Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525646
Question: Will Xander Schauffele win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 84779.079292
Price History:
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.5900
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.4550
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.6200
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.3750
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.5750
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.3550
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.5600
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.4350
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.6450
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.3750
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.5850
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.3800
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.6150
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.4400
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.6300
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.3700
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.6200
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0450
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.9600
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0400
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9600
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0400
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.9600
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0400
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.9600
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0400
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9600
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0400
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9600
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 131.00, Sell volume: 111.00, Average price: 0.5450, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525646
Question: Will Xander Schauffele win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 84779.079292
Price History:
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0350
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9650
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0350
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.9650
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0350
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9650
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0350
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9650
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0350
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.9650
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0350
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.9650
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0350
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.9650
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0350
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9650
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0350
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.9650
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0350
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.9650
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0350
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.9650
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.0350
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.9650
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.0350
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.9650
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0350
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.9650
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.0350
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.06, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9650, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525646
Question: Will Xander Schauffele win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 84779.079292
Price History:
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.9650
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0350
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.9650
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0350
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9650
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.0350
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.9650
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0350
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9650
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0350
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.9650
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0350
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.9650
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0350
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9650
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0350
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.9650
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0350
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.9650
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0350
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.9650
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0350
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.9650
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0350
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.9650
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.0350
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.9675
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0325
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.9675
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525646
Question: Will Xander Schauffele win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 84779.079292
Price History:
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0350
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9650
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0350
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.9650
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0350
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9650
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0350
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.9650
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0350
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.9610
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0375
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.9575
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0410
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9595
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0380
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9625
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0370
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9635
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0365
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.9615
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0385
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9610
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0325
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9800
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0135
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9820
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0095
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9950
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0115
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 285, Buy volume: 52095.01, Sell volume: 32400.01, Average price: 0.6837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.4900
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.4850
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0500
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0500
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0500
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0500
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0500
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0600
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0600
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0600
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0600
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0600
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0600
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0600
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0600
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0600
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0600
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0600
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0550
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0550
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0550
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.0550
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0550
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0550
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0550
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0600
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0600
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0600
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0550
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0550
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0550
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0550
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0550
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0550
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0550
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0550
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0550
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0550
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0550
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.0500
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0500
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.02, Sell volume: 1.02, Average price: 0.4950, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.9500
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.9500
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.9500
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.9500
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.9500
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.9500
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.9500
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.9500
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.9500
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.9500
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.9500
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.9500
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.9500
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.9500
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.9500
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.9500
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.9500
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.9500
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.9500
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.9500
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.9500
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.9500
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.9500
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.9500
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.9500
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.9500
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.9500
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.9500
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.9500
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.9500
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.9500
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.9500
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.9500
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.9500
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.9500
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.9500
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.9500
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.9500
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.9500
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.9500
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.9500
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.5950
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.7750
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.6350
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.7300
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.6200
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.5800
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.5450
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.5650
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 6389.57, Sell volume: 6176.84, Average price: 0.6337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.4200
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.4200
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.4150
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.3650
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.3850
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.4100
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.4500
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.4100
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.3950
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.4150
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.4150
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.4150
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.4150
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.3950
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.3650
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.3400
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.4150
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.4150
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.3850
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.4200
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.3800
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.4400
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.5000
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.5000
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.3950
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.4200
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.4550
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.2450
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.2450
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.2450
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 6389.57, Sell volume: 6176.84, Average price: 0.6337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.7500
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.7500
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.7500
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.7500
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.7500
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.7500
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.7500
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.7500
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.7500
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.7500
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.7500
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.7500
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.7500
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.7500
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.7500
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.7500
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.7500
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.7500
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.7500
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.7500
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.7500
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.7500
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.7500
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.7500
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.7500
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.7500
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.7500
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.7500
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 6389.57, Sell volume: 6176.84, Average price: 0.6337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.2500
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.2500
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.2500
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.2500
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.2500
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.2500
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.2500
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.2500
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.2500
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.2500
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.2500
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.2500
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.2500
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.2500
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.2500
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.2500
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.4900
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.4600
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.4350
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.4250
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.4050
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.4000
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.4500
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.4500
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.4200
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.4200
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.4300
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.4250
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.4250
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.4450
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.4300
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.4000
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.4000
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.4300
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.4300
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 6389.57, Sell volume: 6176.84, Average price: 0.6337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.5450
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.5650
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.5050
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.5600
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.5250
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.5000
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.5400
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.5700
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.6200
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.6500
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5650
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.6100
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.6400
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.5500
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.6150
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6050
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.5600
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.5950
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.5900
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.5650
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.5650
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.5450
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.5600
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.5850
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.6100
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.6400
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.5250
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.6050
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.5900
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.5900
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.6150
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6100
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.8800
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.8800
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.5800
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.5150
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.5500
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8700, Price range: 0.8700 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.4800
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.4200
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.4200
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.4650
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.4600
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.4250
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.4750
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.4350
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.4900
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.4200
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4600
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.4900
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.4650
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.4000
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.4650
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.4000
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.3950
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.3900
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.3900
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.3950
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.3950
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.3900
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.3750
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.3850
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.3950
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.3900
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.3950
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.3950
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.3950
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.4200
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.4650
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.4200
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.4200
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.4400
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.4200
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.3950
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.3900
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.3900
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.4150
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.4000
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.4200
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 6389.57, Sell volume: 6176.84, Average price: 0.6337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.5850
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.6100
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.6150
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.5850
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.6100
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.5800
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.6000
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.5200
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.5850
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.6000
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.6000
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.5950
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.5850
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.5950
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.6050
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.5850
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.6000
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.5900
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.6300
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.6100
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.5900
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.5800
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.5850
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.5950
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.5700
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.5800
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.6000
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.5850
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.5950
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.6000
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.6000
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.6000
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.5400
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.5550
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.5700
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.6000
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.5800
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.5800
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.5450
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.5700
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.5900
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.5800
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.5850
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.5950
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.5850
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.5850
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.6000
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.5950
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.6150
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 6389.57, Sell volume: 6176.84, Average price: 0.6337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.3800
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.4600
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.3850
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.3950
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.3850
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.3800
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.4950
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.3950
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.4400
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.3850
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.3800
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.4900
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.3850
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.3900
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.3850
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.3750
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.4900
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.3850
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.4000
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.3850
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.3850
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.4850
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.3850
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.3950
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.3900
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.3850
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.4100
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.3850
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.3850
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.4200
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.5000
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.3850
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.4950
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.4900
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.4750
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.4100
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.4600
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.3700
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.4100
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.4600
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.3800
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.4100
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.4500
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.3700
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.4000
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 6389.57, Sell volume: 6176.84, Average price: 0.6337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.5400
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.6000
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.5900
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.5550
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.5700
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.5300
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.6100
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.6250
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.5850
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.5850
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.5900
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.6150
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.6250
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.5800
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.5900
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.5450
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.5900
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.5900
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.6200
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.6250
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.6200
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.6200
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.5850
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.5000
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.5900
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.5250
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.5650
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.5900
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.5800
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.9250
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.9250
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.9300
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.6250
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.6300
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.6500
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.6800
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.6700
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.6300
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.6200
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.6350
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.7050
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.6200
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.6850
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.7000
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.6500
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.6750
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.6050
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.6800
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.6800
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 6389.57, Sell volume: 6176.84, Average price: 0.6337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.4700
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.3450
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.3550
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.4700
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.3350
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.3500
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.2800
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.3500
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.3250
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.4800
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.4800
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.4050
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.3800
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.3600
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.3750
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.4550
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.3600
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.4100
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.3700
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.3350
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.4750
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.3800
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.3150
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.3400
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.3600
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.3550
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.4250
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.3650
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.4700
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.4850
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.4050
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.4700
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.4500
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.3650
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.4800
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.4550
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.4050
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.4100
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.3800
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.3800
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.3800
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.3950
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.4800
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.3550
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.3500
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.3650
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.4500
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.4150
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 6389.57, Sell volume: 6176.84, Average price: 0.6337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.6400
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.6300
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.6500
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.6300
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.6400
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.6150
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.6450
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.6300
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.5100
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.6700
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.6800
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.6850
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.6850
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.6650
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.6800
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.6750
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.6700
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.6700
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.6650
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.6650
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.6650
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.6700
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.6700
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.6700
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.6700
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.6700
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.6700
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.6700
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.6750
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.6750
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.6700
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.6700
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.6750
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.6800
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.7050
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.6800
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.6550
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.5850
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.5700
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.5150
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.5300
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.5500
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.6750
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.9940
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.9895
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9890
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.3100, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.3100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0055
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0110
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.0060
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0080
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.0075
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0075
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0075
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0125
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0125
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0125
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0125
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0125
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0125
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0125
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0125
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.0125
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0125
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0125
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.0125
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0125
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0125
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0115
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0115
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0085
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0075
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0085
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0085
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.0080
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0090
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.0085
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0085
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0085
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0085
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0085
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0085
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0065
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0030
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0025
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 6378.55, Sell volume: 6165.82, Average price: 0.6424, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.5100
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.5100
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.4850
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.5100
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0500
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.9500
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0500
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.9400
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0600
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9400
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0600
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9400
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0600
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.9400
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0550
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.9450
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0550
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9400
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0600
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.9400
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0550
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9450
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0550
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.9450
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0550
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.9450
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0500
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.02, Sell volume: 1.02, Average price: 0.4950, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.9500
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.0500
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.9500
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.0500
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.9500
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.0500
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.9500
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.0500
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.9500
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.0500
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.9500
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.0500
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.9500
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.0500
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.9500
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.0500
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.9500
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.0500
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.9500
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.0500
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.9500
2025-03-18 06:00: 0.0500
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.9500
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.0500
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.5950
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.3350
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.5700
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.4200
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.5650
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 6389.57, Sell volume: 6176.84, Average price: 0.6337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.4200
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.5900
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.4200
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.5900
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.4100
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.5800
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.4200
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.5800
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.3800
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.6200
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.4150
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.5950
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.3000
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.5000
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.6600
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.2450
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.7500
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.7500
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.7500
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.7500
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.7500
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.2500
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 6389.57, Sell volume: 6176.84, Average price: 0.6337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.7500
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.7500
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.2500
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.7500
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.2500
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.7500
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.2500
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.7500
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.2500
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.7500
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.2500
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.7500
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.2500
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.7500
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.2500
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.7500
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.2500
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 6389.57, Sell volume: 6176.84, Average price: 0.6337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.7500
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.2500
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.7500
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.2500
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.7500
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.2500
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.2500
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.7500
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.2500
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.3950
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.5150
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.4300
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.6000
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.4500
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.5400
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.4200
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.5700
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.4300
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.5700
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.4000
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.5800
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.4150
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 6389.57, Sell volume: 6176.84, Average price: 0.6337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.5450
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.5000
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.5700
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.4150
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.6650
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.5850
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.3850
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6050
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.4000
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.4200
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5300
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.4950
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.5900
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.3900
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.5900
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.4100
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.5900
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.3900
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.5950
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.3450
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.8800
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.5950
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.4850
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.5700
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8700, Price range: 0.8700 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.4800
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.5200
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.4250
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.5400
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.4150
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.5900
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.4200
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.5600
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.4700
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.5350
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.3900
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.6200
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.4000
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.3700
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.6200
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.3950
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.6000
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.4900
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.5800
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.4150
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.5800
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.4150
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.5850
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.3950
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 6389.57, Sell volume: 6176.84, Average price: 0.6337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.5850
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.3900
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.6100
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.4050
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.6200
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.4000
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.5850
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.4150
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.5850
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.3950
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.5900
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.4050
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.5850
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.4150
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.5850
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.4000
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.5800
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.4000
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.6000
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.4100
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.5700
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.4950
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.5700
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.4150
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.5850
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.4350
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.5850
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.4000
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.5950
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 6389.57, Sell volume: 6176.84, Average price: 0.6337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.3800
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.6050
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.3800
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.6200
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.3750
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.6150
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.3800
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.6200
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.3850
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.6200
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.4900
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.6150
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.3850
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.5150
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.4200
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.5300
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.3950
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.5100
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.3800
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.5850
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.4950
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.5400
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.4800
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.6300
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.4800
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.5100
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.4900
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.5400
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.3900
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 6389.57, Sell volume: 6176.84, Average price: 0.6337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.5400
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.4200
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.5100
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.4500
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.6150
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.3900
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.6000
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.3750
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.6000
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.3550
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.5900
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.3750
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.6200
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.4100
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.5900
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.4500
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.5900
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0750
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.9300
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.3650
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.6500
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.3450
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.6500
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.3500
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.6000
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.3300
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.5900
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.3950
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.6400
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 6389.57, Sell volume: 6176.84, Average price: 0.6337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.4700
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.5900
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.3800
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.6500
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.3650
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.6750
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.4300
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.6050
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.4050
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.5600
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.4100
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.6400
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.4050
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.6200
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.3500
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.6650
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.4100
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.5100
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.4350
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.5600
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.3650
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.5250
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.3250
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.6200
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.3850
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.6400
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.3550
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.6350
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.3750
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 6389.57, Sell volume: 6176.84, Average price: 0.6337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.6400
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.3600
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.6500
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.3750
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.6150
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.3300
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.6850
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.3150
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.6800
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.3250
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.6700
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.3350
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.6650
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.3300
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.6700
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.3300
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.6700
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.3250
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.6650
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.3250
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.7050
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.3150
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.6300
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.4750
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.6100
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.0055
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0105
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.9940
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.3100, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.3100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525651
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12566.41223
Price History:
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0055
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9935
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0065
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.9925
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0075
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9875
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0125
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.9875
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0125
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.9875
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0125
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.9875
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0125
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9885
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0085
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9915
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0085
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9915
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0085
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.9915
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0085
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9915
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0030
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0025
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 6378.55, Sell volume: 6165.82, Average price: 0.6424, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.5000
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.5000
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.7500
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0800
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9200
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0800
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.9200
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0500
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.9500
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0550
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2217.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3498, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0600
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9400
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9550
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.9350
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0550
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.9450
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9350
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1216.03, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.5108, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.9350
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.9350
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.9350
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.9350
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0650
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.9350
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0650
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0550
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9450
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0550
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9450
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0550
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.9450
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0550
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9450
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0450
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.9550
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 311.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0650, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.9400
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9400
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0550
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.9450
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0650
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9350
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9400
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0255
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 769.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5618, Price range: 0.0625 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0250
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9750
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0335
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9665
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0125
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9875
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0165
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9835
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0115
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.9885
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0055
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 582.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0055
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.9945
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0055
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9945
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9955
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.9955
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1103.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9975
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.9975
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9975
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 6.96, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.7988, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 3853.48, Sell volume: 1936.53, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 11572.43, Sell volume: 2497.13, Average price: 0.6643, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 11572.43, Sell volume: 2497.13, Average price: 0.6643, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 11572.43, Sell volume: 2497.13, Average price: 0.6643, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 11572.43, Sell volume: 2497.13, Average price: 0.6643, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.5000
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.5000
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.7500
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0800
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9200
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0800
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.9200
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0500
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.9500
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0550
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2217.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3498, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0600
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9400
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9550
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.9350
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0550
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.9450
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9350
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1216.03, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.5108, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.9350
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.9350
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.9350
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.9350
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0650
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.9350
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0650
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0550
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9450
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0550
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9450
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0550
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.9450
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0550
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9450
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0450
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.9550
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 311.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0650, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.9400
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9400
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0550
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.9450
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0650
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9350
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9400
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0255
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 769.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5618, Price range: 0.0625 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0250
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9750
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0335
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9665
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0125
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9875
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0165
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9835
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0115
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.9885
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0055
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 582.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0055
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.9945
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0055
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9945
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9955
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.9955
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1103.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9975
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.9975
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9975
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 6.96, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.7988, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 3853.48, Sell volume: 1936.53, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 11572.43, Sell volume: 2497.13, Average price: 0.6643, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 11572.43, Sell volume: 2497.13, Average price: 0.6643, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 11572.43, Sell volume: 2497.13, Average price: 0.6643, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525665
Question: Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14069.564424
Price History:
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 11572.43, Sell volume: 2497.13, Average price: 0.6643, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.0355
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.9645
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.0355
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.9645
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.0355
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.9645
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0360
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.9640
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0360
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.9640
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0330
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.9670
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0330
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.9670
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.0330
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.9670
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0330
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.9670
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.0330
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.9670
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0330
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.9670
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.0325
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.9675
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0325
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.9675
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.0325
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.9675
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.0325
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.9675
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0325
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.9675
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0325
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.9675
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0325
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.9675
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0325
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.9675
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.0325
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.9675
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0325
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.9675
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.0325
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.9675
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0325
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9675
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0325
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 79583.58, Sell volume: 9865.59, Average price: 0.5846, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.9660
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.9660
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.9660
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.9660
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9660
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.9660
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.9660
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9660
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.9660
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.9660
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.9660
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9660
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.9660
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.0340
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.9660
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0340
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.9660
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0340
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.9660
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0340
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.9660
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0340
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.9660
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0340
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.9660
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.0340
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.9660
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0340
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.9660
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0340
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.9660
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0340
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9660
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0340
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 79583.58, Sell volume: 9865.59, Average price: 0.5846, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0340
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.9660
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.0360
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.9640
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0360
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.9640
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.0335
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.9665
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0335
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9665
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0335
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.9665
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0345
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.9655
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.0345
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.9655
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0345
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.9655
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0345
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.9655
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.0345
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.9655
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.0345
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.9655
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0340
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9660
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.0340
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.9660
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.0345
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.9655
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.0345
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.9655
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.0380
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.9620
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.0380
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.9620
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.0380
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.9620
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0380
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.9620
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0380
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.9620
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0380
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.9620
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.0380
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.9620
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.0380
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 79583.58, Sell volume: 9865.59, Average price: 0.5846, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.0380
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.9620
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.0380
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.9620
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.0380
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.9620
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0380
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.9620
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0380
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.9620
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0380
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.9620
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0355
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.9645
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.0355
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.9645
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0355
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9645
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.0355
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9645
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0355
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.9645
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0355
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.9645
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0355
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 79583.58, Sell volume: 9865.59, Average price: 0.5846, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0350
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.9650
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0350
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.9650
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0350
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.9650
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0350
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.9650
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9645
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.0355
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.9645
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0355
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.9645
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0355
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.9645
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0355
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9645
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0355
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.9645
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0355
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.9645
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0355
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.9645
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0355
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.9645
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0360
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.9640
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0355
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.9645
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0355
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1573.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0650, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.0650

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0350
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.9650
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0350
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.9650
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0350
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.9650
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0345
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.9655
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0345
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.9655
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0345
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.9655
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0345
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.9655
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.0345
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.9655
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0345
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.9655
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0345
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.9655
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0345
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.9655
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.0350
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.9650
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0355
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.9645
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.0350
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.9650
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0350
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.9650
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.0350
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.9650
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.0360
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.9640
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0350
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.9650
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0350
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.9650
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0355
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.9645
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0355
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.9645
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0385
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.9615
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.0355
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.9645
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0385
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.9615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 46.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0646, Price range: 0.0642 - 0.0650

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.0350
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.9650
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.9655
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.9655
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.9655
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.9655
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.9655
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.9655
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.9655
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.9655
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.9655
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.9655
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.9655
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0405
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.9595
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0405
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.9595
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0405
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.9595
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0515
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.9485
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0515
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.9485
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0530
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.9470
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0555
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9445
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.0560
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.9440
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0410
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.9590
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0420
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.9580
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0430
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9570
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0475
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.9525
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 3803.90, Sell volume: 30.17, Average price: 0.6955, Price range: 0.0480 - 0.9675

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0475
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.9525
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.0400
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.9600
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.0400
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.9600
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0400
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.9600
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0400
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.9600
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0400
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.9600
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0400
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9600
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.0400
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9600
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0400
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.9600
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0400
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.9600
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.0400
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9600
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0400
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9600
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0415
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.9585
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.0415
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.9585
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0390
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.9610
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0390
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.9610
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0390
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9610
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0390
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.9610
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0390
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.9610
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.0390
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.9610
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0390
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.9610
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0390
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.9610
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0390
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.9610
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.0430
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.9570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 936.19, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.3457, Price range: 0.0380 - 0.9590

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0435
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.9565
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.0435
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9565
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.0430
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.9570
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0430
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.9570
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0430
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9570
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.0435
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.9565
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0435
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.9565
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.0435
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.9565
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0400
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9600
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0390
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.9610
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0400
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9600
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0400
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.9600
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0400
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0425
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.9575
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0425
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.9575
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0425
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.9575
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0425
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.9575
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0420
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.9580
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0410
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.9590
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0405
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9595
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0380
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.9620
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0385
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.9615
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0405
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.9595
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.0395
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 20088.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4686, Price range: 0.0418 - 0.9640

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0390
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9610
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0395
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.9605
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0395
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.9605
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0395
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.9605
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0395
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9605
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0405
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.9595
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0410
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9590
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0400
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0365
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.9635
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0365
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.9635
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0365
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.9635
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0365
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.9635
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0380
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.9620
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0380
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9620
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0400
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9600
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0400
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.9600
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0400
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.9600
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0415
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9585
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0415
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.9585
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0355
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.9645
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0340
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.9660
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0390
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.9610
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0385
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9615
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0365
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 27243.46, Sell volume: 31.67, Average price: 0.6738, Price range: 0.0361 - 0.9730

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0370
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.9630
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0120
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.9880
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0120
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9880
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0125
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9875
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0125
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9875
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0055
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.9945
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0050
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.9950
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9980
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.9980
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.9980
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.9975
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.9975
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0025
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9980
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9980
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9980
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.9980
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9980
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.9980
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9980
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.9980
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9980
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 9302.88, Sell volume: 468.82, Average price: 0.6343, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0070
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9930
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0065
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9935
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0060
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9940
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0030
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0105
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9895
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0070
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.9930
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0050
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9950
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0050
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.9950
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0050
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9950
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9960
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9960
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9960
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9955
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9960
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9960
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0050
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9950
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 3210.46, Sell volume: 4381.88, Average price: 0.6473, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9975
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 3841.74, Sell volume: 4136.41, Average price: 0.6309, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.0355
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.9645
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.0355
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.9645
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.0355
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.9645
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0360
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.9640
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0360
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.9640
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0330
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.9670
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0330
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.9670
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.0330
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.9670
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0330
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.9670
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.0330
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.9670
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0330
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.9670
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.0325
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.9675
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0325
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.9675
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.0325
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.9675
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.0325
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 79583.58, Sell volume: 9865.59, Average price: 0.5846, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.9660
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.9660
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.9660
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.9660
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9660
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.9660
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.9660
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9660
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.9660
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.9660
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.9660
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9660
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.9660
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.0340
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.9660
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0340
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 79583.58, Sell volume: 9865.59, Average price: 0.5846, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0340
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.9660
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.0360
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.9640
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0360
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.9640
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.0335
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.9665
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0335
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9665
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0335
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.9665
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0345
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.9655
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.0345
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.9655
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0345
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.9655
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0345
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.9655
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.0345
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.9655
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.0345
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.9655
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0340
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9660
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.0340
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.9660
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.0345
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 79583.58, Sell volume: 9865.59, Average price: 0.5846, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.0380
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.9620
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.0380
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.9620
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.0380
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.9620
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0380
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.9620
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0380
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.9620
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0380
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.9620
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0355
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.9645
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.0355
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.9645
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0355
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9645
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.0355
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9645
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0355
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.9645
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0355
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.9645
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0355
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 79583.58, Sell volume: 9865.59, Average price: 0.5846, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0350
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.9650
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0350
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.9650
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0350
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.9650
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0350
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.9650
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9645
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.0355
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.9645
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0355
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1573.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0650, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.0650
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0350
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.9650
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0350
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.9650
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0350
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.9650
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0345
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.9655
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0345
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.9655
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0345
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.9655
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0345
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.9655
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.0345
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.9655
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0345
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.9655
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0345
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.9655
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0345
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.9655
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.0350
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.9650
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0355
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.9645
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.0350
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.9650
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0350
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 46.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0646, Price range: 0.0642 - 0.0650
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.0350
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.9650
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.9655
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.9655
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.9655
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.9655
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.9655
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.9655
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.9655
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.9655
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.9655
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.9655
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.9655
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0405
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.9595
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0405
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.9595
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0405
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.9595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 3803.90, Sell volume: 30.17, Average price: 0.6955, Price range: 0.0480 - 0.9675
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0475
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.9525
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.0400
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.9600
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.0400
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.9600
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0400
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.9600
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0400
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.9600
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0400
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.9600
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0400
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9600
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.0400
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9600
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0400
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.9600
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0400
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.9600
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.0400
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9600
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0400
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9600
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0415
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.9585
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.0415
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.9585
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0390
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.9610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 936.19, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.3457, Price range: 0.0380 - 0.9590
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0435
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.9565
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.0435
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9565
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.0430
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.9570
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0430
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.9570
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0430
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9570
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.0435
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.9565
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0435
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.9565
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.0435
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.9565
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0400
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9600
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0390
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.9610
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0400
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9600
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0400
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.9600
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0400
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0425
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.9575
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0425
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.9575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 20088.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4686, Price range: 0.0418 - 0.9640
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0390
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9610
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0395
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.9605
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0395
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.9605
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0395
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.9605
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0395
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9605
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0405
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.9595
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0410
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9590
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0400
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0365
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.9635
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0365
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.9635
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0365
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.9635
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0365
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.9635
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0380
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.9620
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0380
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9620
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0400
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 27243.46, Sell volume: 31.67, Average price: 0.6738, Price range: 0.0361 - 0.9730
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0370
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.9630
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0120
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.9880
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0120
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9880
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0125
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9875
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0125
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9875
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0055
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.9945
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0050
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.9950
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9980
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.9980
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.9980
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.9975
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.9975
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0025
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 9302.88, Sell volume: 468.82, Average price: 0.6343, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0070
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9930
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0065
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9935
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0060
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9940
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0030
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0105
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9895
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0070
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.9930
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0050
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9950
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0050
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.9950
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0050
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9950
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9960
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 3210.46, Sell volume: 4381.88, Average price: 0.6473, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525664
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 89449.174015
Price History:
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9975
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 3841.74, Sell volume: 4136.41, Average price: 0.6309, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 553590
Question: Will Chamath launch a SPAC in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10590.817414
Price History:
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.5100
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.3300
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.3300
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.3500
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.3250
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.3050
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.3150
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.3250
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.3000
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.3300
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.6350
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.6850
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.6750
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.7350
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.7700
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.6950
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.7150
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.6850
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.6200
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.6050
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.5750
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.6050
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.6050
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.6550
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.7050
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.7050
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.7000
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.7200
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.7100
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.7300
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.7250
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.7100
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.7100
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.5700
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.4150
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.4300
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.3650
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.4000
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.3750
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.3100
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.4050
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.4700
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.4450
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.6000
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.5400
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.6050
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.4500
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.4650
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.4850
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 1715.42, Sell volume: 424.16, Average price: 0.5009, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 553590
Question: Will Chamath launch a SPAC in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10590.817414
Price History:
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.4900
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.4750
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.4750
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.4800
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.4800
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.4700
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.4650
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.4700
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.4600
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.4600
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.4600
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.4800
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.4850
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.4850
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.5050
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.4950
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.5000
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.4950
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.5300
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.5300
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.5600
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.5650
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.5500
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.5500
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.5600
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.5600
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.5650
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.5600
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.5650
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.5650
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.5650
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.5650
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.5650
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.5600
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.5700
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.5750
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.5800
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.5750
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.5800
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.5750
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.5800
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.5750
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.5750
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.5700
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.5650
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.5900
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.5850
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.5850
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 16.95, Sell volume: 57.88, Average price: 0.4915, Price range: 0.3075 - 0.5900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 553590
Question: Will Chamath launch a SPAC in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10590.817414
Price History:
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.5600
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.5600
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.5400
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.5400
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.5400
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.5400
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.5400
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.5400
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.5400
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.5400
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.5400
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.5400
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.5400
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.5400
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.5500
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.5500
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.5500
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.5500
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.5600
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.5600
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.5600
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.5600
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.5600
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.5600
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.5600
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.5600
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.5700
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.5750
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.5250
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.5250
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.4300
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.4350
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.4500
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.4550
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.5150
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.4750
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.4750
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.5150
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.4750
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.4750
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.5650
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.4850
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.5750
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.6250
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.6250
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.6850
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.6850
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.5150
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.5150
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 26.49, Sell volume: 194.57, Average price: 0.4100, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.4700

Output: Yes