Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658249
Question: Greg Goes All In profitable in October?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11422.696353
Price History:
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.6700
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.3300
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.6700
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.3300
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.6300
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.3700
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.6300
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.3700
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.6300
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.3700
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.6300
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.3700
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.6450
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.3550
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.7500
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.2500
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.7500
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.2500
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.7850
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.2150
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.7850
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.2150
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.7850
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.2150
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.8100
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.8100
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.7900
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.2100
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.7800
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.2200
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.7750
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.2250
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.7900
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.2100
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.8050
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.1950
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.8050
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1950
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.8050
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 263.25, Sell volume: 48.43, Average price: 0.5445, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8669

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658249
Question: Greg Goes All In profitable in October?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11422.696353
Price History:
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.7900
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.2100
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.8400
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.8400
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.8350
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1650
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.8250
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1750
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9100
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9100
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9100
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9100
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9000
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.1000
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9000
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.1000
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9000
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.1000
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9000
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1000
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9000
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.1000
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9000
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.1000
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 22.44, Sell volume: 392.08, Average price: 0.7492, Price range: 0.0602 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658249
Question: Greg Goes All In profitable in October?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11422.696353
Price History:
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9000
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.1000
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9000
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.1000
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9000
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.1000
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 10.63, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658249
Question: Greg Goes All In profitable in October?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11422.696353
Price History:
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.1500
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.8500
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.1500
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.8500
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.1500
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.8500
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.1500
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.8500
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.1500
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.8500
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.1500
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.8200
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.1800
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.1400
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.8650
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.1350
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.7600
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.8450
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.1550
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.8550
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.1450
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.1400
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.8700
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.1300
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.1400
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.1400
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.1400
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.8550
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.1450
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.7450
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 239.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1939, Price range: 0.1685 - 0.2400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658249
Question: Greg Goes All In profitable in October?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11422.696353
Price History:
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.6750
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.3250
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.6800
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.6300
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.3700
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.5700
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.4300
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.5850
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.4150
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.5650
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.4350
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.4450
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.4450
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.4300
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.5700
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.6000
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.6000
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.7100
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.2900
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.7150
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.2850
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.7150
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.7200
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.2800
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.7150
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.2850
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.7150
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.2850
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 12.34, Sell volume: 43.29, Average price: 0.4993, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658249
Question: Greg Goes All In profitable in October?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11422.696353
Price History:
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7800
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.2200
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.7800
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.2200
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.7800
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.2200
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.7800
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.2200
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.7800
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.2200
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.7800
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.2200
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.7800
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.2200
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.7800
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.2200
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.7800
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658249
Question: Greg Goes All In profitable in October?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11422.696353
Price History:
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.7850
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.2150
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.7900
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.2100
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.7900
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.2100
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.7900
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.2100
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.7900
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.2100
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.7900
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.2100
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.7900
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.2100
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.7900
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.2100
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.7900
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.2100
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.8000
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.2000
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.7950
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.2050
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.2050
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.7950
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.2050
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.7950
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.2050
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.7950
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.2050
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.7950
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.2050
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.7950
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.2050
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.2050
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.2050
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.2050
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.2050
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.2050
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 10191.88, Sell volume: 1230.82, Average price: 0.6217, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658249
Question: Greg Goes All In profitable in October?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11422.696353
Price History:
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.7850
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.2150
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.7850
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.2150
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 10191.88, Sell volume: 1230.82, Average price: 0.6217, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658249
Question: Greg Goes All In profitable in October?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11422.696353
Price History:
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.2250
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.2250
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.2250
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.7750
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.2250
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.7750
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.2250
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.7750
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.2250
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.7700
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.2300
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.7700
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.2300
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.7700
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.2300
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.7700
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.2300
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.7700
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.2300
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.7700
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.2300
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.7700
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.2300
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.7700
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.2300
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9895
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0105
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 8676.70, Sell volume: 707.97, Average price: 0.7339, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658249
Question: Greg Goes All In profitable in October?
Volume: 11422.696353
Price History:
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.3450
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.6550
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.3500
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.6500
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.3500
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.6500
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.6550
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.6550
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.6550
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.3500
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.6500
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.3500
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7700, Price range: 0.7700 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658249
Question: Greg Goes All In profitable in October?
Volume: 11422.696353
Price History:
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.3600
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.6400
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.3600
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.6400
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.3600
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.6400
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.3600
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.6400
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.3600
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.6400
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.3600
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.6400
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3650
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6350
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3450
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6550
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.3500
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.6500
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.3450
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.6550
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.3450
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.6550
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.3450
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.6550
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.3450
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.6550
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 25.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5947, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.7693
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658249
Question: Greg Goes All In profitable in October?
Volume: 11422.696353
Price History:
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.3600
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.6400
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.3250
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.6750
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.3250
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.6750
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.3250
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.6750
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.3250
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.6750
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.3250
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.6750
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.3250
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.6750
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.3250
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.6750
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.3250
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.6750
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.7200
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.7200
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.2750
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.7250
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.2750
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.7250
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.2750
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.7250
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 117.43, Sell volume: 28.42, Average price: 0.6171, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658249
Question: Greg Goes All In profitable in October?
Volume: 11422.696353
Price History:
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.2600
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.7400
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.6500
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.3500
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.6700
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.3300
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.7050
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.2950
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.7450
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.2550
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.7600
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.2400
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.7850
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.2150
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.7900
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.2100
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.8050
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1950
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.8150
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.8350
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.1650
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8150
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 720.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7663, Price range: 0.3021 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658249
Question: Greg Goes All In profitable in October?
Volume: 11422.696353
Price History:
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.6700
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.3300
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.6700
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.3300
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.6300
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.3700
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.6300
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.3700
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.6300
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.3700
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.6300
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.3700
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.6450
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.3550
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.7500
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.2500
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.7500
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.2500
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.7850
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.2150
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.7850
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.2150
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.7850
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.2150
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.8100
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.8100
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 263.25, Sell volume: 48.43, Average price: 0.5445, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8669
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658249
Question: Greg Goes All In profitable in October?
Volume: 11422.696353
Price History:
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.7900
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.2100
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.2050
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.8400
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.8400
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.8350
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1650
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.8250
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1750
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9100
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9100
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 22.44, Sell volume: 392.08, Average price: 0.7492, Price range: 0.0602 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658249
Question: Greg Goes All In profitable in October?
Volume: 11422.696353
Price History:
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9000
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.1000
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 10.63, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658249
Question: Greg Goes All In profitable in October?
Volume: 11422.696353
Price History:
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.1500
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.8500
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.1500
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.8500
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.1500
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.8500
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.1500
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.8500
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.1500
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.8500
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.1500
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.8200
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.1800
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.1400
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.8650
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 239.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1939, Price range: 0.1685 - 0.2400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658249
Question: Greg Goes All In profitable in October?
Volume: 11422.696353
Price History:
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.6750
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.3250
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.6800
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.6300
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.3700
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.5700
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.4300
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.5850
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.4150
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.5650
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.4350
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.4450
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.4450
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.4300
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.5700
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.6000
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.6000
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 12.34, Sell volume: 43.29, Average price: 0.4993, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658249
Question: Greg Goes All In profitable in October?
Volume: 11422.696353
Price History:
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7800
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.2200
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.7800
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658249
Question: Greg Goes All In profitable in October?
Volume: 11422.696353
Price History:
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.7850
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.2150
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.7900
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.2100
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.7900
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.2100
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.7900
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.2100
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.7900
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.2100
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.7900
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.2100
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.7900
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.2100
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.7900
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.2100
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.7900
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.2100
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.8000
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.2000
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.7950
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.2050
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.2050
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.7950
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.2050
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.7950
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 10191.88, Sell volume: 1230.82, Average price: 0.6217, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658249
Question: Greg Goes All In profitable in October?
Volume: 11422.696353
Price History:
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.7850
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.2150
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.7850
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.2150
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 10191.88, Sell volume: 1230.82, Average price: 0.6217, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658249
Question: Greg Goes All In profitable in October?
Volume: 11422.696353
Price History:
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.2250
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.2250
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.2250
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.7750
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.2250
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.7750
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.2250
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.7750
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.2250
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.7700
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.2300
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.7700
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 8676.70, Sell volume: 707.97, Average price: 0.7339, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.8400
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.8400
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.8400
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.3050
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.6950
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.2800
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.7200
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.2800
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.7200
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.2700
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.7300
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.7350
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.2750
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.7250
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.2550
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.7450
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.2750
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.7250
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.2750
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.7250
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.2750
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.7250
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.2300
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.7700
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.2200
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.7800
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.2200
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3996, Buy volume: 170552.68, Sell volume: 6713.28, Average price: 0.4273, Price range: 0.3046 - 0.5500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.2850
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.2750
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.7250
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.2550
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.7450
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.2400
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.7600
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.7650
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.2350
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.7650
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.2050
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.7950
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.2250
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.7750
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.2200
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.7800
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.2200
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.7800
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.2200
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.7800
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.2200
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.7800
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.2150
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.7850
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.2150
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.7850
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.2550
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.7450
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.2550
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.7450
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.2600
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.7400
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.2600
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.7400
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21978, Buy volume: 2411762.74, Sell volume: 19980.00, Average price: 0.5299, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.7962

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.7600
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.2600
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.7400
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.2550
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.7450
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.2200
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.7800
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.2200
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.7800
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.2200
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.7800
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.2200
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.7800
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.2100
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.7900
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.2100
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.7900
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.2100
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.7900
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.2100
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.7900
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.2100
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.7900
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.2100
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.7900
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.2100
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.7900
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.2150
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.7850
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.2150
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.7850
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.2150
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.7850
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.2250
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.7750
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.7600
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.7650
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.7650
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.7650
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11988, Buy volume: 575183.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5983, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.7650
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.2600
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.7400
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.2600
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.7400
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.7050
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.7050
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.2750
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.2750
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.2750
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.2600
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.7400
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.2750
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.2650
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.7350
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.2700
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.7300
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.2700
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.7300
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.2650
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.7350
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.2600
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.7400
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.2600
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.7400
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.2600
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.7400
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.2600
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.7400
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.2600
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.7400
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.2550
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.7450
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51948, Buy volume: 8322802.29, Sell volume: 303875.82, Average price: 0.6486, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.2900
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.7100
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.2950
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.7050
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.2950
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.7050
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.2950
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.7050
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.2950
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.7050
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.3050
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.6950
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.3050
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.6950
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.3050
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.6950
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2600
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7400
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.2450
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.2350
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.7650
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.2450
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.2450
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.2400
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.7600
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.2350
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.7650
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.2350
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.7650
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.2350
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.7650
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.2350
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.7650
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.2400
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.7600
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.2400
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.7600
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.2400
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.7600
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.2400
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.7600
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.2400
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.7600
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.2400
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47952, Buy volume: 1759068.68, Sell volume: 2449288.26, Average price: 0.4791, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.7850
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.2150
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.7850
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.2150
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.7850
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.1950
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.8050
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.1850
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.1850
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.1950
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.8050
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.1950
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.8050
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.2000
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.8000
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.2000
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.8000
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.2000
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.8000
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.2050
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.7950
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.2050
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.7950
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.2050
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.7950
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.2000
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.8000
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.1950
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.8050
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61938, Buy volume: 5203437.89, Sell volume: 816742.44, Average price: 0.3673, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.2750
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.7250
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.2750
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.2750
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.7250
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.2750
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.7250
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.2750
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.7250
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.2750
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.7250
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.2750
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.7250
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.7300
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.2450
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.7550
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.2450
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.7550
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.2450
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.7550
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.2450
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.7550
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.2450
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.7550
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.2200
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.7800
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.2200
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.7800
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.2200
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.7800
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.2200
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.7800
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.2200
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.7800
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.2200
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.7800
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.2200
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.7800
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.2200
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.7800
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.2200
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.7800
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2200
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37962, Buy volume: 1968136.56, Sell volume: 1838979.18, Average price: 0.4265, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8089

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.2550
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.7450
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.2550
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.7450
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.2300
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.7700
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.2300
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.7700
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.2300
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.7700
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.2300
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.7700
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.2000
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.1800
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.8200
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.1800
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.8200
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.1800
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.8200
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.1750
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.1750
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91908, Buy volume: 11213813.84, Sell volume: 802336.86, Average price: 0.5291, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.2600
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.7400
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.2600
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.7400
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.2600
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.7400
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.2600
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.7400
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.7350
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.2650
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.7350
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.7400
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.7400
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.7400
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.7400
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.7400
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.7400
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.7400
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.7350
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.2750
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.2750
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.2700
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.7300
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.7350
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7350
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 261738, Buy volume: 14138205.16, Sell volume: 3653263.08, Average price: 0.5794, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.7550
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.2450
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.7550
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.2450
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.7550
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.2500
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.7500
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.2450
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.7550
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.2500
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.7500
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.2500
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.7500
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.2500
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.7500
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.2750
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.7250
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.3100
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.6900
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.3200
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.6800
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.2900
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.7100
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.2750
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.2650
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.7350
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.2650
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.7350
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.2650
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.7350
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.2600
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.7400
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.2600
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.7400
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.2750
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.2700
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.7300
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.2650
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.7350
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.2600
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.7400
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 385614, Buy volume: 38200181.82, Sell volume: 3634841.52, Average price: 0.5635, Price range: 0.1518 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.1900
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.8100
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.1450
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.8550
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.1350
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.8650
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.1100
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9050
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0455
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9545
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0520
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9480
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0240
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9760
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0370
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9630
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0340
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9660
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0335
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9665
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0395
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9605
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0405
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9595
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.1100
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.8900
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0880
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9120
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0895
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18226, Buy volume: 1196307.84, Sell volume: 5666.81, Average price: 0.5413, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.8930
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.1170
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.8830
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0530
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9470
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0560
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9440
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0540
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9460
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0435
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9565
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0465
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9535
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0395
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9605
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0125
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9875
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0265
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9735
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0315
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9685
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0470
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9530
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0240
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9760
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0255
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9745
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0085
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9915
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0175
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0145
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9855
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0145
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9855
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0120
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9880
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0130
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9870
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0165
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9835
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0130
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9870
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 527, Buy volume: 83727.15, Sell volume: 95499.74, Average price: 0.5476, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 200, Buy volume: 190460.65, Sell volume: 17485.05, Average price: 0.4204, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.3050
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.2800
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.2800
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.2700
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.2650
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.2750
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.2550
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.2750
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.2750
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.2750
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.2300
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.2200
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.2200
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.2200
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.2200
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.2200
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.2200
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3996, Buy volume: 170552.68, Sell volume: 6713.28, Average price: 0.4273, Price range: 0.3046 - 0.5500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.7250
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.7450
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.7600
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.7650
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.7650
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.7950
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.7750
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.7800
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.7800
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.7800
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.7800
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.7850
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.7850
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.7450
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.7450
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.7400
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.7400
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.7650
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.7650
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.7650
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.7600
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21978, Buy volume: 2411762.74, Sell volume: 19980.00, Average price: 0.5299, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.7962
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.2600
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.2550
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.2200
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.2200
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.2200
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.2200
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.2100
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.2100
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.2100
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.2100
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.2100
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.2100
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.2100
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.2150
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.2150
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.2150
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.2250
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11988, Buy volume: 575183.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5983, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.7650
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.7400
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.7400
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.7050
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.7050
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.7400
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.7350
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.7300
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.7300
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.7350
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.7400
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.7400
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.7400
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.7400
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.7400
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.7450
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.6850
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.6850
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51948, Buy volume: 8322802.29, Sell volume: 303875.82, Average price: 0.6486, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.2900
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.2950
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.2950
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.2950
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.2950
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.3050
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.3050
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.3050
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2600
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.2450
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.2350
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.2450
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.2450
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.2400
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.2350
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.2350
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.2350
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.2350
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.2400
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.2400
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.2400
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.2400
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.2400
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.2400
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.2400
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.2400
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47952, Buy volume: 1759068.68, Sell volume: 2449288.26, Average price: 0.4791, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.7850
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.7850
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.7850
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.8050
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.8050
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.8050
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.8000
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.8000
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.8000
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.7950
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.7950
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.7950
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.8000
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.8050
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.8050
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.8050
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.7650
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.7700
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61938, Buy volume: 5203437.89, Sell volume: 816742.44, Average price: 0.3673, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.2750
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.2750
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.2750
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.2750
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.2750
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.2750
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.2750
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.2450
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.2450
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.2450
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.2450
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.2450
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.2200
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.2200
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.2200
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.2200
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.2200
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.2200
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.2200
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.2200
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.2200
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2200
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2200
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.2200
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.2200
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.2200
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37962, Buy volume: 1968136.56, Sell volume: 1838979.18, Average price: 0.4265, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8089
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.7450
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.7450
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.7700
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.7700
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.7700
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.7700
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.8200
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.8200
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.8200
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91908, Buy volume: 11213813.84, Sell volume: 802336.86, Average price: 0.5291, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.2600
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.2600
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.2600
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.2600
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.2650
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.2650
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.2750
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.2750
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.2700
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2550
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.2550
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2450
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.2450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 261738, Buy volume: 14138205.16, Sell volume: 3653263.08, Average price: 0.5794, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.7550
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.7550
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.7550
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.7500
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.7550
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.7500
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.7500
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.7500
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.7250
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.6900
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.6800
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.7100
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.7350
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.7350
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.7350
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.7400
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.7400
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.7300
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.7350
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.7400
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.7700
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.8050
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.8050
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.8050
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 385614, Buy volume: 38200181.82, Sell volume: 3634841.52, Average price: 0.5635, Price range: 0.1518 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.1900
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.1450
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.1350
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.1100
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0455
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0520
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0240
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0370
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0340
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0335
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0395
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0405
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.1100
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0880
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0895
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.1450
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.1375
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.1690
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.1535
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.1375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18226, Buy volume: 1196307.84, Sell volume: 5666.81, Average price: 0.5413, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.8930
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.8830
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9470
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9440
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9460
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9565
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9535
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9605
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9875
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9735
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9685
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9530
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9830
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9760
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9745
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9915
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9855
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9855
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9880
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9870
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9835
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9870
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 527, Buy volume: 83727.15, Sell volume: 95499.74, Average price: 0.5476, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667878
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
Volume: 474048.16168
Price History:
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 200, Buy volume: 190460.65, Sell volume: 17485.05, Average price: 0.4204, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.2500
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.2500
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.2500
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.2500
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.2500
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.2500
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0450
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0700
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0700
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0550
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0550
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0550
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0550
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0550
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0500
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0450
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0450
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0450
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0450
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0450
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0450
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0445
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0395
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0405
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0400
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0390
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0385
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0355
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0360
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0350
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 1527.07, Sell volume: 218.26, Average price: 0.6311, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9689

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.9665
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9765
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9755
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.9820
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9875
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9940
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.9930
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.9920
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9850
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9885
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.9900
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9900
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.9925
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9930
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9895
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9885
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.9885
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.9870
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9885
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.9875
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.9880
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.9940
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.9940
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.9940
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.9940
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.9940
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.9940
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.9935
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.9935
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.9935
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.9935
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.9925
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.9925
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.9925
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.9925
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.9850
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.9790
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.9800
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.9790
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.9800
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.9950
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.9975
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.9975
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.9975
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.9975
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.9975
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.9975
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.9975
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.9975
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 4280.57, Sell volume: 266.76, Average price: 0.7483, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0020
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.0020
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0020
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.12, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9980
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.9980
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.9970
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.9970
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.9970
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.9970
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.9970
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.9970
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9970
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.9970
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.9970
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.9970
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.9970
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0060
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.0060
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0060
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0060
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0060
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.0060
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0060
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0060
2025-07-01 04:00: 0.0060
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0060
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0060
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.0060
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 451.00, Sell volume: 1.05, Average price: 0.9987, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.9975
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.9970
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.9970
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.9970
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.9970
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.9970
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 6779.71, Sell volume: 522.90, Average price: 0.7208, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0030
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0030
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.0030
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0030
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.0030
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.0030
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0030
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 6779.71, Sell volume: 522.90, Average price: 0.7208, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.9970
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.9975
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.9975
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.9975
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9950
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.9950
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.9925
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.9940
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.9955
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9915
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.9950
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9940
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.9880
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.9935
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.9950
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 521.06, Sell volume: 15.71, Average price: 0.8314, Price range: 0.0125 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 6779.71, Sell volume: 522.90, Average price: 0.7208, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 6779.71, Sell volume: 522.90, Average price: 0.7208, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 6779.71, Sell volume: 522.90, Average price: 0.7208, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 6779.71, Sell volume: 522.90, Average price: 0.7208, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 6779.71, Sell volume: 522.90, Average price: 0.7208, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.2500
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.7500
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.2500
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.7500
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0450
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.9300
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.9450
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9450
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.9450
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9450
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.9450
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.9450
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0550
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.9450
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0550
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9450
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0500
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9550
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0450
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9550
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0450
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9555
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0405
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 1527.07, Sell volume: 218.26, Average price: 0.6311, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9689
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.9665
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0245
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.9820
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0060
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.9930
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0150
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9885
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0100
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.9925
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0105
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9885
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0130
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9885
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0120
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.9940
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.9940
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.9935
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.0065
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.9935
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.0075
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.9925
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.0150
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.9790
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.0210
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.9800
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.9975
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 4280.57, Sell volume: 266.76, Average price: 0.7483, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.9980
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.9975
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.9975
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.9980
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.9975
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.9975
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.9975
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.9975
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.9975
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.9975
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.9975
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.9980
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.9975
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.9975
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.12, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9980
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.9970
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.9970
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0060
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.9940
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.9940
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0060
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.9940
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0060
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.9940
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0060
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.9940
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.9975
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.9980
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0020
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9975
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.9990
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.9990
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.9990
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.9990
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 451.00, Sell volume: 1.05, Average price: 0.9987, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.9975
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 6779.71, Sell volume: 522.90, Average price: 0.7208, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0030
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.9970
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0030
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.9970
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0030
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.9970
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.9970
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.9970
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.9970
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.9970
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.9970
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.9970
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.9970
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.9970
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.9970
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.9970
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.9970
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 6779.71, Sell volume: 522.90, Average price: 0.7208, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.9970
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0025
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.9975
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.0025
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9950
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0075
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9915
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0080
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9940
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0065
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.9950
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 521.06, Sell volume: 15.71, Average price: 0.8314, Price range: 0.0125 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 6779.71, Sell volume: 522.90, Average price: 0.7208, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554579
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 7302.606529
Price History:
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 6779.71, Sell volume: 522.90, Average price: 0.7208, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes