Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.9760
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.7995
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.7995
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.7995
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.2005
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.1665
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.8060
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.8035
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.8070
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.1980
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.1985
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.1985
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.1925
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.8020
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.1950
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.8020
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.8020
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.8020
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.8020
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.8020
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.8020
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.1980
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.1980
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.8020
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.8020
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.8020
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.8020
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.1980
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.1980
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.8020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 14.46, Sell volume: 21.64, Average price: 0.2605, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.6362
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.1980
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.1980
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.1980
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.1980
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.1980
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.8020
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.8020
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.8020
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.8020
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.1985
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.8015
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.4985
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.4985
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.4985
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.4985
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.4985
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.5015
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.5030
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.5015
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.4985
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.5015
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.5015
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.4980
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.4985
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.5025
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.2240
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.7765
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.7765
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.7765
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.7765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 530, Buy volume: 3220.53, Sell volume: 214.43, Average price: 0.7206, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.7765
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.7765
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.2235
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.2235
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.2235
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.7765
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.2005
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.2010
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.7990
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.2010
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.7990
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.7990
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.2010
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.2010
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.2010
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.2010
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.2010
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.2010
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.2010
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.7990
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.7990
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.7990
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.7990
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.7990
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.7990
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.7990
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.7990
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.7990
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.7990
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.7990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 530, Buy volume: 3220.53, Sell volume: 214.43, Average price: 0.7206, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.5125
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.4875
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.4875
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.4875
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.5060
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.5065
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.5035
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.5080
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.5070
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.4970
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.5075
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.4925
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.4960
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.4960
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.5005
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.5030
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.5045
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.5045
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.4975
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.5015
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.4950
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.5040
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.5040
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.5040
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.5040
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.5035
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5035
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5035
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.4955
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 530, Buy volume: 3220.53, Sell volume: 214.43, Average price: 0.7206, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.5050
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5070
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.4945
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.5055
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.4910
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.4910
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.5080
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5030
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.5030
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.5125
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.4875
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.4975
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.4960
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.5140
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.5200
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.4730
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.4615
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.4540
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.5395
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.4635
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.5430
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.5450
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.5365
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.4575
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.5505
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.4495
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.4500
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.4500
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.5510
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.4490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 57.98, Average price: 0.0025, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0050
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.5760
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.5760
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.5760
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.5760
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.5760
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.4245
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.5755
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.5780
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.5790
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.5885
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.5890
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.5890
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.4110
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.4070
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.3930
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.6070
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.6305
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.7175
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.2825
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.2830
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.2835
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.2835
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.2835
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.7165
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.7165
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.7165
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.2835
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.7165
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.7165
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.0220, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.0220
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.7205
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.2795
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.7210
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.7210
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.7215
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.7215
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.7190
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.7190
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.7190
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.7295
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.7295
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.7295
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.7295
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.7295
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.7395
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.7755
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.7755
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.7755
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.7755
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.7755
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.7755
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.7755
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.7755
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.7755
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.7755
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.7755
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.7755
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.7755
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.7755
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.7755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.73, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9915, Price range: 0.9870 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.7765
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.7770
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.7770
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.7770
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.7770
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.7770
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.7770
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.7645
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.7640
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.7640
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.7640
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.7640
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.5495
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.5575
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.5580
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.5580
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.5380
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.5485
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.5505
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.5500
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5505
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5575
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.5405
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.6475
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.7110
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.7725
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.7995
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.8485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 6.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9640, Price range: 0.9640 - 0.9640
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9640
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9640
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9640
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9640
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9640
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.7580
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.7580
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.7645
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.7730
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.7815
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.7885
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.7965
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.8045
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.8120
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.8200
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.8285
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.8360
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.8440
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.8440
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.8440
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8440
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8440
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.8440
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.8440
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.8440
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.8365
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.8365
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.8365
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 27.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0370, Price range: 0.0370 - 0.0370
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.8645
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.8720
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.8785
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.8855
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.8865
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.8925
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.8985
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9060
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9130
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9205
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9280
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9360
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9360
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9360
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9360
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9360
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9330
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9330
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9330
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9330
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9330
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9330
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9330
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.8350
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.7720
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.6005
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.6005
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.6005
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.7880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 508, Buy volume: 3150.15, Sell volume: 119.81, Average price: 0.7342, Price range: 0.0244 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.6250
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.3750
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.3550
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.6450
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.3550
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.6450
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.3700
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.6300
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.3700
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.6300
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.3700
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.6300
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.3700
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.6300
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.3700
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.6300
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.6300
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.6300
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.6300
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.6300
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.3600
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.6400
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.3550
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.6450
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.3550
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.6450
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.3550
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.6450
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.3550
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.6450
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.3550
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.6450
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.3100
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.6900
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.2750
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.7250
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.2650
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.7350
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.2650
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.7350
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.2650
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.7350
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.3000
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.7000
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.3000
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 874.73, Sell volume: 120.73, Average price: 0.4437, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.2850
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.7150
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.2850
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.7150
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.2850
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.7150
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.2750
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.7250
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.2750
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.7250
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.2750
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.7250
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.2750
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.7250
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.2750
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.7250
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.2750
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.7250
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.2750
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.7250
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.2750
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.7250
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.2750
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.7250
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.2750
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.7250
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.2750
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.7250
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.2750
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.7250
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.2750
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.7250
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.2850
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.7150
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.2850
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.7150
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.2850
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.7150
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.2750
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.7250
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.2750
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.7250
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.2800
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.7200
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.2750
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.7250
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.2750
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.7250
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.2750
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1105.43, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4096, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7365

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.4600
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.5400
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.4650
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.5350
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.4550
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.5450
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.5250
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.4750
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.5200
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.4800
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.5350
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.4650
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.4750
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.5250
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.4200
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.5800
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.4300
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.5700
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.4300
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.5700
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.4200
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.5800
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.4100
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.5900
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.4100
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.5900
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.3900
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.6100
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.3950
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.6050
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.3900
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.6100
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.3900
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.6100
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.3900
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.6100
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.3900
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.6100
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.3900
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.6100
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.3900
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.6100
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.3900
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.6100
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.3900
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.6100
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.3900
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.6100
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.3850
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 165.67, Sell volume: 346.87, Average price: 0.5295, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.4250
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.5750
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.4200
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.5800
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.4200
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.5800
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.4200
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.5800
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.3950
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.6050
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.3950
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.6050
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.3900
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.6100
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.3950
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.6050
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.3800
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.6200
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.3800
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.6200
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.3750
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.6250
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.3750
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.6250
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.3750
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.6250
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.3750
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.6250
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.3700
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.6300
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.3700
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.6300
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.3700
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.6300
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.3800
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.6200
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.3850
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.6150
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.3800
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.6200
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.3800
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.6200
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.3800
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.6200
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.3850
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.6150
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.3700
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.6300
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.3700
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 51.89, Sell volume: 281.08, Average price: 0.4466, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.3750
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.6250
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.3750
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.6250
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.3750
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.6250
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.3750
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.6250
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.3750
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.6250
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.3750
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.6250
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.3750
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.6250
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.3750
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.6250
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.3750
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.6250
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.3750
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.6250
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.3750
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.6250
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.3750
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.6250
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.3550
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.6450
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.3600
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.6400
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.3600
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.6400
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.3600
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.6400
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.3350
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.6650
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.3350
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.6650
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.3350
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.6650
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.3350
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.6650
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.3350
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.6650
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.3350
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.6650
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.3350
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.6650
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.3350
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.6650
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.3350
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 54.83, Average price: 0.3200, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.3200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.3350
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.6650
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.3350
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.6650
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.3350
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.6650
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.3350
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.6650
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.3350
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.6650
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.3350
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.6650
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.3350
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.6650
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.3350
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.6650
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.3350
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.6650
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.3350
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.6650
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.3400
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.6600
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.3400
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.6600
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.3400
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.6600
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.3400
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.6600
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.3400
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.6600
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.6550
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.6550
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.6550
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.6550
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.6550
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.6550
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.6550
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.6550
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.3400
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.6600
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.3500
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 55.00, Sell volume: 14.00, Average price: 0.5018, Price range: 0.3636 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.3450
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.6550
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.3450
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.6550
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.3450
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.6550
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.3450
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.6550
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.3450
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.6550
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.3550
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.6450
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.3550
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.6450
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.3550
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.6450
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.3550
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.6450
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.3550
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.6450
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.3550
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.6450
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.3550
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.6450
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.3550
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.6450
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.3550
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.6450
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.3550
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.6450
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.6450
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.6450
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.6450
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.6450
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.6450
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.6450
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.6450
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.6450
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.6450
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 53.03, Sell volume: 42.02, Average price: 0.4250, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.3550
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.6450
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.3550
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.6450
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.3550
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.6450
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.3550
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.6450
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.3550
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.6450
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.3550
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.6450
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.3550
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.6450
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.3650
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.6350
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.3650
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.6350
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.3650
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.6350
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.3650
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.6350
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.3850
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.6150
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.3850
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.6150
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.3850
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.6150
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.3800
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.6200
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.3800
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.6200
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.3800
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.6200
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.3850
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.6150
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.3900
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.6100
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.3900
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.6100
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.3900
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.6100
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.3900
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.6100
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.3900
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.6100
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.3900
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.6100
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.3900
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 9.30, Sell volume: 47.49, Average price: 0.5533, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.6300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.4000
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.6000
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.4000
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.6000
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.4000
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.6000
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.4000
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.6000
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.4350
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.5650
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.4300
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.5700
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.4300
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.5700
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.4350
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.5650
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.4300
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.5700
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.4300
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.5700
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.4350
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.5650
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.4300
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.5700
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.4300
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.5700
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.4150
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.5850
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.5900
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.5900
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.4150
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.5850
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.5900
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.5900
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.5900
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.5900
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.5900
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.5900
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.5900
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 53.30, Sell volume: 41.87, Average price: 0.4782, Price range: 0.3845 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.4100
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.5900
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.4100
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.5900
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.4100
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.5900
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.4100
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.5900
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.4100
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.5900
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.4100
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.5900
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.4100
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.5900
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.4100
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.5900
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.4100
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.5900
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.4100
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.5900
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.4100
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.5900
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.3950
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.6050
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.3950
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.6050
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.3950
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.6050
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.3950
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.6050
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.3950
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.6050
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.3950
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.6050
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.3950
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.6050
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.3950
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.6050
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.3950
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.6050
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.3900
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.6100
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.3750
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.6250
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.3750
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.6250
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.3750
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.6250
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.3750
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 275.51, Sell volume: 144.49, Average price: 0.4501, Price range: 0.3604 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.3600
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.6400
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.3600
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.6400
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.3600
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.6400
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.3650
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.6350
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.3600
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.6400
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.3650
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.6350
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.3600
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.6400
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.3600
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.6400
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.3600
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.6400
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.3650
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.6350
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.3600
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.6400
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.3650
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.6350
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.3600
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.6400
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.3800
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.6200
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.3800
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.6200
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.3800
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.6200
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.3800
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.6200
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.5000
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.5000
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.4200
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.5800
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.4200
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.5800
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.6600
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.3400
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.5350
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.4650
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.6900
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.3100
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.6900
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.3100
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.6900
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2998.61, Sell volume: 30.27, Average price: 0.5447, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.6829

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.6350
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.3650
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.6400
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.3600
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.6600
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.3400
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.6500
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.3500
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.6550
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.3450
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.6450
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.3550
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.6350
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.3650
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.6200
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.3800
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.6200
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.3800
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.5950
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.4050
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.5950
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.4050
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.6400
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.3600
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.6500
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.3500
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.6500
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.3500
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.6350
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.3650
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.6350
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.3650
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.6350
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.3650
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.6350
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.3650
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.6400
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.3600
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.6750
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.3250
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.7100
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.2900
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.6750
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.3250
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.6550
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.3450
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.6300
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.3700
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.6250
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 3347.32, Sell volume: 620.43, Average price: 0.5137, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6894

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.5350
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.4650
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.4650
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.5350
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.5550
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.4450
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.4400
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.5600
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.5450
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.4550
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.5450
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.4550
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.6150
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.3850
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.3950
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.6050
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.6950
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.3050
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.7000
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.3000
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.3400
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.6600
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.7750
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.2250
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.7750
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.2250
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.7900
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.2100
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.2200
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.7800
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.2450
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.8800
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.1200
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.8850
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.1150
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.9100
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.0900
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.9100
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.0900
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.1800
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.8200
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.1250
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.8750
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.0750
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9250
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.0600
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.9400
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.0800
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 227, Buy volume: 41843.62, Sell volume: 6787.05, Average price: 0.7106, Price range: 0.0031 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.6250
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.3550
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.3550
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.3700
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.3700
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.3700
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.3700
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.3600
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.3550
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.3550
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.3550
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.3550
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.3550
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.3100
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.2750
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.2650
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.2650
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.2650
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.3000
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.3000
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.2900
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.2900
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.2900
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.2900
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 874.73, Sell volume: 120.73, Average price: 0.4437, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.2850
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.2850
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.2850
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.2750
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.2750
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.2750
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.2750
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.2750
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.2750
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.2750
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.2750
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.2750
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.2750
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.2750
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.2750
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.2750
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.2850
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.2850
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.2850
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.2750
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.2750
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.2800
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.2750
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.2750
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.2750
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.2750
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.3150
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.3300
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.3250
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1105.43, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4096, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7365
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.4600
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.4650
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.4550
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.5250
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.5200
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.5350
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.4750
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.4200
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.4300
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.4300
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.4200
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.4100
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.4100
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.3900
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.3950
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.3900
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.3900
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.3900
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.3900
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.3900
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.3900
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.3900
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.3900
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.3900
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.3850
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.3850
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.3850
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.3850
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.3850
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 165.67, Sell volume: 346.87, Average price: 0.5295, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.4250
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.4200
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.4200
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.4200
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.3950
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.3950
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.3900
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.3950
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.3800
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.3800
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.3750
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.3750
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.3750
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.3750
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.3700
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.3700
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.3700
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.3800
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.3850
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.3800
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.3800
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.3800
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.3850
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.3700
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.3700
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.3800
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.3950
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.3700
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.3700
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 51.89, Sell volume: 281.08, Average price: 0.4466, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.3750
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.3750
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.3750
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.3750
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.3750
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.3750
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.3750
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.3750
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.3750
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.3750
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.3750
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.3750
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.3550
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.3600
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.3600
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.3600
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.3350
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.3350
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.3350
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.3350
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.3350
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.3350
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.3350
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.3350
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.3350
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.3350
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.3350
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.3350
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.3350
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 54.83, Average price: 0.3200, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.3200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.3350
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.3350
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.3350
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.3350
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.3350
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.3350
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.3350
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.3350
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.3350
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.3350
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.3400
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.3400
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.3400
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.3400
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.3400
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.3400
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.3500
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 55.00, Sell volume: 14.00, Average price: 0.5018, Price range: 0.3636 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.3450
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.3450
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.3450
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.3450
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.3450
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.3550
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.3550
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.3550
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.3550
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.3550
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.3550
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.3550
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.3550
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.3550
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.3550
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 53.03, Sell volume: 42.02, Average price: 0.4250, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.3550
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.3550
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.3550
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.3550
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.3550
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.3550
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.3550
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.3650
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.3650
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.3650
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.3650
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.3850
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.3850
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.3850
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.3800
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.3800
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.3800
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.3850
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.3900
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.3900
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.3900
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.3900
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.3900
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.3900
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.3900
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.3900
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.3900
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.3900
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.3900
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 9.30, Sell volume: 47.49, Average price: 0.5533, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.4000
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.4000
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.4000
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.4000
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.4350
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.4300
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.4300
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.4350
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.4300
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.4300
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.4350
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.4300
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.4300
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.4150
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.4150
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.4100
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.4100
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.4100
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.4100
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.4100
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 53.30, Sell volume: 41.87, Average price: 0.4782, Price range: 0.3845 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.4100
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.4100
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.4100
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.4100
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.4100
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.4100
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.4100
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.4100
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.4100
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.4100
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.4100
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.3950
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.3950
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.3950
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.3950
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.3950
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.3950
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.3950
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.3950
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.3950
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.3900
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.3750
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.3750
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.3750
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.3750
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.3750
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.3550
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.3550
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.3550
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 275.51, Sell volume: 144.49, Average price: 0.4501, Price range: 0.3604 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.3600
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.3600
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.3600
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.3650
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.3600
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.3650
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.3600
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.3600
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.3600
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.3650
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.3600
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.3650
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.3600
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.3800
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.3800
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.3800
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.3800
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.5000
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.4200
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.4200
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.6600
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.5350
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.6900
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.6900
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.6900
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.6900
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.6900
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.6650
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.6500
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2998.61, Sell volume: 30.27, Average price: 0.5447, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.6829
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.6350
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.6400
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.6600
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.6500
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.6550
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.6450
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.6350
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.6200
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.6200
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.5950
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.5950
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.6400
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.6500
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.6500
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.6350
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.6350
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.6350
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.6350
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.6400
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.6750
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.7100
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.6750
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.6550
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.6300
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.6250
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.6200
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.6150
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.6150
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.6150
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 3347.32, Sell volume: 620.43, Average price: 0.5137, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6894
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563414
Question: Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Volume: 72529.501622
Price History:
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.5350
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.4650
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.5550
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.4400
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.5450
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.5450
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.6150
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.3950
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.6950
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.7000
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.3400
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.7750
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.7750
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.7900
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.2200
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.8800
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.8850
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.9100
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.9100
