Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 24.51, Sell volume: 3.37, Average price: 0.8470, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 24.51, Sell volume: 3.37, Average price: 0.8470, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 24.51, Sell volume: 3.37, Average price: 0.8470, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 24.51, Sell volume: 3.37, Average price: 0.8470, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.4750
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.5250
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.5150
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.5150
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.4800
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.8500
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.1500
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.8500
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.1500
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.8500
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.1550
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.8450
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.1550
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.7750
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.2200
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.7800
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.2200
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.7800
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.2750
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.7850
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.2150
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.8600
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.1400
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.8600
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.1400
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.8600
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.2000
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.8050
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.1900
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.7900
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.1800
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.8350
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.2350
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.8000
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.1950
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.8100
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.1900
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.8100
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.2000
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.8000
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.1600
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.8400
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.1600
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.8400
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.1600
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.8400
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.1600
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 24.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.8400
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.1600
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.8400
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.1550
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.8450
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.1600
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.8400
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.1550
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.8400
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.1550
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.8450
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.1600
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.8400
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.1600
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.8400
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.1600
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.8400
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.1600
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.8450
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.1600
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.8400
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.1600
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.8400
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.1600
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.8400
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.1600
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.8400
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.1600
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.8400
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.1600
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.8400
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.1600
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.8400
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.1600
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.8400
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.1600
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.8400
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.1600
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.8400
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.1600
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.8400
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.1600
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.8400
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.1600
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.8400
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.1600
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.8400
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.1550
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.8450
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.1400, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.1400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.1550
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.8400
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.1600
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.8400
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.1600
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.8400
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.1600
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.8400
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.1600
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.8400
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.1600
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.8400
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.1600
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.8400
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.1600
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.8400
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.1600
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.8400
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.1600
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.8400
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.1600
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.8450
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.1550
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.8400
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.1550
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.8450
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.1600
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.8400
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.1600
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.8400
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.1600
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.8400
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.1600
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.8400
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.1600
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.8400
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.1600
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.8400
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.1600
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.8400
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.1600
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.8400
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.1600
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.8400
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.8400
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.8400
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 46.18, Sell volume: 14.50, Average price: 0.6949, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.8400
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.1600
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.8400
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.1600
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.8400
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.1600
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.8400
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.1600
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.8400
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.1600
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.8400
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.1600
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.8400
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.1600
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.8400
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.1600
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.8400
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.8400
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.8400
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.8400
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.8400
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.8400
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.8400
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.8400
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.8400
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.1600
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.8400
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.1600
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.8400
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.1600
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.8400
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.1600
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.8400
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.1600
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.8400
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.1600
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.8400
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.1600
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.8400
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.1600
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.8400
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.47, Average price: 0.8200, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0950
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9050
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0950
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.9050
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9050
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9150
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0850
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9150
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0850
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9150
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0850
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9150
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0850
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9150
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0850
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9150
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0850
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.9150
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0850
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9150
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0850
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9150
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0850
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9150
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0850
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9150
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0850
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9150
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9150
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0850
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9150
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 46.18, Sell volume: 14.50, Average price: 0.6949, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9150
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0850
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.9150
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0850
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.9150
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0850
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.9150
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9150
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9150
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9150
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9150
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9150
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9150
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9150
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9150
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.9150
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9150
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.9150
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9150
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.9150
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9150
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9150
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9150
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0850
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9150
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0850
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9150
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0850
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9150
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0850
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9150
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0850
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9150
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.56, Average price: 0.8300, Price range: 0.8300 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0850
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9150
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0850
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9150
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0850
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9150
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0850
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9150
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0850
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9150
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0850
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9150
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9150
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9150
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9150
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9150
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9150
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9150
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9150
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 46.18, Sell volume: 14.50, Average price: 0.6949, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9200
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0800
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9200
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9200
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9200
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9150
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0900
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 46.18, Sell volume: 14.50, Average price: 0.6949, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0800
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9200
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0800
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9200
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0800
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9200
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0800
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9200
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0800
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9200
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0800
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9200
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0800
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9200
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0800
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9200
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0800
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9200
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0800
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9200
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0800
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9200
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0800
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9200
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0800
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9200
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0800
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9200
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0800
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9200
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0750
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.47, Average price: 0.8400, Price range: 0.8400 - 0.8400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0750
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9250
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0750
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 46.18, Sell volume: 14.50, Average price: 0.6949, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.9250
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0750
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9250
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0750
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9250
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.9250
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.9250
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.9250
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.9250
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.0750
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.9250
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0750
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.9250
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.9250
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.9250
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.9250
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.9250
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.0750
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.9250
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.0750
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.9250
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.9250
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.9250
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.9250
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 46.18, Sell volume: 14.50, Average price: 0.6949, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.9250
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.0750
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0750
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.9250
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.0750
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.9250
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.0750
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.9250
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.0750
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.9250
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.9250
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0750
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.9250
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0750
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.9250
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0750
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.9250
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.0750
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.9250
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.0750
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.9250
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.9250
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.0750
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.9250
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.0750
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.9250
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0750
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.9250
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0750
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.9250
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0750
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.9250
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.9250
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 6.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1500, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.1500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0750
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.0750
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.9250
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.0750
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.9250
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.0750
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9250
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0750
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 15.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2644, Price range: 0.2644 - 0.2644

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.4750
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.4850
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.4850
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.4800
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.1500
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.1500
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.1550
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.1550
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.2200
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.2200
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.2750
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.2150
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.1400
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.1400
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.2000
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.1900
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.1800
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.2350
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.1950
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.1900
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.2000
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.1600
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.1600
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.1600
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.1600
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.1600
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.1600
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.1600
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.1600
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 24.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.8400
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.8400
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.8450
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.8400
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.8400
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.8450
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.8400
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.8400
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.8400
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.8450
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.8400
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.8400
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.8400
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.8400
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.8400
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.8400
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.8400
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.8400
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.8400
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.8400
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.8400
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.8400
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.8400
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.8400
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.8450
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.8400
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.8450
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.8450
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.8450
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.1400, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.1400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.1550
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.1600
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.1600
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.1600
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.1600
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.1600
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.1600
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.1600
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.1600
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.1600
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.1600
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.1550
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.1550
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.1600
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.1600
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.1600
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.1600
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.1600
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.1600
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.1600
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.1600
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.1600
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 46.18, Sell volume: 14.50, Average price: 0.6949, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.8400
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.8400
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.8400
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.8400
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.8400
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.8400
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.8400
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.8400
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.8400
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.8400
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.8400
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.8400
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.8400
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.8400
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.8400
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.8400
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.8400
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.8400
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.8400
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.8400
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.8400
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.8400
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.8400
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.8400
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.8400
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.8400
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.8400
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9050
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9100
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.47, Average price: 0.8200, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0950
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0850
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0850
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0850
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0850
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0850
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0850
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0850
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0850
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0850
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0850
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0850
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0850
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0850
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0850
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0850
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0850
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 46.18, Sell volume: 14.50, Average price: 0.6949, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9150
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.9150
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.9150
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.9150
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9150
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9150
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9150
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9150
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9150
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9150
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9150
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9150
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.9150
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9150
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.9150
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9150
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.9150
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9150
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9150
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9150
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9150
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9150
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9150
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9150
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9150
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9150
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9150
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9150
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9150
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.56, Average price: 0.8300, Price range: 0.8300 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0850
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0850
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0850
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0850
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0850
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0800
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 46.18, Sell volume: 14.50, Average price: 0.6949, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9200
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9200
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9200
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9200
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9150
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 46.18, Sell volume: 14.50, Average price: 0.6949, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0800
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0800
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0800
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0800
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0800
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0800
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0800
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0800
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0800
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0800
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0800
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0800
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0800
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0800
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0800
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0750
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0750
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.47, Average price: 0.8400, Price range: 0.8400 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9250
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9250
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 46.18, Sell volume: 14.50, Average price: 0.6949, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0750
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0750
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.0750
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0750
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.0750
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.0750
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.0750
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0750
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 46.18, Sell volume: 14.50, Average price: 0.6949, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.9250
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.9250
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.9250
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.9250
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.9250
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.9250
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.9250
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.9250
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.9250
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.9250
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.9250
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.9250
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.9250
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.9250
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.9250
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.9250
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.9250
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.9250
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.9250
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.9250
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 6.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1500, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.1500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532798
Question: Will someone else be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 60.67683
Price History:
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0750
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.0750
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.0750
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.0750
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0750
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 15.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2644, Price range: 0.2644 - 0.2644
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.5050
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5050
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9100
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9100
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 11.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 527.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 527.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 527.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 527.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 527.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 527.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9050
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 527.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 287.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9100
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9100
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9100
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9100
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9100
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9100
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9100
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 527.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 527.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 227.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0900
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0900
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0900
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 527.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5050
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9100
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 11.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 527.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 527.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 527.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 527.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 527.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 527.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 527.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 287.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9100
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9100
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9100
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 527.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 527.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 227.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630870
Question: Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 526.9978
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0900
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0900
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 527.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.5050
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5050
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9100
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9050
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9050
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9050
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9050
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9050
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9050
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9050
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 227.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0900
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 173.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5050
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630871
Question: Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 400.0
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes