Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9690
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0310
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9690
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0310
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9690
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0310
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9690
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0310
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9690
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0310
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9690
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0310
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9695
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9695
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9695
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9695
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9695
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9690
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0310
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9690
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0310
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9695
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9695
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9695
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9695
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9695
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9695
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9695
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9695
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0305
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9690
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0310
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 174, Buy volume: 7320.55, Sell volume: 1088.92, Average price: 0.8335, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0315
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0315
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9685
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9685
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0315
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9685
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0315
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0315
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9685
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9685
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0315
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9680
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0320
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0320
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9680
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9675
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0325
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9675
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0325
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9675
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0325
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0325
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9675
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0325
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9675
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0325
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9675
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9675
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0325
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0325
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9675
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0330
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9670
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9670
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0330
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0340
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9660
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0335
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9665
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9670
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0330
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9665
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0335
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0330
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 78.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5103, Price range: 0.0417 - 0.9790

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9665
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0335
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9665
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0335
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0330
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9670
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0340
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9660
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0345
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9655
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0345
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9655
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0345
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9655
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0345
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9655
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9655
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0345
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0350
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9650
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0355
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9645
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0355
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9645
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0360
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9640
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0360
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9640
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0365
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9635
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0365
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9635
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0365
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9635
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0365
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9635
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0365
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9635
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0365
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9635
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0365
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9635
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0365
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9635
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 150.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0424, Price range: 0.0418 - 0.0430

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9635
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0365
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9635
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0365
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9635
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0365
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9635
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0365
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9635
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9635
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0365
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0370
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9630
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0370
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9630
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0370
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9630
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 51.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0430, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.0430

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 53.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0440 - 0.9570

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9565
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0435
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9565
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9565
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0435
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9575
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0425
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0425
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9575
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9630
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0370
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0370
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9630
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0370
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9630
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0370
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9630
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0370
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9630
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0370
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9630
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0370
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9630
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0380
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9620
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0380
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9620
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0240
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9760
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0245
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9755
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0215
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9785
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9795
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0205
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0220
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 552.54, Sell volume: 920.98, Average price: 0.7720, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0220
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9780
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9780
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0220
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0220
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9780
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0225
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9775
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0225
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9775
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0230
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9770
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9715
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0285
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0275
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9725
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0250
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9750
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0275
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9725
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0245
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9755
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9680
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0320
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9710
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0290
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9745
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0255
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9760
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0240
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0230
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9770
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0260
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9740
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0260
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9740
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0260
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9740
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0240
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9760
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 4651.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9292, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.4900
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.5100
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.4550
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.5450
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.4550
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.5450
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.4500
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.5500
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.4550
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.5450
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.4350
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.5650
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.2000
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.8000
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 156.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.8000
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.1950
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.8050
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.1950
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.8050
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.1950
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.8050
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.0500
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.9500
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.0500
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.9500
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.0500
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.9500
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.0500
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 156.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.1900
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.8100
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.1900
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.8100
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.1850
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.8150
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.1850
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.8150
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.1850
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.8150
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 156.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.1900
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.8100
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.1950
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.8050
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.1950
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.8050
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.1950
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 156.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.1950
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.8050
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.1950
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.8050
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.1900
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 156.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 156.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 156.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.2000
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.8000
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.2000
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.8000
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.2000
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.8000
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.2000
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 156.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.2100
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.7900
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.2100
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.7900
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.2100
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.7900
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.2150
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.7850
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 156.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.7850
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.2150
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.7850
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.2150
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.7850
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.2100
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.7900
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.2100
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.7900
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.2100
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.7900
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.2100
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.7900
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.2050
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 156.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.2050
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.7950
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.2050
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.7950
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.2050
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.7950
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.2050
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.7950
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.2050
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.7950
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 156.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 156.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.1650
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.8350
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.2500
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.7500
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.1850
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.8150
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.1550
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.8450
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.1550
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.8450
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0050
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9950
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 141.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6801, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.4900
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.5100
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.4550
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.5450
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.4550
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.5450
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.4500
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.5500
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.4550
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.5450
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.4350
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.5650
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.2000
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.8000
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 156.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.8000
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.1950
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.8050
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.1950
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.8050
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.1950
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.8050
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.0500
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.9500
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.0500
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.9500
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.0500
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.9500
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.0500
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 156.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.1900
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.8100
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.1900
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.8100
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.1850
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.8150
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.1850
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.8150
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.1850
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.8150
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 156.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.1900
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.8100
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.1950
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.8050
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.1950
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.8050
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.1950
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 156.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.1950
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.8050
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.1950
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.8050
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.1900
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 156.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 156.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 156.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.2000
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.8000
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.2000
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.8000
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.2000
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.8000
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.2000
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 156.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.2100
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.7900
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.2100
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.7900
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.2100
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.7900
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.2150
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.7850
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 156.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.7850
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.2150
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.7850
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.2150
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.7850
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.2100
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.7900
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.2100
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.7900
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.2100
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.7900
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.2100
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.7900
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.2050
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 156.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.2050
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.7950
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.2050
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.7950
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.2050
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.7950
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.2050
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.7950
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.2050
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.7950
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 156.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 156.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524354
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Drone" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 156.149031
Price History:
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.1650
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.8350
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.2500
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.7500
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.1850
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.8150
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.1550
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.8450
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.1550
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.8450
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0050
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9950
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 141.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6801, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.5000
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.5000
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.8150
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.1850
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.1600
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.8400
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0250
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9750
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.0225
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9775
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9480
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0520
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0985
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9015
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0180
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9820
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9150
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9150
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9150
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9150
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9150
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 280.27, Sell volume: 18.44, Average price: 0.7892, Price range: 0.0710 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.9200
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9200
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.0800
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.9200
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0800
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9200
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0800
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.0800
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9200
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9200
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0800
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9200
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0800
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0805
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9195
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0805
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9195
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0655
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9345
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0630
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9370
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0555
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9445
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0545
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9455
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0570
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9430
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9445
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0555
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 70.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9290, Price range: 0.9290 - 0.9290
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0545
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9455
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0540
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9460
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9430
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0570
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0420
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9580
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9635
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0365
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0360
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9640
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0345
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9660
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0340
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9720
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0280
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9810
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0190
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0190
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9810
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0190
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9810
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0265
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9735
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0250
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9750
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0205
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 366.00, Sell volume: 4.00, Average price: 0.8973, Price range: 0.0280 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9830
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0170
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9830
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9835
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0165
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0165
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9835
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0165
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9835
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9840
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0160
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0160
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9840
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9830
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0170
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9800
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0200
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0205
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9795
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9800
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0200
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9795
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0205
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 892.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3473, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9730
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0270
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9645
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0355
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9650
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0350
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9665
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0335
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9665
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0335
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9665
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0335
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9670
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0330
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0350
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9650
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9640
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0360
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9650
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0350
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9685
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0315
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9685
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0315
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9690
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0310
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0310
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9690
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9695
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.48, Sell volume: 145.50, Average price: 0.5004, Price range: 0.0287 - 0.9720
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0310
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0310
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9690
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9690
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0310
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9690
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0310
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9690
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0310
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9690
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0310
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0315
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9685
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0315
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9685
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9685
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0315
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9695
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0305
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9695
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0305
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9695
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0305
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9695
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0305
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0305
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9695
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9690
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0310
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 109.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9793, Price range: 0.9790 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9690
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0310
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9690
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0310
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9690
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0310
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9690
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0310
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9690
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0310
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9690
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0310
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9695
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9695
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9695
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9695
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9695
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9690
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0310
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9690
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0310
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9695
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 174, Buy volume: 7320.55, Sell volume: 1088.92, Average price: 0.8335, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0315
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0315
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9685
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9685
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0315
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9685
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0315
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0315
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9685
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9685
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0315
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9680
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0320
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0320
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9680
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9675
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0325
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9675
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0325
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9675
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0325
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0325
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9675
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0325
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9675
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0325
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9675
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9675
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0325
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 78.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5103, Price range: 0.0417 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9665
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0335
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9665
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0335
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0330
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9670
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0340
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9660
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0345
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9655
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0345
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9655
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0345
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9655
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0345
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9655
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9655
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0345
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0350
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9650
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0355
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9645
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0355
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9645
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0360
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9640
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0360
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9640
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0365
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 150.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0424, Price range: 0.0418 - 0.0430
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9635
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0365
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9635
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0365
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9635
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0365
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9635
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0365
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9635
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9635
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0365
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0370
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9630
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0370
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9630
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0370
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9630
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 51.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0430, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.0430
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0435
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 53.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0440 - 0.9570
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9565
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0435
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9565
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0435
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9565
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9565
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0435
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9575
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0425
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0425
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9575
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9630
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0370
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0370
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9630
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0370
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9630
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0370
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9630
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0370
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9630
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0370
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9630
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 552.54, Sell volume: 920.98, Average price: 0.7720, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0220
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9780
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9780
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0220
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0220
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9780
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0225
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9775
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0225
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9775
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0230
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9770
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9715
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0285
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0275
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9725
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0250
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9750
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0275
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9725
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0245
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9755
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9680
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0320
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9710
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0290
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9745
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0255
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9760
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 4651.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9292, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.2450
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.7650
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.2350
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.7750
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.2250
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.7850
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.2150
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.7850
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.2150
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.7850
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.1300
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.8700
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.1250
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.8750
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.1150
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.8850
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.1150
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.8850
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.8850
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.1100
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.8900
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0800
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.9200
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0800
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9450
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0500
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9600
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0400
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9840
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0165
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9840
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0160
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9840
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0160
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9840
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0160
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9840
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0160
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9840
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0160
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9840
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0160
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9840
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0160
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9840
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0515
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9485
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0515
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0585
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9450
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0550
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.8790
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0560
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9445
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0510
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9490
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0510
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.9490
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0510
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.9485
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0030
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.9970
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0030
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.9965
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.9965
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.9965
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.9965
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.9965
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.9965
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.9965
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.9965
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.9965
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.9965
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.9965
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.9965
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9965
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 43.57, Sell volume: 7.44, Average price: 0.9962, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.9965
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.9965
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.8130
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.1860
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.8140
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.1860
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.8730
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.1270
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.8730
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.1270
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.8730
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.1270
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.8730
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.1270
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.8730
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.1270
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.8725
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.1260
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.8740
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.1260
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.8740
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.1260
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.8740
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.1260
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.8740
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.1260
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.8740
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.1185
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.8865
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.1085
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.8915
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.1085
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.8960
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.1040
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.8970
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.1030
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.8970
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.1005
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.1005
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.1005
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.1005
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.1005
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.8990
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.1005
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.1005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 43.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0050, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.0050

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.8970
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.1030
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.8970
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9470
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.9470
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.0530
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.1025
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.1025
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.8990
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.1010
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.9000
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.9000
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9010
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9030
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0955
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9045
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0955
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.8975
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.8985
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.8985
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.0960
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.8990
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.1025
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.1020
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.8985
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.1010
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.8990
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.1005
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.8995
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.1010
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.1010
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.8980
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.8970
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.8970
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.8990
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.8995
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.1010
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.8995
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.1060
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9205
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.1055
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.8970
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9000
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.8995
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.8995
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.1010
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.9040
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.0820
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9180
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 12403.11, Sell volume: 102.80, Average price: 0.8767, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0820
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.0825
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9175
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.9175
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0890
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9170
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.0825
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.9175
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.0825
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0825
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.9175
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.9125
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.0815
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.0910
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0905
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9095
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9180
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.9165
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.0835
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.9165
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.9165
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9080
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.9130
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9140
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.9140
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0855
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.9155
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0845
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.9205
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9205
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0780
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.0780
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9210
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0790
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.9210
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.9210
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.0790
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.9210
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.0790
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9210
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.0795
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.0795
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.9205
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.0795
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0795
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.0795
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9200
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.9205
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0795
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 25.13, Average price: 0.8410, Price range: 0.8410 - 0.8410

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0800
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9200
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9200
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9200
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9205
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0795
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9205
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0800
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0795
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9200
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0800
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9200
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0800
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9200
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9200
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0800
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9200
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0800
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9200
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0800
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9200
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0800
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9200
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0800
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9200
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0800
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9200
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9200
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0800
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9200
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0715
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9240
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0635
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0525
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9335
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0765
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9300
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0870
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.5420
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.4485
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.5640
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.4230
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.4120
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.3945
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.6290
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.6430
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9355
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0885
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.1135
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.5410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 12403.11, Sell volume: 102.80, Average price: 0.8767, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.4910
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.5115
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.5115
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.4995
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.5015
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.4995
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.4890
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.4015
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.5990
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.3955
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.6050
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.4010
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.5985
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.4870
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.4860
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.7280
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.1375
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.7320
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.2715
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.7305
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.2660
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.1970
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.1970
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.1970
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.8030
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.1970
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.8025
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.8025
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.1975
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.1975
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.1975
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.8025
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.1970
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.1970
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.8030
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.8030
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.8030
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.1975
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.1975
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.1975
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.8025
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.8025
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.1985
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.8015
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.1985
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.8015
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.8015
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.1985
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.1970
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.1970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 12403.11, Sell volume: 102.80, Average price: 0.8767, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.8020
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.1285
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.1285
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.8715
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.8715
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.8715
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.8715
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.1285
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.8715
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.1285
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.8715
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.1285
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.1285
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.8715
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.1285
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.1285
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.8715
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.8735
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.1260
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.8740
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.8740
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.1260
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.8740
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.1260
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.8740
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.1260
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.1260
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.1260
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.8740
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.1260
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.1260
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.1260
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.8740
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.1260
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.8740
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.1260
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.8740
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.8740
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.1260
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.1260
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.8740
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.1260
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.1255
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.8740
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.1260
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.1260
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.8740
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.8740
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.1260
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.1255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 113.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9930, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.1115
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.8885
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.1115
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.1115
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.1115
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.1115
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.8885
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.1115
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.8885
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.1115
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.1115
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.8885
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.1110
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8890
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.1110
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.8885
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.1115
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.8885
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.1115
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.8885
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.8885
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8885
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.8885
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.8885
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.8885
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.1115
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.8740
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.1260
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.8740
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.1260
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.8740
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.1260
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.8740
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.8740
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.1260
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.8740
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.1260
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.8740
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.8740
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.8740
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.1260
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.8740
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.1260
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.8740
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.1260
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.8740
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.8740
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.8740
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.8740
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.8740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 12403.11, Sell volume: 102.80, Average price: 0.8767, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.1260
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.1260
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.1260
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.1260
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.8740
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.1260
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.8740
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.1260
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.8740
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.1255
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.8745
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.1255
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.8745
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.1255
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.8745
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.1255
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.1165
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.8835
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.1165
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.1165
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.1165
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.8835
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0765
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0755
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0755
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.9245
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0755
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9245
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9245
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9245
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9245
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9245
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9245
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0755
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9245
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0755
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9245
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9245
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9245
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9245
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9245
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9245
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9245
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0755
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9245
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0755
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9285
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9285
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0715
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 12403.11, Sell volume: 102.80, Average price: 0.8767, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0715
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9285
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0715
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0715
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9285
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9285
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9480
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9490
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9490
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9580
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9580
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0420
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0410
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9590
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9590
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0415
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9595
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9595
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0400
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9620
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0380
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9630
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0370
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9630
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0370
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9630
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0370
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9630
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0370
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9640
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0360
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9640
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0360
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9640
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0360
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9640
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0360
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9640
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0360
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9640
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0360
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9640
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0360
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9640
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0360
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9640
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0360
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9640
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 12403.11, Sell volume: 102.80, Average price: 0.8767, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9595
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0400
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9600
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0400
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9600
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0260
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9740
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0260
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9745
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0260
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9740
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0260
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9740
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0260
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9740
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0260
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9740
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0260
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9740
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0260
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9740
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0260
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9740
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0260
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9740
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0260
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9740
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0260
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9740
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0260
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9740
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0260
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9740
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0260
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9740
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0260
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9740
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0260
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9740
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0260
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9740
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0260
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9740
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0260
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9740
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0260
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9740
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0260
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9740
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9740
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0260
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9740
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0260
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9740
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0260
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9740
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0260
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9740
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0160
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9840
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0160
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9840
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0160
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9840
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0160
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9840
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0160
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9840
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0160
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9840
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0160
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9840
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0160
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9840
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0160
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9840
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0165
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9840
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0160
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9840
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0160
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9840
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0160
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.6445
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.2770
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9265
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.2055
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 2504.57, Sell volume: 70.23, Average price: 0.7993, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.5000
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.5000
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.5350
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.4650
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.5100
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.4900
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.5500
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.4500
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.5550
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.4450
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.5450
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.4550
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.7050
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.2950
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 3426.35, Sell volume: 305.00, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.2950
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.7050
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.2950
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.7050
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.2950
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.7050
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.2950
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 3426.35, Sell volume: 305.00, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.8650
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.1350
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.8650
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.1350
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.8650
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.1350
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1800, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.1800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 3426.35, Sell volume: 305.00, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.7300
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.2700
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.7300
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.2700
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.7300
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.2700
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.7300
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.2700
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.1750, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.2600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 3426.35, Sell volume: 305.00, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 3426.35, Sell volume: 305.00, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.6150
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.3850
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.4700
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.5300
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.4900
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.5100
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.6250
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.3750
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.4900
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.5100
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.7200
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6300, Price range: 0.6300 - 0.6300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.7600
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.2400
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.7450
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.2550
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.6350
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.3650
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.5800
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.4200
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.7500
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.2500
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.7050
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.2950
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.4900
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.5100
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 3426.35, Sell volume: 305.00, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.2800
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.7600
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.2400
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.7350
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.2650
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.7650
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.2350
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.7650
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.2350
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.7650
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.2350
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.7550
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.2450
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.7650
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 3426.35, Sell volume: 305.00, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.7650
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.2350
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.7650
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.2350
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.7650
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.2350
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.7650
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.2350
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.7650
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.2350
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.7650
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.2350
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.7500
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.2500
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 150.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3869, Price range: 0.3838 - 0.3900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.2500
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.7400
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.2600
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.7300
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.2700
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.6300
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.3700
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.5700
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.4300
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.5700
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.4300
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.5700
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.4300
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.5700
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.4900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524355
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3731.346745
Price History:
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.5700
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.4300
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.5800
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.4200
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.6200
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.3800
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.5700
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.4300
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.4650
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.5350
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.5450
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.4550
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0100
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9900
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2186.35, Sell volume: 295.00, Average price: 0.6707, Price range: 0.2695 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.2450
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.2300
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.2250
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.2150
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.2150
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.2150
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.1900
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.1250
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.1150
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.1100
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0800
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0550
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0400
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0160
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0165
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0160
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0160
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0160
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0160
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0160
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0160
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0160
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0160
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0515
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0515
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0510
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0585
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0550
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0560
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0555
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0510
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0510
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0515
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0030
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 43.57, Sell volume: 7.44, Average price: 0.9962, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.1860
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.1860
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.1270
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.1270
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.1270
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.1270
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.1270
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.1270
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.1275
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.1260
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.1260
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.1260
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.1260
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.1260
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.1185
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.1085
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.1085
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.1040
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.1030
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.1030
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.8995
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.8995
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.1005
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.1005
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.1030
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.1030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 43.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0050, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.0050
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.8970
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.1030
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.9470
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0530
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.8975
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.8990
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.1005
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9010
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9045
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0955
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.8975
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9045
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.1010
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.1020
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.8990
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.8995
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.8985
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.1010
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.8970
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.1010
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.8990
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.1005
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.1030
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.8995
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.8990
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0960
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9180
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.9185
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.0805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 12403.11, Sell volume: 102.80, Average price: 0.8767, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0820
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0825
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9170
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.0825
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.0825
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9175
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.9080
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.0780
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.0905
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9180
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.0835
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.0835
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0870
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.0860
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.9145
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.9155
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9205
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9220
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9210
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.0790
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0790
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0790
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0790
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9205
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0795
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.9205
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9200
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0795
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9205
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 25.13, Average price: 0.8410, Price range: 0.8410 - 0.8410
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0800
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0800
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9200
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0795
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0800
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0800
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0800
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0800
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9200
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9200
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9200
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9200
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0800
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0800
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0800
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9310
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0635
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9285
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9475
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.4630
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.5525
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.5770
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.6010
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.6295
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.1135
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.5145
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.4855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 12403.11, Sell volume: 102.80, Average price: 0.8767, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.4910
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.4880
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.5005
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.5005
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.4005
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.6045
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.5990
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.4015
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.5140
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.1375
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.2715
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.7320
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.1970
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.8030
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.8030
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.8025
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.8025
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.1975
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.1970
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.8030
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.8030
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.8025
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.1975
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.1975
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.8015
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.1985
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.8015
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.1970
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.8030
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.1970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 12403.11, Sell volume: 102.80, Average price: 0.8767, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.8020
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.1285
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.1285
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.1285
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.8715
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.8715
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.8715
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.8715
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.1285
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.8715
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.1260
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.8740
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.8740
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.8740
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.8740
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.8740
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.8740
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.8740
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.8740
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.8740
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.1260
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.1260
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.1260
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.8740
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.1260
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.1260
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.8740
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.1260
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.8745
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.1260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 113.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9930, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.1115
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.1115
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.8885
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.8885
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.1115
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.8885
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.8885
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.1110
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1110
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.1115
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.1115
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.1115
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8885
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.8885
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.8885
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.8740
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.1260
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.1260
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.8740
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.1260
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.8740
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.1260
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.1260
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.1260
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.1260
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.1260
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.8740
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.8740
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.8740
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.1260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 12403.11, Sell volume: 102.80, Average price: 0.8767, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.1260
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.1260
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.8740
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.8740
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.8740
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.8745
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.8745
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.8745
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.8745
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.1165
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.1165
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.1165
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.8835
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0755
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0755
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9245
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.0755
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9245
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9245
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9245
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0755
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0755
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9245
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0755
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0755
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0755
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.0715
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0715
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0715
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 12403.11, Sell volume: 102.80, Average price: 0.8767, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0715
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0715
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0715
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0510
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0420
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9580
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0410
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9590
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9595
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0400
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9610
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0370
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9630
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9630
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9630
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9630
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9640
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9640
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9640
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9640
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9640
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9640
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9640
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9640
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9640
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9640
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9640
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9640
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 12403.11, Sell volume: 102.80, Average price: 0.8767, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9595
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9600
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9600
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9740
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9740
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9740
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9740
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9740
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9740
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9740
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9740
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9740
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9740
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9740
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9740
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9740
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9740
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9740
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9740
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9740
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9740
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9740
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9740
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9740
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9740
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9740
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9740
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9740
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9740
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561629
Question: Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 12505.913
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9740
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9740
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9740
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9740
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9740
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9840
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9840
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9840
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9840
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9840
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9840
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9840
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9840
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9840
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9840
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9835
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9840
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9840
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9840
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.6275
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.7505
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.8290
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 2504.57, Sell volume: 70.23, Average price: 0.7993, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.5300
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.4700
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.8650
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.1350
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.1350
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.8650
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.1350
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.8650
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.8700
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 775.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6434, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9200
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0800
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9200
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0800
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0850
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 543.80, Sell volume: 93.33, Average price: 0.6024, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0850
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9150
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9950
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0050
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 997.86, Sell volume: 402.85, Average price: 0.6719, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 2623.27, Sell volume: 496.18, Average price: 0.6454, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 2623.27, Sell volume: 496.18, Average price: 0.6454, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 2623.27, Sell volume: 496.18, Average price: 0.6454, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 2623.27, Sell volume: 496.18, Average price: 0.6454, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 2623.27, Sell volume: 496.18, Average price: 0.6454, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 2623.27, Sell volume: 496.18, Average price: 0.6454, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 2623.27, Sell volume: 496.18, Average price: 0.6454, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 2623.27, Sell volume: 496.18, Average price: 0.6454, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 2623.27, Sell volume: 496.18, Average price: 0.6454, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582289
Question: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3119.453331
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 2623.27, Sell volume: 496.18, Average price: 0.6454, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9500

Output: Yes