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.1800
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.1250
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.0750
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.0600
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.0800
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0800
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.1200
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.1300
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 227, Buy volume: 41843.62, Sell volume: 6787.05, Average price: 0.7106, Price range: 0.0031 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.5000
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.2550
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.2550
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.2550
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.2650
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.2600
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.2600
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 921, Buy volume: 6136.03, Sell volume: 109.19, Average price: 0.7515, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 921, Buy volume: 6136.03, Sell volume: 109.19, Average price: 0.7515, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.1750
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0450
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.1500
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.1850
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.8150
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.8200
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.1750
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.1200
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.9050
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.1600
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.1050
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.1700
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.1550
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.1550
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.1800
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.9350
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.8200
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.1800
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.8200
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.1600
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.1250
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.1750
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.1750
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.1750
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.8250
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.1750
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.8250
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.1750
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.8250
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.1750
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.8250
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.8250
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.8250
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.8250
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.1750
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.8250
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.1750
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.8250
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.8250
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.8250
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.8250
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.8250
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.8250
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.8250
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.8250
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.1750
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.1750
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.1750
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 6.40, Sell volume: 11.40, Average price: 0.2141, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.1750
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.1750
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.8250
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.1750
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.1750
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.1750
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.1750
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.8250
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.1750
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.1750
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.1750
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.8250
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.5300
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.4700
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.4700
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.4750
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.4750
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.4750
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.4650
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.4350
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.5950
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.3700
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.3450
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.4550
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.5800
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.4150
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.4150
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.4150
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.4150
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.5850
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.5850
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.5850
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.5850
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.5850
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.2150
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.2150
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.2150
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.2150
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.2150
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.2150
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.2150
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.2150
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.2150
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.2150
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 921, Buy volume: 6136.03, Sell volume: 109.19, Average price: 0.7515, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.7850
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.7850
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.7850
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.7850
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.2150
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.2150
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.2150
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.2150
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.2150
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.8500
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.1500
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.8500
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.8500
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.1500
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.8500
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.8500
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.8500
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.8500
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.1500
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.8500
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.8500
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.1500
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.4800
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.4500
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.5400
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.4300
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.4750
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.5150
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.5300
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.4750
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.4150
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.6200
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.6550
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.5650
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.6000
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.4400
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.3400
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.5150
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.5150
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.4950
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.4950
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.4950
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.5000
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.4950
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.4950
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.4950
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 921, Buy volume: 6136.03, Sell volume: 109.19, Average price: 0.7515, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.5000
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.4950
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.5000
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.5000
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.5000
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.5000
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.5050
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.5050
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.4900
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.4950
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.4950
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.4900
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.4350
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.4750
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.4750
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.4850
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.4600
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.4850
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.5050
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.5050
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.4950
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.5100
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.4900
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.5050
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.5000
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.5000
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.4700
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.4700
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.4650
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.5000
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.4600
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.4350
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.4400
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.4450
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.5600
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.5400
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.4550
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4200
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.5750
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 921, Buy volume: 6136.03, Sell volume: 109.19, Average price: 0.7515, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4300
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5600
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5600
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.4450
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.5750
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.5400
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.4550
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.4450
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.4550
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.4700
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5300
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.4700
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.4650
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.4650
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.3500
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1200
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0050
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9950
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0050
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0050
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.4970
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.4970
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.4960
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.4955
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.4955
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.5050
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.5050
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.5060
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.4905
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.4825
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.4875
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.4875
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.5160
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.5175
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.5175
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.4825
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.4820
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.5200
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.4825
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.4825
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.4825
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.5175
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.5175
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.5175
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.5175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 77.30, Sell volume: 43.99, Average price: 0.0143, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.0220

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.4825
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.4825
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.4825
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.4825
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.4825
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.4825
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.4825
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.5010
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.4915
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.5090
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.5090
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.4910
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.4810
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.4820
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.4815
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.4815
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.4815
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.4910
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.5195
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.5195
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.5195
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.4780
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.5200
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.5200
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.5205
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.4745
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.5110
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5220
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.4650
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.5450
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.4495
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.5590
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.5590
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.5585
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.4405
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.5595
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.6180
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.6180
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.3825
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.3825
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.6175
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.3825
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.6170
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.3760
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.3765
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.3765
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.3770
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.6230
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.6225
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.3780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 921, Buy volume: 6136.03, Sell volume: 109.19, Average price: 0.7515, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.3775
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.3775
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.3780
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.3945
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.3780
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.6220
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.6225
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.3775
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.3775
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.6155
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.3825
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.3940
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.6060
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.6060
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.6055
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.6055
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.6055
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.6195
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.6195
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.6200
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.6200
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.6195
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.6210
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.6220
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.6220
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.6220
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.6260
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.6260
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.6260
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.6260
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.6260
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.6220
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.6220
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.6225
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.6230
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.6225
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.6225
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.6230
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.6230
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.6230
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.6230
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.6230
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.6230
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.6225
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.6225
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.6205
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.6205
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.6205
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.6205
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.6205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.74, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9905, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9910

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.6205
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.6205
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.6205
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.6205
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.6205
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.6205
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.6205
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.6205
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.6205
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.6205
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.6245
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.6155
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.6155
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.6155
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.6155
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.6155
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.6155
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.6155
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.6155
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.6155
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.6155
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.6155
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.6155
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.6155
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.6155
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.6155
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.6155
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.6155
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.6155
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.6155
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.6155
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.6155
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.6155
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.6155
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.6155
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.6155
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6155
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6155
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.6155
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.6155
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.6155
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.6155
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.6155
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.6155
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.6155
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.6155
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.6155
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.6155
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.6155
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.6155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7490, Price range: 0.7490 - 0.7490

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.6155
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6155
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.6155
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.6155
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.6155
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.6155
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.6155
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.6155
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.6155
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.6155
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.6155
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.6155
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.6155
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.6155
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.6155
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.6155
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.6155
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.6155
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.6155
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.6155
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.6155
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.6155
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.6155
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.6155
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.6155
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.6155
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.6155
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.6155
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.6155
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6155
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.6155
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.6155
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.6155
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.6155
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.6155
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.6155
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.6155
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.6155
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.6155
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.6155
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.6155
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.6155
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.6155
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.6155
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.6155
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6155
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6155
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.6155
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.6155
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.5905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 921, Buy volume: 6136.03, Sell volume: 109.19, Average price: 0.7515, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.6155
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.6155
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.6155
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.6155
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.6105
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.6105
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.6105
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.6105
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.6105
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.6105
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.6105
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.6105
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.6105
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.6105
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.6105
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.6105
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.6105
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.6105
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.6105
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.6105
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.6105
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.6105
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.6105
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.6100
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.6100
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.6100
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.6100
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.6100
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.6100
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.6100
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.6100
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.6100
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.6095
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.6095
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.6140
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.6970
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.7950
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.7945
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.7850
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.7855
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.6480
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.7470
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.7455
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.7465
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.7470
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.7465
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.6100
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.6100
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 902, Buy volume: 6036.53, Sell volume: 43.80, Average price: 0.7594, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.5000
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.2550
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.2600
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.2600
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 921, Buy volume: 6136.03, Sell volume: 109.19, Average price: 0.7515, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 921, Buy volume: 6136.03, Sell volume: 109.19, Average price: 0.7515, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0450
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.1850
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.1850
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.8200
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.8200
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.1400
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.1500
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.8450
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.8200
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.8200
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.8200
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.8750
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.1750
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.1750
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.8250
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.8250
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.1750
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.8250
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.8250
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.8250
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.8250
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.1750
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.1750
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.8250
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.8250
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.8250
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.8250
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.8250
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 6.40, Sell volume: 11.40, Average price: 0.2141, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.1750
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.8250
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.1750
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.1750
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.8250
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.1750
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.1750
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.8250
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.4700
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.4700
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.4750
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.4750
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.4350
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.3850
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.4750
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.4250
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.5850
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.4150
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.4150
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.5850
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.5850
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.5850
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.2150
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.2150
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.7850
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.7850
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 921, Buy volume: 6136.03, Sell volume: 109.19, Average price: 0.7515, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.7850
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.7850
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.7850
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.2150
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.2150
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.2150
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.8500
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.1500
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.8500
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.1500
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.8500
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.8500
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.8500
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.8500
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.5100
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.5400
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.4100
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.4800
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.4800
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.6000
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.6550
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.4150
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.4350
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.5150
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.5550
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.4950
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.5000
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 921, Buy volume: 6136.03, Sell volume: 109.19, Average price: 0.7515, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.5000
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.5000
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.4950
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.5000
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.5100
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.5050
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.4900
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.4900
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.4750
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.5250
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.5400
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.5200
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.5050
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.4900
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.4900
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.5000
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.5050
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.4700
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.4800
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.4850
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.5650
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.5350
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.5600
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5450
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4650
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.4650
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 921, Buy volume: 6136.03, Sell volume: 109.19, Average price: 0.7515, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.4550
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.4250
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.4450
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.4700
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.5300
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.5350
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.5900
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.1000
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9950
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0050
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.4970
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.4960
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.4955
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.5045
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.4890
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.4905
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.5160
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.4880
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.5085
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.5175
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.4825
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.5180
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5175
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.5175
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.5175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 77.30, Sell volume: 43.99, Average price: 0.0143, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.0220
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.4825
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.5175
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.4825
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.4825
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.5175
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.4915
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.5090
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.4910
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.4810
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.4815
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.4815
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.4805
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.5195
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.4795
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.5200
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.5205
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.5215
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.5300
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.4555
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.5520
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.5590
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.5595
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.6175
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.3820
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.3825
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.6175
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.3825
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.3760
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.3765
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.6230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 921, Buy volume: 6136.03, Sell volume: 109.19, Average price: 0.7515, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.3775
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.6220
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.3780
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.6220
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.6225
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.3775
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.3800
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.6060
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.3940
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.6055
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.6055
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.6195
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.6200
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.6195
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.6200
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.6220
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.6265
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.6260
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.6260
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.6260
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.6220
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.6230
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.6225
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.6225
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.6230
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.6230
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.6230
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.6225
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.6205
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.6205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.74, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9905, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.6205
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.6205
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.6205
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.6205
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.6205
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.6205
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.6205
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.6155
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.6155
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.6155
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.6155
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.6155
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.6155
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.6155
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.6155
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.6155
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.6155
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.6155
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.6155
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.6155
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.6155
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.6155
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.6155
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6155
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.6155
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.6155
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.6155
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.6155
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6155
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.6155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7490, Price range: 0.7490 - 0.7490
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.6155
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.6155
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.6155
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.6155
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.6155
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.6155
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.6155
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.6155
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.6155
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.6155
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.6155
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.6155
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.6155
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.6155
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.6155
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.6155
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.6155
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.6155
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.6155
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.6155
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.6155
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.6155
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.6155
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.6155
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6155
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.6155
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.6155
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.6155
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6155
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 921, Buy volume: 6136.03, Sell volume: 109.19, Average price: 0.7515, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555484
Question: Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 6245.21604
Price History:
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.6155
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.6155
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.6155
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.6105
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.6105
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.6105
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.6105
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.6105
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.6105
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.6105
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.6105
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.6105
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.6105
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.6105
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.6105
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.6100
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.6100
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.6100
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.6100
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.6100
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.6100
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.6095
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.6275
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.7950
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.7175
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.7855
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.7460
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.7465
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.7470
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.5140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 902, Buy volume: 6036.53, Sell volume: 43.80, Average price: 0.7594, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.5000
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.2550
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.2550
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.2550
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.2650
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.5000
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.5000
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.5000
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.5000
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.2050
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.2000
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.2050
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.2050
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.2050
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.2050
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.2050
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.2050
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2050
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.2050
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.2050
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.2050
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.2050
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.2050
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.2050
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.2050
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.2900
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.2900
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.2900
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.2900
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.2900
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 111.82, Sell volume: 97.81, Average price: 0.6967, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.2900
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.2900
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.2900
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.2900
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.2900
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.2900
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.2900
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.2900
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.2900
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2900
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.2900
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.2900
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.2900
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.2900
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.2900
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.2900
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2900
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.2900
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.2900
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.2900
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.2900
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.2900
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.2900
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.2900
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.2900
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.2900
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.2900
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.2900
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.2900
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.2900
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.2900
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.2900
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.2900
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.2900
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.2900
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.2900
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.2900
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.2900
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.2900
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.2900
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.2900
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.2900
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.2900
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.2900
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.2900
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.2900
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.2000
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.2050
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.2050
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2.44, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.7467, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.2050
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.2050
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.2050
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.2050
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.2050
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.7950
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.2050
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.7950
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.2050
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.7950
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.7950
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.2050
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.2050
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.7950
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.2050
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.7950
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.7950
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.7950
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.2050
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.7950
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.7950
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.7950
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.2050
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.7950
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.7950
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.7950
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.3100
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.7000
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.7000
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.4200
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.4450
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.6400
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.6400
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.6400
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.6400
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.6400
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.3600
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.6400
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.6400
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.3600
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.6400
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.3600
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.3600
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.3600
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.3600
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.3600
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.6400
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.6400
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.4600
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 23.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4617, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.4550
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.3700
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.4050
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.5950
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.6100
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.6050
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.5850
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.4900
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.4100
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.4100
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.5500
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.4150
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.4200
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.6200
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.4150
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.5100
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.5100
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.5050
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.4850
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.5650
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.5550
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.4900
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.4200
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.6100
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.4150
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.6100
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.4250
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.6100
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.6100
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.3900
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.3800
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.3850
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.3850
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.6150
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.3850
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.6150
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.6100
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.6100
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.6100
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.6100
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.6150
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.3900
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.6100
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.6100
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.3850
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.3850
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.6150
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.6150
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.3700
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 4.64, Sell volume: 30.69, Average price: 0.3636, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.6300
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.3700
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.6300
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.6300
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.3750
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.3750
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.3750
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.6250
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.3750
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.3750
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.3750
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.6250
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.6250
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.6250
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.3750
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.3750
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.3750
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.6250
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.3750
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.3750
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.3750
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.6250
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.6250
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.3750
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.3750
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.3750
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.6350
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.3700
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.6250
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.6250
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.6250
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.6250
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.6250
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.6100
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.6100
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.3900
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.3900
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.3900
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.4200
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.4200
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.4200
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.4200
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.5750
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.5750
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.4250
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.4250
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.4300
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.4300
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.5700
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 590, Buy volume: 5487.61, Sell volume: 199.03, Average price: 0.7347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.4300
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.5700
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.5700
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.5700
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.4300
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.4300
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.5750
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.5700
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.4300
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.4300
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.5700
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.5700
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.5700
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.5700
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.5750
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.5750
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.5750
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.5750
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.5750
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.4250
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.4250
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.4250
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.4250
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.4250
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.5750
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.4250
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.4250
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.4250
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.4250
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.4250
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.4250
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.4250
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.4250
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.5500
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.5750
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.5750
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.5750
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.4250
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.4250
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.5750
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.4250
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.4250
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.5750
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.5750
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.5750
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.5750
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.5750
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.4250
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.3550
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 590, Buy volume: 5487.61, Sell volume: 199.03, Average price: 0.7347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.6450
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.3550
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.3550
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.3550
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.6450
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.3550
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.3600
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.6400
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.6450
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.3600
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.3600
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.6400
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.3600
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.3600
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.6400
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.6400
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.6350
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.6350
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.6300
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.6300
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.3600
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.3600
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.3600
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.3600
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.6400
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.3600
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.3600
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.6400
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.6400
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.6350
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.6350
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.6350
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.3650
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.6350
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.6350
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.6350
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.3650
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.6350
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.3600
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.3650
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.3650
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.6350
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.3650
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.3650
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 590, Buy volume: 5487.61, Sell volume: 199.03, Average price: 0.7347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.6350
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.6400
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3650
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.3600
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.6400
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.6350
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.3650
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3650
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3650
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.6400
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.6400
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6400
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.6400
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.6400
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.3650
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.3550
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.3650
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.3650
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.6200
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.3800
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.6200
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.3800
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.3800
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.3800
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.6300
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.6300
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.3650
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.3600
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.3650
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.3650
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.6350
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.6350
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.6250
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.6250
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.6250
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.6250
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.3900
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.4150
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.6000
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.6050
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.6150
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.6050
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.6000
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.6050
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 590, Buy volume: 5487.61, Sell volume: 199.03, Average price: 0.7347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.4100
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.5800
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.4200
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.5800
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.4200
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.4200
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.4500
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.4750
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0200
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.4450
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9945
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.6450
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.6745
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.6920
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.8765
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.9960
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9960
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0045
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0045
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.4875
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.4890
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.4890
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.4895
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.4895
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.4850
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.4885
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.4915
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.4985
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.4930
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.4780
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.4780
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.4775
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.5225
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.4775
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.5265
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.5300
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.4730
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.4735
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.4725
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.4730
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.4750
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.4835
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.5155
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.4850
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.4850
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.5150
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.4855
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.4855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 106.76, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.6094, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.4860
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.4860
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.4870
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.4955
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.4765
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.4685
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.4900
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.4790
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.5005
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.4870
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.4890
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.5310
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.4915
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.5090
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.5040
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.4740
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.4740
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.4735
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.4690
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.4745
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.4655
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.4650
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.4900
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.4815
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.4925
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.4810
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.4925
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.4940
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.4940
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.4935
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.4935
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.4900
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.4775
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.4685
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.4685
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.4685
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.4685
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.4685
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.4685
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.4685
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.4655
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.4545
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.4545
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.4905
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.4670
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.4530
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.4530
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.4530
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.4350
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 7.87, Sell volume: 1.05, Average price: 0.7390, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.9870

Output: Yes