Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545315
Question: Will Alternative win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 69272.158253
Price History:
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0500
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0500
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0500
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0500
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0500
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0500
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0500
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0500
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0500
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0500
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0500
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0500
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0500
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0500
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0500
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0500
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.0500
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.0500
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0500
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0500
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0500
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0500
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0500
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0500
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0500
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.0500
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0500
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0500
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0500
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545315
Question: Will Alternative win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 69272.158253
Price History:
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.0500
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0500
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0500
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.0500
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0500
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0500
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0500
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.0500
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0400
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0400
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.0345
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0355
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0350
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0350
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0345
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0345
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.0345
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.0350
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.0345
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0245
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0240
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.0245
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0245
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.0245
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0240
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.0240
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.0160
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0160
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0155
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545315
Question: Will Alternative win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 69272.158253
Price History:
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0150
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.0165
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.0165
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0155
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0160
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0160
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0160
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0155
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0155
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0160
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.0160
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.0155
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0155
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0160
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0160
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0155
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0155
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0095
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0090
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0095
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0100
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0100
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0095
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0095
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0095
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0080
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0080
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0080
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0080
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545315
Question: Will Alternative win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 69272.158253
Price History:
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0070
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0070
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0070
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0070
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0335
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0345
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0385
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0265
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.0365
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.0360
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0365
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.0360
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.0375
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0385
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.0350
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.0355
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0310
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0320
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.0365
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.0375
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.0335
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.0295
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0335
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.0390
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.0395
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0395
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.0395
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0400
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0405
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545315
Question: Will Alternative win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 69272.158253
Price History:
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0415
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.0415
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0420
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.0360
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.0360
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.0410
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.0410
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.0410
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0380
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.0370
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0395
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.0355
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0375
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.0380
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.0150
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.0045
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.0095
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.0160
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.0105
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0210
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.0260
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0275
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0170
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.9890
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.9710
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.9795
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.9725
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0200
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.9885
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545315
Question: Will Alternative win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 69272.158253
Price History:
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.9710
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.9750
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9760
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.0275
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.0300
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.0305
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0295
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0520
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.0515
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.0510
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.9560
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.0420
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.9580
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.0435
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.0525
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9515
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.1590
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0500
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0455
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.0510
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.0585
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.9525
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.9475
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.9470
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.9475
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.9480
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9495
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.0505
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9495
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0490
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545315
Question: Will Alternative win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 69272.158253
Price History:
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.0575
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9500
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.0450
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.0445
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.0485
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.9515
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.9505
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0490
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.0495
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.0725
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.0585
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.0590
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.0585
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.0590
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.9460
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9470
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.9480
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.9470
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.0550
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.0550
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.0530
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.0520
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0530
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0530
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.9370
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0560
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0520
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0560
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9525
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9425
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545315
Question: Will Alternative win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 69272.158253
Price History:
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9215
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9230
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9345
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0785
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9225
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9320
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9305
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9085
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0620
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0630
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9625
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0400
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9605
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0340
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9670
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9695
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0280
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0250
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9750
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0295
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0275
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0230
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9555
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0495
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9510
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9510
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0350
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0350
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545315
Question: Will Alternative win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 69272.158253
Price History:
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0365
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9875
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0180
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9885
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9815
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0180
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0165
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0305
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0230
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0210
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9700
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9885
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9810
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0220
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0190
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9810
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9810
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9825
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9820
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0195
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0305
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.0125
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0115
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0120
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9895
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0090
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.9940
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0060
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545315
Question: Will Alternative win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 69272.158253
Price History:
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9955
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0075
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0065
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.4900
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.5100
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.4900
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.5100
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.5450
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.4550
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.4550
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.5450
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.5350
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.4650
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.5350
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.4650
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.5350
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.4650
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.5350
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.4650
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.5350
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.4650
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.5450
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.5050
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.4950
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.5300
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.4700
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.4800
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.5200
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.4850
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.5150
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.4850
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.5150
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.4850
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.5150
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.4750
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.5250
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.4850
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.5150
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.4850
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.5150
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.4850
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.5150
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.4850
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.5150
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.4750
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.5250
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.4750
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.5250
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.5500
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.4500
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 200.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5367, Price range: 0.4808 - 0.6100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.5500
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.5450
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.5450
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.5450
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.4500
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.5500
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.5400
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.4600
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.5400
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.4600
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.5300
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.4700
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.5450
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.4550
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.5400
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.4600
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.4600
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.5400
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.5500
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.4500
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.4550
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.5450
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.5350
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.4650
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.4800
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.5200
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.4850
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.5150
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.4850
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.5150
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.4800
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.5200
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.5350
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.4650
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.5100
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.4900
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.5100
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.4900
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.5100
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.4900
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.4900
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.5100
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.5000
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.5000
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.5250
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.4750
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 122.15, Sell volume: 30.87, Average price: 0.5198, Price range: 0.4266 - 0.5800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.4750
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.5250
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.5250
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.4750
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.5200
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.4500
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.5500
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.4500
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.5500
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.4850
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.5150
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.4850
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.5150
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.4750
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.5250
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.4550
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.5450
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.4550
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.5450
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.4550
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.5450
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.4550
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 130.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5621, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.5800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.5450
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.4750
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.5250
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.4750
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.5250
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.4650
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.5350
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.4650
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.5350
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.4650
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.5350
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.5250
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.4750
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.6200
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.3800
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.5850
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.4150
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.4200
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.5800
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.6300
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.3700
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.6300
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.3700
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.3400
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.6400
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.3600
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.6400
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.3600
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.6400
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.3600
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.3850
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.6150
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.4000
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.6000
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.6000
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.4000
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.6200
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.3800
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.6500
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.3500
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.3500
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.6500
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.6500
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.3500
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 161.63, Sell volume: 23.88, Average price: 0.5388, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.6700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.6500
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.3500
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.6400
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.3600
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.6400
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.3600
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.3600
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.6400
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.3500
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.6500
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.6500
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.3500
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.6850
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.3150
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.3000
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.7000
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.7000
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.3000
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.3000
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.7000
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.3000
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 13.83, Sell volume: 0.65, Average price: 0.5833, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.2950
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.2950
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.7050
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.2950
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.7050
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.2950
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.7050
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.2950
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.7050
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.7050
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.2950
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.2950
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.7050
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.7050
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.2950
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.2800
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.7200
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.7250
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.2750
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.7250
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.2750
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.2500
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.7500
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.7700
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.2300
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.2350
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.7650
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.2350
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.7650
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.2500
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.7500
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.2500
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.7500
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.2500
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.7500
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.2900
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.7100
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.2950
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.7050
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.2950
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.7050
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.7000
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.3000
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.6950
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.3050
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 162.39, Sell volume: 1.72, Average price: 0.4285, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.3050
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.6950
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.3050
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.6950
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.3050
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.6950
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.2350
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.7650
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.2450
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.7550
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.2400
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.7600
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.2450
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.7550
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.2500
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.7500
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.7500
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.2500
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.2500
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.7500
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.2250
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.7750
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.7750
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.2250
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.7700
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.2300
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.2250
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 466.20, Sell volume: 103.83, Average price: 0.5446, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.7800
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.7700
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.2300
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.7750
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.2250
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.7750
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.2250
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.7750
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.2250
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.7700
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.2300
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.7700
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.2300
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.7700
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.2300
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.7750
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.2250
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.7700
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.2300
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.2250
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.7750
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.2300
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.7700
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.2300
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.7700
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.7700
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.2300
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.7700
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.2300
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.7900
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.7900
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.7800
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.2200
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.7800
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.2200
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.1550
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.8450
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 74.07, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2700, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.2700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.7700
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.2300
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.2300
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.7700
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.7700
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.2300
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.7800
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.2200
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.7800
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.2200
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.7800
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.2200
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.7800
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.2200
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.1750
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.2100
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.2100
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.8050
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 108.08, Sell volume: 3.63, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.1850
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.1650
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.8350
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.8300
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.8200
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.1800
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.8200
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.1800
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.8400
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.1600
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.8400
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.1600
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.8400
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.1600
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.8300
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.8300
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.1700
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.8400
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.1600
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.8450
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.1550
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.1550
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.8450
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.8400
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.1600
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.8400
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.1600
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.8400
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.1600
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.1600
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.8400
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.8400
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.1600
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.8400
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.1600
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.8400
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.1600
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.1600
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.8400
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.8550
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.1450
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.8600
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.1400
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.8700
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.1300
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.1350
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.8650
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 49.30, Sell volume: 94.33, Average price: 0.2691, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.8800
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.1200
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.8800
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.1200
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.8800
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.1200
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.8600
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.1400
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.7450
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.2550
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.7450
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.2550
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.7450
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.2550
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.2750
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.2600
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7400
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.6700
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.3300
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3300
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.6700
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.2900
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.7100
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.7400
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.2600
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.3300
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.6700
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 569.39, Sell volume: 88.74, Average price: 0.3729, Price range: 0.1486 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.2850
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.7150
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.2850
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.7150
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.2850
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.7150
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.2850
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.7150
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.2850
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.7150
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.2850
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.7150
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.2850
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.7150
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.2850
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.7150
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.2800
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.7200
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.2350
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.7650
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.2450
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.7550
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.1900
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.8100
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.1900
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.8100
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.2000
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.8000
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.2200
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.1500
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.8500
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.1350
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.8650
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 8023.72, Sell volume: 1867.85, Average price: 0.5343, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8859

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.1550
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.1600
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.8400
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.1350
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.8650
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.1350
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.8650
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.1450
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.8550
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1450
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.8550
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.1450
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.8550
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.1350
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.8650
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.1400
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.8600
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.1100
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.8900
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9200
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0800
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9300
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0700
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0650
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9350
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0550
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9450
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0150
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9850
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9850
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0150
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0170
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 16528.79, Sell volume: 4353.26, Average price: 0.5160, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.4550
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.8350
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0355
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9430
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0655
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.9025
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0900
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9100
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0870
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.9145
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0875
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9125
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0865
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9140
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0770
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.9195
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0720
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9280
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0705
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9295
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0695
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9275
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.0735
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.9275
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0710
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.9285
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0715
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.9285
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0715
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.9285
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0715
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.9290
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0690
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.9315
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0685
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9315
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0710
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.9305
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0695
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.9295
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0700
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.9320
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0705
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.9290
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0695
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9315
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0705
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9320
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0695
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9315
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0685
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9315
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0685
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9315
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0685
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9315
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0685
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9315
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0690
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9315
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0690
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9310
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0685
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9310
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0695
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9295
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0685
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9305
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0695
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9310
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0685
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9285
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0715
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9285
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0715
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9290
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0715
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.9225
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0775
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.9280
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0715
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.9290
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0720
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.9295
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0705
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9340
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0610
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.9395
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0615
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.9385
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0615
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.9385
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0615
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.9390
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0610
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.9385
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0615
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9385
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0615
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9385
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0610
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.9385
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0600
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.9400
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0605
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9395
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0595
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9405
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0585
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.9405
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0605
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9415
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0665
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.9335
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0680
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.9320
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0680
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.9320
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0680
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.9285
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.0780
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.9220
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0800
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.9210
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.0800
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.9200
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0805
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.9200
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0800
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9225
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0775
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.9225
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0795
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.9190
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0780
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.9205
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0760
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9230
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0785
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9220
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0770
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9225
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0770
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9235
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0760
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9245
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0760
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.9245
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0755
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0755
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.9245
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0755
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9245
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0765
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.9250
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0765
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.9240
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0760
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.9240
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0765
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.9235
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0765
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.9235
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0765
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9240
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0760
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9240
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0765
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.9245
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0755
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9245
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0755
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.9235
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0760
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.9235
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.0765
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.9235
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.0745
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.9240
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.0765
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.9250
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0765
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.9245
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0765
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.9250
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0745
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.9240
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0760
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.9245
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0750
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.9245
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0755
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.9235
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0750
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.9255
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.0735
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.9265
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0735
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.9265
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.0725
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.9270
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0735
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.9265
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.0735
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.9275
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0735
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.9275
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0725
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.9270
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0735
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.9265
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0735
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.9290
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0710
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.9290
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0710
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.9290
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.0710
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.9290
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.0710
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.9290
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0710
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.9290
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.0710
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.9290
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0710
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.9290
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0710
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.9290
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0710
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.9290
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.0720
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.9285
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.0715
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.9285
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.0720
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.9280
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0720
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.9280
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0720
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.9280
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.0490
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.9520
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.0485
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.9495
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0445
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9555
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0325
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0335
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9665
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.0335
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.9665
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.0345
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.9665
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0350
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.9650
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.9645
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0345
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.9645
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0350
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.9645
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0350
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.9650
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0345
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.9640
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0360
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.9640
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0355
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.9645
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0360
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.9640
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0360
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.9640
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0360
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.9640
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0355
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.9645
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.0355
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.9635
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0365
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.9635
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0365
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.9635
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0365
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9635
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0350
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.9645
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0360
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.9640
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0360
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.9640
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0365
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9640
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0350
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9645
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0355
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0360
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9645
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0360
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9650
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0365
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.9640
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0355
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.9675
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0335
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.9660
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0335
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.9675
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0330
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.9675
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0325
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.9685
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.0325
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.9685
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.0315
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.9680
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0330
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.9660
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.0340
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.9665
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.0355
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.9635
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.0355
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.9645
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.0355
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.9640
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.0355
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.9650
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.0360
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.9645
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0360
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.9650
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.0355
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.9635
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0360
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.9640
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0355
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.9650
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.0335
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.9670
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.0340
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.9660
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0335
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.9655
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0330
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0335
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.9650
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.0330
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.9660
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.0350
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.9660
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.0325
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.9680
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.0325
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.9670
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.0335
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.9665
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.0330
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9675
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0325
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.9675
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.0320
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.9670
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.0325
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.9675
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.0325
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.9670
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.0320
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.9655
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0405
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.9525
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.0475
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.9525
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0420
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.9725
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.0285
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.9725
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.0275
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9715
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.0285
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.9720
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.0285
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.9715
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.0285
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.9715
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.9720
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.9720
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.9720
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.0280
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.0285
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.9720
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0285
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.0285
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0285
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.0315
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0315
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0320
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.0320
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0320
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.9680
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9700
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.0295
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9685
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0325
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9675
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.9675
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.9675
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.9785
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9795
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0200
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.9800
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.9825
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0170
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0170
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9825
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.9830
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0200
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9855
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.0150
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.9850
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.9875
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.9825
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0165
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9840
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9850
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.9845
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0185
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9810
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.0205
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.9850
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0150
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.9870
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.9875
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0150
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.9855
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.9860
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.9860
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.9875
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.0135
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.0140
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.9875
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0150
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.0130
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.0180
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.9840
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.9830
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.0175
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0180
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.9825
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.0150
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0145
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.0145
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.9855
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0180
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.9820
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.0180
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.9825
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.0175
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.0180
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9815
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.9815
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9820
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.9825
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0175
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.0175
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.9820
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.0175
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9835
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.9835
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.0175
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9825
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9820
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.9805
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.9815
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.0185
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.9820
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.9810
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0190
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.0190
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.0180
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.9825
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.0185
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.9820
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.9815
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.9815
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0180
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.9815
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9820
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9820
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9810
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.9785
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0205
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0220
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9780
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9780
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0210
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9795
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9790
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9790
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0205
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9785
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0205
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9790
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9835
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0180
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0185
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0205
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0215
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0200
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0195
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0210
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9795
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0220
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0220
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9785
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9790
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0215
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9795
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0205
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9795
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0205
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0205
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0220
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0290
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9715
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9715
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9720
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0340
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9660
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0340
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0340
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9645
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0380
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9610
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0390
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9610
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0390
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0390
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0390
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9610
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.1485
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.8435
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.1575
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.8425
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.8825
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.8695
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.1265
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.8965
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9060
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0940
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9060
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0940
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9065
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0980
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.8960
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.1040
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.1040
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.8960
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.8970
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.1005
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0970
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.1035
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0995
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9000
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9020
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0975
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9030
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9025
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0945
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9055
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0950
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9000
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.1000
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.1000
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.1000
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.8960
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0955
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0955
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9045
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.8915
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.1105
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.1040
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.1170
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.1160
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.1160
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.8825
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.1155
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.8870
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.1135
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.8870
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.8860
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.8950
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.1045
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0935
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9000
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9120
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0755
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9245
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0785
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9215
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0785
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9215
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9245
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0760
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.9240
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0760
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.0760
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9240
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0760
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.0755
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9245
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0735
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.0625
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9410
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0645
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.0645
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.0665
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0655
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9355
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9335
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0660
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9405
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0685
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0750
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0955
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0945
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9055
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0955
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9015
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9025
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9035
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0970
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.1055
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0985
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9070
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9140
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9360
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9280
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9335
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.4550
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.0400
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0805
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0990
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0900
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0855
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0875
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0870
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0760
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0720
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0705
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.0705
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0705
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.0715
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0715
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0715
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.0715
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0710
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0690
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0685
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0690
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0715
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0705
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0680
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0695
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0695
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0680
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0695
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0685
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0685
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0685
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0685
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0685
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0685
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0685
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0685
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0690
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0695
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0690
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0685
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0695
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0685
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0715
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0710
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0710
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0775
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0715
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0705
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0720
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0705
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0610
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0620
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0605
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0615
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0615
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0605
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0615
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0615
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0615
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0615
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0610
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0605
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0590
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0610
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0595
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0595
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0595
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0665
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0680
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0680
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0680
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0725
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0855
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0795
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0800
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0780
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0780
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0790
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0795
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0770
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0760
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0765
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0765
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0775
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0765
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0760
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0760
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0755
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0760
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0755
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0755
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0755
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0755
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0765
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0760
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0760
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0765
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0765
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0765
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0760
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0765
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0755
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0755
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0760
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0765
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0765
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.0765
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.0765
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0765
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0765
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0745
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0760
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0765
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0755
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0765
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.0745
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0735
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0735
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0745
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0745
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.0725
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0735
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0735
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.0725
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0725
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0730
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0735
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.0730
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0710
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0710
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.0710
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0710
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0710
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0710
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0710
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0710
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.0710
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.0710
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.0720
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0715
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0715
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.0715
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0720
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.0720
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0485
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.0490
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.0445
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0325
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0340
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0335
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.0335
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.0350
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0350
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0360
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0355
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0360
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0350
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0350
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.0360
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.0355
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0360
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0360
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0360
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0365
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0355
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0355
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0365
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0365
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0365
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0360
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0355
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0360
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0355
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0360
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0345
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0355
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0360
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0360
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0355
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0355
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0355
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0325
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0340
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0340
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0330
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.0315
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.0325
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0315
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.0330
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.0330
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0340
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.0365
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.0360
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0360
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0355
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.0360
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.0365
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.0360
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.0350
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0360
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.0350
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.0335
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0335
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.0335
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0330
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0335
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0335
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.0335
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0335
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.0325
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.0320
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.0330
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.0320
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.0325
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0325
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.0320
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0320
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.0330
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0325
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.0355
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.0475
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.0475
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.0385
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.0270
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.0275
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0285
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.0285
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0285
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0285
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.0280
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.9720
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.0280
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.0285
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0285
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.0285
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.0315
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0315
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.9680
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9680
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.9695
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.9685
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.0325
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0325
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0210
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.0200
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0170
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.9825
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0175
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.0150
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.0150
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9805
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0165
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9840
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0185
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.0195
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.0150
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0160
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.0180
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0140
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.9875
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.9835
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0125
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.0130
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9825
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.0180
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9820
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.0180
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.0180
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9855
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.0145
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.0185
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0170
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.0175
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9815
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.9825
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.9820
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.9825
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.9825
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.0165
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.0175
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.0190
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.9815
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.9820
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.9815
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.9815
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.0175
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9815
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0185
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.0190
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9820
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0190
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0205
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9790
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0220
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9780
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9795
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9795
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9795
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9795
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9820
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0185
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0200
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9805
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9800
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0210
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0215
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0215
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9785
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9795
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9795
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0215
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0290
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0285
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0340
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0340
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9660
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9620
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0390
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0390
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9610
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0390
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0390
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.8925
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.1485
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.1575
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.1225
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.1205
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.8965
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9060
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9060
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0980
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.8960
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.1040
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.8980
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9045
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9005
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9010
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9025
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0975
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0945
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9050
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.1000
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.1000
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0935
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.9045
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.1040
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.8960
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.1160
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.8840
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.1155
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.1135
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.1130
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.8870
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545313
Question: Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Volume: 241190.833794
Price History:
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.8860
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.1045
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0985
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0805
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0780
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0785
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0785
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0755
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0760
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.0760
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9240
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0755
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0740
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9390
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9355
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0655
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0660
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9340
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9405
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0725
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0945
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0945
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0985
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0965
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.1005
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0930
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0860
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9280
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9700
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.4900
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.5100
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.4900
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.5100
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.5450
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.4550
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.4550
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.5450
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.5350
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.4650
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.5350
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.4650
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.5350
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.4650
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.5350
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.4650
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.5350
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.4650
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.5450
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.5050
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.4950
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.5300
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.4700
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.4800
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.5200
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.4850
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.5150
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.4850
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 200.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5367, Price range: 0.4808 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.5500
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.5450
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.5450
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.5450
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.4500
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.5500
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.5400
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.4600
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.5400
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.4600
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.5300
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.4700
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.5450
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.4550
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.5400
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.4600
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.4600
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.5400
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.5500
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.4500
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.4550
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.5450
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.5350
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.4650
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.4800
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.5200
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 122.15, Sell volume: 30.87, Average price: 0.5198, Price range: 0.4266 - 0.5800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.4750
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.5250
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.5250
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.4750
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.5200
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.4500
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.5500
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.4500
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.5500
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.4850
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 130.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5621, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.5800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.5450
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.4750
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.5250
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.4750
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.5250
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.4650
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.5350
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.4650
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.5350
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.4650
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.5350
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.5250
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.4750
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.6200
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.3800
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.5850
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.4150
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.4200
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.5800
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.6300
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.3700
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.6300
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.3700
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.3400
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 161.63, Sell volume: 23.88, Average price: 0.5388, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.6500
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.3500
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.6400
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.3600
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.6400
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.3600
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.3600
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.6400
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.3500
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.6500
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.6500
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.3500
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 13.83, Sell volume: 0.65, Average price: 0.5833, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.2950
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.2950
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.7050
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.2950
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.7050
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.2950
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.7050
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.2950
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.7050
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.7050
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.2950
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.2950
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.7050
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.7050
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.2950
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.2800
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.7200
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.7250
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.2750
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.7250
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.2750
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.2500
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.7500
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.7700
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.2300
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.2350
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.7650
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 162.39, Sell volume: 1.72, Average price: 0.4285, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.3050
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.6950
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.3050
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.6950
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.3050
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.6950
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.2350
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.7650
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.2450
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 466.20, Sell volume: 103.83, Average price: 0.5446, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.7800
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.7700
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.2300
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.7750
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.2250
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.7750
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.2250
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.7750
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.2250
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.7700
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.2300
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.7700
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.2300
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.7700
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.2300
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.7750
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.2250
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.7700
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.2300
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.2250
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.7750
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.2300
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.7700
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.2300
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.7700
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.7700
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.2300
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.7700
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.2300
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 74.07, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2700, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.2700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.7700
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.2300
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.2300
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.7700
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.7700
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.2300
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.7800
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.2200
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.7800
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.2200
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.7800
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.2200
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.7800
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.2200
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 108.08, Sell volume: 3.63, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.1850
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.1650
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.8350
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.8300
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.8200
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.1800
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.8200
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.1800
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.8400
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.1600
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.8400
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.1600
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.8400
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.1600
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.8300
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.8300
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.1700
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.8400
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.1600
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.8450
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.1550
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.1550
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.8450
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.8400
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.1600
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.8400
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.1600
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 49.30, Sell volume: 94.33, Average price: 0.2691, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.8800
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.1200
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.8800
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.1200
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.8800
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.1200
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.8600
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.1400
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.7450
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.2550
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.7450
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.2550
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.7450
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.2550
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.2750
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.2600
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7400
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.6700
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.3300
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3300
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.6700
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 569.39, Sell volume: 88.74, Average price: 0.3729, Price range: 0.1486 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.2850
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.7150
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.2850
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.7150
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.2850
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.7150
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.2850
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.7150
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.2850
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.7150
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.2850
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.7150
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.2850
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.7150
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.2850
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.7150
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.2800
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.7200
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 8023.72, Sell volume: 1867.85, Average price: 0.5343, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8859
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600700
Question: Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Volume: 79885.821478
Price History:
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.1550
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.1600
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.8400
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.1350
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.8650
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.1350
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.8650
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.1450
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.8550
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1450
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.8550
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.1450
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.8550
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.1350
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 16528.79, Sell volume: 4353.26, Average price: 0.5160, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.4200
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.9050
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0550
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9645
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0260
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.9765
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0205
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9800
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0220
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.9755
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0210
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9785
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0225
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9780
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0215
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.9775
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0235
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9775
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0245
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9765
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0195
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9775
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.0250
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.9740
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0280
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.9750
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0265
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.9770
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0235
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.9785
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0215
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.9760
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0240
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.9785
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0230
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9750
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0245
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.9755
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0190
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.9775
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0225
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.9745
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0245
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.9755
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0260
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9735
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0270
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9730
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0280
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9730
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0270
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9710
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0290
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9805
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0180
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9805
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0185
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9785
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0185
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9815
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0145
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9800
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0190
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9865
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0135
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9860
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0135
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9860
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0140
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9860
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0140
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9860
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0140
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9860
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0140
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9860
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0205
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.9790
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0235
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.9770
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0230
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.9770
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0225
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.9770
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0230
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9770
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0230
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.9770
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0230
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9770
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0230
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9770
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0230
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.9770
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0230
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9770
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0230
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.9770
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0230
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.9770
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0225
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.9770
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0230
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.9770
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0230
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.9770
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0230
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.9770
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0230
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9770
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0225
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.9775
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0210
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.9775
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0230
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9775
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0230
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.9770
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0230
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.9775
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0220
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9775
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0220
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.9775
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0225
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.9780
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0220
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.9800
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0200
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.9800
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0185
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.9815
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0185
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9815
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0185
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.9815
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0210
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.9815
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0210
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.9805
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0185
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.9815
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0205
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.9805
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0210
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9810
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0185
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9805
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0195
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.9805
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0195
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.9795
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0205
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.9815
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0185
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.9795
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0195
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.9790
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0210
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.9815
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0210
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.9790
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0210
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.9785
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0195
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.9790
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0210
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.9815
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0195
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9810
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0200
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9795
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0180
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.9815
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0200
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.9800
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0190
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.9805
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0200
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.9815
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0190
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.9820
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0185
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.9820
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0185
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.9820
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0190
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.9820
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0180
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.9810
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0190
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.9815
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0185
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.9815
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0195
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.9810
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0190
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.9810
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0190
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9810
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0190
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.9820
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0200
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.9815
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0165
2025-07-01 04:00: 0.9810
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0185
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.9800
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0200
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.9800
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0200
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.9785
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0210
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.9815
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0185
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.9815
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0185
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.9815
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0185
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.9815
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0185
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.9815
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.0185
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.9815
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0185
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.9815
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0185
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.9815
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.0185
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.9815
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.0185
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.9815
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0185
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.9815
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0185
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.9815
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.0185
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.9815
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0185
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.9815
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.0185
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.9815
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0185
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.9815
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.0185
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.9815
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.0185
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.9815
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0185
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.9815
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0185
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9810
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0190
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.9810
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0190
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.9810
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0185
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9815
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0185
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.9815
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0185
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.9815
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0185
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.9815
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0185
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.9815
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0185
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.9815
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0185
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.9815
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0185
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.9815
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.0185
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9815
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0185
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.9815
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.0105
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.9895
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0095
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.9895
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0100
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.9900
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0095
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.9890
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0100
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9900
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0105
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9885
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0100
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0100
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9880
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0125
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0055
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9945
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.9970
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0030
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.9970
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.9970
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.0030
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.9970
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.0030
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.9970
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.0025
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.9975
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.0025
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.9975
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.0025
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.9975
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.9975
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.9975
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.0025
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.9975
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.0025
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.9975
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0025
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.9975
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.0025
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.9975
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.0025
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.9975
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.0020
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.9980
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.0020
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.9975
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.9975
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0025
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.9975
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.0025
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.9975
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0025
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.9975
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0025
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.9975
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0025
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.9975
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0025
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.9975
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.0025
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.9975
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0025
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.9975
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.9975
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.0025
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.9975
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.0025
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.9980
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.0020
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.9985
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.0020
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.9980
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.0020
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.9980
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0020
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.9980
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0020
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.9980
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.0020
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.9980
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.9980
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.9980
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9980
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.0020
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9980
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.9980
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.9980
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0020
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0025
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.9975
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9975
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.9975
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0025
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9975
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.9975
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0025
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.9980
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.0020
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.9980
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0020
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.0020
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9980
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0020
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0020
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9980
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9980
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0020
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9980
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.9980
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9980
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.9980
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.0020
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9980
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.0020
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9980
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.0020
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.9980
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.0020
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9980
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.0020
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9980
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0020
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.9980
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.9980
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.9980
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.9980
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9980
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.0020
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.0020
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.9980
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.0020
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.0020
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.9980
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9980
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.9980
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.9980
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9980
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.0020
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0020
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.0020
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.9980
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.9980
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.9980
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.0020
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9980
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.9980
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9980
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.9980
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.9980
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.0020
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.0020
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9980
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.9980
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9980
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9980
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0020
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.0020
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.0020
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.9980
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.9980
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.9980
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9980
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.9980
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.0020
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.0020
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.0020
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.0020
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.9980
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0020
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.9980
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.0020
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9980
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0020
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0020
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545314
Question: Will Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72490.202756
Price History:
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0020
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9985
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0015
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0015
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes