Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14314.24, Sell volume: 1937.45, Average price: 0.5675, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14314.24, Sell volume: 1937.45, Average price: 0.5675, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14314.24, Sell volume: 1937.45, Average price: 0.5675, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0180
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9820
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0180
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9820
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0180
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9820
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0180
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9820
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0180
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9820
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0180
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9820
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0180
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9820
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0180
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9820
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0180
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9820
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0180
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9820
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0180
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14314.24, Sell volume: 1937.45, Average price: 0.5675, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0180
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9820
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0180
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9820
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0180
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9820
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0180
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9820
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0180
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9820
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0180
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9820
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0180
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9820
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0180
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9820
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0180
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9820
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0200
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9800
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0195
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9805
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0195
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9805
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0195
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9805
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0185
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9815
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0195
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9805
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0230
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9770
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0230
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9770
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0230
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9770
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0215
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9785
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0215
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9785
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0230
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9770
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0130
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9870
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0115
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9885
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 357.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9938, Price range: 0.9938 - 0.9938

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0095
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9905
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9920
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9930
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0125
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9875
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0115
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9885
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0110
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9890
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0100
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9900
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0095
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9905
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0085
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14314.24, Sell volume: 1937.45, Average price: 0.5675, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0120
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9880
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0110
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9890
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0100
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9900
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0090
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9910
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9930
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0125
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9875
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0115
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9885
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0110
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9890
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9925
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 72.16, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 213.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0047, Price range: 0.0047 - 0.0047

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 13729.40, Sell volume: 1830.29, Average price: 0.5829, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5700
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3350
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6650
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.2900
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.7100
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.2500
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14314.24, Sell volume: 1937.45, Average price: 0.5675, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8400
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1600
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8400
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.1600
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8400
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.1600
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8400
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.1600
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8400
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.1700
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.1650
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.8350
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.1650
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8350
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.1650
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8350
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.1650
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.8350
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.2150
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.7850
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.2150
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.7850
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.2150
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.7850
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.2100
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.7900
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.2150
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.2200
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.7800
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0600
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9400
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9745
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0155
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9845
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0155
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 12.67, Sell volume: 35.00, Average price: 0.5983, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9813
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0165
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9835
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0165
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9835
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14314.24, Sell volume: 1937.45, Average price: 0.5675, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14314.24, Sell volume: 1937.45, Average price: 0.5675, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14314.24, Sell volume: 1937.45, Average price: 0.5675, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0170
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14314.24, Sell volume: 1937.45, Average price: 0.5675, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9830
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0170
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0180
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9820
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14314.24, Sell volume: 1937.45, Average price: 0.5675, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0180
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9820
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0180
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9820
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0180
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9820
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0180
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9820
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0180
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9820
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0180
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9820
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0180
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9820
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0180
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9820
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0180
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9820
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0200
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9800
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0195
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9805
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0195
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9805
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0195
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9805
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0185
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9815
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0195
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 357.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9938, Price range: 0.9938 - 0.9938
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0095
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9905
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9920
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9930
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14314.24, Sell volume: 1937.45, Average price: 0.5675, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0120
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9880
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0110
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9890
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0100
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9900
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0090
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9910
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 72.16, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 213.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0047, Price range: 0.0047 - 0.0047
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681285
Question: Will the UPP win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 16251.69319
Price History:
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 13729.40, Sell volume: 1830.29, Average price: 0.5829, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4050
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5950
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3600
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6400
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6750
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.2600
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.2600
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.2350
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.7650
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 11.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8458, Price range: 0.8458 - 0.8458

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8500
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1500
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8500
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.1500
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8500
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.1500
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8500
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.1500
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8500
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.1400
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8600
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.1400
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.8600
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.1300
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.1300
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.1300
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.1300
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.1300
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.1300
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.1300
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.1300
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.8850
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0300
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9700
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0300
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9700
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0305
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9695
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0265
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9735
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0215
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9785
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0210
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9790
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0210
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9790
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0210
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9790
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0210
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9790
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0210
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9790
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0195
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9805
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0200
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9800
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0200
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9800
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0195
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9805
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0195
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9805
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 12.67, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7398, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9893

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9790
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0210
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9790
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0210
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9790
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0210
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9790
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0210
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9780
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9780
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9780
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9780
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14317.51, Sell volume: 693.74, Average price: 0.6496, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0165
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9835
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0165
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9835
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0165
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9835
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0165
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9835
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14317.51, Sell volume: 693.74, Average price: 0.6496, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9835
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0165
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9835
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0165
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9835
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0165
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14317.51, Sell volume: 693.74, Average price: 0.6496, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14317.51, Sell volume: 693.74, Average price: 0.6496, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9835
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0165
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9835
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0165
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9835
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0165
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9835
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0165
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9835
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0165
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9835
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0165
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9835
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14317.51, Sell volume: 693.74, Average price: 0.6496, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9825
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0175
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9825
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0175
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9825
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0175
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9825
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0175
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9825
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0175
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9825
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0175
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9825
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0175
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9825
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0185
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9815
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0190
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9810
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0190
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9810
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0190
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9810
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0180
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9820
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0190
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9810
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0190
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9810
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0175
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9825
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0200
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9800
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0175
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9825
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0210
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9790
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0185
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9815
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0115
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9885
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0105
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9895
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0090
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9910
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 362.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9942, Price range: 0.9942 - 0.9942

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9930
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9930
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14317.51, Sell volume: 693.74, Average price: 0.6496, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9930
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9960
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 83.19, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0050, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.0050

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 13725.40, Sell volume: 590.55, Average price: 0.6359, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4050
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5950
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3600
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6400
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6750
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.2600
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 11.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8458, Price range: 0.8458 - 0.8458
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8500
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1500
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8500
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.1500
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8500
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.1500
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8500
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.1500
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8500
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.1400
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8600
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.1400
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.8600
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.1300
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.1300
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.1300
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.8700
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0300
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9700
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0300
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9700
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0305
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9695
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0265
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9735
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0215
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9785
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0210
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 12.67, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7398, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9893
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9790
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0210
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9790
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0210
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9790
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0210
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9790
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0210
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9780
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14317.51, Sell volume: 693.74, Average price: 0.6496, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14317.51, Sell volume: 693.74, Average price: 0.6496, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9835
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0165
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9835
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0165
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9835
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0165
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14317.51, Sell volume: 693.74, Average price: 0.6496, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9835
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0165
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14317.51, Sell volume: 693.74, Average price: 0.6496, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0165
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9835
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0165
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9835
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0165
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9835
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0165
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9835
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0165
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9835
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0165
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9835
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0165
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9835
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14317.51, Sell volume: 693.74, Average price: 0.6496, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9825
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0175
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9825
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0175
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9825
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0175
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9825
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0175
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9825
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0175
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9825
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0175
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9825
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0175
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9825
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0185
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9815
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0190
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9810
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0190
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9810
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0190
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9810
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0180
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9820
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0190
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 362.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9942, Price range: 0.9942 - 0.9942
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9930
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 14317.51, Sell volume: 693.74, Average price: 0.6496, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 83.19, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0050, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.0050
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681284
Question: Will the Green Party win the most elected seats in the 2025 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines House of Assembly election?
Volume: 15011.252233
Price History:
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 13725.40, Sell volume: 590.55, Average price: 0.6359, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500117
Question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 892763.549064
Price History:
2024-04-03 18:00: 0.5000
2024-04-04 02:00: 0.4900
2024-04-04 10:00: 0.4950
2024-04-04 18:00: 0.4950
2024-04-05 02:00: 0.4950
2024-04-05 10:00: 0.4950
2024-04-05 18:00: 0.4950
2024-04-06 02:00: 0.4950
2024-04-06 10:00: 0.4950
2024-04-06 18:00: 0.4950
2024-04-07 02:00: 0.5000
2024-04-07 10:00: 0.5000
2024-04-07 18:00: 0.4950
2024-04-08 02:00: 0.4950
2024-04-08 10:00: 0.4950
2024-04-08 18:00: 0.4950
2024-04-09 02:00: 0.5050
2024-04-09 10:00: 0.5050
2024-04-09 18:00: 0.5050
2024-04-10 02:00: 0.5050
2024-04-10 10:00: 0.5050
2024-04-10 18:00: 0.5050
2024-04-11 02:00: 0.5050
2024-04-11 10:00: 0.5050
2024-04-11 18:00: 0.5000
2024-04-12 02:00: 0.5000
2024-04-12 10:00: 0.5000
2024-04-12 18:00: 0.5000
2024-04-13 02:00: 0.5000
2024-04-13 10:00: 0.5000
2024-04-13 18:00: 0.5000
2024-04-14 02:00: 0.5000
2024-04-14 10:00: 0.5000
2024-04-14 18:00: 0.5000
2024-04-15 02:00: 0.5000
2024-04-15 10:00: 0.5000
2024-04-15 18:00: 0.5000
2024-04-16 02:00: 0.5000
2024-04-16 10:00: 0.5000
2024-04-16 18:00: 0.5000
2024-04-17 02:00: 0.5000
2024-04-17 10:00: 0.5000
2024-04-17 18:00: 0.5000
2024-04-18 02:00: 0.5000
2024-04-18 10:00: 0.5050
2024-04-18 18:00: 0.5050
2024-04-19 02:00: 0.5050
2024-04-19 10:00: 0.5050
2024-04-19 18:00: 0.5050
2024-04-20 02:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500117
Question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 892763.549064
Price History:
2024-04-20 11:00: 0.5000
2024-04-20 19:00: 0.5000
2024-04-21 03:00: 0.5000
2024-04-21 11:00: 0.5000
2024-04-21 19:00: 0.5000
2024-04-22 03:00: 0.5050
2024-04-22 11:00: 0.5050
2024-04-22 19:00: 0.5050
2024-04-23 03:00: 0.5050
2024-04-23 11:00: 0.5050
2024-04-23 19:00: 0.5050
2024-04-24 03:00: 0.5050
2024-04-24 11:00: 0.5050
2024-04-24 19:00: 0.5050
2024-04-25 03:00: 0.5050
2024-04-25 11:00: 0.5050
2024-04-25 19:00: 0.5050
2024-04-26 03:00: 0.5050
2024-04-26 11:00: 0.5050
2024-04-26 19:00: 0.5050
2024-04-27 03:00: 0.5050
2024-04-27 11:00: 0.5050
2024-04-27 19:00: 0.5050
2024-04-28 03:00: 0.5050
2024-04-28 11:00: 0.5050
2024-04-28 19:00: 0.5050
2024-04-29 03:00: 0.5050
2024-04-29 11:00: 0.5050
2024-04-29 19:00: 0.5050
2024-04-30 03:00: 0.5050
2024-04-30 11:00: 0.5050
2024-04-30 19:00: 0.5050
2024-05-01 03:00: 0.5050
2024-05-01 11:00: 0.5050
2024-05-01 20:00: 0.5050
2024-05-02 04:00: 0.5050
2024-05-02 12:00: 0.5050
2024-05-02 20:00: 0.5150
2024-05-03 04:00: 0.5150
2024-05-03 12:00: 0.5150
2024-05-03 20:00: 0.5150
2024-05-04 04:00: 0.5150
2024-05-04 12:00: 0.5150
2024-05-04 20:00: 0.5150
2024-05-05 04:00: 0.5150
2024-05-05 12:00: 0.5150
2024-05-05 20:00: 0.5150
2024-05-06 04:00: 0.5050
2024-05-06 12:00: 0.5050
2024-05-06 20:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500117
Question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 892763.549064
Price History:
2024-05-07 05:00: 0.5050
2024-05-07 13:00: 0.5050
2024-05-07 21:00: 0.5050
2024-05-08 05:00: 0.5050
2024-05-08 13:00: 0.5050
2024-05-08 21:00: 0.5200
2024-05-09 05:00: 0.5200
2024-05-09 13:00: 0.5150
2024-05-09 21:00: 0.5150
2024-05-10 05:00: 0.5150
2024-05-10 13:00: 0.5150
2024-05-10 21:00: 0.5150
2024-05-11 05:00: 0.5150
2024-05-11 13:00: 0.5150
2024-05-11 21:00: 0.5150
2024-05-12 05:00: 0.5200
2024-05-12 13:00: 0.5200
2024-05-12 21:00: 0.5200
2024-05-13 05:00: 0.5150
2024-05-13 13:00: 0.5200
2024-05-13 21:00: 0.5150
2024-05-14 05:00: 0.4950
2024-05-14 13:00: 0.4950
2024-05-14 21:00: 0.4950
2024-05-15 05:00: 0.4950
2024-05-15 13:00: 0.4900
2024-05-15 21:00: 0.4900
2024-05-16 05:00: 0.4900
2024-05-16 13:00: 0.4900
2024-05-16 21:00: 0.4900
2024-05-17 05:00: 0.4900
2024-05-17 13:00: 0.4900
2024-05-17 21:00: 0.4900
2024-05-18 05:00: 0.4900
2024-05-18 13:00: 0.4900
2024-05-18 21:00: 0.4900
2024-05-19 05:00: 0.4900
2024-05-19 13:00: 0.4900
2024-05-19 21:00: 0.4950
2024-05-20 05:00: 0.4950
2024-05-20 13:00: 0.4950
2024-05-20 21:00: 0.4950
2024-05-21 05:00: 0.4950
2024-05-21 13:00: 0.5000
2024-05-21 21:00: 0.5000
2024-05-22 05:00: 0.5000
2024-05-22 13:00: 0.5000
2024-05-22 21:00: 0.4900
2024-05-23 05:00: 0.4900
2024-05-23 13:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500117
Question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 892763.549064
Price History:
2024-05-23 22:00: 0.4900
2024-05-24 06:00: 0.4900
2024-05-24 14:00: 0.4900
2024-05-24 22:00: 0.4900
2024-05-25 06:00: 0.4900
2024-05-25 14:00: 0.4900
2024-05-25 22:00: 0.4900
2024-05-26 06:00: 0.4900
2024-05-26 14:00: 0.4900
2024-05-26 22:00: 0.4900
2024-05-27 06:00: 0.4900
2024-05-27 14:00: 0.4900
2024-05-27 22:00: 0.4900
2024-05-28 06:00: 0.4900
2024-05-28 14:00: 0.4750
2024-05-28 22:00: 0.4750
2024-05-29 06:00: 0.4750
2024-05-29 14:00: 0.4750
2024-05-29 22:00: 0.4750
2024-05-30 06:00: 0.4750
2024-05-30 14:00: 0.4750
2024-05-30 22:00: 0.4750
2024-05-31 06:00: 0.4750
2024-05-31 14:00: 0.4750
2024-05-31 22:00: 0.4750
2024-06-01 06:00: 0.4750
2024-06-01 14:00: 0.4750
2024-06-01 22:00: 0.4750
2024-06-02 06:00: 0.4750
2024-06-02 14:00: 0.4750
2024-06-02 22:00: 0.4750
2024-06-03 06:00: 0.4750
2024-06-03 14:00: 0.4750
2024-06-03 22:00: 0.4750
2024-06-04 06:00: 0.4750
2024-06-04 14:00: 0.4750
2024-06-04 22:00: 0.4750
2024-06-05 06:00: 0.4750
2024-06-05 14:00: 0.4750
2024-06-05 22:00: 0.4750
2024-06-06 06:00: 0.4750
2024-06-06 14:00: 0.4750
2024-06-06 22:00: 0.4750
2024-06-07 06:00: 0.4750
2024-06-07 14:00: 0.4750
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.4750
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.4750
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.4750
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.4750
2024-06-09 06:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500117
Question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 892763.549064
Price History:
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.4750
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.4750
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.4750
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.4750
2024-06-10 23:00: 0.4750
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.4750
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.4900
2024-06-11 23:00: 0.4950
2024-06-12 07:00: 0.4950
2024-06-12 15:00: 0.4950
2024-06-12 23:00: 0.4950
2024-06-13 07:00: 0.4950
2024-06-13 15:00: 0.5000
2024-06-13 23:00: 0.5050
2024-06-14 07:00: 0.5100
2024-06-14 15:00: 0.5100
2024-06-14 23:00: 0.5100
2024-06-15 07:00: 0.5100
2024-06-15 15:00: 0.5100
2024-06-15 23:00: 0.5100
2024-06-16 07:00: 0.5100
2024-06-16 15:00: 0.5100
2024-06-16 23:00: 0.5100
2024-06-17 07:00: 0.5100
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.5100
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.5100
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.5100
2024-06-18 15:00: 0.5100
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.5100
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.5100
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.5100
2024-06-19 23:00: 0.5100
2024-06-20 07:00: 0.5100
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.5100
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.5100
2024-06-21 07:00: 0.5100
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.5100
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.5100
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.5100
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.5100
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.5150
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.5150
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.5150
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.5150
2024-06-24 07:00: 0.5150
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.5150
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.5150
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.5150
2024-06-25 15:00: 0.5150
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500117
Question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 892763.549064
Price History:
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.5150
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.5150
2024-06-27 00:00: 0.5200
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.5200
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.5150
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.5150
2024-06-28 08:00: 0.5150
2024-06-28 16:00: 0.5100
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.5100
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.5000
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.4950
2024-06-30 00:00: 0.4900
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.4850
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.4850
2024-07-01 00:00: 0.4800
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.4800
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.4800
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.4400
2024-07-02 08:00: 0.4400
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.4400
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.4400
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.4400
2024-07-03 16:00: 0.4400
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.4400
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.4400
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.4500
2024-07-05 00:00: 0.4500
2024-07-05 08:00: 0.4500
2024-07-05 16:00: 0.4500
2024-07-06 00:00: 0.4500
2024-07-06 08:00: 0.4500
2024-07-06 16:00: 0.4500
2024-07-07 00:00: 0.4500
2024-07-07 08:00: 0.4500
2024-07-07 16:00: 0.4550
2024-07-08 00:00: 0.4550
2024-07-08 08:00: 0.4550
2024-07-08 16:00: 0.4550
2024-07-09 00:00: 0.4550
2024-07-09 08:00: 0.4550
2024-07-09 16:00: 0.4550
2024-07-10 00:00: 0.4550
2024-07-10 08:00: 0.4550
2024-07-10 16:00: 0.4550
2024-07-11 00:00: 0.4550
2024-07-11 08:00: 0.4600
2024-07-11 16:00: 0.4850
2024-07-12 00:00: 0.5000
2024-07-12 08:00: 0.5000
2024-07-12 16:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500117
Question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 892763.549064
Price History:
2024-07-13 01:00: 0.5050
2024-07-13 09:00: 0.5050
2024-07-13 17:00: 0.5000
2024-07-14 01:00: 0.4950
2024-07-14 09:00: 0.4950
2024-07-14 17:00: 0.4950
2024-07-15 01:00: 0.4950
2024-07-15 09:00: 0.4900
2024-07-15 17:00: 0.4850
2024-07-16 01:00: 0.4900
2024-07-16 09:00: 0.4950
2024-07-16 17:00: 0.4950
2024-07-17 01:00: 0.4950
2024-07-17 09:00: 0.4950
2024-07-17 17:00: 0.4850
2024-07-18 01:00: 0.4950
2024-07-18 09:00: 0.4950
2024-07-18 17:00: 0.4950
2024-07-19 01:00: 0.4950
2024-07-19 09:00: 0.4900
2024-07-19 17:00: 0.4950
2024-07-20 01:00: 0.4950
2024-07-20 09:00: 0.4850
2024-07-20 17:00: 0.4900
2024-07-21 01:00: 0.4850
2024-07-21 09:00: 0.4850
2024-07-21 18:00: 0.5300
2024-07-22 02:00: 0.5300
2024-07-22 10:00: 0.5050
2024-07-22 18:00: 0.5050
2024-07-23 02:00: 0.5050
2024-07-23 10:00: 0.5150
2024-07-23 18:00: 0.5200
2024-07-24 02:00: 0.5200
2024-07-24 10:00: 0.5250
2024-07-24 18:00: 0.5250
2024-07-25 02:00: 0.5250
2024-07-25 10:00: 0.5250
2024-07-25 18:00: 0.5300
2024-07-26 02:00: 0.5300
2024-07-26 10:00: 0.5350
2024-07-26 18:00: 0.5400
2024-07-27 02:00: 0.5400
2024-07-27 10:00: 0.5350
2024-07-27 18:00: 0.5400
2024-07-28 02:00: 0.5400
2024-07-28 10:00: 0.5400
2024-07-28 18:00: 0.5400
2024-07-29 02:00: 0.5400
2024-07-29 10:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500117
Question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 892763.549064
Price History:
2024-07-29 19:00: 0.5400
2024-07-30 03:00: 0.5400
2024-07-30 11:00: 0.5400
2024-07-30 19:00: 0.5350
2024-07-31 03:00: 0.5350
2024-07-31 11:00: 0.5350
2024-07-31 19:00: 0.5500
2024-08-01 03:00: 0.5600
2024-08-01 11:00: 0.5550
2024-08-01 19:00: 0.5550
2024-08-02 03:00: 0.5600
2024-08-02 11:00: 0.5600
2024-08-02 19:00: 0.5600
2024-08-03 03:00: 0.5600
2024-08-03 11:00: 0.5600
2024-08-03 19:00: 0.5600
2024-08-04 03:00: 0.5600
2024-08-04 11:00: 0.5600
2024-08-04 19:00: 0.5650
2024-08-05 03:00: 0.5650
2024-08-05 11:00: 0.5650
2024-08-05 19:00: 0.5850
2024-08-06 03:00: 0.5900
2024-08-06 11:00: 0.5950
2024-08-06 19:00: 0.5800
2024-08-07 03:00: 0.5850
2024-08-07 11:00: 0.5800
2024-08-07 19:00: 0.5800
2024-08-08 03:00: 0.5750
2024-08-08 11:00: 0.5750
2024-08-08 19:00: 0.5750
2024-08-09 03:00: 0.5650
2024-08-09 11:00: 0.5650
2024-08-09 19:00: 0.5700
2024-08-10 03:00: 0.5700
2024-08-10 11:00: 0.5700
2024-08-10 19:00: 0.5700
2024-08-11 03:00: 0.5700
2024-08-11 11:00: 0.5700
2024-08-11 19:00: 0.5700
2024-08-12 03:00: 0.5450
2024-08-12 11:00: 0.5400
2024-08-12 19:00: 0.5550
2024-08-13 03:00: 0.5700
2024-08-13 11:00: 0.5600
2024-08-13 19:00: 0.5650
2024-08-14 03:00: 0.5650
2024-08-14 11:00: 0.5650
2024-08-14 19:00: 0.5600
2024-08-15 03:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500117
Question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 892763.549064
Price History:
2024-08-15 12:00: 0.5650
2024-08-15 20:00: 0.5650
2024-08-16 04:00: 0.5650
2024-08-16 12:00: 0.5650
2024-08-16 20:00: 0.5650
2024-08-17 04:00: 0.5650
2024-08-17 12:00: 0.5650
2024-08-17 20:00: 0.5650
2024-08-18 04:00: 0.5650
2024-08-18 12:00: 0.5650
2024-08-18 20:00: 0.5750
2024-08-19 04:00: 0.5700
2024-08-19 12:00: 0.5750
2024-08-19 20:00: 0.5700
2024-08-20 04:00: 0.5650
2024-08-20 12:00: 0.5700
2024-08-20 20:00: 0.5650
2024-08-21 04:00: 0.5700
2024-08-21 12:00: 0.5700
2024-08-21 20:00: 0.5650
2024-08-22 04:00: 0.5650
2024-08-22 12:00: 0.5650
2024-08-22 20:00: 0.5700
2024-08-23 04:00: 0.5650
2024-08-23 12:00: 0.5650
2024-08-23 20:00: 0.5550
2024-08-24 04:00: 0.5550
2024-08-24 12:00: 0.5550
2024-08-24 20:00: 0.5550
2024-08-25 04:00: 0.5600
2024-08-25 12:00: 0.5700
2024-08-25 20:00: 0.5650
2024-08-26 04:00: 0.5650
2024-08-26 12:00: 0.5650
2024-08-26 20:00: 0.5700
2024-08-27 04:00: 0.5650
2024-08-27 12:00: 0.5600
2024-08-27 20:00: 0.5600
2024-08-28 04:00: 0.5600
2024-08-28 12:00: 0.5600
2024-08-28 20:00: 0.5600
2024-08-29 04:00: 0.5450
2024-08-29 12:00: 0.5450
2024-08-29 20:00: 0.5100
2024-08-30 04:00: 0.5100
2024-08-30 12:00: 0.5150
2024-08-30 20:00: 0.5150
2024-08-31 04:00: 0.5150
2024-08-31 12:00: 0.5150
2024-08-31 20:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500117
Question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 892763.549064
Price History:
2024-09-01 05:00: 0.5250
2024-09-01 13:00: 0.5250
2024-09-01 21:00: 0.5350
2024-09-02 05:00: 0.5350
2024-09-02 13:00: 0.5350
2024-09-02 21:00: 0.5150
2024-09-03 05:00: 0.5150
2024-09-03 13:00: 0.5150
2024-09-03 21:00: 0.5200
2024-09-04 05:00: 0.5200
2024-09-04 13:00: 0.5200
2024-09-04 21:00: 0.5150
2024-09-05 05:00: 0.5200
2024-09-05 13:00: 0.5150
2024-09-05 21:00: 0.5200
2024-09-06 05:00: 0.5350
2024-09-06 13:00: 0.5350
2024-09-06 21:00: 0.5300
2024-09-07 05:00: 0.5300
2024-09-07 13:00: 0.5300
2024-09-07 21:00: 0.5300
2024-09-08 05:00: 0.5300
2024-09-08 13:00: 0.5300
2024-09-08 21:00: 0.5300
2024-09-09 05:00: 0.5300
2024-09-09 13:00: 0.5300
2024-09-09 21:00: 0.5300
2024-09-10 05:00: 0.5300
2024-09-10 13:00: 0.5300
2024-09-10 21:00: 0.5200
2024-09-11 05:00: 0.5250
2024-09-11 13:00: 0.5250
2024-09-11 21:00: 0.5250
2024-09-12 05:00: 0.5300
2024-09-12 13:00: 0.5300
2024-09-12 21:00: 0.5250
2024-09-13 05:00: 0.5300
2024-09-13 13:00: 0.5300
2024-09-13 21:00: 0.5300
2024-09-14 05:00: 0.5300
2024-09-14 13:00: 0.5300
2024-09-14 21:00: 0.5250
2024-09-15 05:00: 0.5250
2024-09-15 13:00: 0.5300
2024-09-15 21:00: 0.5300
2024-09-16 05:00: 0.5300
2024-09-16 13:00: 0.5350
2024-09-16 21:00: 0.5250
2024-09-17 05:00: 0.5250
2024-09-17 13:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500117
Question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 892763.549064
Price History:
2024-09-17 22:00: 0.5250
2024-09-18 06:00: 0.5250
2024-09-18 14:00: 0.5200
2024-09-18 22:00: 0.5200
2024-09-19 06:00: 0.5200
2024-09-19 14:00: 0.5200
2024-09-19 22:00: 0.5200
2024-09-20 06:00: 0.5200
2024-09-20 14:00: 0.5250
2024-09-20 22:00: 0.5250
2024-09-21 06:00: 0.5200
2024-09-21 14:00: 0.5200
2024-09-21 22:00: 0.5200
2024-09-22 06:00: 0.5200
2024-09-22 14:00: 0.5150
2024-09-22 22:00: 0.5050
2024-09-23 06:00: 0.5050
2024-09-23 14:00: 0.5050
2024-09-23 22:00: 0.4950
2024-09-24 06:00: 0.4950
2024-09-24 14:00: 0.4950
2024-09-24 22:00: 0.4900
2024-09-25 06:00: 0.4850
2024-09-25 14:00: 0.4850
2024-09-25 22:00: 0.4850
2024-09-26 06:00: 0.4850
2024-09-26 14:00: 0.4850
2024-09-26 22:00: 0.4850
2024-09-27 06:00: 0.4850
2024-09-27 14:00: 0.4850
2024-09-27 22:00: 0.4750
2024-09-28 06:00: 0.4850
2024-09-28 14:00: 0.5050
2024-09-28 22:00: 0.5150
2024-09-29 06:00: 0.5150
2024-09-29 14:00: 0.5150
2024-09-29 22:00: 0.5150
2024-09-30 06:00: 0.5150
2024-09-30 14:00: 0.5100
2024-09-30 22:00: 0.5100
2024-10-01 06:00: 0.5100
2024-10-01 14:00: 0.5100
2024-10-01 22:00: 0.5050
2024-10-02 06:00: 0.5100
2024-10-02 13:00: 0.5100
2024-10-02 21:00: 0.5100
2024-10-03 05:00: 0.5000
2024-10-03 13:00: 0.5000
2024-10-03 21:00: 0.5000
2024-10-04 05:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500117
Question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 892763.549064
Price History:
2024-10-04 14:00: 0.5050
2024-10-04 22:00: 0.5050
2024-10-05 06:00: 0.5050
2024-10-05 14:00: 0.5050
2024-10-05 22:00: 0.5050
2024-10-06 06:00: 0.5050
2024-10-06 14:00: 0.5050
2024-10-06 22:00: 0.5100
2024-10-07 06:00: 0.5100
2024-10-07 14:00: 0.5100
2024-10-07 22:00: 0.5250
2024-10-08 06:00: 0.5350
2024-10-08 14:00: 0.5250
2024-10-08 22:00: 0.5250
2024-10-09 06:00: 0.5250
2024-10-09 14:00: 0.5250
2024-10-09 22:00: 0.5250
2024-10-10 06:00: 0.5300
2024-10-10 14:00: 0.5250
2024-10-10 22:00: 0.5250
2024-10-11 06:00: 0.5200
2024-10-11 14:00: 0.5200
2024-10-11 22:00: 0.5100
2024-10-12 06:00: 0.5150
2024-10-12 14:00: 0.5150
2024-10-12 22:00: 0.5100
2024-10-13 06:00: 0.5100
2024-10-13 14:00: 0.5050
2024-10-13 22:00: 0.5050
2024-10-14 06:00: 0.5100
2024-10-14 14:00: 0.5050
2024-10-14 22:00: 0.5000
2024-10-15 06:00: 0.5000
2024-10-15 14:00: 0.4950
2024-10-15 22:00: 0.4850
2024-10-16 06:00: 0.4900
2024-10-16 14:00: 0.4750
2024-10-16 22:00: 0.4600
2024-10-17 06:00: 0.4450
2024-10-17 14:00: 0.4400
2024-10-17 22:00: 0.4350
2024-10-18 06:00: 0.4350
2024-10-18 14:00: 0.4200
2024-10-18 22:00: 0.4250
2024-10-19 06:00: 0.4250
2024-10-19 14:00: 0.4200
2024-10-19 22:00: 0.4150
2024-10-20 06:00: 0.4150
2024-10-20 14:00: 0.4200
2024-10-20 22:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500117
Question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 892763.549064
Price History:
2024-10-21 07:00: 0.4200
2024-10-21 15:00: 0.4200
2024-10-21 23:00: 0.4100
2024-10-22 07:00: 0.3900
2024-10-22 15:00: 0.3750
2024-10-22 23:00: 0.3750
2024-10-23 07:00: 0.3750
2024-10-23 15:00: 0.3700
2024-10-23 23:00: 0.3850
2024-10-24 07:00: 0.4000
2024-10-24 15:00: 0.4100
2024-10-24 23:00: 0.3900
2024-10-25 07:00: 0.3750
2024-10-25 15:00: 0.3700
2024-10-25 23:00: 0.4200
2024-10-26 07:00: 0.4150
2024-10-26 15:00: 0.4100
2024-10-26 23:00: 0.4050
2024-10-27 07:00: 0.4000
2024-10-27 15:00: 0.3900
2024-10-27 23:00: 0.3950
2024-10-28 07:00: 0.3900
2024-10-28 15:00: 0.3850
2024-10-28 23:00: 0.3850
2024-10-29 07:00: 0.3900
2024-10-29 15:00: 0.3850
2024-10-29 23:00: 0.3850
2024-10-30 07:00: 0.3700
2024-10-30 15:00: 0.3700
2024-10-30 23:00: 0.3700
2024-10-31 07:00: 0.3700
2024-10-31 15:00: 0.3900
2024-10-31 23:00: 0.3950
2024-11-01 07:00: 0.3950
2024-11-01 15:00: 0.4150
2024-11-01 23:00: 0.4400
2024-11-02 07:00: 0.4550
2024-11-02 15:00: 0.4800
2024-11-02 23:00: 0.4950
2024-11-03 06:00: 0.5100
2024-11-03 14:00: 0.4950
2024-11-03 22:00: 0.4950
2024-11-04 06:00: 0.4900
2024-11-04 14:00: 0.4750
2024-11-04 22:00: 0.4200
2024-11-05 06:00: 0.3850
2024-11-05 14:00: 0.3600
2024-11-05 23:00: 0.0125
2024-11-06 07:00: 0.0020
2024-11-06 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500117
Question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Volume: 892763.549064
Price History:
2024-04-03 18:00: 0.5000
2024-04-04 07:00: 0.4900
2024-04-04 20:00: 0.4950
2024-04-05 09:00: 0.4950
2024-04-05 22:00: 0.4950
2024-04-06 11:00: 0.4950
2024-04-07 00:00: 0.5000
2024-04-07 13:00: 0.4950
2024-04-08 02:00: 0.4950
2024-04-08 15:00: 0.4950
2024-04-09 04:00: 0.5050
2024-04-09 17:00: 0.5050
2024-04-10 06:00: 0.5050
2024-04-10 19:00: 0.5050
2024-04-11 08:00: 0.5050
2024-04-11 21:00: 0.5000
2024-04-12 10:00: 0.5000
2024-04-12 23:00: 0.5000
2024-04-13 12:00: 0.5000
2024-04-14 01:00: 0.5000
2024-04-14 14:00: 0.5000
2024-04-15 03:00: 0.5000
2024-04-15 16:00: 0.5000
2024-04-16 05:00: 0.5000
2024-04-16 18:00: 0.5000
2024-04-17 07:00: 0.5000
2024-04-17 20:00: 0.5000
2024-04-18 09:00: 0.5050
2024-04-18 22:00: 0.5050
2024-04-19 11:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500117
Question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Volume: 892763.549064
Price History:
2024-04-20 11:00: 0.5000
2024-04-21 00:00: 0.5000
2024-04-21 13:00: 0.5000
2024-04-22 02:00: 0.5050
2024-04-22 15:00: 0.5050
2024-04-23 04:00: 0.5050
2024-04-23 17:00: 0.5050
2024-04-24 06:00: 0.5050
2024-04-24 19:00: 0.5050
2024-04-25 08:00: 0.5050
2024-04-25 21:00: 0.5050
2024-04-26 10:00: 0.5050
2024-04-26 23:00: 0.5050
2024-04-27 12:00: 0.5050
2024-04-28 01:00: 0.5050
2024-04-28 14:00: 0.5050
2024-04-29 03:00: 0.5050
2024-04-29 16:00: 0.5050
2024-04-30 05:00: 0.5050
2024-04-30 18:00: 0.5050
2024-05-01 07:00: 0.5050
2024-05-01 21:00: 0.5050
2024-05-02 10:00: 0.5050
2024-05-02 23:00: 0.5150
2024-05-03 12:00: 0.5150
2024-05-04 01:00: 0.5150
2024-05-04 14:00: 0.5150
2024-05-05 03:00: 0.5150
2024-05-05 16:00: 0.5150
2024-05-06 05:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500117
Question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Volume: 892763.549064
Price History:
2024-05-07 05:00: 0.5050
2024-05-07 18:00: 0.5050
2024-05-08 07:00: 0.5050
2024-05-08 20:00: 0.5200
2024-05-09 09:00: 0.5200
2024-05-09 22:00: 0.5150
2024-05-10 11:00: 0.5150
2024-05-11 00:00: 0.5150
2024-05-11 13:00: 0.5150
2024-05-12 02:00: 0.5200
2024-05-12 15:00: 0.5200
2024-05-13 04:00: 0.5150
2024-05-13 17:00: 0.5150
2024-05-14 06:00: 0.4950
2024-05-14 19:00: 0.4950
2024-05-15 08:00: 0.4950
2024-05-15 21:00: 0.4900
2024-05-16 10:00: 0.4900
2024-05-16 23:00: 0.4900
2024-05-17 12:00: 0.4900
2024-05-18 01:00: 0.4900
2024-05-18 14:00: 0.4900
2024-05-19 03:00: 0.4900
2024-05-19 16:00: 0.4900
2024-05-20 05:00: 0.4950
2024-05-20 18:00: 0.4950
2024-05-21 07:00: 0.4950
2024-05-21 20:00: 0.5000
2024-05-22 09:00: 0.5000
2024-05-22 22:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500117
Question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Volume: 892763.549064
Price History:
2024-05-23 22:00: 0.4900
2024-05-24 11:00: 0.4900
2024-05-25 00:00: 0.4900
2024-05-25 13:00: 0.4900
2024-05-26 02:00: 0.4900
2024-05-26 15:00: 0.4900
2024-05-27 04:00: 0.4900
2024-05-27 17:00: 0.4900
2024-05-28 06:00: 0.4900
2024-05-28 19:00: 0.4750
2024-05-29 08:00: 0.4750
2024-05-29 21:00: 0.4750
2024-05-30 10:00: 0.4750
2024-05-30 23:00: 0.4750
2024-05-31 12:00: 0.4750
2024-06-01 01:00: 0.4750
2024-06-01 14:00: 0.4750
2024-06-02 03:00: 0.4750
2024-06-02 16:00: 0.4750
2024-06-03 05:00: 0.4750
2024-06-03 18:00: 0.4750
2024-06-04 07:00: 0.4750
2024-06-04 20:00: 0.4750
2024-06-05 09:00: 0.4750
2024-06-05 22:00: 0.4750
2024-06-06 11:00: 0.4750
2024-06-07 00:00: 0.4750
2024-06-07 13:00: 0.4750
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.4750
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500117
Question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Volume: 892763.549064
Price History:
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.4750
2024-06-10 04:00: 0.4750
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.4750
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.4750
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.4950
2024-06-12 08:00: 0.4950
2024-06-12 21:00: 0.4950
2024-06-13 10:00: 0.4950
2024-06-13 23:00: 0.5050
2024-06-14 12:00: 0.5100
2024-06-15 01:00: 0.5100
2024-06-15 14:00: 0.5100
2024-06-16 03:00: 0.5100
2024-06-16 16:00: 0.5100
2024-06-17 05:00: 0.5100
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.5100
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.5100
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.5100
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.5100
2024-06-19 22:00: 0.5100
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.5100
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.5100
2024-06-21 13:00: 0.5100
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.5100
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.5100
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.5150
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.5150
2024-06-24 06:00: 0.5150
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.5150
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500117
Question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Volume: 892763.549064
Price History:
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.5150
2024-06-26 21:00: 0.5200
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.5200
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.5150
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.5100
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.5100
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.4950
2024-06-30 03:00: 0.4850
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.4850
2024-07-01 05:00: 0.4800
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.4800
2024-07-02 07:00: 0.4400
2024-07-02 20:00: 0.4400
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.4400
2024-07-03 22:00: 0.4400
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.4400
2024-07-05 00:00: 0.4500
2024-07-05 13:00: 0.4500
2024-07-06 02:00: 0.4500
2024-07-06 15:00: 0.4500
2024-07-07 04:00: 0.4500
2024-07-07 17:00: 0.4550
2024-07-08 06:00: 0.4550
2024-07-08 19:00: 0.4550
2024-07-09 08:00: 0.4550
2024-07-09 21:00: 0.4550
2024-07-10 10:00: 0.4550
2024-07-10 23:00: 0.4550
2024-07-11 12:00: 0.4600
2024-07-12 01:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500117
Question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Volume: 892763.549064
Price History:
2024-07-13 01:00: 0.5050
2024-07-13 14:00: 0.5050
2024-07-14 03:00: 0.4950
2024-07-14 16:00: 0.4950
2024-07-15 05:00: 0.4900
2024-07-15 18:00: 0.4900
2024-07-16 07:00: 0.4950
2024-07-16 20:00: 0.4950
2024-07-17 09:00: 0.4950
2024-07-17 22:00: 0.4950
2024-07-18 11:00: 0.4950
2024-07-19 00:00: 0.4950
2024-07-19 13:00: 0.4950
2024-07-20 02:00: 0.4950
2024-07-20 15:00: 0.4900
2024-07-21 04:00: 0.4850
2024-07-21 18:00: 0.5300
2024-07-22 07:00: 0.5300
2024-07-22 20:00: 0.5050
2024-07-23 09:00: 0.5150
2024-07-23 22:00: 0.5200
2024-07-24 11:00: 0.5250
2024-07-25 00:00: 0.5250
2024-07-25 13:00: 0.5300
2024-07-26 02:00: 0.5300
2024-07-26 15:00: 0.5400
2024-07-27 04:00: 0.5400
2024-07-27 17:00: 0.5400
2024-07-28 06:00: 0.5400
2024-07-28 19:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500117
Question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Volume: 892763.549064
Price History:
2024-07-29 19:00: 0.5400
2024-07-30 08:00: 0.5400
2024-07-30 21:00: 0.5350
2024-07-31 10:00: 0.5350
2024-07-31 23:00: 0.5500
2024-08-01 12:00: 0.5600
2024-08-02 01:00: 0.5600
2024-08-02 14:00: 0.5600
2024-08-03 03:00: 0.5600
2024-08-03 16:00: 0.5600
2024-08-04 05:00: 0.5600
2024-08-04 18:00: 0.5650
2024-08-05 07:00: 0.5650
2024-08-05 20:00: 0.5850
2024-08-06 09:00: 0.5900
2024-08-06 22:00: 0.5850
2024-08-07 11:00: 0.5800
2024-08-08 00:00: 0.5850
2024-08-08 13:00: 0.5750
2024-08-09 02:00: 0.5650
2024-08-09 15:00: 0.5700
2024-08-10 04:00: 0.5700
2024-08-10 17:00: 0.5700
2024-08-11 06:00: 0.5700
2024-08-11 19:00: 0.5700
2024-08-12 08:00: 0.5400
2024-08-12 21:00: 0.5700
2024-08-13 10:00: 0.5600
2024-08-13 23:00: 0.5650
2024-08-14 12:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500117
Question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Volume: 892763.549064
Price History:
2024-08-15 12:00: 0.5650
2024-08-16 01:00: 0.5650
2024-08-16 14:00: 0.5650
2024-08-17 03:00: 0.5650
2024-08-17 16:00: 0.5650
2024-08-18 05:00: 0.5650
2024-08-18 18:00: 0.5650
2024-08-19 07:00: 0.5650
2024-08-19 20:00: 0.5700
2024-08-20 09:00: 0.5700
2024-08-20 22:00: 0.5650
2024-08-21 11:00: 0.5700
2024-08-22 00:00: 0.5650
2024-08-22 13:00: 0.5650
2024-08-23 02:00: 0.5650
2024-08-23 15:00: 0.5650
2024-08-24 04:00: 0.5550
2024-08-24 17:00: 0.5550
2024-08-25 06:00: 0.5600
2024-08-25 19:00: 0.5650
2024-08-26 08:00: 0.5650
2024-08-26 21:00: 0.5650
2024-08-27 10:00: 0.5600
2024-08-27 23:00: 0.5600
2024-08-28 12:00: 0.5600
2024-08-29 01:00: 0.5450
2024-08-29 14:00: 0.5450
2024-08-30 03:00: 0.4950
2024-08-30 16:00: 0.5150
2024-08-31 05:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500117
Question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Volume: 892763.549064
Price History:
2024-09-01 05:00: 0.5250
2024-09-01 18:00: 0.5350
2024-09-02 07:00: 0.5350
2024-09-02 20:00: 0.5150
2024-09-03 09:00: 0.5150
2024-09-03 22:00: 0.5200
2024-09-04 11:00: 0.5200
2024-09-05 00:00: 0.5150
2024-09-05 13:00: 0.5150
2024-09-06 02:00: 0.5250
2024-09-06 15:00: 0.5300
2024-09-07 04:00: 0.5300
2024-09-07 17:00: 0.5350
2024-09-08 06:00: 0.5300
2024-09-08 19:00: 0.5300
2024-09-09 08:00: 0.5300
2024-09-09 21:00: 0.5300
2024-09-10 10:00: 0.5300
2024-09-10 23:00: 0.5200
2024-09-11 12:00: 0.5250
2024-09-12 01:00: 0.5250
2024-09-12 14:00: 0.5300
2024-09-13 03:00: 0.5300
2024-09-13 16:00: 0.5300
2024-09-14 05:00: 0.5300
2024-09-14 18:00: 0.5300
2024-09-15 07:00: 0.5250
2024-09-15 20:00: 0.5300
2024-09-16 09:00: 0.5300
2024-09-16 22:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500117
Question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Volume: 892763.549064
Price History:
2024-09-17 22:00: 0.5250
2024-09-18 11:00: 0.5250
2024-09-19 00:00: 0.5250
2024-09-19 13:00: 0.5200
2024-09-20 02:00: 0.5200
2024-09-20 15:00: 0.5250
2024-09-21 04:00: 0.5200
2024-09-21 17:00: 0.5200
2024-09-22 06:00: 0.5200
2024-09-22 19:00: 0.5050
2024-09-23 08:00: 0.5050
2024-09-23 21:00: 0.4950
2024-09-24 10:00: 0.4950
2024-09-24 23:00: 0.4900
2024-09-25 12:00: 0.4850
2024-09-26 01:00: 0.4850
2024-09-26 14:00: 0.4850
2024-09-27 03:00: 0.4850
2024-09-27 16:00: 0.4850
2024-09-28 05:00: 0.4700
2024-09-28 18:00: 0.5150
2024-09-29 07:00: 0.5150
2024-09-29 20:00: 0.5150
2024-09-30 09:00: 0.5150
2024-09-30 22:00: 0.5100
2024-10-01 11:00: 0.5100
2024-10-02 00:00: 0.5050
2024-10-02 12:00: 0.5100
2024-10-03 01:00: 0.5000
2024-10-03 14:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No