Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538722
Question: Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?
Volume: 166791.950593
Price History:
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.3050
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.3350
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.3150
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.3250
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.3450
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.3250
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.2900
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.2900
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.2850
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.2950
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.2900
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.2900
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.3000
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.3150
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.2950
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.4650
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.3150
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.3600
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.3750
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.3750
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.3950
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0205
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0240
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0280
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0245
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0210
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4800
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5200
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.1500
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.8500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.1800
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.8200
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.8150
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.8150
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1750
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.8250
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1800
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.8200
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1800
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.8200
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1800
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.8200
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1850
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.8150
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.2050
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.7950
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.2050
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.7950
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.2050
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.7950
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.2050
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.7950
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.2050
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.7950
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.1700
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.8300
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.1700
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.8300
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.1700
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.8300
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.1700
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.8300
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.1700
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.8300
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.1750
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.8250
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.1750
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.8250
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.1750
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.8250
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.1750
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.8250
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.1700
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.1700
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.8300
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.8300
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.8300
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.8300
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.8300
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.8300
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.8300
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.8300
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.8300
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.8300
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.1650
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.8350
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.8300
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.8300
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.8300
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.8300
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.8300
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.8300
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.1650
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.8350
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.8300
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.8300
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.1600
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.8400
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.1600
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.8400
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.1600
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.8400
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.1500
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.8500
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.1500
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.1700
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.8300
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.1700
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.8300
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.1450
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.8550
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.1350
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.8650
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.1450
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.8550
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.1700
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.8300
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.1500
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.8500
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.1550
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.8450
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9050
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.8950
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.1000
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9000
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.1400
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.8600
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.1550
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.8450
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.8950
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.8950
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.8950
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9000
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9000
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9000
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9350
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0650
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9350
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9050
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9000
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9050
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9050
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.1200
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.8800
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.1100
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.8900
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.1150
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.8850
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.1150
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.8850
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.1150
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.8850
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.1100
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.8900
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.1100
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.8900
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.1000
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9000
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.1000
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9000
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.1000
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9000
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9100
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9100
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9100
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9100
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9100
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9100
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9100
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9100
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9100
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9100
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9100
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9100
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9100
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9100
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9100
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9100
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9100
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9100
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9100
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9100
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9100
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9100
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0950
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9050
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.1000
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9000
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.1150
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.8850
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.1200
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.8800
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.1200
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.8800
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.1200
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.8800
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.1200
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.8800
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.1200
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.8800
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.1200
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.8800
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.1200
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.8800
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.1200
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.8800
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.1200
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.1200
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.8800
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.1200
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.8800
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.8450
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.8450
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.8450
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.8450
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.8450
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.1750
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.8250
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1550
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.8450
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.1550
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.8450
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.1550
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.8450
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.1550
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.8450
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.1550
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.8450
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.1550
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.8450
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.1650
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.8350
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.1650
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.1650
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.8350
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.1650
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.8350
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.1650
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.8350
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.1650
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.8350
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.1650
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.8350
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.1650
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.8350
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.8250
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.8250
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.8250
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.8250
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.8250
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.8250
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.8250
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.8250
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.8250
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.8250
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.8250
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.8250
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.8250
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.8250
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.8250
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.8250
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.8250
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.8250
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.1800
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.8200
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.1800
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.8200
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.8150
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.8150
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.1800
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.8200
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.1800
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.8200
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.1800
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.8200
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.8150
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.1800
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.8200
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.8150
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.8150
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.8150
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.8150
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.8150
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.7950
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.2050
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.7950
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.7900
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.7900
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.7900
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.7900
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.7900
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.7900
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.2050
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.7950
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.2050
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.7950
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2050
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.7950
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.2050
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.7950
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.7900
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.7900
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.7900
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.7900
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.7900
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.2150
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.7850
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.2150
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.7850
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.2150
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.7850
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.2150
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.7850
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.2150
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.7850
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.2150
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.7850
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.2150
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.7850
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.2150
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.7850
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.2150
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.7850
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.2100
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.7900
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.2100
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.7900
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.2100
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.7900
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.2100
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.7900
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.2100
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.7900
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.2100
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.7900
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.2100
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.1950
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.8050
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.8050
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.8050
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.8050
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.8050
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.8050
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.8050
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.8050
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.8050
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.8050
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.8050
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.8050
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.2150
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.7850
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.2150
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.7850
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.2150
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.7850
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.2150
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.7850
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.2150
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.7850
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.2150
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.7850
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.2150
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.7850
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.2150
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.7850
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.2150
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.7850
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.2100
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.7900
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.2100
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.7900
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.1850
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.1550
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.8450
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.1450
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.8550
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.1450
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.8550
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.1500
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.8500
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.1450
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.8550
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.1500
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.8500
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.1400
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.8600
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.1800
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.8200
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.1750
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.8250
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.1750
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.8250
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.1900
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.8100
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.1900
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.8100
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.1900
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.8100
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.1900
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.8100
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.1900
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.8100
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.1900
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.8100
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.1900
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.8100
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.1900
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.8100
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.1900
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.8100
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.1800
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.8200
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.1800
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.8200
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.1800
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.8200
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.1800
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.8200
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.1850
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.8150
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.1900
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.7900
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.7900
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.2350
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.7650
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.7900
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.1950
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.8050
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.1900
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.8100
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.1900
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.8100
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.1950
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.8050
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.2000
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.8000
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.2100
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.7900
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.2050
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.7950
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.2050
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.7950
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.2050
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.7950
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.2400
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.7600
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.7750
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.2400
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.7600
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.2300
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.7700
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.7750
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.2350
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.7650
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.2300
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.7700
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.2700
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.7300
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0055
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9945
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0020
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9980
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4800
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.1500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.1800
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1750
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1800
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1800
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1800
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1850
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.2050
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.2050
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.2050
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.2050
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.2050
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.1700
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.1700
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.1700
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.1700
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.1700
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.1750
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.1750
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.1750
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.1750
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.1700
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.1700
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.1700
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.1700
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.1700
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.1650
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.1650
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.1700
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.1600
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.1600
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.1600
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.1500
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.1500
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.1500
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.1500
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.1400
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.1750
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.1700
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.1700
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.1450
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.1350
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.1450
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.1700
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.1500
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.1550
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.1000
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.1400
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.1550
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0650
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.1200
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.1100
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.1150
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.1150
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.1150
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.1100
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.1100
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.1000
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.1000
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.1000
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0900
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0950
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.1000
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.1150
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.1200
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.1200
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.1200
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.1200
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.1200
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.1200
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.1200
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.1200
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.1200
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.1200
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.1200
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.1200
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.1200
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.1200
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.1200
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1550
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.1550
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.1550
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.1550
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.1550
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.1550
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.1650
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.1650
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.1650
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.1650
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.1650
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.1650
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.1650
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.1650
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.1650
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.1650
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.1650
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.1650
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.1800
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.1800
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.1800
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.1800
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.1800
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.1800
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.1850
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.1850
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.1850
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.1850
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.2050
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.2050
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.2050
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.2050
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.2050
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.2050
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.2050
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2050
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.2050
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.2100
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.2150
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.2150
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.2150
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.2150
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.2150
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.2150
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.2150
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.2150
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.2150
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.2100
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.2100
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.2100
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.2100
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.2100
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.2100
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.2100
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.2100
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.2100
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.2100
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.2100
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.2150
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.2150
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.2150
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.2150
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.2150
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.2150
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.2150
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.2150
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.2150
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.2100
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.2100
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.1850
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.1850
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.1700
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.1700
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.1700
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.1550
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.1450
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.1450
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.1500
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.1450
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.1500
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.1400
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.1800
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.1750
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.1750
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.1900
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.1900
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.1900
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.1900
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.1900
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.1900
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.1900
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.1900
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.1900
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.1800
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.1800
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.1800
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.1800
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.1850
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.1900
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.1900
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.1900
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.1850
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.1900
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538723
Question: Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?
Volume: 29109.012574
Price History:
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.2350
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.1950
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.1900
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.1900
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.1950
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.2000
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.2100
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.2050
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.2050
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.2050
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.2400
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.2400
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.2300
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.2350
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.2300
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.2700
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0055
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0020
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4000
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.6000
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0900
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9100
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.8750
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.1200
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.8800
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.1200
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.8800
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.8750
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.8700
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.8750
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0850
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9150
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9200
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9200
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9200
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9200
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9050
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.1050
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.8950
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.1050
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.8950
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.1050
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.8950
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.1000
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0900
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9100
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0900
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9100
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0750
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9250
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9300
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9300
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9300
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9300
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9300
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9300
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9300
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9300
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9300
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9300
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9300
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9400
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9400
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9400
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9400
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9400
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9400
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9400
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9350
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0900
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9100
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9150
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9200
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9200
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9100
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0900
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9100
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0900
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9100
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0900
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9100
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9050
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9050
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9000
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9050
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9050
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9000
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9000
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9000
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0900
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9100
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0800
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9200
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0800
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0800
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9200
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0750
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9250
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0750
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9250
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0750
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9250
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0700
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9300
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0700
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9300
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0700
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9300
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0700
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9300
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0700
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9300
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0700
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9300
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0700
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9300
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0700
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9300
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0700
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9300
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0700
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0600
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0600
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9400
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9400
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9100
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0850
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9150
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0850
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9150
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0850
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9150
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0850
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9150
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0850
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9150
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0850
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9050
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9050
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9050
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9050
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9050
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9050
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9050
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9050
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9050
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9050
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9050
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9050
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9050
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9050
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9050
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.1650
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.8350
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1450
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.8550
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.8650
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.8650
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.1400
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.8600
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.1450
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.8550
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.1400
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.8600
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.8650
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.1400
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.8600
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.8650
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.8650
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.8650
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.1300
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.8700
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.8650
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.8650
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.8650
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.8650
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.8650
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.8650
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.8650
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.1300
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.8700
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.1250
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.8750
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.1250
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.8750
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.1250
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.8750
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.1300
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.1050
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.8950
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.1100
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.8900
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.1050
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.8950
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.1050
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.8950
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.1100
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.8900
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.1100
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.8900
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.1200
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.8800
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.1200
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.8800
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.1200
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.8800
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.1200
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.8800
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.1200
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.8800
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.1200
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.8800
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.8800
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.8800
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.8800
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.8800
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.8800
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.8800
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.8800
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.8900
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.8900
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.8900
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.1150
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.8850
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.1050
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.8950
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.8900
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.1150
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.8850
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.1050
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.8950
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.1350
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.8650
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.1350
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.8650
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.1350
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.8650
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.1350
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.8650
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.1300
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.8700
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.1150
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.8850
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.1150
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.8850
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.1350
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.8650
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.8950
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.8950
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.1300
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.8700
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.1250
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.8750
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.1250
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.8750
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.1200
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.8800
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4000
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0900
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.1200
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.1200
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0850
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.1050
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.1050
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.1050
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.1000
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.1000
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.1000
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.1000
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0900
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0900
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0750
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0700
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0700
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0700
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0900
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0900
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0900
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0900
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0750
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0750
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0900
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0800
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0800
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0800
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0750
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0750
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0750
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0700
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0700
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0700
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0700
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0700
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0700
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0700
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0700
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0700
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0700
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0700
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0700
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0650
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0600
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0600
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0600
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0600
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0600
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0850
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0850
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0850
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0850
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0850
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0850
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0850
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0850
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0850
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0900
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.1650
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1450
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.1400
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.1450
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.1400
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.1400
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.1300
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.1300
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.1250
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.1250
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.1250
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.1300
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.1250
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.1350
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.1200
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.1100
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.1050
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.1100
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.1050
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.1050
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.1100
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.1100
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.1200
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.1200
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.1200
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.1200
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.1200
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.1200
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538724
Question: Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?
Volume: 23430.699323
Price History:
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.1150
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.1050
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.1150
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.1050
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.1350
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.1350
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.1350
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.1350
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.1300
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.1150
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.1150
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.1350
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.1300
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.1250
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.1250
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.1200
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9050
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0600
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9400
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0700
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9300
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9350
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0650
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9350
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9350
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0600
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9400
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0550
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9450
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0550
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9450
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9450
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9450
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9450
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9450
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9450
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9450
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9250
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9350
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9350
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9350
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9350
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9350
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9350
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9350
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9300
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9300
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9300
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9500
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9500
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9550
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9550
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9550
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9550
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9550
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9550
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9550
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9550
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9550
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9550
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9550
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9550
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9550
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0350
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9650
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0350
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9650
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0350
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9650
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0350
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9650
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0350
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0310
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9690
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0315
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9685
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0315
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9685
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0320
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9680
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0325
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9675
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0315
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9685
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0315
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9685
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0270
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9730
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0270
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9730
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0270
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9730
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0270
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9730
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0275
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9725
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0295
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9705
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0285
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9715
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0275
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9725
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9740
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0250
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9750
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0250
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9750
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0180
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9820
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0195
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9805
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0220
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9780
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0190
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9810
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0200
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9800
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0210
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9790
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0210
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9790
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0210
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9790
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0200
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9800
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0200
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9800
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0200
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9800
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0205
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9795
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0210
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9790
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0210
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9790
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0215
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9785
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0220
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0215
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9785
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0215
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9785
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0175
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9825
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0190
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9810
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0200
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9800
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0210
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9790
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0215
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9785
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0215
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9785
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0220
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0220
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0225
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0235
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9765
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0230
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9770
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9795
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0215
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9785
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0220
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9780
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0185
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9815
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0215
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9785
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0220
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9780
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0225
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9775
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0225
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9775
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0230
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9770
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0230
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9770
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0225
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9775
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0225
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9775
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0225
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9775
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0230
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9770
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0230
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9770
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0225
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9775
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0190
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9810
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9795
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0210
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9790
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0215
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9785
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0225
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9775
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0175
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9825
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0200
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0195
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9805
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0215
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9785
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0215
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9785
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0210
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0210
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0215
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9785
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0200
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9800
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0205
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9795
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0205
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9795
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0210
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0210
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0215
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9785
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0200
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9800
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0205
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9795
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0205
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9795
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0200
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9800
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0205
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9795
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9795
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9795
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0195
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9805
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0195
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9805
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0195
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9805
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9795
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9795
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0220
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9780
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0220
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9780
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0180
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9820
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9795
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9795
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9795
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9795
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9795
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0200
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9800
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0205
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9795
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0185
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9815
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0200
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9800
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0200
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9800
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0205
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9795
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0180
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9820
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0195
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9805
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0200
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9800
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0205
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9795
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0195
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9805
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0205
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0220
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9780
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0225
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9775
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0225
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9775
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0225
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9775
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0225
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9775
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0225
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9775
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0220
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9780
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0220
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9780
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0215
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9785
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0215
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9785
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0180
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9820
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0185
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9815
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0190
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9810
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0190
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9810
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0185
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9815
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0185
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9815
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0200
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9800
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9780
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9780
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9780
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9790
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9790
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9790
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9790
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9790
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9790
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9790
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9790
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9790
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0370
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9630
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0370
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9630
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0375
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9625
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0370
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9630
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0370
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9630
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9630
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9630
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9630
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9630
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9630
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9630
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9630
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0350
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0280
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0280
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0375
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9625
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9630
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9630
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9630
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9630
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0365
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9635
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0365
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9635
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0370
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9630
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0370
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9630
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0370
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9630
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0390
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9610
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0400
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9600
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0410
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9590
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0415
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9585
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0420
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9580
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0420
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9580
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0420
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9580
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0420
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9580
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0420
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9580
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0420
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9580
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0420
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9580
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0420
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9580
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0425
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9575
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0395
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9605
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9605
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9610
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9605
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9610
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9605
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9605
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9605
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9605
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9610
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9600
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9605
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9600
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9605
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9600
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9605
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9600
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9610
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9605
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9605
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9605
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9605
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.9600
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9605
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0395
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9605
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0395
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9605
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0395
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9605
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0390
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9610
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0395
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9605
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0405
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9595
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0405
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9595
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0270
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9730
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0300
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9700
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0290
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9710
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0285
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9715
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0300
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9700
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0335
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9665
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0380
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9620
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0320
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9680
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0305
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9695
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0380
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9620
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0370
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9630
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0370
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9630
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0370
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9630
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0365
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9635
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0370
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9630
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0380
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9620
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0370
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9630
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0370
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0260
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9740
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0245
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9755
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0235
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9765
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0310
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9690
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0290
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9710
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0245
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9755
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0245
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9755
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0240
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9760
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0240
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9760
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0255
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9745
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0255
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9745
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0325
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9675
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0280
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9720
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0280
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9720
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0190
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9810
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0205
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9795
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0275
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9725
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0220
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9780
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0220
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9780
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0235
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.9765
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0245
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.9755
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.9710
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0600
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0700
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0650
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0600
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0550
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0350
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0350
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0350
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0350
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0350
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0350
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0350
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0350
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0350
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0310
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0315
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0315
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0320
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0325
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0315
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0315
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0270
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0270
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0270
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0270
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0275
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0295
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0285
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0275
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0250
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0250
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0180
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0195
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0220
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0190
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0200
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0210
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0200
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0200
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0210
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0210
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0210
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0200
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0200
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0200
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0205
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0210
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0210
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0215
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0220
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0215
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0215
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0175
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0190
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0200
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0210
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0215
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0215
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0220
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0220
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0225
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0230
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0225
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0225
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0230
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0235
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0230
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0215
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0220
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0185
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0215
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0220
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0225
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0225
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0230
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0230
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0225
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0225
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0225
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0230
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0230
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0225
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0190
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0210
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0215
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0225
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0175
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0200
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0205
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0225
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0225
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0225
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0195
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0215
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0215
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0210
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0210
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0215
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0200
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0205
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0205
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0210
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0210
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0215
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0200
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0205
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0205
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0200
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0195
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0195
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0195
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0220
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0220
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0180
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0200
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0205
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0185
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0200
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0200
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0205
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0180
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0195
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0200
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0205
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0195
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0205
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0215
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0215
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0220
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0225
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0225
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0225
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0225
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0225
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0220
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0220
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0215
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0215
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0180
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0185
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0190
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0190
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0185
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0185
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0200
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0195
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0190
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0190
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0190
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0205
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0370
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0370
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0375
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0370
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0350
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0275
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0290
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0275
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0275
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0280
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0280
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0375
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0365
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0365
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0370
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0370
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0370
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0390
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0400
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0410
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0415
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0420
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0420
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0420
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0420
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0420
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0420
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0420
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0420
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0425
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0430
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0430
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0430
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0430
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0430
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0395
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0395
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0395
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0385
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0395
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0395
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538726
Question: Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?
Volume: 22994.79183
Price History:
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0395
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0395
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0395
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0390
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0395
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0405
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0405
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0270
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0300
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0290
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0285
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0300
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0335
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0380
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0320
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0305
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0380
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0370
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0370
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0370
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0365
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0370
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0380
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0370
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0370
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0305
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0325
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0340
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0330
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes