Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581789
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80-90 million views on week 1?
Volume: 127931.650836
Price History:
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.8050
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.1950
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.8050
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.1950
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.7700
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.2300
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.8650
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.1350
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.8600
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.1400
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.8300
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.1700
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.8250
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.1750
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.8350
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.1650
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.1900
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.8100
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.7900
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.2100
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.8150
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.1850
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.8450
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.1550
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.1450
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.8550
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.1350
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.8650
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.8450
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 5133.58, Sell volume: 1825.38, Average price: 0.5399, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581789
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80-90 million views on week 1?
Volume: 127931.650836
Price History:
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.1000
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9000
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9100
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0900
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9050
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0950
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9250
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0750
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9250
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0750
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9250
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0750
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0950
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9050
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.8750
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.1250
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.8350
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.1650
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.8450
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.1550
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0450
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9550
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0250
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9750
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9705
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0295
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9500
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 9397.01, Sell volume: 1136.29, Average price: 0.5908, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9763
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581789
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80-90 million views on week 1?
Volume: 127931.650836
Price History:
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9370
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0630
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9440
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0560
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9215
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0785
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0790
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9210
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0680
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9320
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9105
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0895
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.1195
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.8805
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.8595
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.1405
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.8520
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.1480
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.1155
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.8845
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.8765
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.1235
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.8810
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.1190
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.1390
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.8610
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.1335
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.8665
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.8720
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.1280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 182, Buy volume: 21189.44, Sell volume: 5793.34, Average price: 0.4888, Price range: 0.0521 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581789
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80-90 million views on week 1?
Volume: 127931.650836
Price History:
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.1065
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.8935
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.1040
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.8960
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.8980
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.1020
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9040
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0960
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.1310
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.8690
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.8535
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.1465
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.8695
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.1305
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.8675
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.1325
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.8375
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.1625
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.8455
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.1545
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.8605
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.1395
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.8630
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.1370
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.8755
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.1245
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0965
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9035
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0680
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 12769.06, Sell volume: 5470.25, Average price: 0.3193, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.9562
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581789
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80-90 million views on week 1?
Volume: 127931.650836
Price History:
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9380
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0620
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0625
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9375
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0540
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9460
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9530
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0470
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0375
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9625
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0400
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9600
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0385
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9615
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0385
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9615
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0435
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9565
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0370
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9630
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0420
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9575
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9590
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0410
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9585
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0415
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0240
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 9971.27, Sell volume: 5218.36, Average price: 0.4473, Price range: 0.0128 - 0.9810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581789
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80-90 million views on week 1?
Volume: 127931.650836
Price History:
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9825
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0175
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9825
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0175
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9855
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0145
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9850
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9790
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0210
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0220
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9780
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0220
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9780
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9785
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0215
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9810
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0190
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9815
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0185
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0195
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9805
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9820
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0180
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9800
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 17111.57, Sell volume: 2569.75, Average price: 0.5577, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581789
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80-90 million views on week 1?
Volume: 127931.650836
Price History:
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0045
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9955
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0045
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9955
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9955
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0045
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 11041.52, Sell volume: 9101.91, Average price: 0.4764, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0150
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9850
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0130
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9870
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 164.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 236, Buy volume: 19573.77, Sell volume: 17246.01, Average price: 0.8368, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 178.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9930
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9960
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 236, Buy volume: 19573.77, Sell volume: 17246.01, Average price: 0.8368, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 1031.63, Sell volume: 228.77, Average price: 0.8564, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 2169.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6675, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0655
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9345
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0655
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9345
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0655
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9345
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0655
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9345
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0655
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9345
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9300
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9300
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.1250
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0665
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9335
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0135
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9865
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0110
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9890
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0110
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9890
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0110
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9890
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0110
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9890
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0110
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9890
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0210
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9790
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0210
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9790
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0210
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9790
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9835
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 956.23, Sell volume: 975.48, Average price: 0.7554, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 121.80, Sell volume: 2793.53, Average price: 0.4999, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0135
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9865
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0120
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9880
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0125
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9875
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0135
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9865
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0125
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9875
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9900
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 15075.39, Sell volume: 7137.69, Average price: 0.9571, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 238.81, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 187.83, Sell volume: 138.81, Average price: 0.8564, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5390.92, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 236, Buy volume: 19573.77, Sell volume: 17246.01, Average price: 0.8368, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0150
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0130
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0120
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0110
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 164.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 236, Buy volume: 19573.77, Sell volume: 17246.01, Average price: 0.8368, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0070
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 178.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 236, Buy volume: 19573.77, Sell volume: 17246.01, Average price: 0.8368, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 1031.63, Sell volume: 228.77, Average price: 0.8564, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 2169.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6675, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0655
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0655
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0655
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0655
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0655
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0700
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.1250
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0665
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0135
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0110
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0110
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0110
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0110
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0110
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0210
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0210
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0210
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.1005
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0655
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 956.23, Sell volume: 975.48, Average price: 0.7554, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0135
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0165
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0155
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0135
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 121.80, Sell volume: 2793.53, Average price: 0.4999, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0135
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0120
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0125
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0135
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0125
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 15075.39, Sell volume: 7137.69, Average price: 0.9571, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 238.81, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 187.83, Sell volume: 138.81, Average price: 0.8564, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5390.92, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641860
Question: Will Maris win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 36819.7781
Price History:
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 236, Buy volume: 19573.77, Sell volume: 17246.01, Average price: 0.8368, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.5850
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.5450
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.7450
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.3450
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.6750
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.3300
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.6450
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.3550
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.6350
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.3650
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.5850
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.4150
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.5750
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.4150
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.5650
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.4400
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.5550
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.3900
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.6100
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.4300
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.5750
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.2400
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.7400
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.2600
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.7350
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.2400
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.7400
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.2650
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.7250
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.2450
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.8150
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.2300
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.7950
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.1800
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.7950
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.2100
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.8050
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.1900
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.8350
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.2350
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.7350
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58483024.98, Sell volume: 248592092.39, Average price: 0.9214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.2750
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.7200
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.2850
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.7100
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.2800
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.7200
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.2800
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.7350
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.2950
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.7050
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.3100
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.6800
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.3300
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.6700
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.6550
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.3600
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.6450
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.3300
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.6400
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.3700
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.6350
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.4000
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.5800
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.4100
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.5900
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.4250
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.7600
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.7600
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.2650
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.7400
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.2400
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.6850
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.2500
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.7250
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.2700
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.6600
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.3100
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.7000
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.2950
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.7050
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.2950
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.7050
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.3050
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.6950
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.3000
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.6450
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.3450
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58483024.98, Sell volume: 248592092.39, Average price: 0.9214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.7200
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.2850
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.7150
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.2700
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.7950
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.2450
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.7150
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.2650
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.7050
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.3050
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.6750
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.3400
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.6550
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.3250
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.6600
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.3350
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.6550
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.3450
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.6350
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.3300
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.6400
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.3600
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.6150
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.3850
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.6150
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.3800
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.6100
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.3950
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.5900
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.4350
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.5300
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.4450
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.5700
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.4100
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.5850
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.4150
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.5650
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.4500
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.5550
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.4500
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.5350
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.4750
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.5400
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.4500
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.5550
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.4450
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.5550
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.4550
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.5300
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58483024.98, Sell volume: 248592092.39, Average price: 0.9214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.4650
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.5350
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.4550
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.5400
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.4650
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.5650
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.4400
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.5600
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.4850
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.5250
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.4250
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.5550
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.4300
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.5750
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.4050
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.5600
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.4050
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.5900
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.4400
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.5900
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.4050
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.5950
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.4050
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.5950
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.4250
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.5600
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.4350
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.5750
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.4250
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5750
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.4050
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.5900
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.4100
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5900
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.4250
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.5850
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.4250
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.5750
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.4250
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.4150
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.4200
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.4100
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.4100
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.5800
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58483024.98, Sell volume: 248592092.39, Average price: 0.9214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.4400
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.5550
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.4500
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.5450
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.4500
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.4500
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.5500
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.5600
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.4350
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.5600
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.4500
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.5450
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.4450
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.5750
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.4250
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.5600
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.4500
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.5550
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.4450
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.5450
2025-03-18 06:00: 0.4600
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.5400
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.4550
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.5500
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.4650
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.5550
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.4650
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.5350
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.4700
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.5300
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.4700
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.5300
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.4650
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.5400
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.4600
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5550
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.4400
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.5600
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.4350
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.5450
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.4550
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.5450
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.4650
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.5350
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.4650
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58483024.98, Sell volume: 248592092.39, Average price: 0.9214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.5350
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.4650
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.5350
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.4650
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.5350
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.4650
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.5350
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.4450
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.5550
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.3700
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.6100
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.4000
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.6050
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.3950
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.6050
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.3850
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.6250
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.3800
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.6300
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.3850
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.6050
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.3900
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.6100
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.3900
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.6100
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.3900
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.6150
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.3900
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.6050
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.4000
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.5950
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.4050
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.5950
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.4050
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.5950
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.4050
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.5750
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.4250
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.5750
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.4300
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.5500
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.4400
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.5700
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.4350
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.5650
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.4350
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.5550
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.4450
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.5550
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58483024.98, Sell volume: 248592092.39, Average price: 0.9214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.4500
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.5450
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.4750
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.5300
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.4650
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.5350
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.4650
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.5450
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.4600
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.5550
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.4600
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.5450
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.4650
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.5350
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.4650
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.5350
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.4700
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.5300
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.4700
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.5300
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.4650
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.5350
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.4650
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.5350
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.4600
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.5400
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.4650
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.5450
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.4600
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.5450
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.4550
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.5450
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.4550
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.5450
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.4550
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.5400
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.4600
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.5400
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.4500
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.5500
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.4400
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.5550
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.4450
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.5700
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.4250
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.5750
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.4250
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.5700
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.4300
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58483024.98, Sell volume: 248592092.39, Average price: 0.9214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.5350
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.4650
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.5350
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.4650
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.5350
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.4600
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.5200
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.4650
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.5200
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.4450
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.5500
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.4450
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.5500
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.4500
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.5500
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.4450
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.5550
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.4450
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.4450
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.5550
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.4450
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.5650
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.4400
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.5600
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.4350
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.5600
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.4450
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.5550
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.4300
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.5700
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.4300
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.5700
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.4300
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.5700
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.4400
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.5600
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.4350
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.5650
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.4350
2025-04-06 20:00: 0.5650
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.4250
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.5700
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.4300
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.5650
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.4350
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.5650
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.4200
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.5800
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58483024.98, Sell volume: 248592092.39, Average price: 0.9214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.3950
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.6050
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.3800
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.6200
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.3850
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.6200
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.3800
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.6200
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.3850
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.6150
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.3650
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.6250
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.3700
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.6300
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.3650
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.6350
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.3700
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.6250
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.3800
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.6200
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.3800
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.6200
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.3800
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.6300
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.3650
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.6350
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.3650
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.6450
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.3400
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.6600
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.3450
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.6550
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.3450
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.6550
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.3450
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.6550
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.3450
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.6550
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.3600
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.6400
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.3600
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.6300
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.3700
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.6300
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.6250
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.3700
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.6250
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.3800
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58483024.98, Sell volume: 248592092.39, Average price: 0.9214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.6550
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.3450
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.6550
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.3450
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.3450
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.3450
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.3450
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.3400
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.6600
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.3400
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.6600
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.3400
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.6600
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.3400
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.6600
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.3400
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.6600
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.3300
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.6700
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.3300
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.6650
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.3300
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.6700
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.3300
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.6700
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.3300
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.3250
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.6750
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.3250
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.6550
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.3450
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.6550
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.3350
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.6600
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.3400
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.6600
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.3400
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.6600
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.3400
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.6600
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.3400
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.6550
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.3400
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.6550
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58483024.98, Sell volume: 248592092.39, Average price: 0.9214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.3350
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.6650
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.3450
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.6550
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.3500
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.6500
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9885
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0125
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9875
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0145
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9850
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0155
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9840
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.9870
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9875
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0125
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9875
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0110
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9890
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0105
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9915
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0085
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9915
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0085
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9915
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0090
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9890
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0085
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9915
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9905
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9905
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9910
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9910
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 123876, Buy volume: 2170342.75, Sell volume: 13046680.26, Average price: 0.7853, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0085
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9915
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0085
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0095
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9905
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0090
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9915
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9910
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9905
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9910
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9910
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0085
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9920
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 875892, Buy volume: 56214642.80, Sell volume: 235454500.52, Average price: 0.9407, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9960
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9960
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9955
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9955
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9960
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0040
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9960
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0040
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9960
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9955
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0040
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9955
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0040
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0035
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0035
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9965
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9980
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0020
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9980
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0020
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9980
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 220, Buy volume: 94039.43, Sell volume: 90623.53, Average price: 0.6716, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.5850
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.2550
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.6750
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.3300
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.6450
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.3650
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.5850
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.4250
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.5600
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.4450
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.6100
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.5750
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.2400
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.7200
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.2450
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.7600
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.2600
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.7250
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.1750
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.7800
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.7800
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.1900
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.7650
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.2900
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.7300
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58483024.98, Sell volume: 248592092.39, Average price: 0.9214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.2750
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.7150
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.2800
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.7150
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.2650
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.7050
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.3200
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.6700
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.3450
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.6550
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.3300
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.6300
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.3750
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.5800
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.4100
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.7600
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.2350
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.7250
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.2450
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.7400
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.2700
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.6900
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.2950
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.7100
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.2950
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.6950
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.5900
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.4150
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58483024.98, Sell volume: 248592092.39, Average price: 0.9214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.7200
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.2850
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.7400
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.2800
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.7300
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.3050
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.6600
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.3300
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.6650
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.3450
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.6350
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.3500
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.6500
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.3800
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.6150
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.3950
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.5650
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.4500
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.5700
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.4150
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.5650
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.4450
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.5500
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.4750
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.5550
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.4450
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.5450
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.4650
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.5300
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58483024.98, Sell volume: 248592092.39, Average price: 0.9214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.4650
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.5450
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.4600
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.5650
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.4400
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.4850
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.5650
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.4300
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.5750
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.4500
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.5900
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.4100
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.5950
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.4100
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.5750
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.4350
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.5750
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.4050
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.5900
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.4150
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.5850
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.4250
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.4150
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.5800
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.4100
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.4300
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.5800
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58483024.98, Sell volume: 248592092.39, Average price: 0.9214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.4400
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.5500
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.4500
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.5500
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.4400
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.5600
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.4500
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.5550
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.4250
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.5650
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.4450
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.5400
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.4550
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.5500
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.4450
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.5350
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.4700
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.5300
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.4650
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.5400
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.4450
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.5600
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.4550
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.5450
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.4650
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.5350
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.4650
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58483024.98, Sell volume: 248592092.39, Average price: 0.9214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.5350
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.4650
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.5350
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.4650
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.5550
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.3700
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.5900
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.3950
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.6100
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.3800
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.6300
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.3950
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.6100
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.3900
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.6100
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.3900
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.6000
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.4050
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.5950
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.4050
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.5750
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.4250
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.5350
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.4300
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.5650
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.4350
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.5550
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.4450
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.5550
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58483024.98, Sell volume: 248592092.39, Average price: 0.9214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.4500
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.5450
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.4650
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.5350
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.4650
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.5550
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.4550
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.5350
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.4650
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.5300
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.4700
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.5450
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.4650
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.5350
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.4600
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.5450
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.4550
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.5450
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.4550
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.5450
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.4600
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.5500
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.4350
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.5550
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.4300
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.5750
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.4300
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.5700
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.4400
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58483024.98, Sell volume: 248592092.39, Average price: 0.9214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.5350
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.4650
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.5350
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.4600
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.5350
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.4450
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.5550
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.4500
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.5500
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.4450
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.4450
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.5550
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.4400
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.5650
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.4450
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.5650
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.4300
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.5700
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.4300
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.5600
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.4350
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.5650
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.4300
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.5700
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.4350
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.5800
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.4200
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.5900
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58483024.98, Sell volume: 248592092.39, Average price: 0.9214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.3950
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.6200
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.3800
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.6200
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.3800
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.6150
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.3750
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.6300
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.3650
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.6300
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.3800
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.6200
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.3800
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.6300
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.3650
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.6450
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.3400
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.6550
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.3450
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.6550
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.3450
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.6400
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.3600
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.6300
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.6250
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.3750
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.6250
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.3750
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58483024.98, Sell volume: 248592092.39, Average price: 0.9214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.6550
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.3450
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.3450
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.3450
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.6600
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.3400
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.6600
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.3400
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.6600
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.3400
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.6650
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.3300
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.6700
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.3300
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.6700
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.3250
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.6750
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.3450
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.6550
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.3400
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.6600
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.3400
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.6600
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.3400
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.6550
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.3450
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.6500
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58483024.98, Sell volume: 248592092.39, Average price: 0.9214, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.3350
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.6550
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.3450
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.0350
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9880
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0150
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9840
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9875
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0125
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9890
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0105
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9915
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0085
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9895
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0110
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9915
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9905
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9910
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9895
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 123876, Buy volume: 2170342.75, Sell volume: 13046680.26, Average price: 0.7853, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0085
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9915
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0095
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9915
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9905
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9910
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0085
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9920
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 875892, Buy volume: 56214642.80, Sell volume: 235454500.52, Average price: 0.9407, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524207
Question: New Pope in 2025?
Volume: 2935786.507413
Price History:
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9960
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0040
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9955
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9960
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0040
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9960
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9955
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0035
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9980
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0020
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9980
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0030
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 220, Buy volume: 94039.43, Sell volume: 90623.53, Average price: 0.6716, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9850
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0150
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9870
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0130
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 164.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 316, Buy volume: 14136.02, Sell volume: 9083.17, Average price: 0.8663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 164.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0040
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 1263.40, Sell volume: 228.77, Average price: 0.8425, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 889.38, Sell volume: 141.68, Average price: 0.7852, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 178.06, Sell volume: 303.16, Average price: 0.5998, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 111.78, Sell volume: 294.40, Average price: 0.7992, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 3504.46, Sell volume: 305.91, Average price: 0.9725, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9575
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0425
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9565
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0435
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9540
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0460
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9765
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0235
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9795
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0205
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9790
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0210
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9765
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0235
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9775
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0225
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9775
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0225
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9795
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0205
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9785
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0215
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9785
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0215
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9775
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0225
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9785
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0215
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9775
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0225
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9775
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0225
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9795
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0205
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9795
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0205
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9780
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0220
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9765
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0235
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9760
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0240
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9795
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0205
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9765
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0235
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9780
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0220
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9830
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 111.77, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9911, Price range: 0.9841 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0160
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0160
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0160
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0160
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0160
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0160
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0160
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0160
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0160
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9835
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0165
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9835
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0165
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9835
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0165
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0160
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0160
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0160
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0160
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 806.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8880, Price range: 0.0131 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9830
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0170
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9830
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0170
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9830
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 3394.37, Sell volume: 6538.13, Average price: 0.8815, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No