Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.8700
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.1300
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.8700
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.1300
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.8700
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.8700
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.1300
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.1300
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.8700
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.1300
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.8700
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.1300
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.8700
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.8700
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.1300
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.8700
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.1300
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.8700
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.1300
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.8700
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.1300
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.8700
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.8700
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.8700
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.8700
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.8700
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.8700
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.8700
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.8700
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.8700
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.8700
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.8700
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.1250
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.8750
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.8750
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.1250
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.8750
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.1250
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 7011.81, Sell volume: 66.12, Average price: 0.7108, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9982

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.8700
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.8700
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.8700
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.8700
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.8700
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.8700
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.8700
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.8700
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.8700
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.8700
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.8700
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.8700
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.8700
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.8700
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.8700
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.8700
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.8700
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.1300
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.1300
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.8700
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.1300
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.8700
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.1300
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.8700
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.1300
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.8700
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.1300
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.8700
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.8700
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.1300
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.8700
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.1300
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.8700
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 7011.81, Sell volume: 66.12, Average price: 0.7108, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9982

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.8700
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.8700
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.1300
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.8700
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.1300
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 7011.81, Sell volume: 66.12, Average price: 0.7108, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9982

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.8700
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.1300
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.8700
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.1300
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.1300
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.8700
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.8700
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 7011.81, Sell volume: 66.12, Average price: 0.7108, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9982

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 7011.81, Sell volume: 66.12, Average price: 0.7108, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9982

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.1350
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.1350
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.1350
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.1350
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.1350
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.1350
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.1350
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.1350
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.1350
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.1350
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.1350
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.1350
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.1350
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.1350
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.1350
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.8650
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.1350
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.8650
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.1350
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.8650
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.1350
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.8650
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.1350
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.8650
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.1350
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.1350
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.8650
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.1350
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.8650
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.1350
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.8650
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.1350
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.8650
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.1350
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 7011.81, Sell volume: 66.12, Average price: 0.7108, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9982

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.1350
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.1350
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.1350
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.1350
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.1350
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.1350
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.1350
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.1350
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.1350
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.1300
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.8700
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.8700
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.1300
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.8700
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.1300
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.8700
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.1300
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.8700
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.1300
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.8700
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.1300
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.8700
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.1350
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.1300
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.8700
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.1300
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.8700
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.1300
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.1300
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.8700
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.8700
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.1300
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.1300
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.8700
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.1300
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.8700
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.1000, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.1000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.8700
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.1300
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 7011.81, Sell volume: 66.12, Average price: 0.7108, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9982

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.1300
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.8700
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.1300
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.1300
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.8700
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.8700
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.1300
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.1300
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.8700
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.8700
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.1300
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.2500
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.7500
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.2500
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.7500
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.2500
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.7500
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 13.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9750
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0250
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0250
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9750
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0250
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9750
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9750
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0250
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0250
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9750
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0250
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.9750
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0250
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9750
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9750
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0250
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0250
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9750
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9750
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0250
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9750
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0250
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9750
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9750
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0250
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0250
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9750
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0245
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9755
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.0250
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.9750
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9750
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0250
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.0250
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9750
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0250
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9750
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9750
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0250
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9750
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0250
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.9750
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0250
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9750
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0250
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0250
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9750
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.9750
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 7011.81, Sell volume: 66.12, Average price: 0.7108, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9982

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9750
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.9750
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0250
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9750
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0250
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.9750
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0250
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9750
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0250
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.0250
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9750
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0250
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9750
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0250
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9750
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0250
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9750
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.4995
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.5005
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.4505
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.5495
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.4505
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.5495
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.5495
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.4505
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.4505
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.5495
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.4505
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.5495
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.4505
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.5495
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.5495
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.4505
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.4505
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.5495
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.5495
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.4505
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.4505
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.5495
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.4505
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.5495
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.4505
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.5495
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.4505
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.5495
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.4505
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.5495
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.5495
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.4505
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.4505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 7011.81, Sell volume: 66.12, Average price: 0.7108, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9982

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.5495
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.4505
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.5495
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.4505
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.4505
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.5495
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.4505
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.5495
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.4505
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.5495
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.4505
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.5495
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.5495
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.4505
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.4435
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.5565
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.5565
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.4435
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.4505
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.5495
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.4505
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.5495
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.4390
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.5610
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.5560
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.4440
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.4440
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.5560
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.5560
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.4440
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.5560
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.4440
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.5655
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.4345
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 6965.69, Sell volume: 13.06, Average price: 0.8299, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9982

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.4950
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.4950
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.4950
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.8050
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.8550
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.8550
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.1450
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.8550
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.8500
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.8500
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.1500
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.1500
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.8500
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.1500
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.8500
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.1500
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.1500
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.8750
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.1250
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.1250
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.1250
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.1250
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.1300
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.1300
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.8700
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.8700
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.1300
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.8700
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 33.06, Sell volume: 33.06, Average price: 0.6133, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.8700
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.8700
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.8700
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.1300
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.8700
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.8700
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.8700
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.1300
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.1300
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.1300
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.1300
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.8700
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.8700
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.8700
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.8750
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.1250
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.1250
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.8750
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.8700
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 7011.81, Sell volume: 66.12, Average price: 0.7108, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9982
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.8700
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.8700
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.1300
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.8700
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.1300
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.1300
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.1300
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.1300
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.1300
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.8700
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.8700
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.8700
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.1300
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.8700
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.8700
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.8700
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 7011.81, Sell volume: 66.12, Average price: 0.7108, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9982
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.8700
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.1300
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.8700
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.1300
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.1300
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.1300
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.8700
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.1300
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.8700
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 7011.81, Sell volume: 66.12, Average price: 0.7108, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9982
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.8700
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.8700
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.1300
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 7011.81, Sell volume: 66.12, Average price: 0.7108, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9982
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 7011.81, Sell volume: 66.12, Average price: 0.7108, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9982
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.1350
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.1350
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.1350
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.8650
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.8650
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.8650
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.8650
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.8650
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.8650
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.8650
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.1350
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.1350
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.1350
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.1350
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.1350
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.8650
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.1350
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.1350
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.1350
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 7011.81, Sell volume: 66.12, Average price: 0.7108, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9982
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.8700
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.8700
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.8700
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.8700
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.8700
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.8700
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.8700
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.8700
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.8700
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.8700
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.1300
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.8700
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.8700
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.8700
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.8700
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.1300
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.8700
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.1000, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.1000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.8700
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.8700
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.8700
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.1300
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 7011.81, Sell volume: 66.12, Average price: 0.7108, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9982
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.1300
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.1300
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.8700
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.1300
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.8700
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.1300
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.7500
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.7500
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.7500
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.7500
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.7500
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.7500
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 13.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9750
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0250
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0250
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9750
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0250
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0250
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0250
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9750
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0250
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9750
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0250
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9750
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0250
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0245
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.0250
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9750
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.0250
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0250
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9750
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9750
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.9750
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9750
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0250
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.9750
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.9750
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9750
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9750
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0250
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 7011.81, Sell volume: 66.12, Average price: 0.7108, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9982
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9750
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0250
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0250
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0250
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0250
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9750
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9750
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9750
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9750
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.5005
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.5495
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.5495
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.4505
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.5495
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.5495
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.5495
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.4505
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.5495
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.4505
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.5495
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.5495
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.5495
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.5495
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.5495
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.4505
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.5495
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.5495
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.4505
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.4505
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.5495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 7011.81, Sell volume: 66.12, Average price: 0.7108, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9982
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607741
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 30 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 7077.935
Price History:
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.5495
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.5495
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.4505
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.4505
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.4505
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.4505
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.5495
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.4435
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.5565
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.4505
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.4505
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.4390
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.5560
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.4440
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.5560
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.5560
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.5655
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 6965.69, Sell volume: 13.06, Average price: 0.8299, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9982
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0245
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0245
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0230
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9770
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9835
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9835
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9835
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9835
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9835
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9835
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9835
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9835
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9835
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.3373, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9830
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9830
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9830
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9830
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9830
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9830
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9830
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9830
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9830
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9820
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9830
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9750
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9750
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9750
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9755
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9755
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9755
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9755
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9755
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9760
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9785
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9820
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9820
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9820
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9820
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9820
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9820
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9820
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9825
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9825
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9820
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9865
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9875
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9875
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9870
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9870
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9870
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9870
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9875
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9870
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9875
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9875
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9875
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9875
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 334.11, Sell volume: 389.42, Average price: 0.8681, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9875
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9875
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9875
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9875
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9875
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9875
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9870
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9875
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9875
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9875
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9875
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9875
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9875
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9875
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9875
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9880
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9875
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9875
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9880
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9880
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9865
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9870
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9875
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9875
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9875
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9875
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9875
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9885
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9885
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9885
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9875
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9880
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9880
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9875
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9875
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9895
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9895
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9895
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9900
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9900
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9895
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9910
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9910
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9875
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9875
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9875
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9875
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 301.09, Sell volume: 232.77, Average price: 0.9040, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9870
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9940, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 204.11, Average price: 0.0055, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.0060

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9885
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9885
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9890
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9890
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9890
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9890
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9890
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9890
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9890
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9885
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9890
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 37.71, Sell volume: 116.70, Average price: 0.7944, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9875
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9875
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9875
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9875
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9875
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9875
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9875
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9875
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9875
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9885
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9930
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 262.30, Sell volume: 50.30, Average price: 0.9936, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9885
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9890
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 1520.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9795, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9895
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9895
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9895
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9880
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9890
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9890
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9890
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9900
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9900
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9885
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 12098.76, Sell volume: 6912.51, Average price: 0.8904, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9920
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9915
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 3978.56, Sell volume: 399.98, Average price: 0.9579, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9960
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9905
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9905
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9905
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9905
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9905
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9910
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9885
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9910
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9915
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9915
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9915
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9915
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9915
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9915
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9915
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9915
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9915
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9915
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 39003.68, Sell volume: 19208.57, Average price: 0.8424, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9910
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9910
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9910
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9915
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9915
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9915
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9915
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9915
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9915
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9915
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9915
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9915
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9915
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9925
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9900
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9900
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9900
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9920
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5495
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.8520
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.8530
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8545
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.8555
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.8570
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.8625
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.8960
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 18092.49, Sell volume: 7928.79, Average price: 0.8476, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9870
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9885
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9865
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9905
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9470
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9460
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9490
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9520
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9515
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9690
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9445
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9460
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9460
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9460
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9450
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9565
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9360
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9435
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9445
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9510
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9265
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9240
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9240
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9225
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9225
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9115
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9810
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9850
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 130, Buy volume: 10124.28, Sell volume: 8006.92, Average price: 0.8791, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9755
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9770
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9835
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9835
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9835
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9835
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9835
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.3373, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9830
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0170
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9830
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0170
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0170
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9830
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0165
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9830
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0250
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9750
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0245
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9755
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0245
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9760
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0215
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9820
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0180
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9820
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0180
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9820
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0175
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9820
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0135
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9875
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0130
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9870
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0130
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9870
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 334.11, Sell volume: 389.42, Average price: 0.8681, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9875
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0125
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9875
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0125
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9870
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0125
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0125
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9875
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0125
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9875
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0125
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9875
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0125
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9880
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0135
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9875
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0125
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9875
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0125
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9885
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0115
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9880
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0120
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9875
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0105
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9895
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0100
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9895
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 301.09, Sell volume: 232.77, Average price: 0.9040, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0125
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0125
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0125
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0125
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0125
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0125
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0125
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0125
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0125
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0125
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0125
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0125
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9870
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0125
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0125
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9940, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0125
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0125
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0125
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0125
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 204.11, Average price: 0.0055, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.0060
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9885
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0110
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9890
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 37.71, Sell volume: 116.70, Average price: 0.7944, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9875
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0125
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9875
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0125
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9875
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0125
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0125
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0125
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0125
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0125
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0125
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0125
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0115
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 262.30, Sell volume: 50.30, Average price: 0.9936, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0115
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 1520.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9795, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0105
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9895
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0110
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0120
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0110
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0110
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0110
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9890
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0110
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9900
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0100
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9885
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 12098.76, Sell volume: 6912.51, Average price: 0.8904, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 3978.56, Sell volume: 399.98, Average price: 0.9579, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9905
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9910
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0115
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0080
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0080
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0085
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9915
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0085
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9915
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 39003.68, Sell volume: 19208.57, Average price: 0.8424, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0085
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0090
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9910
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9915
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0085
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9915
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0085
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9915
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0085
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9915
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0100
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0080
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.8520
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.1470
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 18092.49, Sell volume: 7928.79, Average price: 0.8476, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641838
Question: Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 129568.070507
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9870
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0135
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9865
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0095
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0070
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9460
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0510
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9515
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0310
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9460
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0540
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9450
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0435
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9435
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0555
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9265
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0760
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9225
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0775
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9810
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0120
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 130, Buy volume: 10124.28, Sell volume: 8006.92, Average price: 0.8791, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641840
Question: Will Investor 5065 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26120.724333
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0200
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9820
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0180
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.3373, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641840
Question: Will Investor 5065 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26120.724333
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9890
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0115
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9880
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9900
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9910
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0060
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9900
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9900
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9900
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9910
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 10221.73, Sell volume: 1463.92, Average price: 0.6773, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641840
Question: Will Investor 5065 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26120.724333
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 265.67, Sell volume: 824.16, Average price: 0.7495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641840
Question: Will Investor 5065 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26120.724333
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 52.04, Sell volume: 42.02, Average price: 0.9984, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641840
Question: Will Investor 5065 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26120.724333
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 111.43, Sell volume: 300.10, Average price: 0.7992, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641840
Question: Will Investor 5065 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26120.724333
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 225, Buy volume: 18699.65, Sell volume: 7421.07, Average price: 0.7903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641840
Question: Will Investor 5065 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26120.724333
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 4785.41, Sell volume: 2100.00, Average price: 0.4022, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641840
Question: Will Investor 5065 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26120.724333
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9530
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9520
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0480
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9540
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9530
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9530
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9530
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9530
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9530
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9520
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9520
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9520
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9770
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 796.97, Sell volume: 1094.02, Average price: 0.8354, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641840
Question: Will Investor 5065 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26120.724333
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 492.16, Average price: 0.0015, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641840
Question: Will Investor 5065 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26120.724333
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 1413.76, Sell volume: 530.69, Average price: 0.9688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641840
Question: Will Investor 5065 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26120.724333
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 225, Buy volume: 18699.65, Sell volume: 7421.07, Average price: 0.7903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641840
Question: Will Investor 5065 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26120.724333
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 14.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641840
Question: Will Investor 5065 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26120.724333
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 225, Buy volume: 18699.65, Sell volume: 7421.07, Average price: 0.7903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641840
Question: Will Investor 5065 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 26120.724333
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9800
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0180
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.3373, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641840
Question: Will Investor 5065 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 26120.724333
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9890
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0100
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0060
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0100
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9900
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9910
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 10221.73, Sell volume: 1463.92, Average price: 0.6773, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641840
Question: Will Investor 5065 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 26120.724333
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 265.67, Sell volume: 824.16, Average price: 0.7495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641840
Question: Will Investor 5065 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 26120.724333
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 52.04, Sell volume: 42.02, Average price: 0.9984, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641840
Question: Will Investor 5065 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 26120.724333
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 111.43, Sell volume: 300.10, Average price: 0.7992, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641840
Question: Will Investor 5065 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 26120.724333
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 225, Buy volume: 18699.65, Sell volume: 7421.07, Average price: 0.7903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes