Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693987
Question: Will Detroit record the first snowfall?
Volume: 24385.680815
Price History:
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.2850
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.7150
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.2850
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.7150
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.2900
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.7100
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.2950
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.7050
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.3100
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.6900
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.3200
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.6800
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.3200
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.6800
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 196.22, Sell volume: 11.43, Average price: 0.3080, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.3200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693987
Question: Will Detroit record the first snowfall?
Volume: 24385.680815
Price History:
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.3100
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.6900
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.3100
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.6900
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.3100
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.6900
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.3050
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.6950
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.3100
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.6900
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.3200
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.6800
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.3250
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.6750
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.3200
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.6800
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 219.98, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.4896, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7155
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693987
Question: Will Detroit record the first snowfall?
Volume: 24385.680815
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.3250
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.6750
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.3250
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.3200
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.6800
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.3200
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.6800
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.2950
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.7050
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.2950
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.7050
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.2800
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.7200
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.2800
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.7200
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.2800
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.7200
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.2350
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.7650
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.2300
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.7700
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.2300
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 381.54, Sell volume: 115.43, Average price: 0.5345, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693987
Question: Will Detroit record the first snowfall?
Volume: 24385.680815
Price History:
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.2300
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.7700
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.2300
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.7700
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.2300
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.7700
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.2300
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.7700
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.2300
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.7700
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.2100
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.7900
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.2000
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.8000
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.2050
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.7950
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.2250
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.7750
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.2250
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.7750
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.2250
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.7750
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.2350
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 238.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5069, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693987
Question: Will Detroit record the first snowfall?
Volume: 24385.680815
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.2450
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.7550
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.2500
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.7500
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.3850
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.6150
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.4300
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.5700
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.4300
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.5700
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.5850
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.4150
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.6500
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.3500
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.7250
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.2750
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9850
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0150
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9830
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0170
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.8500
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 5008.48, Sell volume: 892.82, Average price: 0.7075, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693987
Question: Will Detroit record the first snowfall?
Volume: 24385.680815
Price History:
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.6400
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.3600
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.8495
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.1505
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.7705
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.2295
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.4710
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.5290
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.4160
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.5840
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.4385
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.5615
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.4345
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.5655
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.4050
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.5950
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.6405
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.3595
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.6375
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.3625
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.6470
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.3530
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.6845
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.3155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 835.40, Sell volume: 967.41, Average price: 0.5548, Price range: 0.1765 - 0.8704
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693987
Question: Will Detroit record the first snowfall?
Volume: 24385.680815
Price History:
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.6585
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.3415
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.6090
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.3910
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.8840
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.1160
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9640
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0360
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9745
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0255
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9735
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0265
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9730
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0270
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9865
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0135
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9885
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0115
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9800
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0200
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9865
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0135
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9880
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 3518.22, Sell volume: 1037.04, Average price: 0.7779, Price range: 0.0171 - 0.9889
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.4250
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.5750
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.3750
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.6250
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.4850
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.5150
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.4450
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.6400
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.3600
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 177.63, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6561, Price range: 0.4914 - 0.7455

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.5800
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.3850
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.6150
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.3850
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.6150
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.6300
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.3800
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.6200
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.3100
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.6900
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.6850
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.3150
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 154.33, Sell volume: 222.77, Average price: 0.4735, Price range: 0.3164 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.2850
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.7150
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.2350
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.7650
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.1400
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.8600
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.1950
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.8050
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.2300
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.7700
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.2050
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.7950
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.2200
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.7800
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.2200
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.7800
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.2300
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.7700
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.2200
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.7800
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.2250
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.7750
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.1900
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 60.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7920, Price range: 0.7200 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.1900
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.8100
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.1900
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.8100
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9500
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0500
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9500
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0550
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9450
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9400
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0550
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9450
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 218.83, Sell volume: 27.51, Average price: 0.7031, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0600
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9400
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0600
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9400
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0550
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9450
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0600
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9400
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0600
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9400
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0550
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9450
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0400
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9600
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0400
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9600
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0400
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.0360
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1280.49, Sell volume: 28.61, Average price: 0.3807, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.0600
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.9400
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0645
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9355
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.0645
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9355
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.0660
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9340
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.0585
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.9415
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.0575
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.9425
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0575
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9425
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0575
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9425
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0575
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9425
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0565
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9435
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0575
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9425
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0565
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 115.07, Sell volume: 6.17, Average price: 0.9486, Price range: 0.9120 - 0.9673

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0540
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9460
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0465
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9535
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0475
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9525
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0455
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9545
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0425
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9575
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0455
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9545
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0455
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9545
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0445
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9555
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0455
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9545
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0445
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9555
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0425
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9575
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 74.02, Average price: 0.0359, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.0430

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9545
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0295
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9705
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0225
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9775
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0140
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9860
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0205
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9795
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0205
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9795
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0215
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9785
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0205
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9795
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0220
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9780
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0220
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9780
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0215
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 59.89, Sell volume: 136.78, Average price: 0.7269, Price range: 0.0034 - 0.9743

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0205
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9795
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0200
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9800
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0195
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9805
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0185
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9815
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0115
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9885
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9905
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9915
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 243.50, Sell volume: 1.10, Average price: 0.8973, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0220
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9780
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0220
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9780
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0145
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9855
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0145
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9855
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0145
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9855
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0090
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 51.20, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.9964, Price range: 0.9952 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0095
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9905
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0105
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9895
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0085
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9915
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0080
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9920
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0080
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9920
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0080
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9920
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1766.27, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.9470, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 110.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.9966, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 824.38, Sell volume: 184.59, Average price: 0.7706, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.4250
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.5750
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.3750
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.6250
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.4850
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.5150
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.4450
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.6400
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.3600
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 177.63, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6561, Price range: 0.4914 - 0.7455
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.5800
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.3850
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.6150
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.3850
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.6150
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.6300
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.3800
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.6200
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.3100
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.6900
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.6850
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.3150
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 154.33, Sell volume: 222.77, Average price: 0.4735, Price range: 0.3164 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.2850
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.7150
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.2350
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.7650
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.1400
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.8600
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.1950
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.8050
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.2300
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.7700
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.2050
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.7950
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.2200
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.7800
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.2200
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.7800
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.2300
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.7700
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.2200
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.7800
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.2250
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.7750
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.1900
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 60.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7920, Price range: 0.7200 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.1900
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.8100
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.1900
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.8100
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9500
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0500
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9500
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0550
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9450
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9400
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0550
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9450
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 218.83, Sell volume: 27.51, Average price: 0.7031, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0600
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9400
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0600
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9400
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0550
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9450
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0600
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9400
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0600
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9400
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0550
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9450
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0400
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9600
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0400
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9600
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0400
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.0360
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1280.49, Sell volume: 28.61, Average price: 0.3807, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.0600
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.9400
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0645
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9355
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.0645
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9355
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.0660
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9340
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.0585
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.9415
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.0575
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.9425
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0575
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9425
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0575
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9425
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0575
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9425
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0565
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9435
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0575
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9425
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0565
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 115.07, Sell volume: 6.17, Average price: 0.9486, Price range: 0.9120 - 0.9673
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0540
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9460
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0465
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9535
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0475
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9525
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0455
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9545
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0425
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9575
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0455
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9545
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0455
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9545
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0445
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9555
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0455
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9545
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0445
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9555
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0425
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9575
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 74.02, Average price: 0.0359, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.0430
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9545
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0295
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9705
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0225
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9775
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0140
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9860
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0205
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9795
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0205
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9795
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0215
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9785
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0205
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9795
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0220
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9780
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0220
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9780
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0215
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 59.89, Sell volume: 136.78, Average price: 0.7269, Price range: 0.0034 - 0.9743
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0205
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9795
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0200
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9800
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0195
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9805
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0185
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9815
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0115
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9885
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9905
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9915
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 243.50, Sell volume: 1.10, Average price: 0.8973, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0220
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9780
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0220
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9780
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0145
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9855
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0145
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9855
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0145
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9855
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0090
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 51.20, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.9964, Price range: 0.9952 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0095
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9905
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0105
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9895
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0085
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9915
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0080
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9920
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0080
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9920
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0080
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9920
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1766.27, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.9470, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 110.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.9966, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693986
Question: Will New York City record the first snowfall?
Volume: 10268.495432
Price History:
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 824.38, Sell volume: 184.59, Average price: 0.7706, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.4250
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.5750
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.3300
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.6700
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.2500
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.7500
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0205
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9795
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.1095
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.8905
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.1095
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.8905
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.1005
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.8995
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0905
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 69.34, Sell volume: 4.95, Average price: 0.7713, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0745
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9255
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0735
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9265
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0735
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9265
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0735
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9265
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0705
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9295
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0570
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9430
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0555
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9445
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0545
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9455
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0550
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9450
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0545
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 241.04, Sell volume: 12.23, Average price: 0.7205, Price range: 0.0580 - 0.9420

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0655
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9345
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0665
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9335
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0670
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9330
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0620
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9380
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0660
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9340
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0620
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9380
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0665
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9335
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0660
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9340
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0660
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9340
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0665
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9335
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0655
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9345
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0645
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 68.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0645
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9355
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0655
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9345
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0670
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9330
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0670
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9330
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0565
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9435
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0565
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9435
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0570
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9430
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0570
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9430
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0570
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9430
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0560
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9440
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0555
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9445
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0505
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 196.96, Sell volume: 2.15, Average price: 0.7972, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9500
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0505
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9495
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0505
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9495
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0535
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9465
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0515
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9485
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0485
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9515
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0460
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9540
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0460
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9540
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0535
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9465
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0535
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9465
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.0615
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9385
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 944.22, Sell volume: 320.28, Average price: 0.3790, Price range: 0.0312 - 0.9714

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.0615
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.9385
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0620
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9380
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.0630
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9370
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.0635
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9365
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.0630
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.9370
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.0620
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.9380
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0630
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9370
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0630
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9370
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0630
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9370
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0620
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9380
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0630
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9370
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0620
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9380
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 203.06, Sell volume: 56.17, Average price: 0.4600, Price range: 0.0480 - 0.9540

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0620
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9380
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0625
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9375
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0625
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9375
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0630
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9370
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0625
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9375
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0630
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9370
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0635
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9365
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0635
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9365
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0630
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9370
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0590
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9410
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0555
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9445
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0575
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1381.73, Sell volume: 46.84, Average price: 0.2582, Price range: 0.0420 - 0.9581

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0575
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9425
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0590
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9410
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0590
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9410
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0590
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9410
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0670
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9330
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0595
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9405
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0595
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9405
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0595
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 192.61, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.3683, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0590
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9410
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0590
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9410
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0590
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9410
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0590
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9410
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0575
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9425
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0560
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9440
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0560
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9440
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0515
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9485
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0475
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9525
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0485
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9515
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0480
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9520
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0475
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9525
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 376.91, Sell volume: 13.20, Average price: 0.6619, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0480
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9520
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0485
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9515
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0485
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9515
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0485
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9515
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0485
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9515
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0340
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9660
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0355
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9645
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0255
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9745
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0255
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9745
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0320
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 415.78, Sell volume: 7.09, Average price: 0.6541, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0320
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9680
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0320
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9680
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0280
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9720
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0280
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9720
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0280
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9720
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0280
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9720
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0275
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9725
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0305
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9695
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0310
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9690
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1992.26, Sell volume: 186.44, Average price: 0.9438, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0220
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9780
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0285
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9715
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0280
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9720
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0270
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9730
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0255
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9745
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0245
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9755
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0240
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9760
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0235
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9765
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0240
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1414.23, Sell volume: 66.66, Average price: 0.5383, Price range: 0.0077 - 0.9830

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0230
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9770
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0205
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9795
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0115
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9885
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9915
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0090
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9910
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9900
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0090
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9910
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0130
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9870
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0125
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9875
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0090
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 1484.69, Sell volume: 1834.15, Average price: 0.6443, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.4250
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.5750
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.3300
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.6700
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.2500
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.7500
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0205
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9795
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.1095
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.8905
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.1095
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.8905
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.1005
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.8995
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0905
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 69.34, Sell volume: 4.95, Average price: 0.7713, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0745
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9255
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0735
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9265
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0735
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9265
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0735
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9265
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0705
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9295
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0570
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9430
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0555
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9445
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0545
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9455
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0550
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9450
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0545
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 241.04, Sell volume: 12.23, Average price: 0.7205, Price range: 0.0580 - 0.9420
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0655
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9345
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0665
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9335
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0670
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9330
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0620
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9380
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0660
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9340
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0620
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9380
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0665
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9335
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0660
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9340
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0660
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9340
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0665
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9335
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0655
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9345
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0645
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 68.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0645
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9355
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0655
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9345
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0670
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9330
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0670
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9330
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0565
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9435
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0565
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9435
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0570
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9430
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0570
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9430
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0570
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9430
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0560
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9440
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0555
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9445
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0505
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 196.96, Sell volume: 2.15, Average price: 0.7972, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9500
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0505
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9495
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0505
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9495
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0535
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9465
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0515
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9485
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0485
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9515
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0460
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9540
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0460
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9540
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0535
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9465
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0535
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9465
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.0615
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9385
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 944.22, Sell volume: 320.28, Average price: 0.3790, Price range: 0.0312 - 0.9714
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.0615
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.9385
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0620
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9380
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.0630
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9370
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.0635
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9365
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.0630
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.9370
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.0620
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.9380
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0630
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9370
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0630
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9370
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0630
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9370
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0620
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9380
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0630
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9370
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0620
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9380
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 203.06, Sell volume: 56.17, Average price: 0.4600, Price range: 0.0480 - 0.9540
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0620
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9380
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0625
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9375
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0625
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9375
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0630
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9370
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0625
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9375
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0630
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9370
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0635
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9365
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0635
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9365
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0630
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9370
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0590
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9410
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0555
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9445
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0575
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1381.73, Sell volume: 46.84, Average price: 0.2582, Price range: 0.0420 - 0.9581
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0575
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9425
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0590
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9410
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0590
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9410
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0590
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9410
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0670
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9330
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0595
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9405
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0595
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9405
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0595
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 192.61, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.3683, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0590
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9410
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0590
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9410
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0590
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9410
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0590
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9410
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0575
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9425
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0560
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9440
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0560
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9440
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0515
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9485
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0475
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9525
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0485
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9515
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0480
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9520
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0475
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9525
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 376.91, Sell volume: 13.20, Average price: 0.6619, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0480
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9520
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0485
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9515
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0485
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9515
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0485
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9515
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0485
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9515
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0340
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9660
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0355
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9645
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0255
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9745
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0255
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9745
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0320
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 415.78, Sell volume: 7.09, Average price: 0.6541, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0320
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9680
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0320
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9680
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0280
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9720
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0280
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9720
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0280
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9720
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0280
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9720
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0275
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9725
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0305
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9695
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0310
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9690
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1992.26, Sell volume: 186.44, Average price: 0.9438, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0220
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9780
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0285
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9715
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0280
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9720
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0270
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9730
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0255
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9745
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0245
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9755
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0240
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9760
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0235
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9765
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0240
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1414.23, Sell volume: 66.66, Average price: 0.5383, Price range: 0.0077 - 0.9830
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693988
Question: Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?
Volume: 17828.482936
Price History:
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0230
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9770
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0205
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9795
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0115
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9885
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9915
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0090
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9910
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9900
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0090
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9910
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0130
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9870
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0125
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9875
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0090
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 1484.69, Sell volume: 1834.15, Average price: 0.6443, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0400
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9750
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0250
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9730
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0270
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9700
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0300
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9730
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0270
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9735
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0265
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9595
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3375.81, Sell volume: 257.11, Average price: 0.7645, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9560
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0440
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9555
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0445
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9560
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0440
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9555
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0445
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9535
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0465
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9430
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0570
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9445
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0555
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9445
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1533.47, Sell volume: 1629.96, Average price: 0.6604, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9590

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9405
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0595
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9405
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0595
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9440
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0560
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9440
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0560
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9445
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0555
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9400
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0600
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9410
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0590
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9410
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0590
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9420
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1770.87, Sell volume: 1007.89, Average price: 0.4820, Price range: 0.0540 - 0.9460

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9420
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0580
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9435
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9430
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0570
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9435
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9435
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9435
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9435
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9455
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0545
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9435
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 312.13, Sell volume: 26.00, Average price: 0.3542, Price range: 0.0520 - 0.9480

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9435
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9435
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9435
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9435
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9435
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9420
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0580
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9425
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0575
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9440
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0560
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9470
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 594.21, Sell volume: 239.64, Average price: 0.2777, Price range: 0.0520 - 0.9480

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9585
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0415
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9555
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0445
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9540
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0460
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9535
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0465
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9540
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0460
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9535
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0465
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9565
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0435
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9565
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0435
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9565
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 500.57, Sell volume: 184.69, Average price: 0.7747, Price range: 0.0496 - 0.9590

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9565
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0435
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9565
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0435
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9565
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0435
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9580
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0420
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9580
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0420
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9575
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0425
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9590
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0410
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9560
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 417.39, Sell volume: 105.48, Average price: 0.8098, Price range: 0.0516 - 0.9640

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9540
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0460
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9540
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0460
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9530
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0470
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9535
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0465
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9530
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0470
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9525
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0475
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9525
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0475
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9525
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 20.83, Sell volume: 21.86, Average price: 0.0433, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.0480

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9615
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0385
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9615
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0385
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9615
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0385
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9885
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0115
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9775
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0225
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9865
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 191, Buy volume: 6839.35, Sell volume: 2847.70, Average price: 0.4307, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9885
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0115
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1518.48, Sell volume: 7252.10, Average price: 0.4690, Price range: 0.0021 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 608.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 342.57, Sell volume: 66.87, Average price: 0.9976, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 9738.33, Sell volume: 921.07, Average price: 0.4684, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0400
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9750
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0250
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9730
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0270
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9700
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0300
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9730
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0270
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9735
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0265
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9595
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3375.81, Sell volume: 257.11, Average price: 0.7645, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9560
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0440
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9555
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0445
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9560
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0440
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9555
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0445
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9535
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0465
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9430
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0570
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9445
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0555
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9445
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1533.47, Sell volume: 1629.96, Average price: 0.6604, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9590
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9405
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0595
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9405
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0595
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9440
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0560
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9440
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0560
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9445
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0555
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9400
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0600
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9410
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0590
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9410
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0590
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9420
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1770.87, Sell volume: 1007.89, Average price: 0.4820, Price range: 0.0540 - 0.9460
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9420
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0580
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9435
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9430
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0570
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9435
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9435
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9435
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9435
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9455
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0545
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9435
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 312.13, Sell volume: 26.00, Average price: 0.3542, Price range: 0.0520 - 0.9480
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9435
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9435
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9435
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9435
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9435
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9420
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0580
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9425
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0575
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9440
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0560
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9470
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 594.21, Sell volume: 239.64, Average price: 0.2777, Price range: 0.0520 - 0.9480
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9585
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0415
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9555
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0445
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9540
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0460
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9535
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0465
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9540
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0460
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9535
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0465
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9565
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0435
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9565
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0435
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9565
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 500.57, Sell volume: 184.69, Average price: 0.7747, Price range: 0.0496 - 0.9590
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9565
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0435
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9565
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0435
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9565
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0435
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9580
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0420
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9580
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0420
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9575
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0425
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9590
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0410
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9560
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 417.39, Sell volume: 105.48, Average price: 0.8098, Price range: 0.0516 - 0.9640
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9540
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0460
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9540
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0460
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9530
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0470
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9535
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0465
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9530
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0470
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9525
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0475
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9525
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0475
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9525
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 20.83, Sell volume: 21.86, Average price: 0.0433, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.0480
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9615
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0385
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9615
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0385
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9615
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0385
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9885
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0115
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9775
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0225
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9865
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 191, Buy volume: 6839.35, Sell volume: 2847.70, Average price: 0.4307, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9885
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0115
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1518.48, Sell volume: 7252.10, Average price: 0.4690, Price range: 0.0021 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 608.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 342.57, Sell volume: 66.87, Average price: 0.9976, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680921
Question: Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 45459.871984
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 9738.33, Sell volume: 921.07, Average price: 0.4684, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.2050
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0400
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0345
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9655
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0345
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9655
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0345
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9655
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0345
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9655
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0345
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1140.05, Sell volume: 141.51, Average price: 0.7299, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9650
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0355
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9645
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0355
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9645
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0355
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9645
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9650
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9650
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0335
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9665
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0320
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9680
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0345
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 778.15, Sell volume: 474.70, Average price: 0.6949, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9690

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9650
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9650
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0325
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9675
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0320
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9680
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0320
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9680
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0225
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9775
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9840
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9840
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 433.71, Sell volume: 2559.90, Average price: 0.5253, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9840
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9840
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0145
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9855
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0145
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9855
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0145
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9855
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0145
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9855
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0145
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9855
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0170
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9830
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0175
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 98.82, Sell volume: 65.63, Average price: 0.0170, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0280

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0185
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9815
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0185
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9815
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0185
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9815
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9820
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9820
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0185
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9815
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0150
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9850
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0155
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9845
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0095
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 89.65, Sell volume: 239.64, Average price: 0.2979, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0110
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9890
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0110
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9890
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0110
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9890
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0110
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9890
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0115
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9885
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0115
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9885
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0115
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9885
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0115
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9885
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0115
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 358, Buy volume: 14961.11, Sell volume: 16115.39, Average price: 0.4432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0115
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9885
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0115
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9885
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0115
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9885
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0115
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9885
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0110
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0110
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0110
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0110
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0110
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9907, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0110
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0110
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0110
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0110
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0110
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0135
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9865
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0130
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9870
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0130
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9870
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0170
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1573.95, Sell volume: 111.61, Average price: 0.0144, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.0189

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0170
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9830
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0170
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9830
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0170
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9830
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0130
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9870
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 185, Buy volume: 6270.99, Sell volume: 2868.14, Average price: 0.3857, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 2519.66, Sell volume: 8011.54, Average price: 0.3048, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1080.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3343, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 74.55, Sell volume: 1542.12, Average price: 0.7139, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 100.60, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.2050
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0400
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0345
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9655
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0345
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9655
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0345
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9655
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0345
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9655
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0345
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1140.05, Sell volume: 141.51, Average price: 0.7299, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9650
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0355
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9645
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0355
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9645
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0355
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9645
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9650
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9650
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0335
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9665
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0320
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9680
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0345
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 778.15, Sell volume: 474.70, Average price: 0.6949, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9650
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9650
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0325
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9675
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0320
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9680
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0320
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9680
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0225
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9775
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9840
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9840
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 433.71, Sell volume: 2559.90, Average price: 0.5253, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9840
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9840
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0145
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9855
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0145
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9855
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0145
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9855
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0145
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9855
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0145
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9855
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0170
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9830
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0175
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 98.82, Sell volume: 65.63, Average price: 0.0170, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0280
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0185
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9815
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0185
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9815
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0185
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9815
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9820
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9820
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0185
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9815
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0150
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9850
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0155
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9845
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0095
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 89.65, Sell volume: 239.64, Average price: 0.2979, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0110
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9890
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0110
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9890
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0110
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9890
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0110
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9890
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0115
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9885
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0115
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9885
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0115
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9885
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0115
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9885
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0115
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 358, Buy volume: 14961.11, Sell volume: 16115.39, Average price: 0.4432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0115
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9885
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0115
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9885
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0115
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9885
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0115
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9885
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0110
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0110
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0110
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0110
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0110
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9907, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0110
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0110
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0110
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0110
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0110
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0135
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9865
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0130
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9870
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0130
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9870
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0170
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1573.95, Sell volume: 111.61, Average price: 0.0144, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.0189
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0170
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9830
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0170
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9830
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0170
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9830
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0130
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9870
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 185, Buy volume: 6270.99, Sell volume: 2868.14, Average price: 0.3857, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes