Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631002
Question: Will the Democrats win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1140.376342
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631002
Question: Will the Democrats win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1140.376342
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2024-12-31 14:00: 0.5200
2025-01-01 01:00: 0.2950
2025-01-01 13:00: 0.7150
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.2900
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.7750
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.2550
2025-01-03 11:00: 0.7350
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.2550
2025-01-04 10:00: 0.7400
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.2550
2025-01-05 09:00: 0.7450
2025-01-05 20:00: 0.2650
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.7150
2025-01-06 19:00: 0.3100
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.7050
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.2850
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.7150
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.2850
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.7150
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.2850
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.7100
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.2950
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.7000
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.3350
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.6650
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.3250
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.6750
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.3250
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.6750
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.3200
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.6650
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.3300
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.6700
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.3250
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.6700
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.3200
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.7350
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.2650
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.7500
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.2450
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.7650
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.2200
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.7450
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.3300
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.6600
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.2950
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.6850
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.3350
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.6750
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 128445830.77, Sell volume: 92993468.99, Average price: 0.4498, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.3350
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.6500
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.3500
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.6550
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.3400
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.6600
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.3450
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.6450
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.3450
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.7100
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.2900
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.7250
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.2850
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.6850
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.3100
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.6650
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.3350
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.6550
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.3450
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.6550
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.3400
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.7100
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.2900
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.7050
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.2900
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.6950
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.3050
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.7150
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.2900
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.7200
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.2850
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.6950
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.3050
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.6900
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.2850
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.6950
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.2950
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.7000
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.3300
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.6900
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.3200
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.6850
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.3150
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.8650
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.2550
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.7350
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.2750
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.7200
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.2950
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 128445830.77, Sell volume: 92993468.99, Average price: 0.4498, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.7050
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.2850
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.7050
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.2950
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.7000
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.3100
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.6900
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.3050
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.6900
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.3050
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.7000
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.3150
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.6900
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.3100
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.6750
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.3250
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.6450
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.3350
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.6450
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.3400
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.6450
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.3600
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.6550
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.3450
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.6550
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.3600
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.6800
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.3050
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.7150
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.3050
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.6850
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.3150
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.6750
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.3250
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.6950
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.3650
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.6600
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.3550
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.6550
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.3350
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.6750
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.3450
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.6550
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.3450
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.6550
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.3450
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.6550
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.3450
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.6200
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 128445830.77, Sell volume: 92993468.99, Average price: 0.4498, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.4300
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.5850
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.4100
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.6150
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.3900
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.3850
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.6250
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.4250
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.5850
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.4300
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.5800
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.4200
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.5650
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.4400
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.5550
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.4450
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.5500
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.4550
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.5550
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.4450
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.5550
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.5550
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.4450
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.5550
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.4450
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.5350
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.4650
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.5350
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.4350
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.5750
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.4250
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.5650
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.4150
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.5850
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.4150
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.5850
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.4150
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.5400
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.4600
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.5400
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.4600
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.5400
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.4600
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.5550
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.4400
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.5550
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.4450
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 128445830.77, Sell volume: 92993468.99, Average price: 0.4498, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.5700
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.4550
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.5550
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.4500
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.5700
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.4500
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.5450
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.4550
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.5550
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.4700
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.5250
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.4600
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.4950
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.5150
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.4900
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.5150
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.5000
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.5050
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.4950
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.4950
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.5100
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.4900
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.4750
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.5250
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.4800
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.5150
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.4800
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.5300
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.4700
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.5050
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.4950
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.5050
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4950
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.5250
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.4850
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.5100
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.4950
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.4950
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.5050
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.5050
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.4350
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 128445830.77, Sell volume: 92993468.99, Average price: 0.4498, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.4200
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.6000
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.5100
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.4700
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.5300
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.4750
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.5400
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.4250
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.5900
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.4150
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5850
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.4150
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5700
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.5050
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.5550
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.4900
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.4750
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.5250
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.5050
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.5050
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.4950
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.4900
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.5050
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.4950
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.5050
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.5050
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.5850
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.3950
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.5600
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.4350
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.5650
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.4600
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.5450
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.4650
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.5300
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.4750
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.5250
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.4650
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.5250
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.4750
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.5250
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.4750
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.5150
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 128445830.77, Sell volume: 92993468.99, Average price: 0.4498, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.4750
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.5250
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.4950
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.5150
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.4950
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.4500
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.5700
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.4300
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.5650
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.4350
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.5600
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.4650
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.5600
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.4850
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.5200
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.4800
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.5100
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.5100
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.5650
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.4450
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.5050
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.5450
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.4600
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.5050
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.4850
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.5150
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.4950
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.5050
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.4950
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.4850
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.5150
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.5050
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.4750
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.5150
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.5150
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.5000
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.4950
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.5100
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.5000
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.5000
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.5050
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.5050
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.5050
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.5050
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.4950
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.5050
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.4900
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.5050
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 128445830.77, Sell volume: 92993468.99, Average price: 0.4498, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.5000
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.5000
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.4950
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.4350
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.5100
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.5050
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.5200
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.4850
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.5450
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.4600
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.5550
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.4450
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.5550
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.4550
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.5450
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.4600
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.5450
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.4550
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.5500
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.4550
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.5450
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.5250
2025-07-01 04:00: 0.4800
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.5450
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.4550
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.5550
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.4400
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.5600
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.4450
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.5550
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.4450
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.5550
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.4400
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.5450
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.4400
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.5600
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.4400
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.5650
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.4350
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.5600
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.4400
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.5650
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.4350
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.5650
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.4350
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.5700
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.4200
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.5050
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 128445830.77, Sell volume: 92993468.99, Average price: 0.4498, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.4850
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.5250
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.4950
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.5250
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.4800
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.5050
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.4700
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.5350
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.4600
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.5400
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.4700
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.5250
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.4600
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.5400
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.4550
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.5450
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.4600
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.5300
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.4750
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.5250
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.4750
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.5250
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.4750
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.5500
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.4450
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.5550
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.4450
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.5550
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.4350
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.5600
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.4150
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.5850
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.4150
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.5850
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.4200
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.6350
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.3650
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.6250
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.3950
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.6050
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.3950
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.6050
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.3700
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.6450
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.3550
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.6450
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.3550
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.6500
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.3450
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 128445830.77, Sell volume: 92993468.99, Average price: 0.4498, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.6800
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.3200
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.6800
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.3200
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.6800
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.3050
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.3050
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.6950
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.7000
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.3000
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.3150
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.6800
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.3200
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.7000
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.2850
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.2850
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.7150
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.7150
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.2850
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.7150
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.2850
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.2850
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.7150
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.7250
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.2350
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.7450
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.7450
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.7400
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.7400
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.7400
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.2600
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.7350
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.6550
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.6600
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.6600
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.3350
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.6700
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.3150
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.6950
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.2900
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.7050
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.2850
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.2950
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.7050
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.2650
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.7400
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.7600
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.2500
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.7600
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 128445830.77, Sell volume: 92993468.99, Average price: 0.4498, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.7450
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.7450
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.2550
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.7450
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.7450
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.2550
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.2600
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.7400
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.7300
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.7350
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.7350
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.2700
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.2700
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.7450
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.7450
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.7300
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.2350
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.2350
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.8000
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.2100
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.2300
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.7700
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.2300
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.2300
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.2300
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.7700
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.2150
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.7800
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.7800
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.8450
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.2050
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.1750
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.1750
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.1450
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.8400
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.1650
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.1700
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.8550
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.1500
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.8500
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.8550
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.1450
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.1450
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.8550
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.8300
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.8450
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.8450
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.8400
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.8700
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105894, Buy volume: 4053533.52, Sell volume: 14864700.42, Average price: 0.3601, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.1550
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.8350
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.1400
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.8550
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.8550
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.1550
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.8450
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.1650
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.8350
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.1950
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.2000
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.1800
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.8250
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.8200
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.1600
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.8800
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.7800
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.1850
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.8400
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.1600
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.8450
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.8400
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.8600
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.8450
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.8450
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.8250
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.8250
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.8050
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.2050
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.8100
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.1950
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.2050
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 893240, Buy volume: 124263222.45, Sell volume: 78071129.24, Average price: 0.4604, Price range: 0.0336 - 0.9595

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.8000
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.1900
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.1650
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.8650
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.1700
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.8350
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.1650
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.1700
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.8350
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.1650
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.8300
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.2050
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.8000
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.2500
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.7800
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.1950
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.8450
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.8350
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.1700
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.8200
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.1750
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.8100
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.1800
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.8450
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8500
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.1500
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.8550
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.1450
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.8600
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.1400
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.8550
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.8800
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8800
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.1200
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.8800
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.1200
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 590, Buy volume: 27526.06, Sell volume: 27360.74, Average price: 0.3416, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9165

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2024-12-31 14:00: 0.5200
2025-01-01 09:00: 0.6900
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.7200
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.7450
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.7350
2025-01-04 13:00: 0.7500
2025-01-05 08:00: 0.7450
2025-01-06 03:00: 0.7250
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.6950
2025-01-07 17:00: 0.7150
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.7150
2025-01-09 07:00: 0.7150
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.7050
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.7150
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.6650
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.6750
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.6750
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.6750
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.6750
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.6700
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.6750
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.6800
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.7350
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.7500
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.7750
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.7800
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.6700
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.7050
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.6950
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 128445830.77, Sell volume: 92993468.99, Average price: 0.4498, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.3350
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.3500
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.3450
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.3400
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.3550
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.3450
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.2900
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.2900
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.3150
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.3350
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.3350
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.3500
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.3450
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.2900
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.2950
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.3000
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.2900
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.2900
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.2850
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.3050
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.3100
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.3050
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.2950
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.3300
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.3150
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.3150
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.3000
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.2600
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.2750
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 128445830.77, Sell volume: 92993468.99, Average price: 0.4498, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.7050
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.7150
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.7050
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.6900
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.6900
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.6950
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.6950
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.6850
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.6850
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.6750
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.6600
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.6400
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.6450
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.6550
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.6550
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.6400
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.6900
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.7050
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.6900
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.6850
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.6750
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.5900
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.6450
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.6550
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.6700
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.6550
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.6550
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.6550
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.6550
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 128445830.77, Sell volume: 92993468.99, Average price: 0.4498, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.4300
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.4100
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.3850
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.3950
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.3850
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.4200
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.4300
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.4200
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.4350
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.4400
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.4450
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.4450
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.4450
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.4450
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.4450
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.4450
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.4650
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.4350
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.4250
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.4350
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.4150
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.4150
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.4150
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.4600
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.4600
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.4600
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.4600
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.4450
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 128445830.77, Sell volume: 92993468.99, Average price: 0.4498, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.5700
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.5500
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.5500
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.5500
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.5450
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.5550
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.5250
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.5450
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.5100
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.5050
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.5050
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.5100
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.5050
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.5100
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.4750
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.4850
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.4750
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.4700
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.4850
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.4950
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4950
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.5250
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.5100
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5050
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 128445830.77, Sell volume: 92993468.99, Average price: 0.4498, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.4200
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.4900
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.4700
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.4550
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.4150
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.4150
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.4900
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.4500
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.4950
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.5250
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.4950
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.4950
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.5100
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.4950
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.5000
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.5050
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.5250
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.6050
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.5350
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.5650
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.5450
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.5350
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.5250
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.5350
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.5250
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.5250
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 128445830.77, Sell volume: 92993468.99, Average price: 0.4498, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.4750
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.4750
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.4950
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.5500
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.5750
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.5650
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.5600
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.5350
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.5100
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.5200
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.5100
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.5850
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.5200
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.4550
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.4950
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.4800
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.4900
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.4950
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.5100
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.5050
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.4800
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.5050
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.5100
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.5100
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.5000
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.4950
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.4950
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.5050
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.5050
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 128445830.77, Sell volume: 92993468.99, Average price: 0.4498, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.5000
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.5000
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.5650
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.5150
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.5450
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.5550
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.5550
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.5450
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.5400
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.5500
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.5350
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.5450
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.4850
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.5300
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.5450
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.5600
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.5600
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.5550
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.5500
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.5600
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.5450
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.5600
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.5650
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.5650
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.5600
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.5650
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.5650
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.5700
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 128445830.77, Sell volume: 92993468.99, Average price: 0.4498, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.4850
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.4800
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.4750
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.4950
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.4700
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.4600
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.4750
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.4750
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.4600
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.4550
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.4800
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.4750
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.4850
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.4750
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.4550
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.4450
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.4450
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.4350
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.4150
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.4150
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.4150
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.3650
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.3750
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.3950
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.3950
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.3950
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.3550
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.3550
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.3500
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 128445830.77, Sell volume: 92993468.99, Average price: 0.4498, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.6800
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.6800
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.6800
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.6950
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.3050
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.3000
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.6850
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.3250
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.7000
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.7150
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.7150
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.7150
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.2850
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.2850
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.2750
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.2550
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.7450
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.7400
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.7400
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.3450
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.3400
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.3350
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.6900
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.6950
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.7050
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.2950
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.2950
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.2600
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.7600
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 128445830.77, Sell volume: 92993468.99, Average price: 0.4498, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.7450
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.2550
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.7450
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.7450
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.2600
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.2700
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.2700
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.7300
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.7500
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.7300
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.2350
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.2000
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.2250
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.2300
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.2300
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.2300
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.2150
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.7800
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.8150
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.8100
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.8500
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.1700
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.8350
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.1500
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.1450
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.8550
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.1450
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.1600
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.1650
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105894, Buy volume: 4053533.52, Sell volume: 14864700.42, Average price: 0.3601, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.1550
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.1400
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.1450
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.1600
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.1550
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.1650
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.8350
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.8050
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.8050
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.2000
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.8250
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.1700
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.8850
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.7700
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.1650
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.1600
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.1600
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.8400
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.8600
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.8500
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.8250
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.8100
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.8100
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 893240, Buy volume: 124263222.45, Sell volume: 78071129.24, Average price: 0.4604, Price range: 0.0336 - 0.9595
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516949
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Volume: 980853.02188
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.8000
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.8350
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.1450
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.1650
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.1650
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.1650
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.2000
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.2000
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.2150
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.1650
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.1800
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.1650
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.1550
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.1500
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.1500
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.1450
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.1450
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.1400
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.1200
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 590, Buy volume: 27526.06, Sell volume: 27360.74, Average price: 0.3416, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9165
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5100
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8282.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.5100
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.5100
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.5100
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.5100
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.5100
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8282.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8282.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8282.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8282.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.4900
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.5100
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.5100
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.5100
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.4900
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.5150
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.4850
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.5150
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.5150
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 300.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8890, Price range: 0.8890 - 0.8890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.5350
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.4650
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8282.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.4350
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.5650
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.4350
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.4350
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.5600
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.4400
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.5500
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.4500
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.4450
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8282.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.4450
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.4450
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.4450
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.4450
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.5600
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.4400
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.4450
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.5600
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.4400
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.5600
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.4400
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8282.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8282.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.5900
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.4100
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.5900
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.4100
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8282.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.2750
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.7250
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.2750
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.7250
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.2750
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.7250
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8282.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.7250
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.2750
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.7250
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.2750
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.7250
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.2750
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.2750
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.7250
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8282.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5100
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8282.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.5100
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.5100
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.5100
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.5100
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.5100
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8282.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8282.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8282.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8282.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.4900
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.5100
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.5100
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.5100
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.4900
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.5150
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.4850
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.5150
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.5150
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 300.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8890, Price range: 0.8890 - 0.8890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.5350
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.4650
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8282.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.4350
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.5650
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.4350
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.4350
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.5600
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.4400
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.5500
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.4500
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.4450
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8282.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.4450
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.4450
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.4450
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.4450
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.5600
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.4400
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.4450
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.5600
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.4400
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.5600
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.4400
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8282.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8282.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.5900
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.4100
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.5900
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.4100
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8282.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.2750
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.7250
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.2750
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.7250
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.2750
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.7250
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8282.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666672
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Volume: 8582.973482
Price History:
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.7250
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.2750
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.7250
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.2750
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.7250
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.2750
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.2750
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.7250
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 8282.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3983.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9478, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3983.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9478, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.4900
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.5100
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3983.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9478, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3983.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9478, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3983.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9478, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.4850
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3983.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9478, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3983.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9478, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.4900
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3983.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9478, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.4800
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.5300
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.4700
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.4700
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.5300
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.4700
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.5300
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3983.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9478, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.5250
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 55.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.4800
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.4800
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3983.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9478, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3983.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9478, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3983.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9478, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3983.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9478, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3983.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9478, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.4900
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.5100
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3983.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9478, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3983.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9478, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3983.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9478, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.4850
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3983.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9478, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3983.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9478, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.4900
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3983.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9478, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.4800
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.5300
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.4700
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.4700
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.5300
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.4700
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.5300
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3983.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9478, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.5250
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 55.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.4800
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.4800
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3983.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9478, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3983.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9478, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666691
Question: Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 3983.519879
Price History:
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3983.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9478, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564110
Question: WLFI market cap (FDV) <$10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 133738.791415
Price History:
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.4300
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.6850
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.3150
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.6850
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.2950
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.7100
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.2900
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.7100
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.2900
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.7100
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.2900
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.7150
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.2850
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.7150
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.2850
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.7200
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.2800
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.7200
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.2800
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.7200
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.2800
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.7300
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.2700
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.7300
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.2700
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.7300
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.3250
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.7250
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.2850
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.7150
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.2800
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.7750
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.2550
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.7200
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.2350
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.7650
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.1400
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.8600
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.1350
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.8600
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.1350
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.8650
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.1350
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.8650
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.1350
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.8650
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.1400
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.8650
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.1400
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 621.65, Sell volume: 225.51, Average price: 0.7686, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564110
Question: WLFI market cap (FDV) <$10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 133738.791415
Price History:
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.8600
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.1450
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.8450
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.1550
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.8450
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.1550
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.8450
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.8450
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.1550
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.8450
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.1550
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.8450
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.1550
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.8450
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.1550
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.8450
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.1550
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.8450
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.1550
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.8450
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.1550
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.8450
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.8450
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.1550
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.8450
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.1550
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.8450
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.1550
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.8450
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.1550
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.8450
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.1550
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.8450
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.1550
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.8450
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.1550
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.8450
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.8450
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.1550
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.8450
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.1550
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.8450
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.1550
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.8450
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.1550
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.8450
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 293.60, Sell volume: 48.87, Average price: 0.3290, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564110
Question: WLFI market cap (FDV) <$10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 133738.791415
Price History:
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.1550
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.8450
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.1600
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.8400
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.1600
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.8400
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.1600
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.8450
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.1550
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.8450
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.1600
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.8400
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.1600
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.8400
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.1600
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.8400
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.1600
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.8400
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.1600
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.8400
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.1600
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.8400
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.1600
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.8400
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.1500
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.8500
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.1500
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.8500
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.1500
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.8500
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.1500
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.8500
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.1500
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.8500
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.1500
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.8500
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.1500
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.8500
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.1500
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.8500
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.1500
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.8500
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.1500
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.8500
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0950
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.9000
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.1000
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.9000
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.1000
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 3270.48, Sell volume: 458.91, Average price: 0.6874, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400

Output: Yes