Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0035
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0055
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0055
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0045
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.0045
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0045
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0030
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0030
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0045
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0045
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0045
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0065
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0065
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0065
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 472278557.48, Sell volume: 20769130.68, Average price: 0.6919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0060
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0065
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0065
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0060
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0060
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0060
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0060
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0060
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.0060
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0060
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0060
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0060
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.0060
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0060
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0060
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.0060
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0065
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0070
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0070
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0070
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0070
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0065
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0065
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0065
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0065
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.0055
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0055
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0065
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0065
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0065
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0060
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0065
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0070
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0065
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0060
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0060
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0060
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.0060
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.0030
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.0030
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0020
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.0025
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.0025
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 472278557.48, Sell volume: 20769130.68, Average price: 0.6919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.0025
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0025
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.0025
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.0025
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0030
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.0020
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0020
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0025
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.0025
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0030
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.0030
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.0030
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0030
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0030
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.0030
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.0030
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.0030
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.0030
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0030
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.0030
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.0030
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0025
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0030
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.0030
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.0025
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9980
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.0020
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.0030
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.9975
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.0030
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9970
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.9975
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.9975
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.9975
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.0035
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0035
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9965
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.9965
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 472278557.48, Sell volume: 20769130.68, Average price: 0.6919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0030
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0030
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.0025
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.0025
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.0025
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.9975
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.9975
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.0020
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.9980
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.9975
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0030
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.0030
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.0025
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.0030
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.0030
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9970
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0030
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.0030
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0030
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9975
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.9970
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0030
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9970
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9970
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.0150
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0130
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0120
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.9945
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0035
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0060
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9885
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9900
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9900
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9895
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 472278557.48, Sell volume: 20769130.68, Average price: 0.6919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9895
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0070
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9935
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0055
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0055
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0070
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0060
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9945
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0010
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9990
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 351648, Buy volume: 85090811.34, Sell volume: 2021316.66, Average price: 0.7212, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 299700, Buy volume: 149049051.75, Sell volume: 5354719.92, Average price: 0.5598, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 346652, Buy volume: 234805594.39, Sell volume: 13393094.10, Average price: 0.7802, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.1000
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.9830
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.0130
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.9870
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.0075
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.9940
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.0110
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.9915
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.0080
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.9920
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.0095
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.9920
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.0105
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.9895
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0100
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.9900
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.0110
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.9885
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.0110
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.9870
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.0120
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.9900
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0105
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.9885
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0115
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.9890
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.0100
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.9895
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.0110
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 472278557.48, Sell volume: 20769130.68, Average price: 0.6919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.0100
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.9900
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.0095
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.9895
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0095
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.9905
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0095
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.9905
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.0105
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.9900
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.0105
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.9895
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.0105
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.9920
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0090
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.9905
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.0095
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.9895
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.0105
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9900
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.0095
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.9895
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0105
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.9895
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0105
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9895
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0105
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.9895
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0185
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 472278557.48, Sell volume: 20769130.68, Average price: 0.6919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0185
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9720
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0280
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.9720
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0275
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9720
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0285
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9720
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0280
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9720
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0280
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.9715
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0275
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0280
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9720
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0275
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9720
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0285
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9720
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0270
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9720
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0285
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9715
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0280
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9725
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0270
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9735
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0270
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 472278557.48, Sell volume: 20769130.68, Average price: 0.6919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0265
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9740
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0275
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9740
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0270
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9760
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0240
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9760
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0205
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9825
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0170
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9800
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0165
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.9820
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.0130
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.9840
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0170
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.9865
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.0115
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.9910
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.0115
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.9890
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0110
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.9890
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0110
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.9890
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.0110
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.9890
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.0110
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 472278557.48, Sell volume: 20769130.68, Average price: 0.6919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0115
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9900
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0090
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9910
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0090
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9915
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0080
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.9925
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0080
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.9920
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0080
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.9920
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0080
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.9920
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0080
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9910
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0090
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9920
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0080
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9920
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0080
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9920
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0085
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9925
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0055
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9930
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0075
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 472278557.48, Sell volume: 20769130.68, Average price: 0.6919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0070
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.9925
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0075
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.9925
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0075
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9925
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0065
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.9960
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.9950
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0055
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.9950
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0055
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.9950
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9940
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.9940
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0055
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.9945
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.9950
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0030
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9975
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0045
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.9965
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9960
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0040
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 472278557.48, Sell volume: 20769130.68, Average price: 0.6919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0035
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.9970
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0045
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.9945
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0050
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.9950
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.9960
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.0040
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.9960
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0040
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.9960
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9960
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0030
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.9975
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.9975
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0045
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.9955
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0065
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.9940
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0065
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 472278557.48, Sell volume: 20769130.68, Average price: 0.6919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0060
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9935
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0060
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9940
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0060
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.9940
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0060
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.9940
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.0060
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.9940
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0065
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.9930
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0070
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9935
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0065
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9945
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0055
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9935
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0055
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.9935
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0065
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.9945
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0060
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.9980
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0025
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.9980
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.0020
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.9980
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 472278557.48, Sell volume: 20769130.68, Average price: 0.6919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.9975
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.9975
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.9980
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.9975
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0030
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.9970
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0030
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.9970
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0030
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.9975
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0030
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.9970
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9975
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0030
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0020
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0030
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.0025
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9970
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0025
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 472278557.48, Sell volume: 20769130.68, Average price: 0.6919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.0035
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9970
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0030
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.9975
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0025
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.9975
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9980
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.9970
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.9970
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.0025
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.0030
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.9970
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.9970
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.0030
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9970
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9970
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.9970
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0030
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.9965
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0120
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9940
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0060
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9895
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 472278557.48, Sell volume: 20769130.68, Average price: 0.6919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9895
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9940
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9945
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0050
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0010
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 351648, Buy volume: 85090811.34, Sell volume: 2021316.66, Average price: 0.7212, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 299700, Buy volume: 149049051.75, Sell volume: 5354719.92, Average price: 0.5598, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 346652, Buy volume: 234805594.39, Sell volume: 13393094.10, Average price: 0.7802, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.7500
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.2650
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.7350
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.2600
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.7400
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.2550
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.7450
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.2550
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.7450
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.2550
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.7450
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.3350
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.6650
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.3200
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.6800
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.3150
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.6850
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.3150
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.6850
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.3150
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.6850
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.3150
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.6850
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.3150
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.6850
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96271500.51, Sell volume: 31624490.73, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.6850
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.2950
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.7050
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.7500
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.2600
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.7400
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.2600
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.7400
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.7500
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.2400
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.7600
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.2400
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.7600
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.2400
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.7600
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.2400
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.7600
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.2350
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.7650
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.2350
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96271500.51, Sell volume: 31624490.73, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.1350
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.8650
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.1700
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.8300
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.2200
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.7800
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.1750
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.1750
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.1750
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.1750
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.1700
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.8300
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.1750
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0900
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9100
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.1150
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.8850
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96271500.51, Sell volume: 31624490.73, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.8950
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0950
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9050
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9050
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0950
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9050
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.1050
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.8950
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0650
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9350
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9250
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0800
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9200
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0950
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9050
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0950
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96271500.51, Sell volume: 31624490.73, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.1000
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9000
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.1100
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.8900
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.1050
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.8950
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0950
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9050
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.1000
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9000
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9200
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0950
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9050
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.1000
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9000
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.1000
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9000
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0950
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9050
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0900
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9100
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0950
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9050
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9050
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96271500.51, Sell volume: 31624490.73, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9100
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0850
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9150
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9200
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9150
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0900
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9100
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0900
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9100
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.1000
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9000
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0850
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9150
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0900
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9100
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0900
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9100
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0850
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9150
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0850
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9150
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.1000
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9000
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.1000
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96271500.51, Sell volume: 31624490.73, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0950
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9050
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.1150
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.8850
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.1200
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.1200
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.1050
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.8950
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.1050
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.8950
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.1050
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.8950
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.1050
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.8950
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.1100
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.8900
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.1150
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.8850
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.1150
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.8850
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.1200
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.1200
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96271500.51, Sell volume: 31624490.73, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.1200
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.1200
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.1150
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.8850
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.1150
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.8850
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.1150
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.8850
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.1150
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.8850
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.1150
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.8850
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0950
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9050
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.1000
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9000
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.1050
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.8950
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.1050
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.8950
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.1000
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9000
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.1000
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96271500.51, Sell volume: 31624490.73, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0900
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9100
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0900
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9100
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9050
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9050
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9050
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9050
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0850
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9150
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9050
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0900
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9100
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9050
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0850
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9150
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9050
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9050
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96271500.51, Sell volume: 31624490.73, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9050
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9050
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.1000
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9000
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.1000
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9000
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.1000
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9000
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.1050
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.8950
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.1050
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.8950
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.1050
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.8950
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.1100
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.8900
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.1100
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.8900
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.1050
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.8950
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.1050
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.8950
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.1200
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.8800
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.1350
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96271500.51, Sell volume: 31624490.73, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.1350
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.8650
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.1500
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.8500
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.1450
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.8550
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.1350
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.8650
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.1350
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.8650
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.1400
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.8600
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.1550
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.8450
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.1650
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.8350
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.1900
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.8100
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.1850
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.8150
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.1800
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.8200
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.2100
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.7900
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.2200
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.7800
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96271500.51, Sell volume: 31624490.73, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.7800
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.2200
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.7800
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.2300
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.7700
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.2550
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.7450
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.2750
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.7250
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.2900
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.7100
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.2800
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.7200
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.2750
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.7250
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.2700
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.7300
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.2150
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.7850
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.1850
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.8150
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.1400
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.8600
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0105
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 421578, Buy volume: 36919638.67, Sell volume: 11165503.32, Average price: 0.5787, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0280
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9720
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9960
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.5490
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.4510
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.6275
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.3725
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0160
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9840
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9960
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 418582, Buy volume: 47345902.04, Sell volume: 9264573.03, Average price: 0.5354, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.7500
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.2650
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.7350
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.2600
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.7400
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.2550
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.7450
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.2550
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.7450
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.2550
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.7450
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.3350
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.6650
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.3200
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.6800
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.3150
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.6850
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.3150
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.6850
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.3150
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.6850
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.3150
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.6850
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.3150
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.6850
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96271500.51, Sell volume: 31624490.73, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.6850
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.2950
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.7050
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.7500
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.2600
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.7400
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.2600
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.7400
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.7500
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.2400
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.7600
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.2400
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.7600
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.2400
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.7600
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.2400
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.7600
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.2350
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.7650
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.2350
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96271500.51, Sell volume: 31624490.73, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.1350
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.8650
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.1700
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.8300
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.2200
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.7800
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.1750
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.1750
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.1750
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.1750
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.1700
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.8300
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.1750
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0900
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9100
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.1150
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.8850
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96271500.51, Sell volume: 31624490.73, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.8950
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0950
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9050
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9050
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0950
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9050
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.1050
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.8950
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0650
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9350
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9250
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0800
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9200
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0950
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9050
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0950
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96271500.51, Sell volume: 31624490.73, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.1000
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9000
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.1100
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.8900
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.1050
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.8950
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0950
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9050
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.1000
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9000
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9200
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0950
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9050
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.1000
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9000
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.1000
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9000
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0950
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9050
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0900
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9100
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0950
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9050
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9050
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96271500.51, Sell volume: 31624490.73, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9100
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0850
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9150
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9200
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9150
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0900
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9100
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0900
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9100
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.1000
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9000
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0850
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9150
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0900
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9100
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0900
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9100
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0850
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9150
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0850
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9150
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.1000
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9000
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.1000
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96271500.51, Sell volume: 31624490.73, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0950
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9050
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.1150
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.8850
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.1200
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.1200
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.1050
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.8950
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.1050
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.8950
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.1050
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.8950
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.1050
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.8950
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.1100
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.8900
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.1150
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.8850
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.1150
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.8850
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.1200
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.1200
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96271500.51, Sell volume: 31624490.73, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.1200
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.1200
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.1150
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.8850
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.1150
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.8850
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.1150
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.8850
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.1150
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.8850
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.1150
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.8850
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0950
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9050
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.1000
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9000
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.1050
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.8950
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.1050
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.8950
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.1000
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9000
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.1000
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96271500.51, Sell volume: 31624490.73, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0900
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9100
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0900
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9100
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9050
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9050
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9050
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9050
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0850
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9150
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9050
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0900
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9100
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9050
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0850
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9150
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9050
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9050
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96271500.51, Sell volume: 31624490.73, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9050
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9050
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.1000
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9000
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.1000
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9000
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.1000
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9000
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.1050
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.8950
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.1050
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.8950
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.1050
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.8950
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.1100
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.8900
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.1100
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.8900
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.1050
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.8950
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.1050
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.8950
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.1200
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.8800
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.1350
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96271500.51, Sell volume: 31624490.73, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.1350
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.8650
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.1500
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.8500
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.1450
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.8550
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.1350
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.8650
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.1350
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.8650
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.1400
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.8600
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.1550
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.8450
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.1650
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.8350
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.1900
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.8100
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.1850
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.8150
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.1800
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.8200
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.2100
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.7900
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.2200
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.7800
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96271500.51, Sell volume: 31624490.73, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.7800
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.2200
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.7800
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.2300
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.7700
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.2550
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.7450
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.2750
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.7250
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.2900
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.7100
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.2800
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.7200
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.2750
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.7250
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.2700
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.7300
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.2150
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.7850
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.1850
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.8150
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.1400
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.8600
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0105
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 421578, Buy volume: 36919638.67, Sell volume: 11165503.32, Average price: 0.5787, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547675
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 886814.961899
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0280
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9720
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9960
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.5490
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.4510
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.6275
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.3725
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0160
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9840
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9960
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 418582, Buy volume: 47345902.04, Sell volume: 9264573.03, Average price: 0.5354, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.4950
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.5050
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.3350
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.6650
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0950
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.9050
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.1100
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.8900
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.1050
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.8950
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.1100
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.8900
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0600
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9400
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0430
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9570
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0360
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9640
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0255
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9745
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0310
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9690
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0340
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9660
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0345
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9655
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 440.03, Sell volume: 395.00, Average price: 0.5548, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9685
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0435
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9565
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0435
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9565
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0420
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9580
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0410
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9590
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0545
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9455
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0580
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9420
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0585
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9415
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0580
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9420
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0585
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9415
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0590
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9410
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0580
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9420
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0640
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9360
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0640
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2383.74, Sell volume: 508.90, Average price: 0.3475, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9770

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.1010
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.8990
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.1005
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.8995
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.1020
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.8980
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.1075
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.8925
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.1160
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.8840
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.1170
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.8830
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.1260
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.8740
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.1365
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.8635
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.1395
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.8605
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.1450
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.8550
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.1450
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.8550
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.1860
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.8140
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.1725
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.8275
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.2010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 2410.11, Sell volume: 354.41, Average price: 0.5235, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.7990
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.2530
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.7470
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.2485
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.7515
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.2450
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.7550
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.2740
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.7260
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.2655
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.7345
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.2715
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.7285
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.2660
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.7340
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.2470
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.7530
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.2440
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.7560
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.2435
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.7565
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.2450
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.7550
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.2435
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.7565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 7889.56, Sell volume: 1370.59, Average price: 0.5406, Price range: 0.2120 - 0.7986

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.2440
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.7560
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.2445
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.7555
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.2460
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.7540
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.2435
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.7565
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.2435
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.7565
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.2310
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.7690
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.2315
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.7685
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.2270
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.7730
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.2275
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.7725
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.2260
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.7740
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.2325
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.7675
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.2280
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.7720
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.2280
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.7720
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.2290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 3012.69, Sell volume: 663.51, Average price: 0.6098, Price range: 0.2220 - 0.7780

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.7710
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.2330
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.7670
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.2405
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.7595
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.2440
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.7560
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.2440
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.7560
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.2440
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.7560
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.2440
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.7560
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.2440
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.7560
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.2440
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.7560
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.2445
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.7555
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.2465
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.7535
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.2475
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.7525
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.2375
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.7625
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.2420
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.7580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 4517.59, Sell volume: 286.67, Average price: 0.5314, Price range: 0.2270 - 0.7720

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.2435
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.7565
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.2415
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.7585
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.2415
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.7585
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.2415
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.7585
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.2425
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.7575
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.2425
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.7575
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.2425
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.7575
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.2425
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.7575
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.2405
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.7595
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.2405
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.7595
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.2405
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.7595
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.2405
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.7595
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.2350
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.7650
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.2375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2201.43, Sell volume: 1363.77, Average price: 0.5566, Price range: 0.2340 - 0.7660

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.7625
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.2430
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.7570
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.2430
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.7570
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.2430
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.7570
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.2430
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.7570
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.2445
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.7555
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.2445
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.7555
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.2415
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.7585
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.2155
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.7845
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.2155
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.7845
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.2180
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.7820
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.2180
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.7820
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.2175
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.7825
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.1920
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.8080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 1863.50, Sell volume: 1293.17, Average price: 0.5995, Price range: 0.2037 - 0.7850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.2010
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.7990
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.1950
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.8050
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.1980
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.8020
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.1960
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.8040
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.1955
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.8045
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.1990
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.8010
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.2025
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.7975
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.1955
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.8045
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.2035
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.7965
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.2035
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.7965
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.2045
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.7955
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.1950
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.8050
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.1940
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.8060
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.1940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 2641.22, Sell volume: 318.65, Average price: 0.6290, Price range: 0.1960 - 0.8090

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.8060
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.1880
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.8120
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.1425
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.8575
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.1740
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.8260
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.1630
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.8370
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.1690
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.8310
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.1655
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.8345
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.1620
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.8380
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.1635
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.8365
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.1555
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.8445
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.1470
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.8530
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.1455
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.8545
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.1125
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.8875
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.1025
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.8975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 144, Buy volume: 3543.57, Sell volume: 4120.62, Average price: 0.5659, Price range: 0.0980 - 0.9050

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0990
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9010
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0990
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9010
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.1065
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.8935
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.1055
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.8945
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.1045
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.8955
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.1060
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.8940
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.1005
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.8995
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.1080
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.8920
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.1060
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.8940
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.1005
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.8995
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.1005
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.8995
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0980
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9020
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0955
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9045
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.1195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 149, Buy volume: 6113.45, Sell volume: 2053.88, Average price: 0.5675, Price range: 0.0911 - 0.9080

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.8805
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.1030
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.8970
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.1025
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.8975
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0980
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9020
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0980
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9020
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0950
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9050
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0535
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9465
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0635
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9365
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0885
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9115
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0970
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9030
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.1655
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.8345
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.2615
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.7385
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0130
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9870
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0185
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 342, Buy volume: 30954.81, Sell volume: 35577.93, Average price: 0.5697, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0215
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9785
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0240
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9760
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 235, Buy volume: 25169.09, Sell volume: 39604.48, Average price: 0.5060, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.4950
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.5050
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.3350
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.6650
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0950
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.9050
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.1100
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.8900
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.1050
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.8950
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.1100
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.8900
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0600
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9400
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0430
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9570
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0360
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9640
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0255
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9745
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0310
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9690
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0340
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9660
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0345
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9655
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 440.03, Sell volume: 395.00, Average price: 0.5548, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9685
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0435
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9565
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0435
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9565
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0420
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9580
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0410
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9590
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0545
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9455
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0580
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9420
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0585
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9415
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0580
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9420
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0585
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9415
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0590
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9410
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0580
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9420
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0640
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9360
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0640
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2383.74, Sell volume: 508.90, Average price: 0.3475, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.1010
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.8990
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.1005
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.8995
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.1020
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.8980
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.1075
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.8925
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.1160
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.8840
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.1170
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.8830
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.1260
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.8740
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.1365
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.8635
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.1395
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.8605
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.1450
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.8550
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.1450
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.8550
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.1860
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.8140
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.1725
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.8275
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.2010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 2410.11, Sell volume: 354.41, Average price: 0.5235, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.7990
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.2530
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.7470
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.2485
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.7515
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.2450
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.7550
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.2740
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.7260
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.2655
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.7345
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.2715
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.7285
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.2660
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.7340
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.2470
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.7530
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.2440
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.7560
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.2435
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.7565
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.2450
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.7550
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.2435
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.7565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 7889.56, Sell volume: 1370.59, Average price: 0.5406, Price range: 0.2120 - 0.7986
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.2440
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.7560
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.2445
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.7555
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.2460
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.7540
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.2435
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.7565
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.2435
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.7565
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.2310
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.7690
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.2315
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.7685
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.2270
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.7730
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.2275
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.7725
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.2260
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.7740
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.2325
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.7675
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.2280
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.7720
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.2280
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.7720
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.2290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 3012.69, Sell volume: 663.51, Average price: 0.6098, Price range: 0.2220 - 0.7780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.7710
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.2330
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.7670
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.2405
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.7595
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.2440
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.7560
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.2440
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.7560
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.2440
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.7560
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.2440
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.7560
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.2440
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.7560
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.2440
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.7560
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.2445
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.7555
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.2465
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.7535
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.2475
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.7525
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.2375
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.7625
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.2420
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.7580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 4517.59, Sell volume: 286.67, Average price: 0.5314, Price range: 0.2270 - 0.7720
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.2435
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.7565
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.2415
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.7585
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.2415
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.7585
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.2415
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.7585
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.2425
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.7575
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.2425
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.7575
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.2425
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.7575
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.2425
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.7575
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.2405
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.7595
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.2405
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.7595
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.2405
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.7595
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.2405
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.7595
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.2350
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.7650
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.2375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2201.43, Sell volume: 1363.77, Average price: 0.5566, Price range: 0.2340 - 0.7660
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.7625
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.2430
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.7570
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.2430
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.7570
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.2430
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.7570
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.2430
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.7570
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.2445
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.7555
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.2445
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.7555
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.2415
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.7585
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.2155
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.7845
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.2155
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.7845
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.2180
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.7820
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.2180
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.7820
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.2175
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.7825
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.1920
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.8080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 1863.50, Sell volume: 1293.17, Average price: 0.5995, Price range: 0.2037 - 0.7850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.2010
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.7990
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.1950
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.8050
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.1980
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.8020
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.1960
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.8040
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.1955
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.8045
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.1990
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.8010
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.2025
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.7975
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.1955
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.8045
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.2035
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.7965
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.2035
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.7965
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.2045
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.7955
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.1950
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.8050
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.1940
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.8060
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.1940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 2641.22, Sell volume: 318.65, Average price: 0.6290, Price range: 0.1960 - 0.8090
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.8060
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.1880
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.8120
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.1425
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.8575
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.1740
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.8260
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.1630
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.8370
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.1690
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.8310
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.1655
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.8345
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.1620
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.8380
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.1635
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.8365
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.1555
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.8445
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.1470
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.8530
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.1455
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.8545
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.1125
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.8875
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.1025
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.8975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 144, Buy volume: 3543.57, Sell volume: 4120.62, Average price: 0.5659, Price range: 0.0980 - 0.9050
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0990
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9010
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0990
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9010
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.1065
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.8935
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.1055
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.8945
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.1045
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.8955
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.1060
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.8940
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.1005
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.8995
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.1080
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.8920
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.1060
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.8940
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.1005
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.8995
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.1005
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.8995
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0980
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9020
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0955
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9045
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.1195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 149, Buy volume: 6113.45, Sell volume: 2053.88, Average price: 0.5675, Price range: 0.0911 - 0.9080
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.8805
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.1030
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.8970
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.1025
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.8975
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0980
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9020
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0980
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9020
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0950
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9050
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0535
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9465
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0635
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9365
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0885
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9115
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0970
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9030
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.1655
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.8345
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.2615
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.7385
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0130
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9870
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0185
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 342, Buy volume: 30954.81, Sell volume: 35577.93, Average price: 0.5697, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547678
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 191831.922486
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0215
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9785
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0240
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9760
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 235, Buy volume: 25169.09, Sell volume: 39604.48, Average price: 0.5060, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0950
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.9050
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0950
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9050
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0700
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9300
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0700
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.9300
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0700
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.9300
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0650
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9350
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0600
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 533.09, Sell volume: 331.00, Average price: 0.6350, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0350
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9650
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0355
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9645
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0345
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9655
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0350
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9650
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0345
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9655
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0295
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9705
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0340
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9660
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0330
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9670
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0400
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9600
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0475
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9525
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0470
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9530
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0375
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9625
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0400
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1702.61, Sell volume: 867.62, Average price: 0.4731, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0460
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9540
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0475
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9525
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0475
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9525
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0470
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9530
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0465
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9535
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0465
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9535
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0465
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9535
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0465
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9535
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0455
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9545
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0405
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9595
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0415
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9585
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0330
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9670
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0315
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9685
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 866.21, Sell volume: 908.96, Average price: 0.5987, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9730

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9685
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0200
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9800
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0200
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9800
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0160
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9840
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0160
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9840
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0135
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9865
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0130
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9870
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9860
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9860
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0400
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9600
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0325
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9675
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0325
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9675
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0220
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9780
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0220
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 6342.40, Sell volume: 2249.49, Average price: 0.7225, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0175
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9825
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9820
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0220
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9780
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0245
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9755
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0290
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9710
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0250
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9750
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0195
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9805
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0205
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9795
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0270
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9730
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0310
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9690
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0240
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9760
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0240
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9760
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0215
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9785
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 3423.81, Sell volume: 1157.41, Average price: 0.6508, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9800
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0160
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9840
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0165
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9835
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0165
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9835
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0155
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9845
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0175
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9825
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0170
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9830
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0170
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9830
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0250
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9750
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0255
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9745
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0305
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9695
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0270
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9730
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0265
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9735
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0280
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 5127.74, Sell volume: 1314.06, Average price: 0.5024, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0290
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0315
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9685
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0310
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9690
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0270
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9730
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0260
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9740
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9750
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0235
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9765
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0235
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9765
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0235
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9765
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0235
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9765
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0295
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9705
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0285
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9715
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0285
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9715
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 1707.39, Sell volume: 241.48, Average price: 0.6777, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9740

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0295
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9705
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0295
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9705
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0295
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9705
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0290
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0290
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0270
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9730
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0275
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9725
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0145
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9855
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0275
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9725
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0290
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9710
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0245
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9755
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0245
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9755
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0205
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 3189.30, Sell volume: 470.53, Average price: 0.5741, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0185
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9815
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0195
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9805
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0195
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9805
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0195
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9805
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0185
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9815
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0205
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9795
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0250
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9750
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0235
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9765
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0305
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9695
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0330
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9670
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0215
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9785
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0205
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9795
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0220
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9780
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 2752.36, Sell volume: 158.66, Average price: 0.6892, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9830

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9800
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0375
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9625
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0415
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9585
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0415
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9585
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0415
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9585
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0380
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9620
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0375
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9625
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9765
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9765
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0265
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9735
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0230
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0210
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9790
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0270
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9730
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0260
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 160, Buy volume: 20922.81, Sell volume: 5697.31, Average price: 0.3984, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9849

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0275
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9725
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0265
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9735
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0325
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9675
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0435
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9565
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0365
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9635
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0395
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9605
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0615
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9385
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0560
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9440
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0495
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9505
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0475
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9525
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0505
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9495
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0450
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9550
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0360
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9640
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0380
Trade Summary: Total trades: 197, Buy volume: 16696.47, Sell volume: 4178.16, Average price: 0.5645, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9620
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0360
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9640
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0385
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9615
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0325
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9675
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0310
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9690
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0280
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9720
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0290
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9710
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0300
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9700
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0300
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9700
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0265
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9735
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0170
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9830
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0255
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9745
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0115
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 250, Buy volume: 22147.00, Sell volume: 7860.56, Average price: 0.6066, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 37246.71, Sell volume: 1973.72, Average price: 0.1510, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547673
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 160870.411525
Price History:
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0950
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.9050
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0950
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9050
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0700
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9300
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0700
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.9300
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0700
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.9300
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0650
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9350
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0600
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 533.09, Sell volume: 331.00, Average price: 0.6350, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes