Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525589
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 177319.205795
Price History:
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.0500
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9500
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0500
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.9500
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0500
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.9500
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.0550
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.9450
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0550
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.9450
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0500
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.9500
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0450
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.9550
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0450
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.9550
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0450
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.9550
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0500
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.9500
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0500
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.9500
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0500
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.9500
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0450
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.9550
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0500
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.9500
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0500
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 8018.39, Sell volume: 2233.32, Average price: 0.1912, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525589
Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 177319.205795
Price History:
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0550
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.9450
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0500
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.9500
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0355
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.9645
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.0165
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.9835
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0140
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.9860
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9940
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 43618.89, Sell volume: 5226.44, Average price: 0.7802, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.7450
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.2550
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.7500
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.2500
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.8550
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.1450
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.8550
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.1450
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.8550
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.1450
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0400
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9600
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9600
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0400
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9600
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0400
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9600
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0400
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9595
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0405
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9460
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0540
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0535
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9465
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9425
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0575
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0570
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9430
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9425
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0575
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9405
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0595
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9415
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0585
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9415
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0585
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243452271.54, Sell volume: 191770348.56, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0985
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.1060
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.8940
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.1320
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.8680
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.8395
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.1605
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.1600
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.8400
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.8400
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.1600
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.1730
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.8270
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.8390
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.1610
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.1600
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.8400
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.8420
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.1580
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.8495
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.1505
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.8505
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.1495
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.1475
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.8525
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.1500
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.8500
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.8525
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.1475
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.8670
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.1330
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9285
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0715
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9380
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0620
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0660
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9340
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9310
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0690
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0685
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9315
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9390
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0610
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0610
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9390
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243452271.54, Sell volume: 191770348.56, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9385
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0615
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9375
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0625
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9375
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0625
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9360
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0640
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9385
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0615
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9375
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0625
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9375
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0625
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9380
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0620
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9380
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0620
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9395
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0605
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9410
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0590
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9410
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0590
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9475
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0525
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9465
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0535
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9430
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0570
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9395
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0605
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9410
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0590
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9480
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0520
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9485
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0515
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9495
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0505
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9490
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0510
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9490
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243452271.54, Sell volume: 191770348.56, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0595
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9405
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0595
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9410
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0590
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9415
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0585
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9415
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0585
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9415
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0585
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0600
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9415
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0585
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9405
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0595
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9425
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0575
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9425
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0575
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9440
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0560
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9445
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0555
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9430
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0570
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9405
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0595
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9435
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0565
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9435
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0565
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9435
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0565
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9465
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0535
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9465
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0535
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9465
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0535
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9465
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0535
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9465
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0535
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243452271.54, Sell volume: 191770348.56, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9370
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0630
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9370
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0630
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9370
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0630
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9370
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0630
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9370
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0630
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9280
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0720
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9260
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0740
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9270
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0730
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9265
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0735
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9260
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0740
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9290
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0710
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9295
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0705
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9290
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0710
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9295
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0705
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9295
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0705
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9215
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0785
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9215
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0785
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9215
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0785
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9310
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0690
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9315
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0685
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9295
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0705
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9310
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0690
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9310
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243452271.54, Sell volume: 191770348.56, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0685
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9315
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0685
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9315
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0685
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9315
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0685
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9320
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0680
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9315
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0685
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9345
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0655
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9360
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0640
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9375
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0625
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9380
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0620
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9380
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0620
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9380
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0620
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9430
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0570
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9470
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0530
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9470
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0530
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9425
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0575
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9445
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0555
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9430
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0570
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9525
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0475
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9485
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0515
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9475
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0525
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9490
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0510
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9495
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0505
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9510
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0490
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9515
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0480
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243452271.54, Sell volume: 191770348.56, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9435
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0565
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9440
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0560
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9275
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0725
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9245
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0755
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9240
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0760
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9305
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0695
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9615
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0385
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9520
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0480
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9465
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0535
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9485
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9480
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0520
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9490
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0510
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9490
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0510
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9510
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0490
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9575
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0425
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9515
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0485
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9490
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0510
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9520
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0480
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9520
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0480
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9525
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0475
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9545
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0455
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9505
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243452271.54, Sell volume: 191770348.56, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0510
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9490
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0510
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9485
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0515
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9485
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0515
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9485
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0515
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9495
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0505
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9500
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9565
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0435
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9565
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0435
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9570
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0430
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9520
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0480
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9530
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0470
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9535
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0465
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9555
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0445
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9555
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0445
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9555
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0445
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0475
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9585
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0415
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9585
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0415
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9540
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0460
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9535
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0465
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0475
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9520
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0480
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9525
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0475
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243452271.54, Sell volume: 191770348.56, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9490
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0510
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9485
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0515
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9475
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0525
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9475
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0525
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9480
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0520
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9480
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0520
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9545
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0455
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9560
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0440
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9505
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0495
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9515
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0485
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9585
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0415
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9585
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0415
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9605
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0395
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9505
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0495
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9500
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9445
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0555
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9355
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0645
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9330
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0670
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9380
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0620
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9375
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0625
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9410
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0590
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9420
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0580
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9460
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0540
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9450
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0550
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9505
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243452271.54, Sell volume: 191770348.56, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0265
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9810
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0190
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9805
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0195
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9765
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0235
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9715
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0285
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9740
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0260
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9730
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0270
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9730
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0270
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9720
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0280
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9845
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0155
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9820
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0180
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9735
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0265
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9715
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0285
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9750
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0250
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9750
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0250
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9715
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0285
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9845
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0155
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9755
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0245
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0255
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9695
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0305
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9730
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0270
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9825
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0175
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9825
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0175
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9770
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0230
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9595
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0405
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243452271.54, Sell volume: 191770348.56, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9835
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0165
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9840
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0160
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0155
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9825
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0175
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9825
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0175
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9820
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0180
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9805
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0195
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9810
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0190
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9785
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0215
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9810
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0190
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9805
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0195
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9795
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0205
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9790
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0210
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9815
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9805
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0195
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9795
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0205
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9775
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0225
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9785
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0215
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9780
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0220
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9765
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0235
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9755
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0245
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9755
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0245
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9755
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0245
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9760
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0240
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9765
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243452271.54, Sell volume: 191770348.56, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0440
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9565
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0435
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9605
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0395
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9660
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0340
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9670
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0330
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9695
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0305
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9715
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0285
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9725
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0275
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9735
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0265
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9735
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0265
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9765
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0235
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9840
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0160
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9915
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9925
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9895
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0105
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9915
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9885
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999521, Buy volume: 243320676.00, Sell volume: 191587785.89, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 465, Buy volume: 129062.85, Sell volume: 179902.41, Average price: 0.8122, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.7450
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.2500
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.8550
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.1450
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0400
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0400
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9600
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0405
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0535
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0575
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9425
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0595
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9415
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0585
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9355
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0655
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9365
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0630
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9375
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9355
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0645
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0645
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243452271.54, Sell volume: 191770348.56, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0985
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.1320
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.1605
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.8400
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.8270
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.1600
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.1580
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.8505
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.8525
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.8525
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.1330
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9380
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9340
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0690
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9390
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9390
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9380
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0625
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9370
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0675
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0675
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9330
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0640
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9360
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0640
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9395
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243452271.54, Sell volume: 191770348.56, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9385
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0625
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9360
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0615
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9375
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0620
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9395
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0590
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0525
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9430
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0605
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9485
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0505
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9490
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0510
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9495
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0505
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9495
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0455
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9630
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0375
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9560
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9550
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0455
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9505
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243452271.54, Sell volume: 191770348.56, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0595
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9410
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0585
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9415
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0600
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9405
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0575
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9440
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0555
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0570
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9435
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0565
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9465
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0535
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9465
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0535
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9440
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0560
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9420
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0570
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9430
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0570
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9430
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0570
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9415
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0585
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9395
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0605
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243452271.54, Sell volume: 191770348.56, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9370
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0630
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9370
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0630
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9260
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0730
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9260
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0710
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9290
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0705
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9215
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0785
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9310
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0705
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9310
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0685
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9270
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0730
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9325
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0675
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9325
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0675
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9335
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0680
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9295
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0710
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9325
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243452271.54, Sell volume: 191770348.56, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0685
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9315
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0685
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9315
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0655
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9375
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0620
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9380
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0570
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9470
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0575
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9430
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0475
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9475
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0510
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9510
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0480
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9345
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0640
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9365
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0625
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9375
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0620
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9390
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0710
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9365
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0620
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9270
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0555
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243452271.54, Sell volume: 191770348.56, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9435
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0560
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9245
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0760
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9615
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0480
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9465
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0515
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9490
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0510
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9575
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0485
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9490
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9520
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0475
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9505
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0415
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9585
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0410
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9525
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0475
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9530
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0470
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9530
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0465
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9555
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0445
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9555
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243452271.54, Sell volume: 191770348.56, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0510
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9485
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0515
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9495
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9565
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0430
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9530
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0465
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9555
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0445
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9525
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0415
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9540
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0465
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9520
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0475
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9455
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0550
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9520
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0520
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9485
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0515
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9525
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0525
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0430
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9515
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243452271.54, Sell volume: 191770348.56, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9490
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0515
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9475
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0520
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9545
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0440
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9515
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0415
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9605
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0495
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9445
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0645
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9380
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0625
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9420
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0540
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9505
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0500
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9530
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0490
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9530
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0455
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9530
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0445
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9625
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0385
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0340
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9665
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243452271.54, Sell volume: 191770348.56, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0265
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9805
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0235
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9740
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0270
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9720
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0155
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9735
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0285
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9750
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0285
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9755
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0255
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9730
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0175
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9770
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0405
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9615
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0280
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9690
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0280
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9790
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0220
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9810
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0190
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9815
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9815
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0255
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243452271.54, Sell volume: 191770348.56, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9835
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0160
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9825
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0175
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9805
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0190
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9810
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0195
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9790
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0185
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9795
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0225
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9780
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0235
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9755
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0245
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9765
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0190
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9785
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0215
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9775
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0245
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9755
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0260
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9765
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0335
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9655
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0295
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9715
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 243452271.54, Sell volume: 191770348.56, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0440
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9605
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9670
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0305
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9725
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0265
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9765
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0160
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9925
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0105
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9885
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999521, Buy volume: 243320676.00, Sell volume: 191587785.89, Average price: 0.8870, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638736
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Volume: 2429313.379395
Price History:
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 465, Buy volume: 129062.85, Sell volume: 179902.41, Average price: 0.8122, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.4750
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.5250
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.4750
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.5250
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.2600
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.7400
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.2550
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.7450
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.7400
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.2600
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.7400
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.3150
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.6850
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.7350
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.2650
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.7950
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.2050
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.1950
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.1950
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.8050
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.1950
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.8050
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.1950
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.8050
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.8050
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.1950
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.1950
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.8050
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.1950
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.8050
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.8050
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.1950
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.1950
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.8050
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.8050
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.8050
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.1950
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.1950
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.8050
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.1950
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.8050
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.1950
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.8050
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.1950
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 98210053.13, Sell volume: 20163488.73, Average price: 0.5554, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.1950
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.1950
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.1950
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.1950
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.1950
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.8000
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.2000
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.1950
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.2000
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.8000
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.2000
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.8000
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.2000
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.8000
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.2000
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 98210053.13, Sell volume: 20163488.73, Average price: 0.5554, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.2000
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.8000
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.8000
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.2000
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.2000
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.8000
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.2000
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.8000
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.2050
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.7950
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.7950
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.2050
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.1950
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.8050
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.1950
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.8050
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.1950
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.8050
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.1950
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.8050
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.1950
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.8050
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.7500
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.2500
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.5900
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.4100
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.6300
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.3700
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.3850
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.6150
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.3700
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.6300
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.3750
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.6250
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.3750
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.6250
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.4150
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.5850
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.3550
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.6450
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.3450
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.6550
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.3400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.6600
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.3250
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.6750
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.3400
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.6600
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.3350
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 98210053.13, Sell volume: 20163488.73, Average price: 0.5554, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.3350
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.6650
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.3200
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.6800
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.3200
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.6800
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.3150
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.6850
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.3100
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.6900
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.6950
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.3050
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.7000
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.3000
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.7000
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.3000
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.7100
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.2900
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.7150
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.7150
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.7300
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.2700
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.2700
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.7300
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.7500
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.7700
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.2300
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.7400
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.2600
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.7350
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.2650
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.7350
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.2650
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.2550
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.7450
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.2650
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.7350
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.2650
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.7350
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.2400
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.7600
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.2300
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 351648, Buy volume: 16271223.73, Sell volume: 3291984.72, Average price: 0.5836, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.7850
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.2200
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.7800
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.7850
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.2100
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.7900
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.2200
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.7800
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.2400
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.7600
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.2200
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.7800
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.2200
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.7800
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.7850
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.2300
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.1950
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.8050
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.2050
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.7950
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.2050
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.7950
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.2050
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.7950
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.2100
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.7900
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.7850
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.2050
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.7950
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.2100
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.7900
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.2000
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.8000
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.1800
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.8200
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 375624, Buy volume: 45812503.14, Sell volume: 6004949.04, Average price: 0.5295, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8410

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.1650
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.8350
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.1900
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.8100
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.2100
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.7900
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.7900
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.1900
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.8100
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.1550
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.8450
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.1350
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.8650
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.1450
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.8550
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.1400
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.8600
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.1600
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.8400
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.1350
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.8650
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.1150
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.8850
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.1000
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 247805, Buy volume: 34779374.05, Sell volume: 10759958.50, Average price: 0.5681, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9402

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9300
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 11775.20, Sell volume: 2122.81, Average price: 0.4881, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9400
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 7427.37, Sell volume: 1753.89, Average price: 0.5704, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0550
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0550
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 128, Buy volume: 7243.06, Sell volume: 5386.37, Average price: 0.6895, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0600
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9400
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0550
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9450
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 10659.45, Sell volume: 9671.55, Average price: 0.7014, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0550
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9450
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0550
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0600
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0550
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0450
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9550
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0335
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9665
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0265
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9735
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0250
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9750
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0265
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9735
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0310
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9690
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0230
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 8490.98, Sell volume: 2903.71, Average price: 0.6894, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0115
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9885
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0150
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9850
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0145
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9855
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0130
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9870
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0195
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9805
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0150
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9850
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0195
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9805
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0130
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9870
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0130
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9870
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0130
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9870
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0175
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9825
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0285
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9715
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0280
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9720
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0320
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9680
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0100
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9900
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0100
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9900
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9915
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0040
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9960
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0045
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0045
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 136, Buy volume: 14685.44, Sell volume: 20148.87, Average price: 0.6641, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0045
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9960
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0040
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9960
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 248, Buy volume: 40871.11, Sell volume: 31834.32, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.4750
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.5250
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.4750
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.5250
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.2600
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.7400
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.2550
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.7450
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.7400
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.2600
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.7400
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.3150
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.6850
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.7350
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.2650
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.7950
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.2050
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.1950
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.1950
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.8050
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.1950
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.8050
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.1950
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.8050
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.8050
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.1950
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.1950
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 98210053.13, Sell volume: 20163488.73, Average price: 0.5554, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.1950
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.1950
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 98210053.13, Sell volume: 20163488.73, Average price: 0.5554, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.2000
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.8000
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.8000
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.2000
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.2000
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.8000
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.2000
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.8000
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.2050
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.7950
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.7950
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.2050
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.1950
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.8050
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.1950
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.8050
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.1950
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.8050
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.1950
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.8050
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.1950
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.8050
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.7500
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.2500
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.5900
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.4100
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.6300
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.3700
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.3850
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 98210053.13, Sell volume: 20163488.73, Average price: 0.5554, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.3350
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.6650
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.3200
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.6800
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.3200
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.6800
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.3150
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.6850
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.3100
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.6900
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.6950
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.3050
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.7000
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.3000
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.7000
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.3000
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.7100
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.2900
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.7150
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.7150
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.7300
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.2700
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.2700
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.7300
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.7500
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.7700
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 351648, Buy volume: 16271223.73, Sell volume: 3291984.72, Average price: 0.5836, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.7850
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.2200
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.7800
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.7850
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.2100
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.7900
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.2200
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.7800
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.2400
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.7600
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.2200
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.7800
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.2200
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.7800
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.7850
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.2300
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.1950
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 375624, Buy volume: 45812503.14, Sell volume: 6004949.04, Average price: 0.5295, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8410
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.1650
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.8350
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.1900
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.8100
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.2100
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.7900
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.7900
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.1900
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.8100
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.1550
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.8450
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.1350
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.8650
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.1450
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.8550
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.1400
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.8600
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.1600
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.8400
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.1350
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.8650
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.1150
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.8850
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.1000
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 247805, Buy volume: 34779374.05, Sell volume: 10759958.50, Average price: 0.5681, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9402
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 11775.20, Sell volume: 2122.81, Average price: 0.4881, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 7427.37, Sell volume: 1753.89, Average price: 0.5704, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 128, Buy volume: 7243.06, Sell volume: 5386.37, Average price: 0.6895, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0600
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 10659.45, Sell volume: 9671.55, Average price: 0.7014, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0550
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9450
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0550
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0600
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0550
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 8490.98, Sell volume: 2903.71, Average price: 0.6894, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0115
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9885
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0150
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9850
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0145
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9855
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0130
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9870
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0195
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9805
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0150
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9850
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0195
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9805
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0130
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9870
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0130
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9870
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0130
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9870
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0175
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9825
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0285
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9715
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0280
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9720
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0320
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9680
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 136, Buy volume: 14685.44, Sell volume: 20148.87, Average price: 0.6641, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638733
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Volume: 291888.74592
Price History:
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0045
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9960
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0040
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9960
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 248, Buy volume: 40871.11, Sell volume: 31834.32, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.3600
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.6400
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.3500
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.6500
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.3600
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.6400
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.3600
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.6400
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.3600
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.6400
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.1700
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.8300
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0900
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9100
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.1550
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.8450
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.2350
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.7650
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.7500
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.2500
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.7500
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.2500
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.7600
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.2400
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.2350
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.7650
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.7650
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.7650
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.2350
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.7650
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.2350
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.2300
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.7700
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388919011.57, Sell volume: 244141241.75, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.7100
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.3150
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.6850
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.2950
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.7050
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.7050
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.2950
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.7050
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.7050
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.2950
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.2950
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.7050
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.7150
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.7150
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.7250
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.2750
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.8600
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.1400
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.1500
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.8500
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.1600
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.8400
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.1450
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.8550
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.1450
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.8550
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.8550
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.1450
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.8550
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.1450
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.1400
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.8600
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.8600
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.1400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388919011.57, Sell volume: 244141241.75, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.2050
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.7950
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.2050
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.7950
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.1800
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.8200
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.8250
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.1800
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.8200
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.1800
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.8200
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.1800
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.8200
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.1800
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.8200
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.1800
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.8200
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.1900
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.8100
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.1900
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.8100
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388919011.57, Sell volume: 244141241.75, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.8200
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.1850
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.8150
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.1900
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.8100
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.1650
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.8350
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.1650
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.8350
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.1650
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.8350
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388919011.57, Sell volume: 244141241.75, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.8250
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.1850
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.1950
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.8050
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.1950
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.8050
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.1950
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.8050
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.8050
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.1950
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.8050
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.1900
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.8100
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388919011.57, Sell volume: 244141241.75, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.8500
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.1350
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.8650
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.1250
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.8750
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.1200
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.8800
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.1150
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.8850
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.1200
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.8800
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.1200
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.8800
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.1200
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.8800
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.1250
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.8750
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.1200
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.8800
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.1250
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.8750
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.1250
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.8750
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.1250
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.8750
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.1200
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.8800
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.1100
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.1400
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.8600
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.2150
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.7800
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.1650
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.8350
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.1700
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.8300
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.8250
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.8250
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.8150
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388919011.57, Sell volume: 244141241.75, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.1250
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.8750
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.1450
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.8550
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.1500
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.8500
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.1500
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.8500
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.1450
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.8550
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.1450
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.8550
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.1450
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.8550
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.1450
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.8550
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.1450
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.8550
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.1400
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.8600
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.1350
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.8650
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.1350
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.8650
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.1350
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.8650
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.1350
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.8650
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.1350
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.8650
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.1400
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.8600
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.1400
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.8600
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.1250
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.8750
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.1250
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.8750
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.1250
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.8750
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.1300
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.8700
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.1200
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.8800
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.1150
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.8850
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.1200
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.8800
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.1200
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388919011.57, Sell volume: 244141241.75, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.1200
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.8800
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.1300
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.8700
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.1350
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.8650
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.1400
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.8600
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.1300
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.8700
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.1250
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.8750
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1250
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.8750
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.1300
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.8700
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.1300
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.8700
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.1600
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.8400
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.1600
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.8400
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8500
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.1450
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.8550
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1450
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8550
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388919011.57, Sell volume: 244141241.75, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.1400
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.8600
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.1450
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8550
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.1550
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.8450
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.1700
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8300
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.1750
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.1750
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.1750
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.8150
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.8150
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8200
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.8200
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.8200
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8150
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.8150
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8200
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8150
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.1950
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8050
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.1950
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8050
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8150
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.8150
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.1750
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.1550
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.1650
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388919011.57, Sell volume: 244141241.75, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.1000
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9000
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.1000
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9000
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.1000
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9000
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9100
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9100
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388919011.57, Sell volume: 244141241.75, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388919011.57, Sell volume: 244141241.75, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.8450
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.1550
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.8450
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.1550
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.8450
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.1550
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.8450
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.1300
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.1450
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8550
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.1200
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.8800
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0400
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9600
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0295
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9705
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0360
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9640
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0220
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9780
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0280
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9720
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0280
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9720
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 961038, Buy volume: 290877011.57, Sell volume: 241612745.40, Average price: 0.3902, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 950, Buy volume: 769808.14, Sell volume: 790715.31, Average price: 0.6906, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.3600
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.6500
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.3600
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.6400
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9100
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.1550
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.7650
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.7500
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.2400
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.7650
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.2350
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.2300
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.2350
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.7650
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.2500
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.7550
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388919011.57, Sell volume: 244141241.75, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.7100
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.2950
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.7050
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.7050
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.7050
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.2750
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.1500
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.8400
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.1450
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.1450
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.1400
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.1400
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.1400
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.8600
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.8600
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.1400
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.8350
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.8350
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.8350
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.8400
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.1550
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.1550
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.8500
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.8500
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388919011.57, Sell volume: 244141241.75, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638735
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Volume: 4131241.435567
Price History:
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.2050
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.7950
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.1800
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.8200
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.1800
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.8200
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.1900
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.8100
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.8250
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8250
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388919011.57, Sell volume: 244141241.75, Average price: 0.4076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes