.9980
2024-10-01 04:00: 0.0020
2024-10-01 11:00: 0.9980
2024-10-01 19:00: 0.0020
2024-10-02 02:00: 0.9980
2024-10-02 10:00: 0.0020
2024-10-02 16:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-10-04 00:00: 0.9985
2024-10-04 08:00: 0.0015
2024-10-04 15:00: 0.9985
2024-10-04 23:00: 0.0015
2024-10-05 06:00: 0.9985
2024-10-05 14:00: 0.0015
2024-10-05 21:00: 0.9980
2024-10-06 05:00: 0.0020
2024-10-06 12:00: 0.9980
2024-10-06 20:00: 0.0020
2024-10-07 03:00: 0.9980
2024-10-07 11:00: 0.0020
2024-10-07 18:00: 0.9980
2024-10-08 02:00: 0.0020
2024-10-08 09:00: 0.9980
2024-10-08 17:00: 0.0020
2024-10-09 00:00: 0.9980
2024-10-09 08:00: 0.0020
2024-10-09 15:00: 0.9980
2024-10-09 23:00: 0.0020
2024-10-10 06:00: 0.9980
2024-10-10 14:00: 0.0020
2024-10-10 21:00: 0.9985
2024-10-11 05:00: 0.0025
2024-10-11 12:00: 0.9980
2024-10-11 20:00: 0.0020
2024-10-12 03:00: 0.9980
2024-10-12 11:00: 0.0020
2024-10-12 18:00: 0.9980
2024-10-13 02:00: 0.0020
2024-10-13 09:00: 0.9980
2024-10-13 17:00: 0.0015
2024-10-14 00:00: 0.9985
2024-10-14 08:00: 0.0015
2024-10-14 15:00: 0.9985
2024-10-14 23:00: 0.0015
2024-10-15 06:00: 0.9980
2024-10-15 14:00: 0.0020
2024-10-15 21:00: 0.9980
2024-10-16 05:00: 0.0020
2024-10-16 12:00: 0.9980
2024-10-16 20:00: 0.0020
2024-10-17 03:00: 0.9980
2024-10-17 11:00: 0.0020
2024-10-17 18:00: 0.9980
2024-10-18 02:00: 0.0020
2024-10-18 09:00: 0.9980
2024-10-18 17:00: 0.0020
2024-10-19 00:00: 0.9980
2024-10-19 08:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-10-20 16:00: 0.0025
2024-10-20 23:00: 0.9975
2024-10-21 07:00: 0.0015
2024-10-21 14:00: 0.9985
2024-10-21 22:00: 0.0015
2024-10-22 05:00: 0.9985
2024-10-22 13:00: 0.0015
2024-10-22 20:00: 0.9985
2024-10-23 04:00: 0.0015
2024-10-23 11:00: 0.9980
2024-10-23 19:00: 0.0020
2024-10-24 02:00: 0.9980
2024-10-24 10:00: 0.0020
2024-10-24 17:00: 0.9980
2024-10-25 01:00: 0.0020
2024-10-25 08:00: 0.9980
2024-10-25 16:00: 0.0020
2024-10-25 23:00: 0.9980
2024-10-26 07:00: 0.0020
2024-10-26 14:00: 0.9975
2024-10-26 22:00: 0.0025
2024-10-27 05:00: 0.9975
2024-10-27 13:00: 0.0025
2024-10-27 20:00: 0.9950
2024-10-28 04:00: 0.0050
2024-10-28 11:00: 0.9950
2024-10-28 19:00: 0.0050
2024-10-29 02:00: 0.9950
2024-10-29 10:00: 0.0025
2024-10-29 17:00: 0.9975
2024-10-30 01:00: 0.0025
2024-10-30 08:00: 0.9975
2024-10-30 16:00: 0.0025
2024-10-30 23:00: 0.9975
2024-10-31 07:00: 0.0025
2024-10-31 14:00: 0.9975
2024-10-31 22:00: 0.0025
2024-11-01 05:00: 0.9975
2024-11-01 13:00: 0.0030
2024-11-01 20:00: 0.9970
2024-11-02 04:00: 0.0030
2024-11-02 11:00: 0.9970
2024-11-02 19:00: 0.0030
2024-11-03 01:00: 0.9970
2024-11-03 09:00: 0.0040
2024-11-03 16:00: 0.9960
2024-11-04 00:00: 0.0035
2024-11-04 07:00: 0.9970
2024-11-04 15:00: 0.0030
2024-11-04 22:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-04-03 21:00: 0.0060
2024-04-04 10:00: 0.0060
2024-04-04 23:00: 0.0060
2024-04-05 12:00: 0.0060
2024-04-06 01:00: 0.0060
2024-04-06 14:00: 0.0060
2024-04-07 03:00: 0.0105
2024-04-07 16:00: 0.0100
2024-04-08 05:00: 0.0100
2024-04-08 18:00: 0.0100
2024-04-09 07:00: 0.0100
2024-04-09 20:00: 0.0100
2024-04-10 09:00: 0.0100
2024-04-10 22:00: 0.0100
2024-04-11 11:00: 0.0100
2024-04-12 00:00: 0.0100
2024-04-12 13:00: 0.0100
2024-04-13 02:00: 0.0100
2024-04-13 15:00: 0.0100
2024-04-14 04:00: 0.0100
2024-04-14 17:00: 0.0100
2024-04-15 06:00: 0.0100
2024-04-15 19:00: 0.0100
2024-04-16 08:00: 0.0100
2024-04-16 21:00: 0.0100
2024-04-17 10:00: 0.0100
2024-04-17 23:00: 0.0100
2024-04-18 12:00: 0.0100
2024-04-19 01:00: 0.0100
2024-04-19 14:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-04-20 12:00: 0.9900
2024-04-21 01:00: 0.9900
2024-04-21 14:00: 0.9900
2024-04-22 03:00: 0.9900
2024-04-22 16:00: 0.9900
2024-04-23 05:00: 0.9900
2024-04-23 18:00: 0.9900
2024-04-24 07:00: 0.9900
2024-04-24 20:00: 0.9900
2024-04-25 09:00: 0.9900
2024-04-25 22:00: 0.9880
2024-04-26 11:00: 0.9880
2024-04-27 00:00: 0.9880
2024-04-27 13:00: 0.9880
2024-04-28 02:00: 0.9880
2024-04-28 15:00: 0.9880
2024-04-29 04:00: 0.9880
2024-04-29 17:00: 0.9880
2024-04-30 06:00: 0.9880
2024-04-30 19:00: 0.9880
2024-05-01 08:00: 0.9880
2024-05-01 22:00: 0.9880
2024-05-02 11:00: 0.9880
2024-05-03 00:00: 0.9880
2024-05-03 13:00: 0.9880
2024-05-04 02:00: 0.9880
2024-05-04 15:00: 0.9880
2024-05-05 04:00: 0.9895
2024-05-05 17:00: 0.9895
2024-05-06 06:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-05-07 05:00: 0.0105
2024-05-07 18:00: 0.0105
2024-05-08 07:00: 0.0105
2024-05-08 20:00: 0.0100
2024-05-09 09:00: 0.0105
2024-05-09 22:00: 0.0105
2024-05-10 11:00: 0.0105
2024-05-11 00:00: 0.0105
2024-05-11 13:00: 0.0105
2024-05-12 02:00: 0.0105
2024-05-12 15:00: 0.0105
2024-05-13 04:00: 0.0105
2024-05-13 17:00: 0.0105
2024-05-14 06:00: 0.0105
2024-05-14 19:00: 0.0105
2024-05-15 08:00: 0.0105
2024-05-15 21:00: 0.0095
2024-05-16 10:00: 0.0095
2024-05-16 23:00: 0.0095
2024-05-17 12:00: 0.0095
2024-05-18 01:00: 0.0095
2024-05-18 14:00: 0.0095
2024-05-19 03:00: 0.0100
2024-05-19 16:00: 0.0095
2024-05-20 05:00: 0.0095
2024-05-20 18:00: 0.0095
2024-05-21 07:00: 0.0095
2024-05-21 20:00: 0.0095
2024-05-22 09:00: 0.0095
2024-05-22 22:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-05-23 20:00: 0.9905
2024-05-24 09:00: 0.9905
2024-05-24 22:00: 0.9895
2024-05-25 11:00: 0.9895
2024-05-26 00:00: 0.9895
2024-05-26 13:00: 0.9895
2024-05-27 02:00: 0.9895
2024-05-27 15:00: 0.9895
2024-05-28 04:00: 0.9890
2024-05-28 17:00: 0.9890
2024-05-29 06:00: 0.9900
2024-05-29 19:00: 0.9890
2024-05-30 08:00: 0.9895
2024-05-30 21:00: 0.9890
2024-05-31 10:00: 0.9890
2024-05-31 23:00: 0.9895
2024-06-01 12:00: 0.9895
2024-06-02 01:00: 0.9890
2024-06-02 14:00: 0.9890
2024-06-03 03:00: 0.9890
2024-06-03 16:00: 0.9890
2024-06-04 05:00: 0.9890
2024-06-04 18:00: 0.9890
2024-06-05 07:00: 0.9890
2024-06-05 20:00: 0.9890
2024-06-06 09:00: 0.9890
2024-06-06 22:00: 0.9890
2024-06-07 11:00: 0.9890
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.9890
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.0110
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.0110
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.0110
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.0110
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 05:00: 0.0110
2024-06-12 18:00: 0.0110
2024-06-13 07:00: 0.0110
2024-06-13 20:00: 0.0110
2024-06-14 09:00: 0.0110
2024-06-14 22:00: 0.0110
2024-06-15 11:00: 0.0110
2024-06-16 00:00: 0.0110
2024-06-16 13:00: 0.0110
2024-06-17 02:00: 0.0105
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.0105
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.0105
2024-06-18 17:00: 0.0105
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.0155
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.0155
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.0155
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.0110
2024-06-21 10:00: 0.0110
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.0110
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.0110
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.0110
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.0110
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.0110
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.0110
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.9890
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.9890
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.9890
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.9890
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.9890
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.9890
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.9890
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.9895
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.9895
2024-07-01 00:00: 0.9895
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.9895
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.9895
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.9895
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.9895
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.9895
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 08:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 21:00: 0.9900
2024-07-06 10:00: 0.9900
2024-07-06 23:00: 0.9900
2024-07-07 12:00: 0.9900
2024-07-08 01:00: 0.9900
2024-07-08 14:00: 0.9900
2024-07-09 03:00: 0.9900
2024-07-09 16:00: 0.9900
2024-07-10 05:00: 0.9905
2024-07-10 18:00: 0.9905
2024-07-11 07:00: 0.9910
2024-07-11 20:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-07-12 19:00: 0.0090
2024-07-13 08:00: 0.0090
2024-07-13 21:00: 0.0090
2024-07-14 10:00: 0.0090
2024-07-14 23:00: 0.0090
2024-07-15 12:00: 0.0090
2024-07-16 01:00: 0.0095
2024-07-16 14:00: 0.0090
2024-07-17 03:00: 0.0090
2024-07-17 16:00: 0.0090
2024-07-18 05:00: 0.0090
2024-07-18 18:00: 0.0090
2024-07-19 07:00: 0.0090
2024-07-19 20:00: 0.0090
2024-07-20 09:00: 0.0090
2024-07-20 22:00: 0.0095
2024-07-21 11:00: 0.0095
2024-07-22 01:00: 0.0095
2024-07-22 14:00: 0.0095
2024-07-23 03:00: 0.0095
2024-07-23 16:00: 0.0095
2024-07-24 05:00: 0.0095
2024-07-24 18:00: 0.0095
2024-07-25 07:00: 0.0095
2024-07-25 20:00: 0.0095
2024-07-26 09:00: 0.0100
2024-07-26 22:00: 0.0100
2024-07-27 11:00: 0.0100
2024-07-28 00:00: 0.0100
2024-07-28 13:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-07-29 11:00: 0.9895
2024-07-30 00:00: 0.9895
2024-07-30 13:00: 0.9895
2024-07-31 02:00: 0.9905
2024-07-31 15:00: 0.9910
2024-08-01 04:00: 0.9935
2024-08-01 17:00: 0.9935
2024-08-02 06:00: 0.9935
2024-08-02 19:00: 0.9935
2024-08-03 08:00: 0.9935
2024-08-03 21:00: 0.9930
2024-08-04 10:00: 0.9930
2024-08-04 23:00: 0.9930
2024-08-05 12:00: 0.9940
2024-08-06 01:00: 0.9940
2024-08-06 14:00: 0.9940
2024-08-07 03:00: 0.9940
2024-08-07 16:00: 0.9940
2024-08-08 05:00: 0.9950
2024-08-08 18:00: 0.9945
2024-08-09 07:00: 0.9945
2024-08-09 20:00: 0.9945
2024-08-10 09:00: 0.9950
2024-08-10 22:00: 0.9950
2024-08-11 11:00: 0.9945
2024-08-12 00:00: 0.9945
2024-08-12 13:00: 0.9945
2024-08-13 02:00: 0.9945
2024-08-13 15:00: 0.9955
2024-08-14 04:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-08-15 03:00: 0.0035
2024-08-15 16:00: 0.0035
2024-08-16 05:00: 0.0035
2024-08-16 18:00: 0.0030
2024-08-17 07:00: 0.0025
2024-08-17 20:00: 0.0025
2024-08-18 09:00: 0.0025
2024-08-18 22:00: 0.0025
2024-08-19 11:00: 0.0025
2024-08-20 00:00: 0.0035
2024-08-20 13:00: 0.0035
2024-08-21 02:00: 0.0035
2024-08-21 15:00: 0.0035
2024-08-22 04:00: 0.0035
2024-08-22 17:00: 0.0030
2024-08-23 06:00: 0.0030
2024-08-23 19:00: 0.0025
2024-08-24 08:00: 0.0025
2024-08-24 21:00: 0.0025
2024-08-25 10:00: 0.0025
2024-08-25 23:00: 0.0030
2024-08-26 12:00: 0.0030
2024-08-27 01:00: 0.0030
2024-08-27 14:00: 0.0020
2024-08-28 03:00: 0.0020
2024-08-28 16:00: 0.0020
2024-08-29 05:00: 0.0020
2024-08-29 18:00: 0.0020
2024-08-30 07:00: 0.0020
2024-08-30 20:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-08-31 18:00: 0.9980
2024-09-01 07:00: 0.9980
2024-09-01 20:00: 0.9980
2024-09-02 09:00: 0.9980
2024-09-02 22:00: 0.9980
2024-09-03 11:00: 0.9980
2024-09-04 00:00: 0.9985
2024-09-04 13:00: 0.9985
2024-09-05 02:00: 0.9985
2024-09-05 15:00: 0.9985
2024-09-06 04:00: 0.9985
2024-09-06 17:00: 0.9985
2024-09-07 06:00: 0.9985
2024-09-07 19:00: 0.9985
2024-09-08 08:00: 0.9985
2024-09-08 21:00: 0.9985
2024-09-09 10:00: 0.9985
2024-09-09 23:00: 0.9985
2024-09-10 12:00: 0.9985
2024-09-11 01:00: 0.9985
2024-09-11 14:00: 0.9985
2024-09-12 03:00: 0.9985
2024-09-12 16:00: 0.9970
2024-09-13 05:00: 0.9970
2024-09-13 18:00: 0.9975
2024-09-14 07:00: 0.9975
2024-09-14 20:00: 0.9975
2024-09-15 09:00: 0.9975
2024-09-15 22:00: 0.9975
2024-09-16 11:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-09-17 10:00: 0.0025
2024-09-17 23:00: 0.0025
2024-09-18 12:00: 0.0025
2024-09-19 01:00: 0.0025
2024-09-19 14:00: 0.0025
2024-09-20 03:00: 0.0025
2024-09-20 16:00: 0.0025
2024-09-21 05:00: 0.0025
2024-09-21 18:00: 0.0025
2024-09-22 07:00: 0.0025
2024-09-22 20:00: 0.0025
2024-09-23 09:00: 0.0025
2024-09-23 22:00: 0.0025
2024-09-24 11:00: 0.0025
2024-09-25 00:00: 0.0025
2024-09-25 13:00: 0.0025
2024-09-26 02:00: 0.0025
2024-09-26 15:00: 0.0030
2024-09-27 04:00: 0.0020
2024-09-27 17:00: 0.0025
2024-09-28 06:00: 0.0020
2024-09-28 19:00: 0.0020
2024-09-29 08:00: 0.0020
2024-09-29 21:00: 0.0020
2024-09-30 10:00: 0.0020
2024-09-30 23:00: 0.0020
2024-10-01 12:00: 0.0020
2024-10-02 01:00: 0.0020
2024-10-02 13:00: 0.0020
2024-10-03 02:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-10-04 00:00: 0.9985
2024-10-04 13:00: 0.9985
2024-10-05 02:00: 0.9985
2024-10-05 15:00: 0.9985
2024-10-06 04:00: 0.9980
2024-10-06 17:00: 0.9980
2024-10-07 06:00: 0.9980
2024-10-07 19:00: 0.9980
2024-10-08 08:00: 0.9980
2024-10-08 21:00: 0.9980
2024-10-09 10:00: 0.9980
2024-10-09 23:00: 0.9980
2024-10-10 12:00: 0.9980
2024-10-11 01:00: 0.9980
2024-10-11 14:00: 0.9980
2024-10-12 03:00: 0.9980
2024-10-12 16:00: 0.9980
2024-10-13 05:00: 0.9980
2024-10-13 18:00: 0.9985
2024-10-14 07:00: 0.9985
2024-10-14 20:00: 0.9985
2024-10-15 09:00: 0.9980
2024-10-15 22:00: 0.9980
2024-10-16 11:00: 0.9980
2024-10-17 00:00: 0.9980
2024-10-17 13:00: 0.9980
2024-10-18 02:00: 0.9980
2024-10-18 15:00: 0.9980
2024-10-19 04:00: 0.9980
2024-10-19 17:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500658
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?
Volume: 728257.22095
Price History:
2024-10-20 16:00: 0.0025
2024-10-21 05:00: 0.0025
2024-10-21 18:00: 0.0015
2024-10-22 07:00: 0.0015
2024-10-22 20:00: 0.0015
2024-10-23 09:00: 0.0015
2024-10-23 22:00: 0.0020
2024-10-24 11:00: 0.0020
2024-10-25 00:00: 0.0020
2024-10-25 13:00: 0.0020
2024-10-26 02:00: 0.0020
2024-10-26 15:00: 0.0025
2024-10-27 04:00: 0.0025
2024-10-27 17:00: 0.0050
2024-10-28 06:00: 0.0050
2024-10-28 19:00: 0.0050
2024-10-29 08:00: 0.0050
2024-10-29 21:00: 0.0025
2024-10-30 10:00: 0.0025
2024-10-30 23:00: 0.0025
2024-10-31 12:00: 0.0025
2024-11-01 01:00: 0.0025
2024-11-01 14:00: 0.0030
2024-11-02 03:00: 0.0030
2024-11-02 16:00: 0.0030
2024-11-03 04:00: 0.0030
2024-11-03 17:00: 0.0020
2024-11-04 06:00: 0.0030
2024-11-04 19:00: 0.0030
2024-11-05 08:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559235
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1334049.282552
Price History:
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.2250
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.7750
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0850
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.9150
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0750
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9250
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0650
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.9350
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0650
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.9350
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0650
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.9350
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0650
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 122.50, Sell volume: 32.67, Average price: 0.5529, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559235
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1334049.282552
Price History:
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0650
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.9350
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0650
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.9350
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 108.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7300, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559235
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1334049.282552
Price History:
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1177.50, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.5075, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559235
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1334049.282552
Price History:
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.9350
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9350
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9350
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9350
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 64.30, Sell volume: 30.63, Average price: 0.0667, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559235
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1334049.282552
Price History:
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0750
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.9250
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 57.23, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559235
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1334049.282552
Price History:
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9250
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9250
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.9250
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9250
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.9250
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9250
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 93.75, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559235
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1334049.282552
Price History:
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9250
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.9250
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9250
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9250
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9250
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9250
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 54.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559235
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1334049.282552
Price History:
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9250
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0800
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9200
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.9250
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9250
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.9250
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0850
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9150
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.0850
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 735.64, Sell volume: 204.86, Average price: 0.5888, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559235
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1334049.282552
Price History:
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0850
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.9150
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0900
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9100
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0900
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9100
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0850
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9150
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0850
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9150
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0850
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9150
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0850
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 101.67, Sell volume: 7.21, Average price: 0.5025, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559235
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1334049.282552
Price History:
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0850
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9150
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0850
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9150
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0850
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9150
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0750
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9250
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0750
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9250
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0750
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9250
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0900
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 65.11, Sell volume: 412.50, Average price: 0.7150, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559235
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1334049.282552
Price History:
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 47356.46, Sell volume: 1197.52, Average price: 0.3242, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559235
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1334049.282552
Price History:
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 428840.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559235
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1334049.282552
Price History:
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 142, Buy volume: 741200.00, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.0080, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559235
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 1334049.282552
Price History:
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.2250
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.7750
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0850
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.9150
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0750
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9250
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0650
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.9350
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0650
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.9350
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0650
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.9350
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0650
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 122.50, Sell volume: 32.67, Average price: 0.5529, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559235
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 1334049.282552
Price History:
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0650
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.9350
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0650
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.9350
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 108.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7300, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559235
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 1334049.282552
Price History:
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1177.50, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.5075, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559235
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 1334049.282552
Price History:
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.9350
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9350
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9350
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9350
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.9300
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 64.30, Sell volume: 30.63, Average price: 0.0667, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes