Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666615
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1869365.96531
Price History:
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.5450
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.4550
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.5450
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.4550
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.6850
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.6850
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.6550
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.3450
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.6000
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.6000
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.5750
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.4250
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.5850
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.4150
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.5900
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.4100
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.5950
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.4050
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.5950
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.4050
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.5900
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.4100
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 432474886.61, Sell volume: 92163264.15, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666615
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1869365.96531
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.6400
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.3600
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.6400
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.3600
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.3550
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.3550
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.3550
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.3550
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.3550
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.3550
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.3550
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.3550
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.3600
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.3600
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.3600
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.3600
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.3600
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.3600
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.6550
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.3450
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.6550
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.3450
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.6700
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.3300
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.6650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.3350
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.6650
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.3350
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.6650
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 432474886.61, Sell volume: 92163264.15, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666615
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1869365.96531
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.6750
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.3250
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.6650
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.3350
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.6650
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.3350
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.6750
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.3250
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.7150
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.7150
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.7150
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.7150
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.7150
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.7100
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.2900
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.7100
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.2900
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.7100
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.2900
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.7050
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.7050
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.7050
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.2950
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 432474886.61, Sell volume: 92163264.15, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666615
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1869365.96531
Price History:
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.2250
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.2250
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.2250
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.2250
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.2250
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.2250
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.2250
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.2250
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.7550
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.2450
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.7600
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.2400
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.7550
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.2450
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.7650
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.2350
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.2350
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.7600
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.2400
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.7600
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.2400
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.7600
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.2400
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.7600
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.2400
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.7600
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.2400
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.7600
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.2400
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.2550
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.2550
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.2500
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.2500
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.2500
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 432474886.61, Sell volume: 92163264.15, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666615
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1869365.96531
Price History:
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.2550
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.7350
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.2650
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.2600
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.7000
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.3000
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.7000
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.3000
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.7200
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.2800
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.7050
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.2950
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.7050
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.2950
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.2850
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.7100
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.2900
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.7100
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.2900
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.7300
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.2700
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 432474886.61, Sell volume: 92163264.15, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666615
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1869365.96531
Price History:
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.8050
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.1950
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.8050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.1950
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.8050
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.1950
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.8550
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.1450
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.8450
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.1550
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.8450
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1550
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.1600
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.1600
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1600
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.1600
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.8300
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.1700
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.8600
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.1400
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.8600
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.1400
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.8550
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.1450
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.8650
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.1350
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.8600
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.1400
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.8600
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.1400
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.8450
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.1550
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.8550
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.1450
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.8450
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.1550
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.8550
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 432474886.61, Sell volume: 92163264.15, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666615
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1869365.96531
Price History:
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.1550
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.8450
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.1550
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.8450
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.1550
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.8450
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.1550
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.8450
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.1550
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.8450
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.1550
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.8450
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.1550
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 432474886.61, Sell volume: 92163264.15, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666615
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1869365.96531
Price History:
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.1150
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.8850
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.1150
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.8800
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.1200
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.8750
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.1250
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.8800
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.1200
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.8750
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.1250
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.8800
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.1200
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9000
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.1000
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9000
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.1000
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.8750
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.1250
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.8750
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.1250
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.8800
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.1200
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.8800
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.1200
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9100
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0900
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.1300
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.8650
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.1350
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.8800
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.1200
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 432474886.61, Sell volume: 92163264.15, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666615
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1869365.96531
Price History:
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9450
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0550
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0450
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9450
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0550
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.1150
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9050
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.8750
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.1250
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9100
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9050
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.8750
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.1250
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 521478, Buy volume: 336015490.54, Sell volume: 50513695.74, Average price: 0.4981, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666615
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1869365.96531
Price History:
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.8850
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.1150
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.8900
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.9000
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.1000
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9400
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9705
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0295
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9770
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0230
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9825
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0175
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9825
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0175
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9685
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0315
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9210
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0790
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.8980
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.1020
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9225
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0775
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9560
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0440
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9805
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 462383, Buy volume: 92809473.41, Sell volume: 39497683.92, Average price: 0.5933, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666615
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Volume: 1869365.96531
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6000
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.6000
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5800
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5850
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5900
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5900
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5800
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5850
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.6250
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.5800
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6150
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6150
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.5700
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.5800
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.5850
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.5700
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 432474886.61, Sell volume: 92163264.15, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666615
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Volume: 1869365.96531
Price History:
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.4250
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.4250
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.4250
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.4050
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.4050
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.4050
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.4050
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.4050
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.4050
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.4050
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.4050
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.4050
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.4050
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 432474886.61, Sell volume: 92163264.15, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666615
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Volume: 1869365.96531
Price History:
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.5750
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.5750
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.5750
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.5750
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.5600
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.5600
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5600
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 432474886.61, Sell volume: 92163264.15, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666615
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Volume: 1869365.96531
Price History:
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.4550
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.4550
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.3450
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.4250
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.4150
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.4100
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.4050
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.4050
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.4100
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.3700
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.3550
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.3700
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.3650
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 432474886.61, Sell volume: 92163264.15, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666615
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Volume: 1869365.96531
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.6400
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.6400
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.6550
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.6550
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.6700
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.6650
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.6650
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.6650
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.6650
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.6650
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.6650
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 432474886.61, Sell volume: 92163264.15, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666615
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Volume: 1869365.96531
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.3250
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.3350
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.3350
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.3250
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.2900
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.2900
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.2900
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.2950
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.2900
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.2900
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 432474886.61, Sell volume: 92163264.15, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666615
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Volume: 1869365.96531
Price History:
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.7750
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.7550
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.7600
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.7550
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.7650
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.7600
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.7600
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.7600
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.7600
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.7600
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.7600
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 432474886.61, Sell volume: 92163264.15, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666615
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Volume: 1869365.96531
Price History:
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.2550
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.2650
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.2600
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.3000
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.3000
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.2800
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.2950
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.2950
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.2850
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.2900
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.2900
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.2700
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.2700
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.2700
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.2550
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 432474886.61, Sell volume: 92163264.15, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666615
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Volume: 1869365.96531
Price History:
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.8050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.8050
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.8050
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.8550
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.8450
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.8450
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.8300
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.8600
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.8600
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.8550
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.8650
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.8600
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.8600
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.8450
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.8550
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.8450
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.8550
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.8550
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8450
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.8450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.8450
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 432474886.61, Sell volume: 92163264.15, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666615
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Volume: 1869365.96531
Price History:
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.1550
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.1550
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.1550
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.1550
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.1550
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.1550
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.1550
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.1550
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.1550
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.1550
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 432474886.61, Sell volume: 92163264.15, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666615
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Volume: 1869365.96531
Price History:
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.8850
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.8800
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.8750
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.8800
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.8750
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.8800
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9000
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9000
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.8750
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.8750
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.8800
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.8800
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9100
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.8650
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.8800
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.8700
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.8700
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9400
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 432474886.61, Sell volume: 92163264.15, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666615
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Volume: 1869365.96531
Price History:
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0550
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0450
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0550
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.1150
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.1250
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.1250
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.1100
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 521478, Buy volume: 336015490.54, Sell volume: 50513695.74, Average price: 0.4981, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666615
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Volume: 1869365.96531
Price History:
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.8850
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.8900
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.9000
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9400
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9705
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9770
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9825
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9825
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9685
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9210
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.8980
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9225
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9560
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9805
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9835
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9845
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 462383, Buy volume: 92809473.41, Sell volume: 39497683.92, Average price: 0.5933, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.2600
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.7400
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.6050
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.3950
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.3500
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.6500
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.2600
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.7400
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.2600
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.7400
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.2600
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.7400
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.2600
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.7400
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.2600
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.7400
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.2600
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.7400
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.2550
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.7450
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.2550
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.7450
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.2400
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.7600
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.2400
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.7600
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.2400
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.7600
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.2450
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.7550
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.2450
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.7550
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.1900
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.8100
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.1900
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.8100
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.1900
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.8100
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.1050
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.8950
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.1050
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.8950
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.1100
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.8900
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.1100
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-06-18 22:00: 0.8050
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.1550
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.8450
2024-06-19 00:00: 0.2300
2024-06-19 00:00: 0.7700
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.2250
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.7750
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.7950
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.2000
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.8000
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.1800
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.8200
2024-06-19 05:00: 0.1750
2024-06-19 05:00: 0.8250
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.1750
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.8250
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.1750
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.8250
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.1750
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.8250
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 16:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 16:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 21:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 21:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 22:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 22:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 23:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.0750
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.9250
2024-06-20 09:00: 0.0750
2024-06-20 09:00: 0.9250
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.0750
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.9250
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.0750
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.9250
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.0750
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.9250
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.0750
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.9250
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.0750
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.9250
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.0750
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.9250
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.0750
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.9250
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.0750
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.9250
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.0750
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.9250
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.0700
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.9300
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.0700
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.9300
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.0700
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.9300
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.0700
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.9300
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.0700
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.9300
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.0700
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.9300
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.0700
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.9300
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.0700
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.9300
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.0700
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.9300
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.0650
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.9350
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.0650
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.9350
2024-06-21 06:00: 0.0650
2024-06-21 06:00: 0.9350
2024-06-21 07:00: 0.0650
2024-06-21 07:00: 0.9350
2024-06-21 08:00: 0.0650
2024-06-21 08:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.9350
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.0650
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.9350
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.0650
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.9350
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.0650
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.9350
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.0750
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.9250
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.0750
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.9250
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.0750
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.9250
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.0750
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.9250
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.0750
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.9250
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.0750
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.9250
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.0650
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.9350
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.0650
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.9350
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.0650
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.9350
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.0650
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.9350
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.0650
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.9350
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.0700
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.9300
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.0700
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.9300
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.0700
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.9300
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.0700
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.9300
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.0700
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.9300
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.0700
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.9300
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.0700
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.9300
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.0700
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.9300
2024-06-22 16:00: 0.0700
2024-06-22 16:00: 0.9300
2024-06-22 17:00: 0.0700
2024-06-22 17:00: 0.9300
2024-06-22 18:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.9300
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.9300
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.9300
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.9300
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.9300
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.9300
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.9300
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.9300
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.9300
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.9300
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.9300
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.9300
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.9300
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.9300
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.9300
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.9300
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.9300
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.9300
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.9300
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.9300
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.9300
2024-06-24 00:00: 0.0700
2024-06-24 00:00: 0.9300
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.0700
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.9300
2024-06-24 02:00: 0.0650
2024-06-24 02:00: 0.9350
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.0650
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.9500
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.0500
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.9500
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.0500
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.9500
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.0500
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.9500
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.0500
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.9500
2024-06-24 17:00: 0.0500
2024-06-24 17:00: 0.9500
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.0450
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.9550
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.0450
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.9550
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.0450
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.0450
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.9550
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.0350
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.9650
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.0350
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.9650
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.0350
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.9650
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.0350
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.9650
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.0350
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.9650
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.0350
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.9650
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.0320
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.9680
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.0320
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.9680
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.0205
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.9795
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.0205
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.9795
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.0205
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.9795
2024-06-25 09:00: 0.0205
2024-06-25 09:00: 0.9795
2024-06-25 10:00: 0.0205
2024-06-25 10:00: 0.9795
2024-06-25 11:00: 0.0205
2024-06-25 11:00: 0.9795
2024-06-25 12:00: 0.0205
2024-06-25 12:00: 0.9795
2024-06-25 13:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.0205
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.9795
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.0205
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.9795
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.9795
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.9795
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.9795
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.9795
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.9795
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.9795
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.9795
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.9795
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.9795
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.9795
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.9795
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.9795
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.9795
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.9795
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.9795
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.9795
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.9795
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.9795
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.9795
2024-06-26 19:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 19:00: 0.9795
2024-06-26 20:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 20:00: 0.9795
2024-06-26 21:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 21:00: 0.9795
2024-06-26 22:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 22:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.0150
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.0150
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.0150
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.0150
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.0150
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.0150
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.0150
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.0150
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.0150
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.0150
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.0150
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.0150
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.0150
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.0150
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.0150
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.0150
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.0150
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.0150
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.0150
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.0150
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 04:00: 0.0150
2024-06-28 04:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 05:00: 0.0150
2024-06-28 05:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 06:00: 0.0150
2024-06-28 06:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.0150
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 08:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.0150
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.0150
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.0150
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.0150
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.0150
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.0150
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.0150
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.9850
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.9850
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.9850
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.9850
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.9850
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.9850
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.9850
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.9850
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.9850
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.9850
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.9850
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.9850
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.9850
2024-06-29 12:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 12:00: 0.9850
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.0100
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.9900
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.0100
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.9900
2024-06-29 15:00: 0.0100
2024-06-29 15:00: 0.9900
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.0100
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.9900
2024-06-29 17:00: 0.0100
2024-06-29 17:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 03:00: 0.0100
2024-06-30 03:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.0100
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.0100
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.0100
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.0100
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.0100
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.0100
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.0100
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.0100
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.0100
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.0100
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.0100
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.0100
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.0100
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.0100
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.0100
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.0100
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.0100
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 21:00: 0.0100
2024-06-30 21:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.0100
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 23:00: 0.0100
2024-06-30 23:00: 0.9900
2024-07-01 00:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 00:00: 0.9900
2024-07-01 01:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 01:00: 0.9900
2024-07-01 02:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 02:00: 0.9900
2024-07-01 03:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.9900
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.9900
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.9900
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.9900
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.9900
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.9900
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.9900
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.9900
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.9900
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.9900
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.9900
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.9900
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.9900
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.9900
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.9900
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.9900
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.9900
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.9900
2024-07-02 06:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 06:00: 0.9900
2024-07-02 07:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 07:00: 0.9900
2024-07-02 08:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 08:00: 0.9900
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.9900
2024-07-02 10:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 10:00: 0.9900
2024-07-02 11:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 11:00: 0.9900
2024-07-02 12:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 12:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.9900
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.9900
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 16:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 16:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 18:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 18:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 19:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 19:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 20:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 20:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 21:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 21:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 22:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.0095
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.9905
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.0095
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.9905
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.0095
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.9905
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.0095
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.9905
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.0095
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.9905
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.0095
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.9905
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.0095
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.9905
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.0095
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.9905
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.0095
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.9905
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.0095
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.9905
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.0095
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.9905
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.0095
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.9905
2024-07-05 00:00: 0.0095
2024-07-05 00:00: 0.9905
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.0095
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.9905
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.0095
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.9905
2024-07-05 03:00: 0.0095
2024-07-05 03:00: 0.9905
2024-07-05 04:00: 0.0095
2024-07-05 04:00: 0.9905
2024-07-05 05:00: 0.0095
2024-07-05 05:00: 0.9905
2024-07-05 06:00: 0.0095
2024-07-05 06:00: 0.9905
2024-07-05 07:00: 0.0095
2024-07-05 07:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.2600
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.6050
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.3500
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.2600
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.2600
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.2600
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.2600
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.2600
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.2600
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.2550
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.2550
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.2400
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.2400
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.2400
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.2450
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.2450
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.1900
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.1900
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.1900
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.1050
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.1050
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.1100
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.1100
2024-06-18 14:00: 0.1100
2024-06-18 15:00: 0.1100
2024-06-18 16:00: 0.1800
2024-06-18 17:00: 0.1800
2024-06-18 18:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-06-18 22:00: 0.8050
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.8450
2024-06-19 00:00: 0.7700
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.7750
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.7950
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.8000
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.8200
2024-06-19 05:00: 0.8250
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.8250
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.8250
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.8250
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 16:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 21:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 22:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 23:00: 0.9450
2024-06-20 00:00: 0.9450
2024-06-20 01:00: 0.9450
2024-06-20 02:00: 0.9450
2024-06-20 03:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.0750
2024-06-20 09:00: 0.0750
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.0750
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.0750
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.0750
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.0750
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.0750
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.0750
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.0750
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.0750
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.0750
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.0700
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.0700
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.0700
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.0700
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.0700
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.0700
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.0700
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.0700
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.0700
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.0650
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.0650
2024-06-21 06:00: 0.0650
2024-06-21 07:00: 0.0650
2024-06-21 08:00: 0.0650
2024-06-21 09:00: 0.0650
2024-06-21 10:00: 0.0650
2024-06-21 11:00: 0.0650
2024-06-21 12:00: 0.0650
2024-06-21 13:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.9350
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.9350
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.9350
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.9350
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.9250
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.9250
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.9250
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.9250
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.9250
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.9250
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.9350
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.9350
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.9350
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.9350
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.9350
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.9300
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.9300
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.9300
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.9300
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.9300
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.9300
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.9300
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.9300
2024-06-22 16:00: 0.9300
2024-06-22 17:00: 0.9300
2024-06-22 18:00: 0.9300
2024-06-22 19:00: 0.9300
2024-06-22 20:00: 0.9300
2024-06-22 21:00: 0.9300
2024-06-22 22:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.0700
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.0700
2024-06-24 00:00: 0.0700
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.0700
2024-06-24 02:00: 0.0650
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.0650
2024-06-24 04:00: 0.0500
2024-06-24 05:00: 0.0500
2024-06-24 06:00: 0.0500
2024-06-24 07:00: 0.0500
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.9500
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.9500
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.9500
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.9500
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.9500
2024-06-24 17:00: 0.9500
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.9550
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.9550
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.9550
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.9650
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.9650
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.9650
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.9650
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.9650
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.9650
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.9680
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.9680
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.9795
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.9795
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.9795
2024-06-25 09:00: 0.9795
2024-06-25 10:00: 0.9795
2024-06-25 11:00: 0.9795
2024-06-25 12:00: 0.9795
2024-06-25 13:00: 0.9795
2024-06-25 14:00: 0.9795
2024-06-25 15:00: 0.9795
2024-06-25 16:00: 0.9795
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.0205
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 19:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 20:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 21:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 22:00: 0.0205
2024-06-26 23:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 00:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 01:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.9850
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 04:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 05:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 06:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 08:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 09:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 10:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.9850
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.0150
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.0150
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.0150
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.0150
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.0150
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.0150
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 12:00: 0.0150
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.0100
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.0100
2024-06-29 15:00: 0.0100
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.0100
2024-06-29 17:00: 0.0100
2024-06-29 18:00: 0.0100
2024-06-29 19:00: 0.0100
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.0100
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.0100
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 03:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 21:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.9900
2024-06-30 23:00: 0.9900
2024-07-01 00:00: 0.9900
2024-07-01 01:00: 0.9900
2024-07-01 02:00: 0.9900
2024-07-01 03:00: 0.9900
2024-07-01 04:00: 0.9900
2024-07-01 05:00: 0.9900
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.9900
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.0100
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 06:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 07:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 08:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 10:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 11:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 12:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 13:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.9900
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.9900
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 16:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 18:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 19:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 20:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 21:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 22:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 02:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502525
Question: Will Bob Good win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6607.730741
Price History:
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.0095
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.0095
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.0095
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.0095
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.0095
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.0095
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.0095
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.0095
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.0095
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.0095
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.0095
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.0095
2024-07-05 00:00: 0.0095
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.0095
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.0095
2024-07-05 03:00: 0.0095
2024-07-05 04:00: 0.0095
2024-07-05 05:00: 0.0095
2024-07-05 06:00: 0.0095
2024-07-05 07:00: 0.0095
2024-07-05 08:00: 0.0095
2024-07-05 09:00: 0.0095
2024-07-05 10:00: 0.0095
2024-07-05 11:00: 0.0095
2024-07-05 12:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.7400
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.2600
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.7400
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.2600
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.7400
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.2600
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.7400
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.2600
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.7400
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.2600
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.7400
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.2600
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.7400
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.2600
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.7400
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.2600
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.7400
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.2600
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.7450
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.2550
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.7450
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.2550
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.7450
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.2550
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.7450
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.2550
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.7450
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.2550
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.7500
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.2500
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.7500
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.2500
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.8100
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.1900
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.8100
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.1900
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.8100
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.1900
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.8900
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.1100
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.8850
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.1150
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.8850
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.1150
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.8750
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-06-18 22:00: 0.1950
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.8650
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.1350
2024-06-19 00:00: 0.7450
2024-06-19 00:00: 0.2550
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.7500
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.2500
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.7450
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.2550
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.7450
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.2550
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.7600
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.2400
2024-06-19 05:00: 0.7650
2024-06-19 05:00: 0.2350
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.7650
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.2350
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.7650
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.2350
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.7650
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.2350
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.9350
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.0650
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.7550
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.2450
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.7500
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.2500
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.7600
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.2400
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.7650
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.2350
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.7650
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.2350
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.7650
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.2350
2024-06-19 16:00: 0.7650
2024-06-19 16:00: 0.2350
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.7650
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.2350
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.9200
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.0800
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.9200
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.0800
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.9200
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.0800
2024-06-19 21:00: 0.9200
2024-06-19 21:00: 0.0800
2024-06-19 22:00: 0.9200
2024-06-19 22:00: 0.0800
2024-06-19 23:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 09:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 09:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.8000
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.2000
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.8000
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.2000
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.8000
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.2000
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.8000
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.2000
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.8000
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.2000
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.9150
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.0850
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.8000
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.2000
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.8050
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.1950
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.9200
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.0800
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.9200
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.0800
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.9200
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.0800
2024-06-21 06:00: 0.9200
2024-06-21 06:00: 0.0800
2024-06-21 07:00: 0.7900
2024-06-21 07:00: 0.2100
2024-06-21 08:00: 0.7900
2024-06-21 08:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.1050
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.8950
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.1050
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.8950
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.1050
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.8950
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.1050
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.8950
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.1050
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.8950
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.1050
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.8950
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.8950
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.8950
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.8950
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.9150
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.0850
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.9150
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.0850
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.9150
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.0850
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.9150
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.0850
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.9150
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.0850
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.9150
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.0850
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.9150
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.0850
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.9150
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.0850
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.9150
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.0850
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.9150
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.0850
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.9150
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.0850
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.9200
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.0800
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.9250
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.0750
2024-06-22 16:00: 0.9250
2024-06-22 16:00: 0.0750
2024-06-22 17:00: 0.9250
2024-06-22 17:00: 0.0750
2024-06-22 18:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.9200
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.0800
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.9200
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.0800
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.9200
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.0800
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.9200
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.0800
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.9200
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.0800
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.9200
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.0800
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.9200
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.0800
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.9200
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.0800
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.9200
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.0800
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.9200
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.0800
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.9200
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.0800
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.9200
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.0800
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.9150
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.9150
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.9250
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.0750
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.9250
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.0750
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.9250
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.0750
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.9250
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.0750
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.9250
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.0750
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.9450
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.0550
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.9450
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.0550
2024-06-24 00:00: 0.9450
2024-06-24 00:00: 0.0550
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.9450
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.0550
2024-06-24 02:00: 0.9450
2024-06-24 02:00: 0.0550
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.9450
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.0500
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.9500
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.0500
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.9500
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.0500
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.9500
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.0500
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.9500
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.0500
2024-06-24 17:00: 0.9500
2024-06-24 17:00: 0.0500
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.9550
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.0450
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.9550
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.0450
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.0450
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.9550
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.0450
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.9550
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.0450
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.9650
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.0350
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.9650
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.0350
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.9690
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.0310
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.9690
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.0310
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.9690
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.0310
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.9690
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.0310
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.9690
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.0310
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.9745
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.0255
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.9705
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.0295
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.9705
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.0295
2024-06-25 09:00: 0.9705
2024-06-25 09:00: 0.0295
2024-06-25 10:00: 0.9705
2024-06-25 10:00: 0.0295
2024-06-25 11:00: 0.9705
2024-06-25 11:00: 0.0295
2024-06-25 12:00: 0.9705
2024-06-25 12:00: 0.0295
2024-06-25 13:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.9715
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.0285
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.9715
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.0285
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.0250
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.0250
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.9755
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.0245
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.0250
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.0250
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.0250
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.0250
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.0250
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.0250
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.0250
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.0250
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.0250
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.0250
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.0250
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.0250
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.0250
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.0250
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.0250
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.0250
2024-06-26 19:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 19:00: 0.0250
2024-06-26 20:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 20:00: 0.0250
2024-06-26 21:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 21:00: 0.0250
2024-06-26 22:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 22:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.9795
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.9795
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.9795
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.9795
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.9795
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.9795
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.9795
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.9795
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.9795
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.9795
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.9795
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.9795
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.9795
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.9795
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.9795
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.9795
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.0205
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.9795
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.0205
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.9795
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.0205
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.9795
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.0205
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.9795
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.0205
2024-06-28 04:00: 0.9795
2024-06-28 04:00: 0.0205
2024-06-28 05:00: 0.9795
2024-06-28 05:00: 0.0205
2024-06-28 06:00: 0.9795
2024-06-28 06:00: 0.0205
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.9795
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.0205
2024-06-28 08:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.9800
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.0200
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.9800
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.0200
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.9800
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.0200
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.9800
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.0200
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.9800
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.0200
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.9800
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.0200
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.9800
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.0200
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.0200
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.0200
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.0200
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.0200
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.0200
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.0200
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.0200
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.0200
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.0200
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.0200
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.0200
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.0200
2024-06-29 12:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 12:00: 0.0200
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.0200
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.0200
2024-06-29 15:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 15:00: 0.0200
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.0200
2024-06-29 17:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 17:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 03:00: 0.9800
2024-06-30 03:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.9800
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.9800
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.9800
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.9800
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.9800
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.9800
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.9800
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.9800
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.9800
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.9800
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.9800
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.9800
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.9800
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.9800
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.9800
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.9800
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.9800
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 21:00: 0.9800
2024-06-30 21:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.9800
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 23:00: 0.9800
2024-06-30 23:00: 0.0200
2024-07-01 00:00: 0.9800
2024-07-01 00:00: 0.0200
2024-07-01 01:00: 0.9800
2024-07-01 01:00: 0.0200
2024-07-01 02:00: 0.9850
2024-07-01 02:00: 0.0150
2024-07-01 03:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.9850
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.0150
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.9850
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.0150
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.9850
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.0150
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.9850
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.0150
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.9850
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.0150
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.9850
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.0150
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.9850
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.0150
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.9850
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.0150
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.9850
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.0150
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.9850
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.0150
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.9850
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.0150
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.9850
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.0150
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.9850
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.0150
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.9850
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.0150
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.9850
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.0150
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.9850
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.0150
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.9850
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.0150
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.9850
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.0150
2024-07-02 06:00: 0.9850
2024-07-02 06:00: 0.0150
2024-07-02 07:00: 0.9850
2024-07-02 07:00: 0.0150
2024-07-02 08:00: 0.9850
2024-07-02 08:00: 0.0150
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.9850
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.0150
2024-07-02 10:00: 0.9850
2024-07-02 10:00: 0.0150
2024-07-02 11:00: 0.9890
2024-07-02 11:00: 0.0110
2024-07-02 12:00: 0.9890
2024-07-02 12:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.9900
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.9900
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 16:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 16:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 18:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 18:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 19:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 19:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 20:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 20:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 21:00: 0.9900
2024-07-03 21:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 22:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.0100
2024-07-05 00:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 00:00: 0.0100
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.0100
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.0100
2024-07-05 03:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 03:00: 0.0100
2024-07-05 04:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 04:00: 0.0100
2024-07-05 05:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 05:00: 0.0100
2024-07-05 06:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 06:00: 0.0100
2024-07-05 07:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 07:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.7400
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.7400
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.7400
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.7400
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.7400
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.7400
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.7400
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.7400
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.7400
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.7450
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.7450
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.7450
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.7450
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.7450
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.7500
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.7500
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.8100
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.8100
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.8100
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.8900
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.8850
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.8850
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.8750
2024-06-18 14:00: 0.8750
2024-06-18 15:00: 0.8750
2024-06-18 16:00: 0.8700
2024-06-18 17:00: 0.8800
2024-06-18 18:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-06-18 22:00: 0.1950
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.1350
2024-06-19 00:00: 0.2550
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.2500
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.2550
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.2550
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.2400
2024-06-19 05:00: 0.2350
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.2350
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.2350
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.2350
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.0650
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.2450
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.2500
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.2400
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.2350
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.2350
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.2350
2024-06-19 16:00: 0.2350
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.2350
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.0800
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.0800
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.0800
2024-06-19 21:00: 0.0800
2024-06-19 22:00: 0.0800
2024-06-19 23:00: 0.0800
2024-06-20 00:00: 0.0800
2024-06-20 01:00: 0.0800
2024-06-20 02:00: 0.2350
2024-06-20 03:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 09:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.8000
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.8000
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.8000
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.8000
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.8000
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.9150
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.8000
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.8050
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.9200
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.9200
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.9200
2024-06-21 06:00: 0.9200
2024-06-21 07:00: 0.7900
2024-06-21 08:00: 0.7900
2024-06-21 09:00: 0.7900
2024-06-21 10:00: 0.7900
2024-06-21 11:00: 0.7900
2024-06-21 12:00: 0.7900
2024-06-21 13:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.1050
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.1050
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.1050
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.1050
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.1050
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.1050
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.0850
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.0850
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.0850
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.0850
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.0850
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.0850
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.0850
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.0850
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.0850
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.0850
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.0850
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.0800
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.0750
2024-06-22 16:00: 0.0750
2024-06-22 17:00: 0.0750
2024-06-22 18:00: 0.0800
2024-06-22 19:00: 0.0800
2024-06-22 20:00: 0.0800
2024-06-22 21:00: 0.0800
2024-06-22 22:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.9200
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.9200
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.9200
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.9200
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.9200
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.9200
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.9200
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.9200
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.9200
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.9200
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.9200
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.9200
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.9150
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.9150
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.9250
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.9250
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.9250
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.9250
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.9250
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.9450
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.9450
2024-06-24 00:00: 0.9450
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.9450
2024-06-24 02:00: 0.9450
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.9450
2024-06-24 04:00: 0.9500
2024-06-24 05:00: 0.9500
2024-06-24 06:00: 0.9500
2024-06-24 07:00: 0.9500
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.0500
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.0500
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.0500
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.0500
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.0500
2024-06-24 17:00: 0.0500
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.0450
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.0450
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.0450
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.0450
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.0450
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.0350
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.0350
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.0310
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.0310
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.0310
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.0310
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.0310
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.0255
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.0295
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.0295
2024-06-25 09:00: 0.0295
2024-06-25 10:00: 0.0295
2024-06-25 11:00: 0.0295
2024-06-25 12:00: 0.0295
2024-06-25 13:00: 0.0295
2024-06-25 14:00: 0.0295
2024-06-25 15:00: 0.0295
2024-06-25 16:00: 0.0295
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.9715
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.9715
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.9755
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 19:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 20:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 21:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 22:00: 0.9750
2024-06-26 23:00: 0.9750
2024-06-27 00:00: 0.9750
2024-06-27 01:00: 0.9750
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.9750
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.0205
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.0205
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.0205
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.0205
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.0205
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.0205
2024-06-28 04:00: 0.0205
2024-06-28 05:00: 0.0205
2024-06-28 06:00: 0.0205
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.0205
2024-06-28 08:00: 0.0205
2024-06-28 09:00: 0.0205
2024-06-28 10:00: 0.0205
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.0205
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.9800
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.9800
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.9800
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.9800
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.9800
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.9800
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 12:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 15:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 17:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 18:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 19:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.9800
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 03:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 21:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.0200
2024-06-30 23:00: 0.0200
2024-07-01 00:00: 0.0200
2024-07-01 01:00: 0.0200
2024-07-01 02:00: 0.0150
2024-07-01 03:00: 0.0150
2024-07-01 04:00: 0.0150
2024-07-01 05:00: 0.0150
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.0150
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.9850
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.9850
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.9850
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.9850
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.9850
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.9850
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.9850
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.9850
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.9850
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.9850
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.9850
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.9850
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.9850
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.9850
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.9850
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.9850
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.9850
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.9850
2024-07-02 06:00: 0.9850
2024-07-02 07:00: 0.9850
2024-07-02 08:00: 0.9850
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.9850
2024-07-02 10:00: 0.9850
2024-07-02 11:00: 0.9890
2024-07-02 12:00: 0.9890
2024-07-02 13:00: 0.9890
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.9890
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.9890
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.9900
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.0100
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 16:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 18:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 19:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 20:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 21:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 22:00: 0.0100
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.0100
2024-07-04 02:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502526
Question: Will John McGuire win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 6998.560818
Price History:
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.9900
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 00:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 03:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 04:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 05:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 06:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 07:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 08:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 09:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 10:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 11:00: 0.9900
2024-07-05 12:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes