Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.3450
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.2900
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.2900
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.2750
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.2650
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.2650
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.2650
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.2700
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.2700
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.2750
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.2700
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.2700
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.2700
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.2800
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.2700
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.2700
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.2550
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.2500
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.2650
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.2600
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.2650
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.2350
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.2350
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.2300
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.2400
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.2350
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.2150
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.1650
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.1500
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.1350
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.1350
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.1350
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.1350
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.1400
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.1450
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.1400
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.1450
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.1250
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.1200
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.1350
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.1350
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.1150
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 31272.72, Sell volume: 9179.03, Average price: 0.5416, Price range: 0.0812 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.1400
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.1450
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.1450
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.1450
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.1900
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.1900
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.1700
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.1700
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.2050
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.2050
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.2050
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.2000
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.2050
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.2050
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.1950
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.2000
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.2000
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.2000
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.1550
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.1500
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.1550
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.1500
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.1500
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0900
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0900
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0900
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0900
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0900
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0900
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0900
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0900
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 125, Buy volume: 16835.87, Sell volume: 8219.68, Average price: 0.5623, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0900
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0900
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0900
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0600
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0700
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 15967.59, Sell volume: 6890.48, Average price: 0.5126, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9451

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1000
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 24038.54, Sell volume: 11645.30, Average price: 0.3609, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9395

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.1000
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.1150
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.1000
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.1000
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.1250
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.1200
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0950
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 50586.06, Sell volume: 10780.86, Average price: 0.4108, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9613

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.4800
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.5150
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.5100
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.5150
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.4850
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.5150
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.5650
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.4500
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.5400
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.5600
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.4350
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.5650
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.4350
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.5650
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.4350
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.5650
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.5600
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.4500
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.5500
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.4450
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.4500
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.5500
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.4500
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.5500
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.4500
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.5050
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.4850
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.5100
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 12048.79, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.4874, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.5100
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.4900
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.5100
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.4850
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.5150
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.4850
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.5150
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.4900
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.5100
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.4900
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.5050
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.4950
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.5050
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.4950
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.4600
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.5400
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.4600
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.4600
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.4600
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.5400
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.4550
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.5400
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.4650
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.5350
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.4700
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.5300
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.4800
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.5150
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.5150
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 15946.21, Sell volume: 11398.57, Average price: 0.5031, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5593
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.4900
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.5050
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.4900
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.5100
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.4850
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.4950
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.5050
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.4950
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.5100
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.5000
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.5000
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.4950
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.4850
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.4800
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.5200
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.4800
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.5200
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.4800
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.5200
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.4650
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.4750
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.4750
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 6755.40, Sell volume: 1812.17, Average price: 0.5016, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5050
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5150
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.4900
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.4900
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.5100
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.5050
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.5050
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.5100
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.5050
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.5050
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.5050
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.5250
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.5250
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.5250
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.5350
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.4650
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.5250
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.4600
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.5400
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.5400
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.4600
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.5400
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.5600
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.5650
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.5650
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 15841.39, Sell volume: 1890.16, Average price: 0.5207, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.4350
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.4250
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.4250
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.5850
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.5850
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.4250
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.4200
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.5800
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.4200
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.5800
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.4150
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.5850
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.5850
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.4150
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.6000
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.6000
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.6000
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.6050
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.6050
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.6050
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.6050
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.6050
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.3950
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.6050
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.6050
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.6050
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.6050
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.4050
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.3800
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 4250.27, Sell volume: 10204.09, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.3720 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.4000
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.4000
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.4000
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.6050
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.3950
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.4000
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.5700
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.4150
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.5750
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.4150
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.5950
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.5950
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.6000
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.5950
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.4050
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.4050
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.4050
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.5950
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.4150
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.4250
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.4150
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.5850
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.4050
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.5950
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.4050
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.5800
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.5500
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 8819.00, Sell volume: 4329.99, Average price: 0.4952, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.5150
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.4900
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.4850
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.5100
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.4700
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.5150
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.5250
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.5800
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.4000
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.6050
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.3950
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.6050
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.6050
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.6450
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.6350
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.5950
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.5850
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.4250
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.4250
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.6000
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.4050
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.6000
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.4100
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.5900
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.5900
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.4000
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.6050
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.6050
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 11631.89, Sell volume: 9949.52, Average price: 0.4955, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.4500
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.5450
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.4150
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.5950
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.5800
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.4150
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.4100
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.3050
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.7300
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.3400
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.6500
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.6900
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.2650
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.2650
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.2650
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.7350
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.2650
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.2650
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.7400
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.7450
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.2650
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.7350
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.7250
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.7250
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 185, Buy volume: 15137.65, Sell volume: 19427.09, Average price: 0.4630, Price range: 0.1983 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.3450
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.7100
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.2750
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.2650
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.7300
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.2750
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.7300
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.2700
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.7300
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.2700
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.7500
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.2600
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.7550
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.2400
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.7700
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.2350
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.8250
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.1500
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.8650
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.1350
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.8600
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.1400
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.8750
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.1350
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.8650
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.1150
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 31272.72, Sell volume: 9179.03, Average price: 0.5416, Price range: 0.0812 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.1400
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.8550
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.1450
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.8100
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.1700
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.7950
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.2050
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.8000
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.7950
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.8000
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.1550
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.8450
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.1500
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9100
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0900
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9100
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9400
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 125, Buy volume: 16835.87, Sell volume: 8219.68, Average price: 0.5623, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0900
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9400
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0700
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 15967.59, Sell volume: 6890.48, Average price: 0.5126, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9451
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9100
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9050
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9000
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 24038.54, Sell volume: 11645.30, Average price: 0.3609, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9395
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9100
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9100
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.8850
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.8750
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0950
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0950
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 50586.06, Sell volume: 10780.86, Average price: 0.4108, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9613
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.5050
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.3200
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.3200
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.3500
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.3500
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.2800
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.2750
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.7250
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.7250
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.7250
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.7250
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.6700
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.6800
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.6750
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.3250
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.6750
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.6750
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.3250
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.6750
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.6800
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.6750
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.6800
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.6850
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.6800
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.6800
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.7200
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.2800
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.7200
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.2800
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.7200
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.7200
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.2800
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.2800
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.2800
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.7150
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.7150
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.7150
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.2850
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.7150
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.7150
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.7150
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.7200
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 627.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5410, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.2900
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.2900
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.2900
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.7000
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.7000
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.3000
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.7000
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.3000
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.7000
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.7000
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.7100
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.2900
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.7100
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.2900
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.2900
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.7100
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.7100
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.7100
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.2900
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.7100
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.7100
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.7100
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.7100
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.2900
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.2900
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.7100
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.7100
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.2900
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.2900
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.7100
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.3150
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.3700
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.3800
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.5350
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.4700
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.5300
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.4750
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.5500
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.4500
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.5500
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.4500
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.5500
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.4450
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.5550
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.5550
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 10681.89, Sell volume: 390.18, Average price: 0.4992, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.4600
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.4850
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.4700
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.4700
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.4650
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.4650
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.4650
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.4650
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.4600
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.4600
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.5300
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.4600
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.4600
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.4750
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.5250
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.4650
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.4650
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.4650
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.4750
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.5250
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.4700
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.4700
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.4700
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.5300
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.4700
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.4750
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.4750
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.4700
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.4750
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 10393.03, Sell volume: 1111.99, Average price: 0.4922, Price range: 0.4501 - 0.5513

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.4700
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.4750
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.4750
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.4750
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.4750
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.4750
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.4850
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.4950
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.5050
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.5050
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.5050
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.5050
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.6500
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.6300
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.6300
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.5650
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.5450
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.5450
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.5450
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.5450
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.5450
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.5450
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.5450
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.5450
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.5400
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.5400
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.5400
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.5400
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.5350
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.5200
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.5350
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.5350
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.5350
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.5350
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.5250
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.5100
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.5200
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.5200
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.4950
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.4900
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.4850
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.4850
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.4900
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.4850
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 16180.74, Sell volume: 1194.97, Average price: 0.5169, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.5050
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.4400
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.3800
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.3100
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.3050
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.3100
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.3300
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.3250
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.2950
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.3050
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.3050
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.2800
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.2800
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.2800
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.2750
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.2750
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.2750
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.2800
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.2800
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.2800
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.2800
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.2750
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.2750
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.2750
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.2300
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.2550
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.2550
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.2550
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.2850
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.2950
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.2950
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.3000
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.2950
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.2800
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.2800
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.2850
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.2750
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.2750
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.2750
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.2750
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.2750
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.3000
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.2950
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 12589.44, Sell volume: 6703.01, Average price: 0.5469, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.6500
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.6450
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.6300
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.6100
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.6150
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.6150
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.6050
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.6050
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.6000
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.6050
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.6100
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.6100
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.5700
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.5700
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.5750
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.5550
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.5950
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.6050
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.5650
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.5550
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.5650
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.5500
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.5500
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.5500
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.5500
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.5650
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.5600
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.5550
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.5550
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.5500
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.5500
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.6050
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.6250
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.6250
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.6150
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.6250
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.6300
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.6450
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.6750
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.6750
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.6750
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.6750
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.6800
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 156, Buy volume: 14086.26, Sell volume: 7728.30, Average price: 0.5460, Price range: 0.1764 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.1950
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.1950
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.2050
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.2050
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.2050
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.1900
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.1950
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.2150
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.2150
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.2050
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.2300
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.1800
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.1800
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.1950
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.1950
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.2050
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.2050
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.2050
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.2050
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.2250
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.2100
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.2200
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.2150
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.2150
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.2150
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.2100
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.1550
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.1600
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.1600
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.1600
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.1750
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.1800
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.1500
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.1550
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.1600
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.1650
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.1500
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.1500
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 15007.56, Sell volume: 9969.61, Average price: 0.6139, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.8050
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.8050
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.8050
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.8050
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.7850
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.7800
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.7750
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.7750
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.7750
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.7700
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.7700
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.7700
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.7700
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.7650
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.7650
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.7500
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.7450
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.7450
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.7400
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.7350
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.7350
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.7350
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.7350
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.7350
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.7350
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.7350
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.7350
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.7400
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.7400
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.7400
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.7400
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.7400
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.7400
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.7400
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.7400
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.7400
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.7350
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.7350
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.7450
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.7550
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.7550
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 9848.54, Sell volume: 749.98, Average price: 0.5330, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.2100
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.2600
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.2600
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.2400
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.2400
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.2400
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.2400
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.2100
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.2100
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.2250
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.2250
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.2150
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.2100
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.2100
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.2100
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.2250
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.2250
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.2250
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.2150
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.2000
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.2000
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.2050
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.2050
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.2050
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.2050
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.2050
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.2100
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.2100
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.2100
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.2250
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.2250
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.2250
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.2500
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.2300
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.2350
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.2500
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 9291.85, Sell volume: 6576.51, Average price: 0.4260, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.7000
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.6850
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.6650
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.5700
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.5650
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5900
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.5900
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.5950
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.5650
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.6100
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.6550
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.6750
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.6750
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.6750
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.6800
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.6800
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6800
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.6800
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 161, Buy volume: 14459.86, Sell volume: 18760.41, Average price: 0.4951, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7455

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.2600
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.2600
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.2400
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1550
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1700
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1800
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1750
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1750
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.1850
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.2050
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.2050
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.2100
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.2050
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.2100
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.2150
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.2250
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.2250
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.2300
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.2300
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.2450
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.2450
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.2450
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.2450
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 23326.36, Sell volume: 18535.08, Average price: 0.4425, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.6550
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.6550
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.6550
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.6550
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.6300
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.6150
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.6200
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.6350
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.6350
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.6550
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.6600
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.6600
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.6650
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.6700
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.6700
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.6700
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.6750
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.6750
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.6750
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.6750
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.6650
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.6600
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.6600
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.6600
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.6600
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.6600
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.6600
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.6550
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.6550
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.6650
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.6600
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.6550
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.6350
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.6350
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.6700
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.6700
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 9716.67, Sell volume: 8703.36, Average price: 0.4815, Price range: 0.3034 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.3200
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.3050
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.3350
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.3250
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.3100
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.3100
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.2950
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.3400
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.3500
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.3500
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.3650
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.3350
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.3650
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.3600
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.3600
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.3700
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3600
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.3600
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3700
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4050
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 180, Buy volume: 24561.43, Sell volume: 11980.04, Average price: 0.4488, Price range: 0.0095 - 0.9899

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.5050
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.6800
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.3500
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.3650
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.7200
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.7250
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.7250
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.2750
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.6700
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.3200
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.3250
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.3250
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.3250
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.3250
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.6750
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.3200
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.6800
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.3200
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.2800
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.2800
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.7200
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.2800
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.2800
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.7200
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.2850
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.7150
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 627.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5410, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.7100
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.2900
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.3000
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.3000
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.7000
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.7000
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.7100
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.7100
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.7100
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.7100
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.2900
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.2900
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.2900
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.7100
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.7100
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.2900
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.2900
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.2900
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.2900
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.3150
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.6200
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.5350
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.4700
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.4750
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.5500
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.5500
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 10681.89, Sell volume: 390.18, Average price: 0.4992, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.4600
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.5150
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.5300
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.4650
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.5350
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.4600
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.5400
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.5300
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.5350
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.5350
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.5400
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.5250
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.5350
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.5350
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5350
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.4650
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.5350
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.5250
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.5300
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.4700
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 10393.03, Sell volume: 1111.99, Average price: 0.4922, Price range: 0.4501 - 0.5513
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.4700
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.5250
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.4750
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.5250
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.4850
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.4950
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.5050
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.4950
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.6500
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.3700
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.5450
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.5450
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.4550
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.5450
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.4550
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.5400
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.4600
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.5400
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.4800
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.5350
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.4650
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.5350
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.4900
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.4800
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.4950
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 16180.74, Sell volume: 1194.97, Average price: 0.5169, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.5050
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.5600
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.3100
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.3300
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.6750
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.3050
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.6950
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.2800
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.7200
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.2750
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.7250
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.2800
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.7200
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.2750
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.7250
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.7450
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.2300
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.2550
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.7450
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.2850
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.7150
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.2950
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.7000
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.2800
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.7200
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.2750
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 12589.44, Sell volume: 6703.01, Average price: 0.5469, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.6500
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.3700
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.6100
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.3850
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.6050
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.4000
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.6050
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.3900
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.4300
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.5750
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.4050
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.6050
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.4450
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.5650
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.4500
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.5500
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.4350
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.4450
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.5550
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.4500
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.6050
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.3750
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.6250
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.3750
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.6300
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 156, Buy volume: 14086.26, Sell volume: 7728.30, Average price: 0.5460, Price range: 0.1764 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.1950
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.8050
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.2050
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.7950
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.8250
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.1950
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.7850
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.2050
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.7700
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.1800
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.8200
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.1950
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.8050
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.2050
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.7950
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.7750
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.7800
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.2150
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.7850
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.1550
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.8400
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.1600
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.1800
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 15007.56, Sell volume: 9969.61, Average price: 0.6139, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.8050
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.1950
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.8050
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.2200
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.7750
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.7700
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.2300
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.7700
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.2350
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.7500
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.2550
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.7400
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.2650
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.2650
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.2650
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.7350
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.2650
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.7350
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.7400
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.2600
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.7400
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.2600
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.7400
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.2600
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.7350
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 9848.54, Sell volume: 749.98, Average price: 0.5330, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.2100
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.7400
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.7600
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.7550
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.2450
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.7550
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.2400
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.7900
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.2100
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.7750
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.2150
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.7900
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.2100
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.2250
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.7750
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8000
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.2050
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.7950
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.2050
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.2100
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.7900
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.2250
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 9291.85, Sell volume: 6576.51, Average price: 0.4260, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.3350
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.5700
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.4050
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.4100
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.5900
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.5950
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.4550
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.6100
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.3250
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.3250
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.6750
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 161, Buy volume: 14459.86, Sell volume: 18760.41, Average price: 0.4951, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7455
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.2600
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.7400
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1550
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8300
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1750
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8250
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.2050
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.7950
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.2050
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.7900
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.2250
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.7750
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.7650
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.7600
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.7600
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.7550
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.2450
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.7550
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.7600
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.2400
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.7550
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 23326.36, Sell volume: 18535.08, Average price: 0.4425, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.6550
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.3450
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.6550
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.3850
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.3650
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.6350
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.3400
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.6600
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.3300
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.6700
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.3250
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.3250
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.6750
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.3400
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.6600
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.3400
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.6600
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.3450
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.6550
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.3500
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.6650
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.3450
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.3550
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.6350
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 9716.67, Sell volume: 8703.36, Average price: 0.4815, Price range: 0.3034 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635802
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Volume: 277741.076927
Price History:
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.3200
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.6950
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.3350
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.6750
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.3100
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.7050
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.6550
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.6550
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.3500
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.6350
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.3350
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.6400
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.3700
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.6350
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3600
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6400
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 180, Buy volume: 24561.43, Sell volume: 11980.04, Average price: 0.4488, Price range: 0.0095 - 0.9899
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.3100
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.6900
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.2250
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 8115.00, Sell volume: 212.30, Average price: 0.7450, Price range: 0.0569 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.2250
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.7750
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.2350
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.7650
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3100
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.6900
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.3100
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6900
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3100
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 8115.00, Sell volume: 212.30, Average price: 0.7450, Price range: 0.0569 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.1750
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.1950
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.8050
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.2050
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.7950
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.1400
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.8600
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.1450
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 68.24, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8946, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8992

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.1450
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.1450
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 155.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6865, Price range: 0.1873 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 4.50, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.8100 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7395
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2605
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 7889.07, Sell volume: 85.91, Average price: 0.7213, Price range: 0.0569 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7395
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2605
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 6303.82, Sell volume: 151.30, Average price: 0.6984, Price range: 0.0569 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7395
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2605
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 6303.82, Sell volume: 151.30, Average price: 0.6984, Price range: 0.0569 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7395
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2605
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 6303.82, Sell volume: 151.30, Average price: 0.6984, Price range: 0.0569 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7395
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2605
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 6303.82, Sell volume: 151.30, Average price: 0.6984, Price range: 0.0569 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7395
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2605
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 6303.82, Sell volume: 151.30, Average price: 0.6984, Price range: 0.0569 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7395
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2605
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 6303.82, Sell volume: 151.30, Average price: 0.6984, Price range: 0.0569 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7395
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2605
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 6303.82, Sell volume: 151.30, Average price: 0.6984, Price range: 0.0569 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.3100
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.6900
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.2250
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 8115.00, Sell volume: 212.30, Average price: 0.7450, Price range: 0.0569 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.2250
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.7750
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.2350
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.7650
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3100
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.6900
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.3100
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6900
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3100
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 8115.00, Sell volume: 212.30, Average price: 0.7450, Price range: 0.0569 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.1750
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.1950
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.8050
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.2050
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.7950
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.1400
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.8600
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.1450
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 68.24, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8946, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8992
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.1450
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.1450
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 155.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6865, Price range: 0.1873 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 4.50, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.8100 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7395
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2605
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 7889.07, Sell volume: 85.91, Average price: 0.7213, Price range: 0.0569 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7395
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2605
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 6303.82, Sell volume: 151.30, Average price: 0.6984, Price range: 0.0569 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7395
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2605
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 6303.82, Sell volume: 151.30, Average price: 0.6984, Price range: 0.0569 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7395
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2605
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 6303.82, Sell volume: 151.30, Average price: 0.6984, Price range: 0.0569 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7395
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2605
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 6303.82, Sell volume: 151.30, Average price: 0.6984, Price range: 0.0569 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7395
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2605
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 6303.82, Sell volume: 151.30, Average price: 0.6984, Price range: 0.0569 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7395
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2605
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 6303.82, Sell volume: 151.30, Average price: 0.6984, Price range: 0.0569 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 683201
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Volume: 8327.303853
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7395
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2605
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 6303.82, Sell volume: 151.30, Average price: 0.6984, Price range: 0.0569 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.3100
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.6900
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.3100
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.6900
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.3100
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.6900
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.3100
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.6900
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.3100
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.6900
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.3100
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.3500
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.6500
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.3550
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.6450
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.3550
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.6450
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.3200
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.6800
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.3900
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.6100
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.4050
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5950
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.3450
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.6550
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.3500
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.6500
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.3400
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.6600
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.3300
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1834.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5890, Price range: 0.3837 - 0.8279

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.3350
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.6650
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.3300
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.6700
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.3300
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.6700
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.3150
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.6850
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.3200
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.6800
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.3000
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.7000
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.2900
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.7100
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.2800
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.7200
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.3150
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.6850
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.3150
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.6850
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.3300
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.6700
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.3200
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.6800
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.3350
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.6650
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.3650
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.6350
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.3700
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 4871.68, Sell volume: 1089.45, Average price: 0.5326, Price range: 0.2847 - 0.7300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.2700
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.7300
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.2600
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.7400
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.2400
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.7600
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.2200
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.7800
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.2100
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.7900
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1950
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.8050
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.1700
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.8300
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.8100
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.8100
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.1600
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.8400
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 8426.23, Sell volume: 1425.83, Average price: 0.6611, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.1450
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.8550
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.1450
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.8550
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1450
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8550
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.8850
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3448.60, Sell volume: 260.19, Average price: 0.6628, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.1150
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.8850
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.1150
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.8850
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0900
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9100
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1213.22, Sell volume: 685.03, Average price: 0.8299, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 3134.21, Sell volume: 1839.49, Average price: 0.7501, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.1450
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8550
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9600
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9650
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0360
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9640
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0345
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0325
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9675
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0325
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9675
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0275
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3752.89, Sell volume: 384.76, Average price: 0.8477, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9790

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0305
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9695
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0345
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9650
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9650
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0580
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9420
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0580
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9420
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0440
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9560
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0360
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9640
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0440
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9560
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0425
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9575
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0380
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9620
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0405
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9595
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0370
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9630
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0370
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9630
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0370
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9630
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0410
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9590
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 594.53, Sell volume: 1023.27, Average price: 0.7841, Price range: 0.0329 - 0.9720

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0370
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9630
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0335
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9665
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0340
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9660
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0340
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9660
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0340
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9660
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0340
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9660
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0340
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9660
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0335
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9665
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0310
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9690
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0220
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9780
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0210
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9790
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0210
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9790
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9795
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9795
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0170
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9830
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0170
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 3683.91, Sell volume: 3692.52, Average price: 0.8602, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0165
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9835
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0165
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9835
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0165
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9835
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0165
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9835
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0165
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9835
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0130
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9870
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0145
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9855
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0140
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9860
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0105
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9895
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0090
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9910
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 2638.39, Sell volume: 631.01, Average price: 0.9538, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 792.44, Sell volume: 9470.15, Average price: 0.7475, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0115
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9885
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9930
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 633.88, Sell volume: 1839.78, Average price: 0.9391, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 376.67, Sell volume: 1478.15, Average price: 0.8967, Price range: 0.0059 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.3100
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.6900
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.3100
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.6900
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.3100
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.6900
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.3100
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.6900
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.3100
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.6900
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.3100
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.3500
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.6500
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.3550
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.6450
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.3550
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.6450
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.3200
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.6800
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.3900
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.6100
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.4050
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5950
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.3450
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.6550
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.3500
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.6500
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.3400
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1834.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5890, Price range: 0.3837 - 0.8279
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.3350
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.6650
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.3300
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.6700
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.3300
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.6700
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.3150
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.6850
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.3200
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.6800
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.3000
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.7000
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.2900
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.7100
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.2800
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.7200
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.3150
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.6850
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.3150
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.6850
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.3300
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.6700
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.3200
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.6800
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.3350
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.6650
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.3650
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 4871.68, Sell volume: 1089.45, Average price: 0.5326, Price range: 0.2847 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.2700
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.7300
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.2600
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.7400
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.2400
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.7600
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.2200
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.7800
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.2100
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.7900
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1950
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.8050
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.1700
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.8300
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.8100
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.8100
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.1600
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.8400
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 8426.23, Sell volume: 1425.83, Average price: 0.6611, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.1450
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.8550
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.1450
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.8550
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1450
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8550
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.8850
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3448.60, Sell volume: 260.19, Average price: 0.6628, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.1150
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.8850
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.1150
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.8850
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0900
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9100
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1213.22, Sell volume: 685.03, Average price: 0.8299, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 3134.21, Sell volume: 1839.49, Average price: 0.7501, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.1450
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8550
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9600
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9650
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0360
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9640
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0345
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0325
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9675
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0325
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3752.89, Sell volume: 384.76, Average price: 0.8477, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657348
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Volume: 63268.642483
Price History:
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0305
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9695
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0345
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9650
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9650
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0580
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9420
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0580
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9420
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0440
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9560
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0360
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9640
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0440
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9560
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0425
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9575
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0380
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9620
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0405
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9595
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0370
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9630
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0370
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9630
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0370
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 594.53, Sell volume: 1023.27, Average price: 0.7841, Price range: 0.0329 - 0.9720
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes