Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.6950
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.3050
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.6950
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.3050
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.7000
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.3050
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.6950
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.2950
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.7050
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.2950
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.7050
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.2950
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.7100
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.2900
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.7100
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.2900
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.7100
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.2950
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.7100
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.2900
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.7350
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.2650
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.7250
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.2750
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.7350
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.2750
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.7350
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.2750
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.7150
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 677164475.14, Sell volume: 90051382.10, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.7250
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.2750
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.7250
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.2850
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.7150
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.2700
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.7300
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.2650
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.7350
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.2650
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.7350
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.2650
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.7400
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.2650
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.7350
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.2650
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.7350
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.2650
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.7400
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.2600
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.7400
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.2600
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.7400
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.2600
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.7400
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.7450
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.2550
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.7400
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 677164475.14, Sell volume: 90051382.10, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.7450
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.2550
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.7450
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.2550
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.7450
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.7550
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.2450
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.7550
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.2400
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.7600
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.2400
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.7550
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.7550
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.7550
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.7550
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.7450
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.7450
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.7550
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.7550
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.7750
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 677164475.14, Sell volume: 90051382.10, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.7750
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.2250
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.7750
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.2250
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.7700
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.7700
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.2250
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.7700
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.2350
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.7600
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.2400
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.7650
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.2300
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.7750
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.1850
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.8200
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.1650
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.8350
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.1700
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.8450
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.8450
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.8500
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.1400
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.8600
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.1400
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.8650
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 677164475.14, Sell volume: 90051382.10, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.8550
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.1400
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.8400
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.1550
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.8450
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.1650
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.8450
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.8600
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.2150
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.7350
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.2850
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.2200
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.2150
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.2450
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.7100
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.2900
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.2900
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.2650
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.2600
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.7250
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.7200
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.2800
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.7200
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.2800
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 677164475.14, Sell volume: 90051382.10, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.3250
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.7200
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.2350
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.2350
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.2800
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.2750
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.2750
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.7250
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.2750
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.3150
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.6850
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.3250
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.6300
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.3600
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.6450
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.6400
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.3950
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.6100
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.3950
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.6050
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.4300
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.5800
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.6200
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.6250
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.5950
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.6150
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.3950
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.3900
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 677164475.14, Sell volume: 90051382.10, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.7150
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.7150
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.2800
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.7200
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.2850
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.7150
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.3050
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.3150
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.6850
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.3400
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.6400
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.3850
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.3750
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.4000
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.5700
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.4200
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.5800
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.4350
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.5850
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.4150
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.5950
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.4050
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.6050
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.3950
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.6000
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.6000
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.6050
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.3900
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.6150
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 677164475.14, Sell volume: 90051382.10, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.6100
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.3850
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.6150
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.3850
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.6700
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.3450
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.6600
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.6850
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.7000
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.6850
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.3200
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.6800
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.7600
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.7800
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.2200
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.2050
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.2150
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.7850
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.2100
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.2150
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.7850
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.7850
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 677164475.14, Sell volume: 90051382.10, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547757
Question: Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 2555381.150648
Price History:
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.2800
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.7200
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.7350
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.7200
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.2850
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.7200
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.7500
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.2400
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.7650
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.7750
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.2200
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.8050
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.1600
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.8550
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.1600
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.1600
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.8500
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.1450
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.8650
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.1350
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.8650
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.1350
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.1250
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.1250
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.8650
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.1350
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.1450
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.8650
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999897, Buy volume: 676882437.67, Sell volume: 90016546.02, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9903
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.4800
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.3850
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.3750
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.3600
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.3750
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.3450
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.3550
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.3250
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.3150
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.3100
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.3300
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.3050
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.2800
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.2750
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.2900
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.3000
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.3050
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.2850
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.2950
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.2950
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.2950
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.2950
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.2850
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.2850
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.3100
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.3150
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.3200
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.3200
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.3200
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.3250
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.3250
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.3300
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.3300
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.3300
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.3250
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.3150
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.3250
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.3200
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.3100
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.3050
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.3100
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.3200
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.3350
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.3250
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.3250
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.3150
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.3200
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.3450
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.3500
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 22635957.51, Sell volume: 24369145.94, Average price: 0.7344, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.2500
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.2600
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.1300
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.1600
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.1650
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.1550
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.1550
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.1550
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.1500
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.1450
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.1500
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.1500
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.1500
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.1400
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.1350
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.1350
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.1350
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.2100
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.1900
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.1750
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.1350
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.1200
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.2150
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.1150
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.1150
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.1150
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.1150
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.1150
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.1150
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.1150
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.1050
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.0850
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.0850
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.0850
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0850
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.0950
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.0850
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.0900
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.0900
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.0950
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0950
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0800
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.0800
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0800
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0750
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0800
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 22635957.51, Sell volume: 24369145.94, Average price: 0.7344, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0700
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0850
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0750
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.0750
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0750
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0800
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0800
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0750
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0750
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.0700
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0750
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0900
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0750
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0650
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0700
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0700
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0700
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0750
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0750
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0750
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0750
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0900
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0900
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0900
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.0750
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0450
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0325
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0405
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0405
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0395
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0395
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0395
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0400
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0395
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0395
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0355
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 22635957.51, Sell volume: 24369145.94, Average price: 0.7344, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0310
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0350
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0355
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0395
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0415
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0445
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0375
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0380
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0370
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0275
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0325
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0315
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0300
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0470
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0470
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0480
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0505
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0520
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0510
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0505
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0515
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0510
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0515
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0520
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0445
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0440
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0440
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0420
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0530
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0535
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0525
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0530
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0540
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0430
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0455
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0455
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0460
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0380
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0375
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0335
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 22635957.51, Sell volume: 24369145.94, Average price: 0.7344, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0130
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0130
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0185
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0130
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0130
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0150
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0240
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0170
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0165
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0165
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.0180
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0165
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.0205
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.0155
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.0140
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.0150
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.0155
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.0150
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.0150
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.0150
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.0120
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.0125
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.0170
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.0200
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0195
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.0210
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.0215
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.0195
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.0180
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0230
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0305
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0235
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0245
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.0320
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.0220
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.0175
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.0150
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.0150
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0150
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.0245
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0390
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0265
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.0290
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0290
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0270
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0310
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0270
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0225
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0200
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 22635957.51, Sell volume: 24369145.94, Average price: 0.7344, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.0205
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0200
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0130
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0265
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0165
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0210
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0175
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0170
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0180
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0220
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0225
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0240
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0270
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0270
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0275
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0260
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0240
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0275
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0130
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0155
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0155
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0135
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0135
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0135
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0135
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0190
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0195
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0175
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0125
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0125
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0125
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0125
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0125
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0125
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0130
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0130
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0125
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0125
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0120
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0125
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0125
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0125
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0125
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0140
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0145
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0130
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0145
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 22635957.51, Sell volume: 24369145.94, Average price: 0.7344, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0140
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0140
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0120
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0140
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0120
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0120
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0120
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0120
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0145
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0145
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0165
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0170
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0180
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0185
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0185
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0195
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0190
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0190
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0190
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0185
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0190
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.0220
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0230
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0230
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0225
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0220
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0180
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0180
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0180
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0180
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0180
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0180
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0180
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0220
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0220
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0220
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0180
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0180
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0180
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0180
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0185
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0185
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0185
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0180
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0185
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0185
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0180
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0190
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.0260
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 22635957.51, Sell volume: 24369145.94, Average price: 0.7344, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0250
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0225
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0215
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0265
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0230
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0240
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.0220
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0235
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0245
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0235
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0245
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0230
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0175
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0175
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0170
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0170
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.0170
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0165
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0165
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0165
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0185
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0180
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0185
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0185
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0185
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0185
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.0185
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0185
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0185
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0185
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0185
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.0185
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0185
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0180
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0160
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0160
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0150
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.0145
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0145
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0135
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0135
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0140
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0140
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.0135
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.0140
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0135
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0135
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0140
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0140
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 22635957.51, Sell volume: 24369145.94, Average price: 0.7344, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0125
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0135
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.0125
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0115
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0125
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0120
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0125
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0120
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0120
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0120
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0120
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0130
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0125
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0120
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0120
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0125
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0120
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0120
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0120
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0120
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0120
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0120
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0130
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0130
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0115
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0125
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0125
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0130
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0130
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.0130
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0130
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0130
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.0130
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.0135
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0130
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.0130
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.0130
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0130
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0130
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0130
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.0135
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.0130
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0170
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.0170
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.0160
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0190
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 22635957.51, Sell volume: 24369145.94, Average price: 0.7344, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0155
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0155
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.0130
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.0150
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.0140
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0145
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.0155
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.0150
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0110
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0120
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.0110
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0125
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.0125
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.0135
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.0130
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0120
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0115
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.0115
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0110
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0110
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.0115
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.0110
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0110
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.0110
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.9885
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.0115
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0115
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0115
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.9885
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.0115
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9885
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0115
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0115
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0115
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.0115
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.9885
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0140
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0145
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9880
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0120
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.9880
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0120
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.0120
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9890
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.0105
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0110
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.9880
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0120
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0120
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 755244, Buy volume: 16761539.44, Sell volume: 19015225.74, Average price: 0.7299, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.9880
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9880
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.9880
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9885
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9885
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.9890
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0115
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.9885
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.9890
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.9890
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0115
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9880
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.0115
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.9850
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0155
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0155
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9850
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.9850
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9850
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.9845
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.0150
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0150
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.9855
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.9850
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.9850
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0145
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9855
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0140
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.9850
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.9870
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.9845
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9850
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.0150
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9850
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.9855
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0130
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0130
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9865
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9870
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0125
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0130
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0125
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0120
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9880
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9880
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9880
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9880
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0145
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 236298, Buy volume: 5652890.31, Sell volume: 5323029.57, Average price: 0.7401, Price range: 0.0088 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0140
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9870
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9875
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9870
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9870
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0150
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0150
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0135
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9870
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9865
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9870
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9865
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0130
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0095
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9890
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9890
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0105
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9895
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0105
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9895
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0075
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0080
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0080
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0065
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0060
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0055
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9940
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9940
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0060
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9940
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0060
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0060
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9945
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9945
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0050
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0055
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9945
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0055
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9945
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9945
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0055
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0055
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.9935
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0065
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0060
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0055
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.9950
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.9955
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 420, Buy volume: 14448.56, Sell volume: 13422.41, Average price: 0.7796, Price range: 0.0026 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 9277.19, Sell volume: 7478.22, Average price: 0.6732, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.4800
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.6150
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.3700
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.6550
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.3250
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.6850
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.3200
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.7450
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.2850
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.6900
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.2950
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.7050
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.2950
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.7050
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.3100
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.6850
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.3200
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.6750
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.3200
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.6700
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.3200
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.6800
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.3200
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.6950
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.3100
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.6650
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.3250
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.6850
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.3500
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 22635957.51, Sell volume: 24369145.94, Average price: 0.7344, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.2500
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.8350
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.1600
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.8450
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.1550
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.8500
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.1500
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.8500
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.1400
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.8650
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.8100
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.1250
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.7850
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.1150
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.8850
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.1150
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.8850
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.1050
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.9150
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.0850
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.9150
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.0900
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.9050
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.0950
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.9200
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.0750
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.9250
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.0750
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 22635957.51, Sell volume: 24369145.94, Average price: 0.7344, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0700
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.9200
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.0750
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.9200
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.0750
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.9350
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.0700
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.9250
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.0750
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.9250
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.9300
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.0700
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.9300
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.0750
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9250
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.9250
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0900
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9250
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0450
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.9650
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0405
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9605
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0395
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.9605
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0400
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 22635957.51, Sell volume: 24369145.94, Average price: 0.7344, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0310
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9700
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0410
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9555
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0390
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.9635
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0325
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0480
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9525
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9495
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0495
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9480
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0505
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9485
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0515
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9475
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0435
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9580
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0535
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9470
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0545
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9575
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9545
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0460
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9645
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0300
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 22635957.51, Sell volume: 24369145.94, Average price: 0.7344, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0130
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9795
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0130
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9850
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0175
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.9835
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0180
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.9840
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.0155
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.9850
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.0150
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.9855
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.0120
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.9870
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.0185
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.9800
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.0195
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.9800
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0265
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.9755
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.0225
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.9810
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0150
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9850
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.0300
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.9730
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0300
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.9710
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.0230
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 22635957.51, Sell volume: 24369145.94, Average price: 0.7344, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.0205
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9865
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.0235
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.9790
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0175
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9725
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0225
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.9725
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0275
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9765
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0275
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9840
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0160
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9865
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0135
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9820
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0175
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9875
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0125
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9875
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0125
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9875
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0130
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.9875
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0125
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.9875
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0125
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.9855
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0130
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 22635957.51, Sell volume: 24369145.94, Average price: 0.7344, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0140
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9885
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0120
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.9880
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0120
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.9860
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0145
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.9825
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0180
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9810
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0190
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9810
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0185
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9770
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0225
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.9820
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0180
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.9820
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0180
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9820
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0220
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9780
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0180
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9820
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0185
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.9815
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0180
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9820
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.0190
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 22635957.51, Sell volume: 24369145.94, Average price: 0.7344, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0250
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.9760
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0220
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.9760
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.0230
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.9765
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.0235
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.9795
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.0175
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.9830
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.0165
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9835
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0165
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.9815
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0185
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.9815
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0185
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.9815
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.0185
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.9815
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0155
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.9845
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0155
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9865
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0125
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.9865
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0140
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.9865
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0140
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 22635957.51, Sell volume: 24369145.94, Average price: 0.7344, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0125
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.9875
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0125
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9880
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0120
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9880
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0120
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9875
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0120
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9875
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0120
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9880
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0120
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9865
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0130
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9875
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0125
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.9870
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0130
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.9870
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0130
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.9865
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.0135
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.9870
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.0130
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.9875
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0135
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.9830
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0165
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 22635957.51, Sell volume: 24369145.94, Average price: 0.7344, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0155
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.9845
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0140
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.9855
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0145
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.9890
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0120
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.9875
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0135
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.9880
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0115
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.9885
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0115
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9885
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0115
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9885
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0115
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.9885
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0120
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.9885
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0115
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.9875
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9850
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9880
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0120
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.9880
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.9895
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.9890
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.0120
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 755244, Buy volume: 16761539.44, Sell volume: 19015225.74, Average price: 0.7299, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.9880
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.0120
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.9885
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0110
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.0115
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.0110
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0120
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.0120
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.9860
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.9850
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0150
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.0150
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.9845
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0150
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.9855
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.0145
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0140
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.9855
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.0155
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9850
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0150
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.9870
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9870
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9875
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0125
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9880
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9880
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9880
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9880
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 236298, Buy volume: 5652890.31, Sell volume: 5323029.57, Average price: 0.7401, Price range: 0.0088 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0140
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9875
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9870
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9850
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0130
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0130
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0135
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9870
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0110
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0105
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0105
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9895
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0080
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0065
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.9940
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9940
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0060
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9940
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9940
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9945
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0050
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9945
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.9945
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0055
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9945
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0065
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9945
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0040
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 420, Buy volume: 14448.56, Sell volume: 13422.41, Average price: 0.7796, Price range: 0.0026 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525325
Question: Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 468609.274706
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0040
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9960
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 9277.19, Sell volume: 7478.22, Average price: 0.6732, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.4450
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.8700
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.1250
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.8750
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.1250
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.8850
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.1200
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.8750
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.1350
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.8700
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.1300
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.8700
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.1450
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.8550
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.1400
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.8450
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.1650
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.8350
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.1650
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.8350
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.1650
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.8350
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.1650
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.8350
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.1650
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.8350
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.1650
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.8350
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.1650
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.8350
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.1650
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.8350
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.1650
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.8350
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.1650
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.8350
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.1650
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.8350
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.1650
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.8350
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.1650
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.8350
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.1650
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.8350
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.1650
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.8350
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.1600
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.8400
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.1850
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136628530.15, Sell volume: 37384170.01, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.8050
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.1950
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.8050
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.2050
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.7950
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.2100
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.7900
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.2100
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.7850
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.2150
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.7850
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.2300
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.7700
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.2300
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.7700
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.2300
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.7650
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.2350
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.7650
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.2350
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.7650
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.2350
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.7650
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.2350
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.7650
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.2350
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.7650
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.7650
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.7650
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.7650
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.2350
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.7650
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.2350
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.7650
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.2350
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.7650
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.2350
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.7650
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.2350
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.7650
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.2350
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.7650
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.2350
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.7650
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.2350
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.7650
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136628530.15, Sell volume: 37384170.01, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.2350
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.7650
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.2300
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.7700
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.2300
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.7700
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.2300
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.7700
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.2300
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.7700
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.2300
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.7700
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.2300
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.7700
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.2300
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.7700
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.2300
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.7700
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.2300
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.7700
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.2300
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.7700
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.2300
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.7700
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.2300
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.7700
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.2300
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.7700
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.2300
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.7700
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.2300
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.7700
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.2250
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.7750
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.2250
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.7750
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.2250
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.7750
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.2200
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.7750
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.2250
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.7750
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.2200
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.7800
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.2200
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.7800
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.2200
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.7800
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.2200
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136628530.15, Sell volume: 37384170.01, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.7800
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.2200
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.7800
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.2200
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.7800
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.2200
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.7800
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.2200
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.7800
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.2200
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.7850
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.2200
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.7800
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.2200
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.7800
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.2200
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.7800
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.2200
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.7800
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.2200
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.7850
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.2200
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.7800
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.2150
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.7850
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.2150
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.7850
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.2150
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.7850
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.2150
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.7850
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.2150
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.7850
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.2150
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.7850
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.2150
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.7850
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.2150
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.7850
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.2150
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.7850
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.2150
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.7850
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.2150
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.7850
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.2150
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.7850
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.2150
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.7850
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136628530.15, Sell volume: 37384170.01, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.2150
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.7850
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.2150
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.7850
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.2150
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.7850
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.2150
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.7850
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.2150
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.7850
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.2050
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.7950
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.2050
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.7950
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.2050
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.7950
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.2050
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.7950
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.2000
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.7950
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.2050
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.7950
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.2100
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.7900
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.2100
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.7900
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.2150
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.7850
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.2150
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.7850
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.2050
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.7950
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.1950
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.8000
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.1950
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.8050
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.2000
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.8000
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.2000
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.8050
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.1950
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.8050
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.1950
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.7950
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.2050
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.7950
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.2050
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.7950
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.2050
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136628530.15, Sell volume: 37384170.01, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.8050
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.1950
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.8050
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.1950
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.7950
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.2050
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.8100
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.1900
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.8100
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.1850
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.8150
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.1850
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.8250
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.1750
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.8250
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.1750
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.8250
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.1750
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.8300
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.1700
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.8300
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.1700
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.8300
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.1750
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.8250
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.1700
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.8300
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.1700
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.8300
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.1650
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.8400
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.1600
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.8400
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.1600
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.8400
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.1600
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.8400
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.1600
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.8400
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.1600
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.8400
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.1600
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.8400
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.1600
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.8400
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.1600
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.8400
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.1600
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.8400
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136628530.15, Sell volume: 37384170.01, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.1600
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.8400
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.1600
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.8400
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.1600
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.8400
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.1600
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.8400
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.1600
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.8400
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.1600
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.8400
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.1600
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.8400
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.1600
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.8400
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.1600
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.8450
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.1550
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.8450
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.1550
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.8450
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.8450
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.1550
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.8450
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.1550
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.8450
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.1550
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.8450
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.1550
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.8450
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.1550
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.8450
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.1550
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.8450
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.8450
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.1550
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.8400
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.1600
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.8450
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.1400
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.8650
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.1250
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.8750
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.1250
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.8750
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.1250
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136628530.15, Sell volume: 37384170.01, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.8750
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.1250
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.8750
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.1250
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.8750
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.1250
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.8750
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.1250
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.8750
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.1250
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.8750
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.1250
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.8750
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.1250
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.8750
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.1250
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.8750
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.1250
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.8750
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.1200
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.8800
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.1250
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.9150
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.0850
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.9150
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.0750
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.9300
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.0650
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.9300
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.0800
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.9350
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0700
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.9250
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.0750
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.9250
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.0750
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.9300
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0315
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.9555
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.0580
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.9450
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.0525
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.9475
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0485
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.9475
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0530
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9450
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0650
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.9355
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.0645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136628530.15, Sell volume: 37384170.01, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.0695
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.9305
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.0695
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.9330
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0670
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.9330
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0670
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.9280
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0750
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.9240
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.0755
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.9250
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.0750
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.9255
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0750
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.9220
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0790
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.9230
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.0780
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.8995
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.0950
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.8885
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.1235
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.8925
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0925
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.0885
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.1025
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.9205
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.0845
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.9135
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0810
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.9155
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.9165
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.0750
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.9230
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.9185
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.8905
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0820
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.0830
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0850
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.1035
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.8985
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0895
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.0830
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.0830
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.9180
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.0855
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.8920
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136628530.15, Sell volume: 37384170.01, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.1255
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.8745
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.8825
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.8940
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.1090
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.8855
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9035
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.9035
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.0920
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.9075
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.8975
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.8965
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.1045
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.8890
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.8835
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.8655
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.1345
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.8640
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.1440
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.8485
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.1495
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.8515
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.8545
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.8510
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.8485
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.8395
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.1630
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.8305
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.8305
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.8330
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.1670
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.8290
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.8225
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.8300
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.1685
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.8360
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.8380
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.1625
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.8365
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.1595
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.8400
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.1650
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.1580
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.1550
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.8440
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.1550
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.1495
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.1380
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.8605
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.8565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136628530.15, Sell volume: 37384170.01, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.1435
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.8610
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.8605
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.8605
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.1395
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.8555
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.1530
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.8465
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.8395
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.1615
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.1650
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.1565
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.8435
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.8355
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.2115
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.7930
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.7735
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.2000
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.7970
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.1995
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.7995
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.2080
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.7975
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.1960
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.8025
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.8000
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.1995
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.8005
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.2035
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.2010
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.2175
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.7725
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.2260
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.7790
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.7925
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.2065
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.7945
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.2050
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.7955
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.2050
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.2045
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.7955
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.2020
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.7990
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.1990
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.7995
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.1960
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.1960
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.2040
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.7970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 249750, Buy volume: 42171222.48, Sell volume: 18003918.06, Average price: 0.4317, Price range: 0.1590 - 0.8450

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.2035
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.2015
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.7980
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.1715
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.1635
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.1545
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.1710
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.1690
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.8315
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.1455
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.8550
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.8560
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.1480
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.1460
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.8560
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.8550
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.1465
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.8535
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.1440
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.1725
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.8320
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.1700
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.1660
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.1615
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.8390
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.1220
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.1265
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.1250
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.8620
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.8630
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.1345
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.8745
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.1215
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.8795
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.1225
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.1315
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.8780
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.1265
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.8780
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.1245
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.1250
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.1260
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.1260
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.1260
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.8740
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.1260
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.8710
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.1390
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.8410
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 597402, Buy volume: 67430996.85, Sell volume: 12203044.74, Average price: 0.5358, Price range: 0.1055 - 0.8950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.1645
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.8385
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.8385
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.8410
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.1480
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.8520
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.1375
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.1540
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.1185
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.1170
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.8955
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.1005
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9020
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0950
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.1005
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0990
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0920
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9445
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0565
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0550
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9475
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0575
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0615
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0525
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9440
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0545
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0540
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0485
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9545
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0450
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9535
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9595
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9465
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0520
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0490
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9545
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9475
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0570
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9470
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9515
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0390
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0490
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0370
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0495
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0045
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9955
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0050
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 142858, Buy volume: 25156182.81, Sell volume: 6711673.21, Average price: 0.5362, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.4450
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.8800
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.1200
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.8850
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.1250
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.8650
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.1300
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.8700
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.1450
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.8600
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.1650
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.8350
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.1650
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.8350
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.1650
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.8350
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.1650
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.8350
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.1650
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.8350
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.1650
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.8350
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.1650
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.8350
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.1650
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.8350
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.1650
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.8350
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.1650
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136628530.15, Sell volume: 37384170.01, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.8050
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.1950
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.7950
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.2100
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.7900
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.2150
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.7850
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.2300
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.7700
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.2300
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.7650
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.2350
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.7650
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.2350
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.7650
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.2350
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.7650
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.7650
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.7650
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.2350
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.7650
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.2350
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.7650
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.2350
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.7650
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.2350
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.7650
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136628530.15, Sell volume: 37384170.01, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.2350
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.7650
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.2300
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.7700
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.2300
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.7700
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.2300
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.7700
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.2300
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.7700
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.2300
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.7700
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.2300
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.7700
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.2300
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.7700
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.2300
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.7700
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.2300
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.7700
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.2250
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.7750
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.2250
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.7750
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.2250
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.7800
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.2250
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.7800
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.2200
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136628530.15, Sell volume: 37384170.01, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.7800
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.2200
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.7800
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.2200
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.7800
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.2200
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.7800
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.2200
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.7800
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.2200
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.7800
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.2200
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.7800
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.2150
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.7800
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.2150
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.7850
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.2150
2025-07-01 04:00: 0.7850
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.2150
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.7850
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.2150
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.7850
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.2150
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.7850
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.2150
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.7850
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.2150
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.7850
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136628530.15, Sell volume: 37384170.01, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.2150
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.7850
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.2150
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.7850
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.2150
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.7850
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.2150
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.7950
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.2050
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.7950
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.2050
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.7950
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.2050
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.7950
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.2100
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.7900
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.2150
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.7850
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.2150
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.7850
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.1950
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.8000
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.1950
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.8000
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.1950
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.8050
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.1950
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.8050
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.2050
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136628530.15, Sell volume: 37384170.01, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.8050
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.1950
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.8050
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.2050
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.8100
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.1900
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.8150
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.1850
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.8250
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.1750
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.8250
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.1550
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.8300
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.1700
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.8300
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.1750
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.8300
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.1700
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.8300
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.1600
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.8400
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.1600
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.8400
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.1600
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.8400
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.1600
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.8400
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.1600
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.8400
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136628530.15, Sell volume: 37384170.01, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.1600
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.8400
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.1600
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.8400
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.1600
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.8400
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.1600
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.8400
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.1600
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.8400
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.1600
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.8450
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.1550
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.8450
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.8450
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.1550
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.8450
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.1550
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.8450
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.1550
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.8450
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.1550
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.8450
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.1550
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.8400
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.1550
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.8700
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.1250
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136628530.15, Sell volume: 37384170.01, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.8750
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.1250
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.8750
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.1250
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.8750
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.1250
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.8750
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.1250
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.8750
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.1250
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.8750
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.1250
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.8800
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.1250
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.9150
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.0850
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.9250
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0700
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.9300
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.0650
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.9300
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.0750
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.9250
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0700
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.9545
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0590
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.9470
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.0510
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.9475
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.0535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136628530.15, Sell volume: 37384170.01, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.0695
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.9305
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0670
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.9330
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.0675
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.9250
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.0755
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.9250
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.0745
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.9250
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.0790
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.9230
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.1005
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.9040
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.1235
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.8995
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9120
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.9220
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.0850
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.9200
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.9170
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.0750
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.0835
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.1095
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.9180
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.9140
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.8965
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.8915
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.0830
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136628530.15, Sell volume: 37384170.01, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.1255
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.8895
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.1060
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.8855
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0920
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.9080
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.8985
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.8965
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.8955
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.1180
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.8655
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.8640
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.1485
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.8500
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.8545
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.1475
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.1605
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.1695
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.1690
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.8330
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.1725
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.8300
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.8385
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.8360
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.8370
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.8400
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.8350
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.8435
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.8440
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.1090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136628530.15, Sell volume: 37384170.01, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.1435
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.1390
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.1395
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.8550
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.8470
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.8395
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.8350
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.1565
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.1655
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.7885
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.2265
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.7995
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.8005
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.7920
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.7975
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.1980
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.8000
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.8005
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.2045
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.7900
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.7730
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.7790
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.7945
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.2055
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.7950
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.7950
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.2045
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.7990
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.1990
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.7995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 249750, Buy volume: 42171222.48, Sell volume: 18003918.06, Average price: 0.4317, Price range: 0.1590 - 0.8450
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.2035
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.7990
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.8285
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.8470
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.8285
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.1685
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.1445
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.8560
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.8245
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.8545
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.8535
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.1460
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.8230
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.1690
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.1660
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.1615
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.8780
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.1225
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.1295
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.8655
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.1235
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.8795
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.8675
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.1280
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.8780
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.1230
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.1255
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.1260
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.8740
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.1275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 597402, Buy volume: 67430996.85, Sell volume: 12203044.74, Average price: 0.5358, Price range: 0.1055 - 0.8950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547758
Question: Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Volume: 814734.184687
Price History:
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.1645
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.1495
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.8420
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.1480
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.8555
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.1190
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.8935
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.1005
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9040
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.8995
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9085
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9335
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9450
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9440
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0615
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9425
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9435
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0495
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9525
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9540
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0530
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0520
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0480
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0525
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9465
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0410
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9510
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0445
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0045
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 142858, Buy volume: 25156182.81, Sell volume: 6711673.21, Average price: 0.5362, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547759
Question: Will Trygve Slagsvold Vedum become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 405241.413024
Price History:
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.1000
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.9500
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0450
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.9550
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0450
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.9680
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0210
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.9805
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0175
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9830
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0160
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.9835
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0165
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.9875
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0125
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9880
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0140
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.9860
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0140
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.9880
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0120
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.9880
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0120
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.9880
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0120
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.9880
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0120
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.9880
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0130
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.9870
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9875
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0120
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.9880
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.0130
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.9880
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0110
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.9890
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0125
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.9875
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0125
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.9875
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0125
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.9875
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0125
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9875
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0120
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.9870
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0080
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 4598.67, Sell volume: 3522.30, Average price: 0.7260, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547759
Question: Will Trygve Slagsvold Vedum become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 405241.413024
Price History:
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.9915
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0080
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.9915
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0085
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.9915
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0080
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.9930
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0075
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.9910
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0090
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.9920
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0075
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.9925
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0090
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9920
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0080
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.9915
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0085
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.9925
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0030
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9960
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.9960
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0040
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.9960
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0040
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9960
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.9960
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0040
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9960
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0040
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.9960
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.9960
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0040
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9960
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0040
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.9960
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0040
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0040
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.9960
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 286.47, Sell volume: 1608.90, Average price: 0.7968, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547759
Question: Will Trygve Slagsvold Vedum become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 405241.413024
Price History:
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0040
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.9960
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9960
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.9960
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0040
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.9960
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0040
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9960
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.9960
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0040
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.9960
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0040
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9960
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9960
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0040
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9960
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0040
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.9960
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0040
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.9960
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0040
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9955
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.9960
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0040
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9960
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0040
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.9960
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.0040
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.9960
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0040
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.9960
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.0040
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.9960
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0040
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.9960
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0040
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.9960
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.9955
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0030
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.9970
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0030
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.9970
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0030
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1124.67, Sell volume: 982.63, Average price: 0.8865, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547759
Question: Will Trygve Slagsvold Vedum become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 405241.413024
Price History:
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.9970
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.0030
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.9970
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.9970
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.0030
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.9970
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9970
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.9970
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.9970
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.9970
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.9970
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.9970
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.9970
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0030
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.9970
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.9970
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0050
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.9950
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0050
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.9955
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.0045
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.9955
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9965
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0035
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.9965
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.9960
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0040
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9960
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0035
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.9960
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.9965
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 2837.36, Sell volume: 487.81, Average price: 0.8930, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547759
Question: Will Trygve Slagsvold Vedum become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 405241.413024
Price History:
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.9965
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.9965
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.9965
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.9965
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.9965
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.9965
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.9965
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.9970
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.9970
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9965
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.0045
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.9955
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.0045
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.9955
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.0045
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.9955
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0045
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9955
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0030
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.0030
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0030
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.9970
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.0030
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.9970
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.9970
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0030
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9970
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.9975
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9975
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 3157.63, Sell volume: 137.80, Average price: 0.9545, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547759
Question: Will Trygve Slagsvold Vedum become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 405241.413024
Price History:
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.9975
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.9975
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0025
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.9975
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.0025
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.9975
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0025
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.9975
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0025
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.9975
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.9975
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0025
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.9975
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.0025
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.9975
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9975
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0025
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.9975
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0025
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9975
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9980
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.9980
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.9980
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.9980
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.9980
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.9980
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9980
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.9980
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9980
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.9980
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9980
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1727.26, Sell volume: 1403.54, Average price: 0.9598, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547759
Question: Will Trygve Slagsvold Vedum become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 405241.413024
Price History:
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0055
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9940
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0065
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.9940
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0060
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9935
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0065
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.9940
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0055
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.9945
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0060
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.9945
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0060
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.9935
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0060
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.9940
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0060
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.9935
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.9980
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0020
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.9980
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.0020
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.9980
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0020
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.9980
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 8561.32, Sell volume: 1879.54, Average price: 0.8527, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547759
Question: Will Trygve Slagsvold Vedum become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 405241.413024
Price History:
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.9985
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.9990
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.9990
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.9990
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.9990
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.9990
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.0010
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.9990
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.0010
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.9990
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0010
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.9995
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 8206.80, Sell volume: 4948.98, Average price: 0.7218, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547759
Question: Will Trygve Slagsvold Vedum become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 405241.413024
Price History:
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.9995
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.9995
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0010
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.0010
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.0010
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0010
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.0010
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.9990
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0010
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.9990
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.0010
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.9975
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0025
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.9975
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9975
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.9975
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.9975
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 18389.82, Sell volume: 991.23, Average price: 0.8630, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes