Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.0060
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.9940
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0070
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.9940
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.0060
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.9930
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.0055
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.9955
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.0045
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.9945
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0050
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.9955
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.0050
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.9950
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.0045
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.9955
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.0050
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.9950
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.0050
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.9950
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.9950
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.0050
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.9950
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.0050
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.9950
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0050
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.9950
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0045
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2999.89, Sell volume: 2158.34, Average price: 0.5107, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.0050
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.9955
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.0050
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.9950
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0050
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.9950
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0050
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.9965
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.9990
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.0045
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.9955
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.9990
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 299, Buy volume: 56770.53, Sell volume: 15887.08, Average price: 0.4718, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2024-11-07 18:00: 0.4450
2024-11-07 20:00: 0.6950
2024-11-07 23:00: 0.0900
2024-11-08 01:00: 0.9350
2024-11-08 04:00: 0.1550
2024-11-08 06:00: 0.8600
2024-11-08 09:00: 0.0900
2024-11-08 11:00: 0.9100
2024-11-08 14:00: 0.0800
2024-11-08 16:00: 0.9250
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.0700
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.9300
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.0700
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.9300
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.0700
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.9350
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.0700
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.9350
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.0550
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.9300
2024-11-09 20:00: 0.0700
2024-11-09 22:00: 0.9300
2024-11-10 01:00: 0.0700
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.9350
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.0650
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.9350
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.0550
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.9450
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.0550
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.9450
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.0550
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.9450
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.0550
2024-11-11 04:00: 0.9450
2024-11-11 07:00: 0.0550
2024-11-11 09:00: 0.9450
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.0550
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.9450
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.0550
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.9450
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.0500
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.9500
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.0500
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.9500
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0500
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.9500
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.0500
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.9500
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.0500
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 731.20, Sell volume: 135.88, Average price: 0.7476, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0445
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.9555
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0495
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9505
2024-11-13 23:00: 0.0445
2024-11-14 01:00: 0.9600
2024-11-14 04:00: 0.0395
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.9550
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.0370
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.9655
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.0400
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.9665
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.0315
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.9710
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.0325
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.9720
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.0275
2024-11-15 07:00: 0.9720
2024-11-15 10:00: 0.0275
2024-11-15 12:00: 0.9750
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.0205
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.9750
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.0190
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.9770
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0265
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.9830
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.0140
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.9790
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.0165
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.9830
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.0225
2024-11-16 18:00: 0.9765
2024-11-16 21:00: 0.0365
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.9615
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.0445
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.9575
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0320
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.9705
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.0250
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.9740
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.0255
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.9735
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.0240
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.9745
2024-11-18 03:00: 0.0235
2024-11-18 05:00: 0.9830
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.0185
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.9845
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0175
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 293.66, Sell volume: 41.00, Average price: 0.6605, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.0175
2024-11-19 10:00: 0.9880
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.0055
2024-11-19 15:00: 0.9940
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.0045
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.9955
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.0085
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.9930
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.0175
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.9845
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.0155
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.9840
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.0130
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.9895
2024-11-20 19:00: 0.0110
2024-11-20 21:00: 0.9900
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.0090
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.9915
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.0095
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.9900
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.0080
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.9915
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.0085
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.9880
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0240
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.9535
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.0465
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.9540
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.0375
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.9640
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.0325
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.9685
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0250
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.9755
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.0220
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.9790
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0230
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.9765
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.0195
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.9770
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.0170
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.9905
2024-11-23 17:00: 0.0080
2024-11-23 19:00: 0.9920
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0090
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.9905
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.0095
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.9905
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0095
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 356, Buy volume: 39892.42, Sell volume: 22054.54, Average price: 0.6201, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.0105
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.9900
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0090
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.9900
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.0090
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.9915
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.0075
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.9920
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.0080
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.9910
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.0090
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.9915
2024-11-26 09:00: 0.0090
2024-11-26 11:00: 0.9895
2024-11-26 14:00: 0.0095
2024-11-26 16:00: 0.9915
2024-11-26 19:00: 0.0075
2024-11-26 21:00: 0.9905
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.0075
2024-11-27 02:00: 0.9925
2024-11-27 05:00: 0.0070
2024-11-27 07:00: 0.9935
2024-11-27 10:00: 0.0095
2024-11-27 12:00: 0.9930
2024-11-27 15:00: 0.0080
2024-11-27 17:00: 0.9930
2024-11-27 20:00: 0.0075
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.9930
2024-11-28 01:00: 0.0065
2024-11-28 03:00: 0.9930
2024-11-28 06:00: 0.0070
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.9930
2024-11-28 11:00: 0.0070
2024-11-28 13:00: 0.9920
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.0085
2024-11-28 18:00: 0.9920
2024-11-28 21:00: 0.0085
2024-11-28 23:00: 0.9905
2024-11-29 02:00: 0.0105
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.9915
2024-11-29 07:00: 0.0090
2024-11-29 09:00: 0.9935
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.0075
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.9930
2024-11-29 17:00: 0.0070
2024-11-29 19:00: 0.9935
2024-11-29 22:00: 0.0070
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.9930
2024-11-30 03:00: 0.0075
2024-11-30 05:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 16.10, Sell volume: 154.53, Average price: 0.9127, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2024-11-30 22:00: 0.0070
2024-12-01 00:00: 0.9930
2024-12-01 03:00: 0.0065
2024-12-01 05:00: 0.9570
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.0150
2024-12-01 10:00: 0.9860
2024-12-01 13:00: 0.0120
2024-12-01 15:00: 0.9900
2024-12-01 18:00: 0.0100
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.9890
2024-12-01 23:00: 0.0145
2024-12-02 01:00: 0.9905
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.0100
2024-12-02 06:00: 0.9925
2024-12-02 09:00: 0.0085
2024-12-02 11:00: 0.9920
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.0070
2024-12-02 16:00: 0.9910
2024-12-02 19:00: 0.0080
2024-12-02 21:00: 0.9950
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.0060
2024-12-03 02:00: 0.9940
2024-12-03 05:00: 0.0055
2024-12-03 07:00: 0.9950
2024-12-03 10:00: 0.0055
2024-12-03 12:00: 0.9945
2024-12-03 15:00: 0.0060
2024-12-03 17:00: 0.9945
2024-12-03 20:00: 0.0095
2024-12-03 22:00: 0.9885
2024-12-04 01:00: 0.0105
2024-12-04 03:00: 0.9895
2024-12-04 06:00: 0.0100
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.9895
2024-12-04 11:00: 0.0095
2024-12-04 13:00: 0.9895
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.0095
2024-12-04 18:00: 0.9895
2024-12-04 21:00: 0.0100
2024-12-04 23:00: 0.9660
2024-12-05 02:00: 0.0340
2024-12-05 04:00: 0.9660
2024-12-05 07:00: 0.0250
2024-12-05 09:00: 0.9760
2024-12-05 12:00: 0.0235
2024-12-05 14:00: 0.9825
2024-12-05 17:00: 0.0145
2024-12-05 19:00: 0.9765
2024-12-05 22:00: 0.0235
2024-12-06 00:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 243.94, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0240, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.0410

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.0430
2024-12-06 19:00: 0.9570
2024-12-06 22:00: 0.0430
2024-12-07 00:00: 0.9685
2024-12-07 03:00: 0.0175
2024-12-07 05:00: 0.9840
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.0140
2024-12-07 10:00: 0.9855
2024-12-07 13:00: 0.0140
2024-12-07 15:00: 0.9870
2024-12-07 18:00: 0.0130
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.9870
2024-12-07 23:00: 0.0135
2024-12-08 01:00: 0.9860
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.0140
2024-12-08 06:00: 0.9870
2024-12-08 09:00: 0.0140
2024-12-08 11:00: 0.9845
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.0150
2024-12-08 16:00: 0.9855
2024-12-08 19:00: 0.0140
2024-12-08 21:00: 0.9860
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.0145
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.9855
2024-12-09 05:00: 0.0150
2024-12-09 07:00: 0.9855
2024-12-09 10:00: 0.0320
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.9665
2024-12-09 15:00: 0.0340
2024-12-09 17:00: 0.9660
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.0315
2024-12-09 22:00: 0.9800
2024-12-10 01:00: 0.0190
2024-12-10 03:00: 0.9815
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.0170
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.9835
2024-12-10 11:00: 0.0175
2024-12-10 13:00: 0.9835
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.0160
2024-12-10 18:00: 0.9845
2024-12-10 21:00: 0.0145
2024-12-10 23:00: 0.9850
2024-12-11 02:00: 0.0150
2024-12-11 04:00: 0.9850
2024-12-11 07:00: 0.0150
2024-12-11 09:00: 0.9855
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.0145
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.9855
2024-12-11 17:00: 0.0145
2024-12-11 19:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 356, Buy volume: 39892.42, Sell volume: 22054.54, Average price: 0.6201, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.0155
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.9845
2024-12-12 17:00: 0.0150
2024-12-12 19:00: 0.9855
2024-12-12 22:00: 0.0145
2024-12-13 00:00: 0.9850
2024-12-13 03:00: 0.0145
2024-12-13 05:00: 0.9855
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.0150
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.9855
2024-12-13 13:00: 0.0150
2024-12-13 15:00: 0.9855
2024-12-13 18:00: 0.0145
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.9855
2024-12-13 23:00: 0.0150
2024-12-14 01:00: 0.9580
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.0430
2024-12-14 06:00: 0.9570
2024-12-14 09:00: 0.0150
2024-12-14 11:00: 0.9860
2024-12-14 14:00: 0.0135
2024-12-14 16:00: 0.9860
2024-12-14 19:00: 0.0150
2024-12-14 21:00: 0.9850
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.0145
2024-12-15 02:00: 0.9850
2024-12-15 05:00: 0.0145
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.9670
2024-12-15 10:00: 0.0435
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.9565
2024-12-15 15:00: 0.0435
2024-12-15 17:00: 0.9565
2024-12-15 20:00: 0.0430
2024-12-15 22:00: 0.9570
2024-12-16 01:00: 0.0425
2024-12-16 03:00: 0.9570
2024-12-16 06:00: 0.0430
2024-12-16 08:00: 0.9815
2024-12-16 11:00: 0.0145
2024-12-16 13:00: 0.9855
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.0140
2024-12-16 18:00: 0.9790
2024-12-16 21:00: 0.0230
2024-12-16 23:00: 0.9765
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.0195
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.9845
2024-12-17 07:00: 0.0180
2024-12-17 09:00: 0.9845
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.0150
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0250, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.0250

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.0130
2024-12-18 09:00: 0.9845
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.0150
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.9855
2024-12-18 17:00: 0.0150
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.9855
2024-12-18 22:00: 0.0150
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.9855
2024-12-19 03:00: 0.0150
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.9850
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.0150
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.9855
2024-12-19 13:00: 0.0150
2024-12-19 15:00: 0.9855
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.0150
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.9850
2024-12-19 23:00: 0.0145
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.9850
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.0435
2024-12-20 06:00: 0.9570
2024-12-20 09:00: 0.0430
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.9565
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.0435
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.9565
2024-12-20 19:00: 0.0435
2024-12-20 21:00: 0.9565
2024-12-21 00:00: 0.0220
2024-12-21 02:00: 0.9840
2024-12-21 05:00: 0.0140
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.9850
2024-12-21 10:00: 0.0150
2024-12-21 12:00: 0.9850
2024-12-21 15:00: 0.0145
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.9855
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.0130
2024-12-21 22:00: 0.9880
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.0145
2024-12-22 03:00: 0.9855
2024-12-22 06:00: 0.0145
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.9855
2024-12-22 11:00: 0.0145
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.9855
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.0135
2024-12-22 18:00: 0.9865
2024-12-22 21:00: 0.0130
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.9880
2024-12-23 02:00: 0.0130
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.9870
2024-12-23 07:00: 0.0105
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 249.54, Sell volume: 79.98, Average price: 0.4134, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.0090
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.9905
2024-12-24 07:00: 0.0090
2024-12-24 09:00: 0.9905
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.0095
2024-12-24 14:00: 0.9895
2024-12-24 17:00: 0.0095
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.9890
2024-12-24 22:00: 0.0095
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.9905
2024-12-25 03:00: 0.0085
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.9910
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.0095
2024-12-25 10:00: 0.9910
2024-12-25 13:00: 0.0090
2024-12-25 15:00: 0.9910
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.0110
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.9895
2024-12-25 23:00: 0.0110
2024-12-26 01:00: 0.9895
2024-12-26 04:00: 0.0095
2024-12-26 06:00: 0.9895
2024-12-26 09:00: 0.0100
2024-12-26 11:00: 0.9880
2024-12-26 14:00: 0.0120
2024-12-26 16:00: 0.9925
2024-12-26 19:00: 0.0065
2024-12-26 21:00: 0.9935
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.0070
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.9930
2024-12-27 05:00: 0.0080
2024-12-27 07:00: 0.9925
2024-12-27 10:00: 0.0070
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.9935
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.0055
2024-12-27 17:00: 0.9940
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0050
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.9950
2024-12-28 01:00: 0.0050
2024-12-28 03:00: 0.9940
2024-12-28 06:00: 0.0050
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.9950
2024-12-28 11:00: 0.0050
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.9950
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.0050
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.9945
2024-12-28 21:00: 0.0050
2024-12-28 23:00: 0.9955
2024-12-29 02:00: 0.0050
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 373.97, Sell volume: 26.84, Average price: 0.8718, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9969

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2024-12-29 21:00: 0.0040
2024-12-29 23:00: 0.9960
2024-12-30 02:00: 0.0035
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.9960
2024-12-30 07:00: 0.0035
2024-12-30 09:00: 0.9960
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0040
2024-12-30 14:00: 0.9960
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.0040
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.9960
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.0035
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.9960
2024-12-31 03:00: 0.0040
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.9960
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.0040
2024-12-31 10:00: 0.9960
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.0035
2024-12-31 15:00: 0.9960
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.9970
2024-12-31 23:00: 0.0030
2025-01-01 01:00: 0.9970
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.9970
2025-01-01 09:00: 0.0030
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.9970
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.0055
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.9950
2025-01-01 19:00: 0.0065
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.9935
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.0055
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.9955
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.0065
2025-01-02 07:00: 0.9940
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.0060
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.9950
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.0060
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.9880
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.0055
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.9930
2025-01-03 01:00: 0.0060
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.9955
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.0060
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.9950
2025-01-03 11:00: 0.0025
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.9975
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.9975
2025-01-03 21:00: 0.0025
2025-01-03 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 890.20, Sell volume: 77.52, Average price: 0.7765, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.9975
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.0025
2025-01-04 23:00: 0.9975
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.0025
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.9975
2025-01-05 07:00: 0.0025
2025-01-05 09:00: 0.9975
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.9975
2025-01-05 17:00: 0.0025
2025-01-05 19:00: 0.9975
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.0025
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.9975
2025-01-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.9975
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-06 10:00: 0.9975
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.0025
2025-01-06 15:00: 0.9975
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.0025
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.9975
2025-01-06 23:00: 0.0025
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.9975
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.9975
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.0025
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.9975
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.0025
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.9975
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.0025
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.9975
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.9975
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.0020
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.9980
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.0020
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.9980
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.0020
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.9985
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.9985
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.9985
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.9985
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 114.10, Sell volume: 49.92, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.9985
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.9985
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.9985
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.9985
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0055
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.9945
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.0055
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.9950
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0045
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.9945
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.0045
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.9945
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.9950
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.0045
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.9955
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.0045
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.9955
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.0050
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.9955
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.0045
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.9960
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.0045
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.9955
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.0040
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.9955
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.0045
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.9960
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0035
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.9965
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.0035
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.9965
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.0035
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.9975
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.0025
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.9975
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0025
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.9975
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.9975
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.9975
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 236.70, Sell volume: 1779.83, Average price: 0.4004, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.9975
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.9975
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.9975
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.9975
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.9975
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.9975
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.9995
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.9980
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.0020
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.9945
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.0020
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.9980
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.9980
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0020
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.9980
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 203, Buy volume: 36742.22, Sell volume: 19697.66, Average price: 0.5665, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2024-11-07 18:00: 0.4450
2024-11-07 22:00: 0.7350
2024-11-08 03:00: 0.1600
2024-11-08 07:00: 0.9000
2024-11-08 12:00: 0.0900
2024-11-08 16:00: 0.9250
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.0700
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.9300
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.0650
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.9300
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.0550
2024-11-09 19:00: 0.9350
2024-11-10 00:00: 0.0700
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.9350
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.0550
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.9450
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.0550
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.9450
2024-11-11 03:00: 0.0550
2024-11-11 07:00: 0.9450
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.0550
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.9450
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.0500
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.9500
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.0500
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.9500
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.0500
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.9500
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0550
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 731.20, Sell volume: 135.88, Average price: 0.7476, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0445
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.9555
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0445
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.9600
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.0390
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.9655
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.0335
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.9675
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.0325
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.9725
2024-11-15 10:00: 0.0275
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.9775
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.0185
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.9785
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0165
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.9790
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0170
2024-11-16 17:00: 0.9750
2024-11-16 22:00: 0.0380
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.9555
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0320
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.9750
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0240
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.9770
2024-11-18 01:00: 0.0230
2024-11-18 05:00: 0.9830
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.0155
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.9810
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.0115
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 293.66, Sell volume: 41.00, Average price: 0.6605, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.0175
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.9950
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0060
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.9925
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.0145
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.9845
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.0160
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.9885
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.0095
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.9910
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.0095
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.9905
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0085
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.9870
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.0450
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.9540
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.0360
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.9695
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.0255
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.9780
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0230
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.9785
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.0215
2024-11-23 15:00: 0.9910
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0095
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.9905
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0095
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.9910
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0080
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 356, Buy volume: 39892.42, Sell volume: 22054.54, Average price: 0.6201, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.0105
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.9900
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.0090
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.9915
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.0095
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.9910
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.0085
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.9920
2024-11-26 15:00: 0.0095
2024-11-26 19:00: 0.9925
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.0075
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.9920
2024-11-27 09:00: 0.0075
2024-11-27 13:00: 0.9930
2024-11-27 18:00: 0.0070
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.9930
2024-11-28 03:00: 0.0070
2024-11-28 07:00: 0.9930
2024-11-28 12:00: 0.0065
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.9915
2024-11-28 21:00: 0.0085
2024-11-29 01:00: 0.9890
2024-11-29 06:00: 0.0085
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.9905
2024-11-29 15:00: 0.0085
2024-11-29 19:00: 0.9935
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.0070
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.9930
2024-11-30 09:00: 0.0090
2024-11-30 13:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 16.10, Sell volume: 154.53, Average price: 0.9127, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2024-11-30 22:00: 0.0070
2024-12-01 02:00: 0.9925
2024-12-01 07:00: 0.0160
2024-12-01 11:00: 0.9870
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.0095
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.9890
2024-12-02 01:00: 0.0095
2024-12-02 05:00: 0.9915
2024-12-02 10:00: 0.0085
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.9930
2024-12-02 19:00: 0.0080
2024-12-02 23:00: 0.9945
2024-12-03 04:00: 0.0055
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.9940
2024-12-03 13:00: 0.0055
2024-12-03 17:00: 0.9945
2024-12-03 22:00: 0.0115
2024-12-04 02:00: 0.9910
2024-12-04 07:00: 0.0090
2024-12-04 11:00: 0.9905
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.0095
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.9890
2024-12-05 01:00: 0.0340
2024-12-05 05:00: 0.9750
2024-12-05 10:00: 0.0240
2024-12-05 14:00: 0.9825
2024-12-05 19:00: 0.0235
2024-12-05 23:00: 0.9765
2024-12-06 04:00: 0.0230
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 243.94, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0240, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.0410
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.0430
2024-12-06 21:00: 0.9575
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.0220
2024-12-07 06:00: 0.9845
2024-12-07 11:00: 0.0140
2024-12-07 15:00: 0.9870
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.0130
2024-12-08 00:00: 0.9855
2024-12-08 05:00: 0.0145
2024-12-08 09:00: 0.9860
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.0150
2024-12-08 18:00: 0.9860
2024-12-08 23:00: 0.0145
2024-12-09 03:00: 0.9855
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.0145
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.9665
2024-12-09 17:00: 0.0340
2024-12-09 21:00: 0.9705
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.0190
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.9830
2024-12-10 11:00: 0.0175
2024-12-10 15:00: 0.9835
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.0145
2024-12-11 00:00: 0.9850
2024-12-11 05:00: 0.0150
2024-12-11 09:00: 0.9855
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.0145
2024-12-11 18:00: 0.9855
2024-12-11 23:00: 0.0145
2024-12-12 03:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 356, Buy volume: 39892.42, Sell volume: 22054.54, Average price: 0.6201, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.0155
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.9855
2024-12-12 21:00: 0.0150
2024-12-13 01:00: 0.9855
2024-12-13 06:00: 0.0145
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.9855
2024-12-13 15:00: 0.0145
2024-12-13 19:00: 0.9855
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.0145
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.9570
2024-12-14 09:00: 0.0150
2024-12-14 13:00: 0.9850
2024-12-14 18:00: 0.0150
2024-12-14 22:00: 0.9855
2024-12-15 03:00: 0.0145
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.9670
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.0435
2024-12-15 16:00: 0.9565
2024-12-15 21:00: 0.0430
2024-12-16 01:00: 0.9575
2024-12-16 06:00: 0.0430
2024-12-16 10:00: 0.9835
2024-12-16 15:00: 0.0140
2024-12-16 19:00: 0.9765
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.0230
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.9845
2024-12-17 09:00: 0.0155
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.9860
2024-12-17 18:00: 0.0125
2024-12-17 22:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0250, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.0250
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.0130
2024-12-18 11:00: 0.9850
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.0150
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.9855
2024-12-19 01:00: 0.0145
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.9850
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.0145
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.9850
2024-12-19 19:00: 0.0150
2024-12-19 23:00: 0.9855
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.0435
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.9565
2024-12-20 13:00: 0.0435
2024-12-20 17:00: 0.9565
2024-12-20 22:00: 0.0430
2024-12-21 02:00: 0.9840
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.0150
2024-12-21 11:00: 0.9860
2024-12-21 16:00: 0.0145
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.9870
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.0145
2024-12-22 05:00: 0.9855
2024-12-22 10:00: 0.0140
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.9855
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.0125
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.9880
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.0130
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.9910
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.0090
2024-12-23 17:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 249.54, Sell volume: 79.98, Average price: 0.4134, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.0090
2024-12-24 06:00: 0.9900
2024-12-24 11:00: 0.0090
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.9905
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.0090
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.9905
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.0090
2024-12-25 09:00: 0.9910
2024-12-25 14:00: 0.0095
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.9890
2024-12-25 23:00: 0.0110
2024-12-26 03:00: 0.9890
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.0100
2024-12-26 12:00: 0.9885
2024-12-26 17:00: 0.0075
2024-12-26 21:00: 0.9935
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.0070
2024-12-27 06:00: 0.9920
2024-12-27 11:00: 0.0065
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.9945
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0050
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.9945
2024-12-28 05:00: 0.0050
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.9950
2024-12-28 14:00: 0.0050
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.9945
2024-12-28 23:00: 0.0045
2024-12-29 03:00: 0.9950
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.0050
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 373.97, Sell volume: 26.84, Average price: 0.8718, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9969
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2024-12-29 21:00: 0.0040
2024-12-30 01:00: 0.9965
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.0040
2024-12-30 10:00: 0.9960
2024-12-30 15:00: 0.0040
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.9960
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0040
2024-12-31 04:00: 0.9960
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.0040
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.9965
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 22:00: 0.9970
2025-01-01 03:00: 0.0030
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.9975
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.9950
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.0065
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.9940
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.0050
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.9940
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.0060
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.9920
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0065
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.9960
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.0070
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.9975
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.0025
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.9975
2025-01-04 03:00: 0.0025
2025-01-04 07:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 890.20, Sell volume: 77.52, Average price: 0.7765, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.9975
2025-01-05 01:00: 0.0025
2025-01-05 05:00: 0.9975
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.0025
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.9975
2025-01-05 19:00: 0.0025
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.9975
2025-01-06 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.9975
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.0025
2025-01-06 17:00: 0.9975
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.0025
2025-01-07 02:00: 0.9975
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.9975
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.9975
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.9980
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.0020
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.9985
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.9985
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.9985
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 114.10, Sell volume: 49.92, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.9985
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.0055
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.9950
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.0055
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.9955
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.9955
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.0055
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.9955
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.0050
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.9960
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.0045
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.9955
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.9965
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.0035
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.9965
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.0025
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.9975
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.9975
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.9975
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 236.70, Sell volume: 1779.83, Average price: 0.4004, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512319
Question: Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 61946.968681
Price History:
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.9975
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.9975
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.9975
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.9995
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.9980
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.0025
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.9980
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.0020
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.9980
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0010
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 203, Buy volume: 36742.22, Sell volume: 19697.66, Average price: 0.5665, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.4950
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.4850
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.4500
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.3750
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.4850
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.3350
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.4650
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.4400
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.3650
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.4150
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.4050
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.3400
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.2000
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.4650
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.4700
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.4350
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.4250
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.4600
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.4700
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.4500
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.4000
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.3550
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.4750
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.4300
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.2250
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.2750
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.4250
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.4000
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.4100
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.4950
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.4950
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.4600
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.4550
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.4550
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 22237.12, Sell volume: 723.97, Average price: 0.5137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.4850
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.4800
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.4150
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.4400
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.4800
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.4900
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.4850
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.4850
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.4750
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.4850
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.4750
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.4400
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.4750
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.4700
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.4700
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.4850
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.4700
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.4700
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.4650
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.4400
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.4900
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.5000
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.4350
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.4800
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.4800
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.4800
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.4600
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.4350
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.4450
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.4850
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 218.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6600, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.4700
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.4400
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.4400
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.4200
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.4200
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.4200
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.4200
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.4700
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.4750
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.4000
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.3950
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.3600
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.3600
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.3600
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.3600
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.3600
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.3600
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.3600
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.3500
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.3500
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.3500
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.3500
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.3500
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.3500
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.3500
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.3500
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.3500
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.3500
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.3500
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.3500
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.3500
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.3500
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.3500
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.3500
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.3500
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.3500
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.3500
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.3500
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 22237.12, Sell volume: 723.97, Average price: 0.5137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.3500
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.3500
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.3500
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.3500
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.3500
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.3500
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.3500
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.3500
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.3500
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.3500
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.3500
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.3500
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.3500
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.3500
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.3500
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.3500
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.3500
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.3500
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.3500
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.3500
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.3500
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.3500
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.3500
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.2400
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.2400
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.2400
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.2400
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.2400
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.2400
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.2400
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.2400
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.2400
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.2400
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 16.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.2400
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.2400
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.2400
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.2400
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.2400
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.2450
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.2450
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.2450
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.2450
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.2450
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.2450
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.2450
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.2450
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.2450
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.2450
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.2450
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.2450
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.2450
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.2450
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.2450
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.2450
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.2450
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.2450
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.2450
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.2450
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.2450
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.2450
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.2450
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.2450
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.2450
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.2450
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.2450
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.0250
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0255
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.0255
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0255
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.0255
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.0255
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.2445
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.2425
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.1745
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.2135
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.2115
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.2115
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.2115
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.2115
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.2115
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.2115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 22237.12, Sell volume: 723.97, Average price: 0.5137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.2115
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.2115
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.2115
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.2115
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.2115
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.2115
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.2115
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.2375
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.1915
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.1875
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.1765
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.1385
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.1205
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.4485
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.3595
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.3280
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.2995
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.2585
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.2255
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.1720
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.1610
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.1015
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.0655
2025-04-06 20:00: 0.4060
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.3355
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.2380
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.1635
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0980
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.0685
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.0370
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.0175
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.4320
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.3950
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.2825
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.2000
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.1290
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.1290
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.0965
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.0525
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.0130
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0130
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0195
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.0130
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0170
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0180
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0125
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.0175
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.4265
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.3515
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.3515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 22237.12, Sell volume: 723.97, Average price: 0.5137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.3515
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.3515
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.3515
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.3515
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.3515
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.3515
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.3515
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.3515
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.3515
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.3515
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.3515
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.3515
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.3515
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.3435
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.3345
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.3325
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.3275
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.3275
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.3955
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.3605
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.4470
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.4420
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.4470
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.4470
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.4470
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.4470
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.4990
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.4740
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.4990
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.4450
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.4420
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.4585
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.4825
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.3665
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.3690
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.4030
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.3850
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.3895
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.3970
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.3920
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.3905
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.3905
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.3920
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.4185
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.4285
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4710
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.3645
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.3230
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.2155
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.1755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 22237.12, Sell volume: 723.97, Average price: 0.5137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.1755
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.1755
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.4045
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.4030
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.4310
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.3955
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.4205
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.4195
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.4060
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.4930
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.4965
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.4990
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.4980
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.4960
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.4195
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.4170
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.4110
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.4965
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.4110
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.4210
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.4200
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.4030
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.4085
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.4940
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.4070
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.3635
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.3590
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.3570
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.3165
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.3170
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.3215
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.3520
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.3520
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.3520
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.3520
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.3520
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.3500
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.3420
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.3275
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.3275
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.3135
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.2485
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2200
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.3415
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.3415
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.3415
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.3415
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.3415
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.3415
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.3075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 22237.12, Sell volume: 723.97, Average price: 0.5137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.3075
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.3075
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.3475
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.2815
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.2630
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.2630
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.3305
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.2725
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.2710
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.2610
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.2610
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.2610
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.2610
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.2610
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.2610
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.2610
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.2610
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.2610
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.2610
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.2610
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.2610
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.2610
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.2610
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.2610
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.2610
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.2715
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.2715
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.2630
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.2610
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.2610
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.2610
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.2610
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.2610
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.2610
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.2610
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.2610
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.2610
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.2610
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.2610
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.2610
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.2615
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.2615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 22237.12, Sell volume: 723.97, Average price: 0.5137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.2705
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.2635
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.2720
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.2725
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.2720
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.2645
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.2695
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.2695
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.2615
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.2615
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2620
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.2615
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.2615
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.2615
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.2615
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2615
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.2615
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2615
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2615
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2620
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2615
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.2615
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.2615
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0255
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0155
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0170
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0170
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0195
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0170
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0160
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0195
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0210
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0170
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0170
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0165
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0165
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0175
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0170
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0170
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0175
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0195
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0165
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0185
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0155
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0165
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0160
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 22237.12, Sell volume: 723.97, Average price: 0.5137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0180
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0160
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0185
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0185
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0185
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0185
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0160
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0160
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0160
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0170
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0155
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0155
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0155
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0185
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0150
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0200
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0155
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0205
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0185
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0175
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0155
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.0155
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.0150
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0150
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.0160
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0155
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0150
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.0155
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0155
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.0155
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.0155
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0155
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.0155
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.0160
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.0190
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.0160
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.0140
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.0150
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.0145
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.0145
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.0145
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 22237.12, Sell volume: 723.97, Average price: 0.5137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.0145
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.0145
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.0145
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.0250
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.0300
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0305
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0250
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.0250
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.0250
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0195
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.0220
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.0100
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.0105
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0105
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.0095
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.0115
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0100
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0080
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0070
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.0075
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.0070
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0070
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0070
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.0070
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.0065
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0065
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0075
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0075
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0070
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0070
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0175
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.2005
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0150
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0140
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.0100
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0020
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0020
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0020
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0020
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.0020
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0325
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0320
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.0050
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0030
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.0030
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 1003.12, Sell volume: 168.64, Average price: 0.4816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 21000.00, Sell volume: 290.33, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.4500
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.3300
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.4850
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.4400
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.2900
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.1550
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.2000
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.4700
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.4550
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.4600
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.4750
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.3850
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.4750
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.2700
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.4250
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.4000
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.4950
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.4950
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.3900
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 22237.12, Sell volume: 723.97, Average price: 0.5137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.4850
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.4350
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.4000
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.4450
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.4800
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.4850
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.4250
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.4950
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.4700
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.4700
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.5000
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.4800
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.5000
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.4600
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.4550
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 218.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6600, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.4700
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.4750
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.4500
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.4200
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.4200
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.4200
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.4700
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.4650
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.3600
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.3600
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.3600
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.3600
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.3600
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.3500
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.3500
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.3500
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.3500
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.3500
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.3500
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.3500
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.3500
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.3500
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.3500
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.3500
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.3500
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 22237.12, Sell volume: 723.97, Average price: 0.5137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.3500
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.3500
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.3500
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.3500
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.3500
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.3500
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.3500
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.3500
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.3500
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.3500
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.3500
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.3500
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.3500
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.3500
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.3500
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.2400
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.2400
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.2400
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.2400
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.2400
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.2400
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 16.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.2400
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.2400
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.2400
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.2450
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.2450
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.2450
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.2450
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.2450
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.2450
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.2450
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.2450
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.2450
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.2450
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.2450
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.2450
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.2450
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.2450
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.2450
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0255
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0255
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0255
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.2445
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.1920
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.2115
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.2115
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.2115
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.2115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 22237.12, Sell volume: 723.97, Average price: 0.5137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.2115
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.2115
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.2115
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.2115
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.2445
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.1915
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.1765
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.1155
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.4155
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.3280
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.2825
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.2085
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.1610
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0875
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.3805
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.2380
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.1305
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.0595
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.0175
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.4170
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.2605
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.1290
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.1085
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0365
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0130
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0180
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.0170
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0125
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.0180
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.3515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 22237.12, Sell volume: 723.97, Average price: 0.5137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.3515
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.3515
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.3515
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.3515
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.3515
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.3515
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.3515
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.3515
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.3420
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.3325
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.3275
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.3825
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.4470
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.4470
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.4470
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.4470
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.4615
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.4970
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.4420
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.4980
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.4035
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.4030
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.3835
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.4910
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.3905
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.3855
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.4185
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4710
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.3495
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.1805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 22237.12, Sell volume: 723.97, Average price: 0.5137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.1755
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.4720
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.4030
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.3955
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.4175
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.4570
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.4965
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.4200
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.4900
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.4170
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.4110
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.4000
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.4200
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.4085
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.4175
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.3635
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.3610
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.3210
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.3215
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.3520
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.3520
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.3520
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.3420
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.3275
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.3135
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2200
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.3415
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.3415
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.3415
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.3415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 22237.12, Sell volume: 723.97, Average price: 0.5137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.3075
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.3495
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.2630
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.2630
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.2855
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.2685
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.2635
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.2610
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.2610
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.2610
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.2610
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.2610
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.2610
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.2610
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.2610
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.2610
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.2715
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.2630
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.2610
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.2610
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.2610
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.2610
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.2610
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.2610
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.2610
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.2615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 22237.12, Sell volume: 723.97, Average price: 0.5137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.2705
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.2725
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.2720
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.2645
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.2695
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.2615
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2620
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.2615
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2615
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2615
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.2615
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.2615
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2615
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.2615
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0255
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0170
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0165
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0165
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0165
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0170
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0170
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0175
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0175
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0185
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0180
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 22237.12, Sell volume: 723.97, Average price: 0.5137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0180
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0160
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0205
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0185
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0185
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0160
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0155
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0155
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0155
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0185
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0155
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0155
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0185
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0155
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.0150
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0150
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0155
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.0155
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.0155
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.0155
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.0155
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.0190
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.0210
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.0150
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.0145
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 22237.12, Sell volume: 723.97, Average price: 0.5137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.0145
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.0145
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.0250
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0305
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.0250
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.0250
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.0220
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.0100
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0120
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.0115
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.0100
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.0075
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.0070
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.0070
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.0065
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0070
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.0070
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0070
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.2040
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.0125
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.0100
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.0020
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.0020
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.0020
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.0325
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0030
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 1003.12, Sell volume: 168.64, Average price: 0.4816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525634
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 22961.09297
Price History:
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 21000.00, Sell volume: 290.33, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0400
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.9600
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0500
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.9500
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.0500
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.9500
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 851.67, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.0537, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.0600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0500
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9500
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0500
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.9500
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.0440
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9560
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0430
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9570
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0115
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1573.97, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 21000.00, Sell volume: 676.00, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 24450.63, Sell volume: 1634.08, Average price: 0.4169, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 24450.63, Sell volume: 1634.08, Average price: 0.4169, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 705.00, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 24450.63, Sell volume: 1634.08, Average price: 0.4169, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 24450.63, Sell volume: 1634.08, Average price: 0.4169, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 24450.63, Sell volume: 1634.08, Average price: 0.4169, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 24450.63, Sell volume: 1634.08, Average price: 0.4169, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 24450.63, Sell volume: 1634.08, Average price: 0.4169, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 24450.63, Sell volume: 1634.08, Average price: 0.4169, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 24450.63, Sell volume: 1634.08, Average price: 0.4169, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0400
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.9600
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0500
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.9500
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.0500
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.9500
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 851.67, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.0537, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.0600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0450
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0500
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9500
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0500
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.9500
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.0440
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9560
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0430
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9570
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0115
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1573.97, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 21000.00, Sell volume: 676.00, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 24450.63, Sell volume: 1634.08, Average price: 0.4169, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 24450.63, Sell volume: 1634.08, Average price: 0.4169, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 705.00, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 24450.63, Sell volume: 1634.08, Average price: 0.4169, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 24450.63, Sell volume: 1634.08, Average price: 0.4169, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 24450.63, Sell volume: 1634.08, Average price: 0.4169, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 24450.63, Sell volume: 1634.08, Average price: 0.4169, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 24450.63, Sell volume: 1634.08, Average price: 0.4169, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 24450.63, Sell volume: 1634.08, Average price: 0.4169, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525903
Question: Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 26084.711901
Price History:
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 24450.63, Sell volume: 1634.08, Average price: 0.4169, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0200
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.9800
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.0200
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9800
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0200
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1293.64, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.6749, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525904
Question: Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1303.628398
Price History:
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0270
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.9730
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.0275
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.9725
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0250
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9750
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0245
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.9755
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.0220
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.0150, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.0150

Output: Yes