Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9700
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0345
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9655
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0350
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9650
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0350
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9650
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0345
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9655
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0350
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9650
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0345
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9655
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0330
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9670
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0330
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9670
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0355
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9645
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0335
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9665
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0280
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0335
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9665
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0335
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9665
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0315
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9685
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0335
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9665
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0335
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9665
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0280
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0320
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9680
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0350
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9650
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0360
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9640
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0355
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9645
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0355
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9645
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0320
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9680
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.7368, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9740

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0290
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9710
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0290
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9710
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0275
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9725
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0280
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9720
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0280
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9720
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0280
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9720
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0185
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9815
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0175
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9825
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0190
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9810
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0210
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9790
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0225
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9775
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0195
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9805
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0215
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9785
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9770
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0200
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9800
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0220
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9780
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0170
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9830
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9845
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9855
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9855
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0160
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9840
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0155
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9845
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9855
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0155
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9845
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 968.57, Sell volume: 337.54, Average price: 0.7365, Price range: 0.0193 - 0.9750

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9870
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9895
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0110
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9890
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0110
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9890
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9895
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0125
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9875
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0125
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9875
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9880
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0130
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9870
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0135
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9865
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0150
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9850
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0160
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9840
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0135
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9865
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0150
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9850
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0110
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9890
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0145
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9855
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0160
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9840
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0335
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9665
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0325
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9675
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0295
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9705
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0335
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9665
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0345
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9655
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1079.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6705, Price range: 0.0275 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0345
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9655
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0340
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9660
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0340
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9660
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0360
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9640
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0360
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9640
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0335
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9665
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0340
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9660
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0360
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9640
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0355
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9645
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0375
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9625
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0375
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9625
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0375
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9625
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0380
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9620
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0380
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9620
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0380
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9620
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0380
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9620
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0380
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9620
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0380
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9620
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0375
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9625
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0375
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9625
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0360
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9640
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0345
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9655
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0360
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9640
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 123, Buy volume: 11999.53, Sell volume: 1655.73, Average price: 0.6815, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9620
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0375
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9625
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0375
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9625
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0375
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9625
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0375
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9625
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0360
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9640
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0375
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9625
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0360
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9640
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0375
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9625
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0375
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9625
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0375
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9625
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0425
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9575
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0425
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9575
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0425
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9575
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0415
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9585
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0430
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9570
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0435
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9565
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0430
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9570
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0430
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9570
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0435
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9565
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0440
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9560
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0430
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9570
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 178.37, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0561, Price range: 0.0561 - 0.0561

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0430
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9570
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0425
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9575
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0465
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9535
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0475
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9525
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0480
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9520
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0490
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9510
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0495
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9505
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0505
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9495
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0510
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9490
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0525
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9475
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0495
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9505
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0460
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9540
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0460
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9540
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0460
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9540
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0470
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9530
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0465
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9535
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0475
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9525
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0495
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9505
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0505
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9495
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0495
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9505
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0495
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9505
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0420
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9580
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0415
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9585
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0435
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9565
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0455
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 658.11, Sell volume: 205.76, Average price: 0.5609, Price range: 0.0419 - 0.9730

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9565
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9600
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0450
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9550
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0455
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9545
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0465
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9535
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0460
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9540
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0465
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9535
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0460
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9540
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0450
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9550
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0410
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9590
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0375
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9625
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0355
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9645
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0345
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9655
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0315
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9685
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0310
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9690
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0300
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9700
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0290
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9710
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0280
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0280
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0280
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0280
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0280
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0280
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0280
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0280
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 197.87, Sell volume: 461.00, Average price: 0.4980, Price range: 0.0305 - 0.9640

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0420
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9580
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0420
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9580
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0415
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9585
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0410
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9590
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0420
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9580
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0420
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9580
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0410
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9590
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0410
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9590
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0435
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9565
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9575
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9575
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0420
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9580
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0410
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9590
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0405
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9595
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0400
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9600
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0395
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9605
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0395
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9605
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0395
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9605
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0385
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9615
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0370
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9630
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0375
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9625
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9630
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0365
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9635
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0415
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9585
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0415
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9585
Trade Summary: Total trades: 123, Buy volume: 11999.53, Sell volume: 1655.73, Average price: 0.6815, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9595
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0405
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9595
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0405
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9595
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0410
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9590
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0405
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9595
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0405
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9595
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0405
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9595
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0405
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9595
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0405
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9595
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0400
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9600
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0415
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9585
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0420
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9580
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0410
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9590
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0400
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9600
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0395
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9605
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0400
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9600
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0405
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9595
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0395
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9605
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0395
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9605
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0395
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9605
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0400
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9600
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0400
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9600
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0395
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9605
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0400
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9600
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0400
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9600
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 185.85, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.8270, Price range: 0.0538 - 0.9560

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0395
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9605
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0395
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9605
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0395
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9605
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0395
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9605
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0395
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9605
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0395
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9605
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9600
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9610
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9610
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9605
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9605
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9605
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9610
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0380
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9620
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9610
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9610
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9605
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9610
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9610
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0410
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9590
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0405
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9595
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9600
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9610
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9600
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0460
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 333.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7542, Price range: 0.0460 - 0.9690

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9540
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0465
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9535
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0460
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9540
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0460
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9540
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0460
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9540
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0460
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9540
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0475
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9525
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0460
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9540
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0460
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9540
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0460
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9540
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0460
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9540
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0455
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9545
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0715
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9285
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0730
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9270
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0740
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9260
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0710
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9290
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0605
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9395
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0660
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9340
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0670
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9330
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0750
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0910
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9090
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0915
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9085
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0915
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9085
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0920
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9080
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0855
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9145
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 482.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7732, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9562

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.1185
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.8815
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0935
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9065
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0960
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9040
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0930
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9070
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0775
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9225
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0630
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9370
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0770
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9230
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0775
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9225
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0780
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9220
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0745
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9255
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0720
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9280
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0705
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9295
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0670
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9330
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0630
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9370
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0600
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9400
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9450
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0530
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9470
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0685
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9315
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0710
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9290
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9350
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0615
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9385
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.2340
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.7660
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0895
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9105
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0775
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9225
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0895
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 7660.98, Sell volume: 451.43, Average price: 0.6236, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4700
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2450
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2400
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1700
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1750
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1750
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1750
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1750
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1650
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0375
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0340
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0345
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0345
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0370
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0370
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0365
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0360
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0345
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0340
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0330
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0340
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0360
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0355
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0360
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0360
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 204.51, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8911, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9700
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9655
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9650
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9650
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9655
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9650
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9655
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9670
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9670
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9645
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9665
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9665
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9665
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9685
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9665
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9665
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9680
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9650
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9640
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9645
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9645
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9680
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9710
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9715
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9710
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9710
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.7368, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0290
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0290
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0275
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0280
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0280
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0280
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0185
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0175
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0190
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0210
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0225
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0195
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0215
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0200
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0220
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0170
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0155
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0160
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0155
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0155
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0110
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0115
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0120
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0115
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 968.57, Sell volume: 337.54, Average price: 0.7365, Price range: 0.0193 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9870
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9895
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9890
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9890
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9895
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9875
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9875
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9880
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9870
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9865
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9850
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9840
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9865
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9850
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9890
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9855
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9840
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9665
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9675
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9705
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9665
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9655
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9655
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9640
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1079.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6705, Price range: 0.0275 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0345
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0340
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0340
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0360
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0360
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0335
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0340
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0360
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0355
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0375
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0375
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0375
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0380
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0380
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0380
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0380
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0380
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0380
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0375
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0375
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0360
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0345
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0360
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0355
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0385
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0365
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 123, Buy volume: 11999.53, Sell volume: 1655.73, Average price: 0.6815, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9620
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9625
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9625
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9625
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9625
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9640
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9625
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9640
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9625
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9625
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9625
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9575
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9575
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9575
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9585
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9570
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9565
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9570
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9570
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9565
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9560
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9570
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9555
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9555
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9555
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9555
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 178.37, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0561, Price range: 0.0561 - 0.0561
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0430
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0425
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0465
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0475
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0480
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0490
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0495
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0505
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0510
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0525
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0495
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0460
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0460
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0460
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0470
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0465
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0475
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0495
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0505
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0495
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0495
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0420
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0415
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0435
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0455
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0465
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0460
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0460
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0460
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 658.11, Sell volume: 205.76, Average price: 0.5609, Price range: 0.0419 - 0.9730
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9565
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9600
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9550
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9545
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9535
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9540
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9535
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9540
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9550
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9590
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9625
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9645
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9655
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9685
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9690
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9700
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9710
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9710
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9705
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9705
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 197.87, Sell volume: 461.00, Average price: 0.4980, Price range: 0.0305 - 0.9640
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0420
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0420
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0415
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0410
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0420
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0420
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0410
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0410
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0435
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0420
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0410
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0405
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0400
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0395
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0395
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0395
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0385
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0370
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0375
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0365
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0415
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0415
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0410
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0405
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0405
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0400
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 123, Buy volume: 11999.53, Sell volume: 1655.73, Average price: 0.6815, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9595
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9595
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9595
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9590
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9595
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9595
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9595
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9595
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9595
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9600
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9585
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9580
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9590
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9600
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9605
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9600
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9595
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9605
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9605
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9605
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9600
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9600
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9605
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9600
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9600
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9605
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9600
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9595
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9605
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 185.85, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.8270, Price range: 0.0538 - 0.9560
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0395
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0395
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0395
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0395
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0395
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0380
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0410
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0405
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0460
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0455
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0465
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0465
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0455
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 333.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7542, Price range: 0.0460 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9540
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9535
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9540
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9540
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9540
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9540
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9525
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9540
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9540
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9540
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9540
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9545
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9285
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9270
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9260
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9290
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9395
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9340
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9330
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9090
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9085
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9085
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9080
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9145
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9140
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9205
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9180
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9180
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.8505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 482.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7732, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9562
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.1185
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0935
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0960
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0930
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0775
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0630
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0770
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0775
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0780
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0745
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0720
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0705
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0670
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0630
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0530
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0685
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0710
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0615
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.2340
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0895
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0775
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0895
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0850
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0885
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.1440
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.1720
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 7660.98, Sell volume: 451.43, Average price: 0.6236, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4900
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5100
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.7450
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2400
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.7600
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1800
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.8200
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.8150
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.8150
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.8150
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1800
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.8200
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1750
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.8250
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9705
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9700
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9700
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0310
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9690
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0310
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9690
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0310
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9690
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9700
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9705
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9705
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9705
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9700
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 190.90, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.8692, Price range: 0.0450 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9730
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0290
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0310
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9690
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0305
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0305
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0310
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9690
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0300
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0295
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0300
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0295
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0265
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9735
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0305
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0300
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0275
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0255
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9745
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0255
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9745
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0300
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0305
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0310
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9690
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0300
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0280
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.4977, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0350
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9650
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0345
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9655
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0340
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9660
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0335
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9665
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0315
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9685
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0325
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9675
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0315
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9685
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0315
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9685
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0320
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9680
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0320
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9680
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0320
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9680
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0325
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9675
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0325
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9675
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0320
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9680
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0320
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9680
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0325
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9675
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0320
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9680
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0320
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9680
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0315
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9685
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0310
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9690
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0310
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9690
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0320
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9680
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0320
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9680
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0325
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9675
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0325
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 582.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7832, Price range: 0.0347 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9670
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0330
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9670
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0320
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9680
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0320
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9680
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0325
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9675
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0325
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9675
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0325
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9675
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0325
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9675
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0325
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9675
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0320
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9680
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0320
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9680
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0325
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9675
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0320
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9680
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0315
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9685
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0310
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9690
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0305
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9695
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0325
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9675
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0325
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9675
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0325
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9675
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0325
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9675
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0325
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9675
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0330
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9670
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0330
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9670
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0325
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9675
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0330
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9670
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 5989.66, Sell volume: 1202.00, Average price: 0.7121, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0330
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9670
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0330
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9670
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0330
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0325
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9675
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0320
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9680
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0320
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9680
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 27.03, Sell volume: 43.92, Average price: 0.0330, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.0370

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9670
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0325
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9675
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0330
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9670
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0330
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9670
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0330
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9670
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0330
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9670
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9650
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0350
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9650
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0350
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9650
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0345
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9655
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0355
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9645
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0360
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9640
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 827.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0434, Price range: 0.0397 - 0.0496

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0430
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9570
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0440
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9560
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0435
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9565
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0440
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9560
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0440
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9560
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0440
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9560
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0445
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9555
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0445
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9555
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0440
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9560
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0440
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9560
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0440
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9560
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0450
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9550
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0450
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9550
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0450
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9550
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0490
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9510
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9500
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0530
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9470
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0505
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9495
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0510
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9490
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0510
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9490
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0510
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9490
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0510
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9490
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0510
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9490
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0460
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9540
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0485
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 130.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7313, Price range: 0.0571 - 0.9570

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9500
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0475
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9525
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9520
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9520
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0495
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9505
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0485
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9515
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0485
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9515
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0495
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9505
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0495
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9505
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0490
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9510
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0485
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9515
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0485
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9515
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0480
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9520
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0470
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9530
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0470
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9530
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0470
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9530
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0470
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9530
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0495
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9505
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0520
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9480
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0520
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9480
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0520
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9480
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0515
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9485
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0510
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9490
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0515
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9485
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0510
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9490
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 107.48, Sell volume: 145.76, Average price: 0.3085, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9570

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0500
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9500
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0500
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9500
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9490
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9490
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9490
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0515
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9485
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9490
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9490
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0525
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9475
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0515
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9485
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9490
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9490
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9490
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0515
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9485
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0515
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9485
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0500
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9500
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9490
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9490
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9490
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0500
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9500
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0515
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9485
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0510
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9490
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0510
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9490
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0505
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9495
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0520
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 5989.66, Sell volume: 1202.00, Average price: 0.7121, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9480
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0520
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9480
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0520
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9480
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0520
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9480
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0520
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9480
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0520
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9480
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0520
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9480
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0520
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9480
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0520
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9480
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0515
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9485
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0515
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9485
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0505
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9495
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0495
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9505
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0490
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9510
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0490
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9510
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0485
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9515
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0490
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9510
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0510
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9490
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0510
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9490
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0510
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9490
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0510
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9490
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0510
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9490
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0510
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9490
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0505
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9495
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0510
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9490
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 91.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0548, Price range: 0.0548 - 0.0548

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0510
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9490
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0520
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9480
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0520
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9480
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0525
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9475
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0520
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9480
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0530
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9470
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0525
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9475
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0520
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9480
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0520
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9480
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0515
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9485
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0525
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9475
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0530
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9470
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0525
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9475
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0515
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9485
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0515
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9485
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0505
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9495
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0500
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9500
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0495
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9505
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0490
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9510
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0495
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9505
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0510
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9490
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0505
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9495
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0500
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9500
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0510
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9490
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0500
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 161.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9537, Price range: 0.9520 - 0.9540

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9490
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0515
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9485
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0515
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9485
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0510
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9490
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0510
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9490
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0510
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9490
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0505
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9495
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0495
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9505
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0510
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9490
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0510
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9490
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0515
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9485
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0500
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9500
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0470
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9530
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0470
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9530
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0475
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9525
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0470
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9530
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0470
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9530
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0470
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9530
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0475
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9525
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0470
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9530
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0470
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9530
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0475
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9525
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0470
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9530
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0470
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9530
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0470
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9530
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0470
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 354.47, Sell volume: 539.23, Average price: 0.6950, Price range: 0.0450 - 0.9550

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0360
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9640
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0360
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9640
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0365
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9635
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0365
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9635
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0365
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9635
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0365
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9635
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0365
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9635
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0360
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9640
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0360
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9640
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0355
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9645
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0380
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9620
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0350
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9650
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0445
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9555
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0445
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9555
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0445
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9555
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0445
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9555
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0445
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9555
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0315
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9685
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0305
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9695
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0305
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9695
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0310
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9690
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0315
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9685
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0330
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9670
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0315
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9685
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0310
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 3466.07, Sell volume: 368.09, Average price: 0.7644, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4900
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2400
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1800
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1850
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1800
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1750
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0310
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0310
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0310
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0305
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0305
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0305
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 190.90, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.8692, Price range: 0.0450 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9730
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9690
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9690
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9735
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9745
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9745
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9690
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9695
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9695
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9690
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9650
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.4977, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0350
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0345
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0340
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0335
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0315
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0325
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0315
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0315
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0320
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0320
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0320
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0325
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0325
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0320
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0320
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0325
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0320
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0320
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0315
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0310
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0310
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0320
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0320
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0325
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0325
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0325
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0325
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0325
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0325
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 582.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7832, Price range: 0.0347 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9670
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9670
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9680
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9680
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9675
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9675
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9675
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9675
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9675
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9680
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9680
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9675
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9680
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9685
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9690
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9695
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9675
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9675
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9675
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9675
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9675
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9670
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9670
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9675
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9670
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9670
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9670
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9675
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9680
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 5989.66, Sell volume: 1202.00, Average price: 0.7121, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0330
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0330
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0325
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0320
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0320
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0330
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0330
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0330
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 27.03, Sell volume: 43.92, Average price: 0.0330, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.0370
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9670
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9675
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9670
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9670
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9670
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9670
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9650
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9650
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9650
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9655
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9645
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9640
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9640
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9640
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9640
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9570
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 827.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0434, Price range: 0.0397 - 0.0496
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0430
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0440
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0435
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0440
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0440
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0440
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0445
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0445
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0440
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0440
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0440
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0450
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0450
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0450
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0490
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0530
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0505
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0510
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0510
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0510
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0510
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0510
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0460
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0485
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0460
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0465
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0475
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 130.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7313, Price range: 0.0571 - 0.9570
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9500
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9525
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9520
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9520
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9505
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9515
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9515
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9505
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9505
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9510
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9515
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9515
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9520
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9530
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9530
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9530
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9530
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9505
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9480
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9480
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9480
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9485
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9490
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9485
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9490
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9485
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9485
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9485
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9490
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 107.48, Sell volume: 145.76, Average price: 0.3085, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9570
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0500
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0500
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0515
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0525
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0515
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0515
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0515
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0500
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0510
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0500
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0515
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0510
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0510
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0505
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0520
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0520
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0520
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0505
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0505
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 5989.66, Sell volume: 1202.00, Average price: 0.7121, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9480
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9480
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9480
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9480
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9480
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9480
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9480
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9480
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9480
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9485
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9485
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9495
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9505
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9510
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9510
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9515
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9510
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9490
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9490
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9490
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9490
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9490
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9490
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9495
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9490
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9495
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9500
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9495
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9480
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 91.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0548, Price range: 0.0548 - 0.0548
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0510
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0520
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0520
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0525
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0520
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0530
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0525
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0520
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0520
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0515
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0525
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0530
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0525
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0515
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0515
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0505
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0500
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0495
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0490
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0495
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0510
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0505
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0500
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0510
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0500
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0510
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0510
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0510
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0515
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 161.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9537, Price range: 0.9520 - 0.9540
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9490
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9485
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9485
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9490
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9490
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9490
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9495
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9505
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9490
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9490
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9485
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9500
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9530
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9530
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9525
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9530
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9530
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9530
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9525
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9530
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9530
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9525
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9530
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9530
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9530
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9530
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9530
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9625
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9625
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 354.47, Sell volume: 539.23, Average price: 0.6950, Price range: 0.0450 - 0.9550
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538708
Question: Will the next Pope be named Gregory?
Volume: 7191.655604
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0360
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0360
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0365
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0365
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0365
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0365
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0365
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0360
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0360
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0355
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0380
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0350
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0445
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0445
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0445
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0445
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0445
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0315
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0305
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0305
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0310
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0315
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0330
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0315
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0310
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0265
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0270
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0265
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0305
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 3466.07, Sell volume: 368.09, Average price: 0.7644, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4800
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5200
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.8750
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.1300
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.8700
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.8750
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0550
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9450
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9500
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0550
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9450
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9500
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9500
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9500
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9550
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9550
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9550
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9600
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9600
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9600
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0395
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9605
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0420
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9580
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0420
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9580
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9550
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0445
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9555
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9550
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9550
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0445
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9555
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0455
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 218.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8869, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9540
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0460
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9540
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0460
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9540
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0460
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9540
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0455
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9545
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0455
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9545
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0470
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9530
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0470
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9530
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0475
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9525
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0475
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9525
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0475
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9525
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0475
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9525
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0475
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9525
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9500
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0485
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9515
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0480
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9520
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0485
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9515
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0465
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9535
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0465
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9535
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0480
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9520
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0505
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9495
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9500
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0510
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9490
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0510
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9490
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0440
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9560
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 550.33, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.4392, Price range: 0.0450 - 0.9580

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0485
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9515
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0490
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9510
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0505
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9495
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0460
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9540
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0465
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9535
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0460
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9540
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0455
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9545
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0455
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9545
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0445
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9555
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0445
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9555
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0445
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9555
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0445
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9555
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9550
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9550
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9550
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0445
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9555
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0455
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9545
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9550
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0450
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9550
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0455
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9545
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0460
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9540
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0455
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9545
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0450
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9550
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0455
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9545
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0450
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 290.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8425, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9580

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9545
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0455
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9545
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0460
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9540
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0460
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9540
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0450
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9550
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0450
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9550
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0455
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9545
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0455
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9545
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0455
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9545
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0455
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9545
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0455
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9545
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0360
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9640
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0365
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9635
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0340
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9660
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0370
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9630
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0380
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9620
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0385
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9615
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0375
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9625
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0390
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9610
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0385
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9615
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0410
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9590
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0435
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9565
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0420
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9580
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0425
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9575
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0425
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9575
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 180.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0475, Price range: 0.0455 - 0.0490

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0425
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9575
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0425
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9575
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0425
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9575
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0430
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9570
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0425
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9575
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0420
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9580
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0420
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9580
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0425
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9575
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0420
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9580
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0420
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9580
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0425
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9575
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0425
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9575
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0425
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9575
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0415
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9585
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0420
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9580
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0420
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9580
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0420
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9580
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0415
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9585
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0420
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9580
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0415
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9585
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0415
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9585
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0425
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9575
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0435
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9565
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0435
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9565
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0430
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 11885.21, Sell volume: 392.09, Average price: 0.6639, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9580
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0425
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9575
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0420
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9580
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0420
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9580
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0425
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9575
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0430
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9570
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0440
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9560
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0440
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9560
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0435
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9565
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0435
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9565
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0430
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9570
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0435
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9565
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0440
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9560
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0435
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9565
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0435
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9565
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0440
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9560
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0440
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9560
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0435
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9565
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0435
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9565
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0440
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9560
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0435
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9565
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0435
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9565
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0435
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9565
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0430
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9570
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0425
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9575
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 202.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0493, Price range: 0.0493 - 0.0493

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0435
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9565
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0430
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9570
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0440
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9560
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0430
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9570
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0430
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9570
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0435
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9565
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0435
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9565
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0435
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9565
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0435
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9565
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0430
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9570
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0425
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9575
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0430
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9570
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0435
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9565
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0435
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9565
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0445
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9555
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0430
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9570
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0445
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9555
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0440
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9560
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0450
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9550
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0455
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9545
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0450
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9550
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0450
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9550
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0460
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9540
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0470
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9530
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0470
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 494.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8058, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.9590

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9520
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9520
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9520
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9520
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9520
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0480
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9520
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0480
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9520
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0480
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9520
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0480
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9520
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0480
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9520
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0480
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9520
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0340
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9660
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0335
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9665
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0340
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9660
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0330
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9670
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0330
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9670
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0335
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9665
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0335
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9665
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0335
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9665
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0345
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9655
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0340
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9660
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0340
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9660
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0340
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9660
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0350
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9650
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0350
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9650
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 961.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5882, Price range: 0.0372 - 0.9577

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9650
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0360
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9640
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0360
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9640
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0360
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9640
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9650
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0360
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9640
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0360
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9640
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0360
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9640
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0360
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9640
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 11885.21, Sell volume: 392.09, Average price: 0.6639, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9640
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0345
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9655
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0350
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9650
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0350
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9650
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0350
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9650
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0350
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9650
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0350
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9650
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0350
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9650
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0350
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9650
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0345
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9655
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0350
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9650
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0350
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9650
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0350
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9650
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0345
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9655
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0345
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9655
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0350
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9650
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0350
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9650
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0345
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9655
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0345
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9655
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0345
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9655
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0350
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9650
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0345
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9655
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0350
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9650
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0345
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9655
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0345
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9655
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 263.16, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.3460, Price range: 0.0380 - 0.9620

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0355
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9645
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0355
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9645
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0360
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9640
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0360
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9640
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0360
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9640
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0360
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9640
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0360
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9640
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0360
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9640
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0360
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9640
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0360
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9640
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0360
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9640
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0365
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9635
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0360
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9640
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0375
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9625
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0385
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9615
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0385
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9615
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0385
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9615
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0385
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9615
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0385
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9615
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0360
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9640
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0365
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9635
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0355
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9645
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0375
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9625
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0380
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9620
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0380
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 473.07, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7801, Price range: 0.0370 - 0.9680

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0385
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0385
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0385
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0385
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0480
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9520
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0440
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9560
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0440
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9560
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0440
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9560
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0435
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9565
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0440
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9560
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0440
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9560
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0420
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9580
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0420
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9580
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0420
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9580
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0450
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9550
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0450
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9550
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0450
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9550
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0465
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9535
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0470
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9530
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0475
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9525
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0475
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9525
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0475
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9525
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0460
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9540
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0470
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9530
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 894.31, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.3856, Price range: 0.0404 - 0.9542

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0435
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9565
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0440
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9560
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0445
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9555
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0470
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9530
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0530
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9470
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0560
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9440
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0570
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9430
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0555
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9445
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0550
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9450
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0560
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9440
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0570
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9430
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.1305
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.8695
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0915
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9085
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0845
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9155
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0855
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9145
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0965
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9035
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0930
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9070
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0990
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9010
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0940
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9060
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.1025
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.8975
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.1025
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.8975
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.2745
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.7255
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.1350
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.8650
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.1195
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.8805
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0660
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 7356.37, Sell volume: 262.09, Average price: 0.6786, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4800
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.1300
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0550
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0550
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0395
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0420
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0420
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0445
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0445
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0455
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0455
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0445
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0440
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0445
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 218.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8869, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9540
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9540
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9540
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9540
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9545
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9545
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9530
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9530
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9525
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9525
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9525
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9525
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9525
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9500
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9515
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9520
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9515
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9535
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9535
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9520
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9495
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9500
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9490
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9490
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9560
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9555
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9555
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9550
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9545
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 550.33, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.4392, Price range: 0.0450 - 0.9580
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0485
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0490
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0505
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0460
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0465
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0460
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0455
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0455
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0445
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0445
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0445
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0445
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0445
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0455
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0450
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0450
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0455
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0460
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0455
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0450
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0455
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0450
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0460
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0460
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0460
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0460
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 290.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8425, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9580
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9545
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9545
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9540
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9540
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9550
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9550
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9545
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9545
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9545
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9545
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9545
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9640
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9635
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9660
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9630
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9620
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9615
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9625
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9610
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9615
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9590
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9565
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9580
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9575
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9575
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9570
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9570
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9570
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9575
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 180.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0475, Price range: 0.0455 - 0.0490
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0425
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0425
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0425
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0430
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0425
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0420
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0420
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0425
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0420
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0420
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0425
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0425
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0425
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0415
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0420
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0420
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0420
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0415
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0420
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0415
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0415
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0425
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0435
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0435
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0430
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0430
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0425
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0435
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0425
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 11885.21, Sell volume: 392.09, Average price: 0.6639, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9580
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9575
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9580
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9580
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9575
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9570
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9560
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9560
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9565
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9565
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9570
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9565
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9560
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9565
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9565
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9560
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9560
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9565
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9565
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9560
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9565
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9565
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9565
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9570
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9575
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9580
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9565
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9560
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9565
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 202.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0493, Price range: 0.0493 - 0.0493
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0435
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0430
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0440
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0430
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0430
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0435
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0435
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0435
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0435
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0430
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0425
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0430
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0435
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0435
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0445
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0430
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0445
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0440
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0450
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0455
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0450
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0450
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0460
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0470
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0470
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0470
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0475
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 494.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8058, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.9590
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9520
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9520
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9520
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9520
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9520
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9520
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9520
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9520
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9520
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9520
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9520
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9660
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9665
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9660
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9670
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9670
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9665
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9665
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9665
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9655
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9660
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9660
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9660
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9650
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9650
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9650
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9645
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9645
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9640
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 961.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5882, Price range: 0.0372 - 0.9577
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